Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2793 CWSA 03⧸29⧸25

00:00:00.000 Ba-bum, ba-bum, ba-bum, ba-bum, ba-bum, ba-bum.

00:00:06.760 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.460 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, the best time you've ever had in your whole life.

00:00:16.340 But if you'd like to take that up a level, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or

00:00:21.540 a glass of tank or chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:25.620 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.080 I like coffee.

00:00:27.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to end of the day, the thing

00:00:32.740 that makes everything better.

00:00:33.940 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it's going to happen right now.

00:00:37.860 Go.

00:00:45.360 Extraordinary.

00:00:46.260 So good.

00:00:48.640 Well, after the show today, Owen Gregorian will be hosting a Spaces on X.

00:00:55.460 That's the audio-only service.

00:00:59.080 And that'll be a few minutes after I'm done this morning.

00:01:02.840 So if you want a little extra on a Saturday, and who doesn't want extra?

00:01:08.540 You all want extra.

00:01:09.980 That's where you'll get it.

00:01:12.260 Let's see what else is going on.

00:01:13.920 According to the Daily Mail, scientists have discovered that intermittent fasting could boost

00:01:21.000 bedroom performance, especially for older men.

00:01:26.180 So intermittent fasting could boost bedroom performance.

00:01:31.180 Now, coincidentally, I haven't had anything to eat in about 18 hours.

00:01:36.000 So if I suddenly need to take a break, you'll know why.

00:01:42.760 Because of science.

00:01:45.280 According to Reichman University, it's funny that they even tested this.

00:01:52.860 A robot dog can inspire emergent leadership in humans.

00:01:56.580 Meaning that if you have a robot dog, and you tell the robot dog to act like one of the

00:02:04.420 humans is the leader, the other humans will just go along with it.

00:02:10.440 So you can literally have a robot dog choose the human leader in a group.

00:02:15.880 And everybody else will be like, well, it seems reasonable to me.

00:02:18.520 If the robot dog's okay with it, I'm okay with it.

00:02:21.020 But I think the larger risk is robot persuasion.

00:02:30.380 Do you know how influential a robot's going to be?

00:02:35.320 If a robot dog can determine which human is in charge, and apparently they've tested it

00:02:42.840 and they can, what else can the robot dog do?

00:02:46.760 So, I mean, next thing I know, I'm going to be peeing on fire hydrants, if the robot dog

00:02:52.580 tells me to.

00:02:55.420 Speaking of robots, there's now a tiny little robot that they can put in your body, according

00:03:00.520 to the University of Leeds.

00:03:02.100 It's a tiny magnetic robot.

00:03:04.040 And it can take 3D scans of things like tumors and stuff like that.

00:03:09.280 So the one they have now is for colorectal cancer.

00:03:12.720 So I'm going to say it was only a matter of time before somebody shoved a robot up your 1.00

00:03:20.320 ass. 1.00

00:03:21.580 It's here. 1.00

00:03:22.940 The robot that goes up your ass. 0.99

00:03:26.420 I'm sure it does good work up there, but I just knew it would come to this. 0.99

00:03:35.560 Hey, Scott, do you think there'll be so many robots that eventually one of them will be shoved 0.99

00:03:41.360 up your ass? 0.99

00:03:42.060 I would have said, hmm, you know, now that you make me think about it, I think yes. 1.00

00:03:47.420 Well, it's here.

00:03:49.260 Well, the U.S. Army, according to next-gen defense, has a high-speed 3D-printed kamikaze

00:03:56.820 drone.

00:03:58.520 So now you can use 3D printing to make a drone.

00:04:03.520 But they don't say which parts.

00:04:06.080 I can't imagine you can print the metallic parts.

00:04:09.160 I mean, you can print in metal, but I don't really think you can print the entire drone.

00:04:15.380 It doesn't seem like it.

00:04:16.820 But if you can do most of it, that would be pretty impressive.

00:04:20.080 So it's all drones.

00:04:21.220 You can have your 3D-printed drone, which is great for terrorists.

00:04:27.260 So if any of you are terrorists, there's a 3D-printed drone that's coming.

00:04:34.580 And there's also going to be all these drone killers now. 0.78

00:04:39.700 They've got all these anti-drones with missiles and stuff.

00:04:42.740 So you can have drones fighting drones before they even get to us.

00:04:50.020 Well, according to Variety, they had an idea for making movie theaters more inviting, because

00:04:58.100 I guess not enough people are going to movies.

00:05:01.180 And their idea is to allow pot smoking and texting in the movie.

00:05:05.760 John Nolte at Breitbart's writing about this.

00:05:11.080 And I have the following question.

00:05:14.660 How high would you have to be in order to enjoy watching Snow White or Wicked or any of the new movies?

00:05:24.580 I've experimented with it at home.

00:05:26.680 And personally, I can tell you that there's no level of – it's impossible to get high enough to enjoy Snow White or Wicked.

00:05:40.120 I've experimented with it, so you don't have to.

00:05:42.860 Nope.

00:05:43.700 There's this – you know, in theory, there would be this tiny window where you'd start enjoying the movie,

00:05:50.420 but you wouldn't be so high that you would fall asleep.

00:05:54.340 Snow White doesn't have a window.

00:05:55.600 You can get as high as you want, and you won't enjoy the movie until you fall asleep.

00:06:01.660 That's it.

00:06:02.380 There's no window in which that movie is good.

00:06:05.080 And I love the fact that the movie industry has given up on making better movies.

00:06:12.820 So somehow they think the problem is not the quality of the movie.

00:06:16.740 They think it's something about the movie theater experience.

00:06:21.220 No.

00:06:22.140 It's the movies.

00:06:23.580 The movies are terrible.

00:06:25.600 You can't get people in the theater for terrible stuff.

00:06:28.900 But I like the thinking of variety, and I wonder how you can extend that because it seems to me that almost everything would be better if you could be really high while you're doing it.

00:06:42.080 Like, do you know how high I would have to be to go visit the pyramids and have a good time?

00:06:47.460 If I were not, I'd be, you know, how long is the airline flight from here to the pyramids?

00:06:58.340 You know, it's going to be like spend all day on an airplane and getting to the airplane and getting off the airplane and getting a cab and going to the pyramids.

00:07:07.220 And then when I stand there, I'm pretty sure my entire impression would be, yeah, I thought it would be big.

00:07:14.600 It's very big.

00:07:16.840 It's made of rocks.

00:07:19.460 And very big ones.

00:07:20.680 Very big rocks.

00:07:21.440 And it's shaped like a pyramid.

00:07:26.580 And I would immediately have the impression that I'd watched enough television shows about pyramids that I didn't really need to see it in person.

00:07:35.860 So, I don't know how high I'd have to be to see a pyramid, but I don't think it's possible.

00:07:44.320 The New York Post, coincidentally, was talking about the same thing.

00:07:48.200 And apparently there's some movie theaters that are experimenting with pickleball in the lobby.

00:07:55.340 Can you think of a worse idea than having the sound of pickleball in the lobby of your movie theater?

00:08:02.660 You know, I assume there's only like one quart that they can fit in there.

00:08:07.400 But pickleball is the most obnoxiously loud sounding game.

00:08:14.880 That's the last thing you want to see when you're going to a movie.

00:08:17.740 Now, they're putting a bar in there.

00:08:19.820 And some of them, they're experimenting with sing-alongs so that you can get over how bad the movie is.

00:08:28.180 But because the sing-along would be the thing.

00:08:30.780 And they're looking at live events like boxing matches and stuff like that.

00:08:34.740 That's actually a good idea.

00:08:36.660 And allowing texting.

00:08:39.500 Allowing texting.

00:08:42.080 Have any of you ever been to a movie with a woman?

00:08:47.380 Don't all women text during movies? 1.00

00:08:50.480 You tell me in the comments.

00:08:52.160 If you've ever been to a movie with a woman, maybe below a certain age.

00:09:00.260 Don't they all text during the movie?

00:09:03.360 I've never seen an exception.

00:09:05.720 No?

00:09:08.060 Just the ones I know?

00:09:12.960 All right.

00:09:13.620 Well, I won't make that generalization.

00:09:16.140 Maybe it's just the ones I know.

00:09:17.360 Apparently, the Democrats, during Biden's administration, had a plan for what would happen if he died in office.

00:09:27.960 There's a new book that says they plan for what would happen if he died.

00:09:33.300 Now, to me, that's not much of a story.

00:09:37.360 Because wouldn't it be weird if they didn't have a plan?

00:09:40.100 I mean, it's like the military.

00:09:44.100 The military always has a plan to attack, you know, anybody that looks like we might ever want to attack them.

00:09:50.180 So, yeah, of course, they should definitely plan for what happens if Biden dropped dead during office.

00:09:56.840 So, I think there's no controversy there.

00:10:00.620 That's just them doing a good job, I think.

00:10:03.180 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:10:05.380 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:10:07.560 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.

00:10:13.900 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.

00:10:19.620 Everything was taken care of under one roof, and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

00:10:24.060 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:10:27.540 But you got there on time.

00:10:29.380 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:10:32.020 Certain conditions apply.

00:10:32.920 Meanwhile, Secretary Rollins was talking about how she's done a good job. 0.52

00:10:40.520 She was on Fox Business, saying what a good job she did, bringing down egg prices.

00:10:46.060 So, egg prices are way down.

00:10:48.500 And she said that under Joe Biden, egg prices increased 237%,

00:10:52.740 but we almost immediately saw the market react to their five-point plan.

00:10:59.660 What was the five-point plan?

00:11:01.580 Part of it was getting eggs from other countries, so that seemed like a good idea.

00:11:12.140 But as somebody said in the comments when I saw this on X,

00:11:16.900 didn't we all know that egg prices were going to come down just about now?

00:11:21.080 Well, isn't that just if you just figure out when all the chickens were killed because of the fear of bird flu or whatever it was?

00:11:31.040 All you have to do is say, all right, how long does it take a chicken to grow until it can have its own eggs?

00:11:37.540 And then you can just look on the calendar and say, well, looks like this would be the time that the egg prices have come down.

00:11:43.140 And it would be around now, right?

00:11:46.080 So, one of the great things about being in power, whatever administration is in power,

00:11:52.120 whoever was going to be in power for the next four years was definitely going to see the egg prices go down.

00:11:59.580 That was just a free pass.

00:12:02.620 You just had to be in power, and your egg prices would come down.

00:12:06.040 Now, I do think that they were more active than just waiting for them to come down.

00:12:11.160 But I do give them credit for that, the getting the eggs from Turkey and South Korea and wherever else.

00:12:18.960 That seemed to have worked.

00:12:20.760 So, good job on that, Trump administration.

00:12:25.340 So, Trump administration is cracking down more on the colleges and universities doing DEI.

00:12:32.500 Now, they're looking at Stanford and some of the UC schools, like UC Berkeley and UCLA and UC Irvine.

00:12:41.760 Apparently, they still have alleged race-based admission practices.

00:12:47.640 Do you think you could drive the DEI out of Berkeley?

00:12:51.200 That would be the ultimate test.

00:12:53.840 I feel like the Berkleyites would die before they gave up on their entire woke agenda.

00:13:01.440 So, we'll see.

00:13:05.780 And Pam Bondi, AG, says that the goal is clear to end illegal discrimination and restore merit.

00:13:14.600 So, good.

00:13:16.860 And, of course, you know there was a lot of pressure on Columbia for, I think it was not just DEI,

00:13:24.500 but making sure that they were not anti-Semitic in effect.

00:13:28.120 And now, the Columbia University interim president just stepped down.

00:13:33.780 So, the regular president stepped down, too much pressure.

00:13:37.020 And now, the interim president just stepped down.

00:13:40.300 I'll tell you, being the president of Columbia doesn't seem like a good deal.

00:13:44.060 Nobody wants the job.

00:13:46.760 There's a lot of stepping down.

00:13:48.320 All right.

00:13:52.580 According to the state of Mississippi, they've got a plan to go to zero income tax in Mississippi.

00:14:03.200 But you know what was left out of the story?

00:14:05.980 How are they going to pay the bills if they get rid of the income tax? 0.97

00:14:09.480 Now, it wasn't that high.

00:14:10.420 It was like 4% compared to, you know, where I live.

00:14:13.840 It's over 11%.

00:14:15.000 But they're going to replace it according to Grok.

00:14:20.160 So, I don't know if you've had this experience yet, but I'm using Grok five times a day.

00:14:28.160 And it's always the same.

00:14:29.300 It's always about context.

00:14:31.380 So, a lot of the news stories lack context.

00:14:34.200 So, if I see a story that says Mississippi wants to get rid of its income tax, the first thing I look for is, what are you going to replace it with?

00:14:42.700 Because it's not like they're going to do without money.

00:14:45.780 So, according to Grok, they're going to replace it with a patchwork of higher gas taxes, sales taxes, lottery, something with more lotteries.

00:14:57.200 But some of it, they hope, will be through growth, because once they're a zero income tax state, they think they'll get a lot of businesses moving in.

00:15:07.400 They might be right about that.

00:15:08.980 So, if your income tax is 4% and you think you can phase it out, maybe.

00:15:17.640 It might be a really smart, you know, free market thing to do to just bring in businesses that way.

00:15:24.520 So, we'll see.

00:15:25.380 Good luck, Mississippi. 0.92

00:15:27.200 Here's one of the least surprising stories of the day.

00:15:33.460 According to Roger Stone, who knows a lot about the JFK assassination, because he wrote a book about it.

00:15:40.460 So, he's done a bunch of research, knows exactly what he's talking about.

00:15:44.780 Joe Hoft is writing about this.

00:15:46.960 So, Stone says that he knows that there are some documents that have not been released, because they're documents he's seen.

00:15:55.080 So, he knows they're not released.

00:15:57.200 Now, I don't know how he saw them, or maybe he just knows of them.

00:16:01.140 So, he said, for example, where is the full FBI document of Carlos Marcello, where he said that he knew of JFK's assassination before it occurred?

00:16:11.360 He knew before it happened?

00:16:15.300 That would certainly suggest something's up.

00:16:19.520 So, did you expect that the JFK files would be complete?

00:16:24.680 My prediction was, if there was anything good in there, like really mind-blowing, that we'd never see it, but that we'd sort of move on, because we'd think, okay, they should release a lot of stuff, nothing new.

00:16:40.580 And then we would just act like somehow we'd been satisfied with the truth.

00:16:47.020 Of course, there was no chance we would see all the documents.

00:16:50.260 So, I'm even surprised there are any documents that would be damning in any way.

00:16:55.740 So, maybe that's already destroyed.

00:16:58.600 Well, interestingly, for you business nerds, Elon Musk announced that he merged his two companies, the AI company called XAI, and that is AcquiredX, the platform.

00:17:14.040 So, it's an all-stock transaction, it's more of a merger, and the combination will value the AI part at $80 billion, and the X part at $33 billion, which is $45 billion, less $12 billion in debt.

00:17:31.300 So, here's the fun part.

00:17:33.760 So, the AI will now have access to train itself on the entire body of X content.

00:17:45.680 Isn't that going to make Elon Musk's AI the best AI, like right away?

00:17:51.980 Because I don't know if the other AIs train on, it would be illegal if they did, I suppose, without permission.

00:17:58.940 But, if there's an AI that's learned everything that's on social media, or could, that's going to be really, really killer.

00:18:09.780 So, we'll see.

00:18:12.700 He's got 600 million users on X.

00:18:18.280 And as you've learned, the regular news is lagging X.

00:18:22.780 So, if you had AI that could just, you know, read everything on X, it's going to know a lot about a lot of people.

00:18:33.480 You know what else it could do?

00:18:35.920 It would know if you wrote something.

00:18:39.400 It could catch anonymous people.

00:18:41.740 Because once they learned how you send a tweet and what your writing style is, it could probably identify you just by your writing.

00:18:49.760 So, that's coming.

00:18:50.540 But, what's fun about this is the value of the combined entity, which suggests that Elon Musk, when everybody laughed that he overpaid for X, not only did he not overpay, because now it seems to be fully valued about what he paid for it, but, which is the most unusual outcome.

00:19:15.260 So, he also changed the world.

00:19:21.340 He changed free speech.

00:19:23.480 He is directly, directly responsible for Trump getting elected.

00:19:28.780 And that allowed him to do Doge, and Doge is the only thing that could possibly save America from its own, you know, debt crisis.

00:19:37.980 So, if you look at the level of importance of his decision to buy X at what turned out to be, we thought it was an inflated price.

00:19:49.240 But he's so good at this business stuff that he turned it into, he turned it into an asset, you know, like a growing, valuable business asset.

00:20:00.980 Now, one of the things that the anti-Doge people were fond of saying, he's like, well, why are you saying he's so smart when he bought Twitter and lost all those billions of dollars?

00:20:14.460 Well, how about now you all just shut up? 0.97

00:20:17.180 How about you just shut up? 1.00

00:20:19.200 Because it turns out that worked out. 0.89

00:20:20.780 So, do you have anything else that Elon Musk can't do?

00:20:25.040 Would you like to give me a list of the things he can't do?

00:20:27.560 Oh, he'll never send a rocket up that you can reuse.

00:20:30.900 He'll never build a car company.

00:20:33.480 He'll never make X pay for itself and be an asset.

00:20:38.220 How many times does he have to do it? 0.95

00:20:41.260 Maybe you'll just shut up now.

00:20:43.440 See if he can, see if he can make Doge work. 0.96

00:20:47.660 All right.

00:20:50.780 And also there's talk about the, remember Vines?

00:20:55.880 Vines was that little six-second video thing that Twitter had for a while and didn't really quite make it.

00:21:03.120 But I saw a post that suggested that Elon was open to having that revived.

00:21:11.940 Now, I don't think if it does get revived, I don't know if it would get revived as a six-second video or maybe longer.

00:21:19.420 Longer might make sense to compete with TikTok.

00:21:24.360 But that would be a huge moneymaker, seems to me.

00:21:30.200 In other AI news, ChatGPT is allegedly, according to Cy Post, Vladimir Hedra is writing about this.

00:21:37.980 ChatGPT used to be sort of left-leaning in its opinions, if you can call it opinion, in its responses, let's say.

00:21:48.600 Sort of left-leaning, left to center.

00:21:50.740 And now they say the newest version is starting to lean right, at least a little bit.

00:21:59.720 And it gave an example of what that means to lean right.

00:22:03.200 Because as soon as I hear that, the AI is leaning right, I say to myself, you're going to need to give me an example.

00:22:09.960 What? It put up a flag?

00:22:14.740 You know, what exactly does it mean for an AI to lean right?

00:22:18.920 But here's what it said.

00:22:21.600 It prioritizes free market capitalism, property rights, and minimal government intervention in the economy.

00:22:28.960 To which I say, you mean common sense?

00:22:35.100 Apparently, all it takes to lean right in today's world is common sense.

00:22:40.200 Who exactly is against free market capitalism?

00:22:44.260 Only the craziest leftists.

00:22:46.880 I mean, otherwise, Democrats and Republicans are pretty much in agreement that free market capitalism should be the basis of our country.

00:22:55.800 How about property rights?

00:22:57.180 Again, you'd have to be completely insane to be against property rights.

00:23:03.580 But, you know, some leftists are.

00:23:05.520 And what about minimal government intervention in the economy?

00:23:09.300 Again, common sense.

00:23:11.420 You want the fewest number of your rules and government blocking, I guess.

00:23:21.820 So, I think it's hilarious that what is called conservative stuff is just the thing that basically everybody who's not crazy is already in favor of.

00:23:35.800 Just pure common sense stuff.

00:23:37.300 According to Wired magazine, McKenna Kelly's writing about this, Doge has a plan to rebuild the whole Social Security Administration code base.

00:23:51.080 So, all the programs that run the Social Security program.

00:23:55.800 And, of course, the headline is Risking Benefits and System Collapse.

00:24:01.920 Really?

00:24:02.520 Is it Risking Benefits and System Collapse?

00:24:06.500 Or is it possible that they would be testing the thing until they knew it worked?

00:24:13.120 Because you're not going to get rid of the old one until you know the new one works, right?

00:24:17.680 Now, there will be lots of edge cases, you know, a lot of special cases.

00:24:21.320 So, probably, there will be some people who, you know, thought they were going to get something and don't get it right away.

00:24:28.860 But that's all fixable.

00:24:31.180 You know, that would be the normal thing that would happen if you did a massive code base changeover.

00:24:37.960 Nobody thinks that that works on the first try.

00:24:40.780 But what's the alternative?

00:24:42.520 To keep a COBOL-based, like, archaic system forever?

00:24:46.920 So, when they say stuff like, is Risking Benefits and System Collapse, the real risk is not doing it.

00:24:54.940 Not doing it is a much bigger risk, you know, because we've reached that point where it's just so decrepit and, you know, crawling along.

00:25:04.880 But I asked this question.

00:25:06.740 I said, can't AI just look at COBOL code and rewrite it in a modern form in minutes?

00:25:12.100 You know, I keep reading all these stories about people say, my God, I'm a programmer and I used AI and I didn't even have to do any coding and it made an app that runs on Apple and it totally worked.

00:25:26.480 And given the AI knows how to write in every language, why wouldn't you be able to just tell AI to look at the COBOL code, all gazillion lines of it, and, you know, take your time and then just say, can you write that more efficiently in a modern language?

00:25:47.320 And you tell it which language, of course.

00:25:49.140 And an expert who says that he works in that domain, so he's spent enough time to call himself an expert, says, nope, that wouldn't work.

00:26:00.340 So, once again, once again, the critics of AI who keep saying things like, well, it's good for a demo, but it doesn't really do any of the things it's supposed to do.

00:26:17.660 Like have an agent, you know, a little AI agent that can answer questions.

00:26:22.560 Even that doesn't work.

00:26:23.900 The most basic thing you'd want your AI to do, answer questions, it just still hallucinates, so you can't even use it for that.

00:26:32.980 But I thought, I thought the one thing it could definitely do, just definitely, was write code like a mofo.

00:26:42.520 I thought you could just show it any code and say, well, we'd like this to be a little more efficient, so look for inefficiencies and fix that for me.

00:26:52.340 And apparently, according to the one gentleman who says he's an expert and he wasn't guessing, said, no, that doesn't work.

00:27:00.120 You would have massive inefficiencies.

00:27:03.140 So, it could reproduce it.

00:27:05.360 So, reproducing it is possible, but it would reproduce it so inefficiently that you'd have to, you know, almost better if you started over from scratch, I think.

00:27:15.480 But then I say, are you telling me that AI can't identify inefficient code and then replace it?

00:27:25.440 Because I would think that it could do that easily.

00:27:28.200 If it knows how to write code, does it really not know how to identify inefficient code and then know how to replace it with efficient code, even if you gave it the right prompts?

00:27:39.440 So, I think this will be a real good test.

00:27:44.040 It probably borders on almost impossible to get this rewritten unless AI is helping a lot.

00:27:52.360 I think it borders on impossible.

00:27:54.940 But I'll bet you the Doge people being, you know, on the leading edge of a lot of AI and programming stuff, I'll bet they're going to make this work.

00:28:02.400 But remember, if you're thinking that the new code will work perfectly, not on the first try.

00:28:12.500 And nothing works like that.

00:28:14.480 Nothing works on the first try.

00:28:16.740 So, probably there will be a little bit of a bump in the system.

00:28:22.300 But maybe before the end of the year, you'd see a whole new rewritten system.

00:28:27.180 And what they learn from that could be something they can take to the rest of the government systems because they have just these unlimited number of, you know, IT systems that don't talk to each other.

00:28:40.980 We'll see if that's fixable.

00:28:42.960 I don't know.

00:28:44.640 Well, according to American First Legal, the Trump administration has revoked the legal status of 530,000 illegal aliens.

00:28:54.160 These are the ones that Biden flew in.

00:28:57.220 So, they're not the ones who walked across the border.

00:28:59.540 They were flown in intentionally by the Biden administration, over half a million of them, from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela.

00:29:08.480 And now they must self-deport or face detention and removal.

00:29:14.700 Now, I got to say that that makes sense to me because whatever it was, you know, whatever it was that the Biden administration was up to with flying in half a million people, they never really explained that to us, did they?

00:29:39.300 Did the Biden administration ever say, oh, these are the special people who need asylum?

00:29:46.660 Not really.

00:29:47.700 It just seemed like they were using every trick they could to bring in as many immigrants as they can. 1.00

00:29:54.040 And I like the fact that Trump is going to say, how about we make this not our problem?

00:29:59.920 How about we make this the problem of the migrants who came in? 1.00

00:30:05.700 I like that.

00:30:06.680 It should be their problem, not ours. 0.99

00:30:09.800 So, yeah, I'm in favor of that.

00:30:36.680 Best slots and top-tier table games.

00:30:39.240 Make the most of your downtime with unbeatable promotions and jackpots that can turn any mundane moment into a golden opportunity at Golden Nugget Online Casino.

00:30:48.660 Take a spin on the slots, challenge yourself at the tables, or join a live dealer game to feel the thrill of real-time action, all from the comfort of your own devices.

00:30:57.340 Why settle for less when you can go for the gold at Golden Nugget Online Casino?

00:31:02.220 Well, here's what I call the least surprising story of the day.

00:31:20.800 Here's the one that every one of you could have predicted.

00:31:23.640 Are you ready?

00:31:24.900 According to Zero Edge, Vladimir Zelensky, when he got the first draft of the deal for minerals, remember that Scott Bessent said there would be this 100-page document that would explain the deal they'd already agreed to,

00:31:40.860 that would be some kind of mineral deal with Ukraine and the United States.

00:31:47.140 And Zelensky says that Kyiv received a draft of the new mineral deal and says it's entirely different.

00:31:56.780 It's an entirely different document than previous framework.

00:32:01.380 He says Ukraine can't accept any deal that threatens its EU integration.

00:32:06.380 So, don't you think you could have predicted that Zelensky was going to reject the deal?

00:32:15.560 Now, everything that we heard from Scott Bessent and even the indications that Trump was making is that, oh yeah, we're talking to Ukraine, we're working on a deal.

00:32:27.840 Well, apparently we just slapped together a deal and tried to shove it down their craws, but Zelensky's like, nope, haven't even seen this kind of a deal.

00:32:39.680 So, that is the least surprising thing of the day.

00:32:43.280 You absolutely could have predicted that that deal wasn't going to happen.

00:32:47.760 And I'm going to predict it probably won't ever happen.

00:32:51.880 I've got a feeling that there will be no, well, as long as Zelensky's in charge.

00:32:59.260 Zelensky very much doesn't want a solution that isn't military.

00:33:05.440 And this would have given, you know, some argument that, well, you don't need boots on the ground because you'll have this economic, you know, interest.

00:33:15.400 But there's no way that Zelensky wants any of this to work.

00:33:19.160 I don't know what he wants, but he doesn't want, you know, to give away land for peace.

00:33:24.420 So, there's nothing that can be done.

00:33:27.880 Putin has decided to call for the removal of Zelensky, which is weird because I think he's always wanted the removal of Zelensky.

00:33:36.640 And he says that he can finish off the Ukrainian troops, according to the Defense Post.

00:33:45.720 And he says, Putin says he wants a transitional administration to be put in place in Ukraine and vowed that his army would finish off Ukrainian troops, blah, blah, blah.

00:33:56.840 Now, that's fair because Zelensky has said that he thinks Putin will die soon and then the war will end.

00:34:06.300 But I saw somebody on social media on X saying that, if I remember the numbers, Putin's father lived to 88 and his grandfather lived to 86 or something.

00:34:20.720 And so, I think Putin's 72.

00:34:26.900 So, is Zelensky really going to wait, you know, 15 years or something?

00:34:32.860 That's his plan, to just keep fighting for 15 years until Putin dies?

00:34:38.420 Or does he have some inside information that Putin's sick and he's going to die soon?

00:34:43.300 I don't know.

00:34:43.980 I wouldn't bet on him dying soon.

00:34:45.460 Well, the United Auto Workers president, who had previously had bad things to say about Trump, you know, all the usual bad things, according to the Wall Street Journal, now he loves, he loves what Trump is doing with the tariffs, the 25% tariffs on automobiles from other countries.

00:35:06.600 Because that would be awesome for U.S. automakers.

00:35:12.360 So, suddenly Trump switched the United Auto Workers.

00:35:19.540 That's pretty good.

00:35:21.260 He flipped them.

00:35:22.220 At least the president, which is probably all you need to do.

00:35:25.740 So, those tariffs, how do you feel about tariffs today compared to how you felt just a few months ago?

00:35:35.500 Does it feel to you like Trump has, first of all, educated us about what you can do with tariffs, but also that it looks like it's working?

00:35:48.080 I think it's way too early to say it is working, but it looks like it is.

00:35:52.740 Because, you know, we've got big companies are already deciding to move their operations to the United States.

00:36:00.300 That's what we wanted.

00:36:01.120 We've seen some countries get flexible faster than you'd expect.

00:36:07.120 That's what we wanted.

00:36:08.660 We've seen other countries, you know, I guess April 2nd will be the real test.

00:36:15.000 That's when a whole bunch of tariffs go into effect.

00:36:18.640 But I feel like Trump's totally out-of-the-box approach to the whole tariff situation, I feel like it's starting to come into focus.

00:36:30.300 And that even if he's not, let's say, technically right about everything that is true about tariffs, I feel like he's going to make it work.

00:36:41.220 Because he's using it like a club and like a tool, and it looks like he's capable of doing exactly that.

00:36:51.240 Just use it as a tool to get what he wants.

00:36:55.540 We'll see.

00:36:57.620 There's a report that Pete Hegseth brought his wife to some sensitive meetings.

00:37:07.700 I don't know how sensitive they were.

00:37:09.620 But who brings their wife to a defense meeting in another country? 1.00

00:37:16.600 Is that real?

00:37:18.140 It doesn't sound real, does it?

00:37:20.380 Like, I wonder if he did bring his wife, but it wasn't for something terribly sensitive.

00:37:26.440 You know, maybe she was just in the area, and it was sort of a just meeting people kind of meeting.

00:37:32.700 But I'd hate to think that it was a highly secure, sensitive, classified information military meeting with other countries, and he just brought his wife.

00:37:44.600 So I'm going to say I have a little skepticism on that story.

00:37:51.120 It doesn't sound perfectly right.

00:37:54.400 Meanwhile, J.D. Vance is off in Greenland.

00:37:57.620 He made his case that the people of, here's what he said.

00:38:02.200 I like, I just like how good he is at summarizing and wording stuff.

00:38:06.400 So J.D. Vance said in Greenland, yes, the people of Greenland are going to have self-determination.

00:38:12.980 So that's good to say that first, because it sounds like Trump wants to conquer them.

00:38:18.580 But we don't want to conquer them.

00:38:20.240 We want them to say they think it's a good idea to join with the U.S.

00:38:26.020 He says, we hope that they choose to partner with the U.S.

00:38:29.500 Now he's calling it partnering.

00:38:31.200 That's good, good framing.

00:38:32.900 Because we're the only nation on Earth that will respect their sovereignty and respect their security.

00:38:39.760 Now that might be true.

00:38:41.500 Well, Canada might, I suppose.

00:38:43.660 But it's a good opening argument.

00:38:48.680 But I don't think you're going to convince the Greenlanders, the Greenlanders, the Greenlandicas, what are they called?

00:38:59.960 I don't think you're going to convince the 56,000 locals unless you say directly you're going to make money.

00:39:08.220 You will be richer if you do this.

00:39:12.000 How much richer?

00:39:13.560 Maybe 20 or 30 percent.

00:39:16.540 And then you could probably get them in.

00:39:18.680 So Denmark does do economic, sort of economic support for Greenland.

00:39:27.620 Not totally, but they put a lot of money into it.

00:39:31.800 All we'd have to do is say that we're going to do more than that or that we're going to do some kind of productive business with them.

00:39:38.300 You know, like do some mining and split the difference with them.

00:39:42.780 I think you could bribe them.

00:39:45.320 And when I say bribe, I don't mean in a bad way.

00:39:47.700 I mean, they get something, we get something.

00:39:51.020 But I don't think anything is going to cause Greenland to want to partner with the U.S.

00:39:57.220 unless we can say directly and with some level of certainty that they're all going to make more money.

00:40:05.960 So without that, I'm not expecting any self-determination to want to partner with us.

00:40:12.580 They're going to want to make money in the real world.

00:40:15.660 Well, I remember that story about Doge found that billion dollar annual expense that was only to make a dumb little survey that looked like a high school student made it. 0.77

00:40:43.140 And it was used as one of the best examples of how easy it is to find fraud and how gigantic the fraud is and how ridiculous the expenses are.

00:40:54.660 Everybody remember that story from yesterday?

00:40:56.860 Well, according to Jessica Tarlov, I saw her on the five.

00:41:02.260 It's not true.

00:41:04.680 It's just not true that there's any billion dollar expense for nothing but a survey.

00:41:09.640 I think the organization exists and the funding is real, but that it's not just for that one thing, that it was for something larger.

00:41:21.100 I think going forward, my take is that I'm not going to believe any of the claims of Doge.

00:41:29.380 Because I feel like the Doge claims, if there's like a really good anecdote that somebody can understand, there is a tendency for them to believe it.

00:41:41.540 And probably a lot of these cases are not as clean as that.

00:41:45.260 Right. So remember the first time you heard that there was a billion dollars a year for nothing but a little survey that looks like you could have done it in 10 minutes?

00:41:55.460 What was your first impression?

00:41:57.760 Oh, my God, I can't believe it.

00:42:00.300 Right.

00:42:01.260 Oh, my God, I can't believe that that's happening.

00:42:04.600 And what is usually true when you have that reaction to a story?

00:42:09.080 What's usually true is that it's not true.

00:42:11.160 Because the real world, as wacky as it is, probably isn't that wacky that somebody was getting a billion dollars a year to do a survey that nobody wanted.

00:42:23.660 Probably not.

00:42:25.240 So I'm going to say that without knowing the details, I think Jessica Tarlov, she might be right on this one.

00:42:33.540 So I'm not going to use any more Doge anecdotes.

00:42:36.800 I do have great confidence that they're doing all the right stuff and that they're finding real fraud and waste and abuse and that everything's moving in the right direction.

00:42:46.800 But I'm just not going to believe any more anecdotes.

00:42:50.200 I'm out.

00:42:52.220 You know, I've been fooled now.

00:42:54.680 Is that the second or third time that I've said something in public about some anecdote and then turned down, well, that's not exactly true.

00:43:04.380 So, no, I'm not going to fall for that again.

00:43:09.040 Well, the Iranians, the military, posted, according to John Hayward of Breitbart, a video showing they have these vast underground missile cities.

00:43:21.760 So gigantic underground facilities, somewhere in a mountain or something, that has just a gazillion high-end missiles.

00:43:30.020 And apparently it's like the third time they've done a video to say, oh, yeah, if you come for us, we've got a lot of missiles that are going to come for you.

00:43:40.200 And so they've done it before.

00:43:42.700 But it would not surprise you that this was done right before Iran also had indicated to America that they're willing to talk, but only indirectly.

00:43:55.020 So Iran is not willing to meet with an American and talk about anything, but they're willing to have, oh, indirect talks.

00:44:03.980 And that's the way they say it.

00:44:05.200 They say, we'd be willing to negotiate indirectly.

00:44:09.420 And I guess they're unwilling to talk directly as long as sanctions are on.

00:44:16.460 So they've got a condition to even talk, which is drop the sanctions.

00:44:20.080 And I can see why they would have that point of view.

00:44:24.580 But I'm not expecting anything good to come out of this.

00:44:29.040 I just don't see any possibility that they're going to negotiate away anything.

00:44:34.820 I think they'd rather take a chance of getting bombed.

00:44:38.060 So if they didn't build all those missile city underground facilities because they want to give it away,

00:44:44.600 I think they're in for the long term.

00:44:48.540 So no, I don't expect anything to happen with Iran at all.

00:44:54.700 All right.

00:44:55.460 I remind you, because this is the end of my prepared notes, that Owen Gregorian is going to have a Spaces afterparty.

00:45:06.260 So Spaces is the audio thing on X.

00:45:08.960 So just look for either my account on X, where I've reposted the link, or go to Owen Gregorian's.

00:45:17.080 Just search for him.

00:45:18.200 You'll find him.

00:45:19.460 You'll see the link to get into the Spaces.

00:45:23.880 And that won't be right away, but just maybe a few minutes after I finish.

00:45:29.120 And I'm getting ready to wrap up.

00:45:32.040 So I'm going to say a few words to the locals' subscribers first.

00:45:37.040 But the rest of you, thanks for joining.

00:45:39.640 Have a wonderful cat or day, as we like to call it, if you have cats, or dog or day if you have dogs, I guess.

00:45:46.700 And I will see the rest of you tomorrow on X and Rumble and YouTube.

00:45:52.440 Local supporters, I'm coming at you privately in 30 seconds.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 29, 2025

Episode 2793 CWSA 03⧸29⧸25

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript