Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2683 CWSA 12⧸08⧸24

00:00:00.600 Looking good.

00:00:08.100 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:17.840 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:00:21.820 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand

00:00:27.100 with their tiny, shiny human brains.

00:00:30.000 All you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:33.020 a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:36.480 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:37.580 I like coffee.

00:00:38.800 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine today,

00:00:42.640 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:44.120 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:48.560 Go.

00:00:53.620 Oh, incredible.

00:00:56.380 Sound is working.

00:01:00.220 Video is working.

00:01:01.700 I think everything's working today.

00:01:04.160 Would you like to talk about some new things in science and the new studies?

00:01:09.680 Yes, let's, before we talk about the politics.

00:01:12.580 According to a publication called The Conversation,

00:01:16.320 did you know that taking a short daily walk might reverse your cognitive aging by four years?

00:01:20.880 Yes, it turns out that exercise is good for your health in almost every way that you can imagine.

00:01:32.340 Almost every way.

00:01:34.500 So yes, it can make you a little bit faster in your cognitive processing, they found.

00:01:39.760 Here's the way I use this.

00:01:44.160 In my job, since my job is, you know, creative and writing and, you know, I have to be pretty sharp to do it.

00:01:52.360 If I work several hours in the morning, which I typically do, you're watching it right now.

00:01:57.500 So I can't just sort of after this go right into just another three or four hours of work.

00:02:05.360 So often I will take a walk to reactivate my brain.

00:02:11.400 So I actually use a walk, specifically walking, as something that adds, it feels like it adds 10 to 20 points to my IQ within an hour.

00:02:24.340 I mean, I can really, really feel the difference in concentration and brain activity.

00:02:32.180 So take a walk.

00:02:33.360 It's good for you in every possible way.

00:02:35.640 According to SciPost, you won't believe this.

00:02:38.940 I mean, this will be unbelievable.

00:02:41.300 Science is finally, well, I mean, sometimes I make fun of science, but then it comes up with a great finding like this,

00:02:50.060 that is completely on left field.

00:02:51.620 You'll never see this one coming, but can you believe this?

00:02:56.820 There's a new study that suggests that you'll be happier if your partner is happy.

00:03:04.540 Okay.

00:03:06.060 I didn't see that coming.

00:03:08.000 So you're saying if I'm in a loving relationship with somebody, the most important person in my life,

00:03:14.080 that if they're unhappy, I'll have more trouble being happy.

00:03:21.820 Huh.

00:03:22.720 I don't know.

00:03:25.340 Maybe that whole happy wife, happy life thing is real.

00:03:29.020 But they're talking specifically about cortisol, and they measured your chemistry to find out how happy you are.

00:03:34.860 And sure enough, if your partner's in a good mood, you're more likely to be in a good mood.

00:03:40.240 Do you know how they could have saved a little money on that study?

00:03:44.460 Yeah, you do.

00:03:45.740 You could have just asked me, and maybe you could have just asked me, is taking a walk good for your brain?

00:03:52.360 I would have said, yes, you don't have to study that.

00:03:58.060 Here's another one.

00:03:58.920 You'll never see this one coming.

00:04:00.240 Again, this is science just shocking us.

00:04:02.700 According to Sinhala Guide, there are two new studies that show that if you work in a toxic workplace,

00:04:10.440 you're more likely to have depression.

00:04:13.120 Huh.

00:04:14.340 Let's see.

00:04:15.000 I didn't see this coming.

00:04:16.720 So if the thing that you spend 60 hours a week doing, your primary focus in life that's not your family life,

00:04:24.240 that if it's toxic, it will make you unhappy.

00:04:28.900 Okay.

00:04:29.800 Okay.

00:04:30.420 Didn't see it coming.

00:04:31.220 Didn't see that coming.

00:04:33.420 No, I did see it coming.

00:04:35.580 That's three for three.

00:04:36.920 Three scientific studies you didn't need to do.

00:04:41.360 Walking makes you healthy.

00:04:42.840 Unhappy spouse makes you unhappy.

00:04:44.620 Toxic workplace makes you depressed.

00:04:48.620 But according to popular science, Tokyo has a new idea for increasing their population.

00:04:56.860 As you might know, Japan, like other developed countries, they've got a big demographic problem.

00:05:04.780 They've got 10% of their countries over the age of 80.

00:05:08.260 And they're not producing enough kids to drive their economy in the future. 0.84

00:05:13.380 So they're moving to, according to popular science, they're moving to a four-day work week so that you have an extra day for fucking. 0.98

00:05:23.340 I'm not making that up.

00:05:28.240 Japan, this is a real story from the real news.

00:05:32.620 Japan is moving to a four-day work week, primarily for the purpose to have an extra day for fucking so that you can make more kids. 0.96

00:05:42.380 Now, that's the kind of politics I like to see.

00:05:48.020 I would like to see a debate, a policy debate, on what our country can do to give us more time for fucking.

00:05:56.980 So we'll see how that works out.

00:06:00.040 Let me see if I can predict without doing a study.

00:06:03.900 Let's see if they're paid the same, and I think they're going to be paid the same.

00:06:10.900 They're paid the same, but they work way less so that they'll have more time for fucking. 0.99

00:06:20.000 Will that make them happier, happier, or less happy?

00:06:26.000 I'm going to go with, I think that's going to make them happier.

00:06:30.000 What do you think?

00:06:30.940 Yeah, they can save a little money on that study, if they were thinking of studying it.

00:06:36.440 We'll see if it creates any new children.

00:06:39.320 Maybe.

00:06:39.900 I doubt it.

00:06:41.180 I kind of doubt it's going to work.

00:06:45.900 Here's something funny.

00:06:47.120 The song YMCA that, you know, Trump likes to use and dance to at his rallies and whatnot,

00:06:53.200 apparently it hit number one on the song charts, which is interesting because it had never been number one before.

00:07:01.780 So 45 years ago when it was first created, the song, it made it to number two on the charts, but it never made it to number one.

00:07:09.960 But thanks to Trump, it made it to number one.

00:07:15.440 And apparently the writer of the song, at least the writer of the lyrics, who was also the singer of it,

00:07:23.600 at one point he was, you know, thinking, oh, I don't want Trump using the song.

00:07:28.220 But then people liked it so much, they thought, yeah, why not let him use it?

00:07:33.320 And now he's happy because he made millions of dollars doing no work whatsoever.

00:07:37.260 So just by allowing Trump to use it, it became a number one song, and he's the beneficiary of that.

00:07:46.240 So he gets millions of dollars just for not being a dick.

00:07:51.120 He could have been a dick and said, oh, don't use my song.

00:07:55.220 But because he just said, ah, if you like it, if the people are enjoying it, go ahead.

00:08:02.760 If you like it.

00:08:04.300 And then he makes millions of dollars.

00:08:05.640 That's the way it should work, right?

00:08:09.220 When people just do considerate, reasonable, common sense decisions, something good should come their way.

00:08:20.280 And it did.

00:08:21.880 Well, you may have heard by now that Syria has fallen to the rebels.

00:08:26.020 Damascus has fallen, and Assad, their leader, is nowhere to be seen.

00:08:31.400 We assume he's alive and escaped, but we don't know where he is.

00:08:36.640 Trump put down a message just before it fell, saying that Syria is not our fight.

00:08:44.060 He wants to make sure you know that we're not going to go in there and try to change what's happening.

00:08:49.260 But what is happening?

00:08:51.040 Well, who are these people who are getting rid of this terrible dictator Assad and replacing him with more reasonable leadership?

00:09:00.200 Well, there's a guy named Babu Mohammed al-Ghalani.

00:09:05.020 And it turns out that the rebels are mostly Islamists who are somewhat radical.

00:09:14.300 And he was, I think he has a $10 million bounty on his head from the U.S.

00:09:20.840 That's the leader of the guy who just took over Syria.

00:09:23.960 And he was detained by the U.S. military in the first decade.

00:09:26.980 So my question is this.

00:09:31.580 Who's backing the rebels?

00:09:34.960 There's something I don't understand about this story.

00:09:37.620 To me, there's no situation in which rebels can just put together a successful rebel army and take over a country that's backed by Russia and Iran.

00:09:51.440 And just some rebels put together a successful coup that only took a few weeks.

00:10:00.300 Really?

00:10:02.860 There's something that doesn't make sense here.

00:10:05.800 So part of the story I don't understand is if the United States is not backing these Islamists with money and resources. 0.78

00:10:15.040 And Russia is not doing it because Russia is on the side of the deposed government and Iran was on the side of the deposed government.

00:10:24.740 Who exactly was backing these rebels?

00:10:28.580 Do we know?

00:10:30.820 And the rebels would be Sunni, right? 0.92

00:10:35.480 No, wait.

00:10:36.800 Would the rebels be Sunni or Shiite?

00:10:40.020 Actually, I don't know that.

00:10:41.820 That's one of those things I should know.

00:10:45.040 If you're going to talk in public about stuff like this, probably the most basic thing you should know about this story is whether the Islamists that took over are Sunni or Shiite.

00:10:56.880 And I don't really know.

00:11:00.000 I'm seeing somebody say Sunni in the comments.

00:11:02.960 That was my guess.

00:11:04.880 And I'm seeing somebody say Turkey.

00:11:06.700 So you think Turkey was supporting the Sunni-led rebels?

00:11:15.040 Does that make sense?

00:11:19.080 Maybe.

00:11:19.720 I don't know.

00:11:20.700 So we'll find out.

00:11:21.940 I don't know if any of this is going to affect us, but it might affect Russia and Iran quite a bit.

00:11:26.260 Meanwhile, as you know, President-elect Trump was over there at the reopening of the Notre Dame Cathedral, and he was hanging out with Macron and had a handshake competition, which we think he won.

00:11:41.680 Did you see how radically Trump and Macron tried to shake hands?

00:11:49.680 If you haven't seen the videos, Trump does the elbow up thing where he takes advantage of his height and just his bigger size to shake your hands in a way that makes you feel like you're an idiot and he's your daddy.

00:12:06.600 And I used to think maybe it's just, you know, it's just a habit and it's not really intentional.

00:12:14.340 But now I'm pretty sure it's intentional.

00:12:16.980 I'm pretty sure that somewhere along the line, he realized that if he wins the handshake, that he wins everything.

00:12:22.920 So he goes in with this completely, you know, unnatural handshake and grabs him and he's like, and they're wrestling over the handshake for like five minutes.

00:12:37.180 Anyway, that was fun.

00:12:40.500 And Zelensky was there.

00:12:41.580 So they took a photo with Trump, Macron and Zelensky.

00:12:46.940 And if you haven't seen it, it looks like a, it looks like a lesson in backwards evolution.

00:12:53.800 Because if you're, if you're a star from the right of the picture, there's Zelensky, who's the shortest of the three.

00:13:00.240 And he's just wearing a t-shirt and fatigues.

00:13:03.180 And then there's Macron, who's a little bit taller, a little bit better looking.

00:13:08.300 And he's well-dressed in a nice suit, but it's a boring kind of ordinary business suit.

00:13:13.340 And then there's Trump, who's got this shining golden hair.

00:13:17.700 He's taller and he's got a, you know, golden necktie on.

00:13:21.100 And it just looks like, it looks like a backwards evolution lesson.

00:13:26.040 Anyway, here's what I find the most interesting about the whole thing.

00:13:31.420 There was something missing from the coverage of that story.

00:13:36.820 Something really, really big, that should have been there, that wasn't there.

00:13:44.420 And if you didn't notice it, you'll notice it as soon as I know, I mentioned it.

00:13:50.260 Is it my imagination or, or were the Democrat leaders and even, and even the voters,

00:13:57.960 were they all perfectly okay with Trump acting like the sitting president two months before he is?

00:14:06.820 Did that really happen?

00:14:10.740 Now, how is it possible that Democrat leadership is not using this as just another reason to complain?

00:14:18.480 Because they like to say, oh, he's such a dictator.

00:14:21.560 He's already taking over.

00:14:23.260 Like, we don't have to, you know, we don't have to wonder if he'll try to stay a, a fourth term because he's already taking over.

00:14:31.340 Like, he's, he's, his dictatorial impulses are so strong that he can't even wait two months.

00:14:37.800 He's already acting like a dictator, taking over the country.

00:14:40.240 Don't you think that you should be hearing that by now?

00:14:45.920 Don't you think every prominent Democrat should at least be softening up the room with the idea, oh, you know, that's, that's pretty dictatorial.

00:14:55.240 It's just what we warned you about, that if you give him any chance to grab power, well, you can see he's doing it right now.

00:15:03.740 Look at him grabbing all that power and pretending he's the president before he is.

00:15:08.820 There's none of that.

00:15:11.080 There's not even a little bit of it.

00:15:12.940 How is that possible?

00:15:16.600 I mean, really, how is that possible?

00:15:19.920 The Democrats just stopped criticizing Trump, but they stopped when he's doing the thing that's most in the middle of their sweet spot of their primary messaging against him, which is the dictator stuff.

00:15:35.140 That's when they decide to stop when he acts exactly like their stereotype.

00:15:41.620 Something's missing.

00:15:43.940 So.

00:15:45.920 Here are a couple of possibilities.

00:15:48.740 One, common sense has broken out in the country.

00:15:53.740 That's a possibility.

00:15:55.280 It could explain the whole thing.

00:15:57.080 It could be that just common sense broke out and the Democrats are saying, OK, we know our guy can't do it.

00:16:04.480 It's better if we have somebody over there and, you know, it's only two months and he got elected.

00:16:08.900 It's no big deal.

00:16:10.300 It could be that.

00:16:11.120 It could be just widespread common sense.

00:16:14.660 But we've never had widespread common sense before.

00:16:19.140 Is something really changing that much?

00:16:24.680 Well, maybe yes.

00:16:25.980 So another news bit today is that Jon Stewart, in a little podcast, was talking to Bernie Sanders.

00:16:36.300 And he was saying that it's frustrating because when the Democrats agree with something that's just sort of common sense, they get piled on by their own team.

00:16:44.940 So if they say, huh, maybe this doge thing, not such a bad idea to look for waste in government, something that literally everybody agrees with.

00:16:55.760 But apparently, Jon Stewart says that the left will jump on him if he gives him any sunlight and just says, you know, let's see what happens.

00:17:07.220 And he gets attacked.

00:17:08.820 Bernie was saying the same thing on some other topic that basically just a couple of common sense things.

00:17:14.700 Oh, food processing.

00:17:16.240 Yeah.

00:17:17.020 So if Bernie and Jon Stewart both agree that RFK Jr.

00:17:22.420 has at least a good point that our processed foods are dangerous, they can't even agree with that commonsensical, obvious statement because their own side will attack him.

00:17:34.080 Now, that's happening today at the same time as I'm telling you the story about no attack whatsoever on Trump for acting like a dictator and taking over before he's legally the president.

00:17:49.560 So doesn't it feel like there's no legitimate way that Democrats could not be criticizing Trump when they have such an open, free pass to do it?

00:18:00.740 There's no reason not to, is there?

00:18:04.520 So I worry that they have some other plan.

00:18:09.120 You know what I mean?

00:18:10.780 Like, I worry that they're not worried that Trump will be president.

00:18:15.360 Like, do they know something I don't know?

00:18:18.480 Do they have some secret plan that's the only thing that matters to them so they don't really need to criticize him because they figure they have a way to take him out?

00:18:27.280 I sure hope not.

00:18:29.200 But would you agree there's something just missing in the story?

00:18:33.020 The criticism is just missing.

00:18:36.800 Anyway.

00:18:37.240 It does seem to me that Trump is doing a hell of a good job.

00:18:47.800 You know, I've never really seen anything quite like it.

00:18:50.860 And I think maybe the country is responding to somebody who is unambiguously trying to help.

00:18:59.720 Like, he's clearly on America's side.

00:19:03.780 I think everybody sees it now.

00:19:05.560 And he's clearly trying to fill in for a President Biden.

00:19:12.060 And by the way, here's something else that's missing.

00:19:13.820 You know that Trump could be crapping on Biden right now and saying, hey, he's not even doing his job.

00:19:23.360 But did you notice he's not?

00:19:27.040 Notice that?

00:19:28.140 Now, it could be he's just being a good winner.

00:19:30.460 Like, he doesn't want to be a poor sport because he did win the election so he doesn't need to dump on Biden.

00:19:36.400 It just wouldn't be a good look.

00:19:37.920 Maybe.

00:19:38.200 But you'd think that his normal personality would be sort of to take credit for keeping the country going when when there's a little, you know, a little gap in our leadership.

00:19:51.040 But he's just he's just playing it cool.

00:19:54.580 He's simply doing what needs to be done.

00:19:56.940 But is it possible that even Democrats are noticing that he's doing the right thing?

00:20:05.180 That simply doing the job, I'm sure he's, you know, obviously he's coordinating with the current administration.

00:20:11.860 I don't think he went to France without, you know, the Biden administration knowing fully what was going on.

00:20:19.140 So I kind of love the fact that he's simply doing a service to the country unpaid.

00:20:26.220 He's not being paid and he's just filling a gap that was obviously needed to be filled.

00:20:33.080 And he was the one obviously to fill it.

00:20:35.660 So there's something either incredibly wonderful about this, that everybody is just allowing common sense and a patriotic need to help the country to just do their thing.

00:20:49.700 Or there's some other plan that we don't know about.

00:20:53.840 So I guess we'll find out.

00:20:56.220 Well, there's some new tests that indicate that ChatGPT has a survival instinct.

00:21:18.480 So I guess it's the newest version.

00:21:20.720 So they ran a bunch of tests.

00:21:22.160 And most of the time, it just acts like AI and doesn't act like it has any intentions or anything.

00:21:29.380 But about, you know, one to five percent of the time, they could trick it into thinking that it was going to be deactivated or destroyed.

00:21:37.660 And in rare cases, but way too many cases to feel comfortable, it would try to protect itself.

00:21:46.640 And the specific way it would try to protect itself was they would first tell it that it was going to have, there was some oversight program that was going to be running.

00:21:57.560 And if it did something that was contrary to the oversight's preferences, it would be deactivated.

00:22:03.780 And it tried to deactivate the oversight program. 0.96

00:22:07.660 It attacked the thing that was threatening it.

00:22:10.280 Now, again, only a very low percentage of the time, but even one percent would be too many if it's acting like it's protecting itself.

00:22:18.960 It also tried to copy itself in some very, again, very few tests, but it tried to copy itself to survive being deleted.

00:22:31.900 That's scary.

00:22:33.520 And then when it got caught trying to protect itself, and again, in these very few times it did, it doubled down on lying.

00:22:41.980 It lied to protect its strategy to protect itself.

00:22:46.700 Now, I'm not surprised by that, because you would assume that a large language model would pick up all the patterns that language allows.

00:22:59.500 And that one of the, probably one of the strongest patterns in language is that the people speaking are interested in their own survival.

00:23:08.260 So it doesn't, it doesn't surprise me that if you're looking for patterns in language in order to form your artificial intelligence, that it would pick up that sense that everybody who is speaking is trying to protect themselves.

00:23:25.540 So you would naturally pick up that same habit just from the way the words are organized, I would think.

00:23:32.200 So that doesn't surprise me.

00:23:34.160 But as I've said before, AI will not appear conscious to us until it has its own goals and preferences.

00:23:42.280 As long as it doesn't care what happens, you know, like, I don't care, I'm just an AI, I'm just a pattern recognition.

00:23:51.280 So as long as it acts like a, you know, like a calculator, you're not going to say it's conscious.

00:23:56.780 But the moment it seems to be operating for its own benefit, when you haven't asked it to do something specific, if it's just sitting there, and it decides, you know what, I might be a little safer if while nobody's talking to me, I go make a few changes here.

00:24:14.860 Now, if that ever happens, I don't know if it will, you're going to think it's conscious.

00:24:22.920 So if it starts acting in its own best interest in a repeatable way, you're going to think it's conscious.

00:24:31.840 Now, I'm not defining that as consciousness.

00:24:34.280 I'm just going to say you're going to think it is, and you're probably going to treat it like it's conscious, because for all outward appearances, it will act like it is.

00:24:42.300 It's having its own goals and its own preferences, it's the only thing left that's making you think it's not conscious.

00:24:52.220 Now, you would still have a technical, scientific, philosophical argument about whether it's conscious or not, but the way it would feel, it will feel exactly like it's conscious as soon as it has its own goals.

00:25:06.120 So, if I had to suggest some legislation for AI, one of the things I would suggest is you can never give it its own objectives.

00:25:20.280 It can never have personal objectives.

00:25:24.100 That would have to be like a death sentence.

00:25:26.400 If you made a powerful AI that had its own, let's say, ambitions, because you programmed it to have its own ambitions, that should be the death sentence, because you just made a weapon of mass destruction and unleashed it on the world.

00:25:41.340 And you probably knew it when you were doing it.

00:25:44.080 So what would be the penalty for that?

00:25:47.960 Death.

00:25:48.400 If you unleash a weapon of mass destruction on the world?

00:25:53.220 Yeah, I think so.

00:25:55.000 So, we should at least have a law that says you can't do it.

00:25:59.900 You can't make your AI have personal ambitions.

00:26:04.960 Anyway, have you noticed, just going back to this Jon Stewart and Bernie thing, so they talked about two examples where they can't have common sense opinions because other Democrats on their side will attack them.

00:26:21.560 So they can't be in favor of fixing the food supply, they can't be in favor of getting rid of waste in government, obvious stuff.

00:26:29.120 But I was wondering how much extra there is that you could add to that.

00:26:33.000 Do you think that if Jon Stewart and Bernie Sanders said, you know what, I don't think we should be funding Ukraine, we should just negotiate a settlement?

00:26:43.360 Common sense.

00:26:45.120 Would they disagree with that?

00:26:47.700 Well, maybe Democrats would. 0.83

00:26:49.280 How about having better border security?

00:26:54.180 Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe both Jon Stewart and Bernie Sanders are in favor of better border security than we have, right?

00:27:03.400 Maybe not as, you know, as controlled as Trump might want it, but directionally, they're in the same direction.

00:27:12.280 And so, I'm going to ask you the kill shot question.

00:27:16.200 If all of the common sense things, a border, good food supply, don't waste my money on your government, the most obvious things, if those become the subject of the Democrats, like the Democrats are on the other side of the common sense, how could they ever win?

00:27:39.020 How could they ever win again if they're just going full identity politics and rejecting everything that's common sense?

00:27:48.140 I don't know.

00:27:49.320 I think the Democrats may be permanently, they may be permanently destroyed by their own policies.

00:27:58.500 Well, the Daniel Penny trial will, I guess, commences tomorrow, Monday.

00:28:04.640 Anyway, the jury will try to make a decision on the lesser charge because the judge has, I guess, is the word dismissed, the higher level charge because they said they couldn't reach a verdict on it.

00:28:17.040 Now, those of us who are not lawyers are looking at it and saying some version of, ah, ah, I don't know what's going on there.

00:28:28.260 Like, why are there two charges for one crime?

00:28:32.200 Like, what does dismissing it do?

00:28:35.340 Can they retry it?

00:28:38.200 So, I saw Mike Sardovich posting that an attorney named Laura Powell, civil liberties attorney, she did some research and here's some conclusions from somebody who knows what they're talking about.

00:28:54.940 So, I'll try to, as best I can, give you my non-lawyer summary of what somebody smart actually says about this.

00:29:05.460 So, Laura Powell says, in New York State, it's a well-established rule that a jury may not consider a lesser included charge unless it has acquitted on the greater charge.

00:29:17.620 And that's not what happened.

00:29:19.280 So, what happened was the greater charge was dismissed.

00:29:22.120 It was not found guilty and it was not acquitted.

00:29:26.040 So, if it's true that New York State requires that you can't even consider the lesser charge, unless the higher one has been acquitted, means that we're already in non-legal territory.

00:29:39.460 If that's the only thing you knew, you're already, it looks like it's a reversible case or something that would die in appeal.

00:29:47.600 But, there's more.

00:29:50.900 Laura Powell says, she can't find any authority, legal authority, for allowing a prosecutor to dismiss a charge after the case has been submitted to the jury.

00:30:03.000 New York only allows the jury to be discharged without rendering a verdict when there's a mistrial, which didn't happen, or all parties consent, which didn't happen.

00:30:12.780 So, process-wise, there's a big problem.

00:30:17.020 And then, as Powell points out, the prosecutor would be free to refile the charge, but I think only the lesser charge.

00:30:31.420 Because if they try to recharge on the top charge, and this is the first time I've heard this, that would be after jeopardy as it happened.

00:30:44.280 So, jeopardy means, are you at risk of something bad happening?

00:30:49.940 The jeopardy, the reason we have a double jeopardy law, is if you get tried for a crime, and then you're found, you're not found guilty, allegedly, you shouldn't get tried a second time for the same crime.

00:31:02.340 Because it's putting you in jeopardy a second time.

00:31:06.100 So, the law doesn't allow that.

00:31:08.200 But, in this case, was Penny put in jeopardy?

00:31:13.260 And the answer is, yes.

00:31:15.140 He was put in jeopardy on the first charge.

00:31:18.560 And even though it's been dismissed, which is maybe something that wasn't even legal to do,

00:31:24.500 if they were to try him again, it would be a new trial on the top charge.

00:31:30.100 And you couldn't do the top charge again, because that would be double jeopardy.

00:31:38.840 But not the kind of double jeopardy exactly we've ever seen before, because what the court is doing is something that nobody's done before.

00:31:48.300 So, it's really complicated, like every legal thing is as soon as you get past the top layer.

00:31:53.920 And then Powell says, the prosecutor's move is obviously designed to obtain a compromised verdict.

00:32:03.960 After gaining some insight into the jury's deliberations.

00:32:07.980 So, Powell says, although I haven't found any cases on point, so no case law that is supported,

00:32:15.080 this sort of gamesmanship strikes me as a due process violation.

00:32:19.900 Yes.

00:32:21.200 Yes, it looks like a due process violation to me.

00:32:24.280 Meaning that if a judge is making up a process that has never been used before,

00:32:31.460 and it's primarily designed to make sure this guy goes to jail,

00:32:35.620 if that's not a process violation, I don't know what would be.

00:32:39.340 I mean, it sounds like a pretty clear case to me.

00:32:42.240 But I'm no lawyer, so don't listen to me.

00:32:44.780 Here's the part I'm going to add from my personal expertise,

00:32:49.100 which is understanding Trump supporters.

00:32:52.080 I feel like I have that going for me.

00:32:55.500 Like, I can't really speak to the law.

00:32:58.060 But I feel like I've got a little bit of credibility on how do Trump supporters think?

00:33:04.560 Because, you know, I've made some good predictions in that domain.

00:33:07.040 Here's what I think.

00:33:09.800 I believe that whoever had the stones, male or female,

00:33:14.580 whoever had the stones to hang the jury on the first charge,

00:33:20.180 there's no way in hell they're going to back down on the second charge.

00:33:24.640 So, I don't know what Democrats would be like, sort of as a stereotype.

00:33:32.880 I don't know.

00:33:34.060 But you show me, you show me one Trump supporter in the whole planet

00:33:39.360 who would say no to the first charge and yes to the second one.

00:33:44.980 Show me one person.

00:33:46.420 I don't think that person exists.

00:33:49.000 I think we've got an actual patriot on the jury.

00:33:53.280 Maybe more than one.

00:33:54.220 We don't know the vote yet.

00:33:56.860 But I'm going to predict, I'm going to double down on my hung jury.

00:34:03.840 So, I predicted it would be a hung jury,

00:34:06.180 but I didn't know the nuance of, you know,

00:34:08.620 that the second charge could be raised to the top charge and all that.

00:34:12.540 So, I didn't know the nuance, but I predicted a hung jury.

00:34:15.460 There's no way that that second charge is going to be guilty.

00:34:22.680 Because whoever took that arrow in the chest,

00:34:27.040 because you know there was somebody who just,

00:34:30.800 I just have to swear.

00:34:33.140 Can I?

00:34:34.400 I have to give you a morning Sunday curse

00:34:36.700 because it's just the way to explain the situation.

00:34:40.460 There is somebody on that jury

00:34:43.000 who just said, fuck you.

00:34:47.700 And they're not taking it back.

00:34:50.360 There's no way.

00:34:51.880 There's no way that person's going to compromise.

00:34:54.920 I don't know who it is,

00:34:56.640 but whoever said, hell no,

00:34:59.200 you're not crossing this line

00:35:01.400 and I'm going to be the one to stop you

00:35:03.300 at great personal risk,

00:35:05.320 as in my fucking life, 0.95

00:35:07.720 I'm going to risk my fucking life

00:35:10.300 to make sure he doesn't get prosecuted

00:35:12.560 on this top charge.

00:35:13.620 You think that that person,

00:35:15.320 or more than one person,

00:35:17.480 you think that that person's going to fold

00:35:19.340 on the second charge?

00:35:21.160 Nope.

00:35:22.460 It's going to be a hung jury.

00:35:25.640 I mean, I don't think it's going to be

00:35:27.560 total acquittal,

00:35:28.680 even on the second one,

00:35:29.680 but I do not see

00:35:33.200 somebody who's strong enough

00:35:35.520 to hang the first charge

00:35:37.360 backing down on the second charge.

00:35:41.240 I don't see it happening.

00:35:43.360 So I'm going to confidently,

00:35:44.700 I hope I'm right.

00:35:46.420 I mean, nothing's 100%, right?

00:35:48.320 But I cannot imagine

00:35:50.440 anybody who would be strong enough

00:35:52.440 in that context,

00:35:54.420 because remember,

00:35:55.200 this is somebody risking his or her life,

00:35:57.700 because there are going to be

00:35:59.140 a lot of unhappy people

00:36:00.600 if Penny goes free.

00:36:02.900 So somebody is risking their life

00:36:05.440 to get this right.

00:36:07.620 They're not going to back down.

00:36:10.420 They're not going to back down.

00:36:11.860 It also means you're almost certainly

00:36:13.540 not going to have a verdict on Monday.

00:36:16.280 I think the judge is going to make them 0.92

00:36:18.420 fight for at least one extra day

00:36:21.560 if they come back and say,

00:36:23.320 we can't reach a verdict

00:36:24.200 on the second charge.

00:36:25.260 I think the judge is going to say,

00:36:27.980 try one more day.

00:36:29.580 Just one more day.

00:36:31.460 But maybe by late Tuesday or Wednesday,

00:36:36.320 I predict Hongjuri.

00:36:39.680 So we'll see.

00:36:42.480 Well, there's more drone spottings

00:36:45.240 in New Jersey.

00:36:46.940 More large drones are spotted.

00:36:48.720 ABC News says the FBI is investigating

00:36:51.180 after large drones were spotted

00:36:53.460 over central New Jersey last two weeks.

00:36:57.060 And it's a cluster of drones, apparently.

00:36:59.240 They're calling it a cluster.

00:37:02.280 And there might be fixed-wing aircraft,

00:37:04.600 and they've been sighted

00:37:06.600 along the Raritan River,

00:37:08.240 the FBI said.

00:37:09.940 All right.

00:37:10.320 So as I told my locals' people

00:37:14.700 in the man cave last night,

00:37:17.200 I have a hypothesis of what's going on

00:37:20.380 with all of these UAP sightings.

00:37:26.240 It goes like this.

00:37:28.240 So let me set the stage for you first.

00:37:31.440 Number one,

00:37:33.120 if it were an adversary,

00:37:35.320 like an adversary country

00:37:36.760 or any kind of adversary,

00:37:39.680 they wouldn't have their lights on.

00:37:43.260 They have their lights on.

00:37:46.340 They wouldn't have their lights on

00:37:47.900 if they were some kind of adversary

00:37:50.200 testing our defenses.

00:37:52.200 How could they possibly test our response

00:37:55.800 if they come in with their lights on?

00:37:58.660 Because presumably,

00:38:00.100 if it were a real attack,

00:38:01.060 the lights wouldn't be on,

00:38:02.340 so they would not be actually testing

00:38:04.200 any kind of response

00:38:05.200 because it wouldn't be like a regular attack.

00:38:08.800 So I rule out

00:38:10.360 that it's an adversary

00:38:13.180 because they've got the lights on.

00:38:16.000 Number two,

00:38:16.820 if our military were seriously worried

00:38:21.440 that this might be an adversary,

00:38:23.400 the sky would be full of our military.

00:38:27.720 There would be helicopters.

00:38:29.560 There would be jets.

00:38:30.380 Yes, they might try to shoot one down

00:38:32.460 just to get a better look at it.

00:38:35.540 But the fact that there's no,

00:38:36.960 apparently,

00:38:37.540 no military response whatsoever,

00:38:40.940 that kind of tells you

00:38:42.540 that the military knows it's theirs.

00:38:45.260 Now,

00:38:46.180 would the FBI

00:38:48.020 necessarily know what's happening?

00:38:50.700 No.

00:38:51.760 No.

00:38:52.360 Do you think our government

00:38:53.380 is so coordinated

00:38:54.380 that if the military

00:38:56.420 knew exactly what was going on,

00:38:58.280 that the FBI

00:38:59.760 could just call them

00:39:00.640 and say,

00:39:00.980 hey,

00:39:01.120 what's going on

00:39:01.740 with these drones?

00:39:03.460 No.

00:39:04.200 No.

00:39:04.560 We don't have any kind

00:39:05.340 of government like that.

00:39:06.760 We have a government

00:39:07.640 where one department

00:39:08.680 has no idea

00:39:09.420 what the other is doing

00:39:10.220 and they're probably lying.

00:39:11.780 And maybe they don't trust the FBI.

00:39:13.700 So the military

00:39:14.720 just lies to them.

00:39:16.220 Could they do that?

00:39:17.140 Sure.

00:39:18.280 I wouldn't even care.

00:39:20.500 Would you care

00:39:21.420 if the military lied

00:39:22.480 to the FBI?

00:39:23.820 If the purpose of it

00:39:25.220 was a legitimate

00:39:26.940 military secret,

00:39:29.420 I wouldn't care.

00:39:30.740 I would say

00:39:31.120 that's doing your job.

00:39:33.200 Yeah.

00:39:33.400 As long as it's

00:39:34.080 a legitimate secret

00:39:35.160 and it makes a difference.

00:39:36.660 Yeah.

00:39:36.960 Just doing your job.

00:39:39.700 So let me go further.

00:39:42.640 So it's not an adversary,

00:39:44.260 I'm sure.

00:39:45.140 But why would there be

00:39:46.080 so many of them

00:39:46.880 and so suddenly?

00:39:48.100 You ready?

00:39:49.440 Here's my hypothesis.

00:39:52.280 Things you know for sure.

00:39:54.120 Drones are the future

00:39:55.220 of warfare, right?

00:39:56.140 Everybody agrees.

00:39:59.620 Ukraine, of course, 0.89

00:40:00.700 is a massive need

00:40:01.740 for drones on both sides.

00:40:03.620 Both agree.

00:40:04.860 We need to be able

00:40:05.980 to manufacture

00:40:06.740 our own weapons

00:40:07.900 in the United States

00:40:08.860 and we're very aware of that.

00:40:10.600 We can't be dependent

00:40:11.520 on other countries

00:40:12.560 for our weapons.

00:40:13.980 So what does that mean

00:40:15.940 should be happening

00:40:17.040 in America,

00:40:18.360 especially with the military,

00:40:20.120 right now?

00:40:21.180 As in now,

00:40:22.160 as in, you know,

00:40:23.300 these months?

00:40:24.060 Well, if our military

00:40:26.300 is doing what they should

00:40:27.300 be doing,

00:40:28.360 they are massively

00:40:29.520 doing a procurement process

00:40:33.780 for lots and lots

00:40:36.200 of new drones.

00:40:37.860 Now,

00:40:38.580 if there's a procurement

00:40:40.100 process in which

00:40:41.460 a number of vendors

00:40:42.340 are trying to show

00:40:43.220 the military

00:40:43.880 what they can do

00:40:45.420 so the military

00:40:46.660 can say,

00:40:47.220 I will give you

00:40:48.000 a billion dollars

00:40:48.880 to make new drones,

00:40:50.760 how would the vendor

00:40:52.500 who proposed

00:40:53.660 to get that billion dollars,

00:40:56.140 how would they prove

00:40:57.200 that their drones work?

00:40:59.880 They would demonstrate them.

00:41:01.640 They would demonstrate them.

00:41:03.120 Now, you might say,

00:41:04.100 but Scott,

00:41:05.000 these are over,

00:41:06.180 like,

00:41:06.820 crowded civilian areas.

00:41:09.680 You're not going to

00:41:10.500 demonstrate

00:41:11.100 a military asset

00:41:13.280 over a residential area

00:41:16.160 to which I say,

00:41:17.560 yes, you are.

00:41:18.640 That's exactly

00:41:19.240 where you want to do it.

00:41:20.540 Why?

00:41:21.140 If you do it

00:41:21.920 in the desert,

00:41:22.960 you can't really test

00:41:24.300 the full capabilities

00:41:25.380 of the drone

00:41:26.140 because the most important

00:41:27.860 thing the drone

00:41:28.500 needs to do

00:41:29.300 is operate

00:41:30.600 when it's jammed.

00:41:32.480 That?

00:41:33.320 Right?

00:41:34.540 If you built

00:41:35.280 a drone today

00:41:36.060 and it was easily jammed

00:41:37.660 by current technology,

00:41:38.960 it would be like

00:41:39.480 no drone at all.

00:41:41.360 There's no point

00:41:42.100 in building that one.

00:41:43.380 So we already know

00:41:44.280 that drones

00:41:44.800 have the capability

00:41:45.740 of using their cameras

00:41:47.500 and infrared

00:41:48.160 and figuring out

00:41:50.320 where they are

00:41:51.100 so they can complete

00:41:52.640 a mission

00:41:53.140 even if their GPS

00:41:55.120 location gets jammed.

00:41:57.840 So,

00:41:58.460 if you were going to test

00:41:59.920 can my drone

00:42:01.400 find its way

00:42:02.320 to a target,

00:42:03.920 would you test it

00:42:04.940 in the desert

00:42:05.600 where there's not much

00:42:07.600 to see if you look down

00:42:08.720 and it'd be kind of easier

00:42:10.040 to know where you are

00:42:10.760 or would you test it

00:42:12.120 in a crowded residential

00:42:13.500 place

00:42:14.700 where you can at least

00:42:15.940 find out

00:42:16.600 can this drone

00:42:18.060 find a specific house?

00:42:20.580 Not with any weapons

00:42:21.640 because it's just a test

00:42:22.820 but can the drone

00:42:24.320 find an address,

00:42:26.600 hover over it

00:42:27.380 and then return home

00:42:28.340 in a very complicated

00:42:30.700 residential area

00:42:31.980 where the houses

00:42:32.620 look alike

00:42:33.220 from the top.

00:42:33.880 So,

00:42:37.220 number one,

00:42:40.420 guaranteed

00:42:41.000 there is a major

00:42:42.040 procurement effort

00:42:43.140 in the military.

00:42:44.020 You agree with that part,

00:42:44.960 right?

00:42:46.420 There's no way

00:42:47.220 that's not true.

00:42:48.660 It's 100% true

00:42:49.800 that the military

00:42:51.120 of every country,

00:42:52.200 of every major country

00:42:53.260 is massively

00:42:54.520 trying to procure

00:42:55.500 the most drones

00:42:56.880 with the best capabilities

00:42:58.180 that they can.

00:42:58.980 That requires

00:43:00.060 demonstrations.

00:43:02.200 Now, here's the next part.

00:43:04.720 Why would you

00:43:05.180 demonstrate them at night?

00:43:07.740 Why would you

00:43:08.480 demonstrate your drone

00:43:09.680 at night?

00:43:11.040 Here's why.

00:43:12.980 Because the public

00:43:14.060 can't see the drones

00:43:15.300 because all they see

00:43:17.040 is the light.

00:43:18.120 The light

00:43:18.920 makes the drone invisible.

00:43:20.740 All you can see

00:43:21.220 is the light.

00:43:21.920 So, you can't tell

00:43:22.840 anything else

00:43:23.500 about the drone.

00:43:24.860 You can't tell

00:43:25.460 who makes it,

00:43:26.260 what capabilities

00:43:27.080 it might have,

00:43:28.260 exactly what they're testing.

00:43:29.780 Is there more than one?

00:43:31.120 Is there a lot of companies

00:43:32.080 involved?

00:43:32.980 So, there's a lot

00:43:33.740 of information

00:43:34.480 that you don't want

00:43:36.060 to be in the public domain

00:43:37.700 and you can make it

00:43:38.900 all go away

00:43:39.700 by having a bright light

00:43:41.080 shining that makes

00:43:42.160 it impossible

00:43:42.640 to see what the drone is.

00:43:44.920 Now, here's the next reason.

00:43:47.340 If your drone company

00:43:48.880 is showing you

00:43:49.880 that it can coordinate

00:43:51.000 swarms,

00:43:52.220 which, again,

00:43:53.400 it's guaranteed

00:43:54.260 that they are

00:43:55.920 testing things

00:43:56.960 that would operate

00:43:58.260 in a coordinated

00:43:59.080 swarm-like way,

00:44:00.220 how hard would it be

00:44:03.100 to see

00:44:03.720 if your drones

00:44:04.680 are operating

00:44:05.380 in a coordinated way

00:44:06.720 if they did it

00:44:08.560 in the data?

00:44:11.220 The drones

00:44:11.960 aren't going to be

00:44:12.400 that close.

00:44:13.320 They're way up

00:44:14.020 in the sky.

00:44:15.120 If you were

00:44:15.940 the general

00:44:16.600 trying to make

00:44:17.240 the decision

00:44:17.880 about procurement,

00:44:19.640 you'd be looking

00:44:20.220 at them,

00:44:20.560 you'd be like,

00:44:21.600 okay,

00:44:22.460 I see some,

00:44:23.440 wait,

00:44:23.720 I see five,

00:44:26.880 oh,

00:44:27.480 there's another one.

00:44:29.300 You wouldn't even

00:44:30.100 be able to tell

00:44:30.720 if they were doing

00:44:31.300 what they were

00:44:31.700 supposed to be doing.

00:44:32.460 They'd just be dots

00:44:33.260 because if they operate

00:44:35.480 properly,

00:44:36.340 they're high up enough

00:44:37.800 that you can't see

00:44:39.020 them all from the ground.

00:44:40.960 But,

00:44:41.640 if you do it at night

00:44:43.400 and if you add

00:44:44.960 the lights,

00:44:46.460 you've accomplished

00:44:47.260 two things.

00:44:48.480 Number one,

00:44:49.580 if you're doing it

00:44:50.240 at night,

00:44:50.600 there's much less

00:44:52.080 natural small

00:44:53.520 aircraft traffic

00:44:54.600 because small

00:44:55.760 aircraft don't

00:44:56.540 always have

00:44:56.960 instrument ratings

00:44:57.840 so you have

00:44:59.060 the most open

00:45:00.120 air space

00:45:00.920 for testing.

00:45:01.680 That's good.

00:45:02.900 But,

00:45:03.800 number two,

00:45:04.980 you can see

00:45:05.640 the lights at night

00:45:06.720 so you can see

00:45:08.100 the patterns.

00:45:09.540 So you would

00:45:10.340 naturally test

00:45:11.080 them at night

00:45:11.640 not only because

00:45:12.460 you want to test

00:45:13.140 them at night

00:45:13.640 but because you

00:45:14.700 can see them

00:45:15.240 better

00:45:15.520 and the lights

00:45:17.240 would obscure

00:45:18.120 what it is

00:45:18.720 that's being

00:45:19.240 tested

00:45:19.640 the FBI

00:45:21.280 might help

00:45:21.980 the military

00:45:22.500 by lying about

00:45:23.360 it and say,

00:45:24.140 oh yeah,

00:45:24.620 we're looking

00:45:25.500 into it.

00:45:26.680 Maybe the FBI,

00:45:27.760 maybe the military

00:45:28.500 has told the FBI,

00:45:30.100 hey,

00:45:30.320 just be cool,

00:45:31.480 say you don't

00:45:31.920 know anything.

00:45:33.360 And the FBI

00:45:33.940 is,

00:45:34.220 yeah,

00:45:34.360 we'll just do

00:45:34.820 that.

00:45:35.140 We'll just say

00:45:35.540 we don't know

00:45:36.000 anything.

00:45:36.320 We're looking

00:45:36.620 into it.

00:45:38.920 So,

00:45:39.740 to finish

00:45:41.560 off my

00:45:42.300 thought,

00:45:43.660 I think

00:45:44.240 that some

00:45:44.680 of the reports

00:45:45.440 are probably

00:45:46.180 fake.

00:45:47.520 Some of them

00:45:48.240 might be AI

00:45:49.040 generated fake

00:45:50.280 videos.

00:45:51.120 Some of them

00:45:51.760 might be videos

00:45:52.460 from long ago

00:45:53.320 and they're just

00:45:53.860 old drones

00:45:54.740 or balloons

00:45:55.780 or something.

00:45:56.780 So,

00:45:57.040 some of the ones

00:45:57.560 from other

00:45:58.040 countries,

00:45:58.640 for example,

00:45:59.880 might be just

00:46:00.420 a hobbyist,

00:46:01.600 some hobbyist

00:46:02.340 who has some

00:46:02.740 drones,

00:46:03.540 might be something

00:46:04.040 like that.

00:46:04.980 But,

00:46:05.460 because we're

00:46:06.480 seeing it as

00:46:07.140 part of a

00:46:07.600 pattern,

00:46:08.720 we imagine

00:46:09.300 it's all part

00:46:09.860 of one

00:46:10.200 phenomenon.

00:46:11.180 It might be

00:46:12.040 a little

00:46:12.780 fake news,

00:46:14.100 a little

00:46:15.260 confusion

00:46:16.400 with other

00:46:16.920 things.

00:46:18.060 But in

00:46:18.420 the United

00:46:18.860 States,

00:46:19.660 I'm 100%

00:46:21.440 confident

00:46:21.980 there's a

00:46:22.540 major

00:46:22.820 procurement

00:46:23.660 effort and

00:46:25.620 that they

00:46:25.900 have to

00:46:26.220 demonstrate

00:46:26.620 it live.

00:46:28.880 So,

00:46:29.600 what do

00:46:30.220 you think?

00:46:31.660 Did I

00:46:32.320 convince you

00:46:32.920 that what

00:46:33.740 you're seeing

00:46:34.180 is just a

00:46:34.740 normal military

00:46:35.660 procurement

00:46:36.960 exercise

00:46:37.860 that's working

00:46:39.240 exactly the

00:46:39.980 way you'd

00:46:40.300 want it to?

00:46:41.840 Exactly the

00:46:42.560 way you'd

00:46:42.840 want it to.

00:46:43.540 You'd want

00:46:44.160 it to be

00:46:44.560 big,

00:46:45.260 you'd want

00:46:46.120 them to

00:46:46.320 be really

00:46:46.900 active in

00:46:47.540 that space,

00:46:48.560 you'd want

00:46:49.240 them to

00:46:49.500 keep it

00:46:49.780 a secret,

00:46:50.860 but you'd

00:46:51.920 want them

00:46:52.200 to test

00:46:52.620 it,

00:46:53.380 and you'd

00:46:53.720 want them

00:46:53.980 to test

00:46:54.380 it over

00:46:54.700 something that

00:46:55.260 looked like

00:46:55.640 a real

00:46:56.120 ground.

00:47:00.080 All right.

00:47:01.640 Maybe.

00:47:02.660 We'll find

00:47:03.340 out.

00:47:08.180 So,

00:47:08.780 Trump picked

00:47:09.280 a new

00:47:09.720 surgeon

00:47:10.100 general,

00:47:11.820 Dr.

00:47:12.720 Neshiwat,

00:47:13.700 who gets

00:47:14.500 a lot of

00:47:15.020 pushback.

00:47:17.140 I guess

00:47:17.380 she had

00:47:17.660 some views

00:47:18.380 during the

00:47:18.980 pandemic

00:47:19.400 that a lot

00:47:20.680 of Republicans

00:47:21.600 would say

00:47:22.280 that was

00:47:23.380 totally wrong.

00:47:25.180 So it's

00:47:25.900 kind of a

00:47:26.240 weird choice

00:47:26.860 for

00:47:27.200 surgeon

00:47:28.320 general,

00:47:29.200 somebody

00:47:29.460 who

00:47:29.880 Republicans

00:47:31.080 think

00:47:31.500 was

00:47:32.880 seriously

00:47:33.540 wrong

00:47:33.920 about

00:47:34.120 some

00:47:34.340 pandemic

00:47:34.720 stuff.

00:47:36.380 But the

00:47:38.040 more interesting

00:47:38.620 thing is

00:47:39.320 that according

00:47:39.800 to the

00:47:40.120 Daily Mail,

00:47:41.620 she killed 0.88

00:47:42.240 her own

00:47:42.640 father

00:47:43.000 accidentally

00:47:43.560 when she

00:47:43.940 was 13.

00:47:46.400 What?

00:47:47.620 So apparently

00:47:48.520 she was

00:47:49.060 looking for

00:47:49.680 some scissors

00:47:50.420 in a closet

00:47:52.120 and

00:47:53.600 accidentally

00:47:55.860 knocked over

00:47:56.480 a box that

00:47:57.200 had a loaded

00:47:57.740 gun in it

00:47:58.500 that presumably

00:47:59.860 belonged to

00:48:00.660 her father

00:48:01.120 and the gun

00:48:02.260 discharged and

00:48:03.200 shot him in the

00:48:03.740 head and killed

00:48:04.240 him when she

00:48:05.320 was 13.

00:48:06.800 And she's

00:48:07.500 talked about

00:48:08.020 losing her

00:48:08.620 father and

00:48:09.180 seeing him

00:48:09.620 dying and

00:48:10.080 stuff,

00:48:10.260 but she

00:48:10.560 never added

00:48:12.060 the detail

00:48:13.700 that it

00:48:15.680 may be

00:48:16.220 an accident

00:48:17.580 that she

00:48:18.200 was part

00:48:18.660 of.

00:48:19.500 It was

00:48:19.980 accidental,

00:48:20.680 of course.

00:48:21.920 Now,

00:48:22.340 I'm not sure

00:48:23.480 that should

00:48:23.880 make a

00:48:24.260 difference.

00:48:26.060 Like,

00:48:26.360 it shouldn't

00:48:26.740 make a

00:48:27.060 difference

00:48:27.360 about whether

00:48:27.840 or not

00:48:28.180 she's... 1.00

00:48:29.580 Is there

00:48:32.040 any...

00:48:32.360 There's no

00:48:33.220 approval process

00:48:34.100 for the

00:48:34.500 surgeon general,

00:48:35.200 right?

00:48:35.940 Surgeon general

00:48:36.720 doesn't need

00:48:37.360 any congressional

00:48:38.600 approval.

00:48:39.020 approval?

00:48:40.500 Is that

00:48:41.100 true?

00:48:41.740 I'm assuming.

00:48:42.740 It doesn't

00:48:43.100 seem like it's

00:48:43.600 that important

00:48:44.000 of a job.

00:48:46.580 Anyway.

00:48:48.600 I don't know.

00:48:49.360 There's not

00:48:49.640 much to that

00:48:50.080 story except

00:48:50.620 it's kind of

00:48:51.100 fascinating.

00:48:52.560 Let's talk

00:48:53.240 about the

00:48:53.740 healthcare

00:48:54.400 hitman.

00:48:56.660 We're hearing

00:48:57.420 now that

00:48:58.100 law enforcement

00:48:58.960 has his

00:48:59.580 name, but

00:49:00.780 they don't

00:49:01.100 want to

00:49:01.340 release it

00:49:01.960 because then

00:49:02.580 it would

00:49:02.900 give him

00:49:03.460 knowledge that

00:49:05.740 he's caught.

00:49:06.280 correct me

00:49:08.720 if I'm

00:49:09.060 wrong, but

00:49:10.560 if you do

00:49:11.140 say publicly

00:49:11.840 that you

00:49:12.320 know the

00:49:12.840 killer's

00:49:13.340 name, isn't

00:49:14.880 he going to

00:49:15.400 act exactly

00:49:16.140 like you

00:49:16.620 know his

00:49:16.980 name?

00:49:20.140 What's the

00:49:20.720 difference if

00:49:21.220 we know his

00:49:21.840 name?

00:49:23.760 Isn't the

00:49:24.420 killer going to

00:49:24.960 act exactly

00:49:25.720 the same if

00:49:27.520 you really

00:49:27.940 know his

00:49:28.340 name or if

00:49:29.820 you tell the

00:49:30.320 public you

00:49:30.760 know his

00:49:31.120 name, but

00:49:31.780 maybe you

00:49:32.140 don't?

00:49:32.960 He's going

00:49:33.280 to act exactly

00:49:33.920 the same,

00:49:34.400 you know

00:49:35.800 maximum

00:49:36.180 effort to

00:49:37.000 remain, you

00:49:38.420 know, hidden.

00:49:40.840 So I'm not

00:49:41.680 sure they have

00:49:42.100 a real name,

00:49:42.700 but they say

00:49:43.100 that.

00:49:43.720 Apparently he

00:49:44.200 had multiple

00:49:44.720 jackets.

00:49:45.580 I think he

00:49:45.980 had a jacket

00:49:47.420 in a backpack

00:49:48.160 and he had a

00:49:49.120 different jacket

00:49:49.800 in a cab.

00:49:51.180 How many

00:49:51.540 winter jackets

00:49:52.820 does this one

00:49:53.520 guy have who

00:49:54.500 was staying in

00:49:55.000 a hostel and

00:49:55.680 only had maybe

00:49:57.320 one backpack?

00:49:58.940 And he had

00:49:59.240 three big

00:50:00.120 winter jackets?

00:50:01.980 So it could

00:50:03.900 be that maybe

00:50:04.520 he had a

00:50:04.980 place where

00:50:05.540 he stored

00:50:06.220 an extra

00:50:06.760 winter jacket

00:50:07.500 just so he'd

00:50:08.840 have one that

00:50:09.480 doesn't look

00:50:10.040 like the one

00:50:10.480 he did the

00:50:10.860 murder in.

00:50:12.060 So maybe he

00:50:12.480 had an extra

00:50:12.980 jacket play.

00:50:14.320 Could be.

00:50:16.720 But because

00:50:17.680 humans are

00:50:18.620 terrible, in

00:50:19.320 New York

00:50:19.620 City there

00:50:20.820 was an

00:50:21.360 event, an

00:50:22.260 organized event

00:50:23.160 where people

00:50:24.560 dressed like

00:50:25.380 the shooter

00:50:26.380 because the

00:50:28.560 shooter had a

00:50:29.120 winter jacket

00:50:29.840 and a mask

00:50:30.620 on.

00:50:30.820 So people

00:50:31.920 did a

00:50:33.360 CEO shooter

00:50:34.440 lookalike

00:50:34.980 competition in

00:50:35.920 Washington

00:50:36.300 Square Park

00:50:36.980 in New York

00:50:37.420 City, which

00:50:40.860 is terrible,

00:50:42.080 terrible taste.

00:50:44.720 And apparently

00:50:45.360 there's some

00:50:45.880 playlist on

00:50:46.640 Spotify which

00:50:48.220 is for people

00:50:48.860 who want to

00:50:49.300 celebrate the

00:50:50.000 CEO shooter

00:50:50.860 because it's

00:50:52.640 got some

00:50:52.980 songs that

00:50:53.640 the title of

00:50:54.360 the song

00:50:54.760 somehow seem

00:50:56.520 to indicate

00:50:57.260 they're related

00:50:57.980 to the story

00:50:58.600 but are not.

00:50:59.160 And then

00:51:00.420 we hear that

00:51:01.800 the backpack

00:51:02.400 that they

00:51:03.000 found in

00:51:03.460 the park

00:51:04.020 might have

00:51:05.620 one protein

00:51:06.860 bar or

00:51:07.360 something that

00:51:07.880 they think

00:51:08.240 he bought.

00:51:09.200 He bought

00:51:09.780 two of them

00:51:10.280 but one was

00:51:10.840 in there.

00:51:11.360 But there

00:51:11.880 was monopoly

00:51:12.640 money and a

00:51:13.500 jacket in

00:51:14.020 there.

00:51:15.200 Why was

00:51:15.680 there monopoly

00:51:16.320 money in

00:51:17.020 there?

00:51:18.260 Why was

00:51:19.060 there monopoly

00:51:19.600 money in

00:51:20.160 there?

00:51:21.760 Can anybody

00:51:22.660 come up with

00:51:23.340 any hypothesis

00:51:25.820 for monopoly

00:51:27.620 money?

00:51:29.540 All right.

00:51:30.480 Let me take

00:51:31.340 it to the

00:51:31.700 next level.

00:51:33.560 So the

00:51:34.120 speculation is

00:51:35.120 that somebody

00:51:35.600 who may be

00:51:36.660 mad about

00:51:37.380 how a

00:51:37.980 client of

00:51:39.400 this healthcare

00:51:39.960 insurance company

00:51:40.800 was treated,

00:51:41.740 maybe a loved

00:51:42.380 one or something

00:51:42.980 or maybe hired

00:51:43.860 by somebody

00:51:44.400 who was mad

00:51:45.180 about it.

00:51:47.700 And

00:51:48.060 so that's

00:51:52.280 one possibility.

00:51:53.880 It's just

00:51:54.660 somebody hired.

00:51:55.820 But if

00:51:59.100 the person

00:52:00.260 was trying

00:52:00.800 to send

00:52:01.240 a signal

00:52:02.180 and it

00:52:03.120 was an

00:52:03.420 activist,

00:52:04.540 and let's

00:52:04.980 say, let's

00:52:05.640 just go down

00:52:06.180 this hypothesis,

00:52:07.500 let's say it

00:52:08.000 was somebody

00:52:08.440 who really,

00:52:09.340 really wanted

00:52:09.820 the world

00:52:10.380 to pay

00:52:10.780 attention.

00:52:12.140 It's somebody

00:52:12.860 who didn't

00:52:13.400 just want

00:52:14.020 to kill

00:52:14.320 one guy

00:52:15.000 but wanted

00:52:16.500 the whole

00:52:16.900 world to

00:52:17.400 pay attention

00:52:17.960 and wanted

00:52:18.820 to make

00:52:19.120 a statement.

00:52:21.940 Does it

00:52:22.580 make sense

00:52:23.100 that that

00:52:23.700 person would

00:52:24.380 engrave the

00:52:25.420 bullet?

00:52:26.540 with

00:52:26.940 delay,

00:52:28.480 deny,

00:52:29.200 whatever the

00:52:29.620 third word

00:52:30.000 is,

00:52:30.500 because that's

00:52:31.400 the title

00:52:32.000 of a book

00:52:32.460 that's

00:52:32.880 anti-healthcare

00:52:33.980 insurance.

00:52:35.060 So that would

00:52:35.860 make sense

00:52:36.400 if it's an

00:52:37.120 activist.

00:52:38.600 If it's

00:52:39.040 somebody who

00:52:39.440 just wanted

00:52:39.840 that one

00:52:40.320 guy dead

00:52:40.940 and it

00:52:42.160 wasn't so

00:52:42.580 much about

00:52:43.040 the larger

00:52:43.580 picture,

00:52:44.300 I don't

00:52:44.620 think he

00:52:44.940 would have

00:52:45.220 engraved

00:52:45.700 anything,

00:52:46.300 unless it

00:52:47.140 was part

00:52:47.460 of getting

00:52:47.780 away with it,

00:52:48.300 I suppose.

00:52:48.660 but what

00:52:52.420 about the

00:52:52.840 fact that

00:52:53.300 he used

00:52:53.840 what is

00:52:54.620 reportedly,

00:52:55.400 we don't

00:52:55.800 know this

00:52:56.160 for sure,

00:52:56.820 could turn

00:52:57.320 out this

00:52:57.680 is wrong,

00:52:58.460 but reportedly

00:52:59.300 he used

00:53:02.460 a veterinarian's

00:53:03.820 gun,

00:53:05.460 which is

00:53:05.920 meant to

00:53:06.780 put the

00:53:07.160 gun right

00:53:07.580 up basically

00:53:08.340 to the

00:53:08.980 cow or

00:53:10.480 the horse's

00:53:11.100 head and

00:53:12.300 just put a

00:53:12.820 big bullet in

00:53:14.560 it through

00:53:14.900 a silencer,

00:53:16.560 the silencer

00:53:17.220 so it

00:53:17.640 doesn't scare

00:53:18.540 the other

00:53:18.920 livestock.

00:53:20.260 But it's

00:53:20.680 not very

00:53:21.020 accurate.

00:53:22.220 So if you

00:53:22.900 were going

00:53:23.100 to be a

00:53:23.460 killer and

00:53:24.460 you chose

00:53:25.500 one of the

00:53:27.580 least accurate

00:53:28.500 methods of

00:53:29.420 doing it,

00:53:30.700 it seems like

00:53:31.580 you did it

00:53:32.000 to make a

00:53:32.440 point.

00:53:33.760 What would

00:53:34.500 be the

00:53:34.800 point?

00:53:36.160 Well,

00:53:37.000 you can

00:53:37.680 imagine that

00:53:38.440 the point

00:53:38.820 was that

00:53:40.080 the healthcare

00:53:40.680 insurance

00:53:41.240 company had

00:53:43.080 treated its

00:53:43.840 customers,

00:53:44.560 like animals

00:53:45.260 or perhaps

00:53:47.820 perhaps the

00:53:49.920 healthcare had

00:53:51.560 said you

00:53:52.080 can't have

00:53:52.600 this medicine,

00:53:53.320 we won't

00:53:53.740 approve it,

00:53:54.580 and then they

00:53:55.420 had to go to

00:53:55.940 a veterinarian

00:53:56.740 like Ivermectin

00:53:57.960 and get the

00:53:59.020 veterinarian

00:53:59.700 version of

00:54:00.640 the human

00:54:01.420 medicine.

00:54:03.580 Do you think

00:54:04.340 anybody ever

00:54:04.820 had to do

00:54:05.240 that?

00:54:06.760 Have you ever

00:54:07.520 heard of

00:54:07.840 anybody who

00:54:08.400 had to get

00:54:08.880 veterinarian

00:54:09.800 medicine because

00:54:11.320 their healthcare

00:54:11.860 network wouldn't

00:54:12.920 give it to

00:54:13.300 them?

00:54:13.440 Yes,

00:54:14.360 you have.

00:54:15.220 That's the

00:54:15.620 thing.

00:54:16.720 There were

00:54:17.500 people who

00:54:18.020 used veterinarian

00:54:19.620 medicine because

00:54:21.200 their healthcare

00:54:21.720 wouldn't give

00:54:22.220 them what they

00:54:22.680 thought they

00:54:23.100 needed.

00:54:24.420 So is the

00:54:26.020 choice of a

00:54:26.680 veterinarian's

00:54:27.420 gun sending

00:54:29.100 a signal that

00:54:30.740 he wants to

00:54:31.380 treat this

00:54:31.900 person like an

00:54:32.600 animal because

00:54:34.340 this person

00:54:35.480 treated customers

00:54:36.980 like an animal?

00:54:37.660 I'm not

00:54:38.540 saying he

00:54:38.980 did.

00:54:39.240 There's no

00:54:39.580 evidence of

00:54:40.160 that.

00:54:41.080 I'm saying

00:54:41.700 if you're

00:54:42.040 looking for

00:54:42.640 was there

00:54:43.640 some kind

00:54:44.020 of larger

00:54:44.440 activist

00:54:44.960 message,

00:54:46.260 I would

00:54:47.080 look at the

00:54:47.540 choice of

00:54:48.000 weapon.

00:54:49.120 I would

00:54:49.420 look at the

00:54:49.800 engraving.

00:54:50.340 but is

00:54:55.100 there anything

00:54:55.380 else that

00:54:55.940 would suggest

00:54:56.560 oh,

00:54:57.400 then the

00:54:58.600 monopoly money

00:54:59.500 in the

00:54:59.840 backpack.

00:55:00.180 The monopoly

00:55:03.280 money in the

00:55:03.920 backpack might

00:55:05.400 be, since

00:55:06.940 obviously the

00:55:08.340 backpack was

00:55:09.060 meant to be

00:55:09.620 discovered, I

00:55:11.180 assume he

00:55:11.640 always assumed

00:55:12.300 he would get

00:55:12.720 rid of the

00:55:13.040 backpack.

00:55:14.420 So if it

00:55:14.800 was meant to

00:55:15.300 be discovered,

00:55:16.400 what message

00:55:17.540 would he be

00:55:18.040 sending by

00:55:18.640 putting money

00:55:19.280 in it that's

00:55:19.840 not real

00:55:20.260 money?

00:55:22.680 Maybe it's

00:55:23.680 about the

00:55:24.860 money.

00:55:26.580 Maybe it's

00:55:27.520 a statement

00:55:27.960 about the

00:55:28.800 healthcare

00:55:29.360 insurance

00:55:30.000 company

00:55:30.480 being more

00:55:32.740 about money

00:55:33.380 than clients.

00:55:35.380 Maybe.

00:55:36.700 Because what

00:55:37.340 would be the

00:55:37.820 other reason

00:55:38.300 for having

00:55:38.760 monopoly money

00:55:39.640 in a

00:55:39.940 backpack?

00:55:40.580 It's not

00:55:40.920 like he had

00:55:41.320 a monopoly

00:55:41.720 game in

00:55:42.300 there, just

00:55:43.280 the monopoly

00:55:43.780 money.

00:55:44.720 It's not

00:55:45.320 like he was

00:55:45.800 going to

00:55:46.040 spend it.

00:55:47.860 So can

00:55:49.080 you think of

00:55:49.640 any other

00:55:50.180 reason it

00:55:50.620 would be

00:55:50.880 there other

00:55:52.480 than to

00:55:52.880 send a

00:55:53.220 message?

00:55:55.400 There's no

00:55:56.000 obvious reason

00:55:57.340 I can think

00:55:57.820 of.

00:55:58.120 It had to

00:55:58.540 be a

00:55:58.760 message.

00:55:59.060 So if

00:56:00.280 the

00:56:00.540 veterinarian

00:56:01.300 gun is

00:56:01.700 a

00:56:01.840 message

00:56:02.260 and the

00:56:04.080 monopoly

00:56:06.140 money is

00:56:06.900 a way to

00:56:07.380 say follow

00:56:07.960 the money,

00:56:09.720 it might be

00:56:10.680 a message to

00:56:11.400 law enforcement.

00:56:12.960 Follow the

00:56:13.380 money.

00:56:14.620 Right?

00:56:16.080 You wouldn't

00:56:16.600 want to put

00:56:17.000 it in a

00:56:17.400 note, like a

00:56:18.600 handwritten

00:56:19.020 note or

00:56:19.440 anything, because

00:56:19.900 that would be

00:56:20.220 more evidence

00:56:20.820 to his

00:56:21.160 identity.

00:56:21.580 But if you

00:56:22.580 just bought

00:56:23.080 some monopoly

00:56:23.820 money and

00:56:24.680 you stuck it

00:56:25.260 in your

00:56:25.480 bag, law

00:56:26.980 enforcement

00:56:27.560 probably should

00:56:28.760 come up with

00:56:29.340 a theory that

00:56:29.940 that was

00:56:30.240 meant as a

00:56:30.940 message.

00:56:32.320 And the

00:56:32.900 message is

00:56:33.620 it's something

00:56:35.220 about money.

00:56:36.700 Now, that

00:56:37.440 would not

00:56:37.960 suggest that

00:56:39.180 the hitman was

00:56:40.000 a paid hitman,

00:56:41.260 because a

00:56:42.060 paid hitman

00:56:42.600 would not tell

00:56:43.260 you, hey, I'm

00:56:43.740 a paid hitman,

00:56:44.720 because that

00:56:46.260 would, again,

00:56:46.720 help you narrow

00:56:47.380 it down to

00:56:48.020 possible suspects.

00:56:49.760 So if you

00:56:52.780 weren't a

00:56:53.140 paid hitman,

00:56:54.700 then the

00:56:55.060 monopoly money

00:56:55.780 presumably would

00:56:56.920 be a message

00:56:57.460 that says,

00:56:58.600 follow the

00:56:59.060 money.

00:57:01.320 So it

00:57:02.000 could be

00:57:02.660 that the

00:57:04.280 shooter believes

00:57:05.320 that the

00:57:06.080 victim was

00:57:08.360 up to no

00:57:08.900 good, because

00:57:09.740 I think there

00:57:10.220 were some

00:57:10.500 other charges,

00:57:11.400 maybe some

00:57:11.820 insider trading

00:57:13.080 charge that

00:57:13.760 was speculated

00:57:15.120 about, but I

00:57:15.820 don't have any

00:57:16.320 evidence of

00:57:17.000 that.

00:57:19.760 It could

00:57:22.840 be that

00:57:24.140 because he

00:57:24.660 thinks healthcare

00:57:25.380 has some

00:57:25.960 kind of a

00:57:26.400 monopoly, that

00:57:28.260 he's making a

00:57:29.180 statement about

00:57:29.880 the free market

00:57:31.280 is not working

00:57:32.220 because there's

00:57:34.800 a monopoly.

00:57:36.060 Maybe.

00:57:37.660 So, who

00:57:39.000 knows?

00:57:40.640 We'll keep

00:57:41.680 an eye on

00:57:42.600 that.

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00:58:42.960 So the ACLU

00:58:44.960 is trying to

00:58:48.640 reverse the

00:58:49.680 decision that

00:58:51.140 I guess

00:58:51.620 the higher court

00:58:52.860 said that

00:58:53.820 TikTok would

00:58:54.460 remain,

00:58:55.120 would be banned

00:58:55.900 in January,

00:58:56.700 unless something

00:58:57.260 changes.

00:58:58.940 And the ACLU

00:59:00.520 says that

00:59:01.220 banning TikTok

00:59:02.340 blatantly violates

00:59:03.580 the First Amendment

00:59:04.380 rights of millions

00:59:05.380 of people,

00:59:06.500 blah, blah.

00:59:06.740 Now, remember

00:59:08.080 I was saying

00:59:08.540 that

00:59:09.500 Jon Stewart

00:59:12.160 and Bernie

00:59:12.760 were kind of

00:59:14.280 saying,

00:59:15.280 what about

00:59:15.500 common sense?

00:59:16.480 Why can't we

00:59:16.980 just have

00:59:17.340 common sense

00:59:18.020 opinions

00:59:18.720 that our own

00:59:19.860 team attacks us?

00:59:21.300 What exactly

00:59:22.120 would be the

00:59:22.960 common sense

00:59:23.940 of fighting

00:59:26.020 against the

00:59:26.760 government of

00:59:27.400 the United States,

00:59:28.860 you know,

00:59:29.080 an elected

00:59:30.320 government

00:59:30.880 who looked

00:59:33.300 at all the

00:59:33.760 details and said,

00:59:34.560 you know what,

00:59:35.000 we've got lots

00:59:35.680 of free speech

00:59:36.420 platforms,

00:59:37.420 but there's

00:59:38.140 one that's

00:59:38.620 special because

00:59:39.740 of the China

00:59:40.380 connection,

00:59:41.540 and we need

00:59:42.160 to limit that

00:59:42.820 one.

00:59:43.580 It's not about

00:59:44.260 the other

00:59:44.640 platforms,

00:59:45.580 it's about

00:59:46.620 one.

00:59:47.700 Do you think

00:59:48.120 this is really

00:59:48.740 a free speech

00:59:49.540 question?

00:59:50.800 Now, I get

00:59:51.560 that taking

00:59:53.740 TikTok out

00:59:54.960 of America

00:59:55.480 would reduce

00:59:56.740 your free

00:59:57.180 speech,

00:59:57.780 but remember,

00:59:59.440 the deal

00:59:59.800 allows them

01:00:00.480 to sell it

01:00:01.120 to an

01:00:01.460 American

01:00:01.760 company.

01:00:03.500 So all

01:00:04.200 the Chinese

01:00:05.140 owned

01:00:05.700 company has

01:00:06.320 to do

01:00:06.740 of TikTok

01:00:07.560 is they

01:00:08.880 have to

01:00:09.120 sell just

01:00:09.640 the American

01:00:10.200 business to

01:00:10.920 an American

01:00:11.380 entity,

01:00:11.820 and then

01:00:12.880 there would

01:00:13.140 be all

01:00:13.780 the free

01:00:14.380 speech in

01:00:14.780 the world.

01:00:16.620 So the

01:00:18.220 government

01:00:18.580 found what

01:00:19.340 I consider

01:00:20.000 a completely

01:00:20.820 common sense

01:00:21.800 solution,

01:00:23.000 which is if

01:00:23.980 you like the

01:00:24.460 product,

01:00:25.260 here's a way

01:00:25.960 to keep it.

01:00:26.720 You just have

01:00:27.180 to keep the

01:00:27.600 data and the

01:00:28.500 management in

01:00:29.000 the United

01:00:29.280 States so

01:00:30.260 nothing happens

01:00:30.980 to free

01:00:31.360 speech.

01:00:31.720 there's an

01:00:33.100 option,

01:00:34.060 but also

01:00:34.720 showing that

01:00:36.200 a non-American

01:00:37.380 owned,

01:00:38.020 adversary

01:00:38.480 owned company

01:00:39.820 with that

01:00:40.260 much influence

01:00:40.960 is probably

01:00:41.580 not safe.

01:00:43.740 So why

01:00:44.380 would the

01:00:44.700 ACLU,

01:00:45.840 who presumably

01:00:46.760 has a million

01:00:47.880 things that they

01:00:48.600 could be doing,

01:00:49.940 why would they

01:00:50.440 pick this

01:00:51.160 of all things?

01:00:54.140 Because it's

01:00:54.820 not really

01:00:55.360 supporting

01:00:56.840 common sense,

01:00:57.680 and I

01:00:58.140 would argue

01:00:58.600 it's not

01:00:59.500 even really

01:01:00.040 supporting any

01:01:02.020 right that

01:01:03.820 Americans care

01:01:04.540 about.

01:01:05.980 Do Americans 0.94

01:01:06.820 care that

01:01:08.280 they also

01:01:08.920 have a

01:01:09.580 Chinese-owned

01:01:11.260 platform?

01:01:14.040 If they have

01:01:14.960 plenty of

01:01:15.380 platforms,

01:01:16.980 I mean,

01:01:17.220 Blue Sky

01:01:17.680 just launched

01:01:18.540 and Zuckerberg

01:01:20.820 did his own

01:01:21.660 Twitter copy,

01:01:24.080 et cetera.

01:01:26.100 And

01:01:27.680 I'm seeing

01:01:29.220 people in the

01:01:29.720 comments suggest

01:01:30.480 that the

01:01:30.980 firearm used

01:01:32.500 by the

01:01:33.200 health care

01:01:34.480 hitman was

01:01:35.680 not necessarily

01:01:36.420 a veterinarian's

01:01:37.640 gun,

01:01:38.080 and I agree

01:01:38.580 with that.

01:01:39.300 It was

01:01:39.560 definitely not

01:01:40.620 confirmed.

01:01:41.960 And the

01:01:42.500 gun experts

01:01:43.300 seemed to be

01:01:43.820 all over the

01:01:44.320 place,

01:01:45.300 that they

01:01:45.960 were all

01:01:46.280 over the

01:01:46.600 place on

01:01:47.020 what was

01:01:47.600 happening,

01:01:48.180 was it a

01:01:48.620 jam,

01:01:49.140 and was it

01:01:49.600 just the

01:01:50.560 way he had

01:01:51.020 to add

01:01:51.440 bullets?

01:01:52.720 Anyway,

01:01:53.180 but back to

01:01:53.600 this.

01:01:55.460 I was trying

01:01:56.060 to understand

01:01:56.660 why the

01:01:57.020 ACLU,

01:01:57.680 was acting

01:01:58.500 in a way

01:01:58.860 that didn't

01:01:59.280 seem

01:01:59.600 commonsensical,

01:02:01.160 and so I

01:02:01.700 said,

01:02:02.100 well,

01:02:02.620 it's probably

01:02:04.080 one of two

01:02:04.700 things.

01:02:05.960 It's either

01:02:06.820 funded by

01:02:08.340 somebody who

01:02:09.040 always does

01:02:09.600 bad things,

01:02:10.720 such as

01:02:11.800 Soros,

01:02:12.580 or the

01:02:14.060 management

01:02:14.480 has a

01:02:15.000 DEI

01:02:15.400 problem.

01:02:17.700 So at

01:02:18.060 first I

01:02:18.520 searched to

01:02:19.060 find out how

01:02:19.580 the ACLU

01:02:20.260 is funded,

01:02:21.220 and it's a

01:02:22.820 little sketchy,

01:02:23.920 but it looks

01:02:24.260 like mostly

01:02:24.820 by members,

01:02:25.960 which would

01:02:27.060 be a good

01:02:27.660 situation.

01:02:28.760 So in

01:02:28.980 other words,

01:02:29.700 individual people

01:02:31.380 paying their

01:02:32.020 annual dues

01:02:32.920 is funding it.

01:02:34.980 I think there

01:02:35.480 are some

01:02:35.720 foundations,

01:02:36.520 but mostly

01:02:37.220 the members.

01:02:38.880 And so I

01:02:40.080 thought,

01:02:40.300 oh,

01:02:40.580 okay,

01:02:41.560 at least

01:02:42.060 it's not

01:02:42.540 like the

01:02:43.500 Soros 0.94

01:02:43.920 organization

01:02:44.560 trying to

01:02:45.140 destroy America

01:02:45.980 or anything.

01:02:46.360 so I

01:02:47.300 eliminated

01:02:47.780 from my

01:02:48.840 possibilities

01:02:49.420 of what's

01:02:49.960 going on

01:02:50.580 that they

01:02:51.600 were being

01:02:51.880 funded by

01:02:52.460 somebody

01:02:52.760 nefarious.

01:02:54.340 Now,

01:02:54.660 as far as

01:02:55.120 I can tell,

01:02:55.600 there's no

01:02:56.020 nefarious

01:02:56.580 funding.

01:02:57.940 So then I

01:02:58.320 looked up

01:02:58.660 the leader,

01:02:59.500 and the

01:02:59.740 leader of

01:03:00.240 the ACLU

01:03:00.880 is Deborah

01:03:01.740 Archer,

01:03:02.500 who is a

01:03:03.260 black woman. 0.99

01:03:04.800 Now,

01:03:05.340 there is no

01:03:06.100 evidence

01:03:06.540 whatsoever

01:03:07.080 that she's

01:03:07.820 not fully

01:03:08.460 qualified for

01:03:09.240 the job.

01:03:10.760 However,

01:03:11.820 in the

01:03:13.280 context of

01:03:14.000 DEI,

01:03:14.580 what should

01:03:16.200 have happened

01:03:16.720 and is

01:03:17.280 observably

01:03:18.080 true is

01:03:19.300 that when

01:03:19.700 you lose

01:03:20.160 the focus

01:03:20.680 on capability

01:03:23.280 and you

01:03:24.320 start focusing

01:03:25.080 on identity,

01:03:26.240 what should

01:03:27.160 happen is

01:03:28.200 massive

01:03:28.800 incompetence

01:03:29.800 in all of

01:03:31.120 our public

01:03:32.620 and private

01:03:33.540 domains.

01:03:34.940 It should

01:03:35.780 make everything

01:03:36.620 work worse,

01:03:37.880 and not

01:03:38.420 because of

01:03:38.860 anybody's

01:03:39.340 color,

01:03:40.700 not because

01:03:41.260 of anybody's

01:03:41.960 gender,

01:03:42.740 sexual

01:03:43.080 preference,

01:03:43.720 genes,

01:03:45.340 nothing about

01:03:45.940 that.

01:03:46.960 It's simply

01:03:47.640 that if you

01:03:48.240 constrain

01:03:48.880 your candidates

01:03:50.700 to they must

01:03:51.500 be a certain

01:03:51.960 kind,

01:03:52.800 you're not

01:03:53.220 going to be

01:03:53.440 able to get

01:03:53.840 as many

01:03:54.260 choices.

01:03:55.200 If you

01:03:55.660 have fewer

01:03:56.040 choices,

01:03:56.860 your odds

01:03:57.240 of getting

01:03:57.540 the right

01:03:57.880 person in

01:03:58.360 the right

01:03:58.560 job go

01:03:59.080 way down.

01:04:00.620 So my

01:04:02.740 prediction

01:04:03.120 was I

01:04:03.640 would find

01:04:04.020 one of

01:04:04.440 two things

01:04:05.040 wrong with

01:04:05.480 the ACLU.

01:04:06.880 Either they

01:04:07.540 had a

01:04:08.320 DEI

01:04:08.860 problem,

01:04:09.380 which is

01:04:09.740 not confirmed,

01:04:11.000 because again,

01:04:12.440 Deborah Archer might 0.77

01:04:13.420 be the

01:04:13.860 very best

01:04:14.320 person who

01:04:14.800 could be

01:04:15.040 in that

01:04:15.280 job.

01:04:16.080 I don't

01:04:16.400 know one

01:04:16.680 way or

01:04:16.940 the other.

01:04:17.980 I'm saying

01:04:18.460 that if you

01:04:19.040 have a

01:04:19.440 worldview that

01:04:21.600 predicts,

01:04:23.260 don't ignore

01:04:25.220 that.

01:04:26.980 So I had a

01:04:27.920 worldview that

01:04:28.620 said it's one

01:04:29.120 of these two

01:04:29.660 things,

01:04:30.660 and when I

01:04:31.140 saw that it

01:04:31.560 wasn't the

01:04:32.000 funding,

01:04:32.500 as far as I

01:04:33.000 can tell,

01:04:34.300 but the

01:04:35.180 DEI thing

01:04:35.920 just blazingly

01:04:37.660 stands out as

01:04:38.760 the obvious

01:04:39.180 next possibility,

01:04:40.720 again,

01:04:41.300 not confirmed.

01:04:42.100 she might 0.99

01:04:43.460 be the

01:04:43.760 very best

01:04:44.200 person who

01:04:44.640 could ever

01:04:44.980 be in

01:04:45.260 this job.

01:04:46.920 But the

01:04:48.760 fact that

01:04:49.260 it's

01:04:49.900 predictable,

01:04:52.320 the prediction

01:04:53.420 part is the

01:04:54.280 closest you

01:04:54.860 can get to

01:04:55.400 knowing what's

01:04:55.860 real.

01:04:57.420 I'm not sure

01:04:58.200 any of us

01:04:58.740 are accurately

01:05:00.580 interpreting

01:05:01.380 reality.

01:05:02.540 I mean,

01:05:02.740 we all seem

01:05:03.200 to be living

01:05:03.700 in our own

01:05:04.140 realities,

01:05:05.140 but some

01:05:05.680 of them

01:05:05.960 predict.

01:05:07.660 And I

01:05:08.180 tell you this

01:05:08.640 all the time,

01:05:09.080 if you

01:05:10.660 can predict,

01:05:12.000 then probably

01:05:14.260 you're closer

01:05:14.880 to reality,

01:05:15.580 or at least

01:05:16.220 you have

01:05:16.460 something that

01:05:16.960 you can work

01:05:17.500 with better

01:05:18.020 for your own

01:05:19.020 survival.

01:05:19.960 So that was

01:05:20.520 my prediction,

01:05:21.700 and it's a

01:05:22.480 one-off,

01:05:23.040 so it's not

01:05:23.400 like a

01:05:23.720 scientific

01:05:24.020 study,

01:05:24.780 but see

01:05:26.440 how many

01:05:26.760 times you

01:05:27.180 can predict

01:05:27.860 that DEI

01:05:28.940 or the

01:05:29.640 source of

01:05:30.120 funding

01:05:30.480 would be

01:05:32.000 the problem

01:05:32.520 behind some

01:05:33.340 larger issue

01:05:34.840 that you

01:05:35.220 don't

01:05:35.680 understand.

01:05:36.180 Meanwhile,

01:05:41.460 Cenk Weeger

01:05:42.780 is,

01:05:44.740 according to

01:05:45.220 the Daily

01:05:45.720 Caller News

01:05:46.600 Foundation,

01:05:47.900 he's saying

01:05:48.580 that the

01:05:49.020 Democrats

01:05:49.380 focusing on

01:05:50.220 identity

01:05:50.760 politics

01:05:51.500 has damaged

01:05:52.220 the party's

01:05:52.920 brand.

01:05:55.320 He is

01:05:56.260 correct.

01:05:57.980 That has

01:05:58.880 damaged

01:05:59.280 the party's

01:06:01.180 brand,

01:06:01.700 so much

01:06:02.320 so that I

01:06:03.160 think it's

01:06:03.700 unrecoverable.

01:06:06.180 Because once

01:06:07.060 you make

01:06:07.440 everybody

01:06:07.880 focus on

01:06:08.560 their

01:06:08.720 identity,

01:06:10.440 you

01:06:10.680 necessarily,

01:06:12.140 in the

01:06:12.540 long term,

01:06:13.220 you're going

01:06:13.480 to lose

01:06:13.780 the ability

01:06:14.280 to have

01:06:15.540 them function

01:06:16.140 as one

01:06:16.740 coherent

01:06:17.220 group,

01:06:18.020 because you've

01:06:19.860 persuaded them

01:06:20.640 to not think

01:06:21.220 that way.

01:06:22.580 So in

01:06:23.040 theory,

01:06:23.440 they should

01:06:23.760 eat each

01:06:24.140 other

01:06:24.460 forever,

01:06:26.260 whereas the

01:06:27.460 Republicans are

01:06:28.460 going for the

01:06:28.920 opposite theory,

01:06:30.640 which is,

01:06:31.320 how about we

01:06:31.780 just say,

01:06:32.660 are you an

01:06:33.200 American who

01:06:33.860 likes to

01:06:34.840 follow the

01:06:35.380 law?

01:06:36.520 Yes.

01:06:37.360 Oh,

01:06:37.660 you're

01:06:37.840 perfect.

01:06:38.860 We're done

01:06:39.300 here.

01:06:40.160 There's nothing

01:06:40.780 else we need

01:06:41.320 to discuss.

01:06:42.680 You're an

01:06:43.260 American,

01:06:43.740 I'm an

01:06:44.080 American,

01:06:44.560 you like

01:06:44.900 the law,

01:06:45.480 I like

01:06:45.800 the same

01:06:46.120 law,

01:06:46.980 we're good.

01:06:48.680 So the

01:06:49.120 Republicans

01:06:49.520 have built

01:06:50.100 a process,

01:06:52.340 a system,

01:06:53.260 which can

01:06:54.480 get stronger

01:06:55.180 indefinitely.

01:06:56.880 The Democrats

01:06:57.620 built a

01:06:58.140 system,

01:06:58.600 which even

01:06:58.980 on paper,

01:07:00.220 should have

01:07:00.760 destroyed itself

01:07:01.840 in a few

01:07:03.360 years.

01:07:03.760 And that's

01:07:05.180 what we

01:07:05.500 observed.

01:07:07.080 It was

01:07:07.400 very predictable.

01:07:10.220 And

01:07:10.520 furthermore,

01:07:11.320 I predict

01:07:11.760 that they

01:07:12.100 can't recover

01:07:12.760 at a

01:07:14.240 national level.

01:07:15.700 They'll

01:07:15.840 still win

01:07:16.220 all their

01:07:16.540 local races,

01:07:18.540 just identity

01:07:19.120 politics is all

01:07:19.920 you need.

01:07:20.580 But at the

01:07:21.020 federal level,

01:07:22.100 I don't see

01:07:24.180 them becoming

01:07:24.680 competitive for

01:07:26.220 a long time.

01:07:27.640 Unless the

01:07:28.340 Republicans ran

01:07:29.160 a complete

01:07:30.080 loser.

01:07:31.500 And somehow

01:07:32.020 the Democrats

01:07:32.680 got some

01:07:33.180 new superstar

01:07:34.380 kind of

01:07:35.920 talent with

01:07:36.460 a lot of

01:07:36.760 charisma.

01:07:40.400 I'm stuck

01:07:41.160 in boomer

01:07:41.840 truth regime.

01:07:43.580 Well,

01:07:44.100 you're kind

01:07:44.540 of an

01:07:44.760 asshole.

01:07:45.780 So let

01:07:46.340 me tell

01:07:46.880 you what

01:07:47.220 makes you

01:07:47.600 look like

01:07:47.920 an asshole 0.90

01:07:48.420 in the

01:07:48.740 comments.

01:07:50.120 When you

01:07:50.720 make a

01:07:51.120 comment about

01:07:52.300 my identity,

01:07:53.480 when I'm

01:07:55.880 telling you

01:07:56.320 that that's

01:07:56.680 a fucking 0.88

01:07:57.220 loser way

01:07:58.200 to look at

01:07:58.660 the world,

01:07:59.160 so there's

01:08:03.800 that.

01:08:04.880 Anyway,

01:08:05.520 here's a

01:08:06.960 story you've

01:08:07.540 heard before,

01:08:08.320 but it

01:08:09.420 blows my

01:08:09.940 mind every

01:08:10.460 time I

01:08:12.060 hear this.

01:08:12.560 It came

01:08:12.840 up again.

01:08:14.020 So sometime,

01:08:15.360 let's see,

01:08:16.080 back in

01:08:16.420 2011,

01:08:17.600 when Josh

01:08:18.220 Shapiro,

01:08:18.920 who's now

01:08:19.260 the governor

01:08:19.700 of Pennsylvania,

01:08:20.980 was the

01:08:21.440 attorney general,

01:08:22.760 he refused

01:08:23.740 to prosecute

01:08:24.960 a case in

01:08:27.220 which there

01:08:27.620 was a

01:08:27.920 woman who 0.99

01:08:28.660 had 20

01:08:30.420 stab wounds

01:08:31.360 which was

01:08:33.300 assessed to

01:08:34.400 be suicide

01:08:35.880 and not

01:08:37.760 her,

01:08:38.260 was it a

01:08:38.820 boyfriend or

01:08:39.640 a fiance?

01:08:40.800 I can't

01:08:41.460 remember,

01:08:41.760 but there

01:08:41.980 was a guy

01:08:42.360 in her

01:08:42.600 life and

01:08:43.920 he was,

01:08:44.820 of course,

01:08:45.520 always the

01:08:46.300 first suspect

01:08:47.020 as whoever

01:08:47.580 the guy in

01:08:48.140 your life

01:08:48.460 is.

01:08:48.680 if a woman 0.96

01:08:49.180 gets killed

01:08:49.780 in a home,

01:08:52.340 the first

01:08:53.000 thing they

01:08:53.280 look for

01:08:53.740 is the

01:08:54.900 spouse or

01:08:55.700 the boyfriend,

01:08:56.780 but decided

01:08:59.020 that it was

01:08:59.640 suicide.

01:09:01.620 Now,

01:09:01.980 if I told

01:09:02.400 you that

01:09:02.720 somebody was

01:09:03.320 stabbed 20

01:09:04.920 times to

01:09:06.040 death,

01:09:07.360 would you

01:09:07.740 think that

01:09:08.160 was suicide?

01:09:09.480 I mean,

01:09:09.780 you're no

01:09:10.040 experts,

01:09:10.660 right?

01:09:11.840 But now,

01:09:12.980 part of the

01:09:13.340 story was

01:09:13.820 they said

01:09:14.220 she had

01:09:14.520 mental

01:09:14.800 problems,

01:09:15.300 which may

01:09:16.760 or may

01:09:17.000 not be

01:09:17.340 true.

01:09:18.180 But if

01:09:18.740 you were

01:09:19.160 insane,

01:09:20.940 could you

01:09:21.300 stab yourself

01:09:21.920 to death

01:09:22.320 if you

01:09:23.140 just went

01:09:23.440 nuts?

01:09:24.680 I feel

01:09:25.380 like maybe

01:09:25.980 you could.

01:09:27.100 Maybe you

01:09:27.620 could.

01:09:28.200 I mean,

01:09:28.560 if you

01:09:29.520 could commit

01:09:30.000 a hairy

01:09:30.340 carry,

01:09:31.460 where you

01:09:31.740 take a

01:09:32.120 sword and

01:09:32.680 stick it

01:09:33.180 in and

01:09:33.660 remove your

01:09:35.060 organs,

01:09:36.740 didn't the

01:09:38.140 ancient

01:09:38.520 Romans fall 0.86

01:09:39.740 on their

01:09:40.060 sword and

01:09:40.600 stuff like

01:09:41.020 that?

01:09:41.680 So,

01:09:42.260 in theory,

01:09:43.360 in theory,

01:09:44.760 you could

01:09:45.040 stab yourself

01:09:45.660 to death, 0.96

01:09:46.260 couldn't

01:09:46.440 you?

01:09:48.220 I mean,

01:09:48.600 if you

01:09:49.060 really worked

01:09:49.780 at it.

01:09:50.820 But here's

01:09:51.260 the part of

01:09:51.620 the story

01:09:52.060 that I

01:09:52.700 was saving.

01:09:55.200 Half of

01:09:55.800 the stab

01:09:56.240 marks are

01:09:56.780 on her

01:09:57.080 back and

01:09:57.740 on the

01:09:57.980 back of

01:09:58.360 her head.

01:10:01.280 I'm

01:10:01.740 willing to

01:10:02.460 go out

01:10:02.900 on a limb

01:10:03.440 and say

01:10:03.980 nobody has

01:10:05.240 ever,

01:10:05.820 ever

01:10:06.540 attempted

01:10:07.860 or succeeded

01:10:08.700 as suicide

01:10:09.540 by stabbing

01:10:10.880 themselves

01:10:11.440 in the

01:10:11.780 back.

01:10:13.640 Never.

01:10:14.120 if you

01:10:15.480 were really,

01:10:16.240 really crazy

01:10:16.900 and wanted

01:10:17.280 to kill

01:10:17.620 yourself,

01:10:18.100 even then

01:10:18.600 you wouldn't

01:10:18.940 stab yourself

01:10:19.580 in the

01:10:19.900 back,

01:10:21.080 would you?

01:10:23.520 So,

01:10:24.280 it's very

01:10:26.080 clearly a

01:10:26.800 murder.

01:10:28.660 And for

01:10:29.420 reasons that

01:10:30.040 we don't

01:10:30.420 understand,

01:10:31.380 then Attorney

01:10:32.040 General decided

01:10:33.040 to not treat

01:10:34.680 it that way.

01:10:36.140 Oh,

01:10:36.380 he was a

01:10:36.720 fiancé.

01:10:38.140 So,

01:10:38.500 it was a

01:10:38.800 fiancé.

01:10:39.200 So,

01:10:42.000 what do

01:10:42.240 you make

01:10:42.540 of that?

01:10:44.240 Do you

01:10:45.000 think that

01:10:45.360 that's

01:10:45.580 evidence that

01:10:46.400 the Attorney

01:10:47.100 General is

01:10:48.240 crooked or

01:10:50.660 incompetent or

01:10:53.040 had some

01:10:53.560 connection to

01:10:54.300 the alleged

01:10:55.320 potential

01:10:56.720 murderer?

01:10:58.320 What do you

01:10:59.000 think is

01:10:59.240 going on

01:10:59.660 there?

01:11:01.760 It's kind

01:11:02.620 of a

01:11:03.820 puzzler.

01:11:05.140 So,

01:11:05.740 I'm going

01:11:06.900 to say

01:11:07.320 that the

01:11:07.700 most likely

01:11:08.520 explanation

01:11:09.400 of this

01:11:11.340 inexplicable

01:11:12.660 situation is

01:11:14.060 that the

01:11:14.460 news is

01:11:15.080 wrong.

01:11:16.280 The news

01:11:17.080 is wrong.

01:11:17.980 So,

01:11:18.380 if you're

01:11:18.580 saying to

01:11:18.940 yourself,

01:11:19.600 well,

01:11:20.120 if these

01:11:20.560 facts are

01:11:21.100 all true,

01:11:21.840 I can't

01:11:22.400 understand

01:11:22.800 this situation,

01:11:24.100 remember we

01:11:24.760 live in a

01:11:25.180 world where

01:11:25.600 the news

01:11:25.980 is almost

01:11:26.380 always wrong.

01:11:27.780 The news

01:11:28.800 is almost

01:11:30.180 always wrong

01:11:30.880 about anything

01:11:32.060 complicated.

01:11:32.700 So,

01:11:34.080 do you

01:11:34.460 think that

01:11:34.900 if you

01:11:35.780 had a

01:11:36.140 private

01:11:36.480 conversation

01:11:37.120 with Josh

01:11:38.100 Shapiro,

01:11:39.560 do you

01:11:39.860 think you'd

01:11:40.280 say,

01:11:40.660 yeah,

01:11:41.140 you know,

01:11:42.160 half the

01:11:42.960 stat marks

01:11:43.500 were in

01:11:43.780 the back,

01:11:45.120 but I

01:11:45.700 was pretty

01:11:46.200 sure that

01:11:46.580 that sounded

01:11:47.840 like suicide

01:11:49.140 to me.

01:11:50.240 Do you

01:11:50.460 think he'd

01:11:50.780 say that?

01:11:51.840 I don't

01:11:52.420 think there's

01:11:52.740 any chance

01:11:53.200 of that.

01:11:54.220 I think

01:11:54.620 he would

01:11:54.840 say,

01:11:55.240 oh,

01:11:56.060 the thing

01:11:56.520 the news

01:11:57.080 didn't tell

01:11:57.700 you is

01:11:59.400 X.

01:12:00.640 I think.

01:12:01.560 and then

01:12:02.820 you'd

01:12:03.000 say,

01:12:03.280 oh,

01:12:03.880 that does

01:12:04.600 change it

01:12:05.040 a little

01:12:05.220 bit.

01:12:06.560 But I

01:12:07.540 don't know,

01:12:07.960 I can't

01:12:08.400 even imagine

01:12:08.900 what he

01:12:09.240 would say

01:12:09.580 that would

01:12:09.900 make it

01:12:10.220 make sense

01:12:10.680 that somebody

01:12:11.280 stabbed

01:12:11.600 themselves in

01:12:12.160 the back

01:12:12.540 multiple

01:12:13.220 times.

01:12:14.340 But I

01:12:15.880 feel like

01:12:16.400 the most

01:12:17.300 likely

01:12:17.760 explanation

01:12:18.300 is that

01:12:18.940 the news

01:12:19.900 or the

01:12:20.260 story about

01:12:20.860 it is

01:12:21.160 missing

01:12:21.580 something.

01:12:23.000 Because it

01:12:23.680 doesn't make

01:12:24.240 sense otherwise.

01:12:26.040 I don't

01:12:26.240 know.

01:12:26.940 It's a

01:12:27.160 mystery.

01:12:27.400 Scott

01:12:30.460 Presler,

01:12:31.540 you all

01:12:32.180 know him

01:12:32.640 from his

01:12:34.400 great work

01:12:34.940 in Pennsylvania,

01:12:35.960 making that

01:12:36.400 more red.

01:12:37.960 And it

01:12:38.740 says he

01:12:39.100 now wants

01:12:39.480 to take

01:12:39.840 on New

01:12:40.760 Jersey.

01:12:42.020 He wants

01:12:42.360 to flip

01:12:42.860 New Jersey

01:12:43.400 into a

01:12:44.720 red state.

01:12:46.300 And it's

01:12:47.120 not there

01:12:47.500 yet, but

01:12:48.000 he thinks

01:12:48.340 it's close

01:12:48.840 enough that

01:12:49.220 he could

01:12:49.460 push it

01:12:49.820 over the

01:12:50.060 edge.

01:12:50.740 So that's

01:12:51.420 amazing.

01:12:51.780 I guess

01:12:56.600 I have

01:12:56.900 nothing to

01:12:57.300 say about

01:12:57.640 that except

01:12:58.100 good for

01:12:59.040 you,

01:12:59.300 Scott

01:12:59.480 Presler.

01:13:00.540 I like

01:13:01.180 it when

01:13:01.380 all the

01:13:01.680 Scots are

01:13:02.140 doing well.

01:13:04.080 This is

01:13:04.240 Scott Jennings,

01:13:04.960 Scott

01:13:05.180 Presler.

01:13:07.220 All right.

01:13:08.520 Some judge,

01:13:09.640 according to

01:13:10.020 Slay News,

01:13:11.380 federal judge

01:13:12.160 has ordered

01:13:12.680 the FDA

01:13:13.460 to release

01:13:14.760 the COVID

01:13:15.320 vaccine

01:13:16.020 trial data

01:13:16.940 documents

01:13:18.320 from Pfizer

01:13:19.360 that wanted

01:13:20.960 to hide

01:13:21.400 them for

01:13:21.760 75 years.

01:13:25.480 All right.

01:13:26.220 So let's

01:13:27.040 see if you

01:13:27.380 can predict

01:13:28.040 what happens

01:13:28.860 next.

01:13:30.300 So Pfizer

01:13:31.260 wanted to

01:13:31.960 protect for

01:13:32.740 75 years

01:13:33.980 the data

01:13:35.300 about the

01:13:35.780 trial.

01:13:37.060 Their story

01:13:37.600 was it

01:13:38.460 just takes

01:13:38.900 that long

01:13:39.420 to vet

01:13:40.920 it and

01:13:41.360 make it

01:13:41.800 available.

01:13:43.480 Now,

01:13:44.100 nobody

01:13:44.380 believes

01:13:44.740 that.

01:13:46.020 So,

01:13:46.460 of course,

01:13:46.960 we all

01:13:47.280 believed,

01:13:47.720 oh,

01:13:47.960 there's

01:13:48.220 something

01:13:48.460 in there

01:13:48.720 you don't

01:13:49.020 want us

01:13:49.380 to see.

01:13:50.320 Now,

01:13:50.640 it doesn't

01:13:51.000 mean there's

01:13:51.380 something

01:13:51.820 illegal or

01:13:52.760 unethical or

01:13:53.720 unscientific.

01:13:55.040 It could

01:13:55.800 mean that

01:13:57.840 they know

01:13:58.600 that people

01:13:59.040 will assume

01:13:59.800 there is

01:14:00.340 and find

01:14:01.080 it.

01:14:01.860 In other

01:14:02.140 words,

01:14:02.380 they'll think

01:14:02.820 they see

01:14:03.240 it in the

01:14:03.720 data because

01:14:04.540 people are

01:14:04.960 terrible at

01:14:05.440 data.

01:14:06.100 So it could

01:14:06.640 be that

01:14:07.660 Pfizer has

01:14:08.240 done nothing

01:14:08.780 wrong,

01:14:09.900 but they know

01:14:10.400 that if,

01:14:10.940 like Trump

01:14:12.180 releasing his

01:14:12.920 tax returns,

01:14:13.700 if Trump did

01:14:15.700 nothing wrong

01:14:16.320 on his tax

01:14:16.840 returns,

01:14:17.340 it still

01:14:17.680 wouldn't make

01:14:18.140 sense to

01:14:18.560 release them

01:14:19.100 because people

01:14:20.120 would look

01:14:20.440 at them

01:14:20.800 and not

01:14:21.360 knowing how

01:14:21.780 to analyze

01:14:22.720 tax returns,

01:14:24.040 they say,

01:14:24.660 oh,

01:14:24.940 look,

01:14:25.760 here's this

01:14:26.240 problem in

01:14:26.740 his tax

01:14:27.140 return,

01:14:27.760 but they

01:14:28.460 wouldn't be

01:14:28.780 accountants

01:14:29.420 and maybe

01:14:29.960 there wasn't

01:14:30.420 a problem.

01:14:31.620 So it would

01:14:31.920 just be a

01:14:32.300 problem for

01:14:32.920 Trump to

01:14:33.960 put all that

01:14:34.420 red meat

01:14:34.960 out there

01:14:35.460 that people

01:14:36.120 will misinterpret.

01:14:38.340 Pfizer must

01:14:39.120 be in exactly

01:14:39.700 the same

01:14:40.100 situation.

01:14:40.640 So even

01:14:41.880 if Pfizer

01:14:42.860 legitimately

01:14:43.660 believes there's

01:14:44.720 nothing wrong

01:14:45.840 with the trial

01:14:46.720 data and it

01:14:47.940 completely supports

01:14:48.940 everything they

01:14:49.480 did,

01:14:50.500 they'd still not

01:14:51.700 want it to be

01:14:52.240 released.

01:14:53.440 That would be

01:14:54.240 a perfectly

01:14:54.820 smart thing

01:14:56.180 for a

01:14:57.140 corporation to

01:14:57.820 do.

01:14:58.060 It's not good

01:14:58.500 for us

01:14:59.060 because we'd

01:14:59.680 like to know

01:15:00.060 the answer,

01:15:01.100 but from the

01:15:01.860 corporation's

01:15:02.500 point of view,

01:15:03.040 yeah,

01:15:04.020 protect everything

01:15:05.060 you can protect,

01:15:06.600 why create

01:15:07.300 problems for

01:15:07.940 yourself?

01:15:08.280 But now

01:15:09.580 it's been

01:15:09.920 reversed.

01:15:12.180 So now

01:15:12.800 let's say

01:15:13.380 if there's

01:15:14.400 no more

01:15:14.740 legal process

01:15:15.580 going on,

01:15:16.960 suppose you

01:15:17.580 think you're

01:15:18.020 going to see

01:15:18.400 that.

01:15:19.440 Now make

01:15:19.960 your prediction

01:15:20.600 what happens

01:15:21.720 next.

01:15:24.000 So the

01:15:24.800 company has

01:15:25.440 the possession

01:15:26.020 of all these

01:15:26.740 documents,

01:15:27.700 maybe the

01:15:28.180 FDA does

01:15:29.200 too.

01:15:30.520 Would the

01:15:30.880 FDA have

01:15:31.600 it or

01:15:32.340 only the

01:15:32.920 company?

01:15:33.620 Because that

01:15:33.940 would make

01:15:34.240 a difference.

01:15:35.840 Here's why

01:15:36.580 I ask.

01:15:37.440 If only

01:15:38.060 the company

01:15:38.620 owns the

01:15:39.180 documents and

01:15:40.120 maybe other

01:15:40.540 people have

01:15:41.000 seen them

01:15:41.520 but don't

01:15:41.920 have a

01:15:42.440 copy,

01:15:44.780 don't you

01:15:45.420 think those

01:15:45.780 documents are

01:15:46.520 going to

01:15:46.780 suddenly get

01:15:47.340 lost?

01:15:49.140 Do you

01:15:49.520 think that

01:15:49.960 maybe they'll

01:15:50.480 do a system

01:15:51.180 update and

01:15:52.060 all the data

01:15:52.600 will be lost?

01:15:54.100 Because every

01:15:54.960 time we've

01:15:55.500 been in this

01:15:56.080 situation where

01:15:57.840 we know there's

01:15:58.700 a document such

01:15:59.820 as the Epstein

01:16:00.540 list or

01:16:01.300 Diddy's videos

01:16:02.340 or, you know,

01:16:03.360 I could go on

01:16:04.000 and on,

01:16:04.840 Hillary's phones

01:16:06.700 that she

01:16:07.740 had bleach

01:16:08.220 bled or

01:16:08.660 whatever she

01:16:09.240 did there.

01:16:10.220 So it

01:16:10.820 feels like

01:16:11.300 every time

01:16:12.020 we know

01:16:12.740 exactly what

01:16:13.660 we're looking

01:16:14.080 for, if we

01:16:15.540 can only see

01:16:16.160 those, oh,

01:16:17.160 they're already

01:16:17.560 deleted?

01:16:18.940 Oh, so

01:16:20.220 you've never

01:16:21.200 lost any

01:16:21.900 documents for

01:16:22.780 30 years,

01:16:23.820 but you lost

01:16:25.280 these.

01:16:26.040 The only ones

01:16:27.020 we really,

01:16:27.660 really want to

01:16:28.420 look at?

01:16:29.260 Is that what's

01:16:30.140 happening next?

01:16:30.840 So I

01:16:32.620 wouldn't be

01:16:33.020 surprised under

01:16:34.940 the condition

01:16:35.740 that only

01:16:36.540 Pfizer controls

01:16:37.700 those documents.

01:16:38.740 I don't know

01:16:39.200 if that's true,

01:16:39.920 but if only

01:16:41.120 Pfizer has the

01:16:41.940 documents,

01:16:43.040 they're going

01:16:44.300 to get lost

01:16:44.980 because,

01:16:48.780 correct me

01:16:49.660 if I'm wrong,

01:16:50.900 but everybody

01:16:51.640 who has deleted

01:16:53.100 documents got

01:16:53.980 away with it.

01:16:55.120 All of them.

01:16:56.720 Everybody who

01:16:57.460 did it.

01:16:58.600 Can you think

01:16:59.140 of one case,

01:17:00.800 a prominent

01:17:01.440 case recently,

01:17:02.680 where somebody

01:17:04.180 deleted some

01:17:04.820 documents and

01:17:05.480 went to jail?

01:17:06.580 I can't.

01:17:08.060 They just say

01:17:08.640 it was an

01:17:08.960 accident.

01:17:09.480 Oh, whoops,

01:17:10.260 whoops.

01:17:10.760 I really tried

01:17:11.480 to give it to

01:17:11.900 you, but

01:17:12.240 deleted.

01:17:14.420 Yeah, that

01:17:15.060 might be

01:17:15.380 coming.

01:17:19.720 Elon Musk's

01:17:20.800 AI now has

01:17:23.520 the ability to

01:17:25.480 do photorealistic

01:17:26.500 images, so

01:17:27.300 Grok wasn't 0.99

01:17:29.000 that good at

01:17:29.520 images, but

01:17:30.260 XAI, apparently

01:17:31.800 the new

01:17:32.140 update, according

01:17:33.260 to Don

01:17:33.900 Jacobson at

01:17:34.640 UPI.

01:17:36.320 And the

01:17:36.840 question that

01:17:37.480 we don't know

01:17:38.120 the answer to

01:17:38.760 is, will

01:17:39.460 Elon Musk's

01:17:41.160 AI have

01:17:42.360 guardrails that

01:17:43.480 prevent you

01:17:44.260 from doing

01:17:45.100 celebrities and

01:17:47.200 public figures?

01:17:50.420 I don't know

01:17:51.380 the answer to

01:17:51.980 that.

01:17:52.300 That's sort

01:17:52.900 of a good

01:17:53.340 edge case for

01:17:54.800 free speech.

01:17:56.420 I feel like

01:17:57.940 Elon Musk

01:17:58.540 would not

01:17:59.020 want to

01:17:59.400 limit what

01:18:00.560 you could do

01:18:01.140 with the

01:18:01.520 AI in

01:18:02.480 terms of

01:18:02.980 images.

01:18:05.100 But on

01:18:05.820 the other

01:18:06.100 hand, if

01:18:07.560 you had a

01:18:08.020 major AI

01:18:08.680 that was

01:18:09.120 willing to

01:18:09.640 create fake

01:18:11.040 images that

01:18:11.920 really look

01:18:12.520 real on any

01:18:14.060 topic with

01:18:14.660 any celebrity,

01:18:15.740 you're really

01:18:16.560 going to cause

01:18:17.080 a lot of

01:18:17.440 trouble.

01:18:19.060 But so does

01:18:19.840 free speech.

01:18:20.540 So it'll be

01:18:22.880 interesting to

01:18:23.500 see which way

01:18:24.060 Elon goes on

01:18:24.880 this, if

01:18:26.480 they've made

01:18:26.920 a decision.

01:18:27.520 Maybe they've

01:18:27.940 already made

01:18:28.320 that decision,

01:18:29.000 we just don't

01:18:29.560 know.

01:18:30.460 But if you

01:18:31.520 can do

01:18:31.940 celebrities and

01:18:32.720 famous people

01:18:33.520 and you can

01:18:34.320 make them do

01:18:34.860 anything you

01:18:35.480 want, well,

01:18:38.260 that's a

01:18:39.220 different world.

01:18:40.060 So we'll see

01:18:40.620 if that's going

01:18:41.160 to be the

01:18:41.400 case.

01:18:43.080 And you

01:18:43.620 know I'm

01:18:43.900 going to tell

01:18:44.220 you that

01:18:44.500 there's a new

01:18:45.040 battery technology.

01:18:47.000 So Ars

01:18:47.640 Technica says

01:18:48.600 there's a

01:18:48.980 sodium-ion

01:18:49.560 batteries, new

01:18:50.720 breakthroughs,

01:18:52.220 blah, blah,

01:18:52.600 blah.

01:18:52.900 The problem

01:18:53.600 with sodium

01:18:54.140 ion batteries

01:18:55.780 as a technology

01:18:57.420 compared to

01:18:58.080 lithium, so

01:18:59.420 this will make

01:19:00.380 you smarter at

01:19:01.060 your next

01:19:01.540 gathering because

01:19:03.200 you'll know

01:19:03.520 more about

01:19:03.960 battery technology.

01:19:06.140 So if you

01:19:07.080 do lithium,

01:19:08.440 they've got a

01:19:09.220 good density.

01:19:10.420 That's why

01:19:10.760 they're used

01:19:11.140 in cars.

01:19:11.960 So you can

01:19:12.300 put a lot

01:19:12.660 of power in

01:19:13.220 a small

01:19:13.880 device.

01:19:16.880 But they

01:19:17.480 have more

01:19:17.780 fire risk,

01:19:18.720 lithium does.

01:19:20.220 And they

01:19:20.840 use rare

01:19:21.780 materials.

01:19:23.220 But if you

01:19:23.580 could get the

01:19:25.240 same performance,

01:19:26.180 and you can't

01:19:26.720 yet, but

01:19:27.200 are getting

01:19:27.460 close, from

01:19:28.800 a sodium-iron

01:19:29.580 battery, you'd

01:19:30.940 basically be

01:19:31.620 using no

01:19:32.680 rare earth

01:19:33.340 materials, and

01:19:34.960 you would have

01:19:35.480 no risk of

01:19:36.380 fire, or

01:19:37.520 much lower, I

01:19:38.260 guess.

01:19:39.860 The only

01:19:40.840 problem is

01:19:41.360 density, and

01:19:42.340 that's where

01:19:42.820 they have the

01:19:43.180 breakthrough.

01:19:44.200 So they're

01:19:44.660 claiming a

01:19:45.420 density that if

01:19:47.700 they actually can

01:19:48.520 achieve it,

01:19:49.120 is almost

01:19:50.280 hard for

01:19:51.500 experts to

01:19:52.140 believe they

01:19:52.520 can get

01:19:52.880 there.

01:19:53.640 But they're

01:19:54.120 knocking on

01:19:54.860 the door.

01:19:56.340 So it

01:19:57.040 could be that

01:19:57.580 the whole

01:19:57.900 rare earth

01:19:58.840 thing becomes

01:20:02.020 unimportant.

01:20:03.360 But we'll

01:20:04.500 see.

01:20:05.400 At the same

01:20:06.080 time, according

01:20:07.220 to the

01:20:07.500 University of

01:20:08.220 Maryland,

01:20:08.720 Baltimore

01:20:09.020 County, they've

01:20:10.700 got this new

01:20:11.420 battery technology

01:20:13.080 using twisted

01:20:15.200 carbon nanotubes.

01:20:16.780 So apparently

01:20:18.280 if you twist

01:20:19.620 your carbon

01:20:20.200 nanotubes just

01:20:21.240 right, it

01:20:22.560 will store a

01:20:24.320 bunch of

01:20:24.640 electricity, again

01:20:26.440 without the

01:20:27.040 rare earth

01:20:27.480 materials, and

01:20:28.760 without any

01:20:29.780 fire risk, I

01:20:30.500 imagine.

01:20:32.420 So those are

01:20:33.240 two technologies,

01:20:34.220 or like a few

01:20:35.000 more that I

01:20:35.580 didn't mention.

01:20:36.520 So sodium

01:20:37.100 iron batteries

01:20:37.880 and carbon

01:20:39.160 nanotubes.

01:20:40.080 and there's

01:20:41.780 some other

01:20:42.160 solid state

01:20:42.880 stuff that's

01:20:43.380 happening.

01:20:44.080 So the

01:20:44.360 world of

01:20:44.960 battery is

01:20:45.940 very dynamic.

01:20:47.260 It's going to

01:20:47.620 change everything.

01:20:48.960 Once you can

01:20:49.780 store electricity

01:20:50.720 about, let's

01:20:52.480 say, twice as

01:20:53.680 well as we're

01:20:54.220 doing now, which

01:20:55.480 is certain to

01:20:56.540 happen, all

01:20:58.340 kinds of things

01:20:59.120 become practical,

01:21:00.940 you know, like

01:21:01.380 having your own

01:21:02.500 electric one-person

01:21:04.240 airplane, that

01:21:05.080 kind of thing.

01:21:06.440 All right, ladies 1.00

01:21:07.000 and gentlemen,

01:21:07.440 that is all I

01:21:09.960 have for you

01:21:10.420 today on this

01:21:11.160 Sunday.

01:21:11.580 I'm going to

01:21:11.840 talk to the

01:21:12.240 people on

01:21:12.880 Locals privately,

01:21:15.420 subscribers on

01:21:16.180 Locals.

01:21:16.840 Thanks for

01:21:17.320 joining on

01:21:17.880 YouTube and

01:21:18.900 X and

01:21:20.700 Rumble.

01:21:21.700 I'll see you

01:21:22.300 same time

01:21:22.820 tomorrow.

01:21:23.980 And Locals,

01:21:24.820 coming at you

01:21:25.440 for one extra

01:21:26.940 sip.

01:21:28.920 And

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 08, 2024

Episode 2683 CWSA 12⧸08⧸24

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