Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2612 CWSA 09⧸29⧸24

00:00:00.000 days

00:00:00.480 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

00:00:17.320 it's called coffee with scott adams and uh one of my streams is not working today

00:00:23.040 but i think we're doing fine on rumble and youtube and x uh those of you who are coming over from

00:00:31.200 the locals platform looks like it's got a little glitch this morning but everything else is working

00:00:36.000 fine and if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand with

00:00:41.160 their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass a tank of chalice 0.77

00:00:46.720 is dying a canteen jug of flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:54.440 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure dopamines end of the day the thing that makes

00:01:00.400 everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:01:05.300 ah so good you know i feel bad for all those podcasters who take sundays off

00:01:18.780 and they don't get to enjoy this experience the best thing ever

00:01:23.620 and did you know it's national coffee day that's right today is national coffee day

00:01:32.120 so if there were if ever there was a day to enjoy it that's today anyway uh scott presler is saying

00:01:40.680 that there are about 20 000 amish people in pennsylvania who could really use a visit by trump

00:01:47.680 i think you i think scott's suggesting a rally but i would suggest not a rally i don't think you want to

00:01:57.280 do a rally with the amish i think you want to just um stop on main street talk to a bunch of locals

00:02:06.260 and find out what they care about make your pitch and if there are only 20 000 amish

00:02:12.060 and the president of the united states stops near main street without warning and just starts talking

00:02:18.340 to people everybody's gonna know i think it would be actually more effective to just go in person

00:02:27.280 be there physically talk to a bunch of people for an hour and word will get around that might be enough

00:02:35.000 to swing the state and swing the election and change civilization so amish it's up to you guys

00:02:43.420 the fate of civilization comes down to the people who have no technology maybe that's perfect maybe 1.00

00:02:52.500 that's the way it's supposed to be

00:02:53.720 well anyway there's a lot of uh polling that shows that trump is preferred in policies and capability on

00:03:05.780 the big stuff you know like borders and economies and wars but um harris is still preferred on the

00:03:13.180 character level

00:03:14.780 and i feel like what we need to remind people is that sometimes you need dirty harry

00:03:23.860 and sometimes you need mary poppins it really depends what your problem is

00:03:29.920 if your problem is you need some babysitting mary poppins i would not get dirty harry

00:03:36.320 which is based on a movie in case you're in case you're too young you don't know there's a movie

00:03:40.820 with clint eastwood he plays dirty harry a cop who wants to do the right things but sometimes he

00:03:47.160 breaks the rules he breaks the rules so that's like trump so do we have problems in this country

00:03:54.800 that are the dirty harry kind of problems where the thing that really matters is you solve the

00:04:00.260 problems it doesn't really matter about the personality of the person solving the problems

00:04:05.500 or is it more of a what sure would be nice if we had a babysitter and then you get mary poppins

00:04:12.900 you don't really need the one with the gun for that so i would argue that we're in dirty harry

00:04:18.700 mode in the country we're not in mary poppins mode and so vote accordingly get yourself a dirty harry

00:04:26.360 we need one um i just saw on a post on x from uh joel pollack that uh apparently lindsey graham

00:04:36.940 just appeared on jake tapper's show on cnn and referred to uh i think this is literally true

00:04:44.040 referred to kamala harris's uh policies as quote batshit crazy 0.94

00:04:49.880 i guess trump uh said that kamala harris uh he said that biden became impaired

00:05:00.120 but kamala harris was born that way she was born impaired 0.90

00:05:05.900 and so of course jake tapper has to ask a republican to speak to that

00:05:11.780 and lindsey graham should he just says her policies are batshit crazy 1.00

00:05:17.180 now i hope he actually used the literal term batshit crazy because you know that's one of my

00:05:24.260 all-time favorites so i've been using it a lot and and i would say that when we're looking at the

00:05:31.940 harris versus trump policies there's lots about the trump policies that you might choose to not like

00:05:39.200 but they're not batshit crazy they're perfectly normal things that we've done through the you

00:05:46.920 know the entire history of the republic protect the border for example and her policies are literally

00:05:54.520 batshit crazy and i object to treating them as their different policy proposals they're not different 0.65

00:06:03.160 policy proposals one is a set of policies that you might like you might not that's trump 0.99

00:06:09.680 but one of them is just batshit crazy it's shit that you shouldn't even consider it barely it looks 0.97

00:06:16.760 like a policy you don't even know what what her policy is half the time because she's flip-flopping 1.00

00:06:21.800 so yeah we should get out of that model that's a competing policies it doesn't feel like that

00:06:28.780 all right remember i keep telling you that uh the movie that we're in requires a kraken

00:06:35.740 for trump to have a proper third act experience you know like a movie has a third act where you get out

00:06:42.560 of the the deepest hole and you you somehow prevail in the end like a movie he needs some kind of kraken

00:06:51.000 some kind of evidence that elections have been bad in the past that would really put him over the top

00:07:00.600 i think well here's something interesting um apparently the federal ninth circuit

00:07:08.140 and uh the supreme court will be presented in uh georgia what what's the federal ninth circuit and

00:07:17.560 i don't know what that means but anyway there's an appellate court i guess if that's the right word

00:07:25.000 that's looking at the claims from cary lake and uh the maricopa situation that the dominion machines

00:07:33.640 uh among other problems but specifically that it did not protect its encrypted keys

00:07:40.920 so the so-called encryption keys on the dominion machines allegedly i don't personally know but

00:07:49.560 allegedly they were in plain text instead of encrypted as there was some commitment to do contractually

00:07:57.320 so i don't know what it would mean if the court agreed and i don't know how they could lose the case

00:08:06.200 because they're going to show screenshots of the encryption keys in plain text

00:08:12.440 so i don't think i don't think the defense is going to look at the plain text and say oh but it is

00:08:17.960 encrypted look at it and then everybody's going to say i'm just reading it it's in plain text oh no it's

00:08:24.680 not it's encrypted but what exactly would be the defense how could you defend against a screenshot

00:08:31.640 now i'm just guessing there's a screenshot it seems like likely there would be um so we'll see now if

00:08:38.840 it's like every other major kraken we expected it won't pan out so so far dominion has a real good

00:08:47.160 record of winning in these court cases but this one certainly looks different than the others

00:08:52.520 because the claim seems so insanely provable but i also don't know what it means if it is proven

00:09:02.040 is the remedy just uh well go fix that next time it's not like we're going to go back in time and

00:09:08.600 change any of our elections i don't think anybody's going to jail so what would it even mean if we found

00:09:15.160 out that the machines in the past the last election had some encryption you know failure

00:09:24.440 so i don't know but certainly it would change the news cycle if you know if we believe that the news

00:09:31.080 would cover the actual news um so we'll see keep an eye on that well uh i think it's tuesday that waltz

00:09:40.360 and vance are going to have their vp debate the only one and uh cnn is reporting that tim waltz is all

00:09:47.320 nervous and that he doesn't want to let down kamal harris and he thinks he's a bad debater do you think

00:09:55.400 tim waltz believes he's a bad debater uh cnn reporting it and uh so there are reports that he's just super

00:10:05.000 super nervous about going into the debate um now vance i think would be top five percent of debaters i think

00:10:14.360 he'd be one of the the best ones we've ever seen i think everything's working here your comments are

00:10:21.800 a little bit slow on this platform but here they are all right looking good all right so uh

00:10:31.000 so let's say he's uh real nervous so he's going to be using some advice uh obviously tim also be

00:10:38.840 prepared lots of preparation i'm sure he'll do a good job of preparation and don't you

00:10:44.280 expect that since it's vance there will be at least two waves of cat related attacks 0.91

00:10:51.480 so tim waltz will probably come with the haitian eating the cats thing oh he's such a racist he 0.65

00:10:59.080 says that the haitians are eating cats right we'd expect that that would be very you know very easy 1.00

00:11:05.160 to predict we would also expect that tim waltz would say something about um vance's past comment

00:11:13.000 about single cat ladies so the the single cat owning women being the dominant part of the democrat 0.91

00:11:20.520 party is something that vance has said so there are two attacks on vance that weirdly are cat related

00:11:29.240 also they're not really important so what happens if vance if waltz comes up with some cat related

00:11:38.520 attacks what should vance do well i'm going to give you some persuasion tips today here's what i would

00:11:46.600 do uh let's say and i i posted this so if anybody in the campaign sees that they would have the option

00:11:54.040 of borrowing it but suppose uh wall says something like blah blah blah you know you said the haitians 0.53

00:12:01.880 reading cats or blah blah blah you said single cat ladies here would be a good vance reply 1.00

00:12:09.800 quote it's not a quote yet but you can imagine it would be uh the public knows a trump administration

00:12:16.840 will perform best at protecting the border growing the economy and avoiding war they also know that a

00:12:23.240 harris waltz team would excel at cat related rhetoric and i think we can concede that

00:12:28.600 and we're done if waltz brings up anything involving cats the kill shot is to say yeah you know we're good

00:12:41.240 on the economy the border and avoiding wars but i have to agree when it comes to talking about anything

00:12:47.720 about cats that other team is much better done just done well once once the harris waltz team realizes

00:13:01.000 that if they talk about cats while the other team is talking about rescuing america from doom

00:13:08.600 the cat people aren't going to win so yes if you'd like to talk about cats i'm going to agree you're

00:13:14.200 better at talking about cats who's better at talking about the border you know whose tax plan do you

00:13:19.880 like better it's it's basically a total kill shot if they bring up cats all right according to the

00:13:27.880 post-millennial here's a story that i believe because it agrees with my observations doesn't mean

00:13:36.520 the data is always correct but when it agrees with me i embrace it

00:13:41.640 so uh apparently voters at the earliest age you can vote from 18 to 24 are identifying more as

00:13:49.960 conservative than liberal according to a harvard youth poll now that would be a big big change

00:13:58.920 if the youngest people are more conservative than liberal and by the way i have observed that

00:14:05.880 so you know just based on my anecdotal life experience even in blue california northern

00:14:12.280 california it does seem to me every time i hear from you know young people that there's way more

00:14:20.200 conservatives than you would expect at that age don't know why it might be a trump effect it could be

00:14:25.640 just i don't know maybe it's the easiest way to be rebellious these days i'm not sure what's behind it

00:14:31.080 but the the age a little bit above that is still more liberal so young people

00:14:38.760 who are a little bit older than the youngest of the young people still more liberal than conservative

00:14:46.600 well there's a lot of talk on social media about uh tim waltz being uh let's say

00:14:52.280 uh an interesting person the way he moves his body uh i don't know if you know but i've been studying

00:14:59.880 tim waltz and he is and let me start by saying this if you've been watching me a long time you know 0.80

00:15:07.240 you know i love the lgbtq community and uh i'd love to have a gay president or a gay vice president

00:15:15.000 i think we probably had several we just didn't know it uh doesn't mean anything to me you can do

00:15:20.360 whatever you want your free time but i i just don't have any interest whatsoever in anybody's sexuality

00:15:26.760 so i don't care what you are but it's part of the story and the part of the story is that tim waltz is

00:15:33.400 very flamboyant it doesn't mean he's gay it just means that his physical emotions uh remind us of 0.98

00:15:44.120 richard simmons more than they remind you of out of mike tyson or dana white or somebody

00:15:51.880 and i've been studying his motions and i want to show you all the tim waltz emotions we've got the

00:15:58.200 one hand up we've got the other hand up we've got the two hands up

00:16:08.280 and then we've got the claps like a seal have you seen claps like a seal

00:16:13.320 puts the elbows together ends up that's not even clapping clapping is like this

00:16:20.440 clapping like a seal is like that and then he does the uh the limp wrist and then the point

00:16:28.600 so the point you know the point is obvious it's just this but he likes to do the limp wrist when he

00:16:34.280 does the point so limp wrist point and then he does the open palms where he goes so if you put it all

00:16:43.880 together

00:16:47.480 put it all together you got

00:16:48.840 the point

00:16:57.160 the pointing and then

00:17:06.840 so that's that story you're tim waltz

00:17:08.760 yeah it's probably more than you needed meanwhile msnbc is doing this hilarious attempt to uh add some 0.89

00:17:21.000 testicles to uh waltz and they're trying to redefine masculinity so they're redefining masculinity so that 0.78

00:17:29.640 what it really means if you're an msnbc watcher real masculinity is being able to support a powerful 0.83

00:17:36.760 woman and being both sensitive and flamboyant and if you can do those things you're a man at least on msnbc

00:17:47.000 all right so are you having this situation that i'm having i'm experiencing a thing

00:17:56.600 and the thing i'm experiencing is that every story reminds me of a ditty party

00:18:04.040 is that just me all the stories makes me think of ditty so it doesn't even matter what it is so

00:18:12.200 there's a story in science now that uh according to the washington post there might be a low-tech

00:18:18.760 solution for storing carbon and uh it involves putting your log in a hole

00:18:29.640 why does every story just remind me of a ditty party i don't know but apparently if you bury your wood

00:18:36.840 in a hole and keep it there you can sequester some carbon in that hole so bury your wood in a hole

00:18:47.080 that's my recommendation well according to sci blog uh-oh science is racist

00:18:58.280 you know i wish science would not be so racist but listen to this

00:19:03.880 this apparently they say that vitamin d deficiency can lower the iq of a child or to put it in more

00:19:13.240 positive terms the higher your vitamin d level of the mother of the of the mother i believe

00:19:20.760 the higher the iq of the child now the first question you might ask is is that data

00:19:26.920 real or bs well it could be a correlation as opposed to a causation meaning that maybe the

00:19:34.920 people who get the most vitamin d are also the people who just make sure they do everything else

00:19:40.440 right if you did everything else right because you're just one of those people who says what do

00:19:45.880 i need to do vitamin d okay i'll do it what do i need to do uh eat less uh sugar okay i'll do it what

00:19:53.080 do i need to do eat uh drink less alcohol when i'm pregnant absolutely what do i need to do quit

00:19:59.480 smoking if i'm pregnant done so i suspect that there's a really high correlation between people

00:20:07.320 who supplement their vitamin d and people who do everything right so i would be one of those examples

00:20:15.400 right i supplement my vitamin d but i also have a lifestyle in which that would be normal for me

00:20:23.000 because i've got a you know clean diet and i exercise and i don't drink alcohol and i don't

00:20:28.120 smoke cigarettes and you know so i don't know that vitamin d is a cause of anybody's higher iq but

00:20:37.800 we do know that vitamin d seems to be uh implicated in a whole range of things that are important

00:20:44.840 for a human to operate so it wouldn't be a surprise if it turns out that it's causation and not

00:20:50.920 just correlation but you have to watch out for the correlation aspect however here's where it gets

00:20:57.080 all racist uh they threw this in the mix in this story that uh black pregnant mothers uh have less

00:21:07.960 vitamin d now some of that is just because the melatonin or the pigment of the skin so you absorb less sun

00:21:15.640 so just less efficient and absorbing and maybe a little less likely to supplement with vitamin d

00:21:22.200 i'm sure there's an income related correlation to that so according to science

00:21:29.000 the black babies would be lower iq and you could predict that based on the lower vitamin d 1.00

00:21:39.480 of the mothers now i don't think i'm buying this completely

00:21:46.360 it does seem like it's a good idea to supplement your vitamin d but i think that's as far as i'm going

00:21:51.560 on this one um and i'm a little surprised i went there but here's my reframing persuasion play and

00:22:00.920 i'll give you a little bit more of this on another story

00:22:07.320 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:22:11.800 learn more at scotia bank.com banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:22:18.840 here's what i care about i care about individuals so if there's an individual who needs some help

00:22:28.360 i'm all in can i help you're like a person especially if you're an american person american

00:22:35.480 hey i'm american too the rest doesn't matter i don't care about your sex or your religion or your

00:22:42.600 or your gender or your race i'm happy to help but here's what i'm not interested in 0.99

00:22:51.320 the average of people who look like you i don't care i don't care if the average of people that

00:22:59.320 you've decided to put in some group is doing better or worse than the average of some people that you

00:23:04.840 decided to put in a group why should i care about that then you say but but there's been systemic

00:23:11.560 racism for centuries and then i'd say i agree but why should i care well because it makes a big

00:23:20.520 difference and this one group is identifiably doing worse because of all these systemic racism

00:23:26.920 true but you didn't answer my question why should i care you just told me why they should care

00:23:34.200 if it were me i'd care but why should i care well because you did well and people look like

00:23:42.760 you did well and other people didn't do well and it's because of the system so you need to fix that

00:23:51.000 to which i say why you didn't give me a reason what's the connecting logic to that i understand

00:23:57.640 other people have problems how does that affect me well people who look like you were guilty of it and

00:24:04.200 and maybe you got some benefits from looking the way you were okay suppose i accept all that is true

00:24:10.200 why do i care see if you if you can make people think past the sale to why you should care

00:24:19.800 then you're going to get them in this argument where they're going to decide whether systemic

00:24:24.040 racism exists or not it's easy to probably pretty easy to show it does and then the question is how

00:24:30.440 much money do you owe me because people who look like me who are not here had a bad time and some of

00:24:37.240 the ripple effect is coming into the future to which i say that's all true guess what your problems are

00:24:43.080 not special here's a list of my problems but but i didn't cause your problems well you did cause some

00:24:50.520 of them you did cause some of them but i'm not complaining about that i'm just saying my problems

00:24:56.680 mean a lot to me and i care about them a lot do you know what your problems mean to me

00:25:02.440 and an individual level i totally care as a group average i don't care i will never care about your group

00:25:10.600 average i will definitely care about you individually and i'll help if i can it's the only thing that

00:25:16.200 makes sense now can i find a story in the news that would be compatible with what i just said yes

00:25:23.800 apparently uh um the crown prince of saudi arabia a person you'd expect to be very interested in the

00:25:32.440 palestinian cause has said out loud and as clearly as he possibly can he's not concerned with the

00:25:39.720 palestinians just doesn't care and i said to myself oh my god he's as smart as i thought he was

00:25:49.560 because when the when the crown prince of saudi arabia got the job and and he seemed like a

00:25:55.800 deal maker and he seemed he just seemed like a different kind of character now i'm not going to

00:26:00.680 defend everything he's done you know if he chopped somebody up with a bone saw not depend not defending

00:26:06.840 it but it's also a different world so you know i'm neither i'm neither uh you know disavowing it or

00:26:17.560 defending it because you know there may be more to that whole bone saw story than we really know

00:26:22.920 but if you're just looking at is he a smart persuasive leader i think he's got the goods

00:26:32.200 he looks like he's got the goods and in my opinion that was exactly the right answer

00:26:37.080 what he should care about the palestinians is basically not it's just not his job and if anybody 0.96

00:26:44.680 tells him he should the question would be why well the palestinians have been they would say

00:26:51.640 abused for many years and then he would say i know but then why should i care well because history and

00:27:01.800 and also they're they're um they're muslim and you're muslim well right but i'm in charge of this country

00:27:09.080 i know but but the history and the bad treatment and their land and stuff right so why should i care

00:27:18.520 that's exactly the right the right answer is why should you care we really are completely busy taking

00:27:25.480 care of ourselves and i'm here to tell you that if you do a really good job of taking care of yourself

00:27:33.080 that's the best thing you can do for me it's probably the best thing you can do for anybody

00:27:38.120 because then at least you have some ability to take care of other people if you want to but take care

00:27:44.280 of yourself first meanwhile hillary has a book and uh it's a dana perino on the five saying she wishes

00:27:54.360 hillary wouldn't publish a book right around an election because she's out there calling republicans 1.00

00:28:01.320 deplorables again selling this book the book is called something lost something gained and they've 0.95

00:28:09.240 got of course a big picture of hillary clinton on the cover and she's got that democrat psychopath 1.00

00:28:15.720 smile you know the ones where the where the eyes and the mouth don't match it's it's that the no teeth

00:28:22.520 are shown and again i'll do the impression here would be my impression of a normal mentally healthy

00:28:29.080 person smiling yeah look at that that's my smile now i'm faking it but that even looks more there

00:28:38.120 here is a a psychopath pretending to be a person who smiles on the cover of hillary's book

00:28:46.360 yeah the psychopath closed lip smile that doesn't match the eyes so creepy

00:28:59.560 anyway apparently the book she says it's about friendship aging and marriage

00:29:04.200 okay well if i want to learn how to be a happy married person i think of hillary clinton

00:29:17.640 all right um apparently uh there are more students who want to go to college in

00:29:24.120 southern colleges and it's a pretty big shift instead of people wanting to go

00:29:28.920 to those nice old uh colleges in the northeast apparently the uh freer the freer life in the

00:29:39.640 south is uh attracting people i think it's an escape from wokeness so the wokeness is actually causing

00:29:47.960 you know the 18 to 24 year olds to be more conservative because they're rebelling against it

00:29:53.720 and also the uh college experience the young people are are just opting out of the wokeness

00:30:01.560 well meanwhile this is horrible there the uh hurricane just wiped out an entire town uh called

00:30:08.520 chimney rock uh looks like their entire main street got wiped away now i have to tell you that that hits

00:30:15.960 me a little harder than maybe it hits you because you're just thinking well it's a small town

00:30:22.040 if nobody got killed things happen but uh i i grew up in a small town and we lived on a hill

00:30:30.440 that happened to be just above the main street of my tiny little town windham new york the casco

00:30:35.800 mountains so very much a mountainous you know tree line kind of place just like this town that got wiped

00:30:42.040 away and we too had an experience with a flood now i recall it vividly even though i must have been

00:30:49.400 four or something i don't know i was really young and we were up on the hill and we looked into the

00:30:56.360 town because literally we're just on hill just above the town so we could see the cars drive by and see

00:31:02.920 people walking around they were that close and we saw people just taking stuff out of their houses and

00:31:09.000 throwing it in their cars like like they're running away from something and we're watching this and

00:31:15.080 you know we get on our binoculars and like um what do they know that we don't know

00:31:21.960 so suddenly we realized we better find out what they know because they're all packing up their 0.63

00:31:27.720 shit and they're really in a hurry and people are just like you can see the people just like running 0.68

00:31:33.080 for it and so we we drove uh just close enough to town to ask the first person what's going on 0.98

00:31:41.560 and they said the dam broke so there's a dam several miles away that broke and there was a wall of water

00:31:48.760 coming toward our town and we had a warning it was just a wall of water and they knew it was coming

00:31:56.200 the dam broke so we quickly went back to our hill and stood in front of our big window and in the

00:32:03.000 front and we watched a flood just bury my town now most of it recovered it wasn't it wasn't above the

00:32:11.720 roofs you know it was like i'm not sure how tall it might have been five maybe five feet of water and

00:32:18.840 some people's you know ground floors and stuff so it really wiped out you know most of the

00:32:24.360 the most of the living experience it took a while to recover but when i when i went to uh buy my own

00:32:33.400 house that i was going to live in forever the one i'm in now one of the first things i looked for

00:32:38.840 was can i get the higher ground because you get you get scarred by that if happens when you're little

00:32:46.680 i'm not going to die in the flood now the lightning might get me the fires the venezuelan gangs but i

00:32:56.200 don't want to be in that situation i watched the town in where they were running for their lives

00:33:01.560 because a wall of water was coming their way so i'm on a hill searchlight pictures presents the

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00:33:33.320 roses only in theaters august 29th get tickets now all right um apparently uh got some new york judges

00:33:43.160 they're looking at that according to the federalist there's a new york appellate court that's looking

00:33:48.200 at that attorney general letitia james case that trump had to pay 450 million in penalty because of a 0.99

00:33:56.440 loan that the bank liked and he paid back and everybody's happy and they'd love to do business

00:34:00.920 with him again but they say it inflated his assets on some paperwork which banks don't even look at

00:34:07.080 anyway they they don't pay attention to your paperwork when you put your own value on it they go check on

00:34:12.120 their own which they did so there was no victim in this crime nor any real chance there could have

00:34:18.360 been a victim because the process of the bank 100 of the time involves they go look themselves they

00:34:25.560 don't take your word for your asset value ever ever not once so there was no risk of anything

00:34:32.760 happening bad to anybody um and he's got to pay 450 million now obviously that's just lawfare and that

00:34:39.880 had nothing to do with what made sense in this case so um it might be interesting so i guess

00:34:47.880 there's some uh reporting that some of the judges might think it's kind of troubling the way that all

00:34:54.120 went down wouldn't that be interesting if that got reversed before the election i don't know if there's

00:35:01.240 time for that to happen but maybe maybe trump has said again that is rally quote if we win and when we

00:35:09.960 win we're going to prosecute people that cheat in this election and if we can we'll go back to the last

00:35:15.800 one too perfect yeah trump should be saying out loud and often that if you cheat in this election you're

00:35:25.080 going to jail and he started saying it now given that people think that it's at least a coin flip

00:35:31.880 whether he'll be president would you cheat in the election if you thought there was a 50 chance that

00:35:38.280 the person who won is going to come for you if you get caught it should reduce the amount of cheating

00:35:46.040 which is why he does it he's doing it to reduce the amount of cheating it should work all right um

00:35:54.920 meanwhile the department of justice this is one of those stories that tells you everything you need

00:35:59.640 to know did you have any questions about whether the democrats plan to rig the election maybe in ways

00:36:08.840 that are totally legal but still you would look at him and say hmm looks like you rigged that election

00:36:14.920 not in an illegal way but you still rigged it here's an example so the department of justice sued the state

00:36:21.960 of alabama and its top election official and they say that the problem is that the state of alabama

00:36:29.000 removed voters from the voting rolls um that were not eligible to vote

00:36:36.200 so they got sued let me say it again the state of alabama wanted to remove people from the voting

00:36:46.760 laws rule roles that didn't belong there and the department of justice is suing them under a 0.95

00:36:52.840 technicality because they're not supposed to change the voting rules within 90 days of the election but they

00:36:58.760 they did it within 84 days so it's something that's so desirable it's written into the law

00:37:06.440 that you can do it because everybody thinks it would be good to clean up the voter rolls but you have to

00:37:13.320 do it within 90 days which i can kind of see makes sense you know in case there's any challenge to it you've

00:37:19.320 got time to look at the challenges but do you think that they should be sued for doing it within 84 days

00:37:26.920 instead of 90 because you know 90 was a little bit arbitrarily chosen

00:37:32.040 it's not like something happens after the 90th day if 84 days looks like well that's looks good enough

00:37:41.880 that's what the courts should have said the courts should say uh or the department of justice should 0.99

00:37:47.880 say yeah technically it should have been 90 days but 84 is not bad given that everybody wanted it done

00:37:55.000 if nobody wanted it to be done if there was some reason to have non-voters on your rolls

00:38:00.280 well then you could question the deadline but if everybody agrees we don't want non-voters voting

00:38:08.680 your people are not eligible why is the difference between 84 and 90 days important enough for the

00:38:15.160 department of justice to sue the state i can only think of one answer the one answer is that the

00:38:23.720 democrats have some control over the department of justice and they're just trying to make sure

00:38:30.120 that the democrats win and that it's purely unethical and corrupt it might be illegal so

00:38:38.840 it would only be unethical and corrupt but possibly totally technically legal

00:38:47.160 all right here's a persuasion tip courtesy of rfk jr who did it better than you'll ever see it done

00:38:53.240 all right the tip goes like this if you're trying to persuade a crowd and by the way this would work

00:38:59.960 on one-to-one as well if you can get the the rally people to do something physically whether it's clapping

00:39:08.200 or talking or laughing or standing up or introducing themselves to their neighbor whatever it is

00:39:13.640 if you as the person talking can get them to do something physically it causes you to bond with

00:39:21.240 them so get them to do something and you will bond but if you can make the thing that they're doing also

00:39:29.320 funny you get a twofer so get them to do something but make them laugh while they're doing it

00:39:36.600 okay that's as good as you can get that would be persuasion at almost beyond a commercial level

00:39:44.920 that would be like wizard level you know the the great persuader level listen now now that you know

00:39:51.640 that they're getting people to do something and especially if it's funny that would just be the ultimate

00:39:56.520 home run listen to what rfk jr did at a recent uh event uh he he told the crowd to answer in a

00:40:05.240 kamala harris way so he'd already primed them for their answer that they were going to yell out

00:40:10.040 so the yelling out is getting them to act right and so kennedy says to the crowd after he's primed

00:40:16.440 them he says the next time your boss asks you why you were late for work what are you going to say

00:40:21.640 and the crowd says in unison i was born in the middle class the audience responds because that's

00:40:27.640 what harris would say to any economics question and then kennedy says and the next time your wife

00:40:33.560 asks you why you didn't take out the garbage what are you going to say and the crowd yells i was born

00:40:39.080 in the middle class um that's just perfect there are actually three things he put together there

00:40:49.320 like i said number one is getting them to physically move in this case move their their mouths uh getting 0.85

00:40:55.560 them to laugh while they're doing it that makes everything stickier you always remember what's funny

00:41:01.560 so it just makes it way stickier but then on top of that he gives you two examples which are very

00:41:07.000 relatable which is uh being late for work everybody's done that at least once and uh the question about

00:41:16.440 who takes out the garbage so he brings it down to this most relatable thing adds the action adds the humor

00:41:24.280 that's a three for you don't see briefers this is a whole different level of persuasion ability i don't

00:41:33.800 know how all the kennedys have this how do all the kennedys have this gift i'm actually curious about

00:41:41.240 that i don't know how they can all do it anyway um as greg price and other people have pointed out

00:41:48.840 greg's on x um it's been um more than a day since ice revealed these terrible crime numbers of the

00:42:00.040 criminals have been left in that have been brought in uh across the border 13 000 illegal alien murderers

00:42:07.320 and 16 000 rapists according to ice now you would think that ice would be a credible source because they

00:42:14.440 must be you know vetting people at least enough to know if they're criminals so that's their numbers

00:42:20.440 but in the day or so since that's happening uh the new york times ignored it the washington post ignored

00:42:26.360 it abc and cbs didn't cover it and neither did cnn well i'm not sure i would say that they didn't cover

00:42:34.040 it because i did see scott jennings got plenty of time to mention it so he's their token republican on cnn

00:42:42.760 so i think it means that they didn't do a story about it but to their credit again i'm going to give

00:42:51.160 them credit where where it makes sense to cnn's credit they did have a republican on and they gave

00:42:57.960 him time to say his thing and they didn't interrupt him and everybody listened to it so scott jennings does

00:43:05.320 help cnn at least get the you know some of the stories out that they don't focus on

00:43:09.960 so that's exactly what you think it is so does that look like a rigged election it does to me

00:43:19.400 yeah when i when i see that this big damning story that favors one one over the other one of the

00:43:25.640 candidates over the other and it's also one of the biggest issues the border and you just see them

00:43:30.360 ignore the most important question about the border which is how dangerous is it how dangerous is it

00:43:37.240 is the whole question they're ignoring the central question of the biggest topic hold that in your

00:43:45.720 head your most important entities and i've told you before that the new york times and the washington

00:43:51.400 post there's a common descriptor for them in the business they're called the news makers meaning that

00:43:59.240 when they say it's news all the lesser entities that do news then they're all free to say oh i guess

00:44:05.080 this is a big story now so then they cover it too but until the new york times and the washington post

00:44:10.760 say something is important the rest of the news industry at least the left-leaning part won't touch it

00:44:17.480 yeah and that happened also with watergate i don't know the details but i think there was a uh

00:44:26.760 a lesser news entity that had covered watergate before the washington posted i don't know the

00:44:32.520 details of this so i could be wrong about this but it wasn't until the washington post covered it became

00:44:37.160 everybody's national story so is this election rigging yes this is unambiguous election rigging

00:44:48.200 if one of the biggest stories of the the most salient important part of the biggest story which is how

00:44:55.320 much crime is coming into the country if you ignore that when it comes from a credible source

00:45:01.720 that's election interference you can't tell me that that's just a decision what news to cover

00:45:08.520 no that is just flat out election interference and i don't think there's a doubt about it at this point

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00:46:16.520 carey was at some event recently and he was complaining how our first amendment is a real impediment

00:46:24.360 to governing meaning that since information is not controlled people keep hearing things that he

00:46:31.640 believes they shouldn't hear and it makes them hard to control by the government it is so freaky to hear

00:46:38.440 them say it out loud and um he didn't really hold back anything so whatever you're whatever you're most

00:46:47.800 worried about your government censoring you john carey says it directly that the biggest problem

00:46:54.440 in governing is that people get their own information from sources they don't control

00:46:59.560 and therefore if they try to get a common opinion in the country get everybody on the same page so we

00:47:04.840 can do something you can never do it because too many people will have found the wrong story he would say

00:47:11.800 on the internet now the the first level of awareness of this is to understand that

00:47:24.920 the government does have an effect on free speech and wants to in other words they want to limit free

00:47:31.800 speech to things where the government still has some control over the populace so that's the first level

00:47:37.640 of awareness the it's the moment we say wait a minute are you saying that our own government

00:47:44.920 has a problem with the first amendment they they're the ones who should be defending the first amendment

00:47:50.520 but you're telling me that they're working against the first amendment maybe indirectly through the

00:47:55.080 censorship on the social media because the government doesn't want free speech

00:48:01.240 here's what i'm going to add i'm going to take you to the level of awareness above that one

00:48:08.440 no government can survive free speech and never has

00:48:15.400 unfortunately you can't survive free speech because everything would fall apart you wouldn't

00:48:21.720 know what was real now when you don't have free speech which is i believe the the common situation for

00:48:28.600 the entire history of america we imagined we had free speech because we thought walter cronkite was honest

00:48:37.640 what do you think now now that you know that the cia and the intelligence people of every country

00:48:44.520 every country be they democratic or be they dictatorship or anything else

00:48:49.640 all of them control their media and always have so if you're just finding out that the government

00:48:58.840 wants to control what you hear and see and think well welcome to the third level of awareness

00:49:05.800 if your if your awareness is that we used to have free speech but the government just recently is

00:49:14.440 finding out that they want to uh clamp down on it that's not what's happening

00:49:18.600 no we have never had free speech it's just we found out finding out you never had it

00:49:26.360 does not mean that the solution is to get it

00:49:29.240 i know that's hard to hear if you're just finding out that in america we've never really had free

00:49:37.720 speech or even close really because the the media was just propaganda machine always was and uh we

00:49:45.800 think we have free speech but if you had an opinion that that the mainstream media didn't want to air

00:49:53.160 it didn't matter if we had free speech nobody was going to hear it

00:49:55.640 it so the truth is when it comes to the media anyway there's no country that can survive free

00:50:02.280 speech it would be too chaotic they have to control it to keep the country together

00:50:08.360 i don't like that don't love it not good for me it's just true no country can survive real free

00:50:18.040 speech but every country is better off if they have the fake kind

00:50:25.000 all right uh i'm gonna do a little uh little bragging here on my long range predicting

00:50:33.800 now as you know like everybody else i don't get all my predictions right but um when i get them right

00:50:41.640 i like to tell you and when i get them wrong you usually tell me but i usually try to mention it

00:50:47.560 just to be fair so this is part of you know you analyzing whether you should listen to any of my

00:50:53.240 predictions because if i never got one right you probably shouldn't listen to any others but if i

00:50:59.160 got a few right that were surprising then maybe you should pay a little extra attention next time i have

00:51:05.400 one for example um i've said for 20 years that moderate drinking is not really good for you even though

00:51:12.520 science said it was i'm right about that i've told you that there's no way that climate change can

00:51:19.480 measure the temperature accurately enough to know exactly what's going on

00:51:24.520 science isn't there yet but it will be you know it will be so i'll be i'll be you know 10 years ahead

00:51:31.560 of that and i think you know that i'll be right about that um i've been saying that uh in addition to

00:51:38.200 saying that alcohol is poison i've been saying that our food supply is poison i think i was one

00:51:45.480 of the early ones on that but not i'm not like the pioneer who's talking about our um our nutrition

00:51:52.280 but i'm one of the people who said um i think our food supply is actually poisoned

00:51:59.720 now probably for a long time a lot of you thought that's a little bit of hyper release scott

00:52:04.920 we have good food we have bad food but if you just concentrate on the things you know are good

00:52:09.480 for you you'll be fine doesn't turn out that's true so it's not just the highly processed stuff

00:52:15.960 there's something wrong with a lot of stuff maybe from fertilizer who knows i don't know the details but

00:52:22.840 you're every day now i see somebody prominent who's getting a lot of attention saying our food supply

00:52:29.480 is literally poison so i'm going to say i was early on that one how about uh you've watched me for 10

00:52:37.320 years or so say that nuclear is the solution it's not the problem now pretty much in a bipartisan way

00:52:47.720 every scientist every person who cares about the green world are all really pro-nuclear all of a sudden

00:52:53.960 but i was early it was probably 10 years out of that saying maybe 20 i just wasn't doing it in public

00:53:02.600 how about the first person who said that uh trump is not a clown he's the most persuasive person in

00:53:10.360 politics i was the first one to say it that his persuasion was through the roof and now that's just

00:53:17.080 understood even people who hate him say okay we hate him but i have to admit he sure persuaded

00:53:24.200 45 percent of the country and that's no joke so i was early on that and now i'm telling you that no

00:53:33.080 no country can survive free speech maybe in 10 years that will be common knowledge at the moment it hurts

00:53:41.400 just to hear it so there's that i've also predicted and this has not come true but i feel confident about

00:53:50.200 it the ai will not take your art job or your humor job because those things are based on the reason you

00:53:59.080 like any form of art is because it appeals to your mating instinct meaning that you're thinking of the

00:54:05.320 artist oh my goodness a human being made this and i'd like to mate with them even if you're not thinking

00:54:12.200 consciously about mating with them that's what's that's the thing that's getting tickled in your

00:54:17.640 subconscious is your mating instinct and since you don't mate with ai it doesn't matter how good a job 0.82

00:54:23.720 it does could be a great job and wouldn't matter

00:54:31.160 all right this there's a new uh poll on the swing states this is from atlas intel somebody said they're

00:54:37.560 one of the more accurate ones um i don't know personally but somebody on social media said they're

00:54:43.000 one of the more accurate ones um but this one has north carolina um

00:54:48.520 um wait a minute i'm having trouble reading these well it looks like trump would be up in six

00:54:56.920 out of seven of the polls if if that's what's going on um if i'm reading this right it's a really bad

00:55:06.920 bad organized data i think it's saying that trump is doing well anyway

00:55:14.120 what else is going on here we got

00:55:15.640 uh uh uh well let's do an update on lebanon so um i saw a uh i saw a long uh message uh by jared

00:55:31.400 kushner talking about uh lebanon and hezbollah and israel and uh summarizing a long point that was well

00:55:40.600 written um kushner basically said it's go time that israel would be crazy if they don't take care

00:55:51.080 of hezbollah now because there's never going to be a better chance remember i've told you so october 7th

00:55:59.480 is still fresh enough in people's minds so that gives them all the everything they need apparently

00:56:05.560 israel is way better at war than we knew because they just took out the communications and the entire 0.98

00:56:11.320 leadership of hezbollah at somewhat minimal um external casualties and they seem to be able to

00:56:21.560 do it at will i don't know the degree to which they've penetrated with intelligence but it looks

00:56:26.680 like they can take out the leadership anytime they want so if they get a new one that's just going to

00:56:31.160 disappear so i would agree with kushner you don't have to be pro israel i i remind you that i don't

00:56:39.320 support israel as a country because they don't support me is that fair at the very least they should be on 1.00

00:56:48.840 my side you know i'm not not just picking random people in the world to support how about if you

00:56:56.040 support me i'll support you but that's not the situation so instead i'm just an observer and as

00:57:02.680 an observer it wouldn't matter if it was israel or the or the opposite i'd be saying the same thing from

00:57:09.480 a military um political standpoint israel will never see this situation again this is the only team the

00:57:20.440 time they could go in and just mow the lawn take care of business maybe degrade hezbollah permanently 1.00

00:57:27.400 maybe so if they don't do it it would just honestly it would look like the biggest geopolitical mistake

00:57:37.640 of a hundred years i mean they have this mortal threat and this one opening that may never happen

00:57:44.600 again where people are going to say well we don't like it but i can see why you did it

00:57:50.280 and then you know you add to that uh the crown prince of saudi arabia saying he doesn't care about

00:57:55.880 the palestinians that's sort of a that's sort of a you know a signal to do what you need to do

00:58:04.280 i think he's just doesn't need the distraction of the palestinians always pestering him for something 1.00

00:58:09.880 yes and netanyahu uh has a a golden situation because there's no american leadership and that's

00:58:22.440 the perfect situation no leadership and even other countries are going to look at it and say

00:58:29.080 uh the other countries are going to look at it and say the npcs are weighing in i can tell when all

00:58:37.240 they do is insult me that you don't have any argument so made of scars says you're a joke scott 0.89

00:58:46.200 if you had any real point i'm pretty sure you would have mentioned it

00:58:52.840 is there something i'm missing is there a fact that would be important that i haven't mentioned

00:59:00.120 is there some context i'm leaving out you use your words see otherwise you just look like a drunk

00:59:08.360 retard use your words what is it that you're disagreeing with 1.00

00:59:13.480 let's see if anybody can handle that

00:59:24.520 all right well that has shut you up yeah get a little get a little smarter in your comments 0.99

00:59:30.520 take your game up that this is not the dumb the dumb podcast if you want to watch a dumb podcast 0.99

00:59:37.160 you should go watch uh you thought i was going to put a name in there but i wasn't 0.98

00:59:40.680 all right that quieted you down all right and apparently israel killed another top hezbollah official

00:59:51.400 um i would not want to be the new leader of hezbollah

00:59:55.080 i would not and relative to nothing if you're still wondering whether we live in a simulation

01:00:05.240 i would like to point out that the biggest issue in the campaign is the border and kamala harris

01:00:14.040 picked a vp named walls

01:00:18.280 really of all the politicians in the world you had to pick somebody whose name is trump's signature

01:00:28.600 policy walls what are the odds of that are you telling me that that's a coincidence

01:00:36.520 i don't think it's a coincidence

01:00:41.480 why do i say they don't support me do they support you uh who are they supporting

01:00:50.840 no i say it because the adl has called me an anti-semite because they believe i doubt the holocaust

01:00:58.600 i've never even met anybody who doubts the holocaust i didn't even know that's the thing 0.96

01:01:04.920 but allegedly they think it's the thing and the head of the adl came after me now the adl does not

01:01:11.480 work for israel but obviously it would be within the domain of things that they could have an opinion

01:01:18.280 on and if they would care to support me well maybe i'd support them but right now we don't have a

01:01:25.400 relationship israel is doing nothing for me i'm doing nothing for them i'm just observing all right

01:01:33.320 all right uh he loved the chat antipathy uh

01:01:51.400 constructive criticism all right well i guess we said everything we need to say

01:01:57.240 um i'm hoping the locals platform will be back up running soon and uh we'll talk to the talk to

01:02:06.680 everybody else uh tomorrow same time same place thanks for joining and by the way let me just show

01:02:13.480 you one thing before i go if you're not aware that the dilbert page a day calendar is now available for

01:02:21.320 pre-sale after skipping a year um and it's made in america this time for the first time made in

01:02:27.800 america and if you go to dilbert.com you'll see the link to go purchase it you can't get it on amazon

01:02:35.560 and if we run out you won't be able to get one so pre-sale is the way to go you don't want to wait till

01:02:41.320 two weeks before christmas we might not have any left so because you know i have to guess how many we're

01:02:47.480 going to make so if i guess wrong you're out of luck because i'm not going to make them in january

01:02:54.920 so i'm only going to make whatever we think is the right number and uh if you get it early you

01:03:00.440 don't have to worry about it all right that's it thanks for joining i'll see you all tomorrow same time

01:03:06.600 same place

01:03:14.600 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 29, 2024

Episode 2612 CWSA 09⧸29⧸24

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