Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 08, 2025


Episode 2714 CWSA 01⧸08⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 37 minutes

Words per Minute

155.12328

Word Count

15,130

Sentence Count

937

Misogynist Sentences

12

Hate Speech Sentences

44


Summary

In this week's episode, we talk about coffee, sexual humor, and the devastating fires in California. Plus, a new invention that takes water out of the air and puts it into your coffee, and a new kind of coffee maker that doesn't need to be plugged in.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 The dopamine, at the end of the day, the thing makes everything better.
00:00:02.900 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:06.240 Go.
00:00:11.320 Oh, deliciousness.
00:00:14.420 Incredible.
00:00:17.080 Speaking of coffee,
00:00:19.420 do you think there's some new scientific studies about it being good for you?
00:00:25.040 Hmm, let me check.
00:00:27.220 Yes, there are.
00:00:28.120 Turns out there's a new scientific study.
00:00:31.220 But it says that you get more health advantage if you drink your coffee in the morning
00:00:35.940 versus sipping it all day.
00:00:39.660 So if you're a morning drinker, like you are, because you just sipped with me,
00:00:44.220 you're 16% less likely to have died compared to non-coffee drinkers.
00:00:49.680 31% less likely to have died from heart disease, according to Chronicle Live.
00:00:55.600 So there's that.
00:00:56.660 And by the way, on top of that, at the CES show, there's a new coffee maker that sucks
00:01:04.620 the water for the coffee is sucked into the air in your house and put in your coffee.
00:01:10.820 So you never have to fill up your little portable coffee maker.
00:01:14.920 Well, not portable.
00:01:15.980 You never have to fill up your coffee maker.
00:01:17.940 It just grabs it out of the air.
00:01:20.220 Now, the question I have for you is,
00:01:22.380 would you drink coffee that was made from the water that was in your house in the air?
00:01:30.160 Because it feels like it would taste like your dog's hair and whatever was in your carpet.
00:01:38.840 Now, I know it's perfectly clean, because I'm sure they do it, so there's no contamination.
00:01:45.680 But the mental part, it's like, mmm.
00:01:48.600 I'm just imagining me have that, like, mmm.
00:01:53.360 This tastes a little like a, ah.
00:01:58.680 However, I will say that I do, I did recently buy one of those devices separately that can
00:02:04.760 take water out of the air.
00:02:06.540 So I'm a consumer of the taking water out of the air inside my house.
00:02:10.420 It's a real thing, and I recommend you get one in case you lose your water but not your
00:02:16.020 electricity.
00:02:16.880 That's what it's for.
00:02:19.400 Well, according to Psypost, did you know that sexual humor can boost your intimacy, and it
00:02:26.220 can enhance your sexual satisfaction?
00:02:28.280 So according to, yeah, the study in Psypost by Main Kara Yakubian, that the sexual humor,
00:02:36.020 sort of joking around and keeping things light while you're being intimate, is really good
00:02:41.020 for your intimacy.
00:02:43.140 However, it was a little lacking in useful tips, so I'd like to give you a useful tip in
00:02:50.400 this domain.
00:02:51.920 This comes from a professional humorist.
00:02:56.300 It goes like this.
00:02:59.200 Don't save your best jokes for just before she finishes.
00:03:04.340 That's all I have to say.
00:03:06.520 Don't ask me how I know that.
00:03:09.140 But just don't save your best material for right before she finishes, because it's not
00:03:15.080 going to help your intimacy at all.
00:03:18.020 Well, according to Rasmussen, people are a little skeptical in the country about the odds
00:03:23.740 of Congress cutting the U.S. budget.
00:03:27.140 44% consider it likely that they'll actually cut the size of government, the Republicans.
00:03:33.060 But apparently that would leave more people who don't think it's likely.
00:03:39.000 And let's see, 49% don't think it's likely at all.
00:03:42.480 Here's what I think.
00:03:45.100 It seems very unlikely until Doge gets a real, you know, grasp on things.
00:03:52.660 So I feel like it might be at least a year before we see a budget that looks like it might be
00:03:59.340 going down or even could go down.
00:04:01.400 So I feel like Trump is going to increase the budget.
00:04:05.620 I feel like he's going to say, you know, I need some money for Greenland and, you know, war on Panama or whatever it is.
00:04:13.080 I feel like he's going to cut taxes, which increases the deficit.
00:04:20.000 So everything is pointing toward our fiscal situation getting a lot worse before it has a chance to get better at all.
00:04:29.360 So that's probably what you should expect.
00:04:32.080 I don't think Congress has the ability without really strong Doge recommendations that everybody agrees with.
00:04:39.440 And that's going to take a while.
00:04:41.560 It'll take a while to get people to say, all right, let's get rid of this department entirely.
00:04:45.960 And let's not develop this airplane or whatever they're doing.
00:04:50.000 So it should get worse before it gets better.
00:04:52.480 But there's still there is a plan.
00:04:54.680 You know, Doge is still active.
00:04:56.020 So we'll see.
00:04:57.560 Well, obviously, the story that is closest to me and is weighing on me heavily right now is the Palisades Fire in California.
00:05:04.700 Now, I'm not in Southern California, so I'm far away from the actual fire.
00:05:10.520 But if you live in California, you probably have a friend there.
00:05:14.600 So Californians are being affected directly, indirectly.
00:05:19.300 And I don't know yet if the news has conveyed how bad this is.
00:05:25.620 So I'm not going to spend a ton of time on it because you can just turn on the TV and it's all you'll see today practically.
00:05:33.060 But the fire is gigantic.
00:05:37.020 Last I knew, it was 0% controlled because the winds were so high.
00:05:41.700 It was basically nothing you could do.
00:05:43.200 It was just ripping through these multimillion dollar homes.
00:05:46.780 James Woods reportedly lost his home and he would be one of many people who had no fire insurance.
00:05:55.200 Now, that's a legend.
00:05:56.580 So I haven't heard that from James Woods.
00:05:59.160 So I don't know if that's true.
00:06:00.820 It's on X.
00:06:02.160 But it is true that because California had so many fire-related gigantic disasters, most insurance companies pulled out of the state.
00:06:13.820 So this is probably the biggest modern fire in which there are a lot of houses involved and a lot of them won't be insured.
00:06:24.280 So you're seeing hundreds of people losing something like their whole life.
00:06:29.260 A few people would be insured and they might come out okay after a lot of disruption.
00:06:34.980 But this is massively bad.
00:06:36.980 But this is massively bad.
00:06:37.880 It's massively bad.
00:06:39.160 13,000 structures.
00:06:41.360 Nothing in the L.A. area as a natural disaster has ever come close, is my understanding.
00:06:47.160 I don't think anything's ever been close to the size and scale of this disaster.
00:06:52.520 You know, we've had forest fires, of course.
00:06:54.140 But, you know, this many structures, this is insane.
00:07:01.300 Joel Pollack is writing in Breitbart that L.A. Mayor Karen Bass cut the fire department budget by $20 million.
00:07:10.260 Now, to be fair, it wasn't the only thing that was being looked at to cut, and they did cut it back to the budget that was roughly the same as the year before.
00:07:20.500 But clearly, the question of priorities has to be asked.
00:07:26.520 If you knew that we had this much risk, is the fire department the thing you want to cut?
00:07:33.380 Do you think more money went to immigration and taking care of the homeless?
00:07:40.260 And maybe a little less went to the fire prevention?
00:07:44.240 We also are hearing that California Governor Newsom did a bad job of managing the forest floors, you know, cleaning up the brush.
00:07:53.520 Apparently, I think Trump had warned him, and maybe everybody warned him.
00:07:58.580 So he didn't do controlled burns.
00:08:00.840 So these are the accusations.
00:08:02.540 You know, I'm willing to listen to the other side, which I haven't heard yet.
00:08:06.220 So maybe Newsom has some kind of defense that would sound reasonable, but I doubt it.
00:08:12.720 It does seem like it's exactly what it looks like.
00:08:15.600 It's poorly managed.
00:08:17.200 Now, the report I heard, but I haven't heard a confirmation, is that it was some homeless person who set the fire.
00:08:24.400 Do we know if that's confirmed?
00:08:25.700 And then the coincidence, I think, I think it's a coincidence.
00:08:35.180 Yeah.
00:08:36.340 I'm seeing in the comments.
00:08:37.800 I'll say it just because it's in the comments.
00:08:40.360 That this really isn't the disaster that I think I want to take a stand on DEI.
00:08:47.980 You know, DEI is a big issue, and, you know, I hammer it all the time.
00:08:51.660 But this is more about the people in the disaster right now.
00:08:56.000 It is true that if you look at the mayor and you look at the head of the fire department, they are quite conspicuously, you know, that they would fit that frame, your DEI analysis.
00:09:08.740 But I don't have any evidence.
00:09:10.780 I have no evidence whatsoever that any of the people in charge did a specific thing that caused this fire or anything that's, you know, DEI related.
00:09:20.560 So, the standard that I like to use on this stuff is you can't tell anything about the individuals.
00:09:27.340 So, yes, the people in charge are probably, it seems, influenced by DEI.
00:09:34.720 But we don't know if somebody else who had not been a DEI hire would have done better.
00:09:39.780 We do know things didn't go well.
00:09:42.200 We do know that there are obvious ways they could have prevented or maybe had a better chance of preventing it.
00:09:49.300 But I wouldn't tightly bind the DEI story with the fire story because I think that's sort of taking attention away from where it should be, which is an insane tragedy and a lot of people affected.
00:10:02.240 But it's not a nothing either.
00:10:07.180 I hate the fact that the news is going to report about which celebrities lost their homes.
00:10:13.900 Literally the people least affected.
00:10:16.240 But that's who we are.
00:10:17.800 We're going to talk about the celebrities lost their homes.
00:10:20.220 There will be more of them.
00:10:20.940 I guess I'm going to leave this one here.
00:10:28.520 So, my state is just massively in trouble and massively undermanaged, it feels like.
00:10:36.720 And I'm wondering if this disaster is going to be big enough that the Democrats finally say, I'm out.
00:10:43.420 Because you've watched the Trump effect everywhere.
00:10:48.260 I was watching Fetterman say, you know, he wants to make sure he can work with the Republicans because they did win the election.
00:10:56.180 And that seems positive.
00:10:58.300 We saw Zuckerberg.
00:10:59.420 We'll talk more about him.
00:11:00.640 He's taking what I would call a reasoned pivot because he says that's where the country is going.
00:11:08.120 He's not going to fight it.
00:11:09.260 So, it seems like there's a, you know, and of course, Bill Maher and a number of other Democrats are now coming over to the, what I'd call the common sense side of things.
00:11:21.160 I feel like this disaster is going to be big enough that it might actually shake even blue California.
00:11:30.420 I would say that after this, the impossible is now possible.
00:11:36.120 A Republican governor.
00:11:39.260 Do you think I would have ever imagined a Republican governor in the past?
00:11:45.000 I mean, in the recent past, not in the recent past.
00:11:48.440 But I think this is so bad that it might change everything.
00:11:51.940 Now, it wouldn't change everything except it's in the context of the Trump effect.
00:11:57.020 So, the Trump effect is sort of this larger thing that's moving everything.
00:12:00.580 And then this is, you know, a subset of that that I think will be accelerated by it.
00:12:06.040 So, the disaster alone wouldn't change politics in California.
00:12:10.480 The disaster plus the Trump effect, now your brain is going to connect them.
00:12:16.020 It's like, wait a minute.
00:12:17.600 Every time Democrats are in charge, it's either a riot or an economic disaster or it burns.
00:12:26.300 You know, everybody's going to see the pattern.
00:12:28.100 The pattern is a little hard to avoid at this point.
00:12:33.540 Anyway, if we can, I'm going to try to stay away from the conversation about the heavy part of that, just because it's hard to handle.
00:12:42.940 Well, let's talk about Trump on Greenland and Panama and Canada.
00:12:49.120 So, the big question all the fake news are asking is, he says, is he going to use the military?
00:12:56.940 Is he going to use the military in Greenland and Panama and Canada?
00:13:00.020 Well, so, Trump said, according to the Daily Wire, Trump said, in answer to that question, I'm not going to commit to not using the military to get Greenland or the Panama Canal.
00:13:15.480 So, Trump said he would not promise that he would not use the military for Greenland or the Panama Canal.
00:13:23.280 Now, have I explained enough how Trump works so that you can understand that in context?
00:13:31.640 The context is, he's negotiating.
00:13:35.200 If you're negotiating with Panama and you say, I take the option of using the military off the table, how's that negotiation going to go?
00:13:43.960 Well, you already know.
00:13:45.440 Panama's going to say, get lost, and that will be the end.
00:13:49.140 Right?
00:13:49.620 But if he says, I'm keeping that option open, and the larger context is that it has a geopolitical homeland defense element to it, and it does, because China is getting control over the canal, and that's unacceptable.
00:14:04.880 As long as he keeps it as a military homeland defense issue, he is perfectly entitled, and it's the smart play, to say, no, I'm not taking that off the table.
00:14:15.940 Now, how many times have I had to explain to the country, Trump never takes options off the table?
00:14:23.980 Taking options off the table is maybe the biggest mistake you could make.
00:14:29.380 I mean, there could be other ones, but that would be about the biggest mistake you could make, taking your own options off the table?
00:14:36.960 No.
00:14:37.660 Keep that one on there.
00:14:38.960 Now, what are the odds that he would actually use military force to get Greenland?
00:14:44.540 Well, let's discuss what that would mean.
00:14:49.040 Would that really mean we'd go in and start shooting the Greenlandiers?
00:14:53.860 I don't know what they're called.
00:14:55.260 Greenlandians?
00:14:56.780 Greenlanders?
00:14:58.160 No.
00:14:59.100 No, we're not going to go shoot anybody from Greenland.
00:15:01.300 Greenlanders?
00:15:03.300 Is it possible, potentially, that there would be a large military entity that simply lands and builds a base, whether they like it or not?
00:15:16.520 Maybe.
00:15:17.660 Because we might say, we don't want to own your country, we get it, but we have to protect it because it's relevant to our own defense.
00:15:26.120 We're not doing it for you, we're not doing it to you, it's just for our own defense.
00:15:30.340 So that would be military, but it wouldn't be us threatening to shoot anybody in Greenland, which would be 100% unacceptable.
00:15:40.360 But keeping it on the table is absolutely the right negotiating position.
00:15:45.740 Now, you might say to me, but Scott, are you saying that you would be in favor of the military going into Canada?
00:15:54.140 Because he's also talked about Canada being 51st state.
00:15:58.120 When he was asked about using the military in Canada, he said we don't need it because we only need financial, he called it pressure, but you could also call it, you know, a risk reward.
00:16:09.980 And the idea would be that he could make an economic argument that Canada would just be economically better off, so that's all he needs.
00:16:20.520 Because people care about their wallet, and they care about their defense, and they might care about just surviving.
00:16:27.180 And if he can offer a better chance to make money, survive, and thrive, then doesn't everybody win?
00:16:35.680 Now, of course, that's the American point of view.
00:16:37.480 My understanding is that at least part of what makes Canadians Canadian is they're not Americans, and they would really prefer to keep it that way, you know, much of the Canadian public.
00:16:50.260 However, they've also watched the value of their dollar go down by 41% or something since Trudeau got in office.
00:16:58.460 So they've watched the virtual destruction of their country and everything they love about it.
00:17:03.040 And Trump is offering a very clean solution to it.
00:17:08.200 Less immigration, better financial management.
00:17:12.200 I think he could at least sell that he could deliver those things.
00:17:17.640 Whether they say yes to it, I think no.
00:17:20.060 I mean, I don't think we're going to take on Canada as a state.
00:17:25.420 I would bet against that happening.
00:17:28.200 But the kind of pressure that Trump is putting on Canada seems financial.
00:17:34.100 So he's going to say things like, well, he's already said, why do we need anything from Canada?
00:17:39.740 Why are we running a trade deficit when we make all the same things that Canada makes?
00:17:45.240 There's nothing Canada makes that nobody's making in the United States.
00:17:49.380 We could just make more of it.
00:17:50.940 Now, it would cost more, might cost more in the short run, because if you have more suppliers, prices go down.
00:18:00.060 If you have fewer, it goes up.
00:18:02.360 So if we don't get it from Canada, I imagine some prices would go up.
00:18:05.760 But as a threat to Canada to negotiate our best situation and maybe get them to close their border so it isn't a risk to us,
00:18:15.160 I feel like maybe it's just going to help create a more productive relationship between the two countries.
00:18:24.820 However, having said that, I don't see a way that Trump would seriously use the military.
00:18:31.280 And imagine how committed he is to not using the military when he breaks his own rule about taking options off the table.
00:18:42.280 When it comes to Canada, he's taking his own option off the table.
00:18:46.000 He doesn't do that unless he means it, means it, means it, really, really means it.
00:18:51.880 Like he'll never take an option off the table.
00:18:53.920 He's very consistent.
00:18:55.240 So that means to me that, no, there's not going to be any military incursion in Canada.
00:19:00.060 However, I can see a way it would happen if Canada goes to even more unrestricted immigration to the point where the immigration in our northern border becomes a direct risk to the United States
00:19:17.680 and Canada is unwilling or unable to stop it, we would stop it.
00:19:23.360 So if you're Canadian and you're listening to this, if your immigration remains uncontrolled
00:19:32.680 and it's bringing in people that we think would be a future risk to the United States, that is cause for military action.
00:19:39.460 That is cause for military action.
00:19:42.020 Let me be really clear about that.
00:19:43.660 If your immigration policy becomes a direct risk to the United States, even if it's, you know, five years from now, yes, I would be in favor of military action only to do that one thing, to make sure that they close the border.
00:19:58.260 I don't care about anything else.
00:19:59.820 You know, I don't want to, I don't want to, don't want to colonize Canada.
00:20:03.240 But if Canada doesn't close its border, that's our risk.
00:20:06.060 And here's my rule about self-defense.
00:20:10.680 There are no rules about self-defense.
00:20:13.900 That's the main thing you have to know.
00:20:16.560 Now, you might get in trouble, you might go to jail for what you do, but there are no rules.
00:20:21.480 And if Canada becomes a self-defense problem, just understand, Canada, there are no rules.
00:20:28.700 So that's when military becomes a definite option.
00:20:33.500 I think it's super unlikely.
00:20:36.060 But, maybe.
00:20:40.440 Meanwhile, over in China, President Xi had to slap down this Chinese economist who said that the Chinese GDP numbers were probably cooked and ridiculous.
00:20:51.380 Those are my words, not his.
00:20:52.540 But he thinks that maybe the real GDP is 2%, not 5%.
00:20:56.640 And he also doubts that, he doubts that the government can do anything about it and that China is, you know,
00:21:06.060 in bad trouble.
00:21:08.400 So, what happened to him?
00:21:11.120 Well, let's just say in China, you don't want to be the economist who goes public about President Xi lying and being in, you know, doomed financial position.
00:21:22.760 You don't want to do that.
00:21:24.700 So, let's just say bad things are happening to that guy.
00:21:27.580 But this is further to my claim that all data that matters is fake.
00:21:33.820 All data that matters, if it doesn't matter, it could be true.
00:21:39.280 But if it matters, and what could matter more than the GDP of China?
00:21:43.300 It would be hard to think of a data point that's much bigger than, is the GDP good or are they in a death spiral?
00:21:54.160 I mean, the difference between good and death spiral of China, you know, the most populous place on earth, second biggest economy, right?
00:22:03.160 Uh, that's enormous.
00:22:06.620 And that data is fake.
00:22:10.220 The most important data.
00:22:12.040 And I would go further and say the more important the data is, the more guaranteed it's fake.
00:22:17.880 So, it's not, you know, yes or no, fake or not fake.
00:22:22.460 As you go up the level of importance, the more important it is, you can guarantee it's not true.
00:22:27.840 Because it's so important that the people who control the data are going to make sure you see what they want you to say.
00:22:34.320 Because it's too important.
00:22:37.780 So, you think AI is going to tell us what's true?
00:22:40.480 No, it won't.
00:22:42.380 Because AI will be turned off, just like this Chinese economist, the moment it tells you the truth.
00:22:48.860 You think China is going to get ahead of us on AI?
00:22:53.280 Well, this would be a little hint of what's going to happen.
00:22:56.200 If China gets AI that can actually answer any questions, like actually honestly, they're not going to allow it.
00:23:03.360 They might use it for, you know, navigating a self-driving car,
00:23:07.680 but they're not going to use AI to answer a question about China's GDP.
00:23:12.440 That's for sure.
00:23:13.920 Imagine China allowing AI to answer this question.
00:23:17.940 AI is the GDP number for China.
00:23:22.000 Imagine you're a Chinese citizen.
00:23:23.840 Is that accurate and considered valid by the rest of the world?
00:23:28.060 Now, a very famous economist has said it's a fake number.
00:23:33.620 Do you think China is going to allow AI to say that?
00:23:36.660 Not a chance.
00:23:38.200 Not a chance.
00:23:39.080 And then you say, oh, thank goodness we're not in China, right?
00:23:43.560 No, that's not where this is heading.
00:23:46.800 It's going to be the same.
00:23:49.240 If in the United States or any democratic country, the AI says something that's bad for the country,
00:23:56.440 now in our country, it wouldn't be that bad if you criticize the GDP.
00:24:02.160 Because, you know, people do that in this country.
00:24:05.460 So that wouldn't be the example where maybe it would get turned off.
00:24:08.860 But you could certainly imagine if it were the pandemic and they came out and said, wear a mask.
00:24:15.760 And you go to AI and say, AI, what are the odds that a mask is going to be helpful in this situation?
00:24:22.420 You know, now that we know more about it.
00:24:24.180 And the AI would say, no, it is ridiculous.
00:24:26.760 There is no obvious benefit from masks.
00:24:30.780 Would we allow the AI to answer that question that way?
00:24:34.560 If that was what it would naturally answer.
00:24:37.540 I don't know if it would.
00:24:38.140 No, no, we're not going to let it.
00:24:41.560 So the United States and China will be exactly the same.
00:24:45.160 If our government determines that AI's honesty is a threat to the country,
00:24:50.860 they'll just limit it until it isn't.
00:24:55.480 So there's that.
00:24:56.820 Meanwhile, in the Derek Chauvin and situation, who, as you know, is in jail now for his.
00:25:13.280 Why am I blanking on the George Floyd?
00:25:16.040 So he's in jail for allegedly using the wrong training to restrain Floyd, which caused, some say, his death.
00:25:27.420 And so the police officer is in jail.
00:25:30.460 And now it turns out that there are a group of 14 current and former Minneapolis police departments.
00:25:37.820 Watch how bad you're going to get.
00:25:39.140 If you haven't heard this story, just watch how mad you're going to get.
00:25:42.800 So 14 people who basically worked with Derek Chauvin at the same time-ish, they have sworn declarations.
00:25:52.680 So now sworn declarations.
00:25:54.660 They're not kidding around.
00:25:56.280 That the assistant chief, Katie Blackwell, committed perjury during the Derek Chauvin trial.
00:26:03.420 And specifically, she testified that the method of restraint used by Chauvin,
00:26:08.600 which is the knee on the back of the back there.
00:26:13.480 That specific thing that he is accused of using inappropriately and causing the death of Floyd is part of the training.
00:26:23.900 It's not just part of the training.
00:26:28.080 It's training every one of these had.
00:26:31.400 Every one of these police officers, current and former, went through the exact training that told them to do exactly what Derek Chauvin did and went to jail for.
00:26:42.720 Derek Chauvin's, I guess she would have been something like a boss, but higher up.
00:26:47.920 The assistant chief, Katie Blackwell, said at trial that that's not what they trained them to do.
00:26:55.840 14 people said, I went through the training.
00:26:58.300 It's exactly what you trained us to do.
00:27:01.240 He's in jail.
00:27:03.060 Do you need to know anything else about this trial?
00:27:07.360 He needs to be released immediately.
00:27:09.260 Because if we find that it's true that these 14 people got the same training and that the police lied about it for maybe political expediency,
00:27:24.900 just maybe they were reading the room and it was too dangerous to let him go free.
00:27:28.820 I don't know what they were thinking.
00:27:30.840 But I would say there's a 100% chance that he was unfairly convicted for being white.
00:27:37.540 Anybody disagree with that framing?
00:27:39.740 100% now I have no doubt.
00:27:43.160 Like all doubt is removed.
00:27:44.560 Usually in these situations there's a little doubt.
00:27:47.200 You know, you don't know exactly what's happening everywhere.
00:27:49.660 But in this case, no, I'm at 100%.
00:27:51.860 This is racially motivated racism against a white cop.
00:27:57.300 And had he not been white, this wouldn't happen.
00:28:00.060 Certainly wouldn't happen.
00:28:01.160 This is pure racism.
00:28:02.680 And every day he sits in trial, he sits in that office.
00:28:06.640 I hate my government.
00:28:09.260 I hate my government.
00:28:10.980 Every minute he's in jail.
00:28:13.000 And I'm sorry, you know, I want to love my country, but I hate it.
00:28:20.600 Because if you did this to him, you can do it to me.
00:28:24.980 And it's too far.
00:28:26.560 It's too far.
00:28:27.220 I don't know what the...
00:28:30.440 So none of those charges would be federal, right?
00:28:33.440 So it's not like there's anything Trump could do about it.
00:28:36.200 But I feel like there should be a crowd of 100,000 white people surrounding the jail and chanting for his freedom.
00:28:45.440 Because if we let this one go, I don't know where it goes next.
00:28:50.920 You got to stop this one hard.
00:28:53.400 And I would make sure that the police officer who said this, if it can be demonstrated that it was an intentional lie, she needs to go to jail.
00:29:05.820 Would you agree?
00:29:06.520 Like, I don't know what the exact crime would be in that case.
00:29:09.800 But if she lied about training that, yeah, she needs to go to jail for a long time.
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00:30:18.900 Meanwhile, you heard about this before, that Biden is releasing several Yemeni, I guess, people who are accused of being terrorists, or too close to terrorism, I guess, from Gitmo.
00:30:36.240 Now, two of them were Bin Laden's bodyguards.
00:30:40.660 Who in the world thinks that Bin Laden's bodyguards can be reformed?
00:30:47.340 Is that even a thing?
00:30:49.220 And are we doing it just because we kind of want to do this slow drip of releasing people because ultimately we want to close Gitmo?
00:30:57.500 We don't want it forever.
00:30:58.340 And I get the whole part about closing it eventually.
00:31:02.560 But none of this makes sense.
00:31:07.420 And there are so many things going on that the only way you could explain it is that there's a certain class of people, you know, whatever Soros wants and some other people, Biden.
00:31:18.560 And it looks like they're acting against the interests of the United States.
00:31:22.820 And I don't understand it.
00:31:25.080 Well, why can't we tell that they even have the right intention?
00:31:29.320 And this is very different from people who just have a different political opinion about how to get to the better place.
00:31:35.340 That I fully understand.
00:31:37.200 So, oh, you have a different opinion how to get to a place where we're all happier.
00:31:41.040 Okay.
00:31:41.960 You know, maybe I'm wrong.
00:31:42.800 But when you're releasing terrorists, why don't you think we need some kind of an explanation about that?
00:31:55.660 So I asked this question on X and it got about 3 million responses, which I wasn't expecting.
00:32:02.700 I said, is England intentionally becoming an Islamic country or did they really not understand how anything works?
00:32:09.200 And I said, that's a serious question, which it is.
00:32:11.780 It wasn't some other people, I think, said, are you trying to get engagement?
00:32:16.560 No, this is how I use X.
00:32:18.260 I have an actual real question.
00:32:20.020 It actually really, really matters to not only England, but to me.
00:32:25.160 And I want to know.
00:32:27.400 So I have developed a framework for understanding why England apparently is doing something terribly bad for them.
00:32:37.120 But acts like they're not.
00:32:38.600 And also in the United States, Biden with his open borders, immigration stuff, it looked like he was doing something that was intentionally bad for the country.
00:32:50.620 And how do you understand that?
00:32:52.180 So I have a framework for helping us understand the difference between how the Republicans and how the Democrats are viewing immigration.
00:33:02.000 And I think once you see the framework, everything will make sense.
00:33:05.040 So first, I'm going to show you the Democrat framework.
00:33:09.000 And of course, these are highly simplified, so it doesn't mean every Democrat, blah, blah, blah.
00:33:14.600 Yeah, I don't have to give you all that, right?
00:33:18.420 I'd love to get to the point where I don't have to do the...
00:33:21.260 And you realize that not 100% of everybody has the same opinion.
00:33:25.580 I shouldn't have to say that.
00:33:27.420 All right, so here's the poorly visible Democrat frame.
00:33:33.360 If you talk to Democrats about immigration, they'll say, if you look at our history, you know, the long history of the United States,
00:33:40.000 in the beginning of history, immigration was good, because it was a big old semi-empty country, except for the Native Americans, of course.
00:33:48.820 But we had plenty of space, and we also had unlimited demand for manual labor.
00:33:56.760 Unlimited demand, because farming and, well, mostly farming.
00:34:02.020 Farming, you can just do more of it if you have more people, because we had lots of land.
00:34:07.120 Land wasn't a problem.
00:34:08.020 So if you had land and water, all you really need is more people, and suddenly the economy is going fine.
00:34:16.160 You know, you need them, unfortunately, slavery was part of that, but it also serves the point.
00:34:25.960 So, anyway, so the Democrat frame is that immigration was good in the past.
00:34:34.340 It was good, good, good, good, good, good.
00:34:37.120 So, today it's still good.
00:34:40.140 Now, to back that point of view, I wasn't there, but don't you imagine, just commonsensely, that in our past, where we're looking at it from today's perspective,
00:34:52.800 we say, well, it's good we did all that immigration.
00:34:55.260 It was really good for the country.
00:34:56.300 But don't you think that the people who were in the country at the time were saying things like, look at all the Italians who are coming into the country, and, whoa, do we really want to bring in that many people from France?
00:35:12.520 Don't you think?
00:35:13.620 Don't you think the Germans and the Italians didn't like each other, and the French didn't like the English?
00:35:19.500 So, probably, probably the people who were already here said, this is a terrible idea.
00:35:26.520 Stop bringing in people who don't look like me, and don't act like me, and come from another country.
00:35:31.440 But it all worked out.
00:35:32.580 So, if you were the Democrat, you'd say, reasonably, this is a reasonable opinion.
00:35:38.900 Throughout history, people said, don't do this, but every time they did it, it worked out.
00:35:45.300 Is that correct?
00:35:46.620 Now, I'm not saying that you should agree with this frame.
00:35:49.240 I'm saying, is this the Democrat frame?
00:35:51.480 It always worked before, and everybody complained before, but they were always wrong, so let's do more of it.
00:36:00.020 Simple.
00:36:00.460 I think that would be the whole Democrat frame, and if this was all that was to it, I think I'd agree with it.
00:36:08.800 If there was nothing else to the question, that would be a good frame for understanding it.
00:36:13.900 Now, here's the Republican frame.
00:36:24.220 We'll talk about England in particular as my example.
00:36:27.200 The Republicans say, wait a minute, you can't look at history, because there are important differences.
00:36:33.640 The first difference is the flow rate.
00:36:36.560 It is ridiculous to say that immigration is good at any level.
00:36:42.460 Now, in the past, it probably was close to true that any level of immigration would be additive to our economy.
00:36:51.060 Because, again, we had unlimited need for manual labor, and we had lots of space.
00:36:58.400 So that's different.
00:37:00.540 Today, we do not have lots of space, relatively, and we don't have unlimited need for manual labor.
00:37:08.080 And when the robots come, it'll be even worse.
00:37:10.100 Because as long as there are unemployed Americans, we do not have unlimited labor needs, right?
00:37:19.460 So that's different.
00:37:20.920 And if you ignore the rate that there is some level that the country can't handle all at once, you're not really looking at this like a smart person.
00:37:29.860 So when Democrats ignore the flow rate, they're not really being honest about the conversation, are they?
00:37:37.520 If they act like that doesn't matter.
00:37:40.520 Now, the other thing that Republicans say is that the type of people you're bringing in matters.
00:37:47.400 Now, here's where it gets dicey.
00:37:49.400 Because as soon as you say the type matters, you're racist, right?
00:37:54.720 Because those are the rules.
00:37:56.120 Those are the rules.
00:37:56.880 I don't make them up.
00:37:57.620 Now, the Democrats will call you racist if you criticize a system, even though a system is not a person, right?
00:38:07.960 So Trump and a lot of Republicans would like to get the people who have the right skills so that we're not dealing with this, you know, unlimited manual labor thing.
00:38:18.400 Rather, do they fit in the country with what we know about the country today?
00:38:22.340 So this is brand new.
00:38:23.620 It wasn't that important to bring in, I don't know, scientists in the last 200 years because they weren't doing that much.
00:38:33.340 But we needed the farmhands, right?
00:38:36.980 That's all completely reversed now.
00:38:38.560 Now we need the scientists.
00:38:40.060 We don't need the farmhands as much.
00:38:41.900 If you don't, if they don't pay it, you know, if that's being ignored, it's bad.
00:38:46.360 Now, the other thing is the type of people from what system they're coming from.
00:38:52.820 And here's the part that will either get me killed or canceled, but it needs to be said.
00:38:57.180 And this is the part that, as far as I know, I've never met one Democrat who understood it.
00:39:03.980 So let's see if you would agree with that statement.
00:39:06.400 The next thing I'm going to describe, I've never seen one Democrat ever who understood what I'm going to say next.
00:39:14.200 It goes like this.
00:39:15.760 If you were to look at England and their problems specifically with Islamic people coming in,
00:39:22.100 whoa, hold on, that's racist.
00:39:24.180 Why are you just talking about that one group?
00:39:27.560 Super racist, right?
00:39:29.700 But did I mention anybody's race?
00:39:32.380 No.
00:39:33.140 Islam is wonderfully open to all races.
00:39:37.140 So when you talk about Islam, you're talking about a system.
00:39:40.800 You're not talking about the individuals because you could have, you know, black, white, brown.
00:39:45.740 You could be Islamic as long as you just buy into the system.
00:39:49.540 So when I say, if you say you're being anti-Islamic, I say, how is that different from being anti-communist?
00:39:59.160 Because I'm not talking about the people in either case.
00:40:02.160 I'm talking about the system that some people are in.
00:40:05.020 So I'm going to say things about the system that do not apply to any individuals.
00:40:13.400 Furthermore, they do not apply even to the majority, even to the majority of Islamic people.
00:40:21.000 However, here's what you need to know.
00:40:23.140 There is something different about the Islamic people coming into the country.
00:40:29.980 They have a system which prefers their religion to be above the government.
00:40:36.960 That's different from pretty much everybody else who came into the country.
00:40:41.500 Most other people, people coming into the United States and Great Britain, I would say,
00:40:45.420 are people who could easily adapt to the government being the top authority and the religion just being like the other religions living among them.
00:40:55.560 Now, I would say that probably most of England is non-Islamic, but I don't have the exact number.
00:41:02.960 Maybe you do.
00:41:03.520 But something like 10% of, let's say, just England for Americans, since most of you don't know the difference, I don't either,
00:41:13.740 between the United Kingdom, Great Britain, and England, like they're all different.
00:41:20.740 So let's just talk about England to keep it simple, right?
00:41:24.220 So England, let's say, has 10% Islamic population, both legal and illegal, about 10%.
00:41:33.040 Now, within that 10%, I would say the vast majority of them just want a better life and get along,
00:41:42.700 and they might prefer Sharia.
00:41:46.200 They might prefer that the law was Sharia, but they're okay living within the system,
00:41:51.700 and maybe by the second generation, you know, their children would be like,
00:41:56.100 ah, I'm just English.
00:41:57.520 Maybe.
00:41:58.500 I wouldn't rule it down.
00:41:59.820 But here's the thing that Democrats don't understand,
00:42:02.240 and I think they would agree to this first part of it, that there's this tiny group,
00:42:09.600 let's say tiny as a percentage, not necessarily as a number, but as a percentage, it's small,
00:42:15.140 who would be extremists.
00:42:16.400 And what they would like, the extremists, all extremists in the Islamic system,
00:42:22.900 would like to convince the other Islamists to be on their team,
00:42:27.140 which they aren't exactly completely,
00:42:29.920 and they'd like them to eventually dominate the entire country.
00:42:35.300 That's what only the extremists, remember, just this tiny, tiny little thing.
00:42:39.000 Now, if you're a Democrat, what do you think of this situation?
00:42:42.340 Well, if your frame is that eventually it always looks bad at first,
00:42:50.380 but eventually everybody assimilates and everything's fine,
00:42:53.660 you would not see this as any kind of a problem, right?
00:42:57.540 This wouldn't look like a problem.
00:42:59.140 Look, are you talking about this tiny little group of extremists?
00:43:02.920 Eventually, they just get absorbed, and the legal system takes care of them
00:43:07.180 if they do anything out of line, and over time, it's just a simulation,
00:43:10.860 just like it always was.
00:43:12.340 Just like history.
00:43:14.360 Here's what they don't get.
00:43:16.700 These extremists, if they play their cards right, which isn't hard,
00:43:22.420 can get a lot of control over the people who are not extremists.
00:43:27.160 By analogy, it doesn't take a lot of mafia on your neighborhood
00:43:32.480 to make everybody do what the mafia wants you to do.
00:43:36.500 You don't need 90% mafia to control 100% of your block.
00:43:43.360 If you've got a little bit of mafia there, everybody knows,
00:43:47.060 I don't want to mess with the mafia, so I'm just going to go along, right?
00:43:51.300 Now, I'm not comparing Islam to mafia.
00:43:54.840 The comparison is that when you have a small number of very dangerous,
00:43:59.320 risk-taking people,
00:44:00.520 they can have a huge effect on anybody who just wants to stay out of trouble.
00:44:04.620 So eventually, you can imagine that the extremists,
00:44:09.540 because they take more risks,
00:44:11.720 often fail, because they take a lot of risks.
00:44:14.540 But every now and then,
00:44:16.360 maybe one gets something right and influences,
00:44:19.340 or one of them gets a job as a mayor,
00:44:21.360 or suddenly one of them is a chief of police.
00:44:23.720 And the history which Republicans have been taught,
00:44:29.140 but I don't think any Democrats,
00:44:30.940 is that this tiny bit of extremists
00:44:33.400 will influence the other people,
00:44:35.880 and then there will eventually be enough of them combined
00:44:38.740 that they will have control over the entire country.
00:44:42.940 Now, if you haven't been taught that,
00:44:46.280 that this is not just a risk,
00:44:48.480 it's a guarantee.
00:44:50.200 That's where the difference is.
00:44:51.660 If you understand this as a risk,
00:44:54.260 you don't know what's going on.
00:44:56.240 This is not a risk.
00:44:58.220 When you reach about 10% Islamic people in your country,
00:45:03.100 and they've come in recently,
00:45:04.440 and they're still very Islamic,
00:45:06.300 you only need a few of them as a percentage.
00:45:10.500 It's still a big number,
00:45:11.400 but as a percentage, just a few of them.
00:45:13.380 You only need a few of them to be the extremists.
00:45:16.200 And that will be a domino effect
00:45:18.760 that goes to, first,
00:45:20.140 the larger group of people
00:45:21.680 who are not that extreme,
00:45:23.200 and then it continues on
00:45:25.280 until it conquers the country
00:45:26.480 because that's what they do.
00:45:28.680 Now, it won't be overnight,
00:45:31.400 and it doesn't mean that it applies
00:45:34.160 to any individual.
00:45:35.820 So there's nothing about any Muslim.
00:45:38.820 Believe it or not,
00:45:40.000 I'm not making a comment about any individual,
00:45:43.500 not about any Muslim.
00:45:45.320 It's about the system.
00:45:46.540 The system says,
00:45:49.440 for at least some of them,
00:45:51.760 the extremists,
00:45:52.760 you've got to do everything
00:45:54.020 that you can,
00:45:56.820 just everything,
00:45:57.960 in order to become an Islamic nation.
00:46:01.380 So if you have some people
00:46:02.760 who take big risks,
00:46:04.600 they almost always end up in charge.
00:46:08.360 Have you noticed that the people
00:46:09.700 who are the most extreme
00:46:10.840 usually end up in charge?
00:46:13.100 That's not an accident.
00:46:16.020 The more extreme you are,
00:46:17.680 the more you're going to fail,
00:46:20.020 but also,
00:46:21.380 if you win,
00:46:22.300 you're going to be in charge.
00:46:24.380 Right?
00:46:24.780 Have you noticed that CEOs
00:46:26.200 of major companies
00:46:27.160 tend to be psychopaths?
00:46:29.180 Like, there's a higher ratio
00:46:30.640 of psychopaths
00:46:31.500 where government leaders
00:46:33.120 and CEOs.
00:46:34.600 This is that.
00:46:36.120 The psychopaths tend to do
00:46:37.700 what you need to do
00:46:38.420 to gain power.
00:46:39.620 The regular people would say,
00:46:40.860 well, I'm not going to go that far.
00:46:42.420 I'm not going to kill somebody
00:46:43.460 for power.
00:46:44.700 But the psychopaths might.
00:46:46.920 So over time,
00:46:48.540 the psychopaths
00:46:49.380 always take control.
00:46:51.520 And if you don't want
00:46:52.560 the psychopaths
00:46:53.600 to control the non-psychopaths
00:46:56.260 who would then be
00:46:56.880 a big enough group
00:46:57.820 to impress their views
00:47:00.680 on the larger country,
00:47:02.080 then you need to
00:47:03.180 decrease the rate
00:47:04.580 immediately.
00:47:05.640 So this is the part
00:47:09.620 that I think
00:47:10.680 all Democrats get wrong,
00:47:12.600 which is,
00:47:13.920 if you just looked at it
00:47:14.920 commonsensically,
00:47:15.800 it doesn't look like a problem.
00:47:17.420 Or it looks like
00:47:18.300 a temporary one.
00:47:19.380 You know,
00:47:19.680 one that gets absorbed.
00:47:21.220 If you're Republican,
00:47:22.780 you've learned
00:47:23.380 that this little
00:47:24.340 extremist group
00:47:26.080 will affect
00:47:26.620 the larger extremist group.
00:47:28.860 And once you get
00:47:29.400 to about 10%
00:47:30.420 Islamic
00:47:31.580 real desire,
00:47:33.800 it pretty much
00:47:34.980 is the end of the country
00:47:35.860 in terms of being
00:47:36.980 non-Islamic.
00:47:38.420 So,
00:47:38.880 when I look at
00:47:39.820 England,
00:47:41.140 I see they've already fell.
00:47:44.760 I don't think
00:47:45.580 it's recoverable.
00:47:47.380 Now,
00:47:47.720 I hope it is.
00:47:49.080 I hope it's recoverable,
00:47:50.300 but I don't see a way
00:47:51.140 because I think
00:47:52.540 that they're already
00:47:53.340 past the tipping point.
00:47:55.200 Now,
00:47:55.560 in the United States,
00:47:56.400 I think this 10% number
00:47:57.720 is closer to 1%.
00:47:59.120 You can fact-check
00:48:00.200 me on that,
00:48:00.700 but I think it is.
00:48:01.580 So in the United States,
00:48:02.720 we are not
00:48:04.780 over the tipping point.
00:48:06.740 And maybe with Trump,
00:48:08.200 we won't get there.
00:48:09.440 We were heading for it.
00:48:11.060 We're heading for it.
00:48:11.960 We are at the tipping point
00:48:13.260 in one part
00:48:14.180 of the United States.
00:48:15.660 So there may be,
00:48:16.700 I don't know,
00:48:17.180 Detroit or,
00:48:18.100 you know,
00:48:18.820 places in the country
00:48:20.180 where there's
00:48:21.020 a big concentration.
00:48:23.020 Where there's
00:48:23.780 a big concentration,
00:48:25.060 I'm going to make
00:48:25.700 a prediction.
00:48:27.400 I think that
00:48:29.620 if you fast forward,
00:48:31.220 there will be a part
00:48:32.780 of the United States
00:48:33.820 that will probably
00:48:34.960 ask to succeed
00:48:36.060 and become
00:48:36.980 an Islamic nation
00:48:37.860 in the middle
00:48:38.400 of our country.
00:48:39.380 I think that's possible.
00:48:41.340 It might even happen.
00:48:42.520 But I don't think
00:48:43.280 the United States
00:48:44.020 will go Islamic
00:48:44.860 on the whole
00:48:46.940 as long as
00:48:48.220 Trump and
00:48:48.900 reasonable,
00:48:49.600 common-sense people
00:48:50.260 are in charge.
00:48:51.380 So they have to
00:48:52.100 understand this,
00:48:52.860 though.
00:48:53.220 If they don't understand
00:48:54.160 that the 1%
00:48:55.680 affects the 10%
00:48:57.220 that affects
00:48:58.020 the whole,
00:48:58.360 the whole,
00:48:59.340 if they don't get that
00:49:00.280 and they think
00:49:01.420 it's just a risk,
00:49:03.160 they're doomed.
00:49:06.720 All right.
00:49:07.720 So,
00:49:08.680 to me,
00:49:09.260 that answers
00:49:09.720 the question,
00:49:10.460 is England
00:49:10.960 intentionally becoming
00:49:12.140 an Islamic country?
00:49:13.400 And the answer is,
00:49:14.500 I don't think
00:49:15.160 they are doing
00:49:15.860 it intentionally.
00:49:16.920 I think they don't
00:49:17.860 understand that
00:49:18.620 they did it
00:49:19.220 because I think
00:49:20.760 they were operating
00:49:21.440 on the Democrat
00:49:22.160 model of,
00:49:23.240 hey,
00:49:23.660 immigration always
00:49:24.420 worked before,
00:49:25.720 but as soon as
00:49:26.380 you take in a group
00:49:27.140 that doesn't want
00:49:27.860 to assimilate,
00:49:28.920 or at least
00:49:29.340 a small part of them
00:49:30.460 don't want to assimilate,
00:49:32.000 you're doomed.
00:49:36.240 Bank more encores
00:49:37.500 when you switch
00:49:38.140 to a Scotiabank
00:49:39.040 banking package.
00:49:40.740 Learn more
00:49:41.440 at scotiabank.com
00:49:42.660 slash banking packages.
00:49:44.300 Conditions apply.
00:49:46.260 Scotiabank.
00:49:46.880 You're richer
00:49:47.340 than you think.
00:49:51.920 Visigrad24,
00:49:53.000 which is an account
00:49:53.660 on X,
00:49:54.720 pointed out that,
00:49:55.620 you know how
00:49:56.800 Macron
00:49:58.620 is complaining
00:50:00.060 that Elon Musk
00:50:01.180 is getting involved
00:50:02.000 in their politics
00:50:03.320 in another country?
00:50:04.740 And they say,
00:50:05.800 oh,
00:50:06.200 we don't want
00:50:06.680 billionaires
00:50:07.360 influencing politics
00:50:09.260 in another country.
00:50:11.480 And Visigrad24
00:50:12.760 points out
00:50:13.420 that billionaires
00:50:14.620 George Soros
00:50:15.560 and Bill Gates
00:50:16.180 interfered with
00:50:17.640 European politics
00:50:18.580 for decades,
00:50:20.320 spending huge sums
00:50:21.800 to get what they wanted
00:50:23.520 in other countries.
00:50:24.280 so is Musk
00:50:27.680 the one billionaire
00:50:28.560 who's trying
00:50:29.120 to influence
00:50:29.660 things in other countries
00:50:30.820 or is it the most
00:50:32.940 normal thing
00:50:34.220 that's ever happened?
00:50:35.680 It looks pretty normal.
00:50:38.100 And I am now
00:50:39.440 on the side
00:50:40.240 of Elon Musk
00:50:42.320 and I hate
00:50:43.140 that he converted me
00:50:44.060 because this just
00:50:45.080 seems so dumb
00:50:45.840 when you first said it,
00:50:46.760 honestly,
00:50:47.820 which is dumb
00:50:48.640 to think that
00:50:49.220 anything he says
00:50:49.940 is dumb.
00:50:50.360 So I started
00:50:52.940 down as dumb
00:50:53.660 just by thinking
00:50:55.440 that he had
00:50:56.140 the wrong opinion.
00:50:57.200 But Musk says
00:50:58.280 there's no explanation
00:50:59.300 for George Soros'
00:51:01.460 activity
00:51:01.980 unless he just
00:51:02.740 hates humanity.
00:51:04.200 Now,
00:51:04.760 the first time
00:51:05.240 I heard that
00:51:05.660 I was like,
00:51:06.020 oh,
00:51:06.280 come on.
00:51:07.780 He doesn't hate
00:51:08.680 humanity.
00:51:10.000 Like,
00:51:10.180 who hates humanity?
00:51:11.340 But the more
00:51:13.760 I watch him,
00:51:15.220 I don't see
00:51:15.920 another explanation
00:51:16.840 because unlike
00:51:18.480 the average Democrat,
00:51:20.440 George Soros
00:51:21.120 would be completely
00:51:22.100 aware
00:51:22.540 that some
00:51:24.420 rate and flow
00:51:25.860 rate of
00:51:26.700 Muslim immigration
00:51:28.540 turns your country
00:51:30.400 Islamic.
00:51:31.460 Now,
00:51:31.940 he might not care,
00:51:34.460 but it's hard
00:51:36.060 for me to imagine
00:51:36.820 that he sees
00:51:37.460 that as the better
00:51:38.200 world
00:51:38.660 as opposed to
00:51:39.920 people staying
00:51:41.560 roughly in the
00:51:42.700 system that they
00:51:44.300 prefer
00:51:44.660 instead of trying
00:51:45.720 to go somewhere
00:51:46.260 else and change
00:51:46.840 the system.
00:51:49.180 So,
00:51:49.900 I can't rule out
00:51:51.500 the fact
00:51:51.960 that Musk might
00:51:52.820 be right
00:51:53.260 that the only
00:51:54.020 thing driving it
00:51:54.780 is a hatred
00:51:55.340 of humanity.
00:51:57.540 I don't really
00:51:58.400 see what else
00:51:59.680 it could be.
00:52:01.200 And the fact
00:52:01.880 that the Soros'
00:52:02.800 don't do
00:52:03.460 interviews,
00:52:06.360 so nobody
00:52:06.860 can ask them,
00:52:07.660 why are you
00:52:08.100 doing this?
00:52:09.320 Like,
00:52:09.560 what are you
00:52:09.900 what is this?
00:52:11.560 And if they're
00:52:12.300 not willing
00:52:12.680 to do
00:52:12.980 interviews
00:52:13.340 and they're
00:52:13.780 not willing
00:52:14.120 to answer
00:52:14.480 the question,
00:52:15.420 we do have
00:52:16.080 a right
00:52:16.360 to assume
00:52:16.860 the worst.
00:52:18.260 We might
00:52:18.880 be wrong
00:52:19.240 about it,
00:52:20.300 but if they're
00:52:20.820 only giving
00:52:21.380 us one
00:52:21.820 possible
00:52:23.220 explanation,
00:52:24.320 which is
00:52:24.720 you're literally
00:52:25.680 evil and trying
00:52:26.520 to destroy
00:52:27.020 the world,
00:52:27.660 and everything
00:52:28.300 you do seems
00:52:28.980 to be clearly
00:52:29.660 in that model,
00:52:31.380 what are we
00:52:31.900 supposed to
00:52:32.360 think?
00:52:33.780 So,
00:52:34.440 if the Soros'
00:52:35.240 is,
00:52:35.580 in this case,
00:52:36.220 Alex Soros,
00:52:37.080 if he's not
00:52:37.620 willing to do
00:52:38.540 regular interviews,
00:52:39.640 with this
00:52:40.800 massive amount
00:52:41.440 of money,
00:52:41.940 and it appears
00:52:42.860 to be destructive
00:52:43.680 to the country,
00:52:44.800 I think we have
00:52:45.920 a right to assume
00:52:46.660 it's intended
00:52:47.680 that way.
00:52:49.660 Design,
00:52:50.940 you know,
00:52:51.180 if a design
00:52:51.820 does one thing
00:52:52.780 over and over
00:52:53.400 again and it
00:52:53.900 isn't changed,
00:52:55.460 and people
00:52:55.920 could change it,
00:52:57.260 then it's
00:52:57.980 intentional.
00:52:59.240 If it were
00:52:59.900 happening
00:53:00.160 accidentally
00:53:00.900 or just
00:53:01.400 temporarily,
00:53:02.080 I'd say,
00:53:02.360 oh,
00:53:02.560 somebody made
00:53:03.240 a mistake.
00:53:04.120 Didn't mean
00:53:04.580 that,
00:53:05.440 but this is
00:53:06.000 clearly intended,
00:53:06.960 because it's
00:53:07.920 gone on so
00:53:08.520 long in this
00:53:09.120 exact way
00:53:09.760 and increased.
00:53:13.160 Meanwhile,
00:53:13.880 because Karma
00:53:14.600 has come to
00:53:15.260 visit The View,
00:53:16.700 one of The View
00:53:17.340 hosts,
00:53:17.920 Sunny Hostins,
00:53:19.000 her husband
00:53:19.540 is accused
00:53:20.240 in this
00:53:21.180 massive
00:53:21.740 RICO
00:53:22.260 bust.
00:53:25.880 He's accused
00:53:26.760 of being one
00:53:27.480 of many people
00:53:28.140 in the medical
00:53:29.540 field who are
00:53:30.740 fraudulently billing
00:53:32.160 insurance companies
00:53:33.240 for their cases,
00:53:34.340 and apparently
00:53:34.680 it's so widespread
00:53:35.400 it's a RICO
00:53:36.100 case in New
00:53:38.040 York.
00:53:39.780 And I'm just
00:53:41.420 going to make
00:53:41.900 one prediction.
00:53:45.500 By the way,
00:53:46.360 is it my
00:53:46.780 imagination
00:53:47.360 that Trump
00:53:49.080 haters are
00:53:49.620 having a bad
00:53:50.200 year,
00:53:50.640 even unrelated
00:53:51.480 to Trump?
00:53:53.620 It just feels
00:53:54.500 like too many
00:53:55.000 coincidences.
00:53:55.940 It feels like
00:53:56.560 the Trump
00:53:56.960 effect,
00:53:57.860 but how in
00:53:58.340 the world
00:53:58.680 could this
00:53:59.060 be the
00:53:59.360 Trump effect?
00:54:00.400 Like,
00:54:01.100 how did that
00:54:01.880 happen?
00:54:03.060 Anyway,
00:54:03.340 I would
00:54:05.760 add to
00:54:06.100 this story
00:54:06.640 that I
00:54:07.480 think we're
00:54:07.940 going to
00:54:08.160 find out
00:54:08.680 that the
00:54:09.840 medical
00:54:10.520 insurance
00:54:11.380 fraud
00:54:12.080 problem is
00:54:13.600 way bigger
00:54:14.600 than you
00:54:15.000 think.
00:54:15.780 I can't
00:54:16.580 tell you
00:54:17.020 yet why
00:54:17.900 I say
00:54:18.300 that.
00:54:18.940 Maybe I
00:54:19.280 never will
00:54:19.740 be able
00:54:20.200 to,
00:54:20.820 but I
00:54:21.380 do have
00:54:21.860 some
00:54:22.100 information
00:54:22.680 that is
00:54:23.500 not generally
00:54:24.100 known that
00:54:25.360 would certainly
00:54:25.920 suggest that
00:54:26.880 the medical
00:54:28.260 field is
00:54:29.080 full of
00:54:30.080 insurance fraud,
00:54:30.940 like way
00:54:33.140 worse than
00:54:33.620 you thought.
00:54:34.260 And I'm
00:54:34.540 not talking
00:54:35.020 about the
00:54:35.400 crooks.
00:54:36.440 I'm talking
00:54:36.940 about the
00:54:37.360 regular
00:54:37.740 doctors,
00:54:39.000 you know,
00:54:39.200 the people
00:54:39.720 who are
00:54:39.900 good citizens.
00:54:41.020 Because I'll
00:54:41.440 bet you
00:54:41.720 Sonny
00:54:42.100 Houston's
00:54:42.780 husband,
00:54:44.740 who appears
00:54:45.700 highly skilled
00:54:47.300 in some
00:54:47.820 medical field,
00:54:50.440 I'll bet you
00:54:50.960 he was just
00:54:51.420 a normal
00:54:52.580 doctor type,
00:54:54.100 not too
00:54:54.980 different from
00:54:55.520 any other
00:54:55.960 doctor who
00:54:56.580 might be
00:54:57.060 pulled into
00:54:58.300 this RICO
00:54:58.800 thing.
00:54:59.140 I think
00:55:00.040 they talk
00:55:00.520 themselves
00:55:00.940 into it
00:55:01.460 being okay
00:55:02.060 somehow.
00:55:03.480 Like maybe
00:55:03.860 they don't
00:55:04.120 feel like
00:55:04.680 they're doing
00:55:04.960 anything that
00:55:05.460 illegal.
00:55:06.100 I don't
00:55:06.240 know.
00:55:07.260 But my
00:55:07.920 guess is
00:55:08.380 it's way
00:55:09.020 bigger,
00:55:09.880 way bigger
00:55:10.400 than you
00:55:10.760 think.
00:55:12.580 Meanwhile,
00:55:13.340 just for
00:55:13.680 fun,
00:55:15.220 after Zuckerberg
00:55:17.340 said that
00:55:17.920 Meta is
00:55:18.400 going to
00:55:18.980 get rid of
00:55:19.500 their fact
00:55:19.900 checkers and
00:55:20.540 use some
00:55:20.980 kind of
00:55:21.240 community
00:55:21.600 notes
00:55:21.920 things,
00:55:22.960 the New
00:55:23.440 York Times
00:55:23.820 had this
00:55:24.180 headline,
00:55:25.460 Meta
00:55:25.760 says fact
00:55:26.420 checkers
00:55:26.860 were the
00:55:27.200 problem.
00:55:28.340 Fact
00:55:28.600 checkers
00:55:29.040 ruled that
00:55:29.560 false.
00:55:31.100 Now,
00:55:31.520 I assume
00:55:32.900 that they
00:55:33.340 knew they
00:55:33.900 were doing
00:55:35.260 a humorous
00:55:36.000 headline.
00:55:37.700 But the
00:55:38.400 funny part
00:55:38.900 is it's
00:55:39.680 so similar
00:55:40.600 to the
00:55:41.040 ridiculousness
00:55:41.900 of their
00:55:42.240 reporting on
00:55:43.260 a lot of
00:55:43.660 political
00:55:43.980 stuff that
00:55:45.400 you don't
00:55:47.220 know if
00:55:47.640 they meant
00:55:48.000 it as a
00:55:48.440 joke.
00:55:49.420 Because that
00:55:50.100 difference
00:55:50.480 between jokes
00:55:52.240 and reality
00:55:52.980 has just
00:55:53.420 disappeared.
00:55:55.080 You look
00:55:55.480 at it and
00:55:55.720 go,
00:55:55.900 well,
00:55:56.040 that's
00:55:56.240 obviously
00:55:56.660 an absurdity.
00:55:57.800 They would
00:55:58.040 know that
00:55:58.380 when they
00:55:58.660 wrote it,
00:55:59.340 so it
00:55:59.820 must be
00:56:00.140 a joke.
00:56:00.880 And then
00:56:01.080 you think,
00:56:01.940 oh,
00:56:02.260 but they
00:56:02.580 don't know
00:56:02.900 anything else
00:56:03.420 they say
00:56:03.740 is an
00:56:04.060 absurdity.
00:56:05.180 Why would
00:56:05.760 this be
00:56:06.100 the one
00:56:06.460 thing that
00:56:06.880 they spotted?
00:56:08.360 Oh,
00:56:08.620 that's an
00:56:09.020 absurdity.
00:56:10.040 No,
00:56:10.520 maybe not.
00:56:11.620 Maybe they
00:56:11.940 didn't know
00:56:13.060 that this
00:56:13.940 is ridiculous.
00:56:16.540 Anyway,
00:56:17.060 so now we're
00:56:17.420 getting a lot
00:56:17.780 of reactions
00:56:18.580 to Zuckerberg
00:56:20.260 going,
00:56:20.960 I'm not
00:56:21.600 going to say
00:56:21.940 he went
00:56:22.180 full MAGA,
00:56:22.920 but choosing
00:56:26.900 Dana White
00:56:27.800 as the
00:56:28.280 board member,
00:56:29.280 a really
00:56:29.980 close friend
00:56:30.620 of Trump,
00:56:32.300 saying that
00:56:33.060 he's going
00:56:33.320 to be
00:56:33.500 the fact
00:56:33.960 checking,
00:56:34.920 he's not
00:56:35.340 going to be
00:56:35.660 putting money
00:56:36.220 into the
00:56:36.600 elections,
00:56:37.020 that was a
00:56:37.640 big problem.
00:56:39.760 So he's
00:56:40.460 doing all
00:56:40.840 these things
00:56:41.540 that seem
00:56:42.760 perfectly
00:56:43.660 compatible
00:56:44.280 with Trump
00:56:44.900 and I
00:56:47.080 thought that
00:56:47.540 was all
00:56:47.920 good.
00:56:48.320 so my
00:56:50.540 take was,
00:56:51.680 oh,
00:56:51.880 that's all
00:56:52.220 good.
00:56:52.920 Great.
00:56:53.720 You know,
00:56:53.880 good for
00:56:54.180 him.
00:56:54.960 I'm glad
00:56:55.600 he's seen
00:56:57.140 the inefficiency
00:56:59.500 of what he
00:57:00.260 was doing
00:57:00.640 before,
00:57:01.360 didn't get
00:57:01.720 him what
00:57:01.920 he wanted.
00:57:02.740 He's
00:57:03.000 adjusted.
00:57:03.740 That's
00:57:03.960 exactly what
00:57:04.620 I want
00:57:04.880 to see.
00:57:05.800 So I
00:57:06.020 don't,
00:57:06.740 my standard
00:57:07.520 is I
00:57:08.320 don't judge
00:57:08.820 people for
00:57:09.420 mistakes.
00:57:11.440 I don't
00:57:12.040 think that's
00:57:12.380 a good
00:57:12.580 standard.
00:57:13.500 If you
00:57:14.060 judge people
00:57:14.540 for mistakes,
00:57:15.280 we all
00:57:15.600 suck because
00:57:16.800 we all
00:57:17.040 make mistakes.
00:57:18.320 But you
00:57:18.880 can definitely
00:57:19.320 judge people
00:57:20.000 for how
00:57:20.340 they respond
00:57:21.000 to a
00:57:21.380 mistake.
00:57:22.420 If you
00:57:23.000 knew you
00:57:23.280 made a
00:57:23.560 mistake,
00:57:24.280 you got
00:57:24.960 caught or
00:57:25.600 you figured
00:57:26.000 it out
00:57:26.300 yourself,
00:57:27.100 and then
00:57:27.540 you said,
00:57:27.920 all right,
00:57:28.740 to not
00:57:29.180 make that
00:57:29.580 mistake
00:57:29.960 again,
00:57:30.760 I will
00:57:31.080 do the
00:57:31.420 following
00:57:31.720 things.
00:57:32.600 You
00:57:32.840 have my
00:57:33.360 respect.
00:57:35.980 Now,
00:57:36.580 some people
00:57:37.140 said,
00:57:38.240 I am so
00:57:38.800 clever about
00:57:39.960 themselves,
00:57:40.540 not about
00:57:40.880 me.
00:57:41.640 People thought
00:57:42.160 they were so
00:57:42.640 clever that
00:57:43.260 they knew
00:57:43.600 what Zuckerberg
00:57:44.400 was really
00:57:45.140 about.
00:57:46.560 And they
00:57:46.860 said things
00:57:47.380 like,
00:57:47.620 he's bending
00:57:48.980 the knee
00:57:49.460 to Trump.
00:57:50.620 Trump threatened
00:57:51.340 him and he's
00:57:51.820 just bending
00:57:52.340 the knee.
00:57:53.980 And Trump
00:57:54.740 was asked,
00:57:55.840 did Trump
00:57:56.420 think that
00:57:56.960 Trump's
00:57:57.400 threats about
00:57:58.900 Facebook,
00:57:59.800 and I guess
00:58:00.300 Zuckerberg
00:58:00.780 himself,
00:58:01.900 did he think
00:58:02.740 that that made
00:58:03.280 a difference
00:58:03.720 to Zuckerberg?
00:58:04.440 Trump's
00:58:05.700 answer was
00:58:06.340 probably.
00:58:09.720 I'd love
00:58:10.340 to know
00:58:10.680 what threats
00:58:11.220 he made.
00:58:12.400 I believe
00:58:13.060 they were
00:58:13.260 just threats
00:58:13.900 that the
00:58:14.280 legal system
00:58:15.160 sees him
00:58:16.640 interfering with
00:58:17.440 elections and
00:58:18.340 censoring and
00:58:19.420 stuff.
00:58:20.220 So,
00:58:21.320 part of it
00:58:22.080 is that there
00:58:22.740 has seemed to
00:58:23.220 be a credible
00:58:23.920 threat.
00:58:24.520 Part of it
00:58:24.920 is Facebook
00:58:25.560 is being
00:58:26.700 challenged
00:58:27.300 in a number
00:58:28.340 of ways
00:58:28.820 by the
00:58:29.900 government
00:58:30.220 currently,
00:58:31.020 and it
00:58:31.320 could get
00:58:31.640 worse.
00:58:31.960 I mean,
00:58:32.620 he would
00:58:32.840 worry about
00:58:33.280 it could
00:58:33.560 go worse.
00:58:34.920 And so
00:58:35.820 it's
00:58:36.040 complicated.
00:58:37.520 And then
00:58:37.720 some people
00:58:38.140 said,
00:58:38.460 he's just
00:58:38.820 doing it
00:58:39.200 for money,
00:58:39.820 Scott.
00:58:40.180 Don't you
00:58:40.520 understand?
00:58:41.780 He's a
00:58:42.180 terrible person.
00:58:42.940 He's just
00:58:43.260 doing this
00:58:43.640 for money.
00:58:44.700 So here's
00:58:45.180 my take.
00:58:46.140 It's all
00:58:46.680 those things.
00:58:47.920 And what's
00:58:48.320 wrong with
00:58:48.660 that?
00:58:49.480 What's wrong
00:58:50.140 with him
00:58:50.540 doing it
00:58:50.980 because the
00:58:51.720 government
00:58:52.020 is a
00:58:52.540 threat?
00:58:53.600 Nothing.
00:58:54.180 That's just
00:58:54.500 normal business.
00:58:56.020 If the
00:58:56.660 government is
00:58:57.240 a threat,
00:58:58.020 and you need
00:58:58.820 the government
00:58:59.260 to literally
00:58:59.820 be on your
00:59:00.320 side in
00:59:00.940 order for
00:59:01.280 your business
00:59:01.720 to survive,
00:59:03.600 then you
00:59:04.500 do this.
00:59:05.820 That's not
00:59:06.440 a mistake.
00:59:07.580 That's not
00:59:08.080 something to
00:59:08.700 say,
00:59:09.640 oh,
00:59:09.980 you darn
00:59:10.480 Zuckerberg,
00:59:11.260 you bent
00:59:11.700 the knee.
00:59:12.620 No,
00:59:12.920 he did
00:59:13.260 what a
00:59:14.080 good leader
00:59:14.720 should
00:59:15.020 absolutely
00:59:15.700 do 100%.
00:59:16.800 He should
00:59:17.440 change.
00:59:18.520 If what he
00:59:19.280 was doing
00:59:20.560 before didn't
00:59:21.240 work,
00:59:22.080 and it was
00:59:22.320 obvious what
00:59:23.000 to do to
00:59:23.840 make it
00:59:24.180 work,
00:59:24.920 you do
00:59:25.520 that change,
00:59:26.220 and that's
00:59:26.480 what he did.
00:59:27.380 Now,
00:59:27.760 some people
00:59:28.320 said,
00:59:28.520 but he's
00:59:28.840 just doing
00:59:29.300 it for
00:59:29.560 money,
00:59:29.900 to which I
00:59:30.900 say,
00:59:31.300 that's what
00:59:32.720 a corporation
00:59:33.240 is.
00:59:34.340 They do it
00:59:35.060 for money.
00:59:36.380 He should
00:59:37.080 be doing
00:59:37.420 it for
00:59:37.700 money.
00:59:38.440 That's
00:59:38.900 exactly what
00:59:39.520 he should
00:59:39.720 be doing
00:59:40.140 for money.
00:59:43.460 And then
00:59:44.040 other people
00:59:44.460 said he's
00:59:44.880 not a
00:59:45.180 patriot,
00:59:45.960 because he
00:59:47.360 influenced that
00:59:48.400 last election
00:59:49.160 in a way
00:59:49.660 that you
00:59:49.940 don't like,
00:59:50.940 and that
00:59:51.760 social media
00:59:52.440 is damaging
00:59:53.100 to people's
00:59:54.800 mental health.
00:59:56.540 Well,
00:59:57.040 here's the
00:59:57.380 frame I
00:59:57.780 would put
00:59:58.120 on that.
01:00:00.180 Do you
01:00:00.780 think that
01:00:01.200 he thought
01:00:02.000 he was
01:00:02.420 damaging
01:00:03.040 people when
01:00:03.800 he started
01:00:04.220 Facebook?
01:00:05.520 Like,
01:00:06.020 when he
01:00:06.180 started
01:00:06.420 Facebook,
01:00:07.040 was he
01:00:07.260 like,
01:00:07.520 hmm,
01:00:08.040 I know
01:00:08.640 this damages
01:00:09.260 people,
01:00:10.100 but I'm
01:00:10.320 going to
01:00:10.480 do it
01:00:10.760 anyway?
01:00:11.760 No,
01:00:12.160 it was
01:00:12.480 already
01:00:12.780 huge
01:00:13.180 business
01:00:13.680 by the
01:00:14.300 time it
01:00:14.620 became
01:00:14.880 obvious
01:00:15.280 that
01:00:15.620 people
01:00:16.160 would
01:00:16.320 get
01:00:16.460 addicted.
01:00:17.780 Are
01:00:18.220 there
01:00:18.380 people
01:00:18.700 addicted
01:00:19.060 to
01:00:19.340 Facebook
01:00:19.740 now?
01:00:21.620 Is
01:00:21.940 Facebook
01:00:22.460 where you
01:00:22.860 got
01:00:23.020 well,
01:00:23.340 he owns
01:00:23.740 Instagram,
01:00:24.640 so Instagram
01:00:25.200 is definitely
01:00:25.720 more damaging
01:00:26.360 to mental
01:00:27.060 health.
01:00:28.420 So,
01:00:29.060 there's
01:00:30.160 definitely
01:00:30.460 that.
01:00:31.740 So,
01:00:32.020 the question
01:00:32.380 of whether
01:00:32.720 social media
01:00:33.400 is damaging
01:00:34.020 to mental
01:00:34.740 health,
01:00:35.940 I don't
01:00:36.420 know if
01:00:36.700 the answer
01:00:37.120 is nobody
01:00:37.700 should be
01:00:38.100 allowed to
01:00:38.480 have social
01:00:38.940 media,
01:00:39.740 or that it
01:00:40.260 can't be a
01:00:40.680 business.
01:00:41.960 It seems
01:00:42.540 to me that
01:00:43.100 the reasonable
01:00:44.160 way to do
01:00:44.800 it is to
01:00:45.360 figure out
01:00:45.760 how to
01:00:45.960 manage it,
01:00:47.180 and we
01:00:48.020 should learn
01:00:48.480 how to
01:00:48.760 live with
01:00:49.120 it,
01:00:49.640 but also
01:00:50.160 the service
01:00:51.180 should have
01:00:52.080 some guard
01:00:52.580 rails,
01:00:52.940 to
01:00:53.400 maybe
01:00:54.080 keep
01:00:54.800 young
01:00:55.080 people
01:00:55.360 from
01:00:55.580 overusing
01:00:56.280 it,
01:00:56.620 something
01:00:56.800 like that.
01:00:57.580 So,
01:00:57.820 that seems
01:00:58.140 like something
01:00:58.640 that is
01:00:59.920 a problem
01:01:00.680 that you
01:01:01.160 couldn't have
01:01:01.700 known when
01:01:02.200 you started
01:01:02.600 the business.
01:01:03.760 When it
01:01:04.300 became known,
01:01:05.260 he seems
01:01:05.720 to have
01:01:06.040 shown
01:01:06.340 interest in
01:01:08.100 addressing it.
01:01:09.040 Maybe you
01:01:09.400 think you
01:01:09.720 should do
01:01:10.020 more.
01:01:10.480 Everybody
01:01:10.720 always thinks
01:01:11.200 you should
01:01:11.480 do more.
01:01:12.380 Other people
01:01:12.940 said,
01:01:13.840 why did it
01:01:14.140 take him
01:01:14.440 so long,
01:01:14.980 and why
01:01:15.240 is he
01:01:15.440 doing it
01:01:15.800 now?
01:01:16.080 And you
01:01:17.340 know my
01:01:17.760 criticism of
01:01:18.500 that,
01:01:18.720 right?
01:01:19.500 Everything
01:01:19.940 good feels
01:01:21.160 like it
01:01:21.520 took too
01:01:21.880 long.
01:01:22.760 You can't
01:01:23.500 blame people
01:01:24.020 for taking
01:01:24.520 too long.
01:01:25.600 If they
01:01:26.400 ended up
01:01:26.840 where you
01:01:27.140 want them
01:01:27.520 to end
01:01:27.840 up,
01:01:28.840 just take
01:01:30.420 the win.
01:01:31.860 Everything
01:01:32.300 takes too
01:01:32.940 long.
01:01:33.900 It's not
01:01:34.420 one thing
01:01:34.840 that happened
01:01:35.180 to him
01:01:35.420 that one
01:01:35.760 time he
01:01:36.120 took the
01:01:36.460 long.
01:01:37.080 It's just
01:01:37.480 everything
01:01:37.800 all the
01:01:38.140 time that's
01:01:38.660 good takes
01:01:39.100 too long.
01:01:39.580 So,
01:01:41.000 I would
01:01:42.360 say this.
01:01:43.180 I think
01:01:43.920 he's
01:01:44.160 completely
01:01:44.580 transparent.
01:01:45.860 And when
01:01:46.280 I say
01:01:46.660 he's a
01:01:47.020 patriot,
01:01:48.120 I mean
01:01:48.520 that I
01:01:49.020 do believe
01:01:49.680 in my
01:01:50.920 bones that
01:01:52.120 he wants
01:01:52.540 what's good
01:01:53.040 for America.
01:01:54.560 And I
01:01:55.260 believe that
01:01:56.640 you can
01:01:57.500 tell why.
01:01:59.100 He probably
01:01:59.800 was always
01:02:00.320 patriotic.
01:02:01.480 But you've
01:02:02.280 noticed that
01:02:02.780 he's gotten
01:02:03.200 into the
01:02:03.740 more manly
01:02:04.780 sports.
01:02:05.780 Like he's
01:02:06.080 beefed up.
01:02:06.940 He's obviously
01:02:07.980 a gym rat
01:02:09.300 at this
01:02:09.620 point.
01:02:10.160 He's
01:02:10.560 doing
01:02:10.800 martial
01:02:11.240 arts.
01:02:12.680 And he
01:02:13.700 said that
01:02:14.240 Trump was
01:02:14.980 a badass
01:02:15.420 when he
01:02:16.020 took the
01:02:16.480 bullet.
01:02:17.420 Those to
01:02:17.960 me seem
01:02:18.440 completely
01:02:19.100 genuine.
01:02:20.520 And his
01:02:20.980 selection of
01:02:22.080 Dana White,
01:02:23.180 on one hand,
01:02:24.180 it's Trump's
01:02:24.760 friend, so
01:02:25.360 you see it
01:02:25.740 in that
01:02:26.020 frame.
01:02:26.840 But the
01:02:27.160 other frame
01:02:27.560 to see it
01:02:28.020 in is he
01:02:28.480 really likes
01:02:29.100 MMA.
01:02:30.660 He probably
01:02:31.360 just likes
01:02:31.840 it.
01:02:32.980 And my
01:02:33.800 guess is
01:02:35.380 that Zuckerberg
01:02:36.540 likes hunting.
01:02:37.880 He likes
01:02:38.240 capitalism.
01:02:40.780 He likes
01:02:41.620 combat sports.
01:02:44.520 I think
01:02:45.360 you're wrong
01:02:46.040 if you think
01:02:46.820 that he's
01:02:47.240 a secret
01:02:47.720 Democrat.
01:02:49.140 My guess
01:02:50.060 is he's
01:02:50.680 always been
01:02:51.120 closer to
01:02:51.960 a secret
01:02:52.600 Republican,
01:02:53.560 but that
01:02:54.300 wouldn't
01:02:54.700 sell.
01:02:55.740 So he
01:02:56.100 probably
01:02:56.380 wisely
01:02:56.960 kept some
01:02:57.620 of his
01:02:57.960 views to
01:02:58.400 himself.
01:02:59.320 Now,
01:02:59.560 I'm sure
01:03:00.140 he's in
01:03:00.520 favor,
01:03:00.920 if I had
01:03:01.540 to guess,
01:03:02.560 he's probably
01:03:03.160 in favor
01:03:03.640 of, I
01:03:05.660 don't know,
01:03:06.200 abortion.
01:03:06.580 But I'll
01:03:08.220 bet you
01:03:08.580 if he
01:03:08.920 took abortion
01:03:09.480 off the
01:03:09.840 table and
01:03:11.600 you just
01:03:11.900 looked at
01:03:12.300 what he
01:03:12.620 thinks works
01:03:13.200 for the
01:03:13.500 country,
01:03:13.980 what works
01:03:14.700 for business,
01:03:15.640 it wouldn't
01:03:16.240 be that
01:03:16.700 different from
01:03:18.400 your opinion.
01:03:19.820 Now, I can't
01:03:20.940 be sure of that
01:03:21.620 because I can't
01:03:22.660 read his mind,
01:03:23.840 but I think
01:03:25.760 you're better
01:03:26.180 off embracing
01:03:27.160 the change.
01:03:29.300 You don't have
01:03:29.800 to love what
01:03:30.280 he did.
01:03:31.240 The $420 million
01:03:32.380 is a big deal,
01:03:33.100 but imagine
01:03:34.560 what bubble
01:03:36.020 he was in.
01:03:38.140 You all
01:03:38.820 saw that
01:03:39.420 the left
01:03:40.360 were completely
01:03:41.240 bubblized
01:03:41.900 and even
01:03:42.720 the smartest
01:03:43.320 people on
01:03:43.840 the left
01:03:44.180 were bubblized.
01:03:46.040 What was
01:03:46.760 it that got
01:03:47.200 a man at
01:03:47.540 the bubble?
01:03:49.180 It was
01:03:49.820 kind of the
01:03:50.340 fine people
01:03:50.840 hoax.
01:03:52.800 So remember
01:03:53.440 Joe Rogan,
01:03:55.420 Elon Musk,
01:03:56.300 a number of
01:03:56.840 people have
01:03:57.260 said the
01:03:57.580 same thing,
01:03:58.160 so I think
01:03:58.540 all in pod
01:03:59.440 said the
01:03:59.840 same thing,
01:04:00.840 that the
01:04:01.820 fine people
01:04:02.440 woke them
01:04:03.460 up that
01:04:05.080 maybe there
01:04:05.820 were other
01:04:06.200 hoaxes and
01:04:07.600 once they
01:04:07.960 saw the
01:04:08.540 entire web
01:04:09.920 of hoaxes
01:04:10.600 that seemed
01:04:11.560 to be limited
01:04:12.120 to one side,
01:04:13.360 both sides
01:04:13.840 can be wrong,
01:04:15.260 both sides
01:04:15.680 can be biased,
01:04:17.060 but only one
01:04:17.820 side was hoax
01:04:18.640 after hoax
01:04:19.240 after hoax
01:04:19.880 because they
01:04:20.600 had the
01:04:20.980 media machine
01:04:21.860 to support
01:04:22.420 the hoaxes.
01:04:24.360 So if you
01:04:25.260 were in that
01:04:25.880 world,
01:04:26.920 do you think
01:04:27.380 you would have
01:04:27.820 done better?
01:04:29.560 Do you think
01:04:30.200 that all of
01:04:31.260 your brains
01:04:31.860 and your
01:04:32.200 common sense
01:04:32.780 would have
01:04:33.140 allowed you
01:04:33.620 unique among
01:04:34.620 other Democrats?
01:04:35.940 Could you
01:04:36.400 have been the
01:04:36.840 one person
01:04:37.460 who knew
01:04:38.340 that the
01:04:38.700 news was
01:04:39.160 lying to
01:04:39.660 you all
01:04:40.040 the time?
01:04:41.700 Probably
01:04:42.140 not.
01:04:43.000 I don't
01:04:43.560 think I
01:04:43.920 could have.
01:04:45.080 Yeah,
01:04:45.320 because I,
01:04:45.860 by the way,
01:04:46.400 I've been
01:04:46.780 in that
01:04:47.100 bubble,
01:04:48.160 not in
01:04:49.200 10 years,
01:04:50.520 but I've
01:04:51.280 been in
01:04:51.620 that bubble
01:04:52.100 where the
01:04:53.260 Republicans
01:04:53.720 were the
01:04:54.240 dumb ones,
01:04:55.020 and it
01:04:55.820 was just
01:04:56.180 obvious to
01:04:56.740 me.
01:04:57.360 Man,
01:04:58.140 all the
01:04:58.580 smart ones
01:04:59.180 are these
01:04:59.540 Democrats.
01:05:00.180 I guess I'm
01:05:01.080 a Democrat.
01:05:01.860 And I
01:05:02.760 would look
01:05:03.020 at all
01:05:03.280 the things
01:05:03.660 that Republicans
01:05:04.400 said because
01:05:04.960 it was in
01:05:05.300 my bubble.
01:05:06.440 And I'd
01:05:07.020 say,
01:05:07.200 that makes
01:05:07.640 no sense.
01:05:08.500 Why are
01:05:08.840 they doing
01:05:09.080 that?
01:05:10.040 If you
01:05:10.640 don't
01:05:10.900 appreciate
01:05:11.440 how strong
01:05:12.240 the bubble
01:05:12.620 is,
01:05:13.200 then I
01:05:14.080 don't think
01:05:14.460 you can
01:05:14.740 see
01:05:15.140 Zuckerberg
01:05:15.880 completely.
01:05:17.400 Here's
01:05:17.840 what I
01:05:18.140 think
01:05:18.440 happened,
01:05:19.020 and this
01:05:19.280 is only
01:05:19.580 speculation.
01:05:21.080 I think
01:05:21.760 he got
01:05:22.060 red-pilled
01:05:22.500 by the
01:05:22.860 hoaxes.
01:05:24.200 I can't
01:05:24.920 prove it.
01:05:25.920 There's no
01:05:26.400 even hint
01:05:27.160 of it.
01:05:28.060 But if
01:05:28.460 you look
01:05:28.760 what happened
01:05:29.180 to the
01:05:29.520 other brightest
01:05:30.260 people who
01:05:30.900 escaped the
01:05:31.500 bubble,
01:05:31.900 it was
01:05:32.100 the same
01:05:32.440 way.
01:05:33.400 They
01:05:33.840 escaped it
01:05:34.340 the same
01:05:34.680 way,
01:05:35.160 realizing that
01:05:35.780 they were
01:05:35.960 being lied
01:05:36.380 to about
01:05:36.760 just about
01:05:37.180 everything.
01:05:38.680 And once
01:05:39.060 you get
01:05:39.340 that,
01:05:39.800 then suddenly
01:05:40.380 you go,
01:05:40.860 all right,
01:05:41.320 now I'm
01:05:41.740 open to
01:05:42.120 the other
01:05:42.420 possibilities.
01:05:43.040 to me,
01:05:44.960 I think
01:05:46.000 Zuckerberg
01:05:46.760 got
01:05:47.660 red-pilled
01:05:48.220 by maybe
01:05:50.300 Peter Thiel.
01:05:52.800 If I
01:05:53.640 had to
01:05:53.900 pick one
01:05:54.300 person,
01:05:55.540 because
01:05:55.780 Thiel has
01:05:56.500 the Facebook
01:05:57.240 connection,
01:05:58.440 and Thiel,
01:05:59.080 of course,
01:05:59.400 would know
01:05:59.700 which ones
01:06:00.520 are the
01:06:00.720 hoaxes.
01:06:01.840 Can you
01:06:02.120 imagine
01:06:02.440 Peter Thiel
01:06:03.120 having dinner?
01:06:04.600 I'm just
01:06:05.160 speculating.
01:06:05.780 I don't
01:06:05.980 know that
01:06:06.260 any of
01:06:06.560 this
01:06:06.720 happened.
01:06:07.380 Can you
01:06:07.580 imagine
01:06:07.860 Peter Thiel
01:06:08.440 talking to
01:06:09.680 Zuckerberg
01:06:10.300 and maybe
01:06:11.740 unwinding
01:06:12.420 some of
01:06:12.820 the hoaxes
01:06:13.300 for him?
01:06:15.040 I think
01:06:15.840 what you're
01:06:16.160 seeing is
01:06:16.520 real.
01:06:17.720 Meaning,
01:06:18.400 I believe
01:06:18.820 that Zuckerberg
01:06:19.580 really thought
01:06:20.480 that he
01:06:20.860 was on
01:06:21.200 the side
01:06:21.800 of patriotism
01:06:23.400 in the
01:06:23.700 country and
01:06:24.380 avoiding
01:06:24.740 problems
01:06:25.280 when he
01:06:25.820 helped the
01:06:26.900 Democrats
01:06:27.420 try to
01:06:27.900 avoid
01:06:28.240 Hiller.
01:06:29.280 I think
01:06:30.040 he thought
01:06:30.380 he was
01:06:30.660 trying to
01:06:31.200 avoid
01:06:31.460 Hiller,
01:06:32.280 like actually
01:06:32.940 genuinely
01:06:33.420 believed
01:06:33.800 it.
01:06:34.280 And I
01:06:34.720 don't
01:06:34.980 think
01:06:35.300 that that
01:06:36.420 is a
01:06:36.720 flaw in
01:06:37.400 his
01:06:37.600 character.
01:06:39.020 Because
01:06:39.580 a lot
01:06:40.200 of good
01:06:40.560 people
01:06:40.900 believed
01:06:41.320 it.
01:06:42.160 Remember,
01:06:43.180 Elon Musk
01:06:43.700 believed
01:06:44.060 it.
01:06:44.860 Joe
01:06:45.060 Rogan
01:06:45.420 believed
01:06:45.760 it.
01:06:46.620 At one
01:06:47.080 point.
01:06:48.120 And there's
01:06:48.440 nothing wrong
01:06:48.920 with their
01:06:49.180 characters,
01:06:50.120 in my
01:06:51.060 opinion.
01:06:52.260 So,
01:06:53.140 I think
01:06:53.660 you're,
01:06:54.300 I wouldn't
01:06:54.800 be hard
01:06:55.300 on
01:06:55.500 Zuckerberg,
01:06:56.560 because to
01:06:57.160 me it
01:06:57.460 looks like
01:06:57.820 somebody who
01:06:58.360 was trapped
01:06:58.820 in a
01:06:59.140 bubble,
01:06:59.960 probably
01:07:00.500 wishes he
01:07:01.200 had his
01:07:01.540 $420
01:07:02.380 million
01:07:02.740 back.
01:07:04.460 Don't
01:07:04.980 you think?
01:07:06.100 Do you
01:07:06.380 think he's
01:07:06.720 real happy
01:07:07.180 about the
01:07:07.560 $420
01:07:08.160 million he
01:07:08.980 wasted
01:07:09.360 and could
01:07:10.260 put him
01:07:10.580 in jail
01:07:11.020 and bought
01:07:11.480 him nothing
01:07:11.900 but the
01:07:12.300 destruction
01:07:12.760 of the
01:07:13.060 country?
01:07:13.680 Do you
01:07:13.840 think he's
01:07:14.160 celebrating
01:07:14.600 that?
01:07:15.380 No.
01:07:16.760 He's
01:07:17.240 probably
01:07:17.600 embarrassed.
01:07:19.540 Again,
01:07:20.120 just speculating.
01:07:21.040 He's
01:07:21.260 probably
01:07:21.500 embarrassed.
01:07:23.020 So,
01:07:23.520 I would
01:07:24.040 take the
01:07:24.340 win.
01:07:25.380 I think
01:07:25.900 that it,
01:07:26.560 and by
01:07:26.940 the way,
01:07:27.180 he said
01:07:27.560 directly
01:07:28.060 that the
01:07:30.240 country is
01:07:30.880 going in
01:07:31.360 a direction
01:07:31.900 that's
01:07:33.580 historically a
01:07:34.300 little different
01:07:34.800 and he's
01:07:35.240 going with
01:07:35.640 the country.
01:07:36.820 That's
01:07:37.300 everything I
01:07:37.960 wanted from
01:07:38.480 him.
01:07:39.360 He gave
01:07:40.280 me everything
01:07:41.040 I wanted.
01:07:42.180 So,
01:07:42.600 I'm pro
01:07:43.000 Zuckerberg at
01:07:43.980 the moment.
01:07:45.020 If something
01:07:45.520 else comes up,
01:07:46.540 I'll reevaluate.
01:07:47.920 But,
01:07:49.040 take the
01:07:49.860 win,
01:07:50.160 people.
01:07:50.620 Take the
01:07:50.960 win.
01:07:52.300 Claudia was
01:07:53.160 leaving for her
01:07:53.780 pickleball
01:07:54.180 tournament.
01:07:54.700 I've been
01:07:54.980 visualizing my
01:07:55.760 match all
01:07:56.420 week.
01:07:57.240 She was so
01:07:57.840 focused on
01:07:58.340 visualizing that
01:07:59.220 she didn't see
01:07:59.820 the column behind
01:08:00.480 her car on
01:08:01.260 her backhand
01:08:01.800 side.
01:08:03.140 Good thing
01:08:03.920 Claudia's with
01:08:04.540 Intact,
01:08:05.180 the insurer with
01:08:05.980 the largest network
01:08:06.860 of auto service
01:08:07.500 centers in the
01:08:08.280 country.
01:08:08.600 Everything was
01:08:09.480 taken care of
01:08:10.120 under one roof
01:08:10.860 and she was
01:08:11.400 on her way
01:08:11.780 in a rental
01:08:12.220 car in no
01:08:12.960 time.
01:08:13.420 I made it
01:08:14.020 to my
01:08:14.320 tournament and
01:08:15.620 lost in the
01:08:16.040 first round.
01:08:16.900 But,
01:08:17.260 you got there
01:08:17.900 on time.
01:08:18.700 Intact
01:08:19.060 Insurance,
01:08:19.880 your auto
01:08:20.260 service ace.
01:08:21.340 Certain
01:08:21.500 conditions
01:08:21.880 apply.
01:08:22.260 All right,
01:08:25.160 Trump is
01:08:26.060 brilliant on
01:08:26.720 the Hamas
01:08:27.240 hostages.
01:08:29.300 Let me tell
01:08:29.940 you what he
01:08:30.300 said and I'll
01:08:30.720 tell you why
01:08:31.080 it's so
01:08:31.320 perfect.
01:08:32.160 He said,
01:08:33.020 quote,
01:08:33.320 if those
01:08:33.720 hostages
01:08:34.200 aren't back
01:08:34.820 by the time
01:08:35.280 I get into
01:08:35.700 office,
01:08:36.580 and again,
01:08:37.300 that's just
01:08:37.720 real soon,
01:08:38.940 just days,
01:08:39.620 all hell will
01:08:40.340 break out in
01:08:40.880 the Middle
01:08:41.140 East and it
01:08:42.040 will not be
01:08:42.500 good for Hamas
01:08:43.220 and it will
01:08:43.640 not be good,
01:08:44.400 frankly,
01:08:44.820 for anyone.
01:08:45.420 Now,
01:08:47.540 let me tell
01:08:48.600 you how
01:08:48.860 brilliant that
01:08:49.460 is.
01:08:50.420 Number one,
01:08:51.360 he's using
01:08:51.860 that fire and
01:08:52.640 fury technique
01:08:53.380 that he used
01:08:53.860 on North
01:08:54.260 Korea.
01:08:55.140 If you say,
01:08:56.280 if you do
01:08:56.780 this,
01:08:57.100 we will
01:08:57.400 sanction you,
01:08:58.540 then they
01:08:59.100 know exactly
01:08:59.740 what their
01:09:00.200 risk is and
01:09:01.720 probably they
01:09:02.200 would go ahead
01:09:02.620 and do it
01:09:02.940 anyway because
01:09:03.540 they could
01:09:04.260 figure out how
01:09:04.800 to handle
01:09:05.100 sanctions.
01:09:06.220 If you say,
01:09:07.360 I will bomb
01:09:08.480 your certain
01:09:09.980 facilities,
01:09:11.220 then somebody
01:09:12.560 might say,
01:09:13.160 well,
01:09:13.660 I'll take
01:09:14.300 the hit because
01:09:15.260 we're battling
01:09:16.780 to the death
01:09:17.340 anyway.
01:09:18.140 So yeah,
01:09:18.560 you can blow
01:09:19.600 up my missile
01:09:20.180 sights.
01:09:21.140 Still going to
01:09:21.620 fight.
01:09:22.800 The more
01:09:23.540 specific you
01:09:24.500 are about
01:09:25.020 what you're
01:09:25.480 going to do,
01:09:26.460 the more
01:09:27.220 likely it
01:09:27.720 doesn't work.
01:09:29.100 You want to
01:09:29.640 give people
01:09:30.220 a vague
01:09:31.140 idea that
01:09:32.140 it's going
01:09:32.380 to be so
01:09:32.840 bad it
01:09:33.460 almost defies
01:09:34.260 description.
01:09:35.280 It's going
01:09:35.680 to be hell.
01:09:36.720 But the
01:09:37.080 magic part of
01:09:37.980 that, the
01:09:38.300 persuasive part,
01:09:39.360 the part that
01:09:39.840 hypnotists would
01:09:40.660 know to do
01:09:41.080 as well,
01:09:41.740 is that the
01:09:42.620 less specific
01:09:43.420 you are,
01:09:44.640 it allows
01:09:45.180 everybody to
01:09:45.900 imagine their
01:09:46.620 own worst
01:09:47.440 scenario.
01:09:49.280 So you
01:09:49.620 might say,
01:09:50.440 oh, let's
01:09:51.700 say if you're
01:09:52.220 in Hamas,
01:09:53.060 you might
01:09:53.380 say, oh,
01:09:54.300 my goodness,
01:09:54.760 he's just
01:09:55.320 going to seal
01:09:56.260 up the
01:09:56.600 tunnels and
01:09:57.220 just leave
01:09:58.160 us there.
01:09:59.280 Or you
01:09:59.900 might say,
01:10:00.820 my God,
01:10:01.740 is he going
01:10:02.440 to kill all
01:10:03.000 the Palestinians?
01:10:04.000 Of course he's
01:10:04.800 not.
01:10:05.720 But they're
01:10:06.560 going to come
01:10:07.100 up with their
01:10:07.500 own worst
01:10:07.980 case scenario
01:10:08.640 that will be
01:10:09.160 worse than
01:10:09.620 anything you
01:10:10.060 could say.
01:10:11.060 So that's
01:10:11.740 perfect.
01:10:12.920 And he's
01:10:13.600 keeping all
01:10:14.040 his options
01:10:14.540 open by
01:10:15.860 not over
01:10:16.420 specifying.
01:10:17.580 So, so
01:10:18.000 far he's
01:10:18.400 perfect.
01:10:18.900 But there's
01:10:19.220 a better
01:10:19.620 part that
01:10:21.060 only Trump
01:10:21.800 would be
01:10:22.140 smart enough
01:10:22.700 to do.
01:10:24.940 And this
01:10:25.840 is what
01:10:26.140 separates him.
01:10:27.700 Right?
01:10:27.940 This is what
01:10:28.600 separates him.
01:10:29.500 You could
01:10:29.880 sort of imagine
01:10:30.820 that some
01:10:31.300 normal politician
01:10:32.140 could also be
01:10:33.100 smart enough
01:10:33.620 to make a
01:10:34.540 generic threat.
01:10:35.420 But one of
01:10:36.820 the things
01:10:37.120 that Trump
01:10:37.540 has going
01:10:37.980 for him
01:10:38.300 is that
01:10:38.600 he's credible.
01:10:39.820 He's already
01:10:40.380 dropped a
01:10:41.020 mother of
01:10:41.400 all bombs.
01:10:42.500 He's already
01:10:43.020 assassinated
01:10:43.780 Solomini when
01:10:46.060 everybody said
01:10:46.680 don't do it.
01:10:47.680 He also
01:10:48.480 destroyed ISIS
01:10:49.480 by telling
01:10:50.060 the military
01:10:50.640 don't ask
01:10:51.680 me what you
01:10:52.860 need to do,
01:10:53.620 just do what
01:10:54.120 you need to
01:10:54.520 do.
01:10:55.180 Those are
01:10:55.820 some of the
01:10:56.260 most badass
01:10:56.980 things that
01:10:57.680 ever happened.
01:10:59.000 So when he
01:10:59.660 says hell
01:11:00.820 is coming,
01:11:02.100 they know
01:11:03.040 it's real.
01:11:03.480 Do you know
01:11:05.200 why they
01:11:05.440 know it's
01:11:05.780 real?
01:11:06.260 It's real.
01:11:07.620 It's not a
01:11:08.100 bluff.
01:11:09.380 Bluffing only
01:11:10.120 gets you so
01:11:10.700 much.
01:11:11.500 This is not
01:11:11.980 a bluff.
01:11:13.020 This is not
01:11:13.680 a bluff.
01:11:14.820 If you know
01:11:15.580 anything about
01:11:16.200 Trump,
01:11:16.920 that's not a
01:11:18.340 bluff.
01:11:19.240 Whatever it
01:11:20.000 takes, he's
01:11:20.720 going to do
01:11:21.120 it.
01:11:21.580 And if you
01:11:21.980 don't give
01:11:22.360 the hostages
01:11:23.040 back, welcome
01:11:24.460 to hell.
01:11:26.780 So, here's
01:11:29.700 the smartest
01:11:30.200 part.
01:11:31.360 He's treating
01:11:32.200 the hostage
01:11:32.900 release as
01:11:33.800 not part of
01:11:34.500 the negotiations
01:11:35.360 because there
01:11:36.580 would be a
01:11:37.020 larger negotiation
01:11:37.960 to, you
01:11:38.640 know, what's
01:11:39.060 the future
01:11:39.520 of Gaza
01:11:40.420 and, you
01:11:41.340 know, who
01:11:42.420 gets a pass
01:11:43.180 and who
01:11:43.440 gets to
01:11:43.820 stay and
01:11:44.420 those things.
01:11:45.780 The big
01:11:46.480 mistake that
01:11:47.260 somebody like
01:11:48.100 Biden would
01:11:49.280 make, if
01:11:49.840 you're a bad
01:11:50.280 negotiator,
01:11:51.460 you'd say it's
01:11:52.140 all part of
01:11:52.740 the same
01:11:53.100 conversation.
01:11:54.480 You've got
01:11:55.020 the hostages,
01:11:57.180 you've got the
01:11:57.720 what happens,
01:11:58.620 you've got the
01:11:59.100 all kinds of
01:12:00.040 questions.
01:12:00.480 Let's put them
01:12:00.860 all together,
01:12:01.360 together, which
01:12:02.320 is a typical
01:12:02.840 thing to do.
01:12:03.640 You put them
01:12:04.000 all together, so
01:12:05.080 you have one
01:12:05.480 kind of deal
01:12:06.100 that deals with
01:12:07.160 all those
01:12:07.520 things, and
01:12:08.060 once Hamas is
01:12:09.220 perfectly happy
01:12:10.000 with the larger
01:12:10.680 deal, then they
01:12:12.020 release the
01:12:12.500 hostages.
01:12:14.920 Bad strategy.
01:12:17.460 The correct
01:12:18.000 strategy is, if
01:12:19.740 you don't want
01:12:20.360 more hostages to
01:12:21.360 be taken, and
01:12:22.100 just repeat this
01:12:22.920 cycle, the
01:12:23.940 correct strategy
01:12:24.700 is to be
01:12:26.600 eligible to have
01:12:27.360 a conversation
01:12:28.140 with us, release
01:12:30.320 the hostages.
01:12:32.500 So you don't
01:12:33.700 put the
01:12:34.180 hostages in
01:12:35.160 the same
01:12:35.580 conversation with
01:12:36.720 all the other
01:12:37.300 things you want
01:12:37.880 to get done,
01:12:38.740 because then
01:12:40.060 you're being
01:12:41.960 emotionally
01:12:42.560 blackmailed, and
01:12:43.540 the families of
01:12:44.480 the hostages are
01:12:45.340 going to be
01:12:45.640 saying, no,
01:12:46.960 let Hamas be in
01:12:48.040 charge again,
01:12:49.340 just let my
01:12:50.440 relative go, and
01:12:52.080 they're going to
01:12:52.360 be emotional, and
01:12:53.380 it's going to
01:12:53.760 weigh on you.
01:12:54.360 You need to
01:12:55.540 say, you
01:12:57.140 release them
01:12:57.660 before I'm in
01:12:58.700 office, and
01:13:00.460 we'll put that
01:13:01.140 topic behind us,
01:13:02.980 and then we
01:13:03.500 can talk.
01:13:04.600 So the right
01:13:05.440 way to do it is
01:13:06.640 that you have to
01:13:07.260 release the
01:13:07.780 hostages to
01:13:08.960 buy a ticket to
01:13:10.520 have a real
01:13:11.000 conversation with
01:13:11.920 me.
01:13:12.760 But until you
01:13:14.380 get them, your
01:13:15.200 only option is
01:13:16.720 hell, and
01:13:18.140 hell is coming
01:13:18.800 hard.
01:13:20.300 That is
01:13:21.360 perfect.
01:13:22.280 Now, is this
01:13:23.360 likely, more
01:13:24.520 likely, to get
01:13:25.260 the hostages
01:13:25.920 killed?
01:13:27.460 It might.
01:13:28.820 It's an
01:13:29.380 unknown.
01:13:30.860 But given
01:13:31.780 that it's an
01:13:32.300 unknown, it
01:13:33.640 makes it the
01:13:34.160 right play.
01:13:35.280 And does it
01:13:35.800 decrease the
01:13:36.600 chance that
01:13:37.200 hostages will
01:13:37.900 be taken in
01:13:38.420 the future?
01:13:39.240 Yes, as long
01:13:40.560 as you make it
01:13:41.160 not part of any
01:13:41.920 larger negotiation.
01:13:43.380 You have one
01:13:44.160 choice, release
01:13:45.880 the hostages or
01:13:46.860 hell, and
01:13:47.940 maybe that will
01:13:48.960 decrease future
01:13:49.900 hostages.
01:13:51.320 So it's
01:13:52.220 perfectly right,
01:13:53.040 and it's
01:13:53.480 perfectly
01:13:53.820 simplified because
01:13:55.760 people will
01:13:57.100 spread the
01:13:57.620 news that he's
01:13:58.240 going to bring
01:13:58.640 hell because
01:13:59.300 it's easy to
01:13:59.860 repeat, it's easy
01:14:00.660 to remember,
01:14:01.300 there's no
01:14:01.620 details.
01:14:02.460 That's what
01:14:02.880 Trump does
01:14:03.300 best.
01:14:04.020 He repeats, he
01:14:04.960 keeps it simple,
01:14:06.060 he keeps it
01:14:06.600 vague, and he's
01:14:07.720 got a history
01:14:08.240 that you know
01:14:09.720 he's going to
01:14:10.120 kill Soleimani
01:14:10.840 if he needs
01:14:11.960 to.
01:14:13.660 He wants to
01:14:14.200 change, Trump
01:14:14.920 wants to change
01:14:15.480 the Gulf of
01:14:15.960 Mexico to the
01:14:16.720 Gulf of America.
01:14:18.440 Now, I don't
01:14:19.140 know exactly what
01:14:19.960 would be involved
01:14:20.540 in that because
01:14:21.560 you've got to
01:14:21.880 change the maps
01:14:22.720 and I don't
01:14:23.160 know, it might
01:14:24.260 be an act of
01:14:24.800 Congress, Marjorie
01:14:26.240 Taylor Greene said
01:14:26.960 she might be
01:14:27.440 helping on that.
01:14:29.240 We don't know
01:14:30.060 how serious that
01:14:30.940 is, but I love
01:14:31.700 it.
01:14:32.960 Here's why I
01:14:33.760 love it.
01:14:34.800 If it's called
01:14:35.660 the Gulf of
01:14:36.240 Mexico, and
01:14:37.540 sometime in the
01:14:38.300 future, Mexico
01:14:39.600 has a dispute
01:14:40.640 with us about
01:14:41.960 resources or
01:14:43.060 access or
01:14:44.040 control of the
01:14:44.900 Gulf, people
01:14:46.420 are going to
01:14:46.780 say, well, it's
01:14:47.500 the Gulf of
01:14:48.720 Mexico, so
01:14:50.180 of course
01:14:51.720 Mexico should
01:14:52.400 have a lot of
01:14:52.820 control.
01:14:53.540 It's named
01:14:53.980 after them, but
01:14:55.520 they don't own
01:14:56.120 it, and the
01:14:58.580 United States is
01:14:59.460 circling at least
01:15:01.060 60% of it.
01:15:04.560 So for the
01:15:05.540 future of
01:15:06.100 America, where
01:15:07.180 we could be
01:15:07.780 pretty sure that
01:15:09.140 someday there'll
01:15:09.720 be some conflict
01:15:10.540 in the Gulf about
01:15:11.360 who owns what,
01:15:13.240 name it after
01:15:13.980 America, and
01:15:15.080 then when you
01:15:15.500 get into that
01:15:16.100 negotiation, 10
01:15:17.840 years from now,
01:15:18.540 whenever it
01:15:18.960 happens, you're
01:15:19.960 going to say, are
01:15:20.500 you serious?
01:15:21.860 Mexico, you think
01:15:22.980 you want to have
01:15:23.460 control over the
01:15:24.560 Gulf of America?
01:15:26.740 It's got America
01:15:27.740 right in the name.
01:15:29.020 It's ours.
01:15:30.640 And it would be
01:15:31.580 easier to get the
01:15:32.440 United States
01:15:33.080 public to back
01:15:34.960 any kind of
01:15:35.800 forceful defense
01:15:37.040 of the Gulf,
01:15:37.680 because it's the
01:15:38.160 Gulf of America.
01:15:39.520 It's like our
01:15:40.260 land.
01:15:40.880 It's not our
01:15:41.600 land, but...
01:15:43.040 So if you look
01:15:44.840 at how four
01:15:46.060 forward-thinking
01:15:46.660 Trump is, which
01:15:48.100 is remarkable, I
01:15:49.680 think he's
01:15:50.080 looking at a
01:15:50.700 10 to 50-year
01:15:51.980 advantage, no
01:15:53.760 particular advantage
01:15:54.680 on day one.
01:15:56.260 And I think the
01:15:57.420 enemies will say,
01:15:58.740 but there's nothing
01:15:59.560 gained on day one.
01:16:00.760 Why would you do
01:16:01.320 this?
01:16:01.800 It's not for day
01:16:02.500 one.
01:16:03.420 It's for days,
01:16:04.400 someday in the
01:16:04.920 future, when we're
01:16:05.700 definitely going to
01:16:06.300 have a conflict about
01:16:07.220 who gets what in
01:16:08.380 the Gulf.
01:16:09.100 It's brilliant.
01:16:10.220 This is basically
01:16:11.120 just brilliant.
01:16:12.740 Now, it's also
01:16:13.420 part of the larger
01:16:14.300 thing where Trump
01:16:16.220 seems to be
01:16:16.880 intentionally flooding
01:16:18.500 the zone with
01:16:20.120 somewhat less
01:16:21.400 important but
01:16:22.360 provocative things
01:16:23.360 that we like to
01:16:24.000 talk about.
01:16:25.140 Why am I talking
01:16:26.220 about the Gulf of
01:16:27.060 America when there
01:16:28.100 couldn't be anything
01:16:28.820 less important to
01:16:29.700 my life?
01:16:30.860 Because it's fun.
01:16:34.120 You can't not
01:16:35.060 talk about it.
01:16:36.220 It's just sort of,
01:16:37.300 it's easy to talk
01:16:38.280 about, and you
01:16:38.800 understand it.
01:16:39.640 You don't have to
01:16:40.120 do any research.
01:16:41.580 It's just kind of
01:16:42.260 fun.
01:16:43.080 So the more fun
01:16:44.120 things he gives
01:16:44.860 us, the less
01:16:46.880 the resistance
01:16:49.080 will be able to
01:16:50.500 find their way
01:16:51.220 in.
01:16:52.000 If Trump came
01:16:52.980 and said, look,
01:16:53.880 here's what I'm
01:16:54.340 going to do.
01:16:55.660 I have one top
01:16:56.840 priority, and
01:16:58.120 every day I'm
01:16:58.660 going to talk
01:16:59.020 about whatever
01:16:59.460 that is.
01:17:00.300 Well, then his
01:17:01.480 opposition could
01:17:02.220 say, ha ha, we
01:17:03.380 know exactly what
01:17:04.300 to attack.
01:17:05.340 He's got that
01:17:05.880 one thing, so
01:17:07.160 we're going to
01:17:07.440 have all of us
01:17:08.220 focus on that
01:17:09.000 one thing, and
01:17:09.640 we'll just take
01:17:10.220 it down.
01:17:10.560 But if he
01:17:11.640 gives them one
01:17:12.660 thing a day, or
01:17:14.260 three things a
01:17:15.120 day, and they're
01:17:15.700 all so interesting
01:17:16.600 they take some
01:17:17.280 of our attention,
01:17:18.740 he's going to
01:17:19.460 split up his
01:17:21.280 opposition until
01:17:22.200 they don't know
01:17:22.660 what to attack.
01:17:23.840 It's like, ah,
01:17:24.600 hey, well, I'm
01:17:26.200 going to go after
01:17:26.640 that.
01:17:26.920 There's a new
01:17:27.560 one.
01:17:28.540 And I think
01:17:29.580 it's brilliant.
01:17:30.600 So you could
01:17:31.420 call it the
01:17:31.820 Overton window or
01:17:32.780 whatever you want.
01:17:33.780 But he's keeping
01:17:34.880 them confused and
01:17:36.040 overwhelmed with
01:17:37.780 Trumpisms.
01:17:38.380 these are just
01:17:39.960 things that he's
01:17:40.620 the only person
01:17:41.420 in the world
01:17:41.820 to do.
01:17:42.560 Nobody else is
01:17:43.360 going to talk
01:17:43.740 about Greenland,
01:17:44.600 which, by the
01:17:45.200 way, there's
01:17:46.480 some reporting
01:17:47.020 today that
01:17:47.900 during his
01:17:48.400 first term,
01:17:49.780 there was
01:17:50.240 actually some
01:17:50.860 motion toward
01:17:52.160 an acquisition
01:17:53.680 or some kind
01:17:54.240 of a deal
01:17:54.600 with Greenland.
01:17:56.280 So it's not
01:17:57.100 crazy.
01:17:58.320 And I guess he
01:17:58.920 always knew it
01:17:59.660 wasn't crazy.
01:18:02.720 All right.
01:18:03.320 China looks
01:18:05.840 like it's
01:18:06.240 making a move
01:18:06.840 on Taiwan.
01:18:08.520 According to
01:18:09.260 the Gateway
01:18:09.640 Pundit, a
01:18:12.060 Chinese ship
01:18:12.860 that's kind of
01:18:13.800 one of these
01:18:14.180 mysterious ships
01:18:15.140 that's hard to
01:18:15.740 track, it's
01:18:17.760 up to do
01:18:18.140 good, and it
01:18:18.800 cut one of
01:18:19.480 the undersea
01:18:20.080 cables to
01:18:22.060 Taiwan.
01:18:23.800 Now, apparently
01:18:24.980 it was intentional,
01:18:26.440 and the thinking
01:18:27.580 is that the
01:18:28.840 way China would
01:18:30.080 try to take
01:18:30.900 over Taiwan
01:18:31.740 would be with
01:18:33.140 a long, slow
01:18:34.220 squeeze, as
01:18:35.640 opposed to an
01:18:36.300 invasion.
01:18:37.400 An invasion
01:18:37.960 might be just
01:18:38.780 too far, meaning
01:18:41.220 there would be
01:18:42.200 military response,
01:18:43.580 you don't know
01:18:43.940 where it would
01:18:44.300 end up, but
01:18:45.460 squeezing them
01:18:46.440 indefinitely and
01:18:47.820 staying just
01:18:48.540 below the line
01:18:49.540 that the United
01:18:50.120 States wants to
01:18:50.940 start firing at
01:18:51.880 them, I hate
01:18:53.580 to say it might
01:18:54.200 be a good
01:18:54.600 strategy.
01:18:56.120 So first, they're
01:18:56.880 going to cut off
01:18:57.500 their internet
01:18:58.180 cables, and
01:19:00.120 then some smart
01:19:01.160 people are
01:19:01.940 saying that
01:19:02.440 what they
01:19:02.820 would do
01:19:03.100 next is do
01:19:03.860 a naval
01:19:04.300 quarantine of
01:19:05.420 the island.
01:19:07.180 A quarantine
01:19:07.860 is not a
01:19:08.560 blockade.
01:19:09.520 A blockade
01:19:10.220 would stop
01:19:10.840 everybody.
01:19:11.840 A quarantine
01:19:12.480 would let
01:19:13.520 some innocent
01:19:14.820 ships in, but
01:19:16.120 they'd stop
01:19:17.040 anything they
01:19:17.540 wanted to stop.
01:19:19.100 So if you
01:19:19.980 cut the cables
01:19:20.780 and you
01:19:21.340 surrounded them
01:19:22.160 and you flew
01:19:22.660 drones over
01:19:23.320 them every
01:19:23.780 day, and
01:19:24.860 apparently the
01:19:25.600 Chinese Navy
01:19:26.420 has greater
01:19:27.480 military power
01:19:28.320 than the United
01:19:28.900 States does in
01:19:30.020 that area.
01:19:31.380 But if you
01:19:31.860 added Japan's
01:19:33.120 Navy and
01:19:33.900 South Korea's
01:19:34.680 Navy, then
01:19:36.100 that alliance
01:19:37.780 with the United
01:19:38.280 States would
01:19:38.740 be bigger than
01:19:39.320 China's Navy.
01:19:40.780 But apparently
01:19:41.200 South Korea has
01:19:42.080 got some
01:19:42.540 political problems
01:19:43.800 at the moment
01:19:44.300 and might not
01:19:44.920 be functional.
01:19:46.080 So it might be
01:19:46.880 just the United
01:19:47.460 States and
01:19:47.920 Japan, which
01:19:49.900 is more of a
01:19:50.740 closer to parity
01:19:51.880 and not really
01:19:52.660 what you want
01:19:53.220 if you're going
01:19:53.800 into some
01:19:54.780 potential conflict.
01:19:55.880 Now, I
01:19:58.780 hate to say
01:19:59.460 that China
01:20:00.380 might have a
01:20:01.540 perfectly workable
01:20:02.640 strategy, but
01:20:05.060 it looks like
01:20:05.560 they do.
01:20:06.600 I don't know
01:20:07.420 if it'd be
01:20:07.780 enough to get
01:20:08.460 the Taiwan
01:20:09.160 government or
01:20:10.700 people to say,
01:20:11.440 all right,
01:20:11.900 all right,
01:20:12.440 let's make a
01:20:13.100 deal.
01:20:14.440 I don't know.
01:20:16.060 But you
01:20:17.780 can see why
01:20:18.260 they'd be doing
01:20:18.760 it.
01:20:19.000 I think
01:20:21.320 Trump, when
01:20:23.660 he's in
01:20:24.020 office, probably
01:20:25.520 would turn up
01:20:26.480 the temperature
01:20:27.020 on this until
01:20:27.880 they back
01:20:28.360 off, but I
01:20:29.380 don't know.
01:20:30.220 We'll see.
01:20:32.500 According to
01:20:33.480 Gateway Pundit
01:20:34.120 also, there's
01:20:34.660 a leaked
01:20:35.400 report that
01:20:39.160 the presidential
01:20:40.120 inauguration is
01:20:41.140 seeking a lot
01:20:42.080 of medical
01:20:42.540 personnel.
01:20:44.240 So the
01:20:45.180 thinking is
01:20:45.820 that maybe
01:20:46.260 it's an
01:20:46.640 unusual request
01:20:47.820 for medical
01:20:48.560 personnel for
01:20:49.380 the inauguration,
01:20:50.400 which would
01:20:51.560 make you
01:20:51.980 say, why
01:20:53.620 do they think
01:20:54.160 they need
01:20:54.520 extra medical
01:20:56.480 personnel?
01:20:57.640 And I would
01:20:58.040 say, obvious.
01:20:59.560 They're worried
01:21:00.300 about an
01:21:00.680 attack.
01:21:01.640 It doesn't
01:21:02.040 mean they know
01:21:02.520 there's going
01:21:02.880 to be an
01:21:03.140 attack, but
01:21:04.200 it's the
01:21:04.640 obvious place
01:21:05.360 that you
01:21:05.660 would want
01:21:05.980 to defend
01:21:06.880 and the
01:21:07.220 obvious place
01:21:07.760 you'd want
01:21:08.060 to have a
01:21:08.340 lot of
01:21:08.520 medical
01:21:08.760 people.
01:21:09.680 And beyond
01:21:10.020 that, maybe
01:21:10.580 they think
01:21:10.980 there'd be
01:21:11.260 some protests
01:21:11.980 or something.
01:21:12.780 I don't
01:21:12.960 know.
01:21:14.020 So it
01:21:14.480 makes sense.
01:21:15.220 I don't
01:21:15.480 think I'd
01:21:15.840 have to be
01:21:16.740 especially
01:21:17.280 worried about
01:21:18.020 the
01:21:18.300 increase in
01:21:18.920 medical
01:21:19.220 personnel.
01:21:20.140 That just
01:21:20.480 seems like
01:21:20.840 being smart.
01:21:23.860 And James
01:21:25.500 O'Keefe, I
01:21:26.060 think, is the
01:21:26.520 one who
01:21:26.860 found out
01:21:27.760 about that
01:21:28.260 memo.
01:21:29.800 When I
01:21:30.800 found out
01:21:31.220 my friend
01:21:31.700 got a
01:21:32.040 great deal
01:21:32.640 on a
01:21:33.000 wool coat
01:21:33.400 from Winners,
01:21:34.240 I started
01:21:35.020 wondering,
01:21:35.920 is every
01:21:36.760 fabulous item
01:21:37.520 I see from
01:21:38.200 Winners?
01:21:39.040 Like that
01:21:39.540 woman over
01:21:40.020 there with
01:21:40.500 the designer
01:21:40.920 jeans.
01:21:41.760 Are those
01:21:42.340 from Winners?
01:21:43.280 Ooh, are
01:21:44.060 those beautiful
01:21:44.580 gold earrings?
01:21:45.720 Did she pay
01:21:46.160 full price?
01:21:47.080 Or that
01:21:47.360 leather tote?
01:21:48.120 Or that
01:21:48.360 cashmere
01:21:48.720 sweater?
01:21:49.320 Or those
01:21:49.640 knee-high
01:21:49.940 boots?
01:21:50.780 That dress?
01:21:51.560 That jacket?
01:21:52.240 Those shoes?
01:21:53.260 Is anyone
01:21:54.040 paying full
01:21:54.680 price for
01:21:55.240 anything?
01:21:56.220 Stop
01:21:56.700 wondering.
01:21:57.460 Start winning.
01:21:58.020 Winners find
01:21:59.220 fabulous for
01:22:00.020 less.
01:22:01.180 All right,
01:22:02.020 here's another
01:22:02.620 thing that
01:22:03.000 people keep
01:22:03.480 telling me.
01:22:04.920 I've been
01:22:05.560 saying things
01:22:06.180 like I
01:22:06.620 don't think
01:22:07.220 the large
01:22:08.620 language model
01:22:09.280 AIs can
01:22:11.120 improve much
01:22:11.980 and they may
01:22:12.980 be reaching
01:22:13.380 their limit.
01:22:14.660 And then the
01:22:15.120 smart people
01:22:15.720 say to me,
01:22:16.800 Scott, you
01:22:18.280 know, I
01:22:19.340 hate to be
01:22:19.800 the one to
01:22:20.240 tell you,
01:22:20.840 but you
01:22:21.400 don't
01:22:22.860 understand
01:22:23.580 growth.
01:22:25.680 Of course
01:22:26.580 it's going to
01:22:27.040 be the kind
01:22:27.440 of thing where
01:22:27.900 the growth
01:22:28.360 is slow,
01:22:29.540 slow,
01:22:29.880 slow,
01:22:30.260 slow,
01:22:30.580 slow.
01:22:31.000 But when
01:22:31.400 it reaches
01:22:32.740 this point,
01:22:34.740 it's going
01:22:35.140 to be like
01:22:35.780 quickly do
01:22:36.480 everything.
01:22:38.020 And I
01:22:38.440 don't
01:22:38.680 understand
01:22:39.240 the normal
01:22:41.360 rate of
01:22:41.900 improvement
01:22:42.400 of technology
01:22:43.280 because when
01:22:44.220 I say the
01:22:44.900 current kind
01:22:46.360 of AI I
01:22:47.200 think can't
01:22:47.920 do, it
01:22:49.540 can never
01:22:49.900 be accurate.
01:22:51.220 That's my
01:22:51.640 opinion because
01:22:52.540 it hallucinates.
01:22:54.200 And people
01:22:54.540 say, oh,
01:22:55.060 you just don't
01:22:55.680 understand.
01:22:56.320 They just
01:22:56.560 make it
01:22:56.880 better.
01:22:57.100 Here's my
01:22:58.040 counter
01:22:58.380 argument.
01:23:00.020 How much
01:23:00.700 better do
01:23:01.280 you have to
01:23:01.940 make a
01:23:02.280 bowling ball
01:23:02.900 before it's
01:23:03.520 a spaceship?
01:23:05.600 Can you
01:23:06.180 improve a
01:23:06.840 bowling ball
01:23:07.460 until it's a
01:23:09.480 rocket that
01:23:09.920 will take you
01:23:10.260 to Mars?
01:23:12.480 How long
01:23:13.200 before an
01:23:13.700 apple evolves
01:23:14.600 into an
01:23:15.060 orange?
01:23:16.200 If you
01:23:16.780 wait long
01:23:17.240 enough,
01:23:17.740 it's going to
01:23:18.160 happen quickly
01:23:18.760 toward the
01:23:19.180 end.
01:23:19.560 It hasn't
01:23:19.880 happened at
01:23:20.240 all yet,
01:23:21.360 but will
01:23:22.040 there be a
01:23:22.440 day when
01:23:22.880 you're looking
01:23:23.240 at your
01:23:23.520 orange and
01:23:23.860 all that
01:23:24.160 rapidly turns
01:23:26.420 into an
01:23:26.820 apple?
01:23:28.020 No.
01:23:29.380 So here's
01:23:29.980 where I
01:23:30.620 differ on
01:23:31.280 the people
01:23:31.600 who say,
01:23:32.160 Scott,
01:23:32.520 Scott,
01:23:32.880 Scott,
01:23:33.220 you don't
01:23:33.840 understand that
01:23:34.600 this technology
01:23:35.420 will rapidly
01:23:36.240 be able to
01:23:36.820 do everything
01:23:37.340 and you'll
01:23:38.200 look like a
01:23:38.940 fool.
01:23:39.880 My complaint
01:23:40.760 about AI
01:23:41.400 is that by
01:23:42.020 its nature,
01:23:43.080 it's an
01:23:44.060 orange,
01:23:45.000 and what we
01:23:46.440 want is
01:23:46.840 accuracy,
01:23:47.620 which is an
01:23:48.160 apple,
01:23:48.420 and there
01:23:49.460 is no
01:23:49.980 real path
01:23:50.680 for the
01:23:51.040 orange to
01:23:51.540 turn into
01:23:51.980 an apple.
01:23:53.340 There's
01:23:53.660 definitely a
01:23:54.240 path where
01:23:55.360 a slow
01:23:55.780 microchip
01:23:56.420 could be
01:23:56.880 replaced with
01:23:57.480 a faster
01:23:57.980 microchip.
01:23:59.040 I get
01:23:59.420 that.
01:24:00.980 There's
01:24:01.500 definitely a
01:24:01.980 path where
01:24:02.560 an electric
01:24:03.480 car might
01:24:04.720 not be
01:24:05.120 great for
01:24:05.620 the overall
01:24:07.020 health of
01:24:08.700 the planet
01:24:09.560 on day
01:24:10.300 one,
01:24:10.860 but I
01:24:11.780 understand how
01:24:12.580 they'll just
01:24:13.100 keep getting
01:24:13.520 better when
01:24:14.100 the batteries
01:24:14.720 are no
01:24:15.120 longer
01:24:15.460 lithium.
01:24:17.080 It'll be
01:24:17.780 the only
01:24:18.120 way you
01:24:18.440 want to
01:24:18.780 live maybe
01:24:19.520 someday.
01:24:19.960 I get
01:24:20.200 that.
01:24:21.060 But I
01:24:21.500 don't think
01:24:21.900 the large
01:24:22.300 language
01:24:22.660 models have
01:24:24.400 that ability
01:24:24.980 to improve
01:24:25.740 microchips in
01:24:26.760 electric cars.
01:24:28.100 I think that
01:24:28.620 they're an
01:24:29.060 exception because
01:24:30.460 there's something
01:24:30.940 built into the
01:24:31.780 way they work
01:24:32.740 that seems
01:24:34.200 unsolvable,
01:24:35.220 the hallucinating.
01:24:36.560 Now, you
01:24:37.080 might say to
01:24:37.540 me, but
01:24:38.040 Scott, they're
01:24:39.560 just going to
01:24:40.040 add regular
01:24:41.080 programming to
01:24:42.240 the AI, and
01:24:43.780 then when the
01:24:44.200 AI needs to
01:24:44.960 know something
01:24:45.420 that's like a
01:24:45.960 fact, it'll
01:24:46.480 just go to
01:24:46.940 that document,
01:24:47.780 and use
01:24:48.800 regular
01:24:49.160 programming, and
01:24:49.880 then tell you
01:24:50.440 what it said,
01:24:51.000 and then it'll
01:24:51.520 be accurate.
01:24:52.340 To which I
01:24:53.020 say, if it
01:24:54.640 could do
01:24:55.060 that, it
01:24:56.460 would have
01:24:56.760 already done
01:24:57.320 it.
01:24:59.080 It can't do
01:24:59.940 that because
01:25:01.120 it doesn't
01:25:01.780 have the
01:25:02.240 ability to
01:25:04.120 just remember
01:25:04.800 and accurately
01:25:06.020 go look at a
01:25:06.880 document and
01:25:07.420 tell you what
01:25:07.760 it said.
01:25:08.440 That seems
01:25:09.360 to you like
01:25:09.940 the easiest
01:25:10.460 thing it
01:25:10.880 could possibly
01:25:11.480 do, but
01:25:12.460 you're thinking
01:25:12.800 of traditional
01:25:13.480 programming.
01:25:14.040 So, is
01:25:17.060 it possible
01:25:17.660 that the
01:25:18.640 AIs will
01:25:19.960 be augmented
01:25:20.600 with just
01:25:21.140 normal
01:25:21.880 programming, and
01:25:23.420 maybe you're
01:25:23.880 just using the
01:25:24.460 AI as the
01:25:25.160 interface to
01:25:25.780 talk to it,
01:25:26.860 but what is
01:25:27.460 really doing the
01:25:28.200 hard work is
01:25:29.140 just regular
01:25:29.660 programming behind
01:25:30.980 the scenes.
01:25:31.560 That might
01:25:31.940 happen.
01:25:32.900 So I do
01:25:33.320 think that that
01:25:33.840 will happen,
01:25:34.580 some kind of
01:25:35.300 nexus between
01:25:36.360 the two, but
01:25:37.200 at the moment,
01:25:37.820 I don't think
01:25:38.280 the AI can
01:25:39.060 even call up
01:25:39.840 the document,
01:25:40.360 like even
01:25:42.040 the most
01:25:42.320 basic thing,
01:25:42.960 I don't think
01:25:43.320 it can do
01:25:43.700 it, and I
01:25:44.260 don't know
01:25:44.560 how they
01:25:44.820 would change
01:25:45.180 it to make
01:25:45.560 it do it.
01:25:47.200 So I'm
01:25:47.680 going to bet
01:25:47.960 against it,
01:25:49.340 partly
01:25:49.700 recreationally.
01:25:51.440 I'd like to
01:25:52.040 be wrong, and
01:25:53.580 I don't think
01:25:54.240 AGI has been
01:25:55.040 solved, but
01:25:55.780 Sam Altman
01:25:56.740 says it is,
01:25:57.880 so he would
01:25:58.400 know more
01:25:58.720 than I would,
01:25:59.280 obviously, but
01:26:00.380 I'm going to
01:26:00.760 bet against it.
01:26:02.540 All right,
01:26:03.020 yesterday I had
01:26:03.720 a lot of fun.
01:26:04.640 If you've
01:26:05.220 watched me a
01:26:05.680 long time,
01:26:06.180 you know one
01:26:06.560 of the things I
01:26:07.040 like to do is
01:26:08.520 put myself in
01:26:09.420 an embarrassing
01:26:09.880 situation.
01:26:10.360 if I think
01:26:11.880 something good
01:26:12.480 could come
01:26:12.860 of it, because
01:26:14.780 unlike most
01:26:15.560 of you, I
01:26:16.260 don't have
01:26:16.600 that feeling
01:26:17.040 of embarrassment.
01:26:19.480 So I
01:26:20.480 waded into
01:26:21.040 the quantum
01:26:21.680 computing
01:26:22.280 conversation
01:26:22.980 yesterday with
01:26:23.880 my own
01:26:24.300 opinion, and
01:26:25.880 of course I
01:26:27.160 don't know
01:26:27.520 about quantum
01:26:28.120 computing, so
01:26:29.040 even though I
01:26:29.580 did a semi-deep
01:26:31.240 dive to find
01:26:32.220 out how it
01:26:32.900 works, I'm
01:26:35.280 certainly no
01:26:35.740 expert.
01:26:37.400 So here's
01:26:38.440 what I think
01:26:39.000 I found out,
01:26:39.740 and it
01:26:40.200 got a huge
01:26:40.880 reaction when
01:26:41.600 I posted
01:26:41.960 it on X.
01:26:43.100 I said,
01:26:44.240 here are the
01:26:44.800 things I
01:26:45.140 learned.
01:26:45.480 No one
01:26:45.840 knows how
01:26:46.300 or why
01:26:46.680 quantum
01:26:47.160 computers work.
01:26:48.740 No one.
01:26:49.400 Not the
01:26:49.840 experts.
01:26:50.920 No one.
01:26:52.180 Now that
01:26:52.540 would be
01:26:52.800 provocative,
01:26:53.640 because you've
01:26:54.200 probably heard it
01:26:54.860 explained a million
01:26:55.820 times, if you
01:26:56.960 follow that.
01:26:57.800 You've heard it
01:26:58.380 explained how
01:26:58.860 they work.
01:27:00.100 So you're
01:27:00.460 saying to
01:27:00.720 yourself, of
01:27:01.480 course they
01:27:01.820 know how it
01:27:02.260 works.
01:27:03.260 If they didn't
01:27:03.820 know how it
01:27:04.180 works, they
01:27:04.620 couldn't create
01:27:05.300 it, and they've
01:27:06.460 already created it,
01:27:07.380 you know, an
01:27:07.860 experimental, so
01:27:08.940 obviously.
01:27:10.400 They've built
01:27:10.920 one, Scott.
01:27:12.560 They built
01:27:13.020 one.
01:27:13.940 Obviously they
01:27:14.540 know how it
01:27:14.960 works.
01:27:16.500 No, they
01:27:16.920 don't.
01:27:18.500 Let me tell you
01:27:19.320 what they say
01:27:19.920 when you ask
01:27:22.140 how it works.
01:27:22.700 They say
01:27:23.020 things like
01:27:23.660 this.
01:27:24.020 Now this is
01:27:24.460 not an exact
01:27:24.980 quote, but
01:27:25.540 it's like
01:27:26.200 this.
01:27:27.320 The way it
01:27:28.040 works, the
01:27:28.840 way quantum
01:27:29.320 computer figures
01:27:30.080 out the truth,
01:27:30.680 is that they
01:27:32.400 use the
01:27:33.620 amplitudes of
01:27:36.020 statistical
01:27:36.720 likelihood, and
01:27:38.280 then they
01:27:38.840 interfere with
01:27:39.940 other amplitudes
01:27:40.920 of statistical
01:27:42.040 likelihoods, and
01:27:43.360 it rules out
01:27:43.860 some possibilities,
01:27:44.960 and then you
01:27:45.220 keep doing that
01:27:45.880 until you reach
01:27:46.540 the correct
01:27:46.940 answer.
01:27:48.680 Does that
01:27:49.200 make sense
01:27:49.600 to you?
01:27:52.580 Let me tell
01:27:53.620 you what it
01:27:53.980 sounds like.
01:27:54.960 I'm going to
01:27:55.320 give you the
01:27:55.700 worst analogy
01:27:56.560 in the world,
01:27:57.800 but it'll get
01:27:58.220 you close to
01:27:58.920 what my
01:27:59.260 problem is,
01:27:59.840 right?
01:28:00.040 Remember,
01:28:01.020 analogies are
01:28:02.260 not meant to
01:28:03.920 be a precise
01:28:04.720 description of
01:28:05.600 what's happening.
01:28:06.820 An analogy is
01:28:08.280 just to open up
01:28:09.040 your brain to
01:28:10.580 like a different
01:28:11.260 frame you could
01:28:11.980 put on the
01:28:12.460 thing that's
01:28:12.860 real.
01:28:13.380 So the
01:28:13.760 analogy is not
01:28:14.440 real.
01:28:15.540 It's not
01:28:16.100 trying to be
01:28:16.740 that.
01:28:17.600 It's just to
01:28:18.300 make a point,
01:28:19.040 right?
01:28:19.700 So imagine
01:28:21.740 you're in a
01:28:22.380 room with a
01:28:22.900 closed door,
01:28:23.820 and the answer
01:28:24.980 to your
01:28:25.360 question,
01:28:25.920 whatever it
01:28:26.420 is, is on
01:28:26.860 the other
01:28:27.120 side of the
01:28:27.480 door, and
01:28:28.760 you have no
01:28:29.300 access to
01:28:29.860 open the
01:28:30.240 door, and
01:28:31.100 no, you
01:28:31.860 can't hear
01:28:32.280 anything, see
01:28:32.960 anything, you
01:28:33.460 don't know what's
01:28:33.880 on the other
01:28:34.180 side of the
01:28:34.520 door, but you
01:28:35.860 need to figure
01:28:36.360 out what it
01:28:36.820 is using your
01:28:37.520 quantum computer.
01:28:39.240 So you take
01:28:40.240 some dice, and
01:28:42.240 you roll the
01:28:42.720 dice, and of
01:28:45.300 course, that
01:28:45.580 doesn't tell you
01:28:46.060 anything, right?
01:28:47.040 It's like, you
01:28:47.600 got a seven, what's
01:28:48.440 that tell you?
01:28:48.900 But, if you
01:28:50.960 use more than
01:28:51.940 one set of
01:28:52.820 dice, then
01:28:55.760 you've got two
01:28:56.820 sets of
01:28:57.280 statistics, and
01:28:58.560 then you can
01:28:59.020 take the one
01:28:59.640 set of
01:28:59.980 statistics, oh, I
01:29:01.020 got a seven on
01:29:01.700 this one, and a
01:29:02.360 nine on this
01:29:02.940 one, and then
01:29:03.920 you have them
01:29:04.980 interfere, and
01:29:06.760 it's the
01:29:07.140 interference of
01:29:08.120 these statistical
01:29:08.840 things that are
01:29:09.520 happening with
01:29:10.000 your dice that
01:29:11.080 tells you what's
01:29:11.740 on the other
01:29:12.120 side of the
01:29:12.500 door.
01:29:12.700 Does that
01:29:15.840 make sense?
01:29:17.800 How do your
01:29:18.500 dice tell you
01:29:19.160 what's on the
01:29:19.760 other side of
01:29:20.180 the door?
01:29:22.480 That's what
01:29:23.040 quantum computer
01:29:24.000 pretends to
01:29:25.720 do.
01:29:26.820 It says it's
01:29:27.700 telling you what's
01:29:28.340 on the other
01:29:28.840 side of the
01:29:29.300 door using
01:29:30.940 nothing but
01:29:31.620 statistical math.
01:29:35.020 That's not a
01:29:35.820 thing.
01:29:37.580 That's not a
01:29:38.380 thing.
01:29:39.120 You can't know
01:29:39.960 what's on the
01:29:40.340 other side of
01:29:40.800 the door if
01:29:41.800 you have no
01:29:42.320 feedback, and
01:29:43.580 by the way,
01:29:44.340 quantum computer
01:29:45.200 does say very
01:29:45.980 clearly, there's
01:29:47.260 no feedback from
01:29:48.760 the solution.
01:29:49.980 It simply goes
01:29:50.820 to it.
01:29:52.720 It just goes
01:29:53.680 to it.
01:29:54.700 It doesn't
01:29:55.540 use logic.
01:29:56.640 It doesn't
01:29:57.540 calculate.
01:29:58.800 It doesn't
01:29:59.800 use some
01:30:00.640 process that
01:30:01.600 anybody has
01:30:02.220 ever used to
01:30:02.900 figure out
01:30:03.280 what's true.
01:30:04.100 It just goes
01:30:05.340 to the answer.
01:30:07.040 And the way
01:30:07.320 it does it is
01:30:08.000 by statistical
01:30:09.100 tricks, which
01:30:10.500 if you interfere
01:30:11.680 the two
01:30:12.200 statistical
01:30:12.940 techniques, it
01:30:14.420 cancels out
01:30:14.980 things, and
01:30:15.480 then you're
01:30:15.840 left with the
01:30:16.280 right answer.
01:30:17.480 How in the
01:30:18.100 world many
01:30:19.740 times do you
01:30:20.360 have to throw
01:30:20.860 dice in the
01:30:21.580 room all by
01:30:22.140 yourself to
01:30:22.740 know what's
01:30:23.080 on the other
01:30:23.460 side of the
01:30:23.900 door?
01:30:24.300 And the answer
01:30:24.800 is you can't
01:30:25.800 ever get there.
01:30:27.220 There's nothing
01:30:27.940 about the dice
01:30:28.820 that's going to
01:30:29.480 tell you what's
01:30:29.900 on the other
01:30:30.240 side of the
01:30:30.620 door.
01:30:31.360 Now, the
01:30:32.420 people who
01:30:32.860 understand quantum
01:30:33.840 computing are
01:30:34.740 going to come in
01:30:35.220 and say, that
01:30:35.880 is the worst
01:30:36.380 analogy ever.
01:30:37.620 Well, they're
01:30:37.980 right.
01:30:38.180 The only
01:30:39.240 point I'm
01:30:39.680 making is you
01:30:40.680 can't have
01:30:41.120 random numbers
01:30:42.080 tell you what's
01:30:42.700 on the other
01:30:43.080 side of the
01:30:43.480 door, and
01:30:43.960 that's what the
01:30:45.460 quantum computer
01:30:46.260 is doing.
01:30:47.600 So, how
01:30:49.120 does it work?
01:30:51.200 Given that
01:30:51.900 there's no way
01:30:52.480 it could work,
01:30:53.960 why does it
01:30:55.040 work?
01:30:55.740 Because they've
01:30:56.300 already used it,
01:30:57.200 and they've
01:30:57.640 solved problems
01:30:58.460 that would take
01:30:58.980 to the end of
01:31:00.240 time for a
01:31:00.800 regular computer.
01:31:01.480 And now, the
01:31:02.980 only reason they
01:31:03.540 know they've
01:31:04.020 solved it is
01:31:05.000 they take the
01:31:05.500 solution and
01:31:06.040 put it in a
01:31:06.540 regular computer,
01:31:07.800 and then the
01:31:08.260 regular computer,
01:31:09.080 if it knows the
01:31:09.580 solution, can
01:31:10.160 check that it's
01:31:10.760 right, but it
01:31:11.760 couldn't figure
01:31:12.200 out the answer
01:31:13.520 on its own.
01:31:15.060 So, here's
01:31:16.300 what I think.
01:31:17.200 I think that
01:31:18.060 quantum computing
01:31:19.060 is not proof that
01:31:20.580 we have multiple
01:31:21.220 dimensions, as
01:31:22.320 some people say,
01:31:23.600 because there's
01:31:23.960 no evidence of
01:31:24.580 any multiple
01:31:25.100 dimensions.
01:31:26.060 There might be
01:31:26.700 multiple dimensions,
01:31:28.200 but there's
01:31:28.920 nothing about
01:31:29.440 quantum computing
01:31:30.380 that gives you
01:31:31.100 any insight
01:31:32.420 about multiple
01:31:33.120 dimensions, any
01:31:34.840 more than the
01:31:35.580 dice do.
01:31:36.580 The multiple
01:31:37.120 dimensions would
01:31:37.860 be, if I throw
01:31:38.880 one set of
01:31:39.460 dice, it's a
01:31:40.040 seven, and I
01:31:40.840 throw the other
01:31:41.580 one, it's a
01:31:41.980 nine.
01:31:42.560 So, that's two
01:31:43.300 dimensions, right?
01:31:44.960 No, it's not.
01:31:46.400 It's just
01:31:47.120 statistics.
01:31:50.220 So, I think that
01:31:51.440 they found a way to
01:31:52.280 hack the simulation
01:31:53.200 source code.
01:31:55.060 If you're sitting
01:31:56.000 in a room, and
01:31:57.140 you want to know
01:31:57.640 what's on the
01:31:58.060 other side of the
01:31:58.620 door, and you
01:31:59.080 have no access
01:31:59.840 to it, put a
01:32:01.080 window, imagine
01:32:01.400 you were in a
01:32:02.000 video game, and
01:32:04.220 you could just
01:32:04.720 open up, like,
01:32:06.300 the cover and
01:32:07.020 see the code.
01:32:09.480 Then, could you
01:32:10.340 sit in your
01:32:10.820 room, if you
01:32:12.120 saw the code for
01:32:13.040 the entire
01:32:13.500 simulation, and
01:32:14.880 could you find
01:32:15.480 the part that
01:32:16.860 tells you what's
01:32:17.440 happening on the
01:32:18.080 other side of
01:32:18.540 the room?
01:32:20.820 There's no
01:32:21.400 other way this
01:32:21.960 could work.
01:32:23.120 This has to be
01:32:24.140 something like a
01:32:25.200 proof that we
01:32:26.400 live in a
01:32:26.820 simulation, because
01:32:28.260 there is no
01:32:29.060 access to the
01:32:29.980 information on the
01:32:30.800 other side of
01:32:31.280 the door, unless
01:32:32.560 you're doing a
01:32:34.020 Kobayashi Maru, and
01:32:36.620 you're cheating the
01:32:37.320 system.
01:32:38.080 So this is
01:32:38.820 literally cheating
01:32:39.700 reality by finding
01:32:41.220 the source code of
01:32:42.060 the simulation, poking
01:32:43.740 around at it, and
01:32:44.680 then you find out
01:32:45.280 what must be on the
01:32:46.080 other side of the
01:32:46.600 door.
01:32:49.340 Now, as
01:32:51.020 ridiculously
01:32:51.800 simplistic and wrong
01:32:54.660 as my analysis is,
01:32:56.100 what you'd expect
01:32:57.840 would be all the
01:32:59.280 smart people would
01:33:00.000 say, oh, God, can
01:33:02.780 you just stay in
01:33:04.640 your stupid
01:33:05.420 cartooning lane?
01:33:07.300 Can you stop
01:33:08.440 acting like you
01:33:09.540 somehow have
01:33:10.940 discovered something,
01:33:12.140 you stupid, stupid
01:33:13.300 cartoonist?
01:33:15.160 But that didn't
01:33:16.060 happen.
01:33:17.480 Instead, all the
01:33:18.320 people who had
01:33:18.740 looked into it said,
01:33:19.640 yeah, you nailed
01:33:20.240 it.
01:33:20.500 And more than
01:33:23.200 that, later in
01:33:24.440 the day, and I
01:33:25.140 didn't know this
01:33:25.600 was going to
01:33:25.980 happen, the CEO
01:33:28.300 of NVIDIA, who
01:33:30.460 definitely has
01:33:31.340 looked into quantum
01:33:32.400 computing, says he
01:33:34.360 doesn't think it
01:33:34.940 would be practical
01:33:35.600 maybe for as long
01:33:36.680 as 30 years.
01:33:41.100 Which means exactly
01:33:42.800 what I said.
01:33:43.540 It doesn't look
01:33:44.240 like it's really
01:33:44.900 going anywhere except
01:33:45.800 some niche
01:33:46.400 applications.
01:33:49.320 It's not going to
01:33:49.700 be on your
01:33:50.040 desktop.
01:33:50.680 It's not even
01:33:51.120 built to do
01:33:51.660 that.
01:33:52.020 It can't do
01:33:52.460 that.
01:33:55.440 And then, there
01:33:57.060 was an article
01:33:58.120 published about
01:33:59.040 the same time,
01:34:00.020 maybe yesterday.
01:34:00.760 I don't know when
01:34:01.420 this was published,
01:34:02.160 but I saw it
01:34:02.720 yesterday or
01:34:04.020 today.
01:34:04.700 Martin Shkreli,
01:34:06.300 you know,
01:34:06.760 Martin Shkreli,
01:34:08.640 he's a provocative
01:34:09.400 character, but he
01:34:10.780 wrote a long
01:34:11.300 piece in which he
01:34:13.440 said you should
01:34:14.160 short or sell all
01:34:15.340 your quantum
01:34:15.960 computing stocks
01:34:16.940 because they're
01:34:17.560 worthless because
01:34:18.720 there's no
01:34:19.100 business there and
01:34:20.020 never will be.
01:34:23.260 And he explains
01:34:24.160 why.
01:34:25.220 Now, I think
01:34:27.100 I was a lot
01:34:27.660 closer on this
01:34:28.480 than even I
01:34:29.220 was expecting
01:34:29.800 because I would
01:34:31.400 have been
01:34:31.640 happy if I
01:34:33.200 embarrassed myself
01:34:34.080 in public with
01:34:34.840 how stupid I
01:34:35.520 am, but that
01:34:36.600 it led to
01:34:37.340 somebody smart
01:34:38.780 explaining it to
01:34:39.600 me in a way
01:34:40.020 that made
01:34:40.340 sense.
01:34:40.720 Nope.
01:34:43.260 The people who
01:34:44.040 tried to explain
01:34:44.760 it to me just
01:34:45.380 did word salad.
01:34:46.680 Well, but
01:34:47.160 Scott, we
01:34:48.640 used something
01:34:49.660 called the
01:34:50.260 oracle feature
01:34:51.700 that decides
01:34:52.960 how to roll
01:34:54.200 the dice and
01:34:55.580 that's why it
01:34:56.420 works.
01:34:57.680 And I'll be
01:34:58.140 like, well,
01:34:58.580 you didn't tell
01:34:59.120 me anything
01:34:59.560 there.
01:34:59.860 Like, why does
01:35:00.720 it work?
01:35:01.320 Because it's the
01:35:02.420 statistics and it
01:35:03.400 interferes and
01:35:04.580 then it goes
01:35:04.980 through the,
01:35:05.920 like, you don't
01:35:06.480 know why this
01:35:07.040 works, do you?
01:35:08.280 No, nobody
01:35:08.760 knows why it
01:35:09.240 works.
01:35:11.260 Anyway, last
01:35:13.940 story is that
01:35:14.820 according to
01:35:15.720 BMJ Group,
01:35:17.300 cardio-respiratory
01:35:18.240 fitness is
01:35:18.920 linked to
01:35:19.460 better cognitive
01:35:20.800 abilities in
01:35:21.560 old people.
01:35:23.720 Is that
01:35:24.420 backward science?
01:35:26.600 So if we
01:35:27.600 know that the
01:35:28.280 old people who
01:35:29.300 are doing more
01:35:30.240 fitness stuff
01:35:31.620 have better
01:35:32.740 brains, is
01:35:34.500 that because
01:35:35.360 the fitness
01:35:36.060 and the
01:35:37.500 exercise causes
01:35:38.440 their brain to
01:35:39.100 be better, or
01:35:40.880 is it equally
01:35:42.820 or more likely
01:35:43.620 that the people
01:35:44.820 who have good
01:35:45.680 genes are more
01:35:46.880 likely to exercise
01:35:47.780 because they
01:35:48.560 can?
01:35:49.640 And if you
01:35:49.980 had good genes
01:35:50.680 for your body
01:35:51.420 and your body
01:35:52.080 was able to
01:35:52.720 handle exercise
01:35:53.400 and feel good
01:35:54.100 about it, is
01:35:55.880 it kind of at
01:35:56.940 least a little
01:35:57.440 bit likely that
01:35:58.160 your brain being
01:35:58.860 part of your
01:35:59.300 body is part
01:36:00.060 of something
01:36:00.960 that's a good
01:36:01.880 machine?
01:36:04.020 It probably
01:36:04.800 works both ways.
01:36:05.800 I do think
01:36:06.240 exercise is good
01:36:07.040 for your brain,
01:36:07.860 but I feel
01:36:08.800 like people
01:36:09.420 with good
01:36:09.880 brains and
01:36:10.380 bodies are
01:36:10.860 more likely
01:36:11.260 to exercise.
01:36:13.380 So it
01:36:14.760 might work
01:36:15.180 both ways.
01:36:16.560 Backward
01:36:17.020 science.
01:36:17.520 That's all I
01:36:17.880 got for you
01:36:18.320 today.
01:36:18.800 Sorry I
01:36:19.160 took so
01:36:19.780 long, but
01:36:22.260 I wanted to
01:36:22.720 do that
01:36:22.980 whiteboard
01:36:23.360 thing.
01:36:24.060 Let me
01:36:24.280 just ask
01:36:24.740 you before
01:36:25.180 I go
01:36:26.660 private with
01:36:27.160 the locals
01:36:27.520 people, was
01:36:28.720 the immigration
01:36:29.640 discussion useful
01:36:30.680 and did it
01:36:32.740 help you
01:36:33.440 see it a
01:36:35.220 little differently
01:36:35.720 and understand
01:36:36.560 why we're
01:36:37.040 looking at,
01:36:37.880 we think
01:36:38.340 we're talking
01:36:38.720 about the
01:36:39.100 same thing,
01:36:39.640 but we're
01:36:40.020 kind of not
01:36:40.820 when it comes
01:36:41.480 to immigration.
01:36:42.940 I just want
01:36:43.640 to see if that
01:36:44.020 was useful
01:36:44.460 because if it
01:36:45.120 was, I
01:36:45.560 might clip
01:36:46.020 it.
01:36:47.160 But if you
01:36:47.860 tell me,
01:36:48.440 well, that
01:36:48.660 was a waste
01:36:49.160 of time,
01:36:49.720 then I
01:36:50.040 won't clip
01:36:50.540 it.
01:36:51.320 Is it
01:36:51.760 clippable?
01:36:53.420 I'm seeing
01:36:53.860 some yeses.
01:36:58.080 All right.
01:36:58.500 Okay, I'm
01:37:02.460 getting lots
01:37:02.900 of yeses to
01:37:03.660 clip it.
01:37:04.080 All right, so
01:37:04.420 I'll clip
01:37:04.860 that.
01:37:05.260 You'll see
01:37:05.600 it at some
01:37:06.000 point.
01:37:07.480 You know, I
01:37:08.000 never think
01:37:08.480 about clipping
01:37:09.000 it when I'm
01:37:09.500 doing it.
01:37:11.060 I would do
01:37:11.680 it a lot
01:37:12.000 tighter and
01:37:12.560 faster if I
01:37:13.280 knew it was
01:37:13.580 going to be
01:37:13.820 a clip, but
01:37:14.500 it should
01:37:14.960 be okay.
01:37:16.020 It'll be
01:37:16.340 okay.
01:37:18.260 All right.
01:37:20.580 Good.
01:37:21.280 Oh, good.
01:37:21.840 You liked it.
01:37:22.820 All right, I'm
01:37:23.180 going to say
01:37:23.460 hi to the
01:37:24.260 locals, people
01:37:25.100 privately.
01:37:26.540 For the rest
01:37:27.220 of you, I
01:37:27.740 will see you.
01:37:28.500 tomorrow, same
01:37:31.320 time, same
01:37:31.760 place.