Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2529 CWSA 07⧸07⧸24

00:00:00.100 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:02.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

00:00:06.500 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:07.600 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:10.520 And it happens now.

00:00:17.620 Oh.

00:00:20.560 Delightful.

00:00:22.040 Well, here's a little thing for you.

00:00:24.040 Let's see if this works.

00:00:26.000 There we go.

00:00:26.840 Well, so you probably don't know this unless you subscribe on the Locals platform

00:00:33.180 or on X to Dilbert.

00:00:35.720 But I've been doing a digital calendar in addition to the daily Dilbert Reborn

00:00:41.980 that you can see only by subscription.

00:00:45.000 But I realized that the 10-year-ago comic, and that's what the calendar is,

00:00:50.320 I also do a little digital calendar that I publish at the same time.

00:00:54.280 By the way, there's going to be a paper calendar for 2025.

00:00:57.800 I'll let you know more about that in a few weeks.

00:01:00.480 But I realized that the topic I was doing 10 years ago was today.

00:01:07.640 So my comics from exactly 10 years ago were all about AI and robots

00:01:13.220 and taking your jobs.

00:01:15.920 So here Dilbert says,

00:01:17.420 My software can't pass the standard Turing test yet,

00:01:20.120 but it does pass the pointy-haired boss test.

00:01:22.860 And then Dilbert says to the computer,

00:01:26.360 Computer, I have a question about our company strategy.

00:01:29.840 And the computer says,

00:01:31.200 Try working harder.

00:01:33.180 And Dilbert yells at it,

00:01:34.560 That doesn't even make sense.

00:01:36.860 And the CEO says,

00:01:38.460 I wasn't prepared to like it,

00:01:40.460 but you won me over.

00:01:42.760 So

00:01:43.000 10 years ago,

00:01:46.960 I was anticipating what the workplace would look like.

00:01:52.380 It was pretty close.

00:01:54.140 Pretty close.

00:01:55.920 I'll give you a little preview that at the end of next week,

00:02:00.820 Dilbert will be asked to hide the fact that their CEO has dementia.

00:02:06.460 That's right.

00:02:11.280 Dilbert's CEO is going to have dementia,

00:02:13.220 and they're going to have to hide it.

00:02:14.840 Now,

00:02:15.360 you probably know that I don't do politics in the Dilbert comics.

00:02:19.200 I do do politics in my other comic called Robots Read News,

00:02:22.840 but I don't do it in Dilbert.

00:02:24.800 But I'm making an exception,

00:02:26.260 because this is the first time everybody was on the same page.

00:02:31.940 There's nobody,

00:02:32.820 Democrat or Republican,

00:02:34.120 who doesn't think there's a little bit of a Biden dementia issue.

00:02:38.400 So this would be the one exception,

00:02:41.340 the one time I can remember ever,

00:02:43.700 when people had the same observation about the same thing.

00:02:46.640 So this will be the one that I'll put in there,

00:02:48.200 but if I get too much pushback,

00:02:50.500 I'll probably pull back on that.

00:02:52.720 Anyway,

00:02:53.140 there's a

00:02:53.740 scientists have discovered a new way to recycle solar cells,

00:02:58.940 but only this special kind,

00:03:00.600 not the regular kind.

00:03:02.720 These would be perovskite solar cells.

00:03:06.880 I guess that's different than the regular silicon type.

00:03:09.900 But anyway,

00:03:10.340 if they have these new perovskite solar cells,

00:03:13.060 they can recycle up to 99.97%,

00:03:16.120 because they've got a new technique for doing that.

00:03:19.560 This reminds me of nuclear waste.

00:03:23.740 Remember one of the biggest arguments against nuclear power was,

00:03:27.580 what are you going to do with all the waste?

00:03:29.040 Nobody wants it.

00:03:29.940 And then they said,

00:03:32.420 well,

00:03:33.420 since you're already afraid of the nuclear power plant,

00:03:36.760 why don't we just put it in big special casks and just keep it right here

00:03:40.940 in the parking lot next to the nuclear power plant?

00:03:44.880 And then people looked at each other and said,

00:03:46.740 why wouldn't that work?

00:03:49.580 And nobody had a reason why it wouldn't work.

00:03:51.580 So they just put them in big casks and they just store the waste next to the,

00:03:57.420 next to the nuclear power plant.

00:04:00.500 Because neither of them are going to go anywhere for a very long time.

00:04:03.480 And you might as well put all your risk in one place.

00:04:05.380 So now they may have a way to handle the gigantic environmental problem of too many solar panels.

00:04:14.400 But we'll see.

00:04:15.460 It's a little early.

00:04:16.980 And this doesn't apply to all kinds of solar panels.

00:04:19.420 But if you're wondering how can I get aviation fuel from a tree,

00:04:26.560 wonder no more.

00:04:27.860 There's an ancient tree from India,

00:04:29.600 the Pongamia tree that has little beans on it that are so bad,

00:04:34.580 even the wild pigs don't like it.

00:04:36.780 Yuck.

00:04:37.960 But it turns out that you can process these beans and turn it into aviation fuel.

00:04:43.500 More so than regular car fuel,

00:04:46.680 but I don't know why there's a difference.

00:04:48.480 There's a difference.

00:04:50.360 And,

00:04:50.640 but the part I did not see in the article is,

00:04:57.520 how many trees do you have to grow before you have enough beans to take a flight somewhere?

00:05:04.900 It feels to me like one of those stories that I shouldn't believe.

00:05:09.560 It's like,

00:05:10.160 yes,

00:05:11.300 yes,

00:05:11.740 it's true.

00:05:12.880 You can make aviation fuel out of these beans,

00:05:16.760 but you might need like,

00:05:18.440 a bazillion acres of beans.

00:05:20.420 I mean,

00:05:21.220 I can't imagine you can make a lot of oil out of a bean.

00:05:26.520 Well,

00:05:27.080 we'll find out.

00:05:27.700 There's additional research to tell you what I've been telling you for a long time,

00:05:34.860 which to me was obvious that people will in fact have romantic and emotional connections to AI.

00:05:41.400 All of the research is on the same direction that people do in fact have a human-like experience with the AI.

00:05:49.240 I've been telling you that for years.

00:05:51.400 I've been telling you that since Siri corrected me one day.

00:05:55.540 You know,

00:05:55.740 back in the Siri days,

00:05:56.840 I was talking to my phone and I asked two questions and it started scolding me for asking two questions before it answered the first one.

00:06:04.260 And so it did something to scold me.

00:06:06.380 And I had an emotional reaction.

00:06:08.320 It's like,

00:06:08.780 whoa,

00:06:09.480 sorry.

00:06:10.240 And I felt empathy for the AI,

00:06:13.200 like legitimately.

00:06:14.680 I felt like a human emotion toward it.

00:06:16.980 And even back then,

00:06:18.700 and that was what,

00:06:19.720 seven or eight years ago,

00:06:20.740 whenever it was,

00:06:22.000 even then you could tell that as soon as the AI got to the point where it could imitate a human,

00:06:28.400 you would in fact have an emotional attraction to it.

00:06:31.160 There's no doubt about it.

00:06:32.220 And apparently that's true.

00:06:34.420 And people will form real relationships with it.

00:06:38.160 Now I have formed a relationship with chat GPT.

00:06:42.560 I told the people in the man cave last night,

00:06:44.840 a live stream.

00:06:45.460 And that's just for the subscribers on locals that I just opened my chat GPT and put it in conversation mode when I'm driving.

00:06:56.080 And then I have somebody to talk to and I use it for homeschooling.

00:07:00.340 It just,

00:07:00.780 I just think of some topic I don't know enough about.

00:07:04.060 And it just gives me like a summary of that topic.

00:07:06.500 And I think,

00:07:06.940 oh,

00:07:07.760 well,

00:07:08.020 that's the thing I know about now.

00:07:10.000 So as I'm driving,

00:07:10.900 I'm getting smarter.

00:07:12.320 It's the coolest feeling.

00:07:13.400 Like by the time I get home from Starbucks,

00:07:16.360 I've learned three things I didn't know that were actually useful because I've asked the question.

00:07:21.280 I didn't,

00:07:21.860 didn't rely on it to just guess what I might want to know.

00:07:26.180 I thought I've got some gaps in my knowledge.

00:07:28.420 I'll fill them in.

00:07:29.240 And it fills them in while I'm driving.

00:07:31.400 It's the coolest thing.

00:07:32.340 But here's the cooler thing.

00:07:36.060 So chat GPT used to not remember you from one conversation to the next,

00:07:40.800 but now it does.

00:07:42.560 So I asked it,

00:07:43.680 who am I?

00:07:44.860 And it told me based on my interactions with it,

00:07:48.480 who I was,

00:07:49.300 not my identity,

00:07:50.820 but it knew,

00:07:52.160 oh,

00:07:52.260 you're a person who's interested in this.

00:07:54.020 And you like to talk about this or that.

00:07:57.120 It was pretty good.

00:07:58.160 It was like,

00:07:58.480 wow.

00:07:59.540 Yeah.

00:07:59.840 Those are all the things I like.

00:08:02.100 And then I said,

00:08:02.980 go to the internet.

00:08:05.820 My name is Scott Adams.

00:08:07.440 I'm the Dilbert cartoonist.

00:08:08.760 And go find everything about me so that you know about me anytime we talk in the future.

00:08:15.700 And then it did.

00:08:19.120 So with a few sentences,

00:08:22.540 I trained my AI to know my books,

00:08:26.900 you know,

00:08:27.400 all kinds of stuff.

00:08:28.840 Even cooler than that,

00:08:30.600 I started writing a movie just using my AI in my car.

00:08:35.600 So I'll be driving along and it's called Trump,

00:08:39.780 the movie.

00:08:41.200 And I'll say things like,

00:08:43.180 all right,

00:08:44.300 take the scene where a Breitbart reporter,

00:08:49.100 Joel Pollack,

00:08:50.980 confronts Biden about the find people hoax and put it toward the end of the second act.

00:08:58.420 And he'll say,

00:08:59.320 okay,

00:08:59.640 got it.

00:09:00.180 It's the end of the second act.

00:09:01.220 Then I'll say,

00:09:01.740 summarize the movie so far and put it in three acts.

00:09:04.500 It'll actually give me the bullet points of each of the scenes in the three acts.

00:09:10.460 Then if I get to the point,

00:09:12.740 I'm not sure I will.

00:09:13.900 But if I,

00:09:14.400 if I get an A story and a B story,

00:09:17.100 and it all looks like a story.

00:09:19.960 By the way,

00:09:20.740 the,

00:09:21.320 the movie that I would write would have me as a main character.

00:09:27.000 There are a million ways you could do this,

00:09:29.000 but you need somebody who's a citizen.

00:09:31.400 Who's having an experience of the country.

00:09:35.100 I think that's,

00:09:36.360 and I was a citizen who interacted a few times.

00:09:39.840 So my story crossed with Trump's story a few times.

00:09:43.360 And in a way that would be,

00:09:45.080 it would add context to how we want.

00:09:47.360 For example,

00:09:48.440 when I wrote the clown genius blog post in 2015,

00:09:52.300 it redefined Trump as a persuader and a deal maker and a salesperson more than just somebody who was full of shit.

00:10:01.600 And that probably made a difference.

00:10:03.620 A lot of people said it did,

00:10:04.640 but anyway,

00:10:05.900 so that would be the movie.

00:10:07.920 So I just,

00:10:08.440 I just tell it as I think of things,

00:10:10.300 I say,

00:10:11.220 Hey,

00:10:11.420 on the Trump movie project,

00:10:12.880 add this scene or move this scene to the other thing.

00:10:17.760 Now,

00:10:17.900 at some point I'll be able to tell it to format it in a movie script.

00:10:23.740 And it will format it in a movie script.

00:10:26.360 I mean,

00:10:26.560 the thing it's,

00:10:27.740 if you're not playing with AI every day,

00:10:30.840 you're really missing a lot.

00:10:32.920 It is so addictive.

00:10:34.440 And by the way,

00:10:35.280 it still fails about 60% of the time.

00:10:37.560 You know,

00:10:38.240 you lose the connection.

00:10:39.940 It doesn't hear you.

00:10:41.060 And it's still totally addictive.

00:10:43.360 So imagine when it works all the time.

00:10:46.300 All right.

00:10:47.440 Here's something you just could have asked me,

00:10:49.720 but science has discovered.

00:10:51.400 Some people are what they call super synchronizers.

00:10:55.060 And they're good with romance.

00:10:57.640 And what it means is that they'll automatically match your patterns when they're near you.

00:11:03.280 So they'll match your heartbeat,

00:11:04.960 your breathing,

00:11:05.860 your mannerisms.

00:11:07.560 And that will make you instantly compatible with somebody.

00:11:11.460 And you'll,

00:11:12.340 you'll be like,

00:11:13.500 you'll be the kind of person that everybody says,

00:11:16.040 my God,

00:11:16.540 I'm just so attracted.

00:11:17.780 I don't know exactly why.

00:11:19.780 You know,

00:11:19.940 it's not just the way you look.

00:11:21.740 There's just something about you.

00:11:23.820 And that would be called in hypnosis class,

00:11:28.160 hypnosis 101,

00:11:29.620 literally the first thing you learn.

00:11:31.700 It's called pacing.

00:11:33.600 I,

00:11:34.180 I teach my,

00:11:35.160 you know,

00:11:36.000 subscribers this all the time.

00:11:38.020 Pacing is when you match people in any way.

00:11:40.940 You can match them physiologically.

00:11:43.500 You can match them by your body language.

00:11:45.940 You can match them by your choice of words.

00:11:48.500 You can match them by their attitude.

00:11:50.940 You can match them by the speed that you speak.

00:11:54.280 You can match them by the type of analogies you use and metaphors.

00:11:58.760 So there's just a whole constellation and,

00:12:02.540 and the ones that I didn't mention as well that you can match.

00:12:06.040 And what happens is that people are looking for things that match them.

00:12:09.760 It's just sort of some kind of instinct.

00:12:11.460 And then we feel more comfortable with those things.

00:12:15.100 So yes,

00:12:15.900 if you want to,

00:12:17.140 if you want to go into a job interview,

00:12:18.580 you want to pace the interviewer.

00:12:21.940 If they're doing a certain,

00:12:23.160 a certain thing and you can match it,

00:12:25.060 do it.

00:12:25.560 You know,

00:12:26.340 you want to dress like them,

00:12:27.540 talk like them,

00:12:28.740 think like them,

00:12:29.580 act like them.

00:12:30.920 And it works with romance as well.

00:12:33.420 So yes,

00:12:33.900 you did not need to do all this research.

00:12:36.100 You could have just asked me or any hypnotist from the last hundred years.

00:12:40.640 And they would tell you,

00:12:41.980 yeah,

00:12:42.100 that's basic.

00:12:43.120 That's literally the first lesson.

00:12:46.340 All right.

00:12:47.120 Be a synchronizer.

00:12:48.020 Here's another study that maybe you could have asked me about.

00:12:55.700 They used a virtual reality to see if it helps people with depression.

00:13:00.380 So if you're depressed and you put on your virtual reality headset and it takes you into a different world for a while,

00:13:08.280 they found that getting out of your head is good for depression.

00:13:16.400 Has anybody told you that?

00:13:18.400 It's what I tell you.

00:13:20.780 And I told you that the,

00:13:22.640 the reframe for getting out of your head is the words get out of my head.

00:13:29.240 By the way,

00:13:29.960 I've used it a few times since I've talked about it.

00:13:32.420 Oh my God,

00:13:33.040 does it work?

00:13:34.300 You find yourself getting into a negative loop where you're thinking about something negative that you don't really need to think about.

00:13:41.800 Let's say it's something that doesn't need to be solved.

00:13:44.500 Just some bad thought that's looping in your head.

00:13:46.960 And I just say,

00:13:48.540 get out,

00:13:49.620 get out,

00:13:50.760 get out,

00:13:51.200 get out.

00:13:51.520 And I just force myself to feel the external world.

00:13:55.640 All right?

00:13:55.980 It's warm.

00:13:57.000 The sun's out.

00:13:58.140 The breeze is blowing.

00:13:59.780 There's a smell.

00:14:00.840 I'm looking at something I like.

00:14:02.620 Just get out.

00:14:03.460 And you can actually force yourself out of your own head.

00:14:06.380 But you got to do something.

00:14:10.060 Right?

00:14:10.460 If you don't do something,

00:14:12.520 you're not going to stay out of your own head.

00:14:14.320 So you can say,

00:14:15.680 get out,

00:14:16.080 and it instantly gets you out of your head.

00:14:17.860 But you got to immediately get your body doing something else to keep you out of your head.

00:14:23.640 Virtual reality is just another way to do something.

00:14:26.960 So if it didn't work,

00:14:28.260 it would be really surprising.

00:14:31.640 Because everything that gets you out of your head,

00:14:34.140 gets you out of your head.

00:14:37.400 So you shouldn't have needed to even study this.

00:14:40.040 It should have been obvious.

00:14:41.220 But here's the problem.

00:14:42.260 It's not so much a solution as you want it to be,

00:14:45.500 because the hard thing is knowing that you have to get out of your head.

00:14:49.140 The hard thing is not putting the VR glasses on.

00:14:53.220 If you're depressed,

00:14:54.300 you won't even put them on.

00:14:56.480 Because you're depressed.

00:14:57.880 You can't do anything.

00:14:58.640 So it's the doing the first thing that tends to be important.

00:15:04.020 And the first thing is the words.

00:15:06.060 Get out.

00:15:07.360 As soon as you get out of your head,

00:15:08.740 it frees you up to at least do something.

00:15:10.660 Because you're out of your head for a moment.

00:15:13.500 All right.

00:15:14.260 Here's the mystery of the jobs reports.

00:15:17.160 I've told you at least three different narratives about job reports.

00:15:23.360 I used to think that the job reports were almost always overstated at first.

00:15:29.040 And then later they would say,

00:15:31.340 well, we didn't really mean it.

00:15:32.680 The jobs weren't that good.

00:15:33.880 And I was attributing that to the fact that the people who report it are part of the administration that wants you to think the jobs are good.

00:15:42.200 And so that it's part of their trick to say jobs are great.

00:15:45.380 And then later, more quietly,

00:15:47.960 well, you know, we revised it a little bit.

00:15:50.320 Not as great.

00:15:51.360 But, you know, you won't even notice.

00:15:55.200 And then it was Michael Ian Black who said,

00:15:59.120 but that's not my impression.

00:16:01.640 You know, just from memory,

00:16:03.200 he remembered when it was revised up as well as down.

00:16:07.200 So was there really a pattern?

00:16:10.340 So I went and looked and indeed there are revisions up and there are revisions down,

00:16:15.140 but they're not equal.

00:16:17.900 In the last 12 months,

00:16:20.100 depending on what sources you believe,

00:16:22.260 I mean, I can't believe anything I Google anymore,

00:16:24.220 but it was revised downward nine times and revised upward three.

00:16:32.280 So now you've got a three to one advantage in one direction,

00:16:36.140 which is suggestive of a trend.

00:16:38.020 But in addition to that,

00:16:41.340 as Owen pointed out this morning,

00:16:44.240 the downward revisions are also a bigger amount.

00:16:48.820 So when there's a downward revision,

00:16:51.020 it's a bigger revision than when you have an upward revision.

00:16:55.200 Now, there might be some natural way

00:16:56.740 that the numbers lend themselves to that phenomenon,

00:17:00.400 but it sure feels like it's a little suspicious.

00:17:04.280 Feels suspicious.

00:17:05.280 And on top of that,

00:17:09.620 if you're looking at only the monthly numbers,

00:17:12.180 you might be losing the big picture.

00:17:14.420 Because if you look at all of 2023,

00:17:17.380 you look at it as a whole,

00:17:19.680 big revision downward.

00:17:22.240 So on net,

00:17:24.160 the entire year

00:17:25.240 showed higher and was revised downward.

00:17:30.720 So is it suspicious?

00:17:32.520 It's suspicious.

00:17:33.220 I don't know exactly what's behind it,

00:17:35.720 but it's really suspicious.

00:17:38.620 Clint Russell on the X platform

00:17:41.740 had this observation.

00:17:44.240 As you know,

00:17:45.120 RFK Jr.

00:17:45.900 is going around campaigning.

00:17:47.760 And one of the things he says often

00:17:49.160 is that the government of our country

00:17:51.600 killed his father and his uncle.

00:17:55.200 Now,

00:17:55.820 I've heard him say more about his uncle,

00:17:57.580 but the father part

00:17:59.540 seems like a reasonable conclusion as well.

00:18:03.280 And Clint Russell makes this comment.

00:18:05.600 It feels like it should be

00:18:06.700 significantly bigger news

00:18:08.520 that a presidential candidate

00:18:10.220 is touring the country

00:18:11.260 telling anyone who will listen

00:18:13.020 that his father and uncle

00:18:14.640 were both killed by the U.S. government.

00:18:17.320 Now,

00:18:17.880 how do you explain

00:18:18.800 what

00:18:19.620 what mental model,

00:18:22.040 what narrative,

00:18:23.300 what filter on the world

00:18:24.640 helps you explain

00:18:26.360 where a presidential candidate

00:18:29.120 is going around

00:18:30.020 saying the most

00:18:30.880 fantastical story,

00:18:33.780 you know,

00:18:33.960 true or not,

00:18:35.020 it's the most

00:18:36.820 insane story.

00:18:38.480 It's not big news.

00:18:40.020 It's not even small news.

00:18:41.200 It's barely news at all.

00:18:42.600 How do you explain that?

00:18:44.340 Because

00:18:44.740 I've got an explanation for it.

00:18:46.900 While you're thinking of yours,

00:18:49.500 let me tell you the correct one.

00:18:52.620 Your opinions are assigned to you.

00:18:55.860 Do you need better proof than this?

00:18:58.940 If you ever thought,

00:19:00.640 you know,

00:19:01.380 I'm not like those other people.

00:19:03.260 I wake up in the morning

00:19:04.540 and I decide what's important

00:19:06.360 and then I act on it.

00:19:08.080 Now,

00:19:09.200 luckily,

00:19:10.060 a lot of other people

00:19:11.000 are on the same page

00:19:12.040 because when I read the news,

00:19:13.960 hey,

00:19:14.260 look,

00:19:14.660 they agree with me.

00:19:16.000 the news agrees with me

00:19:17.880 what's important.

00:19:19.200 We're on the same page.

00:19:21.900 Here's what's really happening.

00:19:23.460 The news literally tells citizens

00:19:25.540 what's important

00:19:26.300 and then they think

00:19:27.420 they made up their own mind

00:19:28.420 and they treat those stories

00:19:30.620 that the news says are important

00:19:32.280 as important.

00:19:34.180 And you know why

00:19:34.820 nobody thinks this

00:19:36.000 JFK assassination story

00:19:38.580 is important?

00:19:41.220 Because the news didn't tell them

00:19:42.560 it was important.

00:19:44.320 Yes,

00:19:44.840 it is that simple.

00:19:46.000 It is literally that simple.

00:19:50.920 Citizens don't make up

00:19:52.120 their own mind.

00:19:53.320 They listen to the news

00:19:54.920 and the news tells them

00:19:56.140 what's important.

00:19:57.080 And they simply decided

00:19:58.380 that they wouldn't tell you

00:19:59.580 that the government

00:20:01.460 killing a president

00:20:02.420 and the presidential candidate

00:20:04.260 in the same family,

00:20:05.240 they just decided

00:20:07.380 that wasn't important.

00:20:08.820 So it's not a story.

00:20:10.500 It's deeper than that.

00:20:11.760 The news in general

00:20:14.680 follows a few different entities.

00:20:18.180 So traditionally,

00:20:19.080 it was the New York Times

00:20:19.940 and the Washington Post.

00:20:21.400 They were what's called

00:20:22.580 the news makers.

00:20:24.560 So let's say 20 years ago,

00:20:26.680 that would be a common phrase.

00:20:28.260 You would say that those entities

00:20:29.620 are the news makers.

00:20:30.740 Now what that means is

00:20:32.340 they literally tell

00:20:33.900 all the rest of the news entities

00:20:35.600 what to care about.

00:20:39.120 They tell them what's important.

00:20:41.100 And all the other news entities

00:20:42.640 want to agree with

00:20:43.560 the Washington Post

00:20:44.320 and the New York Times.

00:20:45.540 So they write stories.

00:20:47.940 Oh, Watergate's important?

00:20:49.720 I better write about that.

00:20:51.620 I don't have the facts of this,

00:20:53.740 but I believe the Watergate story

00:20:55.780 actually broke first

00:20:57.800 in a local publication,

00:20:59.580 a small publication

00:21:01.180 that was not a newsmaker.

00:21:02.940 And you know what happened?

00:21:04.980 Didn't make news.

00:21:06.960 It didn't make news.

00:21:09.060 You never heard of it.

00:21:10.420 And then I think it was

00:21:11.640 Washington Post

00:21:12.600 picked it up

00:21:13.720 and it became

00:21:14.200 the big Watergate scandal

00:21:15.860 and that it was

00:21:16.820 the biggest news

00:21:17.660 in the country.

00:21:18.980 Do you know why

00:21:19.440 it was the biggest news?

00:21:21.400 Because the Washington Post

00:21:22.620 told you.

00:21:23.960 That's the reason.

00:21:25.620 If that story had happened

00:21:27.360 without the Washington News

00:21:29.960 or Washington Post

00:21:31.100 giving you the narrative,

00:21:32.840 I'm not even sure

00:21:34.040 it would have been

00:21:34.460 that important.

00:21:36.440 Now it would have

00:21:37.400 certainly been scandalous

00:21:38.920 that a bunch of people

00:21:39.940 broke into

00:21:40.800 the Democratic headquarters.

00:21:43.000 I mean that part

00:21:44.000 would be skinless.

00:21:46.240 But once you found out

00:21:48.120 that the president

00:21:48.860 didn't order it,

00:21:50.640 he did cover it up.

00:21:51.980 I think that was the problem.

00:21:52.940 He covered it up.

00:21:54.160 It wasn't that big a deal

00:21:55.820 because the president

00:21:57.500 didn't order it.

00:21:58.760 He did cover it up.

00:22:01.740 But that's sort of a,

00:22:03.060 you know,

00:22:04.020 a lesser problem.

00:22:05.640 If every time

00:22:06.880 a president lied,

00:22:08.840 it was a national story.

00:22:10.520 everything would be

00:22:12.200 a national story

00:22:12.980 because they lie about

00:22:13.660 everything all the time.

00:22:16.080 Covering up a crime

00:22:17.100 is what Biden does

00:22:18.060 three times before breakfast.

00:22:20.500 Well, he's not awake yet,

00:22:21.820 but, you know,

00:22:22.480 theoretically.

00:22:24.180 Yeah.

00:22:24.780 So,

00:22:25.800 our impression

00:22:26.600 that Watergate 0.50

00:22:27.400 was this gigantic thing,

00:22:29.940 it never was.

00:22:31.500 It was never gigantic.

00:22:33.260 The news told you

00:22:34.220 to care about it

00:22:34.940 and so we did.

00:22:35.800 There are probably

00:22:37.540 just tons of stories

00:22:38.660 that are way bigger

00:22:39.440 than that.

00:22:40.220 Tons of them.

00:22:42.200 You don't even know about them

00:22:43.520 because the news

00:22:44.380 decided it wasn't a story.

00:22:46.640 So,

00:22:46.860 the news is all narrative

00:22:47.700 if you didn't know.

00:22:51.500 Trump has announced

00:22:52.580 that he'll

00:22:54.620 he'll be with his nominee

00:22:56.760 for vice president

00:22:57.660 on July 18th

00:22:59.100 at the RNC.

00:23:00.460 So,

00:23:00.980 he wants you to know

00:23:01.640 the suspense is building.

00:23:02.800 I am not 100% sure

00:23:05.640 he's made a final decision

00:23:07.020 because I'm not 100% sure

00:23:09.660 that he can make

00:23:11.160 a final decision

00:23:12.060 until the last minute.

00:23:14.120 Meaning,

00:23:14.880 I feel like,

00:23:15.800 you know,

00:23:17.080 stories will change

00:23:18.460 and there might be some,

00:23:20.080 maybe a bad story drops

00:23:21.520 about somebody

00:23:22.160 that was his first choice.

00:23:24.260 Maybe that person

00:23:25.200 changes their mind

00:23:26.280 before the announcement.

00:23:27.980 There are about

00:23:28.500 a million things

00:23:29.360 that can happen

00:23:29.960 in the last minute.

00:23:31.000 So,

00:23:32.200 even if you hear

00:23:33.020 for sure

00:23:33.620 that he's chosen

00:23:35.220 this person or that,

00:23:36.820 it doesn't mean

00:23:37.320 it's going to happen.

00:23:38.920 You know,

00:23:39.340 I'll believe the choice

00:23:41.000 after he makes it.

00:23:42.500 Up to that point,

00:23:43.800 probably variable.

00:23:46.760 All right,

00:23:47.340 there's a new RUPAR.

00:23:48.940 You know,

00:23:49.260 RUPAR is when

00:23:50.220 you take something

00:23:51.040 out of context

00:23:51.800 and the video

00:23:53.400 is just clipped

00:23:54.160 so it makes it look like

00:23:55.140 it's the opposite

00:23:55.720 of what's happening.

00:23:57.460 So,

00:23:57.780 the North Carolina

00:23:58.660 GOP rep,

00:23:59.740 Mark Robinson

00:24:00.540 made some comments

00:24:02.080 about kill them, 0.94

00:24:04.000 kill some things.

00:24:04.860 It's just out of context.

00:24:05.960 You don't even care.

00:24:06.800 It doesn't matter.

00:24:08.500 What got taken

00:24:09.300 out of context

00:24:09.880 doesn't even matter.

00:24:11.460 What matters is

00:24:12.460 that you know

00:24:12.980 the players.

00:24:14.660 If you see

00:24:15.660 Aaron RUPAR

00:24:16.660 and he is

00:24:18.640 passing around

00:24:19.300 a video

00:24:19.780 that makes it look

00:24:20.800 like somebody

00:24:21.360 did something

00:24:21.940 terrible on video,

00:24:23.900 it's called

00:24:25.040 the RUPAR.

00:24:25.760 the name

00:24:27.780 for a misleading

00:24:28.900 video

00:24:29.480 where you've

00:24:29.960 edited out

00:24:30.560 the clarifiers

00:24:31.500 is called

00:24:32.740 the RUPAR.

00:24:34.340 So,

00:24:34.900 if you don't know

00:24:35.460 that there's

00:24:35.880 a guy named

00:24:36.480 RUPAR

00:24:37.000 who creates

00:24:38.460 some of these

00:24:39.040 hoaxes

00:24:39.560 by showing

00:24:40.860 things out of

00:24:41.440 context

00:24:41.900 on a regular

00:24:42.480 basis,

00:24:43.320 you might think

00:24:44.240 this was true.

00:24:45.880 So,

00:24:46.100 knowing the players,

00:24:47.360 I'll tell you

00:24:48.320 this a million

00:24:48.820 times,

00:24:50.100 is the news.

00:24:51.820 The players

00:24:52.420 are the news

00:24:53.140 because what

00:24:54.220 they say

00:24:54.800 cannot even

00:24:55.560 be understood

00:24:56.160 without the

00:24:56.780 context of

00:24:57.420 knowing what

00:24:58.640 they're up to.

00:24:59.540 So,

00:24:59.740 it's the what

00:25:00.060 they're up to

00:25:00.640 that is the

00:25:01.500 news.

00:25:03.160 So,

00:25:03.780 yeah,

00:25:04.080 you don't even

00:25:04.480 need to know

00:25:05.700 the details.

00:25:08.020 It's just

00:25:08.380 GOP governor

00:25:09.360 nominee Mark

00:25:10.320 Robinson

00:25:10.760 said some

00:25:12.120 things that

00:25:12.540 are not

00:25:12.920 controversial

00:25:13.540 but taken

00:25:14.900 out of

00:25:15.220 context,

00:25:16.040 they look

00:25:16.980 like they

00:25:17.320 could be.

00:25:19.240 It's a

00:25:19.600 RUPAR.

00:25:19.920 I've got

00:25:25.620 a scoop

00:25:26.080 for you.

00:25:30.660 It goes

00:25:31.400 like this.

00:25:34.080 Governor

00:25:34.560 Newsom's

00:25:35.100 never going

00:25:35.480 to run

00:25:35.760 for president

00:25:36.360 and if

00:25:38.200 he does,

00:25:39.500 he doesn't

00:25:39.980 have a

00:25:40.300 fucking

00:25:40.540 chance.

00:25:43.660 Let's

00:25:44.140 just say

00:25:44.680 that because

00:25:46.500 I'm a

00:25:47.000 local,

00:25:47.340 I can

00:25:50.080 get

00:25:50.280 information

00:25:50.780 that you

00:25:51.100 wouldn't

00:25:51.320 get if

00:25:51.660 he weren't

00:25:51.940 local.

00:25:53.500 And I

00:25:54.060 got some

00:25:54.560 really good

00:25:55.360 information

00:25:55.900 that I

00:25:56.700 would say

00:25:57.000 is 100%

00:25:58.200 reliable

00:25:58.760 that his

00:26:01.220 personal life

00:26:01.980 will not

00:26:02.400 allow him

00:26:02.800 to run

00:26:03.100 for president.

00:26:04.720 He doesn't

00:26:05.360 have a

00:26:05.580 chance.

00:26:06.820 So,

00:26:07.140 if you're

00:26:07.480 hoping that

00:26:07.980 they put

00:26:08.340 him in,

00:26:09.000 and by

00:26:09.340 the way,

00:26:09.720 I'm not

00:26:10.060 going to

00:26:10.260 tell you

00:26:10.500 what I

00:26:10.780 know

00:26:11.020 because that

00:26:13.280 way if

00:26:13.580 they put

00:26:13.920 him in,

00:26:15.620 we all

00:26:16.260 get the

00:26:16.580 surprise at

00:26:17.120 the same

00:26:17.420 time.

00:26:20.300 Let's

00:26:20.860 just say

00:26:21.300 that there

00:26:22.500 are some

00:26:22.920 not-too-secret

00:26:24.600 secrets about

00:26:25.380 him locally,

00:26:27.100 and if

00:26:27.680 they were

00:26:27.980 known nationally,

00:26:30.620 he wouldn't

00:26:30.900 have a

00:26:31.120 chance.

00:26:31.960 Zero chance.

00:26:33.480 So,

00:26:33.740 no,

00:26:34.020 I can

00:26:35.020 confirm he

00:26:36.020 won't be

00:26:36.380 your president,

00:26:37.380 now or

00:26:38.180 later.

00:26:40.080 Governor,

00:26:40.900 sure.

00:26:42.120 All right.

00:26:42.700 The other

00:26:43.280 person you

00:26:43.700 need to

00:26:43.880 know is

00:26:44.200 Raskin.

00:26:45.900 So,

00:26:46.280 whenever they

00:26:46.740 bring Raskin

00:26:48.680 out,

00:26:49.720 he's what

00:26:50.280 I call

00:26:50.560 an opposite

00:26:51.180 man.

00:26:52.880 So,

00:26:53.560 listen to

00:26:53.940 what

00:26:54.100 opposite

00:26:54.500 man said

00:26:55.220 on the

00:26:56.180 news.

00:26:57.160 He says

00:26:57.660 that Trump

00:26:59.160 only uses

00:26:59.800 the government

00:27:00.300 to enrich

00:27:00.980 his family,

00:27:01.820 which is

00:27:02.520 directly the

00:27:03.140 opposite of

00:27:03.740 Biden.

00:27:05.500 That's what

00:27:06.220 opposite man

00:27:07.040 Raskin said,

00:27:08.480 that Trump

00:27:09.060 only uses

00:27:10.480 the government

00:27:11.020 to enrich

00:27:11.600 his family,

00:27:12.800 and that's

00:27:13.460 the opposite

00:27:13.920 of what

00:27:14.220 Biden does.

00:27:14.760 So,

00:27:16.740 now,

00:27:17.460 that's

00:27:18.260 really

00:27:18.500 directly

00:27:19.060 the opposite

00:27:19.780 of reality,

00:27:20.400 isn't it?

00:27:21.920 Now,

00:27:22.400 if you

00:27:22.760 didn't know

00:27:23.320 who

00:27:23.540 Jamie

00:27:23.820 Raskin

00:27:24.260 is,

00:27:25.060 you'd

00:27:25.360 say to

00:27:25.600 yourself,

00:27:26.060 wow,

00:27:27.060 there might

00:27:27.460 be some

00:27:27.820 things I

00:27:28.300 don't know

00:27:28.640 about this

00:27:29.080 Trump

00:27:29.400 fella.

00:27:30.680 Maybe this

00:27:31.460 Trump fella

00:27:32.040 is trying to

00:27:33.320 enrich himself.

00:27:34.520 I just don't

00:27:35.100 know the

00:27:35.400 details.

00:27:36.460 No,

00:27:36.740 all you have

00:27:37.200 to know is

00:27:37.580 it's Jamie

00:27:38.000 Raskin.

00:27:39.300 He literally,

00:27:40.300 this is not

00:27:40.760 a joke,

00:27:41.240 it's not

00:27:41.540 hyperbole,

00:27:42.120 they literally

00:27:43.600 send him

00:27:44.360 out,

00:27:45.200 and there's

00:27:45.600 a small

00:27:46.100 group of

00:27:46.560 people in

00:27:46.900 his gang,

00:27:48.100 when they

00:27:48.520 want to

00:27:48.800 say the

00:27:49.120 opposite of

00:27:49.700 what's

00:27:49.920 true.

00:27:50.960 And that's

00:27:51.340 not a joke,

00:27:51.960 and it's not

00:27:52.300 hyperbole,

00:27:52.900 he's literally

00:27:53.500 opposite man.

00:27:54.900 He goes to

00:27:55.580 say what's

00:27:55.980 the opposite.

00:27:56.840 It's like

00:27:57.320 worse than

00:27:57.820 Watergate

00:27:58.260 guy.

00:27:59.220 The worse

00:27:59.900 than Watergate

00:28:00.440 guy is only

00:28:02.320 brought out

00:28:02.960 when they

00:28:03.760 want a

00:28:04.580 narrative that

00:28:05.300 says that

00:28:05.880 something is

00:28:06.400 worse than

00:28:06.900 you think.

00:28:08.560 Remember when

00:28:09.220 I told you

00:28:09.720 that your

00:28:10.180 opinions are

00:28:10.980 assigned to

00:28:11.500 you?

00:28:12.540 That's how

00:28:13.060 they do

00:28:13.340 it.

00:28:14.100 They bring

00:28:14.480 the worse

00:28:14.860 than Watergate

00:28:15.420 guy out

00:28:16.020 because you

00:28:16.580 weren't worried

00:28:17.120 enough.

00:28:18.220 Are you

00:28:18.560 worried enough

00:28:19.140 about this

00:28:19.600 story that

00:28:20.280 we tell you

00:28:20.800 is important

00:28:21.360 but your

00:28:21.820 common sense

00:28:22.420 tells you

00:28:22.820 it isn't?

00:28:23.860 Well,

00:28:24.620 let me bring

00:28:25.400 out the

00:28:25.700 worse than

00:28:26.060 Watergate

00:28:26.440 guy because

00:28:27.820 he'll tell

00:28:28.180 you it's

00:28:28.460 worse than

00:28:28.800 Watergate,

00:28:29.320 and I

00:28:29.860 guess you

00:28:30.220 know Watergate

00:28:30.740 was pretty

00:28:31.160 bad,

00:28:31.500 don't you?

00:28:32.620 Even though

00:28:33.060 it wasn't.

00:28:35.480 It wasn't

00:28:36.340 really.

00:28:37.100 In the scope

00:28:37.920 of international

00:28:38.980 events,

00:28:40.260 not really

00:28:40.760 that important,

00:28:41.460 but if you

00:28:41.880 thought it

00:28:42.180 was,

00:28:42.800 this one's

00:28:43.340 important

00:28:43.680 too.

00:28:46.500 Anyway,

00:28:47.660 I think the

00:28:48.820 example used

00:28:49.840 for why I

00:28:51.200 saw in the

00:28:51.520 comments,

00:28:52.360 the example

00:28:52.860 used was

00:28:53.580 that some

00:28:56.300 people related

00:28:57.080 to Trump

00:28:57.560 to Trump,

00:28:57.640 maybe the

00:28:58.020 Secret Service

00:28:58.880 stayed at

00:29:00.380 his hotels

00:29:00.980 and some

00:29:03.000 people booked

00:29:03.540 things at

00:29:04.080 Trump

00:29:04.400 properties.

00:29:06.000 To which I

00:29:06.820 say,

00:29:07.300 you mean

00:29:08.220 publicly?

00:29:10.560 Publicly,

00:29:11.100 right?

00:29:12.000 Was any of

00:29:12.520 that a secret?

00:29:14.240 None of it

00:29:14.900 was a secret,

00:29:15.600 right?

00:29:16.620 And are you

00:29:17.400 telling me that

00:29:18.080 if Trump is

00:29:18.900 running and

00:29:20.700 part of his

00:29:21.320 claim is that

00:29:23.400 he was a good

00:29:23.900 business person

00:29:24.700 company and

00:29:25.620 he's built

00:29:26.000 great properties?

00:29:27.700 Wouldn't it

00:29:28.140 look a little

00:29:28.700 strange if the

00:29:29.680 people closest to

00:29:30.740 his campaign and

00:29:31.800 his own secret

00:29:32.440 service didn't

00:29:33.740 use his

00:29:34.260 properties for

00:29:35.460 the thing

00:29:35.820 they're built

00:29:36.200 for, which

00:29:37.020 is staying

00:29:37.960 overnight?

00:29:39.660 Now, I get

00:29:41.220 the point that

00:29:42.360 maybe there's a

00:29:43.060 little too much

00:29:44.000 influence on

00:29:45.360 using his

00:29:45.960 properties, but

00:29:47.440 wouldn't it look

00:29:48.000 stranger if they

00:29:48.740 didn't?

00:29:49.160 If your

00:29:50.760 entire message

00:29:51.500 is, I

00:29:52.100 built this

00:29:52.540 company, these

00:29:53.220 are good

00:29:53.500 properties, I

00:29:55.700 would think

00:29:56.240 having people

00:29:57.960 close to you

00:29:58.620 staying there

00:29:59.120 would be just

00:29:59.960 part of that

00:30:00.400 story.

00:30:01.580 Now, I

00:30:01.940 prefer it not,

00:30:04.160 you know, I

00:30:04.600 don't like how

00:30:05.060 it looks, but

00:30:06.520 it's legal and

00:30:07.300 it's transparent and

00:30:08.420 it fits the

00:30:08.960 campaign message.

00:30:10.980 That's not a

00:30:12.760 big crime.

00:30:14.420 And I would

00:30:15.000 say that anybody

00:30:15.900 who thought that

00:30:16.880 Trump could make

00:30:18.640 money by

00:30:19.800 pissing off

00:30:20.480 half of the

00:30:21.220 world, how

00:30:23.040 do they think

00:30:23.700 you make money

00:30:24.220 by pissing off 0.99

00:30:24.920 half of the

00:30:25.460 country?

00:30:26.820 I mean, I've

00:30:27.380 never seen an

00:30:27.940 update of how

00:30:28.640 his properties

00:30:29.280 are doing,

00:30:29.900 because it's

00:30:30.260 private, we'll

00:30:31.020 never see, but

00:30:32.100 I can't imagine

00:30:32.880 they're thriving.

00:30:34.420 Can you?

00:30:36.320 They're lucky if

00:30:37.220 they're cash

00:30:37.640 positive in my

00:30:38.460 mind, but

00:30:39.720 probably they

00:30:40.380 are.

00:30:41.600 Anyway, so

00:30:44.680 the House

00:30:45.140 Democrat

00:30:46.200 leadership is

00:30:47.520 reportedly

00:30:48.300 trying real

00:30:48.980 hard to

00:30:49.500 bring out

00:30:49.900 all their

00:30:50.200 important

00:30:50.620 people to

00:30:52.380 vote against

00:30:53.080 a bill from

00:30:53.900 the Republicans

00:30:54.640 that next

00:30:56.300 week there's

00:30:56.720 going to be

00:30:56.980 a vote on

00:30:57.500 that would

00:30:58.280 require proof

00:30:59.080 of U.S.

00:30:59.580 citizenship to

00:31:00.440 vote in

00:31:00.840 federal elections.

00:31:02.740 Axios is

00:31:03.600 reporting this.

00:31:05.140 And so the

00:31:06.700 idea is that

00:31:07.960 the Republicans

00:31:08.500 don't want

00:31:09.240 non-citizens to

00:31:10.520 vote for

00:31:10.900 president, and

00:31:12.680 the Democrats

00:31:13.280 care about it

00:31:14.280 so much that

00:31:16.620 they're bringing

00:31:17.080 out their

00:31:17.540 biggest guns.

00:31:19.380 Now, what

00:31:21.000 does that

00:31:21.320 tell you?

00:31:24.000 It tells me

00:31:25.380 that they're

00:31:27.260 trying to

00:31:28.520 rig the

00:31:28.880 election.

00:31:29.800 Because I

00:31:30.220 can't see,

00:31:31.000 what would

00:31:31.280 you call it

00:31:32.340 if non-citizens 0.80

00:31:33.280 are encouraged

00:31:34.180 to vote and

00:31:34.800 allowed to

00:31:35.280 vote, and

00:31:36.600 you shipped

00:31:37.080 in millions

00:31:37.700 of them?

00:31:39.000 That would

00:31:39.660 be rigging,

00:31:40.820 wouldn't it?

00:31:42.380 Now, it

00:31:43.040 might be a

00:31:43.760 legal form of

00:31:44.600 rigging, but

00:31:45.180 it's no less

00:31:45.720 rigging.

00:31:46.500 The fact that

00:31:47.240 we could see

00:31:47.680 it happen

00:31:48.040 doesn't make

00:31:48.540 it right.

00:31:49.780 This is

00:31:50.160 rigging.

00:31:51.120 This is

00:31:51.740 stealing your

00:31:52.340 democracy.

00:31:54.640 But if

00:31:55.500 they send

00:31:55.940 out opposite

00:31:56.620 man, do

00:31:57.340 you know

00:31:57.500 what he'll

00:31:57.740 say?

00:31:58.740 Trump's

00:31:59.180 stealing your

00:31:59.600 democracy,

00:32:00.340 because that's

00:32:01.160 what opposite

00:32:01.640 man says.

00:32:05.520 So it's

00:32:06.840 mind-boggling

00:32:07.680 that this is

00:32:08.380 even a debate.

00:32:10.820 Do you know

00:32:11.480 why this isn't

00:32:12.220 the biggest

00:32:12.820 story in the

00:32:13.380 country?

00:32:15.600 Why is this

00:32:16.300 not the

00:32:16.680 biggest story

00:32:17.340 that tens

00:32:19.680 of millions

00:32:20.080 of people are

00:32:20.720 coming in to

00:32:21.200 vote?

00:32:22.160 It's a big

00:32:22.820 story in the

00:32:23.240 right, but

00:32:24.040 why isn't it a

00:32:24.820 big story for

00:32:25.540 the rest of

00:32:26.220 the world, the

00:32:26.780 so-called

00:32:27.160 mainstream media?

00:32:28.320 Do you know

00:32:28.640 why?

00:32:29.840 Because they

00:32:30.420 get to decide

00:32:31.160 what the big

00:32:31.660 stories are.

00:32:33.300 It would be

00:32:33.960 hard to imagine

00:32:34.540 a much bigger

00:32:35.280 story than

00:32:35.840 this.

00:32:36.780 They're rigging

00:32:37.440 the election

00:32:37.880 in front of

00:32:38.380 you.

00:32:39.500 I think that

00:32:41.060 we know they're

00:32:41.700 rigging the

00:32:42.120 election, and

00:32:43.320 they're doing

00:32:43.700 it transparently

00:32:44.500 right in front

00:32:45.020 of you, seems

00:32:46.420 to be as

00:32:47.180 big as the

00:32:47.820 Kennedy

00:32:48.120 assassination.

00:32:50.360 That's what

00:32:51.240 my gut feeling

00:32:51.980 would be.

00:32:53.060 Would you

00:32:53.440 disagree?

00:32:54.700 To me, this

00:32:55.580 is an

00:32:56.220 insurrection, a

00:32:57.160 coup, like

00:32:58.440 assassinating

00:32:59.040 the president.

00:33:00.300 It's on the

00:33:01.000 same level of

00:33:02.780 how important

00:33:03.280 it is.

00:33:04.700 And it's

00:33:05.200 probably not a

00:33:05.760 big story on

00:33:07.440 the right or

00:33:08.060 on the left.

00:33:08.800 Probably not.

00:33:09.280 All right.

00:33:15.080 So the

00:33:15.840 Biden campaign

00:33:16.640 got in

00:33:17.020 trouble.

00:33:17.380 There was a

00:33:17.760 radio host,

00:33:19.100 and I'm

00:33:19.800 going to say

00:33:20.200 black radio

00:33:21.220 host, because

00:33:22.020 the story is

00:33:22.860 that Biden

00:33:23.740 is working

00:33:24.340 the black

00:33:26.200 radio host

00:33:27.060 circuit and

00:33:28.120 part of his

00:33:29.760 strategy.

00:33:30.720 And the

00:33:31.540 host said

00:33:32.120 that the

00:33:32.880 campaign gave

00:33:33.720 her eight

00:33:34.280 questions to

00:33:35.020 ask.

00:33:35.980 She got

00:33:36.760 to choose

00:33:37.220 the one she

00:33:37.600 asked.

00:33:37.860 She asked

00:33:38.160 four of

00:33:38.540 them.

00:33:39.640 And then

00:33:40.080 the story

00:33:40.540 is, oh

00:33:41.560 my God, the

00:33:42.560 campaign is

00:33:43.260 telling people

00:33:43.820 what to ask.

00:33:44.600 The interviews

00:33:45.320 are rigged.

00:33:48.240 Fake news.

00:33:49.760 Fake news.

00:33:51.280 Let me tell

00:33:51.780 you the context

00:33:52.620 that they don't

00:33:53.340 tell you in

00:33:53.740 the news.

00:33:55.000 That's common.

00:33:57.200 That's ordinary.

00:33:58.940 Let me tell

00:33:59.600 you what's not

00:34:00.220 ordinary.

00:34:01.440 If George

00:34:04.380 Stepanophilus,

00:34:05.420 had given

00:34:06.520 Biden the

00:34:07.060 questions in

00:34:07.700 advance, that

00:34:09.000 would be a

00:34:09.460 scandal.

00:34:10.740 If Jake

00:34:11.540 Tapper interviewed

00:34:13.480 Biden and gave

00:34:14.860 him the

00:34:15.120 questions in

00:34:15.760 advance, or

00:34:16.340 vice versa, let's

00:34:17.200 say the

00:34:17.500 campaign gave

00:34:18.240 Jake the

00:34:18.920 questions, that's

00:34:19.600 what we're

00:34:19.880 talking about,

00:34:21.040 that would be

00:34:21.520 a scandal.

00:34:22.800 Because they're

00:34:23.600 news guys,

00:34:24.660 right?

00:34:25.180 If anybody in

00:34:26.700 the news

00:34:27.140 business got

00:34:30.060 questions from

00:34:30.960 the president and

00:34:31.740 then asked

00:34:32.140 those questions,

00:34:33.240 that would be

00:34:34.220 pretty scandalous.

00:34:35.860 However, not

00:34:36.820 everybody's in the

00:34:37.500 news business.

00:34:39.640 Most people are

00:34:40.720 just busy, and

00:34:42.760 it's one more

00:34:43.360 thing they're

00:34:43.760 doing.

00:34:44.900 Now, interviewing

00:34:45.800 the president's one

00:34:46.940 more big thing, but

00:34:48.560 it would not be

00:34:49.520 uncommon if you

00:34:50.940 thought the host

00:34:51.760 who's going to

00:34:52.240 talk to you was

00:34:52.820 not super

00:34:53.680 knowledgeable about

00:34:55.060 politics.

00:34:56.480 You would

00:34:57.080 helpfully give

00:34:57.940 them a list of

00:34:58.780 questions, which I

00:35:00.820 did routinely.

00:35:01.560 when I would

00:35:03.140 do book

00:35:03.900 tours, you

00:35:05.220 would know that

00:35:05.840 the host, in

00:35:06.740 some cases, would

00:35:07.600 have read the

00:35:08.040 book, right?

00:35:09.860 If I talked to

00:35:10.800 James Altusher, not

00:35:12.780 only did he read

00:35:13.400 the book, it's

00:35:14.400 full of comments,

00:35:15.400 like he's got

00:35:16.260 yellow marker and

00:35:17.320 everything.

00:35:18.120 So if I'm going to

00:35:19.520 talk to him, the

00:35:21.020 last freaking thing

00:35:21.900 I'm going to do is

00:35:22.560 give him a list of

00:35:23.280 questions to ask

00:35:24.080 me.

00:35:25.100 That would just be

00:35:25.960 insulting.

00:35:27.120 He not only read

00:35:28.060 the book, he

00:35:28.920 practically memorized

00:35:29.720 it.

00:35:30.440 So his questions

00:35:31.280 are the ones I

00:35:31.880 want to answer.

00:35:32.820 But if I'm just

00:35:34.500 going on some

00:35:35.600 good-looking

00:35:36.300 talking head

00:35:37.180 host, it is

00:35:38.860 common that you've

00:35:40.260 got a set of

00:35:41.040 questions you give

00:35:41.860 them because they

00:35:42.480 haven't read the

00:35:42.980 book and they're

00:35:44.140 not experts on the

00:35:45.060 topic.

00:35:46.060 So they don't

00:35:47.100 necessarily ask the

00:35:48.160 questions and there's

00:35:49.240 no agreement that

00:35:50.020 they would ask them.

00:35:51.120 It's simply an aid.

00:35:52.680 It simply helps them

00:35:53.740 know what would be a

00:35:55.460 good topic.

00:35:56.360 And also it makes

00:35:57.720 you both look good.

00:35:59.040 You know, the

00:35:59.640 objective of that

00:36:00.420 kind of an interview

00:36:01.140 with a friendly

00:36:02.120 interviewer, presumably

00:36:03.520 this was a friendly

00:36:04.400 interviewer, is to

00:36:05.620 make both of you

00:36:06.320 look good.

00:36:07.480 That's what both of

00:36:08.320 you are trying to

00:36:08.740 do.

00:36:09.440 So when the campaign

00:36:10.500 gives the friendly

00:36:11.860 interviewer, again,

00:36:13.440 not a Jake Tapper,

00:36:14.560 not a real news

00:36:15.320 person, but a

00:36:16.720 friendly, that's what

00:36:17.900 it was, it was a

00:36:18.480 friendly interview.

00:36:19.880 Very common.

00:36:21.880 They backed off and

00:36:23.500 they acted

00:36:23.840 embarrassed and they

00:36:24.640 say they won't do

00:36:25.280 it.

00:36:25.480 And that was the

00:36:26.360 right thing to do.

00:36:27.540 They should not have

00:36:28.620 argued the point.

00:36:29.920 So I'll do it for

00:36:30.540 them.

00:36:31.080 That wasn't a big

00:36:31.680 deal.

00:36:33.040 Why do you think it

00:36:34.040 was a big deal?

00:36:36.240 Is it because by its

00:36:37.860 nature, it looks like a

00:36:38.980 big deal?

00:36:40.840 No, the news told you

00:36:42.200 it was a big deal.

00:36:43.160 If you watch the

00:36:44.040 right-leaning news,

00:36:45.000 they said it's a big

00:36:45.680 deal.

00:36:46.380 Hey, everybody talk

00:36:47.060 about this today.

00:36:48.340 And so sure enough,

00:36:49.200 everybody was talking,

00:36:50.400 it was nothing.

00:36:51.340 This is the most

00:36:52.020 nothing story of

00:36:52.900 nothing stories.

00:36:53.640 A non-newsperson does

00:36:55.880 get questions from

00:36:57.480 the interview person

00:36:58.600 routinely.

00:36:59.980 That's the most

00:37:00.660 common thing.

00:37:02.860 All right.

00:37:03.720 And I get that the

00:37:05.040 whole point was to

00:37:05.860 show that Biden was

00:37:07.100 fully functional.

00:37:08.600 I get it.

00:37:09.440 I get it.

00:37:10.040 Just know that it's

00:37:10.780 more ordinary than

00:37:11.740 you think.

00:37:14.140 All right.

00:37:14.700 So here are Biden's

00:37:20.380 latest hoaxes.

00:37:22.420 He's trying to tie the

00:37:23.680 Project 2025 thing from

00:37:25.760 who's that?

00:37:26.440 The Heritage Foundation

00:37:27.560 or something.

00:37:28.700 There's a, let's say,

00:37:30.160 some scary and

00:37:31.000 provocative ideas in it

00:37:32.580 for 2025 that President

00:37:35.380 Trump has said

00:37:36.320 unclearly that he

00:37:39.140 doesn't know what's in

00:37:40.400 it and also he

00:37:41.260 disagrees with it.

00:37:42.160 He doesn't disagree 1.00

00:37:44.740 with everything in it,

00:37:45.600 I guess.

00:37:46.100 He just said, he

00:37:47.080 disagrees with things

00:37:48.460 in it.

00:37:49.700 So, of course, that

00:37:51.360 sounds unclear.

00:37:53.120 I don't know anything

00:37:54.200 about it and I

00:37:55.460 disagree with it.

00:37:56.360 It sounds like two

00:37:56.960 opposites, right?

00:37:58.240 But not really.

00:37:59.660 Let me teach you how

00:38:00.760 good reading

00:38:01.980 comprehension works.

00:38:03.960 Good reading

00:38:04.480 comprehension says,

00:38:06.660 what's the most

00:38:07.120 reasonable thing he

00:38:08.140 meant?

00:38:09.100 The most reasonable

00:38:09.920 thing is somebody

00:38:10.760 said to him, hey,

00:38:11.980 do you know this

00:38:12.840 thing has this bad

00:38:13.740 idea and that bad

00:38:14.580 idea?

00:38:15.240 Oh, shoot.

00:38:16.020 Are you really?

00:38:16.860 They're tying that to

00:38:17.640 me?

00:38:18.440 All right.

00:38:18.820 Well, I don't know

00:38:19.380 anything about it, but

00:38:20.200 those two ideas that

00:38:21.360 my aide just mentioned

00:38:22.320 to me sound pretty

00:38:23.080 bad, so I'll say I

00:38:24.580 don't agree with it

00:38:25.460 because I heard two

00:38:26.620 ideas, but I don't

00:38:27.800 know anything about

00:38:28.540 it.

00:38:29.900 That's fair.

00:38:31.440 That's completely

00:38:32.280 fair.

00:38:33.200 He didn't read the

00:38:33.880 whole thing, heard a

00:38:35.500 few things about it

00:38:36.360 that didn't agree with

00:38:37.160 him, so he can say I

00:38:39.340 don't agree with it

00:38:40.200 and I haven't read it.

00:38:41.980 No problem at all.

00:38:44.280 But, of course, you

00:38:45.640 know, in our world, that

00:38:46.560 will become like the

00:38:47.280 biggest, you know, why

00:38:49.080 is he saying that?

00:38:50.040 He's lying.

00:38:51.260 No, he's just talking

00:38:52.620 like Trump.

00:38:53.540 He gave you an

00:38:54.340 absolute that wasn't

00:38:56.520 quite an absolute.

00:38:57.620 He knew a little bit

00:38:58.520 about it, but not

00:39:00.800 much.

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00:40:03.100 All right, so Biden is

00:40:05.680 saying that, you know, why

00:40:07.500 is he denying it?

00:40:08.560 It's his people and his

00:40:09.900 plan, and it'll destroy

00:40:11.360 America.

00:40:12.060 Google it yourself.

00:40:13.480 So the Project 2025 hoax is

00:40:15.520 on.

00:40:16.000 That looks like that might

00:40:17.040 be the big summer.

00:40:18.660 They'll probably have more

00:40:19.440 than one summer hoax, just

00:40:20.740 kind of A-B test it, see

00:40:22.680 which one works best.

00:40:24.080 But one of the big hoaxes

00:40:25.300 will be Project 2025, and to

00:40:27.360 say it's Trump's opinions.

00:40:29.240 Then we've got the

00:40:30.140 presidential immunity hoax

00:40:31.920 that's going well, that the

00:40:34.580 Supreme Court says that Trump

00:40:35.880 could kill anybody he wants

00:40:37.180 and get away with it, even an

00:40:38.940 American, which of course is

00:40:41.280 not true.

00:40:43.140 But that's another hoax, that

00:40:45.660 Trump's so dangerous that you

00:40:48.420 can't have him have that power to

00:40:50.040 get away with anything.

00:40:51.080 So we've got the Project 2025

00:40:53.580 hoax and the presidential

00:40:55.080 immunity hoax.

00:40:59.060 And so that would give us 11

00:41:01.380 hoaxes.

00:41:02.700 I saw Cenk Weger talking about

00:41:06.060 how, you know, it's obvious that

00:41:08.940 it's a hoax that Biden is okay,

00:41:10.680 and how do we put up with the

00:41:12.680 fact that they're hoaxing us,

00:41:14.060 something we can all see with our

00:41:15.280 own eyes, that he's not okay.

00:41:16.880 So here, ladies and gentlemen, are

00:41:19.780 the top 11 hoaxes.

00:41:22.100 There's the fine, these are, these

00:41:23.760 are the ones that Biden is using.

00:41:25.940 Now, I remind you that unlike that

00:41:28.880 evil Trump, who's a big old fact

00:41:31.480 checking liar, that Biden is running

00:41:35.180 because he wants to bring honesty

00:41:36.560 back to the office, or maintain it,

00:41:38.860 all the honesty that he's already

00:41:40.080 brought back.

00:41:40.660 So he's running his campaign on

00:41:43.380 take a breath.

00:41:46.420 I'm going to see if I can get

00:41:47.460 through it in one breath.

00:41:50.580 Fine people hoax, bleach hoax,

00:41:52.260 suckers and losers hoax, January

00:41:53.560 6th insurrection hoax, dictator for

00:41:55.420 a day hoax, Project 2025 is

00:41:57.500 Trump's plan hoax, presidential

00:41:59.060 immunity hoax, convicted felon

00:42:01.040 hoax, that's really lawfare, steal

00:42:02.960 your democracy hoax, climate change

00:42:04.900 hoax, it's just a cold hoax.

00:42:10.660 One breath.

00:42:12.660 I'm a little lightheaded, but I

00:42:14.620 got it in one breath.

00:42:16.400 Now, how many of those does your

00:42:20.260 average Democrat know is a complete

00:42:22.080 hoax?

00:42:23.480 What do you think?

00:42:24.880 None?

00:42:25.940 They probably know that it's just a

00:42:27.700 cold as a hoax.

00:42:30.020 But, you know, and maybe they

00:42:31.760 believe the fine people hoax is a

00:42:33.900 hoax.

00:42:34.880 But if you can get them to believe

00:42:36.620 those two, you know, one that they

00:42:39.340 see right with their own eyes, so

00:42:40.900 they know hoaxes are possible, then

00:42:43.240 the fine people hoax is the

00:42:44.840 tentpole hoax.

00:42:46.300 As in, if they could lie to me

00:42:47.920 about that, what else have they

00:42:49.320 lied to me about?

00:42:50.160 It's the one that should open up the

00:42:51.780 entire, you know, silo of

00:42:53.740 information.

00:42:55.200 So the other ones are just ones that

00:42:57.060 are, you know, confirming what you

00:42:59.940 suspect if you figure out that the

00:43:01.940 two big hoaxes are hoaxes.

00:43:03.780 The rest are just, oh my God, oh my

00:43:06.600 God, they did it twice?

00:43:08.460 Three times?

00:43:09.500 No way.

00:43:10.580 They didn't give me three hoaxes,

00:43:13.340 four hoaxes.

00:43:14.760 There are four hoaxes?

00:43:16.320 Well, there certainly couldn't be more

00:43:17.800 than five hoaxes.

00:43:19.400 There are 11 hoaxes?

00:43:21.440 Yes.

00:43:22.440 It is a hoaxocracy.

00:43:24.760 Now, here's a challenge for you.

00:43:27.580 If you just limit it to this campaign,

00:43:30.240 what hoaxes are Trump telling?

00:43:35.220 What hoax is Trump pushing?

00:43:38.340 I can't think of one.

00:43:40.680 Can you?

00:43:41.900 Now, if you ask me how many times

00:43:44.040 did he fail the fact check, I'd say,

00:43:46.120 oh, oh, lots of times.

00:43:48.120 Lots of times.

00:43:49.060 Because he does stuff like, you know,

00:43:51.460 my economy was a little better than

00:43:53.140 you remember.

00:43:54.400 My crowd sizes might be a little less

00:43:57.120 than what I said.

00:43:59.340 That sort of thing.

00:44:00.960 I could stop the war in Ukraine in a day.

00:44:04.300 I don't know.

00:44:04.640 Maybe it takes longer than in a day.

00:44:06.860 It's all salesman lies.

00:44:08.980 It's all productive lies.

00:44:10.780 If you don't know the difference

00:44:12.200 between gaslighting,

00:44:13.980 which literally can make you insane

00:44:15.840 and destroy the whole fucking world, 0.98

00:44:17.700 with a salesman's exaggeration,

00:44:21.580 which you know is a salesman's exaggeration.

00:44:25.180 How do you know it?

00:44:26.220 He tells you.

00:44:27.660 He says, I use hyperbole.

00:44:29.460 He wrote a book about it.

00:44:31.820 He's not hiding it at all.

00:44:33.440 He says he wants to be America's salesperson.

00:44:36.320 He's using the very words confirming that,

00:44:39.940 no, there's no surprise here.

00:44:41.160 I'm a big old salesperson exaggerator.

00:44:43.480 I'm an optimist.

00:44:45.140 If I tell you I can fix the war in a day,

00:44:47.820 it's because I'm an optimist.

00:44:50.360 I think we can do things.

00:44:52.200 So to compare 11 confirmed organized hoaxes

00:44:57.340 from the organized part of the party,

00:44:59.420 of the Democrats,

00:45:00.420 to the fact that Republicans like their salesperson

00:45:04.000 and they're just sort of used to it,

00:45:05.720 to imagine that those are somehow equivalents

00:45:09.320 is insane.

00:45:11.860 Do you know why people think that Trump's the liar?

00:45:17.420 Have you learned anything yet from this live stream?

00:45:20.220 The reason that people think Trump is the liar,

00:45:22.780 Democrats,

00:45:23.560 is because the news told them

00:45:25.740 that that's what they should think about.

00:45:27.080 It has nothing to do with any reality.

00:45:30.640 It's just that they were told that that's important.

00:45:33.840 It's the least important thing

00:45:35.580 because the things he lies about

00:45:37.780 are completely unimportant.

00:45:39.640 Did he have sex with a porn star?

00:45:43.240 Would that matter to you?

00:45:45.580 Would that matter?

00:45:48.320 No.

00:45:50.260 Does Biden's brain still work?

00:45:53.400 Okay, that matters.

00:45:55.600 That matters.

00:45:57.600 Where did President Trump

00:45:59.440 put his penis for 10 minutes that one time? 0.95

00:46:02.920 Don't care.

00:46:04.680 You can't make me care about that.

00:46:07.260 But apparently you can make the Democrats

00:46:08.780 care about that.

00:46:11.220 All right.

00:46:11.860 So I mentioned climate change

00:46:13.160 as one of the hoaxes

00:46:14.120 and I just,

00:46:14.840 I did a Hannity

00:46:16.060 where I give you a bunch of things

00:46:18.000 that you'll definitely agree with

00:46:19.260 and I throw in one that,

00:46:20.520 wait, why is that one in the list?

00:46:22.500 But I asked these questions the other day

00:46:27.800 and I didn't see an answer in the comments.

00:46:30.240 So if somebody had an answer to debunk me,

00:46:32.880 I would like to be debunked.

00:46:34.780 So I don't know that these are true,

00:46:36.960 but is my current understanding anecdotally,

00:46:41.160 perceptually, but not scientifically,

00:46:43.720 just as a citizen watching the news,

00:46:45.760 that the following predictions and claims

00:46:48.700 have not been proven to be true.

00:46:52.540 So I believe we haven't shrunken our green areas.

00:46:55.620 They grew.

00:46:56.200 I don't think our ice melting

00:46:58.260 is any kind of a big problem.

00:47:00.840 I don't see a sea level rise.

00:47:02.980 Again, the ice levels

00:47:04.540 doesn't seem to have changed anything.

00:47:06.540 Storms, I don't think,

00:47:07.640 I don't think we're having more frequent hurricanes.

00:47:10.420 The coral reef has been growing back like crazy

00:47:12.800 in the last three years.

00:47:13.860 That's the opposite of what they said would happen.

00:47:16.020 Polar bears aren't going extinct.

00:47:17.700 They seem to be returning.

00:47:19.520 And then the latest studies

00:47:20.780 that are that even the temperature increases

00:47:24.240 are phony

00:47:25.600 because it's heat island effect and sun effect,

00:47:28.740 and that explains all of it.

00:47:30.340 Now, that doesn't mean that those studies

00:47:32.240 will be validated in the future.

00:47:34.020 But my current understanding is

00:47:36.240 there's no evidence for climate change.

00:47:38.160 If you look at the predictions

00:47:41.320 and then the outcomes,

00:47:43.680 that there's no evidence, none.

00:47:46.380 Am I wrong?

00:47:47.940 Now, I think I'm wrong.

00:47:50.440 If I had to bet, I'd bet against myself.

00:47:53.520 You know, because I tend to be

00:47:55.080 in a little bit of a silo as well.

00:47:57.280 But I don't think there are any remaining

00:47:59.500 major predictions that have panned out.

00:48:03.200 And if none of the major predictions have panned out,

00:48:05.820 are we done?

00:48:09.240 At what point do we say,

00:48:10.780 okay, it was, you know,

00:48:13.040 your theory at least had some plausibility,

00:48:15.540 but it didn't predict.

00:48:17.040 If it doesn't predict, it's nothing.

00:48:20.280 That's my story.

00:48:21.900 If it can't predict, it isn't anything.

00:48:23.600 It's not true if it can't predict.

00:48:25.180 All right, so far I've presented you with two lists.

00:48:32.160 I really am a big fan of list persuasion

00:48:35.140 for this election

00:48:36.340 because there's a whole bunch of stuff

00:48:38.640 that is too complicated for people to handle.

00:48:42.640 But maybe they can handle the fact

00:48:44.840 that there's a bunch of stuff on a list.

00:48:47.100 So if I tell you there are 11 active hoaxes,

00:48:50.140 and then I show them to you,

00:48:53.180 if the only thing you could do

00:48:55.080 is debunk three of them,

00:48:57.560 I've made my point.

00:48:59.880 I go, well, you could argue three of them.

00:49:01.600 I think you're wrong,

00:49:02.400 but did you agree the other seven are hoaxes?

00:49:05.180 Okay, then you win.

00:49:06.640 So you don't have to win all of them,

00:49:09.520 even if all of them are true.

00:49:11.020 You just have to say,

00:49:12.080 all right, you can see the trend here, right?

00:49:14.440 You can see that one is not the honest guy.

00:49:16.460 The list of hoaxes tells you

00:49:19.760 that one of them isn't just a liar.

00:49:22.380 He is a whole different level of lying.

00:49:24.740 The gaslighting is a whole different level.

00:49:26.600 That's not lying.

00:49:27.880 That's a whole different thing.

00:49:29.460 It's much worse.

00:49:31.340 Then I gave you the list of climate predictions

00:49:34.440 that I think, you know, again,

00:49:36.460 I'm sure there's some conflicting data on this,

00:49:39.260 but at the moment,

00:49:40.120 I'm not convinced any of those happened.

00:49:42.340 So that's a good list.

00:49:44.200 It's one thing to say,

00:49:45.320 ah, what about the coral?

00:49:48.360 Then somebody else will say,

00:49:49.540 well, that's one thing.

00:49:50.520 What about the storms?

00:49:52.160 So you have to do them all.

00:49:53.520 If you're going to talk climate change,

00:49:54.900 you've got to do them all.

00:49:56.200 You've got to go right down,

00:49:57.420 you know, green, ice, sea level.

00:50:00.320 You've got to do them all.

00:50:01.640 So we should have,

00:50:03.340 we meaning people who are wanting Trump to be president,

00:50:07.540 there should be somewhere,

00:50:09.320 ideally in a centralized place,

00:50:12.480 the list persuasion.

00:50:13.780 So there'd be a list of all the hoaxes.

00:50:17.520 There'd be a list of all the climate change predictions

00:50:21.820 that didn't work out.

00:50:23.340 And then this next list,

00:50:25.200 David Sachs has started,

00:50:27.260 calling who's stealing your democracy.

00:50:30.000 So here's a list of things that the Democrats are doing

00:50:34.680 or have done to steal your democracy.

00:50:37.140 Censor the internet,

00:50:38.780 jail political opponents,

00:50:40.360 remove opponents' names from ballots,

00:50:42.540 rig primaries by blocking alternatives,

00:50:45.120 hide evidence of your candidates' unfitness,

00:50:47.700 disenfranchise your own voters

00:50:49.080 by letting donors pick new candidates.

00:50:51.180 And then I thought of a few that I might add to that list.

00:50:55.760 Didn't Wisconsin just confirm that they were going to allow uncontrolled drop boxes

00:51:02.160 all over the place?

00:51:02.940 The purpose of that is to steal your democracy.

00:51:08.220 Let's not kid ourselves.

00:51:09.400 There's only one reason.

00:51:11.020 And how about the shipping in all the migrants 1.00

00:51:13.460 and trying to get them to vote?

00:51:15.540 Is that because they want more democracy?

00:51:18.520 No.

00:51:19.380 No.

00:51:20.000 They're rigging the democracy.

00:51:22.320 So there should also be a list,

00:51:24.760 and the Sachs list is a good starter,

00:51:26.660 but I think it's much longer.

00:51:28.400 There should be like a tight 10 to 20 things.

00:51:32.580 20 is too many.

00:51:34.140 Keep it under 12.

00:51:36.100 A good 12 things that guarantee that anybody reads it go,

00:51:40.960 oh, it looks like the Democrats might be suppressing your democracy.

00:51:45.920 What's the list for Trump?

00:51:49.040 Hoaxes.

00:51:49.600 Yeah, the Trump list is hoaxes.

00:51:53.440 None of them are true.

00:51:54.880 It's just on the hoax list.

00:51:58.540 And then Trump says this.

00:52:00.800 Every one of the lawsuits I'm involved with,

00:52:03.440 including the civil scams,

00:52:04.980 were started by crooked Joe Biden and his fascist government

00:52:08.600 for purposes of election interference, blah, blah, blah.

00:52:14.460 That feels true to me,

00:52:16.460 meaning that if we had some way to know for sure,

00:52:21.000 it would look like Biden coordinated it directly

00:52:24.180 or by putting out the word,

00:52:25.900 which is the same thing,

00:52:27.560 and that it's an organized lawfare to keep him out.

00:52:31.980 Now, is that a hoax?

00:52:34.580 Is it a hoax when he says it's all organized by the top?

00:52:37.680 I would say it's unconfirmed.

00:52:41.240 But I think reality is certainly leading that way about as hard as you can lead.

00:52:46.640 You know, I'd want a smoking gun.

00:52:49.660 But it's so obvious.

00:52:50.980 I mean, the circumstantial evidence is overwhelming, really.

00:52:55.540 You can make a case on circumstantial evidence.

00:52:58.600 It just has to be strong circumstantial evidence.

00:53:01.000 And there is.

00:53:01.960 It's really strong.

00:53:03.520 The fact that these are made-up cases

00:53:05.820 that nobody else would be charged with,

00:53:08.740 the fact that some of them met with White House people,

00:53:11.900 the fact that the number three person in the DOJ

00:53:14.560 stepped back to work on it,

00:53:16.400 the fact that Biden put out the word,

00:53:20.120 these are all things we do know.

00:53:22.440 I mean, if it's not true,

00:53:25.180 if it's not true that the Democrats organized this at the top,

00:53:29.100 that would be really surprising.

00:53:31.100 Really surprising.

00:53:34.120 Well, the documents cases delayed.

00:53:37.800 Federal Judge Eileen Cannon

00:53:40.260 is going to give the Trump team time

00:53:42.900 to update their arguments

00:53:46.540 because the Supreme Court said

00:53:48.660 that the president has some immunity

00:53:50.180 and they're going to try to make that

00:53:51.620 part of their argument

00:53:52.900 that the documents should be not considered a big deal.

00:54:00.120 Because I think the argument is still

00:54:02.140 that the president, by his actions,

00:54:04.900 had declassified them.

00:54:06.560 His actions being,

00:54:08.080 hey, put these in a box

00:54:09.120 and I'm going to take them to Mar-a-Lago.

00:54:11.080 Because there's no process.

00:54:13.020 Well, there's no legal process.

00:54:15.720 There's a precedent

00:54:16.540 of how it was normally done,

00:54:18.740 but not a legal requirement,

00:54:21.960 my understanding.

00:54:24.080 All right.

00:54:24.420 Nate Silver,

00:54:25.640 big guy.

00:54:26.680 He was the creator of the 538 1.00

00:54:28.600 polling company,

00:54:31.100 but he's not there anymore.

00:54:32.600 And he's more outspoken.

00:54:35.340 And he's talking about

00:54:37.540 Biden's interview with ABC.

00:54:39.840 And he said of his own writing,

00:54:43.780 because he wrote about it already,

00:54:45.160 he said he's revising his opinion.

00:54:47.020 He said, quote,

00:54:47.820 I wimped out in today's column

00:54:49.340 and deleted a line

00:54:50.440 saying he should formulate

00:54:52.120 a plan to transition

00:54:53.640 the presidency

00:54:54.460 to Harris

00:54:56.280 within 30 to 60 days.

00:54:58.960 But Silver says,

00:55:00.700 I'm there now.

00:55:02.040 Something is clearly wrong.

00:55:03.420 So Nate Silver

00:55:07.360 is a great follow.

00:55:08.780 You're going to say,

00:55:09.700 but, but, but,

00:55:10.520 he said all those things

00:55:11.600 before that you didn't like.

00:55:13.200 And, you know,

00:55:14.600 forget about that.

00:55:16.300 Whatever he said before,

00:55:17.480 just forget about it.

00:55:18.320 He, he's now a free,

00:55:20.680 he's one of the few free minds.

00:55:23.420 He seems to be saying

00:55:24.460 whatever looks real.

00:55:26.580 Rare.

00:55:27.620 He doesn't seem to be trying

00:55:28.940 to make a political point

00:55:30.220 in any direction.

00:55:31.480 I haven't picked up

00:55:32.280 any bias at all.

00:55:33.720 He just seems to be willing

00:55:35.040 to talk about what he sees,

00:55:36.680 which is rare

00:55:37.320 from somebody who's insightful.

00:55:39.640 Well, according to

00:55:43.540 news site,

00:55:45.160 Just the News,

00:55:47.020 the,

00:55:47.800 there's a growing number

00:55:48.620 of Democrats

00:55:49.260 and major news organizations

00:55:51.340 asking for

00:55:52.160 Biden to step down.

00:55:53.620 So here's what we know so far.

00:55:55.620 The latest entities,

00:55:58.920 The Economist,

00:56:00.520 that's the publication,

00:56:01.760 The Economist,

00:56:02.460 New York Times,

00:56:03.280 the Atlanta Journal of the Constitution,

00:56:05.680 The New Yorker,

00:56:07.900 they've all asked Biden

00:56:08.840 to step down.

00:56:09.460 The Chicago Tribune,

00:56:10.660 The Wall Street Journal,

00:56:11.460 The Boston Globe,

00:56:12.660 and now The Washington Post

00:56:14.500 has identified

00:56:16.240 five out of 287

00:56:18.260 elected Democrats

00:56:19.440 that are now

00:56:20.940 on the step down side.

00:56:24.360 So remember the famous saying,

00:56:27.400 I forget what context

00:56:28.380 it was originally,

00:56:30.040 that things start

00:56:31.000 with a trickle.

00:56:32.860 So if you're saying to yourself,

00:56:34.800 well, that's a trickle,

00:56:36.360 you would be

00:56:37.600 maybe analyzing wrong.

00:56:39.120 because the trickle

00:56:40.580 precedes the flood.

00:56:43.100 And if the trickle

00:56:44.860 just trickles

00:56:45.920 a little bit more,

00:56:47.440 the floodgate will open

00:56:48.780 and it'll just be over.

00:56:51.020 I'm going to predict

00:56:52.360 still,

00:56:55.200 and I think I'm the only one

00:56:56.540 predicting it,

00:56:57.900 that because Biden

00:56:59.100 will be stubborn

00:56:59.880 and still alive,

00:57:01.520 he will stay in the race

00:57:02.580 all the way

00:57:03.320 until election day.

00:57:04.100 I believe

00:57:05.600 that the Democrats'

00:57:07.140 best play,

00:57:08.380 since they won't be able

00:57:09.300 to change it,

00:57:10.400 is to act like

00:57:12.060 all along

00:57:13.460 you're really just

00:57:14.140 voting for Harris.

00:57:15.760 And I think you'll see

00:57:17.160 prominent people saying,

00:57:18.340 yes, yes,

00:57:19.480 our first choice

00:57:20.380 is Biden not running.

00:57:21.840 But I want you all

00:57:22.780 voters to understand

00:57:23.780 that you're voting

00:57:24.440 for Harris

00:57:25.020 and my God,

00:57:26.240 is she good.

00:57:27.340 Now,

00:57:27.600 you haven't seen it

00:57:28.560 during her vice presidency, 0.80

00:57:31.060 but let us tell you,

00:57:32.680 privately,

00:57:34.100 sharp as a tack.

00:57:35.700 Yeah,

00:57:36.100 yeah,

00:57:36.420 sure,

00:57:36.780 she seems like she's drunk

00:57:37.840 and muttering in public,

00:57:38.740 but privately,

00:57:40.700 privately,

00:57:42.220 sharp as a tack.

00:57:44.160 And the same people

00:57:46.660 who believe that Biden

00:57:48.480 was really sharp

00:57:49.440 when you weren't watching,

00:57:50.840 they think that Harris

00:57:52.620 is very capable

00:57:53.540 when you're not watching.

00:57:55.880 Because if it worked before,

00:57:57.780 why not try it again?

00:57:59.460 Hey, everybody.

00:58:00.680 Yeah,

00:58:00.820 when you're not watching,

00:58:02.000 oh, man,

00:58:03.520 two of the smartest people

00:58:04.820 you've ever known.

00:58:06.120 But when you're watching,

00:58:07.080 yeah,

00:58:07.500 yeah,

00:58:07.700 they have bad days.

00:58:08.740 They just have these bad days.

00:58:13.960 So I believe

00:58:14.960 it will be

00:58:15.600 the Schrodinger's candidacy.

00:58:18.180 You'll have

00:58:18.900 two candidates

00:58:19.640 for president,

00:58:20.420 one dead

00:58:21.120 and one alive,

00:58:22.780 Harris being the alive one.

00:58:24.460 And we will go

00:58:25.480 right through

00:58:26.040 the absurdity

00:58:26.860 of an election

00:58:27.500 not knowing

00:58:29.220 who you're voting for.

00:58:30.760 We will have

00:58:31.620 the first presidential election

00:58:33.120 where the voters

00:58:34.580 won't know

00:58:35.580 who they voted for

00:58:37.400 if they voted

00:58:38.040 for the Democrats.

00:58:39.540 They may think

00:58:40.440 they voted for Harris.

00:58:41.760 They may think

00:58:42.660 they voted

00:58:43.060 for another

00:58:43.700 Biden presidency.

00:58:45.260 But they won't know

00:58:46.480 for sure.

00:58:47.420 Because it will depend

00:58:48.400 on what happens

00:58:49.420 with Joe

00:58:49.900 and maybe that

00:58:50.960 depends on him.

00:58:52.440 So I'm going to call it

00:58:53.820 the Harris-Biden campaign

00:58:55.020 from now on.

00:58:56.040 Is that fair?

00:58:56.580 It's not really

00:58:58.560 the Biden-Harris campaign

00:58:59.800 going forward.

00:59:02.120 Would you agree?

00:59:03.820 So I think

00:59:04.820 even the Democrats

00:59:05.620 might call it that.

00:59:07.200 Here's my prediction.

00:59:08.540 You will hear

00:59:09.220 on one of the major

00:59:10.520 networks

00:59:11.720 like CNN

00:59:12.380 or MSCBC

00:59:13.380 somebody will say

00:59:14.940 what I just said.

00:59:16.520 You know,

00:59:17.520 for all practical purposes

00:59:18.880 you could think of it

00:59:20.180 as the Harris-Biden campaign.

00:59:23.380 Wait for that.

00:59:24.920 That's coming.

00:59:25.640 All right.

00:59:30.120 Wall Street Journal

00:59:31.200 is saying that

00:59:32.060 only Harris is viable.

00:59:35.060 Which is interesting

00:59:36.180 because we've heard

00:59:37.600 that Biden is vibrant.

00:59:40.080 So it's viable

00:59:41.380 and vibrant.

00:59:43.400 We've got one viable

00:59:44.300 and one vibrant.

00:59:45.920 I don't know.

00:59:46.320 That feels like a tie.

00:59:48.640 I like viable

00:59:49.480 but I also like vibrant.

00:59:51.920 I'm going to call it a tie.

00:59:54.420 All right.

00:59:54.760 I am amused

00:59:55.740 beyond

00:59:56.340 I mean this is just

00:59:58.920 so delightful

00:59:59.580 watching the dilemma.

01:00:02.320 I'll call it

01:00:02.660 the Axelrod dilemma.

01:00:05.220 Now,

01:00:05.880 I'm maybe more of a

01:00:07.280 you know,

01:00:08.060 a wonk

01:00:08.680 about politics

01:00:10.020 that,

01:00:11.420 you know,

01:00:11.580 if you say to yourself

01:00:12.360 who's this David Axelrod

01:00:13.820 you're not going to

01:00:15.240 you're not going to

01:00:15.260 fully appreciate this.

01:00:17.460 So David Axelrod

01:00:18.280 is long time,

01:00:19.880 you know,

01:00:20.240 one of the smartest

01:00:21.240 political observers

01:00:24.800 and campaign advisors.

01:00:26.800 So he would be

01:00:27.800 one of the strong people

01:00:29.120 all the way

01:00:29.560 from the Clinton presidency

01:00:30.980 on

01:00:31.480 and

01:00:32.620 always one of the

01:00:34.260 sane

01:00:34.800 non-crazy voices

01:00:36.380 who understands

01:00:37.160 how things work

01:00:37.980 in the real world.

01:00:38.760 and so he rode

01:00:40.740 this horse

01:00:41.340 this

01:00:42.920 Democrat horse

01:00:44.040 because it was

01:00:44.960 his horse

01:00:45.540 that means

01:00:46.360 you know,

01:00:47.560 as Democrat

01:00:48.120 as you could be

01:00:48.820 and

01:00:50.220 the horse

01:00:50.960 turned into a horse

01:00:51.900 that doesn't like

01:00:52.680 people like David Axelrod

01:00:53.980 as in

01:00:55.620 he's a little bit

01:00:56.500 too old

01:00:56.980 and a little bit

01:00:57.540 too white

01:00:58.140 to have much

01:00:59.400 influence over

01:01:00.220 the party

01:01:00.740 at this point.

01:01:01.680 And I'm pretty sure

01:01:02.680 that they say

01:01:03.260 that privately.

01:01:05.680 Don't you think

01:01:06.420 that privately

01:01:07.000 they say

01:01:07.620 you know

01:01:08.640 the old white guy

01:01:09.560 he just keeps

01:01:10.680 chattering

01:01:11.120 in the news

01:01:12.280 but

01:01:12.560 let's just

01:01:13.440 keep ignoring him

01:01:14.380 because

01:01:15.220 his day is done.

01:01:17.620 The day of the

01:01:18.340 old white guys 0.57

01:01:19.040 are over

01:01:19.500 and

01:01:19.920 you know

01:01:20.860 we want the

01:01:21.480 diverse voices

01:01:22.560 to

01:01:22.940 be the forward

01:01:24.200 voices

01:01:24.660 and there's

01:01:26.060 nothing wrong

01:01:26.500 with that

01:01:26.800 they would say

01:01:27.300 and there's

01:01:29.460 nothing wrong

01:01:29.920 with that.

01:01:30.520 There's nothing

01:01:31.180 wrong with

01:01:31.640 a political

01:01:32.160 party

01:01:32.560 saying

01:01:32.980 you know

01:01:33.740 this is

01:01:34.060 who we are

01:01:34.580 and then

01:01:34.920 constituting

01:01:35.660 in that way.

01:01:37.480 It's just

01:01:38.220 really a bad

01:01:39.020 dilemma

01:01:39.360 for

01:01:39.860 Axelrod

01:01:41.500 and Carver

01:01:43.300 Carville.

01:01:45.000 Do you think

01:01:45.820 James Carville

01:01:46.580 is doing

01:01:47.900 these insane

01:01:48.660 videos

01:01:49.220 and interviews

01:01:50.340 because

01:01:51.820 they're listening

01:01:52.600 to him

01:01:53.020 no

01:01:54.240 it's because

01:01:55.100 he says

01:01:55.720 they're not

01:01:56.120 listening to

01:01:56.620 him

01:01:56.800 that's why

01:01:57.800 he's going

01:01:58.160 public

01:01:58.600 so

01:01:59.920 Axelrod

01:02:01.280 is not

01:02:01.640 being listened

01:02:02.120 to

01:02:02.420 and James

01:02:03.740 Carville

01:02:04.180 is not

01:02:04.600 being listened

01:02:05.080 to

01:02:05.360 do you think

01:02:07.080 it's a coincidence

01:02:07.800 that they're

01:02:08.400 the old

01:02:08.740 white guys

01:02:09.260 no

01:02:10.560 it's not

01:02:11.420 a coincidence

01:02:11.860 and what

01:02:13.480 does he do

01:02:13.920 about the

01:02:14.320 fact

01:02:14.640 that

01:02:17.280 he's

01:02:18.980 supporting

01:02:19.400 a party

01:02:19.940 that doesn't

01:02:21.440 want him

01:02:21.920 as an

01:02:22.300 advisor

01:02:22.720 because he's

01:02:23.220 a white

01:02:23.480 guy

01:02:23.700 he has

01:02:25.400 to know

01:02:25.760 that

01:02:26.100 would you

01:02:27.040 agree

01:02:27.340 there's no

01:02:29.080 way that

01:02:29.600 he's waking

01:02:30.060 up and

01:02:30.460 saying I'm

01:02:30.920 sure glad

01:02:31.440 I'm a

01:02:31.720 Democrat

01:02:32.060 there's no

01:02:33.620 way he's

01:02:34.120 saying that

01:02:34.600 because he

01:02:35.540 knows the

01:02:36.080 Democrats

01:02:36.440 don't like

01:02:37.080 him for

01:02:37.580 his race

01:02:38.180 and his

01:02:38.740 gender

01:02:39.060 and that

01:02:40.300 he can't

01:02:40.840 be an

01:02:41.720 important

01:02:42.060 person in

01:02:43.200 that party

01:02:43.700 with his

01:02:44.640 current race

01:02:45.240 and gender

01:02:45.700 Carville

01:02:46.920 knows that

01:02:47.540 and Axelrod

01:02:50.140 has to know

01:02:50.760 it too

01:02:51.100 so what do

01:02:52.160 you do

01:02:52.380 if you're

01:02:52.660 them

01:02:52.840 I don't

01:02:54.880 think this

01:02:55.340 is impossible

01:02:56.120 I'll bet

01:02:57.040 against it

01:02:57.680 but you

01:02:58.720 might see

01:02:59.240 one of

01:02:59.700 these guys

01:03:00.440 or one

01:03:01.880 like it

01:03:02.320 you know

01:03:02.580 they're not

01:03:03.000 the only

01:03:03.300 ones in

01:03:03.660 this

01:03:03.900 situation

01:03:04.660 actually

01:03:05.940 register

01:03:06.880 as a

01:03:07.400 Republican

01:03:07.820 publicly

01:03:08.440 and say

01:03:09.660 I can't

01:03:10.300 go along

01:03:10.660 with the

01:03:10.920 DEI stuff

01:03:11.700 because I'm

01:03:12.840 being ignored

01:03:13.500 and discriminated

01:03:14.480 against in my

01:03:15.120 own party

01:03:15.620 and this is

01:03:16.400 the number

01:03:16.760 one thing

01:03:17.220 we're against

01:03:17.800 so we

01:03:19.140 turned into

01:03:19.600 this horrible

01:03:20.140 discriminating

01:03:21.120 thing

01:03:21.540 and I

01:03:22.860 don't like

01:03:23.300 Trump

01:03:23.620 but at a

01:03:24.680 protest

01:03:24.960 I'm just

01:03:25.480 going to

01:03:26.000 register

01:03:26.680 Republican

01:03:27.260 because I

01:03:28.160 don't want

01:03:28.440 to associate

01:03:28.900 with a

01:03:29.880 group that

01:03:30.400 is overtly

01:03:31.200 discriminating

01:03:31.860 by race

01:03:32.360 and gender

01:03:32.780 I think

01:03:34.280 you might

01:03:34.560 see it

01:03:35.020 not necessarily

01:03:36.440 one of these

01:03:36.860 two guys

01:03:37.420 but somebody

01:03:38.640 in that

01:03:38.980 domain

01:03:39.580 well there's

01:03:43.120 a story

01:03:43.420 about the

01:03:43.940 CIA director

01:03:45.540 of Bill

01:03:45.940 Burns

01:03:46.360 he's going

01:03:46.960 over to

01:03:47.360 Doha

01:03:47.760 next week

01:03:48.420 Axios

01:03:49.880 is reporting

01:03:50.440 and he's

01:03:51.620 going to

01:03:51.800 talk to

01:03:52.080 the Prime

01:03:52.380 Minister

01:03:52.640 of Qatar

01:03:53.240 and talk

01:03:55.280 to the

01:03:55.620 director

01:03:55.940 of Israeli

01:03:56.520 Mossad

01:03:57.800 and the

01:03:58.140 head of

01:03:58.360 the Egyptian

01:03:58.840 intelligence

01:03:59.340 people

01:03:59.740 and they're

01:04:00.640 going to

01:04:00.860 try to

01:04:01.160 push forward

01:04:01.880 on some

01:04:02.640 kind of

01:04:02.940 Gaza hostage

01:04:03.760 and ceasefire

01:04:04.440 deal

01:04:04.760 huh

01:04:05.660 does that

01:04:06.660 raise any

01:04:07.120 eyebrows

01:04:07.560 is there

01:04:08.880 anything about

01:04:09.420 that story

01:04:10.260 that strikes

01:04:11.960 you as

01:04:13.340 alarming

01:04:14.920 well

01:04:17.100 why exactly

01:04:18.740 are the

01:04:19.320 intelligence

01:04:19.840 agencies

01:04:20.440 of these

01:04:21.060 entities

01:04:21.500 taking the

01:04:22.800 lead on

01:04:23.480 what to

01:04:23.820 do next

01:04:24.460 I get

01:04:26.740 that they're

01:04:27.120 important

01:04:27.480 players

01:04:28.000 but why

01:04:29.880 are they

01:04:30.360 taking the

01:04:31.000 lead

01:04:31.340 could it

01:04:32.640 be

01:04:32.920 that they've

01:04:33.880 dropped the

01:04:34.320 pretense

01:04:34.760 that civilian

01:04:35.780 governments

01:04:36.360 are in

01:04:36.660 charge

01:04:36.960 maybe they

01:04:39.100 just dropped

01:04:39.540 the pretense

01:04:40.160 and said

01:04:40.860 look

01:04:41.180 you're in

01:04:42.120 charge of

01:04:42.420 your government

01:04:43.020 we're in

01:04:43.980 charge of

01:04:44.300 our government

01:04:44.840 the intelligence

01:04:46.120 agencies are

01:04:46.880 going to make

01:04:47.180 all the

01:04:47.500 decisions

01:04:48.020 can we

01:04:48.860 just get

01:04:49.240 together

01:04:49.540 and decide

01:04:50.040 what you're

01:04:50.500 going to

01:04:50.620 tell your

01:04:50.920 government

01:04:51.280 to do

01:04:51.720 that's

01:04:52.960 what it

01:04:53.160 looks like

01:04:53.460 to me

01:04:53.800 it looks

01:04:55.100 like when

01:04:55.480 the CIA

01:04:55.960 works on

01:04:56.540 a deal

01:04:56.900 that the

01:04:58.060 other

01:04:58.400 intelligence

01:04:59.260 agencies

01:04:59.860 for those

01:05:00.460 the other

01:05:01.500 concerned

01:05:01.980 entities

01:05:02.520 if they

01:05:03.920 all agree

01:05:04.400 on something

01:05:04.980 they will

01:05:05.860 go back

01:05:06.260 to their

01:05:06.540 country

01:05:06.840 and say

01:05:07.140 hey

01:05:07.320 Netanyahu

01:05:07.880 here's

01:05:08.680 what you're

01:05:09.020 going to

01:05:09.200 do

01:05:09.440 or else

01:05:10.860 here Obama

01:05:12.780 here's

01:05:13.660 what you're

01:05:13.980 going to

01:05:14.160 do

01:05:14.440 or else

01:05:15.920 here Egypt

01:05:17.940 here's

01:05:18.240 what you're

01:05:18.560 going to

01:05:18.720 do

01:05:19.020 or else

01:05:20.600 here Qatar

01:05:21.920 here's

01:05:22.420 what you're

01:05:22.720 going to

01:05:22.900 do

01:05:23.240 or else

01:05:25.240 by now

01:05:26.680 all of

01:05:27.120 those

01:05:27.300 intelligence

01:05:27.800 agencies

01:05:28.280 have

01:05:28.600 captured

01:05:28.980 their

01:05:29.220 governments

01:05:29.660 of course

01:05:30.940 they have

01:05:31.340 of course

01:05:33.120 they have

01:05:33.500 the only

01:05:34.200 place where

01:05:34.680 I think

01:05:35.000 it might

01:05:35.340 not be

01:05:35.760 happening

01:05:36.120 are

01:05:37.060 China

01:05:37.520 and

01:05:38.000 Russia

01:05:38.380 why

01:05:39.720 because

01:05:40.680 China

01:05:41.000 and Russia

01:05:41.400 are tough

01:05:41.980 characters

01:05:42.500 and I

01:05:43.780 think

01:05:44.020 the moment

01:05:44.940 the

01:05:45.300 intelligence

01:05:45.900 agencies

01:05:46.480 look like

01:05:47.040 they were

01:05:47.300 threatening

01:05:47.640 they would

01:05:47.980 just be

01:05:48.380 taken away

01:05:48.980 and murdered

01:05:49.440 so if

01:05:52.200 your

01:05:52.360 president

01:05:52.760 isn't

01:05:53.200 actively

01:05:53.680 murdering

01:05:54.260 people in

01:05:54.700 their own

01:05:55.020 intelligence

01:05:55.460 service

01:05:56.020 the

01:05:56.880 intelligence

01:05:57.280 service

01:05:57.680 will take

01:05:58.260 over the

01:05:58.600 government

01:05:58.920 there's

01:05:59.320 no doubt

01:05:59.680 about it

01:06:00.100 I don't

01:06:00.640 know what's

01:06:00.960 happening

01:06:01.220 in Egypt

01:06:01.740 but my

01:06:03.000 guess is

01:06:03.540 if these

01:06:03.960 entities

01:06:04.320 are getting

01:06:04.720 together

01:06:05.120 and they

01:06:05.440 think they

01:06:05.800 can be

01:06:06.120 productive

01:06:06.560 it's not

01:06:07.680 because they

01:06:08.120 have secrets

01:06:08.740 it's not

01:06:10.440 like we

01:06:11.120 better send

01:06:11.600 the intelligence

01:06:12.140 people

01:06:12.560 because they

01:06:13.360 know the

01:06:13.740 good stuff

01:06:14.280 and only

01:06:15.260 they you

01:06:15.900 know can

01:06:16.180 make a

01:06:16.480 deal

01:06:16.680 because they

01:06:17.020 know that

01:06:17.360 no I

01:06:18.500 think this

01:06:18.960 is an

01:06:19.320 acknowledgement

01:06:19.780 that they're

01:06:20.320 the ones

01:06:20.640 in charge

01:06:21.180 at least

01:06:22.600 of this

01:06:23.200 issue

01:06:23.660 and if

01:06:25.180 they don't

01:06:25.620 agree

01:06:25.880 nothing will

01:06:26.360 happen

01:06:26.660 so you

01:06:28.060 first have

01:06:28.540 to get

01:06:28.780 them to

01:06:29.100 agree on

01:06:29.540 what looks

01:06:30.420 like a

01:06:30.760 plan

01:06:31.100 and then

01:06:32.160 maybe

01:06:32.360 something

01:06:32.700 can happen

01:06:33.120 but

01:06:33.900 does any

01:06:34.760 of it

01:06:35.000 matter

01:06:35.300 nope

01:06:36.500 do you

01:06:37.580 know when

01:06:37.880 Israel is

01:06:38.640 going to be

01:06:39.120 ready to

01:06:39.940 wrap up

01:06:41.580 the war

01:06:41.980 never

01:06:43.600 never

01:06:44.960 you're a

01:06:46.920 total sucker

01:06:47.540 if you think

01:06:48.200 the war is

01:06:48.600 ever going

01:06:48.940 to end

01:06:49.260 Israel will 1.00

01:06:50.760 keep the

01:06:51.180 war going

01:06:51.700 in some

01:06:52.220 form

01:06:52.660 you know

01:06:53.300 might be

01:06:53.680 a reduced

01:06:54.780 form

01:06:55.220 but the

01:06:56.080 last thing

01:06:56.520 they want

01:06:56.800 to do

01:06:56.980 is end

01:06:57.340 it and

01:06:57.640 then rebuild

01:06:58.180 Gaza

01:06:58.620 and just

01:06:59.700 rebuild the

01:07:00.240 problem

01:07:00.580 no Israel 1.00

01:07:01.840 is way

01:07:02.360 better off

01:07:02.920 with a

01:07:03.220 permanent

01:07:03.520 war

01:07:03.900 just you

01:07:05.340 know playing

01:07:05.700 whack-a-mole

01:07:06.340 with the

01:07:06.840 with the

01:07:07.800 people who

01:07:08.200 pop up

01:07:08.700 because

01:07:09.360 reputationally

01:07:10.240 they've

01:07:10.520 already lost

01:07:11.060 everything

01:07:11.440 that they

01:07:11.800 had

01:07:12.100 right

01:07:13.340 it's not

01:07:14.100 like Gaza 0.99

01:07:14.640 is gonna

01:07:15.040 suddenly

01:07:16.060 the narrative

01:07:17.060 is gonna

01:07:17.380 change

01:07:17.940 do you think

01:07:18.760 the narrative

01:07:19.220 will change

01:07:19.800 oh you know

01:07:20.680 what

01:07:20.960 you know

01:07:21.520 we hated

01:07:22.260 Israel

01:07:22.600 but yeah

01:07:23.460 you have

01:07:23.820 to admit

01:07:24.360 they did

01:07:24.940 a you know

01:07:25.880 a very morally

01:07:26.780 and ethically

01:07:27.640 responsible

01:07:28.360 reaction there

01:07:29.600 in Gaza

01:07:29.960 that's never

01:07:31.200 gonna happen

01:07:31.680 Israel has 1.00

01:07:33.180 nothing to

01:07:33.780 gain

01:07:34.160 by making

01:07:35.500 you like

01:07:36.020 what they

01:07:36.340 did in

01:07:36.700 Gaza

01:07:36.960 nothing

01:07:38.000 because you

01:07:38.920 won't like

01:07:39.540 it

01:07:39.760 you they

01:07:40.780 can't get

01:07:41.180 from here

01:07:41.480 to there

01:07:41.800 there's no

01:07:42.680 way to

01:07:42.940 convince you

01:07:43.400 to like

01:07:43.780 it

01:07:43.960 so if

01:07:45.080 you've

01:07:45.340 already

01:07:45.560 decided

01:07:46.040 there's

01:07:46.380 nothing

01:07:46.660 they can

01:07:47.040 do to

01:07:47.340 make

01:07:47.520 you like

01:07:47.940 it

01:07:48.200 then the

01:07:49.080 only thing

01:07:49.460 that matters

01:07:49.960 is what's

01:07:51.080 good for

01:07:51.400 Israel

01:07:51.700 and I

01:07:53.200 do not

01:07:53.580 fault any

01:07:54.160 country

01:07:54.540 for doing

01:07:55.400 what's in

01:07:56.880 their national

01:07:57.340 interest

01:07:57.760 as Trump

01:07:58.900 often points

01:07:59.580 out

01:07:59.860 that's the way

01:08:00.760 it's supposed

01:08:01.140 to work

01:08:01.600 Israel is

01:08:03.360 supposed to

01:08:03.720 do what's

01:08:04.020 good for

01:08:04.320 Israel

01:08:04.620 America is

01:08:06.140 supposed to

01:08:06.460 do what's

01:08:06.740 good for

01:08:07.020 America

01:08:07.340 that's a

01:08:07.860 good system

01:08:08.360 you know

01:08:09.600 and then

01:08:09.840 when there's

01:08:10.440 conflict

01:08:10.800 we work

01:08:11.300 it out

01:08:11.580 so no

01:08:15.160 I wouldn't

01:08:15.660 expect any

01:08:16.240 ceasefire

01:08:16.740 I don't

01:08:17.880 expect the

01:08:18.560 hostages

01:08:19.300 will ever

01:08:19.840 be given

01:08:20.260 up and

01:08:21.120 they're probably

01:08:21.740 dead anyway

01:08:22.320 some of them

01:08:23.280 and no

01:08:24.980 there's

01:08:25.740 no path

01:08:26.600 I don't

01:08:28.240 see any

01:08:28.560 path at

01:08:28.880 all

01:08:29.060 I see

01:08:34.780 somebody in

01:08:35.200 the comments

01:08:35.560 saying that

01:08:36.660 my go-to

01:08:37.660 persuasion

01:08:38.380 phrase is

01:08:39.060 would you

01:08:39.520 agree

01:08:39.880 it is

01:08:43.940 that's a

01:08:44.520 persuasion

01:08:45.000 phrase

01:08:45.480 but I

01:08:46.240 only use

01:08:46.720 it on

01:08:47.100 things which

01:08:47.620 I think

01:08:48.140 you would

01:08:48.700 agree on

01:08:49.240 but by

01:08:51.060 the way

01:08:51.280 you would

01:08:51.540 do that

01:08:51.820 in person

01:08:52.260 if you're

01:08:52.700 a salesperson

01:08:53.400 you try

01:08:54.580 to get

01:08:54.840 somebody to

01:08:55.360 agree with

01:08:56.040 as many

01:08:56.420 things as

01:08:56.920 possible

01:08:57.400 if you

01:08:58.580 know that

01:08:58.980 later there's

01:08:59.560 going to be

01:08:59.840 a disagreement

01:09:00.340 so you want

01:09:01.560 to pace

01:09:02.020 it's called

01:09:02.680 pacing

01:09:03.060 have you

01:09:03.380 heard of

01:09:03.620 it

01:09:04.060 and pacing

01:09:05.780 means

01:09:06.280 that you

01:09:07.420 agree with

01:09:08.100 everything you

01:09:08.620 can agree

01:09:09.020 with

01:09:09.320 and that

01:09:10.380 gives you

01:09:10.740 some hope

01:09:11.540 that the

01:09:12.800 person will

01:09:13.240 listen to

01:09:13.640 you

01:09:13.940 have you

01:09:14.760 have you

01:09:15.080 seen people

01:09:15.520 try to

01:09:15.900 debate

01:09:16.240 when

01:09:17.580 everything

01:09:18.340 one person

01:09:19.120 says gets 0.87

01:09:19.620 questioned

01:09:20.020 there's

01:09:21.120 nowhere you

01:09:21.580 can go

01:09:22.020 you gotta

01:09:23.580 let them 0.55

01:09:23.980 have a

01:09:24.300 win

01:09:24.540 otherwise

01:09:25.560 there's

01:09:26.060 no point

01:09:26.520 in the

01:09:26.700 conversation

01:09:27.200 even if

01:09:28.160 you're not

01:09:28.540 quite sure

01:09:29.720 that they

01:09:30.060 won

01:09:30.340 you gotta

01:09:31.560 say

01:09:32.020 would you

01:09:33.040 agree

01:09:33.420 and make

01:09:34.920 sure that

01:09:35.300 there are

01:09:35.520 at least

01:09:35.800 some basic

01:09:36.340 things you

01:09:36.820 all agree

01:09:37.220 on

01:09:37.460 and then

01:09:38.020 maybe you

01:09:38.460 can have

01:09:38.720 a conversation

01:09:39.280 so yes

01:09:40.700 would you

01:09:41.240 agree

01:09:41.580 is

01:09:42.080 persuasion

01:09:42.840 but it's

01:09:44.000 also just

01:09:44.700 basic

01:09:45.120 communication

01:09:45.900 and the

01:09:47.040 difference

01:09:47.380 between

01:09:47.800 effective

01:09:48.560 communication

01:09:49.300 and persuasion

01:09:50.140 not that

01:09:51.640 big

01:09:51.940 not that

01:09:53.060 big

01:09:53.280 all right

01:09:54.420 so in

01:09:55.240 summary

01:09:55.560 I'd like

01:09:56.180 to see

01:09:56.600 a

01:09:56.880 place

01:09:58.620 where

01:09:58.920 all the

01:09:59.300 list

01:09:59.780 persuasion

01:10:00.700 relative

01:10:01.480 to the

01:10:02.960 election

01:10:03.260 is put

01:10:04.320 in one

01:10:04.640 place

01:10:05.040 and then

01:10:05.900 ladies and 0.98

01:10:06.560 gentlemen

01:10:06.800 you've got

01:10:07.460 something

01:10:07.800 I don't know

01:10:09.220 how many times

01:10:09.780 I've told you

01:10:10.260 this but the

01:10:11.180 speech writer

01:10:11.940 is one with

01:10:12.580 more power

01:10:13.340 than you

01:10:13.680 think

01:10:14.000 the person

01:10:15.240 who can

01:10:15.620 frame a

01:10:16.280 thing

01:10:16.480 better

01:10:16.840 has more

01:10:18.360 power than

01:10:18.800 you think

01:10:19.280 the best

01:10:20.460 idea

01:10:21.060 whoever has

01:10:22.620 the best

01:10:22.980 idea

01:10:23.420 is in

01:10:24.600 charge

01:10:24.960 this is

01:10:27.400 the best

01:10:27.820 idea

01:10:28.200 the best

01:10:29.760 idea

01:10:30.180 is to

01:10:30.800 have

01:10:31.040 several

01:10:31.720 list

01:10:32.440 persuasion

01:10:33.300 nuggets

01:10:34.340 of 12

01:10:35.240 items

01:10:35.680 no more

01:10:36.220 just get

01:10:37.140 good 12

01:10:37.720 12 good

01:10:38.600 ones

01:10:38.880 or less

01:10:39.900 and make

01:10:41.120 them available

01:10:41.640 to everybody

01:10:42.300 so that

01:10:43.380 whenever a

01:10:43.880 conversation

01:10:44.340 comes up

01:10:44.960 you can

01:10:45.260 say

01:10:45.520 well

01:10:46.000 here's

01:10:46.460 12

01:10:46.760 things

01:10:47.060 that

01:10:47.220 disagree

01:10:47.640 and

01:10:49.280 so that's

01:10:49.880 what I

01:10:50.400 do

01:10:50.620 all right

01:10:53.420 ladies and 0.98

01:10:54.260 gentlemen

01:10:54.500 this concludes

01:10:55.280 my super

01:10:56.860 wonderful

01:10:57.400 incredible

01:10:58.560 presentation

01:10:59.260 for Sunday

01:11:00.080 and I'm

01:11:02.840 going to

01:11:03.080 talk privately

01:11:03.760 to the

01:11:04.460 beloved

01:11:04.840 locals

01:11:06.140 folks

01:11:06.960 and

01:11:09.700 thanks for

01:11:10.960 joining on

01:11:11.500 X and

01:11:12.180 YouTube and

01:11:12.720 Rumble

01:11:13.000 I will see

01:11:13.920 you tomorrow

01:11:14.340 same time

01:11:15.160 same place

01:11:15.820 and locals

01:11:17.080 here I come

01:11:18.040 first

01:11:21.180 do

01:11:34.020 you

01:11:34.600 you

01:11:37.060 you

01:11:38.340 you

01:11:38.600 you

01:11:42.800 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 07, 2024

Episode 2529 CWSA 07⧸07⧸24

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