Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2704 CWSA 12⧸29⧸24

00:00:00.000 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

00:00:12.980 it's called coffee with scott adams and it's probably the best time you'll ever have in your

00:00:18.340 whole darn life but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:23.920 understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of 0.96

00:00:28.640 tanker shells or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:00:34.480 liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end

00:00:38.880 of the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now go

00:00:44.800 paul your timing is perfect every time i really appreciate that

00:00:55.780 well you probably heard there's a horrible plane crash in south korea um the only survivors were

00:01:04.400 two of the flight crew and it was a boeing and i don't think we know the details yet

00:01:11.580 but the landing gear wasn't down and it landed without landing gear and hit a barrier and

00:01:17.080 exploded and it was just terrible um so there's not much to say about that except there's a mystery

00:01:23.940 about why the landing gear wasn't down part of the mystery is that it's designed so it can't not go

00:01:31.220 down if you want it because it'll work on gravity even if it doesn't work mechanically so it would have

00:01:38.100 to be pretty broken you know sort of unusually broken in order not to go down properly

00:01:45.860 um or or was it uh that they didn't put it down it seems very unlikely they didn't put down the

00:01:56.500 because i don't know that seems unlikely so i guess there's just a mystery we'll find out what it is

00:02:01.300 meanwhile according to chris harrison new york post the drone activity over new jersey has taken a holiday

00:02:08.660 and the number of drone sightings has dropped off

00:02:13.060 so can we eliminate the space aliens because i don't think they take a vacation at the end of the year

00:02:19.700 all right all right i'm going to take a minor victory lap because i believe i was the one who

00:02:29.460 suggested that the drone activity would cut way back on a holiday and that's that's one of your clues

00:02:38.980 meanwhile at dalhose university is talking about this uh building a floating solar still

00:02:46.180 that can desalinate water and generate some electricity the electricity makes isn't a big

00:02:51.700 deal but the apparently there's an invention that takes a regular used tire and puts a little plastic

00:03:00.260 dome over it and just floats it out into the salt water and it can desalinate just using the sun

00:03:07.780 and uh it actually creates uh quite a bit of water so the the thing that's special about

00:03:16.020 it is that desalinating without using expensive materials is hard but here they've kind of done

00:03:22.660 it with plastic and a wick and an old tire and it makes a lot of water desalinated water that's kind

00:03:30.340 of a big deal if you're living somewhere poor that doesn't have good water all you need is an

00:03:34.980 old tire and some other materials and next thing you know you got fresh water it's kind of kind of

00:03:40.580 impressive well do you know the company of fiber spelled f-i-v-e and then two r's fiber it's for

00:03:50.260 finding um finding professionals to do small projects well they've got one of the typical 0.98

00:03:57.620 anti-white commercials where there's a white guy who's dumb but thank goodness there's a black woman 1.00

00:04:03.380 there to show you how dumb he is and how smart she is now uh i've been using fiverr so i've used it 0.99

00:04:12.500 several times with great success i like the service i've gotten really good people to do projects from 0.96

00:04:17.940 it but i'm going to cancel my account because i don't i'm not going to listen to your pr people 0.98

00:04:23.860 shitting on white people white men white men specifically um so fiverr you can do whatever 0.98

00:04:32.900 you want but i'm done with you so this is a hard cancel don't look for me to use you anymore after 1.00

00:04:39.540 i'm i've got to wrap up a project but after that after that never again um i feel like you know and

00:04:47.460 probably the uh the pr or the advertising people are the ones responsible for this anti-white guy

00:04:55.460 commercial but you gotta you gotta put your foot down at some point at some point you just have to

00:05:02.820 say that there's my limit right there i'm gonna cancel you and it's got to be hard to cancel i mean

00:05:10.580 even if i want to use the service which i do it's a good service it's a genuinely good service it's a

00:05:16.340 well-executed um site but no i can't i can't be part of that um well of course you want to talk

00:05:25.700 about the h1b thing which has matured now so we've we have a lot more a lot more feel for what's going

00:05:32.980 on so i'll give you a quick update it appears to me that the following people are all on the same page

00:05:38.900 i think uh elon musk donald trump and stephen miller now if all three of them are on the same page and

00:05:49.700 that page is that we we want to bring in the best employees where it makes sense but we don't want to

00:05:56.980 bring in people that would lower wages or take jobs from americans and that's what the h1b and i think

00:06:03.140 maybe the other visa systems were doing they're being abused so there seems to be general agreement

00:06:09.380 that if you could use it to in the its best possible way it would be good for everybody

00:06:15.780 but if you used it the way it's being used that's inappropriate i mean it's it's just bad for american

00:06:24.580 workers so now that uh trump has clarified that uh he likes the h1b and he uses the h1b on his own

00:06:34.420 properties but steven miller informs us that during the first administration they they fixed the h1b

00:06:43.540 process or took a shot at it but under biden none of that is uh still in place so it appears that at

00:06:53.220 least steven miller and as far away as the first administration of trump they were very aware the

00:06:59.300 h1b can't stand right so they're they opposed it they changed it they tried to tighten it up i don't

00:07:06.100 know if they're tightening would have worked elon musk has said that he also believes you can't use the

00:07:12.020 current h1b process and says it's easily fixed by making it more expensive to hire uh foreign people

00:07:21.300 and i thought to myself is it really that easy and i don't know how you'd make it more expensive

00:07:28.260 basically a tariff right you'd have to put a tariff on people so if you're elon musk and you're saying

00:07:35.060 oh i'd like to hire you know the top 0.01 percent of engineers from anywhere in the world and let's say

00:07:42.660 i'm just i'm just making this up but let's say the government said sure you can do that but it'll cost

00:07:47.860 you 20 more than it would and and that that's not going to the employee the employee's not getting

00:07:53.700 the extra 20 that extra 20 is just going to go to the government because you didn't you didn't hire a

00:08:00.340 citizen would that still work for everybody well if you were really getting the top

00:08:07.300 0.01 engineer yeah you'd probably pay 20 over the over the market price again not to the employee

00:08:14.900 but if you had to pay something to the government to to make up for it maybe that makes sense and then

00:08:21.540 when it comes down to farm workers or people who would take your cubicle job nobody's going to pay

00:08:27.220 extra for that you know what i mean nobody's going to pay extra for the same work for that they're going

00:08:35.060 to hire american if they can do it at all so that might work i think that's in the category of things 0.94

00:08:41.140 that are worth a try but i'm going to revise my current opinion as one idiot online called it backpedaling

00:08:54.100 how many of you are offended by people who learn new things and then modify their opinion

00:09:00.580 are any of you offended by that do you feel like i'm i'm less i'm less of a person if new information

00:09:07.780 causes me to modify my opinion a little bit because i'm going to modify my opinion a little bit

00:09:13.780 right here's what i think i think that this of course is a political and economic issue but it's

00:09:20.020 also an emotional one and it's very personal to a lot of people it's not personal to everybody

00:09:27.620 but to a lot of people it's really personal and if you ignore the personal part

00:09:32.980 um you're not seeing the whole field so here's my current understanding and i called it what i learned

00:09:41.780 this week all right it goes like this uh they're asking white american workers to accept dei which

00:09:49.540 they are accepted right now in corporate america dei is pretty much everywhere even though some companies

00:09:56.020 are backing off and we do think that the government will get rid of dei in the government 1.00

00:10:03.300 but so far i haven't seen a direct statement that dei wouldn't be made illegal in corporate america

00:10:11.540 so here's the thing that i think that i underestimated and this is one of those ivory tower things

00:10:18.260 because you know if you're if you're out of the cubicles for a while as i am you can you can maybe

00:10:23.860 forget how it felt like i tell myself i could never forget that but sometimes you have to you know you have

00:10:30.900 to tap yourself on the shoulder and say hey hey are you really are you really remembering how this felt

00:10:37.380 do you really remember how it felt i remember the details i remember my cubicle but do i remember how it

00:10:44.820 felt after all these years and i think that's the thing that that i was absorbing a little bit now what i'm

00:10:52.260 going to tell you nobody told me so so as far as i know this is not anybody's expressed opinion

00:11:00.980 but i'll bet it's boiling around in you and it goes like this

00:11:05.620 um accepting uh yeah asking american white american workers white male american workers

00:11:17.940 specifically but asking white male american workers to accept dei which for the last several years has

00:11:26.100 resulted in only six percent of new jobs going to white men six percent or is it white people in

00:11:33.220 general but it's the the the level of discrimination against white men specifically but probably white people

00:11:42.420 against white men is completely unacceptable so here's what what i took away from this that's new

00:11:52.100 if you tell me to accept dei but also bring in somebody from another country to take my job or lower my salary

00:12:00.180 that's uh obscene it's obscene it's obscene is it good for the economy or it could be if you did it right

00:12:14.180 it's obscene it's an insult it's an insult it's an insult on top of the deepest insult you could ever have

00:12:24.180 which is you know racism so i want dei to go away and i'm sure that trump's on the same page

00:12:34.580 and certainly he'll do it for the government i do trust that that's going to happen for sure is he

00:12:39.860 going to do it in the corporations is he going to just say i'm going to get rid of dei in every

00:12:45.300 corporation it's going to be illegal and you better start getting rid of it now because if i have to tell

00:12:50.420 you to get rid of it it's going to get expensive for you so nobody has said this but i'm going to

00:13:00.100 say it i feel like white americans should trade h1b which i'm in favor of if it's corrected and it's

00:13:08.500 done right just to be additive to the country but i don't think that white americans should accept it

00:13:13.140 it because this is an insult and that matters and let me say it directly at some point the insult

00:13:23.300 matters more than the gdp i've been looking at this as a gdp situation like if you if you have the best

00:13:31.060 gdp then you know all boats rise and the country's stronger we can build a better defense so i've been

00:13:38.100 sort of gdp focused i think that was a mistake i'm going to focus on the insult because i get you

00:13:47.140 can't live in the country well let me say it directly i'll let the gdp fall to correct this

00:13:56.020 it's not it's not worth the price period so if white americans wanted to hold hostage

00:14:01.860 their their approval or acceptance or reluctant acceptance of h1b until dei is just absolutely

00:14:11.220 dead and illegal and people are getting locked up for doing it i'm on board so i'm gonna i'm

00:14:18.100 gonna just side with white american men workers um and i'm gonna say that if we don't have

00:14:25.780 confirmation that dei is going to be absolutely eviscerated in corporate america

00:14:31.460 no just say no to h1b and i'm in favor of h1b but as a negotiating position

00:14:42.580 uh if if any of you white males or people who like white males want to say you know what it's too far

00:14:48.980 it's too far as long as dei exists zero is the right number and we'll and and i will pay that price

00:14:56.340 i'll pay the price gdp down two percent yep i'll pay that i will pay that all day long

00:15:04.740 you gotta fix dei so imagine this how would you feel about it because the feelings do matter

00:15:13.220 sometimes the insult is bigger than the economics and that's where we're at the insults bigger than the

00:15:20.180 economics and by the way the economics of white people not being able to get jobs is pretty 0.97

00:15:25.860 fucking i'm sorry it's pretty darn big 0.97

00:15:32.020 if you don't have a job that's pretty big 0.99

00:15:36.980 so i'm going to change my vote i'm opposed to h1b even the single person not one person unless unless

00:15:45.940 trump can confirm that he's going to kill dei completely and he should be warning companies

00:15:52.180 already you better get rid of that you got like two weeks before the law is coming for you because

00:15:58.020 this is illegal got to stop it so let's negotiate let's negotiate so i hope that's a little closer to

00:16:07.780 the core of what people are feeling there are people who are just saying we don't want to import people

00:16:13.940 who will change the culture of the united states that's a different argument and i believe that

00:16:22.180 importing people who would be positive to the culture of the united states

00:16:25.860 is really indistinguishable from good economics so if you're bringing in people who you say

00:16:34.980 you know you you can check culture as well you say you know are you excited about being an american

00:16:41.060 you know what do you think of america you know i think you could get to very quickly are you somebody

00:16:47.140 who has a cultural compatibility with our economic system but if you come and say you know honestly i'm

00:16:53.700 a really good programmer and i'd like you to hire me but i really love communism too then how about

00:17:00.820 no or or if you have some other belief that just clearly in conflict with the whatever we think are

00:17:08.900 the cultural variables that made america what it is i think you can turn people down for economic reasons

00:17:16.900 if they're not a cultural fit because the cultural the cultural engine is what's driving the economics

00:17:24.500 so you got to get that right as well when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from

00:17:30.340 winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with 1.00

00:17:37.140 the designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price

00:17:43.700 or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those

00:17:49.140 shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less

00:17:57.060 all right i don't know if we can get that right but but that would be the goal um msnbc of course continues

00:18:07.060 to be the comedy the comedy news network they don't try but they're pretty funny so they had a little

00:18:12.820 segment i saw today where um one of the hosts was warning uh people that uh elon musk and vivake

00:18:20.980 ramaswamy are quote coming after white people

00:18:27.060 in what reality are elon musk and vivake coming after white people so they did that thing that

00:18:34.020 they do with all the news where they intentionally misinterpret it now of course they're not coming

00:18:40.500 after white people they were talking about um they were talking about american culture in vivake's case

00:18:47.060 um but that's not coming after white people it's not even close to coming after white people so 0.98

00:18:55.700 uh and they said quote they come in for you they said y'all are white and lazy nope nope vivake did 0.98

00:19:06.100 not call anybody white and lazy that did not happen in any world he did say that america

00:19:11.860 you know might need a culture upgrade of its own and i think criticizing america if you're an american

00:19:20.740 is always fair that we we can't stop doing that it's one of our superpowers we can criticize we can

00:19:27.460 fight it out we can improve so even if you don't like what vivek said don't imagine that something else

00:19:35.300 it's it's not about white people and it's certainly not saying that you know india is superior none of

00:19:42.660 that happened in the real world that didn't happen you just criticized our current culture thought it

00:19:48.580 could be better that's a fair conversation even if you disagree it's a fair conversation all right um but

00:19:57.300 it turns out that uh the msnbc i finally figured out what those letters mean i think msnbc stands for

00:20:08.020 misinterpreting some normal business of conservatives

00:20:13.540 misinterpreting some normal business of conservatives because that's their entire program

00:20:19.780 uh trump said the neo-nazis are fine people no he didn't he didn't say that it sounds like

00:20:28.740 you're misinterpreting some normal business of conservatives um vivek ramaswamy is coming

00:20:36.180 after white people no he's not he's not i i think you're misinterpreting some normal business of

00:20:42.500 conservatives because they like to have conversations with each other about what's working

00:20:47.540 what isn't you know normal normal business

00:20:53.140 well it made news that cnn was not mean to rfk jr in a clip so i feel like things are changing

00:21:02.900 and rfk jr's um mission to fix our food supply

00:21:10.180 has gone now to i think something that is absolutely 100 percent non-political

00:21:18.180 and i think the moms are weighing in in a way that is going to be really really important to the

00:21:24.900 future uh i think there are enough moms who are seeing all these chronic illnesses with their kids 0.99

00:21:31.300 that they have to deal with every day and you know they've got the the empathy but also the work it

00:21:36.180 causes the disruption in family life all of that and i think they're done so cnn air just had a clip

00:21:44.020 in which they uh talked to some mom who was uh saying saying she didn't like gmos and vaccines and

00:21:52.660 corporate greed and uh zen honeycutt is the name of the mom and she ended up actually moving to a farm 1.00

00:22:01.380 to grow their own food because they thought the food supply was poisoning them and found out that when

00:22:06.500 they grew their own farm their own food suddenly the kids didn't have all those health problems

00:22:12.900 now that's not the first time we've heard that story is it we we keep hearing about people as soon

00:22:18.420 as they get off the regular food supply you know their their health improves immediately and cnn ran this

00:22:28.260 um and really gave it i will i will compliment cnn they gave it its full due now they did ask the

00:22:37.460 important question so cnn's uh person mina doors and asked uh esther if uh if all this makes her feel like

00:22:46.260 a conspiracy theorist now that's that's sort of the question that the news you'd expect to ask because

00:22:53.380 rfk jr has been called a conspiracy theorist he's not but he's been called that so asking somebody who's

00:22:59.780 on the same side of him uh at least with some of these issues asking if it makes her feel like a

00:23:05.540 conspiracy theorist i suppose that's a fair question but here's the answer that they they ran in full

00:23:13.700 so her answer was i don't feel like a conspiracy theorist i feel that the conspiracy is to shut

00:23:20.820 down information in order to protect the profits of the corporations that's the real conspiracy

00:23:29.860 and cnn ran that good for you cnn if there's one thing we can agree on we got to fix the food system

00:23:38.660 now was it um colin colin colin colin meanie colin meanie who's the uh advocate for better food

00:23:50.900 in the united states i think he was saying that there's a story where the the the big food companies

00:23:57.940 were absorbed by the big tobacco companies uh after it was obvious that tobacco was unhealthy so it looked

00:24:06.100 like that industry didn't have a future they bought a bunch of food companies and then they used their 0.71

00:24:11.780 evil to turn the food into the cheapest things they could make which weren't that healthy uh in some

00:24:18.020 cases but it was cheaper uh and they made it more addictive so they made it unhealthy and addictive

00:24:25.780 the cigarette companies they own they own some of the biggest food companies now should we be surprised

00:24:32.500 that if you're eating cigarette company products that are made to be cheap but not necessarily healthy

00:24:41.220 should we be surprised what's happening no we should not be surprised uh yeah not it's not colin meanie

00:24:48.820 it's cali cali means thank you marcella so i apologize to cali i was confusing him with colin meanie cali

00:25:00.100 means all right so by the way one of the things my friend carmen simon teaches is that a mistake

00:25:09.460 is more memorable than something ordinary so by completely butchering cali means name you will

00:25:18.020 now remember it because because the mistake makes it more memorable so all is good all is good that ends well

00:25:24.820 anyway so we do have something that i think everybody can get on board on and if it turns

00:25:33.860 out that trump because he was open to the big tent and rfk jr helping on something we all cared about

00:25:40.820 if it turns out trump's the one that solves food

00:25:43.540 through rfk jr's work

00:25:50.100 he's going to be the most popular president of all time it's i mean that the size of that potential

00:25:56.980 accomplishment it's almost incalculable and i don't think anybody else would have done it i don't think

00:26:03.300 biden would have done it i don't think harris would have done it so if trump gets this done he's going

00:26:07.940 to win moms he doesn't have to get elected again but he's going to win moms pretty hard

00:26:13.540 so meanwhile uh as jonathan turley was pointing out um now that the uh america first legal got photos

00:26:24.580 of the biden joe biden and i think the brother and and hunter meeting with all these biden business

00:26:32.420 contacts in china and then we have all the bank records telling us where the money flowed

00:26:36.820 so we have we have physical photos and we have the money flow and nobody has even suggested that

00:26:45.860 that the biden's did anything to earn that money so i don't think we have to wonder if they were

00:26:51.380 selling influence that question is pretty well answered at this point but as uh jonathan turley points out

00:26:58.580 uh after years of ignoring the influence peddling scandal the media is not likely to suddenly pursue

00:27:06.260 the story you know why the media is not likely to pursue the story your first impression would be oh

00:27:13.220 they they back the uh they back the democrats so they don't want to do something that would be

00:27:19.540 embarrassing to democrats that's not exactly why they're not covering the story

00:27:24.500 they're not covering the story because they're the story the media is the story because it's been

00:27:33.220 obvious for a long time that this was very true and if they hadn't if they hadn't covered it when it

00:27:38.660 was a a hint and they hadn't covered it when it was you know pretty clear or they undercovered it you

00:27:45.620 could argue that they did cover it but they they undercovered it um certainly once it's clear that they

00:27:52.900 had a huge story that they didn't cover they can't cover it now if they cover it now it'll be

00:27:59.300 obvious they were part of it part of the cover-up so they can't do a story that says uh breaking uh

00:28:06.580 my management is accomplice in hiding this hiding these crimes like how do you tell that story breaking cnn

00:28:16.660 totally guilty of being totally guilty of being an accomplice in these crimes because if you're

00:28:22.020 helping them cover it what's that called if you're intentionally helping somebody to conceal a crime

00:28:32.100 is that not illegal

00:28:35.540 now i don't think we should arrest cnn for not covering the story but

00:28:39.620 if it if it's in a gray area where you'd say to yourself i feel like that should be against the law

00:28:47.620 to cover a crime and know you're doing it even if you're the news now free speech is a is sort of a

00:28:55.140 bigger issue so i think i'd not make it illegal but it's certainly on the borderline it's got one

00:29:02.260 foot in illegal but i don't think we want to go there all the way ontario the wait is over the

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00:30:07.460 here's my take on what's happening here

00:30:12.740 i think that for many people the revelation that they find people hoax was always a hoax but more

00:30:20.180 importantly that the news media knew it the whole time it's one thing to find out that the news had

00:30:27.140 told you something that's fake or untrue it's completely different when you know that they

00:30:33.140 knew it the whole time that's really different it's not a mistake if you know it the whole time it's

00:30:39.540 propaganda once once the finding people hoax allowed additional people in the public to say wait a

00:30:47.700 minute if that was pure propaganda what is the other stuff remember gel man amnesia where when you realize

00:30:56.980 that the stories that you know about are fake you start thinking wait a minute if all the stories i know

00:31:03.780 the truth about are fake what are those other stories also fake and so if you find out that the find people

00:31:12.180 hoax was not just wrong but they knew it because it was propaganda what's that say about the rest of

00:31:21.300 their stories it's i think the find people hoax really reframed and woke people up in a way that

00:31:28.820 nothing else could have meanwhile uh eric abenanti is reporting how on x um how there's a democratic

00:31:38.020 strategist um he marveled at how hispanics in south texas had the same uh view as a lot of what he called

00:31:48.740 cranky old white guys so jeffrey pollock said this he said quote so what hispanic voters did in many

00:31:56.580 ways across this country is vote with their wallets but there's also it is also clear when

00:32:01.940 you think about what happened in a place like south texas on the border they're sure that the economy

00:32:07.140 is a part of it but also there are clear hostility about immigration which to many of us in blue

00:32:12.740 states and sitting in a place like new york seemed like well how could that be possible he said that

00:32:18.340 if you were just looking into words the words they said if that's all you looked at you would think

00:32:22.900 maybe they were a bunch of cranky white guys from missouri now 0.90

00:32:32.820 what have i been telling people for i don't know eight years in a row if you actually had any contact

00:32:39.620 with the hispanic community they're not real woke they're not woke they want jobs security family god 0.99

00:32:51.140 they're they're just about as republican as you could possibly not all of them of course there's

00:32:55.540 there's no generality that's that's true but i'm gonna i'm gonna make a uh prediction

00:33:05.300 prediction goes like this you know how you thought that they were bringing in all these democrat voters

00:33:12.020 well they're definitely bringing in people that the census will count and if they don't vote i think that

00:33:17.780 works in favor of you know if there's a if there's a democrat there already it gives them more i don't

00:33:23.780 know gives them more opportunity for representatives so there's that but where they vote in the long term

00:33:32.740 i think that long term the immigrants that biden brought in are going to be dominant republican

00:33:38.900 i think the democrats imported millions of republicans and they don't know it because they didn't know

00:33:47.060 this i knew this right i mean if you've watched me for a while you know that i already knew

00:33:54.580 that if you actually talked to actual hispanic families you'd find that they're so compatible

00:34:00.900 with the political right that it would be hard to imagine that they would vote any other way

00:34:06.180 so i'm going to further i'm going to further predict that on you know year one through five we might not

00:34:13.780 see any difference but if you check back in 10 years people are going to say the biggest mistake

00:34:19.860 democrats ever made was importing millions of republican voters and not knowing that they were doing it

00:34:27.860 that's my prediction

00:34:31.060 surprises are coming um and then uh eric gabinetti is also pointing out that uh another democrat

00:34:40.180 strategist doug sosnick um he said quote it doesn't matter what the republicans do

00:34:46.020 uh the democrats and we don't change who we are how our procedure and okay that's a word salad

00:34:52.980 let me read the part that makes sense

00:34:57.300 he says democratic party for nine years now has stood for nothing other than beating trump

00:35:04.740 does that sound fair is it fair that the democrat party has stood for nothing but beating trump

00:35:11.140 that's what it feels like right feels like it um and he says that's been the only organizing principle

00:35:18.900 of the party when you ask a democrat um what are you for the answer is we're against trump

00:35:27.380 so he says we have a lot of work to do as a party well do they because trump can't run for election

00:35:34.500 again so if they put all of their energy into making sure that the next time they don't run against trump

00:35:41.700 do you think they'll figure out that they're not going to run against them again do you think

00:35:49.780 do you think that they'll really prepare for the last war instead of the next one like i can see this

00:35:56.100 world in which they get they really get ready to not blame trump the next time and then wait a

00:36:02.900 minute he's he's not running is he well we're very prepared not to blame him no um

00:36:12.100 i think there may be a quarter of the way to understanding what happened

00:36:18.020 well according to the post-millennium the house republicans want to pass a voter id law

00:36:24.980 for all the states now of course i'm in favor of it if it works but i have a question do we have any

00:36:32.340 any lawyers here who can answer this question can the federal government

00:36:39.060 get into the business of the states the way they run the elections i thought states had wide authority

00:36:45.460 on how they do their elections would it pass the supreme court if the federal government says no

00:36:53.060 states you must do your elections this way on some level yes because for example i think the federal

00:37:02.020 government tells them what date to have the election right so there must be some things

00:37:09.140 that the federal government already tells the states to do such as um you have to put everybody on

00:37:14.980 the ballot i don't know i'm just guessing there must be some things that the federal government requires

00:37:22.180 could they require this as well my understanding would be no because i thought states had

00:37:29.620 full control over this level of detail but i guess we'll find out so i wouldn't predict that it would

00:37:37.540 survive the supreme court um only for federal elections

00:37:42.740 i'm getting an opinion coming in only for federal elections but even federal elections don't the

00:37:51.940 states have wide leeway no wait they could if they wanted by using the commerce claw as a loophole 0.86

00:38:01.220 oh okay so that i've got a real legal opinion there so they could if they wanted by using the commerce

00:38:06.900 clause i don't know enough about that clause or how it's used but they might have a back door

00:38:13.380 all right uh up in canada this seems like a small story but it's big so you know if you have a coal

00:38:21.860 mine you got to load things in trucks and there's a whole bunch of loading things in trucks and the

00:38:26.740 trucks taking it somewhere um but they've now fully automated it with these big electric um loaders so

00:38:36.660 the news is not so much that this changes the world it's happening in canada not the united states

00:38:41.140 but what happens if the price of coal goes way down what's that do to the climate change people

00:38:50.100 because at the moment you know the reason that you would build an alternative to coal

00:38:54.740 you're going to start with what's it going to cost and if the price of coal goes way down because they

00:39:01.860 can automate a lot of stuff hmm does the cost of coal go way down and then does that change

00:39:08.740 energy decisions and make it even harder to fight climate change if you think that that's what's

00:39:14.580 happening i'm not so sure but um anyway something to watch

00:39:20.340 the price of coal might come way down could change things um

00:39:29.940 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:39:33.380 learn more at scotia bank dot com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer

00:39:40.900 than you think so russia has a new drone so it's a uh it's a little buggy so it's on the ground it's not

00:39:48.900 a flying drone so it's on the ground but it has this uh 24 barrel buckshot thing that fires in the air

00:39:56.340 to shoot down uh drones that are in the air but not too high uh it can't get the highest ones but

00:40:04.420 so i see this and go wow there sure is a lot of innovation in drones

00:40:09.460 so now they run out this little buggy and it can look in the air and shoot down a drone

00:40:14.980 good idea if you're not if you're not standing underneath where the buckshot's going to come down

00:40:19.940 um but this makes me ask the following question so we've already decided that it's turning into

00:40:27.540 or maybe already is a drone against drone war would you agree that right now the current technology

00:40:36.020 allows one drone to kill one soldier in either direction because they've got these little suicide

00:40:41.780 drones and and then on top of that they're doing the the struggle for dominance of the technology

00:40:51.380 so this would be part of the struggle to get the technology right and of course the ukrainians

00:40:57.540 will come up with something to jam it and then they'll come some come up with something to unjam

00:41:01.940 it or work around the jam so it's going to be this this technological competition

00:41:06.580 so let me reframe this war in a way that helps trump when he goes to negotiate okay

00:41:14.340 so all this is is a negotiating reframe based on something we can observe

00:41:20.420 the the war between ukraine and russia has now evolved into a manufacturing competition and an innovation

00:41:30.020 competition if you knew that you were russia and their competition was now innovation and manufacturing

00:41:39.380 of drones but you got to be able to manufacture and you got to be able to innovate quickly

00:41:44.900 is that russia's strong point manufacturing and innovation

00:41:51.300 now imagine that their competition is ukraine but ukraine is backed by the united states

00:41:57.140 so now you have a competition between united states and russia on innovation and manufacturing

00:42:04.420 well it turns out we're not so hot at manufacturing are we not not like we used to be but can we correct

00:42:11.380 that faster than they can can we correct and innovate on drones faster than russia i think that pudin probably

00:42:21.380 assumes we can and i think there's a good argument that we can so if you're trump and you're having a

00:42:29.220 conversation with putin would it help to say look this has become a drone war and we're going to be able 0.89

00:42:36.500 to make better drones faster drones and more drones than you and you're completely aware of that because we

00:42:42.580 just have a more productive you know system in that regard so if it becomes a drone war and it's not

00:42:50.180 just a who has more people war and not who cares more war we're going to win so let's talk

00:42:58.580 i think as a negotiating position pointing out that we're going to out manufacture and now innovate and

00:43:04.580 that's going to make the difference that's basically going to be the war at this point

00:43:07.540 um that's a strong negotiating point so i'll just put that out there as a persuasion fact

00:43:18.500 all right um

00:43:21.940 we really don't have much going on today it was kind of a slow news day kind of a holiday sunday

00:43:28.820 um i but i want to go back to the uh the little dust up on the h1b stuff

00:43:34.820 uh still some work to do but i gotta say i mostly felt good about the quality of the argument i also

00:43:44.740 felt good that conservatives were somewhat united in the in the uh agreement that free speech and x

00:43:55.540 and a real healthy agreement or disagreement in this case um can move you forward

00:44:00.820 i feel like almost everybody on the right got smarter about immigration and h1b's would you 1.00

00:44:09.140 say that's true at least everybody everybody was involved in the conversation i think we all learned

00:44:14.100 something i did i definitely did and that feels like it moved things forward now the other thing that

00:44:22.420 happened is that trump is now weighed in if there are people who are mega and they're trying to

00:44:30.740 represent trump which seems to be their primary goal and trump now clarifies that he likes h1b

00:44:38.420 steven miller has clarified that clearly trump and steven miller need need a fix um elon musk says we

00:44:45.780 need a fixed everybody agrees we need a fixed i think that trump has enough leadership and enough

00:44:52.340 credibility at this point that he can simply get the mega folks to align with his view

00:45:01.300 so this was fascinating because i've told you before that one of trump's superpowers is that he's

00:45:07.940 watching he's always watching so if if his base is making a move he's watching so that entire

00:45:16.420 conversation i guarantee you he knew what was going on from start to finish and he wait he waits for it to

00:45:23.060 kind of die down which was exactly the right play i'll tell you again that whoever is advising trump

00:45:32.580 is really good like i don't know if it's a team team of people or if it's got one person he trusts the

00:45:38.900 most but the way he the way he cleverly stayed out of it until the the full emotion and arguments were

00:45:48.500 surfaced and then after we'd exhausted ourselves he comes in and he says here's the deal

00:45:54.580 i feel like that that was amazing like that that was completely inspiring are we still mad at each

00:46:03.940 other a little bit are people still disagreeing a little bit but i think we can respect the system

00:46:11.860 that got us to this place not the h1b system but we can respect the conversation we can we can respect

00:46:20.020 the fight because i don't think anybody was fighting to hurt anybody nobody nobody was in it to make the

00:46:27.380 world worse nobody was in it to do anything negative everybody was in it for america and we weren't all on

00:46:36.980 the same page about what works and what's practical and what issue are you talking about and are we

00:46:42.260 conflating things but we kind of sorted it out and i think this is where you know what i've called the

00:46:48.900 the internet dads but it's really moms and dads um i think that they were really really helpful

00:46:58.260 and i think that watching the fight and that knowing that we we recognize certain personalities as

00:47:04.660 as being more productive in their opinions that's why they have big accounts in most cases

00:47:10.420 um and i think that really really made a difference now i don't know if any of you changed your opinions at

00:47:17.140 all or or even that that matters but i'm curious uh in the comments did anybody modify even a little bit did

00:47:26.820 did anybody modify their opinion on the issue of foreign workers because as you know i did you know a

00:47:32.580 little modification i i i i didn't start out even talking about h1b i was just talking about we need

00:47:43.300 the best engineers but you have to talk about the system and once people who were closer to it said oh

00:47:50.020 no it's totally abused well i learned that and then i then i could you know move to a second opinion

00:47:56.900 which is that needs to get fixed so i feel like i i feel like i got pushed in a productive direction

00:48:05.620 and to the extent that i could do it i was trying to help push anybody who wasn't there also toward a

00:48:13.780 productive understanding of things they don't need to agree i'm not pushing anybody to agree with me

00:48:20.340 i'm only pushing to make you understand the ins and outs and one thing i wanted people to understand

00:48:25.460 is we don't really know the economics of this stuff and so if you're trying to argue on the pure macro

00:48:32.500 economics of it we're not really smart enough to know you know where to draw the line for that

00:48:38.500 but if it comes down to how it makes you feel that's a little easier and like i said as long as

00:48:47.460 dei is the dominant operating system of our economy which it is right now then i don't think any white 1.00

00:48:54.820 man should accept even one person from another country and if you want to use that to negotiate 0.96

00:49:01.700 really the things that everybody wants because everybody in the republican side wants to kill dei

00:49:06.260 and most of them want h1b fixed small percentage say don't bring in you know a culture that we don't

00:49:15.140 like but i think that we can just teach reach the the right i think we can get to the right place

00:49:22.100 by understanding that culture is part of the economic decision

00:49:27.620 claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so 0.99

00:49:32.820 focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good

00:49:38.740 thing claudia is with intact the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country

00:49:43.940 everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made 0.98

00:49:48.900 it to my tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto

00:49:55.300 service ace certain conditions apply all right um should be canceled and start from scratch

00:50:06.900 well you know i i think maybe elon's approach of just making it more expensive to hire

00:50:13.780 from another country it might be a simple elegant way to get what you want

00:50:18.500 because follow the money always works like monetary incentives pretty much will guarantee what the

00:50:26.820 what the future is um i think i told you yesterday some fake news that i need to correct uh some people

00:50:36.340 said that elon musk had a fake account anonymous account that he was using to interact on spaces and

00:50:44.500 some other things and apparently that's not true uh i did listen to one of the accounts that they said

00:50:51.380 was his and it was definitely his voice 100 his voice but um i think i understand that to have been

00:51:00.100 an ai generated voice today i'm not 100 positive what's going on there but um musk

00:51:08.100 uh unequivocally saying that he doesn't that's not him i don't think he would lie about that

00:51:17.620 so that would be a weird thing to lie about would seem out of character

00:51:22.900 so i believe him that those are not his own accounts yeah how do you have time to run another account

00:51:29.940 it's a bioweapon if we take all the good people well i don't think we're going to take all of anybody's

00:51:39.300 good people

00:51:44.020 well actually elon musk has weighed into various spaces but it's usually one that

00:51:50.260 you know is close to something he cares about

00:51:51.940 there's a guy who sounds a lot like him you know if that was just somebody who has the same

00:52:00.980 voice patterns i'd be really surprised because his voice patterns are so unique all right what

00:52:08.980 we got here uh china china kyrgyzstan and yubekstan will build a real way bypassing russia

00:52:18.820 so they're going to deliver stuff from china to the european union without going through russia huh

00:52:28.980 interesting yeah i i feel like putin can be made an ally of the united states simply by uh simply by

00:52:40.660 explaining to him that china isn't going to be his friend in the long term in the long term

00:52:45.860 i'm not so sure china's a friend although realistically china is really smart about a lot of stuff so i

00:52:57.620 don't think they want to cause any trouble with their their you know nuclear power with their biggest

00:53:02.740 border so i think they'll i think they'll be well behaved with russia do you think the indian

00:53:11.220 intelligence service might line up a few h1bs uh i mean i i think every intelligence service has a way to

00:53:24.020 um insinuate itself in every other system so it's that's not a special risk i don't think i mean it's

00:53:32.260 the general risk of everything all the time but maybe not a special risk of the h1b stuff 1.00

00:53:37.940 um canada is the playground what all right just looking at some of your comments

00:53:56.660 uh

00:53:59.460 all right ladies and gentlemen i'm going to go talk to the people on locals a little bit privately

00:54:03.860 thanks for joining there'll be lots of news tomorrow i think tomorrow is going to be a real

00:54:10.100 newsy kind of a day and uh we'll catch up with you then but for now locals coming at you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 29, 2024

Episode 2704 CWSA 12⧸29⧸24

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