Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2741 CWSA 02⧸05⧸25

00:00:00.000 Shiny, shiny human brains.

00:00:02.640 All you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stye in a canteen

00:00:07.200 drink or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:09.120 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:10.740 I like coffee.

00:00:11.880 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing

00:00:15.660 that makes everything better.

00:00:17.040 It's called the Simultaneous.

00:00:18.180 It happens now.

00:00:19.600 Go.

00:00:27.460 That is just so good.

00:00:30.000 Well, according to a new atlas, there's a new study out that says that eating one egg

00:00:36.420 a week lowers heart disease risk by 29%.

00:00:41.120 Just one egg.

00:00:43.460 All you need is one egg per week.

00:00:46.000 Now, I'm telling you this so you can start saving up.

00:00:49.680 If you put away a little bit every week, eventually you'll be able to afford an egg.

00:00:56.240 And it's really good for you.

00:00:57.440 I recommend canceling your health care and using that money to buy an egg.

00:01:02.900 Same outcome, really.

00:01:06.560 Well, here's some news that might sound nerdy and small to you, but it might be really, really

00:01:12.620 big.

00:01:13.140 The company called Figure, they're making robots that look like humanoids, much like Tesla.

00:01:22.820 And their latest announcement is they're not going to use OpenAI as the brains of their

00:01:30.380 computer or the brains of the robot.

00:01:32.540 And that's a big deal because they had an agreement with OpenAI.

00:01:38.660 So they were already in association with OpenAI.

00:01:41.920 But what they found was that OpenAI was great for sort of general purpose stuff, but it wasn't

00:01:50.520 optimized for robots.

00:01:52.060 So somehow, Figure made its own AI or found a different one, but they got an AI that's optimized

00:02:00.080 for robots.

00:02:02.160 And the head of Figure is predicting that the world will not be lots of machines filled with

00:02:10.860 generic AI, but rather every device might have its own AI, an AI that's trained on the specifics of

00:02:20.640 what you need to be a robot or something like that.

00:02:23.500 So I don't know if the robot would then not be able to answer general questions the way an OpenAI

00:02:29.780 would be.

00:02:30.300 But apparently, it's going to give them the ability to roll out an operating robot way faster

00:02:39.200 than if they used a generic AI.

00:02:42.500 So that's coming.

00:02:43.620 Something coming in the next 30 days, they say, that's going to be a big deal.

00:02:48.180 Here's some good news.

00:02:50.480 Every now and then there's a story that just makes you feel good.

00:02:54.100 And this one is the, let's call it the conclusion, I hope, of the Daniel Penny story.

00:03:02.480 You remember Daniel Penny?

00:03:04.080 He tried to save some people in a subway, but unfortunately, the person he was holding down

00:03:10.960 died.

00:03:12.020 He was cleared of all that in what I thought was a racially motivated case.

00:03:17.080 But once you go through that kind of thing, it's hard to get your life back together.

00:03:22.460 So here's the good news.

00:03:25.140 He was just offered a job by Andreessen Horowitz.

00:03:29.360 So Mark Andreessen's company with Ben Horowitz.

00:03:33.340 And it's one of the big venture capital companies in Silicon Valley, one of the most famous noted

00:03:39.900 ones.

00:03:40.920 And they're going to teach him investing.

00:03:45.500 Now, I don't know if that means he's actually going to be making investment decisions or if

00:03:52.440 it means that he needs to learn what the company does so that he finds his role there, because

00:03:58.760 I don't know what background he has to make him a venture capitalist.

00:04:03.220 But on the other hand, maybe it's not that hard to train somebody to be a venture capitalist.

00:04:10.000 It's not like they get most of their plays right.

00:04:13.260 You know, most of the bets, even by the smartest people, end up being, you know, the wrong bet.

00:04:19.120 But they can play the numbers, make it work.

00:04:23.480 So that's great.

00:04:25.520 That is nothing but good news.

00:04:29.380 And I love the fact that Andreessen Horowitz stepped up to just right that little bit of

00:04:35.140 wrong in the world.

00:04:36.520 And I'd like to thank them personally.

00:04:42.020 So Andreessen Horowitz, nicely done.

00:04:46.580 I think the country, or at least a big part of the country, just appreciates that.

00:04:52.620 It just tied up that story just the way it needed to be.

00:04:58.000 Because you want to know that somebody who put their, risked their own knack, which is

00:05:03.540 what he did, you want to know that if somebody risks their knack for other people and doesn't

00:05:08.860 ask anything in return, can still, you know, have a good outcome.

00:05:13.220 So, wow, made me feel good.

00:05:16.020 I guess Trump's going to keep things interesting today by, allegedly, he's going to sign some

00:05:23.000 kind of executive order that would ban biological males from women's sports. 1.00

00:05:30.680 Now, we don't know how deeply that goes.

00:05:33.820 Would that include professional sports?

00:05:36.820 And would he even be able to do that?

00:05:39.380 Would it include all high school and college?

00:05:43.040 We don't know.

00:05:44.040 But we'll see.

00:05:45.840 I would argue that although he genuinely wants to do this and his base genuinely wants it

00:05:51.660 to happen, I think the majority of the country, actually, over 50%, are completely on board

00:05:57.920 with this.

00:05:59.020 But what I love about it is it's part of his overwhelming the news.

00:06:04.680 I didn't realize.

00:06:06.660 I saw a video.

00:06:08.880 I think it was maybe at the beginning of the first term of Trump, you know, his first four

00:06:16.440 years, and it was Steve Bannon explaining how to defeat the fake news.

00:06:22.940 And you do it by overwhelming them so that they can't get a beat on anything.

00:06:27.560 There's just more coming than they can handle.

00:06:30.060 And you see that in action.

00:06:32.340 So this was perhaps Steve Bannon's original strategy.

00:06:39.620 Maybe he got it from someone else.

00:06:41.260 I don't know.

00:06:41.660 But it was fun to see the origin of that.

00:06:45.520 It looks like that might have been the origin of just overwhelming the news.

00:06:49.920 So I see this executive order as well as a lot of the other ones as part of that strategy

00:06:56.320 to make sure that they just can't figure out what he's doing.

00:07:00.260 There's just too much going on.

00:07:02.020 And this one's wonderful because it gets everybody worked up.

00:07:05.060 Oh, biological men and women's sports. 0.99

00:07:08.740 We've got to fight about this.

00:07:10.220 So perfect strategy.

00:07:14.980 Meanwhile, I don't know if this is true, but I think it was a Wall Street Journal that

00:07:20.200 was saying that RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard are on a glide path to confirmation.

00:07:28.140 Do you think that's true?

00:07:29.720 I guess they both got out of committee, which is the step before the full vote.

00:07:34.440 And getting through the committee is hard enough, you know, and probably that tells you what

00:07:41.600 you need to know about what the vote will do.

00:07:43.900 But I don't know.

00:07:45.700 Is it really?

00:07:47.160 Is it really a done deal?

00:07:48.500 I guess the thinking is that the Republicans who might have resisted have been co-opted.

00:07:56.680 So they either got some kind of thing in response or they got some assurances or something.

00:08:03.540 But it's looking like maybe they're going to go through.

00:08:06.920 So maybe they're going through.

00:08:09.800 Now, what I like is that the reason given that the RFK Jr.

00:08:15.180 nomination would go through is that the politicians were afraid of saying no,

00:08:22.160 which I don't think you see with most nominees.

00:08:25.360 But what you saw when it looked like RFK Jr. 0.99

00:08:29.580 might not be confirmed, people went fucking nuts. 0.99

00:08:33.760 And they should. 0.97

00:08:35.060 Because we had a deal.

00:08:37.820 You know what I mean?

00:08:39.180 We had a deal, which is if RFK Jr.

00:08:42.800 takes the enormous risk of playing with Trump, we got to back him.

00:08:48.680 And, you know, not only did his own, you know, Maha, people who kind of allowed themselves

00:08:55.880 to be wrapped in the Trump world for at least to get their stuff done.

00:09:01.660 I think we own them.

00:09:03.560 A deal's a deal.

00:09:05.220 Right?

00:09:05.700 A deal's a deal.

00:09:06.960 So if we don't get RFK Jr. through, I'm going to go nuts.

00:09:12.100 And I'm going to make sure whoever voted against him, who is a Republican,

00:09:15.380 definitely knows that was a bad idea.

00:09:19.600 Eventually, they're going to know that was a very bad idea.

00:09:22.300 But it looks like maybe they'll get through.

00:09:25.200 So it could be good news.

00:09:30.000 According to Futurism, a publication, the FBI has quietly revealed that it has a real-life

00:09:37.460 UFO office.

00:09:39.920 The FBI has a UFO office.

00:09:43.020 It's just like the X-Files.

00:09:45.380 Now, apparently, the Pentagon also had a UFO office, or maybe it was a UAP, but really

00:09:54.060 UFOs.

00:09:57.320 So I've got a suggestion for Doge.

00:10:04.800 If you're looking for an easy cut, I don't think we need a UFO office.

00:10:12.540 Have they found one yet?

00:10:17.160 Let's put it this way.

00:10:18.600 If the UFO office of the FBI has found a real UFO, they can stay.

00:10:23.720 If they haven't found a UFO yet, maybe we don't need the UFO office.

00:10:30.840 It's funny that it's funny that it even exists.

00:10:35.160 Anyway, apparently El Salvador keeps doing smart things.

00:10:40.060 Have you noticed that whenever El Salvador is in the news, no matter what the specifics

00:10:46.240 of the topic are, the general theme is, oh, that's like really well done.

00:10:52.700 Or, oh, looks like you got another good idea there, El Salvador.

00:10:57.660 Or, oh, strategically, that's kind of brilliant.

00:11:01.380 Have you noticed that?

00:11:02.160 So I guess Bukele is just, you know, slaying it. 0.96

00:11:08.280 And one of the things he did when Marco Rubio was down there yesterday or whatever it was,

00:11:14.100 I think it was yesterday, they worked on a deal where the United States has offered to

00:11:19.160 help El Salvador build a domestic nuclear energy structure.

00:11:25.400 Now, I worry that the United States doesn't have enough nuclear energy experts to build

00:11:33.000 our own stuff, but we better be developing that really quickly because if we're not, we're 0.98

00:11:40.380 dumb. 0.93

00:11:41.780 So how important is it that the United States becomes sort of the big brother to South American 0.98

00:11:48.320 countries that are looking for clean energy?

00:11:50.600 Really, really, really important because the last thing you want is for somebody like El 1.00

00:11:57.180 Salvador to say, you know, we need energy.

00:12:00.080 We're not going to do without it.

00:12:02.980 So China, can you help us build a nuclear reactor?

00:12:08.040 We can't go there.

00:12:09.960 So yes, everything about this is good.

00:12:12.740 El Salvador being smart again.

00:12:15.240 Good job.

00:12:17.180 Read about this in Breitbart.

00:12:19.320 We'll see you next time.

00:12:49.320 All right.

00:12:53.140 We have to talk about Trump and Gaza.

00:12:55.580 That's what you're waiting for, right?

00:12:59.040 So this is a story that just, I almost fell off my chair.

00:13:04.500 So if you're watching my posting on X, you may have noticed a change of opinion on my part.

00:13:13.240 So this is a complete 180.

00:13:15.480 When it was first announced and I saw the video of Trump saying, hey, maybe the United States will just take over Gaza.

00:13:25.480 We'll be in charge of cleaning it up and then we'll just own it.

00:13:29.300 And we'll rebuild it into the Riviera of the Middle East and it'll become an important port, you know, for the whole world and everything will be great.

00:13:40.340 But the current residents will not be there for many years while it gets cleaned up.

00:13:48.840 Apparently, it would take years to even make it safe to live there.

00:13:51.660 So he drops that.

00:13:55.500 What was your first reaction?

00:13:58.500 Probably like mine.

00:14:00.400 Some of you just like anything that Trump says he's going to do.

00:14:03.780 But your first reaction, if it was anything like mine, was, hell no.

00:14:08.160 Are you effing kidding me?

00:14:12.420 How in the world does that make sense for America?

00:14:16.180 How about America first? 1.00

00:14:18.200 We stay the F out of the entire Middle East because if we put our stupid foot right in the middle of their business, we're going to be pestered forever. 1.00

00:14:28.700 We're going to become target number one. 1.00

00:14:32.000 We're going to have, you know, our troops are going to be dying in the sand over there for nothing.

00:14:36.660 The odds of it becoming a prosperous place seem not so good to me because it'll always be under risk of attack.

00:14:46.560 Iran's going to hate it. 0.99

00:14:47.880 Saudi Arabia hates it.

00:14:49.480 I don't even think Israel likes it.

00:14:51.700 I think Israel hates it.

00:14:53.460 I think 100% of the people over there don't want us there.

00:14:57.160 So that's bad news.

00:14:58.600 And guess what?

00:14:59.620 Most of America doesn't want this to happen.

00:15:01.880 So somehow Trump came up with an idea that 100% of the world thinks is a bad idea, except for, you know, there'll be some, whatever you say, Trump.

00:15:13.680 I mean, there are a lot of those, right?

00:15:15.260 A lot of people is like, you want to, you want to murder all the people? 0.96

00:15:19.600 Okay.

00:15:19.920 You know, so some number of Trump supporters are going to say, whatever you say, dear leader.

00:15:26.460 But a lot of Trump supporters, like me, and even the Israeli ones, I imagine, are thinking, uh, hmm, I see why you think this is a good idea.

00:15:39.060 But do we really need you occupying this land that Israel just cleared for itself? 0.95

00:15:48.280 Because it would be basically taking land from Israel.

00:15:51.800 Because for all practical purposes, Israel owns Gaza. 0.70

00:15:56.200 They already own it.

00:15:57.600 I mean, by functional control.

00:16:00.500 So that's what I thought when I first heard it.

00:16:04.240 Does that match what any of you thought when you first heard it?

00:16:07.760 Was that your first impression?

00:16:09.980 All right.

00:16:10.500 Now I'm going to give you a more nuanced take because I slept on it.

00:16:14.700 The first thing you have to remember is that Trump doesn't operate like anybody else.

00:16:19.840 So as soon as you imagine that the frame you're evaluating him in would be some kind of standard frame,

00:16:26.840 the standard frame would be, is it a good idea for America to own Gaza?

00:16:32.680 Right?

00:16:33.500 That was my frame last night.

00:16:35.500 Is that a good idea?

00:16:36.940 Is that good for America?

00:16:38.300 No.

00:16:39.060 So if that's the frame you're in, you just kind of only want to answer.

00:16:43.660 Bad idea.

00:16:45.440 But let's put it in a Trump frame.

00:16:49.040 Because that's the one that matters.

00:16:51.600 He never operates in the normal frame.

00:16:54.180 So you've got to find his frame.

00:16:56.460 You know, like how is he operating here?

00:16:58.420 Here's what I think happened.

00:16:59.960 I think Trump just ended a permanent war between Hamas and Israel.

00:17:10.620 He just ended the war.

00:17:13.380 He just ended the war.

00:17:13.440 The war's over.

00:17:15.680 Because what he just told both sides is you're never going to have a common border again.

00:17:21.880 Because the common border was the problem.

00:17:24.740 The fact that they're right there, and they'd like to be even closer right there, and they're going to get ready behind their border until they're ready for an attack.

00:17:35.660 And then obviously, surely, 100%, there'll be another one.

00:17:39.280 So how do you solve an unsolvable problem?

00:17:44.240 So Israel and really the entire Middle East had an unsolvable problem. 0.60

00:17:50.140 There was no solution.

00:17:51.600 Israel can't just keep it, because that would be ethnic cleansing, right? 0.96

00:17:59.220 They'd say, okay, Israel, you've just turned into the very thing that you complain about the most. 0.88

00:18:06.540 So in terms of Israel's brand, just destroying Gaza and then just keeping it would have been really bad for their brand.

00:18:17.580 Now, it might have been good for them in the long run.

00:18:19.860 And 30 years from now, they would just have more land, more safety, more security.

00:18:24.280 So in the long run, it was probably all good.

00:18:27.580 But for decades, it was going to be really bad.

00:18:32.560 So Israel didn't really have a clean path to a win.

00:18:36.600 They couldn't depopulate it, because that looks like ethnic cleansing. 0.50

00:18:40.720 They couldn't say, hey, now that we've killed most of the people we hate, why don't you go back there and live there?

00:18:47.620 Well, first of all, it's too unsafe.

00:18:51.020 Second of all, they haven't gotten rid of Hamas, and it looks like they're not even that close. 0.70

00:18:57.940 And so there wasn't a solution.

00:18:59.900 It was a 100% unsolvable problem.

00:19:04.080 So what does Trump do?

00:19:05.340 What do you do if you have people who can't unite and come up with a common solution?

00:19:14.300 What is the one thing that will make people who absolutely are at each other's throats stop fighting each other and unite?

00:19:23.900 There's only one thing.

00:19:25.920 An external common threat.

00:19:27.840 An external common threat.

00:19:33.760 That's the only thing that makes people who hate each other for this long put down their weapons and say,

00:19:39.240 all right, temporarily, temporarily, we need to get together and fight this other external threat.

00:19:46.280 Trump's the external threat.

00:19:48.580 He's not good for Israel. 0.96

00:19:50.820 He's not good for America.

00:19:53.000 It's not good for any of the residents of Gaza.

00:19:58.120 It's not good for Saudi Arabia.

00:20:00.080 They're already complaining.

00:20:01.660 And I haven't heard what the European countries are saying, but you know they don't like it.

00:20:06.580 I haven't heard what China and Russia say about it, but I don't think they're in favor of it.

00:20:11.640 So, not only did Trump end the war, let me say that again, he ended the war.

00:20:22.300 There can't be a war if there's nobody next to somebody else.

00:20:28.440 Because Hamas, wherever they end up under this plan, if this happens, wherever they end up would be spread around in different places. 0.70

00:20:37.820 And it would be really hard to mount any kind of a real attack on Israel proper.

00:20:43.480 So, he just basically said, Trump did, the war is over.

00:20:48.740 The only thing you get to decide, you meaning Israel, Gaza, and all the related countries,

00:20:56.920 all you get to decide, do you have a better offer?

00:21:01.700 That's it.

00:21:03.540 That's it.

00:21:04.380 The only thing they get to decide is, do you have a better offer?

00:21:11.640 And they don't.

00:21:13.840 They don't.

00:21:15.680 But you know what's going to happen?

00:21:18.220 You're going to see some creativity and some flexibility that you never thought you would see.

00:21:25.940 Suddenly, countries that thought, okay, we can offer this, but that's as far as we're going to go.

00:21:31.280 Suddenly, they're going to get flexible because the last thing they want is the United States to set up a giant military base

00:21:39.080 right in the middle of their business and have a dominant role in controlling the shipping in the region.

00:21:46.840 Because Gaza, if they build a little portal, I guess they'd have to build an artificial island and then turn it into like a harbor. 0.94

00:21:53.780 But it could be the controlling place for a huge amount of trade through the area.

00:22:01.200 So do you think that the Islamic countries, whether they're allies or not, do you think any of them want that? 1.00

00:22:09.220 No.

00:22:10.580 So let me say it again.

00:22:12.100 Trump ended the war.

00:22:13.160 The war is over because they need a common border for that Hamas versus Israel thing to continue into the future. 0.98

00:22:23.240 He just took away their common border.

00:22:25.480 Now, if they come up with a better idea, and I don't know what it would look like, maybe Saudi Arabia says, oh, we'll do more.

00:22:34.580 How about we take over?

00:22:36.700 Right?

00:22:36.880 What if Saudi Arabia came in and said, all right, here's the deal.

00:22:41.940 I know we want to do this wider, bigger than the Abrams Accord thing, but we're not quite ready to step up to that.

00:22:50.480 You know, we can't just, you know, have everybody embracing Israel like nothing ever happened and go into this big old deal.

00:22:57.980 Well, but now you can, because maybe the larger deal in the region depended on everybody thinking, if we don't do this, we're going to get something we really don't want, which is a big old Trump boot in the middle of the Middle East.

00:23:17.060 So watch how this sharpens everybody's thinking.

00:23:22.460 Watch how it makes people who weren't flexible, flexible.

00:23:25.580 Watch how perhaps Jordan and Egypt, who had said, no, no, no, we'll never take any of these Gaza immigrants. 1.00

00:23:35.460 Maybe they'll say, well, yeah, well, maybe we could if, you know, maybe Saudi Arabia or somebody helped us fund it.

00:23:45.060 And then Saudi Arabia would say, we don't want to help you fund it, but we don't want Trump in the Middle East with a giant military base.

00:23:54.880 And watch how creative people get.

00:23:59.900 So this is what only Trump can do.

00:24:02.800 And he does it all the time.

00:24:04.180 So you should recognize it by now.

00:24:06.200 What he does is he shakes the box so hard that everybody involved just wants us to stop shaking and they all get flexible and they all think, all right, this is the time to make a deal.

00:24:18.540 Because if we don't do it now, the United States is going to own Gaza. 0.98

00:24:26.000 Now, did you see, if you haven't seen it yet, you have to watch Netanyahu's reaction when Trump is rolling out this idea in their joint press conference after they met yesterday.

00:24:37.320 I can't read minds, but watching Netanyahu squirm, because he didn't know how this was going to work out or how it was going to go.

00:24:47.880 And I'm pretty sure it wasn't his idea.

00:24:51.320 And I don't know how much he even liked the idea.

00:24:55.780 He may have just decided he had to go long because he was he was in Trump's house, so to speak.

00:25:02.980 And he needs Trump on board and they've got a good working relationship.

00:25:08.940 So, you know, he's not going to throw that away.

00:25:11.920 And he just sort of let it happen while looking really uncomfortable.

00:25:18.440 Again, I can't read his mind, but he didn't have the look of someone who was embracing the idea.

00:25:27.200 So we might end up with the best possible situation.

00:25:30.620 But but I want to be clear about this.

00:25:33.400 It's not a bluff.

00:25:36.120 It's not a bluff.

00:25:38.440 Trump would do it.

00:25:40.420 If they don't come up with a better idea.

00:25:44.080 I'll bet they'll come up with a better idea.

00:25:47.040 Which they never would have before.

00:25:49.180 So we'll see.

00:25:50.760 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:25:52.880 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:25:55.020 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.

00:26:01.360 Good thing Claudia is with Intact.

00:26:03.320 The insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.

00:26:07.080 Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

00:26:11.560 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:26:15.000 But you got there on time.

00:26:16.900 Intact Insurance.

00:26:18.040 Your auto service ace.

00:26:19.500 Certain conditions apply.

00:26:20.400 All right.

00:26:22.860 So the things we're learning about USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy, which is another one of these alleged CIA cutouts that the U.S. uses to control other countries and run coups and do.

00:26:40.840 What do you call it?

00:26:44.040 Capacity building in other countries, which is, you know, getting kind of a foothold in other countries in some entities within those countries so that we can have some future control.

00:26:54.160 Now, as you know, the only reason we know about this is that Mike Benz has been explaining it for a while, but then Doge got in there and started looking at USAID and all the things it's doing and decided, oh, no, it's a ball of worms, as Elon Musk says.

00:27:13.620 And although it might be doing some things we like, we're going to have to close down the whole thing.

00:27:20.280 And then if there's a good argument for adding anything back, they're open to listening to it.

00:27:26.260 But the only way to fix it is you just got to get rid of the ball of worms and then see if you can find a little bit of Apple later.

00:27:35.560 So here are the things we know.

00:27:38.400 Yeah, and Mike Benz says, when a job is too dirty for the CIA, they give it to USAID.

00:27:48.260 So here's what you need to know.

00:27:52.080 The Mike Benz take on USAID is, it's not a mixture of bad things like overthrowing countries with a mixture of good things like helping countries battle the AIDS crisis in their own country.

00:28:06.280 What it is, is in every case, a CIA takeover of a country.

00:28:12.880 Sometimes they help them with the AIDS, but that's really just the easiest way to get our assets into their country. 0.90

00:28:20.480 So it's really about maybe collecting some information through the AIDS process, maybe using it to get some spies in there so they can work their thing once they're behind the, on the other side of the border. 0.82

00:28:35.240 So the Benz take, which I accept, is that there's no such thing as USAID just doing charity.

00:28:44.740 All the charity is a cover for something that the U.S. wants.

00:28:49.160 So in some sense, USAID is doing the bidding of the United States, except who in the United States?

00:28:58.460 It kind of matters who's bidding they're doing, right?

00:29:02.800 So if it's not Trump's bidding, should they be doing anything?

00:29:07.740 So at the moment, USAID looks like just a weapon that we use against other countries.

00:29:14.700 And what we've learned about how they do it is the fun part.

00:29:19.280 So I'm going to tell you what to look for if you thought that USAID and the CIA were trying to take control of your country.

00:29:28.940 So here are the telltale signs.

00:29:31.340 So if you're in another country and you see this happening, you should say, whoa, whoa, red flag.

00:29:37.680 This looks like a takeover of our country.

00:29:39.940 Ready?

00:29:40.140 Number one, usually the takeover has to do with getting rid of a populist, because a populist is not a puppet.

00:29:50.740 And if we're going to try to control some smaller country, we want to get a puppet in there.

00:29:56.700 So the existence of a populist is usually a trigger for the other things.

00:30:03.680 And if the result is a puppet, then probably there was this undercover effort.

00:30:12.420 Now, there's a name for this kind of takeover, and there's some more details I'll give you.

00:30:17.440 They're often referred to as color revolutions.

00:30:20.760 The reason it's a color revolution is that there's some history of some of these fake revolutions that the CIA and USAID gins up,

00:30:30.280 that they have some kind of color as their banner.

00:30:33.680 So I guess Georgia had an orange movement, and Ukraine, when it was doing its thing there, had a rose movement, right?

00:30:45.120 I think somebody else had some other color.

00:30:47.620 So often there's a color associated with the movement, but that's not a requirement, but often there.

00:30:55.460 You would look for outside money flowing into the country, right?

00:31:01.080 So you'd look for that, or USAID specifically.

00:31:05.760 So if you saw that USAID was sending money into anything in your country, that would be a sign that there's a planned takeover, right?

00:31:15.380 So you're looking for a populist who triggers it, looking to be replaced by a puppet, the puppet being run by USAID and CIA,

00:31:28.020 some outside money from USAID, and capacity building.

00:31:33.600 So the capacity building would be getting your own puppets into the media, getting your own people into the important institutions,

00:31:43.300 either by bribery or blackmail or usually bribery.

00:31:47.620 And so you look for that.

00:31:50.360 But here's the big one.

00:31:52.060 You look for an artificially generated social instability.

00:31:59.060 So the way you get a good revolution going is you've got to get the social instability really high.

00:32:07.200 So then it all makes sense.

00:32:08.800 Oh, it's obvious why this country got rid of their leader, because look at all the social instability.

00:32:15.840 So you've got to create some social instability if there isn't any.

00:32:19.280 You might, for example, the number one way to do that is to get to get a country racially divided.

00:32:29.320 So if there's any minority groups that are being abused, they're already primed.

00:32:34.580 So you just got to organize them, give them money, make sure they got a leader, you know, make sure they know how to organize.

00:32:41.660 And then suddenly you've got people on the streets.

00:32:46.480 Suddenly it's a battle.

00:32:47.600 Well, suddenly the news, which you've also done capacity building, so you've got some control of at least some of the media.

00:32:54.820 So then the media starts saying, hey, look at the population.

00:32:58.520 They're so unhappy because of all the division.

00:33:01.240 They're taken to the streets.

00:33:03.080 And then that's the next thing.

00:33:05.080 If you see movements literally on the streets and they haven't existed before, they might be fake movements.

00:33:14.420 So it would be typical for the color revolution to, say, co-opt a big union. 0.58

00:33:23.940 If they could get control of the leaders of the union, then the union would be, you know, part of the marching in the streets.

00:33:31.720 So you look for any big organization that maybe already exists, but they're not organized.

00:33:37.540 And you get them organized and get them on the streets.

00:33:40.060 And that would be part of a color revolution.

00:33:43.300 Two of the things that USAID does for other countries, which you could say, huh, is that part of the social instability?

00:33:51.800 What is they push?

00:33:52.920 They push DEI on other countries.

00:33:56.140 Do you think they're pushing DEI on other countries because that's good for America?

00:34:03.340 Is it because it's just charity?

00:34:06.060 Or is it social instability?

00:34:10.960 Well, DEI causes tremendous social instability.

00:34:14.900 So there's that.

00:34:16.680 What about climate change?

00:34:19.140 Apparently, climate change is something that gets introduced in a country you want to take over.

00:34:23.560 Because there's always some green people who say, yeah, hell yeah, climate change. 0.96

00:34:29.300 Let's our government's not doing enough.

00:34:31.740 We're going to take to the streets so you can get some climate change people marching.

00:34:36.400 You can get some race, race related groups marching.

00:34:40.880 And then you got your social instability.

00:34:43.380 But none of it works unless you've got control of the media or enough control to tell your story.

00:34:50.700 Oh, everything's bad here.

00:34:52.240 We're going to have to get rid of this populist leader.

00:34:55.140 This populist can't do anything right. 0.96

00:34:57.760 We better put it in this well-respected, boring puppet. 0.93

00:35:03.160 All right.

00:35:03.940 So look for the capacity building.

00:35:06.480 Look for billionaires funding things.

00:35:08.640 Look for the racism and the fake groups and all that and the media propaganda.

00:35:14.340 And you look for the USA behind it.

00:35:16.700 And then there's one tell that's like the good one.

00:35:21.080 If it also looks like Russia is a threat, that's almost a guarantee that the United States is behind it. 0.96

00:35:31.420 Because we love to blame Russia for stuff, especially if it's Ukraine or Georgia or just about anybody else.

00:35:39.460 You know, we're going to say, you know, we could save you from Russia. 0.99

00:35:42.980 Or this new leader could be the person who protects you from Russia.

00:35:49.420 Yeah.

00:35:50.220 So look for that.

00:35:52.340 So that takes us to 2016.

00:35:55.740 Do you remember 2016?

00:35:57.020 When this populist American became president, his name was Trump.

00:36:04.180 You've heard of him.

00:36:05.740 And the powers that be in this country, even the people who control USAID, probably were not happy about it.

00:36:16.120 Turns out the USAID is 98% Democrats.

00:36:19.100 So you can imagine how everybody felt when this non-Democrat populist became president.

00:36:27.620 And do you remember what happened soon after he became president?

00:36:31.640 Some changes in the country.

00:36:34.160 Anybody notice those changes?

00:36:36.320 I'll give you some examples.

00:36:38.100 There were the pink pussy hats. 0.94

00:36:41.080 Yeah. 0.80

00:36:41.440 A lot of people were in pink.

00:36:43.540 Pink's a color.

00:36:44.480 Yeah, but there was also Black Lives Matter in Antifa.

00:36:50.320 Seems like they were wearing a lot of black outfits.

00:36:53.840 There was the, you know, black motif of Black Lives Matter.

00:36:57.240 But then Antifa always dressed in black. 0.99

00:36:59.980 It was almost like black was the color.

00:37:02.200 Almost like they were color coordinated.

00:37:05.360 Do you remember the Charlottesville marchers?

00:37:08.720 You know, those neo-Nazis marching?

00:37:11.360 Isn't it weird that we had never seen anything like that in modern America?

00:37:17.940 And then it happened once, and then we never saw it again.

00:37:22.120 And it became the biggest story in America, and it was based on a hoax.

00:37:27.720 The hoax that Trump was on the side of the Nazis.

00:37:31.880 Now, I said it at the time, but I didn't have any context to back it up.

00:37:39.300 I said, there's something about this Charlottesville event that looks completely non-organic.

00:37:44.820 How did all these people afford to be there?

00:37:48.320 How did they get the tiki torches?

00:37:50.460 How did the most disorganized group of people in the United States, the neo-Nazi racists,

00:37:56.160 how did they suddenly mount this camera-perfect media event, but only once?

00:38:03.880 They could only pull it off once.

00:38:06.080 Isn't that interesting?

00:38:07.500 Huh.

00:38:09.000 So that would look like exactly the kind of thing that the USAID and the United States

00:38:16.680 and the CIA would do to another country.

00:38:19.240 Just what they do.

00:38:20.940 And then, of course, there was something weird about Black Lives Matter and Antifa. 0.54

00:38:25.080 Antifa that popped up around the same time, that seemed to come out of nowhere, seemed to

00:38:33.120 be funded by Soros and who knows where else, and they disappeared as soon as Joe Biden became

00:38:43.820 president.

00:38:45.420 So that would kind of suggest that Charlottesville was never real, because it never reconstituted

00:38:51.440 in any way.

00:38:52.260 It would suggest that Black Lives Matter was never real, except that it had some kind of 0.93

00:38:58.700 exterior backing that made it active for a while.

00:39:03.540 And it would suggest that Antifa was never real.

00:39:07.320 So who would be backing things that aren't real, that would create racial division?

00:39:13.120 At the same time, DEI was going wild, and one of the biggest complaints about this populist

00:39:20.200 president was, not good on climate change.

00:39:23.400 Huh.

00:39:24.520 DEI and climate change, two things that we know are used as weapons against other countries

00:39:29.420 to create social divide.

00:39:33.340 Both of them happening at the same time our populist president got in.

00:39:36.600 That's kind of a big coincidence, isn't it?

00:39:42.340 And then, of course, the J6 insurrection. 0.99

00:39:45.540 We don't know what role the government had in fomenting that, but it doesn't look like

00:39:52.700 something that happened organically to me.

00:39:54.980 To me, it looks like a bunch of people who thought the election was rigged.

00:39:59.700 But for some reason, a bunch of bad people got in there, too.

00:40:03.900 What do you think was the organizing principle that got all the bad people in there, too?

00:40:10.380 It was surprisingly, surprisingly organized.

00:40:14.620 And yet, and yet, after January 6, nothing like that has ever happened again.

00:40:20.000 So it never happened before.

00:40:22.440 It hasn't happened again.

00:40:24.240 It's almost like that's not a naturally organized group of people.

00:40:27.920 It's as if there's some exterior force organizing Black Lives Matter, organizing a Charlottesville

00:40:34.760 march, organizing Antifa, and organizing, perhaps, the violent part of January 6.

00:40:43.200 And then we've got the anti-Israel protesters.

00:40:47.460 So I'm not sure if that's related, because that one actually could be organic.

00:40:51.400 But anyway, you don't have to worry about some color revolution in the United States, because

00:41:00.780 that would assume that the CIA was turning its weapons against a domestic enemy.

00:41:09.760 Except we know that they are allowed to do that now.

00:41:13.000 And we know that they did that for censorship by using funding of foreign entities that would

00:41:20.860 then try to suppress our social networks and create censorship in our country by building

00:41:29.520 capacity in other places.

00:41:33.840 Oh, and USAID pushed DEI in the United States, somebody's saying in the comments.

00:41:39.180 I haven't seen that, but that wouldn't surprise me.

00:41:41.280 But, you know, the way to know if there was some kind of color revolution in this country

00:41:48.680 would be, I mean, and obviously this didn't happen, but imagine if the person who replaced

00:41:56.760 the populist candidate, imagine if that person was a puppet. 0.83

00:42:01.960 Oh wait, Joe Biden was a puppet.

00:42:09.020 He was the only candidate we've ever seen in which neither side believes he was actually 0.75

00:42:15.060 in charge.

00:42:16.640 Never seen that before.

00:42:18.820 But at least he has this vice president who, oh wait.

00:42:23.020 We learned that the vice president was so incapable that she couldn't possibly have been in charge 0.96

00:42:30.540 of anything. 0.99

00:42:31.700 And if she became president, would have been a puppet because she was weak and incapable. 1.00

00:42:38.560 So, I'm not going to say that there was a color revolution in the United States 0.64

00:42:47.720 driven by the same people with the same tools that did it in other countries.

00:42:54.280 And by the way, not just once in a while, but dozens of other countries.

00:42:59.420 Dozens.

00:43:00.280 And it always looks the same.

00:43:01.440 But there were fake organizations, there were fake media.

00:43:08.160 Do you know why the Charlottesville thing worked?

00:43:10.600 It's because of the hoax that came out of it, the fine people hoax.

00:43:14.140 Do you know why the mainstream media, who all knew it was a hoax, do you know why they

00:43:19.400 didn't report it as a hoax?

00:43:20.760 They reported it as fact.

00:43:22.540 And they kept recording it as fact long after it got debunked.

00:43:26.700 Do you know why?

00:43:27.320 Well, it's not because they didn't know it was fake. 0.92

00:43:32.760 It looks exactly like USAID and the CIA and all their evil trolls ran an overthrow of this 0.95

00:43:44.240 country.

00:43:45.120 Under that context, given that context, do you believe the elections were not rigged in

00:43:51.120 2020?

00:43:51.560 You know, I went from open to the question in 2020.

00:43:59.260 I was like, well, you know, I'm not seeing any proof, but I'm open to the possibility of

00:44:06.920 anything happening, possible.

00:44:08.820 At the moment, I think the odds that 2020 was rigged are 100%.

00:44:13.900 Because once you see the entire mechanism from the fake media to the fake street movements

00:44:21.860 to the fake division about race, fake division about climate, it's so textbook that if they

00:44:30.240 didn't rig the actual election, why'd they do the rest of the stuff?

00:44:35.580 All the rest of the stuff was to get a result, and they're not playing.

00:44:42.460 That's the thing you need to know.

00:44:44.160 Whoever would be behind this sort of stuff, they're not playing.

00:44:48.240 So yes, of course they would rig the election if that was the only way to win.

00:44:53.540 And it might have been.

00:44:55.060 So I would say that if they didn't rig the election, they were ready to rig the election.

00:45:01.920 Maybe they didn't have to. 0.98

00:45:03.100 I mean, it's possible that Biden, the puppet, the brain-dead puppet, got the most votes that 0.99

00:45:10.820 any Democrat has ever gotten. 0.95

00:45:13.680 And then the very next election, it goes back down to the baseline.

00:45:18.680 Maybe.

00:45:21.700 Maybe.

00:45:23.000 But how likely is that?

00:45:25.140 I would say the odds of the 2020 election being stolen, I'd give it 100%.

00:45:32.100 I don't think there's any doubt at this point.

00:45:36.520 But I'll give you, I'll give you, the only out I'll give myself is that it's not proven.

00:45:43.920 But how many times has the United States rigged an election in another country and they couldn't

00:45:49.740 prove it?

00:45:51.500 Does that never happen?

00:45:52.560 And I'd like somebody to explain to me, why is it we have voting machines?

00:45:59.980 When you don't need them, they're more expensive, they're harder to maintain, they're not as fast,

00:46:05.580 or at least there's no advantage in anything.

00:46:10.240 So why would you have them?

00:46:11.420 I can only think of one reason. 1.00

00:46:15.840 You know, in the early days, I can imagine the vendors just sold them with their bullshit. 1.00

00:46:21.960 Oh, this will be faster. 1.00

00:46:23.440 Oh, much better.

00:46:24.340 Much more accurate than the paper.

00:46:26.340 But now that we know that none of that's true, why do we still have them?

00:46:31.240 Why do you have a voting machine?

00:46:32.720 There's only one reason.

00:46:36.220 Once you've actually had them long enough to know that they're not faster, more accurate,

00:46:41.580 more reliable, they're nothing.

00:46:44.140 Why do you still have them?

00:46:45.780 There's only one reason.

00:46:48.020 And if nobody will even come on TV and say, oh, Scott, you're wrong.

00:46:51.580 There are some good reasons.

00:46:53.060 I'd be open to that, by the way, if there are some good reasons.

00:46:56.180 I'll change my mind tomorrow.

00:46:58.560 But you don't know any reasons.

00:47:00.560 I'm a voter, and this is one of the biggest issues in the country, was the election fair.

00:47:07.120 And not a single person has ever, that I've seen, maybe you've seen it, but I haven't seen it,

00:47:13.540 going on TV or in the news to defend why machines are safer, faster, cheaper, better than paper.

00:47:23.160 Haven't seen it.

00:47:24.740 And that's a dog not barking pretty loudly.

00:47:27.900 So that's where we are.

00:47:29.120 Now, the good news about this USAID debacle is that the leaders who are prairie-dogging

00:47:37.860 on this, and otherwise the ones who are sticking their heads up and saying, no, no, no, you

00:47:42.180 cannot cut this.

00:47:43.600 No, no.

00:47:45.380 They're all the ones who are part of the grift.

00:47:49.140 They're ones who are either directly or indirectly funded by USAID, even though they're politicians

00:47:55.440 in this country, you know, there are lots of indirect ways to fund things.

00:48:01.700 But all the definitely corrupt people have decided to go public.

00:48:09.700 Now, they don't know that it's so obvious that this is the corrupt crowd. 0.92

00:48:15.260 I sometimes call them the designated liars.

00:48:17.900 But look at the names of the people who just went public, trying hard to keep that USAID.

00:48:25.960 Schumer, Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, Jamie Raskin, AOC, as Mike Benz pointed out, AOC

00:48:35.080 is only a politician because there was a USAID process to find her in college and jumpstart 1.00

00:48:43.660 her career.

00:48:46.280 So AOC has always been a creation of the machine.

00:48:52.720 And she's out there, oh, defending, need that USAID. 0.99

00:48:56.420 Swalwell, Adam Schiff, Hillary Clinton, Leon Panetta.

00:49:00.260 Need I say more?

00:49:01.120 Well, also, let's see, Jasmine, I think Jasmine Crockett was there and Presley and Ilhan Omar.

00:49:13.140 The last three on the list, they may just be jumping in because they like to jump in.

00:49:21.360 I'm not sure they're all USAID, you know, beneficiaries.

00:49:25.420 They might be.

00:49:26.920 Ilhan Omar might be.

00:49:28.240 I don't know.

00:49:28.660 But that's the thing to look for.

00:49:31.440 Anyway, they've all revealed themselves as part of the dirty money plot.

00:49:37.220 Now, if you saw Schumer, the second day in a row, he went out in public and embarrassed

00:49:44.120 all of the Democrats.

00:49:46.160 Remember, he held up the can of beer and the avocado and he mansplained to people what an

00:49:53.440 avocado is.

00:49:54.280 An avocado makes your guacamole.

00:49:59.420 You will not have a beer as inexpensively as before on Super Bowl.

00:50:06.460 And it was just so weak and so poorly done.

00:50:11.020 And then the next day, he's out there trying to save USAID and he's giving his inspirational

00:50:15.340 speech.

00:50:16.740 And I'd like to give you my impression of Charles, of Senator Schumer inspiring the crowd.

00:50:25.660 I'm preparing myself.

00:50:30.180 Get the glasses.

00:50:37.440 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:50:41.960 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages.

00:50:45.860 Conditions apply.

00:50:47.620 Scotiabank.

00:50:48.400 You're richer than you think.

00:50:49.480 And we are going to win, everybody.

00:50:56.020 We're going to win.

00:50:58.080 Okay, you say it after me.

00:51:00.040 We're going to win.

00:51:01.380 No, this is where you say it the same time I say it.

00:51:03.460 Everybody say it loud.

00:51:04.880 We're going to win.

00:51:06.820 And we're not going to rest.

00:51:09.740 No, you say that too.

00:51:11.020 We're not going to rest.

00:51:12.300 Don't say the first part.

00:51:13.980 Say the second part only now.

00:51:16.020 We're going to rest.

00:51:17.160 We're never going to rest.

00:51:18.040 We're going to rest.

00:51:19.480 And it was literally just hilarious.

00:51:23.880 But I thought to myself, maybe Democrats love this.

00:51:29.240 Maybe my bias filter is so sensitive that anything the other team does, I don't like.

00:51:36.800 But then I turn on Jon Stewart.

00:51:40.080 Jon Stewart is begging Democrats to stop.

00:51:43.460 Jon Stewart is begging Democrats to stop sending Schumer out.

00:51:53.920 And after mocking Schumer as badly as I did, Stewart just leans into the microphone and he goes,

00:52:01.860 he's not good at this.

00:52:04.020 He's not good at this.

00:52:05.820 Yeah, he's not good at this.

00:52:15.100 Anyway, so all the bad people are going to try to stop Doge.

00:52:19.780 The federal workers are suing Doge for connecting some server to something Wired is reporting.

00:52:26.300 I mean, who knows where that'll be.

00:52:29.600 I guess 20,000 federal workers have taken Trump's buyout offer.

00:52:34.460 If they take the buyout, they get paid through September with benefits.

00:52:38.520 20,000 said, yep.

00:52:40.560 So I read that in just the news.

00:52:42.600 And that's going to save, they say, $100 billion a year.

00:52:48.540 So that's nice.

00:52:50.380 Saved $100 billion a year.

00:52:52.180 Apparently, the entire CIA has this offer as well.

00:52:56.020 And I'd expect some of them to take it.

00:52:59.820 In other news, Ukrainian President Zelensky, according to the Gateway Pundit,

00:53:04.940 he thinks that the United States should supply him with nuclear weapons.

00:53:13.860 You know, the puppet that the United States installed?

00:53:20.320 I don't know.

00:53:21.700 You know, anything could happen.

00:53:23.500 But I don't think we want to give him nuclear weapons.

00:53:28.460 I don't think that's going to happen.

00:53:30.160 Not under Trump, anyway.

00:53:32.560 Anyway. 1.00

00:53:34.940 Yeah, he's a crazy maniac. 1.00

00:53:36.900 I can't imagine how that would make anything better. 0.98

00:53:41.800 Apparently, according to Doge, and there's an article in Breitbart,

00:53:47.380 that the Biden administration made improper payments,

00:53:53.420 totaling $236 billion just in 2023 alone.

00:53:57.960 2023.

00:53:59.680 Now, that was mostly overpayments.

00:54:01.720 And, you know, even though it's a lot of money, $238 billion,

00:54:07.060 it's just a portion of the $1.8 trillion annual deficit.

00:54:13.240 But think about that.

00:54:15.680 So, $236 billion is the amount we've identified as fraudulent or overpayment.

00:54:28.900 Let me say that again.

00:54:31.520 That's just the amount we identified.

00:54:35.240 That is by no means the limit of what the fraud was.

00:54:40.020 It's only what we've identified.

00:54:43.740 Oh, my God.

00:54:45.680 You know, we found out through the Doge effort that the Treasury was signing off on everything that came to them.

00:54:52.060 They didn't look at anything and say, wait a minute, you're paying a terrorist?

00:54:56.380 It just wasn't their job.

00:54:58.100 They just processed the payments.

00:55:00.280 So, we had this huge, unaudited, immense pile of money that wasn't being managed in any practical way.

00:55:10.340 And maybe it will be now.

00:55:11.640 But I'd like to go on record as saying, I don't understand how Doge could possibly save enough money to balance the budget.

00:55:21.140 All the numbers I hear don't make any sense to me.

00:55:24.740 So, USAID, for example, is like 0.7% of the budget.

00:55:31.420 Correct me if I'm wrong.

00:55:32.720 But I think 100% of what Doge has been working on is maybe 1% of the budget.

00:55:39.280 So, if they save, you know, 30% of 1% of the budget, that's not even getting anywhere near the amount of the deficit.

00:55:51.240 But when they talk about it, they act like it does.

00:55:54.500 What am I missing?

00:55:57.600 Why don't any of the numbers make sense to me?

00:56:00.560 None of it makes sense.

00:56:01.660 And when I say it doesn't make sense, I mean, it's like a butterfly to an elephant.

00:56:07.920 I don't understand it.

00:56:09.860 What I see is a butterfly-sized number of cuts.

00:56:14.020 Even though the numbers are enormous in terms of percentages, it's like a little butterfly.

00:56:19.880 What needs to be cut would be the elephant. 0.92

00:56:23.700 The claims are they found enough butterflies to equal like half an elephant already.

00:56:29.760 I don't think so.

00:56:31.660 So, I don't know what's going on exactly, but I don't know why I can't understand the difference between a butterfly and an elephant.

00:56:38.100 I mean, I'm not even, I'm not even in the same zip code with seeing that we're cutting enough to make a difference.

00:56:46.820 But maybe, I'd love to be wrong.

00:56:47.820 But maybe, I'd love to be wrong.

00:56:50.380 I mean, that would be ideal.

00:56:52.960 So, we'll see what happens with that in terms of the deficit.

00:56:55.880 But certainly, I like everything that Doge is doing.

00:56:59.340 I like them moving fast.

00:57:00.820 I like them breaking stuff.

00:57:02.480 I like them turning off things that we desperately need.

00:57:05.300 Just to find out how desperately we do need them.

00:57:08.940 Every part of that is looking good to me.

00:57:12.200 I like the aggressiveness that they're using.

00:57:14.680 I like that they're bending, you know, maybe bending some rules.

00:57:18.180 No bad ones, but they're bending rules in the service of doing something useful.

00:57:24.440 You can do that all day long, as far as I'm concerned.

00:57:29.720 So, we'll see.

00:57:32.880 Apparently, according to Zero Hedge, seven Americans have been charged with this gigantic COVID-related tax credit scheme,

00:57:43.840 where they filed for over $600 million of fraudulent payments.

00:57:49.160 Now, they didn't get all $600 million, but they got $45 million.

00:57:52.900 Seven people filing fake tax returns and asking for the COVID money, $45 million.

00:58:01.840 They could have gotten $600 million.

00:58:04.160 Again, those are the ones that got caught.

00:58:07.840 How many didn't get caught?

00:58:11.480 The numbers of fraud during the pandemic, and just in general, are just mind-boggling.

00:58:19.220 So, yes, the entire government is broken.

00:58:22.900 And I don't think Doge can break it harder.

00:58:27.680 It's completely broken.

00:58:29.680 It's throwing our money out the door for things we don't even know about.

00:58:34.100 So, if you break that, you're breaking something that was already broken, right?

00:58:40.460 You can't break something that's already completely broken.

00:58:44.200 And that's what our funding and spending were, completely broken.

00:58:48.680 So, you can't break it harder than it was already broken.

00:58:51.320 All right, so the Wall Street Journal, in their editorial opinion, is describing Trump's negotiating

00:59:02.100 victories with Canada and Mexico as, quote, minor concessions, and treating it basically

00:59:09.780 as an embarrassing failure because he got nothing of substance, but he backed off at least for

00:59:17.660 30 days on the tariffs.

00:59:19.100 Does that really look right to you?

00:59:23.580 Why are they calling a major concession a minor one?

00:59:28.360 Is it because they think they won't actually do anything?

00:59:31.240 So, I think the complaint is, until Mexico and Canada do something that is big and what they

00:59:40.120 promised, he got nothing because they haven't done anything yet.

00:59:45.200 To which I say, that's why he postponed the tariffs for 30 days.

00:59:50.960 Because our good friends and partners and neighbors said, yes, we plan to do these things.

00:59:58.940 And so, Trump said, that those are things I want.

01:00:02.780 So, if you're going to do those things, I'll wait 30 days for the tariffs.

01:00:07.620 And in 30 days, if you've done those things, we're all good.

01:00:11.500 And maybe, you know, he always says maybe.

01:00:15.060 He doesn't say for sure.

01:00:18.920 But is it this the way it's supposed to work?

01:00:21.560 And so, if the Wall Street Journal is right, and the only thing Canada and Mexico did was

01:00:29.560 make some promises that they have no intention of keeping.

01:00:32.320 I saw an article just before I came on that suggested that Canada had no intention of sending

01:00:37.680 extra people to the border.

01:00:38.960 Or maybe that's true.

01:00:41.840 And then you know what you do?

01:00:43.920 You crash their economies.

01:00:46.460 You destroy their economies.

01:00:48.260 Because if they really promised us something that's that important to us, 1.00

01:00:52.640 if they promised it, and it was bullshit, 0.93

01:00:57.500 that's when you're not friends anymore. 0.98

01:01:01.320 That's the end of being friends.

01:01:03.200 That's when Trump's going to crash your economy.

01:01:06.260 And you probably recover.

01:01:07.600 But it's going to take you a while.

01:01:09.820 And we're never going to stop tariffing you because we can't trust you now.

01:01:13.940 If we can't trust you, when you make a deal, your economy is going to the toilet.

01:01:21.000 And I think Trump needs to do that.

01:01:23.800 But because we're dealing with allies and neighbors and partners,

01:01:28.780 you can't say no when they say yes.

01:01:32.680 In other words, if you ask for something and they say yes,

01:01:35.180 you can't tariff them then.

01:01:38.740 They said yes.

01:01:40.900 They offered something you wanted.

01:01:43.700 But if they lied, which is what the Wall Street Journal is suggesting,

01:01:48.440 or they allowed Trump to think it was more than it was,

01:01:52.520 which would be kind of a lie,

01:01:54.520 it's going to be really expensive.

01:01:56.780 And they're going to wish it didn't happen.

01:01:59.780 So my guess is they're going to step up,

01:02:02.620 because when it gets close to that 30 days, it's going to be pain.

01:02:07.620 And I don't think Trump's going to...

01:02:09.260 I think if they say it again,

01:02:11.640 oh, wait, give us another 30 days,

01:02:14.140 I don't think they're going to get another 30 days.

01:02:16.040 I think the next 30 days,

01:02:19.660 both Mexico and Canada get to decide

01:02:22.180 if they still have an economy.

01:02:25.800 And I think Trump will just take both of them down

01:02:28.260 if they lie to them.

01:02:30.840 All right.

01:02:33.720 Wow.

01:02:36.400 According to one source,

01:02:38.720 over four years,

01:02:40.020 the administration unintentionally misspent

01:02:42.960 close to a trillion dollars.

01:02:46.760 Wow.

01:02:48.860 This is according to Rachel Gressler

01:02:52.560 in the National Review.

01:02:54.440 Well, I suppose there'll be lots of different opinions

01:02:56.860 on how much was misspent.

01:02:59.760 But that's a big number.

01:03:06.240 Right.

01:03:07.300 All right.

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01:04:08.320 Trump says he left instructions

01:04:12.500 that if he gets assassinated 0.94

01:04:14.400 by an Iranian asset, 0.99

01:04:17.540 that Iran will be obliterated. 0.97

01:04:21.140 Now, we don't know if obliterated

01:04:22.900 means the whole country

01:04:23.900 or just the leadership.

01:04:25.640 I would imagine it would be the leadership.

01:04:27.920 But that was exactly the right way to play it.

01:04:32.180 Now, who knows if Trump has really

01:04:34.140 left instructions to obliterate them.

01:04:37.440 I don't think he'd have to tell us.

01:04:41.100 I think we'd go hard at Iran's leadership 0.96

01:04:45.200 and destroy them if they took out Trump.

01:04:48.300 So it's probably not maybe technically true

01:04:53.380 that somebody's going to obey the president

01:04:56.760 who's no longer with us.

01:04:58.760 So would it make any difference

01:05:00.360 if he left instructions?

01:05:02.460 All that matters would be

01:05:04.820 if J.D. Vance wanted to do that.

01:05:06.760 But I don't think you'd have to twist this arm.

01:05:12.020 So I like that Trump puts it out there

01:05:13.780 and he makes it clear,

01:05:15.400 as he did with North Korea,

01:05:17.240 if you cross this line,

01:05:19.060 you don't get to come back.

01:05:21.640 So I like that positioning.

01:05:26.180 Weirdly, Elizabeth Warren

01:05:27.640 is agreeing with Trump

01:05:29.420 that banks are debanking

01:05:31.720 too many people without cause.

01:05:33.980 How about that?

01:05:37.220 That's a weird one.

01:05:39.340 Now, apparently,

01:05:39.960 Warren is getting lots of complaints

01:05:41.800 from people being debanked.

01:05:44.280 And probably in those cases,

01:05:46.080 those are left-leaning people

01:05:48.140 getting debanked.

01:05:49.360 Now, there are lots of reasons

01:05:50.540 to be debanked.

01:05:51.740 And usually it's because

01:05:53.200 the account did something suspicious

01:05:55.820 by bank standards.

01:05:59.340 It doesn't mean that they broke any laws,

01:06:01.380 but there was something about

01:06:03.200 the way they were operating

01:06:04.260 that a bank says,

01:06:05.980 hmm, we can't touch that.

01:06:07.340 You're a little too close to

01:06:08.760 weird crypto,

01:06:10.740 a little too close to scams.

01:06:13.040 You're operating as if

01:06:14.780 you're doing something illegal,

01:06:16.060 but we can't tell.

01:06:17.980 So apparently,

01:06:19.040 there are a whole bunch of gray areas

01:06:20.440 where you can get debanked pretty fast.

01:06:23.060 And Elizabeth Warren is actually asking

01:06:25.540 Trump for support

01:06:28.200 and is supporting the idea

01:06:30.240 that the banks need to explain

01:06:31.760 and have maybe a better process

01:06:34.480 for deciding who gets debanked.

01:06:36.800 So, hey,

01:06:38.220 a little bit of minor agreement there.

01:06:42.240 This story already got reversed

01:06:44.200 from the time that I wrote it in my notes.

01:06:47.220 For a moment there,

01:06:48.700 the post office was halting

01:06:50.100 all packages from China.

01:06:51.420 And that was related, I guess,

01:06:54.160 to the fact that

01:06:55.280 China sends gazillions of small packages

01:06:58.420 to get past the tariffs

01:07:03.620 and duties that would apply

01:07:05.340 on larger dollar items.

01:07:15.440 But apparently that's been resumed already

01:07:18.160 because it was

01:07:19.300 too dramatic a change

01:07:21.300 and too much involved

01:07:22.580 would hurt American companies too much.

01:07:25.420 But I recommended that

01:07:27.220 back in probably 2018.

01:07:31.040 I said,

01:07:32.040 if fentanyl is coming into the country

01:07:33.640 from China,

01:07:34.660 we should stop all shipments from China. 0.69

01:07:38.260 Which seemed like a ridiculous idea,

01:07:41.100 but it happened for

01:07:42.480 maybe a few hours.

01:07:44.660 I don't know if that's going to happen again.

01:07:46.340 All right.

01:07:48.240 So,

01:07:48.800 here's the nerdiest thing

01:07:50.220 I'm going to tell you about AI.

01:07:52.160 This is actually a big deal.

01:07:54.600 But if you're not following the field,

01:07:56.540 it won't look like a big deal at all.

01:07:59.100 Did you know that AI

01:08:00.100 can't read spreadsheets?

01:08:02.420 It can read them.

01:08:04.160 You can feed it to them

01:08:05.200 and it'll tell you

01:08:05.880 some things that are in there.

01:08:07.100 But it can't reliably

01:08:08.540 tell you what's on the spreadsheet

01:08:11.120 or

01:08:12.080 make an estimate based on it

01:08:14.720 or extended or anything.

01:08:16.460 It just 1.00

01:08:16.900 is sort of dumb and blind 1.00

01:08:18.840 when it looks at any table of data. 0.99

01:08:21.500 I don't know why.

01:08:22.700 I think it's something

01:08:23.780 that's built into the character of AI.

01:08:26.900 So, it's hard to change.

01:08:28.500 But

01:08:28.660 there's a company,

01:08:31.580 according to Fortune,

01:08:33.260 a German startup

01:08:34.420 that figured out

01:08:35.540 how to make AI

01:08:36.840 capable of reading spreadsheets

01:08:39.100 and small tables of data.

01:08:42.400 Now, why this is such a big deal

01:08:44.160 is this is exactly why

01:08:46.020 I don't use AI.

01:08:48.600 The biggest uses I had

01:08:50.860 all involved

01:08:52.520 it needed to look at a data

01:08:54.040 or a document

01:08:55.040 or some numbers.

01:08:57.180 Because if I wanted to build an agent

01:08:59.440 that could ask questions

01:09:01.340 such as,

01:09:02.620 you know,

01:09:02.860 can you find Dilbert

01:09:04.440 that had this topic on that day?

01:09:06.380 I have that information

01:09:08.400 in a table

01:09:09.120 on a spreadsheet.

01:09:11.620 But it couldn't read it.

01:09:13.200 So, I couldn't build an AI agent

01:09:15.140 that would just look at my spreadsheet

01:09:16.440 and say,

01:09:16.840 oh,

01:09:17.440 you're looking for the one

01:09:18.360 about the robot?

01:09:19.540 Here's some dates

01:09:20.340 where the robot was

01:09:21.360 and then show you the comic.

01:09:23.200 Can't do it.

01:09:24.520 Then,

01:09:25.060 I also tried to train it

01:09:26.300 to simply replace me.

01:09:29.400 You know,

01:09:29.640 to know everything about me.

01:09:31.000 And I thought,

01:09:31.400 oh,

01:09:32.160 I'll put a whole bunch of facts

01:09:33.480 about me

01:09:34.120 in a document

01:09:35.000 and

01:09:36.380 and then it will just refer

01:09:37.620 to the document

01:09:38.300 and it will know about me.

01:09:39.860 Couldn't do it.

01:09:41.540 So,

01:09:42.460 pretty much,

01:09:44.560 I don't know,

01:09:45.240 maybe two-thirds

01:09:46.280 of the things

01:09:46.840 you would ever want to use AI for

01:09:48.660 would require the AI

01:09:50.520 to look at a document

01:09:52.080 or a little bit of data

01:09:53.240 and incorporate that

01:09:55.220 into its answers.

01:09:56.480 And if they make that work,

01:09:59.180 that really is a big difference.

01:10:01.320 It just seems like a small one,

01:10:02.660 but it's a really big one.

01:10:03.780 I would use AI

01:10:05.300 immediately

01:10:06.840 if it can do that.

01:10:08.980 One little thing.

01:10:10.540 Well,

01:10:10.820 in Greenland,

01:10:11.440 the elections are coming

01:10:12.340 and

01:10:13.960 most of the residents

01:10:15.260 of Greenland

01:10:16.080 want independence,

01:10:17.800 but that doesn't mean

01:10:19.100 they want to be

01:10:19.920 owned by America.

01:10:21.740 They would like to be

01:10:22.800 independent from Denmark,

01:10:24.100 but

01:10:24.640 a majority of them

01:10:25.980 also think

01:10:26.800 there's no way

01:10:28.020 to do it

01:10:28.580 because Denmark

01:10:29.600 provides

01:10:30.680 half a billion a year

01:10:32.240 to keep them alive.

01:10:34.400 And they don't want

01:10:35.380 their lifestyle

01:10:35.920 to go down

01:10:36.560 by half a billion a year

01:10:37.700 because there aren't

01:10:38.560 many people there,

01:10:39.300 so that's a lot of money.

01:10:41.080 And they'd love

01:10:42.280 to be independent,

01:10:43.520 but not with the

01:10:45.880 economic hit

01:10:46.640 they would take

01:10:47.140 by becoming independent.

01:10:49.220 So,

01:10:49.860 let me tell you

01:10:50.840 what the most obvious

01:10:51.800 solution is

01:10:52.780 where America

01:10:53.900 gets what it wants,

01:10:55.840 Denmark gets

01:10:56.600 what it wants,

01:10:57.320 and Greenland

01:10:58.660 gets what it wants,

01:11:00.100 which is that

01:11:01.320 Greenland and Denmark

01:11:02.420 both agree

01:11:03.240 that the U.S. military

01:11:05.100 can have

01:11:05.800 a strong presence

01:11:06.960 in Greenland

01:11:07.660 and essentially

01:11:08.800 be the national defense,

01:11:10.420 but we'd be doing it

01:11:11.660 for our own

01:11:12.300 national defense.

01:11:13.600 It's just that

01:11:14.280 Greenland's

01:11:14.940 better situated

01:11:16.160 geographically.

01:11:18.360 So,

01:11:19.880 it seems to me

01:11:20.700 there's an obvious

01:11:21.520 end point.

01:11:23.420 I don't think

01:11:24.340 we really need

01:11:25.180 Greenland

01:11:25.640 to be a state.

01:11:27.320 I don't see

01:11:28.120 that that benefits us.

01:11:29.500 I don't think

01:11:29.920 the Greenlanders

01:11:30.740 need to be part

01:11:32.280 of America,

01:11:33.280 but they need

01:11:34.480 defense.

01:11:35.840 They need Denmark 0.82

01:11:37.040 to keep paying them.

01:11:38.980 So,

01:11:39.500 Denmark keeps it.

01:11:41.160 They keep paying them.

01:11:42.500 Lifestyle's good.

01:11:43.800 And then

01:11:44.300 the United States

01:11:45.100 adds the military muscle

01:11:46.980 to keep them safe.

01:11:48.480 And then I think

01:11:49.200 we would have

01:11:49.740 everything we wanted.

01:11:52.180 Except,

01:11:53.860 wouldn't it be nice

01:11:55.120 if Denmark

01:11:56.840 paid for the

01:11:57.920 U.S. military

01:11:58.760 presence in Greenland

01:12:00.060 so we didn't have

01:12:01.820 to pay for it?

01:12:03.500 Would that be nice?

01:12:05.840 Now,

01:12:06.400 Denmark's alternative,

01:12:08.580 they might think,

01:12:10.780 is that we just

01:12:11.480 take the country

01:12:12.700 because we can

01:12:13.540 and just say,

01:12:14.940 sorry,

01:12:15.900 you know,

01:12:16.200 you're a good ally,

01:12:17.340 but this just

01:12:18.580 has to happen

01:12:19.220 for,

01:12:19.740 you know,

01:12:21.220 geopolitical reasons.

01:12:22.240 so there's

01:12:24.160 some possibility

01:12:25.060 that Denmark

01:12:26.680 would keep paying

01:12:27.840 the residents

01:12:29.080 their half a billion

01:12:30.360 a year

01:12:30.760 and maybe

01:12:32.580 pay us

01:12:33.100 a billion dollars

01:12:33.860 a year

01:12:34.180 to help

01:12:36.160 keep the military

01:12:36.980 there.

01:12:37.440 Who knows?

01:12:38.560 Possible.

01:12:39.500 All right,

01:12:39.680 that's all I've got

01:12:40.260 for now,

01:12:40.980 ladies and gentlemen.

01:12:42.240 I'm going to talk

01:12:42.960 to the people

01:12:43.480 on Locals

01:12:44.860 Privately

01:12:45.460 and today

01:12:47.740 will be another

01:12:48.420 big news day.

01:12:49.560 I'm sure there have

01:12:50.080 been lots of things

01:12:51.020 that happened

01:12:51.380 since I started

01:12:52.200 and everybody

01:12:53.920 on X and YouTube

01:12:55.140 and Rumble, 0.94

01:12:56.100 thanks for joining.

01:12:57.080 I'll see you again

01:12:57.620 tomorrow,

01:12:58.320 same time,

01:12:59.060 same place

01:12:59.760 and Locals,

01:13:01.080 I'm coming to you

01:13:01.780 privately in 30 seconds.

01:13:03.300 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 05, 2025

Episode 2741 CWSA 02⧸05⧸25

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