Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2542 CWSA 07⧸21⧸24

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00:01:36.820 Ah, so good. So, so good. Well, the news is weird and not the most interesting thing in the world,

00:01:47.140 but the important part is that there's nothing else good on television. There are no other podcasters

00:01:53.280 doing anything right now. I'm really the best you got, if you want to talk about this sort of stuff.

00:01:59.360 So, let's have a great time, shall we?

00:02:02.520 First, uh, Israel has attacked a Yemen, because Yemen attacked Israel first with a drone attack 0.83

00:02:11.280 that killed, killed one and injured a bunch. And so Israel had been warning that if any of their

00:02:17.620 many attacks, I guess Yemen has attacked Israel a bunch of times with missile type things. But

00:02:23.540 Israel has successfully shot them down until this last one got through. And so Israel responded with a

00:02:30.000 long range, um, air attack, which, uh, took out the, well, it was an attack on the port of, uh,

00:02:38.160 who did I, who did I, who data, who data. You know, when you want to know the proper pronunciation

00:02:46.640 of things around the world probably shouldn't watch this. I'm usually just guessing. Okay. It's called

00:02:57.240 the port of, uh, anyway, so the port of got, uh, massively attacked giant fireball. Um, will that

00:03:08.740 stop Yemen? Of course not. Of course not. Won't even slow them down. Now, Yemen of course is supported 1.00

00:03:16.140 by Iran. Iran says, we don't know what you're talking about. Well, we're not giving any weapons

00:03:21.580 to Yemen. Yet all those Iranian weapons keep showing up. Hmm. Huh. So, but the important thing 1.00

00:03:30.760 is that, uh, Yemen, um, is changing their name to, uh, yeah, woman. Yeah, woman. Cause Yemen

00:03:39.540 kind of sexist really, if you think about it. So it'll be, yeah, yeah, woman in the future. 0.98

00:03:46.680 Um, do you know that story that every one of you heard, uh, that Elon Musk donated $45 million a

00:03:54.300 month to President Trump's, to a PAC for President Trump? You remember that story? It's not true.

00:04:02.720 Can you believe that? That story's not true. That that's been like one of the most basic stories

00:04:11.420 you've seen in the news last several days. Elon Musk is going to do $45 million a month, a month

00:04:19.180 in a super PAC for Trump. Nope, not true. How do I know? Cause Musk said it's not true.

00:04:28.960 So here's what is true. There he is, he does have a fund, uh, but it's not specifically for Trump.

00:04:36.580 It's for candidates who are basically putting merit above DEI. So what he does have is an anti-DEI fund,

00:04:45.860 meaning that he will be supporting people who are, uh, in favor of, um, merit as opposed to,

00:04:54.440 you know, identity, I guess. And, uh, he says it isn't funded at anywhere near that level of $45

00:05:01.020 million. So that whole story, it was just bullshit. Does that just blow your mind a little bit

00:05:07.920 that the things you think are like, well, okay, I know that for sure, but it took him a long time

00:05:14.100 to debunk it, didn't it? You would think that would be the same day that Musk would have said,

00:05:19.660 no, no, I didn't do that. I mean, it was such a big story. You'd think it would be 10 minutes

00:05:25.380 later that there would be community note and he would debunk it anyway. So don't believe anything.

00:05:33.920 So here's a theme, which I've been, uh, thinking about a lot, which is that a lot can happen

00:05:41.960 between one presidential race and another. And especially in the Trump era, because it's a

00:05:48.620 three race situation. It's his third time he's been in it. And to a large extent, it's, you know,

00:05:55.960 the usual suspects, you know, lining up on one side, but there are a lot of new ones, a lot of new

00:06:02.160 people in the Trump camp. And one of the things I started noticing as a pattern is there's something

00:06:09.040 happening on the right that I don't think is happening on the left. And I don't know exactly

00:06:15.020 why, but here's the pattern. And you tell me if, if this seems like a real pattern, tell me if you

00:06:20.660 think I'm just imagining this. It seems to me that the people who maybe you could loosely say are pro

00:06:27.920 Trump, or at least not anti-Trump, which ends up being pretty close to the same thing. Uh, don't just

00:06:35.160 talk about the news. So both the left and the right have plenty of people who are pundits

00:06:41.000 who just talk about the news. Both the left and the right have plenty of people who are politicians

00:06:45.620 that take their various sides and talk like politicians. Both sides have, you know, biased

00:06:52.300 people on TV who, you know, what they're going to say before they say it. So there's no point in

00:06:57.660 having them because, you know, it's just going to be talking points kind of thing. But there's

00:07:02.480 something happening on the right that is, seems new and different, which is a bunch of figures that

00:07:09.860 I would consider teachers. So they're teaching you how to understand what you're saying. And that's

00:07:16.780 different. That's different from just saying, Oh, I watched Trump's rally and I think he was acting

00:07:23.140 like a dictator. And then somebody else will say, I watched that same rally and I interpret it as being

00:07:29.360 exactly the opposite of what you just said. Now that's not any good for anybody, right? Like,

00:07:35.220 what did you learn from that? Just two people lying and nothing, but I'm going to, I'm going to go

00:07:41.660 through some examples. You see what I mean? For example, let's say Glenn Greenwald. Thanks to him,

00:07:48.780 I have a whole new and better understanding of the connection between the CIA and our intelligence

00:07:54.600 people and the media. And so now I can identify, thanks to Greenwald, when there's an obvious

00:08:01.800 Intel related news event, you can look at the person, you could go, Oh, it's that network. Oh,

00:08:08.540 it was that specific person who's been identified as, you know, an obvious Intel connected person.

00:08:14.580 And then, then Greenwald will also tell you, Oh, this person pushed this thing that wasn't true.

00:08:20.780 And this thing that wasn't true. And suddenly the news looks different, right? I'm not just taking

00:08:26.800 sides. I've learned the gears of the machine, but just in that one domain, right? The connection

00:08:33.520 between Intel and, and the media, but that's a big thing. I mean, it's a really big thing. If you

00:08:39.920 don't understand that connection, I'll give you another one. Michael Schellenberger. Thanks to him

00:08:47.860 and you know, not him exclusively, but Mark Schneider earlier. But Schellenberger is probably the biggest

00:08:57.840 voice that convinced us that we weren't seeing nuclear energy correctly. That if you looked at it

00:09:04.420 more rationally, you'd see that there, there are plenty of ways to handle the waste, the modern

00:09:10.120 device, the modern, um, plants have never had a meltdown. You know, the, the current technology

00:09:16.060 has never had a meltdown. It's the old technology that's had meltdowns. So there's a whole bunch of

00:09:22.060 stuff we learned about the whole energy. And even in a sense, comparing it to climate change and what

00:09:28.500 you can do that, I don't think the left learned. I didn't see a ton of people educating the left.

00:09:35.960 Okay. Maybe you don't understand nuclear energy well enough. Let's explain what is really dangerous.

00:09:41.960 What is really safe compared, you know, rational way. So, so Schellenberger is like a teacher, right?

00:09:49.140 He's, he's a journalist, so he's breaking stories as well, but he, he treats it more like he's teaching.

00:09:55.000 And that's, that's where I learned a lot of what I know on that topic. Likewise, Schellenberger taught

00:10:01.280 us about the, and Matt Taibbi about the, uh, social media connection to the government.

00:10:08.480 Now, if you didn't know about that, how deep that connection was, you would be really flying blind

00:10:15.500 in understanding the world you live in. That's an important part of the machine to know that the

00:10:20.960 social media entities have been until X, we hope, uh, have been so, let's say, cooperative with the

00:10:29.980 government that it was effectively a restriction of your first amendment, you know, indirectly.

00:10:36.900 So what about, uh, Mike Benton's? If you're not following Mike Benton's, you're crazy.

00:10:43.160 He's done the best job of explaining what he calls the blob. Uh, that's not his own word for it,

00:10:48.820 but the blob being the big military, industrial, uh, state department, intelligence, people,

00:10:56.500 politics, and how the, how it's always, you know, worked as sort of a coordinated blob of power.

00:11:02.940 Now, if you didn't know about that blob and how long that's been powerful and what they do and what

00:11:09.260 they can do, what they can not do, you really wouldn't understand your world too well.

00:11:13.920 You wouldn't at all. And Ben's does an amazing job of explaining that on a regular basis. Again,

00:11:21.800 he's not breaking news, although often, you know, he puts together observations that you haven't seen

00:11:28.020 before, but he's simply explaining how the machine works. Hey, everybody, here's the machine.

00:11:33.860 Here's this moving part. And then this is connected to that moving part. Who's doing that on the left?

00:11:39.540 You start to see the pattern. No, and there's more. Let's take, uh, the all in pod. So with Sachs and

00:11:50.300 Chamath, uh, Peta, Petya, I hope I'm saying that close to right. David Sachs and the other guys. Uh,

00:11:57.360 but, but those two in particular, um, Sachs and, uh, Chamath, they don't just talk about the news.

00:12:04.560 They help you understand it. So when they're telling you about the news or also explaining the

00:12:10.860 context and why that matters and what it's connected to, that's very different. It, you know,

00:12:16.000 you don't see them doing just the biased political stuff. You know, you see them actually grappling with

00:12:23.760 actual observations of real things and how it all connects to other things. Very important.

00:12:29.640 Um, about, uh, uh, Cernovich, of course is, can't be compared to anything, but how many things has

00:12:38.780 Cernovich explained to you like a teacher, you know, not just somebody breaking a news story,

00:12:44.500 but a teacher, how this is connected to something else all the time. It's every day. How about, uh,

00:12:51.940 Elon Musk himself? How often has Elon Musk explained something to you that you needed explained?

00:13:01.280 Happens all the time. He doesn't just give you his opinion. He doesn't just take the side,

00:13:07.660 Biden bad, Trump good, or anything like that. He just tells you how things are connected. You know,

00:13:13.680 what, what works with what? Uh, and of course, Vivek is the, basically the, he's like a teaching

00:13:20.980 machine. Vivek has all the connections. Well, what about this is connected to this? You should

00:13:26.400 expect this. Vivek goes even further. He tells you that the machine predicts the following outcome

00:13:32.540 and that he can play along and you can watch how the machine operates. You can see his prediction

00:13:38.680 and then you can see if he called it right. This is a whole different level of what I think is

00:13:45.640 happening on the left, although I might be blind to it. So it could be that I'm, I'm just not seeing it.

00:13:50.980 But I asked the other day, you know, who else is doing this kind of thing? And, uh, I didn't see,

00:13:57.860 I didn't see suggestions that I accepted as being in the same category. Let's take relationships and

00:14:04.520 just the category of success. Jordan Peterson. Now, I don't know the degree to which he has

00:14:11.080 as many followers on the left, but if you're on the right, you're always saying Jordan Peterson,

00:14:16.460 if you're on social media and you're seeing him explain what makes sense from a human being

00:14:23.740 in a civilization sense, almost again, like a machine, like, okay, a human has this, these drives

00:14:32.280 and these motivations. And there's, you know, this chemical signature under this situation,

00:14:37.740 very much like describing the gears of the machine. And if you do this, it will cause your dopamine to do

00:14:44.380 this. And if your dopamine does this, you're going to do that. You know, I'm simplifying,

00:14:49.660 of course, but, but to actually see the gears of the machine, it's everywhere on the right.

00:14:57.420 Wouldn't you agree? Now, some of that turns into conspiracy theory,

00:15:02.060 but I'm going to put the most positive spin on conspiracy theory. Watch this.

00:15:06.300 this will require a premature set. Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament. 0.98

00:15:13.080 I've been visualizing my match all week. She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the

00:15:18.300 column behind her car on her backhand side. Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the 1.00

00:15:24.480 largest network of auto service centers in the country. Everything was taken care of under one

00:15:28.900 roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time. I made it to my tournament and lost in the 0.99

00:15:34.360 first round, but you got there on time. Intact insurance, your auto service ace certain conditions

00:15:40.220 apply. When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners. I started wondering

00:15:45.880 is every fabulous item I see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:15:51.900 Are those from winners? Ooh, are those beautiful gold earrings? Did she pay full price or that leather

00:15:58.000 tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee high boots that dress, that jacket, those shoes is

00:16:03.900 anyone paying full price for anything? Stop wondering, start winning. Winners find fabulous for less.

00:16:10.840 You know how play is good for kids? Apparently if you're a kid and you never get to go outside and

00:16:27.540 play or play with your friends, you're just not going to develop right. So you need to play. It's

00:16:33.560 important. You need to brainstorm. You know, you need to see different things. I think all the

00:16:39.540 conspiracy theory is sort of people working through the machine. In other words, people who have the

00:16:48.260 conspiracy theory are trying to apply it to what they've learned about the machine. You know, how the

00:16:53.940 government really works, how the intelligence people really work, how the military industrial complex

00:17:01.320 really works, how the press is really bullshit, and they take all those things they know about the

00:17:08.520 machine, and then they take each news story, such as the attempted assassination of Trump, and you put

00:17:15.740 it in the machine. And it's a way to test the machine. But some of it, I think, is closer to play

00:17:22.140 than it is to knowledge. And that as much as you wish there were not weird conspiracy theories that

00:17:30.320 turn out to be false and maybe mislead you, we all wish we were less misled by conspiracy theories.

00:17:36.760 But I'm not sure that they're without value. I feel like a healthy society would understand how

00:17:46.840 everything is connected. And then when a new thing comes up, they would apply that knowledge and say,

00:17:52.640 you know what, this certainly opens the possibility of a second shooter or something, because we've seen

00:17:58.100 that before. So I think even the conspiracy theories are people running through the right process,

00:18:06.260 maybe not always getting the right answer, but running through the right process of knowing what's

00:18:10.600 connected to what else. And I, of course, spend most of my time trying to do exactly this. I'm doing it

00:18:21.020 right now. So what I'm doing right now, for example, is explaining. I'm telling you that there's something

00:18:29.260 about the right that's functionally different, like two different cars are different, right?

00:18:36.380 So there's something that made the people on the right way, way smarter and far more likely not to

00:18:46.000 be fooled by fake news. In my opinion, the people on the right have learned a set of skills. And I would

00:18:54.020 like to think that I'm part of that in the sense of teaching you how to identify fake news. And I put my

00:19:01.940 own filters on stuff. So I say, when it's appropriate, I say, well, I've reminded you too

00:19:08.220 many times that I have a degree in economics. So here's what an economist would say looking at this

00:19:13.160 situation. Here's what a business person would say looking at this situation. And I think all of those

00:19:18.220 filters give you tools. It allows you to say, all right, well, what did an economist say in this

00:19:24.480 situation? Well, what does follow the money tell us in this situation? So, and you saw, I think, during the

00:19:32.080 pandemic, maybe that's when things got solidified. But during the pandemic, would you agree that the people

00:19:39.660 on the right may have ended up with pretty good, pretty good analysis of the machine? Because the people on the

00:19:47.340 right didn't trust the machine. They said, wait a minute, money involved, these are the people we don't trust from

00:19:54.060 other reasons. You know, too little time has gone by for the time it would take you to develop

00:20:00.000 something that satisfied you. So what would be the logical outcome of that? So if you were to say,

00:20:11.380 all right, Scott, let's take your proposition there. And let's say, if it were true, how would that turn

00:20:19.000 out? Well, if it were true that the political right had turned into a teaching machine,

00:20:28.380 a teaching machine, and the political left had turned into an identity machine with mostly just

00:20:35.780 accusations. You're a white supremacist. I'm black. I'm a woman. I'm an LGBTQ. You're a bad person.

00:20:45.540 Right. So we'll talk about their prediction. But if you were to predict what would happen if one side

00:20:51.920 just started teaching and just getting smarter? Well, one thing you should assume is that it would

00:20:59.820 start attracting other smart people. Because the smart people are going to say, why is this group

00:21:07.000 sometimes wrong? You know, definitely sometimes has a lot of conspiracy theories. But why are they at

00:21:14.040 least thinking through it the right way? Like, why is this different over this side? There's something

00:21:19.800 that's rationally based. And I would also say that a big change, and this is probably Trump as much as

00:21:28.120 anything, when I was young, I never would have been associated with the political right. And the

00:21:35.340 primary reason was that I saw that their main driver was religion. And that religion was informing

00:21:43.060 their policies to a degree that I wasn't comfortable with, because I didn't share the

00:21:48.800 religious beliefs. But I think that the right has changed now, so that they accept the religious

00:21:54.600 belief is sort of their business. In the rarest case, just really, it's just, I'd say at this point,

00:22:02.280 abortion. It comes through. And it's, you know, it's a big decider in that case. But generally speaking,

00:22:09.580 I would say the political right is trying to lead with what makes sense. And then also,

00:22:15.880 can I enjoy my religion, please? Does it feel like that? Because there's no longer this moral

00:22:21.720 majority, you know, you've all got to go to church, hey, everybody go back to church. It felt a little

00:22:27.740 preachy to me in the past. And now it just feels like freedom. Oh, oh, you want to vote for a qualified

00:22:35.300 government? I do too. All right. So we're on the same page. Oh, you would like to privately

00:22:40.600 enjoy your religion in all the ways that are good, because you've shown that the religion works.

00:22:49.080 Excellent. Please go do that. And do it a lot. Like, I want you to be just as religious as you want to be.

00:22:56.160 I love it. As long as it's not informing all of my political opinions. And you can only pick a,

00:23:02.100 you can only pick a president who's got your same religion and agrees with all that stuff. No.

00:23:09.000 So I think if you look at the right, there, the rights, let's say the way they treat their own

00:23:16.600 religious faith is now very compatible with any smart person, whether they agree with your religious

00:23:23.480 faith or not, because it's freedom. It's just freedom. Of course, I want you to be free

00:23:28.660 to practice your religion, if it agrees with me or not, as long as it's legal.

00:23:35.780 Now, take, for example,

00:23:39.580 the other side. Now, the other side, oh, well, to finish the thought, what you would expect is

00:23:46.860 that the smart people would start streaming over to the right. People who don't identify with the

00:23:53.540 religious part, but no longer see it as a big obstacle. It's simply part of freedom. And I think

00:24:01.580 the all-in pod would be an example of that. I don't think I've seen any of them ever mention religion.

00:24:08.500 It's just not necessary. Because you can be fully embraced in a pro-Trump way with any religion.

00:24:17.360 It doesn't matter. Elon Musk doesn't seem to have a religion that matters, but he can be in favor of

00:24:25.420 good policies and strong immigration. No problem with that. So I think what's happened is you're

00:24:31.780 seeing the migration of the smartest people moving right, because identity is just fucking stupid.

00:24:38.220 Let me say it again. Emphasizing identity is fucking stupid, and every smart person knows it.

00:24:46.840 If I can be honest, every smart person knows that focusing on identity is fucking stupid.

00:24:53.340 And in the long run, what's it going to get you? If you were to draw that up on paper and say,

00:24:59.620 all right, let's see, I think we Democrats, we need to focus more on identity and intersectionality

00:25:07.420 and race and gender and sexual preference. That's really going to be our focus. If somebody told

00:25:15.780 you that before it ever happened, what would you predict would be the fate of their party,

00:25:22.440 the Democrat Party? If you just saw it written down on a PowerPoint slide, we're going to change

00:25:28.820 our focus to DEI and CRT and the SG. Well, I think you would predict, because you see the

00:25:37.320 gears of the machine, you say, wait a minute, if you're focusing on your identity, doesn't

00:25:44.160 this guarantee that sometime not that far in the future, that the Democrat Party will atomize

00:25:52.580 into these different tribes that hate each other? Because won't the black people who are 1.00

00:25:57.400 looking for their identity benefits maybe come in conflict with the white women who want 1.00

00:26:04.000 theirs and the LGBTQ and here we are. So the right says, what's the best frame where everybody's

00:26:12.840 better off? And the answer is nation. Nation is and always was the correct frame for bringing

00:26:22.680 us together and making us a successful country. And the melting pot, in my opinion, was the strongest

00:26:28.940 thing America's ever done as a concept. Strongest thing is to say everybody's American. And that's

00:26:35.400 your primary overarching philosophy. Everybody's American. Let's start there. Now, what would

00:26:44.120 you expect would be the fate of that party? Just what you say. You would expect that the right

00:26:50.720 would turn into a highly capable machine because people of all types would say, wait a minute,

00:26:57.700 I don't have to be black or white or anything. I could be over there. And wait, why is Elon Musk

00:27:04.440 seemingly friendly to that side? He's so smart. Wait, what are these all-in pod guys doing?

00:27:11.720 They all made so much money because they're so smart. Why are they over there? Right? So you're

00:27:17.500 seeing this big magnet that's just sucking the smart, non-crazy people in one direction. And meanwhile,

00:27:24.440 the poor Democrats, can you believe that they can't even figure out a presidential candidate

00:27:30.460 right before the election? Have you ever seen anything in your whole life as incapable as the

00:27:38.400 Democrats right now? And why is that? It's because of their identity issue. It's exactly what you would

00:27:46.160 have known. Every one of you would have anticipated this, right? If I'd given you the test 10 years ago,

00:27:51.900 all right, one group's going to focus on America. One group is going to focus on identity. You would

00:27:59.740 have known exactly where this would turn out. There would be no mystery here at all. You'd say, oh,

00:28:05.700 the identity people would start fighting with each other. Why? Because of their identity.

00:28:10.500 So sure enough, black Democrats seem to be wanting to keep Biden for whatever reason. I don't know if

00:28:18.900 the reasons are good or bad, but they get to have their own reasons and they want to keep them.

00:28:24.100 Meanwhile, there are a bunch of other people, maybe other identities who say, you know,

00:28:29.240 maybe time to get rid of them. But they use their identity to put Kamala Harris in place. 1.00

00:28:34.360 And it turns out nobody thinks she's really capable, at least capable enough to win. And now they can't

00:28:44.300 replace her because they focused on identity and they can't win with her. And they can't make any

00:28:50.400 decision because they just have two losing paths. And what do the Republicans have? Republicans ran

00:29:00.180 a primary. They used a process, which guaranteed that when we got to this date, everything would be

00:29:10.720 unified as much as possible. And that the Republicans would be just chugging along like this magnificent,

00:29:18.860 well-oiled machine with, by the way, I don't know how many times I'm going to say it because I like

00:29:25.460 saying it. Trump has really good advisors. We're going to talk about that in some more detail.

00:29:31.520 He has really good advisors and it's not an accident. It's because the smart people have

00:29:36.700 all been drawn to the same side because the smart people are running away from this identity argument.

00:29:42.540 They're running hard. So we're right where we expect to be. All right, let's give you some examples.

00:29:49.600 You know that if you learned how the hoax machine works, and I've been teaching you that,

00:29:57.200 how many of you knew that there would be a summer hoax? All right, you tell me. Let's see how educated

00:30:04.060 you are on how the world works. How many of you knew months before it happened that there would be a big

00:30:10.980 new summer hoax, which turns out to be the Project 2025 thing? You all knew, right? Every one of you

00:30:20.040 knew, oh, there's going to be a brand new summer hoax, and the media will play it up, and they'll act

00:30:25.240 like it's real, and it will be obviously not real. And sure enough, so here's Hakeem Jeffries

00:30:32.020 saying, let's be clear. He says this in a post on X. Let's be clear. Donald Trump is lying about

00:30:39.580 Project 2025. So Trump gives his big rally we'll talk about in some more detail. But one of the

00:30:49.380 things he said was, you know, they keep saying I'm in favor of this Project 2025 thing. No, those are

00:30:56.220 extremists. You know, some of them are, I know, and they're fine, and, you know, but the stuff in

00:31:02.100 there is extreme. And I see it like there's extremists on the left, there's extremists on the right,

00:31:08.180 and the 2025 stuff is, you know, a lot of it is extremists on the right, and I reject it. You can see

00:31:15.440 my plan. It's published. He's got his own plan of what he wants to do. Now, Hakeem Jeffries

00:31:22.800 tells you he's lying about his own platform. Let me ask you this. Has that ever happened?

00:31:32.140 Has anybody ever lied about their own platform? Certainly, you know, politicians lie, and they

00:31:39.700 might lie about individual things. But has anybody ever run for office with a whole different agenda

00:31:46.740 than the one that they said they have? I mean, usually you can tell what they want before you

00:31:52.680 elect them. But apparently, the left with their big summer hoax wants you to believe that Trump is

00:31:59.820 running for president, and that all of the Republicans around him that would have to agree

00:32:05.620 sort of on the, you know, what the platform is, that they're all in on this major hoax where they

00:32:11.880 really want to do this Project 2025 thing, or they think Trump wants to do it, and that the real thing

00:32:18.200 that the Republicans are going to do is ignore their own platform. You would have to know nothing

00:32:24.280 about Republicans to think that's the case. Now, you might say, you know, the team that does

00:32:30.880 hoaxes one after another, the Democrats, the hoaxers might tell you they're going to do one

00:32:35.560 thing and then do something else. Because I don't think that Biden ever said he was going to open up

00:32:40.520 the border, right? I don't think he said, I'll just let everybody come in. So you can certainly see

00:32:46.660 on, you know, individual things that they might not do what they said they were going to do.

00:32:50.280 But what if Republicans done that? Is that a Republican thing? Because remember, it wouldn't

00:32:57.400 be just Trump. It would have to be a whole constellation of Republicans had somehow gotten

00:33:04.040 together and there'd been no leaks, no whistleblowers, you know, no anonymous sources. And they'd all

00:33:10.680 colluded to pretend that they had one set of policies. But really, Hakeem Jeffries knows that

00:33:18.480 they have a secret set of policies that they don't. So you can all see all of the gears of that

00:33:27.440 machine, right? Probably every one of you right now this morning says, yeah, we knew the hoax was

00:33:34.580 coming. We knew how it's developed. We know, you know, that it's not Trump's thing. We know he's got

00:33:40.620 his own thing. We know the media is coordinated as a Democrat machine, essentially. So they're going

00:33:46.720 to say over and over that it's true and it's not. So now suppose you're a Democrat and you haven't

00:33:55.360 been trained in this way to see all the gears of the machine. You turn on the TV and the news says,

00:34:02.120 Hakeem Jeffries says Trump is lying and he's going to do all these Project 2025 things.

00:34:07.180 What would you do? If you had no background in training in what's really the way things work,

00:34:13.080 you'd say, man, what's in that thing? And then they'd give you some scary things that are in that.

00:34:18.920 And you say, oh my God, that sounds pretty dangerous. Yeah, it matters if you know how things work.

00:34:27.440 Here's another thing I was thinking about. Mike Benz once said there are three or four major

00:34:35.460 power sources. So a president is going to do well if those power sources support the president. For

00:34:44.740 example, the energy industry is one of the big power sources in the country. Now, Trump presumably

00:34:55.460 would be loved by the energy business because he would promote more drilling, drill baby drill and

00:35:02.280 fewer regulations. So one assumes that the energy industry would have a major preference for Trump

00:35:09.940 over Biden. Fair enough. You would all buy that, right? How about finance? Finance, I'm not sure has

00:35:19.600 ever, well, I don't know. I don't know the history. But if you say that Jamie Dimon is the sort of the big

00:35:28.800 name in finance. And he recently didn't say he was pro-Trump, but he did say on television when the

00:35:36.800 cameras were running, well, Trump has been right about a number of things. He said, you know, let's

00:35:43.640 be realistic. You know, if we're just being objective, Trump got a bunch of things right.

00:35:50.740 Now, that's not a strong endorsement,

00:35:53.800 but it was kind of brave that he would say anything pro-Trump, even with caveats. So I feel

00:36:00.780 like finance might be leaning toward Trump a little bit and the Republicans just for a fiscal,

00:36:07.500 a little bit of fiscal control. Now, I'm not going to argue that the Republicans have better fiscal

00:36:12.980 control. I think they have an intention of better fiscal control. Actual performance,

00:36:19.700 not impressive. But just in terms of which groups are going to support which candidates,

00:36:25.680 I don't think Biden has a big advantage in the finance group.

00:36:30.340 Then look at tech. Another power source is all the tech people, high tech. It looks like Trump

00:36:38.020 either owns that or he's taking a big bite out of it. I mean, now we're seeing big venture capitalists

00:36:43.940 and, you know, Musk, of course, and far more people than you would have expected. And now J.D. Vance

00:36:49.920 is popular apparently in the tech world. And then the military industrial complex. This would be the

00:36:57.600 hardest one for Trump because he's anti-war and the military industrial complex makes money when

00:37:04.120 there's war. But Trump does have a play. If his play is, I'm going to be Reagan and I'm going to build

00:37:11.520 up our military. That's expensive. So you could imagine them saying, oh, we do like the wars because

00:37:18.760 we make a lot of money with the wars, but we also like the rebuilding. Maybe even better because we

00:37:25.940 have to, you know, build up our stockpiles of all kinds of shells and weapons and planes and replace

00:37:32.940 our old stuff. So of these four big sources, the energy, group, finance, high tech, and military

00:37:39.680 industrial complex. Trump either already has the dominant position or he has a good enough argument.

00:37:47.860 I've never seen that before. Now, again, who on the Democrat side is explaining to their people

00:37:56.840 that there are kind of four power sources in the country? If you don't understand how each of them

00:38:02.580 likes the candidates, you're going to be surprised at their outcome, right? Now, this is, you know,

00:38:07.980 Mike Benz is the godfather of this stuff. Now, doesn't that make you feel smarter? You're actually

00:38:15.940 learning how the machine works. All right. So here's some things about, so Trump gave his first big

00:38:25.060 rally since the assassination attempt. My observation is, how hard is it to go back in public after

00:38:35.420 somebody shot at you? Just ask yourself how easily you could do that. I don't know how easy it was

00:38:43.780 for Trump. It couldn't have been super easy, but you sure made it look easy. You made it look easy.

00:38:51.840 And yeah, as others who are smarter talk about bravery, bravery isn't about how you feel about it.

00:39:00.060 You know that, right? Bravery is not about how afraid you are. Bravery is doing it anyway.

00:39:06.240 So the only part you can measure is, did he do it anyway? Yes, he did. So we don't have to wonder

00:39:13.620 about, you know, what was in his internal dialogue in his mind. He did it. He did it. That's the end

00:39:21.560 of the story, right? It took bravery. He did it. So that was good. It didn't take long. He was back in

00:39:28.840 the saddle. One hopes he had better secret service protection by then. But he seemed very relaxed,

00:39:35.400 very happy, seemed to be on a just complete high. And I believe he's already modified his approach

00:39:42.300 into what I'm going to call presidential. There's a whole different mode when you're in pure campaign

00:39:51.060 mode. But at the moment, he doesn't even know who he's running against. Think about that. He doesn't

00:39:56.540 know who he's running against. Not really. So given that people are assuming he's going to win

00:40:02.940 under our current set of situations, he's running like he already won. He's running like he's already

00:40:10.900 in the position, and then he can soften his rhetoric. For example, apparently he removed from this

00:40:17.960 speech, he didn't say anything about January 6th. He liked to say the election was

00:40:26.300 rigged, blah, blah, blah, blah. The January 6ers are in jail for no reason, blah, blah, blah. 0.87

00:40:32.740 But he's not going to get those January 6ers out unless he gets elected. So he moves into 0.96

00:40:40.860 presidential mode, vastly increases the odds that he'll get elected, and then he can take care of

00:40:48.840 any January 6th people who maybe were in need of a presidential pardon. So being quiet about

00:40:56.140 for a few months might be the best play for the January 6ers. But it also is just less trouble.

00:41:03.300 Because he knows that if he starts questioning the 2020 election, it's going to look like a

00:41:08.420 backwards-looking approach. Nobody likes that. Even if you like Trump, I don't want him looking

00:41:14.200 backwards at 2020. Do you? So the closest he's getting to the election-rigging claims is to say

00:41:23.540 that the only way he could lose is if Democrats cheat. And I guess Don Jr. is saying similar

00:41:31.300 stuff. That is a very much improved approach for exactly where he is in the campaign.

00:41:39.980 Where he is in the campaign is don't give them any reason to have a weapon. So right now,

00:41:46.580 he doesn't need a new weapon. He needs to make sure he's not a target, that there's an opening,

00:41:51.760 that they can make something that hasn't happened yet happen. So it totally makes sense. And again,

00:41:58.040 I'm going to give my millionth compliment to his consulting team. This is the sort of change that

00:42:05.680 I'm pretty sure comes from advisors that he trusts. Obviously, the boss always has to get the credit

00:42:14.020 because the boss picks the advisors. The boss decides which advice to take. So it's always

00:42:18.820 the boss. But you can't choose good advice unless you've got great advisors. He's got great advisors.

00:42:25.240 I don't know who it is. I would love to find out after the race who are the main advisors because

00:42:30.440 they're killing it. They're just doing such a good job for him. I assume it's a team of people, but

00:42:37.380 they're just doing great. So yes, that was exactly what he should be doing is avoiding the January 6th

00:42:43.740 thing. It's just red meat. You don't need it. Get the power and then do what you need to do.

00:42:49.360 And here's the part I like the best. So the Democrats are trying to go with this vague,

00:42:56.340 he's going to steal your democracy. Trump joked about it. There we go. That is exactly right.

00:43:05.620 He should joke about it. And here's what he said. I'll paraphrase. He said,

00:43:09.840 the Democrats are saying, I'm trying to steal your democracy. He goes, how am I stealing your

00:43:17.000 democracy? And then there's this little pause for perfect timing. And then he says, last week,

00:43:24.400 I took a bullet for democracy. Crowd goes wild. Now, how much do I love that? Beyond words. That's so

00:43:32.240 good. Now, is it logical to say that he took a bullet for democracy? No, not really. That's not,

00:43:40.060 it's not really a logical connection. I mean, there was an assassin. We don't know all the details,

00:43:45.520 blah, blah, blah. Well, it wasn't exactly he took a bullet for democracy. But were you willing to argue

00:43:51.060 that point? No, it feels like it's right. It's the damnedest thing. It's a sort of a Trump only

00:43:58.860 democracy communication. It sounds like it's true and right and exactly the right thing to say.

00:44:04.880 I took a bullet for democracy. It's not exactly sensible. But why does it feel so sensible?

00:44:12.440 Can't you feel it? And it was a joke, but it also was a clarifier. It was a reframe.

00:44:20.660 And then he just sort of, you know, laughs and says, steal your democracy. That's crazy. Perfect.

00:44:29.460 Perfect. Because I want them to give examples. How is he stealing your democracy? Well, he's trying

00:44:37.340 to take the bodily autonomy rights away from women. Here's the response to that. You mean, 0.91

00:44:44.600 by taking the power away from himself, the federal government, and making sure it got moved closer

00:44:52.100 to the individuals, that's stealing your democracy? Because it looks to me a lot more like increasing

00:45:00.500 it. Right? If you're a republic, you know, the people in charge are making the decisions,

00:45:06.820 and that might include the federal government. If you're closer to a democracy, the people are

00:45:11.980 more in charge. And moving it to the States gets you closer to that. Now, that's not the best

00:45:18.100 explanation. But the point is, they don't even have examples. Even their examples are examples where

00:45:25.100 he's increased democracy, not decreased it by any reasonable standard. So I love the fact that he

00:45:33.260 asked the question, how am I stealing democracy? I love the fact that he's treating it as silly,

00:45:40.700 because that's presidential. It's presidential to say, you know what? It's kind of silly. Let's talk

00:45:49.020 about something that matters. That's presidential. Campaign would be, you say this? Well, I say you do

00:45:56.580 this. I say you're stealing the democracy. That's campaigning. President is, what are they talking

00:46:04.640 about? I took a bullet for democracy yesterday? Perfect. They could not have been better. This

00:46:10.720 was just perfect. And like he said, when he talked about Project 2025, he mocked it. He just mocked it

00:46:19.580 like it was, you know, what are you doing? What are you making stuff up for? Perfect. Exactly the right

00:46:25.520 approach. Um, and then it even got better. Apparently he, um, he started joking about his

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00:47:34.380 If you think that Trump is the scary dictator, and you see him making fun of his own comb over

00:47:52.700 in public, how do you hold those in your head at the same time? Do you think there was ever a time

00:47:59.640 when Hitler was giving a speech? And then he paused in the middle, he's like, you know, 0.88

00:48:05.400 and this would be my Hitler impression, except in English. You know, as I'm looking at all these 0.98

00:48:11.040 posters of me, as I'm giving this speech, I really made me rethink this whole mustache.

00:48:17.460 You know, honestly, it's kind of a weird mustache. Like, that never happened, right?

00:48:23.660 Did, did you ever see Stalin, Stalin giving a speech? He's like, well, you know, I've got this

00:48:32.800 big, beefy mustache. Looks kind of funny, doesn't it? No, no. So he doesn't have to say, he doesn't

00:48:40.720 have to, you know, complete the line and say, well, you know, nobody makes, nobody does self-referential

00:48:49.160 humor if they're a dictator. It's just that, you know, it, you know, the dictators act a certain

00:48:55.080 way and that's not how they act. And so by being, you know, opposite their stereotype of him, even if

00:49:02.960 it's just joking and even if it's just about his haircut, every time he does something that seems

00:49:08.380 opposite their stereotype, it works. And indirectly, subconsciously, in every way, he just has to be

00:49:16.180 opposite of whatever a dictator looks like in every way that you can do that. Making fun of his haircut

00:49:22.300 is just one way. He did, however, this was interesting. He, he did take a swipe at El

00:49:30.540 Salvador and President Bukele, who many people are saying is doing, doing a great job controlling MS-13

00:49:39.060 and crime is way down, et cetera. And even as he was doing that, I think yesterday, Matt Gaetz was

00:49:45.280 visiting and, you know, we have very good relationship with El Salvador at the moment,

00:49:50.660 it seems. But Trump took a swipe at him and he said that, that El Salvador is releasing their

00:49:58.060 criminals into the U.S. And that's part of the reason that the crime rate in El Salvador is down.

00:50:02.780 Now, I did see somebody on the left say, there's no evidence of that. Because he used to say it

00:50:10.240 about Venezuela, maybe he still does. And, and somebody said, but is there any evidence that

00:50:19.060 they're actually literally opening the jails and letting them go? And I would say, that's a good

00:50:24.720 question. That is a perfectly good question. I would like to know if Trump's claim is actually

00:50:33.480 backed by data. Cause I don't know. Do you? Is it, I don't know if it's provable or he just figures

00:50:40.140 the suspicion is good enough. Well, I think it's, it's compatible with his idea that too many criminals

00:50:47.420 are coming in and it helps his message. I think there's probably evidence anecdotally that at least

00:50:55.900 some people came here because they were in trouble with the law in their home country. Would it be fair

00:51:01.780 to say that we've picked up some number of people, you know, not a gigantic number, but people who

00:51:08.740 already were wanted in their own country? I mean, I've seen stories like that. So if we're picking up

00:51:14.840 people who are wanted in their own country, that's sounds a lot like they left the country because

00:51:20.920 they were criminals and they thought it'd be safer here, but you don't know. Every, every one of those

00:51:26.440 stories is unique. They may have had different reasons to come. So I'd love to see if there's some

00:51:32.900 backing to that, but it's also just interesting that he would, he would slap an ally. But let me tell

00:51:41.880 you, and so then Bukele commented on X and his only comment was taking the high ground, taking the high

00:51:50.500 ground, but basically he wasn't going to, you know, directly mix it up on that. Totally the right answer.

00:51:57.360 I'll tell you Bukele, if I'm even saying that right, El Salvador's leader, you got to say he's smart. I mean,

00:52:07.400 whatever else you like or don't like about him, he's smart and he does smart things and he just

00:52:13.440 does it one after another. So I think this might be a little bit of nagging.

00:52:20.800 I think Trump is going to first knock him down a few pegs because remember they're both leaders in

00:52:27.060 this part of the world. I don't think Trump wants anybody to be a higher level leader. You know,

00:52:33.840 anybody who gets more credit for being a leader. So I think he's going to first give him a little

00:52:38.960 brush, brushback pitch later. If assuming Trump is elected, I predict they will be best friends.

00:52:49.100 Anybody want to make a bet? I bet if Trump gets elected, I can guarantee you there'll be a point

00:52:55.860 where Bukele visits the White House and you're going to see them, Trump slapping them on the back

00:53:01.520 and saying, this guy's great. I love this guy. I wish we didn't have your criminals, but I love this

00:53:07.360 guy. So I wouldn't worry about it. I think Trump just, you know, gives people a brushback pitch and

00:53:15.440 then later embraces them. It's just part of his persuasion game. All right, let's talk about the

00:53:22.960 question of one or two shooters. I saw Bill Ackman got involved in looking at some of the analyses.

00:53:29.720 So there was an audio analysis that made it look like there was two shooters in addition to the

00:53:36.960 one sniper. There's no news that suggests that two of the good guy snipers tried to take out the bad

00:53:50.620 guy, which would mean that there were three different shooters. So two snipers that are on

00:53:58.700 Trump's side and then the one sniper who tried to kill him and that would be three guns. So

00:54:03.880 there doesn't seem to be evidence of a second shooter, but there is evidence that there were

00:54:12.500 three shooters. Just two of them were good guys. Apparently the police, and by the way, all this

00:54:19.880 could change. But apparently the police sniper, he missed. And apparently the secret service sniper

00:54:31.620 did a one in a million shot. Because by the time the police sniper missed, I guess the guy,

00:54:38.060 you know, Crooks was way down and just a little bit of his head was above the barrier. And it looks

00:54:46.640 like, it looks like the secret service guy with one shot hit a target that was, you know, maybe four

00:54:54.780 inches tall from a fairly sizable distance. So people are saying it was just an amazing shot by the one

00:55:03.200 guy. I'm kind of surprised that the first shot didn't at least make the shooter stop, but it did make him

00:55:10.380 shoot wildly. So one of them did their work. Now, the other thing we learned is that

00:55:18.200 the report is that the two different groups of police, one was local, one was nearby local in

00:55:28.260 charge of the sniper that was in the building instead of on top of it. And then there was a

00:55:33.060 secret service. Apparently they did not have the same communication channels.

00:55:39.600 Can you believe that? There were three entities and there was not one communication channel that

00:55:45.620 they were all on so that they could be coordinating. Now, who speculated that that would be the case?

00:55:54.220 Can you think of anybody who's been talking about this who said, you know, it could have been a

00:55:58.960 communication problem because they might've had different communication methods. Me. Yeah. I'm

00:56:05.720 the only person who said that that could be the answer. Do you know why nobody else said it? Because

00:56:10.680 the rest of you have bought into the secret service is so capable. There's no way that they're going to

00:56:17.680 have separate communication channels. Like even if they're working with the police, obviously people,

00:56:23.880 obviously they're going to be on the same communication channel. I mean, you couldn't have

00:56:27.760 three different police organizations working in an event and being on different communication

00:56:34.120 channels. That wouldn't work, right? Well, looks like that might've been the case.

00:56:41.820 Now, when I say different channels, it doesn't mean they couldn't all talk to each other.

00:56:46.480 It might mean that they weren't just automatically on the right ones. In other words, you might have to

00:56:51.480 dial a phone and get somebody to get somebody on the phone or something, but they didn't have a quick

00:56:56.060 common communication. All right. Now, how's the Dilbert filter looking? Remember I told you from day one

00:57:05.260 that, you know, certainly the conspiracy theory, multiple shooter thing is alive as a possibility,

00:57:12.920 not ruled out, but also alive is mass incompetence. And I know that some of you fought against it

00:57:19.920 mentally, you fought against it because you thought nobody could be that incompetent. And I said,

00:57:27.060 do you remember? I said, I don't think you understand how, how incompetent organizations can be.

00:57:33.900 And I said, if there are two organizations, you're automatically going to have trouble.

00:57:39.640 And if there are three, which there were, you're really in trouble.

00:57:47.180 Now, somebody else said that it seemed very unlikely that somebody could, you know, carry out this,

00:57:55.140 this assassination. If it were a conspiracy theory, there'd be too many people involved and you'd find

00:58:01.380 out. And, and why do you think they would be capable?

00:58:04.380 Well, I'll use the Steve jobs, uh, frame for that. Steve jobs would say, if you want something done,

00:58:14.680 you want the fewest number of experts, engineers, usually you don't want, you don't want a hundred

00:58:20.620 engineers working on something. You want five, like five really, really good ones. Then you got

00:58:27.600 something. So I would say that, you know, if it turns out there's that crooks is part of a larger

00:58:33.260 conspiracy that the largest that conspiracy could be, would be five people. Meaning that you could

00:58:41.140 find, you know, four other people besides him who are super good at what they do and not going to talk

00:58:48.380 to anybody. You know, they're actual assassins and had done it for years and were experienced and they

00:58:54.460 had a getaway plan and they knew how to, they knew how to brainwash crooks and they knew how to take

00:58:59.760 amount. And maybe, maybe, but once you get beyond five really handpicked, high capable people,

00:59:09.940 everything's incompetent, everything, everything's broken. So why would the secret service be the one

00:59:17.460 thing that was unaffected by what's breaking everything else in the world? Everything else in

00:59:23.480 the world is full of incompetence. And sure enough, the secret service was apparently just full of

00:59:29.540 incompetence. It was exactly what my first guess was, huh? That looks like major incompetence.

00:59:35.920 And so far it looks like that. So there's a rumor that Cheadle, the head of the secret service might

00:59:43.200 resign on Monday, but I'm not believing that yet. I do not believe she's necessarily going to resign.

00:59:50.920 And I'm not entirely sure that the world is better off if she does. I think she has to resign

00:59:57.060 eventually, but don't they sort of need her there to answer questions and to, you know,

01:00:04.040 kind of explain fully with resources at her, at her disposal. So I don't think you want to do that

01:00:10.060 too quickly, but I think it'll happen. Anyway, uh, it was fun watching on X as the experts were analyzing

01:00:18.220 it. And, uh, and then other experts were debunking it and we're trying to figure out what's what.

01:00:24.360 So that was a lot of fun. And then there's the story of, um, had the Trump people been asking for

01:00:31.720 more secret service protection and was it denied? Well, Mayorkas, who appears to be the biggest liar in

01:00:38.640 the world. Um, so, so we have our, uh, um, our mentally ill guy back in the comments. So there's

01:00:52.800 a, some mentally ill guy who just writes the word fart a hundred times and, and he's spamming the 0.80

01:00:58.000 comments with them. So if you're listening to me, mentally ill guy, um, do you have anybody who can 1.00

01:01:04.680 help you put you back on your meds? Cause it looks like you're either deeply inebriated in the morning

01:01:12.740 or you need some adult to help you out. So whatever it is you think you're doing by writing the word

01:01:22.240 fart 400,000 times in the comments, it's not fun. It's not interesting. It's not useful. It's not funny.

01:01:32.780 It just sort of makes you look like a complete loser. So if you woke up feeling like a loser,

01:01:40.160 well, it looks like you are, you're a total loser. And if the only thing you could figure out this

01:01:46.460 morning to do was to come here and make the rest of us less happy, you need to get some help.

01:01:53.620 So if there's somebody around, Oh, there he is. He's back. So if there's somebody there

01:01:57.300 who could maybe help you get you back on your meds, that'd be great.

01:02:04.360 All right.

01:02:05.000 So Mayorkas said, uh, no, it's a baseless and irresponsible statement that, uh, that he

01:02:13.760 had turned down any extra help, but the Washington post says, uh, maybe you did turn down some

01:02:20.040 requests for help. And then the story got into, well, maybe they did give them some help,

01:02:26.720 but maybe they did turn down some help. So, and then the, uh, New York post, uh, says that

01:02:36.280 apparently for a long time, the, uh, Trump people have been asking for more resources and,

01:02:42.920 uh, have been told that they don't have them, that there are no extra resources in some cases.

01:02:48.560 Um, here's what I'm going to do. There we go. So I, I got rid of the, uh, the commenter. So, um,

01:03:05.640 so I, I can see the locals comments now, but not the rest.

01:03:10.500 So locals only will be commenting, uh, because, uh, somebody in rumble needs to figure out who that

01:03:17.280 user is and, and delete them, please. So Trump gave a interview and, uh, he is a little concerned.

01:03:29.360 Maybe that's an understatement. He is a little concerned that, uh, there was evidence that there

01:03:35.620 was a danger at the speech where he got almost killed and that nobody said, maybe you should

01:03:40.860 wait a few minutes and don't go on until we take care of this. Now that is the big question. So the

01:03:45.660 big questions are, uh, why did it take a while to shoot once they identified the, the, uh, the

01:03:52.180 assassin? And then the second one, and I think the answer to that is they couldn't tell if he was

01:03:56.920 theirs or someone else's. So imagine you're the police, um, or imagine one of the good guy snipers

01:04:05.500 and you know that there should be a good guy sniper on that very roof. And then you see that there's

01:04:12.660 somebody with a gun who is peeking over the, the top of the roof. And all you can see is sort of a

01:04:19.800 face and, and a high powered rifle. And you say to yourself, well, that's exactly where there should

01:04:25.940 be a person with a high power rifle. That would be the secret service or the police. So from a distance,

01:04:33.760 you could easily imagine that they didn't want to shoot their own person.

01:04:37.760 Now it's the weirdest situation because everybody knew there should have been a good guy sniper on

01:04:43.600 that very roof. So if you, it's sort of like that Yanni and Laurel thing, you know, if you expected a

01:04:49.780 good guy sniper and then you look in the roof and there's a guy with a rifle and you can't see much

01:04:55.660 because he's beyond the crest of the thing, you just see a head and a gun. How long would it take

01:05:01.620 you to know he's a bad guy? Probably he'd have to shoot. Probably they couldn't tell. And there

01:05:08.780 might've been some back and forth. I don't know that. I'm just speculating at this point. So one

01:05:13.420 question is why did it take a while to shoot? The other one is why didn't, why did they let Trump go

01:05:19.260 on stage? These are still big open questions. And here's a weird story I wasn't expecting, but NBC is

01:05:28.180 reporting that the Clintons, Bill and Hillary, uh, have privately been supporting president Biden to

01:05:35.120 stay in the job, which would mean that Obama would be on the other side from Hillary Clinton. 0.98

01:05:41.440 If the reporting is true and who knows if it is, but, and the reason, uh, Mike Benz again,

01:05:48.980 pointing this out that they, that there's a, uh, the big Clinton, what's it called? The Clinton,

01:05:55.420 Clinton global initiative wants to raise money to help Ukraine.

01:06:03.280 So the Clintons apparently have a gigantic amount of money, uh, at risk depending on which way Ukraine

01:06:10.920 goes. So if, uh, so if Obama's in charge, I'm sorry, if, uh, Biden is in charge, then it looks

01:06:19.560 like the Clintons could do their thing, raise massive amounts to, uh, rebuild Ukraine. But we

01:06:26.300 all assume that the raising massive amounts is so that they can, you know, redirect some to their

01:06:32.240 cronies, keep a taste, make a bunch of money. We don't really think that's for the benefit of

01:06:38.300 Ukraine. It's for the benefit of the Clintons and whatever their power source is. So it looks like

01:06:43.360 there might be a disagreement between the Obama wing and the Biden wing and the Clinton wing.

01:06:49.280 So basically total chaos. But if the Clintons are still pushing for Biden to stay in office,

01:06:56.320 I'm going to stay with my prediction that Biden will stay in office. Now you probably didn't think

01:07:01.960 we would get this far with him still in office and people are still saying, but wait, uh, weren't we

01:07:08.200 told that Biden was going to resign this weekend? Well, it's Sunday, right? That all the reporting

01:07:18.020 was, he's going to resign on the weekend. That would be today. Do you, how many of you think he's

01:07:25.240 going to resign today? Because if Biden resigns today, that would mean that the reporting was

01:07:32.460 accurate. Would you bet on that? Would you bet on that reporting being accurate? Because it looks

01:07:40.580 like the reporting might've been part of forcing Biden out. In other words, if enough people say

01:07:46.740 he's definitely going to quit on the weekend, then the, the people who fund him and raise money for him

01:07:52.180 are going to say, okay, we'll, we're not going to raise any money because he's going to quit.

01:07:55.340 And then he has to quit because he doesn't have any money or he can't raise it. So a lot of people

01:08:02.400 quite reasonably said, uh, the Democrats are lying about his intentions of quitting because that's

01:08:09.520 part of the process of forcing him to quit. Now, if he, if he's still on the job tonight,

01:08:14.980 it means that at least the weekend he's report was wrong. And that was my prediction that he's going to

01:08:24.620 stay in. So I think he has too much ego and other, uh, maybe even, you know, risk of jail and risk of

01:08:33.340 protecting his family and everything else. I think Biden's too invested. I don't, I don't think he can

01:08:39.340 leave. So we'll see. All right. Uh, so there's, uh, did you know that a single data center and we're

01:08:51.780 going to need a lot more data centers because AI is going to just suck the energy out of the country 0.80

01:08:55.820 and already is by the way. So there's already a surging demand for energy because of AI. Uh,

01:09:03.620 I wonder how long it's going to take before AI causes inflation. That's going to happen, right?

01:09:11.380 Because AI is going to, uh, vastly increase the amount of energy that's needed,

01:09:18.460 but we're not going to be able to create that much more energy fast. So the price of energy will

01:09:24.620 go up and that that will affect everything we do. So it could be the AI is going to be this massive,

01:09:31.220 uh, inflation driver. That's just my take. We'll see if that happens anyway. Uh, according to McKinsey

01:09:38.780 and company, um, one data center can use as much power as 80,000 us homes. And we're building a lot of

01:09:46.960 data centers. So that's a lot of 80,000 homes that will have to compete for energy somewhere. 0.59

01:09:53.700 All right. Uh, Chris Brennan writes an article in USA Today, an opinion piece.

01:09:59.720 And he says, it's time for Biden to drop out so the Democrats can run a historic two woman ticket.

01:10:06.140 Okay. Now, do you remember how long was it several years ago when I started saying that, uh, Democrats were the party of women?

01:10:17.240 And sure enough, you know, there's definitely a male female difference now. The, the Republicans are sort of testosterone, 0.91

01:10:27.940 sorry, testosterone driven. Um, but with lots of female support, but basically women who still like men can be Republicans. 0.86

01:10:38.220 And, uh, it seems, uh, it seems like there's no real chance that they could win with that. What do you think? Uh, do you think if, and they're talking about,

01:10:52.520 let's say, uh, Whitmore, Governor Whitmore being, uh, the VP. So if Kamala Harris is the head of the ticket and the backup is a woman, 0.98

01:11:03.500 Whitmer or somebody else, do you think that's a stronger package than what they have now?

01:11:09.720 I mean, Biden's a weak package, but if they ran two women, what would happen to the rest of the men 0.97

01:11:17.400 in the Democrat party? Wouldn't the rest of them leave? Let me put it this way.

01:11:25.900 If two women were the candidates, especially these two women for the Democrats, how many 0.94

01:11:32.960 Republican women would say, you know what, you know, I don't love their policies, but I love the fact 1.00

01:11:40.220 that it's two women. So I'm not going to vote Republican because, you know, I think it's time 1.00

01:11:46.460 for a woman. I think none. I don't think any, I don't think anybody who was, you know, either an 1.00

01:11:54.840 independent leaning right or already Republican. I don't think there's any woman who would say,

01:12:00.720 oh, it's women. Uh-oh, I'll go vote for them. That's just so not Republican. That's just not 1.00

01:12:06.880 what any Republican would do. But what about the Democrat men? If you're a, if you're a Democrat

01:12:15.000 man and you see that things have gone so female in your party that there's not even a man running

01:12:21.740 anymore, would that feel like the last straw? I feel like that's where you would, you'd use that

01:12:29.080 as your, your, uh, fake because it's like, all right, you're not even trying for men. All right,

01:12:34.580 I'll go to the Republican party. They seem to still like men. I think that's what's going to happen.

01:12:40.460 But I do not believe that the ticket will change. I think I'm, I'm going to still go with my prediction

01:12:45.860 that on election day, Biden will be the top of the ticket. Kamala will be number two. And the

01:12:52.260 Democrats will hilariously and absurdly say, hey, everybody just know that you're really voting for

01:12:57.760 Kamala. That was my prediction from a while ago. I'm going to stick with it. All right. Uh, there's

01:13:06.780 new robot for Biden. There's a, it's called Carmen, C-A-R-M-E-N. It stands for a cognitively

01:13:13.560 assisted robot for motivation and neuro rehabilitation. So it's basically a, a literal

01:13:21.760 tabletop robot that, uh, helps you with your cognitive abilities if you're failing. So it

01:13:27.800 can give you a little tests and memory stuff. And, uh, I'm no product developer, but I don't

01:13:34.980 think this has a chance to survive. I think it's, yeah. And here's why.

01:13:43.560 But if you are the kind of person who, um, was not already doing a lot of things that

01:13:51.560 got your, your mind engaged, you're not going to want to use this little robot testing you.

01:14:00.040 So if you were already not the kind of person who said, you know what, I just need to keep

01:14:04.860 my mind engaged at a certain age. So I'm going to read books. I'm going to get involved in

01:14:09.400 this, this project, this task, I'll keep working, whatever it is I do. If you're not that kind

01:14:15.000 of person, you're not going to use a personal robot to test you every time you sit at your

01:14:19.460 breakfast table. I don't see how this could possibly work. Honestly, it just seems to me

01:14:25.400 that the people who would need it are selected to be exactly the people who would never use

01:14:30.260 it because they were already not intellectually curious and driven. So we'll see. Anyway, my,

01:14:38.140 my help, uh, could be Biden's new running partner is the dementia robot. All right. I'm going to close

01:14:46.640 with this story and I'm going to read it entirely. Um, and it's from, uh, wall street apes is who

01:14:54.200 brought it to my attention on X, but, uh, John Dawson wrote a, an opinion piece on, uh, I guess it was

01:15:02.280 on X. And, uh, I just want to read it to you because it's just so good. And it'd just be a feel good way

01:15:12.060 to start your Sunday. All right. You ready for this? So what you need to know about John Dawson is

01:15:17.540 he's a, a, a young black man. And he says the following, and I quote, you say white supremacy

01:15:27.100 is plaguing our country. And as a black man, when I walk around in central Texas, when I go, when I go

01:15:33.320 to all these other States, I'm like, well, where is this? Where is it? I don't see it. I'm going into

01:15:39.220 white restaurants. I went into a coffee shop in the middle of a podunk town. They had less than a

01:15:44.200 thousand people. And all these white people were just so nice and they make delicious coffees.

01:15:50.080 Might I add, like I'm looking around, I'm like wondering, where is this? Right. When I go up to

01:15:57.080 Dallas, uh, when I go to Houston, when I go to California, it's just like, I don't see it.

01:16:02.860 Especially when I see people with MAGA hats, here it comes. They're always so respectful and maybe

01:16:08.580 they're just trying to hide their racism, right? That's another comment that people make is,

01:16:13.880 oh, well, you don't know what they say behind closed doors. I don't care. That's what he says.

01:16:20.260 He says, I don't care. If you're going to make fun of me behind closed doors, why would I choose to

01:16:26.560 assume you're making fun of me behind closed doors and then live under that umbrella of oppression

01:16:34.560 because you said something meanie weenie behind closed doors and I'm supposed to live under that?

01:16:42.640 This guy's brilliant. That's ridiculous. It's like this perpetuation of a victimhood that even if it

01:16:49.900 doesn't affect you, you should make sure it affects you. Oh, this is perfect. It's ridiculous. It's

01:16:55.480 basically trying to perpetuate people to live in this, this low society, even though they're not

01:17:01.100 experiencing it in reality. Now, I could give you my own comments about this, but it's too perfect.

01:17:08.700 It's just too perfect. So I'm going to end on that. And I'm going to talk to the local subscribers

01:17:16.640 privately. Thanks for joining. I hope we can get rid of our, we'll get rid of our troll later and then I

01:17:24.400 can look at the rest of your comments. But thanks for joining everybody. I'm going to say goodbye to

01:17:29.160 YouTube and Rumble and X and talk to the local subscribers and we'll see the rest of you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 21, 2024

Episode 2542 CWSA 07⧸21⧸24

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