In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams talks about his morning technology failures, and a new Netflix series about why Wyatt Earp and the Cowboy Wars are so similar to modern times, and why we should all be watching it.
00:04:05.280And also, the government was completely corrupt.
00:04:08.660And you have to watch it to see how nothing's changed.
00:04:14.880So the takeaway is that you're looking at things that happened hundreds of years ago, a couple hundred years ago, something like that, 150.
00:04:44.360And the problem was, J.P. Morgan wanted to buy all the railroads and make a lot of money shipping silver from Tombstone, Arizona, to the rest of the country.
00:04:58.980And the U.S. sort of really needed that level of business to survive.
00:05:05.440And they couldn't do it because it was too dangerous, because of the little Wyatt Earp situation and the bad guys, the cowboys for the bad guys in this case.
00:05:16.020So you've got to see it to look at the modern parallels.
00:05:21.040It's basically nothing changed except we got smartphones.
00:05:24.740Everything else was completely corrupt.
00:05:43.360So instead of giving them pills for their mental health issues, they organized things like a bunch of outdoor stuff and things like nature walks and community gardening and tree planting and what they call wild swimming.
00:05:58.320I don't know exactly what wild swimming is, but I assume not in a swimming pool.
00:08:07.660It's like a basic human need just to have some kind of interaction with other people.
00:08:12.720So I think if you become an organizer of events, I feel like that's something that AI will have trouble taking over because there's too much of a human element to that.
00:08:25.280It might help you with scheduling, you know, some of the boring parts.
00:08:28.880But I think if you just simply said, hey, neighborhood, I'm going to start organizing a bunch of things.
00:08:37.140You know, in my neighborhood, or one of my neighbors is an organizer.
00:08:42.520Now, she's also the, you know, the couple are the main real estate people in our area.
00:08:47.140So it's good for them to know a lot of people.
00:08:49.520But on top of that, they're just great organizers.
00:08:51.820So our neighborhood always has block parties and events and movie nights and stuff like that.
00:08:57.960It happens all the time, like all year round, every month or so, there's something going on.
00:09:04.320And it completely changes your experience of living in the neighborhood.
00:09:09.140Because, you know, all the neighbors wave because we've all met.
00:09:56.680And I would have said, yes, brains are the thing that cause us to think and feel.
00:10:01.720So if my brain is different than yours, we might get a different outcome, despite our free will.
00:10:11.520But specifically, this research was that the people who experience depression have a particular part of their brain network that's bigger than other people.
00:10:21.420Does that tell you that the people with depression have no hope because there's part of their brain that's different?
00:10:30.260Probably not because what we don't know is how much you can change it because your brains are kind of plastic.
00:10:38.360And if you, for example, if you were to give yourself a new habit, for example, that would rewire your brain.
00:10:48.360So you might be able to hack around it.
00:10:50.780But certainly your brain is what's causing you to think however you're thinking.
00:10:55.000There's also a study by, let's see, it's written about in The Bite, that government tested AI to find out how AI does in a bunch of work-related tasks.
00:11:08.360Oh, the trial is conducted by Amazon Web Services.
00:11:11.540So they wanted to see how AI would do compared to humans in a bunch of tasks, such as summarizing things, you know, the stuff that humans do.
00:11:20.380And you would not be surprised that AI is terrible compared to humans.
00:11:25.980Humans are much better at summarizing things.
00:11:29.280And there's some other small tasks here, we'll see.
00:11:32.280So it says that the possibility of using AI in the business world is a big problem.
00:11:43.960Because a lot of things humans still do better.
00:11:47.380And I don't know that that's going to change.
00:11:53.120I think that the large language models, given that you can't rely on them to know what they're going to do, even if you train them, and it doesn't look like that's solvable.
00:12:07.380It's not solvable unless you take away the AI part and just program it to, if somebody asks this question, this will be your exact answer.
00:12:17.420So I feel that our current technology of AI is very limited compared to what we think.
00:12:27.420And I'll go further and say, if AI is not good as a replacement for an employee, are you ever going to want to have a robot in your house that's run on AI?
00:12:40.620I'm wondering if we'll ever be able to trust it.
00:12:43.580There's a non-zero chance that there'll never be a robot with AI.
00:12:47.900That's, you know, more than a toy or a demonstration.
00:12:50.940Because if you put it in your house, and it had strength and muscles and the ability to open doors and all that, and you couldn't know for sure what it's going to do, how long before it does something dangerous?
00:13:03.840Because remember, it's got arms and legs.
00:14:57.660I mean, it could hurt, but there's no way it's going to help.
00:15:02.040So, I'm just going to let the other news talk about it all they want.
00:15:04.940Laura Loomer, I saw next, said, have you noticed there's always a school shooting in a swing state or a caucus state right before an election?
00:17:42.820It was the Asian American population who, in my opinion, I think this is true, were the driving force behind getting the Supreme Court to say, hey, you don't use race and admissions.
00:17:54.660And then at Yale, the outcome is that they admitted fewer Asian Americans.
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00:20:11.060So sometimes they'll use the actual measurement, but there are some special cases, just special cases, where they have to adjust it because they know there's something wrong.
00:20:23.900I mean, if most of the temperature measurements are okay, and then they have to do some estimates, let's say, for example, one of the measurement devices broke.
00:20:36.060Well, they wouldn't want to have nothing, so they might say, all right, well, let's just assume it's the average of the last three years or something.
00:22:03.700A study that investigated the placement of the temperature stations around the world found out that a certain percentage of them didn't meet the standard for uncorrupted measurements.
00:22:20.000So apparently the who is at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, they do have a standard.
00:22:28.880And if the measurements don't meet that standard, then, you know, you've got a problem.
00:22:34.460But what percentage of all the current thermometers do you think don't meet their own standard?
00:22:41.820Now, most of the standard has to do with how close you are to some kind of heat island.
00:22:46.700You know, if there's too much civilization around, too much concrete, that will give you a fake reading if the wind blows in your direction.
00:22:55.380So how many of them, what percentage do you think?
00:23:42.080And then the other question is how many, how many times do they have to use an estimate?
00:23:47.320Because they're aware of it not being accurate.
00:23:50.900So do you remember when I said to you, I'm no climate scientist, but I am the Dilbert cartoonist.
00:23:59.600And if there's one thing I can tell you with complete certainty, complete certainty, humans can't measure the temperature of the Earth.
00:24:11.420And someday that will seem hilarious to us.
00:24:14.900Someday we will learn in school that it was hilarious that we thought we could measure the temperature of the Earth.
00:24:19.880Now, I'm not saying that the thermometers are inaccurate if they're used properly, and I'm not saying that all the satellites that measure things are inaccurate.
00:24:32.380I'm saying that if you add thousands of human beings who have to do certain tasks in a certain way, and otherwise you don't get the right number, you'll never get the right number.
00:24:43.440You can't add thousands of humans to any task and get a good outcome.
00:24:51.440There's no domain in which you could add thousands of people doing things with thousands of devices all over the planet, and then that would all work out.
00:25:02.500No, there's nothing like that in human experience, and there never will be.
00:25:06.560You know, I'm not even sure robots can do that.
00:25:08.640But I guarantee you, if you put flawed, thousands of flawed, lying, selfish, weasels, humans, into any process, you're not going to get anything you can use in terms of data.