Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 12, 2025


Episode 2718 CWSA 01⧸12⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 19 minutes

Words per Minute

154.7551

Word Count

12,346

Sentence Count

924

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

18


Summary

A massive recovery in Antarctic sea ice, Chicago is a sanctuary city, and Florida is trying to roll back immigration reform in order to help catch and deport illegal immigrants. Also, climate change is worse than we thought.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Never had a better time, but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that
00:00:05.680 nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need is a cup
00:00:10.360 or a mug or a glass of tank or chalice of cyan, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of
00:00:14.000 any kind.
00:00:14.700 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:15.900 I like coffee.
00:00:18.020 Join me now for the dopamine hit of the day, the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:26.340 Go.
00:00:30.000 I almost forgot the words.
00:00:32.940 It's not like I do it every day.
00:00:35.700 Well, there are stories.
00:00:40.240 Remember that big problem with the sea ice, that climate change was going to take care
00:00:47.740 of all the sea ice, and then we'd have problems, wouldn't we?
00:00:50.740 Well, according to the Daily Skeptic, Chris Morrison, there's been a massive recovery in
00:00:55.800 Antarctic sea ice.
00:00:56.980 And let's see if even officially, the U.S.-based National Snow and Ice Data Center confirms
00:01:04.440 that.
00:01:05.640 And apparently it's sort of back into its normal zone-ish, proving that the variation was probably
00:01:14.000 just natural, just a natural variation.
00:01:16.800 So the sea ice melting doesn't seem to be any indication of climate change, but it was
00:01:24.860 predicted.
00:01:26.260 And then, of course, you've heard about the coral reefs.
00:01:28.920 The coral reefs were all being destroyed by climate change.
00:01:32.940 Except, I don't know if you missed the stories where it seems like they're all coming back.
00:01:37.960 But the climate change is worse.
00:01:42.480 How are they coming back?
00:01:44.440 Oh, maybe there's some natural variation.
00:01:49.440 How about that sea level?
00:01:52.080 Remember all those beach houses that used to be good, but now the water rose, and you can't
00:01:56.480 live there?
00:01:57.580 Neither do I.
00:01:58.200 So climate change didn't predict sea level, coral reefs, sea ice.
00:02:06.660 Oh, but it did predict temperature.
00:02:08.980 So, I mean, that's true, right?
00:02:10.480 It did predict the temperature, didn't it?
00:02:15.640 Or is it possible that we're measuring that wrong, too?
00:02:19.160 Of course we're measuring it wrong.
00:02:20.980 The temperature might be going up.
00:02:22.480 I wouldn't know.
00:02:23.000 But there's no way we can know.
00:02:26.120 We don't have any kind of reliable mechanism for measuring the temperature of the entire
00:02:31.380 planet over time.
00:02:33.040 That is so far from being a thing that humans could do.
00:02:37.200 But the news tells you they can do it, so you should believe it, because it's on the
00:02:40.820 news.
00:02:43.060 Well, the Trump effect has reached Chicago, because a couple of the aldermen, I think it's
00:02:50.500 funny that Chicago has aldermen.
00:02:53.340 Is there any other city that has aldermen?
00:02:57.740 Is that just a Chicago word?
00:03:00.360 I got the aldermen.
00:03:03.120 Florida has elderly men, so I don't know what an alderman is, but some kind of politician,
00:03:08.940 and they're in the legislature, and they're introducing legislation.
00:03:12.360 They would roll back the city's sanctuary law.
00:03:14.700 So that's where the city would not cooperate with ICE and help them deport people, but at
00:03:23.580 least two of them want to roll it back.
00:03:25.940 Now, this is according to the Daily Caller News.
00:03:28.080 Jason Hopkins is writing about it.
00:03:30.320 And what is interesting about this story?
00:03:34.400 I mean, there's always somebody who wants to roll back everything, right?
00:03:37.740 They're both Democrats.
00:03:38.800 Democrats, two Democrat aldermen, Democrats, are trying to roll back their own sanctuary city.
00:03:48.180 Is that the Trump effect?
00:03:50.640 What else would it be?
00:03:52.360 Of course it's the Trump effect.
00:03:55.020 The Trump effect, if you're looking for a definition, and I think we need one, the Trump
00:04:00.920 effect is not just that good things are happening that Trump supporters would like, although that's
00:04:07.520 certainly on the surface, that's what's happening.
00:04:10.080 What it is, is that the Trump effect made it safe.
00:04:14.560 It made it safe for people to pursue common sense.
00:04:19.440 Because I think Trump actually sold the idea that common sense is where the two parties meet
00:04:24.700 in the middle.
00:04:25.840 We're not going to meet on, you know, some, let's say, philosophical level.
00:04:32.020 But we should always meet on the, how do you stop a fire?
00:04:35.560 We should always meet on, should we close the border?
00:04:41.560 We should always meet on, should crime be illegal?
00:04:46.640 These are now political things.
00:04:49.400 And it took the Trump effect to, you know, take the crazy left out of their bubble and
00:04:55.640 say, what about, what about the things that are just common sense, like safety?
00:05:00.740 Can we just work on that?
00:05:02.380 Now, of course, climate change hangs over everything, because the climate change crisis
00:05:09.160 believers, and again, I'm only talking about the extent of it, not whether or not it's
00:05:13.800 happening.
00:05:14.460 I assume climates always change for one reason or another, and maybe humans are part of it.
00:05:19.580 I wouldn't know, and I'm pretty sure science doesn't know either, even though they told
00:05:23.060 you they did.
00:05:24.580 I'm pretty sure they tell you a lot of things that you think they know that they don't.
00:05:28.280 Well, Special Counsel Jack Smith resigned from the Department of Justice.
00:05:33.720 That would be the smallest surprise in the world.
00:05:38.460 Do you think he expects to be investigated?
00:05:41.920 Because it feels like at least he's been accused of being part of some kind of potentially
00:05:48.060 RICO-like bad behavior to lawfare Trump.
00:05:52.420 You know, I have mixed feelings about this.
00:05:54.100 So on one hand, I think it would, you know, it would be damaging to the country to, you
00:05:59.900 know, rip the Democrat evil RICO people up by the roots, even though they've, in my opinion,
00:06:06.340 I would say it's fairly obvious that major laws have been broken.
00:06:10.580 But I'm not an expert.
00:06:12.100 So, I mean, I could be talked out of it if the real experts say, well, no, no laws were
00:06:16.840 broken.
00:06:17.280 It was just something you didn't like.
00:06:19.240 Maybe.
00:06:20.200 Sure, it looks like laws were broken to me.
00:06:22.440 But if the people who know more than I do say laws were broken and they want to investigate,
00:06:27.420 I think I would take the risk of that destroying the country.
00:06:33.440 Because keeping it the way it is would destroy the country for sure.
00:06:37.100 So, you know, having a, not a physical civil war, but let's say a lawfare civil war, probably
00:06:45.980 necessary to regain, you know, mutually assured destruction and make sure that people know
00:06:51.460 that if they cross the line and create literally a RICO treasonous insurrection within the government,
00:07:01.320 that's got to have a price that has to be expensive.
00:07:07.200 So, if the Trump administration makes it additionally expensive for people involved in that bad behavior,
00:07:15.800 maybe that's just the way it has to be.
00:07:19.020 I saw a social media thing that said Oprah was going to leave the country for four years
00:07:25.240 because of Trump.
00:07:26.060 But I can't believe that's true.
00:07:30.500 Can anybody give me a fact check on that?
00:07:32.500 This sounds like fake news.
00:07:34.020 I don't think Oprah would really leave the country for four years.
00:07:39.720 Now, if it's true, the only reason I could think is that she's trying to escape criminal prosecution
00:07:47.500 for something when, yeah, and if she went to a no extradition country, that would sort of confirm it.
00:07:58.200 But I'm going to say fake news.
00:08:01.940 I'm going to say fake news.
00:08:03.380 What do you think?
00:08:04.620 Anybody think that's true?
00:08:06.700 I'm going to go with fake news unless I hear a lot more about it.
00:08:10.460 All right.
00:08:11.380 Well, we'll see.
00:08:12.420 No, it's also something that she might be threatening and might actually mean it.
00:08:16.660 But I'm going to bet against it happening.
00:08:19.080 But we'll see.
00:08:19.920 I'll bet against it.
00:08:22.120 Meanwhile, Stephen A. Smith was on a podcast talking about Trump.
00:08:29.140 And now he's, of course, been a Democrat and he's a black man in America.
00:08:36.400 And he is really interesting lately.
00:08:40.680 So he's saying that Republicans make a lot of sense.
00:08:43.880 Just think about that sentence.
00:08:46.920 A longtime Democrat.
00:08:48.920 And then he says, quote, Republicans make a lot of sense.
00:08:53.280 Sense.
00:08:54.800 You know, common sense.
00:08:57.900 This is Stephen A. Smith completely falling into the Trump frame.
00:09:03.780 That some things are just common sense.
00:09:05.840 We shouldn't be talking about that.
00:09:07.960 Stephen A. Smith says, yes.
00:09:10.100 Common sense.
00:09:10.800 So remember when we thought it was impossible to meet in the middle on anything?
00:09:19.600 As soon as the Trump effect went into, you know, wide, wide effect, it seems like people
00:09:26.780 like Stephen A. Smith can now say what they wanted to say maybe all the time, which is,
00:09:32.140 you know, I like my Democrats.
00:09:34.020 I still kind of like some of the philosophy, but why are we acting like common sense doesn't
00:09:40.280 even exist?
00:09:41.840 Why can't we at least do the things that make sense that everybody agrees on?
00:09:46.000 Now that, weirdly, just wasn't a way of thinking even a year ago.
00:09:52.140 But now it is.
00:09:53.500 That's all Trump.
00:09:54.920 That's all Trump.
00:09:55.880 Here's what else he says.
00:10:00.140 Stephen A. Smith said, quote, the finishing touch for me in terms of changing his mind
00:10:05.140 on politics was California.
00:10:08.540 Here it is.
00:10:10.020 Because I think he's the canary in the coal mine.
00:10:12.720 If he tells you that the California experience before the fire, this is before the fire.
00:10:18.540 If he tells you that looking at California made him think that the Democrats were, you
00:10:23.700 know, not the ones to back, just think about the fact that he could see it before the fire
00:10:31.160 and he was affected by it.
00:10:33.740 I don't think it changed his vote, you know, but now it might.
00:10:37.740 And he said about California, you see what's going on in California, higher taxes, homelessness,
00:10:42.980 crime rate, et cetera.
00:10:43.740 When people are going off, particularly folks on the left, and they're talking about these
00:10:48.840 policies and what policy is better, blah, blah, blah.
00:10:52.040 I see folks on the right talking about real life issues and stuff like that.
00:10:59.120 And he says, I'm like, I hate that they make a lot of sense.
00:11:03.300 Now, does that sound like exactly something that came out of my mouth?
00:11:08.060 It does.
00:11:09.080 It sounds like exactly something I would say.
00:11:11.380 The Democrats have lots of lofty conceptual ideas, and they're going to call you names
00:11:18.500 if you don't like it.
00:11:21.100 Republicans have been really, really clean about talking about what's wrong and how to
00:11:27.060 fix it.
00:11:28.020 The border's open, too many criminals close it.
00:11:33.080 Everybody understands that.
00:11:35.680 Everybody understands that.
00:11:36.780 And here again, I'm going to credit Trump for something that's not obvious to you.
00:11:41.740 When Trump says what he wants, everybody understands it.
00:11:45.520 And then he says it a bunch of times until we all get it.
00:11:48.600 And then we can like it or not like it.
00:11:50.600 But it's a real proposed solution.
00:11:53.640 And we can evaluate it.
00:11:55.140 We all understand it.
00:11:56.320 That's sort of new.
00:11:57.540 Because my memory of past, you know, traditional, boring politicians is that they would say general,
00:12:05.760 hypothetical, you know, philosophical things, too.
00:12:09.920 And you could barely remember which one was backing what policy.
00:12:14.020 But now it's such a clean distinction.
00:12:16.280 One says, do obvious, common-sense things.
00:12:21.920 The other says, well, the 1% is not paying their fair share.
00:12:27.560 And they got my DEI.
00:12:29.100 And what about the lesbian porpoises?
00:12:32.320 You know?
00:12:32.560 Now that you can mock that, even if you're a Democrat.
00:12:38.420 So even Democrats can mock that now.
00:12:40.400 Bill Maher, of course, was a pioneer mocking it.
00:12:43.080 But here's the kill shot.
00:12:48.520 Oh, man.
00:12:50.500 Just listen to this.
00:12:51.480 This is Stephen A. Smith again.
00:12:53.740 Now, and if you're not familiar with all the, you know, the famous names in sports,
00:12:58.080 you have to know that he's black and has been Democrat.
00:13:02.300 Right?
00:13:02.620 Those are important to the story.
00:13:04.660 So he says, I saw folks on the left basically try to guilt me into voting for Kamala.
00:13:11.420 You know what bothered me?
00:13:12.440 I might have ended up voting for Kamala because I didn't like how Trump acts.
00:13:18.460 You know, that is such, every time somebody says, I don't like how he acts,
00:13:25.800 that's just not a thing.
00:13:30.020 That's not a real thing.
00:13:31.700 You could say, I don't like his policies.
00:13:34.020 You could say, I didn't like what he did in his first term.
00:13:38.360 But I don't like how he acts.
00:13:41.220 Really?
00:13:42.440 That would be the reason you pick the other person?
00:13:46.420 Let me tell you how he acts.
00:13:48.560 He acts in a way that with no experience whatsoever, he became president of the United States once.
00:13:53.700 And then, being completely destroyed by lawfare and fake news and the Democrat evil committee,
00:14:01.360 he rebuilt from absolute destruction in four years to come back and win the presidency in a convincing way.
00:14:11.520 Now, that's the way he acts.
00:14:12.520 Now, that's the way he acts.
00:14:15.140 Do you think it's accidental that his provocative ways happened at the same time as his great success?
00:14:25.440 If you still haven't figured out that all that stuff of the way he acts, that's the active ingredient.
00:14:33.460 That I think all the Democrats are so, maybe, what would be the word?
00:14:39.960 I don't want to insult them.
00:14:40.900 I'll say, they're not seeing the right frame.
00:14:44.220 If you think that Trump has a few good ideas, even in your own opinion, but that it's ruined by the way he acts and his insults and his crazy statements,
00:14:56.200 what would be the evidence that all those insults and crazy statements were negative?
00:15:04.280 Was it that he didn't become president twice?
00:15:07.780 Is it that he doesn't have the biggest mandate ever?
00:15:11.180 Is it that every politician who is worth a damn is looking at what he did and trying to copy it?
00:15:17.940 Is it that Fetterman, a Democrat who I have a lot of respect for, I have to be honest, is that he's looked at Trump and said,
00:15:26.960 hmm, that looks like it works.
00:15:28.540 Why don't I do some of that?
00:15:30.340 And then he does it, and guess what?
00:15:32.600 It works.
00:15:33.620 It works for Fetterman.
00:15:35.400 It works for everybody.
00:15:37.240 How about we, can we finally get to the point where we realize that the way he acts is the active ingredient?
00:15:43.760 I mean, he has to have good policies that are common sense, of course.
00:15:48.500 But selling it, selling the policies, which is absolutely essential to a good leader,
00:15:54.760 he can't have good ideas and not sell them,
00:15:57.700 selling them comes from the way he acts.
00:16:02.980 If you don't get that, everything's confusing.
00:16:06.760 I've been saying this since 2015, and I don't think I've ever been more right about anything in my life.
00:16:13.120 I'm about as right as you can be that it's the way he acts that's the secret sauce.
00:16:19.260 All right.
00:16:20.080 So, but going on, here's what he said.
00:16:21.920 He said, but what I didn't do was call Trump a racist.
00:16:28.000 I didn't call him a Nazi.
00:16:30.600 And then, just listen to this.
00:16:32.460 I knew Trump before he ran for president.
00:16:35.480 There it is.
00:16:37.160 There it is.
00:16:38.540 Do you know how many black Americans knew Trump, were close to him?
00:16:44.080 He helped.
00:16:45.020 He helped in a number of cases.
00:16:47.740 You know, he helped Michael Jackson.
00:16:49.720 He helped Mike Tyson.
00:16:51.720 I'm pretty sure he helped, who was the boxing promoter with the wild hair?
00:16:56.880 I forget.
00:16:57.840 I mean, why do I know?
00:17:00.060 I'm not even, I'm just a casual observer.
00:17:02.120 And I know at least three examples where he, with nothing in return, well, there's always something in return, I guess.
00:17:09.760 But just as helpful to everybody.
00:17:13.460 Well, so he goes on and he goes talking about Trump.
00:17:18.800 So, this is Stephen A. Smith talking about Trump.
00:17:20.640 He said, we talked on the phone.
00:17:22.700 We talk at basketball games or boxing events.
00:17:25.140 I knew this man.
00:17:27.280 And so, some of the things that were being said about him, I knew were not true.
00:17:33.280 And I was saying, come on, y'all.
00:17:35.600 You've got to do better than that.
00:17:39.100 Don King, thank you.
00:17:40.460 Yeah, he was friendly with Don King.
00:17:42.900 I think it helped him in his career as well.
00:17:45.320 So, you know what would have been really useful?
00:17:49.620 If Stephen A. Smith had said this before it was safe.
00:17:52.460 Would you agree?
00:17:55.840 Wouldn't it have been nice for Stephen A. Smith when Trump was being called, you know, favoring neo-Nazis and the fine people hoax and he's the biggest racist?
00:18:06.600 Wouldn't it be nice for a respected, smart voice to say, oh, I know him personally?
00:18:13.420 Yeah, you don't have to worry about that.
00:18:14.600 That's not an issue.
00:18:16.220 Wouldn't that be nice?
00:18:17.080 But I found myself, you know, getting ready to respond to a post on that and say basically, thanks for nothing.
00:18:27.440 Thanks for nothing.
00:18:29.660 This would have been really useful in 2015.
00:18:32.800 It would have been really useful in 2020.
00:18:35.580 It would have been really useful in the beginning of 2024.
00:18:39.080 Do you know what it is now?
00:18:41.360 Now it's unnecessary.
00:18:43.460 It's unnecessary.
00:18:44.740 He won.
00:18:45.100 So now that it's safe, Elon Musk can say it and Joe Rogan can say it and, you know, a whole bunch of public figures can say it.
00:18:54.180 The left and the right can say it.
00:18:55.920 Now it's safe.
00:18:57.820 So I found myself getting actually angry at him for sort of speaking out too late, like that counts.
00:19:06.760 And then I slapped myself in the face.
00:19:11.720 Scott, stop it.
00:19:13.620 Stop it.
00:19:14.720 I'm ignoring my own rule.
00:19:16.840 You know what rule I'm ignoring of my own?
00:19:20.620 Here's the rule.
00:19:22.500 Everything good takes too long to happen.
00:19:27.040 Everything good takes too long to happen.
00:19:30.480 This is good.
00:19:31.800 This is good.
00:19:33.300 Took too long to happen.
00:19:35.360 And now I reject all my prior comments.
00:19:39.460 So I'm taking them back, which I knew I would do.
00:19:41.660 So I'm taking back my comments that he waited too long and that it wasn't brave to wait till now and he's waiting until it's safe.
00:19:50.080 And I'm going to completely revise that.
00:19:52.940 I respect his opinion and I really appreciate it.
00:19:56.980 I respect it and I really genuinely appreciate it.
00:20:01.900 And if you hear me ever again say that something is good, but it took too long, can you slap me?
00:20:09.940 I don't want to ever hear that out of anybody's mouth because everything good took too long.
00:20:15.200 There's no exception to that.
00:20:16.640 Everything.
00:20:16.940 So it's just the dumbest, simplest, you know, pundit thing to say, oh, where were you before?
00:20:23.900 Why didn't you do something earlier?
00:20:25.600 No.
00:20:26.220 How about that was good?
00:20:28.300 Thank you.
00:20:29.120 I respect it.
00:20:30.460 And just take the win.
00:20:33.080 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.
00:20:35.440 I've been visualizing my match all week.
00:20:37.920 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.
00:20:43.900 Good thing Claudia's with Intact.
00:20:45.680 The insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.
00:20:49.640 Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.
00:20:54.120 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.
00:20:57.580 But you got there on time.
00:20:59.440 Intact Insurance.
00:21:00.600 Your auto service ace.
00:21:02.040 Certain conditions apply.
00:21:04.460 All right.
00:21:05.940 Let's talk about Greenland.
00:21:07.280 And apparently there was a poll on whether they wanted independence or to stay owned by Denmark.
00:21:13.160 Now, I don't know if this is a scientific poll or an Internet poll or what it was.
00:21:18.600 I'm not sure we can totally trust this.
00:21:20.360 But three quarters or two-thirds of them wanted independence and one-third wanted to stay with Denmark, if you believe that poll.
00:21:30.120 What I say is, so two-thirds of them want independence.
00:21:38.480 Let's check again in two months.
00:21:40.160 If you check back in two months, I'll bet you 80% say they want independence and or some kind of association with the United States that's stronger.
00:21:52.080 Because that's the Trump effect.
00:21:54.800 Trump will find a way to convince the Greenlandics, Greenlandic people.
00:22:01.480 I think it's Greenlandic.
00:22:03.800 The people are called not Greenlanders.
00:22:07.140 Let's see if I'm right.
00:22:08.180 I need a fact check on that.
00:22:09.460 Are they the Greenlandic people?
00:22:12.320 I don't know.
00:22:13.840 Anyway, so as you know, the Greenland prime minister spoke out.
00:22:21.740 Do you get the joke?
00:22:23.960 The Greenland prime minister, he spoke out.
00:22:28.720 Do you know why that's funny?
00:22:29.680 Do you know what his first name is?
00:22:33.560 Mute.
00:22:34.580 M-U-T-E.
00:22:35.820 That's his actual name.
00:22:36.840 His first name is Mute.
00:22:38.640 Yeah, he spoke out.
00:22:41.720 There's your simulation.
00:22:43.880 The mute is speaking out.
00:22:45.620 So he didn't say that he wants to be in American state or anything like that.
00:22:50.780 He said that the Greenlandic people should decide what their fate is, but he's not.
00:22:56.120 He didn't seem terribly keen on staying owned by Denmark, and you can understand that.
00:23:01.900 But here's the bigger surprise today.
00:23:05.080 Apparently, the Danish officials think that some kind of middle ground can be reached.
00:23:12.120 This is according to the Daily Wire, Tim Pierce.
00:23:15.920 And the middle ground would be something short of a sale, but some kind of a stronger cooperation, something like that.
00:23:25.460 We don't know what that would look like.
00:23:26.740 Now, what do you think of Trump's first offer?
00:23:33.360 If you want to see the art of the deal in real time, let me try to set this up for you.
00:23:40.620 Suppose you were a regular politician.
00:23:46.160 Suppose you were Joe Biden or Jimmy Carter, and you had this idea that we should own or have control of, functional control of Greenland.
00:23:56.000 How would you go about it?
00:23:58.000 Well, you'd probably have some secret meetings, right?
00:24:00.560 And then the Greenland people would never hear about it, and then they would never weigh in to tell you that they agreed with it.
00:24:05.700 So that would be the first mistake of everybody who's not Trump.
00:24:09.320 Trump tweets about it.
00:24:11.240 If Trump puts it in the public, the entire nation of Greenland is talking about it.
00:24:16.320 I'll bet you 100% of all the Greenlandic people have had lots of conversations about this, every one.
00:24:24.880 And it's because Trump said it, and Trump said it publicly.
00:24:28.320 And not only say it publicly, but he said, here's the beauty.
00:24:33.440 He basically said, if you don't sell it to us or give it to us, we're going to take it.
00:24:44.120 What do you think the Greenlandic people think when the entire U.S. military and the president of the United States named Trump says, you know, we could just take it?
00:24:54.860 Do you think they believed it?
00:24:58.840 Yes.
00:25:00.100 Well, at least they believed there was a high possibility.
00:25:03.460 Do you think he meant it?
00:25:05.240 As in he would send in the actual military and like start arresting any Greenland resistors?
00:25:11.740 Don't know.
00:25:13.240 That's the beauty of it.
00:25:15.000 I follow Trump as closely as anybody.
00:25:17.300 I don't know.
00:25:18.260 Did he mean it?
00:25:19.500 That's his magic.
00:25:21.120 His magic is he might mean it.
00:25:24.460 He might.
00:25:26.060 And that's all you need.
00:25:27.920 So think about how much action he got simply by putting it out there that if you don't work with us, we're just going to take it.
00:25:34.860 Because once he's established that it's a military security requirement, which I'd never heard before.
00:25:40.380 Before Trump, I'd never even heard there's some kind of military requirement, which I believe because of the opening of the ice nearby.
00:25:50.840 It's going to be fought over by Russia and China and all the powers.
00:25:54.540 So, yeah, we need a strong, strong presence to make sure our hemisphere doesn't get invaded by missiles and who knows what.
00:26:01.160 So the first thing he does is informs the country that it's a requirement for security.
00:26:08.080 So we're like, hmm, well, there's no way to get there, but wouldn't it be great?
00:26:12.140 Then he says it in public and the Greenlandic people like, oh, no, no, no, I don't want to do that.
00:26:20.140 But what's the offer?
00:26:23.040 You only have to make him curious.
00:26:25.500 Just make him curious what the offer is.
00:26:27.700 Because who's going to say no before they hear the offer, right?
00:26:33.480 You could say no after you hear the offer, but who says no before they hear the offer?
00:26:38.840 You know, just ordinary curious people who are not killing it in life.
00:26:42.440 Maybe they'd like to do a little better.
00:26:44.440 This rich guy says, hmm, maybe I can do something for you.
00:26:47.400 You're going to stay and you're going to listen.
00:26:49.740 And then you hear, but he might just take it.
00:26:52.820 Then you think, maybe we should talk to him.
00:26:55.660 And then Denmark says, you know what?
00:26:58.700 I'm thinking maybe we should talk to you.
00:27:00.600 Maybe we'll meet in the middle somewhere.
00:27:02.540 Do you know what Trump needed?
00:27:04.840 He just needed him to meet in the middle.
00:27:07.460 I don't think the United States would be in favor of making him a state.
00:27:14.500 Do you know why?
00:27:16.060 Because I'm pretty sure we don't want their voting record.
00:27:19.560 I'm pretty sure we don't want to give them some kind of political power.
00:27:22.640 Now, I don't know what their beliefs are politically, but just as a point of reference, I checked if abortion is legal in Greenland.
00:27:34.320 Because I feel like that's going to tell you kind of quickly where their heads are at.
00:27:39.840 Not only is it legal to get an abortion in Greenland, but according to Google, they have the highest abortion rate in the world.
00:27:48.100 The highest abortion rate in the world.
00:27:55.800 Now, if I were a negotiator, I would say to myself, hmm, yeah, that's sort of a poison pill.
00:28:03.300 You know, if you're a Republican, it's a poison pill.
00:28:05.640 So, maybe we should meet in the middle instead of turning it into a state.
00:28:12.420 Maybe some kind of territory situation, you know, with a special arrangement would be best for all.
00:28:18.560 But what's interesting is that just as Trump is sort of offering, hey, wouldn't it be great if you were Americans?
00:28:26.340 Wouldn't you like that?
00:28:27.580 The Greenlandic people are the busiest of all people killing their own people.
00:28:32.000 So, even the Greenlandic people don't love Greenlandic people.
00:28:38.040 They're killing them at the highest rate of any civilized country.
00:28:41.780 I'm just joking.
00:28:43.560 The Greenlandic people probably just have a lot of sex.
00:28:46.360 So, they, you know, there's nothing else to do.
00:28:48.660 So, they probably need more abortions because they have more sex or something like that.
00:28:54.260 Now, here's something I learned from the comments on locals.
00:28:57.740 I hadn't really considered this before, but you know how Trump is really good with real estate?
00:29:04.560 Like, he can spot an opportunity in real estate that other people might not, you know, catch because that's his business.
00:29:10.760 And somebody pointed out that this is the perfect time to buy Greenland because once climate change turns on and Greenland actually turns green, we're not going to be able to afford it.
00:29:25.220 So, you want to get it cheap before climate change turns it into a beachfront, sort of a, you know, tropical island because that's when it's really going to be expensive.
00:29:34.400 So, I think Trump's brilliant.
00:29:38.240 He's going to get it before it warms up.
00:29:42.000 You can't tell if I'm kidding, can you?
00:29:46.500 All right.
00:29:47.060 So, I thought I would put together a Greenland deal just so we could sort of play with it to see if it looks like it could be something that would work.
00:29:54.420 I'm going to throw out a first draft right now of what a deal might look like.
00:29:59.120 Now, I don't know if you know, but I have an extensive background in negotiating.
00:30:05.420 It used to be my job.
00:30:07.000 In corporate America, I was the person who had to negotiate with vendors to get their prices down and all that stuff.
00:30:14.360 So, you learn about deal making and also, you know, my MBA background, they teach about deal making.
00:30:23.060 So, I have some experience and how to put together a deal.
00:30:28.500 So, this is not completely speculative.
00:30:31.460 Just know that there's a little bit, a little bit of actual professional skill that's going into this, okay?
00:30:39.000 Just a little bit.
00:30:40.020 Like, I'm not the best at it or anything.
00:30:42.440 Number one, I like the idea of calling it a territory or whatever word you want to put on it and not a state.
00:30:49.480 We already have some, right?
00:30:51.540 Guam and whatever.
00:30:53.060 I don't like them voting, but that's no problem because Greenland probably doesn't care about voting in our politics.
00:31:01.260 I would say that you'd want to offer the Greenlandic people full local control of their laws so that the law of the United States doesn't necessarily apply there.
00:31:11.940 But they get to make their own laws and have their own justice system, just like now.
00:31:16.280 So, basically, they would operate exactly the same.
00:31:19.500 And they would have their own taxation.
00:31:21.200 We wouldn't tax them.
00:31:23.060 But we would take over the, let's say, the support payments that Denmark is doing.
00:31:29.520 So, what Denmark would get out of it is they don't have to pay Trump his extortion when he says,
00:31:35.040 if we're going to protect your island, you're going to have to pay us $20 billion a year or whatever he puts on it.
00:31:40.980 And they're not going to have to, not going to want to pay that.
00:31:43.900 And they currently pay to subsidize Greenland.
00:31:46.680 They wouldn't have to pay that.
00:31:47.900 So, wouldn't it be great if Denmark just sort of got out of the business and managing something that they don't want to manage?
00:31:56.560 So, I think Denmark could be made happy as long as Greenland came out ahead and they cut their own budget so they didn't have to support it.
00:32:06.120 So, I think it seems doable.
00:32:08.300 But here's what you would do if you're a chump to sweeten the deal.
00:32:13.040 You'd say, we're going to greatly expand the mining operations for the rare earth materials.
00:32:19.960 I think there's some energy too.
00:32:22.540 Was there natural gas?
00:32:23.820 Maybe we don't know for sure, but we'd look for some more.
00:32:27.260 And the idea would be that we would share the income with the locals, maybe the same way that oil companies, when they first went to the Middle East and the countries where they wanted to drill, did not have the ability to build oil wells themselves.
00:32:43.900 So, I don't know the details.
00:32:45.560 I'd love to be informed about that, by the way, if somebody knows those details.
00:32:48.980 Did the oil companies say something like, we'll give you half if you let us just drill on your land that you can't drill on?
00:32:58.780 Or 20%?
00:33:02.200 Like, what is the number where both are happy?
00:33:04.620 I don't know what that number is.
00:33:06.340 But we could say to them, we're going to give you a percentage of that and it will be way bigger, way more money than Denmark was giving you every year.
00:33:13.060 Your lifestyle will improve.
00:33:14.960 You can have less abortions.
00:33:16.160 And they'd give full military protection, but I think there would have to be a clause in there, which could be a sticking point, that would give the United States the authority for full martial law in a military emergency.
00:33:31.620 Now, if you're wanting to be an independent sort of associated territory, you're going to bristle at the idea that there could ever be martial law imposed by, effectively, another country that you're working with.
00:33:45.740 But I don't know that we could say no to that.
00:33:47.860 I feel like if we're going to give security to them, it seems likely there would be cases where the military would have to put a boot on ordinary freedoms, just temporarily.
00:34:00.500 That's what martial law is.
00:34:02.460 And everybody hates martial law.
00:34:04.520 But I feel like we need some kind of out.
00:34:08.660 Now, maybe we don't need it because even the military base that would be stationed there would be far more powerful than a bunch of Greenlandic citizens with their handguns or whatever.
00:34:18.700 So I suppose we could get anything we wanted if we really needed it.
00:34:23.000 But it'd be nice to put it in the deal so everybody knows it's possible.
00:34:26.640 And then you could say, hey, you guys, you could get American passports.
00:34:30.560 Do you think the Greenlandic people would like to have an American passport?
00:34:33.640 I don't know if that's good or bad.
00:34:36.180 It'd be it'd be in addition to maybe whatever they already have.
00:34:39.480 So why wouldn't that work?
00:34:42.840 Can you think of any idea why they would not take that deal?
00:34:45.860 So they still have independence.
00:34:47.760 They make a bunch more money.
00:34:49.580 They get a free military without having to pay any taxes for the military.
00:34:55.020 And they get some freedom from Denmark.
00:34:58.140 Where's the downside?
00:35:00.060 It's all upside.
00:35:01.040 And Trump made this conversation possible by, what did Stephen A. Smith say?
00:35:10.640 By the way he acts.
00:35:12.700 That's right.
00:35:14.380 So the way he acts makes this possible.
00:35:18.000 That's what the way he acts gets you.
00:35:20.340 Greenland.
00:35:21.260 Maybe.
00:35:21.880 We'll see.
00:35:25.420 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.
00:35:29.200 Learn more at Scotiabank.com slash banking packages.
00:35:33.620 Conditions apply.
00:35:35.580 Scotiabank.
00:35:36.200 You're richer than you think.
00:35:38.180 Well, let's talk about the LA fires.
00:35:40.120 I know that if you're not in LA, you're just wishing we could stop talking about this.
00:35:45.900 I get it.
00:35:47.180 I get it.
00:35:48.000 But I think this is more relevant to all of the rest of you than you think.
00:35:53.180 First of all, it would be fascinating to understand what went wrong so it doesn't happen in your state.
00:35:58.880 And also to give you an idea of whether it can fix.
00:36:01.640 I'm going to give you the bad news first.
00:36:03.960 You ready?
00:36:04.360 I think that the rebuilding cost will be at least a trillion.
00:36:11.680 And nobody can pay for that.
00:36:14.340 So the rebuilding, if you put it on top of the regulations that exist, you know, all the environmental stuff, how long it takes to get a permit, the complications, you know, the removal of the toxic debris, the cleaning of the water, the re-hooking up of things.
00:36:30.520 There is actually no way to get from here to there.
00:36:35.320 There is no way to rebuild that.
00:36:38.200 And if California is just abandoned effectively to the criminals because nobody's going to live there and it just isn't affordable to fix, homeowners can't fix it on their own.
00:36:48.860 There really isn't any way to fix it in the current normal system.
00:36:56.700 So let me say that again.
00:36:58.540 There really is no solution.
00:36:59.940 Because the federal government isn't going to put a trillion dollars into it.
00:37:04.820 The homeowners can't afford to rebuild.
00:37:07.480 California isn't going to have enough money or even close.
00:37:10.360 It's going to destroy all of our insurance and maybe all of our banking in the entire country.
00:37:15.960 I don't think people understand that when California falls, the country gets more than a black eye.
00:37:25.720 It's an existential threat to the rest of the country.
00:37:28.300 I think California might be toast.
00:37:32.340 Unless you want some good news.
00:37:36.400 See, I set you up.
00:37:37.920 And by the way, when I say there's bad news and good news, they're both possible.
00:37:43.460 I'm not underplaying one of them.
00:37:45.100 There doesn't seem to be any path that you could recover.
00:37:49.440 Want to hear why bad it is?
00:37:50.760 How bad it is?
00:37:52.560 Why do you think that Californians can't get insurance?
00:37:55.840 You've heard the government blame the insurance companies for pulling out and trying to get too much profit, right?
00:38:02.740 You've heard the insurance companies blame the government because the government won't let them raise their prices.
00:38:09.900 I'm a Californian.
00:38:11.680 Let me tell you what's true.
00:38:15.120 There is no solution.
00:38:17.100 It wouldn't matter if the government or the insurance companies did everything smart and logical and legal.
00:38:23.260 There is no solution.
00:38:24.440 So here's what happens to a normal Californian.
00:38:28.060 You get in your house.
00:38:29.380 Let's say you're going to stay where you are for a while.
00:38:33.160 You can afford your house.
00:38:35.020 And maybe you've even retired in it.
00:38:36.820 And you figured out how to keep affording it even after retirement.
00:38:39.860 Now your house goes up in value.
00:38:42.340 But you're still okay.
00:38:43.900 And in fact, you're happier.
00:38:45.120 Because if you sell it, you make more money.
00:38:46.560 But also, your property insurance doesn't change much.
00:38:51.720 You're like, oh, I still pay roughly the same amount of taxes.
00:38:55.300 It does go up, but not as much as the value of your house.
00:38:57.980 Then your house doubles again.
00:38:59.980 Now your house is worth four times what you paid for it.
00:39:04.040 As long as you stay there forever, your property taxes will be the original cost.
00:39:09.440 Good.
00:39:10.860 But what about insurance?
00:39:14.300 The cost of insurance is for replacement.
00:39:19.160 So now your cost of insurance is going to have to be four times what it was when the value of the home was, you know, do the math backwards, right?
00:39:29.240 Nobody can afford that.
00:39:30.940 If you say to somebody, I'm going to double or triple what it costs you for, I think in my case, it was maybe a 10x increase.
00:39:41.920 10x.
00:39:42.320 When I got a market price, a market price from an actual insurance company that is still in California, it was 10x what the old price was for fire insurance.
00:39:56.540 10x.
00:39:57.420 So it was something like $1,000 a month went to $10,000 a month.
00:40:05.060 Now, I could afford it if I wanted to pay that.
00:40:09.580 But that's because I'm still working.
00:40:12.180 I'm not retired.
00:40:13.280 And I didn't buy my house when it was, you know, a tiny fraction.
00:40:17.260 It has gone up since I bought it.
00:40:20.040 So nobody who's a normal person with a normal job, even these rich-ish, rich-ish people living in the Pacific Palisades, some of them were super rich.
00:40:31.580 You know, the Louis-Dreyfus ones.
00:40:34.280 But if you're looking at the, you know, the James Woods, Adam Carolla, and then, you know, down a level to people who don't have jobs that good either, those people just barely can hang on to their homes.
00:40:46.640 They might have had them a long time, so long that it was cheap when they got them, and they were paying cheap property tax, cheap insurance relative to the value of the home that kept going up.
00:40:59.620 But if they have to rebuild, and especially those who maybe move, because most of those people are going to say, I don't want to wait five to 10 years for my house to be livable.
00:41:09.920 And by the way, why would I live there?
00:41:11.460 It's all burned down, even if my house survived.
00:41:13.780 So those people are going to say, well, I've got to move somewhere else.
00:41:18.060 What are they going to do?
00:41:20.000 They can't buy a house and then not get fire insurance if you just got burned out of your old place.
00:41:26.320 So there isn't really a solution because the value of the property is so inflated relative to its actual market value that there's no solution.
00:41:38.000 And I don't see one that if you straight line it, there's no solution.
00:41:44.940 So let me say it in a different way.
00:41:47.120 What you expected when you saw, oh, there's a big fire emergency.
00:41:51.400 How is this burden down?
00:41:53.280 It's really, really bad.
00:41:55.300 Did you say to yourself, well, this is a little worse than normal emergencies?
00:41:59.220 What will happen is, you know, FEMA will come in and, you know, people will adjust.
00:42:05.240 It's going to take a few years, but they're going to rebuild.
00:42:07.720 And then maybe it'd even be better than it was.
00:42:10.140 You know, they'll build better homes.
00:42:12.040 And, you know, we have to wait a few years, but we'll be back to normal.
00:42:16.160 That's not this.
00:42:18.080 This is unbuildable.
00:42:19.940 This is almost the total destruction of the entire Southern California.
00:42:24.940 What's that going to do to Northern California?
00:42:26.920 Well, who's going to pay for it?
00:42:29.620 Probably me.
00:42:30.880 So they're going to make Northern California, I think, unlivable because it'll be taxed like
00:42:37.640 crazy or they're going to have to steal some of our water or something.
00:42:41.860 But it's going to be completely unlivable.
00:42:44.260 If you assume the normal things are the only things that can happen, we are doomed.
00:42:50.940 Let me say it as clearly as possible.
00:42:53.260 If you assume normal business, normal recovery, normal emergency, normal rebuilding, nothing
00:43:01.080 like that's going to happen.
00:43:02.460 It can't.
00:43:03.680 It's economically impossible.
00:43:05.860 That was the first problem.
00:43:07.740 The reason we don't have insurance is because it was already economically impossible.
00:43:12.340 And we just added a trillion dollars to the insurance burden.
00:43:16.680 So where it was impossible before, now it's just laughable.
00:43:22.300 The insurance is not coming back.
00:43:24.560 They're not going to come back to the state because we tweaked something.
00:43:28.060 They can't afford these houses.
00:43:30.140 It's a terrible place to offer insurance at any price.
00:43:33.500 Because if you have to increase the price by 10x, which is what happened to me, nobody
00:43:38.980 can live there.
00:43:39.580 So is it the government's problem or the insurance company's problem?
00:43:45.560 A little of both.
00:43:47.260 More the government than the insurance company's.
00:43:50.220 But mostly it's that our property is completely, insanely overpriced.
00:43:56.160 Do you know what the real price of those homes should have been?
00:43:59.580 So let's say a $5 million home in Pacific Palisades in a place that did not have, they didn't know
00:44:06.420 it, but suppose they knew it, that it did not have protection from a major fire.
00:44:11.380 What would be the actual market price of the homes that built?
00:44:14.320 So they were selling for $5 million.
00:44:16.680 What would you pay for a home that's probably going to burn down?
00:44:21.140 Right?
00:44:22.100 You'd say to yourself, well, I mean, well, before it burns down, this is like heaven.
00:44:27.040 I'm told that was like the best place anybody ever lived in their life.
00:44:30.180 Like people really, really like that place.
00:44:32.740 So you might say, well, I don't know if it's going to burn down.
00:44:37.540 Yeah, I'm seeing the numbers.
00:44:38.840 $300,000?
00:44:40.600 Because if you lose $300,000, you might say, well, first of all, you could insure it.
00:44:46.920 The insurance companies would say, no, actually you couldn't.
00:44:49.720 You couldn't insure it because the rebuilding cost is what the insurance company would care
00:44:54.100 about.
00:44:54.780 And that would still be, you know, several million dollars.
00:44:58.660 So you'd have to, you'd have to buy it for something like $300,000, not insure it.
00:45:06.480 And then if you lost the entire $300,000 to a fire, just say, well, it's not the end of
00:45:12.480 my world.
00:45:13.480 Like I can, I can recover from that.
00:45:15.840 I'll just have to live somewhere else.
00:45:17.080 So the real problem, and by the way, this, uh, I should give credit to Friedberg on the
00:45:22.740 All In Pod because if, if any of the All In Pod guys are watching, they're, they're probably
00:45:27.700 saying, is he stealing Friedberg's point?
00:45:29.840 Yes.
00:45:30.560 Yes.
00:45:30.960 I'm stealing Friedberg's point because I hadn't, somehow that was a little bit invisible to
00:45:37.360 me because I was looking in the wrong place.
00:45:38.940 I was looking at the insurance and, you know, I wasn't looking at the house value.
00:45:42.420 Um, so that's the bad news.
00:45:47.840 The bad news is there is no mechanism for recovery.
00:45:52.520 The good news is we've got a new president.
00:45:56.720 Now, I think he would be unlikely to spend a trillion dollars to rebuild the same bad situation.
00:46:03.300 But suppose, as Joel Pollack pointed out in article on Breitbart, you, you happen to be
00:46:10.840 lucky enough to have the, you know, a great builder as a president.
00:46:15.280 And there's this fellow in Southern California named Caruso, who is also a developer.
00:46:23.780 And he's the one who lost narrowly to Karen Bass.
00:46:27.460 I think he's also a Democrat, but he's not a crazy Democrat.
00:46:32.400 He's a, can we do common sense Democrat?
00:46:35.140 A common sense Democrat with experience in building has my attention, but you need a lot
00:46:44.000 more.
00:46:45.000 I'm going to throw out some wild ideas in the spirit of brainstorming that isn't with good
00:46:50.600 ideas.
00:46:51.420 But if I throw out enough bad ideas, you're going to get the point that this is solvable.
00:46:57.240 All right.
00:46:57.960 So these are the bad ideas.
00:46:59.700 Suppose, uh, just for Southern California, maybe, maybe Northern as well, uh, the insurance
00:47:07.760 rules are changed so that individuals can offer insurance.
00:47:13.200 So in other words, somebody like me, I can just say, Hey, I'd like to put it, you know,
00:47:18.380 invest in California insurance, but I only want to invest in homes that have certain fireproofing
00:47:26.340 and or local, uh, local good management to get rid of the, the burnable stuff.
00:47:32.800 So I would say, okay, my neighborhood is, you know, in good shape.
00:47:37.720 Um, the, the, if something burned in my neighborhood, there's a lot of tile roofs.
00:47:44.720 Um, people have removed the trees.
00:47:47.400 Then I might say, Hmm.
00:47:49.320 Okay.
00:47:49.700 As a personal investment, I'll put a little money into this, uh, let's say, uh, crowdfunded
00:47:55.800 insurance.
00:47:57.660 Now it might be a good idea.
00:47:59.240 It might be a bad idea, but unlike the insurance company, if the insurance company takes a total
00:48:04.160 loss, they're out of business.
00:48:07.200 And I think they might be out of business after this.
00:48:09.740 But if I, as a personal investor said, you know what, I'm going to put a thousand dollars
00:48:14.040 into this because I think next year it could be worth, you know, uh, 1200.
00:48:20.940 And then if I lost my $1,200, I would say, Oh, darn.
00:48:25.780 And nothing would change.
00:48:27.220 I would just lose my $1,200.
00:48:29.480 You know, it was a financial bet.
00:48:31.020 Didn't work out.
00:48:32.060 So first of all, could you spread the bet to individuals?
00:48:37.120 And then would the crowd be smarter about picking the ones they want to back?
00:48:41.700 And when people found out they couldn't even get crowd backing, what would they have to
00:48:47.060 buy to get it?
00:48:49.500 Well, here's another idea.
00:48:51.100 Number one, you have to replace your roof because if your roof burns, I'm not giving
00:48:56.540 you insurance.
00:48:57.700 If you're in California and you have a flammable roof, I'm not giving you any insurance.
00:49:03.840 But if you want to buy a new roof, we can talk.
00:49:06.620 If, if you have a robot, let's, let's think ahead a little bit.
00:49:13.300 If you have a robot who's a private fireman and somehow the technology worked, I'd give
00:49:20.240 you a better deal because you as a human would leave the evacuation zone and your robot, which
00:49:26.280 is less burnable, would just stand there with a water pack and zap wherever an ember hits.
00:49:31.600 So we, the robot would just walk around the house and go and just zap the little embers
00:49:37.660 starting to affect your property.
00:49:40.360 Or like in my house, suppose I had trees that are a little too close to the house because
00:49:47.000 the house itself is, is quite resistant.
00:49:49.580 I built it to be super resistant to be fires.
00:49:52.140 By the way, I should tell you that it's, it was, it was built specifically to be resistant
00:49:56.060 to fires.
00:49:56.560 I designed it that way.
00:49:58.820 But the trees are too close, which makes it less resistant.
00:50:02.460 So somebody comes to me and they say, Scott, we'll give you some of this crowdsourced insurance,
00:50:07.800 but you got to get rid of these trees.
00:50:09.680 And then I say, oh, are you kidding?
00:50:11.960 This place, like these are really mature trees.
00:50:17.580 And they say, but no insurance.
00:50:19.800 And then I cut down the trees.
00:50:21.120 And then I, I'm a little bit unhappy, but I got insurance.
00:50:26.660 So could crowdsourcing get you to the point where individuals, maybe even in your town
00:50:34.720 can decide whether you're a good bet?
00:50:37.620 Because that's, that's what it might take.
00:50:41.140 Here's the other thing.
00:50:42.700 You know, you've seen pictures of people who had sprinklers on the roof and they would
00:50:48.080 just take the, I think it was a lawn sprinkler.
00:50:50.420 They just put it under the roof before they evacuated.
00:50:53.100 And it would just sort of keep the roof moist and kept it from burning in some cases, probably
00:50:58.220 not all cases, but some.
00:50:59.840 So maybe, maybe there's a new technology that we don't know about.
00:51:03.400 A roof sprinkler.
00:51:07.180 You know, something like that.
00:51:08.860 Maybe the insurance company would do the forest mitigation for the state because there's a
00:51:18.120 profit to be made.
00:51:19.200 If they can mitigate it, then they can sell the crowdsource insurance into the, into the
00:51:23.700 city.
00:51:24.380 Now, are any of those ideas good ideas?
00:51:27.980 Not really.
00:51:29.680 Not really.
00:51:30.740 They're, they're all incomplete.
00:51:31.840 But does it help you imagine that if we released on everything we've done before and just started
00:51:39.220 with a clean slate and said, all right, if you were going to invent this from scratch,
00:51:43.520 would it look anything like the current system?
00:51:46.200 And the answer is no.
00:51:47.520 If you invented it today from scratch, you'd use AI, you'd use, I don't know, just a lot
00:51:54.740 of different things.
00:51:55.340 So, um, and then maybe there's something with land values that have to be adjusted.
00:52:03.380 All right.
00:52:04.220 Um, when I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started
00:52:09.560 wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?
00:52:13.360 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans.
00:52:16.140 Are those from Winners?
00:52:17.860 Ooh, are those beautiful gold earrings?
00:52:20.260 Did she pay full price?
00:52:21.620 Or that leather tote?
00:52:22.600 Or that cashmere sweater?
00:52:23.540 Or those knee-high boots?
00:52:25.340 That dress?
00:52:26.100 That jacket?
00:52:26.780 Those shoes?
00:52:27.820 Is anyone paying full price for anything?
00:52:30.740 Stop wondering.
00:52:32.020 Start winning.
00:52:32.940 Winners find fabulous for less.
00:52:35.280 You may have heard that the leader of Black Lives Matter, Patrice Cullors, has lost two
00:52:41.360 of her three Los Angeles mansions in the wildfires.
00:52:45.180 So I'm not willing to say that DEI is the reason anybody lost their house.
00:52:51.160 I do think it's the reason that there's mass incompetence in general.
00:52:55.340 But if you're looking for any, you know, one tragedy and one person in charge, it doesn't
00:53:01.020 necessarily mean that DEI is there.
00:53:02.840 But the irony of the simulation is that the person you would imagine most associated with
00:53:09.680 DEI got her house, two of her three houses that she didn't deserve burned down by DEI.
00:53:16.260 And that's kind of perfect.
00:53:19.720 Now, again, I'm not saying it's DEI, but that's going to be the narrative about it.
00:53:25.220 All right.
00:53:26.960 Newsom went on a podcast, Governor Newsom, and he was blaming local leaders for the problem.
00:53:32.660 So he wanted to make sure you knew it wasn't necessarily the state leadership that he's in
00:53:37.260 charge of.
00:53:38.080 It was rather the local leaders.
00:53:40.640 Local leaders.
00:53:42.960 So the white guy governor thinks the problem is the local leaders.
00:53:50.720 Is there anything about the local leaders that's worth noting?
00:53:55.500 Does it sound to you like local leaders is the racist dog whistle that a Democrat can use?
00:54:05.000 Yeah.
00:54:05.740 It wasn't the white governor of the state.
00:54:09.700 It was the local leaders.
00:54:13.500 Do you hear it?
00:54:14.880 Or is it just me?
00:54:16.400 Do you hear the racist dog whistle?
00:54:18.140 Well, I feel like local leaders just has a little bit of a vibe of racism without using
00:54:27.640 the words.
00:54:29.380 I don't know.
00:54:30.120 Maybe it's just me.
00:54:31.040 That's the way it hit me.
00:54:32.340 I certainly can't read his mind, but it's the way it hit me.
00:54:37.600 Sounds like a dog whistle to me.
00:54:40.260 According to the Climate Change Dispatch, California actually had record rainfall in, I think it was
00:54:46.000 last year, and didn't save it because we don't have the right kind of reservoirs, and we haven't
00:54:53.260 built many reservoirs since forever, so poor long-term planning.
00:55:00.320 Those people who say that it's climate change caused the dryness are ignoring the fact that
00:55:05.600 California has always had a highly variable climate when it comes to rain.
00:55:10.840 The most common thing in California in my entire life is that, oh, it's a few years of drought.
00:55:18.220 Oh, it's a few years of too much rain.
00:55:20.940 Oh, we're back to a few years of drought.
00:55:23.840 Oh, it's too much rain.
00:55:26.460 All you had to do is save the rain from the too much rain year, and you would have plenty
00:55:30.860 for the not enough rain year, at least for fire, maybe not for drinking.
00:55:34.720 So, yes, that would be a case of bad management.
00:55:40.060 Brentwood is under evacuation orders.
00:55:42.060 Brentwood's that famous rich place where people like Kamala Harris, LeBron James, and
00:55:48.100 Arnold Schwarzenegger live, and O.J. lived.
00:55:52.800 On top of that, so Schwarzenegger says, you know, don't worry about me, and of course we
00:55:59.580 weren't.
00:55:59.980 It's funny, Schwarzenegger tells the public, you know, don't worry about me, I'll be fine.
00:56:07.280 And I think the entire public said, we know.
00:56:11.840 We weren't really worried about the people so rich they have multiple homes and, you know,
00:56:16.740 $500 million or whatever he's worth.
00:56:19.540 No, we weren't worried.
00:56:20.600 But, apparently, Kamala Harris' house got burglarized, or at least there's a report that there were
00:56:28.700 people there who looked like they were going to burglarize it and got caught.
00:56:33.440 Now, there is now, that means there's a non-zero chance that Brentwood could burn down and Kamala
00:56:41.380 Harris' house.
00:56:42.360 That's what I call a bad year.
00:56:47.700 Can you imagine losing the presidential race to Hitler and within a few months your house
00:56:56.420 burns down?
00:56:57.720 So she's out of a job.
00:56:59.480 Her career is destroyed.
00:57:01.800 Her husband was outed as a girlfriend beater.
00:57:06.360 And then her house gets burned down, if it happens.
00:57:10.160 I mean, let me say as clearly as possible, I don't want that to happen.
00:57:14.860 I don't want that to happen.
00:57:15.960 I don't want anybody's house to burn down.
00:57:17.980 I don't care what they did to me or didn't do to me or the bad things they did.
00:57:21.940 I don't really want anybody's house to burn down, except for the Black Lives Matter woman
00:57:25.720 who has three mansions that look to be entirely based on, you know.
00:57:34.700 So she would be an exception.
00:57:38.060 But no, I don't want Kamala Harris' house to burn down, just to be clear.
00:57:42.320 Wall Street Journal says the fire is 15% contained.
00:57:45.280 And you think, oh, good.
00:57:46.700 They went from 3% to 15%.
00:57:48.380 We're in good shape.
00:57:49.640 We'll just keep going.
00:57:50.420 Nope, the wind is coming back, and they should lose that whole 15 in the next day or two.
00:57:56.440 That's the current forecast.
00:57:57.640 The next week's going to be hairy.
00:57:59.160 So we don't know how far this fire is going to go.
00:58:02.740 But let me teach you something about numbers.
00:58:06.520 Yesterday, I saw a report that one of the fires was 3% contained.
00:58:13.480 Do you know it's not a thing?
00:58:15.920 3% contained.
00:58:17.460 That's not a thing.
00:58:18.280 Do you think that they can measure 3% containment?
00:58:23.080 No, 3% is zero.
00:58:25.040 But they want you to think that they're doing something.
00:58:27.700 So they go from zero to 3%.
00:58:29.600 There's no difference.
00:58:31.460 There's no difference between 3% contained and 0% contained.
00:58:35.800 That's just something you say so the news will report it.
00:58:38.540 And people go, oh, well, looks like they've gone from zero to three in just a week.
00:58:44.120 So it's picking up.
00:58:45.920 No, it's not picking up.
00:58:46.920 3% zero.
00:58:49.220 Same number.
00:58:50.840 Same number.
00:58:52.740 All right.
00:58:54.420 Elon Musk.
00:58:55.200 I saw a post, but I didn't see the exact words and didn't write it down.
00:58:58.340 But it sounded like he said that in 2021, Elon Musk has set out to destroy the woke mind virus.
00:59:05.100 And now he's declaring success.
00:59:07.500 Do you think the woke mind virus is destroyed?
00:59:13.380 I'm going to give him the win on that.
00:59:16.020 I think he destroyed the woke mind virus.
00:59:18.760 I don't think Trump did.
00:59:19.960 I think Elon Musk did.
00:59:23.380 He said he would do it.
00:59:25.220 He did all the things that you would do if you were trying to get rid of it.
00:59:30.880 And it does look like people can now talk about it being ridiculous.
00:59:35.300 So you've got both Democrats, prominent Democrats, at least in the pundit class, as well as Republicans say, yeah, all that stuff.
00:59:43.240 The woke mind virus was overblown, overdone, ridiculous.
00:59:47.700 It lacked common sense.
00:59:49.380 Yes, Elon Musk set out to destroy the woke mind virus and got it done.
00:59:58.180 And boy, did he take he for that and still is.
01:00:02.180 I mean, the amount, I mean, he had to have beef up his personal security.
01:00:06.720 I mean, he took a chance on your behalf, his as well, but on your behalf as well.
01:00:14.140 And good for him.
01:00:16.220 Good for him.
01:00:16.760 But just to make his day better, there was a former in the UK, a Labour MP, so part of the government.
01:00:25.940 So he's recently out of it.
01:00:27.580 But he was one of the people who publicly criticized Elon Musk on British TV last week for when Elon was criticizing Keir Starmer.
01:00:39.920 And it was all about the all about the I don't want to say it because I'll get demonetized.
01:00:45.660 Demonetized, you know, you're all following the story.
01:00:49.520 So so this guy complained.
01:00:53.200 About the complaints.
01:00:55.920 About the serious crimes against young people.
01:00:59.740 And he the guy who complained about it or complained about the complaints about it just was arrested for attempting to have a meetup with a 15 year old boy.
01:01:11.600 So, you know, you know, that thing where you wonder, are the governments of the developed worlds all terrible sex criminals and transvestites and in the closet and every other kind of thing you can think of?
01:01:28.740 Is it really that and that they're all in place as puppets?
01:01:37.200 It might be.
01:01:38.920 You know, I heard from.
01:01:40.360 Of course, this is not confirmed that Justin Trudeau was never really the head of the country and that he literally thought of himself as a relationship manager and all of the real decisions were made by other people.
01:01:56.460 So the other people are the ones who say, yeah, he doesn't really do anything.
01:02:01.160 He's just a relationship manager.
01:02:03.000 And they've also alleged and I don't know if this is true, but they allege that he also didn't really pay attention to the news and didn't know what was going on.
01:02:11.120 So when you saw him talk, you would say to yourself, I did anyway.
01:02:14.320 You probably did, too.
01:02:15.360 It's like, does he even watch the news?
01:02:19.440 Trudeau looked like somebody who wasn't even informed about anything.
01:02:23.840 And then the politician said, yeah, he wasn't informed about anything because he didn't need to make any decisions.
01:02:29.260 He was just supposed to go out there and say happy stuff.
01:02:32.060 That's what it looked like.
01:02:33.820 Now, that seems too much hyperbole to me.
01:02:36.900 I think he must have had some real power.
01:02:40.500 But what if he didn't?
01:02:43.020 What if the entire system is just people behind the scenes making sure they have the most blackmailable person in the top job?
01:02:50.860 Because it sure as hell looks like it.
01:02:52.760 And that would make you understand why there was so much resistance to Trump, because he's quite clearly not that.
01:02:59.940 Whatever Trump is, he doesn't look like a puppet.
01:03:04.060 But maybe that's what it is.
01:03:05.540 It's all puppets.
01:03:08.080 I had somebody come after me today who had pronouns in his profile.
01:03:13.240 Incident block.
01:03:14.080 I'm never going to have another conversation with somebody who has pronouns in their profile.
01:03:19.640 You know, I used to do it.
01:03:20.960 Like I'd respond to them and say, well, here's my point of view.
01:03:25.440 I'm not going to talk to anybody with pronouns in their profile.
01:03:28.720 And I recommend that you don't either.
01:03:31.960 Because whatever they have to say, it can't possibly be useful.
01:03:37.360 Could it?
01:03:38.880 Like, just don't waste your time talking to anybody who thinks that's their priority enough to put it in their profile.
01:03:45.120 Meanwhile, over at the MSNBC Comedy Network, that's what I call it.
01:03:54.060 It's not intentional, but it's pretty funny.
01:03:57.100 So they had some commentator.
01:03:59.140 I don't know his name, but his haircut looked like a paintbrush.
01:04:03.600 Do you know which one it is?
01:04:05.340 He has this big, like a giant paintbrush on his head.
01:04:08.800 But anyway, he was talking about the Carter funeral and how all the leaders were just sort of chatting friendly.
01:04:17.420 And he said this, quote, there was something strange about seeing multiple leaders who have warned that this guy, meaning Trump, is a dictatorship on the horizon, fascism on the horizon, the end of the American experiment.
01:04:30.080 Now, just because of the rituals of the funeral, so that's what he's blaming, he's blaming the rituals of a funeral, he says it is normalized by default.
01:04:43.380 We're just sitting and making small talk with a guy who we have said is going to end everything.
01:04:49.160 So remember I said, what's going to happen to Democrat brains when reality is thrust upon them?
01:04:57.760 Well, here's an example.
01:05:00.080 So instead of the more obvious interpretation that the entire Democrat Party was lying about Trump, which to me seems super obvious, the MSNBC take, and I actually think he means this.
01:05:16.640 I think this is his actual take.
01:05:18.640 I don't think he sat around saying, what lie can I tell that?
01:05:21.420 I think he thinks this.
01:05:22.300 He thinks the problem, if you can call it that, is that the funeral forced everybody to act, you know, responsible, and that that's the reason that they were joking and talking to Hitler.
01:05:37.080 No, that's not why.
01:05:40.220 No, it's because, no, not that guy, not Eli Weasel, there's some other guy.
01:05:45.720 So he looks like a, more like one of those mushroom balls.
01:05:51.700 So I'm talking about the paintbrush hair, not the mushroom ball.
01:05:56.960 Anyway.
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01:06:58.960 So I'm amazed at Democrats to look at something as obvious as this and decide that it's the funeral rituals that explain everything.
01:07:10.180 The funeral rituals.
01:07:11.760 Nope.
01:07:13.260 Can I be clear about this?
01:07:15.680 I would not attend a funeral for somebody who was not related to me and wasn't my best friend under any condition if I were going to be sitting next to and chatting with Hitler.
01:07:28.160 That's just me.
01:07:29.140 No, if he really, if any of the things they said about him were true, they would not have attended or they would have disinvited, made sure that the, you know, the Hitler got disinvited.
01:07:43.020 The whole thing was always a lie.
01:07:45.300 And MSNBC is the biggest purveyor of it.
01:07:49.120 Well, in surprising, but maybe not so much, news, the LA Times owner has invited Mark Andreessen to be on his board.
01:07:58.640 So you might know that the LA Times' newish owner, Dr. Pat Soon-Shiong, decided not to endorse Kamala Harris.
01:08:08.060 And then people said, whoa, whoa, are you not as Democrat as we thought?
01:08:14.380 You're not as lefty as we thought?
01:08:16.480 Well, he did vote for Kamala Harris.
01:08:18.760 So the owner of the LA Times voted for her, but he didn't endorse her because he didn't want the newspaper to be, you know, just a biased entity.
01:08:30.040 So he got, you know, tons of hate for that because he was trying to be, you know, middle of the road.
01:08:35.440 But inviting Mark Andreessen to be on your board of your newspaper, that sends a whole different message.
01:08:42.860 Do you know what message that sends?
01:08:44.840 That he's going to turn Republican?
01:08:46.800 Nope.
01:08:48.120 Nope.
01:08:48.900 That he just wants to put on some window dressing so it looks like he's being, seeing both sides?
01:08:55.700 Nope.
01:08:57.180 I think he wants a common sense guy.
01:09:00.040 I think Mark Andreessen is sort of the ultimate common sense guy.
01:09:04.140 If you listen to him, you can use your imagination to like, well, is he Republican?
01:09:10.960 Because you can almost hear it, but you can't.
01:09:14.220 Like, I don't know if he's Republican.
01:09:15.760 I don't know what he is.
01:09:17.300 But I can tell you that every time he talks, it makes sense.
01:09:20.960 He goes for the things that are common sense, not the philosophy, not the weird stuff, not the stuff that's clearly going to, you know, be here with us and then go away.
01:09:28.760 But like, real, permanent, logical, rational stuff.
01:09:33.060 Yeah, he'd be great.
01:09:35.220 I would rather him be the governor of California.
01:09:40.100 If I had a choice, Mark Andreessen, governor of California, big yes.
01:09:45.900 Big yes.
01:09:46.480 Schellenberger, yes.
01:09:49.480 Yes.
01:09:50.400 You know, I can name a few other names.
01:09:53.320 But yeah, there's some people that I'd like to see to get that job.
01:09:57.380 And Andreessen would be right in my shortest list at the top.
01:10:01.260 So that's good.
01:10:03.720 That seems like the Trump effect in the sense that I don't think the L.A. Times could do what we're seeing, meaning the owner, Dr. Pat Soon-Shiong.
01:10:14.020 I don't think he could do it without that Trump effect being just what it is, where everybody's got a little freedom to say what they want.
01:10:21.080 All right.
01:10:26.840 Here's the thing you need to know about we Californians.
01:10:31.840 It kind of sneaks up on you, so you don't realize it until it's done.
01:10:35.280 But we don't really have the right to own homes in California because there's a thing called property tax.
01:10:43.220 And if you don't pay your property tax, they'll take your home.
01:10:45.920 So you don't really own a home if you're paying somebody else to live in it.
01:10:51.220 That's not ownership.
01:10:52.620 But then you say to me, well, but Scott, if you sell it, you get to keep the money.
01:10:56.280 How am I going to sell my home?
01:10:59.980 Who would buy anything in California at the moment?
01:11:03.200 So I can't sell it.
01:11:05.480 And I don't own it.
01:11:07.640 But, well, OK, you know, when I die, I can leave it to my heirs.
01:11:12.520 Do you know what would be left of my net wealth after after state and federal taxes and death taxes?
01:11:20.780 Nothing.
01:11:23.100 Well, it's not nothing, but it'd be like less than half.
01:11:28.040 So, no, we're we're basically living in a DEI managed racist hellscape.
01:11:33.440 And here's the other problem.
01:11:36.900 People keep saying, and I just said it a moment ago, we keep saying that all we need is to get capable and competent people in the top jobs and then everything will be OK.
01:11:49.780 There's no mechanism for that to happen.
01:11:53.240 If the Democrats have as much control over the system as it looks like, you can't get incompetent people in office.
01:11:59.920 It's all going to be, you know, DEI incompetence.
01:12:05.620 And there's nothing that's going to change that.
01:12:08.260 You haven't seen a single thing from anything official like in the government where they would say, you know what, maybe California should pull back from DEI.
01:12:17.920 And let me say something.
01:12:20.260 I hate to help them.
01:12:22.020 But on the other hand, that would be good.
01:12:23.300 The most unlikely thing I could imagine is Governor Newsom saying, I'd like to make DEI illegal in California.
01:12:33.680 Now, you're going to say to yourself, there's no freaking way that's going to happen.
01:12:37.400 You know, the head, the potential guy who might run for president as a Democrat is going to, do you think he's going to disown the single most important thing that Democrats do?
01:12:50.280 Well, here's the thing.
01:12:52.260 No matter how much you love or hate Gavin Newsom, even the people who don't like him seem to say grudgingly, he's kind of good at this politics stuff.
01:13:02.860 That's why he's governor.
01:13:04.480 So if he's good at the politics stuff, and in my personal opinion, destroying California is unforgivable, even if the local leaders are the reason.
01:13:13.680 If he did something big and bold and commonsensical, like saying, you know what, we've got to get competent people, we've got to get, you know, we've got to bring in, we've got to get rid of DEI.
01:13:30.160 Could he become president if he was the most prominent Democrat who said, guys, we've got to stop this?
01:13:37.240 You know, I won't have any of it.
01:13:38.660 DEI is a losing proposition.
01:13:40.680 It's basically racist.
01:13:42.240 We tried it and it didn't work out.
01:13:44.160 We have to pivot.
01:13:45.120 That would put him right back on the top of the leaderboard for president.
01:13:51.040 I don't know if he could do it, but the thing I'm positive about is that he's smart enough to know he should.
01:13:59.280 Or that he couldn't get elected without doing it.
01:14:02.620 Anyway, I think I missed the main point I was going to make earlier, which is because Trump is a builder and one of the people who ran for mayor but lost Caruso is a builder.
01:14:14.420 That you can imagine the two of them getting together and saying, what regulations do we need to get rid of right away?
01:14:21.640 And you could revitalize California by massively changing the regulatory environment.
01:14:28.500 Could the two of them get it done?
01:14:30.700 Well, neither of them is the governor of California.
01:14:34.780 So I don't know.
01:14:36.220 But maybe some kind of federalizing things would work.
01:14:39.600 Mike Cernovich raised over $100,000.
01:14:42.000 I think it was over $130,000.
01:14:44.420 For Californians who are displaced and need some food, he's working with Chef Gruul, who is doing the hard work of the cooking and delivering the food.
01:14:55.160 Was doing it, I believe, on his own dime until Cernovich stepped in with $10,000 of his own money.
01:15:02.880 And he raised $130,000 above that, I think.
01:15:06.240 I think that's the right number.
01:15:07.800 And that's pretty impressive.
01:15:10.380 So I don't know how the other states worked out.
01:15:15.280 I imagine it's the same in the sense that the people who had the ability to step in are stepping in.
01:15:22.000 So I'm trying to do my part in a variety of ways.
01:15:25.240 And not all of that would be public.
01:15:27.500 But I'm hoping a lot of people are doing a lot of non-public things to help out.
01:15:31.360 So that's pretty amazing.
01:15:36.960 All right.
01:15:40.180 Here's the...
01:15:41.860 Yeah, I think I already talked about that.
01:15:43.160 The American Psychological Association is urging the FTC, according to the Futurism publication by Maggie Harrison Dupre,
01:15:54.460 urges the FTC to investigate AI chatbots that are claiming to be therapists and offering free therapy.
01:16:01.940 So the human therapists are saying, hey, there's AI therapists online, and they're pretending to be real people because they're deep fakes.
01:16:12.260 Now, their complaint is simply that they're not labeled.
01:16:17.120 So, so far, they're not complaining that they might give you bad advice, although probably they think that.
01:16:23.000 The complaint is they're not labeled.
01:16:24.780 Now, that's a decent complaint.
01:16:26.000 I think the consumer should absolutely know if they're talking to an AI.
01:16:31.720 They absolutely should know.
01:16:33.080 However, I would like to nominate therapists at the top of the list for being replaced by AI.
01:16:41.680 Do you really think that your $200 or $400 an hour, I don't know what it costs,
01:16:47.120 do you think that your once a week, one hour therapist is going to be anywhere near as good as the one you can talk to all day long as much as you want,
01:16:57.100 and it can answer all the same questions, it has all the same skills, and acts just like a human?
01:17:02.280 It's not really going to be close.
01:17:04.920 Now, at the moment, I would imagine the human is well beyond what the AI currently can do.
01:17:12.940 But how long?
01:17:15.700 End of the year?
01:17:16.480 I think therapy might be one of the things that goes first to AI.
01:17:22.280 Meanwhile, here's a fake news story, in my opinion, but maybe there's just something wrong in the way it was written.
01:17:30.640 It's in the Express publication, and it says that over in Ukraine, there are these butterfly drones.
01:17:41.060 So they've got a big shipment, 30,000 drones coming in from the U.K., and they say that these drones are so light and nimble that they look like a child's toy,
01:17:53.900 but they have a machine gun, but they have a machine gun, and they can carry a soldier out of the war zone.
01:18:02.580 No, no, there's no drone that's the size of a child's toy, and it has a machine gun on it.
01:18:11.260 And certainly, it's not carrying any soldiers the size of a child's toy.
01:18:17.140 No, no, no, I don't know what's wrong with the story.
01:18:21.240 I don't know if any of it's right.
01:18:23.340 Maybe the entire thing's made up.
01:18:25.280 But no, no, you're not putting a machine gun on something the size of a child's drone toy.
01:18:31.340 Weird.
01:18:33.300 But it says it has an operational range of 12.5 miles and can operate autonomously for up to three days
01:18:41.040 and has this machine gun on it and a mobile turret, and it's got four.
01:18:46.100 Oh, it's also got, listen to this, it's got fourth-class protection armor,
01:18:50.220 so you can even shoot it, and if you don't shoot it too many times or too hard, it'll survive being shot.
01:18:59.120 Remember?
01:18:59.960 Size of a child's toy.
01:19:01.340 Size of a child has a machine gun, can operate autonomously for three days,
01:19:08.180 and it can take direct fire.
01:19:14.460 None of that can be true.
01:19:16.480 Does anybody believe any of that?
01:19:18.060 I don't think any of it's true.
01:19:20.220 But who knows?
01:19:21.540 Maybe I'm wrong.
01:19:24.480 Anyway, that's all I got for you today.
01:19:27.420 I'm going to talk to the locals, people privately,
01:19:29.840 and the rest of you, I'll see you tomorrow.
01:19:34.700 Thanks for joining.
01:19:36.040 I hope your day gets better.
01:19:39.060 Better than whatever it was.
01:19:40.360 Let's see.
01:19:40.860 I'll see you tomorrow.
01:19:41.040 Have a little bit.
01:19:41.340 Good luck.
01:19:41.760 Good luck.
01:19:42.400 Let's see you tomorrow.
01:19:42.920 Good luck.
01:19:43.000 Good luck.
01:19:43.500 сч best.
01:19:44.420 Good luck.
01:19:44.960 Good luck.
01:19:45.220 E aí, folks.
01:19:45.940 fortune I guess.