Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2725 CWSA 01⧸19⧸25

00:00:00.000 there you are

00:00:00.480 let me get all ready for this show

00:00:04.720 we need comments we need lighting we need notes we're going to have it all

00:00:12.520 all right we got comments

00:00:17.040 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization so far

00:00:34.440 if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with

00:00:39.300 their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup of mugger a glass of tanker chalice 1.00

00:00:44.140 stein a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:49.900 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes

00:00:54.760 everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:00:59.460 delicious all right i'd like to start out with two corrections 0.75

00:01:11.560 assassins uh these would both go into the category of man i'm stupid um so yesterday 0.90

00:01:17.920 uh i confused the two assassins because they're both white guys with rifles who didn't get it done 0.97

00:01:25.680 and i thought that the i'd forgotten for a moment that the first one was dead on the scene and it

00:01:32.420 was only the second one who survived so no there was no way that trump could go talk to the guy in

00:01:37.160 prison because he's pretty dead so that's the first correction the other the other one i can't

00:01:43.560 believe i just found this out today that uh when i said that david axelrod was the attorney for cnn

00:01:49.580 and jake tapper in their lawsuit i just assumed it was david axelrod the one who's on the show

00:01:56.200 and they just figured oh you're you're an attorney i didn't know he was maybe he's not but it turns out

00:02:02.400 it's a whole different david axelrod so david axelrod on tv

00:02:07.620 on cnn is a different one from david axelrod the lawyer who defended them from the lawsuit

00:02:15.960 now that's my fault of course but i just have to say there are too many david axelrods associated

00:02:24.560 with cnn they just need fewer of them that would make everything better for us

00:02:28.000 if you're not following dilbert which you can only see on subscription these days either on x

00:02:33.860 subscribe on x under my account or on locals you would know that today's the day the fire

00:02:40.640 reaches his house and dilbert is going to stay behind and try to save his house

00:02:46.340 so i don't want to give you a spoiler but he might die 0.84

00:02:50.920 and he might not you never know it's a comic i can kill him anytime i want 0.79

00:02:58.000 well you'll be amazed to learn according to nutrients some publication called nutrients

00:03:04.760 coffee intake makes males more sociable and women more attractive according to studies of mice 0.89

00:03:12.380 uh how do they know that the mice

00:03:16.980 are think each other is more attractive or i don't know but i don't care if it says coffee is good for you

00:03:27.540 i'm all in um did you know and again this is a big surprise according to surrey live and samantha leathers

00:03:36.620 um it turns out that exercise is good for your mental health huh huh just like every single day

00:03:43.400 we hear another story study but here's the interesting part uh it's not it's not every kind of exercise is

00:03:51.380 equally good but rather for uh for men it was better to do yoga and peong

00:04:00.060 i'm sure i pronounced that right kee gong kee gong we gong

00:04:05.900 you know that's where they the old people get in the park and go 1.00

00:04:10.060 like that that was my that was my impression of kee gong i don't know if i'm pronouncing that

00:04:19.840 that's a word i've read a million times but i've never heard a single person say it out loud

00:04:23.520 anyway so it's better for men to do yoga and this kee gong stuff and for women it might be better to do

00:04:30.340 strength training uh but jogging and walking are good for everybody um did we really need a study

00:04:40.500 when you can kind of just look around and the people who exercise every day are clearly happier

00:04:46.620 than the people who don't is that not screamingly obvious in your own life that if you see somebody

00:04:54.020 who's like really fit because they exercise every day they're almost always in a reasonably good

00:04:59.440 mental health now some of this is cause and effect being reversed if you're depressed it's pretty hard

00:05:05.940 to work out impossible really if you have actual you know real mental depression getting out of bed

00:05:12.700 it's almost impossible so some of it is the correlation is backwards but some of it is clearly causation

00:05:18.480 you know if you've been exercising since you're a kid you're almost certainly to be better off

00:05:23.060 mentally the tiktok ban has gone into action and the tiktok lovers are hoping that trump will save

00:05:31.220 them when he's officially in power tomorrow um and i think he will but at least with a 90-day

00:05:38.380 presidential extension i don't know if you knew this but the the ban has built into it that the

00:05:45.660 sitting president whoever it is can extend it for 90 days extend uh extend the pause before the ban

00:05:55.580 so he can put off the ban for 90 days which would be reversing it for 90 days and he can do that under

00:06:01.820 the condition that there's some kind of deal or sale being worked on and it's not complete now it's not

00:06:09.900 exactly true that anybody's maybe getting close to negotiating um a deal to buy it but there are two

00:06:17.980 possibilities out there the perplexity app which is an ai app on a search engine it's the best thing ever

00:06:25.140 i recommend it all the time uh jeff bezos is one of the backers of that and they've offered to somehow

00:06:31.580 merge with tiktok but not take the algorithm so some think the algorithm is the expensive part

00:06:39.580 and so they would pay less they'd build the algorithm themselves i don't know if that's going to happen

00:06:46.700 but at least it would be enough for trump to say oh well somebody's noodling on a deal that's close

00:06:52.460 enough so i'll i'll give them 90 days to see if they can do it but also kevin o'leary the shark tank star

00:06:59.580 an entrepreneur he's working with some group of investors and billionaire frank mccourt and they

00:07:06.380 put together a 20 billion dollar cash offer which i think tiktok has just rejected some people think

00:07:11.580 it's worth 50 billion if you bought the algorithm with it um but here's the thing that's puzzling me

00:07:20.300 senator paul rand who in my opinion is almost always right and well informed unlike his his some of his

00:07:29.020 peers and but he said that the real reason to use his words the real reason for the tiktok ban was

00:07:35.340 censorship is that what you think do we ban it for censorship meaning that oh man

00:07:47.180 uh i just suddenly got really sick so i might have to cut this short if i got it short wow

00:07:54.220 i'm having an event here live on live stream

00:08:02.860 all right let's see if i can make that pass

00:08:06.060 um but rand paul says that the real reason for the tiktok ban was censorship

00:08:12.140 that's sort of true but it's not the big picture

00:08:15.420 the sort of true part is that uh the israel the israel stuff um when tiktok turned more

00:08:25.500 anti-israel than pro-israel some say that the you know israeli lobby kicked in and got the congress

00:08:32.700 to ban it i think that's true as the trigger you know that's the the most you know that was like the

00:08:38.940 final straw or something but it's not the big reason the big reason is you don't want china to have a 1.00

00:08:45.660 button they can push to change america's minds and wow um apparently that has happened there was a study

00:08:54.860 that showed that tiktok was pretty anti-israel in terms of the quantity of content one direction versus

00:09:01.980 the other so i wonder if does rand paul not know that the real problem is the persuasion risk in the

00:09:09.740 future it's not so much that there was one particular issue about israel and and the propaganda on that

00:09:17.980 so i don't know what what is up with rand paul why doesn't he just say or does he not know is it

00:09:25.180 possible he doesn't know that the real risk is future persuasion i just don't know and and why would

00:09:31.580 you equate a free speech platform that could be manipulated by your adversary with a free speech

00:09:38.380 platform that could be manipulated potentially by your own country how in the world does anybody think

00:09:46.380 that's about the same let me give you an analogy would you hand a gun to your friend before you would

00:09:55.500 hand a gun to your enemy which one makes sense to you it's it's the same gun wait wait why would you

00:10:02.060 trade it differently people don't censor it it's the same thing it's the same exact thing a gun so why

00:10:11.180 would you discriminate who you gave it to an enemy who wants to shoot you versus your friend who wants

00:10:16.140 to protect you why is it different i don't see any difference to you i'm rand paul i don't see any

00:10:21.740 difference uh well it's it's gone both times right i don't get it so what's up with that now to be fair

00:10:30.700 when he says it's censorship he is probably talking about the specific you know israeli situation

00:10:39.340 um but is he using censorship as influence and he didn't think that the influence should be cancelled

00:10:48.700 i don't know um if it was organic then then it's a free speech issue so maybe that's the way to put

00:10:57.900 it yeah if the thing that got cancelled for was actually just happening on its own and and china

00:11:03.900 didn't push any buttons it was just a natural phenomena of what the tiktokers thought because

00:11:09.420 they're a certain age and then below a certain age they're not as pro-israel so maybe it was organic

00:11:15.820 if they stopped something that was organic that's just pure censorship if they stopped something

00:11:22.060 that was because china had already pushed the button and we have no way to know 0.84

00:11:27.180 well then we'd be stopping a weapon of mass destruction pretty different

00:11:35.340 anyway it opens the question what would happen if ai starts saying bad things about israel

00:11:40.140 we know what happens when tiktok does that's pretty clear but what happens when ai does well

00:11:52.700 maybe we'll find out because it turns out there's a school that was using an ai emulation of anne frank

00:11:59.260 to teach the kids about that situation except this is reported in the bite by joe wilkins he says

00:12:05.820 um that because um that because ai likes to show both sides

00:12:12.140 so you know the ai doesn't like to say somebody's right and somebody's wrong

00:12:16.860 so the the a the ai and frank

00:12:23.580 it uh

00:12:25.660 it seemed to be trained to avoid uh blaming the nazis for what happened

00:12:30.940 and it tries to redirect the conversation into a more positive light yeah let's not be so divisive

00:12:39.340 about this you know let's try to treat this one right down the middle

00:12:45.500 all right well i'd assume that's not going to last very long but uh does it does it begs the question

00:12:52.860 if we can you know get out of the get out of the israel nazi mode just in general

00:12:58.300 news in general can ai ever be the one who tells you what's true

00:13:05.020 i don't think it can because whoever makes it and owns it and benefits from it has an opinion

00:13:10.940 and they're going to want to put their opinion in the ai because they're going to think it's a real

00:13:15.100 one and all the other opinions don't count so now there's no way that ai is ever going to be

00:13:19.740 able to tell you the truth that's not there's no way there's not any logical way it could ever

00:13:24.780 do it it could know the truth that's a thing it could know the truth it can't possibly tell the

00:13:31.020 truth over time anyway uh national security advisor jake sullivan was saying that it was

00:13:37.660 his last time at the podium and then he dropped this little scary thing he goes i hope this is my

00:13:42.700 last time at this podium because you know last day of the administration he says the only thing

00:13:47.740 that would bring me back is an unexpected event in the next few days wait what what the national

00:13:58.620 security advisor the guy who has access to all the secret stuff top secret clearance knows exactly

00:14:04.220 what the democrats are doing knows exactly what foreign countries may or may not be planning

00:14:09.980 the only thing that would bring me back is an unexpected event in the next few days

00:14:18.300 what um so it does sound scary it sounds scary like you know he's he knows of some plan to do

00:14:27.580 something bad but the other the other possibility is that he did it before his last day if he said

00:14:33.660 that before his actual last day in office then if there was some big event and trump had not been

00:14:39.100 inaugurated yet presumably he would come back so i don't think he meant it as some kind of scary

00:14:45.740 you know something's coming foreshadowing i think he just meant i'm not officially done with the job

00:14:53.820 is that fair because he wasn't officially done with the job so if something big happened

00:14:59.420 the next day or so he would in fact come back so that's my interpretation um i i it didn't turn

00:15:06.460 into a bigger story so i think it's just a interpretation thing ontario the wait is over

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00:16:05.180 restrictions apply see golden nugget casino.com for details please play responsibly meanwhile cnn did a

00:16:13.260 big story yesterday that just blew my mind so as aaron burnett was talking to a correspondent who knew how

00:16:20.540 china was reacting to trump's election and it's not what you think how do you think the chinese citizens

00:16:29.180 are reacting to trump's election well according to cnn and this this is part of the story it's cnn

00:16:36.140 saying it that's almost bigger than the story itself watch this cnn did an extended segment

00:16:43.500 in which the entire point of it was that the chinese public really likes trump uh and he's

00:16:51.020 sort of a celebrity star over there they're making merchandise with his face on it in china they have

00:16:58.140 merchandise and a lot of it is pro pro trump and um so he's got he even has positive nicknames

00:17:07.500 so over there they have some kind of you know very positive nickname for him and they're all talking about

00:17:11.660 him and and uh president she is sending the highest ranking person who's ever gone to an inauguration 0.87

00:17:18.620 his vp and uh wow so cnn definitely seems to be trying to adjust and find that middle ground

00:17:28.860 where they're not so just always anti-trump all the time more to that point jim acosta the

00:17:35.740 correspondent slash host who is had been trump's biggest nemesis and one of the biggest liars on cnn

00:17:44.460 um he got moved to the midnight hour so he went from 10 a.m where he was doing so well he was beating

00:17:51.580 some of the prime time shows so there was nothing wrong with his uh his uh numbers relative to the other 0.54

00:17:59.260 numbers um and so that seems like a pretty big trump win if cnn wants to move their most ridiculous guy

00:18:13.260 to midnight where nobody will watch him and nobody's gonna watch him at midnight he's done as an influence

00:18:19.100 um that's a pretty big deal but uh time magazines is handling it differently

00:18:28.780 so time magazine has an article in which they're helpfully suggesting to democrats who are

00:18:34.780 going to be very sad on inauguration day that maybe they should cope with it by forming crying groups

00:18:40.780 so they can get together and cry together uh and also something about walking through the forest to

00:18:47.900 make them i think they call the forest bathing or something where you just hang out in the forest

00:18:53.340 for a while and try to get your mental health back anyway i have a better suggestion for time magazine

00:18:59.340 instead of recommending that the losers go and cry or walk in the forest you know what would be really

00:19:06.300 helpful why doesn't time magazine debunk the fine people hoax so all those people who are going to

00:19:13.100 cry don't have to wouldn't it be better to remove the reason for the crying because the reason for the

00:19:19.980 crying is the the fake news if the news had ever been honest about the fine people hoax or any of the

00:19:26.300 other hoaxes people wouldn't be crying nobody would be crying over the reality they're only crying over this

00:19:33.900 weird media created trump monster thing that not everybody has heard was fake

00:19:40.540 so uh mark benioff who's the founder of salesforce force i believe owns time magazine now

00:19:48.700 so i tagged him in my little comment on this saying that maybe they should just debunk the fine people hoax

00:19:54.140 because you may have heard that yesterday the fine people hoax got another one

00:20:01.180 so uh billionaire tech billionaire mark pinkus um i think he still lives in the bay area and he's

00:20:09.900 been a lifelong democrat and was all in on the democrats but he was talking to chamath on the

00:20:15.260 the all-in pod and he said he basically changed his mind on on trump and chamath stopped him and said

00:20:24.460 what was the moment like what was the thing that made you change your mind after and he started he

00:20:30.220 started talking generically but then he said okay there was one thing it was i read an article that

00:20:37.020 debunked the fine people hoax and that was it and then and then it opened up his mind to all the other

00:20:43.660 hoaxes and he could see it all now that's my my words not his but that's essentially what it was and

00:20:49.980 and this is amazing so in may 2024 he said he read an article that talked about the and debunked the

00:20:58.700 hoax now i'm really curious which article was it because because there have been lots of articles

00:21:06.220 that you know i've been associated with you know joel pollack uh steve cortez i wonder if it was one of

00:21:12.860 those it could have been anything could have been the daily wire or something but how often would

00:21:18.860 a lifelong democrat read any press any that was just really identified with the right side of

00:21:27.020 politics so i'd love to know what was it that broke through the bubble that he thought was worth reading

00:21:34.140 as a lifelong democrat and then it actually just shattered his whole his whole story so remember

00:21:40.940 i've been telling you that was the tentpole hoax that if you can just debunk that one all the

00:21:46.860 us all the rest just fade and that's what happened so um more to that i was wondering do we have a

00:21:56.220 pretty good list of all the people who have been converted by the finding people hoax i was trying

00:22:01.900 to do it mentally but if somebody could pull that together i would love to see that as a post on x

00:22:08.620 how many well-known people were converted by just that one thing the debunk of the finding people hoax

00:22:16.220 because i think i think chamath said it himself so we got pinkis i think elon said it i thought

00:22:22.620 joe rogan said it did zuckerberg say it i can't remember if zuckerberg said that but i feel like maybe that

00:22:30.380 was part of it you know the assassination attempt seemed to be uh persuasive with him as well so if

00:22:37.260 we could put together uh ideally it would be a a clip where you showed each of the people saying what

00:22:44.780 it was oh the find people hoax and then you know one after another so you can see how powerful it was

00:22:51.020 that's what i want to see um wall street journal is going further and saying not just that trump's

00:23:00.780 kind of popular but he's turning the culture the entire culture is turning conservative do you see

00:23:06.780 that yet it feels like it so you know once you get the uh the richest entrepreneur in the world musk

00:23:14.700 you get the all-in pod guys you've probably noticed a number of comedians that i would call mainstream

00:23:21.180 are now turning at least a little bit trump you know they're willing to say things that

00:23:26.300 are positive about trump they got at least one cartoonist snoop dogg and carrie underwood are

00:23:32.860 going to perform and that's a pretty strong signal and by the way carrie underwood oh my god do i

00:23:41.580 have respect for that did you know snoop is a unique character there's nobody like snoop he's the only

00:23:49.900 person who could do all these bad things and be popular with everybody now i don't know exactly

00:23:56.220 his secret except that his charisma is apparently just off the charts there's something about him

00:24:03.100 that allows him to break every rule kind of trump like um so so snoop went from making a video where

00:24:10.540 he was assassinating trump to performing at his event and he's the perfect crossover person because

00:24:19.660 when you see him do anything you say well is that something that only snoop could do because he lives

00:24:24.780 in this weird world where respectable people like him i do if you ask me why i like snoop so much i don't

00:24:33.980 know i don't know i i it would be hard to come up with a reason um maybe it's because he's unapologetic

00:24:42.780 and he doesn't apologize for anything that's pretty popular maybe it's because he's just his own person

00:24:49.500 and and he is you know unforgiving in his effort to just be who he wants to be we kind of like that

00:24:57.500 i don't know there's something about it that just reaches people but uh also carry underwood that

00:25:03.340 that's a that's a brave move i will always respect that um and i think people like winners and they

00:25:10.380 like strength and uh there was a manliness kind of a male energy that had been missing from the country

00:25:17.180 and i think we could feel it i think both men and women republicans and democrats could feel

00:25:23.740 the just extraordinary lack of male energy but it's back it's back the male energy as i imagined

00:25:33.020 couldn't be stopped it would be like putting the toothpaste back in the tube you know it could be

00:25:38.380 somewhere well that's a bad analogy forget that analogy but anyway the new york times shows in polling

00:25:46.700 that americans now overwhelmingly support geo positions gop positions on numerous trans

00:25:52.860 issues so daily wires reporting this amanda presta giacomo wow what a nice name

00:26:01.020 amanda presta giacomo that's just a great name i can't pronounce it but i feel like if i could it would

00:26:10.300 sound extraordinary anyway um she's writing that uh according to a new york times ipsos

00:26:17.900 survey uh 79 of americans i looked at myself in a recording i realized that i looked down too much

00:26:26.220 you're just looking at the top of my head so i'm gonna lift up my notes so it's not as egregious

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00:26:45.180 richer than you think um 79 of americans believe males should not be able to participate in female

00:26:52.860 sports even if the athlete identifies as transgender 79 79 are on the same page now

00:27:03.900 obviously it's you know weighted toward conservatives but even even the democrats by majority um

00:27:12.060 so yeah even 54 of uh democrats were against medication for minors so converting minors

00:27:20.380 wasn't popular with the majority of democrats or republicans and look how far it got i mean everything

00:27:27.420 was broken everything was just broken and the reason it was broken is because honesty wasn't allowed

00:27:35.180 you just couldn't be honest about it without getting cancelled so honesty is making a comeback

00:27:40.860 and that changes a lot and then 77 percent of respondents agreed that society has quote gone too far

00:27:48.300 to accommodate trans people uh well only 21 percent say we haven't gone far enough 21 a little bit more

00:27:59.100 and it'd be one quarter couldn't even get up to 25 percent you know i joke if you're new to me

00:28:06.220 uh i always joke that 25 will get every poll question wrong like no matter how how easy the question is

00:28:13.100 uh the poll question is uh is it better for the economy to be strong or for the economy to be weak 25

00:28:21.180 weak weak what no this isn't really a question strong is the only right answer weak 25 it's just so

00:28:30.780 consistent couldn't even get 25 to say that we haven't gone too far

00:28:35.980 um mike johnson talks about uh biden not even recalling that he had uh he had paused some lng shipments

00:28:49.420 and so first of all i'm a little angry at mike johnson for not telling us this until it didn't matter

00:28:57.820 um it wasn't that long ago so maybe maybe it never mattered because trump had already been elected

00:29:01.900 but um apparently biden insisted to johnson that he never issued the order to freeze new liquid natural

00:29:11.020 gas export permits even though he just signed off on it now that tells you a lot doesn't it

00:29:19.900 it means that biden certainly wasn't in charge and you know maybe there were specific topics where he

00:29:26.060 his influence was bigger but when it came down to you know the the nuts and bolts of running the

00:29:31.420 government he didn't even know what he was signing they didn't even tell him what he was signing or

00:29:37.020 he couldn't remember it which is i guess equally bad yeah johnson should have said something before

00:29:44.460 but i don't think it mattered but we would have felt better about johnson if he said it

00:29:50.300 you know of course let me let me revise this if it didn't really make any difference because the

00:29:56.860 election was over and it would just make heart make it hard for johnson to work on the transition

00:30:04.060 well i probably wouldn't have said anything until i was sure the transition was working okay

00:30:09.180 because it would have been creating a problem with biden that didn't need to be created because

00:30:15.900 there was no benefit from it it was good that we found out eventually that part's good

00:30:20.140 i'm gonna i'm gonna say mike johnson probably played it correctly because getting the transition

00:30:26.220 right was at the moment more important than just one more piece of evidence that biden's brain was shot

00:30:32.060 we already knew that but it was funny seeing a video from the time of this in which

00:30:42.060 corinne john pierre the spokesperson was asked you know why does biden even care about this like what's

00:30:47.260 what's behind this and she tried to explain it without knowing anything about the topic

00:30:52.780 i was like uh uh well it's because the the importance of it uh to to the public on the to the uh

00:30:58.700 to the uh to the to the to the way we the public and uh also the the very he cares about it he cares

00:31:04.380 about it and the and it's because the importance uh is very important so the importance to the public

00:31:09.340 and the importance of it is what and it was just hilarious she didn't even know what the issue was

00:31:15.020 it was so who the hell was in charge anyway and so you put it all together and you can see that

00:31:24.620 there's a complete collapse of the democrat party um and i i have a theory about what causes the

00:31:32.460 acceleration of the crash if you divide voters into two types there's the people who follow politics and

00:31:39.500 maybe that's five percent and they kind of they would be influenced by seeing both sides of an issue

00:31:46.460 so mark pincus probably followed politics enough that he would read an article about the fine people

00:31:52.220 hoax and change his opinion based on new data that seems to be true for some of the tech leaders who

00:31:58.940 are who are leaning trump that they they did follow politics as they should you know it's part of their job

00:32:05.500 and um so they they saw earlier that factually that they could make a change because the facts were

00:32:15.340 now different than what they once understood but most people are not in that category so my my hypothesis is

00:32:22.300 that for the vast number of people who vote but really couldn't answer any question about politics

00:32:29.420 if you went to the average person and ask any question just any question about anything in politics

00:32:35.340 and look what comes out of their mouth it doesn't matter if it's it doesn't matter who it is you

00:32:40.540 just look what comes out of their mouth and you go uh do you follow the news at all you know that's

00:32:48.220 what it feels like i think that that group the people with weak preferences or don't follow the news that

00:32:53.100 much that for them their choice of candidate and choice of party is closer to a fashion accessory

00:33:00.140 it's a way to support their brand so if you thought one side was the evil side and one side was the

00:33:08.620 good and open-minded side and you thought you were good and open-minded you would back the good and

00:33:13.980 open-minded side as you had been taught to but i think at this point biden and harris have so destroyed

00:33:22.620 the brand i mean just absolutely destroyed it and there's nobody on deck it's not like everybody's

00:33:29.020 waiting for pete buddha judge to step up there's absolutely no character in the democrat party

00:33:35.580 none which anybody can say yeah there's my inspirational leader it it's interesting that

00:33:42.140 hillary clinton was once that person but at least she had the first potentially the first female 1.00

00:33:49.500 president thing going for so you know she had the sort of the uh the bill clinton glow you know so she had 0.99

00:33:57.660 she had all the right people so even though she was a terrible character and she probably lost because 0.53

00:34:03.500 she wasn't a good character but at least she had you know some something you could grasp onto if you're

00:34:09.660 a woman in particular but now what would they grasp onto harris was the biggest incompetent we've seen

00:34:16.940 biden's brain wasn't there nobody's on deck what exactly are you gonna hitch your wagon to

00:34:22.060 nothing there's nothing there so people who want to brandish their brand are not going to look for

00:34:29.900 the failed completely collapsed democrat party with unpopular views on everything

00:34:37.260 there's no way you can just associate that your brand with it the only reason it worked before

00:34:43.020 is that the fake news that created such a bubble that you couldn't tell the difference between good and

00:34:48.780 bad literally couldn't tell the difference so under that world you can say oh these are the good ones

00:34:55.260 i want that associated with my brand but now when even snopes is debunking the find people hoax and

00:35:03.020 you know we can see the total collapse of the traditional news specifically because it's fake

00:35:09.580 then there's nothing to support the bubble anymore you know the podcasters broke the bubble

00:35:13.660 bubble i think that's what it was i think the joe rogan elon musk vivek ramaswamy the communication

00:35:21.420 skills of all these people just broke the bubble now now what do the republicans look like let's see

00:35:28.220 you've got trump who survived an assassination attempt attempt in the most remarkable way

00:35:35.180 people like to be associated with bravery and manliness and manliness which they missed

00:35:41.100 um but also you have the smartest most successful people in the world taking sides with them

00:35:47.340 or at least not resisting so now you know you're hearing good things from everybody from bill gates

00:35:53.100 to uh bezos to uh elon kicking it off the all in pod guys i hate lumping them all together but it's

00:36:01.020 faster to say that way um so now if you wanted to be associated with something where the most awesome

00:36:08.620 people in the country are associated to me the most awesome people are the ones who are making the

00:36:15.180 biggest difference positive and and they seem to be almost universally moving toward trump everybody

00:36:21.340 from jamie diamond saying hey hey those those tariffs are actually a good idea for negotiating it's really

00:36:28.460 everything so everybody who's smart and capable and especially manly because that matters

00:36:35.500 you know what no matter what you think of manliness it matters to politics so it has to be mentioned

00:36:41.980 um trump has it all china loves him the public loves him you can wear a red hat now

00:36:47.340 um and i think that means that what it looks like is a complete collapse on the democrat side

00:36:54.140 but i think you're also going to see it in polls you know you're going to see that they're just not going

00:36:58.700 to vote for the ridiculousness anymore or at least enough of them won't and here here's a

00:37:05.180 just such a good example of the total collapse of the democrat party so i always talk about two

00:37:12.220 movies on one screen you know how you can watch the same thing and come up with two different views

00:37:17.340 as uh owen gregorian was saying on x yesterday it seems this 28th amendment story has formed into two

00:37:25.180 movies against all odds because it's it's a pure factual statement that is super easy to check

00:37:32.300 does the 28th amendment exist or does it not exist in a in a confirmed approved way and the answer is

00:37:41.900 it's not it's not confirmed and therefore it doesn't exist but because both biden and harris

00:37:49.500 posted on x that in social media that it was real and that they're responsible for making it real

00:37:55.420 democrats think it's real republicans no it's not so of all things it's literally the easiest thing

00:38:07.740 you can check is this part of the constitution or not one google search would be the same answer every

00:38:14.540 time it's not even being it's not even being covered up by part of the news so it's not like msnbc is

00:38:21.020 saying it's real even they're not saying it's real you i need a fact check on that but they're not

00:38:25.980 saying that's real right uh and still and still it creates two movies half the country probably thinks

00:38:34.380 it's real um anyway democrat strategists are whining about the future of the party and one of my favorite

00:38:44.380 was uh jamal simmons one of the democrats uh uh strategists and he said uh that their vibe is their

00:38:54.700 vibe is off our vibe is off got to burn down our image see how he talked about image he didn't say we

00:39:02.860 have to improve our policies he didn't say our policies need to be to match the american public

00:39:09.900 he's completely aware that their policies don't match the majority of the public so instead of

00:39:17.340 saying we need better policies he says we have to work on our image that's what i'm saying i'm saying

00:39:24.300 that they they treat it like it's an image problem and it worked you know under under clinton it worked

00:39:31.100 but you're going to need a real candidate if you don't have a candidate image is not going to get

00:39:36.540 you anywhere because your policies are dead on arrival so the fact that they haven't figured

00:39:41.900 that out yet is amazing but when i asked when you poll democrats about who they'd like to see run next

00:39:48.540 time and you include that let's see newsom and uh governor whitmer uh and then harris if she ran again 0.99

00:39:57.340 uh the preference is none of the above even democrats don't want any of the three leading

00:40:03.820 you know likely candidates to come anywhere near the presidency or at least to run for it because

00:40:09.180 they know they won't win so that's pretty bad um even according to breitbart uh after the election

00:40:19.580 there's been a crash in public tolerance for illegal immigration illegal migration so now just 10 percent

00:40:26.940 of americans oppose trump deporting illegal migrants with criminal records according to a new york

00:40:33.340 times poll only 10 percent oppose getting rid of the criminals again you couldn't even get 25 0.98

00:40:40.940 to support keeping criminals because it's just stupid so the night the 10 who say yeah let's keep the 0.99

00:40:48.460 violent criminals i mean that's those are not serious people they're not serious people 0.99

00:40:55.420 anyway um and just uh 19 percent strongly opposed deporting all immigrants who are here illegally

00:41:08.060 it's a complete victory trump took the hardest the hardest topic and just owns it now he won

00:41:16.620 uh even cnn showing a recent poll shows his approvals at 48 percent it's up from 39 percent just last

00:41:25.660 year days before taking office a new high highest approval while biden's the lowest approval everything's

00:41:32.540 going his way um even the washington post has suffered has decided to soften its coverage

00:41:39.980 uh i guess both washington post and cnn decided they didn't want to do the over the top thing where

00:41:46.620 everything is negative trump no matter what is happening and it looks like they're going to cover it more

00:41:52.700 more both sides ish which i see has already started it's already begun i think is real but um because

00:42:00.540 for example washington post says trump already conquered dc and the tech leaders are flocking to him

00:42:06.140 now normally that story would turn into that's how he's going to steal your democracy right instead of

00:42:12.700 just saying a lot of tech leaders think he's on the right on the right path you'd be good for the

00:42:17.980 country that would be the story but normally you expect the washington post to flip it into

00:42:23.900 and and with the help of all these tech leaders that's how he's building his dictatorship to steal your

00:42:29.500 democracy but they left out that crazy part and just told the story and the

00:42:35.900 story was yeah he's doing really well converting people to his side that's the story and so they're

00:42:42.780 just telling it but msnbc i i love their plucky loser approach i don't think there's a single smart

00:42:51.500 person that works at that network in management or anywhere else but they're going to bring back

00:42:56.300 bring back rachel maddow for 100 days

00:42:58.620 let me make a long list of all the things you shouldn't do if you're trying to stay in business

00:43:08.940 don't bring the person with the most obvious mental health problems on to be the only person

00:43:14.300 who still thinks that the democrats are are heroes and trump is going to steal your democracy 0.52

00:43:20.380 the ridiculousness of even planning to do this is so beyond any reasonable thing that a reasonable 0.94

00:43:28.460 person would do it's just purely stupid but they're gonna do it um and i like i kind of like the fact 0.94

00:43:36.460 that they think that rachel maddow who i think has been honest i think she's been honest about a lifetime

00:43:43.020 of you know mental health depression issues maybe some other stuff so uh i never like to be the person who

00:43:50.940 criticizes somebody for mental illness because nobody picks mental illness right that's just something 0.91

00:43:56.460 that's there so i tend i prefer to be non-judgmental but uh i don't know that the management has a mental

00:44:05.260 illness shouldn't management be the one to decide maybe they shouldn't bring back the person with

00:44:12.460 obvious mental health problems and some kind of a weird uh kicker to her mental health because of trump 1.00

00:44:19.340 derangement syndrome how in the world does management think this is a good idea in what world anyway

00:44:29.580 um i'm sure they think that behind closed doors like joe biden she's perfectly fine perfectly fine

00:44:37.660 um the trump bump which all the media is hoping for because you know in his first administration the

00:44:46.220 news got more more audience so they've all been drained of their their followers for a while now

00:44:53.420 but there's some thought that uh maybe the traffic will go up but other people say yeah there will be

00:44:58.380 a trump bump but it might go mostly to the independence and fully starve the networks well i don't know what's

00:45:06.380 true i can tell you it seems like the ratings for the major networks are all down and i can tell you

00:45:13.500 that my own traffic is up about 50 percent since trump since trump was looking like he would win up about 50

00:45:25.020 yeah now i would guess that that's the same for any political oriented podcasts i'll bet you they're all up 50

00:45:34.380 percent so yes uh i'm the canary in the coal mine uh so yeah the uh the corporate media

00:45:45.580 doesn't seem to be what anybody trusts at this point just old people i guess uh you know i'm old and i 1.00

00:45:51.900 don't even trust it well as you know trump launched a crypto coin and it went to the moon and it's worth

00:45:59.180 millions of dollars and some say trump's gonna sell it and make five billion dollars and others say it's 0.85

00:46:04.620 a it's a crap coin and it's a scam and you know people should not be buying crypto unless it's bitcoin 0.81

00:46:11.020 and everybody's got their opinion um let me say that my opinion on this is completely timing related 0.98

00:46:19.980 if if trump had done this even just a few years ago i would have said oh that's a little too

00:46:26.860 that's a little too scammy now he did do the uh the uh what is it when you buy the art

00:46:34.460 um it's got a word for it in the crypto world if you buy some digital crypto art that somehow they can

00:46:41.100 tell you is exclusive uh he did that and i didn't mind that because that was just a fundraiser

00:46:47.020 and i think people saw it as a fundraiser which had the extra element that well maybe you can make

00:46:51.980 some money but probably not just a fundraiser nfts thank you nfts so he's got some history and he's

00:46:59.580 pro crypto um now if this had been when we knew less about crypto and he launched this thing i would

00:47:08.060 have said okay don't do that that that looks too scammy because people don't understand that they could

00:47:14.380 lose money on crypto it's not like other things that could go to zero tomorrow bitcoin probably can't

00:47:20.300 uh or at least not as easily but but a new issue it can go to the moon and then go to zero the next

00:47:26.700 day there's nothing that would stop that so under normal conditions and maybe a few years ago i would

00:47:34.300 have opposed this as a bad idea bad messaging bad look but i think everybody understands crypto

00:47:40.380 if they're going to buy something buying crypto is just just hard enough that if you didn't know

00:47:48.780 anything about crypto you'd probably prevent yourself from buying it because you don't want to look into

00:47:52.700 it yeah it's not like you just go to your broker well you could but not this particular coin um so as

00:48:00.860 long as people know exactly what they're buying and i think in some cases they're just gambling but they

00:48:05.740 know it they're gambling but they know it and other times maybe it's just an expression of support for

00:48:11.820 the president which they know and maybe they treat it like a some of them might treat it like a donation

00:48:18.700 because if it pumps it up and then trump gets to sell his before you sell yours well your your money

00:48:24.620 might go to zero his might go to five billion dollars and if you treat it as a donation you you think to

00:48:32.220 yourself all right i don't mind that he gets some of his money back after you know being abused by the

00:48:37.980 government for so many years probably lost a ton of money in his business just because of his politics

00:48:43.100 so i don't mind if he makes five million or five billion i guess five billion off the coin as long as

00:48:50.620 everybody knew what they were doing and i think that's pretty close to true i think everybody knows

00:48:55.260 anyway there's a gaza ceasefire allegedly in effect and this would be the opening to allow hamas to

00:49:07.020 release the uh i guess 33 hostages they promised to release i think that's there's going to be a whole

00:49:13.340 bunch of problems with that i'm not sure hamas is organized enough that they can even just you know

00:49:20.300 say yes and all the all of a sudden all the the hostages are released that they were going to

00:49:25.180 release i feel like they're all spread around and it's hard to communicate and maybe some of them are

00:49:33.020 dead that they didn't even know were dead and so i feel like it's not going to go smoothly the easiest

00:49:39.740 prediction in the world let's see it's gaza and israel have made an agreement will it go smoothly

00:49:48.220 or will there be some bumps yes the easiest prediction in the world it's not going to go

00:49:52.540 smoothly and i don't know if there'll be any after this if it doesn't go smoothly so we'll see

00:50:01.020 what i'm what i'm interested about is i feel like reporting from that area kind of stopped

00:50:07.180 did you notice that if you ask me what is the israeli military doing in gaza

00:50:13.340 let's say two weeks ago before this hostage deal started to solidify i would have said i don't know

00:50:22.140 why did i stop seeing news about that yeah are they killing as many as they used to kill

00:50:28.460 the the reporting which is not reliable is that 46 000 palestinians were killed

00:50:35.180 now i say it's not real reliable because it won't be the same estimate that israel has and you and i can't

00:50:40.060 tell the difference it's just people telling us what's true and we don't know so i wouldn't believe

00:50:45.180 any war death claims except that i feel it's almost certainly in the tens of thousands but beyond that

00:50:53.660 you know any kind of accuracy would be ridiculous

00:50:58.060 so are they are they still is israel still making legitimate military progress of uh wrapping up

00:51:07.180 the hamas fighters is it just every day they get a few more so they should just keep grinding until

00:51:12.540 they're done or did they reach some kind of wall where the harder they fight they're not really getting

00:51:18.620 any extra hamas fighters because they're all dug in better or something and and i also don't know

00:51:23.500 how much of gaza how much of gaza is even left uh in the best case scenario you know when we talk

00:51:31.260 about the fires in la we're talking about five years before anybody can maybe get back in the house

00:51:36.940 are we talking about that in gaza that there's nothing left there's no electricity there's no water

00:51:41.900 everything's polluted and toxic how could they ever resettle it and it's not like israel is going 1.00

00:51:48.540 to be you know working as hard as they can to get it ready for resettlement by hamas and their

00:51:53.980 supporters so i feel like there's no real hope that gaza turns back into anything like it used to be 0.90

00:52:02.460 but to be fair israel said that from the beginning that they said when we're done gaza won't be anything

00:52:09.340 that you're used to and i think we interpreted that exactly the way it's it's turning out so

00:52:17.740 um i guess my only point is that we've hit some kind of a uh i don't know if it's because of lack

00:52:22.620 of interest or lack of access but we just stopped getting really interested in what's happening on the

00:52:29.340 ground there and that's weird anyway uh researchers according to louisa louisiana state university

00:52:39.340 um there are some researchers that found a way to recycle uh plastic um they use electromagnetic

00:52:48.940 waves to melt the plastic from the inside out which requires far less energy so are they yeah so they

00:52:55.660 could reuse it now it's a ways off but they can you know they can do it in lab and if it's way less

00:53:03.100 energy it's way less expensive and so there might be a way to recycle your plastic you know i've thought

00:53:08.940 for a long time that what i really want is a electromagnetic plastic melting technology

00:53:18.140 that would turn plastic into something that i could use in my 3d printer so i'd like to take all my

00:53:24.620 plastic bottles and throw them in a bin and then at the end of the month push a button and the it just

00:53:31.580 crushes them into basically ink for the printer but they would print goods so you'd make yourself a

00:53:39.260 you know make yourself some i don't know you wouldn't want to do dishwasher dishware because

00:53:43.660 maybe you don't want to eat off of plastic but you could probably find things you would use

00:53:48.860 you know make some goods out of it sell them maybe who knows

00:53:54.140 all right ladies and gentlemen that's all i have for this sunday um the rumors about the inauguration

00:54:05.900 appear to be fake so yesterday there were some rumors that even the indoor rotunda inauguration was

00:54:13.260 going to be moved yet again for security reasons people speculated but i don't think that's true

00:54:18.460 i don't think that's true i think it's going to be in the rotunda and the the capital one stadium

00:54:28.060 that the the people the overflow people are going to be in is covered so people are going to be warm

00:54:35.660 and uh they're going to be with each other which is almost as important as being with trump and then

00:54:40.540 trump's going to show up at the stadium where everybody's warm and they've been partying and they're

00:54:44.940 just dying to see him so i think trump's going to make this even better than it was i i don't think

00:54:51.580 he gave up anything i think packing him into the stadium and keeping them warm was the right answer

00:54:58.060 in every way you know not just for safety but also for uh weather and keeping everybody safe and happy

00:55:05.500 giving them a good memory of the event so to me that's all positive and uh we'll be we'll be paying

00:55:12.060 attention especially for the security concerns i don't want to see anything like that

00:55:19.180 all right uh now it's going to be two rallies

00:55:25.260 owen says so there's a rally today is there something happening today and then then another one tomorrow

00:55:34.540 all right

00:55:34.860 what about the poor cia who wanted to kill him well allegedly we don't know that for sure 0.92

00:55:45.900 uh i got a screen for micro drone the swarms well if they could get inside the building yeah

00:55:53.260 but they'd have to

00:55:55.580 so one of the things i worry about micro swarms

00:55:58.700 is let's say you have a a door to a secure place and it's guarded well and they're searching everybody

00:56:06.860 so nobody can get in unless they're searched but the door is open it's just that it's guarded by people

00:56:13.980 how hard would it be for a drone swarm to just go right through an open door and just you know knock

00:56:21.100 the guards out of the way it feels like it'd be pretty easy you know maybe the first one just

00:56:25.580 explodes and kills the guard but after that the swarm just goes right through the door or the window

00:56:31.980 so that's what i'd be worried about i don't think we're quite there but right on the edge of it

00:56:44.540 yeah of course they would also have drone anti-drone technology i suppose

00:56:51.100 all right what's this

00:56:58.620 um

00:56:58.860 uh so keith boykin goes on cnn and he says any black person who performs at trump inauguration

00:57:09.020 dishonors black families he refused to rent to in the 1970s

00:57:13.980 now do you know that story do you know that there's no evidence he was aware of it

00:57:18.700 it's true that his staff was discriminating so the court found that the staff discriminated

00:57:24.780 it was never tied to him and the staff would absolutely have an incentive to discriminate

00:57:30.380 because they were you know they were well their incentives were that they thought they could do a

00:57:37.100 better job of filling the building if they discriminated now that was illegal 0.53

00:57:41.500 but there's no evidence that trump ordered it um the black kids you want to execute the central park 0.97

00:57:49.340 case that's fake news he never said he wanted to execute those black kids he said that the 0.93

00:57:54.940 crime rate should bring should be a trigger to bring back the death penalty

00:58:00.460 um but he wasn't talking about them and we don't know for sure that they were

00:58:04.140 innocent or not i'll presume they're innocent because they're americans but i don't think it was proven

00:58:11.980 and then the black haitian immigrants he lied about okay does anybody care about the

00:58:18.780 haitian immigrants forget about the race does anybody care about the haitian immigrants being 1.00

00:58:23.500 offended because he said they'll they might eat your pets i i think the haitian immigrants have so 1.00

00:58:30.780 different problems like i don't think it probably i'd be surprised if they're they even care

00:58:37.900 i mean it might be something that just didn't even affect them so i think this is just uh

00:58:44.940 you know a desperate attempt to not lose the black vote

00:58:49.980 oh i guess nelly is also so so snoop dogg and nelly are both performing okay

00:58:56.060 okay all right that's all i got for now so i'm going to talk to the locals people for a few minutes

00:59:04.620 privately and then we'll see you all tomorrow same time same place locals coming at you privately

00:59:26.060 so

00:59:29.980 you

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01:02:28.220 Thank you.

01:02:58.220 Thank you.

01:03:28.220 Thank you.

01:03:58.220 Thank you.

01:04:28.220 Thank you.

01:04:58.220 Thank you.

01:05:28.220 Thank you.

01:05:58.220 Thank you.

01:06:28.220 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 19, 2025

Episode 2725 CWSA 01⧸19⧸25

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