Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2655 CWSA 11⧸10⧸24

00:00:00.000 on pictures all right we're going to put up some comments here and before you know it

00:00:06.160 we're going to have the show of all shows

00:00:10.480 good morning paul

00:00:21.120 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

00:00:31.680 this might be the best time you've ever had in your whole life but if you'd like to take this

00:00:38.260 experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need

00:00:44.000 is a cup or mug or a glass a tanker chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind

00:00:49.680 fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:55.140 the dopamine of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip

00:01:02.400 oh digging deep for that one oh sometimes you like it sometimes you need it

00:01:14.120 all right so how many of you watched saturday night live or saw the clips

00:01:21.740 in which the cast tried to deal with the issue of donald trump being elected president

00:01:28.340 and uh it apparently took all the humor out of them

00:01:33.680 they're having a tough time with it so it doesn't look to me

00:01:39.120 like they're gonna be too happy um bill burr was the uh was the special guest what he called the

00:01:47.700 host of the show and uh gotta say he didn't land it this time so it's difficult watching them try to

00:01:56.960 adjust um and you get the feeling that they don't they don't get it yet it's like saturday night hasn't

00:02:04.960 figured out that it's the majority and they have some more thinking to do but they'll get there

00:02:13.120 there's a company uh let's see it's called ihmc if they've got a robot they're making nadia

00:02:22.540 they can open doors so it can play ping pong and it can open doors

00:02:28.220 that's really all i need i i feel like i'm ready to make the plunge and get this robot

00:02:36.080 what can it do it can open a door cool and it can play ping pong do you know that's more than most

00:02:45.260 of my friends can do i mean they can all open doors well most of them but not many of them can

00:02:52.460 play ping pong you put those two things together and i'm like oh i think i just made a friend

00:02:57.820 i've got a ping pong table sitting in my garage and i'm just waiting to find somebody who likes

00:03:03.500 ping pong as much as i do to use that thing i need a ping pong robot like actually legitimately

00:03:12.160 no joking no hyperbole if i could buy a robot that could open a door to simply go where the ping pong

00:03:20.680 is and go recharge itself when it's done and it could play ping pong

00:03:27.640 i would buy that right now it doesn't need to do anything else i don't need it to talk to me

00:03:31.880 i don't need it to tell me the weather just play ping pong

00:03:37.000 anyway according to robo daily there's another robot that is learning by observing people cleaning

00:03:46.120 so they have a human using a sponge to clean the sink and then the robot will generalize that skill

00:03:53.480 to cleaning pots and pans and stuff now here's my problem with this story this story was today do you

00:04:03.000 know how long ago it was the first time i saw a video of a robot folding laundry and and it would teach

00:04:10.200 all the other robots how to fold laundry because once they could do it they'd all all know how to do

00:04:15.080 it 20 years ago i think it was literally 20 years ago i watched a robot that had been trained to fold

00:04:26.040 laundry and sure enough it was folding laundry right in front of me and then i said well if that robot can

00:04:31.800 fold laundry it's going to be on the market any minute now and there are no robots that can fold laundry

00:04:39.400 on the market and yet the most common demonstration we see is robots folding laundry and yet there are

00:04:48.600 no laundry folding robots do you know why those of you who have worked in the real world explain to me

00:04:56.440 why if robots have been folding laundry for 20 years there's no robot folding laundry i can answer this

00:05:06.920 question while doing no research whatsoever there's no such thing as a robot that can fold laundry

00:05:14.200 and there never has been is there something that you could put on a on a 20-second video that looks

00:05:22.440 like a robot can fold a shirt yes there is yes there is you can totally make a 20-second video where

00:05:29.160 it'll do it right once yep you can do that but no if any time in the last 20 years any one of these

00:05:36.760 fucking robots had been able to to fold a shirt twice you would already have it i would have that

00:05:44.040 robot so fast if it could fold the shirt twice in a row i mean i could put up with a lot of expense

00:05:50.920 and i could put up with a lot of you know okay this shirt's not perfect clearly robots can't fold shirts

00:05:57.560 uh it's starting to be like climate models where it starts out and you say to yourself oh climate

00:06:06.200 model projecting the temperature into the future quite interesting oh it looks like they can do it

00:06:12.680 well look at that they've got a 20-year accurate prediction of the temperature in the future huh

00:06:19.000 wow i guess science can do lots of things and look there's a video of a robot folding a shirt

00:06:24.360 no your robot can't fold a shirt i don't know if it ever will and if you and if you think i believe

00:06:33.240 that this robot can play ping pong no i don't believe the robot can play ping pong i don't believe

00:06:38.840 anything about any of the robots let me just take a stand every thing you see that a robot can do

00:06:45.880 is a lie they can't do any of the things that i i tell you about every day if they could

00:06:53.080 they'd already be in the market it's obvious they can't do these these are they're all in demo mode

00:06:58.360 and you know they can do three things right at a 10 or whatever it is but uh the the amount of the

00:07:04.680 robot we're gonna see oh look here's a robot that's you know cleaning a toilet once

00:07:11.480 all right so enough of my dunking on robots they had it coming though

00:07:21.400 there's a according to side post there's a big study that says

00:07:25.160 that there's a big decline in people wanting to stand out

00:07:31.240 are you surprised about that that people are afraid of standing out

00:07:35.480 have you heard of social media if you stand out you're gonna get savaged you don't want to stand

00:07:49.480 out yeah no i get it it used to be this standing out meant the people in your high school you know

00:07:56.760 thought you were unique but now standing out means you can't get a job like ever because it's on your

00:08:03.480 social media feed now maybe uh maybe there's a really good reason people don't want to stand

00:08:09.400 out it's just not safe half of the world will hate you if you show an opinion

00:08:16.200 well we we have some reporting now that josh shapiro governor of pennsylvania

00:08:23.640 is the one who turned down harris so if you say to yourself oh that harris made a big mistake

00:08:29.800 she should have picked josh shapiro and then she would have won nope well first of all she wouldn't

00:08:36.600 have won because she picked josh shapiro it's pretty obvious that trump was going to win either way

00:08:42.600 but it turns out shapiro turned her down do you know that makes me think of josh shapiro

00:08:51.560 it makes me like him because i'm thinking to myself oh wow he was smart enough to know that was a

00:08:57.720 a death trap it was a death trap it was basically a political death trap but now he's keeping his

00:09:05.240 powder dry and if he wants to run for president he's fresh and he turned down harris and you say to

00:09:11.720 yourself well i don't like a democrat perhaps but he did turn down harris so he's got that going for him

00:09:20.760 so so so far the thing we know is that josh shapiro is smart uh i'm not sure i trust him so trust would

00:09:30.360 be a whole different dimension but he's clearly smart he's clearly smart uh do you remember alan

00:09:38.200 lickman he was that uh quirky sciency kind of guy who said he had 13 keys that would accurately tell

00:09:48.040 you who was going to be president and it works every time do you remember him and this time he

00:09:55.000 came out and he showed his 13 keys and he said it's showing that harris is going to win do you remember

00:10:01.000 what i said i debunked him i said you're not even interpreting your own keys right he had 13 things and

00:10:10.040 you could just look at him and say well you're not even looking what race are you looking at you're not

00:10:14.920 even interpreting your own signals right like obviously like everybody who looked at it said

00:10:20.600 are is there something wrong with you your your own signals are actually pointing the other way but

00:10:26.840 you're saying they're pointing this way because there's a lot of subjective subjectivity in it um and

00:10:33.720 he uh he was wrong yeah he was more wrong than us looking at it and saying huh looks like trump's gonna win

00:10:41.640 so there's your science now you might say to me scott i thought that you believed that complex predictive

00:10:51.800 models always work no they never work complex predictive models never work so you might say to me but

00:11:02.520 scott it worked 13 out of 13 times until now to which i say no it didn't if the if the uh signals were

00:11:11.320 subjective it means that the person who decided you know what the signals meant was simply looking at

00:11:17.400 the race and making a smart decision about who was probably going to win so probably the signals

00:11:25.640 had nothing to do with anything it was probably the most likely situation is that alan lichman is really

00:11:32.440 good at knowing who's going to win just looking at everything and then he says oh i'll fit this to my

00:11:38.120 13 or whatever it is i'll fit this to my variables so i've got a feeling that uh he's just really good

00:11:46.120 at knowing who's going to win and then he can you know work backwards to fit it into his model and make

00:11:52.200 it all look like it made sense but you know if there were a million people with a million different

00:11:59.000 models trying to predict who wins every time there would be guaranteed a whole bunch of models that

00:12:07.400 accurately predicted for 50 years in a row but it would be like if the penguin leaves its habitat

00:12:15.800 and turns left that means the democrat will win and you'll find out that the penguin has gotten it

00:12:23.160 right like 50 years in a row but it's because there were a million people doing a million different

00:12:29.160 things to predict the outcome there's going to be a penguin that gets it right right if all the penguins

00:12:34.840 were involved you could expect at least one of them would get it right 50 times in a row

00:12:41.000 well not 50 times in a row but you know what i mean did you hear the tragic story of a man who

00:12:47.800 killed himself his wife and his two sons over trump winning uh anthony nephew is his name now that's

00:12:54.920 about as tragic as you could possibly get but uh i would like to point out two things they showed the

00:13:01.640 picture of the the dad the one who killed the rest of the family and himself and he had what could only

00:13:08.200 be called and i'm introducing a new term msnbc eyes you have to see his picture just look at his eyes

00:13:21.080 and tell me that you don't see the problem oh okay so on locals they're already posting the picture so

00:13:27.400 you can see the eyes he has msnbc eyes did you know what i mean when you see uh like joy reed talking

00:13:37.240 to rachel maddow and you look in their eyes and you're like what is wrong with you two you look like

00:13:44.360 you have severe mental illness and then you look at this guy you go oh i've seen those eyes before

00:13:50.440 yeah msnbc so i do believe that the eyes suggest that somebody is existing in this reality but their

00:14:00.920 mind is concocting a different reality so very much like the the murderer the people on msnbc are simply

00:14:10.040 experiencing a reality that's not matching the one that their bodies in and it's got to be pretty

00:14:16.680 distressing if you're in that situation this is a genuine uh major major medical problem so don't

00:14:25.480 let me convince you that this is a joke topic it's not these are real people who are dead and here's

00:14:34.680 what's missing in the story do you know what is not in any of these stories about this tragic event

00:14:41.080 who's who's to blame now our legal system clearly says the father who did the killing is the blame

00:14:50.440 and i understand that but do you think he came up with these ideas on his own do you think he was

00:14:56.680 sitting there in a darkened room and said wait a minute i think trump is iller i better kill my whole

00:15:03.400 family because it's better for them in the long run nope no he was hypnotized brainwashed subject

00:15:10.920 propaganda and because of where his mind was at which was a weakened state it looks like

00:15:17.720 he was turned into a murder of the worst possible kind his own family now that is absolutely a product

00:15:25.800 of media propaganda would you all agree that that's a that's a perfectly safe statement i don't have to be

00:15:32.680 the doctor i don't have to be his therapist it's pretty obvious if you killed your family over trump

00:15:38.920 it's because the media told you something that was ridiculously untrue so this is on the media

00:15:47.160 and you'll never see the media say oh maybe we went too far we talked somebody into killing his whole

00:15:52.280 family now our as i said our system is designed and i think this is a good design it's just nothing's

00:16:02.680 perfect it's a good design to say that the only person who goes to jail that's the shooter so i'm

00:16:09.160 i'm not saying you should extend that to the brainwashers there's just no way you can make that work

00:16:15.080 but it is the story if you're not in court and trying to put somebody in jail you should be able to talk

00:16:21.320 about it it's obvious he didn't get that way on his own he was he was moved in that direction by uh

00:16:29.480 pretty evil forces that's the story well meanwhile you know this rfk junior wants to get rid of the

00:16:38.120 fluoride in our water sources says he'll do that right away trump has not weighed in on that except to

00:16:45.320 say he's open to that conversation basically so trump's open to it but he doesn't sound like he's

00:16:51.400 looked into it much now the hill does a little story about this and it never shows both sides of the

00:17:00.920 topic and i thought to myself how can you do how can you do a story that rfk junior says the fluoride's

00:17:08.600 dangerous but other people say it's not dangerous and then the only side you show is the side that

00:17:16.760 shows it's not dangerous don't you think so the the only thing that they uh smear kennedy with is that

00:17:26.840 it's true that if you had too much fluoride you know much more than it would be in our water source

00:17:32.040 that that could be bad for health so everybody agrees if you overdose on it it's bad for health

00:17:38.600 but do you think that's what rfk junior is talking about do you think that his concern is the overdose

00:17:45.880 amount no do you think that there is no study whatsoever that rfk juniors looked at to decide

00:17:53.880 that fluoride's a bad idea of course there is why why would that be mentioned in the article

00:18:01.000 why would the article only say the world health organization says it's safe or some other big

00:18:07.000 organizations so basically you get a story that says that the same entities that gave us the

00:18:13.240 covid pandemic say fluoride's perfectly safe and then i'm looking for the part where the part you expect

00:18:20.440 to find is but rfk junior has looked at this study and this study and they indicate you know that there's a

00:18:29.000 problem so if these studies are correct then rfk junior is correct right or or or if there are no

00:18:39.400 studies that show that fluoride in the water is dangerous they should say that there are no studies

00:18:47.320 but all the people who have studied it say it's safe now that would be a story that's that tells me oh

00:18:53.800 rfk junior might be a little crackpot then huh but if you don't say anything about how rfk junior came

00:19:02.040 to this opinion he didn't just sit in a darkened room and make it up again you know it's it's like

00:19:10.200 the guy who murdered his family he didn't sit in a darkened room and just come up with that idea

00:19:15.080 rfk junior didn't just he wasn't sitting alone one day and think fluoride it's dangerous and then when

00:19:22.200 he looked into it it was only massive overdoses of it were dangerous and then he thought i think

00:19:28.200 i'll extend this to all fluoride in the water is dangerous is that what happened i don't think that's

00:19:34.120 what happened so but if you read a you know the hill it just looks like he's a kook but boy yeah once

00:19:44.840 you learn to read between the lines and see what's missing you know that's the most the most valuable skill

00:19:51.480 is to read a story that's about politics or in the news and just see what's obviously missing

00:19:58.120 what's obviously missing is why does rfk junior have this opinion

00:20:04.280 it's a story about his opinion and they leave out the part why he has that opinion

00:20:10.120 that is that's it's the height of irresponsibility now by the way i don't have a personal opinion on

00:20:15.720 fluoride do you know why because i keep reading this story and it never tells me why rfk junior

00:20:24.040 thinks it's dangerous not once not once have i seen his source do you think he has no source

00:20:31.800 of course he has sources of course he does but the news just acts like it doesn't exist now i don't know

00:20:39.560 know if his sources are good that's a that's another story and worthy of investigation

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00:21:46.360 responsibly well more magic is happening investor bill ackman was asked on x if he'd ever be interested

00:21:55.640 in joining elon musk in the department of government efficiency and ackman said yes

00:22:02.280 what there's almost so much golden age of goodness happening that it's hard to it's hard to hold it

00:22:12.280 all in my head but are you kidding me the the level of brilliance and capability that's being attracted

00:22:20.760 to the trump campaign i here's what i think is the magic and i've been saying it forever and the mainstream

00:22:29.080 media has been telling you the opposite so it's been hidden for a few years but now i think the

00:22:34.120 the answer i think the secret's out and the secret goes like this trump actually looks to

00:22:41.880 the public the voters and experts in all fields even the ones that might be disagreeing with the

00:22:48.360 mainstream experts he he has a very wide scope of what he's looking at and then he tries to pick the

00:22:56.680 best ideas out of it and sometimes makes him fight it out for supremacy until you know somebody wins but

00:23:04.360 i like everything about that so why would a bill actman say yes to this one reason one reason only

00:23:13.720 because he would trust that trump would take good advice

00:23:18.520 have you ever heard anybody say trump refused to take good advice i've never heard that you would

00:23:27.880 think that would be a thing that you would hear you know sort of a natural um criticism if he didn't

00:23:35.000 but clearly trump is taking good advice from elon musk clearly he's taking advice from you know the vague and

00:23:43.320 probably tulsi and you know you you can see that trump is absorbing the goodness from the best people

00:23:51.640 you know the smartest best most informed most patriotic people he he's basically a creature of their

00:23:59.640 of their creativity at this point now he's of course you know a unique character in history there's nobody

00:24:05.720 like him but he is he's powering up or he's energizing through the through the capabilities of

00:24:15.080 some of the most capable people in the country so yeah if you can start attracting somebody like bill

00:24:21.640 ackman to not just uh endorse him but say he'd stop doing what he's doing and spend time on this

00:24:29.880 that's as good as it gets but that that's like this is this is now the gold standard of how i want my

00:24:37.720 government to operate yeah let me just say this here's the gold standard the gold standard is your

00:24:45.240 president says we got you know these fair these various problems one of them is the government spends too

00:24:51.400 much money then the citizens say hey i'm uh really good at this how about i do it for free and i'll go

00:25:01.560 help you solve the biggest problem there is can you beat that how do you beat that that that's that's the

00:25:10.520 government that beats every other government if the government becomes a coach where they can recruit

00:25:17.480 the best players and it's not about who donated the most or any of that stuff it's just the people

00:25:23.000 who wanted to join because they're really good at it yeah bill ackman looking for inefficiencies in

00:25:29.240 the system yes please i'll take that all day long all right so that's pretty golden agey loving that

00:25:40.360 um apparently climate change didn't have much influence on the election now trump's called it a

00:25:48.520 hoax and of course the democrats say it's the most important thing but my observation was the democrats

00:25:54.920 didn't push climate change is it because they knew it was a losing message because it because i don't know

00:26:03.800 that it's a losing message it seems like at least if they want to keep their base

00:26:07.960 it might be a strong one but maybe it doesn't get any undecideds that could be the problem now how is

00:26:15.800 that possible so i think there's a little bit of a mystery to this is is it true well let me take a

00:26:23.400 hypothesis i i think if if we had not experienced the the pandemic if we'd never had the pandemic with all

00:26:33.720 the lying from the experts i think the climate change argument would look five times stronger

00:26:40.920 than it is today but once we saw that they could lie to us about our health about a about a needle

00:26:47.160 that's going in your arm about a mask you're putting on your face they lied to us about that and all of them

00:26:53.880 and we saw that getting 98 of the experts to be on one side meant nothing it meant nothing that all

00:27:02.440 the experts were on the same side and that really is the only argument for climate change all the

00:27:07.560 experts are on the same side now i'm exaggerating it's not all the experts but the argument was that

00:27:14.040 you know the largest body of experts were on one side the pandemic destroyed that

00:27:19.480 uh there's no argument if your only argument is the experts seem to be way you know weighted in one

00:27:26.920 direction that ends up rounding to zero it doesn't have any value in my opinion as currently no value

00:27:35.320 at all none it's not even slightly leading me in that direction it used to even a few years ago i would

00:27:42.840 have said well if so many people think it's true that's got to be worth something and it's not

00:27:49.320 it's actually worth nothing it might even be it might even be an anti-signal where if 98 are saying

00:27:57.000 but they can't prove it to you but 98 are saying it that might be just a signal it's not true going

00:28:03.640 forward i mean i'm definitely going to treat it that way like if i see another one of these well we can't

00:28:09.960 prove it to you in a way that you as a citizen would accept that it's been proven but we all have bosses

00:28:17.400 and there's one right answer and we're all we're all saying the right answer if you see that situation

00:28:25.960 again and by the way that's exactly climate change you know you can't trust it doesn't mean they're

00:28:31.720 wrong they might be right this time but you wouldn't trust it automatically so i'm not too surprised and of

00:28:39.080 the gas prices and the price of eggs are more immediate than climate change so it could be

00:28:44.120 nothing but the immediacy of it versus the the timing of other things well trump has now officially

00:28:51.640 won all seven swing states he's got arizona now what are you going to think about the system if trump

00:28:59.960 wins arizona but kerry lake doesn't because i think she might still be just a little bit behind in her

00:29:07.000 in her race would that make you think there's some some manipulation going on i think it's possible

00:29:18.360 it's within the realm of possibility that trump would get more votes but given that kerry lake is

00:29:28.600 correct me if i'm wrong but isn't she as close as you can get to a female trump

00:29:33.960 meaning that she's fully on board with his policies she's a great communicator you know has the charisma

00:29:40.360 has the the power of the energy um how do you how do you vote for trump and then not kerry lake

00:29:49.240 who exactly is watching what news that you would even ever come up with that idea

00:29:53.240 that you take trump and then the other guy i don't know depending on the numbers you know if it looks

00:30:04.760 like it would have been close no matter what then we're not going to know anything but uh if there

00:30:11.800 was one place that i wanted to see maybe a recount and you know put the maximum amount of attention on it

00:30:18.440 and and really for the benefit of the the country you know i would prefer that kerry lake wins her her

00:30:28.040 race so on that level you know i have a self-interest

00:30:32.680 but beyond that don't you all want to know that the race was fair and isn't this the one place you

00:30:40.440 think if i had to look for a problem i would look here this is the first place i'd look

00:30:48.280 so i think that the republicans need to focus all of their uh resources there at the moment

00:30:58.200 because the public needs to know we need to know so and by the way why do you think there was no

00:31:04.040 cheating this time or there were no there were no oversized claims of cheating you know there were

00:31:09.960 little things that came up but uh according to uh uh brianna lyman in the federalist it could be

00:31:19.240 and and i'm open to this hypothesis but i don't think it's proven that the reason that uh it didn't

00:31:26.440 look like cheating is that there wasn't and that the reason that there wasn't at least in terms of trump's

00:31:33.000 election and the reason there wasn't is that the uh republicans did such a good job of of yeah the

00:31:39.720 laura trump and the michael whatley did such a good job of organizing the watchers now apparently

00:31:45.960 there are a number of claims and again these are anecdotal you know maybe you're not hearing it

00:31:52.120 right but claims that there were things that the watchers the observers had to fix on the spot

00:32:01.320 so there was one claim of some sealed machines that became unsealed and nobody knew why but the

00:32:06.280 observers caught it and so that might be the source there might be a recount there um there's other

00:32:12.280 other claims that they were going to be barred from watching something but they stopped it and they

00:32:17.400 made sure they were not barred they probably had watchers everywhere that a truck might pull up to a

00:32:23.640 to a landing dock or something i don't know exactly where they were watching but if they had figured out

00:32:30.280 all the places they should be watching and they watched that could be the reason that there was

00:32:37.640 no cheating or no cheating that we have discovered that is of a scale that would have made a difference

00:32:46.280 do you think that's the whole answer

00:32:50.200 and do you think hypothetically and there's no evidence of this do you think that maybe somebody had

00:32:56.600 i'm seeing a funny meme go by on the local site um all right that was too good that was a good meme

00:33:11.640 anyway it's possible that there was a plan to cheat the plan to cheat was going to kick in at night

00:33:19.880 and then they looked at the count and they said oh shoot if we cheat this much there's no way we get

00:33:28.200 away with it so it could be there was a plan and it didn't get implemented not just because of the

00:33:34.440 observers which would be an extra risk but it could be because of the threats you know trump and the

00:33:41.080 campaign were making threats that you're definitely going to jail if you cheat that may have made a

00:33:46.280 difference um and it could be that just the the natural size of the victory was so big that the

00:33:53.880 cheaters said oh hold off hold off we we can't even cheat this amount it might have been too big to cheat

00:34:00.840 but we'll never know will we you know what the other possibility is the elections were always fair

00:34:10.920 anything's possible because i don't know the answer to why it doesn't look unfair this time

00:34:16.840 that that's a genuine mystery to me i'm i'm of course leaning toward my preferred recreational

00:34:23.960 belief that it's because the the the republicans did such a good job of watching

00:34:29.720 any place that could have been a problem i'd love that to be true you know that's that's my preferred

00:34:35.640 explanation but you know what i can't rule out that they've always been they've always been fair and

00:34:43.240 accurate i can't rule it out it it's not likely it doesn't seem likely in our real world

00:34:51.960 to me it seems like anything that can be cheated that has so much at stake will be cheated

00:34:56.600 it just seems to be obvious it's true of every system everywhere all the time through

00:35:04.200 all of human history so why wouldn't it be true in this case but maybe anything's possible

00:35:12.360 anyway um according to fox news survey more than half of harris voters want to relocate

00:35:18.360 because trump won well that's better than killing your family but um i don't think any of them mean it

00:35:26.200 they might mean it at the moment but they don't really mean it

00:35:28.600 but at least there's one thing that uh the country can agree on because the republicans are saying

00:35:38.280 wait you want to leave the country uh okay uh can i open the door for you can i buy you a ticket

00:35:47.400 so finally unity democrats want to leave the country trump supporters are saying sounds good to me

00:35:56.680 unity

00:36:02.200 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:36:06.760 learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply

00:36:11.800 scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:36:14.920 all right so as you know there's a there's a fight going on for who's going to be speaker of the house

00:36:20.520 and i want to teach you something about reputation you know your reputation is so

00:36:28.280 important to you in ways that you don't realize until maybe years have gone by

00:36:33.640 but here's where reputation really makes a difference the i guess there were three people

00:36:38.200 who were sort of on the short list that might be picked as the speaker of the house

00:36:42.600 and i didn't know much well i didn't know enough about any of them um was it

00:36:49.720 thune and cornyn and rick scott so i said to myself all right well who am i going to trust

00:36:58.360 so i thought i i could think of several people that if they said one of them was the good choice

00:37:05.240 that i would have just said all right i trust you

00:37:10.360 but the first person i saw who endorsed that made a difference was ran paul

00:37:15.160 and ran paul is down for rick scott

00:37:19.720 and here's where reputation is important i'm done i'm done it's rick scott

00:37:28.840 do you know why because ran paul said he'd pick rick scott that's where reputation matters

00:37:37.480 so ran paul by being ran paul and never being anybody but ran paul for however many years he's

00:37:45.960 been around and he'll he'll walk into trouble if he needs to he'll vote against your ass if he needs to

00:37:54.120 he'll say the unpopular thing if he needs to but every time he talks he's still ran paul

00:38:01.800 and that's a good thing so i have so much respect for his opinion and he's obviously closer to all

00:38:07.800 the people that when i see him um endorse i don't really treat ran paul's endorsement like i would treat

00:38:16.040 some other congress person i treat it like it's i'm looking at the truth because that's what he's

00:38:23.000 offered us he's offered us the truth for years so i'll just take your opinion ran paul you you earned

00:38:31.080 that so rick scott i don't know much of anything about him but if ran paul says he's the one to pick

00:38:39.240 of those three i'm on board so let's see if we can make this happen if anybody has a alternate

00:38:47.160 alternative opinion i'll listen to it but uh i i just appreciate that somebody could put their life

00:38:55.800 on the line ran paul literally puts his life on the line for the country you know got he's been

00:39:02.680 attacked twice and uh his credibility is now so high that i'm willing to just take his opinion on who to

00:39:10.680 pick for a speaker of the house and i don't feel like i even need to research it but if you have

00:39:15.080 something that's important let me know all right i saw some random democrat on x say that uh he was

00:39:24.920 mad at trump and said that trump will be taking away hundreds of millions of people's basic rights

00:39:30.200 and so i said like what how are there still people who think trump's going to take their basic rights

00:39:37.960 now of course they come up with things like a uh an abortion ban but trump has said clearly and

00:39:47.400 unambiguously he does not want a national abortion ban indeed not only does he not want an abortion

00:39:55.240 ban but when he talked about florida's law he thought it was too restrictive

00:40:00.120 so do you really think he's for a national ban when he thought florida's law was too restrictive

00:40:09.560 he wanted more you know he wanted a longer time for the woman to still be legally able to get an

00:40:15.800 abortion so where did they come up with these ideas that trump would change his mind

00:40:23.320 from he's always been a little bit of abortion in some cases is good he's always been that he's not

00:40:29.640 going to change his mind on that but you know they worry that he would um

00:40:38.200 and what else is there what are the rights is he taking away then they then they throw in you

00:40:42.680 know birth control and ivf and stuff and trump's completely on their side with all of that always

00:40:48.920 has been what exactly is the rights are taking away from do do they just say that but they don't

00:40:55.800 have anything in mind that do they really think he's gonna round up the the uh the people who just

00:41:04.200 voted him into office trump just got the you know a historically sensational amount of uh minority

00:41:15.560 i'm not even sure if it's minority anymore but uh you know black voters and hispanic voters

00:41:20.840 he's the guy who's gonna round up the same people who just voted for him how does anybody believe

00:41:27.320 that if anything he's gonna double down on being nice to those groups do you know why because they

00:41:34.120 just voted for him of course he is

00:41:43.320 all right so uh i would love to see what the argument is that he's taking away rights i i think

00:41:50.440 they talk about abortion and maybe it went you know the fact that he sent it to the states is such a

00:41:56.120 good argument that it's not about him anymore i don't know what they're up to there's a yale

00:42:03.400 psychologist according to the daily wire who's saying it may be essential for kamala harris voters to cut

00:42:09.320 off trump voting family members for holidays it was essential

00:42:15.800 so yale university chief chief chief psychiatry resident dr amanda calhoun made remarks on msnbc joy

00:42:28.120 reid show of course you may have to cut off here all right so what are you going to do if you go to

00:42:37.400 your holidays and you have the anti-trump people in your family and you know there's going to be a big fight

00:42:44.200 here's my recommendation um and here you can model me they're going to say something like

00:42:52.280 trump's gonna if they say trump's a racist then you point out that he won more of the you know

00:42:59.400 black and brown vote of any republican ever so which is a pretty darn good it's a pretty good argument

00:43:08.920 because what you're saying is are you telling me that black people can't identify a racist like

00:43:15.160 one-third of black people can't even tell no one-third of black people not only can they get an id

00:43:22.520 surprise but they can identify a real racist now the fact that two-thirds of them are voting for

00:43:28.840 democrat it's just because that's their home most people just vote the way they've always voted

00:43:34.920 so two-thirds voting one way doesn't really mean anything but if you can get one-third

00:43:41.480 of the group that never votes republican to suddenly be kind of republican that would suggest the

00:43:48.920 opposite of being a racist that would suggest that people were looking at the same thing you're looking

00:43:55.400 at are saying you know i think we're going to give this guy a chance we've seen four years of him

00:43:59.880 didn't bother us then but here's your here's the kill shot here's how to get out of trouble

00:44:07.880 if your family members say trump is going to take away my rights you ask them which rights they're

00:44:14.200 talking about and then i suggest to you you say this if he tries to take away that right or any of your

00:44:23.000 rights constitutional rights i will join you immediately and trying to fight that

00:44:31.160 because that just takes all the energy out of it if you're right i will join your team immediately

00:44:38.440 and i say that and i mean it i mean it if trump if trump said something that would take away a right

00:44:46.120 that is given to you in the constitution whatever it is uh i'm out i'm completely out of any trump's

00:44:55.400 support if he tries to take away any rights from ordinary people now i'm talking about constitutional

00:45:03.640 rights i'm not talking about you know trans surgeries and stuff like that that's different

00:45:08.040 and a lot of that is state interest not federal so you can join the people who are on the other side

00:45:17.880 and say you know what i i hear your worry i think it's because the media they're the ones

00:45:23.880 making you think there is this risk but in the in the unlikely event that trump tries this or tries to

00:45:31.640 stay in power after his term is over i promise you i'm on your side we will not we will not tolerate

00:45:39.000 a third term under any conditions that's just not the constitution and we will not tolerate the removal

00:45:46.280 of any rights that the constitution grants you so now there may be cases where we think rights should

00:45:53.880 be determined in the states but that's that's not anything to do with trump

00:45:58.040 people will tend to not be mad at you if you're agreeing with them so you can say i agree with

00:46:06.360 you and the moment you're proven right i'm on your team and i will fight harder than you will fight and

00:46:12.760 by the way it is a true statement that if trump tried to take away anybody's constitutional rights

00:46:18.840 he would be hip checked hard by republicans he couldn't get away with that do you think the daily

00:46:25.720 wire would be like oh he wanted to take away some constitutional rights but it's okay because we

00:46:30.920 like him nope nope do you think breitbart would be writing glowing articles if trump was trying to take

00:46:38.280 take away any of your constitutional rights nope not a chance do you think fox news as much as you

00:46:45.480 know a lot of the people on there love him do you think they're going to back him if he's trying to

00:46:50.040 take away a constitutional right if you do then you don't know anything about republicans absolutely

00:46:56.120 nothing it's their basic basic most important thing don't mess with our constitutional rights unless you

00:47:04.680 do it in a constitutionally appropriate way

00:47:09.560 anyway you can definitely be on the same team as the democrats in terms of

00:47:14.040 if uh if they're right about trump being or becoming a monster just tell them you're on their side

00:47:20.920 but not until then until then you want to pursue common sense

00:47:27.560 all right um according to the daily mail tom homan who is likely to be in charge of the border

00:47:36.360 as he was before under trump um he said that trump would use the army to round up and

00:47:42.840 deport the worst of the worst illegal migrants now that's not the arresting part because the army

00:47:47.560 doesn't have authority to arrest people but they might be transporting them safely and they might

00:47:54.200 be building some walls and they might be helpful some way

00:47:59.240 but uh but homan is talking like he's he's definitely gearing up to deport 20 million people

00:48:06.200 now that is the correct thing for him to say in public and it is the correct thing for him to gear up to do

00:48:14.440 because the president got elected saying he would do that

00:48:17.320 that i will tell you again that if they go after if they put most of their resources on the criminals

00:48:26.360 and it takes several years to get all the criminals and they build the wall and they cut down on how

00:48:30.920 many are coming in the ones who are already here and if they end up getting jobs because otherwise they'd

00:48:38.600 probably starve to death um you're not going to care that much three or four years you won't care about

00:48:46.200 the 20 million you'll forget about it entirely but if the criminals are gone

00:48:53.240 you're gonna the the pressure will be off as long as there's not new ones coming in so

00:48:59.480 um i can i can completely agree with having the messaging not match what i think is reality

00:49:06.040 normally i would want the messaging and the reality in the lineup but remember we're trying to persuade

00:49:11.880 other countries don't come here so if you're trying to persuade other countries to not send people

00:49:17.800 here this is the way to do it this is the exact way to do it we're going to round up all 20 million of

00:49:24.600 you with our our military that is the right message what you actually do with your military and who you

00:49:33.480 start with and how far you go that's really a separate question and i think you can play that by ear

00:49:41.560 anyway um so the trump effect is definitely strong unless there's a bunch of coincidences

00:49:48.120 but you probably heard that cutter the country of qatar as you call it i call it cutter because then

00:49:53.320 it makes me sound smarter um says that hamas is no longer welcome to use their country as a safe space

00:50:00.680 that seems like a pretty big deal then also bright bar news is reporting that the european union chief

00:50:11.800 is looking to replace russia lng gas with american gas and apparently that comes after a phone call with

00:50:20.760 trump and now if you heard that story and you said oh the european union wants to buy more american gas

00:50:28.600 instead of russian gas and it's because there was a phone call with trump now if i hear that story i

00:50:36.280 say to myself well i'll bet those are not connected i'll bet it was just you know winter's coming they're

00:50:42.680 looking for a good deal buying some more more of our gas they had a phone call with trump so we were

00:50:49.880 just trying to connect these two things that weren't related turns out they're totally related

00:50:57.640 and and this is uh so the eu eu president said uh that that they wanted to build good relations with

00:51:05.000 the incoming trump administration from the very beginning and absolutely the european union is

00:51:11.160 saying uh we're going to buy more gas from you because we want to suck up to you president trump

00:51:16.040 they're saying it directly so you don't even have to wonder is that a trump effect yup yup they just said

00:51:24.840 it's a trump effect we're gonna we're gonna buy more gas from you because trump's your president

00:51:30.680 okay add that to the gdp

00:51:37.480 trump has announced that he would not be considering for his uh new administration nikki haley or mike pompeo

00:51:44.840 i think that was pretty smart of him new york post is reporting this um and it's not just because

00:51:52.360 i think they don't fit in his administration even though i don't think they would fit i people are

00:51:58.920 talking about it too much so you know he could just take it off the table it's a distraction

00:52:06.600 and i think that was good because there was a lot of heated conversation about those two names and if

00:52:11.800 he's already ruled them out and i think that's fair let's take it off the table good move

00:52:21.880 uh according to the new york post nancy pelosi isn't too happy with bernie sanders

00:52:28.760 and you know bernie criticized the democrat party for not paying attention to the working class so much

00:52:36.040 and pelosi uh said that she doesn't respect him for saying that now do you notice how that answer

00:52:45.880 plays i don't respect him for saying that

00:52:53.160 the democrats don't have any idea what the problem is do they

00:52:57.400 let me say how you should say this if you would like to have unity in the democrat party

00:53:01.800 i don't agree with senator senators but i certainly respect his ability to you know i respect his

00:53:09.400 opinion but i don't agree with it in this case she actually said i don't respect him

00:53:17.000 that's the very thing that republicans are so triggered by it's like why are you talking about us

00:53:23.640 like we want to talk about policies and what's good for the country but you're talking about us

00:53:28.120 us stop talking about us right if if if there's any person in public who's you know maligning another

00:53:37.160 human being uh maybe you should do more policy stuff we could use that so even even when they're

00:53:44.280 just talking to each other they're modeling what they get wrong which is making it about the person

00:53:49.800 anyway there's a a lot of after election thinking about what went wrong and what worked and a lot of

00:53:59.320 people are saying that trump's anti-trans uh funding of transitioning in prisons specifically

00:54:07.800 that his commercials about that were really effective do you think that's true or could be known by the

00:54:15.640 the data that we have do you think we could even know if that's the case that those commercials made

00:54:21.720 the biggest difference because i've not yet heard anybody who said they changed the vote because of it

00:54:28.200 i mean i i do get that it's really visual so here's here's a sort of a persuasion lesson

00:54:36.280 there are very few you don't have to have an actual picture to be visual if you can make the

00:54:41.080 picture in somebody's head it's visual enough so if you're talking about prisoners in jail everybody

00:54:46.840 can picture that really clearly if you're talking about that pick that prisoner who's clearly looking

00:54:52.440 male in your imagination and they're asking for a sex change operation suddenly you're like you're

00:54:58.600 thinking about their their balls literally and you're thinking about what they do after that and

00:55:04.440 you think about oh my god are they gonna be transferred to the women's prison and so there's

00:55:08.520 this whole movie that's created in your mind it's all visual and it's all dark so it certainly makes

00:55:16.840 sense that that kind of message would be persuasive but on the other hand i don't think a single person

00:55:25.720 has mentioned it as a reason for their vote now a lot of people have said i'm sure other people were

00:55:32.680 influenced by it but i was already you know going to vote for trump but i think other people were

00:55:37.160 influenced by it i don't know how would you really know so i have i would wait on this one i think

00:55:45.400 it's very possible that it did make a difference but i don't know they changed minds maybe it got a few

00:55:53.640 extra people to go vote i don't know so i would be skeptical of all explanations of what worked i heard

00:56:03.480 this about the movie business years ago that always stuck with me that when if you make a movie in

00:56:10.200 hollywood and it works and everybody loves it it's a big hit then all the critics will say that all the

00:56:17.960 parts were good so if something's like a great movie what you never hear is wow it's a great movie

00:56:24.360 despite the bad casting or that the costumes were crap but you know still overall it worked

00:56:31.080 they don't if something works they say everything worked casting was great the costumes the writing

00:56:38.920 that editing the producing it was all terrific the sound man and there's there's something like a you

00:56:45.400 know a glow to success um but i think you've got the same problem with the election trump won and he won

00:56:54.280 big like a hit movie so like the hit movie we look at everything that trump did and we say oh the ads

00:57:02.600 were great his his campaign was great his messaging was great his opponent was weak so if you know it's

00:57:11.960 not true with the movie and the movie is a pretty good analogy it's like it's a winning thing and then you

00:57:17.960 think all the components must be winners too uh i think we don't exactly know what happened

00:57:26.040 and maybe we never will it could be that it was the accumulation of a whole bunch of things

00:57:34.520 it could be it was it was nothing but the pendulum we had simply gone too long in one direction

00:57:40.680 and the country just said ah that's enough that's the pendulum it could be there was almost no

00:57:47.800 thinking whatsoever it's just we knew we were going too far off whatever all of us thought were normal

00:57:53.400 and we thought we can't go that far past normal so let's pull it back a little bit could be that

00:57:59.640 there was almost no thinking involved it was just an adjust you know an adjustment back to the norm

00:58:05.880 could be and um if if i had to if i had to break it down and pick maybe my top three and again this is

00:58:17.640 conflicting with my opinion that we'll never know and maybe it was just a lot of things

00:58:22.040 i would say number one uh trump's campaign was about the best campaign you'll ever see in your life

00:58:31.720 unbelievably good and good vice president just really everything it was just amazingly good at the

00:58:38.200 same time the first biden campaign and then kamala harris i think one of the worst so you're comparing

00:58:47.000 one of the best campaigns and the most influential candidates of all time against the worst campaign

00:58:54.680 and one of the worst candidates of all time so if you didn't know anything except you were running the

00:59:02.280 best candidate of all time against the worst candidate of all time you shouldn't have to overthink that right

00:59:13.640 do you need to get into the weeds well we ran the worst candidate against the best candidate

00:59:18.680 you mean the what the best ones that could have run this year yes but also the best and the worst

00:59:27.240 of all time of all time so it's hard to imagine that anything but cheating could have made it going

00:59:35.320 in any other direction but i will say that the uh the fine people hoax and having that pop probably made a

00:59:45.000 big difference i think that living through the pandemic made people much more skeptical about

00:59:50.760 everything i think that the trans stuff being promoted to the most important thing that we have to talk

00:59:57.560 about all day long drove everybody who wasn't trans or a best friend with a trans person

01:00:03.960 fucking crazy now how many of you wondered why i who like to talk about all things politics and the

01:00:14.520 trans thing was one of the biggest things in the news have you ever wondered why i talked about it so

01:00:19.560 little you know unless there was some funny story or something and and uh i never like waded into it

01:00:26.280 it i would say things like you know of course i'm not in favor of it for children but adults can do

01:00:32.680 what they want to do but beyond that did you notice i didn't really take a side

01:00:38.200 didn't really play it too hard because i like trans people don't have you know nothing against trans

01:00:45.320 here's why i'm going to reveal to you for the first time my actual deep thinking on the topic

01:00:52.200 it was incredible the more the better you know why because i thought that the more they concentrated

01:01:05.080 on trans the less future the democrats had because there was no way that that message was working for

01:01:13.800 the general public so the longer it went on the the more the entire structure of their party was

01:01:21.560 crumbling so that's what i saw what i didn't need to do was make it go away you know if i wanted the

01:01:28.600 topic to go away i would have waited in hard and said we got to just make this decision and do it this

01:01:33.960 way no i liked i liked it being the top story because every day there was a trans story that was the top

01:01:40.840 headline i saw the democratic party fading into obscurity and i said let's have a little bit more

01:01:49.160 of that please yeah let's push that and then when it went all the way to transitioning in prison

01:01:57.240 that the public was ready because they they'd all been already been primed by even if they were pro

01:02:04.440 trans and i'm pro trans we're spending too much time on it it's a pretty small group and although we

01:02:12.840 should treat everybody you know with empathy and humanity uh it's a small group we were all ready to

01:02:20.520 move on we needed that reason though we needed something about the topic that everybody could say

01:02:27.800 that's too far and when kamala harris offered up we're going to do free trans surgery for prisoners

01:02:36.200 then everybody normal said there it is there you go that's too far now i can tell all of my friends

01:02:44.920 including my trans friends that that's too far you can you can even tell your best friend who's trans

01:02:51.720 okay i don't agree with the prison thing that's too far and you wouldn't feel embarrassed about that

01:02:57.640 even if your best friend was trans right it's a whole different situation it's about how you spend

01:03:03.640 your money at that point well anyway speed the the woke thing was ready to crumble under its own weight

01:03:12.360 and uh i didn't know it was going to happen this election but i but i did know that the pronoun thing

01:03:19.000 would go away like you could know with a great deal of certainty that the weird pronoun thing

01:03:25.640 wasn't going to be a 20-year problem it might be a 10-year problem but it's not going to be a 20-year

01:03:30.840 problem we're we're not going to put up with that too long and sure enough um i don't think i've had a

01:03:38.520 single pronoun situation in my life it's never once been an issue if it ever did and somebody said

01:03:49.000 call me this or that i'd be like sure whatever because it's just such a non-issue in my life

01:03:56.360 but san francisco mayor london breed i can't remember if she lost or got recalled and then

01:04:02.040 the oakland mayor lost or got recalled so two of the big problems in my local area

01:04:09.560 got taken out as along with two soros prosecutors one in my area my county up here and one in la

01:04:19.160 those are big big corrections big big big corrections for here now um california is often sort of a

01:04:31.960 warning shot for the rest of the country you know the things that happen in california are they're

01:04:37.320 going to ripple through the rest of the country but it might be a few years later you know it seems like

01:04:41.480 everything happens here first and if you see california just saying uh this is crazy we can't do this

01:04:51.000 anymore then you can feel fairly confident that that's the end of it in other words it's the

01:04:56.120 beginning of the end of it so uh i could not be happier about the direction of things right now

01:05:02.760 meanwhile the democrats are in chaos and here's my take on that so they they don't have a leader

01:05:12.440 they don't have a they seem to all be pointing fingers at each other it's a circular firing squad

01:05:18.520 as they like to say but here's what you assume don't you assume that uh you know a year from now they'll be

01:05:27.800 come they'll be back organized and you know they'll have somebody in charge and you know maybe nancy

01:05:33.640 pelosi will retire and then there'll be a you know strong new leader and he'll he or she will pull

01:05:39.320 everybody together and and then the democrats will be back and they'll put up a good fight

01:05:45.080 i'm going to go contrarian on this they have created a system that they can't recover from

01:05:50.920 which is unique almost anything else you could recover from here's how they can't recover

01:06:00.040 if they keep making things about identity they will lose again everybody everybody there so far

01:06:08.120 if they keep hammering identity they will just keep going down in power because it just didn't work

01:06:15.000 and it's not going to start working so identity as as their main mechanism definitely definitely

01:06:22.520 will keep them in the losing position forever but suppose they go the other way

01:06:29.000 suppose they drop identity to focus on let's say the working class what happens then well then they

01:06:36.520 definitely lose do you know why because they've trained their base that identity is the most important

01:06:42.200 thing so they trained they trained their base that identity has to be their primary thing

01:06:49.400 and they also proved that it will make them lose forever there's no path back

01:06:57.000 there's no there's no path back if they go if they go identity first again they lose forever

01:07:04.840 and if they try to change it their base will object because they've been brainwashed and that their

01:07:11.160 identity is their main thing there's no way you're going to unbrainwash them fast enough i i think the

01:07:17.240 democrats have taken themselves out of essentially out of power for 20 years i mean i don't know how long

01:07:24.760 it would take before the people who think identity is the most important thing literally age out and die

01:07:32.200 but probably that's what's going to happen you they're probably the democrats will probably have to wait for

01:07:36.920 a generation to die or to grow older and get smarter or come up with something but there is no way out

01:07:44.680 that they've created the ultimate self trap right now because you can't really think of anything else

01:07:52.120 that would act that way you could take any policy that maybe if you ran an election and you lost on

01:07:59.400 let's take abortion so the way the way republicans handled abortion forever um probably hurt them

01:08:09.880 but when they finally got their way and moved to the states probably hurt them at least in 2020

01:08:17.800 but they were quite wise and knowing that eventually it would take that issue off the table federally

01:08:23.240 and i think it did i think i think their plan worked perfectly so you can see a case where somebody

01:08:30.120 could lose maybe one election or two but there's an adjustment that's there they can they can change

01:08:36.360 how they're dealing with abortion without really changing their values they're just changing the

01:08:41.400 system preference so that's a change you can make and a productive one but there's no way the democrats

01:08:48.280 can escape from their identity trap that they made for themselves they either push it and lose or they

01:08:54.520 abandon it and lose no other way out

01:09:01.720 well i think the republican party is going to get a lot bigger

01:09:07.480 anyway um and also the half of the republic half of the democrat party is committed to impractical

01:09:15.080 policies i think we have to say that right a full half of the democrat party

01:09:23.720 are committed to impractical policies leaving the border open for example uh equity reparations

01:09:35.080 public schooling without a private option or any kind of competition these are just

01:09:41.000 plainly bad ideas just plainly bad ideas it's not like just i prefer this way or i prefer it's not

01:09:48.280 even a preference it's just bad versus good and that's uncommon because most things are actually a

01:09:53.720 preference like oh i'd i'd like to spend a little bit more if i get better health care that's a preference

01:10:00.360 it's not a bad idea or a good idea

01:10:02.040 all right here's some more good news for the country in the golden age um you know there's

01:10:12.600 going to be a lot of backstabbing and fighting over at mar-a-lago as people

01:10:17.080 jockey for position to get you know cabinet positions and stuff like that but uh

01:10:22.360 um if you know bill pulte and i think most of you do you know no bill pulte um he's the grandson of

01:10:31.320 the pulte who built pulte homes he's not directly involved with the pulte homes now he's uh doing his

01:10:37.880 own thing but uh he would be the most qualified most perfect hud head you could ever have housing and

01:10:48.440 urban development oh my god he he would be the whale that we need for that position and in fact

01:10:57.000 it'd be hard to imagine anybody else's even a close second because he's got all the building

01:11:01.640 experience he's a rock solid on you know just solid fit with trump you know he would fit perfectly

01:11:10.520 they know each other they like each other so they would get along personalities would work he would be

01:11:17.960 out of the box he could talk to trump about building and construction in a way that trump would understand

01:11:25.560 let me explain it this way imagine ben carson in hud where he was in the first administration then

01:11:36.680 imagine bill pulte now imagine the conversation with trump ben carson comes in with his medical

01:11:44.840 background and says ah i think we should do this or that and trump who's an experienced builder

01:11:50.920 is like not really in the same domain for the conversation now imagine bill pulte walking in

01:11:59.960 with uh some blueprints he says hey i want to build a freedom city you know one of one of the trump

01:12:06.760 freedom cities that that are considered and just shows him a plan and then trump's like okay because he

01:12:14.680 looks at plans he's like well how about use a you know less steel more concrete oh we could do that

01:12:20.840 what about uh what about we build a bring in you know a nuclear power plant to to drive this new city

01:12:28.200 yeah we could do that so if you just imagine the conversation between two people who understand

01:12:35.160 the construction building housing world and they're both on the same side they want the gdp to grow

01:12:42.120 they want to build build build you know build baby and do it right and cheap and you know bid for things

01:12:49.000 and not have a bunch of corruption it's basically everything right if you really want the the housing

01:12:57.400 prices to come down the jobs to go up the construction to go up pulte is the obvious choice so i don't know

01:13:08.280 who else is running for it but if you if you tell me there's somebody more qualified or more perfect

01:13:12.920 really for this job than bill pulte trump should be begging him to take that job i don't know if he's

01:13:20.680 interested but if he i i think he might be so if he's interested in the job uh the trump people should

01:13:28.120 be begging him because let me let me put it in the starkest way i think bill pulte at hud is one to two

01:13:38.120 percent of the gdp that's how big it is if you put the wrong person there at zero it was zero they'll add

01:13:47.640 nothing if you put the right person there construction takes off like we've never seen it

01:13:54.280 and and you're talking big big big money because the construction affects you know so many other

01:14:00.280 things it's like it's huge ripple effect and then if what you can build are cities that lower the cost

01:14:06.760 of living look at the size of that wind imagine if one of the cities i've always fantasized about this

01:14:15.480 imagine if one of the cities is for people who can't get ahead and so they're working as hard as

01:14:21.000 they can they've got a job no problem getting a job but it just they can't save money they're let's

01:14:27.000 say they're it's two teachers so they both got good jobs they're teachers but you put them all

01:14:34.520 together and you add a couple of kids and they just just can't get enough for a house payment

01:14:39.640 or a house down payment so suppose you built a city and you say we've got this temporary city for

01:14:47.320 people who want to come live here for five years build up a little wealth and then go wherever you

01:14:51.880 want so you go to a city where like everything's super cheap but you can still be a teacher you still

01:14:58.120 get the same pay but your housing is you know nine hundred dollars a month instead of four thousand

01:15:04.360 a month or something crazy and uh you just save some money five years later you've got a hundred thousand

01:15:10.760 in the bank and you put it on a down payment and you go somewhere else so i can think of probably

01:15:18.200 12 different ideas for small cities you know one my other favorite one is build it around a small

01:15:27.000 nuclear power plant and and then make the city a part owner of the plant so in other words if you live

01:15:35.240 in the small town you also become automatically a stockholder in the nuclear power plant so you

01:15:43.400 so your taxes go down to zero because the nuclear power plant is serving your town

01:15:49.960 but also serving the nearby town maybe and just charging them for it so you can imagine lots of ways

01:15:58.520 that you could start from scratch as if nobody had ever built a town or a city before and say how would

01:16:04.200 you do it if you started from scratch all right um i also think you could probably get a lot of

01:16:12.760 billionaires to build a city i'll bet you there's a bunch of billionaires who if you said to them

01:16:18.920 how about you build a city i'll just pick one uh let's say mark benioff sales force um i i like to

01:16:28.600 pick him because i had enough of an interaction with him that he just impressed the hell out of me

01:16:33.560 you know he didn't get lucky he he didn't build sales force because he got lucky right he he's got

01:16:41.880 really the whole set of skills but if you go to somebody like him who's really interested in you

01:16:46.920 know the larger good of community and say how about you take a shot at a city you know put your best

01:16:53.640 ideas on it hire your best designers um let's say you want to build a city that's great for whatever

01:17:00.200 let's say the working class how would you do it here's some federal land if you come up with a

01:17:06.040 plan we'll approve it and you can build a city you can make a profit on it or not make a profit

01:17:12.440 go either way but you get to test out your idea of how a proper city should be designed i'll bet you

01:17:20.520 you could get a bunch of billionaires that would say yeah i'll build a small one and if it works out

01:17:26.520 we'll expand it i think the new city thing could be the future of the country really we should be

01:17:33.640 building a country that everybody wants to visit because our water and our air is clean and our food

01:17:38.920 is healthy we don't have that yet but we're working on it and that the cost of being here is reasonable

01:17:45.160 and the people are living in nice homes and there's no garbage and people on the streets

01:17:49.080 anyway did you see the story about the uh fema um person who put out some a written instruction during

01:18:00.440 the hurricane devastation recently that uh the fema people should not knock on the door of people who

01:18:08.520 had trump signs in other words they were officially not unofficially but officially somebody in fema

01:18:18.840 was instructing people to not help trump supporters in an emergency

01:18:24.760 now you might say to yourself being fired isn't enough because if you're leaving some people in an

01:18:31.640 emergency i don't know if there's some law against that but it seems like at least racial discrimination

01:18:40.040 or something i don't know feels like it should be illegal i don't know what law would be broken

01:18:45.480 but uh anyway the person responsible for that did get fired but here's my problem with it

01:18:53.320 again of course the person who does the act has to be the one who is responsible from a legal

01:18:58.360 perspective no doubt about that but don't the media brainwashers have to have some responsibility for that

01:19:04.920 because again the person who works for fema did not sit in a darkened room all by herself and say i've got an

01:19:14.360 idea how about uh we're bad to trump supporters that didn't happen this is somebody who watched the media

01:19:22.760 and got brainwashed into thinking that mega trump supporters were so bad that you could let them die

01:19:33.400 in an emergency so you could save the other people now she didn't come to that idea on her own

01:19:41.880 that was a media collectively media message and you don't see the same thing happening the other way do

01:19:50.920 you imagine a world you can't you can't even hold this in your imagination watch i'm going to tell

01:19:57.080 you to imagine something and watch you can't even do it you won't even be able to do it imagine the

01:20:02.440 uh situation were reversed and there were fema people telling people not to help uh people who

01:20:10.600 had democrat signs in their house i can't even imagine it right because there's nothing happening on the

01:20:19.560 the right-leaning media that would tell me i shouldn't rescue my democrat neighbor like what

01:20:26.600 well nobody's saying anything like that and we are saying that you know harris's policies could

01:20:34.520 destroy the country and you know we have strong feelings but not any of those feelings are telling

01:20:41.560 me that there's that i'm not going to save my neighbor like how brainwashed do you have to be

01:20:49.320 before you think that's okay that you can put it in writing she put it in writing don't save mega

01:20:55.240 people it's in writing now there's a difference right and i don't think the difference is you

01:21:03.560 know there are more crazy people on one side even if there are the real difference is the brainwashing

01:21:09.640 there's just nothing like this happening on the other side and when the democrats try to make some kind

01:21:14.440 of equivalent you know they do the things like well you called us garbage so that's no worse than

01:21:20.680 calling trump hitler to which i say uh those are completely different if garbage is the problem i'll

01:21:31.320 pick up the garbage if hill is the problem i'm gonna kill hitler if i have a chance right to imagine that

01:21:39.000 those are somehow in the same domain is is just crazy there's more crazy eyes yeah anyway so that's my uh

01:21:49.720 thoughts for today for this sunday i hope you hope all the other podcasters are having fun sleeping in

01:21:56.600 and not working hard unlike me who is here every single day for you to keep you sane now let me ask you

01:22:06.040 this how many of you have an overall better feeling now that the election appears to be over at least over

01:22:14.840 enough have any of you felt that you just your overall quality of life somehow went up your optimism

01:22:22.760 maybe your patriotism maybe your sense of hope i felt all of that i i felt like

01:22:33.000 i'll tell you why i said this yesterday but i could feel a connection all the way back to 1776

01:22:39.240 i felt that time and space collapsed and and that that time and this time were just the same time

01:22:48.440 and the fact that our founders created a system that could self-correct and boy were we worried that

01:22:57.160 it couldn't because because the you know the democrats had stretched reality and stretched good common

01:23:05.640 sense to the point where it looked like it was broken and maybe it couldn't be fixed

01:23:09.240 fixed and not only was it fixed but it was fixed by almost everywhere almost at the same time

01:23:20.200 meaning that every demographic group seemed to be leaning toward trump for a solution

01:23:24.680 how does how does all of that get activated at the same time is it just that he ran a better

01:23:33.800 campaign and she didn't i don't know i i feel like the results of the election were baked into us

01:23:40.440 before the candidates were announced meaning that i think the country was done with what the democrats

01:23:48.600 were offering which was nothing but non-stop fighting and identity politics and we were just over it

01:23:58.600 because it doesn't really match the real world in the real world i don't really have many identity

01:24:03.880 related anythings do you except for being turned down for jobs or something it doesn't come up

01:24:11.480 i mean if there's a you know a party where i live oh here's something i don't think i've ever told you

01:24:18.920 directly if have you ever wondered sort of uh you've ever wondered sort of honestly

01:24:29.080 is it better to have diversity or wouldn't it be better you know if everybody looked like you

01:24:34.680 you ever wonder that well um i'm sorry i'm just getting some messages coming in there distracting um

01:24:51.240 here's something that should make you feel good so where i live in northern california um you would

01:24:58.440 not be surprised to learn that i live in a town that has a pretty good income and good schools

01:25:05.640 we're also quite diverse um but not just diverse in black and white we're more internationally diverse

01:25:15.800 so if you watch you know if you're picking up your kid at the school and you're watching the you know

01:25:21.880 as i have a number of times and you're you're watching the other kids walk by on the sidewalk

01:25:26.520 it looks like the united nations i mean it's just one of everything you know and it's not it's not just

01:25:33.080 you know asian or it's not just hispanic it's you know middle eastern it's it's just everything and

01:25:41.320 so that's my reality like every interaction every you know event every party in any any situation where

01:25:49.560 i live is going to look like the united nations and it's freaking awesome now if you said can you

01:25:58.120 predict how this would be in advance i don't know if i would have predicted it's awesome but do you know

01:26:03.560 why it's awesome there's one reason there's exactly one reason that diversity works really well here

01:26:14.440 high incomes

01:26:15.080 everybody's everybody's doing okay you know in general obviously not everyone's doing okay but

01:26:23.160 in terms of groups you know the the indian americans who live here

01:26:28.120 usually you know tech jobs doing great asian americans doing great hispanic americans doing

01:26:35.480 well over average everybody's doing great now that's just because i live in an upscale neighborhood

01:26:42.600 so here's the key takeaway if you think that people are at each other because of identity

01:26:51.800 all you have to do is live in my neighborhood for like a year and you realize the identity wasn't

01:26:57.880 anything it's the income

01:27:02.840 if you have the same income and often same you know level of you know education whether you got

01:27:09.560 it on your own or any other way we all get together we all get along right so if my neighbor who

01:27:18.120 is really smart and has figured out life uh is chatting with me it doesn't matter who they are

01:27:27.720 we're completely connected by just that life experience so do not be confused

01:27:35.320 by any this identity doesn't get along with this identity it's usually just income

01:27:41.640 you know it's just income and my neighborhood is the proof of that

01:27:45.480 you know all right so if we all make more money and we're all better off um

01:27:56.520 and that's all i got i'm going to talk to the locals people just for a minute

01:28:01.560 and uh privately so thanks for joining on x and youtube and rumble uh locals i'm coming at you

01:28:09.400 privately in 30 seconds

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Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 10, 2024

Episode 2655 CWSA 11⧸10⧸24

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