Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2605 CWSA 09⧸22⧸24

00:00:00.000 in parallel pleasure the dopamine of the day thing makes everything better

00:00:03.460 it's called the simultaneous sip it's gonna happen right now go

00:00:08.940 oh god that was good sometimes it's really really good today it's great i um anticipate some good

00:00:23.740 luck coming for all of you uh you don't all watch the pre-show i do a little pre-show for subscribers

00:00:32.320 and locals and every morning i take three putts from 15 feet i've got a little indoor putting green

00:00:39.520 and uh yesterday i made all three now from that distance according to chat gpt there's a one in

00:00:48.380 five chance that even a professional would make a 15 foot putt so yesterday i made three in a row

00:00:55.540 so that would be you know one-fifth times one-fifth times one-fifth kind of kind of unusual this morning

00:01:03.920 i made three more in a row so that makes six in a row on video which i if i calculated it right

00:01:12.200 the odds of doing that are one in fifteen thousand but i pulled it off live so we'll see what happens

00:01:19.540 tomorrow but the point is it's a lucky time so it's probably not just me i feel like there's some

00:01:27.980 luck in the air something's brewing do you feel it yeah something big is happening i just don't know

00:01:36.200 what it is something good and big is coming our way maybe your way too so aren't you glad you came

00:01:45.700 in this morning all right well so here's some uh technology news a company called pudu from china

00:01:54.820 has a new robot it'll go eight hours and it can lift 10 kilograms but it's another slow motion robot

00:02:01.960 do you know what i probably will never want is a slow motion robot i am slowly going to pick up

00:02:11.380 this bottle of water and i will hand it to you and i'll be like screw it shut up i'll get the water myself

00:02:20.700 go go wash the dishes okay i will be back after spending 10 hours washing this one dish fuck it i'll just

00:02:29.880 wash it myself clean the house okay i will go dust so slowly that you wish you were killing yourself

00:02:37.500 no stop it i'll just dust the house myself you stupid slow robot that's how i feel like the first

00:02:44.460 year of owning a robot will go i need a fast robot i don't need no slow robot let me make that clear

00:02:51.500 no slow robots

00:02:53.160 california just uh signed a law the governor signed it to protect children from social media

00:03:02.440 now this is one of those things where i say to myself i'll betcha i'll betcha this is one of those

00:03:09.640 stories where it's hard to know really whether they did something good or bad

00:03:14.720 because there's probably like three layers to this that i don't understand but at the surface layer

00:03:21.680 i like the idea of protecting children from social media but what exactly did they do to make that

00:03:28.300 happen well one of the things i did is uh if it's a minor's account um you can't send them

00:03:36.560 notifications without permission from a parent between 12 a.m and 6 a.m which i don't mind oh and

00:03:45.700 between 8 a.m and 3 p.m on weekdays oh from september through may so basically uh when kids are supposed

00:03:54.140 to be sleeping or supposed to be in school they can't give fed content it's not bad not bad

00:04:03.100 um and there's some kind of limits to their addictive feed except i don't know how anybody

00:04:08.840 would define addictive isn't everything that you like addictive if you if the social media sends you

00:04:18.700 more of things that it knows you want to see which is its entire point isn't that addictive so i don't

00:04:25.940 know how they can get rid of addictive feeds well in other news uh chat gpt has hired johnny ive who is

00:04:35.940 famous as the uh incredible designer who worked on the iphone and other apple products so apparently

00:04:43.740 chat gpt is making a device some kind of a device we assume it's going to be something that would do

00:04:52.760 some phone related tasks but would it be related would it be a phone or would it be like a whole

00:05:00.080 new idea that could do the phone stuff plus some extra stuff i wonder i've been saying for a while

00:05:07.280 that um where phones need to be is that when you pick up your phone it's anybody's phone in other

00:05:16.820 words i could hand you my phone and when it comes on it could look at your face instead of my face

00:05:22.820 and it would become your phone so in other words it would only get into your accounts but if i handed

00:05:29.540 you my phone it's just a blank screen and you just hold it at your face and it goes boop and it pops up

00:05:36.080 with basically your phone you know as as stored in the cloud so so the idea would be it would be a

00:05:42.460 cloud based phone um which only works if your internet is pretty complete you know because

00:05:49.700 it wouldn't work if you're not connected so i don't know we'll see if that's what what uh johnny

00:05:56.420 ive comes up with but the fact that he's working on it and it's chat gpt those are two really really

00:06:05.220 powerful things to put together so we'll see what comes to that um according to the guardian there's

00:06:13.480 a new study that links uh diet and metabolism to bipolar depression now they don't claim that every

00:06:23.080 part of depression or bipolar depression can be cured by fixing your diet so i want to be clear

00:06:29.040 they're not saying it's just diet but in this study uh about a third of the people who had

00:06:35.980 bipolar depression um had much better symptoms or lesser symptoms when they fixed their diet and went

00:06:43.680 keto now i've been saying for some time quite provocatively that some percentage of all depression

00:06:52.560 is related to your energy and that if you had high energy you wouldn't be depressed

00:06:58.520 and that the that the science of it has been at least partially backwards now again here's what

00:07:06.020 i'm not saying i'm not saying that all depression is alike and that it's all related to energy i'm not

00:07:12.380 saying that i'm saying that probably some percentage of it is just having low energy because you don't

00:07:18.320 feel good and then that's going to make you depressed so it can be true that if you were depressed it

00:07:25.100 can make you feel like you have low energy i think that's well established but it could also be true

00:07:31.220 that it works the other way that if you have low energy because you're doing everything wrong your

00:07:35.600 diet's wrong your exercise is wrong you don't have social interaction all the things that would give

00:07:40.260 you energy um i think that would probably take care of a third of it and that was about roughly what

00:07:47.580 they found when they just fixed the diet a third of the people suddenly weren't so bipolar depressed

00:07:53.440 thank you paul i needed that all right so um let me say that again i've never personally um

00:08:06.800 if you've experienced the same thing if you've ever felt depressed but you're not you know clinically a

00:08:13.300 depressed person wasn't it always associated with low energy like every time and anytime your energy

00:08:20.920 is high you don't feel depressed so just just be aware that working on your health and your energy

00:08:28.240 might cure your depression you know maybe one third of you if you did everything right

00:08:34.160 maybe so i'm not your scientist or your doctor i'm just saying that if you're not working on your

00:08:40.380 general physical health your mental health isn't going to do well

00:08:45.300 uh here's a correction i would like to make to other people's work not my own that's the best kind

00:08:56.120 of correction i would like like to now correct other people not me but uh i've been hearing the

00:09:02.660 reports of the government uh wasting 42 billion dollars trying to give rural people um internet

00:09:10.200 connection but not not connecting a single person how many of you heard that story that biden harris

00:09:18.380 got 42 billion dollars for all this internet connection and didn't get any internet connections

00:09:25.720 now here's my um clarification i think when they say 42 billion was wasted they don't mean it was spent

00:09:36.740 right it wasn't wasted i believe it was not spent or or some small amount of it was spent but they

00:09:45.560 didn't get to the point where they could connect anybody so is that uh does that track with what

00:09:52.680 you believe it's not that they took 42 billion dollars and spent it and it's all gone and will never give

00:09:58.260 us anything but i think people talk about it that way i think rather 42 billion was budgeted but they

00:10:06.280 were too incompetent or there were too many regulations or whatever it was that they just didn't get

00:10:11.380 anything done is that how you understand it because i've heard it i've heard people in public refer to it

00:10:18.000 as wasted and i think rather it's just massive incompetence and and and you know the the real

00:10:26.360 heart of the story is that they didn't need to spend a penny they could have just said to elon musk hey

00:10:33.060 what would it cost to have the government subsidize some some rural people on your satellite and then he

00:10:40.360 would say here's a very reasonable price and you can all be up on it and working tomorrow and then they

00:10:46.940 would say wow that's much better than 42 billion you mean you'd only charge us i'll just pick a number

00:10:52.320 50 million a year or something and he would say yeah that's about right so that's what i think is

00:10:59.640 happening there was another uh another video of uh kamala harris giving a public speech in which she

00:11:07.460 looked really really inebriated but the community notes are saying that it was um fake so it was a

00:11:16.920 slowdown or modified so it looked like she was it looked like she was really drunk but maybe it

00:11:24.180 was just the ai faked it so to my credit pat myself on the back here uh when i saw it i did not

00:11:33.260 necessarily believe it was true and so when i reposted it i reposted it with the question is this ai

00:11:40.240 or is it real um and then the answer come back it was it was altered it was ai so here's my take on

00:11:49.940 that if you can take a politician that people are very familiar with kamala harris and you can alter

00:11:59.220 the video so it looks like she's drunk as a skunk and people can't tell it's altered that's a story

00:12:07.580 so it would be a story if it were not altered because there she would be drunk as a skunk or

00:12:15.240 inebriated in some way but since that wasn't true you get to the next level of well isn't that

00:12:22.340 interesting there's so many people looked at that and said yeah that's true now imagine if you tried

00:12:27.860 to do that with a trump speech take a trump speech then try to use ai to alter it so it sounds like

00:12:34.520 oh make america great again you would instantly know that was fake right right you you would know

00:12:45.320 it with no doubt whatsoever oh he doesn't do those things he's been in public a billion times we would

00:12:51.160 have seen it by now that's not real you would have known it but why is it that a faked video making

00:12:58.860 kamala harris look drunk as a skunk in public you couldn't tell if that was real see that's the

00:13:07.420 story the story is not that it's fake the story that a video of her looking drunk in public looks so

00:13:13.700 real that we can't tell the difference although to be fair i had some suspicion about that one

00:13:22.600 so this is kind of a problem because i think it's important that people do see the videos where

00:13:31.260 she does look legitimately like she's on something now i'm not sure i would post any because now that

00:13:39.180 i know somebody's finally did what you expected somebody made a fake one i'm not sure i'd feel

00:13:44.620 comfortable reposting anything on that topic from now on so it makes you even wonder if it was done by

00:13:51.160 you know the harris campaign to embarrass the people who repost them if so it'd be clever it would work

00:13:58.780 all right uh the rabbit hole account on x reposted a graph that showed that only 3.4 percent of

00:14:10.340 journalists are republicans as of 2022 i think that means based on donations i'm not sure

00:14:16.340 either donations are registered but somehow they know and what do you think 3.4 percent of republicans

00:14:25.040 now here's my take on that if you had a press organization that was say 50 50 republicans and

00:14:35.960 democrats and then one of you put out some something that's just propaganda for one side or the other

00:14:42.000 how would that work out for you not well because half of your company would say what the hell is this

00:14:48.280 this isn't news this is propaganda you should be fired so if it were 50 50 you wouldn't be able to

00:14:56.300 get away with pure propaganda as we see every day on what we call the press but isn't really the press

00:15:01.640 but suppose it's not 50 50 let's say it's 60 40 can you get away with propaganda if it's 60 40 a real

00:15:11.480 clear majority of people on one side and the answer is probably not probably not because if 40 of the

00:15:19.180 people are saying you know i can't even work here if you're going to just print bullshit right 40 would

00:15:25.580 be way too much you couldn't get away with just being a propaganda network if 40 of your employees are

00:15:31.380 like hey what what the hell i i came here to do news you're just doing propaganda now but what

00:15:36.880 happens when you get above 85 percent are on the same team once you reach 85 percent are on the same

00:15:44.300 team you're only propaganda and you don't have an option to do balanced news if you tried to do some

00:15:51.800 balanced news in an organization where 85 percent of them thought trump was iller you would be fired for

00:15:58.980 being balanced you wouldn't be able to get away with it so i i suggest the following that we could

00:16:07.760 come up with a working definition of whether a press entity is news or propaganda based on the

00:16:14.980 percentage that lean in one direction and that you could be pretty sure that you had gotten it right

00:16:22.580 so you show me an entity with 85 percent people clearly democrat and i will tell you no doubt about

00:16:30.120 it this is not a news organization no doubt about it like 100 certain this is not a legitimate news

00:16:37.660 organization but you show me an entity with legitimately something closer to 50 50 even if it's 60 40 i mean that

00:16:47.220 would be close enough for me then i'm going to say that's probably news you know maybe not every

00:16:53.160 single story is just where you want it but that's probably a news organization that's you know struggling

00:16:58.640 with being unbiased but they're news don't you think that definition would work perfectly

00:17:05.180 what why do they get to tell us their news why don't we get to decide whether they're news

00:17:11.460 news and i would say that we should just have a percentage and say that if you're above let's pick a

00:17:18.460 percentage 80 percent would you does that sound fair if you're above 80 percent it doesn't matter which

00:17:25.540 direction so you could apply the same thing to um conservative outlets if you had a conservative

00:17:32.160 publication that was 80 conservative same thing no you don't you think you could claim that well

00:17:39.180 80 percent i'm not sure i'd call that news because even if the 80 percent are really really dedicated

00:17:45.660 to giving you unbiased news at the very least they're going to be leaving out context and stories that maybe

00:17:54.300 just didn't hit them as exciting and somebody else might have so you think 65 to 70 would be enough to say that

00:18:03.800 you're not news anymore i think if 30 percent of your employees don't like what you're doing you've

00:18:10.120 got a problem i think around 80 percent you're guaranteed to be propaganda guaranteed you just

00:18:16.520 there's just nowhere around it so that's what i'd say i'd say i think i'd do something like

00:18:22.440 50 50 definitely news 80 20 definitely not news but somewhere in between would be like a little gray area

00:18:31.360 you could rate you know like a maybe yes no and maybe

00:18:34.640 well here's something i didn't know was legal but uh republican senator rick scott

00:18:42.460 and he's being joined with i guess marco rubio also republican uh from florida they're offering a

00:18:51.040 hundred million dollar reward for information that would lead to the arrest and conviction

00:18:54.800 of the venezuelan president nicolas maduro now if our federal government put out some kind of a

00:19:03.680 reward for somebody that was a international criminal i'd say huh that's weird but you know we've done it

00:19:11.360 before i mean we did with um uh what's the name in iraq uh saddam hussein so it's not the strangest thing

00:19:20.800 that would ever happen if it's the federal government but where does a state get off

00:19:26.720 doing international negotiations what what do i not know about this story because to me this is illegal

00:19:36.960 what am i missing how can a state put a put a bounty on somebody's head in another country

00:19:44.480 how is that legal does anybody know how that's legal now i'm not i'm not opposed to it i'm not

00:19:54.960 i don't think it'll make any difference so being opposed to it or not opposed to it doesn't make any

00:19:58.960 difference i don't think but it doesn't feel like it's legal it doesn't feel like it should be legal

00:20:05.520 but probably is i mean i can't imagine it's hard for me to imagine that two senators would not know

00:20:13.600 that something was illegal they would know but it's kind of surprising isn't it kind of surprising

00:20:22.800 well speaking of venezuela uh the chicago gangs are apparently having a tough time because the

00:20:28.720 venezuelans are trying to move in and steal their drug dealing stuff you remember what uh

00:20:36.240 um something i told you a while ago peter uh zan said so i don't have any independent

00:20:45.600 corroboration this is just something peter zan said on a video that the reason you don't hear much about

00:20:51.360 the la black gangs you know the crips and the bloods it's not that they don't exist it's that uh their

00:20:58.880 operation was basically taken over by the mexican cartels and that the way they took over the

00:21:05.360 business is they just murdered they just murdered the black gang members until they controlled the

00:21:10.960 territory now i don't know if that's true but i do know i don't hear much about black gang members in

00:21:19.280 la do you when was the last time you heard about a black gang member problem in la i feel like that

00:21:27.040 used to be more news and just sort of it's like it doesn't exist anymore so my question is is there

00:21:36.000 some possibility that the venezuelans are just going to take all of that illegal business from

00:21:42.080 the black gangs in chicago you know life is so unpredictable who saw this coming now the chicagoans

00:21:50.960 including the gang members uh apparently are quite upset that venezuelans are coming in not only getting

00:21:57.840 government assistance imagine imagine this you're in you're a black citizen in chicago and let's say

00:22:05.040 you're in the lower income level and you find out that your government is giving money that you think

00:22:12.240 could have gone to you i mean if the government had extra money for poor people why is it going to

00:22:16.800 the venezuelan migrants instead of you that's what you'd think reasonably that'd be a reasonable thing to

00:22:21.920 think and then what if you were also feeling that because you're low income and systemic racism and

00:22:29.520 all the rest that your best opportunity for making money was illegal selling drugs now you'd have the

00:22:38.080 government that's taking what feels like your money and giving it to the venezuelans while the venezuelans

00:22:44.800 are literally taking your illegal jobs which you might think are your best option because the legal stuff

00:22:51.200 isn't going to work out for you for one reason or another things might be really coming to a head

00:22:58.560 there might be some we could be on the cusp of some you know murdering among the criminal elements

00:23:06.880 like we've never seen before so at some point the venezuelan gangs might try to just try to wipe out

00:23:14.160 the the black criminal element and just take over the business so i don't think we fully understand how

00:23:20.560 violent this could get could get

00:23:28.160 all right um

00:23:32.160 here's a uh oh there's a new story that uh according to the ap there are 98 000 arizonans whose citizenship

00:23:40.480 hadn't been confirmed that will be allowed to vote so the arizona supreme court said that even though we

00:23:47.920 don't know 98 000 uh people in arizona we don't know if they're citizens they will be allowed to vote

00:23:56.160 now

00:23:58.800 our election system is just a joke at this point it's just a joke and the funny thing is that if

00:24:05.280 you don't follow the news that i follow you know because people send me stories they think i'm interested

00:24:10.560 in and i am interested in our election secure so i see i see five of these a day

00:24:19.680 five a day legitimate stories this one's from the associate press ap and

00:24:28.320 how am i supposed to process this this feels like the ap is telling me that the government of one of our

00:24:37.040 you know key states in the election is going to ignore the constitution and just

00:24:43.680 let anybody vote who signed up or something i mean it looks like nobody's even trying it looks like

00:24:50.080 the government just said ah screw it anybody who wants to vote come on in i don't even understand what

00:24:56.880 i'm looking at like how can this even be happening it doesn't feel like any of its legitimate when i

00:25:05.200 see something like this i think okay the arizona supreme court oh i guess they're all owned by the

00:25:10.080 cartels or owned by the democrats or they're blackmailed but i can't think of any you know non-corrupt

00:25:20.160 reason for what i'm seeing can you can you think of a non-corrupt explanation for why they'd let 98

00:25:27.760 000 people who can't prove that their citizens vote in a swing state there's no reason other than

00:25:33.600 corruption that i can think of i usually i at least know the argument on the other side what's the

00:25:41.440 argument on the other side of this because they try to pull the um voter suppression oh you're you're

00:25:49.040 trying to keep black people from voting there's no evidence of that at all no evidence now if somebody

00:25:56.800 had some evidence i would quickly embrace that point of view based on evidence i don't i don't oppose it

00:26:04.000 on any kind of philosophical level you could have to show me something but we've still never seen a

00:26:11.440 single black citizen of america who wanted to vote who couldn't figure it out and couldn't get an id

00:26:19.040 not one in in years years have passed and we haven't found one and the news the news will

00:26:27.040 still report it like that's a legitimate reason yeah well i mean you could disagree or agree but

00:26:32.560 they've got a point you don't want to disenfranchise all these you know voters what voter we haven't found

00:26:39.280 one disenfranchised voter ever now keep in mind they have to be people who can't get an id but are

00:26:46.560 still interested and knowledgeable enough about politics to vote zero that venn diagram is no

00:26:54.000 people none and we're all supposed to pretend like they exist or something no i'm not going to pretend

00:27:00.000 they exist unless you can show me one show me one just one we got lots of people in the country yeah

00:27:10.240 one one would be good just one all right i've got a new uh tell for somebody being either brainwashed

00:27:20.800 or being the brainwasher so you can't tell because they would use the same words the brainwasher

00:27:28.480 would inject a word into the brainwashed so then they'd both be using the word so you can't tell

00:27:33.840 necessarily you know at least on first look you can't tell is this a brainwasher or brainwashed

00:27:40.640 but they use the same words and here's the new one useful idiot of putin the useful idiot thing

00:27:50.080 now if you were looking at all of the policies and problems of the country and you're looking at

00:27:57.600 what trump offered and you were looking at what kamala harris offered why would you bring up the useful

00:28:04.080 idiot of putin concept the only reason you bring up something that dumb is that you didn't have any

00:28:11.760 real reasons to prefer harris over trump if you had a real reason you would mention it you wouldn't have

00:28:18.880 to make up something that sounds so dumb and they say every election and everybody says it about both

00:28:25.520 sides to the point where there's no meaning whatsoever well twice today i saw the same individual

00:28:30.960 on it doesn't matter who uh responding to a pro-trump post by reminding us about that he could be a

00:28:39.680 quote useful idiot of putin now you've also seen probably if you're on social media that lately a lot of

00:28:49.920 accusations about trump from the 70s have popped up has anybody noticed that they'll talk about the

00:28:56.560 the the um the central park five or they'll talk about the housing case where there was a housing

00:29:04.720 discrimination case with one of his companies by the way if somebody brings that up um i think so there

00:29:11.680 was a trump property i think it was the 70s uh that was the management team was discriminating against black

00:29:20.160 applicants now i believe that they pled guilty or you know the company basically said okay well you

00:29:27.520 know i'm sorry we'll stop doing that probably paid a fine what was never demonstrated as far as i know

00:29:33.840 i'll take a fact check on this if you know something different what was never demonstrated is that trump

00:29:38.800 had anything to do with it it was his company so it's his responsibility so you know the buck stops with

00:29:45.280 him but there was never demonstrated that he knew that his management team was discriminating now is it

00:29:54.000 plausible that they would have discriminated without getting orders from the top in the 70s yes it is

00:30:03.120 yeah you wouldn't need any orders from the top in the 70s to do some rental discrimination

00:30:09.680 probably any white people that they hired for that job would have just sort of done it automatically

00:30:17.600 and it and in those days it wasn't always discriminating against uh let's say the ability

00:30:24.880 of the renter to pay in those days the discrimination would be as much about

00:30:30.880 not wanting the other people to discriminate and not want to live in your building

00:30:35.600 so it wasn't so much what you thought about the applicant it was about what you thought the

00:30:40.800 other people who were applicants would think about the applicants still illegal still immoral unethical

00:30:47.360 don't do it but there is a difference i mean if you want to be accurate about it there's no evidence

00:30:53.840 that trump told anybody to discriminate based on race that has never been presented nobody's ever claimed

00:31:00.240 it nobody's ever said i talked to him and he said it so i don't know i don't know but beyond that i have

00:31:09.680 a different standard which i like to apply which is if it happened 20 years ago and especially if there's

00:31:17.120 some court that dealt with it i don't care and i apply the same standard i applied it to hillary clinton as

00:31:24.880 well you know people would say 20 years ago or 30 years ago she may or may not have done this to which

00:31:30.720 i say i don't care 30 years ago everybody was a different person you know so show me what you've done

00:31:39.840 lately and i'll judge you on that but 20 years ago 40 years ago do you care about what happened 40 years ago

00:31:46.400 well so my point there is not to defend any of those so i'm not defending anything anybody did back

00:31:55.600 then what i am doing is saying that if the democrats feel that they have to bring up stuff from 40 years

00:32:02.640 ago it means they've given up on comparing policies today you would never dig down 40 years ago

00:32:10.560 if you had something today because everybody knows that what's happening today is more

00:32:16.960 relevant to everybody so i it feels like the democrats are feeling some kind of

00:32:25.600 like they're giving up or they're desperate to find something that they can talk about that isn't

00:32:32.080 obviously better for trump than than harris anyway

00:32:36.080 trump did what i think is a quite clever thing you know he was taking a lot of heat

00:32:42.160 on the hoax that trump was behind project 2025 which was done by entirely different people although

00:32:49.520 they had some overlap with his past administration but he wasn't involved with it doesn't endorse it

00:32:56.080 but it's a little more radical than his policies so the so the harris team is trying to tag him for

00:33:04.160 being responsible for it which he isn't so instead of defeating that hoax which is impossible in

00:33:10.240 today's media environment he decided to introduce one of his own

00:33:17.120 i love this more than i can explain because in the real world if you try to just say oh that's a hoax

00:33:25.520 let me explain very clearly you can even check it yourself i was not involved in writing it

00:33:30.800 and you can look at my policies in public you can see that not once have they ever been

00:33:36.880 you know overlapped with them on some of these things on some they do overlap

00:33:41.040 uh and and and you think that the facts would be enough to make that story go away right

00:33:46.080 but because the media is a propaganda machine he doesn't have the option of debunking a hoax

00:33:55.200 because they won't let him the propaganda machine won't do it if they were news they would

00:33:58.960 but since they're only propaganda he has no way to debunk a hoax so what did he do instead

00:34:05.840 he created his own hoax that's a direct counter to it he created kamala's project 2025

00:34:15.440 so he says that kamala has a project 2025 and that she wants to quote abolish ice open the border defund the

00:34:23.360 police release violent offenders eliminate middle class tax cuts ban fracking and fossil fuel usage

00:34:29.920 confiscate guns from legal gun owners take away health care plans for people taxpayer funded

00:34:35.360 transgender surgery for illegal aliens do you know what's interesting about that list

00:34:42.640 i think it's almost all fake i don't think there's anything that's true on the list

00:34:48.080 which is just what they were doing to him now what are you going to do about that so now you're the

00:34:55.520 news so let's say you're msnbc what you want to report is that trump's uh allegations of kamala harris's

00:35:04.240 project 2025 is based on things that you sort of suspect she might do but they're opposite of what

00:35:11.440 she says her policy is so her policy is that she's not going to ban fracking so trump puts on her project

00:35:21.120 2025 bullshit hoax list you're going to ban fracking now it's based on a similar idea that even though she

00:35:30.400 says even though she says i'm not going to ban it in the past she said she would so you think well her

00:35:37.920 real personality is as she would so you know it's not that much of a reach to say that she's lying

00:35:43.760 about what she would do but if you're going to take the standard that trump says these are my policies

00:35:51.760 and they're different from project 2025 and nobody's going to pay attention to that then i think it's

00:35:58.080 actually brilliant and hilarious that he took all of the things that they're doing to harris which are

00:36:05.360 opposite of what she says she's going to do well you could imagine maybe she's not quite honest about

00:36:10.800 it and they're just he's just throwing it back at him so instead of trying to make her hoaxes go away

00:36:18.640 which can't happen in the propaganda press environment he simply matched her hoaxes

00:36:26.000 he just matched her hoax i don't know if this will work but i love the fact that they can't they can't

00:36:33.280 debunk his hoaxes without kind of accidentally showing that it's similar to what she's doing to

00:36:40.240 him kind of brilliant kind of brilliant i like everything about this so again i'd like to say that

00:36:50.000 this is the first time i've seen where both of the campaigns are a plus the candidates you know are the

00:36:58.960 candidates but wow if i'm just looking at the skill level of the harris campaign even if you don't like

00:37:07.440 the candidate the skill level of the campaign is just so good even when they're lying they lie really

00:37:14.560 really well and then trump's campaign again you know they've everybody has a stumble now and then but

00:37:20.960 i think that they're a plus this is just kind of brilliant well we have to talk about bill moore

00:37:27.760 again because i forgot to mention he had bjorn lomborg on his show on friday now bjorn has been on his show

00:37:35.200 before uh for years actually but here's what i feel i'm sensing that's different the washington post

00:37:44.320 just did a big story in which they were going to show the temperatures of the climate across um

00:37:50.400 across the eons you know going back way back into the future and they were surprised to learn that

00:37:56.560 despite our high levels of co2 from man-made sources that the temperature is actually kind of lowish

00:38:04.400 uh historically they were not anywhere close to any kind of like historical earth high

00:38:12.240 now because the washington post are mostly idiots i don't think they presented the counter argument

00:38:21.040 against the co2 is a hoax the counter argument is that you can't compare the current to the past

00:38:28.800 and the reason is that there were lots of other things that were different for example the intensity

00:38:33.920 of the sun and other atmospheric things were different so the argument would be that although

00:38:40.160 there might have been you know different co2 and different temperature you can't really compare

00:38:44.800 it to the present and make any kind of reasonable conclusion i actually agree with that so i think the

00:38:51.520 washington post is wrong about climate change being a problem but just to show how dumb they are

00:38:58.880 when they sort of indicated that maybe it was a little bit debunked with their own work their own new

00:39:06.240 new work of debunking it was also moronically incomplete so i think they got it wrong on both

00:39:12.160 sides i think they got it wrong about the level of the risk and then when they looked at the temperature

00:39:17.600 over time they were idiots and they couldn't figure out how to do a good job on that so they acted like co2

00:39:22.960 is the only thing that changed or temperature is the only thing that changed and the two things that

00:39:27.040 changed and that's just not the case there are a bunch of other things that were different so

00:39:32.000 i'm a little speculating here because i didn't read the whole article but i do think that they're

00:39:38.960 not qualified to tell you what the temperature is so here's what i think i think maybe bill maher has

00:39:48.560 seen some of these stories about the climate risk being overdone um and he had bjorn lomborgon whose

00:39:56.320 story is not that the temperature isn't rising and not that humans don't have something to do with it

00:40:03.360 but rather that we've completely miscalculated how bad it would be and you would add to that that

00:40:09.920 there's more greening and apparently our corn and rice yields worldwide are way better than they've ever

00:40:16.000 been because of co2 so we would actually be starving now without much more co2 than we had

00:40:25.760 it's the co2 that's the only reason we can eat i mean imagine if we didn't have corn and rice

00:40:34.000 i mean we're talking about huge huge increases in crop yields that seem directly related to the co2

00:40:42.800 we would be starving if we didn't fertilize the air i guess now of course there may be downsides as well

00:40:51.440 and the argument with climate is not that um it's instantly going to kill you but that it might even

00:40:57.920 be good and good and good for the you know good for the farmers until it reaches some turning point

00:41:04.640 where you can't get back that would be the argument now i don't think that's likely neither does lomborg

00:41:10.880 but for i think it's notable that to bill maher a big green new big uh green guy i guess um would have

00:41:19.600 him on just so you can see the alternate argument and i think he listened to it and i think he

00:41:29.280 he's sort of on the path to figuring out that climate change might have been like the pandemic

00:41:34.720 might have been like everything else we've been told a lie and i think bill maher is suspecting it

00:41:41.520 now the other thing that gives me this little hint is do you remember years ago he was famously he got

00:41:47.680 a prius and he was all you know hey you know even a celebrity like me will just drive a prius because

00:41:54.480 we've got to save the environment and now he says it was just the worst car and admits that the the

00:42:01.200 electric cars have have problems with you know rare earth minerals and you know maybe they're not so

00:42:07.360 good for the environment after all and then he also said he got a tesla after that and he hated it

00:42:13.280 so he's basically said that the you know the buying of tiny vehicles that are good for the environment

00:42:20.240 didn't really work out for him well he's got bjorn lomborgon saying these green cars might be more

00:42:27.840 you know as much bad as good depending who's calculating the bad and the good and i i think

00:42:35.520 he's signaling that he's evolving on the at least the risk level and what you should do about it

00:42:44.880 for the environment so i can't read his mind it would be unfair for me to say i think he's changed his

00:42:51.200 mind but the signaling and the foreshadowing is definitely there and i think that he may be having

00:42:57.920 if if you took trump out of the news i feel like bill maher would be a republican

00:43:06.080 or no he wouldn't be a republican that's too far i feel like he would be close to it you know more

00:43:13.680 like an independent who's not not batshit crazy so i think it's really only trump that keeps him from

00:43:20.960 saying you know i'm not even so sure about this climate change stuff he just wouldn't want to agree

00:43:24.800 with trump that would be too far but i feel like he's leaning that way or at least he's open to

00:43:30.240 the arguments because he had lomborgon which again he's had he's had him on in the past before

00:43:38.160 um cats on the roof so trump i've said this before does not get enough credit for the quality of his

00:43:48.000 writing and it's because you know the press wants to paint him as a sixth grade vocabulary you know

00:43:55.120 uh crazy person but um i just love his writing when he does these extended posts on truth

00:44:04.720 and he was getting on also mar for his guests but let me just read it and i'm going to tell you a

00:44:12.400 writer's way of looking at things so when i was first selected to be a syndicated cartoonist

00:44:21.760 my editor was the first person in the world to look at my writing and say hey i think you have

00:44:28.640 commercial level writing ability just in the context of a comic strip and here's how she explained it to

00:44:35.760 me she said your writing is voice voicey like voice and i didn't know what that meant so she explained

00:44:45.840 it's voicey meaning that you can tell that it came from one personality so my writing displays my personality

00:44:55.040 um more than other writing does a lot a lot of people if they're not professional writers they're

00:45:00.400 not good at it they'll write in a way that looks like everybody else who's trying to write you'll

00:45:05.360 see no personality you'll just see that they're struggling to put words in the right order so

00:45:09.520 that they can say something when you read trump's anything you can hear his voice and you so hear his

00:45:17.520 personality that's voicey voicey for non-fiction stuff if you're writing for fiction you you want

00:45:26.480 the characters to be the voice that's different if you're writing for non-fiction let's say career

00:45:32.560 advice politics anything that's based on facts you want it to be voicey because that's what makes it

00:45:40.400 fascinating and interesting and it holds your attention and what holds your attention is what influences you

00:45:45.760 so it'd be one thing if you go if you said oh that's interesting but then you didn't remember it

00:45:51.200 if you remember it and especially if you read it more than once because just the way it was said

00:45:57.600 and then you post it because you thought it was funny that's the ultimate writing the ultimate writing

00:46:03.600 is interesting you'll remember it and you'll share it with somebody you can't beat that and and and

00:46:10.400 trump does that by being the ultimate voicey candidate now i'm going to show you what i mean

00:46:15.760 by simply reading a sort of a lengthy post he did on on truth so listen to it not for the perfect grammar

00:46:25.760 uh you can't tell but you know maybe there's a typo in here don't care all right good writing is not

00:46:31.440 about the grammar the editors fix your grammar it's not about your typos the editors fix your typos it's not

00:46:39.120 even your job you know you do the first draft but somebody else does that stuff so see how voicey

00:46:45.760 this is all right so donald trump talking about uh maher he says the ratings challenged bill maher

00:46:53.120 on his increasingly boring show on hbo is really having a hard time coping with trump derangement

00:46:59.120 syndrome all in caps he is a befuddled mess sloppy and tired and every conversation with b and c list

00:47:06.560 guess seems to start with or revert back to me this week he had quote dumb as a rock bimbo stephanie

00:47:14.480 rule from ms dnc on the show along with a trump hating loser brett stevens who's who seemed totally

00:47:22.240 confused and unsure of himself very much like mar himself stevens should find himself another line of

00:47:28.000 work because i'm driving the failing new york times absolutely crazy and it's very hard perhaps

00:47:33.520 impossible for a writer to write well of me without suffering the wrath of the degenerate editors

00:47:39.200 who with a push from the top have gone insane they apologize to the readers in 2016 for their

00:47:48.720 complete and total miss and they'll do it again in november the failing new york times is badly run

00:47:55.040 quote newspaper that has totally lost its way put it to sleep

00:47:59.280 when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is

00:48:06.960 every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those

00:48:13.040 from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that

00:48:18.960 cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price

00:48:25.680 for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less

00:48:34.480 put it to sleep who says that so if if you want to know if you want just one example out of 50 uh from

00:48:43.840 that what makes it voicey put it to sleep put it to sleep who says that who would ever use those words

00:48:53.120 in that in you know in this sentence on that put it to sleep

00:49:00.080 it's like a dog i just put it to sleep

00:49:05.120 anyway so have i made my point so my point is that every word he writes you see him you feel him you can

00:49:13.040 hear him and you remember him and then you want to repost it that is the ultimate the ultimate great writing

00:49:22.240 if if you're still on the he had a typo and he spelled the word wrong oh you're missing the show you are

00:49:28.960 missing the show if it's the grammar you're worried about anyway best writer in the public sphere in my opinion

00:49:38.800 um

00:49:41.520 so boeing

00:49:42.320 so as you know boeing's been having a hard time

00:49:51.280 with his star liner and its various aircraft and stuff and you know some of its equipment's not working

00:49:57.280 late and cost overruns and stuff like that so uh the star liner cost uh there's a 1.6 billion in

00:50:05.600 overruns and uh they've had problems with it and as you know it's the one that got stranded the

00:50:11.200 the astronauts on this on the international space station so the uh the head of its space and defense

00:50:19.600 unit has been fired so the the person who was in charge of boeing uh not all of boeing but was in

00:50:28.640 charge of the space and defense unit just got fired wow now there's a picture of the individual who uh

00:50:36.480 is a black american uh what do you think the pundits are saying about this situation

00:50:42.960 well quite unfairly they're calling him a dei higher now uh i have no evidence to suggest

00:50:52.400 that anything that happened bad with the star liner had anything to do with this one person

00:50:57.680 even though he was a boss um and certainly i have no evidence to suggest there's any kind of dei

00:51:04.880 issue in other words was he promoted because he's black as opposed to you know the best person for the

00:51:10.640 job i have no information that would suggest he wasn't the best person for the job so i'm going to

00:51:16.640 take what i call the glenn lowry um frame on this the glenn if you don't know glenn lowry is a very smart

00:51:24.960 uh economist i think is his background and he talks a lot about dei he is black american and his take

00:51:33.920 if i can accurately summarize it is that uh dei obviously isn't good for the people who are passed

00:51:40.720 over because they're the wrong race right that's obvious if you're if you're uh chinese american and

00:51:47.200 you got passed over for somebody else because you're the wrong dei um that's bad right so i think glenn would

00:51:56.480 see that and but he would also say it's bad for blacks who get uh promoted because they're trying to

00:52:04.080 satisfy dei and he says that that makes his own accomplishments as well as anybody who legitimately

00:52:11.200 has you know credibility and uh competence that anytime anybody black accomplishes anything

00:52:19.040 it's going to still look like it was a dei situation and it's it's uh humiliating and degrading and

00:52:25.920 patronizing and all of that so i'm going to take his view which i think is is quite complete because it

00:52:34.080 shows both sides of the situation which is always a you know it's always going to be a better than taking

00:52:39.760 half a side and thinking you're done so i have no no information that would suggest there's anything

00:52:46.800 wrong with this one individual hire but as glenn lowry would point out this is a disaster for black

00:52:54.320 americans who are good at their jobs it's a disaster because people are people they're going to look at this

00:53:02.960 and they're going to draw their conclusions that it's another dei hire it's a disaster

00:53:09.280 if you're a capable hard-working black american you're just trying to make it on the same rules

00:53:14.400 that everybody else is trying to make it and let's say it's working out for you and then people are

00:53:19.600 going to look at you and they're going to look at this boeing guy and they're going to say huh boeing guy

00:53:26.080 dei hire i wonder if there's more of this so yes glenn lowry you are correct this is a disaster

00:53:35.680 for the reputation of capable black people in this country all right um mike cernovich said something

00:53:44.560 that uh speaking of being voicey cernovich is the ultimate voicey poster you can see his personality

00:53:53.440 and everything he does and that is again that's the best writing that's just the best um he said

00:54:02.240 this about the debt he said the country will eventually have to default you know it i know it

00:54:07.120 they know it what happens when a nuclear power says we decide not to pay who knows we will find out soon

00:54:17.600 so i agree with every word of that um

00:54:20.960 um but i'm gonna the only thing i can add to this is the reason that we don't talk about it and the

00:54:28.640 reason that you know he can say mike can say you know it i know what they know it and that rings true

00:54:35.840 but yet it's not the number one story the number one story should be that the united states is getting

00:54:42.240 ready to default on 35 trillion dollars worth of debt and there's nothing that can stop it

00:54:47.120 that should be the biggest story but we're going to pretend that this is like biden and his mental

00:54:55.280 competence remember when we all had to pretend that he was a little bit like a real person

00:55:01.280 and he could do things and it was obvious he couldn't and now we're pretending that kamala

00:55:06.560 harris has capability and she has what it takes to be president we all know that she doesn't

00:55:11.520 the democrats know it we know it the press clearly knows it and we're going to kind of pretend that we

00:55:20.160 don't notice so we have three things that everybody could see that we sort of collectively agreed to act

00:55:30.240 like we don't see it so biden's brain kamala harris's competence and the national debt we all see all three

00:55:40.880 of those things for sure like no doubt about it but they're not the big stories like until there's

00:55:49.680 something forces that like the debate with trump and biden that just forced the issue but what is

00:55:55.680 going to what is going to make us talk honestly about the debt there is no solution to the debt

00:56:03.440 and by the way if we defaulted on the debt it wouldn't even solve the problem

00:56:08.240 if we're if we're adding to it at two trillion you know we well we wouldn't be able to borrow so i

00:56:13.920 guess we wouldn't be able to add to it so basically the whole government would fall apart because so

00:56:19.280 much of it is based on borrowing

00:56:23.360 here's the only way i can imagine that we could survive this number one you got to get the interest

00:56:31.120 rates down because the interest on the debt is bigger than i think the i think it's bigger than

00:56:36.960 the military spending at this point so could trump do anything for example that would lower the interest

00:56:43.360 rates well yes and maybe just the economy can do that so it's possible interest rates can come down

00:56:49.680 and that would make a big difference but not by itself what happens if you got the gdp up to four

00:56:56.800 percent well you might be able to do that because this will be the second or third time in um the

00:57:05.440 industrial human age in which something special was happening so i always say that bill clinton was one

00:57:12.400 of my favorite presidents um because the economy was good but you have to say that he came in during

00:57:20.720 the dot-com boom if the dot-com boom hadn't happened all by itself had nothing to do with clinton

00:57:27.040 would he have had the great economy no but that was a once ever situation where things boomed like

00:57:34.480 we haven't seen boom in our lifetime now prior to that many years ago there was the industrial revolution

00:57:41.840 so if you looked at all of human history the industrial revolution didn't take much time

00:57:47.920 but it was this rare time when we became industrialized so you can imagine the gdp would be

00:57:55.200 zooming during something like that you can imagine the gdp would be unusually zooming during a

00:58:02.720 internet.com takeoff and you could imagine that the age of robots and nuclear power and

00:58:11.840 ai would be one of those periods so we might be into a 10-year period where a four percent gdp which i

00:58:23.120 would consider impossible under normal circumstances yeah you don't just get the four percent gdp

00:58:29.760 that basically it doesn't happen but you could if something really unusual is happening by itself in the

00:58:37.440 outside environment such as ai and robots electric cars self-driving cars these are once ever things

00:58:46.720 there will only be one time when everybody wants to get rid of their car for a self-driving car

00:58:52.720 there was only one time everybody wanted to get rid of their regular phone for a smartphone

00:58:58.400 right these don't come along so you know luck is more important than skill for a lot of this economic

00:59:05.280 stuff and it could be that whoever is president next could be president when there's this economic

00:59:13.360 boom like we've never seen and we could be over four percent now you need the four percent growth

00:59:21.360 but you'd also need not a lot of unemployment so if the robots and the ai take too many jobs well we've

00:59:29.280 got a whole new problem and it's a big one so could we navigate that maybe you can navigate that by

00:59:35.520 building new cities because the people who don't have jobs you say hey why don't you move to this new

00:59:42.960 city that trump is building on federal land and they're looking for lots of workers and you don't have

00:59:49.120 a skill but you know we'll train you we'll teach you how to do this stuff because you'll just be you know

00:59:54.720 carrying things or mixing concrete or something so we'll just teach you how to do that so you can

01:00:00.640 imagine that we could you could imagine some way that the unemployed would get quickly redeployed now

01:00:08.320 the fact that we're bringing in all of these um migrants and part of the story that you don't hear a

01:00:14.800 lot about is that i think a lot of them are being employed and i don't know enough about that

01:00:21.760 that so here's my question are there so many companies that need low-end employees and can't

01:00:28.800 get them that something like i'll just make up this number so this is a question not a statement

01:00:34.800 would it be true that 80 of the migrants who are coming in through asylum so they technically would be

01:00:40.480 legal um do 80 of them just get a job working on a farm or the assembly line because we didn't have

01:00:50.080 enough people to do those jobs or is it 20 because if only 20 of them are coming in and getting jobs

01:00:57.360 that is a disaster at a level that i can't even comprehend if 80 of them are coming in and although

01:01:06.400 they don't make much money and you know 10 of them have to live in an apartment but they got jobs

01:01:11.680 is that the case if 80 of them have jobs it's a whole different situation and it also suggests

01:01:19.920 that if we curbed immigration we might find a way for people who lose their jobs to

01:01:26.880 find a way you know not in the lowest of the low-paid jobs ideally

01:01:31.280 so then the other thing would be re-engineering the government

01:01:34.880 uh as you know um and massey thomas massey points this out the way the government does budgets

01:01:43.760 are they say how about making a cut in this budget and then all hell breaks loose because there's

01:01:50.000 somebody who's protecting every budget so you can't really cut any budgets the way a business would run

01:01:57.520 would be they'd say every department tell me how much you need and you're gonna have to argue your case

01:02:03.200 every year and then you add them all together and that's your budget but the government just says

01:02:08.800 we're gonna need five percent more than last year because of inflation and there's more people we're

01:02:13.200 taking care of and then so let's say the democrats say that then the republicans say no way but we need

01:02:21.760 to spend billions more on the military and the democrats say no way and then the two of them get

01:02:27.440 together and they say how about this why don't we just run up the debt and you get your billions i

01:02:34.000 get my billions i get re-elected you get re-elected because it's good for our states and we'll just push

01:02:40.400 that can down the road and that's what happens so our budgeting process is not even a budgeting process

01:02:47.600 so it's like how did you repair your broken engine on your car i i took up knitting wait what i took up

01:02:58.480 knitting well that doesn't even seem like you're in the right domain i mean how does knitting fix your

01:03:07.200 car engine well i'm knitting really hard not really an answer how hard you knit is not related because you

01:03:16.000 can't really fix a car engine yes but i've got lots of people knitting again again that's not really

01:03:24.080 the right tool or even the right conversation to cutting the debt so that's sort of where we're

01:03:29.840 at we're in this absurdity where the government pretends they have something to do with the budget

01:03:34.560 but they don't they're just not even doing the job even in the most basic way you would describe

01:03:41.040 somebody doing a job they're not doing anything like that there's nothing even remotely like

01:03:48.320 your government managing the budget nothing nothing in that domain it's like they're knitting

01:03:53.840 instead of changing the engine into your car they're not even in the same game

01:04:00.080 what could fix that well back in the 90s when dilber was huge corporations had a similar problem

01:04:09.360 so the corporate budgets were just growing and growing and they weren't sure that they were

01:04:13.120 doing the right things that they should be doing they were just spending more money and so they came

01:04:18.240 up with this idea came from one book in particular to do something they called re-engineering

01:04:25.120 so they would for the first time instead of just giving 10 more to the thing they were already doing

01:04:30.880 they would say do we even need to do that maybe maybe we should just do everything differently

01:04:36.960 and then we don't even need this system at all so that would be called re-engineering where you look

01:04:42.000 at it from the the ground as if you'd never looked at it before you know you go to first principles

01:04:47.840 and you say all right what do we need to do what would it take to do it and does that have anything

01:04:53.040 to do with what we're paying for now and if they don't you stop paying for that stuff and you re-engineer

01:04:59.360 it and then you save money and you're more efficient now also around that time the clinton administration

01:05:07.920 was in office and do you remember what portfolio al gore got as the vice president because they sold

01:05:16.320 him as sort of more of an active partner than just being a boring vice president and sure enough

01:05:21.840 uh al gore reinvented government well that's the name for it and what what he focused on was using

01:05:30.640 the internet and newer tech to do things that we used to do in the fashion inefficient bad ways

01:05:37.120 so basically putting a lot of the government online so you don't need people and people can get their

01:05:42.480 service faster and so gore um have i ever told this story so i don't know if i ever told you this

01:05:53.120 story but maybe this is the first time you've heard it so this is the 90s dilbert was big i was giving a

01:05:58.240 speech um in washington dc just a dilberty speech and for money and uh some of the administration

01:06:07.680 found out that i was in town the you know the clinton administration and um i got invited

01:06:15.280 into the white house to just kind of look around and be some of the uh staff of al gore's staff

01:06:21.600 his uh speech writing staff and i guess al gore found out i was in the building so somebody said hey

01:06:28.480 that dilbert guy's in the building so he sent the message to summon me to his office and i thought really

01:06:36.320 i was just i was just visiting the i was just visiting the the staff and uh suddenly they're

01:06:43.120 like uh vice president wants to meet with you and i was like really so i go down to this uh this

01:06:50.320 outer office with some secretary type people sitting there and there's this gigantic door like the

01:06:56.080 biggest door you've ever seen in your life i think it went to the it felt like it went to the ceiling

01:07:01.280 but it was a electric door so you push a button and it opens maybe it was a bomb door or something

01:07:07.520 special i know but it was the most impressive door to a room i'd ever seen and i'm standing there and

01:07:13.760 i'm thinking to myself is that door going to open and the vice president united states al gore is going

01:07:20.000 to walk through it and say hi scott because i couldn't really believe that this was about to happen

01:07:26.240 and then suddenly i saw this gigantic door open up and al gore walks through and he extends his hand

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01:08:55.840 which i always think is funny like you're the vice president i know who you are i'm in the white

01:09:01.280 house i'm in the white house standing in front of your office you are al gore and uh but you know

01:09:08.000 what else are you going to say it's just a reflex so uh we took some pictures and then he asked me if

01:09:14.480 i had a minute to go in and chat so we go into his office and he said that uh you know he was trying to

01:09:22.560 reinvent the government you know try to figure out the better faster cheaper way to do everything

01:09:28.800 and he was making a lot of progress so he was succeeding and by the way he did he did a lot of

01:09:35.280 good things he doesn't get a lot of credit for it but that's part of the reason he wanted to talk to

01:09:39.680 me he said you know it's so hard to communicate all these boring technical things that we're

01:09:44.960 accomplishing but we have to put out a report um to say we what we did to get anybody to read it

01:09:52.720 do you think you could help us with make it just humorous and put in some comics so he said can you

01:09:58.960 put some could you make it like a dilbert um this is before i was canceled so people still like me

01:10:05.600 he said could you make it a dilbert report on what we've done to fix the government and i said him no

01:10:15.680 nope can't do that um because the moment i embraced one political party 50 of my revenue would go away

01:10:25.440 so i said that doesn't really work you know because i have i have a fiduciary responsibility to

01:10:31.040 people who have licensed dilbert at that point so if i became even accidentally political

01:10:36.720 even if i'm just trying to help like it's not even that political i'm just trying to help somebody

01:10:40.800 communicate uh i lose half of my audience so i was like nope that doesn't work but here's what's more

01:10:49.120 important you don't want to associate comics with this serious work that would be a communication

01:10:56.000 mistake because people aren't going to take you seriously if even if they learn that you did good

01:11:02.000 things in the comic because the comic is the wrong it's just wrong vehicle don't do comics if you're

01:11:07.040 the government but i did say i can hook you up with somebody who is an expert on user interfaces and could

01:11:15.760 figure out how to make your your message the most palatable so i hooked him up with somebody who was

01:11:23.600 better than me without cartoons so he produced his uh booklet that uh said what the government was

01:11:30.720 doing it was very well written because he got good help and uh he made a big difference now elon musk

01:11:38.320 has offered to help trump cut the government spending but what that really means

01:11:45.760 is not a finance person's approach what it really means is re-engineering the government

01:11:52.240 what you don't want to do is bring in like somebody with a big scalpel and say

01:11:57.280 uh 20 of this and 10 of this and i'm going to cut 15 of this it might end up that way but that's not

01:12:04.640 ideal the ideal situation is for somebody to come in and say why do we have three entities

01:12:11.600 working on the same thing how about just one done why do we even do this stuff when people

01:12:19.280 could do this through private means without the government at all and it'd be faster and cheaper

01:12:24.880 get rid of it done so that's what re-engineering is re-engineering is not twiddling with your budget

01:12:31.600 re-engineering is saying all right if this didn't exist in the first place would we ever build this

01:12:37.040 if we had a problem to solve today and you had to build whatever it is that the government already

01:12:44.240 has would you or would you do it a whole different way because if the answer is with our current

01:12:50.080 knowledge and technology and situation we would do it a whole different way and then you do it that

01:12:55.120 different way and that's how you get your cost down now could an elon musk reduce our uh government

01:13:03.680 expenses enough to make the the deficit go away he'd have to take like a third of the entire government

01:13:13.040 spending out of the budget do you think he can do that take one third of the entire government budget

01:13:19.920 and if you did think of the chaos that would create just just think of all these government

01:13:26.640 organizations that don't have very skilled people trying to re-engineer themselves into a whole different

01:13:31.680 thing that the level of complexity there is beyond anything i could even imagine but in in some big

01:13:39.920 ways you could probably do stuff so i do think that if you combined um that the the environment might

01:13:49.200 serve up one of those rare times where the economy is going to surge no matter what you do because

01:13:53.840 it's robots and ai and self-driving cars etc maybe go into space and if you add that with lower interest

01:14:02.480 rates just because things are going well and if you add that to massively re-engineering not cutting the

01:14:09.680 budget not cutting the budget because that's not even the goal in fact i would say the following if if

01:14:18.000 if musk decided that looking at the government there should be something we should spend twice as

01:14:23.120 much on because it would you know pay itself back in five different ways we should do that so don't

01:14:29.520 think of it as cutting that eliminates a whole source of goodness that could be applied sometimes it's

01:14:36.480 cutting in some areas maybe rare in some areas maybe more maybe more

01:14:42.720 all right um kennedy rfk jr was saying in an event recently that inflation is just a tax mostly on

01:14:56.880 poor people because the rich people own assets if you own a building your building will go up with

01:15:03.200 the inflation so relative to everybody else in the world you still own the same amount of money

01:15:08.960 because you own the building and went up but if you are living paycheck to paycheck and all you're

01:15:13.840 doing is spending your cash on groceries you're going to buy less groceries because your money isn't

01:15:19.840 worth as much so in a sense um it's a way to boost the economy which is good for the people who own

01:15:26.800 buildings not so good for the people working for those people so you can see how that's a transfer

01:15:32.560 it's like a tax on poor people and transfers it to the wealthy it would be better even as somebody

01:15:39.680 who might benefit from this i'd be a lot happier without the inflation i'd rather just nothing changed

01:15:46.560 so you can run the economy you know without the surprise and a shock of uh inflation uh but it's a good

01:15:54.080 point and he says that uh i don't know about this i need a fact check on this but kennedy says

01:15:59.840 um basically the inflation is caused by the government spending too much and he says that

01:16:08.960 the other cause of inflation is the money we're spending on chronic disease

01:16:13.200 and he says that's five times our military budget does that pass your sniff test do you think the

01:16:20.960 amount that america is spending on chronic disease now i assume that doesn't mean the government spending

01:16:26.720 i assume that means individuals spending it on their own for the most part um but is it really

01:16:32.560 five times our military budget does that seem possible it does seem possible i'll take a fact

01:16:41.680 check on that because it easily could be an exaggeration but directionally it feels about right

01:16:49.360 so now imagine if kennedy came in and made everybody so healthy that their health care went down

01:16:55.200 imagine if a president trump and by the way i can't imagine him doing this but there's one person

01:17:00.560 missing from his team you know president trump's team of pirates you know he's got an elon musk he's got a

01:17:08.160 all-in pod they're on his side he's they've got a bill lackman they've got a you know tulsi gabbard uh they've

01:17:14.480 got you know i could keep going vivek so he's got this incredible team but there's somebody missing

01:17:22.800 you know who's missing somebody to tell us to be physically active he needs arnold

01:17:31.840 now i don't think schwarzenegger is pro-trump but maybe he could be maybe he could be

01:17:40.880 because we need somebody to tell us to take a walk after dinner

01:17:46.080 you you want to solve a bunch of problems at the same time watch this uh i'm president trump

01:17:52.640 and i've got an idea um we've got rfk jr working on your food supply and your medicines trying to make

01:18:00.240 that healthier but let's not ignore exercise and getting outdoors here's what i'd like you to do we

01:18:07.280 should have an app where you can organize with your neighbors what time to take a walk after dinner

01:18:13.200 now there might be more than one because people eat dinner at different times so you could say oh

01:18:17.840 it looks like my neighbors some of them are going to take a short walk maybe a mile or two and uh

01:18:25.040 they're going to do it at seven o'clock on a nice evening in california so seven o'clock you look

01:18:32.240 on your app and you can see your other neighbors have already started to assemble because it shows

01:18:37.280 their location once they turn on the app and they say all right i'll walk left and i'm going to run

01:18:42.480 into my neighbors taking a walk so they're coming down the street toward me i can see on my app i walk

01:18:47.520 i join their little group i see somebody in the group i know i start walking with them and chatting

01:18:53.280 an hour later we're all happy we've made some plans somebody says they're gonna have a party i got

01:18:57.840 invited to a party i've had my social interaction even without a friend or without a girlfriend or

01:19:03.360 a relationship i chatted with my neighbors for an hour while i took a walk in the beautiful sky and i

01:19:09.680 came back and my mental health was better and my chronic illness was far better because i do it on a

01:19:17.920 regular basis now that's just an example and honestly trump is not your um your icon of good physical health

01:19:28.640 he's doing a great job for his age i gotta say but you know you expect somebody who looks a little

01:19:33.600 fitter to take that message but you could also imagine trump doing it because he's honest so he

01:19:41.200 would say you know what you know i don't i don't exercise as much as i should i like golf but you should

01:19:48.560 that'd be good enough you know if he if he said i'm not your role model but listen to rfk jr you know

01:19:54.720 have you seen him without his shirt i mean tell that tell him to take off his shirt if rfk jr takes

01:20:00.560 off his shirt and you're not going to follow his advice about uh fitness well you're crazy you might

01:20:07.920 not listen to me because you know i got a few extra pounds but look at this guy if he tells you to take

01:20:14.160 a walk after dinner you're going to do it so you can you could imagine a hundred different ways that

01:20:19.600 the trump administration can sell it but i feel like they need they need an extra pirate they need

01:20:26.640 a pirate who will get us off our asses and get us moving without spending money just just take a walk

01:20:34.720 right especially for the people who are not that physical you know it's a lot of people

01:20:38.880 um so you can solve your loneliness your health care expenses your inflation your

01:20:47.920 mental health your physical health by taking a walk it just has to be organized

01:20:56.080 teamsters uh apparently uh rfk jr said that sean o'brien the head of the teamsters

01:21:02.000 called him just recently yesterday maybe and asked him to send his love to trump

01:21:06.880 now the teamsters you might know uh decided to not endorse a presidential candidate which is rare

01:21:15.200 for the last few decades it's rare and people are interpreting it as an as a preference for trump

01:21:23.440 they just don't want to say it out loud so i'd say this is pretty clear the the rank and file are

01:21:31.040 something like two-thirds in favor of trump and then the head of the organization who did not endorse

01:21:37.440 is telling rfk jr to send his love to trump okay that's you can't get closer to an endorsement than that

01:21:45.520 can you it feels like they're doing everything they can do to endorse them without endorsing them

01:21:51.440 and mission accomplished mission accomplished so sean o'brien

01:21:58.640 is probably smarter than maybe people are giving him credit for because he found a way to endorse trump

01:22:04.400 without endorsing trump through a side door by just saying it to rfk jr knowing that he might repeat it

01:22:12.000 pretty good pretty clever well done

01:22:17.840 trump announced he wants to end sanctuary cities as soon as he gets into office

01:22:22.640 um i assume that that's wildly popular in the public um if i had to guess 70 percent agreement with that

01:22:35.280 maybe about ending sanctuary cities so that seems a good solid thing to say if 70 i think it's at least 70

01:22:44.640 of the public would agree with it so that's just free money

01:22:47.840 um well the uh entertainer named usher deleted all his posts on x because he's getting dragged into this diddy

01:22:57.520 um drama so when he was 13 years old he lived with diddy for a while to learn his ways and there's some old interviews

01:23:06.320 in which uh in which usher

01:23:10.160 who was taken under the wing of diddy

01:23:11.920 uh said he learned some things at the diddy parties uh and introduced him to quote a totally different

01:23:18.880 set of stuff sex specifically remember he was 13 and the accusations are that diddy was

01:23:27.840 sort of recruiting and uh having sex with both young male and female

01:23:34.960 potential wannabe entertainers and that uh he basically sold it this this is the allegation

01:23:41.200 i don't have any personal information to confirm anything so this is just what people are saying

01:23:46.080 i can't claim any of this to be true um claiming that it was a well established organized process

01:23:54.400 where diddy had to give up his body to somebody to become who he is and then he's just passing

01:24:01.680 forward the badness and making people give up their bodies to be part of his process to become famous

01:24:09.440 now all of that is uh horrible but i'm just amazed at how many little stories related to this are

01:24:19.920 popping up now for example there's an old video of christy tegan um with uh what's her husband's name john

01:24:29.440 legend and uh where they were interviewed at some event and somebody asked them about

01:24:35.440 uh if they'd had sex in a public place and christy tegan said cryptically well maybe the obama thing

01:24:49.200 and john legend immediately said we're not talking about that so there's no explanation of what she meant

01:24:56.720 when she jokingly said the obama thing because they're good good friends

01:25:00.640 uh when she said something about having sex in front of other people now again

01:25:10.640 again

01:25:13.360 um

01:25:14.880 confirmation bias might be all that's happening so if you've heard all these stories about diddy

01:25:21.680 then anybody who was ever involved in any of those parties or had any contact with them at all

01:25:26.640 if there's any video of them saying anything unclear even if it was a joke even if you don't

01:25:32.640 know what they were thinking it's gonna look like they're admitting sex crimes so i'm gonna um

01:25:41.520 i'm not a big fan of john legend because of his politics and i don't know much about his music so

01:25:47.840 i don't have a feeling for that one way or the other

01:25:50.000 um

01:25:52.800 but i'm gonna say innocent until proven guilty on this one

01:25:57.120 as a citizen i give him the courtesy that i would wish would always be extended to me by citizens

01:26:06.000 now if there's any kind of legal process that ever had a problem with him that would be a separate

01:26:11.040 conversation but i don't like the fact that christy tegan made a joking reference to something

01:26:20.000 and we don't know what that meant and then assume that she was banging it out with the obamas

01:26:25.920 that's a little too far for me so maybe i mean you can't rule it out anything anything's possible

01:26:34.240 i suppose but i don't think that we have something like evidence of that i think we have confirmation

01:26:41.120 bias like we our brains are primed for that kind of interpretation and then that comes along and then

01:26:48.400 you say oh there's more of that probably not probably not but you never know

01:26:58.160 anyway um

01:27:01.360 i saw that elon musk

01:27:04.880 i think he retweeted something that said that x is not just a social media network it's a crime scene

01:27:11.280 so when people delete all of their social media it does look like a crime scene

01:27:20.000 so um also with usher i have no no evidence whatsoever that usher was involved in anything

01:27:29.200 inappropriate the confirmation bias is enormous and sometimes the simulation tries to give you a hint as

01:27:39.680 well but i'm not saying that usher did anything that involved gay sex i'm just saying that they

01:27:48.640 wouldn't call him usher unless he showed a lot of people to his seat

01:27:55.840 i'll just let that one sink in a little bit

01:27:59.520 yeah you wonder why nobody else said that first that's why you have me is for this

01:28:04.160 yes well there's another sex related scandal you heard about a journalist named olivia nuzzi

01:28:14.160 allegedly was sexting rfk jr but we only have confirmation that she was sexting

01:28:23.120 we do not have confirmation that he said anything

01:28:27.440 um anything um anything inappropriate but there are reports that his wife had her wedding ring off

01:28:36.160 you know where she wherever she was overseas i guess and there are reports that olivia nuzzi who was

01:28:42.320 engaged to also journalist ryan liza that that's been broken off because of whatever this was

01:28:49.200 so poor ryan liza left his wife and kids to be with olivia nuzzi uh he was 50 she's 31 and then the 31 year

01:29:00.640 old may have cheated on him by sexting with somebody who was closer to 70 and um now to be fair

01:29:11.840 uh the person she was allegedly sexting was you know far more alpha than her uh her fiance but uh

01:29:23.440 i think he's maybe the biggest victim in all this you know rfk jr probably can handle this like it's just

01:29:30.080 a tuesday but yeah i mean because he's handled basically everything you could handle but uh this

01:29:36.240 poor guy ryan liza imagine like it's in the news oh my god it's terrible anyway i would say that

01:29:46.320 there's no evidence that rfk jr did anything inappropriate there's definitely evidence that

01:29:52.080 she did but we haven't seen any text from him to suggest that he went too far

01:29:59.040 i'm going to say innocent until proven guilty so i'm just going to ignore it also you never know what

01:30:05.360 the situation is with anybody else's relationship you never know so trying to assume you know it's

01:30:11.680 just like you would act and you know that never works in these situations well meanwhile in lebanon

01:30:20.240 the u.s state department is calling on his citizens to get out of lebanon what do you think that means

01:30:26.080 it means exactly what you think it means it means that uh it means that lebanon is going to get a lot

01:30:34.320 of bombing and of course it's already started so the hezbollah up in lebanon they've been launching

01:30:41.760 rockets into israel they say in response to the pagers and walkie-talkies blowing up and of course israel

01:30:50.480 is attacking and so israel is selling this to the media that they're attacking uh to prevent an imminent

01:30:58.560 attack oh sure yeah okay yeah all right yeah they're gonna attack any minute now so you bombed them

01:31:09.440 first that might be true but you know what else is true hezbollah has been sending rockets pretty much

01:31:18.160 non-stop for years they don't need a reason you don't need a reason you don't need you don't need to

01:31:25.520 tell me that you're doing it because they're ready to launch an attack they've got they got 100 000

01:31:32.400 rockets aimed at you and you have not you know threatened them whatsoever at least you know

01:31:38.480 except in defense and they don't need a reason you just don't need a reason if somebody's got 100 000

01:31:47.120 rockets pointed to you and there's they're sending some of them at your residential places on a regular

01:31:53.520 basis for years you don't need a reason i'm glad that you said it i mean maybe it's better than not

01:32:01.280 saying it but don't think you need to justify it nobody needs to justify that if we had 100 000

01:32:09.680 rockets pointed at us from canada and they've been shooting some of them every day no we don't need

01:32:16.800 to know that you're going to shoot some more today in order to go cap all of their asses now don't need

01:32:23.760 a reason and again every time you say to yourself here's what israel should do to be good and moral

01:32:31.680 ethical people and here's what the palestinians should do to be good and ethical people and here's

01:32:37.920 how to make up for the past none of that has anything to do with anything this area of the world

01:32:44.160 is nothing but power and if you're lucky your allies will be the ones with the power now is that

01:32:52.480 good or moral or ethical no it's not even it's not even in the right conversation none of those things

01:32:58.720 matter nobody's making any decisions based on what's moral or ethical that's just things yap yap yap

01:33:05.120 it's pure power it's self-interest now it's hard for me to criticize israel's strategy when it is so

01:33:13.680 clearly linked to their self-interest how do you how do you criticize somebody who is pursuing their own

01:33:21.440 best self-interest ever like ever um so i don't and you know that if the power situation were reversed

01:33:34.000 israel would get wiped out and again that wouldn't be about you know you could argue it's unethical and

01:33:41.200 illegal and immoral and all that you could talk about it all day long but it doesn't matter

01:33:45.760 what would matter is the ones with the most power got everything that's just the way it is now

01:33:51.520 unfortunately and i'm not saying that that's right i'm just saying that talking about the the ethics and

01:33:57.680 the morality of it is just a waste of time you know you can't ask israel to do something that's

01:34:03.520 in your opinion in your opinion you're not there but you can't ask them to do something that in your

01:34:09.040 opinion is more moral and ethical they shouldn't listen to you they should look at what's good for them

01:34:16.320 and then if it's not exactly as moral and ethical as some strangers in another country wanted to be

01:34:22.080 well then you say stuff like they were ready to attack us first but let's not get lost that any of

01:34:28.560 that matters none of that matters the ones with the power and the interest are going to do what they

01:34:34.160 can do and that's what we're watching so the best case scenario is that your allies are winning

01:34:42.240 that's it that's all we have and at the moment they're doing well

01:34:46.720 all right ladies and gentlemen if you didn't know the dilbert 2025 calendar is available for

01:34:55.440 pre-sale you can only get it at the link you can find at dilbert.com and pre-sale will help me out a

01:35:02.880 lot because it will be awkward if there's a gazillion sales two weeks before christmas because i'd like to

01:35:10.560 make sure that you can actually get it and there's not a production uh production lag so um for a number

01:35:19.120 of reasons that are just practical and selfish it helps me a lot personally if you pre-order and

01:35:27.680 because the shipping costs are high for everything um if you can get more than one because you're going

01:35:34.720 to give out some presents perhaps your shipping costs will look a lot more reasonable so the sooner

01:35:40.480 you do it the better for me so if you're thinking of doing it later i'm asking you as a favor to do

01:35:46.320 it sooner so if anybody feels like doing that it would make me very happy all right um and remember

01:35:54.960 that the dilbert calendar is because people ask for it you know i'm sort of at a point in my career

01:36:01.760 where i really don't have to do anything i don't want to do you all know that right i don't have to do

01:36:07.200 anything i don't want to do i'm good i don't need to prove anything i don't need any more money

01:36:14.720 i only do the things i want to do now the reason the calendar is reproduced and it's a lot of work

01:36:20.480 like to set up a whole new operation find partners to to do the hard stuff all that it's a lot of work

01:36:28.160 and i did that in this case because so many people said you know my life is not the same without the

01:36:33.760 the dilbert calendar and we we give it as a gift every year so this is done for you um it's not

01:36:40.960 like a big money maker that will make a difference in my life but i'd love if you got it sooner than

01:36:47.120 later all right that ladies and gentlemen is all i have to say to you today um and i'm going to go

01:36:55.440 talk to the local subscribers because they're special in a good way and the rest of you on

01:37:02.960 next and rumble and youtube i will see you tomorrow same time same place

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 23, 2024

Episode 2605 CWSA 09⧸22⧸24

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