Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2550 CWSA 07⧸29⧸24

00:00:00.000 If you'd like to take this experience up to levels that historians will not even be able

00:00:04.560 to explain later, all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:08.640 a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:14.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day thing that makes

00:00:18.560 everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip that happens. Oh, good.

00:00:31.280 Excellent. Technology is working great. Thank you, Paul. And I'm just going to say it. I don't think

00:00:39.440 that that Joe Biden we've been seeing walking to the helicopter looks like Joe Biden to me.

00:00:44.400 So I'm going to be in the camp that says, yeah, the Biden body double has been active.

00:00:53.440 Have you seen the one that looks tall? So there's one that looks tall. The sound is working. Must be

00:01:02.400 the trolls. Trolls may be complaining. I just saw all the sound is working. Anyway, in my opinion, 0.95

00:01:11.280 that does not look like Joe Biden. However, I could be wrong. And one way I could be wrong is

00:01:18.960 some of the people are comparing his height to Jill. But where he's tall, she's wearing flats.

00:01:26.800 And where he's not as tall, she's wearing heels. So maybe it's just an illusion. But even if you took

00:01:35.200 Jill Biden out of the scene, he still doesn't look like Joe Biden to me. I mean, I've seen him enough

00:01:46.480 times. I know what he looks like. It doesn't look like that. So I have a question of whether Biden is

00:01:52.080 alive. And I'm not even 100% sure that we saw Joe Biden when he did that address. Probably because if it

00:02:02.080 were a fake, it would have looked better, I think. I mean, he looked like he was barely capable.

00:02:08.320 But maybe. So my guess is that Biden has maybe, you know, an hour a day that they can get him to do

00:02:14.080 something if they drug him just right. But probably is just incoherent most of the day is my guess.

00:02:20.400 We would see a lot more of him if he were coherent. I think you would all agree with that.

00:02:24.960 So I think it's obvious that we don't know who's running the country. Now, that's not hyperbole,

00:02:31.280 is it? I don't think that's hyperbole. You know, sometimes you say, oh, we don't know who's in

00:02:37.200 charge of the country. But you know, you sort of really do. But in this case, we actually genuinely,

00:02:43.520 no exaggeration, really don't know. Don't know. You know, the thinking is that Jill Biden's in charge, 0.98

00:02:51.360 but probably not. You know, I don't know what is the role of Hunter. I don't know. But my guess is

00:02:58.640 that the the various departments are just doing their thing like they're little dictators. And

00:03:05.040 then they check with the boss every now and then. And the boss doesn't know anything. But if Hunter

00:03:09.840 says, I don't think you should be doing that, they say you're not the president. And then they go do it.

00:03:16.400 So I've got a feeling the government sort of running itself right now. And probably not with

00:03:23.520 much risk, which is the strangest thing about it. You know, I feel like I, I should be worried about

00:03:30.880 this. But based on everything that we have observed, I just don't know that Biden was ever that important

00:03:37.600 to anything. Certainly, when he's not there, it doesn't seem to make an obvious difference. So

00:03:46.320 we'll see. There's a study that says eating strawberries can reduce your risk of heart disease

00:03:54.960 and all kinds of good things. Well, I eat a strawberry every day. And I like this study. One of the ways

00:04:03.920 that you can tell whether a study is reliable, and I think I've taught you this before. So a study,

00:04:10.400 you can tell it's reliable, if it agrees with what you wanted it to say. I eat a strawberry every day.

00:04:18.400 What do I want the science to tell me? Oh, that it's very healthy. Let's see. Oh, I found a study

00:04:24.080 that says it's very healthy. So do I believe that this study is good science? No, of course not.

00:04:31.120 It's probably put together by the strawberry association or something. Usually these are.

00:04:38.560 So no, you should not believe that strawberries are good for you because there's a study that says

00:04:42.880 they're good for you. But I like strawberries, so I'm going to believe it. There's another study that says

00:04:51.200 ivermectin might have a surprising potential against cancer. The American thinker has a big article on that.

00:04:56.880 And so apparently there are several different types of cancer that, anecdotally,

00:05:05.280 ivermectin looks like it might have some potential for, but I don't think we're at the gold standard

00:05:12.640 for studying that. So I don't think that's a fact. But just in case, every morning I put a little

00:05:18.160 ivermectin on my strawberries and I say, maybe, maybe, no, I don't really eat ivermectin on strawberries.

00:05:26.720 But if it were delicious, I might give it a try. It can't be any worse than anything else I eat.

00:05:36.800 All right. There's a study that says, by the way, I have a theme for today.

00:05:41.360 The theme is that all data is wrong. Just in general. Now, that's a theme that is completely

00:05:48.560 unbelievable to normal people. I know what you're thinking. Well, it's not all wrong. I mean,

00:05:54.640 some of it's right. No, it isn't. No, it isn't. It's all wrong. All data is wrong and it always has been.

00:06:03.760 Do you know who would agree with me? Everybody who's ever had to collect data for a living.

00:06:10.080 They will all agree with me. Now, there aren't that many people in that category.

00:06:14.000 But if you can find anybody whose job has been to collect data for anything, for science, for

00:06:21.760 politics, for business, for anything, and say, is data real? Their first answer might be, of course it is,

00:06:29.600 because they know what the right answer is. But they say, okay, but when you are collecting data,

00:06:36.160 you know, when you can really see whether the data was real because you were in charge of collecting it,

00:06:41.120 was that data real? Okay, well, you got me. That data wasn't real.

00:06:45.520 But I think the other data is real. The stuff I don't know about. That is called Gelman amnesia,

00:06:52.400 people. That's where you assume that, you know, the other stuff you haven't looked into is probably

00:06:58.000 fine. No, it's not. No data is real. No data is real. All science is motivated. All business is

00:07:06.640 motivated and all politics is motivated. Meaning that if the data doesn't agree with the person who's

00:07:13.680 promoting it, they're not going to promote it. So you only see things that match the narrative

00:07:20.640 of the person giving it to you, basically. That's the way we work. So with that in mind, Unusual Wales

00:07:28.000 was reporting today on X that 2023 was the worst year for corporate bankruptcies since the great

00:07:34.640 financial crisis. And 2024 is looking even worse. All right. So there's some data. Bankruptcies are

00:07:42.640 looking like they'll be worse than ever. So that means that the economy is worse, right? Or that

00:07:50.080 whatever's driving bankruptcies are worse? Maybe. But it could also be that we've had a huge burst in

00:07:58.400 entrepreneurial activity. What would a huge burst in startups and new businesses guarantee that you had?

00:08:06.960 A lot more bankruptcies. If you take more chances, you get more, you know, more bankruptcies. So is this

00:08:17.200 telling us that everything was normal and the only thing that's changed is the bankruptcies, which would

00:08:22.080 be pretty bad? Or is it misleading? Because we don't know if it's matched with an entrepreneurial boost,

00:08:29.840 which we have heard about, right? You've heard there's a lot more startups and entrepreneurial

00:08:35.360 things. So maybe it's actually a sign of good economic health. Because if the startups were,

00:08:43.840 let's say, 10 times higher, and the bankruptcies were twice as high, that would be good news.

00:08:52.320 Because sort of, I mean, it's not good news for the bankrupt, but it'd be sort of good news for the

00:08:56.400 economy. Because I'd say, wow, you know, if all those things work, but you know, some of these are

00:09:00.880 worse than usual, that would make sense. Now, I'm not saying that that's the specific problem with

00:09:06.800 these bankruptcy numbers. I'm just telling you, there's no data that's real. Somebody collected

00:09:13.600 it. It doesn't mean it's real. It doesn't mean it's right. It doesn't mean that the second person

00:09:17.600 who studied it would get the same number. Data is not real. All right, here's another one.

00:09:25.440 And on the internet today, there's this graph showing that the counties that Biden won,

00:09:34.160 back in 2018 anyway, their GDP would have been 71% of the total GDP. So in other words, the Biden

00:09:41.920 Democrat dominated areas of the country have 71% of all the money, the GDP. That's not the wealth,

00:09:52.080 but that's sort of economic activity, let's say. Now, so what does that mean?

00:10:01.680 Does that mean that Democrats have all the money and that Republicans are not the big money fat cats 0.98

00:10:08.640 anymore, but the Democrats are the big money fat cats? Maybe. It might mean that. It could be, 0.99

00:10:15.680 but far more likely is that the data was collected in a dumb ass way. The most likely explanation is that 0.99

00:10:24.160 the data is useless. For example, if Apple computer happened to have their headquarters in one county,

00:10:33.920 you'd get like all the Apple computer GDP, wouldn't you? It would just be in that one county. Now, it's also

00:10:40.560 very Democrat. So you could argue that it is telling you something useful. But I don't really think this,

00:10:49.520 this seems like too much of a confused piece of data because you got, you know, the, the places where

00:10:56.160 Biden won, if you do, if you only won by a little bit, that would be called a win. So that would be

00:11:02.320 like completely owning that county. But where they won by a lot would also be counted as one win.

00:11:08.240 I don't like anything about the data. So I don't know anything specifically wrong with it, but

00:11:14.880 everything on the, on the surface looks like, eh, I'm not sure you can really tell. I'll tell you what

00:11:21.120 would be useful if you just did the, uh, the wealth of all voting Democrats versus the wealth of all

00:11:29.520 voting Republicans. How much wealth do they have? Not just income. That would tell you something that

00:11:36.240 that would actually be useful, but by county, no, I don't think so.

00:11:43.840 All right. Uh, Venezuela had something they call an election and boy, is this going to be awkward

00:11:49.280 for the United States? Let's see if you can figure out why this would be so awkward for the United States.

00:11:55.760 Here's what happened. The, uh, the so-called, uh, leader, uh, president Nicholas Maduro.

00:12:05.600 I remember when people were saying, oh, Venezuela is going to have an election. And I said,

00:12:10.560 what? How can Venezuela have an election? They have a dictator. And people said, no, no,

00:12:16.240 Sky, you're not up to date on this. They're going to have an election. And I said, no, they're not.

00:12:22.400 They have a dictator. And then the smart people said, yeah, that they're really popular, uh,

00:12:28.000 challenger. She's ahead in the polls. Looks like she's going to win. And I said, no, she isn't. 1.00

00:12:34.480 That's a dictatorship.

00:12:38.640 So here's what happened. It looked like that, uh, challenger was way ahead in the polls.

00:12:44.320 It looked like there was nothing that could possibly stop her, uh, except, uh, some poll

00:12:50.320 watchers were bullied away from watching and allegedly some gang members trucked in a whole bunch of, uh,

00:13:02.320 ballots, or they stole a bunch of ballot boxes.

00:13:04.880 And there were reports of massive, massive, um, election rigging, which unexpectedly took Maduro, who

00:13:16.240 I thought was a dictator, took him to a win. Isn't that interesting? So if you were to look at the, uh,

00:13:23.920 the charts, it would look like Maduro was way behind, way behind, way behind. And then toward late at night,

00:13:31.760 zoom, he zoomed into the lead, just barely, just enough. Lucky, lucky guy.

00:13:37.680 Lucky that all the votes that came in later were pro Maduro. Now I know what you're going to say.

00:13:45.360 People, people, stop it. Stop it. I'm not an idiot.

00:13:49.840 I know what's going on here. Don't you? Yeah. I think we all see what's going on here. 0.99

00:13:58.240 What's going on is that the challenger is a big old liar and she's claiming that this election was 0.99

00:14:05.600 rigged, but actually she's probably an insurrectionist. If there's a protest, 0.99

00:14:11.120 which I would call an insurrection to try to stop this totally fair and honest election.

00:14:16.880 Now, why am I saying it's totally fair and honest? Duh, there's no court in Venezuela that has found

00:14:23.520 it is not honest. Can, can we agree on that? No court in Venezuela has ruled that the election was

00:14:31.200 rigged. So, uh, what's wrong with you? What's wrong with all of you insurrectionist doubters?

00:14:39.280 I'm telling you the courts have not ruled anything about that. So obviously it's fine.

00:14:44.720 Obviously the election is good. And beyond that, I can assure you that Venezuela assured us

00:14:53.440 and its own citizens, you can't rig an election when everybody's watching. You can't do that.

00:15:02.080 People, what are you thinking? Do you think that they could rig an election that was obviously going

00:15:08.240 to go one way late into the night and then suddenly there's this weird increase in votes?

00:15:15.040 Do you think they're going to get away with that? Everybody saw it.

00:15:19.920 Well, I mean, if the courts don't rule that there was a problem

00:15:24.640 and there are no challenges to it that the system recognizes, I would imagine that anybody who tried

00:15:35.600 to get this election stopped from certified, you know, if they tried to block it from certification

00:15:41.520 in Venezuela, I guess they would be insurrectionists, wouldn't they? I guess that's what we call them.

00:15:48.800 Now, you all see how awkward this is, right? Because Venezuela just ran the blueprint of everything 1.00

00:15:56.960 that Republicans have suspected about the US election exactly. It's an exact duplicate

00:16:06.720 of what Republicans say happened in 2020. Now, do I know it's a duplicate? Meaning,

00:16:13.440 do I know that the 2020 election was rigged? I don't. Neither do the Venezuelans.

00:16:22.880 Right? The Venezuelans have a strong suspicion, but a suspicion is not proof. Where's the evidence? 0.76

00:16:33.760 Where's the video? Who's got the video of these gangs allegedly stealing these ballot boxes?

00:16:40.240 I haven't seen any. Have you seen any video? Has the media in Venezuela reported, you know,

00:16:47.520 their investigative story? Because I don't know much about Venezuela and much about the dictatorship,

00:16:54.000 but I'm assuming that they have a free and fair what? Are you telling me the media in Venezuela

00:17:01.600 wouldn't be completely independent and objective? Well, this is the first time hearing this?

00:17:09.120 Well, now you're just blowing my whole world view. I just assumed that the media would be uncovering

00:17:14.240 any kind of problems there. Are you telling me that the media is controlled by the dictator?

00:17:19.680 Huh. Who could have seen that coming?

00:17:22.160 So, while certainly there are differences between Venezuela and the United States,

00:17:31.360 your brain is going to have a hard time making a difference because this is going to look just like

00:17:36.880 what people in the United States imagined, correctly or incorrectly, happened in 2020. It's also what

00:17:45.040 they're going to be looking for to happen again, because there's widespread expectations that the American

00:17:50.960 election will go exactly like this, meaning that the stealing will be so obvious and they'll get away

00:17:58.320 with it again. Why? Because our courts will not find anything wrong with the election.

00:18:08.080 It doesn't seem like that we're living in a simulation and the simulation is just messing with us at this

00:18:14.400 point. I mean, what are the odds that Trump would get nicked by a bullet in the ear? 0.95

00:18:20.960 Well, what are the odds that the Democrat candidate would be literally like a walking

00:18:28.480 ghost that they tried to prop up, but they couldn't get away with it? What are the odds that any of this

00:18:34.640 would be happening? What are the odds that Kamala Harris widely understood to be the worst candidate 1.00

00:18:40.640 of all candidates in the world?

00:18:43.520 That she's the leading candidate and that some of the polls are saying that she looks close

00:18:49.120 looks like it's gonna be neck and neck

00:18:51.680 and other people have noticed that Kamala Harris went from the least popular 0.84

00:18:58.000 the least qualified person as vice president

00:19:01.120 to suddenly, my God, is she good. Look at all of her accomplishments. Have you seen the interviews

00:19:07.200 on the street? There's a young man who stops young people who look like they're old enough to vote

00:19:13.280 and says stuff like, do you know who's running for president? And they don't know.

00:19:19.040 And they've never heard of Kamala Harris. And they don't know who the vice president of the United

00:19:22.800 States is. This is our youth. They don't even know. So that's our system. Anyway,

00:19:32.800 it's going to be fun to watch how that story is covered. Let me give you an idea how it might be

00:19:41.360 handled. So I look for, you know, the usual suspects. When you know that there's a story

00:19:48.080 that's negative for Democrats, there's going to be a handful of people who go first to try to

00:19:55.600 redefine the story. Well, here's one, Michael McFall, who you can Google him yourself if you

00:20:04.240 want to find out how much of a Democrat he is. But let's just say he would be one of the people

00:20:09.120 you'd expect to go first and tell you how to understand this. So here's what he says. The

00:20:14.960 situation in Venezuela right now reminds me a lot of the elections in Serbia in 2000 and Ukraine in 2004.

00:20:22.160 Blah, blah, blah. So Michael McFall, Democrat, would like you to be thinking about these lesser,

00:20:35.920 lesser developed, less secure countries. Yeah, if you're thinking of Venezuela,

00:20:42.400 the thing to compare it to would be Serbia 2000 and Ukraine 2004. Because you don't want to compare

00:20:50.960 it to the United States. Well, that would be crazy. Now, let's put our attention in the year 2000

00:20:58.320 and 2004, Serbia and Ukraine. Let's talk about Serbia and Ukraine. But Michael, it reminds a lot

00:21:06.960 of people of the United States and shut up. It's Serbia, it's Ukraine, Serbian Ukraine. Now, we'll see 0.77

00:21:14.800 if other people pick up this Serbia-Ukraine thing so that we can say, thank God we don't have a system

00:21:21.440 like that in the United States. Thank God. Well, there's a, according to Springer Link,

00:21:31.360 that I guess is some kind of newsy website, there are something called zombie election monitors.

00:21:38.400 Zombie election monitors. Now, that would be different from an election monitor who is sincere

00:21:46.800 and has access to observe. And they say what honestly they say. That's not a zombie. That's

00:21:53.840 somebody doing the job. But it turns out that worldwide, there are more zombies, which are

00:22:00.080 people who simply pretend that they watched, but did not watch. In other words, there are election

00:22:06.560 monitors who are organized and chosen specifically to make sure you don't know the election was stolen.

00:22:14.240 So their job is to say, everything looked fine to me. But did you see the gangs come in and take away

00:22:20.640 those big boxes of ballots? No, no. Didn't see that. Did you see them photocopying the ballots and

00:22:29.360 running them through a second time? No. As a matter of fact, I didn't notice anything like that.

00:22:35.680 So this election is clean, clean and unraged. So look out for the zombie fake election monitors. We

00:22:43.680 probably have some of those. Anyway, so if you want to know how good the brainwashing machine is on

00:22:52.160 the Democrats, here's a good example. So apparently Kamala Harris's favorability 1.00

00:23:01.920 has increased dramatically in one week.

00:23:07.280 Her favorability increased dramatically in one week. Is that because of all the accomplishments 0.99

00:23:15.040 she had that week? Did she have a really good week? Did she end a war? Did she cure cancer? No, 0.94

00:23:22.480 no, no. All it took, all it took was the news to collectively say she's the greatest thing and

00:23:29.520 everybody lie. And her popularity zoomed. So how much did it go up in one week? Let's see. According 0.83

00:23:37.440 to ABC news, which of course I would not trust whatsoever as a news or polling entity, but it said

00:23:45.440 43% of Americans say they have a favorable view of Harris. It's an eight point jump from last week.

00:23:52.720 She had an eight point jump in popularity in one week. Now, first of all, I don't believe the poll.

00:24:03.040 Second of all, if it's true, it's a brainwashing operation. That would be how powerful the brainwashing

00:24:10.800 is. That's really powerful. Now, one of the problems that I have when I try to warn people

00:24:17.440 that they live in a brainwashing environment, it's not politics, it's just brainwashing.

00:24:22.160 So the best brainwashers win. People don't really understand how strong it is.

00:24:27.840 People don't really know that you can change the majority of American minds in an hour,

00:24:34.400 if you're doing the right brainwashing. So if you don't know how easily minds can be changed,

00:24:41.200 you're not going to worry about brainwashing. If you know it can change everything and quickly,

00:24:46.720 it's the only thing you'd worry about because it is the only thing that's a problem. Everything else

00:24:53.520 flows from that. So the contemplation about who Kamala Harris will pick as her running mate, 0.97

00:25:02.080 should she get the nomination we expect she will? Mark Kelly is coming out at the top of

00:25:09.920 a poorly understood field of people that most people have never heard of.

00:25:13.280 So he's an older, bald, white guy. Now, here's my take. America is clearly ready for a black president, 0.98

00:25:26.800 right? Obama was president for two terms. We're clearly ready for a female president. 1.00

00:25:35.760 I think Hillary Clinton actually won the popular vote. Did she not? So we're ready for black. We're 0.97

00:25:42.480 ready for any minority, really. We're ready for female, of course. I think we're ready, almost, 0.83

00:25:51.440 for LGBTQ. Probably not yet. You know, I still think it'd be tough to win LGBTQ. But we're close.

00:25:58.880 And I would say, you know, if Richard Grinnell ran for office someday, you know, the odds are pretty

00:26:06.640 good, right? You'd have a pretty good shot. So I think we're ready for most of those things. You

00:26:11.760 know what we're not ready for? A bald white guy. Bald black guy, yes. Bald black guy, yes. 0.78

00:26:20.320 Because that looks more like a look. But a bald white guy? I don't know if we're ready for that. 0.82

00:26:27.440 And I'm not joking, by the way. I don't think it's a coincidence that presidents have had basically

00:26:34.640 reasonably good hair forever. When, what is it? What percentage of the general adult older population

00:26:42.480 is missing hair? 40, 50, 60 percent? And yet all of our presidents have good hair?

00:26:52.160 I think there's a reason for it. I think they got to be tall if they're male. They have to be tall. 1.00

00:26:57.280 And they have to have good hair. Or at least interesting hair, like Trump.

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00:28:03.620 So we'll see. Then there's this weird story about Mark Kelly has, of all things, he has

00:28:08.680 some kind of ownership of a surveillance balloon company that allegedly has some Chinese investment

00:28:16.480 in it, which should raise some eyebrows. I don't know that that's a problem. I mean, probably we're

00:28:23.620 more worried about it than we should, but certainly I would want to ask a lot of questions before I

00:28:30.180 could be comfortable with that. So we'll see. I don't think Mark Kelly's going to be the guy.

00:28:36.720 If I had to guess, I'm just going to guess against the bald guy.

00:28:39.920 That's what I think. Anyway, as you know, Democrats have been claiming that crime is down under Joe

00:28:50.500 Biden. And what did I say when I heard that crime was down under Joe Biden? I said, no data is real.

00:28:58.120 It's all made up. And if you'd like to know how they made it up, here's how. Half of the country

00:29:04.260 doesn't even report their crime numbers to the FBI. Half of the country doesn't even report. So do

00:29:12.140 you know what the FBI does when they want to give you the national crime numbers? They report the ones

00:29:20.740 they have, and then they estimate the others. Now, do you think it's more likely that if crime went up,

00:29:31.260 you might be less likely to report it in your city? Let's say you're the mayor and you have the power

00:29:37.400 to report it or not report it, since apparently it's not a law that requires it. And your crime goes

00:29:43.200 up, are you going to report it? Or are you going to say, you know, maybe we'll skip this year.

00:29:50.100 If it goes down next year, maybe we report it. Of course you don't. No, these numbers on crime are

00:29:56.260 completely useless because the FBI has to guess on half of them and they don't have any basis for

00:30:01.600 guessing. This is the way the real world works, folks. If you think that people collect data,

00:30:09.940 they find out it's accurate, and then they tell it to you, that's probably never happened ever.

00:30:14.760 It's just not something that ever happens in the real world. All data is motivated.

00:30:18.380 All data is estimates, guessing, assumptions. It's not real. So this is an especially good example.

00:30:30.100 And then what about the stuff about the economy? Do you believe anything about the economy?

00:30:37.940 Do you think that any news coming from the administration that's in charge,

00:30:43.540 and then that administration produces some numbers that look good for the economy,

00:30:48.380 do you think those are reasonable and reliable? No, of course not. All the economic numbers are

00:30:55.740 completely non-trustable during an election year, probably always, but during an election year,

00:31:02.060 it'd be absurd to believe them. And of course, they do the trick of where you start the calculation.

00:31:09.980 By the way, this is how companies that manage your money, let's say they do investments for you,

00:31:16.380 they're kind of a fund. This is how they do the trick too. So let's say you're an investment fund,

00:31:23.740 and you've never made money for your clients more than they would have made if they just put it in

00:31:29.940 the market on their own. So what do you do if the market in general is better than your fund?

00:31:36.660 You don't do any advertising. Well, you don't do any advertising that says your record.

00:31:42.740 But then, because things go up and down, you have a good month, and you have this like one good month

00:31:49.540 because you had this one good stock that went up. Well, then you do some advertising.

00:31:53.700 You say, compared to the regular market, we beat the regular market by 5% over the past year.

00:32:00.380 And it's true. It's just that they waited for the one month they had a good year compared to the

00:32:05.140 average. If you looked at five years, not so good, which means that one year was luck.

00:32:11.720 So if you can decide, if you have control over where you start and end the analysis,

00:32:17.880 you can make yourself look good or bad compared to anything, as long as both of them are in flux

00:32:23.220 all the time, which is the case with economic stuff. So don't believe any economic stuff.

00:32:28.920 Molly Hemingway tells us that P. Buttigieg has been lying about illegal immigration.

00:32:37.180 He said that it's gone down, at least the illegal immigration from the Northern Triangle countries

00:32:46.600 and Mexico has gone down. But in fact, it's up 140% from Trump's time, from 1.8 million to 4.3.

00:32:54.600 How can they say it goes down when it's going up by lot? You can change the definitions of what it

00:33:03.280 means to be illegal. So they changed the definition. They said, if we process you through the legal

00:33:10.020 doorway where you say you are an asylum seeker and we say we're not sure, but until we're sure,

00:33:17.560 you have a legal right to stay in the country. Those are called not illegal.

00:33:25.560 So it's pretty easy to get the data to be anything you want if you can change the definition of words.

00:33:32.860 Have you noticed that the Democrats massively changed the definition of words

00:33:37.240 so that you don't know what's going on? What's that equity mean? Well, don't ask.

00:33:47.540 Imagine trying to tell Democrats that all data is fake. All of it.

00:33:54.920 Who would believe that? Who would believe that all data is fake?

00:33:59.880 Nobody, really. I'm the only person who believes it. In fact, you don't believe it.

00:34:03.640 I'm telling you it's true and you don't believe it. How could you ever convince anybody that all data

00:34:08.900 is made up? It is. It's all made up. All the important stuff. Things that are unimportant, like

00:34:15.260 maybe the engineer is measuring the tolerance of advice or something. That might be real.

00:34:21.440 But all the political stuff. Economics. No, that's not real.

00:34:26.460 All right. There's a report that Google was suppressing searches for Trump assassination.

00:34:34.780 And I mistakenly tested mine and, you know, Trump came up right away. And I thought, oh,

00:34:40.800 well, it looks like it's not happening on my end. But I was too sleepy when I did that because the real

00:34:47.300 test was about the word assassination. And sure enough, you can type Trump assassinate and it doesn't

00:34:56.100 auto-complete. So, no, I was wrong. Mine did not work. If you type in Trump, it immediately auto-fills

00:35:06.080 with Trump. It's just the assassination that's the part it doesn't auto-fill. Now, Google's explanation

00:35:11.740 was, they said, and I quote, there was no manual election taken, meaning they didn't do anything to

00:35:18.380 suppress Trump assassination as a search. Our systems have protections against auto-complete

00:35:23.920 predictions associated with political violence, which were working as intended prior to this horrific

00:35:29.580 event. We're working on improvements to ensure our systems are more up to date. Of course,

00:35:34.520 auto-complete is just a tool to help people save time and they can still search for anything they

00:35:38.780 want. Does any of that sound real? Do you think it really, like, they have to research this?

00:35:45.740 Or do you think they could just go ahead and say, oh, if you start typing assassination and it's

00:35:51.880 Trump, maybe you should surface this brand new story that everybody's talked about for a month?

00:35:57.700 It doesn't look like it should be that hard, but apparently all the other assassinations come up,

00:36:04.580 you know, the historical ones. If you say assassination, it'll auto-fill with all the other people who've

00:36:11.660 ever been assassinated except Trump. I think that what's happening is it's not about the assassination

00:36:18.200 word. It's just anything that would be a story that would be favorable to Trump. So I don't believe

00:36:25.880 Google's explanation. I would consider it a probable lie. Probable lie. Well, apparently the Democrats

00:36:33.960 have decided that they're going to use the word weird to describe, I guess, J.D. Vance and Trump.

00:36:41.660 Now, you might say to yourself, weird? That's like such a weak, overused, weird word. And Vivek

00:36:52.220 Ramaswamy has a similar idea. He says, this whole they're weird argument from the Democrats is dumb 1.00

00:36:57.940 and juvenile. This is a presidential election, not a high school prom queen contest. It's also a tad 0.99

00:37:03.840 ironic coming from the party that preaches diversity and inclusion. Win on policy if you can,

00:37:09.660 but cut the crap, please. Now, I guess I agree with what Vivek says, that it's juvenile and, you know, 0.99

00:37:22.100 you should argue on policies. However, I'm going to tell you what you didn't expect. This is probably

00:37:30.320 professional work. Remember when I spotted dark in the Clinton-Trump election? As soon as they all said

00:37:39.720 Trump's speech is dark, I said, whoa, that's professional. That's not something that regular

00:37:46.540 politicians come up with. That word makes you fear without any details. Oh, it's dark. Ooh,

00:37:54.520 everything bad is dark. And then you put all the bad fear that you have for the dark into Trump.

00:38:03.220 Very professional manipulation of minds. Weird is probably that good. And here's why. If you're

00:38:13.360 saying to yourself, but Scott, I understand the dark thing, because even when I hear it, like,

00:38:18.080 I can feel it. So I get what you said about it. But weird is just an overused, kind of a non-useful

00:38:26.220 word, doesn't say anything. Here's what you might not know. Young women use that word a lot. 1.00

00:38:36.280 If you're talking to a young woman about a topic that she's not interested in, 0.98

00:38:40.680 and you say, oh, this or that happened, what is she going to say while she's looking at her phone?

00:38:48.020 Looking at phone, now that's weird. And then you tell a story about a person who did a thing that

00:38:54.460 isn't usually done. What does the young woman with the phone say about that person? 0.99

00:39:00.820 That's weird. Weird is the universal word that young women use for everything that doesn't fit their 1.00

00:39:09.520 model. And it's a good catch-all for their base. It wouldn't work on the Democrat side. 0.71

00:39:19.080 I'm sorry. It wouldn't work on the Republican side. On the Republican side, what would work better

00:39:24.500 would be something about disgust. Somebody is disgusting. Somebody is sloppy. So the kind of 0.98

00:39:33.380 words that Trump would use, disgusting and sloppy. Because Republicans are more geared toward being 0.95

00:39:39.500 disgusted. If I said, describe the opening of the Olympics, and I said it to Republicans,

00:39:48.740 would they say weird? They might, because it's a common word. But far more likely, I would think

00:39:55.000 they would say, I'm disgusted by it. I'm just disgusted. So if you're going to try to influence

00:40:02.200 Republicans, you go for disgust. And I think there's science that backs that, by the way.

00:40:07.220 And if you go to influence young female Democrats, weird is a good way to go. 1.00

00:40:15.680 So it's actually very strong. And I've started using the word weird to describe whenever Democrats

00:40:22.300 say that Trump is going to steal your democracy. And do you know why I use the word weird?

00:40:27.520 Because it works on Democrats. I want them to feel weird when they say he's going to steal your

00:40:34.980 democracy. See, if you say instead, but wait, let us make a list. Here's the list of things Trump

00:40:42.000 wants. Here are the list of things Kamala Harris wants. All right, you can see from our two lists and

00:40:48.100 my logic that one of these sides is not trying to steal democracy, but maybe you could argue that

00:40:53.520 Democrats are. Nobody cares about your list. Nobody cares about your logic or your policies.

00:41:02.040 But if you say, wait, did you just say that Trump is going to steal your democracy?

00:41:06.940 That's weird. You're weird. That actually can change their minds. 0.90

00:41:13.060 Because weird is the last thing you want to hear if you're a young woman.

00:41:17.040 Men don't care so much. Men don't mind being weird. They're more likely to go rogue and

00:41:23.480 buy a rifle and try to shoot the president. I mean, men are completely different. But women do not want 1.00

00:41:29.560 to be weird. And if they are being weird, they want to be weird in a popular way. So if you say to

00:41:35.640 me, Scott, they dyed their hair blue. No, that's weird in a popular way. That's weird in a popular way.

00:41:42.820 So it's more about popular than weird. So they would say, I'm just expressing my feelings or

00:41:48.600 whatever. There's nothing weird about that. And there isn't. But it's just the word is powerful

00:41:54.420 on one side, but not the other. All right. When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool

00:42:00.920 coat from Winners, I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners? Like that woman 0.90

00:42:07.580 over there with the designer jeans? Are those from Winners? Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings?

00:42:13.520 Did she pay full price? Or that leather tote? Or that cashmere sweater? Or those knee-high boots?

00:42:18.540 That dress? That jacket? Those shoes? Is anyone paying full price for anything?

00:42:23.960 Stop wondering. Start winning. Winners. Find fabulous for less.

00:42:28.160 So apparently Biden is looking for free reforms on the Supreme Court. I'm not sure that that's a

00:42:37.000 reform, but they want no immunity for crimes that a former president commits in office.

00:42:46.340 And I wonder, do you think that Biden is still alive? Do you believe that Biden,

00:42:51.920 while he is someone accused of lots of crimes in office, do you think that he wants to remove his

00:42:59.540 own protection? I don't. To me, this is proof he's not the president. Because I can't see anybody who

00:43:07.460 would say, you know, it'd be a good idea to work really, really hard to make me personally far more

00:43:13.200 likely to go to jail when I'm 85. It's just not something you do. You just say, maybe the next

00:43:19.660 administration can work on this, but I'd like to have my immunity once I retire. So I think it's

00:43:25.360 evidence that Biden is not in charge. I can't imagine he would be in favor of that, because he

00:43:31.180 would be in as much the target as any other president. And then he wants term limits for

00:43:36.880 Supreme Court justices. I'm open-minded on that one. I'd like to hear the arguments on that.

00:43:43.020 And binding code of conduct for the Supreme Court, again, it's all in the details.

00:43:47.560 You know, could there be a code of conduct for the Supreme Court?

00:43:53.760 I feel like the Supreme Court should come up with that on their own.

00:43:57.460 I don't feel like that should be imposed upon them. Do you? You know, wouldn't you be more

00:44:04.360 comfortable if the people who are supposed to be the standard bearers for our constitutional system,

00:44:10.000 they're the ones who should say, you know what, we need a code of conduct.

00:44:13.300 So we're going to publish one and try to stick to it. And I feel like on some level,

00:44:19.120 they probably do have that, don't they? Whether it's written down or unwritten, but

00:44:23.720 certainly they have understood conduct that they consider too far and, you know, what's allowable.

00:44:31.160 So that seems like maybe that's unnecessary.

00:44:37.880 Anyway, Elon Musk is reminding us of non-citizens coming into the countries. He's calling them 1.00

00:44:46.400 illegals. I have also a little issue with using that word. Now, obviously, they've done something 1.00

00:44:54.500 illegal, but, you know, we don't call, you know, if somebody got caught shoplifting once and they're

00:45:01.600 a citizen, we don't really call them illegals, even if they did something illegal once. So I don't love

00:45:08.460 that word, but it's not, it's, I'm not going to make it a mission to end it. So anyway, a few things

00:45:17.160 you should probably know, according to Elon Musk, illegals in America can get bank loans, mortgages,

00:45:22.680 insurances, driver's license, free healthcare in California and New York, and in-state college

00:45:28.400 tuition for not even, so. And then Elon says, what's the point of being a citizen if an illegal

00:45:36.080 gets all the benefits but doesn't pay taxes or do jury duty? Well, that's not true. If they have a job,

00:45:43.460 they're going to pay taxes, aren't they? Do illegal employees not pay taxes?

00:45:50.740 I thought they did. So I don't know if that's accurate. But he was reminded that sometimes they

00:46:00.740 can vote. So if you get your driver's license, depending where it is, you might get an option

00:46:06.400 to get a ballot. It doesn't mean it's legal to vote, but you'd be given the option.

00:46:12.120 All right, here's an interesting story. As you know, people are calling the mega Trump-loving

00:46:21.340 people a cult. Now, what's interesting about this is that it doesn't fit the definition of cult.

00:46:28.200 So what did they do? Did the Democrats say, oh, well, now that you point out the definition of a cult,

00:46:35.000 I can see that it doesn't fit. Specifically, what doesn't fit is a cult really, really needs to keep

00:46:41.660 the cult away from other information so that their world is just whatever the cult leader tells them.

00:46:48.620 But that's not the case with Republicans. Republicans see all the mainstream reporting,

00:46:53.640 if only to know how to counter it. But they see it all. They're very aware of what both sides of the

00:47:01.420 argument are. That is not true on the other side. The Democrats are socially and or functionally cut

00:47:10.420 off from really half of the argument and always will be because they don't even want to look at

00:47:16.560 Fox News for two seconds. I'm not going to go look at Breitbart. Are you crazy? They would say.

00:47:22.820 But yet, Republicans are going to hear every story that's important that came out of the Washington

00:47:28.280 Post or the New York Times. They don't trust those entities, but they certainly know what they're

00:47:33.700 saying. It just doesn't work the other way. So I was saying that Joe Navarro, who's ex-FBI guy,

00:47:41.780 and he's written some bestselling books on body language, which I've recommended.

00:47:46.340 So he's real good on body language. If you want to look into his books, Joe Navarro,

00:47:51.880 and I've recommended them in the past. But he's talking now, I guess he did a little video on

00:47:58.000 this, that he's making the case for cults being more about a charismatic leader.

00:48:04.620 So that would allow you to call the MAGA people a cult because they really, really like Trump.

00:48:12.220 Do you see what's happening here? This is part of the brainwashing industrial complex. No,

00:48:19.380 I'm not saying that Joe Navarro is connected to anybody who's asking him to do this. Everybody

00:48:24.120 just knows what to do if they're on one side. And if you happen to be an expert on cults,

00:48:32.160 you can be expected, and you're also, let's say, a Democrat, you can be expected that people will

00:48:38.100 want to hear you say that Trump is a cult and that the Democrats are not. Now, the Democrats don't have

00:48:46.240 a charismatic leader at the moment. They did under Obama, but they don't at the moment.

00:48:51.980 But they do have a silo in what they have access to. And so because they have a silo,

00:48:58.320 the news can simply act like a leader, the collective fake news, and just tell people what

00:49:04.000 to believe. And then they believe it. And they get their fake data that they think is real.

00:49:09.000 And they get their fake narratives that they think are complete. And they get their hoax videos that

00:49:14.860 they don't know are edited. And they live in this little artificial, completely fake world in which

00:49:21.100 they think that they're right and that the other side are narcissists and criminals and racists and 1.00

00:49:27.100 maybe sexists too. And the only part they're true about is, yeah, there are sexists. That part's true, 0.99

00:49:34.500 but not in a way that necessarily should be a crime against humanity. They just like the fact

00:49:40.920 that men and women are different and that they celebrate that instead of running from it. So that's

00:49:46.940 a little sexist, according to the Democrats, but not necessarily a crime, depending on your point of

00:49:52.780 view. So charismatic leader is a cult. I don't think so. Let's see. Let's check on my

00:50:03.820 hypothesis about what's happening. So the Atlantic, which is allegedly a publication, but really is

00:50:10.300 just a propaganda entity, made the claim that, according to Breitbart, who's busting him on

00:50:19.640 this, that they're claiming that Trump will end elections. So they're doing this fake thing

00:50:27.180 where I guess the Atlantic's Brian Klass wrote. Well, it doesn't matter what he wrote. But the

00:50:34.340 idea is that they took Trump out of context, saying that when he talked to the Christian group,

00:50:40.720 that the election was a mess and that if he gets elected, he'll fix it. So you only have to vote for

00:50:47.820 him once and you'll never have to vote again if you're a low propensity voter. You just have to

00:50:52.840 get this one thing done. And then once he fixes elections so that they're fair and transparent,

00:50:58.840 then maybe you don't need to vote again because that would be fixed and everything will be fine

00:51:04.740 after that. Now, they turned that into he's going to end democracy and you'll never get to vote again.

00:51:11.540 Now, obviously, he didn't say that. How do you know he didn't say that? The same way you can

00:51:17.160 identify most of the hoaxes. Most of the hoaxes have the following quality. Would anybody say

00:51:23.700 that? No. If you can say, would anybody say that? It's a hoax. Now, I want to take a minute to explain

00:51:33.640 what I call brainwashing versus what would just be wrong, you know, bad information, what would be lying,

00:51:42.400 which is not brainwashing, and what would be a conspiracy theory, which is not brainwashing.

00:51:50.480 Brainwashing is when you know what you're doing. You're the brainwasher. You know you're telling

00:51:55.680 something that isn't true, but it's so untrue that the people looking at it don't even need to do the

00:52:02.260 research to know it's not true. Let me give you an example. Did you need to do research to know that

00:52:10.780 the President of the United States did not, in fact, ever call neo-Nazis fine people with a

00:52:17.720 premeditated, you know, talk that he thought about before he gave it? No, you don't have to research

00:52:23.960 that. That's something that couldn't, didn't happen in any world. Do you have to research whether or not

00:52:30.420 the President of the United States once speculated about the benefit of injecting or drinking bleach?

00:52:37.120 No, you don't have to research that. Now, on the surface, that's obviously something that didn't

00:52:42.160 happen. Do you have to research that a bunch of unarmed people tried to stage an insurrection 1.00

00:52:49.220 with some paperwork changes about electoral college, and apparently no organized plan whatsoever for

00:52:57.460 taking over, and when the President had offered more security and it was turned down ahead of the

00:53:05.460 event? Do you have to do a lot of research to find out that wasn't an insurrection and it was just a

00:53:10.700 protest? No, you don't. It's right there. If you just watch the news, you can see it with your own eyes.

00:53:19.240 So brainwashing is telling you that something you can see clearly and obviously is not the case.

00:53:24.800 Now, that's different from just lying. When they talk about the economy, that's just lying.

00:53:32.660 And it has the effect of convincing people of something that's not true. But you wouldn't know

00:53:38.600 necessarily that the economic numbers were a lie. You don't need brainwashing for that. A simple lie

00:53:46.760 that somebody doesn't check would be sufficient. That's not really brainwashing. That's just a lie

00:53:51.640 that you got away with. A conspiracy theory, let's say you see a lot of those on the right,

00:53:59.380 those are not brainwashing. Those are people who got brainwashed. So those people who believe what they

00:54:06.600 researched on their own usually, and maybe they want you to believe it too. But they're not trying

00:54:12.120 to brainwash you. Their intention is they think they know the truth, even if they don't, and they

00:54:19.000 would like you to know the truth too. Completely different than brainwashing. How about just

00:54:24.280 people who don't have all the facts and, but they're sure about their opinion. And so they're

00:54:29.840 trying to convince you of their opinion, but maybe they just didn't have all the facts. That's not

00:54:33.640 brainwashing. That's just somebody who didn't have the facts who's making an argument, you know,

00:54:37.960 basically what everybody is every day. So brainwashing. And the reason I used only three

00:54:44.980 examples in my brainwashing test, which is doing really well in terms of popularity on X is the

00:54:52.740 idea is you just take the three, the fine people hoax, the drinking bleach hoax, and the January 6th

00:54:58.580 insurrection hoax. They all have the quality that you don't really need to research them to know

00:55:03.560 they're not true. You have to be brainwashed to think those things are true. And the Democrats

00:55:10.760 are. So that's brainwashing. And the summer hoax seems to be about project 2025. Yeah, that's as

00:55:21.940 Jay Richard said on X, it's, it's basically, it's the Russia hoax for the year. You know,

00:55:29.700 it's just without the Russia part. And how do they get away with saying something that's so

00:55:36.160 easily demonstrated to not be true? Now, could you tell that the 2025 thing is fake

00:55:44.560 without doing research? Is it obviously fake on the surface? It is not. It is not obviously fake

00:55:52.960 on the surface. It's just a claim of something. And you'd have to do the research to know if it

00:55:57.760 was true or not. It's not like did the president call neo-Nazis fine people? I don't have to research

00:56:03.060 that. Of course he didn't. Of course he didn't. But if somebody says there's a document I haven't

00:56:10.060 read, and has a bunch of policy things written by people who used to work for Trump, do I know for

00:56:19.240 sure that's not Trump's plan? I don't really know. I mean, I'd have to look into it. It turns

00:56:24.520 out if you look into it for one second. If you spend even a minute Googling it, you will find

00:56:30.880 out it's not his plan. And in fact, the fact checkers even agree it's not his plan. So even

00:56:35.820 their own fact checkers say it's not true. But why will they believe it and keep saying it,

00:56:42.060 the Democrats? It's because they have demonized the news on the other side to such a degree

00:56:48.600 that Democrats won't even sample it. Imagine a Democrat flipping through the channels and they 0.70

00:56:55.800 hit Fox News. They're going to go, ugh, and hit that button as soon as possible to flip through

00:57:02.200 it. Because they're just disgusted. They've been trained to avoid contact, which doesn't happen the

00:57:11.540 other way, by the way. I don't see a lot of Republicans telling other Republicans to avoid

00:57:17.200 contact. Well, some people tell me that, but I don't listen to them. Anyway, so that's the

00:57:25.320 new summer hoax. And it only works because one side has demonized the other source of information

00:57:31.660 so that they won't look at it. And they'll never see a contrary.

00:57:39.780 Elon had a response to Gavin Newsom, something about professors sug on these nuts. Well, I missed

00:57:46.200 that one. So I guess Elon had said something insulting to Newsom. Anyway, there's a story

00:57:56.080 that China's got a special challenge with AI over there because they have to make the AI not tell

00:58:04.140 people the truth. So they're furiously trying to program their AI so that it's not intelligent.

00:58:11.920 Now, that doesn't even sound real, does it? Now, not intelligent specifically in anything that's

00:58:21.460 political or maybe philosophical. So they want that part to just program their population. They

00:58:28.720 don't want them finding out anything that's not government approved. So how in the world could AI

00:58:34.280 ever work in China as well as it will work in the United States? Now, you know, the United States

00:58:42.540 is doing the same thing, right? They're programming it so it doesn't agree with the Republicans ever.

00:58:49.340 But I feel like there will at least be competing AIs. You know, Grok won't be that way. There's an

00:58:54.900 unfiltered one that's not that way. So at least in the United States, you'll have access to one that

00:59:00.160 hasn't been programmed to brainwash you. You know, whether you'll use it or not, I don't know,

00:59:04.960 but you'll have access to it. That'll be different.

00:59:11.040 All right.

00:59:15.160 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:59:19.680 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages. Conditions apply.

00:59:25.180 Scotiabank. You're richer than you think.

00:59:26.840 Hold on.

00:59:33.280 So apparently the G20, that's the 20 industrialized countries that get together now and then.

00:59:39.540 I think the Daily Wire is reporting this. They've agreed to work together

00:59:42.880 to make the super rich pay their taxes.

00:59:50.260 That's the way the article is written, to make the super rich pay their taxes. Okay,

00:59:54.520 that's just propaganda. But sure, they don't have a broad agreement. But the finance ministers from

01:00:00.820 those nations, they agreed toward working to tax the super rich. And so they're trying to coordinate

01:00:10.600 as a world government to tax the super rich. Now, when I say tax the super rich, I don't mean income,

01:00:17.580 but rather they will tax their wealth. So it'd be something like pay 2% of your total wealth every year.

01:00:26.320 Now, do you know how many problems that would cause?

01:00:28.340 In order to pay taxes, you need cash.

01:00:36.140 And even though rich people could borrow it if they didn't have it immediately,

01:00:40.180 there's going to be a lot of situations where their money is in assets in a business.

01:00:46.780 What are they going to do? Sell part of their business to pay their taxes every year?

01:00:50.060 How much cash does a rich person keep on hand?

01:00:54.840 So let's say the rich people have to get rid of their investments to pay. So they have to sell

01:01:00.460 some stocks. Is that good? Don't the people who own stocks sort of like the fact that the rich

01:01:09.440 people are buying them too? Because that makes the stock go up in value. So here's what's wrong

01:01:15.980 with this philosophy, I think. The rich people's money is not sitting there doing nothing.

01:01:24.860 The rich people are not using every bit of their money to buy luxury items. When they're not using

01:01:32.280 the money, it doesn't sit there in a bag in the back room of their mansion. It's employed. So it's

01:01:39.140 either sitting in a bank so that the bank can lend it out. In other words, it's part of the reserves

01:01:44.080 to allow them to make loans. Or it's in the stock market where it's supporting the companies that

01:01:50.760 are the subject of that stock. So you would have to take the money out of a productive places

01:01:58.600 and give it to the government for this plan to work. Who is the best in the country at employing

01:02:06.040 capital? If you had a billion dollars that just magically became available, you said, all right,

01:02:12.520 we can give this billion dollars to, let's see, I'll give it to Paul Graham or the All In Pod guys,

01:02:20.140 or I'll give it to Elon Musk. Okay, that's one option. The people who are really, really good at

01:02:26.440 employing capital. Or you could give it to the government. Which one tells you the country is

01:02:32.980 going to be better off. So this whole rich people bad, they must be punished. It's just part of this

01:02:40.120 weird philosophical belief that, you know, success must be punished and everybody's got to have the same

01:02:47.420 stuff in the end. So, and why are the G20 even talking about American taxes? I've got a message to the

01:02:55.600 G19. The G19 would be all the questions, all the countries who are not America. 0.88

01:03:03.320 Fuck you guys. Will you leave us the fuck alone? Get out of our internal politics. Stay away from our tax 1.00

01:03:11.500 system. You guys are losers. Get the fuck away from our tax system. No, you G20 assholes should not have 1.00

01:03:20.460 anything to do with our tax system. I don't want to hear your idea. I don't want to hear how much it 0.99

01:03:25.260 makes sense. I don't want to hear how much your public likes it. I don't want to hear about anything

01:03:30.280 from you assholes. Nothing. We'll work it out. I mean, we might do a good job on it. We might do a bad 1.00

01:03:38.100 job. But no, you don't have any control over our tax fucking system. It's crazy. Dr. Jordan Peterson 0.99

01:03:48.440 continues to be fascinating. And he says that people grow up, they mature basically when they

01:03:55.340 get married. So he thinks it's better to get married young because then you'll mature and become

01:04:02.240 a more complete citizen. And part of the maturation process, he points out, is that when you have

01:04:09.760 something that's more important than yourself, you become almost immediately more mature. In other

01:04:16.680 words, you know there's something, this child is more important than you, and then you start acting

01:04:22.480 like you're not the most important thing in the world, and that's a sign of maturity. And I would

01:04:27.480 agree with him on the basic outlines of that argument. But I would like to add my own provocative

01:04:35.260 hypothesis. Now, this is not based on science, but it has a, let's say, the hypothesis is based on

01:04:44.160 things we know to be true. And here's the hypothesis, that having children ages you

01:04:50.060 biologically. I agree with the fact it makes you more mature. And I'm not saying that the physical

01:04:56.040 aging is connected to that mental maturity. Those are separate. I'm saying that I think having children

01:05:02.960 ages you, and here's why. I think that biologically we're meant to have children, that we've evolved or

01:05:13.160 we're designed however you want to do it, to the point where having children is the most basic

01:05:18.780 impulse for a man or a woman within a certain age range especially. And I think that when you have

01:05:27.280 children, let's say you pump out three or four of them, that you feel your work is done.

01:05:34.760 That as long as you've created the, you know, the extra people, that if you can get them to the

01:05:41.540 point where they're self-sustaining, you know, they've got through their first 18 years and they

01:05:46.320 can get a job on their own, that you feel like you're done. And I feel like your body says you're done

01:05:53.560 too. And so, and again, there's no, there's no science to this. It's just my hypothesis based on

01:06:00.180 observation. And I think that people who have not had children will exercise more and try to stay

01:06:07.220 fit for having children so that they can look like a better deal for somebody who wants to have 0.65

01:06:13.220 children. So part of it might be that the single people know they have to up their game a little bit

01:06:18.880 to look like they're worthy of having children. And some of it might be that biologically, once

01:06:24.020 you've had children, your body just says, you've done your job. Good job. And now you may live out

01:06:29.980 the rest of your days and we don't need you. We're not being unkind. You certainly contributed with your

01:06:36.180 children. We love that. Good for the world. Good for the population. But your job is kind of winding

01:06:43.120 down now. And I wonder if that ages you. It's just a hypothesis. Now, I think you would find that

01:06:50.500 people who had families live longer than single people. But that problem with the data, of course,

01:06:57.700 all data is wrong. You're going to get a lot of single people who couldn't get married because they

01:07:02.920 had, you know, physical issues. And people who had physical issues, which would translate to bad

01:07:10.460 health, are less likely to find a mate who wants to have a bunch of kids with them. So, you know, 0.99

01:07:16.320 data is not going to tell you much about this. It would be all dirty data. All right. There's a

01:07:24.040 report, I don't know if it's true yet, that Lufthansa and Austrian Airlines are both canceling all their

01:07:30.000 flights to Ben Gurion International Airport in Israel. Now, some people say, what do they know that we

01:07:37.620 don't know? Is there a preparation for a war with Lebanon? I think the United States has already told

01:07:45.080 Americans, you know, it would be a good idea if you got out of Lebanon. Hey, I've got a suggestion for 1.00

01:07:50.760 you. No real reason, but you might want to consider booking a ticket out of Lebanon. And if I could give

01:07:59.920 you some advice, maybe you want to get out of Lebanon really quickly, because Lebanon might not 1.00

01:08:06.180 be a good place to be in a few days. Well, I've seen the experts talking about how if Israel were 0.89

01:08:15.320 to attack Hezbollah, and Hezbollah, you know, sent some deadly rockets, especially recently, they never

01:08:21.520 stopped. They're always sending rockets, but they don't always get through, or they don't always kill

01:08:25.420 anybody. But recently, they did. It was pretty bad. Twelve people, I think, died, the most recent

01:08:32.780 numbers. And some people say that Israel couldn't take that on, because if they attack Hezbollah, it's

01:08:40.460 way bigger than Gaza. But then the Palestinians might revolt, and the Syrians might revolt, and Iran would get 0.94

01:08:46.800 more involved, and suddenly it would be this giant regional war that Israel is not maybe equipped to

01:08:54.260 handle. To which I say, how can they not have a war? War is guaranteed. War is just guaranteed. I don't

01:09:06.720 know if it's today or tomorrow, but what country lets another country build up unlimited rockets,

01:09:13.140 which they're actively using to lob into their population centers? If there's one thing I can

01:09:19.840 guarantee you, the people lobbing rockets into Israel's population centers are going to get killed. 0.98

01:09:28.780 They're going to be killed. There's no way around that. So Israel is waiting for their best 1.00

01:09:34.560 opportunity. They probably have to mop up some things in Gaza and get, you know, maybe better control

01:09:40.500 of that so their military forces are more free or something. But, oh yeah. Yeah, there's no way that

01:09:46.960 Hezbollah is going to get away with this. Hezbollah is going down. And it might be, if you want to get 0.92

01:09:53.140 political about it, a lot of people who know more than I do about Israel say that Netanyahu is popular

01:09:59.740 enough while they're at war, but the moment Gaza winds down, there's no way he can remain in office,

01:10:07.680 and he might have legal problems if he leaves office, and blah, blah, blah. So there's a tremendous

01:10:12.740 incentive, some observers would say, for Netanyahu to want to widen the war because it could keep him in

01:10:20.600 power. Now that's the cynical view. I would say, personally, I don't have a view of Netanyahu that says he

01:10:28.480 would plunge his nation into war to protect his job. I don't know. I mean, I feel like somebody like him

01:10:39.760 is so bought into, you know, the Israel, the entire Israel story, that he's not going to destroy

01:10:48.660 the country to protect his career. I'd love to think that's just impossible for somebody in that

01:10:55.140 position who's gone through what he's gone through, that's lived there, that's experienced, you know,

01:11:00.000 experienced all of this. I think it's impossible for somebody like that to sell out the country.

01:11:06.220 I just think it's impossible. There's just, your brain wouldn't allow you to do it.

01:11:12.280 But I can't read minds, so I don't want to be making the mistake I always tell people not to make.

01:11:17.980 I can't read his mind. But it sure would surprise me if he would put his personal, you know, career

01:11:27.220 at this point, especially, if he would put that ahead of the survival of his nation. I mean,

01:11:32.800 I don't see it. Maybe. Anything's possible, I suppose. But I don't see it. So I think that Israel 0.99

01:11:41.140 taking out Hezbollah is guaranteed. It's just a matter of when they choose to do it. And whether 1.00

01:11:47.800 the United States is directly or indirectly helping, we'll be helping, even if all it is is financially

01:11:54.440 or replacing their weapons or something or giving them some satellite support or whatever they need.

01:11:59.760 But I don't think we'll send humans in. And I'm also wondering at what point we see the drone swarms.

01:12:11.720 Because it seems to me that Israel should have access to drone swarms of their own by now. 0.89

01:12:18.560 And can't they use those to just put a ceiling over the border on Lebanon so they can just see 0.90

01:12:24.280 every single, what would it be, a missile launcher? You know, it seems like you could get

01:12:32.020 enough just permanent drones over that area that as soon as a missile launcher, you know, 0.94

01:12:39.300 uncloaks or however they take it out of hiding, that you just drop a grenade on it as soon as it happens,

01:12:45.540 like within seconds.

01:12:46.460 But you would need just a lot of drones. You know, we're talking about, I don't know,

01:12:54.180 10,000 in the air at the same time, but they could do it. And if they were to provoke a wider war,

01:13:01.900 presumably the missiles would all come out at about the same time.

01:13:06.860 And then you take them out. Not that it's easy. I'm just saying there isn't any way that Israel is 1.00

01:13:12.280 going to put up with Hezbollah in the long run. There's just no way. And I think that Israel also 0.99

01:13:18.440 has to make it clear that being a proxy for Iran is always a death sentence. Because otherwise, 0.58

01:13:25.380 Iran will just keep making proxies. You got to make them at least think about whether you want 1.00

01:13:29.900 to be an Iranian proxy if they all die. Oh, I think I'll be an Iranian proxy. Well, that gives you a 0.97

01:13:36.000 life expectancy of 10 minutes. Drone is coming right now. So that would be,

01:13:41.380 maybe it would tamp down on some of those proxy activities. I don't know. We shall see.

01:13:48.760 All right. That's all I got for you today. Thanks for joining. We'll see if our Monday goes well.

01:13:55.160 I'm expecting big things today. 1.00

01:13:56.500 Here's another idiot. Scott, not knowing about people working under the table, is telling of his 1.00

01:14:08.380 rich. What do you think it is that I don't know? Did you read my mind? You read my mind to know what

01:14:19.840 I don't know? That's pretty good. That's pretty crazy.

01:14:29.320 All right. I'm going to say hi. I'm just going to talk to the locals people privately. But

01:14:33.660 those of you on Rumble and X and YouTube, thanks for joining. I will see you tomorrow.

01:14:38.460 That's pretty good.

01:14:41.900 I'll see you tomorrow.

01:14:44.000 No, all right.

01:14:46.000 Bye.

01:14:48.000 Bye.

01:14:49.540 Bye.

01:14:50.120 Bye.

01:14:51.620 Bye.

01:14:52.300 Bye.

01:14:53.360 Bye.

01:14:54.360 Bye.

01:14:56.360 Bye.

01:14:57.360 Bye.

01:14:58.260 Bye.

01:14:58.360 Bye.

01:14:59.360 Bye.

01:15:00.360 Bye.

01:15:01.360 Bye.

01:15:01.400 Bye.

01:15:03.360 Bye.

01:15:04.360 Bye.

01:15:05.360 Bye.

01:15:07.360 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 29, 2024

Episode 2550 CWSA 07⧸29⧸24

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