Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2582 CWSA 08⧸30⧸24

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.740 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:10.600 If you'd like to take this experience up where?

00:00:13.420 Up to a level where nobody can even comprehend it with their tiny, shiny human brains.

00:00:18.420 All you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen

00:00:23.060 jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:25.260 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.300 I like coffee.

00:00:27.980 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing

00:00:32.780 that makes everything better.

00:00:34.300 It's called The Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.

00:00:38.320 Go.

00:00:44.300 So, so good.

00:00:46.160 Wow.

00:00:47.460 Well, we will, of course, be talking about the interview with Kamlaris and Tim Walls.

00:00:52.820 But while you're streaming in here some other fun stuff, well, this one isn't fun.

00:01:00.040 There was a Wells Fargo employee found dead in her cubicle, and I think she might have

00:01:05.840 been there for four days.

00:01:08.000 Denise Prudhomme, age 60.

00:01:10.500 She was found dead in her Arizona office.

00:01:12.580 Now, we're not going to make fun of a tragic event, because, of course, the family should

00:01:21.400 be considered in this.

00:01:23.380 So, condolences.

00:01:25.720 But it should be pointed out that there has been a Dilbert comic on exactly that topic,

00:01:34.420 of dying in her cubicle and being there for days, and nobody noticed and nobody cared.

00:01:39.380 So, so, by the way, do you know where Dilbert was born?

00:01:46.340 He was born in a cubicle at a bank that was bought by Wells Fargo.

00:01:54.420 That's right.

00:01:56.640 So, Dilbert's history is the same bank where this woman, unfortunately, passed away in her

00:02:02.600 cubicle.

00:02:03.500 So, that's a 35-year connection to that story.

00:02:07.940 Well, according to the Daily Mail, there's a study and an expert who says that you should

00:02:16.320 masturbate before a public speaking event, because if you're nervous, scientists say

00:02:22.140 it's a great way to calm you down, and it can boost your cognition.

00:02:27.360 So, if I seem a little extra smart today, no, I'm just joking.

00:02:33.240 I didn't have time for that.

00:02:34.840 But, what a good idea.

00:02:38.740 You know, I'm trying to figure out, are there things that masturbation can't fix?

00:02:43.920 So, apparently, it can make you better for your presentation.

00:02:49.640 But, I'm trying to think what it can't do.

00:02:52.040 Let's see.

00:02:52.480 It's good for your health.

00:02:54.000 It's good for your prostate.

00:02:56.000 It relaxes you, turns you into a nicer person.

00:02:59.180 I don't know why we do anything else.

00:03:01.460 I mean, it seems like the rest of the things we do aren't nearly as productive as that.

00:03:05.700 So, mostly, you should replace most of your daily activities with masturbating, because

00:03:11.580 it's so good for you.

00:03:13.960 Some updates on energy.

00:03:16.740 I'm such an energy nerd that every single day, I want to see a story about a new energy

00:03:22.040 source.

00:03:22.460 And, there's a ton of them now.

00:03:26.800 But, here's some things happening.

00:03:28.880 Did you know that there's a Bureau of Land Management?

00:03:32.140 Unfortunately, they came up with that name before they realized that the initials BLM would

00:03:39.320 be distracting.

00:03:41.520 But, the BLM, or the Bureau of Land Management, so, under the current administration, they're

00:03:47.180 thinking about taking a whole bunch of public land, because there's tons of public land that's

00:03:53.200 empty, and using it for solar projects, so that it wouldn't cost much of anything to slap

00:04:01.300 those solar panels on it.

00:04:02.540 Now, of course, there's all the pollution problems and other problems you could complain

00:04:06.040 about.

00:04:07.140 But, I like this.

00:04:10.160 I like the idea of using all that extra land and put some solar panels on there.

00:04:15.660 And, if space and where you put them is one of the big obstacles, I imagine it would be.

00:04:22.260 Sounds like it could work.

00:04:24.260 So, here's something I'm not going to complain about from the Biden administration.

00:04:28.620 If they pulled that off, I would say, oh, good job.

00:04:34.280 Well, what about all the progress on batteries?

00:04:38.440 Oh, well, there are three stories just today on new battery technology, like huge breakthroughs.

00:04:45.660 Three stories, independent, you know, unrelated to each other, all on the same topic of batteries,

00:04:53.460 but different projects, all just today.

00:04:57.000 There is something going on in the battery research and development area that's crazy.

00:05:04.260 Now, it makes sense, because if there are robots everywhere, whoever makes the best battery

00:05:10.300 is going to be making so much money, you can't even believe it.

00:05:13.420 They're going to be making more money than the Tesla, making robots, probably.

00:05:19.500 Here's an idea.

00:05:20.400 Let's see.

00:05:21.380 Let's see.

00:05:21.960 MIT has a study.

00:05:24.400 They're going to use a partially disordered rock salt cathode.

00:05:28.200 But, here's the thing.

00:05:29.060 They want to integrate it with their polyanions, which, as you know, are dubbed the disordered

00:05:34.280 rock salt polyanionic spinal, or, as I like to call them, the DRXPS.

00:05:40.180 And, as you know, that delivers the high energy density rock or high voltage with significantly

00:05:45.540 improved cycle stability.

00:05:47.140 And I think we all want that.

00:05:48.700 Now, that's one study.

00:05:50.160 But there's also another one.

00:05:51.820 Well, this is exciting.

00:05:52.860 According to Yahoo Tech, there's a big game-changing approach.

00:05:59.340 And they're going to use homogenous cathode.

00:06:02.140 What?

00:06:02.840 Yeah.

00:06:03.340 They're going to tinker with the cathode until they can get solid-state power-backed life

00:06:08.380 cycles and other things I don't understand.

00:06:12.580 Something coming out of a Chinese research.

00:06:15.320 But then, according to Tech Explorer, there's another solid-state electrolyte advance.

00:06:20.820 Oh, wow.

00:06:21.680 And they're going to use polymers to make a strong yet springy thin film.

00:06:27.420 And you can have these durable sheets of solid-state electrolytes.

00:06:31.880 Wow.

00:06:33.020 Wow.

00:06:34.180 So, you don't have to understand any of that.

00:06:36.420 Just understand that the battery technology world is going crazy right now.

00:06:42.280 Crazy.

00:06:42.800 All right.

00:06:44.080 I finally understand what's the big deal about this Telegram app, Telegram app, and why the

00:06:51.880 CEO got picked up.

00:06:54.280 Now, remember I told you we will never understand the real reason behind anything.

00:06:59.620 But there's at least one that's obvious.

00:07:03.280 At least now.

00:07:04.100 It wasn't obvious until someone told me.

00:07:07.460 So, apparently, if you're in a battle, like a war, like, let's say, Ukraine against Russia,

00:07:12.100 one of the things that would be really important to winning the war, especially a long, ongoing

00:07:17.200 kind of affair, is how well your team can communicate without getting intercepted.

00:07:24.580 So, you want to be able to quickly talk to your own team if you're in a war, but you

00:07:30.180 don't want the other team to be able to intercept your stuff.

00:07:32.600 Well, it turns out that the Russians, the government was concerned, the military was, that the Ukrainians

00:07:39.880 could already hack their regular military communications, which would, you know, be encrypted, but might be

00:07:47.680 hackable.

00:07:49.160 So, what was the, and is, the Russian military using instead of their normal encrypted military app?

00:07:57.680 Well, it turns out that the only thing they trusted was the telegram app.

00:08:03.140 That's right.

00:08:04.100 The soldiers who were actually in the thick of battle didn't have a better option than

00:08:09.880 opening their phone and using the app to say, um, you know, you should target this, or you

00:08:14.940 should get some supplies over here, or get some reinforcements over here.

00:08:18.440 So, if NATO could get a hold of a back door, hypothetically, into the telegram app, they

00:08:29.580 would have all the communications of the Russian military, and it doesn't look like the Russian

00:08:36.200 military had a really good second option.

00:08:39.500 So, there's a possibility that Ukraine could win the war if NATO controlled the telegram app

00:08:48.020 without, without, without Russia knowing they controlled it.

00:08:52.040 In other words, if we had it, if we had, we, meaning NATO, if we had a back door, but

00:08:58.160 Russia didn't know it, so they kept using it, Ukraine would know everything they're going

00:09:04.860 to do before they do it.

00:09:07.060 Now, I'm exaggerating, you know, I'm sure they have other ways to communicate, but according

00:09:11.600 to the Wall Street Journal, it was like the main way they were communicating was through

00:09:15.080 telegram, because it was owned by, or at least it was housed in the UAE, which has a good

00:09:21.500 relationship with Russia.

00:09:23.520 So, the Russians were thinking, well, we can't use WhatsApp, because the Americans are going

00:09:28.140 to be all over that.

00:09:30.100 So, that was the one they trusted.

00:09:32.500 So, allow me to make a prediction.

00:09:35.980 You ready for the prediction?

00:09:37.080 The prediction will be that at some point, the CEO will be released, and you will be under

00:09:46.640 the impression that he didn't give up anything.

00:09:50.940 You see where I'm going with this?

00:09:53.020 In order for NATO to have a back door that's useful, they've got to act like they don't have

00:09:58.440 a back door.

00:09:59.040 So, they've got to keep this guy in peril until the peril forces him to give them a back door.

00:10:07.940 And then they've got to make sure that nobody knows anything happened, so that they can use

00:10:12.700 it to find out what the Russian military is going to do before they do it.

00:10:16.340 So, the most likely outcome, if you accept these as facts, which, you know, is always a question.

00:10:24.020 Everything has a little bit of skepticism that should be naturally applied.

00:10:29.040 But, I'm going to predict that we will be told that nobody got access to the Telegram app.

00:10:37.440 Yes, he was in lots of trouble, but he's a brave guy, and he resisted all that trouble.

00:10:43.840 And life will go on.

00:10:45.720 And then suddenly, there will be a string of defeats on the Russian military.

00:10:50.760 And people will say, hey, it's like the Ukrainians know what we're going to do before we do it.

00:10:55.920 I think that might be coming.

00:10:58.220 We'll see.

00:10:59.040 Quinnipiac, the research company, they did a poll and said that 20% of likely black voters say they would vote for Trump.

00:11:11.860 Does that seem low to you?

00:11:15.860 That seems low.

00:11:16.940 That does not match observation.

00:11:19.240 Because I've seen just tons of black citizens on TV being asked who they support.

00:11:27.860 And you've seen it both from right-leaning entities and left.

00:11:32.140 You know, even Don Lemon, doing his interviews, it sure looks like a lot more than 20%.

00:11:39.900 Or is it just that people are willing to do the interview, maybe have a certain perspective, and people who are not willing to do the interview, maybe add another one.

00:11:51.500 So, you know, you have to wonder if the street interviews are really representative.

00:11:56.380 They might not be representative.

00:11:58.580 I mean, there's a reason you do polls instead of just talking to people on the street.

00:12:02.700 But as I often say, one of my BS filters to figure out what's BS is if your direct observation doesn't match the science.

00:12:14.540 It doesn't mean your direct observation is right, but it certainly should be room for skepticism.

00:12:22.940 So my skepticism is 20% sounds low based on observation, which is not reliable, but it should be noted that they're out of whack.

00:12:33.480 All I'm saying is they don't agree.

00:12:36.300 One of them might be right.

00:12:38.060 No way to know.

00:12:40.800 Feels low to me.

00:12:42.520 All right.

00:12:42.780 Trump has come out strong in favor of IVF, in vitro fertilization.

00:12:50.720 And he says that either the government or the insurance companies should be forced to pay for it because we basically need more Americans.

00:12:57.800 We need more babies.

00:12:59.700 Now, this is brilliant in my opinion.

00:13:05.260 I think it's brilliant.

00:13:06.600 Because he's fighting against the, you're going to take my bodily autonomy.

00:13:10.060 And, you know, of course, the Harris campaign acts like he didn't say it and he doesn't mean it and he's going to lie and everything will change.

00:13:17.860 No, I think he means this.

00:13:19.180 I think he completely means it.

00:13:22.060 I think he 100% is in favor of people having babies and using a little science to help it out and making sure that America can, you know, create its own citizens.

00:13:34.000 I think he's completely down for this.

00:13:37.160 My take on this is that it's 100% genuine, his actual opinion.

00:13:41.260 And that he would really follow through with it.

00:13:45.360 So that is a perfect response to the criticisms in that area.

00:13:52.360 On top of that, there's some Florida bill.

00:13:57.120 I don't know the details, but some abortion related thing.

00:14:00.880 And Trump was asked how he'd vote just as a citizen of Florida, I guess.

00:14:07.100 And Trump reminds us that he'd always been against limiting abortions to under six weeks.

00:14:14.820 So I guess that's the current law in Florida.

00:14:17.180 And he said he would be voting for whatever, you know, something that's longer than six weeks.

00:14:22.340 He thinks he called that a terrible mistake when it happened in 2023.

00:14:27.100 Now, here's my question.

00:14:29.680 How are you going to get young people to live in Florida if your abortion thing has, you know, a six-week limit on it?

00:14:39.980 Now, if you're new to me, I do not give you opinions on abortion.

00:14:44.260 I think women need to work it out.

00:14:47.380 They should take the lead.

00:14:49.440 And though I don't abdicate, I don't give away my vote.

00:14:56.480 It's just that I think women should be the lead on that.

00:14:59.480 Just as I think in some other domains, men should take the lead, such as circumcision, stuff like that.

00:15:05.780 I mean, so you're not seeing my opinion.

00:15:09.340 I'm just talking about the topic.

00:15:11.320 So how does Florida survive in the long run?

00:15:16.780 Because Florida is going to get lots of senior citizens who don't care one way or the other about abortion, which they have.

00:15:23.700 I mean, it's a retirement place.

00:15:25.200 But can you survive if you don't have lots of young people who are willing to live there and stay there and move there?

00:15:33.660 It would be kind of hard to have a high-tech environment if you had abortion laws that were at least to maybe 60% of the tech workers look like a place you'd never live.

00:15:46.940 Oh, I can't live there.

00:15:48.000 So here would be the test.

00:15:52.420 The test would be whether Florida is forced, for their own demographic reasons, to loosen up on this and get a little bit closer to what young people want.

00:16:05.080 Because I don't think this is what young people want.

00:16:07.440 Obviously, it's the left and the right have different opinions.

00:16:12.720 But I would think there are probably two-thirds of young people, at least, would want a more, let's say, a more forgiving set of laws.

00:16:22.100 So my question is, can Florida even survive as a state?

00:16:26.800 And again, it's not an opinion on abortion.

00:16:29.080 I'm just doing a prediction.

00:16:30.060 What happens if you discourage 60% of your tech workers from living there in the long run?

00:16:38.080 It feels disastrous in the long run.

00:16:41.000 But we're not talking about the ethics of it, right?

00:16:44.940 You might prefer it.

00:16:47.740 But economically, it looks like a disaster in the long run.

00:16:52.460 All right, let's talk about CNN had their big conversation with Kamala Harris and Tim Walls.

00:16:59.420 Here are my takeaways.

00:17:02.380 She looked uncomfortable.

00:17:04.940 She did not appear like a smart person.

00:17:08.880 I think she would be the dumbest, maybe the dumbest candidate that the Democrats have run for president in my lifetime.

00:17:20.020 Would you agree with that?

00:17:21.460 Now, Biden was, you know, before he was dementia riddled.

00:17:25.600 You know, he was certainly not the brightest light.

00:17:29.940 But I feel like he chose a vice president who was obviously, you know, less good than he was.

00:17:35.920 And sure enough, she seems to be the lowest intelligence candidate we've seen.

00:17:42.960 So just think about how smart some of their past candidates have been.

00:17:47.340 Obama, no matter what you think about him, brilliant guy.

00:17:51.860 That's my opinion.

00:17:52.960 Brilliant guy.

00:17:54.000 Even if he ate everything he did.

00:17:55.920 Bill Clinton, brilliant.

00:17:58.520 Even if he ate him.

00:18:00.360 Al Gore, almost.

00:18:02.440 You know, brilliant.

00:18:04.240 Smart guy.

00:18:05.140 Even if he ate everything he's doing.

00:18:07.080 These are really smart people.

00:18:08.480 Jimmy Carter, terrible president.

00:18:11.020 Smart guy.

00:18:12.440 Very smart guy.

00:18:13.240 So I think the Democrats have given up on smart, like that didn't matter.

00:18:20.600 Now, Vivek Ramaswamy had a comment about it.

00:18:24.320 He said, Kamala's interview last night was a reminder that we're not running against a candidate.

00:18:30.520 We're running against the system.

00:18:32.760 They require a candidate they can control, which means having original ideas is a disqualification.

00:18:38.300 That's why we get Biden and then Kamala Harris.

00:18:42.900 Is that why?

00:18:44.980 That hypothesis is pretty strong.

00:18:48.860 That the system wants to do what the system wants to do, and that requires a weak candidate so they can control it.

00:18:56.100 But why did they have such smart candidates before?

00:19:02.880 Is this so different than the past that they could have a Jimmy Carter and a Bill Clinton and an Obama, and they could be strong and brilliant, and the system was okay with them?

00:19:17.680 Or was it?

00:19:19.440 Is it you have to be either dumb or easily blackmailed?

00:19:24.000 Is that it?

00:19:25.020 So you have a choice?

00:19:26.940 Well, you can either be dumb so we can manage you, or you have to be easily blackmailed so we can manage you.

00:19:33.880 Either way.

00:19:35.400 Yeah.

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00:20:22.840 All right, so I saw somebody use the word lightweight, that Kamala Harris didn't even sort of look presidential, she looked lightweight.

00:20:46.140 That was exactly the word I was going to use.

00:20:50.380 I was going to say lightweight, but I saw somebody else use it, so that made me feel smart.

00:20:55.540 Like, oh, okay, they saw the same thing.

00:20:58.140 So she didn't look bright, she didn't look comfortable, she looked kind of lightweight.

00:21:02.560 She had a little word salad problem.

00:21:05.000 Quote, the climate crisis is real.

00:21:07.280 That is an urgent matter to which we should apply metrics that include holding ourselves to deadlines around time.

00:21:12.780 And that's a lot of nothing right there.

00:21:17.720 That's a whole bunch of nothing.

00:21:21.380 So it looked to me like she had the questions in advance.

00:21:27.000 Now, I don't have proof of that, but I'll tell you what made me think she had the questions in advance.

00:21:33.140 There was one point where she would look down, and she would be using her fingers to say points, like, you know, this point, this point, this point.

00:21:44.500 I think that's a memory device for somebody who knew the question was coming and had said, all right, if you get this question, say these four things.

00:21:53.420 And so she was actually counting them off on her fingers, well, they're, you know, physical fingers, like she was trying to recall them from memory.

00:22:01.640 So it didn't look like somebody who had her own opinions and could easily speak to her preferences.

00:22:07.980 It looked like somebody had to memorize the test.

00:22:11.080 That's not a good look.

00:22:12.100 But I'll tell you the real tell.

00:22:14.840 The real tell was Harris was asked the question that involved a little girl that I think was her grandniece or something.

00:22:24.740 And she was watching Kamala Harris accept the nomination in a historic, you know, female person of color way.

00:22:32.320 And the idea is that the iconic photo captured a young person of color and female being inspired by Kamala Harris.

00:22:42.100 So she was asked about this, which is the ultimate softball question.

00:22:46.660 They only had 18 minutes that they showed.

00:22:49.860 Imagine out of the 18 minutes that one of the questions should be about somebody's photograph.

00:22:58.940 But to her credit, Kamala Harris did not say, oh, yes, you know, it was a special day for us, blah, blah, blah, without first saying, and here's the part that tells me she was prepared.

00:23:11.740 For that specific question.

00:23:13.660 She said, when I ran for president, I ran to be the president for all people.

00:23:19.620 And I said, that is a suspiciously good way to start the answer to that question.

00:23:26.220 Not just good, it's perfect.

00:23:29.040 You know, you can talk all day long about how, you know, there's something special about the situation.

00:23:36.200 And it won't bother me at all if you start that way.

00:23:40.180 I ran to be the president of all the people.

00:23:42.800 I go, okay.

00:23:44.360 Well, now you can call out that there's also a special interest in it.

00:23:48.200 But if you start with a special interest, I'm not even going to hear you if later you add in, but I'm really the president of all the people.

00:23:55.960 I'd be, well, why did you start with a special part first?

00:23:59.280 Just, like, sounds like you care about that more than you care about, you know, just doing the job.

00:24:06.340 So to me, that sounded like she was well prepared for that specific question.

00:24:12.940 Was she actually told the questions in advance?

00:24:16.000 I don't know.

00:24:16.740 There was also the question she was asked about Trump's comments about whether she was really black or had always identified as black.

00:24:25.880 You know, the real red meat.

00:24:27.120 Let's get into this.

00:24:29.020 And, you know, certainly it's a place that she wins some points.

00:24:32.980 And instead, she did an uncomfortable smile and said, next question, and refused to deal on the sort of personal racial part of it.

00:24:43.040 Now, is that because she was prepared for the question?

00:24:48.680 She sure looked prepared for the question to me.

00:24:52.480 But that doesn't mean that she was given the questions in advance.

00:24:56.400 Because you could pretty well guess what the questions might be.

00:25:01.320 Right?

00:25:02.160 So, anyway, she did her best to avoid questions that were good to avoid and avoid really a whole bunch of stuff.

00:25:13.040 So, it was basically her stump speech.

00:25:15.920 A lot of memorized stuff that you could tell was memorized because she was looking down.

00:25:20.540 So, she did a lot of looking down.

00:25:22.420 Like her eyes were down toward the table, but there was nothing there.

00:25:25.980 Or was there?

00:25:27.800 Is it possible that the wide shots showed the table with nothing on it?

00:25:32.640 But is it possible that when they did the close-ups where you could see her from the chest up, that there actually was a piece of paper down there?

00:25:41.780 Is it possible that, you know, since there was an edited event, is it possible she had notes?

00:25:47.520 I also saw a part where, if you replay it, you'll see, maybe in the first third or so of it, there was a point where she started to say an answer, and then she did a hand gesture toward Tim Walsh.

00:26:02.080 There was sort of the, you know, don't jump in hand gesture.

00:26:05.720 It was like she was giving him the, you know, stand-down hand gesture that didn't make any sense unless there was an edit we didn't know about.

00:26:16.380 Did he say something that got edited out?

00:26:19.440 Because it was out of context that she was waving him off when he wasn't doing anything.

00:26:25.460 He wasn't even in the picture.

00:26:27.180 He wasn't even in the frame.

00:26:28.360 So what was that?

00:26:32.420 I mean, it suggests there was an edit there, but I can't know for sure.

00:26:37.540 Maybe she expected him to jump in, and she was, I don't know.

00:26:41.960 I don't know.

00:26:42.280 I don't even know what that was about.

00:26:45.040 She also had what I call liar eyes.

00:26:47.840 So most of the time, she was looking down, and her eyes were in a normal mode.

00:26:53.420 So they were either a little bit closed, or they were looking down.

00:26:56.560 But every once in a while, when she had the big lie, I was watching in the man cave last night pointing out the big lies.

00:27:03.760 Her eyes would widen, and then the little lines would form on her forehead.

00:27:08.340 When she's doing the thing that she knows you're not going to believe, but if she says it with her eyes wide open, you might.

00:27:14.640 Because look how honest I am with my eyes wide open.

00:27:17.520 That's called liar face.

00:27:19.220 If you play it back with the sound off, and then you find the liar face, then turn the sound back on.

00:27:26.560 And find out what she was saying at that moment.

00:27:30.320 Once you learn to spot liar face, it's hilarious, because the politicians use it all the time.

00:27:36.880 It's just so, so obvious when they're trying to sell you something they know you're not believing, because you shouldn't.

00:27:44.980 All right, what else?

00:27:45.800 The physical arrangement of the people at the table has been questioned reasonably, because they had Waltz on one end of the table opposite from Dana Bash, and then Kamala was between them on the far side of the table.

00:28:05.160 Now, because of the dimensions of the perspective of the shot, plus the fact that Waltz is just a bigger human being than she is, he looked huge and in charge.

00:28:17.200 If you were just looking at the pictures, you'd think it would be an interview with him, and his secretary came along to take some notes.

00:28:22.620 It's sexist, yes, because the country is sexist, so it's worth mentioning.

00:28:29.540 It's not my opinion, it's just what one imagines people are going to think in their little sexist brains.

00:28:35.360 So, she was tiny and looked unimportant, just visually, and the visuals are kind of a big deal.

00:28:46.080 She also made all kinds of weird, funny faces.

00:28:50.120 When Waltz was talking, she wanted to show how proud and smiley she was, so she does the, I ate a lemon, but I enjoyed it face.

00:29:01.200 You know, I'm doing it now, if you're just listening, you're missing the best part of the show.

00:29:04.700 So, yeah, I ate a lemon, but I'm really happy about it.

00:29:10.480 Nailed it, nailed it.

00:29:12.120 You're laughing at home, I can tell.

00:29:15.900 Let's see, yeah, she basically voided most questions.

00:29:20.180 When Tim Waltz was interviewed, you really got the sense that there was no reason for him to be there.

00:29:25.800 I felt CNN was slapping him down, because they didn't ask, or it didn't make the final edit, anything about policy.

00:29:34.700 They asked him about his son's reaction at the convention to his speech.

00:29:45.180 Okay, interesting human story.

00:29:49.380 But you only had 18 minutes.

00:29:52.760 You only had 18 minutes.

00:29:54.720 That wasn't in the top 100 of anybody's interest.

00:29:59.400 Then she asked about the stolen valor, especially the part where he had used some words that indicated he'd been in a war zone, but he had not been in a shooting war zone.

00:30:10.920 He wasn't physically in a war zone.

00:30:15.200 And his defense was, well, you know, somebody points out, you know, my grammar isn't perfect sometimes.

00:30:22.340 So he kind of made it sound like it was just a poor word choice, and then moved on.

00:30:28.240 But because this was not any kind of a real news event, this was just a puff piece, he was asked no follow-up questions.

00:30:35.860 Harris was asked no follow-up questions.

00:30:38.560 Or actually, she was on the question of whether she had changed her opinions on things.

00:30:44.140 Because fracking, for example, she changed.

00:30:47.340 And even Daniel Dale came on and fact-checked her as lying about her fracking opinions.

00:30:54.000 Because she said, I clearly said in 2020 that I was, you know, okay with fracking.

00:31:00.840 And then Daniel Dale checked and said, nope, you never said that in 2020.

00:31:05.600 You did say that your boss, Joe Biden, was in favor of fracking.

00:31:10.460 That's different.

00:31:11.320 So the only record we have of her in the past is she's 100% against fracking.

00:31:17.400 Later she said, Biden's in favor of it, and he's not going to change.

00:31:21.700 And then she said, well, I told you that, you know, I changed a while ago.

00:31:26.280 Just not true.

00:31:27.940 Not true.

00:31:31.100 Anyway.

00:31:32.760 Oh, I would compliment Harris just to get back to that thing where she said next question about the black identity thing.

00:31:40.500 And I do think that that was a good way to handle it.

00:31:44.320 Because I don't think that issue worked in her favor.

00:31:48.880 If that issue worked in her favor, she would have certainly brought it up and wanted to talk about it.

00:31:54.560 But I think that the more she talks about the question of, is she black?

00:31:58.200 The more black citizens catch it and they go, wait a minute.

00:32:03.560 Wait, what?

00:32:05.260 You're not.

00:32:06.540 Oh, I thought you were 100% black.

00:32:10.300 Now, do black voters care about her identity being, you know, as black as the blackest you could be versus living the life as a black woman?

00:32:23.020 And my guess is probably some do.

00:32:27.160 You know, if the entire game is identity politics, and it has been for years, if that's their game, doesn't it matter if you got the identity right?

00:32:36.780 That feels important.

00:32:38.080 If you're going to play identity politics, you can't make up your identity.

00:32:44.280 So my take on this is that I'm not the person who gets to say whether somebody is black or not.

00:32:50.560 But what I observe is that there's nobody like her.

00:32:54.160 She's the only one.

00:32:55.960 I would love to see her say that.

00:32:58.720 That would be a strong message, by the way.

00:33:00.800 So, you know what?

00:33:01.280 Instead of saying whether I'm, you know, black or Indian or one quarter black or whatever anybody's saying, how about we agree on this?

00:33:08.500 There's only one of me.

00:33:10.720 Bam.

00:33:12.340 That would be a home run.

00:33:15.240 It's just that sometimes the identity politics works in her favor, so she doesn't want to run from it too hard.

00:33:22.400 It's better just to skip it and let people make up their own minds.

00:33:27.640 That probably works in her favor.

00:33:29.060 So I think her advice was good.

00:33:32.620 They probably advised her to stay away from that.

00:33:35.780 Also advised her on the picture of the little girl.

00:33:39.700 So those are two situations where she could have gone identity politics and she ran for both.

00:33:45.960 Probably, probably well advised.

00:33:48.940 I liked it.

00:33:50.540 You know, it felt more like a legitimate candidate for president by avoiding it.

00:33:56.180 To me, avoiding the identity stuff is, it's got to be number one.

00:34:02.020 You know, right up there as your most important personal quality is that you're not focused on identity.

00:34:07.160 And so basically, yet again, she's finding a Trump point of view where that shouldn't have been important.

00:34:15.300 The fact that Trump brought it up is because they think it's important.

00:34:18.440 That's what makes it funny.

00:34:19.460 So it could be that Trump just ruined identity politics as a good strategy for running for office.

00:34:29.480 He may have ruined it forever just by bringing up the question of, well, you know, maybe aren't you more of an individual?

00:34:36.880 Well, you know, I'm not sure that you fit into this category everybody else says you fit into.

00:34:42.740 Just adding some doubt into that, I think was brilliant.

00:34:47.980 As much as Trump will be forever criticized for bringing up identity and black identity and stuff, things he shouldn't be talking about, you would think.

00:34:56.260 I thought that worked because it entered, it created the conversation.

00:35:03.020 It wasn't what he said about it that mattered.

00:35:05.680 What mattered was you talked about it.

00:35:08.180 If he could get you to talk about, well, I think she is.

00:35:11.960 I think she's not.

00:35:12.820 I think she's partially.

00:35:14.300 He wins.

00:35:16.020 So avoiding it was her best strategy.

00:35:18.800 Yes.

00:35:19.540 I think.

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00:35:50.940 All right.

00:35:51.520 What else happened?

00:35:52.140 And there were no questions on her taxes, on her tax proposals.

00:35:57.260 Just imagine that.

00:35:59.340 The number one thing that everybody says is a horrible idea.

00:36:04.800 You know, her unrealized gains on taxes especially.

00:36:09.880 Didn't even come up.

00:36:11.920 It's the number one bad thing that she recommends.

00:36:16.420 Didn't come up.

00:36:17.520 Or, or, did it?

00:36:21.520 Because we don't know how much got edited out.

00:36:25.040 Is it possible that since she could have no good answer to that question, especially if there was any follow-up to it, that they just cut it out?

00:36:35.280 What do you think?

00:36:36.280 I'm going to double down on my assumption that when there's a lack of transparency, and it's not individuals, it's, you know, organizations involved, that I think it's appropriate to assume they edited it out.

00:36:51.160 Because what would make you think they didn't ask?

00:36:55.000 How in the world would that not be one of the top 20 questions?

00:36:59.380 And you'd probably get to 20 questions if you did talk to them for an hour.

00:37:03.920 So I don't know how much they talked beyond the 18 minutes.

00:37:07.740 I'd love to know that.

00:37:08.580 And then Harris apparently was coached that when she was asked about her flip-flopping, so to speak, on topics, her answer was, my values have not changed.

00:37:21.880 And I saw somebody smart say, okay, you just put a, you just gave Trump the kill shot.

00:37:30.360 Trump wants you to believe that her old socialist views are still in play.

00:37:36.380 She's just hiding them.

00:37:37.280 She just said he's right.

00:37:41.020 Now, she didn't mean to say that.

00:37:43.600 What she meant to say is, maybe my policies have changed, but they're all coming from the same place, which is absurd and stupid and obviously not true.

00:37:54.080 So it's a stupid thing to say, but it could convince stupid people.

00:37:59.460 And since most of her voters, you know, are stupid, it could work out fine.

00:38:05.780 But my values have not changed gives Trump the ultimate weapon, which is show what she said and then play, my values have not changed.

00:38:18.820 Then show what she said again on another topic and then go right back to my values haven't changed.

00:38:24.740 You do that on like five different super socialist stupid ideas she had in the past, and then you make sure that she said today, today, my values haven't changed.

00:38:37.160 Nobody in the world is going to think that means that she's got different policies than she used to have.

00:38:42.520 And by the way, as misleading as that might be, it's directionally true.

00:38:50.880 You know what I mean?

00:38:51.860 It is directionally true that if you're willing to say over and over again, my values haven't changed, we as voters get to say, well, those other policies were based on those values, were they not?

00:39:06.040 It seems like you're trying to not answer the question why you changed your mind, which makes it sound like you haven't, which makes it sound like you're some kind of Trojan horse.

00:39:16.900 It's, you know, once you get inside the gate, Lord knows what happens then.

00:39:22.820 So that could have, that could actually have taken her out of the race.

00:39:28.300 Just think about the impact that would have if you saw her dumbass, you know, no fracking, et cetera, followed immediately by my values have not changed.

00:39:40.020 There's no way you would think she would have a different policy, even if she does.

00:39:46.900 Well, here's some other things we learned.

00:39:50.860 I feel like we learned why she doesn't do debates or doesn't want to do many.

00:39:57.640 And I think we learned why she doesn't do interviews.

00:40:02.160 I would rank her performance as poor.

00:40:06.140 And I can't imagine that she would do better on a debate.

00:40:09.960 So I guess it's the reason we haven't seen much of her is exactly why you thought it was.

00:40:18.160 She's just really bad at this.

00:40:20.920 This being, you know, being a presidential person.

00:40:26.000 All right.

00:40:26.760 She, she was asked about Bidenomics and she said it was good work, which also sounded like a prepared answer.

00:40:35.980 So as if she knew what the question was going to be, uh, by that was, it was good work.

00:40:43.200 Anyway, so then, uh, Daniel Dale came on and did a fact check on her fracking claim.

00:40:49.840 And, you know, as I said, showed that she had, uh, she had, uh, lied about having said in 2020 that she was in favor of fracking because she didn't, she only said Biden was in favor.

00:41:01.300 But, um, is there anything missing?

00:41:06.940 Was there anything that you thought logically should have been part of that, uh, interview and yet it was completely missing?

00:41:15.860 What was it?

00:41:17.080 Huh?

00:41:17.800 Well, how many of you watched any of the DNC?

00:41:21.840 You didn't have to watch a lot.

00:41:23.740 The Democrat National Convention.

00:41:25.900 You didn't have to watch a lot.

00:41:27.440 All you had to do was turn it on for a minute and you would hear a hoax.

00:41:34.600 You'd hear the Project 2025 hoax.

00:41:37.920 You'd hear the Fine People hoax.

00:41:40.300 You'd hear the Drinking Bleach hoax.

00:41:42.620 You'd hear the, uh, Suckers and Losers hoax.

00:41:46.320 Now, that was so pervasive during the convention that it was practically the decorations.

00:41:52.920 It was pretty much every speaker, every time.

00:41:58.520 So, if any of those things were true, wouldn't that be a question the CNN would want to ask her?

00:42:07.820 Like, do you believe that these things are true?

00:42:11.040 Do you believe that Trump called neo-Nazis fine people?

00:42:14.920 Do you believe that he suggested drinking bleach?

00:42:17.580 Do you believe that he said in front of a general that soldiers are losers and suckers?

00:42:24.340 Which is absurd.

00:42:26.660 And just make her answer those questions.

00:42:29.360 But instead, not a single Trump hoax was ever mentioned.

00:42:35.040 So, how could it go from the primary message of the entire Democratic National Committee conference, whatever it is?

00:42:45.080 How could it go from the biggest, most important stuff to not worth asking?

00:42:50.260 Let me tell you how.

00:42:52.440 Because CNN knows none of it's true.

00:42:54.180 And they've got a guy who's a fact checker.

00:42:58.360 And they're going to, they're going to trot his ass out.

00:43:01.280 And he's going to have to deal with the fact that all she said was a bunch of hoaxes.

00:43:07.260 What's he going to do?

00:43:09.720 So, instead, he focuses on fracking because the questions were never asked.

00:43:14.800 So, was any of that ever real?

00:43:20.160 Because if any of the accusations made by the Democrats during the convention, if any of that were real, CNN would have asked about it.

00:43:30.720 Because if any of it was real, it really, really matters.

00:43:34.700 I mean, those are big deals, if they were real, which they weren't.

00:43:38.780 So, do you have proof that CNN knows these are hoaxes?

00:43:44.800 Yeah, you do.

00:43:46.360 Yeah, you do.

00:43:47.060 I would consider this proof that CNN knows those are hoaxes and doesn't want to say it out loud.

00:43:55.180 Especially since half of their pundits repeat those hoaxes on the air.

00:44:00.020 All right.

00:44:00.880 So, CNN making most of the news disappear as if by magic is kind of sweet.

00:44:07.200 Meanwhile, Harris is back on the campaign trail with a new hoax.

00:44:11.520 And she says, quote, she just posted this on the next.

00:44:15.660 If given the chance, Donald Trump has made it clear he intends to end the Affordable Care Act, taking our country backwards.

00:44:22.800 We're not going back.

00:44:24.120 We're going forward.

00:44:25.080 Well, the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare.

00:44:32.620 How many of you know what Trump says about it?

00:44:36.400 Do most of you know what Trump says about it?

00:44:39.700 Does Trump say he's going to get rid of it?

00:44:45.420 No.

00:44:45.900 No.

00:44:47.580 No.

00:44:48.200 He says it under one specific context.

00:44:51.740 He says, we won't change anything unless we can come up with something better.

00:44:58.360 Better.

00:44:59.500 What, do you think he's going to come up with something that covers fewer people?

00:45:03.200 Would that be better?

00:45:05.220 No.

00:45:06.160 Is he going to come up with something that costs less?

00:45:09.900 Well, if he does, who's going to bitch about it?

00:45:12.860 Are you going to bitch about it?

00:45:13.960 Oh, he got rid of the Affordable Care Act and replaced it with something that's exactly the same but costs less.

00:45:21.380 Nobody's going to bitch about that.

00:45:23.540 So there is no world in which you say, I'm not going to change anything unless we can find a clear way to make it better.

00:45:32.840 Why would you worry about that?

00:45:35.460 That's almost a generic statement about what every leader should do about every topic.

00:45:40.040 Don't change it unless you have something better.

00:45:44.960 The most basic common sense of all time.

00:45:48.180 Again, this is Trump running a common sense campaign that in so many ways I don't recognize it as either left or right.

00:45:58.480 How is that left or right?

00:46:01.140 Don't you think the people on the left would be equally willing to change or modify the Affordable Care Act if it were something better?

00:46:11.880 So it's just a lie.

00:46:16.660 But the news lets her do it.

00:46:20.440 Well, the blaze is reporting that Trump said at a Wisconsin town hall, he was with Tulsi Gabbard.

00:46:26.700 He said, I had the safest border in the history of the country.

00:46:30.480 They have the most unsafe border in the history of the world.

00:46:33.000 And then here's my favorite part.

00:46:35.120 He says, they had a group of Venezuelan people with lots of machine guns taking over a building.

00:46:41.040 This is just the beginning.

00:46:43.060 Now, remember I tell you that Trump is the master of visual persuasion?

00:46:48.480 Now, visual persuasion is not just showing you a picture.

00:46:51.980 It's describing a visual image with words as well.

00:46:56.160 So if Trump had just said something generic like, there's too much crime coming across the border, you would say, oh, that's a statistic.

00:47:07.080 Okay.

00:47:07.840 But if he tells you that Venezuelan people with machine guns are taking over a building, which is a real thing, by the way.

00:47:13.960 I don't think they're machine guns.

00:47:15.880 I think they just have weapons.

00:47:17.700 But you can see that.

00:47:21.200 Like in your mind, the picture forms perfectly.

00:47:24.220 And it's scary.

00:47:26.160 Because you see people with machine guns, even though I don't think they have any, but guns, knocking on your door and saying, this is our apartment now or else you're paying us rent.

00:47:38.140 That is some scary, scary stuff.

00:47:41.800 So Trump, again, perfectly visual, perfect description, perfect summary on that topic.

00:47:48.320 So good.

00:47:50.860 Did MSNBC like Kamala Harris's performance?

00:47:54.260 Do I even need to tell you?

00:47:57.860 Yes.

00:47:58.400 Here are the things they said were just masterful.

00:48:02.200 That she decided to make it about the country, not herself.

00:48:07.100 Did she?

00:48:09.160 I don't know.

00:48:09.900 Just sounded like her stump speech to me.

00:48:11.740 Somebody named Jeremy Peters on MSNBC said, she's very wisely making this about the country and bringing the country back together.

00:48:23.880 Really?

00:48:24.400 What was the bringing the country back together part?

00:48:29.200 I don't recall that at all.

00:48:31.900 Rather than saying, this is about me, this is who I am.

00:48:35.180 You already have one candidate who's doing that quite well.

00:48:38.220 That's so just trying hard to write a college essay on an assigned topic.

00:48:49.040 It really is trying as hard as you can to just use words.

00:48:52.960 If I combine words in just the right way, this is going to look like a good thing.

00:48:59.200 It's crazy.

00:49:00.160 Anyway, so somebody also on MSNBC, Ellie Vitelli, talked about Kamala Harris defending her switches and policy preferences.

00:49:22.020 He said, quote, I thought she was smart to explain her policy positions as not a change in values, not a change in her deep inner mooring, but instead something almost situational in terms of taking in more information.

00:49:38.040 In other words, MSNBC is adding word salad to her word salad.

00:49:44.060 I feel like I'm at, what's that restaurant that has infinite salad?

00:49:49.720 You want a salad?

00:49:50.860 Salad, we'll talk about salad with some more salad.

00:49:54.700 What does it mean that she's going to keep her values, but instead it's something about situational in terms of taking in more information?

00:50:03.880 That would be everything.

00:50:06.380 Everything is situational and we're always taking in more information.

00:50:10.640 That really doesn't explain anything.

00:50:14.260 Anyway, but they tried hard.

00:50:17.660 Polling, as you know, is ridiculous at this point.

00:50:20.860 Point.

00:50:22.660 But Wall Street Journal says they've got a poll that Harris is up 48 to 47.

00:50:28.900 But if you throw in the third party candidates, then why wouldn't you?

00:50:32.900 She's up two points.

00:50:34.420 But that's within the margin of error.

00:50:36.340 Nate Silver still says Trump has a 52% chance of winning the Electoral College versus Harris at 47.

00:50:43.960 But that will get updated soon.

00:50:47.960 So basically, we don't know anything about anything.

00:50:50.920 We just know it's close.

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00:51:14.600 All right.

00:51:20.000 Apparently, CEO Mark Zuckerberg claimed somewhere this week that he didn't realize that the $400 million he spent on that whole getting out the vote thing in 2020 primarily benefited one party.

00:51:33.160 So he's acting surprised that his $400 million was spent to make things more biased instead of a more fair election.

00:51:45.200 $400 million he wasted.

00:51:52.100 Because what he wanted, he says, is a system that was just a better system for all people.

00:51:58.280 What he got was he changed the direction of the election toward Biden.

00:52:05.280 Maybe he wanted that too, but he wasn't planning to do it.

00:52:09.640 So here's the thing you didn't know, that the Chan Zuckerberg initiative, so that's where the $400 million was that got spent.

00:52:16.680 It was led by his wife, who gave most of that money to some groups that are so obviously left leaning

00:52:26.700 that you should have been able to know very easily, that you were going to bias the election outcome.

00:52:34.800 So let's put this in a little larger context.

00:52:41.300 Imagine what would have happened if Steve Jobs, Jeff Bezos, and Mark Zuckerberg had never gotten married.

00:52:47.560 Just those three billionaires.

00:52:50.880 Imagine they'd never gotten married.

00:52:53.000 Well, if Steve Jobs had never gotten married, then he would not have left his fortune to Lorena,

00:52:59.480 who bought the Atlantic and turned into a Democrat activist propagandist,

00:53:05.320 who is doing a good job at it.

00:53:08.700 So Steve Jobs getting married fought this pretty hard.

00:53:12.360 How about Jeff Bezos?

00:53:13.320 Well, his wife got many millions and billions, many billions,

00:53:19.960 and she's spending it to make sure Democrats win.

00:53:24.500 So if Jeff Bezos had never been married, you wouldn't have that problem.

00:53:29.820 How about Mark Zuckerberg?

00:53:32.260 If Mark Zuckerberg had never gotten married,

00:53:35.440 do you think he would have allocated that $400 million the same way his wife did?

00:53:39.960 I doubt it.

00:53:40.980 I think no.

00:53:44.400 You know, there's no way to know.

00:53:46.440 But my instinct is that they're not exactly on the same page.

00:53:51.480 You know, we've heard Zuckerberg favor free speech.

00:53:56.080 We've heard him say he regretted the censorship that was pushed on him by the Biden administration, primarily.

00:54:03.860 And we've heard him say that Trump was the most badass thing when he said, fight, fight, fight.

00:54:10.100 Now, that doesn't make him a Republican.

00:54:12.880 But I'll tell you what Zuckerberg does understand.

00:54:17.380 Business.

00:54:18.780 He understands business.

00:54:21.160 Do you think that he thinks that Harris is better for business?

00:54:23.620 I doubt it.

00:54:26.080 I doubt it.

00:54:27.860 In a private moment, I would be amazed if Zuckerberg is really super anti-Trump.

00:54:37.500 I'd be amazed.

00:54:38.640 I mean, he might be neutral.

00:54:39.660 But I'd be amazed if he thinks Trump's going to be a big old problem.

00:54:45.100 So if those three billionaires had never gotten married, we wouldn't be in so much trouble.

00:54:50.460 Do you think there are any other wives that are doing similar things?

00:54:54.500 Well, interestingly, Trump is benefiting also by the widow of Sheldon Adelson.

00:55:03.860 Adelson, right?

00:55:05.960 So there's another case of someone who she's not the one who made the money.

00:55:10.520 But if Adelson had never been married, there probably wouldn't be somebody there who's funding the Trump campaign.

00:55:17.540 So why is it that we designed this system a few hundred years ago and we thought it was all about, you know, representative government and turned out to be basically billionaire cocks?

00:55:32.800 So billionaire cocks and what they wanted to do with it is determining our system.

00:55:42.120 You know, describe the system to your grade school child.

00:55:46.600 Well, so you got these people who got billionaires.

00:55:50.100 Got it.

00:55:51.440 They've got cocks.

00:55:53.780 Okay.

00:55:54.900 Most of them.

00:55:55.640 Most of them do.

00:55:56.640 And when they want to put them in something, they have to get married because, I don't know, the system kind of requires that.

00:56:03.580 So they got these cock holsters.

00:56:07.960 And then the cock holsters take half the money and leave or sometimes all the money if somebody dies.

00:56:14.500 And then the cock holsters become the ones who decide who the next president is.

00:56:20.540 And then your sixth grader says, what's a cock holster?

00:56:25.020 And you say, well, maybe you're not ready for this.

00:56:27.580 We'll get back to you in a few years.

00:56:29.860 So, no, don't talk like that to a sixth grader.

00:56:32.560 That would be terrible.

00:56:34.060 I can't even believe you were thinking about it.

00:56:36.020 That's terrible.

00:56:37.680 You should be ashamed of yourselves.

00:56:38.860 So, that's the real world.

00:56:43.340 Billionaire or cocks.

00:56:45.080 Decide who's president.

00:56:46.900 Indirectly.

00:56:49.560 Elon Musk warns us that at the current rate of government spending, he says on X, America is in the fast lane to bankruptcy.

00:56:57.080 And he says government overspending is what causes inflation.

00:57:02.260 Wow, do we want him to be in charge of trimming the government?

00:57:06.260 Imagine what you could do if you took a Elon Musk engineering approach to how much government do we really need and how should it be organized for the most efficiency.

00:57:16.920 It would look completely different than what we have.

00:57:21.460 So, I don't know how much he could get away with or whether he really will be, you know, Trump's helper to figure out how to streamline things.

00:57:30.440 But you'd have to take off a massive, a massive part of the government spending.

00:57:36.100 Not just the employees.

00:57:38.380 You know, it's not really about the employees we're paying.

00:57:41.500 It's about what the employees want us to pay for other stuff.

00:57:44.720 So, here's my take.

00:57:49.180 I think that all government borrowing is theft.

00:57:54.640 Once you know you can't pay it back.

00:57:57.220 If you know that you're borrowing an amount that you can easily pay back, no problem at all.

00:58:03.640 That would just be people entering into a transaction they all understood and had mutual benefit.

00:58:09.200 Yay.

00:58:10.260 Yay, mutual benefit.

00:58:11.420 But today, every dollar that the government spends comes out of your pocket with inflation.

00:58:19.640 So, they just write checks and you pay them and you didn't vote for any of it.

00:58:24.300 All they have to do is not do their job of balancing the budget.

00:58:28.640 Just not do their job.

00:58:29.640 And then you get robbed.

00:58:34.240 So, basically, inflation is a tax.

00:58:37.140 You know, they're just doing it by printing money instead of passing a law.

00:58:41.220 Why can my government take my money without a conversation?

00:58:48.340 How's that?

00:58:49.020 How's that coming up?

00:58:49.860 I mean, I get that the Congress passes the budget.

00:58:54.160 So, I guess there is a conversation in that way.

00:58:56.020 But they need to tell us what that is.

00:58:58.740 Every time they pass a budget that is, you know, going to add to the debt, what they should say is this budget will cost each of you $10,000 in lost buying power because your dollars will be worth less.

00:59:15.440 That's what they should say, but they don't.

00:59:20.900 They act like it's free.

00:59:23.520 Like it's free.

00:59:25.020 Oh, yeah, because we'll pay it back.

00:59:26.620 We're not going to pay it back.

00:59:28.420 Let me say this as clearly as possible.

00:59:30.800 You know that $36 trillion we owe?

00:59:33.540 We're not paying that back.

00:59:35.360 I don't know what will happen.

00:59:37.860 I mean, maybe we'll go full Hitler.

00:59:39.480 Didn't Hitler just renounce all the debt Germany had at one point?

00:59:46.160 He just said, no, we're not paying it back.

00:59:48.820 And that was actually the key that put Germany on like a very rapid economic improvement.

00:59:56.860 It was one of the big keys.

00:59:58.960 Now, unfortunately, they used their economic improvement to fund their military and didn't work out.

01:00:04.060 But I would love to know a little bit more about what happened when Hitler just said, well, how about we're not paying back the rest of the world ever?

01:00:14.560 So we're just defaulting.

01:00:16.040 We're going to create our own money.

01:00:18.080 We'll just act like that debt never happened.

01:00:21.780 Somehow that worked, didn't it?

01:00:23.400 I don't know my history well enough to know if I'm talking crazy.

01:00:26.880 Am I talking crazy?

01:00:27.960 How many of you are aware, again, if somebody sees the Senate context, they're going to say, I'm praising Hitler.

01:00:35.120 No, I'm not praising Hitler.

01:00:37.400 I'm simply looking at one historical precedent of debt ignoring and asking you, didn't that work out really well for Germany?

01:00:47.980 Or is it because they invented their own currency, but we wouldn't really be able to do that?

01:00:54.360 Is there something that would prevent us from doing the same thing?

01:00:57.100 Now, keep in mind, defaulting on your debt to every reasonable person sounds like the worst case scenario.

01:01:06.480 But it's not, because it's not worse than having a debt you can't pay back.

01:01:12.360 At least Germany gave itself a chance.

01:01:15.220 I mean, it squandered its chance by starting a war and the Holocaust.

01:01:18.660 But I think we're rapidly going to be in a situation where some politician is going to say out loud, we're never paying this back.

01:01:33.300 And then what happens?

01:01:35.280 I don't know.

01:01:36.540 There's some possibility that all we have to do is not pay it back.

01:01:39.840 Let me say this again.

01:01:46.380 If you have your money, if you have any of your money in government debt, that was extra money.

01:01:56.700 Do you know what I'm saying?

01:01:57.740 Again, I have a lot of investments.

01:02:02.720 I have a little bit in the state of California of bonds.

01:02:07.920 Just a little bit.

01:02:09.220 Like maybe 2%.

01:02:11.400 Now, the 2%, suppose California just said, you know what?

01:02:16.900 We're not going to pay back any of our bonds.

01:02:18.600 I'd be like, what?

01:02:21.560 Are you kidding me?

01:02:23.280 I put some serious money into those bonds.

01:02:26.560 But then I would look at my total portfolio and go, oh, well, it is serious money.

01:02:32.420 But it wouldn't change my life if they'd never paid it back.

01:02:36.000 I would just go on.

01:02:37.780 I wouldn't even notice, really.

01:02:39.100 Now, who makes these, who exactly are the people who have invested all that money in government instruments?

01:02:50.320 Who does that?

01:02:52.180 Well, you don't do that with your important money, do you?

01:02:54.760 Except very short term to make sure it doesn't disappear.

01:03:00.180 It's not any kind of a long-term investment that makes sense.

01:03:04.120 Except as a small part of your portfolio.

01:03:06.120 So, I just have a sort of a curiosity.

01:03:10.760 Don't put this, don't assume this is a recommendation.

01:03:14.220 So, let me soften it a little bit.

01:03:16.240 I'm not saying we should do it.

01:03:18.480 I just have what I think are reasonable questions about what happens if we get to the point where it's just obvious it can't be paid back.

01:03:26.880 And we can't even afford, and we can't afford the interest on it.

01:03:30.820 If we can afford the interest, we'd probably just keep going.

01:03:35.020 But we're close to not being able to afford the interest.

01:03:38.700 At some point, we're going to have a choice between two awful choices.

01:03:43.680 Not paying back the debt.

01:03:46.120 Or what?

01:03:47.700 Just becoming a third world country with no money?

01:03:51.380 So, here's what I'm introducing into the system.

01:03:55.200 You better start thinking about what's going to happen.

01:04:00.760 Because something's going to happen, and it'll be the biggest thing that's ever happened, not counting wars, I guess.

01:04:07.180 Yeah.

01:04:07.520 There won't be much bigger that will ever happen than whatever the heck we do with this debt.

01:04:12.840 It will be really, really big.

01:04:16.180 Probably will be fine.

01:04:17.600 But whatever it is, it's going to be big.

01:04:20.680 So, get ready for it.

01:04:24.220 All right.

01:04:25.480 Still waiting for the first economist to endorse the Harris tax plan.

01:04:30.800 Has anybody seen it yet?

01:04:32.640 Has anybody seen MSNBC with an economist, just happened to be a Democrat, saying,

01:04:38.340 oh, this is a good plan.

01:04:39.380 This tax stuff will work out?

01:04:41.800 I haven't.

01:04:43.380 Have any of you?

01:04:44.200 Even one?

01:04:46.460 Can't find one economist to agree with Harris?

01:04:49.820 Not one?

01:04:50.780 How many economists are there in the country, do you think?

01:04:54.260 20,000.

01:04:56.540 Depending on how you count them as professional economists.

01:04:59.700 Now, I'm not talking about people who just have a degree in economics like me.

01:05:03.440 I'm talking about somebody who's a working economist.

01:05:06.220 They're getting paid to be an economist.

01:05:08.280 20,000 of them.

01:05:11.040 And MSNBC can't find one?

01:05:13.000 One?

01:05:14.200 That can go on the air and say, you know what?

01:05:16.140 You've been looking at this wrong.

01:05:17.860 If you look at it in a smarter way, this tax plan is great.

01:05:23.040 Not one?

01:05:24.180 Not one out of 20,000.

01:05:25.980 And why is that not a story in its own?

01:05:29.300 Why isn't the story?

01:05:31.140 Well, we've got 20,000 professional economists, and we don't have one that's willing to come

01:05:36.240 on and say, this is a good idea.

01:05:37.520 That is a story that you can't get one.

01:05:43.020 How is that not a story?

01:05:45.920 We shouldn't even be talking about the tax plan.

01:05:48.280 We should talk about the fact that there's not one economist out of 20,000 who can come

01:05:54.900 on the air and give you a positive idea about it.

01:05:58.820 All right.

01:06:08.160 You're following the story of that Brazil judge who keeps going after Musk to try to get,

01:06:14.820 he wants to get control of X, basically, to make sure that X can be censored the way Brazil's

01:06:22.540 corrupt government would like to censor it.

01:06:26.020 And Musk, unlike the other platforms, is resisting.

01:06:29.060 And so the pressure is on him.

01:06:31.800 And they're going after SpaceX's financial accounts in Brazil.

01:06:38.180 So basically, SpaceX won't get any more money from Brazil, even though they have all these

01:06:44.040 customers using the, I'm sorry, using the satellite Starlink.

01:06:50.880 So SpaceX owns Starlink.

01:06:53.080 So, and so Musk says that he's going to keep the service up and just make it free.

01:07:03.060 So he doesn't have a mechanism to collect money from the people buying Starlink, but he's not

01:07:08.500 going to turn it off.

01:07:10.120 And the government can't turn it off because it's just plug in, plug in and go, right?

01:07:16.480 So that's a pretty baller decision by Musk that he'll just keep it on because he probably

01:07:22.440 assumes that better communication is bad for the government of Brazil and good for him.

01:07:27.660 And he's right.

01:07:29.220 So they can harm him financially.

01:07:32.380 And as he said, often, so you're going to threaten me financially?

01:07:39.940 Fuck you.

01:07:43.260 Did he not say that directly on a different topic?

01:07:46.460 Fuck you.

01:07:47.460 So, yeah, and it's smart.

01:07:49.420 It's smart of him to make sure that's his brand.

01:07:53.960 He's got to be the fuck you brand.

01:07:56.180 Because otherwise, everybody will try to pressure him in every way they can.

01:07:59.500 And he's got enough businesses that there's always some lever they can put on it.

01:08:04.160 But it gets better.

01:08:05.480 You ready for the good part?

01:08:06.420 Two good parts.

01:08:24.300 Number one, how does the United States government let this pissant judge in Brazil

01:08:30.280 fuck the United States and citizens within it and their companies?

01:08:34.980 Biden administration, this is one of those situations where you need to be a fucking president

01:08:41.660 of the United States.

01:08:43.340 This is not about left versus right.

01:08:46.100 This is Brazil.

01:08:48.100 The Brazilian government is attacking a U.S. citizen very publicly and some U.S. companies

01:08:54.720 that I consider quite important.

01:08:56.940 If the United States can't protect us against this by threatening the fuck out of Brazil,

01:09:03.240 like we'll surround you with warships and take away your economy,

01:09:07.720 you can't take our freedom of speech indirectly or even in your own country

01:09:12.440 if you want to deal with the United States.

01:09:17.180 What is going on here?

01:09:19.740 Am I wrong that the role of the United States government largely

01:09:23.400 is to protect U.S. citizens from outside assault?

01:09:28.840 This is a completely inappropriate assault by a country that should be one of our favorite countries.

01:09:38.460 Totally unacceptable.

01:09:40.160 This is a complete failure of the U.S. government.

01:09:44.040 And this has nothing to do with Democrat or Republican.

01:09:46.020 This is just an attack.

01:09:48.520 This is an attack on American business and American citizens.

01:09:53.120 It's an attack.

01:09:54.900 And no response.

01:09:56.600 Not a legal response.

01:09:58.180 Not a threat.

01:09:59.020 Not a fucking statement.

01:10:02.640 We should have a real president who stands in front of the country and says,

01:10:06.800 look, here's the deal.

01:10:08.380 Brazil, we have a lot of levers.

01:10:11.440 We're going to press them all.

01:10:14.340 Back off.

01:10:15.200 And that's not happening.

01:10:18.640 Not only is it not happening, again, why is that not the story?

01:10:22.980 The story is not just Musk against a judge in Brazil.

01:10:26.840 The story is that the government of the United States took a fucking pass.

01:10:32.240 They're taking a pass.

01:10:34.560 While an American citizen is being attacked by a foreign entity.

01:10:39.620 Threatened with jail.

01:10:42.160 And our government's taking a pass?

01:10:43.940 Too busy with Ukraine?

01:10:47.680 Too busy at the beach?

01:10:53.360 Outrageous.

01:10:54.500 Gets better.

01:10:56.100 Mike Benz is reminding us.

01:10:59.760 Well, I didn't know it, so I'm not being reminded.

01:11:01.900 But so I'm hearing it for the first time.

01:11:04.860 That the U.S.

01:11:06.500 That the U.S. State Department was very involved in making sure that Brazil had access to voting machines.

01:11:13.540 Hmm.

01:11:14.140 Why would the U.S.

01:11:15.900 Why would the U.S. be so concerned that Brazil had access to the voting machines?

01:11:22.020 And apparently the U.S. intervened with at least two different manufacturers of microchips to make sure that the voting machines for Brazil went higher on the priority so they could get chips for their voting machines.

01:11:37.460 Hmm.

01:11:37.580 And then the CIA, according to Mike Benz, and he shows the documents, by the way, this is not Mike Benz making stuff up.

01:11:47.660 But in his post, he's showing you the actual documents and the current reporting at the time.

01:11:55.360 So this is just documented.

01:11:56.740 That the CIA warned Bolsonaro, the last leader of Brazil, not to mess with the or cast doubt on the new U.S. State Department secured voting machines.

01:12:10.720 So they threatened him not to cast doubt on the voting machines while making sure that they're they definitely had some voting machines.

01:12:19.480 Now, let me ask the question I've asked many times.

01:12:22.060 By now, you have a good answer for me because I've been asking you for so long and you thought about it and then you researched it and now you have a good answer.

01:12:30.680 What's the advantage of the voting machines?

01:12:34.320 Is it because they're more credible that the public will trust them?

01:12:39.860 No, no evidence of that.

01:12:41.780 It's the opposite.

01:12:43.080 Are they to save money?

01:12:45.840 No, no evidence that it saves money.

01:12:48.300 Are they to make things easier?

01:12:50.000 No, they obviously make it harder.

01:12:53.540 Is it to get a faster result so you don't have to wait?

01:12:59.240 No, probably is the other way around or at least as fast.

01:13:04.140 So why was the United States trying so hard to make sure Brazil had voting machines?

01:13:13.200 Can you think of a second reason?

01:13:15.200 Because we can speculate about one potential reason, you know, without evidence.

01:13:21.820 I don't have any evidence of this, but it looks exactly like the United States tried to install their own leader, a preferred leader, via the mechanism of having voting machines that maybe they had some backdoor to.

01:13:39.400 I don't know that that's true.

01:13:41.140 In other words, there's no hard evidence of anything.

01:13:45.660 So I can't point to any evidence for it.

01:13:48.940 But why would the United States care so much about another country's voting machines?

01:13:53.900 So much so that they would get involved.

01:13:55.640 Can you think of a second reason for that?

01:14:01.300 I can't.

01:14:05.260 What would it be?

01:14:07.140 Is it because we're so kind to other countries that we get really deeply involved in all of their affairs, whether it had a political angle or not?

01:14:17.020 No, we don't do anything like that.

01:14:19.460 In the comments, Lemon Minty, you say, voting machines are to make you think voting is real.

01:14:29.020 Well, I don't know.

01:14:30.860 I mean, I think a paper ballot with lots of observers would make me think voting was real.

01:14:35.400 Well, I don't think there's any other reason than the one that you suspect.

01:14:42.740 Now, but I'll soften that again, because I don't want to get sued.

01:14:48.160 I'll soften it to say, does anybody have a speculation of what a second reason could be?

01:14:53.440 I can't think of any.

01:14:56.840 I have a pretty good imagination.

01:14:59.320 I can't even imagine a second reason.

01:15:01.920 Can you?

01:15:03.300 I mean, honestly, can you think of any reason that the U.S. would be so incentivized, especially the CIA, to make sure we got those American-driven machines in there?

01:15:19.460 But I remind you, our elections are pristine.

01:15:23.440 Nothing to worry about in our elections, because it's not like we've seen any bad behavior anywhere.

01:15:31.520 So, all right, our elections are fine.

01:15:33.260 They're fine, everybody.

01:15:34.280 They're fine.

01:15:36.240 All right.

01:15:39.120 Two AI companies, OpenAI and Anthropic, they've reached some kind of an AI safety agreement with the U.S. government.

01:15:46.580 And what it involves, I don't know what else it involves, but key to this is that the government would have access to the models, presumably before the public did, so that they could test them and look for AI problems.

01:16:01.980 So, do you feel better that there's an effort to have a regulatory body that will be overseeing AI?

01:16:10.820 So, phew.

01:16:14.080 Oh, phew.

01:16:15.280 So glad.

01:16:16.340 I was worried for a moment that there wouldn't be a regulatory body regulating AI.

01:16:21.980 Now, let's leave that world of imagination and go to the real one, shall we?

01:16:30.400 In the real world, we know that the time it will take for the AI industry to totally own the regulators would be now.

01:16:40.520 Yeah, I think we're probably already there.

01:16:42.160 How hard would it be for the AI industries to totally own the regulators?

01:16:49.720 Well, let's think it through.

01:16:51.700 If somebody's job for the government is to check on the AI and tell you if it's safe, they know what the company wants and they know maybe what the government would want.

01:17:05.880 So, suppose they know that the company would want them to not clamp down on that thing.

01:17:12.160 And then suppose they get their paycheck from the government and they open it up and they go, huh, well, it's not bad, but I'll bet you open AI would pay about three times this.

01:17:26.380 Should I be ever interested in increasing my exposure to the AI field of which I'm already in, but I'm working for the government, which would be the very cheapest, worst place you could ever work on AI?

01:17:39.580 Now, suppose you have lunch with one of these regulators and you're from one of the AI companies.

01:17:46.680 What do you have to say to them to get them to do what you want instead of actually regulating you?

01:17:52.560 Well, you don't say, if you regulate me right, I'll give you a job later and you'll make a lot of money.

01:17:58.700 No, don't need to.

01:17:59.780 You just say, so, halfway through lunch, you say, so, what's your plans?

01:18:07.020 You plan to stay with the government and just work on this AI regulation?

01:18:12.120 Uh-huh.

01:18:13.020 You know, we're always looking for people.

01:18:15.940 So, if at some point you get tired of the regulatory thing, here's my card.

01:18:24.580 You don't have to actually offer them a job.

01:18:27.460 You just have to remind them that if they ever wanted to make twice as much money, it would be real easy.

01:18:33.180 They just got to go light on the regulations.

01:18:36.640 Now, in the real world, does stuff like that happen?

01:18:40.100 Yes.

01:18:41.220 Yes.

01:18:41.800 Yes, that's the real world.

01:18:43.040 So, in the beginning, you might get some regulators who are kind of tough on the companies, but I wouldn't even trust them because they would be government regulators, so I'm not even sure that's a good thing.

01:18:54.200 They wouldn't know what danger would look like.

01:18:56.560 And I don't think AI regulating will be any better than any other regulating.

01:19:03.880 So, it's not going to save the world, but it might be a way for some people to make some money.

01:19:11.020 All right, here's some science you might like, just because it's good news.

01:19:16.020 There's an ultrasound device.

01:19:18.860 University of Utah was testing it.

01:19:21.560 Apparently, it makes your pain go away almost instantly.

01:19:26.000 So, it's just like miraculous.

01:19:30.260 So, they just use ultrasound at the right frequencies, and your pain just goes boop, turns off.

01:19:37.180 I saw Brian Ramelli in a post just yesterday, and it wasn't about this, but just separately, he was saying the science already knows for sure that certain sound frequencies will cancel pain.

01:19:51.540 And I read the post, and, you know, I like to repost a lot of Brian Ramelli's content because he's great, especially with the AI stuff.

01:20:01.460 And I thought to myself, ah, hmm, I'm not sure I believe that.

01:20:08.100 Like, I was a little skeptical that science knows how to turn off pain with, you know, just three frequencies or something.

01:20:16.500 But here it is.

01:20:19.040 There's an actual study in which they're using frequencies to turn off pain.

01:20:22.520 I don't know if it's the same thing that Brian was talking about, but now I have two sources that are strongly indicative that it's worth doing some research on.

01:20:34.120 Here's another thing.

01:20:35.580 How many of you suffer from regret?

01:20:38.560 How many of you have the feeling, oh, I regret that thing I did?

01:20:42.320 Do you ever feel that?

01:20:45.240 Because I don't feel it.

01:20:48.100 Clearly, I've done things that didn't work out.

01:20:51.100 But I've never had any sensation that I could identify as a feeling of regret as an adult.

01:20:58.800 As a young person, I think I did.

01:21:01.820 You know, I'd be like, oh, why did I do that?

01:21:04.080 Why did I ask Gina maybe if she wanted to dance?

01:21:06.920 And she told me she didn't want to, and it ruined my night, and I felt bad for two years.

01:21:10.780 And I regret asking her to dance.

01:21:14.980 But as an adult, nope.

01:21:19.900 And I got canceled, you know, about as hard as you can get canceled a year and a half ago.

01:21:25.600 And people ask me if I regret it, and I'm actually confused by the question.

01:21:31.020 Regret?

01:21:32.560 What is that?

01:21:34.600 Why would I even have that?

01:21:37.720 What's the function of it?

01:21:39.100 It's like I don't understand it.

01:21:42.080 But there's a study that explains why I have that feeling, that it doesn't bother me at all as an adult, and also why it did when I was younger.

01:21:52.220 And it's called the gambling framework.

01:21:55.920 So, phys.org talks about this, I guess there's some science.

01:22:03.180 They had some participants.

01:22:05.860 And if people thought about a specific decision out of context, they might have regret.

01:22:11.900 But if people thought in a portfolio manner that there are lots of things they did in the past, some work and some don't, and that's the way the world is supposed to work.

01:22:23.740 Because we all know that you don't sign up to do everything right.

01:22:27.880 Nobody thinks that.

01:22:28.860 Everybody knows your life is a series of wins and losses.

01:22:34.340 And so, if you see it as a portfolio, just like the way I would invest, you know, I'll buy an index fund, so I'm diversified.

01:22:41.780 So, if your life is likewise diversified, you did a bunch of things, some worked, some didn't, then you don't see it as regret.

01:22:51.000 The same reason when I look at my index fund, I don't feel any regret if some members of the index fund went down, as long as the average went up over time.

01:23:02.520 It doesn't even occur to me that I should have a feeling about regret if one of the stocks of my 500 stocks in the index went down.

01:23:13.080 So, that's how I see my life.

01:23:15.620 I could certainly say, you know, doing this thing led to a bad result.

01:23:19.680 But I never regret it.

01:23:21.480 It just doesn't come up.

01:23:23.160 It's never part of my thinking whatsoever.

01:23:25.120 So, if you have anything that you recognize as regret, the reframe is, look at your life as a portfolio of decisions, some good, some bad.

01:23:38.280 But if your average worked out, you nailed it.

01:23:42.160 If your average of decisions worked out, you're doing better than you used to be.

01:23:46.560 Let's say you're taking care of yourself and maybe some other people, you nailed it.

01:23:51.080 Regret, forget it.

01:23:52.700 Well, there's also, the Guardian reports, a mask that can detect all kinds of diseases from your breath.

01:24:02.920 And it's a pretty big range of diseases.

01:24:05.640 So, that's some research from the California Institute of Technology, Professor Wai-Go Gao.

01:24:13.980 And you'd have to use a different mask so far for different things you're testing.

01:24:19.680 But here's the question I have.

01:24:21.140 Do you have to wear a mask all day?

01:24:24.640 Are you telling me that there's not like a breathalyzer that's a better model?

01:24:29.680 Can't I just have a breathalyzer and blow into it?

01:24:32.400 And that tells me if I have a disease?

01:24:35.120 I don't need to wear the mask all day, do I?

01:24:37.800 So, I don't really understand the mask part.

01:24:40.140 But they'll be able to diagnose diseases from your breath, which is kind of cool.

01:24:45.840 All right.

01:24:46.120 Those are the stories I had for you today.

01:24:48.000 I've talked way too long.

01:24:50.880 It's time for you to get to your Friday.

01:24:52.800 So, I'm going to talk a little bit to the subscribers on Locals.

01:24:56.180 But the rest of you, thank you for joining.

01:24:59.500 And I will see you again tomorrow, same time, same place.

01:25:02.280 And thanks, X and Rumble and YouTube.

01:25:05.800 We'll see you all later.

01:25:08.840 In about 30 seconds, I will...

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 30, 2024

Episode 2582 CWSA 08⧸30⧸24

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