Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2681 CWSA 12⧸06⧸24

00:00:00.000 All right, we're almost ready here for the show of shows.

00:00:04.480 The thing that will make you so happy.

00:00:08.180 Are you ready for this?

00:00:17.280 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:26.900 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm pretty sure you've never had a better time.

00:00:31.540 But if you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:00:36.320 all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank of gels or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:43.180 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:45.660 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:50.020 the thing that makes everything better, with a little oxytocin today, a little bit.

00:00:54.480 It's called the simultaneous sip, but it happens now.

00:00:58.420 Go.

00:01:02.720 Ah, extraordinary.

00:01:05.380 The best ever, probably.

00:01:08.480 Well, this might surprise you, but did you know, according to psychology today,

00:01:15.620 the smell in coffee can increase your attention and memory?

00:01:18.540 That's right.

00:01:20.320 They did a little study where they just gave people the smell of coffee,

00:01:24.920 and it gave them some of the mental benefits of actually drinking coffee.

00:01:31.160 And then they made this mistake.

00:01:33.680 They called it the placebo effect.

00:01:36.800 No, that's not the placebo effect.

00:01:41.000 That's hypnosis.

00:01:41.920 Now, I'm just sort of recreationally playing with this.

00:01:49.900 But the placebo effect, as I understand it, is if they give you a fake medication

00:01:56.180 and you don't know it's fake, but because you expect it might work,

00:02:01.560 there's something about your expectation that makes it work.

00:02:04.580 Whereas I think what's happening with the coffee test is that because real coffee gives you real

00:02:14.020 mental benefits, that being triggered by the smell of coffee makes you remember

00:02:19.640 and associate those mental benefits and puts you back into that state.

00:02:24.040 That would be closer to hypnosis.

00:02:25.840 So hypnosis is where you pair two things so that the quality of one thing kind of slops over into the other.

00:02:35.240 The reason that beer companies used to do commercials with attractive young people

00:02:41.420 was people would like looking at the young people, and especially the women, 0.75

00:02:47.000 and they'd feel good.

00:02:49.040 And then when they saw that brand of beer, they'd transfer some of that good feeling into the beer.

00:02:53.940 So I feel like the reason that the people smelling coffee performed better

00:03:00.600 is because it triggered their past memory, not because it influenced their expectations of what would work.

00:03:10.220 That's what I think.

00:03:12.980 Anyway, here's some backward science, according to the University of College.

00:03:18.500 University College of London.

00:03:19.800 Did you know that adults who frequently post on social media are more at risk of developing mental health problems?

00:03:30.100 So apparently it doesn't hurt you so much to consume social media.

00:03:36.240 That's not highly correlated with mental problems.

00:03:39.180 But if you post a lot and you also consume it, it's highly correlated with mental problems.

00:03:46.160 So, did this study show that the more you post, the more likely you'll have a mental problem?

00:03:55.520 No.

00:03:56.760 I think it's backward science.

00:04:00.380 Backwards science.

00:04:02.420 Let me explain what I mean.

00:04:04.360 If you've ever had incredibly good sex with somebody you were in a long-term relationship with and you were in love with,

00:04:13.420 and you remember how good that felt?

00:04:16.160 While you were doing it, when you were right in the middle of it,

00:04:19.380 did you ever feel like a pressing need to post something on social media?

00:04:24.680 Or were you perfectly happy doing what you were doing at the moment?

00:04:28.500 I'm going to say you were happy.

00:04:30.200 You were happy.

00:04:30.680 So, could it be that rather than posting on social media gives you mental problems,

00:04:38.120 could it be that if you're not happy with your life,

00:04:40.900 you're looking for something outside of your life to give you a little thrill?

00:04:46.140 I've got a feeling that being unhappy is what makes you post.

00:04:49.360 I don't think that the posting is so much what makes you unhappy.

00:04:54.640 But I think both are true.

00:04:56.000 I think it's true both ways, but I think it's more about unhappy people are looking for something to fill the need.

00:05:02.880 And if you were already happy, you probably wouldn't do a lot of posting,

00:05:05.900 except maybe family pictures or something.

00:05:11.060 According to The Hill, the Pentagon has finally admitted they don't know what's up with UFOs.

00:05:16.440 So, apparently in the past, there have been a lot of denying and obfuscating.

00:05:24.920 There's a word I read a lot, but I don't say out loud a lot.

00:05:28.760 Obfuscating.

00:05:29.920 Hey, Bob, you've been obfuscating.

00:05:32.580 I never say that word.

00:05:34.460 I only read it.

00:05:35.240 So, apparently during some briefing with the reporters, this new director of the,

00:05:43.680 I guess there's a Pentagon department to look for these anomalous flying things. 0.84

00:05:49.380 And said, quote, this is Kozlowski, that's the director.

00:05:59.180 There are interesting cases that I, with my physics and engineering background and time in the intelligence community,

00:06:05.820 I do not understand.

00:06:07.380 And I don't know anybody else who understands them either.

00:06:11.500 All right.

00:06:12.240 I'm still at no for UFOs being aliens from other planets.

00:06:20.940 I think I'm still at no for any kind of, you know, early human beings who are hidden below the ocean,

00:06:29.620 who come out every now and then with their high tech to look at the uncivilized people.

00:06:35.320 Probably not.

00:06:36.760 Probably not.

00:06:37.740 Not impossible.

00:06:39.160 I mean, I like thinking about those things being possible.

00:06:42.740 Recreationally.

00:06:43.600 But no, I don't think so.

00:06:45.640 I think that when somebody says, you know, I can't explain it with my physics and engineering background,

00:06:51.660 that all it means is I can't explain it with my engineering and physics background.

00:06:57.420 So, the only thing we know for sure is that we don't know anything.

00:07:01.060 That's pretty far from saying aliens have visited the planet.

00:07:04.840 I don't know why I'm seeing what I see.

00:07:07.420 That's all you know.

00:07:09.020 You don't know anything else.

00:07:10.480 You only know that you don't know.

00:07:12.240 So, I don't think that got us closer to admitting there's some kind of other kind of life force here.

00:07:19.080 Maybe.

00:07:20.940 Well, according to The Independent, there's this new scientific breakthrough in China where they made camouflage material that will instantly change color to match your background.

00:07:32.960 Sort of like animals do, chameleons.

00:07:35.080 So, if you wear these clothes, you will just sort of disappear into the background.

00:07:40.720 Now, since you don't wear clothes on your face, I'm kind of looking forward to this because wouldn't you love being like a floating head?

00:07:53.580 Wouldn't you love to walk into a room and people go, ah! 0.99

00:07:56.040 Oh, damn it. 0.99

00:07:58.360 Are you wearing those camouflage clothing again? 0.99

00:08:02.140 And I would say, yes, I'm obfuscating what I am.

00:08:06.440 No, I wouldn't say that because I don't say obfuscating.

00:08:08.740 But I feel like the opportunity to look like a floating head is irresistible.

00:08:16.860 So, I see big potential for this technology.

00:08:20.720 Floating head.

00:08:21.860 Also good for the office.

00:08:23.260 If your boss is coming by, if you just sort of tuck into a ball, like if you have a hat or a face mask, just cover up.

00:08:31.700 So, yeah.

00:08:34.700 Meanwhile, here's a story that is so good that I can't believe it's true.

00:08:42.060 According to EV Central, Mercedes-Benz has developed a paint, a paint for the car, that would be enough to charge your car for almost all normal business.

00:08:53.860 In other words, Mercedes-Benz allegedly has developed a paint that would be as robust as the paint on your car is now.

00:09:06.080 So, it wouldn't be a bad kind of paint either.

00:09:08.620 But it can actually create enough electricity.

00:09:12.540 The paint itself is designed to be like a solar panel, but just paint.

00:09:17.060 And it's so efficient that you could drive, you know, like 50 miles a day or something.

00:09:25.020 Basically, your commute without ever buying fuel.

00:09:29.600 Now, do you believe that?

00:09:33.160 Doesn't that sound a little bit too good?

00:09:37.320 That your cars would basically never need fuel?

00:09:40.320 All you have to do is paint it with this kind of paint.

00:09:43.280 I don't know.

00:09:44.100 It's not going to happen right away.

00:09:45.540 They're saying five to ten years, but I'm going to say probably not.

00:09:52.760 If I had to place a bet, I would place a bet that you will not be able to completely power your car for normal business because of the paint.

00:10:03.360 It sounds good, but I don't know.

00:10:06.140 That's the sort of thing that never really happens.

00:10:07.760 In other news, the University of Canterbury said they fed kids these little micronutrients and reduced their irritability, anger, and aggression.

00:10:20.640 And supposedly had a big difference in their improving their emotional and regulatory systems.

00:10:27.800 Do you know how they could have saved a little bit of money on that?

00:10:32.100 Yeah.

00:10:32.960 They could have just asked me.

00:10:35.440 I've told this story before, but it's one of my favorites of understanding human behavior.

00:10:40.120 When I was in my first marriage, there were two stepkids, and they were young, very young, and they would often get in arguments with each other because they were close in age.

00:10:52.140 And they'd be fighting it out, you know, verbally fighting it out, and I would say, oh, we're going to have to do something.

00:11:01.400 You know, what are we going to do?

00:11:02.720 And my ex-wife would say, oh, they're just hungry.

00:11:07.260 And I would think, what do you mean they're just hungry?

00:11:11.060 Their behavior, you know, is like aggressive, and they're yelling at each other.

00:11:16.540 That's not hunger.

00:11:18.260 There's something else going on.

00:11:19.580 It can't be just hunger.

00:11:20.480 And then she would put down a plate of food, like lunch or whatever the meal was, and their moods would completely change.

00:11:29.740 They would sit down and take two bites, and they'd be in a good mood.

00:11:32.900 And I'd be like, is this really happening?

00:11:36.300 Did you just cure somebody's, like, entire mental situation with a hot dog?

00:11:41.800 Yes.

00:11:42.660 Yes.

00:11:43.700 All they had to do was eat, and they were fine.

00:11:46.160 And I watched that experiment repeated a number of times.

00:11:51.500 Yeah, food.

00:11:53.060 It makes people relaxed.

00:11:56.300 But it's more to my point that your body is your brain.

00:11:59.620 So if you don't take care of your body, you are not taking care of your mental health.

00:12:04.400 Got to take care of your body first.

00:12:06.280 All right.

00:12:10.960 Somebody says I post a lot.

00:12:14.200 You know I do this for a living, right?

00:12:17.880 It's different.

00:12:19.460 It's different if you're doing it every day.

00:12:22.460 Anyway.

00:12:22.800 The House Intel panel, according to the New York Post, is thinking that it's increasingly likely, increasingly likely, that the mysterious Havana syndrome actually comes from some foreign actor.

00:12:37.400 In other words, the stories of the mostly embassy people, American embassy people, having some kind of brain disruption that they thought was maybe some kind of a secret sonic Russian weapon.

00:12:50.580 And then people looked into it, and they couldn't find any evidence there was a weapon.

00:12:54.480 But now there is further investigation.

00:13:00.180 And according to subcommittee chairman Rick Crawford of Arkansas, quote, I've discovered that there is reliable evidence to suggest that some anomalous health, so they have a name for it now, anomalous health incidents, the AHIs, are the work of foreign adversaries.

00:13:19.660 Now, I like Representative Rick Crawford.

00:13:24.480 He's one of the good guys.

00:13:27.080 But I don't think I quite believe that there's evidence of adversaries.

00:13:34.380 I think the only thing there is is evidence that people have complained they have certain kind of jobs and that when investigated, they have real damage.

00:13:45.300 But the symptoms are all over the place.

00:13:48.700 And when I see too many symptoms, I immediately think it's not a weapon.

00:13:54.480 It's some psychological effect.

00:13:58.220 Now, the damage could be real.

00:14:00.640 But the psychology might be what's causing people to go have it looked at.

00:14:05.880 And I suspect that this is a perceptual situation.

00:14:10.980 But I could be wrong.

00:14:14.560 So if I'm wrong on this one, if somebody someday, you know, a whistleblower says, yeah, here's the weapon.

00:14:21.160 I did it myself.

00:14:22.580 Watch.

00:14:23.060 I'll do it on this animal.

00:14:24.080 We'll test it.

00:14:25.020 You know, I could imagine someday I could be convinced this was real.

00:14:28.400 But I would place a really large bet that it isn't at this point.

00:14:34.540 I will say that if you attended a subcommittee in which people gave you lots of evidence, which is like, oh, this person had this problem, doctor says this problem, it's the documentary effect.

00:14:48.740 So if you have a bunch of people coming in saying, it sure looks like a weapon to me, and nobody comes in to say, here's the evidence that it's not a weapon, it's going to feel like you really had a lot of evidence that an adversary did it.

00:15:03.240 So I would be, I would say, beware of the documentary effect if you have a subcommittee that's taking testimony that all kind of leads in one direction.

00:15:15.980 All right.

00:15:18.640 Meta, according to Breitbart News, Meta is going big on nuclear energy to fuel their AI.

00:15:28.220 So he's going to, what's he going to do?

00:15:29.760 So I guess all the big companies figure they've got to have some kind of connection to the nuclear power industry.

00:15:36.740 This is just the best thing.

00:15:38.760 It turns out that the most important part of AI was to force countries like America to take nuclear power seriously for the first time.

00:15:50.380 I feel like that might be the enduring legacy, like the most important part of AI is not even the AI.

00:15:57.100 Why is that it got us to completely revamp our whole understanding of our energy situation?

00:16:04.360 Because as many people have pointed out, if you're making a lot of money from energy or you're doing your energy stuff right, your country does well.

00:16:15.380 You win wars, your economy does well.

00:16:18.060 It all kind of comes from energy.

00:16:19.560 Can you think of any country that produces a lot of energy and isn't better off for it?

00:16:27.160 I mean, energy is kind of the whole game these days.

00:16:30.020 So I think this is the biggest thing that's happening, actually.

00:16:35.520 Well, according to ex-user Tara Bull, I saw this story, which is a funny name.

00:16:42.300 First name is Tara.

00:16:43.900 Last name is Bull.

00:16:45.000 But I think she does it humorously, like, Tara Bull.

00:16:49.520 I don't know.

00:16:50.200 I don't think it's a real name.

00:16:52.180 It would be funny if it were.

00:16:54.000 Anyway, so Elon Musk's company, the boring company, they've got these big boring machines that make tunnels easily.

00:17:03.140 They got approved to do tunnels in Vegas.

00:17:06.900 So they'll connect the Vegas airport to the downtown.

00:17:10.160 And I got to tell you, I don't know if I could go into one of those tunnels.

00:17:17.000 To me, that's scary as hell.

00:17:19.280 I mean, it was hard enough to convince myself to use BART, you know, the mass transit in the Bay Area that goes under the Bay.

00:17:26.960 It's kind of scary to be under the Bay.

00:17:30.280 Now, in reality, you're probably safer there than above ground, right?

00:17:36.100 Because if you get deep enough down, even the earthquakes don't bother you.

00:17:40.380 You know, basically, you're immune from just about everything on the surface.

00:17:43.700 So you're probably safer in one of these tunnels than you are anywhere else on Earth.

00:17:48.380 But, man, the psychology of it.

00:17:50.760 I don't know how long I can stay in a little tunnel that feels like it's only about the size of the car.

00:17:55.860 Or, I don't know, you'd have to give me some kind of tranquilizer.

00:18:02.520 According to Shyam Sankar on X, there are more data centers in the U.S. than in all other countries combined.

00:18:13.000 Did you know that?

00:18:14.840 And it's not even close.

00:18:17.160 If you look at all the data centers in the U.S., it's like this gigantic bar and all the other countries are just those little dots.

00:18:24.440 How in the world can other countries ever compete with us in that scenario?

00:18:32.380 Because it seems like ability to quickly build gigando data centers is what's going to drive AI.

00:18:41.120 And that's what's going to drive robotics.

00:18:43.660 And that's what's going to drive basically everything in the future.

00:18:46.860 So, if we have like a, I don't know, it looks like a 50-to-1 advantage or something over the next best country that's doing data centers, that feels like really big.

00:18:59.560 So, we'll see if that makes a difference.

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00:20:05.640 I want to be careful about this next point.

00:20:09.340 I do not give financial investment advice.

00:20:14.460 Now, having told you I do not give financial investment advice,

00:20:18.360 I'm going to say something that sounds a whole lot like financial investment advice.

00:20:22.880 But it's an observation.

00:20:27.300 Trust me, you don't want to invest based on what I say.

00:20:32.420 Honestly, you don't want to.

00:20:34.400 Because I'm mostly guessing.

00:20:35.940 And when it comes to individual companies,

00:20:38.100 that's a bigger guess than most things.

00:20:41.760 So here's my feeling.

00:20:44.560 Personally, I sold my NVIDIA stock, which had already gone up quite a bit.

00:20:52.860 Now, the reason I got rid of it is not because I think it's necessarily going to go to zero tomorrow,

00:20:58.080 but because I think it's so vulnerable to disruption.

00:21:03.120 Because the cost of building one of these NVIDIA-driven data centers is just billions of dollars.

00:21:11.160 And it just seemed to me that somebody's going to figure out a way to do that way more cheaply.

00:21:17.040 Like somebody's going to find a way to compress AI into some more efficient form.

00:21:21.380 And then the entire business model might be destroyed.

00:21:27.480 So AI has this weird quality, where on one hand, it's the future and it's everything.

00:21:34.280 So if you invest in the biggest company that's doing the most important thing for the most dynamic thing,

00:21:41.520 you're probably in good shape.

00:21:43.500 Which is why I bought NVIDIA stock in the first place,

00:21:47.100 is that it was almost like a, well, not almost.

00:21:49.020 It was a monopoly.

00:21:49.700 So one of the best pieces of investment advice I ever got was from somebody famous,

00:21:57.100 who I'm not going to tell you.

00:21:59.020 It's somebody who's in the news quite a bit, actually.

00:22:01.680 But once told me privately that he only invested in monopolies.

00:22:06.740 It's just that they don't look like it.

00:22:09.080 Like Facebook is sort of a monopoly.

00:22:12.500 You know, Uber is close to being a monopoly.

00:22:16.500 At least for a while.

00:22:17.520 So I thought NVIDIA looked like one of those.

00:22:22.620 It's why I also used to have stock in Apple.

00:22:26.700 Which, by the way, if you'd taken my advice and sold it when I did,

00:22:30.200 you would have lost a lot of money because it kept going up.

00:22:32.840 But both Apple and AI have the weird quality that things could change quickly.

00:22:38.800 And I don't like to be an investment where something could change completely, like on a dime.

00:22:44.780 For example, you think the iPhone is unbeatable.

00:22:50.080 And then next thing you know, Elon Musk says that Starlink will be able to provide phone service.

00:22:56.520 Now, that's just the background phone service, not the device.

00:22:59.380 But how far away are we from AI becoming the interface for a generic phone that somebody like Elon Musk could manufacture

00:23:10.420 and just replace the entire smartphone industry with some kind of AI phone that works on satellites?

00:23:16.440 I feel like that could happen kind of quickly.

00:23:21.200 So there's some new news on the large language models.

00:23:26.800 Apparently, somebody did, in fact, come up with a new algorithm dubbed calibration-aware low-precision decomposition.

00:23:34.880 Okay, doesn't matter what it's called.

00:23:36.260 But somebody found a way to massively change the size of the computing and increase the efficiency to the point

00:23:48.560 where it's sort of knocking on the door of making NVIDIA, I won't say obsolete, but you wouldn't need as much of it.

00:23:59.000 And while I don't think you could bet on any one breakthrough, I'm not saying this will change NVIDIA's fate,

00:24:05.160 I just feel like the whole AI thing is just begging for some kind of massive disruption where somebody says,

00:24:13.380 instead of this $10 billion data center, watch, I put it on your phone.

00:24:19.560 That's basically what these guys did.

00:24:21.660 It's a little less good than if it ran through the data center and it uses too much electricity on your phone,

00:24:28.640 so it would drain your phone.

00:24:29.640 But if those are the only problems, the only problems, it's a little less efficient

00:24:36.280 and it uses a little more electricity on your phone,

00:24:40.180 to me that sounds kind of dangerous to the people who sell billion-dollar data centers.

00:24:46.100 But, again, I don't think this breakthrough is going to change everything,

00:24:50.860 but I feel like there's going to be some massive, massive AI-related technological breakthrough

00:24:57.500 that makes the data centers less important.

00:25:01.680 That's my prediction.

00:25:04.180 The FBI says that if you text between an iPhone and Android, it's not secure,

00:25:09.640 meaning that it's not encrypted.

00:25:11.020 And so they're saying maybe you should use WhatsApp and Signal.

00:25:18.780 I'm here to tell you again as a public service,

00:25:21.660 if you send a message in any way to another human being,

00:25:26.880 you don't have a secure anything.

00:25:31.380 It doesn't matter if it was secure when it went across the network.

00:25:34.980 It ended up with a human being.

00:25:37.660 Human beings can't be trusted.

00:25:39.480 Are you kidding me?

00:25:40.300 No, there's no such thing as a secure message.

00:25:47.300 Trust me on this.

00:25:49.000 If there's one thing you can be sure of,

00:25:51.900 you can't trust the person on the other side of the message.

00:25:55.540 You know, that's a guarantee.

00:25:58.980 So, no, just treat everything like it's public and you'll be better off.

00:26:03.940 Surprisingly, the jobs report was revised to make it better in September.

00:26:09.600 Hmm.

00:26:10.800 Usually that close to the election, I would have thought it would go the other way.

00:26:15.080 But revised up the number of jobs that were created and unemployment set 4.2,

00:26:21.360 which is, you know, a little high, but it's not crazy high.

00:26:25.180 So that's looking pretty good.

00:26:28.340 All right.

00:26:28.800 We got to talk about this UnitedHealthcare CEO stuff.

00:26:31.600 On one hand, I usually don't like to talk about individual crimes, so I usually don't talk about the murderer or the one migrant who did some terrible things, no matter how bad they are.

00:26:46.120 Because they seem anecdotal.

00:26:48.980 And you get too hypnotized by the anecdote, and then you think it means something larger than it does.

00:26:55.720 Sometimes it does, but you could be fooled by that.

00:26:58.160 So, but this healthcare CEO murder really is touching a lot of third rail.

00:27:09.140 Well, no, what would I say?

00:27:10.880 Touching a lot of triggers because people have so many issues with healthcare and with insurance especially.

00:27:16.700 So, here are some things that are reported.

00:27:20.480 Number one, that the shell casings had somehow carved into them.

00:27:26.880 What do you call it when you carve something into metal?

00:27:31.700 What's the name for that?

00:27:33.220 Anyway, etched in, sort of etched in.

00:27:35.960 And that it said something about delay, deny, and defend, which is the name of a book, which is about how healthcare insurance companies deny claims to make money.

00:27:50.440 And so, the thinking is, oh, this was a sort of a political statement, something about the company and the way it did business.

00:27:59.540 But, I don't think it's confirmed that those shell casings have that, have anything engraved.

00:28:06.620 Thank you.

00:28:07.480 Engraved is the word I was looking for.

00:28:10.200 I don't think that's confirmed, is it?

00:28:14.100 I feel like there was one source that said it, and then it got repeated.

00:28:18.960 I'm going to wait on that one.

00:28:20.760 If I had to bet, I would place a small bet that the shell casings don't have that on them.

00:28:28.640 And that that's just fake news.

00:28:32.000 Does anybody have the same feeling?

00:28:33.860 I wouldn't place a big bet on it.

00:28:36.700 But I'd place a, you know, I'd bet $100.

00:28:40.080 You know, if somebody wanted to bet me, I'd bet $100 that there's nothing on the shell casings.

00:28:45.780 Because it's exactly, yeah, it's too on the nose.

00:28:49.660 But it's possible.

00:28:51.060 Now, if there is something on the shell casing, does that mean that it was a political event?

00:28:55.720 No, because the one thing we know about the shooter is there was a lot of preparation.

00:29:02.720 If there was a lot of preparation, it also opens up the possibility that part of his escape plan was to make you think it was done for a different reason.

00:29:11.540 So if he had done it for personal reasons, and he wanted to make you look for, you know, people who had political reasons, so, you know, the attention would be diverted, well, maybe that would be exactly how you do it.

00:29:26.720 Maybe you'd put something on a shell casing so they think, ah, we got it now.

00:29:31.120 It's political.

00:29:31.760 But I feel like if it were political, you wouldn't do it that way, would you?

00:29:40.120 Wouldn't you just, you know, type out a message and drop it there or something?

00:29:45.620 It doesn't feel right to me.

00:29:48.780 The other thing I learned from this is that you can't trust gun experts.

00:29:53.520 Did you have the same experience I did, which is, oh, finally, here's a gun expert who's going to explain what we just saw?

00:30:02.880 And I go, okay, I've got it.

00:30:04.380 Got gun expert.

00:30:05.420 And then the very next gun expert says the opposite.

00:30:09.880 And then the very next gun expert is like a third story.

00:30:14.940 I feel like some of the gun experts are probably right, but I can't tell which ones because I'm not a gun expert.

00:30:22.540 So I feel like the gun experts are just one more example of, you can't believe experts about anything.

00:30:31.360 But I'll tell you the things that sound more believable than others.

00:30:35.600 Here's what I observed.

00:30:37.400 I believe that he was experienced at using that weapon because he kind of quickly cleared it or reloaded it or recocked it or whatever he had to do.

00:30:46.900 He seemed to know that whatever the problem was, was immediately fixable.

00:30:52.540 So that would suggest that he had experience with the weapon.

00:30:58.640 I would disagree with anyone who says he's a professional hitman who has ever done this kind of work before.

00:31:04.920 Because as one of the gun experts said, if your job is just to be a professional hitman, you would walk up to him, you'd put one bullet in his head, and then you'd drop the weapon.

00:31:18.060 And I don't know if that still makes sense in today's ability to find DNA on anything.

00:31:25.140 But, you know, you probably would have done a headshot, and then you would have left right away.

00:31:32.060 Maybe left the weapon there if it was untraceable and you didn't have any fingerprints on it.

00:31:37.800 But, to me, he didn't look like a professional.

00:31:43.520 He looked like somebody who was prepared, but not a professional.

00:31:47.480 One of the shots apparently hit the CEO in the calf.

00:31:51.720 And I just don't see that being a professional job.

00:31:59.220 Like, I don't know how that happens.

00:32:02.080 Some people say that the reason the gun appeared jammed or had to be, you know, a reset was that there was some kind of crappy silencer on it.

00:32:13.600 And he didn't calculate that if you put a silencer on it, the gun doesn't reset itself after every shot, and they had to do it manually, blah, blah, blah.

00:32:24.260 I don't know.

00:32:25.520 It looks like just somebody who did a lot of homework and did a little practice.

00:32:31.340 But then there's a photo, allegedly, of the shooter with his mask down, where he was allegedly flirting with somebody at some hostel.

00:32:40.400 And he had this big smile on his face, and he looked kind of young and handsome, and he looked like a particular movie star that I'm not going to mention.

00:32:50.840 And I thought to myself, I don't know.

00:32:54.920 He just doesn't, he didn't look like an angry person who was out to avenge, you know, maybe a family member who had a bad experience with insurance.

00:33:05.980 He just sort of looked like he was having a good time.

00:33:10.400 But there's something wrong about all of it.

00:33:13.440 I don't know what it is.

00:33:15.220 Some are saying it's not the same person, and I think that's possible, that it's not the same person.

00:33:21.560 Well, they look like the same person.

00:33:26.120 Yes.

00:33:26.520 And as the people in the comments have told me, the .22 caliber, we think it was a .22 caliber.

00:33:33.560 Some of them are subsonic, which would give him some problems with the instrument, if that's what the problem was.

00:33:43.740 So, I don't know.

00:33:46.100 Well, we'll wait on that.

00:33:49.640 Did you know he was separated from his wife for a long time?

00:33:53.160 So, my first impression was her reaction didn't sound like a spouse, like there wasn't enough, it wasn't enough anguish or something.

00:34:03.240 But they've been separated for a while, so, you know, maybe they weren't on ideal terms.

00:34:08.880 That doesn't make her a suspect, obviously.

00:34:11.220 But it would explain why she was a little bit, a little less emotional than you would expect if they were living in the same house for the last several years.

00:34:20.660 Anyway, there's a new poll by JL Partners that says that Biden will be the worst president in modern history.

00:34:46.160 I guess there were only nine presidents that were ranked, but he was ranked last.

00:34:54.360 Now, can I take a victory lap?

00:34:58.060 I'm pretty sure I've been saying he will be the worst president in history.

00:35:02.980 Now, I'm not the only one, right?

00:35:04.200 So, you can all take a victory lap, too.

00:35:06.480 But I've been saying this for a while.

00:35:09.620 I mean, I think probably a year in, I was saying he'll be noted as the worst president we've ever had.

00:35:15.340 Here we are.

00:35:17.160 So, good prediction.

00:35:21.120 According to some kind of new study, the government, only 6% of federal workers show up in person on a full-time basis, according to a Senate report.

00:35:32.960 6% of federal workers work in the office.

00:35:39.500 The rest work at home.

00:35:40.380 Now, I think they have requirements that they might come in once a month or something in some cases, but basically work at home.

00:35:47.940 And Elon Musk corrected it, where they thought only 6% came to work.

00:35:52.900 So, Elon Musk decided that wasn't accurate enough.

00:35:57.800 So, he posts this.

00:35:59.760 If you exclude security guards and maintenance personnel, the number is closer to 1%.

00:36:05.760 1%?

00:36:08.540 I think we have a lot of extra buildings, it feels like.

00:36:13.540 Well, according to Rasmussen poll, 55% of U.S. voters think that Trump has a mandate because he won convincingly.

00:36:30.380 And, of course, that means that most Republicans say he has a mandate.

00:36:35.380 And, interestingly, 32%, no, yes, something like 35% of Democrats agree that he has a mandate.

00:36:46.500 That's a lot, actually.

00:36:48.800 Now, here's what I think.

00:36:51.660 I'm trying to put together the clues. 0.85

00:36:53.700 So, Trump likes dancing to YMCA, which some have said is like a gay anthem.

00:37:03.880 And, no, I think the YMCA people, they say it's not a gay anthem. 0.74

00:37:12.060 But to the rest of the world, it looks like a gay anthem. 0.50

00:37:15.180 And then, now we find out that Trump has a mandate.

00:37:19.480 Let's see. 0.94

00:37:20.220 He has a gay theme music. 0.53

00:37:23.520 He has a mandate. 1.00

00:37:26.400 I think Trump's gay. 1.00

00:37:28.620 No, I'm just kidding. 1.00

00:37:30.180 I'm just kidding.

00:37:31.440 He's not.

00:37:34.800 All right.

00:37:37.280 There's a report.

00:37:38.820 Sky News is reporting that Elon Musk spent more than a quarter billion dollars getting Trump elected.

00:37:45.180 It's funny.

00:37:46.040 A quarter billion dollars sounds like a lot of money, doesn't it?

00:37:48.720 Until you realize that Twitter was 44 billion.

00:37:53.420 So, for 44 billion, he basically saved free speech and whatever we have left of the democratic process.

00:38:02.540 For a quarter of a billion, he may have pushed, you know, Trump over the finish line and gave us a chance of getting rid of, you know, some of the worst situations we've ever been in.

00:38:16.160 So, I'll tell you, Elon Musk, he spends a lot of money, but he sure spends it in good ways.

00:38:21.980 Because that's like the best quarter billion ever spent.

00:38:25.300 All right.

00:38:27.300 All right.

00:38:28.640 David Sachs has been picked as the White House AI and crypto czar, according to Trump.

00:38:38.140 So, here's the first part that's fascinating, that there would be a czar over these two things that you think are unrelated, AI and crypto.

00:38:48.360 But they're not, because, you know, it just seems that those two worlds are going to come together in a variety of ways.

00:38:56.820 But I love the fact that they combined them.

00:39:01.140 It just feels kind of smart, because if somebody is going to be, you know, your czar and advising you, probably someone who's smart in both of these domains is a pretty good way to go.

00:39:14.980 So, if you've watched the All In Pod or you've been paying attention to politics, you know that David Sachs is the, probably one of the smartest observers of American politics and one of the smartest people in the investment world.

00:39:32.820 And having him on the most critical new technologies, God, it feels good.

00:39:39.460 Have any of you had this feeling with a number of the appointments and a number of things that Trump's doing, that it just feels like something special is happening?

00:39:51.620 Like, you know, everything from Bezos kind of saying, well, you know, let's give this a chance.

00:39:58.500 And, you know, Jamie Dimon saying similar things like, hey, let's give this a chance.

00:40:04.300 But David Sachs, I mean, the fact that there are people who have, you know, built really successful lives and don't need any of this trouble, are willing to take on the biggest, hardest tasks in the world to save the country.

00:40:25.660 And it's no less than saving the country, by the way, because we're on a doom loop at the moment.

00:40:31.400 And I couldn't be happier that the smartest, most capable, and I think the least nefarious people we've ever seen in public life, because I don't think for a second that, you know, somebody like Sachs or Elon Musk was trying to figure out how to make money off of this.

00:40:49.960 I mean, they were really taking on hard, hard jobs.

00:40:53.160 And I could not be more proud to be an American at the moment, because this is what America looks like to me.

00:41:05.000 The people who have the most capability, you know, doing their own thing until they're called upon and then dropping everything and going full on to help the country.

00:41:16.580 So, this just feels so right.

00:41:20.160 But there are a few other things.

00:41:22.420 Ro Khanna, you might know him as a Democrat representative, who more often than most Democrats says things that are common sense.

00:41:34.340 And that's almost why he's famous as a politician, is that he'll sometimes say things that you say, oh, well, that's just common sense.

00:41:44.480 Yeah.

00:41:45.040 So, he's now publicly said that he's ready to work and help the Doge effort.

00:41:52.680 And Musk thanked him on X.

00:41:55.120 So, Ro Khanna, again, common sense guy, says, you know, this could work.

00:42:03.380 How about if I help?

00:42:05.280 This is amazing.

00:42:06.920 This is just not what happens.

00:42:09.260 You're seeing all the smart people go to the same team.

00:42:14.140 And you're seeing that they're treating it not like politics.

00:42:18.580 Have you noticed that?

00:42:20.140 That the political frame for all of this just seems to have dissolved.

00:42:23.920 Because you're taking people who used to be Democrats in many cases, and, you know, active Democrats in some cases, but they're working with Trump.

00:42:33.580 This is amazing.

00:42:34.840 I've never seen anything like this in my lifetime of observing America.

00:42:39.860 This is the most optimistic I've ever felt.

00:42:45.440 It's just everything you'd want to be going in the right direction is.

00:42:50.020 Here's another one.

00:42:50.820 So, Federman, Senator Federman goes on, let's see, she was talking to Joy Behar and said that the Hunter Biden situation was lawfare.

00:43:08.620 And so, he approves of the pardon.

00:43:12.100 But then he went on in great detail to say that Trump's felony convictions were obviously lawfare and probably should be pardoned.

00:43:22.500 And poor, you know, Behar has to listen to that.

00:43:27.300 And I think she didn't comment on it.

00:43:29.260 But here again, here's a now prominent Democrat who is saying something about the Hunter case and the Trump case that I consider common sense.

00:43:41.840 To me, it's common sense that both of those had a political dimension on it.

00:43:47.060 And so, therefore, you know, maybe you should be treated that way.

00:43:51.440 Okay. So, yeah, Federman's just saying this is not political.

00:43:56.700 It's just common sense.

00:43:57.600 You don't want to have a lawfare.

00:43:59.980 Yes. Yes. Thank you.

00:44:02.860 I think even Elon said he's liking Federman more every day.

00:44:06.660 I say the same.

00:44:10.100 But only when he's talking common sense, which he likes to do.

00:44:14.360 So, I appreciate it.

00:44:15.400 Meanwhile, let's see the opposite of common sense.

00:44:19.740 Let's see Joy Reid on MSNBC. 1.00

00:44:24.060 She compared the state of Tennessee, who didn't want to give gender altering care to minors, compared it to Nazi Germany.

00:44:32.160 So, if you don't give minors surgery that will change them for the rest of their life, even if they change their minds when they're older, you're like Nazi Germany. 0.78

00:44:45.640 Now, I say this every day, but it's true. 0.99

00:44:49.280 The best laugh I have every morning is just watching actual MSNBC coverage with no commentary, just a clip.

00:44:57.380 And I just laugh.

00:44:59.120 I'm like, people actually watch that.

00:45:01.900 That's pretty funny.

00:45:04.380 All right.

00:45:05.180 Here's a sketchy one.

00:45:07.460 Apparently, according to the George account on X, a coalition of black churches that represent as many as 28 million black Americans issued a letter to MSNBC demanding that they fire Al Sharpton.

00:45:27.380 And investigate the payments, because you know the story.

00:45:30.120 Al Sharpton received half a million dollars from Kamala Harris's campaign before he interviewed her and didn't disclose that, which is a big no-no.

00:45:39.640 So, do you believe that a coalition of black churches, on their own, decided to send a letter to MSNBC suggesting that a prominent black commentator, Al Sharpton, should be investigated or fired?

00:45:59.640 Do you believe that?

00:46:00.760 Here's what they say.

00:46:05.440 Sharpton does not have a degree in journalism, and it undermines the career of black men and women who have more experience in journalism integrity.

00:46:13.960 Well, does anybody really care that he doesn't have a degree in journalism?

00:46:19.020 Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the media world full of people who didn't have a degree in journalism, doing journalism?

00:46:30.420 I thought it was the most common thing.

00:46:33.840 Bob Woodward, the Watergate guy.

00:46:37.580 Bob Woodward wasn't.

00:46:39.160 Did he have a degree in journalism?

00:46:40.560 I don't know.

00:46:42.760 I don't think so.

00:46:44.660 But anyway, here's what I think.

00:46:47.960 I think this story is too on the nose, doesn't sound organic, and sounds like maybe some people at a black church are receiving some money from somebody who's got a Republican bias.

00:47:03.560 To me, this doesn't sound real.

00:47:06.380 It doesn't sound like it's organic.

00:47:07.920 It's real, but it's not organic.

00:47:10.680 I don't think that they sat around and said, you know what? 0.87

00:47:13.940 This Al Sharpton guy is bad for black Americans.

00:47:17.280 We better weigh in on this important issue because we've already solved all the problems with people's souls and getting to heaven and all that. 0.93

00:47:25.400 We've got that taken care of.

00:47:27.000 But what we really need to take care of is that MSNBC has somebody who's not experienced as a journalist.

00:47:36.100 Really?

00:47:37.920 Do you believe that that's an organic thing that they just came up with?

00:47:43.340 No.

00:47:43.800 I would place a large bet that that's not organic.

00:47:51.780 All right.

00:47:52.760 So, Jordan Neely's father is going to sue Daniel Penny no matter what happens in the criminal trial.

00:48:08.080 Wow.

00:48:12.640 That's right.

00:48:13.360 Jordan Neely's father.

00:48:14.600 So, the guy who got, well, who died when Daniel Penny was restraining him, or he died after the restraint, actually.

00:48:23.340 So, the Daniel Penny, even if he gets off, and I guess it's the third day or so of deliberation, so it sounds like a hung jury to me.

00:48:35.100 Even if he gets off on the legal part, he will still be sued and probably lose, because the standard for that is different.

00:48:45.260 You just have to get a majority.

00:48:47.240 And probably in New York, it's probably not hard to just get a majority who just thinks he shouldn't have done it.

00:48:52.840 So, the, it's better I just don't comment on this one, isn't it?

00:49:02.160 Let me do this.

00:49:04.140 I'm going to send you my opinion through ESP.

00:49:09.060 I'm sending it.

00:49:12.160 I believe you're picking it up.

00:49:14.680 Yes, yes, I'm getting a confirmation.

00:49:16.660 Yes, you have, you have all accurately identified my opinion.

00:49:20.980 Good.

00:49:22.000 I guess we can move on.

00:49:26.220 Well, you heard that story that Mexico sees like a ton of fentanyl, the biggest haul ever.

00:49:33.500 And so, people are saying, oh, it's the Trump effect.

00:49:36.840 So, now Mexico is going to get tough on the cartels.

00:49:41.400 So, what's, what's missing with the story?

00:49:45.420 What's missing with this story?

00:49:47.340 So, Mexico seized a ton of fentanyl and they, you know, it's enough to kill a billion people or whatever.

00:49:53.560 What's missing with the story?

00:49:56.100 Let's see how well I've trained you, because this is something I talk about all the time.

00:50:01.020 There's something wrong with the news story.

00:50:03.460 They found a ton of fentanyl.

00:50:06.660 What's missing?

00:50:10.260 What percentage is that?

00:50:13.400 How many times have I had to say, this story is leaving out the important part, different stories?

00:50:19.500 Sometimes they leave out the percentage.

00:50:22.120 Sometimes they leave out the raw number.

00:50:25.020 Anytime somebody leaves out either the percentage or the raw number, it's propaganda.

00:50:32.040 So, I don't know.

00:50:35.900 Is a ton of fentanyl a lot?

00:50:39.160 It's a lot if you look at the raw number, which is the only thing they gave us.

00:50:44.060 But was that 90% of all the fentanyl coming into America?

00:50:48.880 Because that would be impressive.

00:50:50.880 Was it 1% of all that's coming into America?

00:50:54.940 Because that would be nothing.

00:50:56.120 Is it a lot, but it's so easy to make it, that by the end of the day, they'd already reproduce that amount of supply and send it out?

00:51:07.080 If you don't know those, you don't even know if this is anything.

00:51:10.240 You actually can't even tell if this is good news or just sort of news.

00:51:17.220 You don't know.

00:51:18.840 This probably made no difference at all in the supply after two weeks.

00:51:24.640 Because they could probably just cram.

00:51:26.100 I'll bet they could reproduce this in two weeks.

00:51:28.780 Probably no difference at all.

00:51:30.080 But it could be a political response to Trump.

00:51:35.820 So, it might actually be because of Trump.

00:51:38.300 But I wouldn't be confused that anything has happened with fentanyl.

00:51:42.320 There will be no difference in fentanyl deaths because of this.

00:51:47.960 All right.

00:51:48.320 Obama is speaking at some event.

00:51:51.500 And correct me if I'm wrong, but has Obama become the person who just makes everything worse?

00:51:58.320 I think Obama came to believe his own publicity, which is to say that since he would be considered a successful president, especially by Democrats, two terms got overwhelmingly reelected.

00:52:18.060 So, historically, if you were a historian, you'd say very successful.

00:52:21.840 But do you think that he believes he was successful because he was smart?

00:52:30.600 Or does he not know that maybe it was his charisma and there was just something about his personality and the time in history where people said, yeah, I want a black president?

00:52:42.480 I said that.

00:52:43.280 I remember when he first ran, I thought, you know, obviously, I'm anti-DEI like crazy.

00:52:50.700 You couldn't be more anti-DEI than I am.

00:52:53.360 But at the same time, I live in the real world. 0.51

00:52:56.780 And if we could get past that, you know, can a black man be president? 1.00

00:53:02.060 And the answer is yes.

00:53:04.660 That just feels healthy because then we don't have to prove it again because we could say, oh, OK, that's a good it's just a good symbol for everybody.

00:53:13.040 And, you know, it's a good sign for everything.

00:53:14.700 So I was in favor of it.

00:53:16.660 But I don't think that Obama realizes that maybe he never had any good ideas.

00:53:22.440 It was always about him.

00:53:23.500 Because now when he talks, he's doubling down on this identity stuff.

00:53:29.880 So I saw a clip where he's talking about all of his identities.

00:53:33.640 He goes, you know, we all have multiple identities.

00:53:36.320 I'm a 63-year-old African-American man, husband, father, Christian, writer.

00:53:42.080 As others pointed out, he didn't mention that he's half white.

00:53:45.360 That was not part of his identity.

00:53:47.220 But it's his identity.

00:53:48.260 So he gets to be whatever he identifies with that, I guess.

00:53:51.440 But doesn't that sound to you like he doesn't understand anything that's happening in politics at the moment?

00:53:59.940 Like, why would he even be talking about all of his identities?

00:54:03.580 That was what lost everything.

00:54:07.120 The identity messaging is what made the entire Democrat Party completely destroyed.

00:54:13.520 Because once Trump created an alternative, which was common sense, when you compare common sense to identity politics, those are not close.

00:54:27.240 And, of course, the public picked common sense over identity this time.

00:54:31.040 So, I really think he maybe is fooled by thinking that he was a brilliant president.

00:54:39.620 He's a smart guy.

00:54:41.000 But I don't think any of his presidential success was because of his brilliance.

00:54:45.740 I think it was him as a personality.

00:54:48.380 He was a special personality.

00:54:50.220 He's very good at it.

00:54:51.380 So, certainly, as a politician, he is one of the best.

00:54:56.260 All right.

00:54:57.700 David Hogg, who you know as an anti-gun activist, he's one of the survivors of the Parkland shooting, right?

00:55:06.440 He is apparently noodling with the idea of trying to run the Democrat Party.

00:55:12.620 So, he might want to run the DNC because he thinks he can fix the problem of what he thinks is the party's main problem of talking down to voters.

00:55:24.540 Now, first of all, has he accurately identified the problem with the Democrats?

00:55:29.520 Do they talk down to their voters?

00:55:33.140 Well, yes.

00:55:35.160 Yes, they do.

00:55:36.540 Yep.

00:55:37.260 It's a bunch of elites talking to each other.

00:55:39.260 So, yes, David Hogg has correctly identified that they have became an irrelevant party talking to themselves, basically.

00:55:51.540 And he said this.

00:55:52.920 This is what Hogg said.

00:55:54.160 Quote, I think the main one overall, the main problem with the Democrats, is that we would rather live in a comfortable delusion than an uncomfortable reality.

00:56:05.440 Wow.

00:56:05.880 Is he escaping from the matrix?

00:56:11.420 I feel like he's got one foot out.

00:56:15.000 Because if he realizes that the Democrats are living in a comfortable illusion,

00:56:20.100 and that the Republicans are maybe in more of an uncomfortable reality,

00:56:25.280 what does uncomfortable reality sound like to you?

00:56:30.660 Common sense.

00:56:32.520 Right?

00:56:32.900 They're not the same.

00:56:34.460 But if you allow yourself to live in the uncomfortable reality,

00:56:38.060 then you can apply your common sense to the reality and get a better result.

00:56:43.380 If you're living in a comfortable delusion,

00:56:46.960 your common sense won't help you at all.

00:56:49.940 Because you don't, there's nothing to apply it to.

00:56:52.540 Because you're living in an illusion.

00:56:53.920 To me, this is like kind of a seriously important insight coming from somebody who is right in the middle of the Democrat world.

00:57:05.800 I'm very optimistic about that.

00:57:08.200 Now, he, of course, is pro-Democrat and would like to help them be competitive.

00:57:12.260 But I feel like he's just one layer away from agreeing that Doge is a good idea and that maybe we should be in fewer wars.

00:57:25.160 You know, like almost Republican.

00:57:28.960 Now, he's never going to be okay with the gun part of being a Republican.

00:57:33.780 And that's fine.

00:57:35.120 You know, I don't mind that the country has different views as long as they have some kind of common sense.

00:57:40.720 And, you know, there's a philosophical, you know, good, good, let's say good intention behind it.

00:57:47.280 So, he has good intentions.

00:57:50.240 Clearly a smart, organized guy.

00:57:54.500 Went to Harvard, I think.

00:57:56.580 Smart guy.

00:57:59.380 But I love hearing this.

00:58:03.580 He says the party needs to open its eyes and take its fingers out of its ears, basically.

00:58:08.680 Yeah.

00:58:09.680 That is actually exactly correct.

00:58:12.400 So, I think you're seeing the smartest people in the Democrat Party, the Fettermans, the Rochannas, and maybe David Hogg.

00:58:22.920 You know, he might surprise you.

00:58:24.080 He's never going to be a Republican.

00:58:26.280 But wouldn't it be good to have Democrats who, if they got elected, could apply some common sense?

00:58:35.640 Here's a story that might tell you something about the future.

00:58:39.580 Did you know that there are 11 media outlets that are local, I guess they're local newspapers, that are owned by one entity that doesn't even try to be news?

00:58:52.460 They're just a Democrat activist organization.

00:58:55.660 So, it's not just fake news.

00:58:58.100 It's actually their business model.

00:59:01.320 They're not even trying to be real news.

00:59:03.960 Their purpose, I believe it's stated, is to influence politics through local news.

00:59:10.440 And apparently, a lot of their funding is coming from the Soros organization, $15 million in 2023, which is way up from prior years.

00:59:21.560 And here's how this scheme works.

00:59:24.620 So, as you know, you're probably thinking, but Scott, nobody reads local newspapers.

00:59:30.440 How in the world does that make any difference at all?

00:59:32.920 Well, here's what they do.

00:59:35.680 The local news publications would advertise their own publication, which is legal, of course.

00:59:44.480 And, of course, they would show an example of some of their work.

00:59:48.000 So, they would buy Facebook ads and then show an example of one of their article.

00:59:52.080 And this would be an advertisement for their platform.

00:59:55.720 Except that they would only show, you know, anti-Trump, pro-Democrat examples.

01:00:00.580 So, when you thought you were looking at an advertisement for just local news, you were being brainwashed by looking at some negative story about a Republican.

01:00:12.000 So, this is pretty clever.

01:00:16.080 They take a sort of an unwatched, useless media entity, the local news.

01:00:21.520 I don't even know anybody who reads a local newspaper.

01:00:24.280 Do you know anybody who's ever read a local newspaper in the last year?

01:00:28.540 I think we have one.

01:00:34.320 You know, Dilber used to be in the local newspaper, but I haven't even seen one or held it in my hand in 10 years.

01:00:41.220 So, yeah, that's a pretty clever trick to use the fake advertisement as really just a political brainwashing.

01:00:51.100 Meanwhile, over in Syria, Joel Pollack is reporting for Breitbart that the IDF is sort of staying out of the fight in Syria.

01:01:04.580 So, you might know that there are some rebels that are trying to take over the government of Syria, and the rebels seem to include some extremists.

01:01:15.740 So, the rebels include people America likes, but also people that want to destroy America, and Israel, the same situation. 0.65

01:01:23.920 Some of the people trying to destroy the Syrian government, which Israel doesn't love, are also people that Israel doesn't love.

01:01:34.420 So, there's so many bad guys over there that they're not taking sides, so that seems smart.

01:01:41.420 But, here's what's interesting.

01:01:43.060 Apparently, the rebels are being unusually successful, and it looks like it's because Iran and Russia may be stretched a little too far with what they're doing elsewhere.

01:01:55.840 So, it may be that Syria being sort of a client of Iran and Russia is now unprotected, and it's the very best time in the world to back some military to take them over, if that's what you want it to do. 0.73

01:02:11.320 But, I think there's a bigger play here.

01:02:14.360 I think that this is all related to Ukraine and Hamas and Hezbollah and Iran, and I feel like what it's doing is creating another variable for negotiation.

01:02:30.340 So, I've told you that I think what Trump's going to do, Trump administration is, I think he's going to go for the, I think he's going for a base-clearing home run.

01:02:41.320 So, typically, politicians will say, what do you think we can negotiate?

01:02:45.380 And they'll think, well, probably the best we can do is a temporary ceasefire that won't hold.

01:02:50.220 Okay, well, if that's the best we can do, let's go do that.

01:02:53.820 And then they get a temporary ceasefire that doesn't hold.

01:02:56.420 I think Trump is so much smarter than that, that he will throw into the negotiations just a whole bunch of different things.

01:03:05.660 So, everybody will, first of all, get confused because it'll become complicated.

01:03:10.600 And when people get confused, they look for the person who's the most certain.

01:03:14.760 In any kind of confusing situation, whoever speaks with the most certainty just absorbs all the attention because you want the certainty.

01:03:26.040 So, if Trump creates this massive negotiating playing field in which we're talking about, what do you do about Gaza?

01:03:34.080 What do you do about Hezbollah?

01:03:35.500 How about Lebanon?

01:03:36.640 What's our situation with Ukraine?

01:03:39.180 What are we doing with Crimea?

01:03:41.220 What about a warm weather port?

01:03:42.960 Oh, what if, what if Trump says, here's the deal, we want a big piece. 1.00

01:03:52.800 We want to settle all of our shit with Russia. 1.00

01:03:56.200 We want to settle all of our shit with Iran. 1.00

01:03:58.980 And we don't want these proxies to ever bother us again. 0.99

01:04:02.340 So, we'll make a big deal if you give us a lot.

01:04:07.240 But it'll be good for everybody.

01:04:08.780 I think, I think this is doable.

01:04:14.380 And I don't think I would have ever said this before.

01:04:17.000 It's only because all the right people are in place.

01:04:19.460 Again, the same situation as the Abraham Accords. 0.95

01:04:24.740 You don't get the Abraham Accords unless the leaders who happen to be there at the same time are all dealmakers.

01:04:30.960 And that's happening again.

01:04:33.520 It's all dealmakers.

01:04:34.800 It's the best dealmakers in the entire region.

01:04:37.880 Putin's a dealmaker, right?

01:04:40.260 Iran is always a dealmaker. 1.00

01:04:42.060 I mean, you have different problems with trusting them, of course.

01:04:45.780 But Iranians are dealmakers. 1.00

01:04:49.580 And, you know, obviously Netanyahu, obviously,

01:04:52.680 crown prince of Saudi Arabia.

01:04:55.720 They're all dealmakers.

01:04:57.220 So, this is the time.

01:04:59.720 This is the time to get the big one.

01:05:01.680 The one that gets rid of the risk of, you know, nuclear war.

01:05:05.900 The one that gets rid of the risk, settles borders.

01:05:08.580 Maybe it gets funding for the people who have been displaced.

01:05:11.080 I think the big one's coming.

01:05:15.100 And it might be so big that it's just breathtaking.

01:05:17.820 And it might be so big that it just changes how you even frame the whole situation.

01:05:24.520 So, I've said a million times that Russia should be a natural ally of the United States.

01:05:31.700 The argument against that, them being a natural ally,

01:05:35.920 is that the United States is a predatory country.

01:05:39.780 And we can't have any competition.

01:05:43.200 So, wherever we can, we conquer and control

01:05:46.120 and try to dominate every country that could be a problem to us,

01:05:49.620 which is clearly what we're trying to do with Ukraine and with Russia.

01:05:53.780 So, could you make a deal where Putin would say,

01:05:57.740 you know what?

01:05:58.840 I'd actually be better off with that deal.

01:06:01.280 I'm good with that.

01:06:02.900 Or, is the United States unable to make peace

01:06:07.180 because that's not what we do?

01:06:09.780 I mean, the last time we made a deal with Russia, 0.50

01:06:11.920 weren't we the ones who broke the deal with Ukraine?

01:06:17.380 Because I'm pretty sure that we promised that Ukraine would not be eligible for NATO.

01:06:23.760 And then I believe it was the United States who went back on that.

01:06:27.000 So, I think the obstacle to peace is probably that the United States only wants fake pieces

01:06:35.620 so that they can conquer everybody they can conquer and control every market they can control,

01:06:41.520 and especially control energy.

01:06:43.960 Controlling energy is the number one thing you have to control.

01:06:46.240 So, is it possible that Trump could make a deal that the entire military-industrial complex would say,

01:06:58.160 you know what?

01:06:59.240 That actually works for us.

01:07:00.760 Probably a minimum you'd have to do is show that the people who make weapons can make as much money

01:07:10.420 with or without a piece.

01:07:13.260 And I think that you could do that.

01:07:16.300 Because Trump and Reagan both did a smart thing.

01:07:19.620 They both said, we're going to build up our peacetime military.

01:07:24.420 Because if you're the one selling the weapons, a war is a good way to make money.

01:07:28.640 But if somebody says, I'm going to massively build up your peacetime military,

01:07:33.160 then maybe you say, oh, well, I guess we don't need a war.

01:07:37.820 So, I do suspect that we create a lot of wars.

01:07:42.640 And maybe if we can find a way that everybody makes money without the war,

01:07:47.720 just by being prepared in case there is one, I don't know.

01:07:51.540 Maybe you could sell that.

01:07:53.260 Maybe you could.

01:07:54.600 We'll see.

01:07:55.080 So, I'm super optimistic that common sense is broken out everywhere.

01:08:00.020 I heard Bill Maher on some clips recently who repeats common sense

01:08:05.660 as the thing that Democrats need to stop arguing against, basically.

01:08:11.980 So, he said, stop arguing against common sense.

01:08:15.060 You can still be Democrats, but don't argue against common sense.

01:08:19.560 And that's coming from a lifelong Democrat.

01:08:21.440 So, I believe common sense is breaking out everywhere.

01:08:25.820 I think Doge is going to be the biggest, greatest thing ever.

01:08:30.020 Boy, is it going to get messy, though.

01:08:32.100 Whoa.

01:08:33.580 And I'd love to see what's going to happen with Social Security

01:08:37.800 and the things that are seemingly impossible to cut.

01:08:42.800 I think we'll probably figure out how.

01:08:46.960 Boots on the ground.

01:08:49.100 What's that about?

01:08:49.940 Well, I don't know.

01:08:51.440 History is fake.

01:08:54.500 Yeah, history is mostly fake.

01:08:59.480 Yeah, we have not played well with Putin.

01:09:02.780 That's true.

01:09:06.320 All right.

01:09:08.940 Oh, taking out Iran's nuclear facilities from the air. 0.94

01:09:12.220 So, you know, the thing we don't know is if you see that Russia is using North Korean soldiers

01:09:21.640 and you see that they're not helping Syria, how close are they to really, really needing a deal?

01:09:30.280 It might be closer than we think.

01:09:32.260 But, you know, Russia could probably last forever because Putin's in control.

01:09:35.220 All right.

01:09:37.980 That's all I got for today.

01:09:40.180 I'm going to talk to the locals, people, privately.

01:09:43.140 You all know that you should buy your Dilbert calendar today.

01:09:47.480 Go to Dilbert.com.

01:09:48.880 It's the only place you can get the link to buy it.

01:09:51.440 It does not exist on Amazon or any place else.

01:09:57.560 The only place you can get it is made in America, the Dilbert 2025 calendar. 0.91

01:10:02.460 Get it now and you'll get it in time for Christmas.

01:10:06.220 All right, locals, I'm going to talk to you privately.

01:10:08.660 Thanks for joining X and Rumble and YouTube.

01:10:12.260 Talk to you tomorrow.

01:10:13.000 All right.

01:10:14.720 Bye-bye.

01:10:16.720 Bye-bye.

01:10:17.720 Bye-bye.

01:10:18.380 Bye-bye.

01:10:20.060 Bye-bye.

01:10:25.560 Bye-bye.

01:10:30.240 Bye-bye.

01:10:32.280 Bye-bye.

01:10:38.200 Bye-bye.

01:10:38.280 Bye-bye.

01:10:39.960 Bye-bye.

01:10:40.660 Bye-bye.

01:10:41.440 Bye-bye.

01:10:41.940 Bye-bye.

01:10:42.180 Bye-bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 06, 2024

Episode 2681 CWSA 12⧸06⧸24

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