Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2811 CWSA 04⧸16⧸25

00:00:00.000 Welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. You've never

00:00:04.520 had a better time, but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:10.380 understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass

00:00:16.280 of can, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your

00:00:21.780 favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

00:00:26.800 today. The thing that makes everything better, it's called a simultaneous sip. It happens

00:00:31.420 now. Go. The technology is not working today. That's the way I like it. Well, I wonder if

00:00:44.040 there's any science that looks sketchy. It turns out there is. So according to the Guardian,

00:00:51.140 there's British hospitals have decided that if you give the patients way more medication than

00:00:59.200 they used to, they can cut deaths by 62%. They say it's a game changer. And it might be. What is the

00:01:07.480 first question you would ask if you saw a study that says, oh, it turns out if you just gave people

00:01:14.820 way more of the stuff you're already giving them, that would be even better? Well, I would suspect

00:01:21.160 the companies that are making those drugs you're already giving them. But somebody did some research

00:01:28.940 when I posted on this and said, no, it's just a data entity. So an entity that's just trying to figure

00:01:37.180 out what works and what doesn't. But the data entity is part of a bigger pharma. Do you think

00:01:44.160 that anyone in that larger pharma of which the data entity is a part, do you think any of them

00:01:52.780 provide any drugs that you give to people for heart failure? I don't know. But my pattern recognition

00:02:02.460 says, did you see the study about, was it OxyContin? And when people were getting bad results with

00:02:11.440 OxyContin, they decided that the solution was to give them way more. Whenever you see science that says,

00:02:19.180 you know what? You should take way more of this medication. I just automatically say, I don't know.

00:02:28.000 I'm going to need to know a lot more about who did that study. So that's the first thing you should ask.

00:02:35.440 All right, here's another one. I wonder if they could have done this in a faster, more efficient way.

00:02:42.340 But according to Eric Dolan on SciPost, political overconfidence worsens polarization in online debates.

00:02:50.760 So apparently, if you believe you know a lot about politics, but you might be sort of exaggerating

00:03:00.440 your own ability, you get extra mad when you talk to people who have different opinions.

00:03:08.000 Do you know what they could have done instead of this study? They could have just asked me.

00:03:14.320 Just ask Scott. Yes. If you talk to somebody who is really sure that their view of the world

00:03:20.640 and politics is correct and yours is not, they will get quite worked up if you give them an encounter

00:03:27.740 to what they think they believe. Yep. It's the Dunning-Kruger for politics.

00:03:35.180 The overconfidence effect, they call it. Yeah. You don't want to talk to somebody who's

00:03:39.480 overconfident about politics. Well, here's a high blood pressure mystery. I've always believed

00:03:47.100 that high blood pressure was not fully understood. And I don't know if this explains it, but since

00:03:55.120 it agrees with me, I'm going to tell you about it. So according to the University of Waterloo,

00:04:02.440 generally speaking, if you had high blood pressure, they tell you to eat less salt.

00:04:07.640 Does anybody have that experience? Eat less salt? And apparently that works or they wouldn't

00:04:15.540 recommend it. But apparently the University of Waterloo figured out that maybe what's more

00:04:22.700 important than less salt is the ratio of salt to dietary potassium. So if you eat bananas and broccoli,

00:04:34.160 which have potassium in them, you might be better off than lowering your salt. Because what you need

00:04:40.540 is a good balance of potassium to sodium. So I don't know if that's true. You know, half of all scientific

00:04:48.540 studies are not reproducible. But I like this one because I like bananas and I like broccoli.

00:04:55.020 Honestly, this is a perfect example of how people accept or don't accept science. If this is said,

00:05:04.620 yeah, you've got to eat, I don't know, some kind of food I don't like. I couldn't even think of

00:05:09.940 anything because I like pretty much all food. But I really like bananas and broccoli. I eat a banana

00:05:18.500 and broccoli almost every day. So yeah, I believe the science because I like bananas and broccoli.

00:05:26.820 Well, this one surprises me. The UK Supreme Court just ruled that transgender women are not legally

00:05:35.240 defined as women, according to the Telegraph. I don't know what they are defined as, but they're not

00:05:41.920 going to be defined as women in the UK. Now, doesn't that surprise you? Because I thought the UK was so 0.94

00:05:48.640 cooked that, you know, they would just go for every woke thing in the world. But apparently not. So they

00:05:57.420 said transgender women are not legally defined as women. Don't you wonder if there's any kind of

00:06:03.200 Trump effect? You know, do you think that the things that are happening in the United States just sort

00:06:09.840 of bleed over into the consciousness of other countries? I just wonder if they would have had the same

00:06:16.020 ruling if things were different in the United States. All right, here's my favorite story. I just love this

00:06:23.360 story. Now, I don't want to do, you know, full schadenfreude, where you feel good about bad things that

00:06:32.280 happen to other people. But if those other people are bad people, I feel like a little bit of

00:06:39.440 schadenfreude wouldn't be terrible, would it? So here I'm going to feel good about something that's

00:06:48.080 bad for somebody who is a bad person. You remember Letitia James, who went after Trump in New York,

00:06:58.120 because Trump allegedly inflated the value of some of his properties to get good loans. Now, the bank

00:07:07.220 that gave him the loan said nothing like that happened. They said they'd do their own research

00:07:14.100 to figure out how much the properties are worth. They don't take the word of the applicant. So there

00:07:20.560 was nothing really like that that happened. But she still managed to get her away. And Trump was

00:07:27.820 fined a tremendous amount of money. Now, it turns out that Bill Pulte, who his new job is a U.S. Federal

00:07:40.480 Housing Finance Agency director. And that gave him apparently access to some records. And he's

00:07:49.380 referred New York Attorney General Letitia James to the Department of Justice for alleged mortgage fraud.

00:07:57.820 So here are the three things she's accused of. One, calling her home in Virginia, her primary

00:08:05.340 residence, because that gets you better treatment. But of course, it couldn't be, because she's

00:08:12.500 literally the Attorney General of New York. So she has a New York home. But the New York home,

00:08:19.020 I don't know if this is the one she lives in, but she has a New York property that she says has four

00:08:26.120 units. It really has five. But apparently, you get better treatment, I think, for taxes if you say

00:08:34.400 it's four. So she lied and said it was five. That's fraud number two. And then I listened to Jonathan

00:08:44.480 Turley this morning talking about it. And for one of these applications, she listed her father as her

00:08:52.260 husband, which somehow should have gotten her better terms. I don't know how. Just saying she's married,

00:08:58.080 maybe. So, and also according to Jonathan Turley, it is completely normal that these exact crimes, if they

00:09:08.100 turn out to be real, that these exact crimes people are prosecuted for all the time. So it might be the ideal

00:09:17.880 situation that the person who went after Trump with a bunch of lawfare was doing the same thing, you know, in a

00:09:28.100 different way, but mortgage fraud, basically. So, and I would argue that hers is different than what Trump did,

00:09:39.060 because it doesn't look like anybody was going to do their own work and check on her stuff. So with

00:09:46.120 Trump's stuff, if he says my building's worth this or that, he would know that in that situation, the bank

00:09:53.360 would check for themselves to see what a piece of property is worth. But I don't think anybody was

00:09:59.380 checking that Virginia was her primary residence or wasn't. I don't think anybody's job it was to check

00:10:06.200 that she had four units instead of five in a New York property. And probably nobody's job was to

00:10:12.660 check to see if her husband was her father. So Trump was in a situation where he couldn't have

00:10:21.000 possibly defrauded anybody, because the normal process that everybody knows, everybody knows,

00:10:27.220 is that the bank checks for themselves on the value of a property. But they don't check on this stuff.

00:10:33.100 It sounds like they take your word for it if he says four, four pieces of, four living units instead of

00:10:39.580 five. Although I'm surprised they don't check on it, but it looks like they don't.

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00:11:46.880 Well, Melinda French Gates was on CNN. We're talking about Bill Gates X. And you know,

00:11:53.820 there's nothing more dangerous than a divorced billionaire because they have unlimited money

00:12:01.100 and they feel like they have to do things with it. And my God, does it not work out. But one of the

00:12:07.340 things that Melinda French Gates said on CNN was, quote, and this is part of the reason for her

00:12:12.760 activism, that she wants to be involved and kind of an activist, because, quote, my two granddaughters

00:12:20.640 don't have as many rights now as I did growing up.

00:12:24.820 Now, she didn't give any examples, but I don't want her granddaughters to have fewer rights than 1.00

00:12:33.200 she did. Maybe she could give us an example. Is it all about abortion? Because if you happen to be

00:12:43.020 the granddaughter of Melinda French Gates, I'm pretty sure you could take an airplane anywhere you wanted

00:12:48.800 to get the treatment you wanted from anybody. I don't think it's a problem if you're this rich.

00:12:55.360 So, do they really have fewer rights? And then I saw somebody replying on X saying, well,

00:13:04.720 her granddaughters can't have automatic weapons like she could when she was a kid. 1.00

00:13:10.100 And I thought, huh, that's actually a pretty good example. We don't have the right to automatic weapons,

00:13:17.540 at least as easily. So, that's probably not what she was thinking about. But I keep seeing these

00:13:25.100 weird Democrat accusations without details. It's like, ah, he's a fascist. Anyway, did any of you 0.94

00:13:36.940 see the recording of Joe Biden, his first speech since he left office? Oh, my God, I forgot how much

00:13:44.720 I hated him. I hate him. I just have full hatred for him. Now, of course, he's, you know, he's dumb 0.99

00:13:53.160 old Biden. So, he goes up when the loud music is playing. And he starts his speech while the loud 0.99

00:14:01.320 music is still playing. And somehow, he was the only person in the entire place who couldn't tell

00:14:07.300 that nobody could hear him because he was talking at the same time as the really loud music that

00:14:12.600 introduced him. He was so out of it that he just starts talking over the loud music as if anybody

00:14:20.040 could hear that. It was like, oh, God. And then he did his angry dementia lying. See, let's see. Here's

00:14:29.800 some of his best ones. He said that Trump is going to cut your Social Security. There's no evidence of

00:14:36.720 that whatsoever. And Trump says exactly the opposite. And so did Doge. But he just gets

00:14:43.020 up there and he just says it, you know, like it's a fact or something. And you forget what

00:14:48.660 a liar Biden is, like just a shameless liar, because that's not true. But if the ex-president 0.99

00:14:57.820 says it's true, people are going to think it's true. Just shameless. And then he basically said 0.92

00:15:06.180 that Doge is moving fast and breaking things. And oh, sure enough, they're breaking things.

00:15:13.280 And it says they want to break everything so they can steal from their friends and get them lower

00:15:18.800 taxes. Like that doesn't even make sense.

00:15:21.840 What exactly are they going to break to give their friends lower tax rates? How does that

00:15:30.020 even work? Is there something in the government I could break? Like if I figured out what it

00:15:35.520 was, they would give me lower taxes? It's just ridiculous. It's just ridiculous lying. And 0.90

00:15:42.360 it's old man yelling at the son. Oh, my God. I'm so glad he's not president.

00:15:51.820 anymore. Well, as you know, President Trump and his administration have a little battle with

00:15:58.700 Harvard. So before giving Harvard the funding that the government normally gives it for research,

00:16:07.420 and some say that research is super valuable and provides way more value to the economy

00:16:13.600 than the annual funding. I don't know about that, but that's a claim.

00:16:19.160 But what Trump wants is he wants them to get rid of their DEI and work harder against anti-Semitism

00:16:29.720 and have hiring and standards that are based on merit as opposed to DEI. But Harvard has decided

00:16:42.100 that it will fight this. And it got two really good lawyers. And so they're going to fight it. And their

00:16:50.240 argument is, we're a private business. And you can't tell us what to do or say. It's up to us who we hire

00:17:01.460 and why. And it's up to us what we say or allow people to say and why, because we're private. To which I say, you know what, I agree with that. I agree with that. So I think the funding should be entirely based on whether it's good for the public. So if they want to be terrible,

00:17:24.520 I feel like they have a right to do that. I feel like they have a right to do that. I do feel that this is a bit of an overreach for the government to tell this private entity how they should be operating.

00:17:38.260 Now, I do think the private entity is operating in a terrible, destructive, just horrible way. But they do have the right to be horrible. It's not illegal. Now, the DEI part is illegal. But they argue that they should be able to have their own standards and blah, blah, blah. But here's the funny part. So Trump did this extended post on truth.

00:18:05.140 And he's just so wonderfully insulting that I just want to read the whole thing, if you don't mind. So this is Trump on Harvard. Harvard lost its way, defund it. Trump says, everyone knows that Harvard has lost its way. They hired from New York, Bill de Blasio and Chicago, Lori Lightfoot at ridiculously high salaries and fees. Two of the worst and most incompetent mayors in the history of our country.

00:18:35.140 To teach municipal management and government. Now, I never heard that before. Had you heard that Harvard had hired the two worst mayors in the history of the country to teach the rest of the students municipal management and government?

00:18:56.400 That doesn't even seem like it could be true, does it? But if it is true, it's funny. And then Trump goes on.

00:19:08.360 He says, these two radical left fools left behind two cities that will take years to recover from their incompetence and evil. Harvard has been hiring almost all woke radical left idiots and bird brains who are only capable of teaching failure to students and so-called future leaders. 1.00

00:19:29.600 Now, I agree with everything. Now, I agree with everything he's saying. But, you know, there are certain rights you gotta accept. He goes, look, just to the recent past that they're plagiarizing president, who is so greatly, who so greatly embarrassed Harvard before the United States Congress. 1.00

00:19:48.340 When it got so bad that they just couldn't take it anymore, they moved this grossly inept woman into another position, teaching rather than firing her on the spot. 1.00

00:19:59.980 Since then, much else has been found out about her, but she remains in place. Many others, like these leftist dopes, are teaching at Harvard. And because of that, Harvard can no longer be considered even a decent place of learning and should not be considered on any list of the world's great universities or colleges. 0.95

00:20:24.660 Harvard is a joke, Harvard is a joke, teaches hate and stupidity, and should no longer receive federal funds. Thank you for your attention to this matter. 0.96

00:20:38.340 Now, you might disagree with, you know, something that Trump wants to do, but he's the best writer we've ever had.

00:20:51.360 You know, you know, I used to think that probably Thomas Jefferson was the best writer. I mean, he wrote most of the, the, I'm sorry, what was it? The, what is the thing that's not the Constitution? The, well, you know, the thing, the thing. I'm going to go full Joe Biden here.

00:21:16.600 I'm on some pain meds. I'm on some pain meds. They're slowing down my brain quite a bit, but I don't think it was Jefferson. I think it, I think it was Trump. He's the best writer.

00:21:26.440 All right, let's check in on AI. Apparently, Grok, Declaration of Independence. Yes. Thank you. So yeah, Jefferson wrote the Declaration of Independence, most of it.

00:21:40.820 And that was pretty good. Sometimes I like reading the Declaration of Independence just for the writing. And I'll read it like three or four times. And every time I'll be like, wow. Wow. How do you write that? Just, just amazingly written, amazingly written. But when I read, when I read Trump, it's also magic. So it would be hard to compare them.

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00:22:24.520 Well, Grok has a new capability. Now you can take your, your documents that are in Google drive and drop them in and it will fully interact with your documents. You can ask it questions and have it, you can have a help at it.

00:22:42.520 It can summarize. It can refine the presentations. And if that works, I'm going to be using it today because I've been waiting for this. The problem had always been, you know, chat GPT for a long time has been able to handle a file.

00:23:00.600 I don't, I don't, I don't know if I could do Google drive, but you could upload a file.

00:23:06.080 The trouble is that it would hallucinate what's in your file.

00:23:10.040 So it made it kind of useless.

00:23:12.920 So the thing I want to know is if Grok is going to hallucinate what's in the file.

00:23:19.760 If it doesn't, this would be a gigantic move forward.

00:23:23.940 I'm like, this would be a really big deal.

00:23:26.460 So I'll test it out later, let you know.

00:23:28.240 Did you know that Apple, of course, they turned their, their SIRI, I don't want to say it so it activates your devices, but they turned it into an AI version.

00:23:42.280 And apparently it's just the joke within Apple.

00:23:46.260 Even the Apple employees think that their own AI, which is barely AI, is ridiculously bad.

00:23:54.420 And I would agree.

00:23:55.960 It is ridiculously bad.

00:23:59.240 According to an article in Futurism by Frank Landymore, that they floundered so much that, I don't know what they're going to do.

00:24:10.020 They're going to have to start over or something.

00:24:11.720 Now, the one thing it does do is it understands what you're saying way better.

00:24:16.140 But Apple is not even in the AI space, it seems like.

00:24:23.380 So, I don't know.

00:24:24.920 I feel like they could be in a lot of trouble if they don't, if they don't own AI, you know, at least have the best version of it.

00:24:32.600 And it doesn't look like they're even close or even trying to be.

00:24:36.360 So, I don't know.

00:24:39.460 I think Apple's got some real problems with AI.

00:24:44.900 There's a, here's the AI news that you knew was coming.

00:24:48.620 This is the most predictable one.

00:24:51.380 So, there's a pilot program that's launching in New York State that will turn your TV, let's say you're a senior.

00:24:59.940 It turns your TV screen into a personalized hub for caregiving, communication, and connections.

00:25:06.180 The New York Post has an article on this.

00:25:07.820 So, if you're a qualifying older adult, you'll get devices from on-screen ink that can transform any TV into a smart caregiver platform.

00:25:20.700 So, in other words, AI.

00:25:22.720 And there will be an AI person who talks to you.

00:25:25.940 But they can do things like medication reminders, daily check-ins.

00:25:32.060 They can help you connect to your loved ones, you know, phone-wise.

00:25:36.560 And then they've got this program called Joy, an AI-powered virtual companion built into it that interacts with the seniors.

00:25:47.160 Now, given the loneliness factor of seniors, this feels like, I don't know if it'll be this specific product,

00:25:56.500 but don't you think that it's guaranteed that seniors are going to have some kind of AI companion helping them out

00:26:05.280 that's just always on the TV?

00:26:07.880 It's sort of the perfect place to put it because the TV is kind of central and maybe have more than one.

00:26:13.200 So, I feel like I want one.

00:26:19.700 How many of you would want one?

00:26:22.160 Like, immediately I wanted one.

00:26:23.900 I'm not qualified because it'd have to be in New York.

00:26:26.360 But if you could have an AI personality that would just be taking care of you, making sure you took your meds,

00:26:38.420 and, you know, could maybe set up a phone call and stuff like that.

00:26:42.960 How many of you would want that?

00:26:46.800 I feel like how much you'd want it depends on how good it is.

00:26:51.680 Like, if it could really have a conversation like it's just a regular person, you're going to want it.

00:26:58.560 Even if you say you don't, you're going to want it.

00:27:04.320 So, I'm just going to admit, I want it.

00:27:08.380 I might prefer having it on my phone, but I want it.

00:27:13.760 Not even close, huh?

00:27:16.660 All right.

00:27:17.260 So, Senator Cory Booker, who's trying to get attention, and apparently talking for two days straight or whatever he did,

00:27:26.320 didn't get him enough attention because nobody knows what he said.

00:27:30.620 To me, that's just hilarious.

00:27:33.220 I've got this great idea.

00:27:35.000 I'm going to talk for, how long did he talk?

00:27:37.660 How many hours?

00:27:38.460 He broke a record, right?

00:27:40.360 He talked for like 44 hours or something.

00:27:42.460 And I'm thinking, if you talk for 44 hours and literally nobody knows what you were talking about,

00:27:49.180 that's the best fail you'll ever hear.

00:27:54.160 That's a complete fail.

00:27:55.720 But now, because that didn't work out,

00:28:00.300 it's because that didn't work out.

00:28:11.040 He threatens that he's going to lead a trip to El Salvador to push for the release of that one guy from Maryland.

00:28:21.520 Kilmer Abrego Garcia, Axios, is reporting this.

00:28:25.780 And he's going to try to get him home.

00:28:31.260 Now, meanwhile, Senator Chris von Holland from Maryland is trying to do the same thing.

00:28:37.680 So, he's also talking about traveling down there and trying to get this guy home.

00:28:43.080 Now, here's the funny part.

00:28:46.000 I haven't talked about this story at all.

00:28:48.900 And probably you wondered because it's just all over the news.

00:28:52.240 Just all over the news.

00:28:53.000 Now, the first reason is I tend not to talk about one-off stories

00:28:57.980 because whatever there is about this specific story,

00:29:01.740 it doesn't feel like it's generalizable.

00:29:04.680 It's weird and it's tragic, perhaps.

00:29:09.080 But it doesn't feel like it's telling you anything you need to know.

00:29:13.060 It's just one situation that's unique.

00:29:16.160 But everything about what you think about that situation depends on the question of whether he's MS-13 or not.

00:29:25.760 So, the Democrats say, no, he's been found not to be MS-13.

00:29:31.720 And Steve Miller will tell you, oh, he's definitely been found to be MS-13.

00:29:36.200 I guess two courts have decided that he was.

00:29:40.500 Now, it could go either way.

00:29:43.760 You know, I admit that just because some courts found he was MS-13, that doesn't necessarily mean he is, does it?

00:29:53.920 And can people ever quit?

00:29:57.580 Is it possible he was MS-13 when he was 17 years old, but now he's in his mid-30s

00:30:03.900 and hasn't had even any contact with him since that whole time?

00:30:08.200 At his core of that, I don't know.

00:30:10.380 So, I don't have an opinion about whether he should be brought back or not,

00:30:16.720 because it would all depend on whether I knew he was an MS-13.

00:30:20.980 And how could I possibly know that?

00:30:23.060 So, I'm just watching.

00:30:25.160 You know, I'm not going to be traveling down there to free him, because I just don't know.

00:30:32.100 But there is a question of whether he got due process, as far as I know he did,

00:30:36.880 because he already had deportation orders.

00:30:39.220 And that sounds like pretty due process to me.

00:30:42.580 But, I don't know.

00:30:43.520 I would be open to that argument that he didn't get enough.

00:30:48.060 But as far as I know, if Cory Booker, let's say Cory Booker leads an expedition down there,

00:30:55.480 and against all odds, he succeeds.

00:30:58.840 And they come back, and the, what's his name, Abrego Garcia,

00:31:04.940 he's with them, and he's all smiling, and he's like a free man.

00:31:08.380 And then they land in the United States, and ICE picks him up at the airport,

00:31:13.900 and just ships him back to El Salvador, because apparently there's a standing deportation order.

00:31:20.180 So, if he comes back, he doesn't get to stay.

00:31:22.760 He has a standing deportation order.

00:31:27.080 So, ICE is just going to ship him back the minute he lands.

00:31:31.780 So, I don't know.

00:31:33.640 But then, I guess you could say, does he get life in prison just because he's here illegally?

00:31:40.120 Well, that seems kind of too much.

00:31:44.720 So, I don't have an opinion about this whole Kilmer, Abrego, Garcia case,

00:31:51.100 because all the things that would determine what my opinion was can't really be known by me.

00:31:58.680 So, I'll just keep watching.

00:31:59.840 But I think it's hilarious that Cory Booker, he's not getting enough attention,

00:32:04.860 so he's going to go all in on the MS-13 person.

00:32:10.840 Now, is it my imagination, and I can't tell if this is accidentally happening,

00:32:17.180 or the Democrats are just doing it to themselves,

00:32:20.620 or the Republicans have found a clever way to do it to them,

00:32:24.880 which is, every time you see that the Democrats are advocating for something,

00:32:31.000 it's for something that you don't like.

00:32:33.840 It's like, are you advocating for an MS-13 guy?

00:32:37.740 Well, but it's about due process.

00:32:41.860 Okay, but it's really you advocating for an MS-13 guy, right?

00:32:46.860 Well, we don't think he's MS-13.

00:32:48.940 We don't know if he got due process.

00:32:52.460 And next thing you know, they'll be shipping Americans down to that prison.

00:32:57.580 To which I say, really?

00:33:00.020 An American citizen who didn't commit any crimes?

00:33:04.960 I don't know.

00:33:06.320 We'll talk about that.

00:33:07.320 Trump has some ideas about that.

00:33:09.340 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:33:11.480 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:33:14.000 She was so focused on visualizing

00:33:15.700 that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side.

00:33:20.080 Good thing Claudia's with Intact,

00:33:21.960 the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country.

00:33:25.720 Everything was taken care of under one roof,

00:33:27.720 and she was on her way in a rental car in no time.

00:33:30.160 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:33:33.580 But you got there on time.

00:33:35.480 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:33:37.760 Certain conditions apply.

00:33:39.060 In Washington State, the college,

00:33:45.920 an instructor was arrested for assaulting a student wearing a MAGA hat.

00:33:50.800 The Post's Millennial is writing about this.

00:33:54.460 So apparently he's this guy Mahoney,

00:33:58.120 has strong ties to the Democratic Socialists of America.

00:34:02.340 So some would say a communist,

00:34:05.140 but I don't know if that's fair.

00:34:06.140 But apparently he saw some guy wearing a MAGA hat,

00:34:12.400 and just he and another guy just brutally attacked him.

00:34:17.300 Now, I can't even imagine

00:34:20.720 any conservative brutally attacking any Democrat

00:34:26.000 for their political opinion.

00:34:29.520 Have you ever even heard of it?

00:34:31.160 But it seems rather routine for the left

00:34:34.940 to attack and brutalize the right

00:34:38.140 for wearing a hat.

00:34:42.180 So, that's crazy.

00:34:44.580 All right, let's check in on how tariffs are going.

00:34:46.720 According to Newsmax Money,

00:34:49.300 Honda has decided to make 90% of its cars

00:34:52.180 in the United States,

00:34:53.320 the ones that are selling in the United States,

00:34:55.180 and they're going to relocate their Mexico and Canada plants

00:34:58.660 to the U.S.

00:35:01.140 Now, that sounds like exactly what Trump wanted.

00:35:04.500 And I guess he'll be able to do this

00:35:06.420 probably before the end of Trump's term.

00:35:10.740 So you're going to see at least one big company

00:35:12.920 who probably can just move the machines

00:35:16.220 and put them in a new facility.

00:35:18.340 So maybe Honda's just really good at the process.

00:35:23.800 So that's good.

00:35:25.260 That's exactly what Trump wanted,

00:35:26.940 and it's happening.

00:35:30.200 Apparently, Hong Kong is mad at Trump

00:35:33.080 because he wanted to put tariffs on mail.

00:35:40.520 And then Hong Kong said,

00:35:42.360 forget it, we just won't send you any mail.

00:35:44.720 So the Hong Kong Postal Service says,

00:35:49.340 it won't be Washington's tax collector,

00:35:51.500 and it will stop all service mail to the U.S.

00:35:54.560 How many of you were getting mail from Hong Kong?

00:35:58.960 I actually do get mail from Hong Kong.

00:36:02.980 Every now and for business reasons.

00:36:07.300 But I feel like they could find me.

00:36:09.920 They could also email me.

00:36:11.760 Like everybody who sends me anything physical for Hong Kong,

00:36:16.360 they also have my email.

00:36:18.840 So I don't know.

00:36:20.840 Maybe the stuff is just irrelevant.

00:36:25.020 I saw this on the Mario Knopfel post.

00:36:28.080 I get a lot of my best stories from Mario Knopfel.

00:36:33.340 And then, according to Newsweek,

00:36:35.660 Trump has increased his tariffs on China to 245%.

00:36:39.760 A new high.

00:36:42.800 And he signed an executive order

00:36:44.260 to block risky imports of processed minerals.

00:36:47.640 I don't even know what that means.

00:36:50.000 Why would imports of minerals be risky?

00:36:53.900 Is there something I don't know about minerals?

00:36:58.780 Anyway, so I'm sure there's a reason for it.

00:37:01.900 But there's one little line in the story in Newsweek

00:37:05.280 that I thought was the most important one.

00:37:08.080 Now, obviously, the 245% tariff

00:37:10.940 is just a response to China.

00:37:13.460 So China is acting like it's not going to quit 0.89

00:37:16.340 and you can't hurt us.

00:37:18.020 And Trump is just matching their energy

00:37:20.800 and saying, well, I don't know.

00:37:23.380 Maybe I can hurt you. 0.86

00:37:24.660 How about this? 0.99

00:37:25.380 How about that?

00:37:26.460 So it's up to 245%.

00:37:28.260 But buried in the story was this sentence.

00:37:31.800 China assigned a new trade negotiator.

00:37:35.840 China assigned a new trade negotiator.

00:37:39.760 Does that sound like they don't want a deal?

00:37:43.720 Not to me.

00:37:45.080 To me, it sounds like they do want a deal.

00:37:47.860 And they needed their best person to put on it.

00:37:51.760 And they felt they didn't have their best person on it.

00:37:54.100 Now, of course, I'm reading between the lines.

00:37:55.800 I don't know why they assigned a new trade negotiator.

00:37:59.600 But if you see it in the context of a 245% tariff,

00:38:05.220 I feel like they do want to negotiate.

00:38:08.840 They want to do it quickly.

00:38:10.640 So maybe that'll work.

00:38:14.400 I saw a post by Kimball Musk, who's Elon's brother,

00:38:19.700 that Boeing is now canceled in China.

00:38:22.680 So he says, the great decoupling has begun, or so it seems.

00:38:26.860 So this was a post on X.

00:38:29.120 So I'll just read it, because he says it well.

00:38:33.320 So Kimball Musk says,

00:38:35.240 the reality is that Boeing's planes that are manufactured in America,

00:38:38.820 for Americans, include about 10,000 Chinese-made parts in each plane.

00:38:44.900 It's hard to even believe that that's possible.

00:38:46.960 So a Boeing plane has 10,000 Chinese-made parts.

00:38:53.760 Which parts?

00:38:55.480 Is it like every part of the seats?

00:38:59.180 And then the other way,

00:39:01.360 in China they use American-made avionics and engines in their planes,

00:39:06.900 as Kimball says.

00:39:08.360 Pretty important parts.

00:39:09.700 And then he says,

00:39:12.620 the trade war shows a stunning misunderstanding

00:39:14.800 of how global supply chains work.

00:39:18.020 While it's theoretically possible to decouple,

00:39:21.020 trade is also a major driver of peace.

00:39:23.660 Meaning that if they want planes,

00:39:25.720 and we want planes,

00:39:27.300 it's better if we don't tariff each other to death.

00:39:31.740 Because we won't get their 10,000 parts,

00:39:34.560 and they won't get our avionics.

00:39:36.140 Now, I completely understand

00:39:38.600 what Kimball Musk is saying.

00:39:42.680 So his argument is clear.

00:39:47.700 But I just don't think you can let somebody abuse you forever.

00:39:54.820 At some point, you have to choose war over peace.

00:39:58.180 If the person you're having peace with

00:40:00.840 is just abusing you every day.

00:40:03.980 So...

00:40:06.140 I don't know.

00:40:06.760 I don't quite agree with this.

00:40:08.640 I do agree

00:40:09.600 that if we could find

00:40:11.220 fair trade with China,

00:40:13.700 it would be way better to trade with them than not.

00:40:16.540 Wouldn't it?

00:40:17.400 And then we could slowly,

00:40:19.080 if we wanted to,

00:40:20.420 we wouldn't even want to

00:40:21.440 with these airplane parts, probably.

00:40:24.240 We could slowly,

00:40:25.280 you know,

00:40:26.960 repatriate businesses

00:40:28.620 that we wanted to have.

00:40:29.700 The good ones.

00:40:30.740 You know, the car companies

00:40:31.640 and, you know, the big ones.

00:40:32.900 So, yeah.

00:40:37.360 As long as we have fair trade deals,

00:40:40.240 you can get anything done.

00:40:42.280 You can get peace, etc.

00:40:43.900 So, we'll see if this new trade negotiator

00:40:48.000 from China can make that happen.

00:40:51.980 At the same time,

00:40:53.060 according to The Hill,

00:40:54.820 the White House is launching

00:40:56.020 this national security investigation

00:40:58.020 into pharma and semiconductors.

00:41:00.440 Now, the read between the lines part of that,

00:41:04.420 according to the story,

00:41:05.800 is that it's sort of the first step

00:41:08.180 before Trump's going to put

00:41:09.680 major tariffs on pharma.

00:41:12.160 Now, that one scares me a little bit

00:41:14.620 because I don't know if I would have

00:41:17.700 even noticed

00:41:19.600 if Boeing made fewer planes for a while.

00:41:23.020 Like, I just don't even know

00:41:24.420 if I'd notice.

00:41:25.080 But if I can't get, you know,

00:41:28.820 normal pharmaceutical stuff,

00:41:31.140 I would notice that.

00:41:35.280 So,

00:41:36.180 this is a tough one.

00:41:39.740 You know,

00:41:40.180 the only thing that makes sense

00:41:42.080 is if

00:41:42.580 Trump is assuming

00:41:44.680 that we would do some

00:41:46.980 serious trade negotiations

00:41:48.540 in the next few weeks

00:41:49.960 so that whatever he's doing

00:41:51.320 with these tariffs,

00:41:52.540 they don't last that long,

00:41:53.820 which would be good.

00:41:56.080 It would also be an indication

00:41:57.240 that he was using it

00:41:58.160 just as a negotiating tool,

00:42:00.360 not as something that's,

00:42:02.300 you know,

00:42:02.580 a permanent situation.

00:42:04.420 So, yeah,

00:42:05.120 the pharmaceuticals,

00:42:06.860 that one scares me a little bit.

00:42:10.180 According to

00:42:11.320 the post-millennial,

00:42:13.760 the cargo going through ports in China

00:42:15.980 has dropped by 9.7%

00:42:17.840 in the second week of April.

00:42:20.240 So, that would indicate

00:42:21.580 that the tariffs

00:42:22.680 that Trump is putting on China

00:42:25.260 are brutally effective

00:42:27.760 because 9.7% drop,

00:42:31.920 that's going to get their attention.

00:42:34.740 That is not a normal drop in things.

00:42:37.560 So, that's definitely got to be

00:42:38.780 the tariffs working on them.

00:42:41.500 But those are some of the things

00:42:43.440 that a ship would be to us.

00:42:45.160 So, the joke's on us too.

00:42:47.040 But,

00:42:48.380 but we'll see.

00:42:52.240 So, maybe,

00:42:53.120 maybe China will get

00:42:54.040 a little bit closer to,

00:42:56.280 you know,

00:42:56.680 wanting to make a real deal.

00:42:58.620 Bray Bar News says

00:42:59.660 that chip maker AMD

00:43:02.020 has decided to manufacture

00:43:04.820 their chips in the USA

00:43:06.060 for the first time ever.

00:43:07.700 So, I didn't know that.

00:43:08.960 AMD has never made chips

00:43:10.300 in the United States.

00:43:12.000 It's, you know,

00:43:12.560 I thought it was just

00:43:13.360 an American chip company.

00:43:14.480 I assume that's the only place

00:43:16.220 they made them.

00:43:17.160 But, apparently,

00:43:17.760 they've never made them here.

00:43:19.840 And, but now,

00:43:21.480 and I assume this is

00:43:22.500 because of the tariffs,

00:43:24.420 they're going to make them here.

00:43:25.680 So,

00:43:27.040 what I'm thinking

00:43:28.580 is that we're going to need,

00:43:31.320 you know,

00:43:31.960 two paths.

00:43:33.520 One path is for stuff

00:43:35.400 that you can

00:43:36.200 fairly expeditiously

00:43:38.240 move to the United States,

00:43:39.860 like cars and chip making,

00:43:41.960 apparently.

00:43:42.220 And the other would be

00:43:44.360 for things like

00:43:46.340 the Boeing airplane parts,

00:43:48.700 where it just sort of

00:43:50.220 doesn't work

00:43:51.060 to have a tariff on that.

00:43:54.500 It's not getting you

00:43:55.600 anything you want

00:43:56.380 except no airplanes.

00:43:58.060 So, maybe there should be

00:43:59.720 exemptions

00:44:00.800 for certain businesses

00:44:03.020 that,

00:44:04.140 like pharma,

00:44:05.080 pharma and airplanes,

00:44:07.600 where it's not going

00:44:08.960 to be very fast

00:44:09.920 for them to move

00:44:10.660 to the United States.

00:44:12.060 But,

00:44:12.580 I asked the following question.

00:44:15.380 Are the pharmaceutical companies

00:44:17.820 operating in China,

00:44:20.360 are they American-owned

00:44:22.420 or European-owned

00:44:23.660 and they're just operating

00:44:25.600 in China?

00:44:27.040 Or,

00:44:27.740 are they Chinese companies

00:44:29.200 that are making the drugs

00:44:31.320 and shipping them

00:44:32.420 to the US?

00:44:33.520 Which is it?

00:44:34.380 Now,

00:44:35.380 I've heard that

00:44:36.020 China leads

00:44:37.720 on pharmaceutical equipment

00:44:39.940 so they can make

00:44:41.480 equipment

00:44:41.980 that makes

00:44:42.600 pharmaceuticals

00:44:43.660 better than we can.

00:44:46.420 But,

00:44:46.980 if we own

00:44:47.720 the companies,

00:44:49.460 can't we just say,

00:44:50.620 all right,

00:44:51.200 just everything

00:44:51.880 that's on the floor here

00:44:53.000 that we use

00:44:53.840 to make stuff,

00:44:55.020 pack it all up

00:44:56.440 and move it

00:44:56.900 to the United States

00:44:57.760 because they would

00:44:59.360 own the equipment

00:45:00.220 and they would own

00:45:01.100 all the assets,

00:45:02.120 right?

00:45:02.300 So,

00:45:03.620 I don't know

00:45:04.120 how easy it would be

00:45:05.060 for any pharma company

00:45:06.200 to move to the United States,

00:45:07.800 but that would be

00:45:08.460 a big question.

00:45:10.400 If there's some

00:45:11.300 that can just sort of

00:45:12.100 move their equipment here

00:45:13.180 and then wherever

00:45:14.000 the equipment is,

00:45:14.840 you can make

00:45:15.760 the pharmaceuticals.

00:45:17.240 But,

00:45:17.560 I think there's also

00:45:18.140 a question of the

00:45:19.220 precursors

00:45:20.860 and the materials

00:45:22.220 that go into making it

00:45:24.320 and that might still

00:45:26.200 be from China.

00:45:27.400 So,

00:45:28.140 I think China's got us 1.00

00:45:29.220 on pharmaceuticals

00:45:30.280 for a long time.

00:45:32.300 Well,

00:45:33.180 apparently here's

00:45:33.940 an accused leaker,

00:45:36.660 Dan Caldwell.

00:45:38.840 He was one of the

00:45:39.720 top advisors

00:45:40.460 for P. Hegseth

00:45:41.860 and he was escorted

00:45:43.820 under the Pentagon,

00:45:45.580 I think it was

00:45:46.780 yesterday or today,

00:45:48.040 after being identified

00:45:49.260 during an investigation

00:45:52.380 to leaks

00:45:53.200 at the Department

00:45:54.500 of Defense.

00:45:55.760 Now,

00:45:56.360 I thought everybody leaked.

00:45:58.460 Haven't you heard

00:45:59.060 of that before?

00:45:59.560 There's no such thing

00:46:01.500 as nobody who leaks.

00:46:02.660 Like every person

00:46:03.560 in Congress,

00:46:04.500 they've all got somebody

00:46:05.320 they leak to

00:46:06.060 so that they can get,

00:46:07.560 you know,

00:46:08.160 like good press.

00:46:10.200 So,

00:46:10.640 they're basically

00:46:11.120 buttering up people

00:46:12.120 in the press

00:46:12.640 by leaking.

00:46:14.800 So,

00:46:15.820 I guess he got caught,

00:46:17.620 allegedly.

00:46:19.040 Laura Loomer

00:46:19.580 has that scoop.

00:46:20.540 And she points out

00:46:24.160 that Dan Caldwell

00:46:25.800 was listed

00:46:26.500 as a point of contact

00:46:27.660 for the Department

00:46:28.760 of Defense

00:46:29.480 in the Mike Waltz

00:46:31.460 Signalgate chat.

00:46:33.800 I don't know

00:46:34.440 if that means

00:46:34.900 he did anything wrong,

00:46:35.880 but he was a point

00:46:36.620 of contact for that.

00:46:37.540 So,

00:46:38.340 all right,

00:46:40.620 here's a big question

00:46:41.480 that I've been asking

00:46:42.200 myself lately.

00:46:45.200 Has Trump 0.98

00:46:46.180 turned fascist 0.74

00:46:47.200 or turned dictator?

00:46:50.540 So,

00:46:51.060 the arguments

00:46:51.540 would be

00:46:52.140 he's going after

00:46:53.040 Harvard

00:46:53.700 and the colleges

00:46:54.860 essentially trying

00:46:57.560 to change

00:46:58.280 their free speech

00:46:59.240 by getting them

00:47:01.240 to be

00:47:01.800 less anti-Semitic

00:47:04.080 and that would be,

00:47:06.040 you know,

00:47:06.520 Trump's take on it.

00:47:08.640 So,

00:47:09.340 if you're going

00:47:09.740 after free speech

00:47:10.860 in our institutions,

00:47:12.840 are you kind of

00:47:13.600 a dictator fascist? 0.87

00:47:16.140 You decide.

00:47:18.520 Then there's

00:47:19.360 the talk about

00:47:20.040 the third term.

00:47:22.040 Now,

00:47:22.300 I don't think

00:47:22.980 that,

00:47:23.640 I think Bannon,

00:47:25.560 Steve Bannon's

00:47:26.380 the one who's

00:47:26.780 been saying that,

00:47:28.000 that he could

00:47:28.940 serve a third term

00:47:29.980 under some conditions.

00:47:31.720 Now,

00:47:32.040 I don't think

00:47:32.480 that's true.

00:47:33.420 I don't think

00:47:33.880 he can serve

00:47:34.560 a third term

00:47:35.160 and I think

00:47:35.660 it would be

00:47:35.940 a huge,

00:47:37.040 a huge problem

00:47:38.840 if he did.

00:47:40.280 You know,

00:47:40.540 it's already

00:47:41.060 unsafe

00:47:41.640 to be a

00:47:42.420 Trump supporter,

00:47:43.840 especially if you

00:47:44.500 wear a hat,

00:47:45.500 but imagine

00:47:46.200 how unsafe

00:47:47.020 it would be

00:47:47.540 if he somehow

00:47:49.020 stayed in power

00:47:50.060 for a third term.

00:47:52.660 That would be

00:47:53.520 really,

00:47:54.380 really dangerous

00:47:55.880 because at that point

00:47:57.460 people would say,

00:47:58.220 all right,

00:47:58.700 there's the proof.

00:48:00.440 You know,

00:48:00.660 he violated the Constitution.

00:48:02.860 He's just going to stay.

00:48:03.940 And it wouldn't matter

00:48:04.540 how clever

00:48:05.100 the argument was.

00:48:06.680 You know,

00:48:07.320 even if the Supreme Court

00:48:08.660 said,

00:48:09.040 all right,

00:48:09.480 you know,

00:48:10.200 it's a good point.

00:48:11.760 You found a workaround

00:48:13.280 that we can't argue with.

00:48:14.940 I don't think

00:48:15.680 that would happen.

00:48:16.880 But

00:48:17.140 what would that look like

00:48:20.520 to his supporters?

00:48:22.320 I don't want to be

00:48:23.320 a supporter

00:48:23.940 who says

00:48:25.380 he can serve

00:48:26.240 a third term.

00:48:27.640 I don't want

00:48:28.380 that on my record.

00:48:31.200 You know,

00:48:31.400 I don't want to have

00:48:31.900 a conversation

00:48:32.520 with somebody

00:48:33.080 who says,

00:48:33.600 so,

00:48:34.700 you know,

00:48:35.000 are you a Trump guy?

00:48:36.120 And then I say,

00:48:36.900 yes.

00:48:38.000 And they say,

00:48:38.800 what do you think

00:48:39.200 about that third term?

00:48:41.180 I don't like it at all.

00:48:42.560 But I especially

00:48:44.980 don't like it

00:48:45.700 if it happens

00:48:46.520 and then

00:48:47.700 the reputational damage

00:48:49.680 accrues to me

00:48:50.660 and those of you

00:48:52.880 who are

00:48:53.240 Trump supporters

00:48:54.140 as well.

00:48:55.300 That's just dangerous

00:48:56.660 to me.

00:48:59.260 Like,

00:48:59.560 physically,

00:49:00.160 that's dangerous.

00:49:01.440 So,

00:49:01.900 I'm not for that

00:49:02.880 at all.

00:49:05.240 I do think

00:49:06.720 it might be

00:49:07.160 a strategy,

00:49:08.020 though.

00:49:09.120 The strategy

00:49:09.820 would be

00:49:10.500 that people

00:49:11.640 could never

00:49:12.300 be sure

00:49:12.940 if they can

00:49:14.180 just wait him out.

00:49:15.920 Because I think

00:49:16.640 a lot of what

00:49:17.180 the deep state

00:49:17.860 is trying to do

00:49:18.520 is like,

00:49:19.380 all right,

00:49:19.600 we can just,

00:49:20.180 we can do this.

00:49:20.980 We can just wait

00:49:21.640 four years

00:49:22.340 and then we'll

00:49:23.520 just reverse

00:49:24.140 everything with

00:49:24.880 our,

00:49:25.220 you know,

00:49:25.840 candidates.

00:49:26.460 We'll get the

00:49:26.840 Congress back.

00:49:27.980 So,

00:49:28.440 just hang tight.

00:49:30.340 I think that

00:49:31.280 maybe Biden,

00:49:32.400 that Bannon's

00:49:33.040 strategy

00:49:33.500 is to say

00:49:35.080 that he might

00:49:36.140 be here for

00:49:36.640 a third term.

00:49:37.580 So,

00:49:37.800 if you're going

00:49:38.100 to wait him

00:49:38.580 out,

00:49:39.460 it's a bad

00:49:39.960 strategy.

00:49:40.940 Because you

00:49:41.280 don't know

00:49:41.580 how long

00:49:41.940 you're going

00:49:42.220 to wait.

00:49:43.560 I don't know.

00:49:45.360 Like,

00:49:45.880 I'm just

00:49:46.440 trying to put

00:49:47.300 the best

00:49:47.800 face on it

00:49:48.540 that I can

00:49:48.900 think of

00:49:49.380 because I

00:49:49.800 can't read

00:49:50.200 anybody's

00:49:50.640 mind.

00:49:51.620 And I

00:49:51.820 think

00:49:52.080 Trump

00:49:53.620 probably

00:49:54.020 likes it

00:49:54.480 because it's

00:49:55.020 provocative

00:49:55.520 and it

00:49:56.640 makes the

00:49:57.160 Democrats

00:49:57.640 talk about

00:49:58.340 it.

00:49:59.680 But so

00:50:00.400 far,

00:50:00.680 the Democrats

00:50:01.200 have not

00:50:01.680 really leaned

00:50:02.260 into that

00:50:02.780 one.

00:50:03.460 And it's

00:50:03.840 the one

00:50:04.140 that I

00:50:04.420 think you

00:50:04.760 could lean

00:50:05.180 into the

00:50:05.780 most

00:50:06.600 effectively

00:50:07.120 because

00:50:08.140 it's

00:50:08.780 something he's

00:50:09.340 really floated.

00:50:10.500 like the

00:50:11.180 idea is

00:50:11.980 actually,

00:50:13.020 you know,

00:50:13.660 it's out

00:50:14.300 there.

00:50:15.020 Then there's

00:50:15.780 the question

00:50:17.120 of Trump

00:50:18.100 sending

00:50:18.640 Americans to

00:50:20.360 El Salvador

00:50:20.880 jail.

00:50:21.340 So Trump

00:50:22.200 actually said

00:50:23.060 to

00:50:25.100 Bukele,

00:50:25.920 apparently,

00:50:26.440 of El

00:50:27.300 Salvador,

00:50:28.160 that he'd

00:50:29.660 be interested

00:50:30.160 in sending

00:50:30.880 homegrown,

00:50:32.400 meaning

00:50:32.800 American 0.81

00:50:33.340 criminals, 0.99

00:50:34.300 to an

00:50:35.360 El Salvador

00:50:35.920 jail.

00:50:38.540 Now,

00:50:39.340 I hope

00:50:39.780 not,

00:50:40.900 because again,

00:50:42.020 I would be

00:50:42.960 very against

00:50:43.620 that,

00:50:45.000 sending our

00:50:45.620 criminals to

00:50:46.480 some other

00:50:46.980 country,

00:50:47.360 especially

00:50:49.100 if they're

00:50:50.840 never going

00:50:51.260 to get

00:50:51.480 out,

00:50:51.840 which is

00:50:52.200 what I

00:50:52.480 think those

00:50:52.860 jails are

00:50:53.300 about.

00:50:55.200 So I

00:50:55.760 don't like

00:50:56.100 that.

00:50:58.180 But of

00:50:58.800 course,

00:50:59.060 he's just,

00:50:59.480 you were just

00:50:59.880 speculating,

00:51:00.760 right?

00:51:01.180 It's like the

00:51:01.920 third term.

00:51:03.160 It's just

00:51:03.540 something he's

00:51:04.240 noodling on.

00:51:05.500 He's not

00:51:05.900 leaning into

00:51:06.420 it.

00:51:07.580 And then

00:51:08.180 there's the

00:51:08.540 question about

00:51:09.180 whether he's

00:51:09.700 friends with

00:51:10.220 dictators like

00:51:11.040 Putin.

00:51:12.400 And it

00:51:13.020 doesn't look

00:51:13.520 like it.

00:51:14.040 At the

00:51:14.660 moment,

00:51:15.080 it doesn't

00:51:15.500 look like

00:51:15.920 he's being

00:51:16.340 too friendly

00:51:16.980 to Putin.

00:51:17.800 He's just

00:51:18.120 not able

00:51:18.720 to get

00:51:19.040 any kind

00:51:19.380 of a deal.

00:51:20.440 I don't

00:51:20.860 think there

00:51:21.160 will be a

00:51:21.540 deal,

00:51:22.440 honestly.

00:51:24.060 The Ukraine

00:51:24.880 deal.

00:51:25.600 How many

00:51:25.960 of you think

00:51:26.460 that there

00:51:26.900 will be an

00:51:27.320 actual peace

00:51:28.100 deal between

00:51:29.520 Russia and

00:51:30.140 Ukraine while

00:51:31.040 Trump's in

00:51:31.540 office?

00:51:33.940 Because I

00:51:34.580 don't think

00:51:34.960 so.

00:51:36.000 I think it's

00:51:36.760 literally an

00:51:37.580 impossible

00:51:38.060 situation.

00:51:39.700 Because we

00:51:40.380 can't really

00:51:40.780 lean on both

00:51:41.580 of them as

00:51:42.040 hard as we'd

00:51:42.600 like to.

00:51:43.020 to force

00:51:44.900 them into a

00:51:45.440 deal.

00:51:46.000 And if we

00:51:46.560 force them

00:51:47.120 into a

00:51:47.520 deal, is

00:51:47.940 it going to

00:51:48.280 last?

00:51:49.720 I mean, I

00:51:50.120 feel like it

00:51:50.560 has to be a

00:51:51.060 deal that

00:51:51.440 they both

00:51:51.840 hate, but

00:51:53.200 they know

00:51:53.620 that they

00:51:54.080 were the

00:51:54.380 ones who

00:51:54.720 made it.

00:51:55.900 And then

00:51:56.240 maybe it

00:51:57.580 might last.

00:51:59.300 But if

00:52:02.180 oil prices

00:52:02.880 get low

00:52:03.720 enough, it

00:52:04.160 could squeeze

00:52:04.860 Russia? 0.61

00:52:05.660 Well, there

00:52:06.060 are a million

00:52:06.400 ways we can

00:52:07.160 squeeze Russia 1.00

00:52:08.060 harder.

00:52:09.860 But I

00:52:10.440 don't know

00:52:10.740 that that's

00:52:11.180 going to make

00:52:11.520 them change

00:52:11.980 their strategy.

00:52:13.020 you know,

00:52:16.280 because every

00:52:17.100 day Putin 0.57

00:52:17.640 has a good

00:52:18.140 day.

00:52:20.420 I don't

00:52:21.060 think Putin's

00:52:21.660 having trouble

00:52:22.140 paying his

00:52:22.700 bills.

00:52:23.680 So he

00:52:24.420 seems a

00:52:24.880 little insulated

00:52:25.500 from that.

00:52:28.180 Anyway, I

00:52:30.380 think the

00:52:30.760 argument that

00:52:31.440 Trump is a 0.99

00:52:32.120 fascist is 1.00

00:52:32.960 weak. 0.99

00:52:33.460 mistake.

00:52:35.580 But there

00:52:36.740 are some

00:52:37.280 warning signals.

00:52:39.580 There are

00:52:39.880 some warning

00:52:40.360 signals.

00:52:42.580 As I just

00:52:43.440 mentioned.

00:52:44.960 All right.

00:52:45.300 So the

00:52:45.620 other day

00:52:46.180 on my

00:52:47.520 podcast, I

00:52:48.160 was talking

00:52:48.460 about the

00:52:48.860 fact that

00:52:50.160 Kash

00:52:50.920 Patel

00:52:51.400 unleashed a

00:52:52.860 bunch of

00:52:53.160 documents.

00:52:54.220 Now, what I

00:52:54.880 talked about

00:52:55.500 was a

00:52:56.220 handwritten

00:52:56.740 note from

00:52:57.220 John Brennan,

00:52:58.040 who had a

00:52:59.260 CIA at the

00:52:59.920 time, to

00:53:00.800 Obama, detailing

00:53:02.820 that the

00:53:03.420 Hillary Clinton's

00:53:04.340 campaign was

00:53:05.200 going to run a

00:53:05.840 Russia collusion

00:53:06.820 op on Trump

00:53:08.620 to distract from

00:53:09.880 her own email

00:53:10.620 problems, and

00:53:12.360 that their

00:53:13.440 biggest concern

00:53:14.320 was that Russia

00:53:15.960 would find out

00:53:16.780 about it.

00:53:17.240 their biggest

00:53:19.000 concern was not

00:53:19.960 that it wasn't

00:53:20.540 true, and

00:53:21.680 that Hillary was 0.83

00:53:23.260 going to run an

00:53:23.900 op saying it

00:53:24.700 was true.

00:53:25.900 Their problem

00:53:26.520 was that Russia

00:53:27.200 might find out.

00:53:29.260 Now, some

00:53:29.920 people said, but

00:53:30.640 this is not

00:53:31.160 new news.

00:53:31.860 If you'd

00:53:32.200 watched Dan

00:53:33.200 Bongino, you

00:53:34.080 would know all

00:53:34.960 about that.

00:53:35.520 And I do

00:53:36.240 vaguely think I

00:53:38.440 knew about that

00:53:39.200 handwritten letter

00:53:39.940 before, so I

00:53:40.640 don't know that

00:53:41.100 that's new.

00:53:42.280 But on my

00:53:44.860 post about it,

00:53:46.040 somebody

00:53:46.540 clipped off,

00:53:48.220 did a video

00:53:48.920 clip of me

00:53:49.420 talking about

00:53:49.940 it, and

00:53:51.300 General Flynn

00:53:54.000 commented on

00:53:55.320 it, so he

00:53:55.960 reposted me

00:53:57.540 talking about

00:53:58.140 it, and he

00:53:59.120 said, immediately

00:53:59.740 arrest for

00:54:00.560 conspiracy to

00:54:01.480 overthrow the

00:54:02.120 U.S.

00:54:02.500 government the

00:54:03.000 following and

00:54:03.500 bring them in

00:54:04.040 for questioning.

00:54:05.080 So he wants

00:54:05.580 to arrest and

00:54:06.400 bring in for

00:54:06.860 questioning Barack

00:54:07.680 Obama, John

00:54:08.680 Brennan, Jim

00:54:10.060 Clapper, he

00:54:10.760 says he'll talk,

00:54:11.960 Susan Rice,

00:54:13.220 Jim Comey, and

00:54:15.000 General Flynn

00:54:16.120 says he'll

00:54:16.640 talk, and

00:54:17.660 Andrew

00:54:18.040 McCabe, he'll

00:54:18.780 talk.

00:54:20.560 He says, this

00:54:21.540 is full-blown

00:54:22.300 treason.

00:54:23.540 Yes, you're 0.95

00:54:24.000 damn right, I'm 0.91

00:54:24.700 biased about 0.83

00:54:25.260 this, but if

00:54:25.880 these people

00:54:26.360 aren't held

00:54:26.780 accountable,

00:54:27.720 they'll do it

00:54:28.260 again and

00:54:28.700 again.

00:54:29.580 Now, what

00:54:30.380 exactly would

00:54:31.120 be the crime?

00:54:32.800 It feels

00:54:33.400 criminal that

00:54:35.520 the sitting

00:54:37.020 government was

00:54:38.360 organizing

00:54:38.940 essentially an

00:54:39.880 insurrection

00:54:40.440 against the

00:54:41.140 rising candidate.

00:54:42.080 that feels

00:54:43.860 kind of

00:54:44.260 illegal, like 0.99

00:54:45.180 maximum

00:54:45.780 illegal, but

00:54:46.600 I don't know

00:54:46.920 exactly what

00:54:47.620 crime it would

00:54:48.200 be.

00:54:50.180 Do you

00:54:50.800 think it

00:54:51.340 will ever

00:54:51.780 come to

00:54:52.240 pass that

00:54:54.000 Barack Obama

00:54:54.800 will be brought

00:54:55.580 in for

00:54:55.880 questioning and

00:54:56.940 John Brennan

00:54:57.620 will?

00:55:00.740 If it

00:55:01.400 hasn't happened

00:55:02.080 yet, I

00:55:04.360 don't know.

00:55:05.860 So I agree

00:55:07.040 with General

00:55:07.560 Flynn.

00:55:07.920 it seems

00:55:09.260 like if

00:55:09.720 you let

00:55:10.080 this go,

00:55:11.500 it's just

00:55:12.420 going to

00:55:12.640 get worse.

00:55:14.320 I think

00:55:15.020 he's right

00:55:15.320 about that.

00:55:16.580 But I

00:55:17.840 just don't

00:55:18.440 see it

00:55:18.800 happening in

00:55:19.340 the real

00:55:19.640 world.

00:55:20.560 Do you?

00:55:23.440 Well,

00:55:24.100 apparently,

00:55:24.860 according to

00:55:25.680 Lee Zeldin

00:55:26.520 of the EPA,

00:55:28.360 there's a

00:55:29.100 small startup

00:55:30.260 called

00:55:30.780 Make

00:55:31.400 Sunsets.

00:55:33.140 And

00:55:33.260 apparently

00:55:33.640 they're

00:55:34.100 geoengineering

00:55:35.280 the planet

00:55:36.880 by injecting

00:55:38.320 sulfur dioxide

00:55:39.340 into the

00:55:40.000 sky and

00:55:42.600 then selling

00:55:43.260 cooling credits.

00:55:47.260 So I

00:55:47.480 guess that's

00:55:47.900 something they

00:55:48.480 can do with

00:55:49.260 climate change

00:55:51.040 economy.

00:55:54.320 So I

00:55:54.940 guess people

00:55:55.380 buy cooling

00:55:56.040 credits.

00:55:57.360 That's a

00:55:57.740 thing.

00:55:59.680 Anyway,

00:56:00.860 Lee Zeldin

00:56:01.380 says this

00:56:01.900 company is

00:56:02.340 polluting the

00:56:02.860 air we

00:56:03.180 breathe.

00:56:03.660 I've

00:56:03.800 instructed my

00:56:04.420 team that

00:56:04.780 we need to

00:56:05.200 quickly get

00:56:05.740 to the

00:56:05.980 bottom of

00:56:06.340 this and

00:56:06.660 take

00:56:06.880 immediate

00:56:07.200 action.

00:56:08.120 Is that

00:56:08.480 chemtrails?

00:56:09.840 Well,

00:56:10.400 if it is,

00:56:10.940 this is a

00:56:11.440 new company

00:56:11.940 doing it.

00:56:13.260 So whatever

00:56:14.000 the old

00:56:14.440 chemtrails

00:56:15.060 were,

00:56:16.340 don't know.

00:56:17.820 But Lee

00:56:18.660 Zeldin's all 1.00

00:56:19.240 over that,

00:56:19.840 trying to

00:56:20.240 shut that

00:56:20.620 down.

00:56:23.020 Here's a

00:56:23.860 economist's

00:56:25.020 view of

00:56:25.760 our debt

00:56:26.220 situation,

00:56:27.340 which

00:56:27.820 unfortunately

00:56:28.420 matches my

00:56:29.240 own.

00:56:30.440 And it's

00:56:31.000 not good.

00:56:32.800 So this

00:56:33.620 is a

00:56:34.400 real working

00:56:35.220 economist who

00:56:36.040 goes by

00:56:36.460 Dr.

00:56:36.920 Insensitive 0.77

00:56:37.420 Jerk. 0.99

00:56:38.320 And let 0.71

00:56:38.800 me just

00:56:39.060 read what

00:56:39.480 he says

00:56:39.860 about our

00:56:40.260 debt.

00:56:41.280 Because you

00:56:41.600 know how

00:56:41.900 I said,

00:56:42.700 I don't

00:56:42.940 think

00:56:43.220 Doge got

00:56:45.580 anywhere close

00:56:46.560 to helping

00:56:47.860 us with our

00:56:48.440 debt.

00:56:49.060 I mean,

00:56:49.460 $150 billion

00:56:50.480 is not

00:56:51.080 nothing.

00:56:51.900 But it's

00:56:52.500 not in the

00:56:52.960 realm of

00:56:53.460 helping us

00:56:54.000 get out of

00:56:54.380 our debt.

00:56:55.860 So this is

00:56:56.680 what Dr.

00:56:57.300 Insensitive

00:56:57.760 Jerk,

00:56:58.140 the economist

00:56:58.580 says.

00:56:59.000 He says,

00:56:59.380 it doesn't

00:56:59.720 look like

00:57:00.100 Doge will

00:57:00.600 cut government

00:57:01.180 enough to

00:57:01.780 stave off

00:57:02.320 default.

00:57:02.900 But they

00:57:03.980 did accomplish

00:57:04.640 something

00:57:05.060 unexpected.

00:57:06.440 He says,

00:57:07.140 I'm an

00:57:07.420 economist and

00:57:08.060 I don't

00:57:08.400 know what

00:57:08.780 will happen

00:57:09.240 when the

00:57:09.660 U.S.

00:57:09.980 defaults on

00:57:10.600 its debt,

00:57:11.460 either overtly

00:57:12.380 or by

00:57:12.860 hyperinflation.

00:57:14.420 So basically

00:57:15.380 default is

00:57:17.380 built into it

00:57:18.060 now.

00:57:18.520 Because we

00:57:19.180 found that we

00:57:19.780 couldn't cut

00:57:20.300 our expenses.

00:57:21.400 If you can't

00:57:22.300 cut your

00:57:22.660 expenses,

00:57:23.300 you'll

00:57:23.500 eventually

00:57:23.840 default.

00:57:24.940 Now you

00:57:25.480 would do

00:57:25.740 it either

00:57:26.120 by hyperinflating

00:57:27.620 so that

00:57:29.280 the people

00:57:29.740 who we

00:57:30.400 owe

00:57:30.640 one dollar

00:57:31.380 will still

00:57:32.480 owe them

00:57:32.900 one dollar,

00:57:33.720 but one

00:57:34.200 dollar will

00:57:34.680 be worth

00:57:35.100 ten cents.

00:57:37.060 So that's

00:57:38.180 not ideal

00:57:38.800 because everybody

00:57:39.460 who had

00:57:39.860 one dollar

00:57:40.360 for their

00:57:40.820 retirement

00:57:41.280 would find

00:57:42.500 out that it

00:57:42.940 was worth

00:57:43.320 only ten

00:57:43.800 cents.

00:57:44.740 But at

00:57:45.060 least we

00:57:45.380 pay off

00:57:45.760 the debt,

00:57:46.280 hey.

00:57:47.180 So that

00:57:47.800 would be

00:57:48.080 terrible.

00:57:48.780 And of

00:57:49.040 course,

00:57:49.260 just saying

00:57:49.720 we can't

00:57:50.180 pay it

00:57:50.480 off would

00:57:51.240 be

00:57:51.580 catastrophic.

00:57:53.720 And he

00:57:54.320 says,

00:57:54.640 when we

00:57:55.100 default,

00:57:56.760 and keep

00:57:57.140 in mind

00:57:57.480 it's a

00:57:57.860 when,

00:57:59.080 because we

00:57:59.560 don't have

00:58:00.100 any plan

00:58:00.640 for not

00:58:01.080 defaulting.

00:58:03.200 And to

00:58:03.860 me,

00:58:04.260 the fact

00:58:04.700 that we're

00:58:05.140 not talking

00:58:05.660 about this

00:58:06.080 every day

00:58:06.700 all day,

00:58:08.220 I don't

00:58:08.860 even know

00:58:09.960 how to

00:58:10.260 understand

00:58:10.720 that.

00:58:11.600 It's by

00:58:12.100 far our

00:58:12.600 biggest

00:58:12.860 problem.

00:58:14.580 Anyway,

00:58:15.400 he says,

00:58:15.920 when we

00:58:16.340 default,

00:58:16.980 it may

00:58:17.360 happen

00:58:17.660 quickly,

00:58:18.080 because safety

00:58:19.060 is the

00:58:19.460 only reason

00:58:19.880 the U.S.

00:58:20.280 treasury debt

00:58:20.860 commands such

00:58:21.980 a low

00:58:22.280 interest rate.

00:58:23.140 So when

00:58:23.880 safety goes

00:58:24.580 away,

00:58:25.580 boom.

00:58:26.520 When rumors

00:58:27.120 of default

00:58:27.720 or hyperinflation

00:58:28.720 start swirling,

00:58:30.020 interest rates

00:58:30.620 may spike

00:58:31.240 to 10%

00:58:31.980 or more,

00:58:32.840 which we

00:58:33.300 cannot pay.

00:58:34.840 Even at

00:58:35.540 the current

00:58:35.940 4% rate,

00:58:37.560 the interest

00:58:38.160 on the

00:58:38.620 $35 trillion

00:58:39.540 debt,

00:58:40.400 he does a

00:58:40.940 little math

00:58:41.360 here,

00:58:42.580 would be

00:58:43.180 $1.4 trillion,

00:58:44.940 which already

00:58:46.460 consumes 60%

00:58:47.820 of the $2.4

00:58:49.720 trillion total

00:58:50.600 income tax

00:58:51.360 revenue.

00:58:52.500 A 10% interest

00:58:53.700 rate,

00:58:54.280 like we saw

00:58:55.040 in the

00:58:55.220 80s,

00:58:55.600 the interest

00:58:56.020 on the

00:58:56.340 debt will

00:58:56.660 be 150% 0.63

00:58:58.860 of income

00:58:59.960 tax revenue.

00:59:01.380 That means

00:59:01.860 it will be

00:59:02.320 75% of

00:59:03.500 all government

00:59:04.200 revenue.

00:59:05.900 Since people

00:59:06.680 know we

00:59:07.080 can't pay

00:59:07.480 10%,

00:59:08.020 they won't

00:59:08.500 accept 10%

00:59:09.420 and will demand

00:59:10.140 even more.

00:59:10.780 That's the

00:59:11.160 doom spiral

00:59:11.880 and it could

00:59:12.980 happen overnight.

00:59:15.220 So now you

00:59:16.880 might say,

00:59:17.560 but Scott,

00:59:18.160 what do we

00:59:18.840 do about that

00:59:19.560 to protect

00:59:20.220 ourselves

00:59:20.660 against default?

00:59:21.900 And I

00:59:23.420 have no

00:59:23.740 idea.

00:59:25.020 I have no

00:59:25.520 idea.

00:59:26.560 I will tell

00:59:27.460 you I own

00:59:28.160 Bitcoin because

00:59:29.560 I like

00:59:29.980 diversification.

00:59:32.100 So Bitcoin

00:59:33.060 as a

00:59:33.560 diversification

00:59:34.500 play makes

00:59:35.480 sense,

00:59:36.000 but I don't

00:59:36.700 know that

00:59:37.000 that gives

00:59:37.480 you safety

00:59:37.940 and I don't

00:59:39.640 know how much

00:59:40.140 you should

00:59:40.460 own to be

00:59:41.540 safe,

00:59:42.140 if it gives

00:59:42.700 you any

00:59:42.980 safety at

00:59:43.520 all.

00:59:44.460 But I

00:59:45.020 can imagine

00:59:45.560 a time when

00:59:46.440 the dollar is

00:59:47.060 worth nothing,

00:59:47.840 but would

00:59:49.860 that make

00:59:50.340 your crypto

00:59:51.000 worth anything?

00:59:52.840 Because you

00:59:53.720 usually have to

00:59:54.320 turn your

00:59:54.740 crypto into

00:59:55.540 dollars to

00:59:56.300 buy stuff.

00:59:58.220 So you

01:00:01.780 say Bitcoin

01:00:02.600 is a scam?

01:00:05.380 Lead and

01:00:06.180 whiskey.

01:00:08.180 Yeah.

01:00:10.540 Well, I

01:00:11.600 wish somebody

01:00:12.660 in our

01:00:13.000 government would

01:00:13.720 tell us the

01:00:14.300 truth and

01:00:15.760 get us ready

01:00:16.460 for whatever's

01:00:17.160 coming,

01:00:18.020 because whatever's

01:00:18.760 coming could

01:00:19.340 be pretty

01:00:20.900 extreme.

01:00:21.900 all right,

01:00:23.820 last little

01:00:24.260 item here,

01:00:25.440 according to

01:00:26.560 The Hill,

01:00:27.800 legacy

01:00:28.460 broadcasters

01:00:29.300 account for

01:00:29.860 just more

01:00:30.280 than 10%

01:00:30.960 of TV

01:00:31.560 viewership in

01:00:33.040 March,

01:00:33.480 10%.

01:00:34.080 So I guess

01:00:34.920 we're talking

01:00:35.340 about ABC,

01:00:36.260 NBC,

01:00:36.800 CBS.

01:00:38.260 Only 10%

01:00:39.400 of TV

01:00:40.100 viewership.

01:00:41.840 Now,

01:00:42.420 I was trying

01:00:43.380 to think when

01:00:43.900 was the last

01:00:44.440 time I watched

01:00:45.100 anything on

01:00:46.960 NBC,

01:00:47.760 CBS,

01:00:48.320 or ABC.

01:00:48.740 I've seen

01:00:50.300 clips of

01:00:52.420 people who

01:00:53.100 were on

01:00:53.360 it, but I

01:00:54.400 don't think

01:00:54.820 I've watched

01:00:55.420 it in

01:00:58.200 months or

01:00:58.940 years, and

01:01:00.460 it used to

01:01:00.900 be the main

01:01:01.400 thing you

01:01:01.780 watched, so

01:01:03.120 I don't

01:01:03.460 know.

01:01:04.680 All right.

01:01:07.160 Ladies and 0.98

01:01:07.860 gentlemen, that

01:01:08.460 is my show for

01:01:09.160 today.

01:01:09.940 I'm going to

01:01:10.580 briefly talk to

01:01:11.720 the locals

01:01:12.220 people, and

01:01:13.880 then I will

01:01:15.280 see the rest of

01:01:15.960 you tomorrow,

01:01:16.840 same time,

01:01:18.100 same place.

01:01:20.020 Thanks for

01:01:20.740 joining on

01:01:21.560 YouTube and

01:01:22.360 Rumble NX.

01:01:23.780 Locals, coming 1.00

01:01:24.640 at you in 30

01:01:25.720 seconds.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 16, 2025

Episode 2811 CWSA 04⧸16⧸25

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