Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2692 CWSA 12⧸17⧸24

00:00:00.000 and that's good i hope you're doing well we've got a show for you today as soon as i can see my

00:00:08.160 comments come on comments there we go everything's working out perfectly today

00:00:30.000 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:42.000 coffee with scott adams and i guarantee you've never had a better time in your life

00:00:45.840 but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their

00:00:53.500 tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or mugger a glass of tankard shells

00:00:59.140 a stein a canteen jug a flask a vessel of any kind and fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:01:03.460 join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day the thing that makes everything

00:01:07.840 better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:12.900 well i don't know how your life has gone for the last 24 hours

00:01:24.100 but ever since uh grok got really really good at making pictures uh there's been a non-stop uh

00:01:34.580 memes of me dating michelle obama

00:01:37.300 and the the images are so photorealistic that you know all morning long and yesterday too

00:01:46.420 i'm looking at photos going by in the locals that the people who chat on the locals feed

00:01:51.700 can put in images so we trade memes and there are about 10 000 memes of me making out with michelle obama

00:02:02.340 but but here's the funny thing uh they also tried to do uh aoc and me but every time they did an aoc picture

00:02:11.700 where where i was you know on as far as ai i was seemingly dating her it didn't look like we had chemistry

00:02:21.460 like we even though we would be like in the picture we'd be close

00:02:25.060 but just didn't look like we were that into each other but but the funny thing is the michelle obama

00:02:30.820 pictures almost all of them it looks like we're really getting it off we're really getting it off

00:02:36.420 and and it makes me wonder in the real world it makes me wonder given that ai is based on pattern

00:02:45.860 recognition is it possible that ai is predicting that if i ever met michelle obama in person

00:02:54.580 that we'd get along great do you think that that's possible do you think ai could figure out

00:03:01.060 just with its own little pattern recognition which kind of people i'd get along with and who i wouldn't

00:03:08.260 and is it possible that it knows i wouldn't get along with aoc and and i'm not talking about

00:03:13.380 dating i'm just talking about you know personal charisma and chemistry and stuff but it looks like

00:03:19.380 i would be i would like really get along with michelle obama and it makes me curious now i actually

00:03:25.540 really want to meet her just to see if we would just have like a natural connection i'll bet we do 0.55

00:03:32.340 i don't know if i had to bet it on it i'd say 60 40 yes that the ai is actually revealing that there's

00:03:39.780 some way we'd we get along great anyway there's a one of the top stories is there's a school shooting

00:03:47.860 and there's something about maybe trans and i'm not going to talk about any of that i don't love talking

00:03:52.820 about the trans stuff don't love talking about the crimes and when they're together uh i'm twice as 0.99

00:04:00.180 not twice as likely to not want to all right i have to i have to show if you don't mind the people on

00:04:09.220 locals uh i'm gonna i'm gonna show everybody some of the memes so here's me with michelle obama

00:04:19.700 on a date at the cat cafe that doesn't exist but should there we are see how we're hitting it off

00:04:31.140 for some reason it puts like spots on me all right what else we got here

00:04:40.740 but then notice how i don't have chemistry with everybody so here i am with kamala harris

00:04:46.500 no chemistry right you can see it there's just no chemistry there all right now let's see

00:04:57.060 find another one with michelle a whole bunch of them coming in just as i was talking about it

00:05:03.300 all right here's another one at the cat cafe you tell me

00:05:06.900 are we not having a good time

00:05:14.740 we're petting the cat we're drinking coffee these are good times

00:05:18.260 i'm gonna have a false memory that i actually dated her all right here's the best one

00:05:28.980 i almost don't want to show you this one but it's just too good

00:05:36.420 all right here's the best one now you tell me does it look like we have chemistry

00:05:41.380 yes

00:05:50.900 now

00:05:52.260 it's not exactly what my body looks like but

00:05:56.020 it's still impressive all right so that's enough of that

00:06:01.540 how impressed are you at the quality of the images they're they're kind of amazing

00:06:05.700 anyway here's there's some science uh from the universidad castilla la mancha spain i know that

00:06:15.300 was a perfect pronunciation a lot of people would have had trouble with it because it's a foreign language

00:06:21.780 but uh i just have a thing with languages so universidad castillo la mancha that's how you do it

00:06:30.340 anyway according to them people who take a higher number of steps every day are likely to have

00:06:38.100 less depressive symptoms

00:06:43.140 huh the people who are more active have less depression

00:06:51.060 what's also true is that people who have more depression don't feel like walking

00:06:57.060 so is it backward science is it and they admit that they think it might be backwards by the way

00:07:05.060 so in this in this case they're very aware that it's correlation not causation but why is it so

00:07:11.300 complicated to know what is the causation it's because it works both ways there's two causations

00:07:19.220 one if you're depressed you're not going to take a walk two if you could force yourself to take a walk

00:07:24.740 it would probably make you less depressed so it's a it's sort of a not backward science it's more like

00:07:33.300 bisexual two-way science sure let's call it that meanwhile there's some microchips being 0.98

00:07:42.180 developed that look like they could identify a whole range of diseases from things like just your breath

00:07:50.500 and other other factors i guess according to ken richards at the no trick zone

00:07:56.660 um oh wait no this is a different study i'm on to a different study

00:08:03.540 so let me give you some about the chips for measuring stuff so um a number of years ago i was at a berkeley

00:08:12.100 event where some startups were pitching their stuff and one of them that i invested in

00:08:17.380 was a startup that had a uh very inexpensive portable chip based thing for testing your blood

00:08:27.540 so you'd give it um the smallest little sample which actually they would take from

00:08:32.500 not even pinching you i think they would do it with like a band-aid thing that would slightly pierce your

00:08:38.020 skin and then they put that band-aid thing on it and they would do a blood test now that startup i don't

00:08:43.540 think worked out i haven't checked in with them but i don't i don't think they hit a home run there

00:08:49.140 but that was based on the fact that after 9 11 the government funded both a bunch of studies

00:08:56.260 to develop to see if you can develop quickly a way to detect you know chemical weapons so because the

00:09:03.940 government funded fast ways to detect chemical weapons the technology was developed that could also

00:09:11.460 detect other things and also be portable and inexpensive but that was years ago so it looks

00:09:17.860 like they've got something else going in that domain i think that's going to replace your doctor if you

00:09:23.620 give me ai and you give me a chip that can find most of my diseases

00:09:31.460 um i'm 80 good i mean other than catastrophic things that's most of my health care anyway

00:09:37.860 um back to uh ken richards at the no trick zone there's a study that finds there's no measurable

00:09:44.900 effect of reducing the uh admissions so the climate won't be any better because of it why

00:09:51.780 well this is the funniest the funniest potential debunk of climate change models that you'll see

00:10:00.020 i'm not going to say that i believe this is true this is just a claim right studies studies are about

00:10:06.500 half of them are true um but research found according to this one study that uh you get a lot of climate

00:10:15.540 effects um when co2 is up to a certain range but then after that range as the co2 continues to go up

00:10:25.300 you do not get a predictable amount of warming and the theory is that at first

00:10:32.420 you know if you went from no co2 or low co2 to a little bit you would see an increase in heat

00:10:39.300 but we're way past that so where we are the amount of co2 we have in the air if you were to double it

00:10:46.820 it wouldn't make much difference so apparently there's there's something about the nature of co2

00:10:53.460 that a little bit of it will get you warm but if you quadruple it barely makes a difference

00:11:00.020 it was the little bit to make you warm that mattered let me see if i could come up with an

00:11:04.260 analogy this is a bad analogy let's say if you were painting a room in your house and you put one coat

00:11:11.780 on it you'd say not good enough you put two coats of paint on it you're good you've got a nicely painted

00:11:18.020 room what if you put a third coat on it the third coat wouldn't make any difference what about

00:11:24.660 a fourth coat no difference so in so the claim and i'm not saying it's true it's just a study

00:11:34.100 is that the only the only differences that the co2 would make the biggest part is already made

00:11:41.460 and we're fine so even if we did even if we spent trillions of dollars to try to you know desperately

00:11:49.700 try to keep that number from rising wouldn't make any difference now is that true i don't know

00:11:56.740 but i'll tell you what is definitely true the models do not predict the future

00:12:02.580 all they predict is the assumptions you put into them they predict the past climate models predict the past

00:12:12.100 do you know how because they tell you what assumptions you put in in them in the past

00:12:16.580 you if you show me a climate model and i were an expert in models and climate models i could look

00:12:23.780 at it and say hmm i predict that in the past you assumed that the temperature goes up smoothly at the

00:12:31.860 same rate as the co2 that's my prediction did you do that in the past yeah we did nail it nailed it i 0.89

00:12:40.900 predicted the past does it predict the future i doubt it but but it definitely predicts the past it'll

00:12:52.100 tell you what assumptions you put a new model in the past all right um i think there's some fake news

00:12:59.620 out there on the political right but i'm not positive so the political right is all upset and i've i've

00:13:07.060 reported on this too that the biden administration is selling off uh perfectly good parts of the

00:13:15.460 southern wall um components that are being sold for scrap when uh by when it's clear that trump would

00:13:24.420 use them so we're just wasting our money and the story is that it's you know supposedly bad for trump

00:13:31.780 because you'll have to spend more money to build wall but i saw jessica tarloff on the five the other 1.00

00:13:37.940 day saying that was fake news how many of you have heard that's fake news now i'm not saying it is

00:13:46.420 i'm just saying how many of you have heard the claim that that was fake news have you even heard the

00:13:52.660 claim because i wonder how much is getting through into their into our bubble because i'm in the same

00:13:58.660 bubble you are i only saw one one little sliver of that which is i was doing something else and i i

00:14:06.180 heard jessica tarloff and you know just talking while the tv was on and i was like what what so some of

00:14:15.380 you yes so i believe her argument was that the stuff being sold was actually junk now what's the difference

00:14:23.940 between perfectly good wall and junk i don't know but i think you'll recall that when i first told you

00:14:32.340 the story i suggested that there might be more to it as in there might be a reason they're throwing it away

00:14:39.860 so there is a counter claim and the counter claim i don't know the details of it but would suggest

00:14:47.700 exactly what i was i was imagining it would suggest that not all the wall is the same

00:14:53.780 and that there might be parts of it that they they concluded were not usable maybe they were stored

00:14:59.700 incorrectly maybe they were the wrong specifications maybe they don't um maybe there's some structural

00:15:07.460 problem i don't know so uh just put a put a pin in this one when i first heard that story

00:15:15.140 i had a i didn't say it and i should have so this is on me it wasn't a little bit too much on the nose

00:15:23.380 when you heard that biden is selling off the wall that everybody knows would be a good idea to keep

00:15:29.620 do you think that that really did that sound like a real story when you first heard it

00:15:34.900 or did it sound like exactly the kind of things that are fake stories it sounded it sounded to me like

00:15:42.020 exactly like exactly like a fake story like you just had all the characteristics of an obviously

00:15:46.980 fake story but i didn't see any reporting and as of today i think fox news is still

00:15:55.140 and other major pundits who would know better are still reporting it's a real thing

00:16:00.980 so i'll put it out there as a question mark if i had to put my money on it i would bet it's fake

00:16:07.540 fake if i had to put my money on it i bet it's fake but i don't know so we'll find out

00:16:16.340 um do you remember i don't know if you even noticed there was a lot of news about how if you're using a

00:16:22.420 black spatula or black any of the black kind of kitchen utensils you were poisoning yourself because 0.96

00:16:30.500 there was stuff in that plastic that was coming off and getting in your body and yesterday i almost

00:16:36.260 i almost replaced all of my black plastic um kitchenware because it's basically all i have

00:16:44.340 it's all black plastic kitchenware and i thought damn it you know they were they were pretty adamant

00:16:50.340 that there was some bad stuff in there i better replace it well turns out according to ours technica

00:16:57.220 that uh they made an error in the math and they added an extra zero and they were off by 10x

00:17:04.900 they were off by a factor of 10. it is 10 as dangerous as they said and it wasn't exactly that

00:17:14.980 dangerous so so what did the scientists do when they found out that instead of finding out that

00:17:23.140 it was above the safe level it was actually one-tenth of the safe level so obviously they immediately

00:17:30.900 apologized they immediately retracted the paper and concluded that black plastic spatulas are just

00:17:38.500 fine right obviously obviously that's what they did no no what they did was they said oh

00:17:45.620 it's right directionally

00:17:49.700 so instead of being more than you can tolerate

00:17:53.620 it's one-tenth of what you can tolerate but still it's the same point because it's one-tenth of what you

00:17:58.820 can tolerate so they've decided that they'll you know keep the conclusion but the numbers will change

00:18:06.580 by 10x but not the conclusion conclusion is fine but the climate change models are all good right

00:18:17.380 the climate change models are all good right

00:18:21.620 in order to believe the climate change models

00:18:23.780 uh sometimes i think you would have had to spend no time in in real life in real life all of this

00:18:31.700 stuff is fake all of it it's all fake

00:18:38.420 anyway

00:18:40.660 well apparently there's going to be lasers on drones uh somebody in north korea

00:18:46.020 not not north korea um hong kong a researcher according to new atlas uh found a way to put

00:18:54.900 powerful lasers on drones but they did it in a clever way because you're saying to yourself 0.99

00:19:00.260 oh scott scott scott scott oh let me let me let me clear this up for you you are so dumb scott about 0.99

00:19:09.940 all things science and here's another example of it because you couldn't possibly you couldn't 0.99

00:19:15.700 possibly support the weight of uh the weight of a laser that would be powerful enough to do any damage 1.00

00:19:23.220 you'd never be able to put this big truck size laser on a drone scott you freaking idiot 0.99

00:19:31.700 well they didn't do that they're using a mirror on the drone and they have a ground-based laser that 0.99

00:19:38.580 they would shoot up to the mirror i'm simplifying it's more than a mirror i'm simplifying they hit

00:19:44.180 the mirror and then it would form into a deadly laser beam if they aimed it correctly

00:19:51.460 which is remarkably impressive technology if they can make it work

00:19:57.540 it's not the first time this has been thought of because there have been space-based

00:20:02.580 ideas for space-based satellites that would also reflect a laser

00:20:08.100 maybe those already exist would we know i don't know it's kind of cool idea so you need a truck

00:20:14.900 size thing to make that work but the truck would be on the ground ontario the wait is over the gold 0.97

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00:21:16.020 casino.com for details please play responsibly support for nuclear energy is at an all-time high you're

00:21:23.460 welcome i say that because i was one of several people who for the last eight years have been

00:21:31.700 banging that drum you don't understand it's safer than you think you know the modern ones are not as

00:21:38.180 dangerous as the old ones they know how to handle the waste etc so apparently that got through

00:21:45.620 but according to just the news um 70 of men support nuclear energy but only 44 of women

00:21:55.780 why the difference and don't say something sexist why is there such a gigantic difference

00:22:03.460 about something that that isn't personal to women it's not like it's an abortion

00:22:08.820 it's not personal to women in any way why would there be a gigantic difference

00:22:14.900 well answer the question without being a sexist you sexists why do you why do you think there would

00:22:24.020 be an enormous difference

00:22:25.300 that nuclear energy is not only good but necessary which is what all the tech all the tech leaders are

00:22:44.020 saying they're all saying it's not only good it's required we're going to need it for ai and other stuff

00:22:49.700 now my audience is 80 for 85 percent male and i've i've trained my 85 percent male audience completely

00:22:59.780 every one of you could could argue about a nuclear energy you know at your next party and you know what

00:23:06.980 you're talking about but also 15 of the women the women who are watching me would also be able to argue the 1.00

00:23:12.900 same i think it has to do with what sources of information men and women use i think the podcaster

00:23:21.620 world and the tech bro world is 100 pro nuclear energy if you watch joe rogan somebody would have been

00:23:31.220 on there like michael schellenberger for example and would have said nuclear energy no you have it all

00:23:36.900 wrong nuclear energy is great it's necessary it's required really and who watches what's the gender 0.99

00:23:44.420 breakdown of joe rogan it's probably not too far from mine it's probably 80 20 i'm just guessing but

00:23:52.180 mostly male how many people are following you know michael schellenberger

00:23:57.700 yeah so if you just go right down the line i think you would find that the the more tech oriented

00:24:06.180 topics attract men and so men become informed on tech oriented things if i said to you um that what

00:24:15.380 percentage of men versus women have a pretty good understanding of cryptocurrencies it would also skew

00:24:23.300 male wouldn't it much less much less but it was skew male maybe 60 40 there there are tons of women 1.00

00:24:29.620 who are deeply into crypto uh and know what they're talking about but still at least 60 40.

00:24:36.660 what about uh electric cars if i were gonna get into a debate about the pros and cons of electric cars

00:24:44.980 who do you think would be more informed about that men not because men are awesome but because they

00:24:51.700 would just automatically they would just automatically they're drawn to topics like that and podcasts

00:24:56.660 like that and articles like that so we kind of like our nerdy stuff so it makes sense but it also but

00:25:03.220 also suggests a a fixable problem it sounds like women are less informed on the pros and cons of nuclear 1.00

00:25:12.420 energy and again this has nothing to do with being female there's there's no gender or anything here 0.95

00:25:18.100 it's just that there are natural preferences of podcasts and new sources so this is a big problem

00:25:27.460 and i would argue that the uh the resistance to nuclear energy if we had not had it which means

00:25:36.020 if women had been on the right page because women are on just the wrong page there are very few topics 0.99

00:25:42.420 where i can just say oh you're 100 wrong right if we're talking about abortion it's very subjective

00:25:50.180 but not nuclear power nuclear power is purely objective and it just is clearly in one direction

00:25:57.140 you should do a lot of it so that's an education problem if we don't educate women on some of these nerdy 1.00

00:26:05.940 things we're gonna have problems getting things done that need to get done all right well kamala harris

00:26:13.700 uh emerged to do some more word salad and uh i feel like she has about four sentences that you can just

00:26:22.420 interchange and then just repeat them in different order and you would have a kamala harris speech

00:26:28.100 um so it kind of goes like this but with a drunken accent we have to put in the work we have not been

00:26:40.580 defeated our spirits have not been defeated because we're going to put in the work and i've been very

00:26:49.540 very clear that we've not been defeated and we're going to put it in the work

00:26:57.700 and we know what we stand for and we know democracy matters i've been very clear and as long as we put

00:27:07.220 it in the work no individual can take away our power because i've been very clear we put it in the work

00:27:14.900 so that's basically her old speech right there and i would like to make a persuasion suggestion to

00:27:24.820 kamala harris now that she's lost i can give her this advice do you not the worst possible 0.93

00:27:31.780 fucking thing you could ever say if you're running for office we need to put in the work don't ever say 0.98

00:27:39.060 that nobody likes work let's compare uh we're really gonna have to put it in the work 0.99

00:27:50.180 compare that to make america great again oh

00:27:55.300 make america healthy again oh you got me okay you got it we're entering the golden age oh

00:28:02.500 oh really the golden age nice my energy is up let's make america great again make it healthy again

00:28:11.380 the golden age i've been very clear we're gonna have to do the work do the work i've been very clear

00:28:19.860 they can't steal our democracy i've been very clear

00:28:25.620 so which one's better

00:28:26.580 i mean i don't want to get all analytical but which one do you like make america great again or

00:28:35.220 gotta put it in work work gotta work harder

00:28:40.500 all right

00:28:42.980 that's uh she's uh anti-persuasive is what i call her let's see let me tell you the least surprising news 1.00

00:28:51.540 um according to zero hedge uh the philadelphia fed finds that all the jobs created in the second

00:28:59.380 quarter were fake

00:29:05.300 really so the biden administration when it needed the jobs to look good it was maybe the most important

00:29:12.500 thing that they needed i had some statistics that have all been let's say modified and corrected and

00:29:19.860 improved since then and now we know that all of the job growth was fake it was fake

00:29:29.060 have i ever told you have i ever told you that all data that matters is fake

00:29:35.940 if you could remember just one thing about the world it would protect you so much all data that matters

00:29:44.260 is fake now that matters is doing a lot of work there so for example if you were to uh count the

00:29:52.660 number of shoes in your closet and there were too many for your storage space well you know the data

00:29:58.100 matters so i mean it doesn't matter to the world but so in small ways data is useful in small ways data is

00:30:06.020 useful but whenever there's a big data that can only be put together by the special people you know not

00:30:14.500 everybody can do a climate change analysis it's got to be the special people not everybody can tell you

00:30:20.820 how much the employment is this quarter i can't do it you can't do it you have to listen to the special

00:30:27.220 people so when the special people are in charge let's see are these vaccinations going to be good for

00:30:33.940 us or bad for us let's ask the special people because we can't really tell ourselves

00:30:41.460 whenever the special people control the data it's fake do you know how i know that because it used to

00:30:49.540 be my job to tell people what the data was when i worked in big companies do you think i was concerned

00:30:57.940 about the accuracy of the data yes if it didn't matter but if it mattered i was concerned about

00:31:06.180 not getting fired and when it mattered i gave my boss whatever he wanted that was my job and all i had

00:31:15.940 to do is change the assumptions i didn't even have to lie i didn't even have to do anything dishonest

00:31:21.780 i could just look at my assumptions and say well you know if i tweak that one it's going to give my

00:31:28.180 boss exactly what he wants and then is that dishonest no because i would footnote well not

00:31:34.100 even footnote i'd say it directly uh these are my assumptions and it would actually be a an assumption

00:31:40.020 page so whenever i did a any kind of a projection financial project projection which i did for a living

00:31:46.500 i would list my assumptions and if you were if you were to read those assumptions you would say huh

00:31:54.420 that looks kind of subjective you could have gone this way or the other way and there would be an

00:31:58.580 argument both ways so i picked the way that my boss liked just like every other person who does numbers

00:32:06.100 every other person gives their boss what they want if you think it happens some other way you're not

00:32:12.660 working in you're not living in the real world yeah in the real world the boss gets what they asked for

00:32:18.980 that's how money works anyway uh zero hedge was uh reporting on that

00:32:28.580 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:32:33.060 learn more at scotia bank.com banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:32:40.020 so you know how uh trump won the case against george stephanopoulos who said he had been found liable for

00:32:49.060 rape and then i saw on social media a bunch of other people uh passing around you know video of

00:32:56.900 other people who had also said that trump was a rapist and they said oh you know pretty soon you're

00:33:02.420 gonna have to pay 15 million dollars so it was a way to say that what stephanopoulos was doing

00:33:09.060 was what everybody else was doing and they should all be sued as well but they weren't doing what he was

00:33:16.500 doing what stephanopoulos was doing was more unique than what the others were doing if somebody says

00:33:25.860 trump is a racist or trump is a rapist or trump is dishonest or trump is anything 0.95

00:33:35.220 whatever they say whatever they say that's an opinion you're you're fine if it's just an opinion 1.00

00:33:41.220 so if you say he is a certain bad thing well it's an opinion but if you say

00:33:48.260 that somebody that a court found him liable for rape and that is not technically true then you're in

00:33:55.940 trouble especially if you are a news organization

00:34:00.820 if you're a news organization and you've covered that specific news in detail

00:34:06.980 and that specific news never produced the the true fact

00:34:12.980 i'm saying it's not a true fact uh in that there was never a point where he was found liable for rape

00:34:20.500 i if i understand it correctly the liability was because he called her a liar

00:34:26.260 and then the court found in their opinion by a majority that uh that it wasn't a lie

00:34:34.580 but they did not find him

00:34:35.940 um guilty or liable for rape they found him liable for lying about the situation according to the

00:34:45.380 jury and we don't know if they lied but uh as uh byron york pointed out if you look at the uh how many

00:34:54.500 times stephanophilus phrased his question with the phrase liable for rape he said it like 10 times

00:35:03.620 in about five minutes about 10 times he said liable for rape but he's liable for rape liable for rape

00:35:12.020 so that's how you know it wasn't an accident like if he said it once but maybe the other times he'd

00:35:17.380 put the nuance on it he'd probably be fine but if you say it 10 times emphatically and you're a news

00:35:23.780 organization and you work for the news part of the news organization and the news said that didn't

00:35:29.620 happen but you're saying it did happen 10 times in a row and it's the worst thing you could say to

00:35:34.100 somebody in public right in front of them yeah i guess you lose 15 million dollars i think this one

00:35:40.980 totally makes sense apparently trump liked that and he might be looking at suing 60 minutes and

00:35:50.580 in pollster and seltzer for election interference i guess but 60 minutes famously took a kamala harris 0.97

00:35:59.220 answer that was just word salad and they replaced the word salad answer with her answer to a different

00:36:07.300 question spliced it together and looked like she had a coherent answer to a question now can you sue

00:36:16.260 somebody for that because that certainly looks like election interference to me it was a an important

00:36:23.460 and a rare the rare part is important too it was a very important high level rare interview with kamala

00:36:30.580 harris and they completely changed the reality so that you would see a non-reality and vote on it instead

00:36:38.500 of a reality is that against the law well it's not against the law probably just lying but did it was

00:36:48.660 it intentional election interference well i guess we'll have to let a jury decide that maybe

00:36:54.900 because it definitely interfered with the election but it's also maybe free speech i don't know so i'm

00:37:03.620 not sure which way the the court case would go but there's certainly a claim there i mean that's a real claim

00:37:10.660 then the the one about uh uh the pollster and sells her i guess the argument there would be you'd have to

00:37:18.900 prove that she really knew that her poll results that said that kamala harris was way ahead in iowa

00:37:25.220 which was impossible um you'd have to say that she knew she was wrong and did it anyway meaning she was

00:37:33.140 trying to influence the election i would say the the evidence strongly suggests in a circumstantial but not

00:37:42.900 a proven way that it would be hard to explain what we saw unless it was intentional and the argument for

00:37:51.140 that for that is that she was such a good pollster if you're that good a pollster and you come up with

00:37:56.820 a number that's clearly out of the out of the field with all the other pollsters and you don't catch it

00:38:02.900 and you don't at least say we're not sure this is true or at least put a footnote on it like we don't

00:38:08.580 you know we'll see if this persists next week but we're worried maybe there's a problem here that

00:38:14.180 would be the way to handle that so should she be sued well i don't know it it looks crooked to me

00:38:23.300 but there's no evidence or proof let's say there's no proof of corruption because if her argument is i

00:38:30.660 just made a mistake and by the way i'm retiring you could argue that she retired because she

00:38:38.420 knew she couldn't maintain a reputation after this or you could also say that the reason she's retiring 0.98

00:38:45.140 is that maybe she thinks she's like losing a step and that that part of the reason for retiring is that

00:38:52.180 she wasn't confident she could do her job as well as she wanted to so whether that's true or not it

00:38:58.500 feels like it would be a pretty good defense so um i don't know that you could win on those but the uh

00:39:06.500 stephanophilus one was a real clear case but back to that it seems to me that stephanophilus and abc

00:39:14.340 are often associated with the let's say the fake news matrix meaning that they're definitely

00:39:25.540 inventors of fake news and maintainers of fake news so i think that what stephanophilus was doing

00:39:34.180 was there was probably some meeting and they said we have to say not that he paid uh eg and carol

00:39:42.500 but that we have to make it sound more rapey and that they said let's try this let's try libel for rape

00:39:51.060 even though he technically wasn't but he was liable for accusing no saying that accusing her of lying

00:40:00.740 but lying about the rape which is kind of close to being liable for rape it's like it's like the cousin

00:40:07.860 of it and the net the zip code next door but it's not so what's the way what is the best way we can

00:40:15.060 fool the public into thinking something that happened that didn't happen or maybe didn't happen

00:40:22.020 and i think that i think the phrase libel for rape is not a george stephanophilus invention

00:40:29.460 that he just liked to say i would say that that is professional work

00:40:34.020 that the that the party told him to say and then like a good party apparatchik he just repeated it 0.99

00:40:42.420 and repeat it and tried to make it a thing so everybody else would repeat it as well instead he got his ass sued 0.86

00:40:47.700 so maybe he got got a little too close to the sun there george bummer um i've heard separately that uh

00:40:59.300 that eg and carol did a uh she did a magazine cover for the atlantic um in which the headline said

00:41:08.820 you know here she is wearing the same dress she was wearing when trump sexually assaulted her in burgdorf's 0.78

00:41:17.780 so that was the claim that she still had the dress she has such a good memory of the event that she

00:41:23.540 remembers the clothes she was wearing still has it and uh wanted to show you wearing it to really make

00:41:30.340 her story land but it turns out that that particular dress wasn't even in stores or available until long

00:41:39.140 after the alleged sexual attack now do you think the do you think the jury or the judge heard the evidence

00:41:49.060 that she was claiming she was wearing a dress that did not exist at the time of the claim given that

00:41:56.180 the quality of her memory was mostly what was on trial because if everybody agreed she had a perfect

00:42:02.820 memory and was telling the truth well then drums guilty but really the whole trial was about are these

00:42:09.860 things you think you remember real clearly a major really major part of the case that she remembers

00:42:18.900 the details including what she was wearing have been debunked and i don't think the jury heard that

00:42:25.300 that so it makes me wonder um so this gets back to uh reed hoffman who funded um eugene carroll's case

00:42:40.340 that might be one of the creepiest worst things that's ever happened in politics from a citizen

00:42:47.220 you know short of actual violence finding this victim and resurrecting a charge and

00:42:55.140 selling it by by keeping important information away from the jury everything about this is the worst

00:43:02.980 of human activity this is really really bad dark stuff so reed hoffman probably has

00:43:10.900 some karma coming for him uh for this if nothing else

00:43:17.220 so biden apparently has uh pardoned or commuted the prison sentence of uh an islamic terrorist

00:43:24.180 he's the half brother of the billionaire hamas leader

00:43:29.060 let me say that again according to breitbart um joe joe biden has commuted the sentence

00:43:39.620 of the half brother of the billionaire hamas leader

00:43:43.620 and he was involved also in funding the terrorism so he wasn't just related

00:43:53.140 he was involved he was helping fund it

00:43:58.580 now some speculate and i think this is good speculation that this is not an independent

00:44:04.740 act but rather related to some negotiations about the hostages

00:44:09.620 you could easily imagine that part of the negotiations are that israel would have to

00:44:16.100 free a bunch of prisoners maybe america has some prisoners to free and this might be it

00:44:21.780 so it's probably in the larger context of a prisoner swap thing and something that

00:44:29.780 biden is trying to get done before trump gets it done

00:44:32.100 but this would definitely be negotiating with terrorists this would be negotiating with terrorists

00:44:40.900 does that work

00:44:44.660 i used to think it worked no i didn't i never thought it worked didn't didn't we didn't we all know that

00:44:51.620 negotiating with terrorists just never works ever

00:44:55.220 all right well we'll see what happens

00:45:02.420 um so the tick tock is scheduled to go out of existence for american customers

00:45:10.900 in january unless something changes so tick tock filed an emergency appeal with supreme court

00:45:18.660 to block the ban and uh trump's looking at it and uh he's more favorable to tick tock because

00:45:27.780 tick tock helped him get elected he believes it because he got he got the youth vote and it

00:45:34.020 probably made a difference um so on on one hand here's let me break it down on one hand tick tock

00:45:41.860 is a chinese propaganda machine that is an existential threat to america so that would be an argument for 1.00

00:45:48.820 banning it is that it's an existential threat essentially a weapon in the hands of our

00:45:54.580 biggest adversary but on the other hand uh trump did do his trump thing where he grabs the gun out of

00:46:02.900 their hand and turns around and uses it on them so trump instead of you know banning tick tock or

00:46:10.820 wanting to he joined it did so well on tick tock that it helped him win the election so you can see why

00:46:18.180 he'd want to keep it but on the third hand we should take into account that a a major donor to trump to

00:46:27.140 republicans and trump in particular a major donor is also a major owner of tick tock in addition to

00:46:34.580 china it's uh um he's a investor he's got a lot of money in it so trump's protecting a a uh a donator

00:46:47.460 but on the fifth hand

00:46:50.820 china does have the right of free speech in america right oh no it doesn't 1.00

00:46:57.140 all right here's an argument i'm going to make that i wonder i wonder if anybody has made on

00:47:04.420 this case so far because i think this will be the first time you've heard it

00:47:09.380 so china obviously doesn't have the right of free speech in america because they're not american 0.89

00:47:13.940 residents or citizens uh actually resident would be good enough i guess um but if china is managing

00:47:23.780 the algorithm then the algorithm determines what parts of people's free speech reaches whose ears

00:47:36.740 right so they control the algorithm

00:47:42.900 um

00:47:45.620 so the cumulative speech that's coming out of um let's put it this way

00:47:50.420 the individuals the american individuals using tick tock are exercising their freedom of speech

00:47:59.300 protect it but the the vehicle tick tock the platform they use since it gets to decide who

00:48:08.580 sees what by changing the algorithm the algorithm effectively changes the speech

00:48:14.420 because let's say you had 10 people saying uh israel must be uh must succeed and one message it says

00:48:24.900 israel must be destroyed but let's say china decides to show the one message instead of the 10 messages 0.94

00:48:32.020 whose free speech is that it's not really just the person who said it it's china's free speech

00:48:38.420 so china speaking through the algorithm that speaks through tick tock is exercising its freedom of speech

00:48:46.260 in america that it doesn't have china doesn't have free speech people do so let me say it a different way 0.91

00:48:58.100 individuals using tick tock if you knew that the things they said would reach a predictable audience

00:49:05.060 the one that they wanted to reach then that would be pure priest free speech and i'd actually be cool

00:49:12.420 with that but if individuals are saying what they want to say but then that doesn't get to who they

00:49:19.300 wanted to get to with a reliability that they'd like rather it gets massaged combined moved to some

00:49:27.060 people sometimes and some people other times who controlled the speech in that case

00:49:31.620 because in that case the the messages that are being received are mostly because of and managed by

00:49:41.220 the algorithm meaning china so it's not that citizens are using free speech on tick tock that's a minor

00:49:51.940 part of it the major part of it is that the speech collectively has to be analyzed as a collective

00:49:58.820 speech and we don't have a law that says if the average of your algorithm you know creates some

00:50:05.780 speech there's a law against it or or it's a right i don't know that there's any right about chinese

00:50:14.180 algorithmically managed speech is that a right they're not citizens and they're the ones controlling what

00:50:22.500 you actually consume so anyway

00:50:30.500 that's it for that um so there were rumors that rfk jr was opposed to the polio vaccine and he

00:50:41.300 he answered a question on his way to something he said i'm all for the polio vaccine so it was fake news

00:50:46.740 that he was opposed to the polio vaccine is it fake news that he suspects the childhood vaccinations in

00:50:55.380 general are dangerous that's not fake news that's real but his plan is not to ban him his plan is to

00:51:03.700 make sure we have the right data to decide what we're doing and that makes sense

00:51:08.900 but uh democrats are apparently afraid of science now which which is the perfect complete turnaround

00:51:19.540 i am old enough to remember when it was just an assumption that democrats had the good firm

00:51:24.820 grasp of science and the neanderthals on the right were just ignoring science left and right they were

00:51:32.660 science deniers but now you've got democrats who are opposed to rfk jr making sure that we have good

00:51:42.020 science for our health care decisions and they're against it

00:51:49.140 so i'm not so sure they're the pro-science group

00:51:56.260 well the mayor eric adams situation is getting interesting because

00:52:00.260 trump actually said that he'd be uh he was unfairly treated and he'd consider pardoning him

00:52:06.420 so democrat mayor eric adams of new york who has been strong on strong on the borders

00:52:15.300 strong against crime and uh and uh yeah now he's and he's against wokeness basically

00:52:25.220 so let's see strong on crime strong on borders and he's anti-woke and he's being law-fared maybe

00:52:36.980 what does that sound like to you a person who's strong on the border strong on crime anti-woke

00:52:45.060 and maybe getting law-fared by democrats that's a republican

00:52:49.220 he used to be a republican but i don't think he ever really changed because uh

00:52:59.140 so here's what i think might be happening i think it's entirely possible

00:53:05.620 that uh mayor eric adams will turn back republican in return for a pardon

00:53:13.620 i don't know if that's legal to offer something in return for a pardon but if what he offered was

00:53:21.220 you know if i get a pardon i'm just going to register as republican and we're going to go from there

00:53:26.980 because it would be a hell of a story hell of a story now i understand that he has he has some

00:53:34.020 democrat positions that you don't like so we're just keeping an eye on this i don't have a

00:53:38.820 a strong preference it's just a good story meanwhile bill maher on club random was talking to

00:53:49.380 a comedian guest actor whose name i can't remember but uh

00:53:55.860 but apparently bill maher is no longer suffering the worst of the tds so he's decided we might be

00:54:02.660 able to survive the trump era without losing our democracy so here's what he said on club random

00:54:10.180 bill maher and the truth is you're probably going to be able to keep doing that meaning just doing

00:54:15.940 normal life and no matter what's going out there in the world of course the worst thing could happen

00:54:20.980 trump could get into office and blow up the world on day one could happen obviously it won't he goes

00:54:28.420 but you know i'm not going through the same spiel i did last time like when it happens

00:54:34.660 wake me but i'm not giving my mind over to it again and i'll see what happens and here's the

00:54:40.740 here's the kill shot you ready bill maher says and one thing i've learned about the future

00:54:46.420 is that we're very bad at predicting it and whatever you think is probably likely to happen 0.66

00:54:50.980 probably isn't going to happen let me read that again one thing i've learned about the future is that

00:54:57.060 we are very bad at predicting it we we are are we bad at predicting the future

00:55:09.220 you and i and bill we because i remember over 70 million americans who got it all right in 2016

00:55:20.260 all right in 2020 but there weren't enough of them the other side won and all right in 2024

00:55:26.980 70 million people three and a three

00:55:31.940 and he calls that we can't predict the future yes we can 70 million people got the future right

00:55:38.740 three times in a row and not just a little bit like completely right three times in a row it's the same

00:55:46.100 people who spotted all the fake news three times in a row right well actually 100 times in a row

00:55:53.780 so this this just fascinates the hell out of me because i think bill maher is actually chewing

00:56:01.540 through the wall of his prison and i think he's gonna make it out that you know i i would have

00:56:08.660 bet against it i would have bet against it but he is so close that he's gotten to the the barrier and the

00:56:15.540 the barrier wall is that the the future is hard to predict it's really not

00:56:25.620 not for 70 million people on the right they kind of got everything right for 12 years in a row if he

00:56:32.580 hasn't if he can't go that final the final step he can't get out of the he can't get out of his trap

00:56:40.980 he's got one step left and that one step is

00:56:46.100 i bill maher i'm bad at predicting the future because i've been reading too much fake news

00:56:51.860 we are not bad at predicting the future we're not perfect get lots wrong but we're pretty darn good

00:57:01.060 at it do you know why the do you know why the political right is better at predicting the future

00:57:08.420 because the political right is not suffering under a bunch of weird

00:57:13.300 you know illusions that they look at motivation so when you see elon musk he was posting the other

00:57:23.540 day about something you know it wouldn't motivate this i think it was if you if you hire somebody to

00:57:31.860 get rid of x x will never be gotten rid of because that's the person's job if he gets rid of it he 1.00

00:57:38.420 doesn't have a job so the incentive structure is hiring somebody to get rid of problem x will

00:57:43.220 guarantee the problem x never goes away because the guy's getting paid to stay there and fight it

00:57:48.580 not to not to beat it and go away so as long as as long as republicans understand incentives

00:57:57.540 and they also understand the news is all fake they're going to be in pretty good shape for predicting

00:58:03.460 the future if the democrats still think the news is real because they read the new york times

00:58:09.060 and they don't know that incentives are the only thing that makes anything predictable is the

00:58:15.540 incentive structure they will be wrong forever you just got to learn these two things the news is

00:58:22.260 intentionally wrong intentionally if you don't understand that it's intentionally wrong then

00:58:28.020 you're really gonna be lost because nobody makes that many mistakes accidentally

00:58:32.020 all right

00:58:40.660 that's enough of that meanwhile derek chauvin's lawyers or derek chauvin himself maybe is he won the right

00:58:49.940 to re-examine the heart tissue and fluid samples from george floyd's body because there was one hypothesis

00:58:57.460 that somehow didn't make it to chauvin that there was some doctor who hypothesized floyd had a specific

00:59:04.980 kind of heart condition that would have killed him so if they can find that these heart tissue and

00:59:12.420 samples are suggestive of that specific heart condition then he's got a you know a cause maybe

00:59:21.300 overturning it or getting a pardon or i don't know something and i don't know if this is going to work

00:59:29.060 it feels like a bit of a long shot

00:59:33.140 but i feel like trump's third act just needs it it just needs it i think trump needs to find out that

00:59:40.340 the climate change alarm was a little overdone he needs to find out that all the hoaxes were hoaxes

00:59:46.740 he needs to find out that the elections didn't have the integrity that people hoped for and he

00:59:53.620 needs and we need to overturn the derek chauvin thing maybe the daniel penny not guilty verdict was

01:00:01.860 you know getting us moving in the right direction

01:00:06.980 we'll see but uh trump's getting ready to run the table on all that stuff uh there's a rumor trump says

01:00:13.380 he might be considered not a rumor i guess the news he says he's considering the privatization of the

01:00:19.060 post office uh unusual wales was reporting that and um somebody said it's the the post office is a

01:00:28.500 garbage delivery service that's exactly how i see the post office so i've got this box at the end of my

01:00:36.260 driveway that every few days i have to go and empty and almost never almost never is it anything 0.73

01:00:45.380 but garbage it's literally just garbage in fact i like to check my mail on uh the day after garbage

01:00:52.900 day because on garbage day the mailbox is sitting next to my garbage so i just open up the garbage take

01:01:00.980 out the mail and put it in the garbage and that's that's my most efficient mail day now i do check

01:01:06.180 it to make sure there's there's nothing strange in there but at most i have maybe three things

01:01:14.820 three things that ever come to me in the mail that i care about and those three things easily could

01:01:20.820 turn into digital bills and you know emails so i don't really have a reason for a post office

01:01:27.780 do you yeah we have competing services and they would just pick up the difference so yeah

01:01:34.660 i think maybe getting out of the postal service business is exactly what 2025 requires

01:01:43.460 um meanwhile so here's the trump effect i've got a few trump effect stories so gavin newsom said that

01:01:52.420 california has been working to reduce costs in government and he's going to eliminate 62 000 positions in

01:01:58.900 california um they're government jobs but here's what he had the nerve to say this is gavin newsom

01:02:05.460 governor of california quote we've been working before before doge was doge it's like a promo project we're

01:02:13.220 going to eliminate 62 000 positions california is a leader in that space

01:02:17.860 so here's what comes after total capitulation so the democrat party completely annihilated

01:02:28.900 just nothing left and what you're seeing is that people are finding it might be safer

01:02:35.140 to embrace trump than to embrace democrats now that's fully destroyed he is he's actually went from

01:02:43.780 everything trump does is bad and he's hillary he's going to steal your democracy to all the way all

01:02:50.340 the way to we're going to do trump stuff better than trump we're going to do even more trump stuff and

01:02:55.620 sooner than trump that trump stuff is so good that i'd like to brag about doing the trump stuff even

01:03:01.620 faster than trump now how can trump win harder than that that's the hardest trump could ever win

01:03:10.420 instead of having somebody bragging on the you know on the defeated team having somebody bragging

01:03:15.860 that they're acting more like trump every day how do you win harder than that my god

01:03:23.700 but anyway also uh good work gavin newsom so i like to be the guy who doesn't say everything's

01:03:30.500 bad on the other team if this is real if they really eliminated 62 000 positions and it really makes

01:03:37.380 sense this is just good work do more of this please all right uh as you know reuters is a sketchy

01:03:46.820 organization and their news looks like it's you know uh it looks like it's intentionally just democrat

01:03:54.180 fake news but did you know that reuters is more than just um alleged fake news they also have some

01:04:02.260 side businesses and they have uh over 300 million dollars in government contracts

01:04:09.460 this is according to mike benz they have 11 different biden agencies targeting elon's business

01:04:17.220 and all 11 agencies are paid millions are paying millions to reuters so the same government agencies

01:04:25.220 that are weaponized against elon musk are funding reuters you all see what's going on here so reuters

01:04:36.340 man and then it gets better it gets better so i'm going to say the first two parts again so that when

01:04:42.260 i say the third part you'll you'll just like throw your phone across the room you ready for this

01:04:47.300 are you ready you better be sitting down for this i'll just read the first part again the but uh

01:04:54.820 so this is from mike benz the biden administration paid reuters over 300 million in government contracts

01:05:00.740 again for their side businesses and 11 different biden government agencies targeted elon musk's businesses

01:05:09.220 and all 11 have paid millions of dollars to reuters

01:05:13.140 and here's the third part wait for it reuters then won the pulitzer prize for their work on

01:05:22.020 elon musk's misconduct in his businesses

01:05:27.860 no don't throw your phone don't do it no no don't do it calm down

01:05:35.140 is this real it's real yeah i bet ben joey shows the receipts when mike benz tells you something's

01:05:42.580 happening he always as far as i know he always has the the public publicly available link you can look

01:05:52.020 look and see it yourself so i think all of this is just public but but until somebody like ben's

01:06:00.740 pulls together the the different parts you don't see the picture do you you can't see the picture

01:06:07.220 until he shows you how it's connected to everything which is uh what would we do without mike benz

01:06:15.780 and the glenn greenwalds and the uh michael schellenbergers and the matt taibis um elon to some

01:06:23.860 extent david sachs but we now have this constellation of uh temporarily anyway right-leaning people

01:06:34.020 who all have this ability to see the entire field and all the connections we didn't have that before

01:06:41.380 yeah well i'll add mike cernovich to the list somebody who sees the connections uh jack pasabek

01:06:47.860 sees the connections um uh bannon in the war room he sees the connections so i could go on you know

01:06:56.580 with a dozen more names but the the ability of the political right to understand the whole field

01:07:04.580 and see all the connections is really really impressive at this point i i think they're

01:07:10.900 unbeatable for a while well you know the story about the radioactive material that went missing

01:07:18.740 near new jersey earlier in december and then we've got all these reports of the drones so some people

01:07:27.620 say those drones are looking for the cat 3 nuclear waste now first of all cat 3 nuclear waste doesn't

01:07:34.260 seem to be like a super dangerous kind i'm no expert but cat 3 isn't exactly a dirty bomb is it i mean

01:07:44.020 i'm not sure why i'm not i don't know that you can even weaponize it if you wanted to so i'll look for

01:07:49.460 a fact check on that if somebody could tell me later or in the comments could you weaponize what they

01:07:56.500 call cat 3 nuclear waste i think it's something from medical processes

01:08:04.260 what do you think can you weaponize that so but whether you can or not um here's what i know

01:08:11.620 you wouldn't use drones alone and you wouldn't use these kinds of drones to look for radiation

01:08:17.940 um i know that because it just i didn't realize this but i know somebody i know somebody personally

01:08:26.420 who was involved in looking for weapons of mass destruction in iraq and they were looking for

01:08:32.100 radiation signals and what we learned from that is that you would have most of the work would be in the

01:08:38.740 ground so it's not impossible that there could be an airborne element to it but i think even if in the

01:08:47.540 old days anyway in iraq they would have to drop down some kind of a sensor i don't think they could

01:08:53.300 just fly over unless they have some new tech we don't know about which is possible they might have

01:08:58.260 new tech but in the classic sense of looking for radiation you'd need to be on the ground

01:09:04.740 and you'd need to have your devices for looking for it on the ground flying a thousand feet in the air

01:09:09.940 or 500 feet in the air probably doesn't get it done if you're looking for a you know weeks signal so

01:09:18.100 i would say the um the coincidence of the lost materials is probably not related to the drones

01:09:25.780 i'm gonna i'm gonna say not related but here's some updates number one apparently what the government

01:09:32.260 the federal government emphasis on the federal government apparently the approach they're going to take

01:09:37.940 is that there there were never on any unusual drones so everything was either a legal airplane

01:09:46.340 or a hobbyist drone or a commercial drone but nothing actually happened there was no unusual activity

01:09:53.700 whatsoever and that will be their story now this is fun for me because you know i like the persuasion and

01:10:04.420 the uh the you know all the the psychological elements of the story could it be possible

01:10:13.540 even remotely that there was not a single unusual drone now i'm going to say i haven't seen anything

01:10:21.700 that convinces me i saw any unusual drones on any photography or any video i've seen things that

01:10:29.140 people who were there in person who took the pictures say oh this was not normal didn't look

01:10:35.460 like a plane it was too low too many of them and that sort of things but i haven't personally seen

01:10:42.660 anything but you know shady videos that look like regular planes or regular drones or something so i

01:10:50.100 haven't seen any evidence of drones have you just think about that i've been following the story and i

01:10:58.020 haven't seen any evidence of drones that i would consider reliable but here's the thing that is

01:11:06.020 reliable the people who are standing there at the moment and saying i'm standing here and i'm looking

01:11:11.860 at a sky that doesn't look normal here's what's happening these things are these things are hovering

01:11:18.340 the hovering might be a mistake the hovering might be that they were just in the distance coming

01:11:23.380 toward you and they look like they're hovering but actually they're just getting close to you slowly

01:11:28.580 so is it possible that this is a hundred percent mass hysteria is that possible because here here's why

01:11:38.260 i'm resisting it i'm resisting it because i didn't see it and that's sort of my job i feel like it's my job

01:11:48.020 when when a mass hysteria forms that i should be the one to tell you informed and i've been saying i

01:11:53.780 don't think so i don't think so did i get taken by this did did i get taken by a mass hysteria

01:12:03.380 and again i'd like to emphasize that including individuals that i know personally when they're

01:12:10.500 standing there looking at it they'll tell you very clearly this stuff is not normal whatever we're

01:12:15.860 looking at this is not not normal which is also very persuasive so here's what i think might have

01:12:25.700 happened this is pure speculation what i think might have happened is they had to do a lot of

01:12:32.580 training or maybe they were testing some new technology for drones but that it was real it was real and it

01:12:39.940 did last for over a month but now they're done or they need to do less of it or they found another

01:12:47.140 place to do it so now that the sightings will be decreased because they don't have the need to do it

01:12:55.460 um they can say it never happened and they can walk outside and say look i don't see anything

01:13:01.860 nothing happening now and all those videos you sent where the pilots are all saying they're just

01:13:06.980 airplanes apparently pilots are having a good laugh at the whole situation because the professional

01:13:13.940 pilots believe they're experts and they believe that they can tell looking at a picture that it's

01:13:18.820 definitely planes or or ordinary drones or i guess here's a perfect example um governor the former

01:13:28.660 governor of maryland um was posting a video of some drones that he was watching

01:13:34.660 that turned out to be the stars uh beetlejuice and bellatrix

01:13:39.780 so the former governor of former governor of maryland couldn't tell the difference between stars

01:13:49.060 and vehicles and that's probably what a lot of people were doing so i'm i'm gonna

01:13:58.900 i'm gonna be right on the fence on this one i don't know how much of this was mass hysteria

01:14:05.460 i'm guaranteed that 95 of it was mass hysteria so i don't know about the five percent but i'm sure

01:14:12.740 that most of the sightings were airplanes that i'm sure of that most of the sightings were airplanes

01:14:18.660 that still leaves plenty of room for mysterious drones that were more than we've ever seen

01:14:25.300 so i'm gonna go with the government was definitely doing something like trump said the white house

01:14:31.540 knows exactly what they were doing probably training we're testing out something and they're now they're

01:14:37.220 done because they had an immediate need but they met their immediate need uh probably preparing for war

01:14:43.780 i hope it's in the middle east and not here and 1.00

01:14:50.020 now the government can claim it never happened they'll just debunk all the photos and videos

01:14:55.860 say no no it's just a it's just a bad photo and a bad video nothing happened and then you won't see

01:15:01.620 anything happening at the moment so you won't be able to get any new or better pictures

01:15:06.820 so they can just say nope never happened you imagined the whole thing they are going to tell

01:15:13.300 us we imagined the whole thing but we might have imagined the whole thing that's actually possible

01:15:23.460 so i i've got you know the the two conflicting feelings uh one is that

01:15:29.780 it's hard for me to imagine so many people saw so many things and it was a mass hysteria but that's

01:15:37.940 what makes the mass hysteria work the reason the mass hysteria works is that people say things like i

01:15:43.700 just said well i can't imagine so many people would be fooled from a direct observation yes so many people

01:15:51.940 can be fooled very easily in a direct observation um also a little fake news uh i was one of the

01:16:01.860 people who said hey biden's preemptive pardons are crazy there's so many of them because he had like

01:16:07.220 over six thousand of them when other presidents had a few hundred and then somebody said that um

01:16:14.100 uh oh no he had over eight thousand i guess somebody said that uh the vast majority of them

01:16:18.980 were people in jail for weed related offensives is that true are are most of the volume of the

01:16:27.380 biden um pardons are coming commuting sentences are those for weed related things because if they are

01:16:34.980 then i'm okay with it and and i would say why didn't trump do it basically so that might have been fake

01:16:41.380 news that his pardons were out of control they might so in the end his his number of like individual

01:16:48.020 pardons might be comparable to the past but if he did a whole bunch of marijuana people at once

01:16:55.700 i'd call that good i'd say good for you um but um as jonathan totally points out if if biden is planning

01:17:06.980 a blanket pardon for his entire administration which he might be um he might do that because he's afraid of

01:17:16.100 lawfare um which he should be and it might create a situation where every president can give preemptive

01:17:24.900 pardons to his entire administration which would mean there would be no accountability whatsoever to

01:17:31.540 any administration for anything because they would just all get pardoned so we may have we may have

01:17:39.460 drifted into a really bad situation we'll see if we can manage this probably can but yeah if biden does

01:17:46.740 literally preemptive pardons for his entire administration

01:17:52.420 it's going to be hard to imagine that trump wouldn't do the same thing and then what do you have

01:17:59.300 anyway apparently the german government just collapsed with a no confidence vote and that's not too long after

01:18:05.940 the french government collapsed with a no confidence or the collapsed i guess and uh now there are reports

01:18:13.060 that uh justin trudeau is considering resigning why is this all the is this all the trump effect

01:18:25.220 did trump take down three governments already

01:18:27.620 because i think maybe he did and here's why i think if the other countries look at america and they

01:18:38.820 say wait what's trump doing he's closing the border really he's closing your border he's saving america

01:18:47.700 by closing your border we need that wait what else is he doing he's unleashing the energy production in

01:18:55.460 his country to lower all their prices wait we need that he's tough on crime

01:19:05.060 wait we need that he's for free speech we need that it might be it's too early to say but it might be

01:19:16.580 that when people see that trump is offering and delivering a package of goods that they desperately need

01:19:23.380 need desperately need in their country how about nuclear power do you think there are any countries

01:19:29.060 in europe that are anti-nuclear power or looking at us and saying um they look like they're going strong

01:19:35.780 into nuclear power yeah i i think that trump by existing and being so right on all the common sense stuff

01:19:46.020 these are all common sense things close the border common sense crime common sense nuclear energy

01:19:52.820 common sense there's no politics in any of that and i would imagine that's those are universal messages

01:20:00.980 because everybody likes those things you know they like more energy if they know the right way to do it

01:20:06.260 so maybe other other other governments specifically the you know so-called democratic countries they might

01:20:16.660 all fall because they all got woke they all got under control and watching america lead and this is america

01:20:23.860 leading let's let's be clear about that america doesn't always lead i i think europe leads in food safety

01:20:31.860 for example so we don't lead in everything that's for sure but we're leading like hell right now uh

01:20:39.620 trump trump leads like he's really good at it you know as much as trump got credit for being uh come from

01:20:48.900 behind kind of you know came out of left field the first time and then came from behind the second time

01:20:55.140 the thing he doesn't get enough credit for is that once he's secure in his power

01:21:02.020 he's one cool cucumber he he is so much in his exact element where everything he's ever screamed that he

01:21:12.020 wanted you to believe you now believe everything he yelled about you now think is just common sense

01:21:20.180 he won everything he won everything so he's comfortable and it looks like it and i think

01:21:27.140 other countries are going to say give us one of those you've heard this probably it's going around

01:21:32.580 on social media but uh former cia person sarah adams no relation um says united states is not ready for

01:21:40.660 the kind of terrorist attacks that are certainly coming and she says there'll be swarming attacks

01:21:46.660 and there are new thinner blow-up vests so you're going to see more people wearing exploding vests in

01:21:56.900 the united states and uh that the people were fighting mostly the radical islamist types are going to

01:22:04.260 fight until they get killed because they expect to die and she says if multiple waves of these kinds of

01:22:11.540 attacks broke out at the same time around america we'd be really unprepared and really in trouble

01:22:18.980 now i think she is right that there will be coordinated multi-city attacks but i still think it's going

01:22:26.500 to be by drone and i still worry that it's going to be a chemical attack because if they crop dust

01:22:33.780 enough cities at the same time with any material that looks like it's dangerous the country's going to

01:22:40.340 fall apart because you won't be able to get out of the city the traffic will be immediately it'll be

01:22:46.420 a mess so i think that's where it's headed multiple attacks at the same time some somewhat like the

01:22:54.580 the october 7th thing so now you've been warned i'd uh i would get a gas mask um if you don't have one

01:23:04.660 that's that's serious by the way i don't know where you get one but if you could get a gas mask that

01:23:09.460 would protect you from any airborne aerosol poisons i would get one for each of the family members

01:23:17.540 and one for the dog because it's sort of guaranteed not in your town but it's kind of guaranteed that

01:23:26.260 somebody's gonna get a drone with some chemical or biological agents and start sprinkling it somewhere

01:23:33.060 um so i would be equipped for that uh i wasn't following the romania thing but apparently america

01:23:45.300 once again is trying to control another country successfully i guess so romania had an election

01:23:51.700 and it got canceled um because america and nato want to build a huge nato base in romania that is

01:24:00.180 pointing right at crimea did you know that it would be uh by a factor of two it would be the biggest

01:24:11.620 nato base anywhere would be the biggest one and if you could imagine imagine the black sea like a like 0.96

01:24:21.700 an oval and then crimea sort of dangles down like a scrotum so crimea is like the scrotum of the black sea

01:24:32.580 just sort of dangles down well they want to put this gigantic nato base on the the left side of the potato

01:24:40.900 facing the scrotum how happy is russia gonna be if crimea is is like a short walk from the biggest

01:24:53.620 nato base i mean i'm exaggerating it's not a short walk but it doesn't look good so apparently we really 0.96

01:25:02.100 need this and so america seems to have uh beaten away the election challenger and now it's a now

01:25:11.060 canceled election

01:25:14.580 so that's sketchy

01:25:18.980 so the question that i ask about the neocons and the the plans for russia and all that

01:25:25.300 um do we really think we can defeat russia militarily are we actually trying to overthrow 0.66

01:25:33.940 the entire country militarily and control it from for the rest of time are we really doing that and

01:25:40.980 you know it would sound crazy except we do this routinely we just do it with smaller countries like

01:25:48.260 romania so but is that the plan is is the the golden plan to just conquer russia and try to fool them

01:25:57.780 into not using their nukes somehow so i don't know you know i i don't seem probably seem to you like i

01:26:08.820 speak out against our evil military colonial ambitions and it's because i'm not sure they're bad

01:26:16.020 they're evil they're 100 evil but i don't know if it's bad for me because this concept of controlling

01:26:27.940 other countries probably works to some extent doesn't work every time 0.99

01:26:36.260 but i you know i've said before if your country is not expanding it's shrinking

01:26:40.740 there's just no other way to go you're either growing or you're shrinking so if this is how we

01:26:47.780 grow like trying to dominate other countries well what's the alternative none of it's good

01:26:55.860 i mean the the whole business of geopolitics is dirty business

01:27:03.140 all right colonialism is good people are saying

01:27:10.740 all right we should do it without being detected

01:27:17.860 expand or die yeah i think that's true 0.88

01:27:21.060 i think you either expand or you die it was true of trump

01:27:26.020 so when trump was um defeated in 2020

01:27:32.900 he doubled down he expanded

01:27:34.980 so expanding works shrinking doesn't

01:27:41.940 well switzerland is the exception that proves the rule

01:27:46.100 if switzerland had anything that anybody wanted it would already be conquered

01:27:50.820 can we agree on that if switzerland had anything that anybody important really really wanted

01:27:55.940 they would already be conquered so switzerland wins by being the banker for all the bad guys

01:28:04.420 so the bankers of the bad guys don't get attacked because the bad guys need bankers

01:28:09.300 so it's really a special case you know there's certainly no argument uh there's no good argument

01:28:16.340 for staying um unaligned in the long run that doesn't work somebody somebody will whack you

01:28:23.060 all right ladies and gentlemen did i forget anything today i believe i've covered everything important

01:28:30.260 and that means it's time to say hi to the locals subscribers privately i'll say bye to youtube and rumble

01:28:37.060 and x now thanks for joining come back tomorrow same time same place we'll have more fun

01:28:53.060 here's this year

01:29:00.900 thanks

01:29:03.780 now

01:29:23.060 Thank you.

01:29:53.060 Thank you.

01:30:23.060 Thank you.

01:30:53.060 Thank you.

01:31:23.060 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 17, 2024

Episode 2692 CWSA 12⧸17⧸24

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