Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2674 CWSA 11⧸29⧸24

00:00:00.000 We're going to have the best show ever.

00:00:03.300 It might not be obvious why, but it's because everything's awesome.

00:00:09.400 And you're going to have a good time.

00:00:13.680 Just wait. You just wait.

00:00:17.280 All right, almost ready.

00:00:18.640 Do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:23.400 Do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:26.160 Do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:29.060 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:34.320 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and darn it, you've never had a better time.

00:00:39.120 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand

00:00:44.280 with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:00:46.900 all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:50.320 a tanker, chalice, a stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:54.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:55.680 I like coffee.

00:00:58.260 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:01.480 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:02.960 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:06.220 Go.

00:01:12.120 Delicious.

00:01:12.520 By the way, if you're listening later on Spotify, where this gets uploaded after I'm done,

00:01:19.300 I hear the commercials are insanely loud compared to the content.

00:01:25.620 I don't think that happens any on the other platforms.

00:01:28.280 So you can always listen on a different platform because the studio I'm using only sends one

00:01:37.620 audio signal to all the different platforms.

00:01:41.760 So, oh, it doesn't send it to Spotify, though, does it?

00:01:46.320 I guess Spotify is adding the commercials on the platform.

00:01:50.200 So I'm not sure how to fix that.

00:01:51.440 I'll look into it.

00:01:52.100 Well, you would not be surprised, according to SciPost, that whole coffee cherry extract

00:01:59.820 supplement might improve working memory.

00:02:02.200 Now, you might say to me, what is a coffee cherry?

00:02:06.520 And how do you take the cherry from the coffee?

00:02:09.780 And the answer is the cherry is the coating to the coffee bean, I guess.

00:02:16.740 And normally, when you drink coffee, they remove that part.

00:02:20.960 But the part they remove is awesome.

00:02:25.700 It's awesome.

00:02:26.880 So apparently, if you were to eat the part they remove, you'd have a good working memory.

00:02:31.320 Now, I don't take a chance.

00:02:32.940 So what I do is I grow a coffee tree in my backyard.

00:02:38.020 And then every morning, I just go out and I lick the bark, you know, the leaves.

00:02:43.680 And I definitely eat all the cherries.

00:02:45.440 So that's what I do.

00:02:48.340 This would be a good time to remind you not to take any medical advice from me.

00:02:55.180 Not once.

00:02:58.160 By the way, if you notice behind me, where you can almost read it, there are the one,

00:03:05.320 two, three, four, five best things you can buy as a gift.

00:03:09.680 I actually promise you that if you know somebody who likes reading books,

00:03:14.340 at least one of these books is going to work for everybody.

00:03:19.160 You can hit every person.

00:03:21.920 If it's somebody who doesn't know anything about me and doesn't know anything about Dilbert,

00:03:27.340 you want to go for the Reframe Your Brain.

00:03:30.020 That just works for everybody.

00:03:32.840 And how to fail at almost everything and still win big.

00:03:35.960 Those are guaranteed to make them happy.

00:03:38.560 If they're political and they like stuff like how to learn persuasion, win big leaves the book.

00:03:43.840 And if they're philosophical and they like to think about the nature of reality itself,

00:03:49.900 then God's Debris of the Complete Works would be the way to go.

00:03:53.820 And if they are Dilbert fans, but they don't care about the politics or the persuasion,

00:04:00.660 then get the 2025 Dilbert calendar.

00:04:03.180 Now, the important thing is that the calendar is only available at a link you can find at Dilbert.com.

00:04:09.840 The books are on Amazon.

00:04:11.860 So if you want the book, just search Amazon.

00:04:13.920 They'll all pop up.

00:04:15.980 But the calendar, I would get that right away.

00:04:19.440 Because I can't guarantee that if you get it a week before Christmas, it's going to show up.

00:04:24.500 Right?

00:04:24.960 So I wouldn't wait on the calendar.

00:04:26.860 We're making those as we get orders.

00:04:29.820 So sooner is better.

00:04:33.220 Anyway, scientists, according to NoRidge, have made magic polymers that can pull water from the thin air with less energy.

00:04:44.660 So there's all kinds of scientific breakthroughs in creating water out of the air.

00:04:53.060 But it all takes energy.

00:04:55.460 And this one takes way less energy.

00:04:57.380 So it's not going to power your city.

00:05:00.720 But it might help you in an emergency.

00:05:04.540 Well, there's the first asthma treatment breakthrough in half a century, according to Kent Live News.

00:05:11.740 It's a game changer, they say.

00:05:14.020 Some kind of vaccination, they say, will substantially decrease your asthma tax.

00:05:20.060 Well, I don't know.

00:05:21.300 It might take a couple of years before that works its way through the system.

00:05:24.500 We'll see.

00:05:25.000 I'm skeptical of everything.

00:05:29.740 There's a prebiotic supplement of something called inulin.

00:05:36.140 And, of course, fructulogalacosaccharide.

00:05:40.720 I'm pretty sure I pronounced that exactly right.

00:05:43.560 And it boosts brain function in old people.

00:05:46.880 Huh.

00:05:47.040 But here's the interesting part.

00:05:49.760 What it does is it changes your gut chemistry.

00:05:55.800 And here's an actual sentence from the article.

00:06:00.020 See if this sounds familiar to you.

00:06:05.280 Quote, evidence for the close relationship between the gut and the brain is growing year after year.

00:06:11.200 Now, watch this part.

00:06:14.180 See if this sounds like me.

00:06:16.580 Some experts are now so convinced by the results, they refer to the gut as the body's second brain.

00:06:24.920 What do I tell you almost every day?

00:06:28.380 Almost every day I tell you that your body is your brain.

00:06:31.100 There's no such thing as the brain in its own little closed off area.

00:06:36.740 And then your body is your body.

00:06:38.680 No, your body is your brain.

00:06:40.580 If you don't have all that chemistry right in your body, your brain isn't working.

00:06:45.980 Period.

00:06:46.280 So, your brain and your body are one tool.

00:06:52.040 All right.

00:06:53.100 Reportedly, Elon Musk is going to use his AI called XAI and do a little standalone app.

00:07:01.060 So, right now, it only exists in X as Grok.

00:07:05.640 But they're going to make their own standalone.

00:07:08.060 As far as I can tell, it seems way behind ChapGPT.

00:07:12.260 Because Grok, so far, doesn't have images and it doesn't have ability to talk to it.

00:07:22.080 There's a lot it doesn't do.

00:07:23.940 I don't know if it's going to catch up.

00:07:26.660 I keep seeing stories that say that Elon Musk's version is going to catch up to ChadGPT. 0.96

00:07:34.520 But it doesn't look like it's happening.

00:07:37.180 So, I mean, it could happen quickly if they make some big change, I suppose.

00:07:42.260 But I don't know.

00:07:43.880 Meanwhile, the oceans cool the planet more than we thought.

00:07:47.080 Also, according to No Ridge.

00:07:51.080 So, it turns out that the ocean gives off some kind of sulfur gas.

00:07:56.960 And that hadn't been totally understood.

00:07:59.860 And that sulfur gas cools the climate more than previously thought.

00:08:03.220 So, what they're doing is they're going back to all their climate models.

00:08:06.780 And now they're using this new knowledge about the sulfur that's coming out of the ocean and how it cools things to modify their models.

00:08:15.220 Now, here's an interesting question.

00:08:19.720 Why do they need to modify the models?

00:08:23.480 I've been told quite reliably that 98% of all scientists say the models are telling us enough of what we need to know.

00:08:32.320 I mean, nothing's perfect.

00:08:33.440 But they're telling us enough of what we need to know that we can put trillions and trillions of dollars into it.

00:08:39.640 So, why do we need to fix the models?

00:08:44.900 I thought you told me the models already worked.

00:08:48.280 Because you asked me for trillions of dollars.

00:08:53.400 So, why do I have a new story every single day about a new variable that they didn't know about that's very large.

00:09:01.240 And so, they're incorporating it into the models.

00:09:04.280 Any of you who have lived in the real world as long as I have, you know what that means, right?

00:09:09.680 If you have a model that's telling you the truth, and then you keep changing the model by adding variables almost every week,

00:09:19.480 and the variables are kind of big, and no matter what you do, you still get the same answer.

00:09:28.440 If you're 25, you think that means that climate change is real and they've got a real good beat on it.

00:09:34.060 When you're 65, the fact that they change it every week tells you that they don't know what they're doing.

00:09:44.120 It's a real big difference in experience.

00:09:47.720 Am I right?

00:09:49.220 Those of you who are older and have experience, when you see that they're adding a new variable to their complicated models,

00:09:55.500 and they're adding it every week, and they're big variables.

00:09:59.340 That tells you it's bullshit.

00:10:01.780 There's no other explanation.

00:10:03.220 There literally is no other explanation.

00:10:06.220 But if you're young, you just think, oh, the models were good before, and they're getting better.

00:10:14.480 No, that's not what's happening.

00:10:17.360 All right.

00:10:18.680 Meanwhile, according to the Daily Caller News Foundation,

00:10:22.580 America's most expensive DEI program is about to go away.

00:10:28.660 So, apparently, the University of Michigan had this, they've spent $250 million on DEI since 2016.

00:10:39.980 And students and faculty have reported a deteriorating campus climate.

00:10:45.680 And they got absolutely nothing out of it, except people feeling bad about each other.

00:10:57.900 So, that's what they got for $250 million.

00:11:01.940 Hey, does anybody know how they could have saved $250 million?

00:11:08.360 Is there anything they could have done?

00:11:14.040 Anybody they could have asked, hey, we just need your advice.

00:11:18.660 Should we spend $250 million on this?

00:11:21.500 Well, they should have asked Scott, because I would have told them, hmm, you know, if you divide people into groups and say that one of those groups is the oppressor and one group is the victim,

00:11:36.220 what's going to happen?

00:11:39.620 What's going to happen?

00:11:41.200 Use my giant brain to predict into the future.

00:11:44.400 You divide people into groups and you make one the oppressor and one the victim.

00:11:48.040 How does that turn out?

00:11:50.840 Oh, you wasted your $250 million.

00:11:54.840 That's a quarter of a billion.

00:11:57.600 Do you think that university could have done anything useful with a quarter of a billion dollars?

00:12:05.720 Like teaching classes better and paying teachers more and stuff like that?

00:12:11.520 By the way, the university is talking about shit canning the whole thing.

00:12:14.940 Because the program created, quote, a culture of grievance.

00:12:20.520 Huh.

00:12:21.340 Who could have seen that coming?

00:12:23.620 A culture of grievance.

00:12:26.400 Hmm.

00:12:27.400 Maybe they should have asked me.

00:12:30.300 Well, you can see that it's all happening now.

00:12:32.780 If the biggest, I think the biggest employer isn't, is Walmart the biggest employer outside the government?

00:12:40.100 So the government is the biggest employer.

00:12:43.000 They're going to get rid of DEI under Trump.

00:12:46.360 If you count the military, they're going to get rid of DEI.

00:12:50.720 Walmart, I don't know if they're the biggest company, at least employment-wise, but they're going to, they got rid of DEI.

00:12:56.880 And now the largest in the university world, in terms of spending and how much attention they gave it, looks like they're talking about just getting rid of it entirely.

00:13:10.980 Everything's going my way.

00:13:14.780 All right.

00:13:16.040 Meanwhile, according to The Hill, America's opinion of the Republican Party is on the rise.

00:13:21.060 And America's opinion of the Democrats is on the decline.

00:13:25.320 Okay.

00:13:27.260 Why?

00:13:28.820 Well, I don't know.

00:13:30.200 But in the poll, 45% of Americans said they feel favorable towards the Republicans.

00:13:34.940 Now it's still under 50%.

00:13:36.860 So it's not the best in the world.

00:13:39.520 But 45%, how does that compare to how people feel about Democrats?

00:13:45.660 Oh, not so well.

00:13:48.540 So GOP went, who said they felt unfavorable?

00:13:55.080 Oh, so both, the GOP went down a little bit, but it's still bigger than the Democrats.

00:14:02.060 The Democrats are, 39% had a good feeling about their party.

00:14:08.460 And more Republicans like their party.

00:14:11.860 That makes sense.

00:14:12.640 I mean, nobody's surprised by that, right?

00:14:15.040 Joe Rogan made a little news again, as he does.

00:14:21.920 You know, I'll tell you, the thing about Joe Rogan that is the least appreciated is the mistakes he doesn't make.

00:14:29.900 So you know how the dog not barking is the one you don't notice?

00:14:35.000 The mistakes that could easily be made that Joe Rogan doesn't make is kind of impressive.

00:14:43.820 I'm more and more of the opinion that Joe Rogan is just one of the smartest people we've ever seen in the public sphere.

00:14:53.400 But part of what makes him smart is he doesn't act smart.

00:14:58.520 He doesn't rub it in your face or wear a robe or something.

00:15:05.860 He just lives his life.

00:15:07.860 But if you sort of follow him for years, as I have, and many of you have, where are all the dumb things?

00:15:15.380 Have you noticed?

00:15:16.340 There's no dumb things.

00:15:17.360 Like, everybody who talks that much to that many people, they're going to have some dumb stuff in their catalog, right?

00:15:25.360 The dumbest thing that Joe Rogan has done has turned out to be right.

00:15:29.840 You know, like taking ivermectin and stuff like that.

00:15:33.140 So even the things he was criticized for the most, well, kind of turned out right.

00:15:39.700 But here's another one.

00:15:41.000 Apparently Zelensky wanted to come on Joe Rogan's podcast.

00:15:47.360 And according to Rogan, he said, Zelensky tried to come on.

00:15:52.080 Yeah, they tried to get Zelensky on, he says.

00:15:54.400 I was like, what are you talking about?

00:15:58.000 And he does sort of a weird voice because he's just joking.

00:16:01.600 What are you talking about?

00:16:03.440 So that was exactly the right response.

00:16:07.220 Now, don't put Zelensky on Joe Rogan's show.

00:16:11.840 So Rogan, quite correctly, realized this was a propaganda run.

00:16:17.360 And nothing good could come from it.

00:16:20.800 Now, remember, he wanted to talk to both the presidential candidates.

00:16:24.960 So if it was American business and it was political, he was all in.

00:16:29.360 He had Bernie Sanders on.

00:16:32.020 But Zelensky is not like the others.

00:16:36.120 He's just pure propaganda.

00:16:38.460 So Rogan's like, no.

00:16:40.860 So, again, if he had never told you that story, that Zelensky pitched it and he said no.

00:16:51.820 I mean, think about how big the ratings would have been.

00:16:54.860 It's not like he was unaware that the ratings would have been monumental.

00:16:59.560 Of course they would have been.

00:17:01.400 And he still said no.

00:17:04.460 And that was the right answer.

00:17:05.580 I think he got the right answer there.

00:17:10.920 Let's talk about Putin.

00:17:13.040 So Putin's psychology game is, I was going to say second to none, but it might be second to Trump.

00:17:21.740 One of the reasons that I think those two bond a little bit, you know, as adversaries, but they bond,

00:17:29.660 is that they're both so good at the psychology.

00:17:32.140 Just listen to what Putin says.

00:17:36.340 And I'm not going to try to convince you that Putin means every word he says and it's all completely honest.

00:17:43.340 We don't have to have that conversation, right?

00:17:45.740 We don't need any NPCs stormy in and saying, oh, you're Putin's puppet.

00:17:52.140 How could you believe what Putin said?

00:17:54.440 No, nothing like that's going to happen.

00:17:57.240 I'm going to tell you what Putin said.

00:17:59.720 I'm going to tell you what effect I think it had.

00:18:02.820 But I'm not going to tell you that Putin's the smartest person in the world and everything he says is true and we should do what he says.

00:18:09.500 All right.

00:18:09.980 So NPCs, calm down.

00:18:13.480 Calm down.

00:18:14.520 You can handle this.

00:18:16.000 All right.

00:18:19.100 So here are some of the things Putin said.

00:18:20.900 I guess he was at some event, made some news.

00:18:23.520 He said that Trump is intelligent and he will find a solution to the Ukraine war.

00:18:30.100 So interesting.

00:18:31.920 Trump gets criticized for calling Putin smart and capable.

00:18:37.540 And his critics say, what?

00:18:39.800 How can you compliment that monster?

00:18:42.840 Don't you know he's your enemy?

00:18:45.560 Stop saying good things about him.

00:18:48.380 But there's the enemy, allegedly, Putin.

00:18:51.960 And he's doing the same thing.

00:18:54.380 He's returning the compliment.

00:18:56.740 That's a pretty big compliment.

00:18:58.100 You know, if Putin says that you're intelligent and you're going to find a solution to the war, like almost matter-of-factly, whereas the current president did not find a solution to the war and it doesn't look like there was any chance that was ever going to happen.

00:19:14.020 You can see that Putin is trying to get on the good side of Trump.

00:19:19.300 Now, do you think Putin has intel that if he praises Trump and makes his ego feel good, that he might get a better deal?

00:19:29.820 Of course he does.

00:19:32.840 Because literally every person in America says, Trump just listens to the last person in the room and whoever kisses his ass the most.

00:19:40.880 Now, do you think anybody really knows that?

00:19:44.760 No.

00:19:45.280 Do you know why Trump listens to the last person in the room?

00:19:50.520 Does anybody know why?

00:19:54.040 Because at some point you have to be done.

00:19:57.580 You have to be done and make a decision at some point.

00:20:00.680 It's sort of like you find the lost thing in the last place you look.

00:20:05.020 Because the last place you look is where you found it.

00:20:08.260 So there's no place to look after you've found it.

00:20:11.020 So when the last person leaves the room, that's when he realizes that he's made a decision.

00:20:18.260 Because now he's heard both sides, but now he's heard the side he likes.

00:20:22.500 He wants to hear that one more time.

00:20:24.740 That's the one you want to hear before you make your decision.

00:20:27.580 The one that you were leaning toward.

00:20:29.580 Just to make sure it still sounds good.

00:20:31.660 So yes, it should be completely normal that in general, you're going to agree with the last person out of the room.

00:20:40.140 Yeah.

00:20:41.020 It's probably pretty normal.

00:20:42.580 It doesn't mean every time.

00:20:44.200 Well, but a lot of times it's just the most normal way that anything works.

00:20:48.620 However, let's see.

00:20:50.620 Sorry.

00:20:56.620 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

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00:21:07.320 You're richer than you think.

00:21:08.400 Putin said he was ready for peace talks with Ukraine without preconditions.

00:21:14.860 But on the same terms, he laid it out over the summer, which are preconditions.

00:21:19.580 So Putin says he wants to have a talk without preconditions, as long as we're taking all the preconditions into consideration.

00:21:28.600 The preconditions would be Ukraine decides not to be part of NATO.

00:21:34.420 And that basically Putin keeps the four areas that he already conquered and he already owns, basically.

00:21:42.780 So that sounds like exactly the deal we all know is going to happen.

00:21:50.380 So that's interesting.

00:21:52.680 Putin also said that he thinks Trump's life is in danger, was in danger and is now.

00:21:58.900 And even the cabinet members are at risk.

00:22:02.200 You know that Tom Holtman and at least someone else who was a cabinet pick got some death threats over the weekend.

00:22:10.360 So things are looking dangerous and Putin is warning that there's a genuine threat to Trump.

00:22:19.560 So here's what I want to know.

00:22:23.160 Do you think that Putin's intelligence, in other words, his intel departments, do you think that they know enough about the American government that they know that the Democrats are planning or somebody is planning to try to kill Trump?

00:22:40.100 Because there's no way we would know whether he is just saying that for a fact or if he actually has information.

00:22:49.360 Because he wouldn't want to give away that he has information because that would give away his sources and methods, right?

00:22:57.060 So the thing I wonder is, does Putin know more than we do about the threat?

00:23:04.660 Now, here again, I compliment Putin for his psychology game without being a supporter of him because he's a terrible, terrible murderer of people.

00:23:17.860 It's really smart for him to talk about the risk to Trump.

00:23:22.220 Because if nothing happens to Trump, then he's sort of a good guy who, you know, showed some empathy for Trump and warned him.

00:23:29.880 And if something does happen to Trump, he's the guy who warned him.

00:23:36.900 So warning Trump about the danger is just a smart play.

00:23:41.160 Like, it's good no matter what happens.

00:23:43.780 It's good for Putin. 0.97

00:23:44.760 It's not good for us.

00:23:48.820 And then Putin went and he legalized crypto in Russia and he slashed taxes on mining, mining for crypto, I guess.

00:23:58.080 I think that's what that means.

00:23:59.880 Um, and he, uh, trading income will be taxed at 13% and blah, blah, blah, more if it's more.

00:24:10.200 So basically, uh, he's big on crypto.

00:24:13.580 What do you think of that?

00:24:16.020 Well, you know, Trump is pro crypto compared to any prior president.

00:24:21.080 Um, and I've heard some people say that crypto is the only way the U.S. ends up financially okay.

00:24:31.860 And what I mean by that is that if you own some crypto, let's say Bitcoin specifically, um, it's odds of going up in value.

00:24:42.300 So the smart people say it's almost guaranteed.

00:24:46.360 Now, the, the counter argument would be there's something that we find out that we didn't know about.

00:24:51.900 So, and that's a pretty big risk.

00:24:54.220 For example, finding out that there's some way to hack or steal your crypto wallet that nobody could have seen coming.

00:25:03.100 Um, and no way to fix it.

00:25:05.200 Now, I haven't seen that, but you could sort of imagine that something that's a technology where there might be some vulnerability that you haven't seen yet.

00:25:17.340 Um, but if that doesn't happen, that alleged hypothetical vulnerability that nobody has quite seen yet, um, in all the, all of the, uh, all of the signals say that crypto will just keep going up basically forever.

00:25:33.620 So, if you had, for example, a bunch of cash investments and you add a little bit of crypto, your situation should be that your, your cash will, uh, inflate away to zero and your crypto will make up all the difference.

00:25:53.520 So if you had, I don't know what the percentages would be because nobody knows what the future is, but I'll just give you numbers to like kind of tell the story,

00:26:01.880 but don't get caught up on the percentages.

00:26:03.960 Okay.

00:26:04.920 So if, for example, 80% of your wealth was in cash, like things, you know, like stocks and bonds and cash that could actually go to zero.

00:26:18.280 It could over time.

00:26:19.780 I mean, not tomorrow, but it could go to zero over time just because of inflation.

00:26:24.300 So not actually zero, but, but it could become so little that, you know, you wish you didn't own it.

00:26:32.320 Crypto could make up all of that difference.

00:26:35.700 So if you had 20% crypto and 80% regular cash, you might find that the one going up is about matching the one going down.

00:26:45.580 But I'm not smart enough or wise enough to say that 20% crypto is a smart number.

00:26:50.740 It's not what I have.

00:26:51.760 I have less.

00:26:53.140 So I'm not giving you any advice on crypto.

00:26:55.640 This is not, not financial advice.

00:26:57.600 But if you're trying to figure out how in the world does the United States survive crippling debt that just can't be paid back, basically, it can't be paid back.

00:27:08.400 Let's be honest.

00:27:09.140 We're not going to pay back any $35 trillion, 36.

00:27:12.340 Nobody's getting paid back.

00:27:15.100 We're going to inflate it away.

00:27:17.620 And people will wish they didn't own it, basically.

00:27:20.840 So it could be that the only way out is crypto.

00:27:24.940 If the government owns some, as well as all the citizens, then we could pay our taxes, et cetera.

00:27:32.600 So then if you take that context and then you look at Putin legalizing crypto and trying to get ahead of crypto, could it be that Putin knows, because he's a pretty smart player, that Russia also has to have crypto or else they're doomed?

00:27:52.700 Or maybe he needs to own crypto to have some kind of leverage over the West.

00:27:57.720 So when I see Putin going hard at crypto, it makes me think that he might be thinking a few moves ahead of us.

00:28:10.180 So having Trump in office surrounded by smart people who are pro-crypto, it feels good.

00:28:18.400 I mean, I'm glad that the Trump administration, not Trump specifically, he's no crypto expert, but he's certainly surrounded by people who are going to advise him well on that, I think.

00:28:27.700 Meanwhile, France has announced that NetYahoo is entitled to immunity from the International Criminal Court because they're not a party to the court.

00:28:43.200 Now, why did it take me until today to realize that?

00:28:46.380 So the International Criminal Court has a bunch of countries that signed up, but it does not include the United States and it does not include Israel for, I guess, I suppose, obvious reasons, because they would be basically, we'd be the only ones taken to court.

00:29:04.000 So, and, but, but, but France is saying, we're not going to arrest somebody who'd never signed that treaty.

00:29:10.860 To which I say, oh, well, why did it never occur to me that, that you wouldn't arrest somebody who wasn't part of the treaty so they couldn't have broken it?

00:29:21.820 Makes sense.

00:29:22.540 Now, obviously, that was just a workaround because France doesn't want to be enemies with Israel.

00:29:28.540 But it's just funny that I didn't see that obvious play, that you can't arrest somebody who didn't sign up for it.

00:29:36.900 It's worth a shot.

00:29:39.700 Eric Weinstein agrees with me on physics.

00:29:44.600 The difference between us is that he is deeply, let's say, deeply invested and educated and experienced in the domain of physics and has his own well-educated, smart thoughts about string theory.

00:30:04.200 And his well-educated thoughts match my own thoughts for the past 20 years.

00:30:10.460 For at least 20 years, I've been saying, you know, this string theory thing, it sure has every signal for being bullshit.

00:30:20.560 Now, obviously, I have no science background whatsoever, but everything that I kept hearing about it, every time I heard something about it, I thought, you know, I don't think that even looks real.

00:30:33.840 It just doesn't even look real.

00:30:34.920 And Eric Weinstein says that string theory has sort of been the dominant thing people were trying to look at for the, you know, the theory of everything to tie everything together.

00:30:47.480 And that because it was so dominant as a promising direction that it blocked any real breakthroughs for 40 years.

00:30:56.300 And that at least Eric is confident or optimistic, I'll say, he's optimistic that after 40 years of not getting the job done, the physicist might be willing to look past it now.

00:31:13.760 And if they look past it, suddenly the possibility of major, major breakthroughs might be better.

00:31:22.080 Now, this is sort of one of those hunch kind of ideas, because you don't know what the future looks like.

00:31:29.980 So, you know, you don't know that there's something out there that's better than string theory and that we have access to it and it'll make a difference.

00:31:36.620 We don't know that.

00:31:37.520 But to me, it's a warm feeling to know that somebody who is as deep into this topic as Eric is, has exactly the same opinion I did as just somebody who can spot bullshit pretty easily.

00:31:53.680 The only thing I claim is not that I know what is true, but I can often spot what isn't.

00:32:01.300 So that's my only, my only comment on string theory is like, I don't know, every time I read a story about this, it's not that I think the science is wrong.

00:32:12.000 It's that everything about this just smells wrong.

00:32:15.900 Just, just everything about it.

00:32:17.840 So I agree with Eric.

00:32:19.440 I think that's the way it's going to go.

00:32:20.920 But it's a hunch on my part, not based on any knowledge.

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00:33:25.800 Well, as you know, Trump is planning to do this largest deportation ever by Axios reports, and I was waiting for this to happen.

00:33:37.780 I kind of suspected that sooner or later the news would start telling you the following thing.

00:33:44.080 You're not going to get many illegal people.

00:33:46.180 So I and Holman and Trump and everybody smart said the same thing.

00:33:54.720 They said, we're obviously going to focus all of our resources on getting rid of the criminals, and we don't know how long that's going to take, and there's so many of them.

00:34:02.900 But it turns out if you put all your resources on it, yeah, you might get a few.

00:34:08.740 There just aren't many.

00:34:10.600 And Axios has a story here.

00:34:12.280 I won't go through the details.

00:34:13.720 You can read it yourself in Axios.

00:34:15.100 But, for example, there are a whole bunch of people who are felons who have been convicted of horrible things like homicide and sexual assault, but you can't deport any of them until they finish their jail sentences.

00:34:29.660 So you've got 29,000 people who are the most hardened, worst criminals, and we have them in custody, and they're not going to get deported because they're already in jail, and jail is the place, I guess, the law says they've got to be.

00:34:46.960 And then there are a few other examples like that where there are people who are sort of here legally, et cetera.

00:34:53.960 So it's possible that Holman won't be able to find big busloads of people to send anywhere.

00:35:04.460 So maybe what you're worried about where you're seeing the military round up giant groups of people and keep them in detention centers until the military transport can get there and take them back, it's a terrible visual.

00:35:18.100 You don't want to live in the country where you're seeing your military carrying anybody away, like for anything.

00:35:26.460 It's just a terrible look.

00:35:28.920 I'm pro-deportation, for the criminals especially, but it's a bad look.

00:35:35.420 So I don't think we're going to have that look.

00:35:38.640 I think there might be like an anecdotal here or there.

00:35:42.440 You know, there might be a bus full of people or a detention center that's there temporarily.

00:35:46.920 But my current feeling is if we stop the new immigrants, you know, the new illegal immigrants, if we stop that pretty well, and I think Trump will do that, that the gigantic migration, immigration, even if we try as hard as we can, it's just hard. 0.97

00:36:08.400 And I think it'll be half bus fulls and it just won't be that much of a visual problem.

00:36:15.160 That's my guess.

00:36:16.000 So my prediction is you'll see a few anecdotal reports, so there will be some reports of too much deportation.

00:36:24.720 But they'll be so limited and so just, you know, temporary that it's not really going to change the public view of things too much.

00:36:32.620 That's what I think.

00:36:33.260 There is also the claim that immigrants do less crime than Americans.

00:36:40.180 And that's offered as the argument that you should not deport.

00:36:49.160 So does that argument work with you?

00:36:52.140 That the average immigrant... 1.00

00:36:54.240 Let's do two takes on this.

00:36:56.900 All right.

00:36:57.180 So here what we're going to do is just work through the thinking.

00:36:59.700 So we're only talking about how to think about it.

00:37:04.480 Should you say, hey, let's have more immigration because on average, they lower our average crime rate.

00:37:11.060 Does that make sense?

00:37:13.400 Let's lower our average by having more immigration. 1.00

00:37:17.340 Because apparently the more immigrants you have, the lower your crime rate is because they have a lower crime rate. 1.00

00:37:22.560 Do you buy that?

00:37:25.600 Let's say it's true, just for a moment.

00:37:28.880 Let's say they do have a lower crime rate.

00:37:32.020 There are also 29,000 felons who are convicted of homicide or sexual assault.

00:37:37.720 That's 29,000 people who would be alive if we didn't have illegal immigration. 0.98

00:37:44.620 29,000 people would be alive or not raped.

00:37:48.680 Doesn't that feel like a lot?

00:37:50.060 I mean, I know it's a big country and the 29,000 would be over multiple years.

00:37:56.320 But doesn't your government and your citizens, do not your citizens have the right to say,

00:38:03.340 I don't care that they have a better rate.

00:38:06.920 I want them to kill zero people.

00:38:11.120 If somebody comes into your house and slaughters your family and the police say,

00:38:16.060 whoa, turns out that the odds of somebody coming into your house and slaughtering your family are way low.

00:38:22.340 So stop worrying about it.

00:38:24.060 You'll be like, but they slaughtered my family.

00:38:28.040 I know, but as a percentage of all the crime, it's very low.

00:38:33.320 But my family's dead.

00:38:35.120 I think you need to be a little less racist about this.

00:38:40.660 Yes, they did get slaughtered by somebody.

00:38:44.640 But as a percentage, it was very unlikely.

00:38:48.940 So if you could just get over it.

00:38:52.320 Yeah.

00:38:52.480 So I think that both things can be true.

00:38:58.980 I did look a little bit at some of the studies.

00:39:02.200 And I would say that there is some good evidence that the recent immigrants are lower at crime. 1.00

00:39:11.320 Now, what they said was, and I know what you're going to say.

00:39:15.800 Don't say it.

00:39:17.420 I know what one of you is going to say, because there's always at least one.

00:39:21.020 Somebody here is going to say, Scott, the American crime rate is not like one average.

00:39:27.580 You know, are they doing more or less crime than black Americans? 1.00

00:39:31.620 More or less than white Americans? 0.89

00:39:33.940 More or less than Asian Americans? 1.00

00:39:36.880 Well, I saw one study that said that they do less crime than white Americans. 0.98

00:39:45.680 Do you know they left out?

00:39:49.300 As they always do, Asian Americans. 1.00

00:39:52.660 Do you know how often these stories just act like there are no Asian Americans?

00:39:58.660 All right.

00:39:59.400 Now let's ask the question again.

00:40:01.480 I'm an Asian American, and you tell me that I'm bringing in immigrants. 0.99

00:40:05.540 But don't worry.

00:40:07.240 Their crime rate is less than the white people. 0.99

00:40:10.860 And as an Asian American, I say, what?

00:40:14.440 It's less than the white people. 0.95

00:40:16.740 Is it less than Asian Americans? 1.00

00:40:19.140 No, no.

00:40:20.700 It's more than Asian Americans. 0.71

00:40:22.800 But it's less than the white people.

00:40:25.540 How do you feel about that?

00:40:28.080 So you're going to increase the rate of crime in my community.

00:40:31.620 Yeah, but it's still less than the white people.

00:40:36.760 I'm just amused that the Asian Americans do such a good job of staying out of jail and making money and staying married and basically doing everything right.

00:40:46.720 Just continuously and then get left out of the conversation because they do everything right.

00:40:54.060 Anyway, good job, Asian Americans.

00:40:58.980 But here was one of the hypotheses about why the immigrants are less likely to be involved in crime.

00:41:11.440 And here comes the kill shot.

00:41:14.580 Are you ready for this?

00:41:16.840 This is not going to make you happy.

00:41:18.640 I'm going to give you a reason.

00:41:22.080 And now this is just one person's speculation, but it sounded so good.

00:41:25.880 I'm going to embrace it as my own.

00:41:28.860 There is a reason that recent immigrants are more likely or less likely to do a crime. 1.00

00:41:36.120 You're not going to like it.

00:41:39.000 Here's a reason that recent immigrants are less likely to do crime. 1.00

00:41:43.040 Are you ready for it?

00:41:44.880 Because they're more likely to be employed, married with children, and in good health.

00:41:51.180 Oh, no.

00:41:53.600 No.

00:41:55.540 No.

00:41:57.100 No.

00:41:58.960 No.

00:42:00.820 No, no.

00:42:02.680 Is that true?

00:42:05.060 Is it true recent immigrants are more likely to be employed, married with children, and in good health?

00:42:13.040 Because those things are very predictive that you're not going to do a crime.

00:42:20.580 I think these are true.

00:42:22.800 You know, anecdotally, anecdotally it's true.

00:42:28.080 Every time I think of somebody in my own life who was born in another country, they're married, they're employed, they have children, and they go to church.

00:42:42.220 Damn it.

00:42:43.040 Damn it.

00:42:45.660 They're Republicans.

00:42:48.100 Let me say it the fast way.

00:42:50.780 Yes, the reason that recent immigrants do not commit as many crimes is because they're Republicans. 0.99

00:42:56.440 They don't know they're Republicans.

00:42:58.460 They just act like it.

00:43:00.500 Get a job, get married, have kids, go to church.

00:43:05.040 Republicans.

00:43:05.540 Republicans.

00:43:05.780 So if I said to you, immigrants tend to be Republicans, with all that comes with it, getting jobs and getting married and staying out of jail, that's easy to accept, isn't it?

00:43:21.020 If I tell you that immigrants don't have a high crime rate, your first reaction is, well, it's not the rate I'm looking at.

00:43:30.260 I'm looking at 29,000 people in jail for murder and rape.

00:43:35.160 But if I told you we brought in a million people who are basically Republicans, and I say, whoa, whoa, whoa, a million people?

00:43:45.780 What about all the crime?

00:43:48.280 And I say, yes, there's definitely crime, because any group of people would have extra crime.

00:43:52.940 But they're essentially the same rate of crime as Republicans.

00:43:56.620 And then what do I do?

00:44:00.160 What do I do then?

00:44:02.380 Because let's say I'm a Republican and I like Republicans, and I agree that they don't do a lot of crime.

00:44:10.100 Anyway, so as I often say, if somebody tells you the raw number of something and doesn't tell you the percentage, they are a propagandist.

00:44:19.140 That's brainwashing, and they're not trying to tell you something useful.

00:44:22.220 Likewise, if they tell you the percentage but not the raw number, they are propagandist.

00:44:28.940 They're trying to brainwash you.

00:44:30.600 They're not trying to have an honest conversation.

00:44:32.900 You need to look at both every time, or you don't know anything.

00:44:38.480 And I think it can be 100% true that on average, we're bringing in a pretty high class of people, at least in terms of cultural compatibility with America.

00:44:50.460 At the same time, we're bringing in a whole bunch of criminals.

00:44:54.160 They can both be true.

00:44:56.460 We simply have to do a better job of everything that we're already doing.

00:45:01.420 And I think everybody agrees with that.

00:45:04.840 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?

00:45:13.260 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:45:16.400 Are those from Winners?

00:45:17.900 Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings?

00:45:20.380 Did she pay full price?

00:45:21.720 Or that leather tote?

00:45:22.720 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:45:23.920 Or those knee-high boots?

00:45:25.420 That dress?

00:45:26.200 That jacket?

00:45:26.880 Those shoes?

00:45:27.900 Is anyone paying full price for anything?

00:45:30.840 Stop wondering.

00:45:32.140 Start winning.

00:45:33.060 Winners.

00:45:33.640 Find fabulous for less.

00:45:35.040 Meanwhile, Tom Holman, who's going to be the head of the border stuff, he was challenged by, I guess, a Denver mayor, Mike Johnston.

00:45:48.820 Because Mike Johnson said he's not going to let the citizens of his city, who are maybe undocumented, he's not going to let them be rounded up and taken to jail and that people like him will be putting their bodies in the way, basically protesting in a physical way.

00:46:09.020 And he doesn't care if he has to go to jail for it.

00:46:13.340 He's willing to go to jail to defy Trump's deportation operation.

00:46:16.780 So somebody asked Tom Holman about the fact that the Denver mayor is willing to go to jail to stop deportation.

00:46:25.600 And Tom Holman, without cracking a smile, says, and I paraphrase, well, at least we found something we agree on.

00:46:35.260 He's willing to go to jail and I'm willing to put him in jail.

00:46:39.900 And may I drop my mic?

00:46:44.100 There, mic drop.

00:46:46.780 Yes, Tom Holman.

00:46:49.300 That was kind of perfect communication right there.

00:46:54.740 Tom Holman is good in general.

00:46:56.740 He's a good communicator.

00:46:58.880 But every now and then he'll hit like a, you know, just a base clearing home run.

00:47:04.980 That's a base clearing home run.

00:47:07.520 Yep, we agree.

00:47:08.560 You're willing to go to jail.

00:47:09.980 I'm willing to put you there.

00:47:11.000 What's next?

00:47:14.480 Nicely done.

00:47:15.920 Communication wise, I'm talking about.

00:47:17.580 I saw a video of Tulsi Gabbard.

00:47:22.680 I didn't remember she did this, but when she was talking about why she was leaving the Democrat Party,

00:47:27.500 and she mentioned they were warmongers, which didn't make sense for her.

00:47:32.000 And that they were too woke.

00:47:34.220 But also she said directly that they were anti-white racists, the Democrat Party.

00:47:39.300 I don't remember her saying that directly.

00:47:42.520 But I'd like to thank her.

00:47:44.640 Because that's both honest and true.

00:47:47.800 So, yes, the Democrats are an anti-white racist party.

00:47:54.060 I see them as racists, primarily.

00:47:58.360 Anyway, so speaking of being verbally good, there's this representative, Van Orden,

00:48:06.440 who was being challenged by a CNN guy.

00:48:10.280 CNN host was asking about Trump's tariffs, and that Trump's tariffs would increase food prices.

00:48:16.000 So, how would you answer that?

00:48:19.540 Because everybody's worried about the price of eggs and whatnot.

00:48:22.440 So, food prices are, you could argue, are number one, you know, really main street kind of an issue.

00:48:29.960 And Trump's talking about tariffs, and tariffs would increase prices.

00:48:34.000 Everybody understands that.

00:48:35.760 And here's what Representative Van Orden said.

00:48:39.420 Quote, I'm willing to pay more for guacamole if it means fentanyl poison doesn't come across our border.

00:48:46.000 Oh, wow.

00:48:51.580 Oh, wow.

00:48:53.220 Now, that's some good communicating.

00:48:55.700 Now, is it sort of accurate?

00:48:58.720 No, well, no.

00:49:00.200 No.

00:49:00.820 I mean, it's not guacamole to fentanyl.

00:49:03.760 If it were only guacamole to fentanyl, we would all eat fewer avocados, and we wouldn't notice because we just eat other stuff.

00:49:13.260 But the bigger problem is the all-food price, or enough of the food goes up in price that it hits everybody.

00:49:21.600 So, it's certainly not as easy as avoiding avocados.

00:49:26.560 However, when Representative Van Orden puts it in that term, it is so linguistically excellent in terms of an argument.

00:49:37.940 So, this is just a persuasion lesson.

00:49:39.940 I'm not talking about the policy, just about the persuasion and the communication.

00:49:44.200 So, nice job.

00:49:47.040 So, I'm going to – this raises my flag.

00:49:51.240 So, I've never heard of Representative Van Orden before.

00:49:55.520 But he said a second thing.

00:49:57.700 He said about fentanyl.

00:49:59.800 He said everyone is now one degree of separation from somebody who died from a fentanyl death.

00:50:04.980 I think that's close to true, that pretty much everybody knows somebody.

00:50:11.120 I mean, in my case, my stepson.

00:50:13.300 But you all know me.

00:50:15.560 So, every one of you who knows me knows you're one degree away.

00:50:20.440 And most of you know somebody else who is one degree away.

00:50:24.340 Now, both of those sentences are really strong.

00:50:27.100 You know, of all the things you could have said about this topic, Van Orden reached into the middle and picked out two of the best.

00:50:38.340 That probably is not a coincidence.

00:50:41.440 So, what I'd ask you, just keep an eye on this guy.

00:50:45.520 Because this is unusually good communication.

00:50:48.780 And when you see that, it's usually a leading indicator you're going to see more of this person.

00:50:53.500 So, keep an eye on him.

00:50:59.680 Rob Reiner has allegedly deleted his account on X after Trump won.

00:51:05.680 Breitbart News is reporting this.

00:51:07.980 And we think he's probably going over to Blue Sky.

00:51:14.060 I think he's, is that confirmed?

00:51:17.180 I don't know.

00:51:17.620 But Blue Sky is the new competitor to X, Jack Dorsey's new product.

00:51:24.740 And apparently the uptick is pretty good.

00:51:26.860 It's getting a lot of people.

00:51:28.860 But I just want to point out something that somebody pointed out in the comments to me earlier.

00:51:36.900 You can be on X or you can be on Blue Sky.

00:51:42.240 What would be the initials for Blue Sky?

00:51:44.840 If you're going to use an acronym, Blue Sky.

00:51:51.300 Well, I would use the B.

00:51:53.520 Probably would use the S from Sky.

00:51:55.440 That would be, oh.

00:51:58.420 It's literally BS.

00:52:01.660 All right.

00:52:02.200 But here's the thing I think is funny.

00:52:04.980 If Blue Sky had started in a, let's say, an organic way.

00:52:09.740 Where it was just a product and everybody had a chance to use it.

00:52:14.200 If they liked it, they used it some more.

00:52:16.580 They would probably have a normal mix of, you know, left and right political people.

00:52:21.680 Because everybody would have seen it as just a product.

00:52:25.080 So it's not political.

00:52:26.460 It's just a product.

00:52:27.160 But because we're highly politicized, especially at the moment, people see Blue Sky as where

00:52:34.760 the good and noble Democrats can go.

00:52:38.020 And they see X as that polluted right-wing conspiracy place.

00:52:44.200 So presumably, Blue Sky now has the greatest number of people with mental health issues of

00:52:52.480 any platform ever.

00:52:54.520 And I mean that seriously.

00:52:57.380 I would bet you any amount of money, really, that if you just looked at the percentage of

00:53:03.800 users of, you know, any other platform, Facebook, X, anything else, anything else,

00:53:12.000 Rumble, that you would find that Blue Sky probably has just through the roof therapy

00:53:17.920 and, you know, on mental health meds and every kind of anxiety and depression.

00:53:24.540 And let's just say that they wouldn't know their whole body is also their brain.

00:53:30.660 Have you noticed how many people on the left who seem to have defective brains?

00:53:36.340 And by defective, I mean either they're not very bright, which is, that's a problem that's

00:53:41.300 on the left and the right, of course.

00:53:42.680 There's always some people who are not bright.

00:53:45.500 But the ones who seem crazy, have you noticed that their bodies also look deformed?

00:53:52.820 Have you noticed?

00:53:54.020 You have noticed, haven't you?

00:53:55.680 Yeah.

00:53:55.900 You look at their bodies and then you listen to them.

00:53:59.620 You go, wow, the things that are coming out of their brains sound just crazy.

00:54:06.920 It's not their brain.

00:54:08.760 Their body is their brain.

00:54:11.020 All right.

00:54:11.460 If your body is destroyed, as many of the people on the left have destroyed their bodies,

00:54:17.420 you're going to get just crazy stuff coming out of your mouth.

00:54:21.100 And that would be a very typical, predictable, scientifically compatible prediction that you

00:54:30.680 can feel pretty confident about.

00:54:32.440 That if you have one group where their bodies are a mess and one group on the right, especially

00:54:38.840 young men who are very interested in keeping their physical fitness going, you should have

00:54:45.400 one group that's happy and one group that's sad.

00:54:47.480 And I think because of the weird situation of everything being politicized, that the people

00:54:53.140 with the worst brains, not necessarily born the worst, but because their body is their

00:55:02.200 brain, if they didn't take care of it, it's just not working very well.

00:55:05.640 And they all ended up in blue sky.

00:55:07.420 So I'd be real curious if I'm right, that if you went to blue sky, it would look like

00:55:15.500 a mental illness festival.

00:55:18.480 And it wouldn't have if it had just been a non-political time when it was launched.

00:55:24.220 So we'll see.

00:55:25.840 But at the same time that Rob Reiner left, all of my paid trolls are gone.

00:55:30.500 I don't know if you were watching the fun, but for the past year or so, they're very obviously

00:55:35.460 paid.

00:55:36.620 And the way you know they're paid is that they show up like it's time for work.

00:55:43.120 So if I would do a post that made any good point against Democrats or for Trump, the first

00:55:51.460 comment, 100% of the time, the first one would be a troll.

00:55:56.360 And the way you can know they're a troll is that they have maybe four or five messages that

00:56:01.900 they repeat that are not the ones anybody else ever says.

00:56:05.460 It's obvious that at some point in time, somebody made a list of all the things you say to Scott.

00:56:14.060 So you say to him, oh, Scott, your opinion of politics is as good as you're taking care

00:56:20.540 of your stepson who died of fentanyl.

00:56:23.120 That was one of them.

00:56:24.600 Very common.

00:56:25.220 Oh, I guess that's why you're divorced, which would have nothing to do with politics or

00:56:31.540 anything I said.

00:56:33.440 So and oh, and I guess that's why you're canceled.

00:56:36.640 So they would go for what they thought was the most psychologically destructive thing they could

00:56:44.040 say, completely divorced from whatever point I tried to make.

00:56:50.320 So in other words, they weren't saying, oh, have you checked the source?

00:56:53.860 They were not saying your facts are wrong.

00:56:56.520 They were not saying, have you considered this?

00:57:00.240 They were not saying, here's the fact check.

00:57:02.760 They were saying, what can I say that will make this guy not want to spend another second

00:57:08.400 on X and want to, you know, get a high powered rifle and do something bad?

00:57:12.860 And then they would pick that.

00:57:14.600 It's very obvious that there were like five things on the list and that it was somebody's

00:57:18.960 job to sit there.

00:57:20.280 And when it goes bing, they know I've they know I've gone and they quickly go to their

00:57:25.060 list.

00:57:25.480 They go, oh, Adams, five things, marriage, fentanyl.

00:57:29.500 I'll pick number three.

00:57:30.460 It was very obvious, like because nobody else was doing it except the first comment of everyone

00:57:36.960 that was a political post.

00:57:38.720 And if I posted something that was just, you know, interesting or fun, nope, don't show

00:57:45.100 up.

00:57:46.800 So these were not political actors and I could tell they were not political.

00:57:52.360 In 2016, I have to admit, I couldn't tell.

00:57:56.500 I just thought there were terrible people on the Internet because there are terrible people

00:58:01.600 everywhere.

00:58:02.740 I thought, whoa, some of these are more terrible than others.

00:58:05.580 But once I understood that, was it from, I guess that's, was that the name of the guy

00:58:12.560 who organized the trolls for the 2016 cycle?

00:58:15.500 Well, so we knew actually after the fact, after 2016 election, we knew who hired the trolls.

00:58:22.960 We knew the budget.

00:58:25.180 It was exactly what it looked like.

00:58:28.540 What I couldn't tell then is whether some of the people were just organically bad and

00:58:35.480 some of the people were paid.

00:58:36.620 But I couldn't tell which are paid and which are organic.

00:58:39.380 But this last cycle, the paid ones were just so obvious.

00:58:44.780 So every time they did it, I would just respond paid troll.

00:58:50.560 Yeah.

00:58:51.080 How many times did you see me do that?

00:58:53.160 Because it was almost every day.

00:58:55.180 Paid troll.

00:58:56.140 Paid troll.

00:58:57.020 And it was always the first comment.

00:59:00.580 Anyway, I'm glad they're gone.

00:59:02.180 It's really different on X now.

00:59:03.560 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:59:08.740 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:59:11.300 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her

00:59:15.380 backhand side.

00:59:17.240 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers

00:59:21.840 in the country.

00:59:22.940 Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no

00:59:26.960 time.

00:59:27.380 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:59:30.580 But you got there on time.

00:59:32.380 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:59:35.340 Certain conditions apply.

00:59:37.180 Heather McDonald was doing some writing recently in, I forget what publication, but talking about

00:59:45.140 how men and women generally differ and how they prioritize safety and inclusion versus

00:59:51.360 accepting conflict.

00:59:53.500 And it goes to point out that there may be a, maybe some evolutionary reason where men handle

01:00:02.760 conflict different, differently from women.

01:00:05.480 And the observation is this.

01:00:08.020 I've made the same observation, which is that men can fight and go at each other like crazy.

01:00:15.360 But if they find a reason to agree and work together, they can almost instantly get over

01:00:21.880 it.

01:00:22.180 Like the past just goes away and we shake hands and we apologize and we accept apologies and

01:00:30.000 we say, oh, well, that was an ugly moment we had there together.

01:00:34.440 Glad that's gone.

01:00:35.480 And now we're friends or now we're allies or coworkers or whatever we need to be.

01:00:40.360 So the thought was that men knew that their best survival mechanism was to not turn every

01:00:50.640 enemy into either dead or you stay an enemy, but sometimes just get them on your side and

01:00:57.040 then you have an extra person on your side.

01:00:58.840 So having an extra man on your side is going to keep you alive.

01:01:03.240 So the thinking is that we're just evolved, that men are easier to say, all right, I'm

01:01:08.980 over it.

01:01:09.540 Let's move on.

01:01:10.920 And that women would be less likely to get over it and sort of keep it as a permanent source 1.00

01:01:17.500 of at least mental conflict.

01:01:20.460 So in other words, when men hear a provocative speech, they might enjoy the debate.

01:01:28.840 Enjoy the fight and also be able to get over it instantly.

01:01:34.180 Whereas women, if they go online and they see a debate, they might also be drawn into the debate, 1.00

01:01:40.300 but they're not enjoying it and they're not getting over it.

01:01:45.320 So it's a whole different approach.

01:01:48.480 So the point of this is that there might be a male warrior hypothesis and it might be hardwired

01:02:00.480 biologically.

01:02:01.480 That fits with my observation.

01:02:04.920 So my observation is that men can get over disagreements pretty easily.

01:02:10.140 All right.

01:02:17.800 The L.A. Times owner was doing an interview with ex-CNN star Oliver Darcy.

01:02:24.300 I didn't know Oliver Darcy got fired from CNN or did he quit?

01:02:28.180 He was terrible on CNN, but he went on his own now.

01:02:33.560 So the L.A. Times, as you know, has some rich owner who didn't want to endorse Kamala Harris.

01:02:41.220 He wanted to try to find some middle ground where he thought newspapers should be.

01:02:45.580 So he got a lot of pushback from that.

01:02:47.260 And apparently one of the new things he's doing is he wants to change up his L.A. Times editorial board and he's hired Scott Jennings.

01:02:56.360 So Scott Jennings, the viral superstar on CNN, the Trump sporting guy who embarrasses the other clowns at the table on a daily basis,

01:03:08.020 it was selected to be part of the L.A. Times editorial board.

01:03:12.040 So good job, Scott Jennings.

01:03:14.960 Again, another Scott doing well.

01:03:17.260 But apparently the billionaire owner of the L.A. Times ended the call because Darcy just kept giving him a hard time about hiring Scott Jennings.

01:03:33.540 And apparently Darcy ended up going full TDS and the owner of the newspaper and his handler, whoever it was, was like, oh, we're done here.

01:03:43.880 Basically, they just dismissed him as not even a serious character, which was the right thing to do.

01:03:51.240 Now, I should tell you that the L.A. Times, when Dilbert was in newspapers before I got canceled,

01:03:58.640 the L.A. Times was the only one that was canceling Dilbert or editing it, censoring it, actually.

01:04:05.920 L.A. Times was the only newspaper that routinely censored Dilbert.

01:04:09.440 Back in the days when Dilbert ran in every newspaper, the L.A. Times would just sometimes just not run one.

01:04:17.780 And it was just like laughably predictable.

01:04:21.460 I'd do a comic that was just a little bit edgy, but still rated G because you can't really get past G in a newspaper.

01:04:28.600 It's still rated G.

01:04:29.580 And the L.A. Times would say, oh, can't say that.

01:04:35.240 Every other newspaper would say yes.

01:04:38.160 So I'm very up on this new owner.

01:04:44.080 It looks like he's trying to do a serious job of improving the newspaper, and they certainly needed it.

01:04:49.740 Well, I read, I think it was in The Hill, they had a story about the Democrat bench for 2028.

01:04:58.780 I'll tell you, when you look at what the smart people think are their best next politicians for running for president,

01:05:11.460 it doesn't look like they have a chance.

01:05:13.800 So here are the names that are floating as their best candidates.

01:05:19.900 Kamala Harris.

01:05:22.040 Seriously?

01:05:24.320 Literally the worst campaign of all time, and she's running first.

01:05:31.100 Gavin Newsom.

01:05:33.540 Seriously?

01:05:35.460 Gavin Newsom?

01:05:37.960 He's like right at the top of your list after destroying California.

01:05:42.480 Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and J.B. Pritzker.

01:05:52.160 Do you think any one of those could be a capable Republican?

01:05:57.320 And I can name, I don't know, probably 10 Republicans who could be any one of these people.

01:06:03.620 Am I wrong about that?

01:06:05.060 Am I wrong that there are at least, there have to be at least 10 prominent Republicans that could be everyone on this list?

01:06:13.720 These are not, these are not competitive.

01:06:16.180 I don't think Democrats have any understanding of what would even make their side competitive.

01:06:24.840 And the entertainment which I'm getting in watching them not understand anything,

01:06:30.720 they don't understand anything.

01:06:34.560 It's really amazing.

01:06:36.120 I'm looking at some of your comments, those are weird.

01:06:45.800 Fetterman, you know what?

01:06:47.400 I don't think the Democrats would push Fetterman to the front of the line.

01:06:53.140 He may be a little bit of a problem because he doesn't obey the Democrats enough.

01:06:56.840 But if Fetterman wanted to take a run at it, he would be the one I'd worry about.

01:07:03.280 I don't want to give advice to the Democrats, but if I heard that Fetterman was running for president in the next cycle,

01:07:10.280 I would say that's a problem.

01:07:13.800 Yeah.

01:07:14.200 Now, AOC has been mentioned.

01:07:16.240 I know that doesn't seem serious to me.

01:07:18.780 I can't imagine she would even win the primary.

01:07:21.860 But Fetterman, Fetterman could really fool everybody because he does have, he has the common touch

01:07:32.960 and he doesn't seem to be willing to lie when everybody else is.

01:07:40.140 And I hate to say that's a really attractive combination.

01:07:45.540 You know, he is smart.

01:07:46.500 I mean, it was hard to tell when he had his stroke, but he's an unusually smart person

01:07:52.560 and he clearly cares about the country and clearly cares about people

01:07:57.940 and he clearly is smarter than the average Democrat.

01:08:01.960 And he sees that there are some things that Republicans see that he says, that makes sense.

01:08:07.860 You can perfectly understand why the Republicans would feel this way.

01:08:12.700 So he's the only one who seems to have anything close to an understanding of what's happening.

01:08:21.360 I think Fetterman knows exactly what's wrong, that the Democrats act like woke idiots.

01:08:27.600 The Republicans acted like problem solvers.

01:08:31.260 And we were not in a place where acting like a woke idiot was a luxury we could afford.

01:08:37.080 It was once.

01:08:38.420 At one point, it was a luxury we could afford.

01:08:40.600 Not anymore.

01:08:41.300 Now you just need the solution to the problems.

01:08:45.200 So it was never even, to me, it never seemed like they were a close competition,

01:08:50.760 even though the vote was closer than I thought it should be.

01:08:55.000 What if RFK goes back to the Democrat Party?

01:08:57.880 I don't think RFK Jr. has a chance in a race like that. 0.94

01:09:08.460 I mean, he's got so many points of attack.

01:09:11.300 I think he's serious about having one mission left.

01:09:16.820 Like he has his one mission, fix the food.

01:09:19.700 And I have high hopes that he will.

01:09:25.400 I see you got a copy of Loser Think.

01:09:28.640 I don't know how you got it.

01:09:30.060 It's no longer for sale.

01:09:32.580 It was one of my canceled books, so you must have one of the used copies.

01:09:37.220 But maybe at some point, I'll reissue that.

01:09:48.240 Democrats do not allow an independent thinker.

01:09:50.980 Yeah.

01:09:56.800 True that.

01:09:57.600 All right.

01:09:59.520 So I'll tell you again, if you don't have your Dilbert calendar ordered, just go to Dilbert.com,

01:10:04.940 and that's the only place you'll find the link to order it.

01:10:08.420 You will not find that link anywhere else.

01:10:10.680 It's not on Amazon.

01:10:11.780 It's not on bookstores, not in Walmart.

01:10:15.560 But the books are.

01:10:17.680 My books make excellent gifts.

01:10:19.600 They change lives.

01:10:21.460 Yeah.

01:10:21.700 The first two, reframe your brain and how to fail at almost everything.

01:10:26.920 Those are total life changers.

01:10:28.560 I hear it every day.

01:10:30.280 And I guarantee it, by the way.

01:10:32.940 If I weren't hearing it every single day, I wouldn't say that.

01:10:36.980 But every day, I hear people say, oh, it changed my whole life.

01:10:41.380 So it's a good gift if you want to change somebody's life.

01:10:47.080 Hey, you got a lot of calendars there.

01:10:51.200 If AOC, well, AOC is married.

01:10:54.560 And if she had children, would she be a better politician? 0.86

01:10:59.360 Maybe.

01:10:59.800 Maybe.

01:11:01.960 A loop speak.

01:11:10.480 The media will pump up the chosen.

01:11:13.880 Yeah.

01:11:14.480 But I don't know if the media has the ability to drag a bad candidate over the finish line anymore.

01:11:20.860 They did with Biden.

01:11:22.600 But it looked like they couldn't with Harris.

01:11:25.520 Maybe she was just extra bad.

01:11:27.280 But it does seem that the rise of the podcasters is a real thing.

01:11:32.280 It's going to last for a while.

01:11:35.000 All right.

01:11:36.860 Ladies and gentlemen.

01:11:40.980 That's all I got for today.

01:11:43.420 I'm going to talk to the locals people privately in a moment.

01:11:48.180 And I'll see the rest of you tomorrow.

01:11:51.440 Thanks for joining on YouTube and X and Rumble.

01:11:56.580 We'll see you tomorrow.

01:11:57.720 Same time, same place.

01:11:59.040 Locals, I'm coming at you. 1.00

01:12:00.200 Yeah.

01:12:00.320 Bye.

01:12:08.520 Bye.

01:12:09.020 Bye.

01:12:10.020 Bye.

01:12:10.280 Bye.

01:12:11.160 Bye.

01:12:11.420 Bye.

01:12:14.160 Bye.

01:12:14.220 Bye.

01:12:14.500 Bye.

01:12:15.060 Bye.

01:12:24.120 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 29, 2024

Episode 2674 CWSA 11⧸29⧸24

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