Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2632 CWSA 10⧸18⧸24

00:00:00.240 Today will be extra special for reasons that only some people know.

00:00:13.420 Good morning everybody and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:25.360 If you'd like to take this experience, which is already pinning the needle in ways that you can't even believe,

00:00:32.220 if you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody can believe with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:00:37.240 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice's dine, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:44.200 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:47.000 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:51.400 It's called, that's right, it's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:55.900 And it happens now. Go.

00:01:04.920 It's going to every part of my mitochondria.

00:01:09.620 I send my coffee directly to my mitochondria.

00:01:14.440 I don't know if that's where it belongs, but it's just something I've been doing.

00:01:18.800 Well, meanwhile, the Florida housing market is crumbling, according to one report.

00:01:23.180 But then the very first comment I saw in the X post about it was, that's not true.

00:01:31.540 So if I told you that all data is fake, so either the Florida housing market is crumbling or it's just fine because it's the best state.

00:01:41.840 So I've got both opinions there for you.

00:01:43.700 Well, here's my opinion, my opinion somewhere in the middle, which is here are three things you don't want to happen at the same time.

00:01:52.720 You don't want to have a state that has lots of hurricane expense because that's going to cause the second thing, which is incredibly high insurance.

00:02:05.360 Which is also going to be related to a third thing, which is you have to move your entire house and maybe repair it once every two years, depending where you live in Florida.

00:02:20.080 How do senior citizens manage that? 0.52

00:02:24.520 Like, how is it that the one state that's famous for having the least mobile, you know, least capable humans are seniors, you know, the most respected, but least physically capable.

00:02:38.680 Is in the place where we're pretty sure there's going to be two hurricanes a year that are going to get your get you pretty excited.

00:02:48.600 So I do wonder if you combine the rising insurance costs, which would be tough on the people with fixed incomes, especially, and then you add to it.

00:02:59.720 Hey, grandpa, how many times do you want to pack up the station wagon and figure out another state to be in for a couple of weeks?

00:03:08.680 Or live without electricity for a little while.

00:03:11.980 Now, I'm in California, so I expect the lights to go out any minute, you know, in a forest fire to take everything.

00:03:18.440 So it's not like, you know, it's not like I'm bragging about my state or anything.

00:03:23.140 I just wonder if Florida is as sustainable as we hope it is.

00:03:29.740 It's got a lot going for it.

00:03:31.360 DeSantis is doing a great job, as far as I can tell.

00:03:34.400 And a lot of people love it.

00:03:36.220 They love the freedom.

00:03:37.160 But, boy, I'd worry about the insurance cost mixed with senior citizens. 1.00

00:03:42.480 That's a bad one.

00:03:44.500 Anyway, according to something called Futurity, let's call it, it could be pronounced many different ways.

00:03:52.860 It could be Futter, I-D, probably not, though.

00:03:56.920 Maybe Futurity, Futurity, I'll go with that.

00:04:03.720 They say that diet and exercise can reverse liver damage.

00:04:09.520 Now, I would have to think that that would depend how much liver damage we're talking about and what kind.

00:04:15.040 But, once again, I'm starting to get a hint that good diet and exercise is good for your health.

00:04:24.880 Now, I'm going to keep track of this for the rest of you, so you don't have to.

00:04:28.880 But, just in case it turns out to be true, that exercise and eating right is good for your health in a whole variety of ways, I will get back to you.

00:04:39.780 Until then, don't do anything rash.

00:04:42.480 Don't assume it's true.

00:04:43.640 Just because 100% of every scientific study since the beginning of time has confirmed it, it might not be.

00:04:53.420 You never know.

00:04:55.860 Anyway, there's another report that Chinese scientists use their special quantum computers.

00:05:02.720 Yeah, you don't have one of those, do you?

00:05:04.960 Where's your quantum computer? 1.00

00:05:07.640 Losers. 1.00

00:05:08.840 No, I'm just kidding. 0.98

00:05:09.600 Nobody wants a quantum computer, unless you want to crack military-grade encryption, which, according to Tom's Hardware, which I guess is some kind of a site, they've cracked military-grade encryption.

00:05:27.380 Hmm.

00:05:28.200 Now, do you think that's true?

00:05:31.140 Put on your fake news filter.

00:05:34.220 Here's the second part.

00:06:03.000 Get ready.

00:06:04.220 If that were true, do you think they would let you know about it?

00:06:12.140 Do you think that would just be in the news?

00:06:17.240 How could that possibly be true?

00:06:19.560 That would be the most secret thing of all secret things that ever needed to be secret in the history of secrets.

00:06:27.100 Even an alien landing in China and offering all of their technology would be slightly less secret than having their quantum computers already be able to unencrypt military encryption.

00:06:44.440 So, I'm going to be a little skeptical whether they have that at some practical level where they can actually use it.

00:06:54.820 So, I don't know what the real story is, but the most amazing part of the story would be if it were true that somehow it got out.

00:07:04.860 I feel like they would just slay the families of anybody who let that secret out.

00:07:12.460 I mean, what could be more secret than that?

00:07:14.140 Speaking of electronic warfare, we'll get to all the fun politics in a bit.

00:07:20.520 According to New Atlas, there's a new electronic warfare system that can make it look as though there are lots of jets and bombers coming your way when there aren't.

00:07:32.420 So, in other words, they can fool the enemy radar electronically into thinking that there's something physical coming at them in a big wave.

00:07:42.340 Now, I'll tell you, when I read these stories, I can't tell how many of them matter.

00:07:51.120 Because if everything's just going to be swarms of AI drones, why would anybody use anything else?

00:08:00.080 Because, you know, it might be mutually assured disaster or destruction, I mean.

00:08:06.940 But it seems like that's the weapon you'd use if you could make enough of them.

00:08:12.060 Because you couldn't really stop them.

00:08:15.140 And they're kind of cheap, you know, relatively speaking.

00:08:18.980 And you wouldn't want to irradiate anything if you didn't have to.

00:08:22.200 So, it seems like swarms of drones would be the future.

00:08:26.420 But maybe that's cool, too.

00:08:27.840 Meanwhile, a U.S. bomber struck Yemen.

00:08:33.180 Several Houthi weapons depots and stuff.

00:08:37.920 And here's my question.

00:08:40.200 Why is the United States in charge of Yemen?

00:08:45.200 Now, I get that what we're doing is good for the whole world, and that's my point.

00:08:49.000 Isn't everybody in the world better off if the Houthis are not blocking the shipping lanes? 0.99

00:08:57.480 So, shouldn't everyone be in on this in one way or another?

00:09:02.100 And if they're not, you know, maybe it does make sense that the United States is the world's police person.

00:09:10.260 Because who else is going to do it?

00:09:13.600 On the other hand, you could argue that the Houthis wouldn't be mad except for American slash Israel policies in the Middle East.

00:09:23.240 But I'm not going to get into that.

00:09:24.820 I'm just going to say that it seems like everybody who wants to pay lower prices would be in favor of the United States striking the Houthis. 0.99

00:09:33.680 And we should have more help on that.

00:09:38.020 Argentina allegedly is having a great miracle revival thanks to their new president, Javier Mille.

00:09:49.220 And they're saying that it's now 10 months in a row in Argentina of a trade surplus, which would be miraculous because they were trade deficit until then.

00:09:58.840 And it's a $16 billion surplus since he took office.

00:10:02.620 But you know what's missing in the story is how he did any of that.

00:10:09.640 So, how do you tell me a story about the miraculous economic success without mentioning anything he did or any expert opinion as to why that worked or if it would work somewhere else?

00:10:22.920 So, I would like to be the first, well, maybe there are others, but I'm going to put down a little skeptical flag on the Argentina stories.

00:10:34.380 I feel like the Argentina miracle might be overblown, might be exaggerated, because there's just something missing in the story.

00:10:43.760 You know, there's a dog not barking or there's a key that's not in the lock or there's a tumbler that didn't fit or something.

00:10:51.720 There's something about this Argentina thing that's a little too, a little too convenient, a little too perfect.

00:11:01.000 Can you really just change the president and then the whole economy changes overnight?

00:11:05.740 So, I'm going to say there's something going on in Argentina that might be great, so I'm not going to criticize it at all.

00:11:17.220 I just think there might be maybe more to the story.

00:11:22.100 You know, is there a debt question?

00:11:24.340 Is there a corruption, competence question?

00:11:27.680 Are they faking the numbers?

00:11:29.520 Is the data even true?

00:11:30.740 I've got a lot of questions.

00:11:33.480 It's a little too fast, a little too good, too fast.

00:11:37.080 You know what I mean?

00:11:38.040 If you live in the real world long enough, you don't see this.

00:11:42.360 Oh, let me put it this way.

00:11:44.200 For those of you who are over, I will randomly pick an age, over the age of 50.

00:11:50.600 And you've just observed how a real world works, how fast anything happens in the real world.

00:11:56.660 And then you compare how you think anything happens in the real world to the miracle in Argentina. 0.88

00:12:04.220 And do you think 20 years from now, the historians will say, yeah, damn it, it was just that one guy. 0.56

00:12:10.560 All you needed was that one guy. 0.87

00:12:12.880 He did the right things.

00:12:14.360 And now everybody just borrowed those same techniques.

00:12:17.280 And the whole world is doing great now.

00:12:19.620 Because once he made it obvious that if you do those things, everything goes great, and it goes great immediately, then everybody started doing it.

00:12:28.280 Do you think that's what it's going to look like in 20 years?

00:12:32.900 So here's one of those things where age is absolutely a different filter on everything.

00:12:38.620 If I were 25, I would buy this completely.

00:12:41.460 I would say, wow, you get the right guy in the office and good stuff happens.

00:12:47.800 If I were 25, at my current age, I'd say, nothing happens that way, ever.

00:12:57.900 So I've got questions.

00:13:02.980 An overwhelming majority of young Americans are worried about climate crisis, according to The Guardian.

00:13:09.560 So, and apparently it's both left and right-leaning kids.

00:13:13.760 So I don't see how you're going to get a lot of human reproduction.

00:13:22.180 So they don't have money.

00:13:24.340 And they think that if they did have money and the American dream and they could buy homes and have happy lives and stuff,

00:13:32.400 that their children would burn up in a fireball once they were gone.

00:13:37.700 Like, why exactly would anybody have any babies?

00:13:43.760 You know, one of the things that we don't like to admit about our history in the United States

00:13:48.480 is that the single biggest, well, except we had good geography and, you know, we had some luck,

00:13:56.000 but a big part of the reason that the United States has worked for decades

00:14:02.140 is that we do really good brainwashing, you know, both on ourselves and internationally as well.

00:14:10.240 And part of the brainwashing was if you do these things, you get these outcomes and, you know,

00:14:15.100 you really want to have a better toaster, even though you didn't really need a better toaster.

00:14:19.440 But, hey, your neighbors have really good toasters and look at all these features.

00:14:23.600 Then you buy it and then the economy is good and then people have jobs and it's self-fulfilling.

00:14:28.260 So basically the engine of any country, unless you have severe shortages, you know, as long as you have resources,

00:14:35.680 the engine of any country is the psychology.

00:14:39.200 And the CIA, who just managed our country to make us all patriotic and just assume,

00:14:46.640 I grew up watching Leave It to Beaver and Father Knows Best.

00:14:53.300 And so I just assumed that what people do is they go, they get married.

00:14:57.440 And in my, I'd say, 20s, I felt uncomfortable with the idea that I wasn't rushing to get married

00:15:05.980 because I was so brainwashed that there's just one way to do it.

00:15:09.480 Now, I would argue that if the brainwashing goes away, you'd say, oh, that's great.

00:15:16.420 My mind is free.

00:15:17.900 Everything's good now because I'm a free thinker with less brainwashing.

00:15:22.040 I would argue the only reason you survived is because of the brainwashing. 0.93

00:15:26.520 And if you do too much free thinking, you're dead.

00:15:29.880 You know, you pretty much need, you know, somebody brainwashing people in some stable, productive, useful way.

00:15:42.340 I like Trump because when he brainwashes, to me, you know, based on all my filters on life,

00:15:49.860 he looks like he brainwashes in a way that's unambiguously good for you. 0.98

00:15:53.940 And it might be bullshit, but if he tells you the economy is better than you thought, 0.98

00:15:58.660 you're going to spend a little more and then the economy becomes better than you thought. 0.99

00:16:02.820 So it's all this really productive bullshit brainwashing that's just what I love. 1.00

00:16:08.020 I'm like, yeah, tell me some more of that bullshit. 1.00

00:16:10.860 I love it. 1.00

00:16:11.960 It's good for me.

00:16:13.220 So you don't really get a choice of the truth versus the lies.

00:16:17.360 You kind of get a choice of which brainwashing you prefer.

00:16:20.220 By nearly a two-to-one margin, according to Rasmussen,

00:16:26.540 voters say that a candidate's competence matters more than caring.

00:16:31.820 Does that surprise you?

00:16:33.860 That voters, by a big margin, two-to-one, say they care about competence more than caring?

00:16:39.800 Because it seems to me that, you know, Kamala is pushing the caring thing pretty hard.

00:16:46.420 And the data would say that she's pushing the wrong button.

00:16:50.220 That she should be pushing the competence button.

00:16:52.620 But she doesn't have a competence button. 1.00

00:16:57.540 If she had a competence button, the election probably wouldn't look like this. 0.99

00:17:02.860 But here's the even more interesting thing.

00:17:07.040 That the voters rated Trump slightly higher than Kamala on.

00:17:12.100 What do you think I'm going to say now?

00:17:14.340 Competence or caring?

00:17:15.400 So Trump was rated higher on which?

00:17:20.760 Competence or caring?

00:17:22.480 Trick question.

00:17:23.360 Both.

00:17:24.920 Trump was rated higher on competence and caring.

00:17:30.320 How does he lose?

00:17:33.240 How is it even slightly possible that he could lose the election?

00:17:37.780 I mean, other than cheating.

00:17:38.940 We'll talk about that in a minute.

00:17:40.000 But if you're winning on both competence and caring, let's talk about the third thing we care about.

00:17:51.300 Orange man bad? 0.55

00:17:52.980 Like, what's the third thing you care about?

00:17:54.700 If he got your competence and you got your caring, now list the third thing you care about.

00:18:02.180 Nothing.

00:18:03.380 That's the whole package.

00:18:04.880 If he's leaning on both.

00:18:08.360 Now, here's an interesting fact you might not know.

00:18:11.820 What would you call it with one word that would capture both competence and caring?

00:18:17.400 This will be a good test.

00:18:21.000 Give me one word that is a regular English word that is the definition of competence and caring put together.

00:18:31.580 If you put competence and caring, there's one word for that.

00:18:35.160 Charisma.

00:18:36.580 Charisma.

00:18:37.920 Now, slightly different definition for charisma, which is power and empathy.

00:18:43.660 So, I'm saying competence and power are the same in this context.

00:18:49.680 And I'm saying that caring and empathy are the same.

00:18:53.160 Which means that charisma is literally what Trump seems to have more of, according to the voters.

00:19:01.580 Charisma.

00:19:02.580 Now, did Trump demonstrate any charisma lately?

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00:20:09.380 Here's what charisma looks like.

00:20:13.020 Trump goes to that, what is that, Al Smith big dinner that the presidential candidates traditionally go to.

00:20:21.580 Kamala Harris does a recorded, she tries to do a comedy thing with somebody else doing the comedy. 0.80

00:20:28.620 Falls completely flat, complete disaster in a comedy context.

00:20:33.740 And she just looked like she was a fish out of water. 1.00

00:20:36.300 Trump gets up there with a bunch of jokes that were written, obviously, by his staff. 1.00

00:20:43.260 He reads the jokes, and as he's reading them, he's realizing that his jokes suck. 0.69

00:20:48.740 And so he starts making fun of his joke writers, as well as the jokes, as well as the people in the jokes, because some people like the jokes. 0.60

00:20:57.200 And all of a sudden, it didn't even matter what the joke was.

00:21:01.200 He made it about just his personality, and if he liked his personality, because he's bigger than life, then it was all good.

00:21:11.580 So he took the worst material in the world, the jokes, they were truly terrible, and he made the whole thing work.

00:21:18.520 Even looking like it wasn't working, he made that work, because he talked about it not working, and then that became the thing he was talking about.

00:21:28.360 Harris has all the production Hollywood people in the world putting together this nice little package so that there could be no awkwardness, no mistakes.

00:21:38.060 She wouldn't be revealed for having no sense of humor whatsoever, because the other person in the video would be, like, adding the humor parts. 0.73

00:21:45.740 Completely failed.

00:21:48.520 So who had the charisma in that case?

00:21:53.100 Well, not exactly the definition of charisma, but he was the more interesting.

00:21:57.020 He was the star.

00:21:58.780 Let's say he was a celebrity.

00:22:01.020 He was a star, and Harris was not.

00:22:07.440 Then did you see that Trump visited a barbershop in New York City?

00:22:14.260 A black barbershop.

00:22:15.360 And you may remember that I had been recommending that Trump use his charisma on a retail level, you know, instead of talking to people who are professional talkers, talk to actual voters.

00:22:30.140 Because every time we saw him talking to anybody in any kind of on-the-street setting, it was a home run.

00:22:37.120 Am I right?

00:22:38.760 It was, I like to use the frozen rope analogy.

00:22:44.100 It's a baseball term.

00:22:45.880 If somebody hits a line drive that's so hard it never goes down, it's like a frozen rope.

00:22:51.520 Every time Trump talks to a voter, it's a frozen rope.

00:22:58.560 I mean, he just clocks it, and you never see it go down.

00:23:02.880 And so the obvious thing would be, we'll do more of that.

00:23:06.620 But his super superpower, the superpower you just don't see in politicians, is his pirate ship.

00:23:17.880 And by pirate ship, what I mean is that he can assemble people from every walk of life, and as long as they're sort of, you know, philosophically good Americans wanting to be, you know, on the side of doing good things, and usually also liking him, he loves you.

00:23:35.880 And you can tell, and then you love him back, because you don't get a lot of love.

00:23:43.000 So he can go anywhere.

00:23:45.840 And if you don't see that he can go anywhere and get the same reaction, you're missing his magic.

00:23:52.920 The magic is it works everywhere.

00:23:56.040 Everybody can go to a friendly audience.

00:23:58.220 Even Kamala Harris, even Kamala Harris's name incorrectly so many times, I'm starting to forget it.

00:24:08.340 But even she can go to the, you know, the 19-year-old female group of whatever sorority and get a great reception. 1.00

00:24:18.860 That's not hard.

00:24:20.320 Trump can go anywhere.

00:24:22.060 Just anywhere.

00:24:23.000 And he gets a great reception.

00:24:25.100 So he goes to the black barbershop, which is, of course, you know, ratings gold. 0.97

00:24:31.460 And then, I don't know about you, but the only video I saw was from, it looked like viral videos from the people who were in the barbershop, the attendees.

00:24:42.120 And that's exactly what I wanted to say.

00:24:45.020 I didn't want to see ABC News camera, here is Trump, interacting with some voters.

00:24:52.580 I wanted to see the voters take a picture of it with their own cameras in their hands and put it up on their social media and say, look what just happened to me.

00:25:04.080 I'm in a barbershop with Trump.

00:25:07.260 And that's what happened.

00:25:08.760 And it was amazing.

00:25:10.560 It was perfect.

00:25:11.520 And did you see, if you watched even a second of it, and you should, did you see the comfort and love that was so easily being exchanged in that environment?

00:25:25.320 And it's every environment.

00:25:27.880 So, you know, hey, barbershop, you're on the pirate ship.

00:25:32.580 Everybody wants on.

00:25:35.420 Get on.

00:25:35.740 There's a study that says that Campaign Music Matters, Mark Harvey, writing about this in, where was that?

00:25:46.600 I didn't see where he was writing it.

00:25:48.340 But I guess he's an associate professor and director of graduate business programs at the University of St. Mary.

00:25:55.260 And he's studied this and says that it does make a difference, that you can measure it, and that associating music, such as when the candidates come out before a rally or something, makes a difference.

00:26:13.400 Now, he could have asked me, and he probably could have asked you.

00:26:17.720 So, it does make a difference, but we don't realize how much, maybe.

00:26:24.160 It's more about, it's more dramatic than you think.

00:26:27.740 Because we're so tuned and trained by music, that music puts us in a mode, you pair that mode with anything, and then you like the other thing.

00:26:37.800 You know, just always.

00:26:39.080 Anyway, so one of the questions that people are criticizing Kamala Harris for in the Brett Baer interview was that when did Harris know that Biden was no longer capable of doing his job or running for president, and that Harris just sort of avoids it?

00:27:03.380 And at first she said, well, he's not running for president, and blah, blah, he does a great job, and basically just avoided the question awkwardly.

00:27:13.820 So, I wanted to take a whack, because I like to, no, not in a Jeffrey Toobin way, but I'm going to take a try at being Kamala Harris and answering that question.

00:27:26.820 So, I'm doing this in the context of persuasion training and communication in general.

00:27:32.580 So, do you think that a more capable candidate could answer the question, you know, why didn't you say something sooner about Biden if everybody knew that he was failing?

00:27:45.460 So, here's me.

00:27:46.800 If I were Kamala Harris and you asked me that question, this seems like a kill shot.

00:27:52.640 It seems like a question that's like, do you still beat your spouse?

00:27:56.220 It just feels like you can't answer this question.

00:28:00.160 But watch me.

00:28:00.900 Here's what I'd say.

00:28:03.960 Mr. Adams, when did you first know that Biden was, you know, not capable of serving a second term?

00:28:11.420 And I'd say, well, let me say for sure, I think we all noticed there were some physical changes in his movements.

00:28:18.900 And we all noticed that.

00:28:20.280 And we also noticed that sometimes he'd need a little extra time to find a word.

00:28:26.300 I think everybody noticed that as well.

00:28:28.140 So, what you were seeing in public is the same thing we were seeing.

00:28:30.940 But, as I think you noticed in public as well, we were not seeing any impact on his judgment.

00:28:39.960 In other words, neither in public nor in private was he making any decisions or policy decisions that would make any difference or that were in any way off kilter from the consensus in the room.

00:28:54.080 So, we were watching very carefully to see if his physical impact had any impact on his judgment.

00:29:02.500 And I don't think anybody's even suggested the situation where it has.

00:29:06.160 I haven't heard anybody privately say they thought his judgment was impaired.

00:29:11.060 And I haven't heard it in public.

00:29:12.740 And I'm not even aware of any such thing.

00:29:15.640 So, I didn't see it.

00:29:17.180 We all saw that he was physically losing it.

00:29:19.960 He was a certain age.

00:29:20.980 We expected that at some level.

00:29:22.960 And we were keeping an eye on it.

00:29:25.620 But, having said that, it also seemed that the physical decline couldn't be ignored if we were looking at another four years.

00:29:34.320 So, if you're asking me, do I think that he has the mental and physical acuity to make it for the rest of the term?

00:29:40.920 I do.

00:29:41.860 I think he has the best care in the world.

00:29:43.760 He's being watched more than anybody in the world because that's what presidents do.

00:29:47.740 Everybody's watching carefully.

00:29:49.300 He's got tons of help.

00:29:50.880 And I'm still here.

00:29:52.500 If something changed suddenly, and all of a sudden I saw that his judgment declined, there are steps to take care of that.

00:29:59.420 We don't need to mention them.

00:30:00.760 They're all well known.

00:30:01.600 But I can tell you, in my personal opinion, I've seen nothing that would alarm me about his judgment so far.

00:30:09.000 It is, however, prudent.

00:30:10.960 And I think the country appreciates that a younger generation is probably a better risk management situation.

00:30:18.080 And that's why I'm here.

00:30:20.740 That was that.

00:30:25.020 All right.

00:30:25.700 My only point is, I think that is an answerable question.

00:30:29.880 The fact that she can't do it speaks to her competence.

00:30:36.580 Right?

00:30:37.600 Because you can imagine, not a normal politician.

00:30:41.260 Most politicians wouldn't be able to do it.

00:30:43.760 But you could probably come up with five names of politicians that could pull that off.

00:30:50.280 And she's just not one of them, unfortunately.

00:30:55.200 All right.

00:30:55.540 Elon Musk is in Pennsylvania.

00:30:57.760 He's already done one pro-Trump, you know, pro-voting rally.

00:31:02.800 And he says this.

00:31:08.280 He said the U.S. elections need paper ballots.

00:31:11.460 And he needs hand counting and in-person voting and voter ID.

00:31:15.120 He said, quote, I'm a technologist.

00:31:17.160 I know a lot about computers.

00:31:18.980 I love the understatement.

00:31:20.720 I'm a technologist.

00:31:21.860 I know a lot about computers.

00:31:23.020 Now, here's the part where I think it's funny that there will be 80 million Americans who

00:31:32.020 are going to say to themselves, I disagree with Elon Musk on this question of computers

00:31:37.200 and technology.

00:31:41.080 Now, is that not funny?

00:31:42.380 Now, I'm not saying that just because he's, you know, the most notable, you know, technologist

00:31:49.280 in the world, that doesn't mean he's right about everything every time.

00:31:56.000 But this one's just so obvious that he's right.

00:31:59.860 And he's Elon Musk.

00:32:02.840 80 million people are going to say, nope.

00:32:05.120 Now, actually, more people are concerned about the election integrity than is the mix of

00:32:14.440 the country.

00:32:14.940 So there's a majority who are actually concerned.

00:32:17.660 So Elon goes on and he says, I'm a technologist.

00:32:21.000 I know a lot about computers.

00:32:22.500 And I'm like, the last thing I would do is trust a computer program because it's just too

00:32:28.120 easy to hack.

00:32:29.040 It's too easy to add just one line.

00:32:30.980 And it's really difficult to hack paper ballots.

00:32:33.460 And he goes on, in-person voting with ID, which, by the way, every country has.

00:32:39.940 I mean, like almost every country that has democratic elections requires in-person voting

00:32:45.260 with voter ID.

00:32:46.800 And then he sums it up by saying, it's super weird to not have that.

00:32:53.740 It's super weird to not have that.

00:32:58.460 I love this summary.

00:33:00.020 It's super weird to not have that.

00:33:02.000 Because you really can't figure it out.

00:33:04.260 And he uses their word.

00:33:06.400 They tried to sell the weird thing.

00:33:08.640 It's super weird not to have that.

00:33:10.460 Because it makes you wonder what the reason is.

00:33:13.220 When he says it's super weird not to have it, your brain wants to argue with him and

00:33:18.120 say, no, it's not.

00:33:19.560 They do it because.

00:33:20.720 And then you find out there's no because.

00:33:26.000 Which is my next point.

00:33:30.640 And then he says that the Democrats are fighting paper ballots tooth and nail and I wonder why.

00:33:39.900 He goes, I wonder why they're fighting the thing that we know works.

00:33:44.100 The thing that everybody knows works.

00:33:45.860 Why are they fighting it so hard?

00:33:52.020 Is it because electronic voting machines are cheaper?

00:33:56.560 No.

00:33:57.180 This is me now, not him.

00:33:58.800 Is it because the machines are more credible?

00:34:00.880 We trust them?

00:34:01.900 No.

00:34:02.480 Obviously.

00:34:03.320 Obviously we don't.

00:34:04.840 Is it because they're easier to maintain than paper?

00:34:09.040 No.

00:34:09.560 Is it easier to train, to train people to use paper or to train people to maintain the machines?

00:34:17.920 No.

00:34:18.300 Paper's easier.

00:34:19.700 Is it safer from cheating?

00:34:22.440 No.

00:34:24.820 Is it faster?

00:34:26.500 Can you get a result sooner?

00:34:28.780 Apparently not.

00:34:30.320 Apparently not.

00:34:32.140 So here's the thing.

00:34:35.020 As far as I know, no journalist, and I'm going to put this in quotes.

00:34:39.560 Because we don't have any journalists, as far as I can tell, who have access to the right people.

00:34:44.420 We have lots of great independent journalists now, but they don't always have the same access to the same people.

00:34:50.600 But none of the mainstream journalists have ever asked anybody why electronic voting machines are used.

00:34:58.760 Just hold that in your brain for a second.

00:35:02.880 That the biggest question in this election is whether it'll be fair and rigged or whether or not it's secure.

00:35:11.440 And nobody has ever asked why, given that we know exactly the wrong way to do an election, and we know the right way, why do we do it the way we're doing it?

00:35:20.820 Can you please explain?

00:35:23.640 Nobody's ever asked the question, except Elon Musk in a Pennsylvania rally, and me every other day on X.

00:35:31.820 We'll see you next time.

00:36:01.820 Anyway, so here are some cheating methods that are alleged to be available in our current system.

00:36:12.620 Now, I'm going to say alleged, because that's the only way I can stay monetized.

00:36:21.480 Now, so it doesn't matter what I believe.

00:36:23.940 So my personal belief doesn't matter to what I'm going to say.

00:36:27.020 I'll say that these are all things that have been alleged in a way that I haven't seen debunked to my satisfaction.

00:36:35.000 So the allegations are not proven, but neither are they debunked to my satisfaction, based on my knowledge.

00:36:45.120 So here are just some things we know about.

00:36:48.720 But the number of drop boxes appears to make a big difference in election results, which should not, because it should be the voters' opinions that make a difference, not the number of boxes.

00:37:01.200 Nobody signed up for the number of boxes system.

00:37:04.940 Hey, who's going to be president?

00:37:06.120 Well, how many boxes are there?

00:37:08.980 Well, in 2020, Wisconsin had 500 boxes.

00:37:15.120 But now they only have 78.

00:37:20.560 Oh, OK.

00:37:21.960 So before, when they had a lot of boxes, the Democrats would win.

00:37:25.740 But now when they have fewer boxes, maybe the Republicans will win.

00:37:30.000 Although, as has pointed out, if someone is going to cheat using any of these boxes, meaning put in ballots that are not real ballots or harvest them or do that sort of thing,

00:37:40.100 if anybody were going to misuse them, they could still find the 78 ballots, boxes.

00:37:46.760 You know, the fact that they went from 500 to 78 isn't going to stop a motivated, you know, person.

00:37:53.600 They can still find them.

00:37:55.160 But the point is, if the number of boxes matters to the outcome, then what kind of a system do we have?

00:38:02.480 What kind of a system should it matter the number of boxes on the sidewalks that collect the ballots?

00:38:11.700 It's not a box.

00:38:13.420 We have a republic, if you can keep it, not a number of boxes system.

00:38:20.820 As Insurrection Barbie notes, an account on X,

00:38:24.840 the number one reason people distrust the election of 2020 is because it came down to 40,000 votes and four major cities.

00:38:34.220 And in each of those Democrat-controlled cities, removed Republican poll watchers,

00:38:40.160 sent home the media, told us they would stop counting.

00:38:44.140 And then when we woke up, the following ballots were counted and overnight without impartial observers.

00:38:49.780 Now, so this is a claim from Insurrection Barbie.

00:38:54.840 So I don't know who the person is behind the account.

00:38:58.140 But is that true?

00:39:00.440 This is a way of saying what I've heard a million times, but I'd not ever heard it this way.

00:39:08.140 So I'd always heard it in, you know, there were some places in some swing states that mattered a lot.

00:39:15.340 But I didn't know that it was four out of four major cities and that they were the ones that made the difference.

00:39:21.920 Is that, is this an accurate way to explain what happened?

00:39:27.480 Because if it is,

00:39:29.420 I have to admit that the entire time I've been hearing this story,

00:39:37.220 because I guess I'd been hearing it explained a little differently.

00:39:41.940 Like I did know that, here's the parts I knew.

00:39:44.120 I knew that in at least one place, they claimed there was a water break and they counted things overnight.

00:39:51.680 I thought I heard that there was a second place that happened.

00:39:55.700 But I thought to myself, well, maybe they just took a break.

00:39:58.860 And their, their story was that, that other ballots come in late at night.

00:40:03.220 And they just counted them and maybe they shouldn't have sent the people home.

00:40:08.020 But, you know, beyond that, that's all we knew.

00:40:11.060 So I would lack any direct evidence that anything illegal happened.

00:40:18.360 So I haven't heard the story with direct evidence.

00:40:21.160 So if you're only using indirect evidence, you know, kind of a statistical thing.

00:40:25.900 I had never heard it described in a way that triggered my pattern recognition.

00:40:33.700 So if you just say, we think it happened in this place.

00:40:36.580 And then there's a story that doesn't involve water main breaking,

00:40:40.660 but there was another place that counted them overnight.

00:40:43.220 And by the way, there were several places that, you know, the results changed overnight.

00:40:48.920 That sounds like this sort of loose, you know, thing that happened that you really can't tell.

00:40:54.960 Well, if it happened in several places, I would say to myself, if it's in several places,

00:41:00.500 it's just maybe how the system works because it's spread everywhere.

00:41:04.720 But if you tell me that the four key cities were the four that had this very specific thing happened,

00:41:11.480 if anybody had ever said it in these exact words before,

00:41:15.660 it would have completely changed how I thought about it from day one.

00:41:19.680 And, and I've read about this story a hundred times.

00:41:22.060 So if, if this is the right way to say it, boy, does it look different in my head.

00:41:32.120 Elon Musk commented on Insurrection Barbie's post, and he said, quote,

00:41:38.300 sunlight is the best disinfectant.

00:41:40.960 Now, I was probably reckless of him to say that,

00:41:43.800 because when you say sunlight is the best disinfectant,

00:41:46.060 disinfectant, it's only going to be hours before MSNBC turns that into,

00:41:51.360 Musk recommends drinking bleach to cure electronic voting machines.

00:41:56.940 It's going to happen to people.

00:41:58.660 It's going to happen.

00:42:00.820 It happened to Trump.

00:42:03.820 All right.

00:42:04.180 So I, I, uh, I divided all the ways that our election is susceptible to cheating into three

00:42:14.960 categories.

00:42:15.500 There's a cheating before the election, there's a cheating during the election,

00:42:19.200 and then there's a cheating after the election.

00:42:21.960 Right?

00:42:22.780 So let me go through the three categories of cheating.

00:42:25.320 Now, again, I believe none of these would be available or somewhat, but they would be mostly

00:42:31.760 unavailable if Elon Musk's plan of in voting, voting in person with ID and, um, doing it in

00:42:39.440 one day, et cetera.

00:42:40.500 If all that happened, most of this couldn't happen, but some of it could like, so before

00:42:45.300 the election, we were inundated with fake news that half of the country believes is real

00:42:49.880 news.

00:42:50.940 That's a big problem.

00:42:52.220 How in the world do we depend on voting when we have a system where half of the country

00:42:59.000 doesn't know the news isn't real?

00:43:01.160 I mean, it's literally actually not real.

00:43:04.040 It's not even attempting to be real when it, when it comes to the political stuff, it's not

00:43:09.480 really attempting to be real.

00:43:11.360 Now, if half of the country doesn't know that and, and our knowledge is what drives the entire

00:43:17.540 election, you could say that the fake news is, is a rigged election.

00:43:23.120 Because the election is irrelevant.

00:43:25.460 If you've brainwashed people all in one direction now, because it's also a free market, you've

00:43:31.760 got your Fox news, your bright Barts and, you know, lots of independent people who are, you

00:43:36.800 know, balancing things out, but it's really about the brainwashing competition.

00:43:42.540 Isn't it?

00:43:44.680 We think it's about the votes, but the real cheating happens in the brainwashing.

00:43:49.360 So the cheaters are the people who lie the most effectively and the mainstream media is

00:43:54.960 really good at it.

00:43:57.080 Then there's the fake data.

00:43:58.460 You, you heard that the crime rate numbers that were allegedly down, but everybody who

00:44:04.460 had eyeballs and lived in the rural world knew they were up.

00:44:07.580 They just got to adjust it up.

00:44:09.340 But not until, not until after the debate, when Trump got fact checked and now half of the

00:44:16.560 country, because they believe news and they think data is real and they heard it first,

00:44:22.240 they think crime is down because Biden did a good job.

00:44:25.180 It's actually way up 4.5%.

00:44:27.200 That's a lot up 4.5% crime.

00:44:33.200 That is a lot.

00:44:35.380 So we also know that Google and Meta are allegedly gaming their systems in big ways.

00:44:43.040 Again, what is the point of having an election if the information that you would use to make

00:44:48.900 your decision is all fake or biased or anawack or manipulated or algorithmically controlled?

00:44:57.900 The election is the least important part.

00:45:00.540 The decision is made by the brainwashers and how effectively they brainwash.

00:45:06.360 Then you've got the states that are trying to block the no cheating laws.

00:45:13.180 So wherever, wherever somebody is trying to tighten up the election laws, so it's not easy

00:45:18.640 to cheat, there are people working really hard in the government to stop that so that it is

00:45:25.080 easier to cheat.

00:45:26.020 Now, there's always some second reason, like, well, that would be disruptive or, well, we're

00:45:34.660 not sure you have the authority to, you know, it's always some technical reason.

00:45:39.760 But coincidentally, it all goes toward the same direction of making sure it's easier to

00:45:44.480 cheat.

00:45:44.740 So now you've got Georgia Republican Party, they're appealing a decision because there's

00:45:51.980 some stuff they wanted that got turned down.

00:45:53.880 Fulton County, they wanted some stuff to make the elections more secure, got turned down.

00:46:00.080 Texas, same problem.

00:46:01.780 Florida, same problem.

00:46:03.040 It has stuff to do with, like, you know, voter IDs and voter rolls being corrected and stuff

00:46:09.240 like that.

00:46:10.040 But in every case where this seems like it's a really big effect and there's an obvious

00:46:17.260 fix, it's not happening.

00:46:19.680 The Daily Wire says that Michigan's voter rolls list 8.4 million voters, but there are only

00:46:27.440 8 million voting age residents in the state.

00:46:31.880 Now, that's an allegation.

00:46:33.320 I haven't done the counting myself.

00:46:36.340 Now, what's the point of having an election with such a leaky system?

00:46:43.100 And it gets worse.

00:46:45.300 You know, of course, we know that the Mark Elias and all the legal maneuvers that have

00:46:49.880 happened in the past and the present make a big difference in the effects.

00:46:53.920 We know the lawfare against Trump is, of course, election interference, but it doesn't get counted

00:47:00.920 as such.

00:47:01.480 And the lawfare could make or break the entire thing.

00:47:06.100 I mean, if the lawfare took Trump completely out, what does the vote matter?

00:47:11.040 So the lawfare is just election cheating.

00:47:13.460 It's just we call it something different because it happened before the election day.

00:47:18.820 But it's all election cheating.

00:47:21.380 And now the judge has denied the request to delay publication of the evidence against Trump

00:47:28.720 for the on the January 6th case.

00:47:32.180 So that's all going to be dumped right before the election.

00:47:35.400 That's election interference, because we know that the the judges and the DAs and all

00:47:40.500 these Soros Democrat people are just doing every single decision, it seems like not everyone.

00:47:46.520 But it seems like a lot of decisions are going against one person.

00:47:51.300 And to me, that looks like election cheating.

00:47:53.040 Then during the election, here are the allegations.

00:47:59.420 Allegedly, in 2020, there were a bunch of extra ballots printed by a ballot printing company,

00:48:05.380 sent on trucks to one place, filled out by the millions, and then shipped off to be counted.

00:48:11.720 There is seemingly a credible account that that's exactly what happened, and that there's a door

00:48:22.440 that won't be unlocked, even though the court has ordered it, that has at least some of all those

00:48:28.380 fake ballots, but we're not allowed to look at them, which is enough to tell me it's true.

00:48:34.700 If we had opened up the door and, you know, somebody checked, I'd say, oh, okay, maybe true,

00:48:40.580 maybe not. But if they won't open the door, after a court order, still don't open the door,

00:48:47.200 just to look. All they have to do is look at them, and they'll be able to tell if they're fake.

00:48:51.300 No, I believe it. Now, I don't know for sure, but if you're not going to open the door,

00:48:56.940 I believe you're guilty, government. Government is always guilty until proven innocent. All they

00:49:02.000 have to do is open the door, prove their innocence, but they don't do it. All right.

00:49:08.580 Then the overseas ballots, obviously, that's a gigantic hole. You can vote by email overseas

00:49:16.600 without an ID. Of course, there will be cheating. I would imagine it will be massive.

00:49:23.240 How about the election machines? If Elon Musk thinks that they're vulnerable, why would I doubt him?

00:49:29.300 What about non-citizen voting? Some say there will be a lot of them. Some say that someday there might 0.99

00:49:39.180 be a lot of them, but only if they become citizens. And Democrats say, well, there might be some,

00:49:45.720 but it's not any big thing because they know it's illegal. But there is enough suggestion that

00:49:53.320 maybe their names are being used or they're getting ballots that somebody could harvest.

00:49:58.860 So I would suggest that that's certainly a big hole, but we don't know how big.

00:50:03.720 We've got the dead people voting, the people who moved down to state voting. That's the problem with

00:50:08.340 the voter rolls. We know the voter rolls are a mess in a number of places. We've got the possibility

00:50:14.600 that the post office can do shenanigans and throw away votes if they know they're from

00:50:19.380 a place that has more support from one candidate. How would you know? Well, they say some people in

00:50:26.180 some states can check their ballot to make sure it was received. How many people do that? And if they

00:50:32.280 did do that, would there be time to fix any of it? No. If you checked and found that your personal

00:50:38.460 ballot had not been delivered, all you would be able to do with that is vote again. You just maybe vote

00:50:46.580 in person or send in another one if you have time. But it wouldn't stop any process because you wouldn't

00:50:52.220 even talk to your neighbors and your neighbor might be doing the same thing. Like, oh, wow,

00:50:57.500 my vote didn't get in. So you could have massive knowledge that votes had not gotten in without

00:51:04.200 anybody knowing that it's a massive knowledge that you'd only know the way you knew. And maybe you had

00:51:10.140 one co-worker happened to. But you wouldn't know it was big if it happened. Now, I'm not saying I have

00:51:16.380 evidence that's ever happened. I'm giving you the point that even if you had massive, allegedly,

00:51:23.080 hypothetically, if you had massive cheating, there's no way to catch it. There really isn't.

00:51:30.060 You could catch it maybe 20 years later after the fact, like we think we know that JFK's election was

00:51:36.120 rigged, but they didn't catch it when it happened. It always takes too long. Everything gets certified

00:51:41.740 by the time you could catch anything.

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00:51:59.060 And then you got that kicking out the observers, that could happen again.

00:52:05.120 And the late night counting after the observers are gone, I suppose that could happen again.

00:52:10.900 So that's what you could do during the election. Here's what you could do after the election,

00:52:15.820 if hypothetically you had rigged it. If you had rigged it, you're still, your part of the rig is

00:52:22.960 after the election because you got to hold your position and make sure it doesn't get reversed.

00:52:28.040 So the first thing you do is make sure that the elections are not fully auditable,

00:52:32.440 which is the case. So there's not really any practical way to know that every vote got in

00:52:40.160 and it wasn't rigging. As Elon Musk says, if you change one line of code, where do you catch that?

00:52:50.340 Who's going to catch that? How about the courts? The courts really, really don't want to get

00:52:56.940 involved in election stuff. They have a sort of a reflex to be a separate branch of government and

00:53:03.600 not have too much influence over the elections. And I appreciate that. But it also means they're

00:53:09.180 going to be so slow that the president will be installed, whoever it is. And they're going to say

00:53:18.680 that you have no standing and there's a technical problem with your case, et cetera. And that might all

00:53:23.180 be true. But my point is the courts are not a tool that could be used in a short term of, in a brief

00:53:30.080 period between election day and inauguration day. Nothing could happen that fast in the court system.

00:53:37.980 We don't have any kind of court that can do that. I mean, you can do a, you can do an emergency

00:53:42.020 Supreme Court thing. You could do that in time, but they wouldn't have any time to research.

00:53:49.920 You wouldn't be able to do an investigation. Nothing like that. And if you did, you'd know that everything

00:53:55.640 would disappear. Oh, the video of that Dropbox, we lost it, which has happened. That's literally something

00:54:02.520 that happened. So you could just delay after the election. And even if you were finding things,

00:54:09.220 and even if you did investigate, you would find things, it wouldn't matter. Because we don't have a fully

00:54:15.760 auditable system, nor do we have a second line of protection, which would be, well, we didn't fully

00:54:22.920 audit it, but we caused some sketchy things and we took it to court. That won't work. Because the court

00:54:29.200 needs way better than sketchy things, and it's not really the tool that determines elections. And then, of course,

00:54:36.340 the Department of Justice would punish anybody who protests. So citizens would be helpless,

00:54:42.720 because if they protest, they'd be arrested. That's what January 6th was about, to make sure that you

00:54:47.700 knew that if you disagree with the government, they'll put you in jail. And the fake news would,

00:54:54.800 of course, rally around whatever result they liked, if they liked it, and tell you the election was fine.

00:55:01.440 And if you doubted it, you were a bad citizen, and possibly, you know, some kind of conspiracy

00:55:06.900 theorist. So here's my statement I would like to make publicly. My public statement.

00:55:17.380 Don't design a laughably ridiculous election system and ask me in advance to accept the vote count.

00:55:23.660 You could ask me to accept the vote count if you had designed in advance a secure system. I would do 0.82

00:55:35.140 that. You could ask me in advance, would I accept it? And I would say, yeah. As you've described that

00:55:42.220 system, that Elon Musk design system where people show up and show their ID and they vote on the same

00:55:48.240 day. Yeah, I'll tell you in advance. I trust it.

00:55:53.660 But don't design a system which is laughably porous, laughably porous. I mean, just absurdly porous.

00:56:04.960 And then ask me to confirm it in advance. Because that's just a little bit too much signaling that

00:56:11.500 you plan to rig it. I mean, you might as well just say, hey, Scott, I'm going to shove this all the way

00:56:19.320 up your ass until it comes out your mouth. But I'd like you to agree with it in advance. 0.99

00:56:26.340 The absurdity level of this is beyond anything that is even describable. It's indescribably absurd

00:56:34.860 to ask people to confirm in advance that they'll accept the result from a system that is designed like

00:56:42.060 this. It looks like it's designed to hide the result. That's what it looks like. I mean, if you

00:56:51.000 were from another planet and you didn't know anything about politics and you said, okay, you

00:56:56.420 advanced aliens, take a look at this system. And they'd say, all right, what are you trying to do?

00:57:04.540 Well, we're trying to elect some people and make sure that it's a secure system. So take a look at

00:57:10.420 our system. They'd say, well, how are you doing it now? We'd say, well, we've got these electronic

00:57:15.500 machines that the alien would be, well, hold on, hold on. You mean the kind that you can change with

00:57:22.760 one line of code? And we'd say, yeah, yeah, very secure. And the aliens would say, what are you

00:57:27.940 talking about? You just told me you could change it with one line of code. How many people do you

00:57:32.820 think have access to any given machine? Well, you know, we check, you know, and the alien would

00:57:39.140 just slap you around and say, are you kidding? That's your system. That's your system for a secure

00:57:45.440 election. But we've been brainwashed into thinking we live in the system where all the smart people are

00:57:50.960 in charge. They took care of you. They took care of the hard things so you don't have to. You don't

00:57:59.020 have to worry about the security of the election because the smart people are taking care of it. 0.78

00:58:03.460 It's boring. It's boring. People don't even ask questions. You don't need to know why we do it

00:58:08.980 this way. It's boring. It's boring. We'll just take care of it. Well, let's talk about Trump on tariffs.

00:58:16.340 The Wall Street Journal said this about it, that Trump's plan remains shrouded in uncertainty.

00:58:23.400 He has called for an across-the-board tariff of 10%, later suggested 10% to 20%, and at least once

00:58:31.420 even said 50% to 200%. They go on. He has proposed a tariff of 60% on goods from China, or maybe more.

00:58:41.500 He has also proposed reciprocity, or U.S. tariffs that match those of its partners. That should spare

00:58:47.200 Mexico and Canada, which under a U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement negotiated in Trump's first term,

00:58:52.980 don't change tariffs on the U.S., but Trump has separately said autos from Mexico could face

00:58:58.820 or would face 100% tariff. Mexico imposes no tariff on U.S.-made autos. In short, they summarize,

00:59:06.560 in short, no one knows what Trump has in mind.

00:59:16.080 Perfect. It's almost like he could write a book called The Art of the Deal.

00:59:22.980 If you knew what he had in mind, it wouldn't work. It's only the fact that you think he might put a

00:59:29.820 200% tariff on you that you're going to take him seriously at all.

00:59:36.420 This makes me laugh because it's so perfect. This is exactly what I want Trump to do.

00:59:43.800 I want Trump to go in public today and say, maybe 10%, maybe 200%, maybe 50%,

00:59:49.380 maybe your cars, maybe not, maybe China, maybe Germany, maybe Russia, I don't know, maybe 10%,

00:59:55.300 maybe 50%. That's exactly what I want him to do until he gets in the room. I mean, the trade

01:00:02.900 negotiators. You put the trade negotiators in the room, and the trade negotiators play good cop,

01:00:08.760 and the good cop says, you know, you heard what Trump wants to do. I mean, he wants to tariff you

01:00:15.860 so hard. He loves tariffs. You've never even met somebody who likes tariffs as much as he does.

01:00:21.140 He thinks it's a win every time he does it. I'm trying to talk him out of it because I know it's

01:00:25.580 bad for you, and I'm sort of on your side. But damn, I cannot talk. He loves the tariffs. He can't 0.99

01:00:31.220 stop talking about it. He wants 10. He wants 80. He wants 60. He wants cars. Did you see what he said

01:00:36.980 he's going to do with China? My God, if you give me a great deal, there's some chance I can take it 0.96

01:00:43.200 back to the boss and talk him down on these tariffs. But you're going to have to give me a lot. You're

01:00:48.380 going to have to give me more than you've ever given me because Trump is on the warpath with these

01:00:52.860 tariffs. I don't know how I'm going to talk him out of it unless you really work with me.

01:00:56.300 That, ladies and gentlemen, is how it's done.

01:01:05.160 All right. The European Union is at war with America. I think they're giving Apple a hard

01:01:12.700 time. They're giving Tesla a hard time and his other companies and don't have to free speech

01:01:18.960 in America directly and indirectly. I've really sort of had it with the European Union,

01:01:24.100 and I think maybe we should just stop funding Ukraine and let the European Union fall because

01:01:30.300 if you're going to attack the United States, we need to kind of send a message. Don't attack

01:01:36.440 our companies. Just back the fuck off, European Union. Now, I don't know if I'm going too far on 1.00

01:01:45.020 that, but anyway. So yeah, European Union, you're not my friend. Poly markets, you know, 1.00

01:01:53.080 the poly market, betting market, as I have been trying to warn you, betting markets are not

01:01:59.700 reliable when it comes to predicting what's going to happen. Trump has a big lead in the poly markets

01:02:06.060 market, but now there's a report that some big accounts put in $30 million and they look like

01:02:11.280 they might even be related as in there might even be one person or one entity. So it might be somebody

01:02:16.440 gaming the system or it might be somebody who's rich who's just playing. You can't tell, but you

01:02:23.560 cannot assume that the poly markets is telling you anything useful.

01:02:46.440 Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

01:02:50.600 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

01:02:54.120 But you got there on time. Intact Insurance, your auto service ace. Certain conditions apply.

01:03:01.560 Have you all heard the hoax about the enemy within and Trump going to use the military to

01:03:07.240 shoot or imprison his political enemies?

01:03:10.180 You know, I've been hearing that for like, what, a week or something? And I've literally just been

01:03:16.500 ignoring it. And the reason I ignored it is because as soon as you hear it, you know, it's based on

01:03:22.260 something and a context and it's a hoax. And I thought, surely I will not have to get involved in yet

01:03:29.080 another hoax that's something taken out of context. But sure enough, it's turned into the major message

01:03:36.120 coming from the Democrats and from Harris. And their claim is, and by the way, I don't even need

01:03:42.780 to explain how it's a hoax. Because as soon as you hear it, you don't even need it to be explained.

01:03:50.400 Do you really believe that Trump said he wanted to use the US military to get rid of political

01:03:56.420 enemies like Adam Schiff? How many of you think that's a real thing that could have happened in

01:04:03.560 the real world that maybe, just maybe has slipped out? And he really said that. Does anybody think

01:04:09.600 that? That's the actual story that idiot cunt Harris is pushing on the country. I mean, this is 1.00

01:04:20.200 really cuntish behavior. I mean, you're just a piece of shit if you do that. Because the level of division 1.00

01:04:26.220 that that could create is just off the chart. Now, do you know the real story? So the real story

01:04:34.120 is that it's two separate stories. And they just put them together. So separate story number one

01:04:42.260 is that Trump did say that Adam Schiff and some of his cronies were the, he calls them the enemy within,

01:04:50.100 meaning that he considers that they're external enemies, you know, and adversaries, of course,

01:04:57.780 but that he also has people inside our government who are bad actors. Now, I agree that when he's

01:05:04.900 talking about Adam Schiff, he's not talking about just a Democrat senator who votes the other way.

01:05:12.260 Adam Schiff has been part of two major hoaxes that by any reasonable definition were attempts to

01:05:19.080 overthrow the government. Absolutely. He is the worst lying, you know, negative thing that we have

01:05:29.060 in the country. So the first thing is that Trump did say that that's like an enemy within. I completely 0.94

01:05:35.160 agree with that. Anybody who knows what Adam Schiff lied about from Russia collusion to what the laptop

01:05:42.920 to, how many lies is that one guy told? There are really the dangerous kind, the super dangerous

01:05:50.200 kind. Yeah, absolutely. There's an enemy from within. And what's wrong with that? It's pretty much

01:06:00.660 exactly what Harris is saying. She's saying Trump's the enemy. She's saying that the white supremacists

01:06:06.940 hiding in the mountains, you know, they're the enemy within. It's just words. Everybody knows that 0.98

01:06:12.100 what Trump thinks of Adam Schiff. He just reiterated what he thinks. He used those words, enemy within.

01:06:20.140 Then, separately, the question of if there was some kind of, you know, mass protest that is related to

01:06:27.840 the turnover of power. Trump said he wanted to make sure that there was nothing dangerous happening.

01:06:33.360 So he'd do whatever he needed, you know, including if that meant calling in the military.

01:06:39.020 But it would be calling in the military to avoid all danger. It would be calling in the military to

01:06:44.860 make sure no Democrats got hurt. It's literally the opposite of calling in the military to take out

01:06:52.400 the enemy within. It would be bringing in the military to make sure that everybody was protected,

01:06:57.380 including the enemy within, including Adam Schiff. Meaning that the military wouldn't say,

01:07:02.860 well, you can kill, you know, don't kill anybody except Adam Schiff. No, the military would be

01:07:08.460 protecting Adam Schiff. That would be the job of the president and the military. If he called them,

01:07:16.520 that would be, you know, last resort. Now, I don't think he would call them because probably the

01:07:22.280 National Guard could do the job, which he said. But if you had to call in the military to keep the

01:07:29.780 peace, wouldn't it be nice to have the option? I mean, you could argue that maybe you should never

01:07:35.220 do that. But it's certainly the right instinct to reduce the level of violence. So then Harris puts

01:07:41.840 them together and makes it act like, but she does it with, she tries to convince you with her face and 0.96

01:07:49.200 crying. So instead of saying, I think Trump wants to use the military to shoot Democrats. She does it 0.95

01:07:58.800 like this. He wants to, but, but he wants to, he wants to bring the military, the military people,

01:08:08.320 the military. And she just makes it act like if I say it with a more tortured face,

01:08:15.600 it'll be more believable. And so she takes the liar face to the highest level.

01:08:20.980 He wants to, wow, wow, wow. Very convincing. Anyways, I wanted to mention that if you, 0.78

01:08:32.320 if you heard that Jim Gaffigan, who is the comedic host at that Al Smith dinner thing that Trump was

01:08:38.740 doing the jokes at, um, he did, he did poke at Harris, um, sort of that her package wasn't funny,

01:08:47.240 so to speak. But, uh, then he said this joke. He said, the Democrats have been telling us, uh,

01:08:53.860 uh, Trump's reelection is a threat to democracy. In fact, they were so concerned of this threat.

01:08:59.640 They staged a coup, ousted their democratically elected incumbent and installed Kamala Harris.

01:09:05.040 He said, sometimes prayers take three and a half years in George Clooney op-ed. Now,

01:09:11.680 if you heard that completely out of context, you would say to yourself, um, is he a Trump supporter?

01:09:21.520 Because the main claim, the single biggest claim Democrats are making is that Trump is the one who's

01:09:29.020 going to steal your democracy. And Gaffigan's joke does what jokes do often is they reveal a truth

01:09:37.380 that the Democrats are the one who have demonstrated a willingness to steal democracy and just did it

01:09:43.840 right in front of you. Now, if you didn't know anything about anybody, you would say that's a very

01:09:50.300 pro-Trump person who's sort of sneaking in. Probably one of the most powerful jabs you could ever make

01:09:57.140 at the democratic brainwashing operation, that the whole steal your democracy is, is projection,

01:10:03.080 basically. I mean, basically, he doesn't say it's projection, but he's saying it's projection.

01:10:08.820 Now, I would like to give you a little behind the scenes knowledge.

01:10:13.780 So, um, I know Jim Gaffigan a little bit. I worked with him on a commercial for Barnes and Noble

01:10:20.360 many years ago when neither of us were very well known. And, uh, I thought that he might've

01:10:26.360 remembered that he worked with me one day. So when he got much more famous and I was at a show of his

01:10:31.660 in Vegas, um, with my ex at the time, I thought, Hey, I think I'll see if I can say hi to him after

01:10:39.620 the show. So I, uh, handed a note to the, one of the ushers and I said, Hey, I'm, I'm so-and-so.

01:10:47.340 I think I told him I was the creator of Dilbert or something. And, uh, I said, I know Jim Gaffigan.

01:10:53.540 Can I say hi after the show? So, uh, he gave him the note and, uh, the message came back. Uh, yeah.

01:11:01.160 Yeah. He says, come on back. Now, here's what I didn't know at the time. He did not remember that

01:11:06.920 he'd ever met me, but apparently he liked Dilbert and he thought, Oh, the Dilbert guy wants to say

01:11:14.900 hi. That'd be fun. So my ex and I went backstage afterwards. And, uh, when we figured out, Oh,

01:11:21.740 you don't remember me. It was just like, that was funny. So then we talked a little bit about

01:11:27.340 politics because he was apparently aware of my Trump, um, support at the time. This was the first

01:11:34.160 election. So this is back in the, uh, 2016. And so we had this long conversation about politics.

01:11:41.160 He listened, uh, listened very, um, politely, respectfully to any opinions I had, didn't

01:11:48.920 really push back on anything. Um, had his own opinions, which, you know, are his opinions.

01:11:54.400 So it's not for me to give them, but here, here's what I can tell you. I have no idea who he,

01:11:59.500 who he supports. I have no idea. And that's my compliment to him. If you can talk to somebody

01:12:06.240 for, you know, I don't know, an hour and a lot of it's about politics. And when you leave,

01:12:12.280 you're not sure who they're going to vote for. That's pretty good. That's pretty good. He was

01:12:17.940 very honest about what, what, um, holes in his own knowledge he had. You know, there's some things

01:12:23.940 I knew that he hadn't heard. He absorbed it all. He had genuine curiosity. He wasn't, you know,

01:12:30.300 he wasn't mocking me or putting me down for my opinions, which you might expect from somebody who

01:12:35.700 you assume would be Democrat leaning. And I think he is actually, but I don't know. Like if I had to

01:12:42.820 guess, probably lifelong Democrat, but could be a Republican. And that's my compliment. When you say

01:12:52.440 that people are independents, you rarely mean it, right? There, there aren't real independents,

01:12:59.060 people who actually might vote one way or the other, depending on what makes sense. He might be,

01:13:03.780 he might be the real deal. So I don't know. I don't know. But this joke is, um, if you didn't know

01:13:12.120 that he's a genuinely open-minded person who is seeking reality, which he is, I can confirm that he is

01:13:19.620 seeking reality. Um, it might get different, but I, I think he would hit both sides with equal gusto.

01:13:28.020 And I don't think this reveals anything. It doesn't reveal anything about his, who he would

01:13:32.820 vote for because he might have equal, equal complaints on both sides. Well, you probably heard

01:13:39.040 that Israel, uh, they say they got lucky. Some people say it might've been more planned, but,

01:13:44.460 um, Sinwar, the head of Hamas and the person who was most responsible for everything, I guess, 0.98

01:13:53.180 including October 7th, uh, has been killed in an operation. And, um, so a lot of people are speculating

01:14:02.740 that that will change things because once the, the main person behind Hamas is dead, and probably a lot

01:14:10.280 of their lieutenants and underlings are dead as well, that it might be time that Hamas would say, 0.74

01:14:16.760 hmm, maybe we should talk about exchanging these prisoners for a ceasefire. I'm here to tell you,

01:14:23.320 forget about that. Nothing like that's going to happen. They're not going to get more flexible

01:14:30.080 because you killed their leader. It's like, if you've paid no attention to the Middle East ever,

01:14:36.520 you might think that, but no, killing somebody's leader just about never makes things better.

01:14:43.360 Just about never. But if you kept killing the leaders and you got down several layers of

01:14:49.900 capability, well, then it can make a difference. You know, I've speculated before that the,

01:14:54.780 the top two or three people in any successful organization probably make a big difference.

01:15:02.300 But once you get to that, sort of that fourth, you know, then, then, uh, you know, chance comes

01:15:08.320 into it. Or what are the odds? The fourth one's like a superstar. Because in order to make something

01:15:14.740 like Hamas or Al Qaeda work, you know, with limited resources and everything, somebody at the top has to

01:15:21.180 be really good at whatever they're doing. And if you get rid of the top two or three, you're probably

01:15:28.280 not going to have somebody who is as good as the founders. Probably not. Right. So I think Israel's 1.00

01:15:35.500 moving in the right direction. Netanyahu said Hamas will no longer rule Gaza. Um, so they're very clear

01:15:41.960 that, uh, all of Hamas has to be dismantled. Um, it looks like the only, the only idea that I saw

01:15:49.620 this sounded feasible is that you do what I called, uh, years ago, I called it a filter fence

01:15:55.800 that if you can't, if you can't bring peace to the population, the way the population is,

01:16:02.500 and you can't kill them all because you're not monsters. Um, the only thing you can do is create

01:16:08.640 peaceful zones that are entirely gated and then let in the people that, you know, are safe,

01:16:14.900 but only if you know they're safe, like babies. Yes. So just really, really, really carefully know

01:16:23.880 they're safe. And then you build a safe community and then you expand the number of safe ones,

01:16:28.940 but you'll always have this mixed one that you're trying to shrink, which has a lot of bad people in

01:16:35.240 it. And you keep trying to, you know, whack them all the bad ones, but you know, they're going to come

01:16:39.260 back. And then eventually you build some communities where people have something to hope for something

01:16:44.580 to live for something that's working out, something you can make peace with. And then you could talk

01:16:49.900 about the politics, but you can't really just pacify it the way it is. You can't just say,

01:16:57.880 all right, Hamas, it looks like, uh, you got nothing but rubble. So, uh, make a government.

01:17:03.160 We'll see if nothing like that's going to happen. So the, I think it was Petraeus who described the

01:17:08.500 idea of, you know, building the walled cities that are safe and only letting in the safest,

01:17:13.100 most vetted people. And then once in, you make sure you control the schools because you're going

01:17:18.800 to have to control the brainwashing to make sure they don't re-radicalize just over the internet

01:17:24.360 or something. So that's going, uh, Ukraine's government, according to the Brussels signal,

01:17:34.000 uh, they're alarmed by rising desertions. So the allegedly the first eight months of this year,

01:17:40.240 they had, uh, 46,000, uh, soldiers desert. Uh, some say it might be more, but here's my question.

01:17:50.820 If you were a Ukrainian or Russian soldier, shouldn't you desert? 0.99

01:17:58.700 You should desert right away because the war is over.

01:18:02.840 The war is over. It's going to be something like the current borders. 0.96

01:18:11.300 And if you give your life for the status quo, you're an idiot. Why would you give your life 1.00

01:18:18.720 for the status quo? Nobody does that. So desertion is the number one thing you should do. Now, I suppose

01:18:27.180 if only one side deserted massively, then the borders would change. But I feel like the Ukrainians and the 1.00

01:18:33.540 Russians should be talking to each other at the fighting level. At, at the soldier level, they 0.83

01:18:40.880 should be making a deal for a mass desertion on the same day and just both sides do it. Because,

01:18:47.420 you know, I'm sure that the, the, the officers would, you know, try to have you killed for 0.99

01:18:51.500 deserting. But not if you all do it. If everybody deserts and just says, Hey, you know, we're done. 0.92

01:19:00.080 Our leaders have completely failed us and we don't need to wait four months for Trump to do something.

01:19:06.280 Let's just desert. Now, of course that could never happen. Or could it? My point is, if you,

01:19:15.940 every person who dies from, you know, from really a while ago, but everybody dying from now on is

01:19:24.260 completely wasted. You can't make an argument that it was somehow to somebody's benefit. It was just

01:19:31.020 poor management on both sides. Poor management is killing people. It's not Russia. You know, 1.00

01:19:40.200 Russia is the, maybe the tool that's killing them, but it's bad leadership that's killing people.

01:19:46.560 Because nothing's going to change on the borders. So it's just a leadership death trap.

01:19:53.380 That ladies and gentlemen is my prepared remarks for today. I thought it was awesome. I hope you

01:19:58.380 enjoyed it. And I'm going to talk to the local subscribers privately, by the way, if I haven't

01:20:03.860 told you the local subscribers, get my man cave broadcast, my pre-show broadcast, my brief after

01:20:12.340 comments. They get the robots read news comic. They get a Dilbert reborn comic every single day.

01:20:20.060 Oh, here's a funny thing. So on a, if you're a local subscriber, or also if you subscribe on X to the

01:20:28.180 Dilbert reborn comic, I give you both the current one that I did, you know, a few days ago. And then I

01:20:36.340 give you one that was 10 years from the publication date, 10 years earlier. And both of them are about

01:20:42.560 robots today. So 10 years ago, the comic was about a walking robot that was the supervisor of WALL-E.

01:20:50.240 And this week, 10 years later, we see the optimist robots walking and right on the verge of taking

01:21:02.560 jobs. So 10 years ago, I was basically writing comics for today. That's weird. Anyway, so if you want

01:21:13.200 to see all that stuff, it's on locals, go to look, go to scottadams.locals.com. And I'm going to go talk

01:21:19.940 to those amazing people right now. Thanks for joining.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 18, 2024

Episode 2632 CWSA 10⧸18⧸24

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