In this episode of the show, we talk about artificial general intelligence (AGI) and why it might not be as smart as we think it is, and why we should be worried if it becomes smarter than us.
01:02:52.500under the guise of intelligence gathering
01:02:54.540present false opposition research to a court as a basis for wiretapping a candidate's advisors
01:02:59.660use false opposition research to brief the president of the united states ambush the president elect with false opposition research seek to include false opposition research and intelligence community products ambush the national security advisor with wiretap information on the pretense of a logan act violation mislead stonewall congress on the investigation of the president mislead the president about the investigated investigation targeting him
01:03:22.880and then byron says sarcastically can you imagine the FBI doing something like that yeah i don't think democrats have any idea what their own party did i don't think they have any idea if they did uh the list i'm reading from is from a post on x by by byron york so go to byron york's um x feed and you'll see the list or you can
01:03:52.720you know i reposted it so you can see it on mine
01:03:55.300all right according to zero hedge uh half of canadian manufacturing companies uh are planning for layoffs if trump enacts his tariffs so trump has threatened tariffs against canadian companies and now they believe the threats and they're making plans in case they happen
01:04:16.720so he threatened to threaten to threaten to threaten to threaten a 25 tariff on all canadian goods now i'm going to say this again
01:04:25.060i said yesterday but maybe i haven't made my point well enough
01:04:29.780um trump's tariff negotiations are just about the most brilliant thing i've ever seen
01:04:40.220and i'm only talking from a persuasion point of view if you're talking from a fact-checking point of view
01:04:47.220not so good not so good but he's not operating on a fact-checking plane
01:04:54.320he's operating very obviously you know nobody would doubt this he's negotiating with the world
01:05:00.920so trump is already negotiating but it's he's in the priming phase so he's simply getting people
01:05:09.560ready for the the serious negotiations which i also called negotiating when you're just priming them for
01:05:15.320later and the priming goes like this uh that trump believes that um tariffs are an amazing amazing tool
01:05:24.380that make money for the united states so he definitely wants to use them he wants to use them big
01:05:30.340he'll use them everywhere that people don't give us what we want and it's going to be a great great deal
01:05:35.440so we win we win if we tariff and we win if we get what we want in a trade deal
01:05:41.320so he's got two ways to win he wins if he gets the tariff he wins if they cave and give him what he wants
01:05:47.140two ways to win now what did the fact checkers say um scott i i don't think he even understands how tariffs
01:05:57.100work now really really you don't think he understands how tariffs work uh and then they would say
01:06:04.080because the american company pays the tariff he knows that he knows that of course he did but what he's
01:06:15.040doing is brilliant because he created an asset out of thin air the asset is that he loves tariffs
01:06:26.440and he can't wait to put them on you that's that that was created on a thin air do you know what
01:06:33.040every other politician would have said well the last thing i want to do is put on a tariff
01:06:37.480but if i have to if i have to i will and then you've told your negotiating partner that you
01:06:45.160don't want to put a tariff on and then they say well he doesn't want the tariff so we don't have
01:06:49.840to negotiate too hard we don't have to give them what they want they're not going to put you know
01:06:53.800they're not going to put a 25 tariff on every good that would be terrible for american consumers
01:06:59.460and he must know that so therefore we can ignore his tariff threat
01:07:04.360but can you ignore trump's tariff threat when you believe you believe that he believes
01:07:13.940that the more tariffs he puts on you the better the united states will be and so will he
01:07:19.260that's what makes 50 percent of canadian companies make a plan for 25 tariffs because they believe
01:07:29.560that trump believes tariffs are the greatest thing ever now when i say that he created an asset and a
01:07:38.480thin air every other politician said tariffs are terrible it's a last resort no tool they took their
01:07:48.000own tool away trump says tariffs are wonderful i would like to bathe in them i can't get enough of
01:07:55.460them just give me any excuse i would love to i would like to cover your little country with tariffs
01:08:00.980until you can't sell a single thing in the united states oh i love tariffs oh there's nothing you could
01:08:07.180do to talk me out of it wait what oh you'd give me all the concessions that i've asked for in the trade
01:08:14.380deal huh i still love yeah but i still love tariffs tariffs are awesome i i appreciate your offer that's
01:08:25.000the best offer we've ever gotten but i love tariffs so okay okay okay we can sweeten the deal
01:08:32.960that was the best offer we've ever made for a trade deal but
01:08:35.980we don't want the tariffs so all right all right we're going to give you what you want
01:08:44.460then trump will say ah well you know in the interest of good relations i really wanted these tariffs
01:08:54.080but all right he created an asset and of nothing and then he's going to trade it nobody ever did that
01:09:05.180before he's the only person in the world who could pull this off so even i even i in the beginning of
01:09:15.520this said this doesn't work because the tariffs are bad for americans how can you use this as a weapon
01:09:22.480and then i find out how i could use this weapon he has convinced the world that he's not rational
01:09:30.180about tariffs and you know what there's nothing i could say that would ever change that
01:09:38.740you know you think to yourself but scott what you're giving away the game no i'm not because no matter
01:09:46.460what i say canada is still going to think he's going to do it they're not listening to me
01:09:52.080and by the way he would do it this is the beauty of it it's not a bluff
01:09:59.360if it were a bluff i don't think he'd get away with it but he would actually put a 25 tariff on
01:10:06.900every canadian good he would right so it's not even though he's created this in a thin air
01:10:14.060he would still do it so that's the beauty of it he would still do it even though it's just a created
01:10:22.840asset anyway the the level of brilliance in this negotiation wise is he's not just a good
01:10:31.080negotiator he's just creating things that didn't exist before i mean that's we've never even seen this
01:10:38.800that's that's a level you've never seen before it's amazing anyway normal politicians just can't do
01:10:47.140that um remember i talked yesterday there was a story about a fusion energy plant that was going to
01:10:55.380be built by commonwealth fusion systems and it was all approved it was a mit spinoff and you know
01:11:03.240they had their they had all the state approvals and they were going to go ahead and build this thing
01:11:07.320and i said wait a minute is this a typo because there's no such thing as a economical fusion
01:11:16.660reactor how could we have one that's been approved and they're building it when it doesn't exist
01:11:21.600so you remember that i was skeptical that maybe they'd literally just written down the wrong word
01:11:28.300like a typo like do they mean fission but they said fusion because they got the two reversed
01:11:34.120so today i have my answer um there's an article in futurism uh by victor tangerman and he he points
01:11:45.960out that uh indeed fusion has not been invented as scale they've done lab tests where they can do it at
01:11:54.820a tiny tiny scale and it works at a tiny tiny scale but the technical obstacles
01:12:02.500to go from the tiny tiny scale up to a grid size you know full full deployment would require
01:12:10.980breakthroughs and innovations that are unimagined so far meaning that they don't have a plan to build a
01:12:19.180thing they have a plan to figure out how to build the thing and figuring out how to build it might require
01:12:26.980building it you might have to build it to find out if it works and then if you're lucky and something
01:12:35.000doesn't work you maybe you've built enough that you can tweak it until it works so you know billions of
01:12:42.660dollars are on the line probably billions more there i'm sure there'll be overruns or always are
01:12:47.820so it's a multi-billion dollar bet that this particular group of cats that come out of mit
01:12:55.500can conquer so far unconquered problems and big ones now did i mention it's an mit spinoff
01:13:05.900if this were anyone else except for an mit spinoff meaning i assume it means that that is staffed with a
01:13:17.820i don't know if you quite understand what mit is but that's our smartest people
01:13:25.160those are our smartest people engineering wise they're our smartest people if if an mit spinoff
01:13:32.480says they can make this work or it's or it's at least worth the bet you know nobody knows the future
01:13:38.860but it's but if they say it's worth the bet because they can kind of smell it and they feel it and they
01:13:45.120think they can conquer it i'm all for it i'm 100 for this even if it doesn't work because imagine if it
01:13:55.040did that this is sort of a it's a leapfrog play if uh if china is building i don't know dozens and
01:14:05.740dozens of nuclear power plants they're going to get ahead of us on energy and whoever has the best
01:14:11.320energy program usually rules because energy equals economics economics equals military military gives
01:14:18.880you power so energy economics military that's that's the order of things if you get energy right
01:14:26.240which the u.s has for most of its uh its existence then you get the economy and then you get the power
01:14:33.800so having mit the best of the best trying to leapfrog regular regular fission and go all the way to
01:14:45.720fusion from a risk reward perspective perfect it's perfect if you said to me scott you know let me just
01:14:57.160presume some overruns the united states wants to bet five billion that a group of mit nuclear engineers
01:15:05.500can solve the remaining steps to get to grid scale fusion would you bet five billion dollars
01:15:13.660in 2024 just in case it works yes yes because fusion if it works and therefore would be reproducible
01:15:27.140uh changes everything uh changes everything it changes everything so yeah if we get there first
01:15:34.800this is like everything it's our military it's our economy it's our quality of life it's it's america's
01:15:43.380reputation as getting there first for the the important stuff it's everything this is one of the best
01:15:49.920bets you'll probably ever see and it's funny to watch the united states place basically a casino bet
01:15:58.860except the odds are they're the house in this case i guess because the odds are the house i like the odds
01:16:05.520i like the odds so you know maybe maybe if i had a deeper knowledge i'd find something that i didn't
01:16:11.860like about it but on the surface a two to five billion dollar bet that we can leapfrog the entire
01:16:19.000world on fusion oh i love that i mean i love that that that is exactly that's common sense there you go
01:16:27.800that's common sense there's no politics in this that's just good risk management
01:16:33.680i would love to hear elon musk and sam altman's opinion on this because they both have deeper