Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2759 CWSA 02⧸23⧸25

00:00:00.000 You feel like doing it this morning.

00:00:02.520 You know when everything goes wrong all at the same time

00:00:05.360 and you've got two minutes to show time?

00:00:08.120 You never really recover.

00:00:11.300 There's something about the first minute that sets the tone.

00:00:16.780 So just imagine I gave you the simultaneous sip

00:00:20.500 and then you had a sip.

00:00:24.980 Nothing's working today.

00:00:30.000 Maybe that's what I needed.

00:00:33.880 Maybe it was the coffee I needed.

00:00:36.880 Audio is good.

00:00:38.080 Good.

00:00:39.340 At least on locals.

00:00:42.420 I can't see the comments on X if there are any.

00:00:47.240 But if you're on X and you're saying,

00:00:49.300 why is the sound not good?

00:00:51.600 It's because it's on my phone today.

00:00:54.080 Technical difficulties.

00:00:55.960 No microphone is connected.

00:00:57.460 Well, let's talk about all the news.

00:01:02.980 I saw Joe Rogan talk about Meta's new glasses.

00:01:06.260 You know, they look like regular glasses,

00:01:07.960 but it allows you to see things extra.

00:01:12.480 So you'll see your regular environment,

00:01:14.140 but extra stuff added.

00:01:16.040 And Joe Rogan was talking about some Harvard kid

00:01:19.440 who figured out how to use facial recognition software

00:01:23.780 with these glasses.

00:01:24.840 So I guess you can add your own apps.

00:01:27.840 And if you look at somebody with the glasses,

00:01:30.960 it calls up their social media and Wikipedia

00:01:34.020 and whatever is available about them online.

00:01:38.900 Now, Joe seemed to think that that was a terrible idea

00:01:44.260 and that I guess they could find your address

00:01:51.480 and everything else if your address is public.

00:01:55.560 So here's my take on this.

00:01:58.260 You can wish that this didn't exist.

00:02:02.020 You could hope that people would not use these glasses

00:02:05.140 for something that looks like a privacy violation of some sort.

00:02:09.960 But it's not going to happen.

00:02:13.000 So it's not that I'm in favor of it or against it.

00:02:16.360 It's sort of like complaining about the rain.

00:02:19.660 It's just going to rain, whether you complain about it or not.

00:02:23.740 And technology is definitely going to give you this capability.

00:02:28.680 You will be able to see things in your glasses

00:02:31.600 that are not in the environment.

00:02:32.900 Some of it will be telling you something

00:02:35.720 about the person you're talking to.

00:02:37.600 I guarantee it.

00:02:38.560 There's no way around it,

00:02:39.840 whether it comes from individuals who are hacking it

00:02:43.300 or it comes from the company meta.

00:02:46.000 It's just going to happen.

00:02:47.900 So again, I'm not in favor of it or against it.

00:02:52.600 It's just going to happen.

00:02:53.480 But in related news, there's, according to the Brighter Side of News,

00:03:01.400 Joshua Shapin is writing,

00:03:03.260 that there's some emotion-sensitive technology

00:03:08.200 that people could wear so you could tell

00:03:11.600 what their emotions are in real time.

00:03:13.940 I guess they've figured out how to use galvanic skin responses

00:03:17.120 in a more granular way than we've used them before

00:03:21.440 so that you could actually tell people's specific

00:03:24.540 and immediate emotions based on what's happening around them.

00:03:29.760 Now, it's not exactly completely done,

00:03:32.660 and it's a level above, you know, mood rings

00:03:35.920 and things that we've had before.

00:03:38.220 But now imagine putting these two technologies together.

00:03:42.280 So imagine you could walk up to a stranger

00:03:44.200 and he would know something about them.

00:03:47.720 And let's say one of the things about them is they like dogs.

00:03:51.440 Because they've got a lot of dogs on their social media.

00:03:54.580 You could immediately engage them in a conversation.

00:03:58.220 If you were shy, you could walk up and say,

00:04:00.880 whoa, you've got a corgi?

00:04:03.660 My aunt had a corgi.

00:04:05.820 Those are great.

00:04:07.140 That would be a little creepy if they didn't know

00:04:08.720 you had the special glasses on.

00:04:10.440 But, you know, imagine a time when everybody has them.

00:04:13.280 Everybody knows.

00:04:15.020 And then you could determine

00:04:16.780 whether the things you were saying

00:04:18.840 were making the person you're talking to happy or not.

00:04:21.220 So, I don't know.

00:04:25.040 There could be a big benefit to shy people.

00:04:30.500 Because shy people don't know what to say

00:04:32.620 to new people that they're meeting.

00:04:35.060 That's the biggest problem.

00:04:35.980 If they knew exactly what to say,

00:04:38.300 nobody would be shy.

00:04:39.760 But imagine if you just saw enough about somebody

00:04:42.700 that you could walk up to anybody

00:04:44.620 and just use their name

00:04:46.180 and you'd know something about them.

00:04:48.760 It would solve a lot of shyness problems.

00:04:51.520 Speaking as a shy person.

00:04:53.940 Well, I'm a recovered shy person.

00:04:56.000 The best way to recover from shyness

00:04:58.140 is to become famous.

00:05:01.520 It turns out that when you're famous,

00:05:03.840 all that shyness stuff just goes away.

00:05:05.640 I did not expect that.

00:05:09.460 Anyway, so there's two technologies

00:05:11.060 that have changed things.

00:05:13.560 We'll get to the big politics in a minute.

00:05:17.020 So, according to Fox News,

00:05:19.960 Alexander Hall is reporting that

00:05:21.640 San Francisco Asian American voters

00:05:25.400 are basically walking away from the Democrats.

00:05:28.960 Now, of course, it's not all of them.

00:05:32.600 It's never all of them.

00:05:34.140 Whoever you're talking about,

00:05:35.200 it's never all of anybody.

00:05:37.300 But does that surprise you?

00:05:40.700 How many of you would be surprised

00:05:42.460 to learn that Asian Americans in San Francisco

00:05:45.660 are starting to turn toward Trump

00:05:48.240 in a fairly dramatic and very measurable way?

00:05:52.820 Who's surprised about that?

00:05:55.420 I would argue that you could only be surprised about that

00:05:58.580 if you didn't have any Asian American friends.

00:06:02.080 Anybody who has Asian American friends,

00:06:04.900 you already knew it.

00:06:06.420 You already knew it.

00:06:07.780 So, I'm not going to dig any deeper into that

00:06:10.800 because I'd be, you know,

00:06:12.260 sort of talking for a group

00:06:13.920 that I shouldn't be talking for.

00:06:15.940 But if that surprised you,

00:06:18.880 it's only because you didn't have any contact

00:06:20.520 with that community.

00:06:22.480 Yeah, it's a very common sense.

00:06:26.360 Yeah, I guess that's as far as I can go.

00:06:29.320 I'll say that the Asian American community

00:06:31.780 is very common sense based.

00:06:34.580 What works?

00:06:35.580 Oh, let's do that.

00:06:37.500 What doesn't work?

00:06:38.900 Oh, we'll avoid that.

00:06:40.580 Just common sense.

00:06:41.720 So, yeah, of course,

00:06:42.700 they'd be driven toward common sense solutions.

00:06:46.720 Meanwhile, our favorite crazy Democrat

00:06:49.280 representative, Jasmine Crockett.

00:06:51.540 She said on some radio show or podcast

00:06:57.240 just recently that Republican voters

00:07:00.180 don't like to read or learn facts.

00:07:03.840 They don't like to read or learn facts.

00:07:11.500 What I love about this is Democrats can't learn.

00:07:15.220 There's just no learning happening at all.

00:07:17.940 If I can teach the Democrats just one thing,

00:07:23.120 just one thing, don't do this.

00:07:27.360 Do not make general statements

00:07:30.260 about all Republicans.

00:07:33.380 It's so dumb.

00:07:35.160 It's like dumb on a level

00:07:36.680 that it's hard to even fathom.

00:07:38.740 But still doing it.

00:07:41.160 And when I see this,

00:07:43.100 I just say to myself,

00:07:44.280 we need more Jasmine Crockett.

00:07:45.940 Because the more Jasmine Crockett

00:07:48.180 there is in the world,

00:07:49.640 the longer Republicans will have,

00:07:51.440 you know,

00:07:52.140 total control of the government.

00:07:55.660 Well, maybe Jasmine Crockett

00:07:58.240 will have a new job opportunity someday

00:08:00.160 because Joy Reid's show on MSNBC

00:08:02.900 has reportedly been canceled.

00:08:05.200 I guess it's going to run

00:08:06.520 for the rest of this week

00:08:07.840 and then she will be out.

00:08:11.040 Now, what would be the worst name

00:08:13.640 to give your own TV show

00:08:15.560 if there were some chance

00:08:17.400 you would ever get canceled?

00:08:20.660 It's called the Reid Out.

00:08:23.020 Reid as in her last name,

00:08:24.680 R-E-I-D.

00:08:26.360 That's the name for the show.

00:08:27.880 Reid Out.

00:08:29.380 What is the news today?

00:08:31.760 Reid Out.

00:08:34.400 Yeah.

00:08:34.660 So they should have conferred with me

00:08:38.120 at the beginning.

00:08:39.240 It's like,

00:08:39.760 if we give it this name,

00:08:42.100 is anybody going to be able

00:08:43.200 to mock it later?

00:08:44.940 And I would say,

00:08:46.180 yes.

00:08:47.440 Yes, they will be able

00:08:48.580 to mock it later.

00:08:50.040 So maybe rethink that.

00:08:54.180 It also made me think that

00:08:56.020 if you imagine that someday

00:08:58.420 the newsreaders will be robots

00:09:00.440 and AI,

00:09:02.020 who would be easier to replace

00:09:04.660 than Joy Reid?

00:09:07.740 Allow me to do my AI robot impression

00:09:11.080 of Joy Reid's replacement.

00:09:14.560 Today in the news,

00:09:16.220 the weather is 85 degrees

00:09:17.920 in San Francisco

00:09:18.880 because of white supremacy.

00:09:22.780 Today in the news,

00:09:23.960 the New York Giants

00:09:26.980 won a game

00:09:28.280 because of white supremacy.

00:09:31.520 I mean,

00:09:31.840 how hard can they make an AI

00:09:33.000 that just reproduces Joy Reid?

00:09:35.560 Because of racism.

00:09:37.420 There's racism.

00:09:38.840 Trump is bad.

00:09:40.040 Orange Hitler.

00:09:40.940 Orange Hitler.

00:09:41.900 Chaos.

00:09:42.900 There's chaos.

00:09:43.840 Orange Hitler.

00:09:45.940 All right.

00:09:48.500 Meanwhile,

00:09:49.620 Trump is on

00:09:50.580 Choose Social

00:09:51.880 dunking on MSNBC.

00:09:54.700 And he calls them

00:09:55.560 MSDNC,

00:09:57.400 as in they're basically

00:09:58.820 a Democrat

00:09:59.460 function.

00:10:02.720 He says,

00:10:03.380 MSDNC is even worse

00:10:05.300 than CNN.

00:10:06.640 They shouldn't even have

00:10:07.520 a right to broadcast.

00:10:09.000 Only in America.

00:10:11.900 Now,

00:10:12.520 I, of course,

00:10:14.380 believe they should have

00:10:15.320 a right to broadcast

00:10:16.260 because of free speech.

00:10:18.240 I think he's being

00:10:19.120 a little hyperbolic.

00:10:21.120 But

00:10:21.340 it made me think

00:10:22.980 and I don't know

00:10:24.840 the answer to this.

00:10:26.320 Maybe you can tell me

00:10:27.100 in the comments.

00:10:28.140 If you're a

00:10:29.100 news network,

00:10:31.180 do you get

00:10:32.160 some

00:10:33.040 extra

00:10:34.940 government

00:10:36.280 protection?

00:10:38.880 In other words,

00:10:39.540 if you do the news,

00:10:41.620 does that,

00:10:42.200 does the government say,

00:10:43.260 oh,

00:10:43.380 you can use these airwaves

00:10:44.720 or whatever?

00:10:45.440 Now,

00:10:45.620 I don't know if it applies

00:10:46.500 to cable.

00:10:48.580 But

00:10:48.780 is there anything

00:10:50.680 like if you're

00:10:51.520 in the news business,

00:10:53.040 you get some

00:10:53.580 extra rights?

00:10:54.760 Is that a thing?

00:10:55.940 It used to be

00:10:56.680 when the

00:10:57.540 airwaves were

00:10:58.840 limited

00:10:59.220 in bandwidth.

00:11:02.160 But I think

00:11:02.820 it did.

00:11:03.740 So I'm not

00:11:04.480 an expert on that.

00:11:06.000 But it does

00:11:06.760 ask the question,

00:11:08.680 if something

00:11:09.520 is pretending

00:11:10.280 to be a news network,

00:11:12.520 but yet

00:11:13.080 in every way

00:11:13.800 it functions

00:11:14.320 as a propaganda organ,

00:11:16.580 does it have

00:11:18.540 a right to exist?

00:11:20.200 I think it does

00:11:21.400 because lying

00:11:22.900 is still legal.

00:11:24.080 You can lie

00:11:24.660 all you want.

00:11:25.540 You can be

00:11:25.880 as biased

00:11:26.340 as you want.

00:11:27.660 But it does

00:11:28.680 raise the question,

00:11:29.780 is there anything

00:11:30.700 that's different

00:11:32.820 about MSNBC?

00:11:34.520 Now,

00:11:34.760 there's some thought

00:11:35.400 that the

00:11:35.940 management of

00:11:37.100 MSNBC

00:11:38.480 is trying to

00:11:39.300 move away

00:11:41.520 from doing

00:11:42.240 nothing but

00:11:42.820 criticizing

00:11:43.400 Trump.

00:11:44.520 We'll see.

00:11:47.040 Anyway,

00:11:47.600 it makes me wonder

00:11:48.200 if the Trump effect

00:11:49.180 took out Joy Reid.

00:11:51.500 Do you think

00:11:52.320 that Trump

00:11:53.260 is the reason

00:11:53.880 that Joy Reid

00:11:54.560 is losing her job?

00:11:56.600 I wonder.

00:11:58.080 Because if it

00:11:58.700 hadn't been

00:11:59.220 Trump being

00:12:00.060 president,

00:12:01.600 wouldn't she

00:12:02.140 have some

00:12:02.700 positive things

00:12:03.440 to say?

00:12:04.000 Let's say a

00:12:04.460 Democrat were

00:12:05.340 president.

00:12:06.520 Wouldn't she

00:12:06.980 have some

00:12:07.340 positive things

00:12:07.960 to say?

00:12:08.680 And then

00:12:09.040 maybe her

00:12:09.980 ratings would

00:12:11.160 not have

00:12:11.480 collapsed?

00:12:12.900 But when

00:12:13.460 you've got

00:12:13.820 a president

00:12:14.460 who's

00:12:15.000 polling over

00:12:15.720 50%

00:12:16.460 in popularity

00:12:17.200 and he's

00:12:17.820 doing a lot

00:12:18.320 of things

00:12:18.620 that people

00:12:18.980 want,

00:12:20.000 if the

00:12:20.400 only thing

00:12:21.200 you can

00:12:21.560 do is

00:12:22.480 call him

00:12:22.880 Warren

00:12:23.120 Chandler

00:12:23.480 day after

00:12:24.000 day after

00:12:24.440 day,

00:12:24.740 I can see

00:12:26.480 how your

00:12:26.780 management

00:12:27.160 would get

00:12:27.560 tired of that.

00:12:28.180 makes sense

00:12:29.500 to me.

00:12:32.040 It also

00:12:32.940 made me

00:12:33.340 wonder if

00:12:33.880 Trump can

00:12:34.680 recoup all

00:12:35.820 of his

00:12:36.160 legal expenses

00:12:37.040 from the

00:12:37.820 law fair

00:12:38.280 and all

00:12:39.320 of his

00:12:39.600 business

00:12:40.060 expenses

00:12:40.620 from being

00:12:42.160 boycotted

00:12:42.720 or whatever

00:12:43.140 happened to

00:12:43.660 the Trump

00:12:44.360 business

00:12:44.980 itself.

00:12:46.800 Because let's

00:12:47.560 say he got

00:12:48.440 $30 million

00:12:49.580 he won

00:12:51.600 from NBC

00:12:52.740 for fake

00:12:53.640 news about

00:12:54.220 him.

00:12:55.240 Or no,

00:12:55.800 just,

00:12:55.940 I think

00:12:57.540 it was just

00:12:57.820 fake news.

00:12:58.600 Somebody else

00:12:59.060 got $30

00:12:59.520 million.

00:13:00.440 And then

00:13:01.280 he's suing

00:13:02.760 CBS,

00:13:03.880 and that

00:13:04.140 might be a

00:13:04.600 multi-million

00:13:05.160 dollar

00:13:05.440 settlement.

00:13:07.440 It seems

00:13:08.200 to me that

00:13:08.620 the only

00:13:08.920 thing you'd

00:13:09.320 have to

00:13:09.620 demonstrate

00:13:10.280 is that

00:13:11.400 the fake

00:13:11.820 news knew

00:13:12.440 it was

00:13:12.740 fake,

00:13:13.500 at least

00:13:13.880 whatever

00:13:14.460 story they're

00:13:15.120 talking about,

00:13:16.000 that they

00:13:16.380 knew it

00:13:16.880 and that

00:13:18.540 they did

00:13:18.860 it anyway.

00:13:20.700 Which I'll

00:13:21.380 bet is an

00:13:21.960 easy standard

00:13:22.740 to achieve.

00:13:24.800 Because if

00:13:25.560 you sue

00:13:26.280 somebody,

00:13:26.780 you get

00:13:26.920 access to

00:13:27.460 their

00:13:27.620 emails,

00:13:28.420 right?

00:13:29.340 You probably

00:13:30.300 will always

00:13:31.080 find some

00:13:32.080 evidence in

00:13:32.720 the emails

00:13:33.220 that they

00:13:33.980 knew exactly

00:13:34.600 what they

00:13:34.980 were doing.

00:13:37.020 So maybe

00:13:38.020 there's more

00:13:38.420 lawsuits coming.

00:13:39.940 Meanwhile,

00:13:40.500 Hezbollah held

00:13:41.400 a funeral for

00:13:42.300 its late

00:13:43.040 leader that

00:13:43.760 Israel took

00:13:44.660 out some

00:13:45.640 months ago.

00:13:47.140 And it

00:13:47.880 was an

00:13:48.500 annoyingly and

00:13:50.100 startlingly large

00:13:51.240 gathering of

00:13:52.460 Hezbollah

00:13:52.860 supporters.

00:13:53.420 But Israel

00:13:55.160 apparently did

00:13:55.920 a flyover.

00:13:57.460 So all the

00:13:58.080 Hezbollah

00:13:59.220 people were

00:13:59.940 dancing around

00:14:01.180 and doing

00:14:02.700 their thing.

00:14:03.720 And Israel

00:14:04.280 just does a

00:14:04.900 flyover with

00:14:05.640 F-15s and

00:14:06.480 F-35s.

00:14:08.280 I think it

00:14:09.020 was just to

00:14:09.400 remind them,

00:14:10.480 we're not

00:14:10.980 done.

00:14:12.600 So that

00:14:13.480 happened.

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00:14:27.160 apply.

00:14:28.640 Scotiabank,

00:14:29.400 you're richer

00:14:29.860 than you

00:14:30.200 think.

00:14:31.540 Brabant News

00:14:32.560 is reporting

00:14:33.240 Francis Martell

00:14:34.280 that Doug

00:14:35.520 Burgum,

00:14:36.500 he's the

00:14:37.180 interior

00:14:38.940 secretary,

00:14:39.940 and he

00:14:42.860 says that

00:14:43.320 Trump plans

00:14:43.920 to sell

00:14:44.480 energy to

00:14:45.040 our friends

00:14:45.520 and it'll

00:14:47.600 help defund

00:14:48.220 the Russian

00:14:48.640 aggression.

00:14:49.860 So part of

00:14:50.360 what he's

00:14:50.620 saying is

00:14:51.060 that the

00:14:51.760 more energy

00:14:52.400 the U.S.

00:14:53.080 creates,

00:14:53.880 the weaker

00:14:54.460 Russia will

00:14:55.400 be, because

00:14:56.280 Russia depends

00:14:57.120 on its

00:14:57.560 energy.

00:14:58.540 So if we're

00:14:59.140 competing with

00:14:59.860 it, it should

00:15:01.120 lower their

00:15:01.780 revenues, increase

00:15:03.320 our revenues,

00:15:04.520 and make us

00:15:05.600 safer.

00:15:05.940 But here's

00:15:08.180 the question

00:15:08.840 I have.

00:15:11.200 Although Doug

00:15:12.320 Burgum might

00:15:13.020 be a solid

00:15:14.440 choice, he

00:15:16.520 doesn't strike

00:15:17.240 me as a

00:15:17.820 person who

00:15:18.240 can promote

00:15:19.060 any successes.

00:15:20.860 He's just

00:15:21.200 not a

00:15:21.920 promotional guy.

00:15:23.360 Maybe to his

00:15:24.340 credit, he

00:15:25.340 might be more

00:15:25.900 about getting

00:15:26.360 the job done.

00:15:27.540 But it

00:15:28.660 seems to me

00:15:29.200 that the

00:15:29.560 single biggest

00:15:30.500 good news

00:15:31.480 would be if

00:15:33.480 we did

00:15:33.900 something really

00:15:34.720 good in the

00:15:35.520 energy.

00:15:35.940 field.

00:15:37.420 In other

00:15:37.800 words, creating

00:15:38.420 more energy,

00:15:39.200 lowering the

00:15:39.640 cost of

00:15:40.040 energy, approving

00:15:40.980 more stuff.

00:15:42.820 And I was

00:15:44.420 unaware of

00:15:45.600 what we're

00:15:45.940 doing in

00:15:46.360 energy, but

00:15:46.880 I looked at

00:15:47.540 Daniel Baldwin

00:15:50.640 had a list

00:15:53.160 of things that

00:15:54.100 the administration

00:15:55.220 has already

00:15:55.720 done, Trump

00:15:56.460 administration,

00:15:57.560 that would

00:15:57.880 make a

00:15:58.220 difference.

00:15:59.100 But I don't

00:15:59.660 know how

00:16:00.000 real these

00:16:00.540 are.

00:16:01.540 So one

00:16:02.760 is finish

00:16:04.640 the

00:16:05.040 constitution

00:16:05.860 pipeline to

00:16:07.060 bring natural

00:16:07.700 gas to the

00:16:08.400 northeast.

00:16:09.480 I don't

00:16:10.160 think that

00:16:10.520 happened.

00:16:11.960 I think that

00:16:12.760 Trump announced

00:16:13.580 he wants to

00:16:14.460 get that

00:16:16.040 pipeline going

00:16:17.020 because it

00:16:17.700 would lower

00:16:18.100 costs in the

00:16:18.920 northeast, at

00:16:19.980 least for

00:16:20.240 natural gas.

00:16:21.440 But I don't

00:16:21.960 think it's

00:16:22.540 going.

00:16:23.640 So I don't

00:16:24.340 know if there's

00:16:24.820 anything there

00:16:25.340 yet.

00:16:25.820 Could be in

00:16:26.720 the future,

00:16:27.200 but at the

00:16:27.520 moment, no.

00:16:27.940 also listed

00:16:30.500 by Daniel

00:16:32.660 Baldwin is

00:16:33.960 a joint

00:16:35.180 venture

00:16:35.680 for LNG

00:16:38.120 project with

00:16:38.980 Japan.

00:16:40.440 Now, does

00:16:41.060 that lower

00:16:41.680 costs of

00:16:43.760 energy in the

00:16:44.320 United States

00:16:45.060 if we're

00:16:45.700 doing an

00:16:46.120 LNG

00:16:46.560 project with

00:16:48.040 Japan?

00:16:48.760 Or does

00:16:49.600 it just

00:16:50.200 open up a

00:16:50.780 market?

00:16:52.440 I don't

00:16:52.940 know.

00:16:53.160 apparently

00:16:55.120 India agreed

00:16:56.420 to make

00:16:56.780 U.S.

00:16:57.120 its leading

00:16:57.600 supplier of

00:16:58.320 crude oil

00:16:58.780 and petroleum,

00:17:00.460 but isn't

00:17:03.280 that just

00:17:03.720 increasing demand

00:17:05.080 on our

00:17:05.880 energy?

00:17:07.700 So here

00:17:08.900 are the two

00:17:09.360 examples of

00:17:10.120 increased

00:17:10.560 demand.

00:17:12.040 Increased

00:17:12.500 demand doesn't

00:17:13.240 lower your

00:17:13.660 costs.

00:17:14.760 I mean, if

00:17:15.540 you increase

00:17:16.280 production to

00:17:17.120 meet the

00:17:17.440 demand, it's

00:17:17.940 still not

00:17:18.280 doing anything.

00:17:20.820 Trump is

00:17:21.620 reopening 625

00:17:23.000 miles of

00:17:23.760 ocean that

00:17:24.860 Biden had

00:17:25.540 banned from

00:17:26.180 drilling, but

00:17:28.080 is anybody

00:17:28.600 drilling?

00:17:29.900 Is there

00:17:30.260 anybody who

00:17:30.740 was like,

00:17:31.100 yeah, we're

00:17:31.560 going to get

00:17:31.940 going in that

00:17:32.700 place we

00:17:33.760 wanted to, but

00:17:34.600 weren't?

00:17:35.840 So wouldn't

00:17:36.660 you like to

00:17:37.080 know about

00:17:37.420 that?

00:17:39.160 But I also

00:17:39.680 saw that

00:17:40.340 making peace

00:17:42.740 with Russia

00:17:43.400 should have

00:17:44.960 some impact

00:17:45.600 on energy

00:17:46.380 prices,

00:17:47.540 because that

00:17:49.740 would allow

00:17:50.300 what?

00:17:50.860 Russia to

00:17:52.400 produce more

00:17:53.780 energy?

00:17:54.760 I don't

00:17:55.360 know.

00:17:55.640 I think

00:17:55.880 they're

00:17:56.060 producing all

00:17:56.680 they want.

00:17:57.540 So I don't

00:17:57.840 see how that's

00:17:58.460 going to

00:17:58.660 lower our

00:17:59.040 prices.

00:18:01.180 And then

00:18:01.860 Trump did

00:18:02.280 call on

00:18:02.860 OPEC to

00:18:03.700 increase

00:18:04.140 production,

00:18:05.400 which if

00:18:06.200 they did

00:18:06.580 that would

00:18:07.740 lower energy

00:18:08.380 prices.

00:18:09.400 But are

00:18:10.500 they doing

00:18:10.940 it?

00:18:12.140 So you

00:18:12.980 see the

00:18:13.320 problem,

00:18:13.800 right?

00:18:15.660 Trump made

00:18:16.420 a big deal

00:18:16.940 about betting

00:18:17.480 on energy,

00:18:18.920 American energy.

00:18:19.720 So if we

00:18:20.540 increase our

00:18:21.680 energy production,

00:18:23.020 we could not

00:18:23.960 only make more

00:18:24.600 money by

00:18:25.020 selling it,

00:18:25.940 yay, but

00:18:27.280 we could

00:18:27.700 lower our

00:18:28.220 own costs

00:18:28.920 by having

00:18:30.340 more supply

00:18:31.400 than there

00:18:31.800 is demand,

00:18:32.600 at least

00:18:32.940 changing the

00:18:33.640 balance.

00:18:34.700 But is

00:18:35.400 any of that

00:18:35.800 happening?

00:18:36.900 So here's

00:18:37.780 what I would

00:18:38.220 suggest for

00:18:39.760 the administration.

00:18:41.260 I feel like

00:18:42.320 Doug Burgum

00:18:43.180 needs some

00:18:43.600 help.

00:18:45.100 And like I

00:18:46.120 said, he's

00:18:46.460 probably a

00:18:46.880 solid interior

00:18:49.200 minister, but

00:18:50.320 sometimes

00:18:50.780 promotion is

00:18:51.800 a whole

00:18:52.040 different field

00:18:52.940 and he

00:18:54.020 doesn't seem

00:18:54.440 like the

00:18:54.780 promotion guy.

00:18:56.040 Now, I

00:18:56.220 don't want to

00:18:56.560 see a bunch

00:18:56.940 of BS, but

00:18:58.820 don't you

00:18:59.240 think that

00:18:59.680 real things

00:19:01.020 are brewing

00:19:01.560 that could

00:19:02.580 actually lower

00:19:03.880 energy costs?

00:19:05.940 And if there

00:19:06.380 aren't, well,

00:19:08.040 I'd like to

00:19:08.460 know that

00:19:08.980 because pretty

00:19:10.760 much our

00:19:11.260 entire future

00:19:12.080 depends on

00:19:12.840 energy booming

00:19:14.640 and lowering

00:19:15.440 our energy

00:19:16.080 prices because

00:19:16.780 nothing else is

00:19:17.500 going to take

00:19:17.880 the price of

00:19:18.380 eggs down.

00:19:20.360 Now, I do

00:19:21.140 love the

00:19:21.540 things that

00:19:21.980 Trump is

00:19:22.360 doing with

00:19:23.140 lowering, you

00:19:24.580 know, with

00:19:25.040 Doge, etc.

00:19:26.520 So as long

00:19:27.720 as we can get

00:19:28.300 Congress to

00:19:28.940 not spend all

00:19:29.840 those savings,

00:19:30.700 which I think

00:19:31.440 they want to

00:19:31.900 do, then maybe

00:19:34.380 in the long

00:19:34.920 term, you

00:19:35.980 know, prices

00:19:36.760 and inflation

00:19:37.720 will be

00:19:38.180 controlled and

00:19:38.880 that helps on

00:19:39.440 prices.

00:19:40.360 But I'm not

00:19:41.540 seeing the

00:19:42.160 Trump administration

00:19:43.100 draw a straight

00:19:43.920 line between

00:19:45.340 what they're

00:19:45.880 doing and the

00:19:46.580 price of eggs.

00:19:47.880 or even the

00:19:48.880 price of

00:19:49.440 energy.

00:19:51.860 So we

00:19:52.640 kind of need

00:19:53.040 that, don't

00:19:53.420 we?

00:19:54.480 It's

00:19:54.920 conspicuously

00:19:55.680 missing, given

00:19:57.360 that the Trump

00:19:58.240 administration is

00:19:59.020 so good at

00:19:59.640 promotion, and

00:20:01.360 energy has got

00:20:02.060 to be right at

00:20:02.740 the top of the

00:20:03.840 things that you

00:20:04.360 would want to

00:20:04.780 promote if

00:20:05.520 there's something

00:20:06.020 happening.

00:20:07.360 But I guess I'm

00:20:08.040 going to say I'm

00:20:08.680 not aware of

00:20:09.180 anything that

00:20:10.740 would make a

00:20:11.200 difference.

00:20:12.520 So that's a

00:20:14.400 little disturbing.

00:20:18.060 There's a new

00:20:18.880 study on

00:20:20.360 studies.

00:20:21.600 I like

00:20:21.980 studies about

00:20:22.700 studies.

00:20:24.680 This is a

00:20:25.620 study that

00:20:27.320 shows that

00:20:30.120 research papers,

00:20:32.140 they looked at

00:20:32.920 82 climate

00:20:33.820 studies.

00:20:35.560 What do you

00:20:35.940 think they

00:20:36.240 found?

00:20:37.460 Don't get

00:20:38.160 ahead of me.

00:20:38.540 It said that

00:20:40.820 not a single

00:20:42.220 paper of

00:20:43.520 those 82

00:20:44.200 disclosed a

00:20:46.020 conflict of

00:20:46.680 interest in

00:20:47.520 over 29

00:20:48.260 years.

00:20:49.740 So over a

00:20:50.340 29-year

00:20:51.060 period, nobody

00:20:52.820 who did these

00:20:53.700 studies ever

00:20:54.940 disclosed if

00:20:56.040 they had a

00:20:56.440 conflict of

00:20:57.060 interest.

00:20:58.020 Do you

00:20:58.300 think they

00:20:58.620 have any?

00:20:59.640 Well, here's

00:21:00.880 what they

00:21:01.160 found out.

00:21:03.720 So 68% of

00:21:05.680 NGO-funded

00:21:06.740 studies claimed

00:21:08.200 that climate

00:21:08.680 change drastically

00:21:09.840 increased hurricane

00:21:11.000 activity.

00:21:12.640 So more than

00:21:13.340 two-thirds of

00:21:16.280 all NGO-funded

00:21:17.620 climate studies

00:21:18.960 say, oh, this

00:21:19.860 is making the

00:21:20.380 hurricanes much

00:21:21.340 worse.

00:21:22.700 What do you

00:21:23.160 think would be

00:21:23.680 the answer of

00:21:24.280 people who

00:21:24.660 were not

00:21:25.120 funded by an

00:21:25.940 NGO?

00:21:27.400 Now, an NGO

00:21:28.120 would be

00:21:28.640 something like,

00:21:29.960 you know, I'll

00:21:30.800 just make this

00:21:31.400 up, but it'd be

00:21:31.940 like the Green

00:21:33.400 Climate Initiative

00:21:34.480 NGO.

00:21:35.760 So it's

00:21:36.160 basically people

00:21:36.960 who want the

00:21:37.800 study.

00:21:38.200 to say that

00:21:39.540 climate change

00:21:40.300 is real, and

00:21:41.440 they want the

00:21:42.100 study that

00:21:42.580 they're funding

00:21:43.080 to say that

00:21:45.140 it's dire.

00:21:46.640 And 68% of

00:21:48.140 the people who

00:21:48.680 took money from

00:21:50.100 the people who

00:21:50.760 want to show

00:21:51.360 how dire it

00:21:52.100 is, showed

00:21:53.360 how dire it

00:21:54.020 was.

00:21:54.840 Two-thirds of

00:21:55.460 them.

00:21:56.520 But of the

00:21:57.020 people who did

00:21:57.640 not take money

00:21:58.460 from NGOs,

00:22:00.160 they had a

00:22:00.540 very clear,

00:22:01.300 you know,

00:22:02.340 incentive

00:22:02.780 structure.

00:22:03.340 only 22% of

00:22:05.980 them said

00:22:07.780 that the

00:22:09.160 hurricanes were

00:22:09.740 getting worse

00:22:10.140 because of

00:22:10.460 climate change.

00:22:11.880 22% versus

00:22:14.080 68.

00:22:16.720 And so the

00:22:17.700 22% were

00:22:18.840 people who just

00:22:19.380 got government

00:22:20.160 or academic

00:22:20.940 research that

00:22:22.460 was maybe a

00:22:23.620 little more

00:22:23.960 neutral.

00:22:24.700 It's like,

00:22:25.220 here's your

00:22:25.500 money, come

00:22:26.660 tell us what

00:22:27.160 happened.

00:22:27.460 Whereas the

00:22:28.500 NGOs are,

00:22:30.140 you know,

00:22:30.920 really directly

00:22:31.820 political, I

00:22:32.880 think, in most

00:22:33.360 cases.

00:22:34.500 So there you

00:22:35.480 go.

00:22:36.440 Your studies

00:22:37.500 match the

00:22:39.580 desires of the

00:22:40.440 people who

00:22:40.800 funded them.

00:22:41.700 And they

00:22:43.080 didn't disclose

00:22:43.760 that they had

00:22:44.380 that conflict.

00:22:45.340 So that would

00:22:45.880 be a conflict

00:22:46.500 if your funding

00:22:47.300 came from an

00:22:48.040 NGO and the

00:22:49.360 NGO definitely

00:22:50.240 wanted a certain

00:22:51.020 answer.

00:22:51.740 Because you know

00:22:52.180 they did.

00:22:53.340 You know they

00:22:53.840 did.

00:22:55.580 And apparently

00:22:56.200 the NGO

00:22:56.920 grants,

00:22:57.460 were far

00:22:59.460 more, four

00:23:00.080 times as

00:23:00.620 large as

00:23:01.460 the normal

00:23:02.540 academic

00:23:03.080 study.

00:23:04.420 Now even

00:23:05.180 in the

00:23:05.600 academic

00:23:05.980 world, people

00:23:07.400 are going to

00:23:07.700 be pressed to

00:23:08.420 say climate

00:23:09.000 change is

00:23:09.500 real.

00:23:10.100 And even if

00:23:10.700 you're funded

00:23:11.080 just by the

00:23:11.760 government, not

00:23:12.680 through an

00:23:13.060 NGO, you're

00:23:14.480 still going to

00:23:14.940 feel like you

00:23:15.900 need to come

00:23:16.440 up with

00:23:16.840 something that

00:23:17.680 agrees with the

00:23:18.280 government.

00:23:20.040 So climate

00:23:20.960 science, not

00:23:22.080 really science.

00:23:24.400 Remember they

00:23:25.080 say trust the

00:23:25.740 science?

00:23:26.140 science, if

00:23:27.660 you knew that

00:23:28.860 the source of

00:23:29.460 the funding

00:23:29.900 completely changed

00:23:31.360 the outcomes,

00:23:32.800 the source of

00:23:33.480 the funding,

00:23:34.320 not the

00:23:34.720 science, the

00:23:36.260 source of the

00:23:36.920 funding.

00:23:38.140 If you know

00:23:39.040 that, and

00:23:40.820 there's such a

00:23:41.320 big difference,

00:23:42.180 say 22%

00:23:43.380 compared to

00:23:44.060 68, that's

00:23:46.880 not really

00:23:47.220 science, is

00:23:47.860 it?

00:23:48.020 all right.

00:23:54.880 Here's what I

00:23:55.480 like to say

00:23:55.940 about climate

00:23:57.360 change.

00:23:58.900 Wait till you

00:23:59.540 find out about

00:24:00.180 the climate

00:24:00.680 models.

00:24:02.560 Now some of

00:24:03.040 you who follow

00:24:03.540 me already

00:24:03.980 know what I

00:24:04.460 mean about

00:24:05.160 that.

00:24:05.740 But I'm

00:24:06.160 fascinated by

00:24:06.920 the category

00:24:07.660 of communication,

00:24:09.400 which is

00:24:09.980 something that

00:24:10.720 can't be

00:24:11.220 communicated.

00:24:12.540 For example,

00:24:13.340 you know the

00:24:13.820 story about the

00:24:14.400 little boy who

00:24:14.980 cried wolf?

00:24:15.940 he warned

00:24:17.600 that a wolf

00:24:18.080 was coming

00:24:18.640 when there

00:24:20.060 wasn't.

00:24:20.880 So many times

00:24:21.880 that when a

00:24:22.320 real wolf was

00:24:22.960 coming, and

00:24:24.000 he said,

00:24:24.380 there's a wolf

00:24:24.820 coming,

00:24:25.800 everybody said,

00:24:27.100 ah, that's

00:24:27.660 that little kid

00:24:28.260 who cries wolf

00:24:29.020 all the time,

00:24:29.620 so they ignored

00:24:30.140 him.

00:24:30.780 So that was

00:24:31.340 a case where

00:24:32.040 the boy who

00:24:33.200 cried wolf

00:24:34.300 could not

00:24:35.900 communicate a

00:24:36.960 real thing,

00:24:37.860 because people

00:24:38.960 weren't ready

00:24:39.400 for it.

00:24:40.020 Now that's

00:24:40.380 also true if

00:24:41.260 you know,

00:24:42.320 if you get

00:24:42.780 your information

00:24:43.380 from your

00:24:43.860 enemy, you

00:24:44.400 don't believe

00:24:44.940 it.

00:24:45.240 There's a whole

00:24:45.860 bunch of

00:24:46.200 categories of

00:24:47.820 things that

00:24:48.200 can't be

00:24:48.540 communicated.

00:24:49.280 Here's another

00:24:49.720 one.

00:24:50.500 Fiji Airways

00:24:51.260 is on sale

00:24:52.100 now.

00:24:53.020 Fly from

00:24:53.440 Toronto via

00:24:54.200 Vancouver to

00:24:54.960 Fiji with

00:24:55.600 round trips

00:24:56.120 starting from

00:24:56.660 $1,554.

00:24:58.580 For a

00:24:59.100 destination or

00:25:00.060 a stopover,

00:25:01.100 Fiji is where

00:25:01.860 you want to

00:25:02.500 be.

00:25:03.140 Fiji Airways

00:25:03.800 is now a

00:25:04.360 part of the

00:25:04.800 One World

00:25:05.200 Alliance and

00:25:05.980 has joined

00:25:06.420 the Advantage

00:25:07.000 program.

00:25:08.060 Enjoy

00:25:08.360 warm island

00:25:09.040 service and

00:25:09.880 earn seamless

00:25:10.760 global benefits.

00:25:12.200 Book now at

00:25:12.980 FijiAirways.com or

00:25:14.620 visit your

00:25:15.120 travel agent

00:25:15.820 today.

00:25:16.560 Conditions

00:25:16.940 apply.

00:25:18.140 If physics

00:25:19.840 came up with

00:25:20.600 some great

00:25:21.220 new thing,

00:25:22.320 but the

00:25:22.700 physicist wanted

00:25:23.540 to explain

00:25:24.340 it to me,

00:25:25.400 do you think

00:25:25.820 they could do

00:25:26.320 it?

00:25:27.180 Not really.

00:25:28.780 It'd be stuff

00:25:29.500 like, well,

00:25:30.560 then the

00:25:31.000 muon went

00:25:32.000 to the

00:25:32.700 quantum phase

00:25:34.880 into the

00:25:35.600 multi-dimensions

00:25:36.660 and I'd be,

00:25:38.480 I don't know

00:25:39.100 what any of

00:25:39.460 those mean.

00:25:39.880 I don't

00:25:41.040 know what

00:25:41.320 you're saying.

00:25:42.360 Well, but

00:25:42.840 then the

00:25:43.380 fluctuation of

00:25:44.860 the

00:25:45.260 Schrodinger's

00:25:46.700 cat,

00:25:47.460 blah, blah,

00:25:48.160 I'd say,

00:25:49.660 nope, still

00:25:50.200 nothing.

00:25:51.320 I have no

00:25:52.160 idea what

00:25:52.600 you're talking

00:25:52.960 about.

00:25:53.600 So that'd be

00:25:54.060 something you

00:25:54.500 can't communicate

00:25:55.100 to.

00:25:55.960 But what I

00:25:57.000 know about

00:25:57.480 climate models

00:25:58.540 is in that

00:26:00.240 category.

00:26:01.580 So I used

00:26:02.540 to say,

00:26:03.060 let me give

00:26:03.560 you all my

00:26:04.200 detailed

00:26:04.700 explanation

00:26:05.420 about why

00:26:06.060 the climate

00:26:06.480 models couldn't

00:26:07.820 possibly be

00:26:08.560 real.

00:26:10.060 And unless

00:26:10.800 you have an

00:26:11.240 hour to

00:26:11.720 sit there

00:26:12.140 and you

00:26:12.640 can watch

00:26:13.620 me do it

00:26:14.040 on a

00:26:14.280 whiteboard,

00:26:15.220 I can't

00:26:15.640 communicate it.

00:26:16.920 So it's

00:26:17.540 just funnier

00:26:18.160 for me to

00:26:18.680 say,

00:26:19.480 when do you

00:26:19.960 find out?

00:26:21.560 Because you

00:26:22.160 will find

00:26:22.660 out.

00:26:23.540 I'm

00:26:24.020 completely

00:26:24.640 certain that

00:26:26.200 the climate

00:26:27.380 models are

00:26:28.020 going to have

00:26:28.340 their day of

00:26:28.920 judgment,

00:26:29.720 where even

00:26:30.620 the smart

00:26:31.060 people say,

00:26:31.880 I didn't

00:26:32.960 know this

00:26:33.480 about the

00:26:33.920 climate models,

00:26:34.860 but now that

00:26:35.420 I know it,

00:26:36.820 that changes

00:26:37.800 everything.

00:26:38.740 It's

00:26:39.000 coming.

00:26:40.400 I guarantee

00:26:41.160 it.

00:26:42.660 Anyway,

00:26:43.120 the National

00:26:43.640 Institute of

00:26:44.340 Health stopped

00:26:45.160 considering new

00:26:46.120 grants because

00:26:46.980 of the

00:26:47.460 Doge,

00:26:49.140 either the

00:26:49.900 Doge

00:26:50.220 cross-cutting

00:26:50.900 or some

00:26:51.580 other effect

00:26:52.100 from Doge.

00:26:53.460 And the

00:26:54.020 idea here is

00:26:54.780 that the

00:26:55.240 scientists are

00:26:56.760 feeling like,

00:26:57.460 oh no,

00:26:58.300 it's the end

00:26:59.100 of the world

00:26:59.740 because we

00:27:00.600 have all

00:27:01.000 these things

00:27:01.640 we want to

00:27:02.260 get funding

00:27:02.840 for and

00:27:03.860 grants,

00:27:04.980 but the

00:27:05.560 National

00:27:05.860 Institute of

00:27:06.540 Health is

00:27:07.780 now kind

00:27:08.720 of constipated

00:27:09.760 and they

00:27:10.020 can't make

00:27:10.360 it happen.

00:27:11.620 Well,

00:27:11.860 I saw a

00:27:12.380 mocking post

00:27:13.840 by Vinay

00:27:15.020 Prasad,

00:27:15.800 doctor.

00:27:17.380 Now,

00:27:17.760 Vinay is

00:27:20.220 well-known,

00:27:21.000 at least on

00:27:21.360 the internet,

00:27:22.380 for debunking

00:27:23.640 research studies

00:27:24.820 and teaching

00:27:26.060 us how

00:27:27.720 unreliable

00:27:28.500 the scientific

00:27:29.880 literature is,

00:27:31.300 meaning the

00:27:31.780 studies.

00:27:32.140 so here's

00:27:34.080 what he says

00:27:34.600 about the

00:27:35.200 NIH pausing

00:27:37.480 their funding

00:27:38.220 of new

00:27:39.000 grants.

00:27:40.060 He goes,

00:27:40.600 oh no,

00:27:41.960 there are

00:27:42.700 delays in a

00:27:43.500 broken,

00:27:44.100 inadequate,

00:27:44.700 and corrupt

00:27:45.020 system that

00:27:45.700 produces

00:27:46.120 fraudulent

00:27:46.800 and irreproducible

00:27:48.920 research and has

00:27:50.580 never subjected

00:27:51.380 itself to

00:27:51.980 empirical testing.

00:27:53.380 If this

00:27:53.900 keeps up,

00:27:54.800 we might

00:27:55.220 break a

00:27:55.720 system where

00:27:56.260 scientists spend

00:27:57.040 60 hours a

00:27:57.900 week writing

00:27:58.360 grants.

00:27:58.920 That's

00:28:02.480 pretty brutal.

00:28:03.840 But,

00:28:04.600 here's what I

00:28:05.500 would say.

00:28:06.120 It reminded

00:28:06.560 me of Elon

00:28:07.560 Musk's

00:28:08.320 engineering

00:28:08.820 rule.

00:28:11.160 He said

00:28:11.720 this a

00:28:12.020 number of

00:28:12.280 times.

00:28:12.920 One of the

00:28:13.280 biggest mistakes

00:28:13.900 you can make

00:28:14.400 in engineering

00:28:15.000 is to try to

00:28:16.340 optimize something

00:28:17.420 that shouldn't

00:28:18.680 exist.

00:28:20.140 Like,

00:28:20.500 if you have a

00:28:20.980 feature that

00:28:21.540 nobody uses,

00:28:22.440 if you're

00:28:22.760 spending time

00:28:23.300 making it

00:28:23.740 better,

00:28:24.700 maybe you

00:28:25.240 should just

00:28:25.780 get rid of

00:28:26.240 it.

00:28:27.240 So,

00:28:27.760 this is one

00:28:28.260 of those

00:28:28.520 things where

00:28:28.900 the National

00:28:29.400 Institute of

00:28:30.200 Health,

00:28:31.320 yeah,

00:28:31.920 I guess

00:28:32.300 they'd like

00:28:32.640 to optimize

00:28:33.200 it.

00:28:34.820 But,

00:28:35.280 at least the

00:28:35.780 way it has

00:28:36.480 been running

00:28:36.900 up to now,

00:28:37.620 it doesn't

00:28:37.920 have any

00:28:38.240 credibility,

00:28:38.980 so maybe

00:28:40.080 we just

00:28:40.480 don't need

00:28:40.900 it.

00:28:41.720 Maybe we

00:28:42.300 shouldn't

00:28:42.560 fix it.

00:28:44.520 Meanwhile,

00:28:45.040 over in

00:28:45.420 Hungary,

00:28:46.380 Prime Minister

00:28:46.900 Viktor Orban,

00:28:48.680 he's got

00:28:49.740 this idea

00:28:50.340 that mothers

00:28:52.840 would be

00:28:54.100 exempt from

00:28:54.720 income tax

00:28:55.480 forever.

00:28:57.360 But,

00:28:57.700 you'd have

00:28:58.000 to be a

00:28:58.420 mother of

00:28:59.020 two or

00:28:59.460 more.

00:29:00.620 So,

00:29:00.900 if you

00:29:01.000 had two

00:29:01.280 or more

00:29:01.560 kids,

00:29:01.980 you could

00:29:02.280 be

00:29:02.460 exempt

00:29:02.820 from

00:29:03.100 income

00:29:03.440 taxes

00:29:03.960 in his

00:29:05.040 country

00:29:05.420 forever.

00:29:07.040 Does that

00:29:07.580 sound like

00:29:08.560 it could

00:29:08.840 work?

00:29:10.620 I'd love

00:29:11.180 to think

00:29:11.500 that it

00:29:11.800 would,

00:29:12.580 because,

00:29:12.960 you know,

00:29:13.380 wouldn't it

00:29:13.840 be great

00:29:14.280 if there

00:29:14.560 were some

00:29:14.940 simple

00:29:15.720 formula for

00:29:16.560 increasing

00:29:17.000 your local

00:29:17.640 population,

00:29:18.520 because a lot

00:29:18.960 of countries

00:29:19.380 would need

00:29:19.760 that?

00:29:20.800 But,

00:29:21.380 doesn't that

00:29:22.060 seem kind

00:29:22.480 of easy to

00:29:23.120 game in that

00:29:23.600 system?

00:29:25.440 So,

00:29:26.740 for example,

00:29:28.100 if the

00:29:28.880 wife's income

00:29:30.020 is not

00:29:30.780 taxed,

00:29:31.800 ever,

00:29:33.120 but the

00:29:33.540 husband's

00:29:34.160 income is

00:29:34.740 taxed,

00:29:35.960 what do you

00:29:36.320 think the

00:29:36.720 family's going

00:29:37.360 to do?

00:29:38.860 Well,

00:29:39.380 one thing

00:29:39.760 they might

00:29:40.060 do if it's

00:29:40.680 a small

00:29:41.020 business,

00:29:42.200 they would

00:29:42.520 just put

00:29:42.900 all the

00:29:43.200 income in

00:29:43.700 the wife's

00:29:44.080 name.

00:29:45.860 The other

00:29:46.540 thing is,

00:29:47.400 if both the

00:29:48.420 man and

00:29:48.880 the woman

00:29:49.440 are capable

00:29:50.780 of getting

00:29:51.340 jobs that

00:29:51.960 are similar,

00:29:52.480 they might

00:29:53.940 say,

00:29:54.640 hey,

00:29:55.120 how about

00:29:55.400 the husband

00:29:55.820 stays home,

00:29:56.940 because he

00:29:57.300 gets taxed

00:29:58.080 if he

00:29:58.320 works,

00:29:59.060 and the

00:29:59.540 wife will

00:29:59.880 go to

00:30:00.120 work,

00:30:00.820 and the

00:30:01.240 husband will

00:30:01.600 take care

00:30:01.940 of the

00:30:02.120 kids,

00:30:02.940 because the

00:30:03.340 wife goes

00:30:04.480 to work

00:30:04.820 and doesn't

00:30:05.180 get taxed.

00:30:06.340 Well,

00:30:06.560 that's not

00:30:07.020 exactly what

00:30:07.980 Hungary is

00:30:09.160 trying to

00:30:09.560 accomplish.

00:30:10.300 They're not

00:30:10.660 trying to

00:30:11.080 accomplish

00:30:11.500 stay-at-home

00:30:12.200 husbands and

00:30:13.600 new mothers

00:30:14.320 who are

00:30:15.060 going to

00:30:15.480 work and

00:30:15.840 leaving their

00:30:16.240 kids at

00:30:16.600 home,

00:30:17.560 but wouldn't

00:30:18.600 that happen?

00:30:21.300 And how do you

00:30:22.080 promise that

00:30:22.780 any tax

00:30:23.580 exemption will

00:30:24.300 be lifelong?

00:30:26.120 Lifelong?

00:30:27.380 What happens

00:30:27.940 if the

00:30:28.240 government

00:30:28.540 changes tomorrow?

00:30:30.500 You can't

00:30:31.140 guarantee

00:30:31.480 anything

00:30:31.940 lifelong.

00:30:33.080 That's not

00:30:33.500 a thing.

00:30:34.800 So I guess

00:30:35.520 I just

00:30:35.840 wonder if

00:30:36.320 they have

00:30:36.640 enough

00:30:36.840 controls on

00:30:37.620 that.

00:30:38.240 I mean,

00:30:38.520 obviously,

00:30:39.100 they had to

00:30:39.920 think about

00:30:40.400 all those

00:30:40.860 same things

00:30:41.580 I'm

00:30:41.780 mentioning,

00:30:42.660 but it

00:30:42.980 makes me

00:30:43.300 wonder if

00:30:43.720 it's

00:30:43.900 practical.

00:30:44.860 We'll

00:30:45.000 keep an

00:30:45.320 eye on

00:30:45.600 this one.

00:30:47.220 According

00:30:47.740 to Just

00:30:48.420 the News,

00:30:49.500 the Trump

00:30:49.860 administration is

00:30:50.800 making it a

00:30:51.240 little easier

00:30:51.780 to get

00:30:53.620 some

00:30:54.120 homeschooling

00:30:54.860 started.

00:30:55.500 I guess

00:30:55.840 the Biden

00:30:56.220 administration

00:30:56.860 required a

00:30:58.200 federal review

00:30:59.140 of, quote,

00:31:00.420 how states

00:31:01.060 approve and

00:31:01.760 select private

00:31:03.860 entities for

00:31:04.760 homeschooling.

00:31:06.760 And I think

00:31:07.640 the Trump

00:31:08.120 administration

00:31:08.520 said, nah,

00:31:09.760 get rid of

00:31:10.240 that.

00:31:11.760 You states

00:31:12.380 just do what

00:31:12.960 you need to

00:31:13.340 do and give

00:31:14.340 us more

00:31:14.660 homeschooling.

00:31:16.100 And that

00:31:16.980 seems like

00:31:17.380 the right

00:31:17.660 decision.

00:31:19.300 I like

00:31:19.700 that.

00:31:20.800 All right.

00:31:22.900 Here's

00:31:23.380 something I

00:31:23.780 noticed that

00:31:26.100 I thought I

00:31:26.600 noticed, a

00:31:27.060 pattern.

00:31:27.880 And so I

00:31:28.200 asked Grok

00:31:28.940 if this

00:31:29.740 pattern is

00:31:30.280 real or

00:31:30.860 I'm just

00:31:31.160 imagining

00:31:31.560 it.

00:31:32.160 And the

00:31:32.440 pattern is

00:31:33.080 that the

00:31:33.420 people who

00:31:33.840 know the

00:31:34.260 most about

00:31:34.860 the

00:31:35.060 government,

00:31:36.000 I'm

00:31:36.200 sorry,

00:31:36.760 the people

00:31:37.160 who know

00:31:37.440 the most

00:31:37.940 about

00:31:38.240 business,

00:31:39.440 the most

00:31:39.780 experienced

00:31:40.380 people,

00:31:41.420 are kind

00:31:42.120 of on the

00:31:42.500 same side

00:31:43.080 about

00:31:43.380 Doge.

00:31:44.820 That it's

00:31:45.740 a good

00:31:47.500 system and

00:31:48.300 it's probably

00:31:48.920 going to

00:31:49.500 work.

00:31:50.800 And the

00:31:51.880 people who

00:31:52.300 know the

00:31:52.620 least are

00:31:54.320 the ones

00:31:54.780 who have

00:31:55.300 the criticisms

00:31:56.120 because they

00:31:57.100 don't know how

00:31:57.640 things work in

00:31:58.380 the real world.

00:31:59.660 But I made a

00:32:00.420 list of the

00:32:01.280 dumbest takes

00:32:02.380 on Doge.

00:32:04.420 If you have

00:32:05.340 ever said any

00:32:06.220 one of these

00:32:06.780 things, you're

00:32:08.180 probably not

00:32:08.800 very experienced.

00:32:10.640 You might have

00:32:11.200 a high IQ.

00:32:12.420 I see a lot of

00:32:13.420 like PhDs and

00:32:14.420 stuff weighing in

00:32:15.140 on social media,

00:32:15.900 but they

00:32:16.920 clearly don't

00:32:17.880 have job

00:32:18.380 experience of

00:32:19.560 being a

00:32:19.860 leader and

00:32:20.560 having to

00:32:20.980 manage big

00:32:21.560 groups and

00:32:22.060 stuff like

00:32:22.420 that.

00:32:23.160 So here are

00:32:23.600 the worst

00:32:24.120 takes.

00:32:24.980 I pinned

00:32:25.540 this to my

00:32:26.280 X account if

00:32:27.500 you want to

00:32:27.740 see it.

00:32:28.500 The worst

00:32:29.100 takes on

00:32:29.780 Doge.

00:32:30.760 Now these

00:32:31.180 all come from

00:32:31.980 the most

00:32:32.400 inexperienced

00:32:33.560 people.

00:32:34.840 People with

00:32:35.480 experience,

00:32:36.660 you know,

00:32:36.880 who have

00:32:37.040 managed big

00:32:37.620 groups,

00:32:38.080 who have

00:32:38.300 done their

00:32:38.640 own layoffs,

00:32:39.380 who have

00:32:39.580 been through

00:32:39.940 layoffs,

00:32:41.120 they kind

00:32:41.740 of think

00:32:42.020 that Doge

00:32:42.540 is doing

00:32:42.880 the right

00:32:43.200 thing,

00:32:43.500 which is

00:32:43.860 move fast,

00:32:44.620 break things,

00:32:45.440 fix it,

00:32:46.060 keep moving.

00:32:47.880 That's the

00:32:48.440 real world.

00:32:49.200 In the real

00:32:49.660 world,

00:32:49.960 that's the

00:32:50.240 way you

00:32:50.520 do it,

00:32:50.900 exactly the

00:32:51.620 way Musk

00:32:52.460 is laying

00:32:53.200 it out.

00:32:54.280 But the

00:32:54.720 people who

00:32:55.060 don't have

00:32:55.380 that real

00:32:55.800 world

00:32:56.100 experience,

00:32:57.420 mostly the

00:32:57.940 media pundits

00:32:58.760 and the

00:32:59.580 academics and

00:33:00.400 stuff,

00:33:01.040 here's what

00:33:01.500 they say.

00:33:02.280 Now I'm

00:33:02.580 not going

00:33:02.820 to tell you

00:33:03.160 what's wrong

00:33:03.880 with each

00:33:04.720 of these

00:33:05.060 things,

00:33:06.440 because again,

00:33:07.220 if you have

00:33:08.020 experience,

00:33:08.940 you know

00:33:09.300 exactly what's

00:33:09.980 wrong with

00:33:10.320 them.

00:33:11.600 And if you

00:33:12.180 don't,

00:33:13.140 well,

00:33:14.120 again,

00:33:14.800 I can't

00:33:15.300 fix that

00:33:15.960 with a

00:33:16.300 few lines

00:33:16.880 of wisdom.

00:33:19.320 So I'll

00:33:19.620 just tell you

00:33:20.120 what the

00:33:20.400 dumb mistakes

00:33:20.960 are.

00:33:21.460 Number one,

00:33:22.580 Doge

00:33:22.860 should use

00:33:23.320 a scalpel,

00:33:24.140 not a

00:33:24.480 chainsaw.

00:33:26.000 You with

00:33:26.360 me so

00:33:26.720 far?

00:33:28.840 If you

00:33:29.500 ever said

00:33:30.160 Doge

00:33:30.580 should use

00:33:30.960 a scalpel,

00:33:31.640 not a

00:33:31.940 chainsaw,

00:33:33.320 you really

00:33:34.120 don't understand

00:33:35.020 much about

00:33:35.760 anything.

00:33:37.820 I don't

00:33:38.440 even need

00:33:38.860 to get

00:33:39.120 into it.

00:33:39.920 I mean,

00:33:40.160 I could,

00:33:41.440 but you

00:33:42.480 all see it,

00:33:43.140 right?

00:33:44.380 Maybe you

00:33:45.320 don't,

00:33:45.940 because what

00:33:47.020 I'm saying

00:33:47.380 is it's

00:33:47.760 not based

00:33:48.300 on IQ.

00:33:49.320 It's

00:33:49.800 literally

00:33:50.200 based on

00:33:50.720 experience.

00:33:51.860 If you

00:33:52.220 have

00:33:52.440 experience,

00:33:53.880 you know

00:33:54.320 that the

00:33:54.680 chainsaw is

00:33:55.380 the right

00:33:55.720 tool.

00:33:57.660 All right,

00:33:57.900 here's another

00:33:58.480 one.

00:33:59.120 The cuts

00:33:59.660 need to be

00:34:00.220 more thoughtful.

00:34:02.520 The cuts

00:34:03.320 need to be

00:34:03.880 more thoughtful.

00:34:06.800 What?

00:34:07.280 You can

00:34:09.500 say that

00:34:09.900 about

00:34:10.100 everything.

00:34:11.240 Well,

00:34:12.220 I think

00:34:12.960 Musk is

00:34:14.260 trying to

00:34:14.580 put a

00:34:15.060 rocket to

00:34:16.440 Mars,

00:34:17.100 but I

00:34:17.780 think he

00:34:18.100 should be

00:34:18.400 more thoughtful

00:34:19.060 about it.

00:34:20.540 All right.

00:34:23.880 Somebody is

00:34:24.680 doing something,

00:34:25.820 it doesn't

00:34:26.280 matter what it

00:34:26.800 is.

00:34:27.020 I think they

00:34:27.480 should be

00:34:27.820 more thoughtful

00:34:28.860 about it.

00:34:30.180 Okay.

00:34:31.120 Isn't that

00:34:31.660 kind of true

00:34:32.420 of everything

00:34:33.120 all the

00:34:33.620 time?

00:34:34.900 No.

00:34:35.460 You shouldn't

00:34:36.020 be more

00:34:36.440 thoughtful

00:34:36.900 about it.

00:34:37.740 You should

00:34:38.180 cut with

00:34:39.180 your chainsaw,

00:34:40.260 see what

00:34:40.700 gets broken,

00:34:41.680 put it back

00:34:42.180 together,

00:34:42.740 move on.

00:34:45.480 Doge is

00:34:46.180 lowering morale

00:34:46.920 among the

00:34:47.520 people who are

00:34:47.980 affected.

00:34:49.100 Yeah, of

00:34:49.440 course it's

00:34:49.900 lowering morale,

00:34:51.380 but have you

00:34:52.160 ever seen a

00:34:52.720 company where

00:34:53.300 they're doing

00:34:53.860 big layoffs

00:34:54.800 and all the

00:34:55.240 people are

00:34:55.600 like,

00:34:55.880 yeah,

00:34:56.680 I'm so happy

00:34:58.660 I work here

00:34:59.200 this week

00:34:59.760 with all the

00:35:00.520 layoffs and

00:35:01.140 stuff.

00:35:01.880 No,

00:35:02.140 you can't

00:35:02.620 do big

00:35:03.060 layoffs and

00:35:03.680 cost-cutting

00:35:04.340 and also

00:35:05.260 maintain morale

00:35:06.400 for the same

00:35:07.600 period that

00:35:08.120 you're doing

00:35:08.420 the cost-cutting.

00:35:09.280 That's not a

00:35:09.760 thing.

00:35:10.760 You don't

00:35:11.520 even bring it

00:35:12.000 up.

00:35:12.580 It's just

00:35:12.900 not a thing.

00:35:13.880 Nobody can

00:35:14.380 do it.

00:35:14.740 It's never

00:35:15.000 been done.

00:35:15.680 Nobody will

00:35:16.100 ever do it.

00:35:17.100 No,

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00:36:22.140 How about Doge's

00:36:24.980 creating chaos?

00:36:26.880 Chaos.

00:36:28.500 Yeah, it's creating a

00:36:29.820 little chaos, but you're

00:36:32.240 going to have to take

00:36:32.700 that to the second level,

00:36:34.760 which is, and that's bad

00:36:38.320 because the chaos stole

00:36:42.920 your democracy?

00:36:44.520 The chaos slowed it down?

00:36:48.180 No, the chaos came from

00:36:50.360 going fast, so it's not

00:36:52.960 about slowing things

00:36:53.960 down.

00:36:55.660 It's just a generic

00:36:57.240 political word.

00:36:59.040 Have you noticed that no

00:37:00.560 matter what Trump does,

00:37:02.000 way before Doge, no

00:37:04.020 matter what Trump did,

00:37:07.660 let's see, what's that

00:37:08.960 say?

00:37:09.920 Somebody's trying to get

00:37:10.720 my attention on something.

00:37:11.820 I'd like to see him get

00:37:16.680 more aggressive.

00:37:18.440 Yeah, so, all right, so

00:37:19.960 Trump is saying on True

00:37:21.960 Social directly to Elon,

00:37:23.860 who responded, that he

00:37:25.440 wants to see Elon get

00:37:26.640 more aggressive, which

00:37:28.900 would be more chainsaw,

00:37:31.680 more chaos, lower

00:37:34.380 morale.

00:37:36.240 Now, is that a mistake?

00:37:38.040 No, it's not.

00:37:38.860 It's not a mistake.

00:37:39.740 It's very good that Trump

00:37:42.200 is inserting himself to

00:37:46.100 say there should be more

00:37:47.020 of it.

00:37:47.760 That's exactly the right

00:37:48.900 framing, because if you're

00:37:50.340 wondering if it's already

00:37:51.240 gone too far, it's too

00:37:52.500 fast, and it's too

00:37:53.360 chainsaw-y, and it's too

00:37:54.860 much chaos, well, there's

00:37:56.680 the president of the United

00:37:57.520 States saying, you know,

00:37:58.600 we need more of it, not

00:37:59.660 less, and all the smart

00:38:02.760 people are going to say,

00:38:04.360 yeah, yeah, more would be

00:38:06.220 better.

00:38:07.760 Here's another one that's

00:38:08.940 dumb.

00:38:10.740 Doge is how Musk will

00:38:12.080 rob the country.

00:38:14.260 All right.

00:38:16.600 Musk was not elected.

00:38:19.480 Okay.

00:38:21.540 Doge needs to be more

00:38:22.800 transparent.

00:38:24.460 Could you imagine if Doge

00:38:25.860 were more transparent?

00:38:28.040 Do you know what that

00:38:28.540 would look like?

00:38:30.500 We went into this

00:38:31.660 organization.

00:38:32.980 They have 10,000 NGOs and

00:38:35.140 400 departments.

00:38:37.480 We've decided that we'll

00:38:40.060 downsize by 8% the

00:38:42.160 Department of Energy

00:38:44.540 Democracy for America

00:38:47.820 Freedom.

00:38:48.360 and you'll be like, what

00:38:50.840 even was that?

00:38:52.600 Well, here's a long

00:38:53.720 description of what that

00:38:54.760 department did.

00:38:55.480 It was like, okay, I'm not

00:38:57.560 going to read that long

00:38:58.260 description.

00:38:59.220 And here's 7,000 more of

00:39:01.020 them we did today.

00:39:01.720 How in the world could they

00:39:05.460 possibly be more transparent in

00:39:07.580 a way that would help

00:39:08.340 anybody?

00:39:09.340 Because unless you're one of

00:39:10.640 those geniuses who's really

00:39:12.040 digging into these things, you

00:39:13.480 don't even know what the

00:39:14.300 department does.

00:39:15.660 You don't know if they need

00:39:16.740 more of it or less of it.

00:39:18.520 They could be the most

00:39:20.420 transparent project in the

00:39:22.620 world and you wouldn't know

00:39:23.900 anything.

00:39:24.880 You would just hear the names

00:39:26.040 of things and now, okay, all

00:39:28.320 right, well, that sounded

00:39:29.280 like the name of it was

00:39:30.580 good, but they're cutting it.

00:39:32.600 Why would they cut something

00:39:33.680 that has a name that sounds

00:39:34.980 good, but maybe the name

00:39:37.080 isn't, you know, very

00:39:39.140 indicative of what it is?

00:39:41.680 Anyway, if you find yourself

00:39:43.040 tempted to say any of those

00:39:44.220 things about Doge, I

00:39:45.940 recommend taking a week off

00:39:47.340 because you're not going to

00:39:48.260 look smart in public.

00:39:51.760 And then I saw on the X

00:39:53.860 that X user named Matt

00:39:55.900 Van Swal pointed out that

00:39:58.920 Jeff Bezos laid off 1,400

00:40:01.000 people from his Blue Origin

00:40:03.080 space company last week.

00:40:05.400 So he laid off 1,400

00:40:06.800 people and not a single one

00:40:09.120 of them is on 60 Minutes

00:40:10.480 Bitching.

00:40:12.240 And then Matt says, do you

00:40:14.080 get it yet?

00:40:15.660 Okay, do you get it?

00:40:17.660 Do you think that Jeff Bezos

00:40:19.900 used a scalpel?

00:40:22.320 Do you think he used a

00:40:23.180 scalpel to get rid of 1,400

00:40:24.640 people?

00:40:27.180 I think he told his

00:40:28.260 managers to do whatever

00:40:29.680 they need to do to get rid

00:40:30.860 of 1,400 people.

00:40:32.300 And then they did what

00:40:33.320 they needed to do.

00:40:34.620 I don't know how much

00:40:35.520 scalpeling there was.

00:40:37.140 And do you think he did it

00:40:38.200 without lowering morale?

00:40:40.480 Oh, I would think that the

00:40:41.740 other people were a little

00:40:42.700 bit nervous and they lost

00:40:43.860 their friends who worked

00:40:45.680 with them.

00:40:46.180 Yeah, of course it lowers

00:40:47.420 morale.

00:40:48.740 But Jeff Bezos did it

00:40:50.580 anyway because it's a smart

00:40:52.000 thing to do.

00:40:52.660 And every big company

00:40:54.600 acts the same because they

00:40:56.060 know how to do this.

00:40:59.500 Then there's the issue of

00:41:01.020 Doge and Musk have

00:41:03.760 demanded or asked, I guess,

00:41:06.080 that every member of the

00:41:07.400 government sends an email

00:41:09.000 by, I guess, Monday by noon

00:41:11.220 or something that says what

00:41:13.160 they accomplished last week.

00:41:14.440 And then a lot of people

00:41:17.280 are pushing back.

00:41:19.320 I think Cash Patel said

00:41:22.020 they'll do their own

00:41:23.300 performance reviews.

00:41:24.720 They don't need other

00:41:25.380 people to do it.

00:41:26.560 State Department had some

00:41:28.140 diplomat pushing back.

00:41:30.320 So you're going to see a

00:41:31.320 whole bunch of pushback.

00:41:33.740 But if you see it as a way

00:41:37.020 to figure out who to fire,

00:41:38.720 it's more than that.

00:41:42.540 It's more than that.

00:41:43.620 My first take was that you

00:41:45.060 should see it as a reframe.

00:41:47.540 Because if somebody says,

00:41:49.360 tell me what you did last

00:41:51.020 week, if you go through that

00:41:53.060 cycle even once of, uh-oh,

00:41:56.300 somebody's asking me to prove

00:41:57.740 that I'm doing something

00:41:59.120 useful, you're going to start

00:42:00.940 thinking that way.

00:42:02.640 So you're going to say to

00:42:03.400 yourself, uh-oh, what if they

00:42:04.840 ask again at the end of this

00:42:06.040 week?

00:42:07.280 So you're going to start

00:42:08.240 doing useful things because

00:42:10.160 you know somebody's going to

00:42:11.140 check on you.

00:42:12.400 So I think partly it's a

00:42:14.420 reframe to make people think

00:42:16.060 in terms of productivity

00:42:18.180 instead of in terms of just

00:42:20.040 staying out of trouble or

00:42:20.960 hiding at home or working

00:42:22.080 at home or processing some

00:42:24.000 transactions.

00:42:25.200 It's like, how do you

00:42:26.020 actually accomplish something?

00:42:27.560 You should be thinking about

00:42:28.480 that every day, if not every

00:42:30.360 week.

00:42:30.660 So as a reframe, I like it.

00:42:33.340 Obviously, there will be tons

00:42:34.500 of people who don't answer

00:42:35.660 at all and tons of people

00:42:37.660 who just make stuff up.

00:42:39.600 How hard would it be to say

00:42:40.980 that you accomplished

00:42:41.640 something last week?

00:42:43.100 How hard would that be?

00:42:44.640 No matter what job you had.

00:42:46.840 Because nobody's going to

00:42:47.860 check it.

00:42:48.820 They're just going to look at

00:42:49.600 the email and see if there's

00:42:50.520 something on it.

00:42:51.880 So if you said, well, I

00:42:54.000 processed 17 big projects

00:42:58.200 last week.

00:42:58.980 I approve them.

00:43:00.820 And that's good.

00:43:03.660 Yeah.

00:43:04.300 But what Elon Musk said

00:43:05.800 is that what they're trying

00:43:08.320 to do is maybe find people

00:43:10.200 who don't, who are so

00:43:12.220 uninvolved in work that they

00:43:14.400 don't even check their email.

00:43:16.800 And that, and there's some

00:43:18.500 thought that there might be

00:43:19.400 people who don't do any work

00:43:21.500 and maybe you're not even

00:43:22.840 employees somehow or, you know,

00:43:24.900 somehow some people are getting

00:43:26.140 money for fraudulent reasons

00:43:28.820 and the email, if they don't

00:43:30.460 get an email from that person,

00:43:31.680 that would be the one you

00:43:32.320 look into.

00:43:32.840 It's like, hmm, why is this

00:43:34.400 one person unable to even lie

00:43:36.580 about what they've done

00:43:37.400 recently?

00:43:38.080 If you can't at least lie

00:43:39.400 about it, which is the normal

00:43:41.040 way business does this, the

00:43:42.880 employees all lie about what

00:43:44.060 they accomplished.

00:43:45.080 If you can't at least lie about

00:43:46.660 it, you might not even be a

00:43:48.260 real person.

00:43:49.480 So that would be useful.

00:43:51.580 So when you look at this email

00:43:53.340 thing, it's like Doge small.

00:43:59.060 Doge big is move fast, break

00:44:01.640 things and fix it.

00:44:03.440 Doge small is give us an email

00:44:06.580 to say what you did because, you

00:44:09.500 know, we might make some

00:44:10.440 decisions based on that.

00:44:11.760 Now, that's also a really messy

00:44:13.660 process.

00:44:14.900 You can imagine a thousand

00:44:16.480 ways that it could go wrong

00:44:19.200 if somebody was on vacation

00:44:20.500 and didn't get the email or

00:44:22.480 somebody just forgot to send

00:44:24.160 an email, but they're actually

00:44:25.340 very productive.

00:44:26.440 So you see all these ways it

00:44:27.740 could go wrong.

00:44:29.800 But still, sometimes you've got

00:44:32.820 to shake the box and see what

00:44:34.960 you learn.

00:44:35.900 So to imagine that somebody

00:44:38.840 like Musk is going to be looking

00:44:40.160 at the emails and say, huh,

00:44:42.440 yep, this one, I guess I can cut

00:44:43.960 this 10%.

00:44:44.620 I don't think that's going to

00:44:46.500 happen.

00:44:47.680 I think they're just testing to

00:44:49.080 see if anybody can even write

00:44:50.320 an email that says they did

00:44:52.060 something.

00:44:52.780 It could be less about what

00:44:54.060 they did than whether or not

00:44:55.480 they get the email.

00:44:57.620 And I don't think they're going

00:44:58.980 to make some broad rule like if

00:45:00.580 there was, if you didn't

00:45:01.500 respond, you're fired.

00:45:02.680 I doubt that.

00:45:03.840 But it will give them an idea

00:45:05.000 of where to look.

00:45:06.540 That might be good.

00:45:08.460 Did I hear from the five that

00:45:12.820 Democrats are holding town

00:45:14.660 halls as kind of their response

00:45:17.720 to being in a power and trying

00:45:19.300 to build some kind of Trump

00:45:21.480 rally situation light, you

00:45:23.980 know, like the baby version of

00:45:26.500 it?

00:45:27.320 Is that a real thing?

00:45:28.260 And then there was some thought

00:45:29.140 that the attendees were paid

00:45:30.560 attendees.

00:45:32.360 And I thought that would be so

00:45:34.980 weak if Trump could give these

00:45:37.500 gigantic outdoor rallies.

00:45:39.020 But the Democrats' response is

00:45:42.240 paid attendees at an indoor

00:45:44.500 town hall.

00:45:47.140 So, and I was trying to think,

00:45:49.660 why is it that we don't see

00:45:51.040 more like Trump rally things on

00:45:54.880 the left?

00:45:56.300 And part of the reason I think is

00:45:58.240 that they hate spending time with

00:45:59.640 each other.

00:46:01.600 If you go to a Trump rally, I

00:46:03.460 haven't done this, but I guarantee

00:46:04.700 this is true.

00:46:06.640 Based on all the reporting of

00:46:08.020 people who have, if you go to a

00:46:09.600 Trump rally, you're going to see

00:46:11.280 a whole bunch of people who are

00:46:13.560 very happy to be with the other

00:46:15.260 bunch of people.

00:46:17.000 And they're happier than they

00:46:18.360 were when they were sitting

00:46:19.200 home.

00:46:19.820 It's like, oh, I'm with my

00:46:21.080 people.

00:46:22.160 But Democrats don't have that

00:46:23.680 option because they've got the

00:46:25.080 crazy left, super left, and then

00:46:27.640 the normies.

00:46:28.800 The normies and the crazies aren't

00:46:30.380 going to exactly fit together in

00:46:32.840 the same room.

00:46:34.300 So I don't know if Democrats even

00:46:36.660 have the option of having any kind

00:46:38.500 of a rally that doesn't go wrong

00:46:40.160 that's real.

00:46:41.800 Claudia was leaving for her

00:46:42.980 pickleball tournament.

00:46:43.900 I've been visualizing my match all

00:46:45.620 week.

00:46:46.440 She was so focused on visualizing

00:46:48.120 that she didn't see the column

00:46:49.400 behind her car on her backhand

00:46:50.980 side.

00:46:52.420 Good thing Claudia's with Intact,

00:46:54.360 the insurer with the largest network

00:46:56.040 of auto service centers in the

00:46:57.480 country.

00:46:58.140 Everything was taken care of under

00:46:59.500 one roof, and she was on her way in

00:47:01.080 a rental car in no time.

00:47:02.580 I made it to my tournament and lost

00:47:05.040 in the first round.

00:47:05.780 But you got there on time.

00:47:07.960 Intact Insurance, your auto service

00:47:09.820 ace.

00:47:10.540 Certain conditions apply.

00:47:12.160 All right.

00:47:13.940 You've probably seen on social media

00:47:16.140 that Elon Musk is having another

00:47:19.480 baby mama drama, and I'm not even

00:47:23.380 going to mention the name of the

00:47:24.880 mother.

00:47:26.540 You know, it's a known influencer.

00:47:28.880 But I'm not interested in their

00:47:31.580 business.

00:47:32.080 And we don't know enough about what

00:47:34.440 they agreed to, what they didn't

00:47:35.900 agree to.

00:47:37.220 We just don't know who did what to

00:47:39.360 whom, and we're never going to know,

00:47:40.860 and it's none of our business.

00:47:42.660 But one of the things that came out

00:47:45.120 of it is screen captures that

00:47:47.940 actually were taken with a separate

00:47:49.400 device, not actually a screen

00:47:50.800 capture, of signal messages, the

00:47:54.020 signal app.

00:47:55.220 Now, the signal app is what people

00:47:56.720 believe is protected, that it's

00:48:00.520 encrypted, and you can set the

00:48:02.600 messages to disappear.

00:48:05.720 But even if you set the messages to

00:48:07.720 disappear, it doesn't stop somebody

00:48:09.840 from taking a second device and just

00:48:12.260 recording what's on the screen before

00:48:13.960 it disappears.

00:48:15.720 And that's what happened.

00:48:16.960 So some of Elon's private, very

00:48:20.120 private messages to the baby mama

00:48:23.960 are now public.

00:48:26.540 They're public.

00:48:28.780 And here's what I want to tell you.

00:48:31.000 It has nothing to do with Elon Musk or

00:48:33.680 anybody else.

00:48:34.860 If you think that your digital messages,

00:48:38.140 no matter where you put them or who you

00:48:40.420 send them to, if you think they're

00:48:41.860 private, you're so wrong.

00:48:44.040 Well, you're so wrong.

00:48:47.640 And let me tell you my experience

00:48:49.380 especially.

00:48:50.780 So in the 90s, when Dilbert was, you

00:48:54.600 know, a much bigger phenomenon than

00:48:57.580 maybe you can even imagine by today's

00:48:59.660 standards, I was, what would I say,

00:49:05.040 at least within the tech world, I was

00:49:08.000 quite a celebrity.

00:49:09.420 Not so much now.

00:49:11.040 But during those days, it was just

00:49:12.920 wild.

00:49:14.060 And one of the things I noticed is that

00:49:15.640 people would often, you know, comment

00:49:17.920 to me in some private way, you know,

00:49:20.540 something essentially a DM-like

00:49:22.440 situation.

00:49:23.780 And sometimes I would answer.

00:49:25.620 It would be somebody I didn't know,

00:49:27.220 you know, a complete stranger.

00:49:28.500 But they would ask a question or they

00:49:30.680 would challenge me on an opinion and

00:49:32.160 I'd give a full answer, sometimes just

00:49:34.260 to strangers.

00:49:35.480 Now, I would think to myself before I

00:49:38.140 became smart, you know, when I was

00:49:40.020 inexperienced, I would think to

00:49:41.880 myself, this is a private conversation

00:49:44.060 and the person knows it, so it's going

00:49:46.800 to stay that way because that's the

00:49:48.020 way your other private conversations

00:49:49.580 stay, right?

00:49:51.660 Here's what I don't count on, but I'm

00:49:54.260 smarter now, so I do.

00:49:55.660 If you're a celebrity, 100% of your

00:49:59.300 messages get screenshotted, 100%.

00:50:03.060 And they're always sent around.

00:50:05.060 If it's something that could embarrass

00:50:07.420 you, it'll be published.

00:50:10.180 Guaranteed.

00:50:11.560 You know, now I'm not talking about your

00:50:12.860 best friends necessarily, but, you know,

00:50:16.640 even your old lovers and stuff could be

00:50:18.780 doing the same thing.

00:50:20.020 So it's a real wake-up call.

00:50:22.200 So if you're Elon Musk, clearly he knows

00:50:25.780 at this point in his life, clearly he

00:50:27.680 knows that everything he says is getting

00:50:30.520 screenshotted, don't you think?

00:50:33.240 Everything?

00:50:34.700 Do you think that when he replies or

00:50:36.980 boosts somebody on X, you don't think

00:50:40.240 that person takes a screenshot immediately

00:50:42.300 and sends it to their friends?

00:50:43.900 Hey, look, I do.

00:50:47.620 I'm also sort of kind of a celebrity.

00:50:50.980 And even I do that.

00:50:52.160 It's like, hey, did you see this?

00:50:53.820 Because it means something.

00:50:54.860 It's meaningful, right?

00:50:56.400 It's not nothing.

00:50:57.660 It's definitely something.

00:50:59.260 So no matter how jaded you are, you still

00:51:01.420 think it's kind of, just kind of cool.

00:51:04.040 You know, it doesn't change your life, but

00:51:05.580 hey, this is cool.

00:51:06.740 Somebody that you respect agreed with you

00:51:08.620 in public.

00:51:09.360 Nice.

00:51:10.780 So my lesson here is there is no privacy.

00:51:17.120 There is no privacy.

00:51:18.700 And the more well-known or controversial you

00:51:21.780 are, it just goes to zero.

00:51:23.980 But here's the thing.

00:51:25.240 Okay, having now read the baby mama's messages

00:51:29.160 and also Elon Musk's responses, I think

00:51:32.960 it's obvious that Elon knows he's never

00:51:35.660 private.

00:51:37.100 Because if you look at the quality of his

00:51:39.260 responses, they are things which if they

00:51:41.440 got public, and they did, you'd say, okay,

00:51:44.640 that was totally reasonable.

00:51:47.020 That's just a reasonable thing to say in that

00:51:49.200 situation.

00:51:50.340 Friendly and reasonable.

00:51:52.240 Now, that's somebody who learned the hard way

00:51:56.280 that everything he writes is public, one way

00:51:59.800 or another.

00:52:00.700 It's either going to be shown to somebody's

00:52:02.120 friends or their family or somebody.

00:52:05.880 So it was just sort of fun to watch the

00:52:10.240 difference because the baby mama in this case

00:52:12.840 said a few things that, I don't know if she

00:52:16.500 wanted those to be public.

00:52:17.660 That was somebody who thought maybe her messages

00:52:21.580 were still private sometimes.

00:52:23.640 But you see Musk's very straightforward,

00:52:27.940 ordinary, common sense stuff.

00:52:30.020 The other thing I've learned, not from the Elon Musk

00:52:35.840 situation, but I've learned from other

00:52:39.280 celebrities recently where their messages are

00:52:41.500 public, there are a lot of people who are

00:52:43.520 really bad at dirty talk.

00:52:46.760 Now, I'm not talking about Musk in this case.

00:52:48.880 I'm talking about other people.

00:52:50.520 But have you noticed that?

00:52:52.460 You never really see other people's dirty talk

00:52:55.120 like I don't.

00:52:56.340 I mean, I never see a guy's dirty talk because

00:52:59.760 it's not directly to me.

00:53:01.860 And women don't really do it.

00:53:05.580 So to me, it's like this invisible world.

00:53:08.560 Like everybody thinks they can do it.

00:53:10.780 But it's actually a skill.

00:53:13.820 And very few people can.

00:53:16.320 Yeah.

00:53:16.960 Yeah.

00:53:17.800 Sometimes the best that guys are doing are

00:53:20.320 stuff like, can you come over here?

00:53:22.620 I want to put it in you.

00:53:24.680 What?

00:53:25.180 What?

00:53:26.320 What?

00:53:27.400 That was your best dirty talk?

00:53:29.660 Of course, sometimes it works if they're, you

00:53:31.920 know, professional athletes or something.

00:53:35.040 Anyway, Governor Newsom of California asked

00:53:37.080 Congress for about $40 billion for the LA

00:53:39.660 wildfire relief.

00:53:42.020 You know, LA Times is reporting this, Clara

00:53:44.540 Harder.

00:53:45.640 And it seems like the right number, $40 billion,

00:53:49.660 like based on things I've heard, that's a,

00:53:52.580 it's not even as high as it could be.

00:53:54.460 But it seems like the right number.

00:53:57.220 But it's so depressing to know that Doge can be,

00:54:02.080 you know, going crazy, finding things to cut and

00:54:05.740 cutting things.

00:54:06.800 And then one match in California could eat all of

00:54:11.220 those savings.

00:54:11.820 And yeah, that fire wasn't caused by a match as far as we know.

00:54:17.100 But one fire and all the savings basically just absorbed.

00:54:23.800 That is seriously bad.

00:54:27.360 Now, Rick Grinnell says that there will probably be conditions on the

00:54:33.540 funding.

00:54:34.260 We don't know if the funding will be granted.

00:54:36.140 It's just been requested.

00:54:37.640 But if it is granted or any portion of it,

00:54:40.360 part of it might have a condition of defunding the California Coastal

00:54:45.560 Commission.

00:54:46.620 So apparently they make it really hard to build anything on the coast.

00:54:49.860 And Trump thinks they need to go away.

00:54:54.140 Maybe that's, maybe that's a plus.

00:54:58.140 Well, there's a story that Zelensky has,

00:55:01.420 according to resist the mainstream,

00:55:03.920 bend the knee.

00:55:05.440 And that he's ready to agree any moment.

00:55:09.260 Maybe it already happened,

00:55:10.420 but allegedly any moment now,

00:55:12.580 Zelensky is going to sign a document that says that he agrees to,

00:55:16.960 that the United States will be in a partnership to exploit the rare

00:55:20.820 earth minerals in Ukraine for the mutual benefit.

00:55:24.780 Now,

00:55:25.500 I wouldn't hold my breath that anything's going to get assigned about

00:55:30.000 that today,

00:55:30.900 because we've already gone through one round of,

00:55:33.200 you said you'd do it.

00:55:35.140 No, I didn't.

00:55:36.620 I'm going to take all your funding.

00:55:38.840 And I think,

00:55:40.080 I think one of the things that happened was that Trump got really mad at

00:55:44.820 Zelensky.

00:55:45.940 This is the reports from behind the curtain.

00:55:48.800 And threatened to remove all American support.

00:55:54.500 If he didn't agree to the mineral deal.

00:55:56.940 Now,

00:55:57.080 I don't know about the details of the mineral deal,

00:55:58.840 but he had to agree to a mineral deal or Trump was just going to pull the

00:56:02.440 rug out.

00:56:03.380 And what I love about this is that Trump doesn't bluff.

00:56:07.180 I absolutely believe that if Zelensky had said,

00:56:11.040 no,

00:56:11.700 no,

00:56:12.140 no,

00:56:12.500 there's no way we're going to do the mineral thing.

00:56:15.000 I believe that Trump would have started pulling out our funding right

00:56:18.400 away.

00:56:18.980 Now he might've reversed himself.

00:56:20.800 If Zelensky also reversed himself and changed his mind,

00:56:24.280 but he actually would have,

00:56:26.620 I believe he would have pulled the funding.

00:56:28.720 And what matters is that Zelensky believed it.

00:56:33.240 Yeah.

00:56:35.180 When I say he doesn't bluff,

00:56:38.080 I mean that he,

00:56:39.700 he makes threats that he can actually do.

00:56:44.000 And he will.

00:56:45.660 Now,

00:56:45.960 usually the threats are so bad that if he started to implement the threat,

00:56:49.580 the other side would immediately cave.

00:56:51.340 So the caving is what he wants.

00:56:53.340 He doesn't want to do the threat.

00:56:55.300 So these are real.

00:56:56.860 He doesn't bluff.

00:56:58.320 The,

00:56:58.720 the longer that the rest of the world realizes he doesn't bluff.

00:57:02.980 Cause he doesn't need to.

00:57:04.740 He just doesn't need to.

00:57:06.140 I mean,

00:57:06.480 he might do it if he needed to,

00:57:07.700 but he doesn't need to.

00:57:08.660 He's got real weapons,

00:57:10.420 tools.

00:57:11.160 Let's call it tools,

00:57:11.940 not weapons.

00:57:13.440 And,

00:57:14.000 but here's a little wrinkle.

00:57:15.220 According to the financial times,

00:57:17.700 you know,

00:57:18.160 none of the news is real.

00:57:20.200 If you knew the real secret behind the news,

00:57:22.720 it would just be completely different every time.

00:57:25.540 According to the financial times,

00:57:28.320 Zelensky is the one who proposed that the U S take a stake.

00:57:32.180 And the Ukraine is rare minerals.

00:57:35.500 So the financial times says it was Zelensky's idea all along.

00:57:39.880 And he brought it up.

00:57:41.600 When back in September.

00:57:43.900 Now that was long before Trump first said,

00:57:47.260 let's do something with the rare earth minerals,

00:57:49.340 right?

00:57:50.480 Now I,

00:57:51.300 I'm not going to say the financial times reporting is correct.

00:57:54.620 I'm just going to point that it exists.

00:57:57.420 Wouldn't that be wild?

00:57:58.640 If we got to this point,

00:57:59.940 you're thinking that Zelensky was trying to hold out on the rare earth

00:58:03.520 minerals and Trump was trying to get them,

00:58:05.960 but the entire time it was Zelensky's idea.

00:58:08.780 And he always liked it from the start.

00:58:10.380 He just wanted to make sure it was good for Ukraine.

00:58:14.560 I don't know.

00:58:15.100 Don't know what to believe anymore.

00:58:16.120 Meanwhile,

00:58:19.360 Britain and France trying to be helpful.

00:58:22.560 According to the wall street journal,

00:58:23.900 they,

00:58:24.140 they think they've got an idea that they would employ,

00:58:27.920 deploy Britain and France,

00:58:29.760 30,000 European peacekeepers in Ukraine,

00:58:32.460 but only if there's a ceasefire that looks like it would stick.

00:58:35.120 And they would ask for the United States to backstop them.

00:58:40.140 In other words,

00:58:41.660 if Russia attacked while they had their forces in Ukraine,

00:58:46.680 that the United States would get involved too.

00:58:49.240 To which I say,

00:58:50.640 are they just reinventing NATO?

00:58:53.340 Let's say NATO,

00:58:55.480 European people coordinating to defend against Russia.

00:59:01.020 And the U S is the biggest footprint there,

00:59:04.820 but they don't want to do NATO.

00:59:07.140 Cause that's what Russia objects to.

00:59:10.080 So they create a little like proto NATO.

00:59:14.040 They just don't call it NATO.

00:59:15.580 Oh no,

00:59:16.280 it's not NATO.

00:59:16.900 It's just two of the most important countries and being backstopped by the

00:59:22.600 most important country.

00:59:25.040 Okay.

00:59:26.060 Well,

00:59:26.320 that's not NATO,

00:59:27.640 but it's very NATO ish.

00:59:30.120 It's very NATO like.

00:59:33.860 So maybe this is how you solve international things.

00:59:36.680 You do things that maybe don't make sense on paper,

00:59:39.660 but you can sell it.

00:59:41.960 You know,

00:59:42.480 if you can sell it to the public,

00:59:43.640 it's good enough.

00:59:46.000 Anyway,

00:59:46.740 here's a,

00:59:47.580 what sounds like a tiny story that could be a big one.

00:59:51.400 According to the guardian,

00:59:53.640 there's a research group that figured out how to add some,

00:59:57.600 I guess microbes or something to soil.

01:00:01.720 And it allows it to absorb nutrients so much better that they could use a lot

01:00:06.900 less fertilizer.

01:00:09.000 So a lot less nitrate and phosphate.

01:00:11.420 Now you might say,

01:00:13.020 Scott,

01:00:13.300 that's the boring,

01:00:14.020 smallest story I've ever heard.

01:00:15.560 I never even think about nitrate and phosphate,

01:00:19.500 but you would,

01:00:22.140 if you knew that phosphate in particular fact,

01:00:25.740 check me if I'm wrong,

01:00:26.640 but I think this is true.

01:00:27.940 The phosphate,

01:00:29.180 you know,

01:00:29.380 the main,

01:00:30.240 the main fertilizer,

01:00:32.060 we have a global shortage and we don't really know how to make up the

01:00:39.640 difference.

01:00:41.120 So the food supply is in gen,

01:00:45.840 a genuine threat because a fertilizer goes away or we have to use less of it.

01:00:50.760 You're going to get a lot less yield,

01:00:51.900 but this might be a technical fix.

01:00:55.220 So we don't know if this is going to be commercial grade yet,

01:00:59.080 but if they did anything that made our existing supply of fertilizer last

01:01:06.040 longer,

01:01:06.580 that'd be a pretty big deal.

01:01:08.160 Pretty big deal.

01:01:10.240 So that's what I've got for today.

01:01:14.840 Thanks for joining everybody.

01:01:16.200 I'm going to say something very loud happening outside.

01:01:24.300 This shouldn't be happening today.

01:01:27.220 I better check that out.

01:01:29.680 It sounds like it's on my property,

01:01:31.440 but I don't think it is.

01:01:32.840 I know you can't hear it.

01:01:34.320 Anyway,

01:01:34.720 X,

01:01:35.120 thanks for joining.

01:01:35.980 I'm going to say bye to you on X.

01:01:38.260 We'll,

01:01:38.980 I think we'll be able to put this up on YouTube and rumble later today.

01:01:43.460 It takes a while to do that.

01:01:44.980 And I'm not feeling better.

01:01:49.440 No,

01:01:49.600 that's a different story.

01:01:50.560 I'll talk to the locals people privately,

01:01:53.140 but for now,

01:01:55.020 thanks for joining on X.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 23, 2025

Episode 2759 CWSA 02⧸23⧸25

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