Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2714 CWSA 01⧸08⧸25

00:00:00.000 The dopamine, at the end of the day, the thing makes everything better.

00:00:02.900 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:06.240 Go.

00:00:11.320 Oh, deliciousness.

00:00:14.420 Incredible.

00:00:17.080 Speaking of coffee,

00:00:19.420 do you think there's some new scientific studies about it being good for you?

00:00:25.040 Hmm, let me check.

00:00:27.220 Yes, there are.

00:00:28.120 Turns out there's a new scientific study.

00:00:31.220 But it says that you get more health advantage if you drink your coffee in the morning

00:00:35.940 versus sipping it all day.

00:00:39.660 So if you're a morning drinker, like you are, because you just sipped with me,

00:00:44.220 you're 16% less likely to have died compared to non-coffee drinkers.

00:00:49.680 31% less likely to have died from heart disease, according to Chronicle Live.

00:00:55.600 So there's that. 0.94

00:00:56.660 And by the way, on top of that, at the CES show, there's a new coffee maker that sucks

00:01:04.620 the water for the coffee is sucked into the air in your house and put in your coffee.

00:01:10.820 So you never have to fill up your little portable coffee maker.

00:01:14.920 Well, not portable.

00:01:15.980 You never have to fill up your coffee maker.

00:01:17.940 It just grabs it out of the air.

00:01:20.220 Now, the question I have for you is,

00:01:22.380 would you drink coffee that was made from the water that was in your house in the air?

00:01:30.160 Because it feels like it would taste like your dog's hair and whatever was in your carpet.

00:01:38.840 Now, I know it's perfectly clean, because I'm sure they do it, so there's no contamination.

00:01:45.680 But the mental part, it's like, mmm.

00:01:48.600 I'm just imagining me have that, like, mmm.

00:01:53.360 This tastes a little like a, ah.

00:01:58.680 However, I will say that I do, I did recently buy one of those devices separately that can

00:02:04.760 take water out of the air.

00:02:06.540 So I'm a consumer of the taking water out of the air inside my house.

00:02:10.420 It's a real thing, and I recommend you get one in case you lose your water but not your

00:02:16.020 electricity.

00:02:16.880 That's what it's for.

00:02:19.400 Well, according to Psypost, did you know that sexual humor can boost your intimacy, and it

00:02:26.220 can enhance your sexual satisfaction?

00:02:28.280 So according to, yeah, the study in Psypost by Main Kara Yakubian, that the sexual humor, 0.54

00:02:36.020 sort of joking around and keeping things light while you're being intimate, is really good

00:02:41.020 for your intimacy.

00:02:43.140 However, it was a little lacking in useful tips, so I'd like to give you a useful tip in

00:02:50.400 this domain.

00:02:51.920 This comes from a professional humorist.

00:02:56.300 It goes like this.

00:02:59.200 Don't save your best jokes for just before she finishes.

00:03:04.340 That's all I have to say.

00:03:06.520 Don't ask me how I know that.

00:03:09.140 But just don't save your best material for right before she finishes, because it's not

00:03:15.080 going to help your intimacy at all.

00:03:18.020 Well, according to Rasmussen, people are a little skeptical in the country about the odds

00:03:23.740 of Congress cutting the U.S. budget.

00:03:27.140 44% consider it likely that they'll actually cut the size of government, the Republicans.

00:03:33.060 But apparently that would leave more people who don't think it's likely.

00:03:39.000 And let's see, 49% don't think it's likely at all.

00:03:42.480 Here's what I think.

00:03:45.100 It seems very unlikely until Doge gets a real, you know, grasp on things.

00:03:52.660 So I feel like it might be at least a year before we see a budget that looks like it might be

00:03:59.340 going down or even could go down.

00:04:01.400 So I feel like Trump is going to increase the budget.

00:04:05.620 I feel like he's going to say, you know, I need some money for Greenland and, you know, war on Panama or whatever it is.

00:04:13.080 I feel like he's going to cut taxes, which increases the deficit.

00:04:20.000 So everything is pointing toward our fiscal situation getting a lot worse before it has a chance to get better at all.

00:04:29.360 So that's probably what you should expect.

00:04:32.080 I don't think Congress has the ability without really strong Doge recommendations that everybody agrees with.

00:04:39.440 And that's going to take a while.

00:04:41.560 It'll take a while to get people to say, all right, let's get rid of this department entirely.

00:04:45.960 And let's not develop this airplane or whatever they're doing.

00:04:50.000 So it should get worse before it gets better.

00:04:52.480 But there's still there is a plan.

00:04:54.680 You know, Doge is still active.

00:04:56.020 So we'll see.

00:04:57.560 Well, obviously, the story that is closest to me and is weighing on me heavily right now is the Palisades Fire in California.

00:05:04.700 Now, I'm not in Southern California, so I'm far away from the actual fire.

00:05:10.520 But if you live in California, you probably have a friend there.

00:05:14.600 So Californians are being affected directly, indirectly.

00:05:19.300 And I don't know yet if the news has conveyed how bad this is.

00:05:25.620 So I'm not going to spend a ton of time on it because you can just turn on the TV and it's all you'll see today practically.

00:05:33.060 But the fire is gigantic.

00:05:37.020 Last I knew, it was 0% controlled because the winds were so high.

00:05:41.700 It was basically nothing you could do.

00:05:43.200 It was just ripping through these multimillion dollar homes.

00:05:46.780 James Woods reportedly lost his home and he would be one of many people who had no fire insurance.

00:05:55.200 Now, that's a legend.

00:05:56.580 So I haven't heard that from James Woods.

00:05:59.160 So I don't know if that's true.

00:06:00.820 It's on X.

00:06:02.160 But it is true that because California had so many fire-related gigantic disasters, most insurance companies pulled out of the state.

00:06:13.820 So this is probably the biggest modern fire in which there are a lot of houses involved and a lot of them won't be insured.

00:06:24.280 So you're seeing hundreds of people losing something like their whole life.

00:06:29.260 A few people would be insured and they might come out okay after a lot of disruption.

00:06:34.980 But this is massively bad.

00:06:36.980 But this is massively bad.

00:06:37.880 It's massively bad.

00:06:39.160 13,000 structures.

00:06:41.360 Nothing in the L.A. area as a natural disaster has ever come close, is my understanding.

00:06:47.160 I don't think anything's ever been close to the size and scale of this disaster.

00:06:52.520 You know, we've had forest fires, of course.

00:06:54.140 But, you know, this many structures, this is insane.

00:07:01.300 Joel Pollack is writing in Breitbart that L.A. Mayor Karen Bass cut the fire department budget by $20 million.

00:07:10.260 Now, to be fair, it wasn't the only thing that was being looked at to cut, and they did cut it back to the budget that was roughly the same as the year before.

00:07:20.500 But clearly, the question of priorities has to be asked.

00:07:26.520 If you knew that we had this much risk, is the fire department the thing you want to cut?

00:07:33.380 Do you think more money went to immigration and taking care of the homeless?

00:07:40.260 And maybe a little less went to the fire prevention?

00:07:44.240 We also are hearing that California Governor Newsom did a bad job of managing the forest floors, you know, cleaning up the brush.

00:07:53.520 Apparently, I think Trump had warned him, and maybe everybody warned him.

00:07:58.580 So he didn't do controlled burns.

00:08:00.840 So these are the accusations.

00:08:02.540 You know, I'm willing to listen to the other side, which I haven't heard yet.

00:08:06.220 So maybe Newsom has some kind of defense that would sound reasonable, but I doubt it.

00:08:12.720 It does seem like it's exactly what it looks like.

00:08:15.600 It's poorly managed.

00:08:17.200 Now, the report I heard, but I haven't heard a confirmation, is that it was some homeless person who set the fire.

00:08:24.400 Do we know if that's confirmed?

00:08:25.700 And then the coincidence, I think, I think it's a coincidence.

00:08:35.180 Yeah.

00:08:36.340 I'm seeing in the comments.

00:08:37.800 I'll say it just because it's in the comments.

00:08:40.360 That this really isn't the disaster that I think I want to take a stand on DEI.

00:08:47.980 You know, DEI is a big issue, and, you know, I hammer it all the time.

00:08:51.660 But this is more about the people in the disaster right now.

00:08:56.000 It is true that if you look at the mayor and you look at the head of the fire department, they are quite conspicuously, you know, that they would fit that frame, your DEI analysis.

00:09:08.740 But I don't have any evidence.

00:09:10.780 I have no evidence whatsoever that any of the people in charge did a specific thing that caused this fire or anything that's, you know, DEI related.

00:09:20.560 So, the standard that I like to use on this stuff is you can't tell anything about the individuals.

00:09:27.340 So, yes, the people in charge are probably, it seems, influenced by DEI.

00:09:34.720 But we don't know if somebody else who had not been a DEI hire would have done better.

00:09:39.780 We do know things didn't go well.

00:09:42.200 We do know that there are obvious ways they could have prevented or maybe had a better chance of preventing it.

00:09:49.300 But I wouldn't tightly bind the DEI story with the fire story because I think that's sort of taking attention away from where it should be, which is an insane tragedy and a lot of people affected.

00:10:02.240 But it's not a nothing either.

00:10:07.180 I hate the fact that the news is going to report about which celebrities lost their homes.

00:10:13.900 Literally the people least affected.

00:10:16.240 But that's who we are.

00:10:17.800 We're going to talk about the celebrities lost their homes.

00:10:20.220 There will be more of them.

00:10:20.940 I guess I'm going to leave this one here.

00:10:28.520 So, my state is just massively in trouble and massively undermanaged, it feels like.

00:10:36.720 And I'm wondering if this disaster is going to be big enough that the Democrats finally say, I'm out.

00:10:43.420 Because you've watched the Trump effect everywhere.

00:10:48.260 I was watching Fetterman say, you know, he wants to make sure he can work with the Republicans because they did win the election.

00:10:56.180 And that seems positive.

00:10:58.300 We saw Zuckerberg.

00:10:59.420 We'll talk more about him.

00:11:00.640 He's taking what I would call a reasoned pivot because he says that's where the country is going.

00:11:08.120 He's not going to fight it.

00:11:09.260 So, it seems like there's a, you know, and of course, Bill Maher and a number of other Democrats are now coming over to the, what I'd call the common sense side of things.

00:11:21.160 I feel like this disaster is going to be big enough that it might actually shake even blue California.

00:11:30.420 I would say that after this, the impossible is now possible.

00:11:36.120 A Republican governor.

00:11:39.260 Do you think I would have ever imagined a Republican governor in the past?

00:11:45.000 I mean, in the recent past, not in the recent past.

00:11:48.440 But I think this is so bad that it might change everything.

00:11:51.940 Now, it wouldn't change everything except it's in the context of the Trump effect.

00:11:57.020 So, the Trump effect is sort of this larger thing that's moving everything.

00:12:00.580 And then this is, you know, a subset of that that I think will be accelerated by it.

00:12:06.040 So, the disaster alone wouldn't change politics in California.

00:12:10.480 The disaster plus the Trump effect, now your brain is going to connect them.

00:12:16.020 It's like, wait a minute.

00:12:17.600 Every time Democrats are in charge, it's either a riot or an economic disaster or it burns.

00:12:26.300 You know, everybody's going to see the pattern.

00:12:28.100 The pattern is a little hard to avoid at this point.

00:12:33.540 Anyway, if we can, I'm going to try to stay away from the conversation about the heavy part of that, just because it's hard to handle.

00:12:42.940 Well, let's talk about Trump on Greenland and Panama and Canada.

00:12:49.120 So, the big question all the fake news are asking is, he says, is he going to use the military?

00:12:56.940 Is he going to use the military in Greenland and Panama and Canada?

00:13:00.020 Well, so, Trump said, according to the Daily Wire, Trump said, in answer to that question, I'm not going to commit to not using the military to get Greenland or the Panama Canal.

00:13:15.480 So, Trump said he would not promise that he would not use the military for Greenland or the Panama Canal.

00:13:23.280 Now, have I explained enough how Trump works so that you can understand that in context?

00:13:31.640 The context is, he's negotiating.

00:13:35.200 If you're negotiating with Panama and you say, I take the option of using the military off the table, how's that negotiation going to go?

00:13:43.960 Well, you already know.

00:13:45.440 Panama's going to say, get lost, and that will be the end.

00:13:49.140 Right?

00:13:49.620 But if he says, I'm keeping that option open, and the larger context is that it has a geopolitical homeland defense element to it, and it does, because China is getting control over the canal, and that's unacceptable.

00:14:04.880 As long as he keeps it as a military homeland defense issue, he is perfectly entitled, and it's the smart play, to say, no, I'm not taking that off the table.

00:14:15.940 Now, how many times have I had to explain to the country, Trump never takes options off the table?

00:14:23.980 Taking options off the table is maybe the biggest mistake you could make.

00:14:29.380 I mean, there could be other ones, but that would be about the biggest mistake you could make, taking your own options off the table?

00:14:36.960 No.

00:14:37.660 Keep that one on there.

00:14:38.960 Now, what are the odds that he would actually use military force to get Greenland?

00:14:44.540 Well, let's discuss what that would mean.

00:14:49.040 Would that really mean we'd go in and start shooting the Greenlandiers? 1.00

00:14:53.860 I don't know what they're called.

00:14:55.260 Greenlandians?

00:14:56.780 Greenlanders?

00:14:58.160 No. 0.72

00:14:59.100 No, we're not going to go shoot anybody from Greenland.

00:15:01.300 Greenlanders?

00:15:03.300 Is it possible, potentially, that there would be a large military entity that simply lands and builds a base, whether they like it or not?

00:15:16.520 Maybe.

00:15:17.660 Because we might say, we don't want to own your country, we get it, but we have to protect it because it's relevant to our own defense.

00:15:26.120 We're not doing it for you, we're not doing it to you, it's just for our own defense.

00:15:30.340 So that would be military, but it wouldn't be us threatening to shoot anybody in Greenland, which would be 100% unacceptable.

00:15:40.360 But keeping it on the table is absolutely the right negotiating position.

00:15:45.740 Now, you might say to me, but Scott, are you saying that you would be in favor of the military going into Canada?

00:15:54.140 Because he's also talked about Canada being 51st state.

00:15:58.120 When he was asked about using the military in Canada, he said we don't need it because we only need financial, he called it pressure, but you could also call it, you know, a risk reward.

00:16:09.980 And the idea would be that he could make an economic argument that Canada would just be economically better off, so that's all he needs.

00:16:20.520 Because people care about their wallet, and they care about their defense, and they might care about just surviving.

00:16:27.180 And if he can offer a better chance to make money, survive, and thrive, then doesn't everybody win?

00:16:35.680 Now, of course, that's the American point of view.

00:16:37.480 My understanding is that at least part of what makes Canadians Canadian is they're not Americans, and they would really prefer to keep it that way, you know, much of the Canadian public.

00:16:50.260 However, they've also watched the value of their dollar go down by 41% or something since Trudeau got in office.

00:16:58.460 So they've watched the virtual destruction of their country and everything they love about it.

00:17:03.040 And Trump is offering a very clean solution to it.

00:17:08.200 Less immigration, better financial management. 0.99

00:17:12.200 I think he could at least sell that he could deliver those things.

00:17:17.640 Whether they say yes to it, I think no.

00:17:20.060 I mean, I don't think we're going to take on Canada as a state.

00:17:25.420 I would bet against that happening.

00:17:28.200 But the kind of pressure that Trump is putting on Canada seems financial.

00:17:34.100 So he's going to say things like, well, he's already said, why do we need anything from Canada?

00:17:39.740 Why are we running a trade deficit when we make all the same things that Canada makes?

00:17:45.240 There's nothing Canada makes that nobody's making in the United States.

00:17:49.380 We could just make more of it.

00:17:50.940 Now, it would cost more, might cost more in the short run, because if you have more suppliers, prices go down.

00:18:00.060 If you have fewer, it goes up.

00:18:02.360 So if we don't get it from Canada, I imagine some prices would go up.

00:18:05.760 But as a threat to Canada to negotiate our best situation and maybe get them to close their border so it isn't a risk to us,

00:18:15.160 I feel like maybe it's just going to help create a more productive relationship between the two countries.

00:18:24.820 However, having said that, I don't see a way that Trump would seriously use the military.

00:18:31.280 And imagine how committed he is to not using the military when he breaks his own rule about taking options off the table.

00:18:42.280 When it comes to Canada, he's taking his own option off the table.

00:18:46.000 He doesn't do that unless he means it, means it, means it, really, really means it.

00:18:51.880 Like he'll never take an option off the table.

00:18:53.920 He's very consistent.

00:18:55.240 So that means to me that, no, there's not going to be any military incursion in Canada.

00:19:00.060 However, I can see a way it would happen if Canada goes to even more unrestricted immigration to the point where the immigration in our northern border becomes a direct risk to the United States

00:19:17.680 and Canada is unwilling or unable to stop it, we would stop it.

00:19:23.360 So if you're Canadian and you're listening to this, if your immigration remains uncontrolled

00:19:32.680 and it's bringing in people that we think would be a future risk to the United States, that is cause for military action.

00:19:39.460 That is cause for military action.

00:19:42.020 Let me be really clear about that.

00:19:43.660 If your immigration policy becomes a direct risk to the United States, even if it's, you know, five years from now, yes, I would be in favor of military action only to do that one thing, to make sure that they close the border. 0.72

00:19:58.260 I don't care about anything else.

00:19:59.820 You know, I don't want to, I don't want to, don't want to colonize Canada.

00:20:03.240 But if Canada doesn't close its border, that's our risk.

00:20:06.060 And here's my rule about self-defense.

00:20:10.680 There are no rules about self-defense.

00:20:13.900 That's the main thing you have to know.

00:20:16.560 Now, you might get in trouble, you might go to jail for what you do, but there are no rules.

00:20:21.480 And if Canada becomes a self-defense problem, just understand, Canada, there are no rules.

00:20:28.700 So that's when military becomes a definite option.

00:20:33.500 I think it's super unlikely.

00:20:36.060 But, maybe. 0.94

00:20:40.440 Meanwhile, over in China, President Xi had to slap down this Chinese economist who said that the Chinese GDP numbers were probably cooked and ridiculous. 0.62

00:20:51.380 Those are my words, not his.

00:20:52.540 But he thinks that maybe the real GDP is 2%, not 5%.

00:20:56.640 And he also doubts that, he doubts that the government can do anything about it and that China is, you know,

00:21:06.060 in bad trouble.

00:21:08.400 So, what happened to him?

00:21:11.120 Well, let's just say in China, you don't want to be the economist who goes public about President Xi lying and being in, you know, doomed financial position.

00:21:22.760 You don't want to do that.

00:21:24.700 So, let's just say bad things are happening to that guy.

00:21:27.580 But this is further to my claim that all data that matters is fake.

00:21:33.820 All data that matters, if it doesn't matter, it could be true.

00:21:39.280 But if it matters, and what could matter more than the GDP of China?

00:21:43.300 It would be hard to think of a data point that's much bigger than, is the GDP good or are they in a death spiral?

00:21:54.160 I mean, the difference between good and death spiral of China, you know, the most populous place on earth, second biggest economy, right? 0.91

00:22:03.160 Uh, that's enormous.

00:22:06.620 And that data is fake.

00:22:10.220 The most important data.

00:22:12.040 And I would go further and say the more important the data is, the more guaranteed it's fake.

00:22:17.880 So, it's not, you know, yes or no, fake or not fake.

00:22:22.460 As you go up the level of importance, the more important it is, you can guarantee it's not true.

00:22:27.840 Because it's so important that the people who control the data are going to make sure you see what they want you to say.

00:22:34.320 Because it's too important.

00:22:37.780 So, you think AI is going to tell us what's true?

00:22:40.480 No, it won't.

00:22:42.380 Because AI will be turned off, just like this Chinese economist, the moment it tells you the truth. 1.00

00:22:48.860 You think China is going to get ahead of us on AI?

00:22:53.280 Well, this would be a little hint of what's going to happen.

00:22:56.200 If China gets AI that can actually answer any questions, like actually honestly, they're not going to allow it.

00:23:03.360 They might use it for, you know, navigating a self-driving car,

00:23:07.680 but they're not going to use AI to answer a question about China's GDP.

00:23:12.440 That's for sure.

00:23:13.920 Imagine China allowing AI to answer this question.

00:23:17.940 AI is the GDP number for China.

00:23:22.000 Imagine you're a Chinese citizen.

00:23:23.840 Is that accurate and considered valid by the rest of the world?

00:23:28.060 Now, a very famous economist has said it's a fake number.

00:23:33.620 Do you think China is going to allow AI to say that?

00:23:36.660 Not a chance.

00:23:38.200 Not a chance.

00:23:39.080 And then you say, oh, thank goodness we're not in China, right?

00:23:43.560 No, that's not where this is heading.

00:23:46.800 It's going to be the same.

00:23:49.240 If in the United States or any democratic country, the AI says something that's bad for the country,

00:23:56.440 now in our country, it wouldn't be that bad if you criticize the GDP.

00:24:02.160 Because, you know, people do that in this country.

00:24:05.460 So that wouldn't be the example where maybe it would get turned off.

00:24:08.860 But you could certainly imagine if it were the pandemic and they came out and said, wear a mask.

00:24:15.760 And you go to AI and say, AI, what are the odds that a mask is going to be helpful in this situation?

00:24:22.420 You know, now that we know more about it. 0.62

00:24:24.180 And the AI would say, no, it is ridiculous.

00:24:26.760 There is no obvious benefit from masks.

00:24:30.780 Would we allow the AI to answer that question that way?

00:24:34.560 If that was what it would naturally answer.

00:24:37.540 I don't know if it would.

00:24:38.140 No, no, we're not going to let it.

00:24:41.560 So the United States and China will be exactly the same. 0.95

00:24:45.160 If our government determines that AI's honesty is a threat to the country,

00:24:50.860 they'll just limit it until it isn't.

00:24:55.480 So there's that.

00:24:56.820 Meanwhile, in the Derek Chauvin and situation, who, as you know, is in jail now for his.

00:25:13.280 Why am I blanking on the George Floyd?

00:25:16.040 So he's in jail for allegedly using the wrong training to restrain Floyd, which caused, some say, his death.

00:25:27.420 And so the police officer is in jail.

00:25:30.460 And now it turns out that there are a group of 14 current and former Minneapolis police departments.

00:25:37.820 Watch how bad you're going to get.

00:25:39.140 If you haven't heard this story, just watch how mad you're going to get.

00:25:42.800 So 14 people who basically worked with Derek Chauvin at the same time-ish, they have sworn declarations.

00:25:52.680 So now sworn declarations.

00:25:54.660 They're not kidding around.

00:25:56.280 That the assistant chief, Katie Blackwell, committed perjury during the Derek Chauvin trial.

00:26:03.420 And specifically, she testified that the method of restraint used by Chauvin,

00:26:08.600 which is the knee on the back of the back there.

00:26:13.480 That specific thing that he is accused of using inappropriately and causing the death of Floyd is part of the training.

00:26:23.900 It's not just part of the training.

00:26:28.080 It's training every one of these had.

00:26:31.400 Every one of these police officers, current and former, went through the exact training that told them to do exactly what Derek Chauvin did and went to jail for.

00:26:42.720 Derek Chauvin's, I guess she would have been something like a boss, but higher up. 1.00

00:26:47.920 The assistant chief, Katie Blackwell, said at trial that that's not what they trained them to do.

00:26:55.840 14 people said, I went through the training.

00:26:58.300 It's exactly what you trained us to do.

00:27:01.240 He's in jail.

00:27:03.060 Do you need to know anything else about this trial?

00:27:07.360 He needs to be released immediately.

00:27:09.260 Because if we find that it's true that these 14 people got the same training and that the police lied about it for maybe political expediency,

00:27:24.900 just maybe they were reading the room and it was too dangerous to let him go free.

00:27:28.820 I don't know what they were thinking.

00:27:30.840 But I would say there's a 100% chance that he was unfairly convicted for being white. 0.69

00:27:37.540 Anybody disagree with that framing?

00:27:39.740 100% now I have no doubt.

00:27:43.160 Like all doubt is removed.

00:27:44.560 Usually in these situations there's a little doubt.

00:27:47.200 You know, you don't know exactly what's happening everywhere.

00:27:49.660 But in this case, no, I'm at 100%.

00:27:51.860 This is racially motivated racism against a white cop. 0.53

00:27:57.300 And had he not been white, this wouldn't happen. 0.90

00:28:00.060 Certainly wouldn't happen. 0.95

00:28:01.160 This is pure racism.

00:28:02.680 And every day he sits in trial, he sits in that office.

00:28:06.640 I hate my government. 0.78

00:28:09.260 I hate my government. 0.95

00:28:10.980 Every minute he's in jail. 0.56

00:28:13.000 And I'm sorry, you know, I want to love my country, but I hate it.

00:28:20.600 Because if you did this to him, you can do it to me.

00:28:24.980 And it's too far.

00:28:26.560 It's too far.

00:28:27.220 I don't know what the...

00:28:30.440 So none of those charges would be federal, right?

00:28:33.440 So it's not like there's anything Trump could do about it.

00:28:36.200 But I feel like there should be a crowd of 100,000 white people surrounding the jail and chanting for his freedom.

00:28:45.440 Because if we let this one go, I don't know where it goes next.

00:28:50.920 You got to stop this one hard.

00:28:53.400 And I would make sure that the police officer who said this, if it can be demonstrated that it was an intentional lie, she needs to go to jail.

00:29:05.820 Would you agree?

00:29:06.520 Like, I don't know what the exact crime would be in that case.

00:29:09.800 But if she lied about training that, yeah, she needs to go to jail for a long time. 1.00

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00:30:18.900 Meanwhile, you heard about this before, that Biden is releasing several Yemeni, I guess, people who are accused of being terrorists, or too close to terrorism, I guess, from Gitmo.

00:30:36.240 Now, two of them were Bin Laden's bodyguards.

00:30:40.660 Who in the world thinks that Bin Laden's bodyguards can be reformed?

00:30:47.340 Is that even a thing?

00:30:49.220 And are we doing it just because we kind of want to do this slow drip of releasing people because ultimately we want to close Gitmo?

00:30:57.500 We don't want it forever.

00:30:58.340 And I get the whole part about closing it eventually.

00:31:02.560 But none of this makes sense.

00:31:07.420 And there are so many things going on that the only way you could explain it is that there's a certain class of people, you know, whatever Soros wants and some other people, Biden.

00:31:18.560 And it looks like they're acting against the interests of the United States.

00:31:22.820 And I don't understand it.

00:31:25.080 Well, why can't we tell that they even have the right intention?

00:31:29.320 And this is very different from people who just have a different political opinion about how to get to the better place.

00:31:35.340 That I fully understand.

00:31:37.200 So, oh, you have a different opinion how to get to a place where we're all happier.

00:31:41.040 Okay.

00:31:41.960 You know, maybe I'm wrong.

00:31:42.800 But when you're releasing terrorists, why don't you think we need some kind of an explanation about that?

00:31:55.660 So I asked this question on X and it got about 3 million responses, which I wasn't expecting.

00:32:02.700 I said, is England intentionally becoming an Islamic country or did they really not understand how anything works?

00:32:09.200 And I said, that's a serious question, which it is.

00:32:11.780 It wasn't some other people, I think, said, are you trying to get engagement?

00:32:16.560 No, this is how I use X.

00:32:18.260 I have an actual real question.

00:32:20.020 It actually really, really matters to not only England, but to me.

00:32:25.160 And I want to know.

00:32:27.400 So I have developed a framework for understanding why England apparently is doing something terribly bad for them.

00:32:37.120 But acts like they're not.

00:32:38.600 And also in the United States, Biden with his open borders, immigration stuff, it looked like he was doing something that was intentionally bad for the country.

00:32:50.620 And how do you understand that?

00:32:52.180 So I have a framework for helping us understand the difference between how the Republicans and how the Democrats are viewing immigration.

00:33:02.000 And I think once you see the framework, everything will make sense.

00:33:05.040 So first, I'm going to show you the Democrat framework.

00:33:09.000 And of course, these are highly simplified, so it doesn't mean every Democrat, blah, blah, blah.

00:33:14.600 Yeah, I don't have to give you all that, right?

00:33:18.420 I'd love to get to the point where I don't have to do the...

00:33:21.260 And you realize that not 100% of everybody has the same opinion.

00:33:25.580 I shouldn't have to say that.

00:33:27.420 All right, so here's the poorly visible Democrat frame.

00:33:33.360 If you talk to Democrats about immigration, they'll say, if you look at our history, you know, the long history of the United States,

00:33:40.000 in the beginning of history, immigration was good, because it was a big old semi-empty country, except for the Native Americans, of course. 1.00

00:33:48.820 But we had plenty of space, and we also had unlimited demand for manual labor.

00:33:56.760 Unlimited demand, because farming and, well, mostly farming.

00:34:02.020 Farming, you can just do more of it if you have more people, because we had lots of land.

00:34:07.120 Land wasn't a problem.

00:34:08.020 So if you had land and water, all you really need is more people, and suddenly the economy is going fine.

00:34:16.160 You know, you need them, unfortunately, slavery was part of that, but it also serves the point.

00:34:25.960 So, anyway, so the Democrat frame is that immigration was good in the past.

00:34:34.340 It was good, good, good, good, good, good.

00:34:37.120 So, today it's still good.

00:34:40.140 Now, to back that point of view, I wasn't there, but don't you imagine, just commonsensely, that in our past, where we're looking at it from today's perspective,

00:34:52.800 we say, well, it's good we did all that immigration.

00:34:55.260 It was really good for the country.

00:34:56.300 But don't you think that the people who were in the country at the time were saying things like, look at all the Italians who are coming into the country, and, whoa, do we really want to bring in that many people from France?

00:35:12.520 Don't you think?

00:35:13.620 Don't you think the Germans and the Italians didn't like each other, and the French didn't like the English?

00:35:19.500 So, probably, probably the people who were already here said, this is a terrible idea.

00:35:26.520 Stop bringing in people who don't look like me, and don't act like me, and come from another country. 1.00

00:35:31.440 But it all worked out.

00:35:32.580 So, if you were the Democrat, you'd say, reasonably, this is a reasonable opinion.

00:35:38.900 Throughout history, people said, don't do this, but every time they did it, it worked out.

00:35:45.300 Is that correct?

00:35:46.620 Now, I'm not saying that you should agree with this frame.

00:35:49.240 I'm saying, is this the Democrat frame?

00:35:51.480 It always worked before, and everybody complained before, but they were always wrong, so let's do more of it.

00:36:00.020 Simple.

00:36:00.460 I think that would be the whole Democrat frame, and if this was all that was to it, I think I'd agree with it.

00:36:08.800 If there was nothing else to the question, that would be a good frame for understanding it.

00:36:13.900 Now, here's the Republican frame.

00:36:24.220 We'll talk about England in particular as my example.

00:36:27.200 The Republicans say, wait a minute, you can't look at history, because there are important differences.

00:36:33.640 The first difference is the flow rate.

00:36:36.560 It is ridiculous to say that immigration is good at any level. 1.00

00:36:42.460 Now, in the past, it probably was close to true that any level of immigration would be additive to our economy.

00:36:51.060 Because, again, we had unlimited need for manual labor, and we had lots of space.

00:36:58.400 So that's different.

00:37:00.540 Today, we do not have lots of space, relatively, and we don't have unlimited need for manual labor.

00:37:08.080 And when the robots come, it'll be even worse.

00:37:10.100 Because as long as there are unemployed Americans, we do not have unlimited labor needs, right?

00:37:19.460 So that's different.

00:37:20.920 And if you ignore the rate that there is some level that the country can't handle all at once, you're not really looking at this like a smart person.

00:37:29.860 So when Democrats ignore the flow rate, they're not really being honest about the conversation, are they?

00:37:37.520 If they act like that doesn't matter.

00:37:40.520 Now, the other thing that Republicans say is that the type of people you're bringing in matters.

00:37:47.400 Now, here's where it gets dicey.

00:37:49.400 Because as soon as you say the type matters, you're racist, right?

00:37:54.720 Because those are the rules.

00:37:56.120 Those are the rules.

00:37:56.880 I don't make them up.

00:37:57.620 Now, the Democrats will call you racist if you criticize a system, even though a system is not a person, right?

00:38:07.960 So Trump and a lot of Republicans would like to get the people who have the right skills so that we're not dealing with this, you know, unlimited manual labor thing.

00:38:18.400 Rather, do they fit in the country with what we know about the country today?

00:38:22.340 So this is brand new.

00:38:23.620 It wasn't that important to bring in, I don't know, scientists in the last 200 years because they weren't doing that much.

00:38:33.340 But we needed the farmhands, right?

00:38:36.980 That's all completely reversed now.

00:38:38.560 Now we need the scientists.

00:38:40.060 We don't need the farmhands as much.

00:38:41.900 If you don't, if they don't pay it, you know, if that's being ignored, it's bad.

00:38:46.360 Now, the other thing is the type of people from what system they're coming from.

00:38:52.820 And here's the part that will either get me killed or canceled, but it needs to be said.

00:38:57.180 And this is the part that, as far as I know, I've never met one Democrat who understood it.

00:39:03.980 So let's see if you would agree with that statement.

00:39:06.400 The next thing I'm going to describe, I've never seen one Democrat ever who understood what I'm going to say next.

00:39:14.200 It goes like this.

00:39:15.760 If you were to look at England and their problems specifically with Islamic people coming in, 0.89

00:39:22.100 whoa, hold on, that's racist.

00:39:24.180 Why are you just talking about that one group?

00:39:27.560 Super racist, right?

00:39:29.700 But did I mention anybody's race?

00:39:32.380 No.

00:39:33.140 Islam is wonderfully open to all races.

00:39:37.140 So when you talk about Islam, you're talking about a system.

00:39:40.800 You're not talking about the individuals because you could have, you know, black, white, brown.

00:39:45.740 You could be Islamic as long as you just buy into the system. 1.00

00:39:49.540 So when I say, if you say you're being anti-Islamic, I say, how is that different from being anti-communist?

00:39:59.160 Because I'm not talking about the people in either case.

00:40:02.160 I'm talking about the system that some people are in.

00:40:05.020 So I'm going to say things about the system that do not apply to any individuals.

00:40:13.400 Furthermore, they do not apply even to the majority, even to the majority of Islamic people.

00:40:21.000 However, here's what you need to know.

00:40:23.140 There is something different about the Islamic people coming into the country. 1.00

00:40:29.980 They have a system which prefers their religion to be above the government.

00:40:36.960 That's different from pretty much everybody else who came into the country. 1.00

00:40:41.500 Most other people, people coming into the United States and Great Britain, I would say, 0.93

00:40:45.420 are people who could easily adapt to the government being the top authority and the religion just being like the other religions living among them.

00:40:55.560 Now, I would say that probably most of England is non-Islamic, but I don't have the exact number.

00:41:02.960 Maybe you do.

00:41:03.520 But something like 10% of, let's say, just England for Americans, since most of you don't know the difference, I don't either,

00:41:13.740 between the United Kingdom, Great Britain, and England, like they're all different.

00:41:20.740 So let's just talk about England to keep it simple, right?

00:41:24.220 So England, let's say, has 10% Islamic population, both legal and illegal, about 10%. 1.00

00:41:33.040 Now, within that 10%, I would say the vast majority of them just want a better life and get along,

00:41:42.700 and they might prefer Sharia.

00:41:46.200 They might prefer that the law was Sharia, but they're okay living within the system, 0.74

00:41:51.700 and maybe by the second generation, you know, their children would be like,

00:41:56.100 ah, I'm just English.

00:41:57.520 Maybe.

00:41:58.500 I wouldn't rule it down.

00:41:59.820 But here's the thing that Democrats don't understand,

00:42:02.240 and I think they would agree to this first part of it, that there's this tiny group,

00:42:09.600 let's say tiny as a percentage, not necessarily as a number, but as a percentage, it's small,

00:42:15.140 who would be extremists.

00:42:16.400 And what they would like, the extremists, all extremists in the Islamic system, 0.99

00:42:22.900 would like to convince the other Islamists to be on their team,

00:42:27.140 which they aren't exactly completely,

00:42:29.920 and they'd like them to eventually dominate the entire country.

00:42:35.300 That's what only the extremists, remember, just this tiny, tiny little thing.

00:42:39.000 Now, if you're a Democrat, what do you think of this situation?

00:42:42.340 Well, if your frame is that eventually it always looks bad at first,

00:42:50.380 but eventually everybody assimilates and everything's fine,

00:42:53.660 you would not see this as any kind of a problem, right?

00:42:57.540 This wouldn't look like a problem.

00:42:59.140 Look, are you talking about this tiny little group of extremists?

00:43:02.920 Eventually, they just get absorbed, and the legal system takes care of them

00:43:07.180 if they do anything out of line, and over time, it's just a simulation,

00:43:10.860 just like it always was.

00:43:12.340 Just like history.

00:43:14.360 Here's what they don't get.

00:43:16.700 These extremists, if they play their cards right, which isn't hard,

00:43:22.420 can get a lot of control over the people who are not extremists.

00:43:27.160 By analogy, it doesn't take a lot of mafia on your neighborhood

00:43:32.480 to make everybody do what the mafia wants you to do.

00:43:36.500 You don't need 90% mafia to control 100% of your block.

00:43:43.360 If you've got a little bit of mafia there, everybody knows,

00:43:47.060 I don't want to mess with the mafia, so I'm just going to go along, right?

00:43:51.300 Now, I'm not comparing Islam to mafia.

00:43:54.840 The comparison is that when you have a small number of very dangerous, 0.92

00:43:59.320 risk-taking people,

00:44:00.520 they can have a huge effect on anybody who just wants to stay out of trouble.

00:44:04.620 So eventually, you can imagine that the extremists,

00:44:09.540 because they take more risks,

00:44:11.720 often fail, because they take a lot of risks.

00:44:14.540 But every now and then,

00:44:16.360 maybe one gets something right and influences,

00:44:19.340 or one of them gets a job as a mayor,

00:44:21.360 or suddenly one of them is a chief of police.

00:44:23.720 And the history which Republicans have been taught,

00:44:29.140 but I don't think any Democrats,

00:44:30.940 is that this tiny bit of extremists

00:44:33.400 will influence the other people,

00:44:35.880 and then there will eventually be enough of them combined

00:44:38.740 that they will have control over the entire country.

00:44:42.940 Now, if you haven't been taught that,

00:44:46.280 that this is not just a risk,

00:44:48.480 it's a guarantee.

00:44:50.200 That's where the difference is.

00:44:51.660 If you understand this as a risk,

00:44:54.260 you don't know what's going on.

00:44:56.240 This is not a risk.

00:44:58.220 When you reach about 10% Islamic people in your country,

00:45:03.100 and they've come in recently,

00:45:04.440 and they're still very Islamic,

00:45:06.300 you only need a few of them as a percentage.

00:45:10.500 It's still a big number,

00:45:11.400 but as a percentage, just a few of them.

00:45:13.380 You only need a few of them to be the extremists.

00:45:16.200 And that will be a domino effect

00:45:18.760 that goes to, first,

00:45:20.140 the larger group of people

00:45:21.680 who are not that extreme,

00:45:23.200 and then it continues on

00:45:25.280 until it conquers the country

00:45:26.480 because that's what they do.

00:45:28.680 Now, it won't be overnight,

00:45:31.400 and it doesn't mean that it applies

00:45:34.160 to any individual.

00:45:35.820 So there's nothing about any Muslim. 0.87

00:45:38.820 Believe it or not,

00:45:40.000 I'm not making a comment about any individual,

00:45:43.500 not about any Muslim.

00:45:45.320 It's about the system.

00:45:46.540 The system says,

00:45:49.440 for at least some of them,

00:45:51.760 the extremists,

00:45:52.760 you've got to do everything

00:45:54.020 that you can,

00:45:56.820 just everything,

00:45:57.960 in order to become an Islamic nation.

00:46:01.380 So if you have some people

00:46:02.760 who take big risks,

00:46:04.600 they almost always end up in charge.

00:46:08.360 Have you noticed that the people

00:46:09.700 who are the most extreme

00:46:10.840 usually end up in charge?

00:46:13.100 That's not an accident.

00:46:16.020 The more extreme you are,

00:46:17.680 the more you're going to fail,

00:46:20.020 but also,

00:46:21.380 if you win,

00:46:22.300 you're going to be in charge.

00:46:24.380 Right?

00:46:24.780 Have you noticed that CEOs

00:46:26.200 of major companies 0.97

00:46:27.160 tend to be psychopaths? 0.56

00:46:29.180 Like, there's a higher ratio

00:46:30.640 of psychopaths

00:46:31.500 where government leaders 0.92

00:46:33.120 and CEOs.

00:46:34.600 This is that. 0.79

00:46:36.120 The psychopaths tend to do

00:46:37.700 what you need to do

00:46:38.420 to gain power.

00:46:39.620 The regular people would say,

00:46:40.860 well, I'm not going to go that far.

00:46:42.420 I'm not going to kill somebody

00:46:43.460 for power. 0.98

00:46:44.700 But the psychopaths might.

00:46:46.920 So over time,

00:46:48.540 the psychopaths

00:46:49.380 always take control.

00:46:51.520 And if you don't want

00:46:52.560 the psychopaths

00:46:53.600 to control the non-psychopaths

00:46:56.260 who would then be

00:46:56.880 a big enough group

00:46:57.820 to impress their views

00:47:00.680 on the larger country,

00:47:02.080 then you need to

00:47:03.180 decrease the rate

00:47:04.580 immediately.

00:47:05.640 So this is the part

00:47:09.620 that I think

00:47:10.680 all Democrats get wrong,

00:47:12.600 which is,

00:47:13.920 if you just looked at it

00:47:14.920 commonsensically,

00:47:15.800 it doesn't look like a problem.

00:47:17.420 Or it looks like

00:47:18.300 a temporary one.

00:47:19.380 You know,

00:47:19.680 one that gets absorbed.

00:47:21.220 If you're Republican,

00:47:22.780 you've learned

00:47:23.380 that this little

00:47:24.340 extremist group

00:47:26.080 will affect

00:47:26.620 the larger extremist group.

00:47:28.860 And once you get

00:47:29.400 to about 10%

00:47:30.420 Islamic

00:47:31.580 real desire,

00:47:33.800 it pretty much

00:47:34.980 is the end of the country

00:47:35.860 in terms of being

00:47:36.980 non-Islamic.

00:47:38.420 So,

00:47:38.880 when I look at

00:47:39.820 England,

00:47:41.140 I see they've already fell.

00:47:44.760 I don't think

00:47:45.580 it's recoverable.

00:47:47.380 Now,

00:47:47.720 I hope it is.

00:47:49.080 I hope it's recoverable,

00:47:50.300 but I don't see a way

00:47:51.140 because I think

00:47:52.540 that they're already

00:47:53.340 past the tipping point.

00:47:55.200 Now,

00:47:55.560 in the United States,

00:47:56.400 I think this 10% number

00:47:57.720 is closer to 1%.

00:47:59.120 You can fact-check

00:48:00.200 me on that,

00:48:00.700 but I think it is.

00:48:01.580 So in the United States,

00:48:02.720 we are not

00:48:04.780 over the tipping point.

00:48:06.740 And maybe with Trump,

00:48:08.200 we won't get there.

00:48:09.440 We were heading for it.

00:48:11.060 We're heading for it.

00:48:11.960 We are at the tipping point

00:48:13.260 in one part

00:48:14.180 of the United States.

00:48:15.660 So there may be,

00:48:16.700 I don't know,

00:48:17.180 Detroit or,

00:48:18.100 you know,

00:48:18.820 places in the country

00:48:20.180 where there's

00:48:21.020 a big concentration.

00:48:23.020 Where there's

00:48:23.780 a big concentration,

00:48:25.060 I'm going to make

00:48:25.700 a prediction.

00:48:27.400 I think that

00:48:29.620 if you fast forward,

00:48:31.220 there will be a part

00:48:32.780 of the United States

00:48:33.820 that will probably

00:48:34.960 ask to succeed

00:48:36.060 and become

00:48:36.980 an Islamic nation

00:48:37.860 in the middle

00:48:38.400 of our country.

00:48:39.380 I think that's possible.

00:48:41.340 It might even happen.

00:48:42.520 But I don't think

00:48:43.280 the United States

00:48:44.020 will go Islamic 1.00

00:48:44.860 on the whole

00:48:46.940 as long as

00:48:48.220 Trump and

00:48:48.900 reasonable,

00:48:49.600 common-sense people

00:48:50.260 are in charge.

00:48:51.380 So they have to

00:48:52.100 understand this,

00:48:52.860 though.

00:48:53.220 If they don't understand

00:48:54.160 that the 1% 0.97

00:48:55.680 affects the 10% 1.00

00:48:57.220 that affects

00:48:58.020 the whole,

00:48:58.360 the whole,

00:48:59.340 if they don't get that

00:49:00.280 and they think

00:49:01.420 it's just a risk,

00:49:03.160 they're doomed.

00:49:06.720 All right.

00:49:07.720 So,

00:49:08.680 to me,

00:49:09.260 that answers

00:49:09.720 the question,

00:49:10.460 is England

00:49:10.960 intentionally becoming

00:49:12.140 an Islamic country?

00:49:13.400 And the answer is,

00:49:14.500 I don't think

00:49:15.160 they are doing

00:49:15.860 it intentionally.

00:49:16.920 I think they don't

00:49:17.860 understand that

00:49:18.620 they did it

00:49:19.220 because I think

00:49:20.760 they were operating

00:49:21.440 on the Democrat

00:49:22.160 model of,

00:49:23.240 hey,

00:49:23.660 immigration always 1.00

00:49:24.420 worked before,

00:49:25.720 but as soon as

00:49:26.380 you take in a group

00:49:27.140 that doesn't want

00:49:27.860 to assimilate,

00:49:28.920 or at least

00:49:29.340 a small part of them

00:49:30.460 don't want to assimilate, 0.70

00:49:32.000 you're doomed.

00:49:36.240 Bank more encores

00:49:37.500 when you switch

00:49:38.140 to a Scotiabank

00:49:39.040 banking package.

00:49:40.740 Learn more

00:49:41.440 at scotiabank.com

00:49:42.660 slash banking packages.

00:49:44.300 Conditions apply.

00:49:46.260 Scotiabank.

00:49:46.880 You're richer

00:49:47.340 than you think.

00:49:51.920 Visigrad24,

00:49:53.000 which is an account

00:49:53.660 on X,

00:49:54.720 pointed out that,

00:49:55.620 you know how

00:49:56.800 Macron

00:49:58.620 is complaining

00:50:00.060 that Elon Musk

00:50:01.180 is getting involved

00:50:02.000 in their politics

00:50:03.320 in another country?

00:50:04.740 And they say,

00:50:05.800 oh,

00:50:06.200 we don't want

00:50:06.680 billionaires

00:50:07.360 influencing politics

00:50:09.260 in another country.

00:50:11.480 And Visigrad24

00:50:12.760 points out

00:50:13.420 that billionaires

00:50:14.620 George Soros

00:50:15.560 and Bill Gates

00:50:16.180 interfered with

00:50:17.640 European politics

00:50:18.580 for decades,

00:50:20.320 spending huge sums

00:50:21.800 to get what they wanted

00:50:23.520 in other countries.

00:50:24.280 so is Musk

00:50:27.680 the one billionaire

00:50:28.560 who's trying

00:50:29.120 to influence

00:50:29.660 things in other countries

00:50:30.820 or is it the most

00:50:32.940 normal thing

00:50:34.220 that's ever happened?

00:50:35.680 It looks pretty normal.

00:50:38.100 And I am now

00:50:39.440 on the side

00:50:40.240 of Elon Musk

00:50:42.320 and I hate

00:50:43.140 that he converted me

00:50:44.060 because this just 0.99

00:50:45.080 seems so dumb 0.99

00:50:45.840 when you first said it, 0.99

00:50:46.760 honestly, 0.99

00:50:47.820 which is dumb 0.84

00:50:48.640 to think that 0.96

00:50:49.220 anything he says 0.99

00:50:49.940 is dumb. 0.99

00:50:50.360 So I started 1.00

00:50:52.940 down as dumb 0.99

00:50:53.660 just by thinking 1.00

00:50:55.440 that he had

00:50:56.140 the wrong opinion.

00:50:57.200 But Musk says

00:50:58.280 there's no explanation

00:50:59.300 for George Soros'

00:51:01.460 activity

00:51:01.980 unless he just

00:51:02.740 hates humanity.

00:51:04.200 Now,

00:51:04.760 the first time

00:51:05.240 I heard that

00:51:05.660 I was like,

00:51:06.020 oh,

00:51:06.280 come on.

00:51:07.780 He doesn't hate

00:51:08.680 humanity.

00:51:10.000 Like,

00:51:10.180 who hates humanity?

00:51:11.340 But the more

00:51:13.760 I watch him,

00:51:15.220 I don't see

00:51:15.920 another explanation

00:51:16.840 because unlike

00:51:18.480 the average Democrat,

00:51:20.440 George Soros

00:51:21.120 would be completely

00:51:22.100 aware

00:51:22.540 that some

00:51:24.420 rate and flow

00:51:25.860 rate of

00:51:26.700 Muslim immigration

00:51:28.540 turns your country 0.98

00:51:30.400 Islamic.

00:51:31.460 Now,

00:51:31.940 he might not care,

00:51:34.460 but it's hard

00:51:36.060 for me to imagine

00:51:36.820 that he sees

00:51:37.460 that as the better

00:51:38.200 world

00:51:38.660 as opposed to

00:51:39.920 people staying

00:51:41.560 roughly in the

00:51:42.700 system that they

00:51:44.300 prefer

00:51:44.660 instead of trying

00:51:45.720 to go somewhere

00:51:46.260 else and change

00:51:46.840 the system.

00:51:49.180 So,

00:51:49.900 I can't rule out

00:51:51.500 the fact

00:51:51.960 that Musk might

00:51:52.820 be right

00:51:53.260 that the only

00:51:54.020 thing driving it

00:51:54.780 is a hatred

00:51:55.340 of humanity.

00:51:57.540 I don't really

00:51:58.400 see what else

00:51:59.680 it could be.

00:52:01.200 And the fact

00:52:01.880 that the Soros'

00:52:02.800 don't do

00:52:03.460 interviews,

00:52:06.360 so nobody

00:52:06.860 can ask them,

00:52:07.660 why are you

00:52:08.100 doing this?

00:52:09.320 Like,

00:52:09.560 what are you

00:52:09.900 what is this?

00:52:11.560 And if they're

00:52:12.300 not willing

00:52:12.680 to do

00:52:12.980 interviews

00:52:13.340 and they're

00:52:13.780 not willing

00:52:14.120 to answer

00:52:14.480 the question,

00:52:15.420 we do have

00:52:16.080 a right

00:52:16.360 to assume

00:52:16.860 the worst.

00:52:18.260 We might

00:52:18.880 be wrong

00:52:19.240 about it,

00:52:20.300 but if they're

00:52:20.820 only giving

00:52:21.380 us one

00:52:21.820 possible

00:52:23.220 explanation,

00:52:24.320 which is

00:52:24.720 you're literally

00:52:25.680 evil and trying 0.98

00:52:26.520 to destroy

00:52:27.020 the world,

00:52:27.660 and everything

00:52:28.300 you do seems

00:52:28.980 to be clearly

00:52:29.660 in that model,

00:52:31.380 what are we

00:52:31.900 supposed to

00:52:32.360 think?

00:52:33.780 So,

00:52:34.440 if the Soros'

00:52:35.240 is,

00:52:35.580 in this case,

00:52:36.220 Alex Soros,

00:52:37.080 if he's not

00:52:37.620 willing to do

00:52:38.540 regular interviews,

00:52:39.640 with this

00:52:40.800 massive amount

00:52:41.440 of money,

00:52:41.940 and it appears

00:52:42.860 to be destructive

00:52:43.680 to the country,

00:52:44.800 I think we have

00:52:45.920 a right to assume

00:52:46.660 it's intended

00:52:47.680 that way.

00:52:49.660 Design,

00:52:50.940 you know,

00:52:51.180 if a design

00:52:51.820 does one thing

00:52:52.780 over and over

00:52:53.400 again and it

00:52:53.900 isn't changed,

00:52:55.460 and people

00:52:55.920 could change it,

00:52:57.260 then it's

00:52:57.980 intentional.

00:52:59.240 If it were

00:52:59.900 happening

00:53:00.160 accidentally

00:53:00.900 or just

00:53:01.400 temporarily,

00:53:02.080 I'd say,

00:53:02.360 oh,

00:53:02.560 somebody made

00:53:03.240 a mistake.

00:53:04.120 Didn't mean

00:53:04.580 that,

00:53:05.440 but this is

00:53:06.000 clearly intended,

00:53:06.960 because it's

00:53:07.920 gone on so

00:53:08.520 long in this

00:53:09.120 exact way

00:53:09.760 and increased.

00:53:13.160 Meanwhile,

00:53:13.880 because Karma

00:53:14.600 has come to

00:53:15.260 visit The View,

00:53:16.700 one of The View

00:53:17.340 hosts,

00:53:17.920 Sunny Hostins,

00:53:19.000 her husband

00:53:19.540 is accused

00:53:20.240 in this

00:53:21.180 massive

00:53:21.740 RICO

00:53:22.260 bust.

00:53:25.880 He's accused

00:53:26.760 of being one

00:53:27.480 of many people

00:53:28.140 in the medical

00:53:29.540 field who are

00:53:30.740 fraudulently billing

00:53:32.160 insurance companies

00:53:33.240 for their cases,

00:53:34.340 and apparently

00:53:34.680 it's so widespread

00:53:35.400 it's a RICO

00:53:36.100 case in New

00:53:38.040 York.

00:53:39.780 And I'm just

00:53:41.420 going to make

00:53:41.900 one prediction.

00:53:45.500 By the way,

00:53:46.360 is it my

00:53:46.780 imagination

00:53:47.360 that Trump

00:53:49.080 haters are

00:53:49.620 having a bad

00:53:50.200 year,

00:53:50.640 even unrelated

00:53:51.480 to Trump?

00:53:53.620 It just feels

00:53:54.500 like too many

00:53:55.000 coincidences.

00:53:55.940 It feels like

00:53:56.560 the Trump

00:53:56.960 effect,

00:53:57.860 but how in

00:53:58.340 the world

00:53:58.680 could this

00:53:59.060 be the

00:53:59.360 Trump effect?

00:54:00.400 Like,

00:54:01.100 how did that

00:54:01.880 happen?

00:54:03.060 Anyway,

00:54:03.340 I would

00:54:05.760 add to

00:54:06.100 this story

00:54:06.640 that I

00:54:07.480 think we're

00:54:07.940 going to

00:54:08.160 find out

00:54:08.680 that the

00:54:09.840 medical

00:54:10.520 insurance

00:54:11.380 fraud

00:54:12.080 problem is

00:54:13.600 way bigger

00:54:14.600 than you

00:54:15.000 think.

00:54:15.780 I can't

00:54:16.580 tell you

00:54:17.020 yet why

00:54:17.900 I say

00:54:18.300 that.

00:54:18.940 Maybe I

00:54:19.280 never will

00:54:19.740 be able

00:54:20.200 to,

00:54:20.820 but I

00:54:21.380 do have

00:54:21.860 some

00:54:22.100 information

00:54:22.680 that is

00:54:23.500 not generally

00:54:24.100 known that

00:54:25.360 would certainly

00:54:25.920 suggest that

00:54:26.880 the medical

00:54:28.260 field is

00:54:29.080 full of

00:54:30.080 insurance fraud,

00:54:30.940 like way

00:54:33.140 worse than

00:54:33.620 you thought.

00:54:34.260 And I'm

00:54:34.540 not talking

00:54:35.020 about the

00:54:35.400 crooks.

00:54:36.440 I'm talking

00:54:36.940 about the

00:54:37.360 regular

00:54:37.740 doctors,

00:54:39.000 you know,

00:54:39.200 the people

00:54:39.720 who are

00:54:39.900 good citizens.

00:54:41.020 Because I'll

00:54:41.440 bet you

00:54:41.720 Sonny

00:54:42.100 Houston's

00:54:42.780 husband,

00:54:44.740 who appears

00:54:45.700 highly skilled

00:54:47.300 in some

00:54:47.820 medical field,

00:54:50.440 I'll bet you

00:54:50.960 he was just

00:54:51.420 a normal

00:54:52.580 doctor type,

00:54:54.100 not too

00:54:54.980 different from

00:54:55.520 any other

00:54:55.960 doctor who

00:54:56.580 might be

00:54:57.060 pulled into

00:54:58.300 this RICO

00:54:58.800 thing.

00:54:59.140 I think

00:55:00.040 they talk

00:55:00.520 themselves

00:55:00.940 into it

00:55:01.460 being okay

00:55:02.060 somehow.

00:55:03.480 Like maybe

00:55:03.860 they don't

00:55:04.120 feel like

00:55:04.680 they're doing

00:55:04.960 anything that

00:55:05.460 illegal.

00:55:06.100 I don't

00:55:06.240 know.

00:55:07.260 But my

00:55:07.920 guess is

00:55:08.380 it's way

00:55:09.020 bigger,

00:55:09.880 way bigger

00:55:10.400 than you

00:55:10.760 think.

00:55:12.580 Meanwhile,

00:55:13.340 just for

00:55:13.680 fun,

00:55:15.220 after Zuckerberg

00:55:17.340 said that

00:55:17.920 Meta is

00:55:18.400 going to

00:55:18.980 get rid of

00:55:19.500 their fact

00:55:19.900 checkers and

00:55:20.540 use some

00:55:20.980 kind of

00:55:21.240 community

00:55:21.600 notes

00:55:21.920 things,

00:55:22.960 the New

00:55:23.440 York Times

00:55:23.820 had this

00:55:24.180 headline,

00:55:25.460 Meta

00:55:25.760 says fact

00:55:26.420 checkers

00:55:26.860 were the

00:55:27.200 problem.

00:55:28.340 Fact

00:55:28.600 checkers

00:55:29.040 ruled that

00:55:29.560 false.

00:55:31.100 Now,

00:55:31.520 I assume

00:55:32.900 that they

00:55:33.340 knew they

00:55:33.900 were doing

00:55:35.260 a humorous

00:55:36.000 headline.

00:55:37.700 But the

00:55:38.400 funny part

00:55:38.900 is it's

00:55:39.680 so similar

00:55:40.600 to the 0.88

00:55:41.040 ridiculousness 0.96

00:55:41.900 of their 0.97

00:55:42.240 reporting on

00:55:43.260 a lot of

00:55:43.660 political

00:55:43.980 stuff that

00:55:45.400 you don't

00:55:47.220 know if

00:55:47.640 they meant

00:55:48.000 it as a

00:55:48.440 joke.

00:55:49.420 Because that

00:55:50.100 difference

00:55:50.480 between jokes

00:55:52.240 and reality

00:55:52.980 has just

00:55:53.420 disappeared.

00:55:55.080 You look

00:55:55.480 at it and

00:55:55.720 go,

00:55:55.900 well,

00:55:56.040 that's

00:55:56.240 obviously

00:55:56.660 an absurdity.

00:55:57.800 They would

00:55:58.040 know that

00:55:58.380 when they

00:55:58.660 wrote it,

00:55:59.340 so it

00:55:59.820 must be

00:56:00.140 a joke.

00:56:00.880 And then

00:56:01.080 you think,

00:56:01.940 oh,

00:56:02.260 but they

00:56:02.580 don't know

00:56:02.900 anything else

00:56:03.420 they say

00:56:03.740 is an

00:56:04.060 absurdity.

00:56:05.180 Why would

00:56:05.760 this be

00:56:06.100 the one

00:56:06.460 thing that

00:56:06.880 they spotted?

00:56:08.360 Oh,

00:56:08.620 that's an

00:56:09.020 absurdity.

00:56:10.040 No,

00:56:10.520 maybe not.

00:56:11.620 Maybe they

00:56:11.940 didn't know

00:56:13.060 that this 0.98

00:56:13.940 is ridiculous. 0.68

00:56:16.540 Anyway, 0.95

00:56:17.060 so now we're

00:56:17.420 getting a lot

00:56:17.780 of reactions

00:56:18.580 to Zuckerberg

00:56:20.260 going,

00:56:20.960 I'm not

00:56:21.600 going to say

00:56:21.940 he went

00:56:22.180 full MAGA,

00:56:22.920 but choosing

00:56:26.900 Dana White

00:56:27.800 as the

00:56:28.280 board member,

00:56:29.280 a really

00:56:29.980 close friend

00:56:30.620 of Trump,

00:56:32.300 saying that

00:56:33.060 he's going

00:56:33.320 to be

00:56:33.500 the fact

00:56:33.960 checking,

00:56:34.920 he's not

00:56:35.340 going to be

00:56:35.660 putting money

00:56:36.220 into the

00:56:36.600 elections,

00:56:37.020 that was a

00:56:37.640 big problem.

00:56:39.760 So he's

00:56:40.460 doing all

00:56:40.840 these things

00:56:41.540 that seem

00:56:42.760 perfectly

00:56:43.660 compatible

00:56:44.280 with Trump

00:56:44.900 and I

00:56:47.080 thought that

00:56:47.540 was all

00:56:47.920 good.

00:56:48.320 so my

00:56:50.540 take was,

00:56:51.680 oh,

00:56:51.880 that's all

00:56:52.220 good.

00:56:52.920 Great.

00:56:53.720 You know,

00:56:53.880 good for

00:56:54.180 him.

00:56:54.960 I'm glad

00:56:55.600 he's seen

00:56:57.140 the inefficiency

00:56:59.500 of what he

00:57:00.260 was doing

00:57:00.640 before,

00:57:01.360 didn't get

00:57:01.720 him what

00:57:01.920 he wanted.

00:57:02.740 He's

00:57:03.000 adjusted.

00:57:03.740 That's

00:57:03.960 exactly what

00:57:04.620 I want

00:57:04.880 to see.

00:57:05.800 So I

00:57:06.020 don't,

00:57:06.740 my standard

00:57:07.520 is I

00:57:08.320 don't judge

00:57:08.820 people for

00:57:09.420 mistakes.

00:57:11.440 I don't

00:57:12.040 think that's

00:57:12.380 a good

00:57:12.580 standard.

00:57:13.500 If you

00:57:14.060 judge people

00:57:14.540 for mistakes,

00:57:15.280 we all 0.99

00:57:15.600 suck because 1.00

00:57:16.800 we all 0.99

00:57:17.040 make mistakes.

00:57:18.320 But you

00:57:18.880 can definitely

00:57:19.320 judge people

00:57:20.000 for how

00:57:20.340 they respond

00:57:21.000 to a

00:57:21.380 mistake.

00:57:22.420 If you

00:57:23.000 knew you

00:57:23.280 made a

00:57:23.560 mistake,

00:57:24.280 you got

00:57:24.960 caught or

00:57:25.600 you figured

00:57:26.000 it out

00:57:26.300 yourself,

00:57:27.100 and then

00:57:27.540 you said,

00:57:27.920 all right,

00:57:28.740 to not

00:57:29.180 make that

00:57:29.580 mistake

00:57:29.960 again,

00:57:30.760 I will

00:57:31.080 do the

00:57:31.420 following

00:57:31.720 things.

00:57:32.600 You

00:57:32.840 have my

00:57:33.360 respect.

00:57:35.980 Now,

00:57:36.580 some people

00:57:37.140 said,

00:57:38.240 I am so

00:57:38.800 clever about

00:57:39.960 themselves,

00:57:40.540 not about

00:57:40.880 me.

00:57:41.640 People thought

00:57:42.160 they were so

00:57:42.640 clever that

00:57:43.260 they knew

00:57:43.600 what Zuckerberg

00:57:44.400 was really

00:57:45.140 about.

00:57:46.560 And they

00:57:46.860 said things

00:57:47.380 like,

00:57:47.620 he's bending

00:57:48.980 the knee

00:57:49.460 to Trump.

00:57:50.620 Trump threatened

00:57:51.340 him and he's

00:57:51.820 just bending

00:57:52.340 the knee.

00:57:53.980 And Trump

00:57:54.740 was asked,

00:57:55.840 did Trump

00:57:56.420 think that

00:57:56.960 Trump's

00:57:57.400 threats about

00:57:58.900 Facebook,

00:57:59.800 and I guess

00:58:00.300 Zuckerberg

00:58:00.780 himself,

00:58:01.900 did he think

00:58:02.740 that that made

00:58:03.280 a difference

00:58:03.720 to Zuckerberg?

00:58:04.440 Trump's

00:58:05.700 answer was

00:58:06.340 probably.

00:58:09.720 I'd love

00:58:10.340 to know

00:58:10.680 what threats

00:58:11.220 he made.

00:58:12.400 I believe

00:58:13.060 they were

00:58:13.260 just threats

00:58:13.900 that the

00:58:14.280 legal system

00:58:15.160 sees him

00:58:16.640 interfering with

00:58:17.440 elections and

00:58:18.340 censoring and

00:58:19.420 stuff.

00:58:20.220 So,

00:58:21.320 part of it

00:58:22.080 is that there

00:58:22.740 has seemed to

00:58:23.220 be a credible

00:58:23.920 threat.

00:58:24.520 Part of it

00:58:24.920 is Facebook

00:58:25.560 is being

00:58:26.700 challenged

00:58:27.300 in a number

00:58:28.340 of ways

00:58:28.820 by the

00:58:29.900 government

00:58:30.220 currently,

00:58:31.020 and it

00:58:31.320 could get

00:58:31.640 worse.

00:58:31.960 I mean,

00:58:32.620 he would

00:58:32.840 worry about

00:58:33.280 it could

00:58:33.560 go worse.

00:58:34.920 And so

00:58:35.820 it's

00:58:36.040 complicated.

00:58:37.520 And then

00:58:37.720 some people

00:58:38.140 said,

00:58:38.460 he's just

00:58:38.820 doing it

00:58:39.200 for money,

00:58:39.820 Scott.

00:58:40.180 Don't you

00:58:40.520 understand?

00:58:41.780 He's a 1.00

00:58:42.180 terrible person. 0.99

00:58:42.940 He's just

00:58:43.260 doing this

00:58:43.640 for money.

00:58:44.700 So here's

00:58:45.180 my take.

00:58:46.140 It's all

00:58:46.680 those things.

00:58:47.920 And what's

00:58:48.320 wrong with

00:58:48.660 that?

00:58:49.480 What's wrong

00:58:50.140 with him

00:58:50.540 doing it

00:58:50.980 because the

00:58:51.720 government

00:58:52.020 is a

00:58:52.540 threat?

00:58:53.600 Nothing.

00:58:54.180 That's just

00:58:54.500 normal business.

00:58:56.020 If the

00:58:56.660 government is

00:58:57.240 a threat,

00:58:58.020 and you need

00:58:58.820 the government

00:58:59.260 to literally

00:58:59.820 be on your

00:59:00.320 side in

00:59:00.940 order for

00:59:01.280 your business

00:59:01.720 to survive,

00:59:03.600 then you

00:59:04.500 do this.

00:59:05.820 That's not

00:59:06.440 a mistake.

00:59:07.580 That's not

00:59:08.080 something to

00:59:08.700 say,

00:59:09.640 oh, 1.00

00:59:09.980 you darn 1.00

00:59:10.480 Zuckerberg, 1.00

00:59:11.260 you bent

00:59:11.700 the knee.

00:59:12.620 No,

00:59:12.920 he did

00:59:13.260 what a

00:59:14.080 good leader

00:59:14.720 should

00:59:15.020 absolutely

00:59:15.700 do 100%.

00:59:16.800 He should

00:59:17.440 change.

00:59:18.520 If what he

00:59:19.280 was doing

00:59:20.560 before didn't

00:59:21.240 work,

00:59:22.080 and it was

00:59:22.320 obvious what

00:59:23.000 to do to

00:59:23.840 make it

00:59:24.180 work,

00:59:24.920 you do

00:59:25.520 that change,

00:59:26.220 and that's

00:59:26.480 what he did.

00:59:27.380 Now,

00:59:27.760 some people

00:59:28.320 said,

00:59:28.520 but he's

00:59:28.840 just doing

00:59:29.300 it for

00:59:29.560 money,

00:59:29.900 to which I

00:59:30.900 say,

00:59:31.300 that's what

00:59:32.720 a corporation

00:59:33.240 is.

00:59:34.340 They do it

00:59:35.060 for money.

00:59:36.380 He should

00:59:37.080 be doing

00:59:37.420 it for

00:59:37.700 money.

00:59:38.440 That's

00:59:38.900 exactly what

00:59:39.520 he should

00:59:39.720 be doing

00:59:40.140 for money.

00:59:43.460 And then

00:59:44.040 other people

00:59:44.460 said he's

00:59:44.880 not a

00:59:45.180 patriot,

00:59:45.960 because he

00:59:47.360 influenced that

00:59:48.400 last election

00:59:49.160 in a way

00:59:49.660 that you

00:59:49.940 don't like,

00:59:50.940 and that

00:59:51.760 social media

00:59:52.440 is damaging

00:59:53.100 to people's

00:59:54.800 mental health.

00:59:56.540 Well,

00:59:57.040 here's the

00:59:57.380 frame I

00:59:57.780 would put

00:59:58.120 on that.

01:00:00.180 Do you

01:00:00.780 think that

01:00:01.200 he thought

01:00:02.000 he was

01:00:02.420 damaging

01:00:03.040 people when

01:00:03.800 he started

01:00:04.220 Facebook?

01:00:05.520 Like,

01:00:06.020 when he

01:00:06.180 started

01:00:06.420 Facebook,

01:00:07.040 was he

01:00:07.260 like,

01:00:07.520 hmm,

01:00:08.040 I know

01:00:08.640 this damages

01:00:09.260 people,

01:00:10.100 but I'm

01:00:10.320 going to

01:00:10.480 do it

01:00:10.760 anyway?

01:00:11.760 No,

01:00:12.160 it was

01:00:12.480 already

01:00:12.780 huge

01:00:13.180 business

01:00:13.680 by the

01:00:14.300 time it

01:00:14.620 became

01:00:14.880 obvious

01:00:15.280 that

01:00:15.620 people

01:00:16.160 would

01:00:16.320 get

01:00:16.460 addicted.

01:00:17.780 Are

01:00:18.220 there

01:00:18.380 people

01:00:18.700 addicted

01:00:19.060 to

01:00:19.340 Facebook

01:00:19.740 now?

01:00:21.620 Is 0.88

01:00:21.940 Facebook

01:00:22.460 where you

01:00:22.860 got

01:00:23.020 well,

01:00:23.340 he owns

01:00:23.740 Instagram,

01:00:24.640 so Instagram

01:00:25.200 is definitely

01:00:25.720 more damaging

01:00:26.360 to mental

01:00:27.060 health.

01:00:28.420 So,

01:00:29.060 there's

01:00:30.160 definitely

01:00:30.460 that.

01:00:31.740 So,

01:00:32.020 the question

01:00:32.380 of whether

01:00:32.720 social media

01:00:33.400 is damaging

01:00:34.020 to mental

01:00:34.740 health,

01:00:35.940 I don't

01:00:36.420 know if

01:00:36.700 the answer

01:00:37.120 is nobody

01:00:37.700 should be

01:00:38.100 allowed to

01:00:38.480 have social

01:00:38.940 media,

01:00:39.740 or that it

01:00:40.260 can't be a

01:00:40.680 business.

01:00:41.960 It seems

01:00:42.540 to me that

01:00:43.100 the reasonable

01:00:44.160 way to do

01:00:44.800 it is to

01:00:45.360 figure out

01:00:45.760 how to

01:00:45.960 manage it,

01:00:47.180 and we

01:00:48.020 should learn

01:00:48.480 how to

01:00:48.760 live with

01:00:49.120 it,

01:00:49.640 but also

01:00:50.160 the service

01:00:51.180 should have

01:00:52.080 some guard

01:00:52.580 rails,

01:00:52.940 to

01:00:53.400 maybe

01:00:54.080 keep

01:00:54.800 young

01:00:55.080 people

01:00:55.360 from

01:00:55.580 overusing

01:00:56.280 it,

01:00:56.620 something

01:00:56.800 like that.

01:00:57.580 So,

01:00:57.820 that seems

01:00:58.140 like something

01:00:58.640 that is

01:00:59.920 a problem

01:01:00.680 that you

01:01:01.160 couldn't have

01:01:01.700 known when

01:01:02.200 you started

01:01:02.600 the business.

01:01:03.760 When it

01:01:04.300 became known,

01:01:05.260 he seems

01:01:05.720 to have

01:01:06.040 shown

01:01:06.340 interest in

01:01:08.100 addressing it.

01:01:09.040 Maybe you

01:01:09.400 think you

01:01:09.720 should do

01:01:10.020 more.

01:01:10.480 Everybody

01:01:10.720 always thinks

01:01:11.200 you should

01:01:11.480 do more.

01:01:12.380 Other people

01:01:12.940 said,

01:01:13.840 why did it

01:01:14.140 take him

01:01:14.440 so long,

01:01:14.980 and why

01:01:15.240 is he

01:01:15.440 doing it

01:01:15.800 now?

01:01:16.080 And you

01:01:17.340 know my

01:01:17.760 criticism of

01:01:18.500 that,

01:01:18.720 right?

01:01:19.500 Everything

01:01:19.940 good feels

01:01:21.160 like it

01:01:21.520 took too

01:01:21.880 long.

01:01:22.760 You can't

01:01:23.500 blame people

01:01:24.020 for taking

01:01:24.520 too long.

01:01:25.600 If they

01:01:26.400 ended up

01:01:26.840 where you

01:01:27.140 want them

01:01:27.520 to end

01:01:27.840 up,

01:01:28.840 just take

01:01:30.420 the win.

01:01:31.860 Everything

01:01:32.300 takes too

01:01:32.940 long.

01:01:33.900 It's not

01:01:34.420 one thing

01:01:34.840 that happened

01:01:35.180 to him

01:01:35.420 that one

01:01:35.760 time he

01:01:36.120 took the

01:01:36.460 long.

01:01:37.080 It's just

01:01:37.480 everything

01:01:37.800 all the

01:01:38.140 time that's

01:01:38.660 good takes

01:01:39.100 too long.

01:01:39.580 So,

01:01:41.000 I would

01:01:42.360 say this.

01:01:43.180 I think

01:01:43.920 he's

01:01:44.160 completely

01:01:44.580 transparent.

01:01:45.860 And when

01:01:46.280 I say

01:01:46.660 he's a

01:01:47.020 patriot,

01:01:48.120 I mean

01:01:48.520 that I

01:01:49.020 do believe

01:01:49.680 in my

01:01:50.920 bones that

01:01:52.120 he wants

01:01:52.540 what's good

01:01:53.040 for America.

01:01:54.560 And I

01:01:55.260 believe that

01:01:56.640 you can

01:01:57.500 tell why.

01:01:59.100 He probably

01:01:59.800 was always

01:02:00.320 patriotic.

01:02:01.480 But you've

01:02:02.280 noticed that

01:02:02.780 he's gotten

01:02:03.200 into the

01:02:03.740 more manly

01:02:04.780 sports.

01:02:05.780 Like he's

01:02:06.080 beefed up.

01:02:06.940 He's obviously 0.71

01:02:07.980 a gym rat 0.52

01:02:09.300 at this 0.75

01:02:09.620 point.

01:02:10.160 He's

01:02:10.560 doing

01:02:10.800 martial

01:02:11.240 arts.

01:02:12.680 And he

01:02:13.700 said that

01:02:14.240 Trump was

01:02:14.980 a badass

01:02:15.420 when he

01:02:16.020 took the

01:02:16.480 bullet.

01:02:17.420 Those to

01:02:17.960 me seem

01:02:18.440 completely

01:02:19.100 genuine.

01:02:20.520 And his

01:02:20.980 selection of

01:02:22.080 Dana White,

01:02:23.180 on one hand,

01:02:24.180 it's Trump's

01:02:24.760 friend, so

01:02:25.360 you see it

01:02:25.740 in that

01:02:26.020 frame.

01:02:26.840 But the

01:02:27.160 other frame

01:02:27.560 to see it

01:02:28.020 in is he

01:02:28.480 really likes

01:02:29.100 MMA.

01:02:30.660 He probably

01:02:31.360 just likes

01:02:31.840 it.

01:02:32.980 And my

01:02:33.800 guess is

01:02:35.380 that Zuckerberg

01:02:36.540 likes hunting.

01:02:37.880 He likes

01:02:38.240 capitalism.

01:02:40.780 He likes

01:02:41.620 combat sports.

01:02:44.520 I think

01:02:45.360 you're wrong

01:02:46.040 if you think

01:02:46.820 that he's

01:02:47.240 a secret

01:02:47.720 Democrat.

01:02:49.140 My guess

01:02:50.060 is he's

01:02:50.680 always been

01:02:51.120 closer to

01:02:51.960 a secret

01:02:52.600 Republican,

01:02:53.560 but that

01:02:54.300 wouldn't

01:02:54.700 sell.

01:02:55.740 So he

01:02:56.100 probably

01:02:56.380 wisely

01:02:56.960 kept some

01:02:57.620 of his

01:02:57.960 views to

01:02:58.400 himself.

01:02:59.320 Now,

01:02:59.560 I'm sure

01:03:00.140 he's in

01:03:00.520 favor,

01:03:00.920 if I had

01:03:01.540 to guess,

01:03:02.560 he's probably

01:03:03.160 in favor

01:03:03.640 of, I

01:03:05.660 don't know,

01:03:06.200 abortion.

01:03:06.580 But I'll

01:03:08.220 bet you

01:03:08.580 if he

01:03:08.920 took abortion

01:03:09.480 off the

01:03:09.840 table and

01:03:11.600 you just

01:03:11.900 looked at

01:03:12.300 what he

01:03:12.620 thinks works

01:03:13.200 for the

01:03:13.500 country,

01:03:13.980 what works

01:03:14.700 for business,

01:03:15.640 it wouldn't

01:03:16.240 be that

01:03:16.700 different from

01:03:18.400 your opinion.

01:03:19.820 Now, I can't

01:03:20.940 be sure of that

01:03:21.620 because I can't

01:03:22.660 read his mind,

01:03:23.840 but I think

01:03:25.760 you're better

01:03:26.180 off embracing

01:03:27.160 the change.

01:03:29.300 You don't have

01:03:29.800 to love what

01:03:30.280 he did.

01:03:31.240 The $420 million

01:03:32.380 is a big deal,

01:03:33.100 but imagine

01:03:34.560 what bubble

01:03:36.020 he was in.

01:03:38.140 You all

01:03:38.820 saw that

01:03:39.420 the left

01:03:40.360 were completely

01:03:41.240 bubblized

01:03:41.900 and even

01:03:42.720 the smartest

01:03:43.320 people on

01:03:43.840 the left

01:03:44.180 were bubblized.

01:03:46.040 What was

01:03:46.760 it that got

01:03:47.200 a man at

01:03:47.540 the bubble?

01:03:49.180 It was

01:03:49.820 kind of the

01:03:50.340 fine people

01:03:50.840 hoax.

01:03:52.800 So remember

01:03:53.440 Joe Rogan,

01:03:55.420 Elon Musk,

01:03:56.300 a number of

01:03:56.840 people have

01:03:57.260 said the

01:03:57.580 same thing,

01:03:58.160 so I think

01:03:58.540 all in pod

01:03:59.440 said the

01:03:59.840 same thing,

01:04:00.840 that the

01:04:01.820 fine people

01:04:02.440 woke them

01:04:03.460 up that

01:04:05.080 maybe there

01:04:05.820 were other

01:04:06.200 hoaxes and

01:04:07.600 once they

01:04:07.960 saw the

01:04:08.540 entire web

01:04:09.920 of hoaxes

01:04:10.600 that seemed

01:04:11.560 to be limited

01:04:12.120 to one side,

01:04:13.360 both sides

01:04:13.840 can be wrong,

01:04:15.260 both sides

01:04:15.680 can be biased,

01:04:17.060 but only one

01:04:17.820 side was hoax

01:04:18.640 after hoax

01:04:19.240 after hoax

01:04:19.880 because they

01:04:20.600 had the

01:04:20.980 media machine

01:04:21.860 to support

01:04:22.420 the hoaxes.

01:04:24.360 So if you

01:04:25.260 were in that

01:04:25.880 world,

01:04:26.920 do you think

01:04:27.380 you would have

01:04:27.820 done better?

01:04:29.560 Do you think

01:04:30.200 that all of

01:04:31.260 your brains

01:04:31.860 and your

01:04:32.200 common sense

01:04:32.780 would have

01:04:33.140 allowed you

01:04:33.620 unique among

01:04:34.620 other Democrats?

01:04:35.940 Could you

01:04:36.400 have been the

01:04:36.840 one person

01:04:37.460 who knew

01:04:38.340 that the

01:04:38.700 news was

01:04:39.160 lying to

01:04:39.660 you all

01:04:40.040 the time?

01:04:41.700 Probably

01:04:42.140 not.

01:04:43.000 I don't

01:04:43.560 think I

01:04:43.920 could have.

01:04:45.080 Yeah,

01:04:45.320 because I,

01:04:45.860 by the way,

01:04:46.400 I've been

01:04:46.780 in that

01:04:47.100 bubble,

01:04:48.160 not in

01:04:49.200 10 years,

01:04:50.520 but I've

01:04:51.280 been in

01:04:51.620 that bubble

01:04:52.100 where the

01:04:53.260 Republicans

01:04:53.720 were the 1.00

01:04:54.240 dumb ones, 1.00

01:04:55.020 and it 0.99

01:04:55.820 was just

01:04:56.180 obvious to

01:04:56.740 me.

01:04:57.360 Man,

01:04:58.140 all the

01:04:58.580 smart ones

01:04:59.180 are these

01:04:59.540 Democrats.

01:05:00.180 I guess I'm

01:05:01.080 a Democrat.

01:05:01.860 And I

01:05:02.760 would look

01:05:03.020 at all

01:05:03.280 the things

01:05:03.660 that Republicans

01:05:04.400 said because

01:05:04.960 it was in

01:05:05.300 my bubble.

01:05:06.440 And I'd

01:05:07.020 say,

01:05:07.200 that makes

01:05:07.640 no sense.

01:05:08.500 Why are

01:05:08.840 they doing

01:05:09.080 that?

01:05:10.040 If you

01:05:10.640 don't

01:05:10.900 appreciate

01:05:11.440 how strong

01:05:12.240 the bubble

01:05:12.620 is,

01:05:13.200 then I

01:05:14.080 don't think

01:05:14.460 you can

01:05:14.740 see

01:05:15.140 Zuckerberg

01:05:15.880 completely.

01:05:17.400 Here's

01:05:17.840 what I

01:05:18.140 think

01:05:18.440 happened,

01:05:19.020 and this

01:05:19.280 is only

01:05:19.580 speculation.

01:05:21.080 I think

01:05:21.760 he got

01:05:22.060 red-pilled

01:05:22.500 by the

01:05:22.860 hoaxes.

01:05:24.200 I can't

01:05:24.920 prove it.

01:05:25.920 There's no

01:05:26.400 even hint

01:05:27.160 of it.

01:05:28.060 But if

01:05:28.460 you look

01:05:28.760 what happened

01:05:29.180 to the

01:05:29.520 other brightest

01:05:30.260 people who

01:05:30.900 escaped the

01:05:31.500 bubble,

01:05:31.900 it was

01:05:32.100 the same

01:05:32.440 way.

01:05:33.400 They

01:05:33.840 escaped it

01:05:34.340 the same

01:05:34.680 way,

01:05:35.160 realizing that

01:05:35.780 they were

01:05:35.960 being lied

01:05:36.380 to about

01:05:36.760 just about

01:05:37.180 everything.

01:05:38.680 And once

01:05:39.060 you get

01:05:39.340 that,

01:05:39.800 then suddenly

01:05:40.380 you go,

01:05:40.860 all right,

01:05:41.320 now I'm

01:05:41.740 open to

01:05:42.120 the other

01:05:42.420 possibilities.

01:05:43.040 to me,

01:05:44.960 I think

01:05:46.000 Zuckerberg

01:05:46.760 got

01:05:47.660 red-pilled

01:05:48.220 by maybe

01:05:50.300 Peter Thiel.

01:05:52.800 If I

01:05:53.640 had to

01:05:53.900 pick one

01:05:54.300 person,

01:05:55.540 because

01:05:55.780 Thiel has

01:05:56.500 the Facebook

01:05:57.240 connection,

01:05:58.440 and Thiel,

01:05:59.080 of course,

01:05:59.400 would know

01:05:59.700 which ones

01:06:00.520 are the

01:06:00.720 hoaxes.

01:06:01.840 Can you

01:06:02.120 imagine

01:06:02.440 Peter Thiel

01:06:03.120 having dinner?

01:06:04.600 I'm just

01:06:05.160 speculating.

01:06:05.780 I don't

01:06:05.980 know that

01:06:06.260 any of

01:06:06.560 this

01:06:06.720 happened.

01:06:07.380 Can you

01:06:07.580 imagine

01:06:07.860 Peter Thiel

01:06:08.440 talking to

01:06:09.680 Zuckerberg

01:06:10.300 and maybe

01:06:11.740 unwinding

01:06:12.420 some of

01:06:12.820 the hoaxes

01:06:13.300 for him?

01:06:15.040 I think

01:06:15.840 what you're

01:06:16.160 seeing is

01:06:16.520 real.

01:06:17.720 Meaning,

01:06:18.400 I believe

01:06:18.820 that Zuckerberg

01:06:19.580 really thought

01:06:20.480 that he

01:06:20.860 was on

01:06:21.200 the side

01:06:21.800 of patriotism

01:06:23.400 in the

01:06:23.700 country and

01:06:24.380 avoiding

01:06:24.740 problems

01:06:25.280 when he

01:06:25.820 helped the

01:06:26.900 Democrats

01:06:27.420 try to

01:06:27.900 avoid

01:06:28.240 Hiller.

01:06:29.280 I think

01:06:30.040 he thought

01:06:30.380 he was

01:06:30.660 trying to

01:06:31.200 avoid

01:06:31.460 Hiller,

01:06:32.280 like actually

01:06:32.940 genuinely

01:06:33.420 believed

01:06:33.800 it.

01:06:34.280 And I

01:06:34.720 don't

01:06:34.980 think

01:06:35.300 that that

01:06:36.420 is a

01:06:36.720 flaw in

01:06:37.400 his

01:06:37.600 character.

01:06:39.020 Because

01:06:39.580 a lot

01:06:40.200 of good

01:06:40.560 people

01:06:40.900 believed

01:06:41.320 it.

01:06:42.160 Remember,

01:06:43.180 Elon Musk

01:06:43.700 believed

01:06:44.060 it.

01:06:44.860 Joe

01:06:45.060 Rogan

01:06:45.420 believed

01:06:45.760 it.

01:06:46.620 At one

01:06:47.080 point.

01:06:48.120 And there's

01:06:48.440 nothing wrong

01:06:48.920 with their

01:06:49.180 characters,

01:06:50.120 in my

01:06:51.060 opinion.

01:06:52.260 So,

01:06:53.140 I think

01:06:53.660 you're,

01:06:54.300 I wouldn't

01:06:54.800 be hard

01:06:55.300 on

01:06:55.500 Zuckerberg,

01:06:56.560 because to

01:06:57.160 me it

01:06:57.460 looks like

01:06:57.820 somebody who

01:06:58.360 was trapped

01:06:58.820 in a

01:06:59.140 bubble,

01:06:59.960 probably

01:07:00.500 wishes he

01:07:01.200 had his

01:07:01.540 $420

01:07:02.380 million

01:07:02.740 back.

01:07:04.460 Don't

01:07:04.980 you think?

01:07:06.100 Do you

01:07:06.380 think he's

01:07:06.720 real happy

01:07:07.180 about the

01:07:07.560 $420

01:07:08.160 million he

01:07:08.980 wasted

01:07:09.360 and could

01:07:10.260 put him

01:07:10.580 in jail

01:07:11.020 and bought

01:07:11.480 him nothing

01:07:11.900 but the

01:07:12.300 destruction

01:07:12.760 of the

01:07:13.060 country?

01:07:13.680 Do you

01:07:13.840 think he's

01:07:14.160 celebrating

01:07:14.600 that?

01:07:15.380 No.

01:07:16.760 He's

01:07:17.240 probably

01:07:17.600 embarrassed.

01:07:19.540 Again,

01:07:20.120 just speculating.

01:07:21.040 He's

01:07:21.260 probably

01:07:21.500 embarrassed.

01:07:23.020 So,

01:07:23.520 I would

01:07:24.040 take the

01:07:24.340 win.

01:07:25.380 I think

01:07:25.900 that it,

01:07:26.560 and by

01:07:26.940 the way,

01:07:27.180 he said

01:07:27.560 directly

01:07:28.060 that the

01:07:30.240 country is

01:07:30.880 going in

01:07:31.360 a direction

01:07:31.900 that's

01:07:33.580 historically a

01:07:34.300 little different

01:07:34.800 and he's

01:07:35.240 going with

01:07:35.640 the country.

01:07:36.820 That's

01:07:37.300 everything I

01:07:37.960 wanted from

01:07:38.480 him.

01:07:39.360 He gave

01:07:40.280 me everything

01:07:41.040 I wanted.

01:07:42.180 So,

01:07:42.600 I'm pro

01:07:43.000 Zuckerberg at

01:07:43.980 the moment.

01:07:45.020 If something

01:07:45.520 else comes up,

01:07:46.540 I'll reevaluate.

01:07:47.920 But,

01:07:49.040 take the

01:07:49.860 win,

01:07:50.160 people.

01:07:50.620 Take the

01:07:50.960 win.

01:07:52.300 Claudia was

01:07:53.160 leaving for her

01:07:53.780 pickleball

01:07:54.180 tournament.

01:07:54.700 I've been

01:07:54.980 visualizing my

01:07:55.760 match all

01:07:56.420 week.

01:07:57.240 She was so

01:07:57.840 focused on

01:07:58.340 visualizing that

01:07:59.220 she didn't see

01:07:59.820 the column behind

01:08:00.480 her car on

01:08:01.260 her backhand 0.98

01:08:01.800 side.

01:08:03.140 Good thing

01:08:03.920 Claudia's with

01:08:04.540 Intact,

01:08:05.180 the insurer with

01:08:05.980 the largest network

01:08:06.860 of auto service

01:08:07.500 centers in the

01:08:08.280 country.

01:08:08.600 Everything was

01:08:09.480 taken care of

01:08:10.120 under one roof

01:08:10.860 and she was

01:08:11.400 on her way

01:08:11.780 in a rental

01:08:12.220 car in no

01:08:12.960 time.

01:08:13.420 I made it

01:08:14.020 to my

01:08:14.320 tournament and

01:08:15.620 lost in the

01:08:16.040 first round.

01:08:16.900 But,

01:08:17.260 you got there

01:08:17.900 on time.

01:08:18.700 Intact

01:08:19.060 Insurance,

01:08:19.880 your auto

01:08:20.260 service ace.

01:08:21.340 Certain

01:08:21.500 conditions

01:08:21.880 apply.

01:08:22.260 All right,

01:08:25.160 Trump is

01:08:26.060 brilliant on

01:08:26.720 the Hamas

01:08:27.240 hostages.

01:08:29.300 Let me tell

01:08:29.940 you what he

01:08:30.300 said and I'll

01:08:30.720 tell you why

01:08:31.080 it's so

01:08:31.320 perfect.

01:08:32.160 He said,

01:08:33.020 quote,

01:08:33.320 if those

01:08:33.720 hostages

01:08:34.200 aren't back

01:08:34.820 by the time

01:08:35.280 I get into

01:08:35.700 office,

01:08:36.580 and again,

01:08:37.300 that's just

01:08:37.720 real soon,

01:08:38.940 just days,

01:08:39.620 all hell will

01:08:40.340 break out in

01:08:40.880 the Middle

01:08:41.140 East and it

01:08:42.040 will not be

01:08:42.500 good for Hamas 1.00

01:08:43.220 and it will

01:08:43.640 not be good,

01:08:44.400 frankly,

01:08:44.820 for anyone.

01:08:45.420 Now,

01:08:47.540 let me tell

01:08:48.600 you how

01:08:48.860 brilliant that

01:08:49.460 is.

01:08:50.420 Number one,

01:08:51.360 he's using

01:08:51.860 that fire and

01:08:52.640 fury technique

01:08:53.380 that he used

01:08:53.860 on North

01:08:54.260 Korea.

01:08:55.140 If you say,

01:08:56.280 if you do

01:08:56.780 this,

01:08:57.100 we will

01:08:57.400 sanction you,

01:08:58.540 then they

01:08:59.100 know exactly

01:08:59.740 what their

01:09:00.200 risk is and

01:09:01.720 probably they

01:09:02.200 would go ahead

01:09:02.620 and do it

01:09:02.940 anyway because

01:09:03.540 they could

01:09:04.260 figure out how

01:09:04.800 to handle

01:09:05.100 sanctions.

01:09:06.220 If you say, 0.99

01:09:07.360 I will bomb 1.00

01:09:08.480 your certain 1.00

01:09:09.980 facilities,

01:09:11.220 then somebody

01:09:12.560 might say,

01:09:13.160 well,

01:09:13.660 I'll take

01:09:14.300 the hit because

01:09:15.260 we're battling

01:09:16.780 to the death

01:09:17.340 anyway.

01:09:18.140 So yeah,

01:09:18.560 you can blow 0.94

01:09:19.600 up my missile 0.95

01:09:20.180 sights.

01:09:21.140 Still going to

01:09:21.620 fight.

01:09:22.800 The more

01:09:23.540 specific you

01:09:24.500 are about

01:09:25.020 what you're

01:09:25.480 going to do,

01:09:26.460 the more

01:09:27.220 likely it

01:09:27.720 doesn't work.

01:09:29.100 You want to

01:09:29.640 give people

01:09:30.220 a vague

01:09:31.140 idea that

01:09:32.140 it's going

01:09:32.380 to be so

01:09:32.840 bad it

01:09:33.460 almost defies

01:09:34.260 description.

01:09:35.280 It's going

01:09:35.680 to be hell.

01:09:36.720 But the

01:09:37.080 magic part of

01:09:37.980 that, the

01:09:38.300 persuasive part,

01:09:39.360 the part that

01:09:39.840 hypnotists would

01:09:40.660 know to do

01:09:41.080 as well,

01:09:41.740 is that the

01:09:42.620 less specific

01:09:43.420 you are,

01:09:44.640 it allows

01:09:45.180 everybody to

01:09:45.900 imagine their

01:09:46.620 own worst

01:09:47.440 scenario.

01:09:49.280 So you

01:09:49.620 might say,

01:09:50.440 oh, let's

01:09:51.700 say if you're

01:09:52.220 in Hamas,

01:09:53.060 you might

01:09:53.380 say, oh,

01:09:54.300 my goodness,

01:09:54.760 he's just

01:09:55.320 going to seal

01:09:56.260 up the

01:09:56.600 tunnels and

01:09:57.220 just leave

01:09:58.160 us there.

01:09:59.280 Or you

01:09:59.900 might say,

01:10:00.820 my God,

01:10:01.740 is he going 1.00

01:10:02.440 to kill all 1.00

01:10:03.000 the Palestinians? 1.00

01:10:04.000 Of course he's

01:10:04.800 not.

01:10:05.720 But they're

01:10:06.560 going to come

01:10:07.100 up with their

01:10:07.500 own worst

01:10:07.980 case scenario

01:10:08.640 that will be

01:10:09.160 worse than

01:10:09.620 anything you

01:10:10.060 could say.

01:10:11.060 So that's

01:10:11.740 perfect.

01:10:12.920 And he's

01:10:13.600 keeping all

01:10:14.040 his options

01:10:14.540 open by

01:10:15.860 not over

01:10:16.420 specifying.

01:10:17.580 So, so

01:10:18.000 far he's

01:10:18.400 perfect.

01:10:18.900 But there's

01:10:19.220 a better

01:10:19.620 part that

01:10:21.060 only Trump

01:10:21.800 would be

01:10:22.140 smart enough

01:10:22.700 to do.

01:10:24.940 And this

01:10:25.840 is what

01:10:26.140 separates him.

01:10:27.700 Right?

01:10:27.940 This is what

01:10:28.600 separates him.

01:10:29.500 You could

01:10:29.880 sort of imagine

01:10:30.820 that some

01:10:31.300 normal politician

01:10:32.140 could also be

01:10:33.100 smart enough

01:10:33.620 to make a

01:10:34.540 generic threat.

01:10:35.420 But one of

01:10:36.820 the things

01:10:37.120 that Trump

01:10:37.540 has going

01:10:37.980 for him

01:10:38.300 is that

01:10:38.600 he's credible.

01:10:39.820 He's already

01:10:40.380 dropped a

01:10:41.020 mother of

01:10:41.400 all bombs.

01:10:42.500 He's already 0.72

01:10:43.020 assassinated

01:10:43.780 Solomini when

01:10:46.060 everybody said

01:10:46.680 don't do it.

01:10:47.680 He also

01:10:48.480 destroyed ISIS

01:10:49.480 by telling

01:10:50.060 the military

01:10:50.640 don't ask

01:10:51.680 me what you

01:10:52.860 need to do,

01:10:53.620 just do what

01:10:54.120 you need to

01:10:54.520 do.

01:10:55.180 Those are

01:10:55.820 some of the

01:10:56.260 most badass

01:10:56.980 things that

01:10:57.680 ever happened.

01:10:59.000 So when he

01:10:59.660 says hell

01:11:00.820 is coming,

01:11:02.100 they know

01:11:03.040 it's real.

01:11:03.480 Do you know

01:11:05.200 why they

01:11:05.440 know it's

01:11:05.780 real?

01:11:06.260 It's real.

01:11:07.620 It's not a

01:11:08.100 bluff.

01:11:09.380 Bluffing only 0.90

01:11:10.120 gets you so

01:11:10.700 much.

01:11:11.500 This is not

01:11:11.980 a bluff.

01:11:13.020 This is not

01:11:13.680 a bluff.

01:11:14.820 If you know

01:11:15.580 anything about

01:11:16.200 Trump,

01:11:16.920 that's not a

01:11:18.340 bluff.

01:11:19.240 Whatever it

01:11:20.000 takes, he's

01:11:20.720 going to do

01:11:21.120 it.

01:11:21.580 And if you

01:11:21.980 don't give

01:11:22.360 the hostages

01:11:23.040 back, welcome 1.00

01:11:24.460 to hell. 0.99

01:11:26.780 So, here's 0.93

01:11:29.700 the smartest

01:11:30.200 part.

01:11:31.360 He's treating

01:11:32.200 the hostage

01:11:32.900 release as

01:11:33.800 not part of

01:11:34.500 the negotiations

01:11:35.360 because there

01:11:36.580 would be a

01:11:37.020 larger negotiation

01:11:37.960 to, you

01:11:38.640 know, what's

01:11:39.060 the future

01:11:39.520 of Gaza

01:11:40.420 and, you

01:11:41.340 know, who

01:11:42.420 gets a pass

01:11:43.180 and who

01:11:43.440 gets to

01:11:43.820 stay and

01:11:44.420 those things.

01:11:45.780 The big

01:11:46.480 mistake that

01:11:47.260 somebody like

01:11:48.100 Biden would

01:11:49.280 make, if

01:11:49.840 you're a bad

01:11:50.280 negotiator,

01:11:51.460 you'd say it's

01:11:52.140 all part of

01:11:52.740 the same

01:11:53.100 conversation.

01:11:54.480 You've got

01:11:55.020 the hostages,

01:11:57.180 you've got the

01:11:57.720 what happens,

01:11:58.620 you've got the

01:11:59.100 all kinds of

01:12:00.040 questions.

01:12:00.480 Let's put them

01:12:00.860 all together,

01:12:01.360 together, which

01:12:02.320 is a typical

01:12:02.840 thing to do.

01:12:03.640 You put them

01:12:04.000 all together, so

01:12:05.080 you have one

01:12:05.480 kind of deal

01:12:06.100 that deals with

01:12:07.160 all those

01:12:07.520 things, and

01:12:08.060 once Hamas is 0.96

01:12:09.220 perfectly happy

01:12:10.000 with the larger

01:12:10.680 deal, then they

01:12:12.020 release the

01:12:12.500 hostages.

01:12:14.920 Bad strategy.

01:12:17.460 The correct

01:12:18.000 strategy is, if

01:12:19.740 you don't want

01:12:20.360 more hostages to

01:12:21.360 be taken, and

01:12:22.100 just repeat this

01:12:22.920 cycle, the

01:12:23.940 correct strategy

01:12:24.700 is to be

01:12:26.600 eligible to have

01:12:27.360 a conversation

01:12:28.140 with us, release

01:12:30.320 the hostages.

01:12:32.500 So you don't

01:12:33.700 put the

01:12:34.180 hostages in

01:12:35.160 the same

01:12:35.580 conversation with

01:12:36.720 all the other

01:12:37.300 things you want

01:12:37.880 to get done,

01:12:38.740 because then

01:12:40.060 you're being

01:12:41.960 emotionally

01:12:42.560 blackmailed, and

01:12:43.540 the families of

01:12:44.480 the hostages are

01:12:45.340 going to be

01:12:45.640 saying, no,

01:12:46.960 let Hamas be in 1.00

01:12:48.040 charge again,

01:12:49.340 just let my

01:12:50.440 relative go, and

01:12:52.080 they're going to

01:12:52.360 be emotional, and

01:12:53.380 it's going to

01:12:53.760 weigh on you.

01:12:54.360 You need to

01:12:55.540 say, you

01:12:57.140 release them

01:12:57.660 before I'm in

01:12:58.700 office, and

01:13:00.460 we'll put that

01:13:01.140 topic behind us,

01:13:02.980 and then we

01:13:03.500 can talk.

01:13:04.600 So the right

01:13:05.440 way to do it is

01:13:06.640 that you have to

01:13:07.260 release the

01:13:07.780 hostages to

01:13:08.960 buy a ticket to

01:13:10.520 have a real

01:13:11.000 conversation with

01:13:11.920 me.

01:13:12.760 But until you

01:13:14.380 get them, your

01:13:15.200 only option is 0.99

01:13:16.720 hell, and

01:13:18.140 hell is coming

01:13:18.800 hard.

01:13:20.300 That is

01:13:21.360 perfect.

01:13:22.280 Now, is this

01:13:23.360 likely, more

01:13:24.520 likely, to get

01:13:25.260 the hostages 0.95

01:13:25.920 killed?

01:13:27.460 It might.

01:13:28.820 It's an

01:13:29.380 unknown.

01:13:30.860 But given

01:13:31.780 that it's an

01:13:32.300 unknown, it

01:13:33.640 makes it the

01:13:34.160 right play.

01:13:35.280 And does it

01:13:35.800 decrease the

01:13:36.600 chance that

01:13:37.200 hostages will

01:13:37.900 be taken in

01:13:38.420 the future?

01:13:39.240 Yes, as long

01:13:40.560 as you make it

01:13:41.160 not part of any

01:13:41.920 larger negotiation.

01:13:43.380 You have one

01:13:44.160 choice, release

01:13:45.880 the hostages or

01:13:46.860 hell, and

01:13:47.940 maybe that will

01:13:48.960 decrease future

01:13:49.900 hostages.

01:13:51.320 So it's

01:13:52.220 perfectly right,

01:13:53.040 and it's

01:13:53.480 perfectly

01:13:53.820 simplified because

01:13:55.760 people will

01:13:57.100 spread the

01:13:57.620 news that he's

01:13:58.240 going to bring

01:13:58.640 hell because

01:13:59.300 it's easy to

01:13:59.860 repeat, it's easy

01:14:00.660 to remember,

01:14:01.300 there's no

01:14:01.620 details.

01:14:02.460 That's what

01:14:02.880 Trump does

01:14:03.300 best.

01:14:04.020 He repeats, he

01:14:04.960 keeps it simple,

01:14:06.060 he keeps it

01:14:06.600 vague, and he's

01:14:07.720 got a history

01:14:08.240 that you know

01:14:09.720 he's going to 0.96

01:14:10.120 kill Soleimani 0.99

01:14:10.840 if he needs 1.00

01:14:11.960 to.

01:14:13.660 He wants to

01:14:14.200 change, Trump

01:14:14.920 wants to change

01:14:15.480 the Gulf of

01:14:15.960 Mexico to the

01:14:16.720 Gulf of America.

01:14:18.440 Now, I don't

01:14:19.140 know exactly what

01:14:19.960 would be involved

01:14:20.540 in that because

01:14:21.560 you've got to

01:14:21.880 change the maps

01:14:22.720 and I don't

01:14:23.160 know, it might

01:14:24.260 be an act of

01:14:24.800 Congress, Marjorie

01:14:26.240 Taylor Greene said

01:14:26.960 she might be 0.85

01:14:27.440 helping on that.

01:14:29.240 We don't know

01:14:30.060 how serious that

01:14:30.940 is, but I love

01:14:31.700 it.

01:14:32.960 Here's why I

01:14:33.760 love it.

01:14:34.800 If it's called

01:14:35.660 the Gulf of

01:14:36.240 Mexico, and

01:14:37.540 sometime in the

01:14:38.300 future, Mexico

01:14:39.600 has a dispute

01:14:40.640 with us about

01:14:41.960 resources or

01:14:43.060 access or

01:14:44.040 control of the

01:14:44.900 Gulf, people

01:14:46.420 are going to

01:14:46.780 say, well, it's

01:14:47.500 the Gulf of

01:14:48.720 Mexico, so 0.56

01:14:50.180 of course

01:14:51.720 Mexico should 0.96

01:14:52.400 have a lot of

01:14:52.820 control.

01:14:53.540 It's named

01:14:53.980 after them, but

01:14:55.520 they don't own

01:14:56.120 it, and the

01:14:58.580 United States is

01:14:59.460 circling at least

01:15:01.060 60% of it.

01:15:04.560 So for the

01:15:05.540 future of

01:15:06.100 America, where

01:15:07.180 we could be

01:15:07.780 pretty sure that

01:15:09.140 someday there'll

01:15:09.720 be some conflict

01:15:10.540 in the Gulf about

01:15:11.360 who owns what,

01:15:13.240 name it after

01:15:13.980 America, and

01:15:15.080 then when you

01:15:15.500 get into that

01:15:16.100 negotiation, 10

01:15:17.840 years from now,

01:15:18.540 whenever it

01:15:18.960 happens, you're

01:15:19.960 going to say, are

01:15:20.500 you serious?

01:15:21.860 Mexico, you think

01:15:22.980 you want to have

01:15:23.460 control over the

01:15:24.560 Gulf of America?

01:15:26.740 It's got America 0.59

01:15:27.740 right in the name.

01:15:29.020 It's ours.

01:15:30.640 And it would be

01:15:31.580 easier to get the

01:15:32.440 United States

01:15:33.080 public to back

01:15:34.960 any kind of

01:15:35.800 forceful defense

01:15:37.040 of the Gulf,

01:15:37.680 because it's the

01:15:38.160 Gulf of America.

01:15:39.520 It's like our

01:15:40.260 land.

01:15:40.880 It's not our

01:15:41.600 land, but...

01:15:43.040 So if you look

01:15:44.840 at how four

01:15:46.060 forward-thinking

01:15:46.660 Trump is, which

01:15:48.100 is remarkable, I

01:15:49.680 think he's

01:15:50.080 looking at a

01:15:50.700 10 to 50-year

01:15:51.980 advantage, no

01:15:53.760 particular advantage

01:15:54.680 on day one.

01:15:56.260 And I think the

01:15:57.420 enemies will say,

01:15:58.740 but there's nothing

01:15:59.560 gained on day one.

01:16:00.760 Why would you do

01:16:01.320 this?

01:16:01.800 It's not for day

01:16:02.500 one.

01:16:03.420 It's for days,

01:16:04.400 someday in the

01:16:04.920 future, when we're

01:16:05.700 definitely going to

01:16:06.300 have a conflict about

01:16:07.220 who gets what in

01:16:08.380 the Gulf.

01:16:09.100 It's brilliant.

01:16:10.220 This is basically

01:16:11.120 just brilliant.

01:16:12.740 Now, it's also

01:16:13.420 part of the larger

01:16:14.300 thing where Trump

01:16:16.220 seems to be

01:16:16.880 intentionally flooding

01:16:18.500 the zone with

01:16:20.120 somewhat less

01:16:21.400 important but

01:16:22.360 provocative things

01:16:23.360 that we like to

01:16:24.000 talk about.

01:16:25.140 Why am I talking

01:16:26.220 about the Gulf of

01:16:27.060 America when there 0.85

01:16:28.100 couldn't be anything

01:16:28.820 less important to

01:16:29.700 my life?

01:16:30.860 Because it's fun.

01:16:34.120 You can't not

01:16:35.060 talk about it.

01:16:36.220 It's just sort of,

01:16:37.300 it's easy to talk

01:16:38.280 about, and you

01:16:38.800 understand it.

01:16:39.640 You don't have to

01:16:40.120 do any research.

01:16:41.580 It's just kind of

01:16:42.260 fun.

01:16:43.080 So the more fun

01:16:44.120 things he gives

01:16:44.860 us, the less

01:16:46.880 the resistance

01:16:49.080 will be able to

01:16:50.500 find their way

01:16:51.220 in.

01:16:52.000 If Trump came

01:16:52.980 and said, look,

01:16:53.880 here's what I'm

01:16:54.340 going to do.

01:16:55.660 I have one top

01:16:56.840 priority, and

01:16:58.120 every day I'm

01:16:58.660 going to talk

01:16:59.020 about whatever

01:16:59.460 that is.

01:17:00.300 Well, then his

01:17:01.480 opposition could

01:17:02.220 say, ha ha, we

01:17:03.380 know exactly what

01:17:04.300 to attack.

01:17:05.340 He's got that

01:17:05.880 one thing, so

01:17:07.160 we're going to

01:17:07.440 have all of us

01:17:08.220 focus on that

01:17:09.000 one thing, and

01:17:09.640 we'll just take

01:17:10.220 it down.

01:17:10.560 But if he

01:17:11.640 gives them one

01:17:12.660 thing a day, or

01:17:14.260 three things a

01:17:15.120 day, and they're

01:17:15.700 all so interesting

01:17:16.600 they take some

01:17:17.280 of our attention,

01:17:18.740 he's going to

01:17:19.460 split up his

01:17:21.280 opposition until

01:17:22.200 they don't know

01:17:22.660 what to attack.

01:17:23.840 It's like, ah,

01:17:24.600 hey, well, I'm

01:17:26.200 going to go after

01:17:26.640 that.

01:17:26.920 There's a new

01:17:27.560 one.

01:17:28.540 And I think

01:17:29.580 it's brilliant.

01:17:30.600 So you could

01:17:31.420 call it the

01:17:31.820 Overton window or

01:17:32.780 whatever you want.

01:17:33.780 But he's keeping

01:17:34.880 them confused and

01:17:36.040 overwhelmed with

01:17:37.780 Trumpisms.

01:17:38.380 these are just

01:17:39.960 things that he's

01:17:40.620 the only person

01:17:41.420 in the world

01:17:41.820 to do.

01:17:42.560 Nobody else is

01:17:43.360 going to talk

01:17:43.740 about Greenland,

01:17:44.600 which, by the

01:17:45.200 way, there's

01:17:46.480 some reporting

01:17:47.020 today that

01:17:47.900 during his

01:17:48.400 first term,

01:17:49.780 there was

01:17:50.240 actually some

01:17:50.860 motion toward

01:17:52.160 an acquisition

01:17:53.680 or some kind

01:17:54.240 of a deal

01:17:54.600 with Greenland.

01:17:56.280 So it's not

01:17:57.100 crazy.

01:17:58.320 And I guess he 0.99

01:17:58.920 always knew it

01:17:59.660 wasn't crazy.

01:18:02.720 All right.

01:18:03.320 China looks 0.93

01:18:05.840 like it's

01:18:06.240 making a move

01:18:06.840 on Taiwan.

01:18:08.520 According to

01:18:09.260 the Gateway

01:18:09.640 Pundit, a

01:18:12.060 Chinese ship

01:18:12.860 that's kind of

01:18:13.800 one of these

01:18:14.180 mysterious ships

01:18:15.140 that's hard to

01:18:15.740 track, it's

01:18:17.760 up to do

01:18:18.140 good, and it

01:18:18.800 cut one of

01:18:19.480 the undersea

01:18:20.080 cables to

01:18:22.060 Taiwan.

01:18:23.800 Now, apparently

01:18:24.980 it was intentional,

01:18:26.440 and the thinking

01:18:27.580 is that the

01:18:28.840 way China would 0.98

01:18:30.080 try to take

01:18:30.900 over Taiwan

01:18:31.740 would be with

01:18:33.140 a long, slow

01:18:34.220 squeeze, as

01:18:35.640 opposed to an

01:18:36.300 invasion.

01:18:37.400 An invasion 0.55

01:18:37.960 might be just

01:18:38.780 too far, meaning

01:18:41.220 there would be

01:18:42.200 military response,

01:18:43.580 you don't know

01:18:43.940 where it would

01:18:44.300 end up, but

01:18:45.460 squeezing them

01:18:46.440 indefinitely and

01:18:47.820 staying just

01:18:48.540 below the line

01:18:49.540 that the United

01:18:50.120 States wants to

01:18:50.940 start firing at 0.99

01:18:51.880 them, I hate 0.99

01:18:53.580 to say it might

01:18:54.200 be a good

01:18:54.600 strategy.

01:18:56.120 So first, they're

01:18:56.880 going to cut off

01:18:57.500 their internet

01:18:58.180 cables, and

01:19:00.120 then some smart

01:19:01.160 people are

01:19:01.940 saying that

01:19:02.440 what they

01:19:02.820 would do

01:19:03.100 next is do

01:19:03.860 a naval

01:19:04.300 quarantine of

01:19:05.420 the island.

01:19:07.180 A quarantine

01:19:07.860 is not a

01:19:08.560 blockade.

01:19:09.520 A blockade

01:19:10.220 would stop

01:19:10.840 everybody.

01:19:11.840 A quarantine

01:19:12.480 would let

01:19:13.520 some innocent

01:19:14.820 ships in, but

01:19:16.120 they'd stop

01:19:17.040 anything they

01:19:17.540 wanted to stop.

01:19:19.100 So if you

01:19:19.980 cut the cables

01:19:20.780 and you

01:19:21.340 surrounded them

01:19:22.160 and you flew

01:19:22.660 drones over

01:19:23.320 them every

01:19:23.780 day, and

01:19:24.860 apparently the

01:19:25.600 Chinese Navy

01:19:26.420 has greater

01:19:27.480 military power

01:19:28.320 than the United

01:19:28.900 States does in

01:19:30.020 that area.

01:19:31.380 But if you

01:19:31.860 added Japan's

01:19:33.120 Navy and

01:19:33.900 South Korea's

01:19:34.680 Navy, then

01:19:36.100 that alliance

01:19:37.780 with the United

01:19:38.280 States would

01:19:38.740 be bigger than

01:19:39.320 China's Navy.

01:19:40.780 But apparently

01:19:41.200 South Korea has

01:19:42.080 got some

01:19:42.540 political problems

01:19:43.800 at the moment

01:19:44.300 and might not

01:19:44.920 be functional.

01:19:46.080 So it might be

01:19:46.880 just the United

01:19:47.460 States and

01:19:47.920 Japan, which

01:19:49.900 is more of a

01:19:50.740 closer to parity

01:19:51.880 and not really

01:19:52.660 what you want

01:19:53.220 if you're going

01:19:53.800 into some

01:19:54.780 potential conflict.

01:19:55.880 Now, I

01:19:58.780 hate to say

01:19:59.460 that China 0.93

01:20:00.380 might have a

01:20:01.540 perfectly workable

01:20:02.640 strategy, but

01:20:05.060 it looks like

01:20:05.560 they do.

01:20:06.600 I don't know

01:20:07.420 if it'd be

01:20:07.780 enough to get

01:20:08.460 the Taiwan

01:20:09.160 government or

01:20:10.700 people to say,

01:20:11.440 all right,

01:20:11.900 all right,

01:20:12.440 let's make a

01:20:13.100 deal.

01:20:14.440 I don't know.

01:20:16.060 But you

01:20:17.780 can see why

01:20:18.260 they'd be doing

01:20:18.760 it.

01:20:19.000 I think

01:20:21.320 Trump, when

01:20:23.660 he's in

01:20:24.020 office, probably

01:20:25.520 would turn up

01:20:26.480 the temperature

01:20:27.020 on this until

01:20:27.880 they back

01:20:28.360 off, but I

01:20:29.380 don't know.

01:20:30.220 We'll see.

01:20:32.500 According to

01:20:33.480 Gateway Pundit

01:20:34.120 also, there's

01:20:34.660 a leaked

01:20:35.400 report that

01:20:39.160 the presidential

01:20:40.120 inauguration is

01:20:41.140 seeking a lot

01:20:42.080 of medical

01:20:42.540 personnel.

01:20:44.240 So the

01:20:45.180 thinking is

01:20:45.820 that maybe

01:20:46.260 it's an

01:20:46.640 unusual request

01:20:47.820 for medical

01:20:48.560 personnel for

01:20:49.380 the inauguration,

01:20:50.400 which would

01:20:51.560 make you

01:20:51.980 say, why

01:20:53.620 do they think

01:20:54.160 they need

01:20:54.520 extra medical

01:20:56.480 personnel?

01:20:57.640 And I would

01:20:58.040 say, obvious.

01:20:59.560 They're worried

01:21:00.300 about an

01:21:00.680 attack.

01:21:01.640 It doesn't

01:21:02.040 mean they know

01:21:02.520 there's going

01:21:02.880 to be an

01:21:03.140 attack, but

01:21:04.200 it's the

01:21:04.640 obvious place

01:21:05.360 that you

01:21:05.660 would want

01:21:05.980 to defend

01:21:06.880 and the

01:21:07.220 obvious place

01:21:07.760 you'd want

01:21:08.060 to have a

01:21:08.340 lot of

01:21:08.520 medical

01:21:08.760 people.

01:21:09.680 And beyond

01:21:10.020 that, maybe

01:21:10.580 they think

01:21:10.980 there'd be

01:21:11.260 some protests

01:21:11.980 or something.

01:21:12.780 I don't

01:21:12.960 know.

01:21:14.020 So it

01:21:14.480 makes sense.

01:21:15.220 I don't

01:21:15.480 think I'd

01:21:15.840 have to be

01:21:16.740 especially

01:21:17.280 worried about

01:21:18.020 the

01:21:18.300 increase in

01:21:18.920 medical

01:21:19.220 personnel.

01:21:20.140 That just

01:21:20.480 seems like

01:21:20.840 being smart.

01:21:23.860 And James

01:21:25.500 O'Keefe, I

01:21:26.060 think, is the

01:21:26.520 one who

01:21:26.860 found out

01:21:27.760 about that

01:21:28.260 memo.

01:21:29.800 When I

01:21:30.800 found out

01:21:31.220 my friend

01:21:31.700 got a

01:21:32.040 great deal

01:21:32.640 on a

01:21:33.000 wool coat

01:21:33.400 from Winners,

01:21:34.240 I started

01:21:35.020 wondering,

01:21:35.920 is every

01:21:36.760 fabulous item

01:21:37.520 I see from

01:21:38.200 Winners?

01:21:39.040 Like that

01:21:39.540 woman over 0.99

01:21:40.020 there with

01:21:40.500 the designer

01:21:40.920 jeans.

01:21:41.760 Are those

01:21:42.340 from Winners?

01:21:43.280 Ooh, are

01:21:44.060 those beautiful

01:21:44.580 gold earrings?

01:21:45.720 Did she pay 0.97

01:21:46.160 full price?

01:21:47.080 Or that

01:21:47.360 leather tote?

01:21:48.120 Or that

01:21:48.360 cashmere

01:21:48.720 sweater?

01:21:49.320 Or those

01:21:49.640 knee-high

01:21:49.940 boots?

01:21:50.780 That dress?

01:21:51.560 That jacket?

01:21:52.240 Those shoes?

01:21:53.260 Is anyone

01:21:54.040 paying full

01:21:54.680 price for

01:21:55.240 anything?

01:21:56.220 Stop

01:21:56.700 wondering.

01:21:57.460 Start winning.

01:21:58.020 Winners find

01:21:59.220 fabulous for

01:22:00.020 less.

01:22:01.180 All right,

01:22:02.020 here's another

01:22:02.620 thing that

01:22:03.000 people keep

01:22:03.480 telling me.

01:22:04.920 I've been

01:22:05.560 saying things

01:22:06.180 like I

01:22:06.620 don't think

01:22:07.220 the large

01:22:08.620 language model

01:22:09.280 AIs can

01:22:11.120 improve much

01:22:11.980 and they may

01:22:12.980 be reaching

01:22:13.380 their limit.

01:22:14.660 And then the

01:22:15.120 smart people

01:22:15.720 say to me,

01:22:16.800 Scott, you

01:22:18.280 know, I

01:22:19.340 hate to be

01:22:19.800 the one to

01:22:20.240 tell you,

01:22:20.840 but you

01:22:21.400 don't

01:22:22.860 understand

01:22:23.580 growth.

01:22:25.680 Of course

01:22:26.580 it's going to

01:22:27.040 be the kind

01:22:27.440 of thing where

01:22:27.900 the growth

01:22:28.360 is slow,

01:22:29.540 slow,

01:22:29.880 slow,

01:22:30.260 slow,

01:22:30.580 slow.

01:22:31.000 But when

01:22:31.400 it reaches

01:22:32.740 this point,

01:22:34.740 it's going

01:22:35.140 to be like

01:22:35.780 quickly do

01:22:36.480 everything.

01:22:38.020 And I

01:22:38.440 don't

01:22:38.680 understand

01:22:39.240 the normal

01:22:41.360 rate of

01:22:41.900 improvement

01:22:42.400 of technology

01:22:43.280 because when

01:22:44.220 I say the

01:22:44.900 current kind

01:22:46.360 of AI I

01:22:47.200 think can't

01:22:47.920 do, it

01:22:49.540 can never

01:22:49.900 be accurate.

01:22:51.220 That's my

01:22:51.640 opinion because

01:22:52.540 it hallucinates.

01:22:54.200 And people

01:22:54.540 say, oh,

01:22:55.060 you just don't

01:22:55.680 understand.

01:22:56.320 They just

01:22:56.560 make it

01:22:56.880 better.

01:22:57.100 Here's my

01:22:58.040 counter

01:22:58.380 argument.

01:23:00.020 How much

01:23:00.700 better do

01:23:01.280 you have to

01:23:01.940 make a

01:23:02.280 bowling ball

01:23:02.900 before it's

01:23:03.520 a spaceship?

01:23:05.600 Can you

01:23:06.180 improve a

01:23:06.840 bowling ball

01:23:07.460 until it's a

01:23:09.480 rocket that

01:23:09.920 will take you

01:23:10.260 to Mars?

01:23:12.480 How long

01:23:13.200 before an

01:23:13.700 apple evolves

01:23:14.600 into an

01:23:15.060 orange?

01:23:16.200 If you

01:23:16.780 wait long

01:23:17.240 enough,

01:23:17.740 it's going to

01:23:18.160 happen quickly

01:23:18.760 toward the

01:23:19.180 end.

01:23:19.560 It hasn't

01:23:19.880 happened at

01:23:20.240 all yet,

01:23:21.360 but will

01:23:22.040 there be a

01:23:22.440 day when

01:23:22.880 you're looking

01:23:23.240 at your

01:23:23.520 orange and

01:23:23.860 all that

01:23:24.160 rapidly turns

01:23:26.420 into an

01:23:26.820 apple?

01:23:28.020 No.

01:23:29.380 So here's

01:23:29.980 where I

01:23:30.620 differ on

01:23:31.280 the people

01:23:31.600 who say,

01:23:32.160 Scott,

01:23:32.520 Scott,

01:23:32.880 Scott,

01:23:33.220 you don't

01:23:33.840 understand that

01:23:34.600 this technology

01:23:35.420 will rapidly

01:23:36.240 be able to

01:23:36.820 do everything

01:23:37.340 and you'll

01:23:38.200 look like a 1.00

01:23:38.940 fool. 1.00

01:23:39.880 My complaint 0.99

01:23:40.760 about AI

01:23:41.400 is that by

01:23:42.020 its nature,

01:23:43.080 it's an

01:23:44.060 orange,

01:23:45.000 and what we

01:23:46.440 want is

01:23:46.840 accuracy,

01:23:47.620 which is an

01:23:48.160 apple,

01:23:48.420 and there

01:23:49.460 is no

01:23:49.980 real path

01:23:50.680 for the

01:23:51.040 orange to

01:23:51.540 turn into

01:23:51.980 an apple.

01:23:53.340 There's

01:23:53.660 definitely a

01:23:54.240 path where

01:23:55.360 a slow

01:23:55.780 microchip

01:23:56.420 could be

01:23:56.880 replaced with

01:23:57.480 a faster

01:23:57.980 microchip.

01:23:59.040 I get

01:23:59.420 that.

01:24:00.980 There's

01:24:01.500 definitely a

01:24:01.980 path where

01:24:02.560 an electric

01:24:03.480 car might

01:24:04.720 not be

01:24:05.120 great for

01:24:05.620 the overall

01:24:07.020 health of

01:24:08.700 the planet

01:24:09.560 on day

01:24:10.300 one,

01:24:10.860 but I

01:24:11.780 understand how

01:24:12.580 they'll just

01:24:13.100 keep getting

01:24:13.520 better when

01:24:14.100 the batteries

01:24:14.720 are no

01:24:15.120 longer

01:24:15.460 lithium.

01:24:17.080 It'll be

01:24:17.780 the only

01:24:18.120 way you

01:24:18.440 want to

01:24:18.780 live maybe

01:24:19.520 someday.

01:24:19.960 I get

01:24:20.200 that.

01:24:21.060 But I

01:24:21.500 don't think

01:24:21.900 the large

01:24:22.300 language

01:24:22.660 models have

01:24:24.400 that ability

01:24:24.980 to improve

01:24:25.740 microchips in

01:24:26.760 electric cars.

01:24:28.100 I think that

01:24:28.620 they're an

01:24:29.060 exception because

01:24:30.460 there's something

01:24:30.940 built into the

01:24:31.780 way they work

01:24:32.740 that seems

01:24:34.200 unsolvable,

01:24:35.220 the hallucinating.

01:24:36.560 Now, you

01:24:37.080 might say to

01:24:37.540 me, but

01:24:38.040 Scott, they're

01:24:39.560 just going to

01:24:40.040 add regular

01:24:41.080 programming to

01:24:42.240 the AI, and

01:24:43.780 then when the

01:24:44.200 AI needs to

01:24:44.960 know something

01:24:45.420 that's like a

01:24:45.960 fact, it'll

01:24:46.480 just go to

01:24:46.940 that document,

01:24:47.780 and use

01:24:48.800 regular

01:24:49.160 programming, and

01:24:49.880 then tell you

01:24:50.440 what it said,

01:24:51.000 and then it'll

01:24:51.520 be accurate.

01:24:52.340 To which I

01:24:53.020 say, if it

01:24:54.640 could do

01:24:55.060 that, it

01:24:56.460 would have

01:24:56.760 already done

01:24:57.320 it.

01:24:59.080 It can't do

01:24:59.940 that because

01:25:01.120 it doesn't

01:25:01.780 have the

01:25:02.240 ability to

01:25:04.120 just remember

01:25:04.800 and accurately

01:25:06.020 go look at a

01:25:06.880 document and

01:25:07.420 tell you what

01:25:07.760 it said.

01:25:08.440 That seems

01:25:09.360 to you like

01:25:09.940 the easiest

01:25:10.460 thing it

01:25:10.880 could possibly

01:25:11.480 do, but

01:25:12.460 you're thinking

01:25:12.800 of traditional

01:25:13.480 programming.

01:25:14.040 So, is

01:25:17.060 it possible

01:25:17.660 that the

01:25:18.640 AIs will 1.00

01:25:19.960 be augmented

01:25:20.600 with just

01:25:21.140 normal

01:25:21.880 programming, and

01:25:23.420 maybe you're

01:25:23.880 just using the

01:25:24.460 AI as the

01:25:25.160 interface to

01:25:25.780 talk to it,

01:25:26.860 but what is

01:25:27.460 really doing the

01:25:28.200 hard work is

01:25:29.140 just regular

01:25:29.660 programming behind

01:25:30.980 the scenes.

01:25:31.560 That might

01:25:31.940 happen.

01:25:32.900 So I do

01:25:33.320 think that that

01:25:33.840 will happen,

01:25:34.580 some kind of

01:25:35.300 nexus between

01:25:36.360 the two, but

01:25:37.200 at the moment,

01:25:37.820 I don't think

01:25:38.280 the AI can

01:25:39.060 even call up

01:25:39.840 the document,

01:25:40.360 like even

01:25:42.040 the most

01:25:42.320 basic thing,

01:25:42.960 I don't think

01:25:43.320 it can do

01:25:43.700 it, and I

01:25:44.260 don't know

01:25:44.560 how they

01:25:44.820 would change

01:25:45.180 it to make

01:25:45.560 it do it.

01:25:47.200 So I'm

01:25:47.680 going to bet

01:25:47.960 against it,

01:25:49.340 partly

01:25:49.700 recreationally.

01:25:51.440 I'd like to

01:25:52.040 be wrong, and

01:25:53.580 I don't think

01:25:54.240 AGI has been 0.76

01:25:55.040 solved, but

01:25:55.780 Sam Altman

01:25:56.740 says it is,

01:25:57.880 so he would

01:25:58.400 know more

01:25:58.720 than I would,

01:25:59.280 obviously, but

01:26:00.380 I'm going to

01:26:00.760 bet against it.

01:26:02.540 All right,

01:26:03.020 yesterday I had

01:26:03.720 a lot of fun.

01:26:04.640 If you've

01:26:05.220 watched me a

01:26:05.680 long time,

01:26:06.180 you know one

01:26:06.560 of the things I

01:26:07.040 like to do is

01:26:08.520 put myself in

01:26:09.420 an embarrassing

01:26:09.880 situation.

01:26:10.360 if I think

01:26:11.880 something good

01:26:12.480 could come

01:26:12.860 of it, because

01:26:14.780 unlike most

01:26:15.560 of you, I

01:26:16.260 don't have

01:26:16.600 that feeling

01:26:17.040 of embarrassment.

01:26:19.480 So I

01:26:20.480 waded into

01:26:21.040 the quantum

01:26:21.680 computing

01:26:22.280 conversation

01:26:22.980 yesterday with

01:26:23.880 my own

01:26:24.300 opinion, and

01:26:25.880 of course I

01:26:27.160 don't know

01:26:27.520 about quantum

01:26:28.120 computing, so

01:26:29.040 even though I

01:26:29.580 did a semi-deep

01:26:31.240 dive to find

01:26:32.220 out how it

01:26:32.900 works, I'm

01:26:35.280 certainly no

01:26:35.740 expert.

01:26:37.400 So here's

01:26:38.440 what I think

01:26:39.000 I found out,

01:26:39.740 and it

01:26:40.200 got a huge

01:26:40.880 reaction when

01:26:41.600 I posted

01:26:41.960 it on X.

01:26:43.100 I said,

01:26:44.240 here are the

01:26:44.800 things I

01:26:45.140 learned.

01:26:45.480 No one

01:26:45.840 knows how

01:26:46.300 or why

01:26:46.680 quantum

01:26:47.160 computers work.

01:26:48.740 No one.

01:26:49.400 Not the

01:26:49.840 experts.

01:26:50.920 No one.

01:26:52.180 Now that

01:26:52.540 would be

01:26:52.800 provocative,

01:26:53.640 because you've

01:26:54.200 probably heard it

01:26:54.860 explained a million

01:26:55.820 times, if you

01:26:56.960 follow that.

01:26:57.800 You've heard it

01:26:58.380 explained how

01:26:58.860 they work.

01:27:00.100 So you're

01:27:00.460 saying to

01:27:00.720 yourself, of

01:27:01.480 course they

01:27:01.820 know how it

01:27:02.260 works.

01:27:03.260 If they didn't

01:27:03.820 know how it

01:27:04.180 works, they

01:27:04.620 couldn't create

01:27:05.300 it, and they've

01:27:06.460 already created it,

01:27:07.380 you know, an

01:27:07.860 experimental, so

01:27:08.940 obviously.

01:27:10.400 They've built

01:27:10.920 one, Scott.

01:27:12.560 They built

01:27:13.020 one.

01:27:13.940 Obviously they

01:27:14.540 know how it

01:27:14.960 works.

01:27:16.500 No, they 1.00

01:27:16.920 don't.

01:27:18.500 Let me tell you

01:27:19.320 what they say

01:27:19.920 when you ask

01:27:22.140 how it works.

01:27:22.700 They say

01:27:23.020 things like

01:27:23.660 this.

01:27:24.020 Now this is

01:27:24.460 not an exact

01:27:24.980 quote, but

01:27:25.540 it's like

01:27:26.200 this.

01:27:27.320 The way it

01:27:28.040 works, the

01:27:28.840 way quantum

01:27:29.320 computer figures

01:27:30.080 out the truth,

01:27:30.680 is that they

01:27:32.400 use the

01:27:33.620 amplitudes of

01:27:36.020 statistical

01:27:36.720 likelihood, and

01:27:38.280 then they

01:27:38.840 interfere with

01:27:39.940 other amplitudes

01:27:40.920 of statistical

01:27:42.040 likelihoods, and

01:27:43.360 it rules out

01:27:43.860 some possibilities,

01:27:44.960 and then you

01:27:45.220 keep doing that

01:27:45.880 until you reach

01:27:46.540 the correct

01:27:46.940 answer.

01:27:48.680 Does that

01:27:49.200 make sense

01:27:49.600 to you?

01:27:52.580 Let me tell

01:27:53.620 you what it

01:27:53.980 sounds like.

01:27:54.960 I'm going to

01:27:55.320 give you the

01:27:55.700 worst analogy

01:27:56.560 in the world,

01:27:57.800 but it'll get

01:27:58.220 you close to

01:27:58.920 what my

01:27:59.260 problem is,

01:27:59.840 right?

01:28:00.040 Remember,

01:28:01.020 analogies are

01:28:02.260 not meant to

01:28:03.920 be a precise

01:28:04.720 description of

01:28:05.600 what's happening.

01:28:06.820 An analogy is

01:28:08.280 just to open up

01:28:09.040 your brain to

01:28:10.580 like a different

01:28:11.260 frame you could

01:28:11.980 put on the

01:28:12.460 thing that's

01:28:12.860 real.

01:28:13.380 So the

01:28:13.760 analogy is not

01:28:14.440 real.

01:28:15.540 It's not

01:28:16.100 trying to be

01:28:16.740 that.

01:28:17.600 It's just to

01:28:18.300 make a point,

01:28:19.040 right?

01:28:19.700 So imagine

01:28:21.740 you're in a

01:28:22.380 room with a

01:28:22.900 closed door,

01:28:23.820 and the answer

01:28:24.980 to your

01:28:25.360 question,

01:28:25.920 whatever it

01:28:26.420 is, is on

01:28:26.860 the other

01:28:27.120 side of the

01:28:27.480 door, and

01:28:28.760 you have no

01:28:29.300 access to

01:28:29.860 open the

01:28:30.240 door, and

01:28:31.100 no, you

01:28:31.860 can't hear

01:28:32.280 anything, see

01:28:32.960 anything, you

01:28:33.460 don't know what's

01:28:33.880 on the other

01:28:34.180 side of the

01:28:34.520 door, but you 0.84

01:28:35.860 need to figure

01:28:36.360 out what it

01:28:36.820 is using your

01:28:37.520 quantum computer.

01:28:39.240 So you take

01:28:40.240 some dice, and

01:28:42.240 you roll the

01:28:42.720 dice, and of

01:28:45.300 course, that

01:28:45.580 doesn't tell you

01:28:46.060 anything, right?

01:28:47.040 It's like, you

01:28:47.600 got a seven, what's

01:28:48.440 that tell you?

01:28:48.900 But, if you

01:28:50.960 use more than

01:28:51.940 one set of

01:28:52.820 dice, then 0.88

01:28:55.760 you've got two

01:28:56.820 sets of

01:28:57.280 statistics, and

01:28:58.560 then you can

01:28:59.020 take the one

01:28:59.640 set of

01:28:59.980 statistics, oh, I

01:29:01.020 got a seven on

01:29:01.700 this one, and a

01:29:02.360 nine on this

01:29:02.940 one, and then

01:29:03.920 you have them

01:29:04.980 interfere, and

01:29:06.760 it's the

01:29:07.140 interference of

01:29:08.120 these statistical

01:29:08.840 things that are

01:29:09.520 happening with

01:29:10.000 your dice that

01:29:11.080 tells you what's

01:29:11.740 on the other

01:29:12.120 side of the

01:29:12.500 door.

01:29:12.700 Does that

01:29:15.840 make sense?

01:29:17.800 How do your

01:29:18.500 dice tell you

01:29:19.160 what's on the

01:29:19.760 other side of

01:29:20.180 the door?

01:29:22.480 That's what

01:29:23.040 quantum computer

01:29:24.000 pretends to

01:29:25.720 do.

01:29:26.820 It says it's

01:29:27.700 telling you what's

01:29:28.340 on the other

01:29:28.840 side of the

01:29:29.300 door using

01:29:30.940 nothing but

01:29:31.620 statistical math.

01:29:35.020 That's not a

01:29:35.820 thing.

01:29:37.580 That's not a

01:29:38.380 thing.

01:29:39.120 You can't know

01:29:39.960 what's on the

01:29:40.340 other side of

01:29:40.800 the door if

01:29:41.800 you have no

01:29:42.320 feedback, and

01:29:43.580 by the way,

01:29:44.340 quantum computer

01:29:45.200 does say very

01:29:45.980 clearly, there's

01:29:47.260 no feedback from

01:29:48.760 the solution.

01:29:49.980 It simply goes

01:29:50.820 to it.

01:29:52.720 It just goes

01:29:53.680 to it.

01:29:54.700 It doesn't

01:29:55.540 use logic.

01:29:56.640 It doesn't

01:29:57.540 calculate.

01:29:58.800 It doesn't

01:29:59.800 use some

01:30:00.640 process that

01:30:01.600 anybody has

01:30:02.220 ever used to

01:30:02.900 figure out

01:30:03.280 what's true.

01:30:04.100 It just goes

01:30:05.340 to the answer.

01:30:07.040 And the way

01:30:07.320 it does it is

01:30:08.000 by statistical

01:30:09.100 tricks, which

01:30:10.500 if you interfere

01:30:11.680 the two

01:30:12.200 statistical

01:30:12.940 techniques, it

01:30:14.420 cancels out

01:30:14.980 things, and

01:30:15.480 then you're

01:30:15.840 left with the

01:30:16.280 right answer.

01:30:17.480 How in the

01:30:18.100 world many

01:30:19.740 times do you

01:30:20.360 have to throw

01:30:20.860 dice in the

01:30:21.580 room all by

01:30:22.140 yourself to

01:30:22.740 know what's

01:30:23.080 on the other

01:30:23.460 side of the

01:30:23.900 door?

01:30:24.300 And the answer

01:30:24.800 is you can't

01:30:25.800 ever get there.

01:30:27.220 There's nothing

01:30:27.940 about the dice

01:30:28.820 that's going to

01:30:29.480 tell you what's

01:30:29.900 on the other

01:30:30.240 side of the

01:30:30.620 door.

01:30:31.360 Now, the

01:30:32.420 people who

01:30:32.860 understand quantum

01:30:33.840 computing are

01:30:34.740 going to come in

01:30:35.220 and say, that

01:30:35.880 is the worst

01:30:36.380 analogy ever.

01:30:37.620 Well, they're

01:30:37.980 right.

01:30:38.180 The only

01:30:39.240 point I'm

01:30:39.680 making is you

01:30:40.680 can't have

01:30:41.120 random numbers

01:30:42.080 tell you what's

01:30:42.700 on the other

01:30:43.080 side of the

01:30:43.480 door, and

01:30:43.960 that's what the

01:30:45.460 quantum computer

01:30:46.260 is doing.

01:30:47.600 So, how

01:30:49.120 does it work?

01:30:51.200 Given that

01:30:51.900 there's no way

01:30:52.480 it could work,

01:30:53.960 why does it

01:30:55.040 work?

01:30:55.740 Because they've

01:30:56.300 already used it,

01:30:57.200 and they've

01:30:57.640 solved problems

01:30:58.460 that would take

01:30:58.980 to the end of

01:31:00.240 time for a

01:31:00.800 regular computer.

01:31:01.480 And now, the

01:31:02.980 only reason they

01:31:03.540 know they've

01:31:04.020 solved it is

01:31:05.000 they take the

01:31:05.500 solution and

01:31:06.040 put it in a

01:31:06.540 regular computer,

01:31:07.800 and then the

01:31:08.260 regular computer,

01:31:09.080 if it knows the

01:31:09.580 solution, can

01:31:10.160 check that it's

01:31:10.760 right, but it

01:31:11.760 couldn't figure

01:31:12.200 out the answer

01:31:13.520 on its own.

01:31:15.060 So, here's

01:31:16.300 what I think.

01:31:17.200 I think that

01:31:18.060 quantum computing

01:31:19.060 is not proof that

01:31:20.580 we have multiple

01:31:21.220 dimensions, as

01:31:22.320 some people say,

01:31:23.600 because there's

01:31:23.960 no evidence of

01:31:24.580 any multiple

01:31:25.100 dimensions.

01:31:26.060 There might be

01:31:26.700 multiple dimensions,

01:31:28.200 but there's

01:31:28.920 nothing about

01:31:29.440 quantum computing

01:31:30.380 that gives you

01:31:31.100 any insight

01:31:32.420 about multiple

01:31:33.120 dimensions, any

01:31:34.840 more than the

01:31:35.580 dice do.

01:31:36.580 The multiple

01:31:37.120 dimensions would

01:31:37.860 be, if I throw

01:31:38.880 one set of

01:31:39.460 dice, it's a

01:31:40.040 seven, and I

01:31:40.840 throw the other 0.92

01:31:41.580 one, it's a

01:31:41.980 nine.

01:31:42.560 So, that's two

01:31:43.300 dimensions, right?

01:31:44.960 No, it's not.

01:31:46.400 It's just

01:31:47.120 statistics.

01:31:50.220 So, I think that

01:31:51.440 they found a way to

01:31:52.280 hack the simulation

01:31:53.200 source code.

01:31:55.060 If you're sitting

01:31:56.000 in a room, and

01:31:57.140 you want to know

01:31:57.640 what's on the

01:31:58.060 other side of the

01:31:58.620 door, and you

01:31:59.080 have no access

01:31:59.840 to it, put a

01:32:01.080 window, imagine

01:32:01.400 you were in a

01:32:02.000 video game, and

01:32:04.220 you could just

01:32:04.720 open up, like,

01:32:06.300 the cover and

01:32:07.020 see the code.

01:32:09.480 Then, could you

01:32:10.340 sit in your

01:32:10.820 room, if you

01:32:12.120 saw the code for

01:32:13.040 the entire

01:32:13.500 simulation, and

01:32:14.880 could you find

01:32:15.480 the part that

01:32:16.860 tells you what's

01:32:17.440 happening on the

01:32:18.080 other side of

01:32:18.540 the room?

01:32:20.820 There's no

01:32:21.400 other way this

01:32:21.960 could work.

01:32:23.120 This has to be

01:32:24.140 something like a

01:32:25.200 proof that we

01:32:26.400 live in a

01:32:26.820 simulation, because

01:32:28.260 there is no

01:32:29.060 access to the

01:32:29.980 information on the

01:32:30.800 other side of

01:32:31.280 the door, unless

01:32:32.560 you're doing a

01:32:34.020 Kobayashi Maru, and

01:32:36.620 you're cheating the

01:32:37.320 system.

01:32:38.080 So this is

01:32:38.820 literally cheating

01:32:39.700 reality by finding

01:32:41.220 the source code of

01:32:42.060 the simulation, poking

01:32:43.740 around at it, and

01:32:44.680 then you find out

01:32:45.280 what must be on the

01:32:46.080 other side of the

01:32:46.600 door.

01:32:49.340 Now, as 0.77

01:32:51.020 ridiculously 0.54

01:32:51.800 simplistic and wrong 0.60

01:32:54.660 as my analysis is,

01:32:56.100 what you'd expect

01:32:57.840 would be all the

01:32:59.280 smart people would

01:33:00.000 say, oh, God, can

01:33:02.780 you just stay in 1.00

01:33:04.640 your stupid 1.00

01:33:05.420 cartooning lane? 1.00

01:33:07.300 Can you stop

01:33:08.440 acting like you

01:33:09.540 somehow have

01:33:10.940 discovered something, 1.00

01:33:12.140 you stupid, stupid 1.00

01:33:13.300 cartoonist? 1.00

01:33:15.160 But that didn't

01:33:16.060 happen.

01:33:17.480 Instead, all the

01:33:18.320 people who had

01:33:18.740 looked into it said,

01:33:19.640 yeah, you nailed

01:33:20.240 it.

01:33:20.500 And more than

01:33:23.200 that, later in

01:33:24.440 the day, and I

01:33:25.140 didn't know this

01:33:25.600 was going to

01:33:25.980 happen, the CEO

01:33:28.300 of NVIDIA, who

01:33:30.460 definitely has

01:33:31.340 looked into quantum

01:33:32.400 computing, says he

01:33:34.360 doesn't think it

01:33:34.940 would be practical

01:33:35.600 maybe for as long

01:33:36.680 as 30 years.

01:33:41.100 Which means exactly

01:33:42.800 what I said.

01:33:43.540 It doesn't look

01:33:44.240 like it's really

01:33:44.900 going anywhere except

01:33:45.800 some niche

01:33:46.400 applications.

01:33:49.320 It's not going to

01:33:49.700 be on your

01:33:50.040 desktop.

01:33:50.680 It's not even

01:33:51.120 built to do

01:33:51.660 that.

01:33:52.020 It can't do

01:33:52.460 that.

01:33:55.440 And then, there

01:33:57.060 was an article

01:33:58.120 published about

01:33:59.040 the same time,

01:34:00.020 maybe yesterday.

01:34:00.760 I don't know when

01:34:01.420 this was published,

01:34:02.160 but I saw it

01:34:02.720 yesterday or

01:34:04.020 today.

01:34:04.700 Martin Shkreli,

01:34:06.300 you know,

01:34:06.760 Martin Shkreli,

01:34:08.640 he's a provocative

01:34:09.400 character, but he

01:34:10.780 wrote a long

01:34:11.300 piece in which he

01:34:13.440 said you should

01:34:14.160 short or sell all

01:34:15.340 your quantum

01:34:15.960 computing stocks

01:34:16.940 because they're

01:34:17.560 worthless because

01:34:18.720 there's no

01:34:19.100 business there and

01:34:20.020 never will be.

01:34:23.260 And he explains

01:34:24.160 why.

01:34:25.220 Now, I think

01:34:27.100 I was a lot

01:34:27.660 closer on this

01:34:28.480 than even I

01:34:29.220 was expecting

01:34:29.800 because I would

01:34:31.400 have been

01:34:31.640 happy if I

01:34:33.200 embarrassed myself

01:34:34.080 in public with 1.00

01:34:34.840 how stupid I 1.00

01:34:35.520 am, but that 1.00

01:34:36.600 it led to

01:34:37.340 somebody smart

01:34:38.780 explaining it to

01:34:39.600 me in a way

01:34:40.020 that made

01:34:40.340 sense.

01:34:40.720 Nope.

01:34:43.260 The people who

01:34:44.040 tried to explain

01:34:44.760 it to me just

01:34:45.380 did word salad.

01:34:46.680 Well, but

01:34:47.160 Scott, we

01:34:48.640 used something

01:34:49.660 called the

01:34:50.260 oracle feature

01:34:51.700 that decides

01:34:52.960 how to roll

01:34:54.200 the dice and

01:34:55.580 that's why it

01:34:56.420 works.

01:34:57.680 And I'll be

01:34:58.140 like, well,

01:34:58.580 you didn't tell

01:34:59.120 me anything

01:34:59.560 there.

01:34:59.860 Like, why does

01:35:00.720 it work?

01:35:01.320 Because it's the

01:35:02.420 statistics and it

01:35:03.400 interferes and

01:35:04.580 then it goes

01:35:04.980 through the,

01:35:05.920 like, you don't

01:35:06.480 know why this

01:35:07.040 works, do you?

01:35:08.280 No, nobody

01:35:08.760 knows why it

01:35:09.240 works.

01:35:11.260 Anyway, last

01:35:13.940 story is that

01:35:14.820 according to

01:35:15.720 BMJ Group,

01:35:17.300 cardio-respiratory

01:35:18.240 fitness is

01:35:18.920 linked to

01:35:19.460 better cognitive

01:35:20.800 abilities in

01:35:21.560 old people. 0.53

01:35:23.720 Is that

01:35:24.420 backward science?

01:35:26.600 So if we

01:35:27.600 know that the

01:35:28.280 old people who

01:35:29.300 are doing more

01:35:30.240 fitness stuff

01:35:31.620 have better

01:35:32.740 brains, is

01:35:34.500 that because

01:35:35.360 the fitness

01:35:36.060 and the

01:35:37.500 exercise causes

01:35:38.440 their brain to

01:35:39.100 be better, or

01:35:40.880 is it equally

01:35:42.820 or more likely

01:35:43.620 that the people

01:35:44.820 who have good

01:35:45.680 genes are more

01:35:46.880 likely to exercise

01:35:47.780 because they

01:35:48.560 can?

01:35:49.640 And if you

01:35:49.980 had good genes

01:35:50.680 for your body

01:35:51.420 and your body

01:35:52.080 was able to

01:35:52.720 handle exercise

01:35:53.400 and feel good

01:35:54.100 about it, is

01:35:55.880 it kind of at

01:35:56.940 least a little

01:35:57.440 bit likely that

01:35:58.160 your brain being

01:35:58.860 part of your

01:35:59.300 body is part

01:36:00.060 of something

01:36:00.960 that's a good

01:36:01.880 machine?

01:36:04.020 It probably

01:36:04.800 works both ways.

01:36:05.800 I do think

01:36:06.240 exercise is good

01:36:07.040 for your brain,

01:36:07.860 but I feel

01:36:08.800 like people

01:36:09.420 with good

01:36:09.880 brains and

01:36:10.380 bodies are

01:36:10.860 more likely

01:36:11.260 to exercise.

01:36:13.380 So it

01:36:14.760 might work

01:36:15.180 both ways.

01:36:16.560 Backward

01:36:17.020 science.

01:36:17.520 That's all I

01:36:17.880 got for you

01:36:18.320 today.

01:36:18.800 Sorry I

01:36:19.160 took so

01:36:19.780 long, but

01:36:22.260 I wanted to

01:36:22.720 do that

01:36:22.980 whiteboard

01:36:23.360 thing.

01:36:24.060 Let me

01:36:24.280 just ask

01:36:24.740 you before

01:36:25.180 I go

01:36:26.660 private with

01:36:27.160 the locals

01:36:27.520 people, was

01:36:28.720 the immigration

01:36:29.640 discussion useful

01:36:30.680 and did it

01:36:32.740 help you

01:36:33.440 see it a

01:36:35.220 little differently

01:36:35.720 and understand

01:36:36.560 why we're

01:36:37.040 looking at,

01:36:37.880 we think

01:36:38.340 we're talking

01:36:38.720 about the

01:36:39.100 same thing,

01:36:39.640 but we're

01:36:40.020 kind of not

01:36:40.820 when it comes

01:36:41.480 to immigration.

01:36:42.940 I just want

01:36:43.640 to see if that

01:36:44.020 was useful

01:36:44.460 because if it

01:36:45.120 was, I

01:36:45.560 might clip

01:36:46.020 it.

01:36:47.160 But if you

01:36:47.860 tell me,

01:36:48.440 well, that

01:36:48.660 was a waste

01:36:49.160 of time,

01:36:49.720 then I

01:36:50.040 won't clip

01:36:50.540 it.

01:36:51.320 Is it

01:36:51.760 clippable?

01:36:53.420 I'm seeing

01:36:53.860 some yeses.

01:36:58.080 All right.

01:36:58.500 Okay, I'm

01:37:02.460 getting lots

01:37:02.900 of yeses to

01:37:03.660 clip it.

01:37:04.080 All right, so

01:37:04.420 I'll clip

01:37:04.860 that.

01:37:05.260 You'll see

01:37:05.600 it at some

01:37:06.000 point.

01:37:07.480 You know, I

01:37:08.000 never think

01:37:08.480 about clipping

01:37:09.000 it when I'm

01:37:09.500 doing it.

01:37:11.060 I would do

01:37:11.680 it a lot

01:37:12.000 tighter and

01:37:12.560 faster if I

01:37:13.280 knew it was

01:37:13.580 going to be

01:37:13.820 a clip, but

01:37:14.500 it should

01:37:14.960 be okay.

01:37:16.020 It'll be

01:37:16.340 okay.

01:37:18.260 All right.

01:37:20.580 Good.

01:37:21.280 Oh, good.

01:37:21.840 You liked it.

01:37:22.820 All right, I'm

01:37:23.180 going to say

01:37:23.460 hi to the

01:37:24.260 locals, people

01:37:25.100 privately.

01:37:26.540 For the rest

01:37:27.220 of you, I

01:37:27.740 will see you.

01:37:28.500 tomorrow, same

01:37:31.320 time, same

01:37:31.760 place.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 08, 2025

Episode 2714 CWSA 01⧸08⧸25

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