Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 14, 2024


Episode 2566 CWSA 08⧸14⧸24


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 6 minutes

Words per minute

146.50435

Word count

9,696

Sentence count

728

Harmful content

Misogyny

22

sentences flagged

Hate speech

31

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, Scott Adams explains why all the data that matters is fake and always has been. He also talks about a story about RFK Jr.'s voice problem, and why there's no cure for it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 To the highlight of human civilization, it's called Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:04.200 And if you'd like to take this experience, which is already better than anything you've ever felt,
00:00:10.160 up to a level that you won't even be able to explain to your grandchildren,
00:00:15.440 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard chalice or stein,
00:00:19.980 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:23.440 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:25.620 I like coffee.
00:00:26.980 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day thing
00:00:30.300 that makes everything better.
00:00:31.340 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.
00:00:35.120 Go.
00:00:39.840 Oh, my God, that feels good.
00:00:43.160 Ho, ho, ho, ho, ho, ho. 0.61
00:00:45.800 Sometimes that sip is exactly what you need.
00:00:49.040 Well, I've got a theme today.
00:00:52.100 The theme will be data isn't real.
00:00:56.320 And you won't believe that I can proof that point.
00:01:02.140 Not today.
00:01:03.580 I'm going to have to work on you.
00:01:05.280 But eventually, you're going to learn that all data that matters is fake and always has been.
00:01:15.260 All right.
00:01:16.000 So here's some health-related things.
00:01:19.280 Apparently, cigarette smoking is at an 80-year low, according to the Gallup poll.
00:01:25.020 That's good news.
00:01:26.960 An 80-year low in smoking.
00:01:29.620 That's got to be good for your health care expenses and everything else.
00:01:32.640 And I was thinking when I read that, when was the last time you saw somebody under the age of 30
00:01:40.060 with a regular physical cigarette?
00:01:43.280 Not a vape, but a physical cigarette.
00:01:46.640 When was the last time you saw that?
00:01:49.420 It might be a California thing, because I saw somebody from a southern state saying,
00:01:53.960 I see it all the time.
00:01:55.260 In California, it's not like I don't really see a lot of young people.
00:02:00.260 I mean, I'm not really in that mode.
00:02:03.620 But I don't see it outdoors.
00:02:06.940 I don't see anybody under 30 taking a smoke break.
00:02:10.120 I just never see it.
00:02:11.080 So, no, obviously, my personal experience is not generalizable, but it does seem to me,
00:02:19.240 and I've asked this question, the young people are pretty much not finding it cool at all.
00:02:26.160 There's a publication called The Medical Marketing and Media.
00:02:30.300 They did a story about RFK Jr.'s voice problems.
00:02:33.700 As you know, most of you know, RFK Jr. has the same voice problem that I once had,
00:02:40.480 called spasmodic dysphonia.
00:02:42.800 Now, does my voice sound like RFK Jr.'s?
00:02:47.080 No.
00:02:48.040 Does my voice sound relatively normal?
00:02:52.100 Yes, it does.
00:02:53.380 But I read this article about RFK Jr.'s voice problems, spasmodic dysphonia,
00:03:00.460 and it says there's no cure.
00:03:02.160 Huh.
00:03:05.200 Why is it that you can hear my voice?
00:03:08.760 Because I am cured.
00:03:11.340 Not only does it say there's no cure,
00:03:14.280 then it describes the actual surgery I had that cured me.
00:03:19.740 It's called denervation-enervation,
00:03:22.100 where they cut a little nerve connection in your neck
00:03:27.980 that connects your brain to your vocal cords.
00:03:32.160 They just sever it and put it in a new connection.
00:03:35.620 And when the new connection, you know, is fully active,
00:03:40.400 it takes, I don't know, two months or something,
00:03:43.380 then you can talk again.
00:03:45.600 And it takes a while before you can talk well, but that's a cure.
00:03:50.060 And the reason I got the surgery is because I talked to other people
00:03:55.380 who could talk normally who also got the cure.
00:04:00.240 Now, how in the world, I've told you this story before about how articles on this condition
00:04:07.340 say that there's no cure, but this is the oddest one yet.
00:04:11.920 It says there's no cure in direct language,
00:04:15.040 and then it describes the surgery that cured me.
00:04:18.600 What's up with that?
00:04:21.700 That one's hard to even hold in your head.
00:04:23.880 Like, how did you get there?
00:04:25.680 But if you think that the medical news is accurate, well,
00:04:30.860 do you remember gelman amnesia?
00:04:34.040 Gelman amnesia is when you're an expert on a topic, 0.98
00:04:36.780 and you can tell that all the news on it is wrong.
00:04:40.560 But you wouldn't know, right?
00:04:43.220 I happen to be, unfortunately, I'm an expert on this topic from a sufferer's perspective.
00:04:50.560 But if you're not, and you don't know anybody who ever had that condition,
00:04:54.600 you would read that article and say, oh, this is so tragic.
00:04:57.140 There's no cure.
00:04:59.140 But I know there's a cure.
00:05:02.480 You're listening to it.
00:05:04.540 So every time you read a medical article, just keep this in mind.
00:05:10.020 Whenever somebody knows the topic, they can look at that same article and say,
00:05:14.440 hmm, no, you got some big things wrong there.
00:05:18.860 But AI will save us all.
00:05:21.300 Apparently, there's a study of an AI model that can detect diseases in people with 98% accuracy
00:05:28.760 just by looking at their, do you know how this ends?
00:05:33.080 The AI can detect a disease in a person with 98% accuracy by looking at their, what?
00:05:43.900 Tongue.
00:05:45.660 Apparently, your tongue has a lot of tells.
00:05:49.540 So there's a certain cancer look, and I guess there's a look for a bunch of other diseases.
00:05:57.400 Now, I don't think it, I'm pretty sure it can't detect every kind of disease.
00:06:01.880 But some of the big ones, it can do pretty well.
00:06:06.100 Apparently, there's some ancient Chinese medical process that involves looking at tongues,
00:06:11.960 but it didn't have science behind it, and now it does.
00:06:16.860 Well, a little North Korea is a reopening for tourism, first time in four years.
00:06:21.880 I didn't know it was open four years ago, did you?
00:06:24.940 Did you ever once think to yourself, you know, I got a vacation coming up.
00:06:30.660 How about North Korea?
00:06:32.460 No, probably never thought that.
00:06:34.540 But if you'd like to do that, you can go to North Korea.
00:06:37.980 Yeah, they're opening their borders for tourism.
00:06:41.220 Now, I'm going to say for the millionth time, in the world of robots and AI and who knows what's coming,
00:06:49.800 there's maybe one thing that cannot be replaced by any of that, which is a physical human experience.
00:06:58.020 So if you're in the business of providing a physical human business,
00:07:04.140 you're probably safer than if you had some manual labor job that a robot will someday do.
00:07:11.400 And I think that the United States, as a critical future strategy to survive in the world,
00:07:21.460 should try to brand itself immediately as the best travel destination.
00:07:26.500 So we should just make sure America has, you know, connected bicycle trails and, you know, just easy to travel here.
00:07:35.160 And if you get here, you can see, you know, various different sites.
00:07:38.620 Maybe we should even build something that's specifically built just because it'd be cool to come visit and look at it.
00:07:45.040 But we need to become the cleanest environment with the easiest way to travel that everybody in the world wants to visit and take a holiday here.
00:07:56.840 Because I don't know what else you could do in the future that will be competitive.
00:07:59.880 Well, of course, and you'd hope other people have money to travel.
00:08:05.140 Maybe that'll be a problem.
00:08:06.580 But I'd love to see, like, big canals where you could just get on a boat and end up somewhere else.
00:08:11.680 And bicycle paths, which are being built, by the way, across the country.
00:08:15.500 But you could expand that massively because of e-bikes.
00:08:18.380 I think we should be the e-bike destination.
00:08:24.460 That you just come here, rent an e-bike, and you can go anywhere you want.
00:08:29.160 That's what I think.
00:08:30.120 North Korea, too.
00:08:30.860 There's a account on X that's relatively new that does nothing but track the Kamala Harris lies.
00:08:43.600 So if you want to follow that so you can keep up on, you know, the whole list of what she says every day that's a lie.
00:08:49.280 The URL for that is, well, the X handle for that is Kamala HQ lies.
00:08:58.840 All one word.
00:09:00.700 Kamala HQ lies.
00:09:04.820 Put that in and follow them.
00:09:06.580 They're growing like crazy.
00:09:08.220 But they'll show you a debunk of the fine people hoax and all of her classic hoaxes.
00:09:14.420 Anyway, so as you know, the Harris campaign is running against Trump and saying that he's a big old liar.
00:09:24.200 And that's one of the main reasons you should vote for her because of her honesty, I guess, compared to Trump.
00:09:30.660 Now, I'm not going to be the one who says that Trump passes all of the fact checks.
00:09:37.740 I'm going to be the one who tells you, can you name anything that you believe was a Trump lie?
00:09:45.280 That hurt somebody.
00:09:47.380 Either hurt the country or hurt you because of a lie.
00:09:52.840 Can you think of anything?
00:09:54.280 I can't.
00:09:55.360 So apparently whatever Trump is doing is more salesperson lies, you know, hyperbole, directionally correct, you know, moves you in the right direction.
00:10:05.220 Doesn't hurt you for sure.
00:10:07.280 But compare that to the Harris lies.
00:10:11.120 So both she and Biden pushed the fine people hoax this week, the most debunked hoax.
00:10:17.420 Now, I can't imagine anything that is more racially dangerous than pushing the fine people hoax. 0.70
00:10:22.980 That is a seriously dangerous hoax.
00:10:27.040 And also the hoax that Biden was sharp as attack for the last year.
00:10:33.360 That's a Kamala Harris lie.
00:10:34.860 And she should have been the one whose job it was to make sure that we knew that and she took care of it.
00:10:42.000 Those are really big lies.
00:10:44.820 And I think that they put the country in serious danger.
00:10:49.360 If anybody can come up with an equivalent, just for argument's sake, somebody to, like, put it in my face and say,
00:10:57.940 Scott, you fool, you claim that Trump's lies are harmless, you know, just hyperbole.
00:11:05.600 But what about this one?
00:11:07.780 I might be wrong.
00:11:09.460 So if anybody could give me a counter argument so I don't keep hanging out here with my dumb argument.
00:11:15.860 Tell me if you can anything that Trump has said that you think was untrue that was a problem.
00:11:23.780 So I think the worst lying is from the Biden-Harris campaign, but maybe the highest number of fact-check problems come from Trump.
00:11:37.400 That's probably true.
00:11:39.260 Now, the interesting thing is that I always thought that Trump was at a higher level of awareness than other people.
00:11:48.440 Because I think he was simply aware that you didn't need to be that accurate.
00:11:51.800 But as long as you are directionally correct, you could kind of just throw anything at the wall because the public isn't paying attention, the news is fake.
00:12:02.420 You know, people just want to feel that you're pushing them in the right direction.
00:12:06.540 And I think he's good at that.
00:12:09.320 All right.
00:12:09.620 Apparently, Tim Walz, just think about this.
00:12:12.360 The fine people thing is accusing Trump of praising neo-Nazis, but never happened.
00:12:17.920 It's just completely made up.
00:12:19.240 But here's something that's apparently real, that Tim Walz once praised this Muslim cleric who apparently had promoted Hitler at one point and had refused to condemn the October 7th Hamas attacks.
00:12:33.820 He even called this Muslim cleric at one point a master teacher.
00:12:37.240 Now, I assume that the part where he called him a master teacher happened before he was aware that the Muslim cleric was a little bit pro-Hiller and a little bit pro-Hamas. 0.59
00:12:50.060 I don't know how much, but at least a little bit.
00:12:53.560 So I'm not sure that Tim Walz knew what he was praising, but he probably needs to clean that up.
00:13:01.140 He might need to adjust his public statements about this character.
00:13:06.080 Meanwhile, CNN did just the grossest, most clumsy fake news.
00:13:13.220 They took a part of the conversation between Musk and Trump wildly out of context, just so obviously wildly, ridiculously dishonest.
00:13:26.100 So there was a part where Musk and Trump were talking about the dangers of nuclear power.
00:13:34.080 And I think one of them, maybe Trump, was trying to make the point that even Chernobyl, as bad as it was, it eventually becomes...
00:13:46.100 No, not Chernobyl, he was talking about Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and that they were essentially the cities were rebuilt.
00:13:57.000 So however bad you think that nuclear waste or nuclear radiation is, it's not the end of everything, as bad as it is.
00:14:07.800 And that was sort of the point about nuclear power, that nuclear power maybe is not as scary as you thought.
00:14:18.020 Now, it's the worst comparison ever.
00:14:20.120 Trump should never, ever compare nuclear power, which is all good, and there's no such thing as a modern nuclear power plant that's ever had a meltdown.
00:14:34.560 The ones that you know of were previous engineered versions, versions two and one.
00:14:41.320 But version three, which is what the world has been building for quite a few years, never had a meltdown.
00:14:48.140 And the new generation four after that can't have them.
00:14:52.540 They would be designed so they couldn't melt down under any condition, even if they lost power.
00:14:56.380 So I would never use that comparison of anything about nuclear war with anything about nuclear energy.
00:15:05.300 You should just never put them in the same conversation.
00:15:08.000 So I think that was a mistake by Trump's part, to use that example.
00:15:12.820 But it was used in the service of saying that regular domestic nuclear power should not be as scary as some people think it would be.
00:15:23.040 CNN took it out of context and made it look like he was saying that nuclear war was not that big a deal.
00:15:32.320 Just hold that in your mind.
00:15:35.000 What he said very clearly, if you listen to the whole context, was that nuclear energy isn't as scary as you think.
00:15:43.760 Somehow they turned that into talking about like a nuclear war or a meltdown, something that would be like an actual attack on a city would be somehow in the same conversation.
00:16:00.720 That's CNN.
00:16:03.080 Dana Bash.
00:16:03.760 I don't think Dana Bash could be considered a news person by any stretch of the imagination.
00:16:11.760 Kamala Harris is apparently using Google Ads to make it look like the advertisement is a news story, but she's tweaking the headlines of actual news stories. 0.99
00:16:23.140 So apparently it's legal.
00:16:24.640 It's just unethical.
00:16:25.960 And the news is telling us that Trump is not doing it.
00:16:33.220 And I think he's not doing it because it's unethical.
00:16:37.240 It's literally just lying with search results.
00:16:40.120 So it's basically a way to fool the person who searched into thinking they hit news or they saw some news articles.
00:16:46.420 But they're actually just paid results by the Harris campaign.
00:16:51.820 It just isn't obvious unless you're looking for the...
00:16:54.560 I assume it says probably some indication that it's paid for.
00:16:59.040 I hope.
00:17:00.880 But it would easily fool people into thinking they were real.
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00:18:05.460 Here are some things that Harris needs to explain if she ever talks to the press.
00:18:10.860 You know, why did she hide Biden's health?
00:18:13.500 Why are they using the most debunked hoax in the world?
00:18:17.520 Somebody needs to ask them, why are you using the most debunked hoax?
00:18:20.820 Now, Joel Pollack asked that question of Biden, and he just did some major lying about it.
00:18:26.340 But we need to see what Harris says about it.
00:18:28.840 We need to ask Harris about why she once said she wanted to free all the illegal immigrants by closing the detention centers. 0.97
00:18:38.940 She wanted to close all the detention centers, which, in effect, would be releasing everybody into the country.
00:18:45.140 She's got to explain why she once wanted universal health care, which, by the way, I don't hate.
00:18:52.980 I know you do.
00:18:54.980 But as long as it was also a private option, maybe there's room for that in the world.
00:19:01.460 I'd like to get to everybody has health care one way or the other.
00:19:04.420 Anyway, but she has to explain why she was once for it, but now she's against it.
00:19:09.940 And I think she needs to defend price caps because Biden's talked about price caps, and I think she's mentioned the same.
00:19:18.000 Now, price caps, as every economist knows, will destroy civilization.
00:19:23.420 It's not just a little bit dangerous.
00:19:26.380 Price caps are the end of capitalism.
00:19:28.260 It's basically a shortcut to socialism.
00:19:32.080 It's just the government telling what the company can charge, and that puts the company on a business.
00:19:38.320 The example of that is the insurance business in California.
00:19:43.200 So during the pandemic, or maybe it was when the forest fires were big in California,
00:19:48.520 the insurance commissioner of the state told insurance companies that they couldn't raise prices.
00:19:54.620 The insurance company said, but you understand we wouldn't even be close to profitability
00:20:00.460 because our losses are so high now, the actual claims, that if we don't change our prices by like 40%
00:20:09.260 or some gigantic number, we can't offer insurance at all.
00:20:14.880 And California, I guess, hung tough.
00:20:18.240 And a whole bunch of insurance companies that used to serve the state just stopped.
00:20:23.420 Do you know what the house insurance for my house is?
00:20:29.060 $43,000 a year.
00:20:31.740 I just priced it yesterday.
00:20:34.240 $43,000 a year.
00:20:36.840 And that's because price gaps drove most of the industry out of the state.
00:20:41.800 And then I believe the insurance commissioner got flexible because literally nobody could get insurance,
00:20:47.940 at least for larger houses.
00:20:49.180 There's some kind of California plan that will cover a smaller house.
00:20:55.340 But price gaps are deadly.
00:20:57.100 It destroys entire industries.
00:20:59.520 Now, how can people just stay in California if they can't get insurance or can't afford it?
00:21:04.640 You can't even live here if you can't get insurance.
00:21:07.800 Let me say that again.
00:21:09.080 You can't live in a state where you can't get insurance.
00:21:12.620 You can't.
00:21:13.960 You have to leave.
00:21:14.940 Now, I don't think California could be more poorly managed than that.
00:21:21.120 I mean, you could have literally asked anybody what would happen if you put a price cap on insurance.
00:21:27.360 Anybody could tell you what would happen.
00:21:29.520 It's the same with pharma.
00:21:30.800 It's the same with everything.
00:21:31.780 Price gaps, bad idea.
00:21:34.920 So she needs to be held to account on that.
00:21:37.560 Let me give you an update on this whole thing where the Democrats have successfully turned Kamala Harris's cackling into a joy narrative.
00:21:48.920 Oh, look how happy and joyful and positive and optimistic this campaign is.
00:21:53.540 Makes you want to smile?
00:21:54.660 Just look at them.
00:21:56.000 Look, there's Kamala dancing. 0.99
00:21:57.860 She's dancing.
00:21:58.760 She's smiling.
00:21:59.500 She's laughing.
00:22:00.320 They're full of joy.
00:22:01.400 And wouldn't you like some of that in your life, huh?
00:22:03.540 Huh?
00:22:04.020 Wouldn't you like some joy?
00:22:05.460 Elect her. 0.98
00:22:05.980 Now, I think it works as much as I like to make fun of it.
00:22:11.020 Totally successful.
00:22:12.980 But there's a little bit of a problem in that I don't think it works for a VP choice.
00:22:19.160 It totally works for Kamala because it explains her cackle in a way that seems reasonable. 0.99
00:22:26.980 But he's got a creepy smile.
00:22:29.060 And you can't combine the joy idea, which works perfectly for Kamala Harris. 0.99
00:22:38.320 It doesn't really work for her VP choice because he's just got that weird eyes don't match the mouth smile that just creeps the heck out of me.
00:22:49.240 I just, every time I see it, I go, oh, what is he hiding?
00:22:53.360 What's, what is the real story behind this guy?
00:22:57.140 Now, maybe there's no real story at all.
00:23:00.660 You know, maybe he's just an American patriot and he's worked his way up and he's done everything you'd want an American to do.
00:23:07.440 You know, joined the military to get his education, you know, stayed employed, helped people get ahead.
00:23:17.040 You know, a lot of good things you could say about him.
00:23:19.000 And I don't have any evidence of any bad thing.
00:23:21.220 But, wow, if that creepy smile is just hiding nothing, I'd be surprised.
00:23:29.740 Well, meanwhile, Axios is catching up with me from five years ago and talking about how the election has turned into a boys versus the girls.
00:23:38.980 The girls, of course, being the Democrats and the boys, of course, being the Republicans.
00:23:43.340 So, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll, Harris has a 14-point lead over Trump among likely women voters. 0.99
00:23:55.320 14-point lead among women.
00:23:57.740 But Trump has a 17-point lead among men.
00:24:02.860 Those almost cancel out because I think more women vote. 1.00
00:24:07.940 I don't know if that's true, but I think women vote a little more often. 1.00
00:24:11.740 So, you know, those two come pretty close to canceling out, but Trump maybe has a one-point lead or something.
00:24:21.020 So, I'm going to say my provocative thing again.
00:24:25.360 If you want everybody to be happy, except for the super woke, maybe they would be happy too, actually.
00:24:33.540 I'm going to suggest something that should make all Americans happy, but nobody will agree with me.
00:24:39.560 That's the fun part.
00:24:42.520 It would be the greatest solution.
00:24:45.240 None of you will agree.
00:24:46.820 I suspect 100% of you will disagree with what I'm going to say.
00:24:51.400 Our country would be better off if men handled the federal questions of national defense, like the border, and whether we go to war.
00:25:03.200 If men handled the federal questions about security, both border and war.
00:25:10.660 And women stayed out of it. 1.00
00:25:12.920 Now, not legally staying out of it.
00:25:15.940 I'm not saying that women can't vote. 1.00
00:25:18.280 I'm not saying that.
00:25:19.580 I'm not saying women shouldn't write opinion pieces.
00:25:22.500 Of course they can.
00:25:23.340 Everybody's a free person.
00:25:24.960 But we'd be better off if men took the lead with physical security of the country.
00:25:32.220 And we'd also be better off, here's where you're going to disagree with me, if women take the lead on deciding what is legal and what is not for abortion in their states. 1.00
00:25:46.740 So women taking the dominant role, again, men can still vote. 1.00
00:25:53.140 Men can still make opinions on abortion.
00:25:56.280 They can write articles.
00:25:57.600 They can say things on social media.
00:25:59.940 That's fine.
00:26:00.480 But women should be the dominant voice in the states for abortion. 1.00
00:26:07.560 Now, if you say to me, but, but, but, Scott, then I won't get it what I want.
00:26:11.440 Now, probably it's going to be exactly the same whether men are involved or not.
00:26:15.500 Because I think the male percentages and the female percentages are not so different.
00:26:22.080 So if you just said, you know what, women, I think it would be smart and good for the country, good for us,
00:26:29.340 good for not being divided if you take the lead.
00:26:33.500 Now, of course, in the real world, spouses are pretty connected.
00:26:37.560 So, you know, if you said to your, your spouse, hey, you know what, honey, I think maybe you should take the lead on this.
00:26:45.760 You know, your opinion is still going to be baked into your spouse's opinion a little bit, you know, one hopes.
00:26:51.380 So it's not like you would be completely out of the loop where, you know, you couldn't say what you wanted to say.
00:26:56.120 I'm just saying we'd all be better off if we took this out of politics.
00:27:02.140 And say, what if you took the politics out and you're just trying to figure out what makes sense?
00:27:07.380 Put the men in front of, in charge of physical security because they have more skin in the game.
00:27:13.640 Go to the border.
00:27:15.240 Are there more men or women putting themselves in harm's way?
00:27:18.680 Men.
00:27:19.900 Go to the military.
00:27:20.960 And, of course, you know, there are men and women in both organizations, of course.
00:27:26.000 Mostly men putting themselves in harm's way.
00:27:29.140 But what about abortion?
00:27:31.700 Abortion is mostly the woman taking the, you know, big part of the physical risk. 0.98
00:27:36.800 Of course, there's a, you know, the unborn is a big part of the equation, I know.
00:27:42.880 But I'm just going to put it out there.
00:27:44.380 I think we could actually get past politics for both abortion and the border.
00:27:53.320 As long as we're stuck in the political model, you can't solve either one of them in a way that you'd be happy.
00:27:59.860 So you might as well find a process for getting to an answer that feels comfortable both biologically but also nationally.
00:28:10.340 Biologically, I feel safer when men are protecting the country.
00:28:14.380 And I feel safer when women are making the dominant opinion on what happens with their own bodies. 1.00
00:28:22.300 So I really think there's a room for some national leader to say, you know, why don't we just do it the way you all know you'd be most comfortable with it?
00:28:31.640 But it's going to sound sexist if you're a politician.
00:28:34.580 So not everybody has the free speech that I have because I got canceled.
00:28:39.520 So I have free speech now.
00:28:41.960 More than you would do.
00:28:43.120 More than you do.
00:28:44.380 Anyway, there's a study that says 63% of Google content is from left-leaning sources.
00:28:54.900 So I guess the CNN and the New York Times make up 28% of all content if you're looking for news-related stuff on Google.
00:29:02.800 But Fox News barely accounts for 5%.
00:29:05.820 What do you think, in the real world, who do you think has more customers, CNN or Fox News?
00:29:15.680 It's Fox News by a pretty big margin.
00:29:20.020 I don't know about the New York Times.
00:29:21.600 But this is obvious.
00:29:25.800 It couldn't be more obvious that Google is suppressing one side of the political debate. 0.59
00:29:30.340 Does it make a difference?
00:29:32.480 Yes.
00:29:34.400 Yes.
00:29:35.600 I'm going to make a...
00:29:37.440 I guess this would be a reframe.
00:29:41.220 And I've said this before, but let me give it some extra context.
00:29:44.600 When the Constitution was created by the founders, the ability to communicate anywhere was pretty low.
00:29:54.760 So the government had a tough time communicating with the voters.
00:29:59.020 The voters had a tough time communicating with each other.
00:30:01.940 Everybody had a challenge to communicate.
00:30:05.180 It could do it, but not very well.
00:30:08.820 So under those conditions, you could build a Constitution where elected people are actually in charge.
00:30:15.800 And the real people in charge are actual politicians.
00:30:20.420 I would argue that with the advent of the Internet, where everybody can talk to everybody, that the government can't be in charge.
00:30:33.200 And I mean that in a practical sense.
00:30:35.900 Because the government can't go against whatever would be the dominant opinion of the people.
00:30:41.180 You know, let's say if the people by 80% wanted something, it's very unusual they don't get it.
00:30:47.580 Because the politicians need to get reelected. 0.56
00:30:49.800 So they got to go with the people.
00:30:51.980 So you've got this situation now where I believe that communication runs the country for anything that the public knows about and can get involved.
00:31:02.600 So that's why Musk is so dangerous, because he bought the most important political communication tool that connects everybody's ideas on politics.
00:31:15.200 In effect, the government knows that he has more power than them.
00:31:20.420 Or at least the platform does, not Musk specifically.
00:31:24.380 But the platform has more power than the government.
00:31:28.040 In my opinion, we're already there.
00:31:29.680 So you're seeing this real battle to suppress, basically, to censor free speech.
00:31:36.800 And you can see the example with Fox News.
00:31:39.640 So the real government, or whoever's in charge, is whoever's controlling the public conversation.
00:31:48.180 If the dark forces of the government successfully control communication by censoring X and censoring Fox News and censoring anything they don't like,
00:32:00.400 then they've taken communication out of the governing process, which is what they want to do.
00:32:06.260 And they'd like it to be back to their fake government, which is really rich people in the CIA controlling the government.
00:32:13.580 So the government is largely empty shells, except for Trump.
00:32:19.600 Trump is breaking that model, which I think is why he's in so much peril.
00:32:23.040 But your ordinary president, under these circumstances, would not exactly be in charge.
00:32:29.260 There would be stronger, more dangerous, richer elements that would be influencing that president.
00:32:37.320 But the risk to that model, the model where the billionaires and the special interests influence the shell of a president,
00:32:45.880 is completely at risk with a populist president.
00:32:49.480 So that's why the populists in every country are being attacked.
00:32:54.720 Because populists, plus the Internet, take all the power away from the billionaires and the secret powers behind the power.
00:33:03.780 So that's the real struggle.
00:33:06.720 Anyway, let's look at some more fake news.
00:33:10.360 Here's the funniest thing about MSNBC.
00:33:12.620 So MSNBC has got some people on, like Michael Steele, who defends Harris for not talking to the press.
00:33:20.960 And he says this, quote,
00:33:22.660 What has struck me since Donald Trump's press conference is sort of a highbrow nature of the press,
00:33:28.460 coming at Kamala Harris whining that she doesn't like to talk to us. 1.00
00:33:33.680 Now, that's some pretty pretzel thinking there, Michael Steele.
00:33:39.560 He goes on a news network to tell them that the potential president of the United States doesn't really need to talk to the news.
00:33:50.700 And get off your high horse, will you, you news people, thinking that the future president and the current vice president needs to talk to you.
00:33:59.560 Why did she need to talk to the news?
00:34:01.740 So here's what's funny.
00:34:04.820 MSNBC is allegedly a news organization.
00:34:07.720 And somehow they've contributed to a situation in which they're the only news entity that can't talk to either Trump or Harris.
00:34:21.020 They can't talk to Trump because they don't want to give him any airtime.
00:34:25.020 And they can't talk to Harris because she says, well, I don't need to talk to the news.
00:34:29.520 So somehow MSNBC found a way to have no connection to the news.
00:34:36.020 Where do they get their news?
00:34:37.380 They watch the other news.
00:34:39.480 Has anybody talked to any of the candidates?
00:34:41.880 Maybe we could talk about somebody else talking to them.
00:34:45.180 So when you have Elon Musk does this spaces thing, and he says a billion people touched it in some form.
00:34:52.340 Imagine what that does to MSNBC, who would not be able to even have a conversation with Trump.
00:35:00.940 But Musk can.
00:35:02.960 And Musk also invited Kamala Harris if she wants to do the same.
00:35:07.620 Now, I don't think she will.
00:35:09.340 But it's really unique that there's a major news entity that can't talk to either candidate.
00:35:15.220 Great job, MSNBC.
00:35:20.300 All right.
00:35:22.200 As Elon Musk posted on X, I think it was yesterday, and I quote, anyone who thinks the media is real is an idiot.
00:35:31.200 Does that sound familiar?
00:35:34.280 Something I like to say.
00:35:35.620 I have a version of it, which is you can't have a political conversation with anybody who thinks the news is real.
00:35:45.220 That's my version of it.
00:35:47.340 And as soon as you hear that, you go, oh, wow, that is true.
00:35:50.480 You really can't.
00:35:52.000 You literally can't have a political conversation with someone who thinks the news is real.
00:35:57.820 It just goes off the rails immediately because it'll take about a second for them to say something that's completely ridiculous and not true.
00:36:05.300 And they'll say, I heard it on the news.
00:36:07.020 Don Trump Jr. is boosting the idea of Elon Musk heading up a government efficiency committee.
00:36:18.940 Now, I think I told you that when Trump heard the idea for Musk on the spaces, that Elon would be part of a committee to maybe cut costs or make the government more efficient.
00:36:29.660 And Trump said he liked the idea, but it did really seem like a lack of enthusiasm.
00:36:38.060 It was more like he was being polite, it sounded to me.
00:36:41.680 But when Don Jr. boosts it, that would be, I would think, reasonably, this seems logical, that the campaign and Trump himself probably thinks this is a good idea.
00:36:56.120 Probably does.
00:36:57.040 All right, so maybe we'll see that.
00:37:01.000 But I would advise anybody who is in favor of this to not talk about details before the election.
00:37:09.200 Because here's what you don't want.
00:37:11.640 You don't want MSNBC telling everybody that Musk is going to cut your Social Security.
00:37:17.100 Because you know they're just going to make up shit.
00:37:19.080 You know, the moment there's anything real to it, like there's an actual agreement that the committee will exist and that Elon Musk will be on it, immediately they'll create fake news that says he wants to cut things that you know you don't want to cut.
00:37:33.860 So I wouldn't get into any details.
00:37:37.180 Just say generally speaking, I think it would be a good idea to look at how the whole government runs and see if he can fix it.
00:37:44.360 Frank Luntz told the unhappy CNN panel that union membership likes Trump more than union members have ever liked any Republican.
00:37:58.140 And that they tell him that they disagree with their leadership, their leadership in many cases are anti-Trump.
00:38:07.040 And Luntz says he's never seen anything like it.
00:38:10.060 It's very clear that the workers are pro-Trump.
00:38:13.640 Now, he makes the exception for the teachers' union, which is not pro-Trump, and government unions, which may not be pro-Trump.
00:38:24.460 Are there government unions?
00:38:26.340 I don't even understand that.
00:38:30.620 But anyway, and I guess he says the focus group members are saying don't speak, the union leaders, quote, don't speak for me.
00:38:37.960 Now, this is funny because the United Auto Workers filed a federal labor charges, some legal action, against Trump and Musk because of something they said in the spaces.
00:38:54.560 Now, correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe Elon Musk got sued five times this week.
00:39:01.540 I'm forgetting all the times he got sued.
00:39:05.120 But throw this in the mix.
00:39:06.880 So all he does is have a conversation with Trump, you know, for the service to the country so we can all hear it.
00:39:13.820 And he gets sued about five times.
00:39:15.640 I think the Olympic boxer is suing him.
00:39:20.160 And now the UAW is coming after him.
00:39:22.820 And there's somebody else coming after him because they say that the spaces event was like a corporate donation to Trump.
00:39:31.360 I think there are a few others.
00:39:33.180 So three to five legal actions, like in one week.
00:39:39.520 Imagine being Elon Musk and just being sued every fucking day by somebody who just says, well, he's got big pockets and, you know.
00:39:48.760 Anyway, but here's what the UAW said.
00:39:55.060 So he made that federal labor charge and said, at one point, Trump and Musk were talking about workers who go on strike for better wages.
00:40:07.240 Trump said, if workers go on strike and you say, that's OK, you're all gone, you're all gone.
00:40:12.400 So everyone is gone.
00:40:13.240 So Trump was sort of praising Musk as a cost cutter in his own businesses and that I guess he threatened to fire them if they did something, maybe organized or something.
00:40:26.260 I don't know the story behind it.
00:40:27.660 But Elon Musk responded to that next by saying, quote, the last two UAW presidents went to prison for bribery and corruption.
00:40:37.320 And based on recent news, it looks like this guy will join them.
00:40:43.480 Oh, my God.
00:40:45.000 I think Musk is the most danger loving public figure I've ever seen in my life.
00:40:54.620 I mean, he just likes the fight, apparently.
00:40:56.860 So he goes right after this guy saying he might go to prison for bribery and corruption like the last two leaders of the UAW.
00:41:05.920 And I don't know if there's anything to that, but that's a hilarious comeback.
00:41:10.360 All right.
00:41:13.140 Trump has stated that that slurring you heard on his spaces was because of a microphone or a technology problem.
00:41:22.520 He's proven that to be true by releasing the audio that was taken in the room.
00:41:28.340 So if you listen to his audio while he was in the room and not through the microphone and cell phone and everything else, it sounded fine, apparently.
00:41:37.420 Now, I haven't listened to it, but I assume it's true or he wouldn't say that.
00:41:41.620 So I think that question is answered, that it was, in fact, a technical problem.
00:41:46.720 If it had not been a technical problem, there would be no such thing as a in-room audio of him speaking fine.
00:41:55.180 And a number of people said they didn't hear any of the problems in the first place, which was also evidence that it was a technology problem.
00:42:02.480 So that probably won't stop the Democrats from saying it was something else.
00:42:09.140 But that's something better than nothing.
00:42:14.160 All right.
00:42:16.280 Oh, also, there's the Brazilian Supreme Court wants to censor a bunch of accounts on the X platform.
00:42:24.360 This is all just this week.
00:42:25.760 So that's what, the fourth one, the fourth legal action against X?
00:42:32.120 My God.
00:42:34.320 Well, here's some good news.
00:42:36.100 There's a Fifth Circuit judge who just ruled that geofencing warrants violate the Fourth Amendment.
00:42:43.640 Now, a geofence is when you check somebody's phone and you see that they were in a certain place at a certain time.
00:42:50.680 This is relevant to the January 6th stuff because the way they found people and rounded them up is by checking phones.
00:42:59.140 So they could say, OK, you had a phone.
00:43:01.680 You were in this building.
00:43:02.840 We will now track you down.
00:43:04.540 It's called hunting.
00:43:05.940 They would hunt down the Republicans from January 6th.
00:43:11.960 And if I understand this correctly, and Julie Kelly is talking about it on X, I think it means that some of the January 6th people might have a legal mechanism for freedom.
00:43:26.520 Because if they were rounded up based on a geofencing warrant, in other words, someone in the law enforcement said, hey, phone companies, tell us everybody who uses your phones and was in this area at that time.
00:43:44.700 Apparently, that's illegal.
00:43:45.860 Now, law enforcement would argue that making that illegal would hamstring the government or it would hamstring law enforcement leaders.
00:43:57.240 And the judge, Judge Ho, said in his opinion, he said hamstringing the government is the whole point of the Constitution.
00:44:06.200 Oh, my God.
00:44:06.960 How much do I love that guy?
00:44:09.580 Let me say that again.
00:44:11.540 Hamstringing the government is the whole point of the Constitution.
00:44:14.400 Yeah, yeah, that's the point.
00:44:20.140 The point is the Constitution tells the government what they can't fucking do to you.
00:44:24.340 So, yes, it will make it harder to catch criminals.
00:44:27.940 But you know what else?
00:44:29.200 It'll make it harder to catch people who are just there to protest.
00:44:33.220 So, yeah, the Constitution is there to keep the government from doing the things that it might be inclined to do.
00:44:40.340 So, Judge Ho, you have my full support.
00:44:45.180 Apparently, he's on a short list for Supreme Court.
00:44:48.620 And boy, boy, am I liking him at the moment.
00:44:52.760 Anyway, remember I told you the old data is fake?
00:44:56.340 Roger Pilkey, who's a climate change scientist expert kind of guy, but he's on the more skeptical side of things.
00:45:07.880 He made a list of all five things that are just, you know, obviously wrong with the climate science.
00:45:16.240 But here's one that caught my attention, his number five was that a bunch of interns made a data set and then it was used as an official data.
00:45:26.940 So here's what Pilkey says.
00:45:28.680 I have recently documented how the proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, called the PNAS, P-N-A-S.
00:45:38.740 How would you pronounce that?
00:45:40.400 I think it's called the penis, right?
00:45:43.980 Because I don't think they say I'm a member of the PNAS.
00:45:48.000 That's sort of clunky.
00:45:49.740 I think they say I'm part of the PNAS and you're part of the PNAS and together we're two PNAS members.
00:46:01.260 And there's no word if a woman can be a member of the PNAS.
00:46:09.100 Well, I suppose we could because we don't know exactly who is a woman anyway. 1.00
00:46:13.040 But anyway, so I got a little off topic there.
00:46:16.520 But anyway, the PNAS, which Pilkey says is supposedly one of the top science journals, published a paper using the data set that was in.
00:46:27.560 Now, here's Pilkey's description of the data set cobbled together by some interns for marketing and now defunct insurance company.
00:46:36.040 There is actually no such data set out in the real world.
00:46:39.620 It is fiction.
00:46:41.760 So remember I told you that data is never real.
00:46:46.520 For anything that matters.
00:46:48.720 Data is real for things that don't matter.
00:46:51.940 But if it matters and there's big money involved like climate and like lots of things, that data is never real.
00:46:59.340 Now, I know you don't believe that.
00:47:02.900 But there is a there's a journey that you need to take.
00:47:07.280 You're partway there.
00:47:08.520 It starts with Santa Claus was never real.
00:47:14.720 Now, you're you're already there.
00:47:16.920 Right.
00:47:17.480 You probably got there when you were very young.
00:47:19.480 And you're like, wait a minute.
00:47:21.680 Adults can lie to me about this very basic thing.
00:47:24.740 There's no Santa Claus.
00:47:26.500 Yes, it's true.
00:47:27.560 Then later, as an adult, maybe more recently, you started noticing there was something weird about the news.
00:47:35.060 Right.
00:47:36.240 You said to yourself, wait a minute.
00:47:39.520 That Trump guy says this news is fake.
00:47:42.060 Well, I hadn't really noticed that before, but now that you bring it up, I am seeing a lot of examples where that news is fake.
00:47:51.940 And then eventually you get to the point where you say, all right, it's a good thing I'm watching the real news and not all that fake stuff.
00:48:00.000 And then you keep watching and you realize, wait a minute.
00:48:03.360 All of the news is just narrative.
00:48:06.200 It's not news per se, although some of the things are true.
00:48:09.580 It's more packaged opinion.
00:48:13.120 They're trying to give me an opinion.
00:48:14.900 And it doesn't matter what source you're looking at.
00:48:17.900 They're trying to package an opinion.
00:48:20.560 It might look like news, but they're trying to give you an opinion.
00:48:25.960 So then you say to yourself, wait a minute.
00:48:28.120 The news is not even trying to be news.
00:48:30.920 It's not that some of it is not true.
00:48:34.520 It's that they're not even trying to be true.
00:48:36.640 And that's a whole different level than believing they sometimes make a lot of mistakes or thinking that one side is lying and the other isn't.
00:48:46.520 If you're still in that model, you have some growing to do.
00:48:50.740 The news is narrative, which is not really news.
00:48:54.360 And there's nothing else it can be.
00:48:58.120 Because if you had real news, even the government would fold.
00:49:01.600 Because governments are messy.
00:49:03.840 If you saw how, you know, the famous thing, how they made the sausage.
00:49:07.520 If you saw all the mistakes and the biases and the, you know, who's bribing whom and all that stuff.
00:49:14.460 If you saw any of that, you wouldn't support any government.
00:49:17.540 Governments have to pretend to be more fair and more capable than they really are just to stay in power.
00:49:25.540 It doesn't matter if they're Democrats or anybody else.
00:49:29.440 Also, every government has the ability to totally control their own news.
00:49:35.060 Dictators will just, you know, close things down and put people in jail. 0.88
00:49:38.080 But in the Democrat world, they just find ways to control the media.
00:49:44.580 You know, our intelligence people will do it.
00:49:46.960 The billionaires will do it.
00:49:49.800 So controlling the media is necessary for any country to even survive.
00:49:55.040 So once you realize that the news is not even intended to be true,
00:50:01.620 then you're at a higher level of awareness.
00:50:05.100 It's not designed to be true.
00:50:09.080 It's designed to cause something to happen, such as your opinion, your vote, etc.
00:50:14.560 It's all about influencing you.
00:50:16.620 It's not about telling you what's real.
00:50:18.940 Now, the exceptions would be things that you could also observe.
00:50:23.260 If there's a hurricane coming, that's true.
00:50:26.060 And it'll be on the news because you can observe it.
00:50:29.480 So they will tell you the truth when there's no way around it.
00:50:32.820 But you can see it yourself, right?
00:50:35.300 It's hot today.
00:50:36.600 Yeah, the weather says it's hot.
00:50:40.080 So that's one example.
00:50:42.000 So that's in the highly critical area of climate change.
00:50:48.580 The data is not real.
00:50:51.160 Now, you're probably at the level where you say to yourself,
00:50:53.960 but Scott, that's, you know, one example.
00:50:57.380 And then I'll give you other examples.
00:50:59.460 You'll say, yeah, yeah, yeah, but those are, you know, the world's a big place.
00:51:04.320 You and your five examples don't sway me.
00:51:08.040 And probably they don't.
00:51:10.580 But I will tell you this.
00:51:12.820 Everybody who's ever worked for a big organization,
00:51:15.880 and it was their job to pull data together
00:51:19.140 and then put it in a coherent analysis will all agree with me
00:51:24.880 that all data is fake, that matters.
00:51:29.880 All data that matters,
00:51:31.460 and that's not directly observable like a hurricane,
00:51:34.680 that's all fake.
00:51:36.000 And the reason is that there's always somebody
00:51:37.900 who has a lot of money involved,
00:51:39.560 and that's who collects the data.
00:51:42.500 The people who have a lot of money involved
00:51:44.460 in the data going one way or the other.
00:51:46.120 There's never an exception to that.
00:51:49.160 Because the people who don't have big money involved,
00:51:53.520 why would they put money into collecting data on it?
00:51:56.900 There wouldn't be any point.
00:51:58.400 They don't have anything involved.
00:52:01.020 So there is a perfectly logical reason
00:52:03.680 why all data is fake.
00:52:06.060 Now, when I was doing data analysis for a bank
00:52:08.900 and then the phone company,
00:52:09.940 I started out by thinking,
00:52:12.760 I'd better do an accurate job of this data
00:52:15.880 and this analysis.
00:52:17.160 But you learn very quickly
00:52:18.940 that your boss doesn't care
00:52:21.200 that you tell them the data is inaccurate.
00:52:23.380 They just want it to say what they want it to say
00:52:25.680 because they've already decided what they're going to do.
00:52:28.440 Now, you might say,
00:52:29.400 but Scott, that's a terrible situation.
00:52:31.180 How can those businesses stay in business
00:52:34.540 if they're just using lying data all the time?
00:52:37.900 And the answer is most business is instinctual.
00:52:43.360 So, you know, if Apple says,
00:52:46.460 should I look into this new technology
00:52:49.160 that my competitors are doing?
00:52:52.320 You don't really need to do the cost-benefit analysis
00:52:55.760 because you know they can afford it.
00:52:58.780 And if it didn't work out,
00:53:00.900 it was a good thing they looked into it.
00:53:03.360 So Apple already knows,
00:53:05.180 I'll just use them as an example,
00:53:06.420 that they needed to do VR glasses.
00:53:10.100 But that means that somebody probably did
00:53:12.440 some kind of a business case
00:53:13.960 to show that if we invest this
00:53:16.200 and these days we'll be able to make this product
00:53:18.920 and, you know, we'll sell a lot.
00:53:21.260 Whoever did that analysis was a professional liar.
00:53:27.000 Internally, they might have needed some support
00:53:29.120 that says, look, look at all these numbers.
00:53:31.340 We can sell a lot of these.
00:53:32.660 Let's make them.
00:53:33.860 But if you're an experienced manager
00:53:36.840 and you've got enough money
00:53:38.440 that you can kind of do this stuff,
00:53:41.020 you know that it's just a good cost-benefit
00:53:44.180 to make sure that you've covered that domain
00:53:46.280 just in case somebody else makes it a big market.
00:53:51.360 You know, you don't want to be late to it.
00:53:53.440 So it just makes sense that you get into it
00:53:56.360 and whether it works or not,
00:53:57.760 it's a better decision.
00:53:58.840 So the point is, experienced managers
00:54:02.860 can almost always make the correct decision
00:54:05.300 without looking at the data.
00:54:08.520 But if the data agrees with them,
00:54:10.500 they'll also mention it.
00:54:13.240 Here's another one.
00:54:15.680 According to the Daily Skeptic,
00:54:18.360 the measurements for the temperatures in the UK
00:54:21.460 are all based on junk.
00:54:24.500 So apparently the situation in their measuring devices,
00:54:32.180 you know, plus the heat island effect,
00:54:35.000 plus, you know, human beings,
00:54:38.100 the argument is that the data measuring the temperature
00:54:42.380 is pretty much BS.
00:54:44.300 Here's another one.
00:54:47.260 There's a study that finds that,
00:54:48.860 in the physics organization, I guess,
00:54:53.300 study finds that 94% of business spreadsheets
00:54:56.120 have critical errors.
00:54:57.960 Critical errors.
00:54:59.460 Not small ones.
00:55:01.600 94% of spreadsheets have critical errors.
00:55:07.660 Do you know who knew that before this study?
00:55:10.220 I did.
00:55:11.580 Do you know how I knew it?
00:55:12.620 Because I did spreadsheets for a living for years.
00:55:17.280 It was my job to collect the data
00:55:19.000 and put it on the spreadsheet.
00:55:20.700 How many times did I present something
00:55:24.120 and then later find,
00:55:25.340 oh, shoot, I added the wrong column.
00:55:29.400 Oh, it happened.
00:55:32.660 It happened.
00:55:34.300 Yeah.
00:55:34.680 I don't know if it's every time,
00:55:36.740 and I'm sure some people are better than others
00:55:38.780 at these spreadsheets,
00:55:39.900 but I'm not surprised
00:55:42.040 that 95% of them are wrong.
00:55:44.160 Now, keep in mind,
00:55:45.780 that's just the spreadsheet is wrong.
00:55:48.360 That's not the data.
00:55:50.720 The data that went into the spreadsheet was wrong,
00:55:53.740 if it mattered at all,
00:55:55.860 and then the spreadsheet added some extra wrongness. 0.78
00:55:59.300 And then after you took the data that wasn't real
00:56:02.840 and you put it in the spreadsheet
00:56:05.160 that had a critical error,
00:56:07.280 it was presented to management
00:56:09.220 and it agreed with whatever management
00:56:12.980 or whoever's paying you wanted it to be
00:56:14.860 because that's why you did it.
00:56:16.440 And then they do their thing.
00:56:19.820 The real world is all fake.
00:56:21.900 The data, especially.
00:56:26.960 All right.
00:56:28.020 So that's where we are.
00:56:30.300 There's a bunch of billionaires
00:56:31.920 who are still trying to buy TikTok.
00:56:33.800 I guess the deadline for that would be January 9th.
00:56:37.080 Otherwise, according to current law in the United States,
00:56:41.220 TikTok would be banned on January 9th.
00:56:44.620 The only way it could be still in the United States,
00:56:47.820 hypothetically,
00:56:48.500 I think there's a lot of wiggle room in this story
00:56:51.680 so anything could happen.
00:56:53.560 But hypothetically,
00:56:54.960 somebody's got to buy it
00:56:56.380 and make it an American product
00:56:57.880 that makes our government happy
00:56:59.440 or it will just die on January 9th.
00:57:01.800 I can't see it dying.
00:57:04.460 I don't know.
00:57:05.040 I would think maybe the deadline will get extended
00:57:07.500 if I had to guess.
00:57:09.540 I don't know.
00:57:13.540 So the U.S. is trying to get Israel 0.98
00:57:15.700 and Hamas to make peace.
00:57:19.520 So we're trying hard, says the news.
00:57:21.940 But why would they?
00:57:24.180 Why would Israel want to stop?
00:57:27.520 Hamas is not going to offer 1.00
00:57:28.860 to lay down their arms
00:57:30.600 and give the hostages back.
00:57:33.040 Israel wants to completely dominate 1.00
00:57:35.200 and control Gaza forever. 0.85
00:57:38.160 And they're not done where they can do that yet.
00:57:41.080 There's nothing that would stop Israel.
00:57:42.640 I mean, you'd have to actually boycott the country
00:57:47.060 or cut all ties with it.
00:57:49.800 You'd have to do something radical,
00:57:52.040 which isn't going to happen.
00:57:54.480 So all these are fake stories.
00:57:56.880 It's just fake news.
00:57:58.420 It's not like there's really any chance
00:58:00.260 that there's going to be a ceasefire anytime soon.
00:58:02.860 There will be a ceasefire
00:58:04.260 when there's nobody left to shoot.
00:58:05.700 I believe that's Israel's intention 1.00
00:58:10.740 because they talk about total victory.
00:58:13.600 That's Netanyahu's phrase, total victory. 0.65
00:58:18.400 Total victory doesn't mean you do a ceasefire.
00:58:21.560 So there isn't really any chance
00:58:23.460 there's going to be a ceasefire
00:58:24.580 until they're absolutely done.
00:58:27.960 And logically, that makes sense.
00:58:29.920 Then there's a question about Hezbollah.
00:58:34.020 So, you know, they're backed by Iran 0.62
00:58:36.180 and Iran wants to attack Israel 0.59
00:58:38.060 because Israel took out that Hamas leader
00:58:42.980 within Iranian territory.
00:58:45.320 So Iran has to act tough.
00:58:46.760 They've got to do something.
00:58:48.360 But it looks to me like
00:58:50.080 there's a big part of the Israeli government
00:58:55.000 that is saying,
00:58:57.340 hey, let's make peace with Hezbollah. 0.95
00:58:58.720 We don't want a war with them.
00:59:00.400 But another big part is saying,
00:59:02.780 this would be kind of a good time to do that.
00:59:06.220 Right?
00:59:06.420 Now that we're getting Gaza under control militarily,
00:59:11.500 this would be a time to turn the guns on Hezbollah. 0.76
00:59:15.260 But whether you wanted to go hard at Hezbollah
00:59:19.800 or you didn't want to go hard at them
00:59:22.920 and you wanted to see if you could keep the peace,
00:59:25.580 in both cases, you're still going to wait
00:59:27.660 and find out what Iran does.
00:59:29.920 So if Iran tells Hezbollah
00:59:31.760 to do a massive attack on Israel,
00:59:34.500 I think it's guaranteed that Israel will destroy Hezbollah, 0.99
00:59:39.480 no matter how expensive that is,
00:59:41.400 because they have to.
00:59:43.100 And I would add that war with Hezbollah 1.00
00:59:45.120 isn't really a yes-no.
00:59:47.780 It's not a yes-no proposition.
00:59:50.540 War with Hezbollah is going to happen. 0.99
00:59:52.080 But you're only talking about when.
00:59:55.280 So if you can get to the point where you understand
00:59:58.360 that war with Hezbollah is guaranteed, 0.99
01:00:01.540 because there's no way Israel is going to put up 0.92
01:00:04.880 with a continuing, growing, murderous number of missiles.
01:00:09.060 They've got 100,000 missiles.
01:00:11.220 100,000 missiles aimed at Israel.
01:00:13.980 Tiny little Israel. 0.92
01:00:15.640 100,000 missiles.
01:00:16.840 Do you think Israel is going to let that situation 0.83
01:00:19.720 just get worse?
01:00:22.260 What happens when they have a million missiles?
01:00:24.800 Is there anything that would stop them
01:00:26.340 from getting to a million missiles?
01:00:28.580 I mean, if you can get to 100,000
01:00:30.560 and you haven't used them all,
01:00:32.980 I think you can get to 200,000 before long.
01:00:38.560 So, yeah, it's guaranteed that Hezbollah 1.00
01:00:41.480 and Israel will have a war.
01:00:44.300 And if Iran goes for an aggressive military response
01:00:49.600 at the moment, it's on.
01:00:51.580 It's definitely on.
01:00:52.960 If they don't, it's still on.
01:00:56.040 It'll just be a little later.
01:00:58.300 There's no way there's not going to be a war with Hezbollah. 1.00
01:01:01.080 So to imagine that that could be ended
01:01:03.200 with some kind of negotiation,
01:01:05.120 it's kind of ridiculous.
01:01:07.660 So the war is on.
01:01:08.760 It's just a matter of time.
01:01:11.480 And then Rasmussen did a poll on Middle East policy
01:01:15.420 and who voters trusted more to handle it.
01:01:18.260 And the answer is 53% of voters trust Trump
01:01:21.220 and 40% trust Harris for a Middle East policy.
01:01:26.420 That's a pretty big difference.
01:01:28.840 Pretty big difference.
01:01:31.040 So it's hard to imagine
01:01:33.480 the situation where Trump doesn't get elected.
01:01:38.040 Now, I've seen some people say that,
01:01:39.600 you know, we're in,
01:01:41.480 it was a comic, Dave Smith,
01:01:42.980 who said this on Tucker's show,
01:01:44.540 that the support for Harris
01:01:48.920 looks completely artificial and manufactured.
01:01:52.340 And that, you know,
01:01:53.800 the actual situation is that
01:01:55.600 Trump would win easily
01:01:56.780 if he had the election today.
01:01:57.880 I don't know if that's true.
01:02:00.700 My instinct tells me that
01:02:02.620 it wouldn't matter how popular Harris is.
01:02:06.020 Because I think as Joel Pollack pointed out,
01:02:09.340 she's running as the generic candidate 1.00
01:02:11.760 at the moment.
01:02:13.300 And the generic candidate
01:02:14.820 can totally be Trump.
01:02:17.420 Because you know what's wrong
01:02:18.680 with the generic candidate?
01:02:21.200 Nobody knows.
01:02:22.900 Nobody knows.
01:02:24.300 Because it's generic.
01:02:25.900 It's not an actual person.
01:02:28.760 You know,
01:02:29.000 if you're running against an actual person,
01:02:31.180 that person will have character flaws
01:02:32.840 and a bad history.
01:02:34.020 But you can't beat the generic.
01:02:36.260 In fact,
01:02:36.940 it probably works the other way too.
01:02:38.280 I think a generic Republican
01:02:39.660 could probably be any actual Democrat.
01:02:43.300 Because again,
01:02:43.920 same problem.
01:02:44.740 The real person would have flaws.
01:02:48.560 But a generic one?
01:02:49.980 No.
01:02:50.640 Generic one's great.
01:02:51.860 No flaws.
01:02:52.420 I think it's going to be
01:02:57.020 a real close election.
01:02:58.280 And I don't think we'll have a result.
01:03:00.600 I think that we'll have to wait
01:03:02.080 and probably battle it out in the courts.
01:03:05.120 I hope it's in the courts
01:03:06.260 when we do the battling.
01:03:07.840 All right,
01:03:08.140 ladies and gentlemen,
01:03:09.280 this concludes my prepared remarks.
01:03:12.280 If you're not watching
01:03:14.520 the Dilbert comic,
01:03:16.780 Dilbert Reborn,
01:03:18.320 which is available only
01:03:19.520 to subscribers on X,
01:03:21.820 see my profile
01:03:22.720 and the subscribe button.
01:03:25.020 And on the locals platform,
01:03:27.260 but there's lots more there
01:03:28.380 with politics
01:03:29.120 and my other comic
01:03:30.220 called Robots Read News.
01:03:33.000 However,
01:03:33.940 you should know that
01:03:34.880 Dogbert is a space station consultant.
01:03:39.640 And this week,
01:03:40.920 he's being asked to work
01:03:42.160 on that problem
01:03:42.920 of the Boeing rocket
01:03:45.960 that's stuck to the spaceship.
01:03:48.260 Now,
01:03:48.480 except it's not a Boeing rocket
01:03:49.780 in my comic,
01:03:50.600 it's Dilbert's company's rocket.
01:03:52.800 And Dogbert will be advising them
01:03:55.800 how to handle it.
01:03:57.140 So if you want to know
01:03:57.880 how that ends,
01:03:59.420 you'll have to subscribe.
01:04:00.340 And you probably know
01:04:04.020 that my book,
01:04:05.560 Reframe Your Brain,
01:04:06.420 is changing the world,
01:04:07.540 getting lots of feedback on this.
01:04:10.440 This literally will change your life,
01:04:12.160 by the way.
01:04:13.840 I hate marketing.
01:04:16.460 I really hate it
01:04:17.680 because it's mostly lying.
01:04:20.680 But it is genuinely true 0.93
01:04:22.760 that people tell me
01:04:24.680 that the reframes in this book
01:04:26.680 are changing their lives
01:04:27.960 in major ways.
01:04:29.180 So that's just true.
01:04:31.460 So I can say that.
01:04:32.320 That's not marketing.
01:04:33.760 I can also say
01:04:34.600 that this book,
01:04:36.000 The God's Debris,
01:04:37.600 plus The Religion War,
01:04:38.780 the sequel,
01:04:39.800 plus the new writing at the end,
01:04:42.360 which is a short story
01:04:43.480 that rounds out the trilogy,
01:04:45.800 as I call it,
01:04:46.960 a lot of people call this
01:04:48.520 the best book they've ever read.
01:04:50.520 It's more philosophical
01:04:51.780 and fiction.
01:04:52.760 But I don't know
01:04:54.780 how many times
01:04:55.500 people will say
01:04:56.220 any book
01:04:56.960 is the best book
01:04:58.840 they've ever read.
01:05:00.620 That is a weird thing
01:05:01.940 to say about any book,
01:05:03.100 if you're a reader at all.
01:05:04.740 But people say that
01:05:05.560 all the time
01:05:06.220 about God's Debris.
01:05:09.900 And if you haven't seen
01:05:11.580 the reissue of
01:05:13.100 my classic book,
01:05:15.500 Had a Filled in Almost Everything,
01:05:16.580 and still went big,
01:05:17.240 I would say
01:05:18.240 the most influential book
01:05:19.660 in the success field
01:05:21.720 because a lot of other books
01:05:23.880 have picked up
01:05:24.560 systems over goals
01:05:25.960 and talent stacks
01:05:27.440 and, you know,
01:05:29.900 micro-movements
01:05:30.940 toward your goals
01:05:31.680 and stuff like that.
01:05:32.740 But that's the OG right there.
01:05:35.440 So, I mention these
01:05:38.200 because now that I'm canceled,
01:05:40.040 I don't have publishers per se,
01:05:42.620 so I have to do that myself.
01:05:44.340 And you'll love all of them.
01:05:46.780 Thanks for that.
01:05:47.680 I'm going to say
01:05:48.160 bye to X and Rumble
01:05:49.560 and YouTube.
01:05:51.880 And I'm going to talk
01:05:52.320 to my beloved subscribers
01:05:53.960 on Locals.
01:05:56.080 We do another...
01:05:58.040 Every night,
01:05:58.720 I do a Man Cave
01:05:59.860 live stream
01:06:01.320 with just the Locals people.
01:06:03.100 It's quite awesome
01:06:03.880 if you're lonely.
01:06:05.140 All right, everybody.
01:06:06.980 We're coming to Locals 0.99
01:06:08.300 and the rest of you.
01:06:09.120 I will see you tomorrow,
01:06:10.560 I hope.