Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 06, 2025


Episode 2770 CWSA 03⧸06⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 27 minutes

Words per Minute

144.67293

Word Count

12,729

Sentence Count

816

Misogynist Sentences

21

Hate Speech Sentences

44


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, I talk about an AI that can spot hoaxes, and a meta-analysis to see if the public is good at spotting fake news, and why I don t think it is.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:11.020 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and boy, you're lucky to be here.
00:00:15.440 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand
00:00:20.260 with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cupper, mugger, a glass
00:00:26.000 a tanker, chalice, a stein, a canteen, jugger, flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with
00:00:30.740 your favorite liquid.
00:00:31.600 I like coffee.
00:00:33.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that
00:00:37.240 makes everything way better.
00:00:38.680 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.
00:00:42.080 Let's go.
00:00:49.160 Wasn't my best sip, but it was still great.
00:00:52.060 Well, did you know that Grok, AI, allegedly can now, according to Maria Naufal, he's
00:01:01.140 writing, doing a little write-up, according to Elon Musk, Grok can identify frauds.
00:01:09.640 Let's say you get an email from a Nigerian prince.
00:01:12.800 You could say, hmm, I wonder if that Nigerian prince really needs my money to free his fortune.
00:01:19.180 And then you could run it through Grok, and Grok would say, no, Nigerian princes are not
00:01:26.160 real.
00:01:27.120 It is a scam.
00:01:28.760 And it can spot phishing, phishing as in P-H-I-S-H, phishing scams, and all kinds of red flags.
00:01:39.680 But what I wondered is, can Grok spot hoaxes?
00:01:44.360 So, of course, I asked it about the fine people hoax, and it got it completely correct.
00:01:49.720 And I asked myself, do you think that Grok got the fine people hoax completely correct
00:01:56.460 by itself?
00:01:59.200 Do you think it just looked at the facts and decided, yep, that's a hoax?
00:02:03.740 I don't think there's any chance of that, because I don't think the large language models can do
00:02:08.280 that.
00:02:09.160 I think the large language models would just look at the predominant opinion.
00:02:14.360 And unfortunately, it would still look like there were more people saying it was real,
00:02:19.160 because most of the media would say that.
00:02:21.520 So I think that Grok is being, let's say, the finger is on the scale, just like all the AIs,
00:02:30.560 except that the finger on the scale of Grok is trying to be accurate.
00:02:39.480 I think some of the other AIs, if somebody puts their finger on it, is to keep the propaganda
00:02:43.960 there.
00:02:45.080 But in this case, the fine people hoax is definitely a hoax.
00:02:50.160 And so if there's a little bit of programming in there to make sure that it gets that one
00:02:54.660 right, that wouldn't be the worst thing in the world.
00:02:57.440 But it makes me wonder if it can spot hoaxes in general, because I've taught you the two
00:03:04.060 on the nose rule.
00:03:05.460 I've taught you the one anonymous source rule.
00:03:11.820 I've given you all these rules for spotting hoaxes.
00:03:15.820 Can Grok do that?
00:03:18.000 I'll bet no.
00:03:19.760 But I'll bet it could do someday, and I'll bet it could be trained to do it.
00:03:23.200 If the only thing you did was say, all right, there's a few people who are good at spotting
00:03:30.240 hoaxes.
00:03:31.460 So just look at their feed and try to imitate them.
00:03:35.480 Do what they would have done.
00:03:37.160 Then I think you can get there pretty quickly.
00:03:41.240 For example, in this next story, there was a meta-analysis to see if the public is good
00:03:50.120 at detecting fake news.
00:03:51.940 Oh, here you go.
00:03:53.360 Do you think the public's good at detecting fake news?
00:03:56.840 Well, somebody did a meta-analysis to find out if the public is good at spotting fake news.
00:04:02.600 Do you see the joke yet?
00:04:04.760 As I've taught you, meta-analysis is not real.
00:04:10.760 It's fake science.
00:04:12.220 They use fake analysis to determine whether people can spot fake news.
00:04:19.900 If the people in this study didn't know that they were part of a meta-analysis, well, they
00:04:26.160 probably should have known.
00:04:27.860 No, actually, if it's meta-analysis, it means they're looking at studies that other people
00:04:32.380 already completed.
00:04:34.260 So no, meta-analysis is like horoscopes.
00:04:38.080 And I've given you the long explanation of why.
00:04:42.800 But as soon as you see meta-analysis, just discount it.
00:04:46.860 Just say, nah.
00:04:48.000 I mean, it could be true because a lot of questions are yes, no.
00:04:52.100 Are people good at this?
00:04:53.400 Yes, no.
00:04:54.740 So meta-analysis can be correct, but so can a coin flip.
00:05:00.740 It's basically a coin flip because a human being decides what's in the analysis and what's
00:05:06.300 not.
00:05:06.620 That's the whole trick.
00:05:08.840 And if it's based on the assumption of the person doing it, as opposed to just the data,
00:05:14.580 it's not really a real analysis.
00:05:17.620 So for example, if there's one big study that overwhelms all the other studies, a meta-analysis
00:05:23.460 looks at all the studies and says, all right, one study might be unreliable, but if I look
00:05:29.300 at the average of the studies, I'll get something useful.
00:05:33.100 No, you won't, because let's say one study is big, and you're looking at them and you
00:05:38.100 go, oh, well, we'll throw that big study in there because it's so big, but then all the
00:05:44.860 little ones don't even matter because the big one would overwhelm it.
00:05:47.860 Well, or you say, hmm, this one study says that everything's wrong, and these other studies
00:05:54.320 say things are the other direction.
00:05:57.560 Then you use your judgment and say, huh, I think this one study that disagrees with the
00:06:02.200 other ones was poorly done, in my opinion, because of reasons.
00:06:08.480 And the other ones might be poorly done, but maybe you don't care or they agree with you.
00:06:12.700 So meta-analysis, as soon as you hear those words, run away.
00:06:20.420 So could AI do that yet?
00:06:22.780 Could AI do what I just did and say, oh, yeah, meta-analysis, that's your trigger for not
00:06:31.440 trusting it?
00:06:32.620 Don't think so.
00:06:34.100 Not yet, but it could.
00:06:36.080 It seems well within what would be possible.
00:06:38.440 Well, according to a new study, so researchers found out that from, this is from a source
00:06:50.660 called PLOS One.
00:06:52.180 I've never heard of it, so I'm trying to give credit, but I don't know who that is.
00:06:56.840 It turns out, according to the study, humans are more likely to trust an AI voice that sounds
00:07:03.240 like them.
00:07:05.660 So if you listen to an AI voice that sounded sort of like you, you would trust it more
00:07:11.600 than if it sounded sort of like some stranger you never met.
00:07:16.320 Now, did they need to do that study?
00:07:19.400 Nope.
00:07:20.920 They could have just asked me.
00:07:22.820 It's one of the most well-known, well-documented, well-understood phenomena in the entire world,
00:07:28.480 and it's called pacing, pacing, plus one is a scientific journal.
00:07:36.580 Thank you, Owen.
00:07:40.040 So pacing is when you match the person you're trying to persuade, but the matching could come
00:07:47.380 in a lot of forms.
00:07:48.980 One form would be if you do the same body language.
00:07:53.320 You know, this one is good in a meeting with your boss.
00:07:56.080 Let's say your boss is leaning on the table like I am with both arms.
00:08:00.780 You do the same thing.
00:08:02.260 Your boss won't even notice.
00:08:04.420 Let's say the boss does this.
00:08:06.820 You do the same thing.
00:08:08.460 The boss won't even notice.
00:08:10.080 Let's say you can detect the breathing pattern of your boss.
00:08:16.180 Match it.
00:08:17.440 Just breathe, inhale when they inhale, exhale when they exhale, and do as much as you can.
00:08:21.580 Let's say your boss has a certain way of talking.
00:08:25.920 My best example is some people like to use a lot of war analogies, like, oh, I jumped on
00:08:32.200 that hand grenade, or we'll take that hill tomorrow, or we'll die on that hill.
00:08:38.360 And if you hear that, you just start using some of your own war analogies.
00:08:42.960 It's like, well, it looks like we're going to be battling them today.
00:08:46.440 So that's called pacing.
00:08:48.700 So although a human can't easily reproduce the voice sound of another human, you didn't
00:08:54.820 have to study it.
00:08:56.420 I could have told you with complete certainty, as could 100% of hypnotists, every hypnotist
00:09:04.440 in the world would have said, oh, yeah, obviously, if you can match somebody's voice, that would
00:09:09.400 be killer.
00:09:10.340 So yeah, you didn't have to study it.
00:09:12.580 Just ask me.
00:09:13.220 Meanwhile, OpenAI, according to TechCrunch, Kyle Wiggers is writing, that they're planning
00:09:24.660 to charge for agents.
00:09:27.940 And the charges could be up to $20,000 per month to have an AI-driven agent.
00:09:35.200 Now, an agent would be something like a little humanoid entity that might help you with programming.
00:09:43.220 Or it might be a little humanoid sort of entity that would help you with sales leads or stuff
00:09:49.500 like that.
00:09:50.540 Now, they would cost different.
00:09:52.240 The prices would be different.
00:09:54.280 So if you had the best software developer, it might be $10,000 a month.
00:09:58.560 If you had some lower-level function that a human could do, let's say that the AI agent costs
00:10:09.760 are probably similar to what a human would cost, but lower costs.
00:10:15.940 So ideally, you would save money.
00:10:17.760 Anyway, I'm going to bet against it working.
00:10:22.360 So I don't doubt that there will be a product and there will be a release, but I'm quite
00:10:28.100 certain with my total lack of knowledge of AI, I still feel quite certain that the large
00:10:35.360 language models will never be able to be a reliable agent because of the hallucinations
00:10:42.980 and the lack of knowledge about current things and the complete inability to even look at
00:10:48.720 a file and tell you what's in it.
00:10:50.800 Just the most basic things they can't do.
00:10:53.280 So I think what's going to happen is that the AI portion will just be the user interface
00:11:00.300 and that whatever is the agent is going to be a whole set of non-AI programs, which could
00:11:07.240 be very extensive.
00:11:09.040 And so if you put them together, it might be a good agent, but it won't be the AI that's
00:11:15.120 doing the agent part.
00:11:16.260 It'll just be user interface to a whole bunch of specialized programming for each of these
00:11:21.220 domains.
00:11:22.140 That's what I think.
00:11:23.880 I think the LLM is just a user interface and it's going to be tough to get past that.
00:11:29.260 But as long as the other programs is solid, the agents might be good.
00:11:36.900 It's just that they'd have to develop a whole new technology, not use AI to do the whole
00:11:41.400 thing.
00:11:42.260 That's what I think.
00:11:44.440 I would love to be wrong about that, by the way.
00:11:48.060 Well, a judge has denied Elon Musk's request to block open AI in their conversion from a
00:11:56.080 non-profit to a for-profit company.
00:12:00.640 Now, before you say, wow, I guess that's over.
00:12:04.640 I guess AI, open AI got what it wanted.
00:12:08.180 The judge is only denying blocking it now.
00:12:12.820 And the reason for the denial is that it's not obvious that if it went to court, it would
00:12:18.780 go one way or the other.
00:12:19.940 So apparently, I don't know enough about the law to give you the fine details, but the
00:12:26.060 basic idea is that the judge would have probably blocked it if, looking at the facts, the judge
00:12:35.000 said, all right, if this goes to trial, it's going to get blocked by the court, by the jury
00:12:40.960 or the judge after a trial.
00:12:43.240 So I might as well block it now, because it's almost certainly going to go in that direction,
00:12:47.820 and there's no reason to let them go too far down that road if you know they're going to,
00:12:51.860 let's say, 90% of the chance they're going to get blocked.
00:12:55.360 But the judge called it a toss-up.
00:12:57.680 He goes, I think this one's a coin flip.
00:13:00.840 So that doesn't mean that this is a done deal.
00:13:05.780 It means that the judge can't determine that it will definitely go in one way or the other.
00:13:11.300 So there's at least a 50% chance, according to one judge, that Elon Musk will be able to
00:13:20.320 block them from turning into a for-profit.
00:13:25.460 Now, it feels to me that OpenAI has way too much backing and money and geniuses working
00:13:32.960 for it that it could get in this situation, which is an existential risk to the entire company.
00:13:39.900 And not have a way through it.
00:13:44.780 So, you know, of course, they're up against Elon Musk with all of his resources and all of his brains
00:13:51.320 and all of his personal involvement.
00:13:54.820 And I think his case is really strong.
00:13:57.860 You know, if he gave a gazillion dollars as part of the founding thing and the part of the agreement
00:14:05.760 for taking that money was it would remain non-profit, which was really the central thing he wanted.
00:14:13.020 It was the central thing.
00:14:15.600 He didn't say, go build an AI.
00:14:18.780 He said, if we're going to build an AI, it's got to be open source and, you know, non-profit.
00:14:24.960 So, it does look like fraud to me.
00:14:29.680 And I don't know what argument they would use to make it not fraud.
00:14:34.460 If you take 50 million or whatever it was from somebody with a given set of assumptions
00:14:40.620 that are agreed, and the most important one, the most important one is to stay non-profit,
00:14:48.600 and then you violate that, how could you possibly win that case in court?
00:14:54.520 Now, obviously, the judge is smarter than I am, so the judge thinks it's a coin toss,
00:14:59.620 but it doesn't look like one to me.
00:15:02.280 To me, it doesn't look like a coin toss, but we'll find out what happens.
00:15:06.360 Anyway, this was reported by Julia Shapiro in The Hill.
00:15:15.080 So, this is cool.
00:15:30.340 Johns Hopkins University has developed a bionic hand that knows what it's touching.
00:15:38.180 So, just by touching, it can tell what it has in his hand.
00:15:42.600 Now, that's a big deal.
00:15:45.840 Now, of course, I have an obvious question.
00:15:49.120 If the robot hand knows what it's touching, can it also make eye contact at the same time?
00:15:56.320 And, can I get two of them?
00:16:02.420 Well, never mind.
00:16:05.000 But I think they found the first killer application, if you know what I mean.
00:16:09.840 Let's just say, if this thing really is that good with its hands,
00:16:14.560 a lot of single guys are going to get a domestic robot to help with the dishes
00:16:20.420 and to fold their laundry.
00:16:26.000 You know what I love about this story?
00:16:28.940 The thing I love about this story is that 100% of the men listening to it were instantly,
00:16:36.200 you instantly got to the joke before I finished the sentence.
00:16:40.760 And the women are like, wait, what?
00:16:43.080 Well, all right.
00:16:49.140 Trump is expected to sign an executive order to eliminate the Department of Education,
00:16:55.500 the post-millennials reporting on this.
00:16:59.340 So, you think it's finally going to happen?
00:17:01.500 How many years have I been alive listening to the,
00:17:04.560 oh, Republicans are going to get rid of the Department of Education,
00:17:08.780 and then nothing happens?
00:17:09.940 This looks like it's going to happen.
00:17:14.020 I think this is actually going to happen.
00:17:15.980 It might happen really quickly.
00:17:19.280 Now, Democrats, of course, who don't understand how anything works,
00:17:23.920 will say, well, it's the end of education.
00:17:26.580 I guess nobody's going to get an education down,
00:17:29.540 especially the brown people.
00:17:31.280 So, it looks like it's racist, too.
00:17:33.460 And did I mention, it's a little bit sexist.
00:17:36.020 We don't even know how.
00:17:37.920 So, that's common.
00:17:39.940 But I'm pretty sure this is nothing but reorganizing how we do things
00:17:44.940 and putting control in the States.
00:17:48.120 So, I don't know how much money it will save,
00:17:50.360 because I would think some of that budget ends up at the States.
00:17:53.400 But we'll see.
00:17:53.900 So, Ian Carroll, who some of you know as a very colorful and interesting Internet personality,
00:18:04.860 he's usually working on the conspiracy theories,
00:18:08.020 and whether they're true conspiracy theories or not, we don't know.
00:18:12.480 But he's kind of into the interesting part of the news.
00:18:17.440 And he's talked quite a bit about the Epstein files.
00:18:19.860 And he thinks the Epstein files are never coming out.
00:18:26.200 Now, a hybrid of that, which I've said, is there will be lots of files,
00:18:31.000 and they might come out, but not the good stuff.
00:18:34.740 I think that no matter how many files we get to see,
00:18:38.420 we're just not going to see the good stuff.
00:18:40.400 And what Ian Carroll believes is that the files would be so deeply destructive to Israel
00:18:50.540 that there's just no way we're going to release them,
00:18:54.500 because we're too tight with Israel.
00:18:56.500 Israel has too much of a connection to the United States, let's say.
00:19:01.840 You can say they have too much control over the government.
00:19:06.260 That would be the other way to look at it.
00:19:08.860 I'm just going to say we have too tight a connection,
00:19:12.040 because you end up in the same place.
00:19:13.740 The only part I can be sure of is that we have a tight connection.
00:19:19.200 So if, for example, Israel said, whisper, whisper,
00:19:24.900 you know, this would be the worst thing in the world for Israel,
00:19:28.440 and therefore it would destroy our relationship,
00:19:32.040 we could not survive the release of this.
00:19:34.520 I don't know if that's going to happen, by the way.
00:19:36.300 So I'm not on the side that thinks he was only working for Israel.
00:19:43.620 If you're Epstein, and you're doing what he's been accused of doing,
00:19:48.540 do you think you're going to be faithful to one master?
00:19:54.060 Why?
00:19:54.540 What would cause him to be faithful to one master?
00:19:59.800 I can't think of a reason.
00:20:01.560 Because remember, he's unfaithful in every other way.
00:20:05.200 He's, you know, he'd be the ultimate liar, con man, sexual abuser,
00:20:10.720 you know, on a scale we've rarely ever seen.
00:20:13.880 So do you think that if his bosses were in Israel,
00:20:19.040 that he wouldn't also do some work for the United States,
00:20:22.480 maybe also some work for the UK?
00:20:24.860 You don't think so?
00:20:27.300 I think he would sell it to whoever he could sell it to,
00:20:30.360 and he would gain influence by doing a favor for them.
00:20:33.680 So it might be he had maybe a preferred boss.
00:20:38.900 And, you know, if it turned out that it was Israel,
00:20:41.740 nobody would be surprised.
00:20:43.540 But I feel like, you know,
00:20:46.780 there's something closer to freelancing happening,
00:20:49.680 no matter how he got started.
00:20:51.880 So I feel like there's lots of reasons not to release the good stuff,
00:20:57.160 and it's not just about Israel.
00:21:01.560 Well, also, we're being told the JFK files are coming any minute.
00:21:05.680 There's a website that's already up.
00:21:08.920 And so that's where all the JFK files will be put,
00:21:11.760 and we can look at them and find out all the nothing.
00:21:15.840 I expect to find out absolutely nothing from the JFK files.
00:21:21.240 You don't think that after, what is it, 50 years,
00:21:24.320 whatever the hell it is,
00:21:25.260 you don't think that the good stuff's been removed or scrubbed
00:21:28.800 or was never there in the first place?
00:21:31.120 Don't you think that the only things that are in the file
00:21:33.360 are the things that the bad guys wanted in the file?
00:21:36.880 Because the bad guys had complete control.
00:21:39.580 The people who probably were behind it
00:21:42.140 seemed to have had complete control over everything at that point.
00:21:46.740 Why would they allow for decades
00:21:50.560 the very proof that would put them in jail?
00:21:53.920 Why would they allow that to even exist?
00:21:57.480 You know, if they did the Warren Commission and that was fake,
00:22:00.000 which most of us think was fake,
00:22:02.200 why would they put real information in the files anywhere?
00:22:05.820 It doesn't make any sense.
00:22:07.520 So I'm going to say no real chance
00:22:10.120 we'll see anything new and useful
00:22:12.960 about JFK and or the Epstein files.
00:22:16.760 Now, there might be plenty to talk about,
00:22:19.760 which would be different.
00:22:21.220 So there might be like,
00:22:22.440 oh, there was an alien spaceship
00:22:26.120 that landed at the same time as the assassination.
00:22:29.420 And then it will be,
00:22:30.720 oh, maybe the aliens did it.
00:22:32.880 Yeah, yeah, it's the aliens did it.
00:22:34.380 And we'll just go down some stupid rabbit hole.
00:22:37.200 Same with Epstein.
00:22:39.820 There'll be like one name of somebody who's already deceased.
00:22:43.740 And we'll be like, well, really?
00:22:45.500 He was friends with that serial killer who's deceased?
00:22:50.060 Maybe the serial killer is part of the story
00:22:52.180 and we'll just go down some stupid rabbit hole.
00:22:55.100 So there might be something that grabs our attention.
00:22:59.040 But I don't think it's going to clear anything up.
00:23:01.100 Meanwhile, this is funny.
00:23:07.540 Do you remember when President Trump
00:23:09.620 was reading off all the wastes of money
00:23:11.920 when he did his speech to Congress?
00:23:14.340 And there was all these weird things.
00:23:16.700 And one of the items was
00:23:18.700 that the U.S. was spending $8 million
00:23:21.440 for making mice transgender.
00:23:24.980 So when CNN did their fact-checking,
00:23:28.320 they fact-checked that as fake.
00:23:29.900 The fake that we were spending actually $8 million
00:23:33.780 to make mice transgender.
00:23:36.460 But then they had to take it off their fact-check
00:23:40.580 because apparently it's true.
00:23:45.660 Now, I love that their assumption about Trump
00:23:50.880 is that he exaggerates everything.
00:23:54.080 So, you know, you could call it exaggeration
00:23:56.420 or hyperbole.
00:23:57.440 They might call it lying.
00:23:58.380 So when they say something like this,
00:24:00.720 it just fits their pattern of,
00:24:03.040 oh, he's exaggerating.
00:24:04.660 There's no way.
00:24:05.840 There's no way literally,
00:24:08.180 literally, that they spent $8 million
00:24:10.320 or had an $8 million budget
00:24:12.680 for turning mice trans.
00:24:16.300 But apparently they did.
00:24:18.560 So they had to change their website.
00:24:24.120 Libs of TikTok was calling that out.
00:24:28.120 RFK Jr. was on Fox News lately.
00:24:30.580 And I just like this statement
00:24:33.040 because there's so much controversy
00:24:36.360 and question about RFK Jr.
00:24:38.680 and whether he's going to use science
00:24:40.740 or ignore the science.
00:24:41.900 And I think he does a good job
00:24:43.840 of saying exactly what he plans to do.
00:24:46.940 And he said, quote,
00:24:48.360 we're going to be honest with the American people
00:24:50.540 for the first time in history.
00:24:52.460 Okay.
00:24:53.880 That's a hell of a good start.
00:24:55.740 And he says,
00:24:56.620 about all of the tests and all the studies.
00:24:59.680 Wait.
00:25:00.120 Are you suggesting, RFK Jr.,
00:25:02.760 that the government has not been honest
00:25:05.920 about all the tests and all the studies?
00:25:08.460 Yes, we know that to be true.
00:25:10.560 They have not been honest about it.
00:25:13.180 Have you ever had a conversation
00:25:14.620 with a normie about vaccination testing?
00:25:19.420 It's a wild ride.
00:25:21.240 So they'll say something like,
00:25:22.720 oh, I don't like RFK Jr.
00:25:24.600 because he's against vaccinations.
00:25:26.620 And vaccinations have been tested
00:25:28.260 and studied for decades
00:25:30.620 so that we know they're safe.
00:25:32.760 And they'll say something like,
00:25:34.520 no, they weren't.
00:25:36.300 Oh, yeah, they're studied for decades.
00:25:37.940 We follow them.
00:25:39.060 So we even,
00:25:40.320 not only do we know the short-term effects,
00:25:43.000 but we know the long-term effects
00:25:44.620 because of all the studies
00:25:45.800 that go on for decades
00:25:46.800 after they're released.
00:25:48.280 And I say,
00:25:49.140 there are no studies after they're released.
00:25:51.940 No, no, no.
00:25:52.600 It's not like the COVID ones
00:25:55.380 where they just, you know,
00:25:56.700 did a little bit of studying at first,
00:25:58.420 but then they just released it
00:26:00.000 and then they didn't know
00:26:00.660 what was happening in the long term.
00:26:02.220 And I say,
00:26:03.200 that's all of them.
00:26:05.780 None of them were studied for the long term.
00:26:08.940 And normies will just flip out,
00:26:11.340 tell you you're wrong,
00:26:12.280 change the subject,
00:26:13.780 run away,
00:26:14.360 never talk to you again.
00:26:16.520 Anyway,
00:26:17.580 so,
00:26:18.780 and then he goes on,
00:26:20.600 he says,
00:26:21.320 and that's going to anger
00:26:22.360 some people
00:26:23.020 who want an ideological approach
00:26:25.180 to public health.
00:26:26.660 That is correct.
00:26:28.280 The Democrats are on the automatic
00:26:30.200 against anything
00:26:31.600 MAGA or MAHA.
00:26:34.940 And so the Democrats
00:26:36.680 are once again
00:26:37.680 going to be,
00:26:39.060 it just gets funnier
00:26:42.500 every time it happens.
00:26:44.000 Once again,
00:26:45.420 Democrats are going to be
00:26:46.520 forced into this box
00:26:47.900 where they're against
00:26:49.420 testing drugs
00:26:50.940 to see if they're safe.
00:26:53.580 Which is precisely
00:26:55.400 the thing they thought
00:26:56.440 was happening.
00:26:57.200 and their entire,
00:26:58.820 their entire worldview
00:27:00.600 is based on the thought
00:27:01.760 that science
00:27:02.460 has already,
00:27:04.100 you know,
00:27:05.220 deeply tested
00:27:06.120 all these things.
00:27:07.580 Once they learn
00:27:08.680 that the only person
00:27:10.140 who's in favor
00:27:10.800 of deeply testing them
00:27:12.080 and testing them right
00:27:13.980 and testing them
00:27:14.700 over the long term
00:27:15.500 is RFK Jr.
00:27:17.400 He's the only one
00:27:19.720 who embraces
00:27:20.360 their actual philosophy.
00:27:22.580 They don't know
00:27:23.100 that their philosophy
00:27:23.900 has never been used.
00:27:26.180 Big Pharma just doesn't use
00:27:27.620 the,
00:27:28.640 let's test it forever
00:27:29.840 and make sure it's safe
00:27:31.080 and test it
00:27:32.180 in combination
00:27:32.840 with these things
00:27:33.700 and study,
00:27:35.040 study what happens
00:27:35.900 if you take
00:27:36.540 bunch of shots
00:27:37.380 versus you just get one
00:27:39.040 if you're a baby.
00:27:40.540 Nope.
00:27:41.500 Nope.
00:27:42.580 That's not happening
00:27:43.620 but people think it is.
00:27:44.780 According to Unusual Whales
00:27:48.480 on X,
00:27:50.840 the U.S.
00:27:51.780 is going to appoint
00:27:52.400 some kind of
00:27:53.020 affordability czar
00:27:54.320 and created
00:27:56.000 an affordability council.
00:27:58.600 Now,
00:27:59.100 what exactly
00:28:00.040 are they going to do?
00:28:02.020 Because
00:28:02.620 if the free market
00:28:03.820 can't make stuff
00:28:05.080 affordable,
00:28:06.220 what would an
00:28:07.640 affordability czar do
00:28:08.940 that would help?
00:28:11.840 Now,
00:28:12.420 I heard the other day
00:28:13.480 something I'd never
00:28:14.400 heard before.
00:28:15.480 So,
00:28:15.840 give me a fact check
00:28:16.920 on this.
00:28:17.720 I haven't looked at
00:28:18.540 anything but the
00:28:19.780 comments on it.
00:28:20.800 Somebody said that
00:28:21.640 we get a lot of our
00:28:23.480 eggs
00:28:24.020 from
00:28:25.320 Turkey.
00:28:27.000 Now,
00:28:27.260 I don't mean
00:28:27.700 turkeys are laying eggs,
00:28:29.060 which would be funny.
00:28:30.860 I mean,
00:28:31.500 they do.
00:28:32.640 What I mean is that
00:28:33.840 the country of Turkey
00:28:34.920 is apparently a big
00:28:35.840 egg producer.
00:28:37.180 Is that real?
00:28:38.680 And that we've already
00:28:39.760 increased our number
00:28:41.780 of eggs
00:28:42.280 that we're asking
00:28:43.020 some gigantic
00:28:44.560 amount to make up
00:28:45.480 for the shortfall.
00:28:47.580 Is that true?
00:28:49.600 I'd love to know
00:28:50.500 more about that.
00:28:52.680 So,
00:28:53.300 maybe,
00:28:54.040 maybe,
00:28:56.260 an affordability
00:28:57.180 czar could do
00:28:57.940 stuff like,
00:28:59.340 well,
00:29:00.580 we don't usually
00:29:01.580 get our eggs
00:29:02.240 from,
00:29:02.720 I don't know,
00:29:03.140 Canada or something,
00:29:04.280 but,
00:29:05.080 you know,
00:29:05.360 but now we will.
00:29:06.600 So,
00:29:06.860 there might be some
00:29:07.540 regulations that need
00:29:08.860 to be loosened,
00:29:10.520 something like that.
00:29:14.880 Yeah.
00:29:16.680 Dressing,
00:29:17.320 not eggs.
00:29:20.520 Yeah,
00:29:21.120 I'd never heard
00:29:21.940 we get our eggs
00:29:22.500 from Turkey,
00:29:23.020 so I'm not 100%
00:29:24.040 sure it's true.
00:29:26.180 And then somebody
00:29:27.400 clarified for me
00:29:28.500 something that I had
00:29:29.740 gotten completely wrong.
00:29:31.060 So,
00:29:31.320 this is me doing
00:29:32.520 a fact check
00:29:33.180 on my prior reporting.
00:29:34.860 I'd looked up
00:29:37.060 how long it takes
00:29:38.120 a baby chicken
00:29:40.000 to grow up
00:29:41.020 and create
00:29:42.260 its own eggs.
00:29:44.480 It looked like
00:29:45.420 it wasn't very long.
00:29:47.020 It looked like
00:29:47.600 it was basically
00:29:48.120 a few months
00:29:48.960 and your hen
00:29:50.880 can make chickens.
00:29:52.400 I'm sorry,
00:29:53.020 or your chicken
00:29:53.620 can make eggs.
00:29:54.880 So,
00:29:55.100 I thought,
00:29:55.540 well,
00:29:56.000 why would we ever
00:29:57.640 have to wait
00:29:58.180 more than two months?
00:29:59.860 Because,
00:30:00.200 obviously,
00:30:00.800 the high price
00:30:01.520 of eggs
00:30:02.000 would mean that,
00:30:03.520 you know,
00:30:03.840 as long as we're
00:30:04.560 not afraid
00:30:05.840 of the bird flu.
00:30:07.760 Let's see.
00:30:08.260 Perplexity says,
00:30:09.100 yes,
00:30:09.300 eggs are being imported
00:30:10.140 from Turkey
00:30:10.720 to the U.S.
00:30:13.660 Set to export
00:30:14.740 420 million eggs.
00:30:16.840 I'm surprised
00:30:17.720 that eggs
00:30:18.360 can last that long.
00:30:21.140 Doesn't that
00:30:21.760 surprise you?
00:30:22.840 You know,
00:30:23.060 because the shipping
00:30:23.760 is not going
00:30:24.680 to be short
00:30:25.220 from Turkey.
00:30:26.960 I don't think
00:30:27.720 they fly them in.
00:30:29.300 So,
00:30:29.800 I'm a little surprised
00:30:30.480 about that.
00:30:31.500 But,
00:30:33.100 apparently,
00:30:33.620 somebody said
00:30:36.080 that I was wrong
00:30:37.180 about it only
00:30:37.880 taking a few months
00:30:38.880 for a baby chicken
00:30:40.060 to grow up
00:30:40.680 into a hen
00:30:41.240 that can make
00:30:41.760 more eggs
00:30:42.760 because I guess
00:30:44.600 it takes longer
00:30:45.640 than that.
00:30:47.100 So,
00:30:47.520 maybe they can
00:30:48.340 start laying eggs
00:30:49.620 in a few months,
00:30:51.300 but maybe they're
00:30:51.920 not productive,
00:30:53.420 meaning that
00:30:54.100 they can't produce
00:30:54.960 much or it's not
00:30:55.920 the right kind
00:30:56.400 of egg
00:30:56.820 or it's not,
00:30:57.540 you know,
00:30:58.260 it's not what you
00:30:58.880 would want it
00:30:59.400 to buy at the
00:31:00.060 grocery store.
00:31:00.660 so I think
00:31:01.900 it just takes
00:31:02.360 longer.
00:31:03.700 So,
00:31:03.900 the U.S.
00:31:04.400 should be
00:31:05.160 back in eggs,
00:31:06.560 you know,
00:31:06.860 just in the
00:31:07.440 normal,
00:31:08.220 the normal
00:31:10.580 free market
00:31:11.200 way,
00:31:11.980 but it might
00:31:12.820 take over
00:31:14.220 a year.
00:31:15.380 Could be
00:31:16.160 closer to
00:31:16.960 two years.
00:31:18.340 So,
00:31:19.500 the free market
00:31:20.760 will clearly,
00:31:21.780 clearly adjust
00:31:23.600 to the fact
00:31:24.180 that eggs
00:31:24.960 cost a lot
00:31:25.760 and there's
00:31:26.900 a shortage,
00:31:27.620 so let's
00:31:28.240 make more
00:31:28.680 chickens.
00:31:29.060 it's just
00:31:30.160 going to
00:31:30.340 take a
00:31:30.640 little
00:31:30.760 while.
00:31:34.460 Anyway,
00:31:35.000 so if
00:31:35.840 you have
00:31:36.020 the right
00:31:36.400 affordabilities
00:31:37.180 are,
00:31:38.260 maybe you
00:31:38.740 could make
00:31:39.040 a difference.
00:31:40.340 I just
00:31:40.680 don't know
00:31:41.000 exactly what
00:31:41.740 kind of
00:31:42.060 things they
00:31:42.440 would do.
00:31:44.040 Meanwhile,
00:31:44.720 oil prices
00:31:45.320 have gone
00:31:46.840 down to a
00:31:47.400 three-year
00:31:47.920 low,
00:31:48.820 according to
00:31:49.400 Financial Times,
00:31:50.920 Tom Wilson
00:31:51.460 is reporting,
00:31:53.560 and so
00:31:55.460 the Brent
00:31:56.460 type of
00:31:58.640 oil has
00:31:59.640 dropped
00:31:59.900 below $70
00:32:00.600 a barrel
00:32:01.280 because of
00:32:03.640 a larger
00:32:04.620 than expected
00:32:05.280 increase in
00:32:06.080 U.S.
00:32:06.700 crude stocks.
00:32:09.280 So,
00:32:10.300 are we
00:32:12.020 already going
00:32:12.800 to see a
00:32:14.520 big difference
00:32:15.160 in oil prices,
00:32:16.000 which would
00:32:16.980 then work
00:32:17.600 through the
00:32:17.980 entire economy
00:32:18.800 fairly quickly?
00:32:20.760 I don't
00:32:21.360 know.
00:32:21.940 And then my
00:32:22.500 question is,
00:32:23.260 OPEC had
00:32:23.800 just announced
00:32:24.460 it was going
00:32:24.920 to do a
00:32:25.240 major increase
00:32:26.300 in production.
00:32:28.200 Is OPEC
00:32:29.140 still going
00:32:29.860 to do a
00:32:30.560 major increase
00:32:31.440 at the
00:32:32.120 same time
00:32:32.660 prices reach
00:32:33.540 to three-year
00:32:34.180 low?
00:32:35.800 Or is
00:32:36.480 that still
00:32:36.920 high enough
00:32:37.520 where they
00:32:38.160 think,
00:32:38.580 yeah,
00:32:39.060 still worth
00:32:39.560 doing a
00:32:39.920 little extra
00:32:40.440 production?
00:32:42.260 So,
00:32:42.620 oil prices
00:32:43.620 are just
00:32:44.680 so hard
00:32:45.080 to predict.
00:32:46.660 You know,
00:32:46.840 there's
00:32:47.040 politics in
00:32:48.020 there,
00:32:48.260 and there's
00:32:48.580 free market
00:32:49.120 in there,
00:32:49.620 and there's
00:32:49.980 physical
00:32:50.900 constraints in
00:32:51.800 there.
00:32:52.360 There's a
00:32:52.580 lot going
00:32:52.960 on.
00:32:54.880 So,
00:32:55.200 but,
00:32:56.680 I would
00:32:57.460 say,
00:32:57.980 you know,
00:32:58.260 as Trump
00:32:59.000 often says,
00:33:01.620 the,
00:33:01.880 you know,
00:33:03.140 oil is
00:33:03.620 like the
00:33:04.080 liquid gold.
00:33:06.600 He quotes
00:33:07.520 the Beverly
00:33:08.500 Hillbillies,
00:33:09.680 liquid gold.
00:33:11.120 Anyway,
00:33:12.260 it could
00:33:13.620 be that
00:33:14.620 if the
00:33:14.980 only thing
00:33:15.660 you did
00:33:16.120 is get
00:33:17.720 all kinds
00:33:18.400 of oil
00:33:19.340 going in
00:33:19.960 all kinds
00:33:20.460 of ways
00:33:20.820 from OPEC
00:33:21.540 doing more
00:33:22.200 because we
00:33:23.300 twisted their
00:33:23.980 arm maybe
00:33:24.560 behind the
00:33:25.160 scenes,
00:33:26.260 and the
00:33:28.160 U.S.
00:33:28.500 doing more
00:33:29.120 because the,
00:33:30.340 you know,
00:33:31.040 the constraints
00:33:31.800 have been
00:33:32.120 lifted by
00:33:32.740 the Republican
00:33:34.640 administration.
00:33:35.900 If the
00:33:36.580 only things
00:33:37.140 you did
00:33:37.440 were those
00:33:37.860 things,
00:33:39.460 you should
00:33:39.900 see prices
00:33:41.880 coming down
00:33:42.660 within a
00:33:43.260 year.
00:33:44.240 You know,
00:33:44.500 one of the
00:33:44.780 things that
00:33:45.260 Trump has
00:33:47.380 done,
00:33:47.840 but I think
00:33:48.400 he could do
00:33:48.860 better,
00:33:49.500 in his
00:33:49.840 speech he
00:33:50.300 did say,
00:33:50.960 you know,
00:33:51.180 there would
00:33:51.380 be,
00:33:52.400 in his
00:33:52.980 own words,
00:33:53.500 he said
00:33:53.740 there would
00:33:53.920 be temporary
00:33:54.540 pain,
00:33:55.360 but you
00:33:56.280 have to
00:33:56.560 get through
00:33:57.040 it to
00:33:57.320 get to
00:33:57.560 the good
00:33:57.820 stuff.
00:33:59.180 And I
00:34:02.020 think maybe
00:34:02.700 he needs
00:34:03.160 to reinforce
00:34:03.860 that,
00:34:05.220 maybe just
00:34:06.140 a little bit
00:34:06.860 stronger in
00:34:07.520 that.
00:34:08.120 Now,
00:34:08.640 it's really
00:34:09.220 hard for
00:34:11.340 somebody like
00:34:11.940 Trump,
00:34:12.320 who's
00:34:12.580 optimist,
00:34:13.260 optimist,
00:34:13.800 optimist,
00:34:14.280 to tell you
00:34:15.140 that you're
00:34:15.540 going to have
00:34:15.840 to suffer
00:34:16.320 for a little
00:34:16.820 while.
00:34:18.140 So,
00:34:18.660 he might
00:34:19.520 have the
00:34:19.900 right instinct
00:34:20.600 by downplaying
00:34:22.180 that as much
00:34:22.760 as possible,
00:34:23.520 because it's
00:34:23.840 going to
00:34:24.060 happen whether
00:34:25.840 people feel
00:34:26.480 bad about it
00:34:27.080 or not.
00:34:27.660 It's just
00:34:28.020 going to
00:34:28.240 happen.
00:34:29.520 So,
00:34:30.700 but I'd
00:34:31.400 feel it would
00:34:31.800 be a little
00:34:32.360 more transparent
00:34:33.680 if he said,
00:34:35.060 yeah,
00:34:35.280 the only way
00:34:36.140 we're going
00:34:36.500 to get prices
00:34:37.080 down is to
00:34:38.620 do some
00:34:39.000 things that
00:34:39.620 are going
00:34:41.120 to be
00:34:41.540 pretty hard
00:34:42.560 to take
00:34:43.040 in the
00:34:43.440 short run.
00:34:43.880 And if
00:34:45.940 he could
00:34:46.220 offer
00:34:46.500 anything that
00:34:47.120 would give
00:34:47.360 people relief
00:34:48.140 in the
00:34:48.560 short run
00:34:49.080 on food
00:34:50.660 prices or
00:34:51.420 anything else,
00:34:52.880 you know,
00:34:54.000 that would
00:34:54.200 be great.
00:34:55.080 So,
00:34:55.260 maybe if
00:34:55.880 you had
00:34:56.140 some way
00:34:56.560 to make
00:34:57.220 the short
00:34:57.920 run a
00:34:58.340 little bit
00:34:58.720 easier to
00:34:59.500 survive,
00:35:01.240 then people
00:35:02.540 would understand
00:35:03.240 that waiting
00:35:03.840 for the long
00:35:04.500 run,
00:35:04.780 which might
00:35:05.140 only be
00:35:05.760 a year or
00:35:06.520 two,
00:35:07.560 is worth
00:35:08.240 doing.
00:35:11.420 Meanwhile,
00:35:12.040 the Pentagon
00:35:12.440 says it's
00:35:13.060 going to use
00:35:13.460 AI to speed
00:35:14.560 up their
00:35:14.920 military
00:35:15.340 decision-making.
00:35:16.400 We've heard
00:35:16.680 that before.
00:35:18.000 The Hill is
00:35:18.600 reporting on
00:35:19.140 this today.
00:35:20.540 And,
00:35:21.100 of course,
00:35:23.720 that seems
00:35:24.340 necessary.
00:35:25.840 Like,
00:35:26.320 I don't think
00:35:26.740 you can get
00:35:27.540 around it.
00:35:28.420 And I
00:35:29.280 believe that
00:35:29.760 humans will
00:35:30.480 still be making
00:35:31.160 the real
00:35:31.540 decisions.
00:35:32.780 But instead
00:35:33.600 of a human
00:35:34.140 looking for
00:35:34.840 a target,
00:35:36.060 you know,
00:35:36.260 a target's
00:35:36.740 going to pop
00:35:37.260 up and the
00:35:37.840 AI is going
00:35:38.480 to say,
00:35:38.780 this is probably
00:35:39.380 something you
00:35:39.960 should shoot.
00:35:40.840 And then the
00:35:41.520 human gets to
00:35:42.160 decide,
00:35:42.640 yeah,
00:35:42.860 that does
00:35:43.380 look like
00:35:43.800 something I
00:35:44.300 ought to
00:35:44.540 shoot.
00:35:45.860 So if we
00:35:46.880 don't do it,
00:35:47.380 the enemies
00:35:47.780 will do it.
00:35:48.960 So it has
00:35:49.780 to be done.
00:35:50.940 There's
00:35:51.360 definitely a
00:35:51.760 risk to it,
00:35:52.240 of course.
00:35:54.120 So Trump
00:35:54.860 has announced
00:35:55.400 that we've
00:35:57.120 captured the
00:35:57.940 ISIS terrorist
00:35:59.020 guy who did
00:36:00.740 the Abbey
00:36:01.320 Gate attack.
00:36:02.900 That was as
00:36:03.760 we're leaving
00:36:04.720 Afghanistan,
00:36:05.760 the terrible
00:36:06.180 attack at
00:36:06.920 the base
00:36:08.560 there.
00:36:09.980 And that
00:36:10.260 that terrorist
00:36:10.900 is on,
00:36:12.140 well,
00:36:12.860 I wouldn't
00:36:13.120 call him
00:36:13.440 terrorist,
00:36:13.960 just say
00:36:14.320 ISIS.
00:36:16.100 And that he's
00:36:16.480 on his way
00:36:17.000 back to the
00:36:17.580 United States.
00:36:19.480 But ex-CIA
00:36:20.740 agent,
00:36:21.440 Sarah Adams,
00:36:22.800 who made
00:36:23.420 a lot of,
00:36:24.640 got a lot of
00:36:25.520 publicity being
00:36:26.640 on a Sean
00:36:27.440 Ryan show,
00:36:29.660 she knows,
00:36:30.880 she worked
00:36:31.540 when as
00:36:32.200 an ex-CIA
00:36:33.360 person,
00:36:33.960 she worked
00:36:34.420 apparently
00:36:35.300 enough in
00:36:36.460 that domain
00:36:37.040 that she
00:36:37.500 knows that
00:36:39.420 it's the
00:36:39.740 wrong guy.
00:36:42.280 So apparently
00:36:43.240 we're bringing
00:36:43.800 the wrong guy
00:36:44.600 in and
00:36:45.700 pretending that
00:36:46.960 we think he
00:36:47.620 is the
00:36:48.240 mastermind of
00:36:49.460 that big
00:36:50.180 killing.
00:36:51.600 And she
00:36:52.440 says,
00:36:52.880 nope,
00:36:53.260 here's the
00:36:53.760 list of
00:36:54.200 who it
00:36:54.480 really was.
00:36:55.680 And so
00:36:56.400 she's got
00:36:56.820 the goods.
00:36:57.860 She's giving
00:36:58.380 you the names
00:36:59.020 of the people
00:36:59.560 that it
00:36:59.900 really was.
00:37:00.460 and she's
00:37:02.460 ex-CIA
00:37:03.120 and she
00:37:04.280 seemed to
00:37:04.680 have worked
00:37:05.080 in that
00:37:05.400 domain,
00:37:06.120 so she's
00:37:06.800 not guessing.
00:37:08.620 So he
00:37:11.160 might have
00:37:11.440 been there,
00:37:11.920 they think,
00:37:12.880 but he
00:37:13.200 wasn't the
00:37:13.620 mastermind.
00:37:16.300 So we'll
00:37:16.980 see.
00:37:17.480 So far,
00:37:18.240 I don't have
00:37:18.760 any reason
00:37:19.220 to think
00:37:19.620 that Sarah
00:37:21.080 Adams would
00:37:21.980 be lying
00:37:22.960 about that.
00:37:24.180 It sounds
00:37:24.500 like something
00:37:24.940 she knows
00:37:25.380 about.
00:37:26.480 So we'll
00:37:26.840 see.
00:37:27.320 I always
00:37:27.920 wondered how
00:37:28.420 we really
00:37:28.820 know how
00:37:29.240 anybody did
00:37:29.880 anything.
00:37:30.460 So maybe
00:37:32.540 that's the
00:37:33.860 answer to
00:37:34.240 my question.
00:37:36.200 All right.
00:37:38.060 So according
00:37:39.020 to,
00:37:40.240 there's a
00:37:43.160 survey
00:37:43.680 showing that
00:37:45.920 more Americans
00:37:46.520 think that
00:37:47.240 President Trump
00:37:48.020 is changing
00:37:48.700 the U.S.
00:37:49.280 economy for
00:37:49.840 the worse,
00:37:51.160 for the
00:37:51.600 worse,
00:37:52.040 not the
00:37:52.440 better,
00:37:53.400 by a
00:37:54.240 slight
00:37:54.480 majority.
00:37:55.460 Now,
00:37:56.680 what survey
00:37:59.240 was this?
00:37:59.980 Well,
00:38:00.300 it was a
00:38:00.720 survey by
00:38:01.340 NPR and
00:38:02.280 PBS and
00:38:04.040 Marist
00:38:05.640 polling.
00:38:07.480 So do you
00:38:08.200 trust something
00:38:10.420 that comes up
00:38:11.140 with a
00:38:11.500 negative view
00:38:12.240 of Trump
00:38:12.820 if it comes
00:38:14.140 from NPR
00:38:14.920 and PBS?
00:38:15.500 If you're
00:38:18.200 paying attention
00:38:18.860 at all,
00:38:19.840 you know that
00:38:20.300 those are two
00:38:20.860 entities that
00:38:21.620 are seriously
00:38:23.100 anti-Trump all
00:38:24.080 the time and
00:38:25.300 that Trump is
00:38:25.920 criticized
00:38:26.560 mercilessly.
00:38:28.220 You couldn't
00:38:29.060 even come up
00:38:29.720 with any
00:38:30.720 source that
00:38:31.340 would be less
00:38:31.960 trustable or
00:38:33.500 less credible on
00:38:34.740 this or any
00:38:35.600 other topic,
00:38:36.240 really.
00:38:37.800 But here are
00:38:38.280 some other
00:38:38.620 things.
00:38:38.960 If you ask
00:38:39.880 the general
00:38:40.340 public,
00:38:41.720 is Trump
00:38:42.720 doing things
00:38:43.340 that are good
00:38:43.820 for the
00:38:44.140 economy,
00:38:45.440 what does
00:38:46.740 the general
00:38:47.200 public know
00:38:47.840 about economics?
00:38:49.720 They kind of
00:38:50.500 know what
00:38:50.800 their prices
00:38:51.280 are today.
00:38:52.860 So that's
00:38:53.640 really a
00:38:54.100 different question
00:38:54.760 from is he
00:38:55.640 doing things
00:38:56.160 that are good
00:38:56.540 for the
00:38:56.820 economy,
00:38:57.600 because that
00:38:59.540 would include
00:39:00.380 it's going to
00:39:01.320 make things
00:39:01.780 worse for a
00:39:02.460 little while,
00:39:03.220 but you have
00:39:03.940 to do it
00:39:04.540 to get to
00:39:05.540 the better
00:39:05.880 place that
00:39:06.480 would be way,
00:39:07.120 way,
00:39:07.360 way better.
00:39:07.800 Now,
00:39:09.060 how much
00:39:09.520 of the
00:39:09.780 public
00:39:10.040 understands
00:39:10.760 that?
00:39:12.060 That the
00:39:12.820 normal way
00:39:13.560 of things
00:39:14.080 is there's
00:39:14.780 going to
00:39:14.960 be cost
00:39:16.320 up front
00:39:16.940 to get
00:39:18.060 any benefits
00:39:18.740 later?
00:39:19.860 Very few.
00:39:21.260 How many
00:39:21.740 people understand
00:39:22.660 tariffs?
00:39:24.420 I don't.
00:39:27.100 So if you
00:39:27.920 ask me,
00:39:28.520 is he doing
00:39:29.520 a good job
00:39:30.060 with those
00:39:30.460 tariffs?
00:39:31.320 I would
00:39:31.920 take the
00:39:32.500 Dana Perino
00:39:33.540 view,
00:39:34.500 which is,
00:39:35.340 well,
00:39:35.560 let's wait
00:39:35.860 and see,
00:39:36.680 because it's
00:39:37.800 just
00:39:38.320 unfathomable.
00:39:39.600 We don't
00:39:40.140 know how
00:39:40.820 much is
00:39:41.220 going to
00:39:41.420 be just
00:39:41.840 a quick
00:39:42.280 negotiation.
00:39:43.520 We don't
00:39:44.080 know how
00:39:44.380 much is
00:39:44.780 going to
00:39:44.980 be permanent.
00:39:45.780 We don't
00:39:46.060 know how
00:39:46.380 many companies
00:39:48.340 will respond
00:39:49.260 by moving
00:39:50.140 production here
00:39:51.560 or how long
00:39:52.300 it would
00:39:52.540 take.
00:39:53.380 So many
00:39:54.260 variables,
00:39:55.340 so many
00:39:56.140 unknowns.
00:39:57.540 How in the
00:39:58.060 world can
00:39:58.800 the public
00:39:59.500 know if
00:40:01.520 the economy
00:40:02.100 and the
00:40:03.020 decisions made
00:40:04.240 about it
00:40:04.840 are heading
00:40:05.940 in the right
00:40:06.320 direction?
00:40:07.800 Even the
00:40:08.180 experts don't
00:40:08.920 know that.
00:40:10.820 I mean,
00:40:11.140 they have
00:40:11.340 opinions,
00:40:12.320 but I'll
00:40:12.880 bet you
00:40:13.180 could get
00:40:13.660 100
00:40:14.020 economists
00:40:14.880 to look at
00:40:16.300 what's happening
00:40:16.860 right now
00:40:17.420 from the
00:40:18.180 Trump
00:40:18.400 administration,
00:40:19.360 and they
00:40:19.840 would just
00:40:20.200 line up
00:40:20.760 by,
00:40:21.760 I think
00:40:22.140 they would
00:40:22.400 line up
00:40:22.800 almost
00:40:23.120 entirely
00:40:23.760 by whether
00:40:25.300 they're
00:40:25.500 Democrats
00:40:25.920 or Republicans.
00:40:27.600 So what
00:40:27.960 do you think
00:40:28.260 the public's
00:40:28.840 doing?
00:40:29.700 Probably
00:40:30.180 lining up
00:40:30.940 almost
00:40:31.680 exactly
00:40:32.820 by the
00:40:33.560 party
00:40:33.860 that they
00:40:34.280 support.
00:40:37.740 So
00:40:38.300 John
00:40:39.260 Fetterman
00:40:39.700 continues to
00:40:40.860 try to be
00:40:41.280 that voice
00:40:42.700 of common
00:40:43.280 sense,
00:40:43.920 you know,
00:40:44.060 the only
00:40:44.360 person in
00:40:45.460 the Democrat
00:40:45.960 side who
00:40:46.440 makes sense.
00:40:48.920 He was
00:40:49.200 talking about
00:40:49.720 how the
00:40:50.040 Democrats
00:40:50.500 did their
00:40:51.040 little pink
00:40:52.720 outfits and
00:40:53.460 their paddles
00:40:54.080 with their
00:40:54.400 little signs
00:40:54.880 on it and
00:40:55.520 all the
00:40:56.360 acting out
00:40:57.080 during the
00:40:57.940 president's
00:40:59.120 address to
00:41:00.340 Congress.
00:41:01.400 And here's
00:41:01.820 what he
00:41:02.060 posted on
00:41:02.540 X.
00:41:03.040 He called
00:41:03.780 the Democrats
00:41:04.660 and their
00:41:05.120 behavior a
00:41:06.280 sad cavalcade
00:41:07.220 of self-owns
00:41:08.500 and unhinged
00:41:09.420 petulance.
00:41:10.580 He's talking
00:41:10.980 about his
00:41:11.320 own side.
00:41:12.820 It only
00:41:13.420 makes Trump
00:41:14.000 look more
00:41:14.480 presidential and
00:41:15.420 restrained.
00:41:16.360 Yup.
00:41:17.600 We're becoming
00:41:18.640 the metaphorical
00:41:19.660 car alarms
00:41:20.440 that nobody
00:41:21.000 pays attention
00:41:21.720 to and it
00:41:22.720 may not be
00:41:23.220 the winning
00:41:23.600 message.
00:41:27.540 Now,
00:41:29.100 Fetterman
00:41:29.540 also agreed
00:41:30.520 with Trump
00:41:31.180 on getting
00:41:33.180 tough against
00:41:35.180 Hamas because
00:41:36.040 the hostages
00:41:37.040 have not been
00:41:37.660 released.
00:41:38.700 So it looks
00:41:39.060 like, oh,
00:41:40.800 and also
00:41:41.340 jumping ahead
00:41:43.080 a little bit,
00:41:45.120 Governor
00:41:45.500 Newsom, who's
00:41:46.620 got his little
00:41:47.120 podcast, he's
00:41:48.120 also moving to
00:41:48.940 the middle, it
00:41:49.820 seems.
00:41:50.920 He had Charlie
00:41:51.600 Kirk on his
00:41:52.320 show.
00:41:53.120 Okay, that's
00:41:53.740 unusual, his
00:41:54.980 little podcast.
00:41:56.400 And apparently
00:41:57.600 Newsom is
00:41:59.680 opposed, I
00:42:01.300 don't know if
00:42:01.660 he always was,
00:42:02.560 but at the
00:42:02.980 moment he
00:42:03.460 says he's
00:42:03.940 opposed to
00:42:05.020 biological men
00:42:06.360 playing in
00:42:07.040 women's sports.
00:42:08.880 So you can
00:42:09.780 see the people
00:42:11.320 who want to
00:42:12.120 angle for some
00:42:13.260 kind of
00:42:13.620 presidential run,
00:42:15.400 we assume that
00:42:16.480 they're doing
00:42:16.860 that, we don't
00:42:17.560 know for sure.
00:42:18.660 But it looks
00:42:19.500 like they just
00:42:20.100 have to find
00:42:21.740 something like
00:42:22.580 common sense.
00:42:24.100 sports, and
00:42:25.040 if they're not
00:42:25.780 willing to do
00:42:26.360 the easy
00:42:26.920 stuff, and
00:42:28.960 the trans issue
00:42:30.240 with sports,
00:42:31.040 that's an easy
00:42:32.100 one.
00:42:33.340 The public is
00:42:34.480 very well
00:42:35.220 decided which
00:42:36.280 way they're
00:42:36.640 going on that.
00:42:38.040 So I don't
00:42:38.820 take too
00:42:39.560 seriously the
00:42:40.480 people who
00:42:40.960 are doing
00:42:41.300 the, oh,
00:42:42.640 I'm right in
00:42:43.220 the middle,
00:42:43.640 I'm a common
00:42:44.180 sense guy too.
00:42:45.860 So I'm not
00:42:46.460 buying it as
00:42:47.580 genuine, but
00:42:48.760 there's no doubt
00:42:50.080 they have to do
00:42:50.640 it.
00:42:52.160 But when I
00:42:52.740 listen to
00:42:53.140 Fetterman,
00:42:53.540 mocking his
00:42:55.180 own side for
00:42:55.940 being like a
00:42:57.080 car alarm that
00:42:57.740 nobody listens
00:42:58.360 to, and
00:42:58.980 unhinged and
00:43:00.280 petulant, I
00:43:02.620 compare it to
00:43:03.360 the James
00:43:05.360 Carville plan,
00:43:06.720 where he
00:43:07.480 finally just
00:43:08.000 gave up and
00:43:08.680 said, you
00:43:09.460 know, the
00:43:10.080 smartest thing
00:43:10.660 we can do,
00:43:11.560 that's my
00:43:12.160 Carville impression,
00:43:13.400 smartest thing
00:43:13.940 we can do is
00:43:14.420 just do
00:43:14.740 nothing, do
00:43:15.560 nothing, just
00:43:16.600 wait for Trump
00:43:17.440 to implode.
00:43:18.580 That's all you
00:43:19.100 have to do.
00:43:20.180 Just wait for
00:43:21.000 it to implode.
00:43:22.500 So do
00:43:23.660 nothing, don't
00:43:24.440 do anything.
00:43:25.600 And I'm
00:43:26.180 thinking to
00:43:26.580 myself, the
00:43:29.600 don't do
00:43:30.780 anything idea
00:43:31.820 sounds like the
00:43:33.500 dumbest thing in
00:43:34.240 the world, until
00:43:35.540 you see what the
00:43:37.220 Democrats do when
00:43:38.160 they do something.
00:43:39.640 Every time they do
00:43:40.760 something, it's so
00:43:42.400 lame, it's so
00:43:44.460 ridiculous, that
00:43:45.920 even their own
00:43:47.260 team is calling it
00:43:48.220 unhinged and
00:43:49.020 petulant and
00:43:50.240 makes you look
00:43:50.880 ridiculous.
00:43:52.540 That's their
00:43:53.140 own team.
00:43:55.200 So yeah, Carville,
00:43:57.280 I think I
00:43:59.180 mocked Carville
00:44:00.140 at first for
00:44:01.340 saying that their
00:44:01.940 best strategy is to
00:44:02.940 do nothing.
00:44:04.140 But when you
00:44:04.920 compare it to
00:44:05.540 what they actually
00:44:06.100 do when they do
00:44:06.960 something, when
00:44:08.560 they do something,
00:44:09.360 it's always worse.
00:44:11.060 So yeah, James
00:44:12.060 Carville might be
00:44:12.860 the smartest
00:44:13.380 person on the
00:44:14.160 team, just do
00:44:15.240 nothing.
00:44:15.560 Now, would
00:44:16.640 that be enough
00:44:17.260 for Trump to
00:44:19.460 implode?
00:44:20.740 Well, implode
00:44:21.600 might be too
00:44:22.220 strong a word, but
00:44:23.740 do you think
00:44:24.120 there's any chance
00:44:25.260 that any president
00:44:26.680 could go four
00:44:27.520 years this
00:44:29.140 aggressively without
00:44:31.020 something coming
00:44:32.260 off the rails,
00:44:33.400 just in the
00:44:34.060 normal course of
00:44:35.240 things?
00:44:35.860 It might not be
00:44:36.660 some existential
00:44:37.800 threat, but it
00:44:39.180 could be that
00:44:39.820 something, uh-oh,
00:44:41.840 trade with China
00:44:43.400 really went south
00:44:44.860 in a bad way and
00:44:46.000 we're running out
00:44:46.860 of toilet paper.
00:44:47.820 You could imagine
00:44:48.820 that happening,
00:44:49.580 right?
00:44:50.580 Like, I don't
00:44:51.020 know what it
00:44:51.480 would be.
00:44:52.140 It wouldn't
00:44:52.940 necessarily be
00:44:53.700 tariff-related,
00:44:54.760 but you could
00:44:55.700 imagine, you
00:44:57.140 know, things
00:44:57.580 getting even
00:44:58.180 worse in
00:44:58.680 Ukraine or
00:44:59.720 Russia getting
00:45:01.060 a little more
00:45:03.060 adventurous than
00:45:04.240 they would have
00:45:04.640 been otherwise
00:45:05.580 or something.
00:45:07.000 So just
00:45:08.880 waiting for
00:45:09.620 things to start
00:45:10.520 looking bad in
00:45:11.480 their normal
00:45:12.240 course of a
00:45:14.120 normal president
00:45:14.840 presidency, it's
00:45:16.440 not the worst
00:45:17.080 idea in the
00:45:17.660 world for a
00:45:18.240 strategy because
00:45:18.960 they really
00:45:19.400 have nobody
00:45:20.400 who can do
00:45:21.040 anything that
00:45:22.940 works.
00:45:23.960 If you don't
00:45:25.300 have a single
00:45:26.000 competent person
00:45:27.100 on your team,
00:45:28.680 yeah, waiting
00:45:29.480 until the other
00:45:30.100 one makes
00:45:30.460 mistakes and
00:45:31.140 then criticizing
00:45:31.700 it, it's your
00:45:33.220 best play.
00:45:35.800 Meanwhile,
00:45:36.820 Ayanna Presley
00:45:38.640 gets into this
00:45:40.160 back and forth
00:45:40.940 with James
00:45:41.480 Comer at a
00:45:42.540 hearing.
00:45:42.900 And of
00:45:43.900 course, she
00:45:44.240 tried to do
00:45:44.760 the thing
00:45:45.140 where she
00:45:45.500 was just
00:45:45.860 talking over
00:45:46.740 and using
00:45:47.220 up the time
00:45:48.220 that she
00:45:48.540 wasn't allowed
00:45:49.260 and acting
00:45:50.380 bad.
00:45:51.800 Of course, she
00:45:52.620 was, again,
00:45:53.280 dressed as her
00:45:54.060 super villain
00:45:54.920 self, which I
00:45:56.140 love.
00:45:58.220 But she gets
00:46:00.280 into it and she's
00:46:01.020 saying, data from
00:46:01.800 Texas shows that
00:46:03.240 U.S.-born Americans
00:46:04.380 commit more, I
00:46:05.980 won't use the
00:46:06.540 words, but, you
00:46:07.520 know, sex,
00:46:08.060 crimes, and
00:46:08.520 murder than
00:46:09.020 immigrants.
00:46:09.500 Comer finally
00:46:11.660 had enough of
00:46:12.300 her because it
00:46:12.820 wasn't her time
00:46:13.540 and she wasn't
00:46:14.620 supposed to be
00:46:15.120 speaking, I
00:46:15.620 guess.
00:46:16.500 And Comer
00:46:17.200 goes, this
00:46:17.800 trend of you
00:46:18.560 all trying to
00:46:19.240 get thrown on
00:46:20.020 a committee so
00:46:20.840 you can get
00:46:21.400 on MSNBC is
00:46:22.880 going to end.
00:46:23.840 We're not going
00:46:24.380 to put up with
00:46:24.940 it.
00:46:25.600 I like how he
00:46:26.160 framed it, that
00:46:27.640 you're all trying
00:46:28.240 to get thrown
00:46:28.880 out so that you
00:46:30.160 can end up on
00:46:30.820 MSNBC to tell
00:46:32.020 your story about
00:46:32.720 how you got
00:46:33.120 thrown out.
00:46:33.780 It does look
00:46:35.540 like that's all
00:46:36.140 it is, you
00:46:37.200 know, pure
00:46:37.780 theater.
00:46:38.920 And so of all
00:46:39.560 the theater kids,
00:46:42.020 because if you
00:46:43.180 haven't noticed
00:46:43.740 by now, the
00:46:45.060 Republicans seem
00:46:46.640 to do policies
00:46:47.780 which they
00:46:48.320 actually believe
00:46:49.320 and have always
00:46:49.920 believed, such
00:46:51.200 as getting rid
00:46:51.900 of the Department
00:46:53.720 of Education.
00:46:55.260 They've always
00:46:56.100 believed that.
00:46:57.420 So if they go
00:46:58.140 ahead and do
00:46:58.600 that, that's
00:46:59.280 just Republicans
00:47:00.580 being Republicans
00:47:01.500 and authentic.
00:47:03.780 But the
00:47:04.620 Democrats are
00:47:06.400 almost entirely
00:47:07.380 driven by these
00:47:08.280 theater kids who
00:47:10.020 do dress up and
00:47:11.180 then they do an
00:47:11.760 act and they
00:47:13.060 bring their act
00:47:13.780 to, you know,
00:47:15.160 to whatever event.
00:47:17.160 Oh, we're going
00:47:17.760 to pretend there
00:47:18.900 were the unhappiest
00:47:19.800 people in the
00:47:20.400 world.
00:47:20.860 Look at my face.
00:47:21.680 Oh, look at my
00:47:22.720 sad face.
00:47:23.880 I've got a sad,
00:47:24.540 did anybody notice
00:47:25.280 my sad face?
00:47:26.420 Oh, you need
00:47:27.140 arguments and data?
00:47:28.640 Well, I don't
00:47:29.100 have any arguments
00:47:29.840 and data, but
00:47:30.580 look at my sad
00:47:31.660 face.
00:47:32.380 I'm so disappointed
00:47:33.740 in you.
00:47:34.600 Oh, so
00:47:35.280 disappointed.
00:47:37.160 But the best
00:47:38.080 one is Ayanna
00:47:39.020 Presley.
00:47:40.720 Because I like
00:47:41.520 that she goes
00:47:42.040 the extra mile
00:47:42.880 to match her
00:47:44.640 wardrobe and
00:47:45.560 style to her
00:47:47.620 evil supervillain
00:47:49.720 persona.
00:47:51.480 And a lot of
00:47:53.160 the other
00:47:54.100 theater kids
00:47:55.780 just think they
00:47:57.200 can just sort
00:47:58.660 of, you know,
00:47:59.900 mumble through
00:48:00.520 it, like
00:48:01.480 Adam Schiff.
00:48:02.920 Oh, Adam
00:48:03.540 Schiff.
00:48:04.500 Oh, everything
00:48:05.760 that happens is
00:48:07.280 bad if Trump
00:48:08.100 does it.
00:48:09.060 And he does
00:48:09.900 his theater kid
00:48:10.700 thing, but he
00:48:11.560 just wears a
00:48:12.100 regular suit.
00:48:13.400 And I'm thinking,
00:48:14.380 well, you could
00:48:15.120 learn a little bit
00:48:16.160 about how to do
00:48:17.740 wardrobe and hair.
00:48:18.940 And by the way,
00:48:19.640 I love, I actually
00:48:21.000 love Ayanna
00:48:22.180 Presley's whole vibe
00:48:24.160 and look.
00:48:24.600 I think she does
00:48:25.440 a great job of
00:48:26.220 it, like
00:48:27.560 legitimately.
00:48:28.480 She's just really
00:48:29.760 good at it, the
00:48:30.560 fashion thing.
00:48:31.440 But the fashion
00:48:32.380 she chose just
00:48:34.540 looks like a
00:48:35.240 supervillain.
00:48:36.180 And then she
00:48:37.020 acts like one.
00:48:38.380 And I think,
00:48:39.220 well, that's
00:48:39.600 perfect.
00:48:40.720 You're committed.
00:48:41.880 I like the fact
00:48:42.560 you're committed
00:48:43.060 to the role.
00:48:43.960 But none of it
00:48:44.780 looks real.
00:48:46.060 It doesn't look
00:48:46.980 like she's even
00:48:47.640 slightly committed
00:48:48.560 to her own
00:48:49.100 opinions.
00:48:49.640 It looks like
00:48:50.100 she got the
00:48:51.040 script.
00:48:51.360 And she's
00:48:52.660 like, and
00:48:54.120 in scene
00:48:54.780 one, I
00:48:56.300 will be
00:48:56.720 talking over
00:48:57.380 people until
00:48:58.240 I get kicked
00:48:58.860 out.
00:48:59.520 And in scene
00:49:00.180 two, I
00:49:00.700 will appear
00:49:01.120 on Rachel
00:49:01.680 Maddow's
00:49:02.220 show.
00:49:03.220 It just
00:49:03.640 looks like
00:49:04.020 acting.
00:49:07.020 Chris Cuomo
00:49:07.880 is mocking
00:49:08.540 Democrats in
00:49:09.740 Congress, saying
00:49:10.860 that they picked
00:49:11.520 another hill to
00:49:12.260 die on.
00:49:13.560 There's a New
00:49:14.060 York poll just
00:49:14.720 came out.
00:49:15.620 67% of
00:49:16.820 Democrats say
00:49:17.960 biological men
00:49:19.220 shouldn't play
00:49:19.880 in a women's
00:49:20.440 sport.
00:49:21.360 67% of
00:49:23.400 Democrats are
00:49:25.860 against
00:49:26.280 biological men
00:49:27.300 and women's
00:49:27.880 sports.
00:49:28.940 And still, the
00:49:30.140 leadership wants
00:49:32.520 those biological
00:49:33.560 men and women's
00:49:34.460 sports, wants
00:49:35.840 a bed.
00:49:37.260 And so Chris
00:49:38.340 Cuomo is on
00:49:39.080 the side of
00:49:40.900 reason.
00:49:41.640 It's like, okay,
00:49:43.040 this is just
00:49:43.740 crazy shit.
00:49:45.400 Now, I should
00:49:46.620 tell you full
00:49:47.780 disclosure, I'm
00:49:50.380 very pro Chris
00:49:51.480 Cuomo.
00:49:53.160 Now, if you
00:49:54.320 don't know why,
00:49:55.260 when I got
00:49:55.980 canceled, he
00:49:57.380 was the only
00:49:57.920 person in the
00:49:58.740 big media
00:50:00.320 world who
00:50:01.720 said, why
00:50:02.700 don't you come
00:50:03.120 on my show
00:50:03.740 because I'm
00:50:04.620 actually curious,
00:50:06.140 genuinely curious
00:50:07.000 about what you
00:50:07.840 had to say and
00:50:08.560 what's behind it.
00:50:10.040 And he asked
00:50:11.280 some tough
00:50:11.700 questions, which
00:50:13.580 I expected.
00:50:14.440 It's part of the
00:50:15.000 process.
00:50:15.520 It's no problem.
00:50:17.000 But he let me
00:50:18.120 talk.
00:50:19.280 He didn't
00:50:19.880 cut me off.
00:50:20.820 He didn't
00:50:21.120 insult me.
00:50:22.220 He gave me a
00:50:23.060 full, complete
00:50:24.660 vehicle to say
00:50:27.120 what I wanted.
00:50:27.860 And wow, did I
00:50:28.760 appreciate it.
00:50:29.580 Because, you
00:50:30.360 know, I was in
00:50:31.160 a pretty deep
00:50:31.780 hole at that
00:50:32.760 time.
00:50:33.820 So for anybody
00:50:34.540 to be willing
00:50:35.460 to reach into
00:50:36.880 the deep hole
00:50:37.500 and give me a
00:50:39.360 genuine, fair
00:50:40.620 airing of
00:50:42.080 things with
00:50:43.600 some pushback
00:50:44.740 that was
00:50:45.500 completely
00:50:46.180 appropriate,
00:50:47.720 I'll just
00:50:48.980 always appreciate
00:50:49.620 that.
00:50:50.800 So now you
00:50:51.500 might say
00:50:51.940 cynically, oh,
00:50:52.820 it was good
00:50:53.220 for ratings.
00:50:54.200 I don't know.
00:50:55.100 Maybe it was,
00:50:55.740 maybe it wasn't.
00:50:56.960 But I
00:50:57.860 appreciate it.
00:50:59.580 Tim Walsh
00:51:01.400 allegedly has
00:51:03.060 been advising
00:51:04.800 Canada how
00:51:06.340 to avoid
00:51:07.240 and circumvent
00:51:09.360 Trump's
00:51:09.960 tariffs.
00:51:13.180 Can Democrats
00:51:14.980 be any
00:51:15.940 dumber?
00:51:17.840 What could
00:51:18.440 be less
00:51:19.040 useful than
00:51:21.060 trying to
00:51:21.680 thwart
00:51:22.180 your very
00:51:24.080 government?
00:51:25.540 Like, even
00:51:26.000 if you don't
00:51:26.440 like the
00:51:26.880 idea, it's
00:51:28.560 just not a
00:51:29.200 good look
00:51:29.820 to side
00:51:30.820 with the
00:51:31.180 other country.
00:51:32.160 Just not
00:51:32.620 a good
00:51:32.900 look.
00:51:33.880 And I
00:51:34.380 think Tim
00:51:34.960 is one
00:51:36.720 of the
00:51:37.000 silliest
00:51:37.580 and most
00:51:39.680 ridiculous
00:51:40.140 of the
00:51:41.120 Democrats.
00:51:42.720 So he
00:51:43.960 will not
00:51:44.320 be your
00:51:44.620 next
00:51:44.840 president.
00:51:48.140 Meanwhile,
00:51:48.880 James O'Keefe
00:51:49.700 and his
00:51:50.640 OMG group
00:51:52.360 got another
00:51:53.060 undercover win.
00:51:55.420 So with
00:51:56.580 undercover
00:51:57.080 cameras,
00:51:57.880 they were
00:51:58.500 talking to
00:51:58.900 a state
00:51:59.320 forum
00:51:59.660 VP who
00:52:01.660 admits that
00:52:03.920 he's trying
00:52:05.680 to exclude
00:52:06.460 white people
00:52:07.140 from employment.
00:52:09.420 And he
00:52:10.220 says, I'm
00:52:10.740 being biased
00:52:11.500 away from
00:52:12.320 my own
00:52:12.720 kind because
00:52:13.360 he's a
00:52:13.820 white guy.
00:52:14.780 And he
00:52:18.460 says he
00:52:18.820 wants the
00:52:19.140 2040
00:52:19.660 workforce to
00:52:21.480 be more
00:52:22.020 Hispanic and
00:52:22.840 Latino.
00:52:24.160 Now, of
00:52:24.740 course, we
00:52:25.160 all understand
00:52:25.980 that he's
00:52:28.360 trying to
00:52:28.900 meet those
00:52:29.940 diversity
00:52:30.420 goals.
00:52:31.880 And as I
00:52:32.860 often say,
00:52:33.580 I like
00:52:34.020 diversity.
00:52:35.080 It's just
00:52:35.800 that when
00:52:36.180 you force
00:52:36.680 it, you
00:52:37.580 get a
00:52:37.920 worse result
00:52:38.640 than if
00:52:39.060 you didn't.
00:52:40.320 So if
00:52:40.960 diversity
00:52:41.840 happens because
00:52:42.740 we do a
00:52:43.240 great job
00:52:43.780 of educating
00:52:44.400 everybody and
00:52:45.180 then the
00:52:46.420 workforce looks
00:52:47.620 just like the
00:52:48.220 public, well,
00:52:49.560 that would be
00:52:50.100 a heck of a
00:52:50.700 good thing.
00:52:51.800 That would be
00:52:52.200 great.
00:52:53.180 But if you
00:52:54.580 force it,
00:52:56.160 you end up
00:52:57.160 with taking
00:52:58.780 identity over
00:52:59.920 capability and
00:53:02.680 there's no way
00:53:03.460 around that if
00:53:04.800 you're really
00:53:05.820 focused on
00:53:07.820 that goal of
00:53:08.560 hitting those
00:53:09.040 targets.
00:53:10.000 So you're
00:53:10.900 always going
00:53:11.280 to go deeper
00:53:12.120 into the
00:53:12.680 unqualified than
00:53:13.640 you wanted
00:53:14.040 to and you
00:53:14.900 won't admit it
00:53:15.480 while you're
00:53:15.820 doing it, but
00:53:16.320 you'll know
00:53:16.700 when you do
00:53:17.120 it.
00:53:17.500 It's just
00:53:18.000 built into
00:53:18.500 the system.
00:53:19.980 So what do
00:53:20.640 you think of
00:53:20.960 that?
00:53:21.380 State Farm
00:53:22.200 as a white
00:53:24.460 guy in power
00:53:25.260 who's making
00:53:25.880 sure that other
00:53:26.700 white guys can't
00:53:27.660 get the job
00:53:28.380 he has.
00:53:29.980 I'm going to
00:53:30.620 say again,
00:53:32.100 I have been
00:53:32.980 grossly
00:53:33.700 discriminated
00:53:34.560 against in
00:53:36.040 my two
00:53:36.820 corporate careers
00:53:37.740 and later in
00:53:38.460 my TV
00:53:39.340 career for
00:53:40.320 being a
00:53:40.840 white guy.
00:53:42.700 But all of
00:53:43.640 that discrimination
00:53:44.460 as far as I
00:53:45.120 know came from
00:53:45.900 old white guys
00:53:46.920 who had already
00:53:48.320 reached their
00:53:48.860 position and in
00:53:50.300 order to stay in
00:53:51.120 their positions,
00:53:51.760 they had to
00:53:53.140 pretend that they
00:53:54.100 were so into
00:53:54.880 diversity that they
00:53:55.900 would discriminate
00:53:56.520 against their own
00:53:57.400 kind.
00:53:58.120 That's what this
00:53:58.820 State Farm fucker
00:53:59.820 is doing.
00:54:00.860 So let me just
00:54:01.580 say, this guy's a
00:54:02.580 piece of shit.
00:54:04.400 Like, I get
00:54:05.720 that he's got
00:54:06.520 these noble
00:54:07.200 goals.
00:54:08.420 Oh, I have
00:54:09.060 some noble
00:54:09.560 goals and
00:54:10.260 they're not
00:54:10.580 even, I'm not
00:54:12.020 saying they're
00:54:12.380 not noble.
00:54:13.700 I'm saying that
00:54:14.760 in order to
00:54:15.540 reach them, you
00:54:16.280 have to
00:54:16.620 discriminate
00:54:17.100 against people
00:54:17.920 like me.
00:54:18.800 He says he
00:54:19.340 knows he's
00:54:19.840 doing it.
00:54:20.720 Fuck you.
00:54:21.960 Just fuck
00:54:22.760 you completely.
00:54:25.060 And your
00:54:25.620 company has
00:54:26.320 some explaining
00:54:26.960 to do if he's
00:54:28.140 still employed.
00:54:28.800 You have a lot
00:54:30.080 of explaining
00:54:30.600 to do if he's
00:54:31.260 still employed.
00:54:33.100 And if you
00:54:33.680 had a choice
00:54:34.340 of using their
00:54:35.800 insurance or
00:54:36.460 somebody else's,
00:54:37.360 well, that'd be
00:54:38.660 an easy choice
00:54:39.300 for me.
00:54:40.360 I wouldn't even
00:54:41.140 consider them
00:54:41.840 unless it was
00:54:42.340 my last choice.
00:54:43.680 Might be.
00:54:44.400 Might be my
00:54:44.940 last choice.
00:54:47.620 Well, so
00:54:49.120 I guess Trump
00:54:51.900 is going to
00:54:52.400 delay some
00:54:53.320 of the
00:54:53.700 Mexico
00:54:55.240 tariffs and
00:54:57.300 Canada
00:54:57.720 tariffs.
00:54:58.800 and he's
00:54:59.680 waiting for
00:55:00.280 the largest
00:55:01.480 automakers to
00:55:02.700 make adjustments
00:55:03.580 before they
00:55:04.280 kick in.
00:55:05.300 How does
00:55:05.660 any of that
00:55:06.140 make sense?
00:55:07.680 What exactly
00:55:08.520 are large
00:55:09.060 automakers
00:55:09.640 going to do
00:55:10.120 in one month
00:55:10.880 that makes
00:55:11.900 any difference?
00:55:12.380 You can't do
00:55:12.760 anything in a
00:55:13.300 month.
00:55:14.580 So, I mean,
00:55:15.060 maybe you
00:55:15.440 can announce
00:55:16.060 something.
00:55:17.520 You know,
00:55:17.860 you can announce
00:55:18.580 something maybe,
00:55:19.460 but you couldn't
00:55:19.920 do anything in
00:55:20.560 a month.
00:55:21.500 So, everything
00:55:22.640 about the
00:55:23.360 tariffs, I'm
00:55:25.980 going to put
00:55:26.300 it in the
00:55:26.580 category of
00:55:27.340 it could be
00:55:29.960 a good
00:55:30.240 idea, but
00:55:32.440 it might
00:55:33.800 not be, but
00:55:35.620 how do I
00:55:36.720 tell?
00:55:37.900 You know, I
00:55:38.500 mean, as I
00:55:39.720 tell you way
00:55:40.460 too often, I
00:55:40.980 have a degree
00:55:41.460 in economics
00:55:42.120 and I've
00:55:43.220 got an MBA
00:55:43.760 from a top
00:55:44.980 business school
00:55:45.660 in Berkeley,
00:55:46.440 and I don't
00:55:48.640 understand where
00:55:50.900 the tariffs are
00:55:51.700 going to take
00:55:52.120 us, but I
00:55:53.700 do trust
00:55:55.540 Trump on
00:55:56.580 this.
00:55:57.220 Who said
00:55:57.800 this?
00:55:58.120 Was it
00:55:58.380 Greg
00:55:58.680 Goffeld
00:55:59.280 who put
00:56:00.080 it this
00:56:00.400 way?
00:56:01.680 And I
00:56:02.480 agreed with
00:56:02.940 it.
00:56:03.900 Trump's
00:56:04.360 instincts
00:56:05.180 have been
00:56:07.260 unbelievably
00:56:08.800 good.
00:56:10.060 If you
00:56:10.620 were to
00:56:10.820 look at
00:56:11.120 all the
00:56:11.400 things he
00:56:11.820 called just
00:56:12.500 years in
00:56:13.060 advance,
00:56:14.340 you know,
00:56:14.580 years in
00:56:15.180 advance,
00:56:15.660 everything from
00:56:16.320 immigration to
00:56:17.280 you name it,
00:56:17.980 he's been
00:56:20.740 spot on
00:56:21.620 about things
00:56:23.020 that often
00:56:24.340 I didn't
00:56:24.800 fully understand.
00:56:27.580 This might
00:56:29.100 be one of
00:56:29.580 those situations.
00:56:31.340 And the
00:56:32.000 thing that you
00:56:32.500 can never be
00:56:33.100 sure of is
00:56:34.600 how much of
00:56:35.180 it is exactly
00:56:36.080 what he says
00:56:38.060 it is,
00:56:38.460 which is a
00:56:39.160 revenue raising
00:56:40.600 thing and
00:56:41.600 blah, blah,
00:56:43.780 blah, and
00:56:44.600 how much of
00:56:45.120 it is just
00:56:45.640 pure negotiation
00:56:47.060 and it
00:56:48.780 probably will
00:56:50.020 shake a bunch
00:56:50.720 of people into
00:56:51.300 doing things
00:56:51.820 they weren't
00:56:52.160 going to do
00:56:52.560 before and a
00:56:54.140 lot of it
00:56:54.480 could be good
00:56:54.940 for us.
00:56:56.740 I feel like
00:56:57.840 trusting him
00:56:58.680 is something
00:56:59.560 he earned.
00:57:01.140 And I think
00:57:01.640 again I'm
00:57:02.480 quoting Goffeld
00:57:03.640 here.
00:57:05.240 It seems to
00:57:06.260 me that the
00:57:07.100 things he's
00:57:07.720 done are so
00:57:09.200 unambiguously
00:57:10.160 designed for
00:57:11.700 the good of
00:57:12.260 America and
00:57:13.900 that when I
00:57:14.560 didn't understand
00:57:15.380 it,
00:57:15.700 sometimes it's
00:57:17.660 just because I
00:57:18.420 didn't understand
00:57:19.020 it.
00:57:20.340 So again,
00:57:21.120 I'll quote
00:57:21.740 Dana Perino,
00:57:23.080 I think we
00:57:24.240 need to just
00:57:24.740 wait and see.
00:57:26.360 I don't know
00:57:26.820 how long,
00:57:28.240 but if anybody
00:57:29.160 ever earned
00:57:30.080 the right to
00:57:31.720 try something
00:57:32.400 that's outside
00:57:33.000 the box,
00:57:34.360 Trump earned
00:57:34.820 it.
00:57:36.000 So it's
00:57:37.140 really easy
00:57:37.820 for me to
00:57:38.320 say, you
00:57:38.680 know what,
00:57:38.980 I'm just
00:57:39.340 going to
00:57:39.580 back up on
00:57:40.220 this one
00:57:40.620 because I
00:57:43.640 think he
00:57:43.920 just knows
00:57:44.300 more than
00:57:44.680 I do
00:57:45.020 about this
00:57:45.900 topic.
00:57:47.560 And he
00:57:48.240 does have
00:57:48.640 very smart,
00:57:49.740 very high-end
00:57:50.560 economic people
00:57:52.120 with him.
00:57:53.180 I think that
00:57:54.020 we've also
00:57:55.080 seen that his
00:57:56.000 advisors have
00:57:56.900 been incredibly
00:57:58.400 good since
00:58:00.120 the campaign.
00:58:02.060 First term,
00:58:03.480 not as good.
00:58:05.460 But the
00:58:06.000 second term,
00:58:07.020 oh my goodness,
00:58:08.220 does he have
00:58:08.600 smart people
00:58:09.260 working for
00:58:09.880 him?
00:58:10.940 You know,
00:58:11.140 he's got,
00:58:12.160 I don't have
00:58:12.700 to name
00:58:13.060 them,
00:58:13.500 but you
00:58:13.840 could come
00:58:14.240 up with,
00:58:15.720 it would
00:58:16.300 take you no
00:58:16.840 time at all
00:58:17.400 to name six
00:58:18.360 people who
00:58:19.120 are key
00:58:19.500 advisors who
00:58:20.760 aren't just
00:58:21.180 ordinary,
00:58:22.500 but freaking
00:58:23.540 brilliant.
00:58:25.080 Right?
00:58:26.040 Now, if he's
00:58:26.760 surrounded by
00:58:27.360 that many people
00:58:28.100 who are just
00:58:28.700 flamingly,
00:58:31.420 unusually,
00:58:33.260 spectacularly
00:58:34.140 brilliant,
00:58:34.980 and they have
00:58:35.340 a long track
00:58:36.040 record of being
00:58:36.740 that way,
00:58:37.580 and they're
00:58:38.460 on board,
00:58:39.260 because I
00:58:41.000 don't think
00:58:41.480 you could
00:58:41.880 be pro-tariff
00:58:44.640 and be that
00:58:46.240 close to the
00:58:46.860 president,
00:58:47.880 or you
00:58:48.180 couldn't be
00:58:48.840 anti-tariff
00:58:49.580 and be that
00:58:50.040 close to the
00:58:50.560 president without,
00:58:51.920 well, I think
00:58:52.400 we would pick
00:58:52.940 up on it,
00:58:54.100 or I think
00:58:54.880 he would take
00:58:55.340 their advice.
00:58:56.640 So he must
00:58:57.620 have at least
00:58:58.360 convinced his
00:59:00.420 closest,
00:59:01.200 smartest people
00:59:01.860 to be on
00:59:02.420 board.
00:59:03.300 Now, I
00:59:03.620 haven't heard
00:59:04.320 Elon Musk
00:59:05.720 talk about the
00:59:06.580 tariffs a ton.
00:59:07.720 which makes
00:59:09.640 me a little
00:59:10.040 bit nervous,
00:59:10.680 because he
00:59:11.860 weighs in on
00:59:12.440 everything.
00:59:13.280 I think he
00:59:14.020 must have
00:59:14.660 said, you
00:59:15.860 know, something
00:59:16.480 good about
00:59:17.040 them at one
00:59:17.560 point, because
00:59:18.440 I'm sure he's
00:59:18.920 been asked,
00:59:20.060 but he's not
00:59:21.420 really hitting
00:59:22.220 that, he's
00:59:23.580 not banging
00:59:24.960 that drum
00:59:25.500 hard.
00:59:26.460 You know, so
00:59:26.700 it's a little
00:59:27.300 bit of a, he
00:59:28.680 may be in a
00:59:29.260 wait-and-see
00:59:29.700 mode as well,
00:59:30.520 and he
00:59:31.580 might also
00:59:32.140 realize that
00:59:32.960 if you
00:59:33.700 judged it
00:59:34.260 only from
00:59:34.860 an economic
00:59:35.620 perspective,
00:59:36.840 you might be
00:59:37.680 missing the
00:59:38.200 bigger story,
00:59:39.300 that it's a
00:59:40.420 little bit of
00:59:40.920 like a game
00:59:41.560 of chicken,
00:59:42.440 where if
00:59:43.740 Trump can
00:59:44.520 convince the
00:59:45.160 other countries
00:59:45.860 that we're
00:59:46.460 going to go
00:59:46.860 to the wall
00:59:47.440 and nothing's
00:59:48.780 going to stop
00:59:49.320 us, suddenly
00:59:50.460 they should
00:59:50.900 get really
00:59:51.480 flexible.
00:59:53.680 Now, what
00:59:54.300 Trump has
00:59:55.100 right is
00:59:56.940 we seem to
00:59:57.760 be in a
00:59:58.060 position where,
00:59:58.840 generally
00:59:59.940 speaking, we
01:00:01.340 would be less
01:00:02.040 harmed by
01:00:03.140 tariffs than
01:00:03.900 the people
01:00:04.320 we're
01:00:04.560 tariffing.
01:00:05.660 So, it's
01:00:06.020 certainly true
01:00:06.580 with Mexico,
01:00:07.440 certainly true
01:00:08.040 with Canada.
01:00:10.180 It's more
01:00:10.940 of a jump
01:00:12.100 ball with
01:00:12.620 China, but
01:00:14.040 China doesn't
01:00:14.700 want tariffs.
01:00:15.960 They certainly
01:00:16.380 don't want
01:00:16.900 them.
01:00:17.880 So, I
01:00:20.420 think his
01:00:21.140 instincts are
01:00:23.260 going to
01:00:23.520 prove out to
01:00:24.100 be right.
01:00:25.240 And I think
01:00:25.820 you're going to
01:00:26.140 see already
01:00:26.900 flexibility because
01:00:28.080 of it.
01:00:28.840 You know, I
01:00:29.300 think more
01:00:29.700 companies will
01:00:30.380 announce that
01:00:31.120 they're going
01:00:31.480 to bring their
01:00:32.180 production to
01:00:32.820 the U.S.
01:00:33.280 because of
01:00:33.840 it.
01:00:34.620 You know, when
01:00:35.140 Biden said,
01:00:36.740 oh, we're
01:00:37.120 going to
01:00:37.440 unsure more
01:00:38.260 companies, what
01:00:40.120 exactly was he
01:00:40.920 offering?
01:00:42.900 Well, Trump
01:00:44.020 created an
01:00:44.700 asset with
01:00:46.100 tariffs.
01:00:46.940 And the
01:00:47.380 asset is, if
01:00:48.700 you keep
01:00:49.220 producing in
01:00:49.940 these other
01:00:50.380 countries, you're
01:00:51.840 welcome to do
01:00:52.480 it, but it's
01:00:53.020 not going to be
01:00:53.480 economical
01:00:53.940 anymore.
01:00:55.100 So, if you
01:00:55.780 tell the
01:00:56.120 other countries
01:00:56.700 it will never
01:00:57.600 be economical
01:00:58.420 again to
01:00:59.680 produce in
01:01:00.220 another country,
01:01:01.420 well, then
01:01:01.840 they're going to
01:01:02.220 roll up their
01:01:03.220 factory as fast
01:01:04.120 as they can,
01:01:05.240 even if it's
01:01:05.940 expensive, and
01:01:06.820 they're going to
01:01:07.140 move it to the
01:01:07.700 U.S.
01:01:08.640 So, in theory,
01:01:09.760 he's created a
01:01:10.600 framework that
01:01:12.280 should do the
01:01:13.180 most important
01:01:13.880 thing that needs
01:01:14.540 to be done,
01:01:15.460 which is bring
01:01:16.880 our stuff here.
01:01:17.560 Who was it?
01:01:22.000 Was it
01:01:22.660 Balaji Srinivasan,
01:01:25.980 I think, who
01:01:27.080 was talking about
01:01:27.980 the fastest way
01:01:29.240 you could have a
01:01:30.040 robust manufacturing
01:01:31.300 base in the U.S.
01:01:32.680 would be to just
01:01:34.440 say that the area
01:01:35.540 around Starbase,
01:01:37.120 where Elon already
01:01:38.260 has its
01:01:38.680 manufacturing,
01:01:39.920 some of it,
01:01:41.260 just say that
01:01:42.580 it's going to be
01:01:44.760 sort of a no
01:01:45.600 regulation zone,
01:01:46.660 and I think
01:01:49.800 the suggestion
01:01:50.420 was that Elon
01:01:51.340 Musk would be
01:01:52.340 part of the
01:01:53.220 asset allocation
01:01:54.820 stuff.
01:01:55.460 I'm not sure
01:01:56.180 about that part,
01:01:57.260 but I like the
01:01:58.100 part about having
01:01:58.880 a zone that
01:02:00.820 is relatively
01:02:02.260 free of
01:02:03.120 regulations.
01:02:05.460 The only thing
01:02:06.380 I don't like
01:02:07.020 about it is if
01:02:08.460 you put too
01:02:09.220 much manufacturing
01:02:10.300 in one
01:02:11.120 smallish area
01:02:12.700 that, you
01:02:14.400 know, one
01:02:14.780 good natural
01:02:15.460 disaster,
01:02:16.100 is much
01:02:17.720 worse.
01:02:18.960 So,
01:02:20.360 ideally,
01:02:21.840 it would be
01:02:22.260 some kind of
01:02:22.920 lack of
01:02:23.620 regulations that
01:02:24.700 could be applied
01:02:25.460 to wherever it
01:02:26.240 makes sense to
01:02:26.880 put the factory,
01:02:27.960 because sometimes
01:02:28.500 you need to put
01:02:29.200 it by energy,
01:02:30.180 sometimes you
01:02:30.720 need to put it
01:02:31.400 closer to the
01:02:33.600 city to ship,
01:02:34.960 closer to a
01:02:35.860 waterway to ship,
01:02:36.860 something like
01:02:37.240 that.
01:02:38.740 So, I think it
01:02:39.540 would be better
01:02:40.040 rather than to
01:02:40.560 have a special
01:02:41.460 economic zone,
01:02:43.540 might be better
01:02:44.240 to just say
01:02:45.180 if you're
01:02:45.800 bringing in
01:02:46.300 your company
01:02:47.180 to the United
01:02:47.760 States,
01:02:48.800 you're going to
01:02:49.920 come into a
01:02:50.740 very regulation
01:02:51.700 friendly environment.
01:02:55.600 So, however
01:02:56.440 that works.
01:03:00.540 China's
01:03:01.020 spokesperson,
01:03:02.660 at least
01:03:02.980 somebody who
01:03:04.140 says they're a
01:03:04.660 Chinese spokesperson
01:03:05.600 on X,
01:03:07.040 was talking about
01:03:08.020 fentanyl,
01:03:08.740 they're not too
01:03:09.180 happy about that,
01:03:10.300 and said,
01:03:10.900 the U.S.,
01:03:11.780 not anyone else
01:03:12.760 is responsible
01:03:13.500 for the fentanyl
01:03:14.540 crisis inside
01:03:15.560 the U.S.,
01:03:16.540 and the spirit
01:03:17.300 of humanity
01:03:18.060 and goodwill
01:03:18.860 toward the
01:03:19.360 American people.
01:03:20.880 We have taken
01:03:21.900 robust steps
01:03:23.020 to assist the
01:03:23.800 U.S.
01:03:24.140 in dealing
01:03:24.840 with the issue.
01:03:26.920 Instead of
01:03:27.660 recognizing our
01:03:28.580 efforts,
01:03:29.480 the U.S.
01:03:30.000 has sought
01:03:30.420 to smear
01:03:31.140 and shift
01:03:31.780 blame to
01:03:32.460 China,
01:03:33.400 and is seeking
01:03:33.900 to pressure
01:03:34.500 and blackmail
01:03:35.240 China with
01:03:35.880 terror fikes.
01:03:37.180 They've been
01:03:37.640 punishing us
01:03:38.520 for helping
01:03:39.460 them.
01:03:39.740 This is not
01:03:41.100 going to solve
01:03:41.760 the U.S.'s
01:03:42.380 problem and
01:03:43.360 will undermine
01:03:44.080 our counter
01:03:45.040 narcotics
01:03:46.040 dialogue and
01:03:46.840 cooperation.
01:03:49.100 So,
01:03:50.140 do you see
01:03:51.120 what they did
01:03:51.580 there?
01:03:52.780 There's a
01:03:53.320 clever little
01:03:53.920 trick where
01:03:55.560 they tried to
01:03:56.280 say that
01:03:57.160 whoever's
01:03:57.920 responsible is
01:04:00.080 who should
01:04:00.480 solve it.
01:04:02.240 That's not
01:04:02.960 logical.
01:04:04.520 Let me give
01:04:05.340 you an example.
01:04:06.880 If you have
01:04:07.940 a risk of
01:04:08.580 burglars in
01:04:09.400 your neighborhood
01:04:09.940 and you
01:04:11.180 get burgled,
01:04:12.660 whose
01:04:12.960 responsibility
01:04:13.680 is it?
01:04:14.500 Well,
01:04:14.700 the burglar.
01:04:15.840 Our legal
01:04:16.740 system says,
01:04:17.600 no,
01:04:17.780 if you're
01:04:18.080 the burglar,
01:04:19.000 you're
01:04:19.840 responsible,
01:04:21.080 not the
01:04:21.540 homeowner.
01:04:23.340 But,
01:04:24.140 who can
01:04:25.120 stop the
01:04:25.720 burglar?
01:04:27.060 Only the
01:04:27.680 homeowner.
01:04:28.940 If the
01:04:29.580 homeowner
01:04:29.940 needs bars
01:04:30.580 in the
01:04:30.880 window,
01:04:31.300 do it.
01:04:31.880 If they
01:04:32.220 need weapons,
01:04:33.040 do it.
01:04:33.380 If they
01:04:33.620 need a dog,
01:04:34.380 do it.
01:04:34.760 If they
01:04:35.020 need to
01:04:35.420 make sure
01:04:35.860 their doors
01:04:36.400 are locked
01:04:36.920 and secured,
01:04:37.660 do it.
01:04:39.040 You can
01:04:39.560 make your
01:04:40.080 home less
01:04:40.840 burglarable,
01:04:42.500 even though
01:04:43.480 getting burgled
01:04:44.920 is not your
01:04:46.080 responsibility,
01:04:47.080 it's the
01:04:47.380 responsibility of
01:04:48.340 the burglar.
01:04:49.320 So,
01:04:49.660 when China
01:04:50.020 says it's
01:04:50.940 the responsibility
01:04:51.680 of basically
01:04:53.480 the addicts,
01:04:54.900 that's true.
01:04:56.260 It's also not
01:04:57.380 the right
01:04:57.740 argument.
01:04:58.880 The argument
01:04:59.720 is who can
01:05:00.260 stop it.
01:05:00.820 And my
01:05:02.800 understanding
01:05:03.380 is that when
01:05:04.620 they say
01:05:05.000 they're helping,
01:05:05.760 it's kind
01:05:07.160 of fake.
01:05:08.100 Because I
01:05:08.740 think they
01:05:09.040 also know
01:05:09.540 exactly the
01:05:10.320 names of
01:05:10.860 the people
01:05:11.200 who are the
01:05:11.640 big fentanyl
01:05:12.580 dealers.
01:05:14.060 And I'm
01:05:14.700 pretty sure
01:05:15.200 they're still
01:05:15.600 walking around,
01:05:16.780 still alive.
01:05:18.260 So,
01:05:19.260 it seems to
01:05:19.900 me that China
01:05:20.420 is probably
01:05:20.860 just pretending
01:05:21.700 that they
01:05:22.400 care.
01:05:23.400 And I
01:05:23.700 think that
01:05:24.220 Trump is
01:05:25.400 done with
01:05:25.880 that.
01:05:27.100 So,
01:05:27.560 I think what
01:05:28.080 he's doing
01:05:28.460 is saying,
01:05:28.980 look,
01:05:29.680 you can
01:05:30.080 complain about
01:05:30.720 whose
01:05:30.960 responsibility
01:05:31.560 is all
01:05:32.400 day long.
01:05:33.420 But,
01:05:33.980 you got a
01:05:34.540 tariff.
01:05:35.680 But,
01:05:35.960 it's your
01:05:36.640 responsibility.
01:05:37.520 Yep,
01:05:37.920 yep,
01:05:38.260 great,
01:05:38.940 you got a
01:05:39.440 tariff.
01:05:40.400 But,
01:05:40.780 we're doing
01:05:41.820 all we can.
01:05:42.960 Well,
01:05:43.320 maybe it's
01:05:43.740 not enough.
01:05:44.240 You got a
01:05:44.620 tariff.
01:05:45.420 I like it.
01:05:47.420 So,
01:05:47.780 there's a
01:05:48.380 case where
01:05:48.960 I'm all in
01:05:50.340 on the
01:05:50.640 tariff.
01:05:51.280 Because I
01:05:51.840 do not
01:05:52.300 believe
01:05:52.780 China is
01:05:54.280 genuinely
01:05:54.800 trying to
01:05:55.500 solve the
01:05:55.980 fentanyl
01:05:56.540 problem.
01:05:58.520 And I'd
01:05:59.240 like to
01:05:59.540 see the
01:05:59.940 U.S.
01:06:00.720 describe that
01:06:02.320 better than
01:06:02.740 I did.
01:06:03.560 So,
01:06:03.800 I'd love to
01:06:04.120 see somebody
01:06:04.640 from the
01:06:05.560 administration
01:06:06.140 say,
01:06:06.960 here's what
01:06:07.860 they're not
01:06:08.320 doing.
01:06:10.040 And then I
01:06:10.840 think you'd
01:06:11.220 see a list
01:06:11.720 of things
01:06:12.240 that you
01:06:13.120 know they
01:06:13.540 could do
01:06:14.220 that they're
01:06:15.300 not doing.
01:06:16.760 So,
01:06:17.400 telling us
01:06:17.860 what they
01:06:18.180 are doing
01:06:18.900 is just
01:06:20.120 propaganda.
01:06:21.480 Because it
01:06:22.160 doesn't tell us
01:06:22.820 what they
01:06:23.200 could be
01:06:23.740 doing that
01:06:24.200 would make
01:06:24.540 the big
01:06:24.920 difference
01:06:25.340 that they're
01:06:25.760 not doing.
01:06:26.380 so only
01:06:27.520 we could
01:06:27.920 say that.
01:06:28.800 So,
01:06:29.060 I don't
01:06:29.500 believe
01:06:29.740 China one
01:06:30.720 bit.
01:06:32.100 But don't
01:06:32.420 ever fall
01:06:32.940 for the
01:06:33.360 it's your
01:06:36.700 responsibility.
01:06:39.840 It might
01:06:40.580 be.
01:06:42.080 But if
01:06:43.120 you're not
01:06:43.460 the one
01:06:43.740 who can
01:06:44.000 solve the
01:06:44.440 problem,
01:06:45.920 somebody else
01:06:46.700 is going
01:06:48.080 to get
01:06:48.320 squeezed.
01:06:49.580 Right now
01:06:50.060 it's them.
01:06:50.400 And then
01:06:52.780 here's a
01:06:53.340 Mexican
01:06:53.700 president
01:06:54.180 with their
01:06:54.700 propaganda
01:06:55.260 on fentanyl.
01:06:57.160 So,
01:06:57.780 the president
01:06:58.200 Sheinbaum
01:06:58.900 said the
01:07:01.460 U.S.
01:07:01.900 Customs and
01:07:02.560 Border Protection
01:07:03.280 data shows
01:07:04.700 that 80%
01:07:05.580 of those
01:07:06.060 arrested for
01:07:06.840 fentanyl
01:07:07.320 trafficking at
01:07:08.820 U.S.
01:07:09.300 ports of
01:07:09.740 entry were
01:07:10.360 U.S.
01:07:10.800 citizens.
01:07:11.820 Oh.
01:07:12.880 So,
01:07:13.320 I guess the
01:07:13.940 implication here
01:07:14.900 is that U.S.
01:07:16.440 citizens are
01:07:17.100 behind the
01:07:17.640 fentanyl trade.
01:07:18.560 Nice try,
01:07:21.040 Mexico.
01:07:22.600 Reject it.
01:07:24.120 Here's what
01:07:24.660 we plan to
01:07:25.540 do or
01:07:25.980 Trump plans
01:07:26.580 to do with
01:07:27.180 those U.S.
01:07:27.820 citizens who
01:07:28.440 are bringing
01:07:28.820 fentanyl across
01:07:29.800 the border.
01:07:30.800 Kill them.
01:07:32.420 It's our
01:07:32.820 current policy,
01:07:34.160 at least
01:07:34.500 preference.
01:07:35.440 It's not a
01:07:35.960 policy yet,
01:07:36.580 but it's a
01:07:36.920 preference.
01:07:37.700 The preference
01:07:38.200 is that if
01:07:39.220 a U.S.
01:07:39.780 citizen brings
01:07:40.640 a big
01:07:43.100 quantity of
01:07:43.700 fentanyl across
01:07:44.340 the border,
01:07:44.880 we kill
01:07:45.240 them.
01:07:46.200 Now,
01:07:46.460 we do it
01:07:46.740 legally through
01:07:47.480 the death
01:07:48.180 penalty,
01:07:48.560 and through
01:07:48.920 the courts.
01:07:50.060 But,
01:07:50.900 yes,
01:07:51.760 Scheinbaum,
01:07:52.680 we plan to
01:07:53.540 kill them.
01:07:54.960 Now,
01:07:55.400 you still
01:07:56.200 got to do
01:07:56.640 your thing
01:07:57.200 because they
01:07:58.640 didn't produce
01:07:59.920 it themselves.
01:08:01.160 These Americans
01:08:01.840 didn't own
01:08:02.640 fentanyl labs
01:08:04.100 in Mexico.
01:08:05.540 If they did,
01:08:06.260 they would have
01:08:06.560 been killed.
01:08:07.620 They're presumably
01:08:08.700 working with
01:08:09.480 the cartels,
01:08:10.480 I assume.
01:08:12.420 But,
01:08:13.000 again,
01:08:13.840 nice try
01:08:14.780 trying to
01:08:15.820 change the
01:08:16.280 topic.
01:08:17.300 As long
01:08:17.920 as we're
01:08:18.260 willing to
01:08:18.740 kill every
01:08:19.620 one of
01:08:19.940 those people
01:08:20.460 who brought
01:08:20.820 the,
01:08:21.560 and I'm
01:08:22.160 in favor
01:08:22.460 of that,
01:08:22.800 by the way,
01:08:24.320 as long
01:08:25.160 as it goes
01:08:25.480 to the
01:08:25.760 courts and
01:08:26.300 it's a
01:08:26.780 legal process.
01:08:28.700 Well,
01:08:29.180 no,
01:08:29.540 I'm going
01:08:29.860 to take
01:08:30.100 it back.
01:08:32.060 My
01:08:32.460 preference
01:08:32.880 would be
01:08:33.960 summary
01:08:34.420 execution
01:08:35.140 on site,
01:08:36.780 meaning that
01:08:37.940 if they pull
01:08:38.480 somebody over,
01:08:39.740 whether they're
01:08:40.840 American or not,
01:08:41.800 and they
01:08:42.900 find a
01:08:44.340 barrel of
01:08:45.120 fentanyl
01:08:45.580 pills,
01:08:46.500 they should
01:08:47.500 say,
01:08:47.920 get on your
01:08:48.380 knees,
01:08:49.280 and we
01:08:49.940 should put a
01:08:50.400 bullet in
01:08:50.740 their head,
01:08:51.520 no matter
01:08:52.500 who's
01:08:52.740 watching.
01:08:54.680 And I'm
01:08:55.360 very serious
01:08:56.020 about that,
01:08:57.080 because if
01:08:57.540 somebody's got
01:08:58.220 a barrel of
01:08:59.740 fentanyl in
01:09:00.320 their car,
01:09:02.020 I don't want
01:09:03.320 to hear that
01:09:03.800 they didn't
01:09:04.180 know it was
01:09:04.640 there.
01:09:04.900 like if
01:09:07.440 you can't
01:09:07.900 prevent a
01:09:08.420 barrel of
01:09:08.900 fentanyl
01:09:09.320 from being
01:09:09.780 in your
01:09:10.100 car,
01:09:10.940 and maybe
01:09:11.920 you do a
01:09:13.000 little bit
01:09:13.680 of work
01:09:14.100 to find out
01:09:15.380 it's not
01:09:15.940 an American
01:09:16.720 family on
01:09:17.340 vacation that
01:09:18.020 got somehow
01:09:19.360 blackmailed or
01:09:21.320 something.
01:09:22.140 So there may
01:09:22.700 be a little
01:09:23.460 bit of
01:09:23.820 question asking,
01:09:25.060 but if it's
01:09:25.460 somebody you
01:09:25.960 already have,
01:09:26.740 maybe they've
01:09:27.700 been on your
01:09:28.480 radar,
01:09:30.060 and you
01:09:30.460 suspected them,
01:09:31.900 and then you
01:09:32.340 pull them over
01:09:32.920 at the border,
01:09:33.580 and they got a
01:09:34.120 trunk full of
01:09:34.880 fentanyl,
01:09:35.800 I say bullet
01:09:37.360 in the head.
01:09:39.340 To me,
01:09:40.160 that's a
01:09:40.580 terrorist that
01:09:41.740 you caught in
01:09:42.140 the act.
01:09:43.600 It's a
01:09:43.880 terrorist.
01:09:45.300 Terrorist you
01:09:45.920 caught in the
01:09:46.260 act.
01:09:46.640 Summary
01:09:47.040 execution.
01:09:48.200 I've never
01:09:48.620 said that
01:09:49.060 about anybody
01:09:49.540 else,
01:09:50.540 but I think
01:09:51.740 we have to
01:09:53.040 say it's
01:09:54.100 bullet in
01:09:54.520 the head,
01:09:55.300 there's no
01:09:55.800 court,
01:09:56.280 we don't
01:09:56.740 need it,
01:09:57.600 we're just
01:09:58.560 fucking
01:09:58.960 killing you.
01:10:00.540 That's my
01:10:01.220 preference,
01:10:02.020 especially the
01:10:02.660 Americans.
01:10:03.240 I do the
01:10:03.600 Americans first.
01:10:04.880 Ontario,
01:10:06.280 the wait is
01:10:07.120 over.
01:10:07.800 The gold
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01:10:51.980 According to
01:11:09.060 Maria Knopf,
01:11:10.760 I was talking
01:11:11.160 about the new
01:11:12.020 survey that came
01:11:12.740 out that America
01:11:13.960 is choosing Netflix
01:11:15.540 and chill over
01:11:16.400 marriage.
01:11:17.060 There's a whole
01:11:17.440 bunch of
01:11:17.940 statistics about
01:11:19.440 how people are
01:11:20.300 not getting
01:11:20.740 married like
01:11:21.320 they used to
01:11:21.980 and don't
01:11:22.540 want to have
01:11:22.880 kids like
01:11:23.380 they used to.
01:11:26.280 Researchers say
01:11:27.120 there's a
01:11:27.500 connection conundrum.
01:11:29.180 There's more
01:11:29.580 tech and less
01:11:30.400 actual connections
01:11:31.440 and blah,
01:11:32.580 blah, blah.
01:11:33.380 This is, I
01:11:34.760 guess, on Fox
01:11:35.600 and the
01:11:36.400 sources Heritage
01:11:37.280 Foundation.
01:11:40.840 I'm trying to
01:11:42.040 understand in
01:11:43.420 the most
01:11:45.540 simple way.
01:11:46.560 I'm trying to
01:11:47.140 understand why
01:11:49.360 it is that
01:11:50.020 everything
01:11:50.600 changed.
01:11:52.300 I think the
01:11:53.080 problem is so
01:11:53.820 many things
01:11:54.580 changed.
01:11:56.100 Let me just
01:11:56.680 run through the
01:11:57.440 problems with
01:11:58.580 having kids
01:11:59.660 these days.
01:12:02.080 Careers and
01:12:02.880 families don't
01:12:03.680 mix very well
01:12:04.500 because if both
01:12:06.280 the parents are
01:12:07.000 working full
01:12:07.820 time and the
01:12:10.140 kids are doing
01:12:11.280 homework full
01:12:12.040 time, you
01:12:12.540 barely see them.
01:12:14.280 All the things
01:12:15.140 that used to be
01:12:15.820 good about family
01:12:17.280 connections doesn't
01:12:19.000 really work if
01:12:19.860 both of you are
01:12:20.500 working.
01:12:21.420 Now, I'm not
01:12:21.920 against both
01:12:23.820 people working.
01:12:24.980 I'm just going to
01:12:25.920 describe the
01:12:26.540 problem.
01:12:27.000 What's the
01:12:27.280 difference?
01:12:29.200 In today's
01:12:30.180 world, kids
01:12:31.500 absolutely hate
01:12:32.660 being with
01:12:33.220 adults.
01:12:34.340 And the only
01:12:35.160 thing they seem
01:12:35.780 to care about is
01:12:36.720 spending time with
01:12:37.480 their friends.
01:12:38.860 If you've seen
01:12:39.740 any modern
01:12:40.440 child, they
01:12:41.760 don't want to
01:12:42.340 spend a
01:12:43.120 freaking minute
01:12:43.800 with you.
01:12:44.460 after a
01:12:46.340 certain age,
01:12:46.880 when they're
01:12:47.160 young, they
01:12:47.520 do.
01:12:48.100 But at
01:12:48.480 around 12
01:12:49.440 or 13, they're
01:12:51.580 desperate to
01:12:52.820 get away from
01:12:53.420 you.
01:12:54.400 So how
01:12:54.880 satisfying is
01:12:55.700 that?
01:12:57.860 Not very.
01:13:00.860 How about
01:13:01.560 the homework
01:13:03.080 that kids get
01:13:04.060 these days?
01:13:05.420 So it's not
01:13:06.220 unusual that
01:13:07.440 they come home
01:13:08.160 and they
01:13:09.240 start doing
01:13:10.860 homework and
01:13:12.080 they don't
01:13:12.480 even eat
01:13:13.280 together.
01:13:14.460 So the
01:13:14.860 family doesn't
01:13:15.380 even eat
01:13:15.800 together.
01:13:16.240 You don't
01:13:16.440 even spend
01:13:17.020 like one
01:13:17.800 hour at
01:13:18.280 least at
01:13:18.620 the same
01:13:18.940 table.
01:13:19.620 Like people
01:13:20.460 grab some
01:13:21.100 food and
01:13:21.560 go back to
01:13:22.000 their bedroom
01:13:22.560 and say
01:13:24.180 they're doing
01:13:24.560 homework and
01:13:25.920 just do
01:13:26.480 homework until
01:13:27.220 it's like
01:13:27.700 11 o'clock
01:13:28.340 at night.
01:13:29.420 Maybe because
01:13:30.180 they're not
01:13:30.480 doing it as
01:13:30.960 quickly as
01:13:31.480 they could.
01:13:32.820 So homework
01:13:33.620 has ruined
01:13:34.300 home life.
01:13:35.540 It's just
01:13:35.920 ruined it.
01:13:37.240 Now, if you
01:13:38.560 haven't experienced
01:13:39.200 that, it's way
01:13:40.500 different than it
01:13:41.220 was when I was
01:13:41.840 a kid.
01:13:42.200 Do you know
01:13:42.780 how much
01:13:43.080 homework I did
01:13:43.860 as a kid?
01:13:44.980 None.
01:13:46.500 None.
01:13:47.500 We were
01:13:48.460 assigned
01:13:48.860 homework, but
01:13:50.440 we also had
01:13:51.140 enough time
01:13:51.740 during the
01:13:52.200 day that I
01:13:53.900 could do all
01:13:54.420 of my
01:13:54.680 homework.
01:13:55.660 So if I
01:13:56.180 had one
01:13:56.580 study period
01:13:57.360 and an
01:13:59.420 extra 15
01:14:00.300 minutes at
01:14:00.860 lunch, I
01:14:03.260 could bang
01:14:03.680 out all of
01:14:04.160 my homework.
01:14:04.700 I didn't
01:14:04.940 even bring
01:14:05.320 books home.
01:14:06.500 I just
01:14:06.880 never did
01:14:07.460 homework.
01:14:08.760 I did all
01:14:09.480 the homework.
01:14:10.160 I just
01:14:10.500 never did
01:14:10.880 it at
01:14:11.080 home.
01:14:11.680 Didn't
01:14:11.980 need to.
01:14:16.960 And then
01:14:17.580 the other
01:14:19.040 problem is
01:14:19.560 that your
01:14:20.140 spouse is
01:14:20.940 your biggest
01:14:21.460 obstacle to
01:14:22.300 success.
01:14:23.360 Have you
01:14:23.620 ever noticed
01:14:24.080 that?
01:14:24.340 if you
01:14:25.940 have a
01:14:26.240 spouse, in
01:14:27.440 the old
01:14:27.760 days, your
01:14:28.440 spouse was
01:14:29.080 the thing
01:14:29.500 that was
01:14:29.840 your biggest
01:14:30.320 contributor to
01:14:31.300 your success.
01:14:33.280 I'm not saying we
01:14:34.740 should go back to
01:14:35.460 those days, but
01:14:36.960 if the woman
01:14:38.740 kept up the
01:14:42.380 house and
01:14:43.140 made sure you
01:14:44.260 had some social
01:14:44.940 connections and
01:14:45.900 dinner was on
01:14:46.600 the table and
01:14:47.400 the kids were
01:14:48.400 all there and
01:14:49.260 they were all
01:14:50.200 dressed and
01:14:50.840 happy to see
01:14:51.480 you, then the
01:14:53.340 family and the
01:14:54.360 wife were
01:14:55.140 supporting the
01:14:55.960 husband and
01:14:57.900 the husband could
01:14:58.620 really lean into
01:14:59.740 work and make
01:15:00.800 money and support
01:15:01.600 the family.
01:15:03.200 And so it was
01:15:03.720 designed so that
01:15:05.960 sides were
01:15:06.600 helping each
01:15:07.120 other.
01:15:07.740 But suppose you
01:15:08.580 have two high
01:15:09.320 powered, successful,
01:15:11.740 well-educated,
01:15:14.200 assertive people
01:15:15.460 married to each
01:15:16.440 other.
01:15:17.700 Almost everything
01:15:18.600 that one does
01:15:19.500 becomes a drag
01:15:20.720 on the other
01:15:21.160 one.
01:15:22.360 I need to
01:15:23.300 work late, so
01:15:25.000 you need to
01:15:26.120 pick up the
01:15:26.740 kids, but I
01:15:28.420 also need to
01:15:29.160 work late.
01:15:31.040 So it becomes
01:15:32.360 basically a
01:15:33.060 competition.
01:15:34.040 Not because
01:15:35.040 anybody is a
01:15:35.720 bad person.
01:15:36.600 It's just the
01:15:37.720 system.
01:15:39.220 Two high
01:15:40.060 powered people
01:15:40.840 are going to
01:15:41.940 be trying to
01:15:42.520 maximize their
01:15:43.380 careers and
01:15:44.220 find out they
01:15:44.780 can't do it and
01:15:46.160 that the biggest
01:15:46.740 problem is the
01:15:47.480 other person.
01:15:48.860 The very
01:15:49.680 opposite of what
01:15:50.400 it used to be.
01:15:54.320 Then there's
01:15:55.140 divorce is too
01:15:56.200 easy, especially
01:15:57.100 when both are
01:15:57.820 working.
01:15:58.140 if you have two
01:15:59.640 incomes and
01:16:02.140 either one of
01:16:03.880 you could live
01:16:04.420 on your own
01:16:04.860 if you had
01:16:05.260 to, it
01:16:06.380 kind of makes
01:16:06.840 divorce a
01:16:07.560 little bit too
01:16:08.320 attractive.
01:16:09.560 So in the
01:16:10.000 old days, it
01:16:11.920 was just
01:16:12.440 terrible to be
01:16:14.100 divorced and so
01:16:14.880 people didn't do
01:16:15.580 it.
01:16:16.100 It just wasn't
01:16:17.100 an option that
01:16:18.080 would work for
01:16:18.560 anybody.
01:16:20.760 Today you rarely
01:16:21.740 see your kids
01:16:22.400 after they're
01:16:23.240 age of 13.
01:16:25.840 And I don't
01:16:26.600 know how
01:16:27.760 satisfying is
01:16:29.500 that.
01:16:29.880 I remember
01:16:30.200 talking to a
01:16:30.860 friend of mine
01:16:31.380 and saying when
01:16:33.140 his kid was
01:16:33.700 going off to
01:16:34.260 college, I
01:16:35.520 said, yeah,
01:16:36.080 what's it going
01:16:36.640 to be like to
01:16:37.260 have an empty
01:16:37.940 house?
01:16:39.040 And he laughed
01:16:39.680 and said, it's
01:16:40.420 been an empty
01:16:40.960 house since the
01:16:42.280 kid was 13
01:16:43.120 because we just
01:16:44.700 never see him.
01:16:46.120 Like he comes
01:16:46.940 home from school,
01:16:47.840 grabs a snack,
01:16:48.680 and then leaves
01:16:49.180 to go with his
01:16:49.760 friends and then
01:16:50.540 shows up at
01:16:51.360 bedtime.
01:16:51.720 It's been an
01:16:53.100 empty house for
01:16:53.860 years.
01:16:55.080 So why would
01:16:55.940 you have that
01:16:56.420 kid?
01:16:57.500 Like where's
01:16:58.200 the part where
01:16:59.180 everybody is so
01:17:00.740 happy in their
01:17:01.440 family situation?
01:17:02.620 It's completely
01:17:03.160 different.
01:17:04.820 I don't think
01:17:05.640 families eat
01:17:06.280 dinner together,
01:17:07.200 hardly ever,
01:17:08.480 because everybody's
01:17:09.220 got six different
01:17:10.080 things they have
01:17:10.660 to do after work
01:17:11.920 or after school.
01:17:14.780 Now, of course,
01:17:16.180 there are
01:17:16.300 exceptions.
01:17:17.300 But it used
01:17:17.720 to be that pretty
01:17:18.920 much everybody
01:17:19.620 ate dinner
01:17:20.080 together.
01:17:20.500 You know, in
01:17:21.340 my family,
01:17:22.360 it was, we
01:17:23.280 had a dinner
01:17:24.300 time.
01:17:25.220 It was five
01:17:25.840 o'clock,
01:17:26.820 sometimes 530,
01:17:28.000 but we were
01:17:28.520 always told what
01:17:29.080 the time was.
01:17:30.280 And it was not
01:17:31.580 optional.
01:17:33.120 It was not
01:17:34.400 optional.
01:17:35.520 You were going
01:17:36.140 to be there,
01:17:37.220 every one of you,
01:17:38.560 and you were
01:17:39.000 going to be there
01:17:39.520 at five o'clock,
01:17:41.460 and you were
01:17:42.460 going to eat
01:17:42.840 whatever was
01:17:43.460 cooked for you.
01:17:44.220 and it was
01:17:47.280 probably the
01:17:48.660 single most
01:17:49.560 family bonding
01:17:50.460 thing that you
01:17:51.440 could do.
01:17:52.260 But I don't
01:17:52.740 see much of
01:17:53.260 that lately.
01:17:54.440 Of course,
01:17:55.040 people can't
01:17:55.540 afford to get
01:17:56.000 a home with
01:17:56.520 a nice yard,
01:17:57.460 so that makes
01:17:58.300 everything worse.
01:17:59.420 There are too
01:17:59.760 many internet
01:18:00.360 temptations,
01:18:01.240 that's worse.
01:18:02.660 I think if you
01:18:03.560 add women to
01:18:04.440 the workplace,
01:18:05.880 you know what
01:18:06.200 the biggest
01:18:06.560 problem?
01:18:07.760 Well, I don't
01:18:08.580 know if it's
01:18:08.900 the biggest,
01:18:09.680 probably.
01:18:10.360 The biggest
01:18:11.140 problem of
01:18:11.940 adding women
01:18:12.540 to the
01:18:12.880 workplace is
01:18:15.440 affairs.
01:18:18.200 If you go
01:18:19.060 to work and
01:18:20.460 you're surrounded
01:18:21.000 by attractive
01:18:21.740 people with
01:18:22.460 the same
01:18:22.840 interests as
01:18:23.480 you because
01:18:23.860 they have
01:18:24.100 similar kind
01:18:24.840 of careers,
01:18:26.180 how is that
01:18:26.780 not going to
01:18:27.340 lead into
01:18:27.820 massive affairs?
01:18:29.660 And the
01:18:29.940 answer is,
01:18:30.520 it does.
01:18:31.600 It does
01:18:32.300 exactly that.
01:18:33.340 In the old
01:18:33.880 days, if you
01:18:34.400 went to work
01:18:34.900 and it was
01:18:35.180 a bunch of
01:18:35.600 dudes because
01:18:37.020 the wives were
01:18:37.680 doing something
01:18:38.220 else, you'd
01:18:39.240 have to take
01:18:39.700 turns harassing
01:18:40.340 the one
01:18:40.860 secretary.
01:18:41.680 I'm just
01:18:42.300 joking.
01:18:43.340 That's a joke.
01:18:44.480 You didn't
01:18:44.800 take turns
01:18:45.360 harassing the
01:18:45.980 secretary.
01:18:48.340 You just
01:18:49.020 took a
01:18:49.300 number.
01:18:51.040 No, no,
01:18:51.940 I'm joking.
01:18:52.540 You did not
01:18:52.980 do that and
01:18:53.580 don't harass
01:18:54.480 anybody.
01:18:56.640 Anyway, and
01:18:57.480 the more
01:18:57.740 freedom that
01:18:59.300 women have
01:19:00.000 from the
01:19:00.940 old bounds
01:19:01.760 of the
01:19:02.700 old patriarchy,
01:19:04.280 the more
01:19:05.060 freedom that
01:19:05.640 women get,
01:19:06.260 the fewer
01:19:06.620 babies they
01:19:07.220 have.
01:19:07.920 It's just
01:19:08.240 sort of,
01:19:08.840 there's no
01:19:09.240 way around
01:19:09.640 that.
01:19:10.340 So, I'm
01:19:12.080 not saying
01:19:12.700 we should
01:19:13.040 go back
01:19:13.580 to the
01:19:14.100 50s.
01:19:15.300 So, if
01:19:16.000 that's what
01:19:16.340 you're hearing,
01:19:16.940 I'm not
01:19:17.240 saying that.
01:19:18.320 I'm saying I
01:19:18.920 have no idea
01:19:19.520 how to solve
01:19:20.020 it because
01:19:20.940 we're definitely
01:19:21.400 not going
01:19:21.960 back to the
01:19:22.500 50s and
01:19:24.400 this definitely
01:19:25.100 doesn't work.
01:19:26.380 But it's not
01:19:27.120 one thing,
01:19:27.720 it's just the
01:19:28.360 whole society
01:19:29.820 from economics
01:19:31.640 to expectations
01:19:32.800 to women in
01:19:35.100 the workplace,
01:19:35.560 place, which
01:19:36.260 again, of
01:19:37.020 course, I'm
01:19:37.540 in favor of.
01:19:39.860 There's not
01:19:40.460 one part of
01:19:41.100 this that
01:19:41.460 works for
01:19:42.880 the long
01:19:43.300 term because
01:19:44.560 we need to
01:19:45.160 produce babies
01:19:45.880 and we need
01:19:46.460 to keep
01:19:46.780 families together.
01:19:47.840 None of
01:19:48.140 this does it.
01:19:49.640 So, if you're
01:19:50.840 looking for
01:19:51.180 the simple
01:19:51.680 solution, there
01:19:53.800 is none.
01:19:55.420 You know, a lot
01:19:56.220 of people say,
01:19:56.760 oh, let's just
01:19:57.880 make tax breaks
01:19:58.960 so that, you
01:20:00.700 know, you get
01:20:00.980 a tax break
01:20:01.820 for having a
01:20:02.820 kid.
01:20:04.400 Maybe that'll
01:20:05.200 work in
01:20:05.620 Hungary, but
01:20:07.380 there's not a
01:20:08.540 chance it's
01:20:09.060 going to work
01:20:09.440 here because
01:20:10.260 of all these
01:20:10.700 other things.
01:20:11.440 You can't
01:20:11.880 solve all of
01:20:12.640 those other
01:20:13.060 problems, and
01:20:13.840 these are all
01:20:14.520 really deep
01:20:15.340 problems.
01:20:16.860 So, we'll
01:20:17.600 see.
01:20:20.060 Meanwhile,
01:20:20.880 Putin has
01:20:21.640 invited Netanyahu
01:20:23.120 from Israel to
01:20:24.560 attend the
01:20:25.160 Victory Day
01:20:25.860 Parade in
01:20:27.100 Moscow.
01:20:27.460 Now, I
01:20:28.940 didn't see
01:20:29.320 if Netanyahu
01:20:30.260 said yes, but
01:20:31.780 I'm going to
01:20:32.500 guess he
01:20:32.880 probably will.
01:20:34.500 And what I
01:20:35.420 like about
01:20:35.880 this is that
01:20:37.440 Putin is
01:20:38.960 giving sort
01:20:39.640 of a master
01:20:40.240 class in
01:20:40.900 persuasion at
01:20:41.760 the same time
01:20:42.340 that Trump
01:20:42.740 is.
01:20:43.920 And Netanyahu,
01:20:45.660 I would say
01:20:46.680 easily the
01:20:47.640 equal in
01:20:48.300 persuasion.
01:20:49.020 One of the
01:20:49.320 best persuaders
01:20:50.200 is Netanyahu.
01:20:54.120 Putin is so
01:20:55.180 smart to do
01:20:57.400 this.
01:20:58.120 Because on
01:20:58.560 one hand,
01:20:59.680 making friends
01:21:00.600 with America's
01:21:01.460 friends, that's
01:21:03.500 definitely going
01:21:04.060 to have an
01:21:04.380 effect on us,
01:21:05.800 right?
01:21:06.700 You know, given
01:21:07.260 that there's a
01:21:08.200 sizable and
01:21:09.420 important Jewish
01:21:10.400 population in the
01:21:11.260 United States who
01:21:12.080 has good feelings
01:21:12.840 about Israel, if
01:21:14.220 Netanyahu says,
01:21:15.300 you know what, I
01:21:16.400 am going to go
01:21:17.000 visit your Victory
01:21:18.180 Day Parade, and
01:21:19.780 if he gets along
01:21:20.500 with Putin and
01:21:21.160 there's nice
01:21:21.740 pictures, it's
01:21:23.440 just going to be
01:21:24.140 one more reason
01:21:25.160 way, maybe we
01:21:26.860 should be Putin's
01:21:28.520 friend.
01:21:29.640 So again, if
01:21:30.760 you're new to
01:21:31.260 this, I'm not
01:21:32.260 saying Putin's a
01:21:33.060 good guy, you
01:21:34.200 know, let's
01:21:35.340 allow that we
01:21:36.040 know who Putin
01:21:36.980 is, we're not
01:21:38.200 under any weird
01:21:39.280 beliefs that he
01:21:40.560 turned into, you
01:21:41.840 know, Mother
01:21:42.340 Teresa overnight.
01:21:43.720 But if you just
01:21:44.700 look at his
01:21:45.340 game, his
01:21:47.020 persuasion game,
01:21:48.960 befriending
01:21:49.480 Israel in sort of
01:21:51.080 a serious way is
01:21:52.640 not only good
01:21:53.380 for him
01:21:53.680 economically, good
01:21:55.640 for him
01:21:56.220 persuasion-wise,
01:21:57.820 good for him,
01:21:59.000 just good for
01:21:59.680 him in every
01:22:00.120 way, it's just
01:22:01.400 such a smart
01:22:02.020 move that it's
01:22:03.540 hard for me to
01:22:04.260 ignore it.
01:22:05.380 He just keeps
01:22:06.460 getting the
01:22:07.900 right move, and
01:22:09.660 he's just good
01:22:12.300 at it.
01:22:14.300 Anyway, so
01:22:16.680 that's happening.
01:22:19.900 According to
01:22:20.560 the BBC News,
01:22:21.820 the US is
01:22:23.000 pausing
01:22:23.440 intelligence
01:22:24.080 sharing with
01:22:24.960 Ukraine, do
01:22:25.960 you think
01:22:26.180 that's real?
01:22:27.700 Do you think
01:22:28.140 that we're going
01:22:28.540 to pause
01:22:29.080 intelligence
01:22:29.720 sharing with
01:22:30.700 Ukraine?
01:22:32.220 I feel like
01:22:33.060 the first thing
01:22:34.580 I think is, I'm
01:22:35.480 not sure we
01:22:35.980 could pull it
01:22:36.520 off if we
01:22:37.040 tried, because
01:22:38.340 don't you think
01:22:38.980 that within our
01:22:39.920 intelligence
01:22:40.440 community, there
01:22:42.120 would be enough
01:22:42.560 people who don't
01:22:43.420 want it to be
01:22:44.000 paused, that if
01:22:45.540 anything important
01:22:46.240 came up, they'd
01:22:47.120 make sure it got
01:22:47.880 to the Ukraine,
01:22:49.320 because it's the
01:22:51.040 intelligence community.
01:22:52.540 You think they
01:22:53.060 don't have any
01:22:53.740 way to get a
01:22:54.320 message to Ukraine
01:22:55.240 without our own
01:22:57.280 government knowing
01:22:57.960 they did it?
01:22:58.540 Of course they
01:22:59.100 do.
01:23:00.040 They would just
01:23:00.480 have to want
01:23:01.000 to.
01:23:02.000 That's all.
01:23:02.940 So first of all,
01:23:03.640 I don't believe we
01:23:04.440 have the ability to
01:23:06.700 pause any
01:23:07.520 intelligence sharing
01:23:08.380 with Ukraine.
01:23:09.220 I just don't think
01:23:10.100 we have that
01:23:10.560 ability.
01:23:10.920 But if we did, I
01:23:14.860 feel like we'd
01:23:15.840 make an exception
01:23:16.580 if it were
01:23:17.080 anything important.
01:23:19.020 So I think maybe
01:23:20.360 it's just a first
01:23:21.860 show and maybe
01:23:23.140 put a little more
01:23:26.020 pressure on Ukraine
01:23:27.120 to do what we
01:23:28.920 want them to do.
01:23:29.680 We'll see.
01:23:31.500 Hamas has already
01:23:32.480 told Trump that
01:23:34.000 there's no hostage
01:23:35.040 release within a
01:23:36.080 ceasefire.
01:23:37.480 Trump is really
01:23:39.660 pissed and he's
01:23:40.480 saying it's their
01:23:41.320 last warning.
01:23:42.860 And if they don't
01:23:43.760 free the remaining
01:23:44.660 Israeli hostages,
01:23:46.300 there's going to
01:23:47.680 be real hell to
01:23:49.240 pay.
01:23:50.700 And Trump said
01:23:51.860 that it is over
01:23:52.700 for Hamas
01:23:53.400 terrorists who
01:23:54.120 do not comply.
01:23:55.540 And that's sort
01:23:56.540 of just doubling
01:23:57.120 down on what he's
01:23:57.960 already said,
01:23:58.560 which didn't make
01:23:59.280 any difference
01:23:59.860 whatsoever.
01:24:01.100 So I would love
01:24:02.760 to tell you I've
01:24:03.420 got this brilliant
01:24:04.120 idea about what
01:24:07.400 the U.S.
01:24:07.940 should do.
01:24:08.380 But unfortunately,
01:24:10.300 the only thing
01:24:11.400 you could do is
01:24:13.020 just bomb the
01:24:13.760 whole place and
01:24:14.440 kill the hostages
01:24:15.280 and the Hamas
01:24:16.960 fighters at the
01:24:17.660 same time.
01:24:18.920 Now, I'm going to
01:24:21.080 give you the
01:24:21.760 darkest view of
01:24:25.180 strategy.
01:24:26.360 This is dark.
01:24:28.340 And I definitely
01:24:30.540 would not want
01:24:31.400 this to happen if
01:24:32.520 I were a family
01:24:33.260 member of any
01:24:34.280 hostage.
01:24:34.640 hostage.
01:24:36.080 I wouldn't want
01:24:37.040 this to happen
01:24:37.560 at all.
01:24:39.420 We might have
01:24:40.400 to just say we're
01:24:41.360 done with the
01:24:41.880 whole hostage
01:24:42.460 situation and
01:24:43.680 just, and then
01:24:46.060 Israel just takes
01:24:46.960 care of whatever
01:24:47.560 they need to do.
01:24:49.040 Because at some
01:24:50.560 point, the
01:24:51.860 hostages will be
01:24:54.160 so, in such
01:24:56.520 bad shape if
01:24:57.560 they're alive at
01:24:58.180 all, that they're
01:24:59.960 not, it's not
01:25:00.760 like they're going
01:25:01.260 to leave and
01:25:01.780 have a happy
01:25:02.380 life.
01:25:04.000 Like, this is
01:25:04.640 permanent damage
01:25:05.740 physically,
01:25:07.260 emotionally,
01:25:08.780 mentally.
01:25:10.000 And at some
01:25:10.600 point, somebody
01:25:14.400 might make the
01:25:15.200 dark, dark
01:25:16.000 decision, and I'm
01:25:16.960 not recommending
01:25:17.620 it, because that
01:25:18.940 would be just
01:25:19.960 ethically and
01:25:20.740 morally wrong.
01:25:22.260 But in terms of
01:25:23.620 strategy, at
01:25:26.560 some point, we're
01:25:28.360 going to say,
01:25:28.900 even the
01:25:30.760 hostages maybe
01:25:31.960 would prefer a
01:25:32.760 quick end.
01:25:34.140 Because being
01:25:34.860 held another year
01:25:35.880 or two underground,
01:25:38.080 I'd rather be
01:25:39.680 dead.
01:25:41.100 So if you put me
01:25:42.220 in that situation,
01:25:43.540 I don't think I'd
01:25:44.720 be praying for
01:25:45.500 release in a
01:25:47.000 year.
01:25:48.540 I think I'd be
01:25:49.560 praying for, can
01:25:50.920 you end this as
01:25:51.700 quickly as
01:25:52.220 possible?
01:25:53.320 So if there
01:25:54.920 were some way
01:25:55.580 to do that,
01:25:57.160 the darkest
01:25:58.920 military strategy
01:26:00.820 is to understand
01:26:01.860 that the
01:26:02.480 so-called
01:26:04.680 hostages
01:26:05.420 are maybe
01:26:08.760 beyond the
01:26:10.060 point where
01:26:10.540 even they would
01:26:11.260 want to be
01:26:11.700 saved.
01:26:12.860 Now, of course,
01:26:13.920 there will always
01:26:14.340 be some people
01:26:15.040 who are going
01:26:15.800 to prefer life
01:26:16.540 under every
01:26:17.460 situation.
01:26:19.040 And, you know,
01:26:19.440 maybe they have
01:26:19.960 loved ones that
01:26:20.660 they're caring about
01:26:21.320 more than
01:26:21.720 themselves.
01:26:22.240 That might
01:26:22.940 matter.
01:26:24.000 But we're
01:26:25.440 getting sort of
01:26:26.640 running out of
01:26:27.300 options here.
01:26:28.260 So I'm not
01:26:29.000 going to give
01:26:29.360 Israel any
01:26:30.060 recommendations.
01:26:32.140 I'll just
01:26:32.580 note that
01:26:34.280 Hamas' fuse
01:26:35.940 is starting to
01:26:37.140 run out.
01:26:38.300 Because they
01:26:39.380 don't have
01:26:39.840 infinite time
01:26:40.840 to keep saying,
01:26:42.480 if you wait a
01:26:43.060 little bit longer
01:26:43.740 or you give us
01:26:44.480 a ceasefire,
01:26:45.680 I don't think
01:26:47.160 it's going to
01:26:47.520 work anymore.
01:26:49.160 I think we
01:26:49.900 may have reached
01:26:51.260 the limit of
01:26:53.160 what we can
01:26:53.700 productively do
01:26:54.720 for the
01:26:55.060 hostages.
01:26:56.440 And that's
01:26:56.920 the darkest
01:26:57.400 thing I'll
01:26:58.440 ever say,
01:26:58.960 probably.
01:26:59.860 So again,
01:27:00.320 it's not a
01:27:00.780 recommendation.
01:27:02.360 Because to
01:27:03.220 recommend it
01:27:03.900 would be
01:27:04.500 immoral and
01:27:05.380 unethical and
01:27:06.460 deeply evil.
01:27:08.660 But it's
01:27:09.360 also war.
01:27:11.100 And there's
01:27:12.160 also a
01:27:12.800 common sense
01:27:13.620 element that
01:27:14.640 says,
01:27:15.360 are we going
01:27:17.080 to help these
01:27:17.640 hostages by
01:27:18.400 keeping them
01:27:19.120 prisoners
01:27:19.940 underground?
01:27:21.260 For what?
01:27:22.540 Another year?
01:27:23.760 Another two
01:27:24.300 years?
01:27:25.760 Is that good
01:27:26.600 for them?
01:27:27.600 Is it good
01:27:28.020 for anybody?
01:27:29.380 I don't know.
01:27:31.400 No good
01:27:32.140 answers.
01:27:32.760 There's no
01:27:33.100 clean answers.
01:27:34.680 So probably
01:27:35.760 whoever is
01:27:37.500 willing to be
01:27:38.100 the most evil
01:27:38.860 might get the
01:27:40.520 outcome they
01:27:41.040 want.
01:27:42.380 All right,
01:27:42.860 that's all I've
01:27:43.360 got for you
01:27:44.720 today.
01:27:46.780 Just full of
01:27:47.700 news today.
01:27:49.500 What time is
01:27:50.000 it?
01:27:50.220 Yeah, it's
01:27:50.560 time to be
01:27:51.040 done.
01:27:51.780 I'm going
01:27:52.100 to say a
01:27:52.420 few words
01:27:52.860 privately to
01:27:53.540 the people
01:27:54.260 on Locals,
01:27:55.180 the rest of
01:27:55.600 you.
01:27:55.860 Thanks for
01:27:56.220 joining.
01:27:56.700 I will see
01:27:57.220 you tomorrow
01:27:57.940 at the same
01:27:58.240 time, same
01:27:58.620 place.
01:27:58.960 Thank you.