Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 04, 2024


Episode 2649 CWSA 11⧸04⧸24

Topics
jobs report election integrity audit system elections military voting problem
Hosted by
Scott Adams
Mentioned
Trump Elon Musk Michelle Obama Sam Harris David Axelrod Insurrection Barbie Claire McCaskill Warren Buffett Ian Bremmer Liz Cheney Nancy Pelosi Morning Joe Nate Silver Mark Elias Bill Maher Tim Wall Grandpa Biden Victor Davis Hanson Berkshire Hathaway and 23 more
Episode 2648 CWSA 11⧸03⧸24 Episode 2650 CWSA 11⧸05⧸24

Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 15 minutes

Words per minute

148.38

Word count

11,268

Sentence count

956

Harmful content

Misogyny

28

sentences flagged

Toxicity

94

sentences flagged

Hate speech

8

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode of What s up with That, we talk about some science, politics, and why anecdote beats science. Plus, a story about why you should have a growth mindset, and how it can improve your life.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains.
00:00:06.680 All you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or gels, a stein, a canteen,
00:00:11.080 a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:13.460 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:14.800 I like coffee.
00:00:16.320 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:18.880 It's the dopamine hit of the day.
00:00:20.860 The thing that makes everything better.
00:00:22.840 It's called a simultaneous sip. 0.97
00:00:24.740 And damn it, it's happening right now. 0.98
00:00:26.720 Go. 0.98
00:00:30.000 My enjoyment of that sip is unparalleled, really.
00:00:40.180 Well, let's talk about some science-y things and such.
00:00:44.400 Then we'll get into all the ugly politics.
00:00:47.440 I know you want that.
00:00:48.660 You want it bad.
00:00:50.020 We got some good stuff today.
00:00:53.080 Well, according to What's Up With That,
00:00:55.740 What's is spelled W-A-T-T-S, What's Up,
00:00:58.620 For the second time in a week,
00:01:01.440 climate scientists were surprised with an increased CO2 absorption mechanism.
00:01:07.540 So it turns out that there were two things that climate scientists might have gotten wrong
00:01:12.800 about CO2 absorption.
00:01:17.000 Number one is how quickly plants absorb it.
00:01:20.800 Number two is how much heat can be absorbed by the ocean.
00:01:25.220 So, let's say, if you were building a climate model to measure temperature,
00:01:33.940 and two of the things that you knew you got very wrong were plants and oceans,
00:01:40.040 how do you think your final number looks?
00:01:44.400 Let's say, the only things we got wrong were the plants and the oceans.
00:01:48.480 Well, how about all the clouds?
00:01:51.820 You know, just the regular,
00:01:53.360 Eh, don't ask about the clouds.
00:01:55.540 How about the sun and the sunspots?
00:01:58.720 Eh, don't ask.
00:01:59.700 Don't ask.
00:02:00.580 Don't ask.
00:02:02.180 So, I always think that the climate models are sort of the ultimate test
00:02:06.920 of how much you understand about the world.
00:02:09.720 Now, I don't know if the, I don't know if the temperature of the world is going up,
00:02:15.920 and I don't know if CO2 is involved.
00:02:18.180 The only thing I know for sure is that you can't tell with the climate model.
00:02:24.140 That's the only thing I know for sure.
00:02:26.440 But most of the world has been hypnotized into thinking that the scientists,
00:02:31.040 although they're continually updating the variables and assumptions that go into the climate models,
00:02:37.380 they're still right, no matter how many times you change them.
00:02:41.340 Still right.
00:02:42.600 And if they're wrong, we'll change them until they're right again, somehow,
00:02:45.640 because we know it's right.
00:02:47.180 Start with that, and then we'll make our models match it. 0.93
00:02:50.900 All right, here's some more science.
00:02:53.140 Let's see how you could have done with this.
00:02:56.020 Would you have needed a study to tell you the following?
00:02:58.920 According to American Education Research Association,
00:03:03.360 students with a growth mindset learn more in school.
00:03:07.480 There's actually been a study of that now.
00:03:09.560 So if you have a growth mindset, you'll learn more.
00:03:16.200 What kind of students would have a growth mindset, do you think?
00:03:21.180 Now, a growth mindset, the way they defined it,
00:03:23.720 is that you believe that if you study, you can learn a lot.
00:03:28.920 So what kind of people just sort of naturally know that if they study,
00:03:37.340 they'll learn a lot? 0.99
00:03:39.320 Would it be dumb people? 0.99
00:03:42.760 Would it be smart people? 1.00
00:03:46.600 There you go.
00:03:47.420 There you go.
00:03:48.160 Yep.
00:03:48.360 Let me use my own life example, where anecdote beats science.
00:03:57.920 Now, normally, science beats anecdote.
00:04:00.880 Here would be a case where anecdote totally beats science.
00:04:04.960 When I was about six years old, and this is true, by the way,
00:04:08.500 I'm making it into a more interesting story, but it's true.
00:04:13.060 When I was about six, I looked into a mirror, and I said to myself,
00:04:16.420 you know what?
00:04:18.280 I don't think you're going to play in the NBA.
00:04:21.540 And I was right.
00:04:22.940 It turns out that at six years old, I could accurately ascertain
00:04:27.620 I was not headed for the NBA.
00:04:30.480 So then I said, what the hell can you do?
00:04:33.740 You'd better get some kind of a life plan here.
00:04:36.680 You're not going to play in the NBA.
00:04:37.900 And so I said to myself, well, what am I good at?
00:04:42.140 And I thought, huh, according to all these adults,
00:04:45.400 they keep telling me I'm smarter than average.
00:04:48.760 So I go, hmm, I'll bet I could learn a lot.
00:04:52.060 And so I developed a growth mindset,
00:04:54.800 because everybody, including me that I knew,
00:04:58.100 thought I would be good at a school, and then I was.
00:05:01.800 Now, did you really need to run a study that people who are pretty sure
00:05:07.780 they're good at school and that going to school and learning
00:05:10.280 will be good for them, they end up learning more?
00:05:13.880 Did we need to study that?
00:05:16.580 Did we?
00:05:17.860 I think you could have just asked Scott next time.
00:05:22.520 Well, I didn't see this coming.
00:05:24.080 New York City has a drought.
00:05:25.780 Apparently, it was drier than normal in October.
00:05:28.560 And New York City people are being asked to conserve water.
00:05:34.180 So the city's falling apart.
00:05:39.560 There's crime, there's debt, and not nearly enough water.
00:05:45.480 So sooner or later, every blue state will turn into California.
00:05:50.040 They won't have energy, and they won't have water.
00:05:52.560 And there will be fires raging through the houses.
00:05:58.180 Which, by the way, is probably true.
00:06:01.140 The longer estate remains blue,
00:06:04.420 probably the less water and energy they're going to have,
00:06:08.400 because of the way they run stuff.
00:06:10.960 Anyway, we hope they do well.
00:06:12.340 Did you know, according to Slay News,
00:06:18.000 that the Biden-Harris administration has licensed DNA vaccines for the food supply?
00:06:23.740 So I guess they're going to give vaccinations to the salmon and some other stuff.
00:06:28.800 Doesn't it feel like the public should get some kind of a say in that?
00:06:34.560 Instead of just going to the store one day and you're chewing on your salmon,
00:06:38.680 and it's full of mRNA or whatever the hell they decided to put in there?
00:06:43.940 Now, it's not like I'm an expert that if you ask me,
00:06:46.920 Scott, do you think we should give this salmon a shot?
00:06:50.400 I don't know.
00:06:51.340 Maybe.
00:06:52.620 But I feel like they should at least run it by us.
00:06:56.440 You know, hey, we really think we better give some shots to these salmon,
00:07:00.200 because whatever we've been doing up to now isn't good enough.
00:07:03.540 To which I say,
00:07:04.660 are you telling me the salmon I've been eating up to this point are all bad for me?
00:07:09.820 I just don't know.
00:07:12.320 But, yeah, don't drink the water and don't eat the fish,
00:07:16.960 and you're all going to die from climate change.
00:07:19.660 There is a Soros prosecutor who has been a thorn in the side of people who don't like
00:07:28.440 Soros prosecutors in L.A., who's been blamed for many of L.A.'s problems.
00:07:34.960 But George Gascon is apparently losing badly, like really badly, to the challenger.
00:07:43.260 And Joel Pollack is writing about this in Breitbart.
00:07:46.800 And I ask you this.
00:07:50.000 Do you think the country is just adjusting?
00:07:54.400 Do you think that the country has figured out that having a Soros prosecutor is basically a death knell for your state?
00:08:03.480 How much do you think the country has figured out?
00:08:06.200 Because, you know, I'm in my own little silo, and I never know.
00:08:09.580 So does the rest of the country know this, or is this just some little thing I see in my little corner of the news?
00:08:15.740 But if the challenger is up by 25 points, according to the Times, that should tell the story.
00:08:26.060 And in my location, the Soros prosecutor is on the ballot for recall.
00:08:31.660 Now, if I had to guess, I would guess she's going to get recalled. 0.99
00:08:37.600 So it's possible, because, you know, why would you even be on the ballot?
00:08:43.300 I think she's going to get recalled.
00:08:46.260 But so we could actually get rid of a Soros prosecutor in L.A. and San Francisco, potentially, in the same year.
00:08:54.040 That would be kind of a big deal.
00:08:59.160 Anyway, we'll see if that happens.
00:09:02.500 Do you know about Project 65?
00:09:06.100 That's that lawyer, Mark Elias.
00:09:09.040 He's a Democrat lawyer who's always pushing things in the domain of elections.
00:09:17.440 Some say he's getting away with all kinds of weaselly but legal stuff.
00:09:22.420 And he's affecting the elections.
00:09:24.880 But here's what's happening now.
00:09:26.260 This Project 65, so they're aligned with Mark Elias, they're running ads in every swing state saying that if any attorney represents Trump in regards to election integrity matters, they might lose their licenses.
00:09:44.220 Can you imagine that?
00:09:46.840 That that's a real thing that's happening.
00:09:48.380 That I would say one of the strongest things about the American structure is that we'll give a genuine, at least we'll try, to give a real defense even to somebody who's guilty.
00:10:05.740 But here's a case where even if somebody's innocent, they're going to take out the defense.
00:10:13.060 They're going to attack the defense, even if they're defending somebody innocent.
00:10:17.220 So this is another case of the Democrats making you think past the sale, which to me is the biggest story of the year.
00:10:28.460 So, you know, the hypnotist take is he's making you think that Trump did steal the election in 2020 or claimed it was stolen when it wasn't.
00:10:40.040 Now, nobody knows if that was election election was stolen.
00:10:43.400 There's no way to know that.
00:10:45.960 So they're making you think past the sale.
00:10:49.040 If if if Trump was right, and I don't know that either, that the election was rigged, then everything Trump does looks completely different.
00:10:58.080 If it was not only not rigged, but it was possible for a human being to know that it wasn't rigged and one of those human beings was Trump and he knew it wasn't rigged and he knew it was fair and there's no evidence for that point of view whatsoever.
00:11:14.700 Well, then he's got some he's got some questions that need to be answered.
00:11:19.080 I would say for sure I would be very uncomfortable with Trump if I believed he knew he lost. 0.98
00:11:27.180 But because I'm not a fucking idiot, I know that nobody can know if he won or lost because we don't have a system that would tell you that one way or the other. 0.98
00:11:36.420 We do have a system that gives you a result. 0.99
00:11:39.480 But let me say it again.
00:11:40.620 If you're positive, you know that our election in 2020 was fair. 1.00
00:11:47.620 You're a fucking idiot. 1.00
00:11:49.560 And by the way, it might have been fair. 1.00
00:11:51.940 I'm not saying it wasn't fair.
00:11:53.620 It was fair.
00:11:54.340 I'm saying that if you're sure, you know, because because you were told that you can know that that's knowable. 1.00
00:12:01.060 You're a fucking idiot. 1.00
00:12:02.880 Honestly, where have you lived in this world where everything is corrupt? 1.00
00:12:08.800 Our finance markets or health care stuff. 1.00
00:12:13.380 Every fucking part of our country is corrupt. 0.99
00:12:16.240 And you're going to tell me that you're sure, you're sure that 50 separate fucking elections were all done right. 1.00
00:12:23.920 You're an idiot. 1.00
00:12:25.180 You're a fucking idiot. 1.00
00:12:26.640 If you think you're sure, you know that 2020 was fair. 1.00
00:12:31.220 And let me say again, I don't know.
00:12:34.200 Maybe it was fair.
00:12:36.040 Maybe it wasn't. 1.00
00:12:37.580 But if you're sure it was fair, you're a fucking idiot. 1.00
00:12:40.960 There's no way around that. 1.00
00:12:43.940 You're a fucking idiot or you've been hypnotized, brainwashed. 1.00
00:12:49.280 I will allow that there are people who would have a high IQ, who have been brainwashed and to think he was fair. 1.00
00:12:57.700 But think about how hard that brainwashing would have to go.
00:13:01.420 You would have to erase what people know about everything else in the world.
00:13:06.780 Because smart people know everything else is corrupt.
00:13:09.760 They haven't not noticed that.
00:13:14.780 Smart people know that the food pyramid was upside down for most of our life.
00:13:20.160 Smart people know that we got into a war in Iraq and didn't need to. 0.90
00:13:24.920 Smart people know that the Russia collusion thing was fake.
00:13:28.980 They know that the fine people thing was a hoax.
00:13:31.680 Smart people know that. 1.00
00:13:32.720 But then they take all they know about everything in the world, and if they can be convinced that the election was definitely fair, well, they're either hypnotists or I'm wrong, and they're just fucking idiots. 1.00
00:13:46.940 Right? 1.00
00:13:47.260 Because you can't get to there by reason.
00:13:49.560 You just can't.
00:13:52.900 So anyway, that horrible thing is happening on the Democrat side.
00:13:58.180 You know, I wonder if, because I'm obviously in a news bubble, too, I wonder if the Republicans are doing something that evil.
00:14:08.840 Is there something Republicans are doing?
00:14:11.260 Oh, that's right.
00:14:12.880 If you're a Democrat, you believe that they're trying to fix the election or claim that they won when they didn't win.
00:14:19.360 But that's not true.
00:14:20.580 Is there anything true that's happening that Republicans are doing that's as dirty as the Project 65?
00:14:29.980 Is there anything they're doing as dirty as really any of the claims that the Democrats are making?
00:14:36.740 I'm not aware of anything.
00:14:38.400 And Trump does his hyperbole and, you know, does his exaggeration, but I'm not aware of anything Republicans are doing that are in the neighborhood of how completely evil some of this looks.
00:14:49.520 Anyway, but maybe I'm just in a news bubble and I don't see it.
00:14:55.360 According to Just the News, there was going to be a giant spike in out-of-pocket costs for patients, for health care.
00:15:04.960 But I think for Medicare drug spending.
00:15:08.420 Yeah, but the Biden administration moved $5 billion around to delay that so you wouldn't know that your health care prices spiked before the election.
00:15:18.160 Okay, so that should be grounds for, I would say, grounds for impeachment.
00:15:26.020 Now, I don't think there's any impeachment rule that would impeach you for this specifically.
00:15:30.400 But what if it's true that your government did essentially a financial fraud in order to win the election?
00:15:40.920 Because I would consider this a financial fraud if the reporting turns out to be true.
00:15:49.080 Again, what is it that Republicans did that was as bad as that?
00:15:54.460 If he asked Democrats, they'd say, well, Trump made the Republicans turn down the excellent, excellent bipartisan border bill.
00:16:03.740 But, of course, if you're a Republican, you know it was not an excellent, excellent bipartisan bill.
00:16:09.180 It was an amnesty bill.
00:16:10.960 It was the opposite of what the Republicans wanted.
00:16:13.800 Why did one Republican negotiate it?
00:16:16.780 I don't know.
00:16:17.960 Nobody else knows either.
00:16:19.680 But the fact that I don't know that doesn't make it a good bill.
00:16:22.340 Anyway, even Snopes has debunked the hoax that Trump wanted Liz Cheney to be executed by a firing squad.
00:16:37.520 How many Democrats actually believed that Trump said in public that guns should be pointed at Liz Cheney?
00:16:46.940 No, none of that ever happened.
00:16:48.620 He was talking about she wants to send people to war, but she hasn't been at war where guns would be pointed at you. 0.61
00:16:56.280 So even Snopes debunked that.
00:16:59.060 But I think Snopes only gets involved when something is so bad that even Democrats agree it's not true.
00:17:06.240 I mean, when Bill Maher went on TV and said, okay, I can't go this far.
00:17:11.120 This thing about Cheney is just fake news.
00:17:14.080 Why do you keep doing this to me?
00:17:15.460 Because I think Bill Maher is embarrassed.
00:17:18.620 About being associated with Democrats when they just make up the news.
00:17:22.780 And so he called them out, to his credit.
00:17:24.960 Called them out, said he made up this news.
00:17:26.720 I'm embarrassed being associated with you, basically.
00:17:29.600 And then Snopes does a little cleanup work. 0.90
00:17:32.980 And they're like, all right, all right, maybe this one's not true.
00:17:36.380 So I don't feel like we got to fact check so much as we got, let us fact check some unimportant ones.
00:17:43.820 So when we don't fact check the other ones that are also fake, you're going to think maybe those are true.
00:17:50.800 So I worry that the real game is not fact checking.
00:17:53.860 The real game is making sure that some of the facts don't get fact checked.
00:17:58.240 That's what I worry about.
00:17:59.420 Well, according to the Daily Wire, Trump has filed an FEC complaint saying the Washington Post is illegally boosting articles that are good for Kamala.
00:18:12.440 So the Washington Post decided not to endorse anybody publicly.
00:18:17.040 But the allegation is that the Washington Post has been somehow boosting those stories.
00:18:25.640 So the Washington Post pays to boost stories critical of Trump.
00:18:31.760 I don't know how they, who do they pay?
00:18:33.640 Aggressively ramped up its paid advertising campaign, boosting, oh, okay.
00:18:41.220 So they were basically doing an advertising campaign for their own newspaper, the Washington Post.
00:18:46.980 And in it, they were boosting the anti-Trump articles, it sounds like.
00:18:52.220 Well, I ask you this.
00:18:56.520 Is it possible to have a fair and free election if the news is fake?
00:19:03.640 What do you think?
00:19:05.580 Could you ever say, yes, we had a fair and unrigged election, if you knew for sure that the news was fake?
00:19:18.280 I would say obviously no.
00:19:20.500 Obviously no.
00:19:21.920 So the thought that we have fair and free elections is so weirdly obviously not true.
00:19:29.360 Because at the very least, you'd have to have accurate information.
00:19:33.640 Why is there a very loud machine right outside my window?
00:19:41.720 That could only be if my neighbor decided that being really loud before 8 a.m. was okay after all.
00:19:50.700 What time is it?
00:19:53.240 7.20.
00:19:54.880 7.20 a.m. and there's a bulldozer under my window.
00:19:58.760 Think that's okay?
00:19:59.520 Does that feel okay to you?
00:20:01.660 Especially when the person running it, I talked to personally, said don't ever do this before 8 a.m.
00:20:09.620 Because I got a live show.
00:20:11.600 Can you hear it, by the way?
00:20:14.680 Can you hear the engine?
00:20:17.900 No, it's not this lady. 0.65
00:20:18.980 It's my neighbor.
00:20:19.460 All right.
00:20:23.720 Well, I guess I won't take care of that right now then.
00:20:29.240 So does the Trump campaign have a case?
00:20:33.000 Well, probably not because I doubt the news industry is going to get punished for being biased, punished in any way for being biased.
00:20:40.340 But here's a good story from, so David Axelrod was trying to dunk on Elon Musk.
00:20:50.440 And he looked at something that Elon Musk had claimed on the X platform, and he said, so this is David Axelrod, well-known Democrat strategist type person.
00:21:03.720 He said, it used to be that Twitter at least tried to police this information.
00:21:07.940 Now its owner traffics in it, all as he invests hundreds of millions of dollars to elect Trump and make himself a power-wielding oligarch.
00:21:20.140 Now, this is amazing.
00:21:24.360 Axelrod must know that the people who follow him will believe that this is true, that Twitter at least tried to police this information.
00:21:33.000 But who gets to decide what is disinformation?
00:21:40.040 Who gets to decide?
00:21:42.100 Well, let's look at this one example.
00:21:44.900 Because Axelrod was responding to something that Musk was saying online.
00:21:51.340 So let's check out what Musk was saying online, because according to David Axelrod, it would be disinformation.
00:21:58.280 All right.
00:21:58.500 So here's what Musk said.
00:22:00.760 He was responding to an Insurrection Barbie post.
00:22:05.360 So he's essentially accepting what she said and then boosting it.
00:22:10.920 I don't know if Insurrection Barbie is a here or is she, actually.
00:22:14.040 But Insurrection Barbie said, if you don't vote and Harris wins, she will grant amnesty to every single foreign national they have allowed in here. 0.89
00:22:22.560 They will nuke the filibuster, pack the Supreme Court, make D.C. and Puerto Rico states, and America will be California. 0.99
00:22:30.760 Now, is that hyperbole?
00:22:33.360 Or is that true?
00:22:35.660 Well, it's an opinion, because it's based on what is assumed will happen in the front.
00:22:41.320 So opinions can't be right or wrong, can they?
00:22:43.340 And to me, it's obviously an opinion.
00:22:47.160 But is the opinion based on something solid enough that it's fair to say this opinion?
00:22:55.000 Well, yes, because prominent Democrats have said they want to have an amnesty pathway.
00:23:00.940 You could argue about every single one.
00:23:04.780 That part's just obvious, hyperbole.
00:23:06.780 But I wouldn't argue that Democrats are looking to make them citizens.
00:23:14.140 They'll nuke the filibuster. 1.00
00:23:17.060 Prominent Democrats have said that multiple times.
00:23:21.740 They'll pack the Supreme Court again.
00:23:24.920 Prominent Democrats have suggested that would be a good idea.
00:23:27.720 Now, that's far from being a policy.
00:23:30.740 There's no Harris policy to that for the filibuster or the Supreme Court.
00:23:36.040 But I believe that she and people in her group have been for it.
00:23:40.320 So it's reasonable to assume they might do the thing that they vocally said they were for right until the election started.
00:23:48.860 Right?
00:23:48.980 So if you were for something and you never said why you changed your mind, it's pretty reasonable to say you might still be for it.
00:23:58.580 So and then making D.C. and Puerto Rico states, that's, again, something that Democrats have been for.
00:24:05.000 All right.
00:24:05.180 So these are a bunch of things that are not necessarily things that Harris says she wants to do at the moment,
00:24:11.720 but things she has been aligned with in the past and not distance past.
00:24:16.060 We're talking about, you know, just last month or a few months ago, before she was officially the candidate.
00:24:23.760 There were some things that were crazy that she was in favor of that she backed off a little bit.
00:24:28.160 But still, it's reasonable to assume that she might still be in favor of them.
00:24:32.860 She just can't say it until she gets elected. 0.99
00:24:34.700 So Musk says about the Insurrection Barbie thing, he says, those are their stated goals.
00:24:42.020 And that's true.
00:24:43.480 There are prominent Democrats who have stated these exact things.
00:24:47.300 Doesn't mean it'll happen.
00:24:48.900 And it doesn't mean that a President Harris would push them.
00:24:52.100 But it does mean prominent Democrats are pushing these exact things, just as.
00:24:56.300 And then he says, unless Trump wins, this will be the last election.
00:25:00.920 He says the Dems will legalize all the illegals in swing states.
00:25:04.700 So there'll be no more swing states.
00:25:06.700 America will become a one-party, deep blue, socialist state.
00:25:10.180 Now, those are opinions.
00:25:12.300 But they're based on things that Democrats have really said, really in public.
00:25:18.660 And it wouldn't be too much connecting dots to say that if they did these things, it would be one-party rule.
00:25:25.600 And to that, David Axelrod says,
00:25:29.860 Twitter at least tried to police disinformation.
00:25:32.420 Imagine how mad you would be if your entire plan for power depended on controlling all the media platforms.
00:25:43.020 But the biggest one, the most important one, I would say, X, is the one you can't control. 0.95
00:25:48.520 That must really kill the top Democrats. 0.99
00:25:52.260 That really gets into their game. 0.95
00:25:54.560 But at least all the other news is true, right?
00:25:57.600 Oh.
00:25:58.440 Well, David Sachs says this in the post.
00:26:00.840 He says, the biggest story of the week was the jobs report.
00:26:03.420 October, 12,000 new jobs when 100,000 were expected.
00:26:08.260 And the job growth is negative if the government jobs are excluded.
00:26:13.060 September was at 254,000, but revised down 31,000.
00:26:18.340 In August, it was 159,000, but revised down 81,000.
00:26:24.900 And as Sachs says, instead, they got us focusing on the presidential polls.
00:26:34.620 Yeah.
00:26:35.560 So, yes, there's a lot of diversion going on.
00:26:40.280 Here's a question.
00:26:41.180 Now, Fisher King, one of my favorite posts, or one of my favorite accounts on X, he says,
00:26:47.880 reminder that Trump currently has a sentencing date of November 26 on the, quote, 34 felony convictions thing.
00:26:55.900 So if he loses, the plan is to jail him quickly so he isn't in a position to challenge any irregularities in the election.
00:27:03.820 Now, I did a little bit of research with somebody smarter than me, who shall remain nameless,
00:27:12.520 who thinks that it's more likely that it would just be appealed and he wouldn't go to jail.
00:27:17.700 Now, is that true?
00:27:19.840 He wouldn't actually be behind a cell, would he?
00:27:22.760 November 26.
00:27:24.020 He would just appeal and it would get pushed forward.
00:27:27.020 And probably the entire, the case might have to be retried because of Supreme Court decisions recently.
00:27:34.820 So I don't think he's going to be in jail.
00:27:38.060 But you've got to think that they gamed this out.
00:27:41.940 You've got to think that the, in some room, in some room, there must have been a conversation where Democrats said,
00:27:49.560 all right, you know, if we can get him in jail.
00:27:52.120 And then they probably said, oh, he'll appeal, that won't work.
00:27:56.020 So they probably have another plan.
00:27:59.860 Rasmussen points out that 45% of the people they polled say that when states are late in reporting their election results,
00:28:06.820 it makes them less confident that those are real results.
00:28:10.480 And yet, we've been told that it will take days before we have our election results.
00:28:16.100 Why would a country that's so concerned about election integrity wait several days to count the votes
00:28:24.240 when they would know that something like 45% of the country would trust the outcome less
00:28:30.100 if it doesn't happen the same day as the election?
00:28:33.440 Why would they do that?
00:28:36.920 I can't think of any reason, can you?
00:28:40.940 If it's not to cheat, what would be the reason?
00:28:43.320 Is it so they can have machines instead of ballots?
00:28:49.020 Is it so?
00:28:50.940 Why?
00:28:51.820 It doesn't seem to be any reason other than to promote cheating.
00:28:56.600 Because other countries don't do this.
00:28:58.680 Other countries say, even if it's mailed in, you have to mail it by this date.
00:29:02.540 So we'll be done counting by this date.
00:29:06.120 I don't know.
00:29:07.240 Seems to me very suspicious.
00:29:10.500 There's something so easy to fix, and so big a problem, would remain unfixed forever.
00:29:18.380 I can only think for...
00:29:19.780 There's only one reason I can think of, that you wouldn't fix a problem that big that's that fixable.
00:29:26.100 So here's a little exchange I had with Ian Bremmer about our secure elections.
00:29:35.100 He posted yesterday, he said, I have no idea who's going to win.
00:29:41.240 He said, I'm extremely confident the election will be free and fair and secure.
00:29:45.920 And most takes on social media would have you believe exactly the opposite.
00:29:50.840 They are lying to you.
00:29:52.800 Okay, well, I would be an example of someone who believes exactly the opposite about our elections being free and fair.
00:29:59.740 I believe that by design, they're designed to be the opposite of that.
00:30:04.500 It would be easy to design them to be free and fair.
00:30:06.760 And since we don't, and yet we have the full capability of doing it, I think the smart take is that they're designed to be rigged.
00:30:16.940 Now, that was just that Ian thinks that I'm lying to you.
00:30:22.620 Am I lying to you when I say everything in our country is rigged?
00:30:27.720 That's not a lie.
00:30:28.860 That's something you can observe yourself.
00:30:30.240 Do you think the elections, the most important part, like the one that gives people the power and the money ultimately,
00:30:36.940 do you think that's the only thing that's not rigged?
00:30:39.720 Do you think that state actors couldn't rig our machines and get away with it without us knowing?
00:30:47.160 It's almost insane or something to imagine the saying that we can't be sure who won is somehow a lie.
00:30:55.760 How could that be a lie?
00:30:57.860 I could be wrong.
00:30:58.680 I could definitely be wrong.
00:31:01.800 But where's the lie?
00:31:03.880 I'm telling you exactly what you see.
00:31:06.240 What you see is every industry that can get away with polluting does.
00:31:12.840 Everybody who can get away with cheating does.
00:31:16.020 Everybody who can hide something that's bad for them does.
00:31:19.500 Everywhere.
00:31:20.360 All the time.
00:31:21.460 Every country, every organization, every government entity, everywhere.
00:31:25.240 And I'm supposed to believe this is the one time it doesn't happen. 0.99
00:31:29.260 And I'm the dumb one. 1.00
00:31:30.580 I'm the liar. 1.00
00:31:31.620 So that makes me the liar to say that everything will go the same way everything goes.
00:31:38.020 If everything always goes one way, always, just always.
00:31:42.300 And I say everything always goes one way.
00:31:46.580 I'm lying to you.
00:31:47.640 So I responded and I said, how could we possibly know that?
00:31:54.700 In other words, how could we know that the election would be free and fair and secure, as Ian says?
00:32:00.540 And I said, it requires believing everything in America is obviously corrupt, as the news shows us daily.
00:32:08.300 And, of course, the news itself is corrupt, except for our election systems.
00:32:12.860 So Ian responded.
00:32:14.300 He says, in terms of how could you know the election is free and fair?
00:32:18.540 He says lots of ways.
00:32:20.280 And then he, parenthetically, said bipartisan audits, studies, et cetera.
00:32:25.180 Didn't know that.
00:32:25.800 And to which I say, wait a minute, bipartisan audits?
00:32:30.820 We don't have a system that can be audited.
00:32:33.380 Why does Ian think we have a system that can be audited?
00:32:37.140 We don't have that.
00:32:41.980 Ian, check this out.
00:32:44.420 Here's my ballot.
00:32:45.820 So this is actually a napkin.
00:32:47.440 But imagine it's my ballot.
00:32:48.700 I just filled it out.
00:32:50.780 Okay, now somebody came in my office and they took it off my desk and they put it in my drawer.
00:32:56.720 So it didn't get counted.
00:32:59.000 Did the audit pick that up?
00:33:01.800 Now, I just want to know, who thinks you can audit our election? 0.92
00:33:08.640 If a programmer got in and changed the bits on the counting machines, who catches that?
00:33:14.920 If we have known cases of non-citizens voting, which we do catch in small numbers, you know, a dozen here, a dozen there, how many got away?
00:33:27.580 Do we have a system that catches every one of them?
00:33:30.440 Does our audit catch every one of them?
00:33:32.060 How could you possibly think we have an auditable system?
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00:34:40.720 Bipartisan audits.
00:34:42.540 They said studies, to which I say studies.
00:34:45.580 What kind of study can you do if you know that they're not auditable?
00:34:53.020 What would the study say?
00:34:54.460 It's not auditable, but we still know the answer?
00:34:58.400 Who exactly would you pay to do those studies?
00:35:01.240 How old are those studies, and did they look at every state?
00:35:05.480 Here's what I think some of it is.
00:35:07.020 I think J. Cal was taking a run at this.
00:35:08.940 If you cheated so big that it would really change the election, it would be too hard to get away with it.
00:35:17.520 But it doesn't need to be big.
00:35:19.780 You can just force it to be a tie election until Election Day, which we saw them do right in front of us.
00:35:26.760 I predicted a year ago it would be a tie on Election Day no matter who ran.
00:35:31.020 Here we are.
00:35:32.120 It's a tie on Election Day no matter who ran.
00:35:35.360 They actually replaced the candidate, and they still got a tie.
00:35:39.780 So as long as the news can drive it toward a tie, then all you have to move is a couple of swing states,
00:35:47.800 which means just a couple thousand votes in a couple places.
00:35:51.240 Maybe three places would be enough.
00:35:53.740 So, yes, it could be really small.
00:35:57.760 I don't think we would necessarily catch something really small.
00:36:00.740 But Ian Bremmer pointed me toward a podcast that he had with a woman who apparently is in charge of making sure that our elections are fair and free.
00:36:14.340 And she works for a group called CISA, C-I-S-A.
00:36:18.660 Now, among other things, I guess their job is to make sure elections are fair and free because the states do their own versions of elections.
00:36:25.540 So you'd need some kind of an auditor to come in and make sure they have resources that they need and that sort of thing.
00:36:33.340 So CISA does that. 1.00
00:36:34.380 Now, CISA works with, let's see, I looked at their website.
00:36:38.080 They work with a group called CrowdStrike.
00:36:41.280 CrowdStrike.
00:36:42.140 Have you heard of them?
00:36:44.580 Yeah, CrowdStrike is part of their cybersecurity infrastructure for CISA.
00:36:50.180 So one of the ways they make sure that your elections are fair and clear is they get some CISA software working on those machines, some CrowdStrike, CrowdStrike software working on those machines.
00:37:03.920 Has anybody ever heard of CrowdStrike?
00:37:07.240 Does that name ever come up in politics?
00:37:11.340 Yeah, if you, for all of you, those of you who follow Mike Benz, these names all have a different meaning.
00:37:18.540 These are not the groups that you look to for credibility.
00:37:23.500 These are exactly the groups you look to to reduce credibility.
00:37:29.120 But remember, I always tell you that if you know what's happening, you don't know anything.
00:37:33.440 You have to know the players.
00:37:35.700 So if I just told you, oh, the government has a whole entity that's their whole purpose is to make sure the elections are good, that would be telling you what's happening.
00:37:46.140 And you wouldn't know anything.
00:37:47.120 Now I'm going to tell you who's doing it.
00:37:50.200 The people who are most often accused of bad behavior are the ones in charge.
00:37:57.380 The ones most often associated with bad behavior, CISA.
00:38:02.620 Now, do I personally know any bad behavior they've done?
00:38:06.060 It's not like I've researched it.
00:38:07.400 But you couldn't get, you could not achieve a lower level of credibility than having your elections checked by CISA and CrowdStrike.
00:38:19.160 Now, again, I don't personally have any information about CrowdStrike or CISA.
00:38:23.780 I'm just saying that if credibility is what you wanted, you wouldn't go anywhere near these two entities.
00:38:32.240 And that's supposed to convince me.
00:38:34.340 Now, here's the funny part.
00:38:35.260 The CISA representative, I don't know if she was the head of it or just the head of the election part of it, but she was a manager. 0.84
00:38:45.620 A manager.
00:38:46.480 Would you listen to a manager's opinion about whether an election was fair and free?
00:38:53.900 Have any of you worked in the real world?
00:38:56.840 Let me explain the real world.
00:38:58.220 There are engineers who know how things work, and then there are things called managers who don't know how anything works or how anything is put together.
00:39:08.900 If you talk to the engineers, they'll say things like, well, the reason CISA has such a big operation is there are so many places that our elections could be vulnerable.
00:39:22.140 And I'd say, wait, what?
00:39:24.180 Yeah, they do lots of stuff.
00:39:26.180 I mean, that's why they have the CrowdStrike software.
00:39:28.900 That's why they have the audit tools.
00:39:30.960 And the reason is there are so many ways our elections can be rigged that they're all over the place.
00:39:39.180 To which I say, so, engineer, are you telling me, therefore, that it's completely secure because CISA is in so many places that there could be problems?
00:39:51.220 How would an engineer answer that question?
00:39:53.160 An honest engineer would say, well, really, the fact that there's dozens and dozens of holes we have to plug is kind of a strong indication that there are holes we haven't plugged that we don't yet know about.
00:40:09.360 Because I would ask, were all of the holes that you plugged today, were all of them always plugged?
00:40:18.220 Well, no, that's why we had to have CISA. 0.65
00:40:21.020 So you're saying that in the past, we had holes which we knew, and until CISA came, they were not plugged.
00:40:29.940 Right.
00:40:30.460 That's why CISA was created, so we could plug the holes.
00:40:32.900 But didn't we think the elections were always free and fair?
00:40:37.640 Yes, we did.
00:40:39.240 So before any of the holes were plugged, we also thought our elections were free and fair.
00:40:47.140 That's right.
00:40:49.180 But yet they weren't, or we couldn't have possibly known because there were holes.
00:40:53.980 Yeah, but they're plugged now.
00:40:54.960 How do you know you plugged all of them?
00:40:59.000 Well, we're not aware of any that need to be plugged.
00:41:02.320 At any time during the process where you were plugging the holes that are now plugged, was there any time when you had half of them plugged and you were unaware that there might be some other things that would come up?
00:41:14.020 Oh, yeah, that happened.
00:41:15.180 We plugged the ones we knew about.
00:41:17.060 A few more came up, so we plugged them.
00:41:20.080 So how could you possibly know you've plugged all the holes now?
00:41:23.420 Well, nobody's complaining.
00:41:26.060 But if somebody did complain tomorrow and pointed out a new hole that you didn't know was there, what would you say then?
00:41:33.900 Well, we'd plug that hole.
00:41:35.740 Okay, but you wouldn't know if anybody had already used it necessarily.
00:41:40.920 So the thing is, if you talk to the manager, you know what the manager says?
00:41:45.280 It's a perfect election.
00:41:47.340 We exist to make sure that everything's running fine.
00:41:50.560 We've checked it out.
00:41:51.460 And by the way, I get paid more if I do a good job protecting the elections.
00:41:58.000 You know, my pay will depend on it.
00:41:59.960 I'd get fired if I did a bad job of it.
00:42:02.500 Wait a minute.
00:42:03.800 Are you telling me that if you admitted the elections were not secure, you would get fired?
00:42:11.100 Well, yes, of course, because it's my job to make sure they're secure.
00:42:13.700 So I'm supposed to believe that the elections are secure because I'm listening to a manager, not an engineer who could actually know what's going on.
00:42:24.720 I'm talking to a manager who would get fired if you said the opposite.
00:42:30.920 Well, I suppose that's true.
00:42:32.480 I would get fired.
00:42:33.200 And that was the best evidence we have that our elections are fair and fair and secure.
00:42:39.740 It was hilariously pointy-haired boss Dilbert territory kind of stuff.
00:42:47.520 You would have to have no experience in the real world to believe that the SISA people had secured the elections.
00:42:54.500 Now, again, I'm not aware of a specific problem, but I live in the real world.
00:43:01.980 I live in the real world.
00:43:05.740 Anyway.
00:43:08.540 So, Ian, I think we're going to need a much better argument.
00:43:11.580 Somebody said that the 60 Minutes did an episode last night.
00:43:15.760 I didn't see it, but I heard that it was geared toward showing you that the Georgia elections are real secure.
00:43:22.700 Do you believe that?
00:43:24.860 Does anybody watching this believe that the Georgia elections are secure?
00:43:31.340 To me, that's absurd.
00:43:34.580 It's absurd.
00:43:36.600 Now, it's also possible that they are secure.
00:43:40.220 But there is no way that they could communicate that to me, a regular voter, in a way that I would ever believe it.
00:43:49.260 Because it would be very much like there's a UFO in my backyard.
00:43:55.260 There is.
00:43:56.400 Yeah, it's a UFO from space.
00:43:58.320 It's in my backyard.
00:43:59.460 Can I see it?
00:44:01.140 Oh.
00:44:02.340 No, you can't see it.
00:44:04.260 Can I see a picture of it?
00:44:06.340 Oh, I should have taken a picture.
00:44:08.680 Really?
00:44:09.260 You didn't take a picture of it.
00:44:11.680 There's a UFO in your backyard and you didn't take a picture.
00:44:14.680 Well, we did take a picture.
00:44:16.380 I can't show it to you.
00:44:17.160 Yeah, it feels like that.
00:44:21.920 There's no amount of 60 Minutes who have been debunked as a news site and have been revealed to be a propaganda site, essentially.
00:44:30.580 So 60 Minutes, a propaganda outlet telling you that the election is secure tells you what?
00:44:36.920 You know that the person telling you is a propaganda outlet.
00:44:40.060 And they made a really big point to tell you the elections is secure.
00:44:43.080 What message did you get?
00:44:45.780 The message I got was that they're not secure. 0.99
00:44:48.060 Because if you're going to send somebody to tell me that the elections are secure, why don't you send me somebody who's not a fucking liar? 1.00
00:44:56.800 Because CBS are clearly fucking liars. 1.00
00:44:59.740 They have no credibility whatsoever in the news business. 1.00
00:45:02.880 If you want to tell me that something is secure, don't send the biggest fucking liars in the world to tell me they're secure. 1.00
00:45:10.940 Don't even try. 0.99
00:45:12.760 Send me somebody that I might trust.
00:45:15.600 60 Minutes? 0.99
00:45:16.340 Are you fucking kidding me? 0.99
00:45:18.060 What a joke. 1.00
00:45:19.680 Sisa, are you kidding me? 0.98
00:45:21.460 That's who I'm going to trust? 0.99
00:45:23.260 Are you fucking kidding me? 0.99
00:45:25.560 That's who I'm supposed to trust. 0.98
00:45:31.840 Well, Morning Joe continues to be hilarious in their propaganda-ing.
00:45:38.520 They said about Kamala Harris, quote,
00:45:40.320 She delivers the message that I think Americans want, which is, let's come together.
00:45:45.700 I'm going to be president for all Americans.
00:45:48.060 So, Morning Joe thinks that Kamala Harris has a unity message.
00:45:54.320 Maybe.
00:45:54.820 Maybe. 1.00
00:45:57.080 Seems to me that Republicans have been called insurrectionist, white supremacist garbage. 1.00
00:46:05.140 Deplorables, if you will. 0.99
00:46:06.280 I don't see any possibility that she's bringing anybody together, and what it feels like is that she just mugged me, and she's telling me it's time to unite.
00:46:18.420 To which I'm saying, how about you give me back my wallet, and then we will talk about uniting. 0.99
00:46:24.800 Nope, I got your wallet, and I'm going to shoot you in the arm. 1.00
00:46:28.120 Now, how about uniting? 1.00
00:46:30.140 No, I'm really mad now.
00:46:31.740 You took my wallet, and you shot me in the arm. 1.00
00:46:33.500 Damn it, I'm going to kill you. 1.00
00:46:34.520 Well, now I'm going to kill you. 1.00
00:46:36.020 I have to kill you because you're dangerous now. 1.00
00:46:38.200 So they kill me. 1.00
00:46:39.160 If only he had been willing to unite. 0.79
00:46:43.500 If only.
00:46:44.520 He'd still be alive today.
00:46:46.420 But it was his unwillingness to unite with his mugger and abuser that caused his downfall.
00:46:54.280 And really, he had it coming.
00:46:55.780 He moved the lectern.
00:46:56.600 Nate Silver, as you know, famous pollster, thinks that maybe the polls are bunching for the purpose of being credible.
00:47:08.280 Yes, the polls are bunching for the purpose of being credible, which I told you a year ago, and every month since then, the polls will bunch to pretend to be credible.
00:47:19.800 And then the polls bunched to pretend to be credible.
00:47:22.960 And Nate Silver calls it out because it's obvious.
00:47:29.760 But as Alex Castellanos says, who's also, he told Fox News this, and he's worked for various campaigns, so he knows what he's talking about.
00:47:40.180 He says, I think they're missing a massive shift in voter registrations underneath all of this.
00:47:46.260 Thirty-one states have voter registration by party, and 30 of them in the past four years have seen movement toward Republicans.
00:47:56.060 So he doesn't think it's like a wave, but maybe a wavelet.
00:47:59.860 So the idea is that you don't catch the last-minute sentiments.
00:48:09.240 These polls might miss that.
00:48:11.020 And that you can't have so many people registering to be Republican unless they're going to vote Republican.
00:48:17.940 So it is reasonable to assume that nearly all of the Republicans who registered for the first time did it for the purpose of voting for Trump.
00:48:28.280 So I don't think the polls have that in their numbers.
00:48:32.380 And the reason they wouldn't have the new registrations is because they're going to look at how people voted in prior polls to figure out how they're going to vote this time.
00:48:42.640 And all the unlikely voters who have newly registered, they don't have a history.
00:48:50.440 So when the pollsters try to put the old history into the new prediction, they can't do it.
00:48:57.040 Because now the history is destroyed by the fact that something new happened, a whole bunch of people registered,
00:49:03.480 which is unusual for Republicans to have more registrations than Democrats, at least lately.
00:49:08.700 Nancy Pelosi wants you to think about Trump's cognitive ability.
00:49:30.380 She's hitting that hard. 0.91
00:49:33.480 But this is that wrap-up smear thing again.
00:49:37.260 So she's good at the wrap-up smear. 0.78
00:49:40.560 She also talks about the insurrection.
00:49:44.380 So remember what a wrap-up smear is?
00:49:46.980 So a wrap-up smear, Nancy Pelosi actually explained this in public,
00:49:50.980 that a politician will leak some story to fake news people.
00:49:57.740 The fake news will run a story about it.
00:49:59.960 And then the politician doesn't have to rely on themselves as the source.
00:50:03.980 They can say, well, look, the New York Times has a story about it.
00:50:07.140 I'm just quoting the New York Times.
00:50:09.280 They're concerned about, let's say, Trump's cognitive abilities.
00:50:14.740 But it came from the politician.
00:50:17.100 So the politicians tell you that there was an insurrection in 2020,
00:50:20.420 which depends entirely upon Trump's inner thoughts.
00:50:26.680 And they've actually caused the entire country to think past the sale.
00:50:31.320 That we can somehow know Trump's inner thoughts and that he knew he lost in 2020,
00:50:37.140 even though the results looked very much like he got cheated because of the last-minute change in the numbers.
00:50:43.440 Now, I don't know that he got cheated, but I know that it looked like it.
00:50:48.780 And I know that half the country said, oh, that looks exactly like they cheated.
00:50:52.620 And if Trump agrees with half the country, which is the vast majority of his base,
00:50:58.500 you know, they're on the same side,
00:51:00.760 the most likely explanation of what happened is that he thought the same thing as base thought.
00:51:07.020 He thought it was really, really rigged.
00:51:09.180 Now, everything you see in the news and from the Democrats make you think past that sale.
00:51:18.640 The sale is, what did Trump think at the time?
00:51:21.580 Because if Trump thought the election had been stolen,
00:51:24.400 then everything he did makes a lot more sense.
00:51:27.480 He was trying to stop a steal.
00:51:29.800 That would be pro-republic, pro-democracy, pro-America.
00:51:35.460 The way it happened, not good, because there was violence.
00:51:39.180 But if you were looking at the intentions and whether he should be, you know, punished for it or rewarded for it,
00:51:45.380 it's based on what he thought.
00:51:47.420 And what he thought, I think, is kind of obvious,
00:51:49.340 because so many of his base thought the same thing based on looking at the same stuff.
00:51:54.260 I can completely see why they would think it.
00:51:57.700 So, also, Obama dusted off the fine people hoax again yesterday.
00:52:02.680 Can you believe that?
00:52:04.220 The fine people hoax.
00:52:05.300 It's the most debunked hoax in American history.
00:52:08.520 And the ex-president is using it on the eve of the election to change the news.
00:52:14.020 This is fake news.
00:52:16.140 It does show me that any positive thought I ever had about Obama I need to remove.
00:52:23.120 Because there was a day when I said to myself,
00:52:25.360 you know what, I don't like everything Obama does, but he was a solid president.
00:52:29.140 Based on him pushing the fine people hoax on the eve of the election, I would say, 1.00
00:52:33.220 I erase, I take back every good thing I ever thought about that fucking asshole. 1.00
00:52:38.260 I think he's a piece of shit now. 1.00
00:52:40.680 I think doing this to the country is absolutely, it's close to criminal. 1.00
00:52:48.740 It's very close to criminal behavior.
00:52:50.960 I don't think it is, but it's as close as you can get. 0.97
00:52:54.640 So, I would say that the Obamas are now in the shithole shame factory of America. 0.96
00:53:01.280 There's nothing good about them. 1.00
00:53:03.020 And Michelle Obama probably has a cock. 1.00
00:53:05.900 I don't think that's true, but if he's going to do the fine people hoax, 1.00
00:53:11.420 I'm going to go with Michelle has a cock. 1.00
00:53:13.440 And I'm going to say it every time he says the fine people hoax, 1.00
00:53:16.620 because Michelle Obama has a cock. 1.00
00:53:21.060 Not really, but I'll say that every time he says fine people hoax. 0.99
00:53:27.820 Doug Emhoff apparently is not aware of things that people say about his wife,
00:53:34.480 because he actually said this out loud at an event.
00:53:41.140 He said, quote, Kamala put her head down and went to work. 1.00
00:53:49.400 Really, there was probably a better way to phrase that.
00:53:53.160 Probably a better way.
00:53:55.420 But there were memes.
00:53:57.400 There were memes.
00:53:58.660 That's all I'm going to say.
00:54:00.140 She put her head down and she went to work.
00:54:02.880 There were memes.
00:54:05.240 Trump said at his rally, quote, I'm not supposed to say this.
00:54:08.180 It's really not very close.
00:54:09.560 We are leading in all seven swinging states.
00:54:13.640 I wouldn't be surprised if his internal polling is better than the public polling,
00:54:18.000 because the public polling had to bunch.
00:54:20.160 They're all bunching intentionally.
00:54:22.100 The private polling that they all do at that level doesn't have to bunch.
00:54:27.960 It just has to be good.
00:54:30.520 So it's possible Trump's seeing something that others are not.
00:54:35.500 Meanwhile, D.C. is gearing up for trouble and fences are being put around the VP residents in the White House.
00:54:42.300 And do you think that there will be a big protest if people don't like the election results?
00:54:50.720 Well, I don't think it's going to happen on election night because we won't have an answer.
00:54:57.420 What are you going to be protesting?
00:54:59.540 So I don't think the networks will call the race for Trump, even if he's ahead.
00:55:03.780 So I don't know exactly when said protests would happen or who would be doing it, but I suppose it's smart to be prepared.
00:55:15.140 Makes you wonder if the National Guard has been alerted.
00:55:19.380 Do you think the National Guard would be employed or deployed?
00:55:26.360 Hmm, maybe.
00:55:27.160 Well, a former MSNBC anchor who got canned by MSNBC, Mehdi Hassan, he's mad at both Biden and Attorney General Merrick for not putting Trump on trial before the 2024 presidential election.
00:55:46.120 Well, if he'd done it before the election, Trump would have already cleared all of those election claims because they would have already been turned over by the courts
00:55:55.500 or people would have forgot about him.
00:55:58.240 But again, he's making you think past the sale.
00:56:01.440 So if he makes you think that they should have put him in jail sooner, he's making you think, well, he's obviously guilty.
00:56:09.960 So why didn't we do this sooner?
00:56:11.840 But the part where he's obviously guilty is where he's making you think past the sale.
00:56:15.920 I don't see him obviously guilty of anything.
00:56:18.540 All I saw was lawfare.
00:56:19.540 All I saw was even people on CNN, like Fareed Zakario, saying he doesn't think some of these would be even taken to court except it was Trump.
00:56:32.720 So, yes, don't let him think past the sale.
00:56:35.700 Everything is making them think past the sale.
00:56:38.600 If the 2020 election was fake or not, their entire argument depends on you not thinking about that.
00:56:45.940 And it's the important part.
00:56:46.920 All right.
00:56:50.180 Well, here's another thing that the Biden-Harris administration was going to do.
00:56:55.900 They were set to push plant sources of protein over red meat in their dietary guidelines.
00:57:05.260 The Washington Free Beacon is reporting on this.
00:57:07.680 And they say that that was maybe delayed because of the election.
00:57:12.020 Do you think?
00:57:12.620 How do you think the Democrats would have done getting votes from men if they had gone, you know, you really need to be a vegetarian right before the election?
00:57:26.280 I don't think that would have helped their vote with young men.
00:57:29.880 I think young men like their meat for the most part.
00:57:32.600 Do you know who is vegetarian?
00:57:35.060 College women. 0.66
00:57:36.440 Young women mostly.
00:57:37.460 So, this is another indication that Democrats are the party of women. 1.00
00:57:42.560 And I still take credit for being the first person who said that the parties would become the party of men and the party of women. 0.60
00:57:51.380 I think I'm the first one in the country to say this is obviously going to happen.
00:57:55.960 And it did.
00:57:57.120 I probably said that in 2016.
00:57:58.700 So, the post-millennial says that Kamala Harris has a separate message she's sending on the campaign to the Muslims versus the Jews, the American Muslims and Jews.
00:58:15.400 And that she is a little more pro-Israel with the Jewish Americans, a little more pro-Palestinian with the Muslim Americans. 0.53
00:58:24.160 Now, that's no big surprise, right, because they're politicians.
00:58:27.480 But I wondered, does Trump ever do that?
00:58:31.420 I'm trying to think, has Trump ever had two messages for two different groups of people?
00:58:38.440 It seems like with all the politicking, there must have been some time it happened.
00:58:42.980 But I don't really see that happen.
00:58:45.940 Trump is weirdly honest in ways that I don't think are completely understood.
00:58:54.880 And here's one of them.
00:58:56.180 He gives you one message.
00:58:58.520 Now, you might not like the message, and you might think the message is based on a lie or something.
00:59:03.620 But he gives everybody the same message.
00:59:06.160 And that strikes me as honest.
00:59:09.040 When I watch somebody give different messages to different groups, that strikes me as dishonest.
00:59:14.260 When I just think that Trump, even though he is directionally accurate, but fails the fact checking, you know, quite a bit, that the directional accuracy is the part I cared about.
00:59:34.080 You know, somebody was challenging me on how much wall he got built.
00:59:38.080 I think Cenk was saying he didn't build much wall.
00:59:40.620 To which I say, but he tried to build a wall.
00:59:43.120 I mean, he tried.
00:59:45.440 Nobody tried harder than he did.
00:59:47.360 He tried different funding mechanisms.
00:59:49.640 They kept thwarting him at every turn.
00:59:52.100 And he got some going.
00:59:54.140 You know, got money from the military, et cetera.
00:59:57.520 So that's what I want.
00:59:59.720 I want somebody that I can observe doing everything you could do to do the thing that needs to get done.
01:00:05.600 If it doesn't work, well, then I'd say, you know, keep going and do the best you can, et cetera.
01:00:12.320 But at least it's in the right direction.
01:00:14.220 So for me, the fact that Trump does seem to do directionally what he says he'll do feels honest.
01:00:20.000 And so does not having two messages for two different groups of people.
01:00:25.520 So I get, I'm completely aware that the fact checkers will tear him apart and they'll say the windmills don't stop and turn off your TV.
01:00:36.460 And I'll say he didn't really mean that.
01:00:38.620 Don't fact check that.
01:00:39.600 But directionally, you know, on the big stuff, Trump is much more honest, much more honest.
01:00:51.100 All right.
01:00:51.820 What are Tim Wall's closing lies?
01:00:56.340 Governor Wall says there will come a day when you're going to be sitting on that rocking chair and the little ones are going to ask you, quote, when everything was on the line, there was somebody running who asked to be a dictator.
01:01:08.180 No, nobody did that.
01:01:09.600 And wanted to overturn the Constitution.
01:01:12.420 Nope.
01:01:13.000 Nobody ever did want to do that.
01:01:14.860 And talked about using the military against our people.
01:01:17.980 Nope.
01:01:18.720 That wasn't a thing.
01:01:20.260 What did you do to stop that from happening?
01:01:22.360 Well, here's what the youngster should have said.
01:01:25.220 Grandpa, were you part of the great lying of the 2020s?
01:01:31.760 Were you one of the ones who said that Trump wanted to be a dictator and he wanted to overturn the Constitution and use the military against our people? 1.00
01:01:40.180 Grandpa, did you really say that bullshit? 1.00
01:01:41.920 Well, yes, I did. 1.00
01:01:44.100 Well, then it's time for euthanasia.
01:01:46.440 Your time is done.
01:01:48.000 That's how it would go.
01:01:51.100 Do you know Claire McCaskill? 1.00
01:01:52.580 Well, she is one of the dumbest people on MSNBC. 1.00
01:01:55.660 And boy, is that saying a lot. 1.00
01:01:58.940 MSNBC has these wonderful characters.
01:02:02.300 My favorite are the eyebrow historians.
01:02:05.900 They've got two eyebrow historians who talk about history with weird eyebrows.
01:02:13.180 And the eyebrows are supposed to really be the one that's telling the story.
01:02:16.960 You can listen to what comes out of the mouth.
01:02:18.980 But look at the eyebrows.
01:02:20.860 They're so concerned.
01:02:22.880 They're so concerned about what's happening.
01:02:25.840 Look at my eyebrows.
01:02:27.180 Look at my eyebrows.
01:02:28.860 Yeah.
01:02:29.260 So the eyebrow historians are hilarious.
01:02:34.240 Victor Davis Hanson has normal eyebrows.
01:02:37.420 So if you want to see somebody who's actually telling you what they believe to be true
01:02:42.420 about history, look for somebody with normal eyebrows.
01:02:46.300 Not this.
01:02:47.600 Not this.
01:02:49.060 Not this.
01:02:49.780 No, this is not normal eyebrows.
01:02:51.420 Don't do that. 0.99
01:02:51.980 But anyway, so Claire McCaskill, possibly the dumbest person on MSNBC, the dumbest network 1.00
01:03:01.900 and the dumbest show, she was mocking Elon Musk, who might be one of the smartest people 0.98
01:03:07.040 in the world, and said, quote, he thinks because he can do rockets and electric cars 0.99
01:03:12.080 that he can figure out how to get people to vote.
01:03:15.200 Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha ha, ha, ha. Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, 0.99
01:03:45.200 Musk actually replied to it because she also said that she was worried about a billionaire
01:03:51.200 influencing elections.
01:03:53.920 And Musk says, funny that she never said a word about Soros, who has cumulatively put
01:03:59.720 100 times more money into election than I have.
01:04:02.980 And then he says, and this one is for the ages, folks, this is for the ages, this is
01:04:10.840 Elon Musk.
01:04:11.520 If I can figure out science with SpaceX and surgery with Neuralink, then maybe I can
01:04:18.340 figure out politics, too.
01:04:20.240 And he puts a little shrugging icon.
01:04:23.380 Maybe.
01:04:25.700 Yeah, I think maybe he can.
01:04:31.240 Let me put it another way.
01:04:33.700 If you had a contest and it was Elon Musk versus Claire McCaskill, and you could pick
01:04:41.260 any competition, it could be science, it could be engineering, it could be surgery, it could
01:04:51.600 be something about space or satellites, it could be any kind of objective academic test.
01:04:59.280 It could be a test about history, spelling, math.
01:05:05.660 It could be a test of physical capability.
01:05:11.100 I believe he could outrun her, lift more than she could, and beat her at literally any contest
01:05:19.580 in any domain.
01:05:20.840 Any contest in any domain.
01:05:26.480 I think he could beat her at Scrabble.
01:05:29.240 I think he could beat her at cards. 0.99
01:05:31.500 And so when I see Claire McCaskill, the dumbest person on MSNBC, the dumbest network in the 0.99
01:05:39.980 world, saying that the smartest person in the world can't figure out one of the easiest 0.99
01:05:45.440 things to figure out, how to get people to vote.
01:05:47.560 It's like, it's like my dog evaluating my, you know, my calculus.
01:05:54.400 It's like, you know, I'm doing some calculus and Snickers will be there. 1.00
01:05:58.660 No, idiot. 1.00
01:06:00.500 I'd be like, what are you talking about? 1.00
01:06:02.480 And Snickers will say, well, that's not right. 0.96
01:06:04.400 And I'll say, but you're a dog. 0.99
01:06:05.580 You don't even know calculus. 1.00
01:06:07.300 I'd say, I know more calculus than you do.
01:06:09.820 No, you don't. 1.00
01:06:10.660 You're a dog. 0.97
01:06:11.880 You're my dog. 0.99
01:06:12.700 You don't know any calculus.
01:06:14.300 Well, we'll see.
01:06:15.120 That's what it feels like.
01:06:19.000 Meanwhile, there's a story that there are not enough ballots available for our military
01:06:24.580 overseas.
01:06:25.480 I suspect this might be close to fake news.
01:06:28.880 There might be some places where somebody didn't know what room they were in.
01:06:32.460 There might be some places where they didn't get them in time.
01:06:35.480 I don't know if it's a massive problem, but it's, I'll throw it in the mix.
01:06:39.600 People are worried that the military didn't get enough.
01:06:41.660 Now, I'd be worried about it because the military, I would think, would go for Trump.
01:06:46.380 So if they somehow figured out a way to screw the military from voting on time, that would
01:06:53.580 be a big problem.
01:06:56.340 I mean, if the military is over there risking their lives for the country, and hypothetically,
01:07:03.160 if Democrats slowed down their process for voting so maybe it didn't work, that would be 0.94
01:07:09.400 one of the biggest scandals in the country, just because it would be so gross.
01:07:14.360 It's like, really?
01:07:15.640 Of all the people you're going to screw in at voting, you're going to pick the military?
01:07:21.160 Really?
01:07:22.800 Now, so I have a hard time believing they would do it just because my brain can't get to that
01:07:28.060 level of evil.
01:07:28.820 But they've done more evil things than that.
01:07:31.500 So nothing, nothing's ruled out.
01:07:35.480 Washington State, there's a nonprofit that claims that ballot signature verification is
01:07:42.220 racist.
01:07:43.800 Post Millennial is writing about this.
01:07:46.300 So why would requiring ballot signature verification be racist?
01:07:51.640 Well, the thought is that I guess white people can sign their name the same way twice.
01:07:59.060 But according to this nonprofit, people who are not white are not so good at signing their
01:08:04.880 own name so that sometimes it would look like a fake signature when, in fact, it was real.
01:08:10.640 Now, I don't know how many people can't sign their own name, but it feels like not a lot.
01:08:15.800 But they had a better argument for older voters.
01:08:21.540 There might be some old people whose signatures have changed.
01:08:24.740 That happened to me.
01:08:25.900 My signature is not the same because I had a problem with my hand.
01:08:29.360 And they say that young people maybe haven't solidified their signature yet, so young people
01:08:35.180 might be discriminated against.
01:08:37.260 But I'd love to see the people who are actually checking the handwriting because I've got a feeling
01:08:42.240 that they let differences in the signature that are pretty big go by if there's at least
01:08:50.080 something in common.
01:08:52.460 That's what I guess.
01:08:54.440 So if the signature doesn't look anything like the same person, then maybe they block it.
01:09:00.280 But if it looks like somebody just got older, I don't know.
01:09:04.400 I feel like they might let that go.
01:09:06.740 I'd be interested how accurate they are at signature checks.
01:09:10.800 Okay.
01:09:12.240 Meanwhile, some Obama judge in Arizona said that Arizona must turn over the records of
01:09:22.160 1.2 million inactive voters so that they can be checked against who voted, except they're
01:09:28.640 not going to have access to it until after the election.
01:09:36.260 So we'll be able to check if the election was rigged, but not until it's too late.
01:09:42.240 It'll probably be certified by the time they work anything out.
01:09:47.500 All right.
01:09:49.880 So we see reporting that both sides, Democrats and Republicans, are making plans for what
01:09:58.040 happens if the other side claims that the election is rigged.
01:10:03.120 And that will happen.
01:10:04.360 I think there's nearly 100% chance that both sides will claim it was rigged.
01:10:10.700 Don't you?
01:10:11.780 If Trump wins by a landslide, we've got the best chance of getting past it, but it won't
01:10:18.780 stop people from saying it's rigged.
01:10:20.760 They're still going to say it's rigged.
01:10:22.340 They'll just say, well, you rigged the landslide, but you rigged it.
01:10:28.100 So, and they'll blame, they're already blaming Russia.
01:10:30.500 By the way, the CISA woman, the one that Ian Bremmer said would make me feel more comfortable 0.99
01:10:38.660 with the elections, she kept going to Russia as the problem, and that Russia, Russia, Russia
01:10:44.300 is trying to influence our elections.
01:10:47.600 How much credibility did the CISA woman get when she started moving the conversation always 0.99
01:10:54.780 to Russia, interfering with our elections?
01:10:56.660 No credibility.
01:10:59.160 As soon as you start talking like that, I go, oh, okay, you're one of them.
01:11:03.340 You're not really on our team.
01:11:05.780 You're just saying stuff.
01:11:09.080 So, yes, there will be big trouble.
01:11:13.360 I think it's all handleable.
01:11:15.120 I think that everything that's coming is within our ability to manage.
01:11:19.060 So, if you're worried about, oh, no, will everything fall apart?
01:11:23.020 Society will disintegrate?
01:11:25.040 It won't.
01:11:25.520 The basic bones of the country are still way strong enough, so we'll be fine.
01:11:32.940 Just we might miss some deadlines or something.
01:11:37.100 Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's company, is sitting on an unprecedented amount of cash.
01:11:44.400 They sold a lot, but not all of their Apple stock, and they have $325 billion in cash that's
01:11:51.320 unallocated.
01:11:52.000 Now, if you know anything about Warren Buffett, you know that he doesn't love to have lots
01:11:57.940 of cash unless he thinks the stock market is not a good deal.
01:12:01.840 But there's a lot going on.
01:12:04.720 I don't think he's sold just because of the elections.
01:12:08.880 I don't think so.
01:12:10.500 I think that he may have some big plan.
01:12:13.580 I would note that the entire economy is going to require nuclear energy and AI and robots.
01:12:22.620 As far as I know, Warren Buffett was not in AI or robots or nuclear power much.
01:12:33.780 They might have had some hands in it.
01:12:35.420 So it could be that Warren Buffett, I'm just speculating, just guessing, knows that the
01:12:41.800 future economy will not look anything like the current economy.
01:12:45.300 And it's going to be power, mostly nuclear.
01:12:49.700 It's going to be AI.
01:12:50.980 It's going to be robots.
01:12:51.980 It's going to be self-driving cars.
01:12:53.520 So he might need to just make sure he's got a big old ton of money in those things that'll
01:12:59.680 be the future.
01:13:00.720 So he may be looking at buying a company, for example.
01:13:02.900 So he could be looking at, I don't know what he would buy, but $325 billion will get you
01:13:10.860 quite a bit.
01:13:12.980 Meanwhile, over in the Middle East, the IDF, Israeli Defense Forces, say they're slowing
01:13:21.980 down the ground operations in southern Lebanon and that Netanyahu is seeking a diplomatic
01:13:28.660 agreement to secure their northern borders.
01:13:31.440 Now, of course, if they could get some kind of security for cheap, I'm sure they'd like
01:13:38.820 it.
01:13:39.300 The other way to do it would be to just destroy Lebanon, which if they had to, I think they'll 1.00
01:13:47.080 do it.
01:13:47.900 So they're in a good negotiating position because it's pretty clear that they're not going to
01:13:52.220 stop until they get security.
01:13:54.720 And they don't have it now.
01:13:57.060 So if there's nobody willing to negotiate it in a way that would make them happy, I think
01:14:02.620 you could count on them continuing on until there's nothing left that's at risk.
01:14:08.520 But the other possibility is they're just stalling and waiting for Trump to get in office under
01:14:14.400 the theory that if Trump's in office, Israel will look like he has more backing, maybe, and
01:14:20.480 would be more able to get a good deal.
01:14:23.700 So it could be they just want to keep their options open until Trump's there because they
01:14:29.400 can get a better outcome.
01:14:31.920 Maybe.
01:14:33.220 We shall see.
01:14:35.460 Well, that, ladies and gentlemen, is all I had for today.
01:14:38.740 How are you feeling about tomorrow?
01:14:40.420 I'm sure you've all voted.
01:14:41.580 Maybe some of you are going tomorrow.
01:14:44.980 But I'll double down on my prediction.
01:14:49.860 I think Trump's going to win on votes.
01:14:52.580 I don't think that necessarily means he's president.
01:14:55.820 So it's going to be a pretty big fight.
01:14:57.880 I do think he'll win in the end.
01:15:01.120 But it's going to be a hell of a fight.
01:15:03.080 And I think we'll miss some deadlines.
01:15:04.920 I'm not sure that January 6th will be certified.
01:15:07.460 I'm not sure that anybody will be put in office on January 20th.
01:15:13.300 But maybe by the end of January, maybe there's a court case.
01:15:17.680 Maybe somebody concedes.
01:15:20.600 We'll get there.
01:15:23.260 We will get there.
01:15:24.640 We'll be fine.
01:15:27.020 I mean, like I told you, everything in the country is already corrupt.
01:15:29.980 But we're still bumping along.
01:15:33.640 So I think it'll be just more of that.
01:15:35.320 But I'm going to talk to the locals people privately.
01:15:41.660 And thanks for watching on X and Rumble and YouTube.
01:15:48.360 Remember to get the Dilbert calendar only at the link at Dilbert.com.
01:15:54.160 All right.
01:15:54.880 Locals people coming at you.
01:15:56.240 Yeah.