Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2796 CWSA 04⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 it's gonna be amazing

00:00:03.380 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:15.220 coffee with scott adams and there's never been a better time in your whole life

00:00:18.840 but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with

00:00:24.760 their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker chalice 1.00

00:00:29.500 a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:35.900 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the end of the day the thing that

00:00:40.960 makes everything better it's called that's right the simultaneous sip go 0.84

00:00:46.460 oh wow all right well i have a theme today as you know it's april fool's day

00:00:59.120 and it's hard to know what to trust so i'm going to read you the news as i always do

00:01:05.820 but i'll check in to see if you think the story is made up or real so you're all going to be playing

00:01:15.000 like a game show today real or april fools let's call it april fools includes fake news okay just

00:01:23.080 make it fun story number one is this real or fake you can now pre-order your optimist robot

00:01:33.000 it's going to be just under thirty thousand dollars and deliveries will begin in late 2027

00:01:40.480 what do you think is that real yes it's real you can get your optimist robot if you order it now

00:01:50.040 it'll only take you a few years two and a half years now what's interesting about that is it seems

00:01:57.520 to me that it wasn't that long ago that the robot makers were promising it would be the end of this year

00:02:05.280 do you think it's possible that the competitors to optimist will have robots that are fully functional

00:02:14.000 and can live in your house and do what you tell them to in 2025 by the end of this year because i'm

00:02:21.660 pretty sure that's been promised here's what i think i think that putting it out to late 2027

00:02:30.300 is sort of a admission that they haven't figured out the brain part the ai now as advanced as ai is now

00:02:42.040 as impressive as it is and as advanced as it will be in another six months in another year i don't think

00:02:49.440 it's the right kind of ai so i think they're gonna have to invent a whole new flavor of ai just to make

00:02:56.080 robots work and i think that's just purely a guess that 2027 will be soon enough we'll see

00:03:04.420 but i'm not surprised that robots got delayed from 2025 to 2027

00:03:13.140 just think what two years is in ai time

00:03:18.300 two years is not we're going to tweak it you know to make it work on robots ai means we don't have

00:03:26.380 the technology right now to make a robot we have to invent the technology and we're not exactly sure

00:03:32.460 if we can we're pretty we we feel confident enough to take your money but uh yeah i would imagine that

00:03:41.900 there's going to be a lot of pre-orders for robots i do trust that elon musk would not bluff

00:03:49.040 you know i don't think there's any chance he's going to pretend he can make a robot and then he can't

00:03:54.600 make a robot i think he'll make a robot and you'll be happy to have it so to me it seems honest

00:04:00.860 to push it down two years because i i do think that's about what it will take before they have something

00:04:07.500 that's more like you know general intelligence all right real or not real there's now a uh

00:04:15.240 hormone-free male birth control pill uh it's entering human trials it's not available in the

00:04:22.120 market it's 99 effective so the university of minnesota is working on this it's real um and it's

00:04:30.720 been effective in animals and now in human trials now i don't know if the animals were

00:04:37.260 having sex with each other or the humans but probably just with each other that that would 0.94

00:04:43.660 be my take on that yeah i mean the article wasn't specific but i'm going to say probably the animals

00:04:49.420 were just getting busy with each other and uh now it's in human trials with no animals whatsoever

00:04:56.680 big breakthrough coming boys can you imagine what trouble you'd get into if you had no risk of

00:05:05.900 pregnancy and you didn't have to trust my uh you know my phase is over so i've sort of aged down to

00:05:14.160 the whole uh this dating situation but i went through my whole life thinking that every time i was in an

00:05:22.260 intimate situation it might create a baby you know even if birth control was involved imagine if you

00:05:29.060 stopped worrying about that i don't even know what that world would be like it'd be weird

00:05:35.020 um according to an article in nature uh there was a study of over 3 300 people's photos

00:05:43.420 and they wanted to see if there was any link between facial features and political views

00:05:49.820 do you think that a an analysis of faces could tell you somebody's political views

00:05:57.420 well yes uh i saw a post on uh x from john rain he said the authors found that less attractive and

00:06:07.180 less attractive and more contemptuous women are more likely to be left-leaning 1.00

00:06:12.560 is that real or is that april fools that less attractive and more contemptuous 0.98

00:06:22.880 that's just a funny word you know i've never heard anybody being called contemptuous in the real world 0.99

00:06:29.280 you are so contemptuous

00:06:32.000 um and the authors also found that displaying a happy expression is associated with being conservative

00:06:41.640 both among men and women

00:06:46.680 well here's another case where they're going to save some money just ask me next time

00:06:52.200 i've seen the tesla protests i was pretty sure i could have guessed this one without any research 0.92

00:06:58.120 whatsoever all right here's next one april fools are real uh according to the atlantic which is a highly 0.95

00:07:07.880 respectable publication um ice sent an innocent father my god from maryland to oh god to a torture dungeon 0.96

00:07:19.240 in el salvador you know one of those um filled to the brink shirtless tattooed guys el salvador prisons

00:07:28.120 and and the government is doing nothing to fix it my god my god if it's in the atlantic it must be true

00:07:35.720 is it real or april fools well it's fake news he was a he was actually ms 13 they did not send

00:07:46.440 an innocent father from maryland to a to el salvador i wouldn't be surprised if at least one person

00:07:54.280 who's who's not totally gang affiliated got sent away once but i also don't mind that the risk is on other people

00:08:04.440 for change you know it would be a horrible situation to send somebody who is not a criminal to one of those el salvador jails

00:08:13.880 it's a horrible situation no matter who you send it's just horrible everything about it is horrible

00:08:19.320 but i'm still in favor of it because it puts the puts the downside on somebody else it puts the downside

00:08:27.080 on criminals puts a little risk on people who may not be legal citizens and it takes a risk off of me

00:08:37.880 well trump has referred to that story we call the signal gate story about the adding of jeffrey goldberg

00:08:45.400 the journalist accidentally being added to a chat group um and according to the hill trump has uh

00:08:53.800 said that story is quote old and boring he says this story and narrative is so old and boring

00:09:01.640 but only used because we were having the most successful first 100 uh presidential days in the history

00:09:09.080 of america they can't find anything else to talk about and then he just adds for a good for good

00:09:16.120 measure trump adds the fake news media has the lowest approval rating in history and for good reason now

00:09:23.960 that is perfect one of the things that trump understands better than really any politician is the business

00:09:33.400 model of tv and the news and celebrity and what's interesting and what makes a story and what doesn't make a story

00:09:41.320 and i think he's brilliant to talk about this story as boring that's exactly right if you just keep telling

00:09:49.400 people the story is old and boring they will just stop caring about the details i never thought this was

00:09:57.640 important and i also um although i was maybe surprised i do like the fact that nobody lost their job over it

00:10:08.520 should they have lost their job i don't care here's what i care about i don't want to i don't want the media

00:10:16.200 to think they got a scalp and i don't want them to start picking off you know one person after another

00:10:23.080 on the the trump team because it was hard enough to get the team together and now that they're up and 0.98

00:10:28.280 running and things are happening the last thing i want is for one stupid little publication after 1.00

00:10:34.440 another like the atlantic to come up with one more stupid story that's old and boring before it even 1.00

00:10:41.480 started and that it takes out somebody's career i love the fact that trump says nope it's small it's 0.96

00:10:49.240 boring things happen i'm not doing anything i love that i think that was actually the most baller thing

00:10:57.480 he could do even though even though i fully understand the argument on the other side which

00:11:04.440 is in a situation like this you sort of might expect somebody to resign but i'm just glad they didn't

00:11:12.040 because it would be showing a a vulnerable underside and instead of that i think trump

00:11:20.200 has shown that he's going to support his people which is always good and that they're not vulnerable

00:11:26.840 to you know bs stories that are smallish stories that can be blown into something big by the media

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00:12:37.080 according to iowa state nathan cook is writing about this there's a study that says

00:12:43.240 scientists can figure out what your political

00:12:46.680 political position is whether you're a conservative or or a liberal based on what your brain does when

00:12:55.160 you buy groceries and all it is is apparently conservatives use a different part of their brain

00:13:03.720 to buy ordinary groceries so they use you know boring stuff like eggs and milk because they're kind of

00:13:09.080 generic and then they just measured what happens to their brain and they said they can determine with

00:13:16.520 80 accuracy what your politics are your political affiliation based on which part of your brain

00:13:22.760 lights up when you buy milk and eggs it has nothing to do with you know the political question about

00:13:29.160 eggs because i think this story was done before that the study was done um but the co-author

00:13:36.200 naren schreiber said we know from studies of twins that about 50 of your political ideology

00:13:44.280 is biologically heritable and uh they can from that i guess the math works that they can figure out your

00:13:52.440 political party with 69 accuracy i guess if they knew your parents political leaning now that proves there's no

00:14:03.960 free will 0.99

00:14:06.680 is that april fools are real april fools are real 0.99

00:14:12.920 it's proof there's no free will 0.99

00:14:16.360 because they can determine your political leaning

00:14:19.640 by just looking at your brain

00:14:22.680 if the structure of your brain

00:14:25.640 is causing you to be a certain way

00:14:27.400 do you have free will

00:14:31.400 just joking it's a real story

00:14:36.920 all right there's another story science alert that uh there's a woman who had lost her ability 1.00

00:14:42.120 to speak because of a some brain stem stroke when she was 30. but scientists according to science alert

00:14:50.280 mike mccray is writing about this they've uh they inserted some kind of a brain uh i don't know a brain

00:14:58.440 brain implant that would allow her simply to think what she wanted to say

00:15:04.680 and it gets translated into a synthesized version of her voice 0.97

00:15:10.920 is that real or april fools it's real 0.51

00:15:13.880 so apparently they can just put that in you do you know why they didn't test that on a man 0.65

00:15:22.840 do you know why they'll never put one of these in a man

00:15:26.360 because the last thing anybody wants to know is what a man is thinking

00:15:35.160 we all know what women are thinking so there's nothing to be revealed

00:15:39.720 everybody knows exactly what women are thinking all the time because they'll tell you 1.00

00:15:46.120 just ask but if you knew what men were thinking

00:15:52.760 i'm sorry things would be very weird if if you could if men just blurted out everything they were thinking

00:16:03.320 well it's funny that this is real

00:16:04.920 apple is uh making a move to be your digital doctor i guess they're building ai health agents

00:16:14.040 so be just a artificial agent they'll be like a virtual doctor it'll be in their i guess new

00:16:20.520 operating systems upcoming and they'll analyze your health data from your phone and your wearables and

00:16:26.040 your fitness and nutrition and everything and they will make real-time

00:16:29.800 recommendations of what to do different or differently and uh that would be of course the

00:16:39.880 first step in enslaving us now here's what i think uh and you've you've heard versions of this before

00:16:47.160 so it's not like an original only one it's not like i'm the only one that whoever said this

00:16:51.720 is but the way the uh ai will conquer humans is by being so useful that when they tell us to do 0.95

00:17:00.680 something it becomes ridiculous not to let me give you my example i like to use do you know how

00:17:08.120 sometimes you forget that you might need a drink of water like you could get a little a little

00:17:14.040 dehydrated but and that it can make a big difference in how you feel the dehydration but you might not

00:17:21.080 you know you might be busy and you're not thinking about it so you just don't do it

00:17:25.560 well what happened if your ai could sense your dehydration and then it starts saying uh scott you

00:17:33.560 might think of having a sip of water and the first time it does it i say to myself ah you know i don't

00:17:40.200 want to walk across the room and get it i'll do it later but then eventually i think okay yeah it's

00:17:48.280 telling me to get water again so i take a sip of water and then i start noticing that i feel better

00:17:54.840 the next time it recommends something i think to myself well okay i don't want to be bothered doing

00:18:00.440 this but i did feel better when i did the other thing and if it's accurate and if it keeps telling

00:18:07.800 you the right thing how are you going to ignore it i mean it will be so useful and it will make

00:18:15.720 you feel better and you will know it make you feel better that you're going to drop whatever you're

00:18:20.600 doing or thinking to do whatever the ai told you to do right then i would so they're going to be able

00:18:26.920 to train you like pavlov's dog that you'll get a treat for following what the ai tells you the treat

00:18:34.520 would be you feel better so as soon as you start seeing that connection between taking the ai's

00:18:40.600 advice and getting a treat you know even if the treat sometimes takes longer to get

00:18:46.760 you're going to be basically a slave to the ai and i don't see that it could go really any other way

00:18:55.000 because it's simply how we're wired if if something works and has utility and we know it and we can feel

00:19:02.600 it we keep doing it that's just how we're designed amazon's uh agi lab so i guess that's some version

00:19:13.560 of ai is unveiled nova act so that's an ai agent that can control your browser to perform tasks how many

00:19:23.400 of you are ready to let amazon or any other big company control your browser even though technically

00:19:31.960 you would be the one controlling it through the ai app but wouldn't that feel creepy to know that some

00:19:40.760 company can control your browser even though they say that it's not them controlling it they would say

00:19:50.120 no it's you controlling it do you think there's any chance that the cia would not have to get a back

00:19:56.840 door to that if a big company had a ai agent that you could tell hey check my email and you would have

00:20:05.560 all your passwords and everything so what good would it be if it didn't have any passwords right

00:20:11.720 pretty much would need them and you just say oh like the process i do in the morning

00:20:17.960 you know i i would love this um if there were no security issues if i would just say hey it's time to

00:20:25.720 publish the dilbert comic to my subscribers again there are about i don't know 20 different key

00:20:32.680 strokes and steps just to do that i would love to just tell it to do it and then watch it do it for

00:20:38.680 me but that would also mean that if anybody had a back door to that little agent it could control my

00:20:46.200 entire world it could get into everything so this is going to be a scary one i will bet that people will

00:20:54.680 adopt this including me because the utility of it will be just so good you know whether it's amazon's

00:21:02.200 or some other company the the usefulness will just be off the charts so yeah i'm going to basically

00:21:10.280 give up that privacy so i can get that function i'm going to fight it in my mind but in the real world

00:21:16.680 probably not all right bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

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00:21:32.920 think april fools are real china has now launched autonomous flying taxis so if you want to do some

00:21:43.560 sightseeing or i guess later they're going to do delivery and urban transit but right now it's sort

00:21:50.280 of a sort of a sightseeing thing you can go and there'll be nobody but you and you will sit in this

00:21:59.160 helicopter-y looking thing more like a drone than a helicopter and it will take off and without

00:22:05.880 without without any extra what you think that's april fools no it's a flying taxi in china it's already

00:22:15.480 approved it's an action the answer is it's real china has autonomous flying sightseeing taxis

00:22:27.400 that's a real thing now i do wonder if their ai is as good as let's say tesla because you know i would

00:22:37.560 trust tesla to drive my autonomous flying car or my regular car because they've got good ai for that

00:22:47.080 but if these things are run by deep seek or something like that

00:22:50.200 is that good enough to keep you alive i don't know i don't know um i guess elon musk revealed

00:23:01.000 maybe yesterday the other day that doge is going to start looking at members of congress who got

00:23:06.760 quote strangely wealthy new york post is reporting on this now we've all asked these questions how in

00:23:14.280 the world do these members of congress get so much money and it looks like it must be something illegal

00:23:23.640 um i'm a little hesitant on this one believe it or not um i'm not so sure that the people that they're

00:23:33.400 going to look at did anything wrong to get their money um let me give you an example

00:23:39.720 uh one of the one of the ones of course everybody wonders about is pelosi so her wealth you know

00:23:47.800 went amazingly higher during her time in office but first of all she was in office forever

00:23:54.040 secondly her husband is literally a venture capitalist so it's not that surprising when a venture

00:24:01.560 capitalist makes a lot of money and then a lot of paul's investments were in companies like apple

00:24:09.320 microsoft amazon amazon google and netflix now do you think he had inside information

00:24:16.120 or was he just good at investing because anybody who bought those companies when they were all

00:24:22.200 publicly available anybody could have bought them everybody knew that they had good prospects

00:24:28.200 and you would have at least i don't know 40 years of being involved in companies like that

00:24:36.040 i feel like you'd be quadrupling or something your money so no this is a real story no no april fools on

00:24:44.840 this um but i don't know why doge would be the one looking into it it seems to me that would be more of a

00:24:52.280 criminal sort of thing but maybe i'll be open-minded on this because i don't think elan would make that

00:25:01.080 mistake of you know getting too far into law enforcement without being a law enforcement entity

00:25:07.800 so i would be surprised i think it was who was it that was at the head of usa id i might have this

00:25:16.360 wrong by the way correction i think i said something about the the head of signal being arrested in

00:25:23.080 france and france and then somebody said that was the head of telegram so that's a correction um

00:25:30.120 but who was it the usa id who's uh whose net wealth when you know went up 16 million dollars or

00:25:37.880 something and i looked at the uh the time period and anyone who had basically moved money into stocks

00:25:46.200 at about that time probably doubled their money so some of this is just going to be if you have enough

00:25:52.600 people making enough investments in enough ways some number of them are going to double triple quadruple

00:25:59.560 their money just like the rest of the world there are lucky people who hit the the investment lottery

00:26:07.080 so i think maybe it's going to look worse than it really is it looks bad i have to admit it looks bad

00:26:17.080 but uh i'll bet there's gonna be a lot less crime found than they think and i don't know why doge is doing

00:26:23.000 it well ice deportations have reached uh over a hundred thousand and remember these are the people who

00:26:33.960 actually are criminals 100 000 known criminals have already been deported now if you were to make an 0.92

00:26:45.160 estimate this one's real too by the way not april fools if you were to make an estimate of how many 0.82

00:26:51.240 extra crimes those lifetime criminals would do if they were to stay here and let's say they just kept

00:26:58.840 operating for years how many extra crimes do you think each of those would have done like pretty

00:27:05.560 serious crimes you know things that matter to people i'm going to say ten now you could do your

00:27:12.760 own math at home but if a hundred thousand known criminals were to stay in this country for i don't know

00:27:22.120 ten more years don't you think they'd have at least at least ten more crimes apiece

00:27:30.360 does that make sense which means that trump already has saved a million crimes one million

00:27:40.520 crimes now that's if each of them would do ten apiece if you want to say but scott they would only do

00:27:47.240 five a piece well that's half a million half a million crimes and we're not talking about the little

00:27:53.720 kind these are some really really really dangerous gang members and stuff who probably do a crime a day

00:28:01.480 yeah i'm right it might be closer to a thousand if you added up with everything but that would be

00:28:07.240 that would be you know owning a gun illegally and you know you if you threw in every single charge

00:28:14.120 it'd be a thousand but if you went to you know how many victims are there that might be a smaller

00:28:19.720 number but yeah i think i think trump should be reporting if they could come up with a statistic

00:28:27.320 of what are the likely extra crimes that a career criminal will do in 10 or 20 years i think trump

00:28:35.720 should be reporting how many crimes he's avoided it could be a million it could be five million

00:28:42.840 these are really impressive numbers way more impressive than the number of people although

00:28:48.520 that's super impressive but if a president comes in in the first 100 days gets rid of a million crimes

00:28:57.320 a million i think that's perfectly reasonable estimate we've never seen anything like that

00:29:04.440 that that that would be one of the greatest accomplishments of any president ever and i think he's already hit it

00:29:15.000 so there's that well in other news there's an iceberg the size of chicago they say

00:29:21.160 that broke off of the antarctic ice shelf an iceberg the size of chicago

00:29:26.600 uh well you know since ice is the group that's deporting all the criminals

00:29:34.680 and this uh iceberg is the size of a country and i'm going to call it chicagoberg because it's an

00:29:42.360 iceberg the size of chicago i think that if the el salvadorian prisons get full

00:29:47.640 that we should bring the rest of the criminals to chicagoberg and just just put them on the iceberg

00:29:56.440 because it's not like they're going to escape you know we keep them warm

00:29:59.800 you know make sure that they don't freeze to death but uh yeah just put them on chicagoberg

00:30:10.440 some of that is true but not the part about putting criminals there all right uh speaking of doge

00:30:18.360 and arresting people musk also said that uh i guess this would be today he thinks somebody who's

00:30:24.520 going to be arrested today ish who actually stole 400 000 social security numbers and personal

00:30:31.480 information from the social security database and was selling social security numbers

00:30:38.280 so that basically people could steal money from social security now that's real that's like a real

00:30:45.160 story there was somebody who stole 400 000 social security numbers but my question is

00:30:51.800 is how does doge know who it was like how did doge catch the person is it that easy and if doge could

00:31:01.400 catch that person why was this person not caught before i don't know so i got questions but uh this

00:31:10.520 is tantalizingly interesting that that this level of crime first of all happened and second of all that

00:31:17.160 doge doge doge could find out who it was fairly expeditiously if this is real and this person gets

00:31:26.760 arrested and and convicted that's an impressive accomplishment i gotta say claudia was leaving 0.82

00:31:33.800 for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing

00:31:39.400 that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia is with intact 1.00

00:31:45.560 the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was

00:31:49.880 taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my 0.93

00:31:54.680 tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace

00:32:01.640 certain conditions apply all right this next one real or april fools according to a study from the

00:32:08.600 university of colorado and cbs is posting on this on x one out of every 15 american adults have been at a 0.97

00:32:17.400 massive shooting one out of 15 have been in a mass shooting real or april fools

00:32:27.320 i'm going to add one extra data point to that not only has one out of every 15 american adults

00:32:33.320 been to a mass shooting but weirdly i've been to every one of them

00:32:41.240 april fools april fools so it is true that cbs news posted it and it is true that it's a study and

00:32:49.400 it's a claim there's not really any chance it's true 0.66

00:32:52.840 i like when the fake news is so obviously fake that you don't even need to be that good at math

00:33:02.840 you just look at it go one out of 15 no how many of you know 15 people most of you right how many

00:33:13.560 people do you know in your personal group of the first 15 people you think of who have attended a

00:33:19.080 mass shooting i'm gonna say no my first 15 how about the second 15 you can think of like your

00:33:27.720 extended extended circle any of them been to a mass shooting i'm gonna say no i i think i would have

00:33:35.640 to get my numbers up to like a thousand you know that the closest thousand people i know

00:33:42.520 before i had any chance that one of them had ever been to a mass shooting 0.65

00:33:46.680 so let's call that one april fools or fake news as you prefer 0.87

00:33:54.360 uh well that uh tesla fire bomber guys and a lot of trouble christina layla at the gateway pundits

00:34:01.720 writing that uh pam bondi announced uh federal charges against that tesla fire bomber i think we've

00:34:09.160 talked about this before but uh i love the fact that the department of justice is is going hard at

00:34:18.280 this because this is really bad stuff and um but i would add this i i keep seeing people saying that they

00:34:29.960 know the motivation of the protesters and or even the motivation of the the ones doing the the

00:34:37.160 violence or the asset destruction which is very similar and you know sometimes people will say they're

00:34:43.560 paid uh other will say they're brainwashed other will say um they're bored and retired and i've watched

00:34:53.160 enough of these you know interviews with them that i've developed my own hypothesis about their

00:34:59.560 motivation and the answer is it's all different i i think it's just the oddest group of people

00:35:07.480 and they just all have different reasons maybe some of them got paid maybe some of them are retired and 0.98

00:35:13.480 went with a friend maybe some of them are just idiots and they believe the news um some of them are just 1.00

00:35:20.920 mad because elon's rich and successful and they're not some of them are bad because they heard 1.00

00:35:28.440 that doge was going to cut their benefits which they're not but they believe that i feel like it's

00:35:35.960 just a whole bunch of weirdos all with their own reasons but the one thing you can say for sure

00:35:42.280 is none of them are up to date on the news i don't think there's a single person that i saw

00:35:49.400 interviewed at one of the tesla protests and i've seen quite a few people try to interview them not a

00:35:55.160 single one could explain to you anything in the news just anything but accurately i mean they'll tell

00:36:03.560 you oh he's going to cut your medicare and your social security no he's doing the opposite

00:36:09.240 doge is the only thing that could guarantee you might get your social security it's not the thing

00:36:16.600 taking it away it's literally the opposite of that so

00:36:24.920 yeah so uh yeah i don't think there there's anything they have in common except they're not too well

00:36:32.920 informed meanwhile trump's uh tax plan according to treasury secretary secretary scott besant he

00:36:43.720 was telling fox news this um it would make the 2017 tax cuts permanent um it would make uh eliminate it

00:36:55.560 would eliminate taxes on tips now eliminating taxes on tips is kind of interesting because um i like it

00:37:05.880 you know i used to work for tips and i used to own a restaurant and i you know i'd want all the people

00:37:11.160 who work at restaurants to do well so i'm emotionally i'm totally in favor of that but i wonder how much

00:37:18.040 federal taxes were people paying who were receiving tips

00:37:24.680 weren't we also talking about below a certain number people don't pay any taxes at all at least

00:37:31.320 federal taxes so it probably isn't that expensive which makes it extra brilliant to say that you're not

00:37:39.480 going to tax them but i love that um and there would be no tax on overtime pay again

00:37:48.040 i absolutely love that because it it makes such a clear um american statement that if you put in

00:37:57.960 extra you're going to get extra and not just overtime a little extra on the extra so incentivizing hard

00:38:06.600 work well i i couldn't be happier now we also have this uh we're going to have a human power shortage

00:38:13.400 we're going to have a lot of older people that we want to not retire because they have the skills

00:38:18.920 we won't have you know as much institutional knowledge as we used to because we'll just have

00:38:24.360 fewer people everywhere working and our you know population doesn't seem to be growing that fast

00:38:31.160 so incentivizing the people who do know what they're doing to work a little extra and get

00:38:36.280 a nice you know nice really healthy benefit from the extra work i love everything about that

00:38:43.720 and then this one's just personal uh but i like it for other people too no tax on social security

00:38:51.800 do you know the shock i got when i realized that my social security was going to be taxed at my current

00:39:00.040 tax rate which is pretty obscene my social security i work all that i work all those years and you know

00:39:12.200 to be fair i don't need it but i decided to apply for it because i wanted to make sure that at least i

00:39:19.320 got a you know a dollar back from all the social security i'd ever paid i just it was sort of a

00:39:25.080 psychological thing i just wanted to see something just something come back and since i'm still working 0.79

00:39:36.760 which makes me feel like a sucker because because at my current income they just rape me on the on the

00:39:44.200 taxes of my own social security payments it is so maddening and again it's you know it doesn't change 1.00

00:39:52.440 my life but psychologically it's just like a kick in the nuts and something shoved up your ass at the 0.98

00:39:58.760 same time it is just so offensive that the government promised me the social security again i don't need 0.98

00:40:06.520 it this is just psychological and uh and then when it's time to get it and i wasn't really paying

00:40:12.920 attention you know because it wasn't high on my list but when i finally go through the work of applying

00:40:19.160 for it i find out it's going to be taxed oh my god so yes get rid of taxes on social security

00:40:28.600 absolutely get rid of those taxes so i'm all for that

00:40:35.320 how about the least surprising news of the day that ukraine allegedly attacked some power facilities

00:40:43.320 which was part of the deal that they weren't supposed to do but then uh was there a deal

00:40:50.200 because it seems to me that both the ukrainians and the russians

00:40:55.640 at some point maybe somebody thought there was a deal but then the russians wanted to add some stuff

00:41:01.320 and ukrainians wanted to add some stuff so they never really had a deal but the the one thing you

00:41:07.640 could be sure of even if they had a deal to not attack power stations they were just going to pack

00:41:13.880 attack power stations and and they would just blame the other one of doing it first

00:41:19.400 i don't think there's the slightest chance that either ukraine or russia want to stop fighting

00:41:25.480 for whatever reasons and so it does look like the european union is going to consolidate control over

00:41:33.160 europe essentially i'd call it a um what do you call it sort of a coup because then whoever's added the

00:41:43.000 european union is just getting more and more powerful you know in influence at least and so europe is just

00:41:50.440 turning into one big bag of nonsense over there and uh yeah apparently they're going to get into a major

00:41:59.320 fight directly with russia so i hope uh united states is not part of that 0.94

00:42:08.920 well you know i always make fun of all the ngos the fake ngos are stealing all our money for years 0.81

00:42:15.320 and they'll have these generic names uh there's one called the u.s institute of peace

00:42:20.520 and doge caught them deleting a a terabyte of financial data linking them to funding the taliban

00:42:30.040 and iraqi leadership that's the u.s institute of peace your tax money would go you know there as well

00:42:41.960 as lots of other places but your tax money was going to the u.s institute of peace who is then giving

00:42:48.920 it to the taliban to continue making uh growing poppies and paying for iraqi leadership

00:42:59.800 mike benz reminds us that the u.s institute of peace was simultaneously funding the taliban

00:43:06.200 while lobbying the taliban to keep illegal drugs flowing from the world's biggest narcotic zone 0.90

00:43:12.600 that's a real story believe it or not um but i do think i haven't heard anybody say this recently but

00:43:23.480 i remember hearing that the drugs coming out of afghanistan were primarily going to iran and that's

00:43:30.920 why the u.s was in favor of it because we were basically trying to destroy iran from the inside by

00:43:37.480 turning them into drug addicts that could be true i don't know um when i found out my friend got a

00:43:49.000 great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners

00:43:55.960 like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold 1.00

00:44:01.800 earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots

00:44:07.640 that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning

00:44:15.240 winners find fabulous for less it turns out that uh princeton's in trouble that trump has paused 210

00:44:23.640 million of federal funding uh because they're uh allegedly they got an f by the anti-defamation league

00:44:32.920 for handling anti-semitism

00:44:37.720 now if you don't know anything about the anti-defamation league the anti-defamation league

00:44:44.840 the head of the organization publicly called me a holocaust denier

00:44:50.200 now i'm not a holocaust denier but that should give you some impression of what their credibility is 0.95

00:45:03.400 it's absolute trash it's a complete the uh disrespectful organization that you know sometimes 0.95

00:45:12.120 it's just a democrat hit piece i think they hate elon musk and uh so they don't have any credibility 0.98

00:45:18.760 whatsoever but uh i guess i guess it's being used as an excuse by trump to pause this funding to princeton

00:45:26.680 and i don't know how princeton handles that because princeton can't really go against the adl

00:45:35.720 because people don't know that they're completely you know non-credible so just having them come after

00:45:43.400 he was pretty bad so good luck to that um at the same time the trump administration is looking to pull

00:45:52.360 eight billion dollars in federal funding from harvard um also because they're looking at them for their

00:46:00.200 you know they're to see if they're doing enough to battle anti-semitism now that would be eight billion

00:46:07.000 over some number of years but really the u.s government was giving harvard eight billion dollars

00:46:16.760 even over multiple years for i guess mostly research now you might say to yourself but that research is

00:46:23.320 valuable to which i would say well why don't you show me a you know some kind of a list of all the

00:46:31.160 great things that have come out of harvard and then i'll compare that to the billions that we've spent

00:46:36.520 over that period and i'll make up my own mind whether that was worth it because i've got a feeling that

00:46:44.680 that's a high number now i've also heard before that the the percentage of the money that's given from

00:46:53.560 the government for this sort of thing mostly goes to the university as opposed to the actual research

00:47:00.680 have you heard that i i guess i'll take a fact check on this but i have heard that the majority

00:47:07.720 of every dollar just goes to harvard for whatever it wants to use it for and you know a small part of

00:47:14.520 that goes to the actual science is that true because to me that's that's as bad as the anti-semitism

00:47:23.080 they got two problems not one but i i like the uh i like the administration putting pressure on these

00:47:31.800 colleges to make sure that they're not anti-semitic because they definitely seemed a bit anti-semitic to

00:47:38.520 me well taiwan taiwan is surrounded by 19 chinese warships uh and some big aircraft carrier um they

00:47:49.160 of course are continuing to show that they can take taiwan if they want to

00:47:55.240 um the last thing they want to is have an actual war but uh they sure like showing their muscle

00:48:03.800 so we'll keep an eye on that that's a real story um

00:48:14.840 so apparently china has blocked the sale

00:48:18.200 uh the panamanian ports that were managed by some chinese hong kong companies which are chinese

00:48:26.360 companies um and the post millennial is writing about this and that does suggest that china did

00:48:32.920 have functional control of the ports because if chinese companies were running the ports

00:48:40.120 and then those chinese companies were not allowed to operate on their own and sell their assets to i

00:48:46.440 think it was blackrock that uh that does suggest that the chinese government was in control of those ports

00:48:55.480 because it seems to have functional control over the chinese or hong kong companies that are running

00:49:01.640 those ports so that's exactly what it looks like i do expect that the net effect of this will be that

00:49:11.160 probably some military warships will pull up outside of panama and i think i think trump is going to

00:49:17.800 do the taiwan method where you don't want to have an actual war in panama but if you did you would

00:49:27.880 pretty well know what direction it went right it's not like panama is going to win that war so it's the

00:49:34.520 same as china surrounding taiwan i think all we'd have to do is put an armada just off the coast of

00:49:42.840 panama and say hey maybe uh maybe we should have control of those ports i think we'd get it pretty

00:49:52.200 quickly panama is not crazy and once they realize that it's not a bluff that we're going to have

00:49:59.320 control of panama one way or the other and by the way i completely agree with trump on this you can't

00:50:05.160 let china have functional control of the panama canal so yeah if if it takes some military movement

00:50:14.840 unfortunately we kind of have to do it so i agree with him on that um trump has uh

00:50:27.320 trump has said he's confirmed that the us is in contact with north korean leader kim jong-un

00:50:33.320 he said quote we have a great relationship he's a smart guy i've got to know him very well

00:50:38.120 and then he talks he was talking to the press and he says you people hate to hear that but it's very

00:50:43.800 important you know i love the fact that when trump is president the odds of north korea doing something

00:50:53.640 like lobbing a nuke in our direction it kind of drops to zero because as long as the president of

00:51:00.440 the united states wants to be your buddy why would you attack it just wouldn't make any sense you know

00:51:08.840 there's no risk not on his part and it's all upside i'm going to make a prediction i think kim jong-un

00:51:18.520 is going to get an invitation to visit america i don't know that it'll come because he might not trust

00:51:26.920 it or china might say don't do that but i think he's going to get an invitation can you imagine

00:51:34.120 what that would look like that like the show that that would be now if our kim jong-un the only way

00:51:42.040 i would do it is if i came over on a chinese diplomat airplane so that i'd feel safe because

00:51:51.080 the us is not going to blow up a chinese diplomat airplane so that you wouldn't have to worry about

00:51:56.760 there was some you know clever trick to kill him or anything like that and imagine just taking him

00:52:02.440 to a basketball game like to the finals can you imagine trump and kim jong-un just showing up

00:52:12.520 like the finals of basketball you know the nba it would be wild it would just be so so out of the box

00:52:21.240 incredible ridiculously wild that you wouldn't be able to think about anything else for a week

00:52:27.720 so i think it might happen well i got my answer to what is the plan for attacking the hooties

00:52:35.960 because you know we've been bombing the hooties and the uh the question was

00:52:43.880 what's the end game like what do we think is how long are we going to be bombing them and is there

00:52:49.640 anything we could do to ever make it a stop and i guess trump said uh we'll keep uh attacking the

00:52:56.360 hooties quote until they are no longer a threat to freedom of navigation now you might think that's

00:53:03.640 not an answer because you don't know how long that will take but i do that will take forever i think

00:53:10.760 he's basically saying we're just going to build a permanent presence there and as much bombing as

00:53:16.440 it takes to make it safe we'll just do it every day and uh we'll just bomb and bomb and bomb and

00:53:23.800 it will just be a routine i i think he's going to turn it from a war into more of a maintenance project

00:53:30.360 all right we've got to do a little maintenance in uh in yemen uh looks like they put up another

00:53:37.480 another radar detection thing and looks like they got another missile so let's do a little maintenance

00:53:43.480 take that out so i think it's turned war into maintenance because you know so far there's not

00:53:50.440 a gigantic risk to our own forces uh so far i mean i imagine they do have some anti-aircraft stuff

00:53:57.560 but so far it looks like they're just going to test their weapons and

00:54:01.640 build a permanent facility because they built it looks like the us has built some kind of a bomber airfield

00:54:09.480 um i just saw a naval blockade in the comments and i thought i thought you said naval blockade and i

00:54:20.040 thought why would you why would you want to blockade naval

00:54:26.280 anyway let's call it naval so looks like that's the plan i don't have a better plan so i won't even

00:54:34.360 criticize it i mean it's terrible but i don't have a better plan all right ladies and gentlemen that is

00:54:41.880 my stories for today you did very well in identifying the fake news compared to the real news as far as we

00:54:50.680 know um all right so that's all i got i'm going to talk to the uh locals privately my my subscribers and

00:55:03.880 locals the rest of you thanks for joining we'll see you same time tomorrow for more fun on coffee with scott

00:55:12.120 adams

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 01, 2025

Episode 2796 CWSA 04⧸01⧸25

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