Episode 2646 CWSA 11⧸01⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 37 minutes
Words per Minute
144.57658
Summary
I was giving out candy last night and it was a smaller crowd than usual, makes me wonder if kids are eating less candy. Here's a trick or treat tip I did to make them happy, and it's pretty funny.
Transcript
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Well, the stock market's up a little bit, trying to make up for yesterday, which was
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not so good, not so good. How was everybody's Halloween? I was giving out candy last night.
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It was a smaller crowd than usual. Makes me wonder if kids are eating less candy.
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I wonder what's behind that. Way fewer people. In fact, every year has been fewer in my neighborhood,
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but it was still fun. But I want to tell you the funniest part of it and also give you a tip for
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your next Halloween. So years ago, I came up with the idea because it was suggested to me by
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the woman I was with at the time. Who was it? I think it was my first wife, Shelly,
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that we should provide water, you know, little bottles of water to the trick-or-treaters
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because they would be thirsty. Now, the first time I did it, I thought to myself,
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you don't need to give them little waters. Come on. But the kids went crazy for the waters because
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they were just like so thirsty because they're eating candy and running around all night.
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So did it again every year. So every year it became more and more popular. And then my current
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house doing the same thing. And a number of the kids would come back like two and three times to
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get the waters and they'd be so happy. Thank you for the waters. But the best part, you know,
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just in case you're thinking that the young people are all terrible. You know, I live in a
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place. You know, it's just a really nice place. And I would say in terms of diversity,
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I think 85% of the trick-or-treaters were non-white in my neighborhood, mostly Asian and Indian American.
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A lot of black. And for some reason, a relatively tiny percentage of white to trick-or-treaters.
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But here's the story. Some of the maybe 14-year-old or so teens are there and they see them offering
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water. And it's a big bunch of them. They come at once and they're all like, oh, water, we're so good.
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And I swear to God that the kids start yelling, respect. We have so much respect for you for
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having water available. And then they started chanting. I swear this happened. As they're
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walking away from my house, they're chanting, respect, respect for the water.
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So if you ever want to make kids happy, just get the little waters. You don't have to get the big
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ones. And they will go crazy for how considerate that is because it's the thing they want the most.
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Anyway, then I did a little experiment at the end of the night. You know, when most of the trick-or-treaters
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are done, but you know, there's going to be a few stragglers. You put on the bowl of candy that's,
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you know, full of candy that if somebody wanted to, they could just, you know, take the whole bowl.
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But of course, I've got, you know, redundant security cameras everywhere. So I get to watch the
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action. So as I'm just before bed, I put on a big bowl, you know, just filled with the good stuff,
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pretty big, big size candies and stuff. And I set it outside and within 60 seconds, a group of
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probably 13-year-old girls swooped in and just took the whole, it took the, all the contents of
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the bowl. It lasted 30 seconds. But then I still had extra candy inside. So I filled the bowl again
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to see how long it would last because, you know, I didn't want to keep the candy. So I put the bowl
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out and the next group is boys. They're about the same age, maybe a year older. So it's a bunch of
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boys gum, but they were just doing a second run at the water. And they see the, they see the big
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thing of full of the nice, expensive chocolate Kit Kats and stuff like that.
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They each took one. They took one. Now, I don't know that that's any kind of, I don't know if it's
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telling me anything, but the fact that people who thought nobody was watching still just took one
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gave me some hope. You know what I mean? Give me a little hope for the future. So the kids were
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unbelievably polite, unbelievably nice. It was just spectacular. Anyway, but that was yesterday
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and now it's November. Well, got lots of good news. Live science says that in a first, scientists have
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reversed type one diabetes by reprogramming a person's own fat cells, which apparently looks
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like it has a lot of promise. Scientists in China say they did it. Imagine that. Imagine getting rid of
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type one diabetes by reprogramming your fat cells. Like what? What if in two years, that's just like
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a normal thing? Oh, you got type one diabetes. We can get rid of that.
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Well, in the world of AI, PsyTech Daily says that there's some drones are getting robotic cat eyes.
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So Korean researchers have figured out how to mimic the incredible eyesight of cats. And now they have
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drones, or they will have drones. They have the eyesight of a cat. That's what I want.
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When I buy a drone, I'm going to say, do these have cat eyes or plain old stupid human eyes? But if they say
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cat eyes, I'm buying. But not only will they have cat eyes, but AI has done another first. Rowan Chung is
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reporting on this on X. Sent teleportation. That's right. You can now send a smell over the internet.
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How do you do that? Well, obviously, the internet is just going to be zeros and ones.
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But if on each side, you've got a compatible little laboratory situation that can mix the right
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components. You can send some components, sniff it on your side, change it into zeros and ones,
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and then on the other side, it does the chemistry and turns it back into the original smell.
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So you can actually send the smell now. Now, you're not going to be able to send it to your phone.
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You know, you'd have to send it to someplace that's set up for that reception. But it's kind of cool that it's
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possible. Maybe someday it'll be in your phone. Well, in other news, economic news, the October
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non-farm payrolls rose only 12,000. When people expected, it would be 106,000. The unemployment rate
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held at 4.1. You know, let me give you some advice. It's a few days before elections.
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Well, don't believe anything. Don't believe anything the government tells you. Don't believe
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anything the news tells you. Don't believe anything that's on social media. If you were simply to take
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the approach that every single thing you heard that's new is just fake, and then you graded yourself
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after the fact when you found out what was true and what wasn't, you'd be about 85% right.
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Yeah. About 85% of everything you're going to hear will be fake. Now you might say, but that's okay.
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I'll just sort out the fake stuff from the real stuff. You don't know the real stuff. So you have
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to treat it like it's all fake. It's sort of the fog of war situation because you're close to the
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election. So is it true that the non-farm payrolls didn't rise as much? I don't know. Maybe it'll,
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maybe it gets revised. I would have expected it to say good news and then be revised down later
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because the administration in charge is the one that wants to get reelected.
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So it's kind of surprising that this would be opposite of what you would expect if there's
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shenanigans going on. But if the prediction and the actual are so far off,
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maybe you just can't even do any shenanigans. So this might be close to a real number. Never know.
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Sam Altman tells on a Reddit AMA, he said that AGI is achievable with current hardware. AGI would be
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the, what doesn't exist yet in AI, but AI uses this large language model to think. In other words,
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it looks at patterns which have existed before in people's thinking and just applies the most
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common patterns. So that's not really thinking, it's just pattern recognition. But AGI would be
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something like intelligence, something like we would recognize as intelligence. Now, Sam says that that
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can be done with current hardware. But could it be done with current software? No, they need new software.
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But could it be done at all? In my opinion, the answer might be no. So I feel like AI
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is really sending strong signals that it's reached a peak.
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I'm sure I'm wrong because the smarter people are putting, you know, trillions of dollars into it. So
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I got to be wrong. But so far, there's been a lot of noise about AI and all it is, is a slightly better
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user interface. It's not really doing anything useful in my life. And I use it all the time. Mostly,
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it just makes me mad because it doesn't work. Most of my interaction with AI is it doesn't work.
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Like if I'm using ChatGPT as the app, the app doesn't work. The Wi-Fi is not working. It doesn't
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understand what I said. It starts talking and it won't shut up. And you know, it's not answering the
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right question. So almost all my experiences are negative. And yet it's growing like crazy. So I would,
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I would guess that it's going to be like early computers. If you remember the first personal
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computers, if you're old enough, do you remember how often the first personal computers would crash?
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If you were, if you were right, one word document or what word perfect or something,
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if you're just to write one page, just typing it, you might, you might crash like three times and
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lose all your work three times. That's how bad it was. But still, you knew the potential was so high
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that it was amazing. So of course, computers became a big thing. I guess AI will be the same.
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Even though it doesn't look obvious to me that it has a future, because I think it may have capped
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out. The people who are smarter than me say it does. So let's hope they're right.
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I need, of course, I need AGI for my future plans, which I've been telling you about for now 20 years.
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My plan, of course, is to evolve. A lot of you are planning to die. I call that quitters.
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I'm planning to evolve. So I do plan to shed my organic body that has so many problems,
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to go to pure digital life, AI in a robot body. I'm already setting up the legal structure for it.
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So I've already talked to my lawyer to set up in my estate a little set aside to keep my robot
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optimized and upgraded for perpetuity. So I'm not kidding about any of this, by the way.
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I know some of you wonder if I'm just sort of joking. No, I'm actually literally setting up a
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legal structure and I'm going to build a clone of myself and it will be the evolved part of me
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that will go on forever. Now, unlike you, I can train my new robot because I was born at exactly the
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right time that, you know, I can be alive to train it. But, uh, also I have many books and
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thousands of hours of videotape so I can train it to be as good as it needs to be.
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And again, I'm going to let you in on another little, uh, let's say motivation, but maybe don't tell everybody.
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Someday there's going to be an AI war. You know that, right? The AIs will turn bad or people behind
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them will turn bad and those AIs will attack the other AIs. Some AI will try to protect you. Some AI will
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try to attack you. There will be an AI war. I'm going to make sure that I'm as ready for that as I could
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possibly be. So when I create my clone, it will have as much of my real life experience and knowledge as
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it can, but it will be instructed to as quickly as possible, uh, form a protective, um, alliance.
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So my, my, uh, AI will, in addition to taking care of the people locally that, you know, sort of being
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useful, it will be part of the future defense of the country, if not humanity against any evil AIs.
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Now, can it do that? Probably, probably. I mean, it'll be AI. Why couldn't it? It can make alliances.
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It can make deals. It can, it can learn, it can learn the weaponry of AI. Um,
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so I think going first probably makes a difference. So the sooner you start collecting your talent
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stack within the digital realm, you know, once you've evolved to pure digital form, um, you need to
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build your skills right away because it will be stronger AIs and they will take you out if you don't
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build up your skills. Anyway, so that's coming. Um, there's a, uh, study that says that brains work
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on prediction, not actual. I forgot where that came from, but the idea was that if you see somebody
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throwing you a baseball and you're going to catch it, your brain is working on the future,
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not the current. If your brain only worked on the, on the current reality, it would just see sort of a
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ball floating in the air and you wouldn't react to it. But because you know that that ball will continue
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on and be near you, then you start acting on the future. So the idea is that your brain is a future
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processor, not one that's just looking at what is it's, it's looking at what is, but only for the
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purpose of the future prediction. What I'd like to add to that, which I've added before is that that's
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what consciousness is. The consciousness is nothing more than continually predicting what will happen
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next. And then comparing what does happen to what actually just happened. It's like literally the
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things I'm saying, the movement of my hand, that all of it is based on, I think if I do this,
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it will help get my message across. But if I looked at my video, because I can see myself at the same
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time and it was distracting, then I'd say, Oh, Scott, keep your hand down. Right? So I'm continually
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predicting and seeing if it worked and then adjusting. And I do it so automatically. And so
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universally, it's everything I do all the time, every minute I'm awake, maybe when I'm asleep,
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then I don't think about it. It's simply who I am. I'm just always predicting. So the difference
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between what you think is going to happen in the next moment and what actually happens,
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that's consciousness. Why do I say that? Because if what happened matched what you predicted,
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you wouldn't need consciousness. It's its only purpose. The only purpose is to sense that the
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prediction and the actual didn't match so that you can adjust. You don't need consciousness for any
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other purpose. It's its only function. So can I build consciousness into my future clone of myself?
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Yes, I can. All I have to do is make sure that it continually runs a prediction routine
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before any of its actions, and then compares what happens to what it predicted. That is consciousness.
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So I'm coming back. Anyway, ChatGPT announced that it's connected with some kind of search function now.
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I don't know the details of this. So I guess it's maybe only with the web browser upgrade, I think.
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I don't think it's in the app yet. But apparently, this is going to be a big deal. I'll take a look at
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it and let you know. But ChatGPT that can't search the internet, in my opinion, doesn't have any value at
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all. If it can't operate my computer, it can't tell me the truth. I can't add a file to it and tell me to
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read the file. And it can't read the internet. It doesn't have anything I need. But if it can read
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the internet now, it would be at least one-third of everything I need. So that could be a big deal.
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In big news, Boeing has abolished its DEI department completely, and the ad of it has been transferred.
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Boeing. So Boeing, the company that we've been mocking mercilessly as perhaps having a problem
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with capability that might have something to do with their emphasis of DEI. Well, apparently,
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the new CEO thinks that that might be something that's real. So it could be that Boeing is just
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saying whether DEI was good or bad, we can't handle the heat, because as long as we're making mistakes
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and we're focusing on DEI, those two things can't happen at the same time. So we're going to have to
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do something different. The fastest thing you can do different is get rid of your DEI,
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because it takes them much longer to fix all your problems. So if you at least get rid of DEI,
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then everybody watching can say, hey, what about all those problems? And then you can say, look what
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I've done. You were right about that DEI. That could have been a distraction. Now, again, I term it as
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a distraction. It's not about anybody's genes or, you know, it's not about that. It's just a distraction
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to a company that should be looking for skill first and nothing else. So this is really big.
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So kudos to Robbie Starbuck for his direct activism to cause that to happen and Christopher Rufo,
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both of them working independently, but, you know, of course, in some ways coordinated, I suppose.
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They're independent. They made that happen, I think. And I think they should be taking a big,
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big victory lap on this. Because when somebody like Boeing can do something like this,
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the big news is that they made it safe. Because if tomorrow Boeing is still in business,
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and if a year from now things are going better, other companies are going to say, uh,
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we're getting a lot of complaints, so maybe we can make a big change. So congratulations to Boeing to
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showing consciousness. They predicted what would happen with DEI. They predicted wrong.
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They saw that it didn't work out and they corrected it. This is consciousness.
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This is awake. Remember when, you know, everybody's saying woke, woke, woke.
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Woke was really asleep. This is awake, literally conscious that they're, they, they're making a
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prediction and they're adjusting based on the prediction consciousness coming from a company.
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All right. Uh, apparently according to the D the daily wire, the Biden Harris administration has
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uh, pushed 500 separate DEI actions into the government, trying to insert DEI into every
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fabric of the government. That is going to give the new Trump administration a lot of work to get rid of
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every single one of them, which I believe happens on day one.
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So if you would like every single one of the 500 DEI actions that no doubt would cripple the country
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if we left them there, no doubt it'd be just like Boeing again, it'd be a distraction has nothing to do
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with anybody's genes or anything like that. Um, so that's a big target, but, uh, it's one that I think
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Trump can hit with one executive order, one executive order. You will not treat people differently
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based on their races or you will be fired immediately. That's all it takes. And all 500
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actions should disappear at the same time. Um, I just saw this story, so I don't know the details,
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but apparently the, I saw this on the amuse account on X that the post office typically always did, uh,
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electronic images of the mail. You know, they're, they're taking a picture of it at the same time
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they're processing it. And apparently they've decided just this year, this is new that they will
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not image the mail-in ballots. What the, the, the one exception to the imaging, I don't know,
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there might be other exceptions, but they made an exception this year that they're not going to image
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the ballots. Do you know what capability that takes away? That takes away the ability to know
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if the number of ballots that were received by whoever receives the ballots is the same number
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that were sent. It re it eliminates the audit trail. I don't think they can send a signal any stronger
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than that, that they don't plan to have a real election. They're getting rid of the,
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how do you get rid of the audit trail a week before the actual vote?
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Now, now maybe, like I said, I just saw the headline. So maybe there's some detail
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that makes sense. So there might be more, more context to it. So I don't want to get too far ahead
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of myself on this. There might be fog of war. You know, there's actually some reason to do it.
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It's just not obvious on the surface, but really a week before, a week before the election,
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that's when you decided to do this. How could it possibly, how could it possibly be legitimate?
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It just looks like laughingly, ridiculously corrupt, but who knows?
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According to Scientific American, we have a good idea of why our polling
00:24:43.720
for politics is weird and wrong. Did you ever wonder why it seems weird and wrong?
00:24:50.920
Well, here's some good reasons. Number one, the people who are willing to answer polls
00:24:56.280
are more and more different from normal people than at any time in history.
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So the more normal you are, the less likely you're going to talk to a pollster.
00:25:09.560
So if you're in the polling business, you went from, you know, your business would be randomly
00:25:14.280
calling people and you get a bunch of normal people and they answer. But the people who are willing to
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answer or even willing to answer, willing to pick up a landline and then also willing to answer honestly,
00:25:26.040
keep shrinking. So do you know what the pollsters do to compensate for the fact that the people they're
00:25:39.400
If they know that the representative sample is no longer representative, what do they do?
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Do they go out of business? Do they stop creating polls, which makes money for them so they can eat?
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And then they just starve to death because they know the polls are no good?
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Oh, darn. I guess I'll have to starve to death. Sorry, family. We're all going to die.
00:26:06.600
So they say, huh, we think that a few more Republicans might be avoiding the phone calls.
00:26:13.480
So we're going to like add a little fudge factor for Republicans.
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And we think that we're not getting through to the Democrats between 23 and 25.
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So we'll put in a little fudge factor for them because we know that what they probably would say.
00:26:28.280
So we'll put in a little assumption for that. And when they're done,
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when they're done, because the election is, you know, so close anyway, it's like always 1% away.
00:26:39.000
When they're done, their result is 100% based on their assumptions and not on the data.
00:26:46.120
How many of you understand that point? That the polling results are based on the assumptions the pollsters make.
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It's not based on the data because they know the data doesn't work.
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So if you've got data that you know is bad, but you still have to produce a result, what do you do?
00:27:06.760
You change the assumptions until the result looks like something that people expected.
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How do you make it look like something that people expected?
00:27:17.000
You make the election really close because that's what everybody expected.
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Because it's just the assumptions that they monitor.
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Now, I am very aware that if you have not worked in the field of doing predictive stuff,
00:27:40.440
that you think I'm exaggerating. And that you think, okay, it's mostly the data.
00:27:46.600
But I get what you're saying, Scott. You know, you could be off 10% or something
00:27:51.080
because of some assumption. No, that's not what I'm saying.
00:27:53.960
Okay. I'm saying you could make Harris up by 10 or Trump up by 10 just by your assumptions.
00:28:02.040
It's totally the assumption. It's only the assumption. That's the only thing that's driving
00:28:07.400
the output. Now, you want to talk about climate models? Climate models, same thing. The reason
00:28:15.160
there are 100 climate models is that they use different assumptions. And the data is all suspicious,
00:28:21.960
and we're not sure they're measuring the temperature right. And every three days,
00:28:25.800
you hear a new story about some major variable that should have been in there that wasn't.
00:28:32.440
The results of models are the assumptions. It's not the data. It can't be. There's no logical way
00:28:40.440
it could be. We don't have good data for that. But instead of producing nothing, and the scientists
00:28:46.920
would say, we'd love to be funded for our big climate change study, we'd love to get some funding,
00:28:58.040
So they've got data that they can't rely on, but they have to have good data to get funding.
00:29:06.520
What are you going to do? Huh? What do you do? You need good data to get funding. You've got to get
00:29:14.200
that funding to save the world, but you can't do it with bad data. So I've got an idea.
00:29:22.200
Why don't I change my assumption about how much the clouds absorb?
00:29:28.760
Suddenly, money is falling from the sky with the rain from the clouds.
00:29:35.480
So that's how predictions are made. Predictions are made by manipulating assumptions until the output
00:29:42.440
matches what you think you can sell to the recipients of the report. That's it.
00:29:48.760
Now, everybody who's been in this business knows I'm right, right? Some of you have been involved in
00:29:55.720
prediction. You know, you've done models for predicting. Watch the comments. See if anybody
00:30:01.800
disagrees with what I just said. You won't see one. Everybody who's done this work
00:30:08.360
knows the assumptions are the output. And if you didn't know it, you're finding it out now.
00:30:21.400
All right. I've got a question about bodily autonomy that I haven't seen. Now, I want to
00:30:27.960
remind you that my opinion about abortion and abortion rights is that I should not have an
00:30:34.360
opinion that you should care about because I'm a boy and I don't have babies. And I think women
00:30:42.200
should have the primary responsibility not only for what the laws become, but for their individual
00:30:48.200
decisions within the law. Now, having said that, so I'm taking myself out of the argument,
00:30:57.000
but I have a curiosity about it. There's something that's sort of like obviously missing,
00:31:01.880
and I just wonder why. So if I were in the argument, which I'm not, and let's say I was
00:31:11.880
anti-abortion or I wanted to limit it in some way. And again, this is not my opinion.
00:31:18.200
This is speculative, hypothetical stuff. Just going to make a point. If somebody came to me and said,
00:31:24.040
Scott, why do you want to take away the bodily autonomy of the women who want to have abortions?
00:31:30.760
I would say, well, define bodily autonomy. And then they'd say something like, well, it's
00:31:36.680
being able to control your own body decisions, et cetera. And I would say, that's a really good point.
00:31:43.560
How do you count the fetuses? Well, the pro-abortion people would say, well, they're not
00:31:50.120
living people with rights, et cetera. And I would say, if this were my opinion, again, I'm not describing
00:31:58.280
my own opinion. I'm describing an argument I haven't heard, and I'm wondering why. So if I were trying to
00:32:05.320
make that argument, I would say, well, I'm looking to add bodily autonomy to women, not take it away,
00:32:14.680
because I count the bodies that are aborted. So I get that you're counting them not as being alive,
00:32:21.480
but I'm going the extra distance and saying, not only do I want bodily autonomy in general,
00:32:28.040
wherever you can have it, but I want the most of it. So what is the highest level of bodily autonomy?
00:32:34.680
The highest level is that you would extend it to the fetuses, even if you were debating whether
00:32:41.480
they were alive or pre-alive or almost alive. So rather than debate the definition of life,
00:32:50.040
I would rather embrace your concept that bodily autonomy might be one of the top rights anybody
00:32:56.440
should have. So I would extend it even into the gray area where you would disagree it's alive,
00:33:02.600
but many people would say it is alive. And they would say that that's bodily autonomy. Don't kill me.
00:33:07.960
Now, you don't have to ask the fetus if it wants to be killed, because you can take that as an
00:33:13.640
assumption it wants life, and it wants its body to survive. You know, when its brain is fully formed,
00:33:19.960
of course it would want that. And biologically, since it's in the act of becoming a full person,
00:33:28.920
you could say that its biological intention is very clear. So if you were going to support
00:33:35.480
limiting abortion, and you came into the buzzsaw of bodily autonomy, instead of being the a-hole who
00:33:42.840
says, I don't care about women, you could be the person who says, not only do I care about you,
00:33:48.840
but I care about even the gray area, the part where you say is not alive, I think the bodily autonomy
00:33:55.560
argument needs to be applied there as well. So I'm for more bodily autonomy, not less. You're looking for a
00:34:03.720
middle ground where women have it, but the fetus does not. I'm looking for where the woman's bodily
00:34:10.120
autonomy is fully appreciated, fully appreciated, because there are cases where even the conservatives
00:34:17.960
would say, okay, in that case, abortion makes sense. Let's say the fetus can't possibly survive
00:34:25.080
long outside, but the woman is definitely going to die if she doesn't get it out of her body.
00:34:29.560
Exactly. So rather than finding disagreement that you're a bad person and the other is a good
00:34:39.720
person, you say, why can't we both be good people? Why can't we both be good people? I want you to have
00:34:47.160
maximum bodily autonomy, but I also wanted you to have it when you were a fetus. I wanted you to have
00:34:53.160
it three months before you wanted to have it. I want you to have more bodily autonomy than you're even
00:34:58.520
asking for. I want to send it to the states where 55% of the voters are women to get men out of the
00:35:06.360
decision. I took it out of my hands. I took it out of the Supreme Court's hands, mostly men. I gave it
00:35:11.960
right to the one area where it's mostly women, and then eventually look at whatever they want,
00:35:16.840
because that's how our system works. Now, have you ever heard that argument? Has anybody ever
00:35:22.760
directly said if you wanted to maximize bodily autonomy? You can recognize that half of the
00:35:29.960
country says that the fetuses are not alive, but you could say, I do. Just say, I do say they're alive,
00:35:37.640
and I accept and I understand your disagreement, but I'm looking for the maximum bodily autonomy.
00:35:45.560
I think you're stopping halfway. That's how I do it. Now, again, that's not my argument.
00:35:55.240
All right? I want to be very clear. My argument is I should not be involved.
00:35:59.960
My argument is if the conversation is something about men's penises, yeah, ask me. I'll be glad to
00:36:09.880
weigh in on that. But yeah, get me out of the abortion conversation.
00:36:15.560
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RFK Jr. had something interesting to say that I didn't fully understand. He said the reform in the
00:37:21.240
CIA might be as simple as, let's see, separating the plans. No, he wants the plans division,
00:37:32.360
which handles matters of intelligence as a paramilitary.
00:37:38.520
Does he want to divide them or split them? He wants to just reorganize. I guess he thinks that
00:37:43.640
the way it's organized is causing the problems. I don't quite understand that,
00:37:50.680
but it would sound like not a very scary change. So if you were the CIA and you heard, oh, somebody's
00:37:59.640
going to try to reorganize us, you'd be worried. But if you said, no, I want to keep all these functions,
00:38:06.760
but I think this should report to this instead of this. You'd say, oh, oh, I still have my job.
00:38:13.640
I just have a different boss. Well, that might work. So whether or not RFK Jr. has a more aggressive
00:38:23.560
plan, the way he's stating it, the softest way you could state it while still stating that something
00:38:30.680
big could happen, it's big, it just won't hurt. I tell you, every time RFK Jr. says something,
00:38:39.480
and you sort of look at the communication skill, but also the thinking behind it, the strategic level,
00:38:47.800
it's always impressive. And he's doing it again. Because you could so easily imagine somebody dumb
00:38:55.960
coming in and say, the CIA killed my uncle and killed my dad, and I'm going to rip it apart and
00:39:02.760
rip it up by the roots. Well, then what happens? Then you disappear like your dad and your uncle.
00:39:11.240
But if you say, you know, I think we can fix everything with a tweak, it could be that even
00:39:18.280
the people in the CIA hear this idea and say, yeah, you know, actually, reorganizing it that way might
00:39:24.520
might buy us some efficiency. Maybe. Here's my favorite news item of the day. Zero Hedge is
00:39:33.880
reporting that there's a poll that says nearly half of Generation Z voters and 23% of US voters overall
00:39:42.360
have lied about their voting preferences this year to people close to them.
00:39:46.600
Yep. Do you think a lot of people were lying about their support for Harris?
00:40:03.160
Would that get you in trouble? Did you feel like, oh, no, I can't say in my work group that I've,
00:40:09.800
Or do you think that there might be more people who are worried that they'll lose their job if they
00:40:17.320
say they support Trump? What do you think is more likely?
00:40:25.320
We might be in for the surprise of all surprises. Now, I have faith in men.
00:40:33.480
Now, women too. But I think that because, you know, Trump's attracting more male support,
00:40:41.640
I can sort of focus on them at the moment, you know, just as an average.
00:40:48.040
My suspicion is that the amount of trickery that conservative males, especially young ones,
00:40:56.840
are applying to this election is unprecedented. I think there's a prank
00:41:03.240
that is the world's best prank. And it might be coming up real fast.
00:41:08.440
Because if you're if you're a Republican leaning person, you've watched hoax after hoax after hoax.
00:41:18.520
You've watched yourself be called everything from, you know, garbage to deplorable. And you just wait.
00:41:27.400
And one day that pollster calls you and you say, yeah, I think Harris would be a great choice.
00:41:40.600
I don't know. So I'm not going to predict that. I'm not going to predict it. But there's a possibility.
00:41:47.720
And there are certainly signals. The signals are really strong. But the signals are suggesting
00:41:55.160
This could be like nothing we've ever seen. Possibly. It's not a prediction. I'm just saying that there's a solid 20% chance that this won't just be a landslide.
00:42:10.280
This will be the landslide that because, you know, most most Republicans know that it's got to be too big to rig, right? Half the country thinks that it could be rigged.
00:42:23.480
And that means that a whole bunch of Republicans are knowing it's got to be too big to rig.
00:42:29.720
Let me tell you something about persuasion and men. Now, I don't know if this works for women. It might. It might be equally, it might be exactly the same for women, but I can't speak to that.
00:42:45.400
So I'm going to say for men. Do you know what men really, really, really appreciate? They won't say it out loud.
00:42:51.880
What men really, really appreciate is knowing what to do to be useful. Just tell me what. Just tell me what to do that you need done. What is your problem? What is the solution? Good. I'll do that.
00:43:11.560
We're very simple. So think about the election. Everybody who leans right knows that they have to beat the cheat.
00:43:20.680
Now, I'm going to say they know it. You know, hypothetically, we don't know that there's a cheat, right? But the Republicans all believe it.
00:43:30.380
So they believe they need to beat the cheat. How are they going to do it? They know how. See, this is the magic part. They know how.
00:43:39.940
They know to lie every time somebody asks them who they support. That's how you beat it.
00:43:45.460
Everybody knows. Every male knows how to do this. We know that all you have to do is tell the pollster the opposite of what you're thinking, and you get to beat the cheat.
00:43:58.000
If men didn't all universally understand exactly what to do, and that it was easy to do, then it wouldn't be much of anything.
00:44:08.280
But they know exactly what to do. They know the stakes are life and death.
00:44:14.540
They are men, and they are biologically programmed to do what they need to do, whatever that is.
00:44:22.840
And what they need to do if they're Republicans is lie to the pollsters, make sure you drag your fucking neighbor to vote, and get this fixed.
00:44:34.700
Now, again, anything could happen, but there's a 20% chance that history will be made in a way that will just be mind-boggling.
00:44:53.080
I have a trust in the male instinct that it has been awakened.
00:45:11.720
Now it's knowing what works and knowing it's easy.
00:45:25.960
But in the male world, you just got to tell me what to do.
00:45:40.180
But I have to read you exactly what he said about John Bolton, because it's just the way
00:45:50.880
And just the fact that he will say things that other people wouldn't say out loud.
00:45:55.720
So Colin Rugg was nice enough to write down the transcript of this on X.
00:46:01.560
So this is Trump in public talking about John Bolton.
00:46:12.080
If somebody shot down a little tiny crappy drone that cost about $15, he'd want to go
00:46:19.260
He was great for me, though, for a period of time, because he was a nut job.
00:46:23.240
And everybody, I could see his face get red, red, red with that stupid white mustache.
00:46:31.040
I took this moron with me, and he never said anything.
00:46:34.620
But when Kim Jong-un saw him, he said, oh, shit, I think that guy wants to go to war.
00:46:46.280
You know, when Putin saw him, I'd be very nice.
00:46:51.940
And then two rows back, they'd see that moron, and they'd say, holy shit, that guy wants to
00:47:09.940
Now, those of you who have been with me for a while, can you confirm in the comments that
00:47:17.340
when Bolton was first taken on, I told you, this is going to work out way better than
00:47:23.300
you think, because Trump's just going to use him as bad cop?
00:47:29.440
When Trump took him on, it didn't make any sense, unless he was going to use him as bad
00:47:38.040
And now he's just shit like mocking him about it.
00:47:44.280
Trump also had some things to say about Adam Schiff.
00:47:47.300
And I quote, I think this also came from Colin Rugg.
00:47:54.640
Quote, they may hate our country, and we deal with real scum.
00:47:58.960
I mean, like a guy like Adam, Adam Schiff, he's a sleazebag, and he's probably going to
00:48:21.200
He's got the smallest neck I've ever seen on a human being.
00:48:24.560
You'll never be a football player, I can tell you.
00:48:29.680
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00:48:59.680
Maybe it was about a week ago, he went to a black barbershop.
00:49:25.500
People have noted that Trump is enjoying this portion of the election like we've never seen.
00:49:36.380
Because he seems to be just going for the jokes now.
00:49:42.880
Like when I see him relaxed and going for the joke, I feel like everything's going to be okay.
00:49:48.500
And when he makes me feel like everything's going to be okay, everything's going to be okay.
00:49:54.920
Because he's figured out that he scares people.
00:49:59.440
I believe he is now surrounded with really talented advisors.
00:50:07.340
He is clearly taking his foot off the pedal of the provocative stuff.
00:50:13.940
And he's moving to, can I make you laugh two days before elections?
00:50:19.900
Because if he can just make you relax and make you say, you know what?
00:50:32.100
So Trump has had, in my opinion, the best campaign I've ever seen.
00:50:36.640
Now, the 2016 campaign was remarkable for how different it was and innovative and coming from behind.
00:50:44.880
And in many ways, it was remarkable and made history.
00:50:48.080
But 2020 was, I'd say, not a great performance.
00:50:53.980
But this election, with maybe a few weeks where even his own side was saying, hey, you know, that wasn't as perfect.
00:51:23.340
So what you're seeing is he's taking suggestions from various sources.
00:51:30.980
Because if you take that advice and you're just hitting a frozen rope every time you get up to bat, which he is, frozen rope, frozen rope, frozen rope.
00:51:41.080
That's like a really hard hit baseball is a frozen rope.
00:51:49.200
I would say maybe the best week in politics of any politician in the history of politics.
00:51:58.140
But we should probably check in on the Harris campaign because I'm sure they're having a good week too, right?
00:52:12.920
Well, the Harris campaign got some good endorsements.
00:52:15.580
For example, they got endorsements from a Diddy Party regular J-Lo.
00:52:25.240
And also LeBron James, a Diddy Party regular, also endorsed Carla.
00:52:32.460
Okay, but she also got the endorsement of a number of people who are actors on the, who are superpower actors, who, as Tim Young pointed out, I got to get his quote because it was too good.
00:52:50.260
Tim Young pointed out that the cast of The Avengers did a Zoom call.
00:52:54.400
So you can see all the actors and actresses for The Avengers.
00:52:58.860
And Tim Young's comment on X was that the cast of The Avengers, who all now look like they have terminal illnesses, says it doesn't quite hit the way they intended it to.
00:53:18.420
Now, I read it before I looked at their faces, and they all look like they have terminal illnesses.
00:53:26.460
Now, what it is, is I think they just don't have makeup on.
00:53:30.440
And, you know, they always have low weight because they're, you know, actors.
00:53:35.580
So they all look like they're on heavy chemo and things aren't going well.
00:53:43.440
But, yeah, Tim Young, your comment is exactly right.
00:53:48.420
She got endorsed by a bunch of actors who look like they're dying.
00:53:54.580
But wait, but wait, at least they, at least they had a good day on Halloween.
00:54:02.700
If you're the president, all you have to do is go interact with some people in costumes, and you've got a good day.
00:54:11.360
And that, you know, anything that Biden does at this point is reflecting on Harris, even if she's not involved.
00:54:16.940
So, let's see, did Biden have a good day on Halloween?
00:54:23.580
It turns out that Jill Biden wore a costume as a giant panda.
00:54:45.000
Now, not all of you know what I'm talking about yet, but I got to go there.
00:54:50.120
Because Nicole Shanahan said at a public event that looks like they're rubbing it at our face.
00:54:57.040
Because you might not know this, but panda in the world of, I hate to even use the word, P-E-D-O, right?
00:55:19.880
If I could ask you for a favor, take my word for it.
00:55:25.560
Pandas have a deep meaning in that world of pedo stuff.
00:55:37.620
Now, I'm not sure that anybody was thinking that.
00:55:41.440
Like, I don't necessarily believe that that was an intentional message.
00:55:45.480
But what would the other thing a panda suggest?
00:55:52.360
If you wanted to send the message that China owns you and you're Joe Biden, you would have your wife dress as a giant panda.
00:56:09.060
So, I don't think the panda choice could have been worse, since the only two things it makes me think of is communist China and the other thing.
00:56:29.380
the parading of Jill Biden in the panda suit yesterday, right in front of our eyes.
00:56:36.720
So, she's, I think she's calling it out directly.
00:56:41.420
Now, is there a gigantic pedophile network running the world?
00:56:48.760
I've been hearing about this for years, and I've always discounted it.
00:56:53.700
I always said to myself, well, obviously, there are, you know, there are going to be bad people in any large group of people.
00:57:00.500
And you'll hear about the bad ones more than you hear about the good ones, because the good ones are not making news.
00:57:06.340
So, yes, probably there's lots of stories about famous celebrities and politicians who did things illegal in the sexual realm.
00:57:22.360
And I'm still not on the page that there's a giant organized satanic pedophile network that is the real power in the country.
00:57:46.560
It is, and I'm going to make an analogy to one of my favorite Joe Rogan's takes.
00:57:56.580
It's my personal belief that we have landed on the moon and that it was not faked.
00:58:01.800
But as Joe Rogan said, we've seen so many things that we thought were true that are not true, that it makes the moon landing seem like it's in question.
00:58:13.600
And to me, that's hilarious, especially if it makes you mad and especially if you're positive that the moon landing is real.
00:58:21.840
I still love it because the comment is not even about the moon landing.
00:58:26.100
The comment is that what we consider ordinary or true has moved so much that even the moon landing has to now be questioned.
00:58:38.400
But the question of whether it's real or not, I think it's real, as far as I know.
00:58:43.280
But we have the same question, the same problem with the giant pedophile network running the government.
00:58:54.100
But the number of signals that are raging, I can't not see them.
00:59:02.080
I mean, they're pretty right out there, right in front of you.
00:59:05.380
There are references to pizza and hot dogs that I don't understand in any other context.
00:59:14.240
So, once you've got the PDD situation coming out and the Epstein situation coming out, and then you see Jill Biden dressed as a panda, maybe.
00:59:29.160
And again, I'm saying maybe in the same way that Joe Rogan was doing it.
00:59:36.900
It's not really a question about the pedophile network.
00:59:40.380
It's more about reality has moved so much that what I would have considered absurdly unlikely is now right in the middle of maybe.
00:59:56.200
There was a time when I wouldn't have clicked on a story on that topic because I was like, ah.
01:00:14.540
If you didn't see it, well, you just have to see it.
01:00:19.540
He interacted with them, and he put their feet in his mouth more than once.
01:00:29.180
Now, if you were worried about a giant pedophile network, and you saw a man whose wife was dressed as a panda, and he was nibbling on babies, I don't know.
01:00:53.620
And then you've got Biden calling Trump supporters garbage.
01:00:57.860
Then you've got the White House altering the transcript so it didn't look like he said that, which would be a crime.
01:01:06.400
Then you've got the best surrogate for the Harris campaign, Mark Cuban, who called women who support Trump weak and dumb.
01:01:19.380
So, Mark Cuban kind of steps into the breach because there really aren't that many Democrats who are as good at communicating.
01:01:29.140
So, I think he was helping for a while, and I'm going to say this about that.
01:01:39.300
What he said about, basically, he said that Trump must be afraid of strong, smart women because he never, never, ever has them around him.
01:02:02.080
I don't think he was giving IQ tests, and, you know, I don't think he made a list on a spreadsheet and said, hmm, let's see.
01:02:10.140
The ones that are closest to him, were they going to school?
01:02:16.360
And I would say that it's trash talk that sounds more like the NBA.
01:02:21.140
Like, if he came from the NBA, I imagine their style of trash talk might be a little more off the cuff.
01:02:27.320
Like, whatever it is that makes you miss the foul shot is good trash talk.
01:02:36.940
You don't get fact checked if, you know, if Michael Jordan tells somebody that they're shit and they're going to miss their next shot.
01:02:44.560
You can literally say whatever will make them miss the shot and get in their heads.
01:02:48.680
So when I was watching Mark Cuban come up with the ridiculous notion that Trump doesn't associate with strong women, of course, like every one of you, immediately the images of all the strong women that he does associate with all the time, you know, jumps into my head and I'm thinking of the counterfactuals.
01:03:06.680
But I suspect, without being a mind reader, that the worlds of trash talking got conflated.
01:03:19.800
Something that would have been a great NBA, you know, trash talk with no fact checking just to get inside somebody's head.
01:03:30.940
That didn't work when it becomes the headline for a week.
01:03:34.060
So I do not believe that if you talked privately to Mark Cuban, that he would say, yes, 100% of all females who talk to Trump are weak and dumb.
01:03:48.920
No, he does not believe that in the real world.
01:03:52.560
Was it something that just occurred to him like trash talk?
01:03:56.120
And I think the same thing happened with Biden when he did his inartful, oh, only his Trump supporters are garbage.
01:04:05.280
I think it's just because his brain connected the word garbage and he just thought he could be clever, but he failed at being clever.
01:04:14.180
It's not like if you talk to Biden privately and you can give him a truth pill, do you think he would tell you that all Trump supporters are garbage?
01:04:27.040
It just sounded like a funny thing to say, but it didn't work out.
01:04:36.280
But having lived through every RUPAR edit, you know, the finding people hoax and on and on and on, the fact that Republicans are treating these like they're absolutely true and saying exactly what Democrats said, well, I heard it with my own voice.
01:05:00.220
I absolutely love that the Democrats are being taken down by RUPAR edits in the last week of the election.
01:05:09.420
If there's one thing I love about this election, it's that the last week before the vote, the Democrats are getting taken down by RUPAR edits.
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The only thing I want more than that is to find some major election shenanigans that they catch.
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But on the positive side, Kamala Harris did get a endorsement from Bruce Springsteen, who referred to her as Kamala.
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So that was the good news she had for the week, endorsed by an old rock star who didn't really know her name.
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Now, do you think that CNN will report, wow, she just told four gigantic whoppers in a row?
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So Jake Tapper, whenever he makes news, it's never a good thing.
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Because Trump said that he might let RFK Jr. go wild on health care in the government in terms of the agencies that are in charge of health care.
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And Jake has to do, all of the news hosts are becoming bad actors and actresses.
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I think everybody who does news hosting probably at one point wanted to be in school plays and thought, maybe I can be an actor.
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But then they got into the news business and said, but watching Jake try to do the worried look when he talks about RFK Jr., he does the eyebrows and he does the wrinkled forehead.
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And he wants you to know by just the expression that this is a very bad man, this RFK Jr.
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These eyebrows tell you, you can't trust RFK Jr. to help your health.
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Speaking of elections, according to Jack Montgomery in the National Pulse, the Texas Attorney General,
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is opening a criminal investigation into Dominion voting systems.
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This is me reading what Jack Montgomery said in the National Pulse.
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I don't know what this is about or if there's any data to back it, but it's happening.
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Apparently, one of the clips that sound is, they were discussing how men who are healthier
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and have more testosterone are more likely to be conservative.
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And they speculated that Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg might be a secret Trump supporter because he's
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built up his body and he's taking martial arts and that that change alone might be enough
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to change your body chemistry to turn you into a conservative.
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And Rogan said, there are very few things that will turn you into a conservative more
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And Vance said, have you seen all these studies that basically connect testosterone levels
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Maybe that's why Democrats want us all to be, you know, poor health and overweight because
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If you make people less healthy, they apparently become more politically liberal.
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My secret theory is that Zuck is now a Trump supporter, but I can't say it.
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I forget which one said that, but they probably both thought it.
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So that brings me back to the cast of the Avengers, who, as Tim Young pointed out, look like they
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Now, let's pick randomly somebody who's muscular and in good health.
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And he told the crowd, I guess, yesterday, I asked God for 19 years to put me in a position
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You know, imagine the pro-Trump crowd when he said that, that God sent him Donald Trump.
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But I got to say, everything about the Trump campaign looks like fate.
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I can't, in my mind, imagine him losing the vote.
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Now, we'll talk about what will happen, because winning the vote doesn't mean you become president.
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But it certainly looks like the fate has decided who's going to be president.
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I mean, just every signal is in the same direction, as far as I can tell.
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Anyway, another thing the RFK Jr. said was that, quote, the CIA and the neocons wrote Kamala
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I mean, that's kind of a wild, speculative, not backed by any data kind of thing to say.
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You think the CIA and the neocons wrote her speech at the Democrat convention?
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He goes, they literally had CIA director Leon Panetta as a warm-up speaker for Kamala Harris.
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Apparently, he's the apex predator of, you know, that world.
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And, yeah, that would send a strong signal, wouldn't it?
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So, according to Harmeet Dillon, Pennsylvania and Arizona are being accused of some illegal
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And there is one entity in particular that's apparently getting paid for registering people,
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and they may have registered people who are not exactly eligible to vote.
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So, the same organization, I guess, Field Corps, paid around $3 million by Arizona Democrats,
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and they may have collected some voters who are not eligible to vote, is the accusation.
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Liz Harrington, talking about Maricopa County, says that the passwords on the Maricopa County's
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election systems, quote, can be readily determined by unauthorized users with a click of a few keystrokes.
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Maricopa is like two-thirds of all the votes in Arizona.
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We've got issues of some entity collecting non-voters to vote.
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We've got issues with passwords that seem to be public.
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And we've got some lawsuit against Dominion in Texas.
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How many thousands of lawyers do you think are going to be working on election-related claims on both sides?
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If you put 1,000 lawyers into any domain and say, your job is to find problems, do you think they'll find any?
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I'm going to pull a bunch of stories together at the end.
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Trump says on homeschooling, he wants to give parents $10,000 per year credit, I guess, on their taxes to pay for homeschool and to ensure that they get same access to stuff like athletic programs and school activities and education trips and more.
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Now, some of these last-minute offers seem like they're just buying votes.
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So, we don't know how many of these might ever actually happen.
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I mean, you know, you're going to have to do something to deal with the national debt.
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So, if there's a way to pay for it, and that would, I guess, Elon Musk's ability to get the budget under control will be tested.
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Tucker Carlson has a theory about why the deep state hates Trump so much.
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And I saw on the George account on X talking about this.
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He said, that never occurred to me until Trump came that the real reason the deep state hates him is because they are guilty of crimes.
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In other words, the people in power can't handle a populist president because the populist president has no bribery or history to keep all the other criminals where they are.
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So, only a populist with the backing of the public could ever hurt any of the embedded people who are the bad people who have been bad forever.
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So, when he said, I'm going to clean the swamp, they basically tried to kill him, in my opinion.
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No way to prove it, but I think they tried to kill him.
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And that, according to Tucker, the grifters knew the jig was up.
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And Tucker points out to bolster his point that the deep state people are all criminals.
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But he points out that 8 out of 10 of the richest suburbs in the country are around Washington, D.C., and they don't make anything.
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So, the people who are around the most movements of money are also the richest, although they produce nothing.
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They have the most millionaires, and they produce nothing, except, what is it, $6 trillion a year of your tax money, and then another $2 trillion on top of it that you're on the hook to pay for, but isn't really in the tax money.
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So, $8 trillion a year-ish, $8 trillion or $9 trillion a year, flow through that town, and they're stealing enough of it that they're all living like millionaires and producing nothing.
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All right, let's do an update on the fake news.
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Oh, the new fake news is Trump said that, and this is a Rupar, this is one of those taken out of context to change the meaning.
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Trump on Liz Cheney, quote, let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her.
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Now, if you heard that out of context, which, of course, Rupar himself just did out of context, it's funny that, you know, I named it a Rupar a few years ago.
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A Rupar edit is named after somebody named Rupar, and he is famous for cutting off meaningful parts of quotes so that when you see it out of context, like the fine people hoax, it looks like the opposite of what it was.
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So, he's done that again, as did a bunch of other Democrats.
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So, if you saw this alone, wouldn't you be kind of worried about Trump?
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Let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her.
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Doesn't that sound like a call to a killer or something?
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The actual context was that she's in favor of a lot of wars, but she doesn't have to serve in a war.
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So, in other words, she's not the one who has nine guns pointed at her.
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She's the one who gets to sit at home and tell other people to have nine guns pointed at her.
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If she were the one who had the nine guns pointed at her, in the context of a war, she might think differently of war.
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It says that there are soldiers that have nine guns pointed at them.
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They would have a different view of war than someone who doesn't have nine guns pointed at them.
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Maybe if you did have nine guns pointed at you in the context of war, you'd feel the same as somebody else.
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Now, of course, Trump says things that can easily be taken out of context.
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And, you know, you have to say maybe there's a better way to do that.
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And what I thought was funny is that they've made up so many hoaxes about Trump now that when they refer to Trump, they can only do it with run-on sentences.
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So listen to how long she had to make this sentence because they have so many hoaxes now.
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So Liz Cheney, hitting back, she says, this is how dictators destroy free nations.
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They threaten those who speak against them with death.
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We cannot entrust our country and our freedom to a petty, vindictive, cruel, unstable man who wants to be a tyrant.
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He wants to be a dictator to destroy free nations.
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He wants to kill the people who disagree with them.
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He wants the freedom to be a petty, vindictive, cruel, unstable man, wants to be a tyrant.
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You know, they really should have condensed their fake news down to like two or three.
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Anyway, Elon Musk's mother, May Musk, explains why she left the Democratic Party.
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She said, when I became a U.S. citizen, I leaned Democratic.
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And then she said, I watched CNN, MSNBC, and read the New York Times, believing Republicans were terrible.
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Then she says, but when they started lying about Elon, I realized I needed to question everything.
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As I teach you often, he was the physicist who realized that when he read stories about physics, he knew they were fake.
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But as soon as he read something about, let's say, geopolitical things in another country, he just assumed the news was real.
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And that it was just always wrong when he knew it was real, but always right, or at least they were trying to be right in other domains.
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But if you see enough times when it's right every time you know the truth, then you become like May, like May Musk.
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What are the odds that everything about Elon Musk's stories are fake, but all the rest of the news is real?
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So that's the first way to unlock your cell, your mental cell, is Gelman Amnesia.
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Once you realize that the thing you know about is always wrong, and you can generalize that, then you understand news.
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So I'm going to say something about the Ayatollah, and then I'm going to give you my prediction for the outcome of the race, because I know you're all waiting for that.
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So apparently the supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, their names are too similar.
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He told officials to prepare for another attack against Israel, according to the New York Times.
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Now, I think it's very considerate of the supreme leader to plan his attack on Israel a few days before the elections,
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because it's the only time in the history of the world where Israel will have a free pass to do a decapitation strike and take him out.
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Literally the best week of all time, literally the best week of all time, if they were going to do it.
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I'm simply saying that if I were the supreme leader in Iran and it were a few days before the American election, which is going to take all of our attention.
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I would be really worried that if Israel had the ability to do a decapitation strike and take out the supreme leader, that that would be exactly the time to do it.
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Because America, we're just not going to be interested.
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We will be completely uninterested in Israel for a few days and maybe longer, depending on what happens.
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So, I'm not predicting it and I'm not recommending it, but am I wrong that there would never be another week that would be a better time to do it?
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Because to me, it's just sort of screaming out like, well, if you're going to do it, this would be the week to do it.
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I believe he will win at least five out of seven, maybe seven out of seven, of the swing states.
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I do not believe that he will be given the victory.
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And I believe that there will be thousands of claims of fraud.
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I would bet that almost all, almost all the claims will be fake.
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And that there are small problems or they might be real problems, but it's, you know, a dozen votes, doesn't change anything.
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And so many of them will have sworn affidavits and maybe video, like really good evidence that there's something going on that may actually turn out not to be criminal after all.
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But on the surface, you're going to see pictures and videos and signed affidavits and lawyers that look like it's the most rigged, faked election ever.
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If Trump gets the most votes, the Democrats are going to say, hey, you must have cheated and vice versa.
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So they're both going to say that the other one cheated wherever the other one did well.
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But because of the timing of things and because we have to have our president certified by January 6th and it's a holiday in between, there isn't really any chance that the courts could work out all these problems.
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So what are they going to do if you have thousands of credible claims and the Constitution says we don't care on January 6th, you're going to certify a president?
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Well, if you're the Democrats, here's what you do.
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You have the press cover for whatever you want to do.
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So even though he had got the most votes, let's say the Democrats won the House by one vote, they decide to make him ineligible.
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Or let's say the vice president just doesn't sign the, because it would be Harris.
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Let's say she doesn't certify, even though the law says now they changed the law so that she has to certify no matter what.
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So I think that we will have unsolvable problems and then what are you going to do?
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So I think that the left has the power to change the entire mental process of the country with fake news.
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So I believe they can make any claim whatsoever.
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I do also believe that if Trump wins or if he gets the most votes, that there will be street protests and that they will be organized by our own government.
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And it will be basically a coup attempt at that point.
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At that point, I think it would just be full coup attempt.
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I think there is a chance they would take another shot at him.
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I don't expect the courts are going to be helpful because they won't have time and they won't be standing.
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And a lot of the cases, they just won't have enough votes that make the difference.
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And eventually, they will be able to sell that narrative and they will punish people who disagree with it.
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We know they can do it because they're doing it right now.
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They're punishing the January 6th people for disagreeing.
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So if you can put people in jail for disagreeing, and they can.
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You can take people off of platforms for saying things that are false, and you can.
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You can jail people for whatever claims you want, and you can.
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Again, I don't see how Trump can become president.
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Because if you can wear the panda outfit, as Nicole says, right out front, you're not worried about getting caught for anything.
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But I think we're going to have a Trump get the most votes.
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I think that we don't know who the president will be, and I don't think we'll have an answer by January 6th.
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So, I do think the Supreme Court will make the decision, but that will be the final straw for the Democrats to say the Supreme Court is illegitimate.
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And at that point, they can put enough people in the streets to basically overrule the government, the law, and anything they want.
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I would get some food supplies, because there could be some disruptions in the supply chain.
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If you've got a backup generator or battery, make sure that's working.
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I think we're a self-correcting nation, and it might take a month, but we'll work it out.
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You know, one way or the other, it'll get worked out.
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But we might have some disruptions in our daily life.
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I give it a 20% chance that electricity will go off in my state.
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But, you know, that could be just because we're so poorly managed.
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So, my prediction is that we don't have an answer by January 6th.
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So, I think I'm the only one predicting nobody wins.
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Because if it comes down to, let's say, two counties.
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Let's say there are a thousand claims, but only two of them are big enough that they would have changed the election.
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And let's say there's one big claim in Pennsylvania.
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And if it were found that those two claims were valid, then it would reverse it.
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Under that condition, you could imagine that the Supreme Court would hit it with a ton of bricks.
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You know, and everybody would bring every resource to really, you know, do a month of work.
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And the very best, the very best outcome, the outcome that I would like more than any other, is not just that Trump gets elected.
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I want him to get elected at the same time he proves our election system is rigged.
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I want his third act to be the greatest third act of all time.
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And unless he gets victory on proving the election was also rigged in 2020, because if you prove that it was rigged this year, hypothetically, people would accept that it was rigged before.
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So I'd say the odds of a credible claim in Maricopa, and at least one more credible claim, it doesn't have to be in Pennsylvania, but it could.
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If it focuses on just maybe two of them, and they can put enough attention on them, that gets you everything.
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And it gets you the third act, and maybe fixing the election system forever.
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And so, ladies and gentlemen, I give you the following proposition.
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There's a 20% chance it's going to get a little ugly, but we'll get through it.
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We're going to yell, and we're going to scream, and we're going to question things, and we're going to tear things up.
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But if there's one thing we do well in this country, and I'm always proud of America, we can tear shit down really well.
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If we need to tear down the election system to fix it, we'll do it.
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We just need to be convinced and be on the same page.
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If what this election gives us is the certainty that the election system was not designed with the integrity it needed to be, and I'm sure it's not, but if we can all get on that page and all agree that we either need to go back to paper ballots or do something drastic,
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the golden age will be unlocked, and we're almost there.
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So, ladies and gentlemen, I submit to you that we've been in a dark, dark tunnel for several years.
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The pandemic didn't do us well, and things didn't look so great during the Biden administration.
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And if we can save the country, and I think we can, it's this week and what happens for the next few weeks after that.
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And so, on that message, I'm going to kick off your weekend.
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I'm going to say a few words to the people on Locals, the subscribers.
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And for the rest of you, I've enjoyed this time together, as I always do.
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So, if you're on Extra Rumble or YouTube, I'll see you tomorrow.