Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2609 CWSA 09⧸26⧸24

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:07.620 This is the finest time you've ever had in your whole darn life.

00:00:11.860 And if you'd like to take this experience up two levels that nobody can understand with

00:00:16.820 their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a

00:00:22.060 chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:26.300 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.560 I like coffee.

00:00:28.160 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing

00:00:33.060 that makes everything better.

00:00:35.180 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:39.340 Go.

00:00:43.720 Oh, that was a little extra good today.

00:00:48.020 Starting off just right.

00:00:51.400 Well, have you heard of something called a coffee nap?

00:00:54.260 Researchers have found that if you take a nap for too long, you'll get into deep sleep,

00:01:00.640 and that's no good.

00:01:02.060 If you drink coffee when you're exhausted, well, that's not ideal because you really needed

00:01:06.400 a nap.

00:01:07.520 So they say that you can game the system by drinking your coffee.

00:01:12.360 But before it kicks in, you immediately take a nap.

00:01:17.020 So apparently if you wake up in 20 minutes, the coffee, the caffeine will have kicked in.

00:01:22.560 You have your nap.

00:01:24.120 Boom.

00:01:26.340 The only thing I find problematic about that is how long does it take you to drink your

00:01:31.520 coffee?

00:01:32.920 Because it takes me at least 20 minutes to finish my coffee.

00:01:35.720 And by then it's kicked in.

00:01:38.240 How the hell am I going to take a nap?

00:01:40.060 So obviously you have to chug the coffee.

00:01:43.160 Otherwise the whole thing falls apart.

00:01:45.620 So chug that coffee, take a nap.

00:01:47.600 You'll feel great.

00:01:50.020 Well, there's a Cleveland, Ohio-based company making robot dogs with a flamethrower.

00:01:57.060 And apparently Ukraine has 30 robot dogs now.

00:02:01.640 I don't think they have flamethrowers.

00:02:03.300 But they could, and they're already deploying them.

00:02:08.960 So if Ukraine lasts another year, the war, it's going to be all robots.

00:02:16.060 I think Ukraine is going to be the testing ground for robot warfare because they're clearly

00:02:22.860 running out of humans.

00:02:24.440 There's no doubt about that.

00:02:26.060 And yet they don't seem to want to stop fighting.

00:02:28.720 And they're getting delivery of advanced robots that probably the United States is very eager

00:02:35.100 to test in actual combat.

00:02:38.100 So one year from it being largely robots on the front line.

00:02:43.560 And you don't need as many robots as you need humans because one robot could kill dozens

00:02:49.220 of humans.

00:02:49.820 So it's sort of not a fair fight.

00:02:53.020 So I'm going to say one year until the war is primarily a robot and drone war.

00:03:01.280 That's my prediction.

00:03:03.020 So for a little over $9,000, you can get yourself a flamethrowing robot dog.

00:03:07.940 I think I'm going to get one.

00:03:11.880 I heard from a neighbor who used to work for the police that in my neighborhood, it's unheard

00:03:18.440 of for a home to be burgled if there's a dog there.

00:03:23.060 Now, my dog's a little weak and small, and she limps, and she's older than dirt.

00:03:30.440 So I don't know if my dog would scare anybody, but if I got me a robot dog, and it just sat

00:03:37.540 in the living room and had a flamethrower, oh, yeah.

00:03:42.000 Imagine being a burglar and running into a robot dog.

00:03:46.460 That would scare the hell out of you because you wouldn't know what kind of weaponry the

00:03:51.260 dog had or could it hurt you.

00:03:53.760 So robot dogs, get one.

00:03:55.480 So AI is, or Meta is rolling out their new glasses that are AR or VR.

00:04:04.760 So they're basically AI driven.

00:04:09.640 And they can do all these things like set reminders and do all kinds of things that if you wanted

00:04:15.740 to wear nerdy glasses, that would be great.

00:04:18.080 But I'm going to use my indicator of when to know a new product will succeed.

00:04:26.860 And it goes like this.

00:04:29.040 A product will succeed if people are wildly enthusiastic about it while it's in its terrible

00:04:36.420 initial form.

00:04:38.620 Now that, I often use cell phones and personal computers and even before that, faxes.

00:04:44.640 So there are lots of examples where people really, really wanted a product, cars even.

00:04:51.700 Cars were bad before they were good.

00:04:54.100 Way before the products were good.

00:04:56.860 There's just something about it that you knew you had needed to have it.

00:05:01.280 But do you feel that with the AR and VR glasses?

00:05:08.140 Because it feels the opposite to me.

00:05:11.840 It feels like even though the product keeps improving and there's probably no limit to

00:05:16.540 how much better they can get.

00:05:18.580 I think that they keep thinking if we make it a little bit better, people are going to

00:05:22.740 buy it.

00:05:24.520 But I think they're missing the biggest indicator, which is if people don't want it when it's

00:05:29.700 bad, they just don't have enthusiasm for it.

00:05:34.060 So they're not going to want it that much better when it works well.

00:05:38.260 So that's my prediction.

00:05:40.760 That unless you see excitement in the it's not quite great yet, it's never going to be

00:05:47.040 exciting.

00:05:47.800 So improving the product doesn't make people excited.

00:05:52.880 We'll see.

00:05:53.800 Maybe this is an exception.

00:05:55.200 So we'll be testing that theory.

00:05:56.940 It actually could be an exception, but it's a good way to test the idea.

00:06:04.900 All right.

00:06:05.120 Well, there was a scientific study, according to science publication, in which they were

00:06:13.420 talking about how to get better scientific rigor in your papers, your scientific papers.

00:06:18.820 Because, you know, a lot of the scientific papers that get published, even peer reviewed,

00:06:23.680 turn out to get retracted.

00:06:24.940 And so somebody did a big old study on the best way to improve the credibility and reliability

00:06:33.000 of the system.

00:06:34.700 So they wrote a scientific paper on how to improve scientific paper credibility.

00:06:41.240 They have since had to withdraw it because they had elemental errors in the paper that told

00:06:46.540 you how to trust scientific papers.

00:06:50.820 So that's what you call not succeeding.

00:06:58.960 That's not succeeding.

00:07:01.880 Well, according to Breitbart, consumer confidence in the economy has plunged.

00:07:09.820 Not only business enthusiasm, but personal, too.

00:07:15.960 And the plunging seems to be most correlated with Harris becoming the candidate.

00:07:23.460 Now, there might be other stuff.

00:07:26.080 But things aren't really that different than they were six months ago, are they, in terms

00:07:31.140 of the economy?

00:07:31.840 I mean, the prices haven't gone up much in six months.

00:07:36.400 There's not much difference.

00:07:37.820 You know, employment's about the same.

00:07:39.540 Stock market's up.

00:07:41.940 But why would the consumer confidence be plunging?

00:07:47.060 The only reason I can think of is that they're looking at Harris and saying, oh, my God, if she

00:07:51.980 becomes president, we're all in trouble.

00:07:54.260 Is there something else going on that I don't know about?

00:07:57.840 I think it's really that simple.

00:08:00.840 And so, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to call it.

00:08:06.780 I'm going to call the race for Trump.

00:08:09.640 But only the vote.

00:08:12.340 Because I think we're in, unfortunately, a terrible mode in this country in that whoever

00:08:19.620 wins the vote isn't necessarily going to be the president, if you know what I mean.

00:08:26.260 So if you consider all the potential shenanigans from assassination to lawfare to who knows?

00:08:34.960 I mean, who knows what kind of weird October surprise hoaxes are coming?

00:08:39.200 There's probably at least one gigantic Trump hoax that's brewing that we'll see any minute

00:08:46.020 now.

00:08:47.100 But here's what I think.

00:08:48.900 I think if consumer confidence drops and the only thing that you can see that is related

00:08:54.820 to it is Harris, and now that we've seen her interviews, we'll talk about that, she's

00:09:01.240 so clearly incompetent that I don't think it's possible to be an informed consumer and think,

00:09:08.260 mm-mm, a little Kamala Harris can fix the economy.

00:09:12.100 That's what we need.

00:09:13.600 I think just about no people think that.

00:09:16.320 They might like her for a variety of reasons.

00:09:18.900 But I don't think they think she's going to fix the economy.

00:09:22.360 That doesn't seem like something you would attribute to her.

00:09:27.120 So I'm calling it.

00:09:30.080 I think if you hold the election without some new gigantic thing happening, and by the way,

00:09:37.940 October's coming, so something new and gigantic is probably going to happen, maybe multiple

00:09:42.820 things.

00:09:43.820 But at the moment, Trump is a sure winner in the vote.

00:09:49.280 That doesn't make him president.

00:09:51.540 Like I said, you know, they could lawfare him.

00:09:54.720 They could, there's just a million things they could do that are just weaselly shenanigans.

00:09:59.520 So 100% chance he's going to win the vote unless something big changes.

00:10:07.300 But remember, remember the part where I said unless something big changes, there's going

00:10:12.520 to be some big stuff coming.

00:10:14.900 Yeah.

00:10:15.340 I don't know what it is.

00:10:17.000 I mean, I don't know what all of it is.

00:10:18.860 I know some of it.

00:10:20.560 But yeah, Trump has control of the vote at this point.

00:10:26.240 Well, did you know that BlackRock has acquired now enough Bitcoin that they have $23 billion

00:10:36.720 worth of Bitcoin?

00:10:38.480 Now, if BlackRock, the biggest financial entity around, thinks that they need to own $23 billion

00:10:47.580 worth of Bitcoin, that certainly suggests that they have confidence in it, or at the very

00:10:55.140 least they're diversifying.

00:10:58.440 Now, it occurred to me that since I talk about big companies all the time and stuff like this,

00:11:06.800 that I should do a full disclosure of which assets I own.

00:11:13.680 So if it looks like I'm pumping up something, you can say, oh, you own that stock, which you

00:11:18.940 should say, by the way.

00:11:20.280 That would be, I don't actually think that way.

00:11:22.960 Like, I don't come on here and say, I own a stock.

00:11:26.760 I think I'll say some good stuff about it.

00:11:29.220 But I do say good stuff about some of them.

00:11:33.460 So let me just mention, these are not recommendations, because I don't do recommendations.

00:11:38.540 But I do own Bitcoin as a diversification play.

00:11:44.180 And when I see BlackRock buying it, I think, oh, OK, it's probably smart to own it.

00:11:49.540 I do own some Tesla stock, some NVIDIA stock, and one index fund of nuclear power stuff.

00:12:04.880 The other ones would not be relevant to talking about the news.

00:12:09.360 So I've got some Ulta and some Camping World.

00:12:13.360 Those are really just for fun.

00:12:14.940 I don't recommend any of the things I have for anybody else.

00:12:19.520 So generally speaking, you should not be investing in individual stocks.

00:12:24.900 Just as a rule, you should diversify and get index funds.

00:12:30.100 But if you have enough money that you have some that you can play around with, sometimes

00:12:35.160 it's fun to play around with individual stocks.

00:12:39.200 So Ulta and Camping World are literally just recreational investments for me.

00:12:44.100 But I'm trying to future-proof my portfolio.

00:12:50.280 Oh, I also have Microsoft that I got when the pandemic came.

00:12:53.960 I got lucky because they introduced AI.

00:12:57.860 So I'm future-proofing as much as I can with Microsoft, NVIDIA, Tesla, and an index fund

00:13:06.640 of nuclear power plants.

00:13:08.680 NLR, I think, is the fund.

00:13:10.100 And so, again, not recommending any of that.

00:13:15.360 Don't make recommendations.

00:13:17.220 But when you see me talk about any of those things, you can know that I put my money behind

00:13:22.360 them.

00:13:23.500 And if you want to be skeptical and you want to say, I think he's saying that just because

00:13:30.840 he thinks it'll make his stock go up, you should do that.

00:13:34.040 I can tell you, I promise you, that I'm not thinking that way consciously.

00:13:41.980 But am I subconsciously favoring the things that I invested in?

00:13:45.440 Probably.

00:13:46.860 That would be a normal thing that a normal brain would do.

00:13:49.740 I'm just not conscious of it.

00:13:51.360 So don't listen to me on that stuff.

00:13:52.720 Well, OpenAI, the ChatGPT people, they're going to transmogrify into a for-profit entity

00:14:07.480 because they started as a not-for-profit.

00:14:10.080 Part of that will be allocating Sam Altman 7% of the company, which would be over $10 billion.

00:14:16.200 So that's a pretty good payday.

00:14:17.700 And, of course, you might know the story that Elon Musk got that venture going with $50 million

00:14:26.820 that he put in with the understanding that it would be a not-for-profit entity to benefit

00:14:33.900 the world with AI.

00:14:35.940 But then it turned into a for-profit kind of thing and a Microsoft kind of thing.

00:14:42.140 And Elon got squeezed out.

00:14:46.200 But he's not too crazy about what's happening there.

00:14:51.540 And he even said in a post that you can't convert a non-profit into a for-profit.

00:14:56.420 It's illegal.

00:14:59.540 I don't know if that's true, but it sounds true.

00:15:02.140 I mean, I'm not a lawyer, but it does seem to me that there would be something illegitimate

00:15:08.880 about that transfer if he had been set up with the intention of being a non-profit.

00:15:14.760 Well, of course, there were, I think, three executives from OpenAI quit just recently.

00:15:21.160 And so there's probably some internal drama going on in the place about whether they should

00:15:27.280 be for-profit, whether they're moving too fast or not fast enough and it's dangerous.

00:15:32.140 So they're probably working on all that.

00:15:34.540 But Musk actually referred to Sam Altman as Littlefinger.

00:15:40.000 How many of you recognize that reference?

00:15:42.560 Littlefinger is from Game of Thrones.

00:15:47.020 And Littlefinger was like the Weasley backstabber, you know, guy in the shadows.

00:15:53.740 He was always the Weasley backstabber.

00:15:57.680 So he calls Sam Altman Littlefinger.

00:15:59.840 All right.

00:16:01.320 I'm very entertained by whenever they get personal on the posts.

00:16:07.100 Speaking of Tesla, I saw an announcement which has been interpreted as Tesla is going to roll

00:16:15.840 out their robo taxis.

00:16:18.160 So I assume that means a driverless taxi that you could call with an app.

00:16:23.940 And they're going to do that on October 10th in Los Angeles.

00:16:28.880 Now, I didn't know that that was imminent.

00:16:32.040 So maybe they're going to demonstrate a prototype as opposed to a finished car.

00:16:36.860 I don't know.

00:16:37.780 But how amazing is it that you're alive when driverless car taxis are going to become your thing?

00:16:51.500 It's kind of cool just that we could be here to watch that happen.

00:16:54.380 Well, anyway, you probably heard that the mayor of New York City, Mayor Adams, no relationship to me.

00:17:03.440 I know we look a lot alike.

00:17:05.680 But he's been indicted.

00:17:08.440 The news is saying it's something about FARA violations.

00:17:13.540 FARA would be the foreign something, blah, blah, blah.

00:17:18.480 It means he accepted money from a foreign entity.

00:17:24.900 Now, Turkey is mentioned as a country that may have given some money to his campaign or something else.

00:17:31.580 But we don't know the details, but there may be more than one country involved, allegedly.

00:17:38.020 Now, a number of his staff is also being indicted or investigated and, you know, they're losing their devices, et cetera.

00:17:47.860 And what do you think is happening?

00:17:52.640 So here's my take.

00:17:55.160 As I've said before, I believe that all city governments, at least the large cities, are all corrupt.

00:18:03.960 I don't think there's an exception.

00:18:06.480 I think that people actually go into those jobs because the corruption is what the payoff is.

00:18:13.800 So while I don't rule out the fact or rule out the possibility that there's some city where the mayor and all the employees are totally legit

00:18:23.540 and they never try to do kickbacks to their campaign donators or anything like that, but I don't think so.

00:18:32.820 I think they're 100% crooked.

00:18:36.020 And, you know, that's just my assumption.

00:18:41.160 Now, there may be, like I said, there might be a mayor here or there who passes through and they're not crooked.

00:18:46.300 But in general, I feel like you could pick any mayor and put a little muscle on it and you could find something they did illegally.

00:18:57.480 So what do you make of the fact that one specific mayor is being targeted hard as well as presumably some staffers?

00:19:06.380 And what do you make of the fact that it happened right after Mayor Adams got real vocal about too many immigrants coming into New York?

00:19:18.040 Is it connected?

00:19:19.740 Is he being punished for not being a team player on immigration?

00:19:24.680 Well, if he were being punished for not being a team player with the Democrats, it would look exactly like this.

00:19:33.120 But if he had simply done some crimes and it's been brewing for a while and just people doing their job, it would look exactly like this.

00:19:44.720 So we have a situation that looks exactly like two completely different situations.

00:19:50.560 One is he's really guilty.

00:19:52.240 It's really bad.

00:19:53.700 They've had the goods on him for a while, but they had to investigate it.

00:19:57.160 And this is just when everything came together.

00:19:59.500 It's totally possible that it's nothing but a real crime and they found it.

00:20:04.600 But it does look exactly like he's being punished for his views on immigration.

00:20:11.020 So what do you make of that?

00:20:12.960 I don't think we'll ever know the answer, but I hate living where I don't know that answer.

00:20:19.800 That you can watch a fellow citizen go down.

00:20:22.980 He's definitely going down.

00:20:24.260 And you say to yourself, I don't even know if that was legitimate.

00:20:29.100 Now, like I said, the whether or not he's being punished is a separate question from whether or not there was anything that was a crime.

00:20:37.040 So I'm just assuming that it was an easy target once they decided they wanted to go after it.

00:20:44.800 So it's the deciding to go after him that's the critical part.

00:20:49.200 The fact that they could find something probably applies to most of the mayors.

00:20:56.320 All right.

00:20:56.940 So we'll keep an eye on that.

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00:22:01.920 Thomas Massey was, what would you say, interviewing or talking to Horowitz, the guy who did the report on, well, he was doing a report on January 6th to figure out, you know, what really happened and who did what and who's to blame and all that other stuff.

00:22:25.920 And that report, after three and a half years, is not ready.

00:22:31.260 Why?

00:22:33.020 I don't know.

00:22:34.380 Not ready.

00:22:35.400 But one of the big questions is how many federal agents were present on January 6th.

00:22:41.840 And Massey tried to get him to give a number, but he said, well, you know, lots of people have to approve it.

00:22:49.980 It's in draft form.

00:22:51.480 It might change.

00:22:52.400 I can't say.

00:22:53.940 And just avoided it.

00:22:55.220 But here's my question to you.

00:22:59.600 What number would be the wrong number?

00:23:02.500 Because I have no idea.

00:23:04.460 Suppose they came back and they said there were three.

00:23:07.860 What would you say about that?

00:23:09.620 Would you say, oh, well, if there were only three, it probably didn't make much difference.

00:23:15.140 What if they said there were 20, 20 out of, I think there were over 100,000 people who were in the general area, 20.

00:23:27.640 Could 20 move the needle?

00:23:29.940 Could 20 do an op and cause the people to do something they wouldn't have done?

00:23:36.300 Maybe.

00:23:37.740 It depends what those 20 people were doing.

00:23:40.700 Because you definitely have people who are leaders.

00:23:43.220 Even Ray Epps, and I'm not saying he was a Fed, but Ray Epps was encouraging people to do specific things.

00:23:51.980 There were other people, one person with the bullhorn, I think, that day, who was encouraging people to do specific things.

00:23:59.500 So, yes, 20 could probably make a gigantic difference.

00:24:06.280 If one of the 20 pulled down a barrier and then the rest of the people said, oh, the barrier's down, they just walked through.

00:24:13.820 That would be one person who could basically cause the whole thing.

00:24:18.340 So, I don't know that it matters how many were there.

00:24:21.640 Because I'd be kind of amazed if it's not at least a dozen.

00:24:29.060 Would you agree with that?

00:24:31.360 I'm going to say 20 is the floor.

00:24:33.520 I think it's more than 20.

00:24:36.120 But, if there were 20, that would be plenty enough to turn a mostly peaceful thing into way more dangerous than it should have been.

00:24:47.840 It wouldn't take many people.

00:24:50.040 But what if they come back and they say it's 80 or 100?

00:24:53.940 At that point, wouldn't you lose all skepticism about whether or not there was an op going on?

00:25:01.500 There's some number where all of us would say, that doesn't look like the normal law enforcement situation.

00:25:11.980 It looks like you're trying to make something happen as opposed to monitoring it.

00:25:16.380 So, we'll see.

00:25:18.820 But, apparently, we're not going to know about that until after the election.

00:25:23.540 I'm going to say what you're going to say, which is, to me, this all looks crooked.

00:25:27.900 So, even though Horowitz is not, you know, not suspected of anything specific, like, you know, nobody thinks he's done a crime or anything,

00:25:38.060 I'm saying that it feels like way, way too coincidental and unusual to explain just by being slow.

00:25:51.120 They would at least tell us what they know about how many feds were there, et cetera.

00:25:56.640 So, now, to me, there's something crooked about this.

00:26:01.300 So, I'm not buying into the, it has, you know, we're not going to have it done before the election.

00:26:06.460 You can do anything in 30 days.

00:26:09.020 You just have to want to.

00:26:11.720 So, we'll see.

00:26:13.920 Well, you may have seen the sit-down interview with Kamala Harris and MSNBC's Stephanie Ruhle,

00:26:21.220 same person who was recently on Real Time with Bill Maher, Stephanie Ruhle.

00:26:27.040 Now, if you don't watch MSNBC, I do it so you don't have to.

00:26:31.940 And Stephanie Ruhle would be sort of a Joy Reid, Rachel Maddow-level,

00:26:39.880 batshit crazy, Trump derangement syndrome, you know, no pretense of trying to be fair whatsoever.

00:26:46.580 So, she was the perfect choice for Kamala Harris because Kamala Harris knew there wouldn't be much pushback.

00:26:55.220 But there was a little bit of pushback.

00:26:58.120 And, oh, my God, did Harris blow that.

00:27:03.060 It was totally bungled.

00:27:06.340 Her answers were just laughably ridiculous.

00:27:10.540 And people are just laughing at them today.

00:27:12.860 They didn't, it didn't even look like a professional.

00:27:14.760 Honestly, I could, I could pick somebody randomly from a crowd and they would have beat that performance without practice.

00:27:24.040 They could have beat her performance.

00:27:26.000 So, I'll give you an idea.

00:27:27.780 Now, first of all, in my opinion, she looked inebriated.

00:27:32.820 Now, I would like to point out that while I do say that a lot about Harris,

00:27:38.440 I'm very careful to point out that there are clearly times she's not, such as the debate.

00:27:44.760 There was no signs whatsoever of any kind of inebriation at the debate.

00:27:50.200 And other times as well.

00:27:51.520 No sign of it at all.

00:27:53.220 But when she sat down with Stephanie Ruhle, she looked drunk as a fuck.

00:27:58.380 How do you not, how do you not see it?

00:28:01.500 It doesn't even look a little bit not drunk.

00:28:03.900 Now, I'm using drunk as a catch-all for whatever inebriation or combination of things were there.

00:28:12.360 But there's no way that that was straight.

00:28:15.800 Is there anybody who disagrees?

00:28:19.260 Is there even one person watching who is going to go out on a limb and say,

00:28:24.400 you know, I think that's just her personality.

00:28:26.200 From one day to the next, it's quite different.

00:28:28.940 Sometimes she's more serious.

00:28:30.360 Sometimes she's more relaxed.

00:28:32.060 This time she was just more relaxed.

00:28:33.640 She laughs a lot.

00:28:34.340 Big deal.

00:28:35.500 Does anybody have that opinion?

00:28:36.640 Because to me, it's just overwhelmingly obviously drug-related.

00:28:44.340 Overwhelmingly obvious.

00:28:45.500 Just like, exactly like, Biden's mental decline.

00:28:50.720 And I feel like it's just that all over again.

00:28:54.740 Where, you know, for years, three years, I think, I was saying,

00:28:59.180 Biden is clearly mentally declining.

00:29:01.380 Is, you know, am I, what's going on?

00:29:04.300 Why do I keep saying it out loud?

00:29:06.780 But other people are acting like they don't see it?

00:29:09.620 Like, what's going on?

00:29:10.840 Now, obviously, the Republicans saw it first.

00:29:13.820 But same thing.

00:29:16.000 Why is it not the only thing we're talking about that a major candidate for presidency

00:29:20.320 just gave an interview clearly inebriated?

00:29:25.680 Is it because the mainstream news believes she was not inebriated?

00:29:32.620 I'm actually a little confused.

00:29:34.700 Or do they know it?

00:29:36.920 It's kind of obvious.

00:29:38.660 And they're just pretending they don't see it so that you won't notice.

00:29:42.980 And think how much they primed you.

00:29:46.260 By treating it like it was just normal,

00:29:49.680 don't you doubt your own interpretation?

00:29:52.860 Because I'm watching it, and I'm thinking, okay, you're talking to a drunk.

00:29:57.440 You're not going to say anything about that?

00:29:59.780 And she doesn't.

00:30:01.200 And then when it's done, I think to myself, huh, well, if it were so obvious,

00:30:06.280 but she didn't say, the interviewer didn't say anything about it, then maybe I'm just wrong.

00:30:13.600 So it basically gaslights you into thinking, oh, I guess I can't tell an inebriated person anymore.

00:30:20.880 I guess that's just normal.

00:30:23.160 So it's total gaslighting.

00:30:26.640 Anyway, here's some.

00:30:29.520 So she did.

00:30:31.300 She was asked if she worked at McDonald's.

00:30:33.740 And I would like to give you my impression of her saying that she did work at McDonald's.

00:30:39.340 Because Trump is saying, and Republicans are saying, there's no evidence she ever worked there.

00:30:44.440 But here's her confirming that she did.

00:30:48.460 I did the fries.

00:30:54.160 So if you missed it, that's what you missed.

00:31:00.660 It was really weird.

00:31:03.160 Really weird.

00:31:05.400 What else did she say?

00:31:09.340 She said, let's see.

00:31:12.660 When asked about how she would pay for the program she wants to implement,

00:31:17.940 it would cost more money since we're already in a deficit.

00:31:21.540 She pivoted to corporations and billionaires have to pay their fair share.

00:31:29.100 Just their fair share.

00:31:30.900 They got to pay the fair share.

00:31:33.120 The fair share.

00:31:36.300 Now, what's a fair share?

00:31:37.820 Fair share.

00:31:39.340 How in the world does that work?

00:31:44.000 What is the fair share?

00:31:46.080 How do you determine what's fair?

00:31:47.800 Now, I always like to bring out my famous quote, that fairness was invented so children and idiots would have something to argue about.

00:31:57.040 If you were a serious person and you were talking about taxes, you would never use the word fairness.

00:32:05.500 Because it's ill-defined, it's subjective, and you can't have an ill-defined subjective tax policy.

00:32:14.080 Here's what you could decide whether a tax change, either up or down, is for the greater good, without too much attention to how it's allocated.

00:32:28.760 You could, you could, you can pretty much pick out the greater good, it would be a tax level where we don't discourage business, but maybe we get a little closer to paying off our debts.

00:32:43.020 Now, ideally, you'd rather bring your expenses down to do that instead of raising taxes.

00:32:47.540 But my point is, fairness is not what economists talk about.

00:32:52.300 She has 400 economists who just backed her.

00:32:55.480 Ask one of the economists to define fairness for you.

00:32:58.280 It's not a thing.

00:33:00.860 There's not one of the 400 economists who back her, who would back her on fairness being the standard for anything.

00:33:08.780 Now, certainly, you want to pick a standard that people won't complain about too much.

00:33:14.340 So, they have to feel like, all right, well, I don't want to pay this much taxes, but I can see other people are paying taxes.

00:33:22.980 And, well, you know, it's just not the hill I'm going to die on.

00:33:26.120 So, maybe you can get that.

00:33:28.880 You can get people to say, well, you know, I don't have a better idea.

00:33:34.280 That's as good as you can do.

00:33:36.120 Fairness is for idiots.

00:33:38.400 So, if she was drunk or she is an idiot, we don't know.

00:33:43.360 But it looks like a drunken idiot statement, real line.

00:33:47.100 Fairness.

00:33:49.680 But Stephanie Rule, to her credit, she said directly that she's on MSN.

00:33:56.180 You see that Harris doesn't answer the question where she'll get the money from, which means she's not answering the question on the most important parts of her policy.

00:34:05.200 Because if her policies were free, I don't think anybody would have a problem with it.

00:34:10.680 I'd like to give a $6,000 tax credit to people.

00:34:14.360 Well, what's that cost me?

00:34:16.280 Nothing.

00:34:17.260 Oh, okay.

00:34:18.600 Yeah, go ahead.

00:34:19.620 I'd like to make $50,000 tax deductible available to new businesses.

00:34:25.000 Well, what's that cost me?

00:34:27.700 Nothing.

00:34:28.260 It's free.

00:34:29.360 All right.

00:34:30.300 Yeah.

00:34:30.820 Sounds good to me.

00:34:31.660 Make it $100,000 if it's free.

00:34:32.940 But if you leave out the part about what it costs or what it does to inflation, you're not really a serious candidate.

00:34:40.920 Stephanie Rule also, to her credit, pointed out to Harris that the Biden administration has tariffs.

00:34:49.560 So what the hell are you talking about with tariffs not being a good idea?

00:34:53.360 So then, because all the viewers of MSNBC are uninformed idiots, Harris got to say, well, you just don't want to throw out, like Trump does, the across-the-board tariffs, which nobody is recommending.

00:35:14.060 Literally nobody on the whole fucking planet, including Trump.

00:35:20.140 There's not one person who thinks tariffs should be applied to everything.

00:35:25.600 Not one.

00:35:26.920 Not a single fucking person.

00:35:29.620 And yet, she can say this on TV because it's MSNBC.

00:35:34.100 So, gets away with it.

00:35:35.780 But to her credit, Stephanie Rule did point out that Biden uses some tariffs when it makes sense.

00:35:44.560 He even said he might add some more or add to them where they make sense.

00:35:48.840 Now, if you watch a useful political show, such as The Five, you'll see Greg Goffeld explain, at least every other day, that if you put tariffs on an industry you're trying to protect, it makes perfect sense.

00:36:05.180 Because you don't want some other country destroying your entire industry, like the car industry, for example.

00:36:10.980 But, if all it is is something that nobody in America makes, and you're getting a good deal on it, of course you're not going to put a tariff on that.

00:36:18.980 But, that would just be, what, just a tax.

00:36:24.040 So, this is one of those situations where people are in 100% agreement, Democrats and Republicans, 100% agreement on tariffs.

00:36:33.960 That there's some special cases that make sense, but the general case, you'd be better off not doing it.

00:36:41.300 But, both sides, 100% agreement.

00:36:44.600 And that's why Biden didn't remove any of Trump's tariffs.

00:36:50.120 So, the Biden administration got rid of, what, 94 executive orders just about the border.

00:36:56.860 And that was like on day one.

00:36:58.100 So, it's obvious that they don't have any problem at all reversing stuff that Trump does that doesn't make sense.

00:37:05.400 But, they didn't reverse his tariffs.

00:37:07.780 And then they send out idiot Harris to say that tariffs are, ah, it's bad the way he does them, just throwing them all over the place.

00:37:15.040 You know, I was just, I got those, he's just got tariffs on everything.

00:37:20.220 Which, he doesn't.

00:37:21.500 That would be stupid.

00:37:23.380 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:37:25.360 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:37:28.100 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.

00:37:34.120 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.

00:37:39.800 Everything was taken care of under one roof, and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

00:37:44.220 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:37:47.720 But, you got there on time.

00:37:49.560 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:37:52.180 Certain conditions apply.

00:37:53.060 Then, she was asked about housing, because housing costs is too much, and what would she do about that?

00:38:01.320 And, instead of answering anything about housing, because she didn't have an answer, she tried to make the case that if you did things that made life in general more affordable, that people would have extra money from just an affordable life that they could afford, or better afford housing.

00:38:21.620 But, the way she tried to explain it is with a keyword that obviously had been given to her.

00:38:32.040 And, you'd see that she lights up whenever she hits the keyword.

00:38:34.960 So, you can tell when she's clicked in, because she's operating on some set pieces, where if they say this, make sure you put this keyword in there.

00:38:46.220 So, watching her light up when she hits the keyword and then repeats it is kind of just creepy.

00:38:51.940 So, the keyword was holistic.

00:38:54.560 So, her argument being that even if you don't directly give financial support to the housing part, if you financially support the life in general, they'll have a little extra money for housing.

00:39:07.720 Now, that's not an illogical argument.

00:39:13.260 That's not illogical.

00:39:14.820 If somehow they made our gas prices go down to $1, people would have a lot more money to pay the rent or pay the mortgage.

00:39:22.240 So, I'm on board.

00:39:23.300 Here's how she explained it.

00:39:27.640 Looking holistically at the connection between that and the housing and looking holistically.

00:39:34.040 And, then she would light up every time she said holistically.

00:39:37.280 Holistically.

00:39:39.320 At the incentives we are in the federal government can create for local and state governments to actually engage in planning in a holistic manner that includes prioritizing affordable housing.

00:39:52.180 Holistically.

00:39:53.300 It was a total train wreck.

00:39:57.840 So, it's very clear that the more we see of her, the more obvious it is that they had to hide her.

00:40:08.860 They just put her with the easiest interviewer in the world and she didn't even have set piece answers for the most obvious questions.

00:40:18.780 Do you know how incompetent that is?

00:40:21.220 It would be one thing to have answers that people don't like.

00:40:25.640 Trump does that a lot.

00:40:27.600 It's a completely different game to not even have a sensible sounding answer besides I grew up in a middle class home.

00:40:36.360 I mean, that's a whole different level of incompetence.

00:40:39.700 If you can't do a friendly, let me give you an example.

00:40:43.620 An equivalent would be Trump talking to Hannity, which they've done a number of times.

00:40:51.500 Hannity is literally good friends with Trump.

00:40:53.520 Literally, Hannity is the most biased Republican you could even think of if he tried to make a list of the most biased Republicans.

00:41:02.560 Now, to his credit, Hannity makes no pretense of trying to be a middle ground, show both sides kind of guy.

00:41:11.400 He's an opinion guy and his opinion is Republicans are better and he hammers it hard.

00:41:17.100 He does it very well.

00:41:18.540 So, if it sounds like I'm criticizing Hannity, I'm not because he's completely transparent.

00:41:26.000 It's my opinion.

00:41:27.080 I'm just a supporter of Republicans and I love Trump.

00:41:30.340 He's a good friend.

00:41:30.980 And once all that's said, then I'm okay.

00:41:36.640 You know, if it were the only interviews Trump did, that would be a disaster.

00:41:40.160 You know, I wouldn't like that.

00:41:41.880 But, yeah, you can do some friendlies.

00:41:44.060 No problem with that at all.

00:41:45.500 When you see Trump talking to Hannity and you know it's a friendly and it's going to be softballs and stuff, Trump kills it.

00:41:54.080 He nails it.

00:41:55.600 He sounds, you know, he communicates clearly.

00:41:59.300 You know what he wants.

00:42:00.980 Even though it's a friendly.

00:42:03.800 Kamala Harris couldn't even pull off a friendly.

00:42:06.760 The friendliest of friendlies.

00:42:09.020 Couldn't pull it off.

00:42:10.820 How in the world are we comparing these two candidates?

00:42:14.060 They are so far from equivalence.

00:42:17.500 It's ridiculous.

00:42:18.380 It's like a bicycle to a jet.

00:42:20.900 I mean, it's not even close.

00:42:23.940 All right.

00:42:26.940 Mark Cuban was on Fox and he was asked if he would take any kind of important role in a Harris administration if she wins.

00:42:35.340 And he said the SEC.

00:42:40.300 That he'd want to be head of the SEC.

00:42:42.120 Now, I didn't see that coming.

00:42:45.020 I don't know if any of you did.

00:42:46.760 And I don't know how completely serious he is about it because it sounds like the most boring, terrible job for somebody who's had a lot of fun in their life.

00:42:55.680 On the other hand, anytime I see somebody with his capability wanting to be part of the government, I'm a little bit interested.

00:43:05.420 I'm a little bit interested.

00:43:08.440 It's hard for me to imagine what trouble he could cause at the SEC.

00:43:12.060 He probably just has some specific ideas of how that's not working and thinks he could fix it.

00:43:17.700 And maybe he could.

00:43:19.880 You know?

00:43:21.840 I don't automatically hate it.

00:43:24.780 Because when it comes to business, I think he's more about what works.

00:43:29.440 You know, when he talks about politics or Elon Musk, he gets into the hyperbole and the trolling and the arguments and stuff.

00:43:38.920 But I'm pretty sure that he's a legitimate American patriot who wants the SEC to work the way it was supposed to work.

00:43:50.000 So I'm not even entirely sure I wouldn't want him there under a Republican administration.

00:43:56.160 I'm not going to commit to that opinion.

00:44:00.540 But I do like the fact that Trump can work with people from, you know, historically the other team, if they're offering something specific, which they have a strength in.

00:44:12.380 You know, like Elon Musk reducing the government waste.

00:44:16.180 Like RFK Jr. working on the food and pharma.

00:44:22.100 I'd like to hear more about that argument.

00:44:24.580 Because I'm not sure that anybody would have a problem with somebody like a Mark Cuban, a strong personality who knows how to get things done, going in and fixing something that maybe would be good for all of us.

00:44:40.400 I don't know.

00:44:41.440 Because when you watch, you know, Kennedy, whatever he's going to do with the food supply, it's not going to look like a Democrat plan.

00:44:48.120 It's going to look like what works.

00:44:50.320 Period.

00:44:50.920 It's just going to be what makes sense, what works.

00:44:53.380 If he could pull that off in the SEC, maybe.

00:44:59.780 Maybe he's on the pirate ship.

00:45:01.600 You never know.

00:45:02.580 Now, he might not want to be any part of a Trump administration.

00:45:06.120 So that may not be a real possibility.

00:45:11.180 But my take, if you're kind of wondering, what the hell is Mark Cuban doing with all of his interaction on X?

00:45:19.200 And my take, I can't read his mind.

00:45:25.420 So this is just one person's take.

00:45:28.020 He says directly in public when he talks about trolling with Musk that he just enjoys getting under people's skin and, you know, he's having fun with it.

00:45:40.540 So I think that's probably the primary motivation.

00:45:44.220 But the secondary motivation is Cuban may have found a way to leapfrog all the political stuff and get into a position of power.

00:45:54.640 Maybe the SEC, maybe something else.

00:45:56.700 But by being very prominent on social media, arguing for the Democrats, Democrats probably just start seeing him as one of their leaders.

00:46:07.320 So he may have found a way to hack social media, to hack the Democrats by, you know, agreeing with them more than they agree with themselves and arguing better than they argue until they say, you know what, this guy's good.

00:46:23.420 Why don't we put him in charge?

00:46:24.620 He may have found this clever play, which honestly looks like it's working, which is if he's in the conversation for being the head of some cabinet position, it worked.

00:46:40.300 He basically just mixed it up on social media, did all the interviews and podcasts that people asked them for.

00:46:47.220 Didn't matter at all whether his arguments were good or bad, because nobody can tell.

00:46:51.680 Honestly, we can't tell whether his arguments are good or bad.

00:46:55.640 In general, we can't tell.

00:46:57.820 So if he creates all kinds of energy, you start to see him as the guy who used to be doing, you know, the tech company and used to be doing the basketball stuff.

00:47:08.940 And I think he retired from Shark Tank.

00:47:12.620 So you see somebody who is still in his prime, has all these capabilities.

00:47:17.120 You associate him with politics and he's looking for work.

00:47:23.760 He may have hacked the system.

00:47:26.580 He may come out like at the top of some entity when this is all done.

00:47:32.200 And it could be, like I say, I'm not, I wouldn't predict it.

00:47:35.760 But he could easily be, have some important job in a Republican administration if he negotiated, you know, where the guardrails are.

00:47:46.800 So anyway, you know, you have to be careful of the energy monsters because Cuban has a little bit of the Trump magic, which is as long as you're paying attention, he's winning.

00:47:58.480 And he knows that.

00:48:01.120 Oh, by the way, he said that pretty directly in his own ways.

00:48:05.400 He's talked about how getting attention, Trump's good at it and it works.

00:48:10.020 So if he just learned something from him, he's doing it and he's just trolling until all the energy is pointed at him and then he can pick his job.

00:48:18.940 It's kind of brilliant.

00:48:20.740 So that's my best guess of what's going on.

00:48:23.000 Fox News says there's a study that Google search is favoring Harris over Trump.

00:48:32.940 I guess you don't see Trump's web page for the campaign as easily as you see Harris's.

00:48:39.700 And we've already talked about how the searches are hacked.

00:48:43.940 But here's my question.

00:48:46.500 Does this matter as much as it did even a few years ago?

00:48:50.080 Because I have the experience of I do way less searching on Google than I used to.

00:48:57.820 I used to do it multiple times every day.

00:49:00.980 Now when I'm searching on Google, I'm usually looking for maybe a product I heard of.

00:49:07.160 I'm not really looking for any politics on Google.

00:49:09.860 And if I were looking for a campaign web page, it would still come up where I could find it.

00:49:18.780 You know, I wouldn't even search for it unless I was willing to really look for it and go there.

00:49:23.100 So if it's not optimally placed on the page, but I knew I wanted to go there, I'm still going to find it.

00:49:29.620 And when I want to see the news, I go to X.

00:49:34.700 If I were a different person, I might be going to TikTok.

00:49:38.160 But you can search for the news on X, which I'm far more likely to do.

00:49:42.400 And you can search for things with your AI, you know, using it as the interface to the search.

00:49:48.040 I'm going to say that Google has the potential for changing an election, but that potential may be shrinking as Google's search is becoming less a reflex.

00:50:02.940 We have other ways to search.

00:50:06.760 Anyway, CNN was talking about the gender gap that you know.

00:50:12.500 Harris has more of the women.

00:50:14.220 Trump has more of the men.

00:50:15.220 And here's what I wanted to add about that.

00:50:19.880 Do you remember in 2016, I was somewhat famous for saying that there would be a shy Trump supporter effect.

00:50:29.760 Now, I didn't invent the idea, didn't invent it, but I was probably one of the biggest carriers of that message at the time.

00:50:37.500 And the theory was that people wouldn't want to admit they were supporting him because he had been so maligned by the press that you just didn't want to be on a list.

00:50:48.280 Now, 2016, allegedly, a lot of people believe it caught the Democrats by surprise.

00:50:58.400 You know, maybe they would have done more.

00:50:59.880 Some say they would have cheated harder.

00:51:02.000 Some say maybe Hillary would have campaigned differently if she thought that it was going to be that close.

00:51:07.560 So, most people think that 2016 surprised the Democrats in one way or another, and that's why Trump won.

00:51:17.260 Now, in 2020, the surprise was gone.

00:51:21.060 So, in 2020, apparently, you know, they just did a better ground game or whatever it was.

00:51:26.300 And some people say the election was rigged.

00:51:28.760 That's not my point today.

00:51:30.140 My point today is that in 2024, you would have an effect on top of the shy Trump supporters.

00:51:41.220 So, there will still be some people who don't want to be on a list of Trump supporters.

00:51:46.100 So, there'll still be a little bit of the shy Trump supporter.

00:51:49.060 But there's something else going on, which is Trump supporters, almost to a person,

00:51:55.040 at least the ones who pay attention to the news, fully understand that their best strategic bet as a citizen are to do two things.

00:52:06.520 One is to make sure they vote and maybe get other people to vote too, so vote.

00:52:12.480 But the other is to lie to the pollsters so that the Democrats are caught off guard again.

00:52:17.600 And here's why I think that the lying to pollsters is going to be greater than 2016, because he lost in 2020.

00:52:27.620 And I think the people who saw that remember that the surprise and lying to the pollsters was key to 2016.

00:52:36.900 People were sort of onto it by 2020, and that they're going to need to make that surprise bigger or the surprise doesn't work.

00:52:45.540 And the way you do that is everybody's heard the strategy by now.

00:52:51.300 Most Republicans have at least heard the idea, don't tell the truth to a pollster.

00:52:56.800 And then, if it's true that Democrats are planning to cheat but only just enough to win,

00:53:02.580 they won't be ready for the margin of victory, and that Trump could steal another one.

00:53:07.840 So, here's what I'm adding.

00:53:09.600 I think there's a whole different motivation for Republicans to lie to pollsters in 2024 that did not exist at this level any time before,

00:53:20.340 which would suggest, when you combine this with the fact that the consumer confidence dropped like a rock when Harris got into the thick of it,

00:53:31.340 those two factors suggest that Trump's already won the vote.

00:53:36.420 I'm not predicting he will get into office.

00:53:39.820 That's a separate thing.

00:53:41.600 I think he's going to win the vote.

00:53:44.100 Maybe the national vote, to give him a mandate, but at the very least, the electoral college votes.

00:53:53.340 So, I think the voting question is now answered.

00:53:56.800 In my opinion, there's no other way it could go.

00:53:59.440 Now, that I don't know how to account for sketchy mail-in ballots from other countries and all that,

00:54:07.580 that's going to be a real problem.

00:54:09.100 So, I think the only chance that Trump has is that the security does their job.

00:54:16.460 That's iffy at the moment.

00:54:18.560 Keep them alive.

00:54:19.340 And if the watchers, the Lara Trump army of election observers, can catch things or prevent things on the day,

00:54:30.400 it's going to be dicey.

00:54:32.760 I'm still saying that we're not going to have an official certified result.

00:54:37.700 Well, not certified, but an official result by the end of the year.

00:54:40.380 We'll figure it out eventually.

00:54:41.600 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:54:49.680 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages.

00:54:53.340 Conditions apply.

00:54:55.140 Scotiabank.

00:54:55.900 You're richer than you think.

00:54:58.040 But apparently the poly markets have flipped to Trump in Pennsylvania.

00:55:03.080 And we'll probably flip more because Trump is going back to Butler, the place that he was almost killed once,

00:55:12.260 and he's going to have another rally in the same frickin' place.

00:55:16.100 Now, no matter what you say about that, you have to admit that that sends a good message, doesn't it?

00:55:23.360 You can shoot me and I'll come back.

00:55:27.880 That's a hell of a message.

00:55:29.380 And you could pretend, oh, that's just being political.

00:55:33.720 Oh, that's just an obvious political play.

00:55:36.260 Yes, one that works.

00:55:39.760 It's totally going to work.

00:55:41.580 But will it make a difference in Pennsylvania?

00:55:43.840 Well, let me tell you.

00:55:45.820 If I lived in Pennsylvania, and I knew that a candidate got shot in my state,

00:55:52.340 and they came back, and they stood in the same place they got shot,

00:55:57.160 and they said, I'm back.

00:55:58.360 I'd vote for him.

00:56:01.700 I mean, that would just, that would tear me apart, honestly.

00:56:05.060 I'd vote for him.

00:56:07.340 So, and then Scott Pressler is doing incredible work getting people registered.

00:56:13.160 So now there's actually a Republican registration advantage in some key places.

00:56:18.160 We'll see if that's enough.

00:56:19.040 In the meantime, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo used the word extinguish when talking about Trump,

00:56:28.680 that the Trump, you know, the Trump threat, I guess, has to be extinguished for good.

00:56:35.960 Now, that's, those are words that somebody chose to use in public on a candidate who had two assassination attempts,

00:56:42.700 and there are five assassination teams allegedly trying to get him.

00:56:46.640 Maybe there were three.

00:56:47.860 That's a little unclear.

00:56:48.800 And you would go on a national broadcast and use the word extinguish, extinguish for good.

00:56:59.340 The for good is the one that tells you, you know, they don't want any arguments from him while he's alive.

00:57:06.140 So, that's terrible.

00:57:09.460 All right.

00:57:10.340 I'm going to do a little bit of bragging.

00:57:13.740 You'll love that.

00:57:15.420 Do you remember that when the first assassination attempt happened in Butler,

00:57:20.420 and we heard that the Secret Service should have done a better job,

00:57:25.560 and then all of the experts came on and said,

00:57:28.340 whoa, one thing we know for sure is this must have been intentional,

00:57:32.880 because there's no way these trained professionals would make all of these mistakes,

00:57:38.180 because there were a lot of them, all at the same day.

00:57:42.240 And then do you remember I, alone in the entire world, this is the important part,

00:57:48.040 I, alone in the entire planet, said,

00:57:52.240 hmm, I think it's far more likely that it's a Dilber situation,

00:57:56.580 because we've observed that every single entity in the United States has become incompetent lately.

00:58:04.600 Why would the Secret Service be immune from the thing that has infected every other entity,

00:58:10.440 including things, sending things into space, including the military?

00:58:15.080 I mean, really important entities are just completely corrupt and incompetent.

00:58:19.800 And then the experts, the people who had been professional snipers,

00:58:24.360 the people who had been in the Secret Service said,

00:58:26.660 oh, no, there's no way all these trained professionals would make that many mistakes.

00:58:32.720 Are you ready to update your opinion yet?

00:58:36.740 I'm going to call it, I'm the only one on the fucking planet who said,

00:58:41.060 nope, that looks like ordinary incompetence to me.

00:58:43.920 Now, before you get mad at me, I have always said and still say,

00:58:48.880 that doesn't rule out that there might have been, you know, one mole,

00:58:53.780 as well as some kind of team that was helping the shooter.

00:58:57.860 So those are still live possibilities.

00:59:00.240 And at no point did I say that there was no chance of those.

00:59:04.020 So I am allowing that we can still find out something deeper

00:59:08.660 about one or both of the shooters.

00:59:10.960 And I think Dan Bongino knows more than we do

00:59:14.700 and thinks there's more coming on at least one of them.

00:59:17.840 So I'm going to add that to my list of the hardest,

00:59:23.180 most unlikely predictions that was completely right.

00:59:28.040 Because based on what we know now,

00:59:29.940 it would be really weird if all of these people were in on the plot.

00:59:35.720 So the person running the drones didn't have enough training

00:59:39.960 and it was on tech support.

00:59:41.700 Do you think that they were part of the plot

00:59:43.420 or just shit doesn't work and people have to call tech support

00:59:47.720 and that's the most normal thing in the world?

00:59:49.900 I think it's normal.

00:59:51.220 The communication problems,

00:59:53.020 that they didn't have the right communication,

00:59:56.200 maybe, maybe that's where the person who was the mole

00:59:59.480 made sure that didn't happen.

01:00:01.180 But there were still like three other ways

01:00:04.160 that they could have known the guy was on the roof.

01:00:07.320 They had 27 minutes when the guy was walking around.

01:00:10.940 So even if you say the person in charge of communications

01:00:14.460 was in on the plot, which I'm not saying,

01:00:17.640 it was still full of incompetence.

01:00:20.740 And if you look at the fact there wasn't somebody on the roof,

01:00:24.500 was that a plot?

01:00:26.340 It could have been.

01:00:28.400 But still, it was incompetence

01:00:31.240 because there were enough people who knew

01:00:32.760 that you shouldn't be in that situation

01:00:34.240 that could have fixed it.

01:00:35.920 So whether or not anybody is a mole

01:00:39.180 and had some kind of connection with bad forces

01:00:42.160 that wanted to assassinate it,

01:00:43.900 not ruling that out at all.

01:00:45.940 I'm just saying,

01:00:47.080 mostly the observable errors were just incompetence,

01:00:51.340 incompetence, underfunded, undertrained, understaffed.

01:00:57.860 All right.

01:00:59.440 Biden, of course, did not help Harris

01:01:01.520 because every time he leaves his cage,

01:01:03.280 he says dumbass things.

01:01:05.420 And now he went on The View

01:01:07.080 and he said that he delegated everything to Harris,

01:01:12.260 including foreign policy and domestic policy.

01:01:16.080 Now, that's not true.

01:01:18.140 But Harris is out there saying

01:01:19.440 we need to do something new.

01:01:21.360 And Biden's out there saying,

01:01:22.480 well, you've been in charge for three years,

01:01:25.540 three and a half years.

01:01:26.880 So that's not helping her.

01:01:28.580 That's like the opposite of helping her.

01:01:30.900 Her entire game depends on acting

01:01:34.560 like she was never in charge

01:01:36.000 because she was just the VP.

01:01:38.280 And then the president goes out like,

01:01:39.980 oh, yeah, she was totally in charge.

01:01:41.860 You could not be

01:01:43.320 more damaging to the candidate

01:01:47.180 than to say that,

01:01:48.720 if anybody listened.

01:01:49.500 He also said that for years,

01:01:54.060 too little has been done

01:01:55.020 on the fentanyl problem.

01:01:58.440 He's been in charge for years.

01:02:01.160 And too little was done

01:02:02.400 on the fentanyl problem.

01:02:04.040 And Kamala Harris was the borders are.

01:02:07.040 He is throwing her under the bus so hard.

01:02:11.360 Yeah, she's in charge

01:02:12.720 and nothing good happened.

01:02:15.140 Those are basically the two messages

01:02:17.180 he's giving.

01:02:18.200 I can't even believe it.

01:02:23.800 Oh, I'm seeing an NPC.

01:02:27.280 So you believe that I'm duped

01:02:29.000 and that the real story

01:02:30.500 is that every one of those

01:02:31.740 individual people

01:02:32.900 who were incompetent

01:02:34.120 were all part of the plot,

01:02:36.360 the clever plot.

01:02:37.260 And you think that

01:02:38.980 that's more likely

01:02:39.880 than just ordinary people

01:02:42.440 who were understaffed

01:02:43.580 and undertrained,

01:02:45.080 but also there might have been a plot.

01:02:50.660 I would say that you're

01:02:52.220 dealing in magical world

01:02:54.000 where you magically know

01:02:56.000 things that are not in evidence.

01:02:59.200 I'm dealing with what's in evidence.

01:03:01.300 The incompetence seems widespread

01:03:03.200 and just everywhere,

01:03:04.740 but we haven't ruled out

01:03:07.000 the plot.

01:03:09.660 All right.

01:03:13.220 Do you remember

01:03:13.980 when James Carville

01:03:15.320 was helping the Clinton campaign

01:03:18.600 back in the 90s

01:03:19.680 and he decided brilliantly

01:03:21.640 and famously

01:03:22.300 that they would put

01:03:23.160 a little sign on the wall

01:03:24.320 that said,

01:03:24.800 it's the economy, stupid,

01:03:26.300 to remind the candidate

01:03:27.920 to mention the economy,

01:03:30.680 economy, economy,

01:03:31.400 because that was

01:03:32.220 their winning play.

01:03:33.540 Okay.

01:03:34.740 Did that stop being true?

01:03:37.120 When people are more worried

01:03:38.740 about the economy right now

01:03:40.280 than maybe they ever have,

01:03:42.460 have you noticed

01:03:43.040 that James Carville

01:03:43.940 is not trotting out

01:03:45.840 his most famous advice?

01:03:48.180 Why wouldn't he use

01:03:49.640 his most famous advice

01:03:51.240 when we're in exactly

01:03:53.300 the same situation

01:03:54.340 where the economy

01:03:55.260 is the biggest question?

01:03:56.320 I can only think

01:03:58.340 of one reason

01:03:58.920 you wouldn't use

01:03:59.560 your famous advice

01:04:00.620 because nobody's

01:04:03.940 going to think

01:04:04.360 Harris is the solution

01:04:05.700 to the economy.

01:04:07.440 So,

01:04:07.800 so I think

01:04:08.640 even Carville,

01:04:09.900 the,

01:04:10.160 the,

01:04:10.700 it's the economy,

01:04:11.460 stupid person

01:04:12.240 is going to character

01:04:13.520 attack against Trump.

01:04:15.320 You don't go

01:04:16.320 to character attack

01:04:17.400 if you have real stuff.

01:04:19.540 right?

01:04:22.780 If,

01:04:23.220 if a armed burglar

01:04:25.500 comes in your house

01:04:26.440 and you also have a weapon,

01:04:28.360 you know,

01:04:28.600 and your life is in danger,

01:04:30.120 do you throw the weapon down

01:04:31.700 and take a feather duster

01:04:33.500 and go,

01:04:33.980 ah,

01:04:34.640 I got you

01:04:35.300 with the feather duster?

01:04:36.920 No,

01:04:37.380 you just,

01:04:37.860 why would you put

01:04:38.600 your weapon down

01:04:39.220 to do that?

01:04:39.880 So,

01:04:42.160 if he thought

01:04:44.300 it would work,

01:04:45.220 he'd be saying

01:04:45.920 it's the economy,

01:04:46.760 stupid.

01:04:47.300 I remind you

01:04:48.060 that when people

01:04:49.180 have a catchphrase,

01:04:51.420 whether they use it

01:04:53.220 themselves

01:04:53.580 or the news uses it,

01:04:55.040 the news

01:04:55.860 loves catchphrases.

01:04:58.140 So,

01:04:58.740 they love,

01:04:59.620 love,

01:05:00.120 love

01:05:00.560 to use a phrase

01:05:01.480 that the viewers

01:05:02.400 have heard before

01:05:03.160 and they can,

01:05:03.820 you know,

01:05:04.100 instantly know

01:05:04.940 what's happening.

01:05:05.860 And that's why CNN

01:05:06.860 always has the worst

01:05:07.960 than Watergate guys on.

01:05:09.880 Just ask them,

01:05:11.040 is this worse

01:05:11.900 than Watergate?

01:05:13.000 Oh,

01:05:13.480 it's worse

01:05:13.980 than Watergate.

01:05:14.920 And then the public

01:05:15.660 understands,

01:05:16.520 oh,

01:05:17.140 well,

01:05:17.300 I didn't catch

01:05:17.780 all the details,

01:05:19.040 but sounds like

01:05:19.700 it's worse

01:05:20.040 than Watergate.

01:05:22.800 So,

01:05:23.300 yeah.

01:05:24.840 If they thought

01:05:25.660 they could win

01:05:26.140 on the economy,

01:05:27.180 they'd be doing it.

01:05:31.500 You remember Jason

01:05:32.820 from the All In Pod,

01:05:34.520 who may be watching

01:05:35.260 right now.

01:05:36.040 Hi,

01:05:36.300 Jason.

01:05:37.440 And it was on,

01:05:38.480 it was on

01:05:39.300 the morning show

01:05:39.900 recently.

01:05:41.180 And I saw him

01:05:42.080 interacting with

01:05:43.920 somebody else

01:05:44.920 on X

01:05:45.880 and about January 6th.

01:05:49.500 And he said this,

01:05:50.400 he said,

01:05:50.740 highly educated partisans

01:05:52.080 will make jokes

01:05:53.320 about the January 6th riots.

01:05:55.420 I think that's me.

01:05:57.200 I do make jokes

01:05:58.300 about the January 6th riots.

01:06:00.060 And I am a

01:06:01.420 highly educated partisan.

01:06:03.860 So,

01:06:04.580 I think it's more

01:06:05.260 than just me,

01:06:05.840 but I fall

01:06:06.840 into this category.

01:06:08.160 Highly educated partisan

01:06:09.240 who makes jokes

01:06:10.300 about January 6th riots

01:06:11.400 and try and confuse

01:06:12.940 citizens.

01:06:13.800 Uh-oh.

01:06:14.720 I don't try to

01:06:15.640 confuse anybody

01:06:16.360 about the difference

01:06:17.940 between the shaman guy

01:06:19.260 and the Oath Keepers.

01:06:21.300 The former

01:06:22.200 is a sad,

01:06:23.100 mentally ill character.

01:06:24.960 That would be

01:06:25.360 the shaman guy.

01:06:26.620 The latter

01:06:27.260 are traitors

01:06:27.960 and terrorists.

01:06:28.660 Okay.

01:06:33.020 And he was talking

01:06:34.140 to somebody named,

01:06:35.100 oh,

01:06:35.300 I guess he was talking

01:06:35.980 to Matt Walsh.

01:06:37.080 And he says,

01:06:37.620 critical that you parse

01:06:38.580 this issue

01:06:39.060 for fellow Americans

01:06:40.100 so we don't have

01:06:41.320 the Oath Keepers

01:06:42.120 and other domestic terrorists

01:06:43.340 cause damage

01:06:44.520 to our country.

01:06:45.500 Well,

01:06:46.980 how many people

01:06:48.820 knew that the Oath Keepers

01:06:50.540 were part of

01:06:51.420 the January 6th event?

01:06:54.100 In the comments,

01:06:55.120 how many of you

01:06:55.660 were aware

01:06:56.200 that a group

01:06:57.880 called the Oath Keepers

01:06:59.160 were in any way

01:07:00.580 involved with

01:07:01.340 October 6th?

01:07:02.580 Did you know that?

01:07:04.220 I kind of,

01:07:05.280 sort of,

01:07:05.880 remember hearing it.

01:07:08.320 And what percentage

01:07:09.580 of the people

01:07:11.600 who were there,

01:07:12.980 what percentage

01:07:13.720 were these

01:07:14.640 alleged dangerous

01:07:16.900 Oath Keepers?

01:07:18.760 When I found out

01:07:19.860 my friend got a great deal

01:07:21.300 on a wool coat

01:07:22.040 from Winners,

01:07:22.900 I started wondering,

01:07:24.560 is every fabulous item

01:07:26.180 I see from Winners?

01:07:27.700 Like that woman

01:07:28.460 over there

01:07:28.960 with the designer jeans.

01:07:30.420 Are those from Winners?

01:07:31.920 Ooh,

01:07:32.560 are those beautiful

01:07:33.220 gold earrings?

01:07:34.360 Did she pay full price?

01:07:35.720 Or that leather tote?

01:07:36.740 Or that cashmere sweater?

01:07:37.920 Or those knee-high boots?

01:07:39.420 That dress?

01:07:40.200 That jacket?

01:07:40.860 Those shoes?

01:07:41.900 Is anyone paying

01:07:43.100 full price for anything?

01:07:44.840 Stop wondering.

01:07:46.120 Start winning.

01:07:47.060 Winners.

01:07:47.640 Find fabulous for less.

01:07:50.320 I don't know.

01:07:52.240 20 people, maybe?

01:07:53.380 I don't know the number,

01:07:55.440 but 20?

01:07:58.100 There were maybe

01:07:58.820 100,000 people

01:07:59.780 in that area?

01:08:03.260 And were they well-armed?

01:08:05.440 Did they have their weapons

01:08:06.500 with them

01:08:06.920 when they penetrated

01:08:08.640 the Capitol?

01:08:10.480 Nobody did.

01:08:12.660 Nobody had any weapons

01:08:13.880 with them.

01:08:15.580 Now, they had blunt objects,

01:08:17.380 and there were,

01:08:18.500 I think,

01:08:18.720 49 law enforcement people

01:08:21.880 were injured,

01:08:22.740 which is not nothing.

01:08:25.120 But,

01:08:25.700 here's my problem

01:08:27.660 with the January 6th thing.

01:08:29.840 It seems like

01:08:30.480 every discussion

01:08:31.280 about January 6th

01:08:33.000 involves

01:08:33.680 one or both sides

01:08:35.080 pretending.

01:08:37.420 And I can't get past

01:08:38.560 the pretending.

01:08:39.860 And I don't know

01:08:40.800 what's up with that.

01:08:42.400 So here's the pretending.

01:08:45.380 When I talk about it,

01:08:47.360 I of course know

01:08:48.380 that some of them

01:08:49.160 were bad actors

01:08:49.940 who did violent things,

01:08:51.020 and of course

01:08:52.820 the Department of Justice

01:08:53.960 should take care of that.

01:08:55.380 No doubt about it.

01:08:57.480 But there were maybe 1%.

01:08:59.100 Now, if I say that

01:09:01.220 to somebody

01:09:01.940 who has a different

01:09:03.680 understanding of the event,

01:09:06.160 you can get them

01:09:07.140 to do the math

01:09:08.040 and come out

01:09:09.280 with the same,

01:09:09.900 okay, it's about 1%

01:09:11.040 were bad characters,

01:09:12.520 and nobody brandished

01:09:14.000 like a firearm

01:09:15.000 or a knife.

01:09:16.080 You know,

01:09:16.240 they had tents

01:09:17.620 and poles,

01:09:18.420 and that's bad.

01:09:19.480 It's all bad.

01:09:20.080 But now,

01:09:20.960 aren't we in total agreement?

01:09:24.340 Because

01:09:24.820 Jason mentioned

01:09:29.000 in his comments

01:09:29.760 that he and I

01:09:31.000 had some difference

01:09:31.940 on this topic.

01:09:33.580 And when I thought about it,

01:09:34.500 I thought,

01:09:34.960 what difference?

01:09:36.860 Where would we have

01:09:37.960 any difference?

01:09:40.060 So he pointed out

01:09:41.840 that you should make

01:09:43.020 a distinction

01:09:43.540 between what

01:09:44.260 the shaman guy did.

01:09:45.780 I wouldn't call him

01:09:46.880 a sad,

01:09:47.420 mentally ill character,

01:09:48.440 by the way.

01:09:48.840 I think that's unfair.

01:09:52.260 But I would certainly

01:09:53.440 make a distinction

01:09:54.260 between the people

01:09:55.840 who were having fun

01:09:57.040 and protesting

01:09:57.980 and the people

01:09:58.640 who maybe had

01:09:59.620 at least the potential

01:10:01.400 for darker intentions.

01:10:03.100 But everybody does.

01:10:05.200 So if that's your complaint,

01:10:07.100 that the Republicans

01:10:08.440 are ignoring

01:10:09.380 that there were

01:10:10.060 dangerous people there,

01:10:11.440 that's not true.

01:10:12.200 every Republican

01:10:13.880 I've ever talked to

01:10:15.000 100%

01:10:16.240 is 100%

01:10:17.900 aware

01:10:18.280 that some number

01:10:19.960 of the protesters

01:10:21.140 were violent

01:10:21.960 and nobody's in favor

01:10:23.460 of that.

01:10:24.000 Not a single person.

01:10:25.820 But we can't get past

01:10:27.260 that

01:10:27.760 even though we agree.

01:10:29.660 Isn't that weird?

01:10:32.560 If we agree

01:10:33.660 that it's about 1%,

01:10:35.020 can't we get

01:10:36.240 to the next questions?

01:10:37.240 But it's not like

01:10:39.640 we have to keep

01:10:40.240 talking about that.

01:10:41.420 But you know,

01:10:42.460 the Oath Keepers

01:10:43.240 were there.

01:10:43.740 Right.

01:10:44.100 They're in the 1%.

01:10:45.280 But you know,

01:10:47.500 people were hurt.

01:10:48.600 Right, right, right.

01:10:49.240 We've already agreed

01:10:49.900 they're in the 1%.

01:10:51.440 But you know,

01:10:54.060 some people

01:10:54.820 died

01:10:55.700 a few days

01:10:56.900 after that.

01:10:58.120 I know,

01:10:58.980 not from the event,

01:11:00.560 but you know,

01:11:01.080 that's tragic.

01:11:03.160 We're all

01:11:03.820 on completely

01:11:04.500 the same page,

01:11:05.380 but we can't get past

01:11:06.240 that question.

01:11:07.500 It's the damnedest thing.

01:11:09.580 But let me give you

01:11:10.880 my take

01:11:12.320 as I gave it

01:11:13.480 to Jason

01:11:14.100 on X.

01:11:19.300 I said to Jason,

01:11:21.120 I thought we agreed

01:11:21.940 that 1%

01:11:22.780 were bad actors

01:11:23.820 and trespassing

01:11:25.800 doesn't conquer countries.

01:11:28.120 Now,

01:11:28.660 I think he agrees

01:11:29.360 with that,

01:11:30.020 that you can't

01:11:30.540 conquer a country

01:11:31.220 by occupying a building

01:11:32.860 no matter how long

01:11:34.100 you do it.

01:11:35.380 But that's not

01:11:37.220 his opinion,

01:11:38.020 right?

01:11:38.320 I don't want

01:11:38.880 to mischaracterize him

01:11:40.220 as having a trivial opinion.

01:11:42.420 We'll get to the meat

01:11:43.580 of it,

01:11:43.800 I think.

01:11:45.900 So we would agree

01:11:46.900 that it was 1%

01:11:47.740 bad actors

01:11:48.420 and there certainly

01:11:50.340 weren't enough people

01:11:51.120 there that they could

01:11:51.740 have conquered a country

01:11:52.620 with any kind

01:11:53.340 of physical force.

01:11:56.020 And we know

01:11:56.560 that,

01:11:56.880 so that wasn't

01:11:59.100 enough people

01:11:59.820 or the right

01:12:00.760 equipment

01:12:01.480 for any kind

01:12:02.140 of a physical

01:12:02.780 insurrection.

01:12:03.320 and we also

01:12:04.920 know that

01:12:05.400 there's no evidence

01:12:06.220 that Trump

01:12:06.760 planned one.

01:12:09.060 So there's no evidence

01:12:10.480 that he planned

01:12:11.060 a physical

01:12:12.160 insurrection.

01:12:13.300 And we have

01:12:14.280 written documentation

01:12:15.980 that he tried

01:12:17.680 to

01:12:18.660 organize

01:12:20.060 a defense

01:12:21.400 so there would be

01:12:22.060 no violence

01:12:22.640 that day

01:12:23.100 and he authorized

01:12:24.320 maximum

01:12:25.100 security

01:12:26.220 well ahead of time

01:12:27.100 that if they had

01:12:28.360 been employed,

01:12:29.320 the violence

01:12:30.300 would have been

01:12:30.880 maybe eliminated.

01:12:32.100 but

01:12:33.300 I guess it was

01:12:34.620 General Milley

01:12:35.260 who said

01:12:35.680 it would be

01:12:36.000 a bad look

01:12:36.640 to send the

01:12:37.260 military in

01:12:37.880 so he decided

01:12:38.380 not to.

01:12:39.620 Now I've heard

01:12:40.300 somebody say

01:12:40.780 but Trump

01:12:41.300 still could have

01:12:41.900 ordered it.

01:12:43.400 Well,

01:12:44.360 could he?

01:12:46.180 Because to me

01:12:47.060 if Milley

01:12:47.940 can say no

01:12:48.800 he can say no

01:12:50.980 and he did say no.

01:12:53.460 So I don't think

01:12:54.480 he could have

01:12:54.920 ordered it

01:12:55.480 if Milley

01:12:56.420 can say no

01:12:57.100 which he did.

01:12:58.340 Now I don't

01:13:01.360 think he said

01:13:01.860 no to Trump

01:13:03.120 I think he said

01:13:03.840 no to

01:13:04.520 whoever

01:13:06.180 might have been

01:13:06.840 Pelosi

01:13:07.180 I'm not sure.

01:13:11.220 So anyway

01:13:12.020 so we agree

01:13:13.280 they couldn't

01:13:13.820 have taken over

01:13:14.460 by force

01:13:15.280 and we

01:13:17.380 and we

01:13:18.040 certainly agree

01:13:18.780 that the evidence

01:13:19.580 shows that

01:13:20.200 Trump had no plan

01:13:21.280 for any kind

01:13:22.580 of a forceful

01:13:23.280 takeover

01:13:23.760 and we know

01:13:24.560 from the messages

01:13:25.320 that even

01:13:26.040 Don Jr.

01:13:27.900 was trying

01:13:28.620 to stop

01:13:29.040 the violence

01:13:29.560 and certainly

01:13:30.060 had no

01:13:30.660 no evidence

01:13:32.220 that he knew

01:13:32.860 of some kind

01:13:33.340 of plot

01:13:33.680 to take over

01:13:34.200 the country.

01:13:35.580 So I think

01:13:35.920 we can rule out

01:13:36.680 that it was

01:13:37.260 meant to be

01:13:37.800 a physical

01:13:38.680 takeover

01:13:39.940 and insurrection

01:13:41.020 but there was

01:13:42.420 also another part

01:13:43.260 which involved

01:13:44.720 the alternate

01:13:46.220 electors

01:13:46.940 that Democrats

01:13:48.380 would call

01:13:48.800 fake electors

01:13:49.700 but we're talking

01:13:50.560 about the same

01:13:51.080 thing.

01:13:51.340 now the

01:13:53.220 Republicans

01:13:53.880 have received

01:13:55.240 the narrative

01:13:55.740 which I accept

01:13:58.440 which is the

01:13:59.880 whole point

01:14:00.380 of the alternate

01:14:01.380 electors

01:14:02.020 is to

01:14:02.660 sort of

01:14:04.100 in a legal

01:14:05.440 sense

01:14:05.900 establish

01:14:06.540 your claim

01:14:07.560 which gets

01:14:08.980 sorted out

01:14:09.540 by courts

01:14:10.180 later

01:14:10.560 if it needs

01:14:11.120 to.

01:14:12.520 So to me

01:14:13.180 it was just

01:14:13.740 paperwork

01:14:14.140 and I don't

01:14:17.020 know which

01:14:17.380 part of that

01:14:17.860 Jason would

01:14:18.460 disagree with

01:14:19.180 because there

01:14:20.800 was no chance

01:14:21.540 that the

01:14:21.940 paperwork

01:14:22.380 unless everybody

01:14:23.940 in the Congress

01:14:25.400 agreed with it

01:14:26.180 which seems

01:14:26.860 unlikely

01:14:27.320 and the courts

01:14:28.080 there's no way

01:14:29.840 that could have

01:14:30.260 gone anywhere

01:14:30.840 but it might

01:14:32.240 have

01:14:32.520 it might have

01:14:33.640 been a

01:14:34.040 placekeeper

01:14:34.760 and it might

01:14:36.020 have been a

01:14:36.420 little bit

01:14:36.820 extra argument

01:14:37.660 to delay

01:14:39.340 and look a

01:14:40.200 little harder

01:14:40.620 to see if

01:14:41.440 there's any

01:14:42.080 irregularities in

01:14:43.100 the vote

01:14:43.460 that can be

01:14:44.640 quickly determined

01:14:45.480 which is what

01:14:46.380 the protesters

01:14:47.020 and Trump's

01:14:47.960 people were

01:14:48.360 asking for.

01:14:48.880 Now, which

01:14:51.900 part would

01:14:54.540 we be in

01:14:55.100 disagreement

01:14:55.560 about?

01:14:57.380 We could

01:14:58.080 interpret it

01:14:58.660 differently

01:14:59.000 and say no

01:15:00.180 no, the

01:15:00.740 paperwork part

01:15:01.780 and the fake

01:15:02.420 electors

01:15:02.920 that was a

01:15:04.020 real insurrection

01:15:04.860 and they

01:15:06.360 were, you

01:15:06.900 know, they

01:15:07.320 had some

01:15:07.660 chance of

01:15:08.180 getting away

01:15:08.660 with it.

01:15:09.680 No, they

01:15:10.120 didn't.

01:15:11.900 No, they

01:15:12.520 didn't.

01:15:13.300 You can't

01:15:13.800 conquer the

01:15:15.360 United States

01:15:16.240 with some

01:15:17.460 fake paperwork.

01:15:18.880 no matter

01:15:19.840 what it

01:15:20.220 says.

01:15:21.160 Because there

01:15:21.760 wasn't anybody

01:15:22.540 who would have

01:15:22.880 been in

01:15:23.180 favor of

01:15:23.640 doing that.

01:15:24.980 The

01:15:25.120 Republicans

01:15:25.600 were in

01:15:26.020 favor of

01:15:26.520 it.

01:15:28.000 You know,

01:15:28.260 maybe a

01:15:28.920 handful of

01:15:29.460 people that

01:15:29.960 were close

01:15:30.380 to Trump

01:15:30.880 thought it

01:15:31.320 was worth

01:15:31.660 a try.

01:15:32.500 And you

01:15:33.080 also have

01:15:33.540 to factor

01:15:34.340 in that

01:15:35.580 Trump's not

01:15:36.200 the lawyer.

01:15:37.680 So he was

01:15:38.520 working with

01:15:39.220 two lawyers

01:15:39.960 at least

01:15:40.600 who said,

01:15:42.040 I think this

01:15:43.040 alternate elector

01:15:44.100 thing, you

01:15:44.860 know, might

01:15:45.160 be a good

01:15:45.580 placeholder or

01:15:46.680 whatever words

01:15:47.280 they used.

01:15:47.720 If a lawyer

01:15:48.800 tells you

01:15:49.300 something's

01:15:49.800 not illegal

01:15:50.620 and then

01:15:51.880 you do

01:15:52.220 it, the

01:15:54.100 courts look

01:15:54.800 on that in

01:15:55.460 a positive

01:15:56.100 way.

01:15:56.860 They're not

01:15:57.320 too happy

01:15:57.720 with the

01:15:58.060 lawyer and

01:15:58.680 ignorance is

01:15:59.340 no excuse

01:16:00.160 for breaking

01:16:01.060 the law.

01:16:02.800 But it

01:16:03.380 certainly makes

01:16:03.900 a difference.

01:16:05.100 Right?

01:16:05.600 If the IRS

01:16:06.860 comes after

01:16:07.560 you and you

01:16:08.920 say, you

01:16:09.400 know, I

01:16:09.640 didn't even

01:16:09.980 look at my

01:16:10.460 taxes.

01:16:10.960 I had this

01:16:11.400 professional

01:16:12.140 accounting

01:16:12.620 company.

01:16:13.600 Do it.

01:16:14.100 And if

01:16:14.440 there's a

01:16:14.780 mistake,

01:16:15.940 well, that

01:16:17.260 would have

01:16:17.440 been on

01:16:17.720 them.

01:16:18.320 Now, you're

01:16:18.900 still responsible.

01:16:20.700 You're still

01:16:21.320 responsible, even

01:16:22.520 if you hired

01:16:23.240 accountants.

01:16:24.320 But the IRS is

01:16:25.400 going to look at

01:16:25.840 that and say,

01:16:26.300 oh, okay, that's

01:16:27.220 actually a

01:16:27.700 reasonable defense.

01:16:29.140 So you still

01:16:30.040 might pay a

01:16:30.620 fine, but you're

01:16:31.460 not going to go

01:16:31.920 to jail if you

01:16:34.040 had professionals

01:16:34.860 giving you

01:16:35.400 advice and you

01:16:36.060 took the

01:16:36.380 advice and you

01:16:37.860 wouldn't have

01:16:38.160 known any

01:16:38.520 better.

01:16:38.760 So, clearly

01:16:41.740 Trump was not

01:16:42.700 trying to

01:16:43.240 conquer the

01:16:43.860 country with

01:16:44.460 paperwork.

01:16:45.520 Clearly he was

01:16:46.160 not trying to

01:16:46.880 conquer it with

01:16:48.260 any force because

01:16:49.580 none of them

01:16:50.220 were even in

01:16:50.960 the galaxy of

01:16:53.480 anything that

01:16:54.060 could have

01:16:54.360 worked or

01:16:54.840 anybody would

01:16:55.400 have thought

01:16:55.720 it worked.

01:16:56.840 They only

01:16:57.360 had the only

01:16:58.620 thing that

01:16:59.100 could have

01:16:59.500 worked is

01:16:59.980 exactly what

01:17:00.660 they said

01:17:01.100 they were

01:17:01.380 doing, trying

01:17:02.720 to cause a

01:17:03.400 pause to

01:17:04.720 look more

01:17:05.140 clearly to

01:17:06.220 make sure the

01:17:06.720 election had

01:17:07.220 not been

01:17:07.600 stolen.

01:17:08.760 Now, part

01:17:10.160 of the

01:17:10.340 complaint about

01:17:10.860 Trump is

01:17:11.380 that the

01:17:12.360 Democrats

01:17:12.820 continually say

01:17:13.880 he knows

01:17:14.980 he lost.

01:17:16.600 That's not

01:17:18.340 smart.

01:17:21.040 It is

01:17:21.780 stupid.

01:17:22.560 It's just

01:17:22.940 stupid to

01:17:24.080 think that

01:17:24.500 anybody knows

01:17:25.120 who won or

01:17:25.560 lost our

01:17:25.980 elections.

01:17:26.680 We don't

01:17:27.240 have that

01:17:27.760 kind of

01:17:28.140 system.

01:17:29.140 We don't

01:17:29.620 have a

01:17:29.940 system where

01:17:30.400 you can

01:17:30.700 audit it

01:17:31.280 instantly and

01:17:32.180 know who

01:17:32.560 voted.

01:17:33.160 You don't

01:17:33.500 know how

01:17:33.740 many mail-in

01:17:34.280 ballots were

01:17:34.880 dropped in

01:17:35.840 the garbage

01:17:36.540 by the mail,

01:17:37.580 the post

01:17:38.120 office.

01:17:38.760 There's a

01:17:39.200 whole bunch

01:17:39.700 of stuff

01:17:40.100 you can't

01:17:40.620 check.

01:17:42.240 To say

01:17:43.200 that Trump

01:17:43.620 knew he

01:17:44.260 lost isn't

01:17:46.240 just wrong,

01:17:46.860 it's stupid.

01:17:48.300 It would be

01:17:48.740 a complete

01:17:49.320 misunderstanding

01:17:49.980 of our

01:17:50.720 entire

01:17:51.080 election

01:17:51.420 system.

01:17:52.980 You have

01:17:55.520 to mind

01:17:56.000 read that

01:17:57.300 he knew

01:17:58.020 he lost

01:17:58.700 for any

01:17:59.340 of this

01:17:59.600 to work.

01:18:00.820 Yet, you

01:18:01.180 look at the

01:18:01.680 public and

01:18:02.700 the Republicans,

01:18:03.320 and I

01:18:04.300 don't know

01:18:04.500 what the

01:18:04.700 number is,

01:18:05.160 but maybe

01:18:05.660 half,

01:18:07.480 maybe a

01:18:08.120 third or

01:18:08.640 half of

01:18:09.080 all Republicans

01:18:09.660 think the

01:18:10.240 2020 election

01:18:11.020 was rigged.

01:18:12.520 It's a big

01:18:13.240 number.

01:18:14.940 So if that

01:18:16.720 much of the

01:18:17.300 public believes

01:18:18.060 it was rigged,

01:18:19.560 is it a

01:18:20.260 stretch to

01:18:20.960 think that the

01:18:21.460 person who

01:18:21.920 lost at the

01:18:23.300 last minute

01:18:23.840 with these

01:18:24.300 sketchy

01:18:25.900 increases in

01:18:26.900 votes at the

01:18:27.440 last minute

01:18:27.820 for Biden,

01:18:28.300 you really

01:18:29.140 don't think

01:18:29.740 that he

01:18:30.060 believes it

01:18:30.540 was stolen?

01:18:31.920 In fact,

01:18:32.840 there's almost

01:18:33.700 nothing that

01:18:34.780 I'm more

01:18:35.180 certain of

01:18:35.900 than the

01:18:36.740 fact that

01:18:37.200 Trump believes

01:18:38.140 it was

01:18:39.360 stolen.

01:18:40.120 Now, that's

01:18:40.680 different from

01:18:41.160 me saying it

01:18:41.700 was, because

01:18:42.500 I don't have

01:18:42.940 proof it was

01:18:43.500 stolen or not.

01:18:44.600 So I don't

01:18:45.620 assert that I

01:18:46.300 know that.

01:18:47.120 But I'm

01:18:48.060 really confident

01:18:48.860 that he

01:18:50.120 thinks it

01:18:50.540 was stolen.

01:18:51.580 I'm very

01:18:52.240 confident of

01:18:52.800 that.

01:18:54.880 So anyway,

01:18:55.700 I don't know

01:18:56.400 where Jason

01:18:57.820 and I would

01:18:58.240 have any

01:18:58.600 disagreements.

01:18:59.740 He might

01:19:00.560 frame it

01:19:01.380 differently or

01:19:01.980 characterize it

01:19:02.680 differently, but

01:19:03.240 on the facts,

01:19:04.360 I think we

01:19:04.900 have the same

01:19:05.320 facts now.

01:19:06.620 And I don't

01:19:07.220 think he would

01:19:07.840 argue with me

01:19:08.560 about mind

01:19:10.220 reading Trump,

01:19:11.700 you know,

01:19:12.320 because people

01:19:13.120 are innocent

01:19:13.600 until proven

01:19:14.160 guilty.

01:19:15.220 So if

01:19:15.640 somebody does

01:19:16.300 things which

01:19:16.860 are completely

01:19:17.520 consistent with

01:19:18.820 being innocent,

01:19:19.860 but also

01:19:21.180 there's a

01:19:22.060 narrative where

01:19:23.000 that same

01:19:23.580 set of facts

01:19:24.360 would be

01:19:25.260 consistent with

01:19:25.980 somebody who

01:19:26.480 had done

01:19:26.880 something bad,

01:19:27.520 they're still

01:19:29.960 innocent.

01:19:31.180 That's how

01:19:31.860 it works.

01:19:33.580 If there are

01:19:34.360 two stories

01:19:35.120 and one is

01:19:36.220 perfectly consistent

01:19:37.420 with no crime

01:19:38.300 whatsoever,

01:19:39.580 but yet the

01:19:40.680 same facts

01:19:41.260 could have

01:19:41.800 happened if

01:19:42.820 there was a

01:19:43.360 crime,

01:19:44.160 that's

01:19:44.860 innocent.

01:19:46.160 And it's

01:19:47.500 worth noting

01:19:48.100 that he's

01:19:48.520 never been

01:19:48.980 charged with

01:19:49.660 or convicted

01:19:50.280 of insurrection.

01:19:51.800 he's been

01:19:55.180 indicted for

01:19:56.500 93 crimes

01:19:58.420 that were

01:19:59.500 so weak

01:20:00.420 that even

01:20:02.080 Democrats

01:20:02.660 thought it

01:20:03.040 was lawfare.

01:20:05.240 Just think

01:20:06.380 about this.

01:20:07.320 93

01:20:08.000 indictments

01:20:09.780 for things

01:20:11.700 that were

01:20:11.940 so ridiculously

01:20:12.760 weak and

01:20:13.540 sketchy that

01:20:14.180 he'll probably

01:20:14.720 not have to

01:20:16.160 spend any

01:20:16.560 time in

01:20:16.980 court and

01:20:17.500 probably all

01:20:18.640 of it will

01:20:18.980 be overthrown

01:20:19.780 in higher

01:20:20.180 courts that

01:20:20.740 can be taken

01:20:21.300 to higher

01:20:21.680 courts.

01:20:22.860 So we know

01:20:23.700 that they

01:20:24.020 would charge

01:20:24.480 him with

01:20:24.900 anything that

01:20:26.640 they thought

01:20:27.020 could stick,

01:20:28.100 but they

01:20:29.620 didn't try

01:20:30.000 insurrection.

01:20:32.080 The one

01:20:33.020 that was most

01:20:33.780 important to

01:20:34.540 their entire

01:20:35.060 narrative about

01:20:35.820 him, that's

01:20:36.820 the only one

01:20:37.220 they decided

01:20:37.740 not to

01:20:38.160 pursue after

01:20:39.700 the January

01:20:40.240 6th thing

01:20:41.020 did all

01:20:41.440 this evidence.

01:20:45.840 So I

01:20:47.200 feel like,

01:20:48.140 Jason, if

01:20:49.720 you're watching,

01:20:50.260 you probably

01:20:50.580 will be

01:20:50.960 watching because

01:20:51.600 somebody will

01:20:52.040 say, hey,

01:20:52.680 he talked

01:20:53.080 about you,

01:20:53.660 so if you

01:20:54.040 miss it,

01:20:54.920 I'm pretty

01:20:55.260 sure you'll

01:20:55.680 catch up

01:20:56.200 with it.

01:20:57.760 I'd love

01:20:58.340 to know if

01:21:00.140 we disagree

01:21:01.000 on any

01:21:01.480 facts, first

01:21:02.540 of all, and

01:21:04.160 then given

01:21:04.920 those facts,

01:21:05.820 would you

01:21:06.200 agree that it

01:21:07.000 would be

01:21:07.320 completely

01:21:07.820 consistent

01:21:08.440 with, he

01:21:10.880 secretly in

01:21:11.700 his mind,

01:21:13.140 knew that he

01:21:13.980 lost or

01:21:15.040 thought he

01:21:15.400 lost, but

01:21:15.920 he was trying

01:21:16.260 to get away

01:21:16.660 with something,

01:21:17.160 but he

01:21:18.380 was also

01:21:18.840 100%

01:21:19.680 consistent

01:21:20.180 with somebody

01:21:20.940 who really

01:21:21.560 thought the

01:21:21.940 election was

01:21:22.460 rigged and

01:21:23.520 thought his

01:21:24.240 lawyers had

01:21:25.200 given him

01:21:25.640 good enough

01:21:26.320 advice that

01:21:27.860 he had some

01:21:28.580 kind of

01:21:29.140 unlikely but

01:21:30.140 possible path

01:21:31.180 to maybe find

01:21:32.820 out what

01:21:33.180 happened in

01:21:33.880 time to

01:21:34.520 improve the

01:21:36.020 result and

01:21:36.980 save the

01:21:38.140 country from

01:21:38.620 a stolen

01:21:39.060 election.

01:21:39.580 If the

01:21:41.660 facts support

01:21:42.520 both

01:21:43.040 narratives, you

01:21:45.580 have to pick

01:21:46.000 the innocent.

01:21:47.160 That's where

01:21:48.040 we are.

01:21:49.140 Now, I

01:21:49.440 believe the

01:21:49.780 innocent one

01:21:50.440 is the true

01:21:50.980 one, but

01:21:52.840 even if I

01:21:53.640 didn't, I'm

01:21:56.120 going to be

01:21:56.420 consistent.

01:21:57.080 You're

01:21:57.500 innocent, and

01:21:58.600 if they don't

01:21:59.040 even charge

01:21:59.680 you with the

01:22:00.160 crime, they

01:22:01.060 don't even

01:22:01.380 have enough

01:22:01.800 to get,

01:22:02.680 you know,

01:22:02.920 they always

01:22:03.480 say you

01:22:03.800 can indict

01:22:04.440 a ham

01:22:05.580 sandwich, so

01:22:07.040 clearly if

01:22:07.820 they had any

01:22:08.340 evidence they

01:22:09.200 could indict

01:22:09.660 him, so

01:22:10.440 obviously

01:22:10.880 there's not.

01:22:13.040 Anyway,

01:22:13.740 Hezbollah is

01:22:14.260 trying to

01:22:14.640 decide whether

01:22:15.240 they want to

01:22:15.740 respond to

01:22:16.320 Israel or

01:22:17.020 look weak.

01:22:18.280 Those are

01:22:18.680 their two

01:22:19.000 choices now.

01:22:21.040 I saw

01:22:21.580 somebody say

01:22:22.080 that Netanyahu

01:22:22.900 had ordered

01:22:24.380 quote, full

01:22:25.640 force in

01:22:26.380 Lebanon, despite

01:22:27.740 the U.S.

01:22:28.480 trying to tell

01:22:29.200 them to pull

01:22:29.740 back.

01:22:30.640 Now, I

01:22:30.900 think the

01:22:31.220 U.S.'s job

01:22:32.580 is to act

01:22:33.160 like we're

01:22:33.620 trying to

01:22:34.060 make peace.

01:22:35.340 Well, actually,

01:22:36.760 of course,

01:22:37.700 probably secretly

01:22:38.460 being on

01:22:39.080 Israel's side

01:22:40.680 and wanting

01:22:41.260 them to

01:22:41.600 do as

01:22:42.080 much damage

01:22:42.640 as they

01:22:43.020 can to

01:22:43.360 the

01:22:43.620 terrorists.

01:22:45.200 So the

01:22:45.800 U.S. is

01:22:46.240 playing this

01:22:46.700 game like,

01:22:47.380 oh, we're

01:22:47.760 the peace

01:22:48.360 keepers, but

01:22:50.420 they're not

01:22:50.960 really too

01:22:51.460 relevant to

01:22:52.060 Israel's

01:22:52.580 decisions.

01:22:53.720 I remind

01:22:54.440 you that I

01:22:54.940 do not

01:22:55.380 back Israel

01:22:56.140 because they

01:22:57.780 don't back

01:22:58.280 me.

01:22:59.540 Does

01:22:59.980 everybody

01:23:00.280 understand

01:23:00.720 that?

01:23:01.520 When I

01:23:01.980 talk about

01:23:02.420 Israel, I'm

01:23:03.140 just going to

01:23:03.620 observe, and

01:23:05.260 I'm going to

01:23:05.540 say stuff like,

01:23:06.360 well, if that

01:23:06.860 were us, that's

01:23:07.560 what we do

01:23:08.120 because that's

01:23:08.960 just an

01:23:09.720 observation, but

01:23:11.480 I don't back

01:23:12.140 them.

01:23:13.280 First of all, I'm

01:23:14.700 American, and I

01:23:17.020 back America, and

01:23:18.620 that's it.

01:23:19.640 I don't back any

01:23:20.400 other country, even

01:23:21.420 allies.

01:23:23.520 And we can call

01:23:26.080 them allies, and I

01:23:27.140 think they're important

01:23:27.820 allies, and we

01:23:28.480 should stay allies,

01:23:29.620 but don't ask me to

01:23:31.500 back the country.

01:23:33.700 That's not my job.

01:23:34.840 They're doing

01:23:35.660 fine.

01:23:37.040 And I simply

01:23:39.280 note that if I

01:23:41.920 were Israel, I

01:23:42.920 would say there's

01:23:43.680 probably never a

01:23:44.580 better time to go

01:23:45.560 full force at

01:23:46.840 Hezbollah because

01:23:48.420 the sort of the

01:23:50.260 zeitgeist and the

01:23:51.640 opportunity and the

01:23:52.760 fact that they're

01:23:53.300 currently weakened,

01:23:54.540 and it's not that

01:23:56.100 far from the

01:23:56.680 October 7th event,

01:23:58.040 so you've got all

01:23:58.600 the justifications,

01:23:59.780 they've sent

01:24:00.160 rockets your way.

01:24:01.860 You have

01:24:02.560 everything you

01:24:03.420 need now that

01:24:04.780 Gaza's kind of

01:24:05.540 under control.

01:24:08.720 It would be

01:24:09.480 amazing, well,

01:24:11.520 probably amazingly

01:24:12.320 stupid, if they

01:24:14.020 didn't just try to

01:24:15.000 grind Hezbollah

01:24:15.740 into dust while

01:24:16.660 they have the

01:24:17.020 chance.

01:24:17.880 And again, I'm

01:24:19.320 not recommending

01:24:20.000 it.

01:24:20.860 I'm saying if you

01:24:22.000 were in that

01:24:22.460 situation, you'd be

01:24:24.240 saying, well, if we

01:24:26.360 think we're ever

01:24:27.000 going to fight

01:24:27.460 these guys, why

01:24:29.180 wait?

01:24:30.580 Waiting just

01:24:31.380 makes them

01:24:31.800 stronger.

01:24:32.220 So I think

01:24:33.880 it's inevitable

01:24:34.460 that Israel's

01:24:35.660 going to go

01:24:36.140 harder than

01:24:36.860 people wanted

01:24:37.420 them to go

01:24:38.100 against Hezbollah.

01:24:41.240 But I don't

01:24:42.160 back Israel

01:24:43.060 because they

01:24:43.660 don't back

01:24:44.120 me.

01:24:46.380 Reciprocity, I

01:24:47.120 demand it.

01:24:48.140 And by the way,

01:24:49.180 Israel could

01:24:49.800 back me by

01:24:50.760 denouncing the

01:24:51.720 ADL, which

01:24:53.100 has nothing to

01:24:53.740 do with Israel,

01:24:54.660 but they could

01:24:55.400 still back me.

01:24:57.560 If they did, it

01:24:58.460 might change my

01:24:59.040 mind.

01:24:59.300 Not that I

01:25:00.900 care one way

01:25:01.940 or the other.

01:25:02.400 It's not

01:25:02.680 important.

01:25:03.880 All right, that's

01:25:04.360 all I got for

01:25:04.800 you.

01:25:05.220 I'm going to go

01:25:05.760 talk to the

01:25:06.400 locals people

01:25:07.120 privately.

01:25:08.380 Thanks for

01:25:08.820 joining.

01:25:10.120 And I'll see

01:25:10.620 the rest of

01:25:11.040 you same time,

01:25:12.080 same place

01:25:12.700 tomorrow.

01:25:13.960 Locals coming

01:25:14.700 at you.

01:25:15.060 Yeah.

01:25:15.200 Yeah.

01:25:15.260 Yeah.

01:25:15.300 Yeah.

01:25:15.360 Yeah.

01:25:15.400 Yeah.

01:25:15.440 Yeah.

01:25:17.360 Yeah.

01:25:17.400 Yeah.

01:25:17.440 Yeah.

01:25:17.480 Yeah.

01:25:17.500 Yeah.

01:25:17.520 Yeah.

01:25:17.540 Yeah.

01:25:17.560 Yeah.

01:25:17.600 Yeah.

01:25:17.620 Yeah.

01:25:17.720 Yeah.

01:25:18.060 Yeah.

01:25:18.120 Yeah.

01:25:18.660 Yeah.

01:25:19.380 Yeah.

01:25:19.560 Yeah.

01:25:19.580 Yeah.

01:25:19.600 Yeah.

01:25:21.520 Yeah.

01:25:21.560 Yeah.

01:25:23.560 Yeah.

01:25:25.520 Yeah.

01:25:25.540 Yeah.

01:25:48.380 Yeah.

01:25:49.500 Yeah.

01:25:51.620 Yeah.

01:25:52.140 Yeah.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 26, 2024

Episode 2609 CWSA 09⧸26⧸24

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