Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2707 CWSA 01⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 Ba-da-ba-ba.

00:00:02.780 Ra-ba-ba-ba-ba-ba-ba.

00:00:05.840 La-da-da-da.

00:00:09.720 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of Human Civilization

00:00:14.360 2025 edition. Happy New Year.

00:00:18.220 If you'd like to take this new year up to levels of enjoyment

00:00:22.000 that you can barely even understand with your tiny shiny human brains,

00:00:25.860 all you need is a cupper, mugger, a glass of tanker,

00:00:28.140 Chelsea Stein a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like

00:00:34.200 coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dope of me at the end of the day

00:00:38.940 the thing that makes the whole year better it's called the simultaneous sip and darn it it's

00:00:45.060 gonna happen right now go well it's the first day of my attempted no cursing I've tried this before

00:00:56.740 with total failure but I'm gonna try again a year with no substantial cursing we'll see if I can do

00:01:05.800 it well surprisingly there are stories I thought it'd be such a slow news day that be nothing to

00:01:15.080 talk about they're not all good stories we'll get to that so you know how the science always shows

00:01:22.380 that conservatives have more of an ick factor they get grossed down at things and that's what makes

00:01:28.340 them conservatives have you ever heard that I've been hearing that research my whole adult life

00:01:35.100 a new study says that the thing that makes conservatives conservative is they get icked out

00:01:42.320 easier than other people well according to Cy Post and Eric Dolan's writing

00:01:49.360 uh that doesn't hold up this the science doesn't support it that that was all fake or it should be

00:01:58.920 noted it could be real but the new studies don't find it so the new studies are debunking the old

00:02:06.080 studies but I suppose it's just as likely that the old studies were right and the new ones are wrong

00:02:12.240 basically a lot of science is a coin flip the the difference between we did a scientific study

00:02:21.300 and we flipped a coin there's none there's no difference because studies just in general it

00:02:30.840 wouldn't wouldn't even matter what the topic was studies tend to be inaccurate and fake and

00:02:37.800 not reproducible about half of the time if it's half of the time and you're not sure in advance

00:02:45.900 which way it's going to go and you can do new studies later and they're the opposite it's just a coin flip

00:02:53.600 it is so far away from being science even though it follows the scientific process we hope so I don't

00:03:02.540 know if this is true or not but maybe has nothing to do with the ick factor and a lot to do with

00:03:08.020 common sense common sense maybe all right well there's a new new uh poll from Bloomberg the conference

00:03:17.740 board unusual whales on the X is telling us that uh Americans are the most bullish on stocks they have

00:03:24.720 ever been just ever been just ever seriously ever 60 percent of u.s respondents um they think stock prices

00:03:35.300 will rise over the coming year well that's not really the the hardest prediction is it because if

00:03:45.860 things were just basically the same next year as they are this year inflation alone would make it would

00:03:52.240 make the stock prices go up because the companies would charge more for the same product and you'd pay

00:03:58.300 it and you know then the stock price would start reflecting the larger dollar amounts but it wouldn't be

00:04:04.760 real it would just be inflation so yes 60 percent of the u.s made a pretty good prediction about the stock

00:04:11.860 prices but just saying that they went up that could include one percent that could include two percent

00:04:19.240 which would not be very good because that would be below below the inflation rate so yeah it's pretty

00:04:26.540 easy to say it's going to go up 60 percent seems about right um 60 percent and say it's going to go up

00:04:36.100 not not that it would go up 60 percent meanwhile California is acting all rational so it's a big story

00:04:43.800 the only reason i'm going to tell you this story is that as far as i can tell the governor and the

00:04:51.660 the the government the government of the state is doing the right thing and i'm so surprised by it

00:05:01.620 that i thought i'd talk about it every time you see somebody doing something smart and logical and the

00:05:08.080 right thing you think oh that's weird didn't expect that so here's what it is uh california back in 2021

00:05:15.160 they passed the law that you could build more homes on your single um your single

00:05:22.680 residence property so if you're zoned for only one house in the in the past you would only be able to

00:05:29.680 have your one house but because they wanted people to build adus and in-law apartments and make housing

00:05:36.660 more affordable and more um and more frequent or more uh just more available california said hey

00:05:47.480 you can build more than one one house on your property up to four and the local cities said no you

00:05:56.800 can't they passed their own ordinances to thwart the state and now the state has fought back and said

00:06:05.760 no you do not have the right to have these local ordinances to thwart the state so the new rule i

00:06:12.520 guess is going to try to override the states now the good news is that they're allowing the free

00:06:17.700 market to do its thing the bad news is it took them from 2021 till now to fix this so i don't want

00:06:26.020 to say what took you so long because you can say that about everything everything that's good took too

00:06:31.300 long but at least this shows the right thinking the right thinking has let the free market

00:06:36.540 solve it so that's a step in the right direction here's another step in the right direction

00:06:41.120 um end wokeness account on x put together a list of the major corporations that have already canceled

00:06:50.060 dei so in 2024 the following canceled their dei see if you can find i want you to see if you can find

00:06:58.320 any pattern to these companies so what pattern do you see why why would it be these companies that

00:07:05.940 would be the first ones to do it ready the companies are ford coors lowe's nissan boeing toyota walmart

00:07:15.120 caterpillar craftsman john deere jack daniels tractor supply black and decker harley davidson and indian

00:07:23.240 motorcycles what do they all have in common most of them all but one well the answer is they're all

00:07:31.880 masculine brands they're masculine brands that they would be the ones you'd most likely imagine

00:07:39.120 men would have the most interest in everything from motorcycles to power tools to cars and airplanes and

00:07:48.700 and beer walmart's kind of an in-betweener but and then just the news is reporting that the

00:07:55.260 idaho state board of education uh just approved the ban on dei and i think texas has also banned dei

00:08:03.220 so this uh answers the question that i had which is you know uh the the activist on this who's

00:08:13.080 getting the most success is bobby starbuck um robbie starbuck but uh starbuck said he had a plan

00:08:22.160 for the order the order of attack uh and attack just means which companies you you uh approach

00:08:30.720 and i didn't understand why costco wasn't necessarily toward the top of the list i wondered what the

00:08:38.060 criteria was for deciding what order to try to approach it and now i understand i think i understand

00:08:45.660 i don't know for sure it's not confirmed but it would make perfect sense to go after the the male

00:08:52.700 oriented brands first because they would obviously be the ones who would buckle first they would have

00:08:58.220 the most risk the most reward if you can get enough of the male oriented brands to say we're getting

00:09:05.700 in at this business not everybody is going to notice they're all male oriented brands they're

00:09:11.740 just going to see it whoa major corporations are canceling dei at that point it might be easier for

00:09:18.840 the non-masculine brands to make the move i i think the ceos of these particular companies most of them

00:09:26.500 at least 80 of them um probably are not going to get a blowback from their main customers their main

00:09:33.120 customers are probably going to say well it's about time so so these would be the ones to start with

00:09:38.700 smart meanwhile argentina's mile um i guess he's an ayn rand fan he's going to some event which makes

00:09:49.400 sense free market kind of thing but here's a free market thing he's doing he announced that starting

00:09:54.860 this year um the in argentina if uh anybody wants to hire a new state employee uh you can only hire a

00:10:05.360 new person if you fire three so you have to fire three existing employees if you really really really

00:10:13.360 need this new employee otherwise you just can't do it now what does that sound like it sounds like

00:10:20.280 trump's plan of uh regulations do you remember in the first term trump said he would remove if you

00:10:28.280 wanted any new regulation you had to remove i forget the number was it three or ten or something

00:10:35.140 but you had to remove a larger number of regulations to add one and now mille saying the same thing with

00:10:43.160 hiring did that come from trump do you think that this is the trump effect meaning that mille is is just

00:10:52.780 borrowing trump's technique which apparently was a 10 so you had to get rid of 10 to add one right

00:10:59.740 that was trump's plan this looks this looks like trump inspired so that whole trump effect

00:11:08.380 is wild i mean it's really really pervasive way more than i would have ever predicted for sure

00:11:15.700 so that's all good news we'll see if that works

00:11:19.160 meanwhile and this is wild too bernie sanders is going to um introduce legislation according to fox news

00:11:30.100 he's going to introduce legislation that was inspired by trump

00:11:34.920 so trump said that we should do a temporary um limit on credit cards of 10 so they can only

00:11:43.600 only charge you 10 not higher interest and bernie sanders agrees with that now i think bernie's trying

00:11:51.280 to make it permanent trump wanted it to be temporary but still uh so bernie's sort of testing the

00:12:01.540 president to see if he would sign it so he's introducing this legislation what what if he does

00:12:06.540 sign it i i suspect he won't because trump was saying temporary which at least you could defend

00:12:13.640 a little bit in terms of the free market but there is a free market question here that seems to be

00:12:21.200 opposite of what trump normally does normally i'd expect trump to say no free market free market

00:12:28.860 we can't be messing with the private companies just use a different credit card company if you

00:12:33.820 don't like the one you have and i'm not sure why that doesn't work in this case i i don't really

00:12:39.600 understand why that doesn't work but it at least there's a prominent republican and a prominent

00:12:46.700 democrat or independent or whatever bernie is these days uh who both agree now it is anti-capitalist

00:12:55.700 and it's anti-free market to put a cap on a particular business very anti-free market

00:13:02.940 i don't know that i hate it though because i'd have to hear the argument the other way here's my guess

00:13:10.440 yeah my guess is that there's some reason why the rates are so high for some people

00:13:19.400 there must be some reason and i think it's because the credit card companies are absorbing

00:13:26.260 massive fraud the the number of credit cards that are being used let's say i think i had to change my

00:13:34.000 credit cards twice last year like my major credit cards i had to replace them two or three times

00:13:42.020 might have been three times just in one year so my own credit cards are just massively stolen

00:13:47.960 all the time you know presumably from just public use it's not like somebody's going through my wallet

00:13:53.620 so i feel like the whole credit card thing doesn't work that the high prices might be an indication that

00:14:02.060 the business model doesn't work at all there's just too much fraud and they can't stop it so we'll see

00:14:08.000 it doesn't make me super happy but i'd like to hear more about it i i could be convinced i can be

00:14:15.800 convinced about this gap but i'm not convinced right now when i found out my friend got a great

00:14:21.120 deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that

00:14:28.300 woman over there with the designer jeans are those from winners oh are those beautiful gold earrings did

00:14:34.640 she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that

00:14:39.700 dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning

00:14:46.840 winners find fabulous for less well you probably heard there's a tragic new orleans terror attack

00:14:53.520 um the information is just coming in because it happened last night

00:14:57.220 uh in the french quarter apparently in new orleans the only thing i know about it and maybe you

00:15:03.380 probably know more about it than i do because the last several minutes the news was coming in i was

00:15:07.600 prepping for this so i may have missed a little bit but you can fill me in in the comments so watch

00:15:13.140 the comments for newer information than i have so my understanding is it was a white pickup truck plowed

00:15:20.300 into the crowd in the french quarter so while they were celebrating new year's eve killed at least 10 injured

00:15:27.240 dozens and the mayor described it as a terrorist attack i think the police did and then the fbi said

00:15:34.640 well not so fast it might not be a terrorist attack

00:15:38.540 now there's uh there's reporting that i heard not confirmed because we're still in the fog of war stage

00:15:47.120 anything you hear in the next several hours is subject to update i would think but the current

00:15:54.120 not yet credible reporting and remember it's not yet credible because it's too soon whenever there's a

00:16:01.420 big event the first the first 10 things you hear about the big event four of them aren't going to be

00:16:08.840 true you just don't know which four so so we're in that foggy information stage but uh apparently he

00:16:18.140 slammed in and then had a some kind of a weapon and was firing at people and two police officers

00:16:25.520 were shot but they're still alive i guess and then the uh then they returned fire did they kill him

00:16:32.960 i i don't even have information oh he's been taken oh so the latest report i had was it's unclear if

00:16:40.880 the driver has been taken into custody have they taken him into custody in the last hour or so

00:16:47.560 um and then i saw another report that said he got away and they were looking for him

00:16:52.880 but by now

00:16:54.480 oh he's dead did he die at the event or did they die when they were looking for him

00:17:02.420 see there's your perfect example the the perfect example is that they didn't know if the suspect was

00:17:11.760 on the run but he was shot at the event i'm so i'm seeing in the comments he was shot at the event

00:17:17.140 which would make sense because he was in a shootout with police so yeah that's usually how it ends

00:17:23.460 police tried cpr on him but couldn't bring him back okay

00:17:27.560 he's in custody but not moving right killed in the shootout all right so thanks for the update

00:17:35.080 that that's that this works so well i love the fact that you can correct me in real time

00:17:40.980 the the model that we're seeing here where you're correcting my facts in real time

00:17:47.400 that's that's pretty impressive like wouldn't you like to see that on the regular news

00:17:53.300 you know wouldn't you like to see cnn reading the news then jake tappard look up say oh i'm getting

00:17:58.680 getting a correction here well maybe he knows what the real story is and i don't so that would be

00:18:04.800 different um so somebody said and let me give a i need another fact check on this one somebody said

00:18:14.680 he's a mexican national that it was a mexican uh and somebody said there were explosives in the truck

00:18:22.660 so the things i don't know i don't know if these are confirmed maybe or maybe not explosives but

00:18:29.000 they didn't go off and maybe or maybe not use a mexican national i don't know that they know that

00:18:36.680 yet so we'll just put a pin in that and say better wait for that better wait for that now i saw i think

00:18:44.620 it was mike flynn who who was just flipping out at the uh that's my own term um he was uh let's say

00:18:52.820 angry at the fact that anybody was calling this a non-terrorist event or that it might be a non-terrorist

00:18:59.780 event if it's not a terrorist event what is it what what do you call it what in the world would you call

00:19:08.720 it now um so i guess we'll find out they found an ied at the site but we don't know if it's necessarily

00:19:18.980 his great so there might been there may have been two separate potential attacks

00:19:24.440 um

00:19:27.780 we don't know if the ied was functional all right now that seems that seems a little odd doesn't it

00:19:38.900 these non-functional ieds seems like we've seen this before but i also don't know that even if the ied

00:19:47.040 story is true so pretty much everything pretty much everything that we know about this is subject

00:19:57.200 to revision all right i will tell you that uh yesterday before this happened uh i was posting

00:20:05.360 on x that i wouldn't go to any mass public event now i would i wouldn't have been afraid of the truck

00:20:16.240 i should have been but i wouldn't have been afraid of the truck i would have been afraid of going to a

00:20:21.280 mass public event in the age of um drone swarms i wouldn't be as worried about one drone no matter

00:20:30.800 what it did but a drone swarm how hard would it be for the bad guys to get 10 to 20 drones in the area

00:20:40.240 over some populated area it feels like it's just such an obvious you know venue of attack or avenue of

00:20:48.160 attack so i was worried that we were we're in a world where having any kind of mass public event

00:20:56.240 is just begging for a mass casualty event and i personally would be very hesitant about going to any

00:21:02.480 mass gathering really forever unless it's indoors i suppose and even then but at least it'd be safer

00:21:09.680 from the drones so be careful when you go outside well ashley st claire is raising the alarm that

00:21:19.040 there's too much censorship on x so i don't know the details of this but i'll tell you what i do know

00:21:26.560 so apparently reportedly a number of accounts on x um have been deplatformed or minimized or hidden

00:21:34.880 or their their blue check is taken away or they're demonetized but basically people being suppressed or

00:21:41.600 kicked off or or um made invisible through a variety of actions that would be different in each case

00:21:50.560 it's not like everybody did the same thing and got kicked off for the same reason um but as ashley

00:21:56.000 points out uh this is how censorship starts on every platform through every avenue throughout history

00:22:02.560 they deplatformed the worst people because they're not going to get any support and then they can kind

00:22:09.280 of work their way down if you're quiet about it and just get you used to the fact that things are getting

00:22:15.680 getting uh suppressed and you say to yourself well they probably had a good reason

00:22:20.800 for that one and you don't worry about it and then there's another one and then you say to yourself

00:22:26.000 well i don't know the details but might have been a good reason and then you're completely off the rails

00:22:32.240 by then this is it's too late to put it back in the the toothpaste back in the tube and it becomes just

00:22:37.760 full-on censorship so given that accounts are being suspended for what is called without reason

00:22:46.400 i don't know that it's without reason it might be that people don't know the reasons which would

00:22:52.080 be bad enough but i don't know that it's without reasons um somebody had a reason it might not be a good

00:22:57.680 one and people are losing subscribers i mean so a variety of things are allegedly happening and i

00:23:04.800 again i don't know if it's really a variety of things happening

00:23:07.280 all right so here's what i do know so i responded that i need examples

00:23:19.920 because if you give me a specific example then i would be able to judge oh wait that wasn't about

00:23:26.960 free speech that was about some action that was you know different than just free speech

00:23:33.360 now um i only know one example uh laura loomer just sent me a message because i asked this question

00:23:42.480 just sent me a message to tell me about her situation so here's what i know about it directly

00:23:48.560 from one person whose account is now being suppressed so laura loomer apparently in the

00:23:55.760 process of doing what she does which is talking about the news

00:23:58.320 um seems to have accidentally doxed someone uh someone who was coming into the administration

00:24:06.160 now by accidentally doxed apparently what she did is point to a public document

00:24:12.800 that was relevant to whatever argument she was making about the person

00:24:16.800 but on that document apparently had his home address um that's that would be called doxing

00:24:24.240 if the reason that you if the reason that you posted it was to show somebody's address so that

00:24:31.120 the trolls could go after him that would definitely be a behavior that you would be canceled for

00:24:38.000 so here's where it gets complicated laura apparently immediately apologized because that wasn't the

00:24:45.520 purpose of showing the forum the purpose of showing the forum was some other point and just didn't

00:24:51.200 notice that the address was on there she later blurred the address to repost it

00:24:58.000 showing that her intention was not to show the address further she says she sincerely apologized

00:25:05.280 because it was just a mistake it's a bad mistake i think you'd agree it's a bad mistake to make

00:25:11.520 but it was she says a mistake now i believe that i i believe that was accidental if you look if you

00:25:18.400 look at the totality of it that sounds accidental now should somebody be banned for doxing i think

00:25:27.200 maybe yes because that's not about free speech should somebody be banned for accidentally doxing

00:25:36.480 well here's where we need to be able to talk about it so i would say that my the only thing i want to

00:25:41.440 add to this conversation is that there should be some kind of an appeals process for somebody like

00:25:48.720 laura loomer there should be some formal place where not everybody and not everybody but at least

00:25:56.880 people who who are taking a financial hit imagine imagine her total financial situation which i assume

00:26:05.680 was largely um x related you know because you get paid for how much um how much involvement what do

00:26:13.760 you call it how much people are clicking and commenting you get paid for that if you're a big account

00:26:19.440 so she probably had fairly substantial income you know by middle class income standards it was probably

00:26:27.440 pretty substantial and she lost it now i think if somebody is losing revenue x has a responsibility to

00:26:36.080 have an appeals process ideally they'd have a an appeals process for everybody who gets canceled but

00:26:42.800 maybe that's just not doable because they cancel a lot of the trolls uh mean bots and stuff like that

00:26:48.800 so i don't know what is practical but it's definitely practical if you're canceling somebody who's

00:26:54.080 making a living if they've if they've taken your offer you know the ex elon musk offer is if you do

00:27:02.640 these things on this platform if you get a lot of engagement i will send you money if somebody signed up and

00:27:08.640 was operating in good faith under that business model but just you know had a little problem that was

00:27:18.480 accidental i feel like they should get their day in court if you know what i mean and it should happen

00:27:24.560 quickly because money's on the line it's what they do and if the x business model encourages engagement

00:27:33.440 they really need to have a a quick adjudication process for the people who've got a lot of money on

00:27:40.640 the line a lot you know by their living standards was what i mean so i don't know all the details here

00:27:46.960 but if you saw more examples you might say to yourself these additional examples they're all

00:27:53.600 special cases they might be now one of the other things that's happening is that some of the claims

00:27:59.120 of censorship are not real um apparently x claimed there was a glitch that some kind of people who had

00:28:06.800 blue checks had them temporarily taken away but and it affected quite a few people but each of those

00:28:13.440 people were a special case and it was the same special case you know different than you and me

00:28:20.480 so there was something about the way they had the blue check through some other organization or connected

00:28:25.120 to some organization that that caused the glitch so those are not real so keep in mind when you're

00:28:32.960 looking at this topic of censorship on x however many of them are real situations of censorship

00:28:40.080 there's going to be a bunch of them that are not they're they're just computer glitches that took an

00:28:46.000 effect in some cases it might be a confusion over whether somebody did or did not dock somebody

00:28:51.840 but i think if you dug down you'd find out there aren't aren't too many that are just speech

00:28:58.880 i'd be surprised but we'll see and that's why you need a process

00:29:03.280 well how bad is the government well let's see three senior department of justice officials

00:29:11.520 apparently got caught leaking sensitive and private information to hurt trump's re-election chances

00:29:18.880 and according to the george account on x um the inspector general has identified them and found out that

00:29:27.040 they did in fact intentionally leak things to hurt trump's chances of election so that's the department

00:29:37.680 of justice right the department of justice was trying to take down a president or potential president

00:29:47.680 wow so that's real you know the the inspector general has confirmed it we know names they have documents

00:29:54.400 that's confirmed that's confirmed department of justice is crooked at least part of it

00:30:02.080 then uh paul sperry is reporting for real clear politics or he's got an article on there

00:30:07.920 um about mccabe so did you know that two days after the um the then acting fbi director

00:30:17.440 um oh so right after comey got fired two days later the guy who replaced them mccabe put president trump

00:30:27.760 under criminal investigation and and they reached out to the author of the steel dossier uh even though

00:30:36.720 he had been fired for misconduct and even though people had looked at it before and didn't find enough to

00:30:42.320 investigate trump so they they they went through the you know they poured through the non-credible stuff

00:30:49.520 again after people had seen it once and uh the people and according to paul sperry prosecutors and

00:30:59.200 investigators uh interviewed by rci said none of the uh information made public should have been enough to

00:31:07.360 launch an fbi probe so in other words mccabe knowing that there was not enough to launch a probe

00:31:15.520 intentionally went after a source that they knew was not credible so they had something to say

00:31:22.800 about why they were going after the president now i'm sure mccabe has a different version of that

00:31:30.720 uh what does he say he had some slightly different version of that just so you know there's always

00:31:36.480 two sides to everything but it sure looks exactly like what it looks like it looks like comey got

00:31:44.160 fired mccabe went for revenge peter strock was anti-trump and that the entire operation was nothing but

00:31:53.200 going after trump and that they probably knew that the steel dossier was garbage but they needed it to

00:32:01.680 justify their research so they used it so i would say this is pretty strong evidence that the fbi is

00:32:09.520 corrupt so now we got the doj is corrupt again it's not every single person in it of course and we've got

00:32:16.720 the fbi is corrupt allegedly but the allegations look kind of solid to me

00:32:22.560 but at least the state department is clean that'd be terrible could you imagine if the department of

00:32:31.120 justice was crooked and the fbi was crooked and the state department i mean imagine that

00:32:37.840 because we know the presidency was crooked we we know biden was crooked so it'd be terrible if the

00:32:44.160 presidency department of justice the fbi were all crooked but thank god the state department is not

00:32:51.360 so gabe kaminsky for the dc examiner says the state department is being accused of in a law

00:33:01.920 lawsuit by watchdog of in illegally hiding internal documents about a secret memo crafted to unfairly

00:33:10.080 linked reports concerning apparent gec's censorship by matt tybee and by gabe kaminsky

00:33:17.360 um to russia so in other words the state department it has some memo allegedly secret memo they must know

00:33:27.200 about it because it's being it's being requested so they must know it exists um and that it unfairly

00:33:34.640 links these two journalists independent journalists to russia so the state department allegedly was running an

00:33:42.960 op to smear these two independent reporters who were too close to the truth okay so it's not so bad people

00:33:53.520 so far it's only the department of justice that's corrupt the fbi is corrupt the presidency of course was

00:34:00.400 a criminal organization and the state department is apparently trying to frame citizens for a good reporting

00:34:07.280 but it's not all lost at least congress is honest

00:34:21.520 i don't know if you can tell if i'm kidding sometimes

00:34:25.200 do you remember i said that every large organization is corrupt and there's no way around it

00:34:30.640 but when any organization reaches a certain size it's pretty much guaranteed to be corrupt

00:34:39.200 we've seen it over and over and over again

00:34:46.560 and according to uh aaron mate from the gray zone uh more about this russia gate in response to

00:34:53.840 his foyer request freedom of information uh the fbi released a heavily redacted copy of what he asked for

00:35:01.680 about the how they opened the investigation into trump about potential russia occlusion and

00:35:09.600 uh that the the factual basis for the fbi taking the extraordinary step of investigating trump

00:35:16.960 the factual basis was redacted entirely entirely entirely redacted so the most important thing

00:35:27.120 is why did they investigate the president did they have good information or was it just something they

00:35:32.640 were doing to take him out and instead of showing the good the the good reasons they had for investigating

00:35:40.960 they redacted the whole thing why i assume they're crooked i assume i don't know that but i assume they're

00:35:48.560 crooked so there's another bad fbi thing well i continue to be amused by democrat leaning leading

00:35:59.040 people leaning people who criticize their own team and say you know trump got a few things right if you

00:36:06.400 hadn't noticed and uh steven a smith is one of the more entertaining ones and um he uh he noted in a

00:36:16.080 fiery or is it fiery or fury monologue they did uh a video he said that uh watching the republicans

00:36:26.880 debate the uh the big issue about the foreign workers so you know the republican party allegedly

00:36:32.880 got split on this debate about you know how many h1b should be put in and whether it should be reformed

00:36:41.680 and all that so that really happened it's it's true that there was that debate do you remember my phrasing

00:36:48.800 of that my reframe so other people said the same thing so i didn't invent this but i said i think i'm

00:36:56.560 watching one of the most extraordinarily positive things i've ever seen which is people strongly

00:37:04.400 fighting but mostly politely for a common good meaning that people were trying to find something

00:37:11.920 that worked for the whole country they weren't looking for just their own personal gain so people

00:37:17.600 had the right intentions and uh they fought it out fairly and um i think we're pretty close to

00:37:27.520 we're a lot closer to having uh you know coherent opinion um so i said that that's more positive than

00:37:37.520 negative i said that the fact that that fight could happen and that we could shake hands and say all

00:37:42.800 right let's adjust forward or or at least the president is watching so indeed as i said trump

00:37:49.360 smartly waited until the dust cleared and then he came down with you know big one big foot on top of

00:37:55.520 it because he has the big foot um so to speak and he just said here's what i want now maybe you don't

00:38:03.760 want it but remember the argument is what did you vote for remember the argument is not

00:38:10.560 not what your opinion is the argument is what did you vote for and trump i think has always said he

00:38:18.800 wanted the the best people from other countries but he didn't want just everybody coming in and he

00:38:24.400 kind of confirmed that and that might require changes to the current system i don't think the current

00:38:29.600 system gives him what he wants but he probably knows that so he waited in his opinion and i think

00:38:35.680 it quieted things down because you could no longer argue hey this is what we voted for because once

00:38:42.720 trump told you what he wanted you'd kind of have to say well i guess that's what i voted for if if

00:38:47.840 he didn't know what he wanted it wasn't because he didn't say it i mean he's been consistent about

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00:39:53.360 play responsibly so stephen a smith made a big deal about how democrats don't allow internal debate

00:40:01.840 but when he watched republicans have a public knock down fight just you know verbally and and he watched

00:40:10.960 the republicans actually be happy about their work i was i was completely happy about my contribution to

00:40:18.560 the conversation and i didn't know much and that i learned a bunch and many of you learned a bunch

00:40:25.600 that maybe you didn't know about the weaknesses of the current system we all got smarter

00:40:31.840 and i don't have any bad feelings about anybody i had any disagreements with do you did everybody get

00:40:38.800 any bad feelings i don't have any did did i ever feel that i needed to ban or block somebody because of

00:40:44.960 that conversation no if i blocked somebody it was just for being a jerk not because they disagreed

00:40:51.280 so to me which i said publicly this is this is just a great experience because there should be some

00:40:58.640 friction there should be some back and forth we should play hard nobody says you shouldn't play hard

00:41:05.440 and we're all we have the right intention everybody's trying to get the right answer nobody's

00:41:10.800 trying to get like the devious answer oh if i can if i can trick them if i can trick them i can get

00:41:16.880 something over no no we all really just wanted the right answer the one that helps the economy the one

00:41:22.320 that helps the the american citizens the most we just had different ideas how to get there so

00:41:29.520 steven a smith was basically praising republicans for knowing how to have a public debate without being

00:41:35.520 without being banned and he said the democrats just can't do it because they're too they're too locked

00:41:40.880 into there's one right way to do everything i love that i love that because he wasn't agreeing with

00:41:48.560 republican policy that would be a lot to ask he was agreeing that the way the republicans approached it

00:41:56.800 was as good citizens with good intentions and good energy

00:42:02.000 you know you can't get much better than that that that kind of is it's the pinnacle

00:42:09.440 of preferred citizen involvement it's it's tough to top that this is as good as it gets even if you

00:42:17.520 don't like the outcome the process is as good as it gets so i'm glad he notices that maybe others will

00:42:23.840 notice too well greg gotfeld had a post the other day that spurred me to make a post related to it

00:42:32.240 and he said that and i loved his analogy here he said uh he was talking about the fine people hoax

00:42:37.760 being waited to tell if somebody's in terminal tds situation he said in a post on x if they still

00:42:44.400 believe the fine people hoax then they're no different than those japanese pilots on remote islands

00:42:50.320 who had no idea that world war ii ended you cannot help them leave them behind

00:42:57.200 and i love the analogy but the analogy is stronger than just a clever way to think of it and i wanted

00:43:05.920 to give you a little uh persuasion lesson if i could so here's what i suggested about how to cure tds

00:43:14.880 because i i believe for the first time we now have all the tools there was always a piece missing

00:43:20.720 before and i i've been if you've been watching me for a while you know i've been pushing and pushing and

00:43:26.000 pushing to make sure that we had this the tools to debunk that thing now here's what i said if you're

00:43:35.040 trying to deprogram somebody from tds we now have all the parts to do it part number one you have to

00:43:43.840 get them to believe one thing that they didn't believe before and that's what the fine people

00:43:49.360 hoax does if you can get them to believe that they had been fooled by something that the entire media

00:43:56.000 that they watched said was true but even more than that they allowed the president or biden when he was

00:44:03.040 running for office to run on that claim that the fine the fine people hoax claim they let him run on

00:44:10.320 that without fact checking it now if you can if you can show somebody the debunks you could point

00:44:17.520 them to snopes or you could point them to um on x the american debunk all one word site has the clean

00:44:26.960 debunk of the of the thing so you can always you can either look at it on snopes because that's left

00:44:31.840 leaning or you can look at it on american debunk which has sort of a right leaning bias but at least the uh

00:44:39.600 the information on it is accurate so it doesn't have all the hoaxes that may have gone the other

00:44:44.640 direction but as far as i can tell it's all accurate so once you've debunked the fine people hoax

00:44:51.120 as you've seen uh it was instrumental in getting a number of people public figures to say wait a minute

00:44:57.760 that was a hoax if that was a hoax what else was a hoax and then you've softened them up

00:45:04.480 once they say what else was a hoax the doors open then you hit them with the top 50 hoaxes

00:45:16.000 you could do top 12 and it might even be stronger if you do 12 instead of 50 there are 50

00:45:22.240 50 50 media lies slash hoaxes but if you just kept it say top 12 or top 20 they're they're easier to

00:45:31.680 defend because some of them get into more more you know opinion territory but if you can convince

00:45:40.400 them that is the norm that their side only doesn't happen on the republican side but their side only was

00:45:47.440 one hoax after another and they weren't the small ones they're the biggest headline stories

00:45:53.760 the biggest headline stories were complete hoaxes and once somebody sees the whole list and they've

00:46:00.800 confirmed that the most important one the fine people hoax was in fact the hoax then that gives

00:46:05.760 them the vision to see the rest of the list until they know that one of the most important i would

00:46:12.080 say the most important one on the list is fake completely fake 100 fake until you know that you

00:46:19.360 can't even see the rest of the list so that's that's your first persuasion lesson is showing the list

00:46:26.160 didn't work until there was one thing they knew for sure about that list that was fake and then they

00:46:33.440 could see the rest of the list once they've seen the list then you want to round it out with these

00:46:39.440 arguments point out that biden is the whole biden is sharp as attack hoax the immediate that the

00:46:45.200 media admits they did now that the hoax about biden being sharp as attack is special because it's one

00:46:54.320 that the media admits they all got wrong so you don't you don't have to argue about whether it's true

00:47:00.640 or false the media says no we got this completely wrong now obviously they're lying that they didn't know

00:47:07.280 so most of the media is trying to pretend they didn't know oh come on you all knew you all knew

00:47:16.640 so that's a strong attack the biden is sharp as attack everybody knows that was wrong now

00:47:22.960 then ask them the following question why is the administration so proud of their peaceful transition

00:47:29.600 to hillary if anything they said about him about his hitler putin loving fascist tendencies if any of

00:47:40.160 that was true any of it why would they do a peaceful transfer of power and can you respect democrats who

00:47:49.600 would peacefully transfer power to hillary now when i said this on the post somebody said nobody said he was

00:47:58.400 hitler to which i said

00:48:05.040 it's all they've done it's all they've done actually what i said was well a good point the real hitler is

00:48:11.520 dead all they did is say he reminds of us of hitler and you should take that very seriously that's the

00:48:17.520 sort of thing they did literally minutes before somebody said nobody called him hitler i'd just been

00:48:22.800 watching uh punchy what's his name the actor what's punchy's real name deniro punchy deniro i was

00:48:34.640 watching punchy deniro say well you know it's it's exactly like hitler and you got to take that pretty

00:48:40.160 seriously it's all hitler stuff just minutes before somebody said nobody said that nobody says like kill

00:48:46.560 anyway so you point out why they're so happy to give hitler a peaceful transition

00:48:52.960 um then rounded out by noting that trump won in large part because people noticed the other

00:49:02.160 the other uh hoaxes so certainly the joe rogans elon musks and you could name several others

00:49:09.200 didn't realize the fine people hoax was a hoax until they found out and then they became a lot more

00:49:15.120 open to what was really going on so it's not an accident that trump won he won the the popular

00:49:23.360 vote and it had a lot to do with people breaking out of the hoax bubble now at that point you're done

00:49:32.400 so once you've said all those things do you think it will change anybody's mind

00:49:38.720 not while you're standing there there is zero chance that you can talk somebody out of tds

00:49:45.360 right while they're standing in front of you don't don't think there's any chance however once you've

00:49:52.560 reframed these things and it's in their mind just let it marinate they will talk themselves out of their

00:49:59.680 old views because these are really powerful um persuasion tricks now um somebody said but scott

00:50:09.520 your argument is based on logic and facts and you always tell us that logic and facts are not

00:50:16.800 persuasive so how do i square that that i tell you that logic doesn't convince anybody and then i gave

00:50:24.400 you this whole logical argument fatty square that that was a good question so i thought it was

00:50:29.440 worthy of an answer and the answer is the logic is just the wrapper the real persuasion is that all

00:50:39.600 the smart people saw it before you did the real persuasion is what greg guffheld said you don't want to be

00:50:48.720 the last japanese soldier who doesn't know the war is over now is that logic is that logic that you don't

00:50:57.200 want to be the last japanese soldier no that's not logic that's telling you you don't want to be the

00:51:03.600 one that everybody knows is wrong you don't want to be alone in your wrongness you don't want to be the

00:51:09.040 last person in the world to find out this important fact wow how embarrassing it would be to be you

00:51:14.240 wouldn't it imagine being the last soldier out of the cave yeah you don't want to be that guy so

00:51:20.880 what this is is it's it sounds logical on the surface because i say these events happened this

00:51:29.600 is debunked blah blah blah but what it's really doing is getting to you to the stronger point

00:51:35.520 that he won the he won the popular election and he got all these high visibility smart people on his side

00:51:43.200 because they figured out before you did not you specifically but you the ones who don't who don't

00:51:48.720 know yet that they figured it out and they're already moving not only did they realize it but

00:51:54.880 they made real important changes in their own lives and the risk profile and things they said in public

00:52:02.080 i mean they took big chances that they didn't just intellectually accept that they knew something

00:52:07.680 they changed what they were doing and then you're sitting there watching and saying but i still think

00:52:14.800 trump is bad once you see that the smart people are all moving in the same direction

00:52:21.360 then what you're looking for is herd instinct you need the herd instinct to pull the tds people to safety

00:52:29.120 because unless they see the herd moving they're not going to move so first you have to create

00:52:35.600 a situation where a few people move and then they say huh looks like a few people move but that's just

00:52:41.680 a few people and then you want to keep that up oh well i guess a few more people moved okay well now

00:52:50.080 now every day i hear somebody moved seems like every day somebody's moving and so you create this

00:52:56.160 you want to create the impression that the herd is already on the move and you better you better catch

00:53:01.120 up to the herd and that's purely purely purely non-logical feelings biological you know at a

00:53:07.840 biological level you don't want to be the one who stands out as not following the herd that's dangerous

00:53:14.880 so uh greg was um persuasion perfect in saying that you know you don't want to be that last japanese

00:53:22.960 soldier out of the cave that's the emotional right on point persuasion what i gave you was the logical

00:53:31.520 stuff which can get you to the point of thinking that you're the last one the herd the last one

00:53:37.120 following the herd all right so try to home it'll be fun claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament

00:53:44.080 i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the

00:53:49.360 column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact the insurer with the

00:53:55.600 largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was taken care of under one

00:54:00.000 roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my tournament and lost in the

00:54:05.440 first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace certain conditions apply

00:54:13.040 uh meanwhile trump said some stuff on about climate change on fox business i'm going to give him a

00:54:19.120 little persuasion tip so here's what trump said on i think to stewart varney on fox business quote

00:54:27.440 nobody's more into climate than i am but this is a climate hoax it's a hoax destroying our country

00:54:35.600 and then he went on to say quote you have a thing called the weather and you go up and you go down

00:54:40.560 the climate's always been changing all right so that's what he said so let me let me give him a

00:54:45.680 um persuasion grade first sentence nobody's more into the climate than i am perfect

00:54:55.600 perfect i i love that i love that he starts the first sentence is that he's really into it now is

00:55:04.640 that true i don't know but if you don't say that you're very into the climate everything you say after

00:55:13.520 that will sound like you're not taking things seriously so he starts with oh i'm really into

00:55:18.800 the climate so now you know you know he's taking the topic seriously and then you can listen to the

00:55:24.160 rest so the first sentence is perfect you should always do that first sentence and it doesn't exactly

00:55:29.760 make sense like what is what does it really mean to be in what does it mean to be into the climate and

00:55:37.040 what does it mean to be competitively more into the climate than other people that's just a perfect

00:55:43.040 trump framing statement because it makes you stop and think well i don't know how would you know he's

00:55:50.640 more into it what does it even mean to be more into it we don't know what that means but he certainly

00:55:56.480 seems to be showing attention to the topic and that's what we're looking for so the first sentence is

00:56:02.560 perfect but and then he says but uh but it's a climate hoax it's a hoax destroying the country

00:56:11.440 that part's good it's a climate hoax i don't like that i'll tell you what what i like better in a

00:56:18.320 second and he said you've been having a thing called weather and it goes up and down that is a

00:56:23.040 pure mistake which is rare i i don't say that about trump very often that's a pure mistake persuasion

00:56:30.800 wise do you know why how many of you know that it is a pure mistake persuasion wise to say

00:56:37.840 that the weather goes up and down so climate change is a natural variation the problem with

00:56:45.280 that is that everybody on the left the people you would want to persuade they they all the left will

00:56:54.480 say wait a minute if you don't know the difference between the weather and the climate you can't be in

00:57:00.000 the conversation and they're right they're right if you don't know the difference between the

00:57:06.400 climate and today's weather and the fact that it's hard to forecast the weather but it's a whole

00:57:12.400 different process in my opinion you can't do either but it's a different process so if you compare them

00:57:19.520 you are you're screaming at the top of your lungs i don't understand the topic do you get that

00:57:25.120 that everybody who has ever said to me but scott it's just the weather the first thing i say oh

00:57:34.160 you haven't looked into the topic at all because because that's like first thing you know if the

00:57:39.360 depth of the topic is let's say 100 the first step is to learn that weather and climate should not be

00:57:47.360 treated the same it's the first step so when you say that your opinion should be ignored after that

00:57:55.440 if you are a rational person listening to somebody talk and the first thing they say

00:57:59.920 is clearly showing a lack of understanding of anything on the topic why would you listen to

00:58:06.000 anything else so this is a pure mistake pure mistake now does trump not know the difference

00:58:14.800 between climate and weather he probably does know the difference but i but he often goes for the the

00:58:21.200 simple you know what's the simplest way to make the case and i think he's just going for simplicity here

00:58:28.080 and he knows that it works on the base so by the way that works perfectly on the base because there are

00:58:34.160 so many people who think it makes sense but it doesn't it's it's a big tell that you don't know anything

00:58:39.440 about the topic so here's what i would do instead so you can make you can make his point but here's

00:58:49.120 how i do it persuasion wise i would never conflate the weather and the climate just keep just never

00:58:53.920 say that again never ever say that again it's just a mistake but instead you should say that the

00:59:00.880 hoax part is the absurdity of the climate models you just go after the models and say do you really

00:59:07.920 think that they know what the temperature will be in 80 years does that does that sound like something

00:59:12.560 that they can do um you want to go after the level of panic and say the panic is overdone because that

00:59:21.680 will make people feel good even if they disagree with you so but you can't say the panic is overdone

00:59:29.120 if first you said that weather and climate are basically the same because nobody's going to listen to

00:59:35.040 you when you say that the panic is is overdone if you don't even know the topic by saying that climate and

00:59:42.160 weather are the same so that's so important and you could also say that the the money that the

00:59:49.520 government is giving to all this green stuff is probably unaudited and we don't know where it's going

00:59:55.920 so if you were if you're trying to convince somebody who's a you know a climate afraid person

01:00:03.840 oh and then on top of that you'd want to have at least one anecdote that shows you know something

01:00:08.480 about the topic right so saying climate and weather are the same shows you don't know the topic

01:00:14.960 but in addition you should add something that shows you do know it and i would add the simplest thing

01:00:21.440 the heat island effect so somebody who knows what they're talking about should give trump the five

01:00:28.560 minute lesson on the heat island now what that is is their their thermometer set up around the world

01:00:35.600 to measure temperature in theory you just go back to those thermometers every year and you say oh

01:00:41.120 let's look the average looks like it's operates down you'd think that that would be a good process

01:00:47.040 what you don't know is that those thermometers were put outside of cities

01:00:51.760 so that the the heat from the concrete doesn't artificially influence them but then the city grew

01:00:58.960 so the city got closer to the thermometers over the years

01:01:02.960 until the cities were in fact close enough to affect the temperature

01:01:07.200 now that means that we don't actually have a history of temperature that's reliable

01:01:14.080 because the thermometers have have that problem with them now do you think that's a problem well

01:01:20.320 there's a story that the met office in great britain one of their thermometers uh

01:01:25.840 uh uh they have a continuous record of temperatures since 1873 um but there's proof that it hasn't been

01:01:34.560 there that long so basically there's one thermometer for sure that had that they're using as data

01:01:40.800 that they can know for sure the data is fake if somebody just made it up i don't know but

01:01:45.680 so if so if trump knew one anecdote of something that doesn't work it would be very persuasive as

01:01:53.440 long as it was a true one because even the left doesn't argue about the heat island effect what they

01:02:00.960 say is that they can adjust for it how do you do that how do you make up the past if you don't know what

01:02:09.200 it is how exactly do you compensate for the fact that your thermometers are not accurate and can't be

01:02:17.120 because of this effect so uh summarizing never say weather and climate are the same that's a big tell

01:02:25.760 for not understanding the topic do learn at least one thing i would do the heat island thing is the one

01:02:31.440 thing you do understand and say that the hoax part is the panic and the the models and the models are

01:02:39.120 based on the input by things like temperature so obviously the models are going to be weird and then

01:02:45.920 you can certainly say that the government isn't spending the money on the green stuff correctly because

01:02:52.000 both sides understand that to be true that they know the government's wasting the money no matter

01:02:57.200 even if they like the general direction and related to this according to ken richards at the no tricks

01:03:05.280 zone scientists say that over the last 40 years there's been a striking increase in greenness

01:03:13.360 attributed to the higher co2 fertilization and maybe also land use changes so the new study we don't

01:03:22.160 know if the new study is better than the old studies but the new one says we're getting

01:03:25.360 greener than we are getting brown so the good news is the green movement worked because the world's a lot

01:03:34.160 greener so green peace green peace should take a bow because from the time that green peace was

01:03:41.440 organized the world has gotten greener good job not really the way you intended to do it but by failing to

01:03:50.240 change anything important apparently it took care of itself so that's not about temperature that's

01:03:56.880 about greening but one would assume that if you have a lot more greening it's going to have a dampening

01:04:02.160 effect on temperature do you think the models account for that probably not at least not correctly

01:04:09.760 all right i did a deep dive on the katherine harridge report about the whistleblower cia whistleblower

01:04:16.400 who suspects a foreign directed energy weapon probably from russia was the source of her injuries

01:04:25.200 and so people ask me scott scott since you think that this secret russian weapon is not real what

01:04:32.160 do you think of this whistleblower it's so compelling so i did take the time to listen to it completely

01:04:37.760 because if you haven't watched the entire video you don't have the sense and i want to give you my

01:04:42.480 take so my take is as follows the the person who's blaming russia for the weapon is a person whose

01:04:53.600 professional career involved blaming russia for stuff in other words her job was to be on the other side of

01:05:01.840 russia it was their specialty so somebody whose job it is to say russia is the bad guy in every situation

01:05:10.400 and then suddenly they say russia is the bad guy how much credibility should you put on that

01:05:16.240 it's their it's their whole career saying russia is the bad guy and then she says russia is the bad guy

01:05:22.400 and that's it does that sound credible it it's exactly like republicans blaming democrats and democrats

01:05:30.000 for blaming republicans it's um it's the least credible thing that you could say

01:05:38.080 now if somebody had nothing to do with studying russia had a claim about russia i'd say oh

01:05:44.720 well i mean you don't have any stake in the fight so if you say it's russia i'm going to listen to the

01:05:50.320 rest of what you say but if somebody's job it is to blame russia blames russia the amount of

01:05:59.600 credibility you should put in that would be zero let me give you an example if you hire a ghost buster

01:06:06.640 to come into your house and and figure out what the suspicious noises are from do you think the

01:06:12.560 ghost buster is going to find a ghost that they can charge you for oh good i found the ghost i've

01:06:18.240 eliminated it with my machines you don't understand and so you should pay me yeah the ghost buster always

01:06:24.320 finds a ghost the russian anti-russian guy always finds a russian behind every tree so if it were

01:06:32.160 anyone else it would be more credible than somebody whose job it is to blame russia you're with me so

01:06:39.520 far now here's where i need to make the distinction between what is true which i don't know from what is

01:06:46.400 credible so i'm going to stick to what sounds credible to to a reasonable person so no this is

01:06:56.320 not credible coming from that source who by the way are professional liars by trading um

01:07:05.200 next part of the claim was that it's a worldwide event so there's a picture of the globe and you can

01:07:11.920 see that all over the world there's these different events now it's hard for me to imagine

01:07:18.480 what kind of play a random attack all over the world would do random you know smaller embassies

01:07:25.280 nothing critical it doesn't really make sense as a coordinated plan because it seems random but

01:07:33.920 what the so the randomness of it sort of gets away from the the russia part

01:07:39.440 um because why would they do it all over the in these random places what would be the point of that

01:07:46.720 and

01:07:49.840 but you know that that doesn't that doesn't mean it's not them there could be some secret reason

01:07:54.560 they're doing it i don't know about but it's not uh it it decreases the credibility

01:08:00.640 to know that it's happening all over the place in most changes in most cases

01:08:05.840 it probably is um mass hysteria so you can maintain the the unknown of whether this one person

01:08:17.440 was attacked by a russian weapon that might be true it might be true but it's very unlikely

01:08:25.040 that all the other cases around the world are also true it's far more likely that whether or not

01:08:32.000 one or two or three of these are real it's far more likely that no matter how many are real

01:08:38.640 that the bulk of them are just people imagining it right now what about the fact that there's an

01:08:47.840 actual injury that apparently the doctors confirm real injuries and she looks like she has real better

01:08:53.600 and i believe she's not lying if she was lying about the injuries i'd be amazed

01:08:58.720 so if you were to do a pet scan or a brain scan of a bunch of randomly chosen people

01:09:06.240 how many of them would show some abnormality in the brain that you didn't know about

01:09:11.200 i don't know but it seems to me that some people are just going to have ordinary abnormalities

01:09:17.840 and she said that she knew the moment of the attack because she got this piercing headache i think

01:09:23.040 she heard something maybe and there was some vibration under her feet

01:09:28.000 so her experience of it was that she felt the attack and then thereafter she felt the health problems

01:09:36.000 so if you felt the attack that would be a better argument that it was an attack right

01:09:40.960 but here's my question if if you had a stroke or some other mental brain defect you know there's

01:09:49.440 probably a variety of things ways your brain can glitch what do you remember of it

01:09:54.400 if your brain is where the problem is what happens to your memory of the moment it came on

01:10:02.320 i'm going to give you an analogy it's not a perfect analogy but it's more to explain my point

01:10:07.760 i was once playing tennis years ago and all of a sudden something that i imagined was maybe a golf ball

01:10:15.360 hit me in the back of my calf muscle and just just took me down and the first thing i did is i looked

01:10:22.560 backwards to see you know who the bad person was who had shot me or driven a golf ball at me i mean

01:10:32.480 it definitely wasn't a tennis ball because it was whatever it was was hard and moving very fast

01:10:40.080 so it felt like i got shot in the back of the leg and i i went down do you know what it was

01:10:46.000 it was nothing i had the experience of being attacked but what it was is that

01:10:53.280 tennis players often get this there's a specific muscle in the calf muscle

01:10:58.720 that fairly often snaps if you're a tennis player but it doesn't snap during your movement you're just

01:11:05.600 standing there usually it's like it got weakened to the point where it's going to go so you're just

01:11:10.480 standing there waiting for a serve and like ah and you feel like you've been attacked now it's only

01:11:17.040 because i could look behind me and there was literally nobody behind me that i knew i wasn't

01:11:21.840 attacked and then later i found out oh you had this problem and other people had the same story

01:11:27.840 so it was not an achilles it was just a it was just a muscle that snaps and then you just stay

01:11:34.000 off it for two months and it heals on itself you don't even treat it it's just such a it's just a

01:11:39.280 very normal tennis player accident or or problem so is there an equivalent for people who have brain

01:11:49.760 related organic problems like a stroke like uh i mean there are probably a few other things that are

01:11:57.520 in that strokey category so that i don't know i don't know but it's easy to imagine

01:12:05.520 that somebody could have something sudden come on and they would remember it that way now what about

01:12:10.400 the vibrating of our feet i mean that's kind of weird the feet are vibrating at the same you know the

01:12:16.800 floor is vibrating well about once a day my phone vibrates in my pocket and i reach in my pocket and i don't

01:12:25.360 have a phone in my pocket does that happen to you i've had a phone vibrate in my pocket even when i'm

01:12:32.160 in the shower and i'm not wearing any clothes at all and i certainly don't have a phone it's called a

01:12:37.200 phantom the phantom vibration how many of you had that it's it's very common if you've heard if you've

01:12:44.400 had the real vibrating in your same pocket a lot you'll hear it you'll feel it for the rest of your life

01:12:49.760 and it's it's so distinct it it's not it doesn't feel like it's in your imagination

01:12:57.040 it's really clear vibrating so you don't say to yourself here's what you don't say you never say to

01:13:03.920 yourself did i feel a vibration no you totally feel it it's 100 vibrating so is is there anything

01:13:13.040 that would be an analog that could fit this could it be that the building was getting some

01:13:20.320 construction and somebody was jackhammering about the same time and maybe she just didn't notice it

01:13:27.040 or wasn't standing in that part of the building so it could be something else right so i did not see

01:13:34.240 any sense so i do believe the injuries are real and i do believe that she's telling the truth as she

01:13:40.720 knows it there was there were no signs in my in my incredible ability to detect liars i didn't see

01:13:48.240 any tells i saw no tells for intentional lying i saw a lot of indications that it might not be true

01:13:56.480 or at least not credible that's the only part i can judge

01:14:01.920 let's see what else

01:14:02.720 um if the whole thing some said it's a russian psyop so it wasn't so much about injuring the

01:14:12.160 individual people it was about creating some some kind of feeling in the psychology of the united

01:14:18.640 states to which i ask um why would you use a secret sonic weapon or energy weapon to do your psyop

01:14:28.800 if it were russia wouldn't russia know that if that these people would know they'd been attacked if

01:14:37.200 you did more than one so if you wanted and you attacked a bunch of people with the same weapon

01:14:42.800 don't you know that the united states would figure out they'd been attacked with something like that

01:14:47.040 kind of weapon and wouldn't you know that if it's that kind of weapon that we we could rule out you

01:14:55.440 know estonia we could rule out peru you're gonna basically look at russia first am i right you

01:15:04.000 wouldn't even look at china first you wouldn't expect china to take that kind of risk but you might

01:15:09.520 say to yourself you know maybe russia but why would russia do that it would be like trying to do a secret

01:15:18.720 a secret uh you know attack but you do the attack in the way that you're the only one who would do that

01:15:25.120 kind of attack it's a little on the nose isn't it it seems like putin would be the last person

01:15:32.160 the last person to do something that would be so obviously tied to his country it's not like a

01:15:39.280 bunch of other countries are going to have an energy weapon and you know and have a reason to use it

01:15:45.280 so it doesn't make sense from a russia perspective not that we know everything russia is up to but i don't

01:15:52.000 see how it works as a psyop all it does is all it does is make america want to attack russia more

01:15:59.600 like why would russia do an op that would make you want to attack them that's the last thing they

01:16:06.720 would want um but she also said that not only was she an anti-russia kind of cia operative but that she

01:16:18.160 was especially good at her job and her theory is that because she was especially good at her job

01:16:25.040 that she was targeted oh i think she was targeted at home wasn't she i mean i may have the story wrong

01:16:29.760 about where she was um she said she was targeted at home so that makes the vibrating part you know

01:16:37.760 different but unless there's a unless the dryer was running in the next room or something and

01:16:45.440 so here's here's my persuasion my persuasion recommendation to you if you're ever injured

01:16:55.360 you should say that the reason that somebody tried to injure you is because you were so effective at your

01:17:01.120 job that you were gonna you're you're a risk to a superpower i'm so good at my job that a superpower

01:17:11.680 that putin himself because you know they wouldn't have done this unless putin ordered it would you

01:17:16.240 agree would you agree that there's no way if it were a russia weapon there's no way that putin would

01:17:22.800 not know that they were using it because it would be way too risky to not have the boss approve it so

01:17:29.040 um yeah so that's a good story i'm so good at my job that that putin himself had to order a hit on me

01:17:40.800 but the only way he knew how to kill people

01:17:44.640 is by using a weapon that would be easily identified with russia

01:17:50.720 do all those things seem true to you incredible that she is so good at her job that putin need to take

01:17:57.520 her out but the only way he knew to do it was to leave a complete business card that it was russia

01:18:05.280 does that make sense that that's that's asking a lot

01:18:11.600 um

01:18:14.160 so anyway i'd like to see what brain doctors say might be the other possibility of what's happening

01:18:18.720 in her case because it does look like serious medical problems so i'm not gonna i'm not making light

01:18:24.800 of what looks like serious medical problems so i don't want to i don't want to act like that's not

01:18:31.520 a big deal it is a big deal and i don't want to tell you that i know what's behind these things i i don't

01:18:39.040 want to rule out a weapon and i don't want to rule out russia but i would say the odds of a weapon are much higher

01:18:49.120 than the odds of a weapon used by russia because it just i don't see how it could work in their interest

01:18:55.200 and it's just too reflexive to blame russia but as soon as i hear russia being blamed of anything

01:19:01.200 i automatically go well 90 chance is not true right 90 chance it's not true so that's my take credibility

01:19:11.520 is zero um but that doesn't mean it's not true it might be true there's just no credibility to the way it's told

01:19:21.520 anyway in other news i've been talking about this a little bit uh vigilant news on x um is talking about

01:19:28.800 ivermectin and some uh alleged cures from ivermectin and uh so i weighed in and said

01:19:38.240 why do we never hear from the person who got cured and then sure enough somebody somebody

01:19:44.720 would chimed in and said that she was cured of pancreatic cancer and i thought wow but why don't

01:19:51.760 you give your name you're anonymous that's kind of sketchy and then um it was pointed out to me that

01:19:58.480 in her pin post she does she does show her identity and it links to an article that goes

01:20:04.960 into great detail about her cancer treatment which did not mention ivermectin she got chemo and radiation

01:20:16.000 so the story is that she was cured by ivermectin but the extensive story of everything

01:20:20.880 she did for her treatment didn't have any ivermectin in it and here's what's missing her doctors

01:20:29.040 so if it's true so the claims are that there are now let's say multiple claims of people curing

01:20:38.080 cancer with just ivermectin or fenbenazole which is similar to ivermectin in terms of treating worms

01:20:45.520 but people say that might work so what are the odds that there are cancer doctors who have observed with

01:20:56.080 their own eyes their patients being cured of incurable incurable cancers and and fairly rapidly

01:21:05.440 what are the odds that the doctors would not want to talk about that so here's what it would take to

01:21:11.680 convince me it's real i would need multiple cases i would need i would need to know that there was a cure

01:21:19.360 that was unrelated to the other treatments because if the other treatments are known to sometimes be

01:21:24.160 curable or curative then you don't know anything so i'd need to see the patient go public i'd need

01:21:32.480 to see them sit with their doctor and i'd want to see somebody who knew to ask the right questions

01:21:38.560 let's say one of the doctor journalist types um i'd want to see a doctor journalist say all right you say

01:21:45.440 you're cured by this doctor was she cured of this yes if it's yes that would be pretty amazing um

01:21:58.400 so my my current take is that there's no credible evidence that it works there are lots of signals

01:22:06.960 there are lots of signals i'm not your doctor so don't listen to me when it comes to medical stuff but

01:22:12.800 i'm just trying to give you a way to look at it to be credible you would have multiple cases

01:22:19.040 you'd have cures and you would have multiple doctors from different places saying yep saw it

01:22:24.720 with my own eyes and i've never once seen this cured this is the only time i've ever seen it so

01:22:30.000 it must be the ivermectin if you don't see that and keep in mind that everybody would have a reason to

01:22:37.760 tell you it worked anybody who saw this work would not just have a reason it'd be the best reason ever

01:22:45.920 it would be the most important thing that's happening in the world and there's no doctor

01:22:50.640 talking about it there are doctors talking about it but they're not sitting with a patient in front

01:22:56.960 of somebody to ask the right questions saying all right ask any question you want we're pretty sure

01:23:01.600 this worked if you don't see that you should take that into your consideration and there there are

01:23:10.320 claims that i can't you know i'm not a doctor so i can't say for sure but there are claims of injury

01:23:17.520 from people who took the ivermectin or the other thing and only that in some cases may have overdosed or

01:23:24.640 taken it too long but there are side effects you know we talk about ivermectin being so well tolerated

01:23:31.760 that's true it's well tolerated but if somebody thinks they're going to cure their cancer they

01:23:39.440 might double up on it if you know what i mean if somebody says there there are no side effects

01:23:46.080 and it might save your life are you going to go with the minimum dose

01:23:48.800 who would i think you'd probably say well i could do a little more than the minimum

01:23:57.520 so there are reports that people may have delayed regular treatment because they're trying that first

01:24:07.280 oh yeah just just to be clear i'm not saying it's outside the realm of possibility

01:24:12.080 i'm saying there's no credible report of it so remember whenever i say something's not credible

01:24:20.480 i'm not saying it didn't happen i'm saying it's very suspicious that something this important which

01:24:27.600 would have this many witnesses we've never had a clean conversation with the doctor the patient

01:24:34.560 and somebody who could ask the right questions and you'd want more than one of those you'd want

01:24:39.600 several and then then then you've got my interest then you've got my interest but no nothing in that

01:24:46.560 domain looks um credible yet bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

01:24:57.360 learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

01:25:04.320 um this is interesting according to liz heflin and remix um the russian foreign minister

01:25:13.840 has rejected trump's proposed peace plan for russia and ukraine which has not been announced

01:25:21.200 but it got leaked so the alleged leaked plan is that trump was floating the idea that

01:25:30.080 uh nato would be um not part of ukraine for 20 years so that uh no nato in ukraine for at least 20 years

01:25:42.480 but they would want to station some british and european peacekeepers in ukraine just to keep things

01:25:48.160 peaceful now um so i think it was lavrov the foreign minister said you know it's non-starter can't do it

01:25:57.360 blah blah now the first thing you should know is that when somebody like trump makes a first offer

01:26:04.800 nobody in the world expects that the first offer will be accepted as is so it doesn't really mean

01:26:09.760 anything that he rejected it next thing you know is that the russians are going to reject any first

01:26:16.320 offer why would they do that because everybody does everybody rejects the first offer nobody even

01:26:23.120 takes it seriously now is this the first offer it's not it's a leak so now he's created a situation

01:26:33.440 by responding to the leak in which he's he's put trump in a position of negotiating with himself

01:26:42.720 which would be the classic negotiating mistake so here's what lavrov is trying to set up now maybe

01:26:49.920 intentionally maybe not but here's what it would look like there's a leaked offer and then lavrov says

01:26:57.280 nope no way 100 no don't even give us that leaked offer you better do better so then what lavrov would

01:27:06.160 like is that before he sees the first offer because remember it's just a leak they've already improved on

01:27:13.120 the offer so that the first offer is better than the leak that's what lavrov would like that would

01:27:19.920 be a mistake because if trump responded to his his rejection of the leak it would be as if

01:27:31.040 lavrov were asking him to negotiate with himself which is to make an offer that is rejected and then

01:27:36.640 make a better offer you never do that if you're negotiating what you do is you make your offer and you

01:27:42.000 say all right respond to it with a with a better offer and then you say all right i don't accept

01:27:49.360 the better offer but we're getting closer maybe i'll give up a little bit can you give up a little

01:27:55.280 bit more and then you move toward the middle and you find something that works so this will be an

01:28:01.040 interesting thing to observe because if trump really really wanted that to be his first offer

01:28:06.640 now it can't be if he wants to be true to negotiating principles he's going to have to just make that

01:28:14.000 offer and he's going to have to make them turn it down you know as part of a formal offer and then he's

01:28:21.040 going to say well you're gonna have to counter well so we'll see if he plays it clean i think he will it

01:28:28.320 would be a big mistake to respond to the rejection of the leak don't do that that's weak that's bad form

01:28:38.560 however i would like to say that the idea of putting a 20-year limit on it is frankly genius

01:28:47.120 do you know why i say it's genius because i i recommend this all the time so let me tell you

01:28:53.760 where i've recommended it so when i've talked in the past about north korea and south korea

01:28:59.760 and north korea thinks it should you know own south korea and as some on some level the koreans all

01:29:06.720 think that maybe they should be the same country in the future but nobody thinks it can happen fast

01:29:13.280 so what i suggested to make peace with north and south korea is that you make a deal that says in a

01:29:20.080 100 years or pick a time in 100 years we will definitely be one country and we're going to work

01:29:27.440 toward it for 100 years and everything we'll do will be you know in that in that mode so that would

01:29:34.560 allow kim jong-un's you know to be to have passed along and maybe his kids have already grown and died

01:29:40.640 so his family would be able to set them up financially get some kind of you know government

01:29:47.120 deal that they're not hunted if they ever become one country and you would say to yourself well we

01:29:52.800 definitely can't do it today but if we're moving toward it why would we fight it would make more

01:29:59.760 sense just to wait so then kim jong-un could claim that he had unified korea and maybe that's even true

01:30:09.440 it's just that there would be a timeline before it happened so from a negotiating perspective here's

01:30:14.720 the trick if you know you can't get a deal today see if you can tell somebody well we'll definitely

01:30:21.840 make this happen you know but you got to wait or in the case of trump uh it's something they don't

01:30:29.520 want to happen so you say it definitely won't happen for at least 20 years because so much will

01:30:34.480 happen in the next 20 years i mean is putin still going to be in charge in 20 years i don't know

01:30:40.240 i mean he'd be in his late 80s mid 80s um so i don't know late 80s i think he'd be um so it was a

01:30:53.600 smart smart offer and it does suggest that there's um plenty to work with so i i think he's going to get

01:31:01.600 it done we don't know what it'll look like yet according to normal uh there's a study that says

01:31:08.800 that patients are less likely to have thoughts of ending their own lives if they used marijuana

01:31:17.920 so let's see they did a big expensive study to see if people feel better about their life when they're

01:31:25.040 high you know how they could have saved a little time you're gonna you know what you know what i'm

01:31:32.640 gonna say right no you don't i'm gonna trick you i usually say they could have just asked me and in

01:31:38.000 this case it's funnier but they could have even done something easier than that you know how they

01:31:42.560 could have found this out instead of doing a study they should have just smoked some joints

01:31:48.880 see how they felt

01:31:49.600 trust me you're you're definitely going to think less about ending your life if you're enjoying it

01:31:59.760 at the moment that's pretty straightforward stuff if you're enjoying it at the moment

01:32:06.960 you're probably not thinking of ending it all right meanwhile according to washington times the drug

01:32:13.600 cartels are now mexico's fifth largest employer 175 000 people fifth largest employer

01:32:22.480 and i think that's misleading because they own the governments as well so you'd have to

01:32:26.160 add the government employees that should make them the the largest employer indirectly well according to

01:32:35.600 breitbart that's reporting on a blaze i think the blaze did the reporting on this

01:32:39.520 um there's a study published in the new england uh journey journal of medicine that some bill gates

01:32:46.560 funded entity is testing putting medicine or vaccinations in mosquitoes

01:32:54.400 so they they put the drug in the mosquitoes somehow and then the mosquitoes bite you when you get vaccinated

01:33:01.680 feel comfortable with that one how does that one feel oh i can't wait i can't wait for the mosquitoes

01:33:13.040 mosquito vaccination well what could go wrong until somebody weaponizes the mosquitoes to overdose you with fentanyl

01:33:21.600 um wow somebody named carol caroline delbert what an unfortunate last name delbert uh is writing for popular mechanics that there's a battery that will finally unlock massless energy storage i don't know what the massless part is about um

01:33:42.720 oh massless that makes sense so somebody figured out these researchers that uh how to make a structural battery

01:33:54.400 now a structural battery is one that can hold weight so instead of having a car that's a frame and an engine

01:34:04.480 and then a separate battery the frame would actually be the battery and if you use the right materials it might

01:34:11.680 not be any or substantially heavier than um the regular frame that wasn't a battery

01:34:18.720 so if you can make the whole frame of your car your battery you don't need to add a battery

01:34:23.840 because the car is the battery so imagine what would happen to the weight of the car

01:34:29.040 if you could do late white light weight batteries that are just built into the frame

01:34:34.720 doing what the frame of the car does and they don't need to add a battery

01:34:40.880 it took about 10 seconds for somebody to enter the chat and say what happens if the battery goes bad

01:34:47.920 if your entire car is the battery what happens if the battery fails do you have to trade in the whole car

01:34:56.000 sounds like it but it's not that much worse than the situation that we have

01:34:59.760 so batteries the future is batteries uh dr john campbell on rumble i'm so i know you're gonna you're

01:35:10.800 gonna point me toward all the experts i've seen them all uh all the names i've seen them all i've seen

01:35:17.520 their work i see what they claim and uh it doesn't change my comments

01:35:22.160 falling for the propaganda all right can you tell me what uh what big pharma propaganda that i use

01:35:33.200 so this will be a test of your own intelligence give me an example of what evidence from big pharma

01:35:39.760 that i used for my ivermectin opinion go what part of my opinion came from big pharma

01:35:48.560 was it the part where i said there's no evidence did big pharma tell me that there's no evidence when

01:35:56.640 there's lots of evidence now that didn't happen as far as i know i have no input whatsoever from big

01:36:05.440 pharma i i don't think has anything to do with anything big pharma did not tell me it doesn't work

01:36:13.200 i've never heard big pharma say that have you has big pharma said it doesn't work against cancer i've

01:36:19.200 never heard him say that if they're saying it i'm i'm not aware of it so i looked into it with just my

01:36:26.080 own powers of observation and it's very important that you know the distinction between not credible

01:36:36.800 and not true the not true part i don't know i don't know if it's true i just know that if you're

01:36:43.920 convinced it's real you've been convinced on very very bad information or inadequate i won't say wrong

01:36:51.840 but inadequate so if that's enough information for you then i would say i don't know how you defend it

01:37:01.760 i don't know you could possibly defend it

01:37:05.920 so just find me all you have to do is find me one person who's real who will sit there with their

01:37:10.480 doctor i'll even talk i'll even ask the questions myself or i'll see if dr drew would talk to him

01:37:16.400 well how about this well i'll make you a deal i'll make you a deal uh keep me out of it because i'm

01:37:23.280 not a doctor but if dr drew was presented with the opportunity to talk to let's say one or more than

01:37:30.800 one person plus their doctor and not anonymous to say that this worked for me and there's no there's no

01:37:38.560 it couldn't have been anything else i would definitely be influenced by that but i haven't

01:37:45.760 seen it right now you might say but scott what about this doctor or that doctor nope

01:37:58.000 i'm not going to be convinced by somebody who tells me they talk to somebody else

01:38:02.240 if that's your standard if that's your standard the closest i got to finding somebody who said

01:38:11.120 they were cured is somebody who would only talk to me by chat so automatically i i don't have full

01:38:19.520 confidence in that they'd only talk to me by chat and again i didn't talk to their doctor would the

01:38:25.520 doctor say the same thing i don't know all i know is somebody i don't know

01:38:30.000 said that something could happen so there are reports if you're saying to me scott you're missing

01:38:37.520 the signals there there are signals it's just that when you chase them down they they turn into dust

01:38:46.720 so that's all i know all right i'm losing my voice um so i think i'll end the main show here i'm

01:38:54.000 going to say just a few words to the locals people i went a little long today because nobody else is

01:39:00.320 working well that's not true all right locals i'm coming to you privately in 30 seconds the

01:39:08.000 rest of the rest of you thanks for joining i'll see you on rumble and necks

01:39:17.520 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 01, 2025

Episode 2707 CWSA 01⧸01⧸25

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