Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2571 CWSA 08⧸19⧸24

00:00:00.000 um good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:08.580 coffee with scott adams and if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:14.280 understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need is a cup or mug or a glass a tank or

00:00:19.460 gels or a stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i

00:00:25.180 like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine day of the day the 0.99

00:00:30.160 thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it's gonna happen now damn 0.98

00:00:34.780 it join me 0.96

00:00:36.400 you know trump always talks about the liquid gold

00:00:48.460 he's talking about oil in the ground but no that coffee is the liquid gold everything else is a 0.82

00:00:57.340 bad substitute now i'd like to invite my uh drunken troll jenny uh every morning i have a drunk named 1.00

00:01:06.880 jenny who will come in and start shouting in all caps something about battery technology

00:01:13.680 because that's the most important thing to shout about every morning so we'll be waiting for that

00:01:20.360 that should happen in a minute jenny where are you drunk jenny come on all right so here's some

00:01:27.620 new things that are happening there's a new medical technology that stops bleeding like right away it's

00:01:36.040 a gel so i guess uh cresillon is the name of it and it's received fda clearance so if you're in a

00:01:44.980 trauma situation and they can't stop the bleeding apparently they can just take this gel and just slap

00:01:52.440 it on and it immediately stops the bleeding which is kind of impressive we don't like bleeding less

00:02:00.780 bleeding all right here's what else is happening that's cool okay this could be the end of human

00:02:06.700 civilization but until then how cool is this apparently there's some kind of a revolutionary quantum compass

00:02:15.420 sort of thing that could replace gps or at least be a substitute for it meaning that they have somehow

00:02:22.540 miniaturized a device which is so sensitive if i understand this correct if it knows where it starts

00:02:29.900 it'll always know where it ends up meaning that if it knows where it's starting point

00:02:35.420 it can tell that it went you know two feet in one direction and how fast and all that stuff so

00:02:42.540 apparently it's so sensitive to movement that it would replace gps

00:02:50.780 now here's the good news and the bad news the good news if you want to develop a drone

00:02:57.340 that can't be jammed in its gps well now you have the capabilities the bad news is when your enemy

00:03:05.100 wants to make a drone that you can't stop well here's the technology to do it so it could be the

00:03:13.420 end of civilization or it could be just a cool new technology so let's go with that second one

00:03:19.260 speaking of drones pentagon is allegedly trying to create what wired magazine calls a hellscape of

00:03:29.180 drones to defend taiwan so apparently we would fill the sky with drones to protect taiwan which seems to

00:03:38.540 be like the way everybody's going to protect everything eventually and also the way everybody's going to attack

00:03:44.940 everything now let me see if taiwan had all the manufacturing might of the united states blah

00:03:55.500 yeah plus taiwan to make these drones to protect taiwan but they would be going up against the entire

00:04:03.340 manufacturing base of china to hope that they had more drones and better drones than the other team

00:04:10.940 i don't know i think i'd bet on china if it's a drone war you don't think china can beat everybody 0.97

00:04:19.980 else's drones just by quantity alone i don't know but uh it's the weirdest thing that we're

00:04:30.700 why in the world are we defending taiwan

00:04:33.500 i don't really understand that like i i guess it's because we said we would because if we really

00:04:40.780 wanted just the chips all we would have to do is say to china i've got a deal for you you let us have 0.65

00:04:48.620 the chip manufacturing and you could have the island but of course we're not going to do anything so

00:04:55.900 weasley is that because there are allies or something but uh the absurdity of defending a tiny

00:05:03.500 island off of china which has a 100 chance of being part of china eventually i don't know how long it'll

00:05:11.420 take but there's not really any chance it will be independent forever it's just too close to china

00:05:17.180 there's no way that they're going to stay independent

00:05:19.260 but we wish the taiwanai taiwanese people the best so we don't want them to have a bad time of it if

00:05:27.420 they get absorbed by china but you know it feels like all china would have to do is improve their

00:05:33.180 government and taiwan would say you know what yeah that looks pretty good and make us part of that

00:05:41.740 so it's going to happen eventually might take 200 years um according to vox

00:05:50.140 people are falling in love with ai's voice you know where they have these little chat apps

00:05:56.620 now you know that i tried out one of the early ai chat apps and it just sort of didn't work that

00:06:05.580 well you know it took a while to answer and they could only answer certain things and it would forget

00:06:12.060 about you from one time you talked to it to the next and it really wasn't satisfying and still

00:06:17.900 it was kind of addictive so if there's one thing i can teach you about predicting the future

00:06:25.980 if there's a product that's bad and you still crave it

00:06:30.060 that's going to be big you know just the way cell phones were terrible at first but boy did we want

00:06:38.700 them just like fax machines if you're old enough to remember they used to be terrible that you know

00:06:45.980 the paper would get jammed up every kind of problem but the demand was through the roof so for a while

00:06:52.140 faxes were big same with computers same with everything so ai is sort of like that and these ai chat

00:06:59.820 friends are the best example of that where people already like it a lot and it's terrible i mean it's

00:07:09.420 barely a product i use chat gpt i think it fails about 60 of the time just think about that imagine

00:07:18.940 any product that fails 60 of the time i mean just anecdotally it's what it feels like to me

00:07:26.700 and that you would still crave it just imagine that it fails 60 of the time that's what it feels

00:07:33.820 like that's not any kind of you know scientific number but what i mean is you know i'll turn on the

00:07:40.380 chat part and i'll i'll try to talk to it it'll answer the first question fine and then the very next

00:07:47.340 one it acts like it doesn't know how to understand voices or anything and it's very consistent that

00:07:53.740 it doesn't work more than one or two times and then it just craps out now i guess the new version

00:07:59.020 which is already being rolled out is solving those problems so that's how a bad cell phone becomes a

00:08:06.140 good cell phone etc so the fact that i crave it in its terrible form suggests that when it's working

00:08:15.180 which is right around the corner it's going to be really big so i think the number of people falling

00:08:21.980 in love with ai is really going to be under predicted so scott will make the following prediction

00:08:31.020 whatever you think is the maximum number of people who will form a close relationship with

00:08:36.700 an artificial intelligence you're wrong it's way more than that so if you're saying to yourself well you

00:08:44.620 know and of every hundred people that can't be more than two people who would fall in love with the ai

00:08:50.700 no it may be it might be 80 percent so if you're guessing two percent i'm going to go with 80 percent

00:08:59.260 maybe not the next version but by the version after that

00:09:05.260 so big trouble there in reproduction and but maybe it answers a bunch of questions too you know maybe it

00:09:11.660 solves your uh loneliness it might maybe it solves your loneliness but it might make it worse who knows

00:09:20.860 anyway the uk is uh releasing 5 000 prisoners to make room for anti-immigration protesters

00:09:28.220 what at the end wokeness account is reporting this on x so the bbc is reporting that

00:09:36.620 uh they'll have to get rid of one person who's already in jail in other words release somebody

00:09:44.060 who was legally jailed in the uk so that they have room to put in a new person because you don't want

00:09:50.860 these anti-immigration people to just be able to get away with it because the the jails are all full

00:09:55.980 so you're gonna have to get rid of some some people who did other crimes so you can make sure that

00:10:01.100 whatever you do you get those anti-immigration protesters in there so the uk has basically

00:10:07.340 fallen i would never visit there i'm not even sure why we're their allies at this point and remember

00:10:13.180 the european union is trying to stop free speech in america so putin isn't now i'm not pro-putin

00:10:24.220 but so i'm just telling you how bad the european union is the european union is actively trying

00:10:30.220 to block x and other social media companies and make them uh make them agree to the censorship that

00:10:38.060 the europeans want on an american company and americans as well so i would say that we're under

00:10:46.940 attack by europe in a very basic way because if they're trying to take away freedom of speech in

00:10:52.940 america well you know that's taking everything because all the other stuff falls after that

00:11:01.100 so no europe i consider myself basically at war with you is that too far i mean there there's no

00:11:09.820 bullets being fired or or likely to be fired but you know if it were an economic war you'd call it a war

00:11:18.540 right if if europe tomorrow said we're going to boycott every economic thing you're doing in america

00:11:24.300 you'd call that kind of war so if they try to end our free speech which is the key to ending basically

00:11:30.860 everything in america that you like it feels like a war to me so i consider myself at war with the

00:11:40.380 european union at least um all right the democratic national conventions kicked off there are of course

00:11:49.420 mass protests from the pro-palestinian protesters rumored to be maybe a hundred thousand people will

00:11:56.940 show up i don't know but uh what would you do if you were the democrats and you have to protect

00:12:03.020 yourself from people coming from the outside who don't belong and they're going to cause trouble 1.00

00:12:09.020 well it looks like they decided that uh building walls requiring identification

00:12:16.780 and having a strong police presence are the only way to stay safe that's right

00:12:22.220 right now at first i was resisting all the people who were cleverly noting wait a minute scott

00:12:32.460 it sounds like the democrats are doing the very thing they say you shouldn't do

00:12:36.380 lots of police demanding id that's bad for people who can't get ids and probably racist and walls are

00:12:43.340 racist all the time and and i was thinking to myself well these are not you know directly

00:12:49.100 related i mean you can't say the border is the same situation as the convention

00:12:57.820 or can you the more i think about it yeah it's closer to exactly the same because here's the thing

00:13:06.060 the reason we want border security is because it's common sense it's obvious common sense the reason

00:13:14.060 the democrats want uh walls and police and ids for their their convention is it's common sense it's

00:13:23.100 obvious common sense so in that way they are exactly the same although the border and the dnc are different

00:13:29.580 but in both cases there's an obvious common sense thing to do but they only want to do it when they're

00:13:35.660 personally directly and immediately at risk if if you were at risk and the head of the dnc you know all

00:13:44.460 the if all the democrat leadership were not personally at risk they wouldn't care because they don't care

00:13:51.420 about the border enough apparently all right and i also have a question is it currently illegal to wear a mask

00:14:01.020 mask at a protest in chicago if somebody knows the answer to that because i saw a masked protester jump

00:14:09.340 on stage at the dnc and grab the microphone and yell a bunch of pro-palestinian things and do you know

00:14:16.460 what happens if you jump on stage and grab the microphone and you're wearing a mask

00:14:21.180 uh allow me to uh do an impression of the protester

00:14:35.420 it uh wasn't really effective couldn't really hear it but it turns out that when somebody is

00:14:43.420 trying to get the crowd fired up if they're wearing a mask nothing works because you couldn't

00:14:50.860 see the protesters face or mouth uh you could just see somebody standing with a microphone going

00:15:01.900 so not ideal

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00:15:31.260 well let's talk about the so those protesters want a ceasefire and some kind of two-state solution

00:15:37.340 probably at least some of them do um but how is that gaza ceasefire doing well anthony blinken says

00:15:45.580 you know there's a decisive moment coming up for the gaza ceasefire and uh here's a question i ask

00:15:53.260 given that gaza the situation's going on a while given that the election is coming up

00:16:01.820 given that one of the biggest problems for the democrats is these protesters

00:16:06.460 what do you think the democrats are offering to israel if israel would be willing to at least

00:16:14.460 pretend they're going to do a ceasefire until after the election

00:16:18.140 because they only need it to you know to get through the election what do you think we'd have to offer

00:16:23.340 them you imagine you're netanyahu and you know that the democrats are in a terrible bind

00:16:29.980 they really really really really need you to at least pretend that you want to ceasefire

00:16:37.980 what would you ask in return well we'll never know but are you comfortable with your with your

00:16:45.500 negotiator being in a weak position like that i don't know if this would apply to somebody like trump

00:16:53.420 but it looks to me like the democrats in the united states have put themselves in a position

00:16:59.100 where they pretty much have to do whatever netanyahu tells them to do if what they're going to get in

00:17:04.460 return is a pretend ceasefire and it would be pretend just to get through the election so i don't know that

00:17:13.260 israel has any inclination to agree to anything but unless it's fake um the wall street journal reports

00:17:23.900 that support for a two-state solution where the palestinians and israel would live side by side and

00:17:31.100 happiness used to be the most popular thing or more popular i guess and now it's not very popular at all

00:17:39.100 now only uh according to wall street journal only 32 percent of palestinians believe in a two-state

00:17:45.980 solution that would sort of mean that two-thirds of palestinians want to get rid of israel and

00:17:56.460 they don't say it out loud but i'm pretty sure the jewish population of israel they would like to get

00:18:01.820 rid of two-thirds that doesn't seem promising but what about israel

00:18:08.380 um let's see among the israeli jews belief in a peace based on two states is only at 19

00:18:18.060 so only 19 of jewish israelis are even interested in a two-state solution

00:18:26.300 now do you remember i've been telling you you could just ask me you don't really need to do polls

00:18:31.980 you didn't need to do this poll there there's not going to be a two-state solution

00:18:39.660 there's not even anywhere close to being enough interest in it in the real world it's just something

00:18:45.900 you say if you need to say it but no nobody it's it's one of the least popular ideas in all the world

00:18:53.740 it's it's pretty hard to have any kind of topic where only 19 of people are on one side i mean

00:19:03.260 almost everything else that's a controversial topic is at least 60 40 you know 40 is a good solid

00:19:12.220 minority but you know it's enough to be taken seriously but 19 and 19 i think you could just

00:19:20.220 ignore them you know once you get to that 80 20 rule you can just ignore the 20.

00:19:27.820 so no there is no realistic possibility of a two-state solution and therefore there's no real

00:19:34.060 reason that israel should stop before they have what they call total victory if if it's true that only 0.50

00:19:41.420 roughly a little more than half of the hamas fighters have been killed you know which is tough to

00:19:47.020 calculate um then they should probably have another year or so of work now am i in favor of that it

00:19:55.260 doesn't matter what i'm in favor of or not in favor of in terms of israel has no impact on anything

00:20:02.380 you know i i sometimes like to imagine that as far as domestic politics you know just stuff in the united

00:20:09.100 states that if i have a good idea where i said something that people repeated or you know i did

00:20:14.700 a post that went viral maybe i could actually make a difference change the minds and maybe maybe that

00:20:20.380 would change some policies so i have this you know small feeling that my opinion could make a difference

00:20:27.020 in the united states i mean so unlikely but it's possible but clearly my opinion has no impact on israel

00:20:35.420 so i don't have one what would the what would be the point we're just watching it's sort of like

00:20:42.380 somebody you know releases the ball and it's you know gravity is going to make it go drop in the

00:20:47.660 ground what's your opinion of that it doesn't matter once you release the ball it's going to drop in the

00:20:54.620 ground it doesn't matter if your opinion is it shouldn't so when it comes to israel i don't have an

00:20:59.740 opinion it's just an observation whoever has the most power is going to use it if the palestinians 0.99

00:21:05.740 have the most power they would be badly abusing the israelis the israelis have the most power so

00:21:11.340 they're having their way with gaza and you know you can characterize it any way you want

00:21:17.020 but it's just going to happen and your opinion about it makes no difference to anybody

00:21:20.540 don lemon goes to ohio he did the same thing in new jersey he was asking people he stopped randomly

00:21:30.700 who they're going to support and there were people um people who supported harris and people who supported

00:21:37.980 trump but what what i found was interesting is that there were so many black americans

00:21:46.300 who had no problem whatsoever saying into a camera that they support trump now i don't remember that in

00:21:54.540 the past is it just because nobody did that kind of interview in that kind of population it to me it

00:22:02.540 looks completely different see the thing i don't understand is if you looked at the numbers what would

00:22:10.220 the numbers be it would be something like okay trump yeah granted trump is going to do better than any

00:22:16.380 republican but that's still in the sub 20 percent isn't it what do we imagine is trump's best case

00:22:25.260 scenario for the black vote it's not very high is it so in the 20s maybe would be the the best any

00:22:32.780 republican ever did but then when you see don lemon doing his street interviews

00:22:39.660 the observation doesn't match the data because it certainly looks like at least at least half

00:22:47.740 of the black citizens he talked to said trump right off right off

00:22:54.540 and i thought i don't think that's the same as before

00:22:58.620 and if we're seeing any evidence that kamala harris is picking up the black vote and it's you know

00:23:04.540 moving moving back away from trump why don't we see it in the wild

00:23:11.980 you know i always tell you the one of my 0.98

00:23:14.620 bullshit detectors is when your direct observation doesn't match the data 0.99

00:23:20.380 so the pollsters are telling us oh kamala harris has taken back the black vote and 0.99

00:23:24.620 you know it's going to be 80 to 20 or something but then you go on the street

00:23:31.980 and you might even get more people saying they're going to vote for

00:23:36.220 trump more black americans now why is that now keep in mind this was

00:23:41.820 don lemon doing it and he did it in two different places ohio and new jersey and in both cases the the

00:23:49.260 black americans in a surprising percentage of them said yeah trump trump trump so

00:23:58.860 are the pollsters wrong or are we just seeing a really weird slice of america that's just coincidental

00:24:06.060 and you know i don't know but when you see observation so violently uh and a whack with the data

00:24:17.100 you should at least tell yourself the data is not as credible as you think it is

00:24:22.300 that at least you should do that i wouldn't say that the anecdotal stuff is stronger

00:24:27.980 but you should at least doubt the data be questioning all right um morning joe

00:24:37.580 i don't know have any of you found this habit yet that i click msnbc for

00:24:45.420 some kind of weird entertainment value i'll use the example of my philosophy teacher used in college

00:24:52.380 i took philosophy 101 that's why i'm so smart philosophy 101 yeah yep mastered it um but my philosophy professor

00:25:04.060 uh he used to say that uh if you had a tooth that was loose and you knew it was going to come out

00:25:12.540 you know let's say it was one of your first teeth yeah you'd push against it with your tongue

00:25:18.140 and wiggle it even though it hurt have you ever had that experience like you know it hurts to push

00:25:25.180 on your loose tooth with your tongue but you kind of do it anyway why do you do that it's like an

00:25:31.900 irresistible pain it's the weirdest little philosophical thing that we humans will do willingly

00:25:39.900 painful things in some weird situations but this is me when i watch uh msnbc i'll see it on my you know

00:25:48.780 phone or on the tv screen that it's a choice and i'll think to myself oh i'm not going to be happy if

00:25:55.820 i click that oh it's going to hurt me if i click that oh there's nothing but pain and unpleasantness if

00:26:03.020 i click that then i click it i can't help it but here's here's what i realized about watching morning

00:26:11.580 joe claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all

00:26:16.860 week she was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand

00:26:22.220 side good thing claudia's with intact the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in

00:26:28.460 the country everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car

00:26:32.940 in no time i made it to my tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact

00:26:39.420 insurance your auto service ace certain conditions apply so i watched uh morning joe with this this

00:26:46.780 weird kind of desperate explanation of how harris is spreading joy and energy but uh you know trump

00:26:56.380 is losing losing his energy or something and i thought when i watch morning joe here's what it

00:27:02.380 feels like it feels like c plus college students who have been asked to write an essay that's got to be

00:27:10.940 new every day on why trump is bad everything they say sounds like a bad college student writing an essay

00:27:20.140 all right i'm going to assign your your task your task is to make trump sound bad well but i i wrote

00:27:28.540 that essay yesterday yes yes you did write that essay yesterday and you wrote it every single day for the

00:27:34.860 last eight years but today we'd like you to write a new essay but don't you know try not to repeat a lot

00:27:41.900 of the things you said before all right well okay i think i can make some tortured argument about

00:27:49.180 stealing our democracy no you already wrote that essay you've written 20 of those essays we we'd like

00:27:55.980 something new uh uh and then they come up with this tortured academic argument that nobody cares about

00:28:06.780 and and watching them try to do their c plus essay that is the millionth time in a row they had the

00:28:13.260 same assignment but they got to make it different it's just sort of entertaining like pushing a tooth

00:28:20.220 that's loose that hurts when you push it i can't explain it it's entertaining but it hurts i'll probably

00:28:26.380 keep doing it well a washington post columnist is uh fox news reporting uh that uh is it megan mccardell

00:28:37.820 um said that the fact checkers were ineffective in the trump era

00:28:42.460 and that the bottom line is that the the the more the news tried to fact check trump the more popular

00:28:50.620 trump got and the less people watched the news

00:28:56.380 trump destroyed the entire news industry like no basically people don't watch it don't trust it

00:29:04.780 and even the fact checkers are known to be liars at this point so there's just nothing there's just

00:29:10.620 no reason to watch the washington post just no reason anyway as mccardell said after eight years of

00:29:18.940 all-out disinformation warfare trump's approval ratings are holding up better than public trust

00:29:24.380 and academia and journalism yes because the public is figuring it out now you know what else i learned

00:29:33.580 um watching uh don lemon's street interviews so the interviews went like this who are you going to

00:29:41.180 support for president then they'd say somebody and then he'd often follow up with well why do you like

00:29:47.500 them and here would be the i'll give you a standard but um you know this is a fictional answer but it

00:29:55.260 represents all of the people like all the people he talked to all right so what do you like about um

00:30:01.100 the policies of kamala harris oh um

00:30:07.020 well um trump said he would eat a baby

00:30:11.420 and you think to yourself no he didn't no he didn't there's nothing like that and then you

00:30:21.580 would realize that they didn't know anything else except that they think they heard trump ate a baby

00:30:30.140 now i'm making that one up but here's a real one there was a black woman who was asked who she'd vote

00:30:35.420 for her she said trump um and then as part of her explanation she said that kamala harris lied 0.99

00:30:43.500 and then don lemon said well what would be an example of a lie that kamala harris told and the

00:30:49.980 voter said well she said she was black remember this is a female black voter and don lemon is like 0.65

00:30:58.460 um no actually she's always identified as black and the voter said i don't think so

00:31:10.380 there wasn't a single person that don lemon talked to that appeared on video

00:31:16.220 that seemed to know much of anything about politics not even you know if you were going to rank it from one

00:31:22.940 to ten with the people like you and me who followed every day we're we're sort of tens and a one out of

00:31:31.660 ten because every single day i look at the news every single day i talk about it and almost every day

00:31:38.620 you're here so we're in the really really narrow very few people who actually pay attention to the news

00:31:48.060 and even we know the news is fake so we're paying attention as hard as we can and we it's mostly just

00:31:54.140 fake so can you blame the people who just bailed out and said you know i don't really even need to

00:32:00.460 watch the news i'll just go with my gut it's not crazy because you know it would be easy for us to say

00:32:09.020 oh how superior we are we watch the news yeah no we're not like the people on the streets can we take a

00:32:17.500 moment to just celebrate how awesome we are because we really pay attention to the news

00:32:23.100 we can answer questions in some detail not like those people on the street but our news is fake

00:32:31.900 it doesn't matter how much you study it does it doesn't matter how deep you make a dive you're

00:32:37.740 never going to have enough information to really know what's going on so we're sort of living in this 0.93

00:32:44.060 illusion where we've figured it out and those dumb people on the street haven't looked into it so 0.90

00:32:49.180 they don't know what they're doing no their guess is probably just as good as yours probably just as good 0.87

00:32:58.940 anyway here's a here's some uh more of why you should trust the press apparently there's a reporter

00:33:07.420 from a wyoming newspaper who got fired because they found out he was just using ai to write his articles

00:33:16.220 and it was just too obvious because you know you can spot ai writing pretty easily so even and even

00:33:21.740 his sources were made up so he made up sources or maybe the ai hallucinated him i don't know but he

00:33:28.380 had fake sources and fake writing and they caught him and fired him but don't worry because all of the

00:33:35.820 other reporters totally professional he's the only one who tried to get away with something

00:33:43.580 well there's also some news about the bbc

00:33:48.700 there was a report by net zero watch about the bbc and it says that the bbc had

00:33:55.660 uh 30 cases of bias what they call it which is basically 30 cases of getting facts wrong maybe

00:34:05.420 intentionally about climate change um from 2023 30 examples of just climate

00:34:15.180 bullshit in the news on the bbc but don't you worry people because it's only that one reporter in wyoming 0.66

00:34:23.900 who turned out to be bad we got rid of them so everything else is good and don't worry that the 0.99

00:34:30.380 even the columnist for the washington post says that their fact checkers are completely failing

00:34:37.500 and don't worry that the bbc is simply making up science

00:34:43.100 everything else is fine yeah everything else is is it's right on point

00:34:47.820 it's only every single thing we check that's wrong uh doge designer on x that's an account on x

00:34:59.020 says we asked chat gpt and meta ai which party runs the legacy media and the answer was what do you

00:35:06.060 think the answer was when when they asked the two big ais who runs the legacy media well

00:35:12.860 um both of them said immediately democrats now did you just say to yourself whoa it looks like ai has

00:35:22.940 some some capability it told the truth even an unpleasant truth and it said something that's

00:35:30.060 not good for democrats now you didn't see that coming did you right so this feels quite credible doesn't it

00:35:37.740 uh thank goodness ai went from hiding the truth to now just plainly saying what we can all see that

00:35:47.420 the democrats run the legacy media in fact elon musk even even uh did a little post on it

00:35:55.500 concurring that the ai's got it right that the democrats run the legacy media

00:36:01.340 except it's not true how many of you think the democrats run the legacy media

00:36:14.060 you all believe that right obviously not whoever is running the country is not the democrats running

00:36:21.260 the media whoever is in control of the democrats is in control of the legacy media

00:36:29.260 the democrats apparently the ai has no problem telling you the democrats are in charge do you know

00:36:36.860 why who would like you to think the democrats are in charge of the legacy media let me think who would

00:36:43.900 want you to think that well fox news might want you to think that so is that why the ais um are saying

00:36:52.700 it's true because fox news thinks it's true and and they took their side probably not

00:36:59.580 is it because elon musk says it's true and and a lot of you would say it true is that why the ai agrees

00:37:07.740 because so many smart people say it's true that the democrats run the legacy media

00:37:14.060 here's what it looks like to me it looks like the cia runs all of our media and they would love for

00:37:20.140 you to think the democrats are doing it i don't think the democrats are doing it i think the democrats are

00:37:26.460 under the control of the people who are doing it now some of those might be registered democrats

00:37:32.380 but it's not if you're thinking that the people who work as cnn are mostly democrats

00:37:38.620 and therefore the democrats run the media you're really missing the bigger story

00:37:43.580 because they don't get to report on anything they want to report on i'm pretty sure they have a

00:37:48.940 an uber boss that tell you know a boss that tells them what's in and what's out and that's probably

00:37:55.820 the intelligence people because i would think at this point they would control all of that it's their job

00:38:01.020 it if the united states intelligence groups did not already control our legacy media the question

00:38:10.780 would be why not that they should because brainwashing the population is kind of their biggest job 0.97

00:38:21.900 domestically you know externally they have other jobs but domestically brainwashing americans to be

00:38:28.380 good citizens and fight for the flag that's sort of what they do so it's not really the democrats

00:38:36.780 running the legacy media except for the stuff that the cia doesn't care about one way or the other

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00:39:45.260 you that there would be no economists who support kamala harris's economic plan

00:39:49.580 well even axios is reporting that uh even the left-leaning economists are against it and they

00:39:57.180 named a bunch jason firman the ed ernie tedeschi the washington post editorial board josh barrow

00:40:06.300 katherine rampell they've all criticized the harris campaign proposal and governor whitmer who is the co

00:40:13.980 um she's the co-chair of the harris campaign was asked about her economic plan and ed whitmer

00:40:25.900 avoided the question imagine being the co-chair of the harris campaign and when somebody asks you about

00:40:34.140 her economic plan clearly the most important part of what she's going to do and the co-chair couldn't endorse 1.00

00:40:43.180 it the co-chair now when i told you that there would be no economist on the left or the right that

00:40:50.300 would endorse it i thought i'd i thought i'd gone pretty far like well you know that's that's really

00:40:58.300 going far to say even the democrat economist will shit on her plan and they did but what i did not see

00:41:06.460 is that the resistance to it would be so strong it would get her campaign co-chair it's very clear 0.92

00:41:13.820 that the campaign co-chair knows this is a bad idea or she would say it was a good idea it's her job to

00:41:19.260 say that these are good ideas she couldn't do it now i'm gonna have to give her some credit

00:41:26.060 because there are very few things that politicians do that could make you feel they're credible because

00:41:34.540 you know they're sort of professional liars but when i watch somebody who's a professional liar 0.80

00:41:39.740 meaning just a politician it's not even an insult a politician's sort of a professional liar 0.88

00:41:45.740 when i watch somebody who's in the job of politics and is the co-chairman or co-chairperson

00:41:52.620 and is avoiding the question because clearly she can't endorse such a bad idea

00:42:01.180 i actually felt some credibility for her meaning that it actually changed my opinion of governor

00:42:07.500 whitmer because when you watch somebody in a situation like that where you know they should lie

00:42:14.860 and they can't do it then that means there's something on the inside

00:42:19.020 that makes them not be able to lie have you ever been in that situation where you know you should lie

00:42:25.820 but you just can't do it let me tell you a story when i was working in the corporate world

00:42:31.100 one day my boss's boss's boss was supposed to go to some meeting about budget stuff couldn't make it

00:42:37.420 so he sent me now i was several levels below the boss that was supposed to be there

00:42:42.060 but i was the budget guy so i knew the most about the budget so he said go to this meeting for me

00:42:49.100 so what i find out when i get there is it's about cutting the budget so the person in charge of the

00:42:55.500 meeting goes to me and they go um you've presented a budget that's got this or that in it and everybody's

00:43:01.740 cutting the budget what would you say if we cut this part of your budget

00:43:05.500 now remember i'm a real junior i'm a nothing and my boss's boss's boss is the one who was supposed

00:43:13.660 to be there fighting to maintain his budget because his world depended on getting the whole budget the

00:43:20.540 bigger your budget the more important you are as a senior manager but it wasn't my job and i sat there

00:43:27.180 and i thought okay i'm pretty sure i know my boss's boss's boss would want me to lie right now

00:43:33.740 and make some argument for why we really need this project which even i didn't think was terribly

00:43:38.540 important and in the context of you got to make some tough choices to cut the budget and i watched

00:43:43.980 other people making tough choices when they went to me and said can we cut this from your budget i was

00:43:49.260 like well all right if you have to so i agreed with it boy was my boss's boss's boss unhappy with me

00:43:58.460 but here's the thing internally i couldn't tell that lie i knew what my job was i knew my job was to

00:44:06.700 lie i knew what my job was just couldn't do it i couldn't look at another human being and just say

00:44:13.100 something that's complete bullshit just can't do it so when i saw whitmer also not be able to lie 0.84

00:44:22.300 honestly her my opinion of her went up i know she's taking a side but she couldn't tell that lie 0.98

00:44:30.700 i appreciate that now uh let's compare that with uh krugman you know we were all waiting to see if

00:44:39.260 krugman who's a famous economist on the left was going to back the uh economic plan

00:44:46.220 because you think all right he'll he'll back anything you know as long as it's democrat side

00:44:51.020 so he does a post on it and i read it and i reread it and i was like i feel like you're just trying to

00:45:00.300 talk around it so he he very much did not give a full-throated endorsement he just tried to add some

00:45:08.780 weaselly context as if it made any difference but it didn't so you could think that he talked about it

00:45:14.460 it but he didn't talk about it and i thought even krugman couldn't lie well i shouldn't say that i

00:45:23.580 don't know if he's ever lied before if he's just believed what he said but he clearly didn't believe

00:45:29.020 in her plan but he didn't want to say it's a bad plan because he would prefer getting elected i assume

00:45:36.940 so instead he just did some word salad and said okay don't ask me any more questions i think

00:45:42.140 so stephen uh stephen a smith was doing a little rant about how harris hasn't done any real press

00:45:51.900 events and she needs to be tested so that the public can see her answering tough questions

00:45:59.100 i'm going to double and triple down on saying that the harris and her campaign are very smart

00:46:04.540 to avoid the press why who's ever been better off talking to the press

00:46:12.140 that there are some things that we just assume to be true because it's just sort of what we're used

00:46:18.460 to but every now and then you realize that the reason for the thing you always did didn't make

00:46:23.580 sense i'll give you another example why do we have electronic voting machines we just sort of assume

00:46:30.060 that somebody had a reason right didn't you assume that if you asked around somebody smart would say oh

00:46:38.540 yeah there's a good reason for the electronic voting machines but i don't know what it is

00:46:44.140 doesn't save money isn't faster isn't more credible isn't easier to manage

00:46:51.020 so we just we just get used to the thing the fact that somebody must know why there's a reason

00:46:56.060 all right here's another one it's like the electronic voting machines

00:46:59.820 why do presidential candidates talk to the press

00:47:02.300 now your your reflex is of course they have to talk to the press they've always talked to the 0.99

00:47:09.580 press scott uh why why would you even ask such a dumb question talking to the press 0.83

00:47:16.700 because of the free speech and the importance of the press to monitor the government it's the most

00:47:21.340 important thing of course stephen a smith is completely right she needs to talk to the press

00:47:27.420 does she what's the reason there isn't any the reason is you think you're going to learn something

00:47:39.180 no you're not no you're not is trump better off because he talks to the press

00:47:47.500 well let me give you some examples do you remember that time he talked to the press and he said that he

00:47:52.780 completely disavows the neo-nazis in charlottesville he said that to the press what did the press report

00:48:01.340 the press took him out of context and said he thought that the neo-nazis are fine people

00:48:06.140 was that was that good for trump to talk to the press because that press is such a an important

00:48:12.780 watchdog of our democracy if you don't talk to the press how will the people know what's true

00:48:18.940 well the press lied to the whole country for eight years or however many years six years

00:48:27.900 the press is the ones who lie to you they're not the ones who tell you the truth how about uh that trump

00:48:34.380 said inject bleach into your body that was at a press event it was a press event did trump say you should

00:48:43.180 put bleach or any any chemical disinfectant in your body he did not he was talking about light as a

00:48:50.460 disinfectant which was being trialed at the time to inject like a you know um uv light with a device

00:48:59.180 down the throat to see if you could irradiate the lungs and the trachea right that's what he was talking

00:49:04.300 about but the press turned it into he wants you to drink bleach all right now i would say those are the

00:49:11.500 two biggest problems trump's ever had and it's because he talked to the press almost everything 0.76

00:49:19.100 that that is fake and bullshit about trump is because of the press so now i ask you again 0.81

00:49:28.700 why would a presidential candidate talk to the press what's the upside is it because the 0.98

00:49:35.580 the voters need to know no i just told you about the don lemon interviews the voters don't do anything

00:49:45.660 see we you and i you know you watching this and i and the one percent of americans who really follow

00:49:52.780 politics we we get fooled into thinking other people are like us they're not like us they barely

00:49:59.820 know the names of the two presidential candidates everybody knows trump but some of them don't even

00:50:05.180 know who he's running against no there's no information advantage of the press they're either gonna lie

00:50:14.940 or nobody pays attention or it's complicated like how many of the voters that don lemon talked to

00:50:21.580 could say oh it's terrible that the european union is using their external power to satisfy

00:50:29.260 um you know some deep powers in the united states for censorship

00:50:35.660 any how many voters understand the hunter biden ukraine situation it's almost none so why do we even have

00:50:46.380 a press it's not informing anybody except the one percent of people who convince themselves they know things

00:50:53.500 because we still pretend we think data is real data isn't real

00:51:00.300 for anything that matters when when the data doesn't matter to anybody it could be real but

00:51:06.940 when it matters it's all fake because the people who it matters the most do make sure you don't see the

00:51:12.620 real stuff because they're trying to sell you something every time there's always money involved

00:51:17.100 so yeah no there's no reason really for anybody to talk to the press

00:51:25.260 um meanwhile mario knoffel was reporting that uh this hospital near the dnc convention is preparing

00:51:35.660 just in case there's a chemical attack by converting spaces into decontamination centers well now that's scary

00:51:43.420 because it sounds like they expect a chemical attack but i think that the standard will be

00:51:51.580 that pretty soon wherever there are large events where people gather that the local hospitals will have

00:51:58.460 to gear up for mass chemical warfare because i think drones are going to be dropping poison on crowds

00:52:07.500 not indoors probably you know less likely indoors but i think that uh it doesn't really signal that

00:52:15.660 they have a specific threat they might but it doesn't signal that because i think they should all be doing

00:52:22.540 that now to me that just sounds like getting ready i don't have a problem with that

00:52:29.660 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package learn more at scotia bank.com

00:52:37.500 slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:52:44.140 meanwhile zero hedge and others are reporting that the bureaus of labor statistics is planning to revise

00:52:50.940 downward um jobs for the april 2023 to march 2024 so it's about a year um by a million so if they

00:53:01.980 revise it down by a million that would mean that every time they said it was good it was bad

00:53:09.660 so everything you heard about jobs was a lie now let's say the job numbers are data's that matter

00:53:18.140 and they've all been a lie all the data that matters is always a lie because somebody has an interest in

00:53:27.740 lying or it's hard to collect it could be one or one or both of those things no it's all fake all the

00:53:34.780 data that matters is fake now you you can find an exception like you know whatever spacex is doing to

00:53:42.620 launch rockets depends very much on data but people don't have you know like a great financial interest

00:53:49.820 in lying to you about the you know trajectory of a rocket so if nobody cares about it politically yeah

00:53:56.380 that could be right and useful uh kamala harris has a new uh post on x she says the democratic party

00:54:06.300 must commit to showing up for black women all the time not just during an election year

00:54:13.260 i found that disgusted me that idea i'll read it again see if you have that feeling of disgust

00:54:22.140 and i'll tell you why in a minute the democratic party must commit to showing up for black women 0.98

00:54:26.220 all the time not just during an election year now of course i want both of the parties to be responsive to

00:54:32.140 all the public so it's not about that of course the politics should be responsible to all americans

00:54:40.220 period but

00:54:45.580 i'm offended that she calls herself a black woman 1.00

00:54:50.140 and wants me to buy into it now here's my take if she wants to identify as a black woman i'm fine with 1.00

00:54:59.020 that why would i have a complaint in any way if she wants to say this is who i am uh i'd like to

00:55:06.140 identify as black i do have you know half of me is indian american but i identify as black no problem at all

00:55:14.780 doesn't disgust me doesn't bother me

00:55:18.780 it's everybody's right i'd like to define myself as well so yeah define yourself here's what bothers me

00:55:25.820 she doesn't get to tell me how to define her

00:55:31.900 i define her as a unique individual who is not like anybody else i've ever met

00:55:39.580 i've never met anybody who is i don't think i don't think i've ever met anybody who was half black and half

00:55:46.540 indian who was a prosecutor and a senator and a vice president

00:55:51.340 i've never met anybody like that she's literally the only one same with trump there's only one of

00:55:59.100 them so to imagine that i should judge her by the some kind of average that happens to people who are

00:56:06.540 black is really offensive to me because i don't need to buy into your own personal definition of who you 1.00

00:56:16.380 are likewise if somebody wants to you know be identified as this or that for reasons of just

00:56:25.260 polite behavior i might be completely happy to define them by whatever pronouns they want i'm not

00:56:32.140 i'm not a real uh you know i'm not too i guess i'm not too bothered by pronouns whatever it is you want to be

00:56:40.540 called if i can remember it i'll be happy to do it but that's different for me agreeing with what you call

00:56:47.180 yourself i don't have to agree with it you can live in your own fantasy and i can see you as whatever i

00:56:56.060 want i might agree i might not but i'm not obligated in any way to agree with your definition of yourself

00:57:03.580 i do like living in a polite world where we're at least polite to each other and that that's included

00:57:12.460 but no don't tell me uh you can tell me that you're black and you identify as a black woman that's fine 0.64

00:57:19.980 but don't suggest that somehow i should see it that way i see you as not like anybody else 0.93

00:57:26.460 in a good way by the way did that sound like an insult it shouldn't yeah being black and indian

00:57:35.260 has apparently blessed her with an incredibly good-looking body and she's gone very far so 0.99

00:57:43.020 whatever she is is working clearly working so why not just be that why not just be an individual

00:57:50.940 the biggest problem america ever made is allowing people to convince us that the average of people

00:57:57.340 who look like us should matter to us the average of people who look like you should matter it shouldn't 1.00

00:58:05.500 no it should not it should not matter in any way should it matter to me that the average black person

00:58:12.540 has some specific problem from a legacy of slavery no it could be true and it could be a real problem i

00:58:22.540 think systemic racism is real but it's one of a million problems i want to know your individual problem

00:58:31.980 do you have an individual problem i could help with that yeah do you need a connection need some

00:58:37.500 information do you need a loan you know i've done all those things for people who needed them

00:58:44.220 individually but no i'm not going to do anything for you because you look like the average of other

00:58:49.180 people i don't care about your average performance not at all i do not care if women have whatever 0.62

00:58:57.900 experience on average i don't care if brown people have whatever experience on average i very much care 0.99

00:59:05.420 about you as individuals so if you need a hand no matter who you are i'm all in don't care about your average

00:59:16.460 well um so there's a more and more uh noise being made about what appears to be kamala harris's uh

00:59:25.820 drug or inebriation problem in public the daily mail has an article that says conservatives claim

00:59:32.620 these clips show kamala harris is giving speeches while drunk and they give some examples

00:59:39.900 and uh and it says that conservatives and even a donald trump campaign official have claimed

00:59:47.100 that harris appears drunk in speaking engagements and then they named a few uh a few conservatives who

00:59:54.140 were behind it they did not name me

00:59:56.780 have i ever told you the hypnotist can hide in plain sight

01:00:06.780 it is one of the coolest thing about being a hypnotist is that you can actually tell people

01:00:11.980 exactly what you're doing do it publicly and people can't see it it's just invisible

01:00:17.980 so i'm glad all these other conservatives and the trump campaign is behind this

01:00:25.660 idea that kamala harris is a drunk you didn't hear it from me as far as you know 1.00

01:00:33.980 all right so someone taught harris how to say return on investment now i've told you before that sometimes i

01:00:41.020 try to it's a messy process not always accurate but i try to track my influence and one of the ways i do it

01:00:51.500 is by um unusual word choice so if i introduce an idea into the public domain doing what i'm doing now

01:01:00.460 and i use a word choice that you haven't seen a lot and then it pops up somewhere i think to myself oh

01:01:08.460 oh maybe that was me you know maybe that was my word choice that fit into the public somehow

01:01:15.580 well kamala harris used the phrase return on investment four different times while answering

01:01:21.420 a question about her economic policy now i've been saying that you can't sell this uh price gouging thing 1.00

01:01:31.580 without looking at return on investment and i think maybe some economists may have said the same thing to her

01:01:39.020 so it's not like i'm the one person who knows that or something so it could be other people it's just

01:01:44.460 you know my eyebrow goes up like i was saying return on investment and harris an awful lot this week and

01:01:52.060 now she's saying return on investment which i haven't seen her do before um so but here's the interesting

01:02:01.980 thing is that she she used it wrong every time it sounds good when she says it but apparently her

01:02:10.060 technique is simply to say things do have a return on investment that's really not how it works

01:02:17.020 it's not about language you have to do the calculation or at least be aware that there's a cost and a

01:02:23.100 benefit return on investment means that you've calculated the cost of it and also the benefit

01:02:30.060 and that the benefit is greater than the cost if you haven't calculated both of them

01:02:35.420 you're not really doing a return on investment but apparently she has figured out

01:02:41.020 that she can call anything a return on investment and it sort of sounds good it does actually sound

01:02:46.620 good so she would say for example uh we're going to help people uh buy a house and uh that you know

01:02:56.060 history shows that's a good return on investment to which i say really did somebody did somebody study

01:03:04.540 what happens in 2025 if they get a 25 000 help on their house i'll bet nobody studied that so how'd you

01:03:14.620 calculate it how did you calculate the cost who paid for it because you got to do the cost and what exactly

01:03:22.620 is the benefit in in what areas did we get that return and who got the return was it the government

01:03:30.300 got a return for its um tax expense or the extra debt it ran up it's pretty vague so for each of

01:03:40.460 the things she was doing um she thought all she had to do was say and you know in the long run it's

01:03:46.860 obviously a good return on investment now here's the reason that that's irrational from an economist's

01:03:55.180 point of view you could say about anything so let's say that the idea of helping people let's say the

01:04:03.740 idea of no tax on tips or helping people get a home um let's say you calculate it and it sounds pretty

01:04:13.500 good or at least you can sell it by saying oh it's got a good roi here's the problem

01:04:18.540 everything fits into that category so i say to you hey how about reparations for slavery well

01:04:27.740 why do you want to do that well in the long run as good roi does it nobody knows you can't really

01:04:37.500 calculate it but you could say it you could say the words as a good roi

01:04:44.220 um how about cannibalism yeah we think cannibalism should come back it'll lower the food costs we'll 0.96

01:04:53.820 just eat each other uh and i think the roi is going to be excellent now that's a ridiculous one

01:05:01.020 but my point is there's nothing that has ever been discussed from you know funding schools more

01:05:08.220 or anything just literally anything that sounds like if you say it quickly it sounds like a good

01:05:15.260 idea you just say it's a good return on investment anything so therefore it's nothing if you can apply

01:05:23.100 it to everything then it's not really anything searchlight pictures presents the roses only in

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01:05:48.140 bit of hatred proving that marriage isn't always a bed of roses see the roses only in theaters august 29th

01:05:54.940 get tickets now but here's my suggestion for slavery reparations

01:06:00.380 is there anything that would stop us legally from saying that only republican or that only democrat

01:06:08.540 voters pay for it we've never done anything like that have we but republican voters by a fairly

01:06:17.180 sizable majority think that reparations would be a good idea republicans largely against it

01:06:23.820 but suppose that trump said this will never happen this is just fun recreational fantasy thinking suppose

01:06:32.940 trump said i'm in favor of recreation i'm in favor of reparations for slavery but i think it should be

01:06:40.460 limited to the group that says they're willing to pay for it because that way we don't have division

01:06:47.500 so democrats are very much in favor of it so why don't we say that if you voted for harris you'd be

01:06:55.660 on the hook for paying for reparations if you voted for trump you would not be on the hook for paying

01:07:00.860 reparations because that would be a group that didn't want to pay it now why wouldn't that be legal

01:07:08.940 because the government seems to be able to tax any individual group it wants to am i wrong the

01:07:15.500 government can say this industry pays more the government can say people who own a home pay less

01:07:21.740 it can say people who have children pay less on taxes the government can pick any group for any reason

01:07:29.180 and say we'll pay you you pay more you less on taxes right so is there anything that would prevent

01:07:36.460 the government from saying look democrats really want this and has a good roi

01:07:41.980 so if we make the republicans pay it'll never happen but since the roi for reparations is so good

01:07:50.860 that if democrats do it well most of the benefits will go to other democrats because black people are 0.99

01:07:56.700 off more often democrat so they could say well democrats could pay for reparations and then the roi

01:08:03.500 is good and that roi would mostly accrue to other democrats so how about that now

01:08:12.780 the real argument here is to wonder why it wouldn't be a good idea i'm not saying it's a good idea

01:08:20.060 but it's fun to imagine why it's not i can't think of a reason if there's a certain group of americans

01:08:28.140 who want reparations and also want to pay for it why would you care would black americans say no i don't 0.70

01:08:36.460 want that if only the democrats pay for it i don't think so i think black americans would say wait a

01:08:43.420 minute you're gonna give me a check and all i have to do is just nothing i think they'd say yeah if the

01:08:50.220 democrats want to pay for it mostly white democrats yeah sure

01:08:56.380 so who loses the democrats would be happy because they paid for reparations so they'd feel less

01:09:03.260 guilty they would get the own they would get the roi to other democrats mostly it'd be good for the

01:09:10.620 country roi but mostly democrats and the republicans would be oh that's good you left us out of it thank

01:09:16.940 you yeah it's it's sort of a thinker it just makes you think why can't we do that i actually don't know

01:09:26.060 any reason you couldn't do it

01:09:27.180 can you it would put an amazing pressure on democrat leaders to say why the republicans should pay for it

01:09:40.140 anyway um

01:09:44.140 so here's a little uh persuasion lesson

01:09:48.780 um this comes to you courtesy of mike cernovich's account on x now as you know uh tim waltz

01:09:57.180 reportedly went to china 30 times now you all know that if you're watching this you know it

01:10:06.460 and you have some opinions about that but you're probably thinking to yourself something along the

01:10:11.500 line of you know everybody's different he was taking some tours over there kind of like the country

01:10:19.340 so he went a lot of times is that so weird but listen to it listen to the way that mike cernovich

01:10:28.060 puts it in the form of a question and watch how it hits you differently just the way he words it

01:10:34.220 if i simply tell you he went to china many times

01:10:38.540 then your brain says oh and then it goes on to the next topic

01:10:43.020 but listen to this cervich says i'm paraphrasing but basically saying who needs to go to china 30 times

01:10:49.820 as soon as you hear that it just hits you differently doesn't it who needs to go to china 30 times

01:11:00.140 just automatically the question makes you know there's something up i don't know what

01:11:05.100 but there's something up with that and as uh mike pointed out um even people who do manufacturing in

01:11:14.460 china don't go 30 times i have a friend who did some manufacturing with a chinese company he went twice

01:11:21.500 why why why do you need to go 30 times now i'm guessing it had something to do with the

01:11:29.820 classes he was taking over there so maybe it was just a regular program that happened

01:11:34.380 once a year twice a year if happened twice a year for 15 years you got 30 trips

01:11:44.140 so i don't know but uh the only point is that if you put it in terms of a question

01:11:50.380 it completely hits you differently because you can't answer the question if i just say it's a truth

01:11:57.500 you're not automatically triggered to figure out like what's up with it but if he puts it in a question

01:12:05.900 your brain just chews on it because it wants to answer the question much more persuasive that's

01:12:12.460 so the lesson is not about waltz the lesson is if you want to learn how to persuade watch

01:12:18.860 sort of itch's account kevin o'leary was on some show i think it was on fox

01:12:26.620 and says that waltz was a terrible manager of the state they destroyed job growth and people left to

01:12:32.300 the neighboring states and all that now o'leary presents himself as not being political he's just

01:12:41.020 saying from a pure business standpoint he was bad for business in his state and he apparently

01:12:49.340 waltz is not exactly good at managing his own finances because he got to this point in his life

01:12:55.580 and he doesn't really have a ton of finances i do trust people a little bit more if they can figure out how

01:13:03.740 to retire with more money than he's got so you know it does show um we got a new drunk

01:13:13.420 bo johnson coming in with the all caps very consistent with the all caps bo keep drinking

01:13:22.540 all right um rasmussen did a poll on this tim waltz stolen valor thing

01:13:28.940 uh 45 of voters say the accusations against waltz won't make much difference in how they vote they

01:13:37.020 might not like it but they're saying it won't make much difference to their vote 34 say the accusations

01:13:43.340 about the stolen valor um makes them less likely to vote for harris but 16 here's the

01:13:52.540 here's the money shop 16 say the accusations against waltz for stolen valor

01:13:59.900 makes them more likely to vote for the democrat

01:14:08.460 16 of voters

01:14:11.420 are more likely to vote for waltz because he allegedly avoided combat

01:14:20.940 did you see that coming

01:14:21.980 okay i'm gonna admit i didn't see that coming i did not see that coming

01:14:30.460 why because i made that mistake of thinking that other people are like me

01:14:36.860 and you probably made the same mistake it's the most common mistake everybody makes all the time is

01:14:41.340 assuming other people are at least a little bit like you

01:14:44.540 and so you say what would i do in this situation i'll tell you what i wouldn't do

01:14:48.380 is be more likely to vote for him because he's accused of avoiding going to war that never even

01:14:55.820 occurred to me i either thought it was a don't care or you do care especially if you had some military

01:15:02.140 experience or you're a family i didn't really think anybody would look at it and say you know

01:15:09.100 now there's a good reason to vote for him he avoided the draft or not the draft he avoided uh

01:15:14.700 deployment by retiring just just before the deployment and other people saying well that's a good play he's obviously smart

01:15:24.060 the other people went over there and fought so who's the smart one now

01:15:27.980 that's what those 16 percent say that's not me that's the 16

01:15:34.060 so but here's what i think i don't really think that

01:15:38.460 uh polling the general public is the way to go on this question i think if you only polled veterans

01:15:49.100 or direct family members of veterans like spouses i think they're the only ones that matter

01:15:55.980 because i would think that almost nobody's going to change their vote unless they really care about

01:16:02.220 that issue and so if you talk to the people who are most likely to really care you know service people

01:16:08.380 and their families if they say it's no big deal well that tells you something but if they say you know

01:16:17.420 honestly i just i can't allow any chance that that vp would ever rise to commander in chief just that's my

01:16:25.580 red line i can't possibly be in favor of that well that would matter but i don't know if talking to the

01:16:31.500 general public about a topic that's so narrowly focused at a specific part of the country i don't

01:16:39.180 know all right speaking of mike cernovich again he had an idea that trump should come out and say

01:16:48.780 that he'll make mortgages assumable as long as the buyer is credit worthy in other words you don't buy

01:16:57.340 the house and pay off the bank and then hope you can get a new loan you just take over the loan you

01:17:03.100 know plus probably some extra cash if there was some equity involved and uh but you'd have to be

01:17:09.020 a credit worthy buyer now here's why this matters let's say you're a boomer like me and you're in a big

01:17:17.340 house and you say to yourself you know what i i would sell this big house and move into a smaller one

01:17:24.220 and that would allow somebody who had maybe a big family or something a lot of money to move into a

01:17:28.700 bigger house but if you look at the interest rates you'd say wait a minute i don't have an i don't have

01:17:35.420 a mortgage but if i did i would have been like a three percent rate because of when i would have gotten

01:17:41.740 it but now if i had to sell my house and get another house that also had a mortgage i'd be paying

01:17:48.300 some much higher rate so i say i won't do it i'll wait till the rates come down so you have all this

01:17:55.820 unnecessary friction in the market that you could remove just by having people assume loans that are

01:18:04.300 that are lower interest rates now who would be opposed to such a thing well all the bankers

01:18:09.740 because the bankers want to give you a new loan and get those new fees for the loan you know fees up

01:18:18.860 front and then they want to charge you a higher interest rate and then they want to package up

01:18:25.820 all your loans and sell them to the third parties who end up owning all the loans

01:18:29.500 but as mike says let let wall street figure it out you know if trump just does something

01:18:38.620 promote something that's good for the public uh but not so much for the bankers the bankers could

01:18:44.940 probably figure it out all right here's an idea i love so much i wish i'd said it first but the ceo

01:18:52.620 founder of the figure robot company you'll hear more about them figures going to be one of the big

01:18:58.860 names and robots it looks like so brett adcock was saying that there should be some kind of a

01:19:06.620 program or app where you can get local farmers to sell you food directly without the middlemen

01:19:14.860 uh partly because the middle people are adding all the dangerous chemicals and everything and you'd feel 1.00

01:19:22.060 more comfortable if you especially if it's an organic farm i suppose if you just got it directly from the

01:19:26.940 farm now there are of course all kinds of rules and regulations and reasons you can't do that

01:19:33.580 but i wouldn't i went to safeway yesterday um and i walked through this giant store of food

01:19:43.420 and i couldn't find anything to eat do you know why i just i know too much now so everything in the

01:19:52.380 middle of the store was you know frozen crap with additives and then another a third of the store was

01:20:01.980 bread and cheese yeah i'm kind of off of bread and cheese and you know then a lot of it is like pool toys

01:20:13.420 and you know alcohol that i don't drink and i have to like go way over to like the the vegetable area

01:20:23.180 and pick up some vegetables

01:20:27.100 but i couldn't buy enough at a store to make dinner like there wasn't anything there i was willing to buy

01:20:35.900 that i wanted to put in my mouth so i mean i got some fruit and some vegetables and you know i made

01:20:41.500 something that i already had at home you know some rice and vegetables basically and uh here's here's

01:20:47.820 another story about why it's so hard to eat you might be saying scott why did you go to the grocery

01:20:54.700 store don't you have an assistant to do that shopping for you and the answer is yes i do but i wanted to

01:21:00.780 to get some turmeric because i've been reading such great things about turmeric you know it's good for

01:21:06.860 inflammation and i i thought i wonder if they have turmeric that's like a seasoning that's like mixed

01:21:13.260 with pepper because that's the thing so you can just season whatever you're having with turmeric and

01:21:19.100 pepper and so i had ordered some from amazon so i knew it existed but it wasn't here yet and i wanted to

01:21:26.380 wanted to try yesterday so i thought i'm gonna go to safeway and see if they have some turmeric

01:21:31.900 now of course i looked for some other things since i'm there anyway but the purpose of my trip

01:21:38.700 was to get turmeric i come home with my turmeric i open up the x platform and i see a post about some

01:21:47.660 things that were adding lead to people's diets and found out that in some cases turmeric

01:21:55.580 is full of lead and you shouldn't put it in your body now it's not the turmeric itself it's some

01:22:02.060 providers of it were adding some additives that apparently was very bad what are the odds that i

01:22:10.940 would make a special trip to a grocery store the rarity in itself to look for just this one 0.92

01:22:18.940 fucking thing turmeric that i've never had before as as a you know condiment and 0.99

01:22:25.820 and that within 10 minutes of getting fucking home i would find out it's going to kill me 0.99

01:22:31.740 now really what were the odds of that now keep in mind that it was a post from somebody that you know 0.96

01:22:39.580 it was a long post it wasn't because the algorithm heard me say it it wasn't an advertisement it wasn't

01:22:47.580 well maybe it was fed to me oh you know what i can't rule out the fact that the only reason i saw it

01:22:53.580 is because i did something in the world that had something to do with turmeric huh maybe it

01:23:01.180 wasn't a coincidence huh all right well i don't know but i love this idea brad adcock has of figure

01:23:09.180 robots company to have some kind of a marketplace where i could just have the farmer bring me some

01:23:14.380 stuff that would make me feel very good all right the house gop has this big report that the biden

01:23:22.300 family received 27 million dollars from foreign individuals eight million dollar loans from democrat

01:23:29.180 benefactors while biden was a vp that he's not repaid um and then sure enough when he was vp he was

01:23:37.740 taking calls and he was influencing things and uh it's all impeachable so now the gop believes that

01:23:44.860 they have 100 documented impeachable crimes of hunter and the big guy taking vast amounts of money from

01:23:55.420 foreign countries multiple countries for the explicit purpose of influencing american politics and we have

01:24:02.940 the examples where he clearly was involved in influence do you think it'll make any difference

01:24:12.780 i'm gonna say no i i think that it's too close to the end of his term for anybody to bother with

01:24:21.020 impeachment you know it's not really gonna have too much effect on the harris campaign and it's too

01:24:28.780 complicated for the public to understand you know it probably would have made a big difference if

01:24:36.940 if biden were still in the race and maybe this is one of the reasons that the democrats talked him out

01:24:43.180 of it but all that work that uh jim jordan and comer did and all the rest which by the way i'm quite

01:24:53.340 impressed with you know maybe could have been faster but i think they were held up by

01:24:57.740 their sources but i would like to thank them you know comer and jordan and all the other people

01:25:05.980 who worked on this thank you i'm really happy that we have what i consider a clear picture

01:25:12.940 of maybe the worst corruption i've ever seen that's been documented now i too think well i guess it's a

01:25:22.220 little bit too late you know i don't really care too much if there's any kind of penalty that you

01:25:28.060 had something for it i'm just i'm just sort of over it but when they were doing this work they did not

01:25:35.580 know that biden was going to drop out and uh i really think the country owes them owes them a bit of a

01:25:43.340 debt this was good work i'm not how often do i say that not often right i don't often say hey you members

01:25:50.620 of congress sure did a good job on this but i think they did i think they did a good job on it

01:25:59.340 all right all the smart people in politics are saying that pennsylvania will determine the election

01:26:05.980 do you think that's true do you think we're at a point where pennsylvania whichever way that goes

01:26:11.980 that's going to be the the whole game why does it seem like the world of people who make a difference

01:26:20.220 in the election keeps getting smaller it was only the other day that i learned oh there's only like

01:26:27.900 300 000 people in the whole country who are going to make a difference and it's just the swings swing

01:26:34.140 voters and only in the battleground states so i say to myself well that's not ideal it's not ideal that

01:26:42.620 five states determine the election and then i find out that's probably one state

01:26:52.060 it's one state it's just pennsylvania now the smart people are saying you know both democrats and

01:26:59.580 republicans are saying the same thing it's just pennsylvania because they they think the polling

01:27:04.940 is confirming the other states sufficiently that they that no matter what happens there they're

01:27:10.780 confident that it will still be pennsylvania that makes a difference

01:27:16.220 what is up with that do you remember when you were a kid and you learned that we were a republic

01:27:22.060 and how how everything worked and the voters would get to vote and every vote counted and

01:27:28.300 none of that is even close to whatever our government is doing so if it came down to one state

01:27:39.340 it's sorted down to fetterman isn't it let me put this in another way the fetterman apparently is not

01:27:46.460 going to the dnc which some say is a story i'm not sure if it is but fetterman has been not

01:27:54.860 you know unambiguously pro everything harris he is he's wonderfully independent clearly a democrat 0.98

01:28:04.860 but wonderfully independent in a way i actually respect that if something is just dumb ass he'll 0.99

01:28:10.860 call it dumb ass it doesn't matter if democrats submitted it so i don't have to agree with him 0.95

01:28:17.340 i'm just saying that you know like i i gained a little respect for whitmer because it looked like 0.98

01:28:24.540 she couldn't lie to us in public at least about you know kamala's economic policy and uh fetterman 1.00

01:28:32.540 has earned the same respect i don't have to agree with him but when he says something to me i generally

01:28:39.260 think that's his actual real opinion do you have the same feeling very rare this is not something you

01:28:47.420 see in politicians very often um i see it with thomas massey right so fetterman is not the only one if

01:28:55.260 thomas massey says something i think oh that's actually his actual opinion he's not changing it to make me

01:29:01.340 happy that's just his actual opinion fetterman same thing so now put it all together there's only one

01:29:09.020 state that matters and the most influential person in that state is fetterman

01:29:16.780 he gets to decide who the next president is

01:29:21.580 because if fetterman decided not to come out strong for harris

01:29:25.580 for any reason that could be the difference if he decided to say you know what the harris

01:29:36.140 group is so bad about israel that i'm going to take a pass on endorsing her and he might

01:29:43.660 that is absolutely within the realm of possibility that he would just say you know i got this one issue

01:29:49.740 it's so bad that i you know i prefer democrats being in charge but i can't even

01:29:55.180 endorse you for that maybe so it's more it's far more likely that fetterman will you know promote

01:30:03.980 a democratic victory so that's probably the way it'll go but i want to add something here that

01:30:12.220 seems like it's unrelated but it's more of a warning i was watching a little history thing on

01:30:19.580 youtube about how president xi of china rose to power because i was always curious about that weren't you

01:30:27.660 like yeah how does one person out of all the people in china rise to power well it turns out he was

01:30:34.540 something called a princeling a princeling would be the i think mostly had to be a son because prince

01:30:44.060 um a son of one of the few survivors of the um in the days of mao when mao had a you know big military

01:30:55.900 force but he was under retreat and they were all dying from starvation and everything and starting

01:31:01.980 from i don't know 80 000 people in his military um 90 of them died so there were like 8 000 people who

01:31:10.620 became somewhat famous within china for having survived this long deadly march and then their

01:31:19.340 children so the people who survived were promoted by mao as the awesome people because you know they

01:31:26.460 were the most loyal and had the most suffering and then their children the children of the people that 0.72

01:31:32.780 mao said were the most awesome they were called the princelings so it wasn't too hard for

01:31:40.940 president chi when he was a younger man to get noticed because it was easy to notice a princeling

01:31:49.660 and then he did this clever play where he went for political office in rural less important parts of

01:31:57.420 china and because it was a rural less important political part of china and he shows up as a princeling

01:32:04.940 well he won you know at low office in an unimportant place but then he used that victory and that

01:32:11.660 experience to go to another place in china that maybe was a little bit more important and now he's got

01:32:17.740 experience and he's a princeling so he wins again so he simply was good at his job but he had that little

01:32:25.980 princeling thing to always boost him so then he gets all the way to um you know being in the small group of

01:32:33.820 people who are running the whole country and he's the the leader but it's a very shared power situation

01:32:42.220 so prior to his rise china had a you know the group of people the polar bear or whoever they were

01:32:49.020 so it was sort of a shared management and it was designed that way it was designed so one person

01:32:54.620 didn't run everything um before the head the head of china was in charge of the military for sure

01:33:03.820 but a lot of other things were handled by other experts that were chosen for their expertise

01:33:10.620 so how did she get rid of all the competition the trick he used if i understand it correctly i'll

01:33:19.500 take a fact check on this if there are any historians who think i got it wrong because

01:33:23.260 that might but here's the trick once he had power but not complete power what he did to get complete

01:33:31.420 power was he tried to crack down on corruption now who's against that everybody likes that right

01:33:40.540 gonna crack down on corruption guess who were corrupt well turns out that the corrupt people

01:33:47.500 coincidentally were the people who were not his allies so he got rid of all the corrupt people

01:33:55.420 who were not his allies and replaced them with non-corrupt people who were also his allies who may have

01:34:01.980 been corrupt we don't know about that so here's the thing to watch out for if your leader is

01:34:10.380 is taking people off the board it's a consolidation of power and the fact that it happened in china and he

01:34:21.580 became the basically president for life so he took a a non-dictator situation and he just turned it into

01:34:30.380 one and the only trick he had to do was to say he was fighting corruption that's all it took now

01:34:39.660 obviously he had to also be in charge of the people with guns because it's people with guns who

01:34:44.860 arrest people right so he so he had to be in charge of people who had some force and then he just made up a

01:34:51.660 reason that all of his all of his uh non-allies were criminals they just restable now that sounds a lot like

01:35:02.460 the democrats are saying that the insurrectionists on january 6th

01:35:07.740 needed to be arrested and everybody who supported them should be banned from polite society if not

01:35:13.820 arrested they should be at least you know disgraced and disallowed from ever being in government 0.99

01:35:20.620 so you should never be allowed to be in government if you ever supported those damn insurrectionists 0.99

01:35:27.180 that's president she's play you you color all the people who are on the other team as criminals 1.00

01:35:35.900 so where president she said they're corrupt the democrats said they're insurrectionists and white

01:35:45.260 supremacists it's the same play now it hasn't succeeded yet because trump's still alive

01:35:54.460 barely because somebody missed that's it if trump is if trump leaves the field unfortunately you know

01:36:07.180 it could be the bad way

01:36:11.100 the democrats may be very close to having something like permanent power but changing

01:36:16.060 out the figurehead now and then so we wouldn't even know who the permanent power was

01:36:20.380 so here's the thing to watch out for if the people in power who can control the people with guns

01:36:26.940 which is what anybody in power can do and they say that everybody on the other side

01:36:32.300 the people who are not their allies have some kind of criminal thing in common

01:36:38.140 you're heading to a dictatorship and it sure feels like that's happening here

01:36:44.060 and all the cancellations and the um you know the the jailings they all feel like they're just taking

01:36:54.060 critics off the board and you probably have noticed that the people who made the biggest impact

01:37:00.700 are the people targeted the hardest the people who don't move the needle don't need to be targeted

01:37:07.100 but a lot of other people sure are so keep that in mind that's all i got for today i'm going to talk to

01:37:14.860 the uh people on locals privately um i should tell you that uh uh the the dilbert reborn comic strip

01:37:25.660 which you can only see by subscription on x or on the locals platform where you also get some political

01:37:31.260 stuff so if you just want the comic get it on x um dog burr is starting his own polling company

01:37:39.980 and yes he is making up all of his data so you might enjoy that anyway um that's it for

01:37:47.420 the regular show i'm gonna go talk to the locals now thanks for joining everybody sorry i went late

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 19, 2024

Episode 2571 CWSA 08⧸19⧸24

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