Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2822 CWSA 04⧸27⧸25

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

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00:00:23.780 or a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask or a festival of any kind.

00:00:28.240 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:30.000 I like coffee.

00:00:31.620 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day.

00:00:35.160 The thing that makes everything better.

00:00:36.500 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:38.320 It happens now.

00:00:39.820 Go.

00:00:44.640 Ah, spectacular.

00:00:48.920 That's good stuff.

00:00:51.800 Well, I wonder if there's any science studies that didn't need to happen.

00:00:56.700 Oh, here's one.

00:00:59.840 According to Psy Post, Eric Dolan is writing, there's a new study in the British Journal of

00:01:07.040 Psychology that says that entertainment is a key to populist political success.

00:01:16.540 So if your candidate is very entertaining, they will do better in politics.

00:01:22.440 You know, you didn't really need to do that study.

00:01:29.400 You could have asked me or really anybody who has been alive for more than 10 minutes.

00:01:36.420 Because yes, yes, an entertaining candidate like Ronald Reagan, for example, absolutely is going to do better.

00:01:45.100 Trump, of course, yes, the more entertaining you are, the better you, the better you draw people to you.

00:01:53.880 I don't think it's just the key to populist political success.

00:01:58.380 I think it might be the key to all kinds of political success.

00:02:02.980 Well, what else?

00:02:06.040 Let's see.

00:02:07.440 Oh, here we go.

00:02:10.060 U.S. companies are avoiding hiring white men as part of their diversity push, according to the Telegraph.

00:02:19.340 Did you really need to study that?

00:02:22.260 That if companies are looking to increase diversity,

00:02:25.660 diversity, did you really not know that that meant that they would be avoiding hiring white men?

00:02:34.460 Again, they didn't need to study it.

00:02:37.960 Just ask me, Scott, do you think diversity means hiring white men?

00:02:43.440 And I would say, no, sounds like avoiding hiring white men.

00:02:48.920 Yeah, just ask.

00:02:50.940 Next time, I'll save you a lot of time and money.

00:02:53.820 Well, according to the Daily Wire, the group that's behind the MCAT test,

00:03:03.820 that's the test you take to see if you get into medical school,

00:03:08.300 they said they were going to get rid of DEI.

00:03:11.480 But according to insiders, they were lying.

00:03:15.320 And all they were going to do is hide the fact that they were totally going to do DEI.

00:03:19.900 So, according to the Daily Wire, on the surface, the group that administers the MCAT looks like they left DEI behind

00:03:29.680 because they sort of scrubbed those words from their materials.

00:03:34.000 But behind the scenes, it's working on plans to secretly push the ideology.

00:03:40.120 It turns out that, as far as I can tell, every big company is just waiting for the Trump administration to be done.

00:03:53.060 So, it looks like nobody's really getting rid of DEI.

00:03:57.080 Maybe Target, you know, maybe, maybe, you know, John Deere.

00:04:05.460 But basically, I would bet that 80 to 90 percent of the companies or organizations that say they're getting rid of DEI are lying.

00:04:15.760 Just lying.

00:04:16.480 And violating the law like crazy because DEI is racism and it's, you know, non-constitutional.

00:04:25.360 And I've got a fear that even though it looks like Trump got rid of DEI, I'm not so sure.

00:04:35.680 I think maybe he made a 10 percent dent in it.

00:04:38.480 And the moment he's gone, it will just come back, you know, stronger than ever.

00:04:46.100 That's what it looks like.

00:04:48.500 Well, ABC News has a cool story about 3D printed houses.

00:04:53.540 Now, you know that there have been 3D printed houses for a while.

00:04:57.940 But the ones you've seen probably look like cement.

00:05:02.300 You know, some big, big machine that's making cement walls.

00:05:05.900 Well, there's a new type that uses just waste wood.

00:05:11.480 So all the sawdust that's created from real wood.

00:05:16.260 And they take all that sawdust and they put it together with corn resin.

00:05:20.560 And they make a 3D printer.

00:05:23.240 And they make a biohome.

00:05:25.820 I guess it takes a week to create a home.

00:05:28.680 And it's made of material that's stronger than concrete.

00:05:32.280 And it's completely recyclable.

00:05:34.520 So if you take the appliances out of the house, you can recycle the whole house and turn it back into a 3D printer material.

00:05:45.240 That's wild.

00:05:47.640 So that's kind of cool.

00:05:50.760 At the same time, there's another company that's got 3D printed houses.

00:05:56.620 But the way they're doing it is they make the blocks that are interconnecting like Legos.

00:06:03.760 So instead of printing the whole house, they print the parts.

00:06:07.340 And you can snap it together yourself.

00:06:09.980 Now, I would like to reiterate my idea for 3D printed houses.

00:06:16.660 Whichever kind of technology you use to get your cheap little house,

00:06:20.980 the real secret would be how you organize the homes.

00:06:27.540 This is something I learned in college.

00:06:30.420 I've used this example before.

00:06:32.660 In college, I had the worst physical room of my life,

00:06:37.280 which was, you know, shared with another person.

00:06:39.600 It was just a little cinder block room with one window.

00:06:42.000 And the bathroom was down the hall.

00:06:45.400 But it was my probably best lifestyle because I was surrounded by people like me who had stuff to do.

00:06:54.280 You know, sports and classes.

00:06:56.140 And it was a great experience.

00:06:58.820 Now, if you imagine you, let's take some federal land.

00:07:02.780 And you started building some of these 3D homes.

00:07:08.080 The important part would be that you make little units within a community where the people have a lot in common.

00:07:18.220 So one would be people with kids.

00:07:21.140 So you'd make one little neighborhood where everybody just has a kid.

00:07:25.940 Another neighborhood where everybody's single.

00:07:28.840 Another neighborhood where there's a lot of tech people.

00:07:31.320 Another one where there's some retired people.

00:07:34.820 Because if you put people together who have a lot in common,

00:07:38.520 the physical surroundings become way less important.

00:07:42.540 Way less important.

00:07:43.880 So you can make an awesome lifestyle that's fairly inexpensive by just organizing who is where.

00:07:51.820 Instead of just, you know, the materials you use in the house.

00:07:55.800 That's what I think.

00:07:57.700 Well, according to Futurism, which is a publication,

00:08:01.320 a website, I guess.

00:08:04.320 There was a recent experiment by researchers at Carnegie Mellon where they tried to create a company

00:08:11.640 that was entirely run by AI.

00:08:15.080 So there would be AI agents for each job.

00:08:20.020 So they would staff the AI company with, instead of humans,

00:08:26.960 they would give an AI agent to be, you know, sales, one to be engineering, one to be whatever.

00:08:33.560 And so they created this thing and then they just let it run without human interaction to see how all the AI agents would perform.

00:08:43.880 How do you think it went?

00:08:46.600 Do you think they became a unicorn because the AI is so smart and then they sold it for a billion dollars?

00:08:53.860 No.

00:08:56.540 Turns out it was a gigantic clusterfuck and nothing worked and the AI started lying and absolutely none of it worked.

00:09:07.520 So even though they used various different AIs, none of the AI agents actually did anything useful.

00:09:16.220 So we're not quite ready to run a company with AI.

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00:10:23.640 Well, I guess last night was the White House Correspondents' Dinner.

00:10:28.780 And Trump and probably most of the Trump insiders did not go.

00:10:34.620 And I think it turned out to be the most low-energy event of all time.

00:10:40.100 Because it used to be, you know, the president would go, whoever the president is, and then a comedian would make really edgy jokes.

00:10:48.440 And then the next day would be everybody talking about all the edgy jokes.

00:10:52.260 It's like, oh, can you believe that that comedian said that right in front of the president?

00:10:56.680 But instead, they just gave themselves awards for, somebody got an award for writing about Biden's mental decline.

00:11:08.740 Do you think anybody was writing about Biden's mental decline while he was in office?

00:11:14.320 I don't think so.

00:11:17.380 If you're giving somebody an award for writing about it after he's out of office, I don't know if you deserve that award.

00:11:27.100 That would be like the opposite of what you should get. 0.99

00:11:31.320 You should get a kick in the ass, not an award. 0.99

00:11:33.640 And then I guess the new leader of the White House Correspondents did a speech in which he wanted you to know that they are not the enemy of the people. 0.99

00:11:46.840 The press is not the enemy of the people.

00:11:49.660 To which I say, what's your criteria for that?

00:11:55.160 Because you certainly look like the enemy of the people to me.

00:11:59.760 So how do you score that?

00:12:02.020 Is there some objective criteria by which you can say, oh, you're not the enemy of the people?

00:12:09.440 Oh, I see, based on your performance.

00:12:12.460 But if you actually just looked at what the press has done over the last several years, it certainly looks like enemy.

00:12:22.340 You know, because my friends will tell me the truth and my enemies will lie to me.

00:12:27.640 What is the press done more of, telling me the truth or lying to me?

00:12:32.920 Lying to me.

00:12:34.200 So how in the world do I declare that they're not my enemy if they're lying to me about the most important things in the world?

00:12:42.640 No, I would consider that an enemy.

00:12:45.680 Sorry.

00:12:46.060 Speaking of enemies, James Carville is complaining that Bernie Sanders and AOC are starting to define the Democrat Party.

00:12:57.580 Fox News is reporting on this.

00:12:59.600 Now, I love the fact that Carville, as crazy old coup as he is, he is still probably one of the smartest ones in the Democrat Party in terms of strategies.

00:13:15.140 And he is completely right that having Bernie and AOC define the party and chasing after oligarchs is a really bad idea.

00:13:25.760 But the other thing Carville says, he says that Democrats have candidates who are, quote, staggeringly more talented than Bernie and AOC.

00:13:36.460 Well, who would they be?

00:13:38.580 Maybe he should give us some names.

00:13:40.320 I think he's named them before.

00:13:43.680 But if they're staggeringly more talented, do they need a boost?

00:13:50.580 Or wouldn't we know their names already?

00:13:53.620 Wouldn't all their talent have allowed them to break away from the pack and be obvious?

00:14:00.060 And yet, I can't think of one.

00:14:03.120 Which Democrat is staggeringly talented?

00:14:07.140 I don't know.

00:14:07.720 All right, let's look at the fake news.

00:14:11.500 You may have seen that the President Trump and his wife went to the Pope's funeral.

00:14:20.540 And you probably saw a bunch of news coverage and social media saying that Trump wore a blue suit when the dress code was for black suits.

00:14:31.660 And so, therefore, he was being disrespectful to the Pope and the entire Catholic religion.

00:14:40.580 Well, of course, there were lots of people who didn't wear black for a variety of reasons.

00:14:46.340 There were other blue suits.

00:14:47.720 There were gray suits.

00:14:48.980 There were Muslim traditional outfits.

00:14:53.860 And the dress code was for a dark suit.

00:15:00.360 There was no dress code for a black suit.

00:15:03.200 There was a dress code for a dark suit.

00:15:06.060 And he had a dark blue.

00:15:08.020 So that is fake news.

00:15:10.240 He was not violating any norms.

00:15:12.460 He was just wearing a nice suit.

00:15:15.600 Yeah.

00:15:15.740 And if you see a wide shot, you see there was a whole bunch of people in blue suits.

00:15:21.680 So he wasn't the only one either.

00:15:25.580 There's more fake news.

00:15:28.000 Let's see.

00:15:29.100 Sonny Hostin tried to create this.

00:15:31.740 And MSNBC is trying to create this one. 0.99

00:15:34.600 And nothing.

00:15:35.140 So when the Republicans started noodling about a $5,000 bonus to pay to people who have babies

00:15:43.320 to encourage them to have more babies, the Democrats turned that into, oh, you mean you 0.89

00:15:50.880 want more white babies, you racist? 0.93

00:15:54.760 To which every Republican said, huh? 1.00

00:15:59.360 Where did that come from?

00:16:00.920 So I haven't heard a single person on social media or anywhere else say that the $5,000

00:16:07.960 baby bonus was somehow either intentionally or even unintentionally aimed at white babies.

00:16:17.980 Now, where does that even come from?

00:16:19.940 It's just that they've got some kind of terrible fever in their brains, TDS, that they just imagine

00:16:27.720 out of nothing that the idea of having more American babies really meant having more white 0.95

00:16:33.880 babies.

00:16:34.760 How in the world would he even restrict it?

00:16:37.920 Did they think that the Trump administration was going to give no money to an Hispanic family

00:16:46.340 who had been living here for generations?

00:16:48.760 No.

00:16:49.980 It's a baby bonus.

00:16:51.860 It's not a white baby bonus.

00:16:53.280 Literally, nobody's even suggested that, except Democrats, of course. 0.99

00:17:01.240 So, dumb old Joy Reid, the dumbest person in media, she was back making a little video 1.00

00:17:08.840 in which she claimed the Roman Empire fell because they had a lack of diversity. 0.99

00:17:15.820 Now, I'm no historian, but even I know that Rome didn't fall because of a lack of diversity. 0.97

00:17:26.720 Can you imagine being so, so boldly dumb that you would say that in public, that the reason 0.97

00:17:33.840 the Roman Empire fell was a lack of diversity? 0.96

00:17:37.040 So, I saw a post by Paul Sispula, and he went to history.com and asked that why the Roman

00:17:48.120 Empire fell.

00:17:49.640 Here are the eight reasons.

00:17:51.100 Invasions by barbarians, economic troubles and over-reliance on slave labor, the rise of 1.00

00:17:57.560 the Eastern Empire, over-expansion and military overspending.

00:18:01.200 A lot of this is just overspending.

00:18:02.860 Government corruption and political instability, the arrival of the Huns and the migration of

00:18:08.720 the barbarian tribes, Christianity and the loss of traditional values, weakening of the

00:18:14.160 Roman legions.

00:18:16.180 So, basically, everything except diversity.

00:18:20.980 You could argue that the diversity is what destroyed it, because when the barbarians and 1.00

00:18:26.920 the Huns and the slaves were filling Rome, that was pretty diverse, and it was also the 0.98

00:18:36.080 end of Rome.

00:18:37.320 Now, I'm not saying that diversity is going to kill Rome.

00:18:41.700 I'm just saying it went down at the same time it had the most diversity, but not because

00:18:48.860 of it.

00:18:49.720 It's because of this other stuff.

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00:19:12.820 Well, the thief who stole Christy Noem's purse when she was at a restaurant has been captured.

00:19:24.680 And just to make it fun, the thief is an illegal immigrant. 1.00

00:19:30.580 And it makes me wonder, how did they catch the guy?

00:19:34.080 So, he had a mask on.

00:19:36.540 So, presumably, there was no video that could catch his face.

00:19:40.540 And there were several theories I saw.

00:19:44.300 One was, I think her phone was in her purse, right?

00:19:48.720 Did her phone get stolen?

00:19:50.700 Because if her phone was there, I guess they could track her phone and go right to him.

00:19:56.000 Or did they look for his phone?

00:19:58.880 Maybe he had a phone, and they just checked to see, you know, who was in the building that

00:20:03.760 day that was sketchy and also had a phone.

00:20:06.880 Maybe.

00:20:07.220 Or somebody else said maybe he tried to use her credit cards and that flagged something.

00:20:14.020 But my best guess is her phone was in the purse.

00:20:19.000 And that might have been enough.

00:20:21.800 But have you noticed that when a crime happens to somebody famous, they always solve it?

00:20:28.480 But if a crime happens to you, the police will say, you know, it could be anything.

00:20:35.960 Let us know if you find anything.

00:20:38.420 There's nothing we can do.

00:20:40.660 Air tag?

00:20:42.020 Maybe.

00:20:42.880 Maybe she had an Apple air tag in the purse.

00:20:45.340 We haven't heard of that, but maybe.

00:20:47.240 All right, let's do a little update on Trump becoming a dictator.

00:20:54.440 All right, so this is going to be based on the Democrat frame for things.

00:21:00.160 So what are the Democrats looking at that suggest that Trump is becoming an authoritarian Hitler

00:21:08.000 dictator guy?

00:21:09.120 His administration has recently, well, the Department of Justice, has arrested two judges for harboring

00:21:18.400 illegal aliens.

00:21:20.480 Is that like a dictator?

00:21:23.160 Or is that more like nobody's above the law?

00:21:27.060 Because it does look like both judges, quite obviously and somewhat publicly, violated the

00:21:36.780 law by harboring, in one case, having an illegal alien in their own home, and the other case,

00:21:44.220 allegedly, helping the illegal alien escape from ICE after a court case, unsuccessfully.

00:21:53.700 So I would say, hmm, if they broke the law, and it's an important law, and they're going

00:22:01.260 to make an example out of them so that other people don't think they can just protect illegal

00:22:06.320 aliens, I would say that's not exactly too dictator-like, because it's very narrowly aimed at people

00:22:15.360 who broke actual laws.

00:22:17.260 And it wasn't long ago that the Democrats were trying to put a candidate for president

00:22:25.080 in jail, actually, even a president in jail, for all kinds of lawfare.

00:22:30.600 So all that lawfare against Trump apparently had nothing to do with dictator or anything.

00:22:37.300 But the moment the Department of Justice under Trump arrests two judges who clearly broke

00:22:43.500 the law, well, a dictator, dictator.

00:22:48.540 Then there's the case of the Maryland dad who was accused of being a MS-13, who was shipped

00:22:55.780 to El Salvador without what they call due process.

00:23:00.240 Now, we could argue all day whether there was due process or not.

00:23:03.860 But how many think that that one case of that one Maryland dad is an indication that Trump's

00:23:09.420 a dictator?

00:23:09.920 To me, it's just, he's a guy who said he would get rid of the criminals, and he meant it.

00:23:19.160 Apparently, he is.

00:23:22.080 Then what about the negotiations with Ukraine and Russia?

00:23:26.180 I will admit that Trump apparently is negotiating in a way that would give Putin everything Putin

00:23:34.220 wants.

00:23:34.680 I don't think there's anything that Putin wants, you know, unless you think he wants

00:23:40.320 the rest of Ukraine, but he probably doesn't, because he got the good stuff.

00:23:47.660 It does look like Trump is negotiating on the side of the dictator.

00:23:53.860 Now, his purpose is not necessarily to help Putin.

00:24:00.220 His purpose is to end the war.

00:24:01.780 And I think it's just common sense that if you know Putin's not going to give back Crimea,

00:24:08.140 he's not going to give back any of those occupied areas, why would you even waste your time

00:24:14.720 negotiating something that's not going to happen?

00:24:17.600 But the weird thing is that Trump is simultaneously being accused of being a Neville Chamberlain,

00:24:26.000 Trump, you know, the guy who is negotiating peace with a Nazi, but doesn't, you know, but

00:24:33.600 trusts Hitler to keep his word. 1.00

00:24:36.600 And then he turns out to be the biggest dumb guy in all of history, because who would have 0.99

00:24:41.740 trusted, you know, Hitler to keep his word? 0.99

00:24:45.480 But at the same time that Trump is being accused of the guy who's letting Hitler get away with

00:24:52.340 too much, he's actually being accused of being Hitler.

00:24:56.040 So he's the first person in history who's ever been accused of being Neville Chamberlain

00:25:01.780 and Hitler at the same time. 0.60

00:25:04.920 So I can't take any of that too seriously.

00:25:08.380 He did try to fire Jerome Powell from the Fed, which would be, most people would say, an overreach

00:25:16.260 of his position.

00:25:18.660 But he gave up on that.

00:25:20.800 So, you know, that was sort of a shot across the bow, but nothing too dictatorial that happened.

00:25:29.200 And then there's a new story here from Axios that Attorney General Pam Bondi is going to 0.99

00:25:39.820 resume the practice of seizing reporters' phone records in the narrow situation that there's

00:25:47.980 a leak, and there's a leak to specific reporters.

00:25:51.100 And that would be a reversal of a Biden rule that said they wouldn't take, you know, they

00:25:58.880 wouldn't investigate reporters.

00:26:01.420 I kind of like Biden's, I like Biden's take on this.

00:26:06.600 I think you have to leave the reporters alone, even if there's a leak.

00:26:11.260 But Pam Bondi, et cetera, is saying it would be a very narrow search.

00:26:17.160 So if they took the phones or the devices of the reporters, they wouldn't look at everything.

00:26:25.440 They'd just be looking for something related to the leak that they were investigating.

00:26:29.860 But that's not good enough.

00:26:32.580 So to me, that's a little bit of an overreach.

00:26:37.740 I don't like him going after the press.

00:26:43.160 So those are the dictatorial things.

00:26:45.620 Did I miss anything?

00:26:47.160 Did I miss any other dictator stuff?

00:26:50.220 You know, even the part where Trump is trolling the world, saying that he wants to, I don't

00:26:58.620 know, take over Canada and Greenland and, you know, he wants to run again in 2028.

00:27:06.560 I think the 2028 thing is mostly a troll.

00:27:10.680 And I think he said so today.

00:27:13.540 But, and then the other stuff just makes sense, you know, having more military security with

00:27:21.840 Greenland and the candidate part, I feel like is more troll than not, although he swears

00:27:30.480 that he's serious about it.

00:27:31.880 But that just makes it funnier.

00:27:33.220 I don't think he's serious about it, but he might be.

00:27:38.600 He might be serious about it.

00:27:41.340 Well, Jamie Raskin, a Democrat, he was on a Rachel Maddow show.

00:27:47.100 And he said that the Trump administration officials could be arrested for, quote, interfering with

00:27:54.140 the legal proceeding or kidnapping.

00:27:57.560 I think that has to do with the judges that were arrested.

00:28:00.700 And I saw Joel Pollack commenting on it, that Jamie Raskin just really wants to arrest people.

00:28:10.120 He's been after trying to arrest, you know, Republicans or Trump or anybody close to him

00:28:16.760 for the longest time.

00:28:18.400 So he's he's arrest him, arrest him.

00:28:20.880 Hey, Dave Richardson here between rallies and sell offs, bulls and bears, markets move fast.

00:28:27.860 It can be hard to keep up.

00:28:29.720 Join me on the download podcast as I chat with investment experts from all around the world

00:28:34.320 to help you make sense of what's happening in the markets and the global economy.

00:28:39.060 Go to the download on Spotify to get the latest episode and to subscribe.

00:28:46.620 All right, let's look at the Trump's first 100 days.

00:28:50.880 So depending who you talk to, it's either the worst 100 days of any president ever, or it

00:28:59.280 went pretty well.

00:29:01.080 Now, I'm going to make reference here to two bubble people. 0.97

00:29:07.080 There's bubble boy Bill Maher, who says that mega voters won't admit how disappointed they

00:29:13.440 are in Trump's first 100 days.

00:29:16.460 Really?

00:29:17.140 That doesn't look like any reality I'm aware of.

00:29:22.980 I do see Republicans say he didn't get enough done or this didn't work or I'm disappointed

00:29:30.160 with that.

00:29:31.340 But they say it.

00:29:32.940 They say it publicly.

00:29:34.720 They don't hold back a bit.

00:29:36.080 But more often, I'll hear people say that they like what he did in the first 100 days.

00:29:42.420 And, you know, the jury's out on some of it because it's too early.

00:29:47.760 Rachel Maddow said that, quote, it's all bad for Trump.

00:29:52.860 I don't know that we have ever seen another first 100 days from any president this roundly

00:29:59.080 rejected and hated by the American people.

00:30:02.440 Really?

00:30:04.100 What bubble is that happening in?

00:30:07.440 Where's the bubble where Trump's supporters are rejecting everything he's done?

00:30:14.620 So, I think if you ask people, they would say something like, if you ask Republicans, they'd

00:30:21.880 say that Trump did a great job on the border and continues to do a great job on the border.

00:30:26.800 And that was an existential threat.

00:30:29.500 The border problem was an end of America problem.

00:30:33.300 And he solved that.

00:30:36.020 That's a really big deal.

00:30:39.040 He took a real strong swipe at DEI, and maybe he got rid of it in the government.

00:30:45.640 Now, as I said before, I think every private organization is just pretending to get rid of it.

00:30:52.740 So, I don't think he had a big success there.

00:30:55.220 But at least he put down the flag.

00:31:00.720 I don't know.

00:31:01.280 What's the right analogy?

00:31:02.160 He kind of drew the line and said, this is illegal.

00:31:08.540 If you do this, we will not fund you.

00:31:10.940 If you do this, you're breaking, or at least you're violating the Constitution by being racist.

00:31:16.080 That part I love.

00:31:17.980 I mean, you know, maybe you didn't get the big win and eliminate it all at once.

00:31:23.420 But it's certainly working in the right direction compared to where it was.

00:31:27.200 And Trump's negotiating with Iran for a better deal.

00:31:32.640 Well, what if he gets it?

00:31:35.400 I'm not going to predict it'll happen, but what if he does?

00:31:38.440 It's too early to know.

00:31:40.440 He's negotiating with Ukraine and with Russia to end that war.

00:31:44.820 It doesn't look like it's necessarily going to work.

00:31:48.540 But what if it does?

00:31:50.420 It's too early to say it worked or it didn't work. 0.99

00:31:53.560 So the first hundred days is a sort of a sketchy, stupid way to judge anything. 0.81

00:31:59.800 What about the tariffs? 0.93

00:32:03.680 How many of you are sure that you can judge the beginning and the end of the tariffs?

00:32:10.960 How many of you would say, oh, it's clear that the tariffs were a gigantic mistake?

00:32:17.880 It's way too early.

00:32:19.960 It's way too early.

00:32:21.300 He's using it as a negotiating tool.

00:32:23.380 And you've got, I don't know, 160 countries who said, yes, we do want to negotiate, which

00:32:30.100 almost certainly means better trade deals.

00:32:33.040 So what happens if he gets better trade deals?

00:32:40.000 So any sense that the first hundred days are telling you anything is it's a real propaganda

00:32:49.020 gaslighting kind of situation.

00:32:51.140 You can't tell how he's doing in a hundred days.

00:32:54.660 And if you're looking at his popularity with the public, well, they're getting their cues

00:33:00.320 from the media.

00:33:02.080 So if you turn on the TV, the media is pretty much saying that the tariffs are the biggest, 0.98

00:33:09.160 dumbest thing anybody ever did. 0.97

00:33:11.120 Are they right? 0.99

00:33:12.880 What does the media know about any of this?

00:33:16.060 They don't know what's going to happen.

00:33:18.320 They don't know what China is going to do.

00:33:20.540 They don't know if the negotiations are really happening behind the scenes.

00:33:25.140 They don't know any of that. 1.00

00:33:27.120 So this whole hundred day thing is just stupid. 0.99

00:33:31.340 But the polls are looking not so great for Trump, according to Just the News. 0.97

00:33:37.260 There's a new poll from Economist slash YouGov that Trump's approval is down to 41%.

00:33:44.840 And that would be a pretty big drop from the last time at 48%.

00:33:50.340 And then there's the, I talked about this yesterday, but there's a Fox News poll that says that Democrats

00:33:58.620 are a favorite to win the midterm, which is new.

00:34:02.300 And almost certainly because of the news coverage about Trump and a lot of it about the tariffs,

00:34:08.180 I would think.

00:34:10.700 But that's 2026, the midterms.

00:34:15.400 Now, does that necessarily signal that he's failed if the midterms go to the Democrats?

00:34:22.420 I don't know, because the midterms almost always go to the party that's not in control.

00:34:32.500 I don't know how many times there's been an exception to that.

00:34:35.420 So if it's the most common thing in the world that the midterms go to the other party,

00:34:41.600 it's kind of hard to say that it's because of what Trump's doing.

00:34:45.460 But timing is really important.

00:34:48.180 So here are just a few of the things that might happen.

00:34:51.080 I'm not going to predict they will happen, but they could happen before the midterms.

00:34:56.720 You might have a peace deal in Ukraine.

00:35:00.620 How would that look on his resume before the midterms?

00:35:04.200 It's pretty damn good.

00:35:06.840 You know, of course, there would be problems with the peace deal holding and there'd be

00:35:11.560 cheating and stuff.

00:35:12.980 But if there was anything that looked like a peace deal and we didn't have to send them

00:35:18.040 money and protect them anymore, and maybe we had a mineral deal too, well, it's going

00:35:23.860 to look pretty good.

00:35:25.380 Could he get that done before the midterms?

00:35:28.520 Possibly.

00:35:29.520 What about a nuclear deal with Iran?

00:35:32.920 I think Iran is just dragging them along. 0.99

00:35:36.520 I don't think that Iran is necessarily committed to making a deal, but they could.

00:35:43.260 I would say it's not completely out of the question because the alternative is, Trump said

00:35:50.300 very clearly, that he wouldn't have to be dragged into a war with Iran if they don't make a deal.

00:35:59.260 He says he would very willingly be leading that war. 0.76

00:36:02.720 And that's pretty scary.

00:36:04.140 So maybe he's threatening Iran enough that he could get an actual good deal, maybe, before 0.91

00:36:10.660 the midterms.

00:36:11.960 What if he negotiates a better deal with China and our other major trading partners before

00:36:19.840 the midterms?

00:36:20.680 It's not going to be worse than the current deals, right?

00:36:26.500 It seems unlikely that he would negotiate worse trade deals.

00:36:30.360 So wouldn't it look like the tariffs worked if he, let's say, in, I don't know, four months

00:36:37.820 or something, we've got a little disruption, we've got some shortages over the summer, but

00:36:44.000 manageable.

00:36:45.280 We figure out a way around it.

00:36:47.400 And then when we're done, we've got much better trade deals.

00:36:51.580 Isn't that going to look like the biggest win ever?

00:36:54.040 And all of this could happen, could happen before midterms.

00:37:00.200 Now, as I said before, I think the Democrat strategy is completely just stalling.

00:37:06.480 They want to stall until the midterms and make sure that he doesn't have any successes

00:37:11.360 that the public knows about, so they can just keep the public from knowing about anything

00:37:16.740 that he does that works.

00:37:17.780 And then once they get control of the house, which is a good possibility, then they can

00:37:26.740 just block every other thing he wants to do.

00:37:29.640 And then they can say he was a giant failure, but it would be because they made him fail.

00:37:36.300 You know, the press, you know, framed it that way.

00:37:39.820 And then, you know, the house had some control and maybe they just start a bunch of investigations

00:37:46.260 and just basically break everything.

00:37:49.240 There's a good chance that'll happen.

00:37:52.080 Well, according to you, just the news, California tried to pass a bill that would make it easier

00:37:58.920 to get rid of squatters.

00:38:01.000 Because right now in California, if somebody squats in your property, you really just can't

00:38:06.840 get rid of them.

00:38:07.840 I mean, you can, but the process could take years and, you know, could be expensive, et

00:38:15.240 cetera.

00:38:15.700 So having a squatter is just the worst thing in the world in California.

00:38:20.720 So there was some new legislation to make it easier to get rid of it.

00:38:25.300 And of course it failed.

00:38:28.080 And it failed because they didn't want to increase more homeless.

00:38:32.400 So imagine being a homeowner in California.

00:38:37.060 First of all, you're not owning your home because you're paying the government or it will take

00:38:42.120 it away from you.

00:38:43.100 So property taxes are basically rent you're paying to keep your house.

00:38:48.560 So not only do you not really own your house because you got to pay the government just to

00:38:54.920 keep it.

00:38:55.980 But if somebody, you know, plays a clever trick and moves in and doesn't pay you rent anymore,

00:39:02.600 you've got to keep them.

00:39:03.740 So if you can't control keeping your own house, you've got to pay rent to the government and

00:39:11.880 the government can tell you that someone else can live in your house, whether you like it

00:39:15.880 or not.

00:39:16.980 Do you even own the house?

00:39:19.680 It's like you don't even own the house.

00:39:22.760 So California is pretty close to full communist at this point, or at least socialist.

00:39:30.620 Now, I happen to know somebody who was a squatter at one point.

00:39:37.100 It was sort of a boyfriend situation.

00:39:40.240 You know, the boyfriend wanted to break up, but she wanted to stay where she was.

00:39:46.400 And I'll tell you, being a squatter is no good idea.

00:39:49.160 Because once you get on the list of someone who has ever been a squatter, you can never

00:39:57.980 rent a place or probably even buy a place ever again.

00:40:02.680 You are absolutely locked out of all civilized behavior.

00:40:09.740 Once you show up on a list of somebody who has ever squatted, you can never rent.

00:40:15.200 Never rent again.

00:40:18.300 That's pretty severe.

00:40:21.320 Wouldn't it be better if it was easier to remove the squatters, but maybe the squatter

00:40:27.700 penalty, you know, would maybe time out after five years or something?

00:40:33.680 Because, you know, people change.

00:40:36.680 I think California is doing everything wrong on that topic.

00:40:39.880 All right, I've got a theory that the only lasting benefit from Doge, because I don't

00:40:46.980 think they cut enough to make a difference to the budget, I think the only lasting benefit

00:40:51.660 is giving it a name, Doge.

00:40:55.340 Because now Pennsylvania is talking about they need their own Doge, and some other states

00:41:00.100 have talked about, oh, we need a Doge.

00:41:02.560 And some organizations have said we need a Doge, and some other countries have said we need

00:41:07.500 a Doge.

00:41:08.020 The fact that it has a name allows everybody to say they're in favor of it.

00:41:15.320 But if you tried to do it without a name, and you said, you know, what we really need

00:41:20.840 is some kind of smart auditors who would come in, and they'd use a scalpel, and they'd decide

00:41:28.560 what to cut.

00:41:30.240 I don't know if you'd get a yes or a no, because it wouldn't even have a name.

00:41:34.560 Once you give something a name, and everybody knows that name of the thing, then it becomes

00:41:41.060 a yes-no.

00:41:42.560 Should we do a Doge?

00:41:44.580 Huh, pretty good idea.

00:41:46.640 So even if the main Doge doesn't produce the cuts that we hoped, and it's not looking like

00:41:54.180 it will, it might create the idea.

00:41:59.600 It could be that the idea of Doge, where you get a bunch of smart people to come in and look

00:42:05.000 for the waste and cut your budget where it makes sense, that might be really important.

00:42:11.900 So maybe the lasting benefit is just somebody gave it a name, so we all know what it is,

00:42:17.040 so we can say yes or no to it in the future.

00:42:20.640 NVIDIA, the company that makes those big AI boards, and mostly boards, they're going to

00:42:30.380 invest $500 billion in AI supercomputers in the U.S.

00:42:35.160 Now, I think an AI supercomputer means a data center, that acts as one unified supercomputer.

00:42:46.520 But Mario Noffle was writing about this on X, and that's a pretty big move, $500 billion.

00:42:54.120 That's half a trillion dollars.

00:42:56.820 Now, I didn't see what time frame that is, but obviously it's not one year.

00:43:00.240 But that's some serious investment.

00:43:04.100 So, again, if we see the midterms coming, and there are enough of these situations where

00:43:13.260 big companies like Apple have said, yep, we're going to move our production to India, get

00:43:18.180 it out of China, we're going to build a bunch of things in the United States.

00:43:23.260 You've got a bunch of car companies saying, yep, we're going to move our production out of

00:43:28.300 Mexico and put it back into Detroit or something.

00:43:32.220 Trump's going to look pretty good.

00:43:34.120 But they're going to have to rack up a lot more of these.

00:43:37.440 So right now, it's maybe two handfuls of deals.

00:43:42.100 They're big ones.

00:43:43.340 I mean, they're many billions of dollars.

00:43:45.540 They're big ones.

00:43:46.080 But I think maybe two handfuls of deals wouldn't be enough for him to win the midterms.

00:43:54.960 But what if he had 50?

00:43:57.940 What if there were 50 just legitimate, obvious, gigantic deals that were coming into the United

00:44:06.160 States that wouldn't have happened otherwise?

00:44:08.380 Well, then he's going to be looking pretty good.

00:44:10.580 So that could happen.

00:44:12.540 Claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament.

00:44:14.660 I've been visualizing my match all week.

00:44:17.420 She was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her

00:44:21.500 backhand side.

00:44:23.340 Good thing Claudia's with Intact, the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers

00:44:27.940 in the country.

00:44:29.060 Everything was taken care of under one roof, and she was on her way in a rental car in

00:44:32.880 no time.

00:44:33.480 I made it to my tournament and lost in the first round.

00:44:36.960 But you got there on time.

00:44:38.820 Intact Insurance, your auto service ace.

00:44:41.440 Certain conditions apply.

00:44:42.320 I was looking at a post by Insurrection Barbie on X, and Insurrection Barbie points out there

00:44:52.420 have been more than 60 coordinated attacks on Tesla and $20 million in personal property

00:44:59.320 damage and over $460 billion in market cap collapse in Tesla, the company.

00:45:06.280 And she points out that one of the most radical groups behind this domestic terrorism is called

00:45:13.920 the Disruption Project.

00:45:16.380 And the Disruption Project are funded 100% by another entity called the Tides Network.

00:45:23.460 And the Tides Network is funded primarily by David Rockefeller, George Soros, the Pritzkers,

00:45:36.500 and the Pritzkers.

00:45:39.660 So if we know who's funding it, and we know it's domestic terrorism, and we know that there

00:45:48.440 are real economic costs, you know, $20 million of damage, et cetera, Insurrection Barbie asks,

00:45:56.200 why not a RICO case?

00:45:58.800 Now, I'm not a lawyer, so I don't know that that's enough to make it RICO, but it's organized.

00:46:08.000 It's seemingly criminal, at least by outcome.

00:46:15.480 You know, maybe there's no smoking gun that says we're going to try to get people to destroy

00:46:20.120 property.

00:46:20.860 That probably doesn't exist.

00:46:22.300 But what if they were completely aware of the outcome?

00:46:28.140 Certainly after the first few instances.

00:46:31.020 If they were completely aware that what they were funding was going to cause massive property

00:46:36.540 damage, is that enough to make it a RICO case where it's an organized criminal activity?

00:46:45.840 I don't know.

00:46:47.540 I will leave that to the lawyers.

00:46:49.040 Well, according to Scott Pressler, there's a problem in Pennsylvania, as he says on X.

00:46:58.300 So apparently some Republican voters got their mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, and their mail-in

00:47:07.040 ballots are dated for 2024.

00:47:10.260 So last year.

00:47:13.200 In other words, they're not even legal, at least the way they're dated.

00:47:17.860 And I guess Scott Pressler has heard from several other Republicans who also received last year's

00:47:26.360 ballot.

00:47:27.820 Now, again, I don't know if it's really last year's ballot or if they just have a typo in

00:47:32.720 the date.

00:47:34.840 But either way, it would suppress your voting, wouldn't it?

00:47:38.200 Because you wouldn't know for sure if it's the right thing.

00:47:42.000 Maybe you'd try to get the right one, but you'd run out of time.

00:47:46.400 You'd be confused.

00:47:48.600 So the open question is whether it only happened to Republicans.

00:47:53.000 So if you want to go full conspiracy theory, is it possible that all the fake ballots went

00:48:01.280 to Republicans?

00:48:02.920 Now, I would guess it's more of a general problem, you know, maybe just a printer glitch or something,

00:48:08.660 you know, a typo.

00:48:09.540 So it probably affected everybody.

00:48:12.680 But we'll get to the bottom of it.

00:48:14.600 We don't know yet.

00:48:15.620 According to the Washington Examiner, I don't know how new this is because it sounds like

00:48:23.180 something I talked about before.

00:48:25.120 China kind of quietly exempted some things from tariffs because it found it couldn't get

00:48:30.900 them anywhere else.

00:48:32.400 So I guess when it comes to U.S.-made semiconductors, chip-making equipment, medical products, and aviation

00:48:38.440 parts, China took off the tariff that they put on it.

00:48:45.620 So they made the exemptions apparently after realizing that they didn't really have a way

00:48:50.140 to get that stuff any other way.

00:48:52.980 Now, they haven't, I don't think they've publicly announced that.

00:48:57.000 So they're kind of flying quiet.

00:49:00.240 But do you think that the Trump administration is actually talking to Chinese officials about

00:49:07.720 a deal?

00:49:09.100 Do you think that secretly there's a conversation going?

00:49:12.880 Because Trump is saying yes.

00:49:14.420 Oh, yeah, we're getting close.

00:49:16.760 We're having conversations all the time.

00:49:19.320 And China is still hanging tight with, nope, nope, there's no negotiating.

00:49:24.660 It's not happening at all.

00:49:27.380 It doesn't feel like something that Trump would just completely make up.

00:49:31.900 So my guess is we're talking to somebody, but I don't know if that somebody has the authority

00:49:39.140 of President Xi or not.

00:49:42.400 So maybe they're getting close to something and we'll be surprised.

00:49:47.280 According to the Jerusalem Post, Russia's made a deal with Iran that Russia would fund construction

00:49:57.260 of a new nuclear plant in Iran.

00:49:59.200 I guess they have funded one already and it's already built.

00:50:04.800 And that Russia would supply Iran with 55 billion cubic meters of Russian gas per year.

00:50:11.520 So it's starting to look like Russia has done a good job of pulling the bad guys together onto 0.72

00:50:20.880 one team.

00:50:22.040 You know, he's tight with China.

00:50:24.380 He's tight with Iran.

00:50:26.200 Tight with some other smaller countries, but those are the ones that matter.

00:50:29.440 So Russia's done a good job.

00:50:37.700 I hate to say it, but Russia's done a hell of a good job of circumventing, you know, the 0.91

00:50:44.780 United States interests and building their own little fortress.

00:50:49.720 I told you before that Trump was asked by Time Magazine if he would be dragged into war with

00:51:02.440 Iran if Israel wanted to, you know, happen and they couldn't make a deal.

00:51:08.200 And Trump said, no, that he didn't say that he would get dragged in, but that he wouldn't

00:51:17.660 have to be dragged because if they don't make a deal, he would willingly want to go in and

00:51:22.560 have a war.

00:51:23.500 Now, that's the right thing to say.

00:51:26.940 I don't know if he would actually do it or if we would ever be done negotiating.

00:51:32.960 It would sort of make sense for him to just keep kicking the can down the road and say,

00:51:37.160 oh, I'm still negotiating.

00:51:39.000 So don't go in militarily.

00:51:41.260 Trump is also saying out loud that he's worried that Vladimir Putin is maybe not so interested

00:51:50.920 in peace and maybe he's bringing Trump along because, as Trump points out, Putin is bombing

00:52:03.280 some civilian areas in Ukraine.

00:52:05.340 And there just doesn't seem to be a reason for it, unless he's trying to kill the peace

00:52:11.880 deal.

00:52:13.360 And so Trump is calling that out as it makes, and he says, quote, on True Social, Trump

00:52:19.960 said, quote, it makes me think that maybe he, meaning Putin, doesn't want to stop the

00:52:24.840 war.

00:52:25.640 He's just tapping me along, tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently through

00:52:31.720 banking or secondary sanctions. 0.98

00:52:35.700 So it looks like Trump is thinking, if you just keep fucking with me, which Putin is doing, 0.96

00:52:42.540 that he's just going to go heavy on sanctions, heavier than he already is. 0.94

00:52:48.260 David Sachs was on the All In pod, and he was saying that Zelensky seems to clearly not

00:52:58.960 be interested in peace, because if he were, he wouldn't be insisting on getting Crimea

00:53:04.260 back, because there's no practical way that's ever going to happen.

00:53:08.560 And Sachs says Zelensky has made his bed, let him sleep in it.

00:53:14.680 And that's sort of where I'm at, you know, without being any kind of an expert on Ukraine,

00:53:21.700 which I'm not.

00:53:22.800 But if he's not willing to talk about Ukraine, which is very solidly under Russian control,

00:53:31.240 and it's not going to change, if he's not willing to accept that, he must want the war

00:53:38.020 more than he wants the peace, because it's the only path to peace.

00:53:42.440 And he's said no.

00:53:43.880 So I do think there's a good chance that Trump might just say, we're out, you guys work it

00:53:51.820 out, and, you know, maybe have them beg him to come back.

00:53:57.380 Or if they don't, maybe don't care.

00:54:01.380 Maybe don't care.

00:54:02.680 We'll see.

00:54:04.600 I saw a post by David Kirichenko that was detailing all of the drone building activity

00:54:12.300 in Ukraine.

00:54:14.560 It turns out that although Ukraine is this big war zone, they've developed almost a Silicon 0.97

00:54:22.140 Valley-like, really robust startup situation for drones.

00:54:29.640 And the claim, I don't know if the claim is true, is that they're so nimble, and of course

00:54:36.040 they have a necessity for the drones that other people don't have, that they're developing

00:54:41.920 newer and better ones faster than anybody else.

00:54:45.780 So there's just all kinds of startups now in Ukraine that are all drone-related.

00:54:54.380 And Ukraine's defense sector was only a billion dollars of output in 2022, but it's up to 15

00:55:03.600 billion now.

00:55:04.460 And that doesn't count, you know, the American weapons.

00:55:09.640 That's just their own, you know, military-industrial base.

00:55:15.640 And when I see how robust their military-industrial base is, mostly startups, it makes me wonder,

00:55:23.380 does he have a problem with the military-industrial complex of his own country?

00:55:28.300 Is it possible that Ukraine's, you know, military-benefiting people, every one of these startups, they would

00:55:38.740 all go maybe bankrupt if there was a piece?

00:55:43.320 But as long as there's war, those startups are worth, you know, they're priceless.

00:55:48.560 Basically, you want more and more of them.

00:55:50.240 So it does make me wonder what's behind Zelensky's idea.

00:55:59.960 It looks like Zelensky doesn't think he would survive peace.

00:56:04.680 But there are so many people who might want to get him.

00:56:08.140 I mean, Russia might want to take him out.

00:56:10.380 The U.S. might want to take him out.

00:56:13.440 His own military-industrial complex might want to take him out.

00:56:16.820 Maybe some of the corrupt oligarchs in his country might want to take him out if he's no longer

00:56:22.780 feeding them through corruption or whatever.

00:56:28.040 So that's my best.

00:56:30.720 So I'm going to say my best guess is that Zelensky does want peace, but he doesn't know how to

00:56:38.280 get it without dying personally.

00:56:40.360 And so he's just not going to say yes.

00:56:43.300 That's what I think.

00:56:44.280 According to Newsmax, there's a poll that says the majority of Gen Z see college as a scam.

00:56:57.280 Gen Z, you know, 51%, but majority, they see college as a scam and a waste of money. 0.53

00:57:05.320 Boy, is that different from when I grew up.

00:57:07.520 I was in the generation where at least my mother would say, if you go to college, everything

00:57:15.940 will work out.

00:57:17.460 And so I went to college, everything worked out.

00:57:21.800 It was absolutely a big pathway to at least a good to average life.

00:57:29.780 So what do you do if you're if you're Gen Z now?

00:57:35.660 You've got robots coming.

00:57:37.500 You've you've got you don't want college debt.

00:57:41.040 If you don't go to college, what kind of job are you going to get?

00:57:44.720 If you do go to college, what kind of job are you going to get?

00:57:48.780 Especially with weird majors.

00:57:51.240 So anyway, it's Sunday.

00:57:54.560 There's not that much news.

00:57:55.840 So I'm going to say thanks for joining.

00:57:58.620 And we'll have a lot more news on Monday.

00:58:01.180 So we'll go wild on Monday.

00:58:03.140 Yeah, trade school, trade school.

00:58:05.900 But I don't know that trade school is a path to the same, you know, middle class, went to

00:58:13.740 college kind of life or not.

00:58:17.980 I mean, it's definitely better than not having a job.

00:58:22.640 And in many cases, it could be very lucrative.

00:58:26.480 All right.

00:58:28.040 I'm going to talk to the locals, people privately.

00:58:32.520 And the rest of you, thanks for joining.

00:58:35.180 And I'll see you on X and Rumble and YouTube tomorrow.

00:58:39.400 Same time, same place.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 27, 2025

Episode 2822 CWSA 04⧸27⧸25

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