Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2676 CWSA 12⧸01⧸24

00:00:00.980 I won't settle for less.

00:00:14.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:23.260 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and I'll bet you've never had a better time in your

00:00:26.840 whole stinking life but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:33.660 understand with their shiny tiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass or

00:00:38.900 glass a tank or chalice or stein the canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your

00:00:45.700 favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here of the

00:00:51.580 day the thing that makes everybody happy it's called the simultaneous sip happens right now go

00:00:57.280 I don't think your life stinks what are you talking about

00:01:06.240 has anybody picked up a Dilbert 2025 calendar you better hurry I would say the next week or so if

00:01:21.140 you order them you're pretty safe to get them before Christmas every week that goes by a little

00:01:26.360 less safe to get it before Christmas but still worth doing and you can only get them at the link

00:01:33.120 that you'll find at Dilbert.com you cannot find it anywhere else in the world no bookstore

00:01:39.380 no other online source just go to Dilbert.com and you'll see the link to the sales page right there

00:01:46.520 and that is all the commercial that I need to give you right now

00:01:50.420 your girlfriend got you one for Christmas now that that girlfriend is a keeper in fact that will

00:01:59.280 go so far as to say if your loved one does not give you a Dilbert calendar for your for a holiday

00:02:05.120 maybe rethink the whole relationship

00:02:08.960 all right uh well so there's news today that uh another study that says that statins might be more

00:02:18.420 bad for you than good and that cholesterol might be more good for you than bad now I'm not going to

00:02:24.780 make a claim that any of these claims or counterclaims are true I will make a claim that I'm not so sure

00:02:33.000 anything in health care is real is anybody having the same crisis that I am that I'm not sure anything

00:02:40.820 is real in health care and here's my problem anytime that the uh the treatment depends on somebody did a

00:02:50.900 big study and there was a lot of data and there was a lot of variables and a lot of assumptions and

00:02:56.760 when they were done they found a good solid 30 improvement if you took the drug I'm not sure any of

00:03:02.980 those are real but if you do the test and people who take the drug

00:03:08.900 you know live and the other ones don't and

00:03:11.940 um you know it's a cure I do believe cures

00:03:16.740 because I think it would be hard to hide a cure

00:03:19.540 but I'm not sure we can really measure a 30 improvement in anything

00:03:25.340 it feels like the people doing the study could always find a way to make it 30 percent

00:03:30.840 or look like it's 30 percent better in some way so I just don't believe anything that says well

00:03:37.560 we'll give you a you know 26 improvement um but again I tell you do not believe anything that

00:03:46.760 cartoonists tell you about health care so you know talk to your doctor I'm not I don't want to talk you

00:03:52.440 enough or into any kind of drug but I'm just telling you that as a consumer of such things

00:03:59.160 I really do not know what to believe anymore when it comes to health care

00:04:05.000 well here's the story that New York Post seems to have

00:04:09.800 managed to get wrong in my opinion but we'll see

00:04:12.680 so there's an emmy-winning tv reporter uh rachel young kunis now she was abruptly fired uh according 0.98

00:04:21.400 to New York Post and because her bosses were shortchanging her she she claims that male colleagues

00:04:28.280 were getting uh all kinds of support and you know camera crews are being sent out and uh so the males

00:04:36.280 were getting lots of support but uh she was not and so she's I don't know suing them or something

00:04:43.720 now here's here's a tiny little thing that was also in the article

00:04:50.120 she was on a performance improvement plan have you ever heard of that it's called a pip in corporate

00:04:57.000 america a pip performance improvement plan is there anybody here who has ever been a manager

00:05:06.200 and put anybody on a performance improvement plan do you know what that means it means you're one of

00:05:13.720 the lowest performers in the department

00:05:17.880 that's why you're on it basically the performance improvement plan says you're going to be fired

00:05:24.200 if you continue the way you've been going a pip is literally a performance improvement plan

00:05:31.160 if you don't raise your level it's basically a one year it's like getting a one-year warning that

00:05:37.560 they're going to fire you they're not really expecting you to improve your performance what they're

00:05:43.400 expecting is to have covered their ass that they gave you a nice long warning and told you exactly 0.92

00:05:48.760 what the problem was and then a year later they can say all right nothing changed goodbye 0.98

00:05:53.560 and then they're covered so if you see a story about somebody who is who says she was fired or

00:06:01.240 or at least mistreated because of sexism and in the very same story it says she was on a performance

00:06:07.800 improvement plan i'm not so sure the sexism is the real story here can't rule it out i mean i wasn't

00:06:16.280 there and it's certainly possible that you could be on a performance improvement plan

00:06:20.920 and win an emmy you could definitely do that because the emmy is you know bs and you could

00:06:27.000 definitely be on a performance improvement plan and also there's real sexism so i'm not sure there's

00:06:33.560 real sexism but if you don't call out the the part about the performance improvement plan i'm not sure

00:06:40.600 that the reader is getting served here i would like to know that they're that they're on an identifiable

00:06:47.720 path to being fired oh and then there's a lot of sexism in the office that you need to sue over okay

00:06:55.320 and again there might actually be legitimately all the sexism that that is part of the complaint it

00:07:01.960 might be but it kind of looks like a coin toss to me

00:07:09.560 all right here's a study according to side post there was a study done in scandinavia where they

00:07:16.280 tried to see if women were more or less willing to engage with a man who is stronger versus weaker

00:07:24.920 based on how much uh darkness there was and what they found out is if it's in a darkened environment

00:07:32.360 women felt safer talking to men who didn't look dangerous 1.00

00:07:37.640 and if they were in a darkened environment they were a little reluctant to talk to anybody who was

00:07:42.760 you know big and dangerous looking

00:07:44.360 so they spent money doing that test to find out if you're more afraid of big people in the dark

00:07:54.760 you know what they could have done

00:07:57.640 just suggest they could have saved a lot of money by just asking me scott do you think women would be 1.00

00:08:04.120 more afraid of a big person in the dark or more afraid of a chihuahua in the dark huh let's see

00:08:11.640 more afraid of the bear or the chihuahua which would it be all right just ask me next time just ask

00:08:23.160 well according to climate change dispatch there's a new study poking holes in the whole

00:08:29.320 co2 induced climate change catastrophe i'd like to tell you the details of the study but i don't

00:08:35.080 understand any of it um but it's yet another scientific um scientific attack against the

00:08:44.840 idea that we can even know what's happening with our climate models so i don't believe science and i

00:08:51.960 don't believe climate models and i don't believe anything that is a uh prediction of what's going to

00:08:59.160 happen in a complicated environment so don't believe any financial prediction

00:09:08.920 about a company for example don't believe a health prediction don't believe a science

00:09:17.080 prediction that has lots of variables into the future so what all of these things have in common

00:09:23.480 is that somebody is making a bunch of assumptions in order to do their complicated prediction

00:09:30.840 it's always the assumptions that determine the outcome yeah only people who have worked in this

00:09:36.040 in the field of predicting a lot of stuff no it's always the assumptions that determine the outcome

00:09:41.720 as i did so that's why i know that well yeah elon musk is suing open ai as you know

00:09:50.360 elon musk funded the open ai is beginning because the whole point of being open open ai was that it

00:09:58.200 was going to be a non-profit because elon thought that ai was too important to you know have siloed in

00:10:05.560 one company but uh it looks like they're trying to turn that into a for-profit situation and so

00:10:12.600 musk is suing them according to the verge and we're not not suing them asking for a preliminary injunction

00:10:24.120 don't listen to anything i say about legal stuff because i have no idea what i'm talking about

00:10:29.000 but a preliminary injunction not so that would be different than suing right

00:10:33.400 and they uh they want they want to stop them from oh and they also accuse them of antitrust

00:10:42.280 issues um apparently according to most lawyers open ai and microsoft told investors not to fund

00:10:50.200 um the competitors to open ai that's kind of a kind of a non-competitive thing if it's true

00:10:58.120 so we'll see where that goes meanwhile there's something called the uh let's call it the trump

00:11:06.440 effect but this is really an elon musk effect that there's a former high level uh united nations guy

00:11:12.840 who wants to do a doge thing with the un united nations because the united nations wastes a bunch

00:11:19.000 of money and doesn't get enough done according to morgan phillips of fox news

00:11:22.840 fox news and uh apparently they think they have a lot of meetings and they don't accomplish anything

00:11:29.720 well what did you expect when you decided to create a organization with like 400 member states

00:11:40.200 how many how many countries are there let's say how many countries are there that are members of the un

00:11:46.040 um this will be a good general knowledge test all right i'm going to take my guess because i don't

00:11:54.040 i don't know the answer to this i'm going to tell you my guess to embarrass myself in public

00:11:59.240 but then you can do your guess in the comments don't let don't look it up this is a general test

00:12:05.000 okay you said in 190 i was going to say one 189 for some reason 189 is in my head

00:12:11.720 and then somebody i saw sean say 190 is that is is it is it really 189

00:12:22.360 i'm seeing i'm seeing lots of guesses that are in the high hundreds all right well let's say something

00:12:29.320 like that in the high hundreds okay on paper if you were going to design a system

00:12:36.040 in which 189 countries with completely different customs and priorities

00:12:45.320 we're going to get together and have meetings to decide what to do

00:12:49.640 were you going to assume that something efficient was going to happen about that

00:12:54.840 i don't know i certainly think they could probably do something you know be more efficient but

00:12:58.680 it's kind of designed in a way that would make efficiency kind of impossible but i'm not sure

00:13:06.600 they need it you know it's good enough i think that you can always talk to the other country and

00:13:13.000 there's always a some kind of a public process of conversation between countries so i think that

00:13:18.840 has a little bit of value but uh imagining that you could make that efficient well i hope you can good

00:13:27.240 luck i just think it's sort of naturally inefficient but maybe and the inefficiency i'm not sure makes that

00:13:35.240 much difference

00:13:39.000 anyway um so democrats are worried because uh trump's surge with latino voters is changing the congressional

00:13:48.520 battleground map you know i want to say this again but as far as i know

00:13:53.560 uh since i make predictions you know on a regular basis and i do it publicly i feel like i have to

00:14:01.000 say when i get one wrong you know it's incumbent upon me to say oh i predict that i got it wrong

00:14:07.320 but likewise in order to provide value to you so you can judge whether my predictions are worth listening

00:14:13.720 to i should tell you when i get them right and the thing that that i think is most useful

00:14:21.720 is when i predict things that are just way outside of the domain of anything anybody's predicting for

00:14:27.800 example predicting that trump would win in 2016 before that before that became popular

00:14:34.920 um but by far one of the just out of the left field predictions that i got right

00:14:42.440 is that latinos would become republican voters now i don't know if they are by a majority

00:14:51.640 but certainly one of the biggest stories is that the democrats didn't understand that the

00:14:57.560 the latino voters are by nature culturally really close to republicans and if you didn't live among that

00:15:07.480 culture if you weren't around it all the time you wouldn't know it because if you just read the news

00:15:13.240 you'd say oh a latino voter must be democrat but if you spend any time in the community

00:15:22.680 as most californians californians do just naturally because we're you know we're we're saturated

00:15:28.440 they're just the greatest people you know it's a hell of a good culture you'll be very happy

00:15:36.520 culturally you'll be very happy with the latino influence

00:15:42.920 anyway so i predicted that and uh i feel pretty happy about that one so i guess i'm just bragging

00:15:49.800 so the big story that is the news it's real it's a slow news day so almost all of the news is about

00:15:58.360 people's reaction to cash patel being named the head of the fbi or nominated nominated we'll see

00:16:05.160 so of course andrew mccabe had to go on cnn to say it's the worst thing in the world it's a terrible

00:16:10.920 development for the men and women of the fbi and also for the nation that depends on a high

00:16:16.600 functioning professional independent fbi i can't take mccabe seriously or cnn about this

00:16:24.520 you knew that the news was going to be what do you think i hate it what do you think i love it

00:16:30.360 but what do you think i hate it but how about you i love it and then that would be all the news

00:16:36.760 so it'd be a good day to have a day off from doing the news

00:16:42.120 but there are some interesting things coming out of the cash patel thing

00:16:45.320 um he's got he's got a great breadth of experience that seems relevant but not specific to the fbi

00:16:54.840 so that gives the critics enough to say he has not been in the fbi for a long time like people should

00:17:01.080 be i'm not sure that matters um but he is definitely uh loyal to trump he is definitely the right kind of

00:17:11.400 brain he's very smart uh every time i hear him talk i get a good vibe from him and he said he wants to

00:17:19.480 release he's been saying this he wants to release the ditty tapes and the epstein tapes

00:17:26.760 and uh let us speculate all right so i think most of you who are watching this live stream would agree with

00:17:34.920 the statement that you trust cash patel is that fair not for the country as a whole but just people

00:17:44.680 watching this live stream most of you would think that's a good like a very good i would say a plus

00:17:52.680 kind of an appointment that's what it feels like it feels like an a plus like for everything i want

00:17:58.680 it's all there everything i want for that job it's all there so he's got the loyalty he's got the

00:18:07.800 brains he's got the incentive he's got the experience he's seen what works what doesn't

00:18:13.800 i like everything about it

00:18:17.320 so we'll see um but here's what i don't think is going to happen i don't think he's going to

00:18:24.760 release those things he says he's going to release i don't think he's going to let the

00:18:29.800 ditty tapes out i don't think he's going to let the epstein tapes out if he has them uh

00:18:37.000 i don't think that any of those secrets are coming out now i do believe that he's being honest when he

00:18:44.600 says he wants to release them so i don't think there's any lying going on whatsoever what i believe

00:18:51.160 is that this is another case of those you know getting the talk when when he calls his staff in

00:18:58.440 and says all right let's get those ditty tapes to me and they go um there's something you need to know

00:19:06.680 what um you don't know what's on those ditty tapes do you no but we should release them to the world

00:19:14.760 uh you're really going to need to know what's on those before you make that decision and then he's 0.92

00:19:22.520 going to hear what's really on them and then he's going to say oh damn it and then he's going to find

00:19:30.440 a reason not to release them or they're going to be magically corrupted files or they can't find them 0.57

00:19:36.200 or there's a lawsuit or somebody's preventing it or somebody's slow walking it

00:19:45.800 that's the destiny tape all right it's such a slow news day there's a story about the

00:19:54.120 influencer destiny uh allegedly having some um

00:20:00.120 um trist that's on the sex tape i'm not even going to say who's who is allegedly the other 0.82

00:20:06.760 person on the sex tape because i there's no confirmation of that

00:20:13.480 so i don't think anybody's any of us care about his sex life do we

00:20:18.200 it was hard enough to care about destiny who he is it was harder to care about his opinion about

00:20:23.640 politics and it's just impossible for me to care about what he does with his body

00:20:28.280 in his spare time i don't think i could be less less interested in that anyway claudia was leaving 0.81

00:20:36.200 for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing

00:20:41.720 that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact 1.00

00:20:47.960 the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was taken

00:20:52.520 care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my tournament 1.00

00:20:58.280 and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace certain

00:21:04.280 conditions apply so cash is uh cash will not be uh the expect that there will be no news from cnn or

00:21:17.560 cnn or msnbc about the historic appointment of a non-white man to lead the fbi

00:21:24.680 now i'm gonna hope that the republicans do what i like it when they do which is simply um nominate

00:21:35.560 the person who looked like the best choice when you when you see cash patel nominated for this job

00:21:44.120 i'll bet you there's not a single one of you who said it was a dei hire

00:21:47.800 right i'll bet not one of you now how good is that as a a as a brand statement about republicans

00:22:00.680 consider that consider that not one of you spent one second thinking hey it's just because he's brown

00:22:08.600 he's getting this job they have to have more brown people i'll bet not one of you thought that

00:22:12.760 and do you know why none of you thought that because it's not what's happening he's very

00:22:19.080 obviously a lot of people's top choice for the job and that's the end of the story so republicans you

00:22:27.640 are definitely um it would be so easy it would be so easy for the republicans to try to get credit for

00:22:35.400 this wouldn't it like oh we got you know look look what we did we nominated somebody who's not a white 0.55

00:22:42.840 man for this job it's historic i just hope they don't ever bring it up like it's okay for me to bring

00:22:49.800 it up right because we're talking about just stuff having fun but it would be great if the republican just

00:22:58.040 never mentioned it we we picked the best person and we're done

00:23:05.480 so yesterday when i was uh posting on x my happiness that dei was being thwarted after 30 years of

00:23:12.920 bothering me i've got 2.6 million views on that so far in one day 2.6 million views now by contrast a good

00:23:23.720 post of mine would get 20 000 so this got 2.6 million so far it's it's climbing while i'm watching

00:23:33.080 it so there are a lot of people who have the same opinion about being under the yoke of massive racial

00:23:40.120 discrimination which we may be uh free from soon um there's stories that i don't believe really

00:23:48.760 anything about him but there's reports that george clooney might be mad at obama for allegedly you

00:23:56.440 know talking him into replacing biden and maybe that makes it george clooney's fault that harris

00:24:03.400 lost and therefore it's george clooney's fault that trump is president it's not george clooney's fault

00:24:09.720 can i can i back george clooney for a minute

00:24:18.120 whatever it is i'm pretty sure that the the main problem isn't george clooney

00:24:26.200 but the poor poor bastard gets pulled into it but here's i was trying to write down all the different

00:24:32.440 things i heard just today of what the democrats did wrong all right so this is based on just a 0.94

00:24:41.880 a glance across today's news so these are various different um posts on x and stories in the news and

00:24:50.440 stuff just this morning so just this morning this is how many reasons that i've read that people

00:24:58.200 have speculated as to why the democrats lost uh they didn't have a good pod podcaster influence

00:25:06.600 network uh they insulted men they were too smug and insulting to men uh the latino community drifted

00:25:15.720 right did they drift did they drift or were they always there um the smug superiority i think that was

00:25:25.480 um yeah smug superiority um they blew it on immigration that's what democrats are saying

00:25:33.160 about themselves they they just blew it on immigration everything anybody could have seen it coming

00:25:38.200 they treated immigration um they treated abortion like it was going to be a bigger button than

00:25:44.440 immigration and they guessed wrong it turns out immigrate immigration was a much bigger button

00:25:51.320 than abortion and they had that backwards um 2.7 million already wow i'm on my post let's see uh other

00:26:03.080 reasons they got around that they had no message for the working class voters um they had a bad candidate

00:26:10.760 they had terrible advisors and they wasted all their campaign funds

00:26:15.000 there's so many reasons that the democrats failed they didn't do a single thing right

00:26:27.400 nothing the most the most remarkable thing is that the election was as close as it was

00:26:33.480 if you if you made a checklist of all the things you should do right in a campaign every one of those

00:26:41.080 would be trump check check check yeah yeah check good yeah good communication yep very clear uh

00:26:46.920 policies yep they love them um did you campaign in all the right places yes yes yes and you would go

00:26:52.920 right down the line and it would be a solid black block of and i'm gonna say it again i think 0.99

00:27:02.200 this recent campaign by trump will be seen as the best campaign in history

00:27:08.040 i think i think i think it would be the best campaign in history

00:27:15.560 but if you do everything right and then you only barely beat the person who did literally everything

00:27:20.680 wrong that does tell you that the system as a maybe it needs a little work

00:27:30.520 did i get i can't remember if i gave you my hypothesis uh it might be something i only said in the man 0.67

00:27:36.840 cave that i do separately um did i give you my hypothesis of why the democrats are so crazy

00:27:44.040 right now i mean after the election uh i'll say the unfast in case i i may have already done this

00:27:51.160 but in a normal election you've got two liars competing against each other and everybody knows

00:27:57.560 it's two liars they know their own they know their own candidate is exaggerating but they don't mind

00:28:03.240 because they like where it's heading yeah but the other one's lying and vice versa so then when somebody

00:28:09.560 wins everybody says well okay it wasn't what i wanted it wasn't what i wanted but you know at

00:28:17.640 least i what the process was transparent etc but i don't think that's what happened this time

00:28:22.440 i think trump was doing his usual salesman like hyperbole and he was directionally correct on

00:28:31.000 everything but you know he plays fast and loose with some of the the details and the statistics like

00:28:36.600 every politician does but what the democrats were doing was they built an entire reality

00:28:43.720 that didn't have any basis of any any common sense whatsoever it was just just batshit crazy

00:28:50.200 stuff and it just got it kept solidifying into a harder structure when it didn't have a basis

00:28:57.400 there was no foundation to it it just didn't make any sense so the next thing you know it was just

00:29:03.320 one crazy thing after another and trump is hitler and you know suddenly the democrats are pro-war and

00:29:11.560 nothing made sense and then trump's over there just sort of saying common sense things like

00:29:17.400 well you know you're not really a country if your border isn't protected and people are like hmm well

00:29:24.200 that does make a little bit of sense so what we see what we're seeing right now this is my interpretation

00:29:33.160 is the democrats are not coming off just the loss that would be bad enough and they're not just mad

00:29:40.120 because trump is in charge which again would be bad enough they're coming off a gaslighting

00:29:47.480 if you've never experienced being gaslit then you have no idea what they're they're going through

00:29:54.920 their entire reality has to be restructured in their head and so literally the brain has to rewire itself

00:30:03.000 to understand what's happening and it appears to be that some substantial number of democrats

00:30:10.520 realized that they were in a gas-lit matrix like weird environment and that the dem and perhaps the

00:30:17.960 republicans were not and that has everything to do with the fact that trump got more votes in total

00:30:25.720 not just in the electoral college that was the big deal when he got more votes and also and also the

00:30:33.320 republicans generally won i think that made the democrats say how in the world could anything we've been

00:30:41.320 told be true and that's how they got out once they realized that more than more than half of the voters

00:30:50.120 that voted were on the other side and they and they were looking at the same news they had to figure out why

00:30:58.760 and their confusion and there's some stories the gateway pundit had stories about women who are

00:31:05.880 getting sterilized because they don't want to lose the right to do it later

00:31:10.120 you know it's just a handful of crazies but you you do expect massive mental

00:31:19.640 problems the therapy the the screaming and i think the the first election

00:31:27.720 people generally thought that that they still knew what they were doing but they lost and so that the

00:31:34.920 the famous woman screaming with the beanie hat on um kind of captured how people feel this time it's

00:31:42.040 different this time i think they're coming out of a genuine psychological bubble a gaslight you know

00:31:50.920 gaslight structure and that the the way it disorients you can last it could last months

00:31:59.400 because their brains actually literally physically have to be rewritten right like your brain changes

00:32:05.880 physically when it changes at all that's the only it has to change physically or it's not changing

00:32:11.720 so their brains are actually having to rewrite themselves to write themselves back into a reality

00:32:18.680 that makes sense with what they're observing and experiencing and that's really hard so good luck with that

00:32:25.560 that's when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering

00:32:32.200 is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those 1.00

00:32:38.600 from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that 1.00

00:32:44.520 cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price

00:32:51.240 for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less meanwhile uh governor hochel of

00:33:01.320 new york says she's gonna help trump deport the uh illegals with criminal backgrounds 0.98

00:33:07.720 so she's talking tough as as best you can as a democrat with immigration someone breaks the law i'll be the

00:33:15.800 first one to call up by she says get them out of here i don't want them here i don't want anybody 0.97

00:33:20.760 terrorizing my citizens now that is the correct take so so yes thank you governor hochel um but it's

00:33:29.640 definitely trying to act tougher on immigration and i think that's the trump effect i think people realize

00:33:38.760 realize that if they're not talking commonsensically commonsensibly about immigration then they just look crazy

00:33:49.320 yeah

00:33:52.040 anyway um according to washington times uh mexican authorities broke up two migrant caravans were heading

00:33:59.480 this way which would suggest that when trump threatened to give them that 25 tariff

00:34:04.840 um that might have been effective now maybe they would have done it anyway but it came after the

00:34:12.200 threat so yeah so we'll see so that's happening so the trump effect seems to be closing up the mexican

00:34:22.840 border the trump effect seems to be getting new york state governor hochel on board at least with getting rid of

00:34:29.400 the criminals and i think probably that's all that's going to happen honestly um but incoming uh border czar

00:34:37.880 tom holman according to the gateway pundit um he said uh he's got a detailed and aggressive plan to

00:34:46.520 restore order in the border and after four years of disastrous open border policies he says

00:34:52.360 um but he's also going to go after uh foreign governments and ngos um and even elements of the

00:35:00.920 united nations for their role in fueling the migrant surge now how in the world does tom homan 0.58

00:35:10.600 from his job go after foreign governments ngos and elements of the united nations i guess that would be a

00:35:17.720 whole of government approach so it would have to be the the administration itself going after that i

00:35:22.760 guess but uh that's what has to happen the america has to get its independence back we we sort of sold

00:35:30.280 our independence to a a network of non-government organizations that that the left was funding

00:35:38.600 that would then manage the united states so we basically gave away our sovereignty to some paid entities

00:35:45.480 that were going to say the say what democrats wanted them to say oh this is fake news or that sort of

00:35:52.280 thing so yes we actually have to get our independence back from these foreign and non-government entities 0.63

00:35:59.960 so i don't know if that's just tom homan's job or if that's a whole government thing

00:36:07.000 so joe biden was shown uh yesterday photographed just going from one place to another holding a book

00:36:14.760 that is called the hundred war year on the hundred years war on palestine and uh people say it's a

00:36:21.480 book that suggests that israel should not exist and the president is just sort of casually walking with

00:36:28.920 that book in his hand like like that's the book he's currently reading now here's my first question

00:36:35.080 what was the last time you saw a president carrying merchandise from one place to another

00:36:41.800 like anything when do you see a president like a sitting president with anything in their hands

00:36:49.640 even on vacation well they don't care anything they don't carry their bath towel if they go to the beach

00:36:56.840 presidents don't carry stuff so why would the one thing the one thing that he knows he's going to be

00:37:02.040 photograph carrying be a book that's according to other people anti-israel

00:37:11.880 some people are saying that he's sending some kind of a message but now i'm wondering if it's not

00:37:17.320 ai i wonder if i look back in 10 minutes it's gonna have a community note on it and say that's not the

00:37:23.160 real book he had in his hands it's ai is it possible ai i i guess i just question everything

00:37:30.520 now but i don't see any use to it i mean he's such a lame duck and nobody cares i mean even elon musk

00:37:39.000 said that trump is the de facto president he said that on x um so why would he do this 0.55

00:37:48.760 this if he knows it's provocative but it can't possibly do anything useful it feels a little hoaxy

00:37:59.080 yeah it feels like it might have been a hoax we'll find out all right um

00:38:07.560 so the uh there's a former nato chief former nato chief

00:38:12.680 who thinks that the hezbollah israel ceasefire is because of trump it's another trump effect

00:38:22.760 so the trump effect is definitely making a difference at least according to this former nato guy

00:38:31.560 did you see the threat that trump gave to the nations that are trying to create their own

00:38:36.760 bricks b-r-i-c-s um currency and so trump puts out a statement that threatens them that if they try to

00:38:47.240 create their own currency to get away from the dollar as the you know sort of international trade

00:38:53.560 currency that uh if they try to do it well he's gonna just tear off the heck out of them

00:39:00.280 give them a hundred percent tariff and they should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful

00:39:06.440 u.s economy they they could go find another sucker he says there's no chance that bricks will replace 0.61

00:39:14.360 u.s dollar now here's what i wonder so we're watching the trump effect work and i think everybody would

00:39:25.640 agree at this point that there really is a trump effect that you really are seeing you know ukraine

00:39:32.760 and russia say you know maybe trump can wind this down so people are kind of waiting for him because

00:39:39.480 they expect he's the common sense big dog getting off the porch and that uh as soon as he does there's

00:39:46.520 no point in doing anything until he gets there because everything's going to change do you think that uh

00:39:52.120 this is an overreach because the bricks countries seem pretty intent on doing their bricks thing

00:40:01.880 and i think they think it's probably important for their long-term survival um

00:40:09.480 uh it is a confusing it's a confusing topic i'm seeing in the comments bricks is not a threat to the u.s dollar

00:40:17.000 i don't have enough um grasp of that situation to say yes or no to that comment but

00:40:25.640 i just wonder if trump the trump effect is strong enough that he can make the bricks effort

00:40:32.040 go away with just a threat now they're gonna say this threat is empty because everything we buy from

00:40:41.480 other countries we sort of have to it's because nobody else makes it or doesn't they don't make it

00:40:47.080 affordably it's not like we buy from other countries because we just like it so i'm not sure how much

00:40:54.360 boycotting we could do if we tried but it'll be a good test to see if trump has that power

00:41:03.880 um representative uh this is a democrat representative jasmine crockett now she's pretty outspoken you've 1.00

00:41:11.960 seen her in some videos where she's saying some crazy democrat stuff but she's saying i don't expect

00:41:18.600 mass deportations uh i just really don't see it happening and she says she's talked to countless

00:41:24.600 farmers and they're going to say that they need their workers so she thinks basically that it'll be

00:41:31.080 limited to the illegals now you know what's interesting about that did you connect the dots yet

00:41:39.080 so it's a democrat who you might think would be the most anti-trump democrat like really really anti-trump democrat

00:41:53.480 jeremy jackson how drunk are you jeremy 0.52

00:41:59.080 jeremy there's one of my trolls is yelling in all caps that i believe something i don't believe 0.85

00:42:04.600 and therefore i'm wrong could you at least make up something that i do believe and then criticize

00:42:12.840 that but screaming the opposite of what i believe really loudly and drunkenly in the morning is not

00:42:22.520 getting you whatever you wanted i'm not sure what you wanted from that but being wrong about my opinion

00:42:28.120 and really being mad about it that's not getting you much so up your game a little bit

00:42:35.000 anyway jasmine crockett the democrat you'd expect to be very anti-trump and she's trying to be but

00:42:41.240 she's helping him accidentally here's how she's helping him accidentally the biggest thing that

00:42:48.280 people are complaining about with the incoming trump is he might be too aggressive in deporting people

00:42:55.400 and here's a democrat saying don't worry he won't be that aggressive in deporting people he'll only

00:43:01.720 deport the people that even you and i would want deported the criminals now is she the worst enemy

00:43:09.560 you've ever seen i want her to be against me because she really helped him there 0.95

00:43:18.280 if the son if the person you would think would be the most anti-trump just took his scariest policy and

00:43:25.320 said you know it's gonna be no big deal and probably the things he does are the things you 0.96

00:43:30.280 want him to do get rid of the criminals does she realize how dumb she was she's supposed to say 0.97

00:43:37.000 none of this is working and the world will fall apart and we'll lose all our workers and all that 0.94

00:43:40.840 and instead she just said that'll all work out he'll just get rid of the people you want him to get rid

00:43:46.520 of like i i think she had no idea that that was the most embracing thing you could have ever said about

00:43:56.360 him now of course trump and holman would say that's not true we're going to get rid of you know anybody

00:44:02.760 who's here illegally but she just told the democrats they don't have to worry about it what

00:44:11.480 this is a weird trump effect um then uh new york times there's a new york times article opinion piece

00:44:20.440 saying that the republicans built an ecosystem of influencers and some democrats want one too 0.99

00:44:27.080 and i saw it getting mocked because people said correctly republicans didn't build shit 0.97

00:44:34.200 no no no the republicans did not say you know what we need would be a network of loyal podcasters no a 0.98

00:44:44.440 network of podcasters emerged organically because republicans weren't getting the job done

00:44:52.520 republicans didn't do anything the podcasters were self-organized around common sense

00:45:01.960 what what do joe rogan and uh and me have in common

00:45:12.200 it's a good question what do joe rogan

00:45:14.200 and me besides both having a podcast of sorts what do we have in common

00:45:22.840 common sense we we have all kinds of different preferences of lifestyle

00:45:27.800 you know very different lives and and stuff and backgrounds but we're bald yeah bald don't have hair

00:45:38.120 uh but we're both very organized around what is just common sense so i don't even see things as

00:45:45.560 as political i know hard to believe but i genuinely don't see things as political i see them as would that

00:45:52.840 work if it would work i'm in favor of it if it wouldn't work i'm not in favor of it i think that's

00:45:59.800 exactly where joe rogan is now i can't read his mind right you can't get in other people's minds that's

00:46:07.000 always unfair but if you watch him long enough it looks like he wants the country to do well

00:46:14.120 and he's in favor of things that are kind of obviously good ideas and against things that are

00:46:19.640 obviously bash you crazy that's me we have that in common right what what does jordan peterson want

00:46:29.320 same stuff wants the country to do well well the world canada too so the thing that written so so 0.60

00:46:39.240 here's the problem so let me restate it and then you'll see the problem the republican what they call

00:46:47.080 the republican network of podcasters it it grew up because there were a bunch of adults

00:46:55.400 i used to say dads but i'll desexify it and call it adults megan kelly's just killing it for example

00:47:01.960 in the podcasting space well i'll do it for let me do it for megan kelly and for roseanne and for the the

00:47:09.400 many women who were doing a great job in the podcasting space so i'll i'll modify from internet 0.97

00:47:16.680 dads to internet parents and i think that all of them grew it grew into that space and became what

00:47:25.240 they were and are because there was a need there was need there was a gigantic hole that just wasn't

00:47:34.280 being filled by um republicans saying what they thought needed to be said and so they filled the

00:47:41.000 hole but they filled it with common sense if you turn on megan kelly is it going to be bash you crazy

00:47:47.720 stuff no it's all going to be this is the law this makes sense what may you know right and you could go

00:47:57.240 right down the line you know the the conservative right leaning podcasters some of them are democrats

00:48:04.600 they just like common sense so they look like republicans now here's the fun part

00:48:12.040 the part where it says democrats want to replicate that situation okay how would that work

00:48:19.640 work so the right leading podcasters are organized around common sense would you agree with that

00:48:28.200 statement first of all that that's the the organizing principle is hey the country's in trouble we're not

00:48:34.280 following common sense let's go back to what we know works democrats can't do that the democrats were

00:48:42.520 literally the batshit crazy stuff they were the opposite of common sense on every topic on every

00:48:50.040 topic they were the opposite of common sense so what do you do if they were to put together a

00:48:59.960 podcasting network and there are plenty of left-leaning podcasts but if they were to make them even you know

00:49:05.640 more prominent somehow and they would be prominently batshit crazy so what kind of an organizing

00:49:12.040 principle is that yeah let's get all the bat shit crazy ideas and we'll put them all together and we'll have

00:49:17.960 this strong podcasting structure no it worked on the right because americans said well that makes sense

00:49:28.600 oh it doesn't look like joe rogan wants to lie to me you know what i just had this idea

00:49:35.800 it could be that the main thing that podcasters do differently from politicians is they have less

00:49:45.720 incentive to lie to you um so i saw somebody in the comments recently say that that using me as an

00:49:54.120 example that i don't have any reason to lie to anybody that's true like even if you suspected i was wrong

00:50:02.760 about something because everybody's wrong about the stuff right being wrong is no big deal

00:50:08.600 but when you see me being wrong you probably don't think i'm lying you probably just think oh he needs

00:50:14.840 to you know read up on this topic or something but when you see a politician saying something you know

00:50:20.360 isn't true you usually think they're lying so one of the things the podcasters did would was to

00:50:27.320 give you a place you could see views that at least people held the actual view like if you see you

00:50:35.160 know i hate to use every example being joe rogan so let's use the all in pod for example now they're

00:50:40.760 not all right leaning of course because jason represents a lefter version but uh they're just

00:50:47.800 chasing what makes sense and they're doing it in front of you and telling you how to think and that's

00:50:52.520 what i try to do so i don't think i don't think i don't think the democrat set of policies is based

00:51:01.080 on common sense and therefore they have no unifying you know trump trump is bad orange man bad it's not

00:51:09.480 really unifying so good luck with that democrats well like i said it's a weird day with no real news i was

00:51:18.920 trying to vamp a little bit stretch down you know make it last a little bit longer but there's not

00:51:24.360 much happening all the big news will drop tomorrow although i guess the holidays will get a little slow

00:51:31.880 but i'll say again it's kind of amazing that trump um this is how you know common sense has reappeared

00:51:41.080 the fact that trump can be the de facto president and even the democrats are not bitching about it

00:51:48.920 i have to give them credit and this is more evidence that the old gaslighting structure fell

00:51:55.640 apart because it would be so easy for democrats to say oh trump is not the elected president yet he's

00:52:04.520 not sworn in well he's elected but he's not sworn in so he can't be negotiating with all these world

00:52:10.280 leaders and having dinner with trudeau but nobody's saying that

00:52:17.800 isn't it isn't it like deafening the silence it's the most obvious thing because it's true

00:52:25.400 he's clearly doing a president's job before he's president but common sense tells us that's our very best

00:52:35.880 situation because common sense tells us that biden is checked out and that we need to show a better

00:52:43.320 face to the leaders of the other countries and if we can show them somebody who's capable and strong and

00:52:51.400 has very specific ideas that the country just backed by a major election yeah get to work right away

00:52:57.800 and watching trump um simply i don't want to say bully

00:53:07.480 but but step into the breach

00:53:12.360 watching him just step into the need in the same way that the conservative podcasters i believe

00:53:19.960 stepped into the the empty hole of you know what needed to be filled i think trump just says there's no

00:53:26.760 president you better start talking to me right away and you know he'll be polite and make sure that he

00:53:33.960 gets sworn in before the serious stuff happens but it certainly makes sense that he's getting really

00:53:39.560 serious and doing real work right now and i can't tell you how much i love that like when i see somebody

00:53:48.120 doing more work than uh we we hired them for that affects me like like that has one of the biggest

00:53:57.400 effects so even though trump is you know he's a he's a showman and he's a special kind of person you

00:54:03.720 know not like anybody else the fact that in both his elections he he hit the ground running and he was

00:54:11.000 presidenting like crazy before the swearing i have so much respect for that i just love that

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00:55:21.080 so i would like to also give you the following mental model and see if you agree with it it's one

00:55:30.520 thing to have a an opinion you know republicans had a lot of opinions and it differed from a lot of

00:55:37.640 democrats but i think you saw republicans do something that i'm not sure i've seen democrats do

00:55:48.440 you remember when uh roseanne took a bullet so to speak but then she came back now she has one of the 0.97

00:55:56.520 bigger more important podcasts you know when uh the left went after joe rogan and they went after him

00:56:03.800 hard and it turned him into the number one podcaster in the world

00:56:10.520 yeah and you've seen person after person who got canceled uh bannon bannon took a prison sentence

00:56:17.880 he didn't go down that they took their best shot didn't go down uh i got canceled didn't apologize

00:56:30.600 didn't go down and by the time trump took a bullet

00:56:38.200 and didn't go down that's when you knew it was for real

00:56:42.120 because we needed that many people on the same side to take a bullet and not go down

00:56:50.200 and some of the people that i'm talking about took a cannonball through the chest

00:56:55.960 and didn't go down and i think that makes it a lot safer for the people who have more to lose

00:57:03.400 you know i mean not everybody has the option of being as brave as you'd like to be you may have kids

00:57:09.720 you may have a family bills to pay you know we have our responsibilities

00:57:16.280 but i think that the the right the right leaning side of the country bought their success

00:57:24.760 by not going down jay badakaria yeah jay badakaria the people who didn't go down during the pandemic

00:57:32.760 they said i'm not going to get the vaccination for example they they they didn't go down

00:57:40.680 they they stood for it and they said you can do whatever you have to do but we're not going down

00:57:46.840 the january sixers went to jail for years but they didn't back down they didn't apologize

00:57:59.160 they didn't say i'm sorry and when they're released and i believe they will be fairly soon

00:58:05.800 they yet again will be more people on the right who took a cannonball through the chest

00:58:15.000 never back down so that kind of peter navarro went to jail didn't back down

00:58:22.680 yeah even even melania you know you'd expect melania to say uh can we have a conversation um donald

00:58:36.360 whatever you do do not run for president for a third time wouldn't it be easy for melania 0.65

00:58:44.200 to back down and try to talk about it no we don't know what private conversations they they had

00:58:49.480 but to me it looks like she's all in looks like she didn't back down her husband took a bullet 0.98

00:58:57.480 she still didn't back down so there when you see you know the bill lackman's

00:59:03.800 pouring in and uh you know a lot of the uh the tech leaders when you see elon musk risk elon musk

00:59:12.440 risked his entire fortune you know he risked everything right he risked everything didn't back

00:59:21.160 down did not back down so i think that maybe that's a power that the democrats can't understand

00:59:32.200 can't see directly and maybe we'll never fully appreciate that if you have an adversary

00:59:40.200 that you can put cannonballs to their chest and they just blink and don't go down you might as well

00:59:47.640 give up because we're not giving up we're not fucking giving up as i said in my uh my uh post on x they 0.97

01:00:00.360 got i guess 2.7 million views so far i waited 30 years for this i had to shut my mouth for 20 of those 0.94

01:00:09.400 years but i didn't back down i just waited i waited until i had the tools to do what i needed to do

01:00:21.160 and i did what i needed to do i'm very happy about it by the way does anybody ever wonder if i regret

01:00:29.400 getting canceled not there hasn't been a single second of my life that i regretted it not not one

01:00:37.080 time did i think you know maybe if i said it differently not once nope said what i wanted to say

01:00:45.880 took a bullet through the chest didn't apologize didn't go down and now we get our president trump

01:00:52.600 and that's the reward the golden age is here the golden age is here

01:01:03.080 well it was rather disruptive um i i may have i may have concealed from you the the degree of

01:01:12.280 effort that is required to recover from being fully canceled worldwide it requires a little bit of work

01:01:19.640 you know a little bit of work joshua lysek very very important to that so thank you joshua

01:01:29.720 um i also had a really good year

01:01:34.440 just in general it was kind of a good year all right i'm going to talk to the locals people privately

01:01:41.880 because it's a sunday and we don't have much to say but uh everything's different now you can feel it

01:01:50.760 it's all coming together i don't know who's authoring this simulation but

01:01:56.760 sure is going my way a lot that's all i know for sure all right locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds

01:02:05.960 so

01:02:10.840 you

01:02:12.840 you

01:02:14.840 you

01:02:16.840 you

01:02:18.840 you

01:02:20.840 you

01:02:22.840 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 01, 2024

Episode 2676 CWSA 12⧸01⧸24

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