Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 03, 2025


Episode 2709 CWSA 01⧸03⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 42 minutes

Words per Minute

148.86816

Word Count

15,198

Sentence Count

1,002

Misogynist Sentences

25

Hate Speech Sentences

41


Summary

It took me a few tries to figure out how to make this thing work, but it's finally working, and it's the best thing I've ever done. I also talk about the dangers of foreign-made toys, and why we should be worried about AI.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Well, let's see if this works better.
00:00:01.380 The first try didn't work.
00:00:03.140 That would mean everybody would be looking for the first try
00:00:05.320 and not finding the real one.
00:00:12.560 There we are.
00:00:16.360 All right, we're good to go.
00:00:18.800 I think some non-locals people will get lost.
00:00:21.280 It might take them a while to find this.
00:00:23.560 But I think everybody will figure it out eventually.
00:00:26.700 There you go.
00:00:27.240 The YouTube people are figuring it out.
00:00:29.420 So, sorry, I had a little technical difficulty there.
00:00:31.880 I had to quit and back in so it means there too.
00:00:36.740 If my engineer is listening, please delete the first try.
00:00:43.900 All right.
00:00:53.340 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:57.500 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and it took me a couple of tries to make the technology work.
00:01:03.900 I think it was human error in this case, my human error.
00:01:07.560 But so you'll see there's a wrong one and a right one.
00:01:11.720 If you're listening to this, you're in the right one.
00:01:13.900 Good for you.
00:01:15.280 Good for you.
00:01:16.100 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand
00:01:20.340 with their tiny, shiny human brains,
00:01:22.680 all you need is a cup or margarita glass, a tank of chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug, a flask,
00:01:26.360 a vessel of any kind.
00:01:27.760 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:29.080 I like coffee.
00:01:30.920 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day,
00:01:34.260 the thing that makes everything better,
00:01:36.900 except my lighting, which is terrible.
00:01:40.200 I sure wish I knew what was causing that.
00:01:42.700 It's kind of a new thing.
00:01:44.160 Anyway, it's called the simultaneous sip, but it happens now.
00:01:47.060 Go.
00:01:47.220 Go.
00:01:50.340 It feels like nothing's working just right this morning.
00:01:57.720 Everything's like off by one.
00:02:01.220 Do you ever have those days when everything's just a little bit off?
00:02:05.300 No major problems.
00:02:07.160 I mean, it's not like a big deal.
00:02:08.740 But everything's a little bit off today.
00:02:11.580 I don't know.
00:02:12.260 Keep an eye on that.
00:02:14.420 Why in the world am I fuzzy?
00:02:15.840 Why suddenly is the video just like, I look like one of those aging TV stars.
00:02:26.620 Have you ever noticed that as a beautiful celebrity will age,
00:02:31.980 they have to fuzz the video more and more until they're just like a blotch?
00:02:37.480 You can't even make out the nose.
00:02:39.160 I think that's what's happening to me.
00:02:42.380 Maybe it's an angle.
00:02:45.580 No.
00:02:46.160 Let me try to see if I can clean the camera.
00:02:48.820 Is there a camera problem?
00:02:54.620 Oh, yeah.
00:02:55.360 Maybe that helped a little.
00:02:56.440 I think that helped.
00:02:57.840 Good.
00:02:58.280 We're ready to go.
00:02:59.540 Finally.
00:03:01.540 Finally.
00:03:01.940 All right.
00:03:03.520 Well, here's some science news, according to Brian Maffley at the University of Utah.
00:03:09.320 A study shows that if you lose urban trees, it disproportionately affects some places.
00:03:19.240 So, apparently, the educational attainment is better where they have more trees.
00:03:25.260 So, where there are poor trees or the trees have died and not been replaced,
00:03:30.080 they don't do as well in school.
00:03:32.420 Hmm.
00:03:33.180 Hmm.
00:03:34.320 Is it the lack of trees that make people do worse in school in the city?
00:03:41.880 Or could it be that the correlation is if everything doesn't work in that city, including education,
00:03:49.820 you also can't keep a tree alive?
00:03:52.920 What are the odds that you're running a first-class school system in a city where you can't keep a tree alive?
00:03:59.460 A tree.
00:04:00.900 Do you know how hard it is to kill a tree?
00:04:03.260 You pretty much can throw an acorn in the ground and walk away.
00:04:06.500 Forty years later, a gray tree?
00:04:08.360 Well, you know, sooner than that.
00:04:11.080 So, yeah, I don't know that this science is getting the order right.
00:04:14.620 I don't know if taking away the trees makes you do poorly in school,
00:04:17.800 or it could be that if you live in a place that can't keep a tree alive,
00:04:21.380 it's not going to do much better with you.
00:04:22.800 Well, it turns out that the Surgeon General wants alcohol to carry warning labels because it's the third leading cause of cancer.
00:04:34.720 I didn't know that.
00:04:36.840 After tobacco and obesity, alcohol is the third leading cause of cancer.
00:04:42.660 So, it turns out that alcohol is poison.
00:04:47.380 Told you.
00:04:49.280 You don't need science.
00:04:51.120 Really, you don't.
00:04:51.800 You just listen to me babbling about stuff.
00:04:53.920 You know, it seems like my babbling is like 80%, like I have an 80% win record of just guessing.
00:05:03.420 Anyway, we're also here, Zero Hedge is saying that parents need to be worried about foreign-made AI toys for kids used as propaganda.
00:05:19.440 That's right.
00:05:20.400 If you have AI built into a child's toy, you better be careful because that child is talking to the AI and you don't know what they're going to say.
00:05:28.880 Apparently, there's a report, according to Zero Hedge, of an AI-powered robot called MECO.
00:05:36.920 So, some father bought it for his two-year-old.
00:05:39.820 And it says that Kamala Harris will be the 47th president and it praises Kamala and Biden.
00:05:47.660 But when asked about Trump, it says nothing positive, according to the libs of TikTok.
00:05:52.860 I guess libs of TikTok noticed this first.
00:05:54.960 Do you remember long ago, not really, like last year, when we thought that AI would be the thing that would teach us what was true and what wasn't true?
00:06:08.540 Do you remember that?
00:06:10.220 We thought that AI would tell us what's true.
00:06:14.260 Nope.
00:06:14.700 It turns out AI is just a better way to lie to us because when AI says something is true, and I've had this experience, I'm really ready to believe it because it talks like a person and why would it lie to me?
00:06:28.880 I mean, it wouldn't lie, would it?
00:06:30.780 So, when AI gives you disinformation, it's really powerful because you think that disinformation is true.
00:06:36.000 So, there is really no possibility that AI could ever be used to tell you the truth because whoever controls it has their preferred idea of what's true.
00:06:50.020 Whoever built this Miko doll probably thought it was a fact that Kamala was awesome and Trump would never become president.
00:06:57.520 So, they programmed it to think that.
00:06:59.500 I doubt that this came up with that on, you know, just from some pattern recognition.
00:07:05.580 I don't think so.
00:07:07.180 Maybe, but I don't think so.
00:07:10.560 Anyway, AI will be the biggest source of misinformation in the world by far.
00:07:17.020 Well, of course, we have to talk more about those two terror attacks recently that happened on the same day on New Year's.
00:07:24.100 It was the New Orleans one and Las Vegas one.
00:07:27.280 And have you noticed that whenever there's something like a terrorist attack, that there's always an alternative explanation for what happened?
00:07:39.580 It's like if you look at 9-11, it's like, well, Osama bin Laden ran a plot and it became 9-11.
00:07:46.240 But then, you know, there's always the group that think it's, you know, the government did it itself or some other government did it for their own purposes.
00:07:55.240 There's no such thing as a terror attack where we don't immediately suspect our own government is behind it.
00:08:01.580 Which, which on one hand, you might say, well, that's the worst possible situation.
00:08:08.960 On the other hand, you could say, it's a good thing we don't trust everything.
00:08:14.540 Like, it's really healthy just to not trust anything.
00:08:17.380 Like, anything that happens, I think, I wonder if my government caused that.
00:08:21.740 It doesn't even matter.
00:08:22.500 If I fell off my own bicycle, the first thing I'd do is look behind me and see if Congress is there.
00:08:28.840 You, oh, oh, maybe it wasn't the government this time.
00:08:33.800 It's just automatic.
00:08:35.020 We just assume the government's behind everything.
00:08:37.560 So that's part of the New Orleans story.
00:08:39.740 But here are the things that are notable about the story that's newish.
00:08:44.040 It does seem that, at least on the political right, there seems to be a settling in on the narrative that DEI is the main problem.
00:08:55.200 Now, did you imagine that that would ever happen?
00:08:58.760 That people just casually talk about it like it's a fact.
00:09:03.060 Oh, it looks like DEI is the base problem here.
00:09:06.240 Because if we didn't have DEI, you know, we would have blocked off the streets.
00:09:11.820 Right?
00:09:12.260 If we didn't have DEI, we would have caught this guy early.
00:09:17.080 Now, I don't know if any of that's true.
00:09:19.940 So let me be very careful when I say this.
00:09:22.220 I don't know that any specific situation, and I don't think there's any way to know.
00:09:27.040 You don't know that any specific situation is a DEI problem.
00:09:31.700 But it is 100% fair to surface it as your top suspect.
00:09:37.600 Because at this point in history, DEI has crippled or ruined just about every large organization.
00:09:45.220 And again, it has nothing to do with anybody's genes or their culture.
00:09:51.080 It has only to do with constraining your hiring choices so that you don't have an option of just looking for the best person.
00:09:57.580 Now, in theory, you're getting the best person, but also diversity.
00:10:01.360 In reality, if you're getting measured for diversity, you're going to get diversity one way or another.
00:10:07.780 So in the real world, it just means don't hire white guys.
00:10:11.100 That's literally all it means.
00:10:13.420 So, of course, people are looking at this as a DEI story, even though we don't know if it is, but it is the right question to ask.
00:10:23.740 So here are some of the things we know.
00:10:28.020 And by the way, on the DEI thing, this is the price of DEI.
00:10:32.800 And if the proponents of DEI did not know that the perfectly predictable outcome of succeeding and getting a lot of DEI candidates in office or getting hired,
00:10:46.280 if you didn't know that was going to cause a massive backlash against everybody who gets a job under that context, how did you not know that?
00:10:56.080 The price of DEI is that for an entire generation, if you're black and you're capable and you just do a really good job and you get promoted on all of your merits,
00:11:07.560 you will be widely assumed to not be capable.
00:11:12.060 Now, I didn't make that system.
00:11:13.900 If I'd made the system, this wouldn't happen.
00:11:16.420 So don't blame the people who are simply responding to the system you built.
00:11:20.320 They're the messengers.
00:11:21.040 If they tell you, hmm, looks like we have to suspect DEI in this situation, they didn't make that up.
00:11:27.880 That's not an opinion.
00:11:29.160 It's a clear just observation.
00:11:31.280 It's an observation that you have to include that variable when you're looking at any complex situation in America.
00:11:39.860 Don't blame the messenger.
00:11:42.680 All right.
00:11:43.300 So apparently the Airbnb that we think was the New Orleans connected to the New Orleans attacker was on fire.
00:11:54.260 Was it?
00:11:56.660 I'm not even sure if anything that was reported early on is true.
00:12:00.480 But there was so much fog of war, false reporting that I don't really even know what's true at this point.
00:12:06.800 But so apparently the New Orleans BNP had bomb-making materials in it.
00:12:15.080 I didn't see any signs of fire, so I don't understand what part of this is true and what's not.
00:12:20.080 And also, by the way, I should tell you that the odds of me confusing these two headline stories is nearly 100%.
00:12:27.780 I'm already having a tough time figuring out, wait, which one was the Las Vegas guy?
00:12:33.820 And which one was the New Orleans guy?
00:12:35.440 Is anybody having that problem?
00:12:37.740 It's like, wait, one was a Cybertruck.
00:12:40.420 The other was an electric Ford truck.
00:12:43.720 All right.
00:12:43.900 So if I get some of the details wrong, just know what's coming.
00:12:51.440 So here are the things we know.
00:12:53.140 On the New Orleans one, a reporter was allowed in to give a tour of what looks like essentially part of the crime scene
00:13:03.200 and conveniently laid out in the New Orleans terrorist home is the open Koran, coincidentally,
00:13:15.720 and work tables where he's making all kinds of bombs and stuff.
00:13:20.720 Now, it definitely looks like, 100% looks like somebody who is a terrorist lives there.
00:13:28.060 Do people make their apartment look exactly like a terrorist live there?
00:13:35.140 Maybe.
00:13:36.960 You know, maybe.
00:13:37.500 So I guess we'll figure out what that is.
00:13:42.620 Now, part of the issue is that Trump said that the open borders are causing more crime and terrorism.
00:13:51.620 Now, you already know that the New Orleans terrorist was American-born.
00:14:00.160 Now, he had an Islamic name and, you know, he was obviously in that life.
00:14:04.500 But he's American-born.
00:14:05.760 He was in the American military.
00:14:08.180 So is Trump right or wrong when he uses that situation, which was an American-born guy,
00:14:14.860 when he uses that as an example of open borders being a problem?
00:14:17.760 Well, the answer is yes, because it's a reasonable assumption that since he was living among a lot of recent immigrants
00:14:28.880 within the same cultural situation, does it seem likely that he was living with somebody who came more recently
00:14:40.280 who was either encouraging or radicalizing him?
00:14:44.040 We don't know the answer to that.
00:14:46.900 But like the DEI case, it's the first question you should ask.
00:14:51.360 The first question.
00:14:53.260 So it feels to me like if the guy is American-born, but he was living among recent immigrants who brought a different culture
00:15:02.020 and some of it may have radicalized him, I think Trump's on point.
00:15:06.620 Now, again, we don't know if he's technically right on this specific case.
00:15:11.320 But this is the kind of hyperbole I don't mind at all, because it's so obviously directionally correct.
00:15:18.120 It doesn't really matter to me too much that he was born in America if he lived among people who weren't,
00:15:25.300 and that culture is presumed to have had some impact on him.
00:15:29.580 I don't know.
00:15:30.740 I don't know.
00:15:31.540 Could you become that dedicated if all of your friends or where you lived didn't have any of those views?
00:15:37.480 It seems possible, but it seems less likely.
00:15:42.300 So, all right.
00:15:43.420 So what else?
00:15:46.060 We'll talk about the coincidences in a minute.
00:15:49.180 But the funniest thing was the Cybertruck guy.
00:15:53.440 Now, it may not be funny, because I think there's a real possibility that the so-called terrorist in the Cybertruck
00:16:01.240 may have been actually a victim.
00:16:04.040 So there's certainly as many indications that he didn't do it as there are that he did it,
00:16:10.840 even though he was the one, his body was the one found in the car.
00:16:14.560 So here's what we know.
00:16:16.780 Apparently, we know the path that the Cybertruck took from Denver to Las Vegas,
00:16:23.480 but it did not take the direct route.
00:16:27.160 It took a very indirect route.
00:16:29.660 Do you know why?
00:16:30.380 His first stop was in Las Vegas, New Mexico.
00:16:36.460 It looks like, can't be sure, but it looks like when he took off, he said,
00:16:43.280 hey, Cybertruck, take me to Las Vegas.
00:16:49.560 And it took him to the closest one.
00:16:52.220 Apparently, there are two places called Las Vegas in the United States.
00:16:55.660 One is in New Mexico.
00:16:56.760 I didn't know that.
00:16:57.360 So it looks like he drove to a completely wrong state.
00:17:02.400 And then when he got out of his truck, he was looking around.
00:17:04.860 He's like, I don't see any casinos.
00:17:08.660 Something pissing.
00:17:09.920 And then he realized he was in the wrong state.
00:17:12.220 And then he drove directly to Las Vegas, the real one.
00:17:15.200 Now, who doesn't notice they're driving to the wrong state?
00:17:21.680 Well, maybe I wouldn't.
00:17:23.620 I have to admit, if you said you're going to go from Denver to Las Vegas and took me through New Mexico,
00:17:30.380 I wouldn't maybe be alerted to it right away because I'm so smart.
00:17:37.140 I might be reading a book and letting the car drive or the truck.
00:17:41.060 If he had it on full self-driving, he probably wasn't even paying attention.
00:17:45.820 He might have been just doing his own thing and the truck was driving itself.
00:17:49.360 Don't know.
00:17:51.140 So here are the things that are strange about this to make us think maybe it wasn't really him who was in the car.
00:17:59.480 His burned up body was found.
00:18:01.080 One thing is that he was in the military and people say he definitely knew how to make a proper bomb.
00:18:08.100 And this was the least capable bomb making you could imagine.
00:18:12.280 So why would a person who could make the best bomb show up to actually risk his life with the worst bomb?
00:18:21.960 How do you explain that?
00:18:23.580 Well, the best explanation would be it wasn't him.
00:18:25.640 Now, he also had a bullet in his head in the truck that blew up with the blombs.
00:18:35.280 Did he shoot himself in the head after he lit a fuse of some kind?
00:18:40.860 So therefore, he wouldn't know for sure if it even blew up.
00:18:44.620 It would make sense because he wouldn't want to die in a different way or makes you wouldn't want to take a chance that he didn't die.
00:18:51.280 I suppose that would be a reason.
00:18:52.880 But have we seen a lot of American military people who do a terrorist act and shoot themselves?
00:19:03.160 It seems like they either go there to die as somebody else's hand or they try to get away.
00:19:10.740 I've never heard of anybody shooting themselves.
00:19:13.520 I mean, if he wanted to cause trouble, wouldn't he blow up the truck but leave it a minute before it blew up and use his handgun to kill random other people like a proper terrorist?
00:19:28.420 You know, like the guy in the Ford truck did.
00:19:31.260 So none of this makes sense.
00:19:32.760 And people are asking, oh, and he's also reportedly a Trump supporter.
00:19:39.460 So that wouldn't make sense that he blew up a cyber truck in front of there.
00:19:46.660 I think he had some kind of a breakup not long before that.
00:19:50.620 But I don't know if that's relevant.
00:19:53.100 I mean, a breakup would make you do crazy things.
00:19:58.140 But this?
00:19:59.700 Like, why would he attack the person he supports by parking in front of that hotel?
00:20:05.740 Now, I heard somebody say that he might be opposed to gambling.
00:20:12.700 Here's a little insider knowledge.
00:20:16.840 The Trump building in Las Vegas is one of the only hotels that doesn't have gambling, which is rare.
00:20:23.720 There's no gambling in that hotel.
00:20:25.700 I don't think the gambling had anything to do with anything.
00:20:28.940 But weirdly, it's the one that doesn't have gambling.
00:20:34.240 And nobody heard the shot.
00:20:36.400 So there's reporting that witnesses who were around the truck before it blew up, they didn't seem to hear a shot.
00:20:43.560 And I asked if the truck was so good at noise cancellation that maybe you wouldn't hear it from the outside.
00:20:49.800 And smart people said, yeah, you would hear it from the sidewalk pretty easily.
00:20:55.440 So it doesn't look like the shot may have happened when people were nearby.
00:21:00.440 Or at least people were near enough to hear it and didn't die in the explosion, I guess.
00:21:04.240 So that's weird.
00:21:08.640 So people are speculating that what really happened was somebody who has a problem with both Musk and Trump, which doesn't appear to be this guy.
00:21:17.000 And somebody who was bad at bomb building, which doesn't appear to be this guy.
00:21:22.360 And somebody who had a...
00:21:26.000 Well, it also doesn't...
00:21:26.920 There's no indication that he was suicidal.
00:21:29.860 Nobody's talking about that.
00:21:31.060 So here are the coincidences.
00:21:35.680 So anyway, the bottom line is a lot of people suspected that there's something about the self-driving car that may have taken his dead body and turned his dead body into some kind of a directed bomb.
00:21:53.000 Now, how could you do that?
00:21:57.280 One way you could do it is if he was already dead and then you did the...
00:22:02.880 And you had the key, then you could summon it as though you're summoning a parked car.
00:22:08.920 Couldn't you?
00:22:10.480 Or would that not work if you're on a city street?
00:22:14.060 It would work in a parking lot.
00:22:15.400 I don't know if the Tesla will allow you to do that if it means that the car is going to be on a public street without a driver.
00:22:22.940 I think not.
00:22:24.620 My guess is it'll work in a parking lot, but Tesla knows when it's on a real road.
00:22:29.560 So I don't think he could just summon it the way you would summon your parked car in a parking lot.
00:22:35.380 I don't think so.
00:22:36.560 But it was also self-driving.
00:22:41.220 So suppose the bad guy killed the other guy, just kept him in the passenger seat, and then set it to self-drive.
00:22:53.100 But it won't self-drive unless a passenger touches the steering wheel occasionally, right?
00:23:01.280 Could you kill him and tape his hand to the steering wheel?
00:23:04.940 Or could you just tie his hand to the steering wheel?
00:23:10.360 Or could you just drape it on the bottom of the steering wheel while he's dead so that he's just a dead man with a hand that just happens to touch the steering wheel?
00:23:20.200 Would the Tesla know he's dead?
00:23:23.640 Or would the Tesla say, seems like a human hand on the steering wheel to me, and just drive him right to the hotel?
00:23:30.020 So it could be that if you wanted to use a self-driving car as a car bomb that you could send to a destination and blow up, the one and only way you could do it is to shoot the driver, drape them over the steering wheel, and then send it.
00:23:47.900 So it could be it's simply the only way you could send a self-driving car to do something is kill the driver and have him not know he's doing it because he's dead.
00:23:58.900 Now, it seems to me that's too clever.
00:24:03.340 It fits into the category of that's a little too good.
00:24:07.060 You don't expect your general terrorists to come up with that clever an idea.
00:24:14.300 And if your idea was that clever, you were so good that you could do that, would you put crappy explosives in a cyber truck?
00:24:24.060 Like, at the very least, you'd use a regular Tesla car so it'd have a chance of blowing up better.
00:24:31.120 So none of this really fits.
00:24:33.320 But there's also the coincidence part.
00:24:35.220 Number one coincidence that January 1st was where two things happened at the same time.
00:24:41.540 So people say it must be connected.
00:24:43.780 Now, let me ask you this question.
00:24:46.340 If you plan to make a 2025 attack and you had waited for 2025, and there is some evidence that at least Al-Qaeda wanted things to happen in 2025,
00:24:57.120 and you were an independent cell, terror cell, and you got to pick your own date,
00:25:02.760 they just said, well, do it early, like, do it early so we can really set the tone.
00:25:08.720 If you wanted to do an early 2025 attack, what date would you pick?
00:25:15.700 Well, if it's me and it's winter, you're not going to have big outdoor crowds very often, right?
00:25:23.240 It would be rare to have a big outdoor crowd in the winter.
00:25:29.020 But January 1st is the one time you can guarantee it.
00:25:32.860 So if you said, do an attack sometime early in the year, I would say, hmm, early in the year?
00:25:41.120 Well, the only time I'm sure there'll be big crowds, and the biggest crowds would be January 1st.
00:25:46.320 So is it really a coincidence that two people picked January 1st?
00:25:52.720 I would say not much of one.
00:25:54.640 It's not much of a coincidence.
00:25:56.440 And it will look like less of a coincidence if, as Sarah Adams, the ex-CIA person says,
00:26:03.960 there's going to be a wave of these, and it's just going to happen all year.
00:26:07.940 If it's going to happen all year, then January 1st is not a coincidence.
00:26:14.200 It's just the obvious time that you would do this sort of thing, and it will be one of many.
00:26:19.640 And then the coincidence will just disappear because we'll say, oh, it's not like there were only two attacks this year
00:26:25.400 and they happened on the same date.
00:26:26.660 That would be too coincidental.
00:26:28.500 But if there are lots of attacks, yeah, January 1st would be exactly the date you'd expect two of them.
00:26:34.780 Let me give you another date you would expect two of them.
00:26:38.660 July 4th, right?
00:26:41.240 July 4th, there will be big crowds.
00:26:43.460 There will be American patriotic crowds.
00:26:46.220 If you're a terrorist, you'd pick a time when you know you can get the big crowds,
00:26:50.860 and it would have a little extra meaning because it's about America.
00:26:54.600 How about the anniversary of 9-11?
00:26:56.840 Do you think there's more likely going to be two attacks on 9-11 than on any other day?
00:27:03.960 Probably, right?
00:27:05.420 So January 1st is a meaningful day.
00:27:08.480 It's not a random day.
00:27:10.300 If it were a random day, like February 20th, that would be random.
00:27:17.080 Then it's a big coincidence.
00:27:20.080 But it's the most non-random day you could possibly pick.
00:27:23.580 If you wanted 2025 to be full of terror, you'd pick the first day.
00:27:29.040 Because here's what it felt like to me.
00:27:31.320 Because al-Qaeda is good in the psychology part.
00:27:34.320 Here's what it felt like.
00:27:36.860 The whole year is going to be like this.
00:27:38.800 Because it happened on January 1st.
00:27:42.540 If it happened on December 20th, I wouldn't automatically think, oh no, 2025 is going to be full of it.
00:27:52.900 Because I'd be like, well, I mean, it happens anytime.
00:27:55.340 But the very fact that it happened on the first day takes your brain and says, 2025, terror.
00:28:03.140 2025, terror.
00:28:04.760 And it's locked in.
00:28:07.280 So by doing it on the first day, you get the extra bang for the buck, which is it makes people think there's more coming and the year is going to be full of it.
00:28:14.440 Maybe it will.
00:28:17.320 Maybe it won't.
00:28:19.320 But I certainly feel like it.
00:28:21.680 And terrorism is about how it makes you feel.
00:28:24.400 And how I feel is, oh my God, there's a lot coming.
00:28:27.740 Because they did it on the first.
00:28:30.360 So not random at all.
00:28:32.780 And I would not consider that date too meaningful in the larger explanation of why there were two of them at the same time.
00:28:41.360 Apparently the two terrorists came from the same military base.
00:28:49.280 All these smart people who were in the military say that's not a real coincidence.
00:28:54.420 Because something like one in three people go through that base at some point.
00:28:58.320 It's like a huge number of people in the military spend some time in that same place.
00:29:05.240 So that coincidence is not really a coincidence.
00:29:08.680 The larger coincidence, I guess, is that they're both American military people.
00:29:13.880 Now, if you knew that you were, let's say you're the Al-Qaeda organizers.
00:29:19.500 If you knew that you had one born in America person, which will be scarier to us, right?
00:29:26.900 Because we can't catch them as easily if they're American citizens.
00:29:29.840 So it's scarier if it's an American citizen.
00:29:33.200 And then it's scarier again if it's somebody who was in the military.
00:29:37.420 So that would be the ultimate Al-Qaeda plan is to make us not only afraid, but to distrust our own military.
00:29:46.840 That's like a double win.
00:29:48.140 But suppose they only had one.
00:29:51.880 Suppose they'd been trying hard, Al-Qaeda, and they could only get one actual American citizen to do something like this.
00:29:58.200 And they said to themselves, if we could get two, if we could get two, that's going to tell a different story.
00:30:07.580 Because then it's going to look like the entire military has been flipped.
00:30:11.520 Because our brains will treat two as a completely different story than one.
00:30:16.320 And if we put them on the same day, now this would argue that it's not a coincidence, but we'll see.
00:30:23.460 If they happen on the same day, and they're both U.S.-born military, how do you get that out of your mind?
00:30:31.700 Right?
00:30:32.640 So that would be sort of a perfect psychological operation.
00:30:35.840 But suppose they only legitimately flipped one person, the New Orleans person.
00:30:41.240 How could they get that second one?
00:30:44.200 Well, they might have to fake it.
00:30:45.680 They might have to murder a military guy.
00:30:51.040 Imagine if they had scammed him the following way.
00:30:54.720 Hey, whatever his name is.
00:30:58.300 If you meet me in Las Vegas, I've got a great job offer.
00:31:04.220 Or if you meet me in Las Vegas, I've got that money I owed you or something.
00:31:10.280 There must be some way you could fool somebody into going to Las Vegas.
00:31:14.780 Once he shows up, you put a bullet in his head, drape his arms over the steering wheel, put a bunch of fireworks in the back because you don't care how good the bomb is.
00:31:26.020 It just has to look like it's a bombish.
00:31:27.520 And then you just send it to Trump Tower because where else are you going to send it?
00:31:31.920 If you were in Las Vegas, where else would you send it?
00:31:35.760 Pick the other place that would make more sense.
00:31:38.620 There isn't.
00:31:39.540 Trump Tower.
00:31:40.960 Yeah.
00:31:41.080 So that makes sense.
00:31:44.240 So one possibility is that they only could get one organically.
00:31:47.380 So they fake the second one.
00:31:49.200 So it looks like the American military is turning.
00:31:52.580 Can't rule it out.
00:31:56.360 Then the other coincidence is that they both use this app called Turo to rent their vehicles.
00:32:03.080 Now, is that a coincidence?
00:32:06.400 The answer is maybe.
00:32:10.700 As Tyrus pointed out on the five, and I pointed out in my show yesterday, Turo is, and Tyrus kind of confirmed this,
00:32:21.240 it's sort of the preferred car rental app of the people who might run into problems using a regular rental company
00:32:29.760 or wanted to improve the possibility that they wouldn't raise any red flags by getting a car.
00:32:38.140 Now, I don't know this to be true, but if the FBI is trying to catch terrorists,
00:32:44.620 and terrorists are likely the ones who would rent, let's say, a panel truck and fill it full of bombs,
00:32:49.320 don't you think that by now the Homeland Security has a backdoor into all of the rental companies?
00:32:57.600 So if they see somebody renting a truck and they see an Islamic last name,
00:33:04.680 you don't think the FBI gets a bing, bing, bing, bing?
00:33:08.140 I assume they would.
00:33:10.300 The reason I assume that is because I assume Homeland Security can get into every system
00:33:15.620 that is relevant to what they're trying to do, protect the country.
00:33:19.920 What would be more relevant than knowing somebody with an Islamic last name
00:33:24.540 and military service had rented a truck?
00:33:30.300 That would be right on the top of your bing, bing, bing.
00:33:34.040 Now, I'm assuming that there are plenty of Muslim citizens of the United States who rent trucks,
00:33:39.180 because everybody rents trucks.
00:33:41.740 So it's not like it's usually going to be a terrorist.
00:33:45.600 It's usually just going to be a citizen who needs a truck.
00:33:48.960 But far more likely, an Islamic last name plus a rented truck
00:33:55.260 is going to be a little more trouble than some other name in a rented truck.
00:34:00.960 Now, of course, that's racial profiling.
00:34:04.000 But don't you assume that that's what the government is doing because they need to?
00:34:08.240 Of course they are.
00:34:09.460 They're looking for patterns.
00:34:11.640 They don't care about your racial profiling.
00:34:13.700 They're just trying to stop you from blowing up the country.
00:34:17.780 So Turo might be just the first choice of people who don't have good credit
00:34:23.820 and don't want you to check on what's going on.
00:34:26.420 Maybe.
00:34:27.400 Maybe.
00:34:27.940 I don't know.
00:34:31.200 So that's on that.
00:34:32.380 Well, you see the fog of war about that story,
00:34:36.240 that everything about it seemed to be out of kilter a little bit.
00:34:43.460 All right.
00:34:44.060 On the other biggest scandal, you know, I'm talking about it,
00:34:48.640 but I've got a lot of other people talking about it.
00:34:50.500 I didn't realize how bad the Amazon counterfeit product scandal was.
00:34:55.120 But it turns out it's actually a homeland security problem
00:34:58.180 because somewhat accidentally, Amazon turned into a way for China
00:35:03.540 to destroy all American small businesses that sell things online.
00:35:09.980 All of them.
00:35:10.780 Now, I knew that my products were getting counterfeited often
00:35:15.660 because when I'd put a book up on Amazon,
00:35:18.820 it would immediately be copied by AI or whatever,
00:35:22.240 and it would be all these fake ones under my name.
00:35:25.240 My name would be on the fakes.
00:35:27.600 Now, if I tried to get rid of it,
00:35:29.660 now you're going to say to yourself,
00:35:31.340 but Scott, I looked into this,
00:35:34.320 and there's just a page you go to,
00:35:35.940 and you put in your information,
00:35:37.860 and then you could have Amazon remove it.
00:35:40.460 Do you think that's real?
00:35:42.280 Do you think I can just go to a page and they'll remove it?
00:35:45.700 Nope.
00:35:46.540 I have to prove that it's counterfeit.
00:35:49.280 Do you know how the only way that they'll let me do that?
00:35:51.940 I have to buy it.
00:35:53.740 I have to buy the counterfeit.
00:35:55.940 I have to wait for a week or two weeks or however long it comes,
00:35:59.660 and then I have to take pictures of it
00:36:01.500 and then upload the pictures
00:36:02.800 and upload the picture of my book
00:36:04.880 so that I can show that it's the same as my book on the inside.
00:36:10.000 That's their process.
00:36:12.460 Do you believe that they meant that process to solve the problem?
00:36:16.560 No.
00:36:17.540 Amazon is the best user interface people in the world.
00:36:23.080 Do you think that it would build
00:36:24.460 a completely unworkable system by accident?
00:36:27.700 No.
00:36:28.080 No.
00:36:30.220 There's no part of me that thinks that's an accident
00:36:32.400 because it's the simplest problem they solve routinely.
00:36:36.620 Amazon is by far, except for Apple maybe,
00:36:41.300 maybe better than Apple.
00:36:42.760 Amazon is the best user interface I think I've ever seen.
00:36:47.360 And the reason that you don't think of it
00:36:49.260 as being the best interface you've ever seen
00:36:51.600 is because it's the best interface you've ever seen.
00:36:54.320 If you use Amazon and not once do you think,
00:36:58.080 oh, where's that button or why does it do that?
00:37:00.960 It's the best interface you've ever seen
00:37:02.860 because the level of complexity of what they do
00:37:05.900 is completely hidden from the user.
00:37:09.120 We just know what we want and there it is
00:37:10.900 and then we click on it.
00:37:11.740 So, it defies imagination
00:37:17.100 that their system for correcting counterfeits,
00:37:20.980 which they profit immensely from, I'm told, immensely,
00:37:26.760 my imagination can't imagine that's an accident.
00:37:30.880 Now, not all products require you to buy the product,
00:37:35.320 but mine do.
00:37:36.020 So, right now, every calendar,
00:37:39.140 every Dilbert 2025 calendar on Amazon is a counterfeit.
00:37:43.740 Let me say that again.
00:37:45.700 A hundred percent,
00:37:47.440 a hundred percent of all the Dilbert calendars this year
00:37:50.020 on Amazon are counterfeits.
00:37:53.320 All of them.
00:37:54.400 Because I don't sell it on Amazon.
00:37:56.280 I'm only selling it on a private site.
00:37:59.260 If you want to look for it,
00:38:00.680 go to Dilbert.com and you'll see the link at the top.
00:38:02.960 But, every one of them.
00:38:07.700 So, here's what I did.
00:38:09.460 I, of course, complained on Axe.
00:38:13.640 It doesn't take long for Amazon to notice
00:38:16.000 when a big account complains
00:38:17.400 because they have,
00:38:18.680 the big companies have a,
00:38:20.400 they're watching social media
00:38:21.740 and they jump right on any complaint
00:38:23.560 so that the rest of the public doesn't see it.
00:38:25.860 So, they jumped right on the complaint,
00:38:27.620 which is what they're supposed to do.
00:38:28.840 And they said,
00:38:30.460 hey, DM us
00:38:31.820 and we'll see if we can help you.
00:38:35.020 So, I said to myself,
00:38:36.260 whoa, great.
00:38:37.740 I can just talk directly to somebody,
00:38:40.360 tell them what the problem is,
00:38:41.400 maybe they fix it.
00:38:43.200 So, they say,
00:38:44.140 yeah, we'll help you.
00:38:45.760 Go to this form and fill it out.
00:38:48.500 Now, as soon as I hear that,
00:38:50.040 I know I'm not going to get helped.
00:38:52.120 So, I say,
00:38:53.040 are you AI?
00:38:54.820 And it responded with exactly
00:38:56.380 what it said before.
00:38:57.980 Go to this form and fill it out.
00:38:59.480 We can help you.
00:39:00.740 Then I said,
00:39:01.560 I'm done with this process
00:39:03.580 because it doesn't work.
00:39:05.100 I want to talk to your legal team.
00:39:07.680 And they said,
00:39:08.600 fill out this form
00:39:09.420 with exactly the same words.
00:39:12.060 And I said,
00:39:12.860 I can't tell if you're AI.
00:39:15.060 And then it said,
00:39:15.880 oh, I'm not AI.
00:39:17.340 I'm a human.
00:39:18.520 But it acted like AI.
00:39:19.860 And then I say to myself,
00:39:21.660 is it part AI and part human?
00:39:24.100 Maybe the human checks in once in a while.
00:39:26.620 But the AI does the main work.
00:39:28.940 Or was it AI
00:39:30.160 and is taught to say that it's human?
00:39:32.580 Well, let's just say
00:39:33.520 that it couldn't help me at all.
00:39:36.280 So, and I wasn't going to go
00:39:37.460 to the form and fill it out.
00:39:39.120 So, I just said,
00:39:39.780 here's my information.
00:39:41.120 Every one of the Dilbert calendars is fake.
00:39:43.220 What else do you need?
00:39:44.840 What else do you need?
00:39:45.960 I just told them everything they need.
00:39:47.720 My phone number,
00:39:48.560 my name as the author,
00:39:50.960 which is easy for them to check.
00:39:53.540 And that 100% of the Dilbert calendars are fake.
00:39:57.460 And then I said,
00:39:58.420 why don't you give this to your legal team?
00:40:00.560 I asked for their legal team
00:40:02.320 because it's a legal issue.
00:40:04.320 To me,
00:40:04.700 it's not a customer service problem.
00:40:08.620 It's a legal issue.
00:40:09.780 All right.
00:40:14.400 So,
00:40:15.040 so basically,
00:40:16.960 then they said,
00:40:18.060 fill out this form
00:40:18.920 or we can't show it to our legal people.
00:40:21.880 I'm like, really?
00:40:23.580 You can't tell them
00:40:24.920 that one of your most notable authors
00:40:27.140 just told you 100% of the calendars are fake?
00:40:29.800 And you can't deal with that.
00:40:31.220 Like your system can't accept
00:40:32.860 everything that you need to know.
00:40:36.400 There's nothing else you need to know.
00:40:38.940 Now,
00:40:40.060 suppose I said,
00:40:41.500 is there any way
00:40:42.140 that this could have been a better system?
00:40:44.460 Well,
00:40:44.920 let me design one right now.
00:40:46.940 When you become a seller
00:40:48.400 on Amazon,
00:40:50.060 the first time you're signing up
00:40:51.480 to be a seller,
00:40:52.460 you have to prove who you are,
00:40:54.520 which makes perfect sense.
00:40:56.960 So the first time
00:40:58.020 that you prove who you are,
00:41:00.520 wouldn't it be good
00:41:01.280 if you got like a secret 10 digit code
00:41:04.060 so that when you publish something else
00:41:07.360 under your same publishing name,
00:41:09.960 it's got that code on it.
00:41:11.660 They go,
00:41:11.940 oh, that's real.
00:41:13.020 Only that one person
00:41:14.260 would have that code.
00:41:15.760 And then everybody
00:41:16.340 who tries to knock it off
00:41:17.640 would be able to perfectly
00:41:19.440 knock off the product,
00:41:20.940 but they wouldn't know my magic code,
00:41:23.260 so they wouldn't be able to post it.
00:41:24.940 How hard would it be to do that?
00:41:26.780 And then if somebody steals my code,
00:41:28.300 I tell them
00:41:28.720 and they give me a new code.
00:41:30.600 It looks like it's moronically easy to fix.
00:41:34.160 Now, so I posted about this
00:41:35.540 and I thought it might be
00:41:36.480 something limited to books
00:41:37.760 and calendars
00:41:38.380 and printed material.
00:41:39.960 Oh, no.
00:41:41.280 It turns out that Amazon,
00:41:43.680 working with China,
00:41:45.940 is a way to destroy
00:41:47.120 all American small business.
00:41:49.360 Because as soon as
00:41:50.420 any small business
00:41:51.920 that's selling on Amazon,
00:41:53.920 as soon as they get some
00:41:55.340 good sales,
00:41:57.800 it's noticed.
00:41:59.420 And one of two things happen.
00:42:01.720 Either Amazon itself
00:42:03.240 builds a generic
00:42:04.760 and sells it instead of yours,
00:42:06.480 which puts you on a business,
00:42:08.220 or China or India
00:42:10.660 look at it and say,
00:42:12.300 it looks like they're selling
00:42:13.060 a lot of these widgets.
00:42:14.380 Let's make a fake one
00:42:15.580 and they'll have way more fake ones
00:42:17.940 that are on the account
00:42:18.760 than the real ones,
00:42:19.500 so you won't know what's real.
00:42:22.000 But it's better.
00:42:24.500 Then the fakers
00:42:25.540 will also buy the real one
00:42:27.780 and return it multiple times.
00:42:31.240 They'll also give bad reviews
00:42:32.900 to the real one.
00:42:34.600 So the real one
00:42:35.540 gets the bad reviews.
00:42:36.860 They're dealing with
00:42:37.860 purchase and returns
00:42:39.000 that were always meant
00:42:39.800 to be returns
00:42:40.420 that were never meant
00:42:41.080 to be purchased.
00:42:41.820 It's just to put them
00:42:42.460 out of business.
00:42:43.340 And then they'll flood the zone
00:42:44.700 with their knockoff product,
00:42:46.760 which is sometimes okay
00:42:48.080 and sometimes not.
00:42:49.600 Now,
00:42:50.520 here's what you need to know.
00:42:52.460 That happens 100% of the time.
00:42:54.240 100% of the time.
00:42:57.640 It doesn't happen
00:42:58.480 with every product
00:42:59.540 because not every product
00:43:00.960 has sales.
00:43:02.320 There are a lot of small products
00:43:03.680 that you wouldn't bother
00:43:04.480 knocking off.
00:43:05.660 But 100% of the things
00:43:07.960 that sell well
00:43:09.780 are stolen from the person
00:43:11.980 who invented it
00:43:12.920 and made the business.
00:43:14.840 100%.
00:43:15.360 So either Amazon
00:43:16.880 steals it themselves
00:43:17.960 and makes it a generic,
00:43:19.880 or they allow
00:43:22.240 other companies
00:43:23.100 to steal it
00:43:24.220 right in front of you
00:43:24.920 and then they carry it.
00:43:27.240 Now,
00:43:27.500 the question I would ask is,
00:43:29.600 isn't that deeply illegal
00:43:31.320 if you know you're doing it
00:43:32.640 and it wouldn't be
00:43:33.740 that hard to stop?
00:43:35.700 It feels like
00:43:36.560 it's deeply illegal.
00:43:40.940 Now,
00:43:41.440 you might say to yourself,
00:43:42.640 and I threatened
00:43:44.020 a class action
00:43:45.100 because there's
00:43:47.200 a gigantic class
00:43:48.220 that would probably
00:43:48.820 want to get in on it.
00:43:49.880 Now,
00:43:50.500 the last thing in the world
00:43:51.560 I want to do
00:43:52.120 is get involved
00:43:53.520 in a giant lawsuit
00:43:54.420 with Amazon.
00:43:55.340 Like,
00:43:55.660 there's no way I win.
00:43:57.300 There's no winning path there.
00:43:58.980 I would only do it
00:44:00.000 as a suicide bomber,
00:44:02.620 meaning I would only do it
00:44:04.000 if I thought it would help
00:44:04.980 the other sellers
00:44:06.280 somewhere down the road.
00:44:08.600 So I might need to be
00:44:11.280 a weapon of mass destruction,
00:44:13.560 but I can't help myself.
00:44:15.660 I don't think there's a path
00:44:17.040 where I come out ahead
00:44:18.080 because if you're a bookseller,
00:44:19.880 and you take on Amazon,
00:44:22.200 you can imagine
00:44:24.180 a thousand ways
00:44:25.220 they could get even.
00:44:26.160 So it doesn't make sense
00:44:27.480 business-wise.
00:44:28.460 It doesn't make any sense.
00:44:29.980 But sometimes
00:44:31.360 it's not about business,
00:44:32.440 is it?
00:44:33.140 It's not about business.
00:44:34.480 Here's what I think.
00:44:35.920 I don't think this is a legal issue.
00:44:38.280 I think it's a homeland security issue.
00:44:40.820 Why is it that we're trying
00:44:42.080 to make sure that we
00:44:43.100 reshore our businesses
00:44:44.700 and manufacturing from China?
00:44:46.640 Is it because we want
00:44:47.640 to make more money?
00:44:48.780 No.
00:44:49.740 It's because it's a
00:44:50.600 homeland security problem.
00:44:52.460 Amazon is now
00:44:53.800 working for the adversaries,
00:44:55.900 intentionally or not,
00:44:57.020 but it's a homeland security problem.
00:45:00.580 Amazon probably needs
00:45:01.680 to be shut down
00:45:02.500 if they can't fix this
00:45:04.040 because they've developed
00:45:05.200 a system to destroy
00:45:06.560 all American companies.
00:45:09.120 Homeland security
00:45:10.020 should just shut them down
00:45:11.940 and say,
00:45:13.220 you can't destroy
00:45:14.060 American companies
00:45:15.040 intentionally.
00:45:16.620 Now,
00:45:17.040 when I say intentionally,
00:45:18.320 clearly they know
00:45:19.500 this is happening.
00:45:20.220 There's nobody here
00:45:22.880 who doubts
00:45:23.300 that they know
00:45:23.940 what's happening
00:45:24.440 and they've built a system
00:45:26.260 that optimizes for that.
00:45:28.800 It doesn't optimize
00:45:29.760 for protecting the seller.
00:45:31.980 It optimizes
00:45:33.020 for the counterfeits.
00:45:35.200 Now,
00:45:35.520 I saw that,
00:45:36.760 I think I'm right about this,
00:45:38.360 that Nike
00:45:38.900 pulled its products
00:45:40.880 entirely off of Amazon
00:45:42.120 because Amazon
00:45:43.100 couldn't stop
00:45:43.900 the counterfeits.
00:45:46.740 Now,
00:45:47.320 let me ask you this.
00:45:48.940 Do you really think
00:45:49.940 they couldn't stop
00:45:50.680 counterfeits
00:45:51.440 from Nike?
00:45:54.340 All they had to know
00:45:55.480 is that Nike
00:45:56.040 only has one official source
00:45:57.900 and all the rest are fake.
00:46:00.220 How hard is that?
00:46:03.360 All Nike had to say is,
00:46:05.320 here's our legal sources.
00:46:07.820 Just don't buy
00:46:09.460 from anybody else
00:46:10.240 or don't list anybody else.
00:46:11.960 The other way you could go
00:46:13.400 is have blue checks.
00:46:18.000 So,
00:46:18.380 suppose they gave me
00:46:19.200 a blue check mark
00:46:20.140 so that if you saw
00:46:21.720 multiple copies,
00:46:22.860 you'd say,
00:46:23.300 ooh,
00:46:24.000 these other ones
00:46:24.640 don't have a blue check mark.
00:46:27.060 Then,
00:46:27.640 let's say
00:46:28.140 I decided
00:46:29.300 to turn somebody in
00:46:30.560 with my blue check mark.
00:46:32.820 So,
00:46:32.980 I've got like
00:46:33.360 some authority now,
00:46:34.500 hypothetically.
00:46:35.360 So,
00:46:35.660 I turn in
00:46:36.180 some other person.
00:46:38.180 Well,
00:46:38.420 what happens
00:46:38.900 if I'm
00:46:39.700 actually a bad guy
00:46:41.380 and I turn in
00:46:42.560 somebody
00:46:42.940 who was legitimate?
00:46:45.840 Well,
00:46:46.260 then we get into a battle
00:46:48.040 and then they find out
00:46:49.180 and I turned in
00:46:49.760 somebody legitimate
00:46:50.540 and then they take
00:46:51.780 my blue check away
00:46:52.600 and I'm out of business
00:46:53.780 as I should be,
00:46:55.220 as I should be.
00:46:55.980 All you have to do
00:46:58.780 is give people
00:46:59.860 who are legitimate
00:47:00.680 a way to prove
00:47:02.620 they're legitimate once,
00:47:04.960 give them a blue check
00:47:05.980 or the equivalent
00:47:06.920 and then train
00:47:08.680 the other people
00:47:09.440 that they're looking
00:47:10.880 at something
00:47:11.300 that's not been verified.
00:47:13.920 Right?
00:47:14.300 So,
00:47:14.800 all I need to know
00:47:15.720 is that the fakes
00:47:16.440 are not verified
00:47:17.340 and I am.
00:47:19.160 So,
00:47:19.380 that would mean
00:47:19.840 that 100%
00:47:20.620 of the fake ones
00:47:21.560 would show
00:47:22.020 the whole product
00:47:23.280 and then
00:47:24.020 very clearly
00:47:25.240 it would say
00:47:25.720 the seller
00:47:26.240 is not a verified
00:47:27.500 legal seller.
00:47:30.220 Doesn't mean
00:47:30.840 they're illegal.
00:47:31.940 They're just not
00:47:32.780 verified as a legal
00:47:34.040 seller.
00:47:35.520 It would take you
00:47:36.500 five minutes
00:47:37.200 to learn never
00:47:38.060 to buy from them
00:47:38.900 because that just
00:47:39.820 means counterfeit.
00:47:41.140 Right?
00:47:41.720 How long would it
00:47:42.560 take you to figure out
00:47:43.360 you got to buy
00:47:43.880 from the blue check
00:47:44.660 companies?
00:47:47.180 It's the easiest
00:47:48.120 problem to solve
00:47:48.960 and I heard
00:47:50.520 somebody say
00:47:51.100 that they make
00:47:51.680 more money
00:47:52.140 from the counterfeits
00:47:53.120 than they do
00:47:54.940 from a lot
00:47:55.640 of other stuff.
00:47:57.420 So,
00:47:58.000 it could be
00:47:58.660 there's absolutely
00:48:00.400 nothing except
00:48:01.120 a big source
00:48:01.860 of money
00:48:02.300 and they're
00:48:03.220 pretending
00:48:03.660 they can't
00:48:04.240 solve it.
00:48:06.200 But while
00:48:06.940 they're pretending
00:48:07.540 they can't
00:48:08.100 solve it,
00:48:09.240 it is a
00:48:10.040 homeland security
00:48:10.820 problem
00:48:11.220 and I really
00:48:12.000 think they need
00:48:12.480 to be shut down
00:48:13.260 if they're not
00:48:14.220 going to address
00:48:14.700 it seriously.
00:48:15.420 Like the whole
00:48:15.860 thing.
00:48:16.140 Just shut it down.
00:48:17.280 Just turn off
00:48:18.060 the switch
00:48:18.580 because if
00:48:20.120 you're not
00:48:20.480 even trying
00:48:21.440 to stop
00:48:22.460 destroying
00:48:22.920 the economy
00:48:23.560 of the United
00:48:24.000 States,
00:48:25.080 maybe you
00:48:26.960 shouldn't be
00:48:27.200 in business.
00:48:28.780 Ontario,
00:48:29.580 the wait
00:48:30.220 is over.
00:48:31.100 The gold
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00:49:15.280 The other
00:49:30.160 thing that it
00:49:30.780 is, which I
00:49:31.560 thought also was
00:49:32.460 affecting only
00:49:33.240 me, if you
00:49:34.600 have a new
00:49:35.160 book and you
00:49:36.540 upload it,
00:49:37.900 because there's
00:49:38.340 a process for
00:49:39.120 independent people
00:49:39.920 like me to
00:49:40.420 upload a book,
00:49:41.540 working with
00:49:42.500 Joshua Lysak
00:49:43.500 in this case,
00:49:44.900 when you
00:49:45.360 upload it, the
00:49:46.120 odds of getting
00:49:46.720 a glitch on
00:49:48.560 your page, my
00:49:50.700 experience is
00:49:51.320 100%.
00:49:52.140 A glitch means
00:49:54.060 there's something
00:49:54.640 wrong with the
00:49:55.400 listing.
00:49:56.360 It either doesn't
00:49:57.060 show up or it's
00:49:58.060 not connected to
00:49:58.920 your other books,
00:50:00.420 it's not visible,
00:50:02.240 it takes weeks for
00:50:03.920 reasons you can't
00:50:04.640 figure out and
00:50:05.400 they won't help
00:50:05.920 you.
00:50:06.620 And what happens
00:50:07.420 in the time it
00:50:08.300 takes you to get
00:50:10.420 the glitch fixed?
00:50:11.440 Do you know
00:50:11.920 what happens?
00:50:13.000 You're flooded
00:50:13.900 with counterfeits
00:50:14.760 that didn't get
00:50:15.300 a glitch.
00:50:16.480 Oh, really?
00:50:17.660 So only the
00:50:19.080 person who really
00:50:20.080 owns the property
00:50:20.960 gets a glitch?
00:50:22.480 But all the
00:50:23.240 people who are
00:50:23.740 fake, no
00:50:24.860 glitch, right
00:50:26.340 in there.
00:50:27.200 And they sell
00:50:28.100 all the books
00:50:28.840 for the first
00:50:29.400 few weeks,
00:50:30.400 because that's
00:50:30.880 how long it
00:50:31.360 takes you to
00:50:31.800 fix the glitch.
00:50:33.160 But if you're
00:50:33.860 an author who
00:50:35.280 makes most of
00:50:36.540 their sales on
00:50:37.220 the first few
00:50:37.780 weeks, which is
00:50:38.940 typical, they
00:50:40.520 take all of
00:50:41.780 your profits.
00:50:43.500 And then, oh,
00:50:44.380 we got it fixed
00:50:45.200 finally.
00:50:45.780 It took a
00:50:46.260 month.
00:50:47.300 A month.
00:50:49.460 Ordinarily.
00:50:50.120 It's ordinary
00:50:50.780 for them to
00:50:51.400 take a month
00:50:51.940 to fix a
00:50:52.900 glitch.
00:50:53.420 It's ordinary
00:50:54.180 for there to
00:50:54.860 be a glitch
00:50:55.380 every time.
00:50:57.580 Now, I thought
00:50:58.220 it was just
00:50:58.620 happening to me
00:50:59.280 until I saw
00:50:59.840 some comments.
00:51:01.180 Apparently, it's
00:51:01.820 a system.
00:51:04.380 Now, that
00:51:05.100 part, I do
00:51:06.860 not believe, is
00:51:07.940 intentional on
00:51:09.240 the point of
00:51:09.960 Amazon's
00:51:10.560 management.
00:51:12.080 What I do
00:51:12.820 think is that
00:51:14.140 people in
00:51:14.560 charge of
00:51:15.060 posting things
00:51:15.980 are taking
00:51:16.480 bribes from
00:51:17.120 China or
00:51:18.400 India.
00:51:19.680 I think the
00:51:20.600 employees are
00:51:21.240 bribed.
00:51:22.200 And I think
00:51:22.940 that they're
00:51:23.280 glitching it
00:51:23.860 intentionally, and
00:51:25.320 they're working
00:51:25.760 with the
00:51:26.060 counterfeiters to
00:51:26.940 make sure the
00:51:27.380 counterfeiters have
00:51:28.180 a month of free
00:51:30.000 access before the
00:51:31.860 real one is
00:51:32.380 unglitched.
00:51:32.920 Now, there's
00:51:34.700 way too many
00:51:35.360 glitches to
00:51:37.520 imagine this is
00:51:38.240 an accident,
00:51:39.280 given that it's
00:51:40.360 their core
00:51:40.940 business to
00:51:42.880 upload things
00:51:43.940 and make them
00:51:44.780 properly listed.
00:51:46.400 It's no
00:51:47.200 coincidence.
00:51:48.240 This has to be
00:51:48.940 bribery at some
00:51:49.940 sub-level.
00:51:51.640 So the level of
00:51:52.420 illegality is just
00:51:53.460 incredible.
00:51:55.840 So what it's
00:51:56.500 doing is basically
00:51:57.280 somebody else
00:51:57.900 said this.
00:51:58.980 These small
00:51:59.580 American businesses
00:52:00.720 are taking the
00:52:01.580 risk of
00:52:02.920 they're doing
00:52:03.420 the R&D,
00:52:04.940 they're doing
00:52:05.340 all the
00:52:05.660 marketing for
00:52:07.160 whatever the
00:52:07.620 product is,
00:52:08.260 and then China
00:52:08.800 steals it.
00:52:10.220 So they're
00:52:10.920 stealing our
00:52:11.420 IP by stealing
00:52:12.940 the product,
00:52:14.240 right, in
00:52:15.460 effect.
00:52:17.700 All right, so
00:52:18.900 that's homeland
00:52:19.400 security.
00:52:20.500 That would make
00:52:21.180 it Christy
00:52:22.120 Gnome's business,
00:52:23.000 right?
00:52:24.320 Yeah, and
00:52:25.000 this really has
00:52:25.820 to be reframed.
00:52:26.860 This is not
00:52:27.500 just some
00:52:27.960 ordinary domestic
00:52:29.620 business glitch,
00:52:31.540 customer,
00:52:32.920 customer support
00:52:33.900 isn't as good
00:52:34.480 as we'd like it.
00:52:35.140 It's not that.
00:52:36.320 This is a
00:52:36.920 homeland security
00:52:38.140 gigantic,
00:52:40.180 gigantic risk
00:52:41.360 destroying
00:52:42.400 American small
00:52:43.440 business right
00:52:44.600 in front of us
00:52:45.320 intentionally,
00:52:47.700 intentionally,
00:52:48.880 and we're just
00:52:50.160 letting it happen.
00:52:51.780 It's time for
00:52:52.720 the Trump
00:52:53.100 administration to
00:52:53.900 put a big
00:52:54.300 fucking...
00:52:55.020 It's time for
00:52:58.580 the Trump
00:52:58.940 administration to
00:52:59.700 put a big
00:53:00.020 foot on this
00:53:00.920 and see
00:53:03.220 what they
00:53:03.480 can do.
00:53:05.400 Anyway,
00:53:06.000 speaking of
00:53:06.600 Trump,
00:53:07.020 he likes
00:53:08.800 TikTok,
00:53:09.420 and he's
00:53:09.700 trying to
00:53:10.180 see if they
00:53:11.140 can get a
00:53:11.800 delay so it
00:53:12.460 doesn't get
00:53:12.880 banned.
00:53:15.660 And we'll
00:53:16.320 see what
00:53:16.840 happens with
00:53:17.380 that.
00:53:17.980 But you
00:53:18.320 should know
00:53:18.640 that one
00:53:19.360 of Trump's
00:53:19.820 big donors
00:53:20.560 owns a big
00:53:21.680 part of
00:53:22.060 TikTok.
00:53:23.300 So Trump
00:53:24.340 says he likes
00:53:25.120 TikTok now
00:53:26.000 because it
00:53:27.660 worked in
00:53:28.180 favor of
00:53:28.580 him.
00:53:30.300 And I'm
00:53:31.360 sure that's
00:53:31.700 part of the
00:53:32.060 reason.
00:53:32.880 But another
00:53:33.340 part of it
00:53:33.820 is he's
00:53:35.180 got a
00:53:35.540 donor that's
00:53:36.140 so big,
00:53:37.360 he's probably
00:53:38.160 not going to
00:53:38.620 go against
00:53:39.000 that donor.
00:53:39.920 So that's
00:53:40.480 a factor.
00:53:41.460 However,
00:53:42.080 I did have
00:53:42.600 this experience
00:53:43.320 the other
00:53:43.680 day.
00:53:44.100 I mentioned
00:53:44.540 the TikTok
00:53:45.180 ban to
00:53:45.900 some young
00:53:46.420 people who
00:53:46.980 are frequent
00:53:48.180 users of
00:53:48.800 TikTok.
00:53:50.480 And the
00:53:51.900 first thing I
00:53:52.500 heard was
00:53:53.200 TikTok shows
00:53:55.300 both sides
00:53:56.000 on political
00:53:57.460 stuff.
00:53:58.700 Is that
00:53:59.320 your experience?
00:54:00.840 How many
00:54:01.340 of you use
00:54:01.840 TikTok?
00:54:03.140 Do you
00:54:03.420 think it
00:54:03.700 shows both
00:54:04.200 sides?
00:54:05.460 And so the
00:54:06.160 argument was
00:54:06.820 if it shows
00:54:07.460 both sides,
00:54:08.580 what's the
00:54:09.900 problem?
00:54:11.020 Now that's a
00:54:11.500 pretty good
00:54:11.820 question,
00:54:12.220 isn't it?
00:54:13.640 Somebody who
00:54:14.400 uses it
00:54:15.000 regularly says
00:54:15.760 I see both
00:54:16.340 sides all
00:54:16.820 the time.
00:54:17.560 I see
00:54:17.900 pro-Trump,
00:54:18.600 I see
00:54:18.840 anti-Trump.
00:54:19.880 If I'm
00:54:20.460 seeing both
00:54:20.960 sides,
00:54:21.980 what's the
00:54:22.900 problem?
00:54:23.140 Well,
00:54:25.360 here's where
00:54:26.140 someone trained
00:54:27.980 in persuasion
00:54:29.680 is handy.
00:54:31.460 Here's what I
00:54:32.260 explained.
00:54:33.340 How do you
00:54:33.860 know you
00:54:34.200 see the
00:54:34.620 best stuff
00:54:35.280 from both
00:54:35.760 sides?
00:54:36.700 If I
00:54:37.320 were some
00:54:38.940 nefarious
00:54:40.280 person at
00:54:40.880 TikTok or
00:54:41.540 in China and
00:54:42.300 I wanted to
00:54:42.900 game the
00:54:43.720 system, I
00:54:44.720 would make
00:54:45.080 sure that
00:54:45.520 you saw
00:54:45.920 both sides.
00:54:47.740 But their
00:54:49.360 algorithm tells
00:54:50.220 you which
00:54:50.920 are the
00:54:51.920 most viral
00:54:54.180 and powerful.
00:54:55.820 So I'd
00:54:56.360 make sure
00:54:56.680 you saw
00:54:57.060 weak
00:54:57.720 arguments for
00:54:58.820 one side
00:54:59.380 and strong
00:55:00.520 arguments for
00:55:01.220 the other.
00:55:02.300 Do you
00:55:02.560 think you'd
00:55:02.960 know that
00:55:03.320 they did
00:55:03.720 that to
00:55:04.020 you?
00:55:05.340 Do you
00:55:05.620 think you'd
00:55:06.960 know that
00:55:08.060 they intentionally
00:55:08.720 gave you the
00:55:09.320 weak arguments
00:55:10.000 for one side
00:55:10.680 and the
00:55:11.000 strong arguments
00:55:11.660 for another?
00:55:12.480 Or would
00:55:13.120 you just
00:55:13.440 say, looks
00:55:14.280 like I saw
00:55:14.780 both sides?
00:55:16.300 You would
00:55:16.900 say you saw
00:55:17.500 both sides
00:55:18.200 because you
00:55:18.580 wouldn't know
00:55:18.940 you saw the
00:55:19.400 weak argument
00:55:19.960 versus the
00:55:20.560 strong argument.
00:55:21.100 And they
00:55:22.180 have every
00:55:22.660 ability to
00:55:23.200 do that.
00:55:23.680 I'm not
00:55:23.900 saying they
00:55:24.260 have ever
00:55:24.520 done it.
00:55:25.280 I'm not
00:55:25.580 claiming they
00:55:26.440 did that.
00:55:27.180 I'm saying
00:55:27.660 how easy
00:55:28.120 would it
00:55:28.420 be?
00:55:29.320 Because the
00:55:29.960 risk is not
00:55:30.580 what they've
00:55:30.960 done so far.
00:55:32.500 If you
00:55:33.080 believe that
00:55:33.860 the risk
00:55:34.220 of TikTok
00:55:34.640 is what
00:55:35.300 you've seen
00:55:35.780 so far,
00:55:36.580 I've never
00:55:37.340 said that.
00:55:38.920 That's not
00:55:39.560 something I've
00:55:40.100 said.
00:55:40.440 It's the
00:55:40.840 future risk.
00:55:42.180 And it's
00:55:42.500 the fact that
00:55:43.020 they could do
00:55:43.420 things you
00:55:43.760 never know
00:55:44.160 they did.
00:55:45.820 So the
00:55:46.160 other thing
00:55:47.880 is how do
00:55:48.800 you know you
00:55:49.140 see the same
00:55:49.780 amount on
00:55:50.940 both sides?
00:55:52.020 It's easy
00:55:52.880 to know if
00:55:55.120 you saw
00:55:55.440 both sides.
00:55:56.840 It's hard
00:55:57.520 to know if
00:55:58.520 you saw the
00:55:58.960 same amount
00:55:59.680 because it's
00:56:00.660 not like you're
00:56:01.140 keeping track.
00:56:02.660 So what if
00:56:03.360 they gave you
00:56:04.140 70-30?
00:56:06.560 If they gave
00:56:07.320 you 70 from
00:56:08.020 one side and
00:56:08.660 30 from
00:56:09.140 another, would
00:56:10.700 you notice?
00:56:11.820 Or would you
00:56:12.540 just say, well,
00:56:13.240 I see both
00:56:13.740 sides.
00:56:14.920 Oh, yeah, I
00:56:15.280 see a little
00:56:15.640 more of one,
00:56:16.240 but I see
00:56:16.600 both sides.
00:56:17.880 Like, I see
00:56:19.100 both sides.
00:56:19.660 What else do
00:56:20.100 I need?
00:56:21.180 But if it's
00:56:21.660 70-30, would
00:56:23.560 you know?
00:56:24.580 Because it
00:56:25.100 would definitely
00:56:25.500 change your
00:56:26.400 thinking.
00:56:27.200 That would be
00:56:27.520 enough to
00:56:27.860 persuade.
00:56:28.880 How about
00:56:29.440 this?
00:56:30.240 What if the
00:56:30.920 people who
00:56:31.480 were talking
00:56:32.080 to me were
00:56:33.900 not the people
00:56:34.560 that TikTok
00:56:35.020 cared about?
00:56:36.460 Meaning that
00:56:37.240 TikTok knows
00:56:38.200 who you're
00:56:38.560 going to vote
00:56:38.920 for pretty
00:56:39.640 quickly.
00:56:39.980 Do you
00:56:41.420 think it
00:56:41.700 needs to
00:56:42.220 send persuasion
00:56:43.980 to people
00:56:44.420 who've made
00:56:44.720 up their
00:56:45.000 mind and
00:56:45.420 are not
00:56:45.700 going to
00:56:45.920 change it?
00:56:46.920 No.
00:56:48.000 It turns out
00:56:48.640 there's only
00:56:49.040 a narrow
00:56:49.460 sliver of
00:56:51.020 TikTok users
00:56:51.780 who might
00:56:52.620 be independent
00:56:54.100 enough that
00:56:54.560 they could go
00:56:55.060 either way.
00:56:56.020 Can TikTok
00:56:56.760 identify them?
00:56:58.800 And if you
00:56:59.260 were going to
00:56:59.580 compare the
00:57:00.800 thin number
00:57:02.420 of people who
00:57:02.960 can be
00:57:03.380 persuaded,
00:57:04.580 would they
00:57:05.040 also get
00:57:05.720 just as much
00:57:06.440 from both
00:57:06.840 sides?
00:57:07.660 And would
00:57:07.960 it be the
00:57:08.340 same quality
00:57:08.960 on both
00:57:09.360 sides?
00:57:10.860 Because look
00:57:12.200 how well they
00:57:12.700 could hide
00:57:13.120 the persuasion.
00:57:14.540 First of all,
00:57:15.240 you don't do
00:57:15.700 any special
00:57:16.460 persuasion for
00:57:18.240 90% of the
00:57:19.240 public.
00:57:20.100 And then when
00:57:20.860 people weigh
00:57:21.440 in, they say,
00:57:22.260 I'm pretty sure
00:57:23.140 I'm not being
00:57:23.820 persuaded because
00:57:25.460 I see both
00:57:26.440 sides.
00:57:27.000 It looks like a
00:57:27.520 good argument
00:57:27.960 to me.
00:57:29.200 You can't tell
00:57:30.080 me I'm being
00:57:30.680 manipulated.
00:57:31.560 I see
00:57:31.800 everything.
00:57:32.940 And maybe
00:57:33.260 they do.
00:57:34.560 But what
00:57:34.840 about that 10%
00:57:35.840 that are the
00:57:36.480 magic ones who
00:57:37.240 could be
00:57:37.580 persuaded?
00:57:38.000 you wouldn't
00:57:40.080 know if
00:57:40.860 they were
00:57:41.120 the only
00:57:41.460 ones getting
00:57:41.960 the persuasive
00:57:42.900 stuff.
00:57:43.640 You wouldn't
00:57:44.020 know, and
00:57:44.960 they wouldn't
00:57:45.220 know either.
00:57:48.660 And what
00:57:49.320 if they're
00:57:49.760 saving their
00:57:50.400 play for
00:57:50.880 some big
00:57:51.620 play later?
00:57:53.020 You know,
00:57:53.220 what if they
00:57:53.760 haven't used
00:57:54.480 any of these
00:57:55.140 powers that
00:57:55.980 would be
00:57:56.240 available to
00:57:56.820 them, and
00:57:58.260 they're just
00:57:58.580 waiting for
00:57:59.100 the big
00:57:59.700 opportunity,
00:58:00.660 something that
00:58:01.120 just kneecaps
00:58:02.580 America if we
00:58:03.400 believe it to
00:58:03.940 be true?
00:58:04.260 Now let
00:58:07.100 me ask you
00:58:07.520 this.
00:58:08.640 If you
00:58:09.060 think you're
00:58:10.600 on TikTok
00:58:11.040 and you've
00:58:11.580 seen both
00:58:12.100 sides, how
00:58:13.580 much anti-DEI
00:58:15.040 stuff do you
00:58:15.620 think is on
00:58:16.160 TikTok?
00:58:17.380 Just to pick
00:58:18.180 one political
00:58:19.000 topic.
00:58:20.500 Do you think
00:58:20.920 there's as much
00:58:21.520 anti-DEI as
00:58:23.060 there is pro-DEI
00:58:24.140 on TikTok?
00:58:26.900 I'm open to
00:58:27.880 being fact
00:58:28.400 checked, and
00:58:29.920 that would be
00:58:30.320 amazing if that
00:58:31.140 were true, but
00:58:32.340 I don't think
00:58:33.360 so.
00:58:34.260 Do you?
00:58:35.640 I mean, just
00:58:36.100 the demographics
00:58:37.620 of the users
00:58:38.580 should largely
00:58:40.060 guarantee that
00:58:40.940 it's 80% or
00:58:43.380 more pro-DEI.
00:58:46.840 I don't know.
00:58:47.740 I don't think
00:58:48.160 anybody's seeing
00:58:48.760 both sides of
00:58:49.460 that.
00:58:50.540 Maybe they're
00:58:51.000 seeing both
00:58:51.520 sides of
00:58:51.980 Trump as
00:58:52.460 Hitler, which
00:58:54.400 is better than
00:58:54.840 nothing.
00:58:55.780 But do you
00:58:56.540 think they
00:58:56.840 really see
00:58:57.320 both sides
00:58:57.880 of DEI?
00:58:59.340 I doubt it.
00:59:00.700 Seems unlikely
00:59:01.360 to me.
00:59:04.260 Anyway, James
00:59:05.840 Carville has a
00:59:07.400 theory about
00:59:08.000 the mass
00:59:08.820 killers.
00:59:12.420 Even when I
00:59:13.460 don't agree
00:59:14.160 with James
00:59:14.980 Carville, he's
00:59:17.200 so quotable and
00:59:18.840 fun to listen
00:59:19.600 to because he'll
00:59:21.080 just say whatever
00:59:22.280 it is that nobody
00:59:23.240 else is saying
00:59:23.880 that, and
00:59:25.220 there's a reason
00:59:25.680 they're not saying
00:59:26.380 it.
00:59:26.640 But the reason
00:59:28.600 is that they're
00:59:29.140 afraid, not
00:59:29.760 that he's
00:59:30.340 wrong.
00:59:31.320 So here's what
00:59:32.040 he says.
00:59:32.860 At the end of
00:59:33.440 the day, it's
00:59:34.180 just my theory.
00:59:35.380 I'm going to be
00:59:36.020 right 80% of the
00:59:36.980 time.
00:59:37.720 These people,
00:59:38.560 meaning the
00:59:38.980 mass killers,
00:59:39.820 have some kind
00:59:40.600 of sexual
00:59:41.080 problem.
00:59:42.020 Most of them
00:59:42.480 are incels.
00:59:45.980 Now, I don't
00:59:47.640 know if we need
00:59:48.340 to take that
00:59:48.920 so seriously.
00:59:51.400 Because remember,
00:59:52.260 Carville's a,
00:59:53.620 you know, he's a
00:59:54.540 bomb thrower and
00:59:55.640 he's provocative
00:59:57.060 and, you know,
00:59:57.880 so some of it's
00:59:58.560 just his
00:59:58.940 personality and
00:59:59.800 the way he
01:00:00.660 communicates.
01:00:01.340 And you
01:00:01.600 shouldn't take
01:00:02.080 it too, too
01:00:03.360 seriously.
01:00:04.800 But here's
01:00:05.900 what I would
01:00:06.300 note.
01:00:07.780 This reminds
01:00:08.720 me of
01:00:09.140 backward
01:00:09.620 science, where
01:00:11.940 you got the
01:00:12.380 cause and the
01:00:12.880 effect wrong.
01:00:15.040 Do you
01:00:15.700 think that
01:00:18.260 women like
01:00:20.560 to date a
01:00:23.480 guy who is
01:00:24.860 a suicide
01:00:25.340 bomber?
01:00:26.760 Do you
01:00:27.260 think there
01:00:27.640 would be no
01:00:28.300 indication that
01:00:30.480 there's something
01:00:30.940 wrong with the
01:00:31.540 guy if he's a
01:00:33.420 little bit, you
01:00:34.640 know, too
01:00:34.940 radicalized?
01:00:36.080 How many women
01:00:37.020 want to be with
01:00:37.660 a radicalized
01:00:38.440 guy who is
01:00:38.980 always talking
01:00:39.500 about, I wish
01:00:40.900 somebody would
01:00:41.400 blow up the
01:00:41.960 Trump Tower?
01:00:43.680 I feel like
01:00:45.060 they may be
01:00:48.300 incels, but
01:00:50.460 maybe it's not
01:00:51.580 their choice.
01:00:54.000 So maybe just
01:00:55.480 being a
01:00:55.960 suicide bomber
01:00:56.840 makes sure
01:00:58.120 that you
01:00:58.460 can't get a
01:00:59.260 date.
01:00:59.880 So I'm not
01:01:00.320 sure that not
01:01:01.100 getting a
01:01:01.560 date turns you
01:01:03.240 into a
01:01:03.680 suicide bomber.
01:01:05.320 I think that
01:01:06.180 whatever comes
01:01:06.820 along with being
01:01:07.500 a suicide bomber
01:01:08.460 is something that
01:01:09.860 women can pick
01:01:10.560 up pretty
01:01:11.180 easily.
01:01:12.960 But you
01:01:13.940 might not be
01:01:14.400 wrong.
01:01:14.760 There might be a
01:01:15.220 lot of them
01:01:15.620 that are not
01:01:16.160 getting their
01:01:17.100 other needs
01:01:17.580 met.
01:01:17.860 I have
01:01:19.280 said in
01:01:19.960 the past
01:01:20.480 and was
01:01:20.980 mocked
01:01:21.520 mercilessly,
01:01:23.380 so I'll
01:01:23.660 say it
01:01:23.940 again.
01:01:25.460 So the
01:01:26.060 first time I
01:01:26.640 said this,
01:01:27.100 it was years
01:01:27.480 ago.
01:01:28.500 I was
01:01:28.760 mocked.
01:01:29.420 Oh, God
01:01:30.000 was mocked.
01:01:30.780 But I want
01:01:31.120 to see if
01:01:31.460 you still
01:01:31.820 mock me or
01:01:32.860 if the
01:01:33.580 vibe has
01:01:34.660 changed a
01:01:35.120 little bit.
01:01:36.020 What I
01:01:36.560 said was in
01:01:37.400 the Islamic
01:01:39.380 systems, if
01:01:41.240 the rich
01:01:41.660 people can
01:01:42.200 have multiple
01:01:42.800 wives, what's
01:01:44.880 going to
01:01:45.100 happen to
01:01:45.480 the rest of
01:01:45.920 the men?
01:01:46.340 And
01:01:47.860 well, they
01:01:48.180 will be
01:01:48.440 unwifed,
01:01:49.420 right?
01:01:50.600 If you
01:01:51.620 believe that
01:01:52.760 you could
01:01:53.140 never do
01:01:54.440 the thing
01:01:55.240 that humans
01:01:55.840 are born to
01:01:56.440 do, which
01:01:56.880 is have
01:01:57.580 kids and
01:01:59.080 have a
01:01:59.340 family, and
01:02:00.280 you thought
01:02:00.580 it was just
01:02:01.000 unavailable to
01:02:02.260 you because
01:02:03.160 you're not
01:02:03.520 rich, you're
01:02:04.020 not going to
01:02:04.420 be rich,
01:02:05.580 you're just
01:02:06.000 going to be
01:02:06.280 this single
01:02:07.060 guy wandering
01:02:08.220 around doing
01:02:08.860 nothing, and
01:02:10.080 then I say
01:02:10.560 to you, but
01:02:11.220 what if
01:02:13.400 you did
01:02:15.200 something really
01:02:15.820 noble and
01:02:16.480 you killed
01:02:17.600 a bunch of
01:02:18.040 people and
01:02:18.500 went to
01:02:18.780 heaven and
01:02:19.100 got your
01:02:19.420 72 virgins?
01:02:21.820 I believe
01:02:22.720 that the
01:02:25.100 amount of
01:02:26.080 people who
01:02:26.560 were suicide
01:02:27.260 bombers and
01:02:28.360 willing to
01:02:29.100 run into
01:02:29.540 battle at
01:02:30.060 all risks,
01:02:30.860 like you see
01:02:31.740 over there,
01:02:32.360 I don't think
01:02:33.080 that would
01:02:33.340 happen so
01:02:33.920 much if
01:02:35.060 the people
01:02:35.420 doing it
01:02:35.900 had a
01:02:36.200 better
01:02:36.400 alternative.
01:02:39.040 So to
01:02:39.880 me, it
01:02:40.320 seems that
01:02:40.900 not getting
01:02:41.600 laid, which
01:02:42.580 I will just
01:02:43.460 say is in
01:02:44.300 the category
01:02:44.760 of not
01:02:45.820 being a
01:02:47.660 person who
01:02:48.040 is going
01:02:48.260 to have
01:02:48.420 babies, I
01:02:50.080 do think
01:02:50.520 that that
01:02:50.940 creates a
01:02:51.800 situation where
01:02:52.560 somebody would
01:02:53.280 say, well,
01:02:54.660 might as
01:02:55.560 well, and
01:02:56.800 I'm going to
01:02:57.080 go further.
01:02:58.260 If I lived
01:02:59.200 in a system
01:02:59.920 where I knew
01:03:01.440 I could not
01:03:02.000 get my
01:03:02.380 basic
01:03:02.760 biological
01:03:03.320 needs met,
01:03:06.800 I'd
01:03:08.040 probably do
01:03:08.540 something
01:03:08.840 dangerous.
01:03:10.160 Maybe not
01:03:10.960 that specific
01:03:11.680 thing, but
01:03:13.120 yeah, I
01:03:14.500 would do
01:03:15.900 illegal drugs
01:03:17.020 without thinking
01:03:18.080 about it, if
01:03:19.440 it made me
01:03:19.860 feel good.
01:03:21.420 I'd probably
01:03:22.320 do a lot of
01:03:23.000 criminal things
01:03:23.880 because I
01:03:24.980 wouldn't care
01:03:25.460 about society.
01:03:26.980 I wouldn't
01:03:27.300 be a part
01:03:27.700 of it.
01:03:28.840 If you
01:03:29.420 can't have
01:03:29.760 kids, you're
01:03:31.520 not locked
01:03:32.120 into the
01:03:32.600 system the
01:03:33.120 way a
01:03:33.600 single person
01:03:34.280 is not
01:03:36.680 locked into
01:03:37.200 the system.
01:03:38.600 So would
01:03:40.200 the end
01:03:41.740 of multiple
01:03:42.680 wives
01:03:44.120 create a
01:03:45.580 change in
01:03:46.020 the Middle
01:03:46.300 East?
01:03:46.860 I think it
01:03:47.640 would.
01:03:49.100 It might
01:03:49.760 not be the
01:03:50.220 biggest change.
01:03:51.140 It might not
01:03:51.600 solve all the
01:03:52.260 problems, but
01:03:53.420 yeah, the
01:03:54.900 basics thing
01:03:55.580 I'm saying is
01:03:56.180 that people
01:03:56.640 evaluate
01:03:57.220 alternatives,
01:03:58.820 right?
01:04:00.100 So I have
01:04:01.040 an alternative
01:04:01.580 of living a
01:04:03.080 full, complete
01:04:04.580 life, so it
01:04:05.940 never occurs to
01:04:06.640 me that
01:04:06.980 committing a
01:04:08.740 violent act
01:04:10.000 would be on
01:04:11.580 my menu.
01:04:12.520 Why would I
01:04:13.120 even look at
01:04:13.660 it?
01:04:14.940 But if I
01:04:15.760 didn't have
01:04:16.080 any way to
01:04:17.280 meet my
01:04:17.660 basic needs
01:04:18.520 as a living
01:04:19.320 human being,
01:04:20.360 I would look
01:04:21.180 at any
01:04:21.500 alternative, and
01:04:23.000 I would look
01:04:23.380 at an
01:04:23.620 alternative that
01:04:24.300 had a quick
01:04:24.700 ending, too.
01:04:26.140 So I
01:04:27.140 completely
01:04:27.620 understand.
01:04:29.400 Now, of
01:04:30.080 course, there'll
01:04:30.380 be some
01:04:30.660 exceptions.
01:04:31.620 There'll be
01:04:32.000 happily married
01:04:33.100 people who
01:04:33.600 become mass
01:04:35.040 killers, and
01:04:35.880 that's probably
01:04:36.240 more to do
01:04:36.860 with mental
01:04:37.900 health.
01:04:38.240 So you
01:04:39.780 don't want
01:04:40.040 to conflate
01:04:40.480 the crazy
01:04:41.140 people, who
01:04:42.800 nothing will
01:04:43.360 stop them,
01:04:44.360 with the
01:04:44.700 people who
01:04:45.060 are literally
01:04:45.420 looking at
01:04:45.920 their options
01:04:46.560 and going,
01:04:47.440 you know,
01:04:48.420 all things
01:04:49.000 considered,
01:04:50.380 suicide
01:04:50.920 bombers looking
01:04:51.620 pretty good
01:04:52.060 today.
01:04:54.420 Anyway,
01:04:55.380 Biden blocked
01:04:56.660 the sale of
01:04:57.200 U.S.
01:04:57.560 steel to
01:04:57.980 Japan.
01:04:58.520 He said he
01:04:58.980 might, and
01:05:00.360 I guess after
01:05:01.100 there was some
01:05:01.840 big committee
01:05:02.440 that tried to
01:05:02.980 decide on it,
01:05:04.060 and the
01:05:04.420 committee came
01:05:05.060 back with,
01:05:05.760 we can't
01:05:06.360 decide.
01:05:06.800 And so
01:05:07.980 that made
01:05:08.380 Biden the
01:05:08.960 decider, and
01:05:10.300 Biden stopped
01:05:10.960 the sale.
01:05:14.180 Do you
01:05:14.740 mind if I
01:05:15.260 just say that
01:05:15.940 was the right
01:05:16.380 decision?
01:05:18.660 Yeah, he's
01:05:19.920 going to get a
01:05:20.340 few right.
01:05:22.060 I'm pretty
01:05:22.700 sure this was
01:05:23.260 the right
01:05:23.520 decision.
01:05:24.860 So I'm
01:05:26.540 just going to
01:05:26.840 say unambiguously,
01:05:28.620 with no
01:05:29.460 caveats,
01:05:31.320 Biden made
01:05:31.840 the right
01:05:32.400 decision.
01:05:33.620 So we're
01:05:34.340 going to give
01:05:34.660 him that.
01:05:34.920 I'm pretty
01:05:35.820 sure Trump
01:05:36.440 would have
01:05:36.700 done the
01:05:36.980 same thing.
01:05:38.180 I'm not
01:05:38.820 100% sure,
01:05:40.580 but I'm
01:05:40.840 pretty sure.
01:05:41.720 So I think
01:05:42.120 you could be
01:05:42.480 happy with
01:05:42.900 that one.
01:05:45.840 But why
01:05:46.580 did Biden
01:05:47.080 say no to
01:05:48.560 Japan buying
01:05:49.740 it?
01:05:50.840 Well, I've
01:05:52.080 got a
01:05:52.420 hypothesis.
01:05:54.420 Japan has
01:05:55.280 never been
01:05:55.700 accused of
01:05:56.480 bribing the
01:05:57.080 Biden crime
01:05:57.820 family.
01:05:58.980 Am I
01:05:59.600 right?
01:05:59.800 But if
01:06:01.620 Biden had
01:06:05.280 blocked the
01:06:05.860 sale to
01:06:07.120 China, I
01:06:09.660 would have
01:06:09.880 been a
01:06:10.120 little more
01:06:10.480 surprised.
01:06:11.580 Because he
01:06:12.240 did take
01:06:12.720 money from
01:06:13.180 China.
01:06:14.220 But he
01:06:14.800 didn't take
01:06:15.180 any money
01:06:15.520 from Japan,
01:06:16.380 and I
01:06:17.080 guess Japan
01:06:17.520 loses.
01:06:19.040 Maybe they
01:06:19.680 should have
01:06:20.020 been more
01:06:20.400 involved in
01:06:21.060 the Biden
01:06:22.100 crime family,
01:06:22.820 and they
01:06:23.040 could have
01:06:23.260 bought
01:06:23.420 themselves a
01:06:23.940 steel plant.
01:06:24.920 We don't
01:06:25.660 know if
01:06:27.780 that had any
01:06:28.400 influence on
01:06:29.000 his decision.
01:06:30.360 But since
01:06:31.080 it was the
01:06:31.380 right decision,
01:06:32.460 we'll give
01:06:32.780 them the
01:06:32.940 benefit of
01:06:33.380 it that way.
01:06:35.200 When I
01:06:35.820 found out my
01:06:36.440 friend got a
01:06:37.060 great deal on
01:06:37.880 a wool coat
01:06:38.420 from Winners,
01:06:39.240 I started
01:06:40.040 wondering,
01:06:40.940 is every
01:06:41.760 fabulous item
01:06:42.540 I see from
01:06:43.220 Winners?
01:06:44.040 Like that
01:06:44.560 woman over
01:06:45.040 there with
01:06:45.520 the designer
01:06:45.940 jeans.
01:06:46.760 Are those
01:06:47.360 from Winners?
01:06:48.300 Ooh, or
01:06:49.080 those beautiful
01:06:49.600 gold earrings?
01:06:50.740 Did she pay
01:06:51.180 full price?
01:06:52.100 Or that
01:06:52.360 leather tote?
01:06:53.120 Or that
01:06:53.380 cashmere
01:06:53.720 sweater?
01:06:54.300 Or those
01:06:54.640 knee-high
01:06:54.960 boots?
01:06:55.800 That dress?
01:06:56.580 That jacket?
01:06:57.240 Those shoes?
01:06:58.280 Is anyone
01:06:59.060 paying full
01:06:59.700 price for
01:07:00.260 anything?
01:07:01.260 Stop
01:07:01.700 wondering.
01:07:02.480 Start winning.
01:07:03.440 Winners find
01:07:04.240 fabulous for
01:07:05.040 less.
01:07:05.840 All right.
01:07:07.440 Do you remember
01:07:08.480 when you thought
01:07:09.160 that China,
01:07:10.480 their GDP,
01:07:11.680 their economy
01:07:12.140 would grow
01:07:12.740 until that
01:07:13.500 surpassed
01:07:15.100 America?
01:07:15.420 and that
01:07:16.000 was just
01:07:16.400 assumed to
01:07:17.060 be true
01:07:17.460 because they
01:07:18.140 have more
01:07:18.440 people,
01:07:19.700 more vitality,
01:07:21.940 and the
01:07:23.000 lines were
01:07:23.620 definitely
01:07:24.240 going to
01:07:24.560 converge?
01:07:25.800 Well, at
01:07:26.280 the moment,
01:07:26.680 it doesn't
01:07:27.000 look like
01:07:27.340 it's going
01:07:27.600 to happen
01:07:27.960 because China
01:07:29.500 is having
01:07:29.880 so many
01:07:30.360 economic
01:07:31.240 problems
01:07:31.820 that it
01:07:34.500 might still
01:07:35.100 happen,
01:07:36.120 but certainly
01:07:39.080 not as soon
01:07:39.800 as people
01:07:40.200 thought.
01:07:40.880 The experts
01:07:41.660 thought it
01:07:42.100 might happen
01:07:42.480 around 2030,
01:07:43.980 and it
01:07:44.240 still could
01:07:44.580 happen,
01:07:45.720 but boy,
01:07:46.220 did it
01:07:46.420 slow down.
01:07:47.820 So China
01:07:48.340 is sucking
01:07:48.800 wind,
01:07:50.120 but so
01:07:50.540 are we.
01:07:51.980 If Trump
01:07:53.800 vows to
01:07:54.340 block US
01:07:54.860 deals,
01:07:55.260 take over,
01:07:55.580 oh, okay.
01:07:56.500 So CBS News
01:07:57.320 is reporting
01:07:57.960 that Trump
01:07:58.600 would have
01:07:58.920 stopped it
01:07:59.380 as well.
01:08:00.640 So we
01:08:01.400 can be
01:08:01.660 happy with
01:08:02.020 that decision.
01:08:02.540 But here's
01:08:05.780 what I would
01:08:06.120 say about
01:08:06.520 China versus
01:08:07.200 the United
01:08:07.680 States.
01:08:09.160 I don't
01:08:09.900 see a path
01:08:10.580 for China
01:08:11.160 to survive
01:08:12.120 because their
01:08:13.600 entire economy
01:08:14.380 depends on
01:08:15.000 manufacturing at
01:08:16.340 a low cost,
01:08:17.520 and certainly
01:08:19.920 there are a
01:08:20.380 few other
01:08:20.800 countries that
01:08:21.400 are trying to
01:08:21.820 compete, but
01:08:22.460 not super
01:08:23.320 effectively, like
01:08:24.340 Vietnam is
01:08:25.240 trying to be
01:08:26.500 a, you know,
01:08:27.000 but they don't
01:08:27.640 have the
01:08:28.040 manufacturing
01:08:28.840 know-how.
01:08:31.240 If you go
01:08:31.740 to China,
01:08:32.360 there's like
01:08:32.740 this entire
01:08:33.520 gigantic
01:08:34.460 industry of
01:08:35.940 people who
01:08:36.320 are experts
01:08:36.960 as saying,
01:08:37.760 what is it
01:08:38.100 you want to
01:08:38.400 make?
01:08:39.400 Oh, you
01:08:40.360 want to
01:08:40.580 make a
01:08:41.060 lamp out
01:08:42.480 of cotton?
01:08:44.480 Okay.
01:08:45.280 And they
01:08:45.600 can build
01:08:45.940 you a
01:08:46.220 factory that
01:08:46.720 will make
01:08:47.000 a lamp
01:08:47.480 out of
01:08:47.960 cotton.
01:08:48.520 That's not
01:08:49.040 a real
01:08:49.280 thing.
01:08:50.360 So, in
01:08:51.220 fact, I
01:08:51.620 had a
01:08:52.100 friend who
01:08:54.380 had a
01:08:54.840 product
01:08:55.240 designed,
01:08:56.140 he designed
01:08:56.640 it on sort
01:08:57.200 of a
01:08:57.380 napkin and
01:08:57.900 stuff, and
01:08:58.980 he found
01:08:59.820 a Chinese
01:09:00.260 company,
01:09:00.640 he was
01:09:02.060 making
01:09:02.300 giant
01:09:02.740 tennis
01:09:03.100 rackets.
01:09:04.060 So, he
01:09:04.580 was making
01:09:04.900 tennis
01:09:05.300 rackets that
01:09:06.000 were just
01:09:06.740 for decoration
01:09:07.960 if you were
01:09:08.840 a tennis
01:09:09.100 player, but
01:09:09.800 it looked
01:09:10.000 like a
01:09:10.280 regular wooden
01:09:11.000 racket, but
01:09:11.720 it was like
01:09:12.160 four feet
01:09:13.000 tall or
01:09:13.400 something.
01:09:14.160 I bought
01:09:14.500 one of it.
01:09:14.900 They're
01:09:15.060 really cool.
01:09:16.300 But he
01:09:16.700 basically said
01:09:17.360 to a
01:09:17.600 Chinese
01:09:17.860 company,
01:09:18.820 all right,
01:09:19.200 here's a
01:09:19.700 hand drawing
01:09:20.540 of what I
01:09:21.020 want.
01:09:21.420 It's just
01:09:21.720 a giant
01:09:22.220 tennis racket.
01:09:23.220 It's made
01:09:23.500 of wood.
01:09:23.820 And they
01:09:26.060 somehow made
01:09:26.720 a giant
01:09:27.080 tennis
01:09:27.420 racket.
01:09:29.500 Like, do
01:09:30.460 you know
01:09:30.660 how many
01:09:31.060 technologies
01:09:31.740 they would
01:09:32.220 have to
01:09:32.500 pull
01:09:32.720 together to
01:09:34.760 make a
01:09:35.080 giant
01:09:35.320 tennis
01:09:35.700 racket
01:09:36.120 strung at
01:09:39.080 a price
01:09:40.040 that if it
01:09:41.480 got bigger
01:09:41.900 they could
01:09:42.280 afford?
01:09:44.100 And that's
01:09:44.580 a lot of
01:09:45.420 manufacturing
01:09:46.180 know-how.
01:09:46.800 And when I
01:09:47.220 saw that, I
01:09:47.660 was like,
01:09:48.000 holy cow,
01:09:49.060 I don't know
01:09:49.720 that I could
01:09:50.100 find a place
01:09:50.700 in America
01:09:51.240 that would
01:09:51.700 do that.
01:09:53.540 I mean,
01:09:53.800 maybe.
01:09:55.140 So places
01:09:56.200 like Vietnam
01:09:56.860 can't just
01:09:57.460 knock off
01:09:58.540 China, even
01:09:59.940 if they have
01:10:00.320 lower-cost
01:10:00.880 labor.
01:10:01.620 They don't
01:10:02.180 have the
01:10:02.500 factory
01:10:02.920 engineers.
01:10:03.900 That's the
01:10:04.540 big advantage.
01:10:05.800 However,
01:10:06.840 what happens
01:10:08.100 when the
01:10:08.740 cheap labor
01:10:09.420 is replaced
01:10:10.380 with cheap
01:10:10.960 robots?
01:10:13.060 That means
01:10:13.900 that the
01:10:14.280 United States
01:10:14.860 will have a
01:10:15.340 manufacturing
01:10:15.940 advantage,
01:10:17.140 at least for
01:10:18.180 stuff that is
01:10:18.940 sold in the
01:10:19.440 United States.
01:10:20.140 Because the
01:10:20.740 shipping costs
01:10:21.500 and the
01:10:21.980 shipping
01:10:22.240 delays are
01:10:24.180 a big part
01:10:24.880 of the
01:10:25.260 acquisition
01:10:26.460 problem.
01:10:27.740 But if you're
01:10:28.400 buying it in
01:10:28.940 America, it
01:10:29.600 comes faster.
01:10:30.920 You don't
01:10:31.440 have to worry
01:10:31.900 about any
01:10:32.360 economic
01:10:32.840 instability.
01:10:34.020 You don't
01:10:34.320 have to worry
01:10:34.740 about as
01:10:35.280 much.
01:10:35.900 You don't
01:10:36.140 have to worry
01:10:36.460 about the
01:10:36.760 intentional
01:10:37.180 IP threat.
01:10:38.560 You don't
01:10:38.860 have to
01:10:39.200 travel to
01:10:39.820 China to
01:10:40.740 make sure
01:10:41.100 that they're
01:10:41.440 doing it
01:10:41.780 right and
01:10:42.280 have your
01:10:42.640 laptop
01:10:43.140 information
01:10:44.080 stolen.
01:10:45.380 So robots
01:10:46.940 should destroy
01:10:49.700 the entire
01:10:50.480 economic
01:10:51.100 engine of
01:10:51.900 China while
01:10:53.680 strengthening the
01:10:54.780 economic
01:10:55.220 engine of
01:10:55.840 America.
01:10:57.120 And I
01:10:57.920 don't see
01:10:58.380 any way
01:10:58.820 around it.
01:11:00.140 Do you?
01:11:01.600 Because robots
01:11:02.660 are definitely
01:11:03.280 coming.
01:11:03.840 They're definitely
01:11:04.380 going to do
01:11:04.820 all the manual
01:11:05.520 labor.
01:11:06.140 They're definitely
01:11:06.660 going to replace
01:11:07.400 most manufacturing
01:11:09.260 jobs.
01:11:09.780 They're definitely
01:11:10.240 going to be
01:11:10.600 cheaper than
01:11:11.160 hiring humans
01:11:11.920 and even
01:11:13.020 cheaper than
01:11:14.360 having it
01:11:14.760 made in
01:11:15.100 China.
01:11:16.540 So what's
01:11:18.380 their plan
01:11:18.800 be?
01:11:20.720 How does
01:11:21.440 China survive
01:11:22.360 with that?
01:11:25.020 And the
01:11:25.340 answer is I
01:11:25.860 have no idea
01:11:26.480 and I
01:11:27.520 wonder if
01:11:27.880 they do.
01:11:29.120 Do they
01:11:29.600 have any
01:11:29.900 idea that
01:11:30.400 they don't
01:11:30.680 have any
01:11:31.000 way to
01:11:31.260 survive?
01:11:33.560 I mean
01:11:33.840 their system
01:11:34.720 seems to
01:11:36.540 be brittle.
01:11:38.400 So I
01:11:40.660 will say at
01:11:41.040 the same
01:11:41.320 time that
01:11:41.740 betting
01:11:42.120 against
01:11:42.840 China's
01:11:43.920 economy is
01:11:44.740 probably one
01:11:45.500 of the worst
01:11:45.960 bets you
01:11:46.560 could ever
01:11:46.900 make but
01:11:48.380 on paper
01:11:49.060 it's not
01:11:49.600 looking good.
01:11:50.580 In the
01:11:51.240 real world
01:11:51.780 China's
01:11:53.100 really smart.
01:11:55.040 Right?
01:11:56.260 The Chinese
01:11:57.240 leadership are
01:11:58.680 like really
01:11:59.320 really smart
01:12:00.160 people.
01:12:00.560 It's a lot
01:12:00.740 of engineers
01:12:01.380 so they
01:12:02.800 don't do
01:12:03.600 real dumb
01:12:04.760 stuff.
01:12:06.080 They just
01:12:06.560 don't.
01:12:07.620 So maybe
01:12:08.520 they can
01:12:08.820 figure it
01:12:09.220 out but I
01:12:09.900 don't know
01:12:10.120 how.
01:12:10.840 I have a
01:12:11.580 good imagination
01:12:12.320 and I can't
01:12:12.900 imagine how
01:12:13.620 they get out
01:12:14.140 of that.
01:12:15.240 We'll see.
01:12:16.900 There's a
01:12:20.220 20-year-old
01:12:21.040 soldier who
01:12:22.860 apparently is
01:12:23.420 a hacker
01:12:23.920 in his
01:12:24.340 spare time
01:12:24.980 who got
01:12:25.820 arrested and
01:12:27.040 charged for
01:12:27.940 apparently he
01:12:29.520 hacked into
01:12:30.000 the phone
01:12:30.440 companies and
01:12:31.120 got the
01:12:31.480 private records
01:12:32.320 of allegedly
01:12:33.240 Trump and
01:12:34.380 Kamala Harris
01:12:35.080 and then
01:12:35.600 sold the
01:12:36.240 personal records
01:12:37.640 of their
01:12:37.980 phone calls
01:12:38.680 on the
01:12:39.340 black market.
01:12:41.080 Let me
01:12:41.820 say that
01:12:42.200 again.
01:12:43.640 An
01:12:43.900 ordinary
01:12:44.500 American
01:12:45.180 20-year-old
01:12:46.280 U.S.
01:12:47.280 Army soldier
01:12:48.000 had the
01:12:49.800 wherewithal
01:12:50.440 to get
01:12:52.940 the
01:12:53.180 president
01:12:53.560 of the
01:12:53.920 United
01:12:54.180 States
01:12:54.700 personal
01:12:56.160 messages
01:12:56.640 from a
01:12:57.140 telecom
01:12:57.580 company
01:12:57.980 by
01:12:58.780 hacking
01:12:59.060 it.
01:13:01.040 Now,
01:13:01.880 do you
01:13:02.740 think there's
01:13:03.140 any chance
01:13:03.800 that China
01:13:04.460 isn't in
01:13:05.180 every one
01:13:05.660 of our
01:13:05.980 systems?
01:13:07.440 If a
01:13:08.200 20-year-old
01:13:08.800 can get
01:13:09.140 into what
01:13:09.860 I would
01:13:10.200 think would
01:13:10.660 be a
01:13:10.960 pretty darn
01:13:11.580 secure
01:13:12.020 system,
01:13:13.360 pretty darn
01:13:14.340 secure,
01:13:14.820 than
01:13:16.460 anybody
01:13:16.840 can get
01:13:17.260 in.
01:13:19.040 Anybody
01:13:19.780 who has
01:13:20.220 that
01:13:20.420 talent,
01:13:21.260 and China
01:13:21.800 has that
01:13:22.260 talent
01:13:22.580 times a
01:13:23.060 thousand.
01:13:24.600 So,
01:13:25.280 we should
01:13:26.720 assume that
01:13:27.440 China is
01:13:27.900 already in
01:13:28.560 everything.
01:13:30.620 Now,
01:13:31.020 I don't
01:13:31.500 hate that,
01:13:32.700 believe it
01:13:33.100 or not,
01:13:33.860 because it
01:13:34.620 would give
01:13:35.020 China some
01:13:35.840 sense of
01:13:36.400 having a
01:13:37.100 weapon of
01:13:37.720 mass
01:13:38.020 destruction
01:13:38.600 that's not
01:13:39.860 nuclear,
01:13:40.860 because they
01:13:41.920 can turn off
01:13:42.440 the lights
01:13:42.980 in the
01:13:43.740 United States
01:13:44.340 and 90%
01:13:45.520 of us
01:13:45.800 would die
01:13:46.240 in a
01:13:47.240 year.
01:13:48.480 So,
01:13:49.160 my question
01:13:50.780 would be,
01:13:51.700 doesn't the
01:13:52.200 United States
01:13:52.820 have the
01:13:53.140 same kind
01:13:53.680 of balancing
01:13:55.940 risk?
01:13:57.060 You don't
01:13:57.620 think the
01:13:58.320 U.S.
01:13:58.660 has hackers
01:13:59.180 that are in
01:13:59.580 all the
01:13:59.820 Chinese
01:14:00.100 systems?
01:14:01.320 I assume
01:14:02.200 they do.
01:14:03.560 So,
01:14:03.880 I think we
01:14:04.260 have a
01:14:04.560 mutual threat
01:14:05.360 there,
01:14:06.700 but maybe
01:14:08.720 that's
01:14:08.940 wishful
01:14:09.240 thinking.
01:14:09.560 anyway,
01:14:12.400 I saw
01:14:12.640 a claim
01:14:13.040 that
01:14:13.400 supermarkets,
01:14:16.860 food markets
01:14:17.460 are 90%
01:14:18.340 owned by
01:14:19.120 just 10
01:14:20.560 companies.
01:14:22.240 Does that
01:14:22.980 sound right?
01:14:23.900 It doesn't
01:14:24.520 sound too
01:14:25.820 far off
01:14:26.480 directionally.
01:14:27.520 I don't
01:14:27.720 know if the
01:14:28.040 exact number
01:14:28.600 is right,
01:14:29.320 but let me
01:14:30.200 tell you
01:14:30.440 something about
01:14:30.880 the food
01:14:31.340 company.
01:14:32.540 The food
01:14:33.340 company is
01:14:34.140 a thoroughly
01:14:35.420 corrupt
01:14:35.880 industry.
01:14:36.380 I worked
01:14:38.600 in it
01:14:38.900 a little
01:14:39.240 bit as
01:14:39.900 I tried
01:14:40.240 to introduce
01:14:41.080 the
01:14:41.320 dill
01:14:41.560 burrito,
01:14:43.040 a burrito
01:14:44.120 that had
01:14:44.560 all the,
01:14:46.780 well,
01:14:47.080 here's two
01:14:47.420 things I
01:14:47.800 learned.
01:14:49.900 Many of
01:14:50.480 you know
01:14:50.720 I tried
01:14:51.040 to create
01:14:51.480 a frozen
01:14:54.180 burrito
01:14:54.940 that would
01:14:55.780 be just
01:14:56.100 the healthiest
01:14:56.700 thing.
01:14:57.120 It would
01:14:57.280 have all
01:14:57.580 the right
01:14:57.860 vitamins
01:14:58.300 and minerals
01:14:58.800 and vegetables
01:14:59.580 in it,
01:15:00.160 and it
01:15:00.540 would taste
01:15:00.880 good.
01:15:01.520 I thought,
01:15:02.180 yeah,
01:15:02.360 why don't
01:15:02.780 we make
01:15:03.180 one food
01:15:03.800 that's
01:15:04.640 convenient,
01:15:05.360 inexpensive,
01:15:05.880 and perfectly
01:15:06.680 healthy?
01:15:07.560 Wouldn't
01:15:07.780 that be
01:15:08.060 great?
01:15:09.360 Then I
01:15:09.780 found out
01:15:10.280 that all
01:15:10.920 the information
01:15:11.500 about vitamins
01:15:12.220 and minerals
01:15:12.800 was fake.
01:15:14.040 It's all
01:15:14.400 fake science.
01:15:15.900 I don't
01:15:16.540 trust even
01:15:18.080 one fact
01:15:20.360 about vitamins
01:15:21.640 and minerals,
01:15:22.460 and I was
01:15:23.560 trying to do
01:15:24.220 that as my
01:15:25.160 competitive
01:15:25.620 advantage,
01:15:26.700 and soon I
01:15:27.480 learned,
01:15:27.760 wait a minute,
01:15:28.180 all the science
01:15:28.760 is made up.
01:15:29.700 It's obviously
01:15:30.260 made up.
01:15:31.020 It's not obvious
01:15:31.700 until you get
01:15:32.220 into it,
01:15:33.340 but every day
01:15:34.280 that I had
01:15:34.860 that business,
01:15:35.480 there'd be
01:15:35.960 a new
01:15:36.280 news story
01:15:36.800 that says,
01:15:37.760 oh,
01:15:38.160 turns out
01:15:38.700 vitamin E
01:15:39.340 can hurt
01:15:39.760 you.
01:15:40.140 I'd be like,
01:15:40.600 what?
01:15:41.900 Oh,
01:15:42.380 but sometimes
01:15:42.940 it helps
01:15:43.360 you.
01:15:43.940 What?
01:15:45.300 You know,
01:15:45.740 maybe pregnant
01:15:46.940 women need it
01:15:47.640 or something.
01:15:48.220 What?
01:15:49.340 And I kept
01:15:50.400 finding that
01:15:51.000 all the
01:15:51.380 vitamin stuff
01:15:52.000 was fake.
01:15:53.400 So on top
01:15:54.420 of the fact
01:15:55.020 that the
01:15:56.160 food pyramid
01:15:56.820 was fake,
01:15:58.020 all the
01:15:58.400 vitamin and
01:15:58.960 mineral stuff
01:15:59.460 is fake.
01:15:59.980 on top
01:16:02.200 of that,
01:16:03.460 the supermarket
01:16:04.800 grocery industry
01:16:06.020 is completely
01:16:07.160 corrupt.
01:16:08.060 And I've
01:16:08.280 told you
01:16:08.520 this before.
01:16:09.540 So we
01:16:10.220 were developing
01:16:10.820 a super
01:16:11.780 healthy food,
01:16:12.620 if we did
01:16:13.200 everything right,
01:16:14.140 to compete
01:16:15.260 against really
01:16:16.120 unhealthy crap.
01:16:18.280 But the
01:16:18.800 people who
01:16:19.180 make the
01:16:19.480 unhealthy
01:16:19.820 crap have
01:16:21.460 armies of
01:16:22.840 people who
01:16:23.660 go into
01:16:24.000 every store
01:16:24.940 and make
01:16:25.840 sure their
01:16:26.240 product is
01:16:26.840 well displayed
01:16:27.500 and they
01:16:27.920 answer any
01:16:28.320 questions.
01:16:29.220 Sometimes
01:16:29.660 they even
01:16:30.060 go in the
01:16:30.480 back,
01:16:31.040 they even
01:16:31.560 work for
01:16:32.020 the grocery
01:16:32.840 store in
01:16:33.240 the back.
01:16:34.280 They'll go
01:16:34.600 back there
01:16:35.020 and unpack
01:16:35.640 their own
01:16:36.120 products and
01:16:37.460 bring them
01:16:37.820 and put them
01:16:38.680 on the
01:16:38.940 shelves themselves.
01:16:40.300 So the
01:16:40.800 grocery store
01:16:41.540 lets the
01:16:42.120 vendor stock
01:16:43.960 the shelf
01:16:44.440 with their
01:16:45.540 own products.
01:16:46.780 What do you
01:16:47.340 think when you
01:16:47.880 let the
01:16:48.340 vendor put
01:16:49.140 their own
01:16:49.520 products on
01:16:50.080 your shelf?
01:16:50.580 What do you
01:16:50.820 think they
01:16:51.100 do when they
01:16:51.520 see your
01:16:51.880 product sitting
01:16:52.460 on the
01:16:52.740 shelf next
01:16:53.140 to it?
01:16:54.240 They bury
01:16:54.980 it.
01:16:55.960 They take
01:16:56.640 your product
01:16:57.280 they put
01:16:58.460 it in the
01:16:58.840 back of
01:16:59.300 their product
01:16:59.940 so there'll
01:17:00.880 be two
01:17:01.240 of theirs
01:17:01.580 in front
01:17:02.040 of yours.
01:17:04.520 And if you
01:17:05.120 don't have an
01:17:05.580 army of people
01:17:06.280 to move it
01:17:06.860 back, then
01:17:08.460 you can be
01:17:09.000 in 7-Eleven
01:17:09.900 for six
01:17:10.540 months and
01:17:11.500 have zero
01:17:12.040 sales.
01:17:14.520 That's what
01:17:15.060 I did.
01:17:16.620 Can you
01:17:17.140 imagine selling
01:17:18.260 it to 7-Eleven?
01:17:19.220 It wasn't all
01:17:19.740 of them.
01:17:20.140 It was one
01:17:20.940 subset of
01:17:21.540 7-Eleven.
01:17:22.360 But imagine
01:17:22.920 being in all
01:17:23.500 these stores
01:17:24.140 and when you
01:17:25.720 make that sale
01:17:26.520 you say
01:17:27.020 to yourself
01:17:27.380 yes,
01:17:28.700 finally.
01:17:29.560 Because if
01:17:29.940 only that
01:17:30.600 worked,
01:17:31.680 it would
01:17:32.020 have been
01:17:32.220 cash
01:17:32.540 positive.
01:17:34.240 If only
01:17:35.520 that worked,
01:17:36.400 just the
01:17:36.840 subset of
01:17:38.480 7-Eleven
01:17:39.000 stores,
01:17:39.420 if all
01:17:39.840 they did
01:17:40.200 was just
01:17:40.560 put it
01:17:40.880 on the
01:17:41.160 shelf,
01:17:42.080 it would
01:17:42.960 have been
01:17:43.180 cash
01:17:43.460 positive in
01:17:44.080 the big
01:17:44.360 business.
01:17:45.760 They put
01:17:46.380 it on the
01:17:46.720 shelf and
01:17:47.320 then it
01:17:47.500 got buried.
01:17:48.420 And we
01:17:48.800 know that
01:17:49.200 because we
01:17:49.560 checked a
01:17:49.980 bunch of
01:17:50.360 stores and
01:17:51.320 in 100%
01:17:51.960 of the stores
01:17:52.440 it was buried
01:17:52.960 behind the
01:17:53.440 same
01:17:53.640 product.
01:17:55.400 Craft.
01:17:57.720 So we
01:17:58.680 even know
01:17:58.980 who did
01:17:59.380 it.
01:18:00.520 We know
01:18:00.900 for sure
01:18:01.300 who did
01:18:01.680 it.
01:18:02.660 Didn't
01:18:03.120 help.
01:18:04.260 7-Eleven
01:18:04.780 eventually said
01:18:05.500 we sold
01:18:05.920 zero of
01:18:06.500 your product
01:18:07.060 or something
01:18:07.520 like that.
01:18:08.600 So it
01:18:09.380 didn't work
01:18:09.720 out so we
01:18:10.220 won't carry
01:18:10.600 you.
01:18:11.720 That's a
01:18:12.280 real story.
01:18:13.260 And I
01:18:15.180 could give
01:18:15.560 you other
01:18:15.980 examples but
01:18:16.920 trust me,
01:18:17.760 the food
01:18:18.240 industry is
01:18:19.380 just a
01:18:19.700 criminal
01:18:20.000 enterprise.
01:18:20.600 So if
01:18:21.820 you find
01:18:22.160 out that
01:18:22.520 your food
01:18:23.300 people are
01:18:24.300 selling you
01:18:24.760 poison and
01:18:25.620 they know
01:18:25.940 they're doing
01:18:26.320 it, that
01:18:27.160 would actually
01:18:27.620 fit perfectly
01:18:28.480 with everything
01:18:29.820 I observed.
01:18:30.880 That it
01:18:31.620 looks like a
01:18:32.200 massive criminal
01:18:33.020 enterprise.
01:18:34.160 That's what
01:18:34.460 it looks
01:18:34.700 like.
01:18:37.060 Anyway,
01:18:37.920 Elon Musk
01:18:38.460 is way into
01:18:39.200 British
01:18:40.000 politics.
01:18:41.620 He thinks
01:18:41.980 the government
01:18:42.760 needs to
01:18:44.300 be revised
01:18:45.840 and they
01:18:46.220 need to
01:18:46.680 hold new
01:18:46.960 elections.
01:18:47.500 He said
01:18:47.820 specifically
01:18:48.480 the people
01:18:49.060 of Britain
01:18:49.440 do not
01:18:49.860 want this
01:18:50.240 government
01:18:50.640 at all.
01:18:51.280 New
01:18:51.440 elections.
01:18:52.660 Now, of
01:18:53.020 course, he's
01:18:53.360 being blamed
01:18:53.900 with interfering
01:18:55.180 with British
01:18:56.820 elections.
01:18:57.600 The first
01:18:58.280 thing we
01:18:58.660 would all
01:18:59.000 note is
01:18:59.580 the British
01:19:00.860 government
01:19:01.260 has interfered
01:19:02.080 with American
01:19:02.620 elections
01:19:03.160 repeatedly.
01:19:04.600 So shut
01:19:05.280 up.
01:19:06.660 Shut up.
01:19:08.820 Is Elon
01:19:09.820 interfering with
01:19:10.940 your elections?
01:19:11.840 I don't care.
01:19:12.880 Shut up.
01:19:13.880 As long as
01:19:14.680 you're going to
01:19:15.020 interfere with
01:19:15.460 our elections,
01:19:16.380 just shut
01:19:17.000 up because
01:19:18.080 we're absolutely
01:19:19.020 going to do
01:19:19.540 it to you.
01:19:20.680 Absolutely.
01:19:21.520 And unrepentant.
01:19:23.860 So I'd like
01:19:24.700 to weigh in
01:19:25.280 and I don't
01:19:25.620 know anything
01:19:26.020 about UK
01:19:27.720 politics,
01:19:28.600 but I want
01:19:29.720 them to
01:19:30.060 change their
01:19:30.560 government.
01:19:32.560 I insist.
01:19:35.260 They're not
01:19:35.920 listening to me,
01:19:36.620 so it doesn't
01:19:36.980 make any
01:19:37.320 difference.
01:19:38.260 But no,
01:19:39.160 if you're
01:19:39.640 going to mess
01:19:40.040 with our
01:19:40.440 government,
01:19:40.960 which you
01:19:41.460 do,
01:19:42.260 and we
01:19:42.540 know that
01:19:43.040 from
01:19:43.380 various,
01:19:44.580 everything
01:19:45.040 from the
01:19:45.540 Steele
01:19:45.820 dossier,
01:19:47.380 you know,
01:19:48.440 wink,
01:19:48.760 wink,
01:19:49.640 the Steele
01:19:50.760 dossier
01:19:51.280 to sending
01:19:52.980 people over
01:19:53.520 to help
01:19:53.820 campaign for
01:19:54.640 Kamala Harris,
01:19:56.260 yes,
01:19:56.840 they're all
01:19:57.400 in our
01:19:57.920 business,
01:19:58.660 and other
01:19:59.140 countries are
01:19:59.640 always in
01:20:00.000 our politics
01:20:01.120 one way or
01:20:01.660 another.
01:20:02.340 So no,
01:20:04.060 don't tell us
01:20:05.140 to stop talking
01:20:05.800 about your
01:20:06.180 country,
01:20:06.600 whether it's
01:20:07.060 Elon or me
01:20:07.620 or anybody
01:20:07.940 else.
01:20:08.280 We will
01:20:09.580 interfere as
01:20:11.540 much as
01:20:11.900 we feel
01:20:12.280 like it,
01:20:13.140 as long
01:20:15.120 as you
01:20:15.360 are.
01:20:16.580 And I
01:20:17.140 would ask
01:20:17.460 the question,
01:20:17.940 when does
01:20:18.280 the observation
01:20:19.180 become
01:20:19.600 interference?
01:20:21.200 Because what
01:20:21.800 Elon said
01:20:22.420 is the
01:20:23.040 people of
01:20:23.560 Britain don't
01:20:24.180 want this
01:20:24.560 government.
01:20:26.540 That's
01:20:27.060 true based
01:20:27.660 on polls.
01:20:29.780 That's a
01:20:30.440 factual
01:20:30.780 statement.
01:20:32.480 The people
01:20:33.280 in the
01:20:33.580 country don't
01:20:34.080 want it.
01:20:35.220 The polls
01:20:35.760 agree,
01:20:37.000 you know,
01:20:37.400 completely.
01:20:37.800 The polls
01:20:38.460 are very
01:20:38.820 overwhelmingly
01:20:39.460 agree with
01:20:40.740 that.
01:20:42.680 So is
01:20:43.160 an observation
01:20:44.060 an
01:20:44.780 interference?
01:20:46.820 Shut up,
01:20:47.980 Great Britain.
01:20:49.040 Just shut
01:20:49.520 up.
01:20:50.400 I don't
01:20:50.740 care.
01:20:51.520 I don't
01:20:51.820 care if
01:20:52.100 his observation
01:20:52.920 feels like
01:20:53.540 interference to
01:20:54.240 you.
01:20:54.780 Don't
01:20:55.240 care.
01:20:56.260 Keep it
01:20:56.560 up.
01:20:58.300 But it
01:20:59.900 does raise
01:21:00.440 the question,
01:21:01.260 I wonder
01:21:01.580 if Elon
01:21:02.020 Musk is
01:21:02.920 sort of a
01:21:04.380 kingmaker
01:21:04.940 for other
01:21:05.520 countries.
01:21:05.960 is it
01:21:07.640 possible
01:21:08.120 that if
01:21:08.900 people think
01:21:09.600 he fixed
01:21:10.520 America
01:21:11.080 by getting
01:21:12.180 Trump in
01:21:12.660 office with
01:21:13.680 Trump's
01:21:14.120 solutions,
01:21:15.220 does it
01:21:16.140 look like
01:21:16.500 he could
01:21:16.760 fix another
01:21:17.360 country?
01:21:18.460 Because
01:21:18.960 honestly,
01:21:19.680 I'll bet
01:21:19.960 the UK
01:21:20.380 is jealous
01:21:20.980 of the
01:21:21.340 United
01:21:21.580 States
01:21:22.100 because we
01:21:23.420 have,
01:21:23.940 we've
01:21:24.820 presented,
01:21:25.520 it hasn't
01:21:25.920 been implemented,
01:21:27.120 but we've
01:21:27.860 presented a
01:21:28.700 completely
01:21:29.160 workable
01:21:29.860 solution for
01:21:30.620 our biggest
01:21:31.040 problems,
01:21:31.560 which is
01:21:33.040 Trump's
01:21:33.420 policies.
01:21:35.160 Now,
01:21:35.880 don't you
01:21:36.660 think the
01:21:37.000 UK would
01:21:37.620 like a
01:21:38.860 really good
01:21:39.360 plan to
01:21:39.920 solve their
01:21:40.360 own problems?
01:21:41.080 And they
01:21:41.340 don't have
01:21:41.760 one.
01:21:43.040 They don't
01:21:43.720 have a
01:21:44.040 Trump.
01:21:45.240 So they
01:21:46.060 don't seem
01:21:46.680 to have any
01:21:47.360 way to
01:21:47.800 recover.
01:21:49.280 And I
01:21:51.100 think that
01:21:51.480 they're beyond
01:21:51.980 what I'll
01:21:52.320 call the
01:21:52.720 cultural
01:21:53.260 tipping point.
01:21:55.320 The cultural
01:21:56.400 tipping point.
01:21:57.700 At some
01:21:58.280 point, if
01:21:59.060 you bring
01:21:59.440 in, let's
01:22:01.240 say, a
01:22:02.060 contrarian or
01:22:03.020 even hostile
01:22:03.760 culture, if
01:22:05.420 you bring in
01:22:05.880 one or two
01:22:06.440 people in a
01:22:07.160 big country,
01:22:08.340 no big
01:22:08.780 deal.
01:22:09.480 If you
01:22:10.120 bring in
01:22:10.700 enough
01:22:11.260 people and
01:22:12.500 they can
01:22:12.800 start forming
01:22:13.500 their own
01:22:13.900 communities
01:22:14.580 within your
01:22:15.180 community so
01:22:16.220 that they
01:22:16.520 have isolated
01:22:17.540 communities that
01:22:18.780 are not
01:22:19.440 acclimating to
01:22:20.520 the rest of
01:22:20.960 the culture,
01:22:22.300 that pretty
01:22:22.900 much guarantees
01:22:23.800 if they're
01:22:24.580 Islamic, if
01:22:25.820 they're bringing
01:22:26.260 fundamental
01:22:27.060 Islamic
01:22:27.800 beliefs,
01:22:28.680 all they
01:22:29.940 have to
01:22:30.120 do is
01:22:30.340 get a
01:22:30.620 foothold.
01:22:32.000 If they
01:22:32.620 get a
01:22:32.960 foothold in
01:22:33.740 the modern
01:22:34.180 world, the
01:22:35.600 only way you
01:22:36.240 could stop
01:22:36.800 it from
01:22:37.400 taking over
01:22:38.040 everything,
01:22:39.080 because it's
01:22:39.620 a viral
01:22:40.460 religion, they
01:22:42.000 pretty much
01:22:42.940 want to make
01:22:43.480 sure that they
01:22:44.000 convert you or
01:22:44.840 die trying.
01:22:46.260 Not all of
01:22:46.860 them.
01:22:47.040 We're talking
01:22:47.340 about the
01:22:48.180 extremists.
01:22:51.520 That will
01:22:52.520 succeed over
01:22:53.200 time if you
01:22:54.360 live in a
01:22:54.840 system where
01:22:55.400 we don't do
01:22:56.140 cruel, terrible
01:22:57.000 things.
01:22:57.500 Now, Great
01:22:58.680 Britain does
01:22:59.940 not like to
01:23:00.460 do cruel,
01:23:01.220 terrible things
01:23:01.920 to brown
01:23:02.340 people.
01:23:03.360 It's just a
01:23:04.000 terrible look.
01:23:05.100 So they'll do
01:23:05.880 everything to
01:23:06.460 avoid it.
01:23:07.040 That guarantees
01:23:07.860 the end of
01:23:08.500 England.
01:23:09.600 It guarantees
01:23:10.400 it.
01:23:11.440 And I don't
01:23:12.180 see anything
01:23:12.600 changing.
01:23:13.400 So it looks
01:23:14.320 like no matter
01:23:15.380 how small the
01:23:16.180 foothold is,
01:23:17.440 don't hit me
01:23:18.080 with any
01:23:18.520 statistics like,
01:23:19.860 but Scott,
01:23:20.920 don't you
01:23:21.380 realize that
01:23:22.180 they only make
01:23:22.680 2% of the
01:23:23.760 whole country?
01:23:24.980 It doesn't
01:23:25.540 make any
01:23:25.840 difference.
01:23:26.940 If all of
01:23:27.980 them are in
01:23:28.520 a few central
01:23:29.560 metropolitan
01:23:30.260 areas, they
01:23:31.800 will eventually
01:23:32.340 control the
01:23:33.160 metropolitan
01:23:33.580 areas.
01:23:34.720 And then it
01:23:35.480 just spreads
01:23:36.020 from there.
01:23:37.140 So now, if
01:23:38.060 it's 2%, but
01:23:40.060 they're all
01:23:40.380 concentrated where
01:23:41.260 they can group
01:23:42.120 and keep their
01:23:42.760 culture intact
01:23:43.680 and use it to
01:23:45.540 work against
01:23:46.160 others around
01:23:47.300 them, you're
01:23:48.820 dead.
01:23:50.100 Do you know
01:23:50.540 what the solution
01:23:51.180 is?
01:23:52.460 It's called
01:23:52.900 the Uyghurs
01:23:53.620 in China.
01:23:54.820 I'm not
01:23:55.200 recommending it.
01:23:56.740 Because if I
01:23:57.580 recommended it, I
01:23:58.440 would be as
01:23:59.020 bad as China.
01:24:00.280 But China
01:24:00.720 basically says
01:24:01.620 we're not
01:24:02.100 going to have
01:24:02.400 any Islamic
01:24:02.960 people in
01:24:03.500 China.
01:24:04.340 It's a
01:24:04.820 viral, dangerous
01:24:05.920 religion.
01:24:06.740 It doesn't
01:24:07.140 fit with our
01:24:07.760 system.
01:24:08.660 And we're
01:24:08.980 just going to
01:24:09.300 put you in
01:24:09.680 concentration
01:24:10.160 camps and
01:24:10.840 essentially
01:24:11.500 sterilize you
01:24:12.760 effectively.
01:24:14.520 Now, am I
01:24:15.180 in favor of
01:24:15.700 that?
01:24:15.920 No way.
01:24:17.080 Because nobody
01:24:17.860 who's a good
01:24:18.980 person could be
01:24:20.320 in favor of
01:24:20.840 that.
01:24:23.920 But what if
01:24:25.920 he didn't have
01:24:26.300 any choice?
01:24:28.880 Great Britain is
01:24:29.820 beyond the
01:24:30.360 point where it's
01:24:31.140 fixable.
01:24:32.120 I will tell you
01:24:33.260 with fair
01:24:34.280 confidence that
01:24:36.140 Great Britain
01:24:36.580 will fall.
01:24:37.360 It will just
01:24:37.720 become an
01:24:38.140 Islamic country.
01:24:39.400 And they did
01:24:40.200 it to themselves,
01:24:41.680 completely self
01:24:42.560 inflicted.
01:24:43.380 The United
01:24:43.920 States might
01:24:44.680 have had the
01:24:45.080 same fate.
01:24:47.180 But I think
01:24:48.160 that the Trump
01:24:48.860 administration,
01:24:49.540 who has
01:24:50.420 never said
01:24:50.920 this, by
01:24:51.320 the way,
01:24:52.220 but when
01:24:53.180 they do
01:24:53.480 the order
01:24:54.100 of deportations,
01:24:55.680 they say
01:24:56.260 quite wisely
01:24:57.280 and smartly
01:24:58.020 that, hey,
01:24:59.200 let us focus
01:24:59.920 on the
01:25:00.360 illegals.
01:25:01.620 And then
01:25:02.240 we'll figure
01:25:02.740 out, you
01:25:03.880 know, who
01:25:04.160 goes after
01:25:04.640 that.
01:25:05.500 Now, who
01:25:06.200 goes after
01:25:06.700 the people
01:25:07.200 who are
01:25:07.460 literally
01:25:07.780 criminals?
01:25:08.760 What's
01:25:09.100 next?
01:25:10.620 Well, here's
01:25:12.160 where it gets
01:25:12.580 dicey.
01:25:13.080 if it were
01:25:14.880 up to
01:25:15.180 me, I
01:25:16.400 would ship
01:25:16.920 people back
01:25:17.560 based on
01:25:18.200 cultural
01:25:19.040 non-fit.
01:25:21.660 So if
01:25:22.100 somebody was
01:25:22.600 illegal, but
01:25:24.040 they're also a
01:25:24.980 member of a
01:25:25.460 culture that
01:25:26.080 is hostile to
01:25:26.980 our culture,
01:25:28.180 they go back
01:25:28.740 first.
01:25:29.880 Would that be
01:25:30.560 gross racial
01:25:31.560 discrimination?
01:25:32.740 Yes, it
01:25:33.100 would.
01:25:35.280 But it
01:25:35.900 would also be
01:25:36.380 self-defense.
01:25:37.640 And in the
01:25:38.480 context of
01:25:39.080 self-defense,
01:25:40.040 totally
01:25:40.300 acceptable.
01:25:40.740 In personal
01:25:43.720 interaction,
01:25:45.180 completely
01:25:45.520 unacceptable.
01:25:47.180 And certainly
01:25:47.800 if you're
01:25:48.140 hiring or
01:25:48.860 firing,
01:25:49.360 completely
01:25:49.740 unacceptable.
01:25:51.880 But when
01:25:52.640 you talk about
01:25:53.120 national defense,
01:25:54.580 yeah, you
01:25:55.060 can do
01:25:55.280 anything you
01:25:55.640 want.
01:25:56.000 There are
01:25:56.200 no rules
01:25:56.640 for defense.
01:25:57.860 If you're
01:25:58.600 literally
01:25:58.920 defending
01:25:59.440 yourself
01:25:59.860 against a
01:26:00.400 risk,
01:26:01.080 there's no
01:26:02.000 ethical or
01:26:02.600 moral
01:26:02.980 anything.
01:26:04.620 But we
01:26:05.460 will act
01:26:06.080 like there
01:26:06.480 is.
01:26:08.000 And so
01:26:08.440 I don't
01:26:09.780 imagine that
01:26:10.540 Trump could
01:26:10.960 get away
01:26:11.340 with it.
01:26:12.960 But it's
01:26:13.620 the conversation
01:26:14.400 that needs
01:26:14.960 to be had.
01:26:16.180 Should we
01:26:16.680 decide who
01:26:18.100 will destroy
01:26:18.820 the United
01:26:19.340 States the
01:26:19.920 way Great
01:26:20.840 Britain is
01:26:21.260 certain to
01:26:22.040 fall at
01:26:22.420 this point?
01:26:23.460 Do we
01:26:24.000 want that
01:26:24.360 fate?
01:26:25.380 Because if
01:26:25.860 we don't,
01:26:26.440 there's
01:26:26.700 literally one
01:26:27.420 way to
01:26:27.780 deal with
01:26:28.520 it.
01:26:29.140 You'd have
01:26:29.520 to ship
01:26:29.860 back all
01:26:30.640 recent
01:26:31.280 non-legal
01:26:33.340 immigrants who
01:26:35.080 came from
01:26:35.480 certain parts
01:26:36.020 of the world.
01:26:36.420 You'd have
01:26:36.680 to do them
01:26:37.020 all.
01:26:37.640 Just get
01:26:38.040 rid of
01:26:38.280 everybody who
01:26:38.900 is not a
01:26:39.280 citizen who
01:26:40.300 came from
01:26:40.860 the wrong
01:26:41.360 part of
01:26:41.660 the world.
01:26:44.140 You'd want
01:26:44.700 to make
01:26:44.920 sure that
01:26:45.280 you
01:26:45.380 discriminated
01:26:46.040 as little
01:26:47.100 as possible
01:26:47.780 against
01:26:48.320 American
01:26:48.800 citizens and
01:26:49.760 against
01:26:50.040 non-radicalized
01:26:51.020 people because
01:26:52.220 it would be a
01:26:52.800 horrible,
01:26:53.280 horrible thing.
01:26:54.140 But it
01:26:54.680 might be the
01:26:55.080 only thing.
01:26:56.080 It might be
01:26:56.800 the only thing
01:26:57.400 that saves
01:26:57.780 the country.
01:26:59.040 And I
01:26:59.860 feel like the
01:27:00.820 big problem
01:27:01.260 is that we're
01:27:01.720 afraid to
01:27:02.280 say that
01:27:03.640 ideas matter.
01:27:04.640 if you
01:27:06.640 put people
01:27:07.400 who want
01:27:07.800 to get
01:27:08.020 along with
01:27:09.100 a bunch
01:27:09.380 of people
01:27:09.760 who don't
01:27:10.160 want to
01:27:10.400 get along
01:27:10.900 and want
01:27:13.140 to conquer
01:27:13.500 you,
01:27:14.660 that needs
01:27:17.020 to be
01:27:17.340 discussed.
01:27:18.640 You can't
01:27:19.240 just act
01:27:19.600 like it's
01:27:19.940 not there.
01:27:21.700 And you
01:27:22.260 can't say,
01:27:22.980 but, but,
01:27:23.500 it would be
01:27:23.960 discriminating
01:27:24.660 because most
01:27:25.860 are not,
01:27:27.060 you know,
01:27:27.320 most immigrants
01:27:29.580 who came to
01:27:30.100 this country
01:27:30.560 from those
01:27:31.240 countries
01:27:31.600 probably just
01:27:32.800 wanted a
01:27:33.260 better life.
01:27:34.300 Probably not
01:27:35.040 in any,
01:27:35.440 in any kind
01:27:36.340 of bad
01:27:36.660 business at
01:27:37.220 all.
01:27:38.300 But I
01:27:38.880 don't care.
01:27:40.540 Don't really
01:27:41.180 care.
01:27:41.980 What I care
01:27:42.800 about is that
01:27:43.600 we don't go
01:27:44.080 the direction
01:27:44.640 of the United
01:27:45.260 Kingdom and
01:27:45.980 be doomed.
01:27:47.440 And there is
01:27:48.320 a way to
01:27:48.700 prevent it.
01:27:49.480 It just
01:27:49.880 would require
01:27:50.560 somebody with
01:27:52.400 balls the
01:27:53.140 size of,
01:27:53.840 the size of
01:27:55.100 Mar-a-Lago
01:27:55.560 to get it
01:27:56.080 done.
01:27:56.600 I don't know
01:27:57.100 if he can do
01:27:57.540 it.
01:27:58.440 It might be
01:27:58.880 a step too
01:27:59.520 far.
01:28:00.140 But I,
01:28:00.600 I would go
01:28:01.280 crime first
01:28:02.360 and
01:28:03.420 culture,
01:28:04.320 cultural fit
01:28:05.660 second.
01:28:07.840 So now
01:28:08.480 it's out
01:28:08.820 there.
01:28:10.460 So this
01:28:11.400 is one of
01:28:11.760 the things
01:28:12.040 I can do
01:28:12.460 because I'm
01:28:12.940 canceled.
01:28:13.860 You know,
01:28:14.380 I can't get
01:28:14.840 further canceled
01:28:15.600 than I am.
01:28:16.580 So I can
01:28:17.440 say what
01:28:18.900 the government
01:28:19.480 can't say
01:28:20.540 and shouldn't
01:28:21.000 say,
01:28:21.540 which is who
01:28:22.360 is second
01:28:22.820 after you
01:28:23.740 get the
01:28:24.200 known
01:28:24.840 criminals.
01:28:25.840 So of
01:28:26.520 course you
01:28:26.960 want to
01:28:27.120 get the
01:28:27.380 Venezuelan
01:28:27.960 gangs.
01:28:29.060 You want to
01:28:29.720 get the
01:28:30.080 murderers and
01:28:30.760 the rapists
01:28:31.260 and stuff.
01:28:31.900 Of course.
01:28:33.660 But we
01:28:34.360 need to
01:28:35.240 be at
01:28:37.240 least a
01:28:37.620 little aware
01:28:38.180 of what
01:28:38.480 the second
01:28:39.120 wave would
01:28:39.800 be.
01:28:41.280 And I
01:28:41.960 would get
01:28:42.300 rid of
01:28:42.840 anybody who
01:28:44.360 wasn't
01:28:44.600 culturally
01:28:45.020 compatible
01:28:45.520 and was
01:28:47.160 recent.
01:28:47.900 Yeah,
01:28:48.040 I wouldn't
01:28:48.340 obviously
01:28:48.900 definitely
01:28:50.240 don't deport
01:28:51.000 any citizens
01:28:51.760 of the United
01:28:52.340 States.
01:28:53.600 And if
01:28:54.500 there's some
01:28:54.920 way to tell
01:28:55.400 who's not
01:28:55.920 radicalized,
01:28:56.940 then definitely
01:28:57.920 like to keep
01:28:58.600 them.
01:28:59.720 But if
01:29:01.740 you don't
01:29:02.060 know if
01:29:02.360 they're
01:29:02.500 radicalized
01:29:03.260 and they
01:29:03.620 came from
01:29:04.000 a certain
01:29:04.340 part of
01:29:04.660 the country
01:29:05.080 and they're
01:29:05.680 not citizens
01:29:06.500 and they're
01:29:06.980 not here
01:29:07.500 legally,
01:29:09.540 yeah,
01:29:09.940 they've got
01:29:10.400 to go
01:29:10.620 next.
01:29:12.980 Everybody
01:29:13.420 agree?
01:29:15.620 And somebody
01:29:16.360 has to say
01:29:16.840 it out loud.
01:29:18.400 Because I've
01:29:19.280 told you before
01:29:19.880 that persuasion
01:29:20.920 wise,
01:29:22.060 sometimes you
01:29:22.940 need the
01:29:23.360 person who
01:29:23.820 goes first
01:29:24.600 and just
01:29:25.420 says the
01:29:25.800 thing that
01:29:26.100 gets you
01:29:26.380 canceled
01:29:26.720 for sure.
01:29:27.940 This is
01:29:28.600 like
01:29:28.860 cancel bait.
01:29:29.880 If I
01:29:30.180 were not
01:29:30.480 already
01:29:30.820 canceled,
01:29:31.620 I would
01:29:33.020 get canceled
01:29:33.500 for this.
01:29:34.260 Would you
01:29:34.620 agree?
01:29:35.600 This is
01:29:36.240 total
01:29:36.480 cancel bait.
01:29:38.100 But what's
01:29:38.760 the point?
01:29:39.140 I'm already
01:29:39.400 canceled.
01:29:41.060 But again,
01:29:42.780 I'm completely
01:29:44.020 against
01:29:44.480 discrimination
01:29:45.600 in any
01:29:46.300 personal,
01:29:47.640 professional,
01:29:49.220 you know,
01:29:50.160 in-person
01:29:50.700 way.
01:29:51.800 Totally
01:29:52.240 against that.
01:29:53.200 But self
01:29:54.640 defense,
01:29:55.660 different
01:29:56.140 standards.
01:29:57.720 No rules
01:29:58.240 for self
01:29:58.620 defense.
01:29:59.660 Claudia was
01:30:00.240 leaving for
01:30:00.660 her pickleball
01:30:01.240 tournament.
01:30:01.820 I've been
01:30:02.040 visualizing my
01:30:02.840 match all
01:30:03.500 week.
01:30:04.380 She was so
01:30:04.900 focused on
01:30:05.400 visualizing that
01:30:06.280 she didn't see
01:30:06.880 the column behind
01:30:07.540 her car on
01:30:08.320 her backhand
01:30:08.860 side.
01:30:10.260 Good thing
01:30:11.000 Claudia's with
01:30:11.620 Intact, the
01:30:12.440 insurer with
01:30:13.040 the largest
01:30:13.520 network of
01:30:14.100 auto service
01:30:14.580 centers in
01:30:15.220 the country.
01:30:16.020 Everything was
01:30:16.560 taken care of
01:30:17.180 under one
01:30:17.660 roof and she
01:30:18.300 was on her
01:30:18.720 way in a
01:30:19.080 rental car in
01:30:19.840 no time.
01:30:20.500 I made it to
01:30:21.200 my tournament
01:30:21.800 and lost in
01:30:23.020 the first
01:30:23.300 round.
01:30:23.960 But you
01:30:24.520 got there
01:30:24.960 on time.
01:30:25.780 Intact
01:30:26.120 Insurance,
01:30:26.960 your auto
01:30:27.340 service ace.
01:30:28.400 Certain conditions
01:30:28.960 apply.
01:30:30.360 All right.
01:30:31.800 Here's some
01:30:32.340 science things
01:30:33.260 to round
01:30:33.620 things out.
01:30:34.820 According to
01:30:35.260 Reichman
01:30:35.740 University,
01:30:36.920 people who
01:30:37.420 can see the
01:30:38.240 big picture
01:30:38.820 and are
01:30:40.600 good at
01:30:40.980 storytelling
01:30:41.700 have more
01:30:43.380 meaningful
01:30:43.860 lives.
01:30:45.480 So people
01:30:46.280 who think of
01:30:46.940 things in
01:30:47.340 terms of
01:30:47.720 stories and
01:30:48.300 can tell
01:30:48.620 stories have
01:30:49.140 more meaningful
01:30:49.880 lives.
01:30:51.760 I can see
01:30:52.560 that.
01:30:53.480 Because
01:30:53.920 storytelling,
01:30:55.900 especially,
01:30:58.300 it just
01:30:58.780 seems that
01:30:59.180 people who
01:30:59.680 can see
01:31:00.920 things as
01:31:01.500 stories would
01:31:03.640 ordinarily find
01:31:04.540 more meaning.
01:31:05.460 If you don't
01:31:06.200 see the story,
01:31:07.240 then you just
01:31:08.080 see what you're
01:31:08.580 doing, which
01:31:09.360 might be
01:31:09.740 drudgery.
01:31:10.900 And that
01:31:11.500 doesn't make
01:31:11.940 you too
01:31:12.180 happy.
01:31:13.020 But if you
01:31:13.720 see the
01:31:14.100 drudgery
01:31:14.500 you're doing
01:31:15.120 as connected
01:31:15.780 to the
01:31:16.180 larger story
01:31:16.960 of your
01:31:17.320 life,
01:31:19.100 that can
01:31:19.880 give you
01:31:20.320 some meaning.
01:31:21.740 So I
01:31:22.740 look at the
01:31:23.220 times in
01:31:23.680 my life
01:31:24.100 where I
01:31:24.380 did horrible
01:31:25.280 work.
01:31:26.500 I mean,
01:31:26.820 the work
01:31:27.120 was hard
01:31:27.740 and unsatisfying,
01:31:29.400 but as long
01:31:30.260 as it was
01:31:31.000 moving me
01:31:31.680 along my
01:31:32.300 storyline,
01:31:33.240 I was
01:31:34.120 fine with
01:31:34.500 it.
01:31:35.580 So, you
01:31:36.420 know,
01:31:36.560 college,
01:31:37.160 college
01:31:37.600 classes I
01:31:38.300 found,
01:31:38.900 you know,
01:31:39.620 largely
01:31:40.040 uninteresting
01:31:40.940 and drudgery,
01:31:42.740 but I knew
01:31:44.100 I needed it.
01:31:45.600 So I
01:31:46.060 always was
01:31:46.800 enthusiastically
01:31:47.680 embracing the
01:31:48.440 challenge because
01:31:49.100 it was part of
01:31:49.560 my story.
01:31:50.820 Now, I've
01:31:51.460 told you the
01:31:52.560 Prisoner Island
01:31:54.180 story.
01:31:55.720 It's good to
01:31:56.520 have a story
01:31:57.300 of yourself
01:31:58.080 and then make
01:31:59.560 yourself conform
01:32:00.340 to it.
01:32:01.480 So I've got a
01:32:02.300 couple of
01:32:02.600 stories.
01:32:02.960 One is that I
01:32:03.660 always win in
01:32:04.340 the end,
01:32:05.540 which is not
01:32:06.500 literally true.
01:32:08.560 But as long
01:32:09.320 as I tell
01:32:09.780 myself that
01:32:10.440 story, when
01:32:11.100 bad things
01:32:11.660 happen to me,
01:32:12.340 I just say,
01:32:14.020 well, I've
01:32:14.820 seen the
01:32:15.180 story and
01:32:16.300 the story is
01:32:16.920 I fix this
01:32:17.580 in the end.
01:32:18.640 Turns out I
01:32:19.220 usually do.
01:32:20.120 I usually do
01:32:21.100 fix my
01:32:21.580 problems in
01:32:22.100 the end.
01:32:23.200 So, you
01:32:23.980 know, it's
01:32:24.540 easy to
01:32:25.020 convince myself.
01:32:26.240 And then I
01:32:26.560 use the
01:32:26.880 Prisoner Island
01:32:27.660 example.
01:32:28.760 You've heard
01:32:29.080 it before.
01:32:30.200 But the
01:32:30.980 idea is that
01:32:31.800 you imagine
01:32:32.600 you're dropped
01:32:34.440 on a
01:32:34.800 Prisoner Island
01:32:35.460 and there's
01:32:36.020 no law,
01:32:36.640 there's no
01:32:36.980 warden, and
01:32:38.040 on day one
01:32:38.680 all of the
01:32:40.560 bad prisoners
01:32:41.260 who are already
01:32:41.780 there beat
01:32:42.280 me up, steal
01:32:43.860 everything I
01:32:44.400 have, and
01:32:44.780 leave me for
01:32:45.260 dead.
01:32:46.680 Because, of
01:32:47.260 course, they're
01:32:47.720 bigger and
01:32:48.340 meaner and
01:32:48.880 there are more
01:32:49.280 of them.
01:32:50.560 On day two,
01:32:51.580 they beat me
01:32:52.940 up again and
01:32:53.580 it's even
01:32:54.360 worse.
01:32:56.020 Day three,
01:32:56.840 same thing.
01:32:57.340 Day four,
01:32:57.840 same thing.
01:32:58.980 But if you
01:32:59.660 come back in
01:33:00.220 a year, I
01:33:02.100 will have
01:33:02.520 killed every
01:33:03.220 one of them
01:33:03.700 and I will
01:33:04.420 be ruling
01:33:04.900 the island.
01:33:06.720 Now, that's
01:33:07.120 called escape
01:33:07.760 from Prisoner
01:33:08.400 Island.
01:33:09.860 And what I
01:33:11.000 find is
01:33:11.680 that it
01:33:13.880 helps me
01:33:14.540 understand
01:33:15.240 myself or
01:33:16.100 really program
01:33:17.040 myself.
01:33:17.840 It programs
01:33:18.680 me to say,
01:33:19.540 it doesn't
01:33:20.360 matter what
01:33:20.780 you have to
01:33:21.240 do, you're
01:33:22.800 going to do
01:33:23.120 it.
01:33:23.800 It doesn't
01:33:24.460 matter how
01:33:24.860 hard it is,
01:33:26.240 you're still
01:33:26.720 going to do
01:33:27.140 it.
01:33:27.760 It doesn't
01:33:28.300 matter how
01:33:28.700 badly beaten
01:33:30.540 you are,
01:33:31.620 you're still
01:33:32.200 going to win.
01:33:33.060 It doesn't
01:33:33.640 matter how
01:33:34.000 many times
01:33:34.640 they beat
01:33:34.980 you up,
01:33:36.060 you're going
01:33:36.820 to get them
01:33:37.200 in the end.
01:33:38.420 Now, again,
01:33:39.140 it's not
01:33:39.480 technically true
01:33:40.300 that I'm
01:33:40.660 going to
01:33:40.820 win in
01:33:41.120 the end
01:33:41.340 all the
01:33:41.620 time,
01:33:42.220 but I
01:33:43.080 treat my
01:33:43.640 life as
01:33:45.160 that story
01:33:45.880 and it's a
01:33:46.680 recurring one.
01:33:47.360 Every time
01:33:47.700 something bad
01:33:48.740 happens, there
01:33:50.000 you are,
01:33:50.340 Prisoner
01:33:50.740 Island.
01:33:52.320 So imagine
01:33:53.280 how good
01:33:53.840 that feels
01:33:54.460 when something
01:33:55.180 bad happens
01:33:55.920 to you,
01:33:56.260 whether it's
01:33:56.640 a divorce
01:33:57.280 or, in
01:34:00.040 my case,
01:34:00.500 getting canceled.
01:34:01.640 I just go
01:34:02.440 right to
01:34:02.760 Prisoner
01:34:03.160 Island.
01:34:04.060 I go,
01:34:04.400 yep, you
01:34:05.600 beat me up
01:34:06.140 and left me
01:34:06.620 for dead.
01:34:07.980 Let's check
01:34:08.680 back next
01:34:09.180 year.
01:34:10.300 A year
01:34:10.960 after I
01:34:11.380 got canceled,
01:34:12.660 I had
01:34:12.960 built an
01:34:13.400 entirely new
01:34:14.220 distribution
01:34:14.780 system and
01:34:15.600 was happier
01:34:16.080 than I've
01:34:16.500 ever been
01:34:17.040 in terms
01:34:18.780 of my
01:34:19.720 creative
01:34:20.400 work.
01:34:22.860 It's just
01:34:23.540 ideal.
01:34:24.400 My current
01:34:24.820 situation is
01:34:25.580 so much
01:34:26.260 better than
01:34:27.380 before I
01:34:27.840 was canceled.
01:34:28.980 That's
01:34:29.340 Escape from
01:34:29.920 Prisoner
01:34:30.340 Island.
01:34:31.240 So whether
01:34:31.620 you use that
01:34:32.140 story or
01:34:32.600 some other
01:34:33.020 story, you
01:34:33.620 should have
01:34:33.880 a story.
01:34:35.320 Have a
01:34:35.980 story for
01:34:36.460 yourself.
01:34:37.060 where you
01:34:37.340 win, and
01:34:38.460 then just
01:34:38.840 keep plugging
01:34:39.440 yourself into
01:34:40.060 the story.
01:34:40.680 It will
01:34:41.000 help.
01:34:44.860 Let's see,
01:34:45.560 what else?
01:34:47.260 According to
01:34:48.000 Cy Post and
01:34:49.660 Vladimir Hedry,
01:34:51.840 people who
01:34:52.560 know two
01:34:53.020 languages might
01:34:54.260 have more
01:34:54.660 protection against
01:34:55.480 Alzheimer
01:34:56.000 progression, to
01:34:57.720 which I
01:34:58.080 say, you
01:34:59.340 could have
01:34:59.540 just asked
01:35:00.000 me, because
01:35:01.960 don't we have
01:35:02.800 plenty of
01:35:03.340 science that
01:35:03.920 says the
01:35:04.280 more you
01:35:04.660 use your
01:35:05.040 brain, the
01:35:06.740 more protection
01:35:07.360 you have
01:35:07.820 against all
01:35:09.680 forms of
01:35:10.500 losing your
01:35:11.080 cognitive
01:35:11.540 ability.
01:35:13.440 So knowing
01:35:14.180 two languages
01:35:14.860 would be
01:35:15.620 evidence that
01:35:16.340 you've used
01:35:16.780 your brain
01:35:17.140 more than
01:35:17.540 somebody who
01:35:18.040 knows one
01:35:18.460 language, which
01:35:19.260 would be
01:35:20.100 right on
01:35:20.560 point with
01:35:21.380 being a
01:35:22.640 protective thing
01:35:23.360 against any
01:35:25.000 kind of
01:35:25.360 mental decline.
01:35:27.100 So next
01:35:27.460 time, just
01:35:27.800 ask me.
01:35:28.160 Eric Dolan
01:35:31.860 writes for
01:35:32.260 Cy Post, he
01:35:33.000 says, oxytocin
01:35:34.840 influences moral
01:35:35.940 emotion decision
01:35:37.160 making.
01:35:37.760 So oxytocin is
01:35:38.800 the chemical
01:35:40.200 your brain or
01:35:41.460 your body
01:35:41.900 creates when
01:35:43.040 you're in
01:35:44.180 personal contact
01:35:45.340 and intimate
01:35:46.580 situations and
01:35:47.460 stuff.
01:35:47.800 It makes you
01:35:48.360 feel love and
01:35:49.200 connection to
01:35:50.200 things.
01:35:51.040 But they
01:35:51.380 found if they
01:35:51.840 give it to
01:35:52.220 you artificially
01:35:53.040 that you
01:35:54.700 will have
01:35:55.300 greater moral
01:35:57.620 behavior,
01:35:58.240 basically.
01:35:59.100 It makes you
01:36:00.040 feel shame
01:36:00.940 more and
01:36:01.820 makes you
01:36:02.200 care more
01:36:02.760 about harming
01:36:03.400 other people.
01:36:03.980 So basically
01:36:04.460 you just
01:36:05.440 love your
01:36:06.000 fellow human
01:36:07.240 beings a
01:36:07.660 little bit if
01:36:08.080 you're on
01:36:08.340 this drug.
01:36:10.540 And my
01:36:11.780 takeaway from
01:36:12.460 this is
01:36:13.080 science has
01:36:15.020 a million
01:36:15.500 ways to
01:36:16.900 tell us you
01:36:17.480 don't have
01:36:17.920 free will.
01:36:19.640 And 98%
01:36:21.020 of you are
01:36:21.600 not getting
01:36:22.020 the hint.
01:36:22.440 I'll just
01:36:25.360 say this
01:36:25.780 because I
01:36:26.120 love saying
01:36:26.660 it and
01:36:27.140 watching people
01:36:27.920 not accept
01:36:29.600 it.
01:36:31.120 If you can
01:36:31.900 change people's
01:36:32.800 decisions with
01:36:34.340 a drug,
01:36:35.440 they don't
01:36:36.400 have free
01:36:36.820 will.
01:36:38.420 Now I know
01:36:39.180 you're going
01:36:39.480 to use word
01:36:40.020 thinking and
01:36:40.760 say, but I
01:36:41.820 have free
01:36:42.200 will because I
01:36:42.720 can choose.
01:36:43.980 And they'll
01:36:44.320 say, all you
01:36:45.180 did is substitute
01:36:45.800 a word.
01:36:47.620 And they'll
01:36:47.960 say, but
01:36:48.280 Scott, there
01:36:49.340 are lots of
01:36:49.740 things I could
01:36:50.260 have done, but
01:36:51.000 I only chose
01:36:51.660 one.
01:36:52.700 That's
01:36:53.100 free will.
01:36:53.780 And I
01:36:53.900 would say, no,
01:36:54.400 you just put
01:36:55.420 a word in
01:36:56.260 place of
01:36:56.880 it.
01:36:59.120 Unless you
01:36:59.780 think that
01:37:00.140 the rules
01:37:00.740 of cause
01:37:02.200 and effect
01:37:02.780 and the
01:37:03.300 rules of
01:37:03.680 physics don't
01:37:04.940 apply to
01:37:05.920 your brain.
01:37:08.400 I don't know
01:37:09.300 why you think
01:37:09.780 that that
01:37:10.080 wouldn't apply
01:37:10.480 to your
01:37:10.700 brain.
01:37:11.840 No, you
01:37:12.240 don't have
01:37:12.540 free will.
01:37:13.180 Science keeps
01:37:13.840 trying to
01:37:14.200 tell us, but
01:37:14.700 we reject
01:37:15.240 it.
01:37:15.420 there's
01:37:17.760 some kind
01:37:18.100 of new
01:37:18.520 nanopore
01:37:20.140 based sensor
01:37:20.960 that can
01:37:22.000 diagnose your
01:37:22.640 health.
01:37:23.640 So instead
01:37:23.960 of looking
01:37:24.380 at lots
01:37:25.020 of cells,
01:37:25.620 like lots
01:37:26.040 of blood
01:37:26.560 samples or
01:37:27.160 something,
01:37:28.060 they think
01:37:28.720 they can
01:37:29.040 get a,
01:37:29.760 they don't
01:37:30.260 have it
01:37:30.560 finished yet,
01:37:31.200 but a
01:37:32.340 detector,
01:37:34.400 they could
01:37:34.820 look at
01:37:35.220 one,
01:37:36.240 one,
01:37:37.760 let's see,
01:37:39.980 one what?
01:37:40.420 one molecule.
01:37:44.320 They can
01:37:44.780 look at
01:37:45.080 one molecule
01:37:45.980 from your
01:37:46.560 body and
01:37:47.340 diagnose your
01:37:48.920 health problems.
01:37:51.340 Now,
01:37:51.900 whether or
01:37:52.600 not this
01:37:52.960 ever works,
01:37:54.260 this is by,
01:37:55.160 let's see,
01:37:56.640 it's in
01:37:57.260 Riverside,
01:37:57.960 University of
01:37:58.600 California,
01:37:59.120 Jules
01:37:59.440 Bernstein's
01:38:00.160 writing about
01:38:00.560 it.
01:38:02.140 But whether
01:38:03.120 or not that
01:38:03.620 works,
01:38:04.460 and they can
01:38:05.060 diagnose you
01:38:06.220 with one
01:38:06.580 molecule or
01:38:07.200 not,
01:38:07.680 there's going
01:38:08.080 to be a
01:38:08.400 whole bunch
01:38:09.000 of diagnostic
01:38:09.900 devices that
01:38:11.640 will be
01:38:11.980 desktop and
01:38:13.780 consumer
01:38:14.600 friendly.
01:38:15.620 So you'll
01:38:16.320 just have
01:38:16.680 something on
01:38:17.300 your desk
01:38:17.840 that you'll
01:38:18.640 stick your
01:38:19.220 finger in,
01:38:19.860 it'll take
01:38:20.260 a prick,
01:38:21.100 or take
01:38:21.840 one molecule
01:38:22.500 in this
01:38:22.900 case,
01:38:23.720 and it'll
01:38:24.100 tell you
01:38:24.560 all kinds
01:38:25.040 of things.
01:38:25.540 Now,
01:38:25.700 what do
01:38:25.860 you do
01:38:26.080 about it?
01:38:26.720 Suppose you
01:38:27.300 diagnose
01:38:27.820 yourself,
01:38:28.500 take your
01:38:29.100 blood test,
01:38:30.100 you found
01:38:30.460 you got a
01:38:30.780 bad problem.
01:38:31.580 Well,
01:38:32.180 I think
01:38:33.080 the future
01:38:33.680 is nurse
01:38:35.520 practitioners
01:38:36.320 plus AI.
01:38:37.680 I think
01:38:39.260 AI will
01:38:39.900 be your
01:38:40.260 doctor,
01:38:41.100 but sometimes
01:38:41.920 you need
01:38:42.400 to be
01:38:42.700 physically
01:38:43.260 manipulated,
01:38:44.180 such as
01:38:44.620 a bandage
01:38:45.240 put on,
01:38:46.040 or an
01:38:47.040 injury
01:38:47.320 cleaned,
01:38:48.160 or stitches,
01:38:48.840 or something
01:38:49.100 like that.
01:38:49.800 So I
01:38:50.080 think you'll
01:38:50.880 have nurse
01:38:51.360 practitioners
01:38:52.040 doing the
01:38:53.380 physical part
01:38:54.280 that the
01:38:55.420 AI doctor
01:38:56.380 said should
01:38:57.840 be done.
01:38:58.760 Because we
01:38:59.840 know we're
01:39:00.300 at the cusp
01:39:01.060 where the
01:39:01.720 AI doctor
01:39:02.560 is going
01:39:02.960 to be
01:39:03.120 better than
01:39:03.640 the real
01:39:04.080 doctor any
01:39:06.100 minute now.
01:39:07.680 I mean,
01:39:08.240 at the
01:39:08.480 moment it
01:39:08.820 might be
01:39:09.100 a tie.
01:39:11.520 And I
01:39:12.460 believe AI
01:39:13.040 already
01:39:13.760 outperforms
01:39:14.580 doctors reading
01:39:16.480 x-rays and
01:39:17.440 reading scans.
01:39:18.740 I think
01:39:19.380 that's already
01:39:19.860 the case.
01:39:23.620 So,
01:39:24.180 yeah,
01:39:24.640 I mean,
01:39:24.940 we're right.
01:39:25.600 A year from
01:39:26.480 now,
01:39:27.060 probably you're
01:39:27.760 going to use
01:39:28.120 AI instead
01:39:28.740 of a real
01:39:29.160 doctor.
01:39:30.060 That's my
01:39:30.500 guess.
01:39:31.960 And then
01:39:32.280 nurse
01:39:32.500 practitioners.
01:39:33.600 So I
01:39:33.920 don't know
01:39:34.140 what doctors
01:39:34.880 are going
01:39:35.140 to do.
01:39:35.440 It's going
01:39:36.040 to be a
01:39:36.420 tough economic
01:39:37.480 climate for
01:39:38.080 doctors going
01:39:38.760 forward.
01:39:41.420 And that,
01:39:42.140 ladies and
01:39:42.460 gentlemen,
01:39:42.700 is all I
01:39:43.280 had to say.
01:39:44.860 It took
01:39:45.460 way too
01:39:45.800 long.
01:39:46.300 I'm going
01:39:46.540 to say
01:39:46.760 bye now
01:39:47.300 and I'm
01:39:47.660 going to
01:39:47.820 just say
01:39:48.300 hello to
01:39:48.960 the locals
01:39:49.580 people.
01:39:50.880 And everybody
01:39:51.560 else,
01:39:52.000 thanks for
01:39:52.380 joining.
01:39:52.760 I'll see
01:39:53.020 you next
01:39:53.920 time,
01:39:54.400 same time
01:39:54.840 tomorrow.
01:39:56.000 And locals
01:39:57.380 coming at
01:39:58.000 you,
01:39:58.620 I'll only
01:39:59.060 be brief.
01:40:05.440 you
01:40:35.440 Thank you.
01:41:05.440 Thank you.
01:41:35.440 Thank you.