Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2819 CWSA 04⧸24⧸25

00:00:00.000 see my comments will be coming online come on technology is a little slow today

00:00:11.620 you can do it all right we'll get to that later i guess

00:00:15.920 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:26.000 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take this

00:00:31.740 experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains

00:00:36.920 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass a tank or chelsea stein a canteen jug or flask a

00:00:42.420 vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:00:48.180 unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything better

00:00:52.460 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:00:57.960 spectacular

00:01:03.880 all right everybody let's uh check in with the world of science and see if there's any scientific studies

00:01:13.920 that they could have skipped just by asking scott oh here's one um according to ucl political science

00:01:24.300 um female lobbyists are more likely to gain access to meetings with policymakers

00:01:30.740 did they really have to study that to find out that female lobbyists can get meetings with

00:01:40.700 policymakers more easily apparently even with female policymakers but i would have known that too

00:01:47.140 let me tell you about my career day when i was a senior in college so uh in my little college in

00:01:56.660 upstate new york uh when i was a senior the uh bunch of local companies would come in and they would

00:02:03.400 interview the seniors to maybe make job offers and one of the big employers was a pharmaceutical company

00:02:11.280 looking for sales reps and um i knew a lot of people in the college it was a very small college

00:02:19.520 and i saw that the people i was competing against because we were sort of lining up to do our little

00:02:25.700 interviews um weren't nearly as accomplished as me academically so i'm thinking to myself uh this is

00:02:33.940 going to be easy i am so going to get this job offer to be a pharmaceutical representative and the

00:02:41.100 other people who were in line were really hot really hot girls who were not that good at academics

00:02:47.980 and every single one of the hot girls got it offered to be a pharmaceutical sales rep

00:02:57.300 and none of the guys not not a single male was offered anything

00:03:03.460 and that's where i learned that you don't need to do a study to find out that women can get more

00:03:12.340 access to meetings yes women can definitely get more access to meetings you could have just asked me

00:03:19.620 all right let's see what let's see if science has any more surprises um oh yeah here we go according

00:03:26.740 to eric dolan who's writing in sci post uh there's new this one's just funny there's new evidence new

00:03:38.240 research there's new research there's new research in the journal of effective disorders

00:03:45.920 that suggests that people who engage in sexual activity at least once a week are less likely to

00:03:52.400 experience symptoms of depression somebody actually somebody has somebody actually took time and money to

00:04:02.140 study that yes yes people who are getting laid are happier than people who are not getting laid

00:04:08.980 period period now sometimes it's cause you know the cause and effect you can go either way in that

00:04:17.220 particular case but yes people who are having more sex i could almost guarantee you on average are

00:04:24.500 happier than people who are not having sex

00:04:29.060 so next time just ask me you you don't need to do that study just ask me

00:04:34.660 uh in other news of hilarious science uh do you remember the claims that were all over social media

00:04:43.460 that uh some group had used some wild uh technology that was looking under the pyramids

00:04:51.780 and they found these vast columns uh suggesting an entire different civilization was you know at work for

00:05:00.420 years before the pyramids and as soon as i saw that i said no that's not real well apparently today

00:05:12.820 according to the afp uh the scientists are saying it's a rubbish claim and there's no giant structures

00:05:19.780 beneath the egyptian pyramids but apparently uh all the experts who are aware of the technology that

00:05:27.620 they use to image under the ground pretty much all of them say that technology can't do that

00:05:35.140 even if there were giant columns under the pyramids you couldn't see them with that technology

00:05:40.820 that definitely wouldn't work so i could be wrong maybe there are giant pillars under the pyramids

00:05:48.980 but i'm going to claim at least temporarily i'm going to claim success in debunking that without

00:05:55.380 doing any research at all as soon as i saw that one i thought probably not probably not here's another one

00:06:09.220 the science is also stupid today according to the daily mail the vatican has uh in its documents

00:06:18.820 you know in secret archives it has uh secret links to ufos

00:06:27.460 and some researchers now believe that the holy see could be sitting on the biggest secret of all

00:06:33.620 proof of extraterrestrial life do you think the vatican has proof of extraterrestrial life

00:06:41.780 and they've been keeping it from us i'm gonna say nope

00:06:49.060 nope not unless that uh alien life is under those pyramids i'm gonna say no on that

00:06:57.700 uh all right here's one that is real um according to elon musk your tesla will soon be a robo taxi if you

00:07:07.780 want now what i think that means is you can just park your tesla outside your garage

00:07:15.540 and then if somebody has an app now it does this isn't functional yet but it's all developed and

00:07:22.180 looks like it'll roll out pretty soon um you could just call up a self-driving tesla

00:07:28.420 and it will just pull out of your driveway and go pick somebody up and make some money while you're

00:07:33.220 sleeping how many how many of you would let strangers use your car i feel like i feel like

00:07:42.260 it would be creepy to know that other people were in your car doing god knows what because there's no

00:07:48.260 driver there but it would be like uber but without the driver what's the worst thing about an uber

00:07:54.900 it's the driver the worst thing about an uber is the driver because if you're let's say young or

00:08:03.700 you're female uh you have to worry about the driver being dangerous if you're male you have to worry

00:08:11.220 about the driver playing the radio or making a phone call or being really annoying and trying to talk to

00:08:17.540 you the whole time so there's nothing worse about uber than the driver there's also the thing where

00:08:25.060 the driver will start to come to you and then for reasons you don't understand they cancel or they

00:08:31.140 change their mind that's not the technology doing that that's that's the driver so if you can get rid of

00:08:38.340 the driver and tesla could be like uber in all the other ways yeah that'd be pretty good speaking of tesla

00:08:50.580 i saw this in barrio an awful summary i guess the source is teslarati but did you know that every

00:08:58.980 model 3 and model y that's uh delivered in the united states uses batteries that are 100 made in america

00:09:08.340 did you think we could even do that i didn't even know that america could make that many batteries

00:09:15.380 but apparently um tesla has been able to make all of its batteries completely in america for some time

00:09:22.740 now um so that's that's interesting to know bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking

00:09:34.260 package learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer

00:09:42.180 than you think and according to a post i saw on x by nick cruz patain he says that tesla vehicles share

00:09:53.060 the same batteries cameras and computers as the optimist robots will so i i think i could guess that

00:10:01.700 that would be the same ai and you know computers and why wouldn't they use the same batteries you know

00:10:08.100 the smaller versions so yeah you're gonna have uh you're gonna have robots and self-driving cars and it's

00:10:16.260 all coming quickly um in other news washington post is reporting that trump has ordered that uh schools

00:10:25.780 develop some kind of ai training for american kids i guess china's already doing this china is forcing

00:10:33.460 forcing um kids in china at the youngest age have to learn ai and now trump's trying to catch up

00:10:41.860 and he's gonna put uh crypto billionaire david sachs that's one way to describe him i wouldn't describe

00:10:48.660 him as a crypto billionaire that that feels dismissive but uh david sachs will be involved in that

00:10:58.340 um and the executive order will uh force schools to train students and teachers in artificial

00:11:04.660 intelligence that seems like a really wise thing to do and i think trump also signed an executive order

00:11:12.020 to get more trade training to young people as well that could be good in other news uh paramount

00:11:23.940 that's the uh i guess that they own cbs they settled a discrimination suit over dei policies there was a

00:11:33.300 specific uh white man who couldn't get a job within that entity within cbs uh because he was told

00:11:41.700 directly that he didn't check any boxes for dei so even though he was highly qualified and experienced

00:11:49.620 he just couldn't get a job as cbs as a writer they just needed more dei so america first legal

00:11:56.260 um took that case and pressed it and apparently succeeded so i don't know if there's a financial

00:12:04.740 settlement but uh but the company paramount and cbs they they decided to publicly back away from all the dei

00:12:14.260 stuff so that's good so only one million companies to go i remember when i got cancelled

00:12:23.460 um and i told my story about how you know back in the 80s and 90s um it was almost impossible to

00:12:32.980 get promoted if you're a white man in san francisco and i remember uh i think it was an editor a black

00:12:41.300 editor and in chicago who challenged me on x and said there's no evidence of that you're making that up

00:12:48.900 and i thought making it up if you want to find out if it's true that in the 80s and 90s a white man

00:12:57.780 couldn't get promoted as long as there was anybody who wasn't a white man who also wanted the job

00:13:03.460 you could just walk outside and just go up to any white man if they're 50 years old or older and just

00:13:11.940 tap them on the shoulder and say hey were you ever discriminated against for being a white man

00:13:18.260 they would have all said yes you you've got something like probably 30 to 50 million witnesses

00:13:27.620 and and yet there was a uh an educated successful professional black man in chicago who had no idea

00:13:37.940 no idea that that existed do you know why because if you even mentioned it you would get cancelled you

00:13:45.860 could even mention it so you know now that i don't have to worry about having a boss i can mention it

00:13:53.540 but imagine what a surprise that would be to have lived your whole life without knowing that white

00:13:58.740 men were being the ones most discriminated against at least in corporate america i think small businesses

00:14:06.420 probably were the opposite i don't know for sure but in the big businesses yes it was anti-white men

00:14:13.540 since at least the mid 80s and and quite severely so you know not slightly but it was the main

00:14:21.460 the main texture of the employment market so one million companies to go

00:14:31.860 trump also signed the executive order requiring universities to disclose their foreign funding

00:14:38.660 now that seems like a good idea doesn't it you know i never realized how vulnerable the united states

00:14:46.580 was to all the you know the clever ways that we could be influenced and infiltrated until i saw what

00:14:54.900 george soros could do with prosecutors like holy cow he doesn't have to spend much money and then

00:15:01.620 he gets all these local prosecutors and and then they can do all kinds of evil but apparently the same

00:15:08.580 problem existed with colleges and universities because they took money from china and other places and

00:15:17.860 there would be influence so yes we should know who's influencing our colleges and universities

00:15:25.700 that seems like a good idea according to uh jerry dunleavy who's writing for just the news um there's new

00:15:34.740 unredacted documents about 100 biden search warrants that details payments he received from ukraine and china

00:15:44.100 and i guess some other places like romania and elsewhere around the globe so we have actual documents

00:15:55.540 showing hunter biden getting money from these other countries uh i'm pretty sure that some of this

00:16:02.260 was while his father was vice president and i guess the irs and the fbi was fully aware that he was

00:16:10.580 receiving this money from foreign sources but there were no investigations there were no you know no arrests no

00:16:19.380 nothing so apparently our you know major government entities they're supposed to keep people you know on

00:16:28.020 the right side of the law they just saw this biden crime family situation and said uh we're not going to

00:16:34.580 touch this so apparently that the biden crime family was exactly what you thought it was they were taking

00:16:43.460 money from other countries and selling their influence or at least the impression of influence

00:16:50.260 i'm not sure how much influence they actually sold uh well i'm loving i'm loving how the maryland dad

00:16:59.620 who may or may not be ms 13 story is developing because it couldn't be more fun even though it's terrible

00:17:08.180 it couldn't be more fun because every day it seems like there's a new revelation about the

00:17:14.020 uh kilmar abrigo garcia so that that makes it even more embarrassing for the democrats to be fully

00:17:22.420 on board supporting this guy so the latest is you already knew that he had been once stopped

00:17:29.940 while he was driving a vehicle with eight people in it who only had garcia's home address as their

00:17:36.660 address now that's a strong indication that he was involved in human trafficking

00:17:43.700 human trafficking meaning picking up people at the border who were not citizens and delivering them

00:17:51.300 to the interior of the country and having them you know stay here illegally but what we've learned

00:17:59.220 is that the vehicle did not belong to kilmar it belonged to a somebody who was a target suspected of

00:18:06.580 human trafficking apparently the uh our authorities knew that that particular vehicle made trips to the

00:18:14.420 southern border to pick up non-citizens so pretty much for sure he was doing human trafficking

00:18:24.340 so now the democrats have to support somebody who who is credibly accused of being an ms-13 guy and now

00:18:33.060 credibly accused of being a human trafficker and credibly accused of being a wife peter

00:18:40.340 and you wonder how much deeper this can go like like how many new things can we find out about this

00:18:46.100 guy i i feel like it's gonna go and uh well yes it did turn out he murdered some nuns and uh then a week

00:18:56.260 later we'll find out well yes he kept their bodies in the freezer in the basement and then a week later

00:19:03.060 it'll be like he's a cannibal he is a cannibal and the democrats will still be racing down to

00:19:10.340 el salvador to say free the cannibal the human trafficker wife beating ms-13 cannibal free him now

00:19:18.740 because process makes all the difference you know what i worry about

00:19:25.780 this is something i learned from the democrats um you've probably heard that there's something called the

00:19:31.300 department of justice and they will often arrest people for things like murder and then those

00:19:40.340 people will be sent to jail you know if they if they're convicted and i'm thinking isn't that kind

00:19:47.940 of a slippery slope if they can arrest people who are proven to have murdered people and they can put

00:19:54.660 those people in jail can't they pick up people who have never murdered anybody and never committed any

00:20:00.980 crimes at all and put them in jail too according to democrats that would be a risk i learned that from the

00:20:11.300 story about kilmar abrigo garcia

00:20:17.060 well governor abbott in texas just signed some legislation to give texas their own state doge so i

00:20:26.180 guess they're going to build the ability to make their government more efficient but there was one

00:20:32.500 thing that i loved about the statement um so this is from abbott he said that the new doge in texas

00:20:41.460 it will ensure that texas is operating at the speed of business and will make it easier for texans to do

00:20:48.580 business blah blah blah i love that framing that uh the government in texas will operate at the speed

00:20:57.300 of business i don't think you could phrase that better now somebody said that that was a ups

00:21:03.780 um slogan from long ago but no matter where they got it that is just such a well-chosen phrase

00:21:11.940 that the state could operate at the speed of business because that's exactly what you want you

00:21:18.340 want the the government not to slow you down speaking of that according to the washington times

00:21:26.100 um the meta the amount that businesses spend to satisfy federal regulations of which there are

00:21:33.860 thousands of new ones every year is 2.1 trillion dollars per year actually more than that so the

00:21:43.540 amount that we waste by just satisfying various infinite government federal this is just federal

00:21:51.780 this is not even state 2.1 trillion per year that's the same as the entire amount of the uh the budget

00:22:02.580 deficit 2.1 trillion i think we can do better maybe we will claudia was leaving for her pickleball

00:22:14.180 tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing that she didn't

00:22:19.540 see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia is with intact the insurer

00:22:25.700 with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was taken care of under one

00:22:30.500 roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my tournament and lost in the

00:22:35.940 first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace certain conditions apply

00:22:43.700 so according to the hill the washington post has struck a deal with open ai so now if you're using

00:22:51.620 open ai and you're searching for something that has been in the news it will give you uh summaries and

00:22:58.820 quotes and links from the washington post so how do you feel about that the washington post will be a

00:23:09.780 primary maybe the primary news source for the biggest ai open ai does it does that give you anything to worry

00:23:20.180 about well i'll tell you my trust in open ai as a source of independent and accurate

00:23:28.660 information just went down 40 percent approximately 40 because as you know and of course i can't prove

00:23:39.620 this but the washington post has always been alleged to be kind of tight with the intelligence community

00:23:46.900 of the united states you know sort of working a hand in glove if the cia needed to get a message out

00:23:54.180 they could do it through the washington post now that that's the allegation and then when bezos bought

00:24:02.660 the washington post which was bleeding money you probably said to yourself why would he do that

00:24:09.700 like why would you buy something that really couldn't possibly make money and was it because jeff bezos

00:24:18.180 wanted to control the news there's not really any indication of that but would it be because jeff bezos

00:24:27.540 has a gigantic contract with the cia for cloud services and could it be that jeff bezos was asked

00:24:37.140 by the cia to buy the washington post so they still had an entity that they could control

00:24:42.660 could it be could it be now i don't know i don't have proof of any of that but that's what it looks

00:24:49.940 like and what this looks like is if you assume that the cia would really have to give some kind of

00:24:58.420 backdoor control of the big ai companies especially open ai so my speculation is that the intelligence

00:25:09.300 people in this country pretty much had to have a you know a little bit of control over ai because

00:25:17.220 that's where everybody's going to get their information probably had some control over the

00:25:21.940 washington post not for every story but for things they cared about probably had some influence over

00:25:29.460 bezos buying the washington post i don't have any proof of that whatsoever it just sort of looks like it

00:25:35.460 and to me it looks like they're making sure that their source you know the one that they would use if

00:25:45.060 they needed to use at the washington post is the one that the ai refers to so my trust in what i hear

00:25:54.340 about the news from open ai down 40 percent according to scott pressler there are 13 democrat senate seats

00:26:07.060 up for re-election in 2020 or offer election in 2026 so more than a third of the democrat senators

00:26:14.740 are retiring more than a third so isn't that like incredible so does it seem to you like if you're

00:26:28.180 trying to figure out what is our system of government you know some would say it's the deep state some

00:26:34.100 would say it's the uniparty we'll talk about that in a minute some would say you know it's a competitive

00:26:40.980 thing between two parties and sometimes one wins and sometimes the other but i think we forget how

00:26:47.620 much is luck because this looks like the luckiest thing that could possibly happen for republicans

00:26:55.460 that just by complete coincidence you know there's no driving force for any of it that a third of the

00:27:01.540 democrats are up for uh retiring i mean that kind of strongly suggests that the republicans are going

00:27:11.460 to have a vice grip on the senate for a while so it's luck i mean that's just pure luck so luck is

00:27:20.180 apparently what runs our country more than anything else just pure luck

00:27:23.620 well mike davis was appearing on steve bannon's the war room and he said he met with trump officials

00:27:33.380 inside the doj and arrests will come soon and i said to myself arrests of who for what is it epstein

00:27:47.300 related is it deep state related is it something about soros prosecutors who exactly do you think do

00:27:58.340 we do you think is going to get arrested and i'm going to join the skeptics um because it seems to me

00:28:06.740 that cash patel and dan bongino have been a little bit too quiet now it could be they're just playing it

00:28:15.460 cool and there's something really big coming like really big arrests maybe but i'm gonna go contrarian

00:28:23.620 on this and say i don't think that we're ever going to see any big arrests not for epstein not for

00:28:32.420 not for the russia collusion hoax not for any of the bad behavior that we've all witnessed not for the

00:28:40.660 biden crime family not for anything so i'm gonna say i predict no major arrests i just don't think

00:28:50.900 it's happening for whatever whatever has allowed people to run wild and commit just obvious crimes

00:28:58.980 right in front of the public there's something that's protecting them it might be you know different

00:29:05.700 things for different people but i don't think the thing that's protecting them ever stopped so

00:29:12.260 whatever it is that protects them it's probably still there so i don't expect any big arrests but i'd love

00:29:19.860 to be wrong about that well james o'keefe's undercover operation omg they got a new video of a department of

00:29:32.660 defense uh branch chief who says president trump is quote illegitimate and the branch chief has vowed to

00:29:41.460 quote resist him and everything he does can you believe that there's somebody who works for trump

00:29:49.140 in the department of defense as a looks like a high level job a branch chief and would say out loud to a

00:29:57.620 date that he plans to resist him and everything he does now i assume he's already fired by now

00:30:06.180 but it's just unbelievable that our government just doesn't even recognize the elected leader

00:30:14.260 they're they're just gonna act like like they're doing the right thing the weirdest thing is that the

00:30:19.300 the guy that's on the undercover video he looks like a character from roblox which is hilarious if you know

00:30:26.740 what roblox is and you've seen the video of him if you haven't it's not funny at all but he looks like roblox

00:30:33.860 anyway so new york magazine has a big piece about alex soros and alex soros apparently

00:30:51.700 is very committed to the far left of the democrat party which is interesting to me because that's what's

00:30:59.060 going to keep the democrats from winning so i think soros senior who was really good at you know

00:31:07.380 keeping democrats in power by funding just the right stuff he is replaced by his son who is not nearly as

00:31:15.060 clever according to people who know them both and the son is very committed to the far left stuff the

00:31:23.140 progressive stuff which would suggest that at the moment alex soros would be the main reason that

00:31:31.060 democrats could never win again because as long as they cling to you know funding and promoting the

00:31:37.700 far left stuff they're going to be so far from what the mainstream you know american actually wants

00:31:44.660 they're going to be in that 2080 problem again so even though soros says his main priority

00:31:51.300 is uh winning so he wants to keep trump and the republicans out of office but he seems to have

00:31:59.140 picked the one and only way that it can't happen by promoting the least popular things in america

00:32:08.020 so good luck good luck with that when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners

00:32:15.300 i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the

00:32:21.620 designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or

00:32:28.180 that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes

00:32:34.260 is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less

00:32:41.380 well i've talked before about a researcher called data republican and if you're on x you should follow a data

00:32:51.140 republican and data republican has uncovered uh what she describes as the uniparty like the the nest

00:33:02.180 you know it's almost like i think there's a a nest of people who are like the deep state uniparty

00:33:11.380 and apparently the nest has been discovered now uh mike ben says you know sort of commented on this

00:33:20.340 like this is a big discovery but apparently there's something called the u.s global leadership

00:33:26.580 corporation have you ever heard of it the u.s global leadership corporation no of course you haven't

00:33:34.980 you've never heard of it and it represents 400 ngos non-government organizations and businesses

00:33:45.380 and its mission is to quote support the smart power approach of elevating diplomacy and development

00:33:52.100 alongside defense in order to build a better safer world now as data republican explains if you've been with

00:34:01.140 me long enough meaning if you follow data republican you know that is code for increasing ngo influence in

00:34:08.740 military affairs so this is a group of people who are representing over 400 ngos and all the money that would

00:34:18.660 be involved in that whose main thing is to essentially be a military um assistant force so that if we're

00:34:30.020 going to take over a country or get you know get military with it um these ngos would be the supporting

00:34:38.100 entities now apparently this organization the biggest financial backers are bill gates and george soros

00:34:45.700 open society foundation so there's a big organization 400 ngos supported financially by gates and soros

00:34:56.740 but what's interesting is the people who are on the board so the the advisory board includes everything

00:35:05.220 from hillary clinton to a bunch of ex-secretaries of defense to a bunch of senators to governors and

00:35:14.180 here's the payoff it's both parties this is the uniparty nest so um

00:35:22.900 um so what uh so what uh data republican says is the importance of this cannot be understated

00:35:33.780 this is the first solid confirmation i've seen that soros and bill gates are backers of the so-called

00:35:40.500 uniparty network so you know how people use the phrase uniparty whenever war is involved

00:35:47.300 so there's big differences between democrats and republicans a lot of social domestic stuff you know

00:35:54.900 like trans and sports and you know dei and stuff like that but there's another level you know a higher

00:36:02.180 level where we're making decisions about where the military is going to be deployed and how many

00:36:08.900 trillions of dollars we're going to spend bombing other countries that is often referred to as the uniparty

00:36:16.820 because no matter how much we disagree on domestic stuff somebody somebody powerful is apparently

00:36:26.020 all on the same page republican and democrat when it comes to war possibly because they benefit from it

00:36:35.060 that would be my follow the money speculation maybe they're just true believers and they think that

00:36:42.180 you know the the u.s needs us to project this kind of power in order to be successful but i feel like

00:36:50.100 it's far more likely that they're just part of a an entity that supports each other and have ties to the

00:36:58.180 military industrial complex and are wagging the dog in the united states and causing

00:37:03.780 at least causing from the background more wars than we might have wanted so we'll keep an eye on that

00:37:12.900 but maybe the nest of the unit party has been discovered that would be kind of interesting

00:37:21.940 the cbo has estimated that by 2035 the u.s debt could be 54 trillion dollars i think there's no

00:37:29.860 chance of that we would be dead long before that um if we get to a debt of 54 trillion dollars in 2035

00:37:40.420 i don't think we can because i don't think we'd be able to finance that debt

00:37:46.100 i think we everything would come crashing down but apparently that's the rest of it 54 trillion dollars

00:37:53.300 by 2035 there's no way we could survive that so if it happens good luck

00:38:02.340 um there are reports that uh elon musk had shouting matches with scott besant

00:38:09.700 um and that happened in the white house and it was within hearing distance of the president and

00:38:15.940 other people and it went on for a while and i guess the f word was used and

00:38:20.500 um some of it had to do with staffing decisions um but here's my take i like elon musk and i like

00:38:33.220 you know the way he thinks and i like scott besant and i like the way he thinks and then i doubly like

00:38:41.060 the fact that they're so passionate that they would yell it out behind closed doors and i don't mind at

00:38:48.500 all that the word got out because if if they had just simply agreed on everything i'd wonder what's

00:38:55.300 up but uh this is sort of my perfect world when you've got two people that capable that well informed

00:39:03.780 and that connected to the world and they have a shouting match to me that's not bad news at all

00:39:11.540 that that's sort of like you know just what you'd want you'd want people really really caring really

00:39:19.940 really smart and if they disagree they're not going to give up they just go at each other so i wouldn't

00:39:27.220 be surprised you're going to see uh elon musk's phasing out of his his government doge work um i think

00:39:36.020 some of that is because it was going to happen anyway in may i think his time was up

00:39:42.660 but i think that also it wasn't working because because i think the government sort of you know

00:39:50.500 maybe is open to anything new like a like a doge person coming in and shaking things up

00:39:56.820 but in fairly quick order they're going to want to have their own control

00:40:01.620 so i think elon musk was probably a little too dangerous to have running around for too long in

00:40:08.740 the government so i think he did an amazing job and may have created a structure that can continue

00:40:16.740 making things more efficient and saving money but it should be said that um it never got close

00:40:25.780 to the trillion dollars and i think that's one of the things that scott besant was criticizing him for

00:40:32.740 and then uh musk was allegedly criticizing besant for being some kind of a soros related person

00:40:40.980 because i guess he worked with soros at one point uh so that that's pretty exciting but yeah i would

00:40:48.500 expect that elon musk will uh phase his time back to tesla and tesla is at a really exciting time

00:40:57.220 it's weird that their sales are down because the political connection but at the same time their

00:41:03.060 products have never been this exciting i mean they're right in the edge of full auto taxi robots um

00:41:13.620 you know use your car for an uber this is just the best stuff we've ever seen in technology this this

00:41:20.980 is like you know the birth of the smartphone the birth of the computer so tesla is really really

00:41:29.540 well set for i don't know just maybe decades of dominance in a few different areas

00:41:37.540 so it does make sense that uh musk would turn his attentions back to work as we all knew he would

00:41:44.100 eventually um and i hope that the political stuff doesn't you know create too much of a drag on a

00:41:50.660 great company well according to china the china commerce ministry says there have been no economic

00:41:59.620 and trade negotiations between china and the u.s so if you thought to yourself

00:42:05.140 well maybe trump hasn't talked to chairman xi but surely there are discussions going on at lower levels

00:42:12.660 nope apparently there are not discussions going on at lower levels according to china

00:42:18.660 um but let's uh let's take a look at the implications of that according to an article in wired by zayi yang

00:42:28.420 uh even though china is limiting uh u.s access to critical minerals it might not be as bad as you

00:42:37.700 assume because we've all been told they need these critical rare earth materials um to build all kinds

00:42:45.540 of technology from your phones to your robots to your electric cars and everything else and that's true

00:42:53.700 but um we're being reminded by this article that uh you could live without them so for example your your

00:43:04.340 electric car could certainly operate without some of the rare earth materials it might not last as long

00:43:10.980 and there might be a feature or two that it can't do but it'd still be an electric car

00:43:16.180 um and apparently there are a number of examples that were if you had to you could just sort of make

00:43:24.420 your product without some of those rare earth minerals it's just that it wouldn't be as good

00:43:31.220 but you could still make it and it would still be commercial and people would still buy it

00:43:35.140 and then also uh this is what i was wondering about but apparently belgium has emerged as a possible

00:43:43.380 re-export hub meaning that if people bought the rare earth minerals from china

00:43:51.380 china doesn't know where it goes after that and that maybe some part of the european union could be

00:43:58.020 buying these rare earth materials they'd have a closer connection to the united states than to china

00:44:04.100 and then the next thing you know the united states has some rare earth minerals from china but china

00:44:10.660 doesn't know that we have it now if if all the countries that we sanction can pull this off such

00:44:17.780 as iran they still manage to get stuff and i'm sure russia still manages to get stuff i feel like we can

00:44:25.860 do the same thing you you don't think we could figure a way to smuggle in that rare stuff the other

00:44:32.500 thing i learned that i didn't know is that even though it's critical materials

00:44:39.300 we don't spend a lot it's not like trillions of dollars or anything

00:44:45.380 it's like a fairly small amount of material very important but small in terms of quantity

00:44:52.420 but also small in terms of dollar amount so one of the reasons that we don't have you know new

00:44:58.660 mines and refineries popping up for these rare earth minerals is that all it would take according

00:45:04.180 to this article in wired all it would take is one new factory or refinery for one of those minerals

00:45:11.940 and it would create too much of the mineral so apparently the demand is critical because they're

00:45:20.260 important but it's a small demand like it's not that many dollars and it's not that many pounds of

00:45:26.340 material so if you built a new refinery it would maybe crush the price for the one mineral and your

00:45:35.220 your business model wouldn't work so that's interesting i didn't know any of that but anyway

00:45:41.940 there might be workarounds for the rare earth minerals we'll see according to ryan peterson who

00:45:47.700 follows shipping he's uh i think he's uh ceo of flexport um or founder of or both but uh flexports in the

00:46:00.420 the shipping uh industry and uh he says that in the three weeks since the tariffs took effect

00:46:07.780 um the ocean container bookings from china to the u.s are down 60 percent industry-wide

00:46:17.780 and he predicts we'll have mass shortages this summer as goods don't show up and even if things

00:46:25.060 got fixed now it's going to take till summer to get the mass shortages i don't know shortages for what

00:46:31.140 specifically but it's going to be a lot of stuff um a lot of companies sort of ordered extra in

00:46:38.820 anticipation of shortages later so once we work through the extra that that people ordered we're

00:46:48.100 gonna just run dry for some things and again i don't know which ones but um and then if we decided

00:46:56.500 to suddenly ramp up you know let's say the um tariff stuff was all solved if you solved it immediately

00:47:05.140 you would still have a problem that the ships had been used for other things and there wouldn't be

00:47:10.900 enough ships to make up for the shortfall because everybody would be scrambling for the same materials

00:47:17.060 so we're gonna have some pretty serious shortages and maybe some of our factories will go idle and go

00:47:25.460 out of business so there's going to be some disruption and the the faster the china tariff

00:47:32.820 situation gets solved the better we'll be now we don't know yet uh and i don't know i guess if this

00:47:40.260 will hurt the united states more than it will hurt china so of course the game here is that both will

00:47:47.140 pretend well you can't hurt me we can we can work with this and each side will say no it's worse for

00:47:53.460 you than it is for me you'll you'll crack i don't know do you think china's gonna crack i i think trump

00:48:01.700 is uh wise to be moderating his tone so that he's treating china's respectful you know peer that we

00:48:12.740 negotiate with and not somebody we're trying to walk all over so we'll see apparently trump has vetoed the

00:48:22.100 idea of increasing taxes on rich people there was an idea that the federal tax on people making over

00:48:31.300 a million a year would go to something like forty percent but uh trump says no because if you raise

00:48:38.420 taxes on the rich they leave the country and you need the rich to pay taxes now i'm not sure if that's the

00:48:48.100 only reason or if he's just being a republican and he doesn't want to raise taxes on anybody

00:48:54.660 but uh he called it very disruptive so i guess we're probably not going to see taxes on the rich go up

00:49:05.220 according to the wall street journal and this uh i don't know why this took so long

00:49:10.340 uh there's new french study that showed that uh sure enough not only is it true that some of the

00:49:17.700 additives in our food are bad for us and cause diabetes and whatnot um but if you combine them

00:49:27.860 it's extra bad so what the new study is is not looking at one additive which is normally the way the

00:49:34.580 studies work they would look at what happens if you have several of these additives in the same food

00:49:40.660 and apparently it's as bad as you think so if you add together multiple additives in the same food

00:49:47.460 you've got a much higher risk of type 2 diabetes and god knows what so the food industry of course

00:49:54.740 defended it and they say it's important for food safety and quality but then you have to ask the

00:50:00.980 question if it's important for food safety and quality why isn't it important in europe

00:50:08.340 where a lot of this stuff's illegal i guess they need to answer that question

00:50:15.140 well in other news related rfk jr is uh apparently noodling on um removing the cdc's

00:50:23.780 covid 19 vaccine recommendation for children were you even aware that the cdc was still recommending

00:50:32.820 covid 19 vaccines for children how many of you even knew that that was a thing well here's the good

00:50:41.780 news and this is reported in politico here's the good news apparently only 13 percent of children

00:50:47.940 have gotten that coveted shot so most parents are pretty keyed in that uh young people don't really

00:50:55.860 have a bad time with covid and there's no reason to add another risk on top of the covet itself so

00:51:04.980 we don't know yet if kennedy will will actually pull that or get that reversed but i feel like it's

00:51:12.740 going to happen if only 13 of people are getting it anyway it wouldn't be that big of a shock to the

00:51:19.220 system to say okay this is not recommended you can get it if you want but it's not it's not recommended

00:51:28.740 well here's a surprise um so senator fetterman was asked an interview with the washington free beacon

00:51:37.300 and he said that we should bomb uh iran's nuclear sites and he says quote waste that

00:51:45.220 shit he said quote you're never going to be able to negotiate with that kind of regime

00:51:50.900 that has been destabilized in the region for decades already and now we have an incredible

00:51:55.620 window i believe to do that and to strike and destroy iran's nuclear facilities how do you feel about

00:52:02.500 fetterman now not so good right we were enjoying watching fetterman agree with republicans on you know

00:52:13.460 a lot of stuff at least the common sense stuff um but uh he seems pretty pro-israel and pretty pro-war

00:52:22.740 at least in this particular context and i have to say that his credibility just went to zero for me

00:52:30.100 um that do you feel comfortable with that the fetterman says yeah let's go you know stop negotiating

00:52:40.740 there's nothing now i don't know that he's wrong uh in the sense that the negotiating might never work

00:52:48.740 you know we're dealing with somebody we can't negotiate with maybe but uh i also think there's a

00:52:55.380 non-zero possibility that iran might think that for its own benefit it doesn't need to be developing

00:53:03.700 nuclear weapons because they would get bombed so they might think we've got so many you know good

00:53:10.980 missiles and so many good drones now because apparently they're pretty good at making them

00:53:15.860 that uh militarily they would be better off using missiles and drones anyway because they're not going

00:53:22.980 to get nuked if they you know if they use non-nuclear weapons so i don't know i i think only because

00:53:33.300 missiles and drones are the new way of war um i think there might be an opening in which they would

00:53:39.700 think it was to their own best interest to stop you know refining things to weapons grade in the nuclear

00:53:47.300 domain that's what i feel like i don't i don't think it's likely we'll find an agreement i think he's

00:53:54.580 right that you know the iran regime has shown that they can't be trusted etc but it's a little worrying

00:54:02.740 that he's so pro-war bomb bomb bomb yeah i'm not i'm not comfortable with that at all um meanwhile

00:54:11.220 economist jeffrey sachs um is saying that ukraine will have to agree to peace or continue without us

00:54:20.020 backing now that's same thing i said um i think it's kind of obvious at this point he says uh quote

00:54:28.100 one thing that i'm pretty much convinced of is that trump will not go back to congress for more

00:54:32.900 appropriations to fund ukraine's war or its military or whatever one wants to call it i agree

00:54:41.060 so trump did a big truth post about zelensky you know not wanting to give up crimea in order for a

00:54:50.820 peace and trump explained in his post that crimea is a major russian submarine base so he's explaining why

00:54:59.300 that's not really in play apparently it's mostly ethnic russians i don't know if trump said that but

00:55:06.660 that's what i knew so crimea is mostly ethnic russians how much do they want to be in ukraine

00:55:14.260 i don't know i'm not sure if we can tell but don't you think that the people who are mostly russian

00:55:19.780 ethnic russians would be probably just as happy being part of russia because it's not like ukraine is the

00:55:29.220 you know the country where everything works well yeah it's the most corrupt country in the world

00:55:36.340 so i don't know the fact that they're mostly ethnic russians suggests to me anyway and i'm no expert

00:55:43.460 i have not visited there but it suggests to me that they probably would be happier with russia control

00:55:50.100 and i guess zelensky may have thought that he was being asked to recognize crimea as russian-owned

00:55:59.700 and trump is telling him nobody's asking you to do that the united states might the united states might

00:56:06.180 agree to recognize crimea as part of russia but he's not asking ukraine to do it so that's worth something

00:56:14.100 and he and he calls uh zelensky the man with no cards to play and he says he should close this deal

00:56:21.620 right away um yes he should now at the same time i think last night um russia bombed kiev

00:56:30.180 and killed several people and it was a pretty bad attack and uh trump did a separate truth

00:56:38.260 telling vladimir what the hell are you doing stop bombing kiev yeah we're trying to work out a deal

00:56:45.380 here it was kind of weirdly personal you know even though he did it in public you know what are you

00:56:51.220 doing stop bombing kiev we're so close to a deal it's crazy so we'll see if that works

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00:58:01.620 according to politico all right here's a test of your fake news nose sniffer let's see if you can

00:58:08.740 spot the bs here according to politico the white the white house is debating lifting sanctions on

00:58:15.860 russian energy assets and the nord stream now that sounds believable right because you know there's

00:58:23.540 negotiations about you know our our interaction with russia and our interaction with ukraine and

00:58:30.740 you could imagine that russia would ask for that sanctions to be lifted so it wouldn't be a big

00:58:36.580 surprise if the white house was debating whether they should do it or not so that sounds like it could be

00:58:42.340 true right well according to marco rubio who would certainly know what's true or not in that domain

00:58:50.260 he said in a post on x this is unequivocally false but listen to the specificity of how he debunks it

00:59:01.620 it's a little too specific right now the report is that the quote white house is debating it

00:59:10.020 so that's the report when he debunks it he says this neither steve whitkoff nor i have had any

00:59:17.940 conversations about lifting sanctions against russia as part of a deal with ukraine huh well that's not

00:59:25.700 exactly what politico said is it politico said the white house the white house is a lot of different

00:59:32.820 people you know including the president but in the in the debunking of it rubio says only two people

00:59:41.460 steve whitkoff and rubio now that might be a hundred percent true that neither he nor

00:59:48.420 whitkoff have had any conversations about it but does that mean there's nobody in the white house

00:59:54.980 who's debating that hmm it seems like his denial or his debunking is a little too specific

01:00:04.900 and he says this is journalistic malpractice if politico has an ounce of integrity they'll retract

01:00:11.300 this fiction um okay uh i'm gonna say that that's the sort of thing you would expect people in the

01:00:21.140 white house to be debating but if what rubio is saying is that the people who are you know critical

01:00:27.940 to that question are not talking about it does mean something so it's not nothing but that's a very

01:00:35.940 specific denial you know that that's usually a key that there's a little something left out

01:00:44.660 all right according to the daily mail um i didn't even know this but apparently china and russia

01:00:52.420 are getting quite cozy with their space programs and now there are plans that china and russia would

01:01:00.260 build a nuclear power plant on the moon to power their mining and their their laboratories and god

01:01:09.540 knows what else they put up there probably military stuff but i'll tell you if you didn't think there was

01:01:15.620 going to be a war in space i hate to tell you there's going to be war in space yeah war in space feels

01:01:24.420 just guaranteed you know it might start small with somebody takes out a satellite or somebody tries to

01:01:33.780 knock out somebody's power plant and they're you know the moon base or something like that but

01:01:39.540 i feel like space war is just guaranteed you know just because of human nature so maybe

01:01:47.940 and that ladies and gentlemen is all i needed to talk about today um i will tell you that people have

01:01:58.660 been prodding me on x to say bad things about israel and people are saying to me scott when if you ever said

01:02:10.020 anything bad anything bad about israel and i'm going to remind you that what's the difference what my

01:02:18.340 opinion is of israel can anybody give me a reason why anybody would care about my opinion of israel

01:02:27.140 it's not my country it's not my country at all but what i will note and i've noted this before

01:02:36.420 is that the people who seem to be debating it are debating it on the ethical and moral level like

01:02:44.340 who's who's the most immoral who's doing the most unethical things to which i say none of that is

01:02:52.660 relevant somebody's opinion of what is moral or ethical i'm not even sure that's a variable that

01:03:00.900 has anything to do with anything because countries do what's good for countries and you know as soon

01:03:08.980 as you get into people are dying it's it all looks immoral it all looks unethical and if you say to me

01:03:15.940 but but but israel had a good reason because of october 7th then i say to you sure if i were israel i would

01:03:25.220 make the same claim it would be a strong claim and i would use that opportunity to do the things

01:03:32.580 that i wanted to do but couldn't do before which is improve security and yeah in this case it looks

01:03:39.860 like trying to destroy hummus completely and then i saw some people say all right imagine this thought

01:03:47.860 experiment if israel decided to lay down all of its arms and not fight what would hamas do and then of

01:03:57.860 course the answer is hamas would kill everybody in israel and then the question would be but if hamas

01:04:05.060 laid down their arms what would be the response and of course everybody says oh israel would just accept

01:04:12.740 the peace and then everybody would live in peace so therefore hamas is the bad one but again that gets

01:04:20.020 into the sort of ethical moral dimension which i don't have any interest in whatsoever uh what i see

01:04:29.540 is a power play and whoever's in power is gonna you know execute based on their national interest

01:04:37.780 and what their power can get them and so when i watch a country doing something that's clearly in

01:04:43.860 their best interest which is what israel is doing clearly they're operating in their own best interest

01:04:50.660 um it's hard for me to criticize that because if the situation were i won't say reversed but if the

01:04:58.740 united states were in that same situation we would do whatever is good for the united states and it might be

01:05:05.460 absolutely brutal and whoever's on the receiving end of it wouldn't like it at all but i think the

01:05:12.740 most i hate to say the most normal thing in the world is that the people with the power will pursue

01:05:19.860 their national interest in ways that other people aren't going to like at all and you know most countries

01:05:26.180 are founded on the backs of somebody who got conquered anyway you know that's the most normal thing

01:05:32.020 so i was trying to think of some story or analogy that would explain it the best and so i'm going

01:05:41.860 to try one you even though analogies are not part of reason we'll see if this gets anywhere

01:05:47.780 if somebody said to me scott the only way you could save your life is to kill a thousand babies

01:05:55.220 what do you choose well i'd like to think you know it's easy for me to say since it's hypothetical i'd

01:06:03.940 like to think i would say oh man uh i'd hate to die but i don't want to kill a thousand babies

01:06:13.300 that would be immoral and ethical no i can't do that i i will sacrifice myself for the thousand babies

01:06:21.140 wouldn't you well i think you'd agree with that right i mean it would be tough to be in this

01:06:27.460 situation but at least in a ideal situation i would choose the thousand babies over me

01:06:36.580 now let's modify that a little bit and somebody says scott the only way you can save your entire country

01:06:44.100 the united states the every single person is going to die unless you kill a thousand babies

01:06:54.500 what do i do then it's just as immoral right it's just as unethical it's just as evil to kill a thousand

01:07:01.940 babies but in that case because self-defense is is invulnerable to morality and ethics really uh if the

01:07:13.060 self-defense is big enough you're saving an entire country which would include saving a lot more babies

01:07:20.820 than you would kill i would say where are those babies and when can i get started because saving

01:07:27.700 the country would be a you know a bigger priority than saving a thousand babies so the thing i would add to

01:07:37.460 the conversation is if israel is doing something to you that looks like killing a thousand babies

01:07:44.740 but their alternative looks to them and they're the only ones who get to decide it looks to them like

01:07:51.860 they could lose their entire country to you know a rising force that wants to kill every one of them

01:07:58.260 then it's sort of none of my business they get to make that decision everybody gets to decide

01:08:06.820 what your own self-defense looks like and other people don't get to tell them that was unethical or

01:08:14.020 that was immoral or we wish you hadn't done it i mean we could we could move our lips

01:08:19.780 but it's not really part of the decision so when i look at israel doing some pretty brutal stuff with

01:08:30.020 gaza i don't say to myself is it ethical or moral i say to myself is a self-defense

01:08:38.740 and if it's self-defense or they reasonably believe it's self-defense i don't even have to be the the

01:08:44.500 judge of whether it is if they reasonably believe in self-defense it's not really a moral or ethical

01:08:50.740 question it's self-defense and i do think they have an argument that it's self-defense

01:08:58.180 and it wasn't i don't think it's israel's fault that hamas wraps itself around the

01:09:06.980 around the civilian population it does make it a gigantic tragedy so i'm not

01:09:14.580 i'm not devaluing the the horror of it you could still say the horror is a 10 10 and a 10 okay

01:09:24.980 but in the real world when people have a self-defense motivation and they've got one shot and october 7th

01:09:34.420 made it possible for israel to take his one shot don't be surprised if they take it but here's the

01:09:41.540 important thing if you thought that i just gave you an opinion on israel it was the opposite all i did

01:09:48.660 is describe the world i didn't give you an opinion on israel because my opinion on israel is completely

01:09:56.260 irrelevant israel will do what's good for israel because they have the power to do so if hamas had

01:10:03.380 the power they would do what hamas wants and it would be pretty brutal and my opinion wouldn't

01:10:11.460 matter to that either so stop trying to drag me into it because it's really just a fucked up way

01:10:18.500 to find a way to criticize public figures so i'm not in this fight i care what's good for america

01:10:26.020 and i care about america's self-defense and america's well-being israel's on its own

01:10:34.980 if you ask me should we pay for it i'd say no because that's not my best interest so just keep me

01:10:42.980 out of the israel hamas thing because my opinion of what's ethical or moral has nothing to do with

01:10:49.620 anything it's a power play it's a self-defense play it's a national interest play and the people

01:10:56.740 who have the power are going to get what they want and that's just the way the world works and that's

01:11:01.620 an observation not an opinion you don't need my opinion has no value here whatsoever all right

01:11:11.460 so i just wanted to clarify that because people have been asking me on x

01:11:15.380 all right ladies and gentlemen i'm going to say some stuff privately to the locals subscribers

01:11:23.620 and the rest of you thanks for joining come back tomorrow same time same place

01:11:28.340 and locals coming at you in 30 seconds

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 24, 2025

Episode 2819 CWSA 04⧸24⧸25

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