A special Easter message from President Trump, a new theory about genetics, and the death of Pope John Paul III. Plus, Scott Adams takes you on a trip down memory lane with a look back at the life and career of Pope Francis.
00:15:47.000But this looks like a pretty big problem to me.
00:15:49.760So, if you don't want to eat bugs, because you know that's the fallback, you don't want to eat bugs, you might want to fix this cow situation.
00:15:58.720Well, I was taking a look at the story about the budget problem.
00:16:05.120So, the Republicans have this very big problem trying to come up with a budget.
00:16:11.820Number one, you know, the budget is way beyond our ability to pay.
00:16:17.800So, you have to cut expenses, which apparently the Republicans are unwilling to do, at least collectively.
00:16:27.580There might be some that are willing to do it.
00:16:29.300But collectively, they're unwilling to cut expenses for the vital services that vulnerable people require.
00:16:38.860You know, the Medicaid, the Social Security, et cetera, where the big money is.
00:16:43.000And, of course, the military budget just goes up no matter what.
00:16:48.080So, they can't balance the budget by cutting expenses.
00:16:53.480But they also can't balance it by raising taxes, because they're Republicans.
00:16:59.300So, even if some of them were maybe into it for the rich, it wouldn't be enough, and it wouldn't be very popular for a Republican.
00:17:08.580It'd be hard to get elected if you raise taxes.
00:17:11.500So, we have a situation where we're something like 27% higher expenses than we have income, which will kill us all.
00:17:22.740And so, I spent a little time with Doge, I'm sorry, with Grok, trying to figure out just how deep a hole are we in?
00:18:41.100And it doesn't look like anything's going to happen to change that.
00:18:43.920Which might be why Elon Musk has been a little bit quiet lately, because Doge just sort of didn't work.
00:18:51.000And I'm not too surprised, because once the, you know, once the cabinet people were in position, they probably just all fought the any kind of cuts.
00:19:03.640And they just vetoed them, which they had the power to do.
00:19:08.220So, I don't see any way that we're going to get to it.
00:19:13.100So, but suppose you just said, all right, we're in an emergency situation.
00:19:21.180Oh, and also, the, you know, you'll hear people like Peter Navarro say, well, but we have all this tariff revenue, could be $600 billion.
00:19:31.380We're not going to get $600 billion of tariff revenue.
00:19:37.880So, you know, maybe it helps a little bit.
00:19:43.520But if we were, according to Grok, we would have to cut something like a quarter of all the expenses on everything in order to get to a balanced budget.
00:19:54.640Now, even if you did it gradually, so that you worked up to it, it would be way more of a cut than anybody could survive.
00:23:42.360Because it would be better if we don't have the ability to fight every kind of war and every kind of theater, which is sort of what we're preparing for.
00:23:52.600Wouldn't it be better if we could just fight the wars that we would have to fight?
00:24:00.180Interior Secretary Burgum, according to Newsmax, says that Trump is fighting a war on mining, meaning that the Biden administration made it very tough to do mining.
00:24:30.680And, of course, some states would be having their own limitations.
00:24:35.600But, apparently, Trump has announced a resolution on copper mining, so something that would allow rapid approval to do copper mining.
00:24:46.840And, apparently, Trump has approved 10 different, or there are 10 different mines that are now being added to the list of things that look like they'll get approved.
00:25:03.660So, Trump's had 10 more mining projects to the list of the fast approval list.
00:25:11.460So, these are all things that would help us compete against China.
00:25:14.480Now, question, could we earn our way out of our debt problem?
00:25:23.560Could we do so good at mining and energy production and sales?
00:25:30.500And, you know, basically, you know, just boosting the things that are the most valuable?
00:25:53.320There's a New Mexico judge who just resigned because ICE arrested a Venezuelan gang member who lived in his house.
00:26:01.300So, he was a Democrat-appointed judge who had a roommate who was literally trying to do a ragwa.
00:26:12.640And, the guy had ammo, gang tattoos, video of him firing an AR-15 with a suppressor, graphic images of mutilated bodies on his phone.
00:26:25.020And, the judge, who was a former cop, so the judge was a former cop, and he didn't notice anything about his roommate.
00:26:36.480He didn't notice that his roommate was obviously a gang member.
00:26:41.980Anyway, that's the world we're living in.
00:26:46.480Here's a question I saw answered by the Wall Street Journal that I've been wondering about for a while.
00:26:52.660Well, apparently, Nike has been trying to move its production out of China for a long time.
00:27:01.360So, not just recently, but for about 10 years, they've been trying to move their production out of China, to move it to Vietnam or Mexico or wherever they can move it.
00:27:13.700And, they've spent a ton of money trying to automate making of sneakers.
00:28:11.140You can automate things that are exactly the same every time, but a sneaker is just a little bit different every time.
00:28:17.740And, then, on top of that, Nike's business model, which they don't want to change, is that they're introducing all kinds of new models all the time.
00:28:27.360You would never be able to keep up, even if you could come up with some way to automate the making of sneakers.
00:28:33.880You wouldn't be able to update your factory to do it automated with all the new models.
00:28:41.620But, a human being can look at the new sneaker and say, oh, same as the old sneaker, but looks like the bottom is different.
00:28:52.140So, there are some things that we might want to be onshored that just never will be because there isn't any way to automate it.
00:29:01.260Now, I do wonder if AI could solve that because the automation we're talking about so far is the dumb kind where it just can do the same thing every time.
00:29:13.440But, if you added AI, would it be able to detect the slight changes in the temperature and the squishiness of the materials?
00:29:25.740Would it be able to instantly adjust to make the new model?
00:29:29.360Because it would say, hmm, it's just like the old one except a different footprint, so to speak.
00:30:22.780NVIDIA is selling them lesser chips, the 910C.
00:30:26.920But it turns out that with a little clever engineering, if you have two of them, and you just work them together, they reach the same performance as their high-end chip.
00:30:41.280So, now NVIDIA can just sell all these low-end chips, which would be totally legal, and China can just stick them together and use some clever engineering, and they end up operating like high-end chips.
00:30:57.020So, we got basically nothing out of that.
00:31:01.300Anyway, so, sanctioning the other companies has a limited ability.
00:31:11.280So, here's some AI stories that I don't believe.
00:31:16.960You know, there's going to be a certain amount of AI, you know, headline news that's true, and there's going to be a certain amount that just is BS.
00:31:29.340Here's some stuff that my BS detector says, I don't think so.
00:31:42.300So, you know the DeepSeq AI that comes from China, which is allegedly as good as other AIs, but less expensive.
00:31:53.120So, according to Geeky Gadgets, Julian Horsey is writing about this, there's something fantastic happening with DeepSeq, and that it's capable of self-improvement.
00:32:04.740So, in other words, it can somehow, on its own, get smarter.
00:32:40.880So, it says it can improve itself through, quote, iterative feedback loops, which is just talking to itself, right?
00:32:50.220It's not talking about checking it with other AI or checking it with people, and that would make sense.
00:32:58.820You know, if it did things and then some external source checked its work and then it said, oh, okay, now you've checked me, so I'll get this right next time.
00:33:09.380But how in the world is just running on its own going to allow it to get smarter?
00:33:19.620You know, I get that maybe it says stuff like, you know, once you get an answer, you should double check it and use these tools to double check it.
00:33:31.160But there's not much, I don't think there's much room to grow there.
00:33:36.320So, I'm going to say I don't believe this.
00:33:38.620I don't believe that DeepSeek is just making itself better by sitting there running on its own because they've got a clever algorithm that they built into it.
00:36:14.180So, the European Union, according to Reuters, might tweak their methane rules so that they can buy more U.S. gas.
00:36:22.440So, apparently, the U.S. has some kind of methane that's different than what they use locally.
00:36:30.160And they can't buy our gas because they say we have the wrong kind of methane.
00:36:34.500But the methane that U.S. gas has doesn't seem to be worse or more dangerous than whatever they're doing.
00:36:43.880So, the EU, because they want to, you know, be able to buy U.S. gas and close the trade gap so that they can get a better trade deal with Trump.
00:36:56.740They might change their own rules so they can buy U.S. gas without that limitation.
00:37:04.100So, that would be a big win if we could sell things.
00:37:09.740You know, I do wonder, does the U.S. produce enough energy or could it that energy alone would be the difference between, you know, meeting our budget needs and not?
00:37:21.600You know, could we boost our GDP by, I don't know, 10% a year instead of 3% a year or whatever is normal just with energy?
00:37:34.100Because it looks like there's going to be infinite need for energy all over the world.
00:37:39.880And Trump's doing a good job of saying you better buy our energy because, you know, it's part of the larger trade deal.
00:37:47.360I just wonder what the upside of that is.
00:37:50.520Is this the only way we could save ourselves by becoming essentially the Saudi Arabia of the world?
00:37:59.140I guess we already have more oil than Saudi Arabia.
00:38:38.940So apparently we spend $2 billion a year to support Egypt's military.
00:38:45.220Now you might say to yourself, well, that's not so bad because, you know, we like Egypt to be on our side and, you know, it's one way to get some influence over there.
00:38:56.760$2 billion doesn't sound like, you know, the worst thing in the world given all our other expenses.
00:39:38.160How in the world is this even possible that we're paying Egypt $2 billion a year for the military and then they're doing military drills with China?
00:39:50.520It doesn't even seem possible, does it?
00:39:53.060I hope there's something to this story that I don't know.
00:39:58.160Well, the Wall Street Journal is warning that the trade negotiations with China are, you know, not going well.
00:40:04.940And that it could lead to a larger Cold War, meaning that China would take its, let's say, reactions to our trade demands outside of the trade domain and maybe they'd do some more cyber attacks.
00:40:24.180Maybe they would get a little more militarily adventurous around Taiwan.
00:40:30.480So a Cold War would sort of bring into the larger equation some extra risks that you don't normally see unless you're in a Cold War.
00:40:43.680But I wonder how different that would be than what we've experienced for the last 20 years.
00:40:50.340Don't you think China is already doing what it can to degrade the United States in every way they can get away with?
00:40:56.900So I don't know if it would be different, but maybe we'd talk about it differently.
00:41:04.220But yes, we're heading toward a larger Cold War.
00:41:08.100I don't see us getting into a hot war or a nuclear confrontation, but a Cold War?
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00:42:04.660So, China is warning other countries that don't make any trade deals with the U.S. that are bad for China.
00:43:05.000According to the Gateway Pundit, and there are some sources that spoke to Reuters and say that Israel is looking at and is likely to do their own military attack without the United States on Iranian nuclear facilities.
00:43:24.140So, it wouldn't be as massive as it would be if the U.S. was all in.
00:43:30.180But since the U.S. is not all in, it looks like Israel might do it anyway.
00:43:36.240Now, it does make me wonder how Iran would treat that.
00:43:40.540Would Iran treat that as the United States was involved?
00:43:43.960Because Israel would be using our weapons and, you know, probably we'd be giving them some intelligence from satellites and probably we'd have some secret interaction with them that maybe wasn't public, but Iran would know about it.
00:44:02.820Now, it does seem to me that that's the most likely outcome because I don't think Trump can survive starting a war.
00:44:13.040He would lose, you know, one of his biggest claims to being a good president if he starts a war.
00:44:23.480Now, I think the Houthi situation is already questionable because that looks like a war to me.
00:44:29.660But if he goes after Iran directly and U.S. bombers go over Iranian territory and drop bombs and kill Iranian citizens and take out their nuclear program,
00:44:45.300first of all, I don't know that it would work, and secondly, we have no idea what Iran would unleash on the United States
00:44:53.860because it wouldn't take much for, you know, a well-trained group of terrorists to just take down the whole country.
00:45:03.560You know, I'm not going to give them any suggestions, but you can use your imagination if Iranian...
00:45:15.300And if they did, then I guess we would be even more militarily inclined to attack.
00:45:27.320So maybe Iran would say, okay, let's just deal with Israel and make the best of it.
00:45:34.320But yes, I don't think there's any chance that Iran will reach an agreement that Israel and the U.S. think is okay for their nuclear situation.
00:46:04.320I saw a news bit, but it's not confirmed.
00:46:07.460Maybe you can fact-check me on this because it was just this morning.
00:46:11.560Did Trump somehow block Ukraine's NATO bid?
00:46:17.160Meaning, did Trump say Ukraine will never be in NATO?
00:47:27.360According to Neoscope, Frank Landymore is writing, that there's now a single injection of a decades-old existing asthma medication called omelizumab.
00:48:29.700But the fact that they might have an existing medication that you could take once and you would never have allergy problems again, even from food.
00:50:24.260I don't know how they would move a rock to the top of the pyramid with water, but that would be a pretty clever system if they could do it.
00:50:33.780Now, here's another story that nobody believes.
00:50:39.920As you know, every single day, there's a new announcement about a battery breakthrough that you'll be able to charge your car in a few minutes and it will go for 1,000 miles and it doesn't use lithium and every day.
00:50:55.560But I don't think maybe none of them will actually become products because I'm not seeing any of them come to market.
00:51:02.560So, here's another one from Interesting Engineering, something that can charge in 20 minutes, an EV battery that will charge.
00:51:15.940So, the current ones don't charge that fast, but they've already figured out a new anode in South Korea and it promises to make your car charge in 20 minutes.
00:51:26.960And it can endure over 1,500 charge cycles so that it would be as easy as filling your car with gas.