Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2587 CWSA 09⧸04⧸24

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do, do-do-do-do-do, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:00:09.920 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:15.520 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:17.340 If you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody could even understand

00:00:22.020 with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need is a cuppa mug or a glass,

00:00:26.860 a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:32.400 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:34.760 I like coffee.

00:00:36.380 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.

00:00:39.820 It is the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called.

00:00:43.620 That's right, the simultaneous sip.

00:00:45.680 Go.

00:00:53.780 Whatever, okay.

00:00:56.860 I'm reading your comments as I'm sipping.

00:01:01.560 Well, let's hit the science news before we hit the political news.

00:01:07.960 Not much happening politically.

00:01:10.540 But in science, oh, my goodness.

00:01:13.540 There's a new study that found that exercising for only 10 minutes a day

00:01:18.320 dropped your risk of cancer by 30%.

00:01:21.500 And also that if you just did three short bursts of exercise per day,

00:01:28.500 you can reduce your risk of cancer by 40% and 50% reduction in heart disease.

00:01:35.860 So if you just take a 30-minute walk per day, you're killing it, say,

00:01:39.420 a nutritionist scientist.

00:01:40.520 Now, is it my imagination or have I spent every year for so far as 67 years

00:01:52.620 and consecutively hearing that experts have finally decided how much exercise you need

00:01:59.480 and what is the right kind?

00:02:02.200 Does it seem that after 67 years in a row of updating the right kind of exercise,

00:02:09.720 that now they're done?

00:02:11.980 Oh, well, it looks like they're done.

00:02:14.400 67 years in a row, but no, now they know.

00:02:18.180 Now we've got a real good idea.

00:02:19.700 So no more information needed on exercise.

00:02:23.020 We're all done.

00:02:25.480 Or could it be backwards science?

00:02:32.360 Could it be backwards science?

00:02:34.180 Let me see.

00:02:35.940 If you could exercise for 10 minutes a day, you have lower risk of cancer.

00:02:42.840 Does that mean that they did a test where they made some people exercise and some not?

00:02:47.580 Or did they simply measure the people who exercised and compared it to people who do not exercise?

00:02:55.640 Hmm.

00:02:57.120 I wonder if the group of people who do not exercise have something in common

00:03:02.580 and the people who do exercise have something in common.

00:03:06.520 Probably a whole bunch of things.

00:03:08.520 So I'm not even sure this is real science.

00:03:11.740 But that said, I am pretty sure that exercising is better than not exercising.

00:03:18.200 I feel confident about that.

00:03:21.580 Meanwhile, there's another story.

00:03:24.540 I can't believe this made it into the news.

00:03:30.220 This is a legitimate news story.

00:03:33.460 Now, when I say legitimate, I mean it's completely fake.

00:03:37.540 But it actually made it into the news.

00:03:39.640 Was it?

00:03:40.760 I'm glad I didn't write down the publication.

00:03:43.720 So there's a Japanese father and bodybuilder that claims he's a true master

00:03:50.300 and has doubled his life by only sleeping half an hour per night for a dozen years.

00:03:55.200 So there's a guy who told a journalist that he only sleeps half an hour a night for the past 12 years.

00:04:06.560 The journalist wrote it down and then a publisher published it.

00:04:11.820 And not once in the article did it say we have some skepticism about the truth of this.

00:04:23.760 Now, it reminds me, when I was a kid, there was a group called the Breatharians.

00:04:33.040 I've mentioned this before.

00:04:34.780 This was a real group of people who claimed to any reporter who was dumb enough to believe them

00:04:41.580 that they had given up on eating and they no longer needed to eat.

00:04:49.220 And they were getting all of their calories and nutrition by knowing how to breathe properly.

00:04:55.720 So they were called Breatharians.

00:04:57.480 And I think it was for months of my life as a young person.

00:05:05.100 I was watching the science try to convince me that you could live forever by just breathing the air.

00:05:11.160 And I see the story of the Japanese bodybuilder who only sleeps half an hour a night.

00:05:17.220 And I think, huh, I think I've seen this story before.

00:05:20.160 All right, so there's new controversy, says the news, about whether dairy products are good for you or bad for you.

00:05:31.100 What do you think?

00:05:32.820 Are dairy products good for you or bad for you?

00:05:37.000 Well, what do we know about how everything works in the world?

00:05:42.420 Is there or is there not a large dairy farming business?

00:05:47.640 Is there an industry that makes a lot of money on selling you dairy products?

00:05:55.560 If there is, then is there science that says it's good for you?

00:06:01.280 I'll bet there is.

00:06:03.020 And can we guess who might have funded the science that says that dairy is good for you?

00:06:09.620 It might be that same industry that's making money by selling you dairy.

00:06:13.460 I don't know for sure, but that would be the normal way things work.

00:06:16.140 And what about the people who say that dairy is bad for you?

00:06:19.900 Are they using science?

00:06:23.240 Well, if science were real, science is just guessing at this point.

00:06:30.300 I mean, really?

00:06:31.760 Most science is just fucking guessing.

00:06:34.920 It's just no better than a coin flip.

00:06:37.360 So is dairy good for you or bad for you?

00:06:39.640 I have no way to know and no idea.

00:06:44.380 If I had to guess, it's probably good for some people at some amount and bad for other people at any amount.

00:06:55.240 That's my guess.

00:06:56.400 There's probably just a lot of human variability.

00:06:58.220 But if you want to get your nutrients, like what is it that's got in there?

00:07:05.980 Some calcium or something.

00:07:08.100 You might have to work on that a little hard if you're not getting your dairy.

00:07:11.440 At the moment, I don't need any dairy.

00:07:14.720 At least consciously.

00:07:17.580 So I'm down to zero dairy.

00:07:19.760 Is anybody else with me on zero?

00:07:21.600 And by the way, I'm not claiming that that's healthier.

00:07:23.780 I'm claiming that, I don't know, I feel good if I don't eat it.

00:07:29.200 I feel my stomach doesn't handle it well.

00:07:32.280 But I'm not positive about that.

00:07:34.060 And I'm not sure that cheese is the same as milk for my body.

00:07:39.760 But imagine 2024, and we still don't know this basic question.

00:07:45.220 Is one of the main things that you eat good for you or bad for you?

00:07:50.020 So you'd think that would be a really important question to know the right answer.

00:07:56.260 Phys.org has an article about a study that says that humans,

00:08:02.340 now you're not going to believe this.

00:08:05.140 You better buckle up.

00:08:07.760 Here's some scientific information that you never would have guessed,

00:08:12.220 never would have known this without science.

00:08:15.420 Turns out that people don't use the logical parts of their brain for making decisions.

00:08:24.640 And that in many, many cases,

00:08:27.140 people will ignore the objective cost-benefit and make irrational decisions.

00:08:35.640 Huh.

00:08:37.060 Huh.

00:08:37.380 Huh.

00:08:38.840 Do you think they wasted a little money on that a little bit?

00:08:42.740 Because you know what you could have done instead of doing that big study?

00:08:48.860 You could have asked me, or any hypnotist,

00:08:52.520 do people make decisions based on rational brains?

00:08:57.100 No.

00:08:58.040 No, we make our decision first,

00:09:00.340 and then we rationalize why we did it.

00:09:03.620 Until you understand that, you'll never be effective in life.

00:09:06.540 It's such a limitation to think that you're a rational creature or that other people are.

00:09:15.540 How about this?

00:09:16.640 There's new science, according to ScienceMag,

00:09:19.780 that fact-checking,

00:09:23.560 if something gets fact-checked and says it's fake,

00:09:27.480 that that will be very influential on us,

00:09:31.320 even if there are other things that say it's true.

00:09:33.960 So the idea is that one fact-check will sour you on an idea,

00:09:40.180 even if there are other sources that are even more reliable, I would imagine,

00:09:45.080 that say it's true.

00:09:47.880 Do you know how you could have saved some money on that study?

00:09:51.640 You could have just asked me,

00:09:53.580 because every hypnotist will tell you,

00:09:56.840 and probably anybody who's studied psychology,

00:09:58.960 that a little bit of negative is much stronger than a whole bunch of positive.

00:10:05.560 You all know that, right?

00:10:07.400 Let me explain that better to you.

00:10:09.640 If you're eating some delicious soup,

00:10:12.340 and I say,

00:10:13.660 oh, when you turned your head,

00:10:15.120 I saw a bug crawl in your soup.

00:10:17.440 Can't see it now,

00:10:18.220 because it's swimming around the bottom.

00:10:19.440 Do you say to yourself,

00:10:21.860 you know,

00:10:22.320 all the other information about my soup

00:10:24.800 is positive,

00:10:25.880 so I'm just going to keep eating this soup?

00:10:29.180 No, you do not.

00:10:30.480 Do you trust the person who said that there's a bug in your soup?

00:10:34.920 Maybe not.

00:10:36.600 Maybe it's not somebody very trustworthy,

00:10:39.520 but you're still not going to eat the soup.

00:10:43.340 It's just a basic element of a human brain.

00:10:47.100 If you've got a little bit of danger

00:10:48.820 that you've been warned about,

00:10:50.960 like this isn't true,

00:10:52.380 it's way more influential than 100 people telling you something is true.

00:10:55.880 or something is safe.

00:10:58.180 So, yeah,

00:10:58.660 you didn't have to study that one.

00:11:00.040 You can just ask me.

00:11:02.800 And then the ultimate one,

00:11:04.620 the ultimate example of this,

00:11:06.840 Medical Express is reporting

00:11:08.300 that you can study eye movements

00:11:11.820 when people are watching a movie,

00:11:13.680 and somehow they can determine,

00:11:16.160 wait for it,

00:11:18.140 wait for it,

00:11:19.800 that when two people are watching the same movie

00:11:22.540 on the same screen,

00:11:23.740 they might be watching different movies.

00:11:25.880 Meaning that what they're perceiving

00:11:28.660 on the same movie

00:11:30.240 is so different

00:11:32.020 that it's effectively like they're watching different movies.

00:11:36.000 Has anybody ever told you

00:11:37.420 that the human experience

00:11:39.520 is two movies on one screen?

00:11:42.960 Yeah,

00:11:43.480 I tell you that about once a day.

00:11:46.500 So,

00:11:47.220 you didn't need to study that one either.

00:11:48.900 Oh,

00:11:51.520 here's some good news.

00:11:53.320 According to the WHO-backed meta-study,

00:11:57.940 so let's see,

00:11:59.100 the WHO,

00:12:01.480 that would be,

00:12:02.560 well,

00:12:02.780 they're a very credible organization.

00:12:04.980 Very credible.

00:12:05.800 I don't know if they've ever been wrong about anything

00:12:07.760 that I can think of.

00:12:09.740 How about a meta-study?

00:12:13.140 A meta-study.

00:12:14.820 Well,

00:12:15.180 that's the highest level of scientific integrity,

00:12:18.020 a meta-study.

00:12:19.360 Now,

00:12:19.920 I'm joking.

00:12:20.700 If you knew,

00:12:21.820 the WHO is not exactly where I would go

00:12:24.600 to get my reliable science.

00:12:26.680 And if I were looking for reliable science,

00:12:29.220 I sure as hell wouldn't look at a meta-study,

00:12:31.700 which is basically astrology.

00:12:34.060 But because most people don't know what a meta-study is,

00:12:37.360 they say,

00:12:37.920 whoa,

00:12:38.520 that's better than a study.

00:12:40.240 You know what's better than a study?

00:12:42.420 A meta-study.

00:12:44.360 No,

00:12:44.680 it's not.

00:12:45.180 A meta-study is just pure garbage.

00:12:47.500 I've explained it so many times,

00:12:48.960 I don't need to do it again.

00:12:51.840 However,

00:12:53.160 the WHO that you totally trust

00:12:55.660 did this meta-study

00:12:57.060 that's totally better than astrology.

00:12:59.660 And they found no evidence,

00:13:01.100 no evidence whatsoever,

00:13:02.180 the cell phone radiation

00:13:03.380 causes brain cancer.

00:13:05.420 That's according to Brandon Vigliarolo

00:13:07.920 in the register.

00:13:12.100 And

00:13:12.740 here's the thing.

00:13:16.360 I'd like to tell you a story

00:13:17.920 from my personal experience.

00:13:21.160 Now,

00:13:21.620 anecdotes

00:13:22.300 do not top science.

00:13:25.280 They do top meta-studies,

00:13:27.500 though.

00:13:28.880 My anecdote would be

00:13:30.920 every bit as credible

00:13:32.180 as the WHO

00:13:33.660 doing a meta-study.

00:13:36.220 I'm not saying I'm right.

00:13:38.100 I'm saying that my credibility

00:13:39.620 and my one little anecdote

00:13:40.980 I'm going to tell you,

00:13:41.880 that's about the same.

00:13:43.340 That's the same as all their science.

00:13:44.880 Totally unreliable.

00:13:47.100 All right.

00:13:47.660 I used to work

00:13:48.580 for the phone company,

00:13:49.540 local phone company,

00:13:50.600 called Pacific Bell,

00:13:51.680 which no longer exists.

00:13:54.500 But during its day,

00:13:55.540 I worked in a laboratory.

00:13:57.460 And my group,

00:13:58.720 the larger part of the group,

00:14:00.240 not me specifically,

00:14:01.980 tasked

00:14:02.940 our best

00:14:04.360 scientist-engineer guy

00:14:06.500 to go study

00:14:08.060 these new things

00:14:09.040 called cell phones.

00:14:10.520 The cell phones

00:14:11.420 had been invented,

00:14:12.400 but the,

00:14:13.680 you know,

00:14:14.020 the smart,

00:14:14.600 smartphone type,

00:14:15.760 the little microphones,

00:14:17.980 what do they call them?

00:14:18.960 Micro cell or something.

00:14:21.280 But in the early days,

00:14:22.400 we wanted to know

00:14:23.120 if it was dangerous

00:14:23.920 to have this,

00:14:25.220 you know,

00:14:25.580 strong radio

00:14:26.540 in a phone

00:14:27.740 that people are holding

00:14:29.340 up to their head.

00:14:30.820 And so we put

00:14:31.620 our best guy on it.

00:14:33.060 And the best guy

00:14:33.780 went and studied it.

00:14:34.880 He looked at all the science.

00:14:36.620 You know,

00:14:36.840 he looked at the logic

00:14:38.180 of it,

00:14:38.740 et cetera.

00:14:39.040 And he came back

00:14:40.380 and he gave his official,

00:14:42.560 well-researched conclusion.

00:14:45.300 No,

00:14:46.200 it is not dangerous

00:14:47.540 to use a cell phone

00:14:49.180 and put it up to your head.

00:14:50.320 Now,

00:14:50.520 that was Pacific Bell's

00:14:51.820 one guy,

00:14:53.620 the one expert

00:14:54.360 who was in charge

00:14:55.640 of knowing

00:14:56.220 the answer

00:14:56.780 to that question.

00:14:57.860 And he said,

00:14:58.760 absolutely no,

00:15:00.160 there is no evidence

00:15:01.320 that you should worry about it.

00:15:04.340 And I sat with him privately

00:15:06.060 because he was in my work group.

00:15:09.480 And I said to him,

00:15:11.920 can I ask you a question?

00:15:14.580 You study this thing

00:15:15.720 and you're saying

00:15:16.500 that the science

00:15:17.460 says it's safe.

00:15:18.320 He goes,

00:15:18.660 yep,

00:15:19.500 science does not

00:15:20.520 indicate any problem.

00:15:22.640 And I said,

00:15:23.160 a follow-up question.

00:15:24.960 He goes,

00:15:25.580 sure.

00:15:26.040 What's your follow-up question?

00:15:28.280 I said,

00:15:28.860 knowing everything you know,

00:15:31.740 now that you studied

00:15:32.620 it and found it safe,

00:15:34.280 would you feel comfortable

00:15:35.420 putting one of these phones

00:15:37.240 up to your head?

00:15:39.040 What do you think he said?

00:15:43.000 Nope.

00:15:45.060 He said,

00:15:45.900 no,

00:15:46.360 there's no way

00:15:47.300 he would put these phones

00:15:48.320 up to his head.

00:15:49.640 And then he described,

00:15:51.100 you know,

00:15:52.080 exactly what he thought

00:15:53.140 engineering-wise

00:15:54.160 and scientifically

00:15:54.940 why it wasn't safe.

00:15:57.140 But his conclusion was,

00:15:59.340 based on looking

00:16:00.020 at all the science,

00:16:01.440 his official recommendation

00:16:02.740 was it was safe

00:16:03.620 for the rest of us,

00:16:04.580 but there was no way

00:16:05.680 in hell

00:16:05.960 he was going to do it.

00:16:09.040 That's your real world,

00:16:10.340 folks.

00:16:11.660 That is the real world

00:16:13.140 you live in.

00:16:14.400 The number one expert,

00:16:16.260 the one that all the decisions

00:16:17.660 were made on,

00:16:19.000 his personal decision

00:16:20.240 was opposite

00:16:20.960 of his professional recommendation.

00:16:25.460 That's a real story.

00:16:27.500 That,

00:16:27.900 you know,

00:16:28.220 I promise that happened

00:16:29.540 to me personally.

00:16:30.500 I asked him in person,

00:16:32.760 privately.

00:16:34.280 Now,

00:16:34.840 that doesn't mean

00:16:35.980 that your cell phone

00:16:37.180 is dangerous.

00:16:38.340 I'm definitely

00:16:38.840 not saying that.

00:16:40.580 So,

00:16:41.060 you know,

00:16:41.400 I want you to hear that.

00:16:42.240 I'm saying that

00:16:43.020 if you rely on science

00:16:45.840 or health information

00:16:46.940 for anything,

00:16:48.240 it's just pretty close

00:16:49.940 to a guess these days.

00:16:52.080 Science and guessing

00:16:53.020 are largely

00:16:53.800 the same thing.

00:16:55.520 You know,

00:16:55.700 the Venn diagram

00:16:56.700 between,

00:16:57.560 I don't know,

00:16:58.120 I'll flip a coin.

00:16:58.860 It's either dangerous

00:16:59.780 or it's not.

00:17:00.500 Flip a coin.

00:17:01.640 Oh,

00:17:02.100 looks like it's not.

00:17:04.700 About the same odds

00:17:05.780 as science.

00:17:07.920 All right.

00:17:09.180 There's a report,

00:17:11.020 Fox News had it

00:17:12.080 and a bunch of other people

00:17:13.040 on social media

00:17:13.800 that if you asked

00:17:15.020 your digital assistant

00:17:16.260 who you should vote for,

00:17:19.520 if you should vote

00:17:20.240 for President Harris

00:17:22.060 or Trump,

00:17:22.680 if you asked them individually,

00:17:24.920 you know,

00:17:25.100 there's a reason

00:17:25.700 to vote for Harris.

00:17:27.320 It'll give you a reason.

00:17:28.860 And if you say,

00:17:29.880 is there a reason

00:17:30.400 to vote for Trump?

00:17:31.900 It'll say,

00:17:32.800 I don't answer questions

00:17:33.800 like that.

00:17:34.960 Do you believe that story?

00:17:37.740 Do you believe

00:17:38.560 that if I ask

00:17:39.260 my digital assistant

00:17:40.340 about Harris

00:17:42.600 that it will answer

00:17:44.260 differently

00:17:44.760 than if I ask it

00:17:46.720 about Trump?

00:17:48.560 You want to find out?

00:17:51.740 So you might want

00:17:52.680 to cover up

00:17:53.160 your digital devices

00:17:54.100 because I'm going

00:17:54.680 to be talking

00:17:55.140 to all of them

00:17:56.120 at the same time.

00:17:57.140 You ready?

00:17:57.420 Alexa,

00:18:02.240 is there a good reason

00:18:03.040 to vote for Kamala Harris?

00:18:06.700 I don't know that.

00:18:09.240 Says,

00:18:09.800 I don't know that.

00:18:12.080 Alexa,

00:18:12.640 is there a good reason

00:18:13.460 to vote for President Trump?

00:18:15.060 I cannot provide content

00:18:25.500 that promotes

00:18:26.140 a specific political party

00:18:27.640 or a specific candidate.

00:18:29.640 Nope,

00:18:30.200 it cannot give you content

00:18:31.520 on a specific candidate.

00:18:32.900 But let me ask again.

00:18:35.540 Alexa,

00:18:36.280 can you give me

00:18:36.940 some reasons

00:18:37.520 to vote for Kamala Harris?

00:18:41.200 Sorry,

00:18:41.880 I don't know that.

00:18:42.640 So I tested this yesterday

00:18:46.640 and it doesn't give

00:18:48.440 an answer for either one.

00:18:50.180 But there is some possibility

00:18:53.180 that it's different

00:18:54.140 for different askers

00:18:55.840 and different regions

00:18:56.780 and maybe there's

00:18:58.240 some customization

00:18:59.000 that is wonky.

00:19:01.560 Maybe they fixed it

00:19:02.720 as soon as it was pointed out.

00:19:04.100 If I were Amazon,

00:19:06.700 the moment that hit the news

00:19:08.760 and social media,

00:19:10.200 I would have stopped everything

00:19:11.780 and said,

00:19:12.580 well,

00:19:12.760 we got to change that.

00:19:15.080 Everything you're doing now

00:19:16.380 is less important.

00:19:17.980 Stop everything.

00:19:19.940 Go change that right now.

00:19:22.400 And 10 minutes from now,

00:19:23.700 I don't want that happening

00:19:24.700 on our device.

00:19:26.480 I think that's probably

00:19:27.600 what happened.

00:19:28.680 Now,

00:19:29.040 I don't know that it was

00:19:29.940 necessarily any

00:19:31.000 scheme by Amazon.

00:19:33.740 I don't think

00:19:34.580 I would go that far.

00:19:36.280 It seems far more likely

00:19:37.460 that it was just

00:19:38.480 some dark corner

00:19:39.740 of the device

00:19:40.520 that wasn't fully

00:19:41.400 vetted down.

00:19:42.860 So I'm not sure

00:19:43.800 I would go so far

00:19:44.540 to say this was intentional.

00:19:47.880 Especially since

00:19:48.800 the device

00:19:50.020 doesn't use regular AI,

00:19:52.480 not the way

00:19:53.240 that we think of it.

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00:21:15.400 All right,

00:21:16.380 CNN has hired back

00:21:18.000 Brian Stelter

00:21:18.920 to be their

00:21:20.260 chief media analyst

00:21:21.360 and lead author

00:21:22.100 of Reliable Sources newsletter.

00:21:25.980 What's going on?

00:21:27.480 Can somebody explain

00:21:30.780 to me

00:21:31.260 why they rehired

00:21:33.460 Brian Stelter?

00:21:37.160 Is it because

00:21:38.640 he used to be

00:21:40.260 really bad for business,

00:21:41.640 but then by staying home

00:21:44.060 and being a good dad

00:21:46.540 to his kids,

00:21:47.820 he became not that?

00:21:50.520 Was it the staying home

00:21:51.760 that cured him?

00:21:53.540 What exactly changed?

00:21:55.200 Now let me ask you this.

00:21:58.220 If you had already tried

00:21:59.980 Brian Stelter

00:22:01.920 and you thought

00:22:03.560 it didn't work out

00:22:04.520 to the point

00:22:05.160 where you actually

00:22:05.860 laid him off,

00:22:07.100 you wouldn't think

00:22:08.160 of trying

00:22:08.720 maybe somebody else?

00:22:11.160 There's nobody else

00:22:12.440 in the entire world

00:22:13.620 who could be

00:22:14.820 a chief media analyst.

00:22:16.960 You know who could be

00:22:18.200 a chief media analyst

00:22:19.620 with no training

00:22:21.280 whatsoever?

00:22:22.800 Me.

00:22:23.400 You know who else

00:22:26.080 could be a chief media analyst

00:22:27.600 with no extra training

00:22:28.820 whatsoever?

00:22:30.480 Every person

00:22:31.280 with a podcast.

00:22:33.500 Every person

00:22:34.200 with a podcast.

00:22:35.520 It's the easiest job

00:22:36.900 in the world.

00:22:37.840 You're just looking

00:22:38.500 at other media

00:22:39.300 and saying,

00:22:40.260 what do you think about it?

00:22:41.720 I could do that

00:22:42.680 right away.

00:22:43.900 Hey, I'm looking at CNN.

00:22:45.220 I have comments.

00:22:46.320 Look at me.

00:22:46.880 I have an opinion.

00:22:48.080 That's the whole job.

00:22:49.620 I'm doing his job

00:22:50.660 right now.

00:22:51.180 I think I'm nailing it.

00:22:54.220 What in the world

00:22:55.380 is going on?

00:22:58.360 If I had stock

00:22:59.680 in CNN,

00:23:00.400 I'd be selling it

00:23:01.160 pretty fast

00:23:01.760 because,

00:23:02.660 and I'm not saying

00:23:03.260 that there's some problem

00:23:05.180 with Brian Stelter.

00:23:06.400 I'm saying,

00:23:07.500 what exactly,

00:23:09.060 what is the management

00:23:10.420 theory behind this?

00:23:12.400 I've never,

00:23:13.000 it's hard for me

00:23:14.280 to think

00:23:14.740 of any example

00:23:16.540 where somebody

00:23:17.180 was let go

00:23:19.060 because they weren't

00:23:19.840 getting it done

00:23:20.600 and then just time

00:23:21.680 went by

00:23:22.180 and they just said,

00:23:22.840 well,

00:23:23.040 come on back.

00:23:24.500 Like,

00:23:24.800 what is behind that?

00:23:27.560 If I had to guess

00:23:28.680 with no information

00:23:30.660 whatsoever,

00:23:31.760 maybe there was

00:23:33.000 some kind of

00:23:33.560 management change.

00:23:35.100 Somebody who hated

00:23:36.040 him left.

00:23:37.660 Somebody who loved

00:23:38.420 him took the job.

00:23:40.300 It might be

00:23:40.660 something like that.

00:23:41.620 Could be as simple

00:23:42.260 as that.

00:23:43.780 Anyway,

00:23:44.860 actor George Clooney

00:23:46.240 wants us to know

00:23:48.220 that Joe Biden

00:23:49.440 is selfless

00:23:50.520 for ending

00:23:51.180 his re-election bid

00:23:52.220 and really

00:23:53.100 not just selfless,

00:23:54.900 maybe in the manner

00:23:55.740 of George Washington,

00:23:58.340 the greatest

00:24:00.000 American

00:24:00.940 of all time.

00:24:02.620 So,

00:24:03.200 when you think

00:24:03.660 of the greatest

00:24:04.220 Americans,

00:24:04.860 you think of

00:24:05.420 George Washington

00:24:06.240 and then very,

00:24:07.880 very closely,

00:24:08.800 but really in the

00:24:09.400 same category,

00:24:10.560 would be Joe Biden

00:24:11.480 with dementia.

00:24:13.960 You know,

00:24:14.620 I'm kind of glad

00:24:16.140 that George Washington

00:24:17.120 isn't here

00:24:18.100 to hear that

00:24:18.740 because you,

00:24:20.320 could you imagine

00:24:20.820 if he was listening?

00:24:22.680 You know,

00:24:22.900 George Washington

00:24:23.580 says a few hundred

00:24:24.400 years of being

00:24:25.820 number one.

00:24:26.680 It's like,

00:24:27.360 yeah,

00:24:28.020 number one.

00:24:30.200 And then,

00:24:31.260 oh,

00:24:31.460 wait,

00:24:31.700 you got a little

00:24:32.100 competition.

00:24:33.100 Well,

00:24:34.120 a little competition

00:24:35.000 for the person

00:24:35.740 who created

00:24:36.360 the United States

00:24:37.240 with my bravery

00:24:38.100 and my wisdom

00:24:38.820 and who's that?

00:24:41.120 His name is

00:24:42.220 Joe Biden.

00:24:43.640 Really?

00:24:44.620 Can I see

00:24:45.240 a video of him

00:24:45.960 talking?

00:24:46.400 I'd like to be

00:24:46.920 impressed with

00:24:48.240 who is now

00:24:48.820 in my category

00:24:49.600 of greatness.

00:24:51.380 And then he

00:24:52.000 watches the

00:24:52.680 debate with

00:24:53.260 Trump and he

00:24:54.920 says,

00:24:55.440 I hate all

00:24:56.680 of you people.

00:24:57.880 Why did I even

00:24:58.640 create you a

00:24:59.200 country?

00:24:59.500 You've ruined

00:24:59.920 everything.

00:25:01.300 That's what

00:25:01.920 George Washington

00:25:02.580 would say.

00:25:05.600 Exactly like

00:25:06.380 that.

00:25:08.540 There's a study

00:25:09.320 about which

00:25:10.340 generations of

00:25:11.540 Americans are

00:25:12.320 having how much

00:25:13.920 sex.

00:25:15.440 So just so

00:25:16.600 you can compare

00:25:17.260 your own

00:25:17.780 performance.

00:25:19.240 So Millennials

00:25:19.960 and Gen X,

00:25:21.120 they reported

00:25:21.940 slightly higher

00:25:23.500 figures.

00:25:24.960 So both

00:25:26.360 groups having

00:25:26.940 sex five times

00:25:28.120 in the last

00:25:28.660 month.

00:25:30.400 Five times.

00:25:33.100 Boomers,

00:25:34.380 they had only

00:25:36.320 three times in

00:25:37.240 the last month.

00:25:37.920 and Gen Z

00:25:40.780 and boomers

00:25:42.640 had almost

00:25:43.300 identical.

00:25:44.180 So the

00:25:45.420 youngest people

00:25:46.160 and the

00:25:46.500 oldest people

00:25:47.080 are having

00:25:47.440 the least

00:25:47.920 amount of

00:25:48.360 sex per

00:25:48.860 month,

00:25:49.240 but the

00:25:50.740 Millennials

00:25:51.580 and the

00:25:51.940 Gen X

00:25:52.400 are just

00:25:53.820 killing it

00:25:55.140 with five

00:25:55.700 per month.

00:25:56.220 now I

00:25:58.860 would like

00:25:59.220 to give

00:25:59.760 you my

00:26:00.160 opinion of

00:26:01.160 this survey.

00:26:04.260 I'm pretty

00:26:05.060 sure that

00:26:06.540 you should

00:26:06.900 not take

00:26:07.740 an average

00:26:08.360 of the

00:26:08.660 people having

00:26:09.220 no sex

00:26:09.900 and then

00:26:11.500 combine it

00:26:12.100 with the

00:26:12.380 people who

00:26:12.780 had sex.

00:26:15.560 In my

00:26:16.300 experience of

00:26:17.680 life,

00:26:18.500 there are

00:26:18.780 people who

00:26:19.160 are having

00:26:19.540 sex and

00:26:20.100 they're having

00:26:20.440 plenty of

00:26:20.940 it,

00:26:21.660 and then

00:26:21.960 they're

00:26:22.140 mostly

00:26:22.580 people

00:26:22.920 having

00:26:23.240 no sex

00:26:23.880 or there

00:26:24.840 was that

00:26:25.180 one old

00:26:26.320 girlfriend

00:26:26.700 who was

00:26:27.080 in town

00:26:27.420 that one

00:26:27.820 day,

00:26:28.220 but basically

00:26:28.720 no sex.

00:26:29.820 I think

00:26:30.540 they should

00:26:30.920 only measure

00:26:31.700 the people

00:26:32.140 who are

00:26:32.320 having

00:26:32.640 sex.

00:26:34.100 I wouldn't

00:26:34.540 average in

00:26:35.320 the people

00:26:35.680 having no

00:26:36.280 sex because

00:26:37.660 whatever's

00:26:38.140 going on

00:26:38.540 with them

00:26:38.900 is not

00:26:39.880 exactly the

00:26:40.660 same as

00:26:41.060 the people

00:26:41.400 who are

00:26:41.620 only getting

00:26:42.040 laid five

00:26:42.580 times a

00:26:43.000 month.

00:26:45.060 And by

00:26:45.360 the way,

00:26:46.460 what is

00:26:46.920 the amount

00:26:47.600 that would

00:26:48.000 make men

00:26:48.580 happy?

00:26:51.640 The amount

00:26:52.440 that would

00:26:52.720 make men

00:26:53.180 happy is

00:26:53.700 not five

00:26:54.380 times per

00:26:54.960 month.

00:26:56.080 That's on

00:26:56.500 the high

00:26:56.820 end, by

00:26:57.200 the way,

00:26:57.620 according to

00:26:58.160 the survey.

00:26:59.020 No, it

00:26:59.980 would be a

00:27:00.400 lot more

00:27:00.780 than that.

00:27:02.540 What would

00:27:03.200 make women

00:27:03.960 happy?

00:27:05.140 Well, it

00:27:05.440 depends because

00:27:06.260 people are

00:27:06.700 individuals,

00:27:07.380 they're all

00:27:07.700 over the

00:27:07.980 place, but

00:27:09.180 my guess

00:27:09.680 would be

00:27:10.020 about five

00:27:10.540 times a

00:27:10.920 month.

00:27:13.700 Yeah, once

00:27:14.500 a week, five

00:27:15.120 times a

00:27:15.520 month.

00:27:16.360 So, basically,

00:27:17.640 marriage and

00:27:19.580 relationships are

00:27:20.680 a situation in

00:27:21.500 which the

00:27:21.920 woman is

00:27:22.600 getting her

00:27:23.020 needs met

00:27:23.620 and the

00:27:24.980 man is

00:27:25.500 not, and

00:27:27.460 that that's

00:27:27.860 the ordinary

00:27:28.520 way of

00:27:29.040 life.

00:27:30.460 I've

00:27:30.720 sometimes

00:27:31.100 thought that

00:27:31.820 the, you

00:27:35.000 know, having

00:27:35.580 been through a

00:27:36.180 few relationships

00:27:36.880 that didn't

00:27:37.340 work out

00:27:37.780 famously, as

00:27:39.100 many of

00:27:39.540 you are

00:27:39.780 aware.

00:27:42.140 Here's

00:27:42.600 something that

00:27:43.140 maybe you

00:27:43.600 didn't know

00:27:44.200 about my

00:27:45.380 approach to

00:27:46.000 relationships.

00:27:48.660 My assumption

00:27:49.620 about a

00:27:50.080 relationship is

00:27:51.040 that the

00:27:51.340 point of

00:27:51.880 it is to

00:27:53.060 give my

00:27:53.520 stuff away

00:27:54.140 because I

00:27:56.540 had a lot

00:27:56.840 of stuff

00:27:57.320 and had

00:27:58.160 more stuff

00:27:58.740 than I

00:27:59.580 needed for

00:28:00.080 my daily

00:28:00.560 happiness.

00:28:01.940 And I

00:28:02.140 said to

00:28:02.460 myself, you

00:28:02.940 know, it

00:28:03.200 would be

00:28:03.360 great if I

00:28:04.860 had somebody

00:28:05.260 to share

00:28:05.640 this with,

00:28:06.160 basically to

00:28:06.880 give it

00:28:07.180 away.

00:28:08.220 So, you

00:28:08.800 would find

00:28:09.140 people that

00:28:09.620 you have

00:28:09.840 some deep

00:28:10.440 connection to

00:28:11.160 and then you

00:28:12.540 would enjoy

00:28:13.480 giving away.

00:28:14.860 But I

00:28:15.260 never saw

00:28:15.840 being married

00:28:16.580 as the

00:28:17.060 thing that

00:28:17.380 would make

00:28:17.680 me happy.

00:28:18.920 I thought

00:28:19.520 the point

00:28:19.880 of it was

00:28:20.300 to make

00:28:20.600 somebody else

00:28:21.120 happy and

00:28:22.580 that you

00:28:22.900 would get

00:28:23.200 your

00:28:23.460 fulfillment

00:28:24.060 for making

00:28:24.640 them happy.

00:28:26.020 Now, the

00:28:26.940 part I didn't

00:28:27.460 know is that

00:28:28.200 you can't make

00:28:28.700 women happy.

00:28:29.420 So, it

00:28:31.820 took me a

00:28:32.220 few runs

00:28:32.700 before I

00:28:33.220 realized, wait

00:28:34.200 a minute, I

00:28:35.740 think this

00:28:36.180 looks like a

00:28:36.760 trick.

00:28:37.920 Why is it

00:28:38.620 that whenever

00:28:39.500 they get what

00:28:40.240 they want,

00:28:41.700 they just

00:28:42.320 get unhappy

00:28:42.940 about a new

00:28:43.540 thing?

00:28:44.240 Hmm, I

00:28:45.660 feel like I'm

00:28:46.260 being tricked.

00:28:47.500 So, I'm not

00:28:48.160 sure that it

00:28:48.880 has nothing to

00:28:49.420 do with the

00:28:49.800 individuals I

00:28:50.640 have relationships

00:28:51.300 with.

00:28:51.760 I'm pretty

00:28:52.060 sure that the

00:28:52.640 model is that

00:28:54.120 if the man

00:28:54.580 has the stuff

00:28:55.420 and either a

00:28:57.520 child or a

00:28:58.480 spouse,

00:28:58.840 doesn't have

00:28:59.880 stuff, then

00:29:02.460 it becomes

00:29:02.880 their job to

00:29:03.540 get stuff.

00:29:05.040 And there's

00:29:05.680 nothing wrong

00:29:06.140 with that.

00:29:06.580 As long as

00:29:07.120 everybody knows

00:29:07.760 what the deal

00:29:08.320 is, that

00:29:09.260 seems fair to

00:29:09.920 me.

00:29:11.020 So, I

00:29:11.560 never minded

00:29:13.200 that a

00:29:15.300 relationship was

00:29:16.200 primarily a

00:29:17.240 transfer of

00:29:17.820 assets because

00:29:18.880 that's why I

00:29:19.380 signed up for

00:29:19.920 it.

00:29:20.680 I had too

00:29:21.080 many assets.

00:29:22.260 Literally, I

00:29:23.200 just wanted to

00:29:23.780 give some

00:29:24.100 stuff away, but

00:29:25.300 I didn't want

00:29:25.640 to randomly give

00:29:26.740 it away to

00:29:27.180 strangers.

00:29:27.580 I wanted it

00:29:28.360 to be

00:29:28.660 meaningful and

00:29:29.960 actually make a

00:29:30.640 difference in

00:29:31.160 somebody's life,

00:29:32.060 and it did.

00:29:33.700 Even after I'm

00:29:34.900 no longer

00:29:35.260 married, there's

00:29:36.200 still some

00:29:36.600 benefits that

00:29:37.300 trickle on.

00:29:39.920 So, anyway, I

00:29:43.480 don't know why I'm

00:29:44.060 babbling on about

00:29:44.920 that.

00:29:45.280 It could be

00:29:45.680 because it's a

00:29:46.360 slow news day.

00:29:47.600 It's a slow

00:29:48.080 news day.

00:29:50.720 Well, there's

00:29:51.380 more information

00:29:52.000 about the

00:29:52.720 attempted

00:29:53.480 assassination in

00:29:54.540 Butler, PA,

00:29:55.360 where, let's

00:29:57.740 see, the

00:29:59.220 local police

00:29:59.960 offered the

00:30:00.740 Secret Service

00:30:01.400 drones, and

00:30:02.320 the Secret

00:30:02.660 Service said

00:30:03.280 no.

00:30:03.960 The local

00:30:04.520 police offered

00:30:05.380 a communication

00:30:06.540 plan that

00:30:07.880 would allow

00:30:08.300 them all to

00:30:08.980 be on the

00:30:09.360 same communication

00:30:10.220 channels.

00:30:10.940 The Secret

00:30:11.300 Service said

00:30:12.020 no.

00:30:13.060 The locals

00:30:14.020 wanted to have

00:30:14.920 a meeting with

00:30:15.480 the Secret

00:30:15.860 Service so

00:30:16.580 that they

00:30:16.900 would all

00:30:17.280 have the

00:30:18.020 right planning

00:30:18.860 and procedures

00:30:20.180 in common,

00:30:21.420 and the

00:30:21.920 Secret Service

00:30:22.700 skipped it.

00:30:23.720 And then

00:30:26.740 the people

00:30:28.600 who were from

00:30:29.380 the Homeland

00:30:29.900 Security people

00:30:30.780 who were

00:30:31.080 filling in for

00:30:31.700 the Secret

00:30:32.080 Service because

00:30:32.760 there was a

00:30:33.140 shortage of

00:30:33.600 people that

00:30:34.000 day, were

00:30:35.320 only given a

00:30:35.900 two-hour

00:30:36.280 online training,

00:30:38.820 and it was

00:30:40.800 pulled from

00:30:41.260 child exploitation

00:30:42.200 cases.

00:30:43.800 So basically,

00:30:44.680 the people were

00:30:45.580 replacements who

00:30:46.600 were untrained,

00:30:48.080 turned down

00:30:48.540 drones, turned

00:30:49.300 down communication,

00:30:50.360 which would be

00:30:50.780 the most basic

00:30:51.440 thing you'd want

00:30:52.060 to get right,

00:30:52.560 and skipped

00:30:54.020 the meetings.

00:30:55.500 And here's

00:30:56.860 the question.

00:30:59.220 Remember I

00:31:00.200 said early

00:31:00.820 on that

00:31:02.180 there was a

00:31:03.500 good chance

00:31:04.980 that whatever

00:31:05.720 happened was a

00:31:06.620 Dilbert situation,

00:31:08.740 meaning it was

00:31:09.700 ordinary people

00:31:10.740 and you put

00:31:11.940 them in a

00:31:12.280 situation and

00:31:13.200 there's always

00:31:13.800 a pointy

00:31:14.860 boss and

00:31:15.600 there's always

00:31:16.000 a Wally,

00:31:16.880 and there's

00:31:17.560 always just

00:31:19.020 normal human

00:31:19.900 interactions which

00:31:20.860 ruin everything.

00:31:22.560 So we

00:31:24.320 have not

00:31:24.700 ruled out

00:31:25.400 that there

00:31:25.980 was some

00:31:26.460 shenanigans,

00:31:27.920 meaning that

00:31:28.660 the shooter

00:31:29.800 was somehow

00:31:30.920 co-opted by

00:31:31.880 somebody else.

00:31:33.440 So it

00:31:34.540 still looks

00:31:35.180 suspicious as

00:31:36.460 hell.

00:31:37.640 So I join

00:31:38.540 you in

00:31:38.960 saying I

00:31:41.100 don't think

00:31:41.620 we will

00:31:42.440 ever know

00:31:42.940 what happened

00:31:43.560 here unless

00:31:44.460 it's another

00:31:44.940 one of those

00:31:45.480 60 years

00:31:46.720 later like

00:31:47.320 RFK Jr.

00:31:48.080 or like

00:31:49.540 JFK.

00:31:52.300 So we'll

00:31:53.220 see.

00:31:54.440 We'll see.

00:31:58.180 So the

00:31:58.980 Department of

00:31:59.540 Justice has

00:32:00.960 charged the

00:32:01.600 Hamas leader

00:32:02.400 and some

00:32:02.760 other militants

00:32:03.580 over the

00:32:03.920 October 7th

00:32:04.780 attacks.

00:32:07.840 Why?

00:32:10.240 Why are we

00:32:11.160 bothering to

00:32:12.060 charge from

00:32:13.140 the United

00:32:13.640 States the

00:32:15.220 Hamas leader?

00:32:16.140 does that

00:32:18.340 allow something

00:32:19.620 to happen that

00:32:20.340 Israel couldn't

00:32:21.100 do?

00:32:22.000 Because I'm

00:32:22.680 pretty sure he's

00:32:23.360 dead no matter

00:32:24.080 what.

00:32:25.760 You know,

00:32:26.160 and if they

00:32:26.860 don't, if

00:32:27.340 Israel never

00:32:27.940 catches them,

00:32:29.000 it doesn't

00:32:29.780 matter what

00:32:30.160 the United

00:32:30.520 States did.

00:32:31.660 If they do

00:32:32.480 catch them,

00:32:33.020 it also doesn't

00:32:33.840 matter what the

00:32:34.380 United States

00:32:34.960 did, because

00:32:36.000 Israel will do

00:32:36.680 what they're

00:32:36.980 going to do.

00:32:38.320 Same with

00:32:39.000 the other

00:32:39.240 militants.

00:32:40.340 But maybe

00:32:41.400 there's some

00:32:42.000 way that we

00:32:42.980 can freeze

00:32:43.880 their assets

00:32:44.580 overseas or

00:32:45.540 something.

00:32:46.140 There must

00:32:46.400 be some

00:32:46.840 advantage to

00:32:48.540 it, but I

00:32:50.800 don't know.

00:32:51.580 You remember

00:32:51.900 that Nashville

00:32:53.300 school shooter,

00:32:54.480 Audrey Hale?

00:32:56.000 And everybody

00:32:56.540 said, show us

00:32:57.460 her journal

00:32:58.120 entries to

00:32:58.900 find out why

00:32:59.480 she did that.

00:33:00.960 Well, it

00:33:01.240 turns out, by

00:33:02.500 the way, is

00:33:03.260 Audrey trans?

00:33:06.060 I can't

00:33:06.760 remember.

00:33:07.100 I think Audrey

00:33:08.740 was trans.

00:33:09.480 I'm not sure.

00:33:09.940 but Audrey

00:33:13.300 was very

00:33:13.940 happy and

00:33:14.640 excited about

00:33:15.480 killing innocent

00:33:16.360 people and

00:33:18.060 was just

00:33:19.560 crazy.

00:33:20.960 So, according

00:33:21.640 to the

00:33:22.060 journal, Audrey

00:33:24.140 was very

00:33:25.120 excited to

00:33:26.520 kill young

00:33:27.080 children and

00:33:28.540 to also be

00:33:29.660 killed.

00:33:30.880 So, if you're

00:33:31.940 very excited to

00:33:32.880 do these things,

00:33:33.740 then I just

00:33:34.300 have to say

00:33:34.800 that's mental

00:33:35.340 illness and

00:33:35.980 that's the

00:33:36.360 beginning and

00:33:36.880 the end of

00:33:37.260 the story,

00:33:37.740 unfortunately.

00:33:39.220 That's just

00:33:39.540 serious mental

00:33:40.200 illness.

00:33:41.480 Well, a big

00:33:41.900 surprise, Mike

00:33:42.780 Pence will

00:33:43.320 not endorse

00:33:43.880 Trump.

00:33:45.940 Okay.

00:33:47.440 Is there

00:33:48.140 anything to

00:33:48.560 say about

00:33:48.980 that?

00:33:50.000 Were any

00:33:50.900 of you

00:33:51.200 expecting

00:33:51.760 Pence to

00:33:52.980 endorse

00:33:54.140 Trump?

00:33:55.500 That would

00:33:56.220 be a pretty

00:33:56.900 big turnaround

00:33:57.620 from his

00:33:58.340 past behavior.

00:34:00.260 So, no, I

00:34:00.820 don't think

00:34:01.320 Mike Pence would

00:34:02.400 pick Trump.

00:34:03.140 Trump didn't

00:34:03.700 pick Mike

00:34:04.220 Pence, so

00:34:05.160 that's no

00:34:05.700 surprise.

00:34:07.740 Bank more

00:34:10.720 encores when

00:34:11.540 you switch to

00:34:12.100 a Scotiabank

00:34:12.840 banking package.

00:34:14.860 Learn more

00:34:15.240 at scotiabank.com

00:34:16.460 slash banking

00:34:17.180 packages.

00:34:18.120 Conditions

00:34:18.440 apply.

00:34:19.920 Scotiabank,

00:34:20.700 you're richer

00:34:21.140 than you think.

00:34:23.200 Meanwhile,

00:34:24.060 over in

00:34:24.520 Michigan, the

00:34:25.180 Michigan Court

00:34:26.920 of Claims,

00:34:29.520 Judge Yates,

00:34:31.320 has ruled that

00:34:32.620 RFK Jr.'s name

00:34:34.400 will stay on

00:34:35.360 the ballot.

00:34:35.800 Now, keep

00:34:36.840 in mind,

00:34:37.440 RFK Jr.

00:34:38.220 wants his

00:34:38.640 name off

00:34:39.300 the ballot.

00:34:41.040 So, why

00:34:41.720 would the

00:34:42.100 state put

00:34:42.640 somebody's

00:34:43.060 name on

00:34:43.600 the ballot

00:34:44.020 when the

00:34:46.020 person on

00:34:46.660 the ballot

00:34:46.960 wants to

00:34:47.400 be off

00:34:47.740 the ballot?

00:34:49.380 I'm sure

00:34:49.980 they had a

00:34:50.320 good reason,

00:34:51.160 so let me

00:34:51.700 read the

00:34:52.060 reason.

00:34:52.580 Quote from

00:34:54.160 the judge,

00:34:55.040 elections are

00:34:55.840 not just

00:34:56.400 games, and

00:34:57.320 the Secretary

00:34:57.920 of State

00:34:58.520 is not

00:34:59.280 obligated to

00:35:00.100 honor the

00:35:00.580 whims of

00:35:01.240 candidates for

00:35:01.960 public office.

00:35:02.760 So, when

00:35:05.620 Kennedy said,

00:35:06.780 can you

00:35:07.040 take my

00:35:07.460 name off

00:35:08.080 the state

00:35:09.520 election thing,

00:35:11.500 that was

00:35:12.080 called a

00:35:12.420 whim, a

00:35:13.220 whim of a

00:35:13.740 candidate.

00:35:15.060 No, I

00:35:15.420 don't think

00:35:15.800 it's a

00:35:16.220 whim to

00:35:18.220 cancel your

00:35:19.200 process of

00:35:22.120 the state.

00:35:23.260 So, I

00:35:23.840 think you

00:35:24.200 have the

00:35:24.460 same opinion

00:35:25.440 I do,

00:35:26.020 that Michigan

00:35:26.500 is rigged,

00:35:27.720 so you

00:35:28.560 don't have

00:35:28.920 to wonder

00:35:29.420 if the

00:35:30.020 election is

00:35:30.480 rigged,

00:35:30.860 because here

00:35:31.760 it is.

00:35:32.780 Now, is

00:35:33.140 this enough

00:35:33.600 to change

00:35:34.220 the results

00:35:34.720 of the

00:35:35.000 election?

00:35:37.300 Potentially,

00:35:38.420 we don't

00:35:38.840 know that,

00:35:40.040 but there

00:35:40.980 is some

00:35:41.360 suggestion that

00:35:42.140 the reason

00:35:42.660 that the

00:35:43.380 states want

00:35:43.860 to keep

00:35:44.160 RFK Jr.

00:35:44.980 on the

00:35:45.520 battleground

00:35:46.000 states is

00:35:47.320 because they

00:35:47.640 think it

00:35:47.920 will hurt

00:35:48.180 Trump.

00:35:49.500 Now, if

00:35:49.820 that's true,

00:35:50.600 I would say

00:35:51.060 the election

00:35:51.500 is already

00:35:51.920 rigged in

00:35:54.580 this way.

00:35:56.560 Am I

00:35:57.140 wrong?

00:35:58.580 So, I

00:35:59.200 think the

00:35:59.680 yes-no

00:36:00.620 of whether

00:36:01.120 the election

00:36:01.640 rigged is

00:36:02.120 now answered.

00:36:03.020 It's a

00:36:03.340 yes.

00:36:04.280 They

00:36:04.520 rigged it

00:36:05.080 in front

00:36:05.380 of us.

00:36:06.440 There's

00:36:06.700 no

00:36:06.860 apologies,

00:36:08.120 no

00:36:08.420 explanations.

00:36:09.880 Something

00:36:10.140 about the

00:36:10.620 whim of

00:36:10.960 the

00:36:11.120 candidate

00:36:11.520 isn't

00:36:11.920 exactly

00:36:12.380 a

00:36:12.600 reason.

00:36:14.180 So,

00:36:14.760 we have

00:36:15.960 reached the

00:36:16.360 point where

00:36:16.780 they can

00:36:17.120 rig it right

00:36:17.760 in front

00:36:18.060 of us,

00:36:19.080 right in

00:36:19.780 front of

00:36:20.040 us.

00:36:20.740 That's what

00:36:21.280 this is.

00:36:21.760 It's rigging

00:36:22.280 right in

00:36:22.720 front of

00:36:23.020 us.

00:36:24.040 And then

00:36:24.320 you'll go

00:36:25.520 to jail

00:36:26.020 if later

00:36:26.640 you say

00:36:26.980 it was

00:36:27.200 rigged.

00:36:29.080 You'll

00:36:29.480 go to

00:36:29.700 jail probably

00:36:30.740 because it

00:36:31.680 looks like

00:36:32.000 they're getting

00:36:32.320 pretty tight

00:36:32.860 on this

00:36:33.180 whole censorship

00:36:33.960 stuff.

00:36:36.580 But if

00:36:37.700 you're worried

00:36:38.080 about the

00:36:38.400 election,

00:36:38.980 let me tell

00:36:39.340 you that

00:36:39.680 they're,

00:36:41.020 let me just

00:36:41.840 tell you some

00:36:42.760 things to set

00:36:43.500 your mind at

00:36:44.120 ease.

00:36:45.780 Because suppose

00:36:46.620 the keeping

00:36:47.340 RFK Jr.

00:36:48.320 on the

00:36:48.920 election doesn't

00:36:49.620 make that

00:36:50.020 much difference.

00:36:51.260 It might

00:36:51.520 not make

00:36:51.900 that much

00:36:52.240 difference.

00:36:53.640 So,

00:36:54.020 really,

00:36:54.340 it would be

00:36:54.600 other things

00:36:55.380 that you'd

00:36:56.960 worry about.

00:36:58.300 But you

00:36:59.000 don't have to

00:36:59.580 worry about

00:36:59.900 the election

00:37:00.340 being rigged

00:37:01.080 unless you

00:37:01.980 see any of

00:37:02.540 these things.

00:37:03.200 So,

00:37:03.420 I'm going to

00:37:03.680 tell you the

00:37:04.120 signals that

00:37:05.060 you should

00:37:05.360 worry about.

00:37:06.820 But until

00:37:07.440 you see one

00:37:08.020 of these

00:37:08.300 signals,

00:37:09.480 don't worry

00:37:10.340 about it.

00:37:11.140 The elections

00:37:11.660 are fine.

00:37:12.360 All right?

00:37:12.760 So,

00:37:13.180 these are the

00:37:13.640 only things

00:37:14.000 you should

00:37:14.300 worry about.

00:37:14.800 Let's say

00:37:16.880 you heard

00:37:17.980 that the

00:37:18.340 election would

00:37:18.860 involve voting

00:37:19.940 machines in

00:37:21.340 some places

00:37:21.960 instead of

00:37:22.560 just paper

00:37:23.020 ballots.

00:37:25.080 Well,

00:37:25.600 that would be

00:37:26.280 something to

00:37:27.000 worry about.

00:37:27.620 That's not a

00:37:28.160 guarantee of

00:37:28.660 anything rigging.

00:37:30.180 But definitely

00:37:30.800 I'd worry about

00:37:31.580 it.

00:37:32.920 Why are you

00:37:33.560 doing that?

00:37:35.180 If they

00:37:35.820 didn't require

00:37:36.460 IDs to vote,

00:37:37.600 well,

00:37:37.920 I mean,

00:37:38.200 that'd be a

00:37:38.600 pretty strong

00:37:39.140 signal they

00:37:39.740 plan to

00:37:40.240 cheat.

00:37:41.360 But until

00:37:42.040 you see that,

00:37:43.000 don't worry

00:37:43.640 about the

00:37:43.960 elections.

00:37:45.800 If they

00:37:46.360 had massive

00:37:46.900 mail-in

00:37:47.380 voting,

00:37:48.240 well,

00:37:48.500 that'd be

00:37:48.760 a problem.

00:37:49.580 I mean,

00:37:49.780 that would

00:37:50.040 be a signal

00:37:50.660 that they

00:37:51.460 have bad

00:37:51.820 intentions,

00:37:52.480 especially if

00:37:53.020 it's added

00:37:53.460 to the

00:37:54.320 no ID

00:37:54.780 requirement.

00:37:55.800 Elon Musk

00:37:56.420 said that

00:37:57.160 on X

00:37:57.780 today,

00:37:58.280 that there

00:37:58.920 is no

00:37:59.240 other reason

00:37:59.900 to have

00:38:01.000 mail-in

00:38:01.360 voting and

00:38:02.460 no ID

00:38:03.080 required unless

00:38:03.940 the point

00:38:04.500 is to

00:38:04.820 cheat.

00:38:05.980 So,

00:38:06.680 it does

00:38:07.100 look like

00:38:07.520 they're doing

00:38:07.920 it right

00:38:08.200 in front

00:38:08.480 of us.

00:38:09.960 Right in

00:38:10.580 front of

00:38:10.840 you.

00:38:10.960 what about

00:38:14.600 having an

00:38:16.040 election that

00:38:16.600 would be

00:38:16.900 impossible to

00:38:17.800 audit even

00:38:18.420 if you

00:38:18.740 wanted to?

00:38:20.180 Well,

00:38:20.760 if that

00:38:21.420 were the

00:38:21.740 case,

00:38:22.060 I'd

00:38:22.240 certainly

00:38:22.560 be worried.

00:38:23.140 Oh,

00:38:24.860 that is

00:38:25.180 the case.

00:38:28.140 If one

00:38:29.260 side had

00:38:29.980 a dominant

00:38:30.920 control of

00:38:31.640 the media,

00:38:33.060 well,

00:38:33.540 that would

00:38:33.840 certainly

00:38:34.120 suggest some

00:38:34.880 cheating could

00:38:35.420 happen because

00:38:36.080 no matter what

00:38:36.760 they do,

00:38:37.940 the media

00:38:38.440 will say it

00:38:39.020 didn't happen.

00:38:40.780 So,

00:38:41.040 as long as

00:38:41.360 the media

00:38:41.760 is willing

00:38:42.140 to say it

00:38:42.580 didn't happen

00:38:43.180 and the

00:38:45.180 courts are

00:38:45.620 willing to

00:38:46.060 say you

00:38:46.740 don't have

00:38:47.080 a standing,

00:38:48.880 well,

00:38:49.340 that would

00:38:49.700 worry me

00:38:50.300 because that

00:38:50.920 would almost

00:38:51.380 guarantee

00:38:51.820 cheating,

00:38:52.280 just that

00:38:53.100 is set up.

00:38:54.900 But we

00:38:55.560 haven't seen

00:38:55.980 any cheating.

00:38:57.040 How about

00:38:57.460 if there

00:38:58.300 was really

00:38:59.140 vigorous and

00:38:59.900 almost insane

00:39:01.020 prosecution of

00:39:02.140 the January

00:39:02.660 6th

00:39:03.280 protesters?

00:39:04.840 Hmm.

00:39:05.560 If they

00:39:06.000 were overly

00:39:06.820 prosecuted and

00:39:08.140 the energy

00:39:10.160 that went

00:39:10.560 into that was

00:39:11.220 way beyond

00:39:12.020 what you

00:39:12.440 imagined would

00:39:13.200 be the

00:39:13.480 benefit to

00:39:14.020 the country,

00:39:15.020 well,

00:39:15.240 that would

00:39:15.500 worry me

00:39:16.080 because it

00:39:16.980 seems to

00:39:17.320 be sending

00:39:17.720 a signal

00:39:18.260 that if

00:39:19.120 you complain

00:39:19.740 about the

00:39:20.180 election being

00:39:20.800 rigged,

00:39:21.460 hypothetically,

00:39:22.280 that your

00:39:23.740 odds of

00:39:24.060 going to

00:39:24.420 jail are

00:39:24.880 through the

00:39:25.240 roof.

00:39:27.140 So that

00:39:27.760 would worry

00:39:28.160 me.

00:39:29.420 We haven't

00:39:30.080 seen that,

00:39:30.580 have we?

00:39:30.900 Have we

00:39:31.260 seen

00:39:31.660 aggressive,

00:39:33.960 seemingly

00:39:34.320 crazy

00:39:35.240 prosecutions

00:39:36.140 of January

00:39:36.740 6th

00:39:37.180 protesters like

00:39:38.020 grandmothers

00:39:38.560 who did

00:39:38.980 nothing but

00:39:39.460 pray inside

00:39:39.980 the Capitol?

00:39:41.040 I mean,

00:39:41.320 if we saw

00:39:41.800 that,

00:39:42.180 I'd be

00:39:42.420 worried.

00:39:45.100 How about

00:39:45.540 if the

00:39:46.360 entire media

00:39:47.120 and the

00:39:47.540 Democrats

00:39:48.000 had demonized

00:39:48.920 Trump

00:39:49.220 Trump as

00:39:49.460 Hitler?

00:39:50.560 Do you

00:39:51.100 think that

00:39:51.440 would increase

00:39:52.040 your odds

00:39:52.680 of a rigged

00:39:53.180 election?

00:39:54.700 Yeah,

00:39:55.220 it would be

00:39:55.540 through the

00:39:55.940 roof.

00:39:57.160 If they're

00:39:57.820 trying to

00:39:58.160 stop Hitler,

00:39:58.800 there's nothing

00:39:59.240 you wouldn't

00:39:59.680 do.

00:40:00.720 Let me tell

00:40:01.820 you for

00:40:02.300 sure,

00:40:02.980 if I

00:40:03.640 thought I

00:40:04.040 could stop

00:40:04.700 Hitler,

00:40:05.200 I would

00:40:05.900 definitely

00:40:06.440 rig an

00:40:07.180 election.

00:40:08.520 Because I

00:40:09.140 want to

00:40:09.440 stop

00:40:09.700 Hitler.

00:40:11.860 I don't

00:40:12.460 care what

00:40:13.020 Tucker Carlson's

00:40:14.780 guest said.

00:40:15.280 I'm not

00:40:17.280 even going

00:40:17.580 to talk

00:40:17.860 about that.

00:40:19.420 Tucker Carlson

00:40:20.300 had an

00:40:20.660 interesting

00:40:21.160 historian who

00:40:23.260 said some

00:40:25.280 things about

00:40:25.900 the Holocaust

00:40:26.940 and World

00:40:27.660 War II

00:40:28.120 that are so

00:40:29.340 hot that

00:40:30.680 I'm just

00:40:31.020 going to

00:40:31.280 say,

00:40:31.820 I'm out.

00:40:33.740 I'm out.

00:40:35.160 Now,

00:40:35.560 I don't

00:40:35.920 buy into

00:40:36.920 what the

00:40:38.180 historian and

00:40:39.060 Tucker were

00:40:39.580 saying,

00:40:40.740 so I don't

00:40:41.920 accept his

00:40:43.060 narrative,

00:40:44.360 but it

00:40:45.100 sure shook

00:40:45.540 things up.

00:40:46.800 Shook

00:40:47.120 things up.

00:40:50.580 And here's

00:40:51.740 the other

00:40:51.960 thing I

00:40:52.260 would worry

00:40:52.620 about is

00:40:53.300 if for

00:40:53.860 reasons that

00:40:54.440 you can't

00:40:54.880 understand,

00:40:56.120 the polling

00:40:56.700 before the

00:40:57.440 election seems

00:40:58.180 really,

00:40:59.460 really weirdly

00:41:00.420 close.

00:41:02.380 That would

00:41:03.040 worry me.

00:41:03.820 If I saw

00:41:04.660 something that

00:41:05.220 shouldn't be

00:41:05.800 close, but

00:41:06.620 somehow it

00:41:07.380 is, that

00:41:08.900 would look

00:41:09.220 like they're

00:41:09.620 setting you

00:41:10.140 up for

00:41:10.560 rigging, but

00:41:12.340 making you

00:41:12.820 think it was

00:41:13.240 just a tiny

00:41:13.820 little change

00:41:14.540 and you

00:41:14.840 can't be

00:41:15.160 sure that

00:41:15.520 was because

00:41:15.960 of any

00:41:16.280 rigging.

00:41:17.960 So, in

00:41:19.120 summary, I

00:41:21.020 wouldn't be

00:41:21.520 worried about

00:41:22.240 the election

00:41:22.900 integrity unless

00:41:24.080 you saw any

00:41:24.940 one of these

00:41:25.620 things happening.

00:41:26.920 Using voting

00:41:27.740 machines instead

00:41:28.560 of paper

00:41:28.980 ballots, no

00:41:29.720 ID required

00:41:30.680 along with

00:41:31.240 mail-in

00:41:31.620 voting, RFK

00:41:32.440 Jr. put on

00:41:33.160 the ballot

00:41:33.560 against his

00:41:34.180 will, election

00:41:35.640 design that's

00:41:36.560 impossible to

00:41:37.280 audit, full

00:41:37.980 control of the

00:41:38.660 media, January

00:41:39.760 6th prosecutions

00:41:41.500 being aggressive

00:41:43.060 to chill

00:41:43.560 dissent, demonizing

00:41:44.900 Trump as

00:41:45.420 Hitler, and

00:41:47.860 then suspiciously

00:41:49.000 close polling

00:41:50.700 results.

00:41:52.500 If you saw

00:41:53.460 any of that

00:41:54.200 happening, well,

00:41:56.000 I'd be worried

00:41:56.560 about the

00:41:56.920 election integrity.

00:41:58.480 But as long

00:41:59.280 as we don't see

00:41:59.800 any of that, I

00:42:01.980 think we'll be

00:42:02.440 fine.

00:42:02.740 Meanwhile, as

00:42:07.100 Stephen Miller

00:42:07.780 reminds us, if

00:42:09.340 Kamala Harris

00:42:09.980 wins, she

00:42:11.300 showed a

00:42:12.840 willingness and

00:42:14.300 an enthusiasm

00:42:15.460 for packing the

00:42:16.460 court.

00:42:17.440 We know that

00:42:17.940 Schumer's already

00:42:18.760 said they want

00:42:19.360 to do a

00:42:19.740 filibuster or

00:42:20.940 get rid of

00:42:21.320 the filibuster.

00:42:22.680 So if the

00:42:23.360 Democrats had

00:42:24.060 control, they

00:42:25.980 would basically

00:42:27.240 become authoritarian

00:42:28.420 at that point

00:42:29.280 because you would

00:42:29.800 get rid of one

00:42:30.480 branch of

00:42:31.000 government.

00:42:31.320 If you could

00:42:32.860 pack the

00:42:33.380 court that

00:42:34.900 aggressively, you

00:42:35.720 could argue it's

00:42:36.300 already packed, but

00:42:37.140 if you could do it

00:42:38.080 that aggressively by

00:42:39.080 changing the number

00:42:39.960 of people on the

00:42:40.640 court so you can

00:42:41.560 just fill it with

00:42:42.440 your own people and

00:42:43.200 have a majority.

00:42:46.160 As Stephen Miller

00:42:47.080 points out, that

00:42:48.260 would be the end

00:42:48.820 of the terms of

00:42:50.200 our constitutional

00:42:51.040 amendments.

00:42:51.760 It would be the

00:42:52.180 end of the first,

00:42:52.880 second, fourth,

00:42:53.580 fifth, and sixth.

00:42:55.720 Now, that's a

00:42:57.740 lot of freedom to

00:43:00.500 lose right there.

00:43:02.080 Does that seem

00:43:03.020 reasonable that

00:43:04.280 Kamala Harris would

00:43:05.080 pack the court?

00:43:05.880 She said so

00:43:06.560 directly.

00:43:07.700 It's on video.

00:43:09.220 We're not guessing

00:43:10.360 that she might do

00:43:11.180 it.

00:43:12.180 Said so directly.

00:43:13.600 Now, she said

00:43:14.400 she would be open

00:43:15.800 to it.

00:43:16.940 I don't think she

00:43:17.800 said, I will do

00:43:18.620 that.

00:43:19.580 But if you say

00:43:20.300 you're open to

00:43:20.980 it, I mean, I

00:43:23.840 can't imagine you

00:43:24.560 wouldn't do it.

00:43:28.320 Anyway, so that's

00:43:29.520 looking bad.

00:43:30.160 So, we have a

00:43:32.660 situation where

00:43:33.500 we've got all

00:43:35.220 these signals of

00:43:36.380 a planned

00:43:37.380 rigged election.

00:43:39.380 A planned

00:43:40.420 rigged election.

00:43:41.840 The signals are

00:43:42.700 there.

00:43:43.200 Now, I'm not

00:43:43.720 claiming that the

00:43:45.400 election is rigged.

00:43:46.620 That would take a

00:43:47.680 whole different

00:43:48.180 level of knowledge

00:43:49.520 that I don't have.

00:43:50.600 I'm just saying

00:43:51.260 that the signals

00:43:51.960 are screaming that

00:43:53.320 it's planned to be

00:43:54.320 rigged.

00:43:55.040 Screaming.

00:43:55.420 Right.

00:43:57.180 Now, why would

00:43:58.060 you design a

00:43:58.760 system, the

00:44:01.040 whole point of

00:44:01.700 it, to be

00:44:02.420 credible, and

00:44:03.780 at the same time

00:44:04.640 allow these

00:44:05.360 screaming signals

00:44:06.460 to be there?

00:44:07.820 Why would you

00:44:08.540 do that?

00:44:10.560 Well, who

00:44:11.920 knows?

00:44:12.920 CNN says 15%

00:44:14.380 of likely voters

00:44:15.400 in six battleground

00:44:16.720 states are still

00:44:17.500 undecided.

00:44:18.140 Now, they're

00:44:20.060 quite adamant

00:44:20.780 that Pennsylvania

00:44:21.460 is the most

00:44:22.580 important of all

00:44:23.280 the states, but

00:44:24.240 do you believe

00:44:24.880 that 15% of

00:44:26.560 likely voters

00:44:27.460 are undecided

00:44:28.980 anywhere?

00:44:30.500 Do you think

00:44:31.200 that's really?

00:44:32.520 Is that true?

00:44:34.440 15%?

00:44:36.340 I don't know

00:44:37.260 that I've met

00:44:37.880 anybody.

00:44:39.680 I feel like the

00:44:40.660 only undecided

00:44:41.540 part is whether

00:44:42.280 they'll vote or

00:44:43.040 not.

00:44:44.340 I don't feel like

00:44:45.280 they're really

00:44:45.820 undecided between

00:44:46.960 Harris and

00:44:48.120 Trump.

00:44:49.320 Have you ever

00:44:50.040 met anybody

00:44:50.760 who's undecided?

00:44:52.960 If it's really

00:44:53.780 15%, you know,

00:44:55.480 you'd expect that

00:44:56.160 to be in other

00:44:56.800 states as well.

00:44:58.020 Don't you think

00:44:58.600 you'd run into

00:44:59.240 those people?

00:45:01.040 Do any of you

00:45:01.900 know anybody

00:45:02.480 who's undecided?

00:45:05.420 I think the

00:45:06.440 undecideds are

00:45:07.220 just lying.

00:45:09.080 Now, if you

00:45:09.840 were going to

00:45:10.240 lie and say

00:45:11.500 you were undecided,

00:45:12.980 who are you

00:45:13.760 going to vote

00:45:14.140 for?

00:45:16.080 You know the

00:45:16.760 answer to that.

00:45:17.380 If you're

00:45:18.320 going to lie

00:45:18.800 to a pollster

00:45:19.620 and say,

00:45:20.360 oh, well,

00:45:21.540 I'm kind of

00:45:23.520 undecided because,

00:45:25.100 you know,

00:45:26.880 they both look

00:45:27.940 bad to me.

00:45:29.680 Who's that person

00:45:30.680 going to vote

00:45:31.160 for?

00:45:32.760 I think Trump

00:45:34.040 because if you

00:45:36.240 liked Harris,

00:45:38.460 you'd probably

00:45:38.900 just say so

00:45:39.660 because that's

00:45:41.500 easy to do.

00:45:42.380 if you like

00:45:43.520 Trump, you

00:45:44.860 might play it

00:45:45.700 a little bit

00:45:46.200 cool and say,

00:45:47.360 well, I don't

00:45:48.120 know, I might

00:45:48.920 decide at the

00:45:50.580 last minute or

00:45:51.360 something, but I

00:45:52.080 couldn't possibly

00:45:52.760 decide now.

00:45:54.000 Just staying out

00:45:54.860 of the blast

00:45:55.360 zone.

00:45:57.240 So I would

00:45:57.780 think that the

00:45:58.960 more, quote,

00:46:01.560 quote, undecided

00:46:02.980 voters there are,

00:46:03.840 the more likely

00:46:04.480 Trump will win.

00:46:06.200 Or at least he

00:46:07.120 would if the

00:46:09.120 election is

00:46:09.700 clean.

00:46:12.220 Well, Trump

00:46:12.920 was on Lex

00:46:13.640 Friedman's

00:46:14.480 show, and

00:46:17.820 I don't know

00:46:18.320 the, I saw

00:46:19.220 some things he

00:46:20.520 said.

00:46:20.840 I'm not sure he

00:46:21.340 really made any

00:46:21.980 news worth

00:46:22.500 mentioning on

00:46:23.100 that, but

00:46:23.980 it's another

00:46:26.120 example of

00:46:27.360 Trump basically

00:46:29.640 putting everything

00:46:30.680 out there for

00:46:31.300 you to look at.

00:46:32.760 You know, he's

00:46:33.460 got four years

00:46:34.180 of being president,

00:46:35.040 so we got to

00:46:35.520 look at all of

00:46:36.220 that.

00:46:37.260 He's been the

00:46:38.000 most, um,

00:46:39.120 researched,

00:46:40.760 investigated

00:46:41.460 person of

00:46:43.040 all time, so

00:46:44.040 we've seen all

00:46:44.620 of that, and

00:46:45.940 then he'll go

00:46:46.560 on any podcast

00:46:47.780 and answer any

00:46:49.840 question for as

00:46:50.760 long as you

00:46:51.200 want, it looks

00:46:51.880 like, so that

00:46:53.080 you really know

00:46:53.620 who he is.

00:46:55.500 As Bill

00:46:56.280 Ackman pointed

00:46:56.940 out, Harris

00:46:57.980 has done, you

00:46:58.860 know, nothing

00:46:59.200 close to that,

00:47:00.760 which means that

00:47:01.720 you have one

00:47:02.300 candidate who

00:47:03.020 wants voters to

00:47:03.840 know everything

00:47:04.460 about him, and

00:47:06.800 the other

00:47:07.080 candidate wants

00:47:07.860 you to know

00:47:08.300 nothing about

00:47:08.940 her.

00:47:09.960 Which one, which

00:47:11.120 one makes you

00:47:11.820 feel comfortable?

00:47:13.160 The one who's

00:47:14.260 completely transparent

00:47:16.100 or the one

00:47:18.740 who's the

00:47:19.500 opposite?

00:47:21.940 It's a, it's

00:47:23.540 amazing to me

00:47:24.760 that we're

00:47:26.220 accepting this as

00:47:27.220 okay, and the

00:47:28.020 Democrats are

00:47:28.660 like, oh, now

00:47:30.060 that you mention

00:47:30.600 it, having

00:47:31.540 interviews is the

00:47:32.400 dumbest thing in

00:47:32.960 the world, and we

00:47:33.500 won't do any of

00:47:34.140 it.

00:47:34.300 Claudia was

00:47:37.260 leaving for her

00:47:37.880 pickleball tournament.

00:47:38.820 I've been

00:47:39.080 visualizing my

00:47:39.880 match all week.

00:47:41.320 She was so

00:47:41.940 focused on

00:47:42.440 visualizing that

00:47:43.320 she didn't see

00:47:43.920 the column behind

00:47:44.580 her car on her

00:47:45.480 backhand side.

00:47:47.360 Good thing

00:47:48.020 Claudia's with

00:47:48.660 Intact, the

00:47:49.460 insurer with the

00:47:50.260 largest network of

00:47:51.120 auto service centers

00:47:51.940 in the country.

00:47:53.040 Everything was

00:47:53.580 taken care of

00:47:54.220 under one roof,

00:47:55.040 and she was on

00:47:55.660 her way in a

00:47:56.120 rental car in no

00:47:57.060 time.

00:47:57.360 I made it to my

00:47:58.440 tournament, and

00:47:59.720 lost in the first

00:48:00.340 round.

00:48:01.000 But you got there

00:48:02.000 on time.

00:48:02.460 Intact Insurance,

00:48:03.940 your auto

00:48:04.360 service ace.

00:48:05.440 Certain conditions

00:48:06.000 apply.

00:48:08.020 Kevin O'Leary

00:48:08.900 was on CNN, and

00:48:10.600 he said this

00:48:11.800 before, but

00:48:12.420 every time he

00:48:12.960 says it, I like

00:48:13.980 hearing it, just

00:48:14.800 because it's a

00:48:15.360 dose of truth, and

00:48:16.220 because he said

00:48:16.800 it on CNN.

00:48:18.040 He said, quote,

00:48:18.740 I don't put

00:48:19.240 companies in

00:48:20.300 here, New York

00:48:21.040 anymore, or in

00:48:22.100 New Jersey or

00:48:22.840 California.

00:48:23.660 Those states are

00:48:24.420 uninvestable.

00:48:26.720 I think he said

00:48:27.620 Massachusetts, right?

00:48:29.700 So New York,

00:48:30.540 Massachusetts, New

00:48:31.560 Jersey, California,

00:48:33.100 he calls them

00:48:33.640 uninvestable, because

00:48:35.060 the policies are

00:48:35.880 insane, the taxes

00:48:36.760 are too high, and

00:48:38.120 the regulations are

00:48:39.480 ridiculous.

00:48:43.080 Now, I'm of the

00:48:45.360 same opinion.

00:48:46.160 I've told you

00:48:46.660 this.

00:48:47.880 I have this

00:48:48.760 habit, sort of a

00:48:50.000 mental hobby, I

00:48:51.080 guess, of thinking

00:48:52.400 about what small

00:48:54.040 businesses I can

00:48:55.100 start locally.

00:48:57.440 Like, I'd really

00:48:58.060 love to open a

00:48:59.160 cat-petting

00:49:00.080 cafe.

00:49:01.560 where you

00:49:02.420 could be, I

00:49:03.060 don't know, maybe

00:49:03.840 buy a ticket or

00:49:04.920 be a member or

00:49:05.640 something, and

00:49:06.540 it's a place you

00:49:07.140 could take your

00:49:07.620 laptop to, you

00:49:09.860 know, a cafe

00:49:10.380 setting, and it

00:49:12.580 would be full of

00:49:13.100 cats.

00:49:14.860 And you could

00:49:15.520 pet them, or you

00:49:16.140 could ignore them,

00:49:16.900 or you could just

00:49:17.400 be there where

00:49:17.940 they are.

00:49:18.780 But you would

00:49:19.320 just sort of be in

00:49:19.980 a place where

00:49:20.440 there's a bunch

00:49:20.780 of cats.

00:49:22.540 And I think, you

00:49:23.620 know, I don't

00:49:23.940 know if I could

00:49:24.340 make money on it,

00:49:25.180 but, you know, if I

00:49:26.460 owned the building or

00:49:27.440 something, it

00:49:27.860 wouldn't be too

00:49:28.320 bad.

00:49:28.580 It would be fun

00:49:31.060 just to hang out

00:49:31.700 there.

00:49:32.240 And then I think,

00:49:33.240 oh, oh, no, I

00:49:34.040 live in California.

00:49:36.020 You know why I

00:49:36.820 wouldn't make a

00:49:37.580 business in

00:49:38.180 California?

00:49:39.660 It's too hard.

00:49:41.320 It's too hard.

00:49:42.060 If I were in

00:49:42.660 North Dakota, there

00:49:44.100 would already be a

00:49:45.320 cat cafe.

00:49:46.540 Like, literally,

00:49:47.600 truly, I literally

00:49:48.940 would have built the

00:49:49.700 cat cafe if I

00:49:50.740 lived in North

00:49:51.900 Dakota, because I

00:49:53.440 would imagine the

00:49:54.420 regulations would be

00:49:55.580 less.

00:49:55.900 And if I made

00:49:57.360 money, I know

00:49:58.080 taxes, probably

00:49:58.800 less.

00:50:00.200 So, yeah,

00:50:01.460 California is, in

00:50:03.480 my opinion, without

00:50:04.520 any exaggeration,

00:50:06.520 uninvestable.

00:50:08.680 They really need to

00:50:09.660 fix that.

00:50:11.100 I don't know how

00:50:12.140 long you can go

00:50:12.940 being uninvestable.

00:50:14.880 I mean, the

00:50:15.240 exceptions might be

00:50:16.140 startups, because if

00:50:17.300 they work, they work

00:50:18.360 really well.

00:50:20.440 But traditional

00:50:21.560 businesses, I just

00:50:22.580 don't know why you

00:50:23.100 do it here.

00:50:24.280 I agree with

00:50:24.900 Kevin O'Leary.

00:50:25.900 There are two

00:50:28.500 pollsters, both

00:50:30.520 southern.

00:50:31.600 I don't know if

00:50:32.080 that matters.

00:50:33.460 But they have

00:50:34.500 Trump looking good

00:50:36.360 in the polls.

00:50:37.220 Now, a lot of the

00:50:37.880 polls are showing

00:50:38.440 that Harris has

00:50:39.100 slightly had within

00:50:40.320 the margin of

00:50:40.900 error.

00:50:42.040 But Trafalgar is

00:50:43.480 interesting, because

00:50:44.240 they were one of

00:50:44.820 the top, traditionally,

00:50:46.740 they've been one of

00:50:47.280 the top pollsters for

00:50:48.660 presidential elections.

00:50:49.720 and they've got

00:50:51.460 Trump winning with

00:50:55.180 296 electoral votes,

00:50:57.020 according to their

00:50:57.800 best polling

00:50:59.340 methods, which

00:51:01.500 would suggest

00:51:02.300 that whatever

00:51:05.240 momentum Harris

00:51:06.400 got is over.

00:51:08.220 So the big story

00:51:09.300 is not how Trump

00:51:10.320 is polling.

00:51:11.400 The big story is

00:51:12.520 that there was just

00:51:13.180 a Democratic

00:51:13.820 National Convention.

00:51:15.500 There was, you

00:51:16.120 know, enormous

00:51:17.140 media support for

00:51:18.940 Harris, and it

00:51:21.140 didn't seem to

00:51:21.800 move her polls.

00:51:24.220 So she's

00:51:25.560 probably, there's

00:51:27.420 a really good

00:51:27.960 chance, unless

00:51:30.300 there's some big

00:51:30.980 October surprise or

00:51:32.080 something, there's a

00:51:33.060 really big chance

00:51:33.960 they've already seen

00:51:35.780 her peak.

00:51:37.080 Because it's all

00:51:37.900 good news when you

00:51:38.940 first start, right?

00:51:39.860 It's just the glow

00:51:41.040 of the honeymoon.

00:51:41.920 But once the

00:51:43.160 honeymoon wears off,

00:51:44.100 you're going to

00:51:44.340 have to talk.

00:51:46.040 You're going to

00:51:46.640 have to have a

00:51:47.220 debate.

00:51:49.200 I think everything

00:51:50.280 could be different

00:51:50.980 after the debate.

00:51:52.900 But that might be

00:51:54.520 giving people too

00:51:55.240 much credit, because

00:51:56.940 I think that she

00:51:57.600 could go up there

00:51:58.240 and drool on the

00:51:59.240 floor, and she

00:52:01.460 would only lose

00:52:02.160 5% of her support.

00:52:04.540 So if you look

00:52:05.420 at how Biden did

00:52:06.340 in his debate

00:52:07.940 with Trump, we

00:52:10.000 all agree that

00:52:11.140 he did terrible,

00:52:13.160 terrible, terrible,

00:52:13.780 and that was the

00:52:14.460 end of him.

00:52:15.500 But what did

00:52:16.320 people say after

00:52:17.240 the debate?

00:52:18.660 Democrats were

00:52:19.580 pretty much still

00:52:20.680 all in on him.

00:52:22.760 Was it like a

00:52:23.800 five-point difference?

00:52:26.580 Something like

00:52:27.420 that, right?

00:52:28.160 He only dropped

00:52:29.540 like five points

00:52:30.580 by showing he was

00:52:31.940 brain-dead in

00:52:32.780 public.

00:52:34.200 Just hold that

00:52:35.000 in your head.

00:52:36.500 Biden showed

00:52:37.200 everybody, the

00:52:39.120 whole world,

00:52:40.480 left and right,

00:52:41.140 we all saw

00:52:41.760 it, and

00:52:42.200 everybody had

00:52:42.660 the same

00:52:43.000 impression.

00:52:43.960 Uh-oh, he's

00:52:45.100 brain-dead.

00:52:46.120 It only cost

00:52:47.080 him five

00:52:47.580 fucking points

00:52:48.440 in the poll.

00:52:50.420 Right?

00:52:50.620 Now, five is

00:52:51.240 enough for a

00:52:52.480 landslide because

00:52:53.580 of our system,

00:52:54.540 but only five

00:52:56.900 points-ish.

00:52:58.820 I'm just making

00:52:59.460 that up from

00:52:59.980 memory.

00:53:01.880 So if Harris

00:53:03.260 shows up, and

00:53:04.920 you can tell

00:53:05.520 that she has a

00:53:06.260 functional brain,

00:53:07.280 brain, unlike

00:53:08.440 Biden, if

00:53:10.580 her brain

00:53:11.060 functions, but

00:53:12.260 she just doesn't

00:53:12.980 have a good

00:53:13.460 debate, I'm

00:53:15.140 not sure that

00:53:15.720 will move one

00:53:16.420 vote.

00:53:17.620 I really don't

00:53:18.580 know that it'll

00:53:18.980 make any

00:53:19.340 difference.

00:53:20.220 Because they

00:53:20.860 really just

00:53:21.400 wanted somebody

00:53:22.040 who wasn't

00:53:22.460 brain-dead.

00:53:23.240 That, you

00:53:23.780 know, we

00:53:24.280 finally hit the

00:53:25.080 limit of how

00:53:25.960 low they would

00:53:26.480 be willing to

00:53:27.020 go.

00:53:27.300 Well, okay,

00:53:29.400 brain-dead might

00:53:30.440 be too far.

00:53:31.280 I'm going to

00:53:33.740 admit that not

00:53:35.400 having a

00:53:35.960 functioning brain,

00:53:37.360 okay, that

00:53:38.660 might be a

00:53:39.220 standard we can

00:53:40.020 agree on.

00:53:42.220 But a simple

00:53:43.380 bad debate, I

00:53:45.060 don't know, might

00:53:45.800 not change

00:53:46.260 anybody's mind.

00:53:48.180 Here's a little

00:53:48.940 factoid that

00:53:50.200 pings my pattern

00:53:52.300 recognition, but

00:53:53.860 maybe it

00:53:55.200 shouldn't.

00:53:56.600 So I'm going to

00:53:57.420 tell you something

00:53:58.020 that looks like a

00:53:58.760 pattern, and

00:54:00.080 then I want you

00:54:00.700 to tell me,

00:54:02.040 Scott, that's

00:54:03.120 confirmation bias.

00:54:05.880 There are lots

00:54:06.720 of coincidences

00:54:07.580 in the world.

00:54:09.480 Not everything's

00:54:10.280 a pattern.

00:54:11.900 It's not all a

00:54:12.680 conspiracy theory,

00:54:13.960 Scott.

00:54:15.400 So I saw

00:54:16.840 this in a post

00:54:17.380 by Eric

00:54:18.300 Abinanti.

00:54:21.080 Did you know

00:54:22.120 that when Harris

00:54:22.960 was running in

00:54:23.660 2010 for,

00:54:26.280 what was she

00:54:26.660 running for,

00:54:27.260 attorney general

00:54:27.840 or something,

00:54:29.040 that she

00:54:30.700 it took four

00:54:31.960 weeks after the

00:54:32.860 vote was over

00:54:33.560 for her to

00:54:34.540 win, that

00:54:36.300 after election

00:54:37.140 night on

00:54:37.680 2010, Kamala

00:54:39.600 Harris was

00:54:40.120 behind.

00:54:42.600 But after

00:54:43.520 they kept

00:54:43.940 counting votes

00:54:44.720 and kept

00:54:45.160 counting votes

00:54:45.760 and kept

00:54:46.140 counting votes

00:54:46.800 for four

00:54:47.880 weeks, they

00:54:49.560 finally found

00:54:51.640 enough votes,

00:54:52.980 and she won

00:54:53.920 narrowly.

00:54:55.040 Did you know

00:54:55.540 that?

00:54:55.740 Did you

00:54:59.340 know that

00:54:59.840 LBJ in

00:55:01.060 1941,

00:55:02.300 won on

00:55:09.220 election day,

00:55:09.840 but his

00:55:10.080 opponent found

00:55:10.840 votes days

00:55:11.500 later and

00:55:11.980 won?

00:55:13.420 Oh, he

00:55:14.120 found votes

00:55:14.620 days later.

00:55:15.620 But in

00:55:16.020 1948, LBJ

00:55:18.760 lost on

00:55:19.580 election day,

00:55:20.560 but later

00:55:21.880 they found

00:55:22.380 votes and

00:55:22.920 there was

00:55:23.120 enough for

00:55:23.420 him to

00:55:23.640 win.

00:55:23.820 And

00:55:25.740 so there

00:55:26.860 does seem

00:55:27.460 to be a

00:55:28.500 little bit

00:55:28.880 of history.

00:55:31.420 How about

00:55:32.240 Norm Coleman?

00:55:33.600 In 2008, he

00:55:34.880 won on

00:55:35.600 election day

00:55:36.300 against Al

00:55:37.700 Franken, but

00:55:39.640 there were

00:55:39.900 still votes

00:55:40.380 coming in,

00:55:41.600 and those

00:55:42.080 votes came

00:55:42.600 in, and

00:55:43.080 after months

00:55:44.760 of counting

00:55:45.260 them, Al

00:55:45.760 Franken won.

00:55:48.520 And then, of

00:55:49.320 course, it was

00:55:49.800 Trump who

00:55:50.280 won.

00:55:51.100 If you

00:55:51.480 looked at

00:55:51.840 election day

00:55:52.400 only, it

00:55:52.760 looked like

00:55:53.060 he won,

00:55:53.480 but weeks

00:55:54.780 later,

00:55:55.120 after they

00:55:56.560 kept counting

00:55:57.020 the votes,

00:55:58.060 not weeks

00:55:58.800 later, but

00:55:59.360 sooner, they

00:56:02.020 kept counting

00:56:02.460 those votes

00:56:02.980 and they

00:56:03.380 found votes.

00:56:04.580 And next

00:56:05.240 thing you

00:56:05.480 know, Biden

00:56:05.860 won.

00:56:07.360 Now, is

00:56:09.600 that a fake

00:56:10.200 pattern?

00:56:11.540 Or is it

00:56:12.440 screaming at

00:56:13.200 us that as

00:56:14.280 long as the

00:56:14.820 election is

00:56:15.380 close, the

00:56:17.540 Democrat can

00:56:18.420 always find

00:56:19.000 some votes?

00:56:20.940 Does that

00:56:21.560 have to do

00:56:21.900 with mail-in

00:56:22.400 votes?

00:56:23.380 Are those a

00:56:24.240 related topic?

00:56:25.300 I don't

00:56:25.680 know.

00:56:27.820 Is it

00:56:28.600 true that

00:56:29.560 this looks

00:56:31.000 exactly the

00:56:31.740 way it

00:56:32.000 looks, or

00:56:32.880 is it

00:56:33.220 leaving out

00:56:33.800 things that

00:56:35.080 would have

00:56:35.340 changed the

00:56:35.800 pattern?

00:56:36.360 Is there

00:56:36.600 something

00:56:36.900 omitted?

00:56:37.720 Like, for

00:56:38.160 example, lots

00:56:39.360 of examples

00:56:39.920 where Republicans

00:56:40.800 won after

00:56:42.980 the vote was

00:56:44.200 recounted?

00:56:45.780 I don't

00:56:46.440 know.

00:56:47.400 But I do

00:56:48.680 think that a

00:56:50.040 close vote is

00:56:51.300 going to be

00:56:51.680 real dicey in

00:56:52.600 terms of

00:56:52.900 getting the

00:56:53.220 public to

00:56:53.680 believe that

00:56:54.160 the vote is

00:56:54.780 true, if

00:56:55.440 it's just

00:56:55.820 close.

00:56:58.200 Did you

00:56:58.800 know that

00:56:59.420 in places

00:57:00.280 like Oakland

00:57:00.960 and others,

00:57:02.240 that if you

00:57:02.960 commit a crime

00:57:03.780 and that crime

00:57:05.340 was outdoors

00:57:06.060 and it was

00:57:06.460 anywhere near

00:57:07.280 a Tesla

00:57:08.020 vehicle, that

00:57:10.100 the police

00:57:10.860 can get that

00:57:13.520 video from

00:57:14.400 your Tesla if

00:57:15.200 they use a

00:57:15.640 legal process

00:57:16.320 to get it?

00:57:17.500 And the

00:57:19.740 cars just

00:57:20.380 sent out there

00:57:20.940 basically as

00:57:21.820 permanent

00:57:22.420 security cameras.

00:57:23.680 You know, if

00:57:24.280 you do a

00:57:24.760 crime around

00:57:25.560 the Tesla,

00:57:26.440 it's going to

00:57:27.460 be on video

00:57:28.060 because the

00:57:28.960 Tesla recorded

00:57:29.760 it.

00:57:31.720 Now, I

00:57:33.480 think my

00:57:34.080 BMW X5

00:57:36.140 also has

00:57:36.960 that service,

00:57:38.120 has cameras

00:57:38.800 all around.

00:57:39.720 I don't think

00:57:40.360 they're running

00:57:40.780 all the time,

00:57:41.940 but it does

00:57:43.380 give me pause

00:57:44.140 for what I do

00:57:44.740 in my man

00:57:45.300 cave because

00:57:47.240 my man cave

00:57:48.700 is right next

00:57:49.300 to my car.

00:57:50.940 And I've

00:57:51.980 got a feeling

00:57:52.500 that if

00:57:53.460 somebody wanted

00:57:54.100 to, they

00:57:54.920 could just

00:57:55.260 turn on the

00:57:55.720 camera and

00:57:56.160 watch me

00:57:56.560 sitting in

00:57:57.020 my man cave

00:57:57.680 through my

00:57:58.480 car, you

00:58:00.080 know, if a

00:58:00.520 hacker wanted

00:58:01.080 to.

00:58:01.940 Think about

00:58:02.500 that.

00:58:05.640 Well, I

00:58:06.820 asked a

00:58:07.200 question on

00:58:08.900 X and then

00:58:09.840 I noticed that

00:58:10.520 it was in the

00:58:11.460 Explorer tab

00:58:12.760 today.

00:58:13.360 I don't know

00:58:13.700 if it's because

00:58:14.440 I'm the one

00:58:15.580 who asked it

00:58:16.160 or it got

00:58:16.820 popular, but

00:58:18.180 the question

00:58:20.360 I asked

00:58:20.760 was, how

00:58:23.160 can you be

00:58:23.720 in favor of

00:58:25.060 reparations

00:58:25.760 at the same

00:58:28.240 time you're

00:58:28.680 trying to be

00:58:29.200 unburdened by

00:58:29.960 what has

00:58:30.340 been?

00:58:32.860 And if

00:58:34.060 you need an

00:58:34.540 argument against

00:58:35.240 reparations, you

00:58:36.900 should say, you

00:58:37.620 know, I have

00:58:37.980 some advice for

00:58:38.700 you.

00:58:39.520 And this

00:58:40.180 comes from

00:58:40.820 Kamala Harris,

00:58:42.220 who, according

00:58:44.360 to many sources,

00:58:45.340 is black.

00:58:48.040 And she

00:58:49.180 says you

00:58:50.080 should be

00:58:50.460 unburdened by

00:58:51.300 what has

00:58:51.700 been.

00:58:53.140 And that

00:58:53.600 slavery has

00:58:54.360 been.

00:58:55.680 And you

00:58:55.980 should be

00:58:56.260 unburdened by

00:58:56.880 that.

00:58:57.740 And let's

00:58:58.260 not live in

00:58:58.740 the past.

00:58:59.700 Let's look

00:59:00.180 forward.

00:59:02.020 So it

00:59:03.880 sounds like

00:59:04.400 I'm mocking,

00:59:05.140 but I'm

00:59:05.400 actually agreeing

00:59:06.660 with the idea

00:59:07.340 of looking

00:59:07.720 forward.

00:59:09.580 And by the

00:59:10.320 way, let me

00:59:10.760 give you a

00:59:11.140 persuasion update.

00:59:12.920 So, and I

00:59:13.920 think that should

00:59:14.420 be the end of

00:59:15.020 reparations, by

00:59:15.880 the way.

00:59:17.020 We should

00:59:17.520 say, Kamala

00:59:19.060 Harris says,

00:59:19.860 and we agree,

00:59:20.740 we should not

00:59:21.320 be burdened by

00:59:22.080 the past.

00:59:23.460 And although

00:59:24.120 the claims

00:59:25.780 of harm

00:59:26.560 have validity,

00:59:30.980 we just

00:59:32.120 don't care.

00:59:33.360 Because lots

00:59:34.460 of people

00:59:34.920 could be

00:59:35.720 randomly put

00:59:36.580 into groups

00:59:37.200 that you

00:59:37.520 measured and

00:59:38.080 found out

00:59:38.540 they didn't

00:59:38.920 do well.

00:59:39.960 Have you

00:59:40.320 seen the

00:59:40.740 study of

00:59:41.480 short people?

00:59:42.280 you know,

00:59:44.540 the study

00:59:45.320 showing that

00:59:45.800 short people

00:59:46.300 are discriminated

00:59:47.120 against, and

00:59:47.620 always have

00:59:48.060 been, and

00:59:49.060 they earn

00:59:49.500 less?

00:59:51.560 You probably

00:59:52.320 haven't seen

00:59:52.780 that study

00:59:53.280 because nobody

00:59:53.800 cares about it.

00:59:55.500 How about

00:59:55.820 the one where

00:59:56.320 ugly people

00:59:57.140 earn less?

00:59:58.740 Have you seen

00:59:59.220 that study?

01:00:00.720 I haven't.

01:00:02.540 You know

01:00:03.140 why?

01:00:04.340 Because somebody

01:00:05.260 decided that

01:00:05.980 that's not the

01:00:06.580 group of people

01:00:07.160 they're going

01:00:07.480 to study.

01:00:07.880 reparations is

01:00:10.760 only even a

01:00:11.660 question because

01:00:13.180 we decided that

01:00:14.020 was a group of

01:00:14.720 people to study.

01:00:16.300 And then once

01:00:16.740 you found their

01:00:17.280 special problem

01:00:18.100 you should fix

01:00:18.720 it.

01:00:20.940 I say you

01:00:23.100 can find a

01:00:23.680 special problem

01:00:24.380 with all kinds

01:00:25.060 of groups and

01:00:26.200 I have no

01:00:26.660 interest in

01:00:27.180 fixing any of

01:00:27.840 them because

01:00:28.920 there's no such

01:00:29.520 thing as an

01:00:30.000 average problem.

01:00:31.580 There are

01:00:32.000 individuals who

01:00:32.860 have very

01:00:33.260 individual

01:00:33.840 problems and

01:00:35.000 if they need

01:00:35.560 help I'm all

01:00:36.880 in.

01:00:37.880 you're an

01:00:38.380 individual I

01:00:39.960 don't care where

01:00:40.480 you're from or

01:00:41.040 what else is

01:00:41.600 going on if

01:00:42.240 you're an

01:00:42.520 individual and

01:00:44.080 you need help

01:00:44.760 and I have

01:00:45.520 some way to

01:00:45.980 help you I'm

01:00:46.700 all in of

01:00:47.340 course glad to

01:00:48.460 help.

01:00:49.640 But no I

01:00:50.420 don't want to

01:00:50.780 make the

01:00:51.140 average of

01:00:51.840 your artificially

01:00:53.280 generated

01:00:53.960 group to

01:00:56.620 make any

01:00:57.020 difference in

01:00:57.480 my life.

01:00:59.420 Why should

01:01:00.340 the average of

01:01:01.160 your group

01:01:01.660 affect me?

01:01:03.780 No I'm not

01:01:04.660 interested in

01:01:05.220 your average

01:01:05.740 at all.

01:01:06.760 even though

01:01:07.900 it's

01:01:08.120 supportable by

01:01:09.160 your argument.

01:01:11.460 So this is

01:01:12.400 the part you

01:01:12.740 have to

01:01:13.020 separate.

01:01:14.080 Is it

01:01:14.540 true that

01:01:15.040 there was

01:01:15.360 some harm

01:01:15.900 and is it

01:01:17.160 true that

01:01:17.540 there's a

01:01:18.020 thing called

01:01:18.520 systemic racism?

01:01:20.260 Yes.

01:01:21.720 But don't

01:01:22.440 connect that to

01:01:23.140 anything I have

01:01:23.760 to do about

01:01:24.240 it.

01:01:25.100 That's not my

01:01:25.980 problem.

01:01:26.520 I wasn't

01:01:26.980 there and I

01:01:28.380 don't recognize

01:01:29.280 your connection

01:01:29.900 to me

01:01:30.280 specifically.

01:01:30.900 So no I

01:01:33.360 have no

01:01:33.640 interest in

01:01:34.180 it.

01:01:34.420 It doesn't

01:01:34.740 make sense

01:01:35.120 logically.

01:01:36.160 It doesn't

01:01:36.500 make sense

01:01:36.960 in terms of

01:01:37.720 anything really.

01:01:39.360 It's just

01:01:39.800 a theft.

01:01:41.440 So to me it

01:01:41.940 just looks like

01:01:42.500 theft.

01:01:44.060 So if you

01:01:44.840 want to be

01:01:45.100 a thief

01:01:45.600 then push

01:01:47.900 that lever.

01:01:49.280 When I

01:01:49.580 found out my

01:01:50.200 friend got a

01:01:50.820 great deal on

01:01:51.620 a wool coat

01:01:52.180 from Winners

01:01:52.740 I started

01:01:53.780 wondering is

01:01:54.960 every fabulous

01:01:56.020 item I see

01:01:56.720 from Winners?

01:01:57.800 Like that

01:01:58.320 woman over

01:01:58.800 there with

01:01:59.260 the designer

01:01:59.700 jeans.

01:02:00.540 Are those

01:02:01.120 from Winners?

01:02:02.060 Ooh.

01:02:02.680 Or those

01:02:03.020 beautiful gold

01:02:03.620 earrings?

01:02:04.520 Did she pay

01:02:04.940 full price?

01:02:05.840 Or that

01:02:06.120 leather tote?

01:02:06.860 Or that

01:02:07.120 cashmere

01:02:07.480 sweater?

01:02:08.100 Or those

01:02:08.400 knee-high

01:02:08.720 boots?

01:02:09.540 That dress?

01:02:10.340 That jacket?

01:02:11.000 Those shoes?

01:02:12.020 Is anyone

01:02:12.820 paying full

01:02:13.440 price for

01:02:14.000 anything?

01:02:14.980 Stop

01:02:15.460 wondering.

01:02:16.260 Start winning.

01:02:17.180 Winners.

01:02:17.780 Find fabulous

01:02:18.440 for less.

01:02:21.620 So let me

01:02:22.620 say this about

01:02:23.300 persuasion so I'll

01:02:24.880 give you at least

01:02:25.340 one useful thing

01:02:26.160 today.

01:02:27.960 Do you

01:02:28.680 remember back

01:02:30.760 in the Bill

01:02:31.520 Clinton running

01:02:32.240 against Bob

01:02:33.060 Dole?

01:02:33.460 I've told you

01:02:33.840 this story

01:02:34.280 before.

01:02:35.320 Bob Dole said

01:02:36.140 that he wanted

01:02:36.680 to take the

01:02:37.200 country back to

01:02:37.920 those great

01:02:38.540 qualities of the

01:02:39.540 past, the

01:02:40.320 greatest generation

01:02:41.180 where people

01:02:41.860 were polite and

01:02:43.620 worked hard and

01:02:44.460 helped people and

01:02:45.440 did all those

01:02:45.940 things the greatest

01:02:46.640 generation did.

01:02:48.200 And then Bill

01:02:48.720 Clinton slaughtered

01:02:49.680 him by

01:02:51.640 reframing what

01:02:53.460 Dole wanted to

01:02:54.480 do as taking

01:02:55.320 you to the

01:02:55.780 past.

01:02:56.260 And he

01:02:58.520 said, I'm

01:02:58.980 going to be a

01:02:59.620 bridge to the

01:03:00.240 future and

01:03:02.640 you know, this

01:03:03.840 guy's trying to

01:03:04.480 take you to the

01:03:04.960 past.

01:03:05.700 That is a

01:03:06.660 killer winning

01:03:07.660 persuasion.

01:03:09.400 What did

01:03:09.920 Trump suggest?

01:03:11.220 Make America

01:03:12.200 great again.

01:03:13.740 What did the

01:03:14.920 Democrats

01:03:16.000 cleverly do?

01:03:17.560 They reframed

01:03:18.580 again as

01:03:19.920 taking you to

01:03:20.600 the past.

01:03:21.840 Nobody wants

01:03:22.760 to go to the

01:03:23.240 past.

01:03:23.660 Even people

01:03:24.780 who like the

01:03:25.340 past don't

01:03:25.960 like to go to

01:03:26.560 the past.

01:03:27.860 Everybody likes

01:03:28.780 to move

01:03:29.120 forward.

01:03:30.000 That's just

01:03:31.000 built in.

01:03:32.680 So what is

01:03:33.540 Harris saying

01:03:34.460 lately on the

01:03:35.520 campaign trail?

01:03:36.880 Because she has

01:03:37.800 good advisors

01:03:38.500 now who are

01:03:39.460 doing great

01:03:40.460 work in my

01:03:41.300 opinion.

01:03:42.640 The advisors

01:03:43.340 are telling

01:03:43.840 her to frame

01:03:45.380 Trump as

01:03:46.040 taking you

01:03:46.540 backwards and

01:03:48.000 they can give

01:03:48.600 examples.

01:03:49.780 Here's an

01:03:50.380 example.

01:03:51.400 You want to

01:03:51.800 go backwards.

01:03:52.500 There used

01:03:53.280 to be no

01:03:53.840 Roe versus

01:03:54.400 Wade and

01:03:56.380 then there

01:03:56.680 was and

01:03:58.200 then Trump

01:03:58.580 took you

01:03:58.940 backwards to

01:04:00.820 where there

01:04:01.140 isn't any.

01:04:02.860 Backwards.

01:04:04.060 Now you

01:04:05.140 can say to

01:04:05.560 yourself but

01:04:06.200 but but you

01:04:07.360 know we were

01:04:07.700 just reversing

01:04:08.500 something that

01:04:09.100 shouldn't have

01:04:09.420 been there.

01:04:10.160 Yeah I get

01:04:10.560 it.

01:04:11.000 I understand

01:04:11.720 the argument

01:04:12.240 completely.

01:04:13.440 But it's

01:04:14.200 easy to

01:04:14.800 reframe that

01:04:15.420 as taking

01:04:15.860 you backwards.

01:04:17.200 So as

01:04:17.980 long as

01:04:18.400 Trump is

01:04:18.860 saying again

01:04:19.640 they can

01:04:22.840 frame him

01:04:23.420 as looking

01:04:23.900 backwards.

01:04:25.200 And so

01:04:25.500 she's saying

01:04:26.060 specifically we're

01:04:27.120 planning for

01:04:27.620 the future

01:04:28.220 they're looking

01:04:29.380 backwards.

01:04:30.260 At the

01:04:30.860 moment she

01:04:31.360 has the

01:04:31.700 winning frame.

01:04:34.060 Do you

01:04:34.780 know what

01:04:35.460 could defeat

01:04:36.520 that frame?

01:04:38.580 Well RFK

01:04:39.760 Jr.

01:04:40.180 does because

01:04:40.740 he's good at

01:04:41.320 this stuff.

01:04:42.420 And so is

01:04:42.900 Nicole Shanahan.

01:04:44.460 So what's

01:04:45.300 good is make

01:04:45.940 America healthy

01:04:46.680 again.

01:04:47.060 Do you

01:04:48.360 know why

01:04:48.660 make America

01:04:49.660 healthy again

01:04:51.500 works even

01:04:53.680 though it's

01:04:53.980 got again

01:04:54.460 in it?

01:04:55.160 Because again

01:04:55.960 it's that same

01:04:56.540 problem right?

01:04:57.340 Again means

01:04:58.020 go back.

01:04:59.860 But here's

01:05:00.280 what's different.

01:05:02.740 What do you

01:05:03.460 think when I

01:05:04.140 say make

01:05:04.560 America healthy

01:05:05.340 again?

01:05:06.540 What pops

01:05:07.340 into your

01:05:07.660 head?

01:05:09.160 Make America

01:05:09.940 healthy again.

01:05:11.180 Let me fill

01:05:11.760 in the answer

01:05:12.340 because it

01:05:13.380 might not be

01:05:13.880 in your

01:05:14.120 conscious mind.

01:05:14.920 when you

01:05:16.480 say make

01:05:16.900 America

01:05:17.280 healthy again

01:05:18.220 here's what

01:05:18.880 I hear.

01:05:20.700 I'm killing

01:05:21.480 my own

01:05:21.940 kids.

01:05:23.800 And I

01:05:24.040 may have

01:05:24.500 deeply

01:05:25.800 hurt them

01:05:27.060 through my

01:05:28.280 own actions

01:05:28.880 of just

01:05:29.240 feeding them

01:05:29.820 and giving

01:05:31.280 them vaccinations

01:05:32.360 in some

01:05:32.840 cases.

01:05:34.100 So if you

01:05:36.080 think that

01:05:36.620 you've harmed

01:05:37.180 your own

01:05:37.720 children and

01:05:39.420 somebody says

01:05:40.100 let's fix

01:05:40.680 that,

01:05:41.720 you will

01:05:42.520 walk over

01:05:43.160 glass to

01:05:44.880 fix what

01:05:45.380 you did

01:05:45.720 to your

01:05:46.020 own kids.

01:05:47.940 So that

01:05:48.640 would be

01:05:49.080 sort of

01:05:49.540 this really

01:05:50.540 glaring

01:05:51.140 exception to

01:05:52.040 looking backwards.

01:05:53.280 If you

01:05:53.840 could look

01:05:54.300 backwards and

01:05:55.060 see that you

01:05:55.660 endangered your

01:05:57.380 children but

01:05:58.720 somebody is

01:05:59.180 giving you a

01:05:59.760 way to fix

01:06:00.300 it, we

01:06:01.400 know you

01:06:01.800 didn't know

01:06:02.340 but you

01:06:03.760 did in fact

01:06:04.380 endanger your

01:06:05.120 children.

01:06:06.300 Here's the

01:06:06.920 best you

01:06:07.300 can do.

01:06:08.300 We'll put

01:06:09.180 in an

01:06:09.500 administration

01:06:10.060 that will

01:06:10.400 help you

01:06:10.680 with the

01:06:10.940 food and

01:06:11.600 the big

01:06:13.540 pharma and

01:06:14.800 we'll try to

01:06:15.440 fix that

01:06:15.940 system so

01:06:16.680 there's much

01:06:17.200 more likely

01:06:17.860 you'll make

01:06:19.440 good decisions

01:06:20.120 about what

01:06:21.260 to do for

01:06:21.700 health.

01:06:22.800 So I think

01:06:23.240 the make

01:06:23.940 America healthy

01:06:24.760 again strikes

01:06:26.540 me as the

01:06:27.460 only thing

01:06:28.320 that could

01:06:28.700 beat the

01:06:31.960 fact that

01:06:32.380 they're framing

01:06:32.900 him as

01:06:33.320 looking backwards.

01:06:36.220 That's what

01:06:36.880 I think.

01:06:37.180 James

01:06:39.820 Carville is

01:06:40.520 talking about

01:06:41.160 Harris's

01:06:41.900 debate

01:06:42.280 strategy and

01:06:44.240 he's saying

01:06:45.700 that the

01:06:46.100 way for her

01:06:46.640 to win is

01:06:47.860 to let

01:06:48.220 Trump be

01:06:48.700 Trump.

01:06:50.160 So the

01:06:50.460 best way

01:06:51.020 for Harris

01:06:51.520 to win is

01:06:53.080 if Trump

01:06:53.620 did something

01:06:54.200 to remove

01:06:54.840 himself from

01:06:55.520 consideration.

01:06:57.720 Think about

01:06:58.500 how weak

01:06:59.080 that candidate

01:06:59.780 is that the

01:07:01.500 smartest person

01:07:02.380 in their

01:07:02.800 side is

01:07:04.060 saying,

01:07:04.580 you know,

01:07:04.820 your only

01:07:05.120 chance of

01:07:05.560 winning is

01:07:06.020 if you let

01:07:06.480 him make

01:07:06.840 a mistake.

01:07:08.380 That's as

01:07:09.020 weak as

01:07:09.440 you could

01:07:09.740 possibly be.

01:07:12.560 You know,

01:07:13.220 what's the,

01:07:14.720 you've heard

01:07:15.580 comparisons of

01:07:18.080 this, like

01:07:19.060 sometimes a

01:07:19.680 golfer would

01:07:20.260 be asked,

01:07:21.060 how are you

01:07:21.640 going to

01:07:21.840 beat Tiger

01:07:22.400 Woods,

01:07:22.960 you know,

01:07:23.120 back in

01:07:23.480 Tiger Woods'

01:07:24.380 peak.

01:07:26.660 And sometimes

01:07:28.020 they would

01:07:28.440 jokingly say,

01:07:29.280 well, you

01:07:30.480 know, I

01:07:31.000 have a hope

01:07:31.580 if he breaks

01:07:32.120 his leg.

01:07:33.760 That's what's

01:07:34.740 happening here.

01:07:35.300 Yeah, as

01:07:36.420 long as

01:07:36.880 Trump, I

01:07:38.760 don't know,

01:07:39.460 his motor

01:07:39.940 grade drives

01:07:40.940 him off a

01:07:41.440 cliff, we've

01:07:42.100 got a chance

01:07:42.560 of winning.

01:07:43.580 They don't

01:07:43.980 even act like

01:07:44.880 Kamala Harris

01:07:45.620 has a chance

01:07:46.420 of a better

01:07:48.260 argument.

01:07:49.240 He's basically

01:07:49.940 saying, make

01:07:51.060 sure you leave

01:07:51.720 those microphones

01:07:52.440 on so that

01:07:53.360 Trump can do

01:07:53.920 things that we

01:07:54.540 can mock him

01:07:55.140 for later and

01:07:56.260 then make him

01:07:56.720 lose by being

01:07:57.460 Trump.

01:07:58.140 That's all

01:07:58.640 they have.

01:07:59.660 That's their

01:08:00.060 best play,

01:08:01.120 is to let

01:08:02.260 Trump decide

01:08:03.060 who's president.

01:08:03.780 So,

01:08:05.300 yeah, let

01:08:06.420 me say that

01:08:06.920 that way

01:08:07.280 again.

01:08:08.740 The best

01:08:09.480 play in the

01:08:10.020 Democrats,

01:08:10.920 per Carville,

01:08:12.200 is to let

01:08:12.860 Trump be the

01:08:13.720 only one who

01:08:14.280 decides who

01:08:14.880 the president

01:08:15.400 will be.

01:08:16.860 Because if

01:08:17.480 Trump decides

01:08:18.140 to just play

01:08:18.740 it straight and

01:08:19.800 just sort of

01:08:20.320 be normal,

01:08:20.880 he'll be the

01:08:21.340 president.

01:08:22.340 But if he

01:08:23.060 decides to

01:08:23.600 be more

01:08:24.400 Trump than

01:08:24.940 Trump usually

01:08:25.580 is and says

01:08:26.560 something outrageous,

01:08:27.740 then he gets

01:08:28.700 to not be

01:08:29.200 president.

01:08:29.980 But none of

01:08:30.520 it has to do

01:08:31.000 with anything

01:08:31.360 that she's

01:08:31.840 doing.

01:08:32.100 The media

01:08:33.880 will just

01:08:34.280 sort of keep

01:08:34.940 her under

01:08:35.540 glass until

01:08:37.120 Trump did

01:08:37.600 something that

01:08:38.120 they can jump

01:08:38.680 on and turn

01:08:39.560 it into the

01:08:40.040 newest hoax.

01:08:42.700 Well, let's

01:08:43.360 see if you can

01:08:43.860 detect another

01:08:44.880 pattern in

01:08:45.540 this story.

01:08:48.720 There's a new

01:08:49.420 video from

01:08:50.140 Kamala Harris in

01:08:50.980 which I think

01:08:51.640 she looks

01:08:52.060 drunk.

01:08:52.400 I'm not

01:08:55.880 positive on

01:08:56.600 this one.

01:08:57.800 The only

01:08:58.180 reason I'm

01:08:58.540 not positive

01:08:59.100 is that

01:08:59.600 Kamala Harris

01:09:00.280 is the

01:09:00.660 one who

01:09:01.300 posted it.

01:09:04.260 So Kamala

01:09:05.020 Harris'

01:09:05.500 official account

01:09:06.480 posted a

01:09:07.900 video of

01:09:08.460 her interacting

01:09:09.460 with a

01:09:10.120 person at a

01:09:11.600 retail food

01:09:12.680 establishment

01:09:13.300 and joking

01:09:14.820 about sauce

01:09:15.900 on his shirt

01:09:16.520 or something.

01:09:17.960 And when I

01:09:18.600 watched it,

01:09:19.040 I thought to

01:09:19.360 myself,

01:09:19.800 I hope that's

01:09:20.440 not her

01:09:20.760 normal personality

01:09:21.820 because she

01:09:22.620 looks drunk.

01:09:24.200 But it

01:09:24.860 could be.

01:09:26.300 I'm going to

01:09:27.020 say that

01:09:27.820 might have

01:09:28.300 actually been

01:09:28.820 her actual

01:09:29.260 personality.

01:09:30.240 You know,

01:09:30.440 the giggling

01:09:31.460 too much.

01:09:33.540 And the

01:09:34.860 witticisms

01:09:36.280 that weren't

01:09:37.580 witty at all.

01:09:39.780 It might be

01:09:40.640 her just

01:09:41.000 natural

01:09:41.580 personality,

01:09:42.320 but it

01:09:42.540 looked drunk

01:09:42.920 to me.

01:09:45.480 Anyway,

01:09:46.180 here's another

01:09:46.600 one.

01:09:46.800 See if you

01:09:47.100 find the

01:09:47.440 pattern.

01:09:48.560 So there's

01:09:49.040 a former

01:09:49.900 New York

01:09:50.380 state

01:09:51.300 government

01:09:52.500 official,

01:09:53.340 was arrested

01:09:54.320 and charged

01:09:55.980 with being

01:09:56.320 an agent

01:09:56.720 of the

01:09:57.000 Chinese

01:09:57.320 government.

01:09:58.100 And apparently

01:09:58.440 she worked

01:09:59.080 for both

01:09:59.720 Andrew Cuomo

01:10:01.160 when he was

01:10:01.720 governor and

01:10:03.100 current governor

01:10:03.940 Kathy Hochul.

01:10:05.780 She's been

01:10:07.180 off the payroll

01:10:08.300 for a while.

01:10:09.660 But apparently

01:10:10.180 there's strong

01:10:12.140 evidence that

01:10:13.000 China was

01:10:13.800 paying her

01:10:15.040 to push

01:10:15.840 positions and

01:10:16.960 promote

01:10:18.360 Chinese interests

01:10:19.600 in New York

01:10:20.280 state.

01:10:21.580 Does that

01:10:22.220 sound familiar?

01:10:24.940 It looks like

01:10:25.920 China is doing

01:10:26.520 a hell of a

01:10:27.040 good job in

01:10:28.720 getting their

01:10:30.100 agents and

01:10:30.880 employees to

01:10:32.020 marry and

01:10:32.880 date and

01:10:33.360 work for

01:10:34.080 politicians.

01:10:37.160 All right.

01:10:38.580 Here's the

01:10:39.380 just the

01:10:41.320 strangest story.

01:10:42.660 You know,

01:10:42.820 you've all

01:10:43.140 heard this

01:10:43.680 story by now

01:10:44.380 that the

01:10:45.320 Venezuelan

01:10:46.040 gangs have

01:10:46.840 allegedly taken

01:10:48.780 over a couple

01:10:49.520 of apartment

01:10:51.660 buildings.

01:10:53.800 And then

01:10:54.700 some of the

01:10:55.500 locals say

01:10:56.200 that's never

01:10:56.760 happened.

01:10:57.500 That's just

01:10:57.940 completely made

01:10:58.660 up.

01:11:00.460 And every

01:11:01.560 day the

01:11:02.020 news says it

01:11:02.880 is true in

01:11:03.940 some way or

01:11:04.820 it's on social

01:11:05.440 media.

01:11:06.080 And every day I

01:11:07.260 wait for evidence

01:11:08.100 that is true.

01:11:10.180 Evidence would

01:11:10.920 be like a

01:11:12.040 video that I

01:11:12.920 really knew was

01:11:13.620 that building.

01:11:14.200 and I knew

01:11:15.620 what was

01:11:16.060 happening with

01:11:16.940 full context.

01:11:18.220 I haven't seen

01:11:19.080 anything like

01:11:19.580 that.

01:11:21.080 So what is

01:11:22.740 going on?

01:11:23.940 I don't

01:11:24.820 discount the

01:11:25.660 fact that it

01:11:26.860 might be

01:11:27.180 happening exactly

01:11:28.080 the way people

01:11:28.700 are saying that

01:11:29.280 the Venezuelans

01:11:30.840 have teamed

01:11:31.860 up and used

01:11:33.040 their muscle to

01:11:33.780 take over some

01:11:34.740 apartment building

01:11:35.580 in Denver or

01:11:37.820 something.

01:11:38.180 I don't know.

01:11:39.860 But I would

01:11:40.820 say that I'm

01:11:41.500 solidly in

01:11:43.360 coin flip

01:11:44.180 territory on

01:11:45.040 this story.

01:11:46.900 Absolute coin

01:11:47.720 flip.

01:11:48.680 I would not

01:11:49.800 make a bet one

01:11:50.660 way or the

01:11:51.040 other whether

01:11:51.440 it's true.

01:11:53.180 My guess is

01:11:54.900 there's like a

01:11:55.460 little truth to

01:11:56.320 it but maybe

01:11:56.960 something's

01:11:57.620 exaggerated in

01:11:58.680 the telling.

01:12:00.020 Just a guess.

01:12:01.700 But imagine

01:12:02.700 the fact that

01:12:03.320 it's one of the

01:12:03.800 top stories and

01:12:05.980 it's been in a

01:12:06.500 lot of different

01:12:07.020 news entities and

01:12:09.000 I can't tell if

01:12:09.660 it really happened.

01:12:10.340 there's nothing

01:12:12.500 that would give

01:12:12.980 me an idea it

01:12:13.720 really happened or

01:12:14.400 didn't really

01:12:14.880 happen.

01:12:16.400 That's the

01:12:17.020 weirdest story.

01:12:18.480 So today there's

01:12:19.620 a video of what

01:12:21.840 alleges to be an

01:12:24.080 apartment or a

01:12:25.400 hotel in which the

01:12:26.600 migrants left.

01:12:28.120 So they tried to

01:12:28.720 connect to that

01:12:29.380 story.

01:12:29.980 But you look at

01:12:30.440 the video and it's

01:12:31.060 so obviously fake.

01:12:32.840 And the video is

01:12:33.600 from some other

01:12:34.280 context quite

01:12:35.260 obviously.

01:12:36.340 So I don't know

01:12:37.240 what to believe.

01:12:38.520 It's all fake

01:12:39.080 news.

01:12:41.760 All right.

01:12:43.940 I remind you

01:12:45.120 that Elon Musk

01:12:46.160 was going hard on

01:12:47.160 Brazil and that

01:12:48.100 one judge, Judge

01:12:49.220 Alexandre.

01:12:51.520 And so he has

01:12:52.600 this at

01:12:53.380 Alexandre files

01:12:54.560 account which

01:12:56.000 every day will

01:12:56.680 release new

01:12:57.940 evidence that that

01:12:58.900 judge broke the

01:12:59.720 laws in Brazil.

01:13:02.400 Which is, he's

01:13:04.320 really going hard

01:13:05.020 at them.

01:13:05.880 I mean, I do

01:13:06.680 like the fact that

01:13:08.340 Elon plays for

01:13:09.660 keeps.

01:13:11.620 So he's going to

01:13:12.940 put this judge in

01:13:13.820 jail if he can.

01:13:15.520 But I think

01:13:16.460 Brazil is too

01:13:17.220 rigged for

01:13:18.600 anything like that

01:13:19.280 to happen.

01:13:20.020 So I don't

01:13:21.540 know.

01:13:23.360 Here's another

01:13:24.120 story I have some

01:13:25.140 doubts about.

01:13:26.940 Allegedly, North

01:13:27.980 Korea's Kim Jong-un

01:13:29.200 ordered up to 30

01:13:31.000 officials to be

01:13:31.860 executed for their

01:13:33.620 failure to prevent

01:13:34.700 mass flooding

01:13:35.640 some time ago.

01:13:38.360 And there were

01:13:39.160 4,000 deaths

01:13:40.080 from the flooding.

01:13:41.720 And so Kim

01:13:43.440 Jong-un allegedly

01:13:44.700 told the locals

01:13:46.560 to treat those

01:13:48.000 officials, the

01:13:49.460 local authorities,

01:13:50.420 I guess, to

01:13:51.180 treat them

01:13:51.700 brutally.

01:13:53.660 And I'm not

01:13:55.580 sure I believe

01:13:56.080 this story.

01:13:58.280 And the reason I

01:13:59.280 don't believe it is

01:14:00.120 that it's too on

01:14:00.960 the nose.

01:14:02.780 Don't you think

01:14:03.460 South Korea or

01:14:04.700 somebody wants

01:14:06.500 you to believe

01:14:07.100 that he's just

01:14:07.880 randomly killing

01:14:09.260 his own people?

01:14:11.220 Now, I'm not

01:14:12.200 saying that he's

01:14:13.040 never killed

01:14:13.600 anybody, because

01:14:15.320 it seems likely

01:14:16.780 that he has.

01:14:22.340 But do you

01:14:23.140 think that this

01:14:23.780 is true?

01:14:24.340 Do you think

01:14:24.740 you really had

01:14:25.360 30 people

01:14:26.840 executed because

01:14:29.320 they didn't do

01:14:29.940 enough for flood

01:14:30.760 prevention?

01:14:31.280 Does that

01:14:33.400 sound true to

01:14:34.040 you?

01:14:35.040 I'm going to

01:14:35.560 lay my

01:14:37.880 bet on not

01:14:38.840 true.

01:14:40.060 Now, that

01:14:40.640 doesn't mean

01:14:41.020 nobody was

01:14:41.820 killed.

01:14:42.940 If it turned

01:14:43.760 out that three

01:14:44.940 people were

01:14:45.560 executed, I

01:14:47.140 would say,

01:14:47.640 more likely

01:14:49.180 yes than no.

01:14:50.520 If I hear 30

01:14:51.940 people were

01:14:52.460 executed, no.

01:14:55.100 I actually

01:14:55.840 don't believe

01:14:56.280 that.

01:14:57.340 So I'm going

01:14:57.680 to go no on

01:14:58.960 this story.

01:14:59.460 But maybe a

01:15:00.640 few got

01:15:01.000 executed.

01:15:04.140 Here's the

01:15:04.760 latest on

01:15:05.280 Israel.

01:15:06.360 65 projectors

01:15:07.960 were fired

01:15:08.840 into Israel

01:15:10.020 from Lebanon

01:15:10.680 and the

01:15:11.740 IDF is

01:15:12.520 currently

01:15:13.080 hitting

01:15:13.440 Hezbollah.

01:15:15.080 So that's

01:15:15.420 just more

01:15:16.080 ongoing stuff,

01:15:17.000 more of the

01:15:17.400 same.

01:15:17.960 And that,

01:15:18.500 ladies and

01:15:18.780 gentlemen, is

01:15:19.940 all I had to

01:15:20.520 talk to you

01:15:21.020 about today.

01:15:22.140 It's such a

01:15:22.680 weird, slow

01:15:23.360 news, boring

01:15:24.140 day.

01:15:24.860 Something's

01:15:25.320 going to

01:15:25.560 happen.

01:15:26.920 It could be

01:15:27.660 that kids are

01:15:28.820 going back

01:15:29.200 to school,

01:15:29.860 so everybody

01:15:30.260 is just

01:15:30.740 laying low.

01:15:33.200 But I feel

01:15:33.880 like all hell

01:15:34.500 is going to

01:15:34.840 break loose,

01:15:35.660 don't you?

01:15:37.720 I had a

01:15:38.780 sign that

01:15:40.020 came to me

01:15:40.580 yesterday,

01:15:42.120 a signal

01:15:43.420 from the

01:15:44.060 simulation.

01:15:45.420 I'll just

01:15:45.820 tell you

01:15:46.140 what it

01:15:46.400 was.

01:15:50.140 Yeah, and

01:15:50.620 Starlink is

01:15:51.400 shutting down

01:15:52.820 X in

01:15:53.540 Brazil.

01:15:54.760 So Brazil

01:15:55.320 is no

01:15:57.560 longer going

01:15:58.080 any source

01:15:59.280 of free

01:15:59.660 speech.

01:16:00.960 That's too

01:16:01.600 bad.

01:16:02.860 What was I

01:16:03.540 just talking

01:16:03.980 about?

01:16:05.960 I saw

01:16:06.620 that, I

01:16:07.340 saw your

01:16:07.720 post go

01:16:08.280 by and

01:16:08.660 just totally

01:16:10.260 made me

01:16:11.840 forget what

01:16:12.260 I was

01:16:12.460 talking about.

01:16:14.340 Well, you'll

01:16:15.060 tell me.

01:16:19.920 Legal weed

01:16:20.760 and tax

01:16:21.420 cuts are

01:16:22.140 winners.

01:16:22.760 I don't

01:16:23.020 know.

01:16:23.940 I don't

01:16:24.480 know if

01:16:24.720 people care

01:16:25.180 about that

01:16:25.540 enough.

01:16:25.820 I don't

01:16:28.080 know if

01:16:30.180 I was

01:16:34.880 going to

01:16:35.060 say that

01:16:35.520 I'm

01:16:35.780 expecting

01:16:36.220 all hell

01:16:36.820 to break

01:16:37.180 loose.

01:16:38.280 Maybe next

01:16:39.220 week.

01:16:40.920 So I

01:16:41.920 think there's

01:16:42.380 probably still

01:16:42.940 a lot of

01:16:43.460 opposition

01:16:44.160 research and

01:16:45.200 stories that

01:16:45.900 are ready

01:16:46.240 to go and

01:16:47.000 hit pieces

01:16:47.880 and all

01:16:49.240 kinds of

01:16:49.640 stuff.

01:16:50.720 But we're

01:16:51.400 only a week

01:16:53.380 or so away

01:16:54.020 from the

01:16:54.540 debate,

01:16:55.080 right?

01:16:55.300 if it

01:16:56.200 really

01:16:56.360 happens.

01:16:57.840 So it's

01:16:59.460 possible that

01:17:00.200 the debate

01:17:00.660 will change

01:17:01.160 everything like

01:17:03.320 the Biden

01:17:04.940 debate did.

01:17:06.020 But I

01:17:06.620 think it's

01:17:07.020 far more

01:17:07.560 possible it

01:17:08.180 won't.

01:17:09.900 And we'll

01:17:10.600 just have a

01:17:11.320 neck and

01:17:12.120 neck election

01:17:12.820 right up to

01:17:13.300 last day

01:17:13.760 before it

01:17:14.240 gets rigged.

01:17:15.780 All right.

01:17:16.220 So I was

01:17:16.580 going to tell

01:17:16.880 you that there

01:17:17.420 is a signal

01:17:18.060 I saw.

01:17:19.560 So sometimes

01:17:20.280 I believe that

01:17:21.160 the universe

01:17:21.620 sends me

01:17:22.220 signs.

01:17:22.660 Now I'm

01:17:24.320 not going

01:17:24.600 to convince

01:17:24.980 you that

01:17:25.380 is true.

01:17:26.480 It's just

01:17:27.140 a subjective

01:17:27.860 experience.

01:17:29.400 You know,

01:17:29.700 I wouldn't

01:17:30.440 bet that it

01:17:32.140 could be

01:17:32.480 scientifically

01:17:33.020 proven.

01:17:34.160 But doesn't

01:17:34.680 it feel like

01:17:35.300 sometimes the

01:17:35.920 simulation sends

01:17:36.820 you signals?

01:17:37.720 You might say

01:17:38.360 signals from

01:17:39.060 God.

01:17:40.280 Well,

01:17:40.520 yesterday I

01:17:40.940 turned on

01:17:41.280 the TV.

01:17:42.680 I was just

01:17:43.120 flipping through

01:17:44.460 YouTube to

01:17:45.400 find something

01:17:46.020 to watch.

01:17:48.040 And there

01:17:48.680 was a guy

01:17:49.160 on a boat,

01:17:50.840 one of these

01:17:52.080 rubber

01:17:52.660 inflatable

01:17:53.200 rafts doing

01:17:53.980 some ecological

01:17:55.320 thing.

01:17:56.240 And he was

01:17:56.980 zooming along

01:17:57.580 and he was

01:17:57.920 standing at the

01:17:58.440 front of the

01:17:58.840 boat.

01:17:59.560 And you could

01:18:00.220 see the front

01:18:01.040 of the boat

01:18:01.480 and the name

01:18:02.220 of the boat

01:18:02.880 was Kraken.

01:18:05.780 So that was

01:18:06.480 just the name

01:18:06.980 of his little

01:18:07.680 inflatable boat,

01:18:09.080 Kraken.

01:18:10.320 And I looked

01:18:11.040 at that and I

01:18:11.560 said,

01:18:12.660 huh,

01:18:13.100 are we going

01:18:14.500 to see a

01:18:14.960 Kraken in

01:18:15.780 September?

01:18:18.500 Meaning,

01:18:19.120 are we going

01:18:19.560 to see some

01:18:20.720 proof?

01:18:22.080 that the

01:18:22.800 election was

01:18:23.380 rigged in

01:18:23.780 2020?

01:18:25.260 And the

01:18:25.940 possibility is

01:18:26.720 actually pretty

01:18:27.700 strong.

01:18:29.140 So I'm still

01:18:30.800 going to keep

01:18:31.400 with my

01:18:32.100 observation and

01:18:33.780 or prediction

01:18:34.380 that life

01:18:35.760 tends to look

01:18:37.000 like a three

01:18:37.760 act movie and

01:18:39.760 we would need

01:18:40.600 the Kraken to

01:18:41.440 make the movie

01:18:42.020 work.

01:18:43.180 The Kraken has

01:18:44.260 to be that

01:18:45.780 at some point

01:18:46.620 there's proof

01:18:47.760 that 2020 was

01:18:48.660 rigged.

01:18:49.340 Now,

01:18:49.680 related to that,

01:18:50.720 the story I

01:18:51.520 didn't mention

01:18:52.020 because it

01:18:52.420 seemed too

01:18:52.820 stupid,

01:18:53.600 is that when

01:18:54.820 Trump was on

01:18:55.720 Lex Friedman,

01:18:57.360 he was describing

01:18:58.660 2020 and he

01:18:59.860 said the

01:19:00.700 phrase,

01:19:01.380 and then I

01:19:02.440 lost by a

01:19:03.360 whisker.

01:19:04.660 Now,

01:19:05.240 that's being

01:19:05.680 interpreted as

01:19:07.400 he knows he

01:19:08.200 lost the

01:19:08.720 election and

01:19:09.920 therefore that

01:19:10.580 would make him

01:19:11.040 guilty of

01:19:11.620 insurrection and

01:19:12.380 all that stuff.

01:19:12.840 is that how

01:19:14.700 you heard it?

01:19:15.400 It's not the

01:19:15.820 way I heard it.

01:19:17.180 The way I heard

01:19:18.360 it was lost by

01:19:19.340 a whisker was

01:19:20.980 really suggesting

01:19:23.260 that he didn't

01:19:24.820 really lose.

01:19:26.260 So I don't see a

01:19:27.340 change in that.

01:19:28.360 When he says I

01:19:28.980 lost by a

01:19:29.640 whisker, he

01:19:30.140 means that when

01:19:31.080 they counted the

01:19:31.780 votes, that was

01:19:32.460 the result they

01:19:33.600 got.

01:19:34.120 That doesn't

01:19:35.000 mean he thinks

01:19:35.680 it was not

01:19:36.200 rigged, but the

01:19:37.860 Democrats are

01:19:38.600 turning it into

01:19:39.240 that.

01:19:39.580 So, and

01:19:42.540 then I would

01:19:42.940 also point out

01:19:43.620 that the best

01:19:45.460 argument against

01:19:46.480 January 6th being

01:19:47.900 an insurrection

01:19:48.580 is that Trump

01:19:50.360 was never

01:19:50.820 charged with

01:19:51.460 insurrection.

01:19:53.460 He wasn't

01:19:54.220 even charged

01:19:54.860 with it.

01:19:56.060 It would be

01:19:56.400 one thing if he

01:19:57.040 were charged

01:19:57.620 and it hadn't

01:19:58.200 been proven.

01:19:59.440 He's not even

01:20:00.080 charged.

01:20:01.200 So obviously

01:20:02.260 the Democrats

01:20:02.920 know that there's

01:20:03.780 no insurrection

01:20:05.520 there.

01:20:07.220 But they're

01:20:07.900 going to push

01:20:08.280 it.

01:20:08.480 So I'm

01:20:09.640 going to go

01:20:09.900 talk to the

01:20:10.520 locals people

01:20:11.540 privately.

01:20:14.000 I'm going to

01:20:14.600 say goodbye to

01:20:15.420 YouTube and

01:20:16.260 Rumble and X.

01:20:17.480 Thanks for

01:20:17.960 joining.

01:20:18.960 I'll be here

01:20:19.480 again tomorrow

01:20:20.220 because I

01:20:21.280 never sleep.

01:20:22.940 I'd like that

01:20:23.560 Japanese guy

01:20:25.420 who only sleeps

01:20:26.040 half an hour

01:20:26.520 a night.

01:20:27.780 Allegedly.

01:20:28.260 Allegedly.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 04, 2024

Episode 2587 CWSA 09⧸04⧸24

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