Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2615 CWSA 10⧸02⧸24

00:00:00.140 Well, there I am. So good looking.

00:00:09.440 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:18.220 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:20.800 You've probably never had a better day than this.

00:00:23.660 And it's just starting.

00:00:24.920 If you'd like to take this experience up to levels where no human can even understand it with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:00:33.200 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or gel, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:39.260 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:42.660 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:49.060 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:54.920 Hmm. Hmm. Yep.

00:01:02.200 Yep, that's some good stuff.

00:01:04.140 We will, of course, be talking about the debate.

00:01:07.460 I'll give you a little science updates while people are streaming in and getting ready for this.

00:01:13.620 There's a study that's out of Ohio State University highlighting the pervasiveness of inflammation in the American diet.

00:01:22.240 And I was wondering, don't you think that food labels should include inflammation?

00:01:30.880 Because people don't really know what causes inflammation and what actually solves it.

00:01:36.560 And my biggest problem with food is inflammation.

00:01:42.920 That's why I avoid most food.

00:01:44.840 Certainly I'll process food if I can.

00:01:47.340 So I think inflammation should be listed on the food.

00:01:50.460 Does it or does it not?

00:01:52.260 This is a cool thing.

00:01:54.200 There's a big breakthrough in housing.

00:01:56.440 So there's this robotic micro factory company.

00:02:01.420 Let's see.

00:02:02.200 It's called AUAR.

00:02:05.260 And they're shipping robot containers to build a house.

00:02:11.260 So you know a shipping container, what that looks like?

00:02:14.460 Well, they'll put one robotic, you know, house building robot in it.

00:02:19.000 And then it arrives and they just put down the sides of the shipping container and it's basically a little factory.

00:02:26.220 You'd have to put it indoors in a warehouse.

00:02:28.680 But basically you could gin up, it looks like, you could spin up a factory that builds homes.

00:02:37.060 And you could build your own factory that builds homes as easily as shipping in some shipping containers,

00:02:43.500 putting them on the floor of your warehouse, and then just opening up the sides of the shipping containers.

00:02:47.860 And then all of a sudden you've got a whole factory to build a house.

00:02:51.540 Each of the shipping containers would have a different little robotic thing that makes parts or whatever it does.

00:02:59.280 So they're called micro factories.

00:03:02.140 Oh, my goodness.

00:03:03.380 That's exciting.

00:03:04.500 And by the way, this is not speculative.

00:03:06.940 They're already in operation.

00:03:08.300 So when you're talking about the Trump idea of, you know, using federal land to build new cities,

00:03:19.260 here's the way to do it.

00:03:21.420 Just ship in some micro factories and start building those houses for cheap.

00:03:25.600 Did I see that a SpaceX crew has arrived at the International Space Station and that they're getting ready to rescue those astronauts?

00:03:38.240 I thought that was going to take months longer.

00:03:40.440 But it's already happening?

00:03:44.240 Can somebody confirm that?

00:03:46.120 It was like it's too big of a story not to be on the front page, but it was sort of a small story.

00:03:52.300 So I'm not even sure.

00:03:54.300 I'm seeing some yeses.

00:03:56.720 I feel like that should have been the biggest story.

00:03:59.860 And it just got sort of a mention.

00:04:02.860 Anyway, there's probably a reason for that.

00:04:04.620 But so within the last few weeks, Elon Musk has rescued two astronauts and donated Starlink Internet to the flood zones.

00:04:16.240 So what did you do?

00:04:20.860 Did you get anything done this week?

00:04:24.120 Because Elon Musk just rescued two people in space.

00:04:28.720 In space.

00:04:29.900 And brought Internet to flood victims.

00:04:35.680 That's not bad.

00:04:36.420 Not bad for a week.

00:04:37.900 Well, he also posted, I think it was today, a link for Pennsylvanians to register to vote.

00:04:46.260 Now, what happens when Elon Musk, who's got over 100 million followers, posts a link for Pennsylvanians to register to vote?

00:04:55.760 At some point, it almost seems like election interference.

00:05:00.260 It's not, because it's just free speech.

00:05:02.860 But that's got to move the needle. 0.91

00:05:06.940 Don't you think if you've got this narrow little race in Pennsylvania, and it could be, who knows how close it could be.

00:05:14.980 And then the biggest social media account in the world, most credible person, tells you to register to vote and then gives you the URL.

00:05:23.080 I think that moves the election.

00:05:26.800 And that seems like a big deal to me.

00:05:28.940 Well, we'll see.

00:05:31.800 All right, let's talk about that VP debate.

00:05:35.720 Now, here is my take.

00:05:40.460 So here's a little picture I was drawing on my whiteboard.

00:05:43.840 If you think that the, I don't know, the details of the debate and the policies and things make a difference, we'll talk a little bit about that.

00:05:52.400 But the fact is, this was sort of a vibe situation.

00:05:57.820 I'm not sure how many topics or policies anybody's going to remember after that debate.

00:06:03.960 But you're definitely going to remember how it made you feel.

00:06:06.580 So the first thing you need to know is that Vance is young and handsome and way smarter than Walsh and confident and look good.

00:06:17.640 And Walsh sort of looked like he was doing this impression of Chris Farley.

00:06:23.340 Do you remember Chris Farley from Saturday Night Live?

00:06:26.780 And he looked all nervous.

00:06:28.620 And his body wouldn't stop moving.

00:06:30.860 And it was very, you know, only him.

00:06:33.720 He's the only person in the world that's ever looked like Chris Farley, is Chris Farley.

00:06:38.280 Until now.

00:06:39.900 But Walsh gave me that vibe.

00:06:42.340 So let's run down the, I'll get into the details, but let me tell you what other people said.

00:06:48.640 So, well, first of all, Vance won the debate.

00:06:53.940 So if I can just skip to the end, Vance won the debate.

00:06:59.760 Like easily, by a lot.

00:07:01.660 Even the New York Times advances dominant debate performance.

00:07:06.500 So that was a title in the New York Times, an opinion piece.

00:07:09.740 David Axelrod, big Democrat strategist kind of guy.

00:07:15.580 He did a post there where he said, here's the thing.

00:07:19.840 VPs don't make policy. 1.00

00:07:21.420 Presidents do.

00:07:22.560 Who talks about the Pence years?

00:07:24.220 So Axelrod, presumably seeing that the VP contest wasn't going his way, decided to tell you that it wasn't important at all.

00:07:34.640 Yeah.

00:07:35.220 When you lose, you say that contest wasn't even important.

00:07:39.640 When you win, most important thing that ever happened in the history of politics.

00:07:43.580 So if David Axelrod wants you to think that it wasn't important, he must agree that Vance won.

00:07:51.900 We assume.

00:07:52.800 We can't read his mind, but maybe that's what it means.

00:07:56.900 Meanwhile, CNN's Abby Phillip, she criticized Walsh for not being prepared.

00:08:03.100 So imagine how poorly you would have to do as a Democrat for Abby Phillip on CNN to flat out say you look like you weren't prepared for it.

00:08:14.380 Ouch.

00:08:15.720 If you ask me, not prepared is the deepest insult you could get for a VP or presidential debate.

00:08:23.680 Because you can kind of understand when people misspeak or, you know, they don't do a good job in a question.

00:08:30.660 Kind of normal.

00:08:31.420 But if you see somebody who looks like they didn't prepare, that's pretty bad.

00:08:39.160 Yeah, that's pretty bad.

00:08:42.340 And they said that, yeah.

00:08:49.840 Anyway, he didn't, they just didn't think, CNN didn't think he did great.

00:08:53.920 So ABC News said the Trump Harris, said the Trump Harris moderator, oh, the ABC News host who had been the prior moderator for the presidential debate, said that Walsh reminded her of a Biden flop.

00:09:15.360 Okay, that's pretty bad.

00:09:16.600 Okay, that's pretty bad.

00:09:17.780 That's pretty bad.

00:09:19.880 So even the people who are unambiguously pro-Democrat in their normal reporting seem to have seen the same debate I did, which is there was a winner and there was a loser.

00:09:32.500 And it definitely wasn't a tie.

00:09:34.780 But you know who says it was a tie?

00:09:36.320 Well, MSNBC, Joe Scarborough, trying to find anything positive to say about it, said, quote, if the goal is to make Tim Walsh our Midwest neighbor, a nice guy, it's mission accomplished.

00:09:52.120 Tim Walsh got exactly what he needed out of this.

00:09:54.500 And so did Kamala Harris.

00:09:57.380 Okay, now I've told you that I only watch MSNBC for the humor.

00:10:02.800 This is what I mean.

00:10:04.600 Watching Joe Scarborough try as hard as he can to polish a turd in public.

00:10:10.300 All right, I've got this big turd.

00:10:13.460 Watch what I do with it.

00:10:16.340 What do you think?

00:10:18.200 Yeah, it's still a turd.

00:10:20.100 But did you even notice how well I polished it?

00:10:22.840 It's polished, people.

00:10:24.200 It's polished.

00:10:25.720 That's what it feels like.

00:10:27.340 Every time I turn it on, I just laugh. 0.97

00:10:29.440 First of all, I love the fact that the society has decided to ignore the fact that MSNBC, at least half of the hosts, are clearly, obviously mentally ill. 0.97

00:10:44.860 Now, the fact that we all act like we don't notice it, let's act like we don't notice that Joy Reid is obviously mentally ill. 0.90

00:10:54.200 So, anyway, if they're willing to put those people in the air, I'm willing to laugh at them. 0.95

00:11:01.620 Well, let's say MSNBC's Nicole Wallace went crazy, said that Vance tried to mansplain to a woman. 0.99

00:11:13.840 I'm not sure I saw Vance do any mansplaining.

00:11:19.220 I did see the hosts violate their own rules and try to fact-check him during the debate, and he did call them out on fact-checking him and violating their own rules, and then he did bowl right over them.

00:11:31.240 By the way, you've probably seen a million debates where the debater tries to talk past the time limit, and the hosts cut them off in a variety of ways, cut the microphone or whatever.

00:11:46.280 But Vance actually got them to stop cutting him off, and that's something I don't know if I've ever seen.

00:11:54.840 So, they start to cut him off, and Vance says loudly enough that we could hear it at home,

00:12:01.340 the rules were that you would not fact-check me right after they'd fact-checked him.

00:12:07.300 That just stopped them cold, because they must have understood that they just broke their own most important rule.

00:12:15.620 If there was one thing that the debate hosts had to accomplish, and you can almost imagine that maybe they got briefed ahead of time by management,

00:12:25.920 all right, look, there's one thing you can't do.

00:12:29.680 Just promise me there's one thing you won't do.

00:12:32.240 Do not fact-check one of them, just one of them, and then not fact-check the other.

00:12:38.100 It's better if you don't fact-check anybody, but definitely, definitely don't fact-check just the Republican.

00:12:45.120 And then they fact-check just the Republican.

00:12:48.680 The biggest fail you could possibly do.

00:12:51.800 Such a big fail that the conversation on the right is whether Republicans should ever have another televised debate.

00:12:59.620 And you know what? That's actually the right question.

00:13:02.600 It's not clear to me that Republicans should ever, again, for any office, have a televised debate.

00:13:09.920 Because it's just a trap.

00:13:11.940 All it is is a Democrat trap. Why would you do it?

00:13:16.040 Now, you can imagine a scenario where the hosts were not in the bag for one or the other.

00:13:21.540 But it doesn't happen.

00:13:24.640 So if it doesn't ever happen, why would you keep agreeing to it?

00:13:29.760 And there's got to be a better way.

00:13:31.000 All right, here is my take on all of them.

00:13:39.440 So Vance, he has what I call command voice, whereas Walsh has what I call pleading voice.

00:13:50.820 Now, I've talked about this before.

00:13:53.060 Command voice would be, I'll do an impression of command voice.

00:13:57.600 The Albanians have attacked us. 1.00

00:13:59.460 We're going to build a big army force. 0.98

00:14:01.280 We're going to attack Albania. 1.00

00:14:02.600 We're going to destroy it and drive it back into the Stone Age. 0.99

00:14:07.620 Now, that's command voice. 0.93

00:14:10.240 Here's pleading voice.

00:14:11.980 Why do you keep saying that?

00:14:13.560 We have to do this.

00:14:14.900 We're going to have to do this.

00:14:16.060 And things go wrong.

00:14:17.300 And why don't we do this?

00:14:18.680 And you've got to, you said that.

00:14:20.040 But you said, but you said before.

00:14:22.560 You said before.

00:14:23.040 Not even close.

00:14:25.900 If the only thing you did was listen to the two of them, one of them looked like a leader,

00:14:32.040 like a born leader, really.

00:14:33.720 A born leader, Vance.

00:14:35.500 And Walsh looked like Chris Farley, trying to do an impression of somebody doing a presidential debate

00:14:47.180 but not having any tools to do it.

00:14:49.840 He was really terrible.

00:14:51.380 All right.

00:14:51.620 Some more on Vance.

00:14:53.180 Vance was younger, better looking.

00:14:56.280 He was confident.

00:14:57.880 He was brilliant.

00:14:59.380 You could tell his intelligence just by the way he answered things.

00:15:03.120 He was serious, but not too serious.

00:15:07.180 You know, you didn't dislike him for his seriousness.

00:15:09.940 He was just about the right amount of serious.

00:15:12.680 He did a good job of making sure that he focused forward and didn't do a lot of talking about

00:15:19.800 what may or may not happen in the past or what he may not have to explain.

00:15:25.480 He did a reasonably good job of avoiding the most divisive questions.

00:15:31.720 But at the same time, it's obviously he avoided some of them.

00:15:36.260 So his January 6th answer, I didn't love.

00:15:39.680 But at least he did the positive looking forward Trump left on January 20th, just like everybody

00:15:46.300 always does.

00:15:47.660 So I'd give him a C plus, maybe a C minus on his answer for January 6th.

00:15:55.160 But I don't think it hurt him.

00:15:57.420 I understand the Democrats are going to do some kind of commercial about his answer about that.

00:16:02.280 But I think people probably made up their decisions about January 6th.

00:16:05.660 I would say that was his one obvious mistake.

00:16:09.800 They didn't handle January 6th better, the questions about it.

00:16:13.540 I think that Vance solved Trump's biggest problem, which is he seems scary.

00:16:22.680 And people would worry, oh, my God, it's going to be Trumpism forever, scary people.

00:16:28.580 And then Vance comes in and does such a good job of just seeming like a good person

00:16:33.340 that it really takes the sting out of thinking that, you know, Trump is going to be dangerous.

00:16:39.620 The way I look at vice presidents, I don't know if other people do this, but I think of

00:16:44.980 the vice president as the, you know, emergency backup tire, but also as somebody who would

00:16:51.500 be the first and best check on a president who is going to be excessive.

00:16:57.080 Because a vice president has the ultimate power that I've never seen.

00:17:01.560 I don't think anybody's ever used it.

00:17:03.340 But imagine a vice president who said, if you do this, I'm going to resign.

00:17:09.760 I don't know if anybody's ever made that threat.

00:17:12.940 But can you imagine a sitting vice president in any administration saying, if you do that,

00:17:20.100 I'm out, I'm resigning.

00:17:22.980 It would be, it would be, first of all, a threat you could definitely do.

00:17:27.820 But, you know, so you wouldn't have to wonder if they could pull off the threat.

00:17:31.000 Yeah, you could, people can quit. 0.54

00:17:32.620 They can do that.

00:17:33.960 But imagine what a humiliation that would be for your administration.

00:17:38.980 So I always think that vice presidents have a hidden power, not just the 25th Amendment,

00:17:44.540 if it's needed, but the power to simply say, you know what, I'm out.

00:17:49.360 There's something going on that's so bad that I can't even be part of it.

00:17:53.540 I take my name out, I'm gone.

00:17:55.740 So when I look at a vice president, I say to myself, could you do that?

00:18:00.140 Could you do that?

00:18:02.340 Are you a serious enough, smart enough, patriotic enough person that if it came down to the good

00:18:10.480 of the country, you could quit?

00:18:12.380 And I think Vance could.

00:18:16.060 And he looks like he would be the, you know, certainly the reasonable, smart voice in any room.

00:18:23.240 So he does give me comfort with Trump, even though I prefer Trump.

00:18:28.840 And I still got some comfort knowing that there would be somebody of his quality in the room.

00:18:34.840 So, you know, you tell me somebody joined the military.

00:18:38.880 Do I have to wonder if they would quit a job if their boss went too far?

00:18:44.320 Nope.

00:18:45.080 No.

00:18:45.740 He joined the military during a time of war.

00:18:50.620 I mean, you don't have to wonder if he's brave.

00:18:53.440 That question is already answered.

00:18:54.960 So, yeah.

00:18:55.900 So I think he did well on that.

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00:19:13.580 He did the best side eye you've ever seen.

00:19:16.520 It's already turning into a meme featuring Jim from The Office.

00:19:21.600 You know how the character Jim from the TV show The Office would break what they call breaking the fourth wall.

00:19:27.680 He would look at the audience.

00:19:29.300 He'd just give them that look.

00:19:32.000 Well, Vance had the best side eye look that I've ever seen in a debate.

00:19:38.860 Everybody noticed.

00:19:40.140 It was just he'd give that look.

00:19:41.500 It wasn't a mocking look.

00:19:43.940 It was sort of a are you hearing what I'm hearing look, which was just right.

00:19:49.540 You don't want to go too far.

00:19:51.460 I don't love it when when the other debate person who's in the split screen is doing all the faces like, you know, sometimes it works, but I don't love looking at it.

00:20:05.700 But that side eye that Vance gave him.

00:20:10.440 Yeah, you're seeing it in the comments.

00:20:12.440 That was perfect.

00:20:13.560 Now, here's another mistake that Walsh made on the debate.

00:20:20.320 Since they knew it was mostly a split screen.

00:20:24.620 I guess I can get rid of this now.

00:20:27.000 Since they knew it was mostly a split screen.

00:20:29.560 Somebody should have told Walsh never turn sideways because when Vance was looking forward and talking, sometimes Walsh would just turn directly sideways.

00:20:42.040 He should have been taught not to do that.

00:20:45.060 So when you're Abby Phillips say he doesn't sound he didn't look like he was prepared.

00:20:49.140 That would be one that stood out.

00:20:52.780 That should have been right on the top three things that he had been prepared for.

00:20:57.360 Don't turn directly sideways.

00:20:59.620 You saw that when Vance did the side eye, he was a little bit facing, but his side eye was toward the audience.

00:21:07.320 Perfect.

00:21:09.000 Perfect.

00:21:09.740 That's exactly the right body language.

00:21:14.420 Let's see what else.

00:21:15.540 I think the funniest thing from the debate is if you're really looking for the vibe, you know, there's one project power and you're always looking for which one would you want to have a beer with?

00:21:29.400 You know, that was the old test.

00:21:30.940 Do you like these characters?

00:21:32.280 Would you want to have a beer with one of them?

00:21:34.600 Well, there's another there's another thing that I do besides the beer test.

00:21:39.520 Do you want to mate with them? 0.99

00:21:41.820 Now, nobody thinks that intentionally.

00:21:43.640 Like, nobody has the thought, hmm, I'd like to mate with that one. 0.99

00:21:48.340 Like, nobody has that conscious thought.

00:21:51.600 But, but subconsciously, it drives all of our decisions.

00:21:57.640 We're basically mating creatures. 0.90

00:22:00.760 Mating is our basic operating system.

00:22:03.060 We're looking to mate because it's the only thing we have to get right.

00:22:06.040 If you can mate and make new, new copies of yourself, then your, your civilization succeeds.

00:22:15.820 So mating is the thing that drives everything, even when we don't consciously know our decisions are based on it.

00:22:21.000 So I think that women, in particular, would be looking at the two candidates and thinking, which one would they want to mate with? 0.83

00:22:29.660 So that would be the equivalent of men saying, who would you have a beer with if it's male candidates?

00:22:36.140 Now, if you look at it on that level, who would you want to have mate with?

00:22:41.980 Obviously, you know, one's better looking and younger.

00:22:44.540 So he wins on that.

00:22:45.720 But the funniest part to me is that Vance talks about having his three young children, which automatically makes you look like a mating stud.

00:22:56.720 Three children.

00:22:57.440 Wow, you just pumped out three, three children with this beautiful, accomplished woman.

00:23:02.960 That's some good mating right there. 1.00

00:23:05.420 And then, and then Walsh drops into one of his answers that he had to use some kind of fertility enhancements to have a baby.

00:23:18.120 Now, I don't know if the fertility enhancements were because of him or his wife.

00:23:23.000 And, you know, I don't want to get into any kind of, you know, medical opinionating.

00:23:28.320 I know I have an opinion about it, right?

00:23:30.340 Lots of people have infertility.

00:23:32.500 Lots of people get help.

00:23:34.080 It's just a medical thing.

00:23:35.540 I don't judge it one way or the other.

00:23:37.460 I'm just saying that in the context of a debate, when one of them is young and says, I just pumped out three beautiful babies. 0.99

00:23:45.100 And the other one says, my balls don't work. 0.73

00:23:47.880 Even though I don't even know if the infertility or the treatment had anything to do with him, I have no idea what the actual details are. 0.99

00:23:57.540 But the contrast is one is a mating machine and the other one barely could do it when he was young enough.

00:24:06.140 So that's just a devastating contrast right there at the subconscious level.

00:24:12.920 So this is the hypnotist's take.

00:24:15.100 I'm trying to come up with stuff that won't be obviously said by every pundit all day long.

00:24:20.840 So that's the hypnotist's take.

00:24:24.020 He was asked, how would he handle the deportations?

00:24:28.140 Deportations, that's a dangerous question, because if he said we're going to wrap up all $25 million and send them back, that would sound like too much for most people in the country.

00:24:39.640 But he did the smart thing.

00:24:41.220 He said that they'd start with criminals.

00:24:43.700 He didn't really answer if he was going to separate people from their families in deportations.

00:24:50.260 But he kept focusing on, you know, we're going to take care of the, get rid of the criminals.

00:24:54.740 That was the best you could do.

00:24:56.180 The best you could do on that answer.

00:25:00.260 His answer on January 6th was sort of to avoid it when I thought that was an opportunity to really hit a win.

00:25:09.000 If he had gone after January 6th and mocked it, as in, well, you know, there's nobody who's a Republican who thinks you can take over a country by trespassing.

00:25:20.460 We do, you know, and then you say something like, of course we disavow all the violence.

00:25:26.180 None of that was appropriate.

00:25:28.020 And certainly the president called for a peaceful protest.

00:25:31.500 Then the second part is, but, but, but he had those fake electors.

00:25:36.260 Then you say, well, that was a legal maneuver.

00:25:40.140 His lawyers said that this would be a good thing to do to establish your right.

00:25:44.900 And we just assumed that the courts would work it out or, you know, it would just be a normal process.

00:25:50.820 And then sure enough, the process worked the way it does.

00:25:54.180 And on January 20th, president left peacefully, just like every other administration.

00:25:59.480 And if this happens again, we'd like to, we might ask you to look into it again.

00:26:06.040 If there's something that looks obviously rigged, I think that you would want to look into it as well as I would.

00:26:12.000 Why would only one of us want to look into it if there was something that looked clearly and a whack?

00:26:17.200 I would hope, I would hope, Mr. Walsh, Tim, I would hope you would join me in that call.

00:26:25.200 If the elections look so far out of what we expect to be normal, let's, let's say you had a, how about this one?

00:26:32.880 You say, on the question of will you accept the election, say, I think we can all agree on this.

00:26:40.580 Tim, would you accept an election result if you found out that the three of the precincts were 100% votes for one candidate when we both know that that would be impossible?

00:26:51.760 Would you join me in calling for a brief delay in the certification just to make sure that there wasn't any shenanigans if we see something that really stands out?

00:27:01.980 I'm not talking about something subtle, but something really stands out as a problem.

00:27:07.160 Would you join me in asking for, for the, the state that was involved to look into it a little bit?

00:27:15.460 Just imagine that answer.

00:27:17.980 That's a total kill shot.

00:27:19.980 And he had the, he had the opening and he didn't take it.

00:27:23.540 Now, maybe what he did was the very best thing he could have done.

00:27:29.000 Because even though I so cleverly tell you how to make that a kill shot, when the, when the fake news gets a hold of it, it just gives them another reason to talk about January 6th.

00:27:41.000 And they won't do the good argument.

00:27:42.980 They'll just say something like, Vance can't start, Vance says he won't do a peaceful turnover.

00:27:50.020 Right.

00:27:50.560 They would, they would turn it into some completely different answer if they had to.

00:27:54.420 So maybe the very smartest thing he could do is to be boring on that question and say, focus on the future.

00:28:03.060 Trump left on January 20th.

00:28:05.520 Let's move on.

00:28:06.600 Let's focus forward.

00:28:09.360 Maybe I'm going to say, I'm going to say I would have preferred the kill shot, but I'm not so confident he didn't make the right play.

00:28:18.680 So I guess I'm going to, I'm going to be humble in my own opinion about that.

00:28:24.260 He might've done the right thing by just taking the energy out of it.

00:28:28.080 Maybe that was enough.

00:28:32.360 Here's a waltz.

00:28:33.940 He had that bleeding voice.

00:28:35.760 He did not have, and I wondered if he would, when there was no audience and the stakes were high, he did not act in his flamboyant way.

00:28:45.080 You know, he is, when he waves, he waves with his middle fingers.

00:28:49.800 Hey, don't, don't ever wave like that.

00:28:53.600 Wave like that.

00:28:55.700 If you have to wave, wave like that.

00:28:58.460 If you're going to put one, one arm in the air, here's a way to do it.

00:29:03.020 Yay.

00:29:03.780 Yay.

00:29:04.520 Do it like that.

00:29:05.400 You don't want to do it like you, you're a Liberace sashaying across the stage.

00:29:10.980 Don't do that.

00:29:12.920 Don't do that.

00:29:15.580 If you're going to clap to the audience to return their applause, try to do something like this.

00:29:23.880 Don't do this.

00:29:27.040 No, don't do that.

00:29:28.600 But he didn't do those things during the debate.

00:29:31.500 He did not.

00:29:32.440 If you're going to point to something, use both fingers or make sure that one of your hands is by your side.

00:29:41.320 For example, here, this would be good pointing, like that.

00:29:47.280 That's good pointing.

00:29:48.920 This is good pointing, too.

00:29:50.480 This arm by the side.

00:29:54.820 That's good pointing.

00:29:55.780 Here's bad pointing.

00:30:01.740 This hand need not be involved.

00:30:04.040 We don't need to see this one.

00:30:07.300 Yeah, don't do that.

00:30:08.660 So he didn't do any of the weird body language, which I imagined he would not because there's no audience.

00:30:14.720 So I think having having no audience allowed him to be as non-weird and creepy as he could be.

00:30:22.400 And I will give him I'll give him an A plus in not being creepy.

00:30:28.700 Because he's creepy as hell when he appears in front of crowds.

00:30:33.740 I'm not going to change my opinion on that.

00:30:36.220 But did he successfully conceal any creepiness?

00:30:41.820 Yes, he did.

00:30:42.380 I'm going to give him credit for that.

00:30:45.720 He talked about how the Harris campaign was about joy.

00:30:51.160 About joy.

00:30:53.480 So he's on the joy team.

00:30:58.300 And there he is.

00:30:59.720 There's that picture I drew of him showing all of his joy.

00:31:04.900 It's really tough to have somebody with an upside down mouth on the joy team.

00:31:10.300 Because I don't know if you've ever seen this, but this is what a smile looks like.

00:31:14.720 Like the edges of the mouth go higher than the middle.

00:31:21.280 This is what a waltz just standing there looks like.

00:31:26.780 No joy.

00:31:27.460 You know, he has a resting, unjoyful face.

00:31:31.960 Yeah, resting, unjoyful face.

00:31:33.580 I just made that up.

00:31:37.300 And let's see.

00:31:38.640 He did seem...

00:31:40.060 The single biggest thing everybody noticed was he would look nervous.

00:31:45.080 The nervousness, I think, more than any single thing is the story of the debate.

00:31:49.980 Vance looked not nervous whatsoever.

00:31:55.540 Not even a little.

00:31:57.620 He looks like he was born to do that.

00:32:01.160 You know, nobody said that Vance wasn't prepared or that he was well prepared.

00:32:07.720 Oh, think about that.

00:32:08.900 I just realized what a big deal that is.

00:32:12.320 Think about the fact that one of them is a subject of the conversation of whether he was prepared.

00:32:18.240 When we watched Kamala Harris, many of us, including me, said, wow, she's very prepared. 0.52

00:32:25.080 Very prepared.

00:32:26.660 Right?

00:32:26.940 When you watched Vance, was there any point where you even thought to yourself that he was underprepared or very prepared?

00:32:38.320 I never had either of those thoughts.

00:32:40.660 You know why?

00:32:41.860 He just was.

00:32:44.640 He looked like that's just who he is.

00:32:47.420 He simply acted like he could do this on a moment's notice.

00:32:51.340 I'm assuming he was very prepared.

00:32:53.240 But what I'm saying is that he didn't he didn't come off as a prepared person for a debate.

00:32:59.000 He came off as somebody who could do this, you know, anytime you wanted.

00:33:03.560 Like you could just say, hey, hey, Vance, we're having an instant debate.

00:33:08.300 You ready?

00:33:09.060 Yeah, OK.

00:33:10.080 And then he would do the same thing that he did in front of you.

00:33:12.940 Like it would just be so natural and good.

00:33:15.500 The fact that we don't even have the conversation about whether he was underprepared or overprepared or just prepared enough.

00:33:23.240 Means that preparation was completely missing from his presentation.

00:33:28.640 Perfect.

00:33:30.320 That would be the gold standard.

00:33:32.340 The gold standard is you can't tell if he prepared or he's always this way.

00:33:36.620 And he nailed it.

00:33:38.520 That's really the story of the debate to me. 0.98

00:33:40.860 But Vance looked like an old, nervous, old, weird troll with an upside down smile and crazy saucer eyes. 0.97

00:33:50.660 And, you know, I often talk about the crazy eyes. 0.96

00:33:53.440 If you watch politicians with the sound off and pundits as well, when their eyes go big like saucers, that's when they know they're lying.

00:34:04.860 When people know that they're telling the truth and that you could check it and you could see it was the truth, they don't widen their eyes like that.

00:34:14.020 It's just something you do when you know that what you're saying isn't credible, but you're trying to sell it anyway.

00:34:20.160 And my God, did he have that.

00:34:21.940 Did you ever see that once, even once, on Vance?

00:34:26.920 Did Vance ever go wide-eyed?

00:34:29.580 Nope.

00:34:29.880 And that is another sign that he didn't think he was lying.

00:34:35.400 Now, let me ask you this.

00:34:37.460 Do you remember any lies that Vance told?

00:34:42.580 Because generally they both get fact-checked.

00:34:46.040 Do you remember any lies he told?

00:34:50.060 I don't remember any.

00:34:52.860 There were definitely questions he avoided and got called out for it, rightfully.

00:34:58.240 So he definitely avoided questions.

00:35:01.620 But did he tell a lie?

00:35:06.260 I'm not sure.

00:35:07.620 I don't remember one.

00:35:09.660 No, even when Trump does a debate, I'm always completely aware when he's using his hyperbole, as I like to say.

00:35:19.740 I can tell when Trump is saying something that's not going to pass a fact-checker.

00:35:23.140 I mean, you can spot it without any effort, because usually it's already been fact-checked.

00:35:29.760 He'll say things that have already been fact-checked, you know, just like Walsh does, just like Harris does.

00:35:35.080 The normal politician thing.

00:35:37.060 But I don't know that I've seen Vance say something that's just not true.

00:35:43.160 Think about that.

00:35:44.280 That's kind of a big deal.

00:35:48.040 Now, people argue that he didn't, you know, frame the January 6th just right, or, you know, maybe he had some spin on it or something.

00:35:56.340 But that's different than lying.

00:35:58.320 That's different than just saying something that's not true.

00:36:01.920 But Walsh had a few things that weren't true.

00:36:04.660 I remember those.

00:36:05.580 It could be that I just have selective memory, and maybe it was closer to even.

00:36:12.300 I don't know.

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00:36:39.280 Let's see.

00:36:42.120 Here's my other hypnotist take.

00:36:44.580 This is backed by science.

00:36:46.220 Did you know that women who are using hormonal birth control, this has been well proven, this is now some weird science,

00:36:53.700 for decades, it's been studied, and every time they look at it, it comes out the same.

00:36:59.300 If you're on hormonal birth control, you like somebody who looks like sort of a good dad husband kind of thing.

00:37:08.220 You know, just a nice beta dad body, take care of the kids, have a good income kind of thing.

00:37:14.440 And if you're not on hormonal birth control, you tend to like the bad boys, the handsome boys, the, you know, the dangerous boys.

00:37:25.820 So, if you look at Vance and Walsh, I'm pretty sure that the women who are on hormonal birth control are going to prefer Walsh.

00:37:34.800 On average, obviously, I'm not talking about every single person.

00:37:38.580 And yes, I understand that there's such a thing as Republicans and Democrats, and sometimes they're just going to go for their team,

00:37:46.900 and it's not going to be anything to do with hormonal birth control.

00:37:49.940 I get it.

00:37:51.060 I'm just that, you remember, the elections might be a, you know, one or two percent difference in the end.

00:37:56.920 So, if it made any difference at all scientifically, I think that Vance would get the people, more support from people not on birth control, hormonal birth control.

00:38:10.460 And Walsh would get the ones who are on hormonal birth control.

00:38:14.960 I think that's real, by the way.

00:38:16.240 I'm not saying that because it's funny.

00:38:18.080 I think that's absolutely real.

00:38:20.060 But not moving big numbers might move a few people.

00:38:23.460 Well, Walsh lied about apparently being in Hong Kong, and I don't really care about that.

00:38:31.480 You know, the elections are basically lying contests.

00:38:35.340 So, if I found out, oh, no, one of the competitors said he was closer to something famous than he really was, well, that's just sort of politics.

00:38:46.580 So, I don't care that he may have been wrong about being in China during Tiananmen Square.

00:38:55.100 But when he tried to explain it, he looked more like somebody who was explaining that he lied.

00:39:03.800 He just completely blew the situation.

00:39:07.600 What he could have done is saying, oh, yeah, you know, I misspoke about that.

00:39:12.320 But the important thing is, and then talk about something else.

00:39:15.180 I mean, it would have been so easy to just say, yeah, you know, now that you mention it, or once somebody pointed that out, I thought, oh, yeah, I probably had a false memory about that.

00:39:27.660 So, forget that.

00:39:30.000 And I wouldn't have cared about it if he just said that.

00:39:32.980 I thought it was interesting that nobody mentioned eating the cats and dogs.

00:39:37.300 So, Walsh brought up the topic, but he talked about it only generically, as in, you say things about some immigrant communities.

00:39:47.840 And I thought to myself, say it.

00:39:50.940 Say it.

00:39:52.340 Say you think that they eat dogs.

00:39:54.620 Go ahead.

00:39:55.040 Say it.

00:39:56.200 Because I think Vance was ready for it.

00:40:00.480 I don't know what he would have said, but I think he was ready for it.

00:40:05.040 So, I think the only thing I can imagine here is that Democrats have decided that the eating the cats and the dogs things must have worked better for Trump than it worked for the critics.

00:40:18.640 Because otherwise, it would have been one of the leading things he said.

00:40:22.000 So, I think it's really telling that the Democrats strategists, obviously, the strategists were helping Walsh prepare.

00:40:31.560 But they must have thought that the eating cats and dogs things ended up working for Trump much better than it worked for them.

00:40:37.920 And I think that's true.

00:40:39.560 If that's the advice they gave him, stay away from the eating cats and dogs stuff.

00:40:43.560 That was the right advice.

00:40:45.660 Because I'm pretty sure that Vance had the kill shot for that.

00:40:52.000 Vance had a great answer on housing costs.

00:40:56.740 So, the question is, what are you going to do about reducing housing costs?

00:41:00.040 Because Kamala Harris had a plan for helping first-time house buyers. 1.00

00:41:05.540 And Vance said, if you can work on energy costs, bringing them down, and they do have ideas for that, reducing regulations, drill more, approve more drilling, et cetera, that that would bring down the price of everything.

00:41:21.440 True.

00:41:22.000 Yeah, you bring down energy costs, that brings down the price of everything, including housing.

00:41:26.860 He said the migrants were causing some competition for housing.

00:41:31.000 So, if you didn't have a migrant crisis, maybe the housing wouldn't be impacted.

00:41:36.280 You could argue whether that really makes a difference in every town.

00:41:42.440 Probably not every town that makes a difference.

00:41:44.220 And he said housing regulations could be reduced, and that would increase building and increase the supply and decrease the cost.

00:41:55.300 So, those are pretty good answers.

00:41:56.960 I like the fact that it was a, what do you do about this?

00:42:00.240 And it sounded like, at first, I thought, oh, there's nothing you can do about that.

00:42:05.600 That's going to be hard.

00:42:06.820 And then he had three solid, you know, direct answers that would tell me, oh, yeah, you could do that.

00:42:13.100 You could remove, Trump can remove regulations.

00:42:16.760 That's like a real thing.

00:42:18.200 Would that affect housing prices?

00:42:19.780 Oh, yeah, it would.

00:42:21.140 Yeah, totally.

00:42:25.560 Vance was worse on the question of would Trump and Vance separate people from their kids from their parents if he deported people.

00:42:38.820 I think he avoided that question well enough, but it looked like avoiding a question.

00:42:45.280 So, they were both, I think Vance avoided some big questions, but maybe that was the right answer.

00:42:51.820 Maybe just avoiding it was best play.

00:42:55.940 On climate change, Vance says he and Trump liked the clean air and the clean water.

00:43:02.260 And then he brought into the argument something I'd never heard before, which immediately made me perk up, as in, well, that's really smart.

00:43:10.760 Because if you're trying to figure out how smart they are, you're looking for something new.

00:43:17.440 So, if both of them had just come into the argument and said all the things that, you know, Trump is going to say anyway, or Harris, that would not impress me.

00:43:25.640 But I had not heard this before.

00:43:28.460 So, Vance said that if we bring more manufacturing back to America, America uses much cleaner energy than China or India.

00:43:38.640 So, China and India burning a lot of coal.

00:43:42.140 So, they got the dirtiest energy.

00:43:44.140 If we take all of our manufacturing and move it to the place with the dirtiest energy, you're going to get the worst outcome to the climate.

00:43:52.640 Now, what's interesting about this is he did not doubt that the climate is being changed by human activity.

00:44:01.500 That would have been probably a mistake.

00:44:04.380 So, he didn't say anything one way or the other.

00:44:06.680 He simply said, we like clean air and clean water.

00:44:10.940 And if most of the manufacturing happened in the United States, you'd get cleaner energy use and everybody would win.

00:44:18.760 Worldwide, globally, everybody wins if the manufacturing goes to where the clean energy is.

00:44:24.100 And I thought to myself, I don't have any counterargument to that.

00:44:28.840 What's the counterargument to that?

00:44:30.680 Because China and India definitely use dirtier energy.

00:44:37.120 You definitely need tons of energy for manufacturing.

00:44:40.680 We want to move the manufacturing back anyway.

00:44:44.340 And if we did, manufacturing is one of the biggest uses of energy.

00:44:48.880 So, that was actually, that was a surprisingly capable answer.

00:44:56.760 That's the best answer I've heard on the topic, honestly.

00:44:59.840 I don't think I've ever come up with anything better on my own.

00:45:03.820 Because the problem is, if you have enough time, you can get into the uncertainty about the science.

00:45:09.620 But if you don't have much time, that's just a trap.

00:45:14.080 Because, you know, you could make, you know, let's say a 20-minute pretty good case that the measurements for climate change are not accurate.

00:45:23.000 And, you know, we've been wrong before and blah, blah, blah.

00:45:26.460 But if you don't have much time, go for a clean air, clean water, bring the manufacturing back.

00:45:32.280 It will use our cleaner energy to make it. 0.91

00:45:34.700 And, oh, that's, that's tight.

00:45:37.920 That's a tight answer.

00:45:39.940 The best I've seen.

00:45:41.480 The best I've seen.

00:45:43.200 Yeah.

00:45:44.940 Then on the abortion question, which you expect would be really bad for the Republicans.

00:45:50.260 Because, you know, the Democrats are just not going to take anything less than lots of abortion rights. 0.68

00:45:57.320 And I did love the way he put it.

00:46:02.060 So rather than saying something about single cat ladies or some offensive thing about people who are not having babies, he seems to have seen the error of his ways.

00:46:15.220 And instead, he says plainly that he wants to put it in more of a positive spin for families and children.

00:46:22.820 And that he said on the topic of abortion, quote, Republicans need to earn trust back on that topic.

00:46:32.760 And I thought, oh, my God.

00:46:36.220 Do you know how perfect that is?

00:46:38.760 Do you know what people really, really want to hear from Republicans?

00:46:42.680 If you're a Democrat, especially if you're a woman, do you know what you really want to hear them say?

00:46:47.200 You want to hear them say we need to earn your trust back.

00:46:52.820 Because it's humble.

00:46:55.520 It's not we're right, you're wrong, we're going to control your bodies.

00:47:00.120 It's we have an argument that we like children, we like families, and we should do more to support people who get pregnant.

00:47:07.720 I don't think he said it as directly as that, but that's what I got from it.

00:47:10.560 In other words, maybe there's adoption, maybe there's, you know, better training about not getting pregnant.

00:47:19.780 Maybe we could encourage people to have the baby anyway and give them some kind of support.

00:47:24.380 But we need babies, we need, the country needs babies, right?

00:47:28.380 We need babies, and we need families.

00:47:30.740 And if he could just say, you know what, we need to earn your trust back, but we want to be pro-baby, pro-family.

00:47:38.480 And that was a strong answer.

00:47:42.000 Strong answer.

00:47:43.400 Now, that's an answer you give when you know you're not going to convince anybody.

00:47:47.820 If you can't change their minds, and you're not going to change any minds during a debate, 0.98

00:47:52.520 you can at least say, I'm not a jerk. 0.95

00:47:56.300 I want you to be happy. 0.95

00:47:58.320 I want you to achieve, you know, the best thing for you and for the country.

00:48:04.880 So, really good.

00:48:06.740 Really good answer.

00:48:08.700 Best you can do.

00:48:10.760 Did you know that, Walsh said that it's not okay to yell fire in a crowded theater.

00:48:18.900 Until this morning, I thought that that was true.

00:48:22.220 That it was illegal to yell fire in a crowded theater.

00:48:25.520 The thinking meaning that you would know it would cause danger because people would, you know, trample each other.

00:48:31.920 But apparently, the courts have decided that that specifically is legal.

00:48:39.280 It's free speech.

00:48:41.140 Why did it take until today for me to know that?

00:48:44.820 I'll tell you, there's some humility for me.

00:48:46.900 Every time you find out something is wrong, that you've believed all of your life on an important topic, free speech.

00:48:56.660 And I was just 100% wrong.

00:48:58.880 Just like, just like, uh, Walsh was.

00:49:02.340 Now, I'm not going to blame Walsh for being wrong about that.

00:49:05.280 Because almost the entire country is wrong about that.

00:49:09.180 And it's such a basic question about our freedoms that I'm going to let, I'm going to give them a total pass on that.

00:49:15.800 You got fact-checked, you know, at least on social media.

00:49:19.980 But, yeah, I thought it was true.

00:49:24.620 It's not true.

00:49:25.360 But, uh, this was in response to Vance, uh, saying that the Democrats are looking to censor.

00:49:34.480 All right.

00:49:35.580 Here are some things that Walsh said that are false.

00:49:38.260 He claimed that, he says, Trump won't cover pre-existing conditions.

00:49:42.760 Uh, Breitbart, in fact, checked them.

00:49:44.420 No, that's not true.

00:49:45.760 Trump very much says directly, doesn't avoid the question.

00:49:49.740 He does not avoid the question.

00:49:51.940 Yes, I want to cover those.

00:49:55.360 I mean, he says it directly.

00:49:57.340 So, for the other, the other side to say the opposite is just a pure lie.

00:50:02.840 Uh, Walsh also said that, uh, that the Trump administration would have these pregnancy monitors and it's part of the Project 2025 thing.

00:50:12.800 Nope.

00:50:13.560 There's no mention of anything like that in Project 2025.

00:50:17.320 And, as a bonus, Trump didn't write Project 2025 and doesn't endorse it.

00:50:23.580 Uh, so, that's just a total lie.

00:50:26.800 Just a thing they made up.

00:50:30.360 All right.

00:50:31.320 Um, the memes from the debate are just wonderful.

00:50:35.480 There's a meme that, uh, even Trump sent around.

00:50:38.600 Um, maybe I can find it.

00:50:41.020 Let's, uh, it's easier if I just show you the memes.

00:50:44.040 All right.

00:50:47.440 So, here's this one.

00:50:51.780 Uh, let me go to my tab.

00:50:57.420 I'm not sure what you see.

00:50:58.880 But, well, find those memes.

00:51:01.480 Oh, here's a good one.

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00:51:09.060 From the director of Meet the Parents and the writer of Poor Things comes The Roses.

00:51:13.840 Starring Academy Award winner Olivia Colman.

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00:51:19.000 Andy Samberg.

00:51:19.980 Kate McKinnon.

00:51:20.780 And Allison Janney.

00:51:21.740 A hilarious new comedy filled with drama, excitement, and a little bit of hatred.

00:51:26.620 Proving that marriage isn't always a bed of roses.

00:51:29.880 See The Roses only in theaters August 29th.

00:51:32.640 Get tickets now.

00:51:35.920 All right.

00:51:36.620 So, uh, one of the things that Walt said that none of us really understood.

00:51:43.100 Somebody say, some say he said it twice, but I don't hear it once.

00:51:47.820 He said he's friends with school shooters.

00:51:49.960 Now, obviously, he didn't mean he's friends with school shooters.

00:51:54.960 But he said it in a clear language.

00:51:58.920 And so, Trump does a meme.

00:52:00.940 It says, Trump fans 2024.

00:52:03.640 And then, it's got a little asterisk.

00:52:06.840 And under it, it says, not friends with school shooters.

00:52:14.000 Not friends with school shooters.

00:52:17.760 That's good.

00:52:18.540 But there's a better one.

00:52:19.960 There's a better one.

00:52:22.580 Let's see if I can find it.

00:52:24.200 Hold on.

00:52:25.680 Here it is.

00:52:28.620 This might remind you of me.

00:52:31.620 You know, I've often told you that the main thing you want in a vice president is somebody

00:52:36.040 who's not as good as you. 0.99

00:52:37.120 So, the meme is Obama just thinking, and he's thinking, I need a VP who's dumber than me. 0.99

00:52:44.760 And then, the next one is Biden, who was his VP, saying, I need a VP who's dumber than me. 0.98

00:52:51.140 And the next one is Harris, who is Biden's VP. 0.99

00:52:54.380 And she's saying, I need a VP that's dumber than me. 0.98

00:52:57.380 And then, the last picture is Tim Walsh with his saucer eyes. 0.96

00:53:03.700 Now, I haven't seen, you know, maybe the Democrats have their own memes that are also awesome.

00:53:09.500 But the memes that came out on the other side are just so good.

00:53:17.320 All right.

00:53:21.320 So, Trump won the meme game totally.

00:53:26.080 All right.

00:53:28.980 Trump turned down 60 minutes.

00:53:31.480 They wanted to, I guess they wanted to talk to Harris separately and then Trump separately.

00:53:38.120 And they had said that they would do cutaways to fact check them.

00:53:43.020 So, they had asked the candidate a question, and then they cut away to fact check it.

00:53:48.320 Now, Trump said no.

00:53:50.100 Now, he said he wouldn't do it until they apologized for lying about Hunter Biden's laptop.

00:53:54.820 Now, I don't know if he meant that or if it was just another way to get at them.

00:54:00.520 But if 60 Minutes tells you they want to interview you and they're not going to show the unedited video,

00:54:06.940 and they tell you we're going to cut away to fact check you, don't agree to that.

00:54:12.660 Are you kidding?

00:54:14.240 Harris agreed to that?

00:54:15.620 If you wanted one thing that would tell you who should be president, the one who agreed to that should not be president.

00:54:24.940 Now, I don't know if 60 Minutes is going to be a friendly tour and not do any fact checking or not fact checking anything that matters.

00:54:31.140 But never, ever, never, ever, never, never, ever agree to an interview if they're going to edit and put it in their own fact checking,

00:54:41.660 and you're not going to have a second thing to say about it.

00:54:44.300 It'd be one thing if they fact checked you verbally, and then you could say, oh, but your fact check is wrong because of this and that.

00:54:51.660 But no way, no way do you agree that they'll cut away to fact checking.

00:54:57.860 I hope I have that story right, by the way.

00:55:00.120 I hope that's really what happened, that they said they were going to cut away to fact checking.

00:55:03.520 You can fact check me on that if that's not right, but don't ever agree to that.

00:55:10.460 But there's new updates in the Diddy story.

00:55:15.240 There's an attorney, pretty high-powered attorney, says there are 120 victims.

00:55:20.180 He must be representing all of them or most of them.

00:55:25.160 And the accusations that you're seeing on social media are just wild.

00:55:33.300 Now, these are not, so the lawyer says that we're going to be shocked when we hear the names involved.

00:55:38.640 We're going to be shocked.

00:55:41.360 At the same time, there are a number of prominent CEOs who are quitting.

00:55:47.860 Today, there are more CEOs of Schwab and CEOs of something else quitting.

00:55:53.680 But like I told you before, this is quitting season.

00:55:58.240 So if you're thinking, oh, there's no way all these CEOs would be resigning,

00:56:03.320 if it's also, you know, unless they're part of the Diddy thing, no, that's completely wrong.

00:56:07.820 So this is the season everybody resigns.

00:56:10.840 They tell you in October so that you've got the rest of the year to adjust,

00:56:16.680 and then they have Christmas off, and they spend the time with their grandkids or whatever.

00:56:21.380 So I don't think resigning in October is telling you anything, but it might.

00:56:29.280 I can't rule it out, but it would be somewhat hidden in the fact that this is just the normal time you'd see a lot of people resigning.

00:56:39.160 Anyway, 120 victims.

00:56:44.180 There's an accusation online that there's something that Diddy was accused of abusing a nine-year-old boy,

00:56:52.300 spiking drinks with horse tranquilizer.

00:56:54.540 I don't know if that's related to the boy.

00:56:55.940 Anyway, and I'm not saying any of this is true.

00:57:00.180 Let me say the same thing I said about the election integrity after people said the election was faked.

00:57:07.180 Most of what you hear is probably not going to be true.

00:57:10.520 For example, most of the people who are CEOs quitting, it's not because of anything about Diddy.

00:57:17.400 So just in your mind, every time you see a new claim, like there's a claim about J-Lo, there's a claim about Obama,

00:57:26.560 there's a claim about a whole bunch of people,

00:57:31.300 you should have a little recording in your head that says probably not.

00:57:37.040 Probably not.

00:57:38.360 Now, I do believe there will be lots of prominent people who are in a lot of trouble,

00:57:42.560 but the claims are somewhat independent from whatever the reality is,

00:57:48.800 so you should treat the claims as highly suspicious and innocent until proven guilty situation.

00:57:57.460 It's going to be hard to do,

00:57:59.120 but try as hard as you can because this one's ugly.

00:58:04.120 This isn't just, oh, you might have said that bad thing.

00:58:07.100 This is the darkest, deepest accusation you can give to somebody.

00:58:12.580 And if you're just throwing Oprah into the mix because, you know, you just feel there's a vibe or something,

00:58:20.540 I would ask you to be a little more careful than that

00:58:24.040 because there is zero evidence that Oprah or Obama or most of these people, J-Lo, there's zero evidence.

00:58:33.240 Now, if any evidence against any of these characters comes out, then we adjust.

00:58:40.640 But if you don't know of any reliable evidence, you're just hearing the names being thrown around,

00:58:46.580 be a little careful about that.

00:58:48.880 Most of them are going to turn out not to be true, I think.

00:58:54.480 Anyway, Jaguar Wright, who has been very vocal about this diddy stuff,

00:59:00.420 she says, and I think she's not been proven to be wrong yet, but I could be wrong about that.

00:59:09.460 So she has some kind of insider knowledge, she claims, for that world for over many years.

00:59:14.620 So not just a glimpse of the world, but claims to have been, you know, knee-deep in the whole situation.

00:59:21.820 Not guilty, but close enough to know what's true and what's not.

00:59:26.200 So, and Jaguar Wright, who's a woman who's a, I don't know, I think she might have been a rapper at one point,

00:59:32.540 says that Kamala Harris has ties to diddy and his parties.

00:59:37.520 And now, again, I would mention this because she's running for president 0.99

00:59:43.400 and somebody who's a public figure has made a suggestion.

00:59:47.940 So the story that I'm telling you is that somebody is making an accusation.

00:59:51.440 The story I'm not telling you is that Kamala Harris did anything inappropriate. 1.00

00:59:57.880 No evidence of that. None. Right?

01:00:00.800 One person speculating throws out a juicy name in a political season.

01:00:06.840 I'm going to put the odds of Kamala Harris specifically being involved in something illegal 0.98

01:00:12.700 or inappropriate with a diddy party.

01:00:15.940 Close to zero. That'd be my guess. Close to zero.

01:00:19.680 So, anyway, Obama might have some extra things to explain, but we'll find out.

01:00:29.840 Again, that's not based on any evidence.

01:00:32.160 That's just based on vibes.

01:00:34.620 But they're all innocent until proven guilty.

01:00:36.880 Speaking of that, politician in France, Marine Le Pen,

01:00:41.660 she's now on trial for allegedly misusing EU money.

01:00:46.300 Now, if she's convicted, she's going to go to jail for 10 years

01:00:50.100 and be banned from public office for 10 years.

01:00:53.580 Now, there was a time, and not that long ago,

01:00:57.700 where if I saw a story like this, I'd say, well, you know,

01:01:01.400 innocent until proven guilty, but, you know, you know,

01:01:04.860 they're not really going to bring the charge unless they've got the evidence, right?

01:01:08.240 So, probably guilty, probably guilty, but not proven.

01:01:15.420 So, innocent until proven, but probably.

01:01:17.760 That's how I would have thought of it.

01:01:19.700 What do you think about it now?

01:01:21.960 It's 2024.

01:01:23.540 You've watched massive lawfare against politicians, especially Trump.

01:01:28.160 Do you automatically think that Marine Le Pen did something illegal

01:01:31.520 just because she's on trial and has a 10-year sentence 1.00

01:01:35.440 and a ban from politics that she's looking at?

01:01:38.940 No, as Mike Benz helpfully notes,

01:01:41.960 you can tell with 100% certainty whether a politician

01:01:44.780 will be criminally prosecuted in a NATO country

01:01:47.720 simply by whether that country's Ministry of Foreign Affairs

01:01:51.700 has insinuated that politician is a threat to NATO.

01:01:56.560 So, apparently, if you're a politician who's a threat to NATO,

01:02:00.880 you're going to get lawfare-ed.

01:02:03.840 Is it a coincidence?

01:02:05.980 Could this be the one case where the person who you'd expect

01:02:10.180 to get lawfare-ed actually did a crime?

01:02:14.560 You know, maybe.

01:02:16.500 Anything's possible.

01:02:18.020 But I'm going to go a little further than presumption of innocence.

01:02:21.500 I'm going to say presumption of a crime by the government of France.

01:02:30.660 My presumption is that the Department of Justice

01:02:33.520 or whatever it is in France is corrupt.

01:02:37.860 Now, I don't have proof of that.

01:02:40.420 But in this context, that's my starting and working assumption

01:02:44.940 that the government and or their judicial system is corrupt

01:02:50.240 and that Marine Le Pen probably did not do anything illegal.

01:02:54.980 Don't know.

01:02:56.360 And if the facts change, I'll update you and tell you I was wrong.

01:03:00.940 But I'm with Benz on this one.

01:03:03.700 This smells completely wrong.

01:03:06.800 It smells a little Trumpian.

01:03:10.080 Meanwhile, speaking of wrong,

01:03:12.140 Callie Means, which is the name of a person,

01:03:14.820 is talking about the CDC.

01:03:18.300 It says the CDC created an associated non-profit foundation

01:03:22.920 that enables the agency to take money from pharma.

01:03:28.260 And in the last 10 years,

01:03:30.000 Pfizer and Merck and some other companies

01:03:31.700 have paid over $100 million to this non-profit foundation.

01:03:35.780 And there are hundreds of companies making direct bribes.

01:03:41.200 So Callie Means is calling them bribes. 1.00

01:03:44.320 I'd like to know more about this.

01:03:47.240 But why would the CDC set up a non-profit foundation

01:03:51.460 to take in $100 billion?

01:03:53.620 Where exactly does that money end up?

01:03:56.520 It sounds a little bribish. 0.90

01:03:58.380 But if that money ends up doing something

01:04:01.940 that they can, you know,

01:04:03.840 they can prove that the money went to something good,

01:04:06.020 that's different.

01:04:07.440 But again, what's your first impression?

01:04:14.560 Yeah, your first impression is

01:04:17.020 that the CDC is up to no good.

01:04:21.300 All right, so the dock worker strike is on,

01:04:23.620 the longshoremen.

01:04:24.780 This will have an effect on the supply chain

01:04:27.180 in the United States.

01:04:28.380 But worse,

01:04:30.380 the longshoremen strike is happening at the same time

01:04:33.820 that if Israel attacks Iran

01:04:36.900 in any meaningful way,

01:04:40.560 Iran has said that it might respond

01:04:43.780 by maybe turning off the oil in the Middle East

01:04:47.560 because they could, you know,

01:04:49.240 bomb some Western-supporting military facilities,

01:04:53.500 not military, oil facilities.

01:04:56.180 So I would tell you to stock up.

01:05:03.900 I wouldn't panic.

01:05:06.020 I wouldn't panic.

01:05:07.780 But stock up.

01:05:09.840 So I'd make sure that you at least

01:05:11.580 have some white rice, you know,

01:05:14.220 stuck away somewhere.

01:05:15.200 Don't get the brown rice.

01:05:16.200 That doesn't last.

01:05:17.380 But white rice will last practically forever.

01:05:19.480 So make sure you've got a little bit of some of the basics in the house.

01:05:24.740 But I wouldn't panic.

01:05:26.300 I do think we're going to get squeezed.

01:05:28.120 I would be surprised.

01:05:31.120 I would be surprised if we don't get pinched

01:05:39.840 on our supply chain really fast.

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01:06:46.040 Doug Emhoff is being blamed by the Daily Mail,

01:06:49.900 the publication of the Daily Mail.

01:06:52.140 They say he slapped his ex-girlfriend

01:06:55.000 forcefully for flirting at an event.

01:06:58.400 Now, that would have been the nanny. 1.00

01:07:00.420 I guess that was when he was married previously,

01:07:03.580 and there was a nanny, 0.98

01:07:05.580 and they went to some event,

01:07:07.040 and the nanny was allegedly flirting 0.99

01:07:10.020 with somebody else while drunk,

01:07:12.200 and allegedly Doug Emhoff forcefully slapped her.

01:07:17.280 Now, if that story had fallen in the news

01:07:21.520 about a Republican candidate or family member,

01:07:27.280 would you believe it?

01:07:28.200 Do you believe that he forcefully slapped his girlfriend

01:07:32.700 because she flirted with somebody? 1.00

01:07:35.020 When you see Doug Emhoff,

01:07:37.040 can you see him in a wife-beater shirt,

01:07:40.080 and he's got a beer in one hand,

01:07:42.040 and he's just, like,

01:07:42.680 slapping the hell out of people?

01:07:44.840 I don't know.

01:07:46.100 I'm going to say this looks a little too much

01:07:48.100 like an October story,

01:07:49.400 where if I had to bet on it,

01:07:51.940 I'd bet it never happened.

01:07:53.040 It doesn't mean it didn't happen,

01:07:57.220 but I'm going to go with innocent

01:07:58.620 until proven guilty on this one.

01:08:01.720 It doesn't feel right.

01:08:04.400 Like, it doesn't have the vibe of something

01:08:06.300 that's likely to have happened.

01:08:08.440 But, you know, you can't read minds,

01:08:10.480 and alcohol was involved, right?

01:08:12.420 Alcohol was involved.

01:08:13.440 So, but it didn't make me like Kamala Harris less.

01:08:22.120 You know how I was saying that

01:08:23.580 it would be great to have a vice president

01:08:26.120 who you knew could take a strong stand

01:08:28.540 if something was going wrong?

01:08:31.320 Wouldn't it be great to have a first husband 1.00

01:08:34.940 who could slap the shit out of Kamala Harris 1.00

01:08:37.740 if she decided to go for equity 0.99

01:08:40.360 and pass a reparations bill?

01:08:44.180 And keep us in the Ukraine. 1.00

01:08:47.860 All right, I'm joking.

01:08:49.260 Nobody should slap anybody.

01:08:51.300 That's wrong.

01:08:52.400 It's inappropriate.

01:08:53.460 No slapping, no violence.

01:08:55.880 But it would be funny if he's a slapper.

01:08:59.160 My knowledge of human beings

01:09:02.100 is that once a slapper, always a slapper. 0.99

01:09:05.760 If he's a slapper, he's probably a slapper. 1.00

01:09:09.780 If he's not a slapper, he's not a slapper.

01:09:11.980 But he wouldn't, I don't think it's something

01:09:15.680 you would limit to one relationship.

01:09:18.860 So maybe.

01:09:21.260 I'm going to say probably not.

01:09:23.000 Well, Iran lobbed, I don't know, 0.99

01:09:27.400 maybe 200 missiles or so into Israel.

01:09:30.860 Israel shot most of them down.

01:09:32.840 Some of them landed on nothing.

01:09:34.660 But there, you know, the reporting from that area

01:09:40.260 is all weird and mixed and hard to believe. 0.83

01:09:44.500 Some are saying that Israel won't do a full invasion.

01:09:47.960 They'll only do targeted invasions

01:09:49.900 after some Hezbollah stuff in Lebanon.

01:09:52.520 Others say it might be closer to a full invasion.

01:09:54.800 But again, the news out of the area

01:09:57.060 and the speculation is all not reliable.

01:10:02.720 But apparently Israel has said

01:10:04.780 that it plans to respond.

01:10:09.060 And it's going to hit

01:10:10.360 that they might respond

01:10:12.880 against Iran's nuclear or oil facilities.

01:10:15.460 Now, Iran said 0.86

01:10:18.180 that if their nuclear or if their oil facilities,

01:10:22.360 I guess, specifically are targeted,

01:10:24.960 it will destroy all the refineries

01:10:27.340 in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states.

01:10:30.320 So that would be bad.

01:10:34.460 Now,

01:10:34.960 and they also have the option

01:10:37.800 of closing the Strait of Hormuz,

01:10:39.660 which would cut off 21% of the planet's oil. 0.92

01:10:45.460 So

01:10:46.060 the question is,

01:10:49.340 who's bluffing

01:10:50.520 and who's not?

01:10:53.020 Will Israel do something

01:10:55.300 that's a major attack on Iran 0.94

01:10:57.600 to make sure they don't do it again?

01:11:01.220 Or will they try to de-escalate

01:11:03.840 so they can focus on Hezbollah?

01:11:06.740 I think they might do something

01:11:08.580 that's forceful,

01:11:10.360 but just under the line

01:11:12.300 where Iran has to act again.

01:11:14.040 So it's not tit for tat.

01:11:16.620 Like if each person who responds

01:11:18.300 takes it down a notch,

01:11:20.220 then you can end it pretty quickly,

01:11:22.960 at least the back and forth.

01:11:24.380 But if each person who responds

01:11:25.920 takes it up a notch,

01:11:27.460 well, you're in for it.

01:11:28.820 So Israel might take it down a notch 0.94

01:11:31.000 from 200 into, you know,

01:11:33.680 200 missiles coming in.

01:11:35.920 I don't know what that would look like.

01:11:37.880 You know, maybe they take out some leader,

01:11:39.840 one person,

01:11:40.680 something like that.

01:11:41.240 And I don't know

01:11:46.000 the degree to which

01:11:48.260 these refineries

01:11:49.600 are all just easy targets.

01:11:53.700 They might be easy targets,

01:11:55.620 but they might have, you know,

01:11:57.800 their own defenses

01:11:59.140 already around them.

01:12:00.420 I don't know.

01:12:03.480 But we'll keep an eye on that.

01:12:06.220 Now, a story I heard

01:12:07.620 that's not confirmed in my mind

01:12:09.640 is that the reason

01:12:10.560 it's going to take a long time

01:12:12.300 to get the power back on

01:12:13.800 in America

01:12:14.980 where the flood

01:12:16.560 knocked out the power

01:12:17.640 is that a lot of our big

01:12:19.660 power devices

01:12:22.460 have been given to Ukraine

01:12:24.720 because theirs keep getting blown up.

01:12:27.460 Is that true?

01:12:29.200 Is it true that we won't have electricity

01:12:31.520 in part of the United States

01:12:33.280 because we gave away

01:12:34.960 our extras

01:12:35.700 to Ukraine?

01:12:39.120 I'm not sure

01:12:39.900 that kind of a

01:12:40.800 story is even,

01:12:42.320 you know,

01:12:43.500 is credible.

01:12:45.340 But I'd hate to find out

01:12:46.720 if that was true.

01:12:47.840 That would be a big problem.

01:12:49.540 All right.

01:12:51.580 I'm going to

01:12:52.440 end on this thought.

01:12:54.140 I saw a video

01:12:54.820 from Jason Silva

01:12:56.660 on Axe.

01:12:57.720 And

01:12:58.760 it's a fascinating video

01:13:01.980 in which he has

01:13:02.680 a long conversation,

01:13:04.520 philosophical

01:13:05.080 and technical

01:13:06.180 within AI.

01:13:07.760 But here's what came out of it.

01:13:10.400 What if AI

01:13:11.240 is a mirror

01:13:14.540 that your consciousness

01:13:15.560 built to see itself?

01:13:19.440 Think about that.

01:13:20.500 What if AI

01:13:24.360 is something

01:13:26.280 your subconscious

01:13:27.200 made you invent?

01:13:29.560 In other words,

01:13:30.220 made humans invent

01:13:31.320 because your subconscious

01:13:33.100 couldn't

01:13:34.100 couldn't understand

01:13:35.100 itself.

01:13:36.900 Have you ever noticed

01:13:37.900 that you don't understand

01:13:38.740 your own consciousness?

01:13:40.100 It's one of the most

01:13:40.960 confusing things.

01:13:42.080 Like,

01:13:42.520 why do we have

01:13:43.100 consciousness?

01:13:44.700 Like,

01:13:45.180 what's up with that?

01:13:46.320 And like,

01:13:46.940 why do we seem

01:13:47.940 to have a consciousness

01:13:48.840 that's not like

01:13:49.800 animals or plants?

01:13:52.460 You know,

01:13:52.660 they have some form,

01:13:53.540 but we have

01:13:53.940 some different form.

01:13:55.880 And

01:13:56.360 I love this thought.

01:13:58.720 And I've said this before,

01:14:00.120 that when you look

01:14:01.580 at the AI models,

01:14:03.080 you can see

01:14:04.400 that they do

01:14:04.980 something like

01:14:05.660 intelligence

01:14:06.460 without having

01:14:07.960 consciousness.

01:14:10.080 That is holding

01:14:11.240 up a mirror

01:14:11.880 to your own

01:14:12.440 consciousness.

01:14:14.640 And so,

01:14:15.200 the way that we'll

01:14:15.980 understand our own

01:14:17.080 minds

01:14:17.620 is by

01:14:19.440 building AI

01:14:20.300 and then

01:14:21.280 looking at it

01:14:21.860 from the outside.

01:14:23.080 Because you can't

01:14:23.800 look into your own

01:14:24.800 mind so well.

01:14:25.920 But you can build

01:14:26.620 something that's

01:14:27.260 like your mind

01:14:28.120 and then look at it

01:14:29.640 and say,

01:14:30.120 whoa,

01:14:30.900 I built something

01:14:32.180 that's like my mind.

01:14:33.400 It's like a mirror now.

01:14:34.720 So you're looking

01:14:35.380 at your own

01:14:35.800 consciousness

01:14:36.260 through the AI.

01:14:37.900 It's kind of an

01:14:38.620 interesting thought.

01:14:39.480 And it is how I

01:14:40.280 think of it,

01:14:40.740 by the way.

01:14:41.060 That's exactly how

01:14:41.920 I think of it.

01:14:44.160 All right.

01:14:45.480 Well,

01:14:46.240 I think that's

01:14:47.980 all I had to

01:14:48.460 cover today.

01:14:49.460 So I'm going to

01:14:50.200 remind you that

01:14:50.960 the Dilbert 2025

01:14:52.480 calendar is

01:14:53.920 available for

01:14:54.480 pre-sale.

01:14:54.980 If I didn't tell

01:14:55.560 you,

01:14:56.220 this will be the

01:14:56.760 first calendar

01:14:57.340 where there's a

01:14:57.980 comic on the

01:14:58.520 front and a

01:14:59.980 comic on the

01:15:00.560 back of each

01:15:01.100 page.

01:15:02.080 For example,

01:15:03.700 there'll be a

01:15:04.140 classic one here.

01:15:07.980 Talking about,

01:15:08.960 well,

01:15:10.340 yeah,

01:15:10.700 that's actually a

01:15:11.500 reborn.

01:15:11.940 It's pretty naughty.

01:15:12.480 So you'll have

01:15:13.460 naughty ones on

01:15:15.020 one side,

01:15:15.920 maybe PG-13,

01:15:17.720 not that naughty.

01:15:19.220 Maybe not even

01:15:20.040 PG-13,

01:15:21.360 maybe PG.

01:15:23.640 And then the

01:15:24.800 classic ones on

01:15:25.680 the back.

01:15:26.560 So twice as many

01:15:27.620 comics for the

01:15:28.460 first time ever.

01:15:29.460 And you can buy

01:15:30.180 only at the

01:15:31.820 Dilbert.com link

01:15:33.260 to the sales page.

01:15:34.600 It will not ever

01:15:35.760 be available,

01:15:36.820 ever,

01:15:37.880 on Amazon.

01:15:38.920 It's how I can

01:15:39.520 make it in the

01:15:40.020 United States.

01:15:41.040 Long story.

01:15:41.840 But also,

01:15:43.320 very hard to

01:15:44.620 find,

01:15:45.140 but the new

01:15:45.860 update to

01:15:46.460 Winn-Bigley is

01:15:47.920 now available

01:15:48.520 on Amazon.

01:15:50.040 So this one's

01:15:50.560 on Amazon,

01:15:51.500 but the

01:15:51.860 calendar,

01:15:52.460 you've got to

01:15:52.740 go to

01:15:52.980 Dilbert.com

01:15:53.740 to find the

01:15:54.240 link.

01:15:55.360 Now this is

01:15:56.280 an update

01:15:57.120 to Winn-Bigley

01:15:58.380 that's already

01:15:59.020 been published,

01:15:59.860 and it talked

01:16:00.640 about how

01:16:01.320 Trump won in

01:16:02.100 2016 using

01:16:03.320 persuasion.

01:16:04.540 So if you

01:16:05.000 would like to

01:16:05.520 learn persuasion

01:16:06.380 and also learn

01:16:07.600 to recognize it

01:16:08.480 in the wild,

01:16:10.020 this is the book

01:16:10.880 for you.

01:16:11.440 It's very

01:16:12.500 well received,

01:16:13.320 by the way.

01:16:14.640 It is

01:16:15.240 considered the

01:16:17.380 classic book

01:16:19.000 about the

01:16:19.400 2016 election

01:16:20.540 and persuasion.

01:16:21.700 You're going

01:16:22.060 to love it.

01:16:22.760 It's a great

01:16:23.180 read.

01:16:24.060 All right,

01:16:24.340 that's all I

01:16:24.700 got for you.

01:16:25.120 I'm going

01:16:25.320 to talk to

01:16:25.720 the local

01:16:27.040 subscribers

01:16:27.860 privately,

01:16:29.440 but the rest

01:16:30.240 of you,

01:16:30.740 thanks for

01:16:31.120 joining on

01:16:31.880 YouTube and

01:16:32.420 X and Rumble.

01:16:33.360 You're amazing.

01:16:34.900 All right,

01:16:35.680 locals,

01:16:36.320 I'm coming

01:16:36.680 at you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 02, 2024

Episode 2615 CWSA 10⧸02⧸24

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