Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2555 CWSA 08⧸03⧸24

00:00:00.000 um

00:00:00.720 good morning everybody and welcome to coffee with scott adams saturday edition while everybody else

00:00:11.280 is lazy and sleeping if you'd like to take this experience which is already going to be amazing

00:00:16.240 up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need is a

00:00:21.860 cup or mug or a glass a tanker chalice stein a canteen jug of less of a cell of any kind fill

00:00:26.920 it with your favorite liquid i like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine

00:00:33.200 day of the day thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens

00:00:37.320 now go

00:00:39.180 oh so good so good

00:00:46.160 well here's an important story uh for people like me did you know that young people are or young women

00:00:56.320 are eschewing high heels for clubbing so i i'm not i have to say that it's been a while since i've

00:01:06.560 been to a club so when's the last time i went clubbing it was uh uh last time i went clubbing

00:01:13.560 was oh never never so i've never been clubbing but i understand that it was common for women to wear

00:01:20.540 heels and apparently now women going out for the evening wear some kind of sneakers and jeans 1.00

00:01:28.160 and i thought to myself finally finally we finally found something that could help human reproduction

00:01:38.860 have you noticed that every trend in the news is negative it's like that the dating apps are

00:01:45.180 destroying us and the only fans is bad the porn is terrible and the ai is going to take all of our

00:01:51.500 romantic interest away and everything seems to be going the wrong direction but if women take their heels 1.00

00:02:00.360 off suddenly they have access to a whole new range of men i.e men who were not tall enough if they wore

00:02:09.320 heels but if they don't wear heels tall enough so it's like men just gained three inches in height

00:02:17.400 everywhere in the united states young ones because the young women are not wearing heels and the big 0.65

00:02:24.020 difference is whether they're taller than the woman and that that seems more important than you know how tall 0.92

00:02:29.920 they are in general they like them tall women do but they certainly have to be taller than the woman 1.00

00:02:36.140 that seems to be you know key criteria on the dating apps so get rid of those heels ladies your mating 1.00

00:02:45.000 opportunities have just gone up substantially

00:02:48.060 well you were probably aware the stock markets in the dumper but here's how you should look at this

00:02:55.840 yeah let me tell you one thing that i told a young investor months ago i said stock markets 0.99

00:03:06.120 looking really good right yeah looking really good you know in the summer it always takes a shit 0.96

00:03:11.560 what yeah in the summer the stock market always takes a dump now i think there may have been an 0.95

00:03:18.640 exception like some weird years but generally speaking people like to sell what they have in the

00:03:24.800 summer and go on vacation literally they don't want to look at their their holdings so anything that's

00:03:30.760 sketchy they just sell it before they go on vacation so you always get a fall in the summer

00:03:37.080 it might mean something and it might not it could be because of the unemployment it could be because the

00:03:43.020 fed hasn't raised the interest rates it could be something about the election it could be something

00:03:47.880 about ai got a little overrun so there was no question let me put it this way

00:03:53.900 there was no future there was no possibility that the market wouldn't go down at least 10 percent

00:04:02.180 everybody's experience as an investor knows that right

00:04:06.320 we were heading for a 10 percent correction minimum i mean it could be more

00:04:11.500 but minimum 10 percent so you're just seeing the expected 10 correction doesn't mean it'll stay there

00:04:18.500 i would expect that there's nowhere else to put your money you know you don't want your money in

00:04:23.940 cash you can't put it all in bitcoin because you're not quite sure that's the way to go

00:04:28.580 so what are you going to do put it in your mattress then it just gets inflated away if you want to keep

00:04:35.040 up with inflation you're either going to have to own property which has its own risks or the broad

00:04:41.820 stock market so for me the anti-inflation play is primarily just being in index funds

00:04:48.480 you know if if the big companies can't raise their prices then nobody can so that's my play i'm

00:04:57.220 keeping all of my stocks selling nothing and i wouldn't be surprised if you see it changing quite

00:05:04.740 a bit between now and the election you'll because i also think the players game the system

00:05:10.020 so it could be that people are just taking some profits from ai companies that ran up too much

00:05:16.540 but it could be that you'll see a bunch of super rich democrats say you know what would be really

00:05:23.280 good for the democrats is if the market felt like it was recovering so i think you're going to see a

00:05:29.380 bunch of fake very large industrial buyers before election day so here's my prediction

00:05:36.480 whatever the stock market is today i think it will be higher than that on election day

00:05:43.040 and it won't be normal like it'll just be gaming the system kind of stuff that's what i think so

00:05:50.720 that doesn't mean in the long run anything it just means i expect a little bit of mischief

00:05:56.940 all right uh so according to bright bar news the democrats are panicked now and they want a rate cut

00:06:05.020 because unemployment took a little jump so if the fed cuts the rates that normally juices the stock

00:06:12.240 market and the rest of the economy but the fed is independent ish so they don't have to do something

00:06:19.800 just because the democrats want it now you might say to yourself on this next story scott why are you

00:06:26.320 always talking about batteries batteries are so boring oh but are they i think understanding batteries

00:06:33.900 and the new technology coming is just one of the biggest things to understand so here's a big

00:06:39.700 big big story about batteries sawyer merit on x is reporting this so tesla apparently has been

00:06:48.300 working on something called a dry cathode battery meaning that there would be no moist parts of the

00:06:54.820 battery this has been a long dream apparently that was just too hard to do people have tried it but

00:07:01.000 haven't gotten far enough but um it would reduce if it works tesla would reduce their own costs between

00:07:09.080 15 and 30 percent if they can scale it that's right the cost of a tesla could come down 20 to 30 percent

00:07:18.320 if they put these better batteries in but that's not all takes up a lot less space

00:07:23.600 um and uh they can make uh smaller more efficient factories to make these uh fewer steps higher density

00:07:33.940 more range better for the environment and uh of course we're going to need some really good batteries

00:07:41.540 for your robots you think if you think your uh battery keeps running down in your car

00:07:48.760 wait till you see your robot at least the robot can go plug itself back in actually your robot could

00:07:54.940 probably drive your tesla to the charging station and charge it for you so that's coming

00:07:59.480 meanwhile california is uh floating the idea internally about purchasing and owning its own refineries

00:08:08.440 now you might say to yourself what uh isn't california part of the united states and don't we live in a

00:08:19.640 free market capitalist system where the very dumbest thing you could ever do is have the state own your

00:08:26.060 means of production because that's like communism it's like venezuela and every single possible element

00:08:33.080 of that is bad idea that's why we're doing it if you if anybody has a like an updated list of terrible

00:08:41.620 ideas could you send it to us in california because we're running out of terrible ideas we've implemented

00:08:47.300 them all and this new one i think gets sort of the end of our list you know once you start getting rid

00:08:54.480 of capitalism entirely let the criminals out uh let the the uh people from other countries flow in 1.00

00:09:01.800 let that fentanyl come in come on fentanyl let's get that in here and then the only other thing we

00:09:08.420 could do oh besides the fact that you can't get a house insurance if you live in california because

00:09:13.400 of the poor management of the forest fires but uh now we're gonna have uh apparently uh get rid of

00:09:21.360 capitalism because you know the state is really good at running businesses for your yeah okay yep

00:09:29.900 california has become like venezuela except except without the excellent leadership of maduro

00:09:36.280 well uh elon musk had apparently an eight and a half hour interview with uh lex friedman i don't

00:09:44.540 understand that i don't know why they did that but okay so i guess they they get along pretty well

00:09:53.440 because they had a long talk um so here's some things we know now neural link is looking to you

00:10:01.660 know massively increase the number of electrodes into the brain and they're working on a product in

00:10:07.680 the future that will allow maybe blind people to see for the first time i think how amazing that would

00:10:14.920 be imagine if elon musk bypassed eyes and just put a little camera on your head and it's stuck into

00:10:25.140 your brain and then blind people could just see and what about deaf people probably probably deaf 0.96

00:10:35.920 people will be able to hear he also seems to have some potential for solving schizophrenia seizures and

00:10:42.240 memory issues well we're going to be full android pretty soon you know elon points out as i've

00:10:48.020 pointed out for years that we're already androids the fact that you can put your phone down doesn't

00:10:54.340 change that your your phone is basically connected to your body and your brain you know that every

00:11:00.720 once in a while you forget it but that's more of a design flaw anyway in other news the nfl announced

00:11:09.220 that all of the teams will be implementing facial recognition so that every person who attends a

00:11:16.880 professional football game will be identified by facial recognition software to verify their identity

00:11:24.740 um does anybody wonder why is there something we don't know about that makes that necessary

00:11:32.440 well what exactly is the purpose of doing that is that for the benefit of the safety of the people

00:11:41.260 going to the stadium is that for the government to find out where all the trump supporters are

00:11:49.860 uh uh what is that i get crowd control collect data you know remember something i've been telling you for

00:12:01.520 years that you hated is that there's no hope of preserving privacy there is no hope of preserving privacy so you

00:12:12.660 should get your head straight about living a life that could survive no privacy if you haven't already

00:12:21.160 made that change you really need to stop saying anything in a digital means that you're not willing

00:12:27.080 to defend in public i think i stopped saying things digitally maybe 20 years ago probably 20 years ago

00:12:36.820 was the last time i said something that maybe i'd be embarrassed if somebody saw it now i only say 0.96

00:12:42.580 things that if it came out i'd say yeah fuck you that is my opinion i don't think there's anything i write 0.97

00:12:51.040 down digitally that i couldn't say in public and it's been that way for a long time and you know i've i've had 0.99

00:12:58.180 actually had the experience of sending an encrypted message and then seeing it in the news

00:13:03.340 that'll that'll straighten you out really fast yeah imagine sending an encrypted app message and then seeing

00:13:11.040 it in the news yep that happened that's a real thing that happened with me

00:13:16.580 anyway um remember that story about the 9-11 planners who are in custody and they did a plea deal

00:13:26.780 and the plea deal would give them life in prison but no execution well defense secretary lloyd austin

00:13:34.100 has reversed that and actually removed removed from office the person who approved it so not only did

00:13:41.340 he reverse it but the person who tried to do it in the first place you got slapped down pretty hard

00:13:47.400 they were removed from that position that's a pretty hard rebuke now does it seem to you like this is

00:13:55.360 maybe entirely political it looks entirely political to me i think the uh the democrats just thought it

00:14:05.820 was awkward to do this right before an election because it's just one more thing you can you know pin

00:14:10.940 on biden i think this is purely political what would be the other reason and by the way i don't have

00:14:19.820 any problem with the plea deal is there something wrong with it how many of you think that the um

00:14:28.180 terrorists would be happier if they're if they have life in prison i don't see that i see them being

00:14:38.140 happier to to be executed if you had life in prison wouldn't you want to be executed especially if you

00:14:47.960 thought you'd get your 72 virgins i'm not even like i don't even understand it like are we trying to be 0.94

00:14:54.740 good to the bad guys by giving them life well how's that even a deal so so there's something deeply

00:15:04.160 unreported about this there's something about the story we're missing and whatever that is is going

00:15:12.820 to be interesting but we'll probably never find out anyway don't believe the news uh speaking of the

00:15:20.220 news russia allegedly here's another one i don't believe all right so i saw this on social media

00:15:26.540 it's all tell you what it says but i don't believe it uh that russia is going to block google ios and

00:15:34.460 android what would it use if it doesn't use those now blocking google seems possible but how do you

00:15:43.360 block ios and android what is there some operating system is it a chinese operating system will they

00:15:50.540 just go china products maybe but why would they do this it's probably for security right is it for

00:15:59.780 security or is it just to damage the us's dominance in the industry don't know but i would think that

00:16:09.780 if putin doesn't trust google ios and android maybe you shouldn't either and again just assume you have

00:16:19.740 no privacy uh russia probably isn't happy with giving up their privacy but we already have

00:16:26.380 so it's no real difference bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:16:35.100 learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you

00:16:42.880 think all right we're all waiting breathlessly for any moment now or ran to respond and attack israel 0.65

00:16:51.340 maybe through proxies because israel murdered their the head of hamas's political wing

00:16:59.040 while he was in iran in the guest house and iran is saying that israel crossed all their red lines

00:17:08.060 their response will be swift and heavy and and then the u.s is sending military forces

00:17:14.860 there so we'll have a strike group and we'll have some more aircraft and whatever assets we need just

00:17:23.820 in case now of course it's being it's being presented as this is a way to reduce violence

00:17:31.820 because it'll maybe make iran think they don't want to do too much

00:17:35.980 but to me it's always so weird when two countries at war do war theater

00:17:45.820 now when israel takes out the leader one of the leaders of hamas that's not theater that's militarily

00:17:52.860 strategic but when iran responds isn't that purely theater because iran's response nobody expects it

00:18:04.940 will change anybody's future behavior they just have to act like they look like they can do stuff

00:18:11.580 so whatever they do is just going to be some weird theatery thing and if they go too far

00:18:17.820 they will invite more destruction on themselves than they want so they've got this weird little

00:18:23.580 situation where they have to do something theatrical that maybe kills an israeli if you know if they get

00:18:30.140 what they want um but they can't do anything that's important so what's what's that leave you can't do

00:18:39.260 anything important but it can't actually make a difference because if it makes a difference that

00:18:45.180 would be too dangerous for iran so it might be like that last thing where they warned the u.s well there might

00:18:54.620 be uh an attack you might want to duck and get in holes and uh you know we don't want to kill anybody

00:18:59.660 but we got to make a theatrical attack so you know everybody here it comes and so it looks like they're not

00:19:06.300 going to give a warning this time or at least that's what we're told maybe they will

00:19:12.060 but here's my prediction i think israel is going to degrade hezbollah and they're just looking for any excuse

00:19:21.980 excuse now they don't need an excuse because hezbollah has been you know continuously attacking 0.95

00:19:27.580 forever what they need is for the israeli public and the american public to say oh there's a good excuse

00:19:35.500 so i don't think iran has ever been in a more perilous situation because if they do something theatrical

00:19:44.140 that everybody can agree was a nothing maybe things just chug along the way they have been but

00:19:50.940 they say israel crossed a red line which means an appropriate response would also cross a red line 0.78

00:19:59.660 now can they find a red line that they think is a red line that they crossed

00:20:04.220 while israel can argue well that wasn't much of a red line and the u.s can say well

00:20:09.660 yeah i see they tried but we shot down all their missiles uh it was sort of a nothing

00:20:14.460 this one's going to be really interesting i think the hardest part will be iran trying to figure out

00:20:21.020 something that's the right message and that they could actually execute i don't know what there is

00:20:26.620 um i'll tell you what they won't do i don't expect them to kill a high-ranking high-ranking

00:20:34.300 american or military officer i don't think they're going to take a headshot

00:20:39.900 at israel because again that would be full war so i think it's inevitable that israel will uh

00:20:48.540 have to attack hezbollah directly and massively i don't see any way around it it's just when it happens 0.97

00:20:57.260 really um could it could happen this month or next year it's just going to happen i would rule out

00:21:05.020 any possibility it doesn't happen i don't think that's even in the option set anymore that's my

00:21:11.580 guess well iran is apparently allegedly who knows if this is true arrested more than two dozen people

00:21:19.980 that they think might have been knowledgeable or possibly complicit in this assassination in their

00:21:25.740 country and i say to myself if they arrested two dozen people doesn't that mean they're going to

00:21:31.580 torture them all right i mean if they arrested them but they don't have evidence that they were

00:21:39.740 involved it sounds like they're just grabbing everybody who would know anything and then

00:21:45.500 they're just going to torture them all can iran really get away with torturing two dozen of their 0.58

00:21:51.100 own people of which i would guess no more than one of them might have been involved

00:21:56.460 it feels like that's kind of a big risk for the the leader because if you're in the military and you

00:22:05.980 just found out that two dozen people got scooped up for interrogation and you know for sure that

00:22:13.260 there couldn't be more than one of those people who knew anything about this

00:22:17.580 you'd feel pretty mad at your leadership for treating you like you're expendable

00:22:23.260 i don't know if i could ever get over that if i saw my beloved leaders in the military

00:22:30.540 you know people i respected get scooped up when i knew for sure they were not involved in this because

00:22:35.660 they just wouldn't be i don't know that i could ever fight for that country again

00:22:42.060 if they ever wanted to so iran has more problems than i've seen anybody ever have a problem

00:22:48.300 i don't know i don't know how they're going to navigate this

00:22:53.820 well let's see um let's talk about politics

00:22:59.500 is anybody amazed that the top two democrats that the entire democratic party could put together

00:23:06.860 the top two now i'm not talking about the vp yet i'm talking about uh biden and then harris

00:23:12.860 the top two the top two what is the one thing they both have in common that's unusual for a national

00:23:20.140 politician nobody thinks they can answer a question just hold that in your mind the the two best

00:23:30.300 people that the democrats could feel biden harris nobody on either side not a democrat

00:23:37.660 not a republican believes they're capable of standing in front of other people and answering

00:23:44.780 basic questions about their profession and what's going on how did we get here

00:23:54.620 you know this is a great lesson on you can get used to anything as long as it happens a little bit

00:24:01.260 slowly we just got used to it how in the world how in the world do the democrats put up with having

00:24:09.340 their two best people unable to talk in public literally the most salient part of the job

00:24:20.460 and we're just like we're just going on so today after i'll say this i'll say the two best democrats

00:24:27.660 one of them likely to be the next president and they can't talk in public you could almost throw

00:24:34.780 a dart into a crowd and get somebody who could answer a question in public i mean you have a good good

00:24:40.220 shot at it anyway so uh that's amazing but uh there was apparently some kind of uh accidental leak

00:24:50.620 out of the philadelphia mayor's office some staffer that uh released a video that would suggest that

00:24:58.780 the democrats already know that they're going to be choosing josh shapiro the governor of pennsylvania

00:25:05.420 for their vp candidate so i think we're all acting like that's a done deal today even though it's not

00:25:11.100 official but we're going to talk about it like it is and let's talk about the fake news first how many of

00:25:18.540 you believe that josh shapiro once served in the idf volunteered and then served in the idf that would

00:25:26.060 be the israeli defense force the military in israel how many believe that's true because social media

00:25:33.260 said it was true how many of you believe that's actually a real thing it's not a real thing all right

00:25:41.420 let me say it so so that you don't embarrass yourself because a lot of people on the right are falling for

00:25:47.020 this pretty hard here's what was true in high school his high school had some kind of a program where

00:25:55.740 they had to volunteer for something so he and some other students volunteered remember this is high

00:26:01.340 school these these are just kids uh volunteered to uh was it college uh volunteered to go to uh israel

00:26:10.940 and they worked on a kibbutz or something but part of it as they volunteered to do some internee like

00:26:18.140 work for the idf they weren't in the idf they were like unpaid interns sweeping sidewalks and you know

00:26:26.700 doing stuff like that so he wasn't carrying a gun he wasn't going to war for the idf he wasn't a member of

00:26:32.300 the idf he was a student who was having an experience in another country that included some

00:26:39.820 you know some stuff that was unimportant and student-like for a military force now should you

00:26:47.980 be comfortable with that just because i said well he didn't you know he didn't actually pledge his

00:26:54.620 allegiance to another country it's just it was just a student experience are you uncomfortable with

00:27:02.140 that to know there's somebody who had a substantial in his in his youth he had a substantial experience

00:27:10.140 with another country that's an ally of the united states how many of you have a problem with that

00:27:16.860 because i think voters will that they will hear the story and they'll believe he had joined the military

00:27:22.460 you know probably probably a third of conservatives will now forever believe he fought in the israeli

00:27:28.540 military probably a third and will never be talked out of it because that's how the fake news works

00:27:34.940 it's pretty sticky um now what's interesting of course is that shapiro is jewish and therefore the question

00:27:44.460 will be which party is more anti-semitic so will there be more

00:27:51.900 uh republicans who are on the extreme side saying oh no that's one more reason we can't vote for him

00:28:00.140 well that shouldn't make any difference because nobody i don't think any republicans would vote

00:28:05.420 for kamala harris because you picked a jewish vice president so that's probably zero impact 1.00

00:28:13.820 on the republican side and i don't think the republicans would necessarily

00:28:18.220 well i just don't think the republicans will vote differently because of this in any way but

00:28:25.020 we all are asking the question hey aren't there a lot of uh progressives over in the democrat party

00:28:32.460 who are not so pro-israel at the moment maybe a little bit more pro-palestinian maybe michigan maybe

00:28:38.540 the squad and the answer is yeah that's probably going to be an issue um but it depends how he talks

00:28:47.260 about the situation too you know i think what he says today will be more important than whatever he

00:28:52.140 said in the past um and and let me say this i think it's important to know what the candidates

00:28:59.180 thought in the past you know it's important i think to know that trump was once a democrat

00:29:05.020 i think that's important i think it's important to know if uh kamala harris used to have far more

00:29:12.780 left-leaning opinions but maybe she's been talked into something more centrist to get elected 0.98

00:29:18.460 i think we need to know about the past but i firmly believe that if you can defend why you changed your

00:29:27.100 mind we should allow that i like people who can change their minds right that's not a negative it

00:29:35.580 used to be i remember a democrat or the uh who was it i think mostly the republicans would complain about

00:29:43.740 the other candidate flip-flopping do you remember that used to be the thing you're a flip-flopper

00:29:50.460 and i used to say you mean somebody updated their thinking with new information

00:29:55.420 why are we mad at that i want the person who can update their thinking with new information

00:30:02.860 and we've seen it happen i want to know i've seen it i don't want somebody to go into office and say

00:30:08.140 i have the same opinions i had when i was 20. that would scare the shit out of me i need somebody who 0.56

00:30:14.300 is mentally flexible and capable of changing their opinion so i think it's important to know that kamala

00:30:23.020 had some instincts that were left-leaning and she might bring that into the office but if she could

00:30:29.180 defend her new opinions then i would feel differently about it for example if somebody said well i used to

00:30:37.340 think universal health care like one single payer was the only way to go but now i think it would be

00:30:44.700 impractical because the country really wants private health insurance too and there's no way you could get

00:30:51.100 there anyway so now i think i'll just you know want to lower prices for health care so you could you

00:30:57.660 could imagine her explaining it in a way where you'd say oh well if you can make the argument

00:31:05.020 that suggests that you understand the argument for that new opinion so look look for ability to

00:31:12.460 defend the current opinion that would be far more important all right so

00:31:21.820 we're going to be talking almost non-stop about anti-semitism just because shapiro's in the race

00:31:27.420 we'll see how that goes but again most people don't vote for anybody who's the vice president anyway

00:31:33.020 so he's in favor of a two-country solution in israel he thinks netanyahu is the worst leader ever

00:31:38.780 um well there you go

00:31:46.300 now i think uh there's going to be a lot of talk about his what the critics will say some kind of

00:31:53.100 split loyalty which i don't see in evidence but that'll be part of the story people will suspect he's got

00:32:01.660 split allegiance and again there's no evidence of that um it's not illegal to visit another country

00:32:09.260 and have an experience all right so let's talk about how clean the elections will be coming up

00:32:18.700 so as you're all aware in 2020 there were a great number of people who questioned the

00:32:26.460 election whether it was fair but we've had four years since then so thank god all the problems have

00:32:32.940 been fixed what what nothing's different well let's do a little rundown of what we know about the coming

00:32:42.780 election number one attorney generals from virginia and missouri and wyoming are going to look into act

00:32:50.220 blue that's a big fundraising entity for the democrats that uh according to omg and o'keefe james o'keefe

00:32:58.540 and his investigation according to them they've been laundering large donations from god knows where

00:33:04.620 maybe a foreign country we don't even know um through the the names of elderly who don't know their

00:33:13.020 names are being used because you can't give big dollar amounts you know there's limits but you can say

00:33:19.580 oh a million people donated a little bit each but they're fake fake uh donors they're real people

00:33:27.420 they're just elderly people who are never going to check and nobody will ever know that they didn't really 1.00

00:33:32.540 donate so the evidence seems pretty strong that something sketchy is going there so one of the

00:33:39.900 biggest sources of money for the democrats might be fake but hey that's just you know one element of

00:33:49.740 an election is the funding so just because the funding might be fake that doesn't mean anything else is fake

00:33:56.860 people i don't want you at all crazy about doubting things just because the funding for the democrats is

00:34:04.460 probably fraudulent and we do expect that some of the largest donors are also blackmailed

00:34:11.980 so i wouldn't believe anything about the funding sources uh but hey that's just one part of an election

00:34:20.300 i mean it does affect it so it does seem that crime would be already affecting the outcome but

00:34:28.220 remember there are lots more elements to an election so it's not all about the funding

00:34:34.540 uh there's also the media see msnbc says uh it's a life or death choice um if you pick trump

00:34:44.380 so somebody named uh tara setmeyer said on msnbc and i quote women voters are looking at this election 1.00

00:34:51.100 as a life or death choice the binary choice is democracy or trump and for women it's our lives or trump

00:34:59.980 okay so all right so the media is totally fixed and they're just going to give you scary stories

00:35:08.220 about trump that are all just made up but people i want you to relax a little bit because i know

00:35:15.900 you're thinking oh wait so the funding is totally illegitimate and the media which is the only source

00:35:23.500 of news for the democrats is also completely fake propaganda well that's true that seems to be true

00:35:31.580 but people don't lose hope because the money in politics and the media are just two variables that's

00:35:40.940 just two variables there's a lot more that goes into voting than just the money and the media okay

00:35:47.660 it might be 60 of it but there's still there's still more Ontario the wait is over the gold standard of

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00:36:48.060 see golden nugget casino dot com for details please play responsibly let's see over on the OAN the

00:36:55.420 network they had election fraud researcher and former California lawmaker Steve Baldwin he's been

00:37:02.380 looking into the Georgia voter rolls this these are the people who are registered to vote in Georgia

00:37:09.660 here's some things he claims to have found 179 000 voters with incomplete addresses that would be like

00:37:17.100 missing apartment unit or suite numbers which be a little suspicious but hey that's just

00:37:23.740 you know one variable uh also 115 000 voters used invalid mailing address oh 114 000 that's like way more

00:37:36.700 than the number of people that determined the election in that state huh and then there are 79 000 people who

00:37:46.060 somehow managed to register on a federal holiday and the question would be how'd you do that

00:37:55.340 i don't know maybe there's some kind of time delay on that or something

00:38:00.380 and uh 69 000 voters permanently moved on a state but still remain on the rolls uh really okay well

00:38:11.820 i don't have verification that all of these things are true they're just a whole bunch of claims that

00:38:16.700 the voter rolls are so polluted that it would be somewhat trivially easy for a bad actor to be

00:38:23.820 collecting all these ballots and getting people to vote who should not be voting and of course they would

00:38:29.660 never be caught because it wouldn't be one big scandal it would just be a bunch of individual voters

00:38:35.660 who yeah maybe they shouldn't have voted but it's not like one big problem it's just a whole bunch of

00:38:40.940 individual little things you know you could ignore the little things can't you all right so we don't have

00:38:46.940 voter rolls

00:38:47.740 and the media is rigged

00:38:53.500 and the funding is rigged

00:38:57.100 but at least we have law enforcement to make sure that everything's running fine all right here's a

00:39:03.180 new story do you know cisa c-i-s-a or is it cisa cisa and the fbi uh they've got a warning on election

00:39:13.020 data whoa listen to this apparently they have some information that suggests something's coming

00:39:18.860 they say uh they they did a public service announcement how how useful this is to where

00:39:26.060 to raise awareness there might be a denial of service attack on election infrastructure

00:39:30.540 oh that sounds bad that could hinder access to election information

00:39:36.140 well that sounds bad hackers could hinder our access to election information

00:39:42.860 oh but it's okay it's okay they say it would not impact the security or integrity of the election

00:39:48.380 process oh so the voting would be fine the only problem would be if you tried to find out how

00:39:55.340 people voted after the fact you know sort of like auditing or something like that

00:40:04.140 huh so it's looking exactly like they're they're warning us that they're not going to let us audit the

00:40:12.780 election that's what i see and they're going to blame it on a hacker

00:40:17.660 hmm so all right so maybe the fbi and cisa are actually malign actors because they apparently are

00:40:29.900 preparing to lie to us later and sure the election voter rolls are completely polluted which would suggest

00:40:40.460 it would be easy to rig and yes the media is completely a propaganda outfit and certainly the funding is

00:40:51.020 some kind of money laundering operation show but anyway those are just a few things

00:40:59.340 just those just a few things but there are lots of other elements to election for example

00:41:04.140 uh back in 2019 then senator harris according to fox news um talked about the sizable contributions in swing states

00:41:15.340 of having all these illegal immigrants 1.00

00:41:20.380 oh so she admitted in 2019 that the plan was to bring in illegal immigrants to change the voting in the swing 0.98

00:41:29.100 states okay so we have illegal immigration to change the swing straight votes we've got the fbi saying

00:41:38.940 there's going to be some kind of fake attack that will allow us not to audit the elections the voter rolls seem

00:41:48.060 to be rigged in georgia and the funding is fake and the media is full of propaganda

00:41:54.860 now that's what i call democracy people yeah and you know what you don't want

00:42:04.380 you don't want trump to come in here and steal your democracy am i right

00:42:10.460 i mean look how good things are set up everything looks perfectly good to me

00:42:16.220 the only thing that could go wrong with this magnificent system we have

00:42:20.700 is if somebody like trump comes in and steals your democracy

00:42:27.260 and by the way the democrats are very clear about how he's going to do it

00:42:33.180 you know that right they're very clear about how trump will steal your democracy

00:42:39.740 should i tell you what you don't know it's a very clear plan

00:42:44.140 he's uh change the subject no there is no plan to steal your democracy

00:42:57.820 well at least the one thing we can count on is that the people who are protecting our candidates

00:43:05.020 are doing their very best and you're getting a really good safe secret service situation

00:43:14.540 according to breitbart news there was a rasmussen poll that said 41 of voters believe

00:43:19.820 federal officials were involved in the trump assassination attempt okay so the credibility

00:43:27.660 of our government is so low that 41 of the public thinks the government tried to murder trump

00:43:35.020 so

00:43:40.140 but don't worry there are only a few things that look like they're a little sketchy

00:43:46.060 the voter rolls the propaganda from the media the fake funding the fbi warning us that they're going

00:43:52.060 to hide the audit information the fact that they're bringing in people specifically and directly to alter the

00:44:00.060 swing state populations and the fact that 41 percent believe that the government literally tried to 0.96

00:44:05.420 fucking kill one of the candidates

00:44:10.780 you know what's looking like a beacon of democracy today 1.00

00:44:16.380 venezuela

00:44:17.180 do you think venezuela had this many problems

00:44:23.500 now i don't suspect that the venezuela vote was real but did they have this many problems

00:44:32.540 i'm not sure they did did anybody try to murder one of their candidates i don't recall that

00:44:39.020 well if you put it all together my current prediction is that we won't have an election this year we will

00:44:48.220 have people voting there will be an election day and people will vote and votes will be counted

00:44:55.580 when it's done whichever side lost will say that was no election that was a sham and the results must be

00:45:02.460 thrown out uh and here's my fake slate of electors and everything else i don't think our current system

00:45:11.180 gives us any chance of an election result that the country accepts would you disagree with that our

00:45:19.900 current setup is so sketchy and so really non-credible the whole system is has no credibility at all

00:45:28.620 that if your side loses you're gonna think it was cheating and you'll be right i think you'd be right

00:45:38.460 and by the way that probably works both ways you know if somehow the republicans have figured out

00:45:43.500 some clever but legal way to game the system what do you think democrats are going to say they're going

00:45:51.260 to say they're going to say that hitler just took over and they're going to boot do everything they can

00:45:57.260 to take trump out of office they're going to impeach a monday one if they can if they have the votes

00:46:03.740 and they're going to be marching in the streets and the cities will burn the cities are going to burn

00:46:09.500 if trump wins i mean i think that's guaranteed and not because of trump because the bad guys want power

00:46:16.460 so they're going to make it look like the citizens can't live with this president and it won't be real

00:46:21.980 it'll be fake like blm and antifa it'll just be funded by the usual people and then of course

00:46:28.300 there'll be another charlottesville march right away and everybody will be fooled again into thinking that

00:46:33.900 that was organic it wasn't whatever it was it definitely wasn't organic

00:46:42.140 anyway um so trump has agreed to debate kamala harris on september 4th

00:46:50.620 i do think that harris has a reasonably good chance of doing well in the debate

00:46:56.620 and the only reason i say it is that there's no back and forth so she will be asked the question

00:47:02.460 and then trump's microphone will be muted i suppose and then she will just read from her little or

00:47:09.100 she'll have a memorized answer to every topic and then she'll just do her memorized answer and you'll

00:47:13.980 say oh that sounded pretty good that was coherent it'll just be memorized and then they'll go to trump

00:47:19.980 and he'll make some terrible accusation and then she won't necessarily respond to it directly

00:47:26.860 she will also um she'll just say what she says about the topic and then when it's done the media

00:47:33.660 will say my god that was a masterful you know i don't know why people said she's not good at this

00:47:39.260 she's the greatest debater she got it she had her prosecutor hat on and the media will say that she 1.00

00:47:45.020 won in the landslide even if she didn't so i think her odds are doing well they're pretty high

00:47:53.260 but there's also a good chance that she gets derailed by something that happens and you know can't answer

00:47:59.020 a question so we still want to see her sit down for a real interview with a real reporter i don't think 0.97

00:48:07.420 it's going to happen i think she's going to get the george stefanopoulos treatment 0.98

00:48:12.140 where she probably knows the questions i i don't know that that's true but so you kind of suspect

00:48:19.580 she might know the questions and so she just goes into a friendly interview with the answers prepared

00:48:24.780 and they just come right out by the way did you hear hear her uh her phone call with her supporters

00:48:33.420 where she was talking about i guess receiving enough support to be the nominee

00:48:37.580 and she does this phone call and she reads it can you believe that she did a phone call

00:48:46.060 where she read a speech she read a speech into a phone call now some of it of course you would expect

00:48:53.580 to be you know prepared but wouldn't you expect a whole bunch of extemporaneous comments and then

00:49:00.700 maybe she'd say on i just want to read this little statement so we're all clear apparently she couldn't do that 0.63

00:49:07.580 do you think trump would have just read a statement not a chance he would have talked for 10 minutes

00:49:15.100 and then he would say if he had time left oh let me read this statement completely different level of

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00:49:56.540 um so the hill says that trump risks losing more black voters with this harris identity attacks you know the

00:50:05.900 question about whether she's black or is she indian american or both and i think this is propaganda 0.67

00:50:12.780 from the hill trump risks losing more black voters here's what i wonder do you think that the black

00:50:22.060 men and the black women feel the same about this because i'll bet not and and i think that by hiding the 0.95

00:50:30.380 fact that the black men and the black women may be diverging in terms of trump support i think they're

00:50:37.740 hiding that i think they're hiding the ball because the big story is men versus women and the media they 0.94

00:50:45.020 don't want to say it directly because they're going to lose all their men in the democrat party at least

00:50:50.140 the ones that still have some testosterone anyway um so elon musk revealed on his lex friedman interview

00:51:02.380 that he talked to trump about creating a government efficiency commission to make the government

00:51:08.060 efficient and that he would actually be interested in being on it now that doesn't mean it'll happen

00:51:13.180 but it's a hell of an idea do you know who did that first a government commission on making the

00:51:20.780 government more efficient al gore so when al gore was vice president his job was to essentially automate

00:51:31.420 the government and make it so that you could just go online and get your your work done and over time

00:51:38.940 we've seen that the federal government has moved a lot of stuff online it is more efficient in that

00:51:44.140 way anyway but a lot of work to do on that so that would be fun um so open ai who makes chat gpt says

00:51:57.180 the government's going to see their new version chat gpt5 before anyone else hold that in your mind

00:52:05.740 so open ai has an association or arrangement with the government where their new version and this one is

00:52:14.380 rumored to be super smart compared to the current one um that the government has to see it first

00:52:21.500 why do you suppose that is do you there is let me say it again

00:52:27.100 no government can survive an honest news environment that's why there are no honest

00:52:37.260 news environments the no government democratic no government dictator none if if the if the news

00:52:46.860 started telling the truth it'd be hard to stay in power uh hard to win an election so you really need

00:52:54.540 at least some part of the news to be completely you know illegitimate otherwise you can't stand power

00:53:02.700 so when you see that the ai which will be in the future will be our only source of information

00:53:09.740 everything you know in the future will be talking to ai you're not going to google search for stuff

00:53:14.300 if ai can just do it for you so i think the government needs to control ai's answers

00:53:24.700 and it needs to make sure the ai will brainwash you the way you have been brainwashed so far

00:53:30.540 and they got to make sure that it doesn't tell you the truth because no government can can handle the

00:53:35.660 truth in the truth in the long run so i think this is exactly what it looks like it's the government

00:53:41.820 forcing open ai to add lies to their algorithm otherwise they won't be allowed to operate

00:53:50.620 i don't know it can't really go any other way by the way so if you're thinking to yourself well

00:53:54.620 that's too far scott it can't actually go any other way the government cannot survive guarantee

00:54:02.540 they can't survive if ai is just honest and tells the truth that that's the reason that all of your

00:54:08.460 searches are so obviously you know brainwashing propaganda government can't survive with the truth

00:54:19.740 um warren buffett's berkshire hathaway apparently is sold a bunch of its apple

00:54:25.580 stuff in the second quarter now i also sold much of my apple stake in the second quarter i don't know

00:54:33.340 if their reason is the same as mine but to me apple went from kind of a monopoly that nobody could touch

00:54:41.740 to something closer to a jump ball because of ai so apple still is not nailing their ai strategy they

00:54:50.540 might i mean if you had to bet i'd be more likely to bet they do than don't but at the moment

00:54:58.300 um they look weak and i would guess that some upstart could come up with a phone that uses ai as its

00:55:07.420 you know base mechanism and just put them in a business so i i don't give stock advice so i'm not

00:55:15.660 telling you to sell your apple if i had held mine i would have made a lot more money because it's much

00:55:22.460 higher than when i sold it so if you take my advice on individual companies to to invest in you will be

00:55:30.940 taking bad advice i guarantee you i'm bad at this i want everybody to hear that just in case you think

00:55:38.540 i'm secretly giving you advice i'm not because i'm bad at it everybody's bad at individual companies

00:55:48.380 all right wall street journal had a big article on robbie starbuck and how he's been successful in

00:55:55.660 getting john deere to scrap its dei program or at least de-emphasize it and uh i guess he's going to

00:56:02.540 go after some other companies and what i find important about the story is not just the john

00:56:07.980 deere part but what i find important is that the counter force to dei is now legitimate enough

00:56:15.740 that they can do it in public and the wall street general can write a what i think is a complementary

00:56:23.340 feature piece so just imagine that somebody is public as an anti-dei person and the news

00:56:32.460 is treating you as notable positive influence in the world so that's pretty important so that's

00:56:41.740 good and that ladies and gentlemen is all that's happening today

00:56:47.740 i'm expecting some more big news to come over the weekend maybe iran maybe something else

00:56:52.700 um yeah right now as soon as uh your apple can directly access both your apple and your amazon

00:57:05.260 digital devices they don't access ai which is just crazy i mean it already seems just

00:57:13.420 hard to understand really but apparently amazon will you'll be able to talk to it with ai which will

00:57:20.140 be life-changing for me because all day long i talk to my digital devices i'm always asking them

00:57:26.140 about the the weather in the stock market and read the local news and uh but you know it gets so many 0.61

00:57:33.020 things wrong that it's paying the ass so as soon as it can actually have a conversation with me 0.91

00:57:38.060 the uh kyle rittenhouse controversy no interest at all i will note that there's a kyle rittenhouse 0.96

00:57:57.660 controversy at one point he said he wasn't going to support trump some people saying he changed his

00:58:04.620 mind something about the second amendment he's one young guy it doesn't matter a bit who who he's in

00:58:13.100 favor of nobody's taking what is he in his early 20s nobody's taking the the advice or the guidance or

00:58:22.140 the word of somebody who's in his early 20s that's just his opinion why do we care

00:58:28.300 so i think we should care less uh we should insult him less we should compliment him less we should

00:58:36.620 just care less his opinion is not better than yours it's not more important than yours

00:58:43.580 so he's just a person with an opinion no interest at all

00:58:49.100 now here's another thing i'm watching which is the number of presidential polls that leave out the third

00:58:54.940 parties why do we ever have a poll that leaves out rfk jr how does that make sense well how does it

00:59:04.140 make sense to leave out the third party because you know they're going to be there right that i don't

00:59:09.660 think there's any chance that rfk jr won't be on the on the at least on the ballot in a lot of places if

00:59:18.380 not all of them all right so it's a yeah so i think you're going to see rigged polls rigged funding

00:59:28.140 rigged media rigged voter polls rigged uh immigration resettlement and maybe a rigged auditing process after

00:59:38.460 the fact you know what you still haven't seen you've still never seen an expert come on any show to

00:59:45.900 explain uh the holes in the system if there are any i would love to see lex friedman or

00:59:54.860 uh joe rogan or jordan peterson maybe uh ben shapiro or somebody so somebody who really knows that ask

01:00:05.580 some questions you know not just your average talking head they're not good enough you need somebody

01:00:10.700 extra smart so you need a lex or you need a you know you need somebody smart and here are the type

01:00:18.780 of questions you should ask if somebody filled down a ballot and they were not a citizen they milled it

01:00:25.340 in how would you catch it how how carefully do you check the signatures what percentage of people who have

01:00:33.660 the wrong address are people who you should let vote because they just wrote down the address wrong

01:00:40.060 you wouldn't want to deny them versus it's an obvious signal that these are not real people when

01:00:45.820 the address is wrong how do you how do you do that if somebody wanted to run the same ballots through the

01:00:53.340 system twice how would you catch it so in other words you should have a whole bunch of questions that are

01:01:00.380 loosely based on things that people have been allegedly caught for cheating in the past so

01:01:06.700 you wouldn't have to make something up you could just say all right suppose a state actor uh hacked

01:01:13.100 the machines how would you catch them and then you'd hear something like oh you know we'd easily catch

01:01:20.380 that and i'd say no no a state actor you don't think a state actor could get in there and change some

01:01:26.300 results and get out without getting caught a state actor like the the best hackers from you know a major

01:01:34.780 industrialized country it can't be that hard the hackers are into every other system

01:01:46.140 uh uh the the all caps people scott is dead effing wrong again

01:01:51.420 do you notice that the people who are the most angry will never say what it is that i got wrong

01:02:00.300 it's fairly consistent your anger seems to be about me and not any of my opinions how do i know

01:02:07.820 because you would say what it was i got wrong if that were real but now you're just here to yell

01:02:15.660 in all caps we've got everything wrong he needs to study up on this topic 0.94

01:02:22.940 but it must it must be nice to be drunk and pathetic at this time of the day

01:02:31.660 how many of you are uh drunk already i think the all caps people are just always drunk 0.96

01:02:38.220 do you do you think anybody writes an all caps message unless they're drunk

01:02:42.460 it seems like a guarantee

01:02:49.100 all right the anti-semitism is broiling in the comments just broiling today

01:02:58.460 you realize that the the shapiro nomination could be a trap and the trap could be to get all the anti-semitic

01:03:08.140 uh people on the right to complain about him being jewish 0.61

01:03:14.220 that would be one way for the democrats to win to trick the the conservatives into

01:03:21.740 saying he can't be a good vice president because he visited israel that time that would be a good way 1.00

01:03:27.980 to give away the election and it looks like you're all going to fall for that trap not all of you but

01:03:32.700 probably you know some huge percentage of conservatives is going to fall right into that trap

01:03:39.660 all right that's all i got for you today i'm going to try to talk to the locals people privately

01:03:45.580 but thanks for joining on x and youtube and rumble and if this works i will be going private

01:03:53.260 just with local supporters in five seconds

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 03, 2024

Episode 2555 CWSA 08⧸03⧸24

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