Episode 2736 CWSA 01⧸31⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 28 minutes
Words per Minute
149.9288
Summary
The jet crash with the helicopter in DC is creating a massive fog of war, as in, what the heck is going on and can we trust the news and who's lying and what's what? - Scott Adams
Transcript
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good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization
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it's called coffee with scott adams i'm sure you've never had a better time in your whole
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join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that
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makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens that's right right now go
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oh delicious all right the dilberg comic will be published as soon as i'm done with the show today
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had a little hiccup and it was a file problem but it's fixed and uh you will be delighted
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at the current topic in dilbert that's all i can tell you you'll just be delighted
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well let's talk about the news uh the jet crash with the helicopter in dc
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is creating a massive fog of war as in what the heck is going on and can we trust the news and who's
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lying and what's what so we'll give you a few of the things we know there's some new video angles
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which would show to a non-pilot such as myself it would look like it was an easily avoidable problem
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because when you see the video it looks like the helicopter is heading straight for the airplane
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had to be aware of it you know seems like the visibility was good and was also flying hundreds
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of feet higher than allowed with an instructor on board how do you fly in illegal space in a crowded
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area in illegal space it wasn't legal to be where it was how do you do that with an instructor on board
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in the context of instructions so we got questions it may be that we have lots of things wrong now
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countering the narrative that it was easy to see which kind of suggests that there was some
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intentionality there that's not proven but uh i saw another expert saying that if you think it's easy
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to spot airplanes coming you know toward you it's harder than you think and it depends on whether
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you're seeing their i don't know the landing lights are fitting in with the city lights uh the direction
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they're going whether or not there's any lateral movement so apparently there are situations in which
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if you're looking at it from a distance as we are you'd say to yourself how could you not see that
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you're heading right for it for i don't know five seconds in a row five seconds is a pretty long time
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to not react but if you were in the pilot seat and especially if you are testing out some night vision
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goggles the night vision goggles will interfere with your peripheral vision a little bit and there's just
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a ton of things going on at that particular airport and it was a training flight so if you don't have
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the the most trained person for a night flight in that area and there's a lot going on and it might be
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just a coincidence of how the the lights from the vehicles the vehicles the aircraft lined up it's
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possible it was nothing but a mistake but even trump is having trouble believing that you could be flying
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hundreds of feet above the altitude that's legal and allowed when you're you're an extreme rule
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following entity i would think that a military aircraft in the civilian space would be not just a rule
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follower but an extreme rule follower am i wrong i can't imagine anybody being more more extreme about
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following every rule and the the altitude rule isn't like every rule that's really really important
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the where are you you can't get the where are you wrong that's the most important thing where are you
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and you know in relationship to the other planes so there's certainly some question about the
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intention of the uh intention of the pilot there's questions about how could you possibly do be doing
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something so out of the norm um in terms of the altitude and then there's talk about uh trump of course
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mentioned dei and he also mentioned that the helicopter was now where it belonged it was too high
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and he said not too complicated to understand is it well he's right about one thing if you can see so
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and you know dei is sort of the baseline for a lot of our uh understanding of what's wrong with the world
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doesn't mean every single situation is a dei problem does not mean that this is a dei problem
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what it does mean is that whenever there's a system problem and this this appears to be we're not sure
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it might be an individual problem but it seems even more more likely there's a system problem as in
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there were far too few people working in the tower which meant that uh one person was doing the job of two
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in a number of cases so it's the hardest airport the most dangerous airport that's getting busier and
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more complicated every day while the staffing that handles it is going down while the dei requirements
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are probably what keeps them from staffing up because if they have to stick to the dei rules they have
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to say no to some large pool of people who might have been you know qualified so dei definitely is
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crippling the maximum effectiveness of any group that's going hard at it we just don't know if it
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affects some specific case so i'm going to be i'm going to be as scrupulous as i can
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in not saying that the specific case is a dei problem unless we get to a point where it's overwhelmingly
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obvious we're not there however as of this morning i was unable to identify for sure whether we even
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know the names of the pilots in the helicopter to know you know was there any weird dei thing happening
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that could have had some element so as long as i don't know as long as i don't know i don't know
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so not knowing is okay you don't have to have an opinion so i'm going to hold hold my opinion on any
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dei stuff until we know what's happening now some people said that the reason we don't know the name of
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the third member of the helicopter some are speculating that it's a trans pilot and that
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that might be somehow connected to the main the main mystery maybe it's a trans maybe the trans was
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mad uh the trans pilot was mad because uh trump is going to get rid of trans members of the military
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and maybe it was a like a terrorist attack or maybe it was a suicide that's way too soon way too soon so
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i'm not going to jump on that bandwagon yet and if i had to guess based on what people have told me
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in the comments the reason that we don't know the names of all three helicopter pilots is because
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only the families have told us the first two meaning that there might be one family who just
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doesn't want to make it public but that doesn't mean there's any bad reason for it just means they
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don't want to be public the military itself uh apparently has not released any of them now i need
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to fact check on all of this because the news is so unreliable in this fog of war phase of anything
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just so unreliable and social media isn't much better or maybe worse i don't even know uh so don't trust
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anything that's about a specific pilot i would say it's way too fast for that now when trump puts out
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the dei red meat there was a time when i would have said oh trump that's a mistake too soon too soon but
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you know i don't feel like that anymore because i think dei is such a critical threat to the country
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that every time you can bring it up to tell people what a disaster it is now quickly we have to fix it
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i'm on board with that now of course because politics is politics the slimy and hypocritical democrats
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decided that trump bringing up dei while the disaster was still sort of in its warm phase
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that it was too soon and you know it was terrible and he's being a terrible person because he's
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politicizing a tragedy now am i wrong that the people criticizing him for politicizing a tragedy
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are also politicizing the tragedy and at the same time am i blind and deaf and stupid because to me it
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looks like they're doing actively doing the thing they're complaining about it'd be like i'm going to
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complain about your complaints nobody should be complaining now god i hate it when people complain
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um are you doing the thing um are you doing the thing are you doing the complaining about the complaining
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that's not the high ground the high ground is not complaining about somebody's complaining
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during the tragedy those are equally political equally political and you know what when the stakes are high
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and this is life and death because the dei actually could kill people um i'm not i don't have any problem
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with politicizing the tragedy i don't have any problem with it there are definitely cases where politicizing
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a tragedy is just wrong because there's no real political element to it but this does have one the the dei question
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is a yes this is the right question yes we want to know what went wrong yes it's a valid hypothesis and
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it's not just a valid hypothesis you could put it in the top five right there are at least five different
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ways we could end up understanding what happened and they might be completely different you know so we
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don't know how this is going to roll out but if you're not including one of the most obvious
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baseline causes of any kind of breakdown of any kind of system in the united states
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well i don't think you're being honest you're not being honest at all now let me be clear i am
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currently right now as i speak politicizing the tragedy while it's too soon does that make me
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better or worse than the democrats who are politicizing the strat the tragedy by saying that trump is
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politicizing the tragedy no we're all equal we're all politicized the strategy or the tragedy the
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only thing i'll say in my defense is i don't think i'm better than you i don't think i'm better than
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the democrats i don't think i'm better than trump it's just not in my mind it's not a it's not a contest
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did did uh what's his name did david axelrod one of the complainers about the complaining um
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you know does he does he really not think that he's part of the problem and politicizing it
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of of course he knows he's politicizing it so it's just so dumb when democrats come out with this
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uh axelrod said trump's trump's craven remarks so let me think have the democrats learned nothing
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have they learned nothing because didn't they learn all of this last year that if the only thing you
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have is insults like he is a racist he's a dummy he's craven he's politicizing if that's all you have
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did you not learn that that's not enough and that it doesn't work and that maybe you need popular
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policies for once maybe you should try that common sense thing that's doing so well maybe anyway
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uh trump had a little interaction with cnn's caitlin collins on the question about the air disaster and
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uh so caitlin collins uh pressed trump about uh quote blaming democrats and dei for the air crash
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and so collins says quote don't you think you're getting ahead of the investigation right now
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and trump says don't think so at all and uh he said i don't think the names of the people
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uh you mean the names of the people that are on the plane you think that's going to make a difference
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trump says you think that's going to make a difference i don't know how it would make a
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difference but it gets better um then caitlin collins said does it comfort their family to hear you
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blaming dei policies here was trump's answer i think that's not a very smart question
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there you go that is how you handle a not smart question you got to go after the question
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and uh you probably heard uh some of you if you watched uh the five yesterday you saw greg
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gotfeld talking about a good way to answer these dumb questions these these stupid gotcha questions
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is ask a better question this is trump's version of ask a better question i think that's not a very
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smart question i love that i love that oh don't you think you're being political that's not a very
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smart question next question um very very good technique to criticize the question and not answer it by the
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the way i don't think i don't think the not smart questions deserve answers i think you should say
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in the interest of everybody's time could you ask a question that's sort of on point and then just run
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out their time so you might see some you might see some of the uh confirmation people doing that
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because it's really good cash patel did a version of that he did a version of it by asking for a
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clarification on um i don't know some rules and i think what he was doing is essentially calling
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attention to the fact that the questions were ridiculous so i like that let's burn up all their
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time telling them that their questions are ridiculous because that's the truth i mean that's that's far more
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on point and useful than simply trying to answer an unanswerable gotcha question anyway so do you
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think that the democrats have learned anything about their approach that basically it's just yelling at
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people and calling them names well according to end wokeness there was a recent event looked like a
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msnbc hosted event in which uh the candidates for the dnc chairmanship so that would be the
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head of the democratic party at least organizationally head and uh every single candidate i think there
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were maybe 10 of them or so on stage every one of them uh raised their hand when asked if they thought
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that uh racism and misogyny were partly to blame for kamala harris losing and they're all like oh yeah
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oh yeah it was the racism and the misogyny yep that's why kamala harris lost now think about this
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these are the people who are running to be you know the the guiding strategic heads of the party
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and every one of them thinks that the problem the reason that kamala harris lost was racism and
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misogyny they're uh not even close now i'm not saying that racism and misogyny don't exist
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i'm saying that if she'd been qualified she would have already be president like obama
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no matter what you want to say about obama politically he's gifted
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right so if you're good like trump is trump is politically gifted bill clinton was politically gifted
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we keep watching the politically gifted people win no matter what else they got going for him
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trump could be a felon but politically gifted so he's your president obama could be the worst
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person in the world but politically gifted he's your president kamala harris could have done
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everything wrong as long as she was politically gifted as in could talk in public the the female
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thing and the minority thing were absolutely an advantage i mean it's the one thing that gets people
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to cross over to the other party more than anything i mean obama proved that by winning nearly all the
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black votes so yeah the fact that kamala harris couldn't turn her gender and her ethnicity into a
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plus it shows the weakest political gifts we've seen in a long time so anyway apparently the democrats have
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learned nothing um so cash patel is going through the confirmation process as is tulsi gabbard as is
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rfk jr i'm not sure when the votes happen for any of them but it should be soon but uh i'm here the the
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democrats seem really worried about cash patel and i think the problem is that he's dedicated to find out
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what's true which looks like an existential threat to a lot of the democrat party um knowing that
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somebody's going to go for the truth no matter what it costs that would be the scariest thing for
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the democrats because wow the things we're going to find um cash mentioned uh the fbi lying to the
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fisa lying to get fisa at you know approvals um how the assassination attempt doesn't appear to be
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as transparent as you think you should be there's something going on there so we've got lots of
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questions but remember i always tell you if you only know what happened you don't know anything if you
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know who is involved well then you might know everything so if i told you that there was a senator
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who pushed really hard on cash patel because he didn't think he was the right person for the job
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what would that tell you all right there's a senator who pushed really hard against cash patel
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because he didn't think he was the right person for the job if only if the only thing you knew is what
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happened and that's what happened you'd say to yourself huh i guess i would question whether he's
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the right person i mean there are two sides to every story but if there's a senator i mean
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a senator that's pretty credible a senator says he's not capable i mean i'd listen to that right
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and then you find out who the senator is it's adam schiff they only send adam schiff when they need
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the designated liars now i've told you this before there's a small clump of democrats that only go out
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to lead the charge when it's complete it's a complete lie the regular the regular democrats will do the
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small lies and maybe the the political stuff like oh we love we love climate hysteria you know they all
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do that so those are safe safe political lies but if you need to do somebody something that's just
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bat shit crazy and the the the most obvious lying that you could ever do you send raskin you send
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swalwell you send adam schiff you send um brennan you send clapper and if that doesn't work you get
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the better the worse than watergate guys because they'll say they'll reliably tell you that whatever
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the republicans did lately is worse than watergate so if you don't know that there's a designated liar
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group that they only bring out when there's no they have no truth on their side they just have
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no argument based on truth they have to just completely make something up adam schiff appears
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every time every time it's not like they use him once in a while no every time they need to lie
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more than normal lies he appears it's the same fucking guy if you haven't noticed by now that he's
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a designated liar and not like a regular politician indeed i think that's the only reason he gets
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support i think he's found his niche which is he can do the the serious lying you know not just the
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routine stuff so he goes after cash which makes me think cash is exactly the right person for the job
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i'm done with my research if you tell me that adam schiff is trying to derail it he's my man
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i'm done i honestly i didn't know enough about cash to have much of an opinion beyond you know
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beyond the vibe i was getting that looked positive to me but as soon as you tell me adam schiff doesn't
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want him in that job and really really doesn't want him in that job yeah he's my man uh that's the end
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of my that's the end of my thinking on that topic well tulsi gabbard might be having a hard time with
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the confirmation process uh i think the edwards nodon issue might be the thing that uh is a stopper
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we'll see so i don't know i don't know if people are going to go to the you know all the way to the
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wall for her i hope they do but uh we'll see i think the democrats might want to feel like they
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they got a win so they might they might kind of double down at whoever they think there's a little
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crack in the defense so they might just go hard at tulsi because they would also fear
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uh any disclosures or honestly that she brought to the job uh and uh i saw a comment from uh
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tristan levitt on axe who's talking about uh you know how tulsi was put on the uh what's it called
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the quiet skies program which means that if she tried to travel by air she would get all kinds of
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extra attention to slow things down and you know might make it hard to even get on your flight so
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real pain in the ass why do you think she was put on the quiet skies program well according to tristan
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levitt um he says so just to be clear the new york times is reporting that tulsi gabbard was subjected
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to enhanced screening in the quiet skies program because checks notes that's what he wrote checks notes
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she attended a meeting that mickville that mick mulvaney was in and he invited her to go along to the
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vatican uh and it was being uh organized by the pope's second in command
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so she traveled with a well-known american you know political person mick mulvaney um who's legal
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right he's he's a legal citizen he's a public figure he was chief of staff at one point right
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for trump this is a well-known public figure and he went to a meeting in the vatican which is one of the
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most common things that anybody does and uh it was arranged by the pope's second in command
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that's as up and up as you can get unless i suppose the pope scheduled it himself which doesn't happen
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and that was it that was that they visited the vatican and that was enough to put her on this
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program so clearly it was punitive punitive it was using the government as a weapon i don't think
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there's any other way to see it um she went postal so the thing we don't know just to comment on your
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comments i'm seeing going by i have not seen confirmation that the pilot unnamed was a trans
00:26:10.680
person i i would say and here's what i'd be afraid of i i worry there's a kraken forming you know a
00:26:18.760
kraken is when you think you found oh i found how the election was was a rigged and then you find out
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that the thing you know is definitely not true it's called the kraken uh could it be that the bad
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guys are trying to lure the republicans into saying it's a trans it's a trans so here's what i'm going
00:26:39.960
to tell you it is suspicious that we don't know the third name if that's still true that would be
00:26:46.680
suspicious that does not mean it's a trans pilot it if i had to place a bet i'd bet against it but
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only 60 40. so i'd say 60 chance it's not trans 40 chance the simulation is giving you a story
00:27:09.240
that is so on point with the times that it's hard to understand that it could be that on point
00:27:16.840
so the whole two on the nose thing i'm gonna i'm gonna wait on this so for two reasons i'm gonna wait
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because i don't have confirmation so fog of war just makes sense to wait but number two i don't want
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to be the person who went too hard at dei before i had data like that doesn't make you the winner
00:27:39.080
you know if you go after dei based on a specific incident and you don't even have all the facts yet
00:27:45.880
you're not the winner you're not winning just to be clear about that that is not winning
00:27:51.960
now if it turned out that the the dei element to it is just glaringly obvious and we don't know that
00:28:01.000
we don't know that but if it turned out that it was hard to avoid that being part of the story i'm all in
00:28:09.080
but i'm gonna need a lot more confirmation that what i think i know is what i know
00:28:15.480
or something like that well rfk junior um still going through the process and uh there was a
00:28:25.880
senator uh hoyer and looper i guess or something like that if i have the name right and here's my
00:28:31.320
first question is this just a social media phenomenon or are all the women in the senate
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fucking bitches can can somebody tell me is this just social media playing with my head
00:28:47.560
because they don't really look they seem they seem like they're just screaming shrews
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and i don't think they always act like that right i would guess that 99 of the time
00:29:03.720
you can't tell the difference between the men and the women they would say the same things have the
00:29:07.560
the same attitudes same emotional but not this time like the confirmation you're getting a lot of
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really angry faces to the point where it's easy to make memes of a like hank seth just listening to all
00:29:23.240
that and even the still pictures i don't think you could get a still picture of a man
00:29:29.480
that look like the still pictures of elizabeth warren you know it looks like rabid dog at your at your door
00:29:47.480
i love it when i see in the comments somebody trying to attack me for something they imagined that i thought
00:29:54.680
in the past if you want to attack me and my credibility you should at least talk about something
00:30:02.280
that was real not not something you completely made up
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so i don't know what's happening with the women in in the senate uh it could be a social media thing
00:30:20.840
meaning that the social media is you know making them look worse than they are because they picked
00:30:26.920
the pictures just right or something but it's hard to it's hard to not notice the pattern
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anyway um elizabeth warren worried that uh rfk juniors um preference to put the uh the liability on the
00:30:47.000
manufacturers of the meds the vaccinations in particular could bankrupt them is that a problem
00:30:55.800
is it a problem that our vaccination the the only people who know how to do it they could become
00:31:01.320
bankrupted if we require them to i don't know take the liability well you can see why they're protected
00:31:10.840
like you can understand the argument but there needs to be some kind of penalty
00:31:15.880
and here's what i would throw into the mix i don't know if this is a good idea let me just throw it
00:31:23.640
into the mix i would not want to bankrupt a company because they did something wrong with vaccinations
00:31:33.320
not the company because i don't want to punish the shareholders and i don't want to punish the
00:31:39.400
company employees who didn't have anything to do with the decisions
00:31:42.600
but i would definitely punish the paychecks of the executives so is there a way to hold the bonuses
00:31:51.960
and paychecks of the executives to some kind of performance if you could do that then i would feel
00:32:00.280
that maybe i mean if that process were honest i would feel that maybe the pharma companies would do
00:32:06.920
everything they could do to avoid doing something wrong that hurt people but if it happened anyway
00:32:14.520
which is always a big risk with this kind of science if it happened anyway depending on who
00:32:21.240
made what decisions you know i think you should go after the you know the pay or the compensation of
00:32:27.320
people who made the wrong decisions but do you really want to get rid of the company if the company is
00:32:33.480
one that routinely develops drugs you do want so i'll just throw into the mix bankrupting the companies
00:32:42.040
probably a bad idea but bankrupting the people who make the wrong decisions is more like business as
00:32:50.760
usual so we should do a lot more business as usual and i don't think we have a way to punish any of the
00:32:57.640
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00:34:05.800
one of the things that time magazine was saying about uh rfk jr and the whole process about uh
00:34:13.320
rfk jr calling the food poison for the processed foods um
00:34:19.720
so according to time magazine jamie ducharme rfk jr is saying that ultra processed foods are poison but
00:34:26.840
he won't ban them um so if you don't want to ban them what would you do label them maybe label them or
00:34:35.400
maybe you ban certain parts like the red dye that got banned maybe you don't ban the food maybe you
00:34:43.400
ban some stuff that gets added to the food that that would be okay with me um however time magazine
00:34:51.720
goes on to point out that some ultra processed foods are actually good for you do you believe that
00:34:58.040
do you believe that some ultra processed foods are good for you you mentioned that cereal is one of the
00:35:04.040
ones that's good for you do you believe that cereal is good for you i don't know anybody who thinks
00:35:09.880
that now i i wouldn't be surprised if there's a study funded by the cereal people that says cereal is
00:35:18.760
good for you but here's my advice don't believe any entity that takes advertising time magazine takes
00:35:28.920
advertising therefore you should not believe anything they say about food quality or pharma
00:35:35.800
because they're not a credible entity if they're getting paid by the very people that you you think
00:35:41.240
they should be criticizing so no don't believe any any platform that takes advertising cannot be
00:35:49.640
somebody who tells you whether the products that advertise the most are good for you or not no no no
00:35:56.440
doesn't matter who it is doesn't matter if it's they're on your team or the other team
00:36:01.320
if they take advertising money don't believe anything they say anything about food or alcohol or
00:36:09.400
or anything that you can buy to put in your body nothing nothing zero it as soon as you let yourself think
00:36:18.120
well sometimes they're right you're lost nope you can't think that way you just have to assume it's all
00:36:25.480
non-credible some of it might be true but you're not going to know what so just treat it all like it's
00:36:32.360
non-credible the biggest surprise i got out of this process is learning that in my opinion bernie
00:36:37.720
sanders is way more corrupt than i knew so he's one of the ones who gets the most money from the
00:36:44.280
pharma industry and is also going the hardest at rfk jr with the worst arguments huh let's see somebody that
00:36:53.560
i respected for you know at least his stick-to-itiveness and his consistency and things like
00:37:00.760
that you know there were things about bernie that i genuinely appreciate i don't think he should have
00:37:05.960
been president but some qualities that you know i could say you know i'm gonna give the same standard
00:37:14.280
i use for trump which is i'm not here to judge everything he's ever done i'm just judging it in the
00:37:20.360
context of doing the job so under that under that theory sanders was additive to the process even
00:37:28.280
though he had different opinions i like the you know i like the exchanges but here's the exchange with
00:37:36.600
kennedy um sanders said will you guarantee to do what every other major country is
00:37:42.840
it's a simple question bobby and then kennedy said the problem of corruption is not just in the
00:37:50.760
federal agencies it's in congress too as he's talking to congress almost all the members of this
00:37:57.240
panel the ones who are asking questions right there are accepting including yourself meaning sanders
00:38:04.520
millions of dollars from the pharmaceutical industry to protect their interests sanders says oh no no no no
00:38:12.120
no no no no let me in case you didn't catch that i'd like to repeat it again bernie sanders said oh no
00:38:21.400
no no no no no no no that's a one two three four five six no's no no no no no no no no no no
00:38:31.560
now that makes sense these are the guys who keep saying answer yes or no apparently that's all they can do
00:38:38.920
the reason i think it's used it's reasonable it's reasonable to answer yes or no to complicated
00:38:43.960
questions is apparently that's how they do it are you influenced by all the vast amount of money that
00:38:51.720
the pharma people give you no no oh no no no no no no no no no no no no no have i mentioned no no no no
00:39:01.080
no no no no no no no no anyway so um sanders said i ran for president like you i got millions and
00:39:10.600
millions of contributions they did not come from the executives not one nickel of pac money from the
00:39:15.960
pharmaceutical industry they came from workers uh and then kennedy said in 2020 you were the single
00:39:23.960
largest recipient of pharma dollars now do you think that sanders is being honest when he says
00:39:33.000
i got it from the employees not from the executives how do you think the employees decided who to give
00:39:40.440
their money to do you think the executives had any influence over where the money went or do you think
00:39:47.320
that the way we record things is if some individual in is is at home and they send in a they send in
00:39:55.800
a payment on their personal checking account and they donate to sanders do you think that gets recorded
00:40:01.320
as a pharma contribution because the person has a job at pharma i could use a fact check on that
00:40:10.520
but my assumption is that would not be shown as a pharma donation am i wrong about that
00:40:18.200
that if it's just an individual donation i mean i've donated i donated to trump did it ask me
00:40:25.880
what kind of job i have no no i just donated so i do believe that um sanders got a lot of
00:40:34.360
small donations from individual people i think you know directionally that's true but how in the world
00:40:40.120
could he be listed as the biggest recipient of uh of pharma money now you might say why would the
00:40:50.840
socialist guy who wants uh health care to be universal and and the government's in charge why why would that
00:40:59.400
guy get money from big pharma well how could you make the most money if you were big pharma
00:41:06.600
i think you could make the most money if a hundred percent of the government
00:41:13.240
if a hundred percent of health care was paid for by the government because that would probably increase
00:41:18.120
by one-third the number of people who use your products and you wouldn't have to worry about
00:41:22.600
whether the government would say yes to your vaccinations because you've already bribed all
00:41:27.480
the congress people of course they'll say yes so i would think that the most profitable thing
00:41:33.800
for pharma would be some some kind of a single-payer governments in charge of everything
00:41:39.320
health care because that gets a third more people and even if the government negotiates a little on price
00:41:46.440
i think they still come out ahead because they're definitely gonna government's gonna say yeah you
00:41:50.760
got to get these shots yeah these are good because they're paid off so it does make sense
00:41:57.960
that sanders being the one who wants universal health care would get the most money
00:42:02.200
there's a perfectly straight line reason for that so um my take on this is
00:42:10.200
i didn't realize sanders was this corrupt i'm actually a little bit disappointed
00:42:15.160
a little bit disappointed so yeah uh bernie either back off of rfk jr or
00:42:23.960
i you just get out of this conversation now it also makes sense why he was being so stupid about the
00:42:29.160
onesie remember that he showed a what he was he was talking to rfk jr at the confirmation hearings
00:42:36.120
he put a visual of a onesie which is basically a baby's one-piece clothing
00:42:42.600
and had the anti-vaccination thing on it and he kept saying do you approve this onesie do you
00:42:48.440
approve it do you approve this message on this onesie now that might be the stupidest thing that
00:42:53.640
anybody ever said about anything in any public setting and you say to yourself hmm you know even
00:43:00.360
when i don't agree with sanders he's never been that stupid why why would somebody act that stupid
00:43:07.880
and the reason is you're getting paid nobody would act that stupid accidentally unless they were a
00:43:15.240
stupid person sanders is not a stupid person so when he goes in public and does the stupidest thing
00:43:21.320
you've ever seen and really pushed it really pushed it he didn't just take a casual swipe at it he was
00:43:28.200
yelling do you approve this onesie what about this onesie um that's got to be paid that's got to be
00:43:35.880
pay for play you know indirectly not not that they paid him for his specific statements but indirectly
00:43:43.000
somebody who's taking money from an industry how do you explain that any other way when the smart
00:43:49.160
person acts like a moron aggressively in public there's got to be some other force
00:43:55.480
you didn't suddenly become stupid on one question i don't think
00:44:04.600
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think so um here's what we learned the people were definitely not on the side of america elizabeth warren
00:44:24.280
sanders mcconnell um and here's how i'd like to fix all of this i think that when the tv news shows
00:44:36.120
us a a senator grilling a confirmation or you know a person who's trying to get confirmed that the chyron
00:44:43.720
should always say whenever the politicians on screen how much they got from the industry that's
00:44:50.920
the topic of the day now if you just do that i don't even care that they take the money
00:44:57.800
as long as wherever they go they get tagged with how much they're bought then everybody can see it
00:45:04.440
and then you can make up your own mind but imagine being an unsophisticated viewer of tv and you think
00:45:10.440
that the people who are going after rfk junior are a random a random group of politicians they're not
00:45:18.760
random these are the ones who are taking the most money from the very industry that's that question
00:45:26.120
if you don't know that when when you're watching them talk you're missing the whole thing again
00:45:31.000
if the only thing you know is what happened some senators asked some tough questions you don't know
00:45:36.760
anything if you know who the players are and specifically how much they're getting paid by
00:45:42.440
each industry well then you might know everything i think it's really that simple
00:45:48.760
i guess canada and mexico might face 25 percent tariffs by saturday because of their lack of keeping
00:45:56.360
the borders closed and trump is even thinking of a 10 percent tariff on additional tariff on china
00:46:04.200
because of their failure to do the fentanyl thing now you know i have a personal connection
00:46:12.200
to the fentanyl thing because my stepson died of an overdose in 2018 and so i'm i'm not objective
00:46:21.400
about this topic you know i'm going to just be as honest as i can i cannot find objectivity
00:46:28.200
on this particular topic i try pretty harder than the other stuff but i'm just going to surrender to this
00:46:33.800
one i'm not objective on this question so when i hear that trump is monetizing fentanyl overdoses
00:46:49.400
like i i get why you're trying to put pressure on china and i appreciate it i get that but it just
00:46:56.360
feels like monetizing the death of hundreds of thousands of americans now monetize you know toward
00:47:03.800
the national debt i guess but i don't know it's creepy but i understand it i understand it it is pressure
00:47:15.240
um i've told you how i would handle it i would handle it through embarrassment i i would do something
00:47:22.280
like closing the embassy and i would say look if you're not going to take care of the fentanyl problem
00:47:27.960
right away we can't really have a normal relationship with you and i think that's what we've done wrong
00:47:33.720
up to this point we've acted like we have it's like some kind of normal relationship but oh we have this
00:47:40.760
one problem you know with some details not working out in this one problem fentanyl now fentanyl is not
00:47:47.720
like the other problems if you're intentionally part of the killing of a hundred thousand americans a
00:47:53.720
year close the embassy i want every country to know that china essentially are murderers and you can't
00:48:01.800
have a normal relationship with them now closing it might cause too many problems for american
00:48:07.080
companies operating over there and of course there would be immediate reciprocity etc but that's the
00:48:14.040
fight i wouldn't mind i wouldn't mind the fight where we're just going to embarrass their management
00:48:19.560
as murderers and uh and just say look that's what you have to deal with and i would also tell american
00:48:27.320
companies that they just can't do business over there anymore they just can't do it now the existing
00:48:33.240
businesses i wouldn't stop them because that's there's too much invested over there but we just have to
00:48:40.760
stop treating china like it's some normal company country when it's killing 100 000 people a year
00:48:47.320
with the help of the cartels that's not normal that's not normal so i'm not happy treating it that way
00:48:56.440
i saw a great moment where thomas massey was teaching congress how inflation works
00:49:04.040
works and he dunked on jamie raskin in a way that was so um i don't know how to say it perfect it was
00:49:16.360
perfect but it's it's how a smart person dunks on a dumb person so let me tell you the situation you
00:49:24.600
can characterize it yourself so massey's doing a public display where he's got a glass of tea and he adds some
00:49:32.120
regular water to it and he says here you can see that if i added water to it it diluted the tea he
00:49:39.000
said that printing money is just like that if you add money just by printing it then the money that's
00:49:46.040
already there will get diluted and will be worth less just like the tea is worth less because it's
00:49:52.040
full of water now or over diluted so um and then massey further made his point that that's the cause of
00:50:01.480
inflation and not not some weird things like oh just energy is high or oh just something happened
00:50:08.200
with the supply chain oh it's you know there's just a special case oh it's the bird flu you know it
00:50:15.720
seemed like a lot of our individual expenses have some kind of individual reason but he but massey to his
00:50:23.000
point everybody would be affected by printing money and a dilution of cash he said that's why
00:50:32.760
the entire the entire country has higher costs than everything i'll say everything but almost
00:50:39.320
everything um because it affects everything kind of equally now that's pretty good right he's explained
00:50:47.400
how printing money dilutes what you have and how it affects everything and so since it does affect
00:50:53.160
everything that's more evidence of his point there's not a bunch of special cases that's something that
00:50:59.960
has to do with printing money jamie raskin thinks he's got him this is the fun part so raskin who
00:51:09.000
you should know is one of the other designated liars he's one of the ones that you bring out if shifts on
00:51:14.040
vacation ship uh so so raskin says how do you explain that there's inflation in the entire globe
00:51:26.680
gotcha gotcha oh thomas massey thomas massey with your little old mit degree you think you're smart
00:51:35.240
well watch it watch me kneecap you right in front of the whole world yeah oh thomas massey you think
00:51:40.600
that america printing money in america is what's causing our inflation but you know try to explain
00:51:48.360
how all the inflation is going up all over the world thomas massey gotcha gotcha thomas massey
00:51:57.160
coolly looks at raskin and says they all printed money during the pandemic it's all the same
00:52:05.800
they printed money and and and more than that probably the only thing that kept us
00:52:14.200
solvent was that everybody made this same mistake at the same time so our money didn't become worthless
00:52:21.400
compared to other money we all went down with the same mistake and that's why you don't challenge
00:52:31.560
that's why you don't challenge the technical understanding of an mit graduate in public
00:52:40.360
unless you've tested that out that that's sort of the thing you want to test out behind closed doors
00:52:45.080
it's like all right next time they say this watch what i do i'm gonna i'm gonna pull out the how do you
00:52:50.680
explain the other countries thing then somebody would stop you and go ah there is an explanation for the
00:52:56.200
other countries because they all printed money so the fact that raskin thought that you know trying
00:53:04.520
to dunk on massey in public was going to work out i don't think he understands what a thomas massey is
00:53:14.840
let me explain what he is so in in addition to being in congress
00:53:19.480
he's the smart one he's not gonna start you know making a big deal about a topic that he hasn't looked
00:53:28.200
into what do you think he didn't look into it do you think there's something that an m i an mit
00:53:36.360
trained engineer can't master do you think he can't figure out the complexities of printing money
00:53:42.360
he's just the wrong person to challenge on facts and how the facts fit together that how they fit
00:53:51.800
together is the the magic part so yeah i just love that um we've got we got some new economic data
00:54:02.840
i don't know who to blame for it it's too early for trump too late for biden uh but personal income
00:54:08.760
is up a 0.4 which is what people expected but personal spending is up 0.7 hmm why would spending
00:54:17.800
be higher than the raise in income well it could be optimism optimism is one of the reasons you spend
00:54:25.400
more than you have because you think well i'll get more later uh but it could be that people don't
00:54:31.640
have enough money so they're just things are expensive and they they can't live without
00:54:38.040
insurance but insurance went way up so so we don't know that just i'll remind you that all data is fake
00:54:46.600
so who knows well the big banks have uh have uh gone through the usual cycle
00:54:56.040
so here's what the usual cycle is trump blames big banks for debanking conservatives banks laugh at it
00:55:05.720
and say oh no you're crazy we we didn't uh no we what are you what are you talking about we didn't
00:55:15.080
debank any conservatives and then the receipts start coming in uh well yeah you debanked uh these people
00:55:22.680
people and uh here's some more people you debanked and here's some more and here's some more and here's
00:55:28.680
some more and here's some more and then what did the bank say did they say oh my but we didn't even
00:55:35.560
know we did this you know it happened in you know different decisions in different areas and you know
00:55:40.520
now that you pointed out wow wow we really shouldn't have done that uh we apologize we're going to make
00:55:46.920
it up to those people we debanked because in retrospect that looks like a mistake and you're quite
00:55:52.120
right in your criticisms so we'll go forward with this improvement so that didn't happen they went
00:56:01.160
from no we don't debank conservatives then it was proven that they did they went all the way to oh oh
00:56:08.120
you talked about the things that the government makes us do so the the current claim is that the
00:56:15.240
government the biden government in particular uh was putting pressure on them to make sure that they
00:56:20.680
weren't uh allowing uh sketchy gun dealers and people who were in the crypto field but you couldn't
00:56:28.840
tell if it was real or a scam so apparently the fines for having a banking relationship with somebody
00:56:37.240
who the government doesn't think you should have a banking relationship with are pretty extreme so the
00:56:43.000
banks were just covering their asses and now they're going to blame the government for making them
00:56:48.600
debank conservatives so apparently they're more conservatives in the obviously in the gun dealer
00:56:54.760
space um but yeah so it starts with it's not happening and then it goes to we had to do it because
00:57:03.880
the government made us do it i don't know what's the step after that go back to it didn't happen
00:57:10.040
oh banks you better do better when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from
00:57:18.280
winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with
00:57:25.080
the designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price
00:57:31.640
or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is
00:57:38.200
anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less
00:57:46.680
um trump is doing a terrific job of explaining birthright citizenship by simply saying it was intended
00:57:54.120
for children of slaves it was intended for the slaves themselves not just their children but his point is
00:58:01.400
good you know i think limiting it to the children is you know directionally it's in the right direction now
00:58:10.600
i'm no supreme court person but i think i think trump's argument might fly in the supreme court
00:58:21.080
on one hand it says very clearly that anybody born here seems to be a citizen but the
00:58:28.120
jurisdiction they're under part because that's part of it you know you have to be under the jurisdiction
00:58:34.200
of the laws of the united states or under the jurisdiction of the united states so there's
00:58:38.280
some argument that if you're not here legally you are not fully under the jurisdiction obviously
00:58:46.600
the law would apply to you still but you're not under the jurisdiction so so the argument would be that
00:58:52.760
over that word jurisdiction and since the original purpose of it was for slaves and children of slaves
00:59:02.360
i think the originalists on the court are going to agree that there's a reason no country in the world
00:59:08.840
does it the way we do it and it was never intended to be widened to apply to everybody so if i had to
00:59:16.680
predict i think he's going to win this and i think he's going to win it in the supreme court the
00:59:23.320
the only thing i can imagine the supreme court doing that wouldn't be just a clean win
00:59:30.280
uh would be to say this one's too important you just have to get the country to revise the constitution
00:59:38.600
so they might want to say we don't change the precedent because we've treated it like
00:59:42.920
like like it meant to everybody for a long time so we'll see um
00:59:55.960
so doge uh claims uh according to elon musk has saved over a billion dollars on just canceling
01:00:03.560
dei programs alone and uh musk also said that the reducing the federal deficit from two trillion a
01:00:15.160
year to one trillion would require cutting four billion a day in projected 2026 spending from now
01:00:22.440
until september so cutting four billion a day i don't know if that's doable i mean that's a pretty big
01:00:31.000
ask but here's my problem our federal deficit isn't two trillion dollars isn't our federal deficit
01:00:41.960
um or maybe i i might be conflating the annual deficit with the total amount of debt
01:00:55.160
if we're if we're adding a trillion dollars every hundred days
01:00:58.440
and mark andreessen points out that that number will start to escalate
01:01:02.520
you know in a straight line up so adding a trillion dollars in debt every hundred days
01:01:08.600
as andreessen points out very soon becomes every 90 days and then very soon becomes every 60 days
01:01:17.000
and right around there you have hyperinflation and essentially the end of your economy
01:01:22.120
economy so does elon have the numbers wrong or do i because we're off by trillions trillions
01:01:34.200
my understanding of the problem is trillions different from how elon is explaining it because
01:01:41.160
he's acting he he's communicating as though cutting a trillion out of our expenses
01:01:47.080
would get us down to a trillion dollar problem but we could grow out of that
01:01:54.520
i i don't know i like his optimism and it seems dumb to bet against him right can we all agree that
01:02:01.080
betting against elon musk especially when a calculation is involved
01:02:07.400
would be just about the dumbest thing you could do so i'm going to say there's a mystery
01:02:12.200
why is it true that we're adding a trillion dollars every 100 days but also true that if we solve
01:02:20.280
only one of those trillions that we can grow out of the rest so i have a real problem understanding
01:02:30.520
why i'm off by 50 trillion dollars because if we're adding you know if we get to the point we're adding
01:02:37.880
a trillion every month or so you know we're adding 12 trillion a year and then that will by the next
01:02:44.440
year it's going to be 100 trillion a year so i don't understand the numbers and i should i mean i do
01:02:52.920
have enough i have enough background that i should understand it i don't know why i don't
01:03:00.840
well y combinator announced that that the startups they're looking for because they're a incubation group
01:03:07.320
where they they fund and um they uh let's say nurture startups so they announced uh what they're
01:03:15.480
looking for is a lot of ai products that would replace 100 000 per year functions now that's uh
01:03:22.600
that's a take by greg eisenberg so that's not what y combinator says directly that's his take on it
01:03:29.320
um and and he shows he shows uh y combinator's document of what they're looking for and it does look
01:03:36.520
like they want startups that can greatly reduce employment by adding ai to companies now on one
01:03:44.760
hand that sounds really dangerous to employment in the future of the country on the other hand
01:03:51.640
it's the only way that you can survive you have to cannibalize your existing industry
01:03:57.480
as hard as you can or you become europe right so as dangerous as it sounds for you know at least most
01:04:08.280
the storied incubator of startups as dangerous as it sounds that they're targeting jobs
01:04:13.320
and they're pretty direct about it it's the only way to survive there's no second way to do this
01:04:21.640
if you say we're going to keep the jobs even if the technology would allow us to get rid of them
01:04:27.640
that's a death trap you don't you don't survive that you end up being you know overtaken by whoever is
01:04:34.840
not going to do what what you just said you'd do which is protect the jobs over over the growth and
01:04:41.080
evolution of the industry so you have to do it but here are some things that jump out of me
01:04:51.000
i don't know if the real world is going to give them what they need
01:04:54.680
all right so i'm going to put the the dilbert filter on y combinator and it seems to me that at the
01:05:03.480
moment you're always going to need one full-time staff member to manage the ai they replaced one
01:05:12.440
full-time staff member am i wrong you're going to need one full-time ai person to replace anything
01:05:23.560
because i've thought about doing it for my own operation there's a whole bunch of stuff i do
01:05:28.920
that um in theory ai could do but it would require a constant monitoring and tweaking and you know
01:05:37.560
checking and it would require me to hire somebody to sit and watch the ai to make sure it was working
01:05:46.040
and to continually change it and upgrade it now that's just one person that's just my operation
01:05:52.360
but i don't see a way to reduce anything i do see maybe some awesome things i could add to
01:05:58.840
you know my content or add to making the dilbert comics more easily searchable stuff like that but
01:06:05.800
every one of them requires me to add a staff now is there something that's different about big companies
01:06:12.920
so let's say you've got um let me let me take one example from my personal experience
01:06:17.560
i suppose instead of a finance and budget guy which is what i used to be for a big bank and then a
01:06:24.920
phone company um suppose they say hey budgets budgets are the easiest thing to do all right so we'll
01:06:33.080
get rid of the budget guy because it's just math and spreadsheets we'll just have the ai do
01:06:37.400
um and then what about the forecasts so it's not just collecting the budget like i would do forecasts
01:06:45.160
if we invest in this you know this is better if we lease it than if we buy it that sort of thing
01:06:50.520
well again again the ai could do forecasts so could my old job be replaced because it was just math
01:07:01.720
and the answer is oh you've never worked in the real world have you if you think there's any possibility
01:07:08.600
that that job could be replaced by a computer you don't really know what that job was let me explain
01:07:15.560
what that job really was that job is about lying on behalf of your boss it's a lying job you can't hire
01:07:25.640
an ai to lie it just won't work out so the boss says choose the assumptions so that i get you know the
01:07:33.800
laboratory i want to build choose the assumptions so we get get this new technology because we're
01:07:39.720
going to do it anyway but we have to make the numbers work it's a lying job and i was very aware
01:07:46.120
of it when i did it i was completely aware of it now but what about marketing marketing what about
01:07:54.680
marketing oh no that's okay marketing so ai can create images it can test marketing it can it can
01:08:03.240
post things it can it can go on social media it can create ads it can even negotiate with whoever
01:08:09.960
it needs to to pay for the ads it can stay on budget wow i guess you can replace marketing with ai
01:08:19.560
nope do you know why because marketing is a lying job it's a lying job ai won't do that
01:08:28.360
you can't get it to lie and then also cover up the lie and protect everybody marketing is a lying
01:08:36.440
job but what about sales right sales is mostly describing your product answering questions
01:08:43.640
negotiating price figuring out where the money goes delivery really just really such basic things
01:08:51.160
so ai could do that right ai can call people it can follow up on things it can answer questions
01:08:58.280
it can tell you how your products better than the others right no you know why because sales are
01:09:07.160
oh you're way ahead of me aren't you sales is a lying job it's mostly driven by lying and the ai won't do that
01:09:16.680
so let's see finance is lying marketing is lying sales is lying but at least we have hr
01:09:31.240
do i need to do hr hr is just bullshit hey i can't do bullshit the reason that we have so many people
01:09:41.320
working in big companies is because they're working in big companies is because they're all professional
01:09:44.440
fucking liars if you didn't know that you've never read a dilbert comic because that's pretty much the
01:09:50.440
whole theme no you can't replace liars with honest ai and if the ai is a liar it can't do anything
01:10:01.800
there there there is a logical there's a logical firewall that should stop almost everybody from
01:10:11.240
replacing their staff of liars it just won't work and and the other thing that ai doesn't do is come
01:10:18.360
up with new innovative you know out of the box anything so pretty much every breakthrough that a
01:10:26.600
company ever had was because there was that one employee who was willing to take a risk and think
01:10:32.920
outside the box and do all that the ai can't do that ever right so the the things that humans do
01:10:41.640
are just not really replaceable by ai because the humans will do the wet work they'll do the dirty stuff
01:10:50.520
and if you train the ai to do the the dirty stuff well then you've got a brand new problem that's the
01:10:56.200
biggest problem in the whole freaking world you got this out of control ai with too much power
01:11:03.240
so anyway i i'm really skeptical about the job part i will however say so you don't come back to me
01:11:11.160
later and say but scott that entire industry was replaced by one ai there will be some of that there
01:11:18.120
will definitely be some of that what i don't see happening is some big multinational corporation
01:11:24.680
you know just vastly getting rid of people they might get rid of a pocket i can imagine if
01:11:32.120
telemarketers i can imagine if telemarketers or something like that or you know maybe help desks
01:11:39.160
i could see those maybe being um and automated because you don't really expect the tech support
01:11:45.240
guys to be liars right not really i mean if if you've told your tech support to lie
01:11:52.360
you're probably not doing it right so there will be some pockets but i don't i don't think it's going
01:11:58.280
to be transformative and not as quick as people say meanwhile on the save the whales update you know
01:12:05.320
the big wind turbines offshore were killing whales uh did you know that the danish wind giant or stud
01:12:13.000
or stead um is one of the big ones uh offshore for the united states i guess on america's east coast
01:12:20.680
now what are the odds that a danish company would be involved in this story
01:12:25.640
so see we've got denmark that's uh allowing russia to rebuild nordstrom too that was this week we've
01:12:35.800
got denmark uh saying that we the united states can't buy greenland but we really want to and now
01:12:43.080
denmark is uh replaced the ceo of their giant giant uh wind giant orsted because the shares were down 83
01:12:53.160
percent um largely on um the whale killing bad press and trump trump coming down hard on that industry
01:13:03.800
so that industry is in real trouble um but it's good for whales michael schellenberger has done a great
01:13:11.400
job reporting on this this whole situation by the way the thing that schellenberger does
01:13:16.440
that makes him special and i would say a national asset at this point um above reporting you know you
01:13:25.320
can be like the best reporter and you're still not michael schellenberger schellenberger is the best
01:13:32.200
reporter but he's got such an extra gear that it's almost a different thing so he knows everything
01:13:42.200
about you know the whole wind industry but he's also been involved in saving whales so how many people
01:13:49.720
could be an expert on those two things which are in the same story i mean that's very rare if you look
01:13:56.120
at schellenberger's talent stack it's everything from nuclear to whales to energy to you know he can
01:14:04.440
understand the economics of stuff the the political problems i mean that's a talent stack so you don't get
01:14:11.880
that from regular reporters reporter might know one thing oh i used to be an economist but now i'm a
01:14:18.280
reporter i know i know one thing in writing schellenberger knows a lot of things and so he can give context to
01:14:27.080
everything it's amazing speaking of other um other people who are important and have great opinions mark
01:14:37.160
andreason um you might get tired of me saying that he's awesome but every time he's in public he says
01:14:43.000
something awesome because he's so good at communicating and so good at understanding the
01:14:49.560
complexities of things that you and i don't see live so he can untangle what's happening in silicon valley
01:14:57.080
for example and he's got a piece in the new york times in which he's describing why big tech
01:15:03.960
uh ended up leaning toward trump and i will try to summarize it by saying that big tech was less
01:15:13.240
political and more about big tech and if you're in the tech space you want fewer regulations you want
01:15:21.320
lower taxes and you want the activists to get out of your way so trump was about lower taxes less
01:15:28.760
regulations and and you know get the activists out of your way so it shouldn't be a huge surprise
01:15:36.840
that at least the transactional smartest let's get business done people in silicon valley said hey
01:15:44.600
there's one of us you know even if you don't want to identify with him you can understand that
01:15:49.400
he's a business person who wants lower taxes less regulations you know fewer activists in the way
01:15:55.720
so that does make sense however i would add to that that the fine people hoax was super instrumental
01:16:05.000
in getting some of the biggest names to say hey wait a minute have we been living under this
01:16:11.000
brainwashing regime and the answer was yes we were very much living under a brainwashing regime
01:16:16.760
and once the fine people hoax crumbled the tentpole hoax the others became more obvious the other
01:16:23.400
hoaxes so i think that's a big part of it and i also think that male energy is a big part of it
01:16:29.560
silicon valley heavily male biased uh trump attractive to males because of the male energy of it so i think the
01:16:39.640
male energy was also a sub story so there are a lot of reasons trump was good on policy uh but he had male
01:16:48.440
energy and uh people escaped on their own from the well with a little help they escaped from the hoaxes
01:16:56.120
so there were a number of reasons all good ones um
01:17:06.280
there's a story that uh gen z seeks safety above all else
01:17:12.840
um and that according to the conversation that's a that's a uh a what is the conversation must be some
01:17:22.360
online entity um so a bunch of kids were asked in a survey 1600 kids were asked in the survey about
01:17:31.320
what they rate as most important of 14 personal goals so the things they asked them were you know
01:17:36.760
what's most important being popular having fun being kind i assume it was stuff like making money
01:17:43.400
you know so they got to say what's the most important thing they worried about guess what was
01:17:48.200
number one we're talking about gen z specifically the number one thing that gen z is concerned about
01:17:56.440
number one guess you cannot guess the answer is to be safe to be safe now
01:18:09.480
i remember when i was a kid the only thing i really worried about was nuclear war or getting
01:18:15.640
drafted to go to vietnam i wasn't super worried about anything else i figured i could make everything
01:18:23.160
else work but i couldn't really handle i mean i didn't have any control over nuclear weapons
01:18:29.160
i didn't have any control over when the vietnam war ended as luck would have it it ended just in time
01:18:35.560
i was very close very close to being um i think i was a one or two years away from being draft age
01:18:48.440
when it ended so i mean that's as close as you can get that was close but uh yeah gen z is worried
01:18:55.800
about safety and i think that makes sense when you look at the social media and news
01:19:01.240
um networks because it all looks like everything's to scare you and if you're gen z you don't know that
01:19:07.560
all of it is fake so i try to put myself in the position of a young person today if i believed that
01:19:15.480
climate change was an existential risk the way it is that would be so scary i just wouldn't have children
01:19:25.800
because of climate change now i i could see how the gen z people are scared to death they're literally
01:19:32.840
trained that their world will end before they become parents so of course they're not gonna have kids
01:19:39.960
but apparently the problem is maybe even bigger in china so i was reading today um something about
01:19:47.400
the young people in china who are just saying that having children makes no sense at all
01:19:55.240
like it's not even a goal for the majority of young people imagine the majority of young people in any
01:20:02.600
country thinking that children are a bad idea because it limits it limits your life so much
01:20:09.640
uh that's that's sort of an existential threat i mean that's a big one so if if the debt doesn't kill us
01:20:20.200
the lack of birth rate will do it i think china's got a bigger problem because they've created a system
01:20:28.920
where the young people say why would i raise somebody in this system the united states hasn't done that
01:20:33.720
if you told me you know you're gonna have a kid and and i know i know people who are currently in the mode of
01:20:42.120
having them or about to have them or just had one and i just feel happy for them
01:20:46.120
i will tell oh this is all good news more kids yes more kids so that might be the defining difference
01:20:55.720
that allows america to stay somewhere on top and china to be in big trouble that we may have created
01:21:03.720
a system where people are willing to have a child that's gonna be a big deal even with all the robots
01:21:10.280
coming online um and the robots are coming online now the good thing about the confirmation hearings
01:21:18.920
is that apparently it seems to have ended the newest hoax i did not expect that the elon gave a hitler
01:21:28.760
salute would be as strong as the fine people hoax but it is they just replaced the fine people hoax
01:21:36.040
with the hitler's salute hoax and they're selling it exactly the same way by showing you part of the
01:21:42.440
video instead of the whole video where you see that you know he touched his heart and said my heart
01:21:47.160
goes out to you which was the the physical act and i can't believe how easily the democrats are fooled
01:21:58.760
unbelievable i was talking to my uh who i call my smartest democrat friend um just by email the other day and
01:22:10.920
of course i found that we couldn't have any kind of productive conversation
01:22:15.720
because if you make any point you get a fire hose of accusations about what your team did
01:22:22.680
and then you can't really argue that because it's like 10 accusations and you know what do you do with
01:22:28.040
that so um i've created the standard which says i won't have a conversation with you about politics
01:22:36.200
unless you know that the fine people hoax was a hoax because if you do know it
01:22:41.640
then i can help you see all the other hoaxes if you insist that that's true despite the fact that
01:22:50.200
it's the most debunked hoax in american history and even snopes says it didn't happen
01:22:55.320
if you still insist it's true no conversation is worth having not at all and so i told my friend you know
01:23:03.560
i have to be honest if we if you can't get past this one hoax there's nothing else we can talk about
01:23:11.480
because you're gonna if you start with trump is hitler and you're basing it on these fake news stories
01:23:19.640
then everything you see is going to be with the hitler goggles and i can't spend my time de-hitlerizing
01:23:25.480
people first of all it's impossible and second of all i don't want to spend my time that way
01:23:32.040
so let me just say um if you're a person who believes that raising your hand above your
01:23:39.720
waist is a hitler salute you're a freaking idiot i have it having a conversation about it the details
01:23:49.480
of it is so unnecessary here's why you don't have to see the whole video and you don't have to read
01:23:56.760
anybody's mind you just have to ask yourself did one of the smartest people in the world
01:24:03.480
who was winning everything at that point like getting everything he wanted trump got elected
01:24:09.000
would he go on stage and give a hitler salute you don't have to ask any other questions
01:24:16.520
if you think that really happened in the real world you're a fucking idiot
01:24:21.320
and if you say but but scott uh i saw it with my own eyes then i would say you're a
01:24:29.080
fucking idiot if that's what you think you saw but but but all the reasons all the reasons
01:24:36.120
no you're a fucking idiot so we can't let people argue whether that was
01:24:42.680
or was not something that is so stupid so stupid that is it's not worth discussing in detail
01:24:52.600
you just have to be a fucking idiot to think that that happened it's the same with the fine people
01:24:59.240
oaks if you think the president of the united states got on stage and intentionally and more than once
01:25:06.760
praised nazis in public you're a fucking idiot but but i saw the video you're a fucking idiot but but
01:25:16.680
but all the reasons you're a fucking idiot we're not going to have the the conversation of how badly
01:25:23.800
you are stupid right if you think you're talking about whether the fine people thing happened or the
01:25:29.720
salute happened we're not in that conversation now you explain to me how you could say something so
01:25:35.720
stupid and still make it to work like how in the world do you even get food in your body if you're
01:25:41.080
that fucking stupid if you think anybody did those things in public because your news told you because
01:25:47.480
your news told you then you're fucking stupid we don't have that conversation it's just a waste of time
01:25:58.920
now um let me push back i'm seeing in the comments just show them all the times that other
01:26:04.040
people use the salute no no no no don't do that that's what i'm saying is a mistake if you enter
01:26:12.760
their frame you're talking about whether or not it's possible that that happened it's not possible
01:26:20.440
you don't have to enter the frame you don't have to show them that other people raise their hands
01:26:25.080
sometimes you don't have to show them that everybody gets accused of it you don't have to
01:26:29.880
show them that they're hypocrites no no don't get in the weeds you're a fucking idiot if you believe
01:26:36.120
that but i saw it i saw it no you're a fucking idiot as soon as you say the democrats do it too
01:26:44.600
you're in you're in their frame don't get in their frame stay out of their frame because as soon as they
01:26:52.280
suck you in then you're wrestling with the pig and that's what they want they want you to wrestle with
01:26:58.680
the pig you should say no wrestling with a pig is fucking stupid so you could wrestle all day but i'm
01:27:09.080
not going to have a conversation about whether somebody praised nazis in public because we both
01:27:14.360
know that didn't happen all right does that make sense that's your persuasion tip of the day don't
01:27:24.040
enter their frame and mock them for being in it you can mock them for even being in that frame that
01:27:32.040
that would be a good technique and it's similar to the mocking the questioner when trump says that's
01:27:38.520
a really dumb question good technique good technique he didn't enter her frame you see
01:27:46.360
you see trump didn't enter the frame the frame was was it a good idea or a bad idea to talk about dei
01:27:53.160
while the tragedy is still you know top of our mind he didn't enter the frame he just said that's a
01:27:59.640
dumb question perfect all right that's all i got for you um i'll talk to the locals people privately for
01:28:07.880
a minute my beloved and the rest of you i'll see you tomorrow thanks for joining on youtube and rumble and x
01:28:17.240
hope you enjoyed it 30 seconds to privacy with locals only