Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 10, 2025


Episode 2716 CWSA 01⧸10⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 12 minutes

Words per Minute

158.44077

Word Count

11,500

Sentence Count

757

Misogynist Sentences

25

Hate Speech Sentences

17


Summary

Trump and Judge Mershon are back in court, and Trump is facing a sentencing hearing. Meanwhile, Laura Loomer gets a big win in her case against a corrupt judge, and she's getting a Blue Check!


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Just perfect.
00:00:04.300 Oh, I need some notes. Hold on.
00:00:18.240 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:24.860 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm fairly confident you've never had a better time.
00:00:30.100 But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,
00:00:36.680 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass of tanker chalice, a tiny canteen jar, a glass of acylvetic iron.
00:00:41.800 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:44.260 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day.
00:00:47.300 The thing that makes everything better. It's called the Simultaneous Sip.
00:00:51.540 Go.
00:00:54.860 Ah, delightful.
00:00:59.560 I feel connected to you all through the invisible umbilical cord of the coffee cup.
00:01:08.080 Well, give me an update in the comments if something happens while I'm talking,
00:01:12.380 because I think Trump is supposedly, let's see, he's going to be talking to Judge Mershon today.
00:01:20.480 Um, so there will be sentencing.
00:01:24.460 Is it, he's, he's doing it over Zoom, right?
00:01:26.740 He's not going in person.
00:01:28.340 I don't know. I'm not sure yet, but I think he's not going in person.
00:01:32.260 And Judge Mershon has already indicated he's going to do some kind of, uh,
00:01:37.500 unconditional discharge, meaning that he'll be guilty of a felony, but won't go to jail.
00:01:43.040 Uh, and no matter, yeah, and no matter what the sentence is, they plan to appeal.
00:01:51.020 So Trump will be officially a felon, maybe, but then it's on appeal.
00:01:57.020 So my question to you, dear legal experts, is if your case is approved for appeal,
00:02:06.660 are you still a felon?
00:02:09.840 Because it's not guaranteed you're a felon if your appeal is going through, right?
00:02:14.720 So I feel like you'd say, it's, you're, you're conditionally possibly a felon, just like before.
00:02:22.040 So if the legal process has not come to an end, I would say, hmm, seems to me that the legal process
00:02:29.180 is still cooking along. Why, why would you say he's a felon? I don't understand what you're saying.
00:02:34.660 So the process is still going forward. It could end with him being a felon or not a felon.
00:02:40.360 So why are you saying he's a felon? He should be innocent until the appeals process is over.
00:02:46.520 Now they don't say that, but I do, right? It'd be one thing if you said,
00:02:51.840 I'm going to appeal, but given that we could be reasonably confident the appeal will be accepted
00:02:57.500 at least to be processed, how is that guilty? How does that make him a felon? In what world,
00:03:05.140 in what world would I consider him a felon if he's in the legal process? And it's likely,
00:03:10.740 and here's what makes it interesting. I think the experts say the case was so flawed
00:03:16.640 that it's far more likely it will be overturned than upheld. Isn't that true? So can you be called
00:03:25.860 a felon if the process is still going and all the smart people think it will end with you not being
00:03:31.620 a felon? How do you call that a felon? It's like they don't understand the process.
00:03:36.420 We'll see. Meanwhile, New York court is removing the corrupt judge. We call him corrupt. This is
00:03:47.680 Laura Loomer's reporting. And remove the corrupt judge, Arthur Angorian, from Trump's other case,
00:03:56.160 the civil fraud case. And Laura Loomer reminds you that she exclusively broke the story about
00:04:06.180 Judge Angorian's bias and how his wife was posting memes about Trump. And apparently that worked.
00:04:15.660 So Laura Loomer gets the big win. She's got a blue check back. I don't know what the current
00:04:21.080 situation is with her freedom of speech, but she got a big win and she's got a blue check
00:04:26.360 and she's getting the credit today. Good job, Laura Loomer.
00:04:33.500 We'll of course talk about the fire, but like I need a little bit of palate cleansing. You know,
00:04:40.300 if you live in California, even if you're not in the center of the burn area, you're thinking about
00:04:46.140 it all day long and you're probably doing something about it too. So we're pretty exhausted.
00:04:51.080 in the state and it's just the beginning of the process. So forgive me if I'm a little obsessed
00:04:57.200 by it, but when it hits you locally, it's hard not to be. So Trump says on day one-ish,
00:05:07.320 after he's sworn in, he's going to share information about the drones. And he does say that the government
00:05:13.480 knows. It sounds like maybe he doesn't know, or maybe it's been whispered that the government
00:05:20.100 knows it's their stuff. It's one of those, but I would expect it to be something like the government
00:05:26.940 was doing a little testing or something, probably something like that, or maybe just surveilling
00:05:32.360 things. Here's what I don't expect. I do not expect that on day two or whatever, Trump will say,
00:05:40.220 all right, here's the secret of the drones. We've been allowing Chinese drones to surveil our sensitive
00:05:46.540 sites. Do you think he's going to announce that? Even if it's true, even if it's true,
00:05:53.580 do you think he would tell you? I hope not. I think he would take care of it and keep it as a military
00:06:03.500 secret if there was a way to do that. But I think he's getting a little bit ahead of himself
00:06:08.380 that he would necessarily tell us no matter what the answer is. So we'll see. I think he means it.
00:06:17.100 I just don't know he'll be able to deliver. Victor Davis Hanson summed up the LA problem as a total
00:06:26.080 systems breakdown. Now, a system breakdown. Do you think that LA was operating as a systems being more
00:06:35.400 important than goals entity? Or do you think that they seem to have goals without systems that
00:06:43.600 supported them? So they had goals for diversity. They had goals for the environment, right? They had
00:06:52.460 goals for saving the smelt. They had goals for protecting the water and the oceans. Lots of goals.
00:06:59.360 But as I've been teaching you for a long time, systems are what you need because goals can't be
00:07:09.580 supported without a system. So it's a system that's the important part. And as Victor Davis Hanson points
00:07:15.340 out that the water storage system was bad, the forest management was bad, handling the insurance
00:07:21.860 industry was bad. And he mentions the DEI hierarchy of the leadership. And he calls it a DEI Green New
00:07:29.940 Deal hydrogen bomb. Like a perfect, a perfect system collapse because every part of the system kind of
00:07:39.280 collapsed. Now, do you think it's fair in this case? Now, I've been, I've been railing against the people
00:07:48.500 who say, as soon as there's a problem, you know, you look at the people in charge and if you see
00:07:54.220 there are a certain demographic, the people on the right say, oh, DEI, DEI. And I try to caution you,
00:08:01.900 that's not proof of DEI being a problem. All you can know for sure is that, you know, DEI was a big
00:08:09.160 influence over hiring. You can't know that that's the problem. However, if you do a little research into
00:08:16.820 the people involved, it might give you some insight. It might. For example, Karen Bass, did you know
00:08:24.160 that when she was in the seventies, she used to travel to Cuba with, to work with something called
00:08:31.080 the Venceremos Brigade, which was a group that organized annual trips to Cuba for young leftist
00:08:38.180 Americans for many years. Do you know why Cuba would host leftists to come do some awesome things
00:08:46.900 in Cuba, which was just building stuff, I guess? Why would they do that? It's to brainwash them
00:08:53.340 against the United States, but gently, you know, just brainwash them that maybe the socialist way is
00:09:00.180 better. And then they'll come back to the United States and destroy it or convert it. So she was
00:09:05.500 actually part of a brainwashing operation. And let me be very clear, a brainwashing operation by Cuba.
00:09:13.560 You bring young people in and you give them this one experience that's very artificial from, you know,
00:09:20.320 the general Cuban experience and everything's great. And look, we'll just show you the things we want.
00:09:25.980 Did you know the United States is evil? She is unquestionably a brainwash victim. That's not even
00:09:36.260 in debate. If she went there multiple times and was part of a group that was by design a bunch of
00:09:43.200 brainwash victims. How did she unbrainwash herself? I don't believe there's a process for that.
00:09:50.320 If she was brainwashed, it's still in her. You can't undo that. So do you think that if people were
00:09:58.380 well aware of that, that she would have been in charge of the city, the mayor? No, this one does look
00:10:04.740 like a DEI hire problem, doesn't it? It looks like nobody in their right mind would have hired her for
00:10:10.700 her background and qualifications, but maybe it was a, you know, DEI related, want to have a diversity
00:10:19.780 mayor. So I would say you can't say that DEI broke anything, but you could say that that one mayor
00:10:27.340 probably only has her job because people either didn't understand or voted dumb.
00:10:33.220 You know, maybe it's the public's, it could be the public's fault. The public just picked the wrong
00:10:37.540 person, but at least, uh, she's got a, uh, a strong deputy mayor. So you can't say it's not like one
00:10:45.100 person, right? That often the, the next level down or doing the real decision-making and stuff.
00:10:50.980 So next level down, you get the Los Angeles deputy mayor. So at least he's strong.
00:10:56.480 Oh wait, he's under investigation for allegedly calling in a bomb threat to city hall.
00:11:01.620 Well, the FBI raided his home recently and, uh, he's placed on leave. Okay. He's, he's a black man,
00:11:09.080 but that is a coincidence and not, you can't say that that's DEI related. This is one person,
00:11:14.540 one person who's acting badly now, but at least, at least in the fire department,
00:11:22.920 you know, you don't have so much of a DEI problem, right? Um, well, I mean the head of the fire
00:11:30.620 department is a lesbian, but you know, nobody's saying that lesbians can't do fire department
00:11:36.800 jobs and, you know, she's got tons of experiences relevant. So if you're, if you're going to say,
00:11:42.180 oh, she's only there because she's a lesbian, that would ignore all of her many, many years of
00:11:47.720 very relevant experience. And as luck would have it, uh, the, the person just below her,
00:11:56.580 I think, uh, would be the assistant chief. Well, no, they're lesbian, two lesbians at the top,
00:12:02.560 but I think that you could call that a coincidence. Um, yeah, there are plenty of lesbians. It's not
00:12:08.900 like a biggest coincidence in the world that two of them would be the number one and number two.
00:12:14.560 Let's look at the third in line. Let's see. I don't know if it's third in line, but the,
00:12:18.420 the equity chief, well, lesbian, the lesbian. So you got three lesbians in, uh, executive positions,
00:12:26.340 but I, I warn you that, you know, if you're thinking there's a problem with lesbians
00:12:31.360 because of these three, no, that doesn't follow. It doesn't follow that there's some other lesbian
00:12:37.160 who isn't the best person to be the chief of police or the chief of the fire department.
00:12:41.980 So this is sticky stuff. If you're just assuming that somebody who's a DEI hire and therefore
00:12:48.660 they're bad, that's not fair. It's also the situation we find ourselves in because DEI is
00:12:56.360 pushed so hard that we assume it's creating problems. We just, it's unfair to point to any
00:13:03.120 specific individual. And I point out that Gavin Newsom is the least diverse governor you could ever
00:13:10.280 imagine. And he's being criticized as much or more than any of the other people I just mentioned.
00:13:17.200 So what do we have? We got, uh, we got some, uh, black leaders who seem to be terrible. We've got
00:13:24.280 some lesbian leaders who I don't really know if they're being terrible or they, they don't have
00:13:29.860 water, which is somebody else's job. So I'm not going to say the fire department's doing a terrible job.
00:13:35.080 Does anybody even say that? I'm not even sure that the fire department has been criticized,
00:13:41.000 have they? I don't think I've seen any criticism of the fire department. So I would, I would say the
00:13:46.960 lesbians are clear, but you have to ask yourself, what a big coincidence. You know, they got a lot of
00:13:52.960 lesbian representatives there. And then you look at, uh, Newsom who is not diverse at all and he's a
00:13:58.440 total disaster. You can't blame DEI on, you know, for that. Right. So let me say again, I don't see
00:14:06.840 the, the fingerprint that DEI caused this. It's just that, you know, the DEI will cause this.
00:14:14.240 Whether it caused this one, that's hard to say, but will it cause another one? Of course. Yeah.
00:14:20.860 Will it cause the complete destruction of another city? Guaranteed. It's built into the system.
00:14:26.080 Remember Victor Davis Hanson says it's a system collapse. DEI guarantees system collapse because
00:14:35.200 it guarantees that instead of merit and experience, you can look for, you know, demographics and
00:14:41.060 identity. So that little change just by itself is certainly enough to destroy an entire city if you
00:14:47.200 let, just let it run forward. But we should not, uh, we should not allow ourselves to assume that any
00:14:53.640 individual is a DEI hire, you'd really have to do some deeper dive. And we don't often have that
00:15:01.740 level of information from the outside. Tom Ellsworth was on the PBD podcast. He was saying that the reason
00:15:09.800 State Farm pulled out, um, from the state and is no longer offering fire insurance is that, uh,
00:15:19.000 they pulled out because the county of LA and the city of LA had suspended brush removal in Palisades.
00:15:35.160 Really? Really? It is the connection to the incompetence of the city. Is it that clean?
00:15:43.640 I thought this was going to be a little messier where you, where you couldn't really tell who was
00:15:49.000 responsible for what, but seriously, they, they canceled the brush removal and that caused the
00:15:55.640 insurance companies to pull out and they didn't immediately remove the brush and say, Oh, hold on.
00:16:01.240 We will remove the brush. Just give us a month. Nothing like that. The, the level of incompetence
00:16:07.880 system-wise or individuals, I don't know. It's astounding. Now, of course, remember,
00:16:15.160 here's something to remember today. We're still in the fog of war. We're still getting all kinds of
00:16:20.920 news that isn't real. So I, you know, I think it's, I think it's real, but no, no. So far,
00:16:31.000 the fire has destroyed 29,000 acres. Would you like a estimate of how big that is? That's,
00:16:37.880 two Manhattan islands. Manhattan is 14,000 square, 14,000 acres. This fire has already,
00:16:50.360 and still burning already destroyed two Manhattans. So if, if you're not getting the scale of this,
00:16:59.480 imagine all of Manhattan gone and then another one, all of it gone and it's still going.
00:17:08.280 So if you, if you hadn't quite understood the scale of it, that's it. We're talking about $57
00:17:14.040 billion in economic damage. If you want to put that in perspective, uh, the, the entire tax revenue
00:17:20.200 of California in the recent year was 215 billion. Do you think you can lay that 15, seven bill 57
00:17:28.760 billion on top of, I mean, obviously the government's going to be constrained in what it can do to help
00:17:35.080 people? I mean, a lot of them are uninsured. Uh, Biden did say that the federal government
00:17:40.440 was going to help for 180 days in the recovery, but that's only the cleanup and the salaries of the
00:17:45.720 recovery people, you know, and the crews that are working at. Um, and I think removal of the,
00:17:52.600 you know, the burned debris. No, those are very important. So we're, we're very happy to have that
00:17:57.400 help, but it's not going to help anybody buy a house or build a house. Ontario. The wait is over.
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00:19:01.960 Mel Gibson tragically was on the, he was, while he was doing the Joe Rogan podcast, while he was filming
00:19:09.740 it, uh, his own $14.5 million Malibu mansion burned down. Now I know you're not feeling sorry for him
00:19:17.880 because his net worth is, I don't know, hundreds of millions or something, but, uh, it's your house.
00:19:26.120 It's your house. You know, no, no way you're going to feel good about that. So I feel terrible. One of
00:19:34.440 the things that Mel Gibson said when he was on the Joe Rogan is that he had three friends who were cured
00:19:39.240 of cancer with ivermectin and fenbendazole. And then the internet is saying, whoa, you know,
00:19:45.800 there are other claims and other claims and other claims. And now they're pretty convinced
00:19:50.840 that ivermectin and fenbendazole are cures for at least some kinds of cancers.
00:19:56.920 Here's what you need to know. Remember when I tell you that, uh, an anonymous
00:20:02.520 source, if you have one anonymous source, how much credibility would that be? The answer is zero
00:20:10.600 in politics. So that's a different domain in politics. One anonymous source is usually just a
00:20:16.360 made up lie. What if you have multiple sources? What if you had three and they basically said something
00:20:23.560 that sounded the same? Three anonymous sources. Now, is that credible? No, no. It's completely
00:20:32.200 non-credible. Anonymous sources, always non-credible. Suppose you knew the name of the source,
00:20:40.120 but you hadn't had any contact with them. So you couldn't ask any questions. You couldn't do a deep
00:20:44.600 dive, but you knew the name and somebody else had told you the claim. You didn't even hear it from the
00:20:51.240 person. Is that credible? No, no. That's zero credibility. Is there a reason that we do clinical
00:20:59.320 trials instead of watching what three people said as reported by another person? No, no. There's a
00:21:06.680 reason we do the clinical trials because that has no evidentiary value, none. So I'm going to cause some
00:21:13.720 trouble today. So I said, I don't think it's true. I'm going to be attacked all day long by people who
00:21:20.040 say, Scott, you fool. Don't you know that big doctor or big pharma is just trying to sell their
00:21:29.320 cures and they don't want you to know that ivermectin and fentanylbenazole is literally
00:21:34.040 curing. The claims are that people with stage four cancer are cured, not just help them, completely
00:21:40.440 cleared. And so I asked this. Let's talk to one of them. Just one. Show me one live human being
00:21:50.040 who says something like, I had an incurable cancer and I'm now completely clear. Here's my test results.
00:22:01.960 I'm sitting next to my doctor. My doctor can confirm that I am completely clear of a cancer
00:22:09.080 that was incurable. Now, what happens if you talk to them and they say, well, it wasn't an incurable
00:22:15.080 cancer and the other complementary things we were doing have cured it before. But this person was stage
00:22:23.800 four and they added these other drugs and then they got cured. So we're saying it's the other drugs
00:22:29.160 they added to which I say, but they were on all the treatments that we know are cures.
00:22:35.640 So here's what I need. I need an incurable cancer, one that doesn't have any treatment as far as anybody
00:22:42.520 knows. And even if they combined it with these drugs, which is the claim that maybe the drugs
00:22:48.680 aren't working exactly alone, but there are also claims that they would work alone. And show me the
00:22:56.120 doctor, show me the patient and show me that it was incurable except for this intervention.
00:23:03.480 Then I'm going to get serious. I'm still going to say I need a clinical trial,
00:23:07.640 but at least you went from, you know, anonymous people being talked about by other people
00:23:13.480 to, well, these look like real people and their doctor says, and I'm looking at their chart.
00:23:18.520 Maybe yes. So I'd say we're, I'll see. New York Judge Mershon discharges Trump without imprisonment,
00:23:27.960 fine or probation. In the Stormy Daniels case, wishes him well in his second term.
00:23:34.760 Everything's different. All right. That was a little side conversation there. All right.
00:23:45.640 Uh, apparently there was a fake alert that went out to everybody's phone in LA County
00:23:51.560 saying that, uh, they needed to, um, get ready to evacuate. This turned out to be just a mistake.
00:23:59.400 The alert told people to gather loved ones, pets and supplies and get out of town. And, uh, it happened
00:24:06.280 when people were the most frightened and thought it could be coming for them. And it was fake,
00:24:13.320 meaning it was an accident. So remember that Richard Davis Hanson analysis, that it was a total system
00:24:22.920 breakdown. Well, here it is again. They didn't even have a system to make sure that fake emergency
00:24:30.280 alerts didn't go out in the middle of an emergency. That's the level of incompetence it would take to
00:24:37.880 get there. It was pretty extraordinary, but the incompetence is probably the system. Like I don't
00:24:43.240 think it's necessarily that one person may push the wrong button. It could be, but why is that the
00:24:48.360 system? Why, why is one person allowed to push that button? You know, it seems like at least a few
00:24:53.640 people should be standing around when the button gets pushed to make sure that that's the intention.
00:24:58.440 I don't know, get a better system. Elon Musk donated a bunch of Starlinks in LA.
00:25:04.360 And, uh, this is cool. Apparently T-Mobile customers were having trouble, um, because
00:25:10.040 probably the towers got burned or something. Um, but now Musk very quickly tied T-Mobile into
00:25:16.440 Starlink and you can text. So if you're on T-Mobile and you suddenly can text, you can't make a phone
00:25:24.040 call, but you can text. That's because of Elon Musk. Without Elon Musk, everybody with T-Mobile would be
00:25:31.960 completely cut off during an emergency. I mean, it looks like they have been for some time, but
00:25:38.200 this is gigantic. Like the, the level that Elon Musk can contribute to a Ukraine war or a, or an
00:25:46.200 emergency now twice, I guess, several times, I think it's extraordinary. So just congratulations on that.
00:25:53.960 Meanwhile, the California national guard is moving in. We've seen out-of-state police moving in. So the
00:25:59.880 fires have turned into an organized crime and unorganized crime problem. The looters are
00:26:07.000 organized. There are lots of them and it gets worse. Now this is fog of war stuff, but it's what's
00:26:13.240 being reported. Could be, could be overblown, could be underblown. I don't know that, uh, some of the bad
00:26:19.000 guys and they seem to be from a migrant community. Um, and again, that's speculative. Um,
00:26:28.520 they seem to be setting fires to increase the number of places that they have to loot.
00:26:35.240 Because if they can get you to evacuate while they're there, they can get the good stuff before
00:26:41.000 any houses burned down. Now that's just about the most evil crime you can imagine.
00:26:46.840 Sending somebody's house on fire so you can rob it. The, the level of evil in that is hard to imagine.
00:26:53.800 There was, however, one poor individual, a criminal who had a little, uh, blow torch and he was trying to
00:27:00.120 allegedly set something on fire, presumably for that purpose. We don't know what he was thinking, but
00:27:05.480 he looked like he was doing it probably as part of that gang burning down homes. And he got spotted
00:27:12.760 by some of the locals. The locals sent their men out. I saw the video of it. And yeah, you might be
00:27:20.600 surprised that none of the women came to help, which is good. I didn't want them to. But if you want to
00:27:28.760 have like a little glimmer, just a little glimmer of hope, you watch the video of the maybe half a
00:27:37.480 dozen men who confront this guy who's still got the torch. One of the men is armed, but he doesn't,
00:27:44.280 he doesn't point it at him. He just has it ready in case he needs it. Warns him to stand down.
00:27:49.880 The other men surround the situation and they take him out. Now, I mean, they, they took him to the
00:27:55.160 ground and handcuffed him and waited, waited for the police and watching, watching those men
00:28:01.800 not have any back down in them. There was no back down that they were going to take him out
00:28:07.320 one way or another. They were going to shoot him. They were going to kill him if they had to,
00:28:11.240 preferably they would capture him and he had them to police so we could know more
00:28:15.080 about whatever he's up to. And that's what they did. But I'm pretty sure if their only choice had been to,
00:28:21.800 you know, do worse, they would have taken the only choice. Because I don't think that
00:28:28.120 guy was going to walk out of that neighborhood. And things are getting really dicey. So when there
00:28:34.200 is something that looks to residents like a complete breakdown of the social order, and by the way,
00:28:39.880 I'll probably get demonetized on YouTube again. I got demonetized yesterday. I got demonetized
00:28:45.960 for, I don't know what, but my best guess is suggesting that, you know, there, there's a
00:28:52.440 danger that's approaching with, uh, with this kind of behavior. So I don't know exactly what it is.
00:28:57.800 I'm probably demonetized again, just for this conversation. Um, Newsom says, uh, there'll be
00:29:04.280 80,000 of these national guards. Um, I saw Joel Pollack who lives in that area whose house seems to have
00:29:12.760 survived. We don't know if it's, um, habitable, but, um, he notes that there are more pro-Second
00:29:20.520 Amendment people in the Pacific Palisades than the bad guys might expect. So if the bad guys are
00:29:27.080 expecting a bunch of, you know, anti-gun people that they can easily handle, uh, they should be warned
00:29:34.840 that there's some serious personal protection in that area. So people have the assets to protect
00:29:43.000 themselves. So I don't know where it's heading, but it does look like a complete breakdown of,
00:29:48.520 of order. Um...
00:29:56.280 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.
00:30:00.840 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages. Conditions apply. Scotiabank. You're
00:30:07.000 richer than you think.
00:30:09.720 Let's see.
00:30:10.200 Uh, so you know that there's still a lot of talk about whether climate change is a small cause or
00:30:19.960 the cause or no cause, or, you know, is that just being political? And I wanted to give you a frame
00:30:27.960 for understanding the climate change issue and one that you haven't seen before. And it can explain a
00:30:34.120 little bit why the, the two sides can't really talk. You know, the, the, yes, I believe climate
00:30:40.600 change is an immediate crisis versus the people, Elon Musk would be on the other side, which is
00:30:46.280 climate change could be real in terms of the climate might be changing, but it's going to be slower than,
00:30:52.920 you know, the, the alarmist believe. Um, so why can't they have a productive conversation
00:30:59.640 and like figure out what's really true? And I'll give you my take on that.
00:31:04.440 Sort of the hypnotist take.
00:31:10.120 So if you can see my whiteboard, let me adjust it a little bit.
00:31:18.120 So I just made this up. I call it the climate awareness chart.
00:31:21.560 So the highest level of awareness is at the top, but we'll get there. We're going to start at the bottom.
00:31:25.960 Yeah. Let's see.
00:31:31.480 There we go. At the bottom level of awareness. And this is where I used to be as a young man.
00:31:37.240 Uh, I would hear that 98, 99% of scientists were on the same side and I'd say, well, I'm done.
00:31:45.320 There's not, there's nothing else I need to know. Right. I love science. Science is the best way to
00:31:51.080 find the truth. It's imperfect. It's imperfect, but you know, it's, it's the best we have.
00:31:57.640 So you tell me 99% of scientists have been looking into it deeply and they're all on the
00:32:02.200 same side. I'm convinced. And I was, I was convinced. Now I would say that level of awareness
00:32:08.280 is roughly equivalent to the people who say, uh, how can they predict the climate when they
00:32:14.920 can't even predict the weather. And I don't believe in climate change because it's cold outside.
00:32:21.800 Right. So one is believing it. One is not believing climate change, but this is, these are both the
00:32:27.560 lowest level of understanding. And I've been at this level. I've been there. If you go up a little
00:32:33.480 higher, let's say you decide, huh, I'm seeing two sides of this. I'm just going to look into it.
00:32:39.240 So you look at, you do a deep dive. Maybe you see Al Gore's documentary. Uh, maybe you read
00:32:47.480 the most official statements from the biggest scientists. And when you're done with that,
00:32:52.600 you're going to say, okay, okay. I can see whether 99% of scientists are saying it because I've done my
00:32:58.480 own research. And yeah, I mean, it's, it's like guaranteed climate change, the crisis, because you
00:33:04.600 did your own research. And then there are also people who do a deep dive on the skeptic side.
00:33:13.120 So maybe they never believed the 99% of scientists or didn't want to believe it. So they did their
00:33:18.800 deep dive on the other side. So they only looked at the skeptics arguments. Both of them would be
00:33:25.920 completely deluded by this process. It doesn't matter which one you're looking at. If you're looking
00:33:30.400 at either the, yes, it's a crisis or no, it's not, they both have the documentary effect,
00:33:36.000 which is if you look at one argument and you see a lot on that one argument, you will be convinced
00:33:42.460 beyond any doubt. You will be a hundred percent convinced. And that has nothing to do with whether
00:33:48.880 the thing you're looking for, looking at is true or not. Completely unrelated to the underlying truth
00:33:55.940 is a guarantee that if you see one argument and it's really well developed and you spend hours on
00:34:02.100 it, you'll believe it every time. And you can see that it's the same, no matter whether you believe
00:34:07.160 the skeptics or you believe the claims still completely believable, still absolutely no
00:34:13.600 evidentiary value, no evidentiary value because documentaries are always convincing even when they're
00:34:22.120 not true. So the only thing you would know when you're done with this process is that you're
00:34:26.680 convinced. That's nothing. You're going to be convinced even if you saw the other side.
00:34:33.900 You'd be convinced and that's nothing too. These are both nothings. Let's go up a level. Let's say
00:34:40.980 you get to the point where you did a deep dive on both sides, which I find relatively rare. I'm not sure
00:34:47.680 I've seen anybody who's done it. I've tried to do it. So I've spent a lot of time. I've looked at the
00:34:53.200 claims. I've looked at the debunk to the claims. And then I've looked at the debunk to the debunk
00:35:00.560 of the claims. If you haven't done all three, you haven't done anything. You've done nothing.
00:35:08.380 Because if you look at the claim, you're going to say, well, that looks pretty true. And then you look
00:35:12.740 at the debunk to the claim. You're like, whoa, I didn't see that. Oh, I didn't know about how they
00:35:16.580 measure that. Whoa. Yeah. The debunk looks totally convincing. If you're done, you're not done
00:35:23.920 because you've got to circle back and see what happens to the people who made the original claim
00:35:29.320 when they were faced with the debunk. And then they come back and say, but the debunk is debunked.
00:35:36.420 And here's why. And you read that, you go, yeah, that's a pretty good argument.
00:35:39.660 So the problem is that if you do a deep dive on both sides, you're going to find they're both
00:35:46.820 convincing and both not convincing. And you won't know.
00:35:55.000 At the highest level are people who understand that all data that matters is fake and that all
00:36:02.560 projection models are fake and that it has nothing to do with climate change. These are universal
00:36:09.380 truths. If I were talking about, let's say, the data for jobs in America, you think that's real?
00:36:18.500 No. How about the history? Do you think our history books are based on what's real or
00:36:24.100 what was allowed to be written? It's not real. Do you think, do you think, do you think there's
00:36:32.880 anything that's important and scale like big and it matters that's real? No, because our systems
00:36:40.240 don't allow that. Whoever's in charge of the data is going to have so much power that somebody is going
00:36:46.980 to distort them with a bribe or, you know, when you get to the point where it really, really matters,
00:36:52.840 it's 100% fake. Or it's 100% sure that you won't tell the difference because, you know, the fakes
00:37:00.780 will be so good that you think they're real. And the reason I know the prediction models are fake
00:37:07.000 is that everybody who's worked in this field, including me, now I didn't work in climate, but I
00:37:12.300 did projection models for a living, financial ones. They all know that the projection model is based on
00:37:18.560 the assumptions you put into it. It's not the data. So if you're way down here at the lowest level,
00:37:25.500 you think that the projection models are reasonable because 99% of the scientists said,
00:37:30.920 yeah, these are real. But you'll never learn that they can make those models anything they want
00:37:36.380 just by changing the assumptions without even changing the data. And then they can say, well,
00:37:41.800 this data is bad. So we're going to put in a, you know, a little adjustment to it. What's that?
00:37:48.520 It's not science. It's just adjusting it. So it comes into the same range that people expect it to
00:37:54.360 come into. So in our current world, 99% of the people being on one side has no evidentiary value.
00:38:05.560 How many of you would agree with that statement? 99% of scientists agree doesn't have any evidentiary
00:38:13.020 value. Now, that's not true. If you're talking about something simple, like, you know, does gravity
00:38:19.740 apply everywhere on earth? Right? 100% of scientists would say yes. Maybe right. So I'm not talking about
00:38:28.180 like one variable things. I'm talking about this big, complicated, hard to understand things where
00:38:34.000 there are people on both sides and the variables are changing. And every day we have a new variable
00:38:38.860 that should have been in models, but wasn't. It's like, oh, we just found out the ocean,
00:38:43.680 you know, can absorb way more than we thought. Well, was that in the model? We just found a new
00:38:50.060 technology that can allow us to produce things without the pollution. Was that in the model? Did you
00:38:56.980 know they were going to invent something? So the models are 100% unreliable. And if you believe that
00:39:05.420 because the scientists told you the reliable they are, you don't understand how money works. If you
00:39:10.900 understand how money works, you'll be with me up here that all the models are fake and the data is
00:39:16.840 either unreliable or fake. And that has to be true because the design of our economic system,
00:39:23.500 our economic system, and you could add the, you know, the fake news and the interest,
00:39:29.440 the interest groups, et cetera, they kind of guarantee that people will say it's true while
00:39:34.920 it isn't true. It's guaranteed that our system will be there. Now, here's a good test for you.
00:39:41.280 If you're talking to somebody and you're having some debates down here in the documentary effect level
00:39:47.220 where you've, you've both seen some stuff, but you saw different stuff and you were convinced
00:39:50.940 asked the person who thinks that there's, that the climate models are real to list three reasons
00:39:58.740 that the terrestrial thermometers might be imperfect. And if they can do it, then you'd have
00:40:07.640 a reasonable good idea that maybe they've at least seen both sides. If they don't know what you're
00:40:13.560 talking about and they insult you and call you a cretin and change the topic, it means they've never
00:40:19.860 looked into it. So here's what, if, if you can make a good argument that the climate change stuff is
00:40:28.380 real, here's what you should know. You should know what the heat island effect is. That's because the
00:40:36.820 thermometer stations were once away from the cities, but the cities grew and the heat from the city
00:40:41.860 is not really what the planet heat is. It would artificially change the thermometers. Would you know
00:40:47.840 that? Did you know that the little enclosures for the thermometers are in buildings that are painted,
00:40:54.940 usually painted white, and that when the paint fades, as it does, it can change the temperature
00:41:01.080 of the thermometer having nothing to do with the planet and everything to do with just the paint
00:41:06.200 faded. Did you know that? Did you know that if a thermometer breaks or is missing, sometimes they'll
00:41:14.060 just plug in a number of what they think it would have been. Did you know that? All right. So if you
00:41:20.520 can't list at least three reasons that you should doubt the terrestrial thermometers, oh, here's another
00:41:27.140 one. How much of the world are they measuring? And when you talk about the ocean, which would be a
00:41:32.800 different measurement technique, how much of the ocean is being measured? And isn't it true that the ocean
00:41:39.120 can store heat in different places that are unpredictable and in amounts that we don't
00:41:45.220 exactly know? So that if the temperature somewhere went up, maybe it went down somewhere, but that
00:41:50.460 down is in the ocean and nobody's looking at it. If you can't answer the questions, at least at that
00:41:56.200 level, that you know that these are issues, even if you don't know what the answer to the issue is,
00:42:00.900 you haven't looked into it. And if you believe that 99% of scientists being on one side has any
00:42:08.240 any credibility, I can't have a conversation with you. So here's my problem. I keep running into
00:42:15.780 people online who are operating at the lowest level of awareness, and they're pretty sure I'm the
00:42:21.900 biggest freaking idiot they've ever seen in their life. It's like, God, 99% of scientists, are you a
00:42:30.580 troglodyte? 99, Scott? Do you understand that 99 is almost 100? Do you understand? And I'm up here
00:42:40.400 saying, do you really think the news is real? You think the news is real? I can't have a conversation
00:42:48.840 with you if you think news is real. I can't have a conversation with you if you think the people
00:42:53.740 getting paid to say it's real are saying it's real and that means it's real. How do I have a
00:42:58.800 conversation with you? I can't. So I end up like sort of giving up because before you could have a
00:43:05.300 conversation on climate change, you'd have to start with how the entire system works, what the
00:43:10.680 economics are, how people lie, how every other system like this is clearly and demonstrably rigged.
00:43:16.940 And once I understood that everything of this type is rigged, everything, there's nothing where you
00:43:24.460 can't exactly tell and there are billions of dollars involved that isn't rigged. They're all
00:43:31.180 rigged. If somebody could make a lot of money from it and it's big and complicated and you'll never know
00:43:37.020 exactly what the truth is, that's all rigged. And there's probably never going to be an exception to
00:43:41.580 that. If you don't understand that, I can't have a conversation with you about climate change because
00:43:48.140 you're so lost. And again, I say I spent most of my early life at the bottom level of awareness
00:43:54.760 because I hadn't looked into it. And I thought 99% of scientists, they must be right.
00:44:01.600 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering,
00:44:07.320 is every fabulous item I see from Winners? Like that woman over there with the designer jeans.
00:44:12.860 Are those from Winners? Ooh, are those beautiful gold earrings? Did she pay full price? Or that
00:44:18.760 leather tote? Or that cashmere sweater? Or those knee-high boots? That dress? That jacket? Those
00:44:23.820 shoes? Is anyone paying full price for anything? Stop wondering. Start winning. Winners. Find
00:44:30.640 fabulous for less. How many physicists do you believe told us that string theory was the future
00:44:41.280 of physics? I don't know the answer to that, but I'll bet most. I'll bet most said, yeah,
00:44:47.880 string theory, you know, it's not all worked out yet, but pretty sure this is going to give us
00:44:52.660 something like, you know, what civilization looks like or reality looks like. Did it? No, it didn't.
00:44:59.600 I would say that all the physicists probably just parroted the same thing, string theory,
00:45:05.620 string theory, and a lot of them were getting money. So they really were in favor of string
00:45:11.220 theory because they could get funded that way. So no, you should not believe anything that most of
00:45:17.020 the scientists believe is true, but it's hard to know. If it's hard to know, ah, scam.
00:45:24.900 In other news, the Supreme Court did a ruling on Title IX, and they're not going to say that trans
00:45:34.180 women are women in sports. So the court has made the distinction between your sex versus
00:45:41.980 your gender identity. You can call yourself anything you want. That's not an issue. It's just that the
00:45:47.320 state doesn't have to recognize it. So they don't have to recognize it as your sex. They may choose
00:45:53.760 to recognize that you have a gender preference, but they don't have to say, yes, you're a woman because
00:46:00.060 you say so. So a lot of people are happy about that. I'm sure people are unhappy about it, but
00:46:06.620 more people I think are happy. Fetterman, Senator Fetterman is going to Mar-a-Lago. I think he's the
00:46:15.040 first, well, it's kind of unusual. Now Fetterman, I know you're getting tired of me saying Fetterman's
00:46:22.040 kind of awesome, but he keeps doing smart things. And when I talk about Fetterman, it's not because I
00:46:27.120 love his Democrat preferences. It's because I like to evaluate the persuasion techniques
00:46:33.920 separate from whether I like what they're persuading. So Fetterman just keeps, he's hitting
00:46:42.100 line drives after line drive. I don't know if he's hitting home runs, but he's hitting line drive
00:46:47.520 after line drive in the persuasion communication realm. Very impressive. And here's what I love
00:46:53.800 about this. So Joe Manchin is retiring and Joe Manchin, I always, I always respected because he
00:47:00.640 did such a smart thing of being somebody who would be willing sometimes to vote on the other side from
00:47:05.880 his team. And when things are so close that that one vote makes all the difference, Joe Manchin was
00:47:12.540 the only one smart enough to say, wait a minute, all I have to do is, are you serious? I can run the
00:47:19.280 whole country if I'm just willing to consider voting either way, like you pay me to do. So if
00:47:26.000 I just do what you pay me to do, which is look at the topic and then decide which way I think it goes
00:47:31.620 independent of where the politics are, you will allow me to run the whole country. And all I have
00:47:37.420 to do is do the thing that you paid me to do, as opposed to all my coworkers who are doing the
00:47:41.880 opposite of what you're paying me to do. Huh? Am I missing something? But seriously, I have to ask
00:47:49.580 again. All I have to do to be in charge of the whole country is simply do what you're paying me to
00:47:55.740 do. Evaluate things on their merit, independent of politics. That's it. And that is it. And apparently
00:48:06.020 he's the only one who's smart enough to figure it out, who's not named Joe Manchin. So, I mean,
00:48:12.560 you could say Kyrsten Sinema was sort of in that same game, but she's, she's out of it too now,
00:48:18.620 right? So at the moment, the Senate is not swinging on, you know, one vote, but it could,
00:48:26.120 that could happen really quickly. You know, a couple of years from now, straight up tie,
00:48:32.520 Fetterman's in charge of the country. Virtually, right? Because he controlled Congress.
00:48:41.740 Anyway, Trump was saying at an outing that all the, he's getting everybody to come. He's got the
00:48:48.000 heads of the social media companies, the big banks are all coming to visit him. Fetterman's coming to
00:48:52.700 visit him. And he had some kind of quote, like, you know, maybe we're all changing. And he says that
00:48:59.480 the people are, who are coming to visit him from all walks are quite productive and positive,
00:49:06.220 meaning that they're there to get something done and they're not there to fight. And, and it's not,
00:49:13.000 you know, it's a bit, not about Trump's personality. They just think, can you do these things? Cause we
00:49:18.660 need to do these things. So that's all looking positive. A little golden agey.
00:49:24.260 Um, meanwhile, CNN has this, uh, I'm going to say a racist panelist. There's a black woman,
00:49:32.660 Jasmine Crockett, who's on their panel a lot. And she pointed out the other day, she was a little
00:49:38.680 debate with Scott Jennings, who's their conservative Republican kind of voice on the panel. And Jasmine
00:49:45.600 Crockett claimed that, uh, the most educated demographic in the country is black women.
00:49:51.000 Um, and, um, the conversation didn't go much further after that. So that, that claim just
00:49:58.560 sort of stayed there. Do you think it's true that the most educated demographic is black women?
00:50:07.800 It's almost true. It's actually almost true. It's not true. If you look at the entire population
00:50:14.380 of black women compared to the entire population of other demographic groups. So that, that felt like
00:50:20.660 that was the claim. And that's definitely not true. Is it my imagination or could you hear
00:50:27.500 a leaf blower right outside my window? You can hear that, right?
00:50:37.020 Anyway, um, that tells me what time it is. I think, um, here's what I believe is true,
00:50:42.960 but I'll take a fact check on it. Um, I've told you before that black women are killing it
00:50:47.620 in terms of careers and success. So I'm going to agree with Jasmine Crockett
00:50:53.660 sort of directionally, but she got the fact wrong. I think directionally, I believe it's true
00:51:00.260 that more black women are getting, uh, college degrees than white men and more than black men too.
00:51:07.640 Is that true? Uh, which would be impressive. Now it also presumably be, there would, there'd be a DEI
00:51:15.860 element to that. Meaning some people are getting recruited and some people are getting, you know,
00:51:21.240 maybe tuition paid and stuff like that. So that's a factor. I don't know how much of that is,
00:51:25.380 but you know, you don't want to, you don't want to throw out the baby with the bath water.
00:51:30.480 So on one hand, I think it's a completely racist and inaccurate claim that, uh, black women are the
00:51:36.660 most educated group in the country. I think that's just plain false, but I think what she was getting
00:51:41.700 at is true, which is a black women as a class at the moment, you know, the young ones who are getting
00:51:49.320 out of college and getting their first jobs and stuff, they are killing it. They are killing it.
00:51:54.020 So I like to give like full congratulations to any group that works hard and gets what they want.
00:52:01.000 So congratulations. I say the same thing about the LGBTQ, LGBTQ group. Um, I think they've really
00:52:11.700 killed it in terms of improving their overall situation. I I'm so impressed about how they've
00:52:18.500 changed their situation in a few decades. Very impressive. And black women, same thing. They are in
00:52:24.220 fact killing it, but they haven't overtaken the other groups yet because there's a lot to overtake.
00:52:28.700 A lot of work to do, but it's certainly racist to imagine that, uh, her group is the most educated.
00:52:35.380 Um, so if it's just a factual, factual thing, I don't think you'd, you know, I don't think a white
00:52:43.160 person could have said that. What if Scott Jennings said, you know, the white people are the most
00:52:49.040 educated in the country. Ouch. I don't know if that's true by the way, but he wouldn't be able to
00:52:55.620 say it, but she could say it and nobody challenged it, even though it wasn't true. So to me, that's
00:53:02.620 more racist than not, even though I support the general idea that black women are doing great
00:53:08.860 lately. All right. Uh, Elon says it's going to take years to rebuild LA. Um, when they try to get
00:53:17.940 permits, it's going to be a problem. And I put out the following statements about rebuilding that you
00:53:23.840 should know that, uh, I'm asking for a fact check. So I don't know which ones of these are true,
00:53:27.800 but this is my, this is my starting point. The starting point is that it can take years to get
00:53:35.280 anything approved in normal times. In normal times, it would take years to get things approved
00:53:40.960 in California. I know that from personal experience. So what would it take when everybody
00:53:47.780 like a hundred thousand people are trying to apply for things at the same time or whatever the number
00:53:53.080 is, how are they going to handle that? They don't have enough resources. So if it used to take more
00:54:00.700 than a year in normal times, how long is it going to take in abnormal times where everybody's trying
00:54:07.260 to do it and all the resources are constrained and nobody knows what they're talking about. And the
00:54:11.520 environmentalists are saying, no, you can't do that. And you can't even rebuild the environmentalists
00:54:17.560 will say, you can't even rebuild. You're too close to the ocean or there's a fish we didn't know about
00:54:22.320 before, but now we do, or there's a bird or something. So I think it could take five to 10 years
00:54:30.580 to rebuild a house five to 10 years. Now what happens to, uh, what, what do you think it would cost
00:54:40.740 to rebuild those homes? So if you had a home that was worth $5 million, what do you think it would
00:54:48.480 cost to rebuild it? And let's say it was, let's say it was, uh, insured for $5 million or it wasn't
00:54:56.260 insured at all. $5 million home. What would it cost to rebuild it? The answer is about 10 million.
00:55:03.980 If you're building a, let's say a community, like a big developer is doing a whole community,
00:55:09.460 then they can bring the cost of each unit down because they're, they're working in bulk and
00:55:14.700 they're, they're mass designed and there aren't that many different designs and stuff. So they can
00:55:19.660 build the house for, uh, cheaper than they sell it. That's how they make money. But if you're building
00:55:27.280 one house and you've, you know, you want the rooms that you want and it's on the hill and it's, you know,
00:55:32.780 first you have to do a big cleanup and all that stuff, it's going to cost closer to $10 million
00:55:40.180 to build a $5 million house. What happens to your property tax if you spend 10 million to build a
00:55:46.880 $5 million house? Well, I think that they would either, um, I I've heard that there's a rule
00:55:53.180 that if you're building back on the same footprint, so it's the same size as the one that was destroyed,
00:55:58.820 then you get to keep the old tax basis, the old lower tax basis. But if you wanted to make your
00:56:06.080 house while you're doing it, you're like, well, you know, this would be a good time to add that
00:56:11.720 spare room. As soon as you do that, your property tax will quadruple. You won't be able to afford to
00:56:19.980 live there. So they've created a situation where all these people get at least the good news,
00:56:24.900 if they can afford it. The good news was, Hey, those changes you wanted to make your house,
00:56:29.480 you can make them now because the house is gone. So, you know, design it the way you want,
00:56:33.920 but it will have to be the same footprint or their taxes will double or quadruple.
00:56:42.060 That's going to be a big problem. I think, um, then what happens when the fire risk returns,
00:56:51.220 because everything's going to regrow. And then the insurance companies either haven't come back or,
00:56:56.020 or they leave because, you know, nothing's going to burn while it's all rubble. But as soon as you
00:57:02.780 build and replant and all the, you know, the trees are behind you, do you think you could ever get
00:57:09.600 insurance? Would you rebuild if you didn't think you could ever get insurance? I wouldn't.
00:57:15.260 Why would you rebuild if you thought you could never get insurance? If, if you had kids and you
00:57:21.840 say to yourself, this is the best place in the world to raise kids, the kids are going to be out
00:57:28.640 of the house in five to 10 years, you know, depending on the age. If the kids are going to be out of the
00:57:33.580 house in five to 10, um, years, they're going to be living in a burned out rubble.
00:57:38.680 Most of that time that's the place you go because the lifestyle is amazing. The one thing I learned
00:57:46.560 about it, I didn't know anything about the place. The one thing I learned about it is apparently the
00:57:50.580 lifestyle there wasn't just good. Did you know that it wasn't just good? It was sort of like heaven.
00:57:59.240 When I hear people talk about it, it's like, Oh my God, it was just the best people, the best place,
00:58:05.280 the downtown, the businesses, everything was close. It was on the beach. It was just the best. It was
00:58:11.700 the temperature. So you didn't have the extreme hot because you're on the beach. Like, I don't know
00:58:17.720 if any of those reasons are going to apply because it's going to take so long to clean up. So I don't
00:58:23.040 know what that does. Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament. I've been visualizing my match
00:58:28.340 all week. She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her
00:58:33.640 backhand side. Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto
00:58:39.480 service centers in the country. Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her
00:58:43.900 way in a rental car in no time. I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round. But you
00:58:49.700 got there on time. Intact Insurance, your auto service ace. Certain conditions apply.
00:58:55.960 What happens when you go to get a builder and 50,000 people are ahead of you for the few builders?
00:59:01.400 How in the world are you going to get a qualified builder? Maybe they come from Man of State.
00:59:07.340 If you get a builder from Man of State, they're not going to know how to build in California.
00:59:11.460 And they would be crazy to come to California to start because the rules are too hard.
00:59:17.160 If you were a builder and somebody said, hey, come to California, you're going to say,
00:59:22.420 is that the only place I could be a builder? No, you could stay where you are and build things
00:59:27.540 more easily. But if I come to California, it's just going to be a hot mess every single thing I do.
00:59:33.480 And I won't even make a dollar because I can't even start. And when I do start, they're going to
00:59:37.900 stop me because there's going to be some fish there. Next thing I know, I can't possibly make
00:59:41.740 money. And then I have to learn this whole state weird stuff. The approvals are different than any other
00:59:46.180 place. I don't know where they're going to get the builders. So that has to add some years to the
00:59:53.140 rebuilding. And then you've got unchecked crime. Let me give you the worst case scenario. It could
01:00:00.540 be that the people who live there have enough, you know, male energy to stop this from happening.
01:00:06.820 We'll see. But what happens when, you know, things settle down? Most of the properties will be
01:00:13.240 abandoned, right? Because most are burned to the ground and they're going to be working on approvals.
01:00:17.900 And, you know, even the cleanup is going to take a long time. What happens then? Let me tell you.
01:00:23.860 I think the homeless are going to move in. They're going to put up a tent on what used to be your home.
01:00:29.980 They won't care so much about all the debris. They'll like the view and the temperature. And when
01:00:36.500 you go to kick them out, they'll say, well, sorry, I'm a squatter. I got squatter rights. And you're
01:00:43.340 going to say, you can have squatter rights on a tent on my own property. And then they say,
01:00:47.520 this is California. You can't move me. What happens then? And what happens when it's not
01:00:53.820 one, but the entire hillside is full of people who heard that they'll never be kicked out
01:00:58.520 and they could be living on the best property in the world, as long as they don't mind living
01:01:02.320 among the debris, which couldn't be any worse than what they were doing on the streets.
01:01:07.000 The thing I'd worry most about is the homeless coming in and putting on tents because California
01:01:13.380 doesn't remove homeless people in tents. I mean, rarely.
01:01:19.860 And then where are people going to live? And also people might worry that it becomes,
01:01:25.180 you know, a crime, you know, horrible crime place that they don't want to live in the first place.
01:01:30.320 I hope not. And where do people live while the rebuilding is happening?
01:01:35.120 How in the world are all of those, you know, a hundred thousand plus going to be able to live
01:01:41.560 close enough to LA that they have some kind of continuity in their life? You know, maybe even
01:01:47.260 close enough to the school, almost nobody, almost nobody will be close enough to the school they
01:01:52.760 were at. And I think some of them burned. So you're going to end up in a different school in a
01:01:57.620 different place. And now your kids go to that other school and they get used to it and they got
01:02:03.080 friends in the new school and five to 10 years are going by and they're 17 now. Do they want to move
01:02:10.760 back? I don't know. I feel like the fact that you can't stay local while it's being built and there's
01:02:17.900 nothing local that you used to like, it's all burned up. You're going to move further than it
01:02:23.600 would be comfortable to be the owner of something being rebuilt because you really need to visit the
01:02:28.920 site a lot. You know, if you've ever built a home, you kind of need to go there a lot.
01:02:34.380 I think people are going to assume they'll rebuild, but when they get settled somewhere else,
01:02:40.340 that won't be that close. Maybe the new life looks better than trying to go back.
01:02:47.400 So I think it's highly unpredictable. If you want the positive news on that,
01:02:52.460 it would be that the, it is like the best place on earth. You know, it's just one of the best places.
01:02:59.240 So if it's land, land, land, if that's the real estate rule, then it will be rebuilt.
01:03:05.100 And maybe we'll be surprised that California bends some rules, makes it easier to do.
01:03:11.840 Here's one thing they could do. They could say, you could put an ADU on your property right away
01:03:17.240 if it meets, you know, these minimum requirements. So these are the, the ADU stands for
01:03:23.520 additional dwelling unit. Is it additional dwelling unit? So that'd be like a little,
01:03:30.980 it'd be the size of a mobile home, but they're more like a regular home. And you could plop it on
01:03:36.900 the property if you have a backyard. And if you wanted to, you could live there, but even that's
01:03:44.120 going to take a long time. So there might be some fast approval of ADUs just so people want to be
01:03:49.500 close, can have some continuity and live near their friends. But I don't know how many people
01:03:53.820 would take that option. Meanwhile, the Pope is now the latest victim of what I call the Trump effect.
01:04:00.340 Well, other people call it that too. The Pope is railing on a January 9th speech. He's railing
01:04:05.420 against fake news, the continuous creation and spread of fake news. He said, distorts facts,
01:04:13.340 but also perceptions. So the Pope is going full MAGA, full MAGA, and he's against fake news.
01:04:26.880 Well, all I got to say is thank God all the religions agree with each other because I'd hate
01:04:32.900 for one of them to be spreading any fake news. But the Pope assures us he's got it under control.
01:04:38.580 Meanwhile, in interesting engineering, there's an article by Amman Tripathi. Apparently, there's a
01:04:47.660 U.S. firm in the nuclear business that wants to build a one-mile underground tunnel or hole. I'm
01:04:56.280 not sure if it's a tunnel or a hole to power data centers. So the reason they want to put the nuke in
01:05:03.320 the hole one mile down is if there's a problem, it's easier to contain. But if there's a problem,
01:05:10.400 it contains itself because it can't explode because it would be held up by the entire earth
01:05:17.840 would be the surround for it. So I don't know if that really works, but these aren't the biggest
01:05:23.860 reactors. They would be, I think, micro reactors, smaller reactors. And they would stick them in the
01:05:34.260 ground and then that would make a big difference. Some of the benefits are, let's see, robust
01:05:41.200 containment just because of the earth around it and continuous pressure. So that way you don't have
01:05:46.940 massive concrete structures. Oh, so it's much cheaper. So you don't have to build the whole structure
01:05:52.000 if you could make a good mile deep hole. And it minimizes the environmental impact.
01:06:02.100 And, you know, I've told you a number of times that holes are the future of energy and maybe of
01:06:07.400 other things. And I've said, if we can improve our technology for cheaply building holes and tunnels,
01:06:15.200 we're going to be able to have everything from geothermal to, you know, better mining to now nuclear
01:06:21.820 water. Of course, you could use it. What's the other thing? Geothermal is where you're looking
01:06:28.040 for the hot water under the earth to create power. But what's the one where you're just using the
01:06:34.140 temperature difference underground to either moderate the hotness or the coldness of your house above
01:06:41.180 ground? What's that called? But that's another reason to have, you know, good hole building
01:06:45.440 technology. Holes are the future. There's a hobbyist who built an AI assisted rifle robot
01:06:55.100 using chat GPT. And there's a video that went viral on TikTok, I guess. And it shows the inventor
01:07:04.340 with the robot. Now it's a tabletop robot. Wouldn't be too hard to attach it to a robot dog or something,
01:07:10.960 I guess. But it's just a rifle that can, you know, point anywhere in a moment. And he just talks to
01:07:16.900 it. He says, there's a threat, you know, on the left. And it just goes. So the one he's using doesn't
01:07:27.160 use real rounds. It's shooting something fake. But how far away are we from telling your robot
01:07:34.620 rifle dog to go attack the German front line? All right. Rifle dog. There's a bunch of Russian
01:07:43.000 soldiers two miles away in a trench. I want you to go there. And in the order, if you see anybody who
01:07:52.080 looks like an officer, shoot them first, you know, or something like that. And then that is sent it to
01:07:57.700 attack. But AI robot rifle dogs, they're coming. The CES show is highlighting all the big technical
01:08:08.260 breakthroughs. And so we're seeing news. At least two companies have built human robots that look
01:08:14.480 like real women. But one of them will build a real woman with the face of your choice. So I guess you
01:08:24.220 just give them a photograph of who you want it to look like, and they'll put an artificial skin face
01:08:29.600 on it that looks like the person you want. Now, at the moment, these robots are not impressive
01:08:35.620 because they just look like mannequins who happen to be able to talk. So it's not like you're going to
01:08:42.720 want to take that robot home, if you know what I mean. It's more of a suggestion of what's to come.
01:08:49.680 It's not there yet. But I have a prediction about what one year from now looks like,
01:08:55.140 because the robots will develop quickly. Here's a conversation between a married couple
01:09:00.460 one year from now. Human wife says to her husband, I want a divorce. Human husband says,
01:09:08.580 okay, can you pose for a photo first? Mic drop. All right. Ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have
01:09:20.520 to say. It's 8.07. Well, where I am. And did I miss anything? Any big stories that are happening?
01:09:30.400 All right. Let me get a good picture of you before you go. I'm going to upgrade. All right. All right,
01:09:42.940 ladies and gentlemen. I have some stories I think I'm going to save for later, but I got some good
01:09:55.200 ones. The Carter funeral. Yeah, I didn't talk about the Jimmy Carter funeral. So here's the
01:10:02.540 fascinating thing about the Jimmy Carter funeral. So of course, the ex-presidents are all invited.
01:10:08.620 So you had the Clintons. You had only Barack Obama. Michelle did not come. We're not sure why.
01:10:15.260 Um, and then, uh, you had the Harris's. So Kamala and her husband, and then I'm forgetting who else was
01:10:27.520 there. Um, but I was looking at all the people sitting up front and it turned to be, it was Trump
01:10:33.360 and all the people he's destroyed. It was Trump and all the people he's destroyed sitting to the
01:10:41.780 other chatting. Oh, Biden. Biden was the other one. So, so Biden, he destroyed, uh, the Clintons,
01:10:48.720 he destroyed, you know, via destroying Hillary. Um, Barack Obama destroyed. Michelle Obama couldn't
01:10:57.020 even come. So, and then the funny part is, um, he ends up sitting right next to Barack Obama,
01:11:04.820 Obama who just warned the world that Trump was Heller and that he, he, he called a neo-Nazis
01:11:12.120 fine people. And you see Obama and Trump chatting and joking with each other.
01:11:20.560 Nothing's real. Nothing's real. Oh, Pence, right. Mike Pence was there and Mike Pence was destroyed
01:11:27.340 by Trump as well. Uh, was there a Bush there? I don't know. I mean, the Bush, uh, the Bush
01:11:34.880 dynasty got destroyed, you know, not George Bush, but so yeah, it was quite amazing. It was,
01:11:42.780 it was Trump and all the people he'd destroyed. It was kind of amazing.
01:11:48.080 Um, all right. Uh, you know, I think Trump has a superpower in forgetting what people said about
01:12:01.900 him, not forgetting, he never forgets, but willingness to just work with you. If it makes
01:12:09.340 sense. I just love that. Uh, yeah. Trump owned the room. All right. All right. Uh, I'm going to
01:12:24.500 talk for a moment privately with the, uh, locals subscribers, the rest of you. I will see you
01:12:30.380 tomorrow for more fun and games. See you tomorrow.