Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 01, 2024


Episode 2676 CWSA 12⧸01⧸24


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 2 minutes

Words per minute

144.61499

Word count

9,026

Sentence count

14

Harmful content

Misogyny

15

sentences flagged

Toxicity

18

sentences flagged

Hate speech

12

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Dilbert and Scott Adams talk about a new statin that might not be as bad as you think, a woman who says she was mistreated by her bosses, and a story about a reporter who was on a performance improvement plan.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.980 I won't settle for less.
00:00:14.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:23.260 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and I'll bet you've never had a better time in your
00:00:26.840 whole stinking life but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even
00:00:33.660 understand with their shiny tiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass or
00:00:38.900 glass a tank or chalice or stein the canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your
00:00:45.700 favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here of the
00:00:51.580 day the thing that makes everybody happy it's called the simultaneous sip happens right now go
00:00:57.280 I don't think your life stinks what are you talking about
00:01:06.240 has anybody picked up a Dilbert 2025 calendar you better hurry I would say the next week or so if
00:01:21.140 you order them you're pretty safe to get them before Christmas every week that goes by a little
00:01:26.360 less safe to get it before Christmas but still worth doing and you can only get them at the link
00:01:33.120 that you'll find at Dilbert.com you cannot find it anywhere else in the world no bookstore
00:01:39.380 no other online source just go to Dilbert.com and you'll see the link to the sales page right there
00:01:46.520 and that is all the commercial that I need to give you right now
00:01:50.420 your girlfriend got you one for Christmas now that that girlfriend is a keeper in fact that will
00:01:59.280 go so far as to say if your loved one does not give you a Dilbert calendar for your for a holiday
00:02:05.120 maybe rethink the whole relationship
00:02:08.960 all right uh well so there's news today that uh another study that says that statins might be more
00:02:18.420 bad for you than good and that cholesterol might be more good for you than bad now I'm not going to
00:02:24.780 make a claim that any of these claims or counterclaims are true I will make a claim that I'm not so sure
00:02:33.000 anything in health care is real is anybody having the same crisis that I am that I'm not sure anything
00:02:40.820 is real in health care and here's my problem anytime that the uh the treatment depends on somebody did a
00:02:50.900 big study and there was a lot of data and there was a lot of variables and a lot of assumptions and
00:02:56.760 when they were done they found a good solid 30 improvement if you took the drug I'm not sure any of
00:03:02.980 those are real but if you do the test and people who take the drug
00:03:08.900 you know live and the other ones don't and
00:03:11.940 um you know it's a cure I do believe cures
00:03:16.740 because I think it would be hard to hide a cure
00:03:19.540 but I'm not sure we can really measure a 30 improvement in anything
00:03:25.340 it feels like the people doing the study could always find a way to make it 30 percent
00:03:30.840 or look like it's 30 percent better in some way so I just don't believe anything that says well
00:03:37.560 we'll give you a you know 26 improvement um but again I tell you do not believe anything that
00:03:46.760 cartoonists tell you about health care so you know talk to your doctor I'm not I don't want to talk you
00:03:52.440 enough or into any kind of drug but I'm just telling you that as a consumer of such things
00:03:59.160 I really do not know what to believe anymore when it comes to health care
00:04:05.000 well here's the story that New York Post seems to have
00:04:09.800 managed to get wrong in my opinion but we'll see
00:04:12.680 so there's an emmy-winning tv reporter uh rachel young kunis now she was abruptly fired uh according 0.98
00:04:21.400 to New York Post and because her bosses were shortchanging her she she claims that male colleagues
00:04:28.280 were getting uh all kinds of support and you know camera crews are being sent out and uh so the males
00:04:36.280 were getting lots of support but uh she was not and so she's I don't know suing them or something
00:04:43.720 now here's here's a tiny little thing that was also in the article
00:04:50.120 she was on a performance improvement plan have you ever heard of that it's called a pip in corporate
00:04:57.000 america a pip performance improvement plan is there anybody here who has ever been a manager
00:05:06.200 and put anybody on a performance improvement plan do you know what that means it means you're one of
00:05:13.720 the lowest performers in the department
00:05:17.880 that's why you're on it basically the performance improvement plan says you're going to be fired
00:05:24.200 if you continue the way you've been going a pip is literally a performance improvement plan
00:05:31.160 if you don't raise your level it's basically a one year it's like getting a one-year warning that
00:05:37.560 they're going to fire you they're not really expecting you to improve your performance what they're
00:05:43.400 expecting is to have covered their ass that they gave you a nice long warning and told you exactly 0.92
00:05:48.760 what the problem was and then a year later they can say all right nothing changed goodbye 0.98
00:05:53.560 and then they're covered so if you see a story about somebody who is who says she was fired or
00:06:01.240 or at least mistreated because of sexism and in the very same story it says she was on a performance
00:06:07.800 improvement plan i'm not so sure the sexism is the real story here can't rule it out i mean i wasn't
00:06:16.280 there and it's certainly possible that you could be on a performance improvement plan
00:06:20.920 and win an emmy you could definitely do that because the emmy is you know bs and you could
00:06:27.000 definitely be on a performance improvement plan and also there's real sexism so i'm not sure there's
00:06:33.560 real sexism but if you don't call out the the part about the performance improvement plan i'm not sure
00:06:40.600 that the reader is getting served here i would like to know that they're that they're on an identifiable
00:06:47.720 path to being fired oh and then there's a lot of sexism in the office that you need to sue over okay
00:06:55.320 and again there might actually be legitimately all the sexism that that is part of the complaint it
00:07:01.960 might be but it kind of looks like a coin toss to me
00:07:09.560 all right here's a study according to side post there was a study done in scandinavia where they
00:07:16.280 tried to see if women were more or less willing to engage with a man who is stronger versus weaker
00:07:24.920 based on how much uh darkness there was and what they found out is if it's in a darkened environment
00:07:32.360 women felt safer talking to men who didn't look dangerous 1.00
00:07:37.640 and if they were in a darkened environment they were a little reluctant to talk to anybody who was
00:07:42.760 you know big and dangerous looking
00:07:44.360 so they spent money doing that test to find out if you're more afraid of big people in the dark
00:07:54.760 you know what they could have done
00:07:57.640 just suggest they could have saved a lot of money by just asking me scott do you think women would be 1.00
00:08:04.120 more afraid of a big person in the dark or more afraid of a chihuahua in the dark huh let's see
00:08:11.640 more afraid of the bear or the chihuahua which would it be all right just ask me next time just ask
00:08:23.160 well according to climate change dispatch there's a new study poking holes in the whole
00:08:29.320 co2 induced climate change catastrophe i'd like to tell you the details of the study but i don't
00:08:35.080 understand any of it um but it's yet another scientific um scientific attack against the
00:08:44.840 idea that we can even know what's happening with our climate models so i don't believe science and i
00:08:51.960 don't believe climate models and i don't believe anything that is a uh prediction of what's going to
00:08:59.160 happen in a complicated environment so don't believe any financial prediction
00:09:08.920 about a company for example don't believe a health prediction don't believe a science
00:09:17.080 prediction that has lots of variables into the future so what all of these things have in common
00:09:23.480 is that somebody is making a bunch of assumptions in order to do their complicated prediction
00:09:30.840 it's always the assumptions that determine the outcome yeah only people who have worked in this
00:09:36.040 in the field of predicting a lot of stuff no it's always the assumptions that determine the outcome
00:09:41.720 as i did so that's why i know that well yeah elon musk is suing open ai as you know
00:09:50.360 elon musk funded the open ai is beginning because the whole point of being open open ai was that it
00:09:58.200 was going to be a non-profit because elon thought that ai was too important to you know have siloed in
00:10:05.560 one company but uh it looks like they're trying to turn that into a for-profit situation and so
00:10:12.600 musk is suing them according to the verge and we're not not suing them asking for a preliminary injunction
00:10:24.120 don't listen to anything i say about legal stuff because i have no idea what i'm talking about
00:10:29.000 but a preliminary injunction not so that would be different than suing right
00:10:33.400 and they uh they want they want to stop them from oh and they also accuse them of antitrust
00:10:42.280 issues um apparently according to most lawyers open ai and microsoft told investors not to fund
00:10:50.200 um the competitors to open ai that's kind of a kind of a non-competitive thing if it's true
00:10:58.120 so we'll see where that goes meanwhile there's something called the uh let's call it the trump
00:11:06.440 effect but this is really an elon musk effect that there's a former high level uh united nations guy
00:11:12.840 who wants to do a doge thing with the un united nations because the united nations wastes a bunch
00:11:19.000 of money and doesn't get enough done according to morgan phillips of fox news
00:11:22.840 fox news and uh apparently they think they have a lot of meetings and they don't accomplish anything
00:11:29.720 well what did you expect when you decided to create a organization with like 400 member states
00:11:40.200 how many how many countries are there let's say how many countries are there that are members of the un
00:11:46.040 um this will be a good general knowledge test all right i'm going to take my guess because i don't
00:11:54.040 i don't know the answer to this i'm going to tell you my guess to embarrass myself in public
00:11:59.240 but then you can do your guess in the comments don't let don't look it up this is a general test
00:12:05.000 okay you said in 190 i was going to say one 189 for some reason 189 is in my head
00:12:11.720 and then somebody i saw sean say 190 is that is is it is it really 189
00:12:22.360 i'm seeing i'm seeing lots of guesses that are in the high hundreds all right well let's say something
00:12:29.320 like that in the high hundreds okay on paper if you were going to design a system
00:12:36.040 in which 189 countries with completely different customs and priorities
00:12:45.320 we're going to get together and have meetings to decide what to do
00:12:49.640 were you going to assume that something efficient was going to happen about that
00:12:54.840 i don't know i certainly think they could probably do something you know be more efficient but
00:12:58.680 it's kind of designed in a way that would make efficiency kind of impossible but i'm not sure
00:13:06.600 they need it you know it's good enough i think that you can always talk to the other country and
00:13:13.000 there's always a some kind of a public process of conversation between countries so i think that
00:13:18.840 has a little bit of value but uh imagining that you could make that efficient well i hope you can good
00:13:27.240 luck i just think it's sort of naturally inefficient but maybe and the inefficiency i'm not sure makes that
00:13:35.240 much difference
00:13:39.000 anyway um so democrats are worried because uh trump's surge with latino voters is changing the congressional
00:13:48.520 battleground map you know i want to say this again but as far as i know
00:13:53.560 uh since i make predictions you know on a regular basis and i do it publicly i feel like i have to
00:14:01.000 say when i get one wrong you know it's incumbent upon me to say oh i predict that i got it wrong
00:14:07.320 but likewise in order to provide value to you so you can judge whether my predictions are worth listening
00:14:13.720 to i should tell you when i get them right and the thing that that i think is most useful
00:14:21.720 is when i predict things that are just way outside of the domain of anything anybody's predicting for
00:14:27.800 example predicting that trump would win in 2016 before that before that became popular
00:14:34.920 um but by far one of the just out of the left field predictions that i got right
00:14:42.440 is that latinos would become republican voters now i don't know if they are by a majority
00:14:51.640 but certainly one of the biggest stories is that the democrats didn't understand that the
00:14:57.560 the latino voters are by nature culturally really close to republicans and if you didn't live among that
00:15:07.480 culture if you weren't around it all the time you wouldn't know it because if you just read the news
00:15:13.240 you'd say oh a latino voter must be democrat but if you spend any time in the community
00:15:22.680 as most californians californians do just naturally because we're you know we're we're saturated
00:15:28.440 they're just the greatest people you know it's a hell of a good culture you'll be very happy
00:15:36.520 culturally you'll be very happy with the latino influence
00:15:42.920 anyway so i predicted that and uh i feel pretty happy about that one so i guess i'm just bragging
00:15:49.800 so the big story that is the news it's real it's a slow news day so almost all of the news is about
00:15:58.360 people's reaction to cash patel being named the head of the fbi or nominated nominated we'll see
00:16:05.160 so of course andrew mccabe had to go on cnn to say it's the worst thing in the world it's a terrible
00:16:10.920 development for the men and women of the fbi and also for the nation that depends on a high
00:16:16.600 functioning professional independent fbi i can't take mccabe seriously or cnn about this
00:16:24.520 you knew that the news was going to be what do you think i hate it what do you think i love it
00:16:30.360 but what do you think i hate it but how about you i love it and then that would be all the news
00:16:36.760 so it'd be a good day to have a day off from doing the news
00:16:42.120 but there are some interesting things coming out of the cash patel thing
00:16:45.320 um he's got he's got a great breadth of experience that seems relevant but not specific to the fbi
00:16:54.840 so that gives the critics enough to say he has not been in the fbi for a long time like people should
00:17:01.080 be i'm not sure that matters um but he is definitely uh loyal to trump he is definitely the right kind of
00:17:11.400 brain he's very smart uh every time i hear him talk i get a good vibe from him and he said he wants to
00:17:19.480 release he's been saying this he wants to release the ditty tapes and the epstein tapes
00:17:26.760 and uh let us speculate all right so i think most of you who are watching this live stream would agree with
00:17:34.920 the statement that you trust cash patel is that fair not for the country as a whole but just people
00:17:44.680 watching this live stream most of you would think that's a good like a very good i would say a plus
00:17:52.680 kind of an appointment that's what it feels like it feels like an a plus like for everything i want
00:17:58.680 it's all there everything i want for that job it's all there so he's got the loyalty he's got the
00:18:07.800 brains he's got the incentive he's got the experience he's seen what works what doesn't
00:18:13.800 i like everything about it
00:18:17.320 so we'll see um but here's what i don't think is going to happen i don't think he's going to
00:18:24.760 release those things he says he's going to release i don't think he's going to let the
00:18:29.800 ditty tapes out i don't think he's going to let the epstein tapes out if he has them uh
00:18:37.000 i don't think that any of those secrets are coming out now i do believe that he's being honest when he
00:18:44.600 says he wants to release them so i don't think there's any lying going on whatsoever what i believe
00:18:51.160 is that this is another case of those you know getting the talk when when he calls his staff in
00:18:58.440 and says all right let's get those ditty tapes to me and they go um there's something you need to know
00:19:06.680 what um you don't know what's on those ditty tapes do you no but we should release them to the world
00:19:14.760 uh you're really going to need to know what's on those before you make that decision and then he's 0.92
00:19:22.520 going to hear what's really on them and then he's going to say oh damn it and then he's going to find
00:19:30.440 a reason not to release them or they're going to be magically corrupted files or they can't find them 0.57
00:19:36.200 or there's a lawsuit or somebody's preventing it or somebody's slow walking it
00:19:45.800 that's the destiny tape all right it's such a slow news day there's a story about the
00:19:54.120 influencer destiny uh allegedly having some um
00:20:00.120 um trist that's on the sex tape i'm not even going to say who's who is allegedly the other 0.82
00:20:06.760 person on the sex tape because i there's no confirmation of that
00:20:13.480 so i don't think anybody's any of us care about his sex life do we
00:20:18.200 it was hard enough to care about destiny who he is it was harder to care about his opinion about
00:20:23.640 politics and it's just impossible for me to care about what he does with his body
00:20:28.280 in his spare time i don't think i could be less less interested in that anyway claudia was leaving 0.81
00:20:36.200 for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing
00:20:41.720 that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact 1.00
00:20:47.960 the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was taken
00:20:52.520 care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my tournament 1.00
00:20:58.280 and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace certain
00:21:04.280 conditions apply so cash is uh cash will not be uh the expect that there will be no news from cnn or
00:21:17.560 cnn or msnbc about the historic appointment of a non-white man to lead the fbi
00:21:24.680 now i'm gonna hope that the republicans do what i like it when they do which is simply um nominate
00:21:35.560 the person who looked like the best choice when you when you see cash patel nominated for this job
00:21:44.120 i'll bet you there's not a single one of you who said it was a dei hire
00:21:47.800 right i'll bet not one of you now how good is that as a a as a brand statement about republicans
00:22:00.680 consider that consider that not one of you spent one second thinking hey it's just because he's brown
00:22:08.600 he's getting this job they have to have more brown people i'll bet not one of you thought that
00:22:12.760 and do you know why none of you thought that because it's not what's happening he's very
00:22:19.080 obviously a lot of people's top choice for the job and that's the end of the story so republicans you
00:22:27.640 are definitely um it would be so easy it would be so easy for the republicans to try to get credit for
00:22:35.400 this wouldn't it like oh we got you know look look what we did we nominated somebody who's not a white 0.55
00:22:42.840 man for this job it's historic i just hope they don't ever bring it up like it's okay for me to bring
00:22:49.800 it up right because we're talking about just stuff having fun but it would be great if the republican just
00:22:58.040 never mentioned it we we picked the best person and we're done
00:23:05.480 so yesterday when i was uh posting on x my happiness that dei was being thwarted after 30 years of
00:23:12.920 bothering me i've got 2.6 million views on that so far in one day 2.6 million views now by contrast a good
00:23:23.720 post of mine would get 20 000 so this got 2.6 million so far it's it's climbing while i'm watching
00:23:33.080 it so there are a lot of people who have the same opinion about being under the yoke of massive racial
00:23:40.120 discrimination which we may be uh free from soon um there's stories that i don't believe really
00:23:48.760 anything about him but there's reports that george clooney might be mad at obama for allegedly you
00:23:56.440 know talking him into replacing biden and maybe that makes it george clooney's fault that harris
00:24:03.400 lost and therefore it's george clooney's fault that trump is president it's not george clooney's fault
00:24:09.720 can i can i back george clooney for a minute
00:24:18.120 whatever it is i'm pretty sure that the the main problem isn't george clooney
00:24:26.200 but the poor poor bastard gets pulled into it but here's i was trying to write down all the different
00:24:32.440 things i heard just today of what the democrats did wrong all right so this is based on just a 0.94
00:24:41.880 a glance across today's news so these are various different um posts on x and stories in the news and
00:24:50.440 stuff just this morning so just this morning this is how many reasons that i've read that people
00:24:58.200 have speculated as to why the democrats lost uh they didn't have a good pod podcaster influence
00:25:06.600 network uh they insulted men they were too smug and insulting to men uh the latino community drifted
00:25:15.720 right did they drift did they drift or were they always there um the smug superiority i think that was
00:25:25.480 um yeah smug superiority um they blew it on immigration that's what democrats are saying
00:25:33.160 about themselves they they just blew it on immigration everything anybody could have seen it coming
00:25:38.200 they treated immigration um they treated abortion like it was going to be a bigger button than
00:25:44.440 immigration and they guessed wrong it turns out immigrate immigration was a much bigger button
00:25:51.320 than abortion and they had that backwards um 2.7 million already wow i'm on my post let's see uh other
00:26:03.080 reasons they got around that they had no message for the working class voters um they had a bad candidate
00:26:10.760 they had terrible advisors and they wasted all their campaign funds
00:26:15.000 there's so many reasons that the democrats failed they didn't do a single thing right
00:26:27.400 nothing the most the most remarkable thing is that the election was as close as it was
00:26:33.480 if you if you made a checklist of all the things you should do right in a campaign every one of those
00:26:41.080 would be trump check check check yeah yeah check good yeah good communication yep very clear uh
00:26:46.920 policies yep they love them um did you campaign in all the right places yes yes yes and you would go
00:26:52.920 right down the line and it would be a solid black block of and i'm gonna say it again i think 0.99
00:27:02.200 this recent campaign by trump will be seen as the best campaign in history
00:27:08.040 i think i think i think it would be the best campaign in history
00:27:15.560 but if you do everything right and then you only barely beat the person who did literally everything
00:27:20.680 wrong that does tell you that the system as a maybe it needs a little work
00:27:30.520 did i get i can't remember if i gave you my hypothesis uh it might be something i only said in the man 0.67
00:27:36.840 cave that i do separately um did i give you my hypothesis of why the democrats are so crazy
00:27:44.040 right now i mean after the election uh i'll say the unfast in case i i may have already done this
00:27:51.160 but in a normal election you've got two liars competing against each other and everybody knows
00:27:57.560 it's two liars they know their own they know their own candidate is exaggerating but they don't mind
00:28:03.240 because they like where it's heading yeah but the other one's lying and vice versa so then when somebody
00:28:09.560 wins everybody says well okay it wasn't what i wanted it wasn't what i wanted but you know at
00:28:17.640 least i what the process was transparent etc but i don't think that's what happened this time
00:28:22.440 i think trump was doing his usual salesman like hyperbole and he was directionally correct on
00:28:31.000 everything but you know he plays fast and loose with some of the the details and the statistics like
00:28:36.600 every politician does but what the democrats were doing was they built an entire reality
00:28:43.720 that didn't have any basis of any any common sense whatsoever it was just just batshit crazy
00:28:50.200 stuff and it just got it kept solidifying into a harder structure when it didn't have a basis
00:28:57.400 there was no foundation to it it just didn't make any sense so the next thing you know it was just
00:29:03.320 one crazy thing after another and trump is hitler and you know suddenly the democrats are pro-war and
00:29:11.560 nothing made sense and then trump's over there just sort of saying common sense things like
00:29:17.400 well you know you're not really a country if your border isn't protected and people are like hmm well
00:29:24.200 that does make a little bit of sense so what we see what we're seeing right now this is my interpretation
00:29:33.160 is the democrats are not coming off just the loss that would be bad enough and they're not just mad
00:29:40.120 because trump is in charge which again would be bad enough they're coming off a gaslighting
00:29:47.480 if you've never experienced being gaslit then you have no idea what they're they're going through
00:29:54.920 their entire reality has to be restructured in their head and so literally the brain has to rewire itself
00:30:03.000 to understand what's happening and it appears to be that some substantial number of democrats
00:30:10.520 realized that they were in a gas-lit matrix like weird environment and that the dem and perhaps the
00:30:17.960 republicans were not and that has everything to do with the fact that trump got more votes in total
00:30:25.720 not just in the electoral college that was the big deal when he got more votes and also and also the
00:30:33.320 republicans generally won i think that made the democrats say how in the world could anything we've been
00:30:41.320 told be true and that's how they got out once they realized that more than more than half of the voters
00:30:50.120 that voted were on the other side and they and they were looking at the same news they had to figure out why
00:30:58.760 and their confusion and there's some stories the gateway pundit had stories about women who are
00:31:05.880 getting sterilized because they don't want to lose the right to do it later
00:31:10.120 you know it's just a handful of crazies but you you do expect massive mental
00:31:19.640 problems the therapy the the screaming and i think the the first election
00:31:27.720 people generally thought that that they still knew what they were doing but they lost and so that the
00:31:34.920 the famous woman screaming with the beanie hat on um kind of captured how people feel this time it's
00:31:42.040 different this time i think they're coming out of a genuine psychological bubble a gaslight you know
00:31:50.920 gaslight structure and that the the way it disorients you can last it could last months
00:31:59.400 because their brains actually literally physically have to be rewritten right like your brain changes
00:32:05.880 physically when it changes at all that's the only it has to change physically or it's not changing
00:32:11.720 so their brains are actually having to rewrite themselves to write themselves back into a reality
00:32:18.680 that makes sense with what they're observing and experiencing and that's really hard so good luck with that
00:32:25.560 that's when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering
00:32:32.200 is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those 1.00
00:32:38.600 from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that 1.00
00:32:44.520 cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price
00:32:51.240 for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less meanwhile uh governor hochel of
00:33:01.320 new york says she's gonna help trump deport the uh illegals with criminal backgrounds 0.98
00:33:07.720 so she's talking tough as as best you can as a democrat with immigration someone breaks the law i'll be the
00:33:15.800 first one to call up by she says get them out of here i don't want them here i don't want anybody 0.97
00:33:20.760 terrorizing my citizens now that is the correct take so so yes thank you governor hochel um but it's
00:33:29.640 definitely trying to act tougher on immigration and i think that's the trump effect i think people realize
00:33:38.760 realize that if they're not talking commonsensically commonsensibly about immigration then they just look crazy
00:33:49.320 yeah
00:33:52.040 anyway um according to washington times uh mexican authorities broke up two migrant caravans were heading
00:33:59.480 this way which would suggest that when trump threatened to give them that 25 tariff
00:34:04.840 um that might have been effective now maybe they would have done it anyway but it came after the
00:34:12.200 threat so yeah so we'll see so that's happening so the trump effect seems to be closing up the mexican
00:34:22.840 border the trump effect seems to be getting new york state governor hochel on board at least with getting rid of
00:34:29.400 the criminals and i think probably that's all that's going to happen honestly um but incoming uh border czar
00:34:37.880 tom holman according to the gateway pundit um he said uh he's got a detailed and aggressive plan to
00:34:46.520 restore order in the border and after four years of disastrous open border policies he says
00:34:52.360 um but he's also going to go after uh foreign governments and ngos um and even elements of the
00:35:00.920 united nations for their role in fueling the migrant surge now how in the world does tom homan 0.58
00:35:10.600 from his job go after foreign governments ngos and elements of the united nations i guess that would be a
00:35:17.720 whole of government approach so it would have to be the the administration itself going after that i
00:35:22.760 guess but uh that's what has to happen the america has to get its independence back we we sort of sold
00:35:30.280 our independence to a a network of non-government organizations that that the left was funding
00:35:38.600 that would then manage the united states so we basically gave away our sovereignty to some paid entities
00:35:45.480 that were going to say the say what democrats wanted them to say oh this is fake news or that sort of
00:35:52.280 thing so yes we actually have to get our independence back from these foreign and non-government entities 0.63
00:35:59.960 so i don't know if that's just tom homan's job or if that's a whole government thing
00:36:07.000 so joe biden was shown uh yesterday photographed just going from one place to another holding a book
00:36:14.760 that is called the hundred war year on the hundred years war on palestine and uh people say it's a
00:36:21.480 book that suggests that israel should not exist and the president is just sort of casually walking with
00:36:28.920 that book in his hand like like that's the book he's currently reading now here's my first question
00:36:35.080 what was the last time you saw a president carrying merchandise from one place to another
00:36:41.800 like anything when do you see a president like a sitting president with anything in their hands
00:36:49.640 even on vacation well they don't care anything they don't carry their bath towel if they go to the beach
00:36:56.840 presidents don't carry stuff so why would the one thing the one thing that he knows he's going to be
00:37:02.040 photograph carrying be a book that's according to other people anti-israel
00:37:11.880 some people are saying that he's sending some kind of a message but now i'm wondering if it's not
00:37:17.320 ai i wonder if i look back in 10 minutes it's gonna have a community note on it and say that's not the
00:37:23.160 real book he had in his hands it's ai is it possible ai i i guess i just question everything
00:37:30.520 now but i don't see any use to it i mean he's such a lame duck and nobody cares i mean even elon musk
00:37:39.000 said that trump is the de facto president he said that on x um so why would he do this 0.55
00:37:48.760 this if he knows it's provocative but it can't possibly do anything useful it feels a little hoaxy
00:37:59.080 yeah it feels like it might have been a hoax we'll find out all right um
00:38:07.560 so the uh there's a former nato chief former nato chief
00:38:12.680 who thinks that the hezbollah israel ceasefire is because of trump it's another trump effect
00:38:22.760 so the trump effect is definitely making a difference at least according to this former nato guy
00:38:31.560 did you see the threat that trump gave to the nations that are trying to create their own
00:38:36.760 bricks b-r-i-c-s um currency and so trump puts out a statement that threatens them that if they try to
00:38:47.240 create their own currency to get away from the dollar as the you know sort of international trade
00:38:53.560 currency that uh if they try to do it well he's gonna just tear off the heck out of them
00:39:00.280 give them a hundred percent tariff and they should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful
00:39:06.440 u.s economy they they could go find another sucker he says there's no chance that bricks will replace 0.61
00:39:14.360 u.s dollar now here's what i wonder so we're watching the trump effect work and i think everybody would
00:39:25.640 agree at this point that there really is a trump effect that you really are seeing you know ukraine
00:39:32.760 and russia say you know maybe trump can wind this down so people are kind of waiting for him because
00:39:39.480 they expect he's the common sense big dog getting off the porch and that uh as soon as he does there's
00:39:46.520 no point in doing anything until he gets there because everything's going to change do you think that uh
00:39:52.120 this is an overreach because the bricks countries seem pretty intent on doing their bricks thing
00:40:01.880 and i think they think it's probably important for their long-term survival um
00:40:09.480 uh it is a confusing it's a confusing topic i'm seeing in the comments bricks is not a threat to the u.s dollar
00:40:17.000 i don't have enough um grasp of that situation to say yes or no to that comment but
00:40:25.640 i just wonder if trump the trump effect is strong enough that he can make the bricks effort
00:40:32.040 go away with just a threat now they're gonna say this threat is empty because everything we buy from
00:40:41.480 other countries we sort of have to it's because nobody else makes it or doesn't they don't make it
00:40:47.080 affordably it's not like we buy from other countries because we just like it so i'm not sure how much
00:40:54.360 boycotting we could do if we tried but it'll be a good test to see if trump has that power
00:41:03.880 um representative uh this is a democrat representative jasmine crockett now she's pretty outspoken you've 1.00
00:41:11.960 seen her in some videos where she's saying some crazy democrat stuff but she's saying i don't expect
00:41:18.600 mass deportations uh i just really don't see it happening and she says she's talked to countless
00:41:24.600 farmers and they're going to say that they need their workers so she thinks basically that it'll be
00:41:31.080 limited to the illegals now you know what's interesting about that did you connect the dots yet
00:41:39.080 so it's a democrat who you might think would be the most anti-trump democrat like really really anti-trump democrat
00:41:53.480 jeremy jackson how drunk are you jeremy 0.52
00:41:59.080 jeremy there's one of my trolls is yelling in all caps that i believe something i don't believe 0.85
00:42:04.600 and therefore i'm wrong could you at least make up something that i do believe and then criticize
00:42:12.840 that but screaming the opposite of what i believe really loudly and drunkenly in the morning is not
00:42:22.520 getting you whatever you wanted i'm not sure what you wanted from that but being wrong about my opinion
00:42:28.120 and really being mad about it that's not getting you much so up your game a little bit
00:42:35.000 anyway jasmine crockett the democrat you'd expect to be very anti-trump and she's trying to be but
00:42:41.240 she's helping him accidentally here's how she's helping him accidentally the biggest thing that
00:42:48.280 people are complaining about with the incoming trump is he might be too aggressive in deporting people
00:42:55.400 and here's a democrat saying don't worry he won't be that aggressive in deporting people he'll only
00:43:01.720 deport the people that even you and i would want deported the criminals now is she the worst enemy
00:43:09.560 you've ever seen i want her to be against me because she really helped him there 0.95
00:43:18.280 if the son if the person you would think would be the most anti-trump just took his scariest policy and
00:43:25.320 said you know it's gonna be no big deal and probably the things he does are the things you 0.96
00:43:30.280 want him to do get rid of the criminals does she realize how dumb she was she's supposed to say 0.97
00:43:37.000 none of this is working and the world will fall apart and we'll lose all our workers and all that 0.94
00:43:40.840 and instead she just said that'll all work out he'll just get rid of the people you want him to get rid
00:43:46.520 of like i i think she had no idea that that was the most embracing thing you could have ever said about
00:43:56.360 him now of course trump and holman would say that's not true we're going to get rid of you know anybody
00:44:02.760 who's here illegally but she just told the democrats they don't have to worry about it what
00:44:11.480 this is a weird trump effect um then uh new york times there's a new york times article opinion piece
00:44:20.440 saying that the republicans built an ecosystem of influencers and some democrats want one too 0.99
00:44:27.080 and i saw it getting mocked because people said correctly republicans didn't build shit 0.97
00:44:34.200 no no no the republicans did not say you know what we need would be a network of loyal podcasters no a 0.98
00:44:44.440 network of podcasters emerged organically because republicans weren't getting the job done
00:44:52.520 republicans didn't do anything the podcasters were self-organized around common sense
00:45:01.960 what what do joe rogan and uh and me have in common
00:45:12.200 it's a good question what do joe rogan
00:45:14.200 and me besides both having a podcast of sorts what do we have in common
00:45:22.840 common sense we we have all kinds of different preferences of lifestyle
00:45:27.800 you know very different lives and and stuff and backgrounds but we're bald yeah bald don't have hair
00:45:38.120 uh but we're both very organized around what is just common sense so i don't even see things as
00:45:45.560 as political i know hard to believe but i genuinely don't see things as political i see them as would that
00:45:52.840 work if it would work i'm in favor of it if it wouldn't work i'm not in favor of it i think that's
00:45:59.800 exactly where joe rogan is now i can't read his mind right you can't get in other people's minds that's
00:46:07.000 always unfair but if you watch him long enough it looks like he wants the country to do well
00:46:14.120 and he's in favor of things that are kind of obviously good ideas and against things that are
00:46:19.640 obviously bash you crazy that's me we have that in common right what what does jordan peterson want
00:46:29.320 same stuff wants the country to do well well the world canada too so the thing that written so so 0.60
00:46:39.240 here's the problem so let me restate it and then you'll see the problem the republican what they call
00:46:47.080 the republican network of podcasters it it grew up because there were a bunch of adults
00:46:55.400 i used to say dads but i'll desexify it and call it adults megan kelly's just killing it for example
00:47:01.960 in the podcasting space well i'll do it for let me do it for megan kelly and for roseanne and for the the
00:47:09.400 many women who were doing a great job in the podcasting space so i'll i'll modify from internet 0.97
00:47:16.680 dads to internet parents and i think that all of them grew it grew into that space and became what
00:47:25.240 they were and are because there was a need there was need there was a gigantic hole that just wasn't
00:47:34.280 being filled by um republicans saying what they thought needed to be said and so they filled the
00:47:41.000 hole but they filled it with common sense if you turn on megan kelly is it going to be bash you crazy
00:47:47.720 stuff no it's all going to be this is the law this makes sense what may you know right and you could go
00:47:57.240 right down the line you know the the conservative right leaning podcasters some of them are democrats
00:48:04.600 they just like common sense so they look like republicans now here's the fun part
00:48:12.040 the part where it says democrats want to replicate that situation okay how would that work
00:48:19.640 work so the right leading podcasters are organized around common sense would you agree with that
00:48:28.200 statement first of all that that's the the organizing principle is hey the country's in trouble we're not
00:48:34.280 following common sense let's go back to what we know works democrats can't do that the democrats were
00:48:42.520 literally the batshit crazy stuff they were the opposite of common sense on every topic on every
00:48:50.040 topic they were the opposite of common sense so what do you do if they were to put together a
00:48:59.960 podcasting network and there are plenty of left-leaning podcasts but if they were to make them even you know
00:49:05.640 more prominent somehow and they would be prominently batshit crazy so what kind of an organizing
00:49:12.040 principle is that yeah let's get all the bat shit crazy ideas and we'll put them all together and we'll have
00:49:17.960 this strong podcasting structure no it worked on the right because americans said well that makes sense
00:49:28.600 oh it doesn't look like joe rogan wants to lie to me you know what i just had this idea
00:49:35.800 it could be that the main thing that podcasters do differently from politicians is they have less
00:49:45.720 incentive to lie to you um so i saw somebody in the comments recently say that that using me as an
00:49:54.120 example that i don't have any reason to lie to anybody that's true like even if you suspected i was wrong
00:50:02.760 about something because everybody's wrong about the stuff right being wrong is no big deal
00:50:08.600 but when you see me being wrong you probably don't think i'm lying you probably just think oh he needs
00:50:14.840 to you know read up on this topic or something but when you see a politician saying something you know
00:50:20.360 isn't true you usually think they're lying so one of the things the podcasters did would was to
00:50:27.320 give you a place you could see views that at least people held the actual view like if you see you
00:50:35.160 know i hate to use every example being joe rogan so let's use the all in pod for example now they're
00:50:40.760 not all right leaning of course because jason represents a lefter version but uh they're just
00:50:47.800 chasing what makes sense and they're doing it in front of you and telling you how to think and that's
00:50:52.520 what i try to do so i don't think i don't think i don't think the democrat set of policies is based
00:51:01.080 on common sense and therefore they have no unifying you know trump trump is bad orange man bad it's not
00:51:09.480 really unifying so good luck with that democrats well like i said it's a weird day with no real news i was
00:51:18.920 trying to vamp a little bit stretch down you know make it last a little bit longer but there's not
00:51:24.360 much happening all the big news will drop tomorrow although i guess the holidays will get a little slow
00:51:31.880 but i'll say again it's kind of amazing that trump um this is how you know common sense has reappeared
00:51:41.080 the fact that trump can be the de facto president and even the democrats are not bitching about it
00:51:48.920 i have to give them credit and this is more evidence that the old gaslighting structure fell
00:51:55.640 apart because it would be so easy for democrats to say oh trump is not the elected president yet he's
00:52:04.520 not sworn in well he's elected but he's not sworn in so he can't be negotiating with all these world
00:52:10.280 leaders and having dinner with trudeau but nobody's saying that
00:52:17.800 isn't it isn't it like deafening the silence it's the most obvious thing because it's true
00:52:25.400 he's clearly doing a president's job before he's president but common sense tells us that's our very best
00:52:35.880 situation because common sense tells us that biden is checked out and that we need to show a better
00:52:43.320 face to the leaders of the other countries and if we can show them somebody who's capable and strong and
00:52:51.400 has very specific ideas that the country just backed by a major election yeah get to work right away
00:52:57.800 and watching trump um simply i don't want to say bully
00:53:07.480 but but step into the breach
00:53:12.360 watching him just step into the need in the same way that the conservative podcasters i believe
00:53:19.960 stepped into the the empty hole of you know what needed to be filled i think trump just says there's no
00:53:26.760 president you better start talking to me right away and you know he'll be polite and make sure that he
00:53:33.960 gets sworn in before the serious stuff happens but it certainly makes sense that he's getting really
00:53:39.560 serious and doing real work right now and i can't tell you how much i love that like when i see somebody
00:53:48.120 doing more work than uh we we hired them for that affects me like like that has one of the biggest
00:53:57.400 effects so even though trump is you know he's a he's a showman and he's a special kind of person you
00:54:03.720 know not like anybody else the fact that in both his elections he he hit the ground running and he was
00:54:11.000 presidenting like crazy before the swearing i have so much respect for that i just love that
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00:55:21.080 so i would like to also give you the following mental model and see if you agree with it it's one
00:55:30.520 thing to have a an opinion you know republicans had a lot of opinions and it differed from a lot of
00:55:37.640 democrats but i think you saw republicans do something that i'm not sure i've seen democrats do
00:55:48.440 you remember when uh roseanne took a bullet so to speak but then she came back now she has one of the 0.97
00:55:56.520 bigger more important podcasts you know when uh the left went after joe rogan and they went after him
00:56:03.800 hard and it turned him into the number one podcaster in the world
00:56:10.520 yeah and you've seen person after person who got canceled uh bannon bannon took a prison sentence
00:56:17.880 he didn't go down that they took their best shot didn't go down uh i got canceled didn't apologize
00:56:30.600 didn't go down and by the time trump took a bullet
00:56:38.200 and didn't go down that's when you knew it was for real
00:56:42.120 because we needed that many people on the same side to take a bullet and not go down
00:56:50.200 and some of the people that i'm talking about took a cannonball through the chest
00:56:55.960 and didn't go down and i think that makes it a lot safer for the people who have more to lose
00:57:03.400 you know i mean not everybody has the option of being as brave as you'd like to be you may have kids
00:57:09.720 you may have a family bills to pay you know we have our responsibilities
00:57:16.280 but i think that the the right the right leaning side of the country bought their success
00:57:24.760 by not going down jay badakaria yeah jay badakaria the people who didn't go down during the pandemic
00:57:32.760 they said i'm not going to get the vaccination for example they they they didn't go down
00:57:40.680 they they stood for it and they said you can do whatever you have to do but we're not going down
00:57:46.840 the january sixers went to jail for years but they didn't back down they didn't apologize
00:57:59.160 they didn't say i'm sorry and when they're released and i believe they will be fairly soon
00:58:05.800 they yet again will be more people on the right who took a cannonball through the chest
00:58:15.000 never back down so that kind of peter navarro went to jail didn't back down
00:58:22.680 yeah even even melania you know you'd expect melania to say uh can we have a conversation um donald
00:58:36.360 whatever you do do not run for president for a third time wouldn't it be easy for melania 0.65
00:58:44.200 to back down and try to talk about it no we don't know what private conversations they they had
00:58:49.480 but to me it looks like she's all in looks like she didn't back down her husband took a bullet 0.98
00:58:57.480 she still didn't back down so there when you see you know the bill lackman's
00:59:03.800 pouring in and uh you know a lot of the uh the tech leaders when you see elon musk risk elon musk
00:59:12.440 risked his entire fortune you know he risked everything right he risked everything didn't back
00:59:21.160 down did not back down so i think that maybe that's a power that the democrats can't understand
00:59:32.200 can't see directly and maybe we'll never fully appreciate that if you have an adversary
00:59:40.200 that you can put cannonballs to their chest and they just blink and don't go down you might as well
00:59:47.640 give up because we're not giving up we're not fucking giving up as i said in my uh my uh post on x they 0.97
01:00:00.360 got i guess 2.7 million views so far i waited 30 years for this i had to shut my mouth for 20 of those 0.94
01:00:09.400 years but i didn't back down i just waited i waited until i had the tools to do what i needed to do
01:00:21.160 and i did what i needed to do i'm very happy about it by the way does anybody ever wonder if i regret
01:00:29.400 getting canceled not there hasn't been a single second of my life that i regretted it not not one
01:00:37.080 time did i think you know maybe if i said it differently not once nope said what i wanted to say
01:00:45.880 took a bullet through the chest didn't apologize didn't go down and now we get our president trump
01:00:52.600 and that's the reward the golden age is here the golden age is here
01:01:03.080 well it was rather disruptive um i i may have i may have concealed from you the the degree of
01:01:12.280 effort that is required to recover from being fully canceled worldwide it requires a little bit of work
01:01:19.640 you know a little bit of work joshua lysek very very important to that so thank you joshua
01:01:29.720 um i also had a really good year
01:01:34.440 just in general it was kind of a good year all right i'm going to talk to the locals people privately
01:01:41.880 because it's a sunday and we don't have much to say but uh everything's different now you can feel it
01:01:50.760 it's all coming together i don't know who's authoring this simulation but
01:01:56.760 sure is going my way a lot that's all i know for sure all right locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds
01:02:05.960 so
01:02:10.840 you
01:02:12.840 you
01:02:14.840 you
01:02:16.840 you
01:02:18.840 you
01:02:20.840 you
01:02:22.840 you