Episode 2757 CWSA 02⧸21⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 16 minutes
Words per Minute
145.43793
Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, Scott talks about the NHL playoffs, Stephen King's return to the public eye, Elon Musk's return, and the mysterious disappearance of Stephen King. Scott Adams is joined by special guest Scott Adams to discuss it all.
Transcript
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blah but I'm sure we'll be better later let's call up the comments on locals
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and see what we got going here everybody good this morning it's gonna
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there we go there I am good morning everybody and welcome to the
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highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams because
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it is but if you'd like to take this special experience up to levels that
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nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains well all you need
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for that is a copper mug or a glass of tank of Chalice and Stein a canteen jug or
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flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and
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join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day
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the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it's
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oh I could feel the simultaneity it was a little special today it was good well
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here's some good news the odds of that asteroid hitting the earth are now down
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to the quarter of one percent quarter of one percent we were up to about three
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percent at one point that it was going to hit us by 2032 but now we're down to a
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quarter of one percent so celebrate don't look up don't look up
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meanwhile let's see the most important story of the day it really is that Canada
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won the hockey game to become the leader or the winner of the what the hell was it
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you can tell how much I follow hockey oh the highly anticipated four nations
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championship game yeah so Canada congratulations nice win see how easy it
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is to be nice congratulations and I I did turn it on just to see if there's been
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any fights over the national anthem there was a little a little complaining about it
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but no big deal so it was probably just a good game I didn't watch the rest but I'm
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glad we're back to just playing sports and getting over it you know when we have
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disagreements with Canada it doesn't really feel like other disagreements does
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it it feels it just feels so much like a sibling kind of a thing where you know one
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sibling say you're really a governor the other sibling is saying I will you know
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we're a country none of it I take too seriously so it seems all performative but
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I'm glad we're at least not fighting about hockey you'll be fascinated to know
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this Stephen King who left X is back and he said that did you miss me and
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uh Elon Musk said that he did which actually makes sense if your job is to
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get a lot of traffic on X but here's my question are we supposed to believe that
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Stephen King left X because it was so terrible but then he returned after it got I
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would imagine in his point of view even worse doesn't it seem like Stephen King is
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doing this for a job now I know he doesn't need the money and you know I
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wouldn't call it a job per se but do you think he's just doing it completely
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independently and that one day he said you know you know it would be really fun is
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if I lose half of my customers by taking a firm political stand and then being
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totally abused online for months and months and months and months did he do that
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because he just thought it was fun it couldn't have possibly been fun and then
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he left and I thought oh okay well maybe he was doing it for fun and it stopped
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being fun and now he's back doesn't it feel exactly like he's being let's say
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managed by some other entity I don't know what it would be but it definitely
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doesn't look like anything organic so I don't know meanwhile there's a mystery on
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X one of the more say notable users of X Brian Romelli he's been suspended now
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since I don't know why he was suspended I don't have a firm opinion on it but I
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don't recall him being the type of person who would be suspended because he
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doesn't say provocative things about anything so whatever the reason is it's
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gonna be something we didn't see coming now the only thing I could think is that
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he was working hard to make sure that people had good private AI as they could
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run on their own devices and he was experimenting a lot with AI and is it
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possible he said something about AI or did something with AI that crossed some
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boundary I don't know I'm just speculating but he's not exactly the kind of
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person who was making let's say social commentary I don't I'm not sure he ever
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did so what would that be about very curious very very curious if anybody finds
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it out let me know okay he's probably on some other social network by now well the
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governor of New York Kathy Hochul she has decided she will not remove my brother
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from another mother Eric Adams from office the mayor I guess there was some
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historical precedent that would have allowed her to do it but it wouldn't have
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been easy to remove him from office so instead she's gonna put guardrails on him
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and make sure that there's some kind of standards that she seems happy with I
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don't know what that's all about but the guardrail seemed dumb and I guess I just
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mean she didn't really have anything she could do cash Patel has been voted in as
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you know so he's he's approved as the head of the FBI now the thing that makes
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this the most fun is we've never really had a full accounting of the Russia
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Russia collusion hoax we've kind of treated it like was it true was it not
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true but really it was an op I mean it was this big organized op by people that
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were pretty well aware of and Adam Schiff of course the big opponent of cash Patel
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being approved and at one point in a podcast I told you this before cash Patel
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had said that Adam Schiff was the biggest criminal in Congress now I don't know what
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he meant exactly by criminal because I don't know what criminal act we're talking
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about I'm not aware of a criminal act unless there's something about putting
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together an op and lying about the skiff that's criminal I don't think there is
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because I think people in Congress can lie all day long and it's not criminal as far as I know
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so I love having the guy who was fighting the Russia collusion hoax while it was happening
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cash Patel now in charge of the FBI and things might get interesting now we don't know
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now I don't I wouldn't bet on it you know I don't think Adam Schiff really has anything to worry
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about but I see a lot of people saying oh when's the Epstein list gonna be revealed do you know what the
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answer to that is of when the Epstein list will be revealed well there are two possibilities one
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is that it doesn't really exist because do you really think there's a list really you think there's
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a list hmm maybe I mean anything's possible but if it doesn't exist it won't be released that makes sense
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sense now what if it does exist well if it does exist it's definitely not going to be released
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because whatever's on that list would be far more valuable for the government to keep secret
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so they could do what Epstein was doing which is have complete control over the people on the list
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so there are only two possibilities it doesn't exist so it won't be released or it does exist
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so it definitely won't be released only two possibilities so now you're not going to see
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any Epstein list forget about that well at CPAC I guess Javier Mille from Argentina showed up and
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gave Elon Musk a sort of ceremonial cool chainsaw looking thing I don't think it was operational
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um and uh that was fun um one of the things I love about having Javier Mille just insert himself into the
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American story and associate with Elon Musk is that at least according to the news what Mille did is
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working now I don't think we're seeing all of the news do you really think that Javier Mille just you
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know took a chainsaw to a huge part of the government and then it was just all good like only good things
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happened that that's not even a possibility so if you're not also hearing about what the downside was
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such as you know maybe somebody got you know not as good health care or not as good police protection or
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the garbage didn't picked up I don't know must be something but did he really just chainsaw the
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whole government spending and everybody was just fine and the only thing that happened was inflation
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went way down does that sound real to you is there any real world in which you can do something that
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dramatic and it's only good all good no downside I don't even think that about America I mean I'm 100
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in favor of doge but I think we all understand it's going to break some eggs so to speak and there'll be
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some things you have to rapidly you know put back the way it was like oops I didn't realize that was
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that important so I don't know the whole Javier Mille story I don't buy it the way it's being told
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it's a little too on the nose a little too weirdly successful in a way the real world doesn't work
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but again like doge I'm completely in favor of it so I'm completely in favor of what's happening in
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Argentina I just think we're not getting the whole story you know we can handle it there might be a
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downside I think it's worth doing overall it probably saved the country and I think doge is
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worth doing overall it's probably going to save the country if anything can but really let's not act like
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there's never a downside um and then uh somebody somebody challenged Elon Musk at that event I guess
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he was on stage and he was asked about being a uh a puppet of Putin and he had a good answer I
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mean he had a crowd-pleasing answer and the crowd-pleasing answer is he said that people
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sometimes say I'm bought I'm a bought asset of Putin and then Elon said I'm like he can't afford me
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that does seem true how can he possibly afford him you know how much money would you have to give him
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you'd have to give him more than well it'd have to be enough that it changes his life somehow
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what would be the amount of money that would change his life a trillion dollars you can't
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Russia can't give him a trillion dollars so it's actually true what it would take to bribe him
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if if there is even that number I'm not assuming there is any number that would bribe him
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but it would be a trillion Russia can't afford that that's just a bribe
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well the federal judge ruled that Trump can continue the mass firing of federal workers
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let me add that to let me add that to the list of of things that were too boring to follow
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uh the court's trying to stop doge uh the court got overturned trying to stop doge but now they're doing
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a different thing to trying to stop doge oh it's a different court it's a different judge it's a
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it's a different approach well that got overturned that got delayed i can't follow it but apparently
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doge is still going ahead um one of the things that uh trump is floating is the idea that uh i don't
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know if it means if they get old if they get to two trillion dollars and in doge uh budget reduction
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that that they would use that as a trigger to give 20 percent of it would be which would be about 400
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billion dollars uh back to um taxpayers to which i say um now some people i i think jesse waters on
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fox news was saying that uh why wouldn't you give it back you know why wouldn't you give at least some
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of it back because it's our money it's our money um what's wrong with that what's wrong with the
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statement that of course you should give it back it's our money it's not money at all it's not
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anybody's money it's not money what money reductions in future budgets is not money
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what are you talking about if i tell you that next year i'm not going to build uh buy a house
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a house did i make some money future budget non-spending isn't anybody's money
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you would have to increase debt to give away 400 billion dollars debt is nobody's it's nobody's money
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that would be like saying hey scott would you like me to give you a hundred thousand dollars
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uh because i'll take out a loan in your name and then i'll give it to you and i'll say you're
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damn right you're gonna give it to me it's my money it's nobody's money it's debt
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i don't know i don't think i'm explaining it right but it's not money it's just a way
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that we could possibly avoid going down the drain faster than we are so
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in my opinion there's no good reason to give 400 billion dollars and of two trillion
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i don't like anything about it so i i guess i'm going to go on record as saying
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if you have to already get the two trillion before it activates you know the 400 billion give back
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i'm not even a little bit for it i just want to save the country and let everybody benefit from that
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anyway um trump is threatening the state of maine for defying his executive order
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uh about keeping men out of women's sports he says uh we're not going to give them any federal funding
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so according to trump allowing men biological men and women's sports doesn't get you any money
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in maine gives new meaning to the phrase my main man
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i worked on that all all morning and that's the best i can do my main man it didn't work did it
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it just sort of laid there you're like maine oh i get it sort of like the dad joke on the state
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name of maine yeah okay got it yeah we'll just leave that one there
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responsibly meanwhile over on cnn van jones had some things to say about elon musk and all the doging
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um he said that elon musk is now remember do you remember my uh reframe from yesterday the reframe was
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that uh the republicans are mostly talking about real things the dead is real russia ukraine war is real real
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stuff uh you know men and women sports that's real but the uh the democrats have become sort of the
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the fan fiction interpretive dance uh party they don't really deal with real things they imagine
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things that might go wrong in the future and that's it imaginary things that could go wrong in the future
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now you can't say they're wrong because it's things that could go wrong in the future but you could say
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they're not doing anything because literally everything could go wrong in the future if you
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implement it wrong if tomorrow somebody said hey we've got this free technology that will make egg prices
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really low somebody would say oh so it's going to be like a monopoly thing uh you know could go wrong
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they'll form a monopoly put all the other egg people in a business and then the people with the secret
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egg making thing will be in charge of us all so basically you're saying you're in favor of monopoly
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of eggs okay that could happen but why don't we deal with what did happen the price of eggs just went
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down so here's van jones on cnn he says uh that elon musk he says he's quote abandoning his children
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and doing theatrics as he puts a chainsaw to the government
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the government the government the government that quote our parents built
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is any of that like talking about the real world or anything you care about
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do i care that your parents built it i mean what exactly is the relevance of that
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you either like it or you don't like it i don't care who built it um he said you unleash somebody
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meaning musk who's who's doing the theatrics abandoning his children having some weird
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fantasy in front of everybody to be popular oh okay so the problem is his character remember
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as long as democrats are locked into bad character instead of any kind of policy stuff they can't
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possibly win and they can't get out of the character mold they're they're completely locked in
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and some weird fantasy that trying to be popular do you think that's what musk is doing do you think
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that he's he's uh trying to be popular who in the world tries to be popular by siding with trump
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what that that's bordering insane that's the last thing you do if you wanted to be popular you would
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just make really good electric cars really good satellites and whole boring machines and spaceships
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that would make you very popular but no siding with trump that takes 50 of your popularity away
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day one and it never comes back so that seems like a weird fantasy fiction kind of thing that's not
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happening in the real world and then he's van says that musk is gonna do whatever he wants with no
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oversight why are we watching we're all what we're all giving oversight he's reporting exactly what he's
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doing if he does something we don't like there's still time to reverse it you know if you take away a
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budget you can give it back if you fire some people maybe some of them need to get hired back
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which is exactly the process it's not meant to be clean and uh and then uh so that is anti-american
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and it's reckless and it's wrong how many of those things were real let's see the reckless the wrong
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the abandoning these family which you know he has no no sense of what anything musk is doing privately
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uh weird fantasies it's all just made up stuff all made up stuff where where is
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the uh where's the alternative suggestion all right let me give you the alternative suggestion
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this is what everybody who doesn't understand how the real world works says makes sense oh
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instead of using a chainsaw they should use a scalpel the next time you hear anybody say they should use
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a scalpel you should ignore everything they ever say from that day on if you really believe this could
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get done with a scalpel you are so far from understanding anything about how anything works
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it wouldn't work there's a reason that big companies don't do this either if a big company takes over a
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small company do you think they say well it might take us 10 years to get it done but we're going to
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use a scalpel do you know what happens when you try to use a scalpel the people you try to scalpel
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will tell you that won't work all right managers i just took over this entity or i'm doge uh i don't
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know all the details of what you guys do so can you tell me where the cuts will be with the scalpel
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because you know i don't have time to learn like all the nuance of your specific department
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and then the department manager says well we're actually underfunded by 30 percent
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so you can't really make a cut here and then you come back to him you say no but everybody's
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got to make a cut we're just going to do it with the scalpel and then the person says really well
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there's nothing to scalpel okay but give me a list of things we could cut out with a scalpel
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all right uh you're gonna have to give me a month a month yeah because i have to look at all the
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things we're doing talk to everybody really dig in and make sure we're using the right scalpel
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all right and then a month later they come in and go well we looked at everything there was nothing to
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cut turns out we just need 30 more money what do you do with that van jones what do you do with that
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that if you don't think that's what would happen you've never worked in the real world
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here's what works how much money do we give you uh 100 billion a year all right now you have 50.
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that's it i think nothing else works there there's nobody who's ever made anything work but that
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and then everybody screams and quits and resigns and protests right and then you check back in a
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year and everything's working with half as much money it's the same thing everywhere all the time
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all over the world all through space and time only one thing works you have less money deal with it
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everything else is just a bunch of people with scalpels lying here here's my scalpel i'm getting
00:26:16.340
ready to cut some some only the only the fat i won't get any muscle won't work anywhere in the
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real world and i don't believe anybody except somebody who's a lifelong pundit would ever imagine
00:26:30.980
the scalpel could work it's so removed from any kind of common sense now if you don't believe me
00:26:39.940
i would recommend that you check in with people who really know how any of this works well such as
00:26:46.180
elon musk literally the world expert at cutting the fat you know before he did doge if you were going to
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say all right who would be the best person to do this you would have said elon musk and then as soon
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as he starts doing it and doing it exactly the way any smart person would who had a lot of experience
00:27:09.300
everybody is like whoa i've got a better idea i'm way smarter than elon musk is well if he's using a
00:27:16.260
chainsaw then i say whatever is the opposite of that the opposite of a chainsaw is like scalpel
00:27:21.380
and i i saw you know chris salisa and uh talking to chris guoba on news nation and uh salisa who used
00:27:32.180
to be a cnn political pundit he was uh warning that the democrats their intense hatred of trump
00:27:38.340
is crippling their odds of reclaiming things because if all they're doing is saying trump bad trump bad
00:27:45.220
they're not really creating any positive alternative but they also point paint themselves in a corner
00:27:54.260
um so what was it uh yeah so and by the way i like that chris guomo seems to completely understand
00:28:03.700
this situation um but here's my take on it once you've done once you've spent years just years
00:28:13.860
saying that trump is hitler oh we we mean it like actual hitler he's he's totally hitler no not not
00:28:20.420
just a metaphor not just an analogy but we we mean he's actually uh you know he's actually hitler
00:28:28.580
now what happens if that guy becomes elected how are you supposed to agree with some of the things
00:28:34.820
he gets right which is what you know salisa says you should at least agree with the things that make
00:28:40.340
sense you can't let me give you an example he is hitler but we have to admit he has some excellent
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ideas too in what world does that work as soon as you say the character is hitler there's nothing you
00:29:00.580
can say this sounds like you agree with him it's like well okay yeah sure he's hitler but i have to
00:29:08.020
admit that his cost cutting is going well you can't do that hitler is is yes no and once they put
00:29:18.180
themselves in the yes no category it's got to be no it's got to be no to everything all the time
00:29:24.660
because you know hitler so they trapped themselves in a way that's hilariously impossible to escape
00:29:32.820
under the condition that you know trump became president which they would i guess they didn't see
00:29:37.940
coming so they had a great play unless he got elected and then it would destroy the entire democrat
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party and it looks like that's what's happening um abc news continues to be abc news and they recently
00:29:58.980
had a article about the la fires and they said uh among the hardest hit in the la fires were the
00:30:05.860
transgender and non-binary residents in transitional housing programs now uh i have great
00:30:15.620
empathy for anybody who lost anything in the la fires but did we really need to call out this one
00:30:23.220
community and again i'm i'm completely supportive of any adults who want to do anything they want
00:30:30.180
whether they're you know transgender non-binary lgbtq in any way they want totally in favor of it i like
00:30:38.100
people being people we should all be free to you know express ourselves and whatever feels right to us
00:30:44.740
and you can change your mind anytime you want as far as i'm concerned but were they do we really
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need to call them out as among the hardest hit by the fire i've talked to some people who are hard hit
00:30:58.900
by the fire they're not too happy believe it or not not too happy even though they're not transgender in
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every single case anyway what i really need is uh if we're going to do fire reporting based on
00:31:16.500
people's sexual preferences i'm going to need a diagram i need a i need to see some venn diagrams one one
00:31:24.020
venn circle would be uh people who lost a house in the fire and then the other circle would be penis
00:31:32.420
preference because you know i like to i like to see my arguments with data so give me the venn diagram
00:31:39.940
of how many people lost a house and we'll cross that with the circle of how many people have certain
00:31:46.420
preferences for a penis and there might be more to it then we could add some circles if that's not enough
00:31:53.140
but at the very least when somebody's house burns down my first thought is well what are their thoughts
00:32:00.820
about penis do they love it are they looking to add one to get rid of one to enjoy one to use one
00:32:10.820
i mean these are the important questions about fires i know a lot of people are going to say oh the real
00:32:16.340
question is how do we rebuild and how do we make sure it doesn't happen again okay that's fine too
00:32:22.420
but really we want to know more about the victim's preferences for penis that's the kind of news abc can bring
00:32:29.540
us bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package learn more at scotia bank.com
00:32:39.700
slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think
00:32:46.900
well as sydney bank has announced that it's going to get rid of its dei goals and policies now unusual
00:32:55.540
whales is reporting this on x i don't know exactly if abandoning it is ever real because it feels a lot
00:33:03.140
like all they ever do is change the names because they can't really say we stop caring you know about
00:33:09.700
diversity that's not going to fly internally so doesn't it really mean they're just going to hide it
00:33:15.060
better we don't know but that's what i'd assume uh george clooney continues to be extra extra worthless
00:33:25.540
uh outside of acting uh i love his movies so you know within the within the realm of hollywooding
00:33:33.860
stuff i enjoy his work i'll watch more of it um but he conceded i guess in a thursday interview with
00:33:42.340
the new york times he conceded that uh the media he says the media failed us uh in his coverage of
00:33:51.540
biden's fitness for office the media failed us what does this remind you of reminds me a little
00:33:59.780
bit of mayor karen bass who is putting together an investigation to find out why she went to africa
00:34:06.820
instead of handling the fires she's looking for the real killer it's a little like oj looking for the
00:34:13.540
real killer if your actor george clooney and you knew for sure that biden didn't have it together
00:34:22.820
and you noticed that the that the news wasn't handling it and you knew that if you wrote about
00:34:28.820
it it would be the news george you are the news everything you say is the news including this interview
00:34:36.580
where you talk about the unfitness of the news the news printed you saying that the news failed
00:34:43.540
he could get he could get the news to print anything if he could get the news to print that
00:34:48.500
the news failed he certainly could have gotten the news to print uh i know joe biden and you really
00:34:54.660
need to back off of this he's uh he's not where you need him to be they would have reported that
00:35:02.100
do you think there's any do you think there's any chance
00:35:06.740
that if clooney had broken ranks they would have ignored it there's no chance of that at all
00:35:12.100
he had the complete power complete power to make that not a problem he could have actually
00:35:20.180
probably gotten you know at least a better contest uh if people had listened to him early
00:35:25.380
although it probably would have end up being conal harrison unless they unless they took him out really
00:35:30.980
early um anyway let's compare that to how republicans have treated
00:35:39.540
uh mitch mcconnell's obvious mental infirmities now with mcconnell we don't know exactly how much
00:35:48.180
is mental and how much is physical because it's pretty overlapping but in your experience has anybody
00:35:55.780
gone easy on mitch mcconnell have you seen any republicans who said stop bothering mitch mcconnell he's
00:36:02.580
perfectly fine i don't see a problem with him what do you see oh well you crazy
00:36:08.980
putin puppet you must be a putin puppet if you say that mitch mcconnell looks fine who says that
00:36:16.660
nobody so for the longest time the minute that that mcconnell walked on stage and looked mentally
00:36:23.540
degraded what happened i'll tell you what happened every single republican said okay that's a problem
00:36:32.820
in public we said it in public many times okay that's a problem we you need to we need to get
00:36:41.620
rid of that that's that's our problem so i feel though i feel like the republicans do a level of
00:36:50.580
self-policing that just doesn't happen on the other side like it felt like you know somebody took a dump on
00:36:57.780
our you know on our carpet you know and i think if that happened to the democrats they'd be looking
00:37:04.820
for the real pooper whereas the republicans are like oh wow look at that on my carpet i better clean
00:37:11.700
that up right away we clean up our messes or at least we admit their messes uh it seems like now i
00:37:22.260
could be this could be a totally biased take i'm completely aware of that but doesn't it seem like
00:37:28.500
doesn't it feel like at least the trump version of the republican party the pro-trump doesn't it feel like
00:37:35.460
there's like real self-policing and it just doesn't exist on the other side it feels that way
00:37:49.220
and then let's see if cluny has some good solid takes about trump's policies or
00:37:57.300
do you imagine that he might have some takes that are based on
00:38:00.500
um imagination and interpretive dance hmm let's see what he says uh about trump he said that uh
00:38:10.260
no rules count anymore cluny said of trump it's like letting an infant walk across the 405 freeway
00:38:17.060
in the middle of the afternoon okay what which policy did he just address i don't see one he also said
00:38:26.500
i think there are always these pendulum swings the first trump election was i believe a result of
00:38:32.340
eight years of a black president really yeah really does anybody think that if the last eight years had
00:38:43.460
been president let's say byron donald or tim scott do you think that trump would have been elected
00:38:52.900
because we had eight years of a black president do democrats really think that it was that it was his
00:39:02.900
skin color and not the things he did do you really think that if a republican black candidate became president
00:39:14.660
that that would be a reason for republicans to vote for a white guy next time
00:39:22.260
i mean you know maybe three or four people but that's such a weird take
00:39:30.820
by the way i'm so pro byron donald i i love just his his uh not just his vibe
00:39:37.940
but his i guess i guess i'd say charisma but his uh his communication skills we can't ignore that
00:39:46.980
his ability to communicate is just way above the average uh republican that if he's not in the fight
00:39:57.060
for the top job fairly soon maybe maybe he needs to get a little more seasoned but i don't know i
00:40:04.180
think you'd be pretty happy with that that kind of a voice on your side so it's premature anything
00:40:11.380
could change but at the moment a very high opinion claudia was leaving for her pickleball
00:40:16.100
tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing that she
00:40:21.220
didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact
00:40:27.060
the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was
00:40:31.380
taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my
00:40:36.180
tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace
00:40:43.140
certain conditions apply so i'd like to uh i'd like to give you george clooney's opinions uh in
00:40:59.060
it's like letting an infant walk across the 405.
00:41:02.260
it's like there's these pendulum swings we can't let the eight years of a black president
00:41:21.700
that's a uh cnn is uh telling some fake news about p eggseth allegedly making deep cuts in the pentagon
00:41:31.220
now i do suspect there will be some eventual deep cuts in the pentagon but apparently
00:41:35.940
what eggseth is doing is moving existing funding from one bucket to another so he's taking it away from
00:41:49.220
how could anybody be against this how could anybody be against the pentagon moving money from their climate
00:41:57.220
initiative to building a iron dome to protect the united states from incoming missiles
00:42:04.100
but boy those two things are not similar but cnn will call that as a deep cut
00:42:09.700
there might be deep cuts coming but that that's not right away
00:42:16.260
there are four new polls showing that the public's opinion of trump handling of the economy is turned
00:42:23.060
uh according to cnn so there's new cnn poll gallup poll ipsos and qpac now what do we believe about polls
00:42:40.660
now i don't want to cast any aspersions on a particular pollster or a particular poll but i don't
00:42:47.460
believe they're real there was a time i figured well if there are four of them you know and they're in
00:42:53.300
the same direction they're probably real now i also don't necessarily think they're wrong because
00:43:01.300
america is dumb enough that they would say it's been a month and you haven't fixed the economy yet
00:43:08.100
that would be something that americans would say i don't know it's been a whole month
00:43:13.700
my price of eggs went up so you said you lower and it's been a month so it's plausible
00:43:21.940
it's an and by the way if they did the poll it means they were probably polling last week
00:43:27.620
so they might have been polling his performance after three weeks on the job
00:43:34.340
before he even had like his people approved and the nominations approved
00:43:45.060
when polls can be validated meaning they can be compared to the reality
00:43:51.220
i think they're usually as accurate as the pollsters can make them so for example for every poll polling
00:43:59.140
company that was doing polls for the election i believe their last poll each of their last poll
00:44:07.140
so the one that was closest to election day i believe they all had an incentive because that
00:44:12.980
was the day you could find out if they were way off or not uh that was the only time they had any
00:44:19.860
incentive to be accurate all the other times i believe without proof they had more incentive to
00:44:28.580
let's say make some assumptions and some choices about who to poll and what method to use
00:44:35.060
that would get them uh let's say an answer that would get them a lot of attention from the right
00:44:41.140
people and they wouldn't have anything to compare it to so if you've got four polls
00:44:49.460
they're sort of right leaning just hypothetically or let's say left leaning hypothetically and they
00:44:55.140
come out at the same time and they kind of have the same similar you know attack that it looks like
00:45:01.460
oh trump suddenly is very unpopular on the economy you know the most important thing
00:45:08.420
do you think that those are just honest unrigged professional polls they could be i have no proof
00:45:18.020
that they're not no proof at all but i live in the real world there's nothing that they're compared to
00:45:26.100
accept each other and if a uh if a right leading or let's say a poll that had been associated with
00:45:34.580
trump in the past came out with a different number they'd still be safe because they'd say oh look at
00:45:41.700
that fake one from the right but look at all these real ones from the left because they have more there
00:45:48.820
there are more polls that you would imagine sort of lean democrat so as long as they have more of them
00:45:54.020
and there's no way to check the real number because what would you check it against just the other
00:45:59.540
polls uh they can make up anything they want and it's very powerful because it tells the public what
00:46:06.420
to think so no i don't believe any poll that is this disconnected from some objective standard by which we
00:46:15.620
could find out if the poll was real and the only time i know of is what the last poll before an actual
00:46:24.900
election and then the actual election if it's assuming it's not rigged it's going to tell you something
00:46:30.420
like reality well there's something happening over in china with the money supply uh but any numbers coming
00:46:40.420
out of china or suspect so that's the first thing um and we don't know what's happening but it looks like
00:46:46.820
there are more money supply just just right away just surged um and it looks like it surged in a way
00:46:54.420
that's spectacularly different from the baseline but again it's china and data i'm not sure we believe any
00:47:03.300
data from china but the suggestion is that they've got a deflationary problem and that people are just
00:47:10.740
hoarding their cash and they're not consuming enough to drive the economy where it needs to go so if you
00:47:18.500
got a deflationary problem maybe injecting it with some stimulus money that you printed maybe that's why
00:47:28.900
they're doing it so we're just guessing at this point and it's not 100 sure that anything's happening
00:47:34.980
at all because the data is so sketchy all right so marco rubio did an interview with i think it was
00:47:42.500
catherine harridge and he said that when he met with zelensky zelensky was sort of a two-faced liar and
00:47:51.940
he said that when i talked to him about let's see about maybe the u.s sharing in some of their
00:47:58.900
uh some of their mineral wealth zelensky seemed at first sort of positive about the concept you know
00:48:07.860
at a concept level but you know he needed to run it through his legislative process
00:48:13.220
so he was acting like oh yeah that could that could be a winning idea and then two days later
00:48:18.900
he's saying you reject that he rejected the deal not that the legislative process did but that he rejected
00:48:25.860
it and uh and apparently that's just a lie so rubio is just calling him out to have been lied about
00:48:34.500
that and um and uh rubio is saying there should be some gratitude there because you know we're helping
00:48:44.580
them more than they're helping us so but let's see if we can trust uh ukraine well speaking of polls
00:48:57.140
um you probably heard that uh right after trump had claimed that zelensky's popularity was about four
00:49:04.180
percent which i've never heard anybody's popularity being that low ever that zelensky immediately referred
00:49:12.020
to a poll a more recent poll that said he had 57 percent approval well that would be actually quite
00:49:20.180
impressive for any leader um 57 percent huh i wonder who did that poll let's see was it the kiev international
00:49:31.460
institute of sociology yes it was that's who did the poll were they funded by usa id well it turns out they
00:49:39.780
were i guess what usaid the the little uh some say cia related uh funding entity that we use to control
00:49:52.020
other countries allegedly um it was behind that polling and it and it came out at exactly the right time
00:50:01.300
with a number that suspiciously looks like it was just made up on the spot
00:50:05.220
uh how about that so uh the maze account on x explains it this way he says he says a couple
00:50:14.500
days ago trump claimed that zelensky is widely unpopular in ukraine and that his approval rating
00:50:20.420
is four percent the very next day uh the uh the mainstream media collectively called trump a liar
00:50:28.100
and and and the mainstream media in the united states uh called trump a liar uh as did let's let's see cnn did
00:50:42.100
abc cbs and they all quoted that 57 percent to show that when trump said four percent i mean trump's what a
00:50:50.100
what a liar four percent is 57 percent people um so uh may says uh i looked up where the number came from
00:51:01.700
it came from the kiev international institute of sociality uh guess when they released their poll results
00:51:12.340
that doesn't sound too suspicious does it they there were no poll results that said that until
00:51:20.900
the day after trump said it was four huh how about that i think there was a real poll that said four
00:51:27.860
percent and then there was another real poll that said 16 percent now 16 would be devastatingly bad
00:51:36.100
and who knows if any of the polls are real so remember what i said about polls
00:51:42.340
if there's no way to check that they're real they're probably not probably not let's talk about
00:51:49.780
negotiating with russia one of the big problems in the news is that people who write news and
00:51:57.700
talk about news often don't know much about negotiating so when they watch trump negotiating
00:52:04.340
they're seeing something they've never seen and it's not the way they would have done it
00:52:08.500
their assumption is he's doing it wrong uh apple removes cloud encryption feature of the uk we'll
00:52:16.420
talk about the uk in a minute um so here's what i tried to explain in a post on x the other day might
00:52:24.900
help you um so critics of trump's negotiating with russia say that you don't start be giving up
00:52:34.420
giving up giving up on nato expansion and giving up on russia returning the captured territories
00:52:43.300
so the smart people who think they know how negotiating works say you don't give up things
00:52:48.820
before you've negotiated now i agree you don't give up things before you negotiate everybody agrees right
00:52:57.220
everybody on the same page you don't give away things
00:53:00.100
things before you've even started you might try to get the other side to do it but you don't do it
00:53:07.220
that would be just a mistake so the the all those smart critics are saying that trump is sort of given
00:53:15.060
up now i don't know how they know this because nobody knows what anybody's saying secretly so this is
00:53:20.420
speculation on their part i would say but they believe that trump is giving up on nato expansion
00:53:25.620
you know toward russia and that that would be just like starting by giving something up and they
00:53:32.020
think that there's not going to be any attempt to get back the territories that are i guess they're
00:53:39.540
mostly russian speaking that that russia is controlling right now on the eastern part of ukraine
00:53:48.020
so is that an example of trump giving up two things no it isn't those are two things that were never
00:53:57.540
going to change if you simply acknowledge the reality and then negotiate from there you haven't given up
00:54:04.340
anything yeah there was no possibility that the war would end no possibility at all as long as we were
00:54:13.300
also saying that we're going to move toward russia with uh nato since it was the entire reason for
00:54:21.380
the war in the first place and russia apparently still has enough resources to press the war if
00:54:26.020
they want to why would they stop if the only reason they started we said well we're going to keep doing
00:54:33.220
that thing that caused you to start the war that that's a non-starter why would we say that we're
00:54:40.340
we're going to try to get back those occupied territories when we know that's not going to happen
00:54:46.260
so the first thing you have to do is acknowledge what's real what's real is that some things aren't
00:54:54.020
going to change but we also have things that are not going to change for example if they tried to go
00:55:02.740
into kiev we would probably crush them and i don't think that's going to change so there are things
00:55:11.380
that both sides know are not going to change if you don't at least be honest about those things how are
00:55:17.780
you going to negotiate if we just went in and said all right number one we're we're going to keep
00:55:23.780
expanding uh nato then what does russia do they'd say well why are we talking well we're negotiating
00:55:32.260
and russia would say that's not up for negotiating all right that's the end of our negotiations we'll
00:55:38.180
just keep fighting now does that allow putin to take advantage of let's say trump's political
00:55:47.620
incentive to make it wrap up fast maybe but how does trump compensate for what looks like giving them
00:55:57.780
stuff looks like but i don't think it really is well he expands the variables so here what you would
00:56:06.180
say is here's the deal it's not just about those territories and it's not just about nato
00:56:11.700
we're going to make this a lot bigger it's going to be a bigger deal and there are going to be things
00:56:17.540
that america wants even if ukraine doesn't there are things that america wants even if europe doesn't
00:56:25.460
so we're going to talk about all the things once you've seen all the things you might have a good idea
00:56:31.940
of who gave up what and what was real and what was practical and what might work and then you could
00:56:36.500
have an opinion but at this point nothing's actually been given up but there may have been some
00:56:43.620
you know just common sense reality it's like okay if we're going to have this conversation
00:56:49.620
we know there are some things that are not not negotiable let's say for example that
00:56:57.860
putin had been asking for nato to be completely disbanded not just in ukraine but just disbanded
00:57:04.340
would we enter that negotiation we would not but suppose putin said all right i'm going to accept
00:57:13.380
the fact that that nato will never be disbanded well then you can talk is that an example of putin
00:57:21.460
giving us something for nothing aha he wanted nato completely disbanded but he seems to have already
00:57:28.340
backed off on that before we even started negotiating no he didn't give up anything
00:57:33.620
because it wasn't going to happen there was no scenario in which nato was going to get disbanded
00:57:38.500
so if you're giving up things that everybody knows were never really negotiable all it does is allow
00:57:45.460
you to talk it looks like that's what trump's doing he's just being reasonable about the things that
00:57:51.540
are negotiable and reasonable about the things that are not negotiable and if you don't have some
00:57:57.300
common sense approach to what's real you can't negotiate anything so it's way too early to say
00:58:05.620
it's going to work or not work we have to see all the variables and it could be it could be there might
00:58:10.580
be some secret variables meaning that the public might not see the entire agreement for example one of
00:58:19.300
the things we might want long term is that russia takes our side if we have some let's say uh islamic
00:58:29.300
extremist problem maybe maybe we could use their help suppose we want their help uh making sure that
00:58:39.060
something good happens you know in the middle east just in general maybe there's a secret agreement maybe
00:58:46.580
we want to make sure that uh we drive a wedge between russia and china so that if things got really
00:58:54.900
bad russia would feel a little more likely to thrive if they're on our side i don't know if we'd say that
00:59:03.220
publicly so we're not going to really necessarily see all the variables that went into whatever gets
00:59:09.380
agreed on if something gets agreed on all right um so in my opinion you want to be uh here's the other
00:59:21.540
thing you want to be complimentary to putin and treat him like a serious peer that's the only way he's
00:59:28.820
going to make a deal and same same the other way if putin were treating trump like he's heller
00:59:37.300
how would they get a deal trump would even talk to him if trump were treating putin like he was heller
00:59:46.100
why would putin meet with him they never get a deal so it makes complete sense that trump would be
00:59:54.020
complimenting putin at the same time he's giving some tough criteria if he complimented them and then
01:00:01.940
also gave away everything that would be bad if he compliments putin so that we don't have a problem
01:00:08.740
with just let's say the egos and the branding of things just take that off the table and just work
01:00:16.180
on the details then it's going to look good as long as the america gets what it wants that's going to look
01:00:22.820
good but would you treat putin and zelensky the same in this context and the answer is no i wouldn't
01:00:30.740
treat them the same i i would treat zelensky as an underling who depends on us for everything
01:00:39.620
and i would treat putin as a peer that's what i would do so slapping zelensky basically in public
01:00:47.220
which is what trump did with his four percent approval is actually the exact right approach
01:00:54.580
he should be treating putin our enemy with respect because that's how you might get a deal and zelensky
01:01:02.340
is not really playing well as a team member and if you're a terrible team member you get benched
01:01:08.740
so zelensky gets benched putin's still the opponent but we're treating it with respect because that's how
01:01:15.940
you get to the other side if you if you really want to be effective that's how you get there
01:01:20.020
all right and i i like to say that as good as trump is at negotiating um i think putin has the right
01:01:30.580
persuasion and negotiating skills that it's a fair fight i still think trump is the best
01:01:37.780
but it's definitely a fair fight they're they're a similar weight class when it comes to
01:01:42.500
you know overall negotiating and and persuading
01:01:45.940
um so we'll see what comes of that uh meanwhile uh apparently the uk has asked
01:01:57.620
asked apple to uh open up a back door to their cloud service so that what the uk could see
01:02:05.460
everything anybody's ever done on their phone uh and i just saw something go by that says that
01:02:12.020
apple agreed to that now i always assume that our own government has full access to the back doors
01:02:20.100
of all of our phones that's sort of an easy assumption but i don't know why the uk needs it
01:02:27.780
and and maybe i guess i'm surprised they didn't already have it i'm a little surprised they didn't
01:02:34.180
have a back door so uh here's my big question you know we russia is our enemy we keep saying and the uk is our ally
01:02:50.340
but it seems like the uk was suspiciously involved in the russia collusion hoax
01:02:55.780
or at least one of their you know ex uh intelligence people uh steel so and and they had some other
01:03:06.580
connections to it so i thought to myself huh it kind of looks like the uk tried to overthrow the
01:03:12.340
government of the united states and then of course there's the whole uh censorship thing coming out of
01:03:18.180
europe and great britain in particular and i thought wait a minute these are allies and they're trying to
01:03:24.820
destroy free speech via destroying the platforms free speech in the united states if you're going
01:03:31.780
after free speech that's worse than anything i know of that russia did when did russia go after our
01:03:39.620
free speech there was one time they sent two hundred thousand dollars worth of uh bad memes in 2016
01:03:47.620
that made no difference to anything and i think that was pergosian's shop and and putin actually killed
01:03:54.020
that guy the guy who sent those memes who murdered him for other reasons um so i'm not making the case
01:04:04.260
that you know russia is all good and they're our friends i'm making the uh comparison that if the uk
01:04:11.780
can't act better than our known enemy um i'm gonna have trouble treating one of them as an ally and one of
01:04:20.420
them as an enemy if if great britain is going after or even in any way going after our privacy or our free
01:04:30.020
speech i don't really call that an ally i would call that an enemy by definition in fact anybody who tries
01:04:38.660
to curtail free speech in america is my enemy by definition so you know obviously i'm gonna you know give some
01:04:48.500
grace grace to anybody who's a historical ally but i think they have some explaining to do and i think
01:04:55.620
the uk needs to explain why in the future we should be their ally it's becoming less and less clear that
01:05:02.820
they're a productive ally they might be such an unproductive ally that they're doing worse things to us
01:05:10.900
than our actual enemies that's entirely possible anyway
01:05:18.020
when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners
01:05:21.940
i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the
01:05:28.260
designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that
01:05:34.980
leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is
01:05:41.220
anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less
01:05:49.940
let's talk about the rest of the world so gaza returned some bodies but they did it in the worst
01:05:57.460
possible way one of the bodies they said they would give apparently was not there um and they made a big
01:06:05.380
parade cheering spectacle about the dead bodies so big cheering spectacle um so the u.s envoy uh for this adam
01:06:17.700
bowler he said the hamas uh failing to turn over the body of one of the hostages uh is a clear violation of
01:06:26.420
the ceasefire and he advised the mosque to release that one body that they said they would give but
01:06:32.660
also release everybody or they're going to be facing total annihilation and right now now i don't know
01:06:42.260
how much total annihilation will happen right now because of this but i'll tell you gaza is making it really
01:06:48.420
easy for israel to do what it probably thinks it needs to do which is never populate gaza again with
01:06:56.260
anybody who was there before so egypt has this plan for gaza and it's hilariously bad
01:07:06.980
so have you noticed that all the plans for gaza they always start with one magical part
01:07:12.820
there's a magical part all right here here's egypt's plan you tell me what the magical part is
01:07:18.420
so the egyptian led plan uh it would set up temporary safe zones within gaza safe zones and then uh but
01:07:26.580
hamas would not be invited into the safe zones that's the first magical part uh how do you keep hamas
01:07:36.420
and of the zone full of hamas supporters that's not a thing if you if you had some way to keep hamas out
01:07:45.220
you'd be reading minds or you'd be talking about a completely different public the people who are
01:07:56.500
were not necessarily hamas they might have been your regular people as well so if you've got five
01:08:03.380
million people uh the gazans who had been brainwashed for years that they needed to be
01:08:11.300
you know brutal on israel uh can you keep just the hamas people out of the safe zone that's just pure
01:08:20.740
magical thinking the magical thinking is all right imagine that instead of the residents of gaza being
01:08:28.420
exactly who they are you know a brainwashed weaponized public let's imagine that they're not those people
01:08:35.780
and then i've got a solution for you and then i say oh but wait they're not really the the people who
01:08:45.140
are gonna just never go back to the hamas way of life it was very much a preference and they probably
01:08:53.860
have twice as many reasons to do it now because gaza got flattened so uh and then they say uh you know the
01:09:03.300
arab states would kick in 20 billion that might be possible and then they want a palestinian
01:09:09.140
administration that's not aligned with hamas or the palestinian authority really
01:09:17.220
do you think there's a palestinian administration that they could find
01:09:21.620
that would be acceptable to the residents of gaza because i think that's important
01:09:26.420
that would have no connection with hamas or the palestinian authority these are pure magical
01:09:32.660
thoughts it's like they're not really even trying are they it's just magical thinking
01:09:39.300
um so so they start with all right imagine if the gazans had not been brainwashed since birth
01:09:48.420
now i've got a solution but they have been brainwashed since birth well let's imagine they're not and then
01:09:58.980
we can solve it but but hold on you can't just imagine a different reality
01:10:07.060
well maybe i can the the ridiculousness of the alternative plans are just so striking
01:10:18.660
anyway yeah good luck keeping hamas out of the safe zone meanwhile um in mexico president scheinbaum
01:10:30.580
of mexico uh said uh about the possibility of the u.s you know going in military militarily after the
01:10:39.060
cartels uh what we want to make clear with this designation the designation that the cartels are
01:10:45.220
terrorists what we want to make clear with this designation is that we do not negotiate sovereignty
01:10:51.380
this can't be an opportunity by the united states to invade our sovereignty they can call cartels
01:10:57.700
whatever they decide but with mexico it is collaboration and coordination never subordination
01:11:04.340
no interference and even less invasion all right let me explain some things to mexico
01:11:11.140
and i hate to break it to you mexico uh but your sovereignty doesn't mean a thing to us
01:11:20.980
just want to be clear your sovereignty is just some you care about we don't care about that you know
01:11:28.100
what i care about the death coming across the border from your country i don't care about your sovereignty
01:11:34.260
and if i have enough of the military to ignore your sovereignty it just isn't part of the conversation
01:11:40.900
if we need to your sovereignty means nothing to us nothing we don't respect it don't recognize it
01:11:49.540
don't care if you had sovereignty you would have prevented the cartels from essentially running the
01:11:56.340
country you don't have any sovereignty maybe the cartels have some sovereignty but you've got none and
01:12:04.740
if you think you do it's just in your mind and certainly has nothing to do with what u.s policy will be
01:12:11.380
period that's not negotiable um so let me let me just break it down into the simplest way just some
01:12:20.020
questions is there a problem for the u.s uh that's that's arriving from mexico in other words is mexico
01:12:28.500
causing the u.s to have a big deadly problem yes yes the answer is yes is mexico addressing that problem
01:12:37.700
on their own in an effective way no nobody thinks that they're doing is there any chance any chance at
01:12:45.860
all that mexico will address it effectively on their own no nobody thinks that so say goodbye to your
01:12:55.780
sovereignty you just sacrificed it your sovereignty means you take care of your shit if you can't take
01:13:05.060
care of your own shit you don't have sovereignty and there's trouble coming your way that's just the
01:13:14.820
way the real world works sorry well spotify says it's going to now allow ai narrated uh audiobooks on
01:13:24.100
according to digital trends andrew tarantola's writing and apparently this would increase the
01:13:31.780
number of books on spotify and the way that they are allowing it is they'll allow this one ai company
01:13:38.180
11 labs to be the ones who create your audiobook now it's pretty expensive because if you use if
01:13:45.380
you're an author and use uh 11 labs it can be you know one of their subscriptions the professional one is
01:13:52.580
pretty expensive it's over a thousand dollars a month um now here's what i wonder
01:13:59.460
wouldn't an audiobook wouldn't an audiobook be instantly stolen and pirated and put in the public domain
01:14:07.620
the minute you put it on spotify now i don't know if that's as easy if you had it on an amazon platform
01:14:16.420
because the amazon audiobooks i think there's some you know some kind of encryption or something
01:14:22.100
uh but i don't know about spotify if you just put it on spotify the one thing i do like is that you
01:14:29.220
could pretty much instantly have it in as many languages as you want but it does feel like just
01:14:35.540
giving your book away because if there's an audio file that anybody can copy could they just download it as
01:14:44.100
they're playing it how does that work i don't know yeah but if i make an audiobook using ai and just
01:14:51.300
upload it to spotify it feels like it would take about one second for somebody to download it and just
01:14:59.220
start making it available on other platforms so it seems like a mess from the author's perspective
01:15:04.980
but i might do it you know it's also i think the days of audiobooks and books may be over in general
01:15:12.820
because ai is gonna take so much of that that i don't know i don't even know if publishers can
01:15:18.420
survive in the future it doesn't seem like it the russia ukraine war is entirely the fault of nato
01:15:27.620
chuck says well people who don't know how anything starts are always difficult difficult to talk to them
01:15:39.220
but i i use the poke the bear analogy yesterday you know you can blame the bear for killing you
01:15:46.660
but if you were poking the bear with a stick you're not entirely innocent you know if you knew the bear
01:15:54.100
would do it and you poked him with a stick is it really the bear's fault
01:16:08.260
all right i'm just looking at some of your comments um ladies and gentlemen that's all i have for you
01:16:13.220
today happy friday tomorrow will be the weekend maybe tonight will be the weekend uh thanks for
01:16:21.460
joining and i'm going to talk to the locals people privately let's see if our technology is allowing
01:16:27.620
me to do that today and for that rest of you i'll see you tomorrow same time same place