Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2770 CWSA 03⧸06⧸25

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.020 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and boy, you're lucky to be here.

00:00:15.440 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand

00:00:20.260 with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cupper, mugger, a glass 0.86

00:00:26.000 a tanker, chalice, a stein, a canteen, jugger, flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with

00:00:30.740 your favorite liquid.

00:00:31.600 I like coffee.

00:00:33.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:00:37.240 makes everything way better.

00:00:38.680 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.

00:00:42.080 Let's go.

00:00:49.160 Wasn't my best sip, but it was still great.

00:00:52.060 Well, did you know that Grok, AI, allegedly can now, according to Maria Naufal, he's

00:01:01.140 writing, doing a little write-up, according to Elon Musk, Grok can identify frauds.

00:01:09.640 Let's say you get an email from a Nigerian prince.

00:01:12.800 You could say, hmm, I wonder if that Nigerian prince really needs my money to free his fortune. 1.00

00:01:19.180 And then you could run it through Grok, and Grok would say, no, Nigerian princes are not 0.91

00:01:26.160 real.

00:01:27.120 It is a scam.

00:01:28.760 And it can spot phishing, phishing as in P-H-I-S-H, phishing scams, and all kinds of red flags.

00:01:39.680 But what I wondered is, can Grok spot hoaxes?

00:01:44.360 So, of course, I asked it about the fine people hoax, and it got it completely correct. 1.00

00:01:49.720 And I asked myself, do you think that Grok got the fine people hoax completely correct

00:01:56.460 by itself?

00:01:59.200 Do you think it just looked at the facts and decided, yep, that's a hoax?

00:02:03.740 I don't think there's any chance of that, because I don't think the large language models can do

00:02:08.280 that.

00:02:09.160 I think the large language models would just look at the predominant opinion.

00:02:14.360 And unfortunately, it would still look like there were more people saying it was real,

00:02:19.160 because most of the media would say that.

00:02:21.520 So I think that Grok is being, let's say, the finger is on the scale, just like all the AIs, 1.00

00:02:30.560 except that the finger on the scale of Grok is trying to be accurate.

00:02:39.480 I think some of the other AIs, if somebody puts their finger on it, is to keep the propaganda

00:02:43.960 there.

00:02:45.080 But in this case, the fine people hoax is definitely a hoax.

00:02:50.160 And so if there's a little bit of programming in there to make sure that it gets that one

00:02:54.660 right, that wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.

00:02:57.440 But it makes me wonder if it can spot hoaxes in general, because I've taught you the two

00:03:04.060 on the nose rule. 0.99

00:03:05.460 I've taught you the one anonymous source rule.

00:03:11.820 I've given you all these rules for spotting hoaxes.

00:03:15.820 Can Grok do that?

00:03:18.000 I'll bet no.

00:03:19.760 But I'll bet it could do someday, and I'll bet it could be trained to do it.

00:03:23.200 If the only thing you did was say, all right, there's a few people who are good at spotting

00:03:30.240 hoaxes.

00:03:31.460 So just look at their feed and try to imitate them.

00:03:35.480 Do what they would have done.

00:03:37.160 Then I think you can get there pretty quickly.

00:03:41.240 For example, in this next story, there was a meta-analysis to see if the public is good

00:03:50.120 at detecting fake news.

00:03:51.940 Oh, here you go.

00:03:53.360 Do you think the public's good at detecting fake news?

00:03:56.840 Well, somebody did a meta-analysis to find out if the public is good at spotting fake news.

00:04:02.600 Do you see the joke yet?

00:04:04.760 As I've taught you, meta-analysis is not real.

00:04:10.760 It's fake science.

00:04:12.220 They use fake analysis to determine whether people can spot fake news.

00:04:19.900 If the people in this study didn't know that they were part of a meta-analysis, well, they

00:04:26.160 probably should have known.

00:04:27.860 No, actually, if it's meta-analysis, it means they're looking at studies that other people

00:04:32.380 already completed.

00:04:34.260 So no, meta-analysis is like horoscopes.

00:04:38.080 And I've given you the long explanation of why.

00:04:42.800 But as soon as you see meta-analysis, just discount it.

00:04:46.860 Just say, nah.

00:04:48.000 I mean, it could be true because a lot of questions are yes, no.

00:04:52.100 Are people good at this?

00:04:53.400 Yes, no.

00:04:54.740 So meta-analysis can be correct, but so can a coin flip.

00:05:00.740 It's basically a coin flip because a human being decides what's in the analysis and what's

00:05:06.300 not.

00:05:06.620 That's the whole trick.

00:05:08.840 And if it's based on the assumption of the person doing it, as opposed to just the data,

00:05:14.580 it's not really a real analysis.

00:05:17.620 So for example, if there's one big study that overwhelms all the other studies, a meta-analysis

00:05:23.460 looks at all the studies and says, all right, one study might be unreliable, but if I look

00:05:29.300 at the average of the studies, I'll get something useful.

00:05:33.100 No, you won't, because let's say one study is big, and you're looking at them and you

00:05:38.100 go, oh, well, we'll throw that big study in there because it's so big, but then all the

00:05:44.860 little ones don't even matter because the big one would overwhelm it. 0.87

00:05:47.860 Well, or you say, hmm, this one study says that everything's wrong, and these other studies

00:05:54.320 say things are the other direction.

00:05:57.560 Then you use your judgment and say, huh, I think this one study that disagrees with the

00:06:02.200 other ones was poorly done, in my opinion, because of reasons.

00:06:08.480 And the other ones might be poorly done, but maybe you don't care or they agree with you.

00:06:12.700 So meta-analysis, as soon as you hear those words, run away.

00:06:20.420 So could AI do that yet?

00:06:22.780 Could AI do what I just did and say, oh, yeah, meta-analysis, that's your trigger for not

00:06:31.440 trusting it?

00:06:32.620 Don't think so.

00:06:34.100 Not yet, but it could.

00:06:36.080 It seems well within what would be possible.

00:06:38.440 Well, according to a new study, so researchers found out that from, this is from a source

00:06:50.660 called PLOS One.

00:06:52.180 I've never heard of it, so I'm trying to give credit, but I don't know who that is.

00:06:56.840 It turns out, according to the study, humans are more likely to trust an AI voice that sounds

00:07:03.240 like them.

00:07:05.660 So if you listen to an AI voice that sounded sort of like you, you would trust it more

00:07:11.600 than if it sounded sort of like some stranger you never met.

00:07:16.320 Now, did they need to do that study?

00:07:19.400 Nope.

00:07:20.920 They could have just asked me.

00:07:22.820 It's one of the most well-known, well-documented, well-understood phenomena in the entire world,

00:07:28.480 and it's called pacing, pacing, plus one is a scientific journal.

00:07:36.580 Thank you, Owen.

00:07:40.040 So pacing is when you match the person you're trying to persuade, but the matching could come

00:07:47.380 in a lot of forms.

00:07:48.980 One form would be if you do the same body language.

00:07:53.320 You know, this one is good in a meeting with your boss.

00:07:56.080 Let's say your boss is leaning on the table like I am with both arms.

00:08:00.780 You do the same thing.

00:08:02.260 Your boss won't even notice.

00:08:04.420 Let's say the boss does this.

00:08:06.820 You do the same thing.

00:08:08.460 The boss won't even notice.

00:08:10.080 Let's say you can detect the breathing pattern of your boss.

00:08:16.180 Match it.

00:08:17.440 Just breathe, inhale when they inhale, exhale when they exhale, and do as much as you can.

00:08:21.580 Let's say your boss has a certain way of talking.

00:08:25.920 My best example is some people like to use a lot of war analogies, like, oh, I jumped on

00:08:32.200 that hand grenade, or we'll take that hill tomorrow, or we'll die on that hill.

00:08:38.360 And if you hear that, you just start using some of your own war analogies.

00:08:42.960 It's like, well, it looks like we're going to be battling them today.

00:08:46.440 So that's called pacing.

00:08:48.700 So although a human can't easily reproduce the voice sound of another human, you didn't

00:08:54.820 have to study it.

00:08:56.420 I could have told you with complete certainty, as could 100% of hypnotists, every hypnotist

00:09:04.440 in the world would have said, oh, yeah, obviously, if you can match somebody's voice, that would

00:09:09.400 be killer. 0.66

00:09:10.340 So yeah, you didn't have to study it. 0.92

00:09:12.580 Just ask me.

00:09:13.220 Meanwhile, OpenAI, according to TechCrunch, Kyle Wiggers is writing, that they're planning

00:09:24.660 to charge for agents.

00:09:27.940 And the charges could be up to $20,000 per month to have an AI-driven agent.

00:09:35.200 Now, an agent would be something like a little humanoid entity that might help you with programming.

00:09:43.220 Or it might be a little humanoid sort of entity that would help you with sales leads or stuff

00:09:49.500 like that.

00:09:50.540 Now, they would cost different.

00:09:52.240 The prices would be different.

00:09:54.280 So if you had the best software developer, it might be $10,000 a month.

00:09:58.560 If you had some lower-level function that a human could do, let's say that the AI agent costs

00:10:09.760 are probably similar to what a human would cost, but lower costs.

00:10:15.940 So ideally, you would save money.

00:10:17.760 Anyway, I'm going to bet against it working.

00:10:22.360 So I don't doubt that there will be a product and there will be a release, but I'm quite

00:10:28.100 certain with my total lack of knowledge of AI, I still feel quite certain that the large

00:10:35.360 language models will never be able to be a reliable agent because of the hallucinations

00:10:42.980 and the lack of knowledge about current things and the complete inability to even look at

00:10:48.720 a file and tell you what's in it.

00:10:50.800 Just the most basic things they can't do.

00:10:53.280 So I think what's going to happen is that the AI portion will just be the user interface

00:11:00.300 and that whatever is the agent is going to be a whole set of non-AI programs, which could

00:11:07.240 be very extensive.

00:11:09.040 And so if you put them together, it might be a good agent, but it won't be the AI that's

00:11:15.120 doing the agent part.

00:11:16.260 It'll just be user interface to a whole bunch of specialized programming for each of these

00:11:21.220 domains.

00:11:22.140 That's what I think.

00:11:23.880 I think the LLM is just a user interface and it's going to be tough to get past that.

00:11:29.260 But as long as the other programs is solid, the agents might be good.

00:11:36.900 It's just that they'd have to develop a whole new technology, not use AI to do the whole

00:11:41.400 thing.

00:11:42.260 That's what I think.

00:11:44.440 I would love to be wrong about that, by the way.

00:11:48.060 Well, a judge has denied Elon Musk's request to block open AI in their conversion from a

00:11:56.080 non-profit to a for-profit company.

00:12:00.640 Now, before you say, wow, I guess that's over.

00:12:04.640 I guess AI, open AI got what it wanted.

00:12:08.180 The judge is only denying blocking it now.

00:12:12.820 And the reason for the denial is that it's not obvious that if it went to court, it would

00:12:18.780 go one way or the other.

00:12:19.940 So apparently, I don't know enough about the law to give you the fine details, but the

00:12:26.060 basic idea is that the judge would have probably blocked it if, looking at the facts, the judge

00:12:35.000 said, all right, if this goes to trial, it's going to get blocked by the court, by the jury

00:12:40.960 or the judge after a trial.

00:12:43.240 So I might as well block it now, because it's almost certainly going to go in that direction,

00:12:47.820 and there's no reason to let them go too far down that road if you know they're going to,

00:12:51.860 let's say, 90% of the chance they're going to get blocked.

00:12:55.360 But the judge called it a toss-up.

00:12:57.680 He goes, I think this one's a coin flip.

00:13:00.840 So that doesn't mean that this is a done deal.

00:13:05.780 It means that the judge can't determine that it will definitely go in one way or the other.

00:13:11.300 So there's at least a 50% chance, according to one judge, that Elon Musk will be able to

00:13:20.320 block them from turning into a for-profit.

00:13:25.460 Now, it feels to me that OpenAI has way too much backing and money and geniuses working

00:13:32.960 for it that it could get in this situation, which is an existential risk to the entire company.

00:13:39.900 And not have a way through it.

00:13:44.780 So, you know, of course, they're up against Elon Musk with all of his resources and all of his brains

00:13:51.320 and all of his personal involvement.

00:13:54.820 And I think his case is really strong.

00:13:57.860 You know, if he gave a gazillion dollars as part of the founding thing and the part of the agreement

00:14:05.760 for taking that money was it would remain non-profit, which was really the central thing he wanted.

00:14:13.020 It was the central thing.

00:14:15.600 He didn't say, go build an AI.

00:14:18.780 He said, if we're going to build an AI, it's got to be open source and, you know, non-profit.

00:14:24.960 So, it does look like fraud to me.

00:14:29.680 And I don't know what argument they would use to make it not fraud.

00:14:34.460 If you take 50 million or whatever it was from somebody with a given set of assumptions

00:14:40.620 that are agreed, and the most important one, the most important one is to stay non-profit,

00:14:48.600 and then you violate that, how could you possibly win that case in court?

00:14:54.520 Now, obviously, the judge is smarter than I am, so the judge thinks it's a coin toss,

00:14:59.620 but it doesn't look like one to me.

00:15:02.280 To me, it doesn't look like a coin toss, but we'll find out what happens.

00:15:06.360 Anyway, this was reported by Julia Shapiro in The Hill.

00:15:15.080 So, this is cool.

00:15:30.340 Johns Hopkins University has developed a bionic hand that knows what it's touching.

00:15:38.180 So, just by touching, it can tell what it has in his hand.

00:15:42.600 Now, that's a big deal.

00:15:45.840 Now, of course, I have an obvious question.

00:15:49.120 If the robot hand knows what it's touching, can it also make eye contact at the same time?

00:15:56.320 And, can I get two of them?

00:16:02.420 Well, never mind.

00:16:05.000 But I think they found the first killer application, if you know what I mean.

00:16:09.840 Let's just say, if this thing really is that good with its hands,

00:16:14.560 a lot of single guys are going to get a domestic robot to help with the dishes 1.00

00:16:20.420 and to fold their laundry.

00:16:26.000 You know what I love about this story?

00:16:28.940 The thing I love about this story is that 100% of the men listening to it were instantly,

00:16:36.200 you instantly got to the joke before I finished the sentence.

00:16:40.760 And the women are like, wait, what? 1.00

00:16:43.080 Well, all right.

00:16:49.140 Trump is expected to sign an executive order to eliminate the Department of Education,

00:16:55.500 the post-millennials reporting on this.

00:16:59.340 So, you think it's finally going to happen?

00:17:01.500 How many years have I been alive listening to the,

00:17:04.560 oh, Republicans are going to get rid of the Department of Education, 0.64

00:17:08.780 and then nothing happens?

00:17:09.940 This looks like it's going to happen.

00:17:14.020 I think this is actually going to happen.

00:17:15.980 It might happen really quickly.

00:17:19.280 Now, Democrats, of course, who don't understand how anything works,

00:17:23.920 will say, well, it's the end of education.

00:17:26.580 I guess nobody's going to get an education down, 0.66

00:17:29.540 especially the brown people. 0.93

00:17:31.280 So, it looks like it's racist, too. 0.91

00:17:33.460 And did I mention, it's a little bit sexist.

00:17:36.020 We don't even know how.

00:17:37.920 So, that's common.

00:17:39.940 But I'm pretty sure this is nothing but reorganizing how we do things

00:17:44.940 and putting control in the States.

00:17:48.120 So, I don't know how much money it will save,

00:17:50.360 because I would think some of that budget ends up at the States.

00:17:53.400 But we'll see.

00:17:53.900 So, Ian Carroll, who some of you know as a very colorful and interesting Internet personality,

00:18:04.860 he's usually working on the conspiracy theories,

00:18:08.020 and whether they're true conspiracy theories or not, we don't know.

00:18:12.480 But he's kind of into the interesting part of the news.

00:18:17.440 And he's talked quite a bit about the Epstein files.

00:18:19.860 And he thinks the Epstein files are never coming out.

00:18:26.200 Now, a hybrid of that, which I've said, is there will be lots of files,

00:18:31.000 and they might come out, but not the good stuff.

00:18:34.740 I think that no matter how many files we get to see,

00:18:38.420 we're just not going to see the good stuff.

00:18:40.400 And what Ian Carroll believes is that the files would be so deeply destructive to Israel

00:18:50.540 that there's just no way we're going to release them,

00:18:54.500 because we're too tight with Israel.

00:18:56.500 Israel has too much of a connection to the United States, let's say. 0.86

00:19:01.840 You can say they have too much control over the government.

00:19:06.260 That would be the other way to look at it.

00:19:08.860 I'm just going to say we have too tight a connection,

00:19:12.040 because you end up in the same place.

00:19:13.740 The only part I can be sure of is that we have a tight connection.

00:19:19.200 So if, for example, Israel said, whisper, whisper,

00:19:24.900 you know, this would be the worst thing in the world for Israel, 1.00

00:19:28.440 and therefore it would destroy our relationship,

00:19:32.040 we could not survive the release of this.

00:19:34.520 I don't know if that's going to happen, by the way.

00:19:36.300 So I'm not on the side that thinks he was only working for Israel.

00:19:43.620 If you're Epstein, and you're doing what he's been accused of doing,

00:19:48.540 do you think you're going to be faithful to one master?

00:19:54.060 Why?

00:19:54.540 What would cause him to be faithful to one master?

00:19:59.800 I can't think of a reason.

00:20:01.560 Because remember, he's unfaithful in every other way. 1.00

00:20:05.200 He's, you know, he'd be the ultimate liar, con man, sexual abuser, 0.99

00:20:10.720 you know, on a scale we've rarely ever seen. 0.99

00:20:13.880 So do you think that if his bosses were in Israel,

00:20:19.040 that he wouldn't also do some work for the United States,

00:20:22.480 maybe also some work for the UK?

00:20:24.860 You don't think so?

00:20:27.300 I think he would sell it to whoever he could sell it to,

00:20:30.360 and he would gain influence by doing a favor for them.

00:20:33.680 So it might be he had maybe a preferred boss.

00:20:38.900 And, you know, if it turned out that it was Israel,

00:20:41.740 nobody would be surprised.

00:20:43.540 But I feel like, you know,

00:20:46.780 there's something closer to freelancing happening,

00:20:49.680 no matter how he got started.

00:20:51.880 So I feel like there's lots of reasons not to release the good stuff,

00:20:57.160 and it's not just about Israel.

00:21:01.560 Well, also, we're being told the JFK files are coming any minute.

00:21:05.680 There's a website that's already up.

00:21:08.920 And so that's where all the JFK files will be put,

00:21:11.760 and we can look at them and find out all the nothing.

00:21:15.840 I expect to find out absolutely nothing from the JFK files.

00:21:21.240 You don't think that after, what is it, 50 years,

00:21:24.320 whatever the hell it is,

00:21:25.260 you don't think that the good stuff's been removed or scrubbed

00:21:28.800 or was never there in the first place?

00:21:31.120 Don't you think that the only things that are in the file

00:21:33.360 are the things that the bad guys wanted in the file?

00:21:36.880 Because the bad guys had complete control.

00:21:39.580 The people who probably were behind it

00:21:42.140 seemed to have had complete control over everything at that point.

00:21:46.740 Why would they allow for decades

00:21:50.560 the very proof that would put them in jail?

00:21:53.920 Why would they allow that to even exist?

00:21:57.480 You know, if they did the Warren Commission and that was fake,

00:22:00.000 which most of us think was fake,

00:22:02.200 why would they put real information in the files anywhere?

00:22:05.820 It doesn't make any sense.

00:22:07.520 So I'm going to say no real chance

00:22:10.120 we'll see anything new and useful

00:22:12.960 about JFK and or the Epstein files.

00:22:16.760 Now, there might be plenty to talk about,

00:22:19.760 which would be different.

00:22:21.220 So there might be like,

00:22:22.440 oh, there was an alien spaceship

00:22:26.120 that landed at the same time as the assassination.

00:22:29.420 And then it will be,

00:22:30.720 oh, maybe the aliens did it. 0.96

00:22:32.880 Yeah, yeah, it's the aliens did it. 1.00

00:22:34.380 And we'll just go down some stupid rabbit hole. 1.00

00:22:37.200 Same with Epstein. 1.00

00:22:39.820 There'll be like one name of somebody who's already deceased.

00:22:43.740 And we'll be like, well, really?

00:22:45.500 He was friends with that serial killer who's deceased?

00:22:50.060 Maybe the serial killer is part of the story 1.00

00:22:52.180 and we'll just go down some stupid rabbit hole. 1.00

00:22:55.100 So there might be something that grabs our attention. 0.99

00:22:59.040 But I don't think it's going to clear anything up.

00:23:01.100 Meanwhile, this is funny.

00:23:07.540 Do you remember when President Trump

00:23:09.620 was reading off all the wastes of money

00:23:11.920 when he did his speech to Congress?

00:23:14.340 And there was all these weird things.

00:23:16.700 And one of the items was

00:23:18.700 that the U.S. was spending $8 million

00:23:21.440 for making mice transgender. 0.77

00:23:24.980 So when CNN did their fact-checking,

00:23:28.320 they fact-checked that as fake.

00:23:29.900 The fake that we were spending actually $8 million

00:23:33.780 to make mice transgender. 0.87

00:23:36.460 But then they had to take it off their fact-check

00:23:40.580 because apparently it's true.

00:23:45.660 Now, I love that their assumption about Trump

00:23:50.880 is that he exaggerates everything.

00:23:54.080 So, you know, you could call it exaggeration

00:23:56.420 or hyperbole.

00:23:57.440 They might call it lying.

00:23:58.380 So when they say something like this,

00:24:00.720 it just fits their pattern of,

00:24:03.040 oh, he's exaggerating.

00:24:04.660 There's no way.

00:24:05.840 There's no way literally,

00:24:08.180 literally, that they spent $8 million

00:24:10.320 or had an $8 million budget

00:24:12.680 for turning mice trans.

00:24:16.300 But apparently they did.

00:24:18.560 So they had to change their website.

00:24:24.120 Libs of TikTok was calling that out.

00:24:28.120 RFK Jr. was on Fox News lately.

00:24:30.580 And I just like this statement

00:24:33.040 because there's so much controversy

00:24:36.360 and question about RFK Jr.

00:24:38.680 and whether he's going to use science

00:24:40.740 or ignore the science.

00:24:41.900 And I think he does a good job

00:24:43.840 of saying exactly what he plans to do.

00:24:46.940 And he said, quote,

00:24:48.360 we're going to be honest with the American people

00:24:50.540 for the first time in history.

00:24:52.460 Okay.

00:24:53.880 That's a hell of a good start.

00:24:55.740 And he says,

00:24:56.620 about all of the tests and all the studies.

00:24:59.680 Wait.

00:25:00.120 Are you suggesting, RFK Jr.,

00:25:02.760 that the government has not been honest

00:25:05.920 about all the tests and all the studies?

00:25:08.460 Yes, we know that to be true.

00:25:10.560 They have not been honest about it.

00:25:13.180 Have you ever had a conversation

00:25:14.620 with a normie about vaccination testing?

00:25:19.420 It's a wild ride.

00:25:21.240 So they'll say something like,

00:25:22.720 oh, I don't like RFK Jr.

00:25:24.600 because he's against vaccinations.

00:25:26.620 And vaccinations have been tested

00:25:28.260 and studied for decades

00:25:30.620 so that we know they're safe.

00:25:32.760 And they'll say something like,

00:25:34.520 no, they weren't.

00:25:36.300 Oh, yeah, they're studied for decades.

00:25:37.940 We follow them.

00:25:39.060 So we even,

00:25:40.320 not only do we know the short-term effects,

00:25:43.000 but we know the long-term effects

00:25:44.620 because of all the studies

00:25:45.800 that go on for decades

00:25:46.800 after they're released.

00:25:48.280 And I say,

00:25:49.140 there are no studies after they're released.

00:25:51.940 No, no, no.

00:25:52.600 It's not like the COVID ones

00:25:55.380 where they just, you know,

00:25:56.700 did a little bit of studying at first,

00:25:58.420 but then they just released it

00:26:00.000 and then they didn't know

00:26:00.660 what was happening in the long term.

00:26:02.220 And I say,

00:26:03.200 that's all of them.

00:26:05.780 None of them were studied for the long term.

00:26:08.940 And normies will just flip out,

00:26:11.340 tell you you're wrong,

00:26:12.280 change the subject,

00:26:13.780 run away,

00:26:14.360 never talk to you again.

00:26:16.520 Anyway,

00:26:17.580 so,

00:26:18.780 and then he goes on,

00:26:20.600 he says,

00:26:21.320 and that's going to anger

00:26:22.360 some people

00:26:23.020 who want an ideological approach

00:26:25.180 to public health.

00:26:26.660 That is correct.

00:26:28.280 The Democrats are on the automatic

00:26:30.200 against anything

00:26:31.600 MAGA or MAHA.

00:26:34.940 And so the Democrats

00:26:36.680 are once again

00:26:37.680 going to be,

00:26:39.060 it just gets funnier

00:26:42.500 every time it happens.

00:26:44.000 Once again,

00:26:45.420 Democrats are going to be 0.93

00:26:46.520 forced into this box

00:26:47.900 where they're against

00:26:49.420 testing drugs

00:26:50.940 to see if they're safe.

00:26:53.580 Which is precisely

00:26:55.400 the thing they thought

00:26:56.440 was happening.

00:26:57.200 and their entire,

00:26:58.820 their entire worldview

00:27:00.600 is based on the thought

00:27:01.760 that science

00:27:02.460 has already,

00:27:04.100 you know,

00:27:05.220 deeply tested

00:27:06.120 all these things.

00:27:07.580 Once they learn

00:27:08.680 that the only person

00:27:10.140 who's in favor

00:27:10.800 of deeply testing them

00:27:12.080 and testing them right

00:27:13.980 and testing them

00:27:14.700 over the long term

00:27:15.500 is RFK Jr.

00:27:17.400 He's the only one

00:27:19.720 who embraces

00:27:20.360 their actual philosophy.

00:27:22.580 They don't know

00:27:23.100 that their philosophy

00:27:23.900 has never been used.

00:27:26.180 Big Pharma just doesn't use

00:27:27.620 the,

00:27:28.640 let's test it forever

00:27:29.840 and make sure it's safe

00:27:31.080 and test it

00:27:32.180 in combination

00:27:32.840 with these things

00:27:33.700 and study,

00:27:35.040 study what happens

00:27:35.900 if you take

00:27:36.540 bunch of shots

00:27:37.380 versus you just get one

00:27:39.040 if you're a baby.

00:27:40.540 Nope.

00:27:41.500 Nope.

00:27:42.580 That's not happening

00:27:43.620 but people think it is.

00:27:44.780 According to Unusual Whales

00:27:48.480 on X,

00:27:50.840 the U.S.

00:27:51.780 is going to appoint

00:27:52.400 some kind of

00:27:53.020 affordability czar

00:27:54.320 and created

00:27:56.000 an affordability council.

00:27:58.600 Now,

00:27:59.100 what exactly

00:28:00.040 are they going to do?

00:28:02.020 Because

00:28:02.620 if the free market

00:28:03.820 can't make stuff

00:28:05.080 affordable,

00:28:06.220 what would an

00:28:07.640 affordability czar do

00:28:08.940 that would help?

00:28:11.840 Now,

00:28:12.420 I heard the other day

00:28:13.480 something I'd never

00:28:14.400 heard before.

00:28:15.480 So,

00:28:15.840 give me a fact check

00:28:16.920 on this.

00:28:17.720 I haven't looked at

00:28:18.540 anything but the

00:28:19.780 comments on it.

00:28:20.800 Somebody said that

00:28:21.640 we get a lot of our

00:28:23.480 eggs

00:28:24.020 from

00:28:25.320 Turkey.

00:28:27.000 Now,

00:28:27.260 I don't mean

00:28:27.700 turkeys are laying eggs,

00:28:29.060 which would be funny.

00:28:30.860 I mean,

00:28:31.500 they do.

00:28:32.640 What I mean is that

00:28:33.840 the country of Turkey

00:28:34.920 is apparently a big

00:28:35.840 egg producer.

00:28:37.180 Is that real?

00:28:38.680 And that we've already

00:28:39.760 increased our number

00:28:41.780 of eggs

00:28:42.280 that we're asking

00:28:43.020 some gigantic

00:28:44.560 amount to make up

00:28:45.480 for the shortfall.

00:28:47.580 Is that true?

00:28:49.600 I'd love to know

00:28:50.500 more about that.

00:28:52.680 So,

00:28:53.300 maybe,

00:28:54.040 maybe,

00:28:56.260 an affordability

00:28:57.180 czar could do 0.72

00:28:57.940 stuff like,

00:28:59.340 well,

00:29:00.580 we don't usually

00:29:01.580 get our eggs

00:29:02.240 from,

00:29:02.720 I don't know,

00:29:03.140 Canada or something,

00:29:04.280 but,

00:29:05.080 you know,

00:29:05.360 but now we will.

00:29:06.600 So,

00:29:06.860 there might be some

00:29:07.540 regulations that need

00:29:08.860 to be loosened,

00:29:10.520 something like that.

00:29:14.880 Yeah.

00:29:16.680 Dressing,

00:29:17.320 not eggs.

00:29:20.520 Yeah,

00:29:21.120 I'd never heard

00:29:21.940 we get our eggs

00:29:22.500 from Turkey,

00:29:23.020 so I'm not 100%

00:29:24.040 sure it's true.

00:29:26.180 And then somebody

00:29:27.400 clarified for me

00:29:28.500 something that I had

00:29:29.740 gotten completely wrong.

00:29:31.060 So,

00:29:31.320 this is me doing

00:29:32.520 a fact check

00:29:33.180 on my prior reporting.

00:29:34.860 I'd looked up

00:29:37.060 how long it takes

00:29:38.120 a baby chicken

00:29:40.000 to grow up

00:29:41.020 and create

00:29:42.260 its own eggs.

00:29:44.480 It looked like

00:29:45.420 it wasn't very long.

00:29:47.020 It looked like

00:29:47.600 it was basically

00:29:48.120 a few months

00:29:48.960 and your hen 0.66

00:29:50.880 can make chickens.

00:29:52.400 I'm sorry,

00:29:53.020 or your chicken

00:29:53.620 can make eggs.

00:29:54.880 So,

00:29:55.100 I thought,

00:29:55.540 well,

00:29:56.000 why would we ever

00:29:57.640 have to wait

00:29:58.180 more than two months?

00:29:59.860 Because,

00:30:00.200 obviously,

00:30:00.800 the high price

00:30:01.520 of eggs

00:30:02.000 would mean that,

00:30:03.520 you know,

00:30:03.840 as long as we're

00:30:04.560 not afraid

00:30:05.840 of the bird flu.

00:30:07.760 Let's see.

00:30:08.260 Perplexity says,

00:30:09.100 yes,

00:30:09.300 eggs are being imported

00:30:10.140 from Turkey

00:30:10.720 to the U.S.

00:30:13.660 Set to export

00:30:14.740 420 million eggs.

00:30:16.840 I'm surprised

00:30:17.720 that eggs

00:30:18.360 can last that long.

00:30:21.140 Doesn't that

00:30:21.760 surprise you?

00:30:22.840 You know,

00:30:23.060 because the shipping

00:30:23.760 is not going

00:30:24.680 to be short

00:30:25.220 from Turkey.

00:30:26.960 I don't think

00:30:27.720 they fly them in.

00:30:29.300 So,

00:30:29.800 I'm a little surprised

00:30:30.480 about that.

00:30:31.500 But,

00:30:33.100 apparently,

00:30:33.620 somebody said

00:30:36.080 that I was wrong

00:30:37.180 about it only

00:30:37.880 taking a few months

00:30:38.880 for a baby chicken

00:30:40.060 to grow up

00:30:40.680 into a hen

00:30:41.240 that can make

00:30:41.760 more eggs

00:30:42.760 because I guess

00:30:44.600 it takes longer

00:30:45.640 than that.

00:30:47.100 So,

00:30:47.520 maybe they can

00:30:48.340 start laying eggs

00:30:49.620 in a few months,

00:30:51.300 but maybe they're

00:30:51.920 not productive,

00:30:53.420 meaning that

00:30:54.100 they can't produce

00:30:54.960 much or it's not

00:30:55.920 the right kind

00:30:56.400 of egg

00:30:56.820 or it's not,

00:30:57.540 you know,

00:30:58.260 it's not what you

00:30:58.880 would want it

00:30:59.400 to buy at the

00:31:00.060 grocery store.

00:31:00.660 so I think

00:31:01.900 it just takes

00:31:02.360 longer.

00:31:03.700 So,

00:31:03.900 the U.S.

00:31:04.400 should be

00:31:05.160 back in eggs,

00:31:06.560 you know,

00:31:06.860 just in the

00:31:07.440 normal,

00:31:08.220 the normal

00:31:10.580 free market

00:31:11.200 way,

00:31:11.980 but it might

00:31:12.820 take over

00:31:14.220 a year.

00:31:15.380 Could be

00:31:16.160 closer to

00:31:16.960 two years.

00:31:18.340 So,

00:31:19.500 the free market

00:31:20.760 will clearly,

00:31:21.780 clearly adjust

00:31:23.600 to the fact

00:31:24.180 that eggs

00:31:24.960 cost a lot

00:31:25.760 and there's

00:31:26.900 a shortage,

00:31:27.620 so let's

00:31:28.240 make more

00:31:28.680 chickens.

00:31:29.060 it's just

00:31:30.160 going to

00:31:30.340 take a

00:31:30.640 little

00:31:30.760 while.

00:31:34.460 Anyway,

00:31:35.000 so if

00:31:35.840 you have

00:31:36.020 the right

00:31:36.400 affordabilities

00:31:37.180 are,

00:31:38.260 maybe you

00:31:38.740 could make

00:31:39.040 a difference.

00:31:40.340 I just

00:31:40.680 don't know

00:31:41.000 exactly what

00:31:41.740 kind of

00:31:42.060 things they

00:31:42.440 would do.

00:31:44.040 Meanwhile,

00:31:44.720 oil prices

00:31:45.320 have gone

00:31:46.840 down to a

00:31:47.400 three-year

00:31:47.920 low,

00:31:48.820 according to

00:31:49.400 Financial Times,

00:31:50.920 Tom Wilson

00:31:51.460 is reporting,

00:31:53.560 and so

00:31:55.460 the Brent

00:31:56.460 type of

00:31:58.640 oil has

00:31:59.640 dropped

00:31:59.900 below $70

00:32:00.600 a barrel

00:32:01.280 because of

00:32:03.640 a larger

00:32:04.620 than expected

00:32:05.280 increase in

00:32:06.080 U.S.

00:32:06.700 crude stocks.

00:32:09.280 So,

00:32:10.300 are we

00:32:12.020 already going

00:32:12.800 to see a

00:32:14.520 big difference

00:32:15.160 in oil prices,

00:32:16.000 which would

00:32:16.980 then work

00:32:17.600 through the

00:32:17.980 entire economy

00:32:18.800 fairly quickly?

00:32:20.760 I don't

00:32:21.360 know.

00:32:21.940 And then my

00:32:22.500 question is,

00:32:23.260 OPEC had

00:32:23.800 just announced

00:32:24.460 it was going

00:32:24.920 to do a

00:32:25.240 major increase

00:32:26.300 in production.

00:32:28.200 Is OPEC

00:32:29.140 still going

00:32:29.860 to do a

00:32:30.560 major increase

00:32:31.440 at the

00:32:32.120 same time

00:32:32.660 prices reach

00:32:33.540 to three-year

00:32:34.180 low?

00:32:35.800 Or is

00:32:36.480 that still

00:32:36.920 high enough

00:32:37.520 where they

00:32:38.160 think,

00:32:38.580 yeah,

00:32:39.060 still worth

00:32:39.560 doing a

00:32:39.920 little extra

00:32:40.440 production?

00:32:42.260 So,

00:32:42.620 oil prices

00:32:43.620 are just

00:32:44.680 so hard

00:32:45.080 to predict.

00:32:46.660 You know,

00:32:46.840 there's

00:32:47.040 politics in

00:32:48.020 there,

00:32:48.260 and there's

00:32:48.580 free market

00:32:49.120 in there,

00:32:49.620 and there's

00:32:49.980 physical

00:32:50.900 constraints in

00:32:51.800 there.

00:32:52.360 There's a

00:32:52.580 lot going

00:32:52.960 on.

00:32:54.880 So,

00:32:55.200 but,

00:32:56.680 I would

00:32:57.460 say,

00:32:57.980 you know,

00:32:58.260 as Trump

00:32:59.000 often says,

00:33:01.620 the,

00:33:01.880 you know,

00:33:03.140 oil is

00:33:03.620 like the

00:33:04.080 liquid gold.

00:33:06.600 He quotes

00:33:07.520 the Beverly

00:33:08.500 Hillbillies,

00:33:09.680 liquid gold.

00:33:11.120 Anyway,

00:33:12.260 it could

00:33:13.620 be that

00:33:14.620 if the

00:33:14.980 only thing

00:33:15.660 you did

00:33:16.120 is get

00:33:17.720 all kinds

00:33:18.400 of oil

00:33:19.340 going in

00:33:19.960 all kinds

00:33:20.460 of ways

00:33:20.820 from OPEC

00:33:21.540 doing more

00:33:22.200 because we

00:33:23.300 twisted their

00:33:23.980 arm maybe

00:33:24.560 behind the

00:33:25.160 scenes,

00:33:26.260 and the

00:33:28.160 U.S.

00:33:28.500 doing more

00:33:29.120 because the,

00:33:30.340 you know,

00:33:31.040 the constraints

00:33:31.800 have been

00:33:32.120 lifted by

00:33:32.740 the Republican

00:33:34.640 administration.

00:33:35.900 If the

00:33:36.580 only things

00:33:37.140 you did

00:33:37.440 were those

00:33:37.860 things,

00:33:39.460 you should

00:33:39.900 see prices

00:33:41.880 coming down

00:33:42.660 within a

00:33:43.260 year.

00:33:44.240 You know,

00:33:44.500 one of the

00:33:44.780 things that

00:33:45.260 Trump has

00:33:47.380 done,

00:33:47.840 but I think

00:33:48.400 he could do

00:33:48.860 better,

00:33:49.500 in his

00:33:49.840 speech he

00:33:50.300 did say,

00:33:50.960 you know,

00:33:51.180 there would

00:33:51.380 be,

00:33:52.400 in his

00:33:52.980 own words,

00:33:53.500 he said

00:33:53.740 there would

00:33:53.920 be temporary

00:33:54.540 pain,

00:33:55.360 but you

00:33:56.280 have to

00:33:56.560 get through

00:33:57.040 it to

00:33:57.320 get to

00:33:57.560 the good

00:33:57.820 stuff.

00:33:59.180 And I

00:34:02.020 think maybe

00:34:02.700 he needs

00:34:03.160 to reinforce

00:34:03.860 that,

00:34:05.220 maybe just

00:34:06.140 a little bit

00:34:06.860 stronger in

00:34:07.520 that.

00:34:08.120 Now,

00:34:08.640 it's really

00:34:09.220 hard for

00:34:11.340 somebody like

00:34:11.940 Trump,

00:34:12.320 who's

00:34:12.580 optimist,

00:34:13.260 optimist,

00:34:13.800 optimist,

00:34:14.280 to tell you

00:34:15.140 that you're

00:34:15.540 going to have

00:34:15.840 to suffer

00:34:16.320 for a little

00:34:16.820 while.

00:34:18.140 So,

00:34:18.660 he might

00:34:19.520 have the

00:34:19.900 right instinct

00:34:20.600 by downplaying

00:34:22.180 that as much

00:34:22.760 as possible,

00:34:23.520 because it's

00:34:23.840 going to

00:34:24.060 happen whether

00:34:25.840 people feel

00:34:26.480 bad about it

00:34:27.080 or not.

00:34:27.660 It's just

00:34:28.020 going to

00:34:28.240 happen.

00:34:29.520 So,

00:34:30.700 but I'd

00:34:31.400 feel it would

00:34:31.800 be a little

00:34:32.360 more transparent

00:34:33.680 if he said,

00:34:35.060 yeah,

00:34:35.280 the only way

00:34:36.140 we're going

00:34:36.500 to get prices

00:34:37.080 down is to

00:34:38.620 do some

00:34:39.000 things that

00:34:39.620 are going

00:34:41.120 to be

00:34:41.540 pretty hard

00:34:42.560 to take

00:34:43.040 in the

00:34:43.440 short run.

00:34:43.880 And if

00:34:45.940 he could

00:34:46.220 offer

00:34:46.500 anything that

00:34:47.120 would give

00:34:47.360 people relief

00:34:48.140 in the

00:34:48.560 short run

00:34:49.080 on food

00:34:50.660 prices or

00:34:51.420 anything else,

00:34:52.880 you know,

00:34:54.000 that would

00:34:54.200 be great.

00:34:55.080 So,

00:34:55.260 maybe if

00:34:55.880 you had

00:34:56.140 some way

00:34:56.560 to make

00:34:57.220 the short

00:34:57.920 run a

00:34:58.340 little bit

00:34:58.720 easier to

00:34:59.500 survive,

00:35:01.240 then people

00:35:02.540 would understand

00:35:03.240 that waiting

00:35:03.840 for the long

00:35:04.500 run,

00:35:04.780 which might

00:35:05.140 only be

00:35:05.760 a year or

00:35:06.520 two,

00:35:07.560 is worth

00:35:08.240 doing.

00:35:11.420 Meanwhile,

00:35:12.040 the Pentagon

00:35:12.440 says it's

00:35:13.060 going to use

00:35:13.460 AI to speed

00:35:14.560 up their

00:35:14.920 military

00:35:15.340 decision-making.

00:35:16.400 We've heard

00:35:16.680 that before.

00:35:18.000 The Hill is

00:35:18.600 reporting on

00:35:19.140 this today.

00:35:20.540 And,

00:35:21.100 of course,

00:35:23.720 that seems

00:35:24.340 necessary.

00:35:25.840 Like,

00:35:26.320 I don't think

00:35:26.740 you can get

00:35:27.540 around it.

00:35:28.420 And I

00:35:29.280 believe that

00:35:29.760 humans will

00:35:30.480 still be making

00:35:31.160 the real

00:35:31.540 decisions.

00:35:32.780 But instead

00:35:33.600 of a human

00:35:34.140 looking for

00:35:34.840 a target,

00:35:36.060 you know,

00:35:36.260 a target's

00:35:36.740 going to pop

00:35:37.260 up and the

00:35:37.840 AI is going

00:35:38.480 to say,

00:35:38.780 this is probably

00:35:39.380 something you 0.99

00:35:39.960 should shoot. 1.00

00:35:40.840 And then the 1.00

00:35:41.520 human gets to

00:35:42.160 decide,

00:35:42.640 yeah,

00:35:42.860 that does

00:35:43.380 look like

00:35:43.800 something I

00:35:44.300 ought to 1.00

00:35:44.540 shoot.

00:35:45.860 So if we 0.99

00:35:46.880 don't do it,

00:35:47.380 the enemies

00:35:47.780 will do it.

00:35:48.960 So it has

00:35:49.780 to be done.

00:35:50.940 There's

00:35:51.360 definitely a

00:35:51.760 risk to it,

00:35:52.240 of course.

00:35:54.120 So Trump

00:35:54.860 has announced

00:35:55.400 that we've

00:35:57.120 captured the

00:35:57.940 ISIS terrorist

00:35:59.020 guy who did

00:36:00.740 the Abbey

00:36:01.320 Gate attack.

00:36:02.900 That was as

00:36:03.760 we're leaving

00:36:04.720 Afghanistan,

00:36:05.760 the terrible

00:36:06.180 attack at

00:36:06.920 the base

00:36:08.560 there.

00:36:09.980 And that

00:36:10.260 that terrorist

00:36:10.900 is on,

00:36:12.140 well,

00:36:12.860 I wouldn't

00:36:13.120 call him

00:36:13.440 terrorist, 0.98

00:36:13.960 just say 0.99

00:36:14.320 ISIS.

00:36:16.100 And that he's

00:36:16.480 on his way

00:36:17.000 back to the

00:36:17.580 United States.

00:36:19.480 But ex-CIA

00:36:20.740 agent,

00:36:21.440 Sarah Adams,

00:36:22.800 who made

00:36:23.420 a lot of,

00:36:24.640 got a lot of

00:36:25.520 publicity being

00:36:26.640 on a Sean

00:36:27.440 Ryan show,

00:36:29.660 she knows,

00:36:30.880 she worked 0.95

00:36:31.540 when as

00:36:32.200 an ex-CIA

00:36:33.360 person,

00:36:33.960 she worked 0.95

00:36:34.420 apparently

00:36:35.300 enough in

00:36:36.460 that domain

00:36:37.040 that she

00:36:37.500 knows that

00:36:39.420 it's the

00:36:39.740 wrong guy.

00:36:42.280 So apparently

00:36:43.240 we're bringing

00:36:43.800 the wrong guy

00:36:44.600 in and

00:36:45.700 pretending that

00:36:46.960 we think he

00:36:47.620 is the

00:36:48.240 mastermind of

00:36:49.460 that big

00:36:50.180 killing.

00:36:51.600 And she 0.98

00:36:52.440 says,

00:36:52.880 nope,

00:36:53.260 here's the

00:36:53.760 list of

00:36:54.200 who it

00:36:54.480 really was.

00:36:55.680 And so

00:36:56.400 she's got

00:36:56.820 the goods.

00:36:57.860 She's giving

00:36:58.380 you the names

00:36:59.020 of the people

00:36:59.560 that it

00:36:59.900 really was.

00:37:00.460 and she's

00:37:02.460 ex-CIA

00:37:03.120 and she

00:37:04.280 seemed to

00:37:04.680 have worked

00:37:05.080 in that

00:37:05.400 domain,

00:37:06.120 so she's

00:37:06.800 not guessing.

00:37:08.620 So he

00:37:11.160 might have

00:37:11.440 been there,

00:37:11.920 they think,

00:37:12.880 but he

00:37:13.200 wasn't the

00:37:13.620 mastermind.

00:37:16.300 So we'll

00:37:16.980 see.

00:37:17.480 So far,

00:37:18.240 I don't have

00:37:18.760 any reason

00:37:19.220 to think

00:37:19.620 that Sarah

00:37:21.080 Adams would

00:37:21.980 be lying

00:37:22.960 about that.

00:37:24.180 It sounds

00:37:24.500 like something

00:37:24.940 she knows

00:37:25.380 about.

00:37:26.480 So we'll

00:37:26.840 see.

00:37:27.320 I always

00:37:27.920 wondered how

00:37:28.420 we really

00:37:28.820 know how

00:37:29.240 anybody did

00:37:29.880 anything.

00:37:30.460 So maybe

00:37:32.540 that's the

00:37:33.860 answer to

00:37:34.240 my question.

00:37:36.200 All right.

00:37:38.060 So according

00:37:39.020 to,

00:37:40.240 there's a

00:37:43.160 survey

00:37:43.680 showing that

00:37:45.920 more Americans

00:37:46.520 think that

00:37:47.240 President Trump

00:37:48.020 is changing

00:37:48.700 the U.S.

00:37:49.280 economy for

00:37:49.840 the worse,

00:37:51.160 for the

00:37:51.600 worse,

00:37:52.040 not the

00:37:52.440 better,

00:37:53.400 by a

00:37:54.240 slight

00:37:54.480 majority.

00:37:55.460 Now,

00:37:56.680 what survey

00:37:59.240 was this?

00:37:59.980 Well,

00:38:00.300 it was a

00:38:00.720 survey by

00:38:01.340 NPR and

00:38:02.280 PBS and

00:38:04.040 Marist

00:38:05.640 polling.

00:38:07.480 So do you

00:38:08.200 trust something

00:38:10.420 that comes up

00:38:11.140 with a

00:38:11.500 negative view

00:38:12.240 of Trump

00:38:12.820 if it comes

00:38:14.140 from NPR

00:38:14.920 and PBS?

00:38:15.500 If you're

00:38:18.200 paying attention

00:38:18.860 at all,

00:38:19.840 you know that

00:38:20.300 those are two

00:38:20.860 entities that

00:38:21.620 are seriously

00:38:23.100 anti-Trump all

00:38:24.080 the time and

00:38:25.300 that Trump is

00:38:25.920 criticized

00:38:26.560 mercilessly.

00:38:28.220 You couldn't

00:38:29.060 even come up

00:38:29.720 with any

00:38:30.720 source that

00:38:31.340 would be less

00:38:31.960 trustable or

00:38:33.500 less credible on

00:38:34.740 this or any

00:38:35.600 other topic,

00:38:36.240 really.

00:38:37.800 But here are

00:38:38.280 some other

00:38:38.620 things.

00:38:38.960 If you ask

00:38:39.880 the general

00:38:40.340 public,

00:38:41.720 is Trump

00:38:42.720 doing things

00:38:43.340 that are good

00:38:43.820 for the

00:38:44.140 economy,

00:38:45.440 what does

00:38:46.740 the general

00:38:47.200 public know

00:38:47.840 about economics?

00:38:49.720 They kind of

00:38:50.500 know what

00:38:50.800 their prices

00:38:51.280 are today.

00:38:52.860 So that's

00:38:53.640 really a

00:38:54.100 different question

00:38:54.760 from is he

00:38:55.640 doing things

00:38:56.160 that are good

00:38:56.540 for the

00:38:56.820 economy,

00:38:57.600 because that

00:38:59.540 would include

00:39:00.380 it's going to

00:39:01.320 make things

00:39:01.780 worse for a

00:39:02.460 little while,

00:39:03.220 but you have

00:39:03.940 to do it

00:39:04.540 to get to

00:39:05.540 the better

00:39:05.880 place that

00:39:06.480 would be way,

00:39:07.120 way,

00:39:07.360 way better.

00:39:07.800 Now,

00:39:09.060 how much

00:39:09.520 of the

00:39:09.780 public

00:39:10.040 understands

00:39:10.760 that?

00:39:12.060 That the

00:39:12.820 normal way

00:39:13.560 of things

00:39:14.080 is there's

00:39:14.780 going to

00:39:14.960 be cost

00:39:16.320 up front

00:39:16.940 to get

00:39:18.060 any benefits

00:39:18.740 later?

00:39:19.860 Very few.

00:39:21.260 How many

00:39:21.740 people understand

00:39:22.660 tariffs?

00:39:24.420 I don't.

00:39:27.100 So if you

00:39:27.920 ask me,

00:39:28.520 is he doing

00:39:29.520 a good job

00:39:30.060 with those

00:39:30.460 tariffs?

00:39:31.320 I would

00:39:31.920 take the

00:39:32.500 Dana Perino

00:39:33.540 view,

00:39:34.500 which is,

00:39:35.340 well,

00:39:35.560 let's wait

00:39:35.860 and see,

00:39:36.680 because it's

00:39:37.800 just

00:39:38.320 unfathomable.

00:39:39.600 We don't

00:39:40.140 know how

00:39:40.820 much is

00:39:41.220 going to

00:39:41.420 be just

00:39:41.840 a quick

00:39:42.280 negotiation.

00:39:43.520 We don't

00:39:44.080 know how

00:39:44.380 much is

00:39:44.780 going to

00:39:44.980 be permanent.

00:39:45.780 We don't

00:39:46.060 know how

00:39:46.380 many companies

00:39:48.340 will respond

00:39:49.260 by moving

00:39:50.140 production here

00:39:51.560 or how long

00:39:52.300 it would

00:39:52.540 take.

00:39:53.380 So many

00:39:54.260 variables,

00:39:55.340 so many

00:39:56.140 unknowns.

00:39:57.540 How in the

00:39:58.060 world can

00:39:58.800 the public

00:39:59.500 know if

00:40:01.520 the economy

00:40:02.100 and the

00:40:03.020 decisions made

00:40:04.240 about it

00:40:04.840 are heading

00:40:05.940 in the right

00:40:06.320 direction?

00:40:07.800 Even the

00:40:08.180 experts don't

00:40:08.920 know that.

00:40:10.820 I mean,

00:40:11.140 they have

00:40:11.340 opinions,

00:40:12.320 but I'll

00:40:12.880 bet you

00:40:13.180 could get

00:40:13.660 100

00:40:14.020 economists

00:40:14.880 to look at

00:40:16.300 what's happening

00:40:16.860 right now

00:40:17.420 from the

00:40:18.180 Trump

00:40:18.400 administration,

00:40:19.360 and they

00:40:19.840 would just

00:40:20.200 line up

00:40:20.760 by,

00:40:21.760 I think

00:40:22.140 they would

00:40:22.400 line up

00:40:22.800 almost

00:40:23.120 entirely

00:40:23.760 by whether

00:40:25.300 they're

00:40:25.500 Democrats

00:40:25.920 or Republicans.

00:40:27.600 So what

00:40:27.960 do you think

00:40:28.260 the public's

00:40:28.840 doing?

00:40:29.700 Probably

00:40:30.180 lining up

00:40:30.940 almost

00:40:31.680 exactly

00:40:32.820 by the

00:40:33.560 party

00:40:33.860 that they

00:40:34.280 support.

00:40:37.740 So

00:40:38.300 John

00:40:39.260 Fetterman

00:40:39.700 continues to

00:40:40.860 try to be

00:40:41.280 that voice

00:40:42.700 of common

00:40:43.280 sense,

00:40:43.920 you know,

00:40:44.060 the only

00:40:44.360 person in

00:40:45.460 the Democrat

00:40:45.960 side who

00:40:46.440 makes sense.

00:40:48.920 He was

00:40:49.200 talking about

00:40:49.720 how the

00:40:50.040 Democrats

00:40:50.500 did their

00:40:51.040 little pink

00:40:52.720 outfits and

00:40:53.460 their paddles

00:40:54.080 with their

00:40:54.400 little signs

00:40:54.880 on it and

00:40:55.520 all the

00:40:56.360 acting out

00:40:57.080 during the

00:40:57.940 president's

00:40:59.120 address to

00:41:00.340 Congress.

00:41:01.400 And here's

00:41:01.820 what he

00:41:02.060 posted on

00:41:02.540 X.

00:41:03.040 He called

00:41:03.780 the Democrats

00:41:04.660 and their

00:41:05.120 behavior a

00:41:06.280 sad cavalcade

00:41:07.220 of self-owns 0.91

00:41:08.500 and unhinged

00:41:09.420 petulance.

00:41:10.580 He's talking

00:41:10.980 about his

00:41:11.320 own side.

00:41:12.820 It only

00:41:13.420 makes Trump

00:41:14.000 look more

00:41:14.480 presidential and

00:41:15.420 restrained.

00:41:16.360 Yup.

00:41:17.600 We're becoming

00:41:18.640 the metaphorical

00:41:19.660 car alarms

00:41:20.440 that nobody

00:41:21.000 pays attention

00:41:21.720 to and it

00:41:22.720 may not be

00:41:23.220 the winning

00:41:23.600 message.

00:41:27.540 Now,

00:41:29.100 Fetterman

00:41:29.540 also agreed

00:41:30.520 with Trump

00:41:31.180 on getting

00:41:33.180 tough against

00:41:35.180 Hamas because 1.00

00:41:36.040 the hostages

00:41:37.040 have not been

00:41:37.660 released.

00:41:38.700 So it looks

00:41:39.060 like, oh,

00:41:40.800 and also

00:41:41.340 jumping ahead

00:41:43.080 a little bit,

00:41:45.120 Governor

00:41:45.500 Newsom, who's

00:41:46.620 got his little

00:41:47.120 podcast, he's

00:41:48.120 also moving to

00:41:48.940 the middle, it

00:41:49.820 seems.

00:41:50.920 He had Charlie

00:41:51.600 Kirk on his

00:41:52.320 show.

00:41:53.120 Okay, that's

00:41:53.740 unusual, his

00:41:54.980 little podcast.

00:41:56.400 And apparently

00:41:57.600 Newsom is

00:41:59.680 opposed, I

00:42:01.300 don't know if

00:42:01.660 he always was,

00:42:02.560 but at the

00:42:02.980 moment he

00:42:03.460 says he's

00:42:03.940 opposed to

00:42:05.020 biological men

00:42:06.360 playing in

00:42:07.040 women's sports.

00:42:08.880 So you can

00:42:09.780 see the people

00:42:11.320 who want to

00:42:12.120 angle for some

00:42:13.260 kind of

00:42:13.620 presidential run,

00:42:15.400 we assume that

00:42:16.480 they're doing

00:42:16.860 that, we don't

00:42:17.560 know for sure.

00:42:18.660 But it looks

00:42:19.500 like they just

00:42:20.100 have to find

00:42:21.740 something like

00:42:22.580 common sense.

00:42:24.100 sports, and

00:42:25.040 if they're not

00:42:25.780 willing to do

00:42:26.360 the easy

00:42:26.920 stuff, and

00:42:28.960 the trans issue

00:42:30.240 with sports,

00:42:31.040 that's an easy

00:42:32.100 one.

00:42:33.340 The public is

00:42:34.480 very well

00:42:35.220 decided which

00:42:36.280 way they're

00:42:36.640 going on that.

00:42:38.040 So I don't

00:42:38.820 take too

00:42:39.560 seriously the

00:42:40.480 people who

00:42:40.960 are doing

00:42:41.300 the, oh,

00:42:42.640 I'm right in

00:42:43.220 the middle,

00:42:43.640 I'm a common

00:42:44.180 sense guy too.

00:42:45.860 So I'm not

00:42:46.460 buying it as

00:42:47.580 genuine, but

00:42:48.760 there's no doubt

00:42:50.080 they have to do

00:42:50.640 it.

00:42:52.160 But when I

00:42:52.740 listen to

00:42:53.140 Fetterman,

00:42:53.540 mocking his

00:42:55.180 own side for

00:42:55.940 being like a 0.68

00:42:57.080 car alarm that

00:42:57.740 nobody listens

00:42:58.360 to, and

00:42:58.980 unhinged and 0.97

00:43:00.280 petulant, I 0.99

00:43:02.620 compare it to 0.98

00:43:03.360 the James

00:43:05.360 Carville plan,

00:43:06.720 where he

00:43:07.480 finally just

00:43:08.000 gave up and

00:43:08.680 said, you

00:43:09.460 know, the

00:43:10.080 smartest thing

00:43:10.660 we can do,

00:43:11.560 that's my

00:43:12.160 Carville impression,

00:43:13.400 smartest thing

00:43:13.940 we can do is

00:43:14.420 just do

00:43:14.740 nothing, do

00:43:15.560 nothing, just

00:43:16.600 wait for Trump

00:43:17.440 to implode.

00:43:18.580 That's all you

00:43:19.100 have to do.

00:43:20.180 Just wait for

00:43:21.000 it to implode.

00:43:22.500 So do

00:43:23.660 nothing, don't

00:43:24.440 do anything.

00:43:25.600 And I'm

00:43:26.180 thinking to

00:43:26.580 myself, the

00:43:29.600 don't do

00:43:30.780 anything idea

00:43:31.820 sounds like the 0.99

00:43:33.500 dumbest thing in 0.99

00:43:34.240 the world, until 1.00

00:43:35.540 you see what the

00:43:37.220 Democrats do when

00:43:38.160 they do something.

00:43:39.640 Every time they do

00:43:40.760 something, it's so

00:43:42.400 lame, it's so 0.98

00:43:44.460 ridiculous, that 1.00

00:43:45.920 even their own 0.99

00:43:47.260 team is calling it

00:43:48.220 unhinged and 0.66

00:43:49.020 petulant and 1.00

00:43:50.240 makes you look 1.00

00:43:50.880 ridiculous. 1.00

00:43:52.540 That's their 1.00

00:43:53.140 own team.

00:43:55.200 So yeah, Carville,

00:43:57.280 I think I

00:43:59.180 mocked Carville

00:44:00.140 at first for

00:44:01.340 saying that their

00:44:01.940 best strategy is to

00:44:02.940 do nothing.

00:44:04.140 But when you

00:44:04.920 compare it to

00:44:05.540 what they actually

00:44:06.100 do when they do

00:44:06.960 something, when

00:44:08.560 they do something,

00:44:09.360 it's always worse.

00:44:11.060 So yeah, James

00:44:12.060 Carville might be

00:44:12.860 the smartest

00:44:13.380 person on the

00:44:14.160 team, just do

00:44:15.240 nothing.

00:44:15.560 Now, would

00:44:16.640 that be enough

00:44:17.260 for Trump to

00:44:19.460 implode?

00:44:20.740 Well, implode

00:44:21.600 might be too

00:44:22.220 strong a word, but

00:44:23.740 do you think

00:44:24.120 there's any chance

00:44:25.260 that any president

00:44:26.680 could go four

00:44:27.520 years this

00:44:29.140 aggressively without

00:44:31.020 something coming

00:44:32.260 off the rails,

00:44:33.400 just in the

00:44:34.060 normal course of

00:44:35.240 things?

00:44:35.860 It might not be

00:44:36.660 some existential

00:44:37.800 threat, but it

00:44:39.180 could be that

00:44:39.820 something, uh-oh,

00:44:41.840 trade with China

00:44:43.400 really went south

00:44:44.860 in a bad way and

00:44:46.000 we're running out

00:44:46.860 of toilet paper.

00:44:47.820 You could imagine

00:44:48.820 that happening,

00:44:49.580 right?

00:44:50.580 Like, I don't

00:44:51.020 know what it

00:44:51.480 would be.

00:44:52.140 It wouldn't

00:44:52.940 necessarily be

00:44:53.700 tariff-related,

00:44:54.760 but you could

00:44:55.700 imagine, you

00:44:57.140 know, things

00:44:57.580 getting even

00:44:58.180 worse in

00:44:58.680 Ukraine or

00:44:59.720 Russia getting 0.96

00:45:01.060 a little more

00:45:03.060 adventurous than

00:45:04.240 they would have

00:45:04.640 been otherwise

00:45:05.580 or something.

00:45:07.000 So just

00:45:08.880 waiting for

00:45:09.620 things to start

00:45:10.520 looking bad in

00:45:11.480 their normal

00:45:12.240 course of a

00:45:14.120 normal president

00:45:14.840 presidency, it's

00:45:16.440 not the worst

00:45:17.080 idea in the

00:45:17.660 world for a

00:45:18.240 strategy because

00:45:18.960 they really

00:45:19.400 have nobody

00:45:20.400 who can do

00:45:21.040 anything that

00:45:22.940 works.

00:45:23.960 If you don't

00:45:25.300 have a single

00:45:26.000 competent person

00:45:27.100 on your team,

00:45:28.680 yeah, waiting

00:45:29.480 until the other

00:45:30.100 one makes

00:45:30.460 mistakes and

00:45:31.140 then criticizing

00:45:31.700 it, it's your

00:45:33.220 best play.

00:45:35.800 Meanwhile,

00:45:36.820 Ayanna Presley

00:45:38.640 gets into this

00:45:40.160 back and forth

00:45:40.940 with James

00:45:41.480 Comer at a

00:45:42.540 hearing.

00:45:42.900 And of

00:45:43.900 course, she 0.90

00:45:44.240 tried to do

00:45:44.760 the thing

00:45:45.140 where she

00:45:45.500 was just

00:45:45.860 talking over

00:45:46.740 and using

00:45:47.220 up the time

00:45:48.220 that she

00:45:48.540 wasn't allowed

00:45:49.260 and acting

00:45:50.380 bad.

00:45:51.800 Of course, she

00:45:52.620 was, again,

00:45:53.280 dressed as her

00:45:54.060 super villain

00:45:54.920 self, which I

00:45:56.140 love.

00:45:58.220 But she gets

00:46:00.280 into it and she's

00:46:01.020 saying, data from

00:46:01.800 Texas shows that

00:46:03.240 U.S.-born Americans

00:46:04.380 commit more, I

00:46:05.980 won't use the

00:46:06.540 words, but, you

00:46:07.520 know, sex,

00:46:08.060 crimes, and

00:46:08.520 murder than 0.97

00:46:09.020 immigrants. 0.95

00:46:09.500 Comer finally

00:46:11.660 had enough of

00:46:12.300 her because it

00:46:12.820 wasn't her time

00:46:13.540 and she wasn't

00:46:14.620 supposed to be

00:46:15.120 speaking, I

00:46:15.620 guess.

00:46:16.500 And Comer

00:46:17.200 goes, this

00:46:17.800 trend of you

00:46:18.560 all trying to

00:46:19.240 get thrown on

00:46:20.020 a committee so

00:46:20.840 you can get

00:46:21.400 on MSNBC is

00:46:22.880 going to end.

00:46:23.840 We're not going

00:46:24.380 to put up with

00:46:24.940 it.

00:46:25.600 I like how he

00:46:26.160 framed it, that

00:46:27.640 you're all trying

00:46:28.240 to get thrown

00:46:28.880 out so that you

00:46:30.160 can end up on

00:46:30.820 MSNBC to tell

00:46:32.020 your story about

00:46:32.720 how you got

00:46:33.120 thrown out.

00:46:33.780 It does look

00:46:35.540 like that's all

00:46:36.140 it is, you

00:46:37.200 know, pure

00:46:37.780 theater.

00:46:38.920 And so of all

00:46:39.560 the theater kids,

00:46:42.020 because if you

00:46:43.180 haven't noticed

00:46:43.740 by now, the

00:46:45.060 Republicans seem

00:46:46.640 to do policies

00:46:47.780 which they

00:46:48.320 actually believe

00:46:49.320 and have always

00:46:49.920 believed, such

00:46:51.200 as getting rid

00:46:51.900 of the Department

00:46:53.720 of Education.

00:46:55.260 They've always

00:46:56.100 believed that.

00:46:57.420 So if they go

00:46:58.140 ahead and do

00:46:58.600 that, that's

00:46:59.280 just Republicans

00:47:00.580 being Republicans

00:47:01.500 and authentic.

00:47:03.780 But the

00:47:04.620 Democrats are

00:47:06.400 almost entirely

00:47:07.380 driven by these

00:47:08.280 theater kids who

00:47:10.020 do dress up and

00:47:11.180 then they do an

00:47:11.760 act and they

00:47:13.060 bring their act

00:47:13.780 to, you know,

00:47:15.160 to whatever event.

00:47:17.160 Oh, we're going

00:47:17.760 to pretend there

00:47:18.900 were the unhappiest

00:47:19.800 people in the

00:47:20.400 world.

00:47:20.860 Look at my face.

00:47:21.680 Oh, look at my

00:47:22.720 sad face.

00:47:23.880 I've got a sad,

00:47:24.540 did anybody notice

00:47:25.280 my sad face?

00:47:26.420 Oh, you need

00:47:27.140 arguments and data?

00:47:28.640 Well, I don't

00:47:29.100 have any arguments

00:47:29.840 and data, but

00:47:30.580 look at my sad

00:47:31.660 face.

00:47:32.380 I'm so disappointed

00:47:33.740 in you.

00:47:34.600 Oh, so

00:47:35.280 disappointed.

00:47:37.160 But the best

00:47:38.080 one is Ayanna

00:47:39.020 Presley.

00:47:40.720 Because I like

00:47:41.520 that she goes

00:47:42.040 the extra mile

00:47:42.880 to match her

00:47:44.640 wardrobe and

00:47:45.560 style to her 0.81

00:47:47.620 evil supervillain

00:47:49.720 persona.

00:47:51.480 And a lot of

00:47:53.160 the other

00:47:54.100 theater kids

00:47:55.780 just think they

00:47:57.200 can just sort

00:47:58.660 of, you know,

00:47:59.900 mumble through

00:48:00.520 it, like

00:48:01.480 Adam Schiff.

00:48:02.920 Oh, Adam

00:48:03.540 Schiff.

00:48:04.500 Oh, everything

00:48:05.760 that happens is

00:48:07.280 bad if Trump

00:48:08.100 does it.

00:48:09.060 And he does

00:48:09.900 his theater kid

00:48:10.700 thing, but he

00:48:11.560 just wears a

00:48:12.100 regular suit.

00:48:13.400 And I'm thinking,

00:48:14.380 well, you could

00:48:15.120 learn a little bit

00:48:16.160 about how to do

00:48:17.740 wardrobe and hair.

00:48:18.940 And by the way,

00:48:19.640 I love, I actually

00:48:21.000 love Ayanna

00:48:22.180 Presley's whole vibe

00:48:24.160 and look.

00:48:24.600 I think she does

00:48:25.440 a great job of

00:48:26.220 it, like

00:48:27.560 legitimately.

00:48:28.480 She's just really

00:48:29.760 good at it, the

00:48:30.560 fashion thing.

00:48:31.440 But the fashion

00:48:32.380 she chose just

00:48:34.540 looks like a

00:48:35.240 supervillain.

00:48:36.180 And then she

00:48:37.020 acts like one.

00:48:38.380 And I think,

00:48:39.220 well, that's

00:48:39.600 perfect.

00:48:40.720 You're committed.

00:48:41.880 I like the fact

00:48:42.560 you're committed

00:48:43.060 to the role.

00:48:43.960 But none of it

00:48:44.780 looks real.

00:48:46.060 It doesn't look

00:48:46.980 like she's even

00:48:47.640 slightly committed

00:48:48.560 to her own

00:48:49.100 opinions.

00:48:49.640 It looks like

00:48:50.100 she got the

00:48:51.040 script.

00:48:51.360 And she's

00:48:52.660 like, and

00:48:54.120 in scene

00:48:54.780 one, I

00:48:56.300 will be

00:48:56.720 talking over

00:48:57.380 people until 0.99

00:48:58.240 I get kicked

00:48:58.860 out.

00:48:59.520 And in scene

00:49:00.180 two, I

00:49:00.700 will appear

00:49:01.120 on Rachel

00:49:01.680 Maddow's

00:49:02.220 show.

00:49:03.220 It just

00:49:03.640 looks like

00:49:04.020 acting.

00:49:07.020 Chris Cuomo

00:49:07.880 is mocking

00:49:08.540 Democrats in

00:49:09.740 Congress, saying

00:49:10.860 that they picked

00:49:11.520 another hill to

00:49:12.260 die on.

00:49:13.560 There's a New

00:49:14.060 York poll just

00:49:14.720 came out.

00:49:15.620 67% of

00:49:16.820 Democrats say

00:49:17.960 biological men

00:49:19.220 shouldn't play

00:49:19.880 in a women's 0.97

00:49:20.440 sport.

00:49:21.360 67% of

00:49:23.400 Democrats are

00:49:25.860 against

00:49:26.280 biological men

00:49:27.300 and women's

00:49:27.880 sports.

00:49:28.940 And still, the

00:49:30.140 leadership wants

00:49:32.520 those biological

00:49:33.560 men and women's

00:49:34.460 sports, wants

00:49:35.840 a bed.

00:49:37.260 And so Chris

00:49:38.340 Cuomo is on

00:49:39.080 the side of

00:49:40.900 reason.

00:49:41.640 It's like, okay,

00:49:43.040 this is just 1.00

00:49:43.740 crazy shit. 1.00

00:49:45.400 Now, I should 1.00

00:49:46.620 tell you full

00:49:47.780 disclosure, I'm

00:49:50.380 very pro Chris

00:49:51.480 Cuomo.

00:49:53.160 Now, if you

00:49:54.320 don't know why,

00:49:55.260 when I got

00:49:55.980 canceled, he

00:49:57.380 was the only

00:49:57.920 person in the

00:49:58.740 big media

00:50:00.320 world who

00:50:01.720 said, why

00:50:02.700 don't you come

00:50:03.120 on my show

00:50:03.740 because I'm

00:50:04.620 actually curious,

00:50:06.140 genuinely curious

00:50:07.000 about what you

00:50:07.840 had to say and

00:50:08.560 what's behind it.

00:50:10.040 And he asked

00:50:11.280 some tough

00:50:11.700 questions, which

00:50:13.580 I expected.

00:50:14.440 It's part of the

00:50:15.000 process.

00:50:15.520 It's no problem.

00:50:17.000 But he let me

00:50:18.120 talk.

00:50:19.280 He didn't

00:50:19.880 cut me off. 0.59

00:50:20.820 He didn't

00:50:21.120 insult me.

00:50:22.220 He gave me a

00:50:23.060 full, complete

00:50:24.660 vehicle to say

00:50:27.120 what I wanted.

00:50:27.860 And wow, did I

00:50:28.760 appreciate it.

00:50:29.580 Because, you

00:50:30.360 know, I was in

00:50:31.160 a pretty deep

00:50:31.780 hole at that

00:50:32.760 time.

00:50:33.820 So for anybody

00:50:34.540 to be willing

00:50:35.460 to reach into

00:50:36.880 the deep hole

00:50:37.500 and give me a

00:50:39.360 genuine, fair

00:50:40.620 airing of

00:50:42.080 things with

00:50:43.600 some pushback

00:50:44.740 that was

00:50:45.500 completely

00:50:46.180 appropriate,

00:50:47.720 I'll just

00:50:48.980 always appreciate

00:50:49.620 that.

00:50:50.800 So now you

00:50:51.500 might say

00:50:51.940 cynically, oh,

00:50:52.820 it was good

00:50:53.220 for ratings.

00:50:54.200 I don't know.

00:50:55.100 Maybe it was,

00:50:55.740 maybe it wasn't.

00:50:56.960 But I

00:50:57.860 appreciate it.

00:50:59.580 Tim Walsh

00:51:01.400 allegedly has

00:51:03.060 been advising

00:51:04.800 Canada how

00:51:06.340 to avoid

00:51:07.240 and circumvent

00:51:09.360 Trump's

00:51:09.960 tariffs.

00:51:13.180 Can Democrats

00:51:14.980 be any 1.00

00:51:15.940 dumber? 1.00

00:51:17.840 What could 1.00

00:51:18.440 be less

00:51:19.040 useful than

00:51:21.060 trying to

00:51:21.680 thwart

00:51:22.180 your very

00:51:24.080 government?

00:51:25.540 Like, even

00:51:26.000 if you don't

00:51:26.440 like the

00:51:26.880 idea, it's

00:51:28.560 just not a

00:51:29.200 good look

00:51:29.820 to side

00:51:30.820 with the

00:51:31.180 other country.

00:51:32.160 Just not

00:51:32.620 a good

00:51:32.900 look.

00:51:33.880 And I

00:51:34.380 think Tim

00:51:34.960 is one

00:51:36.720 of the 0.99

00:51:37.000 silliest 0.98

00:51:37.580 and most 1.00

00:51:39.680 ridiculous 0.97

00:51:40.140 of the 1.00

00:51:41.120 Democrats.

00:51:42.720 So he

00:51:43.960 will not

00:51:44.320 be your

00:51:44.620 next

00:51:44.840 president.

00:51:48.140 Meanwhile,

00:51:48.880 James O'Keefe

00:51:49.700 and his

00:51:50.640 OMG group

00:51:52.360 got another

00:51:53.060 undercover win.

00:51:55.420 So with

00:51:56.580 undercover

00:51:57.080 cameras,

00:51:57.880 they were

00:51:58.500 talking to

00:51:58.900 a state

00:51:59.320 forum

00:51:59.660 VP who

00:52:01.660 admits that

00:52:03.920 he's trying

00:52:05.680 to exclude 0.88

00:52:06.460 white people 0.93

00:52:07.140 from employment.

00:52:09.420 And he

00:52:10.220 says, I'm

00:52:10.740 being biased

00:52:11.500 away from

00:52:12.320 my own

00:52:12.720 kind because

00:52:13.360 he's a

00:52:13.820 white guy.

00:52:14.780 And he

00:52:18.460 says he

00:52:18.820 wants the

00:52:19.140 2040

00:52:19.660 workforce to

00:52:21.480 be more

00:52:22.020 Hispanic and

00:52:22.840 Latino.

00:52:24.160 Now, of

00:52:24.740 course, we

00:52:25.160 all understand

00:52:25.980 that he's

00:52:28.360 trying to

00:52:28.900 meet those

00:52:29.940 diversity

00:52:30.420 goals.

00:52:31.880 And as I

00:52:32.860 often say,

00:52:33.580 I like

00:52:34.020 diversity.

00:52:35.080 It's just

00:52:35.800 that when

00:52:36.180 you force

00:52:36.680 it, you

00:52:37.580 get a

00:52:37.920 worse result

00:52:38.640 than if

00:52:39.060 you didn't.

00:52:40.320 So if

00:52:40.960 diversity

00:52:41.840 happens because

00:52:42.740 we do a

00:52:43.240 great job

00:52:43.780 of educating

00:52:44.400 everybody and

00:52:45.180 then the

00:52:46.420 workforce looks

00:52:47.620 just like the

00:52:48.220 public, well,

00:52:49.560 that would be

00:52:50.100 a heck of a

00:52:50.700 good thing.

00:52:51.800 That would be

00:52:52.200 great.

00:52:53.180 But if you

00:52:54.580 force it,

00:52:56.160 you end up

00:52:57.160 with taking

00:52:58.780 identity over

00:52:59.920 capability and

00:53:02.680 there's no way

00:53:03.460 around that if

00:53:04.800 you're really

00:53:05.820 focused on

00:53:07.820 that goal of

00:53:08.560 hitting those

00:53:09.040 targets.

00:53:10.000 So you're

00:53:10.900 always going

00:53:11.280 to go deeper

00:53:12.120 into the

00:53:12.680 unqualified than

00:53:13.640 you wanted

00:53:14.040 to and you

00:53:14.900 won't admit it

00:53:15.480 while you're

00:53:15.820 doing it, but

00:53:16.320 you'll know

00:53:16.700 when you do

00:53:17.120 it.

00:53:17.500 It's just

00:53:18.000 built into

00:53:18.500 the system.

00:53:19.980 So what do

00:53:20.640 you think of

00:53:20.960 that?

00:53:21.380 State Farm

00:53:22.200 as a white

00:53:24.460 guy in power

00:53:25.260 who's making

00:53:25.880 sure that other 0.89

00:53:26.700 white guys can't 0.98

00:53:27.660 get the job

00:53:28.380 he has.

00:53:29.980 I'm going to

00:53:30.620 say again,

00:53:32.100 I have been

00:53:32.980 grossly

00:53:33.700 discriminated

00:53:34.560 against in

00:53:36.040 my two

00:53:36.820 corporate careers

00:53:37.740 and later in

00:53:38.460 my TV

00:53:39.340 career for

00:53:40.320 being a

00:53:40.840 white guy.

00:53:42.700 But all of

00:53:43.640 that discrimination

00:53:44.460 as far as I

00:53:45.120 know came from

00:53:45.900 old white guys 0.57

00:53:46.920 who had already

00:53:48.320 reached their

00:53:48.860 position and in

00:53:50.300 order to stay in

00:53:51.120 their positions,

00:53:51.760 they had to

00:53:53.140 pretend that they

00:53:54.100 were so into

00:53:54.880 diversity that they

00:53:55.900 would discriminate 0.94

00:53:56.520 against their own

00:53:57.400 kind.

00:53:58.120 That's what this 1.00

00:53:58.820 State Farm fucker 1.00

00:53:59.820 is doing. 1.00

00:54:00.860 So let me just

00:54:01.580 say, this guy's a 1.00

00:54:02.580 piece of shit. 1.00

00:54:04.400 Like, I get 1.00

00:54:05.720 that he's got

00:54:06.520 these noble

00:54:07.200 goals.

00:54:08.420 Oh, I have

00:54:09.060 some noble

00:54:09.560 goals and

00:54:10.260 they're not

00:54:10.580 even, I'm not

00:54:12.020 saying they're

00:54:12.380 not noble.

00:54:13.700 I'm saying that

00:54:14.760 in order to

00:54:15.540 reach them, you

00:54:16.280 have to

00:54:16.620 discriminate

00:54:17.100 against people

00:54:17.920 like me.

00:54:18.800 He says he

00:54:19.340 knows he's

00:54:19.840 doing it. 1.00

00:54:20.720 Fuck you. 1.00

00:54:21.960 Just fuck 1.00

00:54:22.760 you completely. 1.00

00:54:25.060 And your

00:54:25.620 company has

00:54:26.320 some explaining

00:54:26.960 to do if he's

00:54:28.140 still employed.

00:54:28.800 You have a lot

00:54:30.080 of explaining

00:54:30.600 to do if he's

00:54:31.260 still employed.

00:54:33.100 And if you

00:54:33.680 had a choice

00:54:34.340 of using their

00:54:35.800 insurance or

00:54:36.460 somebody else's,

00:54:37.360 well, that'd be

00:54:38.660 an easy choice

00:54:39.300 for me.

00:54:40.360 I wouldn't even

00:54:41.140 consider them

00:54:41.840 unless it was

00:54:42.340 my last choice.

00:54:43.680 Might be.

00:54:44.400 Might be my

00:54:44.940 last choice.

00:54:47.620 Well, so

00:54:49.120 I guess Trump

00:54:51.900 is going to

00:54:52.400 delay some

00:54:53.320 of the

00:54:53.700 Mexico

00:54:55.240 tariffs and

00:54:57.300 Canada

00:54:57.720 tariffs.

00:54:58.800 and he's

00:54:59.680 waiting for

00:55:00.280 the largest

00:55:01.480 automakers to

00:55:02.700 make adjustments

00:55:03.580 before they

00:55:04.280 kick in.

00:55:05.300 How does

00:55:05.660 any of that

00:55:06.140 make sense?

00:55:07.680 What exactly

00:55:08.520 are large

00:55:09.060 automakers

00:55:09.640 going to do

00:55:10.120 in one month

00:55:10.880 that makes

00:55:11.900 any difference?

00:55:12.380 You can't do

00:55:12.760 anything in a

00:55:13.300 month.

00:55:14.580 So, I mean,

00:55:15.060 maybe you

00:55:15.440 can announce

00:55:16.060 something.

00:55:17.520 You know,

00:55:17.860 you can announce

00:55:18.580 something maybe,

00:55:19.460 but you couldn't

00:55:19.920 do anything in

00:55:20.560 a month.

00:55:21.500 So, everything

00:55:22.640 about the

00:55:23.360 tariffs, I'm

00:55:25.980 going to put

00:55:26.300 it in the

00:55:26.580 category of

00:55:27.340 it could be

00:55:29.960 a good

00:55:30.240 idea, but

00:55:32.440 it might

00:55:33.800 not be, but

00:55:35.620 how do I

00:55:36.720 tell?

00:55:37.900 You know, I

00:55:38.500 mean, as I

00:55:39.720 tell you way

00:55:40.460 too often, I

00:55:40.980 have a degree

00:55:41.460 in economics

00:55:42.120 and I've

00:55:43.220 got an MBA

00:55:43.760 from a top

00:55:44.980 business school

00:55:45.660 in Berkeley,

00:55:46.440 and I don't

00:55:48.640 understand where

00:55:50.900 the tariffs are

00:55:51.700 going to take

00:55:52.120 us, but I

00:55:53.700 do trust

00:55:55.540 Trump on

00:55:56.580 this.

00:55:57.220 Who said

00:55:57.800 this?

00:55:58.120 Was it

00:55:58.380 Greg

00:55:58.680 Goffeld

00:55:59.280 who put

00:56:00.080 it this

00:56:00.400 way?

00:56:01.680 And I

00:56:02.480 agreed with

00:56:02.940 it.

00:56:03.900 Trump's

00:56:04.360 instincts

00:56:05.180 have been

00:56:07.260 unbelievably

00:56:08.800 good.

00:56:10.060 If you

00:56:10.620 were to

00:56:10.820 look at

00:56:11.120 all the

00:56:11.400 things he

00:56:11.820 called just

00:56:12.500 years in

00:56:13.060 advance,

00:56:14.340 you know,

00:56:14.580 years in

00:56:15.180 advance,

00:56:15.660 everything from

00:56:16.320 immigration to

00:56:17.280 you name it,

00:56:17.980 he's been

00:56:20.740 spot on

00:56:21.620 about things

00:56:23.020 that often

00:56:24.340 I didn't

00:56:24.800 fully understand.

00:56:27.580 This might

00:56:29.100 be one of

00:56:29.580 those situations.

00:56:31.340 And the

00:56:32.000 thing that you

00:56:32.500 can never be

00:56:33.100 sure of is

00:56:34.600 how much of

00:56:35.180 it is exactly

00:56:36.080 what he says

00:56:38.060 it is,

00:56:38.460 which is a

00:56:39.160 revenue raising

00:56:40.600 thing and

00:56:41.600 blah, blah,

00:56:43.780 blah, and

00:56:44.600 how much of

00:56:45.120 it is just

00:56:45.640 pure negotiation

00:56:47.060 and it

00:56:48.780 probably will

00:56:50.020 shake a bunch

00:56:50.720 of people into

00:56:51.300 doing things

00:56:51.820 they weren't

00:56:52.160 going to do

00:56:52.560 before and a

00:56:54.140 lot of it

00:56:54.480 could be good

00:56:54.940 for us.

00:56:56.740 I feel like

00:56:57.840 trusting him

00:56:58.680 is something

00:56:59.560 he earned.

00:57:01.140 And I think

00:57:01.640 again I'm

00:57:02.480 quoting Goffeld

00:57:03.640 here.

00:57:05.240 It seems to

00:57:06.260 me that the

00:57:07.100 things he's

00:57:07.720 done are so

00:57:09.200 unambiguously

00:57:10.160 designed for

00:57:11.700 the good of

00:57:12.260 America and

00:57:13.900 that when I

00:57:14.560 didn't understand

00:57:15.380 it,

00:57:15.700 sometimes it's

00:57:17.660 just because I

00:57:18.420 didn't understand

00:57:19.020 it.

00:57:20.340 So again,

00:57:21.120 I'll quote

00:57:21.740 Dana Perino,

00:57:23.080 I think we

00:57:24.240 need to just

00:57:24.740 wait and see.

00:57:26.360 I don't know

00:57:26.820 how long,

00:57:28.240 but if anybody

00:57:29.160 ever earned

00:57:30.080 the right to

00:57:31.720 try something

00:57:32.400 that's outside

00:57:33.000 the box,

00:57:34.360 Trump earned

00:57:34.820 it.

00:57:36.000 So it's

00:57:37.140 really easy

00:57:37.820 for me to

00:57:38.320 say, you

00:57:38.680 know what,

00:57:38.980 I'm just

00:57:39.340 going to

00:57:39.580 back up on

00:57:40.220 this one

00:57:40.620 because I

00:57:43.640 think he

00:57:43.920 just knows

00:57:44.300 more than

00:57:44.680 I do

00:57:45.020 about this

00:57:45.900 topic.

00:57:47.560 And he

00:57:48.240 does have

00:57:48.640 very smart,

00:57:49.740 very high-end

00:57:50.560 economic people

00:57:52.120 with him.

00:57:53.180 I think that

00:57:54.020 we've also

00:57:55.080 seen that his

00:57:56.000 advisors have

00:57:56.900 been incredibly

00:57:58.400 good since

00:58:00.120 the campaign.

00:58:02.060 First term,

00:58:03.480 not as good.

00:58:05.460 But the

00:58:06.000 second term,

00:58:07.020 oh my goodness,

00:58:08.220 does he have

00:58:08.600 smart people

00:58:09.260 working for

00:58:09.880 him?

00:58:10.940 You know,

00:58:11.140 he's got,

00:58:12.160 I don't have

00:58:12.700 to name

00:58:13.060 them,

00:58:13.500 but you

00:58:13.840 could come

00:58:14.240 up with,

00:58:15.720 it would

00:58:16.300 take you no

00:58:16.840 time at all

00:58:17.400 to name six

00:58:18.360 people who

00:58:19.120 are key

00:58:19.500 advisors who

00:58:20.760 aren't just

00:58:21.180 ordinary, 0.76

00:58:22.500 but freaking

00:58:23.540 brilliant.

00:58:25.080 Right?

00:58:26.040 Now, if he's

00:58:26.760 surrounded by

00:58:27.360 that many people

00:58:28.100 who are just

00:58:28.700 flamingly,

00:58:31.420 unusually,

00:58:33.260 spectacularly

00:58:34.140 brilliant,

00:58:34.980 and they have

00:58:35.340 a long track

00:58:36.040 record of being

00:58:36.740 that way,

00:58:37.580 and they're

00:58:38.460 on board,

00:58:39.260 because I

00:58:41.000 don't think

00:58:41.480 you could

00:58:41.880 be pro-tariff 0.90

00:58:44.640 and be that

00:58:46.240 close to the

00:58:46.860 president,

00:58:47.880 or you

00:58:48.180 couldn't be

00:58:48.840 anti-tariff

00:58:49.580 and be that

00:58:50.040 close to the

00:58:50.560 president without,

00:58:51.920 well, I think

00:58:52.400 we would pick

00:58:52.940 up on it,

00:58:54.100 or I think

00:58:54.880 he would take

00:58:55.340 their advice.

00:58:56.640 So he must

00:58:57.620 have at least

00:58:58.360 convinced his

00:59:00.420 closest,

00:59:01.200 smartest people

00:59:01.860 to be on

00:59:02.420 board.

00:59:03.300 Now, I

00:59:03.620 haven't heard

00:59:04.320 Elon Musk

00:59:05.720 talk about the

00:59:06.580 tariffs a ton.

00:59:07.720 which makes

00:59:09.640 me a little

00:59:10.040 bit nervous,

00:59:10.680 because he

00:59:11.860 weighs in on

00:59:12.440 everything.

00:59:13.280 I think he

00:59:14.020 must have

00:59:14.660 said, you

00:59:15.860 know, something

00:59:16.480 good about

00:59:17.040 them at one

00:59:17.560 point, because

00:59:18.440 I'm sure he's

00:59:18.920 been asked,

00:59:20.060 but he's not

00:59:21.420 really hitting

00:59:22.220 that, he's

00:59:23.580 not banging

00:59:24.960 that drum

00:59:25.500 hard.

00:59:26.460 You know, so

00:59:26.700 it's a little

00:59:27.300 bit of a, he

00:59:28.680 may be in a

00:59:29.260 wait-and-see

00:59:29.700 mode as well,

00:59:30.520 and he

00:59:31.580 might also

00:59:32.140 realize that

00:59:32.960 if you

00:59:33.700 judged it

00:59:34.260 only from

00:59:34.860 an economic

00:59:35.620 perspective,

00:59:36.840 you might be

00:59:37.680 missing the

00:59:38.200 bigger story,

00:59:39.300 that it's a

00:59:40.420 little bit of

00:59:40.920 like a game

00:59:41.560 of chicken,

00:59:42.440 where if

00:59:43.740 Trump can

00:59:44.520 convince the

00:59:45.160 other countries

00:59:45.860 that we're

00:59:46.460 going to go

00:59:46.860 to the wall

00:59:47.440 and nothing's

00:59:48.780 going to stop

00:59:49.320 us, suddenly

00:59:50.460 they should

00:59:50.900 get really

00:59:51.480 flexible.

00:59:53.680 Now, what

00:59:54.300 Trump has

00:59:55.100 right is

00:59:56.940 we seem to

00:59:57.760 be in a

00:59:58.060 position where,

00:59:58.840 generally

00:59:59.940 speaking, we

01:00:01.340 would be less

01:00:02.040 harmed by

01:00:03.140 tariffs than

01:00:03.900 the people

01:00:04.320 we're

01:00:04.560 tariffing.

01:00:05.660 So, it's

01:00:06.020 certainly true

01:00:06.580 with Mexico,

01:00:07.440 certainly true

01:00:08.040 with Canada.

01:00:10.180 It's more

01:00:10.940 of a jump

01:00:12.100 ball with

01:00:12.620 China, but 0.90

01:00:14.040 China doesn't 1.00

01:00:14.700 want tariffs.

01:00:15.960 They certainly

01:00:16.380 don't want

01:00:16.900 them.

01:00:17.880 So, I

01:00:20.420 think his

01:00:21.140 instincts are

01:00:23.260 going to

01:00:23.520 prove out to

01:00:24.100 be right.

01:00:25.240 And I think

01:00:25.820 you're going to

01:00:26.140 see already

01:00:26.900 flexibility because

01:00:28.080 of it.

01:00:28.840 You know, I

01:00:29.300 think more

01:00:29.700 companies will

01:00:30.380 announce that

01:00:31.120 they're going

01:00:31.480 to bring their

01:00:32.180 production to

01:00:32.820 the U.S.

01:00:33.280 because of

01:00:33.840 it.

01:00:34.620 You know, when

01:00:35.140 Biden said,

01:00:36.740 oh, we're

01:00:37.120 going to

01:00:37.440 unsure more

01:00:38.260 companies, what

01:00:40.120 exactly was he

01:00:40.920 offering?

01:00:42.900 Well, Trump

01:00:44.020 created an

01:00:44.700 asset with

01:00:46.100 tariffs.

01:00:46.940 And the

01:00:47.380 asset is, if

01:00:48.700 you keep

01:00:49.220 producing in

01:00:49.940 these other

01:00:50.380 countries, you're

01:00:51.840 welcome to do

01:00:52.480 it, but it's

01:00:53.020 not going to be

01:00:53.480 economical

01:00:53.940 anymore.

01:00:55.100 So, if you

01:00:55.780 tell the

01:00:56.120 other countries

01:00:56.700 it will never

01:00:57.600 be economical

01:00:58.420 again to

01:00:59.680 produce in

01:01:00.220 another country,

01:01:01.420 well, then

01:01:01.840 they're going to

01:01:02.220 roll up their

01:01:03.220 factory as fast

01:01:04.120 as they can,

01:01:05.240 even if it's

01:01:05.940 expensive, and

01:01:06.820 they're going to

01:01:07.140 move it to the

01:01:07.700 U.S.

01:01:08.640 So, in theory,

01:01:09.760 he's created a

01:01:10.600 framework that

01:01:12.280 should do the

01:01:13.180 most important

01:01:13.880 thing that needs

01:01:14.540 to be done,

01:01:15.460 which is bring

01:01:16.880 our stuff here.

01:01:17.560 Who was it?

01:01:22.000 Was it

01:01:22.660 Balaji Srinivasan,

01:01:25.980 I think, who

01:01:27.080 was talking about

01:01:27.980 the fastest way

01:01:29.240 you could have a

01:01:30.040 robust manufacturing

01:01:31.300 base in the U.S.

01:01:32.680 would be to just

01:01:34.440 say that the area

01:01:35.540 around Starbase,

01:01:37.120 where Elon already

01:01:38.260 has its

01:01:38.680 manufacturing,

01:01:39.920 some of it,

01:01:41.260 just say that

01:01:42.580 it's going to be

01:01:44.760 sort of a no

01:01:45.600 regulation zone,

01:01:46.660 and I think

01:01:49.800 the suggestion

01:01:50.420 was that Elon

01:01:51.340 Musk would be 1.00

01:01:52.340 part of the

01:01:53.220 asset allocation

01:01:54.820 stuff.

01:01:55.460 I'm not sure

01:01:56.180 about that part,

01:01:57.260 but I like the

01:01:58.100 part about having

01:01:58.880 a zone that

01:02:00.820 is relatively

01:02:02.260 free of

01:02:03.120 regulations.

01:02:05.460 The only thing

01:02:06.380 I don't like

01:02:07.020 about it is if

01:02:08.460 you put too

01:02:09.220 much manufacturing

01:02:10.300 in one

01:02:11.120 smallish area

01:02:12.700 that, you

01:02:14.400 know, one

01:02:14.780 good natural

01:02:15.460 disaster,

01:02:16.100 is much

01:02:17.720 worse.

01:02:18.960 So,

01:02:20.360 ideally,

01:02:21.840 it would be

01:02:22.260 some kind of

01:02:22.920 lack of

01:02:23.620 regulations that

01:02:24.700 could be applied

01:02:25.460 to wherever it

01:02:26.240 makes sense to

01:02:26.880 put the factory,

01:02:27.960 because sometimes

01:02:28.500 you need to put

01:02:29.200 it by energy,

01:02:30.180 sometimes you

01:02:30.720 need to put it

01:02:31.400 closer to the

01:02:33.600 city to ship,

01:02:34.960 closer to a

01:02:35.860 waterway to ship,

01:02:36.860 something like

01:02:37.240 that.

01:02:38.740 So, I think it

01:02:39.540 would be better

01:02:40.040 rather than to

01:02:40.560 have a special

01:02:41.460 economic zone,

01:02:43.540 might be better

01:02:44.240 to just say

01:02:45.180 if you're

01:02:45.800 bringing in

01:02:46.300 your company

01:02:47.180 to the United

01:02:47.760 States,

01:02:48.800 you're going to

01:02:49.920 come into a

01:02:50.740 very regulation

01:02:51.700 friendly environment.

01:02:55.600 So, however

01:02:56.440 that works.

01:03:00.540 China's 0.76

01:03:01.020 spokesperson,

01:03:02.660 at least

01:03:02.980 somebody who

01:03:04.140 says they're a

01:03:04.660 Chinese spokesperson

01:03:05.600 on X,

01:03:07.040 was talking about

01:03:08.020 fentanyl,

01:03:08.740 they're not too

01:03:09.180 happy about that,

01:03:10.300 and said,

01:03:10.900 the U.S.,

01:03:11.780 not anyone else

01:03:12.760 is responsible

01:03:13.500 for the fentanyl

01:03:14.540 crisis inside

01:03:15.560 the U.S.,

01:03:16.540 and the spirit

01:03:17.300 of humanity

01:03:18.060 and goodwill

01:03:18.860 toward the

01:03:19.360 American people.

01:03:20.880 We have taken

01:03:21.900 robust steps

01:03:23.020 to assist the

01:03:23.800 U.S.

01:03:24.140 in dealing

01:03:24.840 with the issue.

01:03:26.920 Instead of

01:03:27.660 recognizing our

01:03:28.580 efforts,

01:03:29.480 the U.S.

01:03:30.000 has sought

01:03:30.420 to smear

01:03:31.140 and shift

01:03:31.780 blame to

01:03:32.460 China,

01:03:33.400 and is seeking

01:03:33.900 to pressure

01:03:34.500 and blackmail

01:03:35.240 China with 0.93

01:03:35.880 terror fikes.

01:03:37.180 They've been

01:03:37.640 punishing us

01:03:38.520 for helping

01:03:39.460 them.

01:03:39.740 This is not

01:03:41.100 going to solve

01:03:41.760 the U.S.'s

01:03:42.380 problem and

01:03:43.360 will undermine

01:03:44.080 our counter

01:03:45.040 narcotics

01:03:46.040 dialogue and

01:03:46.840 cooperation.

01:03:49.100 So,

01:03:50.140 do you see

01:03:51.120 what they did

01:03:51.580 there?

01:03:52.780 There's a

01:03:53.320 clever little

01:03:53.920 trick where

01:03:55.560 they tried to

01:03:56.280 say that

01:03:57.160 whoever's

01:03:57.920 responsible is

01:04:00.080 who should

01:04:00.480 solve it.

01:04:02.240 That's not

01:04:02.960 logical.

01:04:04.520 Let me give

01:04:05.340 you an example.

01:04:06.880 If you have

01:04:07.940 a risk of

01:04:08.580 burglars in 0.87

01:04:09.400 your neighborhood

01:04:09.940 and you

01:04:11.180 get burgled,

01:04:12.660 whose

01:04:12.960 responsibility

01:04:13.680 is it?

01:04:14.500 Well,

01:04:14.700 the burglar.

01:04:15.840 Our legal

01:04:16.740 system says,

01:04:17.600 no,

01:04:17.780 if you're

01:04:18.080 the burglar,

01:04:19.000 you're

01:04:19.840 responsible,

01:04:21.080 not the

01:04:21.540 homeowner.

01:04:23.340 But,

01:04:24.140 who can

01:04:25.120 stop the

01:04:25.720 burglar?

01:04:27.060 Only the

01:04:27.680 homeowner.

01:04:28.940 If the

01:04:29.580 homeowner

01:04:29.940 needs bars

01:04:30.580 in the

01:04:30.880 window,

01:04:31.300 do it.

01:04:31.880 If they

01:04:32.220 need weapons,

01:04:33.040 do it.

01:04:33.380 If they

01:04:33.620 need a dog,

01:04:34.380 do it.

01:04:34.760 If they

01:04:35.020 need to

01:04:35.420 make sure

01:04:35.860 their doors

01:04:36.400 are locked

01:04:36.920 and secured,

01:04:37.660 do it.

01:04:39.040 You can

01:04:39.560 make your

01:04:40.080 home less

01:04:40.840 burglarable,

01:04:42.500 even though

01:04:43.480 getting burgled

01:04:44.920 is not your

01:04:46.080 responsibility,

01:04:47.080 it's the

01:04:47.380 responsibility of

01:04:48.340 the burglar.

01:04:49.320 So,

01:04:49.660 when China

01:04:50.020 says it's

01:04:50.940 the responsibility

01:04:51.680 of basically

01:04:53.480 the addicts,

01:04:54.900 that's true.

01:04:56.260 It's also not

01:04:57.380 the right

01:04:57.740 argument.

01:04:58.880 The argument

01:04:59.720 is who can

01:05:00.260 stop it.

01:05:00.820 And my

01:05:02.800 understanding

01:05:03.380 is that when

01:05:04.620 they say

01:05:05.000 they're helping,

01:05:05.760 it's kind

01:05:07.160 of fake.

01:05:08.100 Because I

01:05:08.740 think they

01:05:09.040 also know

01:05:09.540 exactly the

01:05:10.320 names of

01:05:10.860 the people

01:05:11.200 who are the

01:05:11.640 big fentanyl

01:05:12.580 dealers.

01:05:14.060 And I'm

01:05:14.700 pretty sure

01:05:15.200 they're still

01:05:15.600 walking around,

01:05:16.780 still alive.

01:05:18.260 So,

01:05:19.260 it seems to

01:05:19.900 me that China

01:05:20.420 is probably

01:05:20.860 just pretending

01:05:21.700 that they

01:05:22.400 care.

01:05:23.400 And I

01:05:23.700 think that

01:05:24.220 Trump is

01:05:25.400 done with

01:05:25.880 that.

01:05:27.100 So,

01:05:27.560 I think what

01:05:28.080 he's doing

01:05:28.460 is saying,

01:05:28.980 look,

01:05:29.680 you can

01:05:30.080 complain about

01:05:30.720 whose

01:05:30.960 responsibility

01:05:31.560 is all

01:05:32.400 day long.

01:05:33.420 But,

01:05:33.980 you got a

01:05:34.540 tariff.

01:05:35.680 But,

01:05:35.960 it's your

01:05:36.640 responsibility.

01:05:37.520 Yep,

01:05:37.920 yep,

01:05:38.260 great,

01:05:38.940 you got a

01:05:39.440 tariff.

01:05:40.400 But,

01:05:40.780 we're doing

01:05:41.820 all we can.

01:05:42.960 Well,

01:05:43.320 maybe it's

01:05:43.740 not enough.

01:05:44.240 You got a

01:05:44.620 tariff.

01:05:45.420 I like it.

01:05:47.420 So,

01:05:47.780 there's a

01:05:48.380 case where

01:05:48.960 I'm all in

01:05:50.340 on the

01:05:50.640 tariff.

01:05:51.280 Because I

01:05:51.840 do not

01:05:52.300 believe

01:05:52.780 China is 0.85

01:05:54.280 genuinely

01:05:54.800 trying to

01:05:55.500 solve the

01:05:55.980 fentanyl

01:05:56.540 problem.

01:05:58.520 And I'd

01:05:59.240 like to

01:05:59.540 see the

01:05:59.940 U.S.

01:06:00.720 describe that

01:06:02.320 better than

01:06:02.740 I did.

01:06:03.560 So,

01:06:03.800 I'd love to

01:06:04.120 see somebody

01:06:04.640 from the

01:06:05.560 administration

01:06:06.140 say,

01:06:06.960 here's what

01:06:07.860 they're not

01:06:08.320 doing.

01:06:10.040 And then I

01:06:10.840 think you'd

01:06:11.220 see a list

01:06:11.720 of things

01:06:12.240 that you

01:06:13.120 know they

01:06:13.540 could do

01:06:14.220 that they're

01:06:15.300 not doing.

01:06:16.760 So,

01:06:17.400 telling us

01:06:17.860 what they

01:06:18.180 are doing

01:06:18.900 is just

01:06:20.120 propaganda.

01:06:21.480 Because it

01:06:22.160 doesn't tell us

01:06:22.820 what they

01:06:23.200 could be

01:06:23.740 doing that

01:06:24.200 would make

01:06:24.540 the big

01:06:24.920 difference

01:06:25.340 that they're

01:06:25.760 not doing.

01:06:26.380 so only

01:06:27.520 we could

01:06:27.920 say that.

01:06:28.800 So,

01:06:29.060 I don't

01:06:29.500 believe

01:06:29.740 China one

01:06:30.720 bit.

01:06:32.100 But don't

01:06:32.420 ever fall

01:06:32.940 for the

01:06:33.360 it's your

01:06:36.700 responsibility.

01:06:39.840 It might

01:06:40.580 be.

01:06:42.080 But if

01:06:43.120 you're not

01:06:43.460 the one

01:06:43.740 who can

01:06:44.000 solve the

01:06:44.440 problem,

01:06:45.920 somebody else

01:06:46.700 is going

01:06:48.080 to get

01:06:48.320 squeezed.

01:06:49.580 Right now

01:06:50.060 it's them.

01:06:50.400 And then

01:06:52.780 here's a

01:06:53.340 Mexican

01:06:53.700 president

01:06:54.180 with their

01:06:54.700 propaganda

01:06:55.260 on fentanyl.

01:06:57.160 So,

01:06:57.780 the president

01:06:58.200 Sheinbaum

01:06:58.900 said the

01:07:01.460 U.S.

01:07:01.900 Customs and

01:07:02.560 Border Protection

01:07:03.280 data shows

01:07:04.700 that 80%

01:07:05.580 of those

01:07:06.060 arrested for

01:07:06.840 fentanyl

01:07:07.320 trafficking at

01:07:08.820 U.S.

01:07:09.300 ports of

01:07:09.740 entry were

01:07:10.360 U.S.

01:07:10.800 citizens.

01:07:11.820 Oh.

01:07:12.880 So,

01:07:13.320 I guess the

01:07:13.940 implication here

01:07:14.900 is that U.S.

01:07:16.440 citizens are

01:07:17.100 behind the

01:07:17.640 fentanyl trade.

01:07:18.560 Nice try,

01:07:21.040 Mexico.

01:07:22.600 Reject it.

01:07:24.120 Here's what

01:07:24.660 we plan to

01:07:25.540 do or

01:07:25.980 Trump plans

01:07:26.580 to do with

01:07:27.180 those U.S. 0.69

01:07:27.820 citizens who

01:07:28.440 are bringing

01:07:28.820 fentanyl across

01:07:29.800 the border. 1.00

01:07:30.800 Kill them. 1.00

01:07:32.420 It's our 1.00

01:07:32.820 current policy,

01:07:34.160 at least

01:07:34.500 preference.

01:07:35.440 It's not a

01:07:35.960 policy yet,

01:07:36.580 but it's a

01:07:36.920 preference.

01:07:37.700 The preference

01:07:38.200 is that if

01:07:39.220 a U.S.

01:07:39.780 citizen brings 0.99

01:07:40.640 a big

01:07:43.100 quantity of

01:07:43.700 fentanyl across

01:07:44.340 the border, 0.99

01:07:44.880 we kill 1.00

01:07:45.240 them. 1.00

01:07:46.200 Now,

01:07:46.460 we do it

01:07:46.740 legally through

01:07:47.480 the death

01:07:48.180 penalty,

01:07:48.560 and through

01:07:48.920 the courts.

01:07:50.060 But,

01:07:50.900 yes,

01:07:51.760 Scheinbaum,

01:07:52.680 we plan to 1.00

01:07:53.540 kill them. 1.00

01:07:54.960 Now, 1.00

01:07:55.400 you still

01:07:56.200 got to do

01:07:56.640 your thing

01:07:57.200 because they

01:07:58.640 didn't produce

01:07:59.920 it themselves.

01:08:01.160 These Americans

01:08:01.840 didn't own

01:08:02.640 fentanyl labs

01:08:04.100 in Mexico.

01:08:05.540 If they did,

01:08:06.260 they would have 0.91

01:08:06.560 been killed.

01:08:07.620 They're presumably

01:08:08.700 working with

01:08:09.480 the cartels,

01:08:10.480 I assume.

01:08:12.420 But,

01:08:13.000 again,

01:08:13.840 nice try

01:08:14.780 trying to

01:08:15.820 change the

01:08:16.280 topic.

01:08:17.300 As long

01:08:17.920 as we're

01:08:18.260 willing to 1.00

01:08:18.740 kill every 1.00

01:08:19.620 one of 1.00

01:08:19.940 those people

01:08:20.460 who brought

01:08:20.820 the,

01:08:21.560 and I'm

01:08:22.160 in favor

01:08:22.460 of that,

01:08:22.800 by the way,

01:08:24.320 as long

01:08:25.160 as it goes

01:08:25.480 to the

01:08:25.760 courts and

01:08:26.300 it's a

01:08:26.780 legal process.

01:08:28.700 Well,

01:08:29.180 no,

01:08:29.540 I'm going

01:08:29.860 to take

01:08:30.100 it back.

01:08:32.060 My

01:08:32.460 preference

01:08:32.880 would be

01:08:33.960 summary 0.71

01:08:34.420 execution

01:08:35.140 on site,

01:08:36.780 meaning that

01:08:37.940 if they pull

01:08:38.480 somebody over,

01:08:39.740 whether they're

01:08:40.840 American or not, 0.89

01:08:41.800 and they

01:08:42.900 find a

01:08:44.340 barrel of

01:08:45.120 fentanyl

01:08:45.580 pills,

01:08:46.500 they should

01:08:47.500 say,

01:08:47.920 get on your

01:08:48.380 knees,

01:08:49.280 and we

01:08:49.940 should put a 1.00

01:08:50.400 bullet in 1.00

01:08:50.740 their head, 0.97

01:08:51.520 no matter

01:08:52.500 who's

01:08:52.740 watching.

01:08:54.680 And I'm

01:08:55.360 very serious

01:08:56.020 about that,

01:08:57.080 because if

01:08:57.540 somebody's got

01:08:58.220 a barrel of

01:08:59.740 fentanyl in

01:09:00.320 their car,

01:09:02.020 I don't want

01:09:03.320 to hear that

01:09:03.800 they didn't

01:09:04.180 know it was

01:09:04.640 there.

01:09:04.900 like if

01:09:07.440 you can't

01:09:07.900 prevent a

01:09:08.420 barrel of

01:09:08.900 fentanyl

01:09:09.320 from being

01:09:09.780 in your

01:09:10.100 car,

01:09:10.940 and maybe

01:09:11.920 you do a

01:09:13.000 little bit

01:09:13.680 of work

01:09:14.100 to find out

01:09:15.380 it's not

01:09:15.940 an American

01:09:16.720 family on

01:09:17.340 vacation that

01:09:18.020 got somehow

01:09:19.360 blackmailed or

01:09:21.320 something.

01:09:22.140 So there may

01:09:22.700 be a little

01:09:23.460 bit of

01:09:23.820 question asking,

01:09:25.060 but if it's

01:09:25.460 somebody you

01:09:25.960 already have,

01:09:26.740 maybe they've

01:09:27.700 been on your

01:09:28.480 radar,

01:09:30.060 and you

01:09:30.460 suspected them,

01:09:31.900 and then you

01:09:32.340 pull them over

01:09:32.920 at the border,

01:09:33.580 and they got a

01:09:34.120 trunk full of

01:09:34.880 fentanyl, 0.99

01:09:35.800 I say bullet 1.00

01:09:37.360 in the head. 1.00

01:09:39.340 To me,

01:09:40.160 that's a

01:09:40.580 terrorist that

01:09:41.740 you caught in

01:09:42.140 the act.

01:09:43.600 It's a

01:09:43.880 terrorist. 0.97

01:09:45.300 Terrorist you 0.92

01:09:45.920 caught in the

01:09:46.260 act.

01:09:46.640 Summary

01:09:47.040 execution.

01:09:48.200 I've never

01:09:48.620 said that

01:09:49.060 about anybody

01:09:49.540 else,

01:09:50.540 but I think

01:09:51.740 we have to

01:09:53.040 say it's

01:09:54.100 bullet in 0.99

01:09:54.520 the head, 0.99

01:09:55.300 there's no

01:09:55.800 court,

01:09:56.280 we don't

01:09:56.740 need it,

01:09:57.600 we're just 0.99

01:09:58.560 fucking 1.00

01:09:58.960 killing you. 1.00

01:10:00.540 That's my 1.00

01:10:01.220 preference,

01:10:02.020 especially the

01:10:02.660 Americans.

01:10:03.240 I do the

01:10:03.600 Americans first. 0.97

01:10:04.880 Ontario,

01:10:06.280 the wait is

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01:10:51.980 According to

01:11:09.060 Maria Knopf,

01:11:10.760 I was talking

01:11:11.160 about the new

01:11:12.020 survey that came

01:11:12.740 out that America 0.64

01:11:13.960 is choosing Netflix

01:11:15.540 and chill over

01:11:16.400 marriage.

01:11:17.060 There's a whole

01:11:17.440 bunch of

01:11:17.940 statistics about

01:11:19.440 how people are

01:11:20.300 not getting

01:11:20.740 married like 0.92

01:11:21.320 they used to

01:11:21.980 and don't

01:11:22.540 want to have

01:11:22.880 kids like

01:11:23.380 they used to.

01:11:26.280 Researchers say

01:11:27.120 there's a

01:11:27.500 connection conundrum.

01:11:29.180 There's more

01:11:29.580 tech and less

01:11:30.400 actual connections

01:11:31.440 and blah,

01:11:32.580 blah, blah.

01:11:33.380 This is, I

01:11:34.760 guess, on Fox

01:11:35.600 and the

01:11:36.400 sources Heritage

01:11:37.280 Foundation.

01:11:40.840 I'm trying to

01:11:42.040 understand in

01:11:43.420 the most

01:11:45.540 simple way.

01:11:46.560 I'm trying to

01:11:47.140 understand why

01:11:49.360 it is that

01:11:50.020 everything

01:11:50.600 changed.

01:11:52.300 I think the

01:11:53.080 problem is so

01:11:53.820 many things

01:11:54.580 changed.

01:11:56.100 Let me just

01:11:56.680 run through the

01:11:57.440 problems with

01:11:58.580 having kids

01:11:59.660 these days.

01:12:02.080 Careers and

01:12:02.880 families don't 0.99

01:12:03.680 mix very well

01:12:04.500 because if both

01:12:06.280 the parents are

01:12:07.000 working full

01:12:07.820 time and the

01:12:10.140 kids are doing

01:12:11.280 homework full

01:12:12.040 time, you

01:12:12.540 barely see them.

01:12:14.280 All the things

01:12:15.140 that used to be

01:12:15.820 good about family

01:12:17.280 connections doesn't

01:12:19.000 really work if

01:12:19.860 both of you are

01:12:20.500 working.

01:12:21.420 Now, I'm not

01:12:21.920 against both

01:12:23.820 people working.

01:12:24.980 I'm just going to

01:12:25.920 describe the

01:12:26.540 problem.

01:12:27.000 What's the

01:12:27.280 difference?

01:12:29.200 In today's

01:12:30.180 world, kids

01:12:31.500 absolutely hate

01:12:32.660 being with

01:12:33.220 adults.

01:12:34.340 And the only

01:12:35.160 thing they seem

01:12:35.780 to care about is

01:12:36.720 spending time with

01:12:37.480 their friends.

01:12:38.860 If you've seen

01:12:39.740 any modern

01:12:40.440 child, they

01:12:41.760 don't want to

01:12:42.340 spend a

01:12:43.120 freaking minute 0.99

01:12:43.800 with you.

01:12:44.460 after a

01:12:46.340 certain age,

01:12:46.880 when they're

01:12:47.160 young, they

01:12:47.520 do.

01:12:48.100 But at

01:12:48.480 around 12

01:12:49.440 or 13, they're

01:12:51.580 desperate to

01:12:52.820 get away from

01:12:53.420 you.

01:12:54.400 So how

01:12:54.880 satisfying is

01:12:55.700 that?

01:12:57.860 Not very.

01:13:00.860 How about

01:13:01.560 the homework

01:13:03.080 that kids get

01:13:04.060 these days?

01:13:05.420 So it's not

01:13:06.220 unusual that

01:13:07.440 they come home

01:13:08.160 and they

01:13:09.240 start doing

01:13:10.860 homework and

01:13:12.080 they don't

01:13:12.480 even eat

01:13:13.280 together.

01:13:14.460 So the

01:13:14.860 family doesn't

01:13:15.380 even eat

01:13:15.800 together.

01:13:16.240 You don't

01:13:16.440 even spend

01:13:17.020 like one

01:13:17.800 hour at

01:13:18.280 least at

01:13:18.620 the same

01:13:18.940 table.

01:13:19.620 Like people

01:13:20.460 grab some

01:13:21.100 food and

01:13:21.560 go back to

01:13:22.000 their bedroom

01:13:22.560 and say

01:13:24.180 they're doing

01:13:24.560 homework and

01:13:25.920 just do

01:13:26.480 homework until

01:13:27.220 it's like

01:13:27.700 11 o'clock

01:13:28.340 at night.

01:13:29.420 Maybe because

01:13:30.180 they're not

01:13:30.480 doing it as

01:13:30.960 quickly as

01:13:31.480 they could.

01:13:32.820 So homework

01:13:33.620 has ruined

01:13:34.300 home life.

01:13:35.540 It's just

01:13:35.920 ruined it.

01:13:37.240 Now, if you

01:13:38.560 haven't experienced

01:13:39.200 that, it's way

01:13:40.500 different than it

01:13:41.220 was when I was

01:13:41.840 a kid.

01:13:42.200 Do you know

01:13:42.780 how much

01:13:43.080 homework I did

01:13:43.860 as a kid?

01:13:44.980 None.

01:13:46.500 None.

01:13:47.500 We were

01:13:48.460 assigned

01:13:48.860 homework, but

01:13:50.440 we also had

01:13:51.140 enough time

01:13:51.740 during the

01:13:52.200 day that I

01:13:53.900 could do all

01:13:54.420 of my

01:13:54.680 homework.

01:13:55.660 So if I

01:13:56.180 had one

01:13:56.580 study period

01:13:57.360 and an

01:13:59.420 extra 15

01:14:00.300 minutes at

01:14:00.860 lunch, I

01:14:03.260 could bang

01:14:03.680 out all of

01:14:04.160 my homework.

01:14:04.700 I didn't

01:14:04.940 even bring

01:14:05.320 books home.

01:14:06.500 I just

01:14:06.880 never did

01:14:07.460 homework.

01:14:08.760 I did all

01:14:09.480 the homework.

01:14:10.160 I just

01:14:10.500 never did

01:14:10.880 it at

01:14:11.080 home.

01:14:11.680 Didn't

01:14:11.980 need to.

01:14:16.960 And then

01:14:17.580 the other

01:14:19.040 problem is

01:14:19.560 that your

01:14:20.140 spouse is

01:14:20.940 your biggest

01:14:21.460 obstacle to

01:14:22.300 success.

01:14:23.360 Have you

01:14:23.620 ever noticed

01:14:24.080 that?

01:14:24.340 if you

01:14:25.940 have a

01:14:26.240 spouse, in

01:14:27.440 the old

01:14:27.760 days, your

01:14:28.440 spouse was

01:14:29.080 the thing

01:14:29.500 that was

01:14:29.840 your biggest

01:14:30.320 contributor to

01:14:31.300 your success.

01:14:33.280 I'm not saying we

01:14:34.740 should go back to

01:14:35.460 those days, but

01:14:36.960 if the woman 0.98

01:14:38.740 kept up the

01:14:42.380 house and

01:14:43.140 made sure you

01:14:44.260 had some social

01:14:44.940 connections and

01:14:45.900 dinner was on

01:14:46.600 the table and

01:14:47.400 the kids were

01:14:48.400 all there and

01:14:49.260 they were all

01:14:50.200 dressed and

01:14:50.840 happy to see

01:14:51.480 you, then the

01:14:53.340 family and the

01:14:54.360 wife were 1.00

01:14:55.140 supporting the

01:14:55.960 husband and

01:14:57.900 the husband could

01:14:58.620 really lean into

01:14:59.740 work and make

01:15:00.800 money and support

01:15:01.600 the family.

01:15:03.200 And so it was

01:15:03.720 designed so that

01:15:05.960 sides were

01:15:06.600 helping each

01:15:07.120 other.

01:15:07.740 But suppose you

01:15:08.580 have two high

01:15:09.320 powered, successful,

01:15:11.740 well-educated,

01:15:14.200 assertive people

01:15:15.460 married to each

01:15:16.440 other.

01:15:17.700 Almost everything

01:15:18.600 that one does

01:15:19.500 becomes a drag

01:15:20.720 on the other

01:15:21.160 one.

01:15:22.360 I need to

01:15:23.300 work late, so

01:15:25.000 you need to

01:15:26.120 pick up the

01:15:26.740 kids, but I

01:15:28.420 also need to

01:15:29.160 work late.

01:15:31.040 So it becomes

01:15:32.360 basically a

01:15:33.060 competition.

01:15:34.040 Not because

01:15:35.040 anybody is a

01:15:35.720 bad person.

01:15:36.600 It's just the

01:15:37.720 system.

01:15:39.220 Two high

01:15:40.060 powered people

01:15:40.840 are going to

01:15:41.940 be trying to

01:15:42.520 maximize their

01:15:43.380 careers and

01:15:44.220 find out they

01:15:44.780 can't do it and

01:15:46.160 that the biggest

01:15:46.740 problem is the

01:15:47.480 other person.

01:15:48.860 The very

01:15:49.680 opposite of what

01:15:50.400 it used to be.

01:15:54.320 Then there's

01:15:55.140 divorce is too

01:15:56.200 easy, especially

01:15:57.100 when both are

01:15:57.820 working.

01:15:58.140 if you have two

01:15:59.640 incomes and

01:16:02.140 either one of

01:16:03.880 you could live

01:16:04.420 on your own

01:16:04.860 if you had

01:16:05.260 to, it

01:16:06.380 kind of makes

01:16:06.840 divorce a

01:16:07.560 little bit too

01:16:08.320 attractive.

01:16:09.560 So in the

01:16:10.000 old days, it

01:16:11.920 was just

01:16:12.440 terrible to be

01:16:14.100 divorced and so

01:16:14.880 people didn't do

01:16:15.580 it.

01:16:16.100 It just wasn't

01:16:17.100 an option that

01:16:18.080 would work for

01:16:18.560 anybody.

01:16:20.760 Today you rarely

01:16:21.740 see your kids

01:16:22.400 after they're

01:16:23.240 age of 13.

01:16:25.840 And I don't

01:16:26.600 know how

01:16:27.760 satisfying is

01:16:29.500 that.

01:16:29.880 I remember

01:16:30.200 talking to a

01:16:30.860 friend of mine

01:16:31.380 and saying when

01:16:33.140 his kid was

01:16:33.700 going off to

01:16:34.260 college, I

01:16:35.520 said, yeah,

01:16:36.080 what's it going

01:16:36.640 to be like to

01:16:37.260 have an empty

01:16:37.940 house?

01:16:39.040 And he laughed

01:16:39.680 and said, it's

01:16:40.420 been an empty

01:16:40.960 house since the

01:16:42.280 kid was 13

01:16:43.120 because we just

01:16:44.700 never see him.

01:16:46.120 Like he comes

01:16:46.940 home from school,

01:16:47.840 grabs a snack,

01:16:48.680 and then leaves

01:16:49.180 to go with his

01:16:49.760 friends and then

01:16:50.540 shows up at

01:16:51.360 bedtime.

01:16:51.720 It's been an

01:16:53.100 empty house for

01:16:53.860 years.

01:16:55.080 So why would

01:16:55.940 you have that

01:16:56.420 kid?

01:16:57.500 Like where's

01:16:58.200 the part where

01:16:59.180 everybody is so

01:17:00.740 happy in their

01:17:01.440 family situation?

01:17:02.620 It's completely

01:17:03.160 different.

01:17:04.820 I don't think

01:17:05.640 families eat

01:17:06.280 dinner together,

01:17:07.200 hardly ever,

01:17:08.480 because everybody's

01:17:09.220 got six different

01:17:10.080 things they have

01:17:10.660 to do after work

01:17:11.920 or after school.

01:17:14.780 Now, of course,

01:17:16.180 there are

01:17:16.300 exceptions.

01:17:17.300 But it used

01:17:17.720 to be that pretty

01:17:18.920 much everybody

01:17:19.620 ate dinner

01:17:20.080 together.

01:17:20.500 You know, in

01:17:21.340 my family,

01:17:22.360 it was, we

01:17:23.280 had a dinner

01:17:24.300 time.

01:17:25.220 It was five

01:17:25.840 o'clock,

01:17:26.820 sometimes 530,

01:17:28.000 but we were

01:17:28.520 always told what

01:17:29.080 the time was.

01:17:30.280 And it was not

01:17:31.580 optional.

01:17:33.120 It was not

01:17:34.400 optional.

01:17:35.520 You were going

01:17:36.140 to be there,

01:17:37.220 every one of you,

01:17:38.560 and you were

01:17:39.000 going to be there

01:17:39.520 at five o'clock,

01:17:41.460 and you were

01:17:42.460 going to eat

01:17:42.840 whatever was

01:17:43.460 cooked for you.

01:17:44.220 and it was

01:17:47.280 probably the

01:17:48.660 single most

01:17:49.560 family bonding

01:17:50.460 thing that you

01:17:51.440 could do.

01:17:52.260 But I don't

01:17:52.740 see much of

01:17:53.260 that lately.

01:17:54.440 Of course,

01:17:55.040 people can't 0.97

01:17:55.540 afford to get

01:17:56.000 a home with

01:17:56.520 a nice yard,

01:17:57.460 so that makes

01:17:58.300 everything worse.

01:17:59.420 There are too

01:17:59.760 many internet

01:18:00.360 temptations,

01:18:01.240 that's worse.

01:18:02.660 I think if you

01:18:03.560 add women to 1.00

01:18:04.440 the workplace,

01:18:05.880 you know what

01:18:06.200 the biggest

01:18:06.560 problem?

01:18:07.760 Well, I don't

01:18:08.580 know if it's

01:18:08.900 the biggest,

01:18:09.680 probably.

01:18:10.360 The biggest

01:18:11.140 problem of

01:18:11.940 adding women 0.99

01:18:12.540 to the

01:18:12.880 workplace is

01:18:15.440 affairs.

01:18:18.200 If you go

01:18:19.060 to work and

01:18:20.460 you're surrounded

01:18:21.000 by attractive

01:18:21.740 people with

01:18:22.460 the same

01:18:22.840 interests as

01:18:23.480 you because

01:18:23.860 they have

01:18:24.100 similar kind

01:18:24.840 of careers,

01:18:26.180 how is that

01:18:26.780 not going to

01:18:27.340 lead into

01:18:27.820 massive affairs?

01:18:29.660 And the

01:18:29.940 answer is,

01:18:30.520 it does.

01:18:31.600 It does

01:18:32.300 exactly that.

01:18:33.340 In the old

01:18:33.880 days, if you

01:18:34.400 went to work

01:18:34.900 and it was

01:18:35.180 a bunch of

01:18:35.600 dudes because

01:18:37.020 the wives were 0.92

01:18:37.680 doing something

01:18:38.220 else, you'd

01:18:39.240 have to take

01:18:39.700 turns harassing

01:18:40.340 the one

01:18:40.860 secretary.

01:18:41.680 I'm just

01:18:42.300 joking.

01:18:43.340 That's a joke.

01:18:44.480 You didn't

01:18:44.800 take turns

01:18:45.360 harassing the

01:18:45.980 secretary.

01:18:48.340 You just

01:18:49.020 took a

01:18:49.300 number.

01:18:51.040 No, no,

01:18:51.940 I'm joking.

01:18:52.540 You did not

01:18:52.980 do that and

01:18:53.580 don't harass

01:18:54.480 anybody.

01:18:56.640 Anyway, and

01:18:57.480 the more

01:18:57.740 freedom that

01:18:59.300 women have 0.95

01:19:00.000 from the

01:19:00.940 old bounds

01:19:01.760 of the

01:19:02.700 old patriarchy,

01:19:04.280 the more

01:19:05.060 freedom that

01:19:05.640 women get, 1.00

01:19:06.260 the fewer

01:19:06.620 babies they

01:19:07.220 have.

01:19:07.920 It's just

01:19:08.240 sort of,

01:19:08.840 there's no

01:19:09.240 way around

01:19:09.640 that.

01:19:10.340 So, I'm

01:19:12.080 not saying

01:19:12.700 we should

01:19:13.040 go back

01:19:13.580 to the

01:19:14.100 50s.

01:19:15.300 So, if

01:19:16.000 that's what

01:19:16.340 you're hearing,

01:19:16.940 I'm not

01:19:17.240 saying that.

01:19:18.320 I'm saying I

01:19:18.920 have no idea

01:19:19.520 how to solve

01:19:20.020 it because

01:19:20.940 we're definitely

01:19:21.400 not going

01:19:21.960 back to the

01:19:22.500 50s and

01:19:24.400 this definitely

01:19:25.100 doesn't work.

01:19:26.380 But it's not

01:19:27.120 one thing,

01:19:27.720 it's just the

01:19:28.360 whole society

01:19:29.820 from economics

01:19:31.640 to expectations

01:19:32.800 to women in

01:19:35.100 the workplace,

01:19:35.560 place, which

01:19:36.260 again, of

01:19:37.020 course, I'm

01:19:37.540 in favor of.

01:19:39.860 There's not

01:19:40.460 one part of

01:19:41.100 this that

01:19:41.460 works for

01:19:42.880 the long

01:19:43.300 term because

01:19:44.560 we need to

01:19:45.160 produce babies

01:19:45.880 and we need

01:19:46.460 to keep

01:19:46.780 families together.

01:19:47.840 None of

01:19:48.140 this does it.

01:19:49.640 So, if you're

01:19:50.840 looking for

01:19:51.180 the simple

01:19:51.680 solution, there

01:19:53.800 is none.

01:19:55.420 You know, a lot

01:19:56.220 of people say,

01:19:56.760 oh, let's just

01:19:57.880 make tax breaks

01:19:58.960 so that, you

01:20:00.700 know, you get

01:20:00.980 a tax break

01:20:01.820 for having a

01:20:02.820 kid.

01:20:04.400 Maybe that'll

01:20:05.200 work in

01:20:05.620 Hungary, but

01:20:07.380 there's not a

01:20:08.540 chance it's

01:20:09.060 going to work

01:20:09.440 here because

01:20:10.260 of all these

01:20:10.700 other things.

01:20:11.440 You can't

01:20:11.880 solve all of

01:20:12.640 those other

01:20:13.060 problems, and

01:20:13.840 these are all

01:20:14.520 really deep

01:20:15.340 problems.

01:20:16.860 So, we'll

01:20:17.600 see.

01:20:20.060 Meanwhile,

01:20:20.880 Putin has

01:20:21.640 invited Netanyahu

01:20:23.120 from Israel to

01:20:24.560 attend the

01:20:25.160 Victory Day

01:20:25.860 Parade in

01:20:27.100 Moscow.

01:20:27.460 Now, I

01:20:28.940 didn't see

01:20:29.320 if Netanyahu

01:20:30.260 said yes, but

01:20:31.780 I'm going to

01:20:32.500 guess he

01:20:32.880 probably will.

01:20:34.500 And what I

01:20:35.420 like about

01:20:35.880 this is that

01:20:37.440 Putin is

01:20:38.960 giving sort

01:20:39.640 of a master

01:20:40.240 class in

01:20:40.900 persuasion at

01:20:41.760 the same time

01:20:42.340 that Trump

01:20:42.740 is.

01:20:43.920 And Netanyahu,

01:20:45.660 I would say

01:20:46.680 easily the

01:20:47.640 equal in

01:20:48.300 persuasion.

01:20:49.020 One of the

01:20:49.320 best persuaders

01:20:50.200 is Netanyahu.

01:20:54.120 Putin is so

01:20:55.180 smart to do

01:20:57.400 this.

01:20:58.120 Because on

01:20:58.560 one hand,

01:20:59.680 making friends

01:21:00.600 with America's

01:21:01.460 friends, that's

01:21:03.500 definitely going

01:21:04.060 to have an

01:21:04.380 effect on us,

01:21:05.800 right?

01:21:06.700 You know, given

01:21:07.260 that there's a

01:21:08.200 sizable and

01:21:09.420 important Jewish

01:21:10.400 population in the

01:21:11.260 United States who

01:21:12.080 has good feelings

01:21:12.840 about Israel, if

01:21:14.220 Netanyahu says,

01:21:15.300 you know what, I

01:21:16.400 am going to go

01:21:17.000 visit your Victory

01:21:18.180 Day Parade, and

01:21:19.780 if he gets along

01:21:20.500 with Putin and

01:21:21.160 there's nice

01:21:21.740 pictures, it's

01:21:23.440 just going to be

01:21:24.140 one more reason

01:21:25.160 way, maybe we

01:21:26.860 should be Putin's 0.70

01:21:28.520 friend.

01:21:29.640 So again, if

01:21:30.760 you're new to

01:21:31.260 this, I'm not

01:21:32.260 saying Putin's a

01:21:33.060 good guy, you

01:21:34.200 know, let's

01:21:35.340 allow that we

01:21:36.040 know who Putin

01:21:36.980 is, we're not

01:21:38.200 under any weird

01:21:39.280 beliefs that he

01:21:40.560 turned into, you

01:21:41.840 know, Mother

01:21:42.340 Teresa overnight.

01:21:43.720 But if you just

01:21:44.700 look at his

01:21:45.340 game, his

01:21:47.020 persuasion game,

01:21:48.960 befriending

01:21:49.480 Israel in sort of

01:21:51.080 a serious way is

01:21:52.640 not only good

01:21:53.380 for him

01:21:53.680 economically, good

01:21:55.640 for him

01:21:56.220 persuasion-wise,

01:21:57.820 good for him,

01:21:59.000 just good for

01:21:59.680 him in every

01:22:00.120 way, it's just

01:22:01.400 such a smart

01:22:02.020 move that it's

01:22:03.540 hard for me to

01:22:04.260 ignore it.

01:22:05.380 He just keeps

01:22:06.460 getting the

01:22:07.900 right move, and

01:22:09.660 he's just good

01:22:12.300 at it.

01:22:14.300 Anyway, so

01:22:16.680 that's happening.

01:22:19.900 According to

01:22:20.560 the BBC News,

01:22:21.820 the US is

01:22:23.000 pausing

01:22:23.440 intelligence

01:22:24.080 sharing with

01:22:24.960 Ukraine, do

01:22:25.960 you think

01:22:26.180 that's real?

01:22:27.700 Do you think

01:22:28.140 that we're going

01:22:28.540 to pause

01:22:29.080 intelligence

01:22:29.720 sharing with

01:22:30.700 Ukraine?

01:22:32.220 I feel like

01:22:33.060 the first thing

01:22:34.580 I think is, I'm

01:22:35.480 not sure we

01:22:35.980 could pull it

01:22:36.520 off if we

01:22:37.040 tried, because

01:22:38.340 don't you think

01:22:38.980 that within our

01:22:39.920 intelligence

01:22:40.440 community, there

01:22:42.120 would be enough

01:22:42.560 people who don't

01:22:43.420 want it to be

01:22:44.000 paused, that if

01:22:45.540 anything important

01:22:46.240 came up, they'd

01:22:47.120 make sure it got

01:22:47.880 to the Ukraine,

01:22:49.320 because it's the

01:22:51.040 intelligence community.

01:22:52.540 You think they

01:22:53.060 don't have any

01:22:53.740 way to get a

01:22:54.320 message to Ukraine

01:22:55.240 without our own

01:22:57.280 government knowing

01:22:57.960 they did it?

01:22:58.540 Of course they

01:22:59.100 do.

01:23:00.040 They would just

01:23:00.480 have to want

01:23:01.000 to.

01:23:02.000 That's all.

01:23:02.940 So first of all,

01:23:03.640 I don't believe we

01:23:04.440 have the ability to

01:23:06.700 pause any

01:23:07.520 intelligence sharing

01:23:08.380 with Ukraine.

01:23:09.220 I just don't think

01:23:10.100 we have that

01:23:10.560 ability.

01:23:10.920 But if we did, I

01:23:14.860 feel like we'd

01:23:15.840 make an exception

01:23:16.580 if it were

01:23:17.080 anything important.

01:23:19.020 So I think maybe

01:23:20.360 it's just a first

01:23:21.860 show and maybe

01:23:23.140 put a little more

01:23:26.020 pressure on Ukraine

01:23:27.120 to do what we

01:23:28.920 want them to do.

01:23:29.680 We'll see.

01:23:31.500 Hamas has already 0.96

01:23:32.480 told Trump that

01:23:34.000 there's no hostage

01:23:35.040 release within a

01:23:36.080 ceasefire.

01:23:37.480 Trump is really

01:23:39.660 pissed and he's

01:23:40.480 saying it's their

01:23:41.320 last warning.

01:23:42.860 And if they don't

01:23:43.760 free the remaining

01:23:44.660 Israeli hostages,

01:23:46.300 there's going to 0.96

01:23:47.680 be real hell to

01:23:49.240 pay.

01:23:50.700 And Trump said

01:23:51.860 that it is over

01:23:52.700 for Hamas

01:23:53.400 terrorists who

01:23:54.120 do not comply.

01:23:55.540 And that's sort

01:23:56.540 of just doubling

01:23:57.120 down on what he's

01:23:57.960 already said,

01:23:58.560 which didn't make

01:23:59.280 any difference

01:23:59.860 whatsoever.

01:24:01.100 So I would love

01:24:02.760 to tell you I've

01:24:03.420 got this brilliant

01:24:04.120 idea about what

01:24:07.400 the U.S.

01:24:07.940 should do.

01:24:08.380 But unfortunately,

01:24:10.300 the only thing

01:24:11.400 you could do is 0.99

01:24:13.020 just bomb the 0.99

01:24:13.760 whole place and 1.00

01:24:14.440 kill the hostages 1.00

01:24:15.280 and the Hamas 1.00

01:24:16.960 fighters at the

01:24:17.660 same time.

01:24:18.920 Now, I'm going to

01:24:21.080 give you the

01:24:21.760 darkest view of

01:24:25.180 strategy.

01:24:26.360 This is dark.

01:24:28.340 And I definitely

01:24:30.540 would not want

01:24:31.400 this to happen if

01:24:32.520 I were a family

01:24:33.260 member of any

01:24:34.280 hostage.

01:24:34.640 hostage.

01:24:36.080 I wouldn't want

01:24:37.040 this to happen

01:24:37.560 at all.

01:24:39.420 We might have

01:24:40.400 to just say we're

01:24:41.360 done with the

01:24:41.880 whole hostage

01:24:42.460 situation and

01:24:43.680 just, and then

01:24:46.060 Israel just takes 1.00

01:24:46.960 care of whatever

01:24:47.560 they need to do.

01:24:49.040 Because at some

01:24:50.560 point, the

01:24:51.860 hostages will be

01:24:54.160 so, in such

01:24:56.520 bad shape if

01:24:57.560 they're alive at

01:24:58.180 all, that they're

01:24:59.960 not, it's not

01:25:00.760 like they're going

01:25:01.260 to leave and

01:25:01.780 have a happy

01:25:02.380 life.

01:25:04.000 Like, this is

01:25:04.640 permanent damage

01:25:05.740 physically,

01:25:07.260 emotionally,

01:25:08.780 mentally.

01:25:10.000 And at some

01:25:10.600 point, somebody

01:25:14.400 might make the

01:25:15.200 dark, dark

01:25:16.000 decision, and I'm

01:25:16.960 not recommending

01:25:17.620 it, because that

01:25:18.940 would be just

01:25:19.960 ethically and

01:25:20.740 morally wrong.

01:25:22.260 But in terms of

01:25:23.620 strategy, at

01:25:26.560 some point, we're

01:25:28.360 going to say,

01:25:28.900 even the

01:25:30.760 hostages maybe

01:25:31.960 would prefer a

01:25:32.760 quick end.

01:25:34.140 Because being

01:25:34.860 held another year

01:25:35.880 or two underground,

01:25:38.080 I'd rather be 0.97

01:25:39.680 dead. 0.98

01:25:41.100 So if you put me

01:25:42.220 in that situation,

01:25:43.540 I don't think I'd

01:25:44.720 be praying for

01:25:45.500 release in a

01:25:47.000 year.

01:25:48.540 I think I'd be

01:25:49.560 praying for, can

01:25:50.920 you end this as

01:25:51.700 quickly as

01:25:52.220 possible?

01:25:53.320 So if there

01:25:54.920 were some way

01:25:55.580 to do that,

01:25:57.160 the darkest

01:25:58.920 military strategy

01:26:00.820 is to understand

01:26:01.860 that the

01:26:02.480 so-called

01:26:04.680 hostages

01:26:05.420 are maybe

01:26:08.760 beyond the

01:26:10.060 point where

01:26:10.540 even they would

01:26:11.260 want to be

01:26:11.700 saved.

01:26:12.860 Now, of course,

01:26:13.920 there will always

01:26:14.340 be some people

01:26:15.040 who are going

01:26:15.800 to prefer life

01:26:16.540 under every

01:26:17.460 situation.

01:26:19.040 And, you know,

01:26:19.440 maybe they have

01:26:19.960 loved ones that

01:26:20.660 they're caring about

01:26:21.320 more than

01:26:21.720 themselves.

01:26:22.240 That might

01:26:22.940 matter.

01:26:24.000 But we're

01:26:25.440 getting sort of

01:26:26.640 running out of

01:26:27.300 options here.

01:26:28.260 So I'm not

01:26:29.000 going to give

01:26:29.360 Israel any 0.94

01:26:30.060 recommendations.

01:26:32.140 I'll just

01:26:32.580 note that

01:26:34.280 Hamas' fuse 0.99

01:26:35.940 is starting to

01:26:37.140 run out.

01:26:38.300 Because they

01:26:39.380 don't have

01:26:39.840 infinite time

01:26:40.840 to keep saying,

01:26:42.480 if you wait a

01:26:43.060 little bit longer

01:26:43.740 or you give us

01:26:44.480 a ceasefire,

01:26:45.680 I don't think

01:26:47.160 it's going to

01:26:47.520 work anymore.

01:26:49.160 I think we

01:26:49.900 may have reached

01:26:51.260 the limit of

01:26:53.160 what we can

01:26:53.700 productively do

01:26:54.720 for the

01:26:55.060 hostages.

01:26:56.440 And that's

01:26:56.920 the darkest

01:26:57.400 thing I'll

01:26:58.440 ever say,

01:26:58.960 probably.

01:26:59.860 So again,

01:27:00.320 it's not a

01:27:00.780 recommendation.

01:27:02.360 Because to

01:27:03.220 recommend it

01:27:03.900 would be

01:27:04.500 immoral and

01:27:05.380 unethical and

01:27:06.460 deeply evil.

01:27:08.660 But it's

01:27:09.360 also war.

01:27:11.100 And there's

01:27:12.160 also a

01:27:12.800 common sense

01:27:13.620 element that

01:27:14.640 says,

01:27:15.360 are we going

01:27:17.080 to help these

01:27:17.640 hostages by

01:27:18.400 keeping them

01:27:19.120 prisoners

01:27:19.940 underground?

01:27:21.260 For what?

01:27:22.540 Another year?

01:27:23.760 Another two

01:27:24.300 years?

01:27:25.760 Is that good

01:27:26.600 for them?

01:27:27.600 Is it good

01:27:28.020 for anybody?

01:27:29.380 I don't know.

01:27:31.400 No good

01:27:32.140 answers.

01:27:32.760 There's no

01:27:33.100 clean answers.

01:27:34.680 So probably

01:27:35.760 whoever is

01:27:37.500 willing to be

01:27:38.100 the most evil

01:27:38.860 might get the

01:27:40.520 outcome they

01:27:41.040 want.

01:27:42.380 All right,

01:27:42.860 that's all I've

01:27:43.360 got for you

01:27:44.720 today.

01:27:46.780 Just full of

01:27:47.700 news today.

01:27:49.500 What time is

01:27:50.000 it?

01:27:50.220 Yeah, it's

01:27:50.560 time to be

01:27:51.040 done.

01:27:51.780 I'm going

01:27:52.100 to say a

01:27:52.420 few words

01:27:52.860 privately to

01:27:53.540 the people

01:27:54.260 on Locals,

01:27:55.180 the rest of

01:27:55.600 you.

01:27:55.860 Thanks for

01:27:56.220 joining.

01:27:56.700 I will see

01:27:57.220 you tomorrow

01:27:57.940 at the same

01:27:58.240 time, same

01:27:58.620 place.

01:27:58.960 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 06, 2025

Episode 2770 CWSA 03⧸06⧸25

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