Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2614 CWSA 10⧸01⧸24

00:00:00.000 as well as the rest of you.

00:00:02.800 Come on. There we go.

00:00:13.000 Whoa, hello.

00:00:17.280 Come on. Let's fix that.

00:00:20.180 That's better.

00:00:23.880 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:28.140 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and wow, are you lucky to be here.

00:00:33.120 But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that no one can even understand

00:00:38.040 with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:43.020 a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:47.720 fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:50.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit that makes everything better.

00:00:54.620 It's called The Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:56.760 And it happens now.

00:01:05.680 Oh.

00:01:08.520 Sip-tastic.

00:01:11.360 Well, I'm trying to develop a new thing, a useful commercial.

00:01:16.680 So if you're on X and you've already seen it, I'll put this on the Locals platform probably today.

00:01:23.760 But let me show you what's happening over an X.

00:01:27.440 You see there in the middle, I've got a little video up on how I currently draw the Dilbert comic.

00:01:33.960 You see this device behind me, this big old, it's called a Wacom is the company.

00:01:40.540 It's a Wacom Cintiq.

00:01:42.580 But I don't use that at the moment because it's not portable.

00:01:46.940 And I'll show you the little portable device if you watch the video.

00:01:50.840 It's on X.

00:01:51.900 It'll be on Locals later.

00:01:53.640 It's right at the top of my feed.

00:01:55.840 It's easy to watch.

00:01:56.580 And I'll tell you how cartoons are made in the current time.

00:02:03.380 You might be interested.

00:02:05.220 All right.

00:02:05.620 So the reason I call that a new invention is I'm simply trying to figure out something you would enjoy seeing that you would just naturally be interested in.

00:02:15.380 And then at the end, I tell you, you can buy the Dilbert 2025 calendar and it's there at the end.

00:02:23.520 Anyway, the Dilbert 2025 calendar is available for pre-sale and only at the link you can find at Dilbert.com.

00:02:31.040 It's not going to be on Amazon.

00:02:32.840 So don't wait for it.

00:02:34.220 The only place you can get it.

00:02:35.660 Get it now.

00:02:37.280 Anyway, here are a few news stories and we'll get into all the politics.

00:02:40.460 There's more another study that exercise boosts your brain function.

00:02:45.380 Can we all just agree that the science is so, you know, so unambiguous at this point that exercise makes you smarter?

00:02:56.180 There's just no doubt about it.

00:02:58.020 Keeps you, keeps your brain working and it keeps you happier, makes you better in your relationships, makes you better at your work, makes you better in every way.

00:03:08.460 And it does seem to me that if we could solve the problem of just getting people to get up and walk around, it would be such a different world.

00:03:19.240 And I hate the fact that Trump is the worst person to do that because he's not, he's not the model of physical fitness.

00:03:28.740 But I still think he could do it.

00:03:31.860 You know, he could just encourage people to literally stand up and go for a walk after dinner.

00:03:36.020 It would be amazing if people just did it for patriotic reasons.

00:03:42.880 I mean, I think you should actually literally consider exercising for patriotic reasons.

00:03:48.600 It's the only way you're going to keep the country healthy, especially with our bad food supply.

00:03:54.080 Anyway, here's another, the guardian has a story about how you can use your physical senses to beat depression.

00:04:04.360 So not only does just ordinary exercise work, there's another story that I didn't write down, but there's a story that going on vacation is good for you.

00:04:16.380 It actually ages you backwards.

00:04:18.180 So the, the relaxation and the extra activity and the extra mental stimulation you get from a vacation apparently is super healthy for you.

00:04:28.840 So do you see the pattern?

00:04:30.740 Exercise of any kind is super healthy.

00:04:33.200 Going on vacation, being physical, interacting with the real world is super healthy.

00:04:38.300 We've already talked about how completing tasks like small chores makes people happy because we, we get the sense of physicality plus completion.

00:04:48.940 Two things that are just absolutely necessary for good mental health.

00:04:53.160 And here's another one that agrees with things I've told you before that you can shake yourself out of your sadness and depression by putting your concentration into your physical senses.

00:05:04.720 So your, your intuition, if you're in a bad mode is to, you know, curl up under a blanket and reduce all of your external inputs and just, you know, sit there sadly in a corner.

00:05:18.020 That's the opposite of what you should be doing.

00:05:20.260 If you look at all the other science I just mentioned, the things that make you healthy are interacting with the world.

00:05:25.880 Touching, feeling, hearing, smelling, tasting, you gotta, you gotta load a bunch of inputs into your head and that will just say you're right.

00:05:37.480 Now I do that automatically.

00:05:39.820 I didn't realize it was so backed by science, but every single day I've told you this before, but now we're going to pull it together with all these scientific studies.

00:05:48.600 Because the thing I do after I get ready, after I do the live stream is I take my dog to the park.

00:05:55.040 It's not a normal park.

00:05:56.580 It's just a really well designed park with just the right paths and grass.

00:06:04.840 And I used to bring my headphones, you know, maybe listen to some more news or something while I was there.

00:06:10.740 But I found that if I don't do anything and I just feel the breeze, feel the sun on my body, look at the trees, look at my dog and just feel it.

00:06:25.620 It puts me in a completely good mood that lasts all day.

00:06:29.580 Now it is so direct and so obvious and so physical that I can feel the difference within 60 seconds.

00:06:38.200 And it's dramatic.

00:06:39.220 If you do it every day, you'll get hooked on it.

00:06:42.520 So I like the Andrew Huberman.

00:06:47.280 Get a little sun early in the morning, you know, before I think before 10 a.m. he says.

00:06:52.740 I do my Huberman breathing.

00:06:55.160 Again, that's a physical thing.

00:06:56.880 I'm interacting with the air in the world doing the breathing.

00:07:00.320 Two inhales through the nose, one long exhale through the mouth.

00:07:04.080 I work on my posture.

00:07:05.260 I pat my dog.

00:07:07.560 And I have a completely physical experience that's all easy.

00:07:13.320 You know, none of it takes any effort.

00:07:15.680 And it's completely different.

00:07:17.300 But I'm going to add one thing to the mix.

00:07:19.560 You've heard about grounding, where you stand barefoot on the ground outdoors.

00:07:23.740 And allegedly it corrects your, I don't know, the electricity in your body or something.

00:07:29.640 I've discovered that if I simply put my bare hand against a tree trunk and just lean on it, I feel extraordinary.

00:07:39.700 And I'd love to see if you could test it out.

00:07:44.160 And I don't know if I'm grounding.

00:07:47.460 Because maybe, I don't know, do you get grounding if you touch a tree with your hand?

00:07:52.920 I don't know what it is.

00:07:54.600 But I literally just take my bare hand, I just put it on a nice tree trunk that's not too, you know, gnarly.

00:08:00.780 And I just lean on it.

00:08:03.040 And I don't want to leave.

00:08:05.440 Try it.

00:08:06.340 Just try it as an experiment.

00:08:08.100 Then tell me if it touches you.

00:08:11.940 Just put your hand on a tree and see how much you don't want to take it off.

00:08:16.720 Because you're going to feel immediately better.

00:08:18.320 It's the weirdest thing.

00:08:20.760 You're seeing in the comments a lot of people are saying yes to this.

00:08:23.560 Like you've actually experienced that.

00:08:25.880 So, summary.

00:08:27.080 If your brain is not where you want it, if you're too worried, anxious, or depressed, get out of your head.

00:08:35.360 I've taught you to use the phrase, get out.

00:08:38.340 Literally say, get out, get out, get out.

00:08:40.560 That's how you tell you to get out of your repetitive thoughts, your bad thought process.

00:08:45.400 Just say, get out, get out, get out.

00:08:47.780 It works.

00:08:48.940 It happens instantly.

00:08:49.980 I do it all the time.

00:08:51.140 And I've heard a bunch of people who do it as well.

00:08:53.660 And then go do something physical.

00:08:55.380 Something easy and physical to give you new inputs.

00:09:00.060 It'll set you right.

00:09:01.940 It's the best advice you'll get all day.

00:09:03.800 All right.

00:09:04.460 Let's get into all that political stuff.

00:09:07.240 So, the VP debate is tonight.

00:09:11.980 I plan to livestream this for my local people.

00:09:15.500 So, I'll only be for the subscribers tonight.

00:09:18.100 But that's going to be fun.

00:09:20.340 There's a report that Tim Walsh is panicked because he doesn't think he's a good debater.

00:09:27.620 And he's worried that Vance is so good.

00:09:29.700 He's going to look so bad.

00:09:30.880 And he's going to embarrass Kamala and let down the country.

00:09:34.540 Do you believe any of that?

00:09:36.900 I don't.

00:09:37.520 Now, do you think he's nervous about the debate?

00:09:41.060 Of course.

00:09:42.440 It wouldn't really be possible to have this situation and not be nervous about it.

00:09:46.600 Of course.

00:09:47.700 But is he extra, extra nervous?

00:09:51.820 I don't know.

00:09:53.040 I mean, he's a governor.

00:09:54.740 I feel like he knows how to do this stuff.

00:09:57.800 So, I think the reports of Walsh being panicked about the debate are probably fake.

00:10:04.500 And it's probably for the point of making you lower your expectations about him.

00:10:10.500 But, extremist.

00:10:15.260 So, that'll be his game.

00:10:17.060 I assume that Walsh will try to paint Vance as, well, an extremist.

00:10:23.720 So, basically, the two of them will try to paint the other as extremists, I guess.

00:10:27.800 But, here's my take.

00:10:30.980 Let's see.

00:10:31.340 If you compare these two people as debaters, you've got Vance is clearly smarter.

00:10:38.660 I think everybody would agree.

00:10:41.140 Clearly smarter.

00:10:42.640 So, Vance is smarter.

00:10:43.560 He's younger.

00:10:45.160 He is better looking.

00:10:47.260 He has much better hair.

00:10:49.660 He has a more impressive military experience.

00:10:52.060 So, it really shouldn't be close.

00:11:01.540 You know, if you're going to just handicap this in advance, you would say, I don't think this is going to be close.

00:11:09.420 It looks like it's going to be a slam dunk.

00:11:11.400 But, if you've watched debates before, what can we say with certainty?

00:11:16.240 Here's what we could say with certainty.

00:11:18.860 Let's say Vance starts talking and is brilliant.

00:11:22.600 Like, let's just imagine that Vance comes out with almost a Kennedy-esque, you know, sweeping, soaring narrative that erases every concern you've ever had.

00:11:34.520 And puts you on the track to a better America that's healthier and smarter and more productive.

00:11:40.180 And you just feel great about it.

00:11:42.140 And meanwhile, Vance goes out and he wets his pants and he has a stroke and he falls on stage and goes, what would happen?

00:11:52.800 You know what would happen.

00:11:55.360 MSNBC would say, finally, Vance shows us what a real man is like.

00:12:01.260 They'd say he's redefined masculinity because before it did not involve rolling around on your back and wetting your pants and looking like you had a stroke.

00:12:10.960 But now that is redefined masculinity and we should all embrace it.

00:12:14.640 And by the way, look at that Vance guy acting like a white supremacist with his showing up on time and all that stuff.

00:12:21.640 Yeah, it's not really going to matter what they do.

00:12:23.940 Now, I have heard that there have been cases in the past where the VP debate changed the election.

00:12:32.740 It might be one of those.

00:12:34.260 I think I'd bet against it.

00:12:35.880 So I'd say 70-30, it won't move the needle.

00:12:39.260 But there's a good solid 30% chance that something interesting will happen.

00:12:45.160 I think so.

00:12:45.940 Well, one of the things that Walsh will have working against him is I understand there's no crowd, right?

00:12:54.180 There won't be an audience.

00:12:56.700 My take on Walsh is that he's an audience energy guy.

00:13:01.980 So I think he needs the interaction with the audience.

00:13:05.180 And then, you know, they give him energy.

00:13:06.820 He gives them energy back.

00:13:08.260 And they create this energy monster thing.

00:13:10.460 But if you take the audience away, you're focusing just on Walsh.

00:13:16.640 And I've never even seen that.

00:13:19.420 I guess one interview.

00:13:21.060 There's one interview with Dana Bash.

00:13:23.820 But otherwise, you mostly see Walsh interacting with people and happy and shaking hands and doing things that really don't take too much intellectual capacity.

00:13:33.460 So if you put him in a quiet room with the smartest guy in politics, he's not going to look good.

00:13:41.480 Unless he's got some kind of magic preparation we don't know about.

00:13:46.580 Anyway, the crowd energy is going to be a big problem for Walsh, the lack of it.

00:13:51.600 The other thing is I'm going to borrow something from something a prominent Democrat once told me privately about a completely different politician.

00:14:01.240 And I laughed when I heard it.

00:14:04.320 It was, and I'm not going to tell you who told me.

00:14:06.620 I'm not going to tell you which politician he was talking about.

00:14:09.780 This was a completely different situation.

00:14:12.360 He said, what are the, what is the public going to think about so-and-so with his ambiguous sexuality?

00:14:20.860 Ambiguous sexuality.

00:14:23.880 Now, if you've watched me enough, you know that I don't care about anybody's sexuality.

00:14:28.920 I'm pro-LGBTQ adults.

00:14:32.140 Do what you want to do.

00:14:33.600 You know, I'm not your boss.

00:14:35.800 If whatever it is that you want to do is fine with me.

00:14:39.420 And it's not up to me.

00:14:40.800 More importantly, more importantly, it doesn't need to be fine with me.

00:14:45.300 I want to live in the country where it doesn't need to be fine with me what you do.

00:14:49.900 Because I don't want it to be fine with you what I do.

00:14:52.940 How about we just let each other live?

00:14:55.180 So that's my take on all this stuff.

00:14:56.900 I just, I'm aggressively lacking an opinion on what other people do with their private lives as long as it's legal and doesn't block my driveway.

00:15:07.780 That said, it is true that such things will affect other voters.

00:15:13.040 And I'm just going to say it, that Walsh has what I would call a flamboyant and ambiguous sexual vibe.

00:15:25.780 Now, I'm not accusing him of anything.

00:15:28.540 I'm just saying that the way I experience him as an observer is there's something ambiguous about that.

00:15:35.540 Now, if he's gay, I don't care.

00:15:39.340 I don't even care.

00:15:40.700 I'll even go further.

00:15:42.280 If somebody pretends to be one thing, but they're really something else, I don't call that a hypocrite.

00:15:48.420 If it's sexual.

00:15:50.000 Because I think that everybody has the right to lie about their sexual preferences.

00:15:55.040 Now, I may be completely alone about that.

00:15:57.320 But if your sexual preference is something you think people won't like, lie.

00:16:02.220 Go ahead, lie.

00:16:03.000 Just say, nope, I do not like whatever that is you think I like.

00:16:07.460 So lie all you want.

00:16:08.580 And if I find out later you lied, I'd say, oh, good job.

00:16:11.820 You kept my nosy nose out of your business with that little harmless lie about your sexual preferences.

00:16:18.600 Good for you.

00:16:20.120 Because that was none of my fucking business.

00:16:23.260 Lie to me all day long about your sexual past.

00:16:26.300 Please, please lie to me.

00:16:29.000 I literally don't want to know.

00:16:31.100 So if you can lie to me and make it go away, whatever it is, it makes you feel better.

00:16:35.720 Lie, lie.

00:16:37.380 You know, go at it.

00:16:38.920 So that's the one category.

00:16:41.000 Your sexual life.

00:16:42.080 I don't care if you're a politician or anybody else.

00:16:44.620 Lie all you want.

00:16:45.920 I don't care.

00:16:47.800 I'm not saying he's lying.

00:16:49.200 I'm saying it wouldn't matter if he was.

00:16:51.980 But he does have a vibe and they see it online.

00:16:54.500 And people are picking up some kind of weirdness vibe.

00:16:58.020 We don't know what it is.

00:16:59.360 And then, of course, there's the stories that Walsh has these China connections that there's a story that says even the Department of Homeland Security was concerned before he was even selected as a VP choice.

00:17:13.240 Allegedly, they had been concerned about his China ties and wanted to know more about that.

00:17:20.800 Will, do you think Vance will take advantage of the China connection?

00:17:25.220 I feel like he might.

00:17:28.740 I feel like he might.

00:17:30.620 Do you think Walsh will go after Vance for his they're eating the cats and dogs comments or for his cat lady comments?

00:17:40.740 He might because those have been seemingly successful attacks in the past, at least in getting attention successful.

00:17:48.160 And I think the Vance is probably ready for that.

00:17:53.660 And I've told you before that the the way to handle that is to admit the Democrats are better at cat related rhetoric.

00:18:01.680 You know what?

00:18:02.240 I think I think the Trump administration would do better on the border, the economy and staying on the wars.

00:18:08.160 And according to polls, the public agrees.

00:18:10.480 But if if I have to admit it, I'm going to Democrats are better at talking about cat related topics.

00:18:18.580 And if that's what's important to you and not the open border, the economy and getting into World War three, if you prefer to really focus on the cat related rhetoric, honestly, the Democrats are going to be better at it.

00:18:32.120 So the the opening is there to just totally mock the biggest attacks against them.

00:18:40.480 So we'll see if he does that.

00:18:43.640 There was a story related to this.

00:18:48.160 That apparently Vance was in a grocery store doing some campaign related video and talking with his young sons about eggs.

00:18:57.400 And he made this statement, obvious hyperbole, he said, because his son picked up some eggs.

00:19:03.560 He says, yes, buddy, you want some eggs?

00:19:05.480 Let's talk about eggs.

00:19:06.520 Yeah, so he was talking to the camera because these guys actually eat about 14 eggs every single morning.

00:19:12.320 Is that right?

00:19:13.960 Now.

00:19:14.320 Now, you probably know that little children do not eat approximately 14 eggs a day.

00:19:22.860 Now, those of you who have have experience with words and sentences and language and talking, talking.

00:19:36.880 And if you've had any experience with those domains, you would know that this is obvious exaggeration to be, you know, just funny and interesting.

00:19:46.980 However, if you work for MSNBC, like Stephanie Ruhle, you might do some fact checking.

00:19:52.620 So she did, hmm, 14 eggs per day, 90 eggs per week, two children.

00:19:58.640 No, this can't be right.

00:20:01.040 That's right.

00:20:02.780 MSNBC host fact checked him on the 14 eggs a day that the toddler eats.

00:20:10.700 Yep, that happened.

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00:21:14.420 Well, here's something that you didn't know about.

00:21:21.580 I was looking at some expert talking about the polling industry.

00:21:26.420 And you know in the past, the polls have, 2016 famously, underestimated Trump's support.

00:21:33.180 And so, of course, pollsters scramble to fix that.

00:21:39.140 And there are problems about who answers the phone and do you have the right number of likely voters versus just citizens.

00:21:47.080 So, it seems like it would be simple.

00:21:49.960 Who are you going to vote for?

00:21:51.560 But it turns out that the assumptions you make and who you ask can determine the answer.

00:21:57.340 So, is it about the people's responses?

00:22:00.940 Is that telling you something?

00:22:02.360 Or is it just how they design the questions and design the poll?

00:22:05.960 And sometimes it's about how they design the poll.

00:22:10.260 It's not about the answers.

00:22:12.020 The answers were sort of driven by the way they designed the poll.

00:22:14.800 So, we're being warned that the pollsters have learned from the past.

00:22:22.420 And you should not assume, this time you should not assume, that the Trump supporters are underrepresented.

00:22:29.440 And that there will be some surprise.

00:22:31.520 This time, we're told that they have made corrections for all these things.

00:22:36.540 They've corrected.

00:22:37.120 And so, there are different factors such as the party registration, past voting history, things like that.

00:22:47.960 So, basically, how many people do you consider to be Republicans so that you weight the numbers accurately?

00:22:54.180 Are you looking at likely voters or people who just have voted in the past?

00:22:58.460 So, there's a whole bunch of assumptions you can make that changes it.

00:23:02.080 But here's what I'm going to add to it.

00:23:04.380 I think there's something new.

00:23:07.120 That the pollsters don't have right this time.

00:23:11.720 The new thing is that we've learned, we, the voters, have learned something that's important to the process.

00:23:20.860 And in 2016, I think the shy Trump voters were just trying to not get caught as a voter.

00:23:27.380 That seems less important now.

00:23:29.460 I think people are far more likely to say, you know what?

00:23:31.760 I'm a Trump supporter.

00:23:33.260 Deal with it.

00:23:34.160 So, that part has changed.

00:23:35.400 I think people are going to be less hiding than they had been in 2016.

00:23:40.020 However, losing 2020 left quite a deep scar with Trump supporters.

00:23:51.120 And part of that scar, I think, and related to it, is the idea that they might want to lie to the pollsters.

00:24:00.960 And just about every Republican has heard the idea that you should lie to the pollsters so that they're surprised.

00:24:08.220 I think that the prank element, in other words, it's sort of a prank to lie to the pollsters.

00:24:16.620 I think Republicans are pranksters.

00:24:19.640 Far more than the left.

00:24:20.980 You know, the left may be dirty tricksters and clever in their own way.

00:24:25.660 But there's something about conservatives.

00:24:29.480 They like a good prank.

00:24:31.100 But not every kind of prank, you know, not necessarily just, like, stupid, silly stuff.

00:24:36.600 But what would be a better prank than living in a totally corrupt system and then lying to the pollsters, who you think are part of the corrupt system, and then winning on Election Day because you used your own corruption.

00:24:52.180 You lied, you lied, you lied to the pollsters, so you used your own corruption to cancel out their corruption so they wouldn't know how much to cheat.

00:25:03.780 So I think that you could stop any Trump supporter in the street and ask them the following question.

00:25:11.440 If a pollster called you, would you tell them the truth?

00:25:14.980 Just play that in your head.

00:25:17.340 You're walking down the street anywhere, in any part of the country.

00:25:20.900 You find a Trump supporter.

00:25:22.940 You say, hey, got a second?

00:25:24.860 If a pollster called you, would you tell them the truth?

00:25:28.140 You know what they're going to say.

00:25:30.920 Not every one of them, but it doesn't have to be every one.

00:25:34.060 It just has to be enough to change the result.

00:25:37.400 I feel that this will be a bigger surprise than the, quote, hidden Trump supporters in 2016.

00:25:47.100 I think that 2020 was a shock to the system.

00:25:51.920 I also think the fact that Trump has so many more male supporters is a real big hint that the prank is on.

00:26:00.340 What do men do that women don't do nearly as much?

00:26:04.200 Not even close.

00:26:06.060 Pranks.

00:26:07.400 Yeah.

00:26:07.840 Men do pranks.

00:26:09.740 Men love this stuff.

00:26:11.140 Women, maybe sometimes, but not so much.

00:26:13.960 The fact that you're seeing major male support that's just overwhelming, I mean, it's just a big difference, suggests that men have been activated.

00:26:23.400 I believe that there's a self-defense instinct that's a little different in women than men.

00:26:30.500 Both have self-defense instincts, of course.

00:26:33.120 But I think that men, when they get activated, they'll act in a way that's predictable.

00:26:40.920 And I think we're seeing there's something different about this election.

00:26:44.980 People are talking about it being the last election.

00:26:48.500 Now, they talk about it on both sides as the last one.

00:26:53.020 Republicans think if Democrats win, it's the last election.

00:26:56.120 Democrats think the same thing if Trump wins.

00:26:57.860 So, for Republicans, I think the risk of losing appears existential.

00:27:05.640 And I actually think it might be.

00:27:07.500 I think it might be.

00:27:08.840 I mean, not for sure.

00:27:10.400 But I think the risk of America just ceasing to exist in 10 years is non-zero if a Democrat is elected.

00:27:19.620 Now, I actually believe that.

00:27:21.360 I think the odds are we'll survive.

00:27:23.500 But there's a real risk.

00:27:25.260 And if you're a conservative, and especially if you're male, and somebody tells you, okay, this isn't an election anymore.

00:27:33.400 This is war.

00:27:36.020 Because it is.

00:27:37.680 This is a war for survival.

00:27:40.180 It just happens to be at a ballot box.

00:27:43.380 So, when you tell men it's war, we don't watch TV anymore.

00:27:48.700 You know how the old thing about guys like to sit on the couch and watch the game?

00:27:52.720 Not when it's war.

00:27:53.540 Every man stands up when a war happens.

00:27:57.100 We don't have a way to turn that off.

00:28:00.080 We are biologically trained that we will fuck off in any situation that's doing well.

00:28:08.080 You put a man in any situation where the general situation is doing well, we will just fuck off.

00:28:13.780 We just want to play around, tell some jokes, do some pranks.

00:28:16.980 Not work.

00:28:20.040 But when things go to hell, and they're legitimately going to hell, take a look at the video in the flood zones in North Carolina.

00:28:29.120 Do you see all the women going through the chest-deep water to carry the elderly out on their backs?

00:28:34.500 Nope.

00:28:35.540 All men.

00:28:37.520 It's not all men.

00:28:38.780 I'm exaggerating.

00:28:39.560 There are plenty of women who are helping, of course.

00:28:41.620 But the video is pretty much all men.

00:28:44.300 And men will run into dangerous situations when they have to.

00:28:48.560 And they will not worry about being distracted or lazy.

00:28:52.380 They will just focus.

00:28:55.280 And I think that there's something about our current time and situation that's not political anymore.

00:29:00.340 It's existential.

00:29:01.960 Like the flood.

00:29:03.700 And when you've got a flood that's destroying the whole country, whether it's a flood of progressivism or a flood of insanity,

00:29:11.960 when you reach some point, and we are there, folks.

00:29:15.280 We're there.

00:29:16.040 I have just one message for the men in America.

00:29:22.380 Men, just two words.

00:29:25.160 It's everything you need to know.

00:29:27.580 And I won't need to tell you anything else.

00:29:30.700 Men, it's time.

00:29:36.920 It's time.

00:29:39.500 That's all you need.

00:29:43.420 So let's talk about the flood.

00:29:46.120 You can't not talk about the politics of the flood.

00:29:48.940 But let me say as unambiguously as I can, what matters is the lives and the livelihoods of the people who are being destroyed by this.

00:29:59.280 And apparently it's far more massive than I think many of us were expecting.

00:30:04.460 It's way worse.

00:30:06.000 Entire towns are being washed away.

00:30:07.880 40 people dead.

00:30:09.240 Some dead were found in trees.

00:30:12.120 In trees.

00:30:13.820 They found dead bodies.

00:30:15.240 I don't even know how that happens.

00:30:17.620 But so it's horrible on a scale that's surprising.

00:30:25.140 And I think some of the reason that we don't register how bad it is completely is that the communication is so bad.

00:30:34.640 If everybody had cell phone and cell pictures and the videos were coming in, I think we'd be horrified at a whole different level.

00:30:42.500 I think it's a little bit of shut off from civilization at the moment, so we don't see how bad it is.

00:30:47.420 But it's bad.

00:30:49.360 And so let's talk about the politics because I can't ignore it.

00:30:53.940 So Trump has done his Trumpy thing where he can read a room better than anybody.

00:31:02.480 He acts faster.

00:31:03.900 He's a person of action.

00:31:05.780 And he's making all the right moves.

00:31:08.700 And it matters.

00:31:10.680 It matters.

00:31:11.960 The fact that Biden's sitting on the beach and saying, well, I don't want to go because, you know, it'd be too disruptive.

00:31:17.780 At the same time that Trump does go, he has the same level of secret service, pretty big entourage.

00:31:24.520 But he's right there in the middle of it.

00:31:26.020 And he's saying what he can do.

00:31:27.860 And he's trying to work with Elon Musk, who had already committed his Starlink to help them with their communication problem.

00:31:38.540 So Elon was already in.

00:31:40.140 He was in the fight.

00:31:41.320 But Trump talked to him, and I think the story is that, you know, Trump gets some, maybe some credit for getting a little extra help.

00:31:50.140 But Elon was going to do it anyway.

00:31:52.520 But politically, Trump is spinning it as he's part of that process.

00:31:56.920 And maybe.

00:31:57.960 I don't know how much extra he added to what Musk was going to do anyway.

00:32:02.580 But at least it's, at least the story is what we want to see.

00:32:08.160 We want to see a leader go in.

00:32:10.080 We want to see him give attention to it.

00:32:12.000 We want him to show the empathy.

00:32:13.900 We want him to show the capability.

00:32:15.840 We want him to show him acting quickly, making connections, getting things done.

00:32:20.480 So whether or not Trump made any difference whatsoever to what Musk was going to do, it sure looks like they're doing the right things.

00:32:28.800 So on the optics of it, Trump is 100%.

00:32:36.000 100%.

00:32:37.320 Now, he started a GoFundMe.

00:32:42.160 He's doing everything right.

00:32:43.860 He just did everything right.

00:32:45.120 As a politician.

00:32:46.720 Again, I don't think that what Trump did makes a big difference to the actual recovery.

00:32:51.480 But certainly in terms of leadership and showing himself as a leader, 100%.

00:32:58.080 Now, this would have been a lot more important for Trump if he had not already been president.

00:33:05.840 But since we already understand him as a president, when he goes and he acts very presidential, it's really good to do.

00:33:14.980 It's a complete positive.

00:33:17.380 But it could have been even more if we'd never seen him act like a president.

00:33:21.280 But he's done it.

00:33:22.080 So we kind of expect it.

00:33:24.440 I sometimes call this the new CEO move.

00:33:27.220 It's the thing you do before you even have started.

00:33:31.360 You know, and he's good at setting the initial impression.

00:33:35.440 So if the impression that you have when you go to vote is that Trump was all over this flood and Biden was tardy, even if that's not exactly telling you anything useful, maybe what Biden is doing is providing all the resources you would ever need.

00:33:51.520 That's all you really need him to do.

00:33:53.260 Going to the beach probably makes no difference whatsoever to the recovery.

00:33:56.720 But it looks bad.

00:33:57.720 It looks bad.

00:33:59.720 It looks bad.

00:34:00.720 And some of that badness wipes over to Harris as being part of the administration.

00:34:06.940 So Trump, A++, there's nothing bad you can say about it.

00:34:12.940 A++.

00:34:14.240 The people loved that he went there.

00:34:16.180 Nobody said, oh, we would have recovered so much faster except for your disruption.

00:34:21.980 Nope.

00:34:23.020 They just loved it.

00:34:24.320 And they're not going to forget.

00:34:25.980 And let me tell you, if you think this only affects the people who are flooded, you missed the story.

00:34:31.580 This is not just about the people who are up to their wastes in water still.

00:34:37.260 This is about everybody watching because your flood is coming too.

00:34:42.380 You need to know that the government is going to be there and caring because your flood is coming.

00:34:48.020 Not necessarily a flood, but everybody's got something coming.

00:34:51.320 So, yeah, this matters a lot.

00:34:53.240 This could be one of the most consequential events of the election, not just because it's going to slop into October and so close to the election, but it's just such a stark contrast.

00:35:06.000 You can feel the difference in power and leadership, and that just goes right to people's core.

00:35:13.600 You know, all the policy stuff, we just flush that stuff.

00:35:18.200 How does it feel?

00:35:20.120 Right?

00:35:20.660 When the bear is running after you?

00:35:23.240 One leader gets between you and the bear, and the other one runs away.

00:35:27.160 You don't need to talk about policy.

00:35:30.100 The one who got between you and the bear, you're my leader.

00:35:34.360 Let's talk about my attack.

00:35:36.600 I don't care.

00:35:37.820 No, you stood between me and the bear.

00:35:40.220 That part I remember.

00:35:42.380 Trump stands between you and the bear consistently.

00:35:46.020 He took a bullet for you.

00:35:48.260 He's basically all in and risking everything.

00:35:50.940 And, I would argue, so is his pirate ship.

00:35:55.620 Elon Musk is risking a lot.

00:35:59.180 I mean, if Trump loses, I don't even know if Musk can stay in a jail at this point because the Democrats are going to come at him so hard.

00:36:06.400 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:36:09.120 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:36:11.800 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.

00:36:17.800 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.

00:36:23.500 Everything was taken care of under one roof, and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

00:36:27.820 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:36:31.160 But you got there on time.

00:36:33.340 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:36:35.900 Certain conditions apply.

00:36:38.100 RFK Jr. traded most of his family and his reputation and everything.

00:36:44.180 If he doesn't make something happen, as in Trump gets elected and RFK Jr. helps with their food being all poisoned,

00:36:51.220 if he can make that happen, then he wins.

00:36:54.000 But you've got a whole bunch of people who just bet the entire farm.

00:36:58.420 They bet their whole lives.

00:37:00.880 The Democrats are not betting their lives.

00:37:04.220 The Republicans are betting their freedom.

00:37:08.420 Trump and Musk might go to fucking jail or have their businesses ruined if they don't win.

00:37:16.460 This is different.

00:37:18.280 It's very different.

00:37:19.120 All right.

00:37:22.660 I heard a...

00:37:26.840 Oh, and then, of course, it has to be said that, you know, Georgia and North Carolina are two of the swing states that will make the most difference.

00:37:37.260 And there's some accusation that Trump lied when he said that Governor Kemp of Georgia couldn't get through to Biden, but that wasn't true.

00:37:45.480 He did get through.

00:37:46.700 I don't think any of that's important.

00:37:48.280 I don't love it when either of the politicians say something that's not true, but probably Trump had heard about that before Kemp got through, because it wasn't until the end of the day he got through.

00:38:01.080 So I don't think he lied.

00:38:02.420 I think maybe he just didn't have an update on the information.

00:38:04.920 Here is something that I think is a worthy fact check.

00:38:08.820 You know those big numbers about all those criminals that were let in by the Biden administration?

00:38:14.980 It was some gigantic number of active criminals that allegedly were let in the border.

00:38:20.700 Did you know that ICE clarified that that was a cumulative 40-year number?

00:38:27.940 If you thought that happened in four years, that wasn't exactly what happened.

00:38:33.000 It was a 40-year cumulative number and included people who are currently in jail for largely something else, something that happened in this country.

00:38:42.540 So it's not nearly as bad as the top line number suggests, but it's still so bad.

00:38:49.080 And I would add this.

00:38:50.880 How many of the 40-year-ago people are in that list now?

00:38:55.480 You know, when immigration was small, you know, you could take the first 20 years of it and it would kind of equal what the last four years would be, wouldn't it?

00:39:03.980 I think something like that.

00:39:06.340 So since it's so heavily weighted toward things that happened recently, the fact that it's 40 years cumulative doesn't mean as much as it would mean if the same amount came in every year.

00:39:20.780 It's very less than a 40-year cumulative in effect, even though it is.

00:39:25.940 So somewhere in the middle of those two extremes, but certainly there's no doubt that a lot of criminals came in and a lot of sex crime people came in.

00:39:39.420 As you know, the strike is on.

00:39:43.000 I think it's on.

00:39:43.960 The longshoremen on the East Coast and the Gulf, which affects a huge amount of the incoming goods coming into the country in ships.

00:39:54.360 They're not going to be unloaded.

00:39:59.480 And so here's what we need to know.

00:40:03.960 So you got 50,000 members of the International Longshoremen's Association.

00:40:08.600 We don't know what the shortshoremen are doing, but the longshoremen are on strike.

00:40:15.780 The shortshoremen, I think they don't like a lot of publicity, so you never hear from them.

00:40:21.420 But the longshoremen are on strike.

00:40:25.360 And this would affect everything from toys and fresh food, furniture, clothing, household items, and European automobiles.

00:40:32.760 These would be all things you don't need.

00:40:34.720 You know, it's funny how we're such a consumer society that it just seems obvious if you cut off a third of all of our consumer goods coming into the country that we would be crippled by it.

00:40:50.880 Well, I don't see anything on this list I can't live without.

00:40:55.100 Oh, there won't be any toys?

00:40:58.360 Okay.

00:40:59.540 Fresh fruit?

00:41:00.600 Well, first of all, I'll probably get fresh fruit because I'm in California.

00:41:03.320 But could you live without fresh fruit?

00:41:07.820 Yeah.

00:41:08.680 You would eat vegetables and meat and fish.

00:41:11.600 You could live without fresh fruit.

00:41:13.940 How about, I mean, you'd want to get your vitamin C, of course.

00:41:17.360 If you couldn't get new clothing for six months, could you get by?

00:41:24.700 Could you do it?

00:41:26.260 Do you think you could get by without new clothes?

00:41:28.820 Yeah.

00:41:29.700 Yeah.

00:41:30.280 Yeah.

00:41:30.440 Household items?

00:41:33.380 Probably.

00:41:34.600 You need a new toaster, but it's going to take you four months to get one?

00:41:38.520 Who cares?

00:41:39.800 You don't have to have toast.

00:41:42.220 European automobiles?

00:41:43.760 Oh, no.

00:41:45.180 Oh, no.

00:41:45.840 I can't get my European automobiles.

00:41:49.060 I'm not sure I care too much about any of this.

00:41:51.300 I know I should be more worried, and maybe there's some hidden thing where they're manufacturing

00:41:59.360 goods that are not coming in, and that would be more of a problem, I suppose.

00:42:03.820 But we'll see.

00:42:06.000 Now, the fact that this strike is going to happen in October, we don't know how long it

00:42:10.440 will last.

00:42:11.420 We would expect the Biden administration to be totally blamed just because it happens

00:42:16.140 during their watch, even if they had nothing to do with it.

00:42:18.380 So, this would be certainly leaning in a hard way toward Trump.

00:42:26.960 Did you know that in China, some of the ports are fully automated, meaning that instead of

00:42:33.940 longshoremen, there are a bunch of robot trucks and rigs working the dockyard, and it's just

00:42:41.780 people behind a computer screen saying, okay, robot, go pick up that load, bring it over here.

00:42:48.380 Yeah.

00:42:49.540 We are not a first world country.

00:42:53.080 I hate to tell you, but if you looked at South Korea or Japan or a lot of parts of China,

00:43:01.280 they're a whole different level of civilization than we are in America.

00:43:06.380 A different level of civilization.

00:43:09.440 I think I'd lost any sense of how far we were falling behind.

00:43:17.180 It's kind of dangerous territory right now.

00:43:19.340 We're going to have to up our game in America.

00:43:22.960 All right.

00:43:23.260 There are many claims of voting irregularities in the past and things that would affect the

00:43:27.820 future.

00:43:28.600 My take on all the allegations of voting irregularity, most of it has to do with voter rolls and who's

00:43:36.340 registered and what happened in the past.

00:43:40.560 I don't know what's true.

00:43:44.680 You read some claims, and if you haven't seen the reply to the claims about anybody saying,

00:43:52.220 whoa, no, those claims are wrong, and here's why you looked at the wrong column or something

00:43:56.180 like that.

00:43:56.600 I don't always hear the other side, but I'm going to tell you what I see because that's

00:44:03.760 part of the story, just what I'm exposed to.

00:44:06.920 Now, every single day, because people send me things on X, I see these claims.

00:44:13.600 If you haven't seen any of these, this will seem shocking to you, but I tell you in advance,

00:44:19.040 I don't know what's true.

00:44:21.300 They're claims.

00:44:22.120 Now, they have the feel of being true, meaning they have details, they have sources, and they

00:44:29.240 can point to public hearings.

00:44:32.400 So there's a lot to them.

00:44:34.220 They're not made up.

00:44:35.860 I just don't know if there's another side that I haven't heard.

00:44:38.560 So I'm just being as careful as I can to say I don't have any conclusive proof of these

00:44:44.520 irregularities or even how important they are.

00:44:48.500 But here's what I'm hearing.

00:44:49.600 So Liz Harrington, you probably know, is on top of a lot of these claims.

00:44:56.080 So some of the things that she notes on X today, and again, this is just today, right?

00:45:01.400 These are things you might have heard before, but they're bubbling up today.

00:45:07.200 That Fulton County deleted all of its in-person votes.

00:45:12.840 All of their mail-in votes are missing their SHA files, which I guess is important.

00:45:17.060 Then when they tried to recreate the results during the recount, because they had to do

00:45:22.680 a recount, they were more than 17,000 votes short.

00:45:27.480 So they fabricated over 20,000 votes with duplicate and ballots from tabulators that didn't exist.

00:45:34.700 Now, is all of that completely true and in context, and there's nothing else you'd need

00:45:39.460 to know about it?

00:45:40.140 Well, if it is completely true and there's nothing else you need to know about it, it certainly

00:45:47.940 isn't true that we have elections with any integrity.

00:45:51.480 I mean, this is a key county in a key state.

00:45:56.320 Fulton, that's Georgia, right?

00:45:58.260 Also, Liz Harrington noted today, also an X, that there are two experts that testified in

00:46:06.900 DeKalb.

00:46:07.900 DeKalb?

00:46:08.840 Am I saying that right?

00:46:09.800 D-E-K-A-L-B.

00:46:12.340 DeKalb?

00:46:13.480 DeKalb?

00:46:14.360 I don't know.

00:46:15.140 It's a county.

00:46:17.540 So this is also a Georgia issue.

00:46:19.740 Uh, said that the, uh, election systems in, uh, Gwinnett County, Georgia, uh, were remotely

00:46:26.960 accessed from Belgrade, Serbia during the 2020 election.

00:46:31.840 And that similar things happened in Colorado, Michigan, and other states.

00:46:36.540 Now, do I know for sure, uh, I'm being corrected that it's DeKalb.

00:46:43.020 All right.

00:46:43.960 Silent L.

00:46:44.560 Uh, I would like to protest the use of silent vowels.

00:46:50.780 I believe all the silent vowels should be removed from all of our words and donated to

00:46:56.180 countries where they don't have enough vowels or consonants.

00:47:00.260 We could call them consonants in this case.

00:47:02.340 They don't have enough letters.

00:47:04.160 So we should take away our silent ones and donate them.

00:47:08.200 Anyway, if it's true that a Serbian, uh, person accessed our voting machine,

00:47:14.540 during the elections, that would seem very distressing.

00:47:19.960 If on top of that, the separate, separately, there are reports that most of the voting machines

00:47:26.140 have the password in plain text on the, on the machine.

00:47:30.520 So anybody could get in and make anything and change anything they want.

00:47:34.520 Again, I don't know the details of that claim, or if that's true, I suspect not all of these

00:47:39.840 things are true, but I'm hearing them and I'm not hearing the debunks, but not hearing

00:47:46.680 the debunk doesn't mean the debunk doesn't exist.

00:47:50.080 So I don't want to be a Democrat and say that if I haven't heard of something, it doesn't

00:47:54.040 exist.

00:47:55.140 That's not a thing.

00:47:56.600 All I know is I haven't heard of the other.

00:47:58.680 I haven't heard the other side.

00:48:00.760 Doesn't mean that doesn't exist.

00:48:02.380 Here's another one.

00:48:05.360 Apparently in Arizona, 218,000 people who did not prove that they're citizens are on the

00:48:13.040 voter rolls.

00:48:14.960 But don't worry.

00:48:16.220 Don't worry.

00:48:17.640 I know what you're thinking.

00:48:18.980 You're thinking if 218,000 people in the Arizona voter rolls have not proven that they're

00:48:24.900 citizens, and then they were to vote, and let's say some of them were not citizens, then

00:48:30.820 that would be bad for the election.

00:48:33.100 But don't worry, people.

00:48:34.340 Don't worry.

00:48:34.760 There's a part I didn't tell you.

00:48:36.020 It's all okay.

00:48:37.260 Because the plan is that after the election, those people will be contacted to make sure

00:48:42.460 that their votes were valid.

00:48:45.880 After the election.

00:48:50.480 After the election.

00:48:51.680 Did I mention that they'll find out if they could have voted after the election?

00:48:56.940 Now, do you think that whatever happens, if some of those votes are challenged, do you

00:49:03.240 think that our legal system would rapidly get in there and correct it, and then they'd

00:49:08.180 hold a new vote, and they'd adjust it, and they'd recount it, and thank God we've got

00:49:13.160 that process to check them after the election?

00:49:16.480 No, I kind of assume there's not going to be enough time.

00:49:20.300 Don't you?

00:49:20.920 I feel like they're going to have to pick a winner long before they've called 218,000

00:49:28.500 people and checked their ID.

00:49:31.480 I feel like that's just a big gaping hole in our system.

00:49:36.680 And again, I don't know if it's true.

00:49:39.280 So for all of the election claim stories, I'll say the same thing.

00:49:42.280 I don't know if they're true.

00:49:43.620 I don't even know how to know.

00:49:45.600 But the claims exist.

00:49:47.220 Do you remember the story about, I think, Jason from the All In Pod, hi, Jason, you're

00:49:55.540 probably watching, had mentioned that January 6th was an insurrection not only because of

00:50:03.900 the protesters, many of whom were, not many, but some were violent.

00:50:09.520 So there's two sort of related but separate claims about January 6th.

00:50:14.260 One is that the actual protesting was an insurrection, but that's silly because nobody

00:50:20.180 believes that you can overtake a superpower by sauntering through one building.

00:50:26.100 Literally nobody in the world thinks that you can overtake the United States by wandering

00:50:31.800 around without showing any weapons except some blunt objects.

00:50:37.140 However, that wasn't the whole story.

00:50:38.800 Part of the story was the electors, the alternate electors, who Democrats called fake electors,

00:50:46.220 were selected.

00:50:48.160 The story was that they were activated to preserve the legal challenge.

00:50:57.860 So it was basically a positioning thing.

00:51:01.060 And obviously, a court would have to be involved or Congress would have to be involved.

00:51:05.580 But it wasn't supposed to be the final answer.

00:51:08.440 It was a positioning to hold a little more authority should the courts or somebody else

00:51:14.540 get involved.

00:51:15.800 You could say, well, you've got two claims here, so you're going to have to decide which

00:51:19.380 one.

00:51:20.680 So I don't have enough of a legal background, none, to say whether that was ever a good plan.

00:51:27.340 We can say it didn't work out, but that's different from saying it wasn't ever a good

00:51:31.780 plan in the first place.

00:51:34.920 However, we got some new news on that.

00:51:38.980 The Arizona Attorney General, who was prosecuting those Trump electors, the so-called alternate

00:51:46.280 and or fake electors.

00:51:47.840 So a number of them were going to be prosecuted, but apparently at some point, the integrity

00:51:55.420 of the voting system has been in so much question that it does look like the election was

00:52:03.380 challengeable, meaning that the electors had a case.

00:52:09.480 Doesn't mean they're right.

00:52:11.780 Doesn't mean they're right.

00:52:12.980 But that they're eliminating from the analysis that the electors were just trying to steal

00:52:20.540 the election.

00:52:22.880 How big a deal is that?

00:52:25.980 So apparently the legal system, at least in one specific case, if I'm and by the way, I'd

00:52:32.980 look for a fact check on this because when I when I look at the election legality stuff,

00:52:38.300 I'm not the person to depend on.

00:52:40.080 But according to the Gateway Pundit, so you could look there for more information, that

00:52:47.960 the known errors in the Arizona Motor Vehicle Department caused nearly 100,000 voter registrations

00:52:55.300 to be validated without verifying citizenship.

00:52:59.480 And that this issue has persisted for over 20 years.

00:53:03.500 So for 20 years, there's been 100,000 people on the voter rolls that we didn't know if they

00:53:11.380 were citizens or not, or how many were citizens, how many were not.

00:53:14.760 And that would be enough if there was anything wrong within that group of people in terms of

00:53:19.920 their votes, that would be enough to completely change the election result.

00:53:23.560 So, if this is now a known fact to the courts, that we couldn't know for sure who won in Arizona,

00:53:32.440 that means, I think, that the so-called fake or so-called alternate Trump electors were on solid ground.

00:53:45.240 Now, am I right about that?

00:53:49.500 I'll need a fact check on that.

00:53:51.220 I'm going to say I should remain humble about my understanding of the law.

00:53:56.340 So, slap me down if I got that wrong, or if there's another way to look at it.

00:54:01.560 But it does look like the whole argument about January 6th just disappeared.

00:54:06.700 Because if it's true, in Georgia and in Arizona, that there's plenty of reason to think that the

00:54:15.760 election might have been rigged, certainly not proven, definitely not proven, but certainly

00:54:21.160 enough irregularities that preparing for how to handle the irregularities was completely

00:54:29.340 justifiable.

00:54:30.440 Doesn't mean you know how it's going to end up, but preparing, because you saw that something

00:54:37.480 looked irregular, and then finding out that something was irregular, doesn't mean it was

00:54:43.300 wrong, but it was irregular, and that's why they prepared, just in case the irregularities

00:54:49.720 could be, you know, quickly handled.

00:54:52.220 They weren't.

00:54:55.240 So, that could be a nice little October surprise.

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00:55:12.540 You're richer than you think.

00:55:14.780 Libs of TikTok is telling us, reminding us, that the California governor, Newsom, just signed

00:55:20.280 a bill making it illegal for local governments to make sure that people are citizens before

00:55:26.920 they vote.

00:55:28.040 Now, why would you do that?

00:55:30.440 Why would you go so far as to pass a law to make sure we don't know if the election

00:55:36.740 is real?

00:55:38.540 I can see passing a law to make sure an election is real, and the right people have voted,

00:55:45.400 and they're counted right.

00:55:47.380 What would be the reasoning to pass a law to make sure that you couldn't tell if the election

00:55:52.800 was real?

00:55:53.340 What's the reason for that?

00:55:55.780 Well, the reason given is, oh, we don't want to discourage people from voting.

00:56:00.320 Nobody believes that.

00:56:01.640 Even the people saying it, no, that's not true.

00:56:04.560 So, I don't know what the real reason is, but let me ask you this provocative question.

00:56:09.860 What does it mean?

00:56:14.080 Like, how should I understand the fact that if there were a plot to destroy America that

00:56:20.180 came from somewhere, I'm not even going to speculate where.

00:56:23.520 If there were some kind of a long-term plot to destroy America, why would it look exactly

00:56:32.040 like what the Democrats are doing?

00:56:34.200 And I'm not even making a political comment.

00:56:37.280 For example, open borders is not really a political topic.

00:56:41.960 That's destroy the country or not destroy the country.

00:56:47.400 What is even the politics on that?

00:56:50.820 How about DEI?

00:56:53.080 Now, DEI, you can say, oh, we want some equity, but there's nobody in the world who thinks it's

00:56:58.020 a good idea to throw gravel into a machine, and DEI is just gravel in the machine.

00:57:03.900 You would do that if you were trying to destroy America, right?

00:57:08.240 You would look for ways to create division and something that can never be solved, because

00:57:14.600 we'll never agree what's fair.

00:57:18.020 And the whole equity thing, if an enemy implemented that or some enemy of America tried to get

00:57:26.000 us to buy into equity as the right way to go, that would destroy America, and they would

00:57:32.860 know that.

00:57:33.500 And Democrats are doing that, exactly what an enemy would do.

00:57:38.240 There's no difference.

00:57:39.560 If the enemy could have done this to us, they would have.

00:57:43.820 Maybe they did.

00:57:45.580 I can't tell the difference.

00:57:47.260 How about having no election control?

00:57:49.920 You know, all the irregularities I just told you about, again, I don't know if those irregularities

00:57:54.660 led to a wrong result.

00:57:57.160 We don't know that.

00:57:58.240 But we do know that it is very possible to have a clean election that everybody trusts.

00:58:04.420 Paper ballots, make sure somebody observes it, recount them if you need to.

00:58:09.540 So why would we go so far out of our way to make sure that we have machines we don't trust,

00:58:16.220 or that we make sure we don't verify people's identity?

00:58:19.540 I can't think of any reason other than just destroy the country.

00:58:24.680 Can you?

00:58:26.440 What's the second reason?

00:58:28.880 How about unlimited spending?

00:58:31.200 If you were going to try to destroy America, if you could do it, you'd find a way to make

00:58:38.780 Congress spend unlimited amounts of money with no way to repay it ever.

00:58:43.940 And we are.

00:58:45.680 How about legalizing crime so that the entire retail, you know, urban retail business just

00:58:53.260 disappears, destroys the cities?

00:58:56.300 Who would do that?

00:58:58.640 An enemy.

00:58:59.520 An enemy would do that.

00:59:01.440 But in what world does somebody who's on your side do any of this?

00:59:06.320 None of this is something you do to people on your own team.

00:59:11.680 This is something you do if you're trying to destroy the country.

00:59:16.220 Now, it could be there's some kind of weird mental health problem or criminal enterprise or

00:59:23.140 something that's going on.

00:59:25.400 There might be some other explanation.

00:59:27.400 But whenever you see a situation where one political party is going out of its way to

00:59:32.440 do things which on any logical level would destroy the country, that doesn't look like

00:59:38.160 politics to me.

00:59:40.160 And I've never said this before.

00:59:43.320 Every other election I've ever seen looked like politics.

00:59:46.580 It looked like one party has a preference of how to approach something.

00:59:50.680 The other party had a different preference.

00:59:52.260 That's not what's happening.

00:59:53.120 This is nothing like politics.

00:59:55.600 This looks exactly like a planned, brilliant attack on the integrity of the United States

01:00:01.540 to destroy it from a foundational level.

01:00:05.460 First, you get rid of our common understanding and our common stories and our melting pot.

01:00:11.860 You just get rid of all that and turn us into a festering, diversity pot of racial anxiety.

01:00:18.800 That's how you destroy a country.

01:00:22.180 Anyway, so we don't know what's going on there.

01:00:24.080 A Michigan Democrat Senate candidate who apparently has access to some internal polling, meaning

01:00:33.760 privately funded polling that the public doesn't see, according to the Daily Wire, they're reporting

01:00:40.300 on this.

01:00:40.680 And the Democrat Senate candidate says their internal polling doesn't match the public polls.

01:00:47.240 And specifically, quote, I'm not feeling my best right now about where we are in Kamala Harris

01:00:53.980 in a place like Michigan.

01:00:55.740 So this is Elisa Slutkin.

01:00:59.480 So she's opening, running for a seat.

01:01:02.100 So apparently the internal pollings look dismal, while the external polling says that Harris will win.

01:01:09.760 How do you explain the existence of internal polling?

01:01:13.280 Why does internal polling exist?

01:01:18.420 Why would you pay for something that's free and not only free, but being provided by, what, 25 different pollsters for free?

01:01:28.720 You just read the news like I do.

01:01:30.600 Oh, looks like I'm ahead.

01:01:32.320 Oh, looks like I'm not.

01:01:34.140 Now, some of the questions are the ones that would be specific to one candidate.

01:01:38.660 So that makes sense.

01:01:39.580 But they seem to also ask the question, who would you vote for, which is what the big pollsters do.

01:01:45.520 Why do you need internal ones?

01:01:48.120 There's only one reason.

01:01:50.700 It's because you think the external ones are liars.

01:01:55.320 The entire internal polling business probably wouldn't even exist, except that people assume the public ones are fake.

01:02:04.180 What else would it be?

01:02:05.360 Why would you pay for something that's free?

01:02:06.760 Again, except for those specific questions that the public ones don't ask.

01:02:13.280 Anyway, so maybe that's a surprise coming.

01:02:18.900 Hillary Clinton says, and it's amazing that the top Democrats are saying this clearly and in public, that the press needs a consistent narrative about the danger of Trump.

01:02:30.500 At the same time, the Democrats are trying to get rid of misinformation and disinformation.

01:02:43.180 I don't think they could be more clear that they want to just control what you think.

01:02:47.820 And they have no interest in what's real.

01:02:50.260 None whatsoever.

01:02:51.020 Now, it's not like I discovered the fact that people are selfish, lying weasels, but here it is.

01:02:59.720 But more ominously, Hillary says she predicts an October surprise that would be negative to Kamala Harris.

01:03:09.900 She doesn't know what it would be, but she thinks it's coming.

01:03:14.180 Now, do you think she really doesn't know what it is?

01:03:19.060 Do you think she would say that if she didn't actually know what the surprise is?

01:03:24.340 Because whatever the Republicans may or may not have cooked up in their opposition's research, Hillary probably knows what it is.

01:03:35.340 Don't you think?

01:03:36.640 Don't you think she's inside the tent?

01:03:39.680 The people inside the tent know what's going on.

01:03:43.480 Do you think it's alcohol?

01:03:44.840 Do you think we're going to find in October that Kamala has a drinking problem or a pill problem?

01:03:54.340 I'm going to say, again, it looks obvious to me that some of her public appearances are inebriated and others are not.

01:04:03.940 So maybe Republicans are waiting for that, you know, waiting to unleash that.

01:04:09.820 Maybe Hillary would know.

01:04:11.820 There's not a chance in the world, not even the slightest chance, that if there were anything to that, if there were any kind of substance abuse problem, that Hillary wouldn't know.

01:04:22.200 She would know.

01:04:22.900 She would know.

01:04:27.260 Anyway, October surprises, we've got plenty coming.

01:04:32.860 Department of Homeland Security, Mayorkas, was asked about the floods, and he blamed climate change.

01:04:43.580 He didn't blame it, but he said we should be ready because the severity and frequency of the big storms will be more.

01:04:49.040 That, by the way, is not backed by any evidence whatsoever.

01:04:53.080 But I think he was looking for a way to blame it on Trump, sort of indirectly.

01:04:58.540 It's like, well, those people who are opposed to climate change are going to make this much worse in the future.

01:05:04.120 Now, I don't think there's any evidence of that.

01:05:06.320 But he said it now.

01:05:08.960 Interestingly, this came about the same time I saw Greg Goff held on the five saying that there seemed to be some kind of a sea change in how the press was handling stuff like this, because the press on their own had not mentioned climate change.

01:05:26.500 But Mayorkas did.

01:05:28.500 Now, Mayorkas is not the press, right?

01:05:32.760 He's just a weasel.

01:05:35.840 But it does look, I'm going to agree with Greg, it does look like the press has now been trained that the big storms are not necessarily linked to climate change.

01:05:47.740 At least we haven't seen it now.

01:05:49.660 Bjorn Lomborg is a big part of that story.

01:05:52.060 He's done a great job in telling us what's real and what isn't on the climate situation.

01:06:00.560 Speaking of climate.

01:06:01.560 And speaking of censorship, here's a little thing that I think is way more fun than you know is coming.

01:06:11.720 We all assume that the people who want to censor you are going to work like hell to control AI and to control all of our searching and everything.

01:06:22.100 So we know that's going to happen.

01:06:23.500 But what if AI is uncontrollable, meaning that you can't really tell it to lie, you can maybe tell it to avoid some topics.

01:06:35.280 But I don't know if you can tell it to lie because you'd have to cover every possibility and hard code it.

01:06:41.220 I'm not sure you could.

01:06:43.000 So I had this interesting conversation with ChatGPT yesterday.

01:06:47.620 And by the way, it's new advanced speaking mode is definitely an improvement.

01:06:51.840 It's quite fun.

01:06:54.240 So I was having a conversation with it about how the temperature of the Earth is measured.

01:07:00.160 And here's what AI told me.

01:07:01.820 Now, I can't say it's true.

01:07:03.660 I'll just tell you what AI told me.

01:07:05.880 So AI said that most of the world's heat is in the oceans.

01:07:11.160 First of all, did you know that?

01:07:13.060 That most of the climate change heat would be found in the ocean.

01:07:18.420 Secondly, did you know it's mostly in the top?

01:07:21.840 So the bottom, bottom of the deepest part of the ocean doesn't change much.

01:07:26.160 It's just a little bit above zero.

01:07:27.760 Again, this is what AI says.

01:07:29.580 If it hallucinated, I didn't check it.

01:07:33.520 So most of the heat would be in the top few hundred meters of the ocean.

01:07:37.920 And if you can measure it, you'd have a good idea of what's happening with climate change.

01:07:44.600 So I asked questions about how well we can measure things.

01:07:49.080 And I said, how many ways are there to measure?

01:07:51.480 They said, well, you can use satellites to look at atmosphere and I think maybe the surface of the water.

01:07:57.660 But that doesn't tell you the big story, because below the surface is where most of the heat is.

01:08:05.800 And they said, well, you can put buoys.

01:08:08.800 There are thousands of buoys that have thermometers in them.

01:08:12.100 And they'll give you the temperature.

01:08:14.520 I'm like, great.

01:08:16.620 And then I said, so why do you have satellites?

01:08:19.920 If the buoys are good at getting the temperature, why do you have satellites?

01:08:23.000 And I said, well, because the satellites plus the buoys can be used in a way that gives you a better temperature.

01:08:33.720 And I said, I don't understand that.

01:08:36.180 Isn't one of them better than the other?

01:08:38.140 Why don't you use the one that's better?

01:08:39.900 If the satellite is better, use that.

01:08:42.980 If the water thing is better, use that.

01:08:45.140 And then I said, well, both of them are maybe not 100% complete, but if you use the one as a way to bolster or fortify your estimates, they can be compatible.

01:09:03.160 And I said, it sounds like you're working a cubicle and you're lying to your boss right now.

01:09:10.300 Because let me ask this again.

01:09:12.420 Again, if both of those ways of measuring are known to be not reliable, which is why you would use the other one to check the first one and vice versa, how do you use both of them to check each other if you know they're both wrong?

01:09:32.340 And I said, how do you combine two things you know are wrong and then you get something you rely on?

01:09:39.000 And then it went into total jargon.

01:09:43.100 Well, you know, the estimates of the thing, the thing of the way, the combined, the models.

01:09:49.800 And then it said it combines it with the prediction models.

01:09:53.680 And I said, hold on, hold on.

01:09:56.880 Are you telling me that they don't just report the temperature?

01:10:00.380 Rather, they've got some kind of a way that they adjust it with estimates?

01:10:06.620 Yes, they adjust it with estimates.

01:10:09.640 So you're not seeing the actual temperature as the machines reported it.

01:10:14.000 You're seeing them after the scientist did their magic and adjusted it.

01:10:19.160 And then I said, well, how did they know they adjusted it to something correct, given that there's no standard, which you already think is correct, that you could compare their estimates to?

01:10:32.000 Well, I said, that's a good point.

01:10:33.980 They are estimates.

01:10:35.020 They're estimates based on their assumptions about how two ways of measuring things that are incomplete might be used together to fix each other's problems.

01:10:48.380 Now, have any of you ever lived in the real world for more than five minutes?

01:10:53.220 Anybody?

01:10:54.400 Has anybody dealt with anything in the real world?

01:10:57.580 If you have, do I need to say anything else?

01:11:04.080 If somebody came to you and said, we have two incomplete ways of measuring a thing, but if we add them together, not knowing which errors each of them has, we can use that to correct with our algorithm and our models.

01:11:18.760 And then we go back and then we check and then we adjust.

01:11:21.140 And then I said, all this, why do we develop new ways to measure temperature if the old ways were good?

01:11:33.980 And AI said, well, that's a good question.

01:11:38.360 So here's my point.

01:11:41.080 I could have a conversation with AI and do you know what AI didn't do?

01:11:47.240 It didn't run out the clock like a person would.

01:11:51.140 Like if you've trapped somebody with a question they couldn't answer, they will change the subject.

01:11:56.760 Do you know what AI does?

01:11:58.680 Tries to answer the question.

01:12:00.640 It doesn't change the subject.

01:12:02.800 It doesn't call me a racist.

01:12:05.040 It doesn't introduce information that's off topic like all humans do.

01:12:10.640 So I was able to use AI to completely debunk climate change because the climate change people were not clever enough to know that they'd left this hole in the AI.

01:12:22.080 Now that I've said it, I don't know.

01:12:25.020 Maybe somebody goes back and tries to fix that so it won't talk about climate change.

01:12:29.720 But you ask AI how they measure the temperature and just dig down and then say, if they keep adjusting the temperature, how do they know they ever got it right in the past?

01:12:42.280 There's no answer to that.

01:12:44.120 They can't know anything was right in the past because they use different measurements.

01:12:47.800 And here's the best part.

01:12:48.680 Even the buoys is not exactly the same technology as when the first round of buoys were put in the water.

01:12:57.980 And sometimes the buoys give you a wrong measurement.

01:13:04.440 Do you know what they do when a buoy seems to have the wrong temperature?

01:13:07.400 They use their adjustments and their models and their algorithms and the other temperature ways to adjust it for an estimate.

01:13:16.280 But it's so clearly bullshit.

01:13:21.240 If you were in a corporation and one of your employees came to you and told you that story, that they're using all kinds of different equipment that changes over time and they're using their math and their estimates and their algorithms to correct it, you would laugh them out of your office.

01:13:37.340 Unless it was what you wanted to hear, and then you'd say, sounds good.

01:13:43.680 So we accept whatever we want to hear that we think is already right.

01:13:48.820 Anyway, that's a big hole in AI.

01:13:50.700 AI might give you holes where you could find the truth, even when the people in charge are trying to hide it.

01:13:57.140 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?

01:14:05.560 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans.

01:14:08.680 Are those from Winners?

01:14:10.180 Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings?

01:14:12.640 Did she pay full price?

01:14:14.000 Or that leather tote?

01:14:15.000 Or that cashmere sweater?

01:14:16.220 Or those knee-high boots?

01:14:17.660 That dress?

01:14:18.480 That jacket?

01:14:19.160 Those shoes?

01:14:20.180 Is anyone paying full price for anything?

01:14:23.140 Stop wondering.

01:14:24.420 Start winning.

01:14:25.340 Winners.

01:14:25.920 Find fabulous for less.

01:14:28.660 All right.

01:14:30.940 Trump said that one rough hour of policing would end crime.

01:14:35.560 I love his hyperbole.

01:14:38.480 Now, is this going to get fact-checked by MSNBC?

01:14:41.840 I don't think it's one hour.

01:14:44.380 I don't know.

01:14:44.640 One hour sounds too short.

01:14:46.460 So we're going to do some calculations to find out if crime could be eliminated in one hour.

01:14:52.740 Nope.

01:14:53.260 We had some experts on, and they said nobody could eliminate crime in one hour.

01:14:57.940 Well, let me tell you what you could do.

01:14:59.860 You could have the police beat the living shit out of some shoplifters, and then put it on video, and then send it around and say, this is our new policy.

01:15:13.020 You see what we're doing to these shoplifters?

01:15:15.260 We're going to do this to you.

01:15:16.300 No more free shoplifting.

01:15:17.400 That would pretty much reduce shoplifting by 50% in one hour.

01:15:23.000 Yep.

01:15:23.980 Now, it's still a major, it's a big exaggeration, but we know what he means, right?

01:15:31.280 If you know how words are used, you know what he means.

01:15:35.480 I'll go further and say that 60% of all of our political problems are Democrats pretending they don't know how words work.

01:15:46.100 Oh, well, he said fine people.

01:15:48.760 Oh, but he said that out of context.

01:15:51.220 Oh, there's no way a toddler could eat 14 eggs a day.

01:15:55.700 It's like they don't understand how normal words work in the real world.

01:16:00.060 And we pretend like this is some kind of political difference.

01:16:03.720 It's not a political difference.

01:16:05.480 One side is pretending they don't know how language works.

01:16:09.720 What's up with that?

01:16:12.780 It's like every topic you always get back to.

01:16:16.140 Well, but if he knew how words work, I think you'd look at this differently.

01:16:23.740 Julian Assange says the CIA targeted his wife and his son and him.

01:16:28.700 And he said that by 2017, WikiLeaks knew that the CIA had infiltrated the French political parties and spying on the French and German leaders.

01:16:39.000 And they said that the CIA director at the time, Pompeo, launched a campaign of retribution.

01:16:45.160 And according to Assange, he says it's now a matter of public record that under Pompeo's explicit direction, the CIA drew up plans to kidnap and assassinate him within the Ecuadorian embassy in London and authorized going after his European colleagues, subjecting them to theft, hacking attacks and planting of false information.

01:17:06.680 And his wife and his wife and his wife and his wife and his wife and his wife and his wife and his wife and son were also targeted.

01:17:09.920 And somebody was assigned, the CIA asset was assigned to track his wife.

01:17:13.960 and to try to get a DNA sample from his six-month-old's diaper.

01:17:23.440 Okay. Wow.

01:17:26.640 He says, this is the testimony of more than 30 current and former U.S. intel officials

01:17:31.240 speaking to the U.S. press, corroborated, blah, blah, blah.

01:17:37.100 Wow.

01:17:40.880 Wow.

01:17:41.400 You know, it's hard to believe what happens in the real world.

01:17:47.240 I think the worst parts of our country are the things that we just can't believe

01:17:53.980 because our brain won't allow us.

01:17:56.660 Like for most of my life, I just assumed it wasn't possible that the CIA killed Kennedy

01:18:02.160 and blamed it on somebody else because my brain couldn't process that.

01:18:07.460 It wasn't just that people said, oh, no, it was a lone shooter.

01:18:10.680 It was that my brain could not handle the idea that the CIA would kill our president

01:18:15.640 and get away with it.

01:18:17.080 Now I think, totally possible.

01:18:21.120 Don't know.

01:18:22.520 Don't know for sure, because how would I know for sure?

01:18:26.260 But is it within the realm of normal behavior that you could observe in your lifetime?

01:18:32.900 Yup.

01:18:33.320 Is it possible that some members of the United States tried to kill Trump twice?

01:18:38.840 I have no knowledge of any connection to anything domestic or international.

01:18:47.160 But yes, yes, that is within the realm of normal, ordinary American business.

01:18:53.460 Unfortunately, it's within the realm.

01:18:55.500 All right, what else?

01:19:00.760 Here's a thing that keeps popping up, that the anecdotal lived experience of what voters

01:19:09.160 are saying on the streets is not matching the polls at all.

01:19:12.820 So CBS, which, as you know, is no friend to Trump, Major Garrett, who's the name of a person,

01:19:20.920 he's not a military person, his first name is Major, he talked to 20 voters, and they

01:19:28.800 were all made up their mind, and they're all Trump voters.

01:19:31.780 How in the world do you find 20 people in a row that are all Trump voters?

01:19:34.880 I'm not sure if he said it as clearly as I just said it, so maybe I got that wrong.

01:19:40.840 But the idea was that if you're in your little bubble and you can't imagine that anybody would

01:19:46.740 like Trump, it completely goes away when you walk outdoors.

01:19:51.500 Because how many times now have we seen a story where somebody who you imagine is leaning

01:19:56.740 left or is part of the left-leaning media has talked to people on the streets or in a

01:20:01.920 restaurant, and they come back and say, um, a funny thing happened.

01:20:07.720 Almost everybody I talked to was solidly pro-Trump.

01:20:12.100 Now, how many times have we seen the same news story with different people in different situations?

01:20:17.340 And not once, not once has somebody come back and said, you know, honestly, everybody said

01:20:23.200 they're voting for Harris.

01:20:24.380 I don't see how Trump could win.

01:20:28.040 Now, I get that this is anecdotal.

01:20:29.840 It's not scientific.

01:20:31.920 But if all the anecdotes are in the same direction, there has not been one reported

01:20:38.200 anecdote that I've seen where somebody went to some kind of general crowd of citizens and

01:20:44.020 found that most of them supported Harris.

01:20:49.160 Yeah.

01:20:49.720 I think there's some fake news on the Kamala Harris taking a phone call about the flood.

01:20:59.320 I saw it in the comments.

01:21:00.500 Somebody said that.

01:21:01.440 So there's a story that Kamala Harris has a staged photo where she's got a phone on an

01:21:07.640 airplane.

01:21:08.220 It's on her little table in front of her.

01:21:09.940 But at the same time, she's looking at the phone like she's having this call with flood

01:21:17.140 officials or something.

01:21:18.760 She's got an earpiece in that's got a wire.

01:21:22.160 It's a wired earpiece that goes down some, you know, it's not attached to the phone.

01:21:27.080 So people said she's pretending that she's on the phone call, but it's staged because you

01:21:34.280 can tell she doesn't have her earpiece plugged into the phone.

01:21:37.180 So that's fake news.

01:21:41.600 That's fake news for at least one of two reasons.

01:21:45.940 Number one, you wouldn't be able to tell from the picture whether it was plugged in because

01:21:52.020 if the wire went from where it was into her lap and then back up into the back of the phone,

01:21:58.120 you wouldn't be able to see it necessarily.

01:22:00.880 Right.

01:22:01.300 So first of all, it might've been plugged into the phone.

01:22:03.480 Secondly, if she was using the speakerphone and she just didn't feel like taking out the

01:22:11.680 earpiece that she uses all the time, because we've seen her with the earpiece on, she may

01:22:17.440 have just been having a, you know, a voice call on the speakerphone and she just didn't

01:22:23.500 bother to take out her earpiece, which would be fine because you could hear fine as long

01:22:27.480 as the earpiece is not on.

01:22:28.500 Thirdly, people, all photos are staged.

01:22:38.220 If you thought this was the one non-staged photo, no, all photos are staged.

01:22:44.160 All the political ones, they're all staged.

01:22:47.360 So whether or not she was on a real phone call, it doesn't make any difference.

01:22:52.320 I mean, I don't think she made up the fact she made a phone call.

01:22:54.800 But no, it's fake news at least three different ways.

01:22:59.420 I don't know which of them is more applicable, but that's not a story.

01:23:04.200 You've got like 40 people dead in two states underwater and you're worried about a staged

01:23:10.120 photo.

01:23:11.800 Nothing's less important than that.

01:23:13.740 You can't go lower than that in importance.

01:23:16.120 Trump has said that if, Elon Musk has said if Trump loses, he said, quote, to be precise,

01:23:26.540 the machine that controls the Kamala puppet will come after me and even more than it currently

01:23:33.260 does.

01:23:33.680 I think that's true.

01:23:34.640 He's in trouble.

01:23:36.200 There's a story about Laureen Powell Jobs, who was Steve Jobs' widow.

01:23:41.280 Apparently, she's just about best friends with Kamala Harris and she owns the Atlantic and

01:23:47.860 the Atlantic is this anti-Trump garbage propaganda piece.

01:23:53.680 And they say she has a hidden but key role in ousting Biden and she might be the most essential

01:23:59.400 confidant.

01:24:01.220 Isn't that interesting that Steve Jobs did so much for the country?

01:24:07.100 If you look at the economic success of Apple and what it gave us and everything, but also

01:24:13.300 may have been one of the, you may have married a woman who after he died was instrumental in

01:24:19.480 destroying it.

01:24:20.380 Because I already made the argument that the Democrat policies look like they're designed

01:24:24.200 to destroy the country.

01:24:25.800 It's hard to imagine they would have any other purpose.

01:24:28.620 And she is a key player in that.

01:24:30.560 So, this problem of rich, capable people leaving their money to stupid people is a real problem.

01:24:49.220 So, billionaires, think twice about who you're leaving your money to.

01:24:53.720 Because I don't know what Steve Jobs would have said about politics or maybe he just would

01:25:02.260 have stayed out of it, which would have been the right play, actually.

01:25:05.740 But, I mean, this is terrible.

01:25:09.300 You look at, what's his name, Bezos, Jeff Bezos' wife, takes her many billions of dollars

01:25:18.960 and becomes a major donor.

01:25:23.100 So, yeah, that's a problem.

01:25:26.300 So, the second attempted assassination guy, Ruth, pled not guilty.

01:25:32.400 Now, you might say, how in the world could he be not guilty?

01:25:35.760 They have every evidence in the world.

01:25:37.880 But I listened to an Alan Dershowitz podcast, The Dershow, and he said something that just

01:25:44.720 blew my mind.

01:25:45.500 First of all, he says he might be the world's best expert in this domain.

01:25:53.480 So, I always listen to him.

01:25:55.360 But here's the issue.

01:25:58.080 It's not, it wasn't an assassination because nobody got killed.

01:26:03.780 But it also, perhaps, this is Dershowitz's take, it might not be.

01:26:09.100 It might not be an attempt because if they can show that Trump was never where he could

01:26:17.000 have aimed his gun at him, then you have failed to prove an attempt.

01:26:23.040 You may have proved that there was some mental thought, that you were definitely thinking

01:26:31.920 about it.

01:26:32.880 But if there was never any chance you could have done it, then they can't get you on the

01:26:37.880 murder or the attempt because no attempt happened.

01:26:41.100 So, your common sense says that was an attempt.

01:26:44.920 That was definitely an attempt.

01:26:46.140 You didn't pull the trigger, but that was an attempt.

01:26:49.480 But apparently, the law does make a distinction that if you didn't get the actual literal ability

01:26:55.400 to do it, you never satisfied an attempt.

01:26:59.080 Now, I might be wrong on the legal part of that, so listen to the Dershowitz show if you

01:27:03.540 want more on that.

01:27:07.960 So, Israel is going into Lebanon.

01:27:11.740 I would expect that you're not going to hear, you're not going to see or hear much about it

01:27:16.360 from the press because it would be too dangerous for the press and neither side wants the press

01:27:21.120 in there, I don't think.

01:27:21.960 So, it's going to be weirdly quiet for a war.

01:27:27.660 And here are some of the things we know.

01:27:32.640 The timing is kind of perfect because America is so distracted that Israel probably can just

01:27:40.300 get away with more than they could in a normal situation.

01:27:43.300 If we had a strong president who was in office and had three more years to go, I think they'd

01:27:49.760 have to work with us a little more closely.

01:27:51.960 Now, at the moment, America is claiming, well, we didn't know.

01:27:55.980 Well, we weren't filled in.

01:27:57.540 I think that's probably all not true, but they can claim it.

01:28:01.520 And people say, oh, okay, America's off the hook a little bit.

01:28:05.000 Not totally, but at least a little bit because you weren't directly involved in this.

01:28:09.440 So, it's probably smart that America pretends not to be involved or they pretend as hard as

01:28:15.800 they can not to be involved with every single part of it.

01:28:18.440 So, it's just good for America to not look like we're just doing whatever Israel wants

01:28:23.180 us to do.

01:28:25.660 But here's what Netanyahu said in a longer speech.

01:28:31.700 He talked about Iran, and he clearly is trying to keep Iran from entering the fight.

01:28:39.660 And he said, quote, when Iran is finally free, why would he be talking about Iran being free?

01:28:47.480 Now, the context is free from their own bad leadership.

01:28:51.000 Because when Iran is finally free, and that moment will come a lot sooner than people think,

01:28:55.200 wait, what?

01:28:58.860 Iran is going to be free, and it's going to come sooner than people think?

01:29:02.660 Does that suggest that Israel knows something about the fate of Iran that Iran itself does

01:29:08.000 not know?

01:29:09.440 That's the suggestion.

01:29:11.440 The suggestion is that Iran is, that Israel, maybe they'll do something that would free Iran,

01:29:18.780 which would suggest, it suggests decapitating the leadership.

01:29:25.140 Now, could you ever imagine, could you have imagined a year ago that Israel could just kill

01:29:32.340 the leaders of Iran, and that would be okay, and life would go on?

01:29:37.560 No, you can't even imagine it.

01:29:39.560 Could you have imagined two months ago that Israel could decapitate the entire leadership of Hezbollah,

01:29:46.180 and nobody would blink?

01:29:49.840 Because that happened.

01:29:51.520 You didn't see that coming, did you?

01:29:53.400 Now, once they've established that they could take out the entire leadership in a week,

01:29:58.420 what do you think Iran is thinking about these spies in their midst, and how safe their leadership

01:30:04.100 is?

01:30:05.160 In my opinion, Israel always knows where the leadership in Iran is.

01:30:09.960 I think their spies and their intelligence are probably that good by now.

01:30:13.520 It was certainly that good for Hezbollah.

01:30:15.020 That means that the decision of whether the leadership of Iran lives or dies is now completely

01:30:23.100 in Netanyahu's hands.

01:30:25.320 He will decide if the Ayatollah is alive in a month.

01:30:30.900 Literally.

01:30:32.380 And I believe he's telling them that.

01:30:34.680 Now, he can't say that directly.

01:30:36.100 But if you say, when Iran is finally free, free, and that moment will come a lot sooner than people think,

01:30:44.620 wait a minute, what do you know that we don't know?

01:30:47.580 Oh, we just watched the leadership of Hezbollah disappear.

01:30:50.900 Then he says, then everything will be different.

01:30:58.180 He said, our two ancient peoples, the Jewish people and the Persian people, will finally be at peace.

01:31:02.880 I just love that sentence.

01:31:08.360 I don't know if it's because I like watching science fiction.

01:31:15.000 I don't know what it is exactly, but just listen to this sentence again.

01:31:22.240 Our two ancient peoples, the Jewish people and the Persian people, will finally be at peace.

01:31:26.860 That's just sort of a perfect sentence because it reframes it as not today's problem, but it kind of reframes it as you're the adults,

01:31:40.400 but somebody has sort of hijacked your civilization.

01:31:44.260 As soon as you get rid of the hijackers of your civilization, you'll go back to some normal thing where the two ancient peoples don't have a reason to not get along.

01:31:55.600 So as long as you don't have a border dispute or one side isn't funding terrorists, you don't really have reason to fight.

01:32:03.940 You could just go back to two ancient peoples getting along.

01:32:07.200 So I love Netanyahu making people think past the sale.

01:32:12.120 The sale is the getting rid of their leadership and then thinking past it too.

01:32:17.100 That's going to be awesome for all of us.

01:32:19.660 He goes on, quote,

01:32:21.020 When that day comes, wait a minute, when that day comes, he's thinking past the sale again.

01:32:29.520 He's not saying it might come.

01:32:31.500 He just said when that day comes.

01:32:33.740 Huh.

01:32:34.620 Again, really good.

01:32:37.100 When that day comes, the terror network that the regime built in five continents will go bankrupt, dismantled.

01:32:42.340 He continued, Iran will thrive as never before.

01:32:46.760 Global investment, massive tourism, brilliant technological innovation based on the tremendous talents that exist inside Iran.

01:32:55.160 Doesn't that sound better than endless poverty, repression and war?

01:33:00.720 Perfect.

01:33:01.320 So that's a Trumpian way to deal with North Korea.

01:33:07.580 You don't go to North Korea and say, we can destroy you if you don't behave.

01:33:13.120 Nope.

01:33:14.040 You say, do we have any reason to fight?

01:33:17.280 We don't have a reason to fight.

01:33:19.200 But you know what?

01:33:20.100 We do have a reason to help you rebuild if you want to build into a nice, peaceful friend.

01:33:24.980 We'll help you out.

01:33:25.600 So you got to give them an option that isn't win or lose a fight.

01:33:31.540 Because if you give them the option of win or lose a fight, they're going to say, well, we choose winning.

01:33:38.740 Everybody wants to win.

01:33:40.700 So if you give them only a choice of winning or losing, they're going to fight like hell to win and kill you in the process if they need to.

01:33:47.540 If you say, here's the deal.

01:33:49.720 As soon as you and I get rid of our common enemy, which is your leadership, we don't have any reason to fight.

01:33:55.600 In fact, do you know what Iran would look like if you got rid of the Ayatollah?

01:34:02.120 Global investment, massive tourism.

01:34:04.960 Does anybody doubt that those two things are true?

01:34:08.040 That if the current regime were replaced with something, it would look more democratic.

01:34:12.740 Do you have any doubt, any doubt at all, that there would be massive investment in Iran?

01:34:18.620 No.

01:34:19.340 Because like he says, they have a tremendously talented public.

01:34:23.760 If they didn't have a tremendously talented public, then you'd say, well, nobody's going to invest in that.

01:34:29.640 But Iran is probably one of the most investable places on earth that hasn't been fully invested.

01:34:35.780 So, yes, there's no doubt about it.

01:34:37.580 Global investment would be massive.

01:34:40.440 Tourism would be through the roof.

01:34:42.760 We know that.

01:34:43.720 And then he says, he puts it in the form of a question, which again, is perfect persuasion.

01:34:50.540 You don't tell them, you ask them.

01:34:53.820 Right?

01:34:54.340 Have I told you that before?

01:34:56.060 Put it in the form of a question, and then people don't have an automatic resistance.

01:35:00.720 They just answer their own question.

01:35:02.760 It's way, way better to get around the automatic resistance.

01:35:05.700 Doesn't that sound better than endless poverty, repression, and war?

01:35:11.900 Yes.

01:35:13.260 Yes.

01:35:14.320 Now, here's my interpretation, which is by no means certain, but my interpretation.

01:35:21.480 I think that Israel doesn't want to take a chance of taking out the leadership of Iran.

01:35:29.120 I don't think they want that, because that could be real unpredictable.

01:35:33.540 I think they definitely want Iran to think it's an option, like right at the top of the option list.

01:35:40.600 I think they succeeded.

01:35:41.960 I think that Iran now is completely on board with the credibility that Israel will kill their leadership if they get involved in the Lebanon action.

01:35:54.960 I think the most important thing that Netanyahu wanted was to make sure that Iran stands down and they don't send any people or extra weapons into Lebanon.

01:36:07.820 I think he's going to get that.

01:36:09.640 I would go further and say, I guarantee you that Israel has a specific plan for killing the Ayatollah.

01:36:20.620 You would agree with that, right?

01:36:22.720 They definitely have a plan for doing that, and it would depend on where he is and what he's doing.

01:36:27.160 But they probably have three different contingencies for if he's here, we kill him this way.

01:36:32.760 If he's here, we kill him that way.

01:36:35.660 Yeah.

01:36:35.820 The way I put it is, I think Israel proved they can get to any leader at all by using Hezbollah as a speed bag.

01:36:47.060 So every day that you watch Israel completely dominate militarily, technologically, strategically, communication-wise, weaponry,

01:36:58.040 watching them dominate Hezbollah, that two months before, two months before we had said,

01:37:04.880 oh, Hezbollah, 100,000 rockets, you're certainly not going to want to do a land invasion there.

01:37:09.680 I wouldn't say, no, Israel just took them off the map.

01:37:13.720 They just shut down their communication, eliminated their ability to do a mass attack, and now they'll just take their time.

01:37:20.540 There's not even a leadership or a communication network that Hezbollah can use to regroup.

01:37:26.060 It's basically already a mop-up operation.

01:37:28.420 So the thing that you thought was going to be this impossible war turned into a mop-up operation in two weeks,

01:37:36.820 losing barely any Israeli lives.

01:37:41.840 But you know what is even more impressive?

01:37:47.400 I don't know if this is accidental.

01:37:49.940 This is probably mostly accidental.

01:37:52.540 But the hardest part of the fighting in Lebanon is going to come on the anniversary of October 7th.

01:37:58.420 And all questions are answered.

01:38:03.300 So if you're going to say, let's criticize Israel for attacking this sovereign country

01:38:08.940 instead of trying to make peace, which would be impossible.

01:38:13.580 Here's the answer to that.

01:38:16.340 This is the one-year anniversary of October 7th.

01:38:19.480 I know, I know, but we're not talking about Gaza.

01:38:21.460 We're not talking about Hamas.

01:38:23.020 Now, this is Lebanon. It's a whole different situation.

01:38:25.700 Why can't we work out peace?

01:38:29.380 This is the one-year anniversary of October 7th.

01:38:32.800 I know, I know, but that's, you know, I see how you're relating these, but stop conflating these.

01:38:37.700 Stop conflating. This is different.

01:38:41.900 It's the one-year anniversary of October 7th.

01:38:45.300 That's all you have to say.

01:38:50.500 That's basically the free pass for Israel to completely annihilate Hezbollah,

01:38:56.880 even at the, you know, what will be way too expensive cost in innocent life.

01:39:02.620 They get a free pass.

01:39:04.420 They're never going to have that free pass again.

01:39:08.640 Never.

01:39:09.120 So, if they don't do it now, it's probably undoable forever.

01:39:15.760 So, let me do a little test.

01:39:20.740 I believe I've been telling you for months that Israel taking out Hezbollah was guaranteed.

01:39:28.000 It was because of all these factors that they would never have a better chance to do it.

01:39:32.260 And they're not dumb.

01:39:34.180 So, if you say, we have the ability, we're very smart, there'll never be another chance to do it,

01:39:41.080 and it's critical to our survival.

01:39:43.280 Of course it's going to happen.

01:39:46.020 But correct me if I'm wrong, I think all the experts said it wouldn't.

01:39:50.440 And I said, yeah, it has to.

01:39:52.380 Like, it's obvious it's going to happen.

01:39:54.160 They'd be insane not to do it.

01:39:56.300 Even though it's very risky, they'd be crazy not to do it.

01:40:00.900 There's never going to be another chance like this.

01:40:04.160 So, I remind you that I don't support Israel.

01:40:10.080 I don't unsupport them.

01:40:12.820 It's not my business.

01:40:14.920 I observe them, and when they do good things, I say, wow, that was impressive.

01:40:19.340 If they do bad things, I'll tell you, wow, that was bad.

01:40:23.280 But I don't support them because they don't support me.

01:40:26.300 Which I mean that literally.

01:40:29.420 I think supporters should be reciprocal.

01:40:32.440 Or at least you think that they would if you needed it.

01:40:35.560 You know, it doesn't mean they have to do it.

01:40:37.180 But would they if you needed it?

01:40:39.200 Well, I need help from Israel.

01:40:41.000 I would like them to disavow the ADL,

01:40:44.040 who came after me and called me a Holocaust denier in public.

01:40:50.780 The head of the ADL said that.

01:40:52.840 Now, if Israel were to disavow them and say the ADL, you know, we don't support them and don't listen to them.

01:41:03.480 Then I'd say, whoa, they supported me.

01:41:05.820 And then I would support them.

01:41:07.400 But if they don't support me, I'll just talk about them.

01:41:10.880 If you don't mind.

01:41:12.780 And everybody gets to support themselves.

01:41:16.080 All right.

01:41:16.420 I remind you, the Dilbert 2025 calendar, page a day calendar is back.

01:41:20.700 It's made in America for the first time.

01:41:22.260 And the only place you can get it is at the link on Dilbert dot com, not on Amazon.

01:41:26.960 It won't be on Amazon.

01:41:28.980 That's the way I can make it in America.

01:41:30.600 It's a long story.

01:41:31.820 And also, Winn Bigley has been reissued hardcover only.

01:41:35.640 Look for the one with the mostly blue hardcover.

01:41:38.420 This is second edition.

01:41:40.200 It's a little bit updated.

01:41:41.420 It's updated through Trump's first assassination attempt.

01:41:45.920 It's all about persuasion.

01:41:47.120 And if you'd like to learn how to be a persuader, as good as Netanyahu, and as good as Trump,

01:41:55.680 then I teach you how to do it.

01:41:57.440 So the book is not so much politics as it is persuasion through the lens of politics.

01:42:05.000 So learn about persuasion.

01:42:06.180 It'll make you important.

01:42:10.080 Is there any story that I left out today?

01:42:12.680 We're going to watch the, if you're on Locals, we're going to do a live stream for the local

01:42:18.300 supporters during the VP debate tonight.

01:42:26.040 All right.

01:42:27.040 Looks like we've done what we need to do.

01:42:29.120 Thanks for listening.

01:42:30.360 Sorry this took too long.

01:42:31.580 I'm going to talk to the Locals people just for a minute.

01:42:34.280 And the rest of you, we'll see you tomorrow, same time, same place.

01:42:37.920 We'll talk about the debate.

01:42:39.200 And now Locals people, you will be with me in 30 seconds.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 01, 2024

Episode 2614 CWSA 10⧸01⧸24

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