Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2576 CWSA 08⧸24⧸24

00:00:00.000 wrong date

00:00:05.160 why what's today's date

00:00:10.520 no it's the right date did i put the wrong date on something like i always do

00:00:18.660 oh you know me well well well well well well are you ready for a show

00:00:27.100 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and i need

00:00:38.840 to make a technological change right now because i've got a little problem hold on

00:00:43.980 this will require my last remaining piece of paper

00:00:53.600 now i'm using this piece of paper to fix my ipad because it turns out that there's two

00:01:02.020 versions of me looking at me there's one on the ipad that's slightly delayed

00:01:07.380 i'm using just for watching the comments and there's one version of me that's not delayed

00:01:13.580 and boy you can't look at two versions of yourself operating a different time while you're doing

00:01:18.140 something live it's impossible but i just put my last remaining piece of paper in my entire house

00:01:25.860 because i was just looking for paper couldn't find it but that's all boring to you you don't care

00:01:30.080 what you care about is a simultaneous sip which is going to happen now and if you'd like to join in

00:01:35.200 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass or tank or chalice just tie in a canteen jug or flask

00:01:39.540 a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:01:45.440 unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything better

00:01:49.200 it's called the simultaneous sip and it's going to happen right now go

00:01:52.560 oh so good

00:01:58.320 oh my goodness so so good

00:02:03.040 well it turns out that my house is out of printer paper so i'm using my digital device to look at my

00:02:11.260 notes and it's just different we'll see what happens so i saw a news report that people are

00:02:18.180 using google maps and blurring their house on the map so that burglars can't tell what their security

00:02:26.060 system is and how easy it would be to climb over a fence and stuff like that and part of the story

00:02:31.500 about uh people blurring their homes is that uh somebody from the department of justice

00:02:37.340 well actually department of justice says there's less than uh or fewer than one percent of households

00:02:44.220 ever experience a burglary does that sound right to you in your experience

00:02:51.020 do only one percent of households experience a burglary where the hell do you live

00:02:58.300 i don't think i've ever lived anywhere that didn't get burgled one percent let's see

00:03:07.260 yeah almost everything i think everywhere i've lived i've been burgled

00:03:11.500 i think where i live now i've had all the tools in my garage stolen

00:03:17.020 when i lived in dublin all the tools in my garage were stolen

00:03:20.140 people would people if i left by uh let's say when i lived in danville all of the tools in my garage

00:03:28.620 were stolen i've lost all of my tools three times um

00:03:35.660 yeah i when i lived in san francisco i came home and my door was open already i've been burgled

00:03:42.060 and the neighborhood i'm in now three of my neighbors that are within literally a stone's throw

00:03:48.540 well one of them's two stone throws three of them have been burgled in the last 18 months

00:03:55.020 there there are bands of burglars that we actually observe casing our neighborhood

00:04:00.540 literally because we have all kinds of good security and we're all connected by whatsapp

00:04:05.260 so a common a common thing is you know we're being cased right now and you can look inside you

00:04:12.620 because you you can actually see the automobile that's very clearly people casing your neighborhood

00:04:19.420 so one percent i think they need to update that a little bit of course we'll be caught talking about

00:04:25.580 rfk jr here um but just a couple of things before that so there's a company i don't even know if this

00:04:33.020 is real so here's something i just saw on social media and you could tell me if it's even real

00:04:39.740 there's a company that's selling sunlight at night now you hear that and you say oh they're making a

00:04:45.740 light bulb that's like sort of like the sun no actually and again i'm not sure this is real

00:04:54.060 so somebody's gonna have to tell me if i if i got taken by a hoax if i have been taken by a hoax

00:05:03.420 at least my only defense is well at least i was a little suspicious but the story is that there's

00:05:09.100 a company that sells you an app where you can direct sunlight at night to your location and the way you

00:05:16.860 do it is through mirrors on satellites does that sound true that you can yeah basically it would be a

00:05:25.100 network of mirrors so if the if the sun is on the other side of the planet the the series of mirrors

00:05:34.060 will redirect it exactly down to where you are why is everybody saying the date is wrong

00:05:42.860 oh i wrote the wrong date on the okay on the live stream do you know what i did before i wrote the

00:05:54.700 wrong data on the live stream i was talking to my pre-show people on live stream and i was telling

00:06:00.300 him how uh i have a trouble concentrating writing dates down and then after the so so that was the

00:06:10.140 fifth time i had to write a date down that's part of my morning process because i published the cartoons

00:06:14.780 etc so it was the fifth time i had to remember the correct date and write it down i got it wrong on the

00:06:20.220 fifth time yeah when i tell people that i have a date related mental problem all my life this has

00:06:29.660 been since childhood people don't really believe it because i've never heard of it before i've never

00:06:35.340 heard of anybody who couldn't keep dates straight i just look at them and i can't write them down

00:06:39.900 it's the damnedest thing anyway enough about me so i was thinking about this uh sunlight at night

00:06:45.260 thing imagine if you had a military operation let's say you're the ukrainians and it's night 0.87

00:06:52.540 and there's a operation going on if you could just turn on the lights on just your enemy

00:06:59.340 imagine how that would mess them up imagine being in a night fight but you stay you stay in the dark but

00:07:05.180 use your app to turn on basically the sun on your enemy i think they can do that now if this is real

00:07:11.980 all right there's this there's a uh article i just read that uh apparently there's a big study that

00:07:20.380 uh there's a lot less alcohol being consumed by the young and their uh title of the article was that

00:07:28.460 the young are being more sober curious so apparently the percentage of gen z's who uh who drink is way

00:07:36.780 down college students way down and the way the article seemed to um frame it is that young people

00:07:45.180 are less interested in alcohol now that's not exactly my experience it's true it's also my experience

00:07:54.140 that young people seem less interested in alcohol just from anecdotally but here's what here's what's

00:08:01.660 missing from the article and i know many of you can confirm this i hear about three times a day from

00:08:08.220 people who are definitely not in the young people category that they stop drinking three a day

00:08:15.980 now it's because i say alcohol is poison and i'm listening to my own live stream audience you know

00:08:21.740 uh who are being influenced by that messaging and so just within my small live stream audience at least

00:08:29.420 three people a day quit alcohol forever i've never seen anything like this so there's definitely

00:08:37.340 something happening but it's not limited to young people there's something about the understanding of

00:08:43.100 alcohol and how it did you know how it influences your life that people are just saying no to and

00:08:50.540 i don't know that there's anything behind it you know i often say that i'm trying to figure out why

00:08:55.740 it is that when i when i take a stand to try to persuade publicly on some issue i feel like i always

00:09:04.540 get my way and i've been you know influencing against alcohol for a number of years now and sure enough

00:09:11.500 there's this major drop in alcohol now i wouldn't say that's because of me there's something else going

00:09:16.620 on but it but it does say that i am good at picking winning winning topics

00:09:24.460 yeah so if you had told me that anybody could make you know the rate of drinking go down in the united states

00:09:30.860 i would have been skeptical but apparently i joined the right side i don't think i caused it

00:09:37.820 all right let's talk about rfk jr i would like to start out

00:09:42.940 by showing my complete respect and appreciation for the kennedy shanahan

00:09:49.420 team for what they've done for me they have modeled the the best

00:09:56.860 american behavior as i want to see it now i think america has been going through an identity crisis

00:10:04.620 lately partly because of the division in the country that you know you feel like you're either

00:10:09.660 a republican or you're a democrat and the whole idea of being an american got kind of pushed back a

00:10:15.500 little bit but then out of nowhere suddenly rfk jr and shanahan are showing us what america is supposed

00:10:25.340 to be so here's here's my take of what they got right which is a lot number one we watched as they

00:10:34.940 personally sacrificed for the country personally sacrificed you saw that rfk jr literally couldn't

00:10:43.260 get secret service protection you know that he is physically in danger you know that when

00:10:50.620 nicole shanahan started this she knew that she was going to take on a lot of grief from the people

00:10:56.540 around her from the rest of the world and maybe the rest of her life and it was going to be super

00:11:01.420 expensive and she had a you know a family that she needed to take care of at the same time that

00:11:07.420 she was trying to help the country personal sacrifice for the country modeled in front of you 0.89

00:11:16.300 yes thank you how about uh running an entire campaign that as far as i can tell involved no hate

00:11:24.140 no lies no hoaxes no division no racism or accusations of racism no gender stuff or accusations of gender

00:11:32.380 stuff just policies just telling you what's important telling you what they're going to do about it

00:11:40.620 i've never seen it before let's talk about the dog not barking

00:11:45.500 these two just ran a presidential campaign in the united states for months and months and months 1.00

00:11:57.820 no lies no hoaxes no hate no stupid racism claims no stupid gender claims just policies and what's good for 1.00

00:12:09.580 the country it didn't work out in terms of getting the most votes but it's what i wanted to see 0.99

00:12:18.860 they also in the very american in the in the best way um they also fought against huge odds

00:12:27.660 they took on a task which is bigger than just about any task you could think of trying to change

00:12:35.740 what the priorities of the country to concentrate on our medical and food related safety in my

00:12:42.460 opinion our biggest challenge and they actually convinced enough people that it was a big enough

00:12:47.900 challenge that the the entire mind of the country is starting to move in that direction and certainly with

00:12:56.140 the team up with trump you know much stronger case so when you see individuals trying to move the

00:13:03.020 country on their own at great personal risk you say to yourself hey one person can't change anything 0.94

00:13:09.660 bullshit bullshit one person in this case one person who got a really capable partner in shanahan 0.95

00:13:18.140 changed the country now not just talking about election result i'm talking about how we think 0.99

00:13:23.820 they they they change our priorities and fix them now not everybody not right away but you can you can feel

00:13:33.340 you can sense and feel the change one person especially if they have a strong partner can change the world

00:13:41.100 it just happened right in front of you that's american it's american to say you can change the world and then go do it

00:13:48.540 all right so that's that's just my uh appreciation and congratulations but let's talk about the politics

00:14:01.260 um

00:14:04.140 i feel as though losing you know a prominent kennedy part of the most famous political families in the country

00:14:13.820 famous for being democrats and having him defect to be at least a you know united partner with trump

00:14:21.580 not agreeing with him on policy very clear on that not agreeing on all the policy but finding a way to

00:14:27.740 work productively with uh with trump it makes you wonder if this is the death rattle of the democrat party

00:14:36.460 because you know how things don't happen until they happen quickly

00:14:39.340 i feel like there's something that maybe is happening on the democrat side that looks like nothing so far

00:14:49.260 but you know once the crack forms maybe it's something bigger have you noticed this yet remember the

00:14:55.260 commercials that apple used to run against ibm computers back when ibm made personal computers

00:15:01.340 and the commercial was

00:15:02.460 or at least the you know the message was that lots of people will change from ibm computers

00:15:10.860 to apple but almost nobody changes from apple to ibm and that was one of those things that you hear and

00:15:18.060 you go well you know that can't be true and of course it's not 100 true but it's kind of true

00:15:25.020 it is a one-way trip when he moved to apple products it's really hard to get back because they just perform

00:15:33.500 and

00:15:35.820 so now we've seen elon musk a lifelong democrat

00:15:40.460 embrace the trump team again not necessarily every policy but that's not necessary we've seen

00:15:48.860 brett weinstein um he's been making some noise on podcasts etc in which he's been a lifelong democrat

00:15:57.740 and says he doesn't recognize these democrats because he became a democrat because he didn't like the uh

00:16:05.420 these he he says the democrats are now anti-democratic pro-censorship pro-foreign wars and

00:16:13.420 deeply corrupt and he says that's not the democrats i signed up for

00:16:19.260 now they lose kennedy that's about as democrat as you can get and for reasons not for crazy reasons

00:16:28.060 for really legitimate transparent public reasons now uh i've told you many times i'm registered as a

00:16:37.740 democrat but i've been persuading on the side of trump for now quite a few years

00:16:44.140 i'm pro-trump i'm not republican uh do you all know that right i think i've been transparent about

00:16:52.540 that i've been a lifelong democrat so my only votes have been for democrats and you know i've been happy

00:16:59.900 when democrats got elected in the past i like bill clinton for example i thought he was a solid

00:17:05.180 president one of the best frankly so i too am in the camp of people who are lifelong democrat supporters

00:17:13.260 i feel a little embarrassed about it but it's true that i was and i did not become a republican

00:17:20.140 i didn't become a republican i became a trump supporter do you know why because trump's not

00:17:25.660 exactly a republican he's a guy who says why don't we do smart stuff and i said what and then trump said

00:17:35.260 of course i'm making this up why don't we just do smart stuff stuff that you know will work

00:17:40.540 and i thought you have my attention say more you know close the border maybe cut the taxes on the 0.96

00:17:49.580 corporate stuff i'm like well all that makes sense you know if you can if you can cover your deficit

00:17:55.260 it makes sense let's have fewer wars because there's no real reason for them what that makes sense

00:18:02.700 so let me say very clearly i'm not a republican i just love republicans i really like republicans

00:18:11.340 if i had a choice of who to hang out with probably republicans i like republicans because they have a

00:18:18.940 code of ethics and they stick to it i don't know what the democrats are up to honestly i you can't even

00:18:24.620 characterize them if i tried to describe what democrats are i'd say ah i'm not so sure if i were

00:18:32.620 trying to describe republicans in the past before trump i would have said they're religious oriented

00:18:42.220 people who are also involved in politics so that's how i would have described the republicans you know

00:18:49.340 sort of religion first and that you know that informs family ideas as well as politics but starting

00:18:55.740 with religion and then filtering that through politics in the days of trump i don't see that

00:19:02.940 i mean there's there's still a healthy respect to the religious elements of the republican party

00:19:08.300 and you know trump respects that but he's not leading with that he's leading with how about we do things

00:19:14.540 that make sense how about things that everybody could look at and say oh that makes sense like having

00:19:19.740 border security for example you know just obvious stuff so how how hard is it for me to be in support of

00:19:26.060 something that just makes sense and it's fully transparent it's easy it's easy it's not even

00:19:31.660 political that's why i say that trump doesn't even feel political to me except that he's in a political

00:19:38.380 process anyway so look for this uh pattern of p there's a one-way trip even people who are sort of rhinos as

00:19:48.940 you like to call them you know the people aren't as republican as you think they should they're not

00:19:54.060 joining the democrats right is mit romney gonna become a democrat or support harris no i mean he might

00:20:07.260 you know write somebody in or skip voting for president this time maybe you know which

00:20:12.860 is a different thing but he's not going to become a democrat at gray goose we believe that pleasure

00:20:20.300 is a necessity that's why we craft the world's number one premium vodka in france using only three

00:20:25.980 of the finest natural ingredients french winter wheat water from jean sac and yeast

00:20:33.580 with gray goose we invite you to live in the moment and make time wait sip responsibly

00:20:42.860 all right so i've got a question for you i was looking at this meme of uh somebody made an instant

00:20:54.780 meme of kennedy and trump you know doing a dance to uh i don't i forget the popular song but i i looked

00:21:03.500 at that thing and i thought god i love this meme just watching kennedy and trump do this you know dance

00:21:10.140 in the in an animated meme thing i was trying to figure out why now part of it is i like both

00:21:19.900 personalities so it's two people i like but i don't know that you could just take any two people i like

00:21:26.700 and stick them together and having them dance and make me happy like what what is it what is it

00:21:33.340 that's the deeper thing that's that's reaching me it's not about the people exactly there's something

00:21:39.420 deeper going on and i don't know but i'll give you some speculations how many of you are old enough

00:21:47.740 to remember the rat pack you remember sinatra and sammy davis jr and some of those other cool cats dean

00:21:56.940 martin and even though they were uh you know heavy drinkers and womanizers and you know they certainly

00:22:06.620 played fast and loose with the rules they were so cool that you just sort of liked them even if they

00:22:14.860 had bad behavior have you ever noticed that somehow the rat pack became cooler because of the things

00:22:23.820 they'd had in their past you know you wouldn't necessarily approve of everything they've done

00:22:28.300 but somehow they pull it off and they just look cool and there's something about that that kennedy and

00:22:36.460 trump both have which is that even at their current ages there's there's a coolness that runs through

00:22:44.300 them that somehow reaches me now if you if you add elon musk to the party and you add vivek to the party

00:22:54.460 and you add jd vince to the party you have this wonderfully diverse in their own way they're

00:23:04.060 diverse uh diverse group of people who are all in the same fight and i've said before that uh the trump

00:23:13.420 movement always reminded me of a pirate ship that you know the 2016 trump supporters were just the

00:23:21.900 weirdest group of non-regular political people you know suddenly if mike cernovich is on your ship

00:23:29.900 you're not exactly a just a navy ship suddenly you're a pirate ship in a good way you know if

00:23:38.140 i'm on the ship i don't belong on that ship i'm a pirate right i'm there to to do some stuff so

00:23:47.340 i feel like it's some kind of a rat pack pirate ship thing but i'm going to go a little bit more

00:23:55.420 controversial it's unambiguously male

00:24:02.860 it's unambiguously male and what i feel about the you know where the country is going is i'm just

00:24:12.220 to say it honestly i don't want a woman in charge anymore now when i say anymore because i think 1.00

00:24:18.300 women collectively have had you know a rising influence and i think for a lot of good reasons 1.00

00:24:25.820 a lot of good benefits a lot of equality all the all the right reasons so i'm not complaining about the

00:24:32.860 rising power of women in america it's all good you know get what you want get more power get more 1.00

00:24:39.660 equality it's all good unless your job is to keep me alive if your job is to keep me alive i want men

00:24:51.660 sorry sorry i want men do you know why because i know men i know how they act i know how men act

00:25:02.460 at a deep biological level and here's what i'm going to tell you

00:25:09.820 trump is willing to take a bullet to fix the country robert kennedy is willing to take a bullet

00:25:19.180 to fix the country elon musk has heavy security and he's willing to risk taking a bullet to save the

00:25:27.820 country vivek just had a tense conversation with van jones in the hallway at the i think it was at the dnc

00:25:35.020 about van jones's rhetoric which caused a death threat against his wife and family 0.99

00:25:43.820 vivek is still in the game he's willing to take a fucking bullet to fix the country 0.99

00:25:50.460 what's harris willing to do take a sip 0.99

00:25:58.940 seriously you've got a pirate ship full of the strongest people you've ever seen in your life

00:26:04.300 who have very clearly sent you the message in in reality this is reality willing to take a 0.99

00:26:13.980 a fucking bullet do you see that in harris no in harris you see an opportunist who maybe was just 1.00

00:26:21.660 pushed in front of a parade i don't give a fuck about the opportunist it was just pushed in front 1.00

00:26:28.140 of a parade she doesn't look like she would take a bullet for me so i won't take a bullet for her 1.00

00:26:36.860 that's how it works well i probably would take a bullet for her it doesn't work both ways 1.00

00:26:43.580 it's sort of built into being a man you're sort of raised that you're going to take a bullet for 0.94

00:26:48.700 somebody so i'm going to be as sexist as i need to be now but i'll also allow that it would be easy

00:26:58.700 to imagine a female candidate who would take a bullet has demonstrated that you know courage and

00:27:05.420 would be a perfectly acceptable president so i'm not going to rule out that you can't be a woman and be 1.00

00:27:10.620 president because you can't do defense of the country you can i just don't see any of it in harris

00:27:16.700 and from her democrat supporters i don't see any of that energy i don't see any of the

00:27:22.780 protect the country take a bullet energy and sorry my allergies killed me today

00:27:31.180 so remember uh all the smart people are telling us that policies policies are being pushed aside in

00:27:37.740 both cases you could argue and that it's a viable election i agree with that it's very much a viable

00:27:45.660 election here's the vibe harris is dangerous as uh i saw brett weinstein say in a podcast that the

00:27:54.860 democrats look at the moment like an existential risk to the country i don't think that's an exaggeration

00:28:00.700 i think they're an existential risk to the country now maybe i've been brainwashed maybe but that's how

00:28:09.820 i feel and remember it's a viable action so how you feel about it is going to determine how you act

00:28:16.380 so telling you how i feel maybe i can't always defend it with a bunch of logic and policies

00:28:21.500 but it's how i feel i feel way way safer if the people making the decisions about how i live or don't

00:28:31.420 live are made by people who prefer freedom and are willing to die for it that means a lot to me all right

00:28:41.500 so um i think the joke i made online is that both kennedy and trump would be willing to take a bullet

00:28:51.820 but kamala would be willing to let both of them take a bullet so she could be president that's a very 1.00

00:28:56.460 different vibe

00:29:00.220 so um as you know the democrats have been trying to lawfare both trump and uh kennedy but i wasn't

00:29:08.780 aware until just recently last few days how much lawfare the democrats had sent toward kennedy

00:29:14.940 and apparently um there are a few mega donors that were behind a reed hoffman one of them funding

00:29:21.660 some of the lawsuits and ron conway's clear choice pack so they both sued to remove kennedy from the

00:29:29.020 ballot and as some would say denying some voters their option to vote for them now

00:29:38.060 how much do you love the fact

00:29:40.780 that kennedy tried very much to work with the democrats i mean there's lots of reports where

00:29:45.900 he reached out and was rebuffed and then they tried to sue a man of existence and they forced him into

00:29:54.540 a unity party with trump this is very much an own goal on the democrat side this is very much an own

00:30:04.140 goal on the reed hoffman side they may have made the biggest mistake in the history of politics 0.98

00:30:10.620 politics because he was the wrong guy to fuck with that's why he's cool too trump is the wrong guy to 0.99

00:30:19.260 fuck with and i like it kennedy's the wrong guy to fuck with too and i like it 0.99

00:30:27.900 so we got that going on the big worry that i've seen others say online is that if it looks like uh the 0.99

00:30:36.300 kennedy trump elon musk vivek jd vince etc team i'm obviously leaving out a lot of strong players but

00:30:46.780 you get the idea if it if it looks like that team's uh on its way to victory

00:30:53.660 what would the democrats and the bad guys do to stop it and i'm really worried that whatever plan c is

00:31:01.180 because they're already on to their plan b of kamala harris might not be working out

00:31:07.100 too soon to say but it might not what happens if they think they're going to lose

00:31:12.860 how deep would the democrats go in that in that case i think everything's on the table

00:31:21.740 let me give you an example the daily mail already has a story that rfk jr's harvard classmate

00:31:27.980 says that rfk jr was a coke dealer

00:31:33.100 but let me say this as clearly as possible i don't care what anybody used to be

00:31:41.420 you can't make me care what somebody used to be but i won't i won't buy it do you know what i used to

00:31:48.620 be in college not so good do you know what most people were in college when they were college age not

00:31:56.620 so hot yeah not so ethical maybe not as useful to society as they could have been

00:32:04.940 i'm not going to vote for a college rfk i mean i'm not voting for him but you know what i mean

00:32:11.180 no no i don't care what it used to be i also don't care that kamala harris you know may had some 0.96

00:32:17.180 friends help her out i'm not voting for what she used to be i'm not voting for what trump did in his

00:32:24.140 past or didn't do i mean i don't believe half of it so but you'll see the uh the type of attacks

00:32:33.020 just increase and by the way the fact that um rfk jr has gone through what he's gone through

00:32:39.900 drug addiction he's very transparent about it can you believe that rfk jr was literally

00:32:46.540 uh addicted to pretty hard drugs has admitted it completely um also admitted you know his let's say

00:32:54.860 marital fidelity issues basically completely transparent about all of his past flaws and to

00:33:01.900 me it made it all go away i definitely trust somebody who who went through something learned

00:33:07.980 from it turned into a different person i like that person i like it more than somebody who never

00:33:13.100 experienced it so a lot of this stuff about trump's past and uh and kennedy's past aren't really hurting

00:33:21.660 at all let's talk a little bit more i mentioned uh vivek ramaswamy and van jones had a little um

00:33:29.180 little conversation in the hallway it got kind of tense but maybe turned into something more

00:33:34.380 more understanding because vivek uh said very clearly you said some things about i i guess van jones

00:33:42.460 comment was that even though trump is a certain age vivek might be like a new trump coming up and you

00:33:48.940 might have you know you might have decades of trumpism as expressed through a vivek and so vivek would be

00:33:56.140 dangerous and right after that his family gets a death threat

00:34:03.180 okay so vivek is you know connecting the dots correctly i think and saying that van jones your

00:34:11.420 rhetoric basically put my family in danger now here's what i loved about it i love that vivek was defending

00:34:19.260 his family and and he phrased it that way and i do think that's the way he was thinking about

00:34:24.060 it he was thinking about the effect on his his wife in particular i don't know if the kids are

00:34:28.140 paying attention but his wife was quite distressed by wouldn't you be a death threat right obviously

00:34:34.460 she's going to be distressed correctly so and i like the fact that he defended his wife and he didn't

00:34:40.620 care who was listening like as soon as you saw van jones he just went into all right i need you to do less

00:34:48.060 of this now van jones to his credit um after initial maybe brusque reaction decided to listen to it

00:34:59.180 and he simply listened to everything that vivek said now i'm not going to defend anything that van jones

00:35:08.460 did in this case he gets to do that himself but he did say that he would uh um he would apologize to

00:35:16.300 vivek's wife he offered it it wasn't asked for but he offered it now you know what i like about that

00:35:23.020 that i don't think he offered to apologize to vivek now maybe i missed that but uh the van jones was

00:35:31.500 acknowledging that there's a you know an extended family risk here that's going on but you know maybe

00:35:36.700 he feels that his comments were accurate but that they had an effect on the family and he wanted to

00:35:42.140 make sure that that was unintended so here's what i wonder will that make a difference

00:35:51.660 i'd love to i'd love to say that i thought that uh people would see that the danger of the rhetoric

00:35:58.460 was too high and that maybe they just sort of let that happen accidentally and nobody had specific

00:36:04.220 intention to cause any danger but maybe pull that back a little bit so again uh vivek shows his value

00:36:12.380 to the country by very clearly and publicly saying here's a line you just crossed that line

00:36:21.180 and van jones listening to it now what he does we don't know but he listened to it and the message

00:36:28.700 was very clear and the two of them were helping the country draw a line now i hope it makes a

00:36:35.900 difference but boy i love to see two credible people now if you don't like van jones is because

00:36:42.300 he's a partisan i'm a partisan we're all partisans so i don't mind the partisan part but he seems like a

00:36:48.140 real person like you know a genuine person who wants what's what's good for the country in his own

00:36:53.580 view of what that is claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my

00:36:59.020 match all week she was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on

00:37:04.460 her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact the insurer with the largest network of auto service 1.00

00:37:10.780 centers in the country everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental

00:37:15.580 car in no time i made it to my tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time

00:37:21.900 intact insurance your auto service ace certain conditions apply well wall street general points

00:37:28.060 out that both candidates are a bit light on policy details i would say that's true um trump has a

00:37:36.540 number of things he wants to do that he doesn't say how he's going to pay for it or pay for the debt

00:37:41.180 or pay for any tax decreases or anything totally true and uh so both of them are light on it but

00:37:47.820 everybody seems to be understanding that policy isn't driving the ship it's not really a policy

00:37:53.580 election it's a vibe all right um even smirconish on cnn said that if the contest were about policy

00:38:05.420 trump would win or probably wins now that would be based on our observation we all have the same

00:38:11.180 observation that uh trump is way ahead in the polls on the top three or so topics so that would suggest

00:38:20.460 he would win especially if he's ahead on the economy which he is and the border which he is

00:38:26.300 um but it looks like it's going to be about personality and vibe

00:38:31.820 now if you want to be impressed at the quality of the persuasion coming out of the democrats

00:38:39.260 and i'm trying to be to to separate the skill level which is looking really strong

00:38:45.980 on the democrats from whether i like where they're persuading to be i don't like what they're

00:38:51.500 persuading and i don't like their candidate but my god they're good my god i've never seen this since

00:38:58.700 obama really now why is it that i haven't seen them as this good and i'll talk about what i mean by

00:39:03.660 that it's because i think they have the same guy so this guy david plouf he appears to be the main

00:39:12.940 character behind the uh harris campaign at the moment and he was an obama guy so it looks like maybe

00:39:20.940 some of the obama magic comes from or learned from or picked up from maybe he was the instigator

00:39:28.620 maybe he just learned it i don't know but the strongest persuasion game we'd seen until trump

00:39:35.820 was obama and it looks like his persuasion wizard is what's behind what we're watching

00:39:44.220 now how good is he let me give you an example of how good he is 1.00

00:39:51.580 do you remember the videos in which uh kamala harris said that young people are stupid 1.00

00:39:55.820 and she makes like a she makes it a punchline so she really pushes the stupid part she says young 1.00

00:40:02.140 people want this or that and then she says you know what young people are they're stupid 1.00

00:40:09.180 now she's completely right about that i'm not going to argue with the point yes every one of us is 0.99

00:40:14.700 smarter than we were when we were in college or that age right we're all smarter than we were at 18 if

00:40:21.820 you're older than 18 if you're 19 you're smarter than you when you were 18 right so it's not really 0.98

00:40:27.820 an insult to young people to say young people are stupid because the young people are being compared to 1.00

00:40:32.540 their own to themselves you know if i say a 20 year old is stupid i'm comparing them to themselves at age 1.00

00:40:40.060 50. it's not even going to be close everybody knows that so i agree with her the young people are stupid 1.00

00:40:46.300 but imagine that she said that you know out loud and laughed at it and that she's uh she's zooming 0.99

00:40:52.700 ahead in the persuasion of the young people because she has good memes on social media 0.99

00:41:00.700 all it took was good tick tock memes and she got the young after calling them stupid so she calls them 0.99

00:41:08.940 stupid and then without any policies whatsoever she just makes some good memes and brings some joy and then 1.00

00:41:15.260 all the persuaders say that she's the one who can protect you from the evil of trump and the next 1.00

00:41:19.980 thing you know she's winning she's winning hard the young people boy was she right about how 1.00

00:41:25.580 stupid they are they don't even know her policies that if you stop a young person and ask them two 1.00

00:41:34.460 questions about politics they won't know anything you know it would be the rarest person who can even 1.00

00:41:39.660 answer a basic question about either candidate they would only know the hoaxes so how good a persuader 0.98

00:41:48.460 do you need to be to get all the dumbest people on your side even though they've been called the 0.99

00:41:54.700 dumbest people by the person they're backing now you got to be pretty good and apparently it's pretty good 0.99

00:42:01.820 now it helps that the entire media is in the bag for the democrats now can give me a fact check i saw 0.98

00:42:09.340 somebody on social media i didn't see every minute of kennedy's speech but did he say that the media is

00:42:16.220 an organ of the democrats and that the media and the democrat party are basically one i think he did

00:42:23.820 say that right and uh i saw a comment here on social media saying uh do you think that the media will

00:42:31.900 fact check kennedy on his accusation that they are in league with the democrats you think that would be

00:42:39.420 pretty important right of course they would right because that's like one of the main big stories of

00:42:45.180 the day is that a presidential candidate said that the news is working hand in glove with one party

00:42:52.460 i can't think of a bigger story than that that's just such a big accusation so are you seeing all the

00:42:58.380 uh all the news talking about that this morning no do you know why you won't see that in the news

00:43:09.260 because the news is an organ of the democrat party if i hadn't brought that up before so it's kind of

00:43:18.860 amazing to watch it now how many young people would know what i just said that first of all the media is

00:43:27.020 essentially just the democrat party and that uh that's a persuasion game and the policies aren't

00:43:34.540 even part of the process how many young people could even just say that most obvious clearly transparent

00:43:42.540 inarguable point none basically none yeah and they're they're supporting harris all right now did you

00:43:53.820 wonder why there were so many hoaxes at the dnc that every speaker got up there and said find people

00:44:02.060 hoax and the the drinking bleach hoax and one hoax and the and the suckers and losers hoax did it seem

00:44:10.220 to you like wait a minute it's like the media isn't even fact checking them and they weren't i don't think

00:44:17.260 a single one of their hoaxes except for the project 2025 i think daniel dale did call that out as a

00:44:24.460 hoax do you know why that one was safe to call out as a hoax because it's the only one that even when

00:44:32.300 you know it's a hoax if you're a democrat that doesn't make much difference because if you say well

00:44:39.580 okay trump is not the author of it but it's all these trump supporters are the author of it well

00:44:48.300 it's just not that much difference if you're a democrat if you're a republican you say well trump's

00:44:53.420 going to do his own thing and he's not going to do that document which is what i believe but if you're

00:44:57.580 a democrat it's actually a pretty strong case that a whole bunch of republicans that were very pro-trump

00:45:05.020 have some suggestions that you don't like you know because you could imagine that could bleed over

00:45:10.220 into the actual policy i don't think it will but you can imagine it would so that's the only one that

00:45:17.660 gets fact checked because the fact check doesn't move the dial at all imagine if daniel dale had fact

00:45:28.780 checked the drinking bleach the fine people and the uh the losers and suckers thing imagine if he just 0.52

00:45:36.300 said they weren't true it's like the main messages of the whole thing we'll see that the only one he'll

00:45:45.180 debunk is the one that doesn't matter if it's debunked or not because the democrats will feel the

00:45:49.420 same about it if it's technically debunked because it's just technically debunked it's basically

00:45:56.060 directionally true they would say so the fake fact check is fake uh but on top of that once you

00:46:04.940 know that this david ploof guy is the wizard behind the throne yeah it feels reasonable to assume that

00:46:13.020 it's intentional that they're pushing extra hoaxes why would they do that what why would the democrats

00:46:18.940 go really heavy on the hoaxes it's because harris can't compete on policy even smirk onish

00:46:31.020 no i won't say even smirk onish i always give smirk onish um the benefit of being an independent mind

00:46:38.300 even though he works for cnn sometimes um he does seem independent so i'm gonna i'm gonna give him full

00:46:44.940 respect for that um it's exactly what it looks like the democrats have decided they can keep the

00:46:53.100 republicans busy debunking things and then they won't be talking about policy and if you could make

00:46:59.580 people think about the hoaxes they're thinking less about policy so every hoax you see is like a ufo

00:47:07.900 citing diversion from policy because harris can't work on it so just know that that's the the play now

00:47:16.540 is that ethical of course not is it moral of course not is it a really good effective strategy yeah

00:47:26.540 yeah it is yep freaking david ploof he has the goods

00:47:31.260 right he he's he has the goods i hate to say it but you should not be don't feel comfortable about

00:47:40.620 anything no matter how no matter even if the polls turn pro-trump do not get comfortable there is

00:47:48.460 a persuasion wizard behind the scenes who is way more powerful than you think

00:47:54.700 searchlight pictures presents the roses only in theaters august 29th from the director of meet

00:48:02.540 the parents and the writer of poor things comes the roses starring academy award winner olivia coleman

00:48:08.780 academy award nominee benedict cumberbatch andy samberg kate mckinnon and allison janney a hilarious

00:48:14.860 new comedy filled with drama excitement and a little bit of hatred proving that marriage isn't

00:48:20.380 always a bed of roses see the roses only in theaters august 29th get tickets now

00:48:28.220 anyway uh governor youngkin uh in virginia says his administration has removed uh about 80 000

00:48:36.860 dead voters from the state's voter rolls what 80 000 dead people still on the voter rolls

00:48:43.660 um and more than 6 000 non-citizens what there were 6 000 people who could have gotten away with 0.86

00:48:53.260 voting in the state they didn't live it this raises many questions why does the governor waste his time

00:49:03.260 fixing an election system that was flawless to begin with governor youngkin couldn't you do something

00:49:09.340 useful i'm pretty sure that the mainstream press which is an organ of the democrat party told me many

00:49:16.620 many many many times that these elections are so pristine and clean that there's no way anything could

00:49:23.500 have gone wrong this was these were clean elections my people so he's wasting his time getting rid of all

00:49:29.660 these ineligible voters for what it was already perfect all right well but that was a one-off i mean

00:49:42.060 you know a rare situation let it go it's it's just a one-off

00:49:49.900 oh maybe two off uh the ohio secretary of state um they're gonna prosecute uh

00:49:56.460 uh i guess they had found the 597 non-citizens voted in ohio

00:50:03.580 hmm so he's going to refer 597 people for possible prosecution

00:50:11.420 huh 138 non-citizens were found to have illegally cast ballots while another 459 registered to vote but

00:50:20.940 did not actually vote huh why why would you need to correct something that was already perfect

00:50:29.660 again none of it makes sense i mean i feel like i've seen maybe a dozen stories just this month

00:50:37.980 of states that made major changes in their election process but why but why oh oh let me check the fake

00:50:46.540 news uh fake news uh fake news let's see why would all these changes be necessary

00:50:52.780 uh voter suppression because the thing that the uh those republicans love

00:50:58.940 they love voter suppression one of the things they like to suppress is the votes of dead people

00:51:06.140 and the votes of people who don't live in that state and the votes of people who are non-citizens

00:51:10.940 that's called voter suppression people obviously trump is trying to steal your democracy

00:51:17.660 i mean you know connect the dots i'll say it again in case you're slow trump doesn't want

00:51:25.500 non-citizens voting he doesn't want people who are from the wrong state voting he doesn't want dead 1.00

00:51:30.220 people voting it's kind of racist against dead people and people who don't live in your state

00:51:37.260 and non-citizens all right um there's a video of gavin newsom and some podcasts uh must have been a

00:51:48.380 friendly podcast in which he was asked about the process for kamala harris you know being uh kind of

00:51:55.580 quickly pushed to the top of the ticket and even uh even newsom mocked the openness of the system

00:52:03.180 gavin newsom laughed out loud and mocked his own party for their lack of transparency and for

00:52:12.780 basically a non-democratic process and then after he realized that he was being recorded i think like

00:52:20.940 like i think that was just his honest reaction and you could imagine why i mean he if they'd had an

00:52:27.820 actual contest to see who was going to be their new leader newsom had a really really strong chance of

00:52:34.060 being the candidate which he would know and so even newsom is looking like he's about five minutes away

00:52:42.380 from registering as a republican now i don't quite mean that or do i you know i pushed rfk jr over the line

00:52:54.460 it was being denied the democratic process that's what that's what took a kennedy

00:53:03.820 to join forces with a republican a kennedy because his democratic process was stolen from him right in

00:53:10.780 front of the world what happened to newsom the democratic process was stolen from him right in front

00:53:19.980 of the world if you tell me there's no chance he could become a republican you're wrong

00:53:28.780 it would be wildly unlikely i'll give you that but you know what else he said recently somebody asked him

00:53:34.860 on a podcast why was the homeless problem so bad in california do you know what he said because of our

00:53:41.020 policies and he didn't misspeak he said yeah our policies that's what got us all the homeless

00:53:49.980 what let me just think about that so newsom gets totally nuked by his own party and then he throws

00:54:02.860 his party under the bus by saying that their their policies are what caused the problem now of course

00:54:08.220 it's in the context of changing the policies so it'd be less problem but i don't know i think he sees what

00:54:15.580 what we see maybe maybe he'll become a supporter who knows highly unlikely all right here's a new

00:54:24.620 fun thing apparently uh kennedy was suing the biden administration over their censorship of him

00:54:32.540 um and there there was some other case that to be resolved in some way before his case could be looked

00:54:38.780 that seriously i can't get into the legal details because i don't understand but the bottom line is

00:54:43.980 that he has an active still active case uh quote the court finds that kennedy is likely to succeed

00:54:52.380 likely to succeed which is a you know a requirement of a case going forward that you know there's some

00:54:57.900 validity to it so the court finds that kennedy is likely to succeed on his claim the suppression of

00:55:04.300 content posted in other words censorship was caused by action of the government defendants in other

00:55:10.780 words that the biden administration censored and there is a substantial risk that he will suffer

00:55:17.340 suffer similar injury in the near future wow so on top of the fact that the evidence does suggest that it

00:55:26.140 happened you know not in a court proven way yet but enough for something to go forward but on top of

00:55:32.700 that the court acknowledges that they there's nothing to stop them from doing it again and injuring kennedy

00:55:38.060 again what this is amazing that that's going to go forward because think about just the disclosure

00:55:47.740 that that would cause so that i'm not too interested in the ultimate you know outcome of the case

00:55:55.420 what i'm very interested in is whether it changes the narrative as people understand it because i don't

00:56:01.020 think there's a single democrat who knows that they were censoring things except the ones who've already

00:56:05.340 switched parties like you know brett weinstein so the ones who know that their party no longer approves

00:56:12.700 of free speech have probably already left the party who's going to stay for that if you actually understood

00:56:21.020 that your party was massively against free speech and had acted in in huge in huge ways like just thousands

00:56:31.020 literally thousands thousands of people associated with the government working on censoring

00:56:37.180 speech mostly on one side if you knew that could you stay in that party i don't know how you could

00:56:44.860 unless you were blackmailed well you know when peter teal um said on joe rogan show that his feeling

00:56:56.700 about how the country really runs is the people with the most power had to be blackmailable or nobody 0.88

00:57:02.940 would let them have power in the first place that the real power wants to make sure that the politicians 1.00

00:57:08.860 are blackmailable short of that they don't want them in office because they can't control them

00:57:13.340 is that an exaggeration i don't know it might not be

00:57:23.660 all right um wait i have to look at this joke

00:57:29.260 i was applying for or somebody said i was applying for australian citizenship

00:57:34.300 and the interviewer asked do you have a criminal record i said no is that still required

00:57:39.900 okay that's funny trying to get into australia

00:57:49.020 well here's the latest fake news from jake tapper so apparently trump said uh quote recently trump said

00:57:56.860 we had a border czar who was the border czar she loved the title but she didn't want to do the work 0.94

00:58:01.980 because she's lazy and probably more importantly than being lazy she wants to have an open border 1.00

00:58:08.140 and then jake tapper had uh susan rice on and he said uh that it was a racist trope about african americans

00:58:17.420 that they're lazy is it well and when i was a child in the 1960s that was definitely a racist trope

00:58:29.260 that black people were lazy is it today i i would think it's not even close to a trope today

00:58:39.820 because what's the difference between 60s and now you got a black president clearly a hard worker 0.90

00:58:46.300 you got uh kobe bryant famous for being like one of the hardest working athletes you got michael jordan

00:58:52.060 one of the hardest working athletes you got oprah one of the hardest working you know women you've

00:58:57.660 ever seen you've got um i could go on all the athletes all the musicians kanye kanye no matter

00:59:05.420 what you say about him he's a hard-working freaking guy jay-z hard-working uh beyonce hard-working 0.58

00:59:12.540 except she was too lazy to go to the dnc no i'm just joking she was never supposed to be there 1.00

00:59:19.900 but i would i feel like jake tapper had to go back to the 60s to find something to about trump

00:59:27.580 how about you don't go back to the 60s it's not a trope today i've never even heard it in 30 years

00:59:36.540 not not a suggestion of it nothing and here's here's what i would like to suggest for the

00:59:44.140 millionth time how about we treat people like individuals trump did when trump calls somebody lazy

00:59:53.100 you know i think it was a throwaway line he could have said about anybody but i don't even think

00:59:59.500 there's any slightest chance he had any racial you know subconscious or conscious thoughts about it

01:00:06.300 i think it was purely a thing you say about somebody who was supposed to do a thing and they

01:00:10.140 didn't do a thing you know you just speculate why it was and let people figure it out themselves

01:00:15.500 and nobody thinks that kamala harris is lazy it's just a political thing to say 1.00

01:00:20.380 all right so uh let's stop uh jake tapper maybe you should stop treating people like

01:00:27.900 their groups and averages and 60s tropes how about we treat each other like we're all individuals

01:00:34.620 we're all individuals and by the way if i had been the if i had been the border czar and if i had

01:00:41.100 gotten as little done now you could argue whether she was really a border czar but that's separate

01:00:45.420 um and i've gotten as little done and somebody called me lazy i wouldn't like it but i wouldn't

01:00:54.540 say it was a racist i would say that oh that's something individually targeted at me because i

01:00:59.820 didn't get this thing done so let's grow up a little bit ontario the wait is over the gold standard

01:01:07.820 of online casinos has arrived golden nugget online casino is live bringing vegas style excitement and a

01:01:14.060 world-class gaming experience right to your fingertips whether you're a seasoned player

01:01:18.780 or just starting signing up is fast and simple and in just a few clicks you can have access to

01:01:24.140 our exclusive library of the best slots and top tier table games make the most of your downtime with

01:01:29.820 unbeatable promotions and jackpots that can turn any mundane moment into a golden opportunity at golden

01:01:35.980 nugget online casino take a spin on the slots challenge yourself at the tables or join a live

01:01:41.260 dealer game to feel the thrill of real-time action all from the comfort of your own devices

01:01:46.300 why settle for less when you can go for the gold at golden nugget online casino gambling problem call

01:01:52.780 connects ontario 1-866-531-2600 19 and over physically present in ontario eligibility restrictions

01:02:00.220 apply see golden nugget casino.com for details please play responsibly apparently uh kamala harris and

01:02:07.260 tim waltz are going to do some kind of a bus tour in georgia a bus tour

01:02:14.380 do you think i'm going to let that go you think i'm just going to move on it's a bus tour come on i'm

01:02:23.420 a professional humorist is it a yellow bus

01:02:27.660 is it a yellow bus with wi-fi because i want to see how excited kamala is before she gets on the bus 0.99

01:02:37.900 if it's a regular bus i don't know how excited she'd be but we've seen how excited she gets about a yellow

01:02:43.820 school bus that has wi-fi if i can do my impression of kamala harris seeing two different forms of 0.82

01:02:52.460 transportation it would go like this uh miss harris here's your ride it's a it's an uber it's a or it's

01:03:00.940 a uh let's say it's not an uber let's say it's a it's a limousine here's your limousine oh thank you

01:03:09.900 no no interest in that limousine now say um miss harris your ride is here it's a it's a yellow school

01:03:16.780 bus and you can charge your phone it's got wi-fi what what oh what what

01:03:25.980 it's got wi-fi

01:03:29.900 so kamala harris with a yellow school bus 1.00

01:03:38.940 so yet another january sixer by the way if you're going to do jokes about the short bus you have to

01:03:45.740 do that without me i might laugh at them but i find them inappropriate and not funny whatsoever

01:03:57.420 all right um

01:04:00.700 so did you know that there's a group of people who are active i think they're not law enforcement

01:04:07.180 but maybe working with them they're hunting for the identities of january sixers still

01:04:13.180 so that once they identify somebody who is there using their various mechanisms then law enforcement

01:04:20.060 can go pick them up and they're still picking up people from january six um and did you know

01:04:27.820 that the group of people who are helping you know identify the republicans to be picked up

01:04:33.820 did you know what they're called they have a name for themselves apparently so this isn't me calling

01:04:42.220 them something but they have an internal name they call themselves insurrection hunters

01:04:50.700 insurrection hunters

01:04:53.660 do you remember in 2020 i was mocked for saying that if biden won republicans would be hunted

01:04:58.700 and then i got mocked terribly well here we are they call themselves hunters and they're literally

01:05:07.820 hunting republicans 0.99

01:05:11.420 i was uh somebody some fucking idiot came who is important i forget how uh some notable public 1.00

01:05:19.740 person came on board and mocked me for a prediction i made 0.99

01:05:23.660 my prediction was that uh kennedy this was a year ago by the way so a year ago i predicted on x

01:05:31.820 that kennedy was the one who would determine who won the election because he could stay in the election

01:05:37.420 if he liked how his impact was affecting it and if he didn't like that and wanted the other outcome

01:05:43.180 he could get out of the election so that's what he did so i was saying you know how did my 0.95

01:05:48.700 how did my prediction age and i got mocked by some stupid public figure i can't remember his name 0.69

01:05:55.580 who said uh that my game that i've got a grift basically that i make vague i make vague predictions 0.93

01:06:03.340 and then i claim victory no matter what happens was that a vague prediction

01:06:10.060 in 2016 when i said that uh trump would win was that a vague prediction and i said he'd

01:06:17.100 win because he's the most persuasive person alive does anybody have any doubt about that that was

01:06:22.780 pretty specific when i when i said when uh the vaccinations were first announced and i predicted

01:06:29.420 that they wouldn't work was that a was that a vague prediction that's pretty specific they won't work

01:06:37.420 when i predicted that fauci was lying about masks um were independent from the question of whether

01:06:44.540 they work or not i said he was lying because he wanted to save them for the professionals that's

01:06:49.740 pretty specific very specific and when i said that republicans would be hunted they're literally called

01:06:59.580 insurrection hunters they're literally in jail trump got shot i i got canceled dozens of other republicans

01:07:11.580 got canceled you don't think we got hunted i think that's pretty specific

01:07:19.100 anyway so ukraine has acknowledged using bombs the u.s provided inside russia so some people say

01:07:28.700 that's basically opening the door to world war three because russia will not tolerate the u.s 0.87

01:07:34.460 weapons being used on their territory i could see why they would be so displeased but may i inject

01:07:43.740 a little bit of optimism into the ukraine situation have you noticed that in in the real world nothing

01:07:52.540 gets fixed until it's the highest level of emergency right when things are as bad as they could possibly be

01:08:00.220 that's when people get serious about fixing things until then maybe not so serious okay so when i see

01:08:08.860 that ukraine is uh invading russia and that makes people think world war three is coming and you know 0.93

01:08:15.740 and putin's getting you know maybe threatening more it looks like it's like the end of the world

01:08:21.580 the world but i would like to inject some optimism you're ready for this listen carefully

01:08:31.980 it's always the darkest before the dawn

01:08:37.820 that's right the situation as dire as it is is perfect for trump to fix it why is it perfect because

01:08:47.980 it's so bad if something is really really really bad it looks like world war three three is knocking

01:08:54.380 on the door suddenly if somebody comes in and says i can fix this everybody listens but if it's not the

01:09:01.340 end of the world and it looks like maybe each side thinks they can get a little more advantage it doesn't

01:09:05.980 matter who's offering to fix it it would not matter who is offering to fix it if they both thought they

01:09:11.100 could win some more by keeping you know keeping it going at this point i think it's really obvious

01:09:17.340 that there's not any winning to be had on either side and they know it there's no winning to be at the

01:09:23.020 the intrusion into russia is more of a negotiating situation to me i don't think as as military as it is

01:09:31.660 negotiating create a little better situation so it doesn't look like ukraine is doing nothing but losing

01:09:37.340 but it has created a situation which is ideal for donald trump and so it is always the darkest before

01:09:48.220 the dawn now let me let me tell you another thing that trump just did for the world suppose you're

01:09:55.820 putin and you're thinking to yourself oh my god i've got to yeah i've got to take this up a notch because

01:10:01.820 ukraine took it up a notch what do you think putin is thinking when he knows that there's a real good

01:10:07.260 chance that uh trump is the one he can talk to in a few months if you're putin there is zero chance

01:10:15.100 you're going to launch a nuclear war do you know why because you're pretty sure that if you just wait for

01:10:21.900 dawn that you can get some kind of negotiated end that will not humiliate you

01:10:27.820 and will not cripple you and will allow you maybe to have some kind of repaired relationship in the

01:10:33.980 future trump has already made the odds of nuclear war basically zero there there is no situation in

01:10:47.100 which a rational player and putin whether you like him or not he's totally rational no rational player

01:10:53.260 would move nuclear between now and the time that trump becomes the negotiator nobody would it

01:10:59.660 would make any sense how in the world could you possibly win under that condition there's no winning

01:11:05.820 nuclear war but if you just hold on the way things are for a few more months you know you have somebody

01:11:12.620 you can talk to so let me say it again between now and the time that we know who wins there's no chance

01:11:23.020 that pun will go nuclear it just wouldn't make any sense at all under any condition it makes no sense

01:11:29.980 putin knows that just wait trump already made you safe that's real that is completely real i don't

01:11:38.540 think putin would have gone nuclear in any case but i think the trump possibility just makes there

01:11:45.420 no chance at all he would think about it

01:11:49.580 well there's a report that 90 of gaza residents have been displaced

01:11:54.860 now as you know i don't like to take sides obviously it's a tragedy of immense proportions

01:12:04.380 um but my opinion doesn't have anything to do with what happens over there and i think that what

01:12:10.460 happens over there is just who has the most power gets their way the most and that's that's all we're

01:12:16.940 watching if the palestinians had the most power they would have already you know taken care of israel 0.99

01:12:23.020 in the worst possible way and at the moment israel has the most power so they're you know kind of 1.00

01:12:29.660 compensating for october 7th but here's the larger thing that i would like to point out

01:12:36.380 you know i always talk about half pinions a half pinion is is only half of an opinion

01:12:43.820 a half pinion is we need to spend a trillion dollars to fix climate change

01:12:50.460 what's left out is where are you going to get a trillion dollars is it worth it to run up the debt

01:12:55.660 data another trillion so a half pinion is when you look at either the costs or the benefits of

01:13:01.340 something but not both of them and of course it's fully irrational because any decision should look

01:13:07.740 at both the costs and the benefits and if your policy is only half of that talking about the costs

01:13:14.860 or talking about only the benefits that's a half pinion how dangerous is a half pinion

01:13:19.900 well here's the best example you'll ever see the half pinion of the palestinians as i understand it 1.00

01:13:27.100 i'll take a fact check if i'm wrong about this is that they overwhelmingly backed the october 7th

01:13:33.100 attack does anybody have a fact check on that now i'm not sure that's true but what i see every time

01:13:40.380 i see interviews of actual palestinians they seem to be backing october 7th am i wrong if i'm wrong

01:13:48.380 i'll change my opinion immediately because i might be but everything i've seen suggests that the

01:13:54.620 palestinians were fully in favor of october 7th do you know what that is that's a half pinion the half

01:14:03.740 pinion is us you know them attacking uh or their people the people they like attacking israel is half of 0.86

01:14:12.220 the equation so they were really really happy with the half the half that happened after that was

01:14:19.580 90 of gaza residents being displaced and by the way this would be a reasonable time to give some

01:14:25.980 compliments to whoever is keeping those displaced people fed because that's got to be a monstrously 0.99

01:14:32.940 big job in the hardest possible conditions and although there were many risks of you know famine and

01:14:39.820 um starvation i think the worst of it has been avoided so i don't you know i may be wrong maybe

01:14:49.020 there's more starvation going on and of course it's tragic and it's a war zone and it's horrible

01:14:54.300 so let me not if you think i'm underplaying the tragedy of gaza i'm not it looks like the worst thing

01:15:01.340 i've ever seen lately uh which is not taking sides i'm just you know describing it's a bad situation

01:15:08.940 there so i think this is the danger of a half pinion you had an entire um population who is 0.98

01:15:16.140 convinced that if they do the half of it that somehow they'd come out okay the other half is that israel

01:15:22.620 annihilates your entire country 90 of it's already gone and the other 10 will go i mean there's there's 0.92

01:15:31.580 no there's no chance it will ever be you know gaza like it was it'll always be a israeli controlled

01:15:37.820 entity of some kind when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners

01:15:43.420 i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the 1.00

01:15:49.740 designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price 0.85

01:15:56.220 or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket

01:16:01.340 those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners

01:16:08.140 find fabulous for less so half pinions in america are just as dangerous and by the way both trump

01:16:16.220 and kamala harris have plenty of half pinions trump wants to lower your taxes but he hasn't told you 1.00

01:16:22.380 how he's going to deal with the deficit that's the other part right now i get that nobody likes higher

01:16:28.940 taxes and you know if you can increase growth that might help but it's not going to help enough to pay

01:16:34.380 down the deficit i don't think anybody believes that so beware the half pinions they will 1.00

01:16:40.060 cause you to be 90 percent displaced from your home the guardian publication had a headline i loved

01:16:50.220 never take health tips from the world's oldest people say scientists

01:16:55.660 yes you don't want to find out what the oldest people did and then copy them because you so often

01:17:02.300 find out well i eat candy every day and smoke 10 cigarettes and you'll be like really maybe i'll

01:17:10.060 try that well it turns out that whatever it is that makes people live a long time it might be luck

01:17:16.380 it might be just genes and it turns out that if you have the right luck and the right genes you can

01:17:23.100 do a lot of things wrong and still live pretty to a long life so don't just look at old people to 0.86

01:17:29.820 figure out what they did it's not going to tell you enough and then i'm going to close on my favorite

01:17:36.060 story the u.s navy has run out of pants

01:17:44.780 i i i feel like i don't need to talk about that it's just funny that the navy ran out of pants

01:17:53.740 where do we begin

01:17:54.540 if i were in if i were in some other branch of the military which i'm not i would be tempted to say

01:18:04.220 well maybe they don't need pants as much you know what i mean but i wouldn't say that because i

01:18:10.380 respect all branches of the military uh but if i were in one of those disrespecting other branches

01:18:17.100 who has fun with each other i might say something like that

01:18:21.020 um but i'll tell you what it tells me it's like we can't have our robot dogs fast enough

01:18:28.700 because you know what a robot dog doesn't need pants needs no pants so although and they don't

01:18:37.820 pant either oddly enough because they're robots um so our pantsless navy all right that's just perfect

01:18:46.220 all right ladies and gentlemen um that is my prepared notes i'm going to go talk to the

01:18:54.140 people on locals my subscribers there they get a little extra because they're special

01:18:59.820 and uh hope you enjoyed the show and i'll see you tomorrow same time same place if you're on x or

01:19:05.340 youtube or rumble see you soon

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 24, 2024

Episode 2576 CWSA 08⧸24⧸24

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript