Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2782 CWSA 03⧸18⧸25

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00:00:07.940 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

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00:00:49.440 So good. Well, do you want to talk about mostly good news today?

00:00:53.820 How about a day of mostly good news? All right. Number one, good news. The astronauts should

00:01:03.260 be back sometime later this afternoon, Wilmore and Williams, and are aboard SpaceX's crew dragon

00:01:12.560 capsule. And if everything goes well, Elon Musk will have one of the greatest saves of all

00:01:19.700 time. Sort of legendary. There was only one person in the world who could have saved those

00:01:26.960 astronauts, his company, that is. And it's sure looking good. So I don't want to get ahead

00:01:34.400 of it, but everything looks good right now. So we might see that around 6 p.m.-ish Eastern

00:01:42.360 time. In other news, did you know that gas is cheaper than a year ago and egg prices are

00:01:49.760 collapsing? And those are the two things that people talked about the most when they talked

00:01:54.440 about inflation. And both of them quite down. Have you heard the Democrats complaining about

00:02:01.100 egg prices lately? Nope. Have the Democrats been complaining about gas prices lately? Nope.

00:02:08.920 Now, I don't know what Trump did or did not do that would have affected either of these things.

00:02:15.260 Maybe it's just the market adjusting. And maybe it was just going to happen on its own. But

00:02:20.080 the way it works is the incumbent always gets credit and always gets blamed. So if we play by those

00:02:28.640 rules, Trump gets the credit. But one thing that didn't happen is we're not seeing the tariffs or

00:02:37.340 anything else increasing the cost of those basics. So has anybody seen any costs go up because of

00:02:46.080 tariffs? I have not. So we'll see. In other good news, do you remember there were a couple of IRS

00:02:55.420 whistleblowers who wanted to investigate Hunter Biden, but they were told they couldn't do it and

00:03:03.460 they were ostracized? Well, the two ostracized IRS whistleblowers just got promoted in the Treasury

00:03:12.700 Department. So being a whistleblower is a tough work and it's risky and they definitely paid for it.

00:03:21.880 But according to the New York Post, both of them now promoted. All right. I like that. More good news.

00:03:29.280 Even more good news. Ben Shapiro is going to host a five-part series called The Case for Derek Chauvin.

00:03:38.520 So the Daily Wire will have that content. So Derek Chauvin, as you know, the one who was in jail for

00:03:47.020 allegedly killing George Floyd. So Ben Shapiro has decided to sort of take on this, what I would call

00:03:56.420 a great injustice, because I think he was just, I think it was just a racial outcome. We'll see if

00:04:04.520 that makes a difference. Now he's, Ben Shapiro explains that there are some federal charges, but there are

00:04:13.020 also the state charges. So, you know, Trump couldn't pardon any state charges. So I don't think there's

00:04:19.580 any chance Derek Chauvin will get out of jail. But I like the fact that Ben is being so gutsy

00:04:28.540 and he's gutsy in the service of the right thing. Meaning that if you're going to put yourself out

00:04:38.540 there and you're going to take a risk, it should be for something important. And to me, this is pretty

00:04:44.000 important because the Derek Chauvin thing was just, in my opinion, pure racism. And so if he can get

00:04:52.700 that fixed, that would be great. You want an update on Fannie Willis, you know, the DA who was going

00:05:00.860 after Trump? Well, there was a part of that process where she was asked to produce some records

00:05:07.560 and she decided not to. And now she's being fined by the court of $54,000 to pay for, I guess, lawyer

00:05:19.700 fees and other stuff. So Fannie Willis did not put Trump in jail, but it just cost her $54,000.

00:05:29.100 So that's good news. So allegedly, sometime today, Trump will be releasing all, in quotes, all the JFK 0.69

00:05:42.760 files. Do you believe that? So 80,000 pages and he wants it to be all unredacted. How many of you

00:05:53.180 believe that the JFK files will be released? They'll be unredacted and they'll be complete

00:06:00.260 and there'll be something in there that we didn't know that matters? Not a chance.

00:06:09.020 Not a chance. If anything was in there that mattered, that would have been taken out of

00:06:15.600 there so long ago. I mean, there's no part of me that thinks there's any possibility

00:06:21.800 that we're going to read these documents and it's going to say something like, oh, wow,

00:06:27.480 the CIA worked with the mafia or it was actually the Federal Reserve decided to kill Kennedy or

00:06:35.120 it was some foreign country. No, that's not going to be there. Probably whatever the Warren 0.98

00:06:44.200 report reported, it'll be just something to back that up. So don't expect much.

00:06:51.800 Well, Harvard has announced that they're going to be tuition free for students who come from

00:07:01.540 families with annual incomes of $200,000 or less starting in the coming year. So imagine going

00:07:09.960 to Harvard for free because your family made $200,000 or less. Now, probably that sounds to you

00:07:18.160 like, wow, how are they going to make money? But I'm not sure about this, but I'll bet there aren't

00:07:26.540 that many people who apply to Harvard who do not have parents who are making between the two of them,

00:07:34.680 $200,000 or more. I'll bet there are not a lot of people in that category because, you know, by the time

00:07:42.380 you had enough, let's say scholastic support to be qualified to go to Harvard, it says something

00:07:49.160 about your socioeconomic situation. So there's not going to be a lot of people applying who totally

00:07:56.440 are qualified and yet their parents make less than $200,000. But here's my question. Are white males

00:08:05.360 included in this? It kind of doesn't say, does it? So, you know, the DEI was a big thing,

00:08:14.360 but now the universities are trying to pretend they're not doing DEI. So is this just a backdoor

00:08:22.880 DEI play? Do you think that they're going to accept basically white guys who qualify totally 0.77

00:08:32.900 and they're going to give them free educations if their family income is under 200,000? I'm going

00:08:40.800 to say I'd believe that when I see it, but I'm not prepared to believe it just by assumption.

00:08:50.620 To me, I would expect that Harvard would continue to be racist and that it would show itself in this

00:08:58.700 policy as well. There's no reporting on that. There's no indication they'll be racist. But given

00:09:04.020 that they have a long racist past, what would you expect?

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00:10:09.500 All right, here's some fake news. The Associated Press had to withdraw their own story.

00:10:16.840 They had a story that said that Tulsi Gabbard had said that Trump and Putin are very good friends.

00:10:24.400 Do you remember seeing that story? I saw it when it was new, and I swear to God,

00:10:31.260 as soon as I read it, I said, eh, fake news, and didn't even think about it again,

00:10:36.300 because it seemed so obviously fake news. Well, it turns out that Tulsi was talking about

00:10:41.720 Indian Prime Minister Modi, and so it was fake news, and now the AP is withdrawing their story.

00:10:50.060 That's kind of a big one to get wrong. You know, the difference between Trump is best friends with

00:10:56.560 the Prime Minister Modi, you know, one of our more important allies, versus he's best friends with

00:11:05.160 Putin. That's a really big difference. Really big. Meanwhile, the swattings continue. So you probably

00:11:14.880 know on, if you're on X, you probably know Juanita Broderick. So she has swatted. So about 10 police

00:11:22.540 and SWAT teams showed up at her house. Man, that is not funny. Let me tell you. So far, nobody's been

00:11:31.540 hurt. So I'm going to give police some credit for that. But I think it was yesterday or the night

00:11:39.480 before. There was a gentleman who I don't know, but somebody who must have been in the podcasting

00:11:46.120 business, who got swatted. And when he tells his story, oh, my God, is it chilling. So imagine if

00:11:55.460 you will, that you hear a noise or your your video camera picks up something. And you know, there's

00:12:02.160 somebody sort of outside your door. And apparently he could see the silhouette of a male carrying a

00:12:10.180 rifle who was basically trying his doorknob. And he was armed. And he had a dog that looked like

00:12:20.740 maybe the dog could take care of business too. So this was a conservative guy who took him about 10

00:12:27.680 seconds to find his own weapon. And he had somebody who with a silhouette of a rifle trying to enter his

00:12:34.060 home without any announcement, you know, no bullhorns, no, no nothing. Now, the good news

00:12:42.340 is that, you know, he asked who they were before he opened fire. And they identified themselves as

00:12:49.640 police and that everything was fine. So there were no problems. But you can't get any closer to dead

00:12:56.400 than that. That's as close as you can get to dead. So this swatting stuff, I sure hope there's a way to

00:13:07.500 find out who's doing it so we can get some of them in jail. It's really deserving. Anyway, in a bunch

00:13:16.920 of lawmakers in, where is it, Wisconsin? I think it's Wisconsin, are trying to trying to make it part of

00:13:29.580 the medical, I guess, medical definition that Trump derangement syndrome would be defined as a mental 0.95

00:13:37.800 illness. And the symptoms would include Trump-induced general hysteria, inability to distinguish between

00:13:47.940 legitimate policy differences, and signs of psychic pathology. Now, I don't think there's any chance

00:13:55.780 that that will become law. But it's hilarious. It's hilarious that it's being presented. And by the way,

00:14:05.760 I think it is a mental illness. So it's not hilarious because it's just a prank. It's hilarious 1.00

00:14:11.860 because it's true that if we took any of this seriously, we would have Trump derangement syndrome 0.98

00:14:19.000 listed as an actual mental illness. Because if you've been paying attention, it's definitely a 0.87

00:14:25.540 mental illness. I mean, if you know anybody who has it, you know what I'm talking about. It's not normal.

00:14:31.860 It doesn't help their life. It makes them deeply unhappy. And nothing that they see makes sense.

00:14:39.060 So they're hallucinating and full of anxiety and depression. And I mean, that's the very definition

00:14:44.860 of a mental illness. So that's not going anywhere, but it's funny. Meanwhile, Whoopi Goldberg on The View, 0.94

00:14:55.220 she said that if Trump can deport terrorists, he can deport any one of us. Hmm. Let me check the logic.

00:15:04.340 If he can deport a terrorist, then he can deport anybody. Hmm. Let's see if we can take that logic

00:15:15.360 a couple level. So if you can put a murderer in jail for murder, you could put anybody in jail for

00:15:24.040 anything. If you can send a missile at the Hooties, well, what's to stop you from sending a missile at 0.97

00:15:33.840 the view? If you can, I think you see where this is going. Well, what kind of dumb ass analysis is it to

00:15:47.120 say that if you can, if you can deport a terrorist or somebody that you think is, you know, leading in 0.99

00:15:53.560 that direction or supporting the terrorists, that you can deport any one of us? I don't know. Sounds

00:16:00.280 a little like Trump derangement syndrome, perhaps. Anyway, Virginia Kuta at The Daily Wire is reporting

00:16:08.900 on that. I don't know if you saw it, but on CNN, Harry Enten, their polling and data guy, was just

00:16:18.680 having a wild time talking about how poorly Democrats are polling at the moment. So the

00:16:25.040 Democrat Party. And I guess it's the record low approval for, I don't know, how many years it's

00:16:31.700 been. And multiple polls are showing the same thing, just wildly low opinions of the Democrat Party,

00:16:41.180 even, you know, even within the Democrats. And then here's the funny part.

00:16:48.680 65% of Democrats say that they should stay principled, even if nothing gets done.

00:16:57.080 So they'd rather stick to their principle, no matter how bad that is for the world.

00:17:03.400 Because they want to stick to their principle. Now, that's mental illness, isn't it? 0.97

00:17:11.080 You know, that doesn't feel like, oh, you're, you're such a guru. You're like the Buddha,

00:17:17.720 you're sticking to your principle. Well, not if it just makes everything worse.

00:17:23.720 You know, sometimes you got to negotiate with the people that you don't like.

00:17:28.840 Anyway, so if you haven't seen yet, Jon Stewart of The Daily Show, mocking Chuck Schumer. Oh my God,

00:17:37.800 does he go at him brutally? No, he's done it before, but he takes it to a whole new level.

00:17:42.840 He's just absolutely savaging Chuck Schumer. Have you noticed that the only way Democrats can get

00:17:53.560 attention in the current environment is to attack other Democrats? Have you noticed that? Because when

00:18:01.320 they attack Trump, it's just background noise, because they all attack Trump and they say the

00:18:07.000 same things, literally they say the same things, because they have the same script and everything.

00:18:11.800 So attacking Trump doesn't get them any attention at all. But attacking their own team,

00:18:18.280 well, I'm talking about it now. So the thing that's happening with the Democrats

00:18:27.160 is the more they hate Trump, which seems to increase every day, the more they hate Trump,

00:18:32.840 the more they hate the Democrat Party for not fighting Trump. So that's called a death spiral,

00:18:41.800 or circling the drain. If the more you hate your opponent makes you hate your own team even more,

00:18:49.880 for not doing enough to hate the opponent and do something about it, that looks unrecoverable.

00:18:57.400 It just looks like everything's just going to keep getting worse for the Democrats. Death spiral.

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00:19:18.600 And I don't know why it's so funny, but the Democrats' complete lack of awareness and complete lack of

00:19:29.720 talent at this point, it just is funny. So Don Lemon was on Bill Maher's Club Random.

00:19:37.640 And Don Lemon said that, he's talking about who the leaders of the Democrat Party are or should be.

00:19:44.520 He says, people love AOC, Jasmine Crockett, and Eric Swalwell. Democrats should prioritize putting

00:19:50.920 them out there more. That's right, Don. You're totally right. We'd like to see more AOC,

00:20:01.400 Jasmine Crockett, and Eric Swalwell, please. I would like that. Because that's a lot like giving up.

00:20:12.280 In fact, that's exactly like giving up. Because the more we see these three characters,

00:20:18.840 the lower the approval will be for Democrats. And how could Don Lemon not be aware of that?

00:20:25.960 Do you think he really doesn't know what people think of those three characters? I don't know.

00:20:33.880 I guess AOC is now polling at the top to be the, she's the closest thing to the Democrat views, 0.95

00:20:42.600 according to some polls. So good luck with that, Democrats. Good luck.

00:20:47.400 All right. So I told you I was going to be optimistic today. So we know that Trump is absolutely

00:20:57.320 demolishing the Democrats in the polling. So the Democrat Party looks like the worst it's been

00:21:03.000 forever. And Trump remains at what looks like a high point for Trump. So he's at a high point of

00:21:12.600 popularity for himself, while they're at a low point. But could it get worse for Democrats?

00:21:20.600 Well, let's let's walk through a couple of what ifs. What if the whole tariff situation works out

00:21:29.160 perfectly? Now, I'm not predicting it. But it's possible. What if, as Kevin O'Leary points out,

00:21:39.240 he was on Gottfeld? He says, every single tariff scheduled on every product in every country

00:21:45.720 has never been looked at this way. You know, he's talking about the reciprocal tariffs and all the

00:21:50.440 other tariffs. He goes, what happens? Both sides look at each other and say, how about no tariffs?

00:21:57.720 Because tariffing each other just will lead to ruin, because we'll increase ours, they'll increase theirs.

00:22:05.240 And then, apparently, Scott Bassent has already said that going into April 2nd,

00:22:12.280 now some of our most imbalanced trading partners come forward and want to drop their tariffs.

00:22:18.440 So what Kevin O'Leary is saying is that the tariff threat is going to cause countries to simply

00:22:27.560 negotiate what should have been the tariff situation in the first place, which is no tariffs.

00:22:32.520 So what if that's what happens? And what if it happens before summer? And what if all the noise that

00:22:46.120 Democrats made about tariffs ruining the world turned into nothing but other countries removing their

00:22:54.760 tariffs? And we do too. That would be one of the greatest economic plays of all time. And I'm not

00:23:06.040 going to predict it's going to happen, because you know, there's lots of complexity there. But there's a

00:23:12.040 really good chance that something sort of directionally like that will happen, that you'll never see any

00:23:18.760 serious inflation because the risk of tariffs did all the work. We didn't need the tariffs.

00:23:26.120 We just needed the threat of tariffs. And that would be a perfect Trump outcome.

00:23:32.840 Now, remember, I always say that Trump doesn't bluff. He will definitely tariff your ass. 1.00

00:23:39.800 So if you decide that you want to fight it out, well, good luck. He's just going to tariff you into 1.00

00:23:45.000 oblivion. And he really will. And it's not a bluff. So all the smart people are going to say,

00:23:52.600 you know, it would be better. But if we just try to compete, something like that.

00:23:59.080 All right. So what if tariffs work out? Here's another one. What if everything about Doge works out?

00:24:07.560 What if Doge actually solves our biggest existential threat, which is runaway spending?

00:24:16.360 It could. I mean, they're seemingly doing the right stuff to make that happen and seemingly making lots

00:24:25.800 of progress. Now, there's lots more to go. They're nowhere near getting rid of a trillion or two dollars.

00:24:32.760 But boy, do they have a grip on things. So I feel like, you know, Elon Musk and his Doge team are like

00:24:41.320 pit bulls. And so the real question is, did they close their jaws on this thing? And I think the

00:24:48.760 answer is yes. So you can't predict exactly where the Doge thing will end up. But I think they're in

00:24:57.400 full pit bull. We've got your ass in our grip right now and we're not letting go ever. So what if 1.00

00:25:07.480 Doge works out? Do you know what the history books will not say about Doge if it all works out?

00:25:15.400 Here's what the history books will not say. You know, I thought they used a little too much chainsaw

00:25:22.120 and not enough scalpel. Just think about it. All that matters with Doge is does it work?

00:25:29.880 We're not going to care in the long run whether there were some imperfections. We're not going to

00:25:36.040 really care if the Democrats said, oh, it's two chainsaw, not enough scalpel. Nobody's going to care about

00:25:45.160 any of that. They're going to care. Did you save the country from an existential debt problem?

00:25:53.640 Yes or no? If the answer is yes, Doge will go down in history as one of the greatest things that ever

00:26:00.440 happened and one of the most difficult, most challenging, and most, I could argue, even most

00:26:08.440 patriotic. Because what Musk is doing is the ultimate patriotic act. He's putting his physical

00:26:18.920 body at risk. This is dangerous stuff. He's putting his other businesses at tremendous risk.

00:26:26.200 And he's doing it because the alternative is we all die. That's the ultimate patriotic act. You can't be

00:26:34.920 more patriotic than that. The full self-sacrifice for a life and death situation that would affect

00:26:41.960 billions because it would be more than the US if we go down. So tariffs might work out and Doge might

00:26:52.200 work out and both of them seem to be trending positive. What if they do? So then you would have

00:27:01.640 Trump not causing inflation and inflation coming down. You would have trade deals improved. You would

00:27:09.800 have Doge not just cutting costs, but maybe regulations as well. So just imagine that world. Our energy

00:27:23.000 businesses are fully unfettered. We stop being completely crippled by weird climate change assumptions.

00:27:32.520 We fix our international tariff situation. And we reduce our debt. That's all completely doable.

00:27:44.120 You know, you can't yet predict that it's all going to go right. But it's all heading in the right

00:27:49.800 direction and the right people are working on it and doing the right things about it.

00:27:53.880 I've got a prediction that by the third year of the Trump presidency, everything's going to kick in.

00:28:05.000 Because a lot of this stuff is kind of slow. It takes a while to work its way through the system.

00:28:08.920 Elon Musk was on, I think it was a Ted Cruz podcast. And he said that they've discovered a bunch of

00:28:19.800 magic money computers at the Treasury. Magic money computers. And I'll do the best to explain what

00:28:28.760 that is. So this is Elon Musk's explanation. He said, you would think the government computers all talk to

00:28:34.760 each other and are synchronized. And the numbers you see are real numbers. You know, they're not magic

00:28:41.320 money computers. But apparently the magic money computers are computers that just make money on

00:28:47.400 a thin air. They just issue payments. So they don't check to see if money exists. They just issue the

00:28:55.000 payments. So if they issue the payments, it's like the money existed. They're mostly at the Treasury. Some

00:29:01.400 are at Health and Human Services and some at State and DOD. But they found 14 magic money computers that

00:29:09.240 just send out money out of nothing. So how important is it that he found the magic money computers?

00:29:21.480 Oh, my God. The things that DOGE has already discovered, you know, dismantling the whole NGO.

00:29:30.440 Well, I hope that's what happens. But at least we understand what the NGO situation was.

00:29:34.600 The USAID situation. All what looks like a massive money laundering scheme and a power,

00:29:42.840 sort of a power scheme for Democrats. What if we unwind all of that?

00:29:49.080 Because it looks like we might. I don't know. All of it might be too much.

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00:30:24.440 Meanwhile, there's a discovery at the University of Texas at Austin. Mario Knopfel is reporting on this.

00:30:33.160 We've discovered over $8 billion of rare earth in the US that could end our dependence on China.

00:30:42.440 But are you having the same feeling I am, which is $8 billion of rare earth feels like not nearly

00:30:50.920 enough rare earth. But apparently what they found is that they can get into there are coal ash landfills.

00:31:00.520 So I didn't know we had coal ash landfills. But apparently, those landfills aren't doing anything

00:31:06.360 else useful. But if we dig through them, you can recover a whole bunch of rare earth materials

00:31:12.280 from the coal ash landfills. I guess we got a bunch of them in the US.

00:31:16.440 And the study was backed by the US Department of Energy. So $8.4 billion doesn't seem like enough,

00:31:26.440 does it? It seems like the headline and the numbers don't match. That somehow this is going to make us,

00:31:33.320 you know, nearly independent from Chinese rare earth materials, but only $8 billion? I don't know.

00:31:41.320 It just feels low. Meanwhile, MSNBC host, Simone Sanders Townsend, she decided that the Democrats are

00:31:51.400 so lame, her party, that she's been advising for and, you know, a central component of the party,

00:31:59.000 she's decided she's leaving the Democratic Party to become an independent. How embarrassing

00:32:06.360 do the Democrats have to become before Simone Sanders Townsend says publicly, I'm out? 0.51

00:32:14.360 Because her world is Democrats. Like the primary thing she does is take jobs supporting Democrats. 1.00

00:32:23.000 Didn't she work on Sanders campaign and then Biden's campaign? Imagine somebody at that level of access 0.99

00:32:32.360 and, you know, influence, just saying, I'm out. Democrats are, you just, you've just lost it. So again,

00:32:40.520 how do Democrats get attention? Mostly by attacking other Democrats. Here's another example.

00:32:48.360 Well, let's talk about Iran and the Houthis. There was a story that's been debunked that

00:32:59.320 somehow an Iranian intelligence ship was sunk by US forces, but apparently that doesn't,

00:33:04.600 that didn't happen. That is fake news, I believe. But as you know, we're bombing the Houthis 1.00

00:33:14.200 because they're attacking ships in the Red Sea. And Trump has made some pretty direct threats to Iran

00:33:24.120 because Iran backs the Houthis. So he's sort of saying that we're holding Iran responsible for

00:33:30.280 everything the Houthis do. So that's kind of suggests there might be some military plans against Iran.

00:33:37.160 But that's not the most popular thing in the world. Marjorie Taylor Greene

00:33:40.920 wants you to know that she opposes war in the Middle East. So she's not down with attacking Iran. 0.93

00:33:49.240 I don't know if that means she's not down with the attacks in the Houthis,

00:33:53.640 because that has a very narrow ambition, which is to make shipping cheaper.

00:34:00.360 And Thomas Massey agrees with Marjorie Taylor Greene. How many of you, just in the comments,

00:34:05.560 how many of you think our best play is to just completely withdraw any kind of action or support

00:34:13.560 or military action in the Middle East? How many think that's our best play?

00:34:20.920 Because I don't know. I was trying to think, what would happen if we just said, okay,

00:34:27.160 I guess there's nothing we can do about the Red Sea being unavailable to us. So we'll just let our

00:34:34.040 our other competitors, you know, our international competitors for trade. We'll just let them have

00:34:40.200 really low costs because they don't get attacked. But we won't be able to use the low cost shipping

00:34:45.800 network. We'll use the expensive one. And we'll just always do that because the alternative would be war.

00:34:51.240 Well, you know, the way that the US has projected power in the past, and Mike Benz is great at explaining

00:35:02.680 all this, is that our military was always sort of joined at the hip with our big corporations,

00:35:09.720 meaning that it was far more likely that our military would get involved somewhere where

00:35:15.960 if things went well, our big corporations would have more access to natural

00:35:21.640 to resources and more access to markets. So it's not unusual for us to do warlike things

00:35:33.320 just to make our economics work better. You know, it's a long history. We do that.

00:35:39.000 So my trouble with the attacking the Houthis is how could that possibly work?

00:35:45.400 How could we possibly punish the Houthis to the point where there's not another Houthi willing to 0.99

00:35:51.240 launch another missile? Because we're not going to kill every single Houthi. And if you have one left, 1.00

00:35:58.600 the Iranians are going to say, hey, you one Houthi was left, you want to shoot a rocket? We'll 0.89

00:36:03.480 we'll put it there and we'll teach you how to use it. You just push this button.

00:36:08.440 I don't think the Houthis can be stopped. Because we're not really used to enemies that don't care 1.00

00:36:15.960 about dying and have some larger purpose that's beyond survival. We don't really know how to deal

00:36:23.320 with that. And the Middle East is full of that. So what do you do? I don't know. But meanwhile, 0.99

00:36:32.200 the least surprising thing in the Middle East is that the Gaza ceasefire didn't hold.

00:36:39.000 Do you think there's anybody here who couldn't predict that the Gaza ceasefire wouldn't hold?

00:36:46.040 Did you think that the Hamas was going to give back all the hostages? Did anybody think they were

00:36:53.240 going to do that? No. So it was pretty much guaranteed that even if we got a few hostages back,

00:37:00.040 the ceasefire wasn't going to hold. Because either they would not give us back the hostages or

00:37:08.040 something. Now, there's also some reporting that says that Israel thinks there was going to be another

00:37:15.800 October 7th-like attack. Well, I don't know about that. But maybe. Maybe they were planning that. And so,

00:37:24.680 I guess more than 400 people were killed according to one unreliable report. But it's getting pretty

00:37:32.840 brutal. And would you like to hear the alternative to basically killing every person in Gaza? So what 0.90

00:37:41.960 would be the alternative? Well, Egypt has a proposal for what to do with Gaza. And it's backed by Saudi 0.89

00:37:49.960 Arabia. So let me see if you think this is a practical proposal. So they would bring in 0.99

00:37:56.680 thousands of mobile homes to put the Gaza displaced people in. And they would be safely in their little 1.00

00:38:04.680 homes while Gaza is cleaned up and services are restored. So that would take a long time. But

00:38:11.960 they would happily be in their mobile homes offsite. So they wouldn't be in Gaza, but they'd be nearby.

00:38:20.200 And they would encourage Hamas to talk with the Palestinian Authority,

00:38:26.600 the people in charge of the other Palestinians who are not in Gaza. And between them, they would set up 0.83

00:38:34.600 some kind of a government or a governing structure that would be more of a technocrat cabinet. Meaning

00:38:43.960 it wouldn't be, you know, hardline anything. It would just be people who know how to keep the lights on.

00:38:50.760 So they would be technocrats. What do you think of that? And then, oh, and then they would

00:38:56.520 eventually negotiate the creation of a Palestinian state. There's really no chance any of that's going

00:39:05.880 to happen. Because Israel seems to be quite dead set on the fact that no Hamas is ever going to go

00:39:15.320 back into Gaza or have any extra power in, you know, in any other area around them. So there's really no

00:39:23.480 chance that Israel would ever allow this to happen. Because, you know, if even three Hamas leaders are 0.74

00:39:31.240 all that's left and every other person is killed, they're still not going to let the three into any 1.00

00:39:37.880 kind of a government power position. And I think the Hamas wants to maintain its military. Do you see 0.58

00:39:45.640 any possibility that Israel will say, okay, okay, it looks like you've learned your lesson, 0.79

00:39:51.880 so you can keep what's left of your military? Not a chance. The Hamas leaders and the Hamas military 0.98

00:39:59.880 are going to be ground down to nothing, or else Israel is not going to feel like they're done.

00:40:06.280 And again, if you're new to me, I'm not backing Israel. I'm just observing. So I don't support 1.00

00:40:13.960 Israel or back it because it's not my country. And even though they're allies, that doesn't mean we 0.94

00:40:22.760 have to agree with everything they do. Sometimes you can just observe it and say, all right, if we

00:40:28.520 were in that situation, what would we be doing? And since I don't see much difference between what

00:40:35.080 they're doing and what we would do in the same situation, I'm not condemning it because countries

00:40:42.680 do what's in their best interest. And Israel is definitely doing what they perceive to be in their 0.58

00:40:48.200 best interest. So when countries are doing what's in their best interest, that's not a moral, ethical,

00:40:57.560 you know, who do you like situation. It's just, oh, of course, they're doing what's in their best

00:41:03.720 interest. They have the power. So they're getting over on the other side.

00:41:09.560 If Hamas had all the power, don't you think they would be destroying Israel and

00:41:16.120 doing a lot of bad things out of what they would think is revenge?

00:41:19.640 Of course they would. And I wouldn't be in favor of that either. So it's not whether I'm in favor of

00:41:24.760 anything. So this is important. I'm not in favor of anything. And I'm not against anything. I'm just

00:41:31.880 observing. And if Israel is doing what Israel thinks is in their best national interest,

00:41:38.920 what would you expect them to do? Like, should they act not in their best interest?

00:41:45.000 So I don't have anything to say about that. It's just an observation. We're just watching, basically.

00:41:52.200 The only question we have is what involvement we want. So I think Marjorie Taylor Greene and Thomas

00:41:58.600 Massey would probably say about a little less involvement over there, or maybe a lot less.

00:42:05.000 And it's good that we have those voices, even if you don't agree with them. You know, it would be

00:42:11.080 scary if everybody in the United States Congress said, oh, yeah, maximum attack. Don't want that.

00:42:21.320 All right. In other news, Trump has revoked the Secret Service detail for

00:42:26.840 both Hunter Biden and Ashley Biden. Hunter Biden, as we found out from Laura Loomer, who's got the

00:42:34.600 exclusive on this, she found out that Hunter Biden was living, at least for now, in South Africa.

00:42:41.640 And he had up to 18 Secret Service people on his detail who had to also be in South Africa,

00:42:49.240 because that's where he is. Do you know how expensive it would be to keep 18 Secret Service

00:42:56.520 people employed and fed and housed at a seaside resort? Now, I don't know where their rooms are,

00:43:04.760 but that's where Hunter is. Anyway, so Hunter got Loomered, as we like to say. Laura Loomer

00:43:14.600 basically took away his Secret Service detail. Now, Trump is the one who did it, but

00:43:20.920 nobody knew where it was until Laura Loomer got that scoop.

00:43:31.160 So, you probably heard that Trump has declared

00:43:35.640 void the preemptive pardons that Joe Biden did before he left office. And the thinking is that

00:43:41.960 they were signed by the auto pen and that Biden was not mentally capable to know what he was doing,

00:43:50.120 and therefore, they're not valid. Now, I don't think there's any chance...

00:43:55.000 Well, what Trump says, he says, is not my decision. It'll be up to the court.

00:43:59.160 But I would say that they're null and void, meaning the pardons.

00:44:03.000 Now, I like the way he's caging it, because Trump has been consistent in obeying the court.

00:44:12.120 The one time he didn't was with the Trenda, Iragua, Venezuelans he was sending back in the Plains. 0.96

00:44:19.080 But his argument is that they were already in international waters, so the judge's ruling didn't

00:44:24.120 apply. So, that's the closest he's been to, let's say,

00:44:28.760 refusing the court's orders. But he has an argument, which again, could be resolved by a higher court.

00:44:38.920 So, as long as Trump stays in the world which says, if the court tells me I have to do something,

00:44:43.960 I'll do it. It's a lot less dictatorial, right? If he was saying, I don't care what the court says,

00:44:51.480 I'm going to void these pardons, I would say, okay, that's too far. I'm not cool with that.

00:44:58.760 But if he says, I have this opinion, but it would have to be validated by the courts,

00:45:04.760 or at least not stopped by the courts, then I say, okay, that's a bold and provocative

00:45:11.000 thing you're looking at there. But you're not breaking any laws, because you get to interpret

00:45:18.040 things as the chief executive, and the courts get to tell you if that was right or wrong,

00:45:24.040 or if it's going to fly. So, as long as he's within the bounds of our system,

00:45:32.520 I'm a little more supportive. Now, I don't think that he thinks he could win this in the courts,

00:45:39.000 because I don't see how the court would ever prove that Joe Biden didn't know what he was doing.

00:45:43.400 That would be hard to prove. You'd be sort of proving a negative. It'd be one thing to prove he

00:45:51.320 did know what he was doing, but how do you prove he didn't know? I don't know.

00:45:56.760 Now, do you remember the story that Mike Johnson told, where he met with Biden when Biden was

00:46:03.400 president? And he asked him, why did you sign this thing that I think had to do with natural gas?

00:46:09.800 Why did you sign this thing that's bad for Louisiana? And Biden said, I didn't do that.

00:46:16.920 And Mike Johnson said, you definitely did that. You just did that. And then Biden called in his

00:46:22.600 assistance and said, did I do that? And then with a little bit of digging, found out, yes,

00:46:30.040 he had signed something that he was not aware of. Now, that's Mike Johnson's telling of it. Have you heard

00:46:36.200 the Democrat telling of that same story? I did not until I brought it up with my smart Democrat friend.

00:46:47.720 So I've got a smart Democrat friend. I said, well, you know, that thing about the auto pen,

00:46:53.400 it's not insane because that Mike Johnson story suggests that Biden didn't know what he was signing,

00:46:59.800 which means maybe the auto pen signed that thing that he didn't know about.

00:47:03.880 But here's the Democrat version of that story. The part that Mike Johnson was complaining about

00:47:13.560 was a small part of a larger, more complicated bill. And so if you missed that this larger,

00:47:22.440 more complicated bill that people are not complaining about in general had this one negative thing for

00:47:29.240 Louisiana, that that would have been easy to miss. And as soon as Biden was informed, oh,

00:47:35.800 there was this unintended consequence, you know, with this detail that you maybe were not aware of,

00:47:41.640 then Biden reversed at least the Louisiana part of it. Now, does that sound true to you?

00:47:49.000 It's a pretty good defense. But here's my question. Do you think that Bill Clinton would have made that

00:47:59.320 mistake? Or would he, he asked enough questions and understood it well enough to know what he was

00:48:05.640 signing and to know it would influence maybe Louisiana in a bad way? I don't know. What about Obama?

00:48:14.200 Do you think Obama would have not noticed he was signing something that had a downside that

00:48:20.360 wasn't obvious? I don't know. So without really digging into what that bill was and forming my own

00:48:27.720 opinion, I'm going to say it's pretty good defense from the Democrat side. If that's your argument,

00:48:36.120 pretty good. I don't know what's true. I don't know if a reasonable person would have easily caught it.

00:48:43.640 I don't know. But at least they have a defense.

00:48:49.560 Stephen Miller was on TV on the news talking about the Alien Enemies Act of 1798. That's the one

00:48:56.600 that Trump used to deport the Venezuelan gangs. And apparently the trick here is that it has to be

00:49:07.400 something coming from a nation, not just a gang. But there's some kind of documentation that shows

00:49:14.200 that Venezuela intentionally was sending the bad people to the US. Now, if Venezuela,

00:49:23.720 which would feel itself sort of an enemy to the United States based on current interactions,

00:49:29.720 if they're an enemy to the United States and they did something that's bad for the United States by sending

00:49:35.480 an alien armed killers, then is that close enough to being an alien enemy? You know, is that a stretch?

00:49:46.760 Well, again, I suppose if the courts stopped it, then Trump would stop it. But they got clever and

00:49:54.920 they made sure that the plane that it was in international waters before any rulings came down.

00:50:00.680 But speaking of getting lumered, turns out that the judge who tried to reverse the planes and say,

00:50:08.200 no, you can't send these people away. I don't think the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 applies to this

00:50:14.760 situation. So turn those planes around even if they're in the air. Would you be surprised to learn

00:50:22.520 that the judge's daughter is heavily involved in leftist politics? Would you be surprised to learn 0.98

00:50:31.480 that the judge's spouse is super involved, like really activist? Both his wife and his daughter

00:50:39.880 are total anti-Trumpers. Now, do you think he should have recused himself? Because same judge

00:50:53.000 was involved in, what was he involved in? He was involved in FOIA stuff. He was involved in Ray Epps

00:51:00.840 stuff. And that judge that made that ruling apparently attended at least one of Trump's trials

00:51:09.960 in person and stood in the back to watch what happened. Now, how many judges go to other trials

00:51:17.480 to watch them? And this guy was so, oh yeah, this guy was so deeply anti-Trump and his wife and his

00:51:30.840 daughter, that conflict of interest doesn't even come close. This is like the ultimate conflict of

00:51:38.120 interest. Just absurd, ridiculous conflict of interest. And so Laura Loomer had the goods on the 0.52

00:51:47.000 daughter. And so that judge is getting Loomered. Laura makes that a verb. I like it. Getting Loomered.

00:51:58.520 Anyway, so today is the day that Trump is going to have a phone call with Putin. I don't know about

00:52:08.040 the time zones, so perhaps that's already happened. I feel like it would happen early in the day on our

00:52:15.880 side. So I don't know if it's happened, but I'm not seeing a great hope that a deal will be made right

00:52:25.080 away. It doesn't seem to me that one phone call is going to work it out. Now, we have been getting

00:52:31.960 indications from the Trump administration that they're close, close, close to some kind of a deal,

00:52:38.600 but I don't think so. I feel like that might be just optimism and that there's always going to be a

00:52:44.520 new wrinkle. But I'll tell you something I saw on the podcast Triggernometry, which is one of the

00:52:52.280 great podcasts out there. So the Triggernometry duo had Boris Johnson on. And I had never heard this view 0.63

00:53:02.120 of the Ukraine-Russia situation. Now, Democrats say, some people say, it's obvious that Russia started

00:53:14.840 the war because they militarily crossed the border with forces. So a lot of people say that's the

00:53:24.360 start of the war. So they're to blame. But then other people say, wait a minute, they had warned

00:53:31.320 long ago that if Ukraine was looking at being a NATO member, that that was a red line and that

00:53:41.000 would force military action. So really, you could blame the United States and Europe for creating a

00:53:47.560 situation that guaranteed he would attack. Because he said, under no situation are you going to put

00:53:54.760 this other NATO country on my doorstep. But then Boris Johnson has a third interpretation,

00:54:03.160 which is that long before the actual military actions, Putin had said in writing, and I guess he

00:54:12.120 said it a number of times, that his ambition basically was to take over Ukraine. And that he

00:54:19.000 had arguments about the history and why it all makes sense and why they're really part of Russia.

00:54:24.120 And that the NATO membership, according to Boris Johnson, was never imminent. Meaning that, you know,

00:54:31.480 maybe it might happen in 20 years, but there was nothing happening in Ukraine that would make the

00:54:37.080 NATO countries say, yeah, why don't you join NATO? So his take is that Russia simply use the NATO thing

00:54:46.360 as a pretext to do the thing he was going to do one way or another. And I say to myself, huh, I can't rule

00:54:56.200 that out. So have you ever heard that take? I've heard mostly takes about how we poked Russia, 0.88

00:55:07.880 you know, by threatening NATO and that would mean missiles that are too close to them and all kinds

00:55:13.800 of stuff. And that it's basically our fault. And I've been taking that view. I've been taking the

00:55:20.680 view that if you poke the bear, it's not, you can't say the bear started the fight when the bear kills you.

00:55:28.200 You know, even though the bear started the violence, it didn't really start the fight. It was you poking it

00:55:34.520 with a stick. But if you imagine that the stick poking was all a fake premise and that there was

00:55:42.840 never really any stick poking potential, it was just talk of a stick, then it does kind of support the

00:55:50.360 idea that Putin just wanted to control as much as he could that that made sense historically anyway.

00:55:59.160 So I'll just put that out there.

00:56:01.960 Um, it's just weird that I'd never heard that take before. So I guess I blame myself for being

00:56:08.520 under-informed about that. Um,

00:56:11.720 so I'm going to bet against a speedy peace deal. I think there's going to be a lot more

00:56:23.000 negotiating and it might take weeks or months. We'll see. We might have at least one false deal.

00:56:29.960 Like we might have at least one false positive where, where the news says, yes, a deal has been

00:56:36.200 agreed to in principle. And then 24 hours later, this would be the most common thing. 24 hours later,

00:56:44.120 Russia will say, we didn't agree to that. Right. Or, or vice versa. Russia will say, well,

00:56:51.880 you agreed to give us Crimea. And then we'd say, we didn't agree to that. 0.51

00:56:55.400 So I feel like there's going to be at least one fake news report that says, yes, everything's worked

00:57:03.080 out. Peace is coming. And then one side or the other will say, no, that didn't happen. That's

00:57:09.160 totally made up. Um, so apparently, uh, not too long ago, Ukraine did a fully automated attack,

00:57:20.120 which was only robots and drones, and it was successful. So they beat back some Russians in 1.00

00:57:26.040 at least one place. Um, so it makes me wonder if since, since Trump,

00:57:35.400 what does this say? I'm seeing a message from Kash Patel. Um,

00:57:40.440 Oh, wow. So Kash Patel says he's arrested some big, um, cartel member from Mexico.

00:57:52.040 All right. Good. One less cartel member. Good for that. So maybe the peacekeeping force in Ukraine

00:58:01.000 will be robots. Would Russia like that any more than they would like your Europe European boots on the 0.70

00:58:08.760 ground? I don't know. Um, so I don't see a deal happening right away.

00:58:21.080 Apparently on the border, speaking of the border, uh, the Mexican border. So Trump's putting in some

00:58:26.920 more high tech radar to spot their drones. That's good. You know, uh, I told you the other day that

00:58:35.000 fentanyl is way down, or at least the amount they've caught is way down. And I don't think

00:58:42.200 that's because the border is more secure. There's something else going on. So I've got a feeling that

00:58:48.280 maybe our special forces or spooks or something are making a big difference in the lab production in

00:58:56.200 Mexico. So I think they're disrupting the labs and that's what's happening. I don't think it's the

00:59:01.560 border itself that's making a difference because almost all the fentanyl comes through legal checkpoints

00:59:07.080 and just regular automobiles because they don't check them all. So that's all it takes. Well, if they

00:59:13.080 only check two out of 10, uh, and it's cheap to make the fentanyl. So if you lose a shipment, it's no big

00:59:20.040 deal that you just make more. Um, yeah, I don't see that the border enforcement made any difference,

00:59:27.720 but we'll see. Meanwhile, uh, HUD and you know, HUD, the housing group and a secretary of the interior

00:59:39.000 plan to use federal lands for affordable housing. So the department of housing and urban development,

00:59:44.760 Scott Turner's added that and the department of interior secretary, Doug Burgum's outfit,

00:59:51.400 they're going to work together to figure out if there's some federal land that could be used for

00:59:57.320 low income housing. Now I don't want to be negative Nelly, but here's what I know about human beings.

01:00:07.320 If I said to you, Hey, how would you like to leave your terrible situation in this urban area

01:00:13.960 and move to, uh, well, you'll be in the middle of Idaho, uh, but you'll be on federal land. It'll be

01:00:20.520 awesome. Like you'll have your own place. How many people would say yes to that? Even if their current

01:00:27.240 situation was dire and they were sleeping on the couch and, you know, they didn't have any way to,

01:00:33.480 you know, build a life for themselves and they may or may not be on drugs and they may or may not be in

01:00:37.800 a gang. How many of them are going to say, yeah, yeah, I think I'll move to Idaho and get on that federal

01:00:44.680 land and get myself a nice little house and build myself a nice little life. I feel like nobody because

01:00:53.000 people live where they live because of the other people who live where they live. Would you give up

01:00:58.360 all of your friends and the ability to easily see family members so you could get a cheap house on

01:01:05.400 government land? I don't know anybody would do that, even if their current situation was pretty,

01:01:12.200 pretty bad. So on one hand, I applaud the effort because we should just try everything.

01:01:20.040 And maybe we, maybe in the process we figure out what works and why it works. And, you know,

01:01:27.320 maybe you have to move the whole family. Maybe people would agree as groups. They'd say, look,

01:01:34.200 we'll move there if you move there. So we'll have our friends and our family there, maybe.

01:01:39.000 So, so there's definitely a way it could work, but there are also 10 ways it won't work.

01:01:45.240 And the other possibility is, you know, people from low income, if they move into this nice area,

01:01:53.480 how long will it stay nice? Will they have the, will they have the resources to even maintain it?

01:01:59.160 That sort of thing. Where will they work? I mean, the, the federal lands are not going to be

01:02:05.720 close to jobs. So, so I have a lot of questions, but I'm also a hundred percent in favor of let's try it.

01:02:15.720 You know, I, I like the Trump world entrepreneurial kind of vibe, which is, we don't know if this will

01:02:23.560 work, but who's got a better idea? And nobody has a better idea. So if the only thing that came out of

01:02:32.200 it, for example, if the only thing that came out of that was we learned how to make really inexpensive

01:02:40.920 homes, well, then we could take that knowledge and, you know, move it somewhere else. So I'm all in,

01:02:48.680 but I don't think it'll be straightforward. It's going to be a tough one, tough climb.

01:02:53.320 Well, the Chinese scientists, according to the South China Morning Post, have figured out how to 0.99

01:03:00.040 turn the cancer tumors in your body into something that your body recognizes as pork.

01:03:09.480 Let me say it again. Chinese scientists claim that they figured out how to turn your cancer tumors 1.00

01:03:17.480 into something that the rest of your body will identify as pork, as in coming from a pig.

01:03:26.280 And the reason is that when something, uh, if you get a transplant from a pig heart, which is

01:03:32.920 something that's happened, you would have to give that person all kinds of drugs for it not to be

01:03:37.880 rejected because the human body just recognizes, wait a minute, that's not human. You, you got some

01:03:45.720 pig stuff in me, so I'm going to reject that heart or that, that organ. So the cleverness here is that 0.99

01:03:52.040 if you can make your body think that the tumor is pork, the body will reject the cancer.

01:03:58.040 Now, almost every day I tell you there's some new cancer breakthrough that never,

01:04:04.920 never turns out to be real. So I don't think this is any more likely than any other, but hey, maybe.

01:04:12.920 All right. I promise you it would be mostly good news today, and I think it is. Economically,

01:04:19.160 I think things are moving in the right direction. Biggest problem now is how do we stay out of a major

01:04:23.800 war in the Middle East? I don't see any way we could win one. So on one hand, there's no way we're 0.90

01:04:33.320 going to completely destroy Iran or make them join our side or be our ally. There's no way we're going 0.98

01:04:41.560 to get rid of all of the hooties. So what exactly are we going to do? Can anybody describe an end state 1.00

01:04:52.920 where bombing the hooties turns into like a good situation where all the shipping is unchallenged

01:04:59.160 after that? I can't even imagine it. So what would happen if we took the, you know, the non-war path? 0.88

01:05:09.000 We said, all right, if you guys are willing to do war and we're not, we're just going to have to get 0.77

01:05:14.840 out of town. So we'll just pay 50% more for shipping for all American goods compared to what all the

01:05:23.480 other countries do. I don't know. We have two completely unacceptable situations. So this is a

01:05:34.600 tough one. If Trump can navigate this and get some kind of a good outcome for the hootie situation, 0.57

01:05:41.800 situation. And I just can't even imagine it. I just think the hooties have an unbeatable situation.

01:05:49.160 And if you destroyed 99% of them, it would make no difference. It was the 1% would get 0.99

01:05:55.080 new rockets tomorrow. And then they would recruit some more and just keep going.

01:06:02.760 So there's that. But economically, I think things are heading in the right direction. That's good.

01:06:07.320 The stock market, of course, is just worried about the churn and the uncertainty.

01:06:13.400 But if you took away the uncertainty, which will seemingly take care of itself in several months,

01:06:25.080 I think we're fine. But we'll see. All right. I'm going to say bye to X and YouTube and Rumble. I'm

01:06:33.240 going to talk privately to the subscribers on Locals. Thanks, everybody, for joining. Local

01:06:40.120 subscribers. I'm coming at you in 30 seconds.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 18, 2025

Episode 2782 CWSA 03⧸18⧸25

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