Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2726 CWSA 01⧸20⧸25

00:00:00.960 pregame dancing dilbert welcome to the golden age it's also martin luther king day and that's

00:00:07.360 cool too but the golden age wow it only happens once and we're in it

00:00:17.440 so let me call up my comments and we're gonna have the show that you've been waiting for

00:00:22.560 you couldn't be happier the only thing that could go wrong is if my sound doesn't work

00:00:30.000 all right ladies and gentlemen are you ready to enjoy today

00:00:39.840 are you ready to just have the best time

00:00:45.520 so as we speak i believe that uh president trump and melania are meeting with the bidens

00:00:52.320 to have some tea you know that's exactly how you hand over the government to hitler

00:01:00.160 yeah you have some tea well maybe the whole hitler thing was totally made up and none of it was true

00:01:07.680 and you're seeing some truth come out today it's like no problem i'll have a little tea with you and

00:01:14.400 we'll give you a peaceful transfer of power because it was all fake ladies and gentlemen 0.99

00:01:21.040 all right well it's the golden age from the tip of maine all the way to the bottom of the gulf of

00:01:26.480 america you've heard of that right the gulf of america because that's one of the first things

00:01:32.800 trump's gonna change yes he's already announced that the gulf of mexico will be the gulf of america

00:01:38.800 and a few hundred other things now before we get going i want to tell you about my own golden age

00:01:45.680 miracle you probably know that yesterday i was feeling quite ill and it looked like i had three

00:01:51.840 maybe three or four problems at the same time uh i had intense pain in my hip area that i thought was

00:01:58.880 maybe signal i needed to get a hip replaced so that didn't make me happy couldn't even walk on it

00:02:05.440 yeah i could limp but i couldn't walk and then i also have an untreated hernia in the same part of

00:02:11.360 my body i thought oh my god the hip pain is exacerbating exacerbating the hernia which by the

00:02:17.600 the way the standard of care these days is to not treat it so not treating a hernia sometimes makes

00:02:24.160 more sense because the operation has some risks but just living with it has slightly smaller risks

00:02:31.200 so i couldn't walk which means i couldn't exercise for a week for a week and everything hurt all the time

00:02:40.240 i also apparently got some kind of covet i figured because i had chills that were just incredible chills i

00:02:46.640 couldn't get rid of them and and uh my body ached and i was fatigued and i couldn't eat

00:02:54.400 and then i took a nap during the during the trump rally you know the beginning of the golden age

00:03:02.720 and then i woke up from my nap it was my fourth or fifth nap that day did i mention that i was fatigued

00:03:10.000 i think it was my fifth nap in the afternoon and i woke up and i stood up and it took me a moment to

00:03:19.440 realize all my symptoms were gone my leg felt okay completely okay my and then i took out my perplexity app

00:03:31.680 and i said is it possible that if you're in pain for a long time you could get body chills yes is it possible

00:03:42.400 that when you're in pain you could feel nausea yes every one of my symptoms was from the same cause

00:03:51.600 which i think was probably some kind of a pinched nerve so probably the nap put me in a position

00:03:58.880 accidentally that un pinched it i woke up and entered the golden age i was quite sure that

00:04:04.320 today would be hell for me because the last seven days have been cured now if you watch me if you've

00:04:11.120 been watching me for a while i'm going to drop a little fact on you that will only mean something

00:04:16.560 to the people who watch me a lot that that morning i decided to use affirmations to see if i could

00:04:23.280 get rid of whatever my problem was a few hours later there was none left it's just completely gone

00:04:31.280 uh i i'm a hundred percent so i'm gonna yeah so that's how i entered that's how i entered the golden

00:04:38.640 age if you can do better than that good luck all right so everything's good on my end thanks for asking

00:04:45.520 um as you know there's lots of biden pardons being dropped at the last minute anthony fauci mark

00:04:51.520 milly general milly and the january 6 people like uh like liz cheney and uh kinsinger and the others

00:04:59.600 are all pardoned pardoned without even being accused of a crime at least by the justice system and

00:05:07.200 but anthony fauci might have a little trouble ahead because florida which is not uh is not affected by

00:05:15.520 the federal pardon is already looking into fauci for state related crimes hmm where have we seen

00:05:23.280 this trick before oh yeah it was the law fair against trump they make sure that it's a state crime

00:05:30.000 so that the evil feds can't do something to stop it well maybe that trick is something that the

00:05:37.520 republicans learned so uh de santos will be going after fauci it sounds like or already is

00:05:43.360 looking into it uh the rest of them you know what weirdly i kind of don't care

00:05:52.720 because i don't want to live in the past i'm not really super interested in crushing the losers as

00:05:59.520 bad as they were do i think they deserved jail yes i do in my opinion the january 6 people are some of

00:06:07.040 the worst people i've ever seen in american history was there a crime involved i assume so i mean i don't

00:06:13.920 know how you could do the things they did and you know the i mean it was just so obviously an op

00:06:21.360 that yeah i think i think they deserve prison but i also don't live in the past so i think the pardon is

00:06:30.080 for my from my point of view it's an acceptance of guilt so now they're all they're all tainted do

00:06:37.200 you remember when they tried to make trump a felon and that'll stop him didn't work he's the president

00:06:43.920 of the united states felon and all but let's see if you can handle it let's see if you january 6 people

00:06:51.920 can handle being pardoned which the entire country will regard as admission of guilt so you know what

00:07:00.240 trump didn't do he didn't admit guilt yeah he didn't admit guilt all these people effectively admitted

00:07:09.360 guilt by accepting the pardons now you could argue as as eggheads will argue they'll say but scott

00:07:16.400 pardons don't mean that it could be they just don't want to do the problem of being you know going

00:07:21.600 through the system it's not really that they are admitting they're guilty

00:07:27.280 well i get to interpret it any way i want i'm perfectly happy if you interpret it differently

00:07:33.920 my interpretation is guilty and that's it are we missing something is there something that you want

00:07:42.160 that you're missing the simultaneous sip i was so happy about the golden age i forgot the simultaneous sip

00:07:49.360 well we're gonna have to do the sip i'm gonna i'm gonna skip the preamp the preamble but if you've

00:07:55.360 got your beverage ready let's uh let's have a toast instead of a sip let's make it a toast to the golden age

00:08:04.800 and by the way thank you all for being with me the entire time most of you have been on this journey

00:08:20.960 now let's look at some of the other things uh did you know according to the amuse account on x that's

00:08:28.560 an account you should follow on x amuse uh do you remember that adam schiff went on tv and said that

00:08:36.320 blanket pardons would be a bad idea if biden did them so even adam schiff didn't want biden to do

00:08:44.000 blanket pardons because he thought it looked bad and then he did the blanket pardons and now he looks bad

00:08:53.280 so i the the weirdest part about the beginning of the golden age is i find myself agreeing with adam

00:09:01.520 schiff and i have to keep saying wait what what wait wait adam schiff is saying something i i agree

00:09:08.960 with and that what and then he even sort of he just nailed the whole thing that it wouldn't be a good

00:09:15.280 precedent for a good look to do all a whole bunch of pardons that makes the entire administration looks

00:09:19.920 crooked so you'd never want to do that

00:09:23.760 so adam schiff if you're listening

00:09:28.240 welcome to the golden age

00:09:33.200 i'm gonna do a little bit of gloating today if you don't mind does anybody mind

00:09:38.720 would anybody be offended if i do some grotesque gloating today just a little bit come on just a

00:09:46.640 little bit you can join in all right now let's see what else uh so obviously i'm going to get to

00:09:56.400 all the i'll get to all the you know the immediate things that are going to happen when

00:10:00.800 trump takes over we'll talk about everything but i wanted to set this up by reminding you of

00:10:06.240 what i'm going to call the journey because even though there's a national story and there's a trump

00:10:14.240 story many of you including me have a personal story that ties closely into the larger story

00:10:21.920 and i just want to remind you of the journey that many of you came with me from the beginning how

00:10:28.160 many of you have been watching me since 2015 maybe back in the periscope days all right for those of

00:10:35.040 you you know the following you know that in 2015 i was one of the first people in the country uh with

00:10:42.160 ann coulter and just a few others to say that trump would uh win but that wasn't impressive because

00:10:48.400 everybody who supported him thought he could win i was one of the few public figures who said it you

00:10:53.520 know with ann coulter etc so i wasn't alone but uh i i got on board pretty quickly but i made a prediction

00:11:00.000 back then that the others did not make so i'm sure that i'm the only one who said this i can see it coming

00:11:07.520 as clear as i can see the nose on my face if i go cross up cross-eyed i can see it so i'm looking at

00:11:14.640 it right now um here's what i could say i predicted publicly and several times that trump would do more

00:11:21.040 than change politics i said he would change how you would view reality itself how did i do have you ever

00:11:31.840 seen anybody make that prediction before that a candidate would change more than politics would

00:11:38.480 change the way you saw reality itself and that's what we observed now i'm not going to say that's

00:11:45.280 the best prediction ever made but it's up there if you're going to put together a list of the best

00:11:53.040 predictions anybody ever made in any domain and that would be a finalist i mean that was pretty good

00:11:59.760 remember this this today i'm just going to give myself full permission to gloat so if you find

00:12:06.000 this you're too hard to watch i totally get it i'm going to do it anyway because the gloating is

00:12:12.640 is a shared gloat all right everybody who supported me everybody who took time out of their day to

00:12:20.000 watch a little bit of my stuff either my posts on x or anything else you are part of this because without

00:12:27.360 that there wouldn't be any me talking to anybody right so i'm not i'm not taking all the credit

00:12:35.120 i'm explaining what happened the journey all right that was 2015 and then as you know a scrappy bunch

00:12:42.640 of patriots as i call them with unusual persuasion skills unusual persuasion skills uh back trump who had

00:12:51.360 his own incredible unusual persuasion skills and took it all the way to victory now i think this is the

00:12:58.240 blind spot that the regular democrats and the regular press have they don't really understand persuasion

00:13:06.960 and if i'll just name some names if you drop a mike cernovich into a situation with his powers of

00:13:16.080 persuasion things change if you drop me into a situation because i'm a trained persuader literally

00:13:23.760 a hypnotist things change it doesn't matter if i'm on jury duty and it's 12 people or it's a bigger crowd

00:13:31.600 persuasive people who have studied persuasion they're not just lucky they're not naturals although trump

00:13:37.840 seems to be a natural um but largely it's people who took some time to study it and i trained a number

00:13:45.280 of people i think serno did too just by you know association more and i wrote a book on it so you can

00:13:53.040 read it and do it yourself win bigly and i think it made a difference i think the persuasion power uh trumped

00:14:03.280 literally trumped uh standard politics but of course only because trump was the candidate any

00:14:10.720 other candidate wouldn't have made a difference but but the persuasive um non-traditional political

00:14:18.080 entrance made a big difference i think charlie kirk could be in that uh hugely persuasive category as

00:14:27.920 well you could yeah i don't want to leave anybody out because i'll name some names later for

00:14:32.960 other credit but um that's what happened so then 2020 comes uh some of you say the election was

00:14:40.560 stolen but i think we could all agree that it was stolen by fake news so if there had not been fake

00:14:47.360 news and joe biden had not run on the fine people hoax without anybody in the in the corporate news

00:14:54.720 challenging that fact the most debunked hoax in american history clearly debunked all you had to

00:15:03.200 do is look at the video and the entire corporate press allowed him to run for office primarily on that lie

00:15:12.640 and never fact-checked him just think about that and that was so effective he actually won the election

00:15:20.720 joe biden become president so you could argue all day about oh the votes were counted wrong or there

00:15:27.200 was this irregularity and maybe you know i i still think there are things that are unexplored about 2020's

00:15:33.920 election process but the one thing we can all agree is it was rigged by the media the media was not

00:15:40.800 trying to tell you what was true they were trying to get biden elected at any cost and it's obvious

00:15:47.120 i mean everybody everybody watched can tell that so i gotta admit that caught me by surprise because

00:15:53.920 there was an avalanche of hoaxes and they used the overton window to make people like me people would

00:16:01.120 normally be good at persuading um lost basically i was drowning in hoaxes and anything i did to try to

00:16:09.520 say one is not true just got lost in all the next hoax and the next hoax and the next hoax

00:16:15.440 so i have to admit i was a little bit lost but then at around 2020

00:16:22.560 i realized that there was one hoax that was more important than all the others i called it the

00:16:29.520 tentpole hoax the fine people hoax and i i also sometimes called it the rosetta stone

00:16:36.400 now that one doesn't work as well for branding because not everybody not everybody knows what

00:16:40.560 the rosetta stone is but the idea was if you could just understand how this one hoax was done

00:16:47.120 it would unlock your mind to see how all the others were done and so to my credit yes i'm going to take

00:16:56.240 credit for this the hard part was not debunking it although i and others i'll talk about this later

00:17:04.880 put a lot of time into it we put years into debunking that thing but it wasn't the debunking

00:17:10.880 that made the difference it was knowing that's the one that was the trick i i recognized that if you

00:17:19.200 could take this one out it was the tentpole and the entire tent would collapse and so

00:17:24.640 uh many of us worked on this uh shout out to joel pollack breitbart steve cortez who worked tirelessly

00:17:35.600 made a great video on debunking it um greg gotfeld on fox he was the primary voice debunking on fox

00:17:44.160 which was also convenient because he has two of the best shows on fox and the most watched so

00:17:49.120 that made a big difference um eventually that caused um enough material to be out there

00:17:59.840 that uh snopes even debunked it in 2024 however things did not go swimmingly for me between 2020

00:18:08.160 and 24. you may have heard did anybody hear i got cancelled almost two years ago today in february

00:18:15.920 uh i got cancelled now if you weren't following it closely you might have said he said some bad

00:18:22.880 things and he got cancelled but that's if you believe news if you believe the news doesn't take

00:18:29.920 things out of context well i'm sorry you're a little bit lost i didn't get cancelled by a single republican

00:18:37.280 so may i say to every republican thank you zero zero republicans cancelled me not one not in person

00:18:49.440 not by email not by mean comment on x not one

00:18:58.000 because it was political and do you think that i was taken out because i was maybe

00:19:03.280 chopping away at their tent pole so i had almost the tent pole gone when they cancelled me sent me

00:19:11.680 back a little bit but you know me it just pissed me off just pissed me off and so i doubled down 0.96

00:19:22.000 i tried harder and i just went after that tent pole like a fucking beaver and i was chewing on that thing 0.99

00:19:29.520 as hard as i could chew and i decided it was going to be the tent pole or me one of us was going down 0.98

00:19:36.960 and then the tent pole fell it started slowly with some big names you got your elon musk you got your

00:19:45.360 joe rogan you get your chamath and the all in pod guys pretty soon you had famous tech people like

00:19:52.400 john mcguire mark pincus although he didn't go public and then the tent pole broke and just like

00:20:03.040 i predicted and remember the chewing on it like a beaver is just hard work that's not the magic the

00:20:09.840 magic is knowing which one was the tent pole and when the tent pole fell you're seeing one person after

00:20:16.320 another yeah i think bill ackman said it too you see one person after another say yeah that was the turning

00:20:21.920 point as soon as that as soon as i realized i lied about that and especially because biden and because

00:20:29.920 obama doubled down on it after it had been debunked on snopes after he still doubled down on it to

00:20:37.440 support biden unbelievable so that's when you realize that it wasn't just biden as a liar you could see it

00:20:43.920 was something about the entire even the prior administration it was just corrupt in a way that

00:20:50.320 it was impossible to believe until you saw this proof so snopes debunking in 2024 gave me another surge

00:20:59.920 and allowed me to show that it wasn't purely a republican thing and you could see that snopes which

00:21:05.520 leans left typically or is blamed for leading left i can't confirm that but uh that made people say oh

00:21:13.520 really really really and really woke people up so but you know it's not really good news um oh and then

00:21:24.960 the other the other part of this was watching the maggot people reframe unity do you know how biden said

00:21:34.080 i'm going to give you unity but he did exactly the opposite he was the most he really just hated half

00:21:39.440 the country and he let you know it was the opposite of unity but trump came in with this concept called

00:21:46.160 common sense do you remember the first time you heard him say common sense and you said to yourself

00:21:52.960 wait a minute yeah the things that trump wants to do are not just classic republican stuff it's just

00:22:00.400 getting rid of the non-common sense things that democrats keep doing so all the common sense people

00:22:06.400 which are the tech people the tech leaders are all common sense people they work in the real world

00:22:11.840 all day long they only do real things after real things after real things they're common sense people

00:22:18.080 or they couldn't be where they were as soon as they heard common sense here that here i'm you know

00:22:24.560 i'm speculating i think they said i could back that you know i'm not going to back everything republican

00:22:32.240 i think a lot of them said uh maybe they disagree on things like abortion etc but common sense we need

00:22:40.560 that so much now i helped i helped try to popularize that as many people did so i don't take any credit

00:22:48.080 for that that's all trump and he found the two words that could unite the country common sense now i don't

00:22:56.960 think that that would have united the country except that we've just gone through 10 years of the

00:23:02.080 opposite of common sense and we all kind of saw it so that's what made it powerful it's not just the

00:23:07.840 message it's not just the messenger you have to get the right message at the right time to fit the room

00:23:16.240 that's what trump does better than anybody's ever done anything he finds he finds the right message

00:23:23.280 for the right time for the right room like nobody i mean he's just the best

00:23:30.960 but you know there's still this problem of scott being canceled which as you might imagine was

00:23:38.480 financially disastrous for me but if you'd like to enjoy this and i hope you will it's two years later

00:23:48.880 from my cancellation and this past 12 months were the best i've ever had financially

00:23:56.000 why because i bet on elon musk

00:24:01.040 i moved i moved dilbert to axe subscription it's doing great uh then elon musk started monetizing

00:24:10.880 accounts that were big and had comments and i didn't have that big of an account until

00:24:16.640 i got canceled once i got canceled i ended up with more than a million followers

00:24:22.480 so now i can monetize it and it allowed me to have an exit from the newspaper world which i reviled

00:24:30.800 i absolutely hated being paid by the fake news imagine spending all day long railing about fake news and

00:24:38.160 then they're paying you i didn't like it but it was also a really good money so you know like it and then

00:24:44.480 those two things of course weren't enough to you know take me up to where i was but in the beginning

00:24:49.600 of the summer i loaded up on tesla stock

00:24:55.600 because i was just betting on them i was just betting that you know the trump administration

00:25:00.560 would win that that would be a good situation and that robots are coming and self-driving cars and ai

00:25:06.880 and whatever you think of tesla stock it's probably going to go up so it has now doubled so all things

00:25:16.480 considered cancellation is the best thing that ever happened to me it made me more powerful in politics

00:25:24.000 and it gave me a million followers and now it gave me more money because i had time to before that i

00:25:31.360 wasn't really managing my investments i just added an index fund i just sat there but as soon as i got

00:25:37.040 canceled i thought huh i guess i gotta pay attention to my investments and that's what i loaded up on tesla

00:25:43.520 so thank you so elon musk you made me happy and i'm a little bit happier even because charles blow

00:25:52.400 who was one of my many critics he's a it's important to the story that you know he's the black man

00:25:58.640 who was working for the new york times and he had a column and when i got canceled boy did he dunk on me

00:26:05.040 well new york times just released him from his regular column 0.98

00:26:12.640 so sorry about that charles blow turns out that being a lying dei higher piece of shit didn't work 0.97

00:26:21.600 out for you did it in the long run but i'm still here in fact the numbers on my 0.97

00:26:28.480 uh on my live stream are a record high highest they've ever been too bad about that charles blow

00:26:35.600 though uh so what else is changing cnn i just saw an episode on cnn i think it was yesterday showing uh

00:26:45.040 maybe it was this morning in which the cnn correspondent was making a point to talk to two black

00:26:51.680 um supporters of trump were waiting for the rallies or inauguration i'm not sure which and both of them

00:26:59.120 of course praised trump and just said yeah trump trump trump now it has always been true that trump had

00:27:06.160 some black supporters would cnn ever have interviewed them as as in this is the point of the segment you

00:27:13.360 know we're going to talk to some black people see and who love trump can you even imagine they would 1.00

00:27:19.920 have ever done that in 2016. nope can't imagine it so the world is moving toward trump in small ways and large

00:27:30.240 let me tell you one of the other predictions i made back in

00:27:32.560 back in 2020 in 2020 when trump was out of office and he was disgraced and the january 6th thing looked

00:27:40.640 like nobody could possibly survive i said third act

00:27:46.080 do you remember that i said this is going to turn out like a movie with three acts the third act in any movie

00:27:54.960 is when everything is so bad that the hero can never recover

00:28:00.080 january 6th was the third act i told you it was and then i told you that every day from that time

00:28:08.480 trump would get more popular

00:28:09.840 how'd i do well according to cnn poll um trump is going into office at the highest he's ever been

00:28:21.920 approved and biden is lose is leaving office at the lowest approval rate of any one-term president 0.87

00:28:30.400 now being a one-term president is already a losing situation but he's the biggest loser of the biggest losers

00:28:40.160 that and that's on cnn so cnn is even emphasizing that biden is the biggest loser among the biggest

00:28:47.920 losers now that includes of course trump in 2020 because he was he was one term up to that point but

00:28:55.760 that's pretty bad pretty good for trump 0.61

00:29:01.360 um and now 58 according to the gateway pundit cassandra mcdonald's writing the 58 of democrats and

00:29:09.600 democrat leading independents report that the democrat party needs quote major changes

00:29:16.240 or to be completely reformed that's 58 of democrats say the party is a mess 58 of democrats

00:29:26.000 talking about their own party what was that um in 2022 34 it was only 34 and went up to 58 and said 0.85

00:29:38.000 your whole party is garbage that ladies and gentlemen is what happens when you pull the tentpole out 0.99

00:29:45.760 the whole thing collapses so the the collapse of the democratic party is completely predictable 1.00

00:29:52.000 from the tentpole

00:29:55.760 well let's talk about the trump rally yesterday the village people were there

00:30:01.440 so i read once i don't know if it's still true but i read once where the village people uh insist

00:30:06.480 that they're not gay and that you know that's not what they're about now i'm willing to believe that's 0.99

00:30:12.640 true and i don't care one way or the other i mean it's not important in any way but the fact that

00:30:19.280 everybody regards them as the anthem for for gayness but one that we all like uh have you ever been in

00:30:27.520 any event you know prior to the political use of ymca as a song have you ever been to any event

00:30:33.040 where the what the ymca song came on and people didn't go nuts for it all people it's one of the

00:30:40.880 most universally enjoyed songs especially if you had a couple drinks to be honest um and people will

00:30:47.360 start dancing to it and you know i never knew the i never knew the move so i didn't dance to it but

00:30:52.400 i always felt it i was like oh this one yeah everybody's in a good mood now so the fact that trump

00:30:58.640 would have what to many people but not to the village people perhaps is like the ultimate gay anthem

00:31:05.920 um that was just a good look talk about common sense talk about unity great and i love that the

00:31:16.080 village people took the risk because there is some risk of doing that uh meanwhile rappers snoop

00:31:23.120 dog and rick ross were at the pre-inauguration they went to the crypto ball i guess now they might

00:31:28.560 be more interested in crypto than they are in trump uh so you have to be careful how we analyze this

00:31:34.800 but both both snoop dog and rick ross both did music videos that were so anti-trump i'm not even

00:31:42.000 going to describe them just let's just say violence was involved and i don't know if they've completely

00:31:48.880 flipped around or if they're just making an opportunity that you know is unique to these two characters

00:31:56.480 but i feel like something bigger is happening especially in uh black america especially male

00:32:02.240 black america not the female part so much um eric adams is apparently set to attend the inauguration he

00:32:11.280 met with trump the other day and apparently they get along now i don't know if eric adams is going to

00:32:18.320 turn into a democrat or he needs a pardon or or turn into a republican or he needs a pardon or what

00:32:24.000 i don't know but i love the fact that america's mayor you know the mayor of new york is often called

00:32:31.040 you know america's mayor because it's the big one i love that america's mayor a democrat a black man

00:32:39.440 is okay enough with trump that he'll go to the inauguration so that's incredible um and then

00:32:46.880 even saturday night live attacked uh msnbc for their ridiculous coverage i don't know how many

00:32:55.200 times that's happened before but it feels like the trump effect to me like that like i think snl is

00:33:01.280 seeing the mood of the country moving and they're just matching the mood they're not leading anything

00:33:06.400 they're just matching it which is what they should do right they're entertainment they're not supposed

00:33:10.240 to lead they're supposed to match so good on you uh you know we we mock some of the the entertainment

00:33:18.800 entities and often they're worth the mocking but i think when they do something right that meets the

00:33:27.200 crowd and you know reads the room properly good job well um so allegedly trump and biden are and their

00:33:38.640 spouses are having tea in the white house right now can you confirm that that's happening right as we

00:33:44.720 speak so so the trump's and the biden's are meeting in the white house wouldn't you love to hear how that

00:33:53.440 goes wouldn't you just love to hear that i don't think trump drinks tea but it's not it's never too early

00:34:02.640 for a diet coke if you're addicted so i don't know if we'll ever hear how that went is that private

00:34:12.000 it seems to me it should be i feel like that last meeting among presidents should just always be

00:34:18.880 private with their spouses that's fine but otherwise always private because that's a moment that nobody can

00:34:26.080 understand right nobody else could ever understand what that feels like what it's like the importance

00:34:33.520 of it and i do think that that's an important part of the the uh the the turnover of power you know the

00:34:40.400 peaceful turnover of power so i'm going to give biden a little bit of credit for the peaceful transfer of

00:34:47.120 power now i mean it's tiny little bit of credit because he's a horrible human being but my overall 0.98

00:34:55.760 opinion of biden is i don't think it could be lower you know i think he's a criminal i think he's a liar 0.97

00:35:01.520 i think he's bad for the country i think he destroyed half of the country i think he's a terrible terrible

00:35:07.360 person also has dementia so or something like it but but he's now the past all right so as unusual wales

00:35:18.960 reports has breakdown of the executive orders coming uh but he's reporting uh what he saw on fox

00:35:24.560 with eric doherty so here are the things we think are coming uh maybe yeah i guess right after

00:35:31.440 inauguration um he's going to declare an emergency at the border and issue proclamations closed in the

00:35:36.720 border we expected that designate the cartels as foreign terrorist organizations

00:35:43.520 huh interesting he's gonna uh the remain in mexico program and catch and release will be reinstated

00:35:54.480 catch and release no i think i think this is a typo um i think he's gonna get rid of catch and release

00:36:01.360 that would make more sense military will be directed to construct new phase of border wall

00:36:06.640 the military the military the military is going to build the wall i don't know that might be a great

00:36:13.200 idea i'd have to know more about it um he's going to terminate biden orders on energy drilling

00:36:19.040 restrictions yes thank you he's going to return federal workers to in-person work that's court that's

00:36:25.520 kind of a mixed one to me um i get why they're doing it of course but is the whole purpose just to fire

00:36:35.920 people or to use the space i don't know um maybe it's just a better way to find out who's worth firing bring

00:36:44.000 them on the office and you can observe them better yeah he's gonna and and we do believe that they probably

00:36:49.520 don't do any work at home they've probably figured out and do one hour of work every day and then just

00:36:54.720 go on with their day that's probably happening he's uh trump's gonna pause all offshore and wind leases

00:37:02.560 now this is interesting because trump has been anti-wind turbine or windmills as you might call

00:37:10.400 them and he's been consistent about that i believe he's got a long history of opposing them for

00:37:15.760 environmental reasons and because it doesn't give you enough bang for the buck um but i worry

00:37:22.320 that pausing isn't enough to save the whales so uh let me congratulate erica

00:37:30.800 for being one of the uh the most effective vocal people about saving those whales and uh we got the

00:37:39.200 first step so the first step is not to do more of it but the whales were dying at a high rate with

00:37:45.440 just what's already there so i hope there's another phase i don't know how that would work exactly

00:37:53.040 since they're already there but uh we're gonna need more to save those whales if anybody cares about

00:37:58.160 saving those whales um and we know people do so i helped i tried to help a little bit on that one but

00:38:06.000 i don't think i was important to the outcome um what else um and dei hiring practices in the federal

00:38:16.000 government

00:38:22.960 do you know how long i've waited for that now i don't think they're ending it in the federal government

00:38:30.880 automatically makes it end in corporate america but let me ask you this if the federal government

00:38:38.480 and the leaders of the federal government say we're ending it because it's it's bad but also

00:38:43.120 because it's illegal it's illegal to discriminate how do corporations continue doing it after the federal

00:38:52.640 government has determined it's illegal imagine you're on the board and you just found out uh-oh

00:39:00.320 the federal government says dei is illegal and we've got this gigantic dei

00:39:06.560 structure structure wouldn't you feel that's too much of a risk i would i would cancel it immediately

00:39:14.400 now that's not going to happen people are going to dig in and fight but i feel like it might be the

00:39:19.040 beginning of the dominoes falling and it might require at least one corporation to be sued

00:39:24.880 for racial discrimination which i really want to happen i think if you have been haven't some been

00:39:30.560 successfully sued for racial discrimination but if we see that just maybe a few more big cases

00:39:36.880 of somebody uh getting sued for racial discrimination because of dei um that should get it done so it's

00:39:45.680 the beginning of what could be great trump's going to withdraw from the paris climate accords

00:39:50.720 um that won't make any difference to anybody but it's it's it's good messaging um he's going to order

00:39:56.640 every agency to remove all federal actions increasing the costs for americans via deregulation

00:40:03.600 so i think that means he's going to deregulate um he's going to suspend security clearances for the 51

00:40:08.960 officials who lied about the hunter biden 2020 laptop story all right let me give a clarification

00:40:16.640 the spies did not technically lie what the the 51 people signed was a letter that says that the hunter

00:40:25.600 laptop has all the signs of a typical russian op that part is true enough that's true enough so they

00:40:36.160 didn't say we confirmed that this is russian instead they say in every way it looks russian

00:40:42.160 to two people who are not spies you don't realize that they didn't actually claim anything

00:40:51.040 but they knew that everybody would read it as oh it's russia so technically they didn't lie

00:40:58.880 but they did lie like spies they lied the way spies lie with some deniability so yes it's a lie

00:41:07.520 it's a lie that's not technically a lie but it doesn't make it less of a lie it's just the way

00:41:12.480 spies lie so it's a spy lie don't call it a regular lie it's just a spy lie it it leads you to believe

00:41:19.600 something that's not true without actually saying it directly that's how spies lie do you know what

00:41:25.680 brainwashing is brainwashing is leading you to believe something without somebody sitting down and

00:41:30.960 saying i'm going to lead you to believe this who does the brainwashing in every country the the

00:41:36.320 intelligence people the spies this is how spies lie it's a spy lie all right and also uh trump says

00:41:47.200 he's going to establish a doge hiring freeze which i assume means that he won't be hiring in the

00:41:53.280 government um won't be increasing the government i think that's what that means meanwhile uh we've also

00:41:59.600 heard that vivek um allegedly i'm not sure i don't believe this yet because it's based on anonymous

00:42:06.560 sources so allegedly there was some conflict between the musk people and the vivek people or

00:42:13.440 vivek himself and we don't know the nature of it and until you hear vivek talk about it you haven't

00:42:19.040 heard both sides so don't believe anything until you hear both sides but it does look like he may be

00:42:24.320 moving his attention vivek from doge to running for governor of ohio uh i don't know this this is

00:42:32.160 the next part i'm going to say is speculative if i were a young man with young kids i wouldn't want

00:42:39.520 to move him to dc and or i wouldn't want to leave him in ohio and have to go to dc as a senator or a

00:42:46.640 doge guy so i'm happy for vague if if what this is is a way to stay closer to his family closer to

00:42:54.480 his extended family i'm guessing you know there's some reason he's in ohio it's not accidental and that

00:43:00.960 this works him as a lifestyle i think he earned it so good live your best life be a good governor and when

00:43:07.760 you're done um you'll have the base for running for president someday and i think that uh i wish you

00:43:15.680 the best vivek because i think you've earned it um all right god there's so much happening today

00:43:25.840 so much uh in arizona they caught uh they caught an asylum seeker which is being said with some uh

00:43:35.280 some tongue-in-cheek but literally an asylum seeker got caught with 30 000 rounds of ammo in a car 0.98

00:43:43.200 okay um this seems to be another example it's sort of the the perfect the perfect anecdote for the

00:43:51.840 golden age beginning to remind us that democrats have this one flaw that's just it's just jaw-dropping

00:44:01.680 which is consistently no matter what the topic is they don't seem to understand how cause and effect

00:44:08.080 works um why don't we open up the border between america and a country run by cartels but also 0.99

00:44:17.760 make it the pathway for all the other cartels and other countries in south america to also use it

00:44:23.840 uh i think only good things will happen and the reason i think that is because i think by analogy

00:44:30.960 and i know we had a lot of immigration in the early part of the country and since we became the

00:44:36.960 the dominant country in the world clearly immigration is good if you think by analogies

00:44:44.480 you open the border what do i teach you about thinking with analogies it's not thinking analogies

00:44:53.920 are not part of reason they're just a clever way to make a point sometimes they're not part of logic

00:45:00.160 reason data facts it's just bad thinking and i'm going to give you some more examples where they use

00:45:07.280 the same bad thinking a bit um but if you had asked any republican what's going to happen if you open

00:45:13.440 the border between massive criminal organization with lots of people who just want work as well so

00:45:20.240 they do so you even have a way to disguise the criminals within the mass of people a hundred percent

00:45:26.000 of republicans would tell you that you're going to have to stop a car with thirty thousand rounds of

00:45:30.560 bullets bullets in it sooner or later and here we are so the the complete destruction of the democrat

00:45:39.920 party is perfectly captured in this one arrest one car with thirty thousand rounds where do you think

00:45:48.240 those rounds were going every one of those bullets was going to a criminal i guarantee it everyone was

00:45:55.760 going to a criminal that's thirty thousand bullets to criminals and the democrats were all in on this

00:46:03.840 every one of them the entire tent has collapsed

00:46:10.000 uh trump said uh i think last night he said he will declassify all the files related to the jfk

00:46:16.160 assassination uh charlie kirk speculates that uh one of two things must be true either the government

00:46:23.280 killed jfk and covered it up and fought for decades to keep people from knowing the truth or 0.55

00:46:31.120 the files don't have anything in them that is anything but boring and things we've heard before

00:46:36.240 which do you think it is do you think it's going to reveal that the government was behind it or some

00:46:42.640 form of the government or that there's not really anything there now trump has hinted that he knows

00:46:48.640 what's in the files because he saw them before and he hinted that the reason for keeping

00:46:52.560 the private wasn't exactly related to the question of who killed kennedy but it might be some related

00:47:00.400 thing that gets revealed that you don't want to reveal maybe about sources and methods i don't know

00:47:05.200 something like that um here's what i think and uh i think charlie kirk missed the possibility

00:47:13.840 let me see if i can test you on cause and effect all right now remember democrats don't understand cause

00:47:19.680 and effect but most of you do because most of you are trump supporters right see if you can use your

00:47:26.000 cause and effect to reason out what's in those files all right let's say a government entity

00:47:34.400 killed kennedy and then a government entity created the files about what happened

00:47:41.280 possibly the same people who were involved with the warren commission

00:47:44.560 who we believe are the most likely suspects in the murder itself so the people who did

00:47:50.880 the murder are in charge of creating the physical records that say they were guilty and then saving

00:47:56.720 them so that future generations could see that they're the real murderers does that sound like

00:48:02.720 something that happened in the real world or or do you think that the people if and this is still

00:48:10.560 speculative but if it's true that the government was so rotten that it murdered the president and got

00:48:16.720 away with it you don't think that they would throw those records away or they wouldn't write it down

00:48:23.040 seriously you think they're going to murder the president and then allow the records that show

00:48:28.240 they murdered the president or even anybody in the government murdered the president you think they're

00:48:33.840 going to leave those records intact for 50 years or whatever the hell it is no no you're not going to

00:48:40.880 see anything that implicates the government in the records kept by the government

00:48:48.880 to me it seems insanely obvious that the perpetrators are not going to keep records of their crime am i wrong

00:48:59.200 who thinks the people who did the crime kept the records of the crime so you can find out later

00:49:04.640 i mean if they could kill a president and get away with it you don't think they could shred some records

00:49:14.240 i don't know well we'll find out uh we'll also find out about maybe the ufos

00:49:20.800 uh but did any of you see the the amazing video of of a ufa an egg-shaped ufo being retrieved by it looks

00:49:31.680 like a helicopter did anybody see that video it's being mocked all over social media people are making

00:49:38.400 their own videos because it looks like it was made at home it is the fakest looking thing i've ever seen

00:49:44.960 the only thing i could tell you for sure that's not a ufo i don't know what it is but the the fact that

00:49:52.240 is 2025 and and the most conclusive proof they could give us is an unclear video really how many

00:50:01.120 decades in a row are we going to fall for well we couldn't get a clear picture nope the only picture

00:50:06.960 we can get is this one you can't tell what's going on

00:50:11.600 anyway

00:50:14.080 um

00:50:16.480 so let's see tom homan says that the uh trump administration might reconsider

00:50:22.640 uh making chicago the first place they raid now when that when i first heard about that

00:50:29.120 i didn't understand it was a leak i thought they had announced it but i think it's being called a

00:50:34.080 leak that chicago is going to be first and then homan saying well maybe maybe we won't because 0.96

00:50:40.560 now everybody's going to be ready for it but i thought to myself at the time i wonder if it's a

00:50:46.240 trick do you think he says we're going to go into chicago but really he was going to go into every city

00:50:52.640 and all the other cities would be ah glad they're not coming into my city they're going to do chicago 0.64

00:50:57.280 i don't have to hide yet and that maybe maybe it was always a diversion it's like yeah look at

00:51:03.120 chicago look over there look over there and then boom they go into baltimore or wherever they go

00:51:08.240 whatever city they go to so it didn't make sense to warn them they were coming but i don't think that

00:51:14.880 happened we don't know what happened um elon musk uh is reportedly the the highest bidder and he would

00:51:24.160 buy this hotel in dc that he'll turn into his own social club like mar-a-lago but in dc

00:51:30.880 now now this is after uh musk has spent a bunch of time at mar-a-lago so he knows what that world

00:51:41.040 looks like when you've got a place that people can come and stay for a while but also a place where

00:51:46.640 they'll meet and sort of the social club the mar-a-lago of it and now he's re it looks like

00:51:52.560 he's going to recreate that in the capital um which makes sense so he would have a very comfortable

00:51:59.600 place to go and meet all the doge people he needs to whenever he's in the city makes sense 1.00

00:52:06.320 i don't know if anybody's mentioned this before i might be the first but um elon musk is smart

00:52:13.200 did anybody have anybody heard that before yeah no i don't want to shock you but it's true yeah he's uh

00:52:21.840 he's smart this is one of the smartest things i've ever seen like you think the other things

00:52:27.920 he does are smart but but you say well he's smart in this one way he's only smart in this one way he's

00:52:34.480 like good at engineering and manufacturing and inventing and and that's more than one way of

00:52:39.760 course but you think well he doesn't really understand how the real world works in politics

00:52:45.120 because he's a because he's a you know he's a business guy doesn't really get it and every

00:52:51.520 time i heard that i would say to myself okay i think you're misinterpreting who he is

00:52:58.240 he's not the guy who has one set of knowledge and he's done

00:53:02.560 he's the guy who can enter an unfamiliar territory and conquer it and own it faster than anybody has

00:53:09.120 ever entered an unfamiliar territory conquered it and own it trump does that by the way with politics

00:53:15.680 um so yeah he basically figured out what would be the most uh the most engineering solution

00:53:24.400 to having the kind of influence and access that he needs to get doge done and he properly in my

00:53:30.880 opinion realized that having a physical facility makes everything different so understanding as he

00:53:38.960 apparently does that having a physical facility that people would enjoy going to

00:53:42.800 just like mar-a-lago except in this case you'd be meeting musk i guess um is incredibly good

00:53:50.240 thinking let us just so smart it's like incredible

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00:54:55.680 well as you know trump says he's saving tiktok we don't know how we could do that

00:54:59.920 um there there is some kind of uh clause in the law that was banning tiktok that says that

00:55:09.440 the president could give them a 90-day extension so it won't be banned um if it's if there's a sale

00:55:16.000 that's you know contemplated and going through but i think there's probably a little wiggle room in that

00:55:22.160 a little wiggle room so i think the executive orders are more about interpreting things than changing

00:55:28.080 the law and if he interprets it as yeah there's offers there's a bunch of people who want to buy

00:55:34.560 it we just need a little more time then i think he has close enough to authority to pause that i don't

00:55:42.320 know if anybody would make a big deal about it right because it's not like anybody's pushing so hard

00:55:47.520 that it has to happen in 90 days that's not the the hard part so i think he correctly read the room

00:55:54.800 again and said that if he puts his name as the person who's saving it that people will appreciate

00:56:01.840 it and probably more people like it than don't like it because the risk of tiktok is not obvious to

00:56:06.320 everybody and apparently this is blowing my mind

00:56:14.960 china just announced that for the first time ever

00:56:18.960 that the company can decide on its own

00:56:26.000 its operations china just announced in effect that it's open to selling it or merging it or making

00:56:34.400 a change now here's where things get complicated lindsey graham did a post saying that china does this

00:56:42.720 thing where i think it's called the golden share if they have stockholders in the company if it's

00:56:47.680 arranged in a way that there's something called the golden chair that means that one stockholder has

00:56:52.960 more control than all the rest of them put together the golden chair owner and that that's always

00:56:57.920 president she and lindsey graham says but others say this is not true so remember other people say

00:57:05.280 it's not true but lindsey graham says it's true that a number of companies are organized that way and we

00:57:11.040 should you know we should kind of keep them out of america because it's basically president she controls 0.99

00:57:17.120 them and that could be risk

00:57:20.800 um but some say that tiktok doesn't have a golden chair set up ran paul uh i don't understand ran paul

00:57:29.120 and tiktok i don't know if he's got a teenager he's trying to make happy who uses it

00:57:34.080 but his arguments don't make sense and he's the most rational person in congress

00:57:40.880 and and whatever he talks about tiktok i go it's like you don't understand it or you're

00:57:45.120 intentionally not understanding it don't get it so so ran paul thinks the problem is censorship

00:57:52.800 i think he's talking about uh the gaza situation how that went against israel and israel wanted the

00:58:00.720 thing banned now that looks like censorship on the surface but it's really about the influence that

00:58:06.720 the that the app has and the israel situation is just an anecdote it's not the whole problem

00:58:14.320 the whole problem is that anytime china wanted to if indeed they control it they could and then i saw

00:58:21.040 ran paul arguing that the the share ownership of the company is really not all it's not all china and

00:58:28.800 there are international investors who own most of it and you know two of the two of the founders own

00:58:33.600 it and blah blah blah so it's not like china even owns it to which i say what do you mean china

00:58:39.280 doesn't own it i don't care if they own it i care if they control it he didn't say they don't control

00:58:45.680 it he said they don't own it which is just a weasel answer like why is ran paul giving weasel answers

00:58:52.000 right a non-weasel answer would have been they don't own shares and they don't control it

00:58:58.880 now that would be if that were true i don't think that's true but if it were true that would be a

00:59:03.520 direct statement and i would say oh really and then i would look into it really they don't control it 0.87

00:59:09.200 i thought they did but if your only argument is who owns what shares that's bullshit that's some 0.97

00:59:17.040 bullshit ran paul and i don't know why you're doing this because clearly he's smart enough to 0.97

00:59:21.680 understand all the nuance of this but why would you argue with it's so out of it's so on a plan 1.00

00:59:28.800 if it were a democrat i'd just say they're stupid or lying if i saw a democrat doing that 0.98

00:59:34.480 but ran paul doesn't lie and he's not stupid and he completely understands it so why is he doing 0.98

00:59:41.680 this i'm i'm confused about it so i'd love to know what what's below that well naval ravikant weighed

00:59:50.240 in on this and he's watching the people argue hey censorship is bad if we censor them they're

00:59:56.640 going to censor us and we don't want that and uh he says this he said two things can be true a foreign

01:00:05.520 adversary should not control our largest media property uh yeah he means tick tock being the

01:00:12.160 largest not not ours and laws i think that's what it means a foreign adversary should not control our

01:00:19.040 largest media property yeah okay and he says laws passed in the name of national security will

01:00:25.440 inevitably inevitably be used against domestic opposition now i stared at those two statements

01:00:33.680 for a while and i wanted to say i think you got it wrong this time naval but but it's naval and i started

01:00:41.360 i kept staring at it and then of course i just agreed with him and and it does create two ways to lose

01:00:47.360 lose and no way to win so if you ban it there's a possibility that some of our stuff gets more banned

01:00:55.920 than it already is and if you let it run you've got a national security problem because it's an adversary

01:01:04.640 that we think has control whether they own shares or not so here's my take so i'd like to give you my

01:01:12.960 take on the tick tock thing which is more about how to think about things all right so this is less

01:01:19.360 of my opinion about tick tock it's more about how how would a reasonable common sense person approach

01:01:26.000 the question so that's what i want to do for you just just lay it out in the most common sensical way

01:01:31.520 so you can form your own opinion the first thing you want to do is avoid analogy thinking as i mentioned

01:01:38.640 earlier analogies are good for describing something they're not arguments so if your argument is an

01:01:46.080 analogy you don't have an argument so i'm hearing a lot of people saying that you know things like

01:01:52.080 well tick tock is a free speech platform and x is a free speech platform so you know if if some other

01:02:01.200 country um if we ban some other country's product then they will ban our product like x and then x wouldn't

01:02:09.600 be able to operate maybe in europe or or china it doesn't i think it x isn't in china right i think it's

01:02:16.720 banned in china but the argument is whatever we do to other people's products they'll do to us

01:02:23.360 i can see that i can see that but the trouble is that's analogy thinking and it's the wrong analogy

01:02:29.680 because the analogy is not everything's a free speech platform what you do to one will happen to the

01:02:36.480 other that's the wrong analogy it's true but it's not how you should analyze this thing

01:02:43.360 so the the wrong analogy is that a platform that's controlled by your adversary is the same as the

01:02:51.840 platform controlled by your friend what kind of analogy is that it it's an analogy that ignores

01:02:59.600 the main point one's an adversary and they could push a button and brainwash americans in one second

01:03:07.680 at least pushing the button takes one second x is famously free speech and it's on our side

01:03:16.240 and the owner of it is very much on our side how do you compare handing a weapon of mass destruction

01:03:22.880 which is what a platform would be if a government had control over it it would be a weapon of mass

01:03:27.280 destruction it could destroy a country so how do you how do you compare uh i want my country to have

01:03:34.400 nuclear weapons good versus i would like my adversary to have them bad because we don't have the same

01:03:44.240 weapon to control china because they ban all our social media so why would you give a weapon to your 0.98

01:03:51.200 adversary if you didn't have to so that's where the the analogy fails so it's the analogy thinkers

01:03:58.880 who are not understanding that these are not comparable things you don't treat one the same because

01:04:03.680 because it's like that other thing they're just they're opposites one is a weapon of mass destruction

01:04:08.480 for your friends on your side and one's a weapon of mass destruction for your enemies 0.57

01:04:12.640 that is the correct frame the other thing is um you can't ban an app in the u.s because our apps

01:04:20.880 are being banned that sounds logical until you remember that china already bans all those apps

01:04:27.760 we can't run our apps in china but they can run them in in the united states and it's the biggest most

01:04:33.280 influential one tick tock so that's a bad argument that uh so uh and then there's also the argument

01:04:41.840 well american companies look at your private data too oh that's analogy thinking yes american companies

01:04:54.240 look at your data and we're all uncomfortable with that and you might wish that it stopped and i wouldn't

01:05:00.160 argue with you it's bad but america doesn't want you dead well maybe the democrats are not too happy

01:05:09.200 today but generally speaking america is on your side more so than the adversary now sometimes they

01:05:16.000 don't act like they're on your side and certainly when you know biden was president he was hunting

01:05:21.200 republicans and god knows what he was doing with social media but uh you cannot compare american

01:05:30.000 companies having your personal data with an adversary having your personal data now let's complete

01:05:37.280 why you care about having the data the reason you care about who has the data is that that's how

01:05:42.640 influence works you know enough about the person that you know what messaging is going to work

01:05:48.000 it's all about knowing the individual that's that's the biggest lever of persuasion knowing knowing

01:05:54.640 that you've isolated a group of individuals by some kind of characteristic and then you give

01:05:59.600 them exactly the message that that little group is going to need

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01:06:18.000 think now i think that the reason that our government and really smart people are completely wrong about

01:06:26.880 analyzing tick tock completely wrong is that persuasion is not something that everybody

01:06:32.800 understands people understand politics they understand business they understand analogies

01:06:41.280 too much unfortunately and if you use those frames the tick tock thing doesn't look like a risk

01:06:49.200 but let me explain how persuasion could work on tick tock it could work the same on any social media but

01:06:55.360 again you're worried about your enemies all right here's how here's how tick tock could do persuasion

01:07:02.640 and you would never detect it you would never detect it first they use all your personal data to determine if

01:07:10.480 you're definitely uh unmovable on politics if you're unmovable they just send you a random equal number of

01:07:19.120 messages on both sides of whatever topic and it doesn't change your mind and they knew that but if they identify

01:07:26.720 the people who are movable in other words it doesn't look like they're partisans in one direction

01:07:33.360 those are persuadable and for those people if you wanted to persuade them but you didn't want to

01:07:39.360 get caught you would send pro and con messages to them in equal numbers and then if somebody checked

01:07:45.520 they say well it looks like these persuadable people got you know an equal amount from both sides

01:07:51.920 so you know you can't say that that's biased unless you understand persuasion because if they do

01:07:59.120 if they count them oh it was 50 memes a piece 50 means one way 50 memes the other direction

01:08:06.720 balanced no you need to know how powerful the memes are if one side got all the good memes which

01:08:13.760 tick tock could determine by popularity and other other means you send all the good memes on one side 0.81

01:08:20.320 and all the weak stupid memes on the other side and then this person sitting on the fence looks at two 0.88

01:08:25.200 things they have exactly the same amount which is the only thing they count and they go i don't see 0.99

01:08:31.440 any bias here you wouldn't see any bias you wouldn't know that they isolated the people that can be

01:08:39.920 moved and you wouldn't know that they decided which memes to show them you would only know they got the

01:08:43.920 same amount it's the same problem we have with our with our own looking at our own bias in our social

01:08:49.680 media here's another one you wouldn't spot you know the book persuasion by cialdini it talks about

01:08:58.400 how your opinions can be changed by what happens just before you make your opinion so they can put

01:09:06.240 you in a in a frame of mind that you're more likely to go one way to the other and you don't know that

01:09:11.760 they did that so that's that's like the invisible persuasion and then when they get to the topic that

01:09:18.320 they care about you think oh i'm in a really good mood today and i'm very optimistic so i'm not

01:09:24.560 worried about that problem right but if they'd primed you the other way everything's falling apart this

01:09:31.120 is bad we we're doomed and then you see that problem you say i'm going to repost this because

01:09:38.000 you know this is bothering me so you would never be able to spot persuasion because it's the stuff that

01:09:44.400 comes before the persuasion you wouldn't even look for it because one is just mood and attitude

01:09:50.400 puts you in the mood and then it completely can can change your opinions after it now i'm just

01:09:56.720 beginning those are just examples of how a social media platform if it wanted to and if it knew a lot

01:10:04.720 about the people which is tick tock it has the ability to push one button and completely change minds

01:10:11.520 in america now when i say completely remember our system is kind of balanced in terms of democrats and

01:10:17.200 republicans so you don't need to move many people if you could reasonably move 10 of the public in every

01:10:24.640 situation you would have total control of the country that risk could not be explained by somebody like

01:10:34.560 a senator there is no senator that i'm aware of who would understand what i just said

01:10:42.240 at the way i understand it and the way i'm explaining it none so there is there is a blind

01:10:47.280 spot in how in terms of how powerful persuasion is even though we all know people can be talked into

01:10:52.960 things we know people can be fooled we kind of generally know that persuasion is very strong and powerful

01:10:58.880 but we don't know the details if you knew the details tick tock would be a lot scarier and

01:11:05.920 i know most of the details so to me it's scarier

01:11:10.640 meanwhile instagram uh announced a new video app that appears to be a um to be a competitor with

01:11:17.760 tick tock i don't really understand that because i thought the instagram was sort of already a video

01:11:24.080 app but i guess because it has other things and video it is not as clean as tick tock maybe so maybe

01:11:30.960 it's just maybe it's just one move to get you know right in that space where it was only sort of around

01:11:36.560 that space so that's the right move um zuck is good at fast following meanwhile the all in pod guys

01:11:46.720 we're interviewing eric swalwell one of my california representatives and uh jason of the all in pod was

01:11:57.040 asking some questions in a clip i saw he was asking swalwell and basically he was saying

01:12:02.320 you know you lost me you know he said i i voted democrat 203 times but basically the you know the

01:12:10.240 current performance of the democrats lost him as a supporter and here's what swalwell started with

01:12:17.920 i swear to god he started with us we need a better story

01:12:27.920 wow they're still clinging to the only problem was how they talked about it

01:12:32.480 now do you think they believe that do you think the prominent democrats think the only problem is

01:12:41.200 their persuasion wasn't as good as trump's the only problem that was it that's what it was

01:12:50.640 i don't know to me it looks like they're completely lost uh and can never come back

01:12:56.160 uh meanwhile the new york times is reporting now and this is uh the amuse account again spotted this

01:13:07.440 so the the important part of this story is it's happening now all right so remember i'll tell you

01:13:14.560 the story but the fact that it's just happening now is what makes it a story okay so they're reporting that

01:13:22.720 in 2022 and again they're just reporting it now that's the important part uh secretary of state

01:13:30.960 blinken he rejected calls for peace in ukraine uh despite warnings for the pentagon that ukraine was

01:13:38.160 unlikely to achieve a stronger bargaining position even general milley was urging the government you

01:13:44.640 know this would be a good time to negotiate uh you know this would be a good time it's not going to get

01:13:49.360 better uh it's never going to get better you how about now which is exactly what all of us were

01:13:56.160 thinking right is there anybody here who is not saying in 2022 you know the faster you do this

01:14:03.920 the sooner you do this the better you are it's not going to get better it might get worse probably

01:14:09.440 won't get better this would be a good time to talk but uh apparently uh blinken according to the new

01:14:17.360 york times uh pushed ahead and wanted the conflict and they morphed it into more of a strategy that

01:14:24.480 wasn't so much about defending poor ukraine it was more about using them as a pawn to weaken a strategic

01:14:30.480 rival i think this is amuses words not the new york times um but that's obviously what it was and

01:14:38.240 they said that directly so i think blinken and others said yeah you know

01:14:42.000 uh we'll be weakening the our biggest military at rival if you don't count china and

01:14:52.480 so meanwhile the media was reframing this and again this is the amuse accounts take on it the media

01:14:58.400 framed the policy as pro-ukrainian uh and they were like vilifying any dissent as a you know putin lover 0.98

01:15:06.400 oh you you like licking putin's butthole if you said anything about maybe we should just end this war 0.96

01:15:13.120 and negotiate it um so basically it just turned into a propaganda thing and it's as evil as it looks 0.99

01:15:21.600 and now the new york times feels that they can report it because do you think the new york times

01:15:26.880 couldn't have reported this story in 2022 i think they could have i think they could have but they didn't

01:15:34.000 meanwhile communist vietnam see if you think this is uh the uh argentina's mile effect or what the

01:15:48.080 communist vietnam said they're going to follow libertarian mile's path and try to model their

01:15:53.760 country after it so so vietnam communist vietnam uh is doing this bold path to restructure its state

01:16:01.760 apparatus and uh radical reforms and they're going to copy argentina and they're going to drastically

01:16:10.640 reduce the size of the state and use their bureaucratic burden vietnam do you know anybody from vietnam

01:16:20.880 so you know there's a number of people in california who were born in vietnam i know a bunch of them

01:16:26.320 and i got to tell you they're pretty awesome people in almost every way you can imagine they're very

01:16:32.240 awesome people vietnam is is way i don't know more capable and smarter than you'd ever imagine they're

01:16:41.840 they're good people anyway um i think that's more of the common sense breaking out everywhere all over

01:16:50.240 the world all right there's going to be plenty more on the inauguration we're all going to watch i think

01:16:56.160 it's kicking off right after the show what time is it well i think we all want to watch um i believe in

01:17:04.320 30 minutes or so uh is the actual swearing in you're going to watch that live so i'll end before that

01:17:10.240 but some backward science maybe um there was an article in sci post uh by eric nolan that suggests

01:17:18.880 that uh watching fox news um you may be good for republicans getting elected no surprise um but that

01:17:29.600 fox news had been picking up a lot of audience in recent years and that might be behind the the good

01:17:37.040 effect oh the trump swearing in ceremony started but i think trump's actual oh the trump ceremony

01:17:45.600 started okay um i don't know if that means he's doing it i think i think his part is at 11 40 eastern time

01:17:56.320 so anyway um

01:18:00.560 so i think this is backwards it seems to indicate that watching fox news turns you into republican

01:18:07.280 but i would argue that literally nobody's going to watch fox news unless they're already leaning in

01:18:12.160 that direction because it would be painful to watch something that disagreed with everything you

01:18:16.400 believed so certainly there's an effect that fox news can harden somebody's republican opinion definitely

01:18:25.040 but i feel like the reason that they got more coverage would be a combination of the following

01:18:29.680 msnbc has mentally ill clowns cnn is so it is basically so disgraced at this point it must be an 0.80

01:18:39.840 embarrassment to watch them especially if you've spotted the hoaxes that they run and bigger than all 0.96

01:18:46.640 those things i'll give my usual shout out to the producers and hosts of fox news they're just better

01:18:53.200 what what about if it's just a better product i don't know if you spend any time watching you know

01:18:58.960 which i do i i try to sample all the news channels trump the the fox people are just better at it

01:19:06.320 they produce better the colors on the sets are better um the combination of characters they put together

01:19:13.280 at the same time or better they're you know the personalities the personalities of the the talent

01:19:20.080 all better all better yeah so maybe that's the whole explanation well china's got a robot dog 0.62

01:19:29.360 called the black panther 2.0 that can run 100 meters in under 10 seconds so that will give you an idea

01:19:36.240 how fast you have to run uh to be the last one killed by the robot dogs now you don't have to

01:19:42.400 you don't have to outrun all the robot dogs you only have to outrun the people who are also running

01:19:47.280 from the robot dogs because you know they're going to kill them first so i'll be practicing my running

01:19:53.600 just to get away from those robot dogs um in other news university of massachusetts at amherst

01:20:03.520 um their their amherst earnest pharmaceutical team have some kind of breakthrough in cancer treatment

01:20:10.640 that's that's that's not available yet but they think they can put anti-cancer agents in bacteria

01:20:17.040 and apparently bacteria or some for some reason are attracted to tumors so if you got a tumor and you

01:20:25.200 take this certain bacteria it's going to have some agents in it that are bad for cancer and they also

01:20:31.280 will use the bacteria to do only the cancer now that would be completely better than all the other

01:20:36.880 treatments which tend to be damaging to you with side effects so if it works if it works would be

01:20:45.040 amazing but it's a little ways off um and that ladies and gentlemen is all i have for you because

01:20:52.000 i know you're going to want to enjoy the rest of your day i'm going to talk to the locals people if they

01:20:55.680 want to uh privately but it's the beginning of the golden age and congratulations to all of you i think

01:21:04.960 you're all part of this and i'll talk to you tomorrow and in the man cave tonight if you're a local

01:21:10.560 subscriber locals i'm coming at you

01:21:19.840 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 20, 2025

Episode 2726 CWSA 01⧸20⧸25

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