Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2786 CWSA 03⧸22⧸25

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:13.600 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, because that's what it is.

00:00:16.960 But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand

00:00:21.680 with their tiny, shiny human brain, well, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or

00:00:28.800 a glass of tanker shells, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind that you

00:00:33.400 will fill with your favorite liquid.

00:00:35.260 I like coffee.

00:00:36.880 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day, the thing that

00:00:40.900 makes everything better.

00:00:42.100 It's called the simultaneous sip, and you're lucky enough to have it happen right now.

00:00:47.980 Go.

00:00:55.360 That's the good stuff.

00:00:56.580 Take a double if you need it.

00:01:00.280 Well, after the show, sometime around 8.20 Eastern time, we'll be Owen Gregorian hosting

00:01:09.260 a Spaces for all of you and anybody else who wants to join.

00:01:14.080 So look on the X platform.

00:01:16.780 Look for Owen Gregorian.

00:01:18.880 Just do a search for Owen Gregorian.

00:01:21.540 Or you can look at my X feed.

00:01:23.200 You'll see I just reposted it.

00:01:25.340 And it'll be a Coffee with Scott Adams after party.

00:01:30.060 All right.

00:01:30.460 Don't miss that.

00:01:32.260 Well, the Trump administration says it's looking for some big deals for eggs from Turkey and

00:01:40.520 South Korea and maybe at least one other place, according to The Hill.

00:01:44.500 Now, you might say to me, Scott, how can you allow a story about turkey and eggs to not

00:01:55.440 pretend that they're turkey eggs?

00:01:57.720 Well, I can do it because I'm a professional.

00:02:00.880 The rest of you will have to make terrible jokes at home about turkey and eggs.

00:02:06.200 But really, they're chicken eggs.

00:02:08.040 They're completely chicken eggs.

00:02:09.500 Now, I didn't know that eggs could last that long.

00:02:13.320 I don't know how you preserve an egg long enough to get it across an ocean.

00:02:17.720 But apparently, that's a thing.

00:02:19.820 So we're going to have that.

00:02:21.980 And also, apparently, according to the Agricultural Secretary, Brooke Rollins, the American fleet

00:02:31.940 of chickens is ready to poop out some eggs very soon.

00:02:35.540 So within just maybe a couple of months, we'll have our fleet of chickens up and running.

00:02:43.540 Now, what you don't know is that they won't be real chickens.

00:02:46.740 They'll just be drones.

00:02:48.660 Yeah.

00:02:49.000 We're replacing all of our real chickens with drones made in Ukraine. 1.00

00:02:54.440 No, that's not true.

00:02:55.860 That's not true. 0.96

00:02:56.740 They're real chickens.

00:02:58.420 As far as you know, might be run by AI.

00:03:03.060 No, no.

00:03:03.660 They're real.

00:03:04.220 They're real chickens.

00:03:04.900 So we should have a chicken solution pretty soon.

00:03:11.320 It's kind of weird that that became such a big issue because it seems like that's the

00:03:17.200 one thing that either party would have been able to solve.

00:03:21.840 You know, the long-term cost of eggs, probably it was going to get solved in the next four

00:03:28.240 years, no matter who was in charge.

00:03:29.960 But I do think the Republicans put more horsepower into it, a little more work to make it happen.

00:03:39.840 No way to know, but probably.

00:03:41.280 Well, according to Breitbart News, Simon Kent is writing that Trump is going to meet with

00:03:49.240 the UAE, or he did meet with the UAE, and they've committed to a $1.4 trillion investment

00:03:58.040 framework in the U.S.

00:04:00.300 Now, as usual, it's a 10-year deal, so people like to give me the big number.

00:04:09.280 Still, that's a gigantic deal, you know, even over 10 years.

00:04:14.060 So that's good.

00:04:16.220 Now, here's my question.

00:04:19.920 Was it always true that other countries were on a regular basis making big decisions about

00:04:27.280 investing in the United States, or is this really a Trump thing?

00:04:32.640 Is Trump the reason that all these companies and all these other countries are saying, yes,

00:04:38.080 yes, you know, give me a deal, or I'm going to invest large amounts of money in America?

00:04:42.440 I don't know.

00:04:44.420 It looks like it's Trump, doesn't it?

00:04:47.040 It doesn't look like it's baseline.

00:04:50.260 And the more of these that you see, the more of these there will be, because when people

00:04:56.740 get the idea, oh, oh, if I do a big investment in America, America is going to be a little

00:05:03.400 bit friendlier to me, and that might be good for me.

00:05:07.080 So, yeah, I think you're going to see a lot more of that.

00:05:12.440 Here's a story that'll kind of blow your mind.

00:05:17.280 Now, I don't know if this is true or not, but it seems true enough.

00:05:22.420 According to ZME Science, that's a publication, it's possible that the population of the world,

00:05:30.560 or at least the rural population of the world, has been undercounted by over 50%.

00:05:36.720 So, apparently, it's really hard to count, you know, people in, let's say, lesser civilized

00:05:47.220 living conditions, because they don't have ID.

00:05:51.140 They're not registered on any kind of, you know, government database, and you can't see

00:05:55.860 them.

00:05:56.060 So, even if you tried to see them from space by a satellite, they'd be under the tree cover

00:06:02.480 or whatever.

00:06:03.600 So, this was first discovered by researchers from Elto University in Finland, who were only

00:06:11.600 trying to look into how many people would get displaced by big dam projects.

00:06:18.300 So, if you're doing a big dam project, no, it's a big dam project, not a big dam project.

00:06:28.860 But apparently, those usually displace a lot of the locals, and the researchers wanted to

00:06:34.500 find out how bad the displacement was.

00:06:37.080 And so, they went to count the number of people who used to be there to compare it to the number

00:06:41.980 that were there after the dam was done.

00:06:43.540 And they found out there's no real way to know how many people are there.

00:06:50.660 Just think about that.

00:06:52.340 And not only that, but our estimates apparently are just wildly just guesses, off by a lot.

00:06:59.880 They said, on average, the data sets undercounted rural populations by 53%.

00:07:06.060 In some cases, the estimates were off by as much as 84%, the population of an area.

00:07:13.540 It was off by 84%.

00:07:15.640 Now, do you know where I'm going to go with this?

00:07:21.780 Can you guess the next thing I'm going to say?

00:07:25.000 We'll see how well you know me.

00:07:26.940 This will be a test of my predictability.

00:07:31.000 What's the next thing I'm going to say?

00:07:34.160 Does anybody have it yet?

00:07:35.440 So, how do you think we do when we're measuring the temperature of the world every place on the planet?

00:07:45.540 You just found out that we can't even count the people, and that was all made up.

00:07:56.400 Even counting the people.

00:07:58.560 One of the things that you would just kind of assume we had it under control.

00:08:02.760 No.

00:08:03.720 No, it was just, we were just guessing.

00:08:06.440 Do you remember when you were younger and you thought nutrition had been exhaustively studied

00:08:15.500 and the government was telling you what was safe to eat?

00:08:19.120 Do you remember that? 1.00

00:08:21.860 In terms of that, it was just all bullshit. 0.98

00:08:24.400 The food pyramid was upside down, and it was just based on industry food people trying to sell you cereal or something. 0.99

00:08:32.780 So, no.

00:08:36.020 And do you remember when you thought that, do you remember when you thought the vaccinations were tested in a, you know,

00:08:42.880 a gold standard randomized controlled trial, and that after the testing, even once it got approved,

00:08:50.800 that they would do ongoing continuous testing to make sure it was still safe?

00:08:56.260 Do you remember when you just assumed that was true?

00:09:01.420 Nope.

00:09:03.760 Nope.

00:09:04.400 That was never true.

00:09:05.840 So, I'm going to say again, because I think it's hilarious, at least hilarious to me,

00:09:11.480 wait till Democrats find out about climate models.

00:09:17.680 Just wait till they find out that the most foundational thing to their entire movement,

00:09:25.560 completely made up.

00:09:26.600 You can't even count the number of people on Earth, much less measure the temperature everywhere on Earth for decades.

00:09:35.120 That is so not something that humans can do.

00:09:38.300 It's so not even close.

00:09:39.620 And the fact that they've sold it to the American, even the scientific community,

00:09:45.880 even the scientific community has been convinced that we can measure the temperature of the Earth over time.

00:09:52.740 Wow.

00:09:54.240 Wow.

00:09:54.300 Well, another fun news, U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick, he was talking to the All In Pod guys,

00:10:02.820 went to Washington, and said the U.S. has already sold 1,000 gold cards.

00:10:09.020 So, those are the cards that we sell to rich people to give them a sort of a fast start to being citizens,

00:10:18.520 if they want to be U.S. citizens.

00:10:20.300 You know, that would be $5 billion.

00:10:24.620 A thousand of those gold cards would be income to the United States of $5 billion.

00:10:32.880 But maybe even better, if you're bringing in all these rich people, you know,

00:10:38.160 they tend to hire people, and they spend money, and they start businesses.

00:10:43.500 So, this gold card thing might be way better than I thought.

00:10:47.280 We'll see.

00:10:47.760 We'll see.

00:10:52.780 Hey, notes.

00:10:54.700 Don't stick together.

00:10:57.240 Meanwhile, Columbia University has folded to the Trump demands.

00:11:03.880 So, the Trump administration was withholding $400 million of federal funding

00:11:09.220 until Columbia made some specific changes to fight anti-Semitism,

00:11:17.060 which, according to the Trump administration, they had not done enough of.

00:11:22.080 And, you know, there were a lot of anti-Israel protests, which seemed very more anti-Jewish protests.

00:11:29.660 And so, the Trump administration was all over them.

00:11:32.600 And apparently, the university has agreed to everything.

00:11:37.020 I'm not sure I was expecting that.

00:11:41.740 But $400 million, I guess that's a lot of pressure.

00:11:45.560 And the things that were being asked for were, don't let one class of people be discriminated against to the point of physical danger.

00:11:54.480 That wasn't a big ask, really.

00:11:59.340 But still, I thought there'd be more pushback.

00:12:03.200 But Columbia University on Friday said, yep, every single thing you asked for, we're going to give you.

00:12:09.240 So, we'll see.

00:12:10.040 Wall Street Journal was reporting on that.

00:12:11.860 And just the news was also.

00:12:16.820 According to New York Times writer Ezra Klein, and he's making a lot of news because he has a new book out.

00:12:27.040 And as you know, the Democrats are in bad shape.

00:12:31.040 They don't have leadership and they don't have a direction.

00:12:33.380 So, when one of them writes a book that gets a lot of attention, I think the news says, finally, we found our leader.

00:12:43.460 So, let's talk about Ezra Klein and some of the things he's found.

00:12:47.980 One of the things he found is that Trump's ability to get male voters was way bigger than people expected.

00:12:57.420 And when I say way bigger than people expected, I mean everybody except me.

00:13:01.480 I think it was 2016 when I started saying, you realize what's happening?

00:13:07.820 The Democrats are becoming the party of women. 0.98

00:13:11.640 And do you remember that?

00:13:13.640 Now, I don't know if I'm the first political pundit to say we're turning into the male party and the female party.

00:13:23.080 But I was way ahead of the curve.

00:13:25.700 Probably, I don't know, eight years ahead.

00:13:28.640 Here we are.

00:13:29.700 So, here's some of the numbers.

00:13:32.240 That Klein was talking about.

00:13:34.240 He says, what's crazy is if you look at people under the age of 30, the gender gap has exploded.

00:13:41.860 So, 18-year-old men were 23 percentage points more likely to support Trump than 18-year-old women, which is completely unprecedented.

00:13:53.420 Actually, this was Shore.

00:13:56.480 Shore would be his co-author.

00:13:58.880 I'm not sure who Shore is.

00:14:01.480 And then, but part of the mystery is that it's happening in other countries.

00:14:08.920 So, if you think, oh, it's a Trump thing.

00:14:11.360 You know, Trump has just a way of attracting men because he has sort of a male energy vibe to him.

00:14:19.000 Apparently, we're seeing a similar kind of shift in Canada, the UK, and Norway.

00:14:23.420 Would you like to know the real answer?

00:14:30.360 You know, I always joke when I see scientific stuff.

00:14:33.560 And I always joke, it's sort of my ongoing joke.

00:14:37.280 Well, you could have just asked me because your conclusion is so obvious you didn't need to do the study at all.

00:14:43.320 Well, this is one of those, this is so obvious you didn't need to do the study at all.

00:14:50.200 Does anybody want to take a crack at it before I give you the right answer?

00:14:54.920 So, what's the right answer to why in various different countries, so it's not the individual leaders, it's not the leaders, it's not Trump per se, but why is it in various countries at the same time the men are moving in one direction and the women are moving in another?

00:15:13.220 Why do you think that is?

00:15:16.880 I'm looking at your comments.

00:15:20.120 Tate and Rogan, no.

00:15:21.840 No, because remember, it's international and they don't have the same impact in every country.

00:15:29.240 Men are for security.

00:15:31.340 That's close.

00:15:33.080 You're knocking on the door.

00:15:37.960 Let's see. 1.00

00:15:40.460 Women are mentally ill, says DM. 1.00

00:15:43.220 CIA, DEI. 1.00

00:15:46.220 Okay.

00:15:47.000 You're all in the right area.

00:15:49.980 You're very close.

00:15:52.080 Let me say it to you in the simplest possible way. 0.98

00:15:57.600 Men do not like to be ruled by batshit crazy women with batshit crazy policies. 1.00

00:16:05.200 Anything else that you say about this topic is a complete waste of time. 0.98

00:16:10.060 Let me say it again, just so you hear it clearly.

00:16:13.800 Men of every age, but the young ones probably are more flexible to change their opinion and change their party. 0.98

00:16:22.320 Men, especially young ones, don't want to be ruled by batshit crazy women with batshit crazy policies. 0.99

00:16:30.540 Now, hear me clearly. 0.99

00:16:32.860 I'm not saying that all women are batshit crazy. 0.98

00:16:36.080 So don't hear that. 0.99

00:16:37.480 But the ones in charge, for whatever reason, are unusually batshit crazy, and their policies are clearly batshit crazy. 0.95

00:16:48.620 Hey, let's open up the border and eat bugs and get rid of your gas car and kill all the nuclear power plants and decrease your military until somebody can own you. 1.00

00:17:01.380 It's just batshit crazy stuff that apparently young women are saying some version of go girl. 0.99

00:17:12.540 Yeah, I just love it when women are in charge. 1.00

00:17:16.440 So I think women are just being drawn to women leaders because they think they're being heard.

00:17:22.260 And men are saying, are you kidding? 1.00

00:17:25.960 You look like you have mental illness. 1.00

00:17:27.920 You don't even look like a leader. 1.00

00:17:29.780 Why are you saying things that are crazy?

00:17:32.320 Why are you doing things that are clearly bad for me?

00:17:35.200 Why are you overtly discriminating against white men?

00:17:39.200 But it's not even the white men.

00:17:41.660 So apparently Trump won with men in every category.

00:17:46.060 And even, I think even one with women, if you don't count women of color.

00:17:53.200 So I think Democrats only won in one category, women of color.

00:18:00.600 So clearly men are tired of being discriminated against.

00:18:06.400 And women have no idea that they've been the brutal, part of the brutal discrimination regime for decades. 1.00

00:18:18.600 And men are just done.

00:18:20.520 We're just absolutely done.

00:18:23.000 And at the moment, since men are not being recruited into the military, they don't have a bigger mission.

00:18:29.700 So if they're just standing around looking at the news and looking at their own life, they say, why can't I get a job there if I'm a man?

00:18:39.980 And then they look at the leaders and they say, why are these ideas so crazy?

00:18:45.360 Like opening the borders?

00:18:47.940 That's not a difference of opinion.

00:18:51.220 That's batshit crazy versus common sense.

00:18:54.980 To imagine that these are some kind of political difference, that's a stretch.

00:19:01.900 Yeah. 0.98

00:19:02.220 You're talking absolute mental illness and incompetence and gross discrimination against males. 0.99

00:19:09.420 Of course you're going to get this. 0.96

00:19:11.820 It was the most predictable thing that could have ever happened.

00:19:15.020 So just ask me next time you get confused about this gender stuff. 1.00

00:19:19.240 I'll clear it up.

00:19:19.940 Meanwhile, Chuck Schumer is being accused of saying the quiet part out loud.

00:19:28.860 I think we overused that phrase.

00:19:31.140 But Jim Hoft at the Gateway Fund is writing about this.

00:19:34.080 So Schumer was on one of the TV shows.

00:19:37.420 And he said that they've got 235, quote, progressive judges.

00:19:43.220 And he said, yes, our democracy is at risk because Donald Trump shows that he wishes to violate the laws in many, many different ways.

00:19:54.520 And then he says, the good news here is that we did put 235 judges, progressive judges, judges not under the control of Trump last year on the bench.

00:20:04.700 And they're ruling against Trump time after time after time after time.

00:20:09.420 Now, this kind of brings into question the definition of a judge, doesn't it?

00:20:16.280 If Chuck Schumer knew when he picked these 235 judges that they would be spring-loaded to vote against Trump,

00:20:26.560 and he doesn't think that conservatives would have done it?

00:20:31.860 Really?

00:20:32.500 I feel like conservatives can be a little bit unpredictable because they're trying to interpret, you know, the original meaning of the Constitution.

00:20:42.160 And you can imagine some would have a slightly different view of what the original interpretation was.

00:20:48.620 So conservatives tend to be at least a little bit unpredictable.

00:20:53.340 You know, they can cross lines when they say, OK, this is just too far for me.

00:20:57.500 You know, I think the Constitution would have gone this way.

00:20:59.940 But on the left, that doesn't seem to be what's going on.

00:21:06.600 It seems to be that they're just purely anti-Trump.

00:21:10.040 And it wouldn't matter what he did or what the argument was.

00:21:13.200 They're going to just oppose him.

00:21:15.560 Now, isn't that the opposite of a judge?

00:21:18.820 Shouldn't a judge be a little bit unpredictable?

00:21:21.140 As in, OK, well, they're definitely going to look at the facts and they're going to look at the Constitution and they'll make a judgment based on the law and the Constitution.

00:21:31.080 But that doesn't seem to be what's going on.

00:21:34.900 It seems to me that they were literally picked because they would oppose Trump.

00:21:39.180 That would be the opposite of a judge.

00:21:42.140 A judge should be using, you know, just the data and the facts and the law and the Constitution.

00:21:47.740 But if Chuck Schumer knew when he picked these judges that they would oppose Trump, I don't think he means just when there's some technical violation of the law.

00:22:00.900 I don't think that's what's going on.

00:22:02.800 I think they just oppose him on everything all the time.

00:22:05.420 So, basically, Schumer has destroyed an entire branch of government.

00:22:13.760 Let me say that again.

00:22:16.020 Schumer, sounds like quite intentionally, with the other Democrats, destroyed an entire branch of government because he hired so many people who are completely willing to just make a political decision instead of a legal or constitutional decision.

00:22:35.420 Schumer, that is really not the way the system is supposed to run.

00:22:41.500 So, anyway, you know, I'll take a fact check.

00:22:47.760 It does seem to me that conservative judges are usually predictable.

00:22:53.100 But I feel like they still only have arguments that are based on the Constitution.

00:22:58.440 And I just don't see that on the other side.

00:23:02.720 All right.

00:23:03.360 So, Trump has said that, according to Just the News, Misty Saveri's writing, that he announced that there are a draft of contracts being drawn up that would divide the land in Ukraine.

00:23:19.800 And that the idea is that, you know, we might be kind of close to some kind of a deal with Russia.

00:23:27.420 And it would involve, you know, trading land for peace.

00:23:31.320 Well, actually, probably Russia just keeping the land it has for peace.

00:23:36.980 Do you believe that?

00:23:40.040 Remember I told you yesterday there are two ways to negotiate this, the end of this war that definitely won't work.

00:23:47.640 One of the ways is to not have Ukraine at the table when the deal is made. 0.87

00:23:54.860 Because if Ukraine is not at the table, then even if you try to force them to accept it, they're going to, you know, find partners in Europe to disagree.

00:24:04.640 And they're going to push back.

00:24:05.900 And they're going to drag their feet.

00:24:07.580 And they're first going to say yes.

00:24:10.260 But then later they'll say no.

00:24:12.920 And it just won't get done.

00:24:14.660 So you can't, you'll never get a deal if you don't have the Ukrainians at the table. 1.00

00:24:19.700 So that's one way you'll never get a deal.

00:24:22.540 The other way you'll never get a deal is to put the Ukrainians at the table. 1.00

00:24:28.740 Because they're going to ask, we know, Zelensky anyway, will ask for something that's a non-starter.

00:24:34.800 And I don't think he's negotiating.

00:24:36.600 I think he just needs things that are impossible and could never have.

00:24:41.440 So the two ways that you'll never get a deal is if Ukraine is involved in the negotiating, or Ukraine is not involved in the negotiating.

00:24:52.740 And those are the only two conditions.

00:24:55.420 So there are only two ways to go.

00:24:57.720 And neither of them could possibly work, even on paper.

00:25:01.340 Like if I simply described to you the situation, you'd say, oh, well, that wouldn't work either way.

00:25:10.500 And that's where we are.

00:25:12.260 So unless Trump has some plan for, let's say, trading out Zelensky or blackmailing him or bribing him or threatening him,

00:25:22.780 I don't see how this could ever work.

00:25:27.420 Now, Putin is quoted.

00:25:30.980 We don't know if it's a real quote.

00:25:33.020 But quoted as saying that negotiations would be long and very difficult.

00:25:37.640 So Putin's not seeing anything happening quickly.

00:25:40.360 It could be that we're just dealing with Trump's usually optimism.

00:25:45.040 He's just trying to will it into existence, which he can do.

00:25:48.660 You know, he has that ability to will something into existence that you thought was impossible.

00:25:54.640 So I hate to be in a situation where I would bet against Trump being able to make a deal. 0.98

00:26:01.980 Because it feels like later you would just feel dumb. 0.96

00:26:04.600 It's like, what was I thinking? 0.80

00:26:05.940 You know, why did I think he couldn't make a deal?

00:26:07.620 Well, but I'm going to say that unless something big changes, a very big variable, I don't know which one,

00:26:17.460 but unless some big variable changes, there's nothing there that looks like it could be a deal.

00:26:23.580 As long as Ukraine is involved or Ukraine is not involved.

00:26:28.580 The two situations that can't work.

00:26:33.380 Anyway, that's my take.

00:26:34.660 So you've heard this before, but I guess it's confirmed that Bill Maher is going to go to a meeting with President Trump at the White House.

00:26:44.980 Kid Rock, who knows both of them, set it up.

00:26:48.840 Now, I saw a bunch of people saying it's a big mistake because you're just, you know, giving Bill Maher attention and, you know, nothing good can come of it.

00:26:59.220 And I disagree.

00:27:01.940 I disagree.

00:27:03.300 There was definitely a time when it would have been a bad idea.

00:27:07.220 But if you watch Bill Maher's show, even the most recent one on Friday, he's very much trying to find a common sense high ground.

00:27:20.700 And it looks like a real, to me, it looks like a real attempt to find a common sense high ground. 0.99

00:27:28.740 So he mentions, if you ask him, and he said it even on Friday, Maher did, he can list several things that Democrats did that are just stupid and couldn't possibly ever help them win a race. 0.99

00:27:42.380 So that's progress. 0.99

00:27:46.000 It seems to me that Bill Maher's primary disagreement with Trump are based on something personal from their past.

00:27:55.880 And then there's always the, he's going to steal your democracy, the weird stuff.

00:28:02.140 The things that he hasn't done, but you imagine he might do in the future.

00:28:07.340 Now, some of it's based on things you imagine he did in the past.

00:28:10.640 So if you imagine that January 6th was an insurrection, well, I don't know if you can be helped.

00:28:19.180 Because if you start from that point of view, you're starting with fake news.

00:28:23.920 Do you know what the fake news never did?

00:28:26.660 Have you ever seen all the interviews with the protesters to ask them why they were there?

00:28:32.040 No, you haven't.

00:28:34.620 Never.

00:28:35.740 Just think about the dog not barking.

00:28:38.160 So there were thousands of people involved, thousands of people charged with a crime.

00:28:45.440 And every bit of that, except for the violent stuff that nobody supports,

00:28:50.760 every bit of that was based on what they were thinking when they did it.

00:28:56.040 If the January 6th people were thinking, oh, I want to overthrow the country.

00:29:02.120 And even though Trump lost, and we all know he lost, we want to put him in charge like a king.

00:29:09.200 Now, if there were any significant number of people who had that thought, then I would say, well, that does look like an insurrection.

00:29:17.200 You know, I got to say, if there's a whole bunch of people there, even the ones who weren't violent, if they said, yeah, we think Trump lost, but we wanted him to be in office anyway, so we're trying to make it happen.

00:29:30.480 Well, that would be an insurrection.

00:29:34.560 But do you know why you never saw that show where they just took, let's say, 20 randomized people, nonviolent, the nonviolent ones, who were nonetheless picked up for some kind of charge, and just ask them, why were you there?

00:29:51.500 And you would find out that 100% of them, I think, would say, it looked like the election was rigged, we just wanted a little time to look into it, because it looked like it was so badly rigged, in our opinion, that you could probably find the problem pretty quickly, if you just took a day to look into it.

00:30:13.540 Now, I don't think that's true.

00:30:14.940 Obviously, a lot of days have gone by, and nobody's found the smoking gun of illegality, lots of smoking guns of, you know, what Zuckerberg spent on one election, and blah, blah, blah.

00:30:29.620 But have you noticed that you don't see any kind of news where they just put together the people who were there, the nonviolent ones, and say, why were you there?

00:30:41.920 Everything about that narrative, and therefore, everything, everything, about what Democrats think of Republicans, is based on that lack of news.

00:30:54.260 Let me say it again.

00:30:55.380 Again, the most dominant opinion that Democrats have about the Republican, well, the MAGA part of the party, is that they would support somebody, you know, Trump being a king, and, you know, be against the Constitution, because January 7th was an insurrection.

00:31:13.600 And yet, it would be the easiest thing to confirm or to debunk, just randomly get 20 people who attended, and say, what were you thinking?

00:31:26.060 Why'd you do it?

00:31:27.820 Never happened.

00:31:29.760 Do you know another situation where that never happened?

00:31:33.540 Do you remember the fine people hoax in Charlottesville?

00:31:37.540 And the question was, were there any people there who were just opposed or they wanted to keep the statues, but were not racists and were not supporting or marching with the racists?

00:31:52.380 Because if there were, then everything that Trump said makes perfect sense.

00:31:57.160 How easy would it have been to just say, oh, we're CNN, if any of you are non-racists who went there just because you like the statues for historical reasons, we'd like to put some of you together in a little panel, and you tell us why you were there.

00:32:16.160 That would be the easiest thing they could have done.

00:32:20.340 And what would those people have said?

00:32:22.780 Well, as far as I know, I'm the only person in the country who did that.

00:32:27.160 I put in a call on social media.

00:32:29.760 Hey, were there any non-racist people who just were there for their own purposes?

00:32:34.720 And the answer was yes.

00:32:36.740 And so I interviewed a few, and one of them did say he would go public, and I talked about it because I said, I'm not going to let you throw your life away over this.

00:32:49.560 As much as I would love you to go public, I'm not going to let you.

00:32:54.540 I'm not going to put you in that kind of danger.

00:32:57.160 So it was a situation where I couldn't go public, but I'm sure if CNN or somebody else said, are there any non-racists who want to raise their hand, it would have been easy to find a bunch.

00:33:11.040 Now, the ones I found were townies, people who lived in Charlottesville, and they just saw in the news there was a thing at the park, and they wanted to be part of it.

00:33:22.060 They didn't even know it was a Nazi, neo-Nazi organization because they thought, well, it's like everything else in America.

00:33:30.860 Probably there's one of everything there.

00:33:32.480 So it's not like it's a closed environment, so we'll just go down and be part of the fine people.

00:33:42.000 But when you see them do the same play with the January 6th, to ignore the easiest news you could ever collect, just pull some people together.

00:33:52.760 Ask them what they were thinking.

00:33:54.500 That's it.

00:33:55.200 Ask them what they were thinking on Charlottesville.

00:33:59.240 Ask them what they were thinking on January 6th.

00:34:02.720 You'll never see it.

00:34:04.000 Because the Democrat position depends entirely on them telling you what you're thinking.

00:34:11.260 Oh, what you're really thinking is you're an insurrectionist.

00:34:14.460 What you're really thinking is that you're a neo-Nazi.

00:34:17.080 It would be the easiest thing to debunk that.

00:34:20.860 Just ask a bunch of people what they were thinking.

00:34:23.460 Real easy.

00:34:25.200 Real consequential, a chance.

00:34:30.280 Yeah.

00:34:32.620 So.

00:34:36.140 It seems to me that Bill Maher meeting Trump could, it could, because Maher seems genuinely open to the common sense middle ground,

00:34:48.620 it could open something up.

00:34:50.600 It might make it a little bit harder for him to just hate Trump sort of in general.

00:34:57.460 But we'll see.

00:34:58.620 Could go either way.

00:35:00.460 It could just give Maher some, you know, material to mock Trump for having a button on his desk for a Diet Coke.

00:35:08.380 Who knows?

00:35:09.720 But speaking of Maher, that Ezra Klein guy I was talking about, he was on the show, because I guess he's got a book out now that's called Abundance, that's getting a lot of buzz.

00:35:20.840 Now, the Democrats, as you know, the Democrats, as you know, don't have any leadership, and they seem to be rallying around this book.

00:35:30.280 So, so Maher, again, trying to find that logical middle ground, was supporting the idea of needing to cut over regulation.

00:35:41.080 Here's what their newest, smartest guy, Ezra Klein, said about that.

00:35:47.280 He said that you don't want to use the word deregulate, that the Democrats should stop talking about deregulation, because the word has a bad meaning to them.

00:35:59.620 And that instead, they should talk about some rules are good and some are bad.

00:36:04.120 Now, do you know what that sounds like?

00:36:08.460 That sounds like another prominent Democrat saying, the only thing wrong is our message.

00:36:16.540 Again, the only thing wrong is the word?

00:36:20.060 No, it's not the word.

00:36:22.460 The word was never the problem.

00:36:24.860 Everybody likes deregulation if they've ever tried to get anything done.

00:36:29.440 The only people who wouldn't like deregulation are people who have never had to get anything done in the real world.

00:36:36.780 You know, people just collecting a check or whatever, however they live.

00:36:41.600 But if you tried to build something, I think Bill Maher tried to change his roof to make it less burnable and ran into the regulation wall.

00:36:51.600 So, even Bill Maher thinks we have too many regulations and says, he says, California needs an Elon Musk to deregulate it.

00:37:01.600 Now, that's about as far as you could possibly go into the total common sense part of the world.

00:37:09.380 Yes, common sense.

00:37:11.580 Doge is getting rid of too many regulations.

00:37:15.680 Yes, we need one in California, because California has too many regulations.

00:37:21.600 And what does Klein say about that?

00:37:26.200 He changes the subject.

00:37:30.740 There's their best and brightest at the moment.

00:37:33.740 And he says that the real weakness for Trump is the economy, so that the Democrats should be talking about the economy.

00:37:42.260 So, he basically completely ignores that gigantic common sense area that Maher is trying to populate.

00:37:49.240 And he just won't go there, because common sense doesn't win it for Democrats.

00:37:54.740 But you can say things about Trump's handling of the economy that the average person won't know if you're right or wrong.

00:38:03.660 So, they can say things like, oh, he's using a chainsaw instead of a scalpel.

00:38:10.440 Well, that doesn't mean anything, and it also doesn't tell you which one was the right tool.

00:38:17.680 Maybe he is using a chainsaw instead of a scalpel.

00:38:21.080 Now, can you tell me what was the right tool?

00:38:24.060 What was the right tool?

00:38:25.720 And what do you base that on? 0.95

00:38:27.980 It's just ridiculous wordplay. 0.87

00:38:31.380 You know, it's just throwing words at something. 0.96

00:38:34.920 There's no argument there whatsoever.

00:38:36.860 If the argument was, 100% of the time people try to go hard, it doesn't work out.

00:38:45.140 Well, that could be easily debunked, because there are plenty of cases where the smartest people in the world will tell you,

00:38:51.240 you know, it's better to go fast and make some mistakes and then fix them.

00:38:55.220 So, even their most basic thing they say is not based on any argument whatsoever.

00:39:01.300 It's just hoping that their base doesn't know the difference.

00:39:06.480 And then Ezra says that Trump's weak on the economy because he's going to do poorly on the economy.

00:39:13.560 What exactly would be Ezra Klein's qualifications for judging Trump on economics?

00:39:20.520 Well, I looked at his educational background, and it's political science.

00:39:28.660 So, how does he know that Trump's doing poorly on economics?

00:39:33.820 And what area would that be?

00:39:36.900 Would it be tariffs that they pretend they don't understand as a negotiating position?

00:39:42.760 If your opinion is that Trump will be bad on economics because you personally don't understand

00:39:50.120 that the tariff thing is a negotiating stick, that's just you being bad at understanding things.

00:39:57.280 That has nothing to do with Trump being bad at economics, because we don't know how that's going to turn out.

00:40:03.120 But like I said yesterday, if you were to fast forward two years,

00:40:07.080 do you think our trade deals will be worse than they were before the tariffs?

00:40:13.380 Does anybody think that?

00:40:15.360 Do you think they'll be the same?

00:40:17.920 Almost certainly.

00:40:19.640 You know, nothing's 100%.

00:40:21.320 But almost certainly, all of this tariff stuff is going to result in getting stuff we want.

00:40:28.600 Either more help on fentanyl at the border or better trade deals.

00:40:34.380 And we're already seeing movement in that direction.

00:40:36.400 So, is Ezra Klein the tariff expert?

00:40:41.800 What about inflation?

00:40:44.120 What about all this cost-cutting and deregulation?

00:40:47.360 I don't know any business person who's against any of that.

00:40:51.380 So, what exactly are the places that Ezra Klein is looking at to suggest that Donald Trump is bad at economics?

00:40:59.780 I don't see it.

00:41:01.460 To me, it looks like every move he's made has been on point.

00:41:04.040 From the gold card to tariffs to eggs from Turkey and South Korea to opening up our energy markets to bringing all these big investments in from other countries.

00:41:21.600 So, and possibly unwinding our financial involvement in Ukraine.

00:41:28.880 So, where's the bad economy part?

00:41:32.680 What is he even looking at?

00:41:35.080 These are such weak leadership claims.

00:41:40.500 They're absolutely empty.

00:41:42.480 They've got nothing to them and there's nobody even smart talking about it.

00:41:46.340 Anyway, and then Klein says that Trump only wins with voters who don't like to think about politics and are not watching the news.

00:42:00.180 Do you want to know another way to say that?

00:42:02.440 That Trump is popular with people who have not been brainwashed by one area of the news.

00:42:11.700 That's, they're really brainwashers more than anything else.

00:42:14.780 Now, as I've often said, I'm pretty sure that Trump voters have a, at least a passing understanding of what the people on the left believe, but also what they believe.

00:42:27.620 The people on the left seem to only understand what they believe.

00:42:33.540 So, the people who are opposed to Trump are only taking a steady diet of pure propaganda from the pure propaganda news sites.

00:42:45.380 But their take on that is that they're the ones who are right.

00:42:49.000 The ones who are exposed to pure propaganda.

00:42:52.800 Because they don't know their news is not real.

00:42:55.360 And one of the things that I've said that gives me great peace is you can't really have a political conversation with someone who thinks their news sources are real.

00:43:09.520 You can't.

00:43:11.120 How many of you have ever tried it?

00:43:13.800 The moment you get into it, you hit a fake news.

00:43:17.300 It happens in 10 seconds.

00:43:19.780 Well, you know, this or that might be your opinion.

00:43:22.540 And then the very next thing is that you hear, well, well, you know, he tried to overthrow the country on January 6th.

00:43:30.540 Okay.

00:43:31.360 Where did that come from?

00:43:33.160 Not from real news.

00:43:35.060 It came from propaganda.

00:43:39.080 Anyway.

00:43:42.500 Trump's revoking the security clearances for Biden, Harris, and Clinton.

00:43:46.840 Now, the Biden and Harris part makes sense.

00:43:51.920 But did you know that Hillary Clinton still had security clearance?

00:43:57.900 That surprised me.

00:43:59.620 I guess you just have it until they take it away, right?

00:44:03.520 If you ever have a security clearance, then you always have it.

00:44:07.040 That feels like a terrible thing.

00:44:08.820 Because would that mean that Clinton had ongoing access to, you know, confidential government stuff, even while she was out of office?

00:44:20.320 Is that true?

00:44:22.220 I don't know.

00:44:23.800 In other news, Conor McGregor seems to be running for president of Ireland.

00:44:30.360 Now, I saw a report on that.

00:44:32.620 I don't know if that's totally confirmed, but I don't know how that will go.

00:44:36.800 So he's got a lot of baggage.

00:44:39.880 You know, there are accusations against him, and there are going to be plenty of people who are anti-Conor McGregor.

00:44:45.920 But here, I did a little research on him, and here's what I can tell you.

00:44:51.240 He definitely has all the persuasion skills it would take.

00:44:56.440 So if you're going to judge on persuasion, I would hate to be on the other side.

00:45:02.620 So here are some of the things that other writers have attributed to him.

00:45:07.680 He likes talent stacks, with those words, talent stacks.

00:45:14.460 He likes systems over goals.

00:45:17.820 Again, using those very words.

00:45:19.880 And he likes affirmations and visualizations.

00:45:24.640 And these have been key to his success in his primary field.

00:45:31.140 Any of that sound familiar?

00:45:33.080 Talent stacks, systems over goals, affirmations and visualizations?

00:45:39.460 Yeah.

00:45:42.100 I wouldn't underestimate him.

00:45:45.780 Because he's working with the best tools that anybody ever had.

00:45:49.880 If I do say so myself.

00:45:52.480 So yeah, Conor McGregor.

00:45:56.720 He's got the full set.

00:45:59.540 So he could make it.

00:46:01.720 Potentially.

00:46:02.620 I'm not going to call him as the winner.

00:46:05.000 Because I don't know who he'd run against.

00:46:06.600 I don't know what.

00:46:07.580 I don't know what negatives he has.

00:46:10.240 But skill-wise?

00:46:12.940 Full talent stack.

00:46:14.720 Yep.

00:46:14.920 Or what he doesn't have, he'll have soon.

00:46:20.960 So you know by now that the New York Times has been accused by the Trump administration

00:46:25.840 of lying in an article about Elon Musk having an alleged meeting planned with the Pentagon

00:46:34.880 in which they were going to share secret plans, war plans about, you know, what we would do

00:46:41.040 if there were a war with China.

00:46:43.480 Now, according to Sean Parnell, he's a Pentagon spokesperson, and according to Trump and according

00:46:51.160 to Musk, that was never true.

00:46:54.900 It was just completely made up.

00:46:57.400 Now, I remind you that when I first talked about this story, I said there's a tell in

00:47:04.160 the story, a signal, that it's not true.

00:47:07.620 Do you remember what the signal was?

00:47:09.200 So before it was confirmed that it wasn't true, it was obvious it wasn't true.

00:47:16.160 And that's because the source or sources were anonymous sources.

00:47:21.560 They weren't whistleblowers.

00:47:23.460 They were anonymous sources.

00:47:25.340 And it's the New York Times.

00:47:27.620 If you put those two things together, it's about Trump or about Musk.

00:47:33.180 So it's the same thing.

00:47:35.380 It's about Musk slash Trump.

00:47:37.400 It's in the New York Times, and it's about this time during the, you know, during the

00:47:43.720 term, and it's anonymous sources, and it's something that sounds crazy when you hear it.

00:47:50.860 Every part of that screamed fake news, and it looks like it was.

00:47:58.620 So here's another funny one.

00:48:01.480 There was a poll on who's leading to be the candidate for 2028 on the Democrat side, and

00:48:12.000 apparently Kamala Harris comes out way on top, and she has a double-digit lead over the closest 1.00

00:48:18.920 potential competitor, which is Buttigieg, who only had 10% support.

00:48:23.640 So she got 36% of the support from Democrat and Democrat-leading people.

00:48:31.000 Now, I assume that the field of potential people was limited in this poll, so maybe there

00:48:38.000 were some people who would look better than her but were not on the list.

00:48:42.160 I don't know.

00:48:42.540 But it does suggest that Democrats can't learn anything, because if you hadn't learned by

00:48:50.360 now that Kamala Harris is not exactly the warrior you need, how are you ever going to learn it? 0.77

00:48:59.440 I feel like this is just another batshit crazy woman stuff, where women just say, which one's 1.00

00:49:05.960 the woman? 0.98

00:49:06.740 Okay.

00:49:07.220 Okay, which one's the most famous woman who's also a woman of color? 0.99

00:49:11.660 Okay, got it.

00:49:13.060 Kamala Harris.

00:49:14.420 I don't think there's a lot of thinking that went into this.

00:49:18.580 Certainly not a lot of competitive thinking, as in who could win.

00:49:23.400 So the Democrats continue to be completely leaderless and rudderless.

00:49:29.280 I was watching some of the video of Bernie Sanders and AOC doing their anti-oligarch tour.

00:49:40.640 What would be more beatable than the group that's doing the anti-oligarch tour, where

00:49:47.000 they have more billionaires who give money to their side than the other side?

00:49:51.260 It's the most debunkable thing you could do.

00:49:53.720 It's the George Soros party, and the only thing that the Republicans did is they got

00:50:01.900 a few billionaires on their side because the few billionaires said, uh-oh, it looks like

00:50:06.880 you're destroying the country entirely, and if we don't save it, we're all dead.

00:50:13.340 So I don't think this anti-oligarch thing is even a little bit smart.

00:50:19.140 And as Fetterman said, and I said before he said it, I don't think anybody knows what an

00:50:26.080 oligarch is or why it matters.

00:50:29.520 You know, they might be able to define it, but who are the oligarchs? 0.91

00:50:33.860 Why does it matter?

00:50:35.200 Like, why is that not good for you if they do well?

00:50:40.080 You know, a lot of questions.

00:50:41.200 Well, the governor of Maine, you might remember, spoke up at a White House meeting one time

00:50:49.360 about the banning of biological men and women's sports, and the mayor, I'm sorry, the governor

00:50:55.980 of Maine said they're not going to buckle to the Trump administration's requirements

00:51:01.560 that to give federal funding that they stop doing that.

00:51:05.420 But the state universities, who were the target of that messaging, said they would comply,

00:51:13.980 meaning that they would ban biological men and women's sports. 0.90

00:51:19.400 But now Trump wants the governor to do a full-throated apology.

00:51:26.000 Now, is he saying full-throated apology because it's kind of funny to say it that way?

00:51:33.680 Am I the only one who thinks something's sexual when I hear that?

00:51:39.900 I want an apology, but a full-throated one, to which I say, what exactly is in the full

00:51:46.980 throat?

00:51:49.240 That's a weird choice of words.

00:51:52.220 So, I don't know, I like it because it's provocative.

00:51:55.860 But yeah, Trump wants a full-throated apology from the governor of Maine.

00:51:59.700 Well, let's talk about Stephen A. Smith.

00:52:06.160 You know, Stephen A. Smith's been making a lot of noise because, although his main job

00:52:10.540 is an ESPN commentator, he's been talking about politics a lot, and he's also tried to

00:52:17.460 find that common sense, common ground, sort of the Bill Maher common ground.

00:52:24.040 But James O'Keefe and his OMG, O'Keefe Media Group, they got an undercover recording of 0.71

00:52:36.220 an ESPN producer who calls Stephen A. Smith, quote, an angry black man and thinks he's crazy 0.88

00:52:46.080 and has no idea about politics. 0.94

00:52:49.000 So, that's from a producer at ESPN.

00:52:53.300 And said about discussions about the Middle East, ESPN producer questioned his, you know,

00:53:03.000 what does he know about Gaza?

00:53:05.400 You know, if he's talking about the Lakers in one minute, you know, what are the odds he

00:53:10.040 has something to add about Gaza?

00:53:11.360 Now, I'm going to defend Stephen A. Smith because I kind of like him.

00:53:22.940 So, it's hard to criticize somebody that you kind of like.

00:53:29.600 I like the fact that he's so good at what he does.

00:53:32.440 So, if his job is to make you interested and to make you not turn the channel and to make

00:53:40.320 you say, I can listen to a little more of what he has to say, he's really good at that.

00:53:45.360 Like, really, really good.

00:53:47.000 His communication skills are just off the chart.

00:53:50.440 And his performance skills, and I'm going to call it performance, really good.

00:53:55.200 So, when I hear him talk about any of these political topics, I'm actually interested because

00:54:03.380 he's someone who seems to be trying to find some common sense area.

00:54:09.020 He seems to be smarter than the average person by a lot, and he communicates so well.

00:54:16.020 So, he put all that together, and I do want to hear what he says about Gaza.

00:54:19.680 Do I think that he's an expert on Gaza?

00:54:21.780 No, I don't think anybody is.

00:54:24.840 I just don't think anybody is.

00:54:27.060 So, if you've got somebody who might disagree with me, but he's really good at communicating,

00:54:33.140 and maybe he has a point of view that other people share as well, I'm all over that.

00:54:38.460 Why don't I want to hear that?

00:54:40.160 So, I disagree with ESPN.

00:54:43.420 I think that he's a smart, well-informed voter who's not an expert on any of those topics,

00:54:50.280 but as a representative of people who maybe have also similar views, he's just such a good communicator

00:54:59.660 that, why is that not interesting to me?

00:55:03.120 It is.

00:55:04.300 Like, to me, that's exactly what I'd like to see more of it.

00:55:08.680 And, you know, it'd be different if I thought he couldn't change his mind if the data changed.

00:55:14.540 But there's no indication of that.

00:55:17.300 The indication is that if he saw different data or new facts emerged, that he would go

00:55:24.360 back and re-cook up a new opinion based on the new data.

00:55:28.000 So, I just respect it.

00:55:30.160 Now, it probably doesn't hurt that I like common sense, and he seems to at least have some,

00:55:39.420 you know, empathy for finding the common sense part of the world.

00:55:43.360 So, I'm going to just defend him on that.

00:55:46.300 I wouldn't mind seeing more of his opinions on politics at all.

00:55:53.860 So, apparently, the government already has a sixth-generation fighter jet called the F-47.

00:56:01.920 F-47 sounds like somebody insulting president number 47, but that's not, I think that's a

00:56:12.400 coincidence.

00:56:13.040 I don't know.

00:56:14.820 Apparently, it outmatches anything that the rivals have.

00:56:18.480 CBS News is writing about this.

00:56:21.540 But the thing that scares me a little bit is apparently it's been flying for nearly five

00:56:25.940 years.

00:56:26.380 What does it mean to you that our most advanced jet has been flying for five years, but doesn't

00:56:34.380 seem to be in production?

00:56:36.960 That's not a good sign, is it?

00:56:41.240 You know, if it had been flying for one year or two, I'd say, okay, you know, you got to

00:56:45.780 really test this thing.

00:56:47.320 But five?

00:56:48.860 Five suggests that they haven't solved it yet.

00:56:52.140 In other words, they haven't solved making it as survivable or as deadly as it needs to

00:56:59.200 be.

00:56:59.960 So, I'm going to be a little skeptical about that.

00:57:03.360 And I'm also skeptical about its value in the age of drones.

00:57:09.880 Is there anything that this thing can do that you couldn't do with a drone?

00:57:15.000 At the moment, maybe yes.

00:57:17.400 Like, you know, literally today, probably yes.

00:57:20.780 But aren't we like 10 minutes away from drones doing everything that this thing can do?

00:57:27.040 You know, I feel like we are.

00:57:29.400 It feels like, you know, and not having somebody in the drone would be better.

00:57:35.340 Anyway, so I remember when all the Democrats said, if you cut the Department of Education,

00:57:41.860 it will be bad for disabled students, and it will be bad for the nutrition programs. 0.97

00:57:51.160 So, you monster. 0.65

00:57:53.480 You might be getting rid of some things that aren't that important, but you're also getting

00:57:58.000 rid of the special needs programs that, I guess, were funded through that entity, and

00:58:03.620 the school lunch programs that were also funded federally.

00:58:09.400 And then Trump just signs a deal, and he says, no, those will be handled by Bobby Kennedy's

00:58:17.540 Health and Human Services.

00:58:19.120 And I'm thinking, Health and Human Services.

00:58:22.460 That kind of makes sense, doesn't it?

00:58:25.760 For the special needs students, Health, Human Services.

00:58:30.300 So, it looks like the, you know, taking care of the people who needed those specific services,

00:58:42.100 looks like that will be fully funded, as far as I can tell from now. 0.98

00:58:48.120 So, did you know that the complaints about the Department of Education were always bullshit? 0.99

00:58:54.920 The Democrat complaints? 0.99

00:58:57.120 I did.

00:58:59.300 I did.

00:59:00.660 Because Doge has always said, and I'm going to call this part of the Doge work, even though

00:59:06.760 I don't know if Doge was specifically the main driver of this, but Doge has always said,

00:59:14.520 we're going to cut things, but when we find out there are things that shouldn't be cut,

00:59:19.700 we'll make sure they don't get cut, or they get moved somewhere else, or they get funded

00:59:23.180 some other way.

00:59:25.000 And there it is.

00:59:25.860 Speaking of Robert Kennedy Jr., he's trying to ban cell phones in schools, but not exactly

00:59:34.840 for the reason you expected.

00:59:37.640 Banning cell phones in schools probably would be good, just because the kids would pay attention

00:59:43.540 and it would take away their dopamine source.

00:59:45.600 But Kennedy is worried about the electromagnetic radiation, which he says, and I don't know what

00:59:53.780 studies back this, but he says, has been shown to do neurological damage to kids when it's

00:59:59.040 around them all day.

01:00:00.100 Now, I'd definitely like to know more about that, but I'm going to tell you a story from

01:00:06.300 my phone company days that you've heard before, but if you haven't heard it in this context,

01:00:13.460 it might not, it might have hit you differently.

01:00:16.540 All right.

01:00:16.700 So this is a real story.

01:00:18.360 At the dawn of smartphones, before they had a smart screen, they were, what do they call

01:00:27.280 them, micro cell phones or something like that?

01:00:29.780 So all the phone companies were rushing to build out very small cell phones instead of

01:00:37.520 these big bricks that were the only way you could make a cell phone in the early days.

01:00:41.360 And so I was right in the middle of that, literally in a lab, which studied that stuff and other

01:00:48.320 phone company stuff.

01:00:50.340 And so one of my coworkers, somebody in my group was a top engineer and he was asked to

01:00:58.220 study the danger from the cell phones to find out if we could really be in this business

01:01:04.520 safely because it was an issue back then.

01:01:07.120 And he studied everything that was written, looked at all the studies about cell phones

01:01:12.300 and he came, came back with the recommendation that they were safe and that the business could

01:01:20.140 go ahead.

01:01:22.520 Pretty good, right?

01:01:24.220 He studied all the studies, decided, you know, he had some engineering argument why these particular,

01:01:31.400 you know, magnetic radiations wouldn't affect your brain and blah, blah, blah.

01:01:36.040 So he did all the work, came back, said, perfectly safe.

01:01:40.660 I was sitting next to him one day while that was happening and privately I said to him, would

01:01:48.080 you, would you use one of these phones?

01:01:50.420 Because believe it or not, those are the days where people didn't have a cell phone in their

01:01:54.680 pocket yet.

01:01:55.760 I said, would you use one?

01:01:57.880 And he looked at me and he said, no.

01:01:59.900 Well, his personal opinion was that it wasn't safe.

01:02:07.260 His professional opinion was that it was safe.

01:02:11.780 The company only cared about his professional opinion and they went ahead and they produced

01:02:16.560 the phones and did very well.

01:02:19.440 And then eventually smartphones came.

01:02:21.680 Now, I'm no expert, but if we can't count the number of people in the world to within

01:02:30.700 a billion, and we've been told that the food pyramid was upside down until it wasn't, and

01:02:39.560 we're still told that scientists can measure the temperature of the entire planet and compare

01:02:46.180 it to the earlier decades, completely absurd, what do you believe about the science about

01:02:54.400 phones and radiation?

01:02:57.780 The correct answer is you shouldn't believe anything.

01:03:01.260 So I don't know what studies Kennedy is looking at, and I don't know if it's the same effect

01:03:07.340 for adults.

01:03:08.100 I hope not.

01:03:08.640 But there's nothing you can believe.

01:03:14.440 You know, the financial incentive to fake a study like this is just so off the chart.

01:03:22.920 We're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars hanging on the industry saying it's

01:03:29.680 safe and keeping us believing it's safe.

01:03:33.200 So don't believe anything.

01:03:34.800 Meanwhile, according to interesting engineering, there's over in Germany, they found an efficient

01:03:42.700 way.

01:03:43.220 It's the efficiency that's the story, not that you can do it at all, but an efficient way

01:03:48.020 to turn CO2 they sucked out of the air into jet fuel.

01:03:54.440 And the important part is not that they can do it, because we've been able to do that for

01:03:59.020 a while, but we couldn't do it efficiently.

01:04:00.920 So it's not like you could actually start making jet fuel.

01:04:05.180 It wasn't that good.

01:04:06.620 But now they can.

01:04:08.160 And they're looking at making just a crap ton, a ton of jet fuel a day for one facility.

01:04:17.660 That's working with Sunfire and Climeworks.

01:04:21.020 Climeworks is a company that sucks CO2 out of the air.

01:04:25.180 They've been around a while.

01:04:26.300 Now, may I complete this story the way you want me to?

01:04:34.660 There's something missing, right?

01:04:36.960 And it goes like this.

01:04:39.940 If you take all the CO2 out of the atmosphere, all our plants are going to die, and then we

01:04:46.480 will all starve to death.

01:04:47.580 So whatever you do, Scott, don't be in favor of sucking CO2 out of the air, because the

01:04:54.980 more we have, the better.

01:04:56.740 That's what you're thinking.

01:04:58.400 That's what you're thinking.

01:04:59.800 But I don't think we're talking about sucking enough out of the air that it would make any

01:05:03.180 difference.

01:05:04.000 So I can be wrong.

01:05:07.080 Meanwhile, according to interesting engineering, Ukraine is testing a zigzag drone that has

01:05:14.620 a four-barrel shotgun.

01:05:16.000 So now the drones are going to have firearms, a four-barrel shotgun, so it can do dogfights

01:05:26.660 with other drones.

01:05:28.740 So if you want to take down a drone with your drone, you can send up your shotgun drone and

01:05:36.360 just blast away at the other drones.

01:05:39.900 So does that scare you at all?

01:05:42.680 Well, you know, and I'll say again, that we're sort of in this weird part of history where

01:05:50.260 drone warfare is under development and it's come a long way, but it hasn't fully replaced

01:05:57.260 human soldiers.

01:05:59.320 But weirdly, we're at the very time in history where Ukraine is running out of human soldiers,

01:06:06.540 but they're doing great on unmanned, you know, crafts and robots and robot dogs and drones.

01:06:16.360 So it could be, it makes me wonder if Zelensky is smart enough to know that they're six months

01:06:23.980 away from being able to completely defend their border without new troops.

01:06:29.000 In other words, you wouldn't need many to, you know, just tell the drones to do what they

01:06:33.940 need to do.

01:06:35.000 So could it be that the real reason that Zelensky is sort of stalling and, you know, he doesn't

01:06:41.960 want to make the deal that we all think he should make, could it be that he knows more

01:06:46.700 about what the future of drone warfare looks like?

01:06:51.520 Because they are right on the cusp of just not needing human soldiers at the front, right

01:06:58.060 at the cusp.

01:06:59.220 And if they can get to that point where they just don't need any human soldiers, you know,

01:07:04.080 except whoever's running the drones in the background, I don't know, maybe, maybe you

01:07:09.460 think that they think that would change the nature of the war and they could at least negotiate

01:07:14.580 better.

01:07:15.460 I don't know.

01:07:16.100 Meanwhile, according to Emily Crane in the New York Post, Israel is threatening Hamas

01:07:24.880 that the Israel will take permanent control of some parts of Gaza if Hamas doesn't free 0.52

01:07:32.420 the remaining hostages.

01:07:33.540 Now, they're not talking about all of Gaza, but they're saying that some part of it, that

01:07:39.480 they would take permanent control.

01:07:41.780 So what does that remind you of?

01:07:43.600 Now, they're not going to take all of Gaza, but if they don't get those hostages, they

01:07:51.240 might take permanent control of some of it.

01:07:54.880 That's called the cats on the roof.

01:07:58.760 So Hamas is getting the cats on the roof story. 0.79

01:08:02.800 If you don't know the cats on the roof story, I won't give you the whole story.

01:08:06.060 But the idea is that it's a way to gently break the bad news to somebody.

01:08:11.220 You know, there's a joke about the cat on the roof and blah, blah, blah.

01:08:17.900 But here's what I think is happening.

01:08:20.580 As I've been saying for quite some time, it's kind of obvious that Israel's never going to 1.00

01:08:25.840 give back Gaza. 0.86

01:08:26.700 It's kind of obvious that they're going to take full control of it, and I don't think

01:08:33.180 they're going to say, hey, Trump, you take control of it.

01:08:36.400 I don't think so.

01:08:37.560 I don't think they're going to say, you know what?

01:08:39.760 It'd be great if Saudi and some of our friendlier neighbors like Jordan maybe control Gaza. 1.00

01:08:47.860 I don't think so.

01:08:49.000 It doesn't seem likely at all.

01:08:52.600 It seems completely obvious to me that the long-term ownership of Gaza will be Israel, 0.93

01:09:00.980 and they'll just own it completely, and Hamas will be 100% destroyed.

01:09:07.020 Now, but I think this is just how they start breaking it to them.

01:09:09.840 If you don't give us back those hostages, and they know they're not going to get the

01:09:13.680 hostages back, at least not all of them, then we're going to keep at least a little bit

01:09:18.820 of Gaza, and then check back in a few months.

01:09:23.860 Well, you know, if you still don't give back the hostages, because we're not going to have

01:09:29.100 them back in a few months, we might take a little bit more of Gaza.

01:09:35.260 And one of their defense minister, I guess, he said, the more Hamas continues its refusal

01:09:43.240 to release the kidnapped, the more territory it will lose to Israel.

01:09:47.400 Well, and there it is.

01:09:51.520 At this point, Israel is not really disadvantaged by Hamas not releasing the hostages.

01:09:59.960 I mean, it's terrible.

01:10:01.080 If you're the family member or friends, it's the worst thing in the world.

01:10:04.760 But from a strategic perspective, they're just gaining land.

01:10:10.540 So the longer Hamas says no on the hostages, the more guaranteed it is that there will be 0.90

01:10:16.700 no Hamas and there will be no Gaza under the control of anybody but Israel. 0.59

01:10:21.660 So that's common.

01:10:22.800 According to an article in Time magazine, Alana Samuels is writing about this, apparently there's

01:10:32.640 a sort of a private, weird little health insurance group that's been formed of 10,000 members

01:10:43.480 who just pay for each other's health care, but it's optional.

01:10:49.920 So I'm really interested in this.

01:10:52.740 So the way it works is if you need some health care, I guess you pay for it, but then maybe

01:10:59.260 you can get reimbursed.

01:11:00.340 So you say, I just broke my arm and it cost me, you know, I don't know, $1,500 to get it

01:11:09.740 all wrapped up.

01:11:11.440 And then other people voluntarily, voluntarily allow some of their money to go toward paying

01:11:19.820 that, but they don't have to.

01:11:21.840 So you could be in the group and be a person who asks for money without being a person who

01:11:27.600 ever gives any money.

01:11:28.580 However, here's the fun part, your reputation will be tracked.

01:11:35.280 So if you're a person who never, never gives to anybody else's health care, and again, you're

01:11:40.440 not paying all the health care because lots of people would be involved.

01:11:43.960 So you'd be paying, you know, you're part of it, a little part of it.

01:11:46.900 If you never do, then when you break your arm and you ask the other people in the group

01:11:52.700 to help you pay for it, well, they're going to see that maybe you weren't paying for it

01:11:58.120 so much yourself for other people, and they may be a little more reluctant to pay.

01:12:04.220 Now, I imagine if you're poor or you're going through bad times, if you can see that it's

01:12:12.800 somebody who paid often, but not every time, you might say to yourself, probably just low

01:12:19.000 income.

01:12:19.340 And so the fact that they paid anything ever, because it's voluntary, you know, shows good

01:12:24.980 character.

01:12:25.800 So yeah, I'll pay for your broken arm, no problem.

01:12:28.060 But I suppose you'd never paid for anybody, and then you asked for a payment.

01:12:35.240 Well, maybe you don't get fully covered.

01:12:38.980 So it's a really interesting model, and I'm not going to go so far as to say that I predict

01:12:45.120 it will work.

01:12:46.500 But it's working well enough that 10,000 people are voluntarily part of it, and at least some

01:12:54.060 of them seem to like it a lot.

01:12:56.320 So I'm going to say this is impressive.

01:13:00.280 This is just the free market and free people just being impressive.

01:13:06.440 So good on them.

01:13:07.820 So even if it doesn't work out in the long run, I'm completely happy that somebody tested

01:13:13.780 it.

01:13:15.280 How are we doing here on time?

01:13:17.160 Perfect.

01:13:18.960 So Owen Gregorian is going to do an after party.

01:13:22.000 So in just a few minutes, and he'll be on, well, just look for Spaces on X.

01:13:30.060 Spaces is the audio-only app.

01:13:33.860 And if you've got X, that's built into the app.

01:13:36.920 And just look for Owen Gregorian, and you'll see the link to it in his feed.

01:13:44.540 So look for the next Coffee with Scott Adams after party.

01:13:47.860 And I won't take too much time from the locals people, because they can go talk to each other

01:13:55.820 at that.

01:13:56.820 But everybody else, thanks for joining.

01:14:00.120 I'll see you tomorrow.

01:14:02.140 And locals, I'm just going to say hi.

01:14:04.320 Bye.

01:14:04.840 Bye.

01:14:04.860 Bye.

01:14:04.980 Bye.

01:14:05.640 Bye.

01:14:06.180 Bye.

01:14:07.580 Bye.

01:14:08.220 Bye.

01:14:08.820 Bye.

01:14:09.240 Bye.

01:14:09.560 Bye.

01:14:10.280 Bye.

01:14:10.920 Bye.

01:14:11.620 Bye.

01:14:12.160 Bye.

01:14:13.360 Bye.

01:14:14.480 Bye.

01:14:15.280 Bye.

01:14:15.600 Bye.

01:14:16.380 Bye.

01:14:20.160 Bye.

01:14:20.880 Bye.

01:14:21.960 Bye.

01:14:24.020 Bye.

01:14:26.660 Bye.

01:14:28.220 Bye.

01:14:29.680 Bye.

01:14:30.360 Bye.

01:14:33.560 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 22, 2025

Episode 2786 CWSA 03⧸22⧸25

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