Episode 2667 CWSA 11⧸22⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 41 minutes
Harmful content
Misogyny
18
sentences flagged
Toxicity
15
sentences flagged
Hate speech
15
sentences flagged
Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, Scott talks about a new study that suggests negative feedback on digital devices can actually make you sad. And China has developed a surgical cure for Alzheimer s, and Scott explains why he thinks it s a good thing.
Transcript
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life. But all we need for that is you know what.
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called
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Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this
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experience up to levels that you can't even understand with your tiny, shiny human brain,
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all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask,
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a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the
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unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes absolutely everything
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better. It's called The Simultaneous. It happens now. Go.
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All systems coming online. Well, if you can't get enough of me, and I think that explains most of
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you. You might enjoy a podcast I did with Paul Leslie. You can find that on my feed for yesterday,
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I think. And what's interesting about it is he asked better questions than most people ask.
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So when you ask better questions, you get better answers, and you might like it a lot. So it's Paul
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Leslie, if you want to find it on his feed on X. He goes by at the Paul Leslie. So it's just all one
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word, the Paul Leslie, L-E-S-L-I-E. Hey, there's a new study. Let's see if you can figure this out before
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I tell you how it went. There was a new study, according to a science blog, in which they tested
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to see if people's mental health worsened if they looked at negative feedback on their digital devices.
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All right. What do you think, people? If people were forced to look at a diet of negative
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information on their phones, for example, do you think it would help or hurt their mental health?
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Well, you'll be surprised to learn that marinating in bad news can actually make you sad. Yes,
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I know. It's true. The more exposure you have to negativity, the sadder you get.
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But weirdly, the worse the news was, the more likely somebody was going to click it.
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So we have this bad habit where we pursue things that make us feel bad, such as bad news.
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Do you know how you could have saved a little money on that study? That's right. You could have
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just asked Scott. Scott, does exposure to negative thoughts make you feel bad? Huh. Let me think about
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this. Yes. Yes. Pretty sure it does. So I'm glad we handled that. I've actually taken this to the next
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level, where do you have people in your life who will bring up the most darkest negative story of just
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some horrible thing happened to somebody or something you like? And do you ever just say,
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stop, stop, stop, and they can't stop? Like they want to tell you that, you know, somebody beloved
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was, had a railroad spike stuck through their head. It's like your favorite person. And you're just
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like, stop, stop. And they go, oh no, I was just going to tell you about that. No, stop, stop. I know
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what you're going to do. And when you tell me that, it will only make me feel bad. And there will be
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no positive outcome from this story. So stop, stop. Do not speak again. Well, but just the
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railroad spike, but no, stop, stop, stop. Don't move your mouth. No, no more sounds. Stop. And then
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the railroad spike went through the head. For some reason, when somebody wants to tell you bad news,
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you can't stop them. I don't know if you've had that experience, but it doesn't matter who it is.
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You just can't stop them. Anyway, there's a report that China has developed a surgical cure for
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Alzheimer's. Now, I don't believe anything about this story. Now, it came from a source I'm not
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familiar with. So it doesn't come with automatic credibility from any source. But let me tell you
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what they say they've done. And you tell me if you think this is likely to be true. So apparently
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they've done 42 clinical trials and everyone has been a success. And what they're doing is they're
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doing some surgery on your neck lymphatics. Now, of course, I understand medical technology deeply.
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So let me explain to you as it was written down in this report. It's a deep cervical lymphatic venous
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anastomalmosis surgery. And the way they do that is what they do is they use super microsurgery
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technology to sort of shunt the lymphatic circulation in the meninges. And then that will accelerate the
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return of the intracerebral lymph through the jugular foramen of the skull base and take away
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some of the metabolic products in the brain, thereby achieving the goal of possibly reversing
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the brain degenerative lesions and slowing the progress of the disease. Now, I know that you were
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thinking that's exactly what it did. So that was probably just review for a lot of you. But
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do you really think that China reversed Alzheimer's in 42 different trials in a row? And it's the
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first you're hearing about it? This doesn't even sound a little bit true, does it? I'd love to think
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it's true. So for a recreational belief, I'm going to say, sure, sure, why not? Maybe. I don't think so.
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All right. Here's the one thing you could guarantee about the age of robots is that people would
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use robots for things that you don't need robots for. This is the dumbest one of all time. Somebody
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invented a robot that can play the drums. Now, you're going to say to yourself, I know, but Scott, there
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have been things called drum machines for a long time. You could just program them and then they make
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sound. And to which I say, well, but, you know, this is better. They've added AI to it so it can
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make up its own beats. Now, that's pretty good. Imagine if your AI drummer could come up with beats
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that you wouldn't even think of. That'd be pretty good. But you know what they did? They put this
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capability in a robot. So the robot has arms and they're trying to figure out how to make the wrists
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to be as snappy as human wrists. To which I say, you're just producing sound, right?
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That's the end product of the robot drummer. If it's just sound, can't you just directly produce
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the sound? Do you really need a robot arm to hit a drum? There's no other way to produce
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that sound, like such as recording a drum? I don't know. I do like having a robot to play
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ping pong with me because at least I can get some exercise and play ping pong. So if you
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know anybody who's making one of those ping pong playing robots, I'm in the market as soon
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as I can get one. Well, there's another study from the University of Bristol about if you
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synchronize the movements of your robots and your humans, it builds trust. So they call
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it harmonizing. So trust between humans and robots is improved when the movements, let's
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say if you're just walking down the hallway, if the robot kind of synchronizes with the way
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you're walking or the way you're moving, then your trust will be improved in both directions.
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Now, I don't know how a robot develops trust, but it works in at least one direction. Now,
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on one hand, it looks like an innocent little unimportant story about how robots learn to move
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the right way. However, here's the part they don't tell you, and that's why I'm here.
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If a robot starts pacing and leading, meaning copying a human being, but then later it moves
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on its own and you see if the human copies the movement somewhat automatically without knowing
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it, that is one of the most powerful methods of persuasion the world has ever known.
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At the moment, it's something only humans can do. So if you're in a meeting with your boss,
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your boss does this with his hands, do that with your hands. If your boss does this and leans on
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the table, do that. And after you've copied your boss for, say, 20 minutes while the boss is talking
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and there's a meeting going on, then see if you can get the boss to follow you. So after you've copied
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the boss's art motions, you do a new one. Put one hand up, let's say. See how long it takes you
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for your boss to get into that same position. You're going to be amazed how easily it is to get
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people to change their physical position without knowing that you did it to them. It's something we
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practiced in hypnosis class, and I didn't believe it. I didn't believe that it would work until the
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first time I did it. And I thought, holy cow, did I just make somebody change their entire body
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without them knowing it? Yes. And you could reproduce it. It's very easy to reproduce.
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But if you teach a robot how to manipulate humans by matching their movements, and then the next stage
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would be matching their language style. So that's also a persuasion trick. So if somebody likes to talk
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in military ways, do you know anybody who likes to use a lot of military terms, like, we're going to
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take that hill, and, you know, I jumped on that hand grenade, and, well, we'll live to fight again,
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you know, those just continuous war-like things. If you pace that, and you adopt the same style when
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you're talking to them, they will begin to trust you, and you will begin to have a persuasive effect
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on that person. It's pacing and leading. We probably don't want to teach the robots to do it.
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It's probably too dangerous. Nobody's going to believe me about this, by the way.
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If you were not, you know, steeped in persuasion as, you know, a hobby or a job, you wouldn't really
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know how dangerous this is. But if these robots start copying the way we talk and the way we move,
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they're going to have full control over our minds. Let me say that again. If a robot can learn to
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talk like us, in other words, adopt the same mannerisms that we have individually, and also
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move like us, literally copying the way we move, it will almost have full control over your brain.
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Now, I know you don't believe that. But it's coming. And there's nothing that can stop it.
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Because of course, the robots will learn this and be able to do it. Of course they will. And what
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would stop it? Yeah, you would almost have to do to legislate against it. But since the field is still
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young, you don't want to put a bunch of your regulations there that would stop everything.
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So I think it's inevitable. Robot's going to be very persuasive. According to New Atlas, Raytheon
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has this new technology, where instead of the military having fuel lines, they would hook up some
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kind of big microwave power device. And they could shoot power to the soldiers and the units from a
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distance without any physical interaction. So in other words, you've got this device somewhere at
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the back of your battlefield. And all of your e-bikes and your robot dogs and your people who've got
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any kind of GPS or any kind of electronics, they go into the battle. But of course, they'll run out of
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energy at some point. You know, the vehicles need to be recharged. The devices need to be recharged.
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And this thing can do it just by turning on and sending the signal out in all directions.
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So it can actually recharge the military devices while they're being used from a distance.
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Holy cow. That's pretty cool. Do you think that's actually going to work? I think it's in the early
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stages of development, but they must have prototyped it already. So that's interesting. But I also
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wonder if human soldiers are really going to be the future, because why would you ever send a human
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soldier into a battlefield in 10 years? 10 years from now, why would you send a human at all into
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the most dangerous thing? Because the drones are going to own the sky and the robot dogs are going
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to own the ground. There isn't really a place for a human in war, unless they're on the losing side,
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I guess. Anyway, you may remember that I did a podcast. Well, I'll call it just a conversation
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with Naval Ravikant. And I did that on multiple platforms. I did it on X and YouTube and Rumble
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and Locals. Now, Locals is a subscription site, so that's limited audience. But Owen Gregorian
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was looking at the numbers and noticed that on X, it has 1.1 million views. I think closer to half
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a million might have watched the whole video. But on YouTube, it has 62,000. So on X, it was somewhere
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between half a million and a little over a million. At the same time, it was all live and it went to all
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the platforms at the same time. And YouTube only had 62,000. Now, I know what you're going to say.
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You're going to say, well, maybe less visibility or something. But even on Rumble, there was 76,000
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views. So tiny little Rumble had way more views than all of YouTube for this content. And X goes to a
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million of my followers right away. So a lot of it is just that I have a lot more followers on X than
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I have anywhere else. So that's always going to be bigger. But does that look natural to you?
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Does it seem natural to you that I could garner half a million to a million views? And if you look
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at the comments, you know, people are very, very up on it. I mean, they just loved it.
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Does it sound to you as if I'm being suppressed? I feel like it's super obvious and that it's always
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been the case. So can't prove it because there is one explanation that would be normal, which is I
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just have maybe I have a more active audience on X. Maybe it's just that. But I doubt it. If I had to
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guess, it looks like it's it's some kind of suppression.
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Here's my favorite story of the day, but also the smallest story of the day. It involves nine words.
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And here's what's cool about it. Do you know how we, you know, we've come to love our billionaires
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and also hate them. So it's almost like the billionaire class has become like a wrestling
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show where you got George Soros who plays the heel, you know, and sometimes, you know,
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Reid Hoffman plays the heel, but then you've got your good guys, you know, your Elon Musks and
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you got your, you know, anyway, I could go on, but, but you know what I mean? The, the billionaires
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are the ones with personalities and they like to be public. Mark Cuban, for example. Um, they become
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a whole entertainment field in themselves. Like to me, they replace celebrities. I have absolutely
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no interest in what Beyonce has to say. I don't like her music, no interest at all. But if there's a
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good billionaire fight, oh, I'm all in, I love to watch the billionaires do their thing
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because for the most part, they didn't become billionaires by accident. You know, there was
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something going on with these special people, but here's the story. So Elon Musk, uh, heard something
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at Mar-a-Lago and he posted about it. Now, as you're going to hear in a moment, uh, what he heard
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was not true, right? So what he heard was, and it's not true, uh, that he said he was at
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Mar-a-Lago and that, uh, he heard from somebody there that Jeff Bezos was telling everyone that,
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uh, Trump was going to lose the election for sure. So they should sell all their Tesla and
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SpaceX stock. So that's what somebody told Elon Musk at Mar-a-Lago. So Elon posted it. And I
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appreciate the transparency so that my, my first thing was, oh, so this is the thing that's going
00:19:59.320
around. Uh, Elon heard it. We didn't hear it. And now he posted, so we've heard it too. So I liked
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the fact that he posted it and then Bezos weighs in and this is his entire response. Nope. 100% not
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true. One, two, three, four words, four words. Nope. 100% not true. Uh, Musk responds. Well, then I
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stay uncorrected with a laugh, a laughing emoji, five words. Now here's what I love about this.
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What are, uh, Musk and Bezos collectively most famous for besides being rich? There are most
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efficient billionaires, right? Uh, Amazon works because Bezos is an expert on efficiency. I mean,
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he figured out how to do everything the fastest, best, lowest cost, most effective way.
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So here, and then Musk of course is the same. He's, he's like, you know, he's doge. He's the
00:21:08.240
guy who took 80% of the people out of Twitter and it got better. Right? So you have the two
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most famously efficient people in the world and they had a problem. One of them had heard a story
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that wasn't true and said it in public. So how long did it take the two most efficient billionaires
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to fix this problem? Nine words, nine words, nine words and done. And they'll never talk about it
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again. It's done. Nine words. Now here's why this is extra special. You can think of a lot of
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billionaires who, if they deny this story, you wouldn't believe them, right? Like I don't have
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to name names, but you can think of a lot of people right off the top of your head. Like if they deny
00:22:01.340
this story, you'd say to yourself, ah, yeah, but did they? Yeah, of course you're denying it, but maybe
00:22:11.540
you did. But here's what I love about this story so much that Jeff Bezos somewhat quietly, you know,
00:22:20.320
if you can call it that compared to other people, I guess he builds this, you know, massively successful
00:22:26.180
operation. And as far as I know, I don't think anybody's ever accused him of lying.
00:22:33.360
I've never heard it. So when I saw that he said, nope, 100% not true. I immediately went to, nope,
00:22:43.620
100% not true. It was not even a microsecond of, I wonder if he's lying. Wouldn't that be an amazing
00:22:52.300
superpower? Imagine having a superpower where you can, in four words, completely change a news story
00:23:01.280
because of your own credibility. That's pretty damn rare. And I think Musk recognized it too
00:23:09.680
and just said, well, well then I stand corrected. We're done here. I love this story. I love
00:23:18.340
when ordinary people make ordinary mistakes. So it was a mistake to believe a rumor that wasn't true.
00:23:25.840
And then just immediately correct it and move on. I don't know. I just love everything about that.
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Credibility. Guess something. All right. There's more talk about this Oprah situation of her taking
00:23:42.580
the 2.5 million we hear. At first we heard it was 1 million, but 2.5 million the production company took
00:23:49.380
for getting Oprah to do her thing to promote Harris. And Harris said, I took no money.
00:23:58.680
But since we know the production company took 2.5 million and it's her production company,
00:24:04.840
people quite reasonably say, I think Stephen A. Smith said this, that it looks like Oprah might be lying.
00:24:12.800
And maybe she took money, but it went through the production company. So she was basically lying about it.
00:24:22.320
Now, connect this to the last thing I talked about. When Jeff Bezos says, nope, 100% not true. End of story.
00:24:34.220
End of story. Oprah says, 100% not true. I didn't take money.
00:24:40.860
It's the beginning of the story. Apparently, Oprah is not as credible as Jeff Bezos.
00:24:49.500
Because when Oprah said it, nobody believed it. Just nobody believed it.
00:24:56.440
Now, what's the difference? Has Oprah lied to us? Now, of course, when Oprah had her show,
00:25:03.700
she had people on who promoted things that maybe didn't work out. But we don't know
00:25:10.740
that Oprah knew that. So it's not like she lied. But then we saw her doing her political thing
1.00
00:25:19.280
and backing Harris. And we thought, huh, that doesn't look like just calling balls and strikes.
00:25:26.340
That looks like something a little crazy, a little, I don't know, doesn't fit.
00:25:32.280
So Jeff Bezos gets basically not involved in politics. And then when they ask him a question,
00:25:39.600
and he gives an answer, you go, oh, yeah, that's true. But Oprah gets involved in a way that was
00:25:45.640
awkward, frankly. And then when she talks, people go, I'm not so sure. I think you might be lying.
00:25:51.860
But I'm going to give you some recreational speculation on this story.
00:25:58.080
So I don't know anything about the details. So this is just speculation. And it's just based
00:26:03.880
on how the real world works. And it's based on the fact that in the real world, people can be kind
00:26:09.640
of shitty. I don't know if you've noticed. But people can be kind of shitty. So here's what I
0.93
00:26:16.280
think might have happened. And I think this strongly enough that if I had to bet on it,
00:26:23.040
I would actually place a bet on this. It's not 100% because it's just speculation, but I'd bet on it.
00:26:28.780
And here's the bet. That Oprah, of course, makes money that flows through her production company,
1.00
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which is why people say, you did get paid. You just did it through your production company, you liar.
0.99
00:26:41.460
Sure. But I would further assume that the production company does more than just
0.94
00:26:48.620
handle Oprah's appearances. Because it's a production company. They probably do a wider
00:26:55.700
variety of things, which means that whoever is in charge of the production company probably have
00:27:02.420
their own financial incentives. In other words, they would be judged by how well they support Oprah,
00:27:09.160
but they would also be judged by their other lines of business within the production domain.
00:27:17.140
And their salary probably would depend on how well they do outside of pure Oprah business.
00:27:27.200
So now, if that's true, and I don't know that that's true, but it seems like a normal thing you'd
00:27:32.380
expect that the production company has expanded to handle other operations. That's why that'd be one
00:27:38.980
good reason for having a production company. Now, if this production company was smart,
00:27:46.920
but kind of shitty, and they start negotiating with the Harris campaign, what's the first thing
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the production company is going to figure out? They're going to figure out they're dealing with
0.94
00:27:58.120
amateurs. They're not dealing with really good negotiators, and they're not dealing with
00:28:04.780
business people. They're dealing with youngish, often campaign people who are just so excited
0.55
00:28:11.940
that Oprah might consider coming. So they say, well, what's it going to cost to get Oprah here?
00:28:19.040
And the production company said, well, you know, it's a big operation. We got to, you know,
00:28:25.360
when Oprah travels, it's really expensive. But we think we can do this for 2.5 million.
00:28:32.960
And then you can imagine the Harris campaign saying, all right, all right, that's worth it.
00:28:37.800
Because 2.5 million to get Oprah, that would be a market price. Because the other performers,
00:28:46.080
you know, were in that low million dollar range too. So you could imagine that, and I'm speaking as
00:28:52.880
the creator of the Dilbert cartoon, you can imagine that the production company knew that Oprah wasn't
00:28:59.520
going to take money for it. So they got to keep anything that they could negotiate. So they would
00:29:05.260
sort of leave the impression that the 2.5 million since it was going to Oprah's production company
00:29:12.600
was sort of Oprah's money, you know, minus the expenses. But if the production company didn't say
00:29:19.500
that directly, and they just said, this is what it's going to cost to get Oprah here,
00:29:24.200
we can put it in writing, Oprah will be here, we'll do the production, you'll pay us 2.5 million.
00:29:29.500
Well, it could be that the Harris campaign didn't really care who was getting the money.
00:29:35.440
They just knew it would cost 2.5 million to get Oprah. So here's what I think. I think there was a
00:29:42.660
weasel at the production company who knew that if they thought they were getting Oprah, who may have
00:29:49.680
said, I'll do it for free. They may have just sort of left that impression that they were paying for
00:29:56.900
Oprah when really the production company was just boosting their own bottom line, some of which would
00:30:02.500
go to Oprah. But maybe it was more about the production company itself and their own objectives.
00:30:10.340
So here's what to look for. See if Oprah fires the head of her production company.
1.00
00:30:18.520
It's probably somebody she's worked with forever, so you wouldn't fire them even if they did this.
00:30:23.300
But I wouldn't be surprised to learn that Oprah was not totally filled in on what the production
00:30:31.920
company asked for or what they paid them or what they said. Maybe because she just wouldn't be
00:30:37.540
interested. Her part was, do you want to show up? Do you want to support Harris? Yes. That's all she
00:30:44.400
needed to know. And the production company handled the rest. So if I'm wrong about all that, and by the
00:30:50.340
way, what I'm describing would be sort of a normal way the world works. It wouldn't be an abnormal way.
00:30:55.960
The most normal way it would work is the production company would say, oh, we've got a live one here.
00:31:01.320
I think we can take them for $2.5 million, and it'll only cost us a million to do the expenses.
00:31:10.040
Otherwise, Stephen A. Smith is right, and Oprah has some explaining to do. But I'm still going to give
00:31:17.380
her the benefit of the doubt that there's somebody else in this operation that maybe has some explaining
00:31:24.320
to do. Meanwhile, the New York Times says OpenAI, who they're suing for using the New York Times
00:31:32.020
content to train their AI, and the New York Times says, you can't do that. That's our intellectual
00:31:40.640
property. You can't train your AI on it, and then suddenly it has all the learnings of the New York
00:31:47.320
Times. So part of the lawsuit required some files to be turned over by OpenAI to the New York Times,
00:31:56.800
and you'll never guess what happened. So the case relies on some files, and OpenAI had the files.
00:32:07.940
They were asked for these files through a legal process. Can you take a wild guess what happened
00:32:15.020
to the files? Anybody? Have any of you been alive for the last five years? What do you think happened
00:32:22.360
to the files? There was a glitch. Oh, damn it. We sure meant to give you these files, but there's
00:32:32.240
some kind of glitch. They got corrupted or deleted or something. So I guess these files aren't going to
00:32:39.620
be useful, but darn, we sure wanted to give them to you. I mean, we tried so hard, but we wish we
00:32:46.260
could have. But the glitch, the glitch got us. Now, here's my question. How many times in the last five
00:32:56.120
years has somebody who is some public figure or important entity managed to skate through a legal
00:33:06.280
process by claiming that they lost or a file was damaged? It turns out that seems to work every
00:33:14.920
time. Why would anybody ever turn over a digital source if they thought they could just destroy it?
00:33:22.460
Yeah. Ding dong, the glitch is dead. That's funny. All right. Well, I don't believe anybody who has a
00:33:35.180
glitch and a file disappears, but maybe, you know, since it's within the range of things that could
00:33:42.100
happen in a real world, however unlikely, it looks like it works as a legal strategy. It makes me wonder
00:33:50.080
if there are lawyers who ever suggest the client does that. You know, like, well, as your lawyer, I must
00:33:59.140
inform you that you should not destroy any files. As your lawyer, do not. I'm going to put it in writing.
00:34:08.440
Do not destroy any files. But also as your lawyer, just as background context, everybody who does destroy
00:34:18.480
their files and claims it's an accident seems to get away with it. But as your lawyer, I advise you
00:34:25.700
not to do it. Don't do that thing that everybody gets away with. No, no, don't do it. So I suppose
00:34:35.480
that conversation's happening a little bit somewhere.
00:34:41.820
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00:34:54.860
Meanwhile, according to Slay News, the Daniel Penny trial took an interesting turn
00:34:59.540
with a forensic pathologist, Dr. Satish Shundru, who got in the window stand and said the chokehold
00:35:07.480
did not cause the death. He's a former Miami area medical examiner, so he knows what he's talking
00:35:15.400
about. And he said he did not believe the air choke. He calls it an air choke as opposed to some
00:35:23.460
people say there's a thing called a blood choke, which would be more severe. But he called it an
00:35:30.080
air choke. And he said that the cause of death probably has something to do with the effects of
00:35:36.600
sickle cell crisis. So I guess he had a bad case of sickle cell anemia. Schizophrenia, I don't know how
00:35:44.440
that kills you physically. The struggle and restraint and the synthetic marijuana. So he had something that
00:35:52.400
wasn't marijuana. There's some synthetic thing that's way worse. I'd never heard of it, actually.
00:35:59.080
And he said someone's schizophrenic high on K2. That's the synthetic marijuana thing, K2.
00:36:04.880
And involved in a struggle can die without a chokehold being involved at all.
00:36:10.020
And then he said, and I think this is sort of the kill shot. He said what's also important is
00:36:16.740
unconsciousness. Unconsciousness always precedes death in a chokehold.
00:36:23.840
So, in other words, when they showed up, he was conscious.
00:36:28.480
And then he died. He was no longer being choked. And he was conscious.
00:36:35.780
And if I interpret this right, I think the forensic pathologist is saying that
00:36:44.660
if the guy stopped choking him and he was conscious, then whatever killed him wasn't the choke.
00:36:51.900
Is that true? Well, I'm no forensic pathologist. But I'll tell you, if I were on the jury
00:36:57.060
and I heard one pathologist say, oh, I'm pretty sure he killed him with that choke. And then another
00:37:04.440
one who's equally qualified said, no, nobody dies from being conscious after the choke. That's not a
00:37:13.640
real thing. And he had real other reasons he would have died that would be somewhat ordinary. Now,
00:37:19.840
that is clearly enough doubt that there shouldn't be any way he could be convicted. Because you don't
00:37:30.280
need a lot of reasonable doubt. You just need some reasonable doubt. This is way more than reasonable
00:37:36.400
doubt. Right? If you're going to say, like, you know, what does a bucket of reasonable doubt look
00:37:43.420
like? It would look like this. One of my favorite court stories is about the lawyer who was trying
00:37:50.780
to defend his client with reasonable doubt. He didn't have a strong case, but he wanted to make
00:37:56.440
the jury think that reasonable doubt was a little stronger than maybe it is. And so here's what the
00:38:03.600
lawyer did. You know, he said in his closing statements, you know, not only is my client completely
00:38:10.100
innocent, but the real killer is walking through that door right now and said, he's going to walk
00:38:17.460
through the door right now. And he turns and he points toward the door. Everybody in the jury box
00:38:22.880
turns toward the door. All the witnesses turn toward the door. The judge looks toward the door
00:38:27.280
and then nothing happens. The door does not open. And there's this awkward silence.
00:38:35.620
And then the, then the defense attorney turns back to the jury who are still looking at the door.
00:38:43.220
And now they look back at the lawyer, little time has passed. And the lawyer says, that is reasonable
00:38:51.640
doubt. Because they, they had enough, they had enough belief that there was another explanation for
00:39:01.000
the crime that every one of them looked at the door and waited for the real criminal to walk in.
00:39:05.620
Now that's a little bit too clever. And I don't think that would actually win you a case. Was it
00:39:13.000
Jerry Spence? I was wondering that. I wonder if it was Jerry Spence or did he just tell the story?
00:39:20.840
He may have told the story, but I don't know if it was him. Could have been, could have been Jerry
00:39:24.300
Spence. But now that's, that's trying to sell reasonable doubt. You know, if there's just a
00:39:32.140
trace of it in the real world, you'd need a little bit more than somebody's walking through the door.
00:39:37.260
It might've, it might've won that trial, but you know, generally speaking, you need more than that.
00:39:41.660
But if you've got an expert who says, nope, I'm quite sure this person could have died of other
00:39:47.840
causes. That really needs to be the end of it. So here's what I'm worried about. What happens if
00:39:55.860
it goes the other way? Cause I feel like, I think the men in America are kind of done with this
00:40:05.360
and the white men in America are very done with it. I don't know what would happen. Like I'm not
00:40:12.500
predicting violence, but if Daniel Penny gets convicted after this expert says this,
00:40:22.400
we're going to have a lot of questions. And I don't think it's going to be business as usual.
00:40:29.820
Here's what I don't think. I don't think the process just, you know, processes and puts them
00:40:35.520
in jail. I assume there'd be some appeal process, but I feel like there's a point where the public
00:40:42.960
just has to take over. And I think the public has to make it clear that we're watching this thing.
00:40:52.740
And ultimately the public does have all the power because there are enough of us.
00:40:58.680
And if we're mad enough, whoever it is, we're mad at is going to have a really bad day one way or
00:41:05.920
another. You know, again, I'm not recommending violence. So I really think we need to keep an
00:41:12.240
eye on this one. We can't let this one get away. We, we men mostly, we got to protect them.
00:41:21.560
And I, and I feel like a personal responsibility to do that. It feels personal to me. Very personal
00:41:29.020
because Daniel Penny, I don't know him of course, but he's everybody. He is every guy. He's every guy.
00:41:40.540
So I don't really feel him as different from me. Like when I watched Daniel Penny, I'm not watching
00:41:48.620
some stranger, even though I don't know him. I've never heard him talk. I'm watching me.
00:41:56.080
So if you don't think I'm going to have a problem with him being convicted, if that's the way it goes,
00:42:02.100
well, you're wrong. And there will be consequences. I don't know what they'll be, but let me just say
00:42:10.380
this to any part of the world that is looking to put this guy away. You better be really careful
00:42:21.900
You know what I mean? This is not free and you don't know what the price is yet.
00:42:30.320
And we're not going to tell you. You could have to fucking find out, but this one's not free.
0.91
00:42:37.540
So let's hope for the best golden age is here. I think he's going to get free, but if he's not,
0.98
00:42:44.340
it's going to be expensive one way or another. It's going to get real expensive.
00:42:49.400
Well, the big story of the day, Matt Gaetz bowed out in his bid to be attorney general
00:42:57.420
and Trump cleverly already filled that news cycle by putting up Pam Bondi, who was attorney general
00:43:09.080
in Florida and is a close confidant and super loyal, highly qualified. Almost everybody says
00:43:17.780
she has a better choice than Matt Gaetz simply because she doesn't have the baggage, but she has
00:43:22.120
even more skill, more experience, more direct experience and that kind of job.
00:43:27.200
So I'm very happy with this, but here's the other thing. Did we just learn that Trump is not a dictator?
00:43:35.660
I think we did, right? Can we stop talking about that then? Here's what I saw. Now, my take on Trump
00:43:46.840
has always been he's the opposite of a dictator. He's actually more tuned into the opinions of the
00:43:54.380
public and other politicians than anybody I've ever seen. So here it didn't look like it was going to
00:44:03.320
work. He tried. He would have pushed it. If Matt Gaetz had wanted him to, he would have pushed it,
00:44:09.320
which I appreciate just from the loyalty perspective. He returned the loyalty. But
00:44:14.840
Matt Gaetz did a solid. At least that's my interpretation of it. And when he talked to all
00:44:20.780
the politicians who had to vote for him, he realized he couldn't get it. And he probably didn't want to do
00:44:26.580
the recess appointment thing and just cause a bunch of provocation. And so he decided to
00:44:32.920
back out. Now, so what we get is, so here's the outcome. Number one, Gaetz sucked all of the energy
00:44:47.020
in the news cycle toward him for several days so that the other nominees didn't get nearly as much
00:44:53.160
scrutiny. That was probably useful, but I don't think it was a plan. It would just,
00:44:58.000
it worked out that way. We found out that Trump can't do anything he wants and he will respond in
00:45:05.960
a reasonable way when he reaches a, you know, an obstacle that doesn't make sense to try to break
00:45:12.960
it down. So that's a huge win for Trump. It won't be in the news. The news will just ignore the fact
00:45:22.120
that we've now proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that Trump does not have dictator powers and it
00:45:30.060
doesn't look like he's trying to. It looks like he was trying to respond to the public because even
00:45:36.060
the Republicans were saying, you know, not your best play. You know, we see why you're doing it.
00:45:42.900
We do want to attack dog in that job, but, but maybe, maybe not your best play.
00:45:51.640
And Trump listens to the people, takes Matt Gaetz's recommendation, which was also listening
00:45:57.340
to the people and the politicians. And we get, what do we get? We get a better candidate.
00:46:02.900
We get, we get some, you know, diversity that I think was useful. You know, woman in the job,
00:46:12.760
that's useful. He gets the same amount of loyalty, higher level of experience, probably will sail
00:46:21.120
through the confirmation. And, and Matt Gaetz still has other opportunities. Now we don't know what he's
00:46:30.860
going to do. Some say he's going to run for a governor. I don't think so. Some say that he
00:46:36.800
might try to get appointed to Senator. I don't think so. Some say that he could just retake the
00:46:43.700
seat he resigned from because he technically resigned from his current seat, but he's been
00:46:49.300
elected for a future seat. And I heard this on social media. I think it's true that he could just
00:46:56.560
pretend like he didn't quit, you know, do a George Costanza and just go to work.
00:47:02.580
Now you might have to go to work after the second, you know, the next term. So it'd be,
00:47:07.700
you'd have a few weeks off for Christmas, but it would be hilarious if he just George Costanza's
00:47:12.660
this situation and he just goes to work after everybody thought he quit.
00:47:17.060
I don't know if that's legal, but if he got elected and he didn't resign from the upcoming
00:47:25.640
term, at least on social media, people are saying he could do it. I don't think he will
00:47:31.620
because it would put him right back in that place where the ethics report could come out.
00:47:38.000
So, I think he's not going to go back into government right away. He might later. But
00:47:47.640
here's what I think would be his perfect situation. The thing that Trump needs more than he needs,
00:47:56.280
you know, one more loyal soldier doing the thing is another big media entity that supports him.
00:48:04.060
Because you saw, you know, you know, all the media entities are under some kind of fire from the
00:48:11.940
left. So if Matt Gaetz decided to take his existing podcast and just beef it up and get more interesting
00:48:18.860
guests and go full Alex Jones and, you know, really make it like a sort of a foundational thing
00:48:25.800
that conservatives listen to, he has all of those skills.
00:48:30.840
I'm looking at a message going by. Yeah. So Gaetz has all of those podcasting skills with the,
00:48:44.860
you know, the behind the curtain knowledge with all the contacts, with the ability to invite
00:48:49.800
anybody on the show, name recognition. It's kind of perfect. So I've got a feeling he might go into
00:48:58.480
the media. That would be where he would have the most impact and make the most money, etc. But
00:49:04.380
there's one other possibility. I'll just put this out there. He's married to the sister of Palmer
00:49:13.800
Lucky, who's the creator of Anduril. Is that the name of it? It's a defense company. It's a new one.
00:49:24.140
And they do kind of newer, cooler, high-tech defense stuff like drones that can do things and
0.62
00:49:30.160
other things. Now, suppose that Palmer Lucky wanted an executive to put in the company to help it go
00:49:41.600
public. Well, that would be good for his sister because his sister would be married to somebody
00:49:49.240
who would get massive stock options and become a billionaire within three years.
00:49:56.140
Maybe. I mean, if, if, because the company looks like it's ragingly successful and I think it's
00:50:02.860
still private as far as I know. So they would presumably be looking at a way to go public and cash out.
00:50:09.820
And maybe he could be the, some, some officer in that company. So there, there's so many things
00:50:20.840
that he could do that it's hard to, you know, I don't think any of us are going to guess what's
00:50:25.760
happening. So I'm going to, I'm going to say this. I don't think we'll ever know what the real story
00:50:30.160
was. I don't think, I mean, it could be as simple as just exactly what he said. He wanted it. Trump
00:50:36.760
wanted it. There were about four or five senators who said, no, he knew he couldn't change the mind,
00:50:42.500
didn't want to do the recess appointment. He just pivoted. But the weird thing about this is that
00:50:49.140
everybody wins. Isn't that weird? When is the last, when is the last time you saw a story where
00:50:55.200
everybody wins? We get a better attorney general, one that's less controversy. Matt Gates will be
00:51:02.100
turned loose to do something. That's probably something he's better at. Trump still wins
00:51:08.540
because he gets what he wants. I don't know. Just seems like everything worked out there.
00:51:15.800
But MSNBC is saying that Bondi is worse because she's competent.
0.93
00:51:21.540
So MSNBC went from, he's the worst choice in the world to, okay, she's worse because she's good.
0.55
00:51:35.040
The Republicans who allegedly were not going to support Gates were John Curtis, Utah,
00:51:42.100
Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski, Alaska, and Mitch McConnell, Kentucky. Mitch McConnell.
00:51:48.520
So anyway, when I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners,
00:51:55.440
I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners? Like that woman over there with
1.00
00:52:01.940
the designer jeans. Are those from Winners? Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings? Did she pay full
00:52:07.780
price? Or that leather tote? Or that cashmere sweater? Or those knee-high boots? That dress?
00:52:13.000
That jacket? Those shoes? Is anyone paying full price for anything?
00:52:17.200
Stop wondering. Start winning. Winners. Find fabulous for less.
00:52:22.980
Bill Reilly had some interesting things to say on News Nation with Cuomo about MSNBC's fate.
00:52:29.960
So it looks like Comcast, who owns both NBC News and CNBC and MSNBC, it looks like they might be
00:52:39.720
looking to spin off MSNBC and CNBC. And that makes sense because MSNBC's audience took a big hit.
00:52:49.180
They'll probably come back after Trump gets in office because they'll have something to yell about.
00:52:53.160
But it doesn't look like it's a good business. So they're going to spin it off. And what Bill O'Reilly
00:53:00.040
said made a lot of sense to me, that MSNBC takes advantage of NBC's news business so that they can add
00:53:10.200
the credibility of the real news to their opinion pieces. But if you separate them, they are no longer
00:53:18.200
connected to any real news collecting entity. And it would be massively expensive to create one from
00:53:24.220
nothing. The MSNBC doesn't have anything to sell. Because all they have are these amazingly overpaid
00:53:33.400
pundits. But they wouldn't be a news organization. It would just be a bunch of opinions.
00:53:38.600
Because they'd lose the news. Now, I don't know if that's real. But it's the first take I've heard
00:53:44.920
on that that's interesting. And O'Reilly thinks that ABC will have to dump The View for the same
00:53:54.080
reason. Now, O'Reilly's take is that MSNBC's big problem is that it was nothing but hate. And that
00:54:01.680
The View has a similar problem, that they're spewing hate. Audiences don't like hate.
00:54:08.600
Apparently, hate doesn't sell as much as you want it to. And I think Bill O'Reilly's pretty close on
00:54:14.280
this. At least it's an interesting speculation that MSNBC doesn't have any value outside of NBC news.
00:54:23.920
Apparently, Rachel Maddow has renegotiated her outrageous $30 million a year pay for being on
0.98
00:54:33.300
the air only one night a week. So obviously, you can't go on forever getting $30 million a year if
00:54:40.380
you're only on one night a week. So she had to lower her pay to $25 million a year, one day a week.
00:54:49.900
Um, I've got a suggestion. I'm not a huge fan of Rachel Maddow, her politics. But I will note
00:55:01.700
that you can't take away from her that she's unusually smart. Right? She's, you know, just
00:55:08.280
if you hook her up to an IQ test, she's gonna beat me really smart. But now we learn she might be the
1.00
00:55:16.760
best negotiator you've ever heard of in your life. Who in the world can negotiate $25 million a year
00:55:22.680
for one show a week? That's really good. When your network is failing. How do you do that? So they're
00:55:31.440
trying to sell this network. And it's got this big expense that couldn't possibly make sense.
00:55:42.140
There's an MSNBC headline that will remind you why they're full of hate and they're losing.
00:55:49.900
It was an opinion piece, but the headline was, Lakin Riley's killer never stood a chance.
00:55:57.360
For all the political controversy surrounding Jose Ibarra, the outcome of this trial was never in
00:56:05.000
doubt. Does it sound a little bit like MSNBC was glad the migrant killed the American citizen?
00:56:15.260
Like, what is wrong with them? His killer never stood a chance? The MSNBC is worried about the
00:56:23.260
killer getting a fair trial. There was so much evidence of his guilt. It wasn't like a close call,
00:56:31.320
was it? Poor MSNBC. I saw NPR says most of the country shifted right in the 2024 election. Did we?
00:56:44.820
Did the country shift right? I'm not sure that's what happened. Here's what I think happened.
00:56:51.540
I think the right kind of stayed the same. You know, in other words, policies and stuff didn't
00:56:57.440
change much. And the left became batshit crazy. When batshit crazy clearly stopped working,
0.79
00:57:07.740
it worked in 2020. But when it stopped working, they started becoming more commonsensible.
00:57:15.880
Is that a word? Commonsensible? Commonsensical? Pick one. But I think all they did was stop being
00:57:24.860
crazy and start being a little bit more normal. And that looked like a move to the right.
00:57:32.340
I heard somebody else say on social media that nobody moved to the right. They just didn't have
00:57:38.580
a rigged election this time, so it looks like it. I don't buy that. Whether or not there was rigging,
00:57:47.180
I don't buy that explanation. I think that the left had enough people in it that understood that
00:57:57.000
the left had just gone crazy. It was just batshit bonkers stuff. And they just said,
00:58:02.560
we've had enough of this, we're going to give the other side a chance. Because the other side is at
00:58:07.560
least trying to sell common sense. You could disagree with it, but Republicans are trying to sell common
00:58:15.700
sense. Now, this connects me to a topic I've mentioned before. As you know, I've been at least
00:58:25.020
listed as a Democrat most of my life. And for my early years, you know, say my 20s or so,
00:58:30.440
I was pretty sure that the Democrats were the smart ones. And the Republicans were sort of had a
00:58:39.100
religious base that wasn't translating into policy so well. So that seemed like a little disconnect to
00:58:46.760
me. Because I wasn't religious. So I didn't see that religion should be playing so much of a part
00:58:52.140
in decisions. But the Republican Party has evolved into more of a common sense, you know,
00:59:00.440
we love our religion, but we'll keep that separate. You know, for our policy, we'll just do what makes
00:59:05.820
sense. Now, obviously, Republican policy is still well informed by religion, but it's not the leading
00:59:13.100
voice, right? It seems like when I was in my 20s, they'd start with the religious part and then tell
00:59:21.640
you why they had the policy. Right? And then that would turn me off. Because I'd say, hey, what if
00:59:29.120
people have a different religion? You know, don't start with that. Now look at how Trump handles
00:59:37.080
abortion. He doesn't start with religion. He starts with process. He says, well, having the states decide
00:59:47.180
is a better process. There you go. Now that's my common sense. Common sense says, put the decision
00:59:56.060
where it's best to make the decision. And then it's easier to defend no matter what happens. Because at
01:00:03.180
least it was made in the right way. So watching Trump turn the religious first people into a still
0.89
01:00:12.400
religious, doesn't change their belief. But he's found a way to put process ahead of it. And the
01:00:19.260
process does all the work. You don't need to appeal to the God or the Bible, because the process does
01:00:24.960
what it's supposed to do. So I think that made it safe for people like me, who are uncomfortable with
01:00:34.380
the religion first, but like religion. I'm very pro-religion for other people. If you have one, keep it.
01:00:40.280
I like it. I like you to have one. It just doesn't work for me. Which, by the way, is a fault.
01:00:48.000
If I could get the benefits of religion, and I had a way to believe, I would do it. Because it's
01:00:55.920
pretty obvious that the religious people have some advantages. Anyway, here's some new news.
01:01:03.520
We keep talking about Mike Rogers as being one of the possibilities for the head of the FBI.
01:01:11.520
And all the smart people were saying, my God, my God, no, that would be a huge mistake. No, no.
01:01:18.400
Mike Rogers, according to people who know more than I do, was part of the industrial censorship thing.
01:01:25.000
And he was pushing the Russia collusion hoax and did some other things that Republicans think
01:01:31.840
is not too compatible with the Trump movement. But it turns out it was all fake news.
01:01:41.360
So Trump just messaged that he's never even considered Mike Rogers, even thought about it once.
01:01:46.360
And he's definitely not going to be the head of the FBI.
01:01:51.960
Now, remember how I said when Jeff Bezos says four words, you just say, oh, that's true.
01:01:59.540
Like you never even, not for a second, you doubt his veracity.
01:02:04.020
But when Trump says it, you know, Trump has a little bit more of a history of
01:02:09.060
hyperbole and, you know, bending the, bending the fact check a little bit.
01:02:13.720
So when he says, I never once even considered Mike Rogers, you have to wonder, is that exactly true?
01:02:23.500
Or maybe his name came up at a dinner and Trump maybe, you know, didn't respond to it one way or
01:02:30.540
another. And then somebody left the dinner saying, oh, Mike Rogers name is on the table.
01:02:35.860
So you can easily imagine that the rumor would start without Trump starting it just by Trump,
01:02:43.460
not maybe not responding to that suggestion or something. But he's saying very clearly,
01:02:48.860
it's not going to happen. Now, why did Trump say it's not going to be Mike Rogers?
01:02:56.060
Because normally you only announce who it's going to be.
01:02:58.740
Isn't that uncommon? Sort of uncommon, right? To announce who it's not.
01:03:05.020
Did that happen before Trump? Do other politicians announce who it's not?
01:03:15.860
Do you know why Trump said it's not Mike Rogers? Because Trump tapped into his base,
01:03:22.520
listened to what they were saying, heard there was all this, you know, don't pick Mike Rogers
01:03:29.000
chatter going on and realized that he needed to tell us that that was off the table. Now,
01:03:36.440
whether it was always off the table or he just saw the chatter and said, oh, let me take this off
01:03:42.280
the table now. I don't really care, you know, because it gets us to the same place.
01:03:46.580
But once again, it's another example of Trump being absolutely tapped in and responding
01:03:53.380
to reasonable criticisms about the direction that people think he's going. I love that.
01:04:02.420
I mean, there are so many positive things happening in the government, in the country.
01:04:07.240
It's kind of incredible, like the optimism people are feeling, et cetera. But when I see even these
01:04:13.480
little corrections, you know, like the Bezos-Musk thing, to me, that's just a perfect moment in human
01:04:21.720
behavior. When I see Trump listen to the public and say, oh, you're having a problem with this Mike
01:04:27.000
Rogers thing, so let me fix that. That's perfect. I'm not asking for anybody to be right about
01:04:34.920
everything in the first draft, not even the second draft. But if you respond to the situation,
01:04:43.560
and you respond in a common sense way, and you show respect to your base, and you're listening
01:04:48.040
to what they're saying, and you hear what they're saying, that's kind of perfect. I'm not looking for
01:04:54.680
no mistakes. That's not my standard. Mistakes are ordinary. I'm looking for, do you have a system
01:05:02.440
that can quickly identify and correct a mistake? Yes, Trump has a system. He listens. He pays
01:05:09.880
attention. And here's the important part. He knows which part of his base are credible.
01:05:17.320
So if you've got a Glenn Greenwald, and you've got a, you know, Mike Benz, and half a dozen other
01:05:25.000
people, I think Mike Cernovich, if you've got those kind of people on the same side, and they're making
01:05:31.800
a big deal about it, it's not a small point, it's a big point. And then the boss says, okay, I hear you.
01:05:38.520
That's exactly what I want. Like, that's the country I want to live in. I want to know that ordinary
01:05:45.880
people can influence the influencers. It happens to me all the time. Or, you know, just people who are not
01:05:53.160
famous make a good point. And I say, oh, that's a good point. And then I say it out loud, and some
01:05:59.560
other influencer hears it and repeats it. All right. Here's the favorite, my favorite thing about the
01:06:06.760
doge thing, where Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy are going to try to cut the fat out of the government
01:06:16.520
and reduce our costs. We're going to watch two of the smartest, most effective operators that we've
01:06:26.200
ever seen, Vivek and Elon. And we're going to watch them attack an impossible problem.
01:06:35.240
Because I literally can't think of any way you could do this. I can't think of any way they could
01:06:40.200
succeed. Because the big things to cut are the sacred cows. So when we watch their strategy,
01:06:49.320
as they approach this, you're going to see the smartest people in the world do the smartest things
01:06:55.480
against the most impossible task. How fun is that? Like, I wouldn't even know how to bet on this thing.
01:07:02.360
Because on one hand, it's definitely an impossible task. On the other hand, it's Vivek and Elon.
01:07:12.200
How do you bet on that? I mean, seriously, how could you place a bet on that? They could actually
01:07:18.520
get this done. I don't know how, but that's the fun part. The fun part is, I don't know how this is
01:07:25.160
possible. But they might. Now, I don't think they have it solved. I think they're still, you know,
01:07:32.840
walking around the car and kicking the tires and finding out what works. They're putting up some
01:07:39.320
test balloons, you know, some statements, a little bit of a, you know, article in the,
01:07:44.360
I don't know, Wall Street Journal someplace. And then people react to it.
01:07:47.640
So one of the things they're doing is they're going to do a blog where they're fully transparent.
01:07:55.720
Now, what would make you comfortable with two unelected people and not even nominated?
01:08:03.160
They're not elected and they're not nominated, but having this massive control over the country,
01:08:09.960
the world, and you. How would you feel comfortable with that? Only one way.
01:08:18.440
Full transparency. So that's what they're giving us. They're telling you how they're doing it.
01:08:24.440
They're modeling it in advance. They're telling you what they're thinking. They're telling you their
01:08:29.080
early thinking, which might change. And one of their early thinkings is that if they simply make
01:08:37.080
the government go into the office instead of work from home, there would be a huge number of people
01:08:42.840
who just resign because they don't want to commute to which they would say, good, that's part of the job
01:08:49.640
done. Then their next play. And again, this is stuff that smart people come up with that. I don't
01:08:57.400
know if I would have. They say that there are a lot of the red tape and let's say rules and regulations
01:09:05.400
that the government has that were not passed by Congress. They're not an executive order. It's
01:09:11.400
just these entities are coming up with their own rules. And if you simply get rid of all the rules
01:09:17.560
you don't need that are more problem than they are solution, then all the people who work on those
01:09:23.320
rules don't need to be employed. Because there must be a massive number of people who make sure that the
01:09:28.760
rules are being followed. So instead you just say, we don't need all these rules. Get rid of them.
01:09:35.320
And then you can get rid of the staff that enforced the rules and made the rules.
01:09:41.400
But if you add all those things together, that might be one percent of what they want to get done.
01:09:47.800
But they're leading with that. Why would they lead with that?
01:09:55.000
Because it's common sense. Because they're thinking about it. They're being transparent.
01:10:01.000
And it is something that looks like it would work. The most important thing they have to do is make
01:10:06.280
something work early. It could be small, but it has to work. So if the first thing they did was say,
01:10:12.840
all right, here's a batch of rules that we think we can just get rid of them. And here's the team of
01:10:19.320
people that's going to leave as soon as those rules leave. Boom. Look at us. Two weeks in,
01:10:26.040
and we just got rid of 300 administrators who weren't useful. So what you see early, you should
01:10:35.800
interpret it as the new CEO move, meaning that by far the most important thing. I'm seeing something
01:10:46.280
about Mike Rogers here. It's Dan Scavino who said that Trump was not considering Mike Rogers. So it
01:10:57.000
didn't come from Trump directly. It went through Dan Scavino, but you can trust Scavino on that.
01:11:03.160
If you didn't know, Dan Scavino is one of the longest, closest Trump supporters. So if Scavino says
01:11:16.040
that Trump said something or didn't say something, you can take that to the bank. You don't have to
01:11:21.400
ask any more questions. Yeah. He's 100%. So anyway, the hard part, as you all know, is that you can't
01:11:31.080
touch the Medicare and Social Security and it's going to be tough to touch the military. Although,
01:11:37.480
interestingly, Cenk Uyghur offered to Elon to help him cut the defense budget because he said,
01:11:46.280
hey, Democrats have wanted to cut the defense budget forever. Why can't I help? And then immediately,
01:11:51.960
Cenk was piled on by Democrats saying, what the hell are you doing helping these Republicans? And Cenk,
01:12:00.360
quite reasonably said, why can't we do the thing we all agree on?
01:12:07.080
What exactly is the reason I should not be putting my time and energy and reputation
01:12:11.880
into the thing I've most wanted to do for years, which is get rid of unnecessary defense spending?
01:12:17.320
And Elon's reaction was he's open to suggestions. Now, I don't think that Cenk was offering to join the
01:12:27.160
committee exactly or join DOGE, but he might have some ideas. And Musk says, sure.
01:12:34.280
Sure. We like ideas. So we'll see if that goes anywhere.
01:12:41.960
So here's what I'm most interested in. I do think that Vivek and Musk, they have to have some idea
01:12:50.120
of what to do about the big, untouchable parts of the budget. Otherwise, they wouldn't even try.
01:12:58.040
Because if they thought the best they could do is take $200 billion out of the small part of the budget,
01:13:04.760
that doesn't get you anywhere close. I mean, you've got to take $2 trillion out of your $6 trillion
01:13:12.200
to get down to a balanced budget. And $2 trillion is not even close to what you can get from people
01:13:19.000
quitting on their own because they don't want to commute. Plus, we got rid of some regulations,
01:13:23.400
so we don't need this department, not even close. And a lot of things that would be eliminated
01:13:29.640
doesn't mean that the funding is eliminated. For example, if they take the Department of Education
01:13:35.960
and they say, let's blow this up and give it to the states,
0.98
01:13:39.400
the states would probably get most of that money except for the administrative part.
01:13:45.480
So I don't really see a path how any of this can work.
01:13:48.440
And I would still bet that they can get it done. Because they're, you know, both of them operate at a
01:13:56.360
level I can't quite get to. And both of them seem to have optimism that they can make something happen.
01:14:04.600
So what would they do with health care? And well, let's just pick one.
01:14:10.120
No, was it welfare or was it social security? So social security and health care. Do you think,
01:14:21.960
now, and keep in mind that Vivek, you know, knows the medical world better than most people.
01:14:29.080
So do you think that they could come up with something that would radically change what those
01:14:33.320
things are so that the cost of them comes down and yet the public is still served?
01:14:41.080
I think so. I don't know what it would be, but I can sort of smell it before I see it.
01:14:48.280
I feel like there's a way to do it. For example, let's say, let's say they promoted,
01:14:56.520
I'm just going to brainstorm for a minute. So don't take any of this too seriously.
01:15:00.440
Suppose they said, um, AI is so close to being your doctor that if you want low cost healthcare,
01:15:08.200
we'll make sure that that healthcare AI sector gets really turbocharged so that there's basically
01:15:15.160
a government doctor and everybody has instant access. So if you've got a smartphone, you got a
01:15:20.200
doctor, it's free. Then what about medicines? Do you think they could figure out a way to
01:15:26.600
bring down the cost of meds? Well, here's the interesting thing. That's what Mark Cuban's
01:15:33.080
business is trying to do. So Mark Cuban's had some success with specific drugs, but it looks like
01:15:39.080
that could increase and he has lowered the cost of some meds. Now I think that Vivek and Musk, along with
01:15:47.800
Trump, could negotiate with the big pharma to spread some of that cost to other countries.
01:15:57.000
Because right now the US pays a premium for the drugs, other poor countries get them for low cost
01:16:04.520
because America's paying for all the overhead and development effectively worth subsidizing.
01:16:10.200
So what if they figured out a way to stop subsidizing or just make it illegal, make it illegal to sell it
01:16:16.440
for more in the United States than other places? And that would move this subsidy to the other places.
0.84
01:16:22.120
How much would that save? A few hundred billion? It could be a pretty big deal.
01:16:30.360
So, so then what would be missing, let's say if your drug costs come down through better negotiating
01:16:36.280
and your cost of talking to an expert, whether it's a doctor or a specialist, drops to zero,
01:16:44.040
because that's possible. The cost of talking to a doctor could be completely replaced by AI.
01:16:51.560
Then what you have is the physical manipulation part, where if somebody has to put something on you,
01:16:57.560
you know, like put a bandage on you or set your bone or something, you still need to do that.
01:17:02.440
But I'll bet there's a way to make that more competitive as well. So, so I think it's going
01:17:09.800
to have to be an entire re-engineering and restructuring of what healthcare looks like,
01:17:15.320
maybe with AI. And then if you're looking at social security, I'll bet, I'll bet there's a way to
01:17:24.600
make sure that people are doing something useful for their money without being on social security.
01:17:32.920
Suppose you said you could trade away your social security, but there's this other thing you can
01:17:40.840
get. How many people would say, oh, I don't need my social security. I did well in life,
01:17:47.400
but I like this other thing that you're offering. So I'll, I'll take this other thing. Suppose he said
01:17:53.800
that if you voluntarily give up your social security forever because you're rich, uh, that you'll be
01:18:02.120
first in line for a trip to Mars. That's the bad idea. So that's, that's an example of the bad
01:18:09.000
suggestion that might make you think of a better one. Like what, what could you trade for people to
01:18:15.640
give up their social security? It's possible. Well, speaking of doge, China apparently has an
0.82
01:18:25.080
even bigger problem with red tape because a ton of the Chinese workers are involved in creating and
1.00
01:18:31.960
maintaining red tape and reporting things. So I guess if you're in China business, uh, a whole bunch
01:18:39.960
of your life is just doing reports on what's happening in your, your job. So even president
01:18:46.440
Xi wants the country to learn how to not be that way because they also have, you know, huge overhead.
01:18:55.640
So, um, here's what they say that they spend too much energy pretending they're implementing policy.
01:19:02.760
This is according to one expert named Lee, uh, centralization is good for political decisions.
01:19:09.160
However, for economics, you do need a certain kind of chaos. So they're, they're, uh,
01:19:16.440
commercial stuff in China is so over regulated, I guess you'd say that it's like a big wet blanket on
01:19:24.440
it. So as I've said before, the doge thing is not just about fixing our debt. If we can figure out
01:19:33.880
how to have a more efficient, smarter government system, one that makes sense. And in the current
01:19:40.360
times that is a gigantic, gigantic military and economic benefit. So watching Musk, who of course
01:19:51.080
would be an expert in the entrepreneurial arts realize that the biggest obstacle is the government.
01:19:57.800
And then he's the one who's right in the middle of trying to fix it. And so it works for, um,
01:20:03.000
commerce. Do you think China can match that? Let's say they pull it off. Let's say Vivek and Elon pull
01:20:10.120
it off and they really modernize our government in a way that's still compatible with the constitution.
01:20:16.840
In fact, maybe more compatible with it. Um, and, and still gets everything done,
01:20:23.560
but we can do things quickly such as approve a nuclear power plant. Just to pick one example.
01:20:31.400
How much would the United States be different if we had an efficient way to say yes to a nuclear
0.93
01:20:37.720
power project? Well, we're getting closer to that. The government is working in that direction.
01:20:43.000
But if, if we could really just kill that, you know, just slay that opportunity, so to speak,
01:20:50.120
that'd be huge. So I think, I think the fate of the United States really depends on doge. And I don't
0.55
01:20:56.520
think there's another country that can match us because there is one thing we have that other countries
01:21:03.560
don't have. We've got a dictator. Yeah. The dictator Trump has basically decided to voluntarily share
01:21:17.640
power with an unelected person who simply got the best ideas. Now, two of them, you know, Vivek as well.
01:21:26.440
So remember, I always told you that the person with the best idea is always in charge.
01:21:29.880
And you probably thought that's a small idea. And then, oh, maybe that works in that one meeting
01:21:36.520
you were in, Scott, but that's like not generally true. Oh, it's true. The person with the best idea
01:21:42.600
is always in charge. So Elon comes in with the best idea, which is how about you take the smartest,
01:21:49.320
most badass entrepreneur working with other smartest, smartest, badass entrepreneurs,
01:21:55.480
and we try to fix our most critical problem in the, in the government. What's Trump going to say to
01:22:01.560
that? No, that's a bad idea. No, it's a great idea. It's like the greatest idea I've seen,
01:22:08.760
like maybe ever. It's such a great idea. It's almost, you can't even hold it in your mind.
01:22:13.640
It's such a great idea. And so Trump says, yes, if he were a dictator, he would not be sharing power.
01:22:21.240
That's just not how that works. Now he's of course, confident enough. Trump is that he's still,
01:22:28.040
he's still the president. So he gets what he wants. But if Musk and Ramaswamy come up with an idea,
01:22:35.800
that's just so good that the public says, oh yeah, that's just a good idea. Trump's going to say yes,
01:22:42.680
because the best idea always wins and they're going to be coming. They're going to be coming
01:22:49.640
with ideas. All right. A couple of things, how to fix the Democrats. The Democrats are trying to figure
01:22:56.360
out how to recover. I have the following comments about that. Number one, identity politics is a
01:23:03.320
permanent death. I don't think there's a path to recovery where I think the Democrats are thinking,
01:23:09.960
okay, you know, it's sort of business as usual. We just have to do a little better,
01:23:15.000
you know, better messaging, you know, maybe organize our campaign a little differently.
01:23:20.760
It's not that. It's the identity stuff. The identity stuff is what made everything crazy.
01:23:27.800
It's what, it's what, you know, made Democrats walk away.
01:23:33.240
If they don't get rid of the identity politics, they don't have any way to recover.
01:23:37.880
But here's the trick. If they do get rid of the identity politics,
01:23:42.680
then they're just Republicans and they don't have any reason to exist. So you can't keep the identity
01:23:49.720
politics, but you also can't get rid of it because it would just destroy them for years.
0.55
01:23:56.680
The Republicans never entered the identity politics, so they have no burden to get rid of it or change
01:24:02.760
anything in that regard. They're completely unburdened by it. But there's no way to fix it.
01:24:09.800
So the Democrats painted themselves in a corner that literally doesn't have a way out. I don't
01:24:15.880
think there is. Now, let me suggest one Hail Mary way that they could get out of it.
01:24:25.480
I think that the media runs the Democrats more than the other way around. And if the media decided
01:24:34.760
only to tell stories that were true and useful and common sense, that it would force Democrats
01:24:42.200
to be useful and common sense. Because the media would say, here's a great idea and here's a terrible
01:24:48.440
idea. What are the Democrats going to say if it's their own media? Right? If CNN says, oh,
01:24:55.640
this new idea is just a terrible idea. And then you're a Democrat and you turn on the TV like, oh,
01:25:01.080
shoot, CNN thinks this is a terrible idea. What does MSNBC say? Oh God, they hate it too.
01:25:08.520
The media runs the politics. So if the media somehow, and I don't see a way this could happen,
01:25:15.160
but if the media started to become a legitimate contributor to the country instead of whatever
01:25:22.840
they are, they could actually change the whole Democrat machine. And in fact, the media could
01:25:31.080
get them out of their identity politics whole just by the way they frame things and just de-emphasize
01:25:37.800
it, et cetera. Don't do continuous trans stories all day long. That's the media, right? It wasn't
01:25:44.360
the Democrat politicians who kept saying, can we talk about trans some more? It wasn't them,
01:25:52.520
it was the media. So if the media fixes itself, the media that supports the Democrats,
01:25:59.000
then that could cause the Democrats to make the adjustments, which might make them more mainstream,
01:26:03.400
which would make them competitive. But how is the media going to change?
01:26:06.440
I don't see how that's going to happen. Unless MSNBC just goes away and the others say we'd better
01:26:15.160
better shape up. But the other possibility is that they get a new charismatic Democratic leader
01:26:22.840
and people are voting for the person, not the policies, totally policy. So if you got another
01:26:27.640
once in a generation kind of leader, maybe another Obama type, maybe. But if they don't get an Obama
01:26:41.800
type and they don't get their media to fix the media's own problems, there's no way to come back.
01:26:48.920
They seem to be in a permanent exile. So Democrats are coming up with some new fake fears because this
01:26:58.120
is some more evidence of how the media can't fix itself. So the media on the left, they don't have
01:27:06.280
enough to complain about from Trump. So they're making up some new fake ones. Of course, that's what
01:27:11.400
they do. So one of them is that they're saying that Pete Hegseth, who's nominated for Secretary of
01:27:18.040
Defense, they claim that he says women are not qualified for military service. That, of course,
01:27:24.920
is not true. He did not claim that. In fact, like the fine people hoax, he worried that you might think
01:27:32.120
it, so he made sure that you knew he wasn't saying that. I mean, I watched him do that. He very clearly
01:27:38.120
says, yes, I have worked with women in the military who were great at their jobs. He's talking about
01:27:45.400
combat. Now, I don't have an opinion about that because I think the people who've been in combat
01:27:52.120
are the ones I would listen to. So if you've been in combat or you know a lot of people who've been in
01:27:57.480
combat and those people say, I got to tell you, I love women. I love them in support roles. I've
0.96
01:28:03.960
worked with a lot. I've done great. But when the bullets start flying, and I heard a special forces
01:28:10.600
guy say this. I forget who it was. It was on some podcast recently. And this is super sexist. So I'm
01:28:17.720
just reporting what somebody else said. This is not my own observation. He said that when the bullets
01:28:23.480
start flying, that the women freeze up. And that he's seen them multiple times. And that the men,
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either through training or selection or whatever it is, are more likely to go on offense, which might
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be exactly what you need for the best defense. But they kind of had to push the women in the direction
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they needed to go. Now, that's anecdotal. And I don't support that interpretation. It's just
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one that got some attention. But if the people who have been in that situation
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collectively say, yeah, there's something to it, I would listen to that. And by the way,
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I have no interest in women being in combat. Like, I don't like it. It offends me
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01:29:11.480
on a DNA level. Like, it's not even politics. It's just my DNA can't handle it.
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Like, it's just no. How about just no? Because part of being a man is that you feel like you're
01:29:29.480
protecting women and children. I don't know. Is that built into us? Or am I socialized that way?
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Or is it just natural? So when you tell me, oh, the woman you're trying to protect is standing next
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to you in the hail of gunfire. I'm like, no, no, no, no, no. You're making my contribution worth less.
01:29:51.400
I'm protecting her. That's my job. So anyway, I'm no expert on military whatsoever. But if the
01:30:00.200
people who are experts say that women in combat, remember, it's just combat we're talking about.
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If they say there's a difference and that it matters and it affects our readiness,
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I say the military is the one place you can discriminate all you want.
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Because the military is about staying alive. It's not about being woke. So if there's any
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good evidence that something needs to be a certain way to get a better result,
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we have to chase the better result. That's all that matters. It's the military. Got to get the
01:30:35.560
better result, whatever that takes. And then they're also worried that since Pete Hegseth was
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accused of something that there were no charges of and didn't sound credible to the local police,
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that the women in the military would be afraid that the military would start raping all the women
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even more than already, which is actually a gigantic problem,
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because Hegseth wouldn't do enough about it. And that's just totally made up.
01:31:06.760
There's nothing about the Hegseth allegations, even if they were true, which it doesn't look like they
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were. But even if they were true, it would have been, well, it's true that an encounter happened.
01:31:22.600
But I don't think that's going to have any effect on how he does his business.
01:31:29.720
Anyway, that's more fake news coming. Meanwhile, Russia used a hypersonic missile for the first time
01:31:37.480
in Ukraine. And I guess I missed, the first time I saw that news, I missed the point of it.
01:31:41.800
And I just thought, huh, a new missile. So? But apparently the reason for using the supersonic missile
01:31:50.200
is to show that it can't be stopped by any of the anti-missile defenses. And indeed, it was not stopped
01:31:57.000
by any of the anti-missile defenses. And then they point out, you know, we could put a nuke on this.
01:32:02.120
Oh. Oh, shit. So what Putin was doing was showing his nuclear capability without the nuclear.
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He said, here's my rocket. Try to stop it. Oh, he couldn't stop it. It just blew up your facility
01:32:19.400
in the middle of Ukraine. Well, you know, I could have put a nuke on that. And you wouldn't have
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01:32:24.280
stopped that either. So maybe you think twice about bombing things inside of Russia.
01:32:31.080
Yeah. So I think that's a pretty smart play from Putin. But I'm going to double down and triple down
01:32:42.200
on we've never been safer. And there's never been a less chance of nuclear war. Because Putin and
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everybody else in the world knows that Trump the big dog is coming. It's going to be a few weeks.
01:32:54.920
He's going to negotiate a peace. It's going to be, you know, some land they keep. It's going to look
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sort of like it looks now. Why would you start a nuclear war if you know that it's going to wind
01:33:07.000
down in a fairly acceptable way? Almost for sure. Probably it will look like we will commit not to
01:33:15.560
bring NATO into Ukraine. Probably it means that Russia keeps most of what they already have.
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Something like that. So, no. You don't start a nuclear war when all of your problems are going
01:33:30.920
to be solved the way you want them to be solved or very close to it in a few weeks. There has never been
01:33:38.040
a safer time in the world's history. Never. We're the safest we've ever been. It just doesn't feel like it
01:33:45.400
sometimes. All right. I wanted to give you my... I've gone way too long. So, if you want to leave,
01:33:55.720
I wouldn't feel bad about it. But I wanted to give you my ADHD hacks. So, these are the tricks I use
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to conquer my own ADHD. Sorry. Now, do I have ADHD? Well, I've never been diagnosed with it.
01:34:13.800
But I do know that there are huge portions of the day when I can't possibly concentrate and focus and
01:34:19.880
work. So, I've developed a number of tools and habits and techniques that I will share with you
01:34:27.800
now. So, if there are those of you who are maybe in the category I am, which is, I don't know if I'm
01:34:34.360
technically ADHD, but I exhibit those characteristics. However, I can tame them through habits and tricks.
01:34:45.560
And here they are. Trick number one. I wake up at 4.30 in the morning, no matter what. If you tell
01:34:53.640
yourself that sometimes you can sleep in, that won't work for you. You have to do it every day.
01:35:00.280
And you have to learn to love it. I learned to love it by training myself with coffee and a protein
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bar, which when you put them together, they're like a really good taste together. So, I would get all
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this like immediate physical gratification within minutes of waking up. So, 4.30 in the morning,
01:35:20.440
I keep all of my lights off and I've got my blackout curtains down so that the only light is in my
01:35:28.440
immediate four foot, maybe a four foot diameter. I can't even see or hear anything outside of my
01:35:35.560
four feet. Under those conditions, when nobody else is awake, you know, that would be here in person,
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I have complete focus. And I don't think too much about anything on my calendar that day.
01:35:51.320
And I enjoy the heck out of the comments coming in from the DMs from people I love online.
01:35:58.120
And I love the news. So, I'm immediately in this, you know, dopamine positive situation. Now,
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how do people who do boring things make it work? Well, it's a lot harder if it's boring,
01:36:15.240
you know, because I do things that I personally like a lot. So, I'm excited for several hours because
01:36:21.400
I'm just doing only the things I want to do, but I'm lucky that way. I do, like every other job,
01:36:27.000
I have a whole bunch of boring things I have to do. Paperwork and spreadsheets and insurance and
01:36:32.920
taxes. It just never ends. I can't do those things at two o'clock in the afternoon. My body just won't
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do it. I can't even force myself to sit in the chair. I've got a million things swirling around.
01:36:47.720
By the time my dog wakes up, my productivity goes down 25%. Does anybody have that experience?
01:36:54.680
If you work at home, the minute your dog wakes up, 25% of your productivity gone. If there are
01:37:01.400
kids in the house or people who you work with who start calling you early in the morning,
01:37:06.200
another 50% gone. You'll lose 75% of your concentration just because other people are awake.
01:37:14.040
So, get up before they do. That's my hack. But there are more. I also found out that since my body and
01:37:21.560
my brain are really the same device, that if I want to control my brain, as in making a focus better,
01:37:28.760
I do that by controlling my body. So, in the first example, I was putting coffee and a protein bar that
01:37:36.120
I really, really liked into my body. And that was making my brain happy. If it's the afternoon,
01:37:42.200
and I've already done that stuff, I will exercise. So, I'll either go for a nice walk in the sun or do
01:37:50.360
some weights or something. But the exercise makes me not want to move my body around. And when I
01:37:59.880
don't want to get out of my chair, because I just exercised and I'm relaxing, I can focus.
01:38:06.440
So, I can control my brain by making my body run or walk or play a game or lift heavy objects
01:38:13.800
for 90 minutes. And then I just want to sit in a chair. But I'm going to be bored if I'm just sitting
01:38:19.240
in a chair. So, I might as well look at that spreadsheet, get my taxes done, that sort of thing.
01:38:27.080
Anyway, so those are some tricks. Use your exercise to put yourself back in that condition.
01:38:32.600
My other trick is I go to Starbucks when my, by around 11am, you know, after I've gotten ready
01:38:40.040
for the day and stuff, walk the dog. I need to dip back into work, but my brain's already spinning.
01:38:48.120
A hundred things happening in the real world. I can't focus now. So, I go to Starbucks. Now,
01:38:55.080
this is also a hack because Starbucks is noisy and busy, but for reasons that I don't fully understand,
01:39:04.120
there's a lot of science to it, that a cafe environment allows you to focus really well.
01:39:10.840
I'll tell you what I think it is. For some reason, when there are people all around me and literally
01:39:17.880
standing next to my table, I often take a table that's right next to the line where people are waiting
01:39:23.320
for their stuff. And so, often, I'll be working and there'll be somebody's butt, like right here.
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And they're having a conversation, like right above me. And you would say to yourself,
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well, that's the most distracting thing. There's no way you can concentrate on that. I can concentrate
01:39:43.080
so well in that situation because somehow my brain says, oh, you need to turn all this stuff off.
01:39:50.760
And I just turn it off. And I go, zoop. And apparently, it's a reproducible thing because
01:39:58.120
cafe sounds. I can't do it with just the sounds. It doesn't work. I have to actually be in the
01:40:03.800
environment. So, I can get another 90 minutes of work just by changing the environment.
01:40:10.760
I call this matching my energy to the task. So, you got to change your energy
01:40:15.480
to match the task. So, at 4.30 in the morning, the only way I can work is I have no distractions.
01:40:26.280
But by 11 in the morning, the only way I can work is if I'm in a full, busy cafe. Now, if you have not
01:40:35.560
experimented to discover those two things about yourself, or you might have two different things
01:40:40.920
that work for you, you got to look for it. You got to do a little work. You got to go look for it.
01:40:48.040
Anyway, experiment on that. And that's all I got for you. I'm going to talk to the locals people
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for a minute. I went too long. There's lawnmowers outside. All right. YouTube and X and Rumble,
01:40:59.720
thanks for joining. I'll see you again tomorrow, same time. Locals, I'm coming at you.
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