Join me for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better, called and it happens. That s right, right now. It s coffee day, and there s never been a better time to drink it.
00:09:42.760And if Grok can read my documents and talk to me and remember things, finally, maybe I can guess something that can, you know, do the stuff that I want.
00:09:57.520Because it's been over, what, a year and a half since I started playing with AI and thinking, oh, this can solve some real problems I have in my, you know, keeping my data straight and stuff like that.
00:12:06.880According to just the news, Valero is announcing the probable closure, or pending closure, I guess, of one of its two remaining California refineries.
00:12:18.020And so California is going to lose 18% of its current refining capacity by the end of 2026, when we were already, like, right at the limit.
00:12:30.520So why would a refinery want to leave California?
00:12:35.620Wouldn't you think that would be a great place to be?
00:12:38.120You've got all those people driving cars and needing gas, and you're a refinery, and there's not a lot of refineries.
00:12:43.580Wouldn't that be the best business to be in?
00:12:47.420Well, not with the rules that California is putting on them.
00:12:53.740So one of the things that California did is it's got a statewide ban on the sale of new gas-powered cars in 2035.
00:13:02.700So if you were thinking of building a refinery, you would say to yourself, wait, they're going to stop selling gas cars in that state?
00:14:52.960Well, according to Trump, you can't have tax-exempt status unless you're acting in the public interest.
00:14:59.820And apparently, they think Harvard's not acting in the public interest.
00:15:05.260The government wants Harvard to do more about anti-Semitism and more about DEI and basically just a bunch of things.
00:15:14.960And Harvard has decided that the government should not be telling a private institution what to do.
00:15:19.920And then the government said, well, very fine, but maybe the public should not be giving money to your institution since you're all private.
00:15:30.800So we'll be following this fight, Harvard versus the United States government.
00:15:38.780Well, here's something that is messed up.
00:15:43.580Well, so remember when you thought that Doge was going to cut the budget and, you know, Trump was going to cut taxes for everybody?
00:15:55.120Well, apparently, the Republicans are now considering raising the top rate to 40% for people who earn over a million dollars.
00:16:05.440So that would be people with a small business that's doing well, for example.
00:17:44.040At least that's going in the right direction, school choice.
00:17:46.780You remember the story yesterday about Letitia James, the Attorney General of New York, who prosecuted Trump for allegedly claiming his properties were worth more than they were to get a loan.
00:18:03.380But of course, the banks that gave that loan were not depending on anything that Trump said about his properties.
00:18:11.020Their normal routine is to do their own, you know, do their own, their own evaluation of the value of any assets.
00:18:20.160So it turns out that Letitia James was credibly accused, credibly accused of being a mortgage fraud herself by claiming that her Virginia residence was her primary residence, claiming that her father was her husband,
00:18:41.300and claiming that a New York unit that she has had four units in it, which gave it better tax treatment, I guess, or not tax treatment.
00:22:46.000So, anyway, Trump thinks interest rates should be lower, but it doesn't look like it's going to happen.
00:22:51.200So, just to make the Democrats have something else to complain about, according to Reuters, SpaceX is a leading contender for what Trump wants to build that he calls the Golden Dome,
00:23:09.880a defense for the country against missile attacks, meaning that it would shoot up our own counter missiles to knock down any incoming missiles.
00:23:21.080And SpaceX would be working with other companies, theoretically.
00:23:27.180Now, I don't think any final decisions are made, but this is just sort of who's in the lead for these things.
00:23:35.300But SpaceX would partner with Palantir and Enderil, and they'd have some kind of subscription model.
00:23:43.480So, I think what SpaceX would do would be to provide the satellite intelligence so that the satellites can see pretty much everything on the Earth,
00:23:55.240so it would know if a missile attack is coming.
00:27:19.620You know, it does lean toward the higher income people.
00:27:24.340But then you look at his other plan, which is to come up with a higher tax rate for the highest paid people.
00:27:34.120And it doesn't look like he's favoring the rich.
00:27:37.240It looks like he's just trying to reduce taxes.
00:27:41.080So, at least those two topics would work well together.
00:27:44.940Well, the judges ruled that the 530,000 illegal migrants that Biden flew in on airplanes would have to be tried individually before being deported.
00:28:00.040So, even though they came in as a giant program, they could only be removed, according to this judge, if every one of them had a, you know, a full vetting and a process, I guess.
00:28:16.260So, they'd have to be tried individually.
00:28:19.340Trump, of course, and the Trump administration is mocking that judge because if you did try to do it individually, it literally is impossible.
00:28:28.300It just would take, you know, 100 years or something.
00:28:34.940So, I assume this will just go to a higher court because the only thing you could do with this group, if you really wanted to get rid of them, the only thing you could do would be to do it as a group and just say the whole group is illegal because the program is, I don't know, I've decided the program was illegal for some good reason.
00:29:04.280Now, as you know, this whole Kilmer Abrego Garcia guy, also known as the Maryland dad who got deported to El Salvador.
00:29:14.360For the longest time, I did not find that story interesting, not because it had no, you know, interesting parts, but because I just don't like to get involved in stories about one person.
00:29:31.520Because unless it's telling you something about the larger world, it just doesn't seem like you should have it in your head at all.
00:29:41.820You know, unless you're like personally related to it or, you know, a victim of him or something, it just isn't important what happens to one person.
00:29:50.680But there are so many moving parts to this now, it's become one of my favorite things.
00:30:02.840I can't tell if this is intentional, but the Trump administration had claims that he was a bad guy,
00:30:10.460so that the deporting was completely appropriate and he had plenty of due process and a court had found him to be deportable and he was a bad guy.
00:30:27.820But Democrats argued that there wasn't really evidence that he was a bad guy.
00:30:33.580So, they decided to, you know, one of the senators, Van Holland, he travels all the way down to El Salvador.
00:30:42.620And then on camera, several times, he referred to El Salvador as San Salvador.
00:30:50.640And apparently, he got, you know, no political interest whatsoever from El Salvador.
00:30:58.480I don't even know if anybody met with him.
00:31:00.640But he didn't get even to talk to him.
00:31:20.600And then James Carville recommends the Democrats go all in on this.
00:31:26.680And, like, you know, just take your balls to the wall.
00:31:29.780And they really make it a hill to die on.
00:31:33.580And the argument is that if we can let this happen to this one person, in other words, get deported and jailed without what they would call due process, but the people on the right say he did have due process,
00:34:51.980But it's a pretty long list of really bad sounding things that makes me think maybe the Democrats acted a little too hastily in deciding that they would put all of their weight behind this.
00:35:07.900Now, their argument, of course, as I said, is that if somebody like this, who maybe is a bad person, but if they can be jailed or deported without due process, then eventually that could happen to your mom.
00:35:26.260So, you know, if your mom, for example, was a wife beater who wore MS-13 clothes and hung out with MS-13 and had an MS-13 nickname and position in the organization, and he was on a terrorist watch list, and he had been ordered by the court to be deported.
00:35:49.380Well, if that happened to your mom, how sad would you be when your mom got deported to the El Salvador jail, right?
00:35:58.540So, the hilarious thing is that from a technical perspective, the Democrats might be right.
00:36:09.780You know, there might be a little bit of due process that you wish there had been.
00:36:15.220But I'm not terribly worried about this specific guy.
00:36:20.460And then the argument is, but what about your mom?
00:36:22.980Later, your mom will be, you know, picked up in the same process.
00:36:27.180And I'm thinking to myself, there's a long distance between this guy with his record and your mom.
00:36:36.840I mean, that's a pretty long distance.
00:36:38.660And one of the things about Democrats, which is probably true of Republicans as well, is once they get committed to a position, they just can't change.
00:36:48.680So, if Democrats were reasonable, thinking people, what they would have done is said, whoa, whoa, whoa, we didn't realize he was this bad.
00:37:01.760You're showing us pretty good evidence of how bad he is.
00:37:05.080We'd like to still, you know, press the point that maybe he should have had more due process.
00:37:10.180I'm not sure what he was supposed to have that he didn't get, because he got some due process.
00:37:14.120Otherwise, he wouldn't have a deportation order against him.
00:37:20.480But to me, it's just hilarious that they can't back off the political part of it.
00:37:25.760They can keep to their point that maybe in some way he should have had more due process.
00:37:31.880But they really need to back off supporting him coming back to the country.
00:37:37.340And even if he came back and got his due process, he would just be shipped back to that El Salvadorian jail.
00:37:45.620You know, it is his country of, it is his country of origin.
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00:39:05.820And he was telling Democrats that they should play to win, you know, not to just win points.
00:39:12.020How in the world does Carville think that supporting the MS-13 guy is going to put the Democrats over the line to win elections?
00:39:22.680It's maybe the dumbest thing the Democrats have ever done.
00:39:29.720So anyway, so they've got a lot of analogy thinking problem, which is if something reminds you of something else, you think it'll go the same way.
00:39:40.240So if it reminds you of that old saying, as Garville said also, first they came for this group and I said nothing, and then they came for this group and I said nothing, and then they came for me.
00:39:53.220Well, not everything goes that way, does it?
00:39:58.320For example, you know, if you're a murderer, even if you're a citizen, are you going to go a different path than your mom who didn't murder anybody?
00:40:11.660I mean, we haven't taken it from, well, we've locked up a lot of people in prisons in the United States.
00:40:17.060You know, they went through due process, but they got locked up to, well, if you can use due process to lock up the criminals, what is to stop them from using due process to lock up your mom?
00:40:35.040It sort of is ignoring how anything works in the real world.
00:40:40.860So anyway, Democrats have gone from bad to ridiculously bad.
00:40:48.360And then Garville has picked a fight with David Hogg, who's using the DNC.
00:40:55.200So Hogg wants Democrats to primary other Democrats because he thinks that some of those Democrats are not, you know, qualified or they're too old or they don't have any fight in them.
00:41:09.340So he wants to go after other Democrats.
00:41:13.200And Garville says he should quit his position in the DNC if he wants to go primary people, because that seems like the opposite of what he should be doing.
00:41:23.720I have to admit, Garville's kind of right about that.
00:41:27.020If you're trying to win, probably your best play is not to primary anybody on your own side.
00:41:37.320And then, you know, maybe later you could primary people.
00:41:41.300But so Garville is quite insistent that the far left part of the party needs to be abandoned, which would allow them not to win any elections whatsoever.
00:44:44.100But if you're ready, like you've already made the first step yourself and you found out, hey, I'm starting to think this news isn't completely real.
00:44:55.220Now, you know what Gelman amnesia is, right?
00:44:59.360This is sort of where this all came from.
00:45:02.060There was a physicist who noticed that when he read stories about physics, the one thing he knew about for sure, those stories were all inaccurate.
00:45:10.780But then he would convince himself that all the other stories were fine until one day he thought, wait a minute.
00:45:19.660What are the odds that every time I know something about this story is wrong, but every time I don't know anything about this story, it's true.
00:45:27.580And then he sort of reasoned that maybe the news wasn't true in general.
00:45:33.640Well, that's why I mentioned that Matt Van Swal was a former nuclear and is a former nuclear scientist for the U.S. Department of Energy.
00:45:43.540I feel like if you're a scientist and you see that you've been fooled on an important story in the media and you see it for yourself,
00:45:52.820that it activates the Gelman amnesia part of your brain where you go, wait a minute, just wait a minute.
00:46:03.380How many other things have I been, you know, propagandized by?
00:47:21.160Now, I wouldn't go that far to say that they're happy because he killed a white kid.
00:47:45.880You know, because black America is a big, diverse group.
00:47:53.840And it might be true that some percentage have that perspective.
00:48:00.200But people remember that I got canceled.
00:48:03.780I got canceled for reading a survey that was data-driven.
00:48:09.380I didn't make it up that suggested that black Americans had a problem with the white Americans and, you know, didn't think it was even okay to be white.
00:48:21.460And there was something like 30 or 40 percent of the respondents.
00:48:25.920So, which is not a majority, but it's an alarming number.
00:48:30.400And I said, hmm, I don't think you'd want to spend much time around a group of people if 30 percent of them didn't, you know, didn't think it was okay even to be you.
00:48:41.320And I would say the same thing if you reverse the races.
00:48:48.420If you were a black professional and you were moving for work and you had a choice of towns to settle in that were both close enough to work.
00:48:57.040And one of them was known to have a robust Ku Klux Klan entity in it.
00:50:18.240If it just turns out it was two teenagers doing teenage things and one of them pulled a knife and killed the other, then that's a completely different story.
00:50:27.900So, anyway, apparently I've become, somebody in the comments says, the face of common sense about race.
00:51:26.600It seems to me it would be hard to imagine an entire classroom of 31 kids without at least one person that was identified as on the autism spectrum.
00:51:40.440So, I do believe the numbers, I mean, that tracks with observation and experience.
00:51:50.380But RFK Jr. is sure it's an environmental toxin.
00:51:54.540He's not committing to it being vaccinations or food or pollution, but it's one of those things or something in the air or the food or something.
00:52:09.080But he also had a point that was kind of good, because some people said that it might be genetic.
00:52:18.820And I think his argument, oh, no, somebody said that it might be an artifact of better diagnostic criteria, meaning that maybe we always had the same amount of autism, but we didn't diagnose it the same.
00:52:34.220So, now all that's different is we diagnose it.
00:52:37.860And RFK Jr. says, if that's true, that it's only about diagnosing it, why is it not happening in older people?
00:52:47.780How is it that older people are not being diagnosed with autism, but young people are?
00:52:53.440And that's a pretty good point, because if it were only about the diagnostic tools, then people who were 55 would go into the doctor's office and the doctor would say, we've got these new tools, and I can tell you that you've been autistic all your life, and we just couldn't detect it until now or something like that.
00:53:47.120I feel like that's a messed up opinion.
00:53:50.740You know, it's not like I know RFK Jr. personally, but there's nothing about him that suggests that if he found out it was in the food, he would pretend it was in the vaccinations.
00:54:05.320I don't think there's any chance of that.
00:54:07.200And I feel like it's a complete misunderstanding of who he is and what he cares about and why he's doing this.
00:54:20.380And he's sacrificing pretty much everything to see if he can fix this damn problem, which, you know, is part of the larger problem of chronic illness.
00:54:33.540I think that the one and only thing that Kennedy cares about is getting the right answer.
00:54:40.020I don't think that there's even a little part of him that would say, oh, no, my career or my reputation depend on it being vaccinations, so I'm going to pretend it was the vaccinations and throw away the studies that say it's anything else.
00:54:57.740That just doesn't seem like the guy we've been watching, does it?
00:55:03.500How many of you think that that would even be like a wild possibility?
00:55:09.760I think he's one of the people who would say I was 100% wrong.
00:55:13.860It was in the food and not the vaccinations.
00:56:31.460Yes, for over 70 years, China's development has relied on self-reliance and hard work, never on handouts from others, and is not afraid of any unjust suppression.
00:56:42.560Regardless of how the external environment changes, China will remain confident, stay focused, and concentrate on managing its own affairs well.
00:56:50.560He called the trade war unwinnable, but made it clear that China is not going to fold, no matter how hot it gets.
00:56:59.500Well, nobody said that we were funding China per se.
00:57:04.320We did say that the trade deals are unfair, which he does not deny.
00:57:11.140So, yeah, I think he's, you know, weaseling around the accusations.
00:57:24.960Apparently, the Palestinians in general, not just, we're not talking about Hamas, but the Palestinians who were in the West Bank, I guess, and had their own military and had their own political staff.
00:57:39.360I didn't know this, but the Amuse account is pointing out that the 70% of their funding for their little military and political stuff came from USAID, and that got cut.
00:57:53.300So now it's a total financial collapse, and they can't pay salaries.
00:57:58.740Now, how many of you knew that we were paying Palestinian military and Palestinian leaders' salaries?
00:58:12.480If you had known that, would you have been in favor of doing that?
00:58:16.480See, it's good that we didn't know as much as we know now about USAID, because we wouldn't have been in favor of much of it.
00:58:23.540Now, I get the USAID is how we control things.
00:58:28.900So if we're paying the salaries of the Palestinian leaders, well, they might be a little more likely to do things that our CIA wants them to do.
00:59:05.660This is according to the New York Times.
00:59:07.700So New York Times says that when Netanyahu was here recently, he was trying to convince the Trump administration to attack Iran in May.
00:59:19.680And the Trump administration was divided on that.
00:59:23.340But apparently the decision, which presumably is a Trump decision, Trump told Netanyahu during the White House visit that no American support for military action would happen while negotiations with Tehran continue.
00:59:39.540Now, does that sound to you like good cop, bad cop?
01:03:50.080It brainwash this Chinese soldier into going to fight for another country with no training whatsoever in the most dangerous place you could possibly be because TikTok made it look like a good idea.
01:04:05.680Yes, TikTok can brainwash you into doing things that are super dangerous for you.
01:04:14.920Now, it's not going to brainwash every person the same way.
01:04:19.460But if you're looking at groups of people, absolutely, it could convince you to do any dangerous thing.
01:04:26.940And we thought, well, that doesn't sound like a risk.