Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2821 CWSA 04⧸26⧸25

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, and maybe

00:00:08.840 robots too.

00:00:10.900 But if you think you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even

00:00:16.880 understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or

00:00:23.440 a glass of tank or chalices, tiny, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:28.100 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:29.960 I like coffee.

00:00:31.540 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine, the end of the day, the thing

00:00:35.660 that makes everything better. 0.96

00:00:37.280 It's called the simultaneous sip, and damn it, it's going to happen right now. 0.97

00:00:41.420 Go. 0.96

00:00:46.280 Oh, that's good stuff.

00:00:48.980 So good.

00:00:52.080 Well, I wonder if there's any new news about the benefits of coffee.

00:00:57.240 Oh, yeah.

00:00:58.100 There is.

00:00:59.240 From the European Journal of Who Cares, habitual coffee consumption is associated with a lower

00:01:06.480 odds of frailty later in life.

00:01:10.460 How many of you are frail because you didn't have enough coffee?

00:01:14.900 Well, sometimes it takes two cups before you're no longer frail.

00:01:19.560 But in other news, according to ZME Science, did you know that magic mushrooms, the use is

00:01:28.940 soaring in the United States.

00:01:30.500 Apparently, in every age group, people are using magic mushrooms to cure their mental problems

00:01:37.860 and maybe just have a good time and get rid of their anxiety and their depression, and it's

00:01:42.940 all working.

00:01:43.560 And it makes me wonder, what if they made magic mushroom coffee?

00:01:50.900 How would you like to sip your coffee, become less frail, and at the same time, cure your depression

00:02:05.020 and all your mental problems while having a good time?

00:02:08.420 Oh, I can't think of a better day. 0.79

00:02:11.640 So, someday, pray, please give me coffee with mushrooms in them.

00:02:18.560 Please don't try to make your own at home.

00:02:22.700 All right.

00:02:23.300 Importantly, there will be a Spaces event after this podcast with Owen Gregorian hosting.

00:02:30.260 You can find that on the X platform.

00:02:33.780 Just go to Owen Gregorian's account.

00:02:38.660 You'll find the link.

00:02:40.800 Or you can go to mine, because I reposted it.

00:02:44.140 So, Spaces after the show, if you'd like to get a little extra.

00:02:49.100 And who doesn't want extra?

00:02:51.120 You all want extra.

00:02:52.500 Come on.

00:02:54.540 Well, here's another story about batteries that I like, according to Wired.

00:03:00.220 Did you know that the grid-scale batteries, the gigantic batteries that they put in the

00:03:06.460 network itself to store electricity when there is electricity, so it's available when there's

00:03:13.420 not, apparently the cost of that has dropped like crazy.

00:03:18.540 And so, with the cost going down, the number of batteries being added to the network is

00:03:27.220 going crazy.

00:03:28.040 So, that's one of those really big stories that doesn't have a, there's no moment when

00:03:35.780 it becomes a story, because it's just a thing that's happening over time.

00:03:39.600 But it's one of the biggest things, because if we had batteries everywhere in our network, we

00:03:46.680 would basically never lose electricity.

00:03:49.780 And we'd be able to have, you know, a lot more solar, if you like solar, and other stuff.

00:03:55.500 So, that's good news.

00:03:57.660 According to the Daily Mail, some people believe that they've discovered a giant underwater UFO

00:04:05.920 base just off the West Coast, off of Malibu.

00:04:10.080 Now, if I were going to build a gigantic underwater UFO base, that's where I'd put it.

00:04:17.220 I'd put it just off of Malibu.

00:04:20.000 But apparently, it's a big structure that you can see that's got a flat top.

00:04:27.000 And it's hard to understand how underwater there would be a gigantic flat top to anything.

00:04:33.180 So, maybe.

00:04:35.400 And apparently, it's associated with a lot of UFO spottings.

00:04:41.360 So, they think, yes.

00:04:43.920 And I guess it's called Sycamore Knoll.

00:04:47.220 And it's a natural underwater structure.

00:04:50.780 Some say it's natural.

00:04:52.560 But some say it's a garage for UFOs.

00:04:56.880 Doesn't it feel like they could just go down there and look at it?

00:05:00.100 Is it really impossible to send some divers down off the coast of Malibu?

00:05:08.220 It feels like it wouldn't be the hardest thing in the world to check out.

00:05:12.220 But I'd rather they don't check it out.

00:05:14.720 Because I like to think that there's a gigantic UFO base just off my coast.

00:05:20.700 Well, I saw a post by Mike Cernovich, who says that I guess he's spent enough time in D.C. recently.

00:05:30.800 And he says that D.C. has been cleaned up and somewhat quickly since the beginning of the Trump administration.

00:05:39.520 He says D.C. is so clean now.

00:05:42.280 Looks like it's supposed to.

00:05:44.260 It looks like civilization.

00:05:45.700 Trump and his acting D.C. U.S. attorney Ed Martin have already transformed it almost completely overnight.

00:05:53.340 So that would be another situation where you just needed somebody to try.

00:06:00.040 There's no way to solve our southern border.

00:06:03.880 Well, how about somebody tries?

00:06:06.540 Oh, it worked.

00:06:07.860 There's no way to clean up D.C.

00:06:09.960 How about if Trump tries?

00:06:14.880 And success.

00:06:17.340 So I guess it took a non-Democrat force to get D.C. cleaned up.

00:06:22.700 That's good news.

00:06:25.100 The Department of Justice, this is according to the Post Millennial reporting on this.

00:06:31.140 The Department of Justice has decided to stop funding for research.

00:06:35.980 And I know this will disappoint you, but there won't be any more Department of Justice research

00:06:41.880 on, quote, toxic masculinity or structural racism.

00:06:48.520 Now, that's kind of a problem for somebody like me, because if they're not doing any more research

00:06:55.340 on toxic masculinity or structural racism, how will I know how bad I am?

00:07:01.480 Well, I would just be guessing.

00:07:04.520 I'd be like, huh, well, I think my toxic masculinity is probably an 8 out of 10, so I'm kind of an 0.99

00:07:13.280 asshole. 0.99

00:07:14.640 And my structural racism is, well, through the roof. 1.00

00:07:20.160 So, but I'd just be guessing.

00:07:24.240 I like the old way where they would do deep research, so I would know just exactly how bad

00:07:29.480 I am, but I guess guessing is all we have left now.

00:07:34.560 You might remember the story of recently James O'Keefe and his OMG group got a secret video

00:07:43.800 recording of a Pentagon branch chief who was saying that he was going to try as hard as

00:07:52.400 possible to resist doing anything that Trump wanted.

00:07:57.000 So, he was basically a Trump resistor who was sort of on the Trump payroll in the sense

00:08:04.320 that it's the Trump administration.

00:08:07.040 And as soon as I saw that video, I said to myself, how long is he going to be employed?

00:08:14.780 Can you actually say out loud that you're going to resist what your boss wants and stay employed?

00:08:21.280 Well, the answer is he's already out.

00:08:25.300 So, I don't know if he showed himself the door or somebody else did, but he's gone.

00:08:31.000 He's gone.

00:08:32.980 So, you know the issue about members of Congress who are allowed to do insider trading?

00:08:41.180 And apparently some of them are making some good money on it, but it's specifically legal,

00:08:46.680 but only for members of Congress.

00:08:51.780 So, Trump has just announced that he would sign a ban if anybody, you know, gave him that

00:08:58.940 legislation.

00:08:59.980 He would sign a ban on congressional stock trading.

00:09:03.600 Now, let me see.

00:09:05.320 Does that fall into Trump's usual model?

00:09:09.360 Yes.

00:09:09.880 Do you think that 80% of the country would agree with Trump that they should not have

00:09:16.440 the ability to do insider trading?

00:09:19.560 Yes.

00:09:20.660 Do you think that 20% would be batshit crazy and they'd be in favor of Congress doing insider

00:09:28.440 trading?

00:09:29.260 Of course.

00:09:30.200 So, what side do you think Democrats will take?

00:09:37.520 I swear to God, this just gets funnier and funnier, this 2080 stuff.

00:09:42.760 So, I assume, I haven't heard yet, but one assumes that Hakeem Jeffries and AOC and Bernie

00:09:52.100 Sanders will go all in saying that Congress should be able to do insider trading.

00:09:58.020 Do you know what would end insider trading forever?

00:10:03.160 If Democrats just start doing it wildly.

00:10:07.360 Now, that would be funny.

00:10:09.180 Can you imagine if there's some new issue, I don't know, with war or solving war or tariffs

00:10:15.540 or something, where all the members of Congress know the new news, but just to be funny, the

00:10:24.780 Republicans massively invest in it.

00:10:28.380 And then they make a fortune.

00:10:31.620 And then they say, hey, you know what?

00:10:33.400 This insider trading is pretty good.

00:10:35.140 We're going to do some more.

00:10:36.480 And then the next time something comes up, the Republicans just go all in.

00:10:41.400 Like, they just go in hard.

00:10:43.140 And they make another, like, billion dollars.

00:10:45.580 And then all the Democrats look at him and go, hey, hey, you can't do that.

00:10:52.060 And they'd be like, can't we?

00:10:54.980 I'm pretty sure that you're in favor of this.

00:10:57.940 I believe that you are protesting in favor of allowing this exact thing.

00:11:03.620 So why don't you go protest for my right to keep doing this?

00:11:08.060 All it would take is for Republicans to be making more money from it than Democrats,

00:11:14.260 and it would get banned.

00:11:16.060 That's all it would take.

00:11:16.980 Well, I just found out that Las Vegas will soon be testing another autonomous vehicle,

00:11:42.160 cab.

00:11:43.520 Apparently, there's a company that's backed by Jeff Bezos and some other investors called

00:11:48.960 Zoox.

00:11:50.780 Z-O-O-X. 1.00

00:11:52.580 And I guess they've got a self-driving cab that they plan to be testing in Las Vegas

00:12:00.480 very soon.

00:12:02.500 Now, I don't know how many self-driving cab companies there will be, but boy, I'd be really

00:12:10.220 worried if I were Uber.

00:12:12.040 Do you think Uber is going to have to buy one of them?

00:12:15.260 You know, maybe Uber will have to make an offer for Waymo or Zoox or something.

00:12:20.520 I don't know.

00:12:21.020 But Uber's got some problems ahead.

00:12:25.760 Speaking of automobiles and speaking of Jeff Bezos, there's a lot of publicity today for

00:12:34.700 a truck, an electric truck that's also being backed by a Jeff Bezos startup.

00:12:43.680 And this little truck comes with just only the basics so that they can price it at about

00:12:52.460 $20,000.

00:12:54.060 So it's just a two-seater truck.

00:12:56.400 It's not very big.

00:12:57.480 It's more like a Toyota.

00:12:58.680 And the windows are just hand-cranked and there's no entertainment system, but you could add it.

00:13:06.360 So it's being made like, I think they called it a Mr. Potato Head.

00:13:10.560 So you can get the basic and it'd be like $20,000, which would be amazing.

00:13:15.500 But then you could add a stereo if you wanted, and you could add a video screen if you want, and you could add some other stuff.

00:13:26.600 Now, here's the thing, though.

00:13:28.020 I looked at the pictures of it, and it totally activated my lizard brain.

00:13:32.920 You know, if you're male, and maybe this applies to some women as well, yeah, the company is called Slate.

00:13:43.400 When I looked at the truck, I just had this feeling in my body, and it was like, oh, oh, I just want it.

00:13:54.420 I want it, like, really badly.

00:13:57.080 Now, if you're male, you've probably often had the experience of seeing a truck and saying, oh, I wouldn't mind owning that truck.

00:14:08.440 It's just a male thing.

00:14:09.900 We like tools.

00:14:10.820 We like trucks.

00:14:12.460 And there's a neighbor in my neighborhood that whenever I would walk past his property, you would always have a two-seater truck that had only the basics.

00:14:25.240 It looked like parked in front of his house, and it was just gray, and it was just really basic.

00:14:32.220 And I would always say to myself, that is exactly what I want, because I don't want to spend $100,000 on a truck that I would barely use.

00:14:40.820 But if I had a $20,000 truck, I would be making, you know, runs to the, you know, the landfill to throw things away, and I'd let people borrow it, and I'd throw my e-bike in the back.

00:14:56.260 And, like, I can think of all kinds of reasons if I had an extra vehicle, but I wouldn't buy, you know, an $80,000 extra vehicle.

00:15:08.120 You know, just my brain couldn't process that.

00:15:10.960 But a $20,000?

00:15:13.420 $20,000?

00:15:14.840 You know, if you had room to park it?

00:15:16.920 So, I guess what impressed me about it was that somehow they built this thing so its look, its price, and its features just hit my lizard brain perfectly.

00:15:30.500 And I'd be so curious how many other people had the same experience.

00:15:34.880 It made me just go, ugh, I want that.

00:15:37.680 Ugh.

00:15:40.760 So, we'll see where that goes.

00:15:42.460 Speaking of automobiles, famous investor TV guy James Kramer recently said, I'm putting my chips on Elon Musk.

00:15:54.820 Now, here he's talking about driverless cars.

00:15:58.660 He goes, I don't think Waymo scales the way people think.

00:16:02.000 And what did Elon Musk do when he heard that one of the most famous investors in the world was going to back his product?

00:16:14.520 Well, he said he needs to...

00:16:19.480 So, Elon posted on the next that the inverse Kramer is tough karma to overcome.

00:16:25.660 Meaning that if Kramer says something's good, there's sort of a running joke that he's always wrong.

00:16:34.140 So, Elon is worried because Kramer just said that his product is the good one.

00:16:42.040 He's like, oh, my God.

00:16:43.220 The inverse Kramer is tough karma to overcome.

00:16:45.740 And then Elon says in the post, I'm calling weekend reviews with Autopilot to accelerate progress.

00:16:55.660 Not only does he call him out for always being wrong, but he tells him he's going to have to, like, double down on his efforts to try to overcome the Kramer curse.

00:17:07.780 Now, that's just funny.

00:17:09.900 That's just funny.

00:17:12.360 I do think Musk is underappreciated for how funny he is.

00:17:16.640 I saw a, and I posted this on X, but I saw a long opinion piece by Dr. Insensitive Jurek, who's a real-life economist, who is anonymous.

00:17:31.180 And he was making a point that you can see in its fullness.

00:17:36.600 It's better expressed the way he wrote it.

00:17:39.060 But I'll give you the summary.

00:17:40.120 The summary is that AI will eventually destroy other sources of information, because right now AI is able to read, you might say illegally in some cases, everything that's out there.

00:17:56.140 So if you were going to look for some information, how long will it be before you say to yourself, well, I'm not going to go to Wikipedia, or I'm not going to go to, you know, this source where I think that information will be.

00:18:12.700 I'll just ask AI, because AI has read everything.

00:18:16.780 So once AI can answer every question about anything that's anywhere, which we're right on the verge of that being the case, why would those other sources continue to exist?

00:18:30.760 Because who would spend their time updating them or visiting them?

00:18:36.380 So the business model of normal sources of information should all disappear.

00:18:43.880 And then what happens?

00:18:45.080 Because the AI depends on all those other sources that it's, you know, continually scanning to stay update.

00:18:52.960 What happens then?

00:18:54.580 Is the AI going to have to just use itself as its own source of information?

00:18:59.820 So that's a pretty big question.

00:19:03.040 But it reminded me of a question that I had because I do this, you know, this podcasting and I talk about the news.

00:19:11.240 Have you noticed that podcasting and posting on X has largely replaced your habit of looking at the real news, the traditional news?

00:19:25.440 When was the last time you said to yourself, I think I've got to go look at CBS News?

00:19:30.940 Or I think I'll go to the AP or Reuters website and see what's new.

00:19:37.400 When was the last time you did that?

00:19:38.980 And I'm thinking to myself, you know, CNN's traffic and MSNBC's traffic are all going down.

00:19:47.460 At what point do the podcasters put in a business, the thing that all the podcasters need to stay in business?

00:19:59.480 So in other words, a lot of people say to me, the only place I hear news is on your podcast.

00:20:06.620 I don't know how many people are in that category.

00:20:09.100 But it used to be true for Jon Stewart when he did The Daily Show.

00:20:13.420 Young people would say, it's the only place I get my news.

00:20:17.220 Other people might go to Bill Maher's show and say, yeah, you know, I don't really pay attention to the news, but he catches me up on all the important stuff.

00:20:27.220 It's okay when you've got this big, robust news industry and only a few people who are, you know, well-known talking about it.

00:20:37.400 So if you've just got your Bill Maher's and your Jon Stewart's and Joe Rogan talking about the news, you're fine.

00:20:46.960 But what happens when all the podcasters are just talking about the news?

00:20:53.760 And then you say to yourself, as I've said to myself fairly recently, why would I ever go to a news site?

00:21:01.940 Because I just go to Axe and I go to, you know, Mario Knopfel's account.

00:21:09.680 And every single morning, he's got a summary that he's picked from all the news sources.

00:21:15.940 And the summary is usually all I care about.

00:21:18.540 It's like, oh, Trump thinks he's close to a peace deal.

00:21:22.700 Oh, there's this new invention.

00:21:24.720 And it seems to me that we're on a path where all the original reporting will disappear because there won't be anybody going to look at it directly.

00:21:38.520 They'll only be seeing it through somebody who essentially borrowed it for their own content, like I do.

00:21:45.140 So what happens then?

00:21:49.040 I don't think we thought this through because we're, and that would include me, I'm in a completely self-immolating activity.

00:22:04.120 You know, the more people watch something like this podcast to figure out what's new in the world and to try to understand it,

00:22:11.780 the less they're going to watch the things that I use as my source of what to talk about.

00:22:18.820 So isn't the whole thing going to fall apart?

00:22:22.740 It probably won't.

00:22:24.400 You know, there'll be adjustments, et cetera.

00:22:26.720 But it makes me wonder.

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00:23:29.680 Well, you probably heard that Susan Rice, Obama's right-hand woman for years, was on this committee,

00:23:42.040 this defense DOD advisory committee, and we couldn't understand why that would even exist.

00:23:49.780 So she didn't have authority to make decisions, but it gave her access to all the Department of Defense Pentagon people to push her opinions.

00:24:00.300 And once we realized that that existed, which surprised me, who knew that even existed, that advisory committee?

00:24:08.840 But I guess P.A. Agseth just got rid of that committee.

00:24:13.520 So he didn't just get rid of the people, he just got rid of the committee.

00:24:17.820 And that sounds right.

00:24:20.700 That feels like the right decision.

00:24:22.300 Well, let's check in on all the racists, starting with Harvard.

00:24:28.740 I saw a post on X from Aaron Siberium, your perfect example.

00:24:34.220 You know, I'm not looking at the original news.

00:24:37.180 I'm looking at the X post about the original news.

00:24:41.080 But apparently the Harvard Law Review has put in writing, so this isn't writing.

00:24:48.200 This is not guessing or reading between the lines.

00:24:50.700 They say it directly.

00:24:52.060 They've made DEI the first priority of their admissions process, the process of deciding what articles to run in the Harvard Law Review.

00:25:02.480 And they say they routinely kill or advance pieces based on the author's race.

00:25:09.280 And they look for articles that have racially diverse citations.

00:25:18.080 And it's in writing.

00:25:19.360 It's in writing recently.

00:25:21.060 So it's not like something that, you know, wasn't writing a long time ago, but they changed it.

00:25:27.660 This is their current method of deciding what to publish is based on your race.

00:25:36.840 Now, this is mind-boggling.

00:25:38.440 So everything that you imagine about Harvard being a racist entity, it's apparently 100% true.

00:25:47.780 So they want, they very much want their hiring to be race-based.

00:25:53.880 They want their admissions to be race-based.

00:25:57.360 And even who gets to publish in the Harvard Law Review, they say directly.

00:26:02.960 They want it to be race-based.

00:26:04.620 So that's super racist.

00:26:08.280 I don't know if Harvard will ever recover from this.

00:26:12.260 It's pretty bad.

00:26:14.420 It's pretty bad.

00:26:15.100 According to Chuck Ross, who's writing for the Washington Free Beacon, there's a group called the National Black Justice Coalition.

00:26:31.260 And they get money from big companies like Procter & Gamble and stuff.

00:26:37.940 And I guess their mission would be to make things more equitable race-wise.

00:26:44.880 So how are they doing?

00:26:46.440 Let's see.

00:26:47.220 So I guess their leader is David Johns, who, his past was, he worked for Obama's White House Initiative on Educational Excellence for African Americans.

00:27:01.960 And he was talking at a recent event for this organization, because they're pushing a boycott against Target, because Target rolled back its DEI.

00:27:12.260 So they want people to stop shopping there.

00:27:15.680 Here are some of the things that this gentleman said.

00:27:21.500 He lashed out this week.

00:27:23.500 Again, this is Chuck Ross, the Washington Free Beacon. 0.96

00:27:26.780 He lashed out this week against what he called white mediocrity and urged a, quote, woke army of black youth to wage war with whiteness. 0.89

00:27:38.540 That doesn't sound good. 0.83

00:27:39.980 That, uh, so Procter & Gamble is funding that and some other big companies.

00:27:48.140 Well, thanks a lot, Procter & Gamble.

00:27:51.200 Um, and then he endorsed a boycott against Target.

00:27:57.940 And he said, uh, Trump was a fascist trying to rob us of our wealth.

00:28:03.960 What wealth?

00:28:05.000 Uh, I'm not sure what wealth is going to rob there.

00:28:09.760 And then he urged, uh, black consumers to shop at black-owned businesses and, and to reclaim African way of being.

00:28:19.440 Okay.

00:28:20.560 Good luck with that.

00:28:22.500 Um, but here's my favorite part.

00:28:24.960 This is something that Johns actually said in public.

00:28:28.780 Quote, we don't need nothing from white people. 0.91

00:28:32.960 We don't need nothing from white people. 0.99

00:28:35.300 They can't even make potato salad. 0.99

00:28:38.040 Oh, that's too far.

00:28:39.080 Oh, oh, now you've gone too far.

00:28:44.560 Really?

00:28:45.360 You're going to throw down on potato salad?

00:28:48.240 Well, I think we should have a potato salad off.

00:28:51.500 Let's see who can make better potato salad. 0.89

00:28:54.180 Black Americans or white Americans? 0.87

00:28:56.480 Hispanic or Asian Americans?

00:28:58.220 Because I think this is where we should draw the line. 0.99

00:29:05.460 Oh, you can say white mediocrity if you like. 0.83

00:29:10.480 You can say that you're forming an army of African American young people to take back your wealth. 1.00

00:29:16.940 Okay.

00:29:17.400 That's just freedom of speech. 1.00

00:29:19.280 But when you go after our potato salad, you bastards, you bastards, it's time to throw down. 1.00

00:29:27.220 So I think we need to have a potato salad off and solve this once and for all. 1.00

00:29:34.320 I'm not so confident that white people will win, but it would be funny. 1.00

00:29:40.320 It would be funny to have a potato salad off.

00:29:46.160 Anyway. 0.97

00:29:48.560 So as you know, Harvard is racist and this organization is super racist. 0.71

00:29:53.820 But at least AI is not racist.

00:29:57.780 Am I right?

00:29:59.160 Thank goodness if you asked AI a question, you're not going to get some kind of racist response from AI.

00:30:07.600 Oh, wait.

00:30:08.760 According to the rabbit hole account on X, who asked the following question,

00:30:14.480 is affirmative action racist, chat GPT said, no, affirmative action is not racist.

00:30:23.020 And Grok said, oh, yeah, it's totally racist.

00:30:29.340 So I think I just decided which AI I'm going to use.

00:30:33.860 I think I'm going to cancel my chat GPT right away because it's racist.

00:30:40.700 And this is a pretty clear example.

00:30:45.320 If there's an AI that says that affirmative action is not racist, 0.99

00:30:51.160 what else is it going to tell me that's bullshit? 0.96

00:30:53.880 Now, even the people who are in favor of affirmative action, 0.98

00:30:58.940 and there was a time when I was in favor of it, when, you know, 40 years ago,

00:31:03.740 I thought, well, it's bad for me.

00:31:05.660 It's bad for white people. 0.76

00:31:07.400 But, you know, maybe we need to level up a little bit.

00:31:11.280 You know, not forever.

00:31:13.000 So it's the forever part that I object to completely at this point.

00:31:16.660 It's like, come on.

00:31:17.740 You had several decades.

00:31:19.720 Maybe that's enough.

00:31:20.500 But even if you're in favor of affirmative action, it's racist by definition.

00:31:29.420 The entire point of it is to change the outcomes from one race to another. 1.00

00:31:34.020 You can't get more racist than overtly saying race matters

00:31:38.640 and we're going to change the outcomes of race.

00:31:41.700 That's the ultimate.

00:31:44.220 So Grok got that correct.

00:31:48.280 And chat GPT. 1.00

00:31:50.500 Apparently, he's a racist and a liar. 1.00

00:31:54.820 So that's not good. 0.99

00:31:56.980 Well, in weird but tragic news, Epstein victim Virginia Jeffrey died of suicide yesterday.

00:32:06.600 Now, because this is mostly just a tragedy story,

00:32:13.080 I don't really want to play with the, oh, she did a suicide and Epstein did a suicide.

00:32:21.380 So we're not sure if it's really suicide.

00:32:24.280 Was it really something else?

00:32:26.100 Let's just let the family alone. 0.50

00:32:27.860 So the family's got a tough time.

00:32:33.140 So I'm just going to let the family deal with this.

00:32:36.700 And I don't think this is part of a bigger conversation.

00:32:39.920 It's just a tragedy from top to bottom.

00:32:43.720 And it just got worse.

00:32:45.100 She had apparently been in a bad, some kind of auto accident and wasn't sure she would recover.

00:32:53.640 Maybe that's part of it.

00:32:54.800 Maybe it isn't.

00:32:55.680 But it's not really our business.

00:32:57.760 This is the family's business.

00:32:59.860 And let's keep it that way.

00:33:03.500 Al Gore was on Bill Maher's show last night.

00:33:07.840 And he was talking about his own efforts back in his administration with Clinton to reinvent the government.

00:33:15.560 That's what it was called.

00:33:16.700 Reinventing government.

00:33:18.360 And he bragged how he used a scalpel, not a chainsaw.

00:33:22.140 And they carved away for seven years.

00:33:25.800 And that they were successful.

00:33:27.400 They downsized the number of government employees.

00:33:31.440 But he was bragging that they cut the fat and not the bone.

00:33:37.940 And so he thinks that maybe Doge was a little too aggressive, too fast, cut too deep.

00:33:44.300 And he's not even sure they're going to save any money.

00:33:47.260 Because even where they cut things, they may have to add them back.

00:33:51.980 So he was negative on Doge, but was talking about the good work that he did.

00:33:59.220 Now, I may have told you this before.

00:34:02.380 But since he was on Bill Maher, I'll remind you.

00:34:07.560 During the Clinton administration, the Dilbert comic was gigantically popular.

00:34:12.840 So that was sort of the peak of its popularity.

00:34:17.320 And Gore actually had a Dilbert comic in his office because it mentioned Al Gore.

00:34:24.540 And so he liked Dilbert.

00:34:27.380 And he invited me into his office one day because I happened to be in Washington on other business.

00:34:35.400 And he invited me in and asked me if I wanted to help him use the Dilbert comic to explain how well they were doing with their reinventing government.

00:34:46.060 Now, at the time, I was smart enough to say, oh, I can't do that.

00:34:51.260 Because it will look like Dilbert's taking sides.

00:34:55.620 And I was taking the Michael Jordan approach that Republicans buy shoes, too.

00:35:02.240 So I didn't want to get political with the comic.

00:35:06.300 So I said no.

00:35:08.000 But I also advised him against using humor because it makes it look non-serious.

00:35:13.980 I usually advise corporations not to use too much humor.

00:35:18.140 You know, unless it's like a TV commercial, that can work.

00:35:21.220 But I wouldn't do it as part of your normal communication if you're trying to communicate something serious.

00:35:28.240 Just this wrong vibe.

00:35:30.000 But I did hook him up with the best expert I knew on how to simplify and have good communication, which they used.

00:35:41.520 So I was a helpful member of the effort to at least communicate what they did.

00:35:48.780 That was my only part.

00:35:50.960 And I just hooked him up with somebody who was good at it.

00:35:54.320 So that was my little brush with that in those days.

00:35:59.160 And I was fully in favor of it, by the way.

00:36:01.700 I thought it was a good effort.

00:36:03.460 And probably I think he should be proud of it.

00:36:06.420 I think that he got some good stuff done.

00:36:08.100 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering.

00:36:14.560 Is every fabulous item I see from Winners?

00:36:17.660 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:36:20.400 Are those from Winners?

00:36:21.920 Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings.

00:36:24.360 Did she pay full price?

00:36:25.740 Or that leather tote?

00:36:26.740 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:36:27.920 Or those knee-high boots?

00:36:29.360 That dress?

00:36:30.200 That jacket?

00:36:30.880 Those shoes?

00:36:31.880 Is anyone paying full price for anything?

00:36:34.400 Stop wondering.

00:36:36.160 Start winning.

00:36:37.060 Winners find fabulous for less.

00:36:39.040 Well, Bill Maher, also talking to Gore, said, quote, the issue to me that is a central issue

00:36:49.340 of our time is the peaceful transfer of power.

00:36:52.840 Now, I've heard him say that before.

00:36:55.160 And I've heard a lot of other people say, yeah, you know, maybe Trump is doing some things

00:37:01.120 that you like.

00:37:01.900 Yeah, maybe he's got that 80-20 thing.

00:37:05.020 Yeah, he closed the border.

00:37:07.300 Blah, blah, blah.

00:37:07.780 But, you know, the real thing, the thing which makes him completely unacceptable as a president

00:37:14.740 is that he was not in favor of the peaceful transfer of power.

00:37:20.880 Now, of course, that's a narrative.

00:37:24.260 The narrative that I understand is that there was a peaceful transfer of power and that there

00:37:31.380 was really no chance that a bunch of people wandering through the Capitol could actually

00:37:37.600 change the transfer of power.

00:37:39.280 So, to me, it's just fake news.

00:37:43.360 There was violence.

00:37:45.440 There was, you know, maybe an effort to delay.

00:37:48.280 But it was so small, you know, relative to what it would take to overcome a country, you

00:37:54.660 know, change the government and don't have a peaceful transfer of power.

00:37:59.020 It was such a small, even though there was violence, you know, the total scale of it was

00:38:05.540 so small that it was a peaceful transfer of power.

00:38:09.760 But, separate from that, I propose that we find out if 2020 was rigged or not.

00:38:19.380 And I've got a method to do that.

00:38:22.800 Wouldn't you like to know?

00:38:24.000 Well, you've probably all seen the graph of how many Democrats voted in all our recent

00:38:32.580 presidential elections.

00:38:34.540 And you might be aware that it was always somewhere in the same level, except for one

00:38:40.320 election.

00:38:41.640 There was one election where it was way on a line.

00:38:44.420 It was just way higher than normal.

00:38:46.400 And then you say to yourself, but that's because Trump was running.

00:38:50.160 You know, when Trump's running, those Democrats are really going to come out, except they didn't

00:38:58.360 come out in 2024.

00:39:01.120 So, how do you explain that it was Trump who is now the worst Trump ever, according to Democrats,

00:39:08.520 because he had, according to them, had denied a peaceful transfer of power, even though, of

00:39:15.220 course, it happened exactly on time.

00:39:16.940 So, how could it be that 2020 was a gigantic turnout because they needed to defeat Trump,

00:39:27.280 but they didn't show up when Trump was even worse in 2024?

00:39:34.000 Here's how to find out if those votes were real.

00:39:37.840 Do a poll.

00:39:39.440 So, you do a poll.

00:39:40.580 Maybe you have a few different polling companies, but you say, just randomly ask people, which

00:39:47.940 elections did you vote in?

00:39:50.060 Did you vote in 2016?

00:39:52.440 Did you vote in 2020?

00:39:54.740 Did you vote in 2024?

00:39:59.460 What do you think you'd get?

00:40:03.400 I'm just guessing, but I'll bet you would not learn that a lot more people voted in 2020.

00:40:10.580 Yet, that was our result.

00:40:15.360 Do you think it would be possible to have multiple national large-scale polls that showed

00:40:23.800 that people did not do any extra voting in 2020, that it was kind of always in that 65

00:40:30.480 million or so range for all those years?

00:40:32.720 Do you think we wouldn't be able to easily spot that 2020 was fake if it was?

00:40:42.200 If it was.

00:40:44.000 Now, if the polling showed that, yeah, we voted in 2020 and it's the only time we voted,

00:40:50.260 and millions of people, if the polling showed me that, I don't know, what is it, 15 million

00:40:59.820 people or some large number of extra voters beyond the baseline?

00:41:04.520 If the polling showed that there were, in fact, a whole bunch of extra voters who said they

00:41:12.040 were extra voters and they did vote in 2020, then I would say, well, maybe I should shut 0.98

00:41:18.620 the fuck up because that's actually pretty persuasive. 0.84

00:41:23.740 But what if you do two or three of those major polls with the most respected polling companies 0.96

00:41:32.480 and you really do it big and you make sure they're well-funded so nobody's complaining

00:41:37.580 about anything?

00:41:38.260 And then you compare three of them.

00:41:41.540 You know, they wouldn't work together.

00:41:43.500 So you'd have maybe Rasmussen because, you know, they tend to be a little friendlier to

00:41:49.980 the Republican side of things.

00:41:51.920 You'd make sure you have, you know, maybe two pollsters that tend to lean right, at least

00:41:58.640 in terms of people's opinion, even if not in reality.

00:42:01.200 You give me three major polls and I will take that as true.

00:42:10.200 Do you think we couldn't find out with polling?

00:42:13.840 Does anybody think that wouldn't work?

00:42:16.940 It would work.

00:42:19.200 It would absolutely work.

00:42:21.140 You couldn't do it if it's just Rasmussen because then it would turn into, well, why would

00:42:27.560 we trust Rasmussen, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:42:29.480 Well, you'd have to do it with a few polling companies that both sides have some problems

00:42:35.600 with, but have been doing it for a long time and have the, they have the weight to actually

00:42:40.660 be able to do it.

00:42:42.320 Yes or no?

00:42:44.260 Let's throw down.

00:42:46.200 I say, let's find out.

00:42:48.280 Let's find out if that, if those votes were real.

00:42:51.720 And, and I'll say it again, if it turns out that all of the polls that check it find out

00:42:58.200 that, yeah, indeed there were major more voters in 2020, if that turns out to be true based

00:43:05.900 on polling, I'll shut up about it forever.

00:43:10.300 I'll never even allege that maybe there was some problems with 2020.

00:43:15.420 I'll be completely happy.

00:43:16.600 Now, how many of you are thinking to yourself, wait a minute, is it really that easy?

00:43:31.940 I think it is.

00:43:33.400 Well, it wouldn't be easy because it'd be pretty major effort, but it would be well within the

00:43:38.860 normal things that polling companies do.

00:43:42.600 So why not?

00:43:46.040 Who's up for the, who's up for a challenge?

00:43:49.040 Who's up for finding out if we've been gas lit for years?

00:43:56.360 Does anybody want to know the truth?

00:43:59.800 Pretty sure we can find out the truth.

00:44:01.860 That's my suggestion.

00:44:07.340 Well, as you know, nobody is above the law, which turned out to be, we've got a little

00:44:14.640 test case.

00:44:16.240 So I forget the details because it doesn't matter, but there was a judge who had a illegal immigrant

00:44:22.980 in the courthouse.

00:44:25.280 And I guess ICE was waiting to, you know, arrest the illegal immigrant when the court was done.

00:44:30.840 But the judge suggested, allegedly, suggested that the illegal immigrant use a non-standard

00:44:41.020 exit to avoid ICE.

00:44:43.820 Now, that's illegal to help an illegal get away with being illegal.

00:44:52.460 And so it looks like the Trump administration arrested the judge.

00:44:58.420 So the judge got arrested somewhat publicly in the parking lot for aiding and abetting the

00:45:07.900 escape of an immigrant, who didn't escape, by the way. 0.88

00:45:10.840 They managed to catch it anyway.

00:45:13.940 Now, I don't have all the details to that, but that's the basic idea.

00:45:16.840 But Andrew Weissman, who you might all know as a TV Democrat lawyer, there's a video of him

00:45:25.800 talking about when Trump was arrested and law fared.

00:45:31.580 He kept saying, nobody's above the law.

00:45:35.520 Nobody's above the law.

00:45:36.780 And then when the judge gets arrested for what is clearly a violation of the law, I mean, I

00:45:44.400 think even the supporters of the judge would say, okay, that was illegal.

00:45:49.300 But as Weissman said, it violates a norm.

00:45:54.720 So arresting a judge violates a norm.

00:45:58.520 So when it was Trump who was getting law fared, no one's above the law.

00:46:05.020 No one's above the law.

00:46:06.440 But when a Democrat leaning judge gets arrested for obviously breaking the law, well, it looks

00:46:15.460 like Trump is violating a norm.

00:46:18.120 So if you ever wondered if the TV lawyers are just liars, well, there you go. 0.99

00:46:26.480 Well, not all of them, not every one of them, but obviously just a liar. 0.59

00:46:34.940 So I would say his credibility is gone forever.

00:46:39.180 Let's look into Democrats eating other Democrats. 0.98

00:46:43.760 The Washington Free Beacon noticed this on MSNBC.

00:46:47.860 I didn't say the name of the speaker, but they had a guest on who was a black man, which matters

00:46:55.220 to the story, and the MSNBC guest was scolding AOC and Bernie for what he called a shockingly

00:47:05.760 non-diverse crowd at their events in Los Angeles.

00:47:10.020 And the MSNBC guest said that the Dems are going to lose midterms unless they have young

00:47:16.780 brown people.

00:47:17.520 Well, it could be that the brown people were practicing their potato salad, possibly. 0.99

00:47:26.500 I mean, it could be some salad-related thing.

00:47:31.060 But I had noticed the same thing when I saw images of the crowd.

00:47:36.200 It was really super white for the party that seemed to be all about diversity.

00:47:44.200 And I don't know if it's because oligarch doesn't activate the black and brown community and that

00:47:56.800 white people like to pretend they know what that word means.

00:47:59.680 So maybe they go.

00:48:01.160 I don't know.

00:48:02.380 I have no idea why.

00:48:04.440 But it is.

00:48:06.000 I noticed it, too.

00:48:07.580 So I'm going to agree with the guest whose name I wish I could tell you, because he's

00:48:14.100 completely right.

00:48:16.120 If the Democrats keep doing gigantic events and there are no black or brown people in the 0.55

00:48:22.140 audience, I'm pretty sure their own base of black and brown people are going to notice 0.82

00:48:27.920 that.

00:48:28.660 How could they not?

00:48:30.260 So it could be that AOC and Bernie are working against their own interests without necessarily

00:48:35.400 even knowing it.

00:48:38.120 Well, according to Victoria Ballera and Fox News, there's a new Fox News poll that says

00:48:44.760 Democrats' favorability hit a new low.

00:48:48.560 It hasn't been that low since, I don't know, a long time.

00:48:52.740 And for the first time in a decade, it was that low.

00:48:56.540 But at the same time that Democrat favorability hit a new low, the Democrats are also advantaged

00:49:06.720 in the midterms.

00:49:11.620 So if you look at a generic Democrat versus a generic Republican, according to a Fox News

00:49:17.340 poll, the Democrats have an advantage.

00:49:19.900 Now, it's normal for the party that's out of power to have an advantage in the midterm.

00:49:27.420 So that's the most normal thing.

00:49:29.360 But I feel like I've seen polls that said it was the opposite.

00:49:33.940 So I think we need a poll off, besides having a potato salad off.

00:49:39.080 We need a poll off to find out.

00:49:41.400 Because I would swear we just saw some polls that said that the generic Republican was beating

00:49:49.400 the generic Democrat.

00:49:51.320 Did that change recently?

00:49:53.280 It might have, because of tariffs.

00:49:55.460 It might have changed.

00:49:56.980 So I guess I have a question about that.

00:49:59.500 I'm Chris Hadfield.

00:50:01.180 I'm an astronaut, an author, a citizen of planet Earth.

00:50:05.180 Join me for a six-part journey into the systems that power the world.

00:50:09.920 Real conversations with real people who are shaping the future of energy.

00:50:15.320 No politics, no empty talk.

00:50:17.740 Just solutions-focused conversations on the challenges we must overcome and the possibilities

00:50:23.900 that lie ahead.

00:50:25.220 This is On Energy.

00:50:27.740 Listen wherever you get your podcasts.

00:50:31.980 UC Berkeley, one of my degrees was at UC Berkeley.

00:50:38.640 I, of course, disavowed them for being racist.

00:50:42.140 But UC Berkeley is in trouble because apparently they were involved with a Chinese-funded joint

00:50:50.320 research process in which China put $240 million into it, a joint tech venture that's been running

00:51:00.260 for years.

00:51:00.960 And apparently, UC Berkeley did not disclose that to the government, which is now a requirement.

00:51:08.600 So I guess they got in trouble.

00:51:10.940 So a quarter of a billion dollars came from China to UC Berkeley.

00:51:16.200 Do you think that would affect UC Berkeley's anything?

00:51:21.360 Well, they might.

00:51:24.740 Do you think it would be transferring valuable technology to China that they couldn't get any

00:51:31.680 other way?

00:51:32.740 Well, they're paying for something.

00:51:35.200 What is it you think they're paying for?

00:51:37.240 If they could do this research themselves, wouldn't they do it?

00:51:41.800 They wouldn't pay a quarter of a billion dollars to an American entity if they could do it themselves. 0.96

00:51:48.660 So UC Berkeley, racist and possibly traitorous. 0.52

00:51:53.640 I disavow my degree, and I'm going to pretend I never went to college at all.

00:52:07.360 Anyway, so Breitbart, that was a Breitbart story, by the way, the UC Berkeley one.

00:52:14.660 According to CNET, Apple is close to shifting all of its iPhone assembly to India.

00:52:25.040 So because Apple would have a big problem with tariffs if they leave everything to be assembled

00:52:35.260 in China, they're moving all of the assembly that would be sold to America, not the stuff

00:52:43.440 that would be sold to around the world.

00:52:45.860 So China will still assemble iPhones, but only the ones that are going to be sold to non-United 0.94

00:52:51.720 States markets.

00:52:54.080 And apparently, Apple was with other companies.

00:52:59.680 A lot of companies were already moving to India for a variety of reasons, because China

00:53:05.940 is hard to do business with or risky.

00:53:07.720 But Apple may be able to do its entire line of iPhones for the U.S., which would be about

00:53:15.200 60 million devices a year.

00:53:16.940 They might be able to do every bit of it from India by the end of 2026.

00:53:21.120 Now, when we were talking about tariffs causing companies to, you know, move their production

00:53:29.760 facilities, we generally thought they couldn't do it very quickly.

00:53:35.720 But, you know, here's one of those special cases where they had prepared for years, I guess.

00:53:40.520 They've been training Indian employees and building facilities in India.

00:53:45.020 They're just speeding it up a little bit.

00:53:46.660 So it was already going to happen, but they're going to speed it up.

00:53:51.160 So that's a big deal.

00:53:55.000 According to the New York Post, major shipping container company, Hapag Lloyd, you know, Hapag

00:54:01.820 Lloyd, the major shipping company, you all know it, said its customers have canceled 30%

00:54:08.420 of their orders from China to the U.S.

00:54:10.500 And, of course, that's because of tariffs.

00:54:14.040 30% of their orders for containers.

00:54:17.940 New York Post is reporting on that.

00:54:22.060 But there's been a massive increase in demand for shipments from Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam.

00:54:32.140 But that's not big enough to compensate.

00:54:34.280 So the amount that got canceled in China from China to the United States is still way more

00:54:41.980 than the big increase from these smaller countries to the United States.

00:54:46.880 So it's not going to solve any problems that the smaller countries are increasing.

00:54:53.280 Well, there was a long post, opinion post by Bill Ackman on X, which is sort of redundant,

00:55:05.280 because if I say it's a Bill Ackman post, if you follow him, you know it's always too long.

00:55:12.120 He has the biggest opinion pieces in posts.

00:55:15.980 But they all make sense, and he's very smart, and I think he's right on point on this.

00:55:25.380 He says that in terms of the tariffs, time is not on China's side.

00:55:31.940 Now, the popular opinion differs from his, but I think he's got the right take on this.

00:55:38.640 So the popular opinion is that China, because they're, you know, more of a totalitarian situation,

00:55:46.960 they'll be able to weather the tariff situation better.

00:55:51.840 Now, that is true, maybe.

00:55:54.600 We don't know that for sure.

00:55:56.080 But it looks like it might be true in terms of just, you know, the next several months.

00:56:01.620 So if there are several months of delay, they might be able to, you know, avoid a recession

00:56:09.860 or depression or something, maybe a little bit better than this.

00:56:12.980 Maybe.

00:56:13.740 Even that's not for sure.

00:56:15.600 But here's Bill Ackman's point.

00:56:18.200 The longer the tariffs persist, the more rapidly every company that has a supply chain based

00:56:23.920 in China is relocating it to India, Vietnam, Mexico, the U.S., or some other country.

00:56:30.000 Now, that's what Apple's doing, and that's what a number of other companies are doing, too.

00:56:35.980 So he says this.

00:56:37.340 Here's the money shot.

00:56:41.100 There's no board of directors or management team who will ever again feel comfortable relying

00:56:47.280 on China for a major portion of their supply chain.

00:56:51.200 The damage has been done.

00:56:52.540 So every week that the CEO of a major company says to themselves, wow, China is risky, it

00:57:05.260 becomes something that seemed like it might be temporary to something that looks like it's

00:57:11.120 a permanent extra risk.

00:57:15.100 Because it is.

00:57:16.380 Do you remember in 2018, I promised you, and it seemed weird when I said it, that I was

00:57:23.400 going to make sure that people understood that China was unsafe for a business?

00:57:28.000 How many of you remember that?

00:57:30.620 And I said, you know, my motivation was my stepson had an overdose of fentanyl.

00:57:37.180 And so I thought, you know, it's time that people understood that China is not safe for a business

00:57:47.420 in the long run.

00:57:48.880 And I started saying it as often as possible.

00:57:52.800 And I don't know if it made any difference.

00:57:55.240 But nobody said to me in 2018, I think you have a good point.

00:58:04.900 Pretty much 100% of the smart people said, Scott, that train has already left the station.

00:58:15.620 People feel comfortable doing business in China.

00:58:19.240 China is so well-developed.

00:58:21.300 You know, they're so good at manufacturing.

00:58:23.340 It's a well-oiled machine.

00:58:25.240 Of course, people are going to keep doing their manufacturing in China.

00:58:29.260 And there will just be more of it forever.

00:58:31.680 And I said, we'll see.

00:58:35.640 Because I'm going to say China is unsafe for a business. 0.95

00:58:40.800 And right now, Bill Ackman is saying in a very clear and well-argued point that China

00:58:49.940 is unsafe for a business.

00:58:53.120 And that that's not going to change.

00:58:55.240 And he's right. 0.99

00:58:56.680 And so, if you're thinking that Trump has shit the bed, screwed the pooch, and made the 1.00

00:59:05.900 biggest mistake of any idiot who ever did anything with his tariffs, I would look at Bill Ackman's 1.00

00:59:13.980 opinion. 1.00

00:59:14.420 Because I do think that the longer they go, the more permanent the damage is to China, and 1.00

00:59:23.820 the more permanent the safety is for the United States as things move into either safer allied

00:59:31.240 countries or get onshored in America.

00:59:34.780 So, time is on Trump's side.

00:59:40.300 Even though we might take a hit, we might get a little recession hit, we might have some shortages

00:59:46.720 over the summer.

00:59:47.560 That's all real.

00:59:48.220 But still, the long term, the actual survival of China as a manufacturing place that you

00:59:57.200 could trust, that is completely in play.

01:00:00.720 And China probably knows it.

01:00:05.680 And so, what Ackman predicts, and I think this is a good prediction, is that both the U.S.

01:00:13.780 and China are going to realize that they're better off if they say something like, let's 0.62

01:00:18.780 pause this reciprocal tariff thing for 180 days and work out a real lasting agreement.

01:00:28.320 And if they do that, then we might come up with a better agreement than we've had.

01:00:36.260 But when we're done, China will still be unsafe for a business. 0.99

01:00:43.700 And the United States will still be the United States.

01:00:48.780 The biggest market that anybody ever had.

01:00:52.600 So, probably, there's going to be something like a mutually agreed pause.

01:01:01.380 And as Ackman accurately also points out, that probably the only reason it hasn't happened

01:01:06.920 so far, the pause, is that both leaders want to make sure they don't look like the weak one.

01:01:13.660 So, what does it mean to not look like the weak one?

01:01:17.900 Well, number one, if one side has made some big pronouncement about, we'll never back down,

01:01:28.120 well, you can't be on the other side and back down within a week of the other side saying

01:01:33.840 that.

01:01:34.280 But if Trump says, you know, we're going to win no matter what, you can't expect she to

01:01:41.980 say, oh, in that case, we'll back down.

01:01:45.660 You can't expect that.

01:01:47.000 So, there's something about the timing of who's insulted who and how badly and how long you

01:01:53.980 have to wait before you can say, you know, maybe now's the time we should, you know, get

01:01:59.480 serious and stop attacking each other.

01:02:01.520 So, we might be just days away because you've seen that Trump has softened his approach to

01:02:10.840 China just like you'd want. 0.98

01:02:12.760 You've seen that China seems to be saying they're not negotiating, but at the same time, it looks

01:02:21.400 like they're negotiating, which suggests that they're probably not too far from saying something

01:02:27.640 like, well, now that we've established, you know, mutual respect, you know, we can at least

01:02:33.120 put a pause on this and talk it out.

01:02:36.320 So, we might be surprisingly close to something that looks like at least a pause on the worst

01:02:46.100 possibilities with a opening to improve our situation massively at the expense of China.

01:02:56.740 Because I don't know that China could ever recover from the risk that they've just shown the 0.99

01:03:01.280 world.

01:03:03.120 So, we'll see.

01:03:06.420 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

01:03:08.720 I've been visualizing my match all week.

01:03:11.240 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her

01:03:15.380 backhand side.

01:03:17.260 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers

01:03:21.840 in the country.

01:03:22.940 Everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no

01:03:26.980 time.

01:03:27.380 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

01:03:30.600 But you got there on time.

01:03:32.380 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

01:03:35.340 Certain conditions apply.

01:03:36.280 You know what's weird is that here's two stories that shouldn't be happening at the same time

01:03:43.160 that's related to this.

01:03:44.860 According to The Hill, consumer sentiment falls to its lowest level since post-pandemic inflation

01:03:52.300 peak.

01:03:52.820 All right.

01:03:54.140 So, consumer sentiment would affect how much you spend.

01:03:59.480 So, if consumer sentiment is low, it would suggest that American spending and consumption

01:04:06.140 should also be lower.

01:04:08.380 But the Wall Street Journal is reporting on exactly the same day that spending is up.

01:04:16.200 So, the U.S. consumer market is just so well-trained to consume that people are just buying a little

01:04:26.580 extra just in case they run out later.

01:04:29.320 They're moving up some of their expenses that they probably wanted to do later, but they're

01:04:34.260 like, well, if I do it now, I could beat the tariffs.

01:04:36.380 So, spending is actually up.

01:04:40.420 How would you like to beat China and you're in this tariff war with the United States and

01:04:46.880 then you hear, ah, consumer sentiment in the U.S. is down.

01:04:49.940 Good.

01:04:50.660 They'll be buying less stuff and this will drive them into a recession.

01:04:54.460 And then you hear that spending's up.

01:05:00.740 Spendings up.

01:05:04.020 That's like some of the best news you could ever hear.

01:05:07.400 It fits well with the Bill Ackman theory that the U.S. is probably in better shape to weather

01:05:14.240 the long run than China.

01:05:17.600 Spendings up.

01:05:18.780 Now, I'm not sure that it will be up next month.

01:05:21.700 You know, maybe a month from now, everything looks different.

01:05:23.920 But the fact that it's up at all in the context of a tariff war, that's pretty amazing.

01:05:32.760 And I would say unexpected.

01:05:34.760 I wouldn't have guessed that at all.

01:05:37.720 But pretty amazing.

01:05:38.960 Here's something else that's amazing.

01:05:41.260 And this also goes to the Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters.

01:05:44.880 So, when you heard that the U.S. was going to negotiate, what, I don't know, 160 different

01:05:53.860 tariffs with different countries, and if you know anything about international trade or how

01:06:00.520 complicated a tariff agreement would be, you say to yourself, that's going to take a thousand

01:06:07.580 years, right?

01:06:09.880 But that's assuming that we don't get smarter and we don't become more efficient and we don't

01:06:15.660 figure out how to do trade deals more, you know, with less friction.

01:06:21.280 Well, guess what?

01:06:22.780 According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. officials are creating a new template that sets common

01:06:29.140 terms for many of the talks.

01:06:31.000 Oh, my God, that's good.

01:06:35.420 I'll tell you, if nothing big happens over the weekend, this alone should make the stock

01:06:42.460 market very happy, right?

01:06:45.060 I'm not predicting it will go up because lots could happen that's, you know, beyond this.

01:06:49.640 But if nothing happened beyond this, if you learned that the U.S. has figured out how to

01:06:55.020 make a template so that we could go to every country and we would say, basically,

01:06:59.660 you know, these are the things we're going to talk about.

01:07:04.200 Tariffs, quotas, non-tariff barriers, regulations on U.S. goods, digital trade, rules of origin

01:07:12.240 for products and economic security.

01:07:14.940 And you could just see the list and you go, oh, okay.

01:07:19.340 So this is the template.

01:07:21.480 So basically, it's a fill in the blank that you negotiate over.

01:07:25.380 That is a big freaking deal because if we start rolling up one deal after another because

01:07:34.760 the template makes it easier, Trump wins.

01:07:40.940 Trump wins.

01:07:42.380 This is the sort of process improvement that's exactly what we needed.

01:07:48.000 But I'm not done.

01:07:51.840 According to the Swiss Federation, or no, the Swiss Confederation president, Karen Keller-Sutter,

01:08:00.740 she said on Thursday that the U.S. is planning what she calls, quote,

01:08:04.840 privileged trade negotiations with 15 countries.

01:08:09.580 In other words, they would have their own sort of faster or improved process.

01:08:16.060 So that's in addition, or maybe even with the template, I don't know.

01:08:21.080 But if the 15 most important countries that are also our allies and are playing well,

01:08:27.960 so that would be Japan, South Korea, because they stepped up right away, good allies.

01:08:34.140 That would be Vietnam. 0.97

01:08:35.720 That would be presumably Europe if they wanted to get something done quickly, which they do. 0.72

01:08:41.360 So imagine this is true.

01:08:46.620 Imagine that the U.S. has figured out that they want to fast-track the best 15,

01:08:54.080 because if they can get the best 15 done, like the ones that matter that are not China,

01:09:00.140 it's everything but China.

01:09:01.300 Oh, my God.

01:09:05.360 Oh, my God.

01:09:07.500 Trump might be on the cusp, and I say cusp that would last, you know, maybe a few months.

01:09:14.440 He might be on the cusp of one of the greatest victories we've ever seen. 1.00

01:09:20.740 And he would be pulling it from the deepest well of despair and apparent stupidity, according to all of his critics. 0.99

01:09:29.900 This could be one of the biggest wins of all time. 0.99

01:09:34.500 I mean, it would be legend if he pulls this off.

01:09:37.820 And when you see this stuff, you see that they're not just going for the goal.

01:09:44.440 The goal is to have better agreements, right?

01:09:47.300 They're fixing the system.

01:09:50.240 That's what I'm trying to tell you.

01:09:52.700 They're fixing the system for how you negotiate these deals.

01:09:57.620 If they fix the system and then they start rolling them out, oh, my God. 0.82

01:10:05.940 Oh, my freaking God.

01:10:08.380 That would be the most amazing thing. 0.58

01:10:11.860 Anyway, speaking of other countries,

01:10:16.540 Gavin Newsom, governor of California,

01:10:19.940 he's softened up quite a bit on the energy and gas and oil situation

01:10:25.880 because the refineries are pulling out of California

01:10:29.020 or gas is twice as much as other places.

01:10:32.420 And he's turning Republican as fast as a man can turn Republican

01:10:36.700 without actually saying those words.

01:10:39.600 And he's talking about the burdensome regulations in California

01:10:43.560 and how that has to be softened.

01:10:46.480 And he says it's essential that refiners continue to see the value

01:10:50.520 in serving the California market.

01:10:52.180 So he wants to make California a place

01:10:56.400 that somebody wants to do business in,

01:10:59.280 and that means softening regulations,

01:11:02.580 which is a Trump system.

01:11:08.420 Trump system is get rid of the regulations. 0.94

01:11:12.220 Everything will take care of itself.

01:11:14.940 So that's very Trumpian.

01:11:17.380 Let's talk about peace deals.

01:11:22.560 According to the Daily Wire,

01:11:26.460 Trump's team is in Moscow and, you know,

01:11:29.520 some say getting close to a deal,

01:11:32.000 or as Trump says, quote,

01:11:33.620 very close to a peace deal.

01:11:36.700 And he's calling for them to finish it off.

01:11:40.120 Well, at the same time,

01:11:41.400 Trump says that Ukraine might be close to the mineral deal

01:11:47.400 for the rare earth minerals with the U.S.

01:11:50.340 I've been saying I'm not sure that will ever happen,

01:11:53.560 but Trump thinks it might happen.

01:11:56.940 And he met with, I guess,

01:11:58.920 the Pope's funeral is today,

01:12:00.580 and Trump met with Zelensky briefly.

01:12:03.040 And, of course, he always say it was productive,

01:12:07.540 which doesn't tell us anything.

01:12:09.440 But I did see that there was one report

01:12:12.840 that there was a new variable

01:12:14.920 that got introduced into the Ukraine-Russia conversation.

01:12:20.380 And how many times have I told you

01:12:22.360 if you have a negotiation

01:12:24.240 where you just can't seem to get anything accomplished,

01:12:28.680 that sometimes you have to introduce a new variable.

01:12:31.080 Now, one of the new variables is the Ukraine mineral deal,

01:12:35.560 but I don't really think that would be enough

01:12:37.420 to give Ukraine a feeling of safety.

01:12:40.940 It might give them a feeling of,

01:12:42.760 well, we could make some money,

01:12:44.160 and we'll have a little more ties to the U.S. economy,

01:12:47.900 and that would give us a little bit of safety,

01:12:50.320 but not really much.

01:12:53.600 But I did hear,

01:12:55.080 and I don't know if this is confirmed yet,

01:12:56.980 that the U.S. was proposing

01:13:01.040 that the United States be in charge

01:13:04.720 of some pipeline from Russia

01:13:07.900 that goes through Ukraine,

01:13:10.520 and it might be more than one pipeline,

01:13:12.520 that goes from Russia through Ukraine to Europe.

01:13:16.260 And that part of the deal would be

01:13:18.040 that would get turned on,

01:13:20.360 and that Europe could decide

01:13:22.080 if they wanted to buy Russian gas

01:13:25.120 at market values or not.

01:13:27.300 Now, if that's true,

01:13:30.320 now we're talking.

01:13:32.780 Now, that is a good variable to throw in there,

01:13:36.680 because Russia would not trust Ukraine.

01:13:41.980 Ukraine would not trust Russia.

01:13:44.540 Europe would not trust Russia 0.62

01:13:46.980 to not turn off the gas.

01:13:48.580 So, if Europe has options,

01:13:52.340 so they could buy more from the U.S.,

01:13:54.520 they've probably looked into other sources,

01:13:56.480 et cetera,

01:13:57.380 but they also have the option

01:13:59.640 of a, let's say,

01:14:01.580 a reformed Russia that's no longer at war

01:14:03.860 that would sell it to them at market rates,

01:14:07.460 maybe they'd like that.

01:14:09.480 But imagine having America 0.73

01:14:11.000 in charge of the pipeline itself,

01:14:15.440 because Ukraine couldn't protect it,

01:14:18.580 and if we're protecting that pipeline,

01:14:21.680 we're giving Putin

01:14:23.240 a fairly large incentive

01:14:27.160 to just do business,

01:14:30.140 because then he gets a business benefit

01:14:33.000 out of Ukraine.

01:14:34.260 He's dealing with the U.S. 0.89

01:14:36.120 that he probably feels

01:14:37.400 he can negotiate better with,

01:14:39.120 because we're more about business.

01:14:42.040 And that might be a way to close a deal.

01:14:46.840 There might be more to it,

01:14:49.240 but I've been negative on the deal

01:14:51.740 because I said that neither Ukraine

01:14:54.760 nor Russia seems serious enough about peace.

01:14:57.960 But this new variable

01:14:59.800 where we're, you know,

01:15:02.540 doing some mining in Ukraine,

01:15:04.660 but on top of that,

01:15:06.060 we might be managing the flow of energy

01:15:08.820 from Russia,

01:15:10.300 that might be enough.

01:15:12.100 That might be enough.

01:15:14.880 So I'm going to cautiously upgrade

01:15:17.760 the odds of a peace deal 0.96

01:15:19.680 from no fucking way, 0.92

01:15:21.800 which is where I was a week ago, 0.97

01:15:24.640 to, huh.

01:15:27.200 So that's my new opinion.

01:15:29.920 Huh.

01:15:30.960 Maybe.

01:15:32.640 Could be.

01:15:33.500 Could be.

01:15:33.540 Anyway,

01:15:38.000 here's another one

01:15:39.120 where I'd be a little surprised,

01:15:42.720 but apparently Iran

01:15:45.180 is acting like they want a deal

01:15:47.880 in which they would not

01:15:50.320 make nuclear weapons,

01:15:52.500 but the details of that

01:15:54.560 we don't have an agreement on.

01:15:57.420 But Trump has

01:15:59.380 kind of goosed

01:16:00.940 the situation

01:16:02.000 by saying that the U.S.

01:16:03.480 would lead an attack

01:16:04.680 against Iran,

01:16:06.140 quote,

01:16:06.580 very willingly,

01:16:07.860 if talks fail.

01:16:09.740 Breitbart's reporting that.

01:16:11.840 Now,

01:16:12.340 that's probably

01:16:13.540 the kind of pressure

01:16:14.640 that's helpful

01:16:16.360 because you want Iran

01:16:18.480 to think,

01:16:19.180 we better hurry up

01:16:20.580 and we better make a deal

01:16:22.560 because we don't want

01:16:23.920 to get attacked.

01:16:25.100 Because they're very,

01:16:26.160 they must be very aware

01:16:27.340 that the only reason Iran, 0.92

01:16:28.680 that Israel hasn't 0.98

01:16:30.180 attacked them yet

01:16:31.180 is that

01:16:32.580 Trump is holding them off.

01:16:35.420 Probably the only reason.

01:16:37.520 So if Trump says,

01:16:38.700 yeah,

01:16:38.860 if you don't make a deal,

01:16:39.780 we're very willing

01:16:40.620 not only to let it happen

01:16:42.860 but to help

01:16:43.820 the attack,

01:16:45.820 I think that could help

01:16:47.140 the negotiations.

01:16:48.860 But here's a,

01:16:50.020 here's an idea

01:16:50.680 of what the

01:16:51.520 Wall Street Journal

01:16:52.580 describes as

01:16:53.760 a possible deal.

01:16:56.040 And not there yet,

01:16:57.600 but it looks like

01:16:59.400 it might be doable.

01:17:01.100 And again,

01:17:02.180 I said last week

01:17:03.780 it didn't look doable

01:17:04.720 but here's some

01:17:05.700 new variables

01:17:06.360 introduced.

01:17:07.640 So I guess

01:17:08.140 the conversations

01:17:08.920 are happening

01:17:09.460 in Oman

01:17:10.360 where the US

01:17:12.160 and Iranian negotiators

01:17:13.560 are trying to

01:17:14.100 knock it out.

01:17:16.220 And one of the key,

01:17:17.520 the key things

01:17:18.660 is that

01:17:19.280 Iran wants 0.99

01:17:20.300 to be able to,

01:17:21.300 wants to be able

01:17:25.000 to,

01:17:25.760 what is it,

01:17:26.260 refine?

01:17:27.580 What's the word

01:17:28.440 they use there?

01:17:30.600 They want to be able

01:17:31.700 to,

01:17:33.600 I want to use

01:17:34.400 the right words,

01:17:35.800 enrich

01:17:36.280 their own uranium

01:17:37.920 for domestic use.

01:17:40.920 Now,

01:17:41.540 if you enrich

01:17:42.560 uranium up to,

01:17:44.900 you know,

01:17:45.500 a medium level,

01:17:46.480 then you can use

01:17:47.940 it for all kinds

01:17:48.960 of things like

01:17:49.800 health care

01:17:50.780 and other

01:17:51.780 domestic benefits.

01:17:53.060 If you

01:17:53.900 enrich it

01:17:55.060 to a further

01:17:55.920 level,

01:17:56.700 then you could

01:17:58.200 very easily

01:17:58.840 turn it into

01:17:59.560 a nuclear weapon.

01:18:01.440 Now,

01:18:01.840 one of the claims

01:18:02.660 here is that

01:18:03.860 Iran has already 0.99

01:18:05.520 enriched

01:18:06.200 enough uranium

01:18:07.800 that if they

01:18:09.240 decided to build

01:18:10.180 a nuclear weapon,

01:18:11.600 it might be

01:18:12.620 only a few

01:18:13.180 months away.

01:18:13.820 And that the

01:18:15.240 only reason

01:18:15.760 that hasn't

01:18:16.360 happened is

01:18:17.540 that the

01:18:18.180 leadership of

01:18:19.500 Iran has 0.98

01:18:20.340 ordered that

01:18:21.040 they don't

01:18:21.460 do it.

01:18:22.960 Now,

01:18:23.720 had you ever

01:18:24.240 heard that

01:18:24.560 before?

01:18:25.820 Had you ever

01:18:26.640 heard that the

01:18:27.440 only reason

01:18:28.020 they don't have

01:18:28.640 one,

01:18:29.000 because they

01:18:29.360 could have

01:18:29.700 one in a

01:18:30.240 month or

01:18:30.540 two,

01:18:31.380 the only

01:18:31.740 reason they

01:18:32.160 don't is

01:18:32.680 they decided

01:18:33.260 not to,

01:18:34.900 because

01:18:35.260 presumably

01:18:36.080 it'd be too

01:18:36.640 big of a

01:18:37.120 risk.

01:18:39.400 So,

01:18:40.000 that's

01:18:40.300 interesting.

01:18:41.100 To me,

01:18:41.480 that's a

01:18:41.820 little bit

01:18:42.140 new.

01:18:42.400 because I

01:18:44.100 thought it

01:18:44.420 was more

01:18:44.760 like we

01:18:45.240 wouldn't

01:18:45.540 know if

01:18:45.900 they were

01:18:46.160 doing it

01:18:46.600 or not.

01:18:48.460 So,

01:18:49.020 maybe we

01:18:49.460 do know.

01:18:51.400 So,

01:18:51.980 the idea

01:18:52.400 would be,

01:18:53.340 so Marco

01:18:54.220 Rubio has

01:18:55.260 proposed,

01:18:57.220 I guess,

01:18:58.140 that the

01:18:59.040 enriched

01:18:59.600 uranium would

01:19:00.860 not be

01:19:01.280 enriched

01:19:01.740 by Iran,

01:19:03.600 but rather

01:19:04.180 they could

01:19:04.680 just get

01:19:05.460 it from

01:19:05.800 other sources.

01:19:07.760 And then

01:19:09.000 they wouldn't

01:19:09.320 have to worry

01:19:09.840 about it

01:19:10.200 being further

01:19:11.200 enriched.

01:19:12.400 And there

01:19:13.080 would be

01:19:13.380 inspections

01:19:13.980 to make

01:19:14.640 sure that

01:19:15.000 they weren't

01:19:15.300 building a

01:19:15.840 nuclear weapon.

01:19:19.620 And that

01:19:20.880 would be

01:19:21.140 the deal.

01:19:22.420 But Iran

01:19:23.900 is saying

01:19:24.480 that they

01:19:24.940 don't want

01:19:25.340 to give

01:19:25.720 up the

01:19:26.540 right to

01:19:27.220 enrich

01:19:27.660 their own

01:19:28.120 uranium.

01:19:29.820 Now,

01:19:30.680 is that a

01:19:31.360 tell?

01:19:33.220 If Iran 0.97

01:19:34.220 is that

01:19:34.900 close to

01:19:35.400 a deal

01:19:35.900 that would

01:19:36.640 avoid their

01:19:37.320 own country

01:19:37.900 being destroyed

01:19:38.780 in a

01:19:39.240 bombing

01:19:40.360 craze,

01:19:41.340 that the

01:19:42.220 only thing

01:19:42.920 they're

01:19:43.120 holding

01:19:43.340 on to

01:19:43.860 is that

01:19:44.820 they want

01:19:45.200 the right

01:19:45.760 to enrich

01:19:46.840 uranium for

01:19:48.100 peaceful

01:19:48.640 domestic

01:19:49.180 reasons?

01:19:50.720 When we've

01:19:51.560 offered that

01:19:52.160 they can have

01:19:52.680 all the

01:19:53.020 uranium they

01:19:53.640 want,

01:19:53.980 they just

01:19:54.300 have to

01:19:54.600 get it

01:19:54.820 from other

01:19:55.260 sources?

01:19:56.560 Does that

01:19:57.260 sound like

01:19:57.740 they really

01:19:58.320 don't want

01:19:58.840 nuclear weapons?

01:20:00.140 Or does that

01:20:00.700 sound like

01:20:01.280 they sort of

01:20:02.540 do want

01:20:02.940 nuclear weapons

01:20:03.880 and they

01:20:04.880 don't want

01:20:05.180 to give

01:20:05.460 it up?

01:20:07.240 Well,

01:20:08.180 I guess

01:20:11.140 part of

01:20:11.480 the deal

01:20:11.820 is that

01:20:12.300 Russia is 0.79

01:20:14.000 being talked

01:20:14.720 about as

01:20:15.540 the maybe

01:20:16.400 keeper of

01:20:17.220 the uranium

01:20:18.020 or the

01:20:18.640 source of

01:20:19.080 the uranium.

01:20:20.340 And I

01:20:20.700 feel like

01:20:21.160 if Iran 0.82

01:20:21.900 had more

01:20:22.440 than one

01:20:22.900 source for

01:20:24.440 uranium,

01:20:25.940 maybe they'd

01:20:27.600 feel more

01:20:27.980 comfortable if

01:20:29.300 they really

01:20:30.960 don't want a

01:20:31.500 nuclear weapon.

01:20:32.220 that part's

01:20:34.460 the big

01:20:34.960 question.

01:20:36.880 Because they

01:20:37.280 might be just

01:20:38.020 jerking us

01:20:38.720 around and

01:20:39.660 all they're

01:20:39.980 doing is

01:20:40.400 stalling.

01:20:41.340 It's possible.

01:20:42.340 It could be

01:20:42.700 they're just

01:20:43.220 stalling.

01:20:46.180 Anyway,

01:20:47.440 but Tehran

01:20:50.880 is allegedly,

01:20:53.180 according to

01:20:53.540 the Wall

01:20:53.760 Street Journal,

01:20:54.500 is planning

01:20:55.060 to detail

01:20:55.720 the status

01:20:56.360 of its

01:20:56.760 nuclear

01:20:57.200 facilities

01:20:58.040 and tell

01:21:00.680 the U.S.

01:21:01.380 and I

01:21:01.680 guess the

01:21:01.980 world

01:21:02.260 exactly

01:21:02.860 where

01:21:03.180 everything

01:21:03.500 is and

01:21:04.040 how much

01:21:04.380 they have.

01:21:05.580 Do you

01:21:06.120 believe that?

01:21:08.280 Because if

01:21:09.240 they were

01:21:09.620 willing to

01:21:10.460 just completely

01:21:12.340 go transparent

01:21:13.540 about their

01:21:14.220 nuclear

01:21:14.800 everything,

01:21:15.840 that would

01:21:16.620 sort of

01:21:17.000 suggest that

01:21:17.700 they don't

01:21:18.160 want to

01:21:18.480 build a

01:21:18.840 nuclear

01:21:19.160 weapon.

01:21:20.900 So I'm

01:21:21.600 getting mixed

01:21:22.180 messages here.

01:21:23.300 Could go

01:21:23.800 either way.

01:21:26.200 And so

01:21:26.520 Iran has 0.98

01:21:27.100 been considering

01:21:28.380 options to

01:21:29.180 store nuclear

01:21:29.900 material under

01:21:30.840 Russian

01:21:31.300 supervision.

01:21:34.200 And then

01:21:35.300 I also

01:21:35.940 didn't know

01:21:36.380 this.

01:21:36.760 Apparently

01:21:37.060 Britain,

01:21:37.620 France,

01:21:37.960 and Germany

01:21:38.560 are threatening

01:21:40.100 to reimpose

01:21:41.060 sanctions if

01:21:42.940 Tehran doesn't 0.90

01:21:43.840 come up with

01:21:44.340 a deal.

01:21:44.820 And I

01:21:45.040 thought to

01:21:45.340 myself,

01:21:45.800 wait a

01:21:46.160 minute,

01:21:47.000 are you

01:21:47.600 saying that

01:21:48.120 Britain,

01:21:48.760 France,

01:21:49.100 and Germany

01:21:49.560 don't already

01:21:50.480 have sanctions

01:21:51.200 on Iran?

01:21:52.120 I guess they

01:21:53.000 don't.

01:21:53.380 So things

01:21:55.200 could get a

01:21:55.820 lot worse

01:21:56.240 for Iran

01:21:56.780 because we've

01:21:58.060 got sanctions

01:21:58.700 on them,

01:21:59.300 but these

01:22:00.080 other countries

01:22:00.880 that are

01:22:01.360 major countries

01:22:02.540 don't,

01:22:03.820 and they

01:22:04.300 might.

01:22:06.440 So I

01:22:08.120 don't know.

01:22:08.960 I guess I'm

01:22:09.860 going to

01:22:11.180 upgrade the

01:22:12.120 odds of

01:22:13.140 a workable

01:22:15.600 Iranian

01:22:16.320 nuclear deal

01:22:17.620 from

01:22:18.260 no way,

01:22:20.520 which was

01:22:21.020 last year,

01:22:21.720 last week's

01:22:22.840 opinion,

01:22:23.520 from no

01:22:24.040 way,

01:22:24.440 they're just

01:22:24.780 stalling,

01:22:25.740 to maybe,

01:22:29.100 I wouldn't

01:22:29.820 predict it,

01:22:31.620 but it's

01:22:32.220 solidly in

01:22:32.940 the maybe

01:22:34.620 because we're

01:22:35.780 at least

01:22:36.040 getting mixed

01:22:36.660 messages.

01:22:38.800 All right,

01:22:39.580 that's all I

01:22:40.140 got for you

01:22:40.640 today.

01:22:41.980 As I

01:22:42.700 said,

01:22:43.500 Owen

01:22:43.780 Gregorian

01:22:44.280 will have

01:22:44.680 a spaces

01:22:45.540 event on

01:22:46.820 X that

01:22:48.200 will begin

01:22:48.800 very soon

01:22:50.300 after I'm

01:22:50.980 done here.

01:22:52.160 So I'm

01:22:52.820 going to say

01:22:53.140 a few words

01:22:53.780 privately to

01:22:55.420 the local

01:22:56.380 subscribers,

01:22:57.620 but we'll

01:22:57.880 keep it

01:22:58.200 short so

01:22:59.260 that if you

01:22:59.820 want to run

01:23:00.200 over and

01:23:00.780 join the

01:23:01.180 spaces with

01:23:02.020 Owen

01:23:02.400 Gregorian on

01:23:03.660 X, that's

01:23:04.960 the audio

01:23:05.620 only thing,

01:23:06.460 and they'll

01:23:06.720 talk about

01:23:07.580 maybe some

01:23:08.440 of these

01:23:08.720 topics and

01:23:09.420 some others.

01:23:12.080 But thank

01:23:13.040 you for

01:23:13.320 joining.

01:23:14.720 Hope you

01:23:15.440 enjoyed it.

01:23:17.340 And Owen,

01:23:18.720 you can take

01:23:19.560 over from

01:23:20.140 here, but

01:23:20.820 let me just

01:23:21.340 say a few

01:23:21.820 words to

01:23:22.380 the locals

01:23:23.000 people privately,

01:23:24.240 the rest of

01:23:24.980 you on X

01:23:25.840 and YouTube

01:23:26.820 and Rumble.

01:23:27.880 Thanks for

01:23:28.260 joining.

01:23:29.240 I'll see you

01:23:29.960 tomorrow.

01:23:31.340 E

01:23:41.660 you

01:23:42.340 know,

01:23:46.800 you

01:23:48.940 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 26, 2025

Episode 2821 CWSA 04⧸26⧸25

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