Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 09, 2025


Episode 2715 CWSA 01⧸09⧸25


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 42 minutes

Words per minute

132.70897

Word count

13,627

Sentence count

918

Harmful content

Misogyny

17

sentences flagged

Hate speech

32

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Trump's time distortion, AI, and the L.A. fires. Plus, a Dilbert comic, and a new kind of coffee. And, of course, there's still time for a "sip" from me.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Well, there you are.
00:00:01.940 You're here, I'm here.
00:00:07.480 All right.
00:00:11.520 We're going to find our comments and get them going
00:00:14.200 so I can see what the locals people are saying to me.
00:00:20.000 And then we will blow your mind with the best show ever.
00:00:24.880 Boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom.
00:00:27.100 Boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom.
00:00:36.140 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:41.720 Probably the best day you can ever have,
00:00:44.000 but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels
00:00:47.420 that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,
00:00:51.920 all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass,
00:00:53.920 a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask,
00:00:57.100 a vessel of any kind.
00:00:58.780 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:00.080 I like coffee.
00:01:02.580 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.
00:01:05.380 At the end of the day, I think it makes everything better.
00:01:07.560 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:01:11.680 Go.
00:01:16.460 Sensational.
00:01:17.760 Best sip of the day.
00:01:18.740 Well, of course, I'm going to be talking about the L.A. fires,
00:01:22.460 but I'll wait just a minute for people to stream in.
00:01:27.060 Before that, I would like to note,
00:01:30.420 do any of you remember,
00:01:32.200 I can't remember how long ago it was,
00:01:34.180 so we're going to test your long-term memory.
00:01:36.600 It was a long time ago,
00:01:38.520 but there were these two terror attacks,
00:01:41.980 one in New Orleans and one in Vegas.
00:01:44.200 Does any of that sound familiar?
00:01:46.820 It was so long ago.
00:01:51.080 Right?
00:01:54.520 Trump is doing it again.
00:01:56.440 He's doing that thing where time is completely distorted.
00:02:00.040 So, when the Vegas terrorism thing was the headline story,
00:02:05.660 I said to myself,
00:02:07.480 ooh, this is going to be in the news for a while,
00:02:09.880 so I'm going to do a Dilbert comic
00:02:11.840 in which Dilbert's boss's secretary
00:02:16.800 suggests that he takes a vacation in Vegas
00:02:21.000 because he didn't know where to go on his vacation.
00:02:23.180 So, she suggests that he buy a Cybertruck
00:02:29.040 and drive it to Vegas
00:02:31.380 and stay at the Trump Hotel.
00:02:34.600 Well, anyway, you'd have to see the comic.
00:02:36.340 It's pretty darn funny,
00:02:37.840 but it's running today only for the subscribers.
00:02:41.120 You'd have to be subscribing on X or Locals to see it.
00:02:45.060 But, you know, I was prepping it to publish it this morning,
00:02:48.760 and I thought, oh, my God, that feels so long ago.
00:02:55.200 So long ago.
00:02:57.400 So, Trump, time distortion, happening again.
00:03:01.920 All right, just one more thing,
00:03:02.920 then we'll talk about the fires.
00:03:04.440 I tried to use ChatGPT last night
00:03:07.600 to digest a big legal document that I was asked to review,
00:03:12.900 and I thought to myself,
00:03:14.340 oh, perfect application for AI.
00:03:17.220 I'm going to upload the document,
00:03:19.860 and then I will query it to say,
00:03:23.500 okay, is this handled?
00:03:24.960 You know, what about this?
00:03:25.800 What's it say about this?
00:03:27.220 And then it would summarize it for me,
00:03:29.000 and I'd save a bunch of time.
00:03:31.760 I was so happy to be in the age of AI,
00:03:34.740 so I took my PDF file, and I uploaded it,
00:03:38.100 and it said, no, we can't handle the PDF file.
00:03:41.200 And I said, in 2025,
00:03:44.900 the advanced intelligence
00:03:46.740 the most important technology in the world.
00:03:51.420 Can't read a PDF file?
00:03:53.960 But it said, you know, JPEG it could read.
00:03:56.660 So I thought, oh, all right.
00:03:58.000 All right, well.
00:03:58.940 So I just changed it to a JPEG file,
00:04:01.660 and I upload it,
00:04:03.360 and it fails.
00:04:04.820 And it says,
00:04:05.560 it can only take,
00:04:08.400 when it goes to JPEG,
00:04:09.700 it turns the document into each of its individual pages
00:04:12.500 as one file apiece.
00:04:13.700 But I thought, well, no problem.
00:04:15.660 I'll just drag all of the pages in.
00:04:18.120 It'll figure out the page numbers.
00:04:20.440 Good to go.
00:04:22.100 And then I try to drag all the pages in,
00:04:24.300 and it says,
00:04:25.460 you can only handle four pages.
00:04:28.120 And I think, okay, no problem.
00:04:30.040 No problem.
00:04:30.760 I'll just do four at a time,
00:04:32.880 because there are only, you know,
00:04:34.400 20-some pages.
00:04:35.420 It's not going to take all day.
00:04:36.960 So I drag four over. 0.75
00:04:38.560 Good.
00:04:39.460 So I drag another four over, 0.98
00:04:41.440 and then it clarifies that it's a total of four.
00:04:45.680 It's not four at a time.
00:04:47.640 It's a total of four.
00:04:49.480 So I spend something like 45 minutes of my day
00:04:53.880 finding out that AI can't do the simplest freaking thing.
00:04:59.420 So, I don't know.
00:05:02.940 They say it's going to replace everything and do everything.
00:05:06.880 But I don't know.
00:05:07.920 All right, let's talk about the L.A. fires.
00:05:12.860 It's all horrible.
00:05:15.580 You know, if you're new to my live stream,
00:05:18.360 I live in Northern California,
00:05:20.520 and you might say to yourself,
00:05:22.000 well, Northern California,
00:05:23.060 that's so far away from Southern California
00:05:25.040 that you're probably not much impacted.
00:05:27.960 Well, I'm not impacted directly by the fire.
00:05:30.160 That's not a risk where I am.
00:05:32.780 But if you live in California,
00:05:34.720 you end up having a lot of friends
00:05:36.200 in other parts of California.
00:05:38.480 So I'm very impacted.
00:05:40.940 And I had to cancel the man cave last night
00:05:44.000 because there was just too many people who needed help
00:05:47.140 and too many people I had to check on.
00:05:49.120 And, you know, it was both family and friends.
00:05:51.900 And it was a big wait.
00:05:57.960 So just not being in the direct fire
00:06:00.120 is better than being in the fire.
00:06:02.680 But let me tell you,
00:06:03.900 the other residents of California,
00:06:07.100 we're taking it in the gut.
00:06:10.580 This is like being punched all day long.
00:06:14.640 And five people dead, apparently,
00:06:17.440 which, you know, is a gigantic tragedy,
00:06:21.860 I suppose.
00:06:23.980 I suppose, you know,
00:06:25.940 you could say something like
00:06:27.100 could have been worse.
00:06:29.080 But five people is five people.
00:06:30.980 One of them reportedly had stayed behind
00:06:33.900 with his hose
00:06:35.080 and was trying to save his house.
00:06:37.280 And I always wondered how smart
00:06:39.360 or dumb that strategy was.
00:06:42.020 Because there are a number of people
00:06:43.680 who apparently did, in fact,
00:06:45.660 save their houses.
00:06:47.200 Because somebody stayed, you know,
00:06:48.780 neighbor or they stayed with a hose.
00:06:50.860 But one of them died.
00:06:53.560 So if you're going to stay with a hose,
00:06:55.400 just know,
00:06:56.740 I don't know what the odds are
00:06:57.900 of you dying in this sort of
00:06:59.440 massive fire situation,
00:07:01.080 but it might be like 20%, you know?
00:07:04.600 I mean, it's crazy high.
00:07:07.500 But people do what they have to do
00:07:09.100 if it's your entire life
00:07:10.840 and you're not insured,
00:07:12.200 which was the case in many cases.
00:07:14.580 I guess you do what you got to do.
00:07:17.800 Anyway,
00:07:18.960 so speaking of do what you want to do,
00:07:23.700 I heard Greg got filled
00:07:25.600 on the five yesterday,
00:07:28.020 requesting that people consider
00:07:30.820 opening up their homes
00:07:31.960 to other people.
00:07:33.500 This one's not like
00:07:34.740 a lot of different disasters.
00:07:38.220 The sheer number of people
00:07:39.580 who are displaced
00:07:40.540 in a fairly populated area
00:07:42.800 is kind of crazy.
00:07:45.020 And they're not going to go back soon.
00:07:47.240 So a lot of people
00:07:48.220 are opening houses,
00:07:50.180 donating money,
00:07:52.520 trying to help
00:07:53.040 in every possible way they can.
00:07:54.680 So it's pretty much,
00:07:55.940 it's an all hands on deck
00:07:57.100 situation here.
00:07:58.620 So if you don't see me
00:08:00.960 putting in as much work,
00:08:03.440 could you please understand
00:08:06.460 that this isn't the week
00:08:07.760 that my mind's on work?
00:08:09.840 All right,
00:08:10.060 we're trying to keep people alive
00:08:12.720 and help as we can.
00:08:17.500 So apparently there's,
00:08:19.040 I think there's still
00:08:19.860 zero containment,
00:08:21.500 but the Santa Ana winds
00:08:23.660 that made it so bad
00:08:24.800 should be dying down
00:08:26.160 by the end of today.
00:08:28.180 So I'm hoping
00:08:29.460 that we're going to see
00:08:31.880 something like
00:08:32.520 some containment.
00:08:33.980 Now,
00:08:34.280 I hate to say it,
00:08:36.000 but probably the only thing
00:08:37.340 that will bring this fire
00:08:38.700 under control
00:08:39.500 is burning everything
00:08:41.540 that's burnable
00:08:42.440 until there's just
00:08:43.960 no fuel left.
00:08:44.980 It's just the ocean.
00:08:46.620 So,
00:08:47.140 I don't know
00:08:48.160 what they're going to do,
00:08:50.580 but
00:08:50.840 Elon Musk
00:08:53.400 has announced
00:08:54.520 he's going to
00:08:55.440 donate free
00:08:56.200 Starlink terminals
00:08:57.240 to the affected area
00:08:58.580 in L.A.
00:08:59.900 I think that's
00:09:00.880 maybe today or tomorrow
00:09:02.260 he's going to do that.
00:09:05.340 Axe always makes me feel
00:09:06.620 like the world
00:09:07.180 is so small.
00:09:09.620 So,
00:09:10.240 you know,
00:09:10.560 the richest,
00:09:11.880 most interesting guy
00:09:13.280 in the world right now
00:09:14.220 is,
00:09:15.440 of course,
00:09:15.720 in every topic,
00:09:16.940 and he's in this topic
00:09:18.000 in a productive way.
00:09:19.380 And then you see
00:09:20.140 in the comments
00:09:20.840 when he says
00:09:21.580 he's going to donate them,
00:09:22.580 you see his brother,
00:09:23.500 Kimball,
00:09:24.840 saying,
00:09:25.300 you know,
00:09:25.500 thanks, brother.
00:09:26.640 So he must be in L.A.
00:09:28.580 and he must be affected.
00:09:30.140 So even Kimball,
00:09:31.120 Kimball Musk
00:09:32.060 is in the mix.
00:09:34.680 A lot of celebrities.
00:09:35.980 We'll talk about
00:09:36.440 some of those.
00:09:37.320 All right.
00:09:37.560 The biggest macro story
00:09:39.460 is the fog of war.
00:09:41.760 So,
00:09:42.520 I'm guilty
00:09:43.580 of probably,
00:09:45.680 I don't know
00:09:46.080 the specifics,
00:09:46.900 but I think
00:09:47.620 I probably
00:09:48.380 reposted
00:09:49.420 some fake news
00:09:50.220 yesterday
00:09:51.480 because there was
00:09:53.140 so much
00:09:53.960 speculation
00:09:55.240 and not quite
00:09:56.300 accurate.
00:09:57.200 So I want to talk
00:09:57.980 about the things
00:09:58.620 we think we know
00:09:59.660 and put them
00:10:00.820 in context.
00:10:01.920 If you haven't
00:10:02.880 done this yet,
00:10:04.120 I recommend it highly.
00:10:05.980 If you're not
00:10:06.880 watching one of the
00:10:07.980 fake news
00:10:09.220 networks
00:10:09.880 like CNN
00:10:11.040 talking about
00:10:12.680 the context
00:10:13.680 of how we got
00:10:14.680 to this situation
00:10:15.440 in California,
00:10:16.420 you're not really
00:10:17.300 hearing the other side.
00:10:19.140 And this is
00:10:19.680 one of those
00:10:20.260 things where
00:10:21.200 there's a fog of war,
00:10:22.500 but on top of it
00:10:23.380 two completely
00:10:24.840 different versions
00:10:25.700 of what happened
00:10:26.400 have already emerged.
00:10:27.840 No surprise.
00:10:28.780 No surprise.
00:10:30.000 But you really
00:10:31.500 need to hear
00:10:32.160 the alternative
00:10:34.520 explanations
00:10:35.760 of what happened.
00:10:37.680 It's going to
00:10:39.000 blow your mind
00:10:40.160 that any of it
00:10:41.800 could be
00:10:42.180 a little bit
00:10:42.820 explained.
00:10:44.200 Now,
00:10:44.360 when I say
00:10:44.680 a little bit
00:10:45.160 explained,
00:10:46.420 my macro theory
00:10:47.460 is that there's
00:10:48.120 massive incompetence.
00:10:50.580 There needs
00:10:50.940 to be
00:10:51.460 some kind
00:10:52.760 of
00:10:54.140 addressing
00:10:55.580 that.
00:10:56.400 I don't know
00:10:56.820 what that looks
00:10:57.340 like.
00:10:57.980 So there's
00:10:58.320 massive incompetence,
00:11:00.580 but some of
00:11:02.240 the accusations
00:11:02.980 clearly don't
00:11:03.820 fly.
00:11:04.640 And I'll tell
00:11:05.140 you which ones
00:11:05.620 they are,
00:11:05.900 because I feel
00:11:06.900 like we want
00:11:07.440 to be mad,
00:11:08.500 but it's such
00:11:09.680 wasted energy
00:11:10.460 to be mad
00:11:11.120 at the wrong
00:11:11.640 things.
00:11:12.260 There's plenty
00:11:12.780 of things to
00:11:13.280 really be mad
00:11:14.000 at.
00:11:14.800 Now,
00:11:15.120 I will remind
00:11:15.700 you,
00:11:17.240 well,
00:11:17.640 we'll get to
00:11:17.980 that.
00:11:19.020 So here are
00:11:19.720 some of the
00:11:20.020 things that
00:11:20.400 people accused,
00:11:21.900 the LA
00:11:23.060 government
00:11:24.920 and management
00:11:26.160 of doing.
00:11:27.440 So first
00:11:28.040 of all,
00:11:28.320 the reports
00:11:28.800 were that
00:11:29.440 the fire
00:11:30.400 hydrants
00:11:31.220 either didn't
00:11:32.180 have water
00:11:32.780 or had
00:11:33.680 no water
00:11:34.220 pressure.
00:11:35.920 Now,
00:11:36.680 there's two
00:11:37.640 versions of
00:11:38.220 that.
00:11:39.160 If the problem
00:11:39.780 is they didn't
00:11:40.320 have water,
00:11:41.700 because there
00:11:42.100 was no
00:11:42.480 stored water,
00:11:43.840 there is
00:11:44.460 some evidence
00:11:46.220 that there was
00:11:46.800 a water
00:11:47.200 reservoir that
00:11:48.000 was not
00:11:48.420 filled,
00:11:48.880 but I'd
00:11:50.340 like to
00:11:51.060 know more
00:11:51.440 about whether
00:11:52.040 it was
00:11:53.120 possible to
00:11:53.820 fill it,
00:11:54.940 because maybe
00:11:55.360 there was
00:11:55.640 no water
00:11:56.040 to put in,
00:11:57.080 and I don't
00:11:57.600 know whose
00:11:57.960 fault that
00:11:58.380 would be.
00:11:59.320 So all
00:12:00.180 of these
00:12:00.480 things that
00:12:00.960 look like
00:12:01.320 they're
00:12:01.480 simple,
00:12:02.640 they've
00:12:02.920 all got
00:12:03.260 some bigger
00:12:04.240 story behind
00:12:05.140 them,
00:12:05.620 which doesn't
00:12:06.600 make any of it
00:12:07.160 good or
00:12:07.820 right.
00:12:09.020 It's just
00:12:09.660 that you
00:12:10.000 should know
00:12:10.320 the context.
00:12:11.200 It's never
00:12:11.960 as simple
00:12:12.420 as the
00:12:13.900 posts on
00:12:14.420 X.
00:12:14.720 So it's
00:12:17.520 possible,
00:12:18.380 well there
00:12:18.920 definitely was
00:12:19.540 a low water
00:12:20.100 pressure in
00:12:20.580 some places,
00:12:21.800 and there
00:12:22.180 definitely were
00:12:22.820 fire hydrants
00:12:24.440 not producing
00:12:25.080 water.
00:12:26.160 Some were.
00:12:27.400 So we do
00:12:27.860 have reports
00:12:28.440 of some
00:12:28.960 working hydrants,
00:12:30.140 some not.
00:12:31.480 Possibly,
00:12:32.760 or even maybe
00:12:33.400 probably,
00:12:34.400 the reason the
00:12:35.020 water pressure
00:12:35.620 was insufficient
00:12:36.420 is that there
00:12:37.240 were so many
00:12:37.860 hydrants being
00:12:38.520 used at the
00:12:39.160 same time,
00:12:40.840 attempted,
00:12:41.940 and the
00:12:43.360 entire place
00:12:44.700 had been
00:12:45.040 destroyed,
00:12:45.840 so there
00:12:46.160 were a lot
00:12:46.500 of open
00:12:47.020 fountain-like
00:12:48.800 water being
00:12:50.900 wasted just
00:12:51.780 in homes.
00:12:52.860 So if the
00:12:54.520 area was
00:12:55.280 served by
00:12:55.720 the same
00:12:56.040 water source,
00:12:58.240 be it the
00:12:59.100 hydrant or
00:12:59.740 inside the
00:13:00.300 house,
00:13:01.140 if the
00:13:01.760 house has
00:13:03.000 broken pipes
00:13:03.780 and the
00:13:04.120 water is
00:13:04.560 spewing
00:13:04.840 everywhere,
00:13:05.780 and everybody
00:13:06.500 is trying to
00:13:06.940 use water at
00:13:07.480 the same time
00:13:08.040 to put out
00:13:08.480 the fire,
00:13:09.320 there's not
00:13:09.840 going to be
00:13:10.080 enough.
00:13:10.960 Water pressure,
00:13:12.640 or maybe
00:13:13.120 even water.
00:13:14.500 So water
00:13:15.300 and water
00:13:15.760 pressure were
00:13:16.400 both a
00:13:16.880 problem.
00:13:19.460 It's not
00:13:20.240 entirely clear
00:13:21.340 that either
00:13:22.500 of those were
00:13:23.280 some direct
00:13:24.520 mistake that
00:13:25.200 you could put
00:13:25.700 on some
00:13:26.620 particular person.
00:13:28.500 They're all
00:13:29.040 complicated.
00:13:30.060 There's a
00:13:30.640 question of
00:13:31.140 forest management.
00:13:33.120 You know,
00:13:33.540 Trump has
00:13:34.600 been on it
00:13:35.080 for years,
00:13:36.600 literally years.
00:13:37.400 He's been
00:13:37.660 saying that
00:13:38.180 California is
00:13:38.960 not managing
00:13:39.480 its forests,
00:13:40.720 like places
00:13:41.400 like Austria,
00:13:42.140 where they
00:13:42.620 don't have
00:13:42.960 this kind
00:13:43.360 of fire.
00:13:44.680 And managing
00:13:45.320 the forest
00:13:45.780 means partly
00:13:46.640 removing the
00:13:47.480 underbrush,
00:13:48.960 you know,
00:13:49.100 the really
00:13:49.520 flammable stuff,
00:13:51.380 because the
00:13:51.720 trees can do
00:13:52.400 a much better
00:13:52.900 job of
00:13:53.660 surviving.
00:13:55.320 If it's just
00:13:56.880 going tree to
00:13:57.560 tree,
00:13:58.080 it's not going
00:13:58.900 to go as
00:13:59.720 fast as if
00:14:00.440 there's this
00:14:01.040 underbrush that's
00:14:01.900 just ready to
00:14:02.800 go.
00:14:03.820 Because the
00:14:04.920 living trees are
00:14:05.720 a little bit
00:14:06.140 wet, 0.94
00:14:07.000 so they'll
00:14:07.700 slow things
00:14:08.340 down,
00:14:08.660 but the
00:14:09.100 dead
00:14:09.420 underbrush,
00:14:10.840 you know,
00:14:11.120 it's just,
00:14:11.580 it's going
00:14:12.100 to be
00:14:12.260 traveling like
00:14:12.800 crazy.
00:14:13.860 So the
00:14:14.780 forest management
00:14:15.420 thing is a
00:14:16.080 real thing,
00:14:16.640 it's really
00:14:17.200 important,
00:14:18.020 it's really
00:14:18.560 not done
00:14:19.080 well,
00:14:19.820 but I don't
00:14:21.060 know if that
00:14:21.600 had a causation
00:14:22.560 in this case,
00:14:24.040 because most
00:14:26.160 of what I saw
00:14:26.860 burning were
00:14:27.620 residential
00:14:28.480 homes,
00:14:29.880 and there's
00:14:31.160 at least one
00:14:31.740 report that I
00:14:32.700 don't think is
00:14:33.560 confirmed,
00:14:34.760 that somebody
00:14:35.280 said the fire
00:14:35.980 started in
00:14:36.600 somebody's
00:14:37.020 backyard and
00:14:38.560 then spread
00:14:39.020 up a hill.
00:14:40.000 If it started
00:14:40.820 in somebody's
00:14:41.460 backyard and
00:14:42.240 spread up a
00:14:42.800 hill,
00:14:43.020 which is not
00:14:43.500 confirmed,
00:14:44.720 not confirmed,
00:14:46.080 it's just
00:14:46.440 something I saw
00:14:47.020 a fireman on
00:14:48.120 the scene who
00:14:48.640 was working
00:14:49.060 it said.
00:14:50.600 If it was
00:14:51.340 set by
00:14:52.260 somebody,
00:14:53.600 we heard
00:14:53.920 reports that,
00:14:55.420 which are
00:14:55.940 fake,
00:14:56.440 these are fake
00:14:57.080 reports,
00:14:58.080 somebody,
00:14:59.020 and oh,
00:14:59.540 that's one of
00:15:00.240 the fake ones
00:15:00.800 that I think I
00:15:01.340 reposted,
00:15:02.400 so that's
00:15:03.540 bad on me,
00:15:04.260 that's just a
00:15:04.840 mistake,
00:15:05.500 I should not
00:15:06.260 have been
00:15:06.480 trusting that
00:15:07.140 kind of
00:15:07.460 information that
00:15:08.980 early in the
00:15:09.720 story.
00:15:11.200 So that's
00:15:11.960 just an
00:15:13.820 unforced error.
00:15:15.320 So on my
00:15:15.820 part,
00:15:17.000 believing that
00:15:18.000 story,
00:15:19.220 that some
00:15:19.900 homeless person
00:15:20.700 said it,
00:15:21.280 which did not
00:15:21.860 happen,
00:15:23.260 that's on me.
00:15:24.980 That's just an
00:15:25.640 error.
00:15:26.260 I should have
00:15:26.660 said somebody
00:15:27.240 reports it,
00:15:28.040 but we don't
00:15:28.440 know.
00:15:28.940 That would
00:15:29.260 have been the
00:15:29.580 right answer.
00:15:30.920 So we still
00:15:31.640 don't know,
00:15:32.540 but I can tell
00:15:33.400 you that I
00:15:33.960 don't see a
00:15:34.500 direct link
00:15:35.280 from forest
00:15:36.800 management to
00:15:37.840 this particular
00:15:38.600 fire.
00:15:39.380 I do see
00:15:40.340 a gigantic
00:15:41.500 risk if
00:15:43.300 our fires
00:15:43.860 are,
00:15:44.240 if our
00:15:44.560 forests are
00:15:45.000 not well
00:15:45.600 managed,
00:15:46.060 and that
00:15:46.320 appears to
00:15:46.840 be the
00:15:47.060 case.
00:15:50.240 So we
00:15:50.860 don't know
00:15:51.120 about the
00:15:51.480 water reservoir
00:15:52.120 thing.
00:15:53.560 There are a
00:15:54.140 whole bunch
00:15:54.480 of questions
00:15:56.280 about,
00:15:56.880 you know,
00:15:59.300 whether water
00:15:59.880 resources have
00:16:00.920 been managed
00:16:01.420 correctly for
00:16:02.200 years.
00:16:02.660 It doesn't
00:16:03.120 look like
00:16:03.620 it.
00:16:04.140 It looks
00:16:04.860 like there
00:16:05.240 are enough
00:16:05.600 allegations of
00:16:06.700 things that
00:16:07.360 could have
00:16:07.740 solved the
00:16:08.140 problem.
00:16:09.060 I guess years
00:16:10.160 ago there
00:16:10.720 was some
00:16:11.040 big plan to
00:16:12.000 capture the
00:16:13.340 water runoff
00:16:14.220 and make it
00:16:14.820 available for
00:16:15.400 fires, but 0.84
00:16:16.160 that didn't
00:16:16.540 get passed.
00:16:17.960 Some people
00:16:18.720 will say it's
00:16:19.360 because of the
00:16:19.760 Democrats.
00:16:21.180 Other people
00:16:21.960 will say,
00:16:22.460 well, we
00:16:23.500 tried to get
00:16:23.980 this bipartisan
00:16:24.720 bill to have
00:16:25.500 more water,
00:16:26.180 but the
00:16:26.900 Republicans said
00:16:27.720 no for some
00:16:28.540 reason.
00:16:29.460 So I don't
00:16:29.940 know.
00:16:30.580 But I would
00:16:31.320 say the one
00:16:31.760 thing that I'm
00:16:33.120 confident about
00:16:34.240 is I'm
00:16:35.540 confident that
00:16:37.060 California has
00:16:37.840 completely
00:16:38.420 mismanaged its
00:16:40.220 water resources.
00:16:42.840 Would that
00:16:43.620 have made a
00:16:44.160 difference in
00:16:44.840 this specific
00:16:45.520 case?
00:16:47.380 Maybe not.
00:16:48.880 There's a
00:16:49.560 video of Joe
00:16:50.820 Rogan in
00:16:51.440 2024 in the
00:16:52.840 summer, which
00:16:53.820 is, you know,
00:16:54.300 just six months
00:16:54.940 ago, in which
00:16:56.120 he was saying
00:16:56.560 he talked to
00:16:57.140 a fireman.
00:16:58.940 So six months
00:17:00.040 before this fire
00:17:00.940 in L.A., a
00:17:02.320 fireman said,
00:17:03.120 we've been
00:17:05.020 lucky so
00:17:05.620 far, if we
00:17:06.640 get the
00:17:07.020 wind at the
00:17:07.600 same time as
00:17:08.560 a fire, all
00:17:10.080 of L.A.
00:17:10.580 is going to
00:17:10.960 burn.
00:17:12.040 This is from a
00:17:13.040 professional
00:17:13.500 fireman who
00:17:14.320 said, there's
00:17:14.960 no way around
00:17:15.620 it.
00:17:16.340 You're not
00:17:16.740 going to be
00:17:17.000 able to
00:17:17.280 stop it.
00:17:18.900 If the
00:17:19.500 fire starts
00:17:20.160 at the same
00:17:20.600 time as the
00:17:21.120 high wind,
00:17:21.740 which is
00:17:22.060 exactly what
00:17:22.720 happened, there
00:17:23.920 is no
00:17:24.460 defense.
00:17:25.780 So if you
00:17:27.100 say to me,
00:17:27.640 if only we
00:17:28.360 had more
00:17:28.820 water, we
00:17:29.600 could defend
00:17:30.300 it, I
00:17:31.260 say to
00:17:31.660 you, maybe
00:17:33.060 a little, but
00:17:35.380 it probably
00:17:36.060 would have
00:17:36.400 still taken
00:17:36.900 out most of
00:17:37.560 the area.
00:17:38.360 Maybe you
00:17:38.820 could save
00:17:39.160 some houses,
00:17:40.140 but it would
00:17:40.420 have taken
00:17:40.700 out most of
00:17:41.200 the area.
00:17:42.000 So the
00:17:42.340 bigger problem
00:17:43.040 was it was a
00:17:43.900 known problem
00:17:44.600 that was not
00:17:45.240 directly addressed.
00:17:46.260 So is it a
00:17:48.740 problem that
00:17:49.220 forests are
00:17:49.800 not managed?
00:17:50.480 It's a big
00:17:50.960 one, maybe
00:17:51.720 not directly
00:17:52.500 factor in
00:17:54.220 this fire.
00:17:55.340 Is the
00:17:56.120 water management
00:17:57.000 a problem?
00:17:57.760 Yes, poorly
00:17:58.500 done.
00:17:59.460 Was it
00:17:59.940 directly a
00:18:02.060 problem in
00:18:02.680 this fire?
00:18:03.880 Yes.
00:18:04.900 If your
00:18:05.600 house burned
00:18:06.160 down because
00:18:06.860 the fire
00:18:07.360 hydrogen didn't
00:18:09.340 work, you're
00:18:11.080 probably going
00:18:11.480 to say, why
00:18:13.300 didn't you
00:18:13.680 count on a
00:18:14.800 fire that's
00:18:15.320 this big or
00:18:15.900 something like
00:18:16.280 that.
00:18:17.080 But maybe
00:18:19.580 it couldn't
00:18:19.940 have been
00:18:20.180 stopped.
00:18:21.760 Maybe the
00:18:22.220 firemen in
00:18:22.940 2024 was
00:18:23.940 exactly right
00:18:24.740 and there
00:18:25.280 just wasn't
00:18:26.260 anything you
00:18:27.860 could do.
00:18:30.380 The mayor,
00:18:32.760 Karen Bass,
00:18:33.880 is it?
00:18:34.460 She happened 0.99
00:18:34.980 to be in
00:18:35.440 Ghana for
00:18:36.320 some government
00:18:39.080 thing that she
00:18:39.960 thought was
00:18:40.400 interesting.
00:18:41.780 And I'm
00:18:43.980 not sure that
00:18:44.620 anything is
00:18:45.240 different.
00:18:45.900 because the
00:18:47.460 mayor was
00:18:49.560 in a
00:18:49.840 different
00:18:50.060 country.
00:18:51.740 You know,
00:18:52.180 mayors travel
00:18:53.280 and even
00:18:53.960 though there's
00:18:54.340 no reason
00:18:54.720 they should
00:18:55.000 have been
00:18:55.220 doing some
00:18:55.720 international
00:18:56.340 work, I
00:18:57.700 mean, she 0.99
00:18:58.020 could have
00:18:58.320 been on
00:18:58.580 vacation.
00:18:59.620 There are
00:19:00.120 lots of
00:19:00.400 reasons that
00:19:00.840 people are
00:19:01.160 out of town.
00:19:01.520 I doubt
00:19:03.220 I doubt that
00:19:03.880 her absence
00:19:04.720 had any
00:19:06.060 impact on
00:19:06.680 the emergency
00:19:07.300 response.
00:19:08.960 But in
00:19:10.140 emergencies, you
00:19:11.000 want your
00:19:11.340 leaders to
00:19:11.920 act capable
00:19:12.800 and have
00:19:13.980 empathy and
00:19:14.920 be on hand
00:19:16.080 and tell you
00:19:17.680 everything they
00:19:18.220 know, give you
00:19:19.740 some hope that
00:19:21.020 they could get
00:19:21.560 this under
00:19:22.180 control.
00:19:22.600 So I don't
00:19:23.740 think she
00:19:24.120 did a good
00:19:24.620 job on
00:19:25.240 anything, but
00:19:27.600 probably it
00:19:28.060 didn't have
00:19:28.380 any, make
00:19:29.400 any difference
00:19:30.000 to any house
00:19:31.300 that burned
00:19:31.720 or didn't
00:19:32.120 burn.
00:19:32.380 When I found
00:19:33.740 out my friend
00:19:34.400 got a great
00:19:35.060 deal on a
00:19:35.700 wool coat from
00:19:36.320 Winners, I
00:19:37.240 started wondering,
00:19:38.620 is every fabulous
00:19:39.940 item I see from
00:19:40.900 Winners?
00:19:41.740 Like that woman 1.00
00:19:42.520 over there with
00:19:43.200 the designer jeans.
00:19:44.440 Are those from 0.99
00:19:45.280 Winners?
00:19:45.980 Ooh, or those
00:19:46.940 beautiful gold
00:19:47.560 earrings?
00:19:48.420 Did she pay full 0.96
00:19:49.020 price?
00:19:49.780 Or that leather
00:19:50.240 tote?
00:19:50.800 Or that cashmere
00:19:51.400 sweater?
00:19:52.020 Or those knee-high
00:19:52.640 boots?
00:19:53.480 That dress?
00:19:54.260 That jacket?
00:19:54.940 Those shoes?
00:19:55.960 Is anyone paying
00:19:57.140 full price for
00:19:57.920 anything?
00:19:58.900 Stop wondering.
00:20:00.180 Start winning.
00:20:01.100 Winners.
00:20:01.680 Find fabulous.
00:20:02.380 For less.
00:20:04.120 Then, I've got to
00:20:06.500 spend a moment
00:20:07.560 on this.
00:20:09.000 There's a lot of
00:20:09.860 accusations that
00:20:10.920 this is caused
00:20:11.520 by DEI.
00:20:13.740 And, I'm going
00:20:18.520 to make some
00:20:18.960 suggestions about
00:20:19.980 this.
00:20:20.960 So, I'll talk
00:20:21.960 about DEI after
00:20:22.960 I give the list
00:20:23.700 of other things
00:20:24.340 that people are
00:20:24.800 saying.
00:20:25.320 I don't think
00:20:26.120 you can pin it
00:20:26.840 on one person
00:20:27.540 and say that's
00:20:28.520 a DEI hire or
00:20:29.760 even more than
00:20:30.340 one person, but
00:20:31.600 more on that
00:20:32.260 moment.
00:20:36.080 So, let's
00:20:36.900 see.
00:20:38.900 There's something
00:20:39.600 about the
00:20:40.180 smelt fish.
00:20:42.540 Smelt?
00:20:43.140 Is it a
00:20:43.660 smelt fish or
00:20:44.620 is it just a
00:20:45.200 smelt?
00:20:46.540 Apparently,
00:20:47.440 Trump calls it
00:20:48.680 an extinct
00:20:49.680 fish.
00:20:52.380 I don't think
00:20:53.200 it's extinct,
00:20:54.140 which is the
00:20:54.740 whole point of
00:20:55.500 trying to preserve
00:20:56.220 it.
00:20:56.600 If it were
00:20:57.140 extinct, we
00:20:57.820 wouldn't be
00:20:58.180 worrying about it.
00:20:58.780 But it's
00:20:59.100 funny that he
00:20:59.640 calls it
00:21:00.000 extinct, an
00:21:01.360 extinct fish.
00:21:04.020 But apparently
00:21:05.000 there was some
00:21:05.980 movement to
00:21:08.680 provide more
00:21:09.520 water for
00:21:10.320 LA, but it
00:21:12.220 didn't work
00:21:12.980 because it
00:21:13.660 would have
00:21:13.860 been bad for
00:21:14.560 these rare
00:21:16.200 smelt, the
00:21:17.720 delta smelt.
00:21:18.560 Well, let
00:21:20.300 me tell you
00:21:20.680 what else
00:21:21.100 smelt about
00:21:22.020 this situation.
00:21:23.880 Everything.
00:21:25.140 So, I don't
00:21:25.520 know.
00:21:25.980 I think that
00:21:26.700 smelt fish is
00:21:27.980 going to be one
00:21:28.520 of those two
00:21:29.560 movies on one
00:21:30.500 screen.
00:21:32.960 I think CNN
00:21:33.920 is going to
00:21:34.380 tell you, oh,
00:21:35.120 that was a
00:21:35.640 bipartisan thing,
00:21:36.880 or Republicans
00:21:37.560 should have
00:21:38.660 said yes, or
00:21:39.580 there's going to
00:21:40.500 be another story
00:21:41.380 to that.
00:21:41.840 I don't
00:21:42.540 think it's
00:21:42.900 as clean
00:21:43.660 as we
00:21:45.840 traded smelt
00:21:46.960 for human
00:21:47.720 beings, although
00:21:50.740 in some ways
00:21:51.800 it looks exactly
00:21:52.580 like that, but
00:21:53.880 probably there's a
00:21:54.500 little extra
00:21:54.860 context on that
00:21:55.800 one.
00:21:58.140 And then the
00:21:59.240 part that is
00:21:59.900 definitely true is
00:22:01.160 that the insurance
00:22:01.900 policy caps that
00:22:04.440 California tried to 0.64
00:22:05.380 put on fire
00:22:06.680 insurance policies
00:22:07.620 caused a shortage
00:22:09.920 of fire insurance
00:22:10.900 policies.
00:22:11.840 Because the fire
00:22:12.940 insurance people
00:22:13.720 said, no thanks,
00:22:15.780 if we can't make
00:22:16.580 money, we don't
00:22:17.900 want to be in
00:22:18.300 your state, so
00:22:19.020 they pulled
00:22:19.340 out.
00:22:20.440 So, what
00:22:21.960 makes this
00:22:22.600 particular
00:22:23.700 situation go
00:22:25.600 from tragic
00:22:26.660 to, how do
00:22:32.220 I say this
00:22:32.740 without being
00:22:33.260 canceled?
00:22:34.320 All right, I'm
00:22:34.920 going to speak
00:22:35.260 as indirectly as
00:22:36.400 I can, and you
00:22:37.020 can piece it
00:22:37.580 together.
00:22:39.440 If an ordinary
00:22:40.500 tragedy happens,
00:22:41.840 you get into
00:22:43.360 tragedy mode, you're
00:22:45.140 like trying to
00:22:45.600 help people, you're
00:22:46.420 feeling sad, you're
00:22:47.340 feeling impacted, you're
00:22:48.860 basically just feeling
00:22:50.000 terrible, but trying to
00:22:51.680 do what you can, if
00:22:53.180 it's just a tragedy.
00:22:55.660 If it's a tragedy, which
00:22:57.640 would have been halved by
00:22:59.760 your insurance kicking
00:23:01.080 in and at least paying
00:23:02.400 for what you lost, that
00:23:05.440 would be half as big.
00:23:07.120 But it wouldn't be just
00:23:08.400 a change of you being
00:23:09.500 half as mad.
00:23:12.160 It's the difference
00:23:13.180 between, and here's
00:23:14.040 where I have to be
00:23:14.520 careful, it's the
00:23:16.500 difference between
00:23:17.080 people feeling bad and
00:23:19.560 people feeling
00:23:20.280 homicidal.
00:23:22.760 Was that indirect
00:23:23.820 enough?
00:23:25.300 We're looking at the
00:23:26.360 government of
00:23:26.920 California, and I can
00:23:29.040 tell you from personal
00:23:30.120 experience, my emotions,
00:23:33.760 I'm trying to keep
00:23:35.300 under control.
00:23:37.000 And if you're seeing
00:23:37.740 a lot of Californians
00:23:38.800 talking in ways that
00:23:40.300 you think are unusually
00:23:41.640 calm, given the
00:23:43.300 situation, like James
00:23:45.780 Woods, you saw him
00:23:47.220 acting completely calm
00:23:49.080 that the house he
00:23:50.100 loved and just rebuilt
00:23:51.520 and remodeled was
00:23:53.200 lost, and he had no
00:23:54.040 insurance.
00:23:55.000 Now, he has better
00:23:55.760 resources maybe than
00:23:56.800 other people, but even
00:23:58.680 he broke down on an
00:24:00.400 interview.
00:24:00.640 So, don't mistake how
00:24:04.440 strong people are
00:24:05.880 acting with how they're
00:24:07.700 feeling on the inside.
00:24:09.260 This feels like we got
00:24:12.420 raped.
00:24:15.220 That's what it feels
00:24:16.240 like.
00:24:16.940 It doesn't feel like a
00:24:18.100 tragedy happened.
00:24:19.560 It feels like we got
00:24:20.660 raped.
00:24:23.480 All of us.
00:24:25.300 Even if you're not
00:24:27.580 directly affected, do
00:24:29.400 you know what this is
00:24:30.020 going to do to the
00:24:30.760 possibility of getting
00:24:31.800 insurance anywhere in
00:24:33.820 the state?
00:24:34.940 This just made the
00:24:36.100 entire state unlivable.
00:24:38.260 They're going to have
00:24:38.820 to tax the bejesus 0.98
00:24:40.180 out of us to pay for
00:24:41.180 whatever this caused.
00:24:43.100 The level of economic
00:24:44.440 destruction, I don't
00:24:46.120 even think you can
00:24:46.860 calculate it.
00:24:48.340 It's bigger than
00:24:49.320 anything that's ever
00:24:50.160 happened in the country.
00:24:53.360 And so, I feel a sense
00:24:55.000 of rage that makes me
00:24:59.360 in revenge-y, homicidal
00:25:01.860 head instead of
00:25:04.240 recovery from an
00:25:06.440 event head.
00:25:07.500 I want to be just in the
00:25:09.840 healthful recovery mode.
00:25:11.940 But man, when they give you
00:25:13.840 the double tap, you know,
00:25:15.680 one in the chest, one in
00:25:16.780 the head.
00:25:17.620 One in the chest was the 0.92
00:25:19.020 bad fire management.
00:25:20.880 The one in the head was you 0.78
00:25:21.980 don't have insurance
00:25:22.820 because we changed the
00:25:24.340 rules in an obvious way,
00:25:26.520 in a way that obviously
00:25:27.660 would make insurance go
00:25:28.820 away and not be
00:25:30.640 available.
00:25:31.840 You do that.
00:25:33.940 I don't think the
00:25:35.000 resident, let me say it
00:25:37.180 in the way that I heard
00:25:40.980 as stated, and I'm not
00:25:42.560 going to attribute this,
00:25:44.240 but without attribution,
00:25:46.000 I heard yesterday a
00:25:47.400 Californian who was
00:25:48.280 directly affected say,
00:25:49.500 of one of the leading
00:25:51.920 politicians who was
00:25:53.020 getting a lot of blame.
00:25:54.140 Again, I won't be
00:25:54.780 specific.
00:25:56.400 And the advice was,
00:25:58.300 I wouldn't show
00:25:59.240 yourself in public.
00:26:02.060 Now, that advice, I
00:26:03.320 think, was well
00:26:03.920 intended as a
00:26:05.960 security thing.
00:26:07.120 You need to know that
00:26:09.160 people feel homicidal.
00:26:11.460 They don't feel just
00:26:13.140 hurt.
00:26:14.220 This is not like other
00:26:15.720 things.
00:26:16.540 The level of
00:26:18.300 incompetence,
00:26:20.580 apparently, is so
00:26:23.060 extreme that it
00:26:24.840 doesn't feel like an
00:26:26.020 accident.
00:26:27.640 It feels intentional.
00:26:29.440 It wasn't intentional.
00:26:30.760 But it feels like it.
00:26:32.480 It feels like people
00:26:34.040 just raped us because 1.00
00:26:36.980 they didn't give a
00:26:38.160 shit.
00:26:39.580 So, if you think we're
00:26:40.880 going to get over this,
00:26:42.040 I doubt it.
00:26:43.320 I doubt it.
00:26:44.740 I don't think we're
00:26:45.620 going to get over this.
00:26:46.700 And you didn't have to
00:26:47.440 be in the fire zone to
00:26:48.520 not get over it.
00:26:49.600 I'm not getting over
00:26:50.320 this.
00:26:52.040 This is the wake-up
00:26:53.220 call.
00:26:53.740 It's the tap on the
00:26:54.560 shoulder that says,
00:26:56.180 you know, all that
00:26:56.640 complaining you did,
00:26:58.380 complaining is
00:26:59.880 nothing.
00:27:01.860 Complaining is
00:27:03.120 nothing.
00:27:04.680 At this point,
00:27:06.300 pretty serious action,
00:27:08.260 and I hope it's not
00:27:09.080 the homicidal kind,
00:27:11.000 is required.
00:27:11.780 And I do believe
00:27:13.300 that people of
00:27:16.060 character are going
00:27:17.540 to act really
00:27:18.420 differently.
00:27:19.540 And some of them
00:27:20.080 will be sacrificing
00:27:21.040 their personal
00:27:22.480 fortunes, some will
00:27:23.680 be sacrificing their
00:27:24.960 reputations, but the
00:27:26.980 risk-reward equation
00:27:28.900 just changed
00:27:29.520 completely.
00:27:30.880 Once you realize you
00:27:32.080 can't live in this
00:27:33.120 state the way it is,
00:27:35.260 then you're going to
00:27:36.460 take a bigger risk to
00:27:37.460 change it.
00:27:38.420 You know, if you're
00:27:38.840 just like, ah, I
00:27:39.560 don't like it, but
00:27:40.320 next year is going to
00:27:42.020 be a lot like this
00:27:42.760 year.
00:27:44.020 You know, you're just
00:27:44.880 going to get on with
00:27:45.580 your life.
00:27:46.560 But now it's an
00:27:47.540 existential risk just
00:27:49.020 to be managed by
00:27:50.000 incompetence.
00:27:51.800 It's an existential
00:27:52.820 risk of
00:27:54.180 incompetence.
00:27:56.780 Now, I will remind
00:27:58.780 you, as I was
00:28:00.080 reminded just moments
00:28:01.200 ago before the show
00:28:02.020 started, that it was
00:28:04.800 a while ago that I
00:28:05.900 warned that DEI
00:28:07.420 would cause massive
00:28:09.900 institutional and
00:28:11.780 corporate and
00:28:12.600 government incompetence
00:28:13.940 and it would be
00:28:15.180 really, really obvious
00:28:16.580 and it could destroy
00:28:18.100 everything we love.
00:28:20.540 Now, when people
00:28:22.160 mentioned that on
00:28:23.100 TV, such as the
00:28:25.000 amazing Scott
00:28:25.900 Jennings, he got
00:28:27.100 into that conversation
00:28:28.040 on CNN, it went
00:28:29.700 completely off the
00:28:30.780 rail.
00:28:32.060 And it was, I'm
00:28:33.140 going to call it a
00:28:34.240 rare communication
00:28:36.100 mistake by Scott
00:28:37.500 Jennings.
00:28:38.840 You know, when I
00:28:39.840 talk about him,
00:28:41.140 usually it's like,
00:28:42.080 oh my God, he just
00:28:42.980 explained things so
00:28:44.840 well among this
00:28:46.880 panel of Democrats
00:28:48.380 and, you know, he
00:28:49.620 won that day and,
00:28:50.980 you know, I'll be
00:28:51.380 forwarding around.
00:28:52.420 So in general, he's
00:28:54.680 the best we have.
00:28:56.540 If you're looking at
00:28:57.640 like who's the best
00:28:58.800 communicator who's not
00:29:00.060 Trump himself, it
00:29:02.040 might be Scott
00:29:02.700 Jennings.
00:29:03.100 He's really, really
00:29:04.420 impressive.
00:29:05.260 But on the DEI stuff,
00:29:06.880 total fail.
00:29:08.200 Now, I think it's
00:29:09.100 easy to correct and
00:29:10.560 I would expect he
00:29:11.260 will.
00:29:12.220 Here's the correction.
00:29:14.320 And I posted this.
00:29:16.220 I hope he sees it.
00:29:17.840 But accusing people,
00:29:19.380 specific people, if
00:29:21.700 what you're doing is
00:29:22.540 accusing specific
00:29:24.520 people of being DEI
00:29:26.680 hires, we don't have 0.99
00:29:28.280 that kind of
00:29:28.820 information.
00:29:30.240 You know, we can
00:29:30.640 tell that they're in a
00:29:31.600 certain demographic
00:29:32.340 group, but you
00:29:33.500 can't tell that that's
00:29:34.800 the problem.
00:29:36.160 You can't look at a
00:29:36.940 specific case and say,
00:29:38.700 oh, if Karen Bass
00:29:40.360 had been a white guy,
00:29:41.980 everything would be
00:29:42.720 fine.
00:29:43.800 Now, that might,
00:29:45.040 it might be that she
00:29:47.460 is a DEI hire and
00:29:48.640 then that's the whole
00:29:49.240 story and the police
00:29:50.940 chief is DEI hire and
00:29:52.520 you've got everything
00:29:53.820 you need.
00:29:54.540 It might be.
00:29:55.680 But we don't have that
00:29:56.620 kind of information.
00:29:58.140 So when Scott
00:29:58.840 Jennings brought up
00:30:00.540 the DEI element,
00:30:02.300 he had a couple of
00:30:03.080 black female panelists
00:30:04.520 who just ate him up.
00:30:06.260 And what they did is
00:30:07.400 they do the thing
00:30:08.180 where they say,
00:30:09.780 why are you saying
00:30:10.340 that black women 1.00
00:30:11.580 can't do a good job?
00:30:13.760 Nobody says that.
00:30:15.180 That has nothing,
00:30:16.020 that has absolutely
00:30:16.760 nothing to do with
00:30:17.500 the DEI conversation.
00:30:19.080 The DEI conversation
00:30:20.320 is not about the
00:30:22.440 capability of one,
00:30:24.180 any particular group.
00:30:25.660 it's not a capability.
00:30:28.300 It's a system
00:30:30.140 incentive design
00:30:31.900 problem that you
00:30:34.280 could replace,
00:30:35.260 you could replace
00:30:36.120 anybody in this
00:30:36.980 equation and you
00:30:38.420 get the same bad
00:30:39.100 outcome.
00:30:40.300 So nobody's saying
00:30:41.520 that there's
00:30:42.280 something special
00:30:42.960 about black women
00:30:44.100 not being able to
00:30:46.500 do stuff.
00:30:48.200 I'm not aware of
00:30:49.100 anybody who has
00:30:49.680 that opinion.
00:30:50.560 It's more about
00:30:51.620 the system.
00:30:53.700 And let me explain
00:30:54.440 that a little bit
00:30:54.940 better.
00:30:56.660 So the first
00:30:57.580 point is that as
00:30:58.580 soon as you apply
00:30:59.280 it to any
00:30:59.720 individual,
00:31:01.260 you're on thin
00:31:02.820 ice, you don't
00:31:03.640 have the proof of
00:31:04.420 that, unless you
00:31:05.540 worked with that
00:31:06.160 person every day,
00:31:07.280 you probably don't
00:31:08.520 know if they're
00:31:08.960 doing a good or
00:31:09.580 bad job.
00:31:10.500 You know,
00:31:10.680 sometimes there
00:31:11.680 are other variables
00:31:12.480 that makes stuff
00:31:13.560 impossible.
00:31:14.740 But here's what
00:31:15.400 you can say.
00:31:16.780 You can say,
00:31:17.600 number one,
00:31:18.060 that leaders focus
00:31:18.940 on what is easiest
00:31:19.900 to measure.
00:31:21.060 That probably is
00:31:22.180 the number one
00:31:22.820 most important thing
00:31:23.740 you need to know
00:31:24.380 about management.
00:31:25.660 that managers
00:31:27.380 manage to things
00:31:28.840 that can be
00:31:29.380 tracked.
00:31:30.580 Why do they do
00:31:31.300 that?
00:31:32.000 Because when they
00:31:32.520 get their bonuses
00:31:33.260 and their awards
00:31:34.840 and their raises,
00:31:36.440 it's going to be
00:31:37.900 based on what
00:31:38.800 can be measured.
00:31:39.720 what is easier to
00:31:41.820 measure than
00:31:43.360 diversity improvement?
00:31:45.480 It's easy.
00:31:46.700 What are you?
00:31:47.640 I'm a woman.
00:31:48.780 Got it.
00:31:50.300 What are you?
00:31:51.280 I identify as
00:31:52.220 black.
00:31:52.780 Got it.
00:31:54.440 Right?
00:31:54.980 Easy to count.
00:31:56.600 Easy to keep track.
00:31:58.300 Easy to see how it
00:31:59.320 changed from what it
00:32:00.220 was to where it is.
00:32:01.440 If you give any
00:32:02.680 manager that
00:32:03.660 situation where it's
00:32:05.400 easy to know what,
00:32:06.900 if you did it right,
00:32:09.120 or at least if you
00:32:09.900 hit the goal,
00:32:10.680 I won't say right,
00:32:11.680 but you hit the goal,
00:32:12.940 they're going to manage
00:32:13.840 that.
00:32:14.860 And they're going to
00:32:15.520 let other things
00:32:16.460 lapse because it
00:32:18.620 won't affect their
00:32:20.120 pay.
00:32:20.380 For example,
00:32:23.280 suppose several years
00:32:24.560 ago,
00:32:25.340 the people in charge
00:32:26.280 had decided to
00:32:27.760 do a big water
00:32:29.920 management
00:32:30.580 improvement.
00:32:32.340 How long would it
00:32:33.400 take to get that
00:32:34.520 approved,
00:32:35.460 to get it built,
00:32:36.560 to see if it
00:32:37.460 worked?
00:32:38.320 And then even when
00:32:39.040 you built it,
00:32:39.560 you wouldn't know if
00:32:40.120 it worked.
00:32:40.980 You would only know
00:32:41.900 that there weren't
00:32:42.660 any fires lately.
00:32:44.340 You wouldn't know
00:32:45.160 that it worked.
00:32:46.260 So if you've got
00:32:47.140 this big ambiguous,
00:32:48.260 but way more
00:32:49.820 important thing to
00:32:50.580 do,
00:32:51.260 the water management
00:32:52.020 is way more
00:32:52.880 important than
00:32:54.100 other things,
00:32:54.880 but it takes a
00:32:56.200 long time.
00:32:56.980 You can't tell
00:32:57.500 what any one
00:32:58.220 person did to
00:32:59.120 make it happen.
00:33:00.320 It's really hard
00:33:01.120 to be held
00:33:03.160 responsible for
00:33:04.060 that.
00:33:05.020 So if you're a
00:33:05.660 manager,
00:33:06.120 you go for what
00:33:06.800 can be measured
00:33:07.480 easily,
00:33:08.240 you focus on it,
00:33:09.320 that's where your
00:33:09.920 pay depends.
00:33:11.480 Then on top of
00:33:12.220 that,
00:33:12.740 the second thing
00:33:13.300 you need to know
00:33:13.820 is that every
00:33:14.400 major company is
00:33:15.700 trying to improve
00:33:16.500 their diversity
00:33:17.240 at the same
00:33:17.920 time.
00:33:19.100 And I would
00:33:19.500 argue even the
00:33:21.080 companies that
00:33:22.340 may have renounced
00:33:24.120 their DEI efforts,
00:33:26.160 the individual
00:33:26.900 managers are still
00:33:28.820 going to be hiring
00:33:29.480 with a DEI goal.
00:33:31.920 You don't need a
00:33:33.080 DEI program because
00:33:36.300 those same managers
00:33:37.380 are still going to
00:33:38.000 be bragging if they
00:33:39.060 get more diversity.
00:33:40.720 You could get away
00:33:41.900 with, give up the
00:33:43.260 entire incentive
00:33:43.980 system, but if one
00:33:45.940 of the people
00:33:46.360 says, well, I
00:33:47.320 diversified my
00:33:49.360 department, and
00:33:51.000 the other manager
00:33:51.960 that they're
00:33:52.440 competing against
00:33:53.260 for the top job
00:33:54.140 says, oh, I
00:33:55.400 did some long-term
00:33:57.280 things that are
00:33:58.820 really smart, but
00:34:00.300 how did it turn
00:34:01.520 out?
00:34:01.780 Well, we won't
00:34:02.700 know because lots
00:34:03.920 of people involved,
00:34:05.100 it could take years,
00:34:06.420 if it doesn't work,
00:34:07.460 it might not be my
00:34:08.320 fault, it could be
00:34:09.080 the legislation,
00:34:11.040 right?
00:34:11.300 So, anyway, so
00:34:15.820 if you have every
00:34:16.440 company trying to do
00:34:17.360 it at the same
00:34:17.900 time, even if it's
00:34:18.860 not part of an
00:34:19.600 organized program,
00:34:21.300 you're going to run
00:34:22.220 out of your target
00:34:23.360 demographics.
00:34:25.060 And here's the
00:34:25.900 important thing to
00:34:26.540 know, you could
00:34:27.860 switch out the
00:34:28.620 target demographics
00:34:29.640 and replace it with
00:34:31.040 any other group,
00:34:32.500 and it's the same.
00:34:33.920 That's why it's not
00:34:35.100 a racist observation.
00:34:36.680 For example, let's
00:34:39.020 say your DEI program
00:34:40.300 was you had to
00:34:41.760 hire more Irish
00:34:43.680 people or Irish
00:34:45.420 Americans, and
00:34:47.280 that's it.
00:34:49.060 How's that going to
00:34:49.860 work out?
00:34:50.800 You're going to
00:34:51.200 maximize Irish 0.98
00:34:52.500 American, now 0.75
00:34:54.440 there are a lot of
00:34:54.980 Irish Americans, but 0.94
00:34:56.480 if everybody suddenly
00:34:57.680 said, oh, God, I
00:34:58.780 got to get myself an
00:34:59.900 Irish guy, you would 0.97
00:35:02.720 run out of highly
00:35:03.920 qualified Irish
00:35:05.180 Americans who
00:35:06.680 on day two.
00:35:08.860 On day one, all the
00:35:10.060 smart ones with a
00:35:11.820 good resume have
00:35:12.480 already been hired.
00:35:13.200 Ah, we got an
00:35:14.260 Irish guy.
00:35:15.200 Yes, it's going to
00:35:16.420 look good on my
00:35:17.020 resume.
00:35:19.180 So, when Scott
00:35:22.360 Jennings on CNN
00:35:23.480 allows his panelists
00:35:25.380 to argue that black 0.75
00:35:27.920 women can do any 1.00
00:35:28.860 job, nobody's
00:35:31.480 disagreeing with
00:35:32.200 that, that the
00:35:33.480 right qualified
00:35:34.160 person of any
00:35:35.180 demographic can do
00:35:36.620 pretty much any
00:35:37.360 job.
00:35:39.040 And the thing
00:35:40.140 that you have to
00:35:40.680 understand is you
00:35:41.460 can replace that
00:35:42.220 target demographic
00:35:43.280 with anybody.
00:35:45.140 You can take black
00:35:46.540 women out of the 1.00
00:35:47.220 conversation entirely.
00:35:49.260 But Irish men, 0.97
00:35:51.400 Irish men, same 0.92
00:35:53.000 problem.
00:35:54.240 If you're managing
00:35:55.260 to the number of
00:35:56.040 Irish men on your 0.91
00:35:56.960 staff, you're in
00:35:57.960 trouble.
00:35:58.880 You're going to have
00:35:59.820 massive incompetence if
00:36:01.200 you fast forward 20
00:36:02.160 years.
00:36:03.120 And here we are.
00:36:04.520 We are in a position
00:36:05.880 of massive, massive
00:36:08.520 incompetence.
00:36:09.760 Is it the cause of
00:36:11.160 any specific demographic
00:36:12.460 group?
00:36:14.620 Can't tell.
00:36:15.860 The only thing you can
00:36:16.640 know for sure is that
00:36:19.120 this was a guaranteed
00:36:20.060 outcome.
00:36:21.300 That the design of the
00:36:22.660 incentive system and the
00:36:24.840 natural limitation of any
00:36:26.960 demographic group to have,
00:36:28.400 you know, unlimited people
00:36:29.680 in it is all you needed
00:36:31.560 to know.
00:36:32.280 On paper, it couldn't
00:36:34.060 have worked.
00:36:35.160 And that's why it's so
00:36:36.120 important to reverse it
00:36:37.040 and reverse our thinking
00:36:38.680 about it.
00:36:40.680 So, Scott Jennings, I
00:36:43.440 hope you make that
00:36:44.120 correction.
00:36:44.660 The first thing you
00:36:45.260 should say is it's not
00:36:46.120 about any individual.
00:36:47.520 It's about a system
00:36:48.440 design.
00:36:49.500 If you have incentives
00:36:50.560 that make people do the
00:36:51.880 wrong thing, they'll do
00:36:52.780 the wrong thing.
00:36:53.980 And that's where we are.
00:36:56.420 Now, some of the worst
00:36:57.700 takes on this, Bernie
00:37:00.300 Sanders weighs in while
00:37:01.660 people are running for
00:37:02.640 their lives and posts
00:37:04.660 this.
00:37:05.860 80,000 people told to
00:37:07.380 evacuate.
00:37:08.000 I think it's twice that
00:37:08.880 now since he posted it.
00:37:10.600 80,000 people told to
00:37:11.800 evacuate.
00:37:13.080 He said blazes, 0%
00:37:14.600 contained.
00:37:16.040 And so far I'm thinking,
00:37:17.200 oh, this is Bernie being
00:37:18.460 helpful.
00:37:19.100 He's telling us how bad
00:37:20.900 it is and then he's going
00:37:21.720 to hit us with what we
00:37:23.700 should do about it.
00:37:24.780 He says eight months
00:37:25.700 since the area has seen
00:37:27.140 rain, okay, that did make
00:37:29.180 it worse.
00:37:30.220 The scale of the damage
00:37:31.160 and loss is unimaginable.
00:37:33.520 Thank you for, you know,
00:37:35.400 recognizing how bad this is.
00:37:37.200 And then he said climate
00:37:38.740 change is real, not a
00:37:40.600 hoax.
00:37:44.600 Donald Trump must treat
00:37:46.060 this like the existential
00:37:47.320 crisis it is, meaning
00:37:50.000 climate change.
00:37:53.180 Well, you can imagine
00:37:55.960 how I felt when I read
00:37:58.300 that.
00:37:58.580 Have I mentioned that we
00:38:01.000 Californians don't feel 0.97
00:38:02.320 like we went through a
00:38:03.240 tragedy?
00:38:04.200 We feel like we got
00:38:05.640 raped by you, by 1.00
00:38:10.340 politicians.
00:38:11.480 You know, so Bernie,
00:38:12.740 Bernie, you know,
00:38:13.700 indirectly.
00:38:15.340 And the fact that
00:38:17.240 California was focusing
00:38:18.460 on your little pet
00:38:19.580 project, the climate
00:38:21.320 change, which I believe
00:38:22.940 is mostly freaking fake
00:38:24.700 because it only applies
00:38:26.520 to people who think
00:38:27.220 the news is real and
00:38:28.740 science is not corrupt.
00:38:30.340 If you think the news
00:38:31.760 is real and science is
00:38:33.780 not completely corrupted
00:38:34.940 by money, you might
00:38:36.140 believe that this climate
00:38:37.100 change has been proven
00:38:38.240 by all the smart people
00:38:39.860 to be a danger.
00:38:41.380 Now, it might be a
00:38:42.400 danger.
00:38:43.140 I often say, I don't
00:38:44.640 know.
00:38:45.660 I don't know how much
00:38:46.660 people are contributing
00:38:47.480 to it.
00:38:48.660 I see both sides.
00:38:50.280 I don't think any of
00:38:51.400 them are believable from
00:38:52.420 my point of view because
00:38:53.320 I can't tell.
00:38:55.060 But I can tell you for
00:38:56.260 sure that if you think
00:38:57.240 the climate models are
00:38:58.600 predicting the future,
00:39:00.740 you have not looked into
00:39:02.520 it very much.
00:39:03.460 If you think we can
00:39:04.380 measure the temperature
00:39:05.300 of the earth over
00:39:06.860 decades, you haven't
00:39:09.400 looked into it.
00:39:10.700 And I find that I can't
00:39:12.000 even have a conversation
00:39:13.160 with somebody who thinks
00:39:14.900 all of that climate,
00:39:16.240 the alarm part, is true.
00:39:18.620 You can't even talk to
00:39:20.660 them because they've
00:39:21.680 been so hypnotized,
00:39:22.680 they think the news is
00:39:23.680 real.
00:39:24.400 The news is not real
00:39:25.920 about anything important.
00:39:28.080 The news could have a
00:39:29.080 correct fact now and
00:39:31.000 then, but the narrative
00:39:33.420 is never real.
00:39:35.480 Narratives are always 0.96
00:39:36.220 motivated.
00:39:37.100 They're not real.
00:39:38.960 If you believe the news
00:39:40.320 is even trying to be
00:39:41.700 real, you can't be
00:39:43.080 reached.
00:39:44.100 You have to first 0.90
00:39:45.440 understand that they're
00:39:46.660 not trying to tell you
00:39:47.760 the truth.
00:39:48.620 It's just not, it's not
00:39:50.060 their business model.
00:39:51.820 And if you think that
00:39:53.900 anybody, under any
00:39:56.080 circumstances, can take
00:39:57.800 all these weird hidden
00:39:59.040 variables and gigantic
00:40:00.600 variables and hard to
00:40:02.260 measure variables and put
00:40:03.380 them into a complicated
00:40:04.280 model and tell you the 0.98
00:40:05.980 temperature in 10 years,
00:40:07.920 how do I begin to tell
00:40:09.820 you how impossible that
00:40:11.180 is?
00:40:12.100 That's not something that
00:40:13.400 the smart people figured
00:40:14.500 out.
00:40:14.820 That is a pure hoax, the
00:40:18.060 models part.
00:40:19.400 Now, what I'm not calling
00:40:20.220 the hoax is, I don't know
00:40:21.360 if it's getting warmer.
00:40:22.620 I don't know if people are
00:40:23.900 involved.
00:40:24.720 I just know that nobody
00:40:26.060 else knows.
00:40:27.060 I know for sure that nobody
00:40:29.540 else knows.
00:40:31.880 So, but my problem with
00:40:33.560 Bernie is not that he
00:40:35.080 believes in climate change
00:40:36.320 and I'm pretty sure that he's
00:40:38.100 wrong, at least in terms of
00:40:40.040 the alarm part of it.
00:40:41.320 So, my part is, you need
00:40:44.160 to be able to read the
00:40:45.160 room a little bit better.
00:40:46.860 You don't talk to rape
00:40:48.220 victims about wearing a
00:40:49.700 condom.
00:40:50.340 You know what I mean?
00:40:51.840 You don't talk to rape
00:40:52.920 victims about wearing a
00:40:54.240 condom.
00:40:55.680 You know, maybe you should
00:40:57.180 have a condom with you.
00:40:58.900 Now, you are just making
00:41:00.980 it worse.
00:41:02.300 So, my first reaction was I
00:41:04.240 was just going to go
00:41:04.960 nuclear and I had every F
00:41:07.500 bomb and like I was ready
00:41:09.960 to go and my fingers hit
00:41:11.200 the keyboard and I said,
00:41:14.180 I'm not going to make it
00:41:16.920 worse because that was just
00:41:19.440 a pure emotional reaction.
00:41:22.080 So, instead, I reposted
00:41:24.640 this.
00:41:24.920 I said, Senator Sanders, as
00:41:26.780 a Californian, I respectfully
00:41:28.500 ask for you to delete this
00:41:29.980 post.
00:41:31.060 No Californian thinks climate
00:41:32.560 change dried up the fire
00:41:33.980 hydrants and canceled fire
00:41:35.620 insurance.
00:41:36.140 Now, whether my take is, you
00:41:39.620 know, factually correct that
00:41:41.280 the fire hydrants were a
00:41:43.060 problem that somehow was
00:41:44.640 undermanaged or that the
00:41:47.200 canceled, well, the canceled
00:41:48.440 fire insurance, that's
00:41:50.240 certainly a fact.
00:41:53.640 But, and then I told him to
00:41:57.580 read the room.
00:41:58.780 Two million people agreed with
00:42:01.320 me, which is very unusual for
00:42:03.800 a post on X, to get two
00:42:06.560 million views.
00:42:07.800 That means people really
00:42:09.220 agreed.
00:42:09.960 Not every person, but it
00:42:11.040 means a lot of people agreed
00:42:12.300 with my take that he was not
00:42:13.680 reading the room.
00:42:15.060 And I would like to add a few
00:42:16.300 things.
00:42:17.120 If the problem with the LA
00:42:18.620 fire were caused by climate
00:42:20.120 change, the whole world would
00:42:21.460 be on fire by now, right?
00:42:23.560 I'm pretty sure that the
00:42:24.560 climate change is not limited
00:42:25.920 to LA.
00:42:26.880 We would see basically everything
00:42:29.400 on fire if climate changes
00:42:31.540 cause fire.
00:42:32.640 If droughts caused fire,
00:42:35.100 everything that's having a
00:42:36.280 slightly under normal year,
00:42:39.120 which is what LA is, LA is in
00:42:41.600 what I think they call the
00:42:42.600 moderate drought, meaning it's
00:42:45.780 barely a drought and it's not
00:42:48.180 outside of the historical norm
00:42:50.000 whatsoever.
00:42:51.660 Not at all.
00:42:55.820 So, anyway.
00:42:59.400 Who else was bad?
00:43:01.340 Then Joe Biden, with his
00:43:02.700 defective brain, the
00:43:04.100 depressor, talked about the
00:43:05.960 fire, but nobody remembers
00:43:07.580 that.
00:43:08.260 All they remember is he had the
00:43:09.740 bad judgment to say, quote,
00:43:11.840 the good news is that I became
00:43:13.540 a grandpa.
00:43:16.140 Wow.
00:43:18.400 Wow.
00:43:19.760 Between Sanders and Biden, not
00:43:22.700 being able to read the room, do
00:43:25.020 they understand that California is
00:43:27.320 a blue state or was?
00:43:36.880 Let's see.
00:43:37.600 According to the New York
00:43:38.340 Post, I think Molly Hemingway
00:43:39.940 flagged this, that Governor
00:43:43.180 Newsom is launching his Trump
00:43:45.040 resistance plan this week.
00:43:48.080 So, Newsom wants to tell you how
00:43:51.000 much he was resisting Trump, which
00:43:53.800 looks like the problem, not the
00:43:55.680 solution, this week, doesn't it?
00:43:57.920 Because now we have, we have on
00:43:59.720 video, Trump saying all the right
00:44:02.220 things about fire prevention in
00:44:04.320 California.
00:44:05.260 You've blocked the water.
00:44:07.620 You block, you're not doing forest
00:44:09.740 management.
00:44:11.740 Turns out those were the right 0.96
00:44:13.140 answers.
00:44:14.320 Those were the right answers.
00:44:15.760 Of course, he's against DEI.
00:44:17.300 Again, we don't know that that
00:44:18.900 caused this problem, but it's the
00:44:20.800 right, you know, overarching
00:44:22.800 theme.
00:44:24.440 So, Trump was as right about this
00:44:27.300 situation and on time, because he
00:44:30.100 said it way before it happened.
00:44:31.820 He was right and he was on time.
00:44:35.400 And it looks like California
00:44:36.840 completely screwed the pooch in every
00:44:39.460 dimension.
00:44:40.640 At least it looks that way.
00:44:41.940 We don't know that that's true.
00:44:43.880 But let me talk about the future of
00:44:45.500 California politics, because
00:44:47.060 everything has a political element
00:44:48.980 to it.
00:44:52.460 Here's how Trump posted it.
00:44:54.480 He said, on one of his posts on
00:44:56.740 Truth, I think, he said that the
00:44:59.580 governor, new scum, as he calls him,
00:45:01.900 chose to save the extinct fish
00:45:03.860 instead of sending water to
00:45:05.280 Southern California to fight
00:45:06.640 apocalyptic wildfires.
00:45:09.320 Now, this is another example of how
00:45:11.620 good Trump is in messaging.
00:45:13.880 To take this big, complicated
00:45:17.860 situation and just turn it into new
00:45:21.080 scum, chosen extinct fish over
00:45:23.120 saving the lives of Californians,
00:45:25.660 it's an oversimplification.
00:45:28.280 And I don't even know if the fish
00:45:29.720 part is really a valid, I don't even
00:45:31.500 know if that's a valid claim.
00:45:33.040 Because if you turn on CNN, they're
00:45:34.920 going to say, well, but, you know,
00:45:36.660 it's Republicans' fault, too, and blah,
00:45:38.920 blah, blah.
00:45:39.320 I don't know what they say.
00:45:40.160 But there's more context to it.
00:45:42.740 However, as a political messaging
00:45:45.540 thing, the brilliance of the summary is
00:45:49.680 what Trump does better than anybody.
00:45:51.220 Nobody does that well.
00:45:52.680 He's the best ever at summarizing.
00:45:57.780 Nobody summarizes better than he does.
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00:47:01.420 Adam Carolla, who apparently is one of
00:47:04.000 the more famous people being displaced,
00:47:06.940 he looked like he was in a hotel room,
00:47:09.060 and he did a video and he was explaining
00:47:11.440 something that you might not fully
00:47:12.860 understand outside of California.
00:47:15.420 Do you know how hard it is to build
00:47:17.060 something in California?
00:47:18.920 All of these people who think, well, I'll
00:47:21.100 get my insurance check, or maybe I had
00:47:22.940 some extra money, and I'm going to
00:47:24.680 rebuild.
00:47:25.680 So they're going to go to the city and
00:47:27.340 say, here's my plan.
00:47:29.340 Oh my God, they're just entering hell.
00:47:32.420 I won't go into the details, but let me
00:47:34.500 just tell you this.
00:47:36.820 Getting a California entity, any city
00:47:40.620 really, to approve a building of anything
00:47:43.600 is pretty much a nightmare.
00:47:46.300 The house I'm in right now, I, you know,
00:47:49.740 had built, but I think it took 18 months
00:47:54.460 just to get approval, something like that.
00:47:58.340 Now, these are people who just think,
00:48:00.080 well, it should be easy, because I'm just
00:48:01.400 going to build back the house I had, you
00:48:03.180 know, with a slight variety.
00:48:05.540 It's not going to be easy.
00:48:07.460 You're going to spend a year not getting
00:48:09.120 the permit, and then good luck finding
00:48:12.500 a contractor, because everybody in your
00:48:15.400 whole city is trying to hire the contractor
00:48:18.300 who knows how to build stuff.
00:48:20.140 You're not going to have a contractor.
00:48:22.100 You're not going to be able to get
00:48:23.400 insurance.
00:48:24.380 You're not going to be able to pay for it
00:48:26.000 with the insurance you don't have.
00:48:27.780 You're not going to be able to get a
00:48:29.080 permit.
00:48:29.360 I don't believe the country, and maybe
00:48:36.340 even Californians, have absorbed how bad
00:48:39.160 this is.
00:48:40.480 You're seeing something closer to the
00:48:42.520 beginning of the problem than the end,
00:48:44.180 as bad as it was.
00:48:46.000 And we don't, I don't think we can fully
00:48:47.960 appreciate the economic disruption to the
00:48:50.480 state.
00:48:51.500 Who's going to pay for the recovery?
00:48:53.620 I don't think the federal government's
00:48:55.280 going to pay for it all.
00:48:56.480 Is this going to raise my California taxes
00:48:58.560 again, from the highest taxes to the
00:49:01.700 highest taxes on turbo?
00:49:04.880 How are we going to survive it?
00:49:06.460 How are we going to fix the things that
00:49:07.740 need to get fixed?
00:49:09.060 We're already paying the highest taxes, and
00:49:11.140 it feels like the lowest level of service
00:49:13.720 in return.
00:49:16.140 So no, if you think we're just going to
00:49:18.680 rebuild, you don't know California.
00:49:22.240 That might be just empty land for the 0.93
00:49:26.880 rest of my life.
00:49:28.560 Like, I don't know that it's, I just don't
00:49:31.600 see a path where that quickly gets fixed.
00:49:34.720 I don't know.
00:49:37.960 Here's what I think.
00:49:39.060 I think this has been such a black eye for
00:49:41.820 the management of the state that for the
00:49:44.540 first time recently, I can say, it's possible
00:49:49.300 to have a Republican governor.
00:49:50.580 Now, it would take a special character.
00:49:53.740 It would take a Reagan-type character who is a
00:49:56.700 Republican.
00:49:58.120 And I don't know anybody in the state who would
00:50:01.260 fit that, you know, Reagan-esque thing.
00:50:05.860 And would also have experience managing something.
00:50:09.420 Because you don't want somebody who's never managed
00:50:11.560 anything.
00:50:12.580 Because a state is, you know, as much management as
00:50:16.140 politics.
00:50:17.060 So it's not exactly like other jobs.
00:50:19.840 You need to manage.
00:50:20.900 So we need a, you know, DeSantis type of governor.
00:50:25.560 So if somebody like a DeSantis became available to run
00:50:29.620 for governor, it's the best time.
00:50:33.860 Now, other people are going to say, Scott, Scott, Scott.
00:50:36.540 I think you don't realize that the blue team has California all
00:50:43.300 wrapped up and nobody but a Democrat could win.
00:50:46.700 And it's not just because of the voters.
00:50:48.980 It's because the Democrat machine controls too much.
00:50:51.940 And they can rig any vote to go the way they want.
00:50:54.100 Because they just control too much.
00:50:55.940 Now, that might be true.
00:50:57.320 However, I think that the opening is now, if it's ever going to happen.
00:51:03.400 I saw some people suggest that maybe a smart independent, like
00:51:07.560 Nicole Shanahan, would be a possibility.
00:51:10.480 Now, I like everything about Nicole Shanahan.
00:51:12.440 But I don't know that she has exactly the right background for managing.
00:51:18.020 Because whoever takes this job has to, like, dig into, you know,
00:51:21.780 the whole water thing, the forest thing.
00:51:24.860 You know, it's really a management thing.
00:51:27.660 So as high quality and as much as I would trust Nicole Shanahan,
00:51:33.700 I like everything about her, basically.
00:51:35.640 I don't know if she has the exact background that fits this slot.
00:51:39.660 But maybe somebody will merge.
00:51:44.500 And then, as people have noted, the legislature would probably still stay blue.
00:51:48.120 And so even the governor couldn't get anything done.
00:51:50.320 So I saw somewhat related to this.
00:51:58.040 I saw a Bill Maher video, and he was talking to Stephen A. Smith.
00:52:02.260 And Maher said this that really caught my attention.
00:52:05.400 He said, quote,
00:52:05.860 I've been out with every type of celebrity, you know, meaning just having fun.
00:52:10.580 And he says, they don't say the things they say to me to other celebrities.
00:52:16.700 There it is.
00:52:19.160 Now, you probably said to yourself, Scott, you can't get a Republican governor
00:52:23.000 because the state is filled with so many Democrat voters,
00:52:28.000 you're never going to get over the hump.
00:52:29.500 I don't think they're Democrats.
00:52:32.220 I think they're literally pretending to be Democrats.
00:52:36.000 I think that every one of these people who may have been seeming like political enemies
00:52:43.020 are now seeing that the thing we need to, you know, get together on is common sense stuff.
00:52:49.460 I don't believe there's a Democrat who wanted less forest management.
00:52:54.740 Well, there's some crazy ones who, you know, want to preserve everything natural.
00:52:57.920 But not really.
00:53:00.140 I don't think there's any Democrats who say, I'm sure glad we didn't have enough water.
00:53:06.160 Right?
00:53:07.520 I don't think there are any Democrats who said,
00:53:10.200 sure is a good thing there were not enough escape routes from a place that is an obvious fire risk.
00:53:16.880 These are all so clearly and cleanly common sense issues
00:53:21.520 that I don't think anybody's going to give a shit about the smelt going forward.
00:53:29.400 Try stopping us from fixing the state because of a smelt. 1.00
00:53:35.560 Yeah.
00:53:36.340 Because I don't think that works anymore.
00:53:39.640 So, of course, I'm speaking from my own little bubble
00:53:42.580 because, you know, I'm very influenced by how I personally feel about this,
00:53:46.600 which is some intense feelings in many directions.
00:53:52.560 I'm pretty sure that this is the wake-up call that tells everybody in the South,
00:53:59.440 you know, the Republicans don't hate you.
00:54:02.500 You get that, right?
00:54:04.540 We really, I'm going to say we because I caucus with the Republicans,
00:54:08.640 even though I'm a Democrat by registration.
00:54:13.520 I think maybe it will be a little better understood
00:54:19.520 that Trump was on California's side
00:54:22.380 and whatever the Democrats running things were doing
00:54:25.320 may have been for their own benefit
00:54:27.720 or may have been just pure incompetence.
00:54:30.700 We don't know what it was,
00:54:32.480 but we know that Trump had exactly the right solution
00:54:35.860 in exactly the right time early.
00:54:38.020 And we know that the Democrats failed just in performance.
00:54:43.100 The exact reasons, hard to know, but they certainly failed.
00:54:50.040 Hunter Biden's rental burned up.
00:54:53.720 And I think the thing that bothered me the most about that
00:54:57.020 was that it was a rental.
00:54:59.460 Like, it's bad enough if you're the landlord for Hunter Biden
00:55:04.340 because you remember we heard the story that he'd rented someplace
00:55:08.480 and didn't pay in the past, a different place,
00:55:10.840 but he'd been renting a place and didn't pay the rent.
00:55:13.900 And then he used the secret service to keep the landlord
00:55:16.480 from getting to him to ask for the rent.
00:55:19.100 That is like the most effed up thing you're going to hear.
00:55:22.720 He didn't pay the rent
00:55:24.200 and he used his secret service protection
00:55:27.420 to make sure that nobody would come bug him to get the rent.
00:55:33.300 That actually happened.
00:55:35.200 Was it Sean McGuire, I think, was the landlord there?
00:55:39.100 So I don't think he's in that house anymore,
00:55:41.360 but I just feel sorry, doubly sorry for whoever owned it
00:55:46.840 because they lost their house that was rental,
00:55:50.060 but also they had Hunter Biden as a resident.
00:55:54.080 I mean, I don't know if you could even clean it after that.
00:55:58.840 Christy Teigen and John Legend and their kids are in a hotel.
00:56:02.560 Henry Winkler said some angry, drunk-looking things.
00:56:06.000 He's affected.
00:56:09.560 I have mixed feelings talking about the celebrities involved.
00:56:14.380 On one hand, I don't think this is a story about celebrities,
00:56:17.860 and so it's just gross and icky
00:56:20.000 that they're even part of the story.
00:56:22.000 Like, why do we care about them more?
00:56:24.120 Does it matter more to you that Henry Winkler is safe
00:56:27.720 than Henry Winkler's not-famous neighbor?
00:56:31.420 I mean, so there's something creepy about it,
00:56:33.640 but at the same time,
00:56:35.400 the politics of it is that some of them are conservative,
00:56:40.960 but a number of other ones are outspoken Democrats,
00:56:44.240 and I would love to know how Chrissy Teigen and John Legend
00:56:48.700 feel about their team after losing their house to their team.
00:56:55.960 Does that change how you feel?
00:56:59.720 What else could?
00:57:00.960 I mean, if you're going to change somebody's mind,
00:57:04.200 having a debate with them,
00:57:05.760 maybe, usually not.
00:57:07.740 Having really good points,
00:57:10.060 yeah, might work, but probably not.
00:57:13.420 Really being good at persuasion,
00:57:15.820 that might help,
00:57:17.060 but probably not.
00:57:18.200 People are pretty set in their ways.
00:57:19.880 You burn down somebody's house,
00:57:22.020 you have their attention.
00:57:25.380 Everybody who lost a house
00:57:26.880 is now open to a better argument.
00:57:29.520 A lot of minds opened up.
00:57:30.840 So, I think California is in play.
00:57:39.240 Anyway, in related but other news,
00:57:42.140 because we can't spend all our time talking about this,
00:57:44.420 it's just too hard.
00:57:47.360 Trump is, as other people have noted,
00:57:49.320 flooding the zone.
00:57:51.020 So, he's completely controlling the news.
00:57:54.580 Even the fire, which you would think
00:57:56.460 is not directly a Trump topic,
00:57:59.320 he's still the top of the news
00:58:01.720 because he said the right things
00:58:03.220 and did the right things
00:58:04.060 and it stands in contrast to what happened.
00:58:06.800 So, not only that,
00:58:08.360 but apparently there's a report from Steph Knight,
00:58:13.160 I think she's at Axios,
00:58:15.460 saying that there's some knowledge
00:58:18.440 that Trump plans to flood the zone
00:58:20.140 with 100 executive orders,
00:58:23.980 like his first day or first week or something.
00:58:26.440 Now, so we've got Trump talking about,
00:58:30.260 you know, Greenland, Panama, Canada.
00:58:32.800 He's talking about the fire.
00:58:35.560 He might have 100 executive orders every day,
00:58:38.300 three new things.
00:58:41.080 This is the only way to defeat the fake news.
00:58:44.680 And, you know, he's always done this thing
00:58:47.040 where he keeps the Overton window, so to speak.
00:58:50.600 He keeps the action going
00:58:52.080 and it keeps the attention on him.
00:58:54.900 But I think I just realized
00:58:56.400 the other hidden benefit of this.
00:59:00.160 You know, as we've often said,
00:59:02.340 Republicans can be right 1.00
00:59:03.980 and they can be wrong.
00:59:05.780 They can have wrong facts
00:59:07.000 and often do.
00:59:09.480 They might believe in some conspiracy theories
00:59:11.680 that don't prove out.
00:59:13.940 But that's normal,
00:59:15.580 sort of normal human beings.
00:59:17.100 On the Democrat side,
00:59:19.440 there's an organized hoax creation,
00:59:22.800 you know, machine for the Democrats.
00:59:25.100 They'll create a hoax about the other side 0.63
00:59:27.120 and then they'll use their news,
00:59:29.360 their media and their talking heads
00:59:30.720 to say the same things over and over again.
00:59:34.500 Right?
00:59:35.080 How many times have you seen that?
00:59:36.960 Well, he's a convicted felon.
00:59:39.700 You know, that's just the talking point.
00:59:41.540 And if they say convicted felon
00:59:43.220 a million times,
00:59:45.380 it's going to stick in your head.
00:59:47.460 Because repetition
00:59:48.420 is the number one tool
00:59:51.880 of persuasion.
00:59:53.880 And even more importantly,
00:59:55.360 it's the number one tool
00:59:56.420 of brainwashing.
00:59:58.400 Brainwashing requires you
00:59:59.920 to hear the same exact message
01:00:01.920 over and over and over and over again
01:00:03.480 until your brain
01:00:04.820 just uncritically says,
01:00:06.180 well, it must be true.
01:00:07.280 I keep hearing it.
01:00:08.520 Which doesn't make sense.
01:00:10.680 But your brain will process it that way.
01:00:13.540 So, what Trump has done
01:00:15.580 is he's removed from the fake news
01:00:18.640 the ability to repeat
01:00:20.680 any of their messages
01:00:22.340 often enough for them to stick.
01:00:26.800 Because they start going on with,
01:00:28.980 he wants to send the military
01:00:30.240 into Greenland.
01:00:31.160 And then they repeat that,
01:00:33.920 we got him, we got him.
01:00:35.560 Because nobody's going to be in favor
01:00:36.960 of, you know,
01:00:38.380 sending the military in.
01:00:40.440 Although some are.
01:00:42.380 So they repeat that
01:00:43.400 and the next thing you know,
01:00:44.220 he's talking about Panama.
01:00:45.940 And then they're like,
01:00:46.560 all right, what are we saying
01:00:47.240 about Panama?
01:00:48.340 Panama,
01:00:48.700 wait,
01:00:50.620 he's talking about Canada now.
01:00:52.260 What are we saying about Canada?
01:00:54.440 Wait,
01:00:54.680 what did he say about the smelt?
01:00:56.620 Wait,
01:00:57.460 new scum.
01:00:58.460 He's calling him new scum.
01:01:00.400 A hundred executive orders.
01:01:03.760 They can't repeat often enough.
01:01:07.320 He took away from them
01:01:08.600 their number one persuasion trick,
01:01:12.280 repetition.
01:01:12.700 repetition.
01:01:15.360 Now,
01:01:16.240 is this intentional?
01:01:18.960 Do you think that he intentionally said,
01:01:21.760 if I just take away
01:01:22.820 all of their oxygen,
01:01:24.420 they'll never be able to repeat
01:01:26.000 anything enough to stick?
01:01:29.040 The answer is yes.
01:01:31.260 Yes,
01:01:31.860 this is absolutely intentional.
01:01:33.860 Now,
01:01:34.160 that doesn't mean it's only Trump
01:01:36.020 who knows this.
01:01:36.740 He's working with Stephen Miller
01:01:38.380 and a bunch of brilliant people.
01:01:41.060 Right?
01:01:41.520 The brilliant people
01:01:42.540 can see this
01:01:44.160 clear as day.
01:01:46.120 So yes,
01:01:47.100 it's not an accident
01:01:48.360 that he's going to have
01:01:49.180 a hundred executive orders
01:01:50.560 and he's talking about things
01:01:51.880 that make your hair
01:01:53.000 just catch on fire.
01:01:55.920 Like,
01:01:56.220 you can't,
01:01:57.220 and also,
01:01:58.120 everything that Trump says
01:01:59.460 is too interesting to ignore.
01:02:02.920 It doesn't matter what he says.
01:02:05.060 It's always too interesting to ignore.
01:02:08.000 He's,
01:02:08.340 what?
01:02:08.860 Greenland?
01:02:09.460 What?
01:02:09.740 So yes,
01:02:13.040 it's intentional.
01:02:14.500 Yes,
01:02:14.740 it's brilliant
01:02:15.480 in a way
01:02:16.300 that we don't even deserve.
01:02:18.300 Like,
01:02:18.800 we don't even deserve
01:02:19.740 that level of capability.
01:02:21.680 And when he shows you
01:02:23.260 the competence level
01:02:24.660 that he brings
01:02:25.300 just to messaging,
01:02:26.560 the competence level
01:02:27.900 that he brought
01:02:28.380 to his campaign,
01:02:29.820 the competence level
01:02:31.620 in which he's
01:02:32.340 taking things
01:02:33.360 that people said
01:02:34.040 are ridiculous things
01:02:35.020 to do,
01:02:35.500 such as,
01:02:36.120 you know,
01:02:36.860 using the old Twitter
01:02:38.840 or now posting things
01:02:40.500 that are like geopolitical,
01:02:43.260 you know,
01:02:43.540 hugely important things,
01:02:45.120 he makes that work.
01:02:47.460 When you watch somebody
01:02:48.780 who is just
01:02:49.640 an extreme example
01:02:51.420 of competence
01:02:52.080 with his team,
01:02:53.040 right,
01:02:53.260 he doesn't do everything alone,
01:02:54.880 but
01:02:55.180 I think people
01:02:58.040 are going to notice
01:02:58.740 competence
01:03:00.200 is hard to ignore
01:03:01.420 if you just keep at it,
01:03:02.760 and he is.
01:03:03.240 Bank more encores
01:03:08.380 when you switch
01:03:09.020 to a Scotiabank
01:03:09.900 banking package.
01:03:11.880 Learn more
01:03:12.300 at scotiabank.com
01:03:13.520 slash banking packages.
01:03:15.180 Conditions apply.
01:03:17.100 Scotiabank,
01:03:17.760 you're richer
01:03:18.220 than you think.
01:03:20.220 Well,
01:03:20.800 in other news,
01:03:21.740 if there's any good news
01:03:22.940 at all,
01:03:23.580 the employment
01:03:24.180 for this coming year
01:03:25.420 looks like a little better
01:03:26.460 than people expected.
01:03:28.020 Now,
01:03:28.180 it hasn't happened yet,
01:03:29.580 but the thinking is
01:03:30.660 that
01:03:30.980 in surveys,
01:03:32.380 big companies
01:03:33.580 are showing
01:03:34.120 much more optimism
01:03:35.060 and more,
01:03:36.560 let's say,
01:03:39.280 prediction
01:03:39.700 that they'll do
01:03:40.540 serious hiring.
01:03:42.360 Apparently,
01:03:43.040 the reason
01:03:43.440 there was less hiring
01:03:44.580 than there might have been
01:03:46.220 is that big companies
01:03:47.420 said,
01:03:47.780 ooh,
01:03:47.980 we better wait
01:03:48.500 to see if AI
01:03:49.500 is going to
01:03:50.620 take all the jobs.
01:03:52.360 And now they've waited,
01:03:53.640 and like my example
01:03:54.700 where I started the show,
01:03:56.280 where I said
01:03:56.680 I tried to get AI
01:03:57.600 to do any simple thing,
01:03:59.060 just look at a document
01:04:00.100 and summarize it,
01:04:00.980 and just because
01:04:02.720 it was multiple pages,
01:04:03.860 it just couldn't do it.
01:04:05.500 So I think that
01:04:06.420 probably the companies
01:04:08.180 have now wised up
01:04:09.400 that what they thought
01:04:10.880 was going to be
01:04:11.380 this instant replacement
01:04:12.740 of employees
01:04:13.600 with machines,
01:04:15.380 it might still happen,
01:04:17.420 but not in 2025.
01:04:19.640 So in 2025,
01:04:20.680 they're like,
01:04:21.020 ah,
01:04:21.260 we're going to need
01:04:21.760 human bodies
01:04:22.540 because we can tell them
01:04:24.180 to look at the whole contract,
01:04:25.460 not just four pages
01:04:26.420 and quit.
01:04:26.860 So it could be,
01:04:29.880 at least in the short run,
01:04:32.240 a little bump
01:04:33.240 in improvement
01:04:33.780 in employment.
01:04:37.820 This is just an aside
01:04:39.640 because I'm amused by it,
01:04:41.620 but do you remember
01:04:42.400 Aaron Rupar?
01:04:44.760 He's the reason
01:04:45.640 that I came up
01:04:46.380 with the phrase
01:04:47.060 a Rupar
01:04:47.800 for a description
01:04:48.900 of a video
01:04:49.860 that's been edited
01:04:50.660 to change its meaning
01:04:52.180 because he did
01:04:53.980 a number of those
01:04:54.780 and it looked like
01:04:56.120 he knew he was doing it.
01:04:57.740 You couldn't tell
01:04:58.380 because you can't read his mind,
01:04:59.480 but it looked like,
01:05:00.440 I feel like he knows
01:05:01.620 he took that out of context.
01:05:04.060 And then I saw
01:05:05.520 he made some claim,
01:05:07.620 I think it was yesterday,
01:05:08.820 it doesn't matter
01:05:09.380 what the claim was,
01:05:10.520 but the community note to it
01:05:12.080 just noted that
01:05:13.560 he's a well-known liar.
01:05:17.620 So the actual community note
01:05:20.000 wasn't just that
01:05:21.560 he was saying something
01:05:22.380 that wasn't true.
01:05:23.800 It said he was a well-known,
01:05:26.200 famous liar 0.68
01:05:26.820 who does it for clicks.
01:05:29.060 Now I'm paraphrasing,
01:05:30.220 but it said basically that.
01:05:32.240 Now, as soon as I refreshed it,
01:05:34.880 the community note changed
01:05:36.260 to something less attacking
01:05:38.580 of his character.
01:05:40.300 But for a moment,
01:05:42.360 the community note
01:05:43.600 said settled on,
01:05:44.600 yeah, he's just a famous liar,
01:05:46.340 so you shouldn't pay attention to him.
01:05:50.000 If I contributed even 1%
01:05:52.600 by making people understand
01:05:55.300 that a RUPAR
01:05:56.160 is literally a fake post or edit,
01:06:00.300 if I contributed even 1% to that,
01:06:03.120 I'm proud.
01:06:05.360 All right.
01:06:09.820 I love the fake news
01:06:12.020 talking about the use of force
01:06:15.020 to overtake Greenland.
01:06:17.080 So I guess the Pentagon
01:06:18.660 was asked
01:06:19.380 if there was any kind of plan
01:06:20.800 to invade Greenland.
01:06:22.760 But what's funny
01:06:23.380 is that whoever was talking,
01:06:25.240 some kind of Pentagon spokesperson,
01:06:27.420 said that they didn't know
01:06:29.160 of any plan.
01:06:31.580 It was short of a no.
01:06:34.700 So instead of saying no,
01:06:36.280 there's no plan
01:06:37.000 to use the military
01:06:38.180 or even a plan
01:06:40.300 to what it would look like
01:06:41.440 if you used the military.
01:06:43.380 Instead,
01:06:44.380 the spokesperson said,
01:06:45.380 I'm not aware of one.
01:06:46.180 Okay.
01:06:47.900 Would the spokesperson
01:06:48.960 be aware
01:06:49.720 of the secret attack plans?
01:06:52.400 I feel like you wouldn't
01:06:53.640 tell the spokesperson
01:06:54.700 because if you told them,
01:06:56.900 they could accidentally
01:06:57.840 tip somebody off.
01:06:59.560 So the spokesperson
01:07:01.080 never knows
01:07:01.900 the secret attack plans,
01:07:03.420 do they?
01:07:05.140 Because if they do,
01:07:05.860 that feels like a mistake to me.
01:07:07.580 But anyway,
01:07:08.960 the only thing
01:07:09.600 I want to add to this
01:07:10.500 is that
01:07:11.600 why would the Pentagon
01:07:12.980 need a plan?
01:07:13.780 The entire country
01:07:16.420 is 56,000 people,
01:07:18.200 mostly in one place.
01:07:21.460 And they seem
01:07:22.320 to be
01:07:22.800 fairly pro-MAGA, 0.55
01:07:25.480 pro-American.
01:07:26.740 And if it were up to them
01:07:28.120 and not Denmark,
01:07:28.900 who owns them,
01:07:30.220 if it were just up
01:07:31.000 to the people
01:07:32.100 in Greenland,
01:07:33.340 it's kind of looking like
01:07:34.720 they might be okay
01:07:35.480 with this idea.
01:07:36.180 But I think it's funny
01:07:37.760 that anybody would ask
01:07:39.100 the Pentagon
01:07:39.740 if they have a conquest
01:07:42.340 plan for Greenland
01:07:43.520 when all they really needed
01:07:45.460 was Don Jr.
01:07:46.400 and Charlie Kirk
01:07:47.140 to fly over there
01:07:47.980 and take some selfies.
01:07:49.580 Now, to be fair,
01:07:51.640 Don Jr.
01:07:52.320 and Charlie Kirk
01:07:53.460 taking selfies
01:07:54.200 with the locals
01:07:55.040 is not enough
01:07:56.620 to conquer a country.
01:07:58.880 It's not enough.
01:08:00.560 They might have to go back
01:08:01.980 two or three more times
01:08:04.040 and take more selfies.
01:08:05.300 That should be enough.
01:08:07.440 I think three to four trips
01:08:09.160 of Don Jr.
01:08:11.060 and Charlie Kirk
01:08:11.700 taking selfies,
01:08:13.440 the whole island surrenders.
01:08:16.320 Then we just have to,
01:08:17.360 you know,
01:08:17.580 work on a deal
01:08:18.220 with Denmark.
01:08:19.780 So, no,
01:08:20.380 no military needed.
01:08:21.480 Just Don and Charlie.
01:08:25.200 All right.
01:08:26.600 Senator Rick Scott
01:08:27.820 has introduced
01:08:28.500 some legislation
01:08:31.140 to stop the changing
01:08:32.900 of the clocks
01:08:33.500 twice a year.
01:08:34.220 I keep wanting
01:08:35.440 to have an opinion
01:08:36.100 on that.
01:08:37.220 But I don't.
01:08:38.760 And I'm going to admit why.
01:08:40.760 Because I don't know
01:08:41.820 what change
01:08:42.380 they're talking about.
01:08:45.040 It's too hard
01:08:45.860 for me to figure out
01:08:46.640 the whole
01:08:47.040 hour backwards,
01:08:50.040 hour forwards.
01:08:51.180 But if they
01:08:51.920 standardize it,
01:08:53.680 which one
01:08:54.240 are they standardizing on?
01:08:55.800 Because I never know
01:08:56.760 which one is
01:08:57.360 the base case.
01:08:58.860 I don't know.
01:09:02.240 And I also
01:09:03.280 don't know
01:09:03.660 if I'd like it
01:09:04.440 since I've never
01:09:05.700 experienced it.
01:09:06.820 You know,
01:09:07.060 the different
01:09:07.900 amount of light
01:09:09.320 at a different time
01:09:10.020 of day.
01:09:10.740 I've never
01:09:11.300 experienced it.
01:09:12.620 So,
01:09:13.120 how would I even
01:09:13.680 have an opinion
01:09:14.180 on that?
01:09:15.640 Maybe I'd like it
01:09:16.720 a little bit more
01:09:17.340 in the morning
01:09:17.820 but dislike it
01:09:18.820 more at night.
01:09:20.520 But what's the net?
01:09:22.240 I don't know.
01:09:23.540 So,
01:09:23.960 if it's expensive
01:09:25.180 and I know
01:09:25.840 it cuts down
01:09:26.480 on productivity
01:09:27.060 when the time
01:09:27.940 changes,
01:09:29.720 I don't see
01:09:30.900 a reason to
01:09:31.380 change the time.
01:09:32.480 So,
01:09:32.920 I'm in favor
01:09:33.520 of changing it
01:09:34.400 but I don't
01:09:35.840 have any idea
01:09:36.500 what that looks
01:09:37.040 like,
01:09:37.360 like in my
01:09:37.880 actual life.
01:09:39.380 So,
01:09:39.780 but just in terms
01:09:40.520 of economics,
01:09:41.360 it makes sense.
01:09:45.520 Britain is 0.61
01:09:46.300 threatened to
01:09:46.800 cut ties,
01:09:48.180 security ties
01:09:49.200 with the U.S.
01:09:50.320 unless Trump
01:09:51.740 stops working
01:09:52.720 with Elon Musk
01:09:53.780 according to
01:09:54.780 the National Pulse
01:09:55.680 William Upton
01:09:56.660 to which I say
01:09:58.460 Great Britain
01:10:00.680 is threatening
01:10:01.420 to cut ties
01:10:02.240 with us?
01:10:04.100 Okay.
01:10:08.740 Can you
01:10:09.540 remind me
01:10:10.440 what are
01:10:12.360 all the
01:10:12.720 military
01:10:13.320 advantages
01:10:13.860 we're getting
01:10:14.500 from protecting
01:10:15.780 them?
01:10:17.500 What
01:10:17.940 trade,
01:10:19.340 you know,
01:10:19.520 what products
01:10:20.120 are you getting
01:10:20.540 from England?
01:10:21.740 From their
01:10:22.300 manufacturing base?
01:10:24.720 How much
01:10:25.360 do we need
01:10:25.920 England?
01:10:28.100 Or the
01:10:28.660 UK?
01:10:29.280 Or Great Britain?
01:10:30.520 How much
01:10:31.060 do we need
01:10:31.480 them?
01:10:32.040 I don't know.
01:10:32.600 Sounds like a
01:10:33.120 pretty bad
01:10:33.520 threat to me.
01:10:35.720 And I don't
01:10:36.360 think there's
01:10:36.720 any chance
01:10:37.140 they're going
01:10:37.380 to cut ties.
01:10:39.900 Biden is
01:10:40.580 considering,
01:10:41.360 according to
01:10:41.720 the Post
01:10:42.020 Millennial,
01:10:42.800 Hayden Cunningham
01:10:43.600 is writing,
01:10:44.560 that Biden's
01:10:45.100 thinking about
01:10:45.620 preemptive
01:10:46.260 pardons for
01:10:46.880 Liz Cheney
01:10:47.400 and Anthony
01:10:48.220 Fauci.
01:10:48.660 Liz Cheney
01:10:50.780 for the
01:10:51.240 corrupt
01:10:52.220 insurrection,
01:10:54.320 so-called
01:10:54.960 insurrection
01:10:55.580 committee.
01:10:59.760 Do you
01:11:00.400 have a
01:11:00.640 problem
01:11:00.900 with that?
01:11:03.300 Yeah,
01:11:03.900 this one's
01:11:04.480 an interesting
01:11:05.000 one.
01:11:05.780 Because I
01:11:06.140 think,
01:11:06.600 I don't
01:11:06.960 know if
01:11:07.280 any charges
01:11:07.900 would ever
01:11:08.340 be brought
01:11:08.840 up,
01:11:09.520 because there's
01:11:10.860 a lot of
01:11:11.240 bad behavior
01:11:11.960 that I don't
01:11:12.940 know if it's
01:11:13.640 criminal.
01:11:14.320 It's just
01:11:14.700 really,
01:11:15.260 really bad
01:11:15.880 and unethical
01:11:16.600 behavior.
01:11:18.040 So,
01:11:18.560 if they get
01:11:20.080 a preemptive
01:11:20.700 pardon,
01:11:21.380 we don't
01:11:21.820 have to
01:11:22.140 watch the
01:11:22.600 trial and
01:11:23.260 talk about
01:11:23.820 it,
01:11:24.640 but also
01:11:25.580 it would
01:11:26.020 label them
01:11:26.560 forever as
01:11:27.200 felons. 0.57
01:11:28.840 Because who
01:11:29.380 gets a
01:11:29.740 preemptive
01:11:30.200 pardon?
01:11:31.420 I would
01:11:32.120 like to
01:11:32.420 ask the
01:11:32.760 following
01:11:33.020 question.
01:11:34.180 In the
01:11:34.560 history of
01:11:35.240 pardons,
01:11:36.460 how many
01:11:37.860 times has
01:11:38.740 a completely
01:11:39.360 innocent
01:11:39.800 person got
01:11:40.500 a preemptive
01:11:41.300 pardon?
01:11:41.600 Is there
01:11:45.040 even one
01:11:45.600 time that's
01:11:46.160 ever happened
01:11:46.720 where somebody
01:11:47.760 who was
01:11:48.180 legitimately
01:11:48.860 innocent got
01:11:50.620 a preemptive
01:11:51.360 pardon?
01:11:52.440 Can you
01:11:53.200 think of
01:11:53.740 any time
01:11:54.360 that's ever
01:11:54.880 happened?
01:11:55.620 No.
01:11:56.220 You give a
01:11:56.720 preemptive
01:11:57.220 pardon to
01:11:57.620 somebody you
01:11:58.040 know is
01:11:58.420 damn guilty.
01:12:00.840 So,
01:12:01.300 now,
01:12:01.560 to be fair,
01:12:03.000 they might
01:12:03.380 be more
01:12:03.820 worried about
01:12:04.420 some illegitimate
01:12:05.480 lawfare being
01:12:06.360 used against
01:12:06.920 them,
01:12:07.280 and if that's
01:12:08.400 the only thing
01:12:09.060 they're thinking,
01:12:10.320 well,
01:12:10.620 if you
01:12:12.720 think there
01:12:13.100 was no
01:12:13.360 real crime,
01:12:14.760 maybe.
01:12:16.480 But the
01:12:17.100 way we're
01:12:17.440 going to
01:12:17.640 read it
01:12:18.080 is that
01:12:18.800 they just
01:12:20.100 declared
01:12:21.400 themselves
01:12:21.880 guilty.
01:12:22.920 If they
01:12:23.580 accept a
01:12:24.160 preemptive
01:12:24.640 pardon for
01:12:25.240 something they
01:12:25.820 didn't do,
01:12:27.600 I'm not
01:12:28.180 going to
01:12:28.380 believe they
01:12:28.720 didn't do
01:12:29.160 it.
01:12:30.120 I'm just
01:12:30.540 going to
01:12:30.740 believe,
01:12:31.020 oh,
01:12:31.200 you know
01:12:31.680 you're
01:12:31.940 dirty.
01:12:33.220 You lucky
01:12:33.840 guy and
01:12:35.700 lucky woman.
01:12:36.240 all right.
01:12:41.960 The
01:12:42.200 Mexican
01:12:42.720 president,
01:12:44.520 what's
01:12:44.880 her name,
01:12:45.220 Claudia
01:12:45.620 Scheinbaum,
01:12:46.800 I will
01:12:47.380 never get
01:12:47.840 tired of
01:12:48.280 saying this,
01:12:49.760 the
01:12:49.940 Mexican
01:12:50.400 president,
01:12:51.700 Claudia
01:12:52.080 Scheinbaum.
01:12:53.980 I'm going
01:12:54.580 to say it
01:12:54.880 another time
01:12:55.460 because it's
01:12:55.860 funny.
01:12:56.740 So,
01:12:56.960 the Mexican
01:12:57.420 president,
01:12:58.860 Claudia
01:12:59.220 Scheinbaum,
01:13:00.460 the Jewish
01:13:01.160 woman, 1.00
01:13:01.460 I just
01:13:04.660 love that.
01:13:06.260 I have to
01:13:08.320 give Mexico 0.96
01:13:08.940 credit
01:13:09.420 because you
01:13:12.120 think of
01:13:12.500 Mexico as
01:13:13.160 they're going
01:13:13.680 to be kind
01:13:14.060 of a
01:13:14.340 patriarchy.
01:13:16.800 You presume
01:13:17.680 if most of
01:13:18.840 the residents
01:13:19.300 are Mexican
01:13:19.840 they're going
01:13:20.320 to vote for
01:13:20.720 somebody who's
01:13:21.960 as Mexican
01:13:22.620 as possible.
01:13:24.260 But they
01:13:24.900 elected
01:13:25.380 Claudia
01:13:27.480 Scheinbaum
01:13:28.060 and I give
01:13:28.640 them credit
01:13:29.040 for that.
01:13:29.440 If she
01:13:29.660 does a good
01:13:30.080 job,
01:13:30.420 good work.
01:13:34.020 Anyway,
01:13:34.700 so she's
01:13:35.160 responding to
01:13:35.840 Trump saying
01:13:36.460 that he
01:13:36.720 wants the
01:13:37.080 Gulf to
01:13:37.460 be called
01:13:37.800 the Gulf
01:13:38.780 of America
01:13:39.360 instead of
01:13:39.800 the Gulf
01:13:40.040 of Mexico
01:13:40.500 and she's
01:13:41.560 shooting back
01:13:42.280 and she
01:13:43.120 says the
01:13:43.540 U.S.
01:13:44.020 should be
01:13:45.660 called
01:13:45.980 America
01:13:46.820 Mexicana.
01:13:51.100 Let's see
01:13:51.720 how long
01:13:52.060 it takes
01:13:52.400 me to
01:13:52.780 forget
01:13:53.300 her
01:13:53.660 framing.
01:13:55.300 One,
01:13:56.320 two,
01:13:57.220 three.
01:13:58.900 Wait,
01:13:59.180 what did
01:13:59.420 she say?
01:14:00.420 What did
01:14:01.340 she call
01:14:01.660 it?
01:14:03.120 Do you
01:14:03.720 see how
01:14:04.260 special
01:14:05.400 Trump
01:14:05.760 is?
01:14:07.380 Trump
01:14:07.740 says
01:14:08.180 extinct
01:14:09.000 fish
01:14:09.780 once
01:14:11.100 and I'll
01:14:11.640 remember
01:14:11.980 it for
01:14:12.260 the rest
01:14:12.600 of my
01:14:12.860 life.
01:14:14.380 The
01:14:14.900 Mexican
01:14:15.420 president,
01:14:16.140 as capable
01:14:16.660 as she
01:14:17.060 probably
01:14:17.360 is,
01:14:17.720 I imagine
01:14:18.160 she's
01:14:18.460 very good
01:14:18.840 in general
01:14:19.300 to get
01:14:21.000 where she
01:14:21.300 got,
01:14:22.440 but she
01:14:22.960 tries to
01:14:23.460 match
01:14:23.800 him.
01:14:24.540 He's
01:14:24.700 like,
01:14:25.100 how about
01:14:26.980 I got
01:14:27.560 it?
01:14:28.400 I'm going
01:14:28.820 to zing
01:14:29.240 you.
01:14:30.580 How
01:14:30.900 about
01:14:31.060 we
01:14:31.200 call
01:14:31.400 it
01:14:31.600 America
01:14:32.380 Mexicana?
01:14:34.580 Why
01:14:35.220 isn't
01:14:35.420 everybody
01:14:35.740 clapping?
01:14:37.040 Clap
01:14:37.360 please.
01:14:40.640 The
01:14:41.280 difference
01:14:42.100 in
01:14:42.760 persuasion
01:14:44.160 and
01:14:44.520 communication
01:14:45.040 skill
01:14:45.640 is just
01:14:46.520 so
01:14:47.020 striking.
01:14:48.680 You
01:14:49.200 don't
01:14:49.440 realize
01:14:49.820 how good
01:14:50.580 Trump
01:14:50.920 is
01:14:51.360 at what
01:14:52.520 I'll
01:14:52.700 call
01:14:52.860 the
01:14:53.040 little
01:14:53.280 stuff,
01:14:54.220 just the
01:14:54.740 ordinary
01:14:55.080 communication.
01:14:55.780 you
01:14:56.560 don't
01:14:56.780 realize
01:14:57.180 how good
01:14:57.560 he is
01:14:57.880 until
01:14:58.100 you
01:14:58.240 see
01:14:58.380 somebody
01:14:58.680 else
01:14:58.880 try
01:14:59.140 it.
01:15:00.400 And
01:15:00.500 they
01:15:00.920 just
01:15:01.120 do
01:15:01.260 a
01:15:01.380 total
01:15:01.820 face
01:15:02.140 plant.
01:15:03.440 I
01:15:03.860 have
01:15:03.980 to
01:15:04.080 read
01:15:04.220 it
01:15:04.320 again.
01:15:05.100 America,
01:15:05.720 Mexicana.
01:15:07.420 No,
01:15:07.980 that's
01:15:08.180 not a
01:15:08.440 good
01:15:08.540 try.
01:15:11.480 Well,
01:15:12.000 Russia
01:15:12.280 is
01:15:12.600 introducing
01:15:13.440 these
01:15:14.080 land
01:15:15.000 robot
01:15:15.720 tank
01:15:16.280 things.
01:15:16.800 It
01:15:16.900 looks
01:15:17.060 like
01:15:17.220 a
01:15:17.320 little
01:15:17.520 miniature
01:15:18.340 tank
01:15:18.920 and
01:15:19.420 it
01:15:19.520 could
01:15:19.620 have
01:15:19.760 wheels
01:15:20.060 or
01:15:20.280 tracks.
01:15:21.200 But
01:15:21.480 it's
01:15:21.700 got
01:15:21.880 loaded
01:15:22.240 with
01:15:22.480 all
01:15:22.660 kinds
01:15:22.960 of
01:15:23.120 weapons
01:15:23.440 and
01:15:23.780 they're
01:15:23.940 going
01:15:25.780 and
01:15:26.520 send
01:15:26.820 them
01:15:27.100 at
01:15:27.940 Ukraine.
01:15:29.660 Here's
01:15:30.160 my
01:15:30.340 question.
01:15:31.560 Can
01:15:32.060 Russia
01:15:32.420 manufacture?
01:15:34.360 Now,
01:15:34.660 I know
01:15:34.840 they have
01:15:35.260 manufacturing
01:15:35.860 and I
01:15:36.260 know
01:15:36.380 they make
01:15:36.700 weapons
01:15:37.160 and this
01:15:37.880 is a
01:15:38.120 weapon.
01:15:39.400 But
01:15:39.640 if
01:15:41.140 their
01:15:41.980 outcome
01:15:43.620 of the
01:15:43.940 war
01:15:44.180 depends
01:15:44.620 on
01:15:44.840 making
01:15:45.100 a lot
01:15:45.460 of
01:15:45.640 these
01:15:46.040 robots
01:15:46.540 that
01:15:46.980 they've
01:15:47.200 never
01:15:47.400 made
01:15:47.660 before,
01:15:48.580 how
01:15:49.000 good
01:15:49.360 are
01:15:49.500 they
01:15:49.660 going
01:15:49.780 to
01:15:49.840 be?
01:15:51.160 Now,
01:15:51.420 it
01:15:51.500 could
01:15:51.700 be
01:15:51.980 that
01:15:53.100 even
01:15:53.660 if
01:15:53.900 Russia
01:15:54.140 is
01:15:54.320 not
01:15:54.580 a
01:15:54.900 massively
01:15:55.300 good
01:15:55.800 manufacturing
01:15:57.200 company,
01:15:58.000 it could
01:15:58.260 be that
01:15:58.600 they put
01:15:58.940 their best
01:15:59.340 people in
01:15:59.820 the military
01:16:00.260 stuff,
01:16:00.780 which would
01:16:01.100 make sense.
01:16:02.340 And maybe
01:16:03.300 this is,
01:16:04.120 maybe it's
01:16:04.460 good work
01:16:04.940 and maybe
01:16:05.340 they can
01:16:06.300 crank them
01:16:06.740 out like
01:16:07.060 crazy.
01:16:08.060 But the
01:16:09.180 thing I'd
01:16:09.500 be looking
01:16:09.940 for is
01:16:11.580 whether they
01:16:12.060 can manufacture
01:16:13.000 well enough
01:16:15.000 to put
01:16:15.980 working models
01:16:16.860 in the field
01:16:17.400 that make
01:16:17.760 a difference.
01:16:18.760 Now,
01:16:19.000 the other
01:16:19.260 thing is
01:16:19.660 that even
01:16:20.160 the ground
01:16:21.080 robots
01:16:21.760 like these,
01:16:22.820 the ones
01:16:23.100 on wheels
01:16:23.640 or running
01:16:24.800 dogs or
01:16:25.340 whatever,
01:16:26.000 they will
01:16:26.380 soon be
01:16:27.040 programmed
01:16:27.620 to swarm
01:16:28.620 just like
01:16:29.580 the drones
01:16:30.420 in the air.
01:16:31.660 So if
01:16:31.940 you organize
01:16:32.920 the drones
01:16:33.540 so that
01:16:34.100 they operate
01:16:34.680 as one
01:16:35.180 and they
01:16:36.000 swarm,
01:16:37.180 there's
01:16:37.520 almost no
01:16:37.980 defense.
01:16:39.260 But likewise,
01:16:40.560 if you
01:16:40.960 were on the
01:16:42.820 front line
01:16:43.340 and you're
01:16:43.640 a human
01:16:43.980 being and
01:16:45.220 you get
01:16:45.540 swarmed
01:16:46.160 by these
01:16:46.820 robots,
01:16:47.640 you're going
01:16:48.260 to be in a
01:16:48.680 lot of
01:16:48.940 trouble,
01:16:49.900 the robots
01:16:50.320 on the
01:16:50.600 ground.
01:16:50.880 because it
01:16:53.280 probably takes
01:16:53.940 a little bit
01:16:54.640 of planning
01:16:55.200 and work
01:16:55.780 and strange
01:16:57.040 execution
01:16:57.700 to even
01:16:58.780 take out
01:16:59.160 one of
01:16:59.500 them.
01:17:00.580 If six
01:17:01.460 of them
01:17:01.740 are bearing
01:17:02.160 down on
01:17:02.680 you,
01:17:03.960 you got
01:17:04.860 to run
01:17:05.260 and it
01:17:06.140 will run
01:17:06.500 faster than
01:17:07.020 you.
01:17:07.980 So it's
01:17:09.300 going to get
01:17:09.640 real interesting
01:17:10.380 in Ukraine.
01:17:11.660 I would look
01:17:12.440 to see if
01:17:12.840 they can
01:17:13.100 manufacture
01:17:13.620 well and
01:17:14.340 quickly.
01:17:15.800 Claudia was
01:17:16.600 leaving for
01:17:17.020 her pickleball
01:17:17.600 tournament.
01:17:18.180 I've been
01:17:18.400 visualizing my
01:17:19.200 match all
01:17:19.860 week.
01:17:20.320 She was
01:17:21.040 so focused
01:17:21.560 on visualizing
01:17:22.360 that she
01:17:22.800 didn't see
01:17:23.240 the column
01:17:23.640 behind her
01:17:24.100 car on
01:17:24.700 her back
01:17:25.040 hand side.
01:17:27.000 Good thing
01:17:27.360 Claudia is
01:17:27.800 with Intact,
01:17:28.600 the insurer
01:17:29.160 with the
01:17:29.580 largest network
01:17:30.280 of auto
01:17:30.660 service centers
01:17:31.260 in the
01:17:31.720 country.
01:17:32.380 Everything
01:17:32.660 was taken
01:17:33.140 care of
01:17:33.560 under one
01:17:34.020 roof and
01:17:34.540 she was
01:17:34.820 on her
01:17:35.080 way in
01:17:35.320 a rental
01:17:35.640 car in
01:17:36.200 no time.
01:17:36.840 I made
01:17:37.320 it to my
01:17:37.760 tournament and
01:17:39.040 lost in
01:17:39.380 the first
01:17:39.680 round.
01:17:40.300 But you
01:17:40.880 got there
01:17:41.320 on time.
01:17:42.140 Intact
01:17:42.480 Insurance,
01:17:43.320 your auto
01:17:43.720 service ace.
01:17:44.760 Certain conditions
01:17:45.320 apply.
01:17:47.000 Well, I'm
01:17:47.880 going to do
01:17:48.140 something that
01:17:48.580 you don't like.
01:17:49.360 I'm going
01:17:50.680 to defend
01:17:51.340 Crenshaw.
01:17:55.560 So Dan
01:17:55.940 Crenshaw
01:17:56.380 is often
01:17:58.600 reported for
01:17:59.660 having very
01:18:00.880 high relative
01:18:02.480 to other
01:18:02.820 people,
01:18:03.640 really good
01:18:04.440 gains on
01:18:05.160 his stock
01:18:05.600 picks.
01:18:07.080 So there's
01:18:07.440 another story
01:18:07.980 today,
01:18:08.760 mentioning that
01:18:09.680 he's a top
01:18:10.240 five investor
01:18:11.080 among Congress.
01:18:12.300 top five.
01:18:14.880 Did he do
01:18:15.380 that because
01:18:15.860 of insider
01:18:16.580 information?
01:18:17.580 And the
01:18:18.080 implication is
01:18:19.020 that it's
01:18:20.540 because he
01:18:20.960 has insider
01:18:21.600 information.
01:18:22.700 So that he
01:18:23.820 and other
01:18:24.420 members who
01:18:24.980 trade are
01:18:25.800 just beating
01:18:26.240 people because
01:18:27.500 they're inside
01:18:28.080 information.
01:18:29.400 And it was
01:18:30.040 pointing out
01:18:30.580 that he had
01:18:31.260 a high
01:18:31.860 percentage
01:18:32.280 gain.
01:18:33.860 So if you
01:18:34.760 look at his
01:18:35.080 gain, I think
01:18:35.540 it was over
01:18:35.860 40% for the
01:18:36.780 year or something,
01:18:37.660 that that would
01:18:38.180 put him in the
01:18:38.620 top five.
01:18:40.060 Now, what
01:18:41.180 do I teach
01:18:41.760 you about
01:18:42.580 spotting fake
01:18:43.660 news?
01:18:44.640 If you know
01:18:45.440 the percentage
01:18:46.180 of gain he
01:18:47.080 made, but they
01:18:48.440 don't tell you
01:18:48.960 the dollar amount,
01:18:50.300 is it real news
01:18:51.160 or fake news?
01:18:52.180 The answer is,
01:18:53.380 it's fake news.
01:18:54.460 If they told you
01:18:55.380 both the
01:18:55.900 percentage and
01:18:56.760 the dollar amount,
01:18:57.820 it might be real.
01:18:59.100 If they told you
01:19:00.060 only the dollar
01:19:00.860 amount without
01:19:01.580 the percentage,
01:19:02.340 that would be
01:19:02.700 fake.
01:19:03.480 And if they
01:19:04.160 told you the
01:19:04.560 percentage without
01:19:05.260 the dollar amount,
01:19:06.040 which is what
01:19:06.480 they did,
01:19:07.460 that's fake.
01:19:08.100 So the
01:19:09.180 first thing you
01:19:09.660 need to know
01:19:10.100 is that you
01:19:10.460 got abused
01:19:10.960 when you
01:19:11.440 read the
01:19:11.740 story.
01:19:12.640 You got
01:19:12.960 abused.
01:19:13.880 Somebody's
01:19:14.220 trying to
01:19:14.480 put one
01:19:14.880 over on
01:19:15.280 you.
01:19:15.880 Turns out
01:19:16.420 his portfolio
01:19:17.220 is not
01:19:17.660 very big.
01:19:18.920 He's not
01:19:19.480 a rich guy,
01:19:20.700 and he
01:19:21.040 said directly
01:19:21.740 that one of
01:19:22.660 the few
01:19:22.960 ways that he
01:19:23.480 can get
01:19:23.800 ahead and
01:19:24.240 still afford
01:19:24.960 to be in
01:19:25.520 Congress,
01:19:26.460 because it
01:19:26.740 doesn't pay
01:19:27.140 that much
01:19:27.600 relative to
01:19:28.380 the cost of
01:19:29.100 being there,
01:19:30.120 that he
01:19:31.000 absolutely needs
01:19:32.220 to augment
01:19:33.800 his income,
01:19:34.600 and he does
01:19:34.960 it by
01:19:35.220 trading.
01:19:35.540 Now,
01:19:37.100 how did
01:19:37.740 you rule
01:19:38.980 out the
01:19:39.380 possibilities
01:19:39.900 good at
01:19:40.520 it?
01:19:41.700 He told
01:19:42.400 you he
01:19:42.700 needs it.
01:19:43.980 He told
01:19:44.640 you he
01:19:44.960 focuses on
01:19:45.740 it.
01:19:46.760 That's
01:19:47.180 different than
01:19:47.720 most of the
01:19:48.120 people in
01:19:48.500 Congress.
01:19:49.500 Most of the
01:19:50.080 people in
01:19:50.400 Congress don't
01:19:50.980 need it.
01:19:51.820 A lot of
01:19:52.220 them are
01:19:52.480 rich.
01:19:53.220 I don't
01:19:53.480 know what
01:19:53.720 percentage,
01:19:54.340 but a lot
01:19:54.660 of them are
01:19:54.900 rich.
01:19:55.800 And some
01:19:56.800 of them are
01:19:57.100 not concentrating
01:19:57.720 on it.
01:19:58.640 They're
01:19:58.900 concentrating
01:19:59.340 on other
01:19:59.780 things.
01:20:00.480 He's
01:20:00.800 concentrating
01:20:01.280 on it.
01:20:01.860 If you
01:20:02.980 knew his
01:20:03.480 educational
01:20:04.140 background,
01:20:04.900 it's really
01:20:05.760 good.
01:20:06.960 Do you
01:20:07.220 know how
01:20:07.440 much formal
01:20:08.440 education he's
01:20:09.240 had, plus
01:20:10.060 the military?
01:20:11.580 I don't
01:20:12.260 think people
01:20:12.640 understand how
01:20:13.560 academically
01:20:15.120 trained he
01:20:15.740 is.
01:20:16.460 So you
01:20:16.720 got somebody
01:20:17.140 who's got
01:20:18.580 higher academic
01:20:19.340 training than
01:20:20.000 most of
01:20:20.400 Congress.
01:20:21.560 Unlike
01:20:22.000 Congress, he's
01:20:22.720 really paying
01:20:23.160 attention, which
01:20:24.140 means he's
01:20:24.600 learning how
01:20:25.060 to do it
01:20:25.400 right.
01:20:26.720 And there's
01:20:28.500 very little
01:20:28.940 dollar amount.
01:20:30.560 So if he
01:20:31.420 had one
01:20:31.880 good pick, he
01:20:33.900 would have
01:20:34.400 that gain.
01:20:35.480 How do
01:20:35.820 you know
01:20:36.100 that the
01:20:36.440 reason he's
01:20:37.420 up is
01:20:38.840 some kind
01:20:39.300 of secret
01:20:39.780 insider
01:20:40.220 information?
01:20:41.640 What if,
01:20:42.460 and this
01:20:42.820 is not in
01:20:43.200 the story,
01:20:44.080 this should
01:20:44.460 be in the
01:20:44.800 story, what
01:20:45.580 if he
01:20:45.920 bought the
01:20:46.420 stock in
01:20:46.880 NVIDIA?
01:20:49.280 Do you
01:20:49.840 know who
01:20:50.100 bought the
01:20:50.460 stock in
01:20:50.900 NVIDIA?
01:20:52.280 I did.
01:20:54.320 And a lot
01:20:55.520 of my
01:20:55.780 followers did.
01:20:56.980 Because I
01:20:57.600 mentioned it
01:20:58.240 as sort of
01:20:59.140 once-
01:20:59.720 ever, you
01:21:00.380 know, kind
01:21:00.640 of a unique
01:21:01.080 situation.
01:21:02.720 So most
01:21:04.040 of my
01:21:04.660 followers
01:21:06.480 probably had
01:21:08.120 the same
01:21:08.440 return he
01:21:09.000 did.
01:21:09.800 Because if
01:21:10.420 the only
01:21:10.920 thing you
01:21:11.360 did was
01:21:12.740 buy the
01:21:13.120 one most
01:21:13.620 obvious
01:21:14.100 stock,
01:21:14.960 NVIDIA,
01:21:16.440 you would
01:21:16.860 beat all
01:21:17.500 the members
01:21:18.160 of Congress.
01:21:19.120 Is that
01:21:19.640 what happened?
01:21:20.320 If he
01:21:20.760 had just
01:21:21.200 bought
01:21:21.480 Tesla,
01:21:23.100 he would
01:21:23.440 have beat
01:21:23.820 most of
01:21:24.960 the members
01:21:25.320 of Congress.
01:21:25.800 if he
01:21:27.280 had just
01:21:27.740 invested
01:21:28.220 in, you
01:21:29.720 know, one
01:21:29.940 of the
01:21:30.320 atomic
01:21:31.420 stocks that
01:21:32.020 I mentioned
01:21:32.400 that I'm
01:21:32.680 not going
01:21:32.940 to mention
01:21:33.200 today, he
01:21:34.640 would have
01:21:34.880 beat everybody.
01:21:35.880 It only
01:21:36.420 took one,
01:21:37.620 just one
01:21:38.340 good stock
01:21:39.460 and his
01:21:39.720 whole portfolio
01:21:40.380 was up
01:21:40.700 40%.
01:21:41.260 So if
01:21:43.440 you see a
01:21:43.920 story that
01:21:44.980 says he
01:21:45.380 did better
01:21:45.940 than the
01:21:46.360 other people
01:21:46.920 in Congress
01:21:47.480 and therefore
01:21:48.540 the implication
01:21:50.060 is that he
01:21:51.560 broke some
01:21:52.060 law or did
01:21:52.640 something,
01:21:53.160 he wouldn't
01:21:53.700 break a law
01:21:54.180 because it's
01:21:54.560 legal for
01:21:55.000 them to
01:21:55.240 use to be
01:21:55.900 insider traders.
01:21:57.320 If you
01:21:57.920 believe that
01:21:58.360 it was like
01:21:58.780 some secret
01:21:59.520 unethical
01:22:00.220 thing he
01:22:00.640 did to
01:22:01.220 get those
01:22:01.640 gains,
01:22:02.140 there's no
01:22:02.760 evidence of
01:22:03.300 that in
01:22:04.720 the story.
01:22:05.600 There's no
01:22:06.240 evidence of
01:22:06.820 it in the
01:22:07.440 story.
01:22:08.440 Now, if
01:22:08.860 there is
01:22:09.260 evidence of
01:22:09.980 any bad
01:22:10.860 behavior or
01:22:11.740 it wouldn't
01:22:12.860 be illegal,
01:22:14.000 so I
01:22:14.600 guess it
01:22:14.900 wouldn't even
01:22:15.260 be necessarily
01:22:16.740 unethical,
01:22:17.780 but you
01:22:18.460 wouldn't like
01:22:18.960 it.
01:22:20.240 You're going
01:22:20.580 to have to
01:22:21.260 give me a
01:22:21.720 lot more
01:22:22.480 than he
01:22:23.400 did a good
01:22:23.920 job.
01:22:24.940 Because if
01:22:25.720 your complaint
01:22:26.320 about the
01:22:26.700 guy is
01:22:27.020 good at
01:22:27.620 investing,
01:22:29.260 that just
01:22:30.980 pisses me
01:22:31.460 off.
01:22:32.600 That just
01:22:33.240 pisses me
01:22:33.780 off.
01:22:34.640 Because that's
01:22:35.440 punishing
01:22:35.960 somebody for
01:22:36.960 competence.
01:22:38.720 And that
01:22:39.320 might be the
01:22:39.860 only thing
01:22:40.180 that's
01:22:40.360 happening.
01:22:40.860 Now, again,
01:22:41.720 let me be
01:22:42.160 very clear.
01:22:43.580 I don't
01:22:43.960 know if
01:22:44.260 there's any
01:22:44.780 valid
01:22:46.440 insider
01:22:46.980 trading that
01:22:47.780 helped his
01:22:48.560 returns.
01:22:49.320 I don't
01:22:49.580 know.
01:22:50.340 But what
01:22:50.760 I do
01:22:51.100 know is
01:22:51.740 you don't
01:22:52.140 know.
01:22:53.080 You don't
01:22:53.540 know.
01:22:54.520 So if
01:22:54.880 you're going
01:22:55.120 to go from
01:22:55.680 he's a good
01:22:56.240 investor to
01:22:56.980 he did
01:22:57.340 something
01:22:57.680 sketchy
01:22:58.180 that you
01:22:58.520 hate,
01:22:59.260 that's a
01:23:00.180 leap I
01:23:00.520 can't
01:23:00.760 support.
01:23:01.660 And it
01:23:01.940 pisses me
01:23:02.540 off when
01:23:03.680 somebody does
01:23:04.260 a good
01:23:04.600 job and
01:23:05.220 there's no
01:23:05.740 evidence that
01:23:06.680 he did it
01:23:07.180 unethically,
01:23:08.200 that we
01:23:09.260 criticize him
01:23:10.580 for competence
01:23:11.680 and for
01:23:13.400 making it
01:23:13.940 affordable to
01:23:15.380 do the job
01:23:15.980 of the
01:23:16.200 people.
01:23:17.900 Now,
01:23:18.680 before you
01:23:19.700 give me a
01:23:20.060 hard time,
01:23:20.680 because I
01:23:20.940 know you
01:23:21.240 want to,
01:23:21.980 you're going
01:23:22.260 to say,
01:23:22.720 but, but,
01:23:23.320 Scott, what
01:23:24.360 about those
01:23:24.880 other unrelated
01:23:25.700 things that we
01:23:26.460 don't like about
01:23:27.160 his policies?
01:23:28.960 Fine.
01:23:29.780 I'm not arguing
01:23:30.420 that.
01:23:31.960 If you don't
01:23:32.780 think he's doing
01:23:33.340 the job you
01:23:33.940 want, I'm not
01:23:36.240 even in that
01:23:36.840 conversation.
01:23:38.160 I don't
01:23:38.620 know enough,
01:23:39.260 frankly, about
01:23:39.800 him.
01:23:40.920 But,
01:23:42.040 I'll also
01:23:45.080 tell you, just
01:23:45.580 for full
01:23:45.980 disclosure, that
01:23:47.540 I have had
01:23:48.820 conversations with
01:23:49.640 him, because I
01:23:50.080 did his podcast
01:23:51.260 a while ago.
01:23:52.340 So I've
01:23:52.900 interacted with
01:23:53.620 him, at least
01:23:54.120 on a Zoom
01:23:55.260 kind of a way.
01:23:56.420 And he's a
01:23:57.460 really nice
01:23:57.860 guy.
01:23:59.740 I don't know
01:24:00.360 if you know
01:24:00.660 that, but he's
01:24:01.980 a really nice
01:24:02.480 guy.
01:24:03.440 And so I'm
01:24:04.080 influenced by
01:24:04.800 that, and
01:24:06.420 then I see
01:24:06.880 him being
01:24:07.260 attacked for
01:24:07.880 something that,
01:24:09.720 if there's any
01:24:10.380 basis to this,
01:24:11.420 nobody's revealing
01:24:13.000 it.
01:24:14.160 So let's
01:24:15.900 calm down on
01:24:19.860 that.
01:24:21.120 It certainly
01:24:22.040 makes sense to
01:24:22.860 go after him
01:24:24.060 for the other
01:24:24.480 stuff.
01:24:24.880 But let me
01:24:25.460 sum that up
01:24:26.520 with a little
01:24:26.960 bit of a
01:24:27.540 context.
01:24:29.360 Sometimes you
01:24:30.140 wonder, what's
01:24:30.980 it like to be a
01:24:31.680 public figure,
01:24:32.960 such as Dan
01:24:33.840 Crenshaw, and
01:24:35.380 such as me.
01:24:36.540 What's it like to
01:24:37.140 be a public
01:24:37.560 figure?
01:24:39.180 Well, like Dan
01:24:40.300 Crenshaw, one
01:24:41.880 thing I have in
01:24:42.560 common with him
01:24:43.220 is that I've
01:24:43.880 had several
01:24:44.560 scandals in
01:24:46.580 my career.
01:24:48.100 Some of them
01:24:48.720 you haven't
01:24:49.020 heard of, or
01:24:49.980 you forgot about
01:24:50.720 because they're
01:24:51.080 so long.
01:24:51.960 One of the
01:24:52.380 things that all
01:24:52.960 of my scandals
01:24:54.040 have in common
01:24:54.740 is that none
01:24:56.080 of them have
01:24:56.480 actually happened.
01:24:59.780 None of them
01:25:00.360 happened.
01:25:01.400 For example,
01:25:03.060 let's see,
01:25:03.840 I'm being
01:25:04.760 criticized for
01:25:05.920 being an
01:25:06.360 H-1B
01:25:07.020 supporter.
01:25:08.880 So that's
01:25:09.340 lately.
01:25:10.400 That didn't
01:25:10.800 happen.
01:25:12.000 Not once.
01:25:13.860 No.
01:25:14.480 I have said
01:25:15.460 we need to
01:25:16.520 bring in
01:25:17.020 only the
01:25:17.980 best people
01:25:18.480 that make
01:25:18.760 sense.
01:25:19.660 But the
01:25:20.280 H-1B
01:25:20.840 process
01:25:21.480 apparently
01:25:22.180 doesn't do
01:25:22.760 that.
01:25:23.520 So I've
01:25:23.860 never said
01:25:24.300 it does
01:25:24.620 that.
01:25:25.300 I've never
01:25:25.720 said I was
01:25:26.120 in favor
01:25:26.460 of it.
01:25:27.180 And it's
01:25:27.600 the biggest
01:25:27.960 thing I'm
01:25:28.360 being
01:25:28.620 criticized
01:25:29.060 for.
01:25:30.540 Let's
01:25:30.980 see.
01:25:31.620 I'm also
01:25:32.060 being criticized
01:25:32.720 for recommending
01:25:34.160 that people
01:25:34.780 get vaccinated
01:25:35.520 during the
01:25:36.040 pandemic,
01:25:36.920 which never
01:25:38.280 happened.
01:25:39.300 And I
01:25:39.760 forcefully
01:25:40.960 always said
01:25:41.560 the opposite.
01:25:42.820 Very
01:25:43.320 frequently
01:25:44.300 probably said
01:25:45.860 it over and
01:25:46.720 over again.
01:25:47.280 I'm not
01:25:47.640 your doctor.
01:25:48.840 I'm not
01:25:49.480 telling you
01:25:49.840 to get it.
01:25:50.420 I'm not
01:25:50.720 telling you
01:25:51.040 not to
01:25:51.420 get it.
01:25:51.940 It's a
01:25:52.240 personal
01:25:52.540 decision.
01:25:53.460 Opposite.
01:25:54.360 Literally
01:25:54.740 the opposite
01:25:55.320 of what I'm
01:25:55.920 blamed for.
01:25:56.960 Do you
01:25:57.440 remember,
01:25:58.140 some of you
01:25:58.980 might remember,
01:25:59.720 the thing that
01:26:00.180 first derailed
01:26:01.100 my career,
01:26:01.860 this was
01:26:02.140 years ago,
01:26:03.280 where I
01:26:04.100 had an
01:26:04.400 argument where
01:26:05.180 I predicted
01:26:06.560 that evolution,
01:26:08.560 the theory of
01:26:09.080 evolution,
01:26:09.600 would be
01:26:10.060 debunked in
01:26:11.200 my lifetime.
01:26:12.740 And that it
01:26:13.060 would be
01:26:13.820 debunked,
01:26:14.660 not necessarily
01:26:16.600 in,
01:26:18.660 let's say,
01:26:20.220 in classic
01:26:20.780 ways,
01:26:21.580 but it would
01:26:22.140 be debunked
01:26:22.840 because we
01:26:23.380 would understand
01:26:24.220 the nature
01:26:24.900 of reality
01:26:25.860 so differently
01:26:27.300 that evolution
01:26:28.680 would stop
01:26:29.160 making sense.
01:26:29.860 and that
01:26:30.920 happened.
01:26:31.800 That's called
01:26:32.240 the simulation.
01:26:33.420 Now,
01:26:33.660 you could argue
01:26:34.140 that the
01:26:34.540 simulation is
01:26:35.260 not real,
01:26:36.340 but the
01:26:37.140 argument is
01:26:37.720 it's a
01:26:38.260 trillion to
01:26:38.720 one likely
01:26:39.200 that it
01:26:39.580 is.
01:26:40.100 And if
01:26:40.460 we're a
01:26:40.720 simulation,
01:26:41.500 then the
01:26:42.280 past is
01:26:42.960 actually
01:26:43.260 created on
01:26:44.000 demand.
01:26:45.840 Now,
01:26:46.520 I could be
01:26:47.280 right about
01:26:47.760 that,
01:26:48.760 right?
01:26:49.120 I could be
01:26:49.560 right about
01:26:49.960 that,
01:26:50.300 or I could
01:26:51.200 be wrong
01:26:51.540 about that,
01:26:52.300 and I
01:26:52.840 don't know.
01:26:54.120 But what I
01:26:54.880 will tell you
01:26:55.440 is that 100%
01:26:56.500 of the pushback
01:26:57.620 to my opinion
01:26:58.660 was based
01:27:00.460 on stuff
01:27:00.860 I didn't
01:27:01.220 say.
01:27:02.640 So again,
01:27:04.100 this major
01:27:05.040 thing,
01:27:05.520 I probably
01:27:05.800 lost,
01:27:06.860 I'll bet I
01:27:07.240 lost 30%
01:27:08.440 of the
01:27:09.140 Dilbert fans
01:27:09.820 over this.
01:27:11.720 Something I
01:27:12.400 was right
01:27:12.860 about,
01:27:13.520 at least in
01:27:14.060 terms of
01:27:14.680 knowing that
01:27:15.520 some rethinking
01:27:17.240 of reality
01:27:18.000 would cause
01:27:18.500 us to
01:27:18.880 rethink
01:27:19.220 evolution,
01:27:20.000 that was
01:27:20.660 one hell
01:27:21.240 of a good
01:27:21.680 prediction.
01:27:22.900 I mean,
01:27:23.100 that was a
01:27:23.520 crazy good
01:27:24.220 prediction,
01:27:25.400 like beyond,
01:27:26.340 if it's
01:27:27.720 right,
01:27:28.320 and I
01:27:28.600 think it
01:27:28.860 is.
01:27:31.220 Then,
01:27:31.720 does anybody
01:27:32.240 remember,
01:27:32.940 this will be
01:27:33.300 a good
01:27:33.480 test,
01:27:34.120 how many
01:27:34.480 of you
01:27:34.720 remember
01:27:35.120 the sock
01:27:36.880 puppet
01:27:37.420 scandal
01:27:40.640 about me?
01:27:41.920 The accusation
01:27:43.020 was that I
01:27:44.020 sock puppeted,
01:27:45.980 which is a
01:27:46.700 very specific
01:27:47.360 act.
01:27:48.200 Anybody
01:27:48.600 remember that?
01:27:50.040 Which never
01:27:50.840 happened.
01:27:52.360 It never
01:27:52.740 happened.
01:27:53.080 Now,
01:27:54.140 did I
01:27:54.720 go online
01:27:55.520 with a
01:27:56.560 fake identity
01:27:58.040 and have
01:27:59.220 what I
01:27:59.960 thought was
01:28:00.320 a hilarious
01:28:00.860 conversation
01:28:01.660 with somebody
01:28:02.800 who wanted
01:28:03.180 to argue
01:28:03.600 about the
01:28:04.120 intelligence
01:28:04.600 of Scott
01:28:05.360 Adams?
01:28:06.400 Yes,
01:28:06.740 I did.
01:28:08.320 Why did
01:28:08.980 I do it?
01:28:09.840 I was just
01:28:10.640 debunking some
01:28:11.440 hoaxes that
01:28:12.420 were told about
01:28:13.000 me.
01:28:13.620 One of the
01:28:14.000 hoaxes was
01:28:14.640 that I was
01:28:15.120 a Holocaust 0.96
01:28:15.620 denier.
01:28:16.820 Do you see
01:28:17.500 the pattern
01:28:17.880 yet?
01:28:18.460 I'm not a
01:28:18.940 Holocaust 0.95
01:28:19.280 denier.
01:28:21.620 But the
01:28:22.260 public had
01:28:22.780 decided I
01:28:23.380 was.
01:28:24.360 You see
01:28:24.720 the pattern,
01:28:25.240 right?
01:28:25.800 100% of
01:28:27.220 all of my
01:28:27.680 scandals never
01:28:28.360 happened.
01:28:29.440 None of
01:28:29.860 them.
01:28:30.520 Not a
01:28:30.940 single one.
01:28:32.620 So when I
01:28:33.020 look, let
01:28:34.120 me give you
01:28:34.420 some others.
01:28:35.200 I'm also
01:28:35.620 called a
01:28:36.260 climate
01:28:37.980 denier,
01:28:39.080 like I
01:28:39.480 deny science.
01:28:41.320 That's not
01:28:41.860 happening.
01:28:43.440 That's not
01:28:44.000 real.
01:28:45.880 And then
01:28:46.440 what about
01:28:46.840 my cancellation?
01:28:48.920 My cancellation
01:28:49.880 happened almost
01:28:51.380 entirely for
01:28:52.100 political reasons
01:28:53.100 because there's
01:28:54.440 not a single
01:28:55.020 Republican who's
01:28:55.900 canceled me.
01:28:58.020 And 100% of
01:28:59.980 the people who
01:29:00.480 have heard me
01:29:01.160 explain the
01:29:02.360 situation in
01:29:03.220 detail, because
01:29:04.340 the drama never
01:29:05.260 gets into the
01:29:05.800 detail, 100%
01:29:07.400 have not
01:29:08.560 disagreed with
01:29:09.340 my point.
01:29:10.800 Nobody.
01:29:12.040 There are people
01:29:12.620 who didn't
01:29:13.020 understand the
01:29:13.780 point, and
01:29:15.060 there are people
01:29:15.420 who said it
01:29:16.180 made me mad,
01:29:17.680 which I
01:29:18.180 acknowledge, and
01:29:19.580 there are people
01:29:19.920 who said you
01:29:20.360 shouldn't have
01:29:20.720 said it.
01:29:22.100 That's their
01:29:22.760 opinion.
01:29:23.900 But what they
01:29:24.960 think I did
01:29:25.680 and said didn't
01:29:26.440 happen.
01:29:27.360 I was
01:29:28.080 complaining against
01:29:29.320 racism, and I
01:29:31.960 was accused of
01:29:32.580 being a racist.
01:29:33.720 No, I'm
01:29:34.340 complaining about
01:29:34.980 racists.
01:29:36.320 I'm anti-racist.
01:29:37.820 The entire rant
01:29:38.900 was against
01:29:40.120 racism, and I
01:29:42.280 got accused of
01:29:42.860 being racist.
01:29:44.020 Now, so here's
01:29:45.880 the context.
01:29:46.440 So you look at
01:29:47.260 Dan Crenshaw, and
01:29:48.420 you see this
01:29:48.900 bullshit about
01:29:50.460 his investing.
01:29:52.140 Do you think
01:29:52.680 that's real?
01:29:54.200 You just heard
01:29:55.100 my resume.
01:29:56.600 All of the
01:29:57.520 claims against
01:29:59.780 me are fake.
01:30:00.520 We're out of
01:30:01.060 context to the
01:30:01.840 point that they're
01:30:02.360 reversed.
01:30:04.520 So I don't
01:30:05.240 know the truth
01:30:05.900 about the Dan
01:30:07.580 Crenshaw investment
01:30:08.420 stuff, but with
01:30:10.300 what I know, if I
01:30:12.140 had to place a
01:30:12.940 bet, especially
01:30:14.520 knowing that people
01:30:15.460 have been watching
01:30:16.080 his investments
01:30:16.880 really closely,
01:30:18.820 because this is
01:30:19.780 sort of an
01:30:20.880 evergreen thing
01:30:21.660 that they say
01:30:22.380 about him.
01:30:23.400 You don't have
01:30:24.320 one example.
01:30:25.620 You can't give
01:30:26.520 us one example
01:30:27.300 of a company
01:30:28.040 that he had
01:30:29.680 special knowledge
01:30:30.520 about, and that's
01:30:31.440 the reason he
01:30:31.960 made money, because
01:30:33.240 if you've got even
01:30:34.200 one example, you
01:30:36.060 better lead with
01:30:36.860 that.
01:30:38.260 How about he
01:30:39.800 made this
01:30:40.300 investment with
01:30:41.040 insider information
01:30:41.860 on this company,
01:30:42.680 and here's the
01:30:43.040 name of the
01:30:43.360 company, and that
01:30:44.480 caused him to
01:30:44.960 have a 40
01:30:45.360 percent gain.
01:30:46.220 You tell me
01:30:46.980 that, and you
01:30:47.500 have my
01:30:47.800 attention, then
01:30:49.180 I'm going to
01:30:49.440 say, oh, still
01:30:51.180 legal, completely
01:30:52.540 legal, but I'd
01:30:54.320 say, maybe we
01:30:55.940 should look at
01:30:56.340 changing that
01:30:56.840 law.
01:30:58.800 So just put it
01:31:00.240 in context.
01:31:01.500 Most stories, like
01:31:03.760 this one, the
01:31:05.820 investment one,
01:31:06.900 they don't play
01:31:08.140 out.
01:31:08.500 They're fake.
01:31:10.440 So again, I'm
01:31:11.300 not defending
01:31:11.960 Dan Crenshaw for
01:31:13.840 any other
01:31:14.540 opinions.
01:31:15.600 They might be
01:31:16.100 excellent, they
01:31:16.740 might not be, but
01:31:18.160 that's not my
01:31:20.480 topic today.
01:31:21.560 Thank you for
01:31:22.180 watching, ladies 0.99
01:31:23.400 and gentlemen.
01:31:24.840 You continue to
01:31:25.960 be the thing that
01:31:26.600 keeps me alive,
01:31:27.600 because I love
01:31:28.740 connecting with
01:31:30.260 all of you in
01:31:31.420 real time.
01:31:32.640 All right, I'm
01:31:33.340 going to say hi
01:31:33.920 to the locals
01:31:34.780 people, and
01:31:35.700 everybody else.
01:31:36.880 Have a terrific
01:31:37.920 day as best you
01:31:39.100 can, unless you're
01:31:39.840 in Southern
01:31:40.220 California, and
01:31:41.020 then we'll see
01:31:41.860 what we can do
01:31:42.440 for you.
01:31:43.640 And locals, I'm
01:31:44.900 coming at you
01:31:45.540 privately in 30
01:31:47.300 seconds.
01:32:11.020 you
01:32:41.020 Thank you.
01:33:11.020 Thank you.
01:33:41.020 Thank you.
01:34:11.020 Thank you.
01:34:41.020 Thank you.
01:35:11.020 Thank you.
01:35:41.020 Thank you.
01:36:11.020 Thank you.
01:36:41.020 Thank you.
01:37:11.020 Thank you.
01:37:41.020 Thank you.
01:38:11.020 Thank you.
01:38:41.020 Thank you.
01:39:11.020 Thank you.
01:39:41.020 Thank you.
01:40:11.020 Thank you.
01:40:41.020 Thank you.
01:41:11.020 Thank you.
01:41:41.020 Thank you.
01:42:11.020 Thank you.