Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2716 CWSA 01⧸10⧸25

00:00:00.000 Just perfect.

00:00:04.300 Oh, I need some notes. Hold on.

00:00:18.240 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:24.860 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm fairly confident you've never had a better time.

00:00:30.100 But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:00:36.680 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass of tanker chalice, a tiny canteen jar, a glass of acylvetic iron.

00:00:41.800 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:44.260 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:47.300 The thing that makes everything better. It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:51.540 Go.

00:00:54.860 Ah, delightful.

00:00:59.560 I feel connected to you all through the invisible umbilical cord of the coffee cup.

00:01:08.080 Well, give me an update in the comments if something happens while I'm talking,

00:01:12.380 because I think Trump is supposedly, let's see, he's going to be talking to Judge Mershon today.

00:01:20.480 Um, so there will be sentencing.

00:01:24.460 Is it, he's, he's doing it over Zoom, right?

00:01:26.740 He's not going in person.

00:01:28.340 I don't know. I'm not sure yet, but I think he's not going in person.

00:01:32.260 And Judge Mershon has already indicated he's going to do some kind of, uh,

00:01:37.500 unconditional discharge, meaning that he'll be guilty of a felony, but won't go to jail.

00:01:43.040 Uh, and no matter, yeah, and no matter what the sentence is, they plan to appeal.

00:01:51.020 So Trump will be officially a felon, maybe, but then it's on appeal.

00:01:57.020 So my question to you, dear legal experts, is if your case is approved for appeal,

00:02:06.660 are you still a felon?

00:02:09.840 Because it's not guaranteed you're a felon if your appeal is going through, right?

00:02:14.720 So I feel like you'd say, it's, you're, you're conditionally possibly a felon, just like before.

00:02:22.040 So if the legal process has not come to an end, I would say, hmm, seems to me that the legal process

00:02:29.180 is still cooking along. Why, why would you say he's a felon? I don't understand what you're saying.

00:02:34.660 So the process is still going forward. It could end with him being a felon or not a felon.

00:02:40.360 So why are you saying he's a felon? He should be innocent until the appeals process is over.

00:02:46.520 Now they don't say that, but I do, right? It'd be one thing if you said,

00:02:51.840 I'm going to appeal, but given that we could be reasonably confident the appeal will be accepted

00:02:57.500 at least to be processed, how is that guilty? How does that make him a felon? In what world,

00:03:05.140 in what world would I consider him a felon if he's in the legal process? And it's likely,

00:03:10.740 and here's what makes it interesting. I think the experts say the case was so flawed

00:03:16.640 that it's far more likely it will be overturned than upheld. Isn't that true? So can you be called

00:03:25.860 a felon if the process is still going and all the smart people think it will end with you not being

00:03:31.620 a felon? How do you call that a felon? It's like they don't understand the process.

00:03:36.420 We'll see. Meanwhile, New York court is removing the corrupt judge. We call him corrupt. This is

00:03:47.680 Laura Loomer's reporting. And remove the corrupt judge, Arthur Angorian, from Trump's other case,

00:03:56.160 the civil fraud case. And Laura Loomer reminds you that she exclusively broke the story about

00:04:06.180 Judge Angorian's bias and how his wife was posting memes about Trump. And apparently that worked. 0.82

00:04:15.660 So Laura Loomer gets the big win. She's got a blue check back. I don't know what the current

00:04:21.080 situation is with her freedom of speech, but she got a big win and she's got a blue check

00:04:26.360 and she's getting the credit today. Good job, Laura Loomer.

00:04:33.500 We'll of course talk about the fire, but like I need a little bit of palate cleansing. You know,

00:04:40.300 if you live in California, even if you're not in the center of the burn area, you're thinking about

00:04:46.140 it all day long and you're probably doing something about it too. So we're pretty exhausted.

00:04:51.080 in the state and it's just the beginning of the process. So forgive me if I'm a little obsessed

00:04:57.200 by it, but when it hits you locally, it's hard not to be. So Trump says on day one-ish,

00:05:07.320 after he's sworn in, he's going to share information about the drones. And he does say that the government

00:05:13.480 knows. It sounds like maybe he doesn't know, or maybe it's been whispered that the government

00:05:20.100 knows it's their stuff. It's one of those, but I would expect it to be something like the government

00:05:26.940 was doing a little testing or something, probably something like that, or maybe just surveilling

00:05:32.360 things. Here's what I don't expect. I do not expect that on day two or whatever, Trump will say,

00:05:40.220 all right, here's the secret of the drones. We've been allowing Chinese drones to surveil our sensitive

00:05:46.540 sites. Do you think he's going to announce that? Even if it's true, even if it's true,

00:05:53.580 do you think he would tell you? I hope not. I think he would take care of it and keep it as a military

00:06:03.500 secret if there was a way to do that. But I think he's getting a little bit ahead of himself

00:06:08.380 that he would necessarily tell us no matter what the answer is. So we'll see. I think he means it.

00:06:17.100 I just don't know he'll be able to deliver. Victor Davis Hanson summed up the LA problem as a total

00:06:26.080 systems breakdown. Now, a system breakdown. Do you think that LA was operating as a systems being more

00:06:35.400 important than goals entity? Or do you think that they seem to have goals without systems that

00:06:43.600 supported them? So they had goals for diversity. They had goals for the environment, right? They had

00:06:52.460 goals for saving the smelt. They had goals for protecting the water and the oceans. Lots of goals.

00:06:59.360 But as I've been teaching you for a long time, systems are what you need because goals can't be

00:07:09.580 supported without a system. So it's a system that's the important part. And as Victor Davis Hanson points

00:07:15.340 out that the water storage system was bad, the forest management was bad, handling the insurance

00:07:21.860 industry was bad. And he mentions the DEI hierarchy of the leadership. And he calls it a DEI Green New

00:07:29.940 Deal hydrogen bomb. Like a perfect, a perfect system collapse because every part of the system kind of

00:07:39.280 collapsed. Now, do you think it's fair in this case? Now, I've been, I've been railing against the people

00:07:48.500 who say, as soon as there's a problem, you know, you look at the people in charge and if you see

00:07:54.220 there are a certain demographic, the people on the right say, oh, DEI, DEI. And I try to caution you,

00:08:01.900 that's not proof of DEI being a problem. All you can know for sure is that, you know, DEI was a big

00:08:09.160 influence over hiring. You can't know that that's the problem. However, if you do a little research into

00:08:16.820 the people involved, it might give you some insight. It might. For example, Karen Bass, did you know

00:08:24.160 that when she was in the seventies, she used to travel to Cuba with, to work with something called

00:08:31.080 the Venceremos Brigade, which was a group that organized annual trips to Cuba for young leftist

00:08:38.180 Americans for many years. Do you know why Cuba would host leftists to come do some awesome things 0.85

00:08:46.900 in Cuba, which was just building stuff, I guess? Why would they do that? It's to brainwash them 0.99

00:08:53.340 against the United States, but gently, you know, just brainwash them that maybe the socialist way is

00:09:00.180 better. And then they'll come back to the United States and destroy it or convert it. So she was

00:09:05.500 actually part of a brainwashing operation. And let me be very clear, a brainwashing operation by Cuba. 0.87

00:09:13.560 You bring young people in and you give them this one experience that's very artificial from, you know, 0.99

00:09:20.320 the general Cuban experience and everything's great. And look, we'll just show you the things we want.

00:09:25.980 Did you know the United States is evil? She is unquestionably a brainwash victim. That's not even 0.99

00:09:36.260 in debate. If she went there multiple times and was part of a group that was by design a bunch of

00:09:43.200 brainwash victims. How did she unbrainwash herself? I don't believe there's a process for that. 0.99

00:09:50.320 If she was brainwashed, it's still in her. You can't undo that. So do you think that if people were

00:09:58.380 well aware of that, that she would have been in charge of the city, the mayor? No, this one does look

00:10:04.740 like a DEI hire problem, doesn't it? It looks like nobody in their right mind would have hired her for

00:10:10.700 her background and qualifications, but maybe it was a, you know, DEI related, want to have a diversity

00:10:19.780 mayor. So I would say you can't say that DEI broke anything, but you could say that that one mayor

00:10:27.340 probably only has her job because people either didn't understand or voted dumb. 1.00

00:10:33.220 You know, maybe it's the public's, it could be the public's fault. The public just picked the wrong 0.98

00:10:37.540 person, but at least, uh, she's got a, uh, a strong deputy mayor. So you can't say it's not like one

00:10:45.100 person, right? That often the, the next level down or doing the real decision-making and stuff.

00:10:50.980 So next level down, you get the Los Angeles deputy mayor. So at least he's strong.

00:10:56.480 Oh wait, he's under investigation for allegedly calling in a bomb threat to city hall.

00:11:01.620 Well, the FBI raided his home recently and, uh, he's placed on leave. Okay. He's, he's a black man,

00:11:09.080 but that is a coincidence and not, you can't say that that's DEI related. This is one person,

00:11:14.540 one person who's acting badly now, but at least, at least in the fire department,

00:11:22.920 you know, you don't have so much of a DEI problem, right? Um, well, I mean the head of the fire

00:11:30.620 department is a lesbian, but you know, nobody's saying that lesbians can't do fire department 1.00

00:11:36.800 jobs and, you know, she's got tons of experiences relevant. So if you're, if you're going to say,

00:11:42.180 oh, she's only there because she's a lesbian, that would ignore all of her many, many years of 1.00

00:11:47.720 very relevant experience. And as luck would have it, uh, the, the person just below her,

00:11:56.580 I think, uh, would be the assistant chief. Well, no, they're lesbian, two lesbians at the top, 1.00

00:12:02.560 but I think that you could call that a coincidence. Um, yeah, there are plenty of lesbians. It's not 1.00

00:12:08.900 like a biggest coincidence in the world that two of them would be the number one and number two.

00:12:14.560 Let's look at the third in line. Let's see. I don't know if it's third in line, but the,

00:12:18.420 the equity chief, well, lesbian, the lesbian. So you got three lesbians in, uh, executive positions, 1.00

00:12:26.340 but I, I warn you that, you know, if you're thinking there's a problem with lesbians 1.00

00:12:31.360 because of these three, no, that doesn't follow. It doesn't follow that there's some other lesbian 1.00

00:12:37.160 who isn't the best person to be the chief of police or the chief of the fire department. 0.84

00:12:41.980 So this is sticky stuff. If you're just assuming that somebody who's a DEI hire and therefore

00:12:48.660 they're bad, that's not fair. It's also the situation we find ourselves in because DEI is

00:12:56.360 pushed so hard that we assume it's creating problems. We just, it's unfair to point to any

00:13:03.120 specific individual. And I point out that Gavin Newsom is the least diverse governor you could ever

00:13:10.280 imagine. And he's being criticized as much or more than any of the other people I just mentioned.

00:13:17.200 So what do we have? We got, uh, we got some, uh, black leaders who seem to be terrible. We've got 1.00

00:13:24.280 some lesbian leaders who I don't really know if they're being terrible or they, they don't have 1.00

00:13:29.860 water, which is somebody else's job. So I'm not going to say the fire department's doing a terrible job.

00:13:35.080 Does anybody even say that? I'm not even sure that the fire department has been criticized,

00:13:41.000 have they? I don't think I've seen any criticism of the fire department. So I would, I would say the

00:13:46.960 lesbians are clear, but you have to ask yourself, what a big coincidence. You know, they got a lot of 1.00

00:13:52.960 lesbian representatives there. And then you look at, uh, Newsom who is not diverse at all and he's a 0.96

00:13:58.440 total disaster. You can't blame DEI on, you know, for that. Right. So let me say again, I don't see

00:14:06.840 the, the fingerprint that DEI caused this. It's just that, you know, the DEI will cause this.

00:14:14.240 Whether it caused this one, that's hard to say, but will it cause another one? Of course. Yeah.

00:14:20.860 Will it cause the complete destruction of another city? Guaranteed. It's built into the system.

00:14:26.080 Remember Victor Davis Hanson says it's a system collapse. DEI guarantees system collapse because

00:14:35.200 it guarantees that instead of merit and experience, you can look for, you know, demographics and

00:14:41.060 identity. So that little change just by itself is certainly enough to destroy an entire city if you

00:14:47.200 let, just let it run forward. But we should not, uh, we should not allow ourselves to assume that any

00:14:53.640 individual is a DEI hire, you'd really have to do some deeper dive. And we don't often have that

00:15:01.740 level of information from the outside. Tom Ellsworth was on the PBD podcast. He was saying that the reason

00:15:09.800 State Farm pulled out, um, from the state and is no longer offering fire insurance is that, uh,

00:15:19.000 they pulled out because the county of LA and the city of LA had suspended brush removal in Palisades.

00:15:35.160 Really? Really? It is the connection to the incompetence of the city. Is it that clean?

00:15:43.640 I thought this was going to be a little messier where you, where you couldn't really tell who was

00:15:49.000 responsible for what, but seriously, they, they canceled the brush removal and that caused the

00:15:55.640 insurance companies to pull out and they didn't immediately remove the brush and say, Oh, hold on.

00:16:01.240 We will remove the brush. Just give us a month. Nothing like that. The, the level of incompetence

00:16:07.880 system-wise or individuals, I don't know. It's astounding. Now, of course, remember,

00:16:15.160 here's something to remember today. We're still in the fog of war. We're still getting all kinds of

00:16:20.920 news that isn't real. So I, you know, I think it's, I think it's real, but no, no. So far,

00:16:31.000 the fire has destroyed 29,000 acres. Would you like a estimate of how big that is? That's,

00:16:37.880 two Manhattan islands. Manhattan is 14,000 square, 14,000 acres. This fire has already,

00:16:50.360 and still burning already destroyed two Manhattans. So if, if you're not getting the scale of this,

00:16:59.480 imagine all of Manhattan gone and then another one, all of it gone and it's still going.

00:17:08.280 So if you, if you hadn't quite understood the scale of it, that's it. We're talking about $57

00:17:14.040 billion in economic damage. If you want to put that in perspective, uh, the, the entire tax revenue

00:17:20.200 of California in the recent year was 215 billion. Do you think you can lay that 15, seven bill 57

00:17:28.760 billion on top of, I mean, obviously the government's going to be constrained in what it can do to help

00:17:35.080 people? I mean, a lot of them are uninsured. Uh, Biden did say that the federal government

00:17:40.440 was going to help for 180 days in the recovery, but that's only the cleanup and the salaries of the

00:17:45.720 recovery people, you know, and the crews that are working at. Um, and I think removal of the,

00:17:52.600 you know, the burned debris. No, those are very important. So we're, we're very happy to have that

00:17:57.400 help, but it's not going to help anybody buy a house or build a house. Ontario. The wait is over.

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00:19:01.960 Mel Gibson tragically was on the, he was, while he was doing the Joe Rogan podcast, while he was filming

00:19:09.740 it, uh, his own $14.5 million Malibu mansion burned down. Now I know you're not feeling sorry for him

00:19:17.880 because his net worth is, I don't know, hundreds of millions or something, but, uh, it's your house.

00:19:26.120 It's your house. You know, no, no way you're going to feel good about that. So I feel terrible. One of

00:19:34.440 the things that Mel Gibson said when he was on the Joe Rogan is that he had three friends who were cured

00:19:39.240 of cancer with ivermectin and fenbendazole. And then the internet is saying, whoa, you know,

00:19:45.800 there are other claims and other claims and other claims. And now they're pretty convinced

00:19:50.840 that ivermectin and fenbendazole are cures for at least some kinds of cancers.

00:19:56.920 Here's what you need to know. Remember when I tell you that, uh, an anonymous

00:20:02.520 source, if you have one anonymous source, how much credibility would that be? The answer is zero

00:20:10.600 in politics. So that's a different domain in politics. One anonymous source is usually just a

00:20:16.360 made up lie. What if you have multiple sources? What if you had three and they basically said something

00:20:23.560 that sounded the same? Three anonymous sources. Now, is that credible? No, no. It's completely

00:20:32.200 non-credible. Anonymous sources, always non-credible. Suppose you knew the name of the source,

00:20:40.120 but you hadn't had any contact with them. So you couldn't ask any questions. You couldn't do a deep

00:20:44.600 dive, but you knew the name and somebody else had told you the claim. You didn't even hear it from the

00:20:51.240 person. Is that credible? No, no. That's zero credibility. Is there a reason that we do clinical

00:20:59.320 trials instead of watching what three people said as reported by another person? No, no. There's a

00:21:06.680 reason we do the clinical trials because that has no evidentiary value, none. So I'm going to cause some

00:21:13.720 trouble today. So I said, I don't think it's true. I'm going to be attacked all day long by people who

00:21:20.040 say, Scott, you fool. Don't you know that big doctor or big pharma is just trying to sell their 0.99

00:21:29.320 cures and they don't want you to know that ivermectin and fentanylbenazole is literally

00:21:34.040 curing. The claims are that people with stage four cancer are cured, not just help them, completely

00:21:40.440 cleared. And so I asked this. Let's talk to one of them. Just one. Show me one live human being

00:21:50.040 who says something like, I had an incurable cancer and I'm now completely clear. Here's my test results.

00:22:01.960 I'm sitting next to my doctor. My doctor can confirm that I am completely clear of a cancer

00:22:09.080 that was incurable. Now, what happens if you talk to them and they say, well, it wasn't an incurable

00:22:15.080 cancer and the other complementary things we were doing have cured it before. But this person was stage

00:22:23.800 four and they added these other drugs and then they got cured. So we're saying it's the other drugs

00:22:29.160 they added to which I say, but they were on all the treatments that we know are cures.

00:22:35.640 So here's what I need. I need an incurable cancer, one that doesn't have any treatment as far as anybody

00:22:42.520 knows. And even if they combined it with these drugs, which is the claim that maybe the drugs

00:22:48.680 aren't working exactly alone, but there are also claims that they would work alone. And show me the

00:22:56.120 doctor, show me the patient and show me that it was incurable except for this intervention.

00:23:03.480 Then I'm going to get serious. I'm still going to say I need a clinical trial,

00:23:07.640 but at least you went from, you know, anonymous people being talked about by other people

00:23:13.480 to, well, these look like real people and their doctor says, and I'm looking at their chart.

00:23:18.520 Maybe yes. So I'd say we're, I'll see. New York Judge Mershon discharges Trump without imprisonment,

00:23:27.960 fine or probation. In the Stormy Daniels case, wishes him well in his second term.

00:23:34.760 Everything's different. All right. That was a little side conversation there. All right.

00:23:45.640 Uh, apparently there was a fake alert that went out to everybody's phone in LA County

00:23:51.560 saying that, uh, they needed to, um, get ready to evacuate. This turned out to be just a mistake.

00:23:59.400 The alert told people to gather loved ones, pets and supplies and get out of town. And, uh, it happened

00:24:06.280 when people were the most frightened and thought it could be coming for them. And it was fake,

00:24:13.320 meaning it was an accident. So remember that Richard Davis Hanson analysis, that it was a total system

00:24:22.920 breakdown. Well, here it is again. They didn't even have a system to make sure that fake emergency

00:24:30.280 alerts didn't go out in the middle of an emergency. That's the level of incompetence it would take to

00:24:37.880 get there. It was pretty extraordinary, but the incompetence is probably the system. Like I don't

00:24:43.240 think it's necessarily that one person may push the wrong button. It could be, but why is that the

00:24:48.360 system? Why, why is one person allowed to push that button? You know, it seems like at least a few

00:24:53.640 people should be standing around when the button gets pushed to make sure that that's the intention.

00:24:58.440 I don't know, get a better system. Elon Musk donated a bunch of Starlinks in LA.

00:25:04.360 And, uh, this is cool. Apparently T-Mobile customers were having trouble, um, because

00:25:10.040 probably the towers got burned or something. Um, but now Musk very quickly tied T-Mobile into

00:25:16.440 Starlink and you can text. So if you're on T-Mobile and you suddenly can text, you can't make a phone

00:25:24.040 call, but you can text. That's because of Elon Musk. Without Elon Musk, everybody with T-Mobile would be

00:25:31.960 completely cut off during an emergency. I mean, it looks like they have been for some time, but

00:25:38.200 this is gigantic. Like the, the level that Elon Musk can contribute to a Ukraine war or a, or an

00:25:46.200 emergency now twice, I guess, several times, I think it's extraordinary. So just congratulations on that.

00:25:53.960 Meanwhile, the California national guard is moving in. We've seen out-of-state police moving in. So the

00:25:59.880 fires have turned into an organized crime and unorganized crime problem. The looters are

00:26:07.000 organized. There are lots of them and it gets worse. Now this is fog of war stuff, but it's what's

00:26:13.240 being reported. Could be, could be overblown, could be underblown. I don't know that, uh, some of the bad

00:26:19.000 guys and they seem to be from a migrant community. Um, and again, that's speculative. Um,

00:26:28.520 they seem to be setting fires to increase the number of places that they have to loot.

00:26:35.240 Because if they can get you to evacuate while they're there, they can get the good stuff before

00:26:41.000 any houses burned down. Now that's just about the most evil crime you can imagine.

00:26:46.840 Sending somebody's house on fire so you can rob it. The, the level of evil in that is hard to imagine.

00:26:53.800 There was, however, one poor individual, a criminal who had a little, uh, blow torch and he was trying to

00:27:00.120 allegedly set something on fire, presumably for that purpose. We don't know what he was thinking, but

00:27:05.480 he looked like he was doing it probably as part of that gang burning down homes. And he got spotted

00:27:12.760 by some of the locals. The locals sent their men out. I saw the video of it. And yeah, you might be

00:27:20.600 surprised that none of the women came to help, which is good. I didn't want them to. But if you want to 0.99

00:27:28.760 have like a little glimmer, just a little glimmer of hope, you watch the video of the maybe half a

00:27:37.480 dozen men who confront this guy who's still got the torch. One of the men is armed, but he doesn't,

00:27:44.280 he doesn't point it at him. He just has it ready in case he needs it. Warns him to stand down.

00:27:49.880 The other men surround the situation and they take him out. Now, I mean, they, they took him to the

00:27:55.160 ground and handcuffed him and waited, waited for the police and watching, watching those men

00:28:01.800 not have any back down in them. There was no back down that they were going to take him out

00:28:07.320 one way or another. They were going to shoot him. They were going to kill him if they had to, 0.98

00:28:11.240 preferably they would capture him and he had them to police so we could know more

00:28:15.080 about whatever he's up to. And that's what they did. But I'm pretty sure if their only choice had been to,

00:28:21.800 you know, do worse, they would have taken the only choice. Because I don't think that

00:28:28.120 guy was going to walk out of that neighborhood. And things are getting really dicey. So when there

00:28:34.200 is something that looks to residents like a complete breakdown of the social order, and by the way,

00:28:39.880 I'll probably get demonetized on YouTube again. I got demonetized yesterday. I got demonetized

00:28:45.960 for, I don't know what, but my best guess is suggesting that, you know, there, there's a

00:28:52.440 danger that's approaching with, uh, with this kind of behavior. So I don't know exactly what it is.

00:28:57.800 I'm probably demonetized again, just for this conversation. Um, Newsom says, uh, there'll be

00:29:04.280 80,000 of these national guards. Um, I saw Joel Pollack who lives in that area whose house seems to have

00:29:12.760 survived. We don't know if it's, um, habitable, but, um, he notes that there are more pro-Second

00:29:20.520 Amendment people in the Pacific Palisades than the bad guys might expect. So if the bad guys are

00:29:27.080 expecting a bunch of, you know, anti-gun people that they can easily handle, uh, they should be warned

00:29:34.840 that there's some serious personal protection in that area. So people have the assets to protect

00:29:43.000 themselves. So I don't know where it's heading, but it does look like a complete breakdown of,

00:29:48.520 of order. Um...

00:29:56.280 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:30:00.840 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages. Conditions apply. Scotiabank. You're

00:30:07.000 richer than you think.

00:30:09.720 Let's see.

00:30:10.200 Uh, so you know that there's still a lot of talk about whether climate change is a small cause or

00:30:19.960 the cause or no cause, or, you know, is that just being political? And I wanted to give you a frame

00:30:27.960 for understanding the climate change issue and one that you haven't seen before. And it can explain a

00:30:34.120 little bit why the, the two sides can't really talk. You know, the, the, yes, I believe climate

00:30:40.600 change is an immediate crisis versus the people, Elon Musk would be on the other side, which is

00:30:46.280 climate change could be real in terms of the climate might be changing, but it's going to be slower than,

00:30:52.920 you know, the, the alarmist believe. Um, so why can't they have a productive conversation

00:30:59.640 and like figure out what's really true? And I'll give you my take on that.

00:31:04.440 Sort of the hypnotist take.

00:31:10.120 So if you can see my whiteboard, let me adjust it a little bit.

00:31:18.120 So I just made this up. I call it the climate awareness chart.

00:31:21.560 So the highest level of awareness is at the top, but we'll get there. We're going to start at the bottom.

00:31:25.960 Yeah. Let's see.

00:31:31.480 There we go. At the bottom level of awareness. And this is where I used to be as a young man.

00:31:37.240 Uh, I would hear that 98, 99% of scientists were on the same side and I'd say, well, I'm done.

00:31:45.320 There's not, there's nothing else I need to know. Right. I love science. Science is the best way to

00:31:51.080 find the truth. It's imperfect. It's imperfect, but you know, it's, it's the best we have.

00:31:57.640 So you tell me 99% of scientists have been looking into it deeply and they're all on the

00:32:02.200 same side. I'm convinced. And I was, I was convinced. Now I would say that level of awareness

00:32:08.280 is roughly equivalent to the people who say, uh, how can they predict the climate when they

00:32:14.920 can't even predict the weather. And I don't believe in climate change because it's cold outside.

00:32:21.800 Right. So one is believing it. One is not believing climate change, but this is, these are both the

00:32:27.560 lowest level of understanding. And I've been at this level. I've been there. If you go up a little

00:32:33.480 higher, let's say you decide, huh, I'm seeing two sides of this. I'm just going to look into it.

00:32:39.240 So you look at, you do a deep dive. Maybe you see Al Gore's documentary. Uh, maybe you read

00:32:47.480 the most official statements from the biggest scientists. And when you're done with that,

00:32:52.600 you're going to say, okay, okay. I can see whether 99% of scientists are saying it because I've done my

00:32:58.480 own research. And yeah, I mean, it's, it's like guaranteed climate change, the crisis, because you

00:33:04.600 did your own research. And then there are also people who do a deep dive on the skeptic side.

00:33:13.120 So maybe they never believed the 99% of scientists or didn't want to believe it. So they did their

00:33:18.800 deep dive on the other side. So they only looked at the skeptics arguments. Both of them would be

00:33:25.920 completely deluded by this process. It doesn't matter which one you're looking at. If you're looking

00:33:30.400 at either the, yes, it's a crisis or no, it's not, they both have the documentary effect,

00:33:36.000 which is if you look at one argument and you see a lot on that one argument, you will be convinced

00:33:42.460 beyond any doubt. You will be a hundred percent convinced. And that has nothing to do with whether

00:33:48.880 the thing you're looking for, looking at is true or not. Completely unrelated to the underlying truth

00:33:55.940 is a guarantee that if you see one argument and it's really well developed and you spend hours on

00:34:02.100 it, you'll believe it every time. And you can see that it's the same, no matter whether you believe

00:34:07.160 the skeptics or you believe the claims still completely believable, still absolutely no

00:34:13.600 evidentiary value, no evidentiary value because documentaries are always convincing even when they're

00:34:22.120 not true. So the only thing you would know when you're done with this process is that you're

00:34:26.680 convinced. That's nothing. You're going to be convinced even if you saw the other side.

00:34:33.900 You'd be convinced and that's nothing too. These are both nothings. Let's go up a level. Let's say

00:34:40.980 you get to the point where you did a deep dive on both sides, which I find relatively rare. I'm not sure

00:34:47.680 I've seen anybody who's done it. I've tried to do it. So I've spent a lot of time. I've looked at the

00:34:53.200 claims. I've looked at the debunk to the claims. And then I've looked at the debunk to the debunk

00:35:00.560 of the claims. If you haven't done all three, you haven't done anything. You've done nothing.

00:35:08.380 Because if you look at the claim, you're going to say, well, that looks pretty true. And then you look

00:35:12.740 at the debunk to the claim. You're like, whoa, I didn't see that. Oh, I didn't know about how they

00:35:16.580 measure that. Whoa. Yeah. The debunk looks totally convincing. If you're done, you're not done

00:35:23.920 because you've got to circle back and see what happens to the people who made the original claim

00:35:29.320 when they were faced with the debunk. And then they come back and say, but the debunk is debunked.

00:35:36.420 And here's why. And you read that, you go, yeah, that's a pretty good argument.

00:35:39.660 So the problem is that if you do a deep dive on both sides, you're going to find they're both

00:35:46.820 convincing and both not convincing. And you won't know.

00:35:55.000 At the highest level are people who understand that all data that matters is fake and that all

00:36:02.560 projection models are fake and that it has nothing to do with climate change. These are universal

00:36:09.380 truths. If I were talking about, let's say, the data for jobs in America, you think that's real?

00:36:18.500 No. How about the history? Do you think our history books are based on what's real or

00:36:24.100 what was allowed to be written? It's not real. Do you think, do you think, do you think there's

00:36:32.880 anything that's important and scale like big and it matters that's real? No, because our systems

00:36:40.240 don't allow that. Whoever's in charge of the data is going to have so much power that somebody is going

00:36:46.980 to distort them with a bribe or, you know, when you get to the point where it really, really matters,

00:36:52.840 it's 100% fake. Or it's 100% sure that you won't tell the difference because, you know, the fakes

00:37:00.780 will be so good that you think they're real. And the reason I know the prediction models are fake

00:37:07.000 is that everybody who's worked in this field, including me, now I didn't work in climate, but I

00:37:12.300 did projection models for a living, financial ones. They all know that the projection model is based on

00:37:18.560 the assumptions you put into it. It's not the data. So if you're way down here at the lowest level,

00:37:25.500 you think that the projection models are reasonable because 99% of the scientists said,

00:37:30.920 yeah, these are real. But you'll never learn that they can make those models anything they want

00:37:36.380 just by changing the assumptions without even changing the data. And then they can say, well,

00:37:41.800 this data is bad. So we're going to put in a, you know, a little adjustment to it. What's that?

00:37:48.520 It's not science. It's just adjusting it. So it comes into the same range that people expect it to

00:37:54.360 come into. So in our current world, 99% of the people being on one side has no evidentiary value.

00:38:05.560 How many of you would agree with that statement? 99% of scientists agree doesn't have any evidentiary

00:38:13.020 value. Now, that's not true. If you're talking about something simple, like, you know, does gravity

00:38:19.740 apply everywhere on earth? Right? 100% of scientists would say yes. Maybe right. So I'm not talking about

00:38:28.180 like one variable things. I'm talking about this big, complicated, hard to understand things where

00:38:34.000 there are people on both sides and the variables are changing. And every day we have a new variable

00:38:38.860 that should have been in models, but wasn't. It's like, oh, we just found out the ocean,

00:38:43.680 you know, can absorb way more than we thought. Well, was that in the model? We just found a new

00:38:50.060 technology that can allow us to produce things without the pollution. Was that in the model? Did you

00:38:56.980 know they were going to invent something? So the models are 100% unreliable. And if you believe that

00:39:05.420 because the scientists told you the reliable they are, you don't understand how money works. If you

00:39:10.900 understand how money works, you'll be with me up here that all the models are fake and the data is

00:39:16.840 either unreliable or fake. And that has to be true because the design of our economic system,

00:39:23.500 our economic system, and you could add the, you know, the fake news and the interest,

00:39:29.440 the interest groups, et cetera, they kind of guarantee that people will say it's true while

00:39:34.920 it isn't true. It's guaranteed that our system will be there. Now, here's a good test for you.

00:39:41.280 If you're talking to somebody and you're having some debates down here in the documentary effect level

00:39:47.220 where you've, you've both seen some stuff, but you saw different stuff and you were convinced

00:39:50.940 asked the person who thinks that there's, that the climate models are real to list three reasons

00:39:58.740 that the terrestrial thermometers might be imperfect. And if they can do it, then you'd have

00:40:07.640 a reasonable good idea that maybe they've at least seen both sides. If they don't know what you're

00:40:13.560 talking about and they insult you and call you a cretin and change the topic, it means they've never 0.83

00:40:19.860 looked into it. So here's what, if, if you can make a good argument that the climate change stuff is

00:40:28.380 real, here's what you should know. You should know what the heat island effect is. That's because the

00:40:36.820 thermometer stations were once away from the cities, but the cities grew and the heat from the city

00:40:41.860 is not really what the planet heat is. It would artificially change the thermometers. Would you know

00:40:47.840 that? Did you know that the little enclosures for the thermometers are in buildings that are painted,

00:40:54.940 usually painted white, and that when the paint fades, as it does, it can change the temperature

00:41:01.080 of the thermometer having nothing to do with the planet and everything to do with just the paint

00:41:06.200 faded. Did you know that? Did you know that if a thermometer breaks or is missing, sometimes they'll

00:41:14.060 just plug in a number of what they think it would have been. Did you know that? All right. So if you

00:41:20.520 can't list at least three reasons that you should doubt the terrestrial thermometers, oh, here's another

00:41:27.140 one. How much of the world are they measuring? And when you talk about the ocean, which would be a

00:41:32.800 different measurement technique, how much of the ocean is being measured? And isn't it true that the ocean

00:41:39.120 can store heat in different places that are unpredictable and in amounts that we don't

00:41:45.220 exactly know? So that if the temperature somewhere went up, maybe it went down somewhere, but that

00:41:50.460 down is in the ocean and nobody's looking at it. If you can't answer the questions, at least at that

00:41:56.200 level, that you know that these are issues, even if you don't know what the answer to the issue is,

00:42:00.900 you haven't looked into it. And if you believe that 99% of scientists being on one side has any

00:42:08.240 any credibility, I can't have a conversation with you. So here's my problem. I keep running into

00:42:15.780 people online who are operating at the lowest level of awareness, and they're pretty sure I'm the 1.00

00:42:21.900 biggest freaking idiot they've ever seen in their life. It's like, God, 99% of scientists, are you a 1.00

00:42:30.580 troglodyte? 99, Scott? Do you understand that 99 is almost 100? Do you understand? And I'm up here 0.90

00:42:40.400 saying, do you really think the news is real? You think the news is real? I can't have a conversation

00:42:48.840 with you if you think news is real. I can't have a conversation with you if you think the people

00:42:53.740 getting paid to say it's real are saying it's real and that means it's real. How do I have a

00:42:58.800 conversation with you? I can't. So I end up like sort of giving up because before you could have a

00:43:05.300 conversation on climate change, you'd have to start with how the entire system works, what the

00:43:10.680 economics are, how people lie, how every other system like this is clearly and demonstrably rigged.

00:43:16.940 And once I understood that everything of this type is rigged, everything, there's nothing where you

00:43:24.460 can't exactly tell and there are billions of dollars involved that isn't rigged. They're all

00:43:31.180 rigged. If somebody could make a lot of money from it and it's big and complicated and you'll never know

00:43:37.020 exactly what the truth is, that's all rigged. And there's probably never going to be an exception to

00:43:41.580 that. If you don't understand that, I can't have a conversation with you about climate change because

00:43:48.140 you're so lost. And again, I say I spent most of my early life at the bottom level of awareness

00:43:54.760 because I hadn't looked into it. And I thought 99% of scientists, they must be right.

00:44:01.600 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering,

00:44:07.320 is every fabulous item I see from Winners? Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:44:12.860 Are those from Winners? Ooh, are those beautiful gold earrings? Did she pay full price? Or that

00:44:18.760 leather tote? Or that cashmere sweater? Or those knee-high boots? That dress? That jacket? Those

00:44:23.820 shoes? Is anyone paying full price for anything? Stop wondering. Start winning. Winners. Find

00:44:30.640 fabulous for less. How many physicists do you believe told us that string theory was the future

00:44:41.280 of physics? I don't know the answer to that, but I'll bet most. I'll bet most said, yeah,

00:44:47.880 string theory, you know, it's not all worked out yet, but pretty sure this is going to give us

00:44:52.660 something like, you know, what civilization looks like or reality looks like. Did it? No, it didn't.

00:44:59.600 I would say that all the physicists probably just parroted the same thing, string theory,

00:45:05.620 string theory, and a lot of them were getting money. So they really were in favor of string

00:45:11.220 theory because they could get funded that way. So no, you should not believe anything that most of

00:45:17.020 the scientists believe is true, but it's hard to know. If it's hard to know, ah, scam.

00:45:24.900 In other news, the Supreme Court did a ruling on Title IX, and they're not going to say that trans

00:45:34.180 women are women in sports. So the court has made the distinction between your sex versus 1.00

00:45:41.980 your gender identity. You can call yourself anything you want. That's not an issue. It's just that the

00:45:47.320 state doesn't have to recognize it. So they don't have to recognize it as your sex. They may choose

00:45:53.760 to recognize that you have a gender preference, but they don't have to say, yes, you're a woman because 0.97

00:46:00.060 you say so. So a lot of people are happy about that. I'm sure people are unhappy about it, but

00:46:06.620 more people I think are happy. Fetterman, Senator Fetterman is going to Mar-a-Lago. I think he's the

00:46:15.040 first, well, it's kind of unusual. Now Fetterman, I know you're getting tired of me saying Fetterman's

00:46:22.040 kind of awesome, but he keeps doing smart things. And when I talk about Fetterman, it's not because I

00:46:27.120 love his Democrat preferences. It's because I like to evaluate the persuasion techniques

00:46:33.920 separate from whether I like what they're persuading. So Fetterman just keeps, he's hitting

00:46:42.100 line drives after line drive. I don't know if he's hitting home runs, but he's hitting line drive

00:46:47.520 after line drive in the persuasion communication realm. Very impressive. And here's what I love

00:46:53.800 about this. So Joe Manchin is retiring and Joe Manchin, I always, I always respected because he

00:47:00.640 did such a smart thing of being somebody who would be willing sometimes to vote on the other side from

00:47:05.880 his team. And when things are so close that that one vote makes all the difference, Joe Manchin was

00:47:12.540 the only one smart enough to say, wait a minute, all I have to do is, are you serious? I can run the

00:47:19.280 whole country if I'm just willing to consider voting either way, like you pay me to do. So if

00:47:26.000 I just do what you pay me to do, which is look at the topic and then decide which way I think it goes

00:47:31.620 independent of where the politics are, you will allow me to run the whole country. And all I have

00:47:37.420 to do is do the thing that you paid me to do, as opposed to all my coworkers who are doing the

00:47:41.880 opposite of what you're paying me to do. Huh? Am I missing something? But seriously, I have to ask

00:47:49.580 again. All I have to do to be in charge of the whole country is simply do what you're paying me to

00:47:55.740 do. Evaluate things on their merit, independent of politics. That's it. And that is it. And apparently

00:48:06.020 he's the only one who's smart enough to figure it out, who's not named Joe Manchin. So, I mean,

00:48:12.560 you could say Kyrsten Sinema was sort of in that same game, but she's, she's out of it too now,

00:48:18.620 right? So at the moment, the Senate is not swinging on, you know, one vote, but it could,

00:48:26.120 that could happen really quickly. You know, a couple of years from now, straight up tie,

00:48:32.520 Fetterman's in charge of the country. Virtually, right? Because he controlled Congress.

00:48:41.740 Anyway, Trump was saying at an outing that all the, he's getting everybody to come. He's got the

00:48:48.000 heads of the social media companies, the big banks are all coming to visit him. Fetterman's coming to

00:48:52.700 visit him. And he had some kind of quote, like, you know, maybe we're all changing. And he says that

00:48:59.480 the people are, who are coming to visit him from all walks are quite productive and positive,

00:49:06.220 meaning that they're there to get something done and they're not there to fight. And, and it's not,

00:49:13.000 you know, it's a bit, not about Trump's personality. They just think, can you do these things? Cause we

00:49:18.660 need to do these things. So that's all looking positive. A little golden agey.

00:49:24.260 Um, meanwhile, CNN has this, uh, I'm going to say a racist panelist. There's a black woman, 1.00

00:49:32.660 Jasmine Crockett, who's on their panel a lot. And she pointed out the other day, she was a little 0.79

00:49:38.680 debate with Scott Jennings, who's their conservative Republican kind of voice on the panel. And Jasmine

00:49:45.600 Crockett claimed that, uh, the most educated demographic in the country is black women. 1.00

00:49:51.000 Um, and, um, the conversation didn't go much further after that. So that, that claim just

00:49:58.560 sort of stayed there. Do you think it's true that the most educated demographic is black women?

00:50:07.800 It's almost true. It's actually almost true. It's not true. If you look at the entire population

00:50:14.380 of black women compared to the entire population of other demographic groups. So that, that felt like

00:50:20.660 that was the claim. And that's definitely not true. Is it my imagination or could you hear

00:50:27.500 a leaf blower right outside my window? You can hear that, right?

00:50:37.020 Anyway, um, that tells me what time it is. I think, um, here's what I believe is true,

00:50:42.960 but I'll take a fact check on it. Um, I've told you before that black women are killing it 1.00

00:50:47.620 in terms of careers and success. So I'm going to agree with Jasmine Crockett 0.99

00:50:53.660 sort of directionally, but she got the fact wrong. I think directionally, I believe it's true

00:51:00.260 that more black women are getting, uh, college degrees than white men and more than black men too.

00:51:07.640 Is that true? Uh, which would be impressive. Now it also presumably be, there would, there'd be a DEI

00:51:15.860 element to that. Meaning some people are getting recruited and some people are getting, you know,

00:51:21.240 maybe tuition paid and stuff like that. So that's a factor. I don't know how much of that is,

00:51:25.380 but you know, you don't want to, you don't want to throw out the baby with the bath water.

00:51:30.480 So on one hand, I think it's a completely racist and inaccurate claim that, uh, black women are the 0.81

00:51:36.660 most educated group in the country. I think that's just plain false, but I think what she was getting

00:51:41.700 at is true, which is a black women as a class at the moment, you know, the young ones who are getting 1.00

00:51:49.320 out of college and getting their first jobs and stuff, they are killing it. They are killing it. 0.99

00:51:54.020 So I like to give like full congratulations to any group that works hard and gets what they want.

00:52:01.000 So congratulations. I say the same thing about the LGBTQ, LGBTQ group. Um, I think they've really

00:52:11.700 killed it in terms of improving their overall situation. I I'm so impressed about how they've

00:52:18.500 changed their situation in a few decades. Very impressive. And black women, same thing. They are in 1.00

00:52:24.220 fact killing it, but they haven't overtaken the other groups yet because there's a lot to overtake.

00:52:28.700 A lot of work to do, but it's certainly racist to imagine that, uh, her group is the most educated. 0.75

00:52:35.380 Um, so if it's just a factual, factual thing, I don't think you'd, you know, I don't think a white 1.00

00:52:43.160 person could have said that. What if Scott Jennings said, you know, the white people are the most

00:52:49.040 educated in the country. Ouch. I don't know if that's true by the way, but he wouldn't be able to

00:52:55.620 say it, but she could say it and nobody challenged it, even though it wasn't true. So to me, that's

00:53:02.620 more racist than not, even though I support the general idea that black women are doing great 0.98

00:53:08.860 lately. All right. Uh, Elon says it's going to take years to rebuild LA. Um, when they try to get

00:53:17.940 permits, it's going to be a problem. And I put out the following statements about rebuilding that you

00:53:23.840 should know that, uh, I'm asking for a fact check. So I don't know which ones of these are true,

00:53:27.800 but this is my, this is my starting point. The starting point is that it can take years to get

00:53:35.280 anything approved in normal times. In normal times, it would take years to get things approved

00:53:40.960 in California. I know that from personal experience. So what would it take when everybody

00:53:47.780 like a hundred thousand people are trying to apply for things at the same time or whatever the number

00:53:53.080 is, how are they going to handle that? They don't have enough resources. So if it used to take more

00:54:00.700 than a year in normal times, how long is it going to take in abnormal times where everybody's trying

00:54:07.260 to do it and all the resources are constrained and nobody knows what they're talking about. And the

00:54:11.520 environmentalists are saying, no, you can't do that. And you can't even rebuild the environmentalists

00:54:17.560 will say, you can't even rebuild. You're too close to the ocean or there's a fish we didn't know about

00:54:22.320 before, but now we do, or there's a bird or something. So I think it could take five to 10 years

00:54:30.580 to rebuild a house five to 10 years. Now what happens to, uh, what, what do you think it would cost

00:54:40.740 to rebuild those homes? So if you had a home that was worth $5 million, what do you think it would

00:54:48.480 cost to rebuild it? And let's say it was, let's say it was, uh, insured for $5 million or it wasn't

00:54:56.260 insured at all. $5 million home. What would it cost to rebuild it? The answer is about 10 million.

00:55:03.980 If you're building a, let's say a community, like a big developer is doing a whole community,

00:55:09.460 then they can bring the cost of each unit down because they're, they're working in bulk and

00:55:14.700 they're, they're mass designed and there aren't that many different designs and stuff. So they can

00:55:19.660 build the house for, uh, cheaper than they sell it. That's how they make money. But if you're building

00:55:27.280 one house and you've, you know, you want the rooms that you want and it's on the hill and it's, you know,

00:55:32.780 first you have to do a big cleanup and all that stuff, it's going to cost closer to $10 million

00:55:40.180 to build a $5 million house. What happens to your property tax if you spend 10 million to build a

00:55:46.880 $5 million house? Well, I think that they would either, um, I I've heard that there's a rule

00:55:53.180 that if you're building back on the same footprint, so it's the same size as the one that was destroyed,

00:55:58.820 then you get to keep the old tax basis, the old lower tax basis. But if you wanted to make your

00:56:06.080 house while you're doing it, you're like, well, you know, this would be a good time to add that

00:56:11.720 spare room. As soon as you do that, your property tax will quadruple. You won't be able to afford to

00:56:19.980 live there. So they've created a situation where all these people get at least the good news,

00:56:24.900 if they can afford it. The good news was, Hey, those changes you wanted to make your house,

00:56:29.480 you can make them now because the house is gone. So, you know, design it the way you want,

00:56:33.920 but it will have to be the same footprint or their taxes will double or quadruple.

00:56:42.060 That's going to be a big problem. I think, um, then what happens when the fire risk returns,

00:56:51.220 because everything's going to regrow. And then the insurance companies either haven't come back or,

00:56:56.020 or they leave because, you know, nothing's going to burn while it's all rubble. But as soon as you

00:57:02.780 build and replant and all the, you know, the trees are behind you, do you think you could ever get

00:57:09.600 insurance? Would you rebuild if you didn't think you could ever get insurance? I wouldn't.

00:57:15.260 Why would you rebuild if you thought you could never get insurance? If, if you had kids and you

00:57:21.840 say to yourself, this is the best place in the world to raise kids, the kids are going to be out

00:57:28.640 of the house in five to 10 years, you know, depending on the age. If the kids are going to be out of the

00:57:33.580 house in five to 10, um, years, they're going to be living in a burned out rubble.

00:57:38.680 Most of that time that's the place you go because the lifestyle is amazing. The one thing I learned

00:57:46.560 about it, I didn't know anything about the place. The one thing I learned about it is apparently the

00:57:50.580 lifestyle there wasn't just good. Did you know that it wasn't just good? It was sort of like heaven.

00:57:59.240 When I hear people talk about it, it's like, Oh my God, it was just the best people, the best place,

00:58:05.280 the downtown, the businesses, everything was close. It was on the beach. It was just the best. It was

00:58:11.700 the temperature. So you didn't have the extreme hot because you're on the beach. Like, I don't know

00:58:17.720 if any of those reasons are going to apply because it's going to take so long to clean up. So I don't

00:58:23.040 know what that does. Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament. I've been visualizing my match

00:58:28.340 all week. She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her

00:58:33.640 backhand side. Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto

00:58:39.480 service centers in the country. Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her

00:58:43.900 way in a rental car in no time. I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round. But you

00:58:49.700 got there on time. Intact Insurance, your auto service ace. Certain conditions apply.

00:58:55.960 What happens when you go to get a builder and 50,000 people are ahead of you for the few builders?

00:59:01.400 How in the world are you going to get a qualified builder? Maybe they come from Man of State.

00:59:07.340 If you get a builder from Man of State, they're not going to know how to build in California.

00:59:11.460 And they would be crazy to come to California to start because the rules are too hard.

00:59:17.160 If you were a builder and somebody said, hey, come to California, you're going to say,

00:59:22.420 is that the only place I could be a builder? No, you could stay where you are and build things

00:59:27.540 more easily. But if I come to California, it's just going to be a hot mess every single thing I do.

00:59:33.480 And I won't even make a dollar because I can't even start. And when I do start, they're going to

00:59:37.900 stop me because there's going to be some fish there. Next thing I know, I can't possibly make

00:59:41.740 money. And then I have to learn this whole state weird stuff. The approvals are different than any other

00:59:46.180 place. I don't know where they're going to get the builders. So that has to add some years to the

00:59:53.140 rebuilding. And then you've got unchecked crime. Let me give you the worst case scenario. It could

01:00:00.540 be that the people who live there have enough, you know, male energy to stop this from happening.

01:00:06.820 We'll see. But what happens when, you know, things settle down? Most of the properties will be

01:00:13.240 abandoned, right? Because most are burned to the ground and they're going to be working on approvals.

01:00:17.900 And, you know, even the cleanup is going to take a long time. What happens then? Let me tell you.

01:00:23.860 I think the homeless are going to move in. They're going to put up a tent on what used to be your home.

01:00:29.980 They won't care so much about all the debris. They'll like the view and the temperature. And when

01:00:36.500 you go to kick them out, they'll say, well, sorry, I'm a squatter. I got squatter rights. And you're

01:00:43.340 going to say, you can have squatter rights on a tent on my own property. And then they say,

01:00:47.520 this is California. You can't move me. What happens then? And what happens when it's not

01:00:53.820 one, but the entire hillside is full of people who heard that they'll never be kicked out

01:00:58.520 and they could be living on the best property in the world, as long as they don't mind living

01:01:02.320 among the debris, which couldn't be any worse than what they were doing on the streets.

01:01:07.000 The thing I'd worry most about is the homeless coming in and putting on tents because California

01:01:13.380 doesn't remove homeless people in tents. I mean, rarely.

01:01:19.860 And then where are people going to live? And also people might worry that it becomes,

01:01:25.180 you know, a crime, you know, horrible crime place that they don't want to live in the first place.

01:01:30.320 I hope not. And where do people live while the rebuilding is happening?

01:01:35.120 How in the world are all of those, you know, a hundred thousand plus going to be able to live

01:01:41.560 close enough to LA that they have some kind of continuity in their life? You know, maybe even

01:01:47.260 close enough to the school, almost nobody, almost nobody will be close enough to the school they

01:01:52.760 were at. And I think some of them burned. So you're going to end up in a different school in a

01:01:57.620 different place. And now your kids go to that other school and they get used to it and they got

01:02:03.080 friends in the new school and five to 10 years are going by and they're 17 now. Do they want to move

01:02:10.760 back? I don't know. I feel like the fact that you can't stay local while it's being built and there's

01:02:17.900 nothing local that you used to like, it's all burned up. You're going to move further than it

01:02:23.600 would be comfortable to be the owner of something being rebuilt because you really need to visit the

01:02:28.920 site a lot. You know, if you've ever built a home, you kind of need to go there a lot.

01:02:34.380 I think people are going to assume they'll rebuild, but when they get settled somewhere else,

01:02:40.340 that won't be that close. Maybe the new life looks better than trying to go back.

01:02:47.400 So I think it's highly unpredictable. If you want the positive news on that,

01:02:52.460 it would be that the, it is like the best place on earth. You know, it's just one of the best places.

01:02:59.240 So if it's land, land, land, if that's the real estate rule, then it will be rebuilt.

01:03:05.100 And maybe we'll be surprised that California bends some rules, makes it easier to do.

01:03:11.840 Here's one thing they could do. They could say, you could put an ADU on your property right away

01:03:17.240 if it meets, you know, these minimum requirements. So these are the, the ADU stands for

01:03:23.520 additional dwelling unit. Is it additional dwelling unit? So that'd be like a little,

01:03:30.980 it'd be the size of a mobile home, but they're more like a regular home. And you could plop it on

01:03:36.900 the property if you have a backyard. And if you wanted to, you could live there, but even that's

01:03:44.120 going to take a long time. So there might be some fast approval of ADUs just so people want to be

01:03:49.500 close, can have some continuity and live near their friends. But I don't know how many people

01:03:53.820 would take that option. Meanwhile, the Pope is now the latest victim of what I call the Trump effect.

01:04:00.340 Well, other people call it that too. The Pope is railing on a January 9th speech. He's railing

01:04:05.420 against fake news, the continuous creation and spread of fake news. He said, distorts facts,

01:04:13.340 but also perceptions. So the Pope is going full MAGA, full MAGA, and he's against fake news.

01:04:26.880 Well, all I got to say is thank God all the religions agree with each other because I'd hate 0.99

01:04:32.900 for one of them to be spreading any fake news. But the Pope assures us he's got it under control.

01:04:38.580 Meanwhile, in interesting engineering, there's an article by Amman Tripathi. Apparently, there's a

01:04:47.660 U.S. firm in the nuclear business that wants to build a one-mile underground tunnel or hole. I'm

01:04:56.280 not sure if it's a tunnel or a hole to power data centers. So the reason they want to put the nuke in

01:05:03.320 the hole one mile down is if there's a problem, it's easier to contain. But if there's a problem,

01:05:10.400 it contains itself because it can't explode because it would be held up by the entire earth

01:05:17.840 would be the surround for it. So I don't know if that really works, but these aren't the biggest

01:05:23.860 reactors. They would be, I think, micro reactors, smaller reactors. And they would stick them in the

01:05:34.260 ground and then that would make a big difference. Some of the benefits are, let's see, robust

01:05:41.200 containment just because of the earth around it and continuous pressure. So that way you don't have

01:05:46.940 massive concrete structures. Oh, so it's much cheaper. So you don't have to build the whole structure

01:05:52.000 if you could make a good mile deep hole. And it minimizes the environmental impact.

01:06:02.100 And, you know, I've told you a number of times that holes are the future of energy and maybe of

01:06:07.400 other things. And I've said, if we can improve our technology for cheaply building holes and tunnels,

01:06:15.200 we're going to be able to have everything from geothermal to, you know, better mining to now nuclear

01:06:21.820 water. Of course, you could use it. What's the other thing? Geothermal is where you're looking

01:06:28.040 for the hot water under the earth to create power. But what's the one where you're just using the

01:06:34.140 temperature difference underground to either moderate the hotness or the coldness of your house above

01:06:41.180 ground? What's that called? But that's another reason to have, you know, good hole building

01:06:45.440 technology. Holes are the future. There's a hobbyist who built an AI assisted rifle robot

01:06:55.100 using chat GPT. And there's a video that went viral on TikTok, I guess. And it shows the inventor

01:07:04.340 with the robot. Now it's a tabletop robot. Wouldn't be too hard to attach it to a robot dog or something,

01:07:10.960 I guess. But it's just a rifle that can, you know, point anywhere in a moment. And he just talks to

01:07:16.900 it. He says, there's a threat, you know, on the left. And it just goes. So the one he's using doesn't

01:07:27.160 use real rounds. It's shooting something fake. But how far away are we from telling your robot

01:07:34.620 rifle dog to go attack the German front line? All right. Rifle dog. There's a bunch of Russian 1.00

01:07:43.000 soldiers two miles away in a trench. I want you to go there. And in the order, if you see anybody who

01:07:52.080 looks like an officer, shoot them first, you know, or something like that. And then that is sent it to 0.99

01:07:57.700 attack. But AI robot rifle dogs, they're coming. The CES show is highlighting all the big technical

01:08:08.260 breakthroughs. And so we're seeing news. At least two companies have built human robots that look

01:08:14.480 like real women. But one of them will build a real woman with the face of your choice. So I guess you 0.63

01:08:24.220 just give them a photograph of who you want it to look like, and they'll put an artificial skin face 0.99

01:08:29.600 on it that looks like the person you want. Now, at the moment, these robots are not impressive

01:08:35.620 because they just look like mannequins who happen to be able to talk. So it's not like you're going to

01:08:42.720 want to take that robot home, if you know what I mean. It's more of a suggestion of what's to come.

01:08:49.680 It's not there yet. But I have a prediction about what one year from now looks like,

01:08:55.140 because the robots will develop quickly. Here's a conversation between a married couple

01:09:00.460 one year from now. Human wife says to her husband, I want a divorce. Human husband says, 0.90

01:09:08.580 okay, can you pose for a photo first? Mic drop. All right. Ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have

01:09:20.520 to say. It's 8.07. Well, where I am. And did I miss anything? Any big stories that are happening?

01:09:30.400 All right. Let me get a good picture of you before you go. I'm going to upgrade. All right. All right,

01:09:42.940 ladies and gentlemen. I have some stories I think I'm going to save for later, but I got some good

01:09:55.200 ones. The Carter funeral. Yeah, I didn't talk about the Jimmy Carter funeral. So here's the

01:10:02.540 fascinating thing about the Jimmy Carter funeral. So of course, the ex-presidents are all invited.

01:10:08.620 So you had the Clintons. You had only Barack Obama. Michelle did not come. We're not sure why.

01:10:15.260 Um, and then, uh, you had the Harris's. So Kamala and her husband, and then I'm forgetting who else was

01:10:27.520 there. Um, but I was looking at all the people sitting up front and it turned to be, it was Trump

01:10:33.360 and all the people he's destroyed. It was Trump and all the people he's destroyed sitting to the

01:10:41.780 other chatting. Oh, Biden. Biden was the other one. So, so Biden, he destroyed, uh, the Clintons,

01:10:48.720 he destroyed, you know, via destroying Hillary. Um, Barack Obama destroyed. Michelle Obama couldn't

01:10:57.020 even come. So, and then the funny part is, um, he ends up sitting right next to Barack Obama,

01:11:04.820 Obama who just warned the world that Trump was Heller and that he, he, he called a neo-Nazis

01:11:12.120 fine people. And you see Obama and Trump chatting and joking with each other.

01:11:20.560 Nothing's real. Nothing's real. Oh, Pence, right. Mike Pence was there and Mike Pence was destroyed

01:11:27.340 by Trump as well. Uh, was there a Bush there? I don't know. I mean, the Bush, uh, the Bush

01:11:34.880 dynasty got destroyed, you know, not George Bush, but so yeah, it was quite amazing. It was,

01:11:42.780 it was Trump and all the people he'd destroyed. It was kind of amazing.

01:11:48.080 Um, all right. Uh, you know, I think Trump has a superpower in forgetting what people said about

01:12:01.900 him, not forgetting, he never forgets, but willingness to just work with you. If it makes

01:12:09.340 sense. I just love that. Uh, yeah. Trump owned the room. All right. All right. Uh, I'm going to

01:12:24.500 talk for a moment privately with the, uh, locals subscribers, the rest of you. I will see you

01:12:30.380 tomorrow for more fun and games. See you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 10, 2025

Episode 2716 CWSA 01⧸10⧸25

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